candelaria lun - Lundin Mining
Transcription
candelaria lun - Lundin Mining
TSX: LUN OMX: LUMI Acquisition of Freeport’s 80% Interest in the Candelaria Mining Complex October 6, 2014 A preliminary short form prospectus containing important information relating to the securities of the Company described in this document has not yet been filed with the securities regulatory authorities in each of the provinces and territories of Canada. A copy of the preliminary short form prospectus is required to be delivered to any investor that received this document and expressed an interest in acquiring the securities. There will not be any sale or any acceptance of an offer to buy securities until a receipt for the final short form prospectus has been issued. This document does not provide full disclosure of all material facts relating to the securities offered. Investors should read the preliminary short form prospectus, final short form prospectus and any amendment, for disclosure of those facts, especially risk factors relating to the securities offered, before making an investment decision. Cautionary Statements Caution Regarding Forward Looking Information: This presentation contains forward-looking information, including, but not limited to, guidance on estimated annual production and cash costs and information regarding the anticipated completion of the transaction described herein. This forward-looking information is not based on historical facts, but rather on current expectations and projections about future events and is subject to risks and uncertainties. These risks and uncertainties could cause actual results to differ materially from the future results expressed or implied in this document. Such risks may include, without limitation: risks and uncertainties relating to the completion of the transactions as described herein, the ability to successfully integrate operations and realize the anticipated benefits of the Candelaria acquisition, risks and uncertainties relating to foreign currency fluctuations; risks inherent in mining including environmental hazards, unusual or unexpected geological formations, ground control problems and flooding; risks associated with the estimation of mineral resources and reserves and the geology, grade and continuity of mineral deposits; the possibility that future exploration, development or mining results will not be consistent with the Company’s expectations; the potential for and effects of labor disputes or other unanticipated difficulties with or shortages of labor or interruptions in production; actual ore mined varying from estimates of grade, tonnage, dilution and metallurgical and other characteristics; the inherent uncertainty of production and cost estimates and the potential for unexpected costs and expenses; and commodity price fluctuations. The forward looking information contained in this document is based on a number of assumptions including, but not limited to, the successful completion of the transaction on the terms as described herein; foreign currency rates; metal prices; estimation of mineral resources and reserves and the geology; grade, tonnage, dilution and metallurgical and other characteristics of ore; production capabilities and cost estimates. The Company uses certain non-GAAP performance measures in this presentation. These performance measures have no meaning under IFRS and, therefore, amounts presented may not be comparable to similar data presented by other mining companies. The data is intended to provide additional information and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. Copper cash costs per pound is a nonGAAP measure that the Company uses as a key performance measure to monitor performance. Management uses these statistics to assess how well the Company’s producing mines are performing compared to plan and to assess overall efficiency and effectiveness of the mining operations. The Company provides cash cost information as it is a key performance indicator required by users of its financial information in order to assess its profit potential and performance relative to its peers. The cash cost figure represents the total of all cash costs directly attributable to the related mining operations after the deduction of credits in respect of by-product sales and royalties. Cash cost is not an IFRS measure and, although it is calculated according to accepted industry practice, the Company’s disclosed cash costs may not be directly comparable to other base metal producers. By-product credits are an important factor in determining the cash costs. The cost per pound experienced by the Company will be positively affected by rising prices for by-products and adversely affected when prices for these metals are falling. The most direct comparable measure to cash costs calculated in accordance with IFRS is operating costs. The information presented herein was approved by management of the Company on October 6, 2014. For further details of other risks and uncertainties see Risk Factors Relating to the Company’s Business in the Company’s Annual Information Form and in each Management ‘s Discussion and Analysis. Note: All dollar amounts are in US dollars unless otherwise denoted. 