Essay Groundwater Governance (Smidt / Satijn)
Transcription
Essay Groundwater Governance (Smidt / Satijn)
Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Ebel Smidt Bert Satijn Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Ebel Smidt Bert Satijn COLOFON Copyright All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be duplicated, saved in any data system or published, or in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, provided the source is clearly given, together with the name of WGC and the author, if mentioned. Liability Water Governance Centre and those who have contributed to this publication, have taken the greatest possible care in compiling this publication. However, the possibility cannot be excluded that there are still errors or omissions in this publication. Any use of this document and the information in it is at your own risk. 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Author(s) : Ebel Smidt and Bert Satijn, commissioned by Water Governance Centre Date Reference : : April 24, 2013 FINAL / P019-13-001 CONTENTS 1 INTRODUCTION ...........................................................................................................4 1.1 1.2 1.3 2 CHARACTERISTICS OF GROUND WATER GOVERNANCE ................................................9 2.1 2.2 3 Background and aim ...............................................................................................................4 Global trends and contexts ....................................................................................................6 Content reflection ..................................................................................................................8 Importance of groundwater ...................................................................................................9 Challenges to groundwater management and governance .................................................11 CASE STUDIES............................................................................................................ 15 3.1 3.2 3.3 Groundwater governance in the Netherlands .....................................................................15 Groundwater governance in other countries ......................................................................18 Groundwater governance classification – relevance of Dutch experience..........................18 4 CHALLENGES ............................................................................................................. 20 5 ROLE OF THE NETHERLANDS WATER SECTOR – FRAMEWORK FOR OPTIMIZATION ..... 22 6 REFERENCES .............................................................................................................. 25 APPENDIX 1: THEMATIC PAPERS IN PREPARATION OR PUBLISHED (BOLD) UNDER THE GEF GROUNDWATER GOVERNANCE PROJECT ............................................................ 26 APPENDIX 2. THE WORLD GROUNDWATER RESERVOIRS AND FLOW CHARACTERISTICS AND COMPARISON WITH ECONOMIC ‘RESERVOIRS’ .................................................. 27 APPENDIX 3. BUFFERING FUNCTION OF GROUNDWATER ................................................. 29 APPENDIX 4. WATER GOVERNANCE CAPACITY ASSESSMENT AND CLASSIFICATION.......... 31 APPENDIX 5. BACKGROUND OF RELEVANT CONCEPTS ..................................................... 34 APPENDIX 6. LONG TERM PLANNING HORIZON – OVERCOMING THE NEED FOR SUSTAINABILITY AS GOVERNING PRINCIPLE AND THE NEED FOR USING FOSSIL GROUNDWATER RESERVES IN THE (SEM-) ARID ZONES OF THE WORLD ..................... 35 APPENDIX 7. PRESENTATION 5TH REGIONAL CONSULTATION ON GROUNDWATER GOVERNANCE IN THE HAGUE, 19-21 MARCH 2013 ..................................................... 37 Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 3 of 47 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background and aim Water as a natural resource has an extremely important function in the interconnected ecological and socio-economic systems. Groundwater forms the largest fresh water buffer besides the icecaps and therefore deserves special attention related to its unique value for the total system, not in an isolated manner but within concepts as Integrated Water Resources Management (IWRM). The IWRM concept has been developed over the last 30 years and successfully applied in many cases. But for the overall approach in improving the interaction between natural resources and societies the wider concept of governance is emerging. Water governance is the art of coordinating administrative actions and decision making between and among different actors which success depends on a number of capacities of these actors to apply a wide variety of social and technical sciences. Water governance is worldwide related to three issues: food security, climate change and energy. The interrelations between these issues are tackled in the water-food-energy nexus. Five main capacities can be distinguished: institutional, economic and financial, management, communication and participation of actors and legal and regulatory capacities (see Figure 1). Figure 1 - Water Governance Framework used by the Water Governance Centre Groundwater has another position compared to surface water due to other time and space scales than surface water. The perception of groundwater due to its relative invisibility and diffuse reservoir characteristics also differs from how rivers and lakes are perceived by the public and institutions. Surface water irrigation systems create a visible network connecting organizations and people. Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 4 of 47 Farmers pumping from the same groundwater reservoir share little at first sight and will not realize easily that increased pumping costs due to overpumping is a common problem. Due to its invisibility and therefore a more complex process of awareness and knowledge sharing and management acceptance, groundwater is therefore considered more a common pool resource than surface water and more earmarked by its related heritage of the ‘tragedy of the commons’: each user aims at individual maximization of benefits leading to the deterioration of the resource unless a strong (governmental) agency takes control 1. Recent theoretical analysis and fieldwork shows that ‘shared interests management of commons’ exists under certain conditions. Stake-owners and –holders can be motivated to cooperate under conditions of trust and shared understanding that depletion of the resource by non-cooperation is worse than taking the risk of common management and accepting limitations in the use of the resource. Situation specific understanding of social and natural system dynamics in combination with the acceptation of co-existence of cooperation and conflict belong to success factors. Further development of insights in the complexity of groundwater governance issues takes place amongst others in the current global GEF project 2. In line with this global work the Netherlands Water Governance Centre (WGC) has posed three questions as guidance for this essay: 1. Why should groundwater governance deserve special attention in the field of water governance? Isn’t such an approach an anachronism given the tendency to IWRM, the food-energy-water nexus and other holistic approaches? 2. Is it possible to formulate a framework for the WGC to set priorities with respect to its contribution to groundwater governance issues? 3. Which are the possibilities for the Dutch water sector to contribute to international developments on groundwater governance? Do windows of needs and opportunities exist for the input and development of specific Dutch knowledge? In answering these questions this essay aims at clarifying the concepts of groundwater governance, sketching the international playfield and developing a framework and practical proposals for contributions of the Water Governance Centre to these developments. The background of this search is the impression that developments in the Netherlands on groundwater governance can benefit from global developments and are also worth to be shared worldwide. 1 2 The Lakewood Water Replenishment District saluted Nobel Laureate Dr. Elinor Ostrom in 2009 for her keen analysis of groundwater producer activities in West Basin that culminated with formation of the Water Replenishment District in 1959. Her 1965 UCLA dissertation (Public Entrepreneurship: A Case Study in Groundwater Basin Management) was the first field test of the theory of “governing the commons” that led to her historic award in Economics. (http://www.wrd.org/news/pdf/WRD_Ostrom_Press_Release.pdf). See http://www.groundwatergovernance.org/ Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 5 of 47 1.2 Global trends and contexts At global and national scale the following trends and contexts are worth to be mentioned: 1. The attention for groundwater as a means to cope with climatic change impacts, to support resilience policies and to safeguard water supply has increased tremendously and was clearly tangible and visible in the increased number of groundwater related sessions at the Sixth 2012 World Water Forum at Marseille as compared to those on the Fifth 2009 WWF at Istanbul. 2. There is worldwide agreement on the need for proper international legal frameworks and instruments for the management of aquifers and the water it contains. Good examples are the compilation of the Draft Articles on Transboundary Aquifers and the implementation of the European Groundwater Directive. 3. There is worldwide agreement that proper use of groundwater reservoirs requires insights and investments in the non-technical aspects of the management of these reservoirs. The GEF project on Groundwater Governance which has started in 2011 and will last till 2013 is an important milestone in that respect. WGC initiatives on groundwater governance cannot be isolated from developments in this project. 4. Changes in groundwater use and management in the Netherlands over the last hundred and fifty years show a tendency towards considering groundwater as an important multi-functional buffer for public water supply, agricultural and industrial water use and ecological services. The process of finding appropriate governance means to optimize all the functions of the buffer making use of the long history of successful water management by a unique set of institutions. The adaptation capacity of these institutions to requirements imposed by European guidelines on the one hand and active participation of citizens or other end-users is enhanced by proper governance instruments. 