April Issues (Eng)
Transcription
April Issues (Eng)
BANKING NEWS We would like to let you know that, as of April 4, the deposit standard interest rate has changesd. For the detailed information please contact your private banker. Address: 29A Gagarini str. Tel.: 2 444 333 Thank you for being our valued customer. ECONOMIC DIGEST NBG reduces its policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.5%. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the National Bank of Georgia (NBG) met on March 27, 2013 and decided to reduce the refinancing rate by 25 basis points to 4.5 percent. According to existing information, the inflation forecasts for the coming 4-6 quarters have gone further down since the previous meeting of the MPC. According to the current forecasts, it is expected that the headline CPI inflation will remain below its target level throughout this year and will approach it in the second half of 2014. Both headline and core inflation were low in February, with the headline annual inflation reaching -2.1%. Negative values of inflation were mainly caused by the decrease in food prices. The base effect and the reduction in regulated prices (electric power and garbage collection services) were important as well. The economy grew by 2.8 percent in the fourth quarter of 2012 indicating the weakening in the economic activity at the end of the year. Decline in aggregate demand pushes the price level downwards. Decrease in import growth rates in January and February is another indication of slowdown in domestic demand. In February and March the credit activity still remains weak in the country due to the low demand for loans, leading to the slowdown in aggregate demand. Low credit activity also weakens the interest rate channel of the monetary transmission. Given that the inflation is predicted to remain below the target in the medium term, the National Bank of Georgia decided to continue monetary easing and to reduce the Monetary Policy Rate. The NBG will continue to monitor the developments in the economy and financial markets and will act accordingly. The next meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee will be held on May 8, 2013. Business Sector of Georgia In the fourth quarter of 2012, turn-over of business sector of Georgia constituted 10 969,8 million GEL. According to the information of the National Statistics Office of Georgia, production value of business sector reached 5 844,9 million GEL. Tbilisi is the leader in the terms of distribution of production value of Georgian business sector with the 65%, then follows Kvemo Kartli (9,4%), Autonomous Republic of Ajara (7,1%), Imereti (5,2%), Samegrelo-Zemo Svaneti (3,3%), Shida Kartli (3,3%), Kakheti (2,9%) etc. In the mention period, consumption of goods and services by enterprises rose by 44% and equaled to 8 506,1 million GEL. In the fourth quarter of 2012, compared to the same period of 2011, average monthly remuneration of employed persons constituted 832,0 GEL. In the same period number of persons employed in the enterprises in Georgia rose by 45% and equaled to 527 828. www.geostat.ge Foreign Direct Investments According to the preliminary data of the National Statistics Office of Georgia, in the fourth quarter of 2012, Foreign Direct In-vestment (FDI) in Georgia amounted to 181 million US dollars. In the twelve month of 2012, FDI in Georgia equaled to 865,2 million US dollars Netherlands is leader country by FDI in Georgia, which made the investment in amount of 61,6 million USD in the fourth quarter of 2012. The biggest countries by FDI in Georgia are as follows: Netherlands – 34% of total FDI (61,6 million USD); Azerbaijan – 19% of total FDI (34,2 mil-lion USD); China – 7,6% (13,7 million USD); Cyprus – 7,0% (12,7 million USD); United Kingdom – 6,9% (12,4 million USD); Turkey – 6,3% (11,3 million USD); Switzerland – 5,5% (10,0 million USD); France – 3,5% (6,6 million USD) etc. The largest share – 32,1% of total FDI (58,1 million USD) falls on Manufacturing. Breakdown of FDI, by other major economic sectors in the third quarter of 2012 is following: Manufacturing (32,1% of FDI, 58,1 mil-lion USD); Energy sector (21% of FDI, 38 million USD); Financial sector (15,7% of FDI, 28,3 million USD); Transports and communications (11,2% of FDI, 20,3 million USD); Real estate (7,7% of FDI, 13,9 million USD); Health and social work (7,0% of FDI, 12,7 million USD) etc. Survey on External Economic Activities of Enterprises is the leading by the FDI Information Sources, in quarter IV of 2012, which constituted 71,3% of total investments, than follows financial sector (27,9%) and privatization (0,8%). www.geostat.ge Gross Domestic Product of Georgia According the preliminary data of National Statistics Office of Georgia, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of Georgia at current prices amounted to 26 138,9 million GEL (15 829,7 million USD) in 2012 and the GDP real growth equaled to 6,1 percent. In 2012, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita at current prices amounted to 5 811,7 GEL (3 519,6 USD). The largest shares of GDP by activity are held by Industry (17,2%), Trade services (16,6%), followed by Public administration (11,2%), Transport and communication services (10,6%), Agriculture, hunting and