2 Cautionary Statements Continued Caution Regarding Forward Looking Information: The disclosure in this presentation uses mineral reserve and mineral resource classification terms that comply with reporting standards in Canada, and certain mineral resource estimates are made in accordance with Canadian National Instrument 43-101—Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects (“NI 43-101”). NI 43-101 establishes standards for all public disclosure an issuer makes of scientific and technical information concerning mineral projects. These standards differ significantly from the mineral reserve disclosure requirements of the United States Securities Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) set forth in Industry Guide 7. Consequently, information regarding mineralization contained in this presentation is not comparable to similar information that would generally be disclosed by U.S. companies in accordance with the rules of the SEC. In particular, the SEC’s Industry Guide 7 applies different standards in order to classify mineralization as a reserve. As a result, the definitions of proven and probable reserves used in NI 43-101 differ from the definitions used by the SEC in Industry Guide 7. Under SEC standards, mineralization may not be classified as a “reserve” unless the determination has been made that the mineralization could be economically and legally produced or extracted at the time the reserve determination is made. Among other things, all necessary permits would be required to be in hand or issuance imminent in order to classify mineralized material as reserves under the SEC standards. Accordingly, mineral reserve estimates contained in this presentation may not qualify as “reserves” under SEC standards. In addition, this presentation uses the terms “measured mineral resources,” “indicated mineral resources” and “inferred mineral resources” to comply with the reporting standards in Canada. The SEC does not recognize mineral resources and U.S. companies are generally not permitted to disclose mineral resources of any category in documents they file with the SEC. Investors are specifically cautioned not to assume that any part or all of the mineral deposits in these categories will ever be converted into mineral reserves as defined in NI 43-101 or Industry Guide 7. Further, “inferred mineral resources” have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence and as to whether they can be mined legally or economically. Therefore, investors are also cautioned not to assume that all or any part of an inferred resource exists. It cannot be assumed that all or any part of “measured mineral resources,” “indicated mineral resources,” or “inferred mineral resources” will ever be upgraded to a higher category. Investors are cautioned not to assume that any part of the reported “measured mineral resources,” “indicated mineral resources,” or “inferred mineral resources” in this presentation is economically or legally mineable. For the above reasons, information contained in this presentation containing descriptions of our mineral reserve and mineral resource estimates is not comparable to similar information made public by U.S. companies subject to the reporting and disclosure requirements of the SEC. All scientific and technical information relating to the Candelaria and Ojos del Salado projects are based on and derived from the NI 43-101 report, prepared for the Company, entitled “Technical Report for the Compañia Minera Candelaria and Compañia Minera Ojos del Salado Copper Projects, Atacama Province, Region III, Chile” dated October 6, 2014 (the “Technical Report”) prepared by “qualified persons” within the meaning of NI 43-101. The information contained herein is subject to all of the assumptions, qualifications and procedures set out in the Technical Report and reference should be made to the full details of the