Greenlight Remarketing - Inside Lane
Transcription
Greenlight Remarketing - Inside Lane
GREENLIGHT ISSUE 26 DRIVING GROWTH FOR THE REMARKETING PROFESSIONAL SHORT CIRCUIT Electrics trickle into the auction lanes – but what are they worth? P4 MOBILE AND IMAGING TECH REMAKE REPO P8 TOP TIPS FOR GETTING THE BEST AUCTION RETURNS P10 IT’S GO TIME Certified off-lease Chrysler Group vehicles are streaming through the auction lanes, which means it’s the best possible time to build your inventory. IN FRONT LEADERSHIP Annual Auction Awards Partnership. 3 CONTENTS 8 It’s an important idea when your business is built on it. So it is with Santander Consumer USA Inc. remarketing team and auction partners across the country, and why we honor the best of those relationships with our annual Auction Partner Awards. The fourth annual program, held at the 2015 Conference of Automotive Remarketing in Las Vegas, celebrated last year’s achievements by two individual auction representatives and seven auctions, with two auctions each winning a pair of SCUSA partner awards. This year’s Auction Manager of the Year award was shared by R.J. Contich (East Region), who has been with SCUSA since 2010, and Jason Keese (West Region), who has been with the company since 2011. Two auctions, ADESA Phoenix and Manheim Louisville, each won regional and overall awards, with the ADESA auction winning the top award, Auction of the Year. Besides its regional award, Manheim Louisville received the Auction Operations award from SCUSA. Following is a complete listing of the SCUSA auction awards: Auction of the Year: ADESA Phoenix, AZ. This is awarded to the best overall auction using key performance indicators such as net retentions, control of expenses, auction operations and more. Distinguished Auction Partner: Manheim Arena, IL. This award goes to the auction or auction group that best demonstrates or embraces SCUSA’s fourth-quarter charity campaign, “Bidding to Make a Difference,” by demonstrating acts of kindness and giving (not just money) during the holiday season. Best Auction Operations: Manheim Louisville Best E-Commerce Auction: ADESA Cincinnati-Dayton, OH Regional Auction Awards: ADESA Concord (MA), Northeast; ABC Birmingham (AL), Southeast; ADESA Phoenix, West; Manheim Louisville, Midwest, and Manheim San Antonio (TX), Central. SCUSA is pleased to take this opportunity to spotlight these award winners, who set the bar in 2014 and were the embodiment of our annual Auction Partner Awards. Brent Huisman SVP, Asset Remarketing Santander Consumer USA Inc. REPO MAKEOVER: Imaging technology and mobile devices revolutionize the repo man’s universe 4 6 9 10 11 Sticker Shock As electrics make their way to the auction lanes, the industry puzzles over what they’re worth Active Auctions Buy Santander Consumer USA vehicles at auctions nationwide Hitting the Target How do the ratings in a consumer magazine compare to wholesale valuations? Dealer Tips Dealers dish on getting the most from your auction experience Staying Strong Wholesale prices defy long-term weakening in March, with trucks in the lead GreenLight Remarketing is published by Royal Media on behalf of Santander Consumer USA Inc. For more information about Santander Consumer USA or RoadLoans™ call 888.540.5626 or visit www.santanderconsumerusa.com. Royal Media can be found at www.royalmedia.com. Special photo credits: AutoVu cameras (p3, p8): University of British Columbia, Ford (p3, p4), Nissan (p1, p9) ©2015 Santander Consumer USA Inc. 4 ELECTRIC CARS SHORT CIRCUIT Electric vehicles trickle into the auction lanes – but what are they worth? BY LARISSA PADDEN D ESPITE A FUEL-EFFICIENT REPUTATION and cool cachet, electric vehicles are an uncertain proposition at auction. But with Tesla moving into the certified pre-owned space and residual valuations increasingly being generated, electrics are a growing presence in the wholesale market. Their numbers may be small, but they cast a large shadow, and the industry is paying close attention. “It’s an area of growing interest,” Tom Kontos, executive vice president and chief economist for ADESA Analytical Services, says of the EV market, noting that values have increased “a little bit” from yearend 2014 to the first quarter of 2015. “Cumulatively, we’re starting to see kind of a ramp-up in volume, but it’s still miniscule,” he says. “We’re talking about hundreds of cars, when the auction industry is 8-million-plus cars.” While there is interest among tech-savvy buyers and dealers looking to cater to eco-conscious shoppers, the low auction volume makes it difficult to analyze certain data, such