appendix g - Polk County LMS
Transcription
appendix g - Polk County LMS
APPENDIX G APPENDIX G: RELEVANT ARTICLES APPENDIX G – RELEVANT ARTICLES Appendix G includes relevant articles located during the data gathering for the LMS Plan Update. The articles relate to the following topics: · · · · · · · Sinkholes Lightning Storm Shelters Dense Fog Advisory Citrus Psyllid and Greening Epidemics – Mosquito Borne Diseases Epidemics – Diverted Prescription Drugs Appendix G – Page i Polk County Multi-jurisdictional Local Mitigation Strategy August 18, 2015 Florida's 'sinkhole alley' homeowners struggle with insurance overhaul (... 1 of 8 http://www.tampabay.com/news/business/banking/floridas-sinkhole-alle... By Jeff Harrington and Dan DeWitt, Times Staff Writers Friday, October 10, 2014 11:53am In the heyday of the Great Florida Sinkhole Lottery, Iris and Harry Irizarry would have had all the ingredients for a big cash payout: A sinkhole policy from state-run Citizens Property Insurance Corp.; visible cracking in the walls and floors of the Spring Hill home they bought new in 2003; and a sinkhole confirmed by both an engineer and the Hernando County Property Appraiser's Office. But the era of easy sinkhole claims is over, slammed shut by a 2011 overhaul of the state insurance law. Based on the new law, the same engineering firm that found the Irizarrys' sinkhole — and recommended that it be filled with grout — deemed that it wouldn't qualify for an insurance claim. "We pay our insurance but (Citizens) doesn't want to pay to fix the house, and I can't sell my house because (it) has no value," said Iris Irizarry, 64, a retired Head Start director from Brooklyn. "What kind of a law is that?" In short, it's a law that has done what it was supposed to do: stem a flood of claims that by 2011 were driving up insurance rates and driving down property values in the "sinkhole alley" of Hernando and Pasco counties. But concerns are surfacing that the sinkhole fix has gone too far: It has limited the availability of sinkhole insurance and allowed insurers to charge prices rivaling the cost of a standard homeowners policy. It has made it far more difficult for homeowners to qualify for a claim. And by leaving homeowners stuck with sinkhole homes they cannot repair, it has created a potential new drag on property values. Jim Flynn, marketing manager of LRE Ground Services, one of the most active sinkhole repair companies in Tampa Bay, initially supported the new rules. "We were advocates for doing something. What was happening was crazy as far as people filing sinkhole claims for something as simple as a driveway crack," he said. But "it's really gone from one extreme to the other." Along with a widely praised requirement that homeowners use payouts to fix sinkhole damage, the law included a long list of rules that "were definitely a gift to the insurance industry," said Aaron Kling, a Tampa lawyer who represents homeowners. It sets standards for structural damage that are almost impossible to meet short of a catastrophic collapse, several sinkhole lawyers said. It allows insurers to pick the engineers who decide whether homes meet that standard and limits coverage to homes only, not driveways, patios or cabanas. It gave insurers more power to deny sinkhole coverage and made sinkhole insurance separate from a base homeowners policy, which helped drive up Citizen's average sinkhole premiums between 2011 and 2013 from $1,105 to $1,955 in Hernando and from $1,449 to $2,105 in Pasco. Florida Insurance Commissioner Kevin McCarty credits the overhaul for stemming "rampant fraud and runaway abuse" when thousands were receiving insurance payouts for minor cracking damage. Both the frequency and severity of claims has gone down significantly. 10/29/2014 11:31 AM Florida's 'sinkhole alley' homeowners struggle with insurance overhaul (... 2 of 8 http://www.tampabay.com/news/business/banking/floridas-sinkhole-alle... But he also acknowledged critics of the overhaul have a point. "One could argue the pendulum has swung too far the other way," McCarty said in an interview "It makes sense for us to do a more sweeping analysis of the market and see what's happening." Without enough complaints in his office to warrant action, the commissioner said he plans to put out a "data call" to property insurers to examine issues like the affordability of sinkhole insurance and how often claims are being denied under the new system. "Of course, we're concerned (if) it's gone too far," he said. Getting past the crisis The last thing McCarty wants, however, is to go back to the way things were a few years ago, when insurers complained that the escalation of sinkhole claims had become a crisis. Between 2007 and 2011, the number of sinkhole claims filed with Citizens ballooned from 1,432 to 4,032, nearly half of them in Hernando County. Citizens incurred $537 million in sinkhole losses in 2011 while collecting only $52 million in premiums. And partly because about 60 percent of homeowners in Hernando had pocketed the payments rather than making repairs, the county lost more than $110 million in taxable property value in 2011 alone. "There was nothing worse than having 40 to 50 percent of the homes not being fixed," McCarty said. Tampa land-use lawyer Ron Weaver equated the sinkhole crackdown to some much-needed "parenting." But he acknowledges, "whether the children are being held in too tight a straitjacket in the back seat remains to be seen." Among the signs of the squeeze: In two years, the number of Hernando, Pasco and Hillsborough homeowners who have sinkhole coverage through Citizens has shriveled by more than 50 percent. Before the 2011 law, known as SB 408, Citizens was averaging 500 to 600 sinkhole claims per month; now it's seeing 25 to 35 claims monthly. State Farm has seen similar shrinkage, from handling 769 claims in 2011 to just 107 last year. The situation has left lawyers who specialize in sinkhole cases bemoaning the dying years of a once very-lucrative era. With a five-year statute of limitations to file, some 2009 and 2010 cases are still wending their way to the courthouse, said local lawyer Rob Nipps, who recently launched his own practice after years working for one of the dominant sinkhole litigation firms, Marshall Thomas & Burnett. "But over the next year or two that will start to fade off," Nipps said. "I think in five years, all the claims will be gone." Spring Hill, a Hernando community that has long been one of the epicenters of sinkhole claims, is illustrative of what has happened. A couple of years ago, Flynn of LRE Ground Services could rattle off 30 jobs his company was handling there; now he's hard-pressed to cite one or two. The few repair jobs under way involve cases that have lingered in litigation pre-dating the 2011 legislation. "Most of the work the contractors are getting now is old stuff," Flynn said on a recent afternoon as he watched two workers drive steel piping more than 70 feet underground so they could pump in grout. The owner of the home, Tricia Lyons, said her claim languished for a couple of years because Citizens' initial offer included only $2,000 for cosmetic repairs. Citizens eventually agreed to pay $14,000 toward cosmetic damage and repair work recently began. But it was too late for Lyons. While waiting, she and her husband fell behind in mortgage payments, and they recently divorced. They're now 10/29/2014 11:31 AM Florida's 'sinkhole alley' homeowners struggle with insurance overhaul (... 3 of 8 http://www.tampabay.com/news/business/banking/floridas-sinkhole-alle... arranging a short sale that may come through before the sinkhole repair is finished. "We should have had the money way back when, but they refused to write a check," she said. "We're now told because of the short sale, we'll never see the money." Bought in 2005 for $248,900, the home is now appraised at only $38,000. "What I'm told by the public adjuster is once you fix the house, you could double the $38,000 and that's what you could sell it for," Lyons said. "We're going to lose no matter what." Qualifying difficulties How much harder is it to qualify for a claim now? Walter Coleman can show you from his yard in the northern Pasco subdivision of Heritage Pines. Before the new law went into effect, four of his closest neighbors received sinkhole payouts — all of them for damage very much like that in Coleman's home. When Coleman, a retired police officer from Philadelphia, first noticed several interior cracks in 2011, he filled them with putty and painted. When the cracks reappeared, Coleman started to think they might be caused by a sinkhole, especially because the house, built in 1999, was too old to still be settling. He was more convinced his property was riddled with voids after he pushed a gardening stake into a slight depression that had formed in his back yard. "It went in without any resistance at all," said Coleman, 73. He filed a claim with Citizens, which, before the new law passed, would have been required to send out a geologist to look for sinkhole activity and, if the geologist found it, pay to stabilize the home. Under the new law, Citizens was allowed to choose an engineer to determine whether the cracking met the new standard for structural damage that includes the "leaning or buckling" of load-bearing walls and signs the home is "likely to imminently collapse." In November 2012, Citizens denied Coleman's claim based on the report of its structural engineer, even though the same report said the depression in the back yard "may warrant geotechnical testing." "I thought, did the adjuster even read the engineer's report," said Coleman, who has challenged the denial in court. Homeowners are discouraged from challenging the findings of structural engineers because under the new law doing so requires them to pay half the cost of geological testing up to $2,500, said St. Petersburg lawyer Amy Boggs. And if these tests do reveal an underground void, homeowners often end up in the same situation as her clients in a suit against Citizens, the Irizarrys: with a deep cut in the value of their property and little chance of receiving a payout. "Really, this is a disincentive for people to identify dangerous sinkhole activity on their property," she said. "It's like saying we shouldn't fill a cavity until you need a root canal. Then we'll cover it." Priced out Getting approved for a sinkhole claim is one thing. But for many homeowners, particularly in Pasco and Hernando counties, it's a moot point: They either can't afford or can't find coverage anyway. Pasco County Tax Collector Mike Fasano, who frequently challenged Citizens Property rates during his years in the Florida Legislature, continues to field complaints that sinkhole premiums of $3,000 or more are pricing people out of the market. Some who have had previous sinkhole claims or repairs, he says, can't find coverage at any price. "God forbid if you get a mortgage company that says, 'We want you to get sinkhole coverage.' Forget it," Fasano said. "It's killing property values." 