Columbia Mills Comprehensive Site Profile
Transcription
Columbia Mills Comprehensive Site Profile
A Comprehensive Site Profile for the Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Town of Minetto, New York Oswego County Prepared for: Operation Oswego County, Inc. 44 West Bridge Street Oswego, New York 13126 Prepared by: Barton & Loguidice, P.C. 290 Elwood Davis Road Syracuse, New York 13220 April 2013 Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile FORMER COLUMBIA MILLS COMPREHENSIVE SITE PROFILE SECTION PAGE 1.0 Property Summary ........................................................................................................ 1 2.0 Introduction and Background .............................................................................................. 2 3.0 Site Profile ..................................................................................................................... 3 3.1 General Site Characteristics .................................................................................................. 3 3.2 Prior and Current Site Uses ................................................................................................... 4 3.3 Site Topography .................................................................................................................... 5 3.4 Environmental Features ........................................................................................................ 5 3.5 Soil Characteristics / Bearing Capacity .................................................................................. 6 3.6 Site Utilities ........................................................................................................................... 8 3.7 Zoning and Land Use ............................................................................................................. 10 3.8 Transportation Infrastructure ............................................................................................... 11 4.0 Market Analysis ............................................................................................................. 13 4.1 Existing Economic Conditions ............................................................................................... 13 4.2 Cluster Analysis ..................................................................................................................... 17 4.3 Potential Policy Implications ................................................................................................. 18 4.4 Organizational Stakeholders ................................................................................................. 19 4.5 Potential Target Industries ................................................................................................... 19 5.0 Summary of Site Development Assets and Limitations ...................................................... 24 APPENDICES: Appendix A: Map Figures Figure 1 – Regional Location Map Figure 2 – Site Map Figure 3 – Site Topographic Map Figure 4 – Environmental Features Map Figure 5 – Soil Classifications Map Figure 6 – Utility Infrastructure Map Figure 7 – Zoning Map Figure 8 – Land Use Map Figure 9 – Transportation Infrastructure Map Appendix B: Conceptual Development Scenarios Development Scenario – A: 20,000 sf General Office / Health Facility Development Scenario – B: 20,000 sf General Office / Health Facility & 30,000 sf Apartment Complex Appendix C: Boring Test Data Appendix D: Supporting Documentation Table of Contents Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile 1.0 PROPERTY SUMMARY Table 1: Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Property Summary General Location: Site Ownership: Address: Access: Road Frontage: South of the City of Oswego adjacent to Lock O5 on the Oswego River in Minetto, New York Operation Oswego County, Inc. (IDA) owns the entire 87 acre site, including the 7‐acre target site The Site is part of the former Columbia Mills plant at 2783 NY‐48, Minetto, NY 13115 Direct access to the Site is currently off the Minetto Senior Apartments driveway off NY‐48 Approximately 450 feet of road frontage along the NY‐48 Primarily flat due to previous site use. Steep slopes limited to a small wetland outside the northern target site boundary Natural drainage flows to the north and western ends of the site towards wetland areas Capped brownfield, vacant Public water, sewer, electric, telephone, cable, gas and internet Industrial Demolition of structures associated with former Columbia Mills facility and contaminated site remedial work 183.02‐02‐04.02 Topography: Hydrology: Land Use: Utilities: Zoning: Site Improvements: Tax Map #’s: The target site is a vacant 7+/‐ acre portion of a larger 87‐acre property located on the west side of NYS Route 48, approximately 800 ft. north of the intersection with County Route 24. The Oswego River is located immediately to the east and across NYS Route 48 from the site, adjacent to Lock O5. This site, owned by Operation Oswego County (County IDA), has become a high priority site due to its location between the population centers of Oswego and Fulton, the ability for expansion on the larger 80+/‐ acres, and its’ proximity to water access across NYS Route 48. Image 1: 7 Acre +/‐ Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site and Target Site 1 Section 1 ‐ Property Summary Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile 2.0 INTRODUCTION & BACKGROUND Operation Oswego County, Inc. has identified the marketing and development of prime industrial and commercial opportunities as a priority in the larger economic development strategy for Oswego County. Specifically, the development of a vacant portion of land on the Former Columbia Mills site in the Town of Minetto has become a high priority due to its location between the population centers of Oswego and Fulton, and its’ proximity to water access adjacent to the Hamlet of Minetto. The property owned by Operation Oswego County (OOC), the County’s Industrial Development Agency (IDA), that is the subject of this Site Profile is an approximately 7‐acre vacant portion of a larger parcel located west of NYS Route 48, approximately 800 ft. north of the intersection with County Route 24. The subject property also lies just west of the Oswego River and Lock O5. In order to make the site more attractive to industries and developers, Operation Oswego County has authorized Barton & Loguidice, P.C (B&L) to develop a comprehensive informational package to identify and summarize necessary information in order to foster OOC’s marketing efforts for the site. The site was previously an industrial operation where prior structures have since been demolished. Surrounding land uses include commercial and residential – and due to this mix, the County desired to determine what future uses would be suitable for this property moving forward. As such, this Site Profile Report is also supported by a preliminary market evaluation, so that potential site redevelopment scenarios are in concert with general local and regional market data. B&L’s investigation of the Former Columbia Mills Site was conducted using a two‐part process; an evaluation of published maps, plans and environmental records, and a site investigation. Aerial photos, soil maps, utility and infrastructure maps and plans, USGS topographic maps, wetland and floodplain data, Sanborn maps, boring samples, and other published information was reviewed as part of this Comprehensive Site Profile investigation. The objective of this document is to clearly summarize findings associated with the evaluation of the site for prospective purchasers whom are interested in developing the site for industrial, commercial, or residential uses. A Phase I Environmental Site Assessment (ESA) was prepared as a separate standalone document and should be referenced for more detailed environmental data and findings related to the 7‐ acre target site. Furthermore, two full‐size exhibits, Development Scenario A and Development Scenario B, have been prepared to graphically illustrate site development opportunities as a result of this investigation and to help convey the potential of the Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site. Half size exhibits are included in Appendix B. Lastly, boring log data for the site is included in Appendix C followed by supporting documentation in Appendix D. 2 Section 2 ‐ Introduction and Background Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile 3.0 SITE PROFILE The information summarized in this section is an inventory of existing site conditions organized to effectively profile the site for Operation Oswego County, Inc. and prospective developers. 3.1 General Site Characteristics The portion of the Former Columbia Mills site that is the subject of this Site Profile investigation is located in Oswego County, along the western side of NYS Route 48 in the Town of Minetto, New York. Generally, the site is comprised of an area of land bounded by NYS Route 48 / West River Road to the east, Snell Road / County Route 42 to the north, the former Erie Lackawanna Railroad bed on the west, and Benson Avenue / County Route 25 to the south. The site is directly adjacent to the Hamlet of Minetto and a bridge that crosses the Oswego River. In order to understand the target site and surrounding area, a series of maps were prepared to analyze development opportunities and constraints. Those maps are provided in Appendix A. These maps were developed using published information about the site, including planning reports, aerial photographs, and various surveys previously prepared for the project area. It is important to note that conditions on the site have changed over time and the maps included in this Site Profile Report are intended to provide a general understanding of the site, and are not intended for use as a survey or for construction purposes. Former factory buildings and the Brookfield Power hydropower station are located across NY‐48 from the site. The Minetto Senior Apartments housing complex is located along the southern boundary of the site. Generally, the 7‐acre target site consists of slabs and foundations of the former Columbia Mills factory buildings within an area characterized by rural development patterns. See Figure 1 in Appendix A for a regional overview of the target site’s location within the Town and County. Image 2 (left): View looking east from the back of the property down the Minetto Senior Apartments access road. Image 3 (right): View looking south across the site from the foundations of the former structures. 3 Section 3 ‐ Site Profile Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile 3.2 Prior and Current Site Uses Columbia Mills was a factory that manufactured vinyl window shades and coverlets and generated and disposed of assorted industrial wastes. The company closed in 1977, and the buildings on the property fell to ruin. The Site was briefly used for a salvage operation before ownership was transferred to Oswego County. Currently, the 7‐acre target site is vacant, accessible from a driveway on the western side of NYS Route 48 and a shared access road for the senior housing development to the south. The eastern portion of the site is a vegetated area along NYS Route 48; a utility panel was observed in this area, though it appeared to be out of service. Just adjacent to the western and northwestern target site boundaries appear to be wetlands with standing water present, apparently caused by beaver dams. Vegetation at the site appeared to be in good condition. The majority of the site is comprised of concrete slabs and foundations remaining from former Columbia Mills buildings prior to demolition at the site. Stacks of concrete are located on the northern end of the site, leftover form the removal of slabs. A cast iron pipe that appeared to be related to a former sanitary system at the site was also observed on the western portion of the site, and two drains in the slabs on the western and northeastern portions of the site also appeared to be related to the sanitary system. Figure 2 in Appendix A further illustrates physical features present on the target site. Image 4 (left): Aerial view of Columbia Mills factory (date unknown) 4 Section 3 ‐ Site Profile Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile 3.3 Site Topography Based on field evaluations, the USGS topographic Oswego East quadrangle, and Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) technology, the site is primarily level with a very gradual slope towards the east as shown on Figure 3 in Appendix A. The site’s steepest gradients, between 25 and 30 percent slopes, are relegated to a small area in the northern part of the target site adjacent to a wetland which is just outside the study boundary. Site elevation along its road frontage is between 309‐feet and 314‐feet, whereas the site’s lowest elevation of 291‐feet is situated in the aforementioned wetland outside the northern boundary. Beyond the target site, topography to the east slopes steeply and steadily down to the Oswego River at 290‐feet. To the west, terrain gently slopes downward into another wetland at 298‐feet. Elevation increases to the north beyond the aforementioned wetland up to an elevation of over 320‐feet. The neighboring parcel to the south, also part of the former Columbia Mills site, is also relatively flat and slightly lower in elevation as the terrain slopes gently downward. 