The Decline of Irish Industry in the Nineteenth Century
Transcription
The Decline of Irish Industry in the Nineteenth Century
The Economic and Social Review, Vol. 13, No. 1, October, 1981, pp. 21-42 The Decline of Irish Industry in the Nineteenth Century EOIN O'MALLEY* The University of Sussex. Precis: This article first outlines a number of the explanations which have been suggested for the longterm decline of most of Irish industry in the nineteenth century. By contrasting the nature of in dustrial decline in most of the island with the specific pattern of successful industrialisation in the north-east, it is argued that the main causes of decline lay in the strong tendencies to industrial cen tralisation in Britain and Ireland. It is concluded that this experience shows that market forces cannot be relied on to generate industrialisation in a relatively late-developing economy competing with more advanced industrial countries. I INTRODUCTION U n t i l the early nineteenth century Ireland had a fairly substantial indust rial sector b y the standards o f most countries at that time, w i t h the major exception o f Great Britain, the pioneer o f the Industrial Revolution. Cullen (1972, p . 120) points out, for example, that i n the 1841 census one-fifth o f the w o r k i n g p o p u l a t i o n was reported t o be occupied i n textile manufacturing alone. A n d according t o the 1821 census, one-third o f the 1 '1 Probably many of these people, being domestic spinners, would in reality have had little work by 1841 due to the mechanisation of spinning. But the fact that they reported their principal occupations as they did at least indicates considerable textile activity at some earlier stage. * The author is grateful to Manfred Bienefeld, Raymond Crotty and Reginald Green of the Institute of Development Studies at the University of Sussex, to Gerry Hughes of The Economic and Social Research Institute, and to an anonymous referee for valuable comments on earner drafts of this article. None of them, of course, bears any responsibility for the views expressed here. Irish counties, including 6 o f the 23 outside Ulster, had a greater number o f people engaged i n manufacture, trade or handicraft than i n agriculture. I n the course o f the nineteenth century, however, industrial activity decreased i n most o f Ireland. As industry declined, offering diminishing prospects o f e m p l o y m e n t to the masses being squeezed o u t o f agriculture, emigration rose to proportions unparalleled i n any other c o u n t r y . The labour force o f the 26 counties o f the present Republic o f Ireland dropped f r o m 3 m i l l i o n i n 1841 to just 1.3 m i l l i o n i n the new Irish Free State i n the 1920s; b y then l i t t l e more than 100,000 workers were employed i n i n d u s t r y . B u t one i m p o r t a n t exception to the general experience o f industrial decline was the region around Belfast where g r o w t h c o n t i n u e d i n a manner similar to that o f large industrial centres i n B r i t a i n . A f t e r the middle o f the nine teenth century, Belfast became the largest centre o f linen manufacture i n the w o r l d and by the 1900s her shipyards were building up t o about a quarter o f the t o t a l U n i t e d K i n g d o m tonnage. A l t h o u g h the s t u d y o f Irish industrial history is probably still less well developed than that o f other aspects o f the country's economic history, the literature dealing w i t h the subject, w h i c h is referred to below, neverthe less contains many differing views on the causes o f the nineteenth century decline. Some o f these views w o u l d seem familiar, at least i n their general f o r m , t o anyone familiar w i t h the literature on present day industrial back wardness i n less developed countries, or on regional imbalance w i t h i n ad vanced industrial countries. For example, Lee (1968 and 1973) stresses the importance o f the lack o f a strong entrepreneurial spirit, as do "modernisa t i o n " theorists w r i t i n g on present day less developed countries. Others mentioned below stress the importance o f centralising tendencies f o l l o w i n g the Industrial R e v o l u t i o n and the consequent effects on the peripheral areas and nations, such as most o f Ireland. Again such views f i n d parallels i n the literature on m o d e r n less developed countries and regions; the argu ments o f M y r d a l , Perroux or many modern Marxists, for instance, are well k n o w n ( H o l l a n d , 1976, Ch. 2 usefully summarises such arguments). This article first outlines the main explanations o f Ireland's industrial decline contained i n a selection o f the literature dealing w i t h the subject. A n d , secondly, i t attempts t o support the argument that the main causes of decline lay i n the strong tendencies t o industrial centralisation, or agglo m e r a t i o n , w i t h i n the U n i t e d K i n g d o m o f Great B r i t a i n and Ireland as a whole, w h i c h resulted f r o m the increasing mechanisation o f manufacturing. By l o o k i n g at the early structure o f Irish i n d u s t r y , and its decline i n most of the island contrasted w i t h the specific pattern o f development i n the north-east, we can show h o w this tendency w o r k e d against most o f Irish industry and generally i n favour o f industries i n B r i t a i n . I I SOME I N T E R P R E T A T I O N S O F T H E E X P E R I E N C E O F I R I S H INDUSTRY II.1. The Traditional Nationalist View The development o f the traditional nationalist interpretation o f Irish economic history is o u t l i n e d i n Cullen (1968b) and is perhaps best exem plified b y the works o f George O'Brien (1918 and 1921). This interpretation is characterised by an emphasis on Britain's role i n impeding the Irish economy. I n the seventeenth and most o f the eighteenth centuries, industry is said to have been m i n i m a l as a result o f English legislation. For example, a law of 1699 forbade the export o f woollens overseas while prohibitive duties prevented their entry to B r i t a i n . I t is argued that English tariffs o n manufactured goods were often p r o h i b i t i v e , while Irish tariffs were lower and often allowed a preferential rate for English products. The Navigation Acts after 1663 are also said to have favoured British producers and traders, causing great difficulties for the Irish economy. However, the degree of autonomy achieved b y "Grattan's Parliament" i n 1782-1800 is said t o have greatly reduced the harmful British influence, particularly through using more protective tariffs, and to have been the main cause o f an unprecedented economic expansion at that time. Then the i n t r o d u c t i o n o f the A c t o f U n i o n w h i c h came i n t o effect i n 1801 was held responsible for the nineteenth century industrial decline. Some writers, such as O'Brien (1918, Ch. 3 4 ) , l i n k e d this argument particularly w i t h the effects of free trade w i t h Britain's larger more advanced and specialised industries; based on this view, politicians like A r t h u r G r i f f i t h therefore advocated a programme o f p r o t e c t i o n for Irish industry. Chart (1920, C h . V I ) , w h o differs f r o m the traditional nationalist view i n d o u b t i n g the wisdom o f protectionism, also n o t e d that small, less advanced producers i n many sectors i n Ireland, as well as i n B r i t a i n , were eliminated b y "great specialised factories centralized i n one d i s t r i c t " , generally i n B r i t a i n . The traditional nationalist view treats the north-east as a rather insigni ficant exception t o the general picture. O'Brien (1918, C h . 19) very briefly explains the development o f its largest industry, l i n e n , mainly b y the arrival there o f skilled Huguenot immigrants after the Edict o f Nantes i n 1685. He also mentions that the Ulster Custom — w h i c h was n o t actually a legal right, b u t an understanding w h i c h gave tenants security o f tenure, a reasonable rent and the right to sell the goodwill o f their h o l d i n g — enabled Protestant tenant farmers i n Ulster t o accumulate capital w i t h o u t fear o f rack-renting and, therefore, encouraged them to be more enterprising. The traditional nationalist interpretation was w i d e l y accepted i n Ireland, except i n the N o r t h , u n t i l the 1960s. B u t early critics o f this view included Green (1949, p . 