as average prices, Kontos says. Choices at auction are so limited, in fact, that it is difficult to gauge which models, if any, are more popular than others when they hit the lanes, he adds. “There’s not so many that the dealers could go, ‘I only look at [Chevrolet] Volts’ or ‘I only look at [Nissan] Leafs,’” Kontos says. “So I don’t think there’s really much distinction between the indi- vidual models at this point, because the interest level is high for any electric vehicles that happen to make their way into the auctions.” TAX REBATES KEEP PRICES SOFT However, while the demand for used EVs is high and the supply is low, pricing and residual values remain soft, according to Alec Gutierrez, senior market analyst of automotive insights for Kelley Blue Book. “As we look at setting residuals for electric cars, there are some different considerations that we have to take in mind,” Gutierrez says. “Because, ultimately, when you look at the auction values, or how these vehicles perform from a wholesale per- ELECTRIC CARS FALLING GAS PRICES ERODE DEMAND With gasoline prices roughly $1 less a gallon than they were last year, it’s harder for consumers to justify the purchase of an electric vehicle from an economic standpoint. “Lower gas prices combined with ongoing gains in gas-powered vehicle efficiency make EVs an even harder sell,” Paris says. Gutierrez agrees that what little demand there was for EV has been “hit hard” because of the decline in gas prices, while interest in full-size trucks and sport-utility vehicles has increased. “Even in between, when you look at the sig- nificant improvement of fuel efficiency of compact cars, subcompact cars, and even midsized cars, with gas prices as low as they are, it makes them that much more difficult to stand out as an electric vehicle,” he says. ADESA’s Kontos counters that while falling gas prices may hurt “a little,” there is still a corner of the market that wants to remain green. “Anecdotally, I would say that the dealer who wants to sort of project an image of, ‘I’ve got fuelefficient vehicles on my used car lot,’” will be interested in EVs, Kontos says. “And even in times when gasoline prices are low, there are still people who are buying for the long haul, and they’re also buying green if they can.” So, to the extent that an electric vehicle is seen as a “more responsible purchase,” as Kontos puts it, there are dealers that would stock their usedcar lot with these types of vehicles without purely looking at it from a profit motive. Photo: Art Kanovalov spective, they typically — and by a pretty significant margin — underperform your typical hybrid or even just typical compact, which would be in the competitive set.” The reason, Gutierrez says, is relatively intuitive, because although these cars might sticker for $30,000, federal and state tax rebates get “chopped off right way” in terms of retained value. “They immediately take a significant hit because everyone is making use of the tax rebate,” Gutierrez says. “If you’re going to pay $35,000 for a Volt and get $10,000 in federal tax rebates, there’s no way, from a used-car perspective, you’re going to pay any more than $18,000 to $20,000, in the bestcase scenario, for a used Volt.” Similar to incentivized gasoline-powered vehicles, “cash on the hood often has the most corrosive effect on used-value retention,” says David Paris, NADA Used Car Guide’s senior automotive analyst. However, unlike manufacturer incentives, there is a cap placed on federal rebates for new EVs. The federal credit begins to phase out at the beginning of the second quarter after a manufacturer has produced 200,000 vehicles, Paris says. Vehicles produced before Jan. 1, 2010, do not count toward that total. Georgia announced recently that the current tax credit will no longer be offered effective July 1, while Illinois announced in March that consumers who purchased a new plug-in vehicle in 2014 or later will not receive a $4,000 rebate from the state. “It will be interesting to see, as those tax rebates begin to run out, if that’s going to impact the appeal of those cars,” Gutierrez says. “It‘s a bit early to speculate now how it will affect the price down the road, but it’s definitely something we have to keep an eye on.” LUXURY MODELS RETAIN MORE VALUE It’s a tough environment to really make headway for EVs, Gutierrez says, but there is an expectation that certain luxury brands retain their value well. “I’ll point to Tesla as one great example,” he says. “Because Tesla has maintained strict control over the way these vehicles hit the secondary market, they’re very, very