10/29/2014 11:31 AM Florida's 'sinkhole alley' homeowners struggle with insurance overhaul (... 4 of 8 http://www.tampabay.com/news/business/banking/floridas-sinkhole-alle... Ginny Stevens of New Port Richey said she was forced to drop sinkhole coverage due to the expense, and her parents did the same with their home. Stevens previously used a sinkhole claim to repair her damaged house, including chemical grouting and putting in a new foundation. Even after the repairs, she was quoted premiums between $2,000 and $6,000 to add sinkhole coverage to her homeowners policy. "We have this beautiful home," she said. "We put a lot of extra money into it to make sure it's stable and we're still getting screwed." Stevens said she'd like to move to Ohio, but her house is so undervalued — plummeting from $350,000 five years ago to an estimated $125,000 today — she can't sell it. "We will either stay in our house until we die or we will walk away from the house," Stevens said. "We want to move but no way we can sell our home. … We're stuck. We are so stuck." Elsewhere in New Port Richey, homeowner Allan Schwartz said he was told it would cost an extra $3,400 to add sinkhole coverage. He passed. Schwartz doubts anyone will want to buy into a neighborhood with a sinkhole reputation, knowing that they either can't get sinkhole coverage or can't afford it. "I'm not going to pay top dollar for a home that you may have to pay $30,000 to fix in a few years. How is Citizens allowed to get away with this?" Earlier this year, McCarty, the state insurance commissioner, rejected Citizens' initial plan to raise sinkhole rates even further in Hernando. A "pause" in higher rates is "probably appropriate," he said in an interview. But he said he needs more data before entertaining a rate rollback. Beyond paying higher rates, sinkhole policyholders are feeling financial pain in another way. Citizens has shifted to a 10 percent deductible on sinkhole coverage, far higher than the 2 to 5 percent deductible for other perils like hurricanes. That looks attractive to the financially strapped homeowner facing a multithousand-dollar sinkhole premium. But when it comes time to pay up, it can be a shocker. Underpinning a home with sinkhole damage may cost $10,000 to $20,000. Compaction grouting, a more durable and costly method, could cost up to $100,000. Translation: With a 10 percent deductible, a homeowner would have to pay $30,000 out of pocket to fix a house valued at $300,000 before any insurance kicks in. St. Petersburg sinkhole plaintiff attorney Hans Haahr said the combination of a high premium, high deductible and little likelihood of a successful claim means "there really is not sinkhole coverage now." Homeowners could be better off saving their money and — in the worst case scenario — just relying on the catastrophic ground collapse coverage that's included in all homeowners' policies, he said. "Citizens took over such a big portion of the industry that they can dictate to everybody what they want to do and not have the decency to pay out," Haahr said. New realities From the vantage of Citizens Property Insurance, the sinkhole overhaul has worked out just as it should have. "I don't think it's gone too far," said Elaina Paskalakis, vice president of claims litigation at Citizens. "I truly believe it's clarified for the industry what triggers coverage. … From our perspective, we're very comfortable with it." Armed with that clarity of coverage and a war chest to spend on settlements, Paskalakis' legal team is quickly whittling down its mountain of legacy sinkhole cases. 10/29/2014 11:31 AM Florida's 'sinkhole alley' homeowners struggle with insurance overhaul (... 5 of 8 http://www.tampabay.com/news/business/banking/floridas-sinkhole-alle... Citizens is about 50 percent of the way through the cases. Out of the 2,200 remaining, about 900 are expected to settle soon, she said, declining to set a timetable for finishing. As litigation and the frequency of repairs diminishes, the sinkhole industry is adapting. Haahr, the St. Petersburg attorney, is taking on more real estate work; LRE Ground Services is handling more interior cosmetic work and commercial sinkhole cases, which haven't been as heavily impacted by the new rules. But for homeowners like the Irizarrys, adapting to a new reality isn't easy. The county property appraiser used the sinkhole finding to justify slashing the value of the Irizarry's home by 40 percent, to $53,744. Iris Irizarry wants to have family from New York visit. But with her damaged-yet-unrepaired home, she's worried about their safety staying in the house. "Right now," she said, "we feel very helpless." Contact Jeff Harrington at (813) 226-3434 or [email protected]. Follow @JeffMHarrington. Contact Dan DeWitt at [email protected] or (352) 754-6116. In Hernando, the most active sinkhole county, the number of reported sinkholes has plummeted, though a greater percentage of cases are getting repaired. 10/29/2014 11:31 AM Florida's 'sinkhole alley' homeowners struggle with insurance overhaul (... 6 of 8 Reported sinkholes http://www.tampabay.com/news/business/banking/floridas-sinkhole-alle... Repaired 1,957 1,655 1,538* 1,500 1,314 1,020 1,000 908 877 452 500 386 328 347 340* 0 05-09 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: Hernando County Property Appraiser Data as reported through Sept. 30 * Includes repairs of sinkholes reported in previous years. The total number of Citizens Property sinkhole policies has dwindled by more than 50 percent. 10/29/2014 11:31 AM Florida's 'sinkhole alley' homeowners struggle with insurance overhaul (... 7 of 8 Hillsborough Pasco 50k http://www.tampabay.com/news/business/banking/floridas-sinkhole-alle... Hernando 47,748 40k 30k 25,564 20k 12,833 13,821 10k 5,903 6,133 0 June 2012 June 2013 June 2014 Source: Citizens Property Insurance In Pasco, far fewer property owners are pulling the engineering inspection permits required to examine for sinkhole activity. 10/29/2014 11:31 AM Florida's 'sinkhole alley' homeowners struggle with insurance overhaul (... 8 of 8 http://www.tampabay.com/news/business/banking/floridas-sinkhole-alle... 1,954 2,000 1,837 1,515 1,500 1,399 1,277 1,000 500 394 236* 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: Pasco County Property Appraiser * Through August Florida's 'sinkhole alley' homeowners struggle with insurance overhaul (w/video) 10/10/14 © 2014 Tampa Bay Times Commenting Guidelines Abuse Policy Ads by Adblade Articles and offers from around the Web 10/29/2014 11:31 AM http://www.theledger.com/article/20030602/NEWS/306020328?template... This copy is for your personal, noncommercial use only. You can order presentation-ready copies for distribution to your colleagues, clients or customers here or use the "Reprints" tool that appears above any article. Order a reprint of this article now. Life Can Change Flash Lightning Frequently Deadly By SHELLEY PRESTON The Ledger Published: Monday, June 2, 2003 at 2:13 a.m. Robert Hunter doesn't remember being hit. "I remember waking up in the hospital wondering why I was there," he said. More than 30 years after a direct hit from a bolt of lightning, Hunter, 71, still lives with the repercussions of being struck on a Maryland golf course. MICHAEL WILSON/The Ledger Deaf in one ear and with only 10 percent Robert Hunter of Lakeland still has the hat and golf shoes he was wearing as well as the hearing in the other, Hunter relies on reading lips and has difficulty hearing voices over the phone. umbrella he was holding when he was struck by lightning while playing golf on June 3, 1970. All the items were shredded, ripped or tattered by the bolt. "The pressure wave from the thunder is what did it," Hunter said. Several years later, when Hunter and his wife decided to retire in Lakeland, his friends said, "Are you crazy? That's the lightning capital of the world!" Not quite, but close. Statistics from the American Meteorology Society show that the area between Tampa and Lakeland is the 14th in the world for lightning strikes. Kamembe, Rwanda, in Africa is No. 1. In the United States, Florida ranks first among the states in lightning strikes and the Lakeland-Tampa area is tops in Florida. Nearly 100 people die and twice as many are injured by lightning every year in the United States. Between 1959 and 2001, nearly 2,000 Floridians were killed or injured by lightning, with 404 deaths. Michigan ranked second in combined deaths and injuries with 800. But Texas, while having fewer nonfatal injuries, ranked second in the number of deaths with 189. Since 1959, lightning has killed 24 people in Polk County. The most recent lightning deaths in Polk County were in 1998. But the National Lightning Institute in Louisville, Colo., said the risk of being zapped can be greatly reduced if precautions are taken. Outdoors is the most dangerous place to be during a thunderstorm, and because lightning strikes tall objects, standing under a tree is not a good idea. Golfers are especially vulnerable because they are outside and are holding long metal objects that can conduct electricity. In 1970, Robert