Schweser`s Workshop - CFA Society of the UK
Transcription
Schweser`s Workshop - CFA Society of the UK
Derivative Investments Derivative Investments Schweser’s Workshop 1 Derivative Investments Welcome to Schweser’s Workshop Today we will be discussing Derivatives, a topic common to all three levels of the CFA® Exam This lecture is a “sample” of a Schweser Live Intensive Seminar 2 Derivative Investments About Schweser Schweser is… an enterprise of full-time finance professors and CFA® Charterholders, support staff and customer care representatives a Division of Kaplan, Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of the Washington Post A participating provider in the CFA Institute® Prep Provider Guidelines Program the World’s Trusted Leader in CFA® Review since 1991 3 Derivative Investments Why Schweser? Why choose Schweser as your CFA® Exam Prep Provider? Our materials and instruction are… designed with a proven Learn • Practice • RetainTM approach a best-fit educational solution for your individual learning style the ESSENTIAL COMPLEMENT to the CFA® Program assigned curriculum and recommended readings 4 Derivative Investments Register to Win! If you haven’t already signed up, please register to WIN: Schweser Multi-Phase Online Seminar (retail value 599 USD) featuring: 28 hours of instruction over two weekends (March, April) 14 hours of Problem Solving and Exam Strategies (May) Plus Downloadable Seminar slides, Full subscription to Schweser Library, and Archives following each session *Drawing tonight! Must be present to win. 5 Derivative Investments CFA Exam Survival Guide Identify your Learning Style Go to schweser.com/learning to take the quiz Set goals Select study materials CAUTION! The curriculum has changed extensively… make sure you use 2007 materials! Plan to study a MINIMUM of 250 hours Create a study plan Make every minute count Utilize a variety of tools Attend a Seminar for clarification and reinforcement 6 Derivative Investments Schweser Study Solutions Schweser Study Solutions… are packages of study tools with choices to fit your individual learning needs are based on a Learn • Practice • RetainTM approach to the curriculum may be combined with a Seminar to provide the most thorough CFA® Review 7 Derivative Investments Schweser Study Solutions Essential Solution includes Study Notes and choice of: Practice Exam book or Flashcards SchweserProTM Question Bank or Audio CDs Premium Solution includes all of the above plus choice of: Online Multi-Phase Seminar or 16-Week Online Seminar or Video CDs with Workbook 8 Derivative Investments UKSIP Review Course Schweser and Koppel & Wiley will provide course instruction and study materials for a Live Review Course featuring: 4.5 days of intense review and guidance by topic specialists for each Level Superior study materials Convenient location in central London: The London School of Economics and Political Science Perfect timing for curriculum review: 26 – 30 March, 2007 9 Derivative Investments Derivative Investments Level 1 Derivative Markets and Instruments 10 LOS 73.a, p. 130 Derivative Investments Derivatives A derivative security derives its value from the price of another (underlying) asset or an interest rate Futures and some options are traded on organized exchanges Forward contracts, swaps, and some options are custom instruments created by dealers 11 LOS 73.b, pp. 130-131 Derivative Investments Forward Commitments and Contingent Claims Contingent claims are called options Calls: right to buy Puts: right to sell 12 LOS 73.b, p. 130 Derivative Investments Forward Contracts Customized: no active secondary market Long obligated to buy, short obligated to sell Specified asset (currency, stock, index, bond) Specified date in the future Long profits if asset price above forward price Short profits if asset price below forward price 13 LOS 73.b, p. 130 Derivative Investments Futures Contracts Like forward contracts but standardized Exchange-traded, active secondary market Require margin deposit No default (counterparty) risk 14 LOS 73.b, p. 130 Derivative Investments Swaps Equivalent to a series of forward contracts Simple interest-rate swap One party pays a fixed rate of interest One party pays a variable (floating) rate of interest Payments can be based on interest rates or stock/portfolio/index returns Can involve two different currencies 15 Derivative Investments Derivative Investments Level 1 Forward Markets and Contracts 16 LOS 74.a, p. 135 Derivative Investments Forward Contract Positions Long position (will buy) The party to the forward contract that agrees to buy the underlying financial or physical asset Short position (will sell) The party to the forward contract that agrees to sell/deliver the asset Neither party pays at contract initiation 17 LOS 74.b, p. 136 Derivative Investments Forward Contract Settlement Delivery: short delivers underlying to long for payment of the forward price Cash settlement: negative side of contract pays the positive side 18 LOS 74.b, p. 136 Derivative Investments Early Termination of Forward One party pays the other cash (buys their way out) Enter into an offsetting contract With a different counterparty (default risk still exists) With same (original) counterparty (no default risk) 19 LOS 74.d, p. 137-138 Derivative Investments Equity Forward Contract Can be on a stock, a portfolio, or an equity index Example: Forward Contract to buy 10,000 shares of Acme Industries common stock in 90 days for $128,000 (i.e. $12.80 per share) Index