176) w h o described O'Brien's w o r k as "strongly protec- tionist and southern i n t o n e " and highly unsatisfactory i n its neglect of "the p r o b l e m o f reconciling this w i t h the industrial development i n the n o r t h " . I n a similar vein, Adams ( 1 9 3 2 ) , i n his bibliographical notes, had described O'Brien's w o r k as "a piece o f protectionist propaganda". II.2. Recent Revisions of the Traditional Nationalist View Since the 1960s the traditional nationalist view has been challenged b y a number of interpretations w h i c h argue that the U n i o n was n o t the m a i n cause o f nineteenth century decline. Those that deal w i t h the earlier period also argue that the eighteenth century was a time o f general economic ex pansion and that "Grattan's Parliament" was n o t the main cause of i n dustrial g r o w t h i n 1782-1800 (which was n o t i n sharp contrast to the alleged prevalent depression before that time). B u t no consensus has emerged on the real causes o f industrial decline. Lee (1973, Ch. 1) says that the decline o f rural industries became inevit able when transport improvements exposed them t o c o m p e t i t i o n from largescale producers. So "the p r o b l e m was n o t w h y local firms collapsed b u t w h y more o f them were n o t destroyed b y Irish instead o f English manufacturers". He argues that Ireland's main problem was "the wasteful use o f capital by savers, investors, businessmen, i n other words, that Ireland's human capital failed t o make the best use of the country's resources" (Lee, 1968). This argument, that competent entrepreneurs c o u l d have developed Irish industry successfully, is backed up b y reference to the success of shipbuilding i n Belfast due to brilliant entrepreneurship i n a situation w h i c h , he suggests, was n o t particularly favourable. He also refers to the reluctance of Irish capitalists t o invest i n banks and railways u n t i l the participation o f British investors had been secured, to the tendency o f Irish businessmen to w i t h draw f r o m successful businesses and to retire to a more sedate life, and t o the tendency of the middle class, i n general, to choose a profession or c o u n t r y life rather than industry. B u t he does concede that this sensivity of the middle class to social considerations was n o t peculiar to Ireland. "The real p r o b l e m was that a country relying heavily o n its human resources, t o compensate for its lack o f natural resources, could n o t afford t o indulge this tendency to the same extent as more generously endowed economies" (Lee, 1973, Ch. 1). This concession suggests that he cannot reasonably refer t o the unexceptional social preference o f the middle class as a major cause o f the exceptional failure o f Irish industry, b u t his other points do need to be considered. Concerning the development o f the north-east, Lee argues that i t was l i t t l e better endowed w i t h entrepreneurial talent than the rest of Ireland, that there is consequently little t r u t h i n the Protestant ethic argument, and that Belfast's progress was largely due to new immigrant businesspeople w h o showed w h a t c o u l d be achieved i n the Irish economy. The argument concerning p o o r entrepreneurship had appeared i n some contemporary studies such as Kane ( 1 8 4 4 ) , and some recent writers have also used i t as p a r t o f their explanation o f the decline, b u t w i t h o u t stressing i t as heavily as Lee. Lyons ( 1 9 7 1 , p . 4 3 ) , for instance, mentions many con t r i b u t o r y factors such as the l a n d tenure system, p o l i t i c a l violence, scarcity of natural resources, transport costs t o large markets and c o m p e t i t i o n f r o m B r i t a i n , b u t concludes " i n the last resort i t was unwillingness t o take certain m i n i m a l risks that lay at the heart o f the p r o b l e m " . A n d O T u a t h a i g h ( 1 9 7 2 , Ch. 4) first argues that Ireland's difficulties were one aspect o f a process i n w h i c h i n d u s t r y became centralised near the m a i n sources o f coal and i r o n , none o f w h i c h existed i n Ireland. B u t he later adds that part o f the p r o b l e m was that Irish investors were t o o averse t o risk, having more o f an eye for security and status. He attributes this caution t o the political tensions o f Irish society — a view w h i c h seems at odds w i t h the experience o f Belfast where sectarian riots accounted for more deaths than all the nationalist risings o f the nineteenth century. Cullen ( 1 9 6 8 b ) , however, explains the decline m a i n l y i n terms o f the importance o f increasingly large-scale p r o d u c t i o n and the fact that industrial transformation occurred first i n B r i t a i n . Thus Ireland's " p r o x i m i t y t o the leader o f the Industrial R e v o l u t i o n and the dramatic reductions i n transport costs i n the nineteenth century i n conjunction left its small-scale and domestic industries vulnerable i n a more fiercely competitive age". I n a later w o r k , Cullen ( 1 9 7 2 , Ch. 6) argues that business initiative was n o t i n fact critically lacking, as shown b y the efficient reorganisation o f the wholesale and retail trade. He also extends his earlier argument f r o m one concerning the advant ages enjoyed b y large firms t o include more specifically the benefits o f cen tralisation i n large manufacturing centres, m e n t i o n i n g m a i n l y the advantages gained i n the organisation o f foreign trade w h i c h meant that Belfast, and D u b l i n t o some extent, had exceptional facilities i n specialist services such as financing and insuring the export consignments w h i c h were essential to attain the scale o f operation required for survival. Cullen argues that the decline c o u l d n o t be blamed o n the U n i o n since he considers that any benefits o f tariff p r o t e c t i o n w o u l d n o t have been sufficient to counter the effects o f the transformation set i n m o t i o n b y the Industrial R e v o l u t i o n (Cullen, 1972, p . 107 and 1968b). C r o t t y (1979) argues that "the most i m p o r t a n t single consequence for Ireland o f the g r o w t h o f factory capitalism i n B r i t a i n has been its effect o n Irish cattle prices". G r o w i n g incomes i n B r i t a i n changed the pattern of demand and raised the price o f beef relative t o other agricultural pro ducts, m a k i n g l o w gross o u t p u t cattle p r o d u c t i o n increasingly profitable compared w i t h other higher gross o u t p u t , more labour-intensive patterns of agriculture. The result, says C r o t t y , was massive emigration among agri cultural workers and a net decline i n demand f r o m the agricultural sector, leading t o increased u n i t costs for industry so that m u c h o f industry was forced o u t o f business b y cheapening imports from B r i t a i n . W i t h a different pattern o f agriculture, demand c o u l d have been greater, industrial u n i t costs consequently lower, and industrial survival and g r o w t h rates more satisfac tory. II.3. Marxist Views A p a r t f r o m a section i n Marx's Capital, most o f Marx and Engels' con siderable volume o f w r i t i n g o n Ireland (collected i n Marx and Engels, 1971) consists o f letters, journalistic articles and political speeches. Marx was, o f course, well aware o f the tendency o f nineteenth century industry b o t h t o t h r o w up increasingly large firms w h i c h progressively eliminated smaller ones, and t o agglomerate specialised activities i n particular locations — n o t p r i m a r i l y determined b y raw material deposits, b u t more b y the l o c a t i o n of specialised skills and related industries. He also considered (in C h . X X V o f Capital, V o l . 1) that Ireland must be viewed as a region o f the U K economy, w h i c h w o u l d presumably be affected b y such tendencies i n the U K as a whole: " I r e l a n d is at present (the 1860s) only an agricultural dis t r i c t o f England . . . t o w h i c h i t yields corn, w o o l , cattle, industrial and m i l i t a r y recruits". His view of such general tendencies i n industry, and presumably o f their effects on Ireland, w o u l d explain w h y he wrote t o Engels i n a letter dated 1867, "What the Irish need is: 1) Self-government and independence f r o m England. 