5. With hundreds of transboundary aquifers and the increasing pressure on these water resources the risk of conflicts might increase. Programs like Unesco’s PCCP (From Potential Conflict to Potential Cooperation) focus on the prevention of conflicts over water. The Netherlands government is considering to launch a niche Water Diplomacy Programme. The WGC is one of the members in the consortium and will guarantee an optimal exchange of knowledge between its groundwater governance activities and the Water Diplomacy Programme. The challenge of good groundwater governance is to use the inputs of the right people in the right institutions to improve the short and long term benefits of the aquifers in an economically, ecologically and socially acceptable manner (see also Box 1). Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 6 of 47 Box 1. Citation from Groundwater and Global Change: Trends, Opportunities and Challenges (Unesco - J. van der Gun, 2012) Hydrogeologists and other scientists have made remarkable progress over the last few decades in collecting information on the world’s groundwater systems, in understanding their role and functions, in observing changes over time and in identifying options for enhancing benefits from groundwater as well as threats that need to be addressed to safeguard the resource’s sustainability. Gradually it has become clear to them how strongly the development and state of groundwater systems are interrelated with other systems and external drivers. It has also become clear that the value of groundwater is not limited to its abstraction for multiple uses (provisioning services), but includes a range of valuable in situ services (regulatory services), such as supporting wetlands, springs, base-flows and the stability of the land surface. As a result, the management of groundwater resources has evolved into a multidisciplinary activity that addresses multiple objectives. It does not focus solely on physical systems and technical measures, but pays also significant attention to demography, socioeconomics and governance. The authors of this essay acknowledge the importance of the process and outcomes of the GEF Groundwater Governance project. Parts of the planned and already available outputs are listed in appendix 1. Awareness rising at political levels, decision makers and the international society of groundwater scientist and managers of the complex road to good governance is a role for organizations like the Netherlands Water Governance Centre in cooperation with other institutions like the International Association of Hydrogeologists (IAH). An important event in the project is the fifth and last Regional Consultation for Europe, Central Asia and North America to be organized in the Netherlands in March 2013 which will also include the participation of private sector institutions. The event is a unique possibility for the Netherlands water sector to present its strength in practical groundwater governance and innovative and relevant research. Box 2 contains useful remarks from the IAH’s Secretary General on practical issues related to groundwater governance. Box 2. Statement from the Secretary General of the International Association of Hydrogeologists on the status of groundwater governance. The Secretary General of the IAH, Dr. Shammy Puri commented on the publication of the 2012 Status Report on the Application of Integrated Approaches to Water Resources Management in Africa, stating: “Several things struck me as being of interest in the Report; firstly almost all countries report that there is insufficient cadres of qualified personnel - this is a key issue, obviously, because implementation of policies is all dependent on converting them to action on the ground, which is only possible through trained people. The second issue is that of the 'flow of finance' in water sector - it seems to me quite clear that we do not fully understand this 'flow' - mainly as we are unable to finance the public good versus the private good aspects of water management - on the public good side, it should be government driven - but governments find it complicated to monetize the benefits; on the private side, again the water user is understandably only interested in investing where goods and services are privately owned and yield direct measurable benefits…..The GEF project is focusing specifically on groundwater. Here the question for hydrogeologists is, 'are the lessons from 'water resource' assessments (of the sort we see in this Report) applicable specifically to aquifer management? This is one of the driving factors in the project, because there are differences when we are dealing with aquifers and their management, and these special aspects are lost in the too broad assessment of the issues. Hopefully the final outcome of the GEF project (which has forthcoming consultations in Amman (for the MENA countries), in Beijing (for Asian Countries) and The Hague (for Europe, Central Asia & North America) will provide some such insights.” (LinkedIn IAH group, 18-05-2012). Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 7 of 47 1.3 Content reflection In this essay we try to navigate between the overall need for issue integration on the one hand and the notion that the importance of the groundwater buffers needs special attention on the other hand. Secondly we aim to apply the overall concepts of (water) governance and Integrated Water Resources Management to groundwater governance and link these issues to the present state of the art on international projects dealing with groundwater governance. And thirdly we aim at answering the practical questions of the WGC. The style of an essay gives some freedom than an article or a study report, nevertheless we choose to structure our findings and thoughts for the convenience of the reader. In chapter 2 the importance of groundwater and groundwater governance will be further elaborated. In chapter 3 the case of Netherlands groundwater governance is elaborated in more detail as it can be considered an example of a learning and solution curve also for the Dutch water sector itself. The lessons learned in the Netherlands are compared to the situation of other countries with a focus on countries that have a special relationship with the Netherlands concerning water management. In chapter 4 a short description is given of the main challenges which the world is facing concerning groundwater governance. In chapter 5 these challenges are translated in practical actions for the Netherlands (groundwater) governance community united in the WGC. This essay is an attempt to open discussions and requesting for contributions in the development process towards local solutions for the governance of the precious groundwater reservoirs. Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 8 of 47 2 CHARACTERISTICS OF GROUND WATER GOVERNANCE 2.1 Importance of groundwater Integrated river basin management is a key to the development of sustainable use of water resources in the world. Since 98% of the fluid fresh water is contained in groundwater, the proper strategic and long term use of the reservoir and buffering characteristics of groundwater systems is a key to successful water resources management 3. In humid zones with sufficient average recharge of the groundwater buffers over periods of some to tens of years the water governance issues can be complex especially due to climate change. In arid or semi-arid zones where fossil groundwater buffers are the main water resources and natural recharge is limited governance issues include questions of valuing the natural reservoirs and evaluating manmade recharge mechanisms and finding future alternatives for the water resource. In these cases close resemblances exist with governance and transition issues being debated over the use of scarce natural resources as oil and gas and some minerals. Key data on fresh water distribution in the world and groundwater reservoirs are provided in Figure 2 and Figure 3 showing its huge volume, large contribution to annual flow of fresh water and long residence time. Figure 2 - Earth’s water distribution (Earth's_water_distribution.svg ) Note that the total fresh groundwater amount is about 100 times as large as the total surface water. However surface water is renewed within 10 years while groundwater reservoirs need hundreds till thousands of years to be replenished. This requires specific managerial framing for each type of natural water flow and reservoir with the factor time as dominant difference 3 Appendix 1 presents some rough indications on the importance of groundwater stocks in terms of global economy. For communication reasons one can state that the blue gold represents about 140 years of the present monetary value of the global economy. Appendix 2 contains a draft article (in Dutch) dealing with the importance of the buffering functions of groundwater reservoirs. The article indicates the need of combining the technical aspects of the buffering function with governance aspects in the framework of resilience strategies to climatic change. Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 9 of 47 Fresh groundwater storage and flow After data compiled by J.Margat (2008) from various sources (mainly Russian authors) See www.igrac.nl Total fresh groundwater stock Total groundwater stock = 23.4 million km3 (=fresh+brackish+saline) in million km3 in m of water depth North & Central America 1.9 South America 1.2 Africa Total fresh groundwater flux Mean residence time in km3/a in mm/a in years 78 2160 104 880 67 4120 231 291 2.5 83 1600 52 1563 Europe 0.5 48 1120 115 446 Asia 3.4 78 3750 84 907 Australia & Oceania 0.3 34 757 88 396 TOTAL WORLD 9.8 72 13325 101 735 Approximately 98% of all liquid fresh water stored on earth Approximately 30% of total terrestrial flux of fresh water 5 Figure 3 - Fresh groundwater storage and flow As the total average world river discharge is about 38,000 km3, the estimate of the groundwater flux contribution is rather 25% than the 30%. Cumulatively the European rivers discharge some 2.800 km3/year, i.e. for Europe the groundwater contribution to the total fresh water flow is 29%. More important than a discussion over 25 or 30% is the fact that groundwater flow is considerable in average years and very important in dry years. The ten largest manmade surface water reservoirs have a capacity of 1.250 km3 (see Table 1) while the total capacity of manmade reservoirs reaches almost 7.000 km3 (Foundation for Water Research, 2010). In other words, mankind has been able to create with enormous investments water reservoirs which count to some 7% of the total fresh groundwater reservoir. Table 1 - List of largest manmade water reservoirs in the world 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Lake Kariba - 180 km³ in Zambia and Zimbabwe Bratsk Reservoir - 169 km³ in Russia Lake Nasser - 157 km³ in Egypt and Sudan Lake Volta - 150 km³ in Ghana Manicouagan Reservoir - 142 km³ in Canada Lake Guri - 135 km³ in Venezuela Williston Lake - 74 km³ in Canada Krasnoyarsk Reservoir - 73 km³ in Russia Zeya Reservoir - 68 km³ in Russia Kuybyshev Reservoir - 58 km³ in Russia (source: http://geography.about.com/od/waterandice/a/damsreservoirs_3.htm) Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 10 of 47 The largest fresh surface water reservoir in the Netherlands, the IJsselmeer, has a capacity of 5,5 km3. The volume of fresh groundwater in the Netherlands is 800 km3. 