Merger Study Data - Mayfield Central School District
Transcription
Merger Study Data - Mayfield Central School District
Reorganization Feasibility Study On Behalf of the Mayfield and Northville Central School Districts February, 2012 DATA SETS OF THE STUDY Prepared by: The SES Study Team, LLC. This report was prepared with funds provided by the New York State Department of State under the local government efficiency grant program. Mayfield and Northville Central School Districts Purpose of the Study: “Objective of the school districts: determine if a centralization of the Mayfield and Northville Central School Districts would provide enhanced educational opportunities and at the same time increase efficiencies and lower costs for the overall operation by forming one centralized district.” Copyright 2012 As to Original Text and Format. All Rights Reserved. Authorized in perpetuity for the exclusive use for planning by the Mayfield and Northville Boards of Education, their Superintendents and by all government agencies to which the districts provide the study. School District Community Advisory Committee Members Appointed by the Respective Boards of Education to Work with and Advise the SES Study Team in the Preparation of the Feasibility Study PRIME COMMUNITY SUB-COMMITTEE FOR THE REPRESENTATION STUDY COMMUNITY ADVISORY COMMITTEE FOR MAYFIELD CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT Ryan Bornt Faculty member/Resident Program Michael Brower Business person Finance Jon Caraco Faculty member/Resident Program Elizabeth Croft Support Staff/Resident Support Timothy Delaney Business person Finance Douglas Edwards Empty-nester Finance Barrie Hampton Retiree Program Carol Hart Business person Finance Alicia Henry Parent secondary student Program M. Trini Hernandez Parent elementary student Program Pam Mormando PTA Support Sharon James-Bilger Taxpayer Support Nicholas Petricca Student Support Bailey Ward Student Support Donald Wicksell Business person Finance COMMUNITY ADVISORY COMMITTEE FOR NORTHVILLE CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT Walter Thompson Senior Citizen Support Michelle Ginter Parent of elementary and secondary Program Natasha Cucinella Parent of elementary Finance Shannon Payne Support Staff, Parent Support Mahlon Robinson Taxpayer Finance Warren Hoffman Secondary Teacher Finance Jacob Sitterly High School Student Program Sarah Matarazzo Parent of preschool Finance Bill Van Nostrand Athletic booster Support Colleen Izzo Senior Citizen, Retired Teacher Program John Sira, Jr. Parent of elementary Finance Molly Whittaker Municipal rep (Youth Commission Program Director) Mary Ann Evans Retired, new to area Support Willard Loveless Bus Driver Support M. Elaine Groff Elementary teacher Program EDINBURG GUEST COMMITTEE MEMBERS Tammy Reidell Parent/Teacher Program Julie Sitterly Parent Support The Boards of Education, the Superintendents, and the SES Study Team sincerely thank the volunteer Community Advisory Committee Members for their time, diligence, collaboration and advice in the preparation of this study. The SES Study Team acknowledges and thanks Suzanne Spear and Jay O’Connor of the State Education Department and Sean McGuire of the Department of State as helpful collaborative resources for the study. Mayfield Central School District Board of Education Members: Janis Frish; Tush Nikollaj; Ernie Clapper; Robert Suits; Teresia Davis Superintendent of Schools: Paul G. Williamsen Mayfield Central School District is located at the foothills of the Adirondack Park on the Great Sacandaga Lake; in Fulton County. New York State Route #30 passes by the district. Access to the New York State Thruway, bus and train service is available in Amsterdam. The nearest large airport is in Albany, approximately 50 miles to the southeast. Mayfield is rural and the school buildings serve as the hub of school and community activity. There is no major industry in the area, with the school district serving as the largest employer in the community. The majority of the property is residential and many of the residents are on fixed incomes. Mayfield has a poverty rate of approximately 23% and a free and reduced price lunch rate of 33%. The 2010 preK-12 grade level enrollment was 1080. Northville Central School District Board of Education Members: James Beirlein; Sheldon Ginter; Lynne Paul; Michael Feldman; Barbara Sperry; Kirianne Reihl Superintendent of Schools: Kathy Ellen Dougherty The Northville Central School District, formed in 1932, is located in the Towns of Bleecker, Mayfield and Northampton in Fulton County, the Towns of Benson and Hope in Hamilton County and the Town of Edinburg in Saratoga County. The school district covers approximately 143 square miles and has an estimated population of 3,200. The school building is located in the village of Northville, approximately 30 miles north of the City of Amsterdam. The school district is located at the north end of the Great Sacandaga Lake and is reached by NYS Route #30. Access to the New York State Thruway is available at Amsterdam. Bus and rail service are available in Amsterdam as well. Air transportation is available in Albany, approximately 50 miles to the southeast. The School District is essentially a rural area, with many of its residents commuting to Amsterdam, Schenectady and Albany for employment. Due to its location near the Great Sacandaga Lake, summer employment and extensive recreational opportunities are available. DATA Data Reference Tools Compiled by the Study, Analyzed by the Community Advisory Joint Committee, and Posted on the Website of Each School District as the Study Progressed since April 2011 DATA PLEASE NOTE THAT ALL OF THE DATA ANALYSIS TOOLS IN THIS DATA SECTION WERE ORIGINALLY POSTED ON THE WEBSITES OF EACH OF THE TWO SCHOOL DISTRICTS AS THE COMMUNITY ADVISORY COMMITTEE MEMBERS MET AND USED THEM TO HELP GUIDE THE STUDY. SOME OF THE TOOLS POSTED ON THE WEB CONTAINED TYPOGRAPHICAL CORRECTIONS AND SOME CLARIFICATION OF THE DATA HAS BEEN ADDED SINCE THE POSTING. THEREFORE, IN SOME INSTANCES THE DATA REFERENCE TOOLS COMPILED HERE ARE NOT EXACTLY THE SAME AS WHEN THEY WERE ORIGINALLY POSTED ON THE WEBSITES. THERE ARE NO SUBSTANTIVE DATA/INFORMATION CHANGES, HOWEVER, FROM THE ORIGINAL DATA TOOLS. Criteria Used by the Boards of Education to Appoint Community Advisory Committee Members -1- What Questions Should the Community Advisory Joint Committee and the Two District Reorganization Study Address/Answer? -2- Agendas of the Work Session Meetings of the Two Community Advisory Joint Committee -7- Pupil Enrollment Projection Calculations -24- Federal Census Bureau Demographic Characteristic Estimates for the Two School Districts -55- School District Financial Characteristics/Fiscal Condition Profiles -65- Pupil Capacity of Each School Building for Possible Use in a Reorganized School District -75- Summary Results of the 2010 Building Condition Surveys -98- 2010-2011 Grade Level Section Class Sizes -91- Elements of the Grade Pre-Kindergarten through Grade 6 Program in 2010-2011 -97- Elements of the Grade 7 through Grade 12 Program in 2010-2011 -102- 2010-2011 Program Elements: Interscholastic Athletics, Co-Curricular and Music/Drama -108- 2009-2010 Summary of Elementary School Assessment Results -113- 2009-2010 Middle/High School Assessment Results -117- DATA Labor Contract Profiles and Full Time Equivalent Cost Data -121- A ‘What if’ Picture of How the School District Buildings are used in a Reorganization of the Two School Districts into One -135- Preliminary Framework Plan for School Day Times, Transportation Times and Bus Run Resources -144- OPTION ONE and OPTION TWO: A ‘What if” Program/Staffing Picture and A ‘What if” Financial Picture of a Reorganization of the Two School Districts -150- APPENDIX “Questions and Answers” to Commonly Asked Questions about Timeline and Governance Topics Related to School District Reorganization -189- School District Reorganization Incentive Aid -191- Q and A about the Process with Regard to Personnel when a School District Reorganization Occurs through Reorganization -194- DATA Criteria used by the Boards to appoint Community Advisory Committee members from those who volunteered in each school district. GENERAL CHARACTERISTICS OF SUCCESSFUL COMMITTEE MEMBERS INCLUDE: • • • • • • • • • • • The ability to listen to all sides of an issue and to respect the opinions of others. Acknowledged by the community as one who represents a ‘constituency’ within the respective district. The ability and comfort to accurately convey ideas and information verbally to fellow community members. The ability to see a 'big picture' yet able to appreciate and understand details with a focus on the main mission of a school district which is to serve students effectively and with quality as defined by the community. Believes in transparency of the study work, data and process. Has the willingness and ability to commit the necessary time to attend all (most) meetings in a timely manner and to contribute to the work of the Committee and study. Has demonstrated a previous interest and involvement in some aspect of the school district and/or community. Is a resident of the respective school district. Is willing to be accessible to community members to help communicate about the work of the Committee and the study process. Understands the process of consensus and is willing to work with others to identify and then support a consensus recommendation. Understands and accepts that recommendations of the Committee are advisory in nature to the Boards of Education and to the communities of the districts. c.SES Study Team April 25, 2011 -1- DATA REORGANIZATION FEASIBILITY STUDY MAYFIELD AND NORTHVILLE CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICTS What questions should the Community Advisory Joint Committee and the Reorganization Study address/answer? COMPILED COLLABORATIVELY BY THE MEMBERS OF THE TWO BOARDS OF EDUCATION ON SEPTEMBER 27, 2010; AND BY THE COMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE AT THEIR APRIL 25, 2011 WORK MEETING MAY 2011 c.SES Study Team April 25, 2011 -2- DATA PLANNING FOR THE FUTURE: A COLLABORATIVE EFFORT BY THE BOARDS OF EDUCATION AND SUPERINTENDENTS OF THE MAYFIELD AND NORTHVILLE CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICTS September 27, 2010 PRIORITY RANK-ORDERED ANSWERS TO THE QUESTION: What are the key questions that our communities need to answer about a possible reorganization of Mayfield and Northville through a merger/consolidation? CATEGORY RANK ORDER PRIORITY Category: The Education Program 1 2 How could grade levels be organized and where? What could our students gain educationally immediately and over the first five years after reorganization? How could a merged district affect our ability to serve special needs pupils and enrichment pupils at the home school? What are the extracurricular opportunities for our pupils with a reorganized district? How would a reorganization of our two districts compare both financially and programmatically to a strong collaborative program of shared services between the two districts and/or with BOCES and/or with other neighboring districts? Is “bigger” necessarily better for students (ex. involvement in school, personal attention received)? What could class sizes look like Pre-K through grade 6? What programs will be available for students that are not now available? How compatible are the districts in terms of educational philosophy? What could a “consolidated” reorganized curriculum look like Pre-K through grade 12? What could be the name of the reorganized school district—what could be a process to decide? What instructional support services could be offered for a combined student body of 1600 Pre-K through grade 12? What will be the colors and the mascot of the reorganized district—what could be a process to decide? Category: Finance 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 7 7 8 CATEGORY RANK ORDER PRIORITY 1 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 c.SES Study Team April 25, 2011 How does a reorganized district manage from day one in preparation for when the incentive aid ends in 14 years? What is the current “condition” of each district’s budget (ex. debt, revenue, financial resources)? What is a five year outlook for such items as enrollment, revenue, and expenditure? Will two merged districts really enhance education cost-effectively (ex. what will the “budget” look like in a reorganized district)? What facilities currently in place or new facilities will be needed? What does the merger of personnel look like and how is it done? What really are the cost savings through reorganization and where are they? What might happen to bus runs and the length of time pupils are on the bus? -3- 5 6 7 8 9 DATA What might the tax rates be for the new district? What happens to existing personnel contracts? What might be the structure and costs of the administrative services of the new district? How do we know that the incentive money will really be there for 14 years? How could support services (ex. transportation, cafeteria, maintenance) be organized and where? CATEGORY RANK ORDER PRIORITY Category: Community and other 1 2 What are the strengths that the two schools bring to a potential new school district? How might a reorganization affect the current relationship with the Edinburg Common School District that tuitions its high school students; how might the reorganization affect the relationship among the communities? What is the timeline for what needs to be done if reorganization is approved by the communities? Will the ‘districts’ lose their histories and identities—how do we retain them as a new district? What strategies could be used to involve stakeholders in the process to consider reorganization? What are the shortcomings that each district now has that could be addressed with reorganization? Do we want to become one community? Will the smaller of the two districts lose its say, influence, and control over the delivered program to the students? What are the options for “reorganization” (consolidation, annexation)? How does a merged district retain/reinforce the loyalty and support of the individual communities and schools to the “new district”? What barriers to assimilation in becoming a new district might be anticipated with such stakeholders as students, community members, faculty, and support staff? How does the reorganized district encourage parent involvement? What have other districts experienced with reorganization? What happens if the communities choose not to reorganize? 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 c.SES Study Team April 25, 2011 -4- DATA RANK ORDER PRIORITY Top Ten Rank-Ordered Questions Out of the Forty Identified Question Category The Education Program 1 How could grade levels be organized and where? 2 How does a reorganized district manage from day one in preparation for when the incentive aid ends in 14 years? 3 What are the strengths that the two schools bring to a potential new school district? 4 What is the current “condition” of each district’s budget (ex. debt, revenue, financial resources)? Finance 5 What is a five year outlook for such items as enrollment, revenue, and expenditure? Finance 6 7 8 How could a merged district affect our ability to serve special needs pupils and enrichment pupils at the home school? Will two merged districts really enhance education costeffectively (ex. what will the “budget” look like in a reorganized district)? What are the extracurricular opportunities for our pupils with a reorganized district? How would a reorganization of our two districts compare both financially and programmatically to a strong collaborative program of shared services between the two districts and/or with BOCES and/or with other neighboring districts? Is “bigger” necessarily better for students (ex. involvement in school, personal attention received)? What does the merger of personnel look like and how is it done? What really are the cost savings through reorganization and where are they? What might happen to bus runs and the length of time pupils are on the bus? What might the tax rates be for the new district? How might a reorganization affect the current relationship with the Edinburg Common School District that tuitions its high school students; how might the reorganization affect the relationship among the communities? c.SES Study Team April 25, 2011 Finance Community The Education Program Finance The Education Program The Education Program The Education Program Finance Finance Finance Finance Community -5- DATA ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS IDENTIFIED BY THE COMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE OF THE MAYFIELD AND NORTHVILLE CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICTS ON APRIL 25 How might a merged school district influence the village businesses of Northville? What athletic class will a merged district compete in? How will the Advisory Joint Committee and the Boards communicate the data of the study? Are there differences in local graduation requirements now between the two schools? How might distance learning be affected with a merger? Currently, at the discretion of parents, some high school students are allowed to drive to school. With a merged district, are their driving safety issues? In the event that a merger process moves forward, what are some strategies to help students develop a new school ‘identity’ and a comfort level shedding the ‘old one’? c.SES Study Team April 25, 2011 -6- DATA REORGANIZATION FEASIBILITY STUDY MEETING OF THE MAYFIELD AND NORTHVILLE COMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE AGENDA MONDAY, APRIL 25, 2011 6:00 – 9:00 p.m. NORTHVILLE CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT LIBRARY “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future" c.SES Study Team April 25, 2011 -7- DATA REORGANIZATION FEASIBILITY STUDY COMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE AGENDA MONDAY, APRIL 25 2011 6:00 – 9:00 p.m. NORTHVILLE CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT LIBRARY (Community Advisory Committee Members, please sign in and pick up your nametag and folder at the front of the room.) Please set your cell phone to ‘vibrate’ before we begin. Thank you. A. (6:10) Welcome by a representative from each Board of Education and the Superintendents SES Study Team: B. (6:15) What is “School Reorganization” that is applicable to the two districts of the study? Centralization: A new district is created encompassing the entire area of the school districts to be merged. Centralization requires approval, by a majority vote, of the voters in each affected school district. Annexation: Ordered by the Commissioner, a neighboring district is dissolved and becomes part of the annexing district. Annexation to a central school district is subject to a referendum in each district. For there to be a referendum, a petition must be filed within 60 days and the referendum must pass in each district. The following are excerpts from a Guide to the Reorganization of School Districts in New York State. It is on-line at: http://www.p12.nysed.gov/mgtserv/sch_dist_org/GuideToReorganizationOfSchoolDistricts.htm CENTRALIZATION This form of reorganization has been the most common. The procedures for centralization provide that a new school district be created encompassing the entire area of the school districts to be merged. The new central district becomes operational only after the centralization order is approved by the qualified voters in each school district included in the centralization. If each district approves the order by a majority vote, the new district will begin operation on July 1, following the vote. If approval of the order is defeated in any district included in the proposed centralization, the new district is not created, and the question may not be voted upon again for one year. If the order is presented a second time, and is approved, the new district begins operation. If the order is defeated a second time — or if it is not brought to referendum within two years of the initial referendum — then the original order becomes null and void. Governance: The new district is governed by a board of education comprising five, seven or nine members. The new board is elected at a special meeting called by the Commissioner of Education after the new district is approved at referendum. The number of board members (5, 7 or 9) and their term of office (3, 4 or 5 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” -8- DATA years) may be voted upon at the same time as the referendum on establishing the district, or may be decided at a separate meeting. The boards of education of the districts included in the centralization continue their responsibilities until the new district begins operation and the business affairs of their former districts have been completed, usually August 1. C. (6:20) Purpose of the Study: “To determine if a centralization of the Mayfield and Northville Central School Districts would provide enhanced educational opportunities and at the same time increase efficiencies and lower costs for the overall operation by forming one centralized district.” The Study Process: Over a series of working meetings scheduled periodically through August, the Community Advisory Joint Committee with the help of the SES Study Team will review comprehensive sets of data about the two districts and identify possible opportunities and challenges regarding the reorganization of the school districts into one consolidated, merged school district. The Role of the Community Advisory Joint Committee: Each Board of Education has appointed 15 community volunteers to form the Community Advisory Committee for the district. The volunteers from each school district provide a wide representation of the community. The charge to the Committee volunteers is: 9 To listen to presentations and discussions and provide perspectives and feedback about the data and their analysis during the study process. 9 To advise the consultants on issues related to the study. 9 To help keep district residents informed with accurate information about the study. 9 To promote 3-way communication among school district officials and personnel, the citizens of the districts, and the SES Study Team consultants. The Boards of Education used the following criteria to appoint the volunteers: • • • • • • • • • • The ability to listen to all sides of an issue and to respect the opinions of others. Acknowledged by the community as one who represents a ‘constituency’ within the respective district. The ability and comfort to accurately convey ideas and information verbally to fellow community members. The ability to see a 'big picture' yet able to appreciate and understand details with a focus on the main mission of a school district which is to serve students effectively and with quality as defined by the community. Believes in transparency of the study work, data and process. Has the willingness and ability to commit the necessary time to attend all (most) meetings in a timely manner and to contribute to the work of the Committee and study. Has demonstrated a previous interest and involvement in some aspect of the school district and/or community. Is a resident of the respective school district or is a ‘resident’ business owner in the district. Is willing to be accessible to community members to help communicate about the work of the Committee and the study process. Understands the process of consensus and is willing to work with others to identify and then support a consensus recommendation. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” -9- DATA • Understands and accepts that recommendations of the Committee are advisory in nature to the Boards of Education and to the communities of the districts. The Boards of Education also have appointed each member to serve on one of three sub joint Committee. Each district has 5 Committee Members serving on each subcommittee. The three sub joint Committees are: The Educational Program Subcommittee; The Finance, Personnel, Governance, and Local Assurances/Guidelines Subcommittee; and the Functional Services/Operations Subcommittee. (red, yellow, blue dots) 9 THE EDUCATIONAL PROGRAM SUBCOMMITTEE: This committee focuses on such topics as the K-12 instructional program for children including academic core subjects; special areas and advanced placement and college courses; co-curricular and extracurricular offerings; online, distance learning, and other technologically based instruction; BOCES programming; use of the existing school buildings; and other related program topics they identify. 9 THE FINANCE, PERSONNEL, GOVERNANCE, AND LOCAL ASSURANCES AND GUIDELINES SUBCOMMITTEE: This committee focuses on many ‘what if’ topics that would result depending on the directions the communities take about reorganization. Topics include: personnel, property tax information, state aid revenues, and costs associated with various models of how the district might reorganize. Additionally, information relative to how the new district could be restructured; the makeup of the new school board; process for reorganization; and timeline information in order to help the joint Committee better understand the overall impact of a potential reorganization of the district are analyzed and reviewed. 9 THE FUNCTIONAL SERVICES/OPERATIONS SUBCOMMITTEE: This committee focuses on such topics as pupil transportation; food service/cafeteria program; building operations and maintenance functions; school business functions and other related topics they identify. The Role of The SES Study Team (Paul Seversky, Doug Exley, and Sam Shevat): To organize and lead the study process; research, collect and organize various sets of data about the two school districts; listen to citizens and school personnel; document various points of view and perceptions about the data collected and analyzed by the Community Advisory Joint Committee; help ensure public transparency of the work of the study and data compiled; develop and prepare the study document. The SES Study Team will take no formal position about what each district should do or not do with regard to reorganization. The Study Report in an unbiased fashion will identify opportunities and challenges that reorganization might provide the two districts. The Current Timeline for the Study: 9 April-July: scheduled meetings of the Community Advisory Joint Committee “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 10 - DATA August-September: crafting of the Study Report October: review of the Study Report by the State Education Department 9 November: public forum meetings in the two communities to present the Study and engage public discussion Potential Step After the Study is Completed: 9 Boards of Education decide if a straw vote in each community should be undertaken to determine the point of view of each community about reorganization of the two districts. D. Questions from the Community Advisory Committee Members at this juncture of tonight’s meeting? E. (7:00) Our first task together with the study: Attached is a list of questions that the two Boards of Education and the school district Superintendents identified at a joint planning session in preparation for this reorganization study. Are there are other questions not listed that the Community Advisory Joint Committee and the Study should explore? 9 9 F. (7:45) Time for a cup of coffee, tea or water. G. (8:00) BASELINE DATA: ENROLLMENT PROJECTION CALCULATIONS Opportunities and Challenges BASELINE DATA: CENSUS DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS OF BOTH SCHOOL DISTRICTS Think about Opportunities and Challenges for discussion at our next meeting (8:50) Meeting Two: Wednesday, May 11 6:00 to 9:00 pm at the Mayfield Central School District Meeting Three: Wednesday, June 1 6:00 to 9:00 pm at the Northville Central School District Some “House Keeping” for today’s meeting: 9 Please remember to sign-in for today’s meeting. 9 Please leave your name badge with us. We will bring them to the next meeting for you. 9 The large envelope folder is for you to keep and take home the materials from our meetings. Please bring the folder to each meeting because you may want to refer to various data in your work on the sub joint Committee. 9 If you need to contact Paul, Doug, or Sam, the email address [email protected] gets you to all three of us simultaneously. 9 If you are contacted personally by the media and are asked questions about how you feel about your involvement as a Community Advisory Committee Member, please share your thoughts as you believe is appropriate. If you are contacted personally by the media and are asked questions or opinions about the data the study is analyzing together with the Community Advisory Joint Committee, please refer all such questions to your home school superintendent, Paul, Doug or Sam. The review and analysis of the study data is a collaborative effort--with and by--all Advisory Members. The fruit of that effort will be a comprehensive study report which will publically be available in the fall. Thank you. Thank you for your time and help to your school district and community. Please drive home safely. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 11 - DATA REORGANIZATION FEASIBILITY STUDY MEETING OF THE MAYFIELD AND NORTHVILLE COMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE MEETING TWO AGENDA WEDNESDAY, May 11 6:00 – 9:00 p.m. MAYFIELD CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT (Community Advisory Committee Members, please sign in and pick up your nametag and folder at the front of the room.) Please set your cell phone to ‘vibrate’ before we begin. Thank you. Sub-joint Committee, please sit together in groups of three or four folks representing the four districts. ‘red dot’, Education Committee ‘yellow dot’, Finance/Personnel Committee ‘blue dot’, Functional Support Services and Operations Committee A. (6:00) Welcome to all members not present on April 25 9 Updated list of Advisory Committee Members. Please choose a “committee partner” as discussed at our first meeting. If one partner cannot attend a meeting, the other partner gets copies of all documents and information used at the meeting to give the absent partner at the next meeting. Thank you. B. (6:10) Compilation of questions developed by the Community Advisory Joint Committee on April 25 in addition to those questions identified by both Boards of Education “What questions should the Community Advisory Joint Committee and the Reorganization Study address/answer? a. Set of questions is a tool to make sure the study addresses the topics, and questions important to the Advisory Committee representatives. C. (6:20) Follow up from April 25 Meeting b. Data Reference: Enrollment Projection Calculations ◊ Observations: Opportunities and Challenges 9 Data Reference: Census Demographic Characteristics ◊ Observations: Opportunities and Challenges D. (6:40) Data review, discussion, and analysis (Observations: Opportunities and Challenges.) c. Data Reference: Map of the two districts and ‘bus travel’ distances between the buildings d. Data Reference: School Building Pupil Capacities 9 Data Reference: Current class sizes of elementary class sections and English “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 12 - DATA classes 7-12 E. (7:10) Data Reference: Profile of the Current Pre-Kindergarten through grade 6 elementary programs in the four school districts. 9 (7:10-7:30) Scan of data set by the Community Advisory Joint Committee; review in your sub joint Committee; list any opportunities and challenges you perceive. 9 (7:30-7:40) Time for a cup of coffee, tea or water. 9 (7:40-8:50) ◊ Clarifying questions asked of Staff Guests from the two school districts about the Pre-K through grade 6 program profile. ◊ Advisory Committee discussion with Staff Guests regarding possible answers to the questions: "What are specific ideas and examples about enhanced elementary program/learning opportunities that are possible for the pupils of the two districts if resources were available through reorganization?" How and why will these possible enhanced learning opportunities benefit the elementary children of the two-district region? ◊ Observations of the community advisory joint Committee: opportunities and challenges regarding the Pre-K through Grade 6 Elementary Program and school district reorganization. Staff Guest Resources for the Community Advisory Committee attending this meeting: MAYFILED Tara Caraco, Elementary Teacher Nick Criscone, Elementary Principal Paul Williamsen, Superintendent NORTHVILLE Lanie Groff, Elementary Teacher William Crankshaw, Elementary Principal Kathy Dougherty, Superintendent F. (8:50) Next meeting (three): Wed., June 1; 6:00 to 9:00 pm at Northville Central Meeting four: Monday, June 20; 6:00 to 9:00 pm at Mayfield Central School Some “House Keeping” for today’s meeting: 9 Please remember to sign-in for today’s meeting. 9 Please leave your name badge with us. We will bring them to the next meeting for you. 9 The large envelope folder is for you to keep and take home the materials from our meetings. Please bring the folder to each meeting because you may want to refer to various data in your work on the sub joint Committee. 9 If you need to contact Paul, Doug, or Sam, the email address [email protected] gets you to all three of us simultaneously. 9 If you are contacted personally by the media and are asked questions about how you feel about your involvement as a Community Advisory Committee Member, please share your thoughts as you believe is appropriate. If you are contacted personally by the media and are asked questions or opinions about the data the study is analyzing together with the Community Advisory Joint Committee, please refer all such questions to your home school superintendent, Paul, Doug or Sam. The review and analysis of the study data is a collaborative effort--with and by--all Advisory Members. The fruit of that effort will be a comprehensive study report which will publically be available in the fall. Thank you. Thank you for your time and help to your school district and community. Please drive home safely. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 13 - DATA REORGANIZATION FEASIBILITY STUDY MEETING OF THE MAYFIELD AND NORTHVILLE COMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE MEETING THREE AGENDA WEDNESDAY, June 1, 2011 6:00 – 9:00 p.m. NORTHVILLE CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT (Community Advisory Committee Members, please sign in and pick up your nametag and folder at the front of the room.) Please set your cell phone to ‘vibrate’ before we begin. Thank you. Sub-joint Committee, please sit together in groups of three or four folks representing the four districts. ‘red dot’, Education Committee ‘yellow dot’, Finance/Personnel Committee ‘blue dot’, Functional Support Services and Operations Committee A. (6:00) Data Reference: Profile of the Current Grades seven through grade 12 elementary secondary programs in the two school districts. Staff Guest Resources for the Community Advisory Committee attending this meeting: MAYFIELD Shelly Duffel, Secondary Teacher Robert Husain, Secondary Principal Cindy Farrell, Guidance Counselor Paul Williamsen, Superintendent NORTHVILLE Warren Hoffman, Secondary Teacher Michael Healey, Secondary Principal Karen Izzo, Guidance Counselor Kathy Dougherty, Superintendent (unable to attend because of a family commitment) 9 (6:10-6:25) Scan of data set by the Community Advisory Joint Committee; review in your subjoint Committee; list any opportunities and challenges you perceive. 9 (6:25-7:25) ◊ Clarifying questions asked of Staff Guests from the two school districts about the grades 7-12 program profile. ◊ Advisory Committee discussion with Staff Guests regarding possible answers to the questions: "What are specific ideas and examples about enhanced secondary program/learning opportunities that are possible for the pupils of the two districts if resources were available through reorganization?" How and why will these possible enhanced learning opportunities benefit the secondary pupils of the two-district region? 9 (7:25-7:35) Time for a cup of coffee, tea or water. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 14 - DATA o o (7:35-7:55) ◊ Observations of the three sub joint Committees: opportunities and challenges regarding the grades pre-K program and the 7-12 program and school district reorganization. (7:55-8:15) ◊ Collaborative listing of opportunities and challenges by both Community Advisory Joint Committee regarding the Pre-K through grade 12 program and reorganization of the two school districts into one. B. (8:15-8:50) Discussion and Analysis Tool: Draft Summary for the Initial Discussion of the Community Advisory Joint Committee about some possible “what if” ideas to use existing school buildings if the communities chose to reorganize the two districts into one. Between now and the next Community Advisory Community Joint Committee Meeting on Monday, June 20, please list your perceptions of the opportunities and challenges for each of the draft options to use the buildings in a reorganized district. The Discussion and Analysis Tool also contains blank worksheets to suggest refinements of the draft options and/or to suggest other options. C. (8:50) Meeting four: Monday, June 20; 6:00 to 9:00 pm at Mayfield Central School Meeting five: Wednesday, July 20; 6:00 to 9:00 at Northville Central School Some “House Keeping” for today’s meeting: 9 Please remember to sign-in for today’s meeting. 9 Please leave your name badge with us. We will bring them to the next meeting for you. 9 The large envelope folder is for you to keep and take home the materials from our meetings. Please bring the folder to each meeting because you may want to refer to various data in your work on the subjoint Committee. 9 If you need to contact Paul, Doug, or Sam, the email address [email protected] gets you to all three of us simultaneously. 9 If you are contacted personally by the media and are asked questions about how you feel about your involvement as a Community Advisory Committee Member, please share your thoughts as you believe is appropriate. If you are contacted personally by the media and are asked questions or opinions about the data the study is analyzing together with the Community Advisory Joint Committee, please refer all such questions to your home school superintendent, Paul, Doug or Sam. The review and analysis of the study data is a collaborative effort--with and by--all Advisory Members. The fruit of that effort will be a comprehensive study report which will publically be available in the fall. Thank you. Thank you for your time and help to your school district and community. Please drive home safely. