Visit Website - Information and Communications Technology Council
Transcription
Visit Website - Information and Communications Technology Council
Developing Tomorrow’s Workforce Today March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. REPORTS Information and Communications Conseil des technologies de l’information Technology Council et des communications Table of Contents Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Project Objectives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Project Approach & Methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Organization of Report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 About Branham Group Inc. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Profile of Employment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 ICT Occupational Labour Market Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Employment Levels . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Supplier and User Industries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Type of Occupations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Regional Distribution of ICT Labour . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 British Columbia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Prairie and Northern Region . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Ontario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Quebec . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Atlantic Region . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 IT Labour Market Demographics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Internal Labour Market Dynamics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Recruitment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Supply of IT Labour Market Resources . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Employment Status . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Outsourcing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Import/Export of ICT Work . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Recruitment Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Relocation of New Recruits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 Role of Internationally Educated Professionals (IEP) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 Succession Planning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 Training . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 Demand for IT Resources . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 Training and Education . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 Need for Additional Training or Upgrading . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 Appendix A – Research Sources . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 Appendix B – References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 Disclaimer: This document was researched and written by Branham Group Inc., of Ottawa, Canada under a contract with ICTC. The analysis, views, conclusions, and recommendations in this document are those of Branham Group Inc. and not necessarily, those of ICTC. Branham conducted its research based on industry publications, personal experience, and interviews with various third parties. At the time of publishing this document (February 2007), the information contained within represents the most current publicly available data. While efforts were made by the Branham Group Inc. to verify the completeness and accuracy of the information contained in this documentation, this documentation is provided “as is” without any warranty whatsoever and to the maximum extent permitted, ICTC and Branham Group Inc. disclaim all implied warranties, including without limitation the implied warranties of merchantability, non infringement and fitness for a particular purpose, with respect to the same. ICTC and Branham Group shall not be responsible for any damages, including without limitation, direct, indirect, consequential or incidental damages, arising out of the use of, or otherwise related to, this documentation or any other documentation. Notwithstanding anything to the contrary, nothing contained in this documentation is intended to, nor shall have the effect of, creating any warranties or representations from ICTC (or its suppliers or licensors). Executive Summary The Information and Communications Technology Council – ICTC (www.ictc-ctic.ca) is a not-for-profit sector council whose mandate is to assist in building a highly educated Canadian ICT industry and workforce. Based primarily on secondary research, the purpose of this paper is to help the ICTC better understand the information that currently exists from publicly available sources that will assist it in further determining and identifying key labour market knowledge needs on supply and demand issues in Canada. The information derived through this project helps lay the foundation for the much broader and all encompassing study, The Outlook 2012-2015 report. Industry Canada (IC), with the support of Statistics Canada has been tracking what it calls the Information and Communications Technologies (ICT) sector of the economy. IC’s analysis is based on industry sectors using NAICS. The data sources are primarily employer surveys. IC cites three major industry sub-sectors as comprising the ICT sector: This report is divided into three core sections incorporating a current employment profile, recruitment methodologies and strategies, and training and education. Industry Canada reports that ICT employment is approximately 600,000 workers, based on NAICS; this includes both IT and