3.4 Environmental Features A Phase I Environmental Site Assessment (ESA) was performed pursuant to general accordance with the American Society for Testing and Materials (ASTM) “Standard Practice for Environmental Site Assessments: Phase I Environmental Site Assessment Process” (ASTM Designation E 1527‐05). The Phase I ESA is provided under a separately bound cover and is intended to reduce the uncertainty regarding the potential occurrence of past release or potential future release of hazardous substances or petroleum by making appropriate and reasonable inquiry into the past and present uses of the site. Generally, the larger Columbia Mills property has been the subject of environmental investigation since the 1970s. Columbia Mills operated at this location from 1879 until 1977, primarily manufacturing cloth and vinyl products. Manufacturing processes at the site included bleaching, drying, dyeing, calendaring, painting, rolling, and embossing. Complaints by local citizens about hazardous chemicals remaining at the site following the factory’s closure led to an inspection by NYSDEC in August 1982, where they determined that the wastes did not pose an imminent health hazard. However, a December 1982 visit by EPA estimated that there were up to 150 drums of undetermined wastes and up to 800 50‐pound bags of starch used to stiffen paper; EPA’s determination was confirmed by a study in March 1984, when it was determined that the site contained a large amount of waste in containers and in the soil, some of which was toxic. An asbestos study was performed on the site in 1987 to evaluate whether salvage actions had caused the release of asbestos. The study indicated the presence of chrysotile, amosite, and crocidolite asbestos in roughly half of the areas tested, including in the air on and surrounding the site. In June 1996, EPA initiated a removal action at the site to demolish unsafe structures at the site and remove asbestos‐containing material (ACM) and debris. This resulted in the demolition of all structures, 5 Section 3 ‐ Site Profile Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile including those on the target property, except a single structure adjoining the target site to the south. This building was subsequently demolished for construction of the senior housing development. Cleanup of the site began in the late 1980s, funded primarily by Columbia Mills. As described in the separately bound Phase I ESA report for this Site Profile, the larger 87‐acre Columbia Mills site historically contained two ponds north of the target site used to store process water, and a five‐acre landfill containing drums, ash, and debris was located west of the target property in a fenced area. The ponds have since been replaced with an amphibian breeding pond, and the landfill has been expanded to include a leachate collection system that is directed to the Minetto wastewater treatment plant. The overall Columbia Mills site continues to be under management by NYSDEC. According to NYSDEC, a portion of the site is subject to deed restriction prohibiting soil and groundwater use at the property, due to the former Columbia Mills Company’s status as a closed inactive hazardous waste site. From information provided by NYSDEC, the portion of the property under deed restriction appears to be less than 0.1 acres and is restricted to the footprint of former Building 15, which was located along the northern boundary of the site. This deed restriction is not expected to impact the proposed redevelopment of the site but will require coordination with NYSDEC to ensure that site soils and groundwater are handled in accordance with NYSDEC requirements during construction and long‐term operation of the site. Also, according to data from the National Wetlands Inventory, portions of the larger former Columbia Mills site is encumbered by federally‐designated wetlands, however these are just outside the 7‐acre target site to the north and west. Other environmental features such as state wetlands and a 100‐yr flood zone are present on nearby properties but do not appear to be existent on the site, as illustrated on Figure 4 in Appendix A. It is suggested users of this Site Profile document refer to the Phase I ESA for more detailed environmental information and findings pertaining to the 7‐acre target site. 3.5 Soil Characteristics / Bearing Capacity Mapping from the National Resource Conservation Service was used to determine preliminary soil characteristics on the former Columbia Mills site and is depicted on Figure 5 in Appendix A. Over 90 percent of the site rests on stable cut and fill land. The remainder of the site is made up of Ira gravelly fine sandy loam and water. Cut and fill land is a member of Hydrologic Group C, meaning that water in this soil is transmitted downward slowly. Ira gravelly fine sandy loam is a member of Hydrologic Group D with very slow downward water transmission. On January 22, 23, and 24, 2013, Lyon Drilling Company, Inc. advanced four (4) borings to depths ranging 8 to 20 feet below top of grade. The borings were located as follows; north‐east corner, south‐ east corner, south‐west corner, and north‐west corner of the lot as illustrated in Figure 5. The borings were advanced using a truck‐mounted CME‐55 drill rig with 3 1/4 –inch diameter hollow stem auger 6 Section 3 ‐ Site Profile Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile drilling techniques. Samples were obtained by driving a 2‐inch diameter split‐spoon sampler with a 140 pound hammer in accordance with ASTM D‐1586 (Standard Penetration Test). The hammer blows recorded for each six inch interval during sampling from the 6‐inch to 24‐inch interval are referred to as “Penetration resistance” and are designated as the “N value” on the boring logs, which are provided in Appendix C. The N value is utilized as the index of soil density, consistency, and strength. The N values presented on the boring logs have not been corrected and are field values. At the bottom of the boring level the driller encountered soils consisting of saturated brown fine to course sand with little fine gravel and possible sandstone. The blow counts at this level achieved an average N value of 39. The bearing material located at 6 feet below grade consisted of moist brown fine sand, trace silt, and fill materials with an average N value of 10. The lowest N value at 6 feet was in the north‐west quadrant with an N‐Value of 5. The borings logs and related information depict subsurface conditions only at the specific locations and time indicated. Subsurface conditions and water elevations at other locations may differ from conditions at the location where sampling was conducted. The passage of time also may result in changes in the conditions interpreted to exist at the locations where sampling was conducted. Soil samples obtained during drilling were classified by the driller’s observation using the Unified Soil Classification System in accordance with ASTM D‐2487. Groundwater was encountered at an average depth of 6 feet, however, the groundwater table will vary with the seasons and changes in precipitation patterns and may be higher during the wetter seasons. Subsurface conditions and water levels at other locations may differ from conditions at the locations where sampling was conducted. The passage of time also may result in changes in the conditions interpreted to exist at the locations where sampling was conducted. Two scenarios were investigated for future construction on the 7‐acre target site. Scenario‐A consisted of a 125’x80’ building two stories tall for a total square footage of 20,000 ft2. The foundation would be three rows of columns parallel to the 125’ wall with columns spaced at 15’‐7 1/2” along the two outside walls and center interior. Scenario‐B consisted of a 240’x65’ building two story tall for a total square footage of 30,000 ft2. The two long walls would be continuous bearing. To reach a depth greater than extreme frost penetration both foundations will reach at least 5’. Design loads for both buildings were assumed for a light commercial building with dead loads consisting of 15psf for the interior floors and roof, live load of 100psf for the interior floors, and a balanced snow load of 42psf based on a 60psf ground snow load. All loads and design were based on The 2010 New York State Building Code and ASCE 7‐05. For scenario‐A it was found a square footing of 10’x10’ for interior columns and 7’x7’ for external columns would likely be required. For Scenario‐B it was found a continuous footing of 3’ in width would be satisfactory. Calculations for both scenarios were based on a depth of 5’ for both foundations with assumed cohesionless soils, an effective friction angle of at least 30˚, and effective unit weight of 7 Section 3 ‐ Site Profile Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile 105pcf. Per NYS building code section 1804.2; the maximum allowable foundation pressure for supporting soils at or near the surface shall not exceed 2,000psf for sand and silty sand soils unless data to substantiate the use of higher values is submitted and approved. Our analysis found a higher bearing capacity may be substantiated; however, further testing by a geotechnical engineer would need to be performed. A maximum bearing pressure of 2,000psf was assumed for the purpose of the foundation design. The boring logs depict subsurface conditions for specific locations and dates. The recommendations and observations presented assume that significant variations do not occur at the site. Non‐uniform conditions, however, cannot be ruled out by the methods of investigation performed. 