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 15 - DATA REORGANIZATION FEASIBILITY STUDY MEETING OF THE MAYFIELD AND NORTHVILLE COMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE MEETING FIVE AGENDA WEDNESDAY, July 20, 2011 6:00 – 9:00 p.m. NORTHVILLE CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT (Community Advisory Committee Members, please sign in and pick up your nametag and folder at the front of the room.) Please set your cell phone to ‘vibrate’ before we begin. Thank you. Sub-joint Committee: ‘red dot’, Education Committee ‘yellow dot’, Finance/Personnel Committee ‘blue dot’, Functional Support Services and Operations Committee A. (6:00-7:00) Data References: ◊ Q and A about staff/employment topics related to a reorganization of school districts ◊ Summary of the major elements of the instructional and instructional support contracts currently in place in the two districts. ◊ Summary of staff turnover in the two school districts since 2007-2008. ◊ Summary of the total 2010-2011 cost per FTE for the various categories of staff employed by the school district. B. (7:00-7:30) Data Tool: Reorganization Incentive Aid (7:30-7:40) Time for a cup of coffee or water. C. (7:40-8:50) “What if” ideas to use existing school buildings if the communities chose to reorganize the two districts into one given the enrollment projections over the next five years, and the pupil capacities currently available in the school buildings. Tool: Ideas to Use Existing School Buildings if a Reorganization Occurs ◊ Meet in your subcommittees to discuss and analyze the various ideas the joint Committee identified at the last meeting about how to deliver the program in the facilities available in both school districts. Focus on identifying opportunities and challenges for each scenario. ◊ Next meet by school district committee to share the perceptions of what the joint Committee discussed and saw as opportunities and challenges. ◊ Come together as one committee of the whole to identify a rank-ordering of ideas D. (8:50) Meeting six: Wednesday, August 10; 6:00 to 9:00 at Mayfield Central School Elementary Building---‘WANDERING TOUR’ STARTING AT 5:30 Topics for future meetings: athletics and extracurricular offerings, financials “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 16 - DATA Some “House Keeping” for today’s meeting: 9 Please remember to sign-in for today’s meeting. 9 Please leave your name badge with us. We will bring them to the next meeting for you. 9 The large envelope folder is for you to keep and take home the materials from our meetings. Please bring the folder to each meeting because you may want to refer to various data in your work on the joint Committee. 9 If you need to contact Paul, Doug, or Sam, the email address [email protected] gets you to all three of us simultaneously. 9 If you are contacted personally by the media and are asked questions about how you feel about your involvement as a Community Advisory Committee Member, please share your thoughts as you believe is appropriate. If you are contacted personally by the media and are asked questions or opinions about the data the study is analyzing together with the Community Advisory Joint Committee, please refer all such questions to your home school superintendent, Paul, Doug or Sam. The review and analysis of the study data is a collaborative effort--with and by--all Advisory Members. The fruit of that effort will be a comprehensive study report which will publicly be available in the fall. Thank you. Thank you for your time and help to your school district and community. Please drive home safely. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 17 - DATA REORGANIZATION FEASIBILITY STUDY MEETING OF THE MAYFIELD AND NORTHVILLE COMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE MEETING SIX AGENDA WEDNESDAY, August 10, 2011 6:00 – 9:00 p.m. MAYFIELD CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT HIGH SCHOOL LIBRARY (Community Advisory Committee Members, please sign in and pick up your nametag and folder at the front of the room.) Please set your cell phone to ‘vibrate’ before we begin. Thank you. Sub-joint Committees, please sit together in your groups: ‘red dot’, Education Committee ‘yellow dot’, Finance/Personnel Committee ‘blue dot’, Functional Support Services and Operations Committee A. (6:00) Grade configurations and use of the buildings to deliver the program in a reorganized district---discussion with the two superintendents and elementary/secondary principals. 9 Data Tool: Perceptions of the Two District Leadership Teams of the Opportunities and Challenges of the Two Scenarios to Deliver the Pre-K through Grade 12 Program in the Current School Buildings: Scenario: Pre-K through grade 5 in Mayfield and Northville; 9-12 in Mayfield; 6-8 in Northville Scenario: Pre-K through grade 6 in Mayfield and Northville: 9-12 in Mayfield; 7-8 in Northville Community Advisory Joint Committee and Leadership Teams: Of the two prime scenarios for housing students in a possible reorganization, do you think the communities would be supportive of both scenarios? Why or Why not? Which scenario should the study report as the ‘prime’ scenario? B. (6:35-7:45) Panel Discussion of Interscholastic Athletics and Co-Curricular Activities ◊ ◊ In your groups, discuss your clarifying questions you need to ask the guest presenters Discuss what you see as opportunities and challenges of these programs if the two districts were to reorganize “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 18 - DATA ◊ Panel Discussion: Athletic Directors, Secondary Principals and Superintendents (7:45-7:55) Time for a cup of coffee or water. C. (7:55-8:25) Large Group Discussion: Now that you have heard from elementary, secondary, and athletics/co-curricular, please share what you believe could be program enhancements if the two districts were to reorganize? Then, please share what you see as challenges to a reorganization of the two districts. D. (8:30-8:55) Large Group Discussion: Review of K-12 district assessment data. (This test data is from the 2009-2010 school year. The final report of this study will include the 2010-2011 test data, which is currently being released.) Topics for future meetings: Financials, tax information, functional services, transition issues: school name, colors, mascot Some “House Keeping” for today’s meeting: 9 Please remember to sign-in for today’s meeting. 9 Please leave your name badge with us. We will bring them to the next meeting for you. 9 The large envelope folder is for you to keep and take home the materials from our meetings. Please bring the folder to each meeting because you may want to refer to various data in your work on the subjoint Committee. 9 If you need to contact Paul, Doug, or Sam, the email address [email protected] gets you to all three of us simultaneously. 9 If you are contacted personally by the media and are asked questions about how you feel about your involvement as a Community Advisory Committee Member, please share your thoughts as you believe is appropriate. If you are contacted personally by the media and are asked questions or opinions about the data the study is analyzing together with the Community Advisory Joint Committee, please refer all such questions to your home school superintendent, Paul, Doug or Sam. The review and analysis of the study data is a collaborative effort--with and by--all Advisory Members. The fruit of that effort will be a comprehensive study report which will publicly be available in the fall. Thank you. Thank you for your time and help to your school district and community. Please drive home safely. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 19 - DATA REORGANIZATION FEASIBILITY STUDY MEETING OF THE MAYFIELD AND NORTHVILLE COMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE MEETING SEVEN AGENDA WEDNESDAY, October 12, 2011 6:00 – 9:00 p.m. NORTHVILLE CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT HIGH SCHOOL LIBRARY 5:30 TO 6:00 ‘WANDERING TOUR OF THE NORTHFIELD JR./SR. HIGH FOR THOSE WHO CAN ARRIVE EARLY’ (Community Advisory Committee Members, please sign in and pick up your nametag and folder at the front of the room.) Please set your cell phone to ‘vibrate’ before we begin. Thank you. Sub-joint Committees, please sit together in your groups: ‘red dot’, Education Committee ‘yellow dot’, Finance/Personnel Committee ‘blue dot’, Functional Support Services and Operations Committee A. (6:00-6:15) Data Reference; September Athletic/Co-Curricular Tool Updated B. (6:15-7:00) Data Set: Current “Financial Health” profile of each school district C. (7:00-7:15) Data Set: Summary of the Most Recent Building Condition Surveys D. (7:15-7:45) Presentation and discussion of the first draft of A ‘What if’ Program/Staffing Picture of a Reorganization of the Two School Districts into One E. (7:45-8:30) Ideas/advice as to how the study should report other various elements related to the reorganization of the two school districts into one. In the subjoint Committee, please discuss the following: (Take time for a cup of coffee, tea or water as you need to.) 9 Governance: How many board members should there be on the new district’s Board of Education? What should be the term of office? What personal and professional characteristics would you want to see in the members serving on the new Board of Education? (Tool: Q and A from the June 20 meeting) 9 Ed Law 1801(2) states that the Commissioner of Education designates the name of a newly centralized district in the centralization order. Subject to the commissioner’s approval, school boards of new or reorganized central school districts may select a different name by filing a written request for a name change with the commissioner no later than 14 days before the centralization order is to become effective. (Ed Law 315). What might be “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 20 - DATA an appropriate process to select a new district name to recommend to the commissioner? 9 What might be an appropriate process to choose school colors and mascot for the reorganized school district? 8:30 Report out of the ideas/advice to the SES Study Team from the subjoint Committee. F. Next Meeting: Wednesday, November 2 at Mayfield library; 6:00 to 9:00 PM ◊ BOCES services and sharing; Guest: Pat Michel, District Superintendent of the HFM BOCES ◊ A ‘What if’ Picture of How the Program is Delivered and How the School Buildings are used in a Reorganization of the Two School Districts into One (including school day times, transportation times, and bus runs) ◊ A ‘What if’ Financial Picture of a Reorganization of the Two School Districts into One ◊ Review of study timeline and the timeline for possible decision-making action by the Boards of Education and the communities they serve. Some “House Keeping” for today’s meeting: 9 Please remember to sign-in for today’s meeting. 9 Please leave your name badge with us. We will bring them to the next meeting for you. 9 The large envelope folder is for you to keep and take home the materials from our meetings. Please bring the folder to each meeting because you may want to refer to various data in your work on the subjoint Committee. 9 If you need to contact Paul, Doug, or Sam, the email address [email protected] gets you to all three of us simultaneously. 9 If you are contacted personally by the media and are asked questions about how you feel about your involvement as a Community Advisory Committee Member, please share your thoughts as you believe is appropriate. If you are contacted personally by the media and are asked questions or opinions about the data the study is analyzing together with the Community Advisory Joint Committee, please refer all such questions to your home school superintendent, Paul, Doug or Sam. The review and analysis of the study data is a collaborative effort--with and by--all Advisory Members. The fruit of that effort will be a comprehensive study report which will publicly be available in the fall. Thank you. Thank you for your time and help to your school district and community. Please drive home safely. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 21 - DATA REORGANIZATION FEASIBILITY STUDY MEETING OF THE MAYFIELD AND NORTHVILLE COMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE MEETING EIGHT AGENDA WEDNESDAY, November 2, 2011 6:00 – 9:00 p.m. MAYFIELD CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT HIGH SCHOOL LIBRARY SECOND FLOOR (Community Advisory Committee Members, please sign in and pick up your nametag and folder at the front of the room.) Please set your cell phone to ‘vibrate’ before we begin. Thank you. Sub-joint Committees, please sit together in your groups: ‘red dot’, Education Committee ‘yellow dot’, Finance/Personnel Committee ‘blue dot’, Functional Support Services and Operations Committee A. (6:00-6:40) Guest: Pat Michel, District Superintendent of the HFM BOCES; regional shared services through the BOCES collaborative and perspective for regional collaboration if a reorganization of the two districts occurred. ◊ Data Reference: Background about BOCES and Current Services Purchased by the Two Districts through the BOCES B. (6:40-9:00) Please meet in your subcommittee groups. Please review and discuss the following three documents. Start with A ‘What if’ Program/Staffing Picture of a Reorganization of the Two School Districts into One. Then, move to A ‘What if’ Picture of How the Program is Delivered and How the School Buildings are Used in a Reorganization of the Two School Districts into One. Finally, turn your attention to A ‘What if’ Financial Picture of a Reorganization of the Two School Districts into One. Please remember that the three documents each present a framework to implement the overall student program in existing facilities in a financially prudent and responsible manner. The overriding focus at this stage is to make sure there is enough estimated resource in total to deliver a quality, comprehensive program by a reorganized school district in a defendable, responsible and financially prudent manner. For example, the pupil transportation framework has additional bus runs to help ensure the goal of having bus rides not exceed 1 hour. Another example is the program framework has additional instructional FTE’s to offer enhancements like more Pre-K, driver education, foreign language K-12, a business program, and more college/advanced placement courses. In the end how the estimated resources are used is up to the new district. The ‘what if’ financial plan, though, “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 22 - DATA gives a scenario of the financials related to providing the resources in total regardless as to how they might be actually used for program delivery if there was a reorganization. The specific assignment of each type of professional and instructional support resource is a program development task that is addressed if the reorganization process gets to the implementation stage. C. Review of study timeline and the timeline for possible decision-making action by the Boards of Education and the communities they serve. Next Step for the Study Team: Based on what we have learned with the Community Advisory Joint Committee since April, the Study Team will draft a study report. In mid-December, we will invite all of the Community Advisory Committee members to a meeting to review the draft report of the study. We will let you know by email when the meeting is scheduled. At the same time, the study is sent to the State Education Department for their review which will take about three weeks. The draft study is not a public document as directed by the SED. After review and approval by the State Education Department of the study, the Study Team will host a community forum meeting in each of the four school districts to present the study and its findings. After the community forum presentations, the Boards of Education will deliberate to decide if reorganization of the four school districts should be presented to each respective community for a ‘straw vote’. Some “House Keeping” for today’s meeting: 9 Please remember to sign-in for today’s meeting. 9 Please leave your name badge with us. We will bring them to the next meeting for you. 9 The large envelope folder is for you to keep and take home the materials from our meetings. Please bring the folder to each meeting because you may want to refer to various data in your work on the subjoint Committee. 9 If you need to contact Paul, Doug, or Sam, the email address [email protected] gets you to all three of us simultaneously. 9 If you are contacted personally by the media and are asked questions about how you feel about your involvement as a Community Advisory Committee Member, please share your thoughts as you believe is appropriate. If you are contacted personally by the media and are asked questions or opinions about the data the study is analyzing together with the Community Advisory Joint Committee, please refer all such questions to your home school superintendent, Paul, Doug or Sam. The review and analysis of the study data is a collaborative effort--with and by--all Advisory Members. The fruit of that effort will be a comprehensive study report which will publicly be available in the fall. Thank you. Thank you for your time and help to your school district and community. Please drive home safely. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 23 - DATA DATA FOR DISCUSSION BY THE COMMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE: ENROLLMENT PROJECTION CALCULATIONS 2011-2020 MAYFIELD CS NORTHVILLE CS April 2011 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 24 - DATA Copyright 2011 As to Original Text, Format, and Methodology. All Rights Reserved. Authorized in perpetuity for the exclusive use for planning by the Mayfield and Northville Boards of Education, their Superintendents and by all government agencies to which the districts provide the study. SES Study Team “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 25 - DATA TABLE OF CONTENTS Purpose of the Enrollment Projection Calculations Variables that May Suggest Adjustments to the Calculated Baseline Enrollment Projections Basic Assumption Guiding the Projection Calculations Methodology to Project Baseline Enrollment Forecasts Findings of the Enrollment Projection Calculations Limitations of the Calculations Study Data A. Historical Perspective of Annual Enrollments B. Historical Perspective of Annual Live Births in Fulton County and in the Enrollment Areas Of the Two School Districts C. Historical Perspective of the Trend Patterns of the Live Births in Fulton County, the “Catchment Area Towns” of Each District, and Within the Attendance Area of Each School District D. Historical Perspective of the Relationship Between Annual Live Births and Kindergarten Enrollments in Each District E. Kindergarten Enrollment Forecasts F. Baseline K-12 Enrollment Projections for the Two School Districts G. Summary of Enrollment Projection Data Calculations As they Apply to a Reorganization of the Two Districts Into One K-12 School District Attachment 1: Enrollment Projection Calculations Figures, Tables and Charts “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 26 - DATA PURPOSE AND USE OF THE ENROLLMENT PROJECTION CALCULATIONS DATA This demographic/enrollment projection calculations study provides historical and current enrollment data and suggests enrollment projection scenarios based on the trending of patterns of historical data. A cohort survival statistic methodology is used. The calculations provide present and projected pupil enrollments based on different assumptions about the future. The study enables the school districts to comply with Commissioner’s Regulation Section 155.1. The Regulation requires long-range planning of program requirements, pupil capacity of existing facilities, and a plan for repair or modernization of facilities and/or provision for additional facilities to support the delivery of program. The Regulation outlines that planning for grades K-6 should be done with a five year view of future enrollments and a ten year view of future enrollments for grades 7-12. The enrollment estimates are projections and not predictions. All enrollment projections for years further in the future (plus five years) have inherent uncertainties because the assumptions on which they are based can be affected by changes in human behavior, by the economy, or by other events. The projections do offer a starting point for analyzing and understanding the elements of future school district demographic change. The enrollment projection study calculations combined with the values, intuition, and vision of school district officials and their communities can frame planning discussions as the school districts project their facilities, staffing and program needs into the future. VARIABLES THAT INFLUENCE FUTURE SCHOOL DISTRICT ENROLLMENTS The six sources of current and projected school district enrollment are: • • • • • • live births within the school district and their eventual kindergarten enrollment in the district; new household population with children who move to the district; new population who move to the district who are at child-bearing age and plan to begin a family; enrollment of students from non-public schools or from home schooling settings; school program and academic intervention changes that may increase the success of the school district in keeping existing enrollment as long as possible to culminate in high school graduation; a change by other public schools, if any, who tuition students to attend the school districts. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 27 - DATA BASIC ASSUMPTION GUIDING THE PROJECTION CALCULATIONS When using the Cohort Survival Statistic to project future enrollments, it is assumed that the following variables will continue in the future in a similar manner as they have since 2005 unless data are identified to the contrary the death rate of children 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. the live birth rate migration of students both into and out of the district grade retention patterns residential construction and housing market increase or decrease of local employment opportunities dropout rate graduation rate private school enrollments number of non-residents enrolled on a tuition basis If there are data to suggest that one or more of the variables listed above will not continue into the near future of the next five years in the same historical pattern, then the base Cohort Survival Statistic results are modified to estimate the potential impact the variable(s) may have on future school district enrollments. As of April 2011, there are no substantial data to suggest the expectation of significant new population sparked by a growing job market to the enrollment area of the two school districts, and/or a significant increase of new residential construction that could attract households with school-age children over the next five years. Also, the death rate of children, the rate of private school enrollments, and the few numbers of non-resident tuitioned enrollments are not expected to change significantly over the next five years. School program and academic intervention changes that may increase the success of the school districts in keeping existing enrollment as long as possible to culminate in high school graduation may be a variable that might influence future enrollments and should be analyzed if significant educational program opportunities are added and/or if academic support-intervention services are changed systemically. The variable of live births is integral to the methodology used to estimate future kindergarten enrollments. The enrollment projection calculations are baseline projections in that they analyze two of the six variables that may influence future enrollments: historic live birth patterns, and historic grade-level enrollments. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 28 - DATA METHODOLOGY TO PROJECT BASELINE ENROLLMENT FORECASTS Compilation of Data The study collects the following data to execute the cohort survival statistic to project baseline future enrollments of each school district: • • • Student enrollments by grade level from 2005-2006 through 2010-2011 are compiled from data provided by district personnel. All enrolled children including special needs students, temporarily home-bound pupils, and non-resident tuitioned pupils regardless of instructional program are included in the calculations. Annual kindergarten class enrollments are compared to the total school district enrollment area live births five years earlier. Live birth numbers in the school district since 2002 as reported by the NYS Department of Health are analyzed. Application of the Baseline Cohort Survival Statistic The cohort survival statistic identifies a ‘percentage of survival’ ratio that describes the relationship of a grade level enrollment in a given year compared to the grade enrollment in the next lower grade from the previous year. If a ratio falls below 1.0, the ratio signifies that the enrollment of students in a grade level decreased or did not ‘survive’ enrollment into the next grade level of the next year. If a ratio rises above 1.0, the ratio then signifies new enrollment has moved to the district or a significant change in grade-tograde promotion policy. Calculating the survival ratios from 2005-2006 through 2010-2011 for each of the grade enrollments provides the basis for a set of average grade-to-grade survival ratios that can be used to estimate future baseline grade enrollments in the Mayfield and Northville school districts. Limitations of the Calculations Study Future enrollments are positively affected by: • • • • • • Added births in the district and the resulting added kindergarten enrollments. The reductions in private school/home school/charter school enrollments The increase in the enrollment retention of students through grade 12 as completers of a diploma program. A robust employment market that can attract new residents with children and/or who are at childbearing age. A robust housing market that can attract new residents with children and/ or who are at childbearing age. Increased enrollment of tuitioned students from other school districts. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 29 - DATA Similarly, future enrollment projections can be negatively affected by the antitheses of the same variables. Therefore, the enrollment projection estimates should be revisited and updated yearly if there are any major changes in: the assumptions that base the methodology of this study; the annual live birth data for the district; major shifts in the housing market and employment market opportunities from what has been expected; changes in the educational program offered; and/or changes in the non-public school, charter school, or out of school district enrollments by residents of the school districts; or major immediate changes to the numbers of pupils tuitioned from other school districts. The Enrollment Projection Calculations provide sets of estimates about future K-12 enrollments ranging from ‘low’ to ‘high’ based on defined assumptions and historical patterns of population and enrollment data. It is suggested that the Boards of Education, the school district leadership team and the respective communities discuss the projection scenarios and come to consensus about what the school district and the community believe about the local future—will the “glass be filled, half filled or half empty?” with regard to such items as increased numbers of pupils completing graduation, new residential construction, the existing residential market, new population to the district, and increased jobs within commuting distance of the district. A. HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE OF ANNUAL ENROLLMENTS 9 Grades K-12, K-6, and 7-12: DATA SNAPSHOT District: Net Change of 2005 Six-Year Average and 2010 enrollments Enrollment K-12: K-12: -118; -10.8% 1020 Mayfield -74; -13.2% 510 Northville District: Net Change of 2005 and 2010 enrollments K-6: -22; -4.3% -32; -13.3% Mayfield Northville 9 Grade Kindergarten: District: Mayfield Northville Six Year Median Enrollment K-12: 1015 506 Net Change of 2005 and 2010 enrollments 7-12: -96; -16.8% -42; 13.1% Net Change of 2005 and 2010 Kindergarten Enrollments: +17; +26.5% -5; -20% “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 30 - DATA CHART ONE: MAYFIELD CS HISTORICAL K-12 ENROLLMENT 2005-2010 ENROLLM ENT y = -24.086x + 1104.5 1088 05-06 1052 1035 06-07 07-08 995 981 970 08-09 09-10 10-11 470 489 488 08-09 09-10 10-11 YEAR CHART ONE: NORTHVILLE CS HISTORICAL K-12 ENROLLMENT 2005-2010 E N R O L LM E N T y = -15.486x + 564.2 562 529 522 05-06 06-07 07-08 YEAR “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 31 - DATA 571 549 517 503 547 523 488 487 y = -4.9714x + 511.07 495 494 475 472 K-6 ENROLLM ENT 600 575 550 525 500 475 450 425 400 375 350 325 300 275 250 225 200 175 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 CHART TWO: MAYFIELD CS HISTORICAL K-6, 7-12 ENROLLMENT 2005-2010 7-12 y = -19.114x + 593.4 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 ENROLLMENT YEAR 600 575 550 525 500 475 450 425 400 375 350 325 300 275 250 225 200 175 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 CHART TWO: NORTHVILLE CS HISTORICAL K-6, 7-12 ENROLLMENT 2005-2010 y = -5.4286x + 231.33 K-6 321 316 313 281 276 241 213 209 208 279 209 7-12 194 y = -10.057x + 332.87 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 YEAR “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 32 - DATA FIGURE FIVE: MAYFIELD KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENT 2005-2010 y = 3.1429x + 55 100 95 90 85 81 80 75 75 70 ENROLLMENT 65 64 66 60 56 54 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 YEAR FIGURE FIVE: NORTHVILLE KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENT 2005-2010 y = 2.2857x + 21.667 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 ENROLLMENT 65 60 55 50 45 41 40 35 30 25 31 25 30 29 22 20 15 10 5 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 YEAR “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 33 - DATA B. HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE OF ANNUAL LIVE BIRTHS IN FULTON COUNTY AND IN THE ENROLLMENT AREAS OF EACH OF THE TWO SCHOOL DISTRICTS DATA SNAPSHOT Live Births Net Change from 2002 through 2009 -36; -6.1% Fulton County District Enrollment Area: Mayfield Northville +6; +13.6% -7; -21.2% FIGURE ONE: FULTON COUNTY LIVE BIRTHS 2002-2009 700 690 680 670 660 y = 2.6786x + 569.82 650 640 632 LIVE BIRTHS 630 620 610 600 599 592 590 605 582 580 570 560 556 549 550 540 540 530 520 510 500 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 YEAR “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 34 - DATA LIVE BIRTHS FIGURE TWO: LIVE BIRTHS IN THE MAYFIELD SCHOOL DISTRICT ENROLLMENT AREA 2002-2009 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 y = 0.119x + 51.964 60 57 Will the pattern of the last eight years of live births in the district continue over the next five years? 59 50 48 52 50 44 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YEAR LIVE BIRTHS FIGURE TWO: LIVE BIRTHS IN THE NORTHVILLE SCHOOL DISTRICT ENROLLMENT AREA 2002-2009 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Will the pattern of the last eight years of live births in the district continue over the next five years? y = -0.75x + 33 36 33 33 31 28 29 26 21 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YEAR “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 35 - DATA C. HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE OF THE TREND PATTERNS OF THE LIVE BIRTHS IN FULTON COUNTY, THE ‘CATCHMENT AREA TOWNS’ OF EACH DISTRICT, AND WITHIN THE ATTENDANCE AREA OF EACH SCHOOL DISTRICT Fulton County Pattern slope: +2.68 “Catchment Area of the Towns” where the district is located. School district enrollment area Mayfield Northville Slope: -1.14 Slope: +1.26 Slope: +.119 Slope: -.75 BIRTHS FIGURE THREE: MAYFIELD ENROLLMENT AREA, CATCHMENT AREA, AND FULTON COUNTY BIRTH TRENDS 2002-2009 700 675 650 625 600 575 550 525 500 475 450 425 400 375 350 325 300 275 250 225 200 175 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 y = 2.6786x + 569.82 y = -1.1429x + 144.39 y = 0.119x + 51.964 2002 2003 2004 2005 FULTON COUNTY 2006 DISTRICT 2007 2008 2009 CATCHMENT AREA “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 36 - DATA BIRTHS FIGURE THREE: NORTHVILLE ENROLLMENT AREA, CATCHMENT AREA, AND FULTON COUNTY BIRTH TRENDS 2002-2009 700 675 650 625 600 575 550 525 500 475 450 425 400 375 350 325 300 275 250 225 200 175 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 y = 2.6786x + 569.82 y = 1.2619x + 107.07 y = -0.75x + 33 2002 2003 2004 2005 FULTON COUNTY D. 2006 DISTRICT 2007 2008 2009 CATCHMENT AREA HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ANNUAL LIVE BIRTHS AND KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENTS IN EACH DISTRICT District: Mayfield Northville DATA SNAPSHOT Pattern of total live births from 2002-2005 and total kindergarten enrollments five years later 20072010 (K enroll divided by live births in district 5 years earlier): 266/209; 1.27 (127%) 131/128; 1.02 (102%) Median result of yearly comparisons of kindergarten enrollments and births five years earlier: Ratio of 1.34 (134%) Ratio of 1.00 (100%) “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 37 - DATA TABLE 3 RATIOS OF KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENTS (2007-2010) OF THE MAYFIELD SCHOOL DISTRICT AND LIVE BIRTHS FIVE YEARS EARLIER (2002-2005) IN THE ENROLLMENT AREA OF THE DISTRICT COMPARISON YEARS 2007 2008 2009 2010 K K K K STUDENTS STUDENTS STUDENTS STUDENTS TO TO TO TO 2002 2003 2004 2005 BIRTHS BIRTHS BIRTHS BIRTHS K ENROLL LIVE BIRTHS ENROLLMENT AREA KIND/ BIRTHS RATIO 56 54 75 81 44 60 48 57 1.272727 0.9 1.5625 1.421053 HISTORICAL LIVE BIRTH RATIOS 2007-2010 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 2007 2008 2009 2010 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 38 - DATA FIGURE SIX: PATTERN OF KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENT AND THE PATTERN OF LIVE BIRTHS FIVE YEARS EARLIER IN THE MAYFIELD SCHOOL DISTRICT W ILL THE RATIO BETWEEN K ENROLLMENT AND LIVE BIRTHS FIVE YEARS EARLIER CONTINUE INTO THE FUTURE? WHAT FACTORS MIGHT INFLUENCE THE RATIO? 100 95 90 85 NUMBER OF BIRTHS AND PUPILS 80 75 81 74 75 73 69 70 66 65 66 64 60 60 56 57 54 55 59 50 48 50 52 50 44 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENT YEAR KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENT LIVE BIRTHS FIVE YEARS EARLIER TABLE 3 RATIOS OF KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENTS (2007-2010) OF THE NORTHVILLE SCHOOL DISTRICT AND LIVE BIRTHS FIVE YEARS EARLIER (2002-2005) IN THE ENROLLMENT AREA OF THE DISTRICT COMPARISON YEARS 2007 2008 2009 2010 K K K K STUDENTS STUDENTS STUDENTS STUDENTS TO TO TO TO 2002 2003 2004 2005 BIRTHS BIRTHS BIRTHS BIRTHS K ENROLL LIVE BIRTHS ENROLLMENT AREA 31 29 41 30 33 28 36 31 KIND/ BIRTHS RATIO 0.939394 1.035714 1.138889 0.967742 HISTORICAL LIVE BIRTH RATIOS 2007-2010 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 2007 2008 2009 2010 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 39 - DATA FIGURE SIX: PATTERN OF KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENT AND THE PATTERN OF LIVE BIRTHS FIVE YEARS EARLIER IN THE NORTHVILLE SCHOOL DISTRICT W ILL THE RATIO BETWEEN K 100 ENROLLMENT AND LIVE BIRTHS FIVE YEARS EARLIER CONTINUE INTO THE FUTURE? WHAT FACTORS MIGHT INFLUENCE THE RATIO? 95 90 85 NUMBER OF BIRTHS AND PUPILS 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 41 39 40 37 33 31 35 30 28 27 25 25 36 33 30 31 2928 22 29 26 21 20 15 10 5 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENT YEAR KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENT LIVE BIRTHS FIVE YEARS EARLIER E. KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENT FORECASTS Estimating future kindergarten enrollments is the most speculative aspect of projecting K-12 enrollments. However, analyzing historical annual kindergarten enrollments in concert with historical annual live birth data and patterns do reveal a set of defendable estimates of future kindergarten enrollments. These estimated future kindergarten enrollments then can be included in the base cohort survival statistic application to project future K-12 enrollments. Historical kindergarten enrollments of the two school districts and historical live birth data are analyzed three ways. The three analyses form the basis for three kindergarten enrollment forecasts for each school district. The three kindergarten forecasts are used to develop Low, Mid, and a High K-12 enrollment projection calculations for the Mayfield and Northville school districts. The nomenclature of low, mid, and high is determined by the estimated total K-6 enrollment five years from now consistent with the planning guidelines in NYS Commissioner’s Regulation 155.1. The methodology and the assumptions that underscore the three estimated kindergarten enrollment projections for each district are illustrated in the Figures, Tables, and Charts Attachment. Forecasted Mayfield Northville “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 40 - DATA Kindergarten Enrollment Estimate Current 2010 Kindergarten Enrollment 2011 ‘low range’ ‘mid range’ ‘high range’ 2012 ‘low range’ ‘mid range’ ‘high range’ 2013 ‘low range’ ‘mid range’ ‘high range’ 2014 ‘low range’ ‘mid range’ ‘high range’ 2015 ‘low range’ ‘mid range’ ‘high range’ 81 30 75 79 76 21 21 31 64 67 79 33 34 31 66 70 83 29 30 31 66 70 87 26 27 31 69 71 91 25 27 32 The 2011, 2012, 2013, and 2014 projected kindergarten enrollments are based on published actual historical live births in the district respectively for the years 2006, 2007, 2008 and 2009. The future kindergarten enrollment estimates for 2015 are based on mathematical theoretical live birth patterns because the actual live birth counts for the year 2010 are unknown at this time. F. BASELINE K-12 ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS FOR THE TWO SCHOOL DISTRICTS Tables 7A, B, and C in the Figures, Tables, Charts Attachment present Low, Mid, and High range K-12 enrollment projections calculated using forecasted future kindergarten enrollments and the cohort survival statistic. Each calculation is based on historical K-12 enrollments as reported by the school district for each of the school years 2005-2006 through 2010-2011. The historical enrollment data are used to calculate ‘percentage of survival’ ratios for each grade level K-12. The ratios quantify the rate of change in number of students in a particular grade level compared to the number of students in the next higher grade level in the following year. The ‘survival ratios’ are averaged for each grade level from 2005-2006 through 2010-2011. The six-year average ratios for each grade level are used to calculate estimated future grade 1-12 enrollments through 2020-21. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 41 - DATA DATA SNAPSHOT MAYFIELD CS Year Grades K-6 CURRENT ENROLLMENT 2010-2011 495 Calculation Baseline Cohort Low Range 2015-2016 2020-2021 540 Baseline Cohort Mid Range 2015-2016 2020-2021 558 Baseline Cohort High Range 2015-2016 2020-2021 622 Grades 7-12 475 468 482 509 BASE COHORT ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS SUMMARY FOR MAYFIELD CS YEAR 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 LOW RANGE PROJECTION K-6 7-12 TOTAL K-12 511 460 971 961 511 450 514 439 953 943 529 414 950 540 410 960 541 419 972 528 444 522 456 977 985 528 456 534 468 1002 MID RANGE PROJECTION K-6 7-12 TOTAL K-12 515 460 975 968 518 450 526 439 965 959 545 414 968 558 410 981 562 419 995 551 444 541 461 1002 1009 544 465 544 482 1026 HIGH RANGE PROJECTION K-6 7-12 TOTAL K-12 512 460 972 977 527 450 549 439 988 1000 586 414 1032 622 410 1071 652 419 1115 671 444 701 457 1158 1209 733 476 766 509 1275 YEAR 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 LOW RANGE PROJECTION K-5 6-8 7-9 9-12 10-12 436 224 224 311 237 439 227 227 295 223 453 218 230 282 209 461 210 219 272 195 462 215 212 273 198 449 248 219 263 200 442 269 253 261 191 448 264 272 265 184 453 246 266 286 190 458 235 248 309 220 MID RANGE PROJECTION K-5 6-8 7-9 9-12 10-12 440 224 224 311 237 446 227 227 295 223 465 218 230 282 209 477 210 219 272 195 481 215 212 273 198 470 248 219 263 200 461 273 253 261 191 464 273 277 265 184 464 259 275 286 190 464 248 262 314 220 HIGH RANGE PROJECTION K-5 6-8 7-9 9-12 10-12 437 224 224 311 237 455 227 227 295 223 488 218 230 282 209 519 210 219 272 195 544 215 212 273 198 559 248 219 263 200 584 270 253 261 191 611 283 273 265 184 638 285 286 286 190 666 298 289 310 220 YEAR 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 LOW RANGE PROJECTION K-4 K-2 3-6 5-6 7-8 365 239 272 146 150 378 236 275 132 155 386 219 295 128 157 384 209 319 144 142 370 215 325 169 138 364 218 323 178 156 369 221 306 158 183 374 222 299 148 191 378 223 305 150 170 380 225 308 154 159 6 75 72 61 68 78 93 86 73 75 75 MID RANGE PROJECTION K-4 K-2 3-6 5-6 7-8 369 243 272 146 150 386 243 275 132 155 398 231 295 128 157 400 221 324 144 142 389 225 333 169 138 380 227 336 182 156 385 228 323 166 183 385 227 314 156 196 385 226 319 159 179 384 224 320 161 168 6 75 72 61 68 78 93 90 77 80 80 HIGH RANGE PROJECTION K-4 K-2 3-6 5-6 7-8 366 240 272 146 150 395 252 275 132 155 421 254 295 128 157 442 266 320 144 142 452 279 343 169 138 473 291 360 179 156 495 304 367 176 183 517 317 384 184 192 539 331 402 194 190 563 346 420 203 199 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 6 75 72 61 68 78 93 87 90 95 99 - 42 - DATA PUPILS 700 675 650 625 600 575 550 525 500 475 450 425 400 375 350 325 300 275 250 225 200 175 150 CURRENT ENROLL. 2010-2011 CHART SIX: MAYFIELD CS GRADES K-6 ESTIMATED ENROLLMENT SCENARIOS 2011-2015 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 BASE COHORT LOW RANGE 511 511 514 529 540 BASE COHORT MID RANGE 515 518 526 545 558 BASE COHORT HIGH RANGE 512 527 549 586 622 CURRENT ENROLLMENT 2010 495 CHART SEVEN: MAYFIELD CS GRADES 7-12 ESTIMATED ENROLLMENT SCENARIOS 2011-2020 550 525 500 475 450 425 CURRENT ENROLLMENT 2010-2011 PUPILS 400 375 350 325 300 275 250 225 200 175 150 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 BASE COHORT LOW RANGE 460 450 439 414 410 419 444 456 456 468 BASE COHORT MID RANGE 460 450 439 414 410 419 444 461 465 482 BASE COHORT HIGH RANGE 460 450 439 414 410 419 444 457 476 509 CURRENT ENROLLMENT 2010 475 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 43 - DATA DATA SNAPSHOT NORTHVILLE CS Year Grades K-6 CURRENT ENROLLMENT 2010-2011 209 Calculation Baseline Cohort Low Range 2015-2016 2020-2021 198 Baseline Cohort Mid Range 2015-2016 2020-2021 203 Baseline Cohort High Range 2015-2016 2020-2021 219 Grades 7-12 279 223 225 235 BASE COHORT ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS SUMMARY FOR NORTHVILLE CS YEAR 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 LOW RANGE PROJECTION K-6 7-12 TOTAL K-12 206 252 458 447 204 243 433 210 223 429 202 227 415 198 217 409 182 228 409 175 234 391 175 216 395 165 230 380 157 223 MID RANGE PROJECTION K-6 7-12 TOTAL K-12 206 252 458 448 205 243 435 212 223 432 205 227 420 203 217 416 188 228 418 183 234 403 187 216 408 177 231 397 172 225 HIGH RANGE PROJECTION K-6 7-12 TOTAL K-12 216 252 468 454 211 243 443 220 223 444 217 227 436 219 217 439 211 228 447 213 234 442 214 229 454 215 239 451 215 235 YEAR 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 LOW RANGE PROJECTION K-5 6-8 7-9 9-12 10-12 172 107 121 179 131 184 96 120 167 123 179 104 102 151 120 175 98 116 157 111 160 119 107 136 109 154 118 134 138 94 155 110 128 144 106 145 95 117 152 99 138 96 107 161 123 133 103 105 144 118 MID RANGE PROJECTION K-5 6-8 7-9 9-12 10-12 172 107 121 179 131 185 96 120 167 123 181 104 102 151 120 178 98 116 157 111 165 119 107 136 109 161 118 134 138 94 164 110 128 144 106 155 96 117 152 99 150 98 108 161 123 147 106 108 144 118 HIGH RANGE PROJECTION K-5 6-8 7-9 9-12 10-12 182 107 121 179 131 192 96 120 167 123 188 104 102 151 120 190 98 116 157 111 181 119 107 136 109 183 118 134 138 94 184 119 128 144 106 185 106 130 152 99 186 107 117 161 123 187 107 118 157 118 YEAR 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 LOW RANGE PROJECTION K-4 K-2 3-6 5-6 7-8 153 91 115 53 73 152 83 121 51 76 151 81 129 59 72 136 86 116 66 70 131 79 119 67 81 134 74 108 47 90 124 71 104 50 90 118 68 107 58 64 114 66 99 51 69 110 64 93 48 78 6 34 19 32 27 39 28 19 31 27 24 MID K-4 153 153 153 139 136 141 132 127 124 121 RANGE PROJECTION K-2 3-6 5-6 7-8 91 115 53 73 84 121 51 76 83 129 59 72 89 116 66 70 83 120 67 81 79 110 47 90 77 107 51 90 75 112 60 64 73 105 53 70 72 100 50 81 6 34 19 32 27 39 28 19 32 28 25 HIGH RANGE PROJECTION K-4 K-2 3-6 5-6 7-8 163 101 115 53 73 160 90 121 51 76 161 91 129 59 72 151 91 126 66 70 153 92 127 67 81 154 93 117 57 90 155 94 118 58 90 156 94 119 58 77 157 94 120 58 79 157 94 121 59 79 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 6 34 19 32 27 39 28 29 29 29 29 - 44 - DATA CHART SIX: NORTHVILLE CS GRADES K-6 ESTIMATED ENROLLMENT SCENARIOS 2011-2015 CURRENT ENROLL. 2010-2011 PUPILS 250 240 230 220 210 200 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 BASE COHORT LOW RANGE 206 204 210 202 198 BASE COHORT MID RANGE 206 205 212 205 203 BASE COHORT HIGH RANGE 216 211 220 217 219 CURRENT ENROLLMENT 2010 209 300 290 280 270 260 250 240 230 220 210 200 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 CURRENT ENROLLMENT 2010-2011 PUPILS CHART SEVEN: NORTHVILLE CS GRADES 7-12 ESTIMATED ENROLLMENT SCENARIOS 2011-2020 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 BASE COHORT LOW RANGE 252 243 223 227 217 228 234 216 230 223 BASE COHORT MID RANGE 252 243 223 227 217 228 234 216 231 225 BASE COHORT HIGH RANGE 252 243 223 227 217 228 234 229 239 235 CURRENT ENROLLMENT 2010 279 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 45 - DATA G. SUMMARY OF ENROLLMENT PROJECTION DATA CALCULATIONS AS THEY APPLY TO A REORGANIZATION OF THE TWO DISTRICTS INTO ONE K-12 SCHOOL DISTRICT DATA SNAPSHOT Grades K-6 Calculation Year Grades 7-12 CURRENT COMBINED ENROLLMENT OF THE TWO DISTRICTS 2010-2011 704 Baseline Cohort Low Range 2015-2016 2020-2021 738 Baseline Cohort Mid Range 2015-2016 2020-2021 761 Baseline Cohort High Range 2015-2016 2020-2021 841 Calculation Year CURRENT COMBINED ENROLLMENT OF THE TWO DISTRICTS 2010-2011 704 754 TOTAL GRADES K-12 FOR INITIAL IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING 1458 Baseline Cohort Low Range 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 717 715 724 731 738 712 693 662 641 627 1429 1408 1386 1372 1365 Baseline Cohort Mid Range 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 721 723 738 750 761 712 693 662 641 627 1433 1416 1400 1391 1388 Baseline Cohort High Range 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 728 738 769 803 841 712 693 662 641 627 1440 1431 1431 1444 1468 754 TOTAL GRADES K-12 FOR LONG TERM PLANNING 1458 1429 691 1468 707 1585 744 DATA SNAPSHOT Grades K-6 Grades 7-12 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 46 - DATA ATTACHMENT: FIGURES, TABLES AND CHARTS “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 47 - DATA TABLE 1 LIVE BIRTHS IN THE CATCHMENT AREA SERVED BY THE MAYFIELD SCHOOL DISTRICT AS REPORTED BY THE NEW YORK STATE DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH 2002-2009 TOWN 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 TOTAL BIRTHS IN EACH MUNICIPALITY FULTON COUNTY Village of Mayfield 6 11 6 17 12 8 10 11 81 45 63 48 54 61 58 51 48 428 49 50 52 58 45 42 43 41 380 27 28 34 26 18 33 32 27 225 100.00% Mayfield 79.60% Johnstown 14.70% Northhampton 3.10% Percentages refer to the share of residential parcels that are in the Mayfield School District TOTAL BIRTHS IN CATCHMENT AREA 127 152 140 155 136 141 136 127 1114 44 60 48 57 59 50 52 52 422 34.65% 39.47% 34.29% 36.77% 43.38% 35.46% 38.24% 40.94% NYS HEALTH DEPARTMENT 'LIVE BIRTHS BY SCHOOL DISTRICT' DISTRICT/CATCHMENT AREA LIVE BIRTH RATIO 6 YEAR RATIO 38.08% FULTON COUNTY 592 TOTAL BIRTHS DISTRICT/FULTON 582 7.43% 549 10.31% 540 8.74% 599 10.56% 605 9.85% 632 8.26% COUNTY LIVE BIRTH RATIO 556 8.23% 4655 9.35% 6 YEAR RATIO 9.14% TABLE 2 KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENT OF THE MAYFIELD CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT 2001-2010 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 74 73 69 66 64 66 56 2008 54 2009 2010 75 81 TABLE 4 PROJECTED MAYFIELD 2011-2020 KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENTS BASED UPON (A) THE EXPONENTIAL TREND ANALYSIS OF THE EIGHT YEAR HISTORICAL PATTERN OF ENROLLMENT AREA LIVE BIRTHS FROM 2002 THROUGH 2009, AND (B) THE RATIO DERIVED FROM TOTAL ENROLLMENT AREA LIVE BIRTHS ('02-'05) AND TOTAL DISTRICT KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENT ('07-'10) YEAR PROJECTED K-ENROLL. 2011 2012 2013 2014 75 64 66 66 YEAR 2006 2007 2008 2009 LIVE BIRTHS ENROLL. AREA K-ENROLL TO LIVE BIRTH RATIO '07-'10 59 50 52 52 1.272727 1.272727 1.272727 1.272727 PROJECTED LIVE BIRTHS 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 69 69 69 70 70 71 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 54 54 55 55 55 55 1.272727 1.272727 1.272727 1.272727 1.272727 1.272727 ESTIMATED FUTURE KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENTS SCENARIO I y = 0.6773x + 62.833 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 HISTORICAL PROJECTED 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 48 - DATA TABLE 5 PROJECTED MAYFIELD CENTRAL 2011-2020 KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENTS BASED UPON (A) THE EXPONENTIAL TREND ANALYSIS OF THE SIX YEAR HISTORICAL PATTERN OF ENROLLMENT AREA LIVE BIRTHS FROM 2004 THROUGH 2009, AND (B) THE MEDIAN RATIO DERIVED FROM THE RATIOS OF ANNUAL ENROLLMENT AREA LIVE BIRTHS ('02-'05) AND ANNUAL DISTRICT KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENTS ('07-'10) YEAR PROJECTED K-ENROLL. 2011 2012 2013 2014 YEAR 79 67 70 70 LIVE EST. K-ENROLL TO BIRTHS LIVE BIRTH ENROLL. RATIO AREA 2006 2007 2008 2009 59 50 52 52 1.34689 1.34689 1.34689 1.34689 53 52 52 52 52 52 1.34689 1.34689 1.34689 1.34689 1.34689 1.34689 PROJECTED LIVE BIRTHS 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 71 71 71 70 70 70 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ESTIMATED FUTURE KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENTS SCENARIO II y = 1.1241x + 61.776 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 HISTORICAL PROJECTED 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 TABLE 6 PROJECTED MAYFIELD SCHOOL DISTRICT 2011-2020 KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENTS BASED UPON AN EXPONENTIAL TREND ANALYSIS OF THE HISTORICAL PATTERN OF KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENT DATA FOR THE PAST SIX YEARS 2005-2010 YEAR PROJECTED K-ENROLL. YEAR LIVE BIRTHS ENROLL. AREA 59 50 52 52 PROJECTED LIVE BIRTHS 2011 2012 2013 2014 76 79 83 87 2006 2007 2008 2009 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 91 95 99 103 108 113 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 EST. K-ENROLL TO ENROLL. AREA LIVE BIRTH RATIO 1.289293 1.589117 1.596045 1.667122 ESTIMATED FUTURE KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENTS SCENARIO III y = 3.168x + 54.788 HISTORICAL 20 15 20 14 20 13 20 12 20 11 20 10 20 09 20 08 20 07 PROJECTED 20 06 20 05 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 49 - DATA TABLE 7-A: LOW RANGE BASELINE COHORT SURVIVAL STATISTIC ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS GRADES K-12 MAYFIELD CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT YEAR KNDG R 1ST R R R R 5TH 6TH 7TH 8TH 9TH R R 12TH TOTAL 83 1088 73 0.99 68 1.00 81 1.01 85 1.16 102 0.91 84 0.94 89 0.85 88 1.06 106 0.82 80 1052 07-08 56 1.09 72 1.01 72 1.10 65 0.97 71 1.04 71 1.00 81 1.11 94 0.94 96 1.02 86 0.92 82 1.07 94 0.90 95 1035 08-09 54 1.13 63 1.06 76 1.01 73 0.98 64 1.01 72 0.99 70 1.14 92 0.96 90 0.99 95 0.83 71 1.10 90 0.90 85 995 09-10 75 1.20 65 0.95 60 0.97 74 1.01 74 1.05 67 1.00 72 1.00 70 0.95 87 0.93 84 0.93 88 1.11 79 0.96 86 981 10-11 81 1.00 75 1.00 65 1.00 60 0.95 70 1.00 74 1.04 70 1.06 76 1.07 75 1.03 90 0.90 76 0.97 85 0.92 73 970 76 73 76 62 61 61 65 63 53 59 971 961 953 943 950 960 972 977 985 1002 75 64 66 66 69 69 69 70 70 71 90 83 71 73 73 76 76 76 77 77 75 89 82 70 73 73 76 76 76 77 67 77 92 85 72 75 75 78 78 78 59 66 75 90 83 71 73 73 77 77 71 60 67 77 92 85 73 75 75 78 75 72 61 68 78 93 86 73 75 75 0.966 76 81 79 66 74 85 101 94 80 82 0.984 73 74 79 76 64 71 82 98 90 77 100 11TH 1.06 1.091 103 10TH 59 1.009 95 R 0.95 1.021 92 R 71 0.980 88 R 1.11 1.029 84 R 64 0.995 81 R 66 1.106 69 4TH 06-07 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 69 3RD 05-06 Average Ratio 62 2ND 0.886 74 72 73 77 75 63 70 80 96 89 98 1.061 80 65 64 64 69 66 56 62 71 85 0.899 81 85 69 68 68 73 70 59 66 76 TABLE 7-B: MID RANGE BASELINE COHORT SURVIVAL STATISTIC ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS GRADES K-12 MAYFIELD CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT YEAR KNDG R 1ST R 2ND R 3RD R 4TH R 5TH R 6TH R 7TH R R R R R 62 69 69 81 84 88 83 1088 1.11 71 0.95 59 1.06 73 0.99 68 1.00 81 1.01 85 1.16 102 0.91 84 0.94 89 0.85 88 1.06 106 0.82 80 1052 07-08 56 1.09 72 1.01 72 1.10 65 0.97 71 1.04 71 1.00 81 1.11 94 0.94 96 1.02 86 0.92 82 1.07 94 0.90 95 1035 08-09 54 1.13 63 1.06 76 1.01 73 0.98 64 1.01 72 0.99 70 1.14 92 0.96 90 0.99 95 0.83 71 1.10 90 0.90 85 995 09-10 75 1.20 65 0.95 60 0.97 74 1.01 74 1.05 67 1.00 72 1.00 70 0.95 87 0.93 84 0.93 88 1.11 79 0.96 86 981 10-11 81 1.00 75 1.00 65 1.00 60 0.95 70 1.00 74 1.04 70 1.06 76 1.07 75 1.03 90 0.90 76 0.97 85 0.92 73 970 1.106 0.995 1.029 0.980 1.021 1.009 1.091 0.966 0.984 0.886 1.061 0.899 75 89 87 74 77 77 78 78 78 77 67 77 92 89 76 79 79 80 80 80 59 66 75 90 88 74 78 78 79 79 71 60 67 77 92 90 76 79 79 80 75 72 61 68 78 93 90 77 80 80 76 81 79 66 74 85 101 99 84 87 73 74 79 76 64 71 82 98 95 81 74 72 73 77 75 63 70 80 96 94 80 65 64 64 69 66 56 62 71 85 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 98 12TH TOTAL 64 90 87 74 77 77 79 79 79 77 77 100 11TH 66 79 67 70 70 71 71 71 70 70 70 103 10TH 06-07 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 95 9TH 05-06 Average Ratio 92 8TH 81 85 69 68 68 73 70 59 66 76 76 73 76 62 61 61 65 63 53 59 975 968 965 959 968 981 995 1002 1009 1026 - 50 - DATA TABLE 7-C: HIGH RANGE BASELINE COHORT SURVIVAL STATISTIC ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS GRADES K-12 MAYFIELD CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT YEAR KNDG R 1ST 05-06 64 62 69 69 81 84 88 83 1088 06-07 66 1.11 71 0.95 59 1.06 73 0.99 68 1.00 81 1.01 85 1.16 102 0.91 84 0.94 89 0.85 88 1.06 106 0.82 80 1052 07-08 56 1.09 72 1.01 72 1.10 65 0.97 71 1.04 71 1.00 81 1.11 94 0.94 96 1.02 86 0.92 82 1.07 94 0.90 95 1035 08-09 54 1.13 63 1.06 76 1.01 73 0.98 64 1.01 72 0.99 70 1.14 92 0.96 90 0.99 95 0.83 71 1.10 90 0.90 85 995 09-10 75 1.20 65 0.95 60 0.97 74 1.01 74 1.05 67 1.00 72 1.00 70 0.95 87 0.93 84 0.93 88 1.11 79 0.96 86 981 10-11 81 1.00 75 1.00 65 1.00 60 0.95 70 1.00 74 1.04 70 1.06 76 1.07 75 1.03 90 0.90 76 0.97 85 0.92 73 970 1.106 0.995 1.029 0.980 1.021 1.009 1.091 0.966 0.984 0.886 1.061 0.899 Average Ratio 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 76 79 83 87 91 95 99 103 108 113 R 90 84 87 92 96 101 105 109 114 119 2ND R 75 89 84 87 91 96 100 104 109 113 3RD R 4TH 67 77 92 86 89 94 99 103 108 112 R 59 66 75 90 84 88 92 97 101 105 5TH R 71 60 67 77 92 86 90 94 99 103 6TH R 7TH R 92 75 72 61 68 78 93 87 90 95 99 8TH R 9TH 95 76 81 79 66 74 85 101 95 99 104 R 103 73 74 79 76 64 71 82 98 92 95 10TH R 100 74 72 73 77 75 63 70 80 96 90 80 65 64 64 69 66 56 62 71 85 11TH R 98 81 85 69 68 68 73 70 59 66 76 12TH TOTAL 76 73 76 62 61 61 65 63 53 59 972 977 988 1000 1032 1071 1115 1158 1209 1275 TABLE 1 LIVE BIRTHS IN THE CATCHMENT AREA SERVED BY THE NORTHVILLE SCHOOL DISTRICT AS REPORTED BY THE NEW YORK STATE DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH 2002-2009 TOWN 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 TOTAL BIRTHS IN EACH MUNICIPALITY FULTON COUNTY 17 Village of Northville 11 17 10 10 11 16 13 105 100.00% Bleecker 1 2 0 2 9 3 5 8 30 45 63 48 54 61 58 51 48 428 27 28 34 26 18 33 32 27 225 4 1 4 4 4 1 3 1 22 1 1 1 3 1 0 0 7 14 10 9 9 9 7 13 7 14 78 5.40% Mayfield 2.60% Northhampton 89.60% HAMILTON COUNTY Benson 100.00% Hope 43.00% SARATOGA COUNTY 0.13% Percentages refer to the share of residential parcels that are in the Northville School District TOTAL BIRTHS IN CATCHMENT AREA 105 115 113 108 110 119 114 118 902 33 28 36 31 21 33 29 26 237 31.43% 24.35% 31.86% 28.70% 19.09% 27.73% 25.44% 22.03% 592 582 549 540 599 605 NYS HEALTH DEPARTMENT 'LIVE BIRTHS BY SCHOOL DISTRICT' DISTRICT/CATCHMENT AREA LIVE BIRTH RATIO 6 YEAR RATIO 25.81% FULTON COUNTY TOTAL BIRTHS DISTRICT/FULTON 5.57% 4.81% 6.56% 5.74% 3.51% 5.45% COUNTY LIVE BIRTH RATIO 632 4.59% 556 4655 4.68% 6 YEAR RATIO 5.06% TABLE 2 KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENT OF THE NORTHVILLE CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT 2001-2010 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 28 39 27 37 25 22 31 2008 29 2009 41 2010 30 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 51 - DATA TABLE 4 PROJECTED NORTHVILLE 2011-2020 KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENTS BASED UPON (A) THE EXPONENTIAL TREND ANALYSIS OF THE EIGHT YEAR HISTORICAL PATTERN OF ENROLLMENT AREA LIVE BIRTHS FROM 2002 THROUGH 2009, AND (B) THE RATIO DERIVED FROM TOTAL ENROLLMENT AREA LIVE BIRTHS ('02-'05) AND TOTAL DISTRICT KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENT ('07-'10) YEAR PROJECTED K-ENROLL. 2011 2012 2013 2014 YEAR 21 34 30 27 LIVE BIRTHS ENROLL. AREA 2006 2007 2008 2009 K-ENROLL TO LIVE BIRTH RATIO '07-'10 21 33 29 26 1.023438 1.023438 1.023438 1.023438 PROJECTED LIVE BIRTHS 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 27 26 25 25 24 24 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 26 25 25 24 24 23 1.023438 1.023438 1.023438 1.023438 1.023438 1.023438 ESTIMATED FUTURE KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENTS SCENARIO I y = 0.1186x + 28.039 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 HISTORICAL PROJECTED 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 TABLE 5 PROJECTED NORTHVILLE CENTRAL 2011-2020 KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENTS BASED UPON (A) THE EXPONENTIAL TREND ANALYSIS OF THE SIX YEAR HISTORICAL PATTERN OF ENROLLMENT AREA LIVE BIRTHS FROM 2004 THROUGH 2009, AND (B) THE MEDIAN RATIO DERIVED FROM THE RATIOS OF ANNUAL ENROLLMENT AREA LIVE BIRTHS ('02-'05) AND ANNUAL DISTRICT KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENTS ('07-'10) YEAR PROJECTED K-ENROLL. 2011 2012 2013 2014 YEAR 21 33 29 26 LIVE BIRTHS ENROLL. AREA 2006 2007 2008 2009 EST. K-ENROLL TO LIVE BIRTH RATIO 21 33 29 26 1.001728 1.001728 1.001728 1.001728 25 24 23 22 22 21 1.001728 1.001728 1.001728 1.001728 1.001728 1.001728 PROJECTED LIVE BIRTHS 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 25 24 23 22 22 21 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ESTIMATED FUTURE KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENTS SCENARIO II y = -0.0032x + 28.421 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 HISTORICAL PROJECTED 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 52 - DATA TABLE 6 PROJECTED NORTHVILLE SCHOOL DISTRICT 2011-2020 KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENTS BASED UPON AN EXPONENTIAL TREND ANALYSIS OF THE HISTORICAL PATTERN OF KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENT DATA FOR THE PAST EIGHT YEARS 2002-2010 YEAR PROJECTED K-ENROLL. YEAR LIVE EST. K-ENROLL TO BIRTHS ENROLL. AREA LIVE ENROLL. BIRTH RATIO AREA 21 33 29 26 PROJECTED LIVE BIRTHS 2011 2012 2013 2014 31 31 31 31 2006 2007 2008 2009 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 32 32 32 32 32 32 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1.47794 0.944332 1.078955 1.208344 ESTIMATED FUTURE KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENTS SCENARIO III y = 0.5966x + 26.825 20 15 20 14 20 12 20 11 20 09 20 10 PROJECTED 20 08 20 07 20 06 20 05 HISTORICAL 20 13 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 TABLE 7-A: LOW RANGE BASELINE COHORT SURVIVAL STATISTIC ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS GRADES K-12 NORTHVILLE CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT YEAR KNDG R 1ST 05-06 25 34 38 38 32 31 43 52 54 61 62 44 48 562 06-07 22 1.12 28 0.82 28 0.95 36 1.05 40 0.97 31 0.90 28 1.40 60 1.04 54 1.00 54 0.80 49 1.00 62 0.84 37 529 07-08 31 0.82 18 1.11 31 0.89 25 0.97 35 0.95 38 1.00 31 1.46 41 0.92 55 0.98 53 0.93 50 1.04 51 1.02 63 522 08-09 29 0.97 30 1.06 19 1.06 33 0.72 18 0.80 28 0.97 37 1.26 39 0.93 38 1.04 57 0.98 52 0.92 46 0.86 44 470 09-10 41 0.93 27 1.07 32 1.05 20 1.09 36 1.22 22 1.07 30 1.41 52 1.00 39 1.08 41 0.95 54 0.92 48 1.02 47 489 10-11 30 0.98 40 1.07 29 1.06 34 1.00 20 0.94 34 1.00 22 1.47 44 0.90 47 1.03 40 1.07 44 0.96 52 1.08 52 488 0.963 1.025 1.004 0.967 0.977 0.990 1.398 0.957 1.024 0.946 0.969 0.965 Average Ratio 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21 33 29 26 25 24 23 22 22 21 29 20 32 28 25 24 23 22 21 21 R 2ND 41 30 21 33 29 26 25 24 23 22 R 3RD 29 41 30 21 33 29 26 25 24 23 R 4TH 33 28 40 29 20 32 28 25 24 23 R 5TH 20 32 28 39 28 20 31 27 24 23 R 6TH 34 19 32 27 39 28 19 31 27 24 R 7TH 31 47 27 44 38 54 39 27 43 38 R 8TH 42 29 45 26 43 36 52 37 26 41 R 9TH 48 43 30 46 27 44 37 53 38 27 R 10TH 38 46 41 29 44 25 41 35 50 36 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” R 11TH 43 37 44 40 28 42 24 40 34 48 R 12TH TOTAL 50 41 35 43 38 27 41 23 39 33 458 447 433 429 415 409 409 391 395 380 - 53 - DATA TABLE 7-B: MID RANGE BASELINE COHORT SURVIVAL STATISTIC ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS GRADES K-12 NORTHVILLE CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT YEAR KNDG R 1ST 05-06 25 34 38 38 32 31 43 52 54 61 62 44 48 562 06-07 22 1.12 28 0.82 28 0.95 36 1.05 40 0.97 31 0.90 28 1.40 60 1.04 54 1.00 54 0.80 49 1.00 62 0.84 37 529 07-08 31 0.82 18 1.11 31 0.89 25 0.97 35 0.95 38 1.00 31 1.46 41 0.92 55 0.98 53 0.93 50 1.04 51 1.02 63 522 08-09 29 0.97 30 1.06 19 1.06 33 0.72 18 0.80 28 0.97 37 1.26 39 0.93 38 1.04 57 0.98 52 0.92 46 0.86 44 470 09-10 41 0.93 27 1.07 32 1.05 20 1.09 36 1.22 22 1.07 30 1.41 52 1.00 39 1.08 41 0.95 54 0.92 48 1.02 47 489 10-11 30 0.98 40 1.07 29 1.06 34 1.00 20 0.94 34 1.00 22 1.47 44 0.90 47 1.03 40 1.07 44 0.96 52 1.08 52 488 0.963 1.025 1.004 0.967 0.977 0.990 1.398 0.957 1.024 0.946 0.969 0.965 Average Ratio 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21 34 30 27 27 26 25 25 24 24 R 2ND 29 20 33 29 26 26 25 24 24 23 R 3RD 41 30 21 34 30 27 27 26 25 25 R 4TH 29 41 30 21 34 30 27 27 26 25 R 5TH 33 28 40 29 20 33 29 26 26 25 R 6TH 20 32 28 39 28 20 32 28 25 25 R 7TH 34 19 32 27 39 28 19 32 28 25 R 8TH 31 47 27 44 38 54 39 27 44 39 R 9TH 42 29 45 26 43 36 52 37 26 42 R 10TH 48 43 30 46 27 44 37 53 38 27 R 11TH 38 46 41 29 44 25 41 35 50 36 R 12TH TOTAL 43 37 44 40 28 42 24 40 34 48 50 41 35 43 38 27 41 23 39 33 458 448 435 432 420 416 418 403 408 397 TABLE 7-C: HIGH RANGE BASELINE COHORT SURVIVAL STATISTIC ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS GRADES K-12 NORTHVILLE CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT YEAR KNDG R 1ST R 2ND R 3RD R 4TH R 5TH R 6TH R 7TH R 8TH R 9TH R 10TH R 11TH R 12TH TOTAL 05-06 25 34 38 38 32 31 43 52 54 61 62 44 48 562 06-07 22 1.12 28 0.82 28 0.95 36 1.05 40 0.97 31 0.90 28 1.40 60 1.04 54 1.00 54 0.80 49 1.00 62 0.84 37 529 07-08 31 0.82 18 1.11 31 0.89 25 0.97 35 0.95 38 1.00 31 1.46 41 0.92 55 0.98 53 0.93 50 1.04 51 1.02 63 522 08-09 29 0.97 30 1.06 19 1.06 33 0.72 18 0.80 28 0.97 37 1.26 39 0.93 38 1.04 57 0.98 52 0.92 46 0.86 44 470 09-10 41 0.93 27 1.07 32 1.05 20 1.09 36 1.22 22 1.07 30 1.41 52 1.00 39 1.08 41 0.95 54 0.92 48 1.02 47 489 10-11 30 0.98 40 1.07 29 1.06 34 1.00 20 0.94 34 1.00 22 1.47 44 0.90 47 1.03 40 1.07 44 0.96 52 1.08 52 488 0.963 1.025 1.004 0.967 0.977 0.990 1.398 0.957 1.024 0.946 0.969 0.965 Average Ratio 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 31 31 31 31 32 32 32 32 32 32 29 30 30 30 30 31 31 31 31 31 41 30 31 31 31 31 32 32 32 32 29 41 30 31 31 31 31 32 32 32 33 28 40 29 30 30 30 30 31 31 20 32 28 39 28 29 29 29 29 30 34 19 32 27 39 28 29 29 29 29 31 47 27 44 38 54 39 40 40 40 42 29 45 26 43 36 52 37 38 38 48 43 30 46 27 44 37 53 38 39 38 46 41 29 44 25 41 35 50 36 43 37 44 40 28 42 24 40 34 48 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 50 41 35 43 38 27 41 23 39 33 468 454 443 444 436 439 447 442 454 451 - 54 - DATA DATA FOR DISCUSSION BY THE COMMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE: FEDERAL CENSUS BUREAU DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTIC ESTIMATES 2005-2009 MAYFIELD CS NORTHVILLE CS April 2011 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 55 - DATA SOURCE OF DATA: Federal Census Bureau 2005-2009 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates Page 1: Selected Demographic Estimates (Sex and Age, Race, Housing Units..) Page 2: Selected Social Characteristics (Education, Marital Status, Relationships, Grandparents..) Page 4: Selected Economic Characteristics (Income, Occupation, Commuting to Work..) Page 7: Selected Housing Characteristics (Occupancy and Structure, Housing Value..) To maintain confidentiality, the Census Bureau applies statistical procedures that introduce some uncertainty into data for geographic areas with small population groups. The data in this table contain sampling error and nonsampling error. Each demographic characteristic has a corresponding Margin of Error. The margin of error is the difference between an estimate and its upper or lower confidence bound. All American Community Survey margins of error are based on a 90 percent confidence level. The margins of error are not reported in this discussion tool due to space considerations. The demographic estimates are reported here to encourage community discussion about possible similarities and differences in characteristics of the Mayfield and Northville school districts. The compilation of the Census data is to help the community and school leaders discuss and suggest insights about the school districts and the communities they serve as part of the long-term planning effort of the school districts. Additional information on the design and methodology of the American Community Survey, including data collection and processing, can be found at: http://www.census.gov/acs/www/methodology/methodology main/ Copyright 2011 As to Original Text, and Format All Rights Reserved. Authorized in perpetuity for the exclusive use for planning by the Mayfield and Northville Boards of Education, their Superintendents and by all government agencies to which the districts provide the study. SES Study Team - 56 - DATA Demographic 5-Year Estimates: 2005-2009 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-2009 American Community Survey Demographic Estimates MAYFIELD Estimate Percent NORTHVILLE Estimate Percent SEX AND AGE Total population Male Female Under 5 years 5 to 9 years 10 to 14 years 15 to 19 years 20 to 24 years 25 to 34 years 35 to 44 years 45 to 54 years 55 to 59 years 60 to 64 years 65 to 74 years 75 to 84 years 85 years and over Median age (years) 6,473 3,159 3,314 314 438 396 449 185 679 904 1,121 510 462 557 380 78 48.8% 51.2% 4.9% 6.8% 6.1% 6.9% 2.9% 10.5% 14.0% 17.3% 7.9% 7.1% 8.6% 5.9% 1.2% 2,987 1,465 1,522 101 129 218 241 110 201 346 579 234 254 315 208 51 49.0% 51.0% 3.4% 4.3% 7.3% 8.1% 3.7% 6.7% 11.6% 19.4% 7.8% 8.5% 10.5% 7.0% 1.7% 49.0 43.7 18 years and over 21 years and over 62 years and over 65 years and over 5,098 4,830 1,309 1,015 78.8% 74.6% 20.2% 15.7% 2,358 2,267 686 574 78.9% 75.9% 23.0% 19.2% 18 years and over Male Female 5,098 2,439 2,659 47.8% 52.2% 2,358 1,168 1,190 49.5% 50.5% 65 years and over Male Female 1,015 516 499 50.8% 49.2% 574 270 304 47.0% 53.0% 6,473 6,433 40 99.4% 0.6% 2,987 2,972 15 99.5% 0.5% RACE Total population One race Two or more races “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 57 - DATA Selected Social Characteristics 5-Year Estimates: 2005-2009 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-2009 American Community Survey Selected Social Characteristics HOUSEHOLDS BY TYPE Total households Family households (families) With own children under 18 years Married-couple family With own children under 18 years Male householder, no wife present, family With own children under 18 years Female householder, no husband present, family With own children under 18 years Nonfamily households Householder living alone 65 years and over Households with one or more people under 18 years Households with one or more people 65 years and over MAYFIELD Estimate Percent NORTHVILLE Estimate Percent 2,606 1,339 1,980 76.0% 897 67.0% 675 25.9% 331 24.7% 1,605 61.6% 741 55.3% 432 16.6% 212 15.8% 56 2.1% 62 4.6% 33 1.3% 54 4.0% 319 12.2% 94 7.0% 210 8.1% 65 4.9% 626 24.0% 442 33.0% 491 18.8% 358 26.7% 173 6.6% 225 16.8% 763 29.3% 355 26.5% 701 26.9% 480 35.8% Average household size 2.48 2.23 Average family size 2.80 2.68 2,589 1,304 MARITAL STATUS Males 15 years and over Never married Now married, except separated Separated Widowed Divorced Females 15 years and over Never married Now married, except separated Separated Widowed Divorced 507 19.6% 342 26.2% 1,699 65.6% 747 57.3% 75 54 254 2.9% 2.1% 9.8% 43 41 131 3.3% 3.1% 10.0% 2,736 1,235 491 17.9% 195 15.8% 1,672 61.1% 745 60.3% 90 243 240 3.3% 8.9% 8.8% 27 135 133 2.2% 10.9% 10.8% GRANDPARENTS Number of grandparents living with own grandchildren under 18 years Responsible for own grandchildren under 18 169 20 83 8 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 58 - DATA Selected Social Characteristics EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT Population 25 years and over Less than 9th grade 9th to 12th grade, no diploma High school graduate (includes equivalency) Some college, no degree Associate's degree Bachelor's degree Graduate or professional degree Percent high school graduate or higher Percent bachelor's degree or higher MAYFIELD Estimate Percent 4,691 NORTHVILLE Estimate Percent 2,188 168 3.6% 103 4.7% 515 11.0% 204 9.3% 2,185 46.6% 890 40.7% 890 259 440 19.0% 5.5% 9.4% 381 168 241 17.4% 7.7% 11.0% 234 5.0% 201 9.2% 85.4% 86.0% 14.4% 20.2% 6,428 2,967 RESIDENCE 1 YEAR AGO Population 1 year and over Same house Different house in the U.S. Same county Different county Same state Different state Abroad 6,061 94.3% 2,797 94.3% 354 5.5% 170 5.7% 260 94 71 23 13 4.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 81 89 60 29 0 2.7% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 6,473 6,321 6,281 5,914 367 97.7% 97.0% 91.4% 5.7% 2,987 2,937 2,921 2,594 327 98.3% 97.8% 86.8% 10.9% 40 0.6% 16 0.5% 152 2.3% 50 1.7% 50 50 PLACE OF BIRTH Total population Native Born in United States State of residence Different state Born in Puerto Rico, U.S. Island areas, or born abroad to American parent(s) Foreign born LANGUAGE SPOKEN AT HOME Population 5 years and over English only Language other than English Speak English less than "very well" Spanish Speak English less than "very well" Other Indo-European languages Speak English less than "very well" Asian and Pacific Islander languages Speak English less than "very well" Other languages Speak English less than "very well" 6,159 2,886 5,992 97.3% 2,800 97.0% 167 2.7% 86 3.0% 23 0.4% 22 0.8% 85 1.4% 54 1.9% 15 0.2% 13 0.5% 72 1.2% 32 1.1% 8 0.1% 9 0.3% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 10 0.2% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 59 - DATA Selected Economic Characteristics 5-Year Estimates: 2005-2009 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-2009 American Community Survey Selected Economic Characteristics Mean travel time to work (minutes) MAYFIELD Estimate Percent 25.8 NORTHVILLE Estimate Percent 29.7 OCCUPATION Civilian employed population 16 years and over Management, professional, and related occupations Service occupations Sales and office occupations Farming, fishing, and forestry occupations Construction, extraction, maintenance, and repair occupations Production, transportation, and material moving occupations INDUSTRY Civilian employed population 16 years and over Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, and mining Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade Transportation and warehousing, and utilities Information Finance and insurance, and real estate and rental and leasing Professional, scientific, and management, and administrative and waste management services Educational services, and health care and social assistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation, and accommodation and food services Other services, except public administration Public administration 2,986 1,199 669 22.4% 396 33.0% 530 17.7% 268 22.4% 863 28.9% 241 20.1% 32 1.1% 8 0.7% 409 13.7% 126 10.5% 483 16.2% 160 13.3% 2,986 1,199 21 0.7% 25 2.1% 377 340 91 387 12.6% 11.4% 3.0% 13.0% 73 114 9 143 6.1% 9.5% 0.8% 11.9% 136 4.6% 59 4.9% 99 3.3% 44 3.7% 48 1.6% 61 5.1% 152 5.1% 52 4.3% 879 29.4% 343 28.6% 175 5.9% 82 6.8% 107 3.6% 58 4.8% 174 5.8% 136 11.3% “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 60 - DATA Selected Economic Characteristics INCOME AND BENEFITS (IN 2009 INFLATIONADJUSTED DOLLARS) Total households Less than $10,000 $10,000 to $14,999 $15,000 to $24,999 $25,000 to $34,999 $35,000 to $49,999 $50,000 to $74,999 $75,000 to $99,999 $100,000 to $149,999 $150,000 to $199,999 $200,000 or more Median household income (dollars) Mean household income (dollars) With earnings Mean earnings (dollars) With Social Security Mean Social Security income (dollars) With retirement income Mean retirement income (dollars) With Supplemental Security Income Mean Supplemental Security Income (dollars) With cash public assistance income Mean cash public assistance income (dollars) With Food Stamp/SNAP benefits in the past 12 months Families Less than $10,000 $10,000 to $14,999 $15,000 to $24,999 $25,000 to $34,999 $35,000 to $49,999 $50,000 to $74,999 $75,000 to $99,999 $100,000 to $149,999 $150,000 to $199,999 $200,000 or more MAYFIELD Estimate Percent NORTHVILLE Estimate Percent 2,606 157 107 254 279 496 627 375 6.0% 4.1% 9.7% 10.7% 19.0% 24.1% 14.4% 1,339 109 79 177 197 198 285 149 8.1% 5.9% 13.2% 14.7% 14.8% 21.3% 11.1% 273 10.5% 101 7.5% 17 0.7% 33 2.5% 21 0.8% 11 0.8% 50,338 42,969 56,560 51,973 2,045 78.5% 53,918 952 36.5% 16,742 646 24.8% (X) 570 42.6% 500 37.3% 21,175 5.1% 8,255 52 61.9% 15,525 15,878 133 829 54,468 78 5.8% 6,319 2.0% 2,263 2 0.1% 5,300 203 7.8% 157 11.7% 1,980 112 58 145 175 400 486 320 5.7% 2.9% 7.3% 8.8% 20.2% 24.5% 16.2% 897 68 25 83 125 93 246 126 897 7.6% 2.8% 9.3% 13.9% 10.4% 27.4% 14.0% 260 13.1% 91 10.1% 5 0.3% 29 3.2% 19 1.0% 11 1.2% “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 61 - DATA Selected Economic Characteristics Median family income (dollars) Mean family income (dollars) Per capita income (dollars) Nonfamily households Median nonfamily income (dollars) Mean nonfamily income (dollars) PERCENTAGE OF FAMILIES AND PEOPLE WHOSE INCOME IN THE PAST 12 MONTHS IS BELOW THE POVERTY LEVEL All families With related children under 18 years With related children under 5 years only Married couple families With related children under 18 years With related children under 5 years only Families with female householder, no husband present With related children under 18 years With related children under 5 years only All people Under 18 years Related children under 18 years Related children under 5 years Related children 5 to 17 years 18 years and over MAYFIELD Estimate Percent NORTHVILLE Estimate Percent 54,611 53,883 59,969 60,434 22,544 23,160 626 442 31,613 30,091 40,340 33,694 8.0% 9.9% 13.1% 10.9% 37.0% 38.7% 5.4% 6.9% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 22.9% 31.9% 26.4% 43.5% 100.0% 100.0% 11.3% 11.4% 18.7% 11.0% 15.7% 9.0% 41.7% 22.8% 7.7% 6.2% 9.3% 11.5% 10.8% 13.4% 65 years and over 3.3% 5.6% People in families Unrelated individuals 15 years and over 8.9% 8.3% 25.3% 24.6% 18 to 64 years “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 62 - DATA Housing 5-Year Estimates: 2005-2009 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-2009 American Community Survey Selected Housing Characteristics MAYFIELD Estimate Percent NORTHVILLE Estimate Percent HOUSING OCCUPANCY Total housing units Occupied housing units Vacant housing units 2,199 2,199 2,606 3,100 84.1% 1,339 60.9% 494 15.9% 860 39.1% Total housing units 1-unit, detached 1-unit, attached 2 units 3 or 4 units 5 to 9 units 10 to 19 units 20 or more units Mobile home Boat, RV, van, etc. 3,100 2,444 7 126 26 5 0 2 483 7 78.8% 0.2% 4.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 15.6% 0.2% 2,199 1,679 23 121 80 26 8 7 255 0 76.4% 1.0% 5.5% 3.