Technical Report which has been filed with the applicable regulatory authorities and is available on the Company’s profile at www.sedar.com. A copy of the preliminary short form prospectus once filed may be obtained by contacting GMP Securities L.P. and will also be available on the Company’s profile at www.sedar.com Stephen Gatley, Vice President - Technical Services of the Company, who is a "qualified person" as defined under NI 43- 101, has reviewed and approved the technical information in this presentation. Mr. Gatley has verified the data disclosed in this presentation and no limitations were imposed on his verification process. This document is not an offer of securities for sale in the United States or in any other jurisdiction. Securities may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an exemption from registration under the U.S. Securities Act. 3 Presenters Presenters PAUL CONIBEAR PRESIDENT & CEO MARIE INKSTER SR. VP & CFO JULIE LEE HARRS SR. VP CORP DEVELOPMENT STEVE GATLEY VP TECHNICAL SERVICES 4 Candelaria Acquisition – A Unique Opportunity • Lundin is acquiring an 80% interest in the high quality Candelaria mining complex from Freeport for $1.8 billion in cash • Total cost of $1.152 billion after upfront payment of $648 million received on sale of 68% of gold and silver stream to Franco-Nevada • Balance of purchase price is to be funded with a combination of senior secured debt and new equity • Sumitomo will retain 20% interest • Candelaria is located in Region III, Chile at low elevation, near the coastal port of Caldera Note: All dollar amounts are in US dollars unless otherwise denoted. • Opportunity to acquire a high quality copper producer in Chile 5 Candelaria Asset Overview • Candelaria • Large open pit mine with overall mining rate of 270,000tpd (LoM average strip ratio of 2.9:1) • Underground mine – Candelaria Norte (6,000tpd) • 75,000tpd concentrator • Ojos del Salado • Two underground mines – Alcaparrosa (4,000tpd) and Santos (3,800tpd) • 3,800tpd concentrator • Supporting Infrastructure • Wholly-owned large, underutilized modern port facility • New desalination plant, providing water needs • Long term competitive power supply contract in place Candelaria – a well run asset with excellent infrastructure 6 Candelaria − High Quality Asset Large, High Quality Producer in Excellent Jurisdiction Proven Track Record with Long Remaining Mine Life Mine Life Extension Potential (1) Source: Wood Mackenzie. Based on 2013 production figures. • • • Within top 20 largest producing copper mines(1) Average production for next five years of 139ktpa Cu > 0.5% copper grades with attractive by-product credits (Au, Ag) • • Current Mineral Reserves support 14 year mine life Competitive cost profile over life of mine • Opportunity to extend mine life with pit optimization and underground exploration Large prospective regional mineral property position • 7 Candelaria – Excellent Strategic Fit for Lundin Immediately accretive on key operating and financial metrics including cash flow and earnings per share Increases and diversifies copper production making Lundin a top 20 copper producer globally Adds core strength of large open pit capability Delivers scale and geographic diversification to Lundin Operations have low technical and execution risk Acquisition is consistent with Lundin’s growth strategy and builds on the success of the Eagle acquisition last year 8 Lundin – Well Diversified Base Metals Producer Copper dominant with base metals and geographic diversification (80%) 9 Transaction & Financing Overview 10 Candelaria − TransacNon Overview Transaction • Lundin to acquire 80% interest in Candelaria and Ojos del Salado from Freeport • $1.8 billion in cash ($1.15 billion net of streaming agreement), subject to customary adjustments Purchase Price • Contingent consideration calculated as 5.0% of net copper revenues is payable to Freeport when average annual realized copper price in the prior 12-month period exceeds $4.00/lb, capped at $200 million in aggregate over 5 years • Transaction effective date of June 30, 2014 • $1.0 billion senior secured debt backstopped by a committed bridge facility • Lundin’s existing $250 million term loan to be repaid Financing • Existing $350 million revolving credit facility to be kept or replaced on pre-agreed terms • $648 million upfront payment for sale of precious metals stream to Franco-Nevada • $600 million equity bought deal financing (approximately C$675 million) • Conditions Closing Participation from the Lundin Family Trust for C$100 million