2) A n agrarian r e v o l u t i o n . . . 3) Protective tariffs against England." (his emphasis). The same letter explains further "between 1783 and 1801 every branch of Irish industry flourished. The U n i o n w h i c h overthrew the protective tariffs established b y the Irish Parliament, destroyed all industrial life i n Ireland . . . Once the Irish are independent, necessity w i l l t u r n them i n t o protectionists, as i t d i d Canada, Australia, etc." Marx largely ignored the distinctive development i n Ulster w h i c h was already well advanced b y the 1860s. Consequently, because he saw no economic basis for the division between Ulster Protestants and the rest o f Ireland, he regarded that issue as superficial and destined to fade away. James Connolly's view o f the Ulster p r o b l e m was similar, as was Lenin's (1974), and the combined influence of these p a r t l y explains the nationa list p o s i t i o n adopted by the mainstream o f Irish Marxists — at least u n t i l the b r e a k d o w n since the late 1960s o f the virtual u n a n i m i t y i n this regard. Connolly (1973) argued that "Grattan's Parliament" d i d n o t cause the industrial g r o w t h o f the late eighteenth century, w h i c h was due to the a d o p t i o n o f mechanical power as a result o f the Industrial R e v o l u t i o n . The subsequent decline o f industry was n o t due to the U n i o n , he says, b u t rather t o the disadvantage faced b y Ireland as a result o f the absence o f cheap native coal. The weakening o f Irish capitalism for this reason, follow ed b y the refusal o f the weak capitalist class to risk j o i n i n g w i t h the people to establish an independent democratic state, made inevitable the imposi t i o n o f the U n i o n and free trade. B u t he does say that "an Ireland con trolled b y popular suffrage w o u l d u n d o u b t e d l y have sought to save Irish industry while i t was y e t time b y a a stringent system o f p r o t e c t i o n , w h i c h w o u l d have imposed u p o n i m p o r t e d goods a tax heavy enough t o neutralise the advantages accruing t o the foreigner f r o m his coal supply, and such a system m i g h t have averted that decline w h i c h , as we have already stated, was otherwise inevitable". Thus, i n stating that industrial decline was n o t caused b y the U n i o n , he d i d n o t mean that the i m p o s i t i o n o f free trade w i t h B r i t a i n was u n i m p o r t a n t . What he meant was that the mere a b o l i t i o n of a b o d y o f upper class Parliamentarians, w h o had never been o f m u c h benefit t o the people or t o i n d u s t r y , was o f l i t t l e significance compared w i t h the basic cause o f industrial decline, w h i c h was the absence o f coal and the refusal o f Irish capitalists to j o i n the people's independence struggle t o secure the power t o p r o t e c t the economy against this natural disadvantage. Sinn Fein the Workers' Party ( 1 9 7 7 ) , however, argues that Irish and British industry competed on equal terms under the U n i o n . A l t h o u g h they use different terminology t o Lee's, their argument is essentially the same as his (which was referred to above), stressing the effects o f bad entrepreneurship i n Ireland, and i n fact m a k i n g frequent reference to Lee's w o r k . The British and Irish Communist Organisation (1972) also focus particularly o n the deficiencies o f the capitalist class i n Gaelic Catholic Ireland, i n contrast to the strength o f that w h i c h they argue emerged among Ulster Protestants. B u t they a t t e m p t a deeper explanation o f this difference, tracing i t back t o the origins o f Ulster Protestants i n early capitalist B r i t a i n , a more advanced society than the pre-capitalist Gaelic Catholic clans o f Ire land at the time o f the Plantations. The B & I C O goes o n to argue that the successful development o f advanced capitalist industry i n Protestant Ulster, w h i c h was hatched o u t o f local society b u t b o u n d up w i t h British markets, gave the n o r t h e r n Protestants a strong interest i n the U n i o n w i t h B r i t a i n . Thus i t ensured that they never merged w i t h the Catholic Irish n a t i o n w h i c h sought t o leave the U n i o n w i t h plans for economic segregation from B r i t a i n in the f o r m o f wide-ranging tariff barriers. Some o f the interpretations referred to above, such as those o f Lee or the B & I C O , concentrate — i n different ways — o n the importance o f certain internal factors i n a society as the main requirements for capitalist indus trialisation and tend, therefore, to attribute the failure o f industrialisation mainly t o internal inadequacies. I n contrast, the rest o f this article (like some o f the other interpretations referred to) stresses the importance o f the constraints imposed b y the existence o f strong competitors elsewhere, w h i c h mean that one cannot assume that the attainment o f certain necessary local economic and social conditions is sufficient for broadly based industria lisation. I n most o f the major nineteenth century industries, survival and successful development i n a competitive environment required that relati vely large-scale, specialised and centralised p r o d u c t i o n should be achieved i n the quite early stages o f mechanisation, and i n some cases p r o x i m i t y to major markets was also i m p o r t a n t . I n general, unprotected industries c o u l d n o t and d i d n o t develop smoothly f r o m relatively small beginnings after the start o f mechanisation elsewhere i n t o successful large-scale pro ducers. Rather, o n l y the few most favoured centres o f an industry, w h i c h made the earliest start i n mechanisation o n the largest scale, c o u l d develop successfully, disposing o f lesser competitors as they d i d so. This process generally favoured British industries over Irish ones, w i t h w h o m they were i n c o m p e t i t i o n i n the market o f one single state. I t should be said, t o o , that the process o f development o f many i m p o r t a n t sectors i n any one t o w n or area was apparently quite specifically l i n k e d t o , and depended heavily on the success o f its leading sectors — or its earliest major mechanised industries. I n Ireland, the various textile industries had the best potential for acting as leading sectors i n this way (they were also very i m p o r t a n t i n Great B r i t a i n ) . I t is therefore i m p o r t a n t to outline the manner o f their ultimate failure i n most o f Ireland, and the success o f linen i n the north-east. A n outline o f the subsequent development of a wider range o f industries i n the Belfast area, w h i c h can be traced back to the success o f l i n e n , w i l l then serve to illustrate b o t h the process w h i c h caused industrialisation t o be so centralised and the long-term consequences of the failure o f textiles elsewhere i n Ireland. I l l IRISH INDUSTRY BEFORE THE UNION When the A c t o f U n i o n was passed i n 1800 most o f Irish industry d i d n o t seem particularly unhealthy. L i n e n was the most i m p o r t a n t industry w i t h large exports going mainly to B r i t a i n , and the c o t t o n and woollen industries were b o t h still i n a strong position i n the home market. While these textile industries were the most i m p o r t a n t , there were also other industries such as grain-milling, brewing, distilling, sugar-refining and the manufacture o f l u x u r y consumer items. The g r o w t h o f linen exports, w h i c h first became significant i n the 1680s, had been spectacular during the eighteenth century, f r o m 520,000 yards i n 1705 t o over 40 m i l l i o n yards i n the 1790s (see G i l l , 1964). L i n e n manu- facture was an ancient craft i n Ireland as evidenced b y records o f yarn ex ports as early as 1542 ( G i l l , 1964, C h . 