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.3% 11.6% 0.0% YEAR STRUCTURE BUILT Total housing units Built 2005 or later Built 2000 to 2004 Built 1990 to 1999 Built 1980 to 1989 Built 1970 to 1979 Built 1960 to 1969 Built 1950 to 1959 Built 1940 to 1949 Built 1939 or earlier 3,100 51 169 511 317 417 288 356 268 723 1.6% 5.5% 16.5% 10.2% 13.5% 9.3% 11.5% 8.6% 23.3% 2,199 29 22 275 230 291 154 175 142 881 1.3% 1.0% 12.5% 10.5% 13.2% 7.0% 8.0% 6.5% 40.1% UNITS IN STRUCTURE ROOMS Total housing units 1 room 2 rooms 3 rooms 4 rooms 5 rooms 6 rooms 7 rooms 8 rooms 9 rooms or more Median rooms 3,100 10 10 185 325 827 729 438 334 242 5.8 0.3% 0.3% 6.0% 10.5% 26.7% 23.5% 14.1% 10.8% 7.8% 2,199 16 122 119 321 537 444 354 232 54 5.5 0.7% 5.5% 5.4% 14.6% 24.4% 20.2% 16.1% 10.6% 2.5% BEDROOMS Total housing units No bedroom 1 bedroom 2 bedrooms 3 bedrooms 4 bedrooms 5 or more bedrooms 3,100 10 222 875 1,406 487 100 0.3% 7.2% 28.2% 45.4% 15.7% 3.2% 2,199 16 214 619 1,012 301 37 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 0.7% 9.7% 28.1% 46.0% 13.7% 1.7% - 63 - DATA Selected Housing Characteristics MAYFIELD Estimate Percent NORTHVILLE Estimate Percent HOUSING TENURE Occupied housing units Owner-occupied Renter-occupied Average household size of owneroccupied unit Average household size of renter-occupied unit 2,606 2,219 387 85.1% 14.9% 1,339 1,339 1,041 298 77.7% 22.3% 2.45 2.22 2.70 2.28 2,606 1,339 YEAR HOUSEHOLDER MOVED INTO UNIT Occupied housing units Moved in 2005 or later Moved in 2000 to 2004 Moved in 1990 to 1999 Moved in 1980 to 1989 Moved in 1970 to 1979 Moved in 1969 or earlier 302 11.6% 172 12.8% 571 21.9% 321 24.0% 826 31.7% 353 26.4% 440 16.9% 207 15.5% 351 13.5% 150 11.2% 116 4.5% 136 10.2% 2,219 243 796 477 269 287 102 25 20 105,000 11.0% 35.9% 21.5% 12.1% 12.9% 4.6% 1.1% 0.9% 1,041 83 296 220 203 169 28 39 3 133,400 1,041 8.0% 28.4% 21.1% 19.5% 16.2% 2.7% 3.7% 0.3% VALUE Owner-occupied units Less than $50,000 $50,000 to $99,999 $100,000 to $149,999 $150,000 to $199,999 $200,000 to $299,999 $300,000 to $499,999 $500,000 to $999,999 $1,000,000 or more Median (dollars) “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 64 - “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” October 2011 MAYFIELD CS NORTHVILLE CS SCHOOL DISTRICT FINANCIAL CHARACTERISTICS/ELEMENTS PROFILE 2010-2011 SCHOOL YEAR DATA FOR DISCUSSION BY THE COMMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE: DATA - 65 - Revenues are very close to budgeted amounts in each school. Expenditures are very close to budgeted expected amounts. A usual financial health measure is ending a fiscal year with about 3% of revenues remaining and between 6-7% of anticipated expenditures not expended. Both districts have reduced the property tax levy with unexpended fund balance to a high level such that it is unlikely that the practice can be sustained with future year budgets. Mayfield is well below the 4% unreserved undesignated fund balance outlined in education law. • • • - 66 - Each district is in the ‘low range’ with regard to the funding of generally accepted necessary reserves. Neither, for example, have and Employee Retirement reserve. • “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” The present and future status of the Hudson-Black River Regulatory District in meeting tax levy obligations is an important variable. • SOME OVERALL OBSERVATIONS: • Health insurance expenses by Northville are significantly higher than they are for Mayfield. It seems Northville has more retiree health benefit obligations. Some indicators of financial health that are used to evaluate a school districts condition are as follows: • Fund balance, including reserves • Excess of revenues over expenditures • How reliant is the school district on State aid? • Excess appropriation of fund balance • Comparison of budgeted revenues and expenditures to actual • School Lunch subsidies? • Status of tax certiorari or any litigation outstanding FINANCIAL HEALTH CHARACTERISTICS School District financial health is dependent on a number of issues. In the current economic environment the school district needs to be able to absorb State Aid decreases and increasing expenditures while maintaining a sound educational program. Mayfield and Northville Central School Districts DATA General Support 3 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 % Transfers of Total Transfers-net 12.75 4,262,672 48.67 12.59 7,828,996 47.79 5.01 4.12 0.00 0 11.03 Northville. 0.10 8,553 Northville includes $10,000 transfer out to school lunch fund. 4.90 429,093 Northville will increase upon bonding of project. 438,710 1,806,700 Core expenditures consistent except for higher % of health insurance in - 67 - 90.05 Northville. For 2010, $ 2,746,976 for Mayfield vs. $1,862,812 for 7,886,487 28.62 674,613 84.85 13,900,472 24.47 Observation/Items to note or consider: 2,506,850 Northville has a higher % of retiree health insurance expense. 1,116,965 2,062,776 4,008,700 8,757,640 Northville 16,382,442 Mayfield “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” % Debt Service of Total Debt Service % Transportation of Total Transportation % Total General Support, Instruction, and Employee Benefits of Total Sub-total General Support, Instruction, and Employee Benefits % Employee Benefits of Total Employee Benefits % Instruction of Total Instruction % General Support of Total Total 2 4 Expenditures (2010): 1 Financial Characteristic/ Element EXPENDITURES FOR THE YEAR ENDED JUNE 30, 2010 DATA 0% NORTHVILLE SCHOOL DISTRICT Debt Service EXPENDITURES 5% 0% Instruction 48% Instruction 48% General Support 13% 0% “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Employee Benefits 29% Transportation 5% 0% Employee Benefits 0% 24% 0% Transportation 4% MAYFIELD CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT EXPENDITURES General Support Debt Service 0% 13% 11% DATA - 68 - Real Property Taxes and Tax Items (including STAR) % Real Property Taxes of Total 3 4 11 10 9 8 7 6 Miscellaneous Revenue Mayfield approx. $350,000 and Northville approx. $325,000 under amounts Observation/Items to note or consider: 228,293 0.77% 122,462 4.02% - 69 - 109,552 Ex. BOCES refund from prior year unexpended; insurance recoveries…. 5.58% Northville depends more highly on tuition revenue from other districts. 477,375 Tuition from other ditricts. 4.68% 400,481 Education Jobs Monies. 638,722 ARRA funding will no longer be available in 2011-12. Replaced partially by 39.18% 3,353,945 Mayfield more dependent on State Aid. 49.29% 4,219,281 budgeted are owed from the Hudson-Black River Regulating District 8,560,634 Northville 57.45% 9,132,893 36.33% 5,775,095 15,897,465 Mayfield “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” % Service Charges of Total Charges for Services % Federal Aid of Total Federal Aid % State Aid of Total State Aid Total 2 5 Revenues (2010): 1 Financial Characteristic/ Element SELECTED REVENUES FOR THE YEAR ENDED JUNE 30, 2010 DATA Real Property Taxes NORTHVILLE CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT and Tax Items SELECTED REVENUES (including STAR) Miscellaneous 49% Revenue 1% Real Property Taxes and Tax Items (including STAR) 36% “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” State Aid 39% Federal Aid6% 5% Charges for Services State Aid 58% Federal Aid 4% MAYFIELD CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT SELECTED REVENUES Miscellaneous Revenue Charges for Services 1% 1% REVENUES FOR THE YEAR ENDED JUNE 30, 2010 DATA - 70 - Worker's Compensation Employees' Retirement Contributions Tax Certiorari Employee Benefit Accrued Liability Reserve 4 5 6 7 Property Loss and Liability Tax Reduction Total Reserves 12 13 14 Observation/Items to note or consider: 1,115,152 1,013,455 Debt Service Fund Balance - 2010 23 See Mandatory Reserve above for Northville. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 1,769,122 7.15 Mayfield is below allowable 4.0%. 2.52 Unreserved Undesignated 22 to Mayfield's reserves, amount is 16.1% 5.58 3.66 Unreserved Appropriated to Reduce Taxes in 201011 21 - 71 - 14.41 Mayfield in Debt Service Fund. By adding debt service fund 5.33 Northville % is high due to reserve for debt in General Fund, 626,152 413,455 Can both districts maintain appropriating this much fund 489,000 balance? 600,000 1,261,969 1,147,891 Mandatory reserve or Debt Service Fund? 1,460 Mayfield includes a $300,000 bus purchase reserve in this 54,173 account. For compensated absences. Both should consider this reserve - see uncollected taxes. 0 Neither has reserved for employees' retirement. 47,749 10,696 Northville Reserves Fund Balance as a % of 2010 Expenditures Total Unreserved Appropriated Fund Balance to Reduce Taxes in 2010-11 Unreserved Undesignated Fund Balance (Subject to 4.0% of subsequent year's budget) 872,560 380,020 352,378 50,000 0 50,000 40,162 Mayfield 20 19 18 17 16 Unreserved: Insurance 15 Mandatory Reserve Fund 10 11 9 Capital Reserve (Voter approval required to establish and fund) Repair Reserve (Voter approval required to fund, public hearing to spend) Unemployment Insurance 3 8 Encumbrances (Purchase Orders Still Open) Reserves: Financial Characteristic/ Element 2 1 FUND BALANCE AS OF JUNE 30, 2010 DATA NORTHVILLE CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT FUND BALANCE 5.82% Total Reserves 53% Total Reserves 46% “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Appropriated Fund Balance to Reduce Taxes in 2010-11 21% Unreserved Undesignated Fund Balance (Subject to 4.0% of subsequent year's budget) 26% Appropriated Fund Balance to Reduce Taxes in 2010-11 32% 3.48% -1.65% Mayfield primarily under in MAYFIELD CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT FUND BALANCE 0.110283 0.048996 Unreserved Undesignated Fund Balance (Subject to 4.0% of subsequent year's budget) 22% FUND BALANCE FOR THE YEAR ENDED JUNE 30, 2010 DATA - 72 - 12 11 10 9 8 1,147,891 2,319 231 1,809 (928) Northville reserve in the General Fund. Mayfield has a much higher building aid ratio. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Net Debt Per Student Funds Available Per Student Debt Service Fund Funds Available: 1,769,122 2,550 881 Debt Per Student 9,423 9,361 Estimated Aid Per Student 7 0.787 0.914 6 Building Aid % Total Estimated Debt Per Student 5 This assumes Northville bonds for the Observation/Items to note or consider: 3,865,000 entire amount of the project. 11,973 Total Estimated Debt 4 0 10,242 Anticipated Bonding on Projects 3 2,061,830 10,016,317 5,926,830 Serial Bonds Due at 6-30-10 (1,000s) 2 495 Northville 978 Mayfield 10,016,317 Enrollment 1 Financial Characteristic/ Element LONG-TERM DEBT AS OF JUNE 30, 2010 DATA - 73 - -2.45% 3.37% -1.65% 1.83% Percent of Revenue Under Budget 2010 Excess (Deficit) Revenues and Expenditures to Budget % of Pupils Eligible for Free/Reduced Price Lunches School Lunch Fund Balance at June 30, 2010 School Lunch Subsidy from Genereal Fund? 7 8 9 10 11 No 5.82% 3.48% Percent of Unexpended 2010 Budget 6 OBSERVATIONS - 74 - Northville had a loss of $4,439 befopre a transfer in of $10,000. Low net percentages indicate close budgeting. Mayfield primarily under in expenditures in transportation while Northville was in employee benefits. Both Districts under on revenue due to unpaid real estate taxes. Northville percentage will increase when renovation project is bonded ($3,865,000). Average for North Counrty Region is $18,205 per pupil; NYS average is $19,082. 1,473 total enrollment Both Districts are highly dependent on State Aid as a revenue source. Future reductions in State Aid would force higher than average increases in the tax levy and/or expenditure reductions. The average for this region(North Country) is 61.8%. Both Districts had excess expenditures in 2010. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Yes - $10,000. $46,273 4.90% 11.03% Debt Service as a % of Expenditures 5 $64,834 $17,692 $16,751 General Fund Expenditures per Pupil 4 495 978 K-12 Public School Enrollment including Charter Schools 3 60.79% State and Federal Aid / Total Revenue 2 60.65% General Fund Excess Revenues Over Expenditures Last Two Years? 1 No SCHOOL DISTRICT Mayfield Northville No INDICATORS FINANCIAL CONDITION COMPARISON AS OF JUNE 30, 2010 DATA DATA DATA FOR DISCUSSION BY THE COMMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE: AVAILABLE PUPIL CAPACITY OF EACH SCHOOL BUILIDNG FOR POSSIBLE USE IN A CONSOLIDATED SCHOOL DISTRICT MAYFIELD CS NORTHVILLE CS May 2011 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 75 - DATA Copyright 2011 As to Original Text, and Format All Rights Reserved. Authorized in perpetuity for the exclusive use for planning by the Mayfield and Northville Boards of Education, their Superintendents and by all government agencies to which the districts provide the study. SES Study Team - 76 - DATA SOURCE OF DATA: Inventory of each instructional and instructional support space by each principal/superintendent based on how the space is used to deliver the kindergarten through grade twelve educational program in 2010-2011. Classrooms used to deliver pre-kindergarten are also included. ASSUMPTIONS: The method and assumptions for estimating pupil capacity per existing school building for potential use by a reorganized school district includes: 9 The pupil capacity analysis is based on delivering instruction with the following class size goals: 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Kindergarten and grade 1: 20 pupils Grades 2 and 3: 22 pupils Grades 4, 5, and 6: 24 pupils Grades 7-12: 25 pupils (Note: Often for specialized Grades 7-12 courses, it is likely that the class sizes for such specialized courses may be between 10-(or fewer pupils as approved by the board)-and 25 pupils. During other instructional periods of the day, it is likely a classroom will host class sizes near the 25 pupil number for other courses less specialized.) Spaces now designated for instructional support are generally assumed to continue for instructional support. Pre-kindergarten is assumed to be part of the delivered program at each potential elementary school. State Education Department guidelines are applied in calculating the number of pupils that a specific type of classroom should serve. Unassigned pupil capacity is planned for in each school building to allow for flexibility in delivering the program and/or to add an instructional support function or additional programs not now in place. The analysis, at the present time, does not include renting classrooms to the BOCES to host consortium shared programs. Current spaces used for central administration are not ‘re-claimed’ for instructional program pupil capacity. It is assumed for this pupil capacity analysis that there are no renovations to change existing space or the building of new additional space. It is assumed that Edinburg will continue the historical pattern of tuitioning their pupils to Northville over the next ten years. - 77 - DATA 9 ESTIMATED ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS FOR A REORGANIZED SCHOOL DISTRICT Calculation Year Grades K-6 Grades 7-12 TOTAL GRADES K-12 FOR LONG TERM PLANNING 1458 CURRENT COMBINED ENROLLMENT OF THE TWO DISTRICTS 2010-2011 704 754 Baseline Cohort Low Range 2015-2016 2020-2021 738 Baseline Cohort Mid Range 2015-2016 2020-2021 761 Baseline Cohort High Range 2015-2016 2020-2021 841 Calculation Year Grades K-6 Grades 7-12 CURRENT COMBINED ENROLLMENT OF THE TWO DISTRICTS 2010-2011 704 754 TOTAL GRADES K-12 FOR INITIAL IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING 1458 Baseline Cohort Low Range 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 717 715 724 731 738 712 693 662 641 627 1429 1408 1386 1372 1365 Baseline Cohort Mid Range 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 721 723 738 750 761 712 693 662 641 627 1433 1416 1400 1391 1388 Baseline Cohort High Range 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 728 738 769 803 841 712 693 662 641 627 1440 1431 1431 1444 1468 1429 691 1468 707 1585 744 - 78 - DATA PUPIL CAPACITY OF EACH EXISTING SCHOOL BUILIDNG ASSUMPTIONS: • No new construction of additional space forecasted. • No immediate renovations of existing space. • Unassigned pupil capacity is factored to ensure flexibility of program delivery, allow for program enhancements, and allow for appropriate space for instructional support activities. • All existing instructional support spaces remain instructional support spaces. • Allocation of three classrooms district-wide for Pre-K at class section size of 18 pupils (108 half day; 54 full day pupils). • Pupil Capacity based on implemented class sizes per classroom of: ◊ Kindergarten and grade 1: 20 pupils ◊ Grades 2 and 3: 22 pupils ◊ Grades 4, 5, and 6: 24 pupils ◊ Grades 7-12: 25 pupils (Note: Often for specialized Grades 7-12 courses, it is likely that the class sizes for such specialized courses may be between 10-(or fewer pupils as approved by the board)-and 25 pupils. During other instructional periods of the day, it is likely a classroom will host class sizes near the 25 pupil number for other courses less specialized.) Mayfield K-6 Pupil Capacity Northville K-6 Pupil Capacity 576 286 Total K-6 Pupil Capacity Currently Available: 862 Anticipated K-6 Pupil Capacity Need in five years: 738-841 Mayfield 7-12 Pupil Capacity Northville 7-12 Pupil Capacity 373 515 Total 7-12 Pupil Capacity Currently Available: 888 Anticipated 7-12 Pupil Capacity Need in ten years: 691-744 - 79 - DATA DISTRICT: MAYFIELD EXISTING K-6 ELEMENTARY SPACES AVAILBLE FOR DIRECT INSTRUCTION: Use or Subject Size (Sq. ft.) Minimum standard elementary class sq. footage is 770. Pre-K to 6th (over 550 square feet) Plus 1000’ 900’ 725’ 700’ 696’ 675’ 667’ 625’ Number of Existing Rooms (SED pupil capacity rating each): 4 6 2 8 1 7 2 1 (27) (27) (25) (24) (24) (23) (23) (21) Number of Grade level classes with assumed Class Size Goals: Pre-K: 18 K and gr. 1: 20 Gr. 2 and 3: 22 Gr. 4,5,6: 24 Special ed: 12:1:1 Pre-K: 2 Pupil Capacity Calculated Based on Assumed Class Size Goals Half-day 36 Full day 18 K-1: 8 160 7 154 Grades 2-3: Grades 4-6: 7 Special Needs self-contained: 6 Classroom or Unassigned instructional space for flexibility and/or to add an instructional support function or a pre-k: 1 31 31 Total Instructional Rooms ESTIMATED NET K-6 PUPIL CAPACITY TO USE FOR INITIAL PLANNING 168 72 22 576 pupils EXISTING ELEMENTARY SPACES “reserved” FOR BASELINE INSTRUCTIONAL SUPPORT SERVICES (such spaces do not generate pupil capacity) Computer Lab 784 Speech/Language 700 Art 1400 Stage X Vocal music 672 Occupational 280 Cafeteria 1872 Therapy Instrumental music 728 Physical 700 Teachers’ conf. x Therapy rm. Library 1600 School 450 psychologist Gym 3869 Reading 280 Social worker 450 Gym 6630 Reading 280 Piano lab 696 Reading 270 Reading 270 (Existing offices, faculty work rooms, nurse, storage, operations and maintenance spaces, bathrooms, kitchen, locker rooms and similar spaces are assumed to be continued as used.) - 80 - DATA DISTRICT: MAYFIELD EXISTING 7-12 SECONDARY SPACES FOR DIRECT INSTRUCTION Use or Subject No. of Size (Sq. Square feet Functional Pupil rooms Ft.) per pupil Pupil Capacity station; Capacity by SED maximum Assumed guidelines pupil stations Class Size to (SED Building Goal of 25 determine Aid pupils per Building Guidelines) classroom or Aid Units SED guideline, which ever is smaller. Ag shop and CR 75 sq ft = 20 max 1 1247 25 25 Art 45 sq ft = 25 max 1 1900 25 25 Business Ed 2 792 35 sq ft = 24 max Computer CR 35 sq. ft = 24 max Distributive Ed 50 sq ft = 20 max Keyboarding 35 sq ft = 24 max Home & Careers 1 1247 Music: Classroom 50 sq ft = 24 max 50 44 25 25 25 17 Instrumental 1 1088 25 sq ft = 30 max 25 sq ft x .4 Vocal 1 1088 20 sq ft x .4 25 21 Technology 1 627 75 sq ft = 24 max 8 8 - 81 - DATA Use or Subject No. of rooms Size (Sq. Ft.) Mech. Drawing & CAD Science: General Square feet per pupil station; maximum pupil stations (SED Building Aid Guidelines) Functional Pupil Capacity Assumed Class Size Goal of 25 pupils per classroom or SED guideline, which ever is smaller. Pupil Capacity by SED guidelines to determine Building Aid Units 35 sq ft = 25 max 30 sq ft = 30 max 1 792 30 sq ft = 30 max 25 26 Biology (Living 1 Environment) 792 50 sq ft = 24 max 25 15 Chemistry 1 792 50 sq ft = 24 max 25 15 Physics 1 986 50 sq ft = 24 max 25 19 32 32 30 30 Earth Library Reading Rm Phys Ed: 1st stationup to 500 pupils 2nd station501 – 1000 pupils Each additional500 pupils or fraction Pool 800 1 5400 25 sq ft max of 15% ps-ic 48 x 66 (3168) max 30 48 x 66 (3168) max 30 36 x 52 (1872) Max 30 Max 30 - 82 - DATA Use or Subject No. of rooms Size (Sq. Ft.) Study Hall if so designated Interchangeable Classrooms Square feet per pupil station; maximum pupil stations (SED Building Aid Guidelines) Functional Pupil Capacity Assumed Class Size Goal of 25 pupils per classroom or SED guideline, which ever is smaller. Pupil Capacity by SED guidelines to determine Building Aid Units 25 150 150 100 30 180 180 100 16.5 sq ft max of 40% ps ic 1 6 6 4 968’ 986’ 805’ 660’ 26 sq. ft = 30 max Raw Total of Existing Pupil Stations: Special Needs Classrooms: (690’, 805’) 770 24 Total existing: 770 Minus 200: -200 Equals: 570 Divided by 1.16: 491 Plus special needs: 24 EQUALS TOTAL PUPIL CAPACITY OF THE SCHOOL BUILDING: 515 EXISTING SECONDARY SPACES “reserved” FOR BASELINE INSTURCTIONAL SUPPORT SERVICES (such spaces do not generate pupil capacity) 528 X 5628 Computer lab Guidance Auditorium 616 986 x Special Needs Cafeteria 792 Resource Rooms 660 660 520 3445 AIS, PM School Smart board instruction x Distance learning 378 library x Weight Room Faculty workroom 360 CRASH 7 - 83 - DATA EXISTING K-6 ELEMENTARY SPACES AVAILBLE FOR DIRECT INSTRUCTION: Use or Subject Size (Sq. ft.) Minimum standard elementary class sq. footage is 770. Pre-K to 6th (over 550 square feet) 990’ 845’ 832’ 804’ 660’ Number of Existing Rooms (SED pupil capacity rating each): 1 1 5 4 3 (27) (27) (27) (27) (23) Number of Grade level classes with assumed Class Size Goals: Pre-K: 18 K and gr. 1: 20 Gr. 2 and 3: 22 Gr. 4,5,6: 24 Special ed: 12:1:1 Pre-K: 1 Pupil Capacity Calculated Based on Assumed Class Size Goals Half-day 18 Full day 36 K-1: 4 80 4 88 4 96 0 Classroom or Unassigned instructional space for flexibility and/or to add an instructional support function or a pre-k: 1 14 0 Grades 2-3: Grades 4-6: Special Needs: 14 Total Instructional Rooms ESTIMATED NET K-6 PUPIL CAPACITY TO USE FOR INITIAL PLANNING 22 286 pupils EXISTING ELEMENTARY SPACES “reserved” FOR BASELINE INSTRUCTIONAL SUPPORT SERVICES (such spaces do not generate pupil capacity) Computer Lab 832 Speech/Language 209 Auditorium K-12 3152 Art Vocal music Library K-12 Library Classroom Library workroom Gym 1145 605 3065 860 860 3855 Intervention reading and math 630 780 780 Special Needs Resource Rooms 632 Elementary Reading Testing 185 845 Cafeteria K-12 X Teachers’ conf. rm. X (Existing offices, faculty work rooms, nurse, storage, operations and maintenance spaces, bathrooms, kitchen, locker rooms and similar spaces are assumed to be continued as used.) - 84 - DATA DISTRICT: NORTHVILLE EXISTING 7-12 SECONDARY SPACES FOR DIRECT INSTRUCTION Use or Subject No. of rooms Size (Sq. Ft.) Ag shop and CR Square feet per pupil station; maximum pupil stations (SED Building Aid Guidelines) Functional Pupil Capacity Assumed Class Size Goal of 25 pupils per classroom or SED guideline, which ever is smaller. Pupil Capacity by SED guidelines to determine Building Aid Units 75 sq ft = 20 max Art 1 1010 45 sq ft = 25 max 25 22 Business Ed 1 680 35 sq ft = 24 max 25 18 25 17 25 20 Computer CR 35 sq. ft = 24 max Distributive Ed 50 sq ft = 20 max Keyboarding 35 sq ft = 24 max Home & Careers 1 885 Music: Classroom 50 sq ft = 24 max Instrumental 1 1260 25 sq ft = 30 max 25 sq ft x .4 Vocal 1 792 20 sq ft x .4 25 15 Technology 1 1858 75 sq ft = 24 max 25 24 - 85 - DATA Use or Subject No. of rooms Size (Sq. Ft.) Mech. Drawing & CAD Science: General Square feet per pupil station; maximum pupil stations (SED Building Aid Guidelines) Functional Pupil Capacity Assumed Class Size Goal of 25 pupils per classroom or SED guideline, which ever is smaller. Pupil Capacity by SED guidelines to determine Building Aid Units 25 28 35 sq ft = 25 max 30 sq ft = 30 max 30 sq ft = 30 max 1 865 Biology (Living 1 Environment) 1 865 785 50 sq ft = 24 max 25 25 17 15 Chemistry 1 540 50 sq ft = 24 max 25 10 Physics 1 792 50 sq ft = 24 max 25 15 30 30 Earth Library Reading Rm Phys Ed: 1st stationup to 500 pupils 2nd station501 – 1000 pupils Each additional500 pupils or fraction Pool 25 sq ft max of 15% ps-ic 1 3856 48 x 66 (3168) max 30 48 x 66 (3168) max 30 36 x 52 (1872) Max 30 Max 30 - 86 - DATA Use or Subject No. of rooms Size (Sq. Ft.) Study Hall if so designated Interchangeable Classrooms Square feet per pupil station; maximum pupil stations (SED Building Aid Guidelines) Functional Pupil Capacity Assumed Class Size Goal of 25 pupils per classroom or SED guideline, which ever is smaller. Pupil Capacity by SED guidelines to determine Building Aid Units 25 25 100 50 50 25 25 22 25 100 52 60 30 30 16.5 sq ft max of 40% ps ic 1 1 4 2 2 1 1 580’ 642’ 660’ 680’ 805’ 835’ 990’ 26 sq. ft = 30 max Raw Total of Existing Pupil Stations: Special Needs Classrooms: 2 (630’, 645’) 605 24 Total existing: 605 Minus 200: -200 Equals: 405 Divided by 1.16: 349 Plus special needs: 24 EQUALS TOTAL PUPIL CAPACITY OF THE SCHOOL BUILDING: 373 EXISTING SECONDARY SPACES “reserved” FOR BASELINE INSTURCTIONAL SUPPORT SERVICES (such spaces do not generate pupil capacity) Computer lab Special Needs Resource Rooms IT Tech room Weight room 780 780 715 290 680 Guidance 695 Social Worker 350 CSE office School store 850 350 - 87 - C. SES STUDY TEAM “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” October 2011 December 2011 MAYFIELD CS NORTHVILLE CS SUMMARY RESULTS OF THE 2010-11 BUILDING CONDITION SURVEYS (BCS) DATA FOR DISCUSSION BY THE COMMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE: DATA -- 88 -- Building: Building: Building: Estimated capital construction expenses anticipated through 2015-2016 in addition to “Items judged unsatisfactory” Elementary Jr/Sr High School Bus Maintenance $0 ($53,700 in possible capital projects was identified ... spill prevention plan $13,000; light replacement $25,000; reseal floors $9400; ) None $70,000 (another $800,000 in possible capital projects was identified ... ie tennis courts $300,000; elevator $97,500; panel boards $56,000; lights $22,000; phone system $187,500; water heater $9400; power elements $187,500) None $0 ($3.3 million in possible capital projects was identified ... ie asphalt replacement $34,000; playground $62,5000; all-weather track $812,500; ceiling tiles $562,500; roof $750,000; electrical $929,300) None Mayfield C. SES STUDY TEAM K-12 Building Northville $0 -- 89 -- Roofs; air handling and ventilation systems; fire alarm system; smoke detection system; emergency lighting; door hardware; windows Est. $436,000 Overall building rating: Unsatisfactory Bus garage $1,225,000 (ie ceiling replacement $90,000; replace gym lockers $80,000; ADA compliant hardware $75,000; replace phone system $145,000; replace old carpet $30,000; replace VAT $30,000; repoint mortar $25,000; reroof 1934 wing $750,000) None “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” (There are no ‘non-functioning’ or ‘critical failure’ items identified in the survey.) Items judged unsatisfactory: Estimated capital construction expenses anticipated through 2015-2016 in addition to “Items judged unsatisfactory” (There are no ‘non-functioning’ or ‘critical failure’ items identified in the survey.) Items judged unsatisfactory: Estimated capital construction expenses anticipated through 2015-2016 in addition to “Items judged unsatisfactory” (There are no ‘non-functioning’ or ‘critical failure’ items identified in the survey.) Items judged unsatisfactory: SUMMARY OF THE 2010-11 BUILDING CONDITIONS SURVEYS DATA Critical Failure: Excellent: Satisfactory: Unsatisfactory: Non-Functioning: C. SES STUDY TEAM “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” -- 90 -- System is in new or like-new condition and functioning optimally; only routine maintenance and repair is needed. System functioning reliably; routine maintenance and repair needed. System is functioning unreliably or has exceeded its useful life. Repair or replacement of some or all components is needed. System is non-functioning, not functioning as designed, or is unreliable in ways that could endanger occupant health and/or safety. Repair or replacement of some or all components is needed. Same at ‘non-functioning’ with the addition that the condition of at least one component is so poor that at least part of the building or grounds should not be occupied pending needed repairs/replacement or some or all components is needed The items of the Building Condition Survey are rated by the engineer/architect using the following scale: DATA The Building Condition Survey (BCS) is a facility review process to be conducted every five years as required by the State Education Department. A licensed architect or engineer has completed the survey for each of the buildings within the two school districts of the study. There are 114 items on the survey. The various categories of items include questions about: Space adequacy Site utilities and features Substructure (ex. foundation) Building envelope Interior spaces Plumbing Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems Fire safety systems Accessibility Environment/comfort/health Indoor air quality Relation with the American Red Cross and emergency shelter use The information listed above is a summary of examples obtained from the Building Condition Surveys (BCS) completed during the 2010-11 school year as prepared by the architects and forwarded to SED by the Districts. For a complete Building Condition Survey that was filed with the SED, please contact the respective district office. Please note that it is possible that some of these items may have been addressed by the district after the BCS was filed. DATA DATA FOR DISCUSSION BY THE COMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE: 2010-2011 SCHOOL YEAR GRADE LEVEL CLASS SECTION ENROLLMENTS AS OF OCTOBER 1, 2010 MAYFIELD CS NORTHVILLE CS May 2011 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” C. SES STUDY TEAM -91- c.SES STUDY TEAM 17 17 20 17 GRADE 3 GRADE 3 Range GRADE 3 Average “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 17 17 13-15 14 20 21 19 19-21 20 GRADE 2 13 15 20 20 20 20 14-15 15 14 15 8-9 9 Northville Elementary 8 9 GRADE 2 Range GRADE 2 Average 19 19 20 17 17-20 19 21 20 20 20-21 20 Mayfield Elementary 18 18 15 15-18 17 22 21 22 21-22 22 GRADE 1 Range GRADE 1 Average GRADE 1 K Range K Average KINDERGARTEN RE-K Range PRE-K Average PRE-K GRADE LEVEL DATA 2010-2011 SCHOOL YEAR GRADE LEVEL CLASS SECTION ENROLLMENTS AS OCTOBER 1, 2011 - 92 - c.SES STUDY TEAM 24 25 25 24-25 25 Mayfield Elementary 24 23 23 23-24 23 17 18 18 17-18 18 22 22 13 inclusion 20 20 19 13-20 18 22 22 Northville High School 17 18 8 8-18 14 20 20 16-17 17 Northville Elementary 20 17 16 20 20 Mayfield High School 17 23 24 17-24 21 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” GRADE 8 Range GRADE 8 Average GRADE 8 GRADE 7 Range GRADE 7 Average GRADE 7 ENGLISH CLASSES GRADE LEVEL 2010-2011 SCHOOL YEAR GRADES 7-12 ENGLISH CLASS SECTION ENROLLMENTS AS OF OCTOBER 1, 2011 GRADE 6 Range GRADE 6 Average GRADE 6 GRADE 5 Range GRADE 5 Average GRADE LEVEL GRADE 5 GRADE 4 Range GRADE 4 Average GRADE 4 DATA - 93 - c.SES STUDY TEAM 10-19 16 17 12 10 10-17 13 26 23 18 18-26 22 18 19 10 15-21 18 15 21 19-20 20 19 20 12 23 27 16 12-27 20 13 25 20 inclusion 23 13-25 20 16 inclusion 22 22 18 16-22 20 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” GRADE 12 Range GRADE 12 Average GRADE 12 GRADE 11 Range GRADE 11 Average GRADE 11 GRADE 10 Range GRADE 10 Average GRADE 10 GRADE 9 Range GRADE 9 Average GRADE 9 DATA - 94 - c.SES STUDY TEAM “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 95 - 3. Consulting with the resource teacher at the beginning of each marking period to establish the teacher's expectation of the student and at the end of each marking period to assist in evaluating the student. 2. Recognizing that the mainstreamed student is to be evaluated by the resource teacher; and In the event such weighting occurs, the involved teacher shall consult in developing the IEP's by: 1. Recognizing that the mainstreamed student will exhibit a lower level of participation then the regular student; 1. If such assignment occurs for three (3) or more instructional periods per day at grades 7-12 or for one-half (1/2) day or more for grades K-6, each student shall be weighted as +2 (i.e., one (1) mainstreamed handicapped student = two (2) regular students for the purpose of computing class size and appropriate adjustment shall be made as required by Article 3.4 and 3.5 of the Agreement. "In the event handicapped students are mainstreamed into the regular classroom, such students will be weighted as follows: Memorandum Side Letter: Article 3.4: "It is agreed that the class size limits set forth in 3.4 above shall be used by the District as maximum class sizes in planning the number of class sections for the subsequent year. Such planning will be finalized by July 1 of each year. Any new students who register with the District subsequent to July 1 of any year may be assigned without regard to the class size limits set forth in 3.4. In the event the class size exceeds 27 students in K; 30 students in grades 1-3; or 32 students in grades 4-6; the Administration shall assign teacher aides on the basis of 40 minutes of aide time for each student in excess of the limits which are set forth in 3.4 above." Article 3.3: "In the elementary grades, the number of pupils enrolled in any section in Kindergarten will not exceed 25 students; grades 1-3 27 students; grades 4-6 29 students; grades 7-12 30 students. The Administration will consider additional help for teachers assigned larger class loads. Extended departmentalizations will be granted in grades 4, 5 and 6." Article 3.2: "The daily pupil load of secondary teachers, except physical education teachers, will not exceed 150 pupils; the number of pupils in assigned study halls and/or homeroom periods will not be considered when determining daily per pupil load. PE teachers may exceed 150 pupils because of the limited PE facilities." Mayfield CS DATA TEACHER CONTRACT LANGUAGE REFERENCES TO CLASS SIZE c.SES STUDY TEAM “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 96 - 3.5 At the Secondary level, each regular classroom teacher load will be maintained at not more than 125 pupils per day subject to the limitations of building facilities and state mandates. The areas of chorus, band, physical education, and drama will be maintained at no more than 150 pupils per day subject to the limitations of building facilities and state mandates. under the limitations of our building facilities and current state mandates. The above will be maintained by actual enrollment as of the last teaching day of the preceding school year. Exempt from this provision are chorus, band and physical education. All physical education classes will be equitably distributed and chorus will be capped at one chorus assignment per day. a. The Board will maintain as follows: K-3 20-27 students 4-6 24-30 students Northville CS DATA c.SES STUDY TEAM “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” MAY 2011 MAYFIELD AND NORTHVILLE CENTRAL SCHOOLS PROGRAM ELEMENTS OF THE GRADES PRE-KINDERGARTEN THROUGH GRADE SIX PROGRAM DELIVERED IN THE 2010-2011 SCHOOL YEAR BY THE DATA FOR DISCUSSION BY THE COMMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE: DATA - 97 - General Music K-6 1X Week for 40 minutes, Chorus before school 2Xweek Band during school and before school for grades 4-6 K-3 2 40 minutes per week and 4-6 3 40 minutes per week PreK-4 1x per week for 40 minutes, Grades 5/6 1x during enrichment Vocal Music Instrumental Music Physical Education c.SES STUDY TEAM Special Education teachers work with reading and classroom teachersGrades 1-2, 3-4, and 5-6 40 minutes per week PreK through grade 6, Art Club General Music 40 minutes per week PreK though 6th grade Vocal-40 minutes 2X week, Grades 5-6 chorus 40 minutes 2X week and lessons are 1X week for 30 minutes 2X week for 40 minutes grades K-6 Committee Member “highlight/reminder” Notes: 1 40 minute class each week (Serviced by Library Media Specialist and Teacher Assistant “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” K-6 1X Week Art Library, Media Special Ed consultant for push-in with Science and Social Studies in grades 2-6 Consideration of data related to students including reading and math scores, teachers’ recommendations for placement, social promotions, CSE status, Response to Intervention, and social/emotional stability of students Kindergarten, 1st, 4th have four sections. Pre-K, 2nd, 3rd, 5th and 6th have 3 sections. Academic and Behavioral concerns are taken into account when determining placement. Special education students grouped in one homeroom per grade level. Combined 1-2 and 3-4 for special education purposes. 