Global Smart Phone Revolution China
Transcription
Global Smart Phone Revolution China
Agenda Part 1 • • • What are Smart Phones – Converged Devices? How will Smart phones impact our mobile society? What are the trends/features expected in future mobile devices • What impact has the cell/Smart phone devices market had on China? • Conclusion • Question and Answer session Presented to: ASU West on 11/12/04 for International Business Career Day, Phoenix, Arizona, USA Karl J. Weaver Newport Technologies Web Site: http://home.earthlink.net/~karlweaver/ This Evening’s Agenda Agenda Part 1 • What are Smart Phones – Converged Devices? 1impact our mobile society? • How will SmartPart phones The Global Smart Phone Revolution • What are the trends/features expected in future mobile ☯Concept of converged devices/smart phones devices ☯Smart• Phone impact on cell/Smart Global Mobile Society What impact has the phone devices market had on China?device trends and features ☯Future mobile • Conclusion Part 2 • Question and Answer session China’s impact on the mobile device revolution Selling to the Mobile Digital Dragon ☯Mobile Market trends and handset players ☯The Subtle Art of Doing Business with the Chinese. Part 3 ☯Adopting strategies & tactics for success! ☯Conclusion and Q&A The mobile device is already changing the basic way people in the USA and China communicate. The starting point of mobility is different in each country. Smart Phones and converged devices will be demanded as our global mobile society looks to integrated tasks, duties and wireless voice & data communications = The mobile Internet. What is a Agenda wireless Converged Part 1 Device? • • • What are Smart Phones – Converged Devices? How will Smart phones our mobile society? PDA –impact Personal Digital Assistant What are the trends/features expected in future mobile devices • What impact has the cell/Smart phone devices market had on China? • Conclusion Data messaging device • Question and Answer session + + Cellular Phone When is Convergence Successful? When the functions are more valuable combined than separated Very often there is a space saving or mobile component Little or no compromise (usability, size, cost) Actually makes things simpler, not more complex to do Converged Devices are nothing new! Agenda Part 1 • What are Smart Phones – Converged Devices? • How will Smart phones impact our mobile society? Printer/Copier/fax/scanner • What are the trends/features expected in future mobile devices • What impact has the cell/Smart phone devices market had on China? • Conclusion • Question and Answer session Swiss Army Knife TV with VCR + DVD Why be skeptical about a converged Mobile Device? ☯Many design failures ☯Technology enablers were not appearing ☯Makes for a complex user experience ☯No clear customer need Mobile device convergence platform design, features, functions make an exact description of how to sell each in the channel complex Cell phone: Small, (typically) Non/Color LCD display, Voice only, some messaging in text mode, candy bar/flip form factor Smart phone: Medium-sized Color LCD display, voice and data, DTMF keypad data entry only, with web surfing and convenient SMS/MMS messaging functions, typically no touch screen or touch screen pen, (Symbian, Palm, Microsoft, Linux OS) combines camera, Bluetooth functionality and Java/Brew middle software applications. PDA Device, large-size color LCD display, Data and limited voice functions but capable of surfing web and sending e-mails/SMS messages (also handles attachments). PDA devices have either full keypad or touch screen pen for data entry. Can combine camera, Bluetooth, video and 802.11 (WiFi) features. Uses (Palm, Compaq &HP, Pocket PC, RIM, others) PDAs are meant to be used with two hands; cell phone are meant to be used with only one hand Smart Smart Phones Phones combine combine aa high-resolution high-resolution screen screen with with aa powerful powerful operating operating system. system. Typically, Typically, these these run run either either Symbian Symbian or or Windows Windows but but also also aa few few run run Linux Linux and and Palm Palm operating operating systems systems The need for smart Agenda Part phones 1 • What are Smart Phones – Converged Devices? Smart Phone Value • How will Smart phones impact our mobile society? Personalized