2 ) . B u t the type o f finished c l o t h made then, i n various locations, was n o t i n demand outside the c o u n t r y and when significant c l o t h exports began, the weaving and finishing o f c l o t h for e x p o r t was m a i n l y concentrated i n the north-east. Since the manu facture o f linen was relatively labour-intensive, while wages i n England were higher than i n Scotland and Ireland, and since England's mercantilist policies discouraged continental European competitors i n the growing English market while English textile manufacturers concentrated mainly on woollens and later c o t t o n , there was clearly an excellent o p p o r t u n i t y for linen manu facture i n Scotland and Ireland. B u t w i t h i n Ireland, one may ask, w h y d i d the north-east become the main l o c a t i o n o f weaving and finishing, particularly for the rapidly expanding export trade? Most writers on the subject agree that the seventeenth century i m m i g r a t i o n o f Huguenots and British settlers to the north-east had m u c h to do w i t h i t . For many o f t h e m had the parti cular skills required for the manufacture o f broadcloths and finer linens for English and continental markets. W i t h a supply o f Irish yarn they were well placed to produce such cloth to supplement the incomes from their small farms. However, some w o u l d argue that this is n o t a sufficient explanation; " i f there had been no stronger' cause at w o r k " , says G i l l (1964, p . 22), ". . .the industry w o u l d almost certainly have spread i n course o f time beyond Ulster". G i l l explains the concentration i n the north-east b y the Ulster Custom w h i c h gave tenant farmers security from rack-renting, whereas elsewhere tenants had l i t t l e incentive to better themselves. G i l l , and the B & I C O ( 1 9 7 2 ) , argue that, because o f the land system, the linen industry outside Ulster — such as i t was — had to be unsoundly based i n " a r t i f i c i a l " large inefficient enterprises and consequently i t never really prospered and was m o s t l y ruined i n the slump o f the 1770s. 2 Cullen (1972, C h . 3) disputes this, saying that the land system i n m u c h o f the south d i d n o t create such extreme insecurity. He agrees that the de pression o f the 1770s ruined many o f the large southern enterprises, b u t says that the industry there nevertheless survived and expanded as a rural domestic i n d u s t r y , as i n Ulster. I n fact Crawford (1968) mentions that the Linen Board had begun to encourage the more viable decentralised f o r m o f p r o d u c t i o n i n the south by subsidising public markets i n the 1760s. Cullen's argument is supported by Gill's o w n statistics which do n o t tally w i t h his statements on the collapse o f the southern i n d u s t r y . Thus Gill's figures 2 The argument is that before the advent of mechanised production after the late eighteenth century, the technology in use gave little advantage to large enterprises over dispersed cottage industries (in textiles, at least, which is the main sector concerned), whereas large enterprises had problems of control over wage labourers who could combine together for better wages and conditions. (pp. 161 and 271) p u t sales o f c l o t h outside Ulster at 8 m i l l i o n yards i n 1770, 9 m i l l i o n i n 1784 and 14.3 m i l l i o n per year i n 1816-21; this repre sents a fairly consistent p r o p o r t i o n o f t o t a l Irish sales, being 19 per cent i n 1770 and 1784 and 16 per cent i n 1816-21. Thus, while further research may be necessary here, the available evidence suggests that linen weaving, w h i c h was already i m p o r t a n t i n m u c h o f the n o r t h e r n half o f the c o u n t r y b y 1770, appears to have g r o w n outside Ulster at m u c h the same rate as i n Ulster itself after that date; spinning certainly spread even more rapidly outside Ulster, especially i n Connaught. B o t h developments suggest that the class f o r m a t i o n and l a n d tenure system outside Ulster d i d n o t necessarily preclude the development o f a large rural textile i n d u s t r y . Nevertheless, due t o its original strength i n the north-east, the weaving and finishing o f linen remained relatively concentrated there. A l t h o u g h linen was the major eighteenth century i n d u s t r y , the mechanis ed technology o f the Industrial R e v o l u t i o n first appeared i n Ireland on a wide scale towards the end o f the 1770s i n the c o t t o n industry, which also led the way i n Great B r i t a i n . As Cullen and Smout (1977) show, the Irish c o t t o n industry was probably larger and at least comparable i n size i n 1 7 8 1 86 t o that o f Scotland, which was to develop i n the Glasgow area a c o t t o n industry second only to that o f Lancashire. D i c k s o n (1977) provides a con siderable volume o f evidence t o show that the industry was n o t predomin antly an Ulster phenomenon, b u t that i t was quite widely dispersed w i t h D u b l i n being a larger regional centre than Belfast or C o r k . I n the 1780s and 1790s, however, the Irish industry grew m u c h more slowly than that o f Scotland and was probably only about one-quarter o f the size o f the Scottish industry at the t u r n o f the century. I t appears that the Irish showed a stronger tendency to keep t o the still less mechanised linen industry, especially fine linen, i n w h i c h they had a strong established competitive p o s i t i o n . Also the m a i n l y coarser cottons produced i n Ireland were n o t so readily sold b e y o n d the home market, which had the added benefit o f protective tariffs i n the 1790s. ' B y the 1790s, according to D i c k s o n , Belfast was becoming the main location o f c o t t o n spinning (the most highly mechanised stage o f its pro duction) w i t h 54.5 per cent o f Irish capacity i n 1800. The reason for this, he argues, was the presence i n the adjacent Lagan valley o f a large workforce of skilled weavers o f finer linens w h o could w o r k w i t h c o t t o n yarn produced b y spinning mills. The fact that c o t t o n weaving c o u l d displace linen t o the extent that linen weaving almost completely disappeared i n the Belfast area i n the 1800s (Monaghan, 1942 and Green, 1949, p . 9 9 ) , w i t h o u t reducing Irish linen o u t p u t , is a further indication that linen weaving could spread effectively i n t o o u t l y i n g districts o f Ulster and b e y o n d . This tendency o f the spinning mills to concentrate i n the Belfast area shows, t o o , that even at this early stage there were signs o f a centralising tendency, i n a l o c a t i o n w h i c h c o u l d be heavily influenced b y the existing l o c a t i o n o f related skilled labour. A l t h o u g h the woollen industry had been excluded f r o m e x p o r t markets b y the A c t o f 1699 (which is i n itself an i n d i c a t i o n o f the contemporary British industry's evaluation o f its p o t e n t i a l ) , i t had continued t o grow during m u c h o f the eighteenth century due t o its dominance o f the home market. B u t the situation began t o change w i t h the transformation o f the British industry. I m p o r t s o f some cloths rose d u r i n g the 1780s, while the relatively small exports o f worsted, made possible after the repeal o f the 1699 A c t i n 1779, declined q u i c k l y after 1785. However, the emergence o f some factory type firms i n Ireland eventually halted the decline for a t i m e ; imports levelled off between 1799 and 1825 despite rising demand (Cullen, 1972, p . 