South West District - Greater Sydney Commission

South West District
Demographic & Economic Characteristics
CAMDEN
CAMPBELLTOWN
FAIRFIELD
LIVERPOOL
WOLLONDILLY
Contents
The South West District
3
People
4
Population
4
Age Profile
5
Households and Dwellings
6
Household Types
6
Dwelling Types
8
Dwelling Completions
10
Housing Market Demand Areas
11
Employment and Economy
12
Jobs by Sector
12
Location of Jobs
13
Journeys to Work
14
Contribution to the Economy
15
About this document
This document contains an overview of the population, household types, dwellings, employment and
economy of the South West District. This information forms part of the evidence base for
district planning.
This document contains data from a variety of sources including the NSW Department of Planning and
Environment, the Australian Bureau of Statistics, Transport for NSW – Bureau of Transport Statistics, and
various research reports.
February 2016
South West District | Demographic & Economic Characteristics
2
The South West District
The South West District (Figure 1) comprises five local government areas: Camden, Campbelltown,
Fairfield, Liverpool and Wollondilly.
Figure 1: South West District
Source: NSW Department of Planning and Environment 2014, A Plan for Growing Sydney, Sydney, p.129, Fig 31.
South West District | Demographic & Economic Characteristics
3
People
Population
The South West District is the fastest growing district in the
Sydney Metropolitan Area. In 2011 the District was home
to 636,800 people. By 2031 it is projected that the District
will be home to an additional 325,850 people (Figure 2).
Area as a whole (1.6 per cent per year).
The District is projected to grow at an average rate of 2.1
per cent per year between 2011 and 2031, which is faster
than the projected growth rate for the Sydney Metropolitan
MORE PEOPLE
2011
964
800
638
,800
325,850
,050
POPULATION CHANGE
,650
Within the District, the Camden and Liverpool local
government areas are set to experience the largest
population increases within the District (Figure 3). Between
2011 and 2031 they have respective average projected
population growth rates of 5.2 per cent and 2.2 per cent
per year.
AVERAGE
ANNUAL GROWTH
+2.1%
2021
2031
Figure 2: Population growth in the South West District, 2011–2031
Source: NSW Department of Planning and Environment 2014, New South Wales State and Local Government Area Population, Household and
Dwelling Projections: 2014 Final, Sydney.
PEOPLE
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
CAMDEN
CAMPBELLTOWN
FAIRFIELD
LIVERPOOL
WOLLONDILLY
LOCAL GOVERNMENT AREA
1991
1996
2001 2006
HISTORICAL POPULATION
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
PROJECTED POPULATION
Figure 3: Historical and projected population for local government areas in the South West District, 1991 – 2031
Sources: Historical population data for 1991-2011: Australian Bureau of Statistics various years, Australian Demographic Statistics,
cat No. 3101.0, Canberra.
Projected population data for 2016-2031: NSW Department of Planning and Environment 2014, New South Wales State and Local
Government Area Population, Household and Dwelling Projections: 2014 Final, Sydney.
South West District | Demographic & Economic Characteristics
4
People
Age Profile
Projections indicate that between 2011 and 2031, the
population aged 65 years and older in the South West
District is projected to more than double. Fairfield and
Wollondilly have the oldest populations in the District.
By 2031, one in five people living in these two local
government areas are projected to be aged 65 years
or older.
Even with increases in the number of older people, the
South West is projected to maintain a relatively young age
profile. By 2031, 22 per cent of the District’s population
is projected to be below 15 years of age. This is a higher
proportion than for the Sydney Metropolitan Area as a
whole (Figure 4).
28%
26%
22% 22%
15%
25%
23%
14%
13%
9%
2011
2031
AGE GROUPS
(YEARS)
SYDNEY
METROPOLITAN
AREA
COMPARISONS
2%
1%
0-14
19%
19%
15-24
14%
12%
25-44
31%
28%
45-64
24%
24%
85+
65-84
11%
14%
2%
3%
Note: Proportions have been rounded to the nearest percent.
Totals may not add to 100 per cent because of rounding.