ring tones • What are the trends/features expected in future mobile devices A key driver to • What impact has the cell/Smart phone devices marketmusic had on China? Wireless downloads convergence is • Conclusion (MP3) portability and and user • Question Answer session • • mobility; Here’s what you need when mobile: ☯Size (and weight) matter ☯Data integration address book e-mailing surfing the web ☯Power management & third party peripherals ☯Enhanced usability basics ☯Battery capacity •Interactive Games •Streaming video for news/ music/sports in (MPEG4) •Ease-of-use for rich SMS and MMS experience •Interchangeable applications on the fly wirelessly • Voice command software There is no one size-fits-all solution for users. People will choose the device they are most comfortable with, as everyone is different Convergent Lifestyles influence Agenda Part 1 convergence of devices! • • • • • • What are Smart Phones – Converged Devices? How will Smart phones impact our mobile society? Lifestyles are What are the trends/features in future mobile devices LIFE expected WORK converging What impact has the cell/Smart phone devices market had on China? between work Conclusion and play Question and Answer session PLAY because of mobility ☯People work at home (telecommuting) SOHO (small office/Home office) ☯People do personal things at work (pay bills) ☯Social impact of convergent life – no boundaries between work/home – Is it right or wrong? What is the impact? ☯Next generation of mobile society workers are early adopter of this new lifestyle. Converged Devices attract youth (consumer) markets Part 1 Agenda • • • What are Smart Phones – Converged Devices? Young Adults between the ages of society? 11-24 are extremely How will Smart phones impact our mobile technology savvy and want What are the trends/features expected in future mobile advanced services. devices Wireless carriers looking • What impact has the cell/Smart phone devices market hadto generate interest in on China? advanced services will • Conclusion continue to focus on youth market. • Question and Answer session The consumer market and the enterprise markets are two different animals. Enterprise Mobility with converged devices/smart phones Mobile applications: Personal Information (PIM) address book, contacts list, e-mail (SMS, MMS) calendar, scheduler Vertical industry applications: Insurance field, retail, distribution, GPS (location based services), healthcare Horizontal applications: Sales & field force automation, Enterprise resource planning, Customer business Revenues in the business market will be driven by higher usage, while higher volumes will drive revenues in the consumer market.” Mobile Enterprise: 2002 Addressable Market Real Estate 6% Utilities 9% Healthcare 30% Transportation 15% Public Sector 18% Frost & Sullivan, 2002 Healthcare Financial FrostServices & SullivanPublic Sector Financial Services 22% Transportation Utilities Real Estate Voice activation and security will be killer Apps for the mobile business professional! Newer Designed Smart Phones Sierra Sierra Wireless Wireless Voq Voq Professional Professional Samsung Samsung i530 i530 (SGH-i530) (SGH-i530) SonyEricsson P900 Sendo X-Factor RIM RIM Blackberry Blackberry 7100t 7100t Motorola A920 3G & MPx-220 Smart Phones Samsung Samsung Motorola Motorola A840 A840 SCH a790 SCH a790 World World Phone Phone Global Phone Global Phone First First two two phones phones with with CDMA CDMA ++ GSM GSM PalmOne Treo 600 (CDMA) Panasonic Panasonic X700 X700 Ch in a Messaging Services to grow rapidly with new web-enabled handsets SMS is a proven revenue generator in Asia and Europe, however, the USA lags behind. MMS is expected to pick up as content arrives. User patterns are very different in each country fueling this growth. China is expected to outstrip other world markets for mobile data services, just as it has in other areas. Typical content? Icons Ring tones Jokes Photos SMS E-Mail Service On-Line Gaming Dating service Pornography (in China) Camera phones drive revenue and are outpacing digital camera sales Camera-Phone Market Set To Double ARC Group 2003 Not only are 1Megapixel Camera Phones hitting the market, Casio has announced 2Megapixel Camera Phone resolutions Camcorder phones will be strongly associated with 3G technologies in 2004; all camera