105). I n some o f the non-textile industries such as brewing, glass, grain-milling and sugar, many Irish firms, especially those i n the ports, m e t increasingly stiff c o m p e t i t i o n from larger English firms around the 1770s. B u t the Irish firms had mostly been successful i n reorganising on a larger scale similar t o the English p a t t e r n during the 1770s and 1780s and thus maintained their position (Cullen, 1972, Ch. 4 ) . The available evidence undermines the t r a d i t i o n a l nationalist view that British legislation prevented industrial g r o w t h i n Ireland i n the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries. Britain's mercantilist regulations actually bene fited Irish linen w h i c h became an i m p o r t a n t industry t h r o u g h o u t about half the island. A n d although these regulations l i m i t e d the woollen industry largely t o Irish markets, this d i d n o t prevent its expansion. I t seems, t o o , that the t r a d i t i o n a l nationalist view overestimated the importance o f "Grattan's Parliament" as a cause o f industrial g r o w t h at the end o f the eighteenth century. The g r o w t h o f that p e r i o d was n o t , i n fact, a remarkable break w i t h past experience, nor was i t m a i n l y due to the Parliament. The tariff p r o t e c t i o n and other encouragements given to the c o t t o n industry were n o d o u b t o f some assistance, b u t i n view o f that industry's survival u n t i l the c o n t r a c t i o n w h i c h began i n the 1820s, w i t h only a 10 per cent tariff after 1816, the p r o t e c t i o n afforded to i t by the Irish Parliament may n o t have been essential at that t i m e . IV NINETEENTH CENTURY DECLINE The A c t o f U n i o n removed some trade barriers between Great Britain and Ireland immediately, b u t some tariffs such as those on woollen and c o t t o n goods were reduced gradually and removed finally i n the early 1820s. For 25 years after the U n i o n there was l i t t l e i n d i c a t i o n o f the scale of the decline to come, b u t i n the depression of 1825-26 industry ex perienced major difficulties which had lasting effects i n the c o t t o n and w o o l l e n sectors, as c o m p e t i t i o n f r o m the larger more advanced British industries urgently seeking new markets quickened considerably and prices fell. Many Irish w o o l l e n manufacturers • closed d o w n permanently, and imports more than doubled between 1825 and 1835. B y 1838, the Irish woollen industry supplied o n l y about 14 per cent o f its home market (Cullen, 1972, Ch. 5). This decline o f the Irish industry, as Cullen points out, was comparable to the decline of smaller British centres such as N o r w i c h and the south-west, i n the face o f the growing dominance o f Y o r k shire. The 1820s were also traumatic for the c o t t o n industry i n Leinster and Munster, although one particularly large vertically-integrated f i r m at Portlaw continued to expand u n t i l the 1860s before finally collapsing i n 1874 (Dickson, 1977). I n Ulster increasing specialisation i n the weaving and em broidery of muslin (by hand) continued t o provide m u c h e m p l o y m e n t , b u t a growing p r o p o r t i o n o f the yarn was i m p o r t e d from the m u c h larger Glasgow industry and the number o f c o t t o n spinning mills i n the Belfast area declined f r o m 22 i n 1824 t o 10 i n 1840. The contraction and decline of c o t t o n i n Ireland, Dickson concludes, may be regarded as " o n l y one aspect o f the general concentration of the industry on Lancashire and Glasgow, i n the second generation of industrialisation". The absence of coal i n Ireland and the greater external economies enjoyed at an earlier stage by these larger British centres o f the industry, he suggests, w o u l d explain much of their increasing competitive advantages over the Irish industry. The importance o f coal may be doubted, as we w i l l suggest later, b u t the train of events i n Ireland and Britain i n the textile industries was certainly consistent w i t h the idea that increasing advantages accrued from external economies i n ever larger centres o f the industry, which progressi vely eliminated smaller competitors. I n the mid-1820s a successful process for powered spinning o f fine linen yarn was developed for the first time and many o f the Belfast c o t t o n mills, under severe competitive pressure, changed over t o linen (Coe, 1969, Ch. 5). Because the linen industry had large established markets, a large p o p u l a t i o n of skilled weavers i n the area, and existing mills and factory hands avail able at the time when the new technology was first developed, Belfast was i n an excellent position to become one of the early major centres of mechanised fine linen spinning. A c t u a l l y , machinery was developed by 1790 for spinning coarse yarn f r o m flax, b u t this had been little used i n Ireland, probably due mainly t o lower wages than i n B r i t a i n ; a few British centres had, therefore, captured the coarse linen trade but Irish fine linen was unaffected. The decline o f the w o o l l e n industry and the centralisation o f linen spinn ing i n Belfast had severe consequences for the rural p o o r — the landless labourers, the cottiers and the smaller tenant farmers, for spinning had pro vided an i m p o r t a n t supplement t o their household incomes, especially those i n Ulster and Connaught. I n the n o r t h and west o f Ireland, as i n other areas o f Europe w i t h a widespread domestic textile industry before the Industrial R e v o l u t i o n , the incidence o f this w o r k was associated w i t h a high p o p u l a t i o n density and a relatively landless peasantry, so that i t had become an i m p o r t a n t c o n d i t i o n for the survival o f these societies. I n Ireland, since the decline o f domestic spinning coincided w i t h the early stages o f a longterm rise i n the price o f beef relative t o more labour-intensive agricultural products, w h i c h began t o l i m i t the demand for labour i n agriculture, i t be came increasingly difficult for the still growing numbers i n the poorer classes t o earn a living (see C r o t t y , 1966, m o d i f i e d b y Lee, 1969). Conse quently emigration was already growing i n the 1820s and 1830s, although i t was o n l y during and after the Great Famine o f 1845-48 that emigration actually led to p o p u l a t i o n decline. The severity o f the famine was due less t o an absolute shortage o f f o o d than t o u n e m p l o y m e n t and lack o f access t o sufficient land among the labourers, cottiers and smaller tenant farmers, many o f w h o m came t o have l i t t l e income and t o depend heavily on smallscale c u l t i v a t i o n o f the unreliable p o t a t o crop for subsistence. The industrial crisis i n the first half o f the century was confined to tex tiles. Cullen (1972, p p . 123-125) shows that other industries such as m i l l i n g , brewing, iron-founding, shipbuilding, rope-making, paper and glass-making expanded at this t i m e . The growing importance o f large-scale p r o d u c t i o n and centralisation was also evident i n these sectors since the number o f firms declined as the larger producers, generally situated i n or near the towns, gained larger markets w i t h the help o f improvement i n road and canal trans p o r t . B u t outside textiles this process had n o t yet developed t o the p o i n t where an Irish regional market was inadequate for competitive p r o d u c t i o n . A new industrial crisis emerged i n the 1870s, the immediate cause o f w h i c h was the onset o f the "Great Depression" i n Britain i n 1874 leading t o tougher c o m p e t i t i o n for markets, as well as the decline o f agricultural demand due t o bad harvests and falling grain prices caused b y cheap N o r t h American grain (Cullen, 1972, C h . 6 ) . B u t the crisis had deeper roots, since in m a n y industries considerable progress had been made i n methods o f largescale p r o d u c t i o n i n Britain and elsewhere, while transport costs to Irish markets had been reduced. A l t h o u g h Irish firms also had the benefit o f this cheap transport, of course, i t w o u l d be reasonable to suggest that the re latively small, declining and dispersed nature o f local markets (as a result of a declining agricultural p o p u l a t i o n after the 1840s and the earlier failure of textile-based industrialisation) gave them l i t t l e incentive to introduce new methods o f large-scale p r o d u c t i o n . B u t British or European firms, w i t h larger, growing markets close b y , had that incentive and c o u l d then go o n t o capture e x p o r t markets such as Ireland's. Irish industries w h i c h de clined f r o m (or j u s t before) this time included iron-founding, paper, bootm a k i n g , rope-making, tanning, m i l l i n g and chandling (Cullen, 1972, Ch. 6 ) . The example o f one major success i n southern Irish industry — Guinness's brewery — underlines the argument above. I t was n o t very surprising that a single Irish brewery was able t o gain such a large share o f first the D u b l i n and then the Irish market as Guinness d i d , for brewing was an industry i n w h i c h the benefits o f large-scale p r o d u c t i o n became i m p o r t a n t quite early. Guinness's dominance o f the Irish market combined w i t h limits on the g r o w t h o f individual British breweries — caused by their practice o f b u y i n g up public houses and thus cornering l i m i t e d markets — made Guinness a p r o d u c t w h i c h could remain competitive and develop large e x p o r t sales. 