non-IT related roles, and is only within the producer/supplier industries. It is clear that a significant number of these workers, most particularly in the manufacturing sector, are associated with hardware. At the same time, the labour force size for the software occupations, based on NOC and reported by the ICTC as of September 2006, also reports approximately 600,000 workers. These two figures are “in the same ballpark”, although the NOC data covers a smaller set of occupations (i.e. only IT related roles), across both producer and user industries. Employment Profile The employment profile provides a current view of the ICT (producers/suppliers) labour workforce, including employment levels, demographics, and occupational types, while also providing some details as it relates to IT employment in user industries (i.e. non-ICT, such as Financial Services, Retail, Manufacturing, etc.). The employment numbers in this section are primarily sourced via the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) and the National Occupational Classification System (NOC). It is important to understand how these classification systems differ. The Information and Communications Technology Council (ICTC) has identified 21 occupations within the NOC system that comprise the labour force associated with the software component of the information technology sector of the economy, including both producer and user industries. These occupations have been used as the basis of an annual report on the trends in the IT labour force and the profile of the workers in the IT labour force, using data derived from Statistics Canada’s (monthly) Labour Force Survey (LFS). With its new mandate that includes IT hardware, the ICTC will now start to expand its set of NOC IT occupations to include jobs associated with the hardware component. March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market • ICT Manufacturing; • ICT Services; and • ICT Wholesale, Rental and Leasing. While reading this report please keep in mind the following points: — NAICS: Measures total number of employees within ICT companies (i.e. IT and non-IT roles). — NOC: Measures total number of IT employees across all industry sectors. For the purpose of this report, and based on previous analysis completed by the ICTC in its Labour Force Survey data, NOC codes were used to calculate total IT employment across all industry sectors (ICT and non-ICT), with the exception of IT hardware related employment. Note: As stated above, while NOC data does exist for hardware, the ICTC is currently assessing which NOC hardware codes apply to the IT labour market workforce. This analysis is needed to provide a more accurate depiction of total IT employment in Canada. Branham Group Inc. 1 While both of these classification systems together provide some measure as to Canadian employment levels for IT and non-IT workers within the industry, there is currently no single metric that accurately depicts the entire sector. For the purpose of this document, to distinguish from the NOC and NAICS perspectives (and other research that follows similar boundaries), reference to IT employment (vs. ICT sector employment) will include those employed in IT related fields and performing IT related functions, regardless of the sector for which they are employed (i.e. ICT: producer industries and non-ICT: user industries). References to ICT employment relates to those employed specifically in the ICT sectors, (i.e. both IT and non-IT roles). — IT job tenure is increasing with over 50% of employment being over four years (up from 40% in 2000). Similarly, job tenure of less than three years has dropped from 50% in 2000 to 40% in 2006. — Confidence that they will be able to get another job at the same pay rate as the one they currently hold is increasing in Canadian employees (across all industries). • Employees: — Almost 50% of the IT workforce holds at least a bachelor’s degree. The following presents some of the key findings with respect to current IT and ICT labour market workforce employment in Canada: — Only one quarter of the IT workforce is female, who are predominately found in fields such as graphic design and illustration, and technical writing. • Employers: — Over 65% of the IT workforce is between the ages of 25 and 44. — Canada has 32,000 ICT firms employing approximately 600,000 people. This surpasses the previous peak in 2001. – Approximately 76% are computer services companies, 12% wholesale/rental/leasing, and 7.6% ICT manufacturing – 80% of companies employ 1 to 9 people, 14.8% employ 10 to 50 people, 2.7% employ 50 to 100 people, and 2.5% employ 100 or more people, 120 companies employ over 500 people – 16% to 20% of ICT workers are self employed • Employment: — Employment in the ICT sector is up, accounting for approximately 3.6% of Canadian employment. – ICT Service sub-sector continues to see an upward trend, currently accounting for 72% of all ICT employment – ICT Manufacturing sub-sector employment has been decreasing since 2000, but has leveled off and recently seen some slight increases — As of September 2006, there were approximately 600,000 people employed in IT related positions throughout ICT and non-ICT industries, with the exception of hardware, based on ICTC LFS data. 2 — IT unemployment rate is low (1.9%) compared to the national average (6.1%). March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market – There has been a 3% increase and 2% decrease in the 55+ and 15-24 age categories respectively, since 2000. — Visible minorities make up only 10% of the ICT workforce. – Higher numbers are seen in culturally