12:1:1 are K-2 and 3-6 Grades 3-6 have a 40 minute enrichment period- (taught by homeroom teachers) AIS, Piano Lab, Book Club and Library. K-2 for AIS and Resource 8:1:1 for grades 2-4. Multiage for grades 3-4 in general education classrooms. After school (10th period) homework club 2 days/week grades 2-6; AIS and Title services grades K-6; Resource Grades K-6; Library Club; Pre K program Northville Pre K program Mayfield Team-Teaching Options Combined/ Multi-Age Offerings Enrichment Pre-Grade level transitions K-6 Core Program Element - 98 - DATA ELEMENTS OF THE GRADES PRE-KINDERGARTEN THROUGH GRADE SIX PROGRAM DELIVERED CURRENTLY Mayfield 1.0 FTE (see Reading, above) Provided in classroom 1.0 FTE, serves elementary Through a referral process based upon RTI and IEP’s 1.6 FTE as push-in and pull-out services for Title-eligible students As needed (Contracted out) 1.0 FTE for entire district; does all CSE testing and counseling; serves as resource to Response To Intervention teams For IEP counseling and as needed, .4 FTE Committee Member “highlight/reminder” Notes: “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 1.6 FTE Therapist for the elementary and high schoolsservices 60 students See above in reading instruction Limited to Grades 3-6 AIS students (Only taught by homeroom teachers during AIS) 3.5 FTE teachers, 30 minutes per day for K-3, push-in reading support as well as 4-6 pull-out for students who struggle with reading and writing Minimal-ERSS 6-10 students 1.0 FTE-Full time through the district and .2 through the BOCES. Full time assigned to the elementary program and does all CSE testing and counseling. .2 is 1X week assigned to high school and does CSE testing only. 2 days per week, Steps to Respect and Personal Safety Curriculum and IEP counseling c.SES STUDY TEAM Remedial Reading Remedial Math Speech (nonspecial needs pupils) Speech/special needs Psychiatric Foreign Language English as a Second Language Reading Instruction Resource Officer Psychologist Social Worker Guidance Counseling Program Element DATA Northville - 99 - Yes, grades 3-6 Grades 4-6; volunteer advisor Open to grades 2-12 students; volunteer advisors; number of teams dependent upon student interest; generally 1-2 meetings per week Committee Member “highlight/reminder” Notes: “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Grades 5-6, 40 minutes 1X week c.SES STUDY TEAM Student Council Intramurals Art Club Open to grades 3-6 students 1 to 2 days per week for approximately one month. After school, no transportation provided, volunteer advisor (20 students) As per IEP’s (see above) 1.0 FTE primary grades K-3; 1.0 intermediate grades 3-6 all IEP driven 8:1:1 in-district for grades 2-4; 4 students 12:1:4 for multiply handicapped students out-of-district 2 students 4 teachers at the elementary school and 6 teachers at the high school Resource Room for special needs pupils Special needs-self contained classrooms Special needsintegrated Specialized Academic Programs: Primary Mental Health Elementary Odyssey of the Mind .6 FTE through BOCES provides IEP mandated services 1.0 FTE OTR and .8 COTA-Full time is assigned to the elementary school and the part time is assigned to the high school but also helps with elementary program Occupational Therapy 12:1:1 for grades K-3/1 teacher and 1 aide (6 students) 12:1:1 for grades 3-6/1 teacher and 1 aide (6 students) .6 FTE through BOCES provides IEP mandated services Part of reading and speech instruction 1.0 FTE nurse for entire district 1.0 FTE provides services K-12 for 20 students See above in reading instruction 1.0 FTE Nurse at the elementary school Mayfield Physical Therapy Health Services Remedial Writing Program Element DATA Northville - 100 - Mayfield Elementary yearbook, volunteer advisor Elementary Drama Club (fall play; spring musical) volunteer advisor PTO sponsored karate and tennis lessons Committee Member “highlight/reminder” Notes: “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Exploring Student Potential: Grades 4-6 students based on academic performance and overall character. Program is designed to engage and challenge top students. Meets 1-2 days per week, teacher stipend, lasts for 30 weeks, no transportation provided (20 students) 5/6 students, teacher stipend, meets approximately 20 times per year c.SES STUDY TEAM Yearbook Other Extra Curricular Program Element DATA Northville - 101 - c.SES STUDY TEAM “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” June 2011 - 102 - MAYFIELD AND NORTHVILLE CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICTS FOR THE PROGRAM ELEMENTS OF THE GRADES 7-12 PROGRAM DELIVERED IN THE 2010-2011 SCHOOL YEAR DATA FOR DISCUSSION BY THE COMMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE: DATA 1.0 FTE 2.0 FTE, Spanish 2.0 FTE, teach more than one grade level 1.0 FTE, teaches more than one grade level 1.0 Band and Lessons, teaches more than one grade level 1.0 Chorus, teaches more than one grade level, includes Music in Our Lives, History of Music, Rock Band/Music Industry 2.0 FTE, 1 certified and one out of prime certification 1.0 Spanish teacher and 1.0 French teacher 3.0 FTE, 2 certified and 1 out of prime certification 1 Part time teacher Jr. High Band and lessons Jr. High Chorus Health Art Language Physical Education Home and Careers Instrumental Music Vocal Music c.SES STUDY TEAM 9-12 SS 9-12 Courses 9-12 English “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 2.0 FTE teachers for Global 9, 10, US History, Principles in Government, American Political Systems, Honors Economics 2.0 FTE teachers for Eng 9, 10, 11, 12, College English, Writing Workshop, Public Speaking, 1.0 FTE 3 teachers-shared with 1 full time and 2 part time 4.0 FTE teachers for English 9, 10, 11 and Senior English, Corporate Communications, English 103 and 104, Speak Your Mind (elective) 4.0 FTE teachers for Global 9 and 10, US History, AP US History, Economics, Participation in Government, College Government (elective), Holocaust (elective), AP Psychology (elective) 1 teacher, teaches more than one grade level Science 8 Other Gr 8 Technology 2 teachers shared with 7th and 8th grades 1 teacher 1 teacher 1 teacher 1 teacher 1 teacher; some 8th graders accelerated with high school teacher 2 teachers shared with 7th and 8th SS 7 Math 7 Science 7 English 8 SS 8 Math 8 2 teachers, both teach more than one grade level 1 teacher dual certified 1 teacher, teaches more than one grade level 1 teacher, teaches more than one grade level 1 teacher, teaches more than one grade level 1 teacher, teaches more than one grade level 1 teacher, teaches more than one grade level Northville 2 teachers shared with 7th and 9th grades Mayfield English 7 Subject Categories and Program Elements ELEMENTS OF THE GRADES 7-12 PROGRAM DELIVERED CURRENTLY 2010-2011 DATA - 103 - Committee Member “highlight/reminder” Notes: 3.0 FTE teachers for 7-12 art, includes 7/8 art, drawing and painting, cartooning, computer art, studio art, television production, Ceramics I, II, AP Studio Art, Graphic Design and Advertising Art (Note: Art courses are singletons in the secondary level) Students sent to CTC in Johnstown, 44 students in 2010-2011 Art c.SES STUDY TEAM Advanced Placement Courses 20 Students go to CTC in Johnstown (Students can earn an 5 unit sequence in Career/Tech at Northville 1.0FTE Pre-K-8 and 1.0FTE 9-12 1.0 FTE Teacher teaches Health and Home and Careers 2.0 FTE, Spanish I, II, III, IV, 2.0 FTE See Above: Health Sr. High Band/Lessons Music In Our Lives, History of Music, Rock Band/History 1.0 FTE, Construction, Small Engine Repair, Design and Drawing 3.0 FTE teachers, Earth Science, Living Env, Chemistry, Physics, Environmental Science, , Adirondack Science, College Bio, College Chemistry 1.0 FTE, CFM, Escape, Marketing, BA/BCA, NCS School Store 2.0FTE teachers, Math 1, Algebra Yr I,II, Geometry, Geometry Yr I, II, Algebra/Trig, Financial Algebra, Pre-Calc, Calc Northville “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” AP US History: 12-15 AP Psych: 26 AP Bio: 6 2.0 FTE: Spanish II, III, IV, V and French II, III, IV, V 2.0 FTE .5 FTE Grades 7 and 8 only Sr. High Band and Lessons Sr. High Choir Language Physical Education Home and Careers Instrumental Music Vocal Music Career and Technical Programs 1.0 FTE 1.5 teachers: Careers and Fin. Management, Computer Literacy, Web 2.0, Desktop Publishing, Principles of Business, Sports and Entertainment Marketing, Accounting, Math and Financial Applications, Career Exploration Internship 7.0 FTE teachers: 1 Distance Learning (College: Pre Calc), Integrated Algebra, Algebra Yr 1 and 2, Geometry, Geometry Yr 1, Algebra/Trig, Algebra/Trig Yr 1, Algebra/Trig Yr 2, College Calc, Statistics, Applied Math and Computer Programming I, II 5.0 FTE teachers: 1 Distance Learning (Forensic Science), Living Environment, Earth Science, Chemistry, Physics, Applied Chemistry, Environmental Science and APBiology Mayfield Health Technology Business 9-12 Science 9-12 Math Subject Categories and Program Elements DATA - 104 - Committee Member “highlight/reminder” Notes: c.SES STUDY TEAM Graduation Sequences Available to Pupils at the Home School Courses provided by teleconferencing or other distance learning programs List of Singletons by Subject Name with less than 14 pupils enrolled Subject Categories and Program Elements Other Opportunities, ex college sponsored programs Design/Drawing: 13 Small Engine: 8 Construction: 8 Spanish I in Grade 9: 7 BA/BCA: 9 Marketing: 6 Research Seminar: 7 Physics: 10 College Bio/Chem: 10 Pre Calc: 5 Calc: 5 American Political Sys: 12 Financial Algebra: 12 Outdoor Living: 8 Music Lives: 9 History of Music: 10 Rock Band: 10 College Drawing: 10 Ceramics: 9 College English: 12 Drawing/Painting: 8 Writing Workshop: 10 Adirondack Science: 10 Spanish IV: 7 Psychology: 11 For Advanced Regents: Nine Credit sequence is available in the Arts/Music area Northville College Spanish II, College Drawing, College Ceramics, Research Seminar, College Biology, College Chemistry, Pre Calc, Calc, College English, American Political Systems “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” For Advanced Regents students can replace 3 unit Foreign Language requirement with five unit sequence in art, music, fine arts, business and career education AP Bio: 6 Advanced Studio Art: 12 Bach to Rock: 9 Music Drama I: 12 Applied Math: 12 Algebra/Trig Yr 2: 4 Princ of Business: 9 CEIP: 11 Video Production: 13 Graphic Art: 12 Drawing: 13 French V: 13 Applied Chem: 6 Spanish IV: 11 Spanish V: 5 Integrated Algebra Accelerated: 11 Algebra/Trig: 1 Geometry: 4 College Calc: 3 AP US History: 12 Pre-Calc, Forensics Science Mayfield College Credit: Eng 103, 104, Principles of Business, Intermediate French I/II, Pre-Calc, Calc, College Govt, American History, Intermediate Spanish I/II DATA - 105 - Committee Member “highlight/reminder” Notes: c.SES STUDY TEAM Clubs Subject Categories and Program Elements 7th grade: 12 8th grade: 10 9th grade: 20 10th grade: 6 11th grade: 12 12th grade: 45 Art Club: 15 Band/Jazz: 19 Marching Band: 45 Bowling: 12 Chorus Club: 35 Drama Club: 35 FTA: 8 Library Club: 26 Girls Athletic Assc: 14 Green Club: 8 Golf Club: 16 International Club: 19 Internet Club: 16 Men’s Indoor Soccer: 15 Odyssey Mind: 36 NHS: 11 Peer Leadership: 8 Readers of the Round: 11 SADD: 8 Student Council: 25 Tech Club: 5 Tennis Club: 9 Varsity Club: 22 Yearbook Club: 7 Northville “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Class of 2011: 73 2012: 82 2013: 80 2014: 89 2015: 75 2016: 73 School Store/Key Club:20 Yearbook: 20 Builders Club: 20 Cheerleading :13 Guitar Club: 12 Student Council: 35 Post Prom/SADD:15 Jr/Sr Vocal :90 Jr Honor Society: 36 Sr Honor Society: 34 Band Booster: 65 Drama: 100 Gay/Straight Alliance: 15 Mural Club: 10 Outdoor Club Mayfield DATA - 106 - Committee Member “highlight/reminder” Notes: 1.0 FTE 1.8 FTE .2FTE 1X Week, plus 1.0 FTE Psychologist Speech Counseling Resource Room Physical Therapy Occupational Therapy Psychologist Psychiatrist Social Worker Self-Contained c.SES STUDY TEAM Jazz Band 1X Week (stipend) 20 Select Choir 1X Week (stipend) 5 Musical Drama: During school day: 12 Drama Club: Evenings in the winter: 100+ 1.6 FTE Speech Therapist 2.5 FTE 5.4 FTE Special Education Teachers for Grades 7 through 12 Music Drama 1.0 FTE Social Worker 1.0 FTE Counselor for 7-12 Grades .5 FTE Special Ed for 7-8, and 1.0 FTE Special Ed Teacher for 9-12. Resource Room available for 7-12 special ed students. Golf: M/F: V, Stipend-11 Boys Mod Soccer, S-21 Girls Mod Soccer,S-13 Boys JV Soccer, S-18 Girls JV Soccer, S-17 Boys V Soccer, S-18 Girls V Soccer, S-15 Boys 7th Gr Hoops, S-10 Boys 8th Gr Hoops, S-11 Girls 8th Gr Hoops, S-8 Boys JV Hoops, S-14 Boys V Hoops, S-8 Girls JV Hoops, S-8 Girls V Hoops, S-10 Cheerleading, S-15 Boys Mod Baseball, S-13 Boys JV Baseball, S-16 Girls V Softball, S-14 Mod Track:S- 7 V Track: S-25 Mayfield “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 12:1:1 Life Skills and 12:1:4 Girls Soccer: Mod, JV, V: Stipend-45 Boys Soccer: Mod, JV, V: Stipend-50 X-Country: M/F: Mod, JV, V: Stipend-23 Volleyball: F: Mod, JV, V, Stipend: 49 Golf: M/F V: Stipend-7 Swim Team: F: V: Stipend-5 Hoops/Boys: Mod, JV, V: Stipend-42 Hoops/Girls: Mod, JV, V: Stipend-38 Cheerleading: M/F: JV/ V: Stipend-14 Bowling: M/F: JV/V: Stipend-21 Nordic Ski: M/F: Mod, JV, V: Stipend-19 Swim Team: M: V: Volunteer-2 Baseball: M: Mod/JV/V: Stipend Softball: F: Mod/JV/V: Stipend Track/Field: M/F Subject Categories and Program Elements Interscholastic Sports M/F Intramural Sports M/F DATA - 107 - Northville c.SES STUDY TEAM “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” August 2011 October 201 MAYFIELD CS NORTHVILLE CS GRADES 7-12 INTERSCHOLASTIC ATHLETICS CLUBS AND DRAMA/MUSIC CURRENT 2010-2011 PROGRAM ELEMENTS: DATA FOR DISCUSSION BY THE COMMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE: DATA - 108 - c.SES STUDY TEAM Mod Soccer – Girls JV Soccer – Girls Varsity Soccer – Girls Mod XC – Girls Mod Soccer – Boys JV Soccer – Boys Varsity Soccer – Boys Mod XC - Boys JV XC – Boys Varsity XC – Boys Mod BB – Boys 7th Grade BB – Boys 8th Grade BB – Boys JV BB – Boys Varsity BB – Boys Mod Nordic Skiing JV Nordic Skiing Varsity Nordic Skiing Varsity Swimming JV Bowling – Boys Varsity Bowling – Boys Mod Baseball JV BB Varsity BB Mod Track – Boys Varsity Track - Boys Varsity Golf – Boys 15 17 15 6 13 10 13 5 4 3 2 3 6 16 12 13 3 17 7 6 10 16 19 15 NORTHVILLE X 13 17 15 1 14 11 X 15 14 4 12 14 8 21 18 18 X Combined for 2011-12 X NUMBERS OF PUPILS WHO CURRENTLY PARTICIPATE Activities provided in 2010 program and not in 2011 program (x) MAYFIELD “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” SPECIFIC GRADES 7-12 INTERSCHOLASTIC ATHLETIC ACTIVITY DATA X X X X X - 109 - 267 475 c.SES STUDY TEAM 260 46 435 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 22 13 3 8 14 8 10 9 Total Number of PARTICIPANTSDUPLICATED COUNT 2010-2011 total grades 7-12 enrollment unduplicated count X COMBINED FOR 2011-12 X COMBINED FOR 2011-12 Total Number of Teams 10 15 13 10 5 10 11 7 8 5 5 6 6 3 3 8 15 11 11 9 14 4 NUMBERS OF PUPILS WHO CURRENTLY PARTICIPATE Activities provided in 2010 program and not in 2011 program (x) JV XC – Girls Varsity XC - Girls Mod Volleyball – Girls 7th Gr Volleyball – Girls 8th Gr Volleyball – Girl JV Volleyball – Girls Varsity Volleyball - Girls Cheerleading – Fall Mod Basketball – Girls 7th Grade BB – Girls 8th Grade BB – Girls JV BB – Girls Varsity BB – Girls Varsity Swimming - Girls JV Bowling – Girls Varsity Bowling – Girls Mod Nordic Skiing - Girls JV Nordic Skiing - Girls Varsity Nordic Skiing - Girls Varsity Cheerleading – Winter Mod Softball JV SB Varsity SB Mod Track – Girls Varsity Track – Girls INTERSCHOLASTIC ATHLETIC ACTIVITY DATA X X - 110 - c.SES STUDY TEAM “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” $24,619 $1,883 $2,112 $28,614 $726 $1,000 $30,340 Total $ of paid stipends Total FICA paid on stipends Total retirement paid on stipends TOTAL PERSONNEL EXPENDITURE TOTAL SUPPLIES, EQUIPMENT, FEES FOR CO-CURRICULAR TOTAL BUSING COSTS FOR CO-CURRICULAR TOTAL COSTS CO-CURRICULAR: CO-CURRICULAR PROGRAM (NOT INCLUDING MUSIC AND DRAMA) Total grades 7-12 enrollment unduplicated count Per pupil 279 $108.75 NORTHVILLE 2010-2011 31 279 $498.13 $66,808 $5,111 $5,759 $77,677 $10,300 $21,000 $30,000 $138,977 NORTHVILLE 2010-2011 31 CO-CURRICULAR PROGRAM (NOT INCLUDING MUSIC AND DRAMA) Total number of paid STIPEND positions Total $ of paid stipends Total FICA paid on stipends Total retirement paid on stipends TOTAL PERSONNEL EXPENDITURE TOTAL ATHLETIC SUPPLIES, EQUIPMENT, FEES FOR INTERSCHOLASTIC ATHLETICS TOTAL BUSING COSTS FOR INTERSCHOLASTIC ATHLETICS TOTAL COSTS FOR OFFICIALS TOTAL COSTS INTERSCHOLASTIC ATHLETICS Total grades 7-12 enrollment unduplicated count Per pupil expenditure Total number of paid STIPEND positions INTERSCHOLASTIC ATHLETICS INTERSCHOLASTIC AND CO-CURRICULAR PROGRAM COSTS FOR 2011-2012 Note that Northville expenses are listed for 2010-2011 since funds for interscholastic and co-curricular programs in 2011-2012 were decreased significantly. DATA - 111 - 475 $23.20 $11,019 $9,202 $704 $1,113 $11,019 MAYFIELD 2011-2012 10 475 $272.08 $74,940 $5,733 $9,067 $89,740 $6,500 $5,000 $28,000 $129,240 MAYFIELD 2011-2012 26 c.SES STUDY TEAM 279 $64.80 $13,545 $1,036 $1,168 $15,749 $1,331 $1,000 $18,080 NORTHVILLE 2010-2011 15 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Total $ of paid stipends Total FICA paid on stipends Total retirement paid on stipends TOTAL PERSONNEL EXPENDITURE TOTAL MUSIC AND DRAMA CO-CURRICULAR SUPPLIES, EQUIPMENT, FEES TOTAL BUSING COSTS FOR CO-CURRICULAR MUSIC AND DRAMA TOTAL COSTS MUSIC AND DRAMA CO-CURRICULAR: Total grades 7-12 enrollment unduplicated count Per pupil Total number of paid STIPEND positions MUSIC AND DRAMA CO-CURRICULAR PROGRAM DATA 4 - 112 - 475 $23.08 $10,967 $9,156 $701 $1,110 $10,967 MAYFIELD 2011-2012 DATA DATA FOR DISCUSSION BY THE COMMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE: 2009-2010 STUDENT REPORT CARD: SUMMARY OF ELEMENTARY SCHOOL ASSESSMENT RESULTS MAYFIELD CS NORTHVILLE CS August 2011 - 113 - DATA Performance on the State assessments in English Language Arts (ELA), mathematics, and science at the elementary and middle levels is reported in terms of mean scores and the percentage of tested students scoring at or above Level 2, Level 3, and Level 4. About the Performance Level Descriptors Level 1: Not Meeting Learning Standards. Student performance does not demonstrate an understanding of the content expected in the subject and grade level. Level 2: Partially Meeting Learning Standards. Student performance demonstrates a partial understanding of the content expected in the subject and grade level. Level 3: Meeting Learning Standards. Student performance demonstrates an understanding of the content expected in the subject and grade level. Level 4: Meeting Learning Standards with Distinction. Student performance demonstrates a thorough understanding of the content expected in the subject and grade level. SUMMARY OF 2009-2010 ELEMENTARY SCHOOL PERFORMANCE MAYFIELD NORTHVILLE % OF STUDENTS % OF STUDENTS Assessment: WHO SCORED TOTAL WHO SCORED TOTAL AT OR ABOVE TESTED AT OR ABOVE TESTED LEVEL 3 LEVEL 3 ENGLISH LANGUAGE ARTS (ELA) 74 18 Grade 3 58 61 74 33 Grade 4 69 70 69 20 Grade 5 57 65 72 31 Grade 6 64 52 MATHEMATICS 73 18 Grade 3 67 78 74 33 Grade 4 84 67 68 20 Grade 5 78 70 71 31 Grade 6 75 61 SCIENCE 74 33 Grade 4 95 97 - 114 - DATA MAYFIELD CENTRAL SCHOOL STUDENT PERFORMANCE - PERCENTAGE SCORING AT LEVELS 2009-10 2008-09 TEST NO. TESTED LEVEL 2 LEVEL3 LEVEL4 NO. TESTED LEVEL 2 LEVEL 3 LEVEL 4 GR 3 ELA 74 93 58 18 72 96 88 31 GR 3 MATH 73 95 67 22 72 99 94 43 GR 4 ELA 74 96 69 14 66 92 80 12 GR 4 MATH 74 97 84 42 66 94 86 52 GR 4 SCIENCE 74 99 95 72 65 94 91 85 GR 5 ELA 69 86 57 7 71 100 85 14 GR 5 MATH 68 96 78 24 71 97 82 35 GR 6 ELA 72 90 64 10 67 100 88 9 GR 6 MATH 71 96 75 32 68 97 87 24 GR 7 ELA 72 93 49 7 89 100 82 3 GR 7 MATH 72 99 68 19 89 98 85 33 GR 8 ELA 83 89 42 2 85 100 69 5 GR 8 MATH 83 95 65 10 83 100 89 16 GR 8 SCIENCE 71 99 2007-08 79 14 66 98 80 24 2006-07 TEST NO. TESTED LEVEL 2 LEVEL 3 LEVEL 4 NO. TESTED LEVEL 2 LEVEL 3 LEVEL 4 GR 3 ELA 67 93 76 7 72 90 69 11 GR 3 MATH 65 98 88 29 72 99 90 22 GR 4 ELA 70 94 76 9 69 99 75 10 GR 4 MATH 68 99 96 53 68 99 96 35 GR 4 SCI 69 100 96 62 69 99 99 65 GR 5 ELA 72 99 89 3 84 96 61 2 GR 5 MATH 73 97 95 32 84 98 71 6 GR 6 ELA 82 100 63 0 84 98 74 18 GR 6 MATH 80 98 80 25 82 98 80 15 GR 7 ELA 93 99 73 5 100 97 54 4 GR 7 MATH 94 99 79 30 99 94 75 9 GR 8 ELA 97 95 44 3 86 97 48 3 GR 8 MATH 97 94 75 9 84 95 65 8 GR 8 SCI 86 97 83 31 75 97 88 41 - 115 - DATA NORTHVILLE CENTRAL SCHOOL STUDENT PERFORMANCE - PERCENTAGE SCORING AT LEVELS 2009-10 2008-09 TEST NO. TESTED LEVEL 2 LEVEL3 LEVEL4 NO. TESTED LEVEL 2 LEVEL 3 LEVEL 4 GR 3 ELA 18 94 61 11 33 100 82 15 GR 3 MATH 18 100 78 11 32 100 97 13 GR 4 ELA 33 100 70 12 17 100 94 0 GR 4 MATH 33 94 67 18 17 100 94 18 GR 4 SCIENCE 33 100 97 48 16 100 100 94 GR 5 ELA 20 95 65 10 28 100 86 25 GR 5 MATH 20 100 70 5 28 100 86 21 GR 6 ELA 31 94 52 13 40 100 80 8 GR 6 MATH 31 90 61 16 41 98 66 7 GR 7 ELA 49 86 31 4 39 100 77 0 GR 7 MATH 49 86 43 8 38 100 84 21 GR 8 ELA 41 98 54 2 40 100 68 3 GR 8 MATH 41 93 46 5 39 95 90 18 GR 8 SCIENCE 40 98 88 33 29 100 93 7 2007-08 2006-07 TEST NO. TESTED LEVEL 2 LEVEL 3 LEVEL 4 NO. TESTED LEVEL 2 LEVEL 3 LEVEL 4 GR 3 ELA 23 100 74 0 35 86 51 3 GR 3 MATH 22 100 95 9 34 94 82 3 GR 4 ELA 34 97 76 0 39 95 54 5 GR 4 MATH 35 100 89 14 36 94 83 14 GR 4 SCI 32 100 100 69 37 199 100 62 GR 5 ELA 39 100 72 5 30 100 80 3 GR 5 MATH 39 100 82 18 29 100 97 10 GR 6 ELA 33 100 67 3 27 96 67 4 GR 6 MATH 31 97 94 16 29 93 69 7 GR 7 ELA 41 100 76 5 58 97 50 7 GR 7 MATH 42 98 81 12 60 92 55 5 GR 8 ELA 55 100 36 4 52 98 54 4 GR 8 MATH 56 96 61 0 53 89 58 9 GR 8 SCI 53 100 83 17 52 96 79 23 DISCUSSION QUESTIONS: What instructional programs are in place now that address helping students achieve at least a 3 or 4 on the State Assessments? What other instructional programs not now in place could help increase the number of students who achieve at least a 3 or 4 on the State Assessments? - 116 - DATA DATA FOR DISCUSSION BY THE COMMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE: 2009-2010 STUDENT REPORT CARD: SUMMARY OF MIDDLE/HIGH SCHOOL ASSESSMENT RESULTS MAYFIELD CS NORTHVILLE CS August 2011 - 117 - DATA Performance on the State Assessments in English Language Arts (ELA), mathematics, and science at the middle and secondary levels is reported in terms of mean scores and the percentage of tested students scoring at or above Level 2, Level 3, and Level 4. About the Performance Level Descriptors Level 1: Not Meeting Learning Standards. Student performance does not demonstrate an understanding of the content expected in the subject and grade level. Level 2: Partially Meeting Learning Standards. Student performance demonstrates a partial understanding of the content expected in the subject and grade level. Level 3: Meeting Learning Standards. Student performance demonstrates an understanding of the content expected in the subject and grade level. Level 4: Meeting Learning Standards with Distinction. Student performance demonstrates a thorough understanding of the content expected in the subject and grade level. - 118 - DATA SUMMARY OF 2009-2010 MIDDLE SCHOOL/SECONDARY PERFORMANCE MAYFIELD % OF STUDENTS WHO SCORED AT OR ABOVE LEVEL 3 ENGLISH LANGUAGE ARTS Grade 7 Grade 8 HS English MATHEMATICS Grade 7 Grade 8 HS Math SCIENCE Grade 8 REGENTS EXAMINATION ENGLISH MATH B INTEGRATED ALGEBRA TRIG / MATH B GEOMETRY TOTAL TESTED TOTAL TESTED 49 42 81 72 83 96 31 54 75 49 41 48 68 65 81 72 83 96 43 46 75 49 41 48 79 71 88 40 NUMBER TESTED YEAR NORTHVILLE % OF STUDENTS WHO SCORED AT OR ABOVE LEVEL 3 % AT OR ABOVE 55 % AT OR ABOVE 65 % AT OR ABOVE 85 MAY NORTH MAY NORTH MAY NORTH MAY NORTH 07-08 91 45 98 100 93 100 45 16 08-09 87 41 91 98 87 90 39 20 09-10 78 42 100 100 99 98 41 24 07-08 52 45 88 51 81 31 15 7 08-09 42 26 83 88 71 65 14 12 09-10 6 10 50 80 33 60 0 30 07-08 67 32 100 97 99 81 33 6 08-09 70 57 100 100 97 91 30 19 09-10 100 44 96 91 90 84 15 7 07-08 52 NA 88 NA 81 NA 15 NA 08-09 42 NA 83 NA 71 NA 14 NA 09-10 33 16 94 69 91 44 42 19 07-08 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 08-09 43 31 98 81 98 45 33 6 09-10 57 44 100 95 91 73 30 9 - 119 - DATA GLOBAL HISTORY US HISTORY LIVING ENVIRONMENT EARTH SCIENCE CHEMISTRY PHYSICS SPANISH FRENCH 07-08 94 64 93 81 90 59 40 8 08-09 70 59 100 76 99 61 51 19 09-10 86 60 99 83 95 60 38 18 07-08 88 48 100 96 95 90 72 42 08-09 84 40 96 100 93 88 68 45 09-10 75 45 100 100 100 98 80 38 07-08 83 42 96 98 89 90 23 26 08-09 92 62 99 100 91 97 36 32 09-10 78 62 94 98 86 85 31 31 07-08 73 52 99 83 86 58 32 19 08-09 67 57 100 82 88 67 34 18 09-10 90 46 92 96 81 80 31 28 07-08 36 23 100 91 89 61 14 0 08-09 48 8 100 100 96 63 10 13 09-10 40 17 100 94 95 76 13 18 07-08 21 0 95 0 81 0 14 0 08-09 10 0 100 0 100 0 30 0 09-10 18 0 100 0 94 0 28 0 07-08 30 14 100 100 90 100 37 57 08-09 0 15 0 100 0 100 0 87 09-10 26 11 100 100 96 100 35 73 07-08 11 8 100 100 91 100 55 25 08-09 11 7 100 100 91 86 64 57 09-10 11 8 100 100 100 100 82 63 * From New York State Education Department Report Cards Comprehensive Assessment Report DISCUSSION QUESTIONS: What instructional programs are in place now that address helping students achieve at least a 3 or 4 on the State Assessments? What other instructional programs not now in place could help increase the number of students who achieve at least a 3 or 4 on the State Assessments? - 120 - SES STUDY TEAM “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” July 2011 NORTHVILLE CS MAYFIELD CS - 121 - ◊ FULL TIME EQUIVALENT OF STAFF WHO HAVE LEFT THE DISTRICTS FOR ALL REASONS EXCEPT REDUCTION IN FORCE FOR THE SCHOOL YEARS 2007-2008 THROUGH 2010-2011 ◊ AVERAGE TOTAL FULL TIME EQUIVALENT PERSONNEL EXPENDITURES ACROSS BOTH SCHOOL DISTRICTS BENCHMARKED TO THE 2010-2011 SCHOOL YEAR ◊ TOTAL FULL TIME EQUIVALENT PERSONNEL EXPENDITURES BY EACH SCHOOL DISTRICT BENCHMARKED TO THE 2010-2011 SCHOOL YEAR ◊ PROFILE OF MAJOR ELEMENTS OF ALL LABOR CONTRACTS IN PLACE IN THE TWO DISTRICTS FOR THE 2010-2011 SCHOOL YEAR ◊ ‘Q AND A’ ABOUT THE PROCESS WITH REGARD TO PERSONNEL WHEN A SCHOOL DISTRICT REORGANIZATION OCCURS THROUGH CONSOLIDATION DATA FOR DISCUSSION BY THE COMMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE: DATA SES STUDY TEAM “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Authorized in perpetuity for the exclusive use for planning by the Mayfield and Northville Central School Districts, their Superintendents and by all government agencies to which the districts provide the study. Copyright 2011 As to Original Text, and Format All Rights Reserved DATA - 122 - “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 123 - Competitive class employees are credited with seniority in accordance with the Civil Service Law. Other employees may have seniority rights set forth in their collective bargaining agreements. 4. Q: What happens to the seniority rights of employees appointed pursuant to the Civil Service Law? Teachers are credited with seniority earned within a particular tenure area. When school districts centralize, the seniority lists are merged so that the new school district has only one seniority list per tenure area. 3. Q: What happens to the seniority rights of teachers? The terms of those agreements may become elements of new agreements with the new school district. The new school district and the new bargaining units’ bargaining agents must make a good faith effort to negotiate new collective bargaining agreements. 2. Q: What happens to the collective bargaining agreements of the former school districts? Each teacher employed by a former school district becomes an employee of the new school district. Employees appointed pursuant to the Civil Service Law by a former school district may have varying rights in the new school district, depending on their civil service class (competitive, non-competitive, labor, etc.). 1. Q: If two or more school districts centralize into one school district, what happens to the employees of the former school districts? The following information is based on guidance materials from the State Education Department and general principles of public sector employment law. This document does not contain legal advice and should not be considered a legal opinion. For legal advice, the districts should contact their respective attorney counsels. (July 20, 2011) Labor Relations Implications Of School District Centralization DATA “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 124 - Superintendents of the former districts do not have any statutory rights to that position in the new district. The new school district board of education may select its own new superintendent. When the superintendent of a district included in the reorganization has an employment contract, that contract becomes an obligation of the newly reorganized school district. If the newly reorganized district determines not to employ the superintendent of a former school district, the new district may discharge the contractual obligation by paying the salary which he or she would have earned, less any income obtained from employment elsewhere during the term of the contract. 8. Q: What happens to the superintendents of the former school districts? Although the guidance materials from the State Education Department specifically reference the seniority rights of teachers, there is reason to believe the seniority rights of school administrators could be handled in a similar manner. However, since school administrator tenure areas may vary from district to district, the actual impact of these rights by individual job title/role is a case-by-case analysis. 7. Q: What happens to the administrators of the former school districts? The Board of Education of the new school district may reduce competitive class positions on the basis of seniority as set forth in the Civil Service Law. Current collective agreements that cover civil service employees may have additional reduction in force references. 6. Q: What happens if the new school district needs fewer civil service employees? The Board of Education of the new school district may reduce teaching positions on the basis of seniority within a particular tenure area. If a teaching position is abolished, the affected individuals are placed on a preferred eligible list for a period of seven years. 5. Q: What happens if the new school district needs fewer teachers? DATA “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 125 - Since the success of any centralization endeavor depends largely on the participation of all affected stakeholders, it is important for the districts to provide labor union representatives with appropriate opportunities to discuss the impact of centralization on the rights of bargaining unit members. Often such opportunities come before a formal reorganization public referendum and sometimes before the non-binding ‘straw vote’ among the communities. When two or more school districts centralize into a new school district, it is possible that the local bargaining units are represented by different bargaining agents. It is important for the school districts and local bargaining units to work with their labor relations experts. 10. Q: Are there other considerations relating to labor relations? Retirement benefits associated with the retirement system remain unchanged. Retirement benefits associated with an employment contract or collective bargaining agreement are governed by the terms of the employment contract or collective bargaining agreement. Individuals who are already retired from a school district may have certain retiree health insurance protections contained in Chapter 504 of the Laws of 2009. Chapter 504 prohibits reduction of health insurance for retirees and their dependents unless there is a corresponding reduction of benefits or contributions for the corresponding group of active employees. DATA 9. Q: What happens to the retirement benefits of the employees of the former school districts? involuntary Bereavement Personal Leaves Sick days/Accumulation Dismissal Layoffs Transfers Vacancies Secondary Teacher Load Elem. CONTRACT ELEMENT— INSTRUCTIONAL CONTRACTS Hours a Day Total of 15 days a year, with unused accumulation to 190 Part of 15 total leave days Part of 15 total leave days Just cause for tenured teachers Tenured teachers will be notified by March 1 if their positions are to be abolished Among qualified personnel, seniority shall be considered Notice of openings publicized and all qualified teachers within the system given opportunity to apply. Within 9 period day, teach up to 6 periods, or 5 periods plus 2 duty-comparable periods. Schedule permitting, 30 mins. prep. time a day, at least 150 mins. prep time per 5 day week Northville 07/01/06-06/30/11 M-Th, 7 hours, 15 mins - starting no earlier than 7:30 a.m. and ending no later than 3:15 p.m. Fridays 6 hours 45 mins. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 15 days a year with unused accumulation to 200 3 days 3 days Fair dismissal for probationary teachers with Board review; just cause after probation. No teacher transferred without first having opportunity to discuss transfer. Vacancies posted but not filled until present employees have opportunity to apply and be considered. 40 min. prep period 5 days a week plus 1 additional 40 minute prep period every 4 or 5 days Within 9 period day, teach up to 6 class assignments, or 5 classes plus study hall, ISS etc. Mayfield 07/01/07-06/30/12 7.0 hours - 126 - Observation/Items to note or consider: PROFILE OF MAJOR ELEMENTS OF ALL INSTRUCTIONAL LABOR CONTRACTS IN PLACE IN BOTH DISTRICTS FOR THE 2010-2011 SCHOOL YEAR DATA Starting salary w/ MA (2011-2012) Beginning 5th yr Beginning 10th yr. Beginning 15th yr. Beginning 20th yr. $ Per credit hour Distance Learning Retirement benefit Health expense reimbursement Dental Medicare Part B reimb. Opt-out Flex Plan Retirees Rx Co-pays Plans Employee’s %/Caps Insurance CONTRACT ELEMENT— INSTRUCTIONAL CONTRACTS Personal health leave $37,155 $41,326 $47,233 $53,977 $63,023 $50 Deductibles under District’s PPO 813 plan reimbursed to teacher upon submission of usage documentation. Teacher may contribute 15 unused leave days per year into a health savings acct. to apply in retirement toward health insur. premiums Dental plan 1,500 yes PPO, MVP alternative Unit members pay 10% of Ind. or Fam. premium Where sick leave unavailable, up to 1 year leave Northville 07/01/06-06/30/11 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” $41,014 $46,555 $53,480 $60,406 $67,329 $35 If retire prior to age 63 with at least 100 accum. leave days, there is a sliding scale benefit. Also, if retire in 2011/2012, $1,000 paid into member’s 105(h) acct. Yes, to provide courses not otherwise available to receiving school Unit member pays 12% of Ind. or Fam. premium $4 generic, $10 name brand retail and $0 generic and mail order 800 single, 1,600 two person and 2,000 family yes At least 10 consecutive years at District immed. before retire; member to pay same % of single premium as paid when active plus 50% of spouse’s single plan $350 contribution by District This expense reimbursed to members retiring before 7/1/12. District deposit of $750 annually to each member’s 105 (h) account Fulmont Trust Blue Preferred PPO or equivalent Unpaid leave for balance of school year and up to two years thereafter. Mayfield 07/01/07-06/30/12 DATA - 127 - Observation/Item to note or consider: Secretaries Typists 10 month typists and computer specialist Work Hours Custodians & mechanics Bus drivers Teacher Aides & nurses 10 month typists Vacations 12 month employees Northville Generally work days corresponding to school calendar, but may be required to work when school is not in session and are expected to work on snow days. 260 days, 8 hours a day 200 days, work hours established by District Work days corresponding to the school calendar, and work hours and assignments established by District with 6 specified weeks of guaranteed additional work in summer, receive 5 days with 6 specified weeks of guaranteed additional work in summer, receive 5 days for use in subsequent year for annual workers: 1 week after 1 year; 2 weeks after 2 years; 3 weeks after 6 years; and 4 weeks after 15 years. for annual workers: i.e. custodian, custodian/ bus driver, custodial worker, mechanic helper/bus driver: 14 paid holidays Part of total leave days above Part of total leave days above Part of total leave days above 18 total days per year/ accum. 15 annually to a total of 190. 15 total days per year/ accum. 12 annually to a total of 190 07/1/06-06/30/11 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 42 weeks, 7 hours a day 52 weeks, 40 hrs a week 40 weeks, 4 hrs. a day 181 days, 7 hrs. a day 2 weeks after 1 year; 3 weeks after 7 years; and 4 weeks after 15 years secretaries, custodians & mechanics: 12 paid holidays 3 per year Bereavement leave Paid Holidays 3 per year 15 days a year/accum. to 200 15 days a year/accum. to 200 Mayfield 07/1/07-06/30/12 Personal leave days Personal or family illness Leaves Leave Days 12 month employees 10 month employees CONTRACT ELEMENT— INSTRUCTIONAL SUPPORT CONTRACTS - 128 - Observation/Items to note or consider: PROFILE OF MAJOR ELEMENTS OF ALL INSTRUCTIONAL SUPPORT LABOR CONTRACTS IN PLACE IN THE TWO DISTRICTS FOR THE 2010-2011 SCHOOL YEAR DATA Opt-out Flex plan Retirees Dental Rx co-pay For those who work 3-4 hrs. a day, District pays 50% of family premium Part-time employees Northville $1,000 single, $1,000 two person and $1,000 family yes Dist., will pay $400 per employee each year toward reimbursement of documented optical/dental/audiological expense. After 15 years with the Dist., employee paid $200 for each year of service for years 1-15; $300 for each year from year 16 and above, to a max., of $7,500. Part-time workers receive a pro-rated benefit. For those eligible, Dist. will provide the improved onefiftieth, section 75-I non-contributory plan to the NYSERS and the one-sixtieth, non-contributory plan to the NYSERS on behalf of all other eligible employees Blue Cross/Blue Shield PPO For member hired after 7/7/97, and entitled to health insurance under CBA, Dist. will pay 100% indiv., and 50% of difference between family and single in 1st year; in 2nd year Dist will pay 100% indiv., and 75% of the above difference; and in 3rd year, 100% of indiv., and family plan. For those hired after 7/1/85, Dist. will provide above health insur. benefit for those employees who work 30 or more hours a week. Dist., will not provide said benefit for those hired after 7/1/85 who work less than 30 hours a week. 07/1/06-06/30/11 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” $800 single plan, $1,600 two person and $2,000 family For those who work 5 hrs. a day, District pays 75% of family premium For those bus drivers who work two hours per day, District pays 50% of family premium. $4 generic, $10 brand name and $0 mail order District will deposit $750 per year per member into a section 105(h) acct. for payment of their unreimbursed medical/dental expenses yes After 10 years with Dist. immed. prior to retirement, Dist. will pay 100% of indiv. health prem. and 50% of family prem. Fulmont Trust Blue Preferred PPO 100% indiv., and 85% two person or family Above classes of employees plus other F.T. employees who have accum. 75 leave days, receive 50% accum. leave paid at employee’s per diem Statutory contributions Mayfield 07/1/07-06/30/12 Health insurance District’s contribution NYS retirement CONTRACT ELEMENT— INSTRUCTIONAL SUPPORT CONTRACTS District Retirement Benefit DATA - 129 - Observation/Items to note or consider: Year 2011/2012 Northville 7.42 9.35 9.05 7.42 18.26 Year 2009/2010 20.21 7.42 23,672 salary 28,335 salary 7.42 Advance notice of vacancies to present employees. Among presently employed qualified applicants, seniority shall be used as the criteria. 