3.6 Site Utilities Existing utility information was obtained through as‐built plans, survey’s and interviews with individual service providers. Based on review of available utility data for the area, there are adequate utilities to serve the potential needs of likely site redevelopment scenarios. Approximate utility locations are shown on Figure 6 in Appendix A and further summarized below. Electric Service 34.5 kVA overhead electrical service is provided to the former Columbia Mills site along the east side of NYS Route 48. Historically, electrical service has been provided by the hydroelectric generation plant located directly across NYS Route 48 from the target site on the Oswego River and produced 8000kw of electricity to the regional grid system. That electricity was then conveyed to the Seneca Hill Substation off of County Route 42 for distribution. Further, immediate access to a 4800 volt dual feed system is available in either single or three phase systems and can be accessed along the north, east, and southern boundaries of the larger Columbia Mills property. Generally, electrical availability and capacity is sufficient for most any type of future redevelopment on not only the initial 7‐acre target site that is the subject of this Site Profile, but also the larger former Columbia Mills industrial property. Gas Service There is a 6” distribution line located along the west side of NYS Route 48 parallel to the target site’s road frontage. Also, there is a 12” high pressure transmission line present on the east side of NYS Route 48. Municipal Water Supply The Onondaga County Water Authority (OCWA) and its wholesaler, the Onondaga County Metropolitan Water Board (MWB), provide water service to the Minetto area. The closest tank operated by OCWA is located on Tug Hill Road in the Town of Oswego, about 5 miles north from the subject property. A 54‐ inch Metropolitan Water Board water transmission line parallels the former Erie Lackawanna railroad tracks to the west of the target site adjacent to the larger Columbia Mills property line. Important to note is that additional abandoned water lines may be present beneath the former structures on the 7‐ 8 Section 3 ‐ Site Profile Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile acre target site near the NYS Route 48 roadway. Currently, potable water is supplied directly to the site by a 12‐inch transmission line which conveys water along NY‐48. The OCWA indicates that a 500,000 gallon per day max would likely be available to the site based on current average daily demands for water service in the area. However, if needed and with an appropriate infrastructure investment, a one million gallon per day service levels or potentially higher could be supplied. This is important for the County when considering full buildout of the larger former Columbia Mills industrial site. Municipal Sewer The sanitary sewer system is comprised of 10‐ and 15‐inch trunk lines, a pumping station, a force main, a sewage treatment plant just to the north of the target site and to the south of County Route 42, and an 18‐inch outfall sewer. Stormwater from the site is collected along the roadway collection system, conveyed under NYS Route 48 via culvert structures and discharged into the Oswego River. The Town of Minetto Wastewater Treatment Plant (WWTP) has two tanks, each with a daily capacity of 600,000 gallons. It is currently using one tank and is operating at 25% of its capacity. Telecommunications Overhead cable television and internet lines owned by Time Warner Cable are present on the east side of NYS Route 48 across from the target site. Also, overhead and underground lines owned by Verizon are present for telephone and internet services to the Columbia Mills site. Image 4: Transformer box and electrical meter on site 9 Section 3 ‐ Site Profile Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile 3.7 Zoning and Land Use The site, being located in the Town of Minetto, is subject to local zoning regulations and coverage requirements. Likely due to the former Columbia Mills industrial operation, the site is zoned Industrial (IN). The following uses are identified as permitted uses within the Town’s Industrial District: Enclosed Manufacturing Industries; Enclosed Warehouse or Wholesale Use; Public Utility; Enclosed Service and Repair; Enclosed Industrial Processes and Services; Machinery and Transportation Equipment, Sales, Service and Repair; Freight or Trucking Terminal; Garage; Gasoline Station, Car Wash; Parking; and Accessory Use. Based on the site already being zoned Industrial (IN), no zone change request applications would be required by the Town of Minetto for future industrial development uses. Furthermore, minimum bulk requirements per the Town’s zoning code are as follows: Lot Area Minimum: Lot Frontage Minimum: Lot Depth Minimum: 10,000 sq. ft. 75 ft. 125 ft. Setback Requirements – Front Yard Minimum: 30 ft. Rear and Side Yard Minimum: 20 ft., or 30 ft. when abutting residential districts Coverage Maximum: Building Height Maximum: 40% Two stories or 45 ft., whichever is less Land use in the vicinity of the site is a mixture of residential, commercial, industrial, civic, and vacant uses. Brookfield Power now operates the hydroelectric dam on the Oswego River just across NY‐48 from the target site. Many of the former factory buildings between NY‐48 and the river are either used as storage space or are vacant. The Minetto Senior Apartments are just south of the subject property. The Minetto Volunteer Fire Department building is adjacent to the southwestern corner of the site and a single family residential property borders the northeastern corner of the site. The north and west boundaries of the 7‐acre target site are buffered by woodlands and ponds stretching west to the 10 Section 3 ‐ Site Profile Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile railroad line and north to the Town of Minetto wastewater treatment facility. Figures 7 and 8 in Appendix A graphically illustrate land use and zoning attributes on and adjacent to the target site. 3.8 Transportation Infrastructure From a transportation perspective, the site is geographically located in the Northeastern United States and within close proximity to Southeastern Canada. A complete transportation network is available including highways, water, rail and air to provide fast and efficient movement of products and raw materials. Summarized below is a cross section of the transportation infrastructure in proximity to the Former Columbia Mills site. These features are also illustrated on Figure 8 in Appendix A. Highway The site is located strategically in close proximity to both County and State highways. NYS Route 48 runs north‐south along the site’s immediate eastern boundary. NY‐48 connects the Cities of Oswego and Fulton. NYS Route 481 runs parallel to NY‐48 on the east side of the Oswego River and is located approximately one mile to the east of the site. The Minetto Bridge is about .25 miles south of the site and is the only crossing on the Oswego River between the Cities of Oswego and Fulton. Interstate 81 is approximately 23 miles to the east, providing access to northern New York and Canada as well as downstate New York and Pennsylvania. The New York State Thruway (I‐90) is approximately 24 miles to the south, providing access to Syracuse, Rochester, Buffalo, Utica, and Albany. Railroad A rail line runs just to the west of the target site, connecting the City of Oswego with points south and beyond. This line is approximately one half mile away from the target property. Rail spurs into the 7‐acre target site area connected the former Columbia Mills facility with this line in the past. Further site investigation is needed to determine the condition of these sidings. Across the Oswego River, a north‐south rail line extends northward to East Oswego and along the eastern Lake Ontario shoreline from points south. This line is approximately one mile to the east of the target site. Airports The Oswego County Airport is a general aviation facility located approximately 7 miles to the southeast of the site just outside the City of Fulton. Additionally, full commercial flight service is available at Syracuse Hancock International Airport, which is located approximately 31 miles to the south in the Town of Salina just outside the City of Syracuse. 11 Section 3 ‐ Site Profile Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile Water‐based Ports The Port of Oswego is located approximately 5 miles to the north of the site at the outlet of the Oswego River. The Port includes a wharf which is an intermodal facility providing transportation connectivity from water to land via highway and railroad. Additionally, the Oswego River/Oswego Canal is located a few hundred feet from the target site. Lock O5 of the NYS Canal System is also located in Minetto. 12 Section 3 ‐ Site Profile Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile 4.0 MARKET ANALYSIS As part of the Former Columbia Mills Site Profile, a preliminary economic and market analysis was conducted to begin assessing viable options for redevelopment of the former industrial site in the Town of Minetto, Oswego County, New York. The analysis included an examination of demographics, local, and regional market data provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, a Shift‐Share Analysis, and Esteban‐ Marquillas Extension assessment methods. Economic figures for Oswego County and for the Syracuse MSA were used as proxies for market conditions around the target site. It was determined that the local Minetto economy in the vicinity of the site mirrored that of the County and MSA, albeit at a smaller scale. The market analysis section will first establish existing market conditions using 2011 employment data. It will then apply predictive economic measures to address potential future uses for the site. A list of potential target industrial will be produced, categorized as high‐performing sectors or emerging sectors in the Oswego County and Syracuse MSA region. 4.1 Existing Economic Conditions Oswego County The Port of Oswego and the NYS Canal System helped make Oswego County and the Syracuse MSA hot beds of manufacturing during the 19th and 20th centuries. Today, they continue an economic restructuring away from heavy reliance on the manufacturing sector. In 2001, manufacturing and retail trade employed the most people in Oswego County. However, with the closing or cutting of work forces of several large manufacturing facilities in Oswego County between 2001 and 2011, employment in manufacturing declined by over 35 percent, on par with New York State trends. The health care, accommodation and food service, and administrative and waste sectors each experienced moderate increases in employment over the 10‐year period. By 2011, health care had overtaken manufacturing and retail as the largest employment sector in the county. 13 Section 4 – Market Analysis Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile Table 2: Oswego County Employment Trends 2001‐2011 Other services, except public … Arts, entertainment, and recreation Finance and insurance Transportation and warehousing Educational services 2011 Management of companies and … 2001 Retail trade Manufacturing Utilities Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting Industry 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Syracuse MSA The Syracuse MSA, which includes Onondaga, Madison, and Oswego Counties, continued similar employment reductions in manufacturing industries between 2001 and 2011. The MSA lost 35% of its manufacturing jobs over the 10‐year period. While this mirrored trends statewide, the Syracuse utilities industry lost employment at nearly 3 times the NYS average rate and losses in the information sector doubled the state. Accommodation and food service and arts and entertainment were among industries to fair well over the first decade of the 21st century. Health care and social assistance was the sector of largest employment in 2011. 14 Section 4 – Market Analysis Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile Table 3: Syracuse MSA Employment 2001‐2011 Unclassified Other services, except public administration Accommodation and food services Arts, entertainment, and recreation Real estate and rental and leasing Finance and insurance Information Transportation and warehousing Health care and social assistance Educational services Administrative and waste services Management of companies and enterprises Professional and technical services Retail trade Wholesale trade Manufacturing Construction Utilities Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 2011 2001 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics The restructuring of the regional economy has precipitated this analysis. Minetto was once a factory town on the banks of the Oswego River, utilizing low‐cost electricity via a hydro‐electric power dam, which is directly adjacent to the former Columbia Mills site. When the factory ceased operations in the 1970s, industry has struggled to fill the void left behind. With extensive environmental cleanup and land clearance, the former Columbia Mills site is poised to rejoin the real estate market. Location Quotient Location quotients reveal which industries have a particularly high level of employment relative to the size of the local economy. Using New York State as a basis, the location quotient measured employment share for industries in Oswego County and the Syracuse MSA using Bureau of Labor Statistics data. While not an indicator of future job growth in itself, the location quotient helps to establish which local industries employ more or less people than would be expected when compared to a benchmark economy; in this case, the New York State economy. Industries with a location quotient greater than one have a larger employment share than would be expected based on state levels while those lower than one indicate less employment than would be expected. 