3 By the time of independence there had been no significant industrial recovery although some light industrial products such as tobacco and boots were being produced i n large factory-type firms for the first t i m e . However, the insignificance o f industry i n the new Irish Free State is summed up b y the figure mentioned earlier o f an industrial labour force o f just over 100,000. I n B r i t a i n the major industrial areas t h r o u g h o u t the nineteenth century were the original large textile centres such as Manchester and Glasgow; apart f r o m Belfast there was no such centre i n Ireland for reasons already mentioned. There were also some i m p o r t a n t industrial centres b u i l t i n areas of rich natural resources and again none o f these developed i n Ireland for obvious reasons. (The textile and m i n i n g centres i n Britain often v i r t u a l l y coincided.) A n o t h e r possible leading sector w h i c h might have stimulated some further industrialisation i n Ireland was agricultural machinery (as i n D e n m a r k ) , b u t this possibility, t o o , was closed o f f b y the pattern o f agri culture, w h i c h was relatively small i n scale and increasingly dominated b y grazing. Towards the end o f the nineteenth century and later, a new type o f industrial area arose i n Britain w i t h the mechanisation o f consumer metal goods p r o d u c t i o n and the development o f new consumer durable products such as sewing machines, bicycles, m o t o r cars and later electrical goods. The l o c a t i o n o f these industries was determined i n part b y a t r a d i t i o n of metal goods manufacture before mechanisation, b u t an increasingly i m p o r t a n t factor was p r o x i m i t y to the major market i n the southern part o f England. I n these industries, economies o f scale and specialisation became increasingly i m p o r t a n t as technology developed, so that firms w i t h favoured 3 I am grateful to Raymond Crotty for showing me some of his unpublished work on this matter. locations i n the south eventually w i p e d o u t the early small-scale industries operating elsewhere. I n Belfast, for instance, bicycle and m o t o r car pro d u c t i o n died o u t i n the 1920s (Coe, 1969, Ch. 7). As Hobsbawm ( 1 9 7 6 , p.219) puts i t , " i n a broad belt stretching between the B i r m i n g h a m and L o n d o n regions, industry grew: the new m o t o r manufacture was v i r t u a l l y confined t o this zone. The new consumer goods factories m u l t i p l i e d along the Great West Road o u t o f L o n d o n , while emigrants f r o m Wales and the n o r t h moved to Coventry and Slough. Industrially, B r i t a i n was t u r n i n g i n t o t w o nations". The decline i n the dynamism o f industry w h i c h became evident i n Belfast soon after the First W o r l d War~was thus part o f a general t r e n d t h r o u g h o u t the older industrial areas o f the U K . I n the rest o f Ireland, the p o t e n t i a l for the development o f these new industries was even less than i n the o l d industrial areas, due to the small local market and the p o o r development o f engineering skills i n the absence o f earlier industrialisation. T o sustain the argument that industrial decline i n most o f Ireland was mainly connected w i t h the advantages o f relatively early development o f large-scale and centralised p r o d u c t i o n and p r o x i m i t y to major markets, we must refer t o some other conceivable causes o f industrial failure w h i c h may be dismissed. As Lee (1968) shows, capital shortage was n o t a p r o b l e m since i t was available i n sums quite adequate for i n d u s t r y . Also, the argu ment that the price o f coal i n Ireland was an i m p o r t a n t disadvantage was challenged b y Kane i n 1844 and has been effectively refuted b y M o k y r (1980). B o t h acknowledge that coal prices were several times higher i n Ire land than i n the m i n i n g areas o f B r i t a i n , b u t they then show that coal was such a m i n o r part o f t o t a l p r o d u c t i o n costs that the price difference was u n i m p o r t a n t and easily offset by cheaper labour. Figures quoted b y M o k y r (1980) suggest that expenditure o n coal i n Irish manufacturing firms rarely exceeded 3 or 4 per cent o f p r o d u c t i o n costs. Cheap labour, t o o , was clearly available i n abundance, while p o o r basic education could n o t have been a p r o b l e m since Ireland was a relatively literate society b y 1 8 4 1 . The possibility that a lack o f competent entrepreneurship may have been a major cause o f industrial underdevelopment can be more conveniently considered later after examining the industrialisation o f the north-east. 4 T o what extent was the U n i o n responsible for industrial decline, as the traditional nationalist interpretation argues? While the o l d Irish Parliament may n o t have made an essential c o n t r i b u t i o n to the welfare o f i n d u s t r y , and although the U n i o n involved no legal disadvantages for Irish i n d u s t r y , 4 The frequent location of British industrial centres at the mining areas was probably due more to the early development there of engineering skills in the production of mining machinery, including steam engines, than to the advantages of proximity to coal and iron sources; such an explanation is suggested by the rather similar pattern of engineering development which arose in Belfast, starting with textile machinery and steam engines, in the absence of local coal and iron. the i n t r o d u c t i o n o f free trade w i t h Britain and the i n a b i l i t y o f Ireland t o impose new tariffs as the need gradually grew greater i n the nineteenth century was significant. I n fact, all the other countries w h i c h industrialised successfully, after B r i t a i n , i n the nineteenth century used some degree o f p r o t e c t i o n for a time against their more advanced competitors, especially against B r i t a i n itself. Some writers have argued that p r o t e c t i o n w o u l d pro bably have done no good i n the l o n g r u n , suggesting that i t w o u l d even have caused greater inefficiencies. B u t i t does seem clear that, given effec tive p r o t e c t i o n , the w o o l l e n and c o t t o n industries i n particular c o u l d have grown and carried o n m u c h longer. I n an age o f simple and n e w l y develop ing technology i n w h i c h engineering industries arose to meet local needs (unlike i n the t w e n t i e t h century, as w i t h Ireland's post-1930s protectionist phase), the dynamic benefits for machinery and related industries could have been o f considerable value for several generations at least, even i f the textile industries eventually proved inefficient. The argument that p r o t e c t i o n could have done l i t t l e good seems to give l i t t l e consideration to the nature o f the early pattern o f development from textiles (or other leading sectors) to a wider range o f related industries. Recognition o f this pattern is i m p o r t a n t for an understanding o f the highly centralised nature o f industrialisation and the consequent difficulties for industrial develop ment i n most o f Ireland. We n o w consider an example o f this pattern o f development i n the Belfast area. V THE NORTH-EAST Industrialisation continued i n the north-east w i t h linen replacing c o t t o n as the main mechanised industry after the 1820s. Belfast's p o p u l a t i o n rose f r o m under 20,000 i n 1791 to 75,000 i n 1841 and close to 400,000 by the 1900s. Industrialisation also affected some smaller towns w i t h i n about 30 miles o f Belfast. The p r o d u c t i o n o f fine linen from flax, i n all