07/1/06-06/30/11 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 36,634 salary 24,029 salary 11.30 14.96 9.07 29,811 salary 17.94 One-time payment of $250 at 15th, 20th and 25th years Longevity Starting rates: hourly/salary Bus Driver Clerk Custodial worker Custodian Food service worker Mechanic Monitor Nurse Secretary Teacher Aide Teacher Assistant Typist Board shall reduce staff by seniority from date of original appt. within the 5 work areas. Association applicants with greatest seniority will be given serious consideration, but final decision based on qualifications, as determined by Board. Mayfield 07/1/07-06/30/12 Layoff/Recall CONTRACT ELEMENT— INSTRUCTIONAL SUPPORT CONTRACTS Vacancies DATA - 130 - Observation/Items to note or consider: MAYFIELD STAFF TOTAL TOTAL $ COST TOTAL SEGMENT FTE’S 2010-2011 PER FTE FTE’S Pre-K through grade 6 certified teachers 45 $3,479,950 $77,332 21.1 (including counselors, nurses and similar others): Grade 7-12 certified teachers (including counselors, 41 $3,398,669 $82,894 30.5 nurses and similar others): Grades K-12: Teacher Assistants (certified) 0 4 Teacher Aides (civil service payroll) / Monitors 24 $728,985 $30,374 5.89 Grades K-12: OT/PT (civil service payroll) 3 $261,452 $87,151 0 STAFF TOTAL TOTAL $ COST TOTAL SEGMENT FTE’S 2010-2011 PER FTE FTE’S Social worker (civil service payroll) 0 Nurse (civil service payroll) 2 $104,017 $52,009 1 K-12 certified administrators: Include all district administrators including the business official if she/he serves 5 $651,468 $130,294 3 in a civil service position On Civil Service payroll: (CONSIDERED FTE’S) Supervisors of any support function 1 $105,194 $105,194 4 Bus drivers 9 $249,527 $27,725 0 Bus aides 3 $59,552 $19,851 0 School lunch workers 0 0 Operations and Maintenance workers 12 $638,537 $53,211 6 Secretaries 7 $349,600 $49,943 5.5 Business Office staff other than secretarial OR business official 2 $134,184 $67,092 3 Technology support staff 1 $48,250 $48,250 1 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” $57,045 $112,907 $68,432 $60,771 $46,015 $62,651 $72,466 $57,045 $338,720 $273,727 $364,628 $253,083 $187,953 $72,466 COST PER FTE $29,426 $28,532 $117,705 $168,056 TOTAL $ 2010-2011 $76,152 $2,322,628 NORTHVILLE TOTAL $ COST 2010-2011 PER FTE $1,476,667 $69,984 - 131 - Total personnel expenditures for each staff segment category equals the total of salary, employer FICA costs, employer health insurance costs, employer retirement costs, and any other benefits (if any). Please note that the differences in cost per FTE per staff category is primarily due to the longevity differences of various FTE’s at each respective school district; the different retirement ‘tier’ an FTE falls under based on what state ‘tier’ was in place at time of hire; along with contractual pay guidelines. FULL TIME EQUIVALENT TOTAL NUMBERS OF STAFF AND THE TOTAL FTE PERSONNEL EXPENDITURES BENCHMARKED TO THE 2010-2011 SCHOOL YEAR DATA 0 0 0 Bus aides School lunch workers Part-time cleaners MAYFIELD TOTAL $ COST 2010-2011 PER FTE 6768 hours 2208 hours 3456 hours TOTAL FTE’S “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 0 TOTAL FTE’S STAFF SEGMENT CONSIDERED HOURLY EMPLOYEES ON CIVIL SERVICE PAYROLL Bus drivers DATA $43,300 $24,061 $216,270 $12.53 $10.90 $31.95 NORTHVILLE TOTAL $ COST 2010-2011 PER hour - 132 - “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” CONSIDERED HOURLY EMPLOYEES ON CIVIL SERVICE PAYROLL Bus drivers Bus aides School lunch workers Part-time cleaners - 133 - $31.95 $10.90 $12.53 $55,731.39 $48,214.64 $64,427.40 $60,358.00 $75,784.20 $27,725.22 $19,850.67 $123,773.50 K-12 certified administrators: Include all district administrators including the business official if she/he serves in a civil service position On Civil Service payroll: (CONSIDERED FTE’S) Supervisors of any support function Bus drivers Bus aides School lunch workers Operations and Maintenance workers Secretaries Business Office staff other than secretarial OR business official Technology support staff $53,687.33 $87,150.67 $29,426.25 $30,011.41 Grades K-12: Teacher Assistants (certified) Teacher Aides (civil service payroll) Grades K-12: OT/PT (civil service payroll) Social worker (civil service payroll) Nurse (civil service payroll) Average FTE Cost $74,986.64 $80,018.14 STAFF SEGMENT Pre-K through grade 6 certified teachers (including counselors, nurses and similar others): Grade 7-12 certified teachers (including counselors, nurses and similar others): Summary of FTE Personnel Costs Benchmarked to 2010-2011 in the Mayfield and Northville Central School Districts DATA 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2010-2011 5 2009-2010 1 2008-2009 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 3 2007-2008 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 5 1 1 1 1 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Pre-K through grade 6 certified teachers (including counselors, nurses and similar others) Grade 7-12 certified teachers (including counselors, nurses and similar others): Grades K-12: Teacher Assistants (certified) Teacher Aides (civil service) Grades K-12: OT/PT (civil service) Social worker (civil service) Nurse (civil service) K-12 certified administrators: Civil Service: Supervisors of any support function Bus drivers Bus aides School lunch workers Operations and Maintenance workers Secretaries Business Office not secretarial Technology support staff STAFF SEGMENT 2009-2010 NORTHVILLE 2008-2009 MAYFIELD 2010-2011 2 1 1 1 1 3 3 4 3 1 1 3 5 15 15 TOTAL OVER 4 YEARS FTE NUMBERS OF STAFF WHO HAVE LEFT THE DISTRICTS FOR ALL REASONS EXCEPT REDUCTION IN FORCE DATA 2007-2008 - 134 - DATA DATA REFERENCE: PERCEPTIONS OF THE TWO DISTRICT LEADERSHIP TEAMS OF THE OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES OF THE TWO PRIMARY SCENARIOS IDENTIFIED BY THE ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE TO DELIVER THE PRE-K THROUGH GRADE 12 PROGRAM IN THE CURRENT SCHOOL BUILDINGS Initially, a series of scenarios and options were identified by the members of the Community Advisory Joint Committee on June 20. On July 20, the Community Advisory Joint Committee identified two priority options for further discussion and analysis. The Priority Options described are based on: 9 the mid range enrollment projections five years from now 9 the pupil capacity analysis of the school buildings in the two districts 9 the initial premises of a future program vision of the elementary curriculum and the secondary curriculum that a reorganized school district may implement and deliver The superintendents and the principals since July 20 have studied the two scenarios identified by the Community Advisory Joint Committee. This Data Reference outlines the opportunities and challenges the superintendents and their leadership teams perceive about both options. The perceptions are based on how each scenario may allow them to deliver the program efficiently, effectively, and in keeping with the program values identified by the Advisory Joint Committee. MAYFIELD CS NORTHVILLE CS August 10, 2011 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 135 - “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” DATA - 136 - Mayfield 49.5 St. Johnsville 33.96 HFM BOCES 2755 State Hwy 67 Johnstown Mayfield Elementary 80 North Main Street Mayfield Mayfield CS Jr/Sr. High and bus garage 27 School Street Mayfield Northville Bus Garage 5th. Street Ext. Northville Wheelerville 53.78 .1 10.25 55.13 9.67 10.35 Edinburg 74.41 .61 16.33 77.44 Fonda-Fultonville 85.52 16.68 87.55 Broadalbin-Perth GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION 9 Sizes of School Districts in the HFM BOCES in square miles. Potential size of consolidated district made up of Mayfield and Northville: 192.43 square miles. 88.83 98.26 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 56.64 Fort Plain 9.57 Johnstown 24 Amsterdam 24 Gloversville Mayfield Elementary 80 North Main Street Mayfield Canajoharie Mayfield CS Jr/Sr. High and bus garage 27 School Street Mayfield 142.93 Northville Northville Bus Garage 5th. Street Ext. Northville 195.76 Lake Pleasant Northville CS 131 S. Third Street Northville 269.35 Wells DATA - 137 - 270.58 Piseco HIGH RANGE PROJECTION K-4 K-2 3-6 5-6 7-8 366 240 272 146 150 395 252 275 132 155 421 254 295 128 157 442 266 320 144 142 452 279 343 169 138 473 291 360 179 156 495 304 367 176 183 517 317 384 184 192 539 331 402 194 190 563 346 420 203 199 HIGH RANGE PROJECTION K-5 6-8 7-9 9-12 10-12 437 224 224 311 237 455 227 227 295 223 488 218 230 282 209 519 210 219 272 195 544 215 212 273 198 559 248 219 263 200 584 270 253 261 191 611 283 273 265 184 638 285 286 286 190 666 298 289 310 220 6 75 72 61 68 78 93 87 90 95 99 - 138 - HIGH RANGE PROJECTION K-6 7-12 TOTAL K-12 512 460 972 527 450 977 549 439 988 586 414 1000 622 410 1032 652 419 1071 671 444 1115 701 457 1158 733 476 1209 766 509 1275 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” MID RANGE PROJECTION K-4 K-2 3-6 5-6 7-8 369 243 272 146 150 386 243 275 132 155 398 231 295 128 157 400 221 324 144 142 389 225 333 169 138 380 227 336 182 156 385 228 323 166 183 385 227 314 156 196 385 226 319 159 179 384 224 320 161 168 6 75 72 61 68 78 93 90 77 80 80 LOW RANGE PROJECTION K-4 K-2 3-6 5-6 7-8 365 239 272 146 150 378 236 275 132 155 386 219 295 128 157 384 209 319 144 142 370 215 325 169 138 364 218 323 178 156 369 221 306 158 183 374 222 299 148 191 378 223 305 150 170 380 225 308 154 159 YEAR 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 6 75 72 61 68 78 93 86 73 75 75 MID RANGE PROJECTION K-5 6-8 7-9 9-12 440 224 224 311 446 227 227 295 465 218 230 282 477 210 219 272 481 215 212 273 470 248 219 263 461 273 253 261 464 273 277 265 464 259 275 286 464 248 262 314 LOW RANGE PROJECTION K-5 6-8 7-9 9-12 10-12 436 224 224 311 237 439 227 227 295 223 453 218 230 282 209 461 210 219 272 195 462 215 212 273 198 449 248 219 263 200 442 269 253 261 191 448 264 272 265 184 453 246 266 286 190 458 235 248 309 220 YEAR 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 10-12 237 223 209 195 198 200 191 184 190 220 MID RANGE PROJECTION K-6 7-12 TOTAL K-12 515 460 975 518 450 968 526 439 965 545 414 959 558 410 968 562 419 981 551 444 995 541 461 1002 544 465 1009 544 482 1026 LOW RANGE PROJECTION K-6 7-12 TOTAL K-12 511 460 971 511 450 961 514 439 953 529 414 943 540 410 950 541 419 960 528 444 972 522 456 977 528 456 985 534 468 1002 YEAR 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 BASE COHORT ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS SUMMARY FOR MAYFIELD CS DATA RANGE PROJECTION K-2 3-6 5-6 7-8 91 115 53 73 84 121 51 76 83 129 59 72 89 116 66 70 83 120 67 81 79 110 47 90 77 107 51 90 75 112 60 64 73 105 53 70 72 100 50 81 6 34 19 32 27 39 28 19 32 28 25 HIGH RANGE PROJECTION K-4 K-2 3-6 5-6 7-8 163 101 115 53 73 160 90 121 51 76 161 91 129 59 72 151 91 126 66 70 153 92 127 67 81 154 93 117 57 90 155 94 118 58 90 156 94 119 58 77 157 94 120 58 79 157 94 121 59 79 HIGH RANGE PROJECTION K-5 6-8 7-9 9-12 10-12 182 107 121 179 131 192 96 120 167 123 188 104 102 151 120 190 98 116 157 111 181 119 107 136 109 183 118 134 138 94 184 119 128 144 106 185 106 130 152 99 186 107 117 161 123 187 107 118 157 118 - 139 - 6 34 19 32 27 39 28 29 29 29 29 HIGH RANGE PROJECTION K-6 7-12 TOTAL K-12 216 252 468 211 243 454 220 223 443 217 227 444 219 217 436 211 228 439 213 234 447 214 229 442 215 239 454 215 235 451 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” MID K-4 153 153 153 139 136 141 132 127 124 121 LOW RANGE PROJECTION K-4 K-2 3-6 5-6 7-8 153 91 115 53 73 152 83 121 51 76 151 81 129 59 72 136 86 116 66 70 131 79 119 67 81 134 74 108 47 90 124 71 104 50 90 118 68 107 58 64 114 66 99 51 69 110 64 93 48 78 YEAR 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 6 34 19 32 27 39 28 19 31 27 24 MID RANGE PROJECTION K-5 6-8 7-9 9-12 172 107 121 179 185 96 120 167 181 104 102 151 178 98 116 157 165 119 107 136 161 118 134 138 164 110 128 144 155 96 117 152 150 98 108 161 147 106 108 144 LOW RANGE PROJECTION K-5 6-8 7-9 9-12 10-12 172 107 121 179 131 184 96 120 167 123 179 104 102 151 120 175 98 116 157 111 160 119 107 136 109 154 118 134 138 94 155 110 128 144 106 145 95 117 152 99 138 96 107 161 123 133 103 105 144 118 YEAR 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 10-12 131 123 120 111 109 94 106 99 123 118 MID RANGE PROJECTION K-6 7-12 TOTAL K-12 206 252 458 205 243 448 212 223 435 205 227 432 203 217 420 188 228 416 183 234 418 187 216 403 177 231 408 172 225 397 LOW RANGE PROJECTION K-6 7-12 TOTAL K-12 206 252 458 204 243 447 210 223 433 202 227 429 198 217 415 182 228 409 175 234 409 175 216 391 165 230 395 157 223 380 YEAR 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 BASE COHORT ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS SUMMARY FOR NORTHVILLE CS DATA DATA 9 ESTIMATED ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS FOR A REORGANIZED SCHOOL DISTRICT Calculation Year Grades Grades TOTAL GRADES K-6 7-12 K-12 FOR LONG TERM PLANNING 2010-2011 704 754 1458 CURRENT COMBINED ENROLLMENT OF THE TWO DISTRICTS Baseline Cohort Low Range 2015-2016 2020-2021 738 Baseline Cohort Mid Range 2015-2016 2020-2021 761 Baseline Cohort High Range 2015-2016 2020-2021 841 Calculation Year Grades K-6 Grades 7-12 CURRENT COMBINED ENROLLMENT OF THE TWO DISTRICTS 2010-2011 704 754 TOTAL GRADES K-12 FOR INITIAL IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING 1458 Baseline Cohort Low Range 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 717 715 724 731 738 712 693 662 641 627 1429 1408 1386 1372 1365 Baseline Cohort Mid Range 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 721 723 738 750 761 712 693 662 641 627 1433 1416 1400 1391 1388 Baseline Cohort High Range 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 728 738 769 803 841 712 693 662 641 627 1440 1431 1431 1444 1468 1429 691 1468 707 1585 744 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 140 DATA PUPIL CAPACITY OF EACH EXISTING SCHOOL BUILIDNG ASSUMPTIONS: • No new construction of additional space forecasted. • No immediate renovations of existing space. • Unassigned pupil capacity is factored to ensure flexibility of program delivery, allow for • • • • program enhancements, and allow for appropriate space for instructional support activities. All existing instructional support spaces remain instructional support spaces. Allocation of three classrooms district-wide for Pre-K at class section size of 18 pupils (108 half day; 54 full day pupils). Edinburg Common students will continue to attend 7-12 in the same pattern as they have in the past. Pupil Capacity based on implemented class sizes per classroom of: ◊ Kindergarten and grade 1: 20 pupils ◊ Grades 2 and 3: 22 pupils ◊ Grades 4, 5, and 6: 24 pupils ◊ Grades 7-12: 25 pupils (Note: Often for specialized Grades 7-12 courses, it is likely that the class sizes for such specialized courses may be between 10-(or fewer pupils as approved by the board)-and 25 pupils. During other instructional periods of the day, it is likely a classroom will host class sizes near the 25 pupil number for other courses less specialized.) Mayfield K-6 Pupil Capacity Northville K-6 Pupil Capacity Northville 7-12 Pupil Capacity Mayfield 7-12 Pupil Capacity 576 286 373 515 Total K-6 Pupil Capacity Currently Total 7-12 Pupil Capacity Currently Available: Available: 862 888 Anticipated K-6 Pupil Capacity Need Anticipated 7-12 Pupil Capacity Need in five years: in ten years: 738-841 691-744 Average expected combined enrollment in five years: 780 627 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 141 - DATA PRIMARY SCENARIO A Pre-K through grade 5 in Mayfield and Northville; 9-12 in Mayfield; 6-8 in Northville Estimated enrollments: K-5; 646 (Mayfield 481, Northville 165) 6-8; 334 Northville 9-12; 409 Mayfield Available Pupil Capacity Mayfield K-6; 576 7-12; 515 OPPORTUNITIES OF THIS OPTION NCS students stay through grade 8 Greater opportunities for 6-8 co and extracurricular esp leadership and service-based Could host BOCES classes @ NCS and more @ MCS Dissolve “neighborhood boundaries” at elementary progressively for greater efficiency of class sizes and staff deployment More flexibility of space with specials’ areas Adds technology and business course offerings to secondary Adds distance learning classes for NSC secondary Might justify Department Chairpersons or Curriculum/Instruction Administrator Maximizes class sizes at 6-12 Keeps “home elem” locations Allows for Project-based learning and STEM initiatives at 6-8 Could increase program offerings via other costsavings measures Could add International Baccalaureate Program Both schools use Danielson teacher eval model Both schools use Treasures reading series and Saxon math at elem level Combined professional development opportunities within shared staffs Consolidation of operational services for costsavings Would allow smaller schools to send students Concentrates elem principals’ efforts to 7 rather than 8 grade levels Northville K-6; 286 7-12; 373 CHALLENGES OF THIS OPTION MCS students must move in grade 6 Sets new middle school configuration Slight underutilization of space at NCS and MHS Requires travel for shared secondary teachers between MS and HS Doesn’t allow max elem class sizes due to 2 bldgs Can never host K-12 together in one location Requires close C/I coordination for 2 elem bldgs Unequal distribution of student load for elem principals What becomes of Asst Principals? Greater transportation costs Requires coordination of start and end times Certification issues for science and language teachers Does 6-8 give greater potential cost savings in staff? Differences in athletic abilities “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 142 - DATA Allows greater scheduling opportunities for 6-12, i.e. Mandarin Chinese: Create a mock 6-12 Master Schedule Allows for 6-12 Team Teaching approach Increased participation in extra and co-curricular will serve to support keeping those opportunities available Higher performance standards for art, music and drama programs PRIMARY SCENARIO B Pre-K through grade 6 in Mayfield and Northville; 9-12 in Mayfield; 7-8 in Northville Estimated enrollments: K-6; 761 (Mayfield 558, Northville 203) 7-8; 219 Northville 9-12; 409 Mayfield Available Pupil Capacity Mayfield K-6; 576 7-12; 515 Northville K-6; 286 7-12; 373 Very similar to Scenario B, only difference is grade 6 and corresponding opportunities and challenges. The administrators agreed that their preference is Scenario A. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 143 - DATA DATA FOR DISCUSSION BY THE COMMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE: PRELIMINARY FRAMEWORK PLAN FOR SCHOOL DAY TIMES, TRANSPORTATION TIMES AND BUS RUN RESOURCES MAYFIELD CS NORTHVILLE November 2011 December 2011 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 144 - DATA Current Profile of Student Instructional Day and Bus Transportation: Northville 8:03 – 2:40 (6 hours, 37 minutes) Mayfield 9:00 – 3:00 (6 hours) 8:03 – 2:40 (6 hours, 37 minutes) 7:55-2:20 (6 hours, 25 minutes) First student pickup time: 7:00 7:10 Total number of bus routes currently: 5 (K-12) Current Elementary Student Day Current Secondary Student Day 8 (Pre-K-6) 8 (7-12) Prime Option for Grade configurations and Use of Buildings in a Reorganized School District: Grades preK-5 Mayfield Elementary; est. 481 pupils Grades preK-5 Northville Elementary; est. 165 pupils Grades 6-8 Northville; est. 334 pupils Grades 9-12 Mayfield; est. 409 pupils Preliminary Framework Plan for School Day Times, Transportation Times, and Bus Run Resources in a Reorganization of the Districts into One Assumptions: 9 All Pre-K through grade 5 pupils attend the elementary school within the original school district ‘attendance zone’. However, parents who wish to have their elementary children attend an elementary school of the new reorganized school district that is closer to their home may request that attendance at their discretion. 9 The goal is that no child is on a bus longer than 1 hour. 9 Smaller (less than 66 passenger) buses will probably be used to transport pupils who currently live at the most outer limits of the current school district geographic boundaries. 9 A current ‘walker’ will be transported to his/her respective school if it is not located in the current school district. The new district will define the definition of a ‘walker’. (It is suggested that ‘a walker’ reflect the current policy of the four school districts that is most beneficial for students.) 9 It is suggested that existing routes with existing drivers be provided for at least the first year (or longer) of the reorganized district. Starting for year 2, study if there can be some combining of routing where boundaries of the two attendance zones are very close. Please note that outlined below is one possible comprehensive scenario to provide transportation in a reorganized school district taking into account the assumptions listed above. This scenario will be used as an element of the ‘What if’ financials picture for a reorganized school district. The scenario is just one concrete example for discussion and adaptation by a reorganized school district. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 145 - DATA 9 Preliminary student instructional day schedule in a reorganized school district: Grades preK-5 Grades preK-5 Mayfield Elementary Northville Elementary Grades 6-8 Northville (Middle School Program) Grades 912 Mayfield (High School Program) 9:00-3:30 9:00-3:30 Teacher/ teacher assistant before school program starting at 8:25 8:25-3:05 Shuttle leaves Mayfield at 7:55 for Northville arrives by 8:20; Shuttle leaves Northville for Mayfield at 3:05 arrives by 3:25; Teacher/teacher assistant after school program starting at 3:05-3:30 at Northville for Northville area middle school pupils 8:00-2:30 Shuttle leaves Mayfield for Northville at 3:05 arrives by 3:25; (allows Northville area high school students the opportunity to participate in after-school activities or to meet with teachers) 6 hours, 30 minutes 6 hours, 30 minutes 6 hours, 30 minutes 6 hours, 30 minutes 9 The preliminary transportation framework has the following bus runs: PreK-8 Grades 9-12 direct to Mayfield Pre-K-5 Grades 6-12 6-8 shuttle to Northville MORNING BEFORE SCHOOL DAY Northville Est. Number of Mayfield Attendance Zone Routes/buses Attendance Zone Bus Run; first pick-up 7:25 5 Bus Run; first pick-up 6:45 4 (one way) Bus Run; first pick-up 8:10 Bus Run; first pick-up 7:10 Shuttle leaves Mayfield at 7:55 arrives Northville by 8:20 (provided by the 4 buses that transported Northville area 912 pupils to Mayfield earlier) “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Est. Number of Routes/buses 8 8 4 (one way; return of 9-12 run from Northville attendance zone) - 146 - DATA 9-12 shuttle to Northville from Mayfield Pre-K - 12 6-8 shuttle to Mayfield from Northville Pre-K - 8 Grades 9-12 AFTERNOON END OF SCHOOL DAY Northville Est. Number of Mayfield Attendance Zone Routes/buses Attendance Zone 4 one way shuttles Shuttle leaves Mayfield at 3:05 arrives Northville by 3:25 Bus Run; leaves 5 Northville at 3:35 Shuttle leaves Northville for Mayfield at 3:05 arrives by 3:25 Bus Run; leaves Mayfield at 3:35 Bus Run; leaves Mayfield at 2:35 (availability of ‘late bus’ for 9-12 by taking Pre-K – 8 bus run at 3:30) Est. Number of Routes/buses 4 one way shuttles 12 8 Late bus (5:00 PM) runs for co-curricular and athletics; Monday through Friday: Northville 3 routes for the Northville attendance area Mayfield 3 routes for the Mayfield attendance area Bus Fleet for AM and PM before school and after school runs: Currently: Estimated with reorganization: Buses Spare buses Buses Spare buses Northville 5 3 5 plus 3 new 3 Mayfield 8 3 8 plus 3 new 3 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 147 - DATA Estimated Cost and Revenue Basis for Transportation: Current Number of Bus Routes Estimated Number of Bus Routes for Initial Planning Collectively by the Two Districts: by a Reorganized School District Given the Program Grade Level Instructional Delivery Configurations and Transportation Assumptions: 21 round trip 21 round trip 4 one way Mayfield attendance zone PM pre-k-8 4 one way Northville attendance zone AM 9-12; return to Northville with grades 6-8 from Mayfield attendance zone 4 one way shuttles 6-8 PM Northville to Mayfield 4 one way shuttles from Mayfield to Northville PM 9-12 Estimated Shuttles: In the morning: In the afternoon: Grades 6-8 Shuttle to Northville from Grades 9-12 shuttle to Northville from Mayfield; number Mayfield using the return by the 4 buses used of buses: 4 earlier to transport 9-12 from Northville attendance zone to high school in Mayfield Grades 6-8 shuttle to Mayfield from Northville; number of buses: 4 Estimated number of buses for purchase by the reorganized school district: 6 Estimated transportation cost basis: In 2011, a study commissioned by the districts of the BOCES records the following total costs per round trip bus route by each of the districts is reported as follows: Northville Mayfield $48,000 $39,038 Average cost for per bus route run round trip plus 10% for inflation and the cost of fuel for budget planning : Northville attendance area bus route: $52,800 Mayfield attendance area bus route roundtrip: $42,942 Estimated Cost Per shuttle bus one way: 66 miles x $1.50 plus 1.5 x $25 per hour = $136.50; Estimated budgeted cost: $150 per shuttle one way x 180 = $27,000 annually Estimated yearly cost over five years for each new bus: $21,600 Estimated transportation state aid revenue basis: Estimated budgeted revenue from state transportation aid which is 90% of all approved expenditures: It is suggested that this estimate be conservative. In the 2011 study, each of the school districts received the following state transportation aid percentages for expenditures submitted to the state: Northville: 51%; Mayfield 85% “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 148 - DATA Estimated Cost to Achieve the Preliminary Transportation Framework Plan for bus transportation to and from school: Northville, without Mayfield, without Estimated Est. Est. Net reorganization: reorganization: Total Cost Transportation Local Cost in Total Annually: Aid Received in Annually: Total Annually: 5 round trips $52,800 16 round trips $42,942 $951,072 $718,651 $232,421 each Estimated in a Reorganized District Made up of Northville and Mayfield combined: Estimated Est. Est. Net Total Cost Transportation Local Cost Annually: Aid Received Annually: Annually: 5 round trips $52,800 16 round trips $42,942 $951,072 $718,651 $232,421 for the each for the Northville Mayfield attendance attendance zone zone Additional Transportation to Implement the Reorganized Delivery of Instruction 4 one way trips $26,400 4 additional $21,471 $191,484 $126,857 $64,627 for 9-12 in one way trips Northville for Pre-K-8 in attendance Mayfield zone in AM to attendance high school zone in the PM 8 shuttles: 4 one way PM for 9-12 to $27,000 $216,000 $183,600 $32,400 Northville attendance zone; 4 one way PM for 6-8 to Mayfield attendance zone 6 new buses paid for over 5 years; est. $21,600 $129,600 $110,160 $19,440 annual cost each bus 6 late bus routes for co-curricular and $12,000 $72,000 $61,200 $10,800 athletics Estimated total yearly cost not including state aid $609,084 to implement reorganization: Estimated additional program addition and costs to implement reorganization: Estimated before school program at Northville for grades pre-K through 5 from 8:25 to 8:55 daily: • Estimate seven staff members (example teacher assistants); 3.5 hours; one-half FTE = $14,713 Estimated after school program at Northville for grades 6-8 from 3:05 to 3:25 daily: • Estimate 6 staff members (example teacher assistants); 3 hours; .45 FTE = $13,242 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 149 - “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” October 2011 November 2011 January 2012 MAYFIELD CS NORTHVILLE CS Based on the Program Vision Ideas of the Community Advisory Joint Committee for Opportunities for All Pupils A ‘What if’ Program/Staffing Picture and Financial Picture of a Reorganization of the Two School Districts into One COMMUNITY ADVISORY STUDY DATA REFERENCE TOOL: OPTION ONE and OPTION TWO “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Authorized in perpetuity for the exclusive use for planning by the Mayfield and Northville Boards of Education, their Superintendents and by all government agencies to which the districts provide the study Copyright 2012 As to Original Text, Concept and Format All Rights Reserved. - 151 - “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 152 - school in the attendance zone that corresponds to the past boundaries of the specific school district before reorganization. However, at the option of the parents, it is suggested that students would be able to attend the elementary school of the ‘attendance zone’ closest to their home. Therefore, the staffing level at each of the two elementary schools is based on the projected K-5 populations of the current school districts. • No new construction of additional space or renovation of existing space is forecasted. • It is assumed that all Pre-K through grade 5 pupils now in the two school districts will choose to have their children attend the elementary Assumptions for the estimated staffing to implement the direct instruction of the K-5 Program: The ‘What if” Picture that follows is only a roadmap. It suggests the total staff resource needed to implement the envisioned program with quality and the level of human resources necessary to enable the program to be sustained at quality levels expected by the communities. The specific number of full time equivalent staff assigned to a particular building in a given school year will be judged by the actual number of pupils enrolled and a profile of their educational needs in that given school year. The estimates are based on what it might take to deliver the current program offerings in the two school districts PLUS enhanced educational opportunities discussed and suggested by the two Community Advisory Joint Committee in a reorganized school district. The Full Time Equivalent Instructional staffing listed should be viewed in light of what type of resource may be provided to the students in a reorganized district. The total FTE’s is an estimate of resources and should not be looked at by actual position title. For example, the reorganized district may decide that more social workers are needed instead of the number of guidance counselors that are listed. Or, pupils of a school may not need occupational therapy services in a given school year, but another school’s students may need more. Then, the occupational therapy services are allocated to the school whose pupils require the help. It is also assumed that all special needs pupils will be included in the regular program offering as individually appropriate. The staffing estimate includes 20 FTE’s district-wide to provide self-contained special needs classroom sections, resource support services, and/or consultant teacher services (special ed teachers and classroom section teachers jointly working together in classes that include special need pupils), reading, and academic intervention services. Specific allocation to a service delivery depends upon the needs of the pupil population year-to-year. All of the Full Time Equivalents listed in the What if Picture do not necessarily exist now on staff. For example, there are currently no social workers. Therefore, the What if scenario should be looked at as a plan that may take up to 24 months to implement completely. A ‘What if’ Program/ Staffing Picture of a Reorganization of the Two Districts into One Plus estimated other instructional staff assigned to one or both elementary schools as needed in a given school year. level class section.) Pre-K Special Needs/Resource/ Academic Intervention Services/Reading Vocal Music Instrumental Music Art Foreign Language 30 Social Worker Guidance Counselor (On average 21.5 pupils per Speech class grades K-5 across the Occupational Therapist district. It does not take into Physical Therapist account that there may be some special needs pupils served in a Physical Education Psychologist self-contained setting when appropriate instead of a grade Librarian/Enrichment Estimated grade level sections K-5 instructional staff (FTE) “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” • No new construction of additional space or renovation of existing space forecasted. • One/half registered nurse is assigned to the middle school. Assumptions for the estimated staffing to implement the direct instruction for the Grades 6-8 Program: 165 ESTIMATED ENROLLMENT: Northville Elementary 481 ESTIMATED ENROLLMENT: Mayfield Elementary PROGRAM: K-GRADE 5 - 153 - 3 2.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 .75 .75 3 1 1.5 3 10 FTE known and specific needs of the pupils are determined, then the staffing Full Time Equivalents will be identified and deployed for each building. It is suggested that the What if Picture framework includes collectively enough FTE’s to accomplish consistent delivery of the expected curriculum and still provide flexibility to assign the staff building-by-building to deliver on the needs of pupils in each given school year. • Allocation of three classrooms district-wide for Pre-K at class section size of 18 pupils (6 sections half-day or 3 sections full day or a combination of both half-day and full-day • One/half registered nurse assigned to Northville Elementary and one to Mayfield Elementary. • Grade Level section staffing based on implemented class sizes per classroom of: ◊ Kindergarten and grade 1: 20 pupils; grades 2 and 3: 22 pupils; grade 4 and 5: 24 pupils • The What if Picture has consistent ‘other instructional staff’ resources listed for each school. When final enrollments of each building are 1 .5 math, and .5 science FTE to join the teams to decide how to deliver accelerated math, and science to those grade 8 pupils ready begin high school courses for graduation credit plus 12 Estimated grade level sections grades 6-8 instructional staff (FTE) 3 core teams (English, Social Studies, Science, Math); each core team serves the same set of students each day Special Needs/Resource/ Academic Intervention Services/Reading Vocal Music Instrumental Music Art Social Worker Guidance Counselor Speech Occupational Therapist Physical Therapist Physical Education Psychologist Foreign Language Health Technology/Project Lead the Way Home and Careers Librarian “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 1.5 .5 1 1 .25 .25 2 .5 1.5 .5 1 1 .5 5 2 FTE - 154 - Estimated other instructional staff Assumptions for the estimated staffing to implement the direct instruction or the Grades 9-12 Program: • No new construction of additional space or renovation of existing space forecasted. • One registered nurse is assigned to the high school. • Grade Level section staffing based on implemented class sizes per classroom of 25 pupils for core courses (Each core team of 4 teachers is responsible for 111 pupils in a day across at least 5 instructional periods; or on average of 22.2 pupils per instructional class period. This includes the assumption that all 6-8 special needs pupils will be fully integrated in all classes. It does not take into account that there may be some special needs pupils served in a selfcontained setting when appropriate instead of a subject class) ESTIMATED ENROLLMENT: 334 Grades 6-8 Middle School (served in what is now Northville High School) PROGRAM: GRADES 6-8 Please note that grades 6-8 are served in the same building as Pre-K through grade 5 at Northville. Therefore, the total set of ‘other instructional staff’ in the total building can be deployed as needed in a given school year in grades Pre-K through 8 at Northville. ◊ Grades 6: 24 pupils ◊ Grades 7,8; 25 pupils • The instructional resource staff estimate includes enough instructional resource to deliver a middle school delivery method. • Grade Level section staffing based on implemented class sizes per classroom of: Subject area instructional resources “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Special Needs/Resource/Academic Intervention Services English Social Studies Math ESTIMATED ENROLLMENT: General Science 409 Earth Science Biology (Living Environment) (All pupils take English Language Chemistry Arts. Therefore, 4 English teachers Physics will likely be responsible for about Foreign Language 103 pupils each in a day across at Additional subject area FTE teachers to provide College courses and Advanced Placement Courses least 5 instructional periods; or on Health average of 20.6 pupils per Art instructional class period. This General Music includes the assumption that all Vocal Music special needs pupils will attend Instrumental Music English classes like all other pupils. Technology It does not take into account that Driver Education there may be some special needs Home and Careers pupils served in a self-contained Engineering; Mechanical Drawing/Project Lead the Way setting when appropriate instead of a Business subject class. There are two full Physical Education and part-time Director of Athletics, Physical Education and Recreation time equivalent teachers in addition for subject area college courses and Social Worker Guidance Counselor Advanced Placement Courses. Career Counselor Therefore, it is highly certain that each English teacher will likely have Speech Occupational Therapist a daily instructional ‘load’ of about Physical Therapist 90 pupils.) Psychologist Librarian PROGRAM: GRADES 9-12 High School (served in what is now Mayfield High School) 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 2 1 .5 .5 .5 .5 1 2 2 1 2 2 - 155 - Estimated FTE 5 4 4 4 4 143 3 3 3 26.5 (7 and 8) 43.0 (9-12) 69.5 plus 1 due to unforeseen grade level delivery issues 58.5 (Pre-K -5) 4.0 (grade 6) 62.5 plus 1 due to unforeseen grade level delivery issues ESTIMATED WHAT IF SCENARIO WITH A REORGANIZED SINGLE SCHOOL DISTRICT Full Time Equivalents -$79,984 +3 x (est) $65,000 = +$195,000 -1 x $80,018 = -$80,018 -2.6 x $74,987 = -$194,966 Estimated Collective Budget Impact (+ or – FTE’s times the average current FTE cost in the two school districts) “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 156 - Please note: personnel FTE expenditures for each staff segment category equals the total of salary, employer FICA costs, employer health insurance costs, employer retirement costs, and any other benefits (if any). Please note that the differences in cost per FTE per staff category is primarily due to the longevity differences of various FTE’s at each respective school district; the different retirement ‘tier’ an FTE falls under based on what state ‘tier’ was in place at time of hire; along with contractual pay guidelines. 143.6 0 3 STAFF SEGMENT Social worker (civil service payroll) Nurse (civil service payroll) Estimated Totals: 3 71.5 66.1 THE CURRENT PROGRAM STAFF COLLECTIVELY IN THE TWO DISTRICTS Full Time Equivalents Grades 7-12 certified teachers (including counselors, nurses and similar others): Grades 7 through grade 8 certified teachers (including counselors, social workers, librarians and similar others): Grades 9-12 certified teachers (including counselors, nurses and similar others): Grades K-12: OT/PT (civil service payroll) Pre-K through grade 6 certified teachers (including counselors, social workers, librarians and similar others): Pre-K through grade 5 and grade 6 certified teachers (including counselors, social workers, librarians and similar others): STAFF SEGMENT Current Program Instructional Staffing and the What If Estimated Scenario The Full Time Equivalent Supervisory/Administrative staffing listed should be viewed in light of what type of resource is represented and suggested to achieve sustained success in delivering the program that a reorganization will provide for all pupils---the position titles are examples. The resources listed and suggested may or may not line up with the skill sets of the resources currently on staff. The titles of Superintendent and Principal are specifically part of ED Law when program administration is discussed. • Estimated total: Northville: Pre-K-5 and Grades 6-8 in one building High School (at Mayfield) 9-12 Mayfield Elementary Pre-K-5 Buildings: “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 5 Principal Assistant Principal 409 1389 Principal Assistant Principal Principal Building/Program Supervision 165 334 481 Estimated Enrollment of the Building - 157 - 141 (not including up to 2 additional FTE’s available due to unforeseen grade level/subject level program delivery needs/issues) 46 51.5 43.5 Estimated Number of Total Instructional/Nurse Staff in the Building What if picture of how building level supervision and administration might be provided in a reorganized district: There will be the need for a central office person for at least 24 months of the beginning life of the new district to be responsible that the elements of transitioning to one district from two are diligently and comprehensively, planned, coordinated and implemented to ensure quality delivery of the program and services of the new school district to the two communities and their children. • Assumptions for the estimated staffing to implement and administer the program and services of the district: SUPERVISORY/ADMINISTRATIVE RESOURCES: A What if Staffing Picture to implement and administer the program and services of the reorganized district Primary Resource Function Chief Executive Officer Grant Writer Seeks out grants for the district and helps to write them “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 158 - Full Time Equivalent 1 0; purchase the service through the BOCES consortium 0; purchase the service through the BOCES consortium 1 Public Information Specialist Plans, coordinates, and implements an ongoing public information plan to keep the communities well-informed about the school district Director for Transition Develops a transition plan with other district leaders; Coordinates the (temporary for at least 1 year) elements of that plan with the efforts of all staff; troubleshoots unexpected challenges and opportunities as the transition from two districts to one evolves. Director of Instruction and Compensatory Plans, implements, and evaluates all pupil support services Education Grants collaboratively with the building principals. The role also coordinates, implements, and evaluates all government entitlement grants and other grants that serve instruction. Director of Special Education and CSE Coordinates special needs programming and chairs the district Chair committee on the handicapped School Business Official Chief financial officer. Director of Building and Grounds Ensures the maintenance and upkeep of all of the facility resources of the district. Director of Transportation Organizes and implements all transportation services of the district. Director of Food Services Organizes and implements all school lunch and breakfast services of the district. Estimated Total Central Services/Office: 7 PLUS ONE SHORT TERM TEMPORARY Superintendent What if picture of how district-wide central services office supervision and administration might be provided in a reorganized district: 13 Estimated Totals: 12 3 9 ESTIMATED WHAT IF SCENARIO WITH A REORGANIZED SINGLE SCHOOL DISTRICT Full Time Equivalents -$75,784 -1 x $75,784 = -$75,784 Estimated Collective Budget Impact (+ or – FTE’s times the average current FTE cost in the two school districts) “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 159 - Please note: personnel FTE expenditures for each staff segment category equals the total of salary, employer FICA costs, employer health insurance costs, employer retirement costs, and any other benefits (if any). Please note that the differences in cost per FTE per staff category is primarily due to the longevity differences of various FTE’s at each respective school district; the different retirement ‘tier’ an FTE falls under based on what state ‘tier’ was in place at time of hire; along with contractual pay guidelines. 