hard to find, and not many consumers have traded them in yet or tried to sell them.” As a result, when dealers see a used Tesla for sale, they typically have to shell out new-car prices, according to Gutierrez. “So that’s one example on the extreme of where electric cars have done phenomenally well” he says. “It’s a cool car, it’s fast, it’s a lot of fun, it’s at the forefront of technology, and that’s why people buy Teslas. These are early adopters that want to be on the cutting edge when it comes to 5 vehicle tech.” Strong EV performers like Tesla stand out more than weaker ones, since the majority is underperforming at the moment, according to Paris. But in terms of prices, used values for Tesla’s Model S appear to have held up very well so far. “Used-value retention for the 2012 Model S with the 85-kwh battery stands at roughly 57%, which is on par with the 2012 Porsche Panamera’s retention of 61%,” Paris says. “By comparison, retention for 2012 versions of the Chevy Volt and Nissan Leaf is around 35% and 27%, respectively.” ‘WHY NOT BUY NEW?’ Sales of new electric vehicles haven’t suffered a significant decline, Gutierrez says, but neither has the market grown. “Sales have been relatively flat, but I would say that’s in spite of a decline in gas prices,” he says. “Only because they’ve rolled out such aggressive lease programs, and because they’ve been discounting the MSRPs, manufacturers have been working hard to ensure that these vehicles remain price competitive.” Sales of new EVs have fallen so far in 2015, which has prompted automakers to implement price cuts to increase interest in plug-ins. “Cadillac just cut the price of the ELR down $10,000,” Paris says. “And Chevy dropped the price of the Spark EV, which brings its cost to around $15,000, best case, once incentives are factored in.” And lower prices for new EVs translate into even softer used EV prices, he says. “In order for a buyer to consider a used EV it has to make sense,” Paris says. “If they are not receiving a federal, state, [or] manufacturer credit or rebate, the sales price has to be adjusted accordingly. Otherwise, why not buy new?” EMERGENCE OF THE LUXURY EV For decades, it seemed that the only people interested in electric cars were environmentalists - and EVs still get alot of their cachet from their green reputation. But electric cars can deliver enormous (and smooth) power from a standstill – no revving required – and more mature electric vehicle technology has produced a class of high-performance, high-end EVs. The Tesla S has come to dominate this class of vehicle - and will likely be remembered as the first modern EV to sell primarily on its pure automotive merits - it drives, looks, and runs like a proper luxury car, and it has a high-tech personality all its own. Though thus far the most successful, Tesla is not alone in this segment. BMW sells two premium EVs, the small i3, aimed at families, and the i8 supercar. Cadillac also offers the slow-selling but recently updated ELR, a coupe based on the Chevy Volt. More entries are coming to this segment, primarily in the form of plug-in hybrids and electric adaptations of gas-powered vehicles. 6 AUCTIONS ACTIVE AUCTIONS Manheim Seattle Wednesdays Brasher’s Northwest Brasher’s Idaho Thursdays A Dodge Charger gets the once-over from prospective bidders as it rolls through the Chrysler Capital-Santander Consumer USA auction lane recently at Manheim North Carolina in Kenly, NC. (near Raleigh). Brasher’s Sacramento Brasher’s Salt Lake City Tuesdays Brasher’s Reno Wednesdays ADESA Golden Gate Tuesdays ADESA Las Vegas Manheim Southern California Thursdays ADESA Los Angeles Fridays ADESA Phoenix Wednesday Manheim Tucson Manheim Hawaii Wednesdays* Ring man Luis Pedroza ushers a late-model Dodge Grand Caravan through the Chrysler Capital-Santander Consumer USA auction lane recently at ADESA Los Angeles in Mira Loma, CA. Auto Auction RV Auction (please contact auction for dates) Boat Auction (please contact auction for dates) Dealers AA of Alaska Wednesdays AUCTIONS Manheim NorthStar Minnesota Thursdays Manheim Minneapolis Manheim Detroit Thursdays ADESA Colorado Springs Manheim Kansas City Wednesdays ABC Bowling Green Fridays Capital City AA Fridays Manheim Balt-Wash Tuesday Manheim North Carolina Mondays ADESA Charlotte Thursdays Carolina Auto Auction Wednesdays Manheim Nashville Tuesdays DAA Oklahoma City Thursdays ADESA Dallas Thursdays Manheim Louisville Thursdays Manheim New York Wednesdays ADESA New Jersey Thursdays Manheim New Jersey Wednesdays Bel Air Auto Auction Tuesday specialty; Thursday Auto ADESA Cincinnati Tuesdays