2.2 Challenges to groundwater management and governance In the development of the groundwater resources of the Iranian and later Moslem and Spanish Empires the massive introduction of the ‘qanats’, a system of underground water tunnels and wells, has been crucial (Issar, 2008). More recently 150 years of experience of groundwater exploitation at the Dutch dune systems has been essential for the water supply in the western parts of the country (see chapter 3). The case of balanced groundwater and policy development in the Netherlands even under climatic change conditions can be regarded as a rather luxurious situation in terms of availability of fresh water and financial means. Reality in large parts of the world shows rapid depletion of aquifers because of economic exploitation and already serious societal effects of climatic change. In the 20th century about 700-800 km3 has been depleted from the American aquifers (Konikow and Kendy, 2005). Rapid aquifer depletion is also reported from India where in the period 2002-2008 109 km3 of storage water has been pumped from the Northern India’s aquifers mainly for irrigation purposes (NASA, 2009). The stress on the use of the aquifer systems can be expected to be increased further due to population growth, overexploitation of the land and deforestation. In addition climatic change will affect groundwater resources use especially in many arid and semi-arid zones with already critically low rainfall. For the Middle East 20 – 30% reduction in rainfall is expected during the coming 20 – 50 years as reported amongst others at the Cairo conference ‘Towards the new Long Term Strategy for Water in the Mediterranean, held 2-3 November 2009’. At the conference reallocation of about 300.000 people in Northern Syria due to lack of water was reported. According to other sources the combination of climate change, man-made desertification and lack of irrigation affect up to 60% of Syria's land and 1.3 million people (of a population of 22 million). Just over 800,000 people have lost their entire livelihood, according to the UN and IFRC (IRIN Humanitarian News and Analysis, Damascus, Sept. 2, 2009). Recent reports indicate a relationship between the current civil war in Syria, drought and poor land and water governance (NRC, 2012). In Northern Iraq 100.000 people have been evacuated from their homes since 2005 due to drought and overpumping that caused the disruption of 40% of the qanat systems (UNESCO, 2009). Daring and challenging strategies to manage, meaning using and recharging groundwater in times of global climatic change are urgently needed at all levels of scale. A good example is provided by a regional analysis of buffering capacities of aquifers in the Middle East (Issar, 2008). The work of Issar is pioneering in the sense that historical geological information and information on the rise and fall of civilization is combined to predict the effect of global warming and that non-traditional or out-of-thebox approaches to groundwater use are advocated. For the Middle East relatively cold and humid periods brought flourishing societies, relatively warm and dry periods put the societies under stress and led eventually to its decline if there was not enough organized adaptive capacity. Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 11 of 47 The authors of this essay have dedicated the largest parts of their professional careers nationally and internationally to increase the societal adaptive capacity towards water abundance or water shortage or combinations. Central issues in their assignments always concerned the combination of new scientific and technical methods with organisational changes, policy development and communication strategies in the broad field of water management. By working and living in different cultures and experiencing different geographical systems the conviction has grown that only a holistic system orientated approach will provide the necessary answers to the energy and water food challenges for the 21st century. The authors are also convinced that the way the global society will use the buffering capacities of groundwater reservoirs is a key-example for progressively applying sustainable development. The behaviour of large aquifer systems can be compared to the breathing pattern of climatic changes, as stated orally by late prof. Abdu Shata from Egypt. Humanity can and may influence the behaviour of aquifer systems as long as mankind respects the essential buffering functions of these systems. In systems analysis the concept of critical transitions gains attentions especially in relationship to climate change and its effects on ecosystems and societies. Scheffer (2009) states that systems in which critical transitions would have the most impact on humans are also the ones in which uncertainty of the models needed for prediction such change is largest (see Figure 4). Groundwater systems are reasonably well understood, however its linkages by governance to human societies and other natural systems is still characterized by poor knowledge systems. Improvement of access to knowledge by users and actors in the governance domain is a governance issue of utmost importance of the same weight as developing appropriate regulation systems. Figure 4 - Relation between impact of critical transition on society and uncertainty of models (based on Scheffer, 2009. Groundwater systems and groundwater governance domains added by authors). Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 12 of 47 The complexity of groundwater governance as shown in Figure 4 is found in the relationship with societal processes. This complexity is aggravated by a very rapid modernization which even requires new words for its characterization:. glocalisation – combining the enlargement of scale and decrease of scale- and fragmegration (Rosenau) – combining fragmentation and integration- belong to the world around us (Teisman and in ‘t Veld, 2012). To deal with this complexity Teisman and in ‘t Veld propose a quick scan water governance methodology that takes into account the multi-actor, multilevel and multi-scale nature of the processes at stake. In this methodology the quality of governance is expressed in terms of juridical, knowledge, economic and institutional quality and it’s (inter)acting capacities. By defining specific aspects of each quality an assessment matrix is created (see Appendix 4). In detailed country profiles or cases studies at a lower level this system can be applied. The analysis can help to justify the position in a classification system based on level and type of institutionalization and needs for improvement in governance (see also Appendix 4 and Chapter 3 for a first application). As many of the larger groundwater reservoirs underlie more than one country international cooperation is a prerequisite. It would be utopian to expect that international, but also national or regional water resources management goes without disputes and conflicts. Reliable water management structures are in fact constantly reshaped by stakeholder that use a continuum of conflict and cooperation potentialities (Zawahri and Gerlak, 2009; Zeitoun and Mirumachi, 2008; Zeitoun, Mirumachi and Warner, 2009). The challenge to the water managers and politicians remain to use the conflicts or potential conflicts to stimulate the cooperation. At the fifth 2009 World Water Forum held in Istanbul much attention has been given to resolution of transboundary water disputes. Groundwater has been mentioned as a focus area. The climatic change process increases the risks of tensions because of the access to fresh water. Risks increases from two sides. The natural systems are changing, resulting in less or less predictable fresh water in areas where it is needed and too much water where it harms societies. On the other hand economies are reacting by allocating financial means to mitigate or adapt to the changes. At the sixth 2012 World Water Forum in Marseille attention for groundwater management and governance was even much higher than three years earlier. One might even get the impression that groundwater has been rediscovered as a panacea for all global water problems. It is the task of the groundwater community to grasp the present possibilities for fully integrating groundwater management in water cycle management and water governance. In this essay we clarify why groundwater governance deserves special attention. The definition of groundwater governance as used in the GEF project (see Box 3) is followed taking into consideration the practical approach of mapping governance capacities (appendix 4) and the water governance framework (Figure 1) as proposed by the Water Governance Centre. Efficient governance processes will be action and result orientated with feedback loops between inputs, process and results as shown in Figure 5. Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 13 of 47 Box 3. A working definition of groundwater governance (GEF project) The GEF Groundwater Governance project needs to formulate a working definition of ‘groundwater governance’. From a review of existing definitions a possible wording is suggested below. This definition can serve as a starting point for discussion in the Regional Consultations. Groundwater governance is the process by which groundwater is managed through the application of responsibility, participation, information availability, transparency, custom, and rule of law. It is the art of coordinating administrative actions and decision making between and among different jurisdictional levels‐– one of which may be global. (Adapted after Saunier and Meganck. 