4 9 THE CURRENT PROGRAM STAFF COLLECTIVELY IN THE TWO DISTRICTS 2010-2011 Full Time Equivalents Directors of school lunch, transportation, and facilities operation and maintenance K-12 certified administrators including all district administrators including the business official if she/he serves in a civil service position STAFF SEGMENT Current Program Supervisory/Administrative Staffing and the What If Estimated Scenario TRANSPORTATION: It is suggested that the school transportation programs as staffed continue for the newly reorganized school district. Within the first two years of the new school district it is suggested that the district review, analyze and study the delivery of transportation services to identify ways, if any, that the service can be delivered more efficiently. BUILDINGS AND GROUNDS: It is suggested that the school buildings and grounds operations and maintenance resources as staffed in each building continue for the newly reorganized school district. Within the first two years of the new school district it is suggested that the district review, analyze and study the delivery of building services to identify ways, if any, that the service can be delivered more efficiently. For example, such an analysis can identify how best the new district can use differentiated staffing to achieve expected standards in cleaning; planned and scheduled maintenance of systems and equipment; availability of on-staff skill sets for electricity, plumbing, painting, refrigeration, and heating, ventilating and air conditioning to efficiently and cost-effectively operate the buildings of the district. • • - 160 - SCHOOL LUNCH: It is suggested that the school lunch programs as staffed continue for the newly reorganized school district. Within the first two years of the new school district it is suggested that the district review, analyze and study the delivery of school lunch services to identify ways, if any, that the service can be delivered more efficiently. • “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Initially, the newly organized district can re-craft the overall supervision of school lunch, transportation and building and operations. • Assumptions: What if picture of how transportation, food service and buildings operation and maintenance is provided in the reorganized school district: The What if scenario includes 3 libraries. Other pupil supervisory/monitor/instructional support duties. The What if scenario includes Academic Intervention services and at least one computer lab in each school building. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” It is suggested that the 4 teacher assistants be tentatively designated to serve these purposes. • Assumptions: Teacher Assistants It is suggested that the remaining 3.89 teacher aides remain as a resource for these duties. • It is suggested that 3 teacher aides be tentatively designated to serve these 3 libraries. • - 161 - The What if scenario includes 3 full day pre-kindergarten classes and 20 special needs/resource/AIS/reading classrooms. It is suggested that 23 teacher aides be tentatively designated to serve these 23 classes. • Assumptions: Teacher Aides The two school districts currently deploy 4 NYS certified Teacher Assistants. There are 29.89 civil service teacher aides currently in the two school districts. What if picture of how a reorganized district might deploy teacher aides and teacher assistants: 4 4 1 5 4 3 Total: 14; 12.5 currently on staff “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Total: 4 FTE’s; currently there are 5 FTE’s - 162 - It is suggested that the business office requires at least: 9 One Treasurer 9 One accounting support person for payroll. 9 One accounting support person for accounts payable. 9 One accounting support person for the accounting of employee benefits like health insurance, assistant treasurer, and internal auditor Business Office: 3 4.5 Northville Prek-5 and Grades 6-8 High School District Office Directors of Cafeteria, Transportation, Building and Grounds 2 3 Mayfield Elementary Secretary FTE’s Assigned Administrators/Supervisors/ Guidance/Social Workers Location Suggested deployment of secretarial support: It is suggested that each school building should have at least two secretaries. Administrators, supervisors, guidance counselors and social workers are provided secretarial services. What if picture of how a reorganized district might deploy secretaries, business office support staff and school building based technology technicians: Secretarial Support: 4 2 5 2 19.5 Totals: +$7896 -1.0 x $64,427 = -$64,427 Estimated Collective Budget Impact (+ or – FTE’s times the average current FTE cost in the two school districts) +1.5 x $48,215 = +$72,323 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 163 - Please note: personnel FTE expenditures for each staff segment category equals the total of salary, employer FICA costs, employer health insurance costs, employer retirement costs, and any other benefits (if any). Please note that the differences in cost per FTE per staff category is primarily due to the longevity differences of various FTE’s at each respective school district; the different retirement ‘tier’ an FTE falls under based on what state ‘tier’ was in place at time of hire; along with contractual pay guidelines. 20 14 12.5 Secretarial Business Office Accounting Technology Technicians Suggested FTE’s Current FTE’s Staff Segment Total: 2 FTE’s; currently there are 2 It is suggested that the district employ 2 technology personnel, one that coordinates the technology program of the district and provides staff training; and 1 that provides technological equipment support. The reorganized district may wish to explore receiving the building site based service instead as part of a BOCES Aidable service through the Regional Information Center. Technology Support: “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 164 - *Part-time hourly bus drivers, bus aides and school lunch workers now at Northville not counted in current or estimated FTE count above; hourly service is assumed to continue if the districts reorganized into one. STAFF FULL TIME EQUIVALENTS ESTIMATED FULL TIME ESTIMATED EXPENDITURE SEGMENT IN THE TWO SCHOOL EQUIVALENTS IN A CHANGE IN A REORGANIZED DISTRICTS REORGANIZED DISTRICT DISTRICT BENCHMARKED TO BENCHMARKED TO THE INCLUDING PUPIL PROGRAM THE TOTAL OF THE BUDGETS 2010-2011 SCHOOL YEAR ENHANCEMENTS OF THE TWO SCHOOL DISTRICTS IN 2010-2011 Pre-K through grade 6 certified teachers 63.5 including 1 undesignated FTE’s (including counselors, social workers, librarians, 66.1 due to unforeseen grade level issues teacher certified nurses and similar others): Grade 7-12 certified teachers (including 70.5 including 1 undesignated FTE’s counselors, nurses and similar others): 71.5 due to unforeseen subject program delivery issues OT/PT (civil service payroll) 3 3 Social worker (civil service payroll) 0 3 Nurse (civil service payroll) 3 3 SUBTOTAL -$79,984 K-12 certified administrators 9 9 Directors of school lunch, transportation, facilities 4 3 SUBTOTAL -$75,784 Teacher Assistants (certified) 4 4 Teacher Aides (civil service payroll) 29.89 29.89 SUBTOTAL 0 Secretarial 12.5 14 Business Office Accounting 5 4 Technology Trainer/Technician 2 2 SUBTOTAL +$7896 Bus drivers Continue current delivery plan Bus aides School lunch workers Continue current delivery plan Operations and Maintenance workers Continue current delivery plan ESTIMATED TOTAL NET CHANGE IN BUDGET EXPENDITURE BENCHMARKED TO 2010-2011 -$147,872 SYNOPSIS The What if scenario—including student program enhancements--- is an estimated -$147,872 less in expenditure for staffing in a reorganized school district than the amount expended in 2010-2011 in total by the two districts separately—without the student program enhancements. 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2010-2011 5 2009-2010 1 2008-2009 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 3 2007-2008 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 5 1 1 1 1 2 1 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Pre-K through grade 6 certified teachers (including counselors, nurses and similar others) Grade 7-12 certified teachers (including counselors, nurses and similar others): Grades K-12: Teacher Assistants (certified) Teacher Aides (civil service) Grades K-12: OT/PT (civil service) Social worker (civil service) Nurse (civil service) K-12 certified administrators: Civil Service: Supervisors of any support function Bus drivers Bus aides School lunch workers Operations and Maintenance workers Secretaries Business Office not secretarial Technology support staff STAFF SEGMENT 2009-2010 NORTHVILLE 2008-2009 MAYFIELD 2010-2011 1 1 1 3 3 4 3 1 1 3 5 15 15 TOTAL OVER 4 YEARS FTE NUMBERS OF STAFF WHO HAVE LEFT THE DISTRICTS FOR ALL REASONS EXCEPT REDUCTION IN FORCE 2007-2008 - 165 - “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” NOVEMBER 2011 DECEMBER 2011 JANUARY 2012 MAYFIELD CS NORTHVILLE CS - 166 - Based on the Program Vision Ideas of the Community Advisory Joint Committee for Opportunities for All Pupils OPTION ONE and OPTION TWO A ‘What if’ Financial Picture of a Reorganization of the Two School Districts into One “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 167 - Assumption: The organization of the two districts into one will allow other expenditure reductions not identified as major elements below. For example, currently there are two expenditures for the required services of a yearly external audit. In all likelihood the yearly external audit for the new district will cost less than what is now collectively spent by the two school districts separately. Simultaneously, the newly organized school district may have additional expenditures like the need for one or two more tubas because more pupils take advantage of a more comprehensive band program. Such flexibility of reducing existing planned expenditures to support reasonable and appropriate new expenditures should be acknowledged at this stage of studying a possible reorganization. At this point in the road toward formal consideration of reorganization by the communities, the expenditures, revenues and property tax implications are viewed with an accurate, but global view by the study. Assumption: A 3.5% inflation rate is prudent to expect. Assumption: Ensuring that all pupils have access to interscholastic activities and co-curricular opportunities at a level higher and more diverse than now available by the two districts separately is an important value and goal by the community advisory joint Committee. This goal is reflected in the estimated first year expenditure budget with the inclusion of 10% more financial resources for such opportunities beyond what was budgeted by the two districts separately in 2010-2011 before state aid for schools was reduced so significantly. Assumption: Implementation of the attached grade level configuration program delivery plan and the use of the current buildings. It is this grade level plan and use of building plan that the estimated first year budget is based on. Assumption: The attached program elements Pre-K through 12 vision was developed with the insights and advice of the community advisory joint Committee. It is this program that the estimated first year budget is based on. 1. Estimated first year expenditure budget of a newly organized school district in 2012-2013. Therefore, the financial plan framework suggested by the study reflects this explicit guidance by outlining a financial blueprint that ends the budget and property tax reliance on reorganization incentive aid terminating in the same year that the aid stops coming to the newly organized school district. The Community Advisory Committee members from both school districts along with the Boards of Education and the superintendents asked that the study identify a financial roadmap for a possible reorganized school district that has financial sustainability after the special reorganization state aid ends in 14 years. Guiding Financial Plan Assumption: 609,084 27,955 200,000 + + + $28,125,051 33,862 + -$147,872 +$123,774 $26,363,585 + 914,663 $27,178,248 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 168 - Assumption: The newly organized school district will receive $1,983,646 in legislatively defined school district reorganization incentive aid in the first year of reorganization. The schedule of reorganization aid as per current legislation and state policy over the next fourteen years for one reorganized district is: Assumption: School district state aid, federal aid, and other revenues (not including property tax revenues) received by the two school districts in 2011-2012 will be equal to what will be received in the first year of a reorganization. The two school districts separately received $13,064,483 in revenues not including property taxes in 2011-2012. It is estimated that baseline revenues, not including reorganization incentive aid and property taxes, will total the same in the first year for the reorganized school district. 2. Estimated first year revenue budget of a newly organized school district: *If a reorganization of the two districts is approved by both communities, the new district will begin for the 2013-2014. Subtotal Estimated difference in the staffing budgets of the two school districts separately and with the estimated staffing budget of the reorganized district. The staffing levels are based on the program vision developed with the help of the Community Advisory Joint Committee as described in the What if Program/Staffing scenario. This total savings results from the act of serving the pupils collectively. Estimated resources to organize and implement the details of the reorganization Amount to meet the 2010-2011 level of expenditures for the co-curricular, music/drama, and interscholastic offerings budgeted separately by the two districts plus 10% for added programming. Estimated expenditure for transportation based on the grade level configurations of the program and the location of the various school buildings. Estimated expenditure for Pre-K-5 before school program and 6-8 after school program at Northville Estimated expenditures to address developing new labor contracts. Net estimated expenditure budget for the first year of the newly organized district in *2012-2013: Total of the 2011-2012 school budgets of the two separate school districts. Anticipated inflation for 2012-2013 of at least 3.5%. Profile of the major elements of the first year’s expenditure budget of the newly organized school district: Reorganization Aid in Addition to Regular State School Aid $1,983,646 $1,983,646 $1,983,646 $1,983,646 $1,983,646 $1,785,281 $1,586,917 $1,388,552 $1,190,188 $991,823 $793,458 $595,094 $396,729 $198,365 $0 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 169 - Assumption: The newly organized school district will receive the highest of the building aid percentages of the current two school districts on all facility debt incurred previously by each school district. Mayfield has the highest building aid ratio of 91.4%. Therefore, building aid for existing debt of Northville will receive state building aid at the 91.4% level. Currently, the building aid ratio for Northville is 78.7%. Please note that any new facility debt that the communities approve in the future for the newly organized district will receive 95% to 98% in building aid state support. Charted below are the existing long term bond borrowings for facility capital projects as of June 30, 2012 (principal and interest) of each of the two districts. Assumption: The newly organized school district will receive in 2013-2014 an additional $573,617 in transportation aid to support the preliminary transportation plan developed by the two districts. The transportation routing plan has a guiding goal that there are no pupils on a bus longer than 1 hour and that all K-5 pupils are anticipated to attend the local community elementary school. Requests will be honored from parents who live closer to a different elementary school and wish their children to attend the closer school. Assumption: It is expected based on the fiscal conditions profile contained in the study that the two districts will have collectively $3,800,000 in cash from existing approved reserves and any fund balances from unspent budgeted funds from the 2011-2012 budgets on June 30, 2012. Assumption: The newly organized school district ‘from day one’ needs to identify a financial framework plan to help ensure financial sustainability and to deal with unknown economic variables of the future ‘without surprises’ as the reorganization incentive aid eventually declines to $0 after fourteen years. Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 (aid ratio of 78.7%) (aid ratio of 91.4%) $1,487,993 $1.521,526 $1,573,889 $1,350,000 $2,620,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 Thereafter $36,014 $37,773 $38,962 $40,723 $47,369 Estimated Annual Additional Building Aid Revenue based on all debt receiving 91.4% state aid times the approved Aidable expenditure amount of the project by SED (i.e. the bond percentage) $7,175,000 +$1,080,000 250,000 1,150,000 300,000 700,000 650,000 750,000 3,000,000 Suggested Amount: 75,000 300,000 Total estimate of the 2011-2012 regular state, federal aid revenues. Does not include fund balance allocation to reduce the tax levy or transfers from reserves. (Estimated new ‘regular’ transportation state aid on additional bus routing. *) Estimated annual additional building aid due to a common building aid ratio applied to all existing bond debt of the two individual school districts. Cash from the two districts on June 30, 2012 Year 1 of the reorganization incentive aid “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” +3,800,000 +1,983,646 + 517,721 + 36,014 $13,064,483 Profile of the major elements of the first year’s revenue budget of a newly organized school district based on 2011 current law. Reserve: Encumbrances (purchase orders still open) Unemployment Insurance Worker’s Compensation Liability Employees’ Retirement Contributions Tax Certiorari Employee Benefit Accrued Liability Reserve Capital Reserve (Voter approval to establish and fund. ($3,000,000 at least.) Repair Reserve (Voter approval to establish and fund; public hearing to spend.) Mandatory Reserve Fund (currently at Northville; possibly is ‘Debt Service Fund Balance’ instead) Insurance Property Loss and Liability Tax Reduction Total Reserves: Unrestricted undesignated fund balance subject to 4% of subsequent year’s budget) - 170 - Assumption: Listed below is a recommended list of reserves the newly organized district should achieve at a minimum over the first seven years of its existence as a new district as suggested by Patrick Powers, CPA of D’Arcangelo and Co. $315,080 $330,475 $340,875 $356,282 $414,426 Northville Mayfield Fiscal Year Ending June 30, “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 171 - Assumption: As of June 30, 2011 the two school districts have $10,310,546 in debt for existing school facility community approved projects. It is prudent to pre-pay this debt as reorganization incentive aid funds may allow. The financial scenario below includes the pre-payment of $4,000,000 of existing capital project debt over the first 10 years of the reorganized school district. In this way, the newly reorganized school district can reduce a known obligated future expenditure without using local property tax revenue. The debt ends more quickly. However, the state building aid revenue on the debt still comes in to the new district at the yearly scheduled matching the original term of the bonds. As the state building aid revenue is received through 2025 on the advanced ‘mortgage’ pay-down payments, the revenue can be placed in an approved capital reserve for future projects or is available as may be necessary to moderate the property tax levy through 2026 and beyond. For example, it is suggested that over the first 24 months the newly organized school district analyze the current method of delivering transportation, operation and maintenance, and cafeteria services. An ongoing annual formal review of the program delivery elements should be part of the culture. For example, the program vision includes 20 full time equivalent positions across the K-12 curriculum to serve special needs pupils, academic intervention services, and reading. If the estimated pupil population that is expected to need such services does not enroll, then a staffing adjustment needs to be made. Comprehensive short term and long term planning communicated with the school district community is suggested to be a critical element for the newly organized school district. Assumption and Expectation: The newly organized school district will identify annually at least $78,572 in on-going efficiencies to deliver the program over the next 14 years. Thus, over 15 years the reorganization incentive aid used initially to reduce the tax levy is reduced to $0. Therefore, the reorganization aid is not relied on for the financial future of the district after it is phased out starting in 2026. Instead, financial efficiencies that are implemented over 15 years because of reorganization is the prime factor in moderating the reliance on the property tax to deliver the program. A Suggested Financial Framework to Manage the Reorganization Incentive Aid Revenues of the Newly Organized District Over Fifteen Years. Net estimated revenues not including property taxes for the first year of the newly organized district: $19,401,864 *This is an expenditure driven state aid. It is paid by the state in the year following the expenditure and will be paid to the new district in 2013-2014. The reorganization incentive aid in year one only will supply the $517,721 revenue for the 2012-2013 budget. This is a prime example of how the incentive aid helps to enable the establishment of reorganized school districts. $18,844,637 $1,983,646 $1,983,646 $1,983,646 $1,983,646 $1,983,646 $1,785,281 $1,586,917 $1,388,552 $1,190,188 $991,823 $793,458 $595,094 $396,729 $198,365 $0 Total Annual Reorganization Incentive Aid $6,076,883 $365,925 $562,217 $640,788 $719,359 $797,930 $678,136 $558,343 $438,549 $318,756 $198,962 $79,168 $359,375 $239,581 $119,794 $0 Incentive Aid Allocated to Reserves $517,721 $517,721 Incentive Aid Allocated to Enable First Year Cost for Transportation Plan $4,000,000 $400,000 $400,000 $400,000 $400,000 $400,000 $400,000 $400,000 $400,000 $400,000 $400,000 Incentive Aid Allocated to Pay Down the Existing Building Bond Debt of the two districts now the responsibility of the new district (Advanced Payment of Existing Debt) $8,250,033 $1,100,000 $1,021,429 $942,858 $864,287 $785,716 $707,145 $628,574 $550,003 $471,432 $392,861 $314,290 $235,719 $157,148 $78,571 $0 Incentive Aid Allocated to Reduce the Tax Levy “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 172 - The following page duplicates the official calculations of each school district for the property tax rates specific to each school district community for 2011-2012. It also estimates the 2012-2013 property tax rates for the combined school district community if the communities chose to reorganize the two districts into one school district based on the estimated expenditures and revenues outlined on the previous pages. TOTALS: $3,800,000 $3,800,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Cash from ‘closing the books’ of the two school districts allocated to reserves of the newly organized school district Year The suggested financial framework is charted below: 6,325,017 223,337,328 36,214,467 2,144,700 112,852,937 196,900 381,071,349 Northville Mayfield Northampton Hope Bleecker Benson Edinburg Total 6,325,017 223,337,328 36,214,467 2,144,700 112,852,937 196,900 381,071,349 264,119,833 7,446,105 41,540,954 1,469,610 314,576,502 Assessed Value Apportionment August-11 0.71 0.66 0.93 1.00 0.93 0.55 0.71 0.66 0.79 0.90 Equalization Rate School Tax Levy Percent of Tax Levy 8,908,475 5,225,513 1.746456% 338,389,891 5,225,513 66.339435% 38,940,287 5,225,513 7.634024% 2,144,700 5,225,513 0.420456% 121,347,244 5,225,513 23.789445% 358,000 5,225,513 0.070184% 510,088,597 100% 10.24 Tax Rate on $1000 of Market Value 371,999,765 6,605,589 85.028882% 11,281,977 6,605,589 2.578749% 52,583,486 6,605,589 12.019134% 1,632,900 6,605,589 0.373236% 437,498,128 100% 15.10 Tax Rate on $1000 of Market Value Full Value DATA 91,261 3,466,576 398,917 21,971 1,243,121 3,667 5,225,513 5,616,658 170,342 793,935 24,654 6,605,589 Tax Levy Dollars 14.43 15.52 11.02 10.24 11.02 18.63 21.27 22.88 19.11 16.78 2011-2012 Tax Rate $13,406,833 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Estimated tax levy for the first year of a reorganized district: - $ 1,100,000 Estimated reorganization incentive aid applied to property taxes: 517,721 - $ - $13,100,497 Estimated ‘regular’ state/federal aid/other revenue for the first year: (Same amount from 2011-2012 budget year—does not include allocation of a fund balance or transfers from reserves to reduce the tax levy.) Estimated reorganization incentive aid applied to first year costs for transportation: $28,125,051 Estimated budget for the first year of a reorganized district: “WHAT IF” PROPERTY TAXES IF THE TWO COMMUNITIES CHOSE TO REORGANIZE THE TWO DISTRICTS INTO ONE: 264,119,833 7,446,105 41,540,954 1,469,610 314,576,502 Total Accounts Mayfield Mayfield Northampton Johnstown Broadalbin Total Town Assessed Value Tax Levy August-11 2011-2012 Tax Rates for the Two Districts Separately - 173 - Mayfield Northampton Johnstown Broadalbin Mayfield Northampton Hope Bleecker Benson Edinburg Northville Town Assessed Value Apportionment August-12 270,444,850 230,783,433 41,540,954 1,469,610 36,214,467 2,144,700 112,852,937 196,900 695,647,851 Equalization Rate 0.71 0.66 0.79 0.90 0.93 1.00 0.93 0.55 Full School Tax Percent of Value Levy Tax Levy 380,908,239 13,406,833 40.197718% 349,671,868 13,406,833 36.901305% 52,583,486 13,406,833 5.549200% 1,632,900 13,406,833 0.172322% 38,940,287 13,406,833 4.109417% 2,144,700 13,406,833 0.226333% 121,347,244 13,406,833 12.805925% 358,000 13,406,833 0.037780% 947,586,724 100% 14.15 Tax Rate on $1000 of Market Value $71,000 $66,000 $93,000 $100,000 $93,000 $55,000 $14.43 $15.52 $11.02 $10.24 $11.02 $18.63 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” $100,000 $100,000 $100,000 $100,000 $100,000 $100,000 2012-2013 Tax Rate 19.93 21.44 17.91 15.72 15.21 14.15 15.21 25.72 $1024 $1024 $1024 $1024 $1024 $1024 $1510 $1510 $1510 $1510 - 174 - 2011-2012 Property Taxes Tax Levy Dollars 5,389,240.92 4,947,296.34 743,971.98 23,102.92 550,942.67 30,344.09 1,716,868.98 5,065.10 13,406,833 Current Tax Year 2011-2012 Example True Value Corresponding 2011-2012 Tax Rate (estimated market Assessed Value Per $1000 Assessed Value value) $100,000 $71,000 $21.27 $100,000 $66,000 $22.88 $100,000 $79,000 $19.11 $100,000 $90,000 $16.78 Sample property taxes for a home with a $100,000 market (true value): Total Accounts Mayfield School District Town Mayfield Northampton Johnstown Broadalbin Hope Bleecker Benson Edinburg Assessed Value Tax Levy August-12 270,444,850 230,783,433 41,540,954 1,469,610 36,214,467 2,144,700 112,852,937 196,900 695,647,851 2012-2013 "WHAT IF" PROPERTY TAXES IF THE TWO COMMUNITIES CHOSE TO REORGANIZE THE TWO DISTRICTS INTO ONE DATA OPTION TWO: ‘Roadmap’ of a What if Financial Picture Tied to Tax Rates of 2011-2012 and the Program/Staffing Picture that Results from that Financial Picture “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 175 - Page 8 illustrates the potential property taxes for a reorganized district that delivers instruction at the grade levels suggested by the Community Advisory Joint Committee in the current school buildings also suggested by the Joint Committee. Page 8 also reflects the estimated property taxes that likely may provide the vision of an enhanced instructional program for Pre-K through grade 12 as illustrated in the reference, A If the Boards decide to change the focus (for the sake of discussion) of the objective to: determine if a centralization can increase efficiencies and lower costs for the overall operation by forming one centralized district and at the same time provide enhanced educational opportunities, then below is a financial tool that may help the districts in their discussion. The study was commissioned based on the above objective and the research and methodology are guided by the objective. Objective of the school districts: determine if a centralization of the Mayfield and Northville Central School Districts would provide enhanced educational opportunities and at the same time increase efficiencies and lower costs for the overall operation by forming one centralized district. The Mayfield and Northville Central School Districts submitted a grant application to achieve a reorganization study with the following objective: Reorganized School District ESTIMATED FOR THE 2O12-2013 SCHOOL YEAR IF THE TWO SCHOOL DISTRICTS REORGANIZED INTO ONE SCHOOL DISTRICT: Town Example Corresponding 2012-2013 Tax Rate Per $1000 Assessed Value 2012-2013 Estimated Property True Assessed based on the tax levy reflective of the outlined Taxes on a $100,000 market Value of a Value financial plan for the newly organized school district value (‘true value’) home home for 2012-2013 $100,000 $71,000 $1415 Mayfield $19.93 $100,000 $66,000 $1415 Northampton $21.44 $100,000 $79,000 $1415 Johnstown $17.91 $100,000 $90,000 $1415 Broadalbin $15.72 $100,000 $93,000 $1415 Hope $15.21 $100,000 $100,000 $1415 Bleecker $14.15 $100,000 $93,000 $1415 Benson $15.21 $100,000 $55,000 $1415 Edinburg $25.72 DATA “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 176 - Assumptions about Expenditures and Revenues ‘What if’ Picture of a Reorganized School District with the Student ‘What if’ Picture of a Reorganized School that Keeps Property Tax Program Enhancements Envisioned by the Community Advisory Joint Rates in Each Town at no More than when the Districts were Separate Committee in 2011-2012 Assumption: The program elements vision for Pre-K through 12 was developed with the insights and advice of the community advisory joint Committee. It is this program that the estimated first year budget is based on. ‘What if’ Picture of a Reorganized School District with the Student ‘What if’ Picture of a Reorganized School that Keeps Property Tax Program Enhancements Envisioned by the Community Advisory Joint Rates in Each Town at no More than when the Districts were Separate Committee in 2011-2012 Assumption: Implementation of the attached grade level configuration program delivery plan and the use of the current buildings. It is this grade level plan and use of building plan that the estimated first year budget is based on. Assumption: Ensuring that all pupils have access to interscholastic activities and co-curricular opportunities at a level higher and more diverse than now available by the two districts separately is an important value and goal by the community advisory joint Committee. This goal is reflected in the estimated first year expenditure budget with the inclusion of 10% more financial resources for such opportunities beyond what was budgeted by the two districts separately in 2010-2011 before state aid for schools was reduced so significantly. Assumption: A 3% inflation rate is prudent to expect. Assumption: The organization of the two districts into one will allow other expenditure reductions not identified as major elements below. For example, currently there are two expenditures for the required services of a yearly external audit. In all likelihood the yearly external audit for the new district will cost less than what is now collectively spent by the two school districts separately. Simultaneously, the newly organized school district may have additional expenditures like the need for one or two more tubas because Below is a calculation of property taxes that starts with the premise that both districts would at least equal the property taxes at the 2011-2012 levels if they decide to reorganize. In order to have both districts at least equal the 2011-2012 property tax levels, the estimated tax levy in a newly organized school can be no higher than $9,700,000. DATA ‘What if’ Program/Staffing Picture of a Reorganization of the Two School Districts into One and in A ‘What if’ Picture of How the Program is Delivered and How the School Buildings are Used in a Reorganization of the Two School Districts into One. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 177 - ‘What if’ Picture of a Reorganized School District with the Student ‘What if’ Picture of a Reorganized School that Keeps Property Tax Program Enhancements Envisioned by the Community Advisory Joint Rates in Each Town at no More than when the Districts were Separate Committee in 2011-2012 Assumption: School district state aid, federal aid, and other revenues (not including property tax revenues) received by the two school districts in 20112012 will be equal to what will be received in the first year of a reorganization. The two school districts separately received $13,064,483 in revenues not including property taxes in 2011-2012. It is estimated that baseline revenues, not including reorganization incentive aid and property taxes, will total the same in the first year for the reorganized school district. Assumption: The newly organized school district will receive $1,983,646 in legislatively defined school district reorganization incentive aid in the first year of reorganization. Assumption: The newly organized school district ‘from day one’ needs to identify a financial framework plan to help ensure financial sustainability and to deal with unknown economic variables of the future ‘without surprises’ as the reorganization incentive aid eventually declines to $0 after fourteen years. Assumption: It is expected based on the fiscal conditions profile contained in the study that the two districts will have collectively $3,800,000 in cash from existing approved reserves and any fund balances from unspent budgeted funds from the 2011-2012 budgets on June 30, 2012. Assumption: The newly organized school district will receive in 2013-2014 an additional $517,721 in transportation aid to support the preliminary transportation plan developed by the two districts. The transportation routing plan has a guiding goal that there are no pupils on a bus longer than 1 hour and that all K-5 pupils are anticipated to attend the local community elementary school. Requests will be honored from parents who live closer to a different elementary school and wish their children to attend the closer school. Assumption: The newly organized school district will receive the highest of the building aid percentages of the current two school districts on all facility debt incurred previously by each school district. Mayfield has the highest building aid ratio of 91.4%. Therefore, building aid for existing debt of Northville will receive state building aid at the 91.4% level. Currently, the building aid ratio for Northville is 78.7%. Please note that any new facility debt that the communities approve in the future for the newly organized district will receive 95% to 98% in building aid state support. Charted below are the Assumption: Town tax rates will not rise above those for 2011-2012. Assumption: As of June 30, 2011 the two school districts have $10,310,546 in debt for existing school facility community approved projects. It is prudent to pre-pay this debt as reorganization incentive aid funds may allow. The financial scenario below includes the pre-payment of $4,000,000 of existing capital project debt over the first 10 years of the reorganized school district. In this way, the newly reorganized school district can reduce a known obligated future expenditure without using local property tax revenue. The debt ends more quickly. However, the state building aid revenue on the debt still comes in to the new district at the yearly scheduled matching the original term of the bonds. As the state building aid revenue is received through 2025 on the advanced ‘mortgage’ pay-down payments, the revenue can be placed in an approved capital reserve for future projects or is available as may be necessary to moderate the property tax levy through 2026 and beyond more pupils take advantage of a more comprehensive band program. Such flexibility of reducing existing planned expenditures to support reasonable and appropriate new expenditures should be acknowledged at this stage of studying a possible reorganization. At this point in the road toward formal consideration of reorganization by the communities, the expenditures, revenues and property tax implications are viewed with an accurate, but global view by the study. DATA Subtotal “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Estimated difference in the staffing budgets of the two school districts separately and with the estimated staffing budget of the reorganized district. The staffing levels are based on the program vision developed with the help of the Community Advisory Joint Committee as described in the What if Program/Staffing scenario. This total savings results from the act of serving the pupils collectively. Estimated resources to organize and implement the details of the reorganization Estimated difference in the estimated staffing budgets of the program enhancement vision developed by the Community Advisory Joint Committee and the estimated staffing budgets reflective of the financial goal to retain town tax rates at the 2011-2012 levels. Total of the 2011-2012 school budgets of the two separate school districts. Anticipated inflation for 2012-2013 147,872 0 - 178 - - $2,629,166 + $26,363,585 +0 $26,363,585 Profile of the major elements of the first year’s expenditure budget of the newly organized school district where tax rates do not supersede 2011-2012 town tax rates of the separate school districts: To achieve the scenario where property taxes in each town of the reorganized district fall below those of 2011-2011, $2,629,166 of resources now listed in the ‘What if’ Program/Staffing Picture of a Reorganization of the Two School Districts into One would need to be reduced or eliminated or added revenue from state/federal aid would need to be received. The likelihood of additional government aid beyond 2011-2012 levels is unlikely. existing long term bond borrowings for facility capital projects as of June 30, 2012 (principal and interest) of each of the two districts. Assumption: The newly organized district should achieve at a minimum over the first seven years of its existence as a new district as suggested by Patrick Powers, CPA of D’Arcangelo and Co. Assumption and Expectation: The newly organized school district will Assumption and Expectation: The newly organized school district will add identify annually at least $78,571 in on-going efficiencies to deliver the $78,571 to the annual total tax levy each year over the next 14 years. Thus, program over the next 14 years. Thus, over 15 years the reorganization over 15 years the reorganization incentive aid used to reduce the tax levy is incentive aid used to reduce the tax levy is reduced to $0. Therefore, the reduced to $0. Therefore, the reorganization aid is not relied on for the reorganization aid is not relied on for the financial future of the district after financial future of the district after it is phased out starting in 2026. it is phased out starting in 2026. Instead, financial efficiencies that are implemented over 15 years because of reorganization is the prime factor Any resources gained from on-going efficiencies because of combining into one district will be used to provide student program enhancements to help in moderating the reliance on the property tax to deliver the program. ensure that a comprehensive, and competitive program is offered the students of the district. DATA 24,632 + 609,084 + 27,955 + 170,000 $24,418,218 + • $9,700,000 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Estimated tax levy for the first year of a reorganized district: - 179 - “WHAT IF” PROPERTY TAXES IF THE TWO COMMUNITIES CHOSE TO REORGANIZE THE TWO DISTRICTS INTO ONE AND ALL TOWN TAXPAYERS OF THE SEPARATE SCHOOL DISTRICTS DO NOT EXCEED THE PROPERTY TAX RATES OF 2011-2012: • Estimated budget for the first year of a reorganized district guided by tax rates primary and programming second: $24,418,218 • Estimated ‘regular’ state/federal aid/other revenue for the first year: -$13,100,497 (Same amount from 2011-2012 budget year—does not include allocation of a fund balance or transfers from reserves to reduce the tax levy.) • Estimated reorganization incentive aid applied to first year costs for transportation: - $ 517,721 • Estimated reorganization incentive aid applied to property taxes: - $ 1,100,000 Amount to meet the 2010-2011 level of expenditures for the co-curricular, music/drama, and interscholastic offerings budgeted separately by the two districts plus 10% for added programming MINUS $ 11,382 Estimated expenditure for transportation based on the grade level configurations of the program and the location of the various school buildings. Estimated expenditure for Pre-K-5 before school program and 6-8 after school program at Northville Estimated expenditures to address developing new labor contracts. Net estimated expenditure budget for the first year of the newly organized district in 2012-2013: DATA Total Accounts Value Apportionment August-12 270,444,850 230,783,433 41,540,954 1,469,610 36,214,467 2,144,700 112,852,937 196,900 695,647,851 Equalization Rate 0.71 0.66 0.79 0.90 0.93 1.00 0.93 0.55 Full School Tax Percent of Value Levy Tax Levy 380,908,239 9,700,000 40.197718% 349,671,868 9,700,000 36.901305% 52,583,486 9,700,000 5.549200% 1,632,900 9,700,000 0.172322% 38,940,287 9,700,000 4.109417% 2,144,700 9,700,000 0.226333% 121,347,244 9,700,000 12.805925% 358,000 9,700,000 0.037780% 947,586,724 100% 10.24 Tax Rate on $1000 of Market Value DATA Tax Levy Dollars 3,899,178.65 3,579,426.59 538,272.40 16,715.23 398,613.45 21,954.30 1,242,174.73 3,664.66 9,700,000 2012-2013 Tax Rate 14.42 15.51 12.96 11.37 11.01 10.24 11.01 18.61 - 180 - OPTION TWO: Elements of a Program/Staff Scenario of a Reorganization that Keeps Property Tax Rates in Each Town that are at Most Equal to the 2011-2012 Rates Mayfield Elementary 30 ESTIMATED ENROLLMENT: (On average 21.5 pupils per class grades K-5 across the district. It 481 does not take into account that there Northville Elementary may be some special needs pupils served in a self-contained setting ESTIMATED ENROLLMENT: when appropriate instead of a grade level class section.) 