15 Section 4 – Market Analysis Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile Table 4: Location Quotient by Local Industries Industry NAICS NAICS NAICS NAICS NAICS NAICS NAICS NAICS NAICS NAICS NAICS NAICS NAICS NAICS NAICS NAICS NAICS NAICS NAICS NAICS Oswego County, New York % 2001 2011 Change ND 3.13 ND 2.4 3.75% 14.93 15.49 0.93% 1.08 1.09 7.53% 1.86 2 0.38 0.42 10.53% 7.25% 1.38 1.48 0.7 0.43 -38.57% 0.46 0.22 -52.17% 0.32 0.37 15.63% 0.31 0.27 -12.90% ND 0.37 ND 0.07 0.52 0.66 26.92% 0.19 0.08 -57.89% 0.95 8.42% 1.03 0.69 0.62 -10.14% -4.24% 1.65 1.58 -1.90% 1.05 1.03 0.7 0.73 4.29% 11 Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 21 Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 22 Utilities 23 Construction 31-33 Manufacturing 42 Wholesale trade 44-45 Retail trade 48-49 Transportation and warehousing 51 Information 52 Finance and insurance 53 Real estate and rental and leasing 54 Professional and technical services 55 Management of companies and enterprises 56 Administrative and waste services 61 Educational services 62 Health care and social assistance 71 Arts, entertainment, and recreation 72 Accommodation and food services 81 Other services, except public administration 99 Unclassified Note: Green cells indicate high local employment shares. Syracuse, NY MSA % 2001 2011 Change ND ND ND ND 3.47 2.79 -19.60% 3.88% 1.03 1.07 5.62% 1.6 1.69 7.83% 1.15 1.24 -1.72% 1.16 1.14 9.35% 1.07 1.17 0.67 0.54 -19.40% 0.68 0.76 11.76% 0.57 0.6 5.26% ND 0.75 ND ND ND ND ND 1.04 ND 0.89 0.71 0.83 16.90% -5.17% 1.16 1.1 0.99 0.89 -10.10% 0.33 0.37 12.12% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Both the County and MSA maintain high location quotients in manufacturing even as the sector continues to decline. This will likely result in continued job losses in that sector. Utilities, accommodation and food services, and retail trade hold high employment shares in Oswego County. This may be due to the prevalence of the nuclear energy industry in the region. The Syracuse MSA also has high location quotients in utilities and in wholesale trade and transportation and warehousing as well. Low location quotients in fields such as finance and insurance and professional and technical services within both areas suggest that employment in these sectors is below what would be expected. The education sector in Oswego County and the health care sector in Syracuse each have curiously low location quotients as well. As a result, such industries could be under‐serving local demand and may be poised for emergence as growth industries. 16 Section 4 – Market Analysis Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile 4.2 Cluster Analysis Beginning with these employment figures and location quotients, more advanced measurements for predicting future sector behavior were determined for Oswego County and the Syracuse MSA. The Shift‐Share Analysis and Esteban‐Marquillas Extension methods were utilized to develop locally‐relevant industrial cluster analysis. This analysis can be used to help guide policy intervention from the municipal level, but also can be used to assess which industries the study area should target in implementing revitalization plans. In Oswego County, economic mainstays manufacturing and retail have been relegated to “transforming” sectors, needing to reorient or restructure themselves in order to be more competitive in the regional and statewide economy. The County holds a critical industry as a “star” sector. Health care and social assistance is the sole industry functioning at an optimal level in the local economy as a highly competitive industry with high local concentration compared to the state average. As a nationally growing industry, it figures to continue this growth as the baby‐boomer generation ages and increases demand on such services. The current strength in this sector positions the MSA to take further advantage of growth in the health care industry. Wholesale trade, finance and insurance, and administrative and waste services are categorized as “emerging” sectors that are operating competitively but are low in local concentration. These industries may increase in importance in the future in terms of local employment. Table 5: Oswego County Industrial Cluster Analysis Not Competitive High Local Concentration • • • • • • Low Local Concentration • • • • Transforming Sectors Manufacturing Retail Trade Utilities Accommodation and Food Services Construction Transportation and Warehousing Declining Sectors Real Estate, Rental, and Leasing Information Arts and Entertainment Education Services 17 Section 4 – Market Analysis Competitive • “Star” Sectors Health Care and Social Assistance • • • Emerging Sectors Wholesale Trade Finance and Insurance Administrative and Waste Services Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile Syracuse’s geographic position at the crossroads of Interstates 90 and 81 and in the center of New York State is reflected in its “star” sectors of wholesale trade and transportation and warehousing. Manufacturing and retail trade maintain their places as locally concentrated industries despite significant job loss over the past decade. While data availability prevents health care from appearing on this table, it now is the sector of greatest employment in Syracuse. Finance and insurance and arts, entertainment, and recreation are emerging industries in the area with concentration below what would be expected when compared to the state benchmark. In addition to manufacturing and retail trade, industries like utilities, construction, and accommodation and food services are transforming industries existing in high local concentration but lacking in statewide competitiveness. Table 6: Syracuse MSA Industrial Cluster Analysis Not Competitive High Local Concentration Low Local Concentration • • • • • • • • Transforming Sectors Utilities Retail Trade Manufacturing Construction Accommodation and Food Services Declining Sectors Information Real Estate, Rental, and Leasing Other services, except public admin. Competitive • • “Star” Sectors Wholesale Trade Transportation and Warehousing • • Emerging Sectors Finance and insurance Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 4.3 Potential Policy Implications These findings can have a variety of impacts on local policy making. It is important for local policy makers to focus their efforts on industries that show growth potential but are not yet saturated locally. Referring to the cluster analysis charts, focus should be placed on “emerging sectors.” Industries that are already competitive and highly concentrated locally are functioning well and may not require any policy intervention. “Transforming sectors” are no longer competitive but remain highly concentrated, potentially requiring policy interventions to assist these stalwart industries in rejuvenating their business cycle locally. Declining sectors lack local concentration but also lack competitiveness. This may question the sustainability of these industries and the sustainability of any local policy intervention. Should intervention be deemed appropriate by the Town, County, or Central New York Regional Economic Development Council, strategies to augment the performance of target industries include: 18 Section 4 – Market Analysis Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile 1) Build specialized infrastructure (transportation, telecommunications, regulatory environments, etc.); 2) Fill missing links in supply chains with targeted firm attraction; 3) Increase workforce skills and training to prepare for industries that are likely to grow; and, 4) Engage in a cluster marketing program. Initiatives to redevelop the former Columbia Mills Industrial site in Minetto must be cognizant of potential policy interventions. Such efforts should also exert energy to influence policy changes so that they are advantageous to development of the site. Generally, emerging sectors or transforming sectors that are likely to be targeted with public policy intervention include manufacturing, retail trade, utilities, construction, accommodation and food services, and finance and insurance in both Oswego County and in the Syracuse MSA. Additionally, transportation and warehousing is classified as transforming while wholesale trade and administrative and waste services are listed as emerging in the County. Also, the arts, entertainment, and recreation sector is categorized as emerging in the Syracuse MSA. 4.4 Organizational Stakeholders As marketing for redevelopment of the site continues, the input of potentially significant stakeholders should be solicited in an effort to engage the community, promote redevelopment through such organizations, and ultimately to ensure the long term viability of the site. They are as follows: ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 4.5 Town of Minetto Minetto Fire Department National Grid NYS Canal Corporation Minetto Midway Drive‐In Minetto Senior Apartments SUNY Oswego Greater Oswego‐Fulton Chamber of Commerce Potential Target Industries Armed with knowledge of regional industrial trends and potential policy interventions, more precise data allows target industries to be uncovered. Using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, this time at a more precise subsector level, high‐performing sectors that may seek expansion at the target site were identified. Subsequently, attention was given to “emerging” sectors, industries that hold comparative advantage and lack expected local concentration. These industries are also identified and provide opportunities for Oswego to anticipate market trends. Examining further, acknowledgement was given to the site’s rural environment for both high‐performing and emerging industry analysis in order to remove industries that are commonly urban in nature. 19 Section 4 – Market Analysis Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile The resulting list of potential target industries for the former Columbia Mills Site, that are performing at optimum levels in the region, is as follows: (NOTE: industry descriptions are as described by the 2012 NAICS Definitions of the US Census Bureau) Health Care and Social Assistance This sector is among the high‐performing industries in Oswego County and is among the leading employers in the Syracuse MSA. The site is located adjacent to the Minetto Senior Apartments and within one mile of the Manor at Seneca Hill. Ambulatory Health Care Sector ‐ Provide health care services directly or indirectly to ambulatory patients and do not usually provide inpatient services. Health practitioners in this subsector provide outpatient services, with the facilities and equipment not usually being the most significant part of the production process. Hospitals – Provide medical, diagnostic, and treatment services that include physician, nursing, and other health services to inpatients and the specialized accommodation services required by inpatients. Hospitals may also provide outpatient services as a secondary activity. Nursing and Residential Care Facilities – Provide residential care combined with either nursing, supervisory, or other types of care as required by the residents. In this subsector, the facilities are a significant part of the production process and the care provided is a mix of health and social services with the health services being largely some level of nursing services. Social Assistance ‐ Provide a wide variety of social assistance services directly to their clients including services for the disabled, meal delivery programs, food banks, community meals, emergency and transitional housing, vocational rehabilitation, and child day care. These services do not include residential or accommodation services, except on a short stay basis. Merchant Wholesales for Nondurable Goods Nondurable goods are items generally with a normal life expectancy of less than three years. Nondurable goods merchant wholesale trade establishments are engaged in wholesaling products, such as paper and paper products, chemicals and chemical products, drugs, textiles and textile products, apparel, footwear, groceries, farm products, petroleum and petroleum products, alcoholic beverages, books, magazines, newspapers, flowers and nursery stock, and tobacco products. 