ABC St. Louis Thursdays Manheim Denver ABC Lancaster Wednesdays Americas Auto Auction - Chicago Manheim Ohio Wednesdays Tuesdays Manheim Arena Tuesdays ADESA Concord Wednesdays ABC Birmingham Wednesday specialty Manheim Dallas Wednesdays Manheim Mississippi Manheim DFW Thursdays ADESA Birmingham Wednesdays ADESA Atlanta Wednesdays Manheim Georgia Tuesdays Americas AA - Greenville Americas Auto Auction Tuesdays Manheim San Antonio Wednesdays ADESA Houston Wednesdays Manheim Lakeland ABC Baton Rouge Thursdays Manheim Central Florida Wednesdays Manheim Tampa Thursdays ADESA Tampa Mondays Weekly weekend online events are available through OVE and ADESA Dealer Block. Contact your favorite auction or go online to ADESA.com, Manheim. com or OVE.com for listings. Copart and IAAI auction sites are available across the country. Please visit www.copart.com and www.iaai.com for details. *Contact auction for exact sale date 7 8 COLLECTIONS REPO REMIX The power of the smartphone camera catapults repossession into the 21st century BY PHIL RYAN All signs point to an economic recovery — new housing starts, millennials moving out of their parents’ basements, real estate prices inching upward. New-vehicle sales in April are the strongest they have been in a decade, according to J.D. Power. But in auto finance, executives are seeing signs of trouble ahead for those borrowing money to make vehicle purchases. “Credit performance is gradually worsening in the industry,” Capital One CEO Richard Fairbank said in April. “We see slightly higher losses on newer originations.” No matter what the economic climate, every lender needs to maintain a robust asset-recovery or loss-mitigation department in order to recover collateral on loans. Enter the repo man. An industry that was once defiantly old-school — find the car, get the car — has been transformed by the proliferation of mobile technology, particularly the ease of taking photographs with a smartphone. “Tech has spread out all across the process,” says Matthew Pitman, owner of Certified Asset Recovery Services, in Orem, Utah. “Back in the day, it was paperwork and fax machines. Now smartphones, apps on devices, more real-time communication with lenders, it opens up options. We can work 24/7 and take a payment on the spot.” Pitman gained some notoriety after an ABC News profile focused on his use of drones to locate hard-to-reach vehicles, and his software that These license plate recognition cameras can record up to 1,800 license plates per minute, helping to build enormous databases of target vehicles. can track cellphones that have opened a special text message he sends. But it is with digital imaging, Pitman says, that the real transformation of the repo man’s day has taken place. The ubiquity of digital cameras, coupled with inexpensive computing power and data storage on the back end, have made possible massive databases that can be accessed by recovery specialists in search of vehicles. These databases, maintained by companies such as MVTRAC in Palatine, Ill., can be the repo man’s best friend. “Basically, there are camera systems in tens of thousands of places today,” Pitman says. “Guys have cameras mounted on trucks that read license plates and log that data. If it is a car being sought for repossession, someone gets the notification, ‘Someone has found one of your repos.’” If the car has been found in Miami but is being sought in Seattle, for example, it may be necessary to subcontract to a local agent, Pitman says. But the cameras can mean easy money for repo men when a car is logged in their vicinity. “It’s funny,” Pitman says, “when a competitor pays me to locate their vehicle.” NO MORE POLAROIDS “The price has come down dramatically on video technology,” Pitman says, noting that it is also easier to share that video. “Back in the days of Polaroids — man that film was expensive! — you’d try and take the bare minimum and attach that to the report. Now we’ll take every angle, 20 pictures, 30 pictures.” The report Pitman refers to is the condition report, which is being transformed, if not outright replaced, by high-resolution digital images. “This levels the playing field,” Pitman says, when there is disagreement about when damage may have occurred to a vehicle. “There it is in full HD, with a time stamp,” he said. From 1978 to 1991, condition reports were just checkboxes on a piece of paper: “Scratch, dent, rust, do we have keys, flat tire, broken glass,” Pitman says. But in 1991, a diagram of the vehicle was added, so damaged areas could be indicated and explained. It also became common to staple photos to