and Franco-Nevada for up to C$50 million • Limited to normal regulatory approvals and Spanish anti-trust review • Closing of the transaction is expected in Q4/2014 11 Candelaria − TransacNon Sources & Uses Sources of Funds New Transaction Debt Uses of Funds $1,000 Purchase Price $1,800 Stream Agreement $648 Acquisition Adjustments (2) (cash & working capital) Equity Financing (1) $600 Repayment of Existing Term Loan $250 Estimated Transaction Costs and Expenses (3) $74 General Corporate Purposes $42 Total Sources $2,248 Total Uses $82 $2,248 Note: All amounts in $ millions. (1) Equity financing is expected to be approximately C$675 million (or approximately US$600 million). (2) The acquisition adjustment amount reflects the effective date of June 30, 2014 and is comprised of $53 million for excess non-cash working capital and a cash adjustment amount of $29 million. In addition a preferred dividend cash payment of approximately $2.4 million will also be paid to Freeport. (3) Includes $23mm of estimated debt financing fees, $22mm related to the issuance of subscription receipts and $29mm of transaction fees to be expensed as incurred. 12 Debt and Precious Metal Stream Financing Debt Financing Precious Metals Stream • $1.0 billion of debt expected to be financed with senior secured notes, backstopped by committed bridge facility • Stream on 68% of gold and silver production until 720 Koz of gold and 12 Moz of silver have been delivered; reducing to 40% thereafter • Strong pro forma financial position, with conservative leverage ratios • $648 million upfront payment for precious metals stream sold to Franco-Nevada, subject to minor post-closing adjustments upon confirmation of certain additional reserves • Ongoing payments: Lesser of (i) prevailing market prices and (ii) $400/oz Au and $4.00/oz Ag; subject to a 1% inflation adjustment starting in year 3 13 Candelaria Mining Complex Overview 14 Candelaria – Reserve Base Supporting Long Mine Life Mineral Reserves & Resources, 31 Dec 2013 Candelaria Open Pit Reserves • All Mineral Reserves estimated using $2.00/lb Cu price (with $1,000/oz Au and $15/oz Ag) • Over 2.0 Mt of copper metal in Mineral Reserves support a 14 year remaining mine life • Excellent exploration potential to further expand resource base Category Open Pit Mine Stockpile (1)(2)(3) (4) Tonnes (000s) Cu (%) Au (g/t) Ag (g/t) 275,907 0.57% 0.13 2.08 92,025 0.36% 0.09 1.46 Underground Mines Reserves (5) Category Tonnes (000s) Cu (%) Au (g/t) Ag (g/t) Santos 5,409 0.98% 0.23 4.01 Alcaparrosa 2,157 1.04% 0.23 3.54 Ojos del Salado 7,565 0.99% 0.23 3.87 Candelaria Norte 4,922 1.14% 0.26 5.47 Cu (kt) Au (koz) Ag (koz) Contained Metal Reserves & Resources Total Reserves 380,419 2,050 1,542 24,603 Total M&I Resources 500,984 2,697 2,055 33,163 11,334 67 57 1,018 Total Inferred Resources Note: (1) Mineral Resources are reported within the boundaries of the Candelaria and Ojos Del Salado properties. Mineral Resources include Mineral Reserves. Mineral Resources are not Mineral Reserves and have not demonstrated economic viability. (2) Mineral resource and mineral reserve estimates also include a contribution from various operational work-in-progress stockpiles. (3) All figures are rounded to reflect the relative accuracy of the estimates. (4) Open pit Mineral Resources are reported at a cut-off grade of 0.2% copper. Underground Mineral Resources are reported at a cut-off grade of 0.6% copper. (5) Underground Mineral Reserves are reported at various cut-off grades and mining costs. Mineral Reserves for open pit, underground and stockpiles/work-in-progress for the Candelaria property are reported at cut-off grades of 0.25%, 0.81% and 0.24% copper, respectively. Underground Mineral Reserves for the Ojos del Salado property (Santos and Alcaparrosa) are reported at cut-off grades of 0.84% and 0.75%, respectively. (6) Refer to slide to Combined Mineral Resources slide in Appendix for a breakdown of Measured and Indicated Resources 15 Candelaria – Large-Scale, Long-Life Asset • Average LoM production 100% 80% 126 ktpa Cu 101ktpa Cu 77koz Au 62koz Au 1.4Moz Ag Total Copper Production (ktpa) – 100% basis 191 175 174 156 147 1.1Moz Ag 125 126 Note: (1) Production figures sourced from Freeport’s historical year-end results Au: 77 koz Ag: 1.4 Moz Au: 97 koz Ag: 1.9 Moz 2012A(1) 2013A(1) 2014E Au: 73 koz Ag: 1.5 Moz 2011A(1) Au: 106 koz Ag: 2.0 Moz • Sumitomo will remain a strategic 20% partner with concentrate off-take agreements at market terms Au: 101 koz • High grade (30% Cu) quality copper concentrates with