phones in South Korea will be required to feature a "shutter noise", alerting people that they have just been photographed As mobile phones integrate digital camera features, there will be a higher usage of picture sending with Multimedia messaging services By the end of 2003, more than 55 million consumers worldwide will own cameraphone handsets Bluetooth Applications Enables simple & robust wireless connectivity for personal devices, replaces wires, short distance usage Headset/Hands-free (Automotive Applications) Personal Computers Mobile Expect many Phones cell/smart phone and PDA mobile devices to PDAs & integrate Handheld Bluetooth Devices functionality into the design in year 2004 Consumer (Notebook, Desktop, Tablet PC) PC Accessories (PC Dongles, Printers, Serial Cable, Keyboard, Mouse) Modems Devices PAN Access Points Wireless Trends In China ☯ Fastest growing mobile subscriber market in the World. ☯ Explosive usage of wireless/mobile Internet ☯ Increasing competition within 2.5G, 3G technologies (GSM, CDMA, GPRS, W-CDMA,TD-SCDMA), ☯ Wireless LAN(WiFi/802.11) & Bluetooth for handset ☯ SMS, MMS value-added data services ☯ Emergence of camera/camcorder phones World’s largest Mobile phone market 500 400 300 China Brazil Germany US UK Source: Source:IEK, IEK,compiled compiledby byDigiTimes, DigiTimes,June June2004. 2004. Number of phone subscribers in China (million users) Segment Number of subscribers Mobile phone 370 Fixed-line phone 350 Little Smart (Xiaolingtong) phone 70 ina h C 200 100 0 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 Subscribers (millions) Japan Pyramid Group 2002 As China’s wireless infrastructure (and WLAN) build out increases for 2.5G & 3G so will their need for advanced GSM/GPRS, CDMA networks and software for mobile & smart phone devices employing rich handset-based Java/BREW multimedia solutions and content. Mobile Phone Users now more than Fixed Line Phone Users China’s Internet Portals are profiting from e - commerce and SMS messaging Voice: RMB 0.40 per minute SMS: RMB 0.10 Per SMS sent Mobile data tariff comparison SMS Fuels growth in non-ad revenues for China’s 3 major portals Successful Market Adoption of SMS • 79.3 billion SMS have been sent in 2002 • AGR: 800%. • 1 Billion SMS sent Every Day during Chinese New Year from 2/1/03 to 2/7/03 • Features: Fast, low cost, efficient and entertaining exchange channels between Real People ! a n i Ch Greater China integration strategy “Greater China” is leading in technology for the mobile device market. •Taiwan - source for R&D and finances. • China – assembly & distribution •1/3 of all cell phones assembled in China •50% of all cell phones designed in Taiwan China’s mobile handset diversity Chinese Chinese people people also also buy buy quality quality cell cell phones phones as as aa sign sign of of status status –– even even ifif they they never never use use most most of of the the advanced advanced features! features! Many handsets are designed and sold for the China market only; China, as a market, experiences one of the fastest replacement rates, demand for advanced features. Worldwide smartphone production forecast (thousand units) Year Smartphones 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 10,937 27,360 47,795 73,986 90,072 108,800 China’s Handset Manufacturing Hub in Yangtze River Delta Region Finest resources for handset manufacturing environment •Efficient logistics to sea/air links •Rich water supply •Skilled Univ.-educated engineering/professional labor •Magnet for multinational handset R&D, Production and assembly Nokia= Nokia= R&D, R&D, Motorola=production, Motorola=production, UTStarcom UTStarcom =HQ, =HQ,Toshiba Toshiba (Manufac.) (Manufac.)Foxconn, Foxconn, BenQ, BenQ, Arima, Arima, Compal, Eastcom, Ningbo Bird, Compal, Eastcom, Ningbo Bird, CM= CM= Flextronics, Flextronics, Solectron Solectron Chinese handset vendors shift focus to Smart Phones Microsoft successful to influence handset manufacturers in Taiwan and China to adopt Smart Phone OS platform. Nokia using Symbian OS Microsoft Smart phone OS, improved Chinese language support for Dopod 515 Smart Phone priced @ RMB 4,500 or US$543 from Dopod Communications Chinese , r e v e w Ho rs want consume ne form a flip pho factor! Nokia, Sony Ericsson, CEC Telecom, Samsung, Konka and Ningpo Bird have