Hunter was getting ready to hit his ball on the eighth hole on a golf course in Glendale, Md., when his partner, George Clawson, heard a boom come 1 of 2 1/29/2015 5:02 PM http://www.theledger.com/article/20030602/NEWS/306020328?template... from Hunter's direction. Before the strike, Hunter had an umbrella slung over one shoulder and was holding a golf club. "I was the perfect lightning rod," he said. "The lightning jumped down the shaft and melted onto my shoulder." The bolt came out through one of his legs, ripping through his golf cleats. Clawson found Hunter in the middle of an X-shaped fissure burned into the ground. Hunter's clothes had been blown off, and steam was rising from his singed body. Hunter survived because his friend knew CPR. "Needless to say, I didn't win that game," Hunter joked. Five years ago, two men died after being struck by lightning at Huntington Hills Golf and Country Club in Lakeland when they failed to take shelter during a rainstorm. Margie Serralles, manager of Huntington Hills, said most golf courses make it standard procedure to post lightning safety tips and use a horn to alert golfers in case of storms. But it is up to the golfer to heed the warnings. "Some guys think they are beyond any problems," Serralles said "But the smart ones get out of there." A global lightning research project based in France said 80 percent of lightning victims live to tell the tale, but often suffer heart or brain damage or both. Immediately after the strike, Hunter had no feeling in most of his body because nerves close to the surface of his skin had been damaged. Those eventually healed, but he suffered deeper damage to nerves in one of his legs that never regenerated. He also lost all the fluid in his ear that helps the body maintain a sense of balance. Besides knowing how to avoid a possible strike, it doesn't hurt to know CPR to help save people who are struck. Once lightning has been grounded, there is no residual electric charge, so there is no danger touching a lightning victim. In a letter to The Ledger in 1998, Hunter wrote: "It may be natural to assume the victim is dead because he is motionless and giving off smoke (steam), but . . . the strike has interrupted the body's rhythmic functions . . . and CPR may revive him." Shelley Preston can be reached at [email protected] or 863-802-7517. Copyright © 2015 TheLedger.com — All rights reserved. Restricted use only. 2 of 2 1/29/2015 5:02 PM http://www.theledger.com/article/20150222/NEWSCHIEF/150229786?... This copy is for your personal, noncommercial use only. You can order presentation-ready copies for distribution to your colleagues, clients or customers here or use the "Reprints" tool that appears above any article. Order a reprint of this article now. Work Under Way on Polk City's New Community Center, Storm Shelter Rancher Don Bronson paying for facility construction. By Larry Griffin LEDGER MEDIA GROUP Published: Sunday, February 22, 2015 at 4:35 p.m. POLK CITY – At the crack of dawn, construction workers are standing on top of what will soon be the Donald Bronson Community Center and storm shelter, piecing together the walls, roof and interior. Their deadline is hard and fast — in 90 days, they want to have the project completed if weather permits. The center is the brainchild of local rancher MICHAEL WILSON | THE LEDGER Construction work continues on the Donald Bronson Community Center in Polk City. Don Bronson, who is paying out of his own pocket to build it. It will serve as a storm shelter for Polk City and also as a community center for various town activities. The project is contracted with Auburndale-based Integrity Homes & Construction, Inc., which is subcontracting workers from around the area to help build the center. They are expected to have subcontracted with at least 100 workers during the time they are building the center, with 10 to 12 workers each day. As a storm shelter, the building will be able to withstand 170 mile-per-hour winds and hold 237 people inside, Bronson said. "The city needed a place where people can come and gather when a hurricane comes," he said. "The school is not a storm shelter. The government center is not a storm shelter. There is no place for people to go." The center will be 5,000 square feet on a 9,700-square-foot piece of land right across from City Hall. There will be bathrooms inside, seats and eventually tables. There will also be a small stage area. Bronson donated the money for the center because he wants to help out the city. He approached Mayor Joe LaCascia at the diner and the two hashed out the idea for the community center and storm shelter — a need in the community due to many residents living in mobile home parks and not having a safe place to go during a hurricane. "I wanted to do something for the people of Polk City," he said. "This is my city. It's a small, good, clean city and that's why I like it. I was born here, and I plan to die here." A three-party agreement was worked out between the city, Bronson and land-owners Kaz Properties LLC, who owned the portion of land behind City Hall where the community center is being built. The construction is coming after two years of planning and discussions with the City Commission over where it would be built and land agreements with the neighboring 1 of 2 2/23/2015 12:02 PM http://www.theledger.com/article/20150222/NEWSCHIEF/150229786?... Hungry Howie's restaurant, in which City Manager Patricia Jackson said they traded portions of land in order to get the right-sized parcel for the community center. Initially, there was some concern over the project — including who would pay for upkeep once the center was constructed since the city would be responsible for operating the center, including utilities and maintenance. "The city will pay for the upkeep," Jackson said. She said revenue would be generated by renting out the center for private events to residents. Several residents, thinking about the town's dire financial straits at the tail end of 2013 when the project was proposed, thought the idea of a community center was "unnecessary." However, Jackson said the city is much better off now and has no problem going forward with the center. Some of the lingering considerations include meeting building requirements for a storm shelter from the Polk County building department. Once they have a generator, Jackson said they will be good to go in that respect. LaCascia, at the last commission meeting Feb. 16, had kind words about Bronson and the shelter. "Mr. Bronson has faith in Polk City," LaCascia said. "It's a testimony to how far we have come, and that we have moved to a new place." When asked how he could afford the money to donate for the center, Bronson answered, "I worked all my life." Larry Griffin covers Auburndale, Lake Hamilton and Polk City. He can be reached at [email protected] or by phone at 863-401-6969. Copyright © 2015 TheLedger.com — All rights reserved. Restricted use only. 2 of 2 2/23/2015 12:02 PM http://www.theledger.com/article/20150223/NEWS/150229730/1410?te... This copy is for your personal, noncommercial use only. You can order presentation-ready copies for distribution to your colleagues, clients or customers here or use the "Reprints" tool that appears above any article. Order a reprint of this article now. National Weather Service Issues Dense Fog Advisory for Polk County Published: Monday, February 23, 2015 at 7:13 a.m. The National Weather Service has issued a dense fog advisory for Polk County. High dew points and light winds have led to the development of dense fog in widespread areas, and those conditions are expected to expand and cause low visibility through mid-morning, officials say. Drivers are cautioned that visibility could be reduced to a quarter-mile or less in some areas, creating dangerous driving conditions. The dense fog advisory is in effect until 10 a.m. Copyright © 2015 TheLedger.com — All rights reserved. Restricted use only. 1 of 1 2/23/2015 12:04 PM © 2006 Plant Management Network. Accepted for publication 11 May 2006. Published 22 August 2006. Post-hurricane Analysis of Citrus Canker Spread and Progress towards the Development of a Predictive Model to Estimate Disease Spread Due to Catastrophic Weather Events Michael Irey and Tim R. Gottwald, USDA, Agricultural Research Service, Ft. Pierce, FL 34945; James H. Graham, University of Florida, IFAS, Citrus Research and Education Center, Lake Alfred, FL 33850; Tim D. Riley, USDA, Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service, Orlando, FL 32807; and Greg Carlton, Florida Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services, Division of Plant Industry, Arcadia, FL 34266 Corresponding author: Michael Irey. [email protected] Irey, M., Gottwald, T. R., Graham, J. H., Riley, T. D., and Carlton, G. 2006. Post-hurricane analysis of citrus canker spread and progress towards the development of a predictive model to estimate disease spread due to catastrophic weather events. Online. Plant Health Progress doi:10.1094/PHP-2006-0822-01-RS. Abstract Many factors have been involved in the spread of citrus canker (Xanthomonas axonopodis pv. citri); however, the 2004 hurricane season appears to have been one of the major factors leading to the widespread and numerous citrus canker infections discovered in late 2004 and 2005. Geospatially referenced citrus canker infection data from infections that were discovered after the 2004 hurricanes were examined in relation to wind and rain conditions experienced during the hurricanes and used to develop a predictive model to explain storm-related spread of citrus canker. The model incorporates a "threshold" concept for wind and rains that, in-effect, incorporates only biologically significant weather parameters in the calculations. When applied to three distinct areas of the state, the predictive model accounted for approximately 80% of the hurricane related and subsequent secondary spread of citrus canker over the next 14 months. Therefore, the use of the predictive model shows great promise a tool to predict disease spread as a result