contract based on notional amount and settlement payment is based on percentage above or below forward contract index value 20 LOS 74.d, p. 137-138 Derivative Investments Equity Index Forward Contract Example: 90-day S&P 100 forward contract Forward contract price = 525.2 Notional amount = $10 million In 90 days index is at 535.7, 2% above 525.2 Long receives 2% × $10 million = $200,000 at settlement, paid by the short 21 LOS 74.d, p. 138 Derivative Investments Forward on Zero-Coupon Bond Example: 100 day, T-bill forward Underlying: $10 million T-bill Forward Price: $9,945,560 (1.96% discount) If interest rates rise, P↓, long loses/short gains If interest rates fall, P↑, long gains/short loses Coupon bonds: priced at YTM; same principle Risky bonds: must provide for default possibility 22 LOS 74.e, p. 139 Derivative Investments LIBOR-Based Loan Example Loan value = $1.0 million Term = 30 days 30-day LIBOR = 6% Interest payment = $1,000,000 (0.06) (30/360) = $5,000 Total payment in 30 days = $1,000,000 + $5,000 = $1,005,000 23 LOS 74.e, p. 139 Derivative Investments Forward Rate Agreement (FRA) Exchange fixed-rate for floating-rate payment Notional amount Fixed rate = forward (contract) rate Floating rate (LIBOR) is underlying rate Long gains when LIBOR > contract rate 24 LOS 74.e, p. 139 Derivative Investments Forward Rate Agreement (FRA) Long position can be viewed as the obligation to take a (hypothetical) loan at the contract rate, i.e., borrow at the fixed rate; gains when reference rate↑ Short position can be viewed as the obligation to make a (hypothetical) loan at the contract rate, i.e., lend at the contract rate; gains when reference rate↓ 25 LOS 74.f, p. 139-140 Derivative Investments FRA Example Term = 30 days Notional amount = $1 million Underlying rate = 90-day LIBOR Forward rate = 5% At t = 30 days, 90-day LIBOR = 6% Underlying floating rate > fixed rate Long position receives payment 26 LOS 74.f, p. 139-140 Derivative Investments FRA Example: Net Payment 27 LOS 74.f, p. 139-140 Derivative Investments FRA Settlement Payment to Long 28 Derivative Investments Level 2 Forward Markets and Contracts LOS 64.a, b / 148,150 Derivative Investments Foundation Concepts No-arbitrage principle: there should be no riskless profit from combining forward (or futures) contracts with other instruments Forward price = price of underlying that would not permit profitable riskless arbitrage, so value equals zero Off-market forward contract price is different than no-arb price, so value not zero at initiation; side with positive value pays to enter Many pricing relationships for forward contracts are identical for futures contracts 30 Derivative Investments LOS 64.a / p. 148 Pricing a Forward Contract Price for underlying; not price to enter contract No-arbitrage price (cost of carry model): Maturity Spot price of underlying FP = S0 × (1+ Rf ) Forward price T Risk-free rate 31 LOS 64.a / p. 148 Derivative Investments Valuing a Forward Contract We can determine the value of a forward contract during its life As underlying price changes, the forward contract will accrue value Long (buy): gains when price of underlying increases Short (sell): gains when price of underlying decreases 32 LOS 64.a / p. 148 Derivative Investments Valuing a Forward Contract The no-arbitrage value of a LONG forward contract during the life of the contract (Vt) is: ⎡ ⎤ FP ⎛ of long position ⎞ ⎥ Vt ⎜ ⎟ = St − ⎢ T −t during life of co ntract ⎝ ⎠ ⎢⎣ (1 + R f ) ⎥⎦ The value of the short position is simply the negative of the long position (because it’s a zero-sum game: I win, you lose) 33 Derivative Investments LOS 64.a / p. 148 An Easy(?) Way to Remember Formula At contract maturity (time T) long position: 1) Receives ST 2) Pays FP value t = PV ( ST ) − PV (FP ) ⎡ ⎤ FP ⎥ = St − ⎢ T−t ⎢⎣ (1 + R f ) ⎥⎦ = " spot price − PV of forward price " 34 Derivative Investments LOS 64.d / p. 154 Forward Rate Agreements (FRA) An FRA is an agreement to borrow (long) or lend (short) money in the future Usually based on LIBOR with # days/360 basis In “2×3” FRA the long, in effect, agrees to borrow money in two months at a fixed rate for a term that ends in three months That is, the “underlying” in a 2×3 FRA is a 30-day loan 60 days from now 35 Derivative Investments LOS 64.d / p. 154 “2×3” FRA 36 Derivative Investments LOS 64.d / p. 154 Pricing an FRA: Overview The “price” of an FRA is the implied forward rate for the period beginning when the FRA expires to the maturity of the underlying “loan” (e.g., price of 2×3 FRA in previous slide is implied 30-day forward rate in 60 days, given current 60-day and 90-day rates) Calculating this forward rate is a L1 topic! 37 Derivative Investments LOS 64.d / p. 154 Pricing an FRA: Example To review the calculation of forward rates (which gives the FRA price), assume: 1×3 FRA (i.e., a 60-day loan in 30 days) The 30-day rate is 2.4% The 60-day rate is 2.8% The 90-day rate is 3.0% 38 Derivative Investments LOS 64.d / p. 154 Pricing an FRA: Example Unannualized 30-day rate is: R30 =0.024× 30 =0.002 360 Unannualized 90-day rate is: 90 = 0.0075 360 rate 30 days hence is: Annualized 60-day R90 =0.03× ⎛ 1.0075 ⎞ 360 FR = ⎜ − 1⎟ × = 3.3% ⎝ 1.0020 ⎠ 60 FRA Price 39 Derivative Investments LOS 64.d / p. 154 Valuing an FRA We can also value an FRA after initiation The keys to remember are: 1) Value is determined by changes in interest rates (e.g., you contracted to borrow at 3.3% when rates increased to 4%) 2) It’s a forward contract on a rate, so the long “wins” when rates go up 3) The impact of higher (or lower) rates won’t be realized until the end of the “loan” 40 Derivative Investments LOS 64.d / p. 154 Valuing an FRA: Example Consider our 1×3 FRA with a contracted rate of 3.3%. Suppose at contract expiration, 60day rates are 4%. Assume a $1,000,000 notional principal. What is the value of the FRA at settlement? 