introduced Smart Phones to Chinese market, 20 models expected by end of 2003 China’s 3G Migration Landscape 3G Frequencies: 2010 MHz - 2025 MHz in China (WLL 1900 MHz 1920 MHz) World War 3G – “One Country; three systems?” EDGE GSM ` WCDMA GPRS Nokia, Ericsson, Motorola, Siemens, China Mobile, Netcom, Unicom ` CDMA Qualcomm China Unicom 1X EVDO 1XRTT CDMA2000 1X EVDV China Chinawill willnow now allocate allocate 800MHz 800MHzband band to toTD-SCDMA TD-SCDMA TD-SCDMA Datang Siemens Mobile Philips Huawei Samsung Expected deployment in year 2005 – allocation of two blocks, totaling 155Mhz Chinese New Year of the 3G The global players add on; the plot thickens, reality sets in. What technology will be used for 3G in China? WCDMA: China Mobile’s first choice CDMA 2000 1X, 1X EV DO, 1X EV DV: China Unicom’s first choice TD-SCDMA: Excellent Technology with strong government support and domestically owned IP rights. New operators ?Ch.Mob. or Ch. Uni. ? •Siemens (with new Huawei alliance) and Datang will lead in development efforts for TD-SCDMA What 3G Wireless Offers: 1) Greater data speeds 2) Increased capacity for voice and data 3)The advent of packet data networks versus today’s switched networks. New Chinese Technology Standards 3rd Generation Mobile Communications ☯3rd Generation Partnership Project 3GPP in March 2001(UMTS) ☯Developed jointly by Siemens/Datang, now many players joining ☯Expected deployment-China in Q1, 2004 by 1-2 carriers (pending 3G license release) Enhanced Versatile Disc (EVD) ☯EVDs regarded as challenge to "Blue Ray," next-generation disc technology, ☯Able to compress high definition (HD) movies to fit on single disc, 110 minutes. ☯China already World’s largest DVD player producer, EVD players avail. Q1 ‘04 ☯Courting Hollywood video & movie industry to accept standard for future HD TV. Chinese WLAN standard GB15629.11-2003 ☯WAPI (Wired Authentication and Privacy Infrastructure) Security Protocol ☯Dec. 1st ’03, SAC issued GB15629.11-2003 standard, codes only released to 11 Chinese firms, ruling all WiFi equipment sold in China must apply to use this standard. The ruling compromises foreign firms wishing to develop competitive products by making their costs higher and reveals up their equipment IP secrets. New Powerful 3G Cell Phones 3G NEC e808 DoCoMo’s FOMA 900i series Handsets: 2004 will see an increased demand for pocket-sized gadgets which will play video, and more handset makers will be joining the video phone market. Again, the Taiwanese are designing a large % of these devices behind the scenes, China and assembling them. 3G Motorola A920 3G Motorola A835 Year 2003 mobile handset market Share Domestic handset vendors used the power of price to break the leading average brands. Ministry of Information Industry, Year 2003 mobile handset market report Samsung + others Chinese 7.2% brands 39% (top vendors are , Ningbo Bird, TCL, Konka) Total phone sales = US$130.20 Million Export: US$59.8 Million Domestic US$70.3 Million Motorola 26% Nokia 18% Siemens 4.7% Sony Ericsson 2.1% However, domestic handset firms exported only 530K or 1% in year 2002 Year 2004 Mobile Handset Year 2004 mobile handset Market Share market Share China's 2004 GSM/GPRS Handset Market China's 2004 CDMA Handset Market ZTE, 2.1 Eastcom, 2.8 Soutec, 3.6 Hisense, 3.8 Sanyo, 2.1 Other, 5.5 Motorola, 40.8 Langchao , 12.4 Samsung, 26.9 Notes: Percentage is based on CDMA handset sales in China (excluding exports). Other major brands include Daxian, Haier, TCL, Konka, Eastcom and Ningbo Bird. Motorola Samsung Langchao Hisense Soutec Eastcom ZTE Sanyo Other Samsung 6% Ericsson PTIC 6% Ningbo Bird 7% Siemens 8% TCL 4% Motorola 19% Nokia 20% Motorola Nokia Other Siemens Ningbo Bird Ericsson PT Samsung TCL Other 30% Notes: Percentage is based on GSM/GPRS handset sales in China (excluding exports). Other major brands include Konka, Haier, DBTel, AMoi, Soutec,Panasonic, Panda, Eastcom and Lenovo Source: Ministry for Information Industry, Company Reports, CHinaNex Septemer 2004 Market Shares of GSM vs. CDMA mobile handset users • GSM Users:223 Million GSM 93.5% CDMA 6.5% • 27% of the total GSM users in the world • CDMA Users:12 Million • 8 % of the total CDMA users in the world (As of 6/2003) In China 70% of Chinese mobile phone owners fall into the mid-price or low-price category of phones costing