2007. Dictionary and Introduction to Global Environmental Governance). Accordingly, ‘ groundwater governance’ could be interpreted as the set of policies or decisions that moderates groundwater use and promotes aquifer protection. Governance can be distinguished from ‘government’ (who decides) and ‘management’ (what is done to implement decisions). In this sense groundwater governance is not ‘fuzzy’ but has to frame specific (and non‐trivial) decisions about whether to turn on a pump, apply pesticides or manage waste etc. These are decisions that can be made day after day by hundreds of millions of groundwater users and land use managers. But there may be many decisions, public and private, that fall outside ‘groundwater governance’ but which still impact groundwater use and groundwater protection. The distinction between management and governance is important. Broadly, groundwater management is the set actions to implement decisions that derive from the process of governance. Assuming that a definition can be agreed, the project is predicated on the assumption that the state of groundwater and groundwater governance is not necessarily ‘good’ and needs improvement – i.e. that there is a governance gap. However, this presumes that we can distinguish ‘good’ governance from ‘bad’ or ‘indifferent’ groundwater governance. While criteria for making such a distinction may be available for water governance as a whole, the formulation of specific criteria for groundwater will need advice from the project’s Regional Consultations. Figure 5 - Groundwater governance process and feedback (Igrac, 2012) Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 14 of 47 3 CASE STUDIES In this chapter a short analysis is made of the Dutch history and position concerning groundwater governance, concluded by a positioning in the Teisman-in ‘t Veld water governance matrix. The Dutch situation in which scarcity of good groundwater has compelled decision makers over the last 150 years to innovate and come up with local solutions is compared with different situations both in Northern and Southern countries using the same methodology. Some general issues are formulated based on the case-study analysis which assists the formulation of challenges concerning groundwater governance and the role for the Dutch water sector in the next chapters. 3.1 Groundwater governance in the Netherlands Water supply and groundwater management in coastal zones About 4 million people in the western part of the Netherland are supplied by drinking water originating from a mixture of rainwater and infiltrated river water (see Figure 6 and Figure 7 for the Amsterdam water supply example). The water supply systems started to operate in the mid of the 19th century by digging canals in the dunes. At the beginning of the 20th century these canals had been replaced by wells but by overexploitation salinization of the pumped water threatened the operational lifetime of the systems. The solution realized in the 50-ties of the last century was to pretreat and transport river water and infiltrate it in the dunes. Additional advantages were the creation of strategic water storages, bringing back the groundwater levels at original levels giving rise to restoration of ecological and recreational functions. The water companies have been transformed into land and water managing companies. In the area of Amsterdam and surroundings one organization has been formed which manages both the natural water system and the water supply and sewerage systems. Comparable infiltration systems are operating all over the world. The next phase for the Dutch dune system is characterized by the search for an appropriate balance between at the one side measures needed because of adaptation to climatic change and at the other side measures needed because of integrated ecological system approaches embedded in European and national policies and regulations (Olsthoorn, 2009). The search for this balance is facilitated by a political decision of the Dutch government in 2009 to appoint a Delta commissioner who is responsible for climatic change adaptation measures. It has been decided by the government that the organization of the commissioner will have financial means of about 1 billion Euros per year. This budget can be regarded as an insurance premium for preventing the loss of an estimated economic value of 200 billion Euros in case of a major flood. Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 15 of 47 Figure 6 - Drinking water supply system for Amsterdam and surroundings Figure 7 - Historical contribution between the years 1850 till 2000 of different sources of water for the water supply of Amsterdam and surroundings (ASR = Aquifer Storage and Recovery). Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 16 of 47 Role of groundwater storage in flood damage prevention and drought In the Netherlands the concept of retaining rain where it falls, storage and controlled discharge is being applied as principle in watershed management also in agreement with European guidelines. Estimates indicate that this principle results in 5-45% reduction in flood discharges in specific condition of the Southern part of the Netherlands (Alterra, 2007). Figures on the role of improved groundwater management in increasing base flows of rivers during droughts are not yet known but are equally important. Other developments in the Netherlands Involvement of Waterboards in the actual management of groundwater bodies has been made possible by institutional and legal system changes over the last ten years. An example of a major legal change has been the replacement of a large number of specific laws, amongst others the Groundwater Law, by one Water Law. The autonomous Dutch institutional and legal developments into more integrative approaches have been stimulated by the developments at the European level with respect to the Water Framework Directive and the Groundwater Directive in the 90ties of the last century and first year of the present century. Region and groundwater system specific approaches for remediation of polluted sites were developed and the responsibilities for the cleaning up processes are fairly well determined at present. The process towards this situation which involved the soil and water sectors in the Netherlands and Europe is a very good example of the evolution of groundwater governance in which the scientific community, policy makers and practitioners participated effectively. The process and outcome have been extensively described by Quevauviller (2008). Dutch groundwater governance in summary and issues which still need attention The Dutch groundwater governance can be characterized by cooperation at all levels and by stakeholders from the public and private sector with a dominating role for the public sector (class 7 in the Teisman – in ‘t Veld classification, see Table 2). Specific governance issues that need further development in the near future are: 1. Full integration of management of strategic fresh surface and groundwater reservoirs in terms of water quantity and quality (mainly financial, technical and institutional issues); 2. Full integration of water storage management and heat storage management (technical, institutional and legal issues); 3. Brackish groundwater management (technical and legal issues); 4. Groundwater levels and damage claims (financial, technical and legal issues); 5. Combining these issues in operational packages of public-private partnerships suited for the modernized Dutch Poldermodel; 6. Adaptation strategies for urban areas including creating resilience while using the groundwater capacities. Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 17 of 47 3.2 Groundwater governance in other countries A thorough analysis of national groundwater governance arrangements in India, Kenya, Morocco, South Africa and Tanzania has been presented recently (Wijnen et al., 2012) (see citation in Box 4). Box 4. Conclusions on national groundwater governance arrangements in India, Kenya, Morocco, South Africa and Tanzania (Wijnen et al., 2012) “In all countries studied, groundwater development and abstraction have taken place ahead of governance arrangements, leading to depletion and quality deterioration. The case studies provided a rich variety of lessons, many of which were common to all the countries. All countries studied were suffering depletion and quality deterioration of the aquifers to a greater or lesser degree. All five countries had policy frameworks in place, but groundwater policies were generally poorly articulated with those of the water-using sectors, particularly agriculture. Formal governance arrangements were largely top down, although there were some cases of decentralization to the basin level as well as some moves towards creating partnerships with local collective management organizations. However, in every case the rights and regulation approach to governance was proving to be not well-adapted to the fast changing realities of the “groundwater revolution”, and everywhere implementation capacity fell far short of the ambitious regulatory provisions. Information, knowledge sharing and communications were insufficient to support management or to foster good governance. Public agencies were also underfinanced and lacked the capacity to do an adequate job. At the local level, there was generally a big disconnect between the regulatory regime and facts on the ground, and in some cases local collective management was substituting for more formal governance. For example, rules on drilling and abstraction, on pollution and on protection of recharge zones were not always applied on the ground. Some initiatives to delegate management to the basin level appeared more promising. At the local level, there were a number of interesting examples of collective management and self-regulation, but these were weakly embedded and little linked to public sector support structures. “ Identical findings are reported in the ongoing Dutch research project Groundwater in the Political Domain which focuses on case studies in Ethiopia, Palestine and Yemen (Smidt et al, 2013; Ter Horst, 2012). The cases are chosen because of dominance of rapid economic developments using groundwater as a relatively new resource (Ethiopia), strong competition over depleted groundwater reservoirs in a distributed power environment (Yemen) and a conflict situation with asymmetric power distribution dominance (Palestine). The project aims at defining strategies to improve groundwater governance under different contexts. The overall aim of the CoCoon program is to support Dutch policy development with respect to donor involvement in situations of conflicts over natural resources. 