20 Section 4 – Market Analysis Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile The resulting list of potential target industries for the former Columbia Mills Site, that are emerging sectors in the region, is as follows: Administrative and Support Services The processes employed in this sector (e.g., general management, personnel administration, clerical activities, cleaning activities) are often integral parts of the activities of establishments found in all sectors of the economy. The establishments classified in this subsector have specialization in one or more of these activities and can, therefore, provide services to clients in a variety of industries and, in some cases, to households. Many of the activities performed in this subsector are ongoing routine support functions that all businesses and organizations must do and that they have traditionally done for themselves. Recent trends, however, are to contract or purchase such services from businesses that specialize in such activities and can, therefore, provide the services more efficiently. Real Estate Industries in the Real Estate subsector group establishments that are primarily engaged in: o Renting or leasing real estate to others; o Managing real estate for others; o Selling, buying, or renting real estate for others; and o Providing other real estate related services, such as appraisal services. This subsector includes equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) that are primarily engaged in leasing buildings, dwellings, or other real estate property to others. Credit Intermediation Industries in the Credit Intermediation and Related Activities subsector group establishments that: o Lend funds raised from depositors; o Lend funds raised from credit market borrowing; o Facilitate the lending of funds or issuance of credit by engaging in such activities as mortgage and loan brokerage, clearinghouse and reserve services, and check cashing services. 21 Section 4 – Market Analysis Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction The Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction subsector comprises establishments whose primary activity is the construction of entire engineering projects (e.g., highways and dams), and specialty trade contractors, whose primary activity is the production of a specific component for such projects. Specialty trade contractors in Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction generally are performing activities that are specific to heavy and civil engineering construction projects and are not normally performed on buildings. The work performed may include new work, additions, alterations, or maintenance and repairs. Specialty trade activities are classified in this subsector if the skills and equipment present are specific to heavy or civil engineering construction projects. For example, specialized equipment is needed to paint lines on highways. This equipment is not normally used in building applications so the activity is classified in this subsector. Construction projects involving water resources (e.g., dredging and land drainage) and projects involving open space improvement (e.g., parks and trails) are included in this subsector. Establishments whose primary activity is the subdivision of land into individual building lots usually perform various additional site‐improvement activities (e.g., road building and utility line installation) and are included in this subsector. Chemical Manufacturing The Chemical Manufacturing subsector is based on the transformation of organic and inorganic raw materials by a chemical process and the formulation of products. This industry group comprises establishments primarily engaged in manufacturing chemicals using basic processes, such as thermal cracking and distillation. Other subgroups include: o Resin, synthetic rubber, and artificial synthetic fibers and filaments manufacturing; o Pesticide, fertilizer, and other agricultural chemical manufacturing; o Pharmaceutical and medicine manufacturing; o Paint, coating, and adhesive manufacturing; o Soap, cleaning compound, and toilet preparation manufacturing; and o Other chemical product and preparation manufacturing. Amusements, Gambling, and Recreation Operate facilities where patrons can primarily engage in sports, recreation, amusement, or gambling activities; and/or 22 Section 4 – Market Analysis Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile Provide other amusement and recreation services, such as supplying and servicing amusement devices in places of business operated by others; operating sports teams, clubs, or leagues engaged in playing games for recreational purposes; and guiding tours without using transportation equipment. 23 Section 4 – Market Analysis Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile 5.0 SUMMARY OF DEVELOPMENT ASSETS AND LIMITATIONS The target site on a portion of the former Columbia Mills property as outlined in this report has several development assets that would benefit a potential purchaser of the property for industrial or commercial use. Site Development Assets At approximately 7 acres, the site has sufficient buildable area to accommodate a moderately sized industrial and/or commercial development operation including associated parking, on‐site stormwater systems, setbacks, landscaping and amenities. Due to the abundance of vacant land on the remaining 80+/‐ acres of the former Columbia Mills site, future businesses on the site would have an opportunity for expansion within close proximity of the target site. Despite having generally non‐compatible residential land uses immediately to the southwest and north of the target site, there exists an abundance of woodland areas within and surrounding the site that could provide a natural buffer between future developments on the site and neighboring property. The vast majority of the site is generally flat with gentle slopes throughout. Natural drainage patterns gently slope towards the wetlands adjacent to the target site. With proper stormwater management design, the location of the wetlands will aid future development and the collection, filtration, conveyance, and discharge of future stormwater systems. All requisite utilities and associated flow capacities needed to accommodate a light to moderate industrial operation on the site are present either right up to the site or within close proximity. Connecting to existing utilities would be a nominal cost for future construction. The site is currently zoned Industrial. As such, no zone changes or variances would be required for future industrial or commercial development on the site. The site is fully equipped with access to all major transportation modes, including water, rail, air, and highway. 24 Section 5 – Summary of Development Assets and Limitations Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site Profile Site Development Limitations Underground water lines that remain from the former Columbia Mills factory buildings may still exist, however the presence of these lines will not necessarily inhibit potential future development. If anything, future builders will need to be mindful of their locations. A Phase II ESA conducted by ENSR in 2006 identified low‐level metal and SVOC exceedances in soil and groundwater in the southeastern corner of the target site near NY Route 48. The remainder of the target site was not evaluated as part of that investigation. As a result, and despite our belief that gross contamination is not present on the remainder of the target site, a Phase II investigation should be conducted to confirm our findings and opinions in this regard. Although a very minor development limitation, it should be noted that according to NYSDEC, a portion of the site is subject to deed restriction prohibiting soil and groundwater use at the property, due to the former Columbia Mills Company’s status as a closed inactive hazardous waste site. From information provided by NYSDEC, the portion of the property under deed restriction appears to be less than 0.1 acres and is restricted to the footprint of former Building 15, which was located along the northern boundary of the site. This deed restriction is not expected to impact the proposed redevelopment of the site but will require coordination with NYSDEC to ensure that site soils and groundwater are handled in accordance with NYSDEC requirements during construction and long‐term operation of the site. To conclude, this Comprehensive Site Profile finds that the target site has several assets that benefit a potential buyer or developer with little development limitations at this time. Strategic highway access, an abundance of road frontage, existing utilities, and sufficient buildable space on site allow for a flexible approach to future development scenarios that best fit with the intent of the Town of Minetto, Oswego County and the surrounding area. 25 Section 5 – Summary of Development Assets and Limitations APPENDIX A Map Figures Appendix A – Map Figures Oswego County Regional Location Map Operation Oswego County, Inc. Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site New York Former Columbia Mills Target Site Location µ Date March 2013 Scale As Shown Figure Number 1 File Number 556.008 Legend Target Site 0 Data Sources: Basemap - USGS Topographic Quad (Oswego East) 1.5 3 Miles This map is to be used for reference purposes only. Bartonand Loguidice P.C. is not responsible or liable for any inaccuracies herein contained. n Tow fM no y olne of V tto in e Tow R OU TE Electric Panel Box TE STA Brookfield Power Hydroelectric Dam 48 Drain (septic?) Former Columbia Mills Factory Structure Minetto Senior Housing Oswego County Drain (septic?) Site Map Operation Oswego County, Inc. Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site New York Concrete Piles from Prior Demolition µ Date March 2013 Scale As Shown Legend Figure Number Target Site File Number 556.008 Tax Parcel Boundary Municipal Boundary Data Sources: Basemap - ESRI Map Service; Tax Parcel Boundary - Oswego County; Topography - LiDAR 2 0 50 100 Feet This map is to be used for reference purposes only. Bartonand Loguidice P.C. is not responsible or liable for any inaccuracies herein contained. 310' 9' 28 9' 290' 28 2 8 9' New York 29 1' 28 290' 28 9' 290' 289' Oswego County 290' Site Topography 310' 310' 306' 310' 8' 3 6' 306' 30 306' 306' 3 307' 310' 309' 310' 308' 30 3 6' 309' 30 ' 306' 307 307' Figure Number 306' 310' 310' 3 0' 3 09 ' 310' 9' 31 31 0 8' 30 30 7' 31 1' 8' 3 File Number 556.008 3 0 7' ' 9 30 7 ' 8' 30 3 30 ' 6' ' 30 3 0' Municipal Boundary Data Sources: Basemap - ESRI Map Service; Tax Parcel Boundary - Oswego County; Topography, Slope - Derived From LiDAR Data Operation Oswego County, Inc. Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site 0' 31 ' 310 310' 31 3 310' ' 03' ' 9' 6' 11 290' 2 28 9' 289' 310' 0' 31 310' 31 3 310' 6' 30 3 01 30 30 1 3 31 ' 10 ' 13 31 0 ' 05' 3 3 31 As Shown ' 30 31 289' 289' 311' 310' 0' 3 10 ' 310' 299' 00 ' 0' 3 311' 310' 310' ' 310' 29 310' 31 0 98 ' 29 8 301' 300' 307' 30 6 ' 307' 303' 309' 0 302' 310' 310 29 9 9' ' 305 306' 07 290' 298' 310' 311' 310' 305' 297' 297' 297' 304' ' 304 309' 312' 31 ' 307 30 30 9' 310' 310' 311' 289' 8' 29 29 297' 303' 314' 2' 31 313' 28 ' 91 ' 304 ' 296 296' 296' 297' 306' 306' 313' 313' 29 29 8' 6' ' 296 292' 29 ' 2 95 295' 3 306' ' 9' 28 3 310' 4' 297' 5' 29 7' 30 ' 07 31 308' March 2013 ' 3 Date Scale 309 0' 6' ' 7' 31 30 6' 30 1 0' 6' 30 0 9' 3 08 µ 31 1' 6' 308 30 30 ' 06 ' 309' ' 1 0' 1' 309' 0' 311' 31 306' ' 10 0' 31 1 ' 3 ' 12 ' 1' 3 ' 31 311 0 6 '30 5 ' 3 0 4 31 1 ' BARRE TT Boundary DR 31 1' Tax Parcel ' 10 3 08 ' 3 0 73' 312' 9' 306' 3 1 0' 0' 309' Target Site 30 0' 31 ' 08 8' 1' Contour (LiDAR) 3 ' 309' 0' 31 310' ' 31 0 0 7' 31 310' 305' 3 3 06 1 0' 0' 31 7' 3 0 6' 3 1 5 31 0 6' 3 0' 3 309 307' 3 09 ' ' 0' 31 1' 5' 31 30 30 ' 0' ' >25 310' 310 0' ' 3 0 9' 309' 3 300' 300 ' 8' 30 ' 310 31 0' 0' ' 7' ' 10 31 30 ' 0 05 30 3 10' ' 8' 7' 3 7' 297' 3 0' 310' ' ' 10 295' 9' 0' 30 10 ' ' 7' 30 3 02' 00 305 3 0' 31 ' 30 3 06 300' 0' 30 3 10 0' ' 293' 0' ' 31 1' 1' 31 0' 31 0 2 93 ' ' 310 310 ' 2' 9' 29 311' 31 310 9' 306 3 3 3 07 ' 15.1 - 25 30 9 ' 0' 310' 309' 0' 1' 2 93 ' 31 306' 1 0' 0' 30 8.1 - 15 312' 1 3 06 ' 29 30 29 28 311 3 10 31 30 309' 2' 31 0 ' 0' 1 0' 310' ' 31 310' 3 3' 3 0 ' 298' 31 3' 31 306' Slope Analysis 310' ' 3 ' ' ' ' 29 310' 28 310' 3 31 308' 2' 299' 310 3 306' 312' 30 10 ' 3 10 2 308' 310' 298' 2' 9' 293' 31 1' 313' 299 ' 311' 310' ' 6' 28 310' 31 ' ' 5' 2 5' 9' ' 302 30 ' 8 29 309 290' 311' 3 08 310' 0 6' 296' 296' 302' 296' 2 305' 2 2 98 ' 298' 0-8 ' 8' 28 290' 3 1 1' 31 ' 3 310 310' 0' 299 313' 2' 31 3 304' 3' 30 00 ' 3 11 ' 4' 6' 31 305 ' 9' 9' 312 ' 311' ' 3 08 ' 9' ' 310' 3' 30 30 312 309' 7' 9 ' 30 3' 0 8 29 30 311' 308' 3 30 89 2 ' 8 8' 2 95 309 0' ' 30 4' ' 3 1 3' % Slope ' 09 4' 30 7' ' 304 30 ' 1' 31 10 0' 311 01 ' 3 0 5' 309 31 3 95 ' 3' 3 2 7' 29 0' 6' 9 2 9' 310' 3 1 1' 30 297' 3 0 5' 28 2 9 8' 2 06' 30 3 0 6' 3 1 0' 9 7' 306 ' 305 ' 309' 30 ' 30 6' 289 5' 2 9 6' 5' 30 2 8 9' 289' ' 29 31 2 ' 308 30 9' ' 310 296 ' 29 6 ' 2 299' 303' 2 94 2 96 ' 5 29 6' 290' ' 297' 296' 29 6' 9' 2 9 28 ' ' 299 5' 9 90 48 4' 295' 6' 3 1 2' 2' 291' 8 9' 9' 29 ' 299 TE 30 ' 29 5 294' 29 5 ' 3 1 1' 294' 2' 1 302' 4' 3 1 2' 312' 31 30 2 ' ' 94 ' 28 9 29 2 9 52' 3' 94 ' 90 ' 29 9' 301' 5' 3' 290 28 29 3' ' R OU 30 4' 29 305' 10 309' 29 294' 11 ' 311' TE STA 2 9 5' 290' 2 8 9' 306' 307' 310' 310' 3 0' 28 9' 29 31 0' 30 29 4' 9 2 90 ' ' 1' 308' 31 28 ' ' 289' 309' 30 9' 0 7' 308' 306' 05' 306' 307' 7' 3 6' 290' ' 05 302' 306' 3' 305' 30 30 2' 30 290' tto in e 3 306' 307' 31 1 6' 30 2' y olne of V 31 0 3 11 ' 0 5' 3 0 5' fM no ' 0' 31 0 309 ' 29 5' 3 0' 312' 305' 30 29 2 90' 9' Tow 30 29 3 30 30 30 0' 3' 302' 3 04 ' 30 5' 7' 30 ' 6 3 0 3 05' 30 29 ' 9' ' 3 0 30 8 31 3 09 ' 9 ' ' 90 28 315 ' ' 3 31 4' ' ' 10 311' 3 1 1' 305 0 312' n Tow ' 3 2' 31 310 ' 312 31 2 ' ' 30 5 31 ' 2 313 3 1 6' 311 0 50 100 Feet This map is to be used for reference purposes only. Bartonand Loguidice P.C. is not responsible or liable for any inaccuracies herein contained. a Town of Scrib olney Town of V R ANDRE S D n Tow to TE t ine R OU of M TE STA 48 Environmental Features 57 TE Operation Oswego County, Inc. Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site RO U Oswego County NT Y New York C OU µ BARRETT DR Date March 2013 Scale SC HUYLER ST Legend 100-yr Floodplain Target Site Tax Parcel Boundary Data Sources: Basemap - ESRI Map Service; Tax Parcel Boundary - Oswego County; Wetlands - NWI, NYSDEC; Flood Zones Oswego County Figure Number CHASE DR Federal Wetlands As Shown 4 File Number 556.008 COUNTY RO UTE 24 MIN ET TO ID BR 0 GE RD 50 100 Feet This map is to be used for reference purposes only. Bartonand Loguidice P.C. is not responsible or liable for any inaccuracies herein contained. n Tow fM no y olne of V Tow IrB IsC tto in e TE STA R OU TE B1 ! ? B4 ! ? C.F. B2 ! ? Soil Classifications RaB C.F. IrB - Ira gravelly fine sandy loam, 3 to 8 percent slopes w µ B3 ! ? IsC - Ira-Sodus gravelly fine sandy loams, rolling Date March 2013 RaB - Raynham silt loam, 0 to 6 percent slopes Scale As Shown W - Water ! ? Figure Number Boring Locations Target Site 556.008 Municipal Boundary IsC BARRETT DR 5 File Number Tax Parcel Boundary Data Sources: Basemap - ESRI Map Service; Tax Parcel Boundary - Oswego County; Soils - NRCS Oswego County w Soil Classifications Operation Oswego County, Inc. Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site New York 48 w 0 50 100 Feet This map is to be used for reference purposes only. Bartonand Loguidice P.C. is not responsible or liable for any inaccuracies herein contained. lney f Vo no tto Tow in e fM no Tow 10" Sewer Line 12" Water Line Oswego County 15" Sewer Line Existing Utility Infrastructure 12" High Pressure Gas Transmission Line Operation Oswego County, Inc. Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site 6" Gas Distribution Line New York Overhead Electric & Telecommunications µ Utility Infrastructure BARRETT DR Gas Date March 2013 OH Electric / Telecommunications Scale As Shown Sewer Figure Number Water Target Site Tax Parcel Boundary File Number 556.008 SC HUYLER ST Municipal Boundary Data Sources: Basemap - ESRI Map Service; Tax Parcel Boundary - Oswego County; Gas & Electric (approx.) - National Grid 6 0 100 200 Feet This map is to be used for reference purposes only. Bartonand Loguidice P.C. is not responsible or liable for any inaccuracies herein contained. MER ID A N AVE A ND COUNTY RO UTE 42 RES DR a Tow n of Scrib lney Town of Vo Tow no fM ine tt o EST UN TY RO 57 CHASE DR UTE UT E4 RD RO COUNTY RO UTE 24 8 N E AT ST W O RD E SCHUYLER ST E M IN O TT B G RID D ER µ Industrial Tax Parcel Boundary As Shown Figure Number MEEKER AVE E Data Sources: Basemap - ESRI Map Service; Tax Parcel Boundary - Oswego County; Land Use - Oswego County Real Property Scale V FULTON A Target Site March 2013 COUNT Y R OUTE 8 CM Commercial VE E ST AG Agricultural Date O KSIDE BRO A IR EM P R20 Residential COUNTY ROUTE 31 Zoning Classifications R10 Residential Zoning Classifications CO BARRETT DR Operation Oswego County, Inc. Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site DR 5 RO UTE 4 Oswego County L CR New York HIL C OU N T Y 7 File Number 556.008 0 100 200 400 Feet This map is to be used for reference purposes only. Bartonand Loguidice P.C. is not responsible or liable for any inaccuracies herein contained. R D E DR AN S a Town of Scrib ne ol y Town of V n Tow of M C OU New York tto ine Oswego County 57 TE Operation Oswego County, Inc. Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site RO U 5 RO UTE 4 Land Use NT Y C OU N T Y BARR ETT DR Land Use Vacant UT COUNTY RO UTE 24 OB TT G RID ER µ D Date March 2013 Scale E4 As Shown 8 Community Services E MIN RO Commercial E AT ST Residential SCHUYLER ST CHASE DR Agricultural Figure Number Public Services Parks & Forested Lands File Number 556.008 Target Site ST Data Sources: Basemap - ESRI Map Service; Tax Parcel Boundary - Oswego County; Land Use - Oswego County Real Property IRE EM P Tax Parcel Boundary 8 0 100 200 400 Feet This map is to be used for reference purposes only. Bartonand Loguidice P.C. is not responsible or liable for any inaccuracies herein contained. 13 ¬ « 28 " ) ¬ « 104B ¬ « 104 " )4 ¬ «3 ¬ « 69A Site Location 34 ¬ « 49 ¬ « " )3 34 " ) ¬ « 176 ¬ « 481 µ ¬ « 264 34 ¬ « Legend Date March 2013 Scale As Shown Columbia Mills Industrial Site Railroad Road Classification Figure Number 57 " ) 9 File Number State Route 556.008 County Route Local Data Sources: Basemap - ESRI Map Service (Bing Maps); Roads - USDOT New York 176 Oswego County " ) Operation Oswego County, Inc. Former Columbia Mills Industrial Site 48 ¬ « Transportation Infrastructure 69 ¬ « 0 0.5 1 2 Miles This map is to be used for reference purposes only. Bartonand Loguidice P.C. is not responsible or liable for any inaccuracies herein contained. APPENDIX B Concept Development Scenarios Appendix B – Concept Development Scenarios w FUTURE ACCES TO SITE EXPANSION AREAS *4 ‘, t 4 nb S 7” V4 POTENTIAL EXPANSION EA FOR FrUAE OFFICE SPACE, PARKIIS. ETC. - 30’ PROPERTY SETBACK ADJACENT TO RESIDENTIAL PROPERTIES -•1 I. /t SHARED PRIMARY ENjANCE WITH EXISTINGSENIqR APARTMENT FACILITY -I n a DEVELOPMENT SCENARIO A - rtOr) OgUuli(e, PC. ‘E,o,,,,ernol$dr,,tI,ts PIwfS ‘Lw,dcopeA,ch,cea, a Operaon Oswego County 20,000 SF TWO-STORY GENERAL OFFICE / HEALTH FACILITY FORMER COLUMBIA MILLS SITE MINETTO, NEW YORK SITE DATA Lot Size: 7+!- Acres Building Size: 20,000 sf (2-story) Building Coverage: Approx. 5% Front Setbacks: 30’ Side Yard Setbacks: 30’ Rear Yard Setbacks: 30’ 1408111 40 40’ 80’ 4 FUTURE ACCES TO SITE EXPANSION AREAS 4,. tt’ 30’ PROPERTY SETBACK ADJACENT TO RESIDENTIAL PROPERTIES F, t_. r •1’’ ‘• 20’ REAR SETBACK — a % •‘rc!___” .1• I r4 . •h. “ -—‘-I—. r ,1 ... I -. —I MINETTO SENIOR,S. APARTMEITS — .3 7r \\ 1’. i- jc DEVELOPMENT SCENARIO at-ton oguidice, PC. Eoq’n,,rs - E to ‘riot Scon,o,, - Flo,,oo, -L,td,c,,,MffiaIs a Operation Oswego County - B 20,000 SF TWO-STORY GENERAL OFFICE! HEALTH FACILITY 30,000 SF TWO-STORY APARTMENT COMPLEX d#S’Ik S’.I,g Is 0 C.’,I’v. NY FORMER COLUMBIA MILLS SITE MINETTO, NEW YORK Iij t ‘ SITE DATA Lot Size: 7+?- Acres Building Size: 50,000 sf Total (2-story) Building Coverage: Approx. 28% Front Setbacks: 30’ Side Yard Setbacks: 30’ Rear Yard Setbacks: 20 40’ 0 40’ 80’ APPENDIX C Boring Test Data Appendix C – Boring Test Data Client BARTON & LOGUIDICE Boring No. B1 Project No. Project LYON DRILLING CO. FORMER COLUMBIA MILLS MINETTO, NY Driller Boring Location Drill Rig Casing CME 55 3 1/4" HOLLOW STEM AUGERS 140 AS STAKED BY CLIENT Ground Water Observations in. Soil Sampler 2" SPLIT SPOON Sample Hammer: Wt. 30 lb. Fall 1 Surface Elevation lb. Fall Casing Hammer: Wt. of Date Started Date Completed BORING LOG Location RT 48 1 01/22/13 01/22/13 HARRY LYON Sheet in. Rock Sampler: Date Time Casing at Hole at Water at 01/22/13 01/22/13 1:15 PM 1:30 PM 7.5 OUT 8.1 6.3 DRY DRY Other: From (Ft) To (Ft) Sample Type 5 Sample Number Depth SOIL 1 0.0 2.0 S 2 2.0 4.0 3 4.0 4 5 Sample Depth Blows on Sampler 0'/0.5' 0.5'/1.0' 1.0'/1.5' N 1.5'/2.0' Rock Recovery Ft. % 7 14 10 7 24 S 5 5 2 2 7 6.0 S 2 1 9 28 10 6.0 7.3 S 25 40 50/.3 8.0 8.1 S 50/.1 RQD 10 15 Sample Recovery COLD SNOW Weather Conditions: MATERIAL DESCRIPTION 1.0 MOIST BROWN FINE TO COARSE SAND AND FINE GRAVEL WITH COBBLES (FILL) 1.1 MOIST BROWN FINE TO MEDIUM SAND TRACE COAL (FILL) 1.3 MOIST BROWN COMPACT FINE SAND. LITTLE 1.2 MEDIUM TO COARSE SAND. TRACE FINE GRAVEL POSSIBLE WEATHERED BEDROCK 0.0 BORING TERMINATED AT 8.0' REMARKS Depth of Change 2.0 5.5 7.2 1/24/2013 BORING RELOCATED 8' WEST REFUSAL ENCOUNTERED AT 7.6' BORING RELOCATION 3.0' EAST REFUSAL AT 6.2' 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 7426 SHACKHAM ROAD TULLY, N.Y. PHONE (607)842-6580 Client BARTON & LOGUIDICE Boring No. B2 Project No. Project LYON DRILLING CO. FORMER COLUMBIA MILLS 1 of Date Started Date Completed BORING LOG Location RT 48 1 01/24/13 01/24/13 HARRY LYON Sheet MINETTO, NY Driller Boring Location Drill Rig Casing CME 55 3 1/4" HOLLOW STEM AUGERS Surface Elevation lb. Fall Casing Hammer: Wt. Ground Water Observations in. Soil Sampler 2" SPLIT SPOON 140 Sample Hammer: Wt. 30 lb. Fall in. Rock Sampler: Date Time Casing at Hole at Water at 01/24/13 01/24/13 2:30 PM 3:05 PM 13.5 OUT 14.8 12.4 12.8 11.9 Other: From (Ft) To (Ft) Sample Type 1 0.0 2.0 S 2 2.0 4.0 S 3 4.0 4.4 S 50/.4 4 6.0 8.0 S 15 6 5 5 11 0.8 5 8.0 10.0 S 2 2 8 11 10 6 10.0 S 8 9 50/.4 7 12.0 S 12 11 36 15 8 14.0 11.4 11.4 13.7 13.7 14.3 0.9 ROTTEN WOOD, TRACE BRICK MOIST BROWN COARSE TO FINE SAND AND FINE 0.9 GRAVEL. TRACE ROOTS. TRACE COAL BECOMING WET 1.0 WET RED BROWN FINE TO COARSE SAND 0.3 MOIST RED BROWN LAMINATED POSSIBLE SANDSTONE BORING TERMINATED AT 14.8' Depth Sample Number SOIL Sample Recovery COLD SNOW Weather Conditions: 5 Sample Depth Blows on Sampler 0'/0.5' 0.5'/1.0' 1.0'/1.5' N 1.5'/2.0' Rock Recovery Ft. % 4 12 17 18 29 9 14 14 15 28 RQD 10 50/.2 S 50/.3 47 MATERIAL DESCRIPTION 1.0 TOPSOIL MOIST RED BROWN COARSE TO FINE SAND AND 1.3 FINE GRAVEL WITH OCCASIONAL COBBLES (FILL) 0.0 REMARKS Depth of Change 2.0 BOULDER 4'-5.1' 9.0 9.5 10.5 12.0 13.5 AUGER REFUSAL AT 14.8' 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 7426 SHACKHAM ROAD TULLY, N.Y. PHONE (607)842-6580 Client BARTON & LOGUIDICE Boring No. B3 Project No. Project LYON DRILLING CO. FORMER COLUMBIA MILLS MINETTO, NY Drill Rig Driller CME 55 3 1/4" HOLLOW STEM AUGERS Surface Elevation lb. Fall Casing Hammer: Wt. Ground Water Observations in. Soil Sampler 2" SPLIT SPOON 140 Sample Hammer: Wt. 30 lb. Fall in. Rock Sampler: Other: From (Ft) To (Ft) Sample Type 1 0.0 2.0 S 2 2.0 4.0 S 3 4.0 4.4 S 50/.4 4 6.0 8.0 S Blows on Sampler 0'/0.5' 0.5'/1.0' 1.0'/1.5' N 1.5'/2.0' Rock Recovery Ft. % 