less than 2,500Yuan (US$1=CNY8.28) A Crowded Handset Market Currently 31 licensed GSM/GPRS handset manufacturers, many diversified with CDMA handset production as well % Chinese Motorola Nokia 50 40 30 20 10 0 1999 2000 2001 Years Major Players; Ningbo Bird Haier, TCL, Legend, Kejian, 2002 Ningbo Bird largest domestic handset manufacturer Domestic Handset Market • 20 licensed for CDMA handsets – 2 foreign (Motorola. Nokia**) – 18 Chinese • • • • • • • • • • LG Ningbo Bird Samsung Kejian Hitachi Shenzhen ZTE Capital (Beijing PTT equipment) TCL Group Qingdao Haier Group Hangzhou Eastcom Shenzhen Konka Hyundai Guangzhou Soutec CEC (China Elec. Corp.) Sonus ** license for Nokia was actually transferred from joint-venture partner Putian Report 8/29/03 • • • • • • • • Datang Telecom Zhenhua (Guizhou) Shandong Langchao Qingdao Hisense Dalian Daxian Nanjing PTIC PTIC Tianjin Xoceco (Xiamen Oversea Chinese Electronics) Foreign Cooperator China’s Mobile Phone Vendors Company Alcatel Amoisonic Capital Group Chabridge CEC Dalian Daxian Datang Telecom DBTel Eastcom Ericsson Beijing Haier Hisense Kejian Konka LangChao Legend/Xoceco Mitsubishi Beijing Motorola China NEC Wuhan Ningbo Bird Standard GSM GSM/GPRS GSM/CDMA GSM GSM/GPRS, CDMA CDMA CDMA GSM GSM/GPRS, CDMA GSM GSM, CDMA GSM, CDMA GSM, CDMA GSM/GPRS, CDMA CDMA GSM/GPRS, CDMA GSM GSM, CDMA GSM GSM/GPRS, CDMA Company Nokia Beijing Nokia Dongguan Panasonic Beijing Panda Elec Philips Putian Samsung Elec. Sanyo Shenzhen SED Siemens Sony Beijing Soutec TCL Telsda Top Group Zhenhua ZTE Standard GSM i to GSM Huawee CDMA c produes in year GSM phon GSM 2004 GSM GSM, CDMA GSM, CDMA CDMA GSM GSM GSM GSM GSM/GPRS, CDMA GSM GSM CDMA GSM/GPRS, CDMA, PCS Currently, there are 37 mobile phone manufacturers in China (foreign included) which produced 200 million phones by the end of 2002. However, there will be a shake-out in the handset industry with unprofitable players (domestic and foreign) being driven out of the market soon! Many players are already in the Red! Evolution of the Handset Industry Major cell phone manufacturers around the World Most Taiwanese Top Taiwan R&D teams for manufacturers Mass OEM,ODM, OBM of cell phone, Produce in China smart phone, PDA mobile devices Evolution of today’s multimedia handset: Designed in Taiwan, mass produced in China (also Taiwan)– Distributed with handset vendor’s brand name/logo or with carrier’s logo (dual branding) printed on handset, sold into to global distribution channel markets. By 2008, domestic Chinese vendors could own 80% of the market, leaving the Western handset vendors with no choice but to invest in local firms. Little Smart = XiaoLingTong Wireless Local Loop from UTStarCom Rolled out by two fixed line operators, China Netcom, China Telecom; it offers wireless local loop (WLL) service called XiaoLingTong = Little Smart (standard is called PAS) Only pay for outgoing calls (CPP = calling party pays) No connection fee Lower fees than China Mobile & China Unicom Estimated at 54 million subscribers as of Q2 2004; Much on the technology hardware from UTStarcom (UTStarcom recently announced a migration path to 3G based on TDSCDMA). Classified as “fixed line”, it isn’t covered by a mobile operator’s license requirements. Part 2 The Subtle Art of Doing Business with the Chinese ☯ ☯ ☯ ☯ ☯ ☯ ☯ ☯ Shaping the Chinese Business Personality Modern Influences on China Today The Chinese Circle of Influence Confucianism – How it applies to business in China Face: Preserving individual dignity Guanxi: - Closed System Relationships Understanding China’s legal environment and contract usage Navigating China’s Socialist System of “Red Tape” Modern Influences on China today lis m Mobile Communications + the Internet & Television media l ry a o t n ti io /His d s a Tr alue V Overseas Chinese (Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore) So cia n r te re s e tu W ul C Fr E c ee on Ma om r k y et The Chinese Circle of Influence Family Friends Strangers The Chinese view things as having continuity. Their approach to relationships is not direct and their strategies for obtaining information tend to use circular methodology to reach the bull’s eye. Confucianism – How it applies to business in China Taking note of the importance of “face” and “Guanxi” (Relationships) Consultations on issues among the