41 Derivative Investments LOS 64.d / p. 154 Valuing an FRA: Example First, you need to calculate the difference in interest cost for the loan: ( 0.04 − 0.033 ) × 60 × $1,000,000 = $1,167 360 Second, you must discount this difference back to the present (at the current 4% rate): $1,167 = $1,159 60 ⎞ ⎛ 1+ ⎜ 0.04 × 360 ⎟⎠ ⎝ 42 Derivative Investments Level 3 Risk Management Applications of Forward and Futures Strategies 43 LOS 49.a Derivative Investments Forward Rate Agreements A borrower can lock in the interest rate on a floating-rate loan by buying an FRA If market rate > FRA rate, the buyer of FRA receives cash from the seller that offsets the increase in interest rates If market rate < FRA rate, the buyer of FRA pays cash to the seller of FRA that increases loan interest rate to FRA rate Continued → 44 LOS 49.a Derivative Investments Forward Rate Agreements cont. FRA Settlement = S FRA rate Market rate Days in the loan period (r − f ) ⎛⎜ T ⎞ ⎟ 360 ⎠ ⎝ S = (notional principal) × ⎧ ⎡ T ⎤⎫ ⎨1 + ⎢(r) ⎥⎬ ⎩ ⎣ 360 ⎦ ⎭ Continued → 45 LOS 49.a Derivative Investments Forward Rate Agreements: Example In 2 months a borrower is going to borrow $10 million for 6 months at LIBOR The FRA rate is 3.05% for 6 months In 2 months LIBOR= 3.93% Continued → 46 LOS 49.a Derivative Investments Forward Rate Agreements: Example cont. LIBOR S = $10m × FRA rate 6 months ( 0.0393 − 0.0305 ) ⎛⎜ 180 ⎞ ⎟ ⎝ 360 ⎠ = $43,152 ⎧ ⎡ 180 ⎤ ⎫ ⎨1 + ⎢(0.0393) ⎬ 360 ⎥⎦ ⎭ ⎩ ⎣ Continued → 47 LOS 49.a Derivative Investments Forward Rate Agreements: Example cont. Since LIBOR > FRA rate, the bank pays the borrower $43,152 at the inception of the loan The borrower receives a total of $10,043,152 at the beginning of the loan period and pays the bank $10,000,000 plus $196,500 interest (at 3.93%) in six months BEY on the loan is 3.05% (the same as the FRA rate) 48 Derivative Investments Practice What You’ve Learned 49 Derivative Investments SchweserProTM Question Bank Thousands of questions at each level Browse questions by LOS Insert personal study notes and bookmarks Print custom exams by level of difficulty, topic, length and weighting Download new questions throughout the season 50 Derivative Investments Online Practice Exams FREE with UKSIP Review Course registration TODAY! Unique online exams one-time usage unlimited review until exam date Online or printable Available late-season 51 Derivative Investments Practice Exam Book Three complete, 6-hour exams Answers and explanations for all questions Scoring breakdown for all Level 3 essay answers 52 Derivative Investments Derivative Investments Level 1 Futures Markets and Contracts 53 LOS 75.a, p. 146-147 Derivative Investments Forwards vs. Futures Forwards Private contracts Unique contracts Default Risk present No margin Little regulation Futures Exchange-traded Standardized Guaranteed by clearinghouse Margin required Regulated 54 LOS 75.a, p. 146-147 Derivative Investments Futures Characteristics Contract specifies: quality and quantity of good, delivery time, manner of delivery Exchange specifies: minimum price fluctuation (tick), daily price limit Clearinghouse holds other side of each trade Margin posted and marked to market daily Margin is a performance guarantee, not a loan Long buys and short sells the future 55 LOS 75.c, p. 148 Derivative Investments A Futures Trade July wheat futures call for delivery of 5000/bu. of wheat in July, futures price is $2 per bushel Contract value is 5000 × $2 = $10,000 Long obligated to buy 5000 bu. in July at $2 Short obligated to sell 5000 bu. in July at $2 Both the long and short post same margin amount If future price > $2 long gains, < $2 short gains 56 LOS 75.e, p. 149 Derivative Investments Closing a Futures Trade by Offset Most futures contracts closed prior to the expiration or delivery date For example, the long position in July wheat can be closed out by taking an equal short position in July wheat The futures price when the trade is closed out determines gains or losses on the trade 57 LOS 71.b, p. 147-148 Derivative Investments Futures Margins Terms Initial margin: deposited before trade occurs Maintenance margin: minimum margin that must be maintained in a futures account Variation margin: funds needed to restore futures account to initial margin amount Settlement price: average of trades during closing period, used to calculate margin 58 LOS 75.d, p. 148 Derivative Investments Marking to Market Marking to market is the process of adjusting margin balance in a futures account each day for the change in the futures price (add gains, subtract losses) The futures exchanges can require a mark to market more frequently (than daily) under extraordinary circumstances (increased volatility) 59 LOS 75.d, p. 149 Derivative Investments Margin Calculation Example Long five July wheat contracts Size = 5000 bushels Futures price = $2.00/bu Initial margin deposit = $150 per contract Maintenance margin = $100 per contract Total Initial Margin = 5 × $150 = $750 Total Maintenance margin = 5 × $100 = $500 60 LOS 75.d, p. 149 Derivative Investments Margin Calculation Example cont. Each change of $0.01 in the futures price leads to a change of 5000 × $0.01 = $50 