the reports. Nowadays, with the digital delivery of files via email or directly from a server, condition reports can be little more than collections of images with some basic information about “the story,” as Pitman calls it, which includes where and when the vehicle was recovered, and by whom. Another major innovation in recovery is GPS tracking. It is becoming common for lenders working with high-risk borrowers to install multiple devices in vehicles to lessen risk. Some may alert the title holder to the vehicle’s location, while others can prevent the car from being started if a payment is missed. Pitman explains the experience from the driver’s point of view. “A couple of days before payment is due, the green light turns to yellow,” he says. Once the payment date passes, it turns red, and the driver must pay to have the starter-interrupt device shut down. Today’s repo men can take a payment on the spot. “There’s a fee to turn off the device once it’s on,” Pitman said, “but it’s much less than recovering a car that has been repossessed.” Confrontations, the rare times they occur, are bad for all sides. Personal cameras, such as the GoPro, which Pitman and other agents wear strapped to their heads, “make it safer for both us and drivers,” Pitman says. Interactions can be recorded and documented for the lender, or in extreme cases, for the authorities. “Overall, the technology makes this job easier and definitely safer,” Pitman says. “You just have more information.” But not all agents feel the same way. “Technology is a blessing and a curse — a blessing for some, curse for others,” Pitman says. “One guy can do what five used to do in a day, remotely monitor a system, talk to lenders via the internet. Some positions may be obsolete, like an office manager. You can do it all with a glance at the screen.” And then there are those who are technologyaverse and prefer the old-fashioned way of doing things. “A lot of guys don’t mesh well with the technology,” he says. “They hate it, and they have to work harder for not using the technology. I think there’s a new market of consulting where people who understand repo and tech and can bridge the gap, they can help those who are overwhelmed.” But even with time-saving technology, repossession is still about “stealing cars legally,” Pitman says. “We still have to go out and do what we do on a regular basis.” VALUATIONS 9 ON THE MARK How closely do a consumer magazine’s rankings reflect valuations in the wholesale world? BY BRIDGET MCCREA Every year, Consumer Reports ranks used cars in its annual auto issue, which hits the stands in April — a peak car-buying season — and is read by four million people. The magazine says that it bases the rankings on performance and reliability. But do the rankings in this influential publication reflect the way used vehicles sell in the real world? The magazine ranks vehicles by popularity in four price categories: less than $10,000; between $10,000 and $15,000; $15,000 to $20,000; and $20,000 to $25,000. Within each of these four categories, the magazine ranges small cars, sedans and SUVs from “best” to “worst.” The 2008 Mazda3 S, for example, ranks as the best value in the sub-$10,000 small car category, according to Consumer Reports, while the 2006-07 Lexus GX claims the top spot among SUVs priced in the $20,000 to $25,000 range. The magazine also includes a ranking of “reliable used cars for every budget” — a list that focuses on 2005-to-2014 models across the four price categories, and further divided into subcompact and compact cars; midsize and large cars; luxury cars; sports cars/convertibles; wagons and minivans; small SUVs; midsize to large SUVs, and pickup trucks. In the small car category (priced $10,000 to $15,000), Consumer Reports put the Subaru Impreza (2010) and the Kia Soul (2010-12) at the top of the list. Alec Gutierrez, senior market analyst of automotive insights for Kelley Blue Book, says the Impreza also ranks high on his “On average, these vehicles hold 65% to 75% of original MSRP, which, after three years, is pretty tremendous.” – Alec Gutierrez, senior market analyst, Kelley Blue Book, on the values of higher-end SUVs firm’s resale auto list (for the fact that it sells at an average of 66% of original MSRP), and notes that the Soul is at 61% of MSRP. Singling out model year 2012 cars, Gutierrez says the Honda Civic, Hyundai Elantra and Toyota Corolla tend to be the top performers in the mid-range car category. In assessing Kelley Blue Book’s rankings side by side with the Consumer Reports list, Gutierrez says he takes both original MSRP and actual