its stages, was relatively labour-intensive and this helped the northern Irish industry, which could pay lower wages than the British industry (apart from wages o f skilled men), to gain markets rapidly f r o m the British linen industry, w h i c h was i n any case relatively small compared w i t h other textiles. As the Irish i n dustry grew, linen spinning began to decline before 1860 i n England and by 1890 i t had almost ceased there and was no longer a major industry in Scodand. B u t although Belfast linen prospered by capturing markets from others, the long-term prospects were n o t good. World demand for linen began to decline before the end o f the century, although Irish out p u t c o n t i n u e d to grow for several decades more. Belfast's textile industries gave rise to many i m p o r t a n t branches of engineering, i n c l u d i n g steam engine construction. U n t i l the late nineteenth century, the weight o f this machinery combined w i t h p o o r transport con ditions encouraged its p r o d u c t i o n near t o where i t w o u l d be used. A n o t h e r advantage o f such a l o c a t i o n was the fact that for m a x i m u m efficiency steam engines had to be designed for the particular circumstances i n w h i c h they w o u l d w o r k . I n the first half o f the nineteenth century "any large engineering f i r m w o u l d have been prepared to undertake the construction o f all types o f machinery, including steam engines, i f they c o u l d secure designs or machinery to c o p y , for specialisation d i d n o t become general u n t i l the second half o f the nineteenth c e n t u r y " (Coe, 1969, p . 39). Thus i t was possible for nonspecialised firms i n quite a number of places in Ireland to produce them when the demand arose locally. Consequently, as late as 1838 two-thirds of the steam engines used i n Irish industry were made and located outside Belfast. B u t because the number o f new installations had been increasing fastest i n Belfast since the early 1830s as the linen industry grew and became mechanised, Belfast overtook. D u b l i n as the main producer o f engines i n that decade. Belfast's dominance-was already well established when specialisation became i m p o r t a n t later. (See Coe, 1969, C h . 4 concerning this discuss i o n o f steam engines.) Steam engine manufacture involved the constuction of high pressure boilers w h i c h were different to those used at atmospheric pressure i n such processes as distilling (Coe, 1969, Ch. 6 ) . They were replaced more frequendy than engines and had other uses t o o , so boilermaking became a big industry requiring many skilled men. The g r o w t h o f boilermaking i n Belfast was crucial for the development o f shipbuilding. For, as Coe (1969, Ch. 6) points out, Belfast was at no disad vantage t o places such as Cork through having lagged behind i n wooden ship b u i l d i n g since "the building of i r o n ships was n o t a further extension o f wooden shipbuilding, b u t a different craft, a development o f boilermaking. Thus the first i r o n vessel launched i n Belfast was constructed, n o t i n one o f the existing shipbuilding yards, b u t i n the engineering and boilermaking f i r m of V i c t o r Coates & C o . " That was i n 1838 when Belfast had just become the main producer o f steam engines and boilers i n Ireland. B u t i r o n shipbuilding remained a relatively small industry t h r o u g h o u t the U K for some t i m e , and when i t began to expand decisively Belfast was the one place i n Ireland that offered the necessary conditions — i.e., skills and related engineering industries as well as a favourable physical setting — for a major i r o n ship building i n d u s t r y . The origins o f the f i r m o f Harland & W o l f f support the view that Belfast was particularly suited for this industry because o f the fact that local de m a n d had already led to the p r o d u c t i o n o f boilers f r o m heavy i r o n plates. I n 1 8 5 1 , the Belfast i r o n w o r k s was opened, pledged to make i r o n plates for local industries f r o m the meagre Irish supplies o f coal and ore. I t was soon forced o u t o f business b y competing imports and the owner William Hickson h i t o n the idea o f t u r n i n g his surplus stocks i n t o i r o n ships (Goldstrom, 1968). Hickson had the right idea b u t he knew l i t t l e about shipbuilding and the venture was saved only b y the manager he recruited f r o m England, Edward Harland. Harland soon bought o u t the f i r m , t o o k W o l f f as a partner, and they b u i l t up the company that became the second largest shipbuilder i n the U K b y the 1900s. A n o t h e r i m p o r t a n t industry i n the north-east was the p r o d u c t i o n o f machinery for preparing and spinning flax, and later for other similar hard fibres such as hemp, j u t e and sisal. Again there are good reasons w h y this industry developed there since a close association between machine makers and users benefited b o t h parties. Coe ( 1 9 6 9 , C h . 5) quotes a commentator i n 1874 w h o said the Belfast machine-making establishments were "surround ed b y spinning mills and were visited almost daily b y the spinners, w h o thus were able t o see the progress being made i n the execution o f their orders, and t o p o i n t o u t their exact requirements and the defects o f previous machines". Machinery for preparing and spinning flax was also produced i n British linen centres, b u t as they became eclipsed b y the Belfast linen industry, the Belfast machine-makers grew more competitive and captured export markets f r o m them.-sCoe also points o u t that because c o t t o n machinery d i d n o t l e n d itself to preparing and spinning hard fibres such as flax, Belfast machine-makers were n o t i n c o m p e t i t i o n w i t h the larger more advanced industry p r o d u c i n g such machinery for c o t t o n . Thus the Belfast industry could become the largest and most advanced i n the w o r l d i n its o w n field. Other industries arose later i n the north-east, n o t in response to local demand, b u t rather due to the availability o f skills, marketing organisation and other advantages o f a large manufacturing centre w h i c h developed earlier due to local demand, b u t could be t u r n e d to specialised manufacture o f new products for other markets. One outstanding example o f this was Davidson & Co., the first producer o f tea-drying equipment i n the 1880s and supplier of 70 per cent o f the w o r l d market for i t i n the 1930s (Coe, 1969, Ch. 8 ) . T h r o u g h their pioneering development o f fans for this equipment, Davidson's came t o be major producers o f ventilating and heating equipment for ships, factories, mines etc.; they even supplied most o f the ventilating fans for the ships w h i c h made up the German First W o r l d War battle fleet. Probably similar factors — the existence o f supporting engineering industries, skilled labour and (as Cullen, 1972, p . 161 suggests) advantages i n the organisation of e x p o r t trade — made Belfast a large centre o f p r o d u c t i o n and export of f o o d , d r i n k and tobacco. T o support the argument that significant industrial development was generally only possible, i n a competitive environment, where particular industries were established relatively early and o n a relatively large scale, i t is useful t o consider briefly some sectors w h i c h d i d not develop or succeed for l o n g , even i n Belfast. Thus, despite the existence o f a c o t t o n industry u n t i l the 1820s and later, the manufacture o f c o t t o n spinning machinery never became i m p o r t a n t due to c o m p e t i t i o n from larger more advanced specialists i n B r i t a i n . Furthermore, because the power looms w h i c h were eventually developed for weaving linen were somewhat m o d i f i e d versions o f those used for c o t t o n , Belfast machine-makers were never major suppliers o f power looms t o the linen industry — again, (as Coe 1969, p . 