3.3 Groundwater governance classification – relevance of Dutch experience The Dutch case of groundwater governance shows a typical case of resilience needing time and adaptation at all levels of governance: technical innovation, economical aspects, managerial and institutional capacity, social and legal aspects. Time spams of tens of years for the full implementation of new technologies and governance are normal. The actual groundwater governance in the Netherlands is positioned in the middle of the Teisman - In ‘t Veld diagram (see Table 2). This position fits into the overall ‘polder’ model of Dutch governance. Especially for countries where governance improvement is needed with identical governance contexts the Dutch Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 18 of 47 experience can be useful. For other countries alliances with other sufficient capacity countries can be instrumental. Table 2 - Classification of groundwater governance capacity based on the Teisman – In ‘Veld methodology (2013). (See appendix 4 for more details of the methodology). Less institutionnalized societies in terms of governments Sufficiently increasing capacity Improvements needed 1 Parts of USA 2 Yemen Fully institutionalized societies with strong governments, including water authorities Mainly located on national Combination of levels of Mainly located on a local level governance or regional level Publicly Public, Publicly Public, Publicly Public, dominated private and dominated private dominated private and not-forand notnot-forprofit for-profit profit 3 5 7 9 11 13 Israel The NetherAustralia Parts of lands USA 4 6 8 10 12 14 China, Palestine, Egypt, Kenya, South Africa India Ethiopia, Tanzania Mozambiqu South Morocco, e, Romania Sudan Benin, Mali Many of the countries listed in Table 2 face rapid groundwater drawdowns (see Figure 8 for an example from China). Mining of groundwater reserves by meters per year is common all over the world. Solutions have to be found in a combination of socio-economic and technical measures as has been done in the Netherlands in the last 150 years. With a number of countries mentioned in table 4 a special relationship exists with the Netherlands concerning development programs on water issues (Benin, Kenya, Mali, Mozambique, Palestine, South Sudan, Yemen). For these countries the WGC programme can have an added value. Overexploitation Figure 8 - Groundwater drawdowns in China of about 1 m per year (Ref. to be added). Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 19 of 47 4 CHALLENGES Increase in population and consumption per capita in combination with climate change will enlarge the pressure on land and water resources in general. Groundwater use is rapidly increasing worldwide often without appropriate governance structures in place. Prevention of depletion or pollution of groundwater resources is a global challenge. This overall challenge can be specified in seven main specific challenges. 1. Stimulation of knowledge of the functioning and exploration of groundwater reservoirs. 2. Underlining the importance of setting in place appropriate governance structures before starting exploitation of groundwater resources. 3. Enhancing the resilience characteristics of groundwater bodies by techniques like artificial recharge, also called 3R methodologies (Recharge, Retain and Recover) or MAR(S) (Managed Aquifer Recharge (and Storage)) (see www.bebuffered.com and www.thewaterchannel.com). The appropriate linking of surface water and groundwater reservoirs is crucial for successful resilience strategies. 4. Combining resilience characteristics and techniques at different space and time scales to an optimal governance strategy per groundwater body and upscale successful local examples into global strategies. 5. Addressing the transboundary nature of many groundwater reservoirs and its special consequences for a variety of issues ranging from practical management to global legal issues. 6. Addressing the need for the input of hydrodiplomacy as a curative and preventive instrument for improved international groundwater management and governance. 7. Developing a common understanding and language concerning the conceptual frameworks on groundwater governance suited for regimes of both renewable groundwater resources and fossil groundwater resources. Recharge governance as linking pin between surface water and groundwater governance seems inevitable. Coping in practice with these challenges seems an enormous task, but worldwide many initiatives are already going on. A line of doing and learning by trial and error can be summarized as five families of actions (Wijnen et al., 2012) (see Box 5). Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 20 of 47 Box 5. Practical families of actions concerning groundwater governance. (Wijnen et al., 2012). 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Engage with the policy makers to understand their concerns and constraints. Go outside the water ministry to seek harmonization and support from agriculture, planning, finance, and municipal development agencies. Carry out an economic analysis of key issues and present it persuasively. A multitude of tools exist including natural capital accounting, assessment of the opportunity cost of groundwater or wealth accounting of groundwater services. Recruit champions and try to come up with win-win agendas. Link governance reform to investment, if relevant. Agree with policy makers on investment in groundwater knowledge, and offer technical and financial support if needed. Focus not only on resources but on uses and users to identify hot spots. Draw on the results to persuade policy makers of the need for action. Link the results to an analysis of governance needs. Help government to chart a reform path towards better groundwater governance. Assess the needs and constraints to good governance, following the methodologies in this report. Identify what approaches are best indicated (rules and regulation, incentives, subsidiarity) and work out a reform path over time, as well as an actions and investment plan. Help build strong groundwater organizations/departments/agencies to ensure groundwater’s place in IWRM planning and to strengthen their support to the governance approaches chosen. Match their capacity to the tasks decided upon. Dialogue with government to ensure that the organizations have adequate resources, including skills and budgets. Identify the scope for collective management, and devise ways to support it. Work at the project and local level, in tandem with agriculture colleagues and those involved in decentralization or local level government. At the analytical levels conceptual frameworks need to be compared and improved. The framework of Teisman and In ’t Veld (appendix 4) used in this essay and the GPP/IRBD-WB framework (see Figure 9) and those based on the work of Ostrom and her co-workers need further integration. Figure 9 - A Framework for Analyzing and Assessing Groundwater Governance (Wijnen et al., 2012). Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 21 of 47 5 ROLE OF THE NETHERLANDS WATER SECTOR – FRAMEWORK FOR OPTIMIZATION The previous chapters described the importance of groundwater reservoir management and governance for the realization of resilience strategies concerning water and soil systems and listed the international challenges on groundwater governance. In short these challenges can be summarized as (i) a need for framework and tools development, (ii) analyzing practical situations and (iii) develop optimal exchange mechanism between these two processes to accelerate the international learning curve on groundwater governance to ensure the worldwide resilience function of this resource. The urgency of the matter should not be underestimated. Therefore the question what the WGC and its partners can contribute to these processes by supporting international capacity building is also most relevant. In this chapter this question will be addressed by first describing the core strategy of the WGC and describing the strength of the Dutch knowledge sector concerning groundwater governance. A quick scan approach is presented to identify possible actions by partners of the WGC and to describe the role of the WGC itself. The reader is reminded that particularly this part is still in a draft and preliminary status. Inputs from the readers are requested either directly to the authors or by contributions to WGC broader consultations in the beginning of February 2013. For the Water Governance Centre the integrative challenge concerning water and soil governance is presented in Figure 10. Increasing the resilience capacities of the systems plays a key role. Figure 10 - The integrative water governance challenge for the WGC. Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 22 of 47 The strongest selling point of the Dutch ‘groundwater-plus’ experience is the proven technical and governance resilience over the last 150 years with a unique form of cooperation between water operators, all government levels, and the scientific and commercial sectors (see chapter 3). The weakest point is the fragmentation in international broadcasting of this message despite a favorable position towards the growing international demand for a variety of groundwater related services. Box 6. Practical examples Cooperation between Romania and the Netherlands on specific groundwater issues started the last ten years because of common interest in proper application of the European Groundwater Directive and practical groundwater issues like exfiltration problems south of Bucharest. A number of cooperation projects have been finalized including more and more governance aspects. A new Partners for Water project concerns the application of MARS. During the Inception mission in September 2012 Romanian water authorities and Water Operator Partnerships (WOPs) and the Dutch Consortium (Dunea, TUD, Acacia and Eijkelkamp) concluded that climate change and needed resilience strategies require an integrated approach of technical aspects and governance issues. The joint Netherland’s – Romanian water panel will address the governance issues of new drought and flood risk management strategies. The WGC can assist the optimization of the inclusion of governance aspects in the cooperation programs. The successful Water Panel formula stems from the Egyptian – Dutch Water Panel. Groundwater issues have been addressed in this bilateral cooperation since the eighties of last century. At present PPP-consortia are formed to manage brackish groundwater resources and assist the Egyptian Water Companies and water