of extreme weather events and as a means of targeting resources for citrus canker survey and detection activities. Introduction The bacterium, Xanthomonas axonopodis pv. citri (Xac), that causes Asiatic citrus canker (ACC) can be dispersed in gentle rain, rain with wind, rain storms, tropical storms, and hurricanes. These meteorological events are progressively more effective at dispersing inoculum over greater distances. Apart from dispersal during meteorological events, inoculum can be dispersed mechanically from within-trees to very long distance dispersal through human activities, including the movement of infected plant material over short distances (local) to long range dispersal (global = among countries and continents). From an epidemiological point of view, epidemics of ACC are composed of a series of discontinuous pulses of inoculum that first introduce Xac to the host population, with a combination of multiple meteorological and mechanical events that further disperse inoculum and exacerbate the epidemic. However, dispersal events vary greatly in distance and quantity of inoculum dispersed. Historically, numerous storm and mechanical transmission events have contributed to the spatial distribution and patterns of spread of citrus canker in Florida (6). In particular, three hurricanes (Charley, Frances, and Jeanne) that crossed the Florida peninsula during 2004 exacerbated preexisting ACC infections and dispersed the pathogen extremely widely and resulted in the establishment of numerous new infections at substantial distances from the preexisting infections. Plant Health Progress 22 August 2006 History of Multiple Citrus Canker Epidemics in Florida ACC has a long history in Florida. The disease was first found around 1912 spread throughout the southeastern U.S. on imported seedlings from Japan, and was declared eradicated from Florida and the adjacent states by 1933 (5,12). ACC was rediscovered in Manatee Co., Florida south of Tampa Bay in 1986, and was declared eradicated by 1994 (20). Three years later, the disease re-emerged in the same general area on the west coast of Florida where the 1980s outbreak had occurred. In the meantime, a new and separate infection of ACC was discovered in urban Miami in 1995, with an estimated introduction some time in 1992 or 1993 (7,16,17,18). When detected in Miami in 1995, the disease was contained in an area of approximately 36.3 km2 (14 mile2) of mostly residential properties southwest of the Miami International Airport. To deal with this epidemic, a cooperative state/federal citrus canker eradication program (CCEP) was established between the Florida Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services (FDACS), Division of Plant Industry (DPI), and the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS). Concurrently, ACC was rediscovered in commercial citrus in Manatee Co. on the west coast of Florida in June 1997. Subsequent outbreaks of ACC have occurred in both residential and commercial citrus in most counties in the southern half of Florida. The origins of inoculum for this nearly state-wide epidemic are believed to be related predominantly to the inoculum reservoir in residential Dade and Broward counties (4). Extensive eradication efforts from 1995 to the present have resulted in the removal or destruction of 6,993,651 commercial trees, 4,224,175 commercial nursery trees, and 844,327 infected and exposed dooryard citrus trees statewide. Following the 2004 hurricane season, over 25,779 ha (63,701 acres) of commercial citrus trees have been removed or are scheduled to be removed in an effort to eradicate the disease from commercial plantings. The situation in Florida was exacerbated by the introduction of the Asian citrus leafminer (Phyllocnistis citrella Stainton) in 1993. ACC has increased significantly as a consequence of the insect’s feeding activities which create wounds that expose susceptible leaf mesophyll tissues to splashed inoculum, thus increasing the probability of infection by Xac (10). Whereas foliar wounds on citrus leaves normally callus within 1 to 2 days, leafminer induced wounds resist callus formation for about 14 days, allowing the highly susceptible mesophyll tissues to be exposed for a much longer time (1,2). ACC is characterized by erumpent lesions on fruit, foliage, and young stems of susceptible cultivars of citrus (8,18). Unfortunately, most commercial citrus varieties grown in Florida are moderately to highly susceptible to the disease, especially grapefruit (Citrus paradisi) and early and mid-season maturing cultivars of sweet orange (C. sinensis). When the disease is severe, defoliation, dieback, and fruit drop (reducing yield quantity) can occur and infected fruit that remain are often scarred with lesions (reducing yield quality) and therefore less valuable or entirely unmarketable (8,11). In addition, strict international trade regulations in some regions prohibit export of fruit from canker-endemic areas, further restricting potential markets (7,9). This results in even greater financial impact as many of these markets pay a premium price for fresh citrus. If Xac should become endemic in Florida, it will result in a severe curtailment of commerce in fresh citrus fruit, which comprises approximately 20% of the State’s $9 billion commercial citrus industry (13,14). Furthermore, highly susceptible cultivars, including grapefruit, will be difficult to impossible to grow profitably due to the cost of canker management, including the need for expensive bactericidal sprays that would be required to maintain yields and quality. During seasons when spring and summer rains are combined with wind speeds in excess of 8 m/s (17.9 mph), damage from the disease can range from nominal to significant (19). Recently, it was demonstrated that inoculum begins to exude from wetted lesions within 1 to 5 minutes and is immediately available for dispersal. During a simulated 54-h continuous rainstorm with continual inoculum removal, the maximum concentration of bacteria was exuded within the first one to two hour period following the beginning of the rain, although Plant Health Progress 22 August 2006 inoculum was produced continuously at a lower concentration for the duration of the experiment (3). The dramatic increase in disease incidence subsequent to the hurricanes of 2004 instigated the current research in an attempt to understand the patterns of disease spread resulting from extreme storm events. The purpose of this study was to firstly develop a model to assess spread of ACC during catastrophic wind/rain events and secondly to attempt to validate the model based on poststorm ACC infections identified by the CCEP. Estimation of Citrus Canker Spread via Hurricanes and Development of Wind/Rain Index Vectors 2004 hurricane season. During the 2004 hurricane season, three hurricanes significantly affected the citrus production areas of Florida (Fig. 1). On August 13, hurricane Charley made landfall on the lower west coast of Florida and crossed the state on a northeasterly track (Fig. 2a), taking the hurricane over the southern, western, central, and northern citrus production areas. On September 5, hurricane Frances made landfall in the Treasure Coast area on the east coast of Florida and crossed the state on a northwesterly track (Fig. 2b), taking the hurricane primarily over the Indian River, central, western, and northern citrus production regions. On September 25, hurricane Jeanne made landfall in essentially the same area as hurricane Frances and again crossed the state on a northwesterly track over the same production areas (Fig. 2c). At the time of all three hurricanes, Xac infections, either known at the time of the hurricane or discovered after the hurricane but with estimated ages of infection that pre-dated the storms, were present in some of the production areas. Fig. 1. Citrus production areas in Florida. Plant Health Progress 22 August 2006 Fig. 2. Paths followed by the three hurricanes that had an impact on Florida citrus production areas during 2004. Citrus canker eradication program surveys. Disease detection surveys conducted as part of the ACC eradication program were conducted jointly by FDACS, which was responsible for general surveys in commercial groves and residential properties, and by USDA-APHIS, which was responsible for sentinel surveys in both residential and commercial citrus groves. General surveys were conducted at yearly intervals with the intent that a portion of every commercial grove and all trees on residential properties (in target areas) would be surveyed at least once a year. Sentinel surveys were conducted more frequently; however, not all groves or residential properties were visited. Instead, the intent was to target geographic areas by preferentially selecting susceptible cultivars in plantings (both residential and commercial) that were stratified across the survey area. When infected plants were found in either survey (general or sentinel), the intensity and the frequency of the survey were increased until the extent of the infected area was delimited. As infected trees were found, their positions were recorded by GPS equipment. When the number of infected trees was small or when the infected trees were on residential properties, GPS coordinates were collected for all infected trees. However, if the number of infected trees was large (in commercial groves), GPS coordinates were collected only from trees that defined the outer edges of the area infected within the property. The GPS data points from both residential and commercial finds were entered into a geographic information system (GIS) database and these data were used for subsequent vector analyses. Citrus canker study areas. Based on post-storm surveys over a 14-month period, three areas with canker infection were studied to determine the impact of hurricanes on the subsequent spread of ACC as a result of the storm events. The first area of study consisted of a three-county area comprised by Indian River, St. Lucie, and Martin counties, collectively known as the