group in Chinese society maintain a protocol and hierarchy structure for harmony, and personal expression is not encouraged in public surroundings. (“If the nail sticks out too much, it gets pounded back into to the wood very quickly in China”). Relationship Relationship vs. vs. Goal Goal Oriented Oriented comparison comparison Relationships are emphasized over laws And contracts. Western Mind Task Eastern Mind Understanding Understanding Relationship Relationship Task Face: Preserving individual dignity ☯It’s mighty critical to keep and save the face of the individual you are dealing with in the group. ☯In Chinese society, Face is such a delicate component of one's status that once you have caused someone to lose face, particularly in public, prospects of business might be seriously jeopardized. ☯As a foreign company in China, how you treat customers and how Chinese view your company involves preservation of face. ☯The Chinese will do business with you if you give them face but they will definitely not do business with you if you do not give them face. Guanxi: – Closed System Relationships ☯The Chinese word that we translate as “Guan” + “Xi” , or “relationships” literally means Guan “closed” and “system”. Guanxi actually involves a closed system, and learning how to unlock a closed system will result in successful Guanxi for each endeavor . ☯Guanxi is the network of relationships among various parties that cooperate together and support one another. The Chinese businessmen mentality is very much one of "You scratch my back, I’ll scratch yours." In essence, this boils down to exchanging favors, which are expected to be done regularly and voluntarily. ☯Build continuous Guanxi in China; this is the primary means of gathering information and “pull” in Chinese society – it can be thought of as “currency”. Understanding China’s legal environment and contract usage ☯Contracts and Laws are flexible in Chinese society; in many instances “it doesn’t matter kind of cheese is used to the mousetrap, just so long as it catches the mouse”. ☯When the Chinese sign contracts; in many cases they are simply agreeing to work together but it is subject to change and hence the need for flexibility in the wording. ☯A written contract is a roadmap for cooperation and the spirit of the contract is generally observed. A contract in the West is clear as night & day; however, it may appear uncomfortable to the Chinese who may not view it that clearly. Contracts in the Chinese mind are subject to constant re-negotiation because of the impersonal nature of Law. Rules are thus flexible and also subject to chance. Navigating China’s Socialist System of “Red Tape” ☯ China invented bureaucracy ☯ Socialist bureaucracy – many divisions or responsibility and requirements for government approvals ☯ Difficult for individuals to make commitments without extensive group consultation (Face / Guanxi) ☯ Provides an excuse of commitments not met (Face) ☯ WTO accession will help increase access for Western firms to huge market opportunities in China and reduce Red Tape. Shaping the Chinese Business Personality Chinese business culture is complex; this section attempts to explain and identify some major cultural behaviors, which tend to confront and confuse Western business people. It is critical to be prepared with the tools to deal with unexpected situations in China, because the “unexpected” is to be expected, and insight into how to manage your relations with the Chinese will provide for a better business environment. The Chinese Perspective: Reaching Glass Ceilings in Corporate America ☯ Chinese engineers are struggling to adopt to two cultural traits – American Corporate Business culture (like the military) and American individualistic culture (Independent, creative, interpersonal ). ☯ Chinese perceptions of how to deal with their American counterparts in the work environment appears to be very different than anticipated. ☯ Using Chinese thought processes to judge relationships between American counterparts in the workplace will only lead to further struggles with biculturalism. ☯ Many Chinese high-tech workers have reached their glass ceiling because they fail to reinvent themselves into Director/V.P. level product and project leaders in Corporate America. Politics also plays a part. There are exceptions! ☯ Over the past five years, many Chinese entrepreneurs have returned to China and found better opportunity, more cultural identity, and stronger relationships with the government. Part 3 Adopting proven tactics & strategies for success in China ☯Developing an Action Plan for Asia/China ☯Problems to be solved by Western companies ☯Defining Market and Blockers ☯Adopting Strategies and Tactics ☯Timing for Market development ☯Guanxi Building events ☯Asian Corporate Identification ☯Multi-Channel Selling Strategy ☯Roadmaps : Short Term & Long Term ☯Rules for improving profitability, challenges ☯The Value of WOFE ventures Problems to be Solved by Western Companies ☯Weak at developing long-term relationships due to lack of social contact, inexperience in dealing with Asian cross-cultures. ☯Not strong at promoting image to local market and no Asian Corporate Identity. ☯No local language product literature (Chinese, Korean, Japanese) support. ☯Lack of stable, reputable local representation. ☯No product feature localization strategies ☯Pricing is fixed with U.S. standard list Roadmap for Action ☯ Locate Asia specialists to manage Asia-Pacific & Greater China channel markets. ☯ Create China market assessment of market opportunities and tactics (short term) and strategies (long term) for longevity of this market. ☯ Explore muti-regional partnering opportunities in China and AsiaPacific with multi-national companies, especially those experienced in the region. Defining Market and Blockers ☯Strong need to identify Asian market size, sales potential, local/foreign competitors, and long term strategies ☯Need to identify potential Market blockers: I) Regulatory Issues 1) RF and software regulations, testing compliance Operating environment requirements China may impose the world's toughest mobile phone radiation standards due to fears of health risks China EME (electromagnetic energy) Standard Working Group, June 2002 “Foreign software makers must guarantee in writing that their products do not contain hidden programs that would allow spying or hacking into Chinese computers” – Ministry of Information Industry January 2002 Defining Market and Blockers 2)Politics of gaining acceptances from agencies 3)Standardization of client/server device software in China II) Intellectual Property Protection ☯ Need for trade mark and logo registration, WIPO rules ☯ Don’t go into China unless you’ve registered your logo, trademark, and patent – due diligence is essential at ground zero – before going to China. III) Product Localization requirements ☯ ☯ Feature identification, before design completion allows for path correction. Language issues – menu localization is critical for Asian client acceptance VI) Currency exchange and market segmentation issues ☯ ☯ Getting money out of China is still a challenge. if your channel is not built up over a long period it may not be sustainable without strong, continuous development work. Don’t expect strategies that work in one province to work universally in China – it’s doesn’t work that way – build province by province. ☯ Q:Why develop a China marketing strategy? A:Timing is critical right now! ☯Your networking strategy is to build Guanxi with distributor’s, complimentary companies, partners, and systems integrators - Be proactive - start now. ☯Early identification of key handset and infrastructure players is critical for your soft/hardware applications and services. ☯For companies providing faster, accurate wireless information solutions, field trials are a way to get product recognized. Cost Effective Guanxi opportunities Gain valuable contacts at two exhibitions in Asia: I)CommunicAsia 2004 - Singapore June 17th~20th, 2004 II)PT ExpoComm China 2004 - Beijing Oct. 29th~Nov. 2nd 4 “You could travel to Asia on many trips and still not establish as much “Guanxi” by accessing the right people as you can during these two critical exhibitions/conferences for wireless markets. Many key movers and shakers will be there. The Chinese say “Chang Cheng Bu Shi Yi Tien Zao Chung (Translation: The Great Wall wasn’t built in a day); building Guanxi with Chinese people is a gradual process over time not in a one week business trip to China. Strategic planning for Market Entry and Growth ☯Creation of cost-effective, proven go-tostrategies for Asia and Greater China. ☯Cost-effective