69) argues, due to c o m p e t i t i o n f r o m British specialists i n c o t t o n looms. The experience o f Irish iron-founding is significant t o o . When general iron-founding, w h i c h was widespread t h r o u g h o u t the island, suffered f r o m increasingly British c o m p e t i t i o n i n the later part o f the nineteenth century, the industry i n the north-east declined i n m u c h the same way, w i t h the significant exception o f firms specialising i n parts for machinery being made locally (Coe, 1969, Ch. 3 ) . Part o f this general decline was the drop i n pro d u c t i o n o f agricultural implements and machinery w h i c h was hastened b y the relatively small size o f Irish farms and the decrease i n tillage. Again, firms i n this industry i n the north-east fared no better, and i n some cases worse, than those i n the south. Similar remarks about the failure o f parti cular engineering industries i n the north-east, due to the absence o f a suffi ciently large local market and the existence o f specialised producers else where, apply to locomotives and most machine tools, as well as the new generation o f consumer durables (Coe, 1969, Chs. 7-9). T o conclude these remarks on the north-east, i t may be said that, whatever the shortcomings o f the B&ICO's explanation, one c o u l d accept their p o i n t that the north-east became a closely integrated and developed part o f the U K industrial economy, depending heavily on trade w i t h Britain and the empire. I n contrast, i t emerged that the competitive advantage o f the rest o f Ireland — faced, under free trade, w i t h the dominance o f the large, earlier established industrial centres o f Britain — lay m a i n l y i n agriculture, and i n deed a type o f agriculture w h i c h required diminishing inputs o f labour. Whatever one's views about the merits o f free trade i n terms o f purely economic efficiency, and despite the benefits o f free trade for certain classes, i t was scarcely surpising that m u c h o f the southern national inde pendence movement regarded the resulting heavy emigration, p o p u l a t i o n decline and social disruption as politically unacceptable. M a n y i n this move m e n t thus became c o m m i t t e d to economic, as well as p o l i t i c a l separation from the U K , i n the f o r m o f the establishment o f protective trade barriers and the encouragement o f tillage. (This policy was n o t , i n fact, fully i m plemented u n t i l the 1930s, 10 years after the establishment o f the Free \ State.) This s i t u a t i o n , and the fact that the southern national independence movement defined Irish i d e n t i t y i n a way that i n effect excluded the non-Catholic and non-Gaelic c o m m u n i t y o f the north-east, is a more appropriate starting p o i n t for an understanding o f P a r t i t i o n than a conception of all Ireland as naturally one economy and society which came to be artificially divided. We can n o w r e t u r n to consider the argument that poor entrepreneurship was the main cause o f industrial underdevelopment i n most of Ireland. Lee ( 1 9 7 3 , p . 15) instanced the story, referred to above, o f Hickson and Harland at the t i m e o f the f o u n d a t i o n o f Harland & W o l f f as an example i n support o f this view, arguing that where Hickson failed the i m m i g r a n t entrepreneur, Harland, showed what could be achieved. B u t this overlooks the p o i n t that, although Harland was the more talented o f the t w o , b o t h he and H i c k s o n evidentiy agreed that the situation offered an excellent o p p o r t u n i t y to b u i l d i r o n ships; and, as was argued above, conditions i n Belfast were indeed exceptionally good for such a venture. Lee also points o u t that many other industries were developed i n Belfast b y entrepreneurs w h o included many new British immigrants, w i t h local businessmen be coming more p r o m i n e n t only later. B u t these examples, like the case o f Harland, do n o t prove the p o i n t that competent Irish businessmen c o u l d have fostered more widespread industrialisation. Rather they show that exceptional opportunities for profitable industrial development existed i n the north-east t o attract such people w h o might reasonably have been expected t o p e r f o r m a similar f u n c t i o n , i f possible, i n the south. The reason w h y many early industrial entrepreneurs i n Belfast were immigrants was probably because they had greater engineering experience at an earlier date due to the earlier and more extensive development o f such industries i n Britain arising f r o m the earlier mechanisation o f c o t t o n (and perhaps m i n i n g ) . Lee (1968) also suggested that Irish capitalists showed examples o f p o o r enterprise i n n o t investing i n railways or banks u n t i l after British capital bore the i n i t i a l risks. B u t concerning railways, i t must be recognised that the p e r i o d referred to was notable for the "railway m a n i a " rampant among British capitalists. Hobsbawm (1976) says that a great deal o f British capital "was sunk i n t o railways, and m u c h o f i t was sunk w i t h o u t trace, because by the 1830s there were vast accumulations o f capital b u r n i n g holes i n their owner's pockets. . . " I n these circumstances, the relative slowness o f Irish investment i n railways does n o t necessarily indicate excessive caution. Furthermore, Hobsbawm c o u l d say o f Europe as a whole "inevitably we f i n d the first railways — and bften the b u l k o f railways — b u i l t b y British contrac tors, w i t h British locomotives, rails, technical staff and capital". Ireland simply f i t t e d i n t o the general p a t t e r n . As regards the banks, i t seems l i k e l y that the reluctance o f Irish investors to take advantage immediately o f the \ a b o l i t i o n o f the Bank o f Ireland's m o n o p o l y o f j o i n t - s t o c k banking i n 1821 was related t o the discouraging events o f the Irish b a n k i n g crisis o f the pre vious year, i n w h i c h a number o f private banks failed. T h a t business enterprise was n o t generally absent when opportunities existed was suggested b y the efficient reorganisation and g r o w t h o f most non-textile industries, along lines similar t o Britain's after the 1770s and i n the first half o f the nineteenth century, as well as b y the satisfactory develop m e n t o f d i s t r i b u t i o n and transport. B u t whatever the q u a l i t y o f local business enterprise, the fact that British capital and entrepreneurs d i d get involved i n the Irish economy i n some sectors, such as railways and banks, and i n the north-east i n particular — b u t n o t on a more general scale — suggests that untapped profitable opportunities for wider industrialisation were n o t particularly evident t o t h e m either. V I CONCLUSION I n nineteenth century Ireland many o f the local conditions often regard ed as major requirements for industrialisation — such as supplies o f capital, cheap labour, a basic education system and competent entrepreneurs — were n o t particularly unfavourable. Rather the industrial decline was m a i n l y connected w i t h the advantages o f large-scale and centralised p r o d u c t i o n f r o m the early stages o f mechanisation, as well as p r o x i m i t y t o large markets. These factors generally w o r k e d against Irish i n d u s t r y , except i n the n o r t h east, and i n favour o f competitors elsewhere. The experience o f Irish i n dustry under the U n i o n may be regarded as an example o f the fact that, even given quite favourable local conditions, free market forces can b y no means be relied on t o generate industrial development, or even t o sustain existing e m p l o y m e n t , i n a relatively late-developing economy i n close c o m p e t i t i o n w i t h more advanced industrial countries. M u c h o f the literature o n issues o f industrialisation i n late-developing countries ( w h i c h w o u l d include Ireland) i n modern times w o u l d argue that a similar conclusion still applies. REFERENCES A D A M S , W . F . , 1 9 3 2 . Ireland and Irish Emigration to the New World from Famine, N e w H a v e n : Y a l e U n i v e r s i t y Press. B R I T I S H & I R I S H C O M M U N I S T O R G A N I S A T I O N , 1 9 7 2 . The Eonomics 1815 of to the Partition, Belfast: B & I C O C H A R T , D . A . , 1 9 2 0 . An Economic History C O E , W . E . , 1 9 6 9 . 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