Treasure Coast (Fig. 3). The second and third areas of study were in Lee/Charlotte and Orange counties, respectively (Fig. 3). These three areas were selected for study based on two criteria. The first criterion was the detection of numerous new Xac infections within the area during the 14-month period of time following the 2004 hurricanes. The second, and probably the most important criterion, was the identification, sometimes after the fact, of trees with infections that predated the 2004 storms. Infection aging was based on an estimate of the age of the branches on which lesions were found in relation to the known flush and growth patterns of citrus trees in the area (Xac only tends to infect fresh flush or injured tissue). Trees with lesions that pre-dated the 2004 hurricanes were assumed to be the initial foci of infection for subsequent spread as a result of the storms. Plant Health Progress 22 August 2006 Fig. 3. Areas where studies were made to determine the impact of hurricane events on the spread of citrus canker during 2004-2005. In the Treasure Coast area, two trees in close proximity to each other were identified as pre-dating hurricanes Frances and Jeanne and all subsequent infections that were detected in the three-county area were assumed to have originated due to direct spread from these two trees as a result of the storm(s) and from subsequent secondary spread that occurred over the ensuing 14-month period as a result of secondary weather events, mechanical spread, and other unidentified mechanisms of spread. This assumption is based on the observation that all infections identified in the area of study other than the two trees identified as the foci of infection were infections that post-dated the hurricane spread events (i.e., infections were found on flushes that were contemporaneous with or occurred after the hurricane events). In the second area of study, approximately 17 trees were identified in Lee Co. that pre-dated hurricane Charley. All the infection that was detected in the two-county area was assumed to have originated due to direct spread from these 17 trees as a result of the storm and other post-storm secondary spread over a 14-month period. In the third study area, several discrete areas of infection were found that were traced back to single trees in each of the areas that pre-dated hurricane Charley. Data from the two largest areas of infection in Orange Co. (identified as areas 4 and 6 by the USDA-APHIS survey teams) were studied. Weather data. Weather data were collected from weather stations located in close proximity to the three study areas where ACC was detected during the post storm surveys. Data were collected by automated weather stations operated by the Florida Automated Weather Network (FAWN, fawn.ifas.ufl.edu) or from weather stations operated as part of the Citizen Weather Observer Program (CWOP, www.wxqa.com). The FAWN network consists of 34 weather stations located primarily at University of Florida research stations and is geared towards agricultural users and are therefore largely located in agricultural areas. CWOP weather stations are privately operated weather stations operated by amateur radio operators whose data are made available to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). CWOP stations are primarily located in urban areas and their data are checked for quality by NOAA and then redistributed to users. The weather data used were collected at hourly intervals over the time period of the hurricanes and consisted of rainfall per hour plus wind speed and wind direction both collected at a 9.14-m (30-ft) elevation. Calculation of vectors and indices. Wind-rain index vectors (WRIV) were calculated based on the concept of a "wind rose" analysis (Fig. 4) commonly used for presenting wind speed, wind direction, and wind duration data all incorporated into a single graph. However, instead of using wind speed Plant Health Progress 22 August 2006 in the calculations, a wind-rain index (Iwr) using predetermined thresholds was calculated and substituted for the wind speed value normally used in a wind rose analysis. The assumption behind the use of Iwr was that both wind (w) and rain (r) must occur at the same time in order for Xac to be dispersed further than a few meters. Therefore Iwr would account for both meteorological conditions that must be present in order for long-distance spread to occur. To determine the WRIV that occurred during a storm event, individual Iwr values were calculated for each hour of weather data using the formula: Iwr = 100*[(w/wmax)*(r/rmax)] where, wmax = 33.5 m/s (75 mph), rmax = 5.08 cm/h (2.0 inches/h). To obtain values for w and r, the windspeed and rainfall amounts were compared to predetermined threshold wind and rainfall values. If w ≥ threshold then w = windspeed and if r ≥ threshold then r = rainfall. However, if w < threshold or if r < threshold, then w = 0 or r = 0, respectively. Fig. 4. A wind rose diagram depicting the distribution of wind direction and speed in the Treasure Coast area during hurricanes Frances (4-5 August 2004) and Jeanne (24-25 August 2004). The wind vectors are in 15 degree increments and are expressed in a "blowing to" orientation. The Iwr and the wind direction data associated with the Iwr were plotted using commercially available wind rose software (WRPlot View, Lakes Environmental Software, Ontario, Canada) in 15° wind direction increments in a "blowing to" orientation (i.e., Iwr presented as flow vectors). Since a threshold concept was used in the calculations, for any time period for which either w or r values did not meet or exceed the thresholds, the Iwr would reduce to zero and thus would drop out of the calculation leaving only those WRIV in the wind rose that could potentially spread Xac. Therefore the wind rose calculated using Iwr results in a diagram that only presents biologically significant meteorological events (Fig. 5). In a wind rose analysis calculated using the Iwr concept, the direction of potential spread is indicated by the compass direction of the "blowing to" vector, the relative potential to spread is indicated by the numerical index of the Iwr (represented by a color scale), and the relative duration of conditions favorable for spread is represented by the length of the "blowing to" vector. Plant Health Progress 22 August 2006 Fig. 5. A wind rose diagram depicting WRIV in the Treasure Coast area during hurricanes Frances (4-5 August 2004) and Jeanne (24-25 August 2004) using w = 8 m/s (17.9 mph) and r = 0.318 (0.125 inch/h). The wind vectors are in 15 degree increments and are expressed in a "blowing to" orientation. Determination of w and r thresholds. To determine the thresholds for w (wind speed) and r (accumulated rainfall volume for a 1.0-h period) variables for use in the calculation, the distribution of infection data for the Treasure Coast area from the citrus canker surveys were plotted (Fig. 6) using commercially available GIS software (ArcMap 9.0, ESRI, Redlands, CA). WRIV were computed with Iwr using all possible combinations of w = 4, 6, 8, 10, and 12 m/s (8.9, 13.4, 17.9, 22.4, and 26.8 mph) and r = 0.16, 0.318, 0.477, 0.635, 0.795, and 0.953 cm/h (0.063, 0.125, 0.188, 0.250, 0.313, and 0.375 inch/h) as thresholds. FAWN weather data from the Fort Pierce station were used for all calculations at the Treasure Coast study site. This station was located approximately 14.16 km (8.8 miles) from the pre-storm foci of infection. Due to the propinquity of the hurricane tracks and the fact that hurricane Jeanne occurred within a few weeks of hurricane Frances the weather data from both storms were combined in these analyses. Plant Health Progress 22 August 2006 Fig. 6. Location of citrus canker infected trees and the presumed initial foci of infection in the Treasure Coast Area. For all WRIV computed, the length of the vectors was set at 56.3km (35 miles). This assumption was based on an observation from the Lee/Charlotte Co. area of study that indicated that distances of spread could be up to 56.3 km as result of hurricane induced wind and rain (Irey and Gottwald, unpublished). The WRIV for individual w and r threshold combinations in the wind rose plots were overlaid on the infection data in the GIS plots using the foci of infection in each study area as the origin for the WRIV (Fig. 7). The percentage of GPS data points (representing infected trees) overlaid by the WRIV compared to the total number of GPS data points in the Treasure Coast area of study was used as the measure of the "goodness of fit" of the model for each combination of w and r thresholds (Fig. 8). Thresholds of w = 8 m/s (17.9 mph) and r = 0.318 cm/h (0.125 inch/h) were selected as the thresholds for use in subsequent analyses. This combination of thresholds resulted in the smallest set of WRIV that captured the largest percentage of infected trees (82.8%). Due to the methodology used in the commercial grove surveys (i.e., in some instances, only the perimeter of the infected area was delimited by GPS points), it is likely that the estimates of percent capture are an underestimation of the actual number of trees captured by the WRIV. Plant Health Progress 22 August 2006 Fig. 7. WRIV for the Treasure Coast area using w = 8 m/s (17.9 mph) and r = 0.318 cm/h (0.125 inch/h) as thresholds to calculate Iwr. Individual WRIV were extended 35 miles in each "blowing to" direction. Percent capture of infected trees by WRIV = 82.8%. Fig. 8. Percentage of infected trees captured by WRIV using different combinations of w and r thresholds in the calculation of Iwr for vectors in the treasure Coast area. Calculated citrus canker spread vectors using thresholds for the treasure coast area applied to the Lee/Charlotte and Orange County study areas. The WRIVs, using Iwr calculated with w = 8 m/s (17.9 mph) and r = 0.318 cm/h (0.125 inch/h) as thresholds estimated from the Treasure Coast data, were applied to weather data from hurricane Charley for the Lee/Charlotte and Orange County study areas. Both of these areas were residential areas and CWOP weather