165 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” OPTION ONE: ‘What if’ Picture of a Reorganized School District with the Student Program Enhancements Envisioned by the Community Advisory Joint Committee Mayfield Elementary 30 ESTIMATED ENROLLMENT: (On average 21.5 pupils per class 481 grades K-5 across the district. It does not take into account that there Northville Elementary may be some special needs pupils served in a self-contained setting ESTIMATED ENROLLMENT: when appropriate instead of a grade level class section.) 165 ELEMENTARY PRE-K THROUGH GRADE 5 Comparison of ‘What If’ Program/Staff Reorganization Pictures: Option One: Reorganization focused on a comprehensive vision for student programming, and then balancing the resulting property tax levy rates with the help of the incentive aid; Option Two: Reorganization focused on the balancing of property rates benchmarked to the 2011-2012 year with the help of the incentive aid, and then the resulting student programming. Town Mayfield Northampton Johnstown Broadalbin Hope Bleecker Benson Edinburg Value Tax Levy August-12 270,444,850 230,783,433 41,540,954 1,469,610 36,214,467 2,144,700 112,852,937 196,900 695,647,851 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 181 - PLUS ESTIMATED OTHER INSTRUCTIONAL STAFF ASSIGNED TO ONE OR BOTH ELEMENTARY SCHOOLS AS NEEDED IN A GIVEN SCHOOL YEAR OPTION ONE: ‘What if’ Picture of a Reorganized School District OPTION TWO: Elements of a Program/Staff Scenario of a with the Student Program Enhancements Envisioned by the Reorganization that Keeps Property Tax Rates in Each Town that Community Advisory Joint Committee are at Most Equal to the 2011-2012 Rates FTE FTE Est. Budget Impact of OPTION TWO Picture Pre-K 3 3 Special Needs/Resource/ Academic Intervention Services/Reading 10 8 -2 x $74,987 Vocal Music Instrumental Music 3 2 -1 x $74,987 Art 2.5 2.5 Foreign Language 1.5 0 -1.5 x $74,987 Social Worker 1.5 1 -.5 x (est) $65,000 Guidance Counselor 1.5 1 -.5 x $74,987 Speech 1.5 1.5 Occupational Therapist .75 .75 Physical Therapist .75 .75 Physical Education 3 2 -1 x $74,987 Psychologist 1 1 Librarian/Enrichment 1.5 1.5 1 undefined FTE for unforeseen grade level delivery issues 1 0 -1 x $74,987 Total: -$557,409 GRADES 6-8 MIDDLE SCHOOL OPTION ONE: ‘What if’ Picture of a Reorganized School District with the Student OPTION TWO: Elements of a Program/Staff Scenario of a Program Enhancements Envisioned by the Community Advisory Joint Committee Reorganization that Keeps Property Tax Rates in Each Town that are at Most Equal to the 2011-2012 Rates 2.5 English teachers 3 core teams (English, Social Studies, Grades 6-8 Middle School Grades 6-8 Middle School 2.5 math teachers Science, Math); each core team serves (served in what is now (served in what is now Northville High School) 2.5 science teachers Northville High School) the same set of students each day ESTIMATED ENROLLMENT: 334 2.5 social studies teachers ESTIMATED (Each core team of 4 teachers is responsible for 12 ENROLLMENT: 334 111 pupils in a day across at least 5 instructional plus periods; or on average of 22.2 pupils per Each teacher teaches 5 classes .5 math, and .5 science FTE to join instructional class period. This includes the per day. Therefore, 2.5 the teams to decide how to deliver -1 x $74,987 assumption that all 6-8 special needs pupils will be fully integrated in all classes. It does not take accelerated math, and science to those teachers per subject will be able -2 x $80,018 to provide 13 sections of classes grade 8 pupils ready begin high into account that there may be some special at about 25 to 26 pupils each. school courses for graduation credit needs pupils served in a self-contained setting 1 when appropriate instead of a subject class) DATA “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 182 - PLUS ESTIMATED OTHER INSTRUCTIONAL STAFF ASSIGNED TO THE MIDDLE SCHOOL AS NEEDED IN A GIVEN SCHOOL YEAR OPTION ONE: ‘What if’ Picture of a Reorganized School District with the OPTION TWO: Elements of a Program/Staff Scenario of a Reorganization that Keeps Property Tax Rates in Each Town that are at Most Equal to the Student Program Enhancements Envisioned by the Community Advisory 2011-2012 Rates Joint Committee FTE FTE Est. Budget Impact of OPTION TWO Picture Special Needs/Resource/ Academic Intervention Services/Reading 5 4 -1 x $80,018 Vocal Music Instrumental Music 2 1.5 -.5 x $80,018 Art 1.5 1 -.5 x $80,018 Social Worker .5 .5 Guidance Counselor 1 .5 -.5 x $80,018 Speech 1 .25 -.75 x $80,018 Occupational Therapist .25 .25 Physical Therapist .25 .25 Physical Education 2 1.5 -.5 x $80,018 Psychologist .5 .5 Foreign Language 1.5 1 -.5 x $80,018 Health .5 .5 Technology/Project Lead the Way 1 1 Home and Careers 1 .5 -.5 x $80,018 Librarian .5 .5 .5 0 .5 undefined FTE for unforeseen grade level delivery issues -.5 x $80,018 Total: -$675,122 DATA Each teacher teaches 5 classes per day. Therefore, 3.5 core teachers per subject will be able to provide at least 18 sections of classes at about 22 to 23 pupils each. Because of the inclusion of laboratory experience with science, 4 core science teachers are estimated. OPTION TWO: Elements of a Program/Staff Scenario of a Reorganization that Keeps Property Tax Rates in Each Town that are at Most Equal to the 2011-2012 Rates High School (served in what is now Mayfield High School) ESTIMATED ENROLLMENT: 409 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 183 - GRADES 9-12 HIGH SCHOOL SUBJECT AREA INSTRUCTIONAL RESOURCES OPTION ONE: ‘What if’ Picture of a Reorganized School FTE OPTIONE TWO: Elements of a Program/Staff Scenario of a District with the Student Program Enhancements Envisioned Reorganization that Keeps Property Tax Rates in Each Town that are at by the Community Advisory Joint Committee Most Equal to the 2011-2012 Rates FTE Est. Budget Impact of OPTION TWO Picture Special Needs/Resource/Academic Intervention Services 5 4 -1 x $80,018 English 4 3.5 -.5 x $80,018 Social Studies 4 3.5 -.5 x $80,018 Math 4 3.5 -.5 x $80,018 4 General Science 4 Earth Science Biology (Living Environment) Chemistry Physics Foreign Language 2 2 Additional subject area FTE teachers to provide College courses 2 2 and Advanced Placement Courses Health 1 1 High School (served in what is now Mayfield High School) ESTIMATED ENROLLMENT: 409 (All pupils take English Language Arts. Therefore, 4 English teachers will likely be responsible for about 103 pupils each in a day across at least 5 instructional periods; or on average of 20.6 pupils per instructional class period. This includes the assumption that all special needs pupils will attend English classes like all other pupils. It does not take into account that there may be some special needs pupils served in a self-contained setting when appropriate instead of a subject class. There are two full time equivalent teachers in addition for subject area college courses and Advanced Placement Courses. Therefore, it is highly likely that each English teacher will have a daily instructional ‘load’ of about 90 pupils.) OPTION ONE: ‘What if’ Picture of a Reorganized School District with the Student Program Enhancements Envisioned by the Community Advisory Joint Committee DATA GRADES 9-12 HIGH SCHOOL 1 .5 1 2 1 .5 .5 .5 .5 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 3 FTE .5 1 0 .25 .25 .25 .5 .5 0 -.5 x $80,018 -.5 x $80,018 Total: $816,241 -.5 x (est) $65,000 -1 x $80,018 -1 x $80,018 -.25 x $80,018 -.25 x $87,150 -.25 x $87,150 OPTION TWO: Elements of a Program/Staff Scenario of a Reorganization that Keeps Property Tax Rates in Each Town that are at Most Equal to the 2011-2012 Rates FTE Est. Budget Impact of OPTION TWO Picture 2 1.5 -.5 x $80,018 .5 -.5 x $80,018 0 -1 x $80,018 .5 -.5 x $80,018 .5 -.5 x $80,018 1 2 -1 x $80,018 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 184 - TEACHER AIDES AND TEACHER ASSISTANTS OPTION ONE: ‘What if’ Picture of a Reorganized School OPTION TWO: Elements of a Program/Staff Scenario of a District with the Student Program Enhancements Envisioned Reorganization that Keeps Property Tax Rates in Each Town that are at by the Community Advisory Joint Committee Most Equal to the 2011-2012 Rates FTE FTE Est. Budget Impact of OPTION TWO Picture Teacher Aides 29.89 29.89 Teacher Assistants 4 4 Art General Music/Vocal Music/Instrumental Music Technology Driver Education Home and Careers Engineering; Mechanical Drawing/Project Lead the Way Business Physical Education and part-time Director of Athletics, Physical Education and Recreation Social Worker Guidance Counselor Career Counselor Speech Occupational Therapist Physical Therapist Psychologist Librarian .5 undefined FTE for unforeseen grade level delivery issues OPTION ONE: ‘What if’ Picture of a Reorganized School District with the Student Program Enhancements Envisioned by the Community Advisory Joint Committee DATA Director for Transition (temporary for at least 1 year) Public Information Specialist Superintendent Grant Writer District-wide supervision/administration resources: 0; purchase the service through the BOCES consortium 0 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” 0; purchase the service through the BOCES consortium 1 Full Time Equivalents 1 0; purchase the service through the BOCES consortium OPTION TWO: Reorganization focused on the balancing of property rates benchmarked to the 2011-2012 year with the help of the incentive aid, and the resulting student programming elements Full Time Equivalents 1 0; purchase the service through the BOCES consortium 4 Principal Principal Assistant Principal Principal Assistant Principal Principal Assistant Principal 5 Principal Total: -$123,774 -1 x $123,774 Est. Budget Impact of OPTION TWO Picture -1 x $123,774 - 185 - Est. Budget Impact of OPTION TWO Picture OPTION TWO: Reorganization focused on the balancing of property rates benchmarked to the 2011-2012 year with the help of the incentive aid, and the resulting student programming elements Full Time Equivalents Principal Full Time Equivalents OPTION ONE: Reorganization focused on a comprehensive vision for student programming, and balancing the resulting property tax levy rates with the help of the incentive aid Estimated FTE Total School Buildings: Mayfield Elementary Pre-K-5 Northville: Pre-K-5 and Grades 6-8 in one building High School(at Mayfield) 9-12 Building Supervisory/Administrative Resources: OPTION ONE: Reorganization focused on a comprehensive vision for student programming, and balancing the resulting property tax levy rates with the help of the incentive aid DATA SUPERVISORY/ADMINISTRATIVE RESOURCES: 1 Director of Food Services District-wide business office support resources: Treasurer Payroll Accounts Payable Employee benefits, assistant treasurer, internal auditor 1 1 1 1 15 .5 1 1 .5 11 -.5 x $64,427 -.5 x $64,427 Total: -$144,645 -1 x $48,215 -1.5 x $48,215 -.5 x $48,215 - 186 - Est. Budget Impact of OPTION TWO Picture Total: -$247,548 -.5 x $123,774 -.5 x $123,774 OPTION TWO: Reorganization focused on the balancing of property rates benchmarked to the 2011-2012 year with the help of the incentive aid, and the resulting student programming elements Full Time Equivalents 2 2 2.5 3.5 1 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Estimated FTE Total Secretarial Services: District-wide secretarial support resources: Mayfield Elementary Northville Prek-5 and Grades 6-8 High School District Office Directors of Cafeteria, Transportation, Building and Grounds OPTION ONE: Reorganization focused on a comprehensive vision for student programming, and balancing the resulting property tax levy rates with the help of the incentive aid Full Time Equivalents 2 3 4 4 1 7 1 .5 .5 Director of Operations 1 1 1 1 8 1 1 Estimated FTE Total Central Services/Office: 1 1 Director of Instruction and Compensatory Education Grants Director of Special Education and CSE Chair School Business Official Director of Building and Grounds Director of Transportation DATA 2 District-wide technology support resources School Lunch Transportation Building and Grounds 2 3 Total: -$64,427 -$2,629,166 -$123,774 -$247,548 -$144,645 -$64,427 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” Instructional Technology Support Total Estimated Expenditure Difference: PreK – grade 5 program Grades 6, 7, 8 program Grades 9-12 high school program Teacher Aides/Teacher Assistants Building Supervision/Administration District Office Supervision/Administration Secretarial Business Office Transportation Building and Grounds Food Service - 187 - No Change in Property Tax Rate in Northville Benchmarked to the 2011-2012 Tax Year: OPTION TWO -$557,409 -$675,122 -$816,241 and the Estimated Expenditure Change Between the Comprehensive Student Program Vision Developed by the Community Advisory Joint Committee: OPTION ONE Comparison of ‘What If’ Program/Staff Reorganization Pictures: One: Reorganization focused on a comprehensive vision for student programming, and balancing the resulting property tax levy rates with the help of the incentive aid; Two: Reorganization focused on the balancing of property rates benchmarked to the 2011-2012 year with the help of the incentive aid, and the resulting student programming elements Estimated Staffing Expenditure Continue current staff resource allocation for at least the first to two years of the newly reorganized school district. 4 Estimated FTE Total Business Office Services: DATA Mayfield Northampton Hope Bleecker Benson Edinburg Northville $100,000 $100,000 $100,000 $100,000 $100,000 $100,000 $71,000 $66,000 $93,000 $100,000 $93,000 $55,000 $14.43 $15.52 $11.02 $10.24 $11.02 $18.63 $1024 $1024 $1024 $1024 $1024 $1024 $1510 $1510 $1510 $1510 2011-2012 Property Taxes Reorganized School District Mayfield Northampton Johnstown Broadalbin Hope Bleecker Benson Edinburg Town $71,000 $66,000 $79,000 $90,000 $93,000 $100,000 $93,000 $55,000 $14.42 $15.51 $12.96 $11.37 $11.01 $10.24 $11.01 $18.61 2012-2013 Tax Rate Per $1000 Assessed Value first based on the tax levy, and the resulting program plan second for the newly organized school district for 2012-2013 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” $100,000 $100,000 $100,000 $100,000 $100,000 $100,000 $100,000 $100,000 Example Corresponding Assessed True Value Value of a home $1024 $1024 $1024 $1024 $1024 $1024 $1024 $1024 - 188 - 2012-2013 Estimated Property Taxes on a $100,000 market value (‘true value’) home Sample property taxes for a home with a $100,000 market (true value) assuming that all taxpayers in all the towns before the reorganization of the two separate school districts into one reorganized school district will have tax rates that do not exceed the tax rates of 2011-2012: Mayfield Northampton Johnstown Broadalbin Town Mayfield School District Current Tax Year 2011-2012 Example True Value Corresponding 2011-2012 Tax Rate (estimated market Assessed Value Per $1000 Assessed Value value) $100,000 $71,000 $21.27 $100,000 $66,000 $22.88 $100,000 $79,000 $19.11 $100,000 $90,000 $16.78 DATA APPENDIX “QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS” TO COMMONLY ASKED QUESTIONS ABOUT TIMELINE AND GOVERNANCE TOPICS RELATED TO SCHOOL DISTRICT REORGANIZATION (please note that timelines can vary) TIMELINE Question #1: What happens when the study is completed? Answer#1: Upon completion, the draft of the feasibility study is forwarded to the State Education Department (SED) for review. After review by the department (two-three weeks) the study is returned to the consultants to make any changes as recommended by SED. Once finalized, the approved study is sent to each of the Boards of Education for review. At this point, the individual Boards determine if they will accept the report. When that happens, the consultants make arrangements with the individual Boards of Education to present the findings in each of the school districts. (Note: This process may take place during September and October and is completed by the beginning of November.) Question #2: What do the Boards have to do next? Answer #2: Each Board decides to move forward, or not. Supposing a positive vote of each Board, they then decide to undertake statutory reorganization process. This now brings SED into the process and from this point on, the Department will guide the districts through the reorganization process. (This happens during the month of January.) By the beginning of February, an advisory referendum (straw vote) takes place in each of the school districts. If the votes are positive, formal next steps are begun, commencing with a Board resolution from each district requesting the Commissioner of Education to “lay out” the new centralized district and make recommendations relative to conducting the formal vote. Question #3: What are the requirements at this point to get to the formal vote? Answer #3: February becomes a very busy month! Each Board, by formal resolution and through supporting documentation from the BOCES District Superintendent, requests the Commissioner to authorize the formation of a new centralized district. The Commissioner’s Order laying out the new district is posted in the respective districts. Next, the Boards submit Statutory Petitions requesting the Commissioner to call a special meeting to vote on the proposed centralization. There are two petitions: A) Petition signed by 100 qualified voters (or 10% of the student enrollment of the proposed combined district) requesting Commissioner to call a special meeting of the combined district to vote on centralization. B) Second Petition signed by 100 qualified voters (or 10% of the student enrollment) for each district to be designated as a special election district requesting the Commissioner establish an alternative voting site in each such district. The Commissioner then issues an order calling for a special meeting in each district for a centralized referendum. (This has to take place within 30 days following the receipt of the petitions requesting a vote.) Legal notices must be provided regarding the special vote (at least 10 days prior) and information must be provided for absentee ballots. By the beginning of March (within the first week/week and a half to meet the deadline) the referendum is held in each district voting on the centralization proposition, the number of board members to serve in each district and the term of office of the members. Question #4: What happens next, assuming a positive vote? Answer #4: In March (continuing with this timeline), the Commissioner would order a special meeting to be held to elect a new Board of Education. Notice is posted at least 10 days prior to vote. Candidates for the new Board would obtain petitions through the BOCES District Superintendent. By the middle of April, BOE candidates would meet with the District Superintendent to determine placement on the ballots “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and - 189 decision options for serving students in the future.” APPENDIX for voting and absentee ballots would be prepared. By the first week of May, the special meeting would be held to elect the new Board of Education of the newly centralized district. (Note: these dates provide an approximate rendering of the process. There may be adjustments to the dates as determined by SED and the districts.) Question #5: When does the new district begin business? Answer #5: This happens very quickly. The BOCES District Superintendent holds an organizational meeting; members take oath of office and prepare for new school year. Of most importance is the development of the budget and holding a special meeting to vote on the new budget. (This may happen on the statewide voting date for school budgets.) The new district officially begins operation on July1, 2012. Question #6: What if one of the districts voted not to centralize? How would this affect the other district and could they still move forward? Answer #6: If one of the districts decided not to move forward, the reorganization process is terminated. Question #7: How long can the study be used if there is an initial negative vote? Answer #7: Supposing the two districts decided to move forward at a later date, the study would be considered useable by the districts for one year. GOVERNANCE The following are excerpts from a Guide to the Reorganization of School Districts in New York State. A complete version can be found at: http://www.p12.nysed.gov/mgtserv/sch_dist_org/GuideToReorganizationOfSchoolDistricts.htm CENTRALIZATION OF DISTRICTS AND GOVERNANCE This form of reorganization has been the most common. The procedures for centralization provide that a new school district be created encompassing the entire area of the school districts to be merged. The new central district becomes operational only after the centralization order is approved by the qualified voters in each school district included in the centralization. If each district approves the order by a majority vote, the new district will begin operation on July 1, following the vote. If approval of the order is defeated in any district included in the proposed centralization, the new district is not created, and the question may not be voted upon again for one year. If the order is presented a second time, and is approved, the new district begins operation. If the order is defeated a second time — or if it is not brought to referendum within two years of the initial referendum — then the original order becomes null and void. New Board of Education for the New District: The new district is governed by a board of education comprising five, seven or nine members. The new board is elected at a special meeting called by the Commissioner of Education after the new district is approved at referendum. The number of board members (5, 7 or 9) and their term of office (3, 4 or 5 years) may be voted upon at the same time as the referendum on establishing the district, or may be decided at a separate meeting. The boards of education of the districts included in the centralization continue their responsibilities until the new district begins operation and the business affairs of their former districts have been completed, usually August 1. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 190 - APPENDIX DATA FOR DISCUSSION BY THE COMMMUNITY ADVISORY JOINT COMMITTEE: REORGANIZATION INCENTIVE AID: ESTIMATE IF THE COMMUNITIES DECIDED TO REORGANIZE THE TWO INTO ONE DISTRICT MAYFIELD CS NORTHVILLE CS July 2011 “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 191 - APPENDIX REORGANIZATION INCENTIVE AID In New York State, when two or more school districts reorganize, the new district receives two forms of state aid not available to the predecessor districts. They are Reorganization Incentive Operating Aid and Reorganization Incentive Building Aid. REORGANIZATION INCENTIVE OPERATING AID (Section 3602(14(d) and (d-1) of Education Law) For school districts that merge after July 1, 2007, Incentive Operating Aid is available for 14 years starting with the first year of operation as a reorganized district. For five years after reorganization, aid payable is equal to the sum of 40% of 2006-07 formula operating aid for each of the predecessor districts, based upon the data file that was created for the February 15, 2007 State Aid Database Gen Report. Incentive Operating Aid for the first five years as a reorganized district = .40 X (2006-07 Formula Operating Aid) 2006-07 Formula Operating Aid = (2006-07 Selected Operating Aid per Pupil X Total Aidable Pupil Units or TAPU) After receiving Reorganization Incentive Operating Aid for five years, the additional 40% apportionment will be reduced by 4 percentage points each year until the apportionment reaches zero in the 15th year of reorganization. The sum of Selected Operating Aid per pupil multiplied by TAPU plus Incentive Operating Aid may not exceed 95% of the district's Approved Operating Expenses (line 74) used for aid calculations in the current school year. ESTIMATING REORGANIZATION INCENTIVE OPERATING AID FOR A MERGED DISTRICT An initial estimate of Reorganization Incentive Operating Aid payable may be calculated by retrieving the most current General Aid Output Reports (GEN), for districts considering a reorganization, from the NYS Education Department State Aid website at https://stateaid.nysed.gov/ . Section VII of the GEN, which is partially completed for all districts, specifies the Reorganization Incentive Operating Aid calculation (line 73 on the most current web published GEN Report). Reorganization Incentive Operating Aid potentially payable to each district expected to be part of a merger, should be added together to determine an estimate of the total incentive operating aid payable to a presumed successor merged or reorganized district for a period of five years. Thereafter, the incentive operating percent on line 76 will decrease by .04 annually until it reaches zero in year 15. REORGANIZATION INCENTIVE BUILDING AID (Section 3602(14) of Education Law) Incentive Building Aid is 30 percent of the Building Aid otherwise paid on an approved building project. Aid is paid on eligible projects (those initiated after reorganization) for which the general construction contract is signed prior to July 1, 2010 or within ten years of the effective date of the reorganization, whichever is later. In no case, however, may the sum of regular Building Aid (including the 10% incentive) and Reorganization Incentive Building Aid exceed 95% of approved building expenditures, or 98% for high need school districts. For high need districts, the 98% also includes the impact of the High Need Supplemental Building Aid Ratio adjustment. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 192 - APPENDIX REORGANIZATION INCENTIVE OPERATING AID Districts: Base Aid as per SED (GEN report line 73): Mayfield Northville $3,817,425 $1,141,690 Total base $4,959,115 Anticipated first year of reorganization: Therefore, last of 14 years of incentive aid: 2012-2013 2025-2026 MERGER YEAR EST. INCENTIVE 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 2026-2027 TOTAL BASE AID INCENTIVE AID % $4,959,115 $4,959,115 $4,959,115 $4,959,115 $4,959,115 $4,959,115 $4,959,115 $4,959,115 $4,959,115 $4,959,115 $4,959,115 $4,959,115 $4,959,115 $4,959,115 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 36% 32% 28% 24% 20% 16% 12% 8% 4% 0% $1,983,646 $1,983,646 $1,983,646 $1,983,646 $1,983,646 $1,785,281 $1,586,917 $1,388,552 $1,190,188 $991,823 $793,458 $595,094 $396,729 $198,365 $0 Total est.first five years: Total est. incentive aid over 14 years: “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” $9,918,230 $18,844,637 - 193 - APPENDIX Labor Relations Implications Of School District Centralization (July 20, 2011) The following information is based on guidance materials from the State Education Department and general principles of public sector employment law. This document does not contain legal advice and should not be considered a legal opinion. For legal advice, the districts should contact their respective attorney counsels. 1. Q: If two or more school districts centralize into one school district, what happens to the employees of the former school districts? Each teacher employed by a former school district becomes an employee of the new school district. Employees appointed pursuant to the Civil Service Law by a former school district may have varying rights in the new school district, depending on their civil service class (competitive, non-competitive, labor, etc.). 2. Q: What happens to the collective bargaining agreements of the former school districts? The terms of those agreements may become elements of new agreements with the new school district. The new school district and the new bargaining units’ bargaining agents must make a good faith effort to negotiate new collective bargaining agreements. 3. Q: What happens to the seniority rights of teachers? Teachers are credited with seniority earned within a particular tenure area. When school districts centralize, the seniority lists are merged so that the new school district has only one seniority list per tenure area. 4. Q: What happens to the seniority rights of employees appointed pursuant to the Civil Service Law? Competitive class employees are credited with seniority in accordance with the Civil Service Law. Other employees may have seniority rights set forth in their collective bargaining agreements. 5. Q: What happens if the new school district needs fewer teachers? The Board of Education of the new school district may reduce teaching positions on the basis of seniority within a particular tenure area. If a teaching position is abolished, the affected individuals are placed on a preferred eligible list for a period of seven years. 6. Q: What happens if the new school district needs fewer civil service employees? The Board of Education of the new school district may reduce competitive class positions on the basis of seniority as set forth in the Civil Service Law. Current collective agreements that cover civil service employees may have additional reduction in force references. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 194 - APPENDIX 7. Q: What happens to the administrators of the former school districts? Although the guidance materials from the State Education Department specifically reference the seniority rights of teachers, there is reason to believe the seniority rights of school administrators could be handled in a similar manner. However, since school administrator tenure areas may vary from district to district, the actual impact of these rights by individual job title/role is a case-bycase analysis. 8. Q: What happens to the superintendents of the former school districts? Superintendents of the former districts do not have any statutory rights to that position in the new district. The new school district board of education may select its own new superintendent. When the superintendent of a district included in the reorganization has an employment contract, that contract becomes an obligation of the newly reorganized school district. If the newly reorganized district determines not to employ the superintendent of a former school district, the new district may discharge the contractual obligation by paying the salary which he or she would have earned, less any income obtained from employment elsewhere during the term of the contract. 9. Q: What happens to the retirement benefits of the employees of the former school districts? Retirement benefits associated with the retirement system remain unchanged. Retirement benefits associated with an employment contract or collective bargaining agreement are governed by the terms of the employment contract or collective bargaining agreement. Individuals who are already retired from a school district may have certain retiree health insurance protections contained in Chapter 504 of the Laws of 2009. Chapter 504 prohibits reduction of health insurance for retirees and their dependents unless there is a corresponding reduction of benefits or contributions for the corresponding group of active employees. 10. Q: Are there other considerations relating to labor relations? When two or more school districts centralize into a new school district, it is possible that the local bargaining units are represented by different bargaining agents. It is important for the school districts and local bargaining units to work with their labor relations experts. Since the success of any centralization endeavor depends largely on the participation of all affected stakeholders, it is important for the districts to provide labor union representatives with appropriate opportunities to discuss the impact of centralization on the rights of bargaining unit members. Often such opportunities come before a formal reorganization public referendum and sometimes before the nonbinding ‘straw vote’ among the communities. “Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future.” - 195 - "Custom tools and research to aid a school district in defining a vision and decision options for serving students in the future." Dr. Paul M. Seversky Mr. Doug A. Exley Mr. Sam A. Shevat The SES Study Team focuses its work on customized studies that deal with identifying opportunities to provide quality educational programs more effectively and in a cost-effective manner. The major areas of the Team’s services are school reorganization through centralization analyses, and the identification and analysis of collaborative functional sharing opportunities between school districts. The SES Study Team, in an impartial manner, provides research, direction and facilitation through a guided process. The study process emphasizes a data-driven analysis and community involvement to identify possible options to serve pupils in the future. The common elements followed by the Team to achieve customized studies include: • A focus on answering a set of questions by school district and community stakeholders; • Inclusion of, and sensitivity to, all points of view from the communities involved; • An approach that begins with the collection of data, a review of major findings, sharing of perceptions, recommendations based upon challenges and opportunities, and the modeling of potential options; • The central role of school district instructional, instructional support, and administrative staff in providing comprehensive data for the study to use to answer the study question(s) posed by the client district(s); • Public transparency of the work and data developed, compiled, and analyzed by the Study Team; • The creation of a study report that becomes the prime useable tool by members of the communities as they decide how best to educate their children in the future. The Study Team brings a combined 105 years of public education experience to working with and helping school districts identify options in serving pupils and their communities. Each team member has served as a teacher, principal and superintendent of a K-12 school district. Doug and Sam each has served as a superintendent of a reorganized district through centralization. Paul has served as a superintendent of a district that explored reorganization and in a regional capacity as a Deputy District Superintendent of a BOCES. Sam has worked for a college to administer programs for public school pupils; Paul has taught graduate level courses in educational administration for 23 years; and Doug serves as a council member at a local university. The Study Team Members have provided consultant services to public school districts since 1998. Contact the SES Study Team to discuss your school district's specific study project. Paul.Seversky at ses-studyteam dot org Doug.Exley at ses-studyteam dot org Sam.Shevat at ses-studyteam dot org