Figure 4: Age profiles of populations in the South West District and Sydney Metropolitan Area, 2011 and 2031
Source: NSW Department of Planning and Environment 2014, New South Wales State and Local Government Area Population, Household and
Dwelling Projections: 2014 Final, Sydney.
South West District | Demographic & Economic Characteristics
5
Households and Dwellings
Household Types
The number of households in the South West District is
projected to grow by 2.3 per cent per year between 2011
and 2031. This is the highest growth rate of any district
in Sydney and is significantly higher than the Sydney
Metropolitan Area as a whole (1.6 per cent per year).
Figure 5 highlights that couples with children is
projected to continue to be the most common household
type in the South West District. The projected growth of
lone person households (3.2 per cent per year between
2011 and 2031) is higher than the Sydney Metropolitan
Area overall.
The number of households in Camden is projected to
grow by 5.5 per cent per year over the same period –
the highest for any local government area in the Sydney
Metropolitan Area.
45%
42%
%
19% 20
16% 15%
2011
2031
HOUSEHOLD
TYPES
SYDNEY
METROPOLITAN
AREA
COMPARISONS
14%
5%
COUPLE ONLY
22%
22%
17%
2%
4%
COUPLE WITH
CHILDREN
SINGLE PARENT
MULTIPLE +
OTHER FAMILY
LONE PERSON
37%
11%
4%
22%
35%
11%
4%
24%
1%
GROUP
5%
4%
Note: Proportions have been rounded to the nearest percent.
Totals may not add to 100 per cent because of rounding.
Figure 5: Household types in the South West District and Sydney Metropolitan Area, 2011 and 2031
Source: NSW Department of Planning and Environment 2014, New South Wales State and Local Government Area Population, Household and
Dwelling Projections: 2014 Final, Sydney.
South West District | Demographic & Economic Characteristics
6
Households and Dwellings
FAIRFIELD
5%
18%
18%
12%
46%
2%
LIVERPOOL
4%
15%
17%
14%
WOLLONDILLY
10%
4%
1%
11%
24%
CAMDEN
4%
CAMPBELLTOWN
23%
4%
17%
13%
15%
48%
1%
1%
48%
45%
16%
41%
2%
Couple Only
Couple with
Children
Group
Lone Person
Single Parent
Multiple &
Other Family
HOUSEHOLD TYPES
20%
Note: Proportions have been rounded to the nearest percent.
Totals may not add to 100 per cent because of rounding.
Figure 6: Household types in the local government areas of the South West District, 2011
Source: NSW Department of Planning and Environment 2014, New South Wales State and Local Government Area Population, Household and
Dwelling Projections: 2014 Final, Sydney.
South West District | Demographic & Economic Characteristics
7
Households and Dwellings
Dwelling Types
In 2011, separate houses were the dominant housing
type (79 per cent) in the South West District (Figure 7),
and feature more than in Sydney Metropolitan Area as a
whole (57 per cent). Separate houses are most common in
Wollondilly and Camden, where they make up 95 per cent
and 92 per cent of all dwellings respectively (Figure 8).
Flat, unit or apartment development has emerged in
concentrations around Liverpool and Fairfield centres.
12
%
SEMI-DETACHED
9%
In these locations flats, unit and apartment dwelling types
now make up 14 per cent and 13 per cent respectively of all
housing. Only nine percent of dwellings types in the South
West District are flats, units or apartments, compared to
Sydney Metropolitan Area as a whole (30 per cent).
Generally, housing diversity is low in the South West
District.
13%
FLAT, UNITS or
SEMI-DETACHED
APARTMENT
30%
FLAT, UNIT or
APARTMENT
79%
57%
SEPARATE HOUSE
SEPARATE HOUSE
DWELLING
TYPES
South West District
Sydney Metropolitan Area
Note: Proportions have been rounded to the nearest percent.
Totals may not add to 100 per cent because of rounding.
Figure 7: Dwelling types in the South West District and Sydney Metropolitan Area, 2011
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics 2012, 2011 Census of Population and Housing: Time Series Profile, Second Release, cat No. 2003.0, Canberra.