per contract in the margin account On the 5 contracts in our example, a $0.01 increase in the July wheat futures price will increase the long’s margin by $250 and decrease the margin balance in the short’s account by $250 61 LOS 75.d, p. 149 Derivative Investments Margin Calculation Example cont. 62 LOS 75.e, p. 149-150 Derivative Investments Methods to Terminate a Futures Position at Expiration Reversal (offsetting trade): common Delivery of asset (< 1% of trades) Cash-settlement: may be required Exchange for physicals: off exchange 63 LOS 75.e,f, p. 149-150 Derivative Investments Futures Contracts Delivery Options T-bond futures What to deliver: which bonds to deliver When to deliver: date during expiration month Commodities: where to deliver; location Delivery option is valuable to short 64 Derivative Investments Level 2 Futures Markets and Contracts Derivative Investments Foundation Concepts Many of the theoretical pricing relationships expressed for forward contracts are identical for futures contracts No-arbitrage principle: There should be no riskless profit from combining futures contracts with other instruments Futures price = price that would not permit profitable riskless arbitrage 66 Derivative Investments LOS 65.c,d,p. 172-173 Forwards vs. Futures Contracts Futures are marked to market daily Any value accrued due to underlying price changes during the day is immediately realized by the contracting parties Like a series of 1-day forward contracts Hence, the “value” of the contract is reset to zero each day No such thing as an “off-market” futures contract 67 Derivative Investments LOS 65.d, p. 173 Core Material and LOS Pricing a Futures Contract: Quick Review Futures are priced just like forwards (assuming interest rates and underlying prices are uncorrelated) Cost of carry model: FP = S0 × (1 + Rf)T Look familiar? It’s identical to the pricing relationship reviewed in the last topic The same applies to equities, fixed incomes, and currencies! 68 Derivative Investments LOS 65.d, p. 173 Core Material and LOS Pricing a Futures Contract If interest rates are positively correlated with the price of the underlying, the futures will be more valuable than the forward If interest rates are negatively correlated, the forward will be more valuable than the futures 69 Derivative Investments LOS 65.e, p. 175 Core Material and LOS Effect on Futures Price of Benefits and Costs of Holding Asset Costs of storing or holding the asset will increase commodity futures price Monetary benefits (e.g., dividends) reduce financial futures price Non-monetary benefits from holding asset will reduce futures price (e.g., holding an asset in short supply with seasonal/highly risky production process) Return is called “convenience yield” 70 Derivative Investments Forwards and Futures Level 3 Risk Management Applications of Forward and Futures Strategies 71 LOS 49.e Derivative Investments Using Equity Futures to Obtain a Target Beta The manager can also attain a target beta to make the equity portfolio more or less volatile: ⎛ β − βP ⎞ ⎛ ⎞ VP # contracts = ⎜ T ⎟⎜ ⎟ ⎝ β F ⎠ ⎝ Pf (multiplier) ⎠ Continued → 72 LOS 49.e Derivative Investments Using Equity Futures to Obtain a Target Beta cont. Desired change in beta ⎛ β − βP ⎞ ⎛ ⎞ VP # contracts = ⎜ T ⎟⎜ ⎟ ⎝ β F ⎠ ⎝ Pf (multiplier) ⎠ “Amount” of beta provided by one futures contract 73 LOS 49.e Derivative Investments Using Equity Futures to Obtain a Target Beta: Example A $60 million equity portfolio has a beta of 1.2, and futures are trading at $2,674 (having a multiplier of $125 and a beta of 0.96). How many contracts are needed to reduce the beta to 0.8? ⎛ 0.8 − 1.2 ⎞ ⎡ $60,000,000 ⎤ # contracts = ⎜ ⎟⎢ ⎥ = −74.8 ⎝ 0.96 ⎠ ⎣ 2,674($125) ⎦ ⇒ Sell 75 contracts 74 Derivative Investments Retain What You’ve Learned 75 Derivative Investments Flashcards Color coded by topic Indexed by study session, reading, and LOS Auto-indexing available in web-enabled version 76 Derivative Investments Audio CDs Condensed readings of Study Notes Full LOS coverage Choice of audio CDs or MP3 CDs 77 Derivative Investments Schweser’s Secret SauceTM Small, convenient text for summary of critical concepts Time management hints Analysis of level-specific question styles Essential Exam Strategies 78 Derivative Investments Final Review Pack This late-season package includes: Secret SauceTM eBook Online Practice Exams Improve time management Track performance by topic Compare scores against other candidates Online Workshops Three level-specific workshops in late May Highlights of topic areas in each session Exam strategies and key concepts 79 Derivative Investments TYING IT ALL TOGETHER Learn • Practice • RetainTM 80 Derivative Investments Learn • Practice • RetainTM Learn the curriculum with Study Notes and online tools Practice new skills with SchweserProTM and Practice Exams Retain information with Flashcards, Audio CDs, and Secret SauceTM Attend a seminar for reinforcement, clarification and identification of “trouble” spots 81 Derivative Investments Premium or Essential Solution + UKSIP Review Course = The Ultimate CFA® Review Experience! SAVE 100USD when you order both! 82 Derivative Investments Level 1 Options Markets and Contracts 83 Derivative Investments Options Basics Option buyer (owner, long position) Pays a premium to purchase the right to exercise an option at a future date and price Option seller (writer, short position) Incurs an obligation to perform under the option contract terms 84 Derivative Investments Options Basics Call