low impurities Au: 83 koz • 14 year remaining life based on 2P reserves Au: 101 koz • Average Cu production over next 5 years of 139ktpa (100% basis) 2015E 2016E Remaining LOM Avg. 16 Candelaria – Competitive Cost Profile • Competitive C1 cash cost position of $1.69/lb LoM average prior to precious metals stream adjustment Copper C1 Cash Costs (US$/lb)(1) • Significant precious metals by-products (Au, Ag) $2.14 $2.06 $1.93 $1.88 $1.89 $1.80 • Magnetite credit from sale of tailings to 3rd party (~$33 million in 2013) $1.69 $1.63 • Low cost power of $0.12/kWh (2013) 2014E 2015E 2016E Pre-Stream (2) Note: Waste stripping is expensed and included in C1 operating cost forecasts. (1) Includes full year impact of precious metals stream in 2014 for illustrative purposes. (2) Pre-stream C1 cash costs are based on metal price assumptions of $1,200/oz gold and $20/oz silver. LoM Avg. Post-Stream 17 Candelaria – Open Pit • Iron Oxide Copper and Gold deposit (IOCG) with chalcopyrite and magnetite • Conventional owner operated, drill and blast, load and haul open pit Material Mined (ore & waste) Milled Ore Average Remaining LoM Copper Grade LoM Strip Ratio (ex. Stockpiles) 270 ktpd 66 ktpd 0.57% Cu 2.9 : 1 • Good pit geotechnical conditions 18 Underground Mines With Exploration Potential • Three underground mines • Candelaria Norte (6,000tpd) • Alcaparrosa (4,000tpd) • Santos (3,800tpd) • All underground mining with sub-level open stoping • Large vertical stopes • All mining operations by contractors • Good geotechnical conditions • Ongoing exploration program has led to new significant discoveries which are expected to extend mine lives • Mineral Reserve grades of ~1.0% Cu or higher 19 Candelaria Complex − Processing FaciliNes Candelaria and Ojos Processing Plants • Two conventional crush/grind floatation plants • Quality concentrate production: • High grade concentrate with low penalties • Magnetite recovery from tailings by third party 2 –SAG Mills, 36 x 15 ft 4 –Ball Mills, 20 x 30 ft Candelaria Plant (2 lines) 25mtpa Pedro Aguirre (PAC) Plant 1.4mtpa Copper Recovery ≈92% Gold Recovery ≈75% Copper Concentrate ≈30% Cu Gold in Concentrate ≈6 g/t Silver in Concentrate ≈90 g/t 10 –4500 Flotation Cells 14 –3000 Flotation Cells 20 Candelaria – Tailings • • • • Existing tailings management facility (“TMF”) has permitted capacity to 2017 Permitting for new Los Diques tailings storage underway as a part of “Candelaria 2030” with EIA submitted in 2013 Los Diques design capacity - 600mt tailings (390mt needed) Estimated Los Diques capital spend of ~$310M over next five years Potential Total Tailings Capacity (with required permits and land position) = 6 billion tonnes 21 Candelaria – Excellent Infrastructure and Capacity 100%-Owned Port with Excess Capacity: • Punta Padrones port facility located ~100km from mine • Storage capacity of 45,000 wmt • Significant spare capacity: currently ship a maximum of 600k wmt per year– max capacity of 3.5M wmt per year Low Cost Grid Power: • Mine connected to Chilean HV grid • 10 year power contract in place until 2022 • Current total demand from Candelaria and Ojos is ~110MW while contract allows up to 135MW • 2013 power cost of $0.12/kWh Water and Desalination Plant: • Historically, water sourced from groundwater wells in Copiapo valley • 500 l/s desalination plant at Punta Padrones and pipeline to Candelaria • Commissioned in Q1/13 22 Corporate Citizenship Lundin is committed to becoming a valuable and long standing resident of the Copiapo region: • We aim to create sustainable value from our presence in host communities wherever we operate • Lundin’s reputation as a good corporate citizen is critical to our long-term success Candelaria – Community Involvement: • Facilities are located adjacent to the town of Tierra Amarilla and the port city of Caldera • Majority of work force live in Copiapo • Intent is to advance existing social and community improvement programs Lundin is committed to maintaining strong stakeholder relationships 23 Lundin Pro-Forma 24 Enhances Lundin's Copper Exposure Impact to Copper Production (kt) Candelaria (80%) 350 Impact to Copper 2P Reserves (Mt) Lundin Standalone Percentage Increase over 2013: +103% Candelaria (80%) +129% Lundin Standalone 4.5 4.0 300 3.7 267 250 3.5 237 3.0 1.6 200 139 2.5 125 2.0 2.0 150 1.6 117 112 1.5 100 1.0 50 117 112 112 2.0 128 0.5 -- -- 2013 Actual 2014E Guidance 2014E (1) Pro-Forma 2015E Pro-Forma Lundin Candelaria Pro-Forma (2) Source: Company filings. Notes: Lundin production profile based on mid-point of 3-yr guidance