marketing to enter and manage Asian/Chinese markets: Marketing and selling expenses Overhead to support these efforts Localization costs, testing/verification Branding in China: Bilingual Product Recognition A new global cross-branding strategy for cell phones has emerged between handset producers & multinational companies; expect to see more virtual “funky” alliances – like the Harley Davidson or Nike cell phone brands. In China, you can see Chinese, Korean and Taiwanese Pop/Movie/Sports endorsing handsets. Multiple channel Business strategy Foreign & Local Handset and Infrastructure vendors China’s mobile user market Western hardware/software technology seller Companies can employ two methods to approach China’s mobile user markets: Direct to the carriers and ISPs or through complimentary channels Roadmap: Immediate steps • Near term Create Asian character-based Corporate Identity Immediate Asian sales, support desk Company name and trademark registration in China first, and other countries later. Asian language web page creation Asian Trade show, conference attendance Identification of Asian Market Requirements Provide product feedback to Engineers Roadmap: The next steps! • Long term: Establishment of commissioned sales agents, then development of solid distributor network. Creation of regionally distributed China market Sales Representative agreements and policies. Marketing promotions program for motivational support of sales agents and representatives. Set up your Own WOFE (Wholly Owned Foreign Enterprise) in China. to better control your destiny. Develop essential relationships with (local) government organizations and industry associations. Improving Profitability in China There are five factors that underlie the challenge of achieving profitability targets in China. 1. Market growth becomes slower than anticipated 2. Competition from other multinationals and – in some sectors – domestic firms, is growing. Chinese companies are getting better at producing “premium local products” that are priced lower than foreign brands, are of high quality, and often better fit the needs of the Chinese user. 3. Expatriate and other investment costs are substantial 4. Foreign firms frequently fail to understand the Chinese market and its behavior. 5. Most industries are exhibiting significant over capacity Improving Profitability in China Objectives to help achieve profitability in China 1. Set a clear and comprehensive strategy. 2. Maintain Control, register as WOFE, protect your Intellectual property by registering brand, trademark, patent. 3. Realistically estimate market potential. 4. Don’t underestimate the local competition. 5. Have the right product – and price. 6. Pay attention to distribution. 7. Commit to developing the right human resource talent. 8. Plan before you enter the China market. 9. Re-Plan and expect the unexpected. 10. Stay flexible, with China being the largest market in the World for many products these days, there shouldn’t have to be an exit strategy. 11. Set clear terms and conditions for business and only extend standby or irrevocable Letters of Credit (no NET terms). WOFEs (Wholly Owned Foreign Enterprises) Perform Better WOFEs (Wholly Owned Foreign Enrterprises) Profitable Joint Ventures Unprofitable Profitable Unprofitable 38% 58% 62% Source 1998 A.T. Kearney China Profitability Survey Shorter 42% 2.3 years 2.6 years G G Time to break even H 3.2 years Original ExpectationsH 2.9 years Longer Source 1998 A.T. Kearney China Profitability Survey Consolidated China Operations Wholly Owned Foreign Enterprises Total Profitable Percent Joint-Ventures Total Profitable Percent Profitable 2.6 2.0 77% 3.2 2.3 71% Break even 2.0 0.8 38% 2.3 0.8 33% Unprofitable 1.3 0.5 38% 3.6 0.8 21% Manufacturing Companies 1.6 0.9 54% 2.8 1.2 45% Service Companies 3.6 2.6 72% 5.1 1.7 33% Conclusion Let’s bridge the Pacific RIM! ☯China is now the World’s largest mobile subscriber market. ☯Chinese mobile handset players are gaining in technology and International marketing expertise. ☯The Smart Phone Revolution will integrate Greater China’s mobile society. ☯The mobile device is already changing the basic way people in China communicate; however, the starting point of mobility is different in each country. ☯Technical advances of Smart Phone platforms will drive 3G adoption.