option: long has the right to purchase the underlying asset at the exercise (strike) price; short has the obligation to sell/deliver the underlying asset at the exercise price Put option: long has the right to sell the underlying asset at the exercise (strike) price; short has the obligation to purchase the underlying asset at the exercise price 85 LOS 76.a, p. 157 Derivative Investments Options Terminology American options can be exercised any time prior to expiration (early exercise) or at expiration European options can be exercised only at expiration American options are worth at least as much as otherwise identical European options 86 LOS 76.a, p. 157 Derivative Investments Moneyness Call Options Put Options 87 LOS 76.a, p. 158-160 Derivative Investments Option Value Option value = intrinsic value + time value Intrinsic value also equal to payoff at expiration Call: max (0, S – X) Put: max (0, X – S) Time value Option premium minus intrinsic value Also called speculative value 88 LOS 76.a, p. 158-160 Derivative Investments Call Option Example Stock price is $47 Call with exercise price of 50 is trading at $1.50 Out of the money: intrinsic value is zero Time value is $1.50 – 0 = $1.50 Call with exercise price of $45 is trading at $3.00 In-the-money: intrinsic value is $47– $45 = $2 Time value is $3.00 - $2.00 = $1.00 89 LOS 76.a, p. 158-160 Derivative Investments Put Option Example Stock price is $47 Put with exercise price of 45 is trading at $1.50 Out-of-the-money: intrinsic value is zero Time value is $1.50 – 0 = $1.50 Put with exercise price of 50 is trading at $4.00 In-the-money: intrinsic value is $50 – $47 = $3 Time value is $4 – $3 = $1.00 90 LOS 76.b, p. 161 Derivative Investments Types of Options: Underlying Assets Commodity options: e.g., call option on 100 oz. of gold at $420 per ounce Stock options: each contract for 100 shares Bond options: like stock options, payoff based on bond price and exercise price Index options: have a multiplier, e.g. payoff is $250 in cash for every index point the option is in the money at expiration 91 LOS 76.b,c, p. 161 Derivative Investments Types of Options: Underlying Assets Interest rate options: the payoff is based on the difference between a floating rate, such as LIBOR, and the strike rate Options on futures: Calls give the option to enter into a futures contract as the long at a specific futures price Puts give the option to enter into a futures contract as the short at the indicated futures price 92 LOS 76.c,d, p. 162-163 Derivative Investments More on Interest Rate Options Payoff on a LIBOR-based interest rate call is Max[0,(LIBOR – strike rate)] × notional amount (long gains when rates rise) Payoff on a LIBOR-based interest rate put is Max[0,(strike rate – LIBOR)] × notional amount (long gains when rates fall) Payoffs made at the end of the interest rate term (after option expiration) 93 LOS 76. d, p. 162-163 Derivative Investments Interest Rate Option Example Long 60-day call on 90-day LIBOR Notional amount = $1 million Strike rate = 5% 90-day LIBOR at expiration (in 60 days) = 6% Payoff (to long): $1,000,000 × (0.06 – 0.05) × (90/360) = $2,500 Paid by call writer 90-days after expiration 94 LOS 76.c, p. 162 Derivative Investments Two Interest Rate Options = One FRA 2% 3% 7% = 5% -2% 95 LOS 76.e, p. 163 Derivative Investments Interest Rate Caps and Floors A cap puts a maximum on an issuer’s payments on a floating rate debt; equivalent to a series of long interest rate calls; makes payments to issuer when floating rate > cap (strike) rate A floor puts a minimum on an issuer’s payments on a floating rate debt; equivalent to a series of short interest rate puts; issuer must make payments when floating rate < floor (strike) rate 96 LOS 76.e, p. 163 Derivative Investments Cap and Floor Payoffs 97 LOS 76.f, p. 164 Derivative Investments Options Notation St = price of underlying asset at time t X = exercise price T = time to expiration RFR = risk-free rate ct, pt = European style calls and puts at time = t Ct, Pt = American style calls and puts at time = t 98 LOS 76.f, p. 165-167 Derivative Investments Minimum and Maximum Option Prices European puts, no early exercise means lower maximum, PV of X at expiration 99 LOS 76.i, p. 169-170 Derivative Investments Deriving Put-Call Parity (European Options) Protective put = stock + put If S ≤ X, payoff = S + (X – S) = X If S ≥ X, payoff = S + 0 = S Fiduciary call = call + X/(1 + X 0 RFR)T X (bond that pays X at maturity) If S ≤ X, payoff = 0 + X = X If S ≥ X, payoff = (S – X) + X = S Same payoffs means same values by no-arbitrage Put-call parity: S + P = C + X/(1 + RFR)T 100 LOS 76.i, p. 170 Derivative Investments Parity Conditions 101 LOS 76.i, p. 170 Derivative Investments Put-Call Parity Example Stock XYZ trades at $75 Call premium = $4.50 Expiration = 4 months (T=0.3333) X = $75 RFR = 5% What’s the price of the 4-month put on XYZ? 102 LOS 76.i, p. 170 Derivative Investments Put-Call Parity Example 103 LOS 76.h,l,p. 169, 171-172 Derivative Investments Time, Volatility, RFR, and Strike Price Longer time to expiration increases option values Except for: some far out-of-the-money options and European style puts Greater price volatility increases option values Increase in RFR increases call values and decreases put values For X1 < X2: call at X1 ≥ call at X2 put at X1 ≤ put at X2 104 Derivative Investments Level 1 Risk Management Applications of Option Strategies 105 LOS 78.a, p. 190-191 Derivative Investments Call Intrinsic Value / Payoff at Expiration 