provided in December 2013. Copper profile does not include any future expansions at Tenke. Includes attributable production from Tenke Fungurume and Candelaria (where applicable). (1) Reflects full year production from Candelaria for illustrative purposes. (2) Refer to the Appendix for Lundin’s Pro Forma Mineral Reserve Statement 25 Enhances Lundin's Financial Metrics Impact to H1 2014 Op. Cash Flow1 (US$M) Candelaria (80%) $250 Impact to H1 2014 Earnings (US$M) Lundin Standalone Percentage Increase: Candelaria (80%) +147% $150 Lundin Standalone Percentage Increase: +137% $126 $208 $120 $200 $150 $124 $90 $73 $124 $100 $73 $60 $84 $53 $124 $50 $84 $73 $84 $30 $53 $53 $0 $0 Lundin Candelaria Pro-Forma Lundin Candelaria Highly accretive to cash flow and earnings 1. Pro-Forma (2) Before change in net working capital Source: Lundin Mining Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the three and six months ended June 30, 2014, Compañia Contractual Minera Candelaria Interim Unaudited Financial Statements as of and for the six-month periods ended June 30, 2014, Compañia Contractual Minera Ojos Del Salado Interim Unaudited Financial Statements as of and for the six-month periods ended June 30, 2014 and Lundin Mining Corporation Pro Forma Financial Statements. Candelaria OCF calculated as 80% of Candelaria and Ojos Del Salado OCF before change in net working capital less 100% of the pro forma cash adjustments to reflect impact the of stream, finance costs and business development costs associated with the acquisition. 26 Increases Geographic Diversification 2015E Attributable Cu Eq. Production by Country (1)(2)(3) Current Pro Forma Spain 6% Sweden 15% Spain Sweden 4% 10% USA 28% Chile 33% DRC 15% DRC 23% Portugal 28% Portugal 19% USA 19% Chile becomes Lundin’s largest producing region (1) (2) (3) Based on midpoint of 2015E production guidance provided by Lundin. Only includes commodities for which Lundin provides public guidance. Excludes gold and silver. Based on 80% interest in Candelaria. Equivalency calculated according to the following prices: $3.00/lb Cu, $1.00/lb Zn, $8.00/lb Ni, $12.00/lb Co and $1.05/lb Pb. Cobalt guidance for 2015E assumed equal to 2014E guidance. 27 Well-Diversified Base Metals Exposure 2015E Attributable Cu Eq. Production by Commodity (1)(2)(3) Current Pro Forma Cobalt Lead 3% 3% Lead Cobalt 4% 5% Zinc 13% Zinc 19% Copper 46% Nickel 17% Copper 64% Nickel 26% Enhanced copper exposure and strong leverage to nickel and zinc maintained (1) (2) (3) Based on midpoint of 2015E production guidance provided by Lundin. Only includes commodities for which Lundin provides public guidance. Excludes gold and silver. Based on 80% interest in Candelaria. Equivalency calculated according to the following prices: $3.00/lb Cu, $1.00/lb Zn, $8.00/lb Ni, $12.00/lb Co and $1.05/lb Pb. Cobalt guidance for 2015E assumed equal to 2014E guidance. 28 Lundin – with Candelaria Enhances earnings and cash flow on a per share basis with the addition of an established, large scale, low risk operation Diversifies geographic and base metals portfolio; provides added copper exposure while maintaining excellent leverage to zinc and nickel Further strengthens asset base of high quality and long-life mines, with strong growth potential Financing plan enables Lundin to maintain a strong balance sheet post acquisition Secures Lundin’s position as a leading intermediate base metals producer with significant scale and competitive costs 29 TSX: LUN OMX: LUMI Questions & Answers Appendix 31 Combined Mineral Reserves Note: Refer to slide 15 for Candelaria’s Mineral Reserve statement details o Lundin wholly-owned operations as of 30 June 2014, Tenke Fungurume and Candelaria as at 31 December 2013. o Except as noted below, Mineral Reserves have been calculated using metal prices of $2.50/lb copper, $1.00/lb zinc, $1.00/lb lead, $8.50 nickel and exchange rates of EUR/USD 1.25 and USD/SEK 6.75. • Tenke Mineral Reserves based on $2.00/lb copper and $10.00/lb cobalt. o Refer to the Company’s news release dated September 4, 2014 for further details including parameters assumptions and methods. 32 Combined Mineral Resources - Copper Note: Refer to slide 15 for Candelaria’s Mineral Reserve statement o Lundin wholly-owned operations as of 30 June 2014, Tenke Fungurume and Candelaria as at 31 December 2013. 33 Combined Mineral Resources - Continued Note: Refer to slide 15 for Candelaria’s Mineral Reserve statement o Lundin wholly-owned operations as of 30 June 2014, Tenke Fungurume and Candelaria as at 31 December 2013. 34