auction value into account. “We look at how well these vehicles are performing in terms of what they’re selling for at auction versus what they sold for new at retail,” he explains. From that perspective, Gutierrez says both the midsized truck segment (Toyota Tacoma leads the pack in that category at 85% of MSRP) and the higher-end luxury SUV market are doing particularly well on the auction block. “On average, these vehicles hold 65% to 75% of original MSRP,” he says, “which, after three years, is pretty tremendous.” Consumer Reports doesn’t rank pickup trucks in its used-car recommendations, but it ranks the Tacoma third on its list of “reliable used cars for every budget” category. BIG BUCKS ON THE HIGHER END On the Consumer Reports list, the highest-value SUVs fall into the $20,000 to $25,000 range, where the Lexus GX (2006-07), Nissan Murano (2011-12) and Toyota Highlander Hybrid (2009) hold the top rankings. At Kelley Blue Book, the Murano falls into the midsized SUV category and holds an average of 61% of MSRP. “Surprisingly, that vehicle is a bit lower within its segment, sitting at 19th place among a total of 23 unique models,” says Gutierrez, referring to KBB’s own rankings. Within the higher-end SUV segment, he points to the BMW X5, Mercedes-Benz M-Class, Range Rover Sport and Porsche Cayenne as some of the best auction bets. “A lot of this has to do with the fact that we’re getting close to a seven-year low in terms of av- The 2011-2012 Nissan Murano ranks high with Consumer Reports, and unsurprisingly retains, on average, 61% of its original MSRP after four years. Premium SUVs are an increasingly good auction bet. erage fuel prices,” says Gutierrez, “and the fact that higher-net-worth households have a bit more disposable income, due to a healthy stock market and real estate market, for example.” In general, Tom Kontos, executive vice president and chief economist at ADESA Analytical Services, says lists like those published by Consumer Reports commonly reflect the activity that’s taking place at auction. “Generally speaking, what is considered a good value based on prices and availability at retail should be a reflection of what is a good value in terms of prices and availability at wholesale,” Kontos explains. Right now, for example, trucks and SUVs are fetching the highest prices at auction. “There’s an abundance of small and midsize cars,” he says, “but not as many big trucks and SUVS that we once had.” THE PROGNOSIS Looking ahead to the rest of the year, Gutierrez expects pricing and availability to remain “relatively steady” for wholesale used vehicles. And while some premium prices are currently being paid today for SUVs and trucks, he expects that trend to soften over time. “The ramp-up in interest in these vehicles isn’t something that just happened all of a sudden this year,” says Gutierrez, who points to the leasing trend as another variable within the market. “Leasing has obviously become more utilized in the marketplace, particularly in the SUV and luxury segments, where we’ll see supply start to increase throughout this year,” he says. “So while values have been relatively strong in those areas, we do expect to see some softening in 2015 and certainly into 2016.” Retail rankings may differ from industry data provided by Kelley Blue Book and others, but they can still be valuable to dealers. After all, at least some of those four million readers will be looking to buy cars this year. 10 STRATEGY TOP DOLLAR Dealers share four tips for getting the most value from your auction experience BY DAVE SCHAFER Even though they’re not selling on the showroom floor, dealers still want to maximize their profit from the vehicles sent through an auction, whether it’s a $20,000 SUV or a $2,000 sedan. Getting top dollar isn’t always easy, though. Here are four tips from auction veterans on how to get the best price for your vehicle and the most out of the auction. 