106 LOS 78.a, p. 191 Derivative Investments Profit and Loss: Call Options 107 LOS 78.a, p. 191-192 Derivative Investments Puts Intrinsic Value/ Payoff at Expiration 108 LOS 78.a, p. 192 Derivative Investments Profit and Loss: Put Options 109 LOS 78.a, p. 192-193 Derivative Investments Example: Call Profit and Loss Consider a 40 call purchased at $3.00 when the stock is trading at $39.00 Maximum profit: unlimited Maximum loss: –$3.00 Breakeven: stock price at expiration = $43.00 If stock price is $42.00 at expiration Value at expiration is $2.00 but paid $3.00 so, loss is $1.00 (would be gain to call writer) 110 LOS 78.a, p. 192-193 Derivative Investments Example: Put Profit and Loss Consider a 40 put written/sold at $3.00 when the stock is trading at $39.00 Maximum profit: $3.00 Maximum loss: –$37.00 Breakeven stock price at expiration: –$37.00 If stock price is $39.00 at expiration Payoff at expiration is $1.00 but sold for $3.00 so profit is $2.00 (would be loss to put buyer) 111 LOS 78.b, p. 193-194 Derivative Investments Covered Call Strategy (Position) Writer owns the stock and sells a call Any loss will be reduced by premium received Writer trades the stock’s upside potential for the option premium 112 LOS 78.b, p. 193-194 Derivative Investments Example: Covered Call Buy stock at $39 Sell a 40 Call at $3 Net cost of covered call position: 39 – 3 = $36 Breakeven stock price at expiration: $36 Maximum gain: 40 – 36 = $4 Maximum loss: $36 (if stock goes to zero) At stock price of $39 → profit = $3 At stock price of $32 → loss = –$4 113 LOS 78.b, p. 194 Derivative Investments Payoff and Profits: Covered Call 114 LOS 78.b, 194-195 Derivative Investments Protective Put Strategy (Position) Put buyer owns the stock and buys a put Any gain will be reduced by premium paid Put buyer pays for protection against any stock price below the strike price of the put 115 LOS 78.b, p. 194-195 Derivative Investments Example: Protective Put Buy stock at $41 Buy a 40 Put for $3 Cost of Protective Put strategy = 41+ 3 = $44 Breakeven: stock price at expiration $44 Maximum gain: unlimited Maximum loss: $4 (if stock price ≤ 40) At stock price of 47 → profit = $3 At stock price of 38 → loss = $4 116 LOS 78.b, p. 195 Derivative Investments Payoff and Profit: Protective Put 117 Derivative Investments Level 2 Option Markets and Contracts Derivative Investments LOS 66.d, p. 204 The Black-Scholes-Merton Model As the # of time periods increases (interval length decreases), the binomial model “converges” to a continuous time model called Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM): c C 0 = ⎡⎣ S 0 × N ( d1 ) ⎤⎦ – ⎡ X × e –R f ×T × N ( d 2 ) ⎤ ⎣⎢ ⎦⎥ ln ⎛⎜ d1 = ⎝ S0 ( ( ) ⎞ + ⎡R c + 0.5 × σ 2 ⎤ × T X ⎟⎠ ⎣ f ⎦ d 2 = d1 – σ × σ× T ) T 119 LOS 66.d, p. 204 Derivative Investments The BSM Model and “Greek Risk” The BSM formula has five inputs: S, the asset price σ, volatility Rf, the interest rate T, time to expiration X, the exercise price Changing an input will change the value of the option (call or put) Each sensitivity (except X) is a “Greek” 120 Derivative Investments LOS 66.d, p. 204 The BSM Model and “Greek Risk” 121 Derivative Investments LOS 66.e, p. 205 Delta and Dynamic Hedging Delta (1st derivative of BSM relative to S) is the change in the price of an option for a one-unit change in the price of the underlying stock C – C0 ΔC Discrete time : Deltacall = 1 = S1 – S0 ΔS Continuous time : Deltacall = N ( d1 ) 122 Derivative Investments LOS 66.e, p. 205 Delta Summary Call deltas range from 0 to 1: Far out-of-the-money: delta approaches 0 Far in-the-money: delta approaches 1 Put deltas range from –1 to 0: Far out-of-the-money: delta approaches 0 Far in-the-money: delta approaches –1 Put delta = Call delta –1 123 LOS 66.e, p. 205 Derivative Investments A Graphical Depiction of Delta 124 LOS 66.e, p. 205 Derivative Investments Delta and Dynamic Hedging For small changes in the stock price (∆S): ΔC ≈ N( d1) ×ΔS Delta of the comparable put option is call delta minus one, so for small changes in S: ΔP ≈ ⎡⎣1− N( d1) ⎤⎦ ×ΔS 125 Derivative Investments Level 3 Options and Swaps Strategies and Applications Derivative Investments LOS 50.f Delta Hedging If a dealer sells a naked call, the most commonly available hedge is to buy the stock Delta tells us how the call and stock returns are related and how much stock to buy: ΔCALL = ΔC / ΔS 0 ≤ ΔCALL ≤ 1 127 LOS 50.f Derivative Investments Delta Hedging Example Delta = 0.5 and the dealer has sold calls on 100 shares Dealer should buy 50 shares of stock to hedge changes in the value of the calls But delta will change as time passes and as the stock price changes To maintain the hedge, the number of shares must be rebalanced on a periodic basis Continued → 128 LOS 50.f Derivative Investments Delta Hedging Example cont. Over time, even with no change in stock price, the call price and delta will decrease. The manager will sell stock and earn the risk-free rate on the proceeds. If the stock price falls by a small amount, the delta will fall. The manager will sell stock (e.g., the delta changes from 0.50 to 0.42, the dealer will sell eight shares [100 × (0.50 – 0.42)]. Gamma is to delta as convexity is to duration. 129 → Derivative Investments LOS 50.f Delta Hedging Example cont. If the stock price increases by a small amount, the delta will increase. The manager will buy stock by borrowing {e.g., the delta changes from 0.50 to 0.55, the dealer will buy 5 shares [100 × (0.55 – 0.50)]}. 