Australian Bureau of Statistics Definitions
Semi-detached: These dwellings have their own private
grounds and no other dwelling above or below them. They
are either attached in some structural way to one or more
dwellings or are separated from neighbouring dwellings
by less than half a metre (includes row or terrace house,
townhouse). A house or flat attached to a shop, office,
factory or any other non-residential structure is included
in this category.
Flat, unit or apartment: This category includes all
dwellings in blocks of flats, units or apartments. These
dwellings do not have their own private grounds and
usually share a common entrance foyer or stairwell. This
category also includes flats attached to houses such as
granny flats, and houses converted into two or more flats.
Separate house: This is a house which is separated from
other dwellings by at least half a metre. A separate house
may have a flat attached to it, such as a granny flat
or converted garage (the flat is categorised under flat,
unit or apartment).
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics 2011, 2901.0 - Census Dictionary, 2011, Dwelling Structure (STRD), Canberra, 2011, viewed 25 February 2016,
<www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/[email protected]/Lookup/2901.0Chapter29902011>
South West District | Demographic & Economic Characteristics
8
Households and Dwellings
FAIRFIELD
14%
74%
13%
LIVERPOOL
74%
WOLLONDILLY
3%
2%
95%
Separate House
Semi-detatched
CAMDEN
6%
2%
12%
14%
CAMPBELLTOWN
16%
5%
80%
92%
Flat, Unit or Apartment
DWELLING TYPES
Note: Proportions have been rounded to the nearest percent.
Totals may not add to 100 per cent because of rounding.
Figure 8: Dwelling types in local government areas of the South West District, 2011
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics 2012, 2011 Census of Population and Housing: Time Series Profile, Second Release, cat No. 2003.0,
Canberra.
South West District | Demographic & Economic Characteristics
9
Households and Dwellings
Dwelling Completions
Most dwellings built in the South West District over the
past ten years were located in Camden and Liverpool
(Figure 9).
Looking in more detail at net dwelling completions over
the past five years, detached houses were the dominant
dwelling type constructed in the District, except in
the Fairfield local government area, where multi-unit
development was more common than that of detached
dwellings.
DWELLINGS
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
CAMDEN
CAMPBELLTOWN
FAIRFIELD
LIVERPOOL
WOLLONDILLY
LOCAL GOVERNMENT AREA
2005/6
2006/7
2007/8
2008/9
2009/10
2010/11
2011/12
DWELLING COMPLETIONS (by financial year)
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
Figure 9: Net dwelling completions in local government areas of the South West District, 2005/06 to 2014/15
Source: NSW Department of Planning and Environment, various years, Metropolitan Development Program Housing Monitor, Sydney.
South West District | Demographic & Economic Characteristics
10
Households and Dwellings
Housing Market Demand Areas
Housing Market Demand Areas capture the locations that
households move within. They are based on research
undertaken by the City Futures Research Centre at the
University of New South Wales which identified that
82 per cent of households in the Sydney Metropolitan
Area move less than 15 kilometres.
- Blue Mountains, Parramatta, Bankstown - Holsworthy, and
Sutherland Housing Market Demand Areas (Figure 10).
Supply in one Housing Market Demand Areas may not
satisfy demand for housing in others. Consideration of
the preferences and needs of different household types is
required at the local level.
The Fairfield Housing Market Demand Area is wholly
located within the South West District along with the
majority of the Liverpool and South West Housing Market
Demand Area. The District also contains parts of the Penrith
Figure 10: Housing Market Demand Areas in the South West District
Source: NSW Department of Planning and Environment 2016, Housing Market Demand Area Map, Sydney.
South West District | Demographic & Economic Characteristics
11
Employment and Economy
Jobs by Sector
The manufacturing sector is the District’s largest
employer and greatest contributor to economic
output. Other major employment sectors are ones
that meet the needs of the local populations such
as health, retail, education and construction, as
shown in Figure 11.
17%
MANUFACTURING
12%
12%
HEALTH CARE
RETAIL
9%
EDUCATION
CONSTRUCTION
ACCOMMODATION
& FOOD SERVICES
PUBLIC
ADMINISTRATION
& SAFETY
TRANSPORT,
POSTAL &
WAREHOUSING
WHOLESALE
TRADE
7%
6%
6%
6%
6%
Figure 11: Top employment sectors in the South West District, 2011
Source: Bureau of Transport Statistics 2014, Small Area Employment
Forecast Model Version 2.0, Sydney.