data were used in the analyses. Numerous power failures associated with hurricane Charley made it difficult to find complete weather Plant Health Progress 22 August 2006 data sources in the area of study for the desired time period. For the Lee/Charlotte County area, a CWOP station located in Naples, FL, approximately 50 km (31 mi) south of the foci of infection and 34 km (21 mi) east of the track of the storm was used for the WRIV computations. Although it would have been desirable to have weather data from a source closer to the foci of infection, this was the only station that could be located with complete data for August 13, 2004 (hurricane Charley). Similarly, it was difficult obtain data for the Orange County area. The closest station to the areas of study in Orange County had incomplete data so data from the two closest stations (approximately 24 and 34 km [15 and 21 mi] away) were combined to calculate the WRIV. WRIV calculated using Iwr with w = 8 m/s (17.9 mph) and r = 0.318 cm/h (0.125 inch/h) as thresholds for the Lee/Charlotte County study area (Fig. 9) captured 86.3% of the infected trees identified in the residential ACC surveys. Similarly, WRIV calculated using the same thresholds for Orange County (Fig. 10) captured 79.5% and 81.8% of the infected trees in the two residential sub areas studied. Unlike the commercial grove surveys, the residential citrus canker surveys identified all infected trees found with GPS points therefore the ~ 80% combined capture calculations accurately represents the extent of the known infected trees overlaid by the WRIV estimates. Although this method explained a relatively high percentage of the subsequent infections that developed and were discovered, some of the subsequent infection fell outside of the predicted vectors. This could be due to the intent to make the vector predictions conservative (i.e., the smallest set of WRIV that captured the largest percentage of infected trees was used) and not over predict the affected area. However, the data include not only infections representing spread due to the hurricanes themselves but also takes into account infections resulting from secondary spread that occurred post-hurricane(s) during the following 14 months. Thus some of the secondary spread events could have taken inoculum beyond the bounds of the vectors predicted by meteorological conditions associated with only the main meteorological event, i.e., the hurricane(s). Fig. 9. WRIV for the Lee/Charlotte County area using w = 8 m/s (17.9 mph) and r = 0.318 cm/h (0.125 inch/h) as thresholds to calculate Iwr. Individual WRIV were extended 50 km (35 mi) in each "blowing to" direction. Percent capture of infected trees by WRIV = 86.3%. Plant Health Progress 22 August 2006 Fig. 10. WRIV for the Orange County area using w = 8 m/s (17.9 mph) and r = 0.318 cm/h (0.125 inch/h) as thresholds to calculate Iwr. Individual WRIV were extended 50 km (35 mi) in each "blowing to" direction. Percent capture of infected trees by WRIV for Area 4 = 79.5%. Percent capture of infected trees by WRIV for Area 6 = 81.8%. Discussion and Application of WRIV Calculations to Direct Survey Efforts and Search for Pre-Hurricane Citrus Canker Foci The fact that hurricanes and other severe weather events have had a significant impact on the incidence of citrus canker in Florida is apparent. However, predicting the magnitude and the direction of spread due to these extreme weather events has been difficult due to the complexity of the wind and rain patterns associated with each storm. For example, in a "typical" hurricane, wind directions can be in exact opposite directions depending on which side of the hurricane track is being monitored. This is due to the counter-clockwise rotation of storms in the northern hemisphere. Similarly, if the measurement site is directly on the track of the storm, high winds and rains will be experienced in one direction, followed by a lull (as the eye of the storm passes over), and then again followed by high winds and rain from the opposite direction. Therefore, depending on the location of an individual site in relation to the storm track, it is possible that high winds and rains may be experienced from a range of directions (Fig. 11). Further complicating the issue is the fact that that sufficient wind and rain to cause dispersal may not occur together, so measurement of wind alone cannot accurately predict spread. However, the use of the WRIVs calculated using Iwr, which incorporates both wind and rain in the calculation, appears to show promise as a tool to predict the spread of citrus canker. Plant Health Progress 22 August 2006 Fig. 11. Radar loop of hurricane Wilma as it passed over south Florida on August 24, 2005. Multiple new infections of ACC were discovered in commercial citrus plantations and residential areas over the 14 months following the three hurricanes in 2004. New infections occurred in areas previously believed to be free of ACC and at considerable distance from any known sources of infection. Determining the location of the unknown sources of inoculum that gave rise to these newly infected trees and the removal of these sources is a necessity for effective eradication of the disease. The WRIV calculation method was employed to delimit suspect survey areas and direct CCEP survey crew efforts. This was achieved by using the GPS location of new post-hurricane citrus canker infections [infections determined to have occurred subsequent to the passing of the hurricane(s)] as a focal point, and generating the Iwr and wind rose to determine the associated vectors(s) for the storm(s) that impacted that area. However, the vectors were reversed toward the "blowing from" direction, i.e., toward a suspected source of infection. These vectors were then transferred to a GIS map of the area and overlayed on commercial and residential citrus plantings. Thus the vectors were intended to backtrack over a potential dispersal gradient, toward the pre-hurricane inoculum source. This methodology was applied on several occasions to identify pre-hurricane foci of infection that could subsequently be used to further delimit the areas that must be surveyed. An example of how this method was applied is in Polk County (Fig. 12A). Numerous post-storm, infections were found following the 2004 hurricanes, however, there was no apparent link or pattern between them. Using WRIVs calculated for hurricane Charley for several weather sites surrounding the infections in Polk County (Fig. 12B) it was possible to identify the direction that potential inoculum would have originated from. Using this information, the infections that were found post-storm were re-evaluated and it was possible to determine which of the infections was likely to predate the storm (Fig. 12C). In the case of Polk County, it was determined that much of the infection in Polk County originated from a pre-storm infection located at the southern edge of the county. Plant Health Progress 22 August 2006 Fig. 12. Example of the application of WRIVs to post-storm discoveries of citrus canker in Polk County. (A) Post-storm citrus canker infections relative to the track of hurricane Charley. (B) At the time of the initial discovery of the infections, there was no indication of the original foci of inoculum. Using weather data from weather data sites near the known infections, midpoint rays of the WRIV were plotted. (C) These rays when considered in a "blowing from" indicate the direction of potential initial inoculum sources. Consensus WRIV were calculated and applied to known infections. The infection sites were reevaluated to determine the age of infections and likely pre-storm infection sites were identified. When pre-hurricane foci were detected, the method was deployed yet again. This time vectors were calculated using the GPS location of the pre-hurricane point of disease, calculating the Iwr and windrose and giving the vector a "blowing to" orientation. In this way, a new search area was delimited for CCEP survey crews to attempt to find additional new post-hurricane infections that could also have arisen from the newly discovered pre-hurricane focus. An example of how this process was used occurred in Hardee County. WRIVs were calculated for all three 2004 storms and examined in relation to known prestorm infections (Fig. 13a). Using existing grove data to locate groves planted to susceptible cultivars located within the predominant WRIV, CCEP personnel were directed to search groves within the WRIV and they were immediately able to locate new ACC infections (Fig. 13b). Plant Health Progress 22 August 2006 Fig. 13. Example of the application of WRIVs to post-storm discoveries of citrus canker in Hardee County. (A) WRIVs were calculated for hurricanes Charley, Frances, and Jeanne in a "blowing from" orientation. (B) The predominant vector indicated that canker infection was likely in a NNW direction. CCEP personnel then inspected a grove planted with a susceptible cultivar in line with the predominant WRIV and were able to identify a new citrus canker infection. Such ‘targeting’ of CCEP survey efforts is of considerable benefit because it greatly reduces the survey effort to the most critical survey search area, providing a higher probability of finding both new and older but previously unknown infections, making more efficient use of CCEP personnel and fiscal resources. The targeted survey augments the other surveying methodologies for more rapid and complete detection of citrus canker in an area. The application of this calculated Iwr method to track the spread of ACC (and possibly other diseases or pests) will undoubtedly be useful in the future, since NOAA has determined that the annual occurrence of hurricanes and tropical storms has been escalating since 1995 and that the U.S. is experiencing an anticipated 30-year period of increased Atlantic and Gulf hurricane activity (15). This long-term forecast makes it quite realistic to assume that extreme storm activity will continue to be a major factor affecting the spread of ACC in Florida. Plant Health Progress 22 August 2006 Literature Cited 1. Achor, D. S., Browning, H. W., and Albrigo, L. G. 1996. Anatomical and histological modification in citrus leaves caused by larval feeding of citrus leaf-miner (Phyllocnistis citrella Staint). Pages 69 in: Proc. Int. Conf. Citrus Leafminer, Orlando, Florida, April 23-25, 1996. Univ. of Florida, Gainesville. 