1. CLEAN UP AND CHECK THE LIGHTS It starts with making sure the vehicle is clean and, crucially, free of warning lights. “You want to make sure they’re clean and you’re addressing any noticeable issues with the car, such as checkengine lights or airbag lights on the dashboard,” says Robert Magan, used-car manager at Jim Koons Automotive Co., in Vienna, Va. “Overall cleanliness of the vehicle inside and out helps it attract more dollars.” Although this may seem like obvious advice, not every dealer cleans a vehicle before taking it to auction, says Scott Kegley, used-car director at Bob Rohrman Auto Group’s eight Lafayette, Ind., stores. “You’d be shocked at how many people will send through a $20,000 car that’s filthy,” he says. 2. BOOST THE CONDITION SCORE Making sure the vehicle is presentable doesn’t necessarily extend to fixing damage. If you do that, you’re putting more money into it and could be cutting into your profit, Magan says. Making your product presentable is easy, and yields good returns for relatively little effort or cost. However, doing minor work on the vehicle to upgrade the score on a condition report can be beneficial, says Allen Chery, general manager of Larry H. Miller Fleet Lease of Salt Lake City. Miller pays careful attention to condition reports on the vehicles it will be selling at auction, Chery says. Knowing that many buyers will only purchase cars that meet certain standards, the dealership upgrades the vehicle to hit the next half measurement — for example, upgrading a 3.3 vehicle to 3.5, or a 3.7 vehicle to a 4.0 vehicle. The fleet lessor also gets buyer “mindset” reports from auctioneers — reports that contain information on what condition report scores buyers are searching for on auctioneers’ websites. “If we’re told buyers who click to get the condition reports only look for cars of 3.5 or better, then it’s our job to make sure our cars meet those standards,” Chery says. “Setting your order is, I think, the most important thing you can do.” 4. BE IN THE MIDDLE OF THE PACK The lane you end up in and the number you have are also hugely important, Kegley says. The lane you want to be in depends on the auction, but typically a dealer wants to be in the middle. If you’re at either end, you’re just not going to get the same exposure. “You don’t want to be the first person in, but you sure as heck don’t want to be the last,” he says. “I’d rather be first than somewhere down the stretch. Toward the end of the auction, guys have already spent the amount of money they can afford.” Kegley says he ideally wants to be about the 20th car in, and he wants an auctioneer who knows the market, knows the buyers, and doesn’t kick the car off at $4,000 over value and just start walking it down by $500s. “I want to see maybe $1,000 to 3. PUT YOUR CARS IN ORDER The most important thing is to sell your first car, Rohrman’s Kegley says. That allows a dealer to be more aggressive in accepting bids later in the day. “You see a dealer just kill his run by saying no four or five times in a row. You just can’t do that. You don’t bring your vehicles there to appraise them. If you bring them to the auction, as long as they’re trying, you sell them.” To help that process, Kegley puts his “winners” first. Those are the ones he knows will sell, hopefully gathering him some “house money” so that as he gets down to the cars that aren’t as good, he can say yes even if he’s not getting top dollar. After four or five cars, you may have $4,000 or $5,000 of house money, and you can sell a lot more liberally, he says, adding that “having house money for that 15th and 16th car makes all the difference in the world.” “One of the worst things to have happen is you said ‘No’ two or three times and then your second-to-the-last car comes in, and it makes you $2,000,” Kegley says. That means you may have said no to cars you should have said yes to earlier. Order matters — Dealers consider cars on the lane, and by the time the last few cars are moving through, they’ll have made their selections and spent most of their cash. $1,500 over, but slowly get to the money and get it started,” he says. “There’s nothing I hate more than waiting 30 seconds before he finally gets to the money that the car is worth.” Smaller dealers don’t get the lane and number priority that the bigger dealers get, Kegley notes. There’s not a lot that can be done about this, but building a strong relationship with an auctioneer over time can help. IT’S ABOUT TIME The key to getting the most out of the auction, like creating value anywhere else, is in investing the time. Make the vehicle presentable, do the work to upgrade the condition report, get your cars in order, and get to know the auctioneers and auction house. It may not bring in the big bucks, but it could be surprisingly effective at securing a few extra dollars. TRENDS 11 SEASONAL STRENGTH Wholesale prices defy long-term weakening in March, with trucks in the lead BY TOM KONTOS Wholesale used vehicle prices were up on both a month-over-month and yearover-year basis in March. Though this is indicative of both seasonal and secular market strength, supply Tom Kontos growth is nevertheless exerting downward pressure on prices as witnessed by lower conversion rates and price weakness in particular age, sale