South West District | Demographic & Economic Characteristics
12
Employment and Economy
Location of Jobs
Throughout the District, 46 per cent of all jobs are in
dispersed locations. This includes town and village centres
as well as suburban-based jobs. Dedicated industrial areas
where manufacturing, transport and logistics are based are
home to 39 per cent of all jobs (Figure 12).
The District’s Strategic Centres at Campbelltown –
Macarthur, Leppington and Liverpool have 16 per cent
of the jobs, compared to the Sydney Metropolitan Area
average of 43 per cent.
21%
39
INDUSTRIAL LANDS
%
INDUSTRIAL LANDS
46%
36%
DISPERSED LOCATIONS
DISPERSED LOCATIONS
16%
STRATEGIC CENTRES
43%
STRATEGIC CENTRES
JOB
LOCATIONS
South West District
Sydney Metropolitan Area
Note: Proportions have been rounded to the nearest percent.
Totals may not add to 100 per cent because of rounding.
Figure 12: Job locations in the South West District and the Sydney Metropolitan Area, 2011
Source: Bureau of Transport Statistics 2014, Small Area Employment Forecast Model Version 2.0, Sydney.
Strategic Centres: The largest centres in the Sydney
Metropolitan Area, when developed. They contain
mixed-use activity of an amount, density and diversity
that is of metropolitan significance, including commercial
(office, business and retail), civic and cultural uses;
government services; and higher density housing. They
are typically on the passenger rail network or serviced by
other high frequency public transport. Strategic Centres
typically contain at least 10,000 jobs, with the potential to
accommodate ongoing jobs growth over the long-term.
They are priority locations for employment and retail activity.
South West District | Demographic & Economic Characteristics
Industrial lands: Land that is zoned for industry and/or
warehouse uses including manufacturing; transport and
warehousing; service and repair trades and industries;
integrated enterprises with a mix of administration,
production, warehousing, research and development; and
urban services and utilities.
Dispersed locations: Any job that occurs that is not in
a Strategic Centre or on industrial lands (e.g. local retail;
health, and schools).
13
Employment and Economy
Journeys to Work
The South West District is served by major transport links
traditionally oriented towards the Sydney CBD, including
the M5, M7, A9, A28 and the Hume Highway. There are
limited north-south public transport links west of the M7.
The dispersed nature and distance to employment
contributes to the high rates of car dependency. Around
84 per cent of journeys to work to strategic centres across
Sydney Metropolitan Area from the District are made by
motor vehicle.
The South West District records low public transport usage
both for those people who live and work in the District (four
per cent), and for those travelling outside of the District
(20 per cent) (Figure 13).
3%
4%
16%
1
%
LIVE AND WORK
IN SOUTH WEST
20%
12%
LIVE IN
SOUTH WEST
AND WORK
ELSEWHERE
77%
PRIVATE VEHICLE
(ONE MODE)
PUBLIC TRANSPORT
(ONE OR MORE MODES)
67%
WALK/
CYCLE
WORKED FROM HOME/
DID NOT WORK/OTHER
Note: Proportions have been rounded to the nearest percent.
Totals may not add to 100 per cent because of rounding.
Figure 13: South West District residents’ journey to work by mode, 2011
Source: REMPLAN 2015, Economic Modelling and Planning System, Victoria, using Australian Bureau of Statistics 2012,
2011 Census of Population Housing, Canberra.
South West District | Demographic & Economic Characteristics
14
Employment and Economy
Contribution to the Economy
Figure 14 identifies the industries with the highest
contribution to gross regional product for the Sydney
Metropolitan Area, by each local government area of the
South West District. The manufacturing sector makes the
biggest contribution.
Figure 14: Main economic activity in Sydney by industry with the greatest contribution to each LGA’s Gross
Regional Product
Source: NSW Department of Planning and Environment 2014, A Plan for Growing Sydney, Sydney, p.37, Fig 12.
South West District | Demographic & Economic Characteristics
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South West District | Demographic & Economic Characteristics
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