2. Belasque, J., Parra-Pedrazzoli, A. L., Rodrigues Neto, J., Yamamoto, P. T., Chagas, M. C. M., Parra, J. R. P., Vinyard, B. T., Hartung, J. S. 2005. Adult citrus leafminers (Phyllocnistis citrella) are not efficient vectors for Xanthomonas axonopodis pv. citri.et al. Plant Dis. 89:590-594. 3. Bock, C. H., Parker, P. E., and Gottwald, T. R. 2005. Effect of simulated wind-driven rain on duration and distance of dispersal of Xanthomonas axonopodis pv citri from canker infected citrus trees. Plant Dis. 89:71-80. 4. Cubero, J., and Graham, J. H. 2002. Genetic relationship among worldwide strains of Xanthomonas causing canker in citrus and design of new primers for their identification by PCR. Appl. Environ. Micro. 68:1257-1264. 5. Dopson, R. N. 1964. The eradication of citrus canker. Plant Dis. Rept. 48:30-31. 6. Gottwald, T. R., Graham, J. H., and Schubert, T. S. 1997. An epidemiological analysis of the spread of citrus canker in urban Miami, Florida, and synergistic interaction with the Asian citrus leaf miner. Fruits 52:383-390. 7. Gottwald, T. R., Graham, J. H., and Schubert, T. S. 1997b. Citrus canker in urban Miami: An analysis of spread and prognosis for the future. Citrus Ind. 78:72-78. 8. Gottwald, T. R., Graham, J. H., and Schubert, T. S. 2002. Citrus canker: The pathogen and its impact. Online. Plant Health Progress doi:10.1094/PHP-20020812-01-RV. 9. Graham, J. H., and Gottwald, T. R. 1991. Research perspectives on eradication of citrus bacterial diseases in Florida. Plant Dis. 75:1193-1200. 10. Graham, J. H., Gottwald, T. R., Browning, H. S., and Achor, D. S. 1996. Citrus leafminer exacerbated the outbreak of Asiatic citrus canker in South Florida. Page 83 in: Proc. Int. Conf. Citrus Leafminer, Orlando, Florida, April 23-25, 1996. Univ. of Florida, Gainesville. 11. Koizumi, M., and Kuhara, S. 1982. Evaluation of citrus plants for resistance to bacterial canker disease in relation to lesion extension. Bull. Tree Fruit Res. D. 4:73-92. 12. Loucks, K. W. 1934. Citrus Canker and its Eradication in Florida. Unpublished manuscript in the archives of the Florida Department of Agriculture,Division of Plant Industry, Gainesville, FL. 13. Muraro, R. P. 1986. Observations of Argentina’s citrus industry and citrus canker control with estimations of additional costs to Florida citrus growers under a Florida citrus canker control program. Food and Resource Economics Department, Institute of Food and Agricultural Sciences, University of Florida. Staff Paper 289. 14. Muraro, R. P., Roka, F., and Spreen, T. H. 2000. An overview of Argentina’s citrus canker control program with applicable costs for a similar program in Florida. (Abstr.) Proc. Int. Citrus Canker Res. Worksh., Ft. Pierce FL, June 20-22, 2000. 15. National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. 2005. NOAA raises the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season outlook: Bulk of this season's storms still to come. Online. Press Rel., August 2, 2005. 16. Schoulties, C. L., Civerolo, E. L., Miller, J. W., Stall, R. E., Krass, C. J., Poe, S. R., and Ducharme, E. P. 1987. Citrus canker in Florida. Plant Dis. 71:388-395. 17. Schubert, T. S., Miller, J. W., and Gabriel, D. W. 1996. Another outbreak of bacterial canker on citrus in Florida. Plant Dis. 80:1208. 18. Schubert, T. S., Rizvi, S. A., Sun, X., Gottwald, T. R., Graham J. H., and Dixon, W. N. 2001. Meeting the challenge of eradicating citrus canker in Florida – Again. Plant Dis. 85:340-356. 19. Serizawa, S., and Inoue, K. 1974. Studies on citrus canker, Xanthomonas citri. III. The influence of wind on the infection of citrus canker. Bull. Shizuoka Prefect. Citrus Exp. Stn. Komagoe Shimizu City, Japan 11:54-67. 20. Stall, R. E., and Civerolo, E. L. 1991. Research relating to the recent outbreak of citrus canker in Florida. Annu. Rev. Phytopathol. 29:399-420. Plant Health Progress 22 August 2006 http://www.theledger.com/article/20150222/NEWS/150229798?template... This copy is for your personal, noncommercial use only. You can order presentation-ready copies for distribution to your colleagues, clients or customers here or use the "Reprints" tool that appears above any article. Order a reprint of this article now. New Trap Advances War Against Dangerous Citrus Psyllid By Kevin Bouffard THE LEDGER Published: Sunday, February 22, 2015 at 12:49 a.m. WINTER HAVEN | If you build a better psyllid trap, the world probably won't beat a path to your door, but more than a few citrus people might come knocking. That's the hope of researchers at the Florida Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services, who've designed and built a better insect trap with 3D printing technology. The "SmartTrap" is designed specifically to trap the PHOTOS PROVIDED TO THE LEDGER TECHNICIAN TONY DICKENS inspects a SmartTrap prototype Asian citrus psyllid, the insect responsible for spreading the bacterial disease citrus greening. "This technology is a gigantic leap forward," said Florida Agriculture Commissioner Adam Putnam, the department's CEO, in a news statement announcing the discovery. "This 3D printing innovation gives our scientists the best chance to find a game-changing breakthrough in the fight against citrus greening." Greening weakens a citrus tree, causing extensive fruit drop before harvest, and eventually kills it. Since greening arrived in Florida in 2005, the disease has cut the annual Florida harvest of oranges, grapefruit and tangerines by more than half. The department has received a five-year, $200,000 grant from the U.S. Department of Agriculture to continue improving SmartTrap's design while manufacturing and distributing the current prototype to researchers in citrus-producing areas, including California and Texas, said Trevor Smith, chief of the Bureau of Methods Development and Biological Control at the Florida Agriculture Department, who has overseen the 3-year-old project. SmartTrap represents an advance over the standard yellow sticky traps, similar to fly paper, that are hung in groves to collect psyllids for research and to measure the extent of infestation, said Smith, who has a doctorate in entomology and lots of experience with sticky traps. A major improvement with SmartTrap is that 99 percent of the insects collected are psyllids, a pin-sized insect that arrived in Florida in 1998, he said. Sticky traps capture not only other insects but lizards and other small creatures, not to mention dirt, making them difficult to work with. Psyllids host the greening bacteria and are the main vehicle in spreading the disease. Greening has infected virtually every acre among Florida's 515,147 commercial grove acres. Another SmartTrap advantage is its ability to keep the psyllids alive until collected. "The traps also preserve the psyllids, unlike the yellow sticky traps, which leave psyllids exposed to the elements where they quickly decompose and are virtually 1 of 3 2/22/2015 9:57 AM http://www.theledger.com/article/20150222/NEWS/150229798?template... impossible to remove from the entangling glue for further analysis," according to the Agriculture Department statement. Under the hot sun in Florida, California and Texas, psyllids and other insects decompose within 24 hours on the sticky traps, said Russell Mizell, an entomologist at the University of Florida's North Florida Research and Education Center in Quincy who helped design the initial SmartTrap prototypes. SmartTrap contains a liquid chemical that preserves the insects until collected. "There are no other traps in the world like that trap," said Mizell, who has designed hundreds of insect traps during his 45-year career. "People have said my trademark is I think like a bug, and I take that as a compli-ment." Researchers in California and Texas find preserving the psyllid particularly useful because they're still testing insects to determine whether they are carrying greening bacteria, Smith said. Greening surfaced in those states only in 2012, and citrus officials are still tracking the spread of the disease. California and Texas will receive about 20 SmartTraps each to be manufactured in the first year of the program, he added. Using 3D printing technology to design and manufacture all the trap's parts is perhaps the most innovative aspect of the program, Smith said. The department purchased a printer for $3,000. "Once we realized 3D printers are very affordable, we realized we can print these traps," he said. "We took the 3D printing and ran with it." Mizell and entomologists Susan Halbert of the Florida Agriculture Department designed SmartTrap's first prototypes with cardboard and plastic cups, Ezell and Smith said. After hundreds of those crude prototypes, Ezell and department technicians refined the design with 3D printing software. The 3D printing system allows department researchers to make further design improvements based on actual experience with SmartTraps in the field, Smith said. Printing all the parts for one trap takes about eight hours. "Whatever changes we have, we can do it immediately," Smith said. With traditional plastics manufacturing, which involves making a new mold with each modification, "making a change is a big deal," he added. Department researchers are continuing to tweak the design, experimenting with shapes, textures, colors, lights and chemical attractants, Smith said. That will contribute to knowledge of the insect's behavior in the field, which should lead to better control and prevention measures beyond pesticides. "We've known the psyllid moves around at night; we don't know how much," he said. "We know yellow works well (as an attractant) but maybe green works better, or maybe green with ultraviolet light." The SmartTrap announcement attracted the interest of two UF research entomologists. "Possibly there is some utility for these traps as a research tool, given their ostensible capacity to capture live insects," said Kirsten Pelz-Stelinski at the Citrus Research and Education Center in Lake Alfred, who is researching biological controls against the psyllid. "Any improvement in monitoring that benefits citrus pest management is a welcome addition." 