type, and model class segments. A problem with relying on sales prices for assessing market conditions, even based on the robust data set available through the millions of auction transactions we analyze in this space, is that this data set omits the vehicles that nosold. A large portion of off-rental program vehicles that would have been sold in late 2014 and whose sale was curtailed until early 2015 were no-saled in March in hopes of better prices in forthcoming sales. Ignoring this factor leads to a false sense of confidence in the strength of wholesale values. Another factor that should be considered, and which has been repeatedly stressed here, is that average sales prices continue to be biased upward by a “richer mix” of institutional vehicles this year compared to last year. The late-model off-rental program vehicles mentioned in the previous paragraph have had particular impact in elevating average prices. In short, average wholesale prices are holding up well, but a deeper analysis indicates that supply growth is putting downward pressure on prices as one would expect. TRUCKS MAKE A COMEBACK According to ADESA Analytical Services’ monthly analysis of Wholesale Used Vehicle Prices by Vehicle Model Class1, wholesale used “The truck classes, which include vans, SUVs and pickups, performed much stronger than the car and crossover classes.” – Tom Kontos vehicle prices in March averaged $10,646 – up 4.7% compared to February and up 2.0% relative to March 2014. The truck classes, which include vans, SUVs and pickups, performed much stronger than the car and crossover classes. Prices for used vehicles remarketed by manufacturers were up 4.5% month-over-month but down 8.3% year-over-year. Prices for fleet/lease consignors were up 7.4% sequentially but down 0.6% annually. Dealer consignors registered a 6.0% increase versus February and a 1.7% increase relative to March 2014. CPO sales were again strong, rising 12.4% month-over-month and 7.4% year-over-year, according to figures from Autodata. WHOLESALE USED-VEHICLE PRICE TRENDS AVERAGE PRICES ($/UNIT) Mar. 15 Feb. 14 Mar. 14 AVERAGE PRICES ($/UNIT) LAST MONTH Vs. Prior Mo. Prior Yr. Mar. 15 Feb. 14 Mar. 14 LAST MONTH Vs. Prior Mo. Prior Yr. Total All Vehicles $10,646 $10,167 $10,435 4.7% 2.0% Total Trucks $11,694 $11,035 $10,856 6.0% 7.7% Total Cars $9,382 $9,054 $9,336 3.6% 0.5% Mini Van $8,477 6.9% 13.1% Compact Car $7,544 $7,465 $7,414 1.1% 1.7% Fullsize Van $12,746 $12,120 $10,889 5.2% 17.1% Midsize Car $8,148 $8,075 $8,521 0.9% -4.4% Mini SUV $14,275 $12,981 $12,794 10.0% 11.6% Fullsize Car $7,951 $7,829 $7,569 1.6% 5.1% Midsize SUV $8,446 Luxury Car $13,139 $12,352 $12,425 6.4% 5.8% Fullsize SUV Sporty Car $13,969 $13,132 $13,235 6.4% 5.5% Luxury SUV $13,297 4.7% -3.5% Compact Pickup $7,886 $11,239 $10,835 $12,109 3.7% -7.2% Fullsize Pickup Mid/Fullsize CUV$13,980 $13,240 $14,508 5.6% -3.6% Total Crossovers $12,827 $12,253 Compact CUV $7,934 $7,811 $7,493 8.1% 5.8% $11,676 $11,174 $11,360 4.5% 2.8% $19,183 $17,897 $19,718 7.2% -2.7% 2.6% 4.1% 4.1% 8.0% $7,683 $7,983 $7,574 $14,342 $13,783 $13,284 Source: ADESA Analytical Services The analysis is based on over six million annual sales transactions from over 150 of the largest U.S. wholesale auto auctions, including those of ADESA as well as other auction companies. ADESA Analytical Services segregates these transactions to study trends by vehicle model class. 1 The views and analysis provided herein relate to the vehicle remarketing industry as a whole and may not relate directly to KAR Auction Services, Inc. The views and analysis are not the views of KAR Auction Services, its management or its subsidiaries; and their accuracy is not warranted. The statements contained in this report and statements that the company may make orally in connection with this report that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements. Words such as “should,” “may,” “will,” “anticipates,” “expects,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “seeks,” “estimates,” “bode”, “promises”, “likely to” and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the results projected, expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include those matters disclosed in the company’s Securities and Exchange Commission filings. The company does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements. WALKING THE WALK Buyers deserve more than just talk about meeting high standards at the auction. We walk the walk as one of the largest remarketers of certified vehicles in the country. QUALITY • PRICE • VALUE SELECTION • PERFORMANCE SERVICE • SATISFACTION