forestry, fishing (8,4%), Construction (7,3%), Health and social work (6,0 percent) etc. Significant real growth was posted in the following activities: Manufacturing (16,4%), Financial intermediation (15,0%), Hotels and restaurants (11,8%), Construction (11,4%), Communication (9,6%), Other community, social and personal services (8,2%). Moderate real growth was recorded in Trade (7,3%), Transport (5,9%), Real estate, renting and business activities (4,2%), Public administration (3,2%), Education (2,4%), Mining and quarrying (2%). Compared to 2011 year the total output of production in tourism related services recorded a 287,8 million GEL growth and constituted 2 728,4 million GEL in 2012. Restaurant services and other serving of food and beverages have the biggest share (32,6%) in the total output of production in tourism related services, then follows other land transportation services; water transport services (30,3%, exclude railway transportation and air transport services), Travel agency and tour operator services; tourist assistance services (18,8%) etc. During the same period, Output of agricultural products increased by 2,5%, in which the biggest share – 59% have live animals and animal products. www.geostat.ge Banking Sector in Georgia In February 2013, the banking sector finished with profit. The net profit constituted 29,2 million GEL. The share of five banks having the largest assets within the total amount of the banking sector assets constituted 79,8 percent. As March 1, 2013, the banking sector in Georgia is represented by 20 commercial banks, including 15 foreign-controlled banks and three branches of non-resident banks. Compared with the previous month, total assets of Georgian commercial banks (in current prices) increased by 0,1 percent (17,9 million GEL) and constituted 14,2 billion GEL. The banking sector's own funds (equity capital) equal to 2,5 billion GEL, which makes up 17,6 percent of commercial banks' total assets. The share of foreign capital in banks' total paid-in capital constituted 74,5 percent. www.nbg.ge Current Tendencies Of Bank Deposits Total volume of the non-bank deposits in the country's banking sector increased by 2,9 percent (225,9 million GEL) compared with the February 1, 2013, and reached 7,9 billion GEL by March 1. In February, 2013, compared to previous month, the volume of demand deposits increased by 2,8 percent (91,2 million GEL) and term deposits - by 3,1 percent (134,6 million GEL). The dollarization ratio of the total non-bank deposits constituted 66,7 percent by March 1. It decreased by 0,48 percentage points compared to February 1, 2013. The annual average weighted interest rate on term deposits constituted 8,4 percent. In particular, the interest rate for national currency denominated deposits was 11,1 percent and the interest rate for foreign currency denominated deposits 7,7 percent. The share of US dollar in the total volume of foreign currency denominated deposits equals to 80,4 percent and the share of Euro equals to 17,3 percent. GEORGIAN NEWS Georgia’s 4Q12 preliminary FDI down 47% y/y Georgia’s 4Q12 FDI decreased 47% y/y to US$ 181mn according to GeoStat’s preliminary figures. The manufacturing sector was the largest FDI recipient with 32% of net inflows, followed by the energy sector at around 21% and transports and communications sector (11%). Netherlands topped the list of investors with US$ 61mn (34% of net inflows), with Azerbaijan coming second at roughly US$ 34mn (19% of net inflows). Georgia’s money transfer inflows grew by 8% y/y in February Total money transfers in February grew 10% y/y to US$ 114mn, as foreign workers sent US$ 104mn in remittances back to Georgia (up 8% y/y). Russia accounted for around 52% of total foreign money transfers in February followed by Greece (13%) and Italy (8%). 2M13 merchandise trade deficit decreased by 18% y/y Georgia’s 2M13 foreign trade exports were up by 17% y/y to US$ 358mn, while imports decreased by 8% y/y to US$ 975mn, narrowing the foreign trade deficit by 18% y/y to US$ 617mn. Azerbaijan accounted for the largest share of Georgia’s exports (24%), followed by Armenia (12%) and the U.S. (12%). On the import side, trade was dominated by flows from Turkey (17%), Azerbaijan (10%) and Ukraine (8%). Georgia’s 4Q12 C/A deficit narrows 34% y/y Georgia’s 4Q12 C/A deficit narrowed 34% y/y to US$ 351mn as the merchandise trade deficit increased only 3% y/y to US$ 1.1bn. The services trade surplus increased 72% y/y totalling US$ 303mn, while the capital and financial account balance declined to US$ 369mn mainly due to sharp decrease of FDI. Overall, the country’s external financing balance stood at a positive US$ 18mn in 4Q12. SPECIAL OFFERS Restaurant Oval Visit restaurant Oval, taste most delicious dishes in a pleasant atmosphere and enjoy a 10% discount. The offer is valid till 2013, 31 December Address.: Tbilisi, N6 Rkinis Rigi str. Tel.: 2 43 89 50 Al Faro You can enjoy a huge discount at the great restaurant Restaurant "Al Faro" offers a 10% discount to Visa Infinite cardholders. Offer is valid till 31 December 2013. The atmosphere of cordiality and hospitality reigns in "Al Faro" restaurant. Sometimes it's noisy and sometimes quiet, but always comfortable! 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