2 of 3 2/22/2015 9:57 AM http://www.theledger.com/article/20150222/NEWS/150229798?template... Phil Stansly at the Southwest Florida Research and Education Center in Immokalee liked SmartTrap's ability to capture only psyllids. "That would be a great improvement," he said. "I haven't seen the traps yet much less tried them. If we found that they catch more psyllids than the standard yellow sticky trap, we would definitely use them." The trap may even help lead to an ultimate defense against greening, Mizell said. "Probably the cure for citrus greening is going to come from the gene jockeys, either something to do with changing the plant's genetics, changing the psyllid's genetics, or both," he said. "Now they have a way to collect a lot of preserved psyllids." [ Kevin Bouffard can be reached at [email protected] or at 863-401-6980. Read more on Florida citrus on his Facebook page, Florida Citrus Witness, http://bit.ly/baxWuU. ] Copyright © 2015 TheLedger.com — All rights reserved. Restricted use only. 3 of 3 2/22/2015 9:57 AM Invasive insect threatens iconic Florida citrus - Daily Commercial: News http://www.dailycommercial.com/news/article_4f7ad62f-eedf-5330-a1d... | Recommend 1 of 6 1 Tweet 1 2 2/18/2015 6:20 PM Invasive insect threatens iconic Florida citrus - Daily Commercial: News http://www.dailycommercial.com/news/article_4f7ad62f-eedf-5330-a1d... UPCOMING EVENTS › WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 18 6:30 PM Ronnie Lester Dexter's Of Winter Park 6:30 PM Go Native Harry P. 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Vote 3 of 6 2/18/2015 6:20 PM Invasive insect threatens iconic Florida citrus - Daily Commercial: News 4 of 6 http://www.dailycommercial.com/news/article_4f7ad62f-eedf-5330-a1d... 2/18/2015 6:20 PM Invasive insect threatens iconic Florida citrus - Daily Commercial: News Recommend 1 Tweet 1 http://www.dailycommercial.com/news/article_4f7ad62f-eedf-5330-a1d... 2 Recommended by 5 of 6 2/18/2015 6:20 PM Invasive insect threatens iconic Florida citrus - Daily Commercial: News http://www.dailycommercial.com/news/article_4f7ad62f-eedf-5330-a1d... facebook google yahoo Login 6 of 6 2/18/2015 6:20 PM Florida facing threat from two mosquito-borne diseases | Reuters 1 of 2 EDITION: HOME BUSINESS MARKETS WORLD http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/06/04/us-usa-florida-mosquito-id... U.S. SIGN IN POLITICS TECH OPINION BREAKINGVIEWS Search News & Quotes REGISTER MONEY LIFE PICTURES VIDEO TRENDING ON REUTERS Explosion at Exxon Mobil refinery in Torrance, California, injures four 1 Ukrainian forces quit besieged town after rebel assault | 2 Greece expected to seek loan extension from skeptical euro zone 3 U.S. Congress questions plan to admit Syrian refugees 4 Cheaper crude oil subdues U.S. producer inflation; housing starts fall 5 BY BARBARA LISTON ORLANDO Fla. Tweet Wed Jun 4, 2014 6:05pm EDT 330 Share 31 Share this Email Print (Reuters) - Two mosquito-borne diseases - dengue fever and chikungunya - are posing a serious threat to Florida and residents should take steps to control mosquito populations to try to limit the danger, a leading health expert said on Wednesday. The Florida Department of Health, in its latest weekly report, said that through last week dengue fever had been confirmed in 24 people in Florida and chikungunya confirmed in 18 people. Both are viral diseases spread by mosquito bites. All of the infected people in Florida have traveled to the Caribbean or South America and could have become infected there, according to Walter Tabachnick, director of the Florida Medical Entomological Laboratory in Vero Beach, which is part of the University of Florida. Epidemiologists are worried that mosquitoes in Florida may have picked up the diseases by biting infected people, which could kick off an epidemic in the state, Tabachnick said. "The threat is greater than I've seen in my lifetime," said Tabachnick, who has worked in the field for 30 years. "Sooner or later, our mosquitoes will pick it up and transmit it to us. That is the imminent threat," he added. Tabachnick urged the public to eliminate standing water including in buckets and rain barrels where mosquitoes can breed. "If there is public apathy and people don't clean up the yards, we're going to have a problem," Tabachnick said. Dengue is potentially fatal, and both diseases cause serious and lingering symptoms. The most common symptoms of chikungunya infection are fever and joint pain, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Tabachnick said the last statewide epidemics in Florida of dengue occurred in the 1930s. Localized epidemics of dengue occurred in 2013 in a small neighborhood in Jensen Beach where 24 people were infected, and in 2009 and 2010 in Key West where 28 people were infected, according to state and federal reports. The Caribbean Public Health Agency said this week that authorities in 18 Caribbean countries or territories had reported more than 100,000 confirmed or suspected cases of PHOTOS OF THE DAY chikungunya. In the Dominican Republic, where health officials reported more than 53,000 suspected cases, hospitals in hard-hit areas are treating hundreds of new patients per day. (Additional reporting by Ezra Fieser in Santo Domingo; Editing by David Adams and Will Dunham) FILED UNDER: U.S. HEALTH Recommend 1,282 people recommend this. Sign Up to see what your friends recommend. Tweet this Login or register Link this Share this Digg this Email Editor's choice Print Reprints Latest from My Wire 2/18/2015 7:15 PM Florida facing threat from two mosquito-borne diseases | Reuters 2 of 2 Sponsored Financial Content More From Reuters Business Westminster Dog Show | 12 Feb More from Reuters Markets World (?) Politics Technology Opinion Money Pictures Support Corrections look like winners in Account AmexInformation scrum Register Sign In | 13 Feb Connect with Reuters Twitter Ukraine’s military is About stronger than believed. 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High Speed Internet Offers 6. Cheap Dental Plans 3. Best Cars to Own 8. How Start a Business From Scratch 4. Cheap Cellphone Plans 9. Cheap Dental Plans 5. Top 10 Best Vacuum Cleaners 10. Osteoarthritis Exercises Latest from My Wire 2/18/2015 7:15 PM Florida Attorney General - Pill Mill Initiative - The Issue 1 of 3 http://myfloridalegal.com/pages.nsf/Main/AA7AAF5CAA22638D8525... Pill Mills What are Pill Mills? A "pill mill" is a doctor’s office, clinic, or health care facility that routinely conspires in the prescribing and dispensing of controlled substances outside the scope of the prevailing standards of medical practice in the community or violates the laws of the state of Florida regarding the prescribing or dispensing of controlled prescription drugs. Issue In 2010, Florida led the nation in diverted prescription drugs, resulting in seven Floridians dying every day and countless others throughout the nation. Our state had become the destination for distributors and abusers through the proliferation of pill mills. While legitimate pain-management clinics do exist to serve those with chronic pain or terminal illness, other unscrupulous clinics, called pill mills, merely serve as drug traffickers. Common characteristics of pill mills include: cash-only/no insurance; no appointments; armed guards; little or no medical records; grossly inadequate physical examinations; and large prescription doses of narcotics that exceed the boundaries of acceptable medical care. The Facts The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has declared prescription drug abuse an epidemic in America. Florida was the epicenter of prescription drug diversion because – until recently – our state had weak regulatory oversight of pain management practices, limited oversight of physician dispensing habits, and no statewide Prescription Drug Monitoring Program (PDMP). In 2010, pharmaceutical drug diversion meant an average of seven Floridians dying a day due to 2/18/2015 7:07 PM Florida Attorney General - Pill Mill Initiative - The Issue 2 of 3 http://myfloridalegal.com/pages.nsf/Main/AA7AAF5CAA22638D8525... prescription drug overdoses. In 2010, there were more than 900 registered pain management clinics in Florida, but as of January 2014, there were 367 registered pain management clinics in Florida. Florida’s dubious distinction as the ‘epicenter’ of the nation’s ‘pill mill’ epidemic was solidified in 2010 when DEA’s Automation of Reports and Consolidated Orders System (ARCOS) reported that 98 of the top 100 oxycodone dispensing physicians in the nation were located in Florida. Today, none of the top 100 dispensing physicians reside in Florida. 2011 Anti-Pill Mill Bill Attorney General Bondi worked with the Florida Legislature to pass legislation cracking down on Florida's pill mills. Click here to read about the legislation. Statewide Task Force on Prescription Drug Abuse and Newborns Created during the 2012 legislative session, the Statewide Task Force on Prescription Drug Abuse and Newborns is designed to examine the scope of the problem of prescription drug abuse by expectant mothers, the costs associated with caring for babies with Neonatal Abstinence Syndrome (NAS), the long-term effects of NAS, as well as prevention strategies. Read more about the task force. Congressional Testimony March 2012 Testimony to the US House Energy & Commerce Committee June 2014 Presentation to the US Senate Prescription Drug Abuse Working Group Florida Toll Free Numbers: - Fraud Hotline 1-866-966-7226 2/18/2015 7:07 PM Florida Attorney General - Pill Mill Initiative - The Issue 3 of 3 http://myfloridalegal.com/pages.nsf/Main/AA7AAF5CAA22638D8525... - Lemon Law 1-800-321-5366 2/18/2015 7:07 PM