authorities. A positive side effect of this cooperation has been the strategic contacts in Arab countries like the United Arab Emirates. Dutch parties have been invited repeatedly to assist UAE’s authorities in the large scale projects of groundwater recharge with desalinated water. Competitive weakness caused by fragmentation and governmental reluctance to recognize underground water and energy buffer management as a prioritized top-sector product did hamper the realization of this cooperation. The WGC can assist to formulate competitive models for the Dutch (ground)water sector. The international favorable position of the Dutch ‘groundwater-plus’ sector is illustrated by (amongst others): 1. Hosting (and co-financing) international institutions like the International Groundwater Reference and Assessment Center (IGRAC) and Unesco - IHE; 2. Creation of Deltares as integrated knowledge institution on water and land resources development in deltaic environments; 3. A good representation in the groundwater programmes of the Worldbank; 4. A good representation of groundwater related projects in the Partners voor Water programme; 5. Hosting the secretariat of the 3R initiative and good connections with NGO initiatives like A4A; 6. The hosting and co-organization of the fifth regional groundwater governance consultation of the GEF project in 2013; 7. The hosting and co-financing of climate change adaptation programmes, the Water Diplomacy program, the CoCoon research programme etc; and 8. The hosting of IWA. Matching the strengths of the Dutch groundwater and governance sectors by making use of the favorable current international environment and helping to overcome fragmentation is a logical and temporarily role for the WGC. In Table 3 a proposal is formulated for a combination of initiatives based on a quick-scan approach that combines international needs and strengths of the Netherlands groundwater sector. Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 23 of 47 Table 3 - Quick scan approach in determining possible projects within the WGC-frameworks concerning groundwater governance. International demands related to groundwater governance Examples of innovative integrative approaches on resilience strategies focusing on groundwater buffers as part of climate change adaptive capacity Integration of food-energy-water nexus with focus on groundwater Guidelines for combining resilience techniques with management tools Development of governance frameworks for the use of (fossil and renewable) groundwater reservoirs Improved groundwater management Acceptation of draft Articles on the International Law of Transboundary Aquifers Netherlands strength +++ (MARS in the Dune area, IWRM by Waterboards, etc) +++ Integrated approach in the Netherlands and strong position on food security ++ tot +/Good international exposure ++ Good international exposure, links with other relevant sectors like the oil and gas sector, renewable energy sector, food sector and planning sector + (not exceptional in comparison with other countries) + Role of Neth. Institutions limited so far. This might change Possible consortium Combination of technical expertise and governance expertise. Initiatives expected from the partners in WGC University consortium (viz. WUR – TU Twente – TUD – VU – UU, or a smaller group) 3R consortium –consultancy companies in combination with research institutes There might be a role for organizations like Deltares and TNO to take the lead in such a developments in cooperation with international organizations as IGRAC, UNESCO and others working within the 4 GEF Groundwater Governance project Consultancy companies in combination with research institutes In combination with initiatives like the Water Diplomacy programme and The Hague International Capital of Justice Discussion on these suggestions have been held at national and international level at the National Water Governance Network Day, 7th of February 2013 and during the 5th Regional Consultation on Groundwater Governance in The Hague, 19-21 March 2013 (see Appendix 7 for the presentation given at the latter event). Follow-up initiatives from interested consortiums are welcomed by WGC. In more generic terms related to the overall WGC framework the actions can be described as presented in Table 4. Table 4 - Groundwater governance actions by WGC related to the general framework. Aspect of Groundwater Governance Institutional capacities Financial and economic capacities Legal and regulative capacities Management capacities Communication and stakeholder involvement Soil and environmental sciences 4 Specific actions for partners of the WGC Assessment and stimulation of good practices Stimulaton of innovative concepts Support for the implementation of international (ground)water laws/conventions Development of training and masterclasses Integration of lessons learned in Living with water, Room for River and Delta Plan etc. Stimulation of resilience studies See also appendix 3 for preliminary but more elaborated thoughts. Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 24 of 47 6 REFERENCES 5 1. Alterra, 2007. Water retention in the Province of Noord-Brabant – in Dutch. 2. Issar, A.S., 2008. The impact of global warming on the water resources of the Middle East. Past, Present, and Future, Fathi Zereini,; Heinz Hötzl, (Eds.) Climatic Changes and Water Resources in the Middle East and North Africa, Springer Heidelberg. 3. Konikow, L.F. and E. Kendy, 2005. Groundwater depletion, a global problem. Hydrogeology Journal, Vol. 13, nr.1 , 317-320. 4. NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center Scientific Visualization Studio, 2009. Groundwater Depletion in India Revealed by GRACE. http://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a000000/a003600/a003623/index.html 5. NRC, 10th of September 2012 and http://www.nrc.nl/klimaat/2012/09/10/droogte-is-de-lont-ineen-kruitvat-van-wanbeleid/). 6. Olsthoorn, T.N., 2009. Challenges for groundwater research. TUD-Presentation. 7. Quevauviller, P. 2008. Groundwater Science and Policy. An international overview. RSC. 8. Scheffer, M. 2009. Critical transitions in nature and society. Princeton University Press. 9. Smidt, E., R. ter Horst, F. van Steenbergen, T. Alemayehu, K. Assaf, A. Babaqi, 2013. Politics and Conflict, Cooperation and Void in Groundwater Management, CoCoon theoretical framework (under publication). 10. Teisman, G.R. and R. J. in ’t Veld, 2013. Quick Scan Water Governance Capacity/Quality (in preparation). 11. Ter Horst, R.H., 2012. Facing Barriers – An analysis of water governance in the West Bank – Palestinian Territory. University of Amsterdam – Technical University of Amsterdam. 12. UNESCO, Dale Lightfoot, 2009. Survey of Infiltration Karez in Northern Iraq: History and Current Status of Underground Aqueducts. Rep. IQ/2009/SC/RP/1. 13. UNESCO - J. van der Gun, 2012. Groundwater and Global Change: Trends, Opportunities and Challenges. 14. Wijnen, M., et al., 2012. Managing the invisible. Understanding and improving groundwater governance. The World Bank. 15. Zawahri, N. A. and A. K. Gerlak (Ed.), 2009. International Negotation. Vol. 14, No.2. Negotiating International River Disputes to Avert Conflict and Facilitate Cooperation. 16. Zeitoun, Mark, Naho Mirumachi, 2008. Transboundary water interaction I: reconsidering conflict and cooperation. Inv. Environ Agreements 8: 297-316. 17. Zeitoun, Mark, Naho Miumachi and Jeroen Warner, 2009. Transboundary water interaction II. Soft power underlying conflict and cooperation. Stockholm Water Week 2009. 5 See also Appendix 1 for the full list of publications within the GEF project on Groundwater Governance. Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 25 of 47 APPENDIX 1: THEMATIC PAPERS IN PREPARATION OR PUBLISHED (BOLD) UNDER THE GEF GROUNDWATER GOVERNANCE PROJECT (www.groundwatergovernance.org) IAH lead: 1. Trends in groundwater pollution; trends in loss of groundwater quality and related aquifer services (including. ecosystems); 2. Conjunctive use and management of groundwater and surface water. 3. Urban‐rural tensions; opportunities for co‐management. 4. Management of recharge/discharge processes and aquifer equilibrium states. UNESCO lead: 5. Groundwater Policy and Governance. (http://www.groundwatergovernance.org/downloads/GWG_PolicyThematicPaper.pdf) 6. The legal frameworks for sustainable groundwater governance: at local, national, regional and international levels FAO lead: 7. Local groundwater management institutions/user partnerships. 8. Social adoption of groundwater pumping technology and the development of groundwater cultures. (http://www.groundwatergovernance.org/downloads/GWG_Thematic_Paper_8_draft_7_Feb_2 012.pdf) 9. Macro‐economic trends that influence demand for groundwater and related aquifer services. 10. Governance of the underground space and groundwater frontiers http://www.groundwatergovernance.org/downloads/GWG_Thematic5_8June2012.pdf World Bank lead: 11. Political economy of groundwater governance 12. Water and Climate Change: Impacts on groundwater resources and adaptation options (http://water.worldbank.org/water/publications/water‐and‐climate‐change‐impacts‐groundwate r‐resources‐and‐adaptationoptions) Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 26 of 47 APPENDIX 2. THE WORLD GROUNDWATER RESERVOIRS AND FLOW CHARACTERISTICS AND COMPARISON WITH ECONOMIC ‘RESERVOIRS’ Fresh groundwater storage and flow After data compiled by J.Margat (2008) from various sources (mainly Russian authors) See www.igrac.nl Total fresh groundwater stock Total groundwater stock = 23.4 million km3 (=fresh+brackish+saline) Total fresh groundwater flux Mean residence time in million km3 in m of water depth in km3/a in mm/a in years North & Central America 1.9 78 2160 104 880 South America 1.2 67 4120 231 291 Africa 2.5 83 1600 52 1563 Europe 0.5 48 1120 115 446 Asia 3.4 78 3750 84 907 Australia & Oceania 0.3 34 757 88 396 TOTAL WORLD 9.8 72 13325 101 735 Approximately 98% of all liquid fresh water stored on earth Approximately 30% of total terrestrial flux of fresh water 5 Compared to economics: The gross world product (GWP), as a traditional value of the world’s annual economy, is estimated at US$ 70 1012 (seventy trillion US$) (data 2011, see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gross_world_product) . Fresh groundwater resources are estimated at 10 million km3, or 1016 m3. Assuming a value of 1 US$ to one m3 of groundwater (hardly any multiplier, which compensates the lower value of deeper water), the world fresh groundwater resources represent about 140 years of the present global economy. If we consider a safety factor of 10 the groundwater stock still presents 14 years of the GWP. A bank or a state possessing such a wealth is considered to be in a luxurious position. Comparison with the reserves of oil provides the following result. Oil reserves are estimated 210.5 109 m3 (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_reserves). The present price for a m3 of crude oil is around US$ 600, which results in a value of about US$ 130 1012 or the equivalent of two global economy years. The exercise shows that the strategic value of groundwater reserves at global level is considerable and comparable to a resource as oil. As the total of fresh surface water is about 100 times smaller than the volume of fresh groundwater its strategic value at global scale is much lower. At operational watershed scale the economic value of surface water reservoirs often outweighs that of groundwater Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 27 of 47 in the humid areas of the world. In the (semi-)-arid zones of the world groundwater reservoirs are often exploited without a long term economic vision (see also appendix 6). At European scale the following number show the importance of groundwater reservoirs. Total annual river discharge in Europe is about 1,000 km3 of which the the Danube and Rhine contribute some 25% (Danube 172 km3/yr, Rhine 70 km3/yr). Groundwater storage in Europe is about 500,000 km3, which is equivalent to about 500 years of river discharge which shows the importance of buffering at macro scale. Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 28 of 47 APPENDIX 3. BUFFERING FUNCTION OF GROUNDWATER (Draft proposition - article) Resilience: Who manages reservoirs in a good way, survives crises. Theo Olsthoorn and Ebel Smidt Groundwater constitutes the largest body of freshwater in the world. In the current policy debates on sustainability, climate crisis and financial-economic and political crises, the issue of responsible international and national management of this reservoir is still underexposed despite some good ideas from the international world (UNESCO and INBO). Groundwater forms an important reservoir that can help to get through the current crisis effectively. However groundwater hardly plays this role partly due to its invisibility and its distributed nature which poses specific management and governance requirements. It is an important challenge to analyse how the full integration of groundwater reservoirs shared by a neighboring countries can influence negotiations on the mutual benefits of joint water resources management. In international conflicts over water the integration of the buffering functions of groundwater might help to resolve the conflict. By widening the scope or increasing the pie solutions will come at stage. This is the heart of mediation processes. This widening of the scope requires different time horizons in water balances to be integrated. Groundwater reservoirs show recharging and discharging periods of tens to hundreds or thousands of years while surface water systems are analyzed in terms of annual flows and stock variations over maximum some tens of years. Bringing in the full scope of groundwater reservoirs will also change the picture of potential energy available in a country. Sound scientific frameworks for such negotiations are still underdeveloped. What are the specific roles of groundwater as a buffer? What are the specific characteristics of a groundwater reservoirs and how can these influence the possibilities for a negotiated outcome which otherwise would be out of the picture? Interesting is the possibility that the upstream countries show a strong interest in ensuring that the downstream countries manage well their groundwater buffers to minimize claims on surface water. The relationship between Ethiopia-Sudan- South SudanEgypt is a possible example. Ethiopia, Sudan and South Sudan - as important exponents of many other upstream countries, claim a larger share of the Nile surface water and urge Egypt to utilize its water on a more efficient way. If the tension increases over the surface water system, parties might be forced to analyze their groundwater shares and systems. Thereafter a variety of questions emerge: how are buffer capacities determined and compared with each other, how are technical consultations and stake holder consultations organized and joint governance and management strategies determined? How is the subsequent implementation phase financed and organized, how to stimulate mutual trust, how to negotiate on different scenarios and how does culture plays a role in these negotations etc.? Reuse of water (with or without storage) may also be involved, as an issue of broadening the scope at lower costs than the desalination of Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 29 of 47 brackish and saline water. The desalination variant can be brought in as well as an asset of the coastal countries. Desalinated groundwater can be used to recharge groundwater reservoirs when excess water from desalination plants is available - which happens where desalinated water is a byproduct of energy production – or when which is produced at low energy prices. Reuse holds not only for water but also for energy added to the water system. Reuse requires treatment but can reduce the diffuse load on the downstream environment. So once the process of the analysis of balances and stocks is initiated besides flow analysis, the total energy and chemical balance can better be included as well. Savings of energy and chemicals at catchment level contribute more to improving the environment and public health in the entire watershed when measures are applied upstream. The capacity and effectiveness of ground water storage will normally increase going downstream. If ground water reservoirs can be linked through affordable water transport systems then an interesting palette is created of geographically and in time connected distributed systems for reuse and storage of water. Taking into consideration the above mentioned aspects of energy there is a challenge for complex international negotiations between countries within a river basin with access to ground water reservoirs. The object of negotiations is reservoirs of different ages and different origins. The hypothesis of the research is that cultural and religious frameworks of perception matter and hence the importance the parties attach to these reservoirs. Technical and political negotiations on the 'invisible' groundwater or 'the hidden sources of water' can become simpler or more complex under the influence of cultural and religious frameworks. The subject of the proposed analysis is therefore which methods, institutions and organizations are needed to address these issues effectively. In this phase of the research, we can already state that the adage that a country needs to have organized appropriately its water buffers, probably leads to interesting openings in international water negotiations. A comparison with acceptable deficits in public budgets within the EU is tempting. The reasonable financial shortfall is determined in a complex iterative top-down and bottom-up process. The same process will be needed to determine an optimal strategy for the management of groundwater resources in a basin, or a conglomeration of countries that share river basins and groundwater basins. Such a strategy allows and challenges implementing measures which are beneficial to both down-and upstream countries. The purpose of the strategy will be to optimize the buffer management in order to have reasonable and equitable and maximized benefits for all the countries concerning operations under normal conditions and to best survive in case a prolonged crisis will occur. Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 30 of 47 APPENDIX 4. WATER GOVERNANCE CAPACITY ASSESSMENT AND CLASSIFICATION Teisman and In ‘t Veld (2013) propose a classification system of governance capacity based on needs for improvement and type of society and levels of governance and public or private dominance (see table 1). Table 1. Classification of water governance capacity (Teisman and In ‘t Veld, 2013). Less institutionnalized societies in terms of governments Sufficiently increasing capacity Improvements needed 1 2 Fully institutionalized societies with strong governments, including water authorities Mainly located on national Combination of levels of Mainly located on a level governance local or regional level Publicly Public, Publicly Public, Publicly Public, dominated private and dominated private dominated private not-forand notand notprofit for-profit forprofit 3 5 7 9 11 13 4 6 8 10 12 14 (Note: we propose ‘sufficiently increasing capacity’ as classification of the countries which had more means to invest in governance instead of the original term ‘sufficient capacity’) In situation 1, we will find a vital civil society able to handle issues, including water issues in a selforganizing manner. Some parts of the US could fit in this category. In situation 2, we will find a society without strong government, but also not able to deal with societal issues including water issues in a self regulatory manner. A variety of countries and areas can fit in this category, especially in cases of war or civil wars, but also in cases of strong power asymmetries. In situation 3, we will find a fully institutionalized society with a strong national government, but at the other hand with potentially weak developed regional and local authorities and a weak private and civic input. In the assessment, we will identify the strength of this arrangement. It is possible that the national government is dealing quite effective and efficient with the water system. In situation 4 however we will indicate a national system with substantial government failures related to public monopolies: technocracy, imbalanced consideration of interests, in favor of largescale solutions and the most prospered areas. Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 31 of 47 In situation 5 we will indicate a centralized public government system that is balanced by substantial input from private sector – for instance by private water service companies – and civic action. In a balanced way this system will be quite vital In situation 6, however we will indicate that also this well established mixed system can have characteristics that undermine governance capacity. We can refer to oligarchies in which the relation between national government and some companies is so strong that corruption and misuse can easily take place. In order to understand the problems of national monopolies we will focus much more on their abilities to fulfill societal needs. In situation 7, we will indicate a multilevel governance system without input from private en civic organizations. This situation can be quite satisfactory able to deal with a lot of collective issues. The Netherlands seems to fit in this category. In situation 8, we will indicate a multilevel governance system without input from private and civic organizations, which does not deliver in a sufficient way. Reasons for this can be that national and local and regional governments to not cooperate in an effective way. Some authors have indicated that the flooding of Louisiana partially was caused by the endless negotiations between government levels without coming to actions. In order to understand this problem we will assess in situation 7/8 much more on the relations between government layers. In situation 9, we will indicate a multilevel governance system with input from private and civic organizations. This is the most complex system in terms of amounts of actors and varieties of interests. If done well this can lead to high quality governance programs taken water issues on a sufficient way into account. In situation 10, however, we indicate a multilevel governance system with input from private and civic organizations, not able to generate the capacity to deal with water issues sufficiently. The reasons for this can be that all parties involved are well able to bring in additional claims and demands, without contributing sufficiently in the capacity to meet these rich sets of claims. In situation 11, we will indicate a decentralized governance system in which local and regional governments play a central role. The Cantons in Switzerland can be an example of such a system. They are quite able to deal with the substantial water issues in their country. In situation 12, however, we indicate a decentralized governance system in which local and regional governments play a central role, without generation, enough capacity to deal with important water issues like water supply or flood protection. The situation in Bangladesh probably is a good example of this situation. Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 32 of 47 In situation 13, we will indicate a decentralized governance system in which local and regional governments, combined with private companies and civic culture are dealing with water issues in a sufficient way. In situation 14, however, we will indicate a decentralized governance system in which local and regional governments, combined with private companies and civic culture are not able to deal with water issues in a sufficient way. For the determination of the governance capacity and needs for improvement Teisman and In ‘t Veld propose a number of sub-aspects of the main five aspects of governance capacity. Describing the status of each sub-aspects assists the determination of the governance capacity at national or other level (see Table 2). Table 2. Aspects of governance capacity (Teisman and in ‘t Veld, 2013). Aspects on which capacity is assessed Aspect of Governance capacity Juridical quality Knowledge quality Economic quality Institutional quality Extent, coherence, flexibility and intensity of the multilevel governance system Extent, coherence, flexibility and intensity of the actor networks Extent, coherence, flexibility and intensity of the perspective and goal ambitions Extent, coherence, flexibility and intensity of the applied strategies and instruments Extent, coherence, flexibility and intensity of the responsibilities and resources Legality and proper water laws Identification of water issue Identification of economic aspects of water issue Legitimacy, conflict prevention and resolution Quality of applied models and data Awareness of principles of properness and reason Quality of the risk and uncertainty assessment Appropriate economic methodology applied. Appropriate data identified and collected? Awareness of principles of equitability and fair use Quality of the impact assessment Assessment of the economic relation with context? Awareness of the interests of third parties and ecosystems Knowledge to maintain and manage water system Strength of applied methods Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Acting and interacting (managerial) Capacities Degree of participation Quality of selforganizing capacity Connective capacities of leading people Quality of program management Quality of process design and management Page 33 of 47 APPENDIX 5. BACKGROUND OF RELEVANT CONCEPTS (with thanks copied and slightly adapted from : R. ter Horst, Facing barriers. An analysis of water governance in the West Bank – Palestine Territory, MSc. Thesis. Universiteit van Amsterdam – GP project, 2012.) Important topics in the discussions on water management and governance are: Ecological Modernization. Ecological Modernization is an interesting, still developing, theory on how modernization can lead to better nature conservation and sustainability. The framework of the theory is set and authors are working on the development of the theory. This theory might fit well into thoughts of using technology to refill aquifers and developing deserts in a sound ecological and economic manner. Governance of common pool resources. When talking about common pool resources, Eleanor Ostrom and her research groups are lead authors feeding into the debate on the definition of common pool resources and most effective management systems. Founder of the debates is Hardin (1968) who wrote about the tragedy of the commons and how only capitalistic or socialistic systems would prevent people from damaging a common pool resource. Taking a step further, the government and policy instruments are debated as part of the governance structures. In modern approaches scale is one of the leading subjects. Governance across different levels and scales has become an important topic. Environmental (cross-scale) governance has leading authors such as W.N. Adger. Resilience and adaptation. Climate change, a changing environment and survival of communities (small or large – on different level) has become part of the debate on governance. Authors such as C. Folkes and F. Berkes are the authors who receive a lot of attention. The focus within the field of resilience-thinking is mainly on small communities and the difficulty of implementing diversification within such communities in order to be able to adapt to a changing nature or society. Risk: assessment and decision making. Risk is an inherent part of the debate about a changing environment but also part of decision making. How can decision makers deal with risk (Klinke and Renn, 2002; Aven and Kristensen, 2005; Brugnach et al., 2008 – who try to define different types of risks and how to deal with them)? What seems to be of particular interest is how uncertainty can be introduced into negotiations without blocking the progress. Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 34 of 47 APPENDIX 6. LONG TERM PLANNING HORIZON – OVERCOMING THE NEED FOR SUSTAINABILITY AS GOVERNING PRINCIPLE AND THE NEED FOR USING FOSSIL GROUNDWATER RESERVES IN THE (SEM-) ARID ZONES OF THE WORLD (Excerpt of a draft article by Smidt et al, to be submitted for publication in 2013) 1. A long term planning horizon. As it concerns societal survival, a horizon of 100-200 years is recommended. The recent Netherlands Delta Plan can be taken as one of the very few long term robust survival plans (Kabat et al., 2009). Proper use of frameworks of sustainability and progressive development is required (Smidt et al. 2012). Abundant renewable energy resources Scarce renewable energy resources Relatively quick implementation of sustainability by progressive development (50-100 years, 2 generations) Relatively simple and quick implementation of sustainable development (25-50 years, 1 generation) Complicated and slow implementation of progressive development towards sustainability (>200 years, more than 4 generations) Relatively complicated implementation of sustainability by progressive development (100200 years, 3-4 generations) Scarce renewable water Resources Abundant renewable water resources Figure 1 - Progressive Development (PD) and Sustainability correlation under different renewable energy and water regimes. Figure 2 demonstrates how a groundwater development scheme at the fringes of the desert which is threatened by its economic end life can be turned into a sustainable project by importing water and applying artificial recharge. Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 35 of 47 Figure 2 - Groundwater extraction (top), and the economic benefits from a conjunctive use with artificial recharge system in comparison to a conjunctive use or groundwater only system (bottom) Implement governance projects at local, national and international levels that improve water management amongst other by using every drop available for buffering by transboundary cooperation. “Transboundary” is meant in the sense of multidimensional boundaries (Meerts, 2011) 6, i.e.: I. Geographic: borders between states and state entities, overcoming the issue of sovereignty; II. Systemic: creating new strength of states and international organizations; III. Needs: the role of new interests in creating new positions; IV. Resources: the progressive development of capacity of people and their tools; V. Regulators: the significance of evaluating rules and regulations, norms and values; VI. Time: creative incorporation of short term versus long term perspectives and projections. 6 P. Meerts, Boundaries in bargaining: a multidimensional view, Group Decision and Negotiation 20, 155-164 (2010). Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 36 of 47 APPENDIX 7. PRESENTATION 5TH REGIONAL CONSULTATION ON GROUNDWATER GOVERNANCE IN THE HAGUE, 19-21 MARCH 2013 Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 37 of 47 Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 38 of 47 Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 39 of 47 Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 40 of 47 Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 41 of 47 Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 42 of 47 Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 43 of 47 Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 44 of 47 Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 45 of 47 Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 46 of 47 Groundwater governance: a decisive factor in resilience strategies Page 47 of 47