130 Derivative Investments LOS 50.g The Gamma Effect Delta is only an approximation because the relationship between call and stock prices is nonlinear Delta will underestimate the increase in the call price given a stock price increase Delta will overestimate the decrease in the call price given a stock price decrease The 2nd order effect, gamma, increases the precision (rate of change in delta) Continued → 131 Derivative Investments LOS 50.g The Gamma Effect cont. Gamma = Δ delta ΔS Gamma becomes more important when: The option is at the money, and/or The option is near expiration 132 Derivative Investments Level 1 Swaps Markets and Contracts 133 LOS 77.b, p. 180-183 Derivative Investments Swap Contracts: Overview If A loans money to B for a fixed rate of interest and B loans the same amount to A for floating rate of interest, it’s an interest rate swap If one of the returns streams is based on a stock portfolio or index return, it’s an equity swap If the loans are in two different currencies, it’s a currency swap 134 LOS 77.a, p. 179 Derivative Investments Characteristics of Swap Contracts Custom instruments Not traded in any organized secondary market Largely unregulated Default risk is a concern Most participants are large institutions Private agreements Difficult to alter or terminate 135 LOS 77.a, p. 179 Derivative Investments Swap Contract Terminology Notional principal: amount used to calculate periodic payments Floating rate: usually US LIBOR Tenor: time period covered by swap Settlement dates: payment due dates 136 LOS 77.b, p. 180 Derivative Investments Currency Swap Assume current exchange rate is $1.20/euro Company A lends $1.2 million to Company B at 5%/yr Company B lends 1 million euros to Company A at 4%/yr Loans are for two years and interest is paid semiannually 137 LOS 77.b, p. 181 Derivative Investments Currency Swap Cash Flows At time 0: Company A lends $1.2 million to Company B Company B lends € 1 million to Company A At each semi-annual settlement date (t = 1,2,3,4): A pays 0.04/2 × €1 million = € 20,000 to B B pays 0.05/2 × $1.2 million = $30,000 to A 138 LOS 77.b, p. 181 Derivative Investments Currency Swap Cash Flows At t = 4 settlement date, in addition to the interest payments: Company B repays $1.2 million to Company A Company A repays €1 million to Company B This is a fixed-for-fixed currency swap because both loans carried a fixed rate of interest Could be fixed-for-floating or floating-for-floating 139 LOS 77.b, p. 182 Derivative Investments Plain Vanilla Interest Rate Swap Fixed interest-rate payments are exchanged for floating-rate payments Notional Amount is not exchanged at the beginning or end of the swap; both loans are in same currency and amount 140 LOS 77.b, p. 182 Derivative Investments Plain Vanilla Interest Rate Swap Interest payments are netted On settlement dates, both interest payments are calculated and only the difference is paid by the party owing the greater amount Floating rate payments are typically made in arrears, payment is made at end of period based on beginning-of-period LIBOR 141 LOS 77.b, p. 182 Derivative Investments Plain Vanilla Interest Rate Swap FR = fixed rate T = # days in settlement period NP = notional principal 142 LOS 77.b, p. 182-183 Derivative Investments Fixed-for-Floating Swap Example Example: 2-year, semiannual-pay, LIBOR, plain vanilla interest rate swap for $10 million with a fixed rate of 6% Semiannual fixed payments are: (.06/2) × $10 million = $300,000 LIBOR t0 = 5%, t1= 5.8%, t2= 6.2%, t3= 6.6% 1st payment: Fixed-rate payer pays $50,000 net (.06 - .05 )(180/360)(10 million) = $50,000 First net payment is known at swap initiation! 143 LOS 77.b, p. 182-183 Derivative Investments LIBOR 5% at t0, 5.8% at t1, 6.2% at t2, 6.6% at t3 *********************************************************** 2nd payment: Fixed-rate payer pays $10,000 net (.06 – .058)(180/360)(10 million) = $10,000 3rd payment: Floating rate payer pays $10,000 net (.06 – .062)(180/360)(10 million) = –$10,000 4th payment: Floating rate payer pays $30,000 net (.06 – .066)(180/360)(10 million) = –$30,000 144 Derivative Investments LOS 77.b, p. 183-184 Equity Swaps Payments based on equity returns are exchanged for fixed rate or floating rate payments Equity Return based on Individual stock or Stock portfolio or Stock index Can be capital appreciation or total return including dividends 145 Derivative Investments LOS 77.b, p. 183-184 Equity Swaps Equity return payer: Receives interest payment Pays any positive equity return Receives any negative equity return Interest payer: Pays interest payment Receives positive equity return Pays any negative equity return 146 LOS 77.b, p. 183-184 Derivative Investments Equity Swap Example 2-year $10 million quarterly-pay equity swap Equity return = S&P 500 Index Fixed rate = 8 percent Current index level = 986 Q1, S&P 500 = 1030 Q2, S&P 500 = 968 Q3, S&P 500 = 989 Return = 4.46% Return = –6.02% Return = 2.17% Holder of index portfolio + swap gets 2% per quarter (plus dividends) for any index value!! 