36 36 20 30 56 4 8 6 5 14 4 RQD Sample Recovery Sample Number Depth SOIL 5 Date Time Casing at Hole at Water at 01/23/13 01/23/13 01/23/13 10:00 AM 11:15 AM 12:30 PM 7.5 17.5 OUT 10.0 18.1 8.5 7.6 9.2 6.3 COLD SNOW Weather Conditions: Sample Depth 1 AS STAKED, BY CLIENT Boring Location Casing of Date Started Date Completed BORING LOG Location RT 48 1 01/23/13 01/23/13 HARRY LYON Sheet MATERIAL DESCRIPTION REMARKS Depth of Change 1.3 MOIST BROWN COARSE TO FINE SAND. SOME FINE GRAVEL WITH BRICKS & COBBLES (FILL) 1.0 0.3 8 12 4 20 8.0 1.0 SATURATED BROWN POSSIBLE FINE SAND. 0.0 TRACE BRICK (FILL) SATURATED RED BROWN FINE SAND 0.4 SOME MEDIUM TO COARSE SAND LITTLE FINE GRAVEL WITH OCCASIONAL 0.9 COBBLES 5 8.0 10.0 S 1 1 1 1 2 6 10.0 12.0 S 9 10 12 10 22 7 12.0 14.0 S 10 11 10 10 21 15 8 14.0 16.0 S 8 11 35 14 46 9 16.0 16.4 S 50/.4 0.3 10 18.0 18.1 S 50/.1 0.1 SATURATED GRAY POSSIBLE SANDSTONE 10 10.0 AUGERS HARD AT 16' 17.1 20 BORING TERMINATED AT 18.6' AUGER REFUSAL AT 18.6' 25 30 35 40 45 50 7426 SHACKHAM ROAD TULLY, N.Y. PHONE (607)842-6580 Client BARTON & LOGUIDICE Boring No. B4 Project No. Project LYON DRILLING CO. FORMER COLUMBIA MILLS MINETTO, NY Driller Boring Location Drill Rig Casing CME 55 3 1/4" HOLLOW STEM AUGERS 140 Ground Water Observations 30 lb. Fall in. Rock Sampler: Other: From (Ft) To (Ft) Sample Type 1 0.0 2.0 S 2 2.0 4.0 3 4.0 4 Blows on Sampler 0'/0.5' 0.5'/1.0' 1.0'/1.5' N 1.5'/2.0' Rock Recovery Ft. % 14 6 1 1 1 S 1 1 1 1 2 6.0 S 1 7 5 3 12 6.0 8.0 S 2 3 2 2 5 5 8.0 9.4 S 7 5 50/.4 6 10.0 12.0 S 12 8 5 4 13 7 12.0 14.0 S 7 12 12 33 24 15 8 14.0 16.0 S 6 8 9 9 17 9 16.0 18.0 S 9 11 14 33 25 10 18.0 18.2 S 50/.2 RQD 10 Sample Recovery Sample Number Depth SOIL 5 Date Time Casing at Hole at Water at 01/22/13 01/23/13 01/24/13 3:15 PM 4:45 PM 8:00 AM 5.5 19.0 OUT 8.0 19.5 9.4 6.5 6.1 4.5 COLD SNOW Weather Conditions: Sample Depth AS STAKED, BY CLIENT in. Soil Sampler 2" SPLIT SPOON Sample Hammer: Wt. 1 Surface Elevation lb. Fall Casing Hammer: Wt. of Date Started Date Completed BORING LOG Location RT 48 1 01/22/13 01/24/13 HARRY LYON Sheet MATERIAL DESCRIPTION 1.0 MOIST BROWN COARSE TO FINE SAND AND FINE GRAVEL 1.2 MOIST BROWN FINE SAND MOIST BROWN FINE SAND. TRACE SILT 1.3 SATURATED BROWN FINE SAND 1.3 WET BROWN SILT. LITTLE FINE SAND 1.0 TRACE CLAY WET BROWN FINE TO COARSE SAND 1.0 LITTLE FINE GRAVEL. TRACE SILT WITH OCCASIONAL COBBLES 1.0 SATURATED BROWN FINE TO COARSE SAND 1.0 LITTLE FINE GRAVEL. TRACE SILT REMARKS Depth of Change 0.8 4.5 6.0 7.0 9.2 13.5 17.0 20 0.9 SATURATED BROWN COMPACT FINE TO MEDIUM SAND 0.1 SATURATED RED BROWN LAMINATED POSSIBLE SANDSTONE BORING TERMINATED AT 19.5' 17.7 AUGER REFUSAL AT 19.5' 25 30 35 40 45 50 7426 SHACKHAM ROAD TULLY, N.Y. PHONE (607)842-6580 APPENDIX D Supporting Documentation Appendix D – Supporting Documentation Former Columbia Mills Site Profile Operation Oswego County Regional Employment Trends by Industry Industry Base Industry: Total, all industries NAICS 11 Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting NAICS 21 Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction NAICS 22 Utilities NAICS 23 Construction NAICS 31-33 Manufacturing NAICS 42 Wholesale trade NAICS 44-45 Retail trade NAICS 54 Professional and technical services NAICS 55 Management of companies and enterprises NAICS 56 Administrative and waste services NAICS 61 Educational services NAICS 62 Health care and social assistance NAICS 48-49 Transportation and warehousing NAICS 51 Information NAICS 52 Finance and insurance NAICS 53 Real estate and rental and leasing NAICS 71 Arts, entertainment, and recreation NAICS 72 Accommodation and food services NAICS 81 Other services, except public administration NAICS 99 Unclassified Subsector Industry NAICS 111 Crop production NAICS 112 Animal production and aquaculture NAICS 113 Forestry and logging NAICS 114 Fishing, hunting and trapping NAICS 115 Agriculture and forestry support activities NAICS 211 Oil and gas extraction NAICS 212 Mining, except oil and gas NAICS 213 Support activities for mining NAICS 221 Utilities NAICS 236 Construction of buildings NAICS 237 Heavy and civil engineering construction NAICS 312 Beverage and tobacco product manufacturing NAICS 313 Textile mills NAICS 314 Textile product mills NAICS 315 Apparel manufacturing New York -- Statewide 2001 2011 % Change 7,019,823 21,497 4,321 42,708 329,285 699,492 372,929 866,846 536,248 116,154 437,078 241,922 1,091,513 229,737 323,904 554,677 181,208 122,836 512,044 312,025 23,400 7,051,385 23,031 4,665 37,125 307,124 456,701 330,203 889,854 572,297 132,835 425,511 302,923 1,301,032 218,785 254,557 497,471 176,635 140,811 623,479 327,987 28,361 0.45% 7.14% 7.96% -13.07% -6.73% -34.71% -11.46% 2.65% 6.72% 14.36% -2.65% 25.22% 19.20% -4.77% -21.41% -10.31% -2.52% 14.63% 21.76% 5.12% 21.20% Oswego County, New York 2001 2011 % Change 25,699 ND ND 2,334 1,306 4,773 516 4,371 ND ND 825 167 3,783 589 541 655 205 311 3,096 1,194 60 23,894 244 38 1,949 1,139 3,102 467 4,467 716 30 952 86 4,561 316 186 626 162 298 3,345 1,140 70 -7.02% #VALUE! #VALUE! -16.50% -12.79% -35.01% -9.50% 2.20% #VALUE! #VALUE! 15.39% -48.50% 20.57% -46.35% -65.62% -4.43% -20.98% -4.18% 8.04% -4.52% 16.67% 2001 253,636 ND ND 5,350 12,250 40,389 15,554 36,295 ND ND ND ND ND 8,899 7,808 13,555 3,712 3,172 21,440 11,150 281 New York -- Statewide 2001 2011 % Change Oswego County, New York 2001 2011 % Change 2001 10,880 7,110 1,047 141 2,319 188 3,771 362 42,708 78,501 28,702 6,996 10,376 7,219 54,212 193 ND 71 NC ND NC ND NC 2,334 366 76 NC NC ND NC 430 ND ND ND ND ND ND ND 5,350 2,791 1,285 ND ND ND ND 10,889 8,927 629 117 2,469 579 3,486 600 37,125 76,559 28,141 6,328 3,842 3,853 19,583 0.08% 25.56% -39.92% -17.02% 6.47% 207.98% -7.56% 65.75% -13.07% -2.47% -1.95% -9.55% -62.97% -46.63% -63.88% 226 ND 12 NC ND NC 38 NC 1,949 339 95 NC NC ND NC 17.10% #VALUE! -83.10% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! -16.50% -7.38% 25.00% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! Syracuse, NY MSA 2011 % Change 240,643 ND ND 3,530 11,234 26,263 13,938 34,580 14,572 ND ND 10,795 39,372 8,745 4,703 12,873 3,598 3,977 23,305 9,983 357 -5.12% #VALUE! #VALUE! -34.02% -8.29% -34.97% -10.39% -4.73% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! -1.73% -39.77% -5.03% -3.07% 25.38% 8.70% -10.47% 27.05% Syracuse, NY MSA 2011 % Change 472 ND ND ND ND NC ND ND 3,530 2,905 894 633 ND ND ND 9.77% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! -34.02% 4.08% -30.43% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! Subsector Industry NAICS 316 Leather and allied product manufacturing NAICS 321 Wood product manufacturing NAICS 322 Paper manufacturing NAICS 238 Specialty trade contractors NAICS 311 Food manufacturing NAICS 337 Furniture and related product manufacturing NAICS 339 Miscellaneous manufacturing NAICS 423 Merchant wholesalers, durable goods NAICS 424 Merchant wholesalers, nondurable goods NAICS 425 Electronic markets and agents and brokers NAICS 441 Motor vehicle and parts dealers NAICS 442 Furniture and home furnishings stores NAICS 443 Electronics and appliance stores NAICS 444 Building material and garden supply stores NAICS 445 Food and beverage stores NAICS 446 Health and personal care stores NAICS 323 Printing and related support activities NAICS 324 Petroleum and coal products manufacturing NAICS 325 Chemical manufacturing NAICS 326 Plastics and rubber products manufacturing NAICS 327 Nonmetallic mineral product manufacturing NAICS 331 Primary metal manufacturing NAICS 332 Fabricated metal product manufacturing NAICS 333 Machinery manufacturing NAICS 334 Computer and electronic product manufacturing NAICS 335 Electrical equipment and appliance mfg. NAICS 336 Transportation equipment manufacturing NAICS 533 Lessors of nonfinancial intangible assets NAICS 541 Professional and technical services NAICS 551 Management of companies and enterprises NAICS 561 Administrative and support services NAICS 562 Waste management and remediation services NAICS 611 Educational services NAICS 621 Ambulatory health care services NAICS 622 Hospitals NAICS 623 Nursing and residential care facilities NAICS 624 Social assistance NAICS 447 Gasoline stations NAICS 448 Clothing and clothing accessories stores NAICS 451 Sports, hobby, music instrument, book stores NAICS 452 General merchandise stores NAICS 453 Miscellaneous store retailers New York -- Statewide 2001 2011 % Change 3,130 10,320 25,394 222,082 54,932 21,538 50,954 189,189 150,948 32,792 77,984 31,904 31,981 57,905 194,274 72,770 40,948 2,659 65,738 30,488 21,886 15,453 66,158 64,021 83,418 21,297 42,355 3,590 536,248 116,154 418,314 18,764 241,922 313,199 326,263 208,532 243,518 31,004 118,725 43,250 120,234 53,615 1,746 6,659 16,431 202,424 49,710 12,932 33,504 148,086 142,219 39,898 72,081 27,715 37,232 60,060 204,764 81,512 22,539 1,902 40,273 20,781 14,821 10,212 49,598 44,362 61,922 13,190 22,512 2,380 572,297 132,835 403,002 22,509 302,923 424,690 348,787 235,952 291,604 28,331 126,008 33,963 143,238 46,417 -44.22% -35.47% -35.30% -8.85% -9.51% -39.96% -34.25% -21.73% -5.78% 21.67% -7.57% -13.13% 16.42% 3.72% 5.40% 12.01% -44.96% -28.47% -38.74% -31.84% -32.28% -33.92% -25.03% -30.71% -25.77% -38.07% -46.85% -33.70% 6.72% 14.36% -3.66% 19.96% 25.22% 35.60% 6.90% 13.15% 19.75% -8.62% 6.13% -21.47% 19.13% -13.43% Oswego County, New York 2001 2011 % Change NC 81 1,209 864 732 ND 25 384 98 33 628 52 47 253 1,503 346 174 ND 21 ND 216 1,218 611 316 NC ND ND NC ND ND 633 192 167 1,115 ND 890 ND 499 74 66 592 180 NC 87 ND 705 272 ND ND 236 173 59 617 49 26 405 1,068 335 66 ND 153 NC 60 ND 553 ND 62 ND ND NC 716 30 857 95 86 1,263 ND ND 1,328 476 75 80 1,061 139 #VALUE! 7.41% #VALUE! -18.40% -62.84% #VALUE! #VALUE! -38.54% 76.53% 78.79% -1.75% -5.77% -44.68% 60.08% -28.94% -3.18% -62.07% #VALUE! 628.57% #VALUE! -72.22% #VALUE! -9.49% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 35.39% -50.52% -48.50% 13.27% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! -4.61% 1.35% 21.21% 79.22% -22.78% 2001 ND ND 2,520 8,174 2,215 ND 2,430 9,196 4,856 1,502 4,389 1,348 998 2,804 9,780 2,616 1,723 ND ND ND 1,015 3,091 3,725 ND 6,401 ND ND ND ND ND 11,378 ND ND 12,100 ND 6,763 ND 1,849 2,754 1,635 5,296 1,724 Syracuse, NY MSA 2011 % Change ND 391 ND 7,435 1,393 1,009 2,113 7,587 4,756 1,595 4,122 896 1,106 3,162 8,800 2,310 800 ND ND 1,376 425 ND 2,918 2,754 4,988 1,497 910 NC 14,572 ND 13,627 ND 10,795 ND 8,798 ND 8,096 1,709 2,483 1,301 6,431 1,422 #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! -9.04% -37.11% #VALUE! -13.05% -17.50% -2.06% 6.19% -6.08% -33.53% 10.82% 12.77% -10.02% -11.70% -53.57% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! -58.13% #VALUE! -21.66% #VALUE! -22.07% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 19.77% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! -7.57% -9.84% -20.43% 21.43% -17.52% Subsector Industry NAICS 454 Nonstore retailers NAICS 481 Air transportation NAICS 482 Rail transportation NAICS 483 Water transportation NAICS 484 Truck transportation NAICS 485 Transit and ground passenger transportation NAICS 486 Pipeline transportation NAICS 487 Scenic and sightseeing transportation NAICS 488 Support activities for transportation NAICS 491 Postal service NAICS 492 Couriers and messengers NAICS 493 Warehousing and storage NAICS 511 Publishing industries, except Internet NAICS 512 Motion picture and sound recording industries NAICS 515 Broadcasting, except Internet NAICS02 516 Internet publishing and broadcasting NAICS 517 Telecommunications NAICS 518 Data processing, hosting and related services NAICS 519 Other information services NAICS 521 Monetary authorities - central bank NAICS 522 Credit intermediation and related activities NAICS 523 Securities, commodity contracts, investments NAICS 524 Insurance carriers and related activities NAICS 525 Funds, trusts, and other financial vehicles NAICS 531 Real estate NAICS 532 Rental and leasing services NAICS 711 Performing arts and spectator sports NAICS 712 Museums, historical sites, zoos, and parks NAICS 713 Amusements, gambling, and recreation NAICS 721 Accommodation NAICS 722 Food services and drinking places NAICS 811 Repair and maintenance NAICS 812 Personal and laundry services NAICS 813 Membership associations and organizations NAICS 814 Private households NAICS 999 Unclassified Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics New York -- Statewide 2001 2011 % Change 33,199 36,427 ND 3,883 43,008 56,059 451 1,775 30,650 ND 41,002 16,446 95,226 56,632 39,036 4,069 79,547 34,191 15,203 ND 180,904 210,646 151,013 ND 146,769 30,849 45,144 14,961 62,730 83,201 428,843 60,384 91,407 132,059 28,175 23,400 28,534 32,546 29 3,609 36,606 65,663 346 2,308 26,233 134 32,228 19,083 68,201 55,263 40,708 NC 48,477 14,025 27,882 ND 159,421 188,988 138,161 ND 153,180 21,075 48,236 16,098 76,478 85,285 538,194 56,964 102,406 143,539 25,078 28,361 -14.05% -10.65% #VALUE! -7.06% -14.89% 17.13% -23.28% 30.03% -14.41% #VALUE! -21.40% 16.03% -28.38% -2.42% 4.28% #VALUE! -39.06% -58.98% 83.40% #VALUE! -11.88% -10.28% -8.51% #VALUE! 