147 LOS 77.b, p. 184 Derivative Investments Equity Swap Example cont. Index return payer pays (+) receives (–): Q1: 4.46% – 2.00% = 2.46% $246,000 net payment Q2: –6.02% – 2.00% = –8.02% –$802,000 net payment Q3: 2.17% – 2.00% = 0.17% $17,000 net payment 148 Derivative Investments Level 2 Swap Markets and Contracts LOS 67.a, p. 221 Derivative Investments Swaps: Pricing vs. Valuation “Pricing” swaps requires the determination of the swap fixed rate (or swap rate) The swap fixed rate is the rate paid by the pay-fixed side. The swap rate is set so that: PVfixed-payments = PVfloating-payments Valuing a swap requires finding the difference in the value of the fixed payments and floating payments after initiation 150 LOS 67.c, p. 223 Derivative Investments Swaps as Combinations of Other Securities Swaps can be mimicked or replicated by combinations of other capital market instruments such as bonds, forward contracts, options, and FRAs “Replicated” means that two positions generate the same pattern of cash flows 151 LOS 67.c, p. 223 Derivative Investments Replicating Swaps With Bonds Fixed-rate payer side (a payer swap) could be replicated by: 1) Issuing fixed rate bonds (match maturity and payment dates) 2) Using proceeds to purchase floating rate notes at LIBOR This is a key insight that helps us price and value swaps 152 LOS 67.c, p. 223 Derivative Investments The Swap Fixed Rate Guiding principle: swap fixed rate must be set so swap value at initiation (for the payer and receiver) is zero Method: value the swap as a combination of fixed-rate bond and floating rate bond Value of payer swap = value of “replicating” floating rate bond – value of “replicating” fixed rate bond 153 Derivative Investments LOS 67.c, p. 223 The Swap Fixed Rate Important points: 1) Bonds have principal payments; swaps do not. However, we replicate swaps with bonds and therefore include the bond’s principal payments in the valuation procedure. 2) On each settlement date, the value of a floating rate note (FRN) will always reset to par (interest rates “adjust” to market rates). 154 Derivative Investments LOS 67.c, p. 223 The Swap Fixed Rate Using some magic hand waving (and a little elementary algebra), we get the formula for the swap rate: C= 1 − Z4 Z1 + Z2 + Z3 + Z 4 Price of n-period $1 zero coupon bond = n-period discount factor 155 LOS 67.c, p. 223 Derivative Investments The Swap Fixed Rate: Example Calculate the swap rate and the fixed payment on a 1-year, quarterly settlement swap with a notional principal of $10MM 156 LOS 67.c, p. 223 Derivative Investments The Swap Fixed Rate: Example Applying the formula for C, we get the quarterly swap rate: 1 − 0.94340 0.98888 + 0.97561 + 0.96038 + 0.94340 = 0.0146 = 1.46% 157 LOS 67.c, p. 223 Derivative Investments The Swap Fixed Rate: Example Quarterly fixed-rate payment is: $10M × 0.0146 = $146,000 Annualizing the quarterly rate gives us the annual swap rate of 5.84% (= 1.46% × 4) 158 Derivative Investments Level 3 Options and Swaps Strategies and Applications Derivative Investments LOS 51.a Interest Rate Swaps Can be used to convert floating-rate debt to fixed-rate debt (e.g., a firm has floating rate debt outstanding at LIBOR + 2%) They enter into a swap where they receive LIBOR flat and pay 6% fixed Paying LIBOR + 2 –LIBOR 6 fixed = 8 fixed In net, they will pay 8% fixed handy solution 160 Derivative Investments LOS 51.a Interest Rate Swaps cont. 0 200 → Qtn 24 Can be also used to convert fixed-rate debt into floating-rate debt (e.g., a firm has fixed-rate debt at 5%) They enter into a swap where they receive 4% fixed and pay LIBOR +1% In net, they will pay LIBOR + 2% handy solution Paying 5 fixed – 4 fixed LIBOR + 1 = LIBOR + 2 161 Derivative Investments LOS 51.b Duration of an Interest Rate Swap D pay floating = D fixed – D floating > 0 75% of Duration → maturity Guidelines 50% of payment interval For example, if the duration of the fixed payments is 2.3 and the swap is reset semiannually, the duration of the swap is 2.3 – 0.25 = 2.05 at its inception. Continued → 162 Derivative Investments LOS 51.b Duration of an Interest Rate Swap cont. D receive floating = D floating – D fixed < 0 If a floating-rate borrower swaps for a fixed rate by receiving floating in a swap, the duration changes from ≈ 0 to negative Thus, the risk of payment variability is swapped for interest rate risk Continued → 163 Derivative Investments LOS 51.b Duration of an Interest Rate Swap cont. To help you remember the sign on the duration of a swap, think of the swap as a portfolio, and remember that the duration of a portfolio is the duration of the assets minus duration of the liabilities: DP = DA − DL Continued → 164 Derivative Investments LOS 51.b Duration of an Interest Rate Swap cont. Taking the pay-fixed arm of a swap is like having a fixed-rate liability and a variable-rate asset: If pay fixed, DL > DA so DP = DA − DL < 0 Continued → 165 Derivative Investments LOS 51.b Duration of an Interest Rate Swap cont. Taking the receive-fixed arm of a swap is like having a fixed-rate asset and a variable-rate liability: If receive fixed, DA > DL so DP = DA − DL > 0 166 Derivative Investments LOS 51.d Changing Duration Using an Interest Rate Swap Value of the position ⎛ MD target – MD V NP = VP ⎜ ⎜ MD swap ⎝ ⎞ ⎟⎟ ⎠ We can determine the required notional principal Continued → 167 LOS 51.d Derivative Investments Changing Duration Using an Interest Rate Swap cont. A manager has a $100m bond portfolio with a MD = 5.0 and would like to decrease it to 3.8. A swap with a net MD of 2.7 is available Calculate the required notional principal for the swap To reduce duration, we know the manager will have to take the pay-fixed arm of the swap. 168 → LOS 51.d Derivative Investments Changing Duration Using an Interest Rate Swap cont. ⎛ 3.8 − 5.0 ⎞ NP = $100 ⎜ ⎟ = $44.44 million ⎝ −2.7 ⎠ The sign of the swap’s duration depends upon whether you pay fixed or floating Negative in this case because we know the manager must be pay fixed to reduce his portfolio duration 169