4.37% -31.68% 6.85% 7.60% 21.92% 2.50% 25.50% -5.66% 12.03% 8.69% -10.99% 21.20% Oswego County, New York 2001 2011 % Change 132 NC ND NC 371 164 NC ND 31 ND NC ND 107 ND ND ND 74 ND ND ND 460 ND 181 ND 79 126 ND ND 243 187 2,910 292 219 649 34 60 137 NC NC NC 141 131 NC NC 14 NC ND ND 75 ND ND NC 37 ND 38 ND 410 ND 179 ND 103 59 ND ND 227 181 3,164 305 221 571 43 70 3.79% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! -61.99% -20.12% #VALUE! #VALUE! -54.84% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! -29.91% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! -50.00% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! -10.87% #VALUE! -1.10% #VALUE! 30.38% -53.17% #VALUE! #VALUE! -6.58% -3.21% 8.73% 4.45% 0.91% -12.02% 26.47% 16.67% 2001 1,101 781 ND NC 3,202 1,402 ND ND 595 ND ND ND 1,586 ND ND ND 3,369 ND ND ND 3,477 ND 9,287 ND 2,181 ND ND ND 2,171 2,769 18,670 2,704 3,624 4,539 283 281 Syracuse, NY MSA 2011 % Change 837 ND NC NC 3,217 1,366 ND ND 504 ND 1,884 1,440 ND 213 1,046 NC ND 281 469 ND 4,181 819 7,714 ND 2,607 991 ND ND 3,086 2,509 20,797 2,690 3,136 3,934 222 357 -23.98% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 0.47% -2.57% #VALUE! #VALUE! -15.29% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 20.25% #VALUE! -16.94% #VALUE! 19.53% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 42.15% -9.39% 11.39% -0.52% -13.47% -13.33% -21.55% 27.05% Former Columbia Mills Site Profile Operation Oswego County Key: Has specialization but not comparative advantage Has comparative advantage but not specialization Has both specialization and comparative advantage Has neither specialization nor comparative advantage 2001-2001 Esteban-Marquillas Extension Trend Analysis Oswego County, NY Industry NAICS 11 Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting NAICS 21 Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction NAICS 22 Utilities NAICS 23 Construction NAICS 31-33 Manufacturing NAICS 42 Wholesale trade NAICS 44-45 Retail trade NAICS 48-49 Transportation and warehousing NAICS 51 Information NAICS 52 Finance and insurance NAICS 53 Real estate and rental and leasing NAICS 54 Professional and technical services NAICS 55 Management of companies and enterprises NAICS 56 Administrative and waste services NAICS 61 Educational services NAICS 62 Health care and social assistance NAICS 71 Arts, entertainment, and recreation NAICS 72 Accommodation and food services NAICS 81 Other services, except public administration NAICS 99 Unclassified Subsector Industries NAICS 111 Crop production NAICS 112 Animal production and aquaculture NAICS 113 Forestry and logging NAICS 114 Fishing, hunting and trapping NAICS 115 Agriculture and forestry support activities NAICS 211 Oil and gas extraction NAICS 212 Mining, except oil and gas NAICS 213 Support activities for mining NAICS 221 Utilities NAICS 236 Construction of buildings NAICS 237 Heavy and civil engineering construction NAICS 312 Beverage and tobacco product manufacturing NAICS 313 Textile mills Homothetic Employment 78.70 15.82 156.35 1205.49 2560.78 1365.26 3173.45 841.05 1185.79 2030.63 663.39 1963.16 425.23 1600.11 885.66 3995.94 449.69 1874.55 1142.30 85.67 Homothetic Employment 39.83 26.03 3.83 0.52 8.49 0.69 13.81 1.33 156.35 287.39 105.08 25.61 37.99 Syracuse, NY MSA Specialization Effect Comparative Advantage - 2177.65 100.51 2212.22 -849.26 1197.55 163.77 -1059.11 -230.66 -3790.94 - Allocation Effect - -0.03 -0.06 -0.003 0.02 -0.005 -0.42 -0.44 0.06 -0.18 - -74.54 -6.09 -6.63 -16.65 -5.48 -68.10 468.23 -13.58 699.50 - Homothetic Employment 776.72 156.12 1543.10 11897.53 25273.62 13474.45 31320.36 8300.72 11703.10 20041.25 6547.30 19375.39 4196.81 15792.24 8740.98 39437.89 4438.24 18500.86 11273.90 845.47 -1205.63 0.18 -217.50 -496.39 -0.74 365.93 1819.84 0.01 24.94 -138.69 -0.19 26.09 1221.45 -0.14 -167.58 51.70 -0.10 -4.98 -25.67 -0.05 1.16 Oswego County, NY Specialization Comparative Allocation Homothetic Effect Advantage Effect Employment 153.17 - 0.17 - 67.17 - -0.43 - 2177.65 78.61 -29.08 - 26.06 -29.00 - -0.03 -0.05 0.27 - -74.54 -3.85 -7.84 - 393.11 256.89 37.83 5.09 83.79 6.79 136.25 13.08 1543.10 2836.35 1037.04 252.78 374.90 Specialization Effect Comparative Advantage Allocation Effect - - - 3806.90 352.47 15115.38 2079.55 4974.64 4702.19 -7984.24 4814.02 -35725.89 - -0.21 -0.02 -0.003 0.01 -0.07 0.03 -0.18 0.05 -0.01 - -797.40 -5.51 -40.09 22.19 -367.10 142.79 1465.68 254.28 195.60 - -1266.24 0.11 -136.06 2939.14 -0.13 -383.97 -123.90 -0.16 19.31 -564.47 0.06 -33.00 Syracuse, NY MSA Specialization Comparative Allocation Effect Advantage Effect 36.89 - 0.10 - 3806.90 -45.35 247.96 - 3.57 - -0.21 0.07 -0.28 - -797.40 -2.97 -70.60 - Subsector Industries NAICS 314 Textile product mills NAICS 315 Apparel manufacturing NAICS 316 Leather and allied product manufacturing NAICS 321 Wood product manufacturing NAICS 322 Paper manufacturing NAICS 238 Specialty trade contractors NAICS 311 Food manufacturing NAICS 337 Furniture and related product manufacturing NAICS 339 Miscellaneous manufacturing NAICS 423 Merchant wholesalers, durable goods NAICS 424 Merchant wholesalers, nondurable goods NAICS 425 Electronic markets and agents and brokers NAICS 441 Motor vehicle and parts dealers NAICS 442 Furniture and home furnishings stores NAICS 443 Electronics and appliance stores NAICS 444 Building material and garden supply stores NAICS 445 Food and beverage stores NAICS 446 Health and personal care stores NAICS 323 Printing and related support activities NAICS 324 Petroleum and coal products manufacturing NAICS 325 Chemical manufacturing NAICS 326 Plastics and rubber products manufacturing NAICS 327 Nonmetallic mineral product manufacturing NAICS 331 Primary metal manufacturing NAICS 332 Fabricated metal product manufacturing NAICS 333 Machinery manufacturing NAICS 334 Computer and electronic product manufacturing NAICS 335 Electrical equipment and appliance mfg. NAICS 336 Transportation equipment manufacturing NAICS 533 Lessors of nonfinancial intangible assets NAICS 541 Professional and technical services NAICS 551 Management of companies and enterprises NAICS 561 Administrative and support services NAICS 562 Waste management and remediation services NAICS 611 Educational services NAICS 621 Ambulatory health care services NAICS 622 Hospitals NAICS 623 Nursing and residential care facilities NAICS 624 Social assistance NAICS 447 Gasoline stations NAICS 448 Clothing and clothing accessories stores NAICS 451 Sports, hobby, music instrument, book stores Homothetic Employment 26.43 198.47 11.46 37.78 92.97 813.02 201.10 78.85 186.54 692.61 552.61 120.05 285.49 116.80 117.08 211.99 711.22 266.41 149.91 9.73 240.66 111.61 80.12 56.57 242.20 234.38 305.39 77.97 155.06 13.14 1963.16 425.23 1531.41 68.69 885.66 1146.60 1194.42 763.42 891.50 113.50 434.64 158.33 Oswego County, NY Specialization Comparative Effect Advantage - - - - - 43.22 1116.03 50.98 530.90 -161.54 -308.61 -454.61 -87.05 342.51 -64.80 -70.08 41.01 791.78 79.59 24.09 -219.66 135.88 1161.43 368.80 81.62 -898.41 123.31 -718.66 -31.60 126.58 385.50 -360.64 -92.33 Allocation Effect - 0.43 18.53 - -0.10 -0.53 -4.87 -283.16 - -0.17 0.82 0.57 0.06 0.07 -0.61 0.56 -0.34 -0.15 -0.17 51.89 -374.20 -49.72 19.93 -4.77 42.82 23.11 -271.91 -12.09 -4.12 - 6.67 -1465.82 - -0.40 -54.27 - 0.16 57.31 - 0.39 -0.70 -0.74 -0.22 -350.81 -86.91 529.78 7.05 - 0.04 -0.05 0.43 15.47 17.25 -39.41 Homothetic Employment 260.83 1958.76 113.09 372.88 917.52 8024.13 1984.77 778.20 1841.04 6835.66 5453.96 1184.82 2817.67 1152.74 1155.52 2092.19 7019.39 2629.28 1479.51 96.07 2375.21 1101.57 790.77 558.34 2390.38 2313.17 3014.01 769.49 1530.35 129.71 19375.39 4196.81 15114.27 677.97 8740.98 11316.32 11788.34 7534.55 8798.65 1120.22 4289.70 1562.68 Syracuse, NY MSA Specialization Comparative Effect Advantage - - - - 1602.48 149.87 230.23 588.96 2360.34 -597.96 317.18 1571.33 195.26 -157.52 711.81 2760.61 -13.28 243.49 224.23 2532.66 1334.62 3386.99 -3736.27 783.68 -771.55 728.78 -1535.70 72.32 Allocation Effect - -0.002 -0.28 -0.28 -63.55 - 0.21 0.04 0.04 -0.15 0.01 -0.20 -0.06 0.09 -0.15 -0.24 -0.09 124.87 99.82 -22.26 -49.09 23.35 -39.84 8.82 64.39 -425.69 3.15 -20.97 - -0.26 -57.96 - 0.03 44.93 - 0.04 125.13 - 0.23 -875.28 - 0.01 -0.16 0.01 7.65 245.32 0.76 Subsector Industries NAICS 452 General merchandise stores NAICS 453 Miscellaneous store retailers NAICS 454 Nonstore retailers NAICS 481 Air transportation NAICS 482 Rail transportation NAICS 483 Water transportation NAICS 484 Truck transportation NAICS 485 Transit and ground passenger transportation NAICS 486 Pipeline transportation NAICS 487 Scenic and sightseeing transportation NAICS 488 Support activities for transportation NAICS 491 Postal service NAICS 492 Couriers and messengers NAICS 493 Warehousing and storage NAICS 511 Publishing industries, except Internet NAICS 512 Motion picture and sound recording industries NAICS 515 Broadcasting, except Internet NAICS02 516 Internet publishing and broadcasting NAICS 517 Telecommunications NAICS 518 Data processing, hosting and related services NAICS 519 Other information services NAICS 521 Monetary authorities - central bank NAICS 522 Credit intermediation and related activities NAICS 523 Securities, commodity contracts, investments NAICS 524 Insurance carriers and related activities NAICS 525 Funds, trusts, and other financial vehicles NAICS 531 Real estate NAICS 532 Rental and leasing services NAICS 711 Performing arts and spectator sports NAICS 712 Museums, historical sites, zoos, and parks NAICS 713 Amusements, gambling, and recreation NAICS 721 Accommodation NAICS 722 Food services and drinking places NAICS 811 Repair and maintenance NAICS 812 Personal and laundry services NAICS 813 Membership associations and organizations NAICS 814 Private households NAICS 999 Unclassified Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics Homothetic Employment - - - - Oswego County, NY Specialization Comparative Effect Advantage 440.17 196.28 121.54 133.36 14.22 157.45 205.23 1.65 6.50 112.21 150.10 60.21 348.61 207.33 142.91 14.90 291.22 125.17 55.66 662.27 771.16 552.85 537.31 112.94 165.27 54.77 229.65 304.59 1569.96 221.06 334.63 483.46 103.15 85.67 151.83 -16.28 10.46 0.60 -0.09 0.18 - 213.55 -41.23 -0.47 -0.37 -81.21 32.83 - -0.02 - -217.22 3.69 -0.11 23.77 - 0.01 - -371.85 -2.03 0.07 -458.31 13.06 - - -202.27 -100.60 15.36 -0.40 -27.54 - 0.26 -0.21 - -119.21 -2.81 -0.29 -0.06 -0.17 0.10 -0.11 -0.21 0.37 -0.05 -3.80 6.72 -224.73 7.18 12.86 -34.29 -25.90 1.16 Syracuse, NY MSA Specialization Comparative Effect Advantage 4344.22 1937.18 1199.53 1316.16 - -241.61 Homothetic Employment 91.24 1.52 1.87 - - 13.35 -117.59 1340.04 70.94 -115.63 165.54 -69.15 -25.67 Allocation Effect 140.30 1553.94 2025.49 16.30 64.13 1107.43 1481.46 594.22 3440.65 2046.19 1410.43 147.02 2874.14 1235.37 549.31 6536.31 7610.93 5456.31 5302.97 1114.62 1631.12 540.56 2266.52 3006.17 15494.70 2181.76 3302.66 4771.48 1018.00 845.47 951.78 -213.18 -98.53 -535.16 1648.06 -623.49 -512.43 -1854.65 494.86 -3059.31 3830.69 -3121.97 -95.52 -237.17 3175.30 522.24 321.34 -232.48 -735.00 -564.47 Allocation Effect 0.02 -0.04 -0.10 21.88 8.72 9.78 - 0.15 -0.20 253.04 122.83 - -0.01 4.52 - 0.32 -982.73 - -0.08 -322.82 - 0.15 -473.42 - 0.20 -0.12 -0.14 0.05 -0.25 -0.22 -0.11 0.06 -19.32 28.21 -447.92 26.87 -81.94 51.20 77.64 -33.00