diverse cities (e.g. 31% of ICT jobs in Toronto) – 1.5% have disabilities – 1.0% are Aboriginal Recruitment The recruitment section visits current recruitment activities such as resource availability, sources, and alternative means for dealing with current inefficiencies. Key details discussed in this section of the report include: • Supply of IT Labour Market Resources: — The IT unemployment rate is decreasing and is at a low of approximately 2%. — There was an 11% decrease in university enrollment between 2002 and 2005 in the Computer Engineering, Computer Science, and Software Engineering fields. Branham Group Inc. • Employment Status: — 95% of IT jobs are full time jobs. – 99% of engineer positions are full time — 92% of jobs are permanent. – 7% of non-permanent jobs are contractual, temporary, or term employment – Programmers, technicians, and other IT disciplines have the highest contractual rate at 8%; managers are lowest at 3%. • Succession Planning: Only two thirds of organizations have succession plans for senior IT professionals. Training The training section provides a look at the growing demand for IT resources and how education, retooling, and skills upgrades can prepare new entrants and existing employees for the ever changing IT labour market. Important details discussed in this section include: • Growing Demand: • Outsourcing: Although cost reduction is still the number one motivator, access to a skilled labour force is an increasing motivator for outsourcing. — IT annual employment growth from January 2000 to July 2006 was 2.5% compared to a national average of 1.8%. • Recruitment Methods: — IT annual employment growth is projected to be 2.3% until 2010. — 65% of private and 71% of public workers rely on the Internet to find jobs. – However, only 3% to 5% of job seekers find employment via this method – 60% now rely on informal networks for job seeking — Employers are currently relying on a combination of recruitment methods including employee referrals, word-of-mouth, informal networking, and print media. — Visible minorities, females, and people with disabilities have more difficulty seeking employment because of less access to word-of-mouth and personal networks. • Relocation of New Recruits: — Organizations typically relocate employees because of management or business unit requirements. — Over 75% of organizations do not have processes in place for assessing success of employment relocation. • Role of Internationally Educated Professionals (IEPs): — Canada receives 220,000 to 245,000 IEPs every year. — Population growth will not meet demand based on current projections. – A shortage of 100,000 skilled workers is expected by 2009; 1 million by 2016 — Retirements will increase demand for skilled labour, although this could be delayed for the IT industry thanks to a younger workforce. — There are projected increases in demand specifically for IT Security, Systems Infrastructure Software, Telecommunication Services, and Hosted Application Management. • Training and Education: — Canada spends more on education than any other country. – Canada (regardless of industry sector) has the highest percentage (22%) of individuals with at least a college or university degree — ICT industry is more than twice the national average with an estimated 48% employees with university degrees and 27% with college or CEGEP. — IEPs accounted for 70% of the growth for the entire Canadian labour workforce. – Software and Computer Services has the highest percentage of University graduates (52%) — IEPs and non-permanent residents account for approximately 10% of the ICT workforce. – Percentage of ICT Manufacturing employees with university degrees ranges from 27% to 47% depending on the type of manufacturing — Employers do not find it important to hire IEPs in their organizations. — 70% of newcomers trying to enter the workforce confront at least one problem regarding transferability of foreign qualifications. March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. 3 • Retooling and Upgrades: — In addition to technical skills, soft skills are a major expectation of employers. – 85% of employees feel personal/interpersonal communication skills very important – 58% indicate general IT skills are important — Employers weigh business experience higher than technical skills. — 25% of private sector employees need more training. – 69% have had informal training in the last 12 months – Technical training needs include programming (41%), design (36%), systems admin (31%), and system operation (30%) • Companies need to retain and retrain existing employees. — There is no longer a luxury to eliminate hundreds of “obsolete” employees and hire hundreds of new employees with slightly different skill sets. • Individuals need to capitalize on employer supplied educational resources even if completion requires personal time without compensation. In essence, those companies that seek IT skill sets need to address the issue before the pain points are felt. Particularly when looking at it from an industry perspective, where on average, other industries are home to an older workforce; which is set to retire earlier than those in employed in the ICT sector. If something isn’t done, these other industries will get the jump on influencing student career direction away from IT related fields. – Soft skill training needs include project management (39%), people management (31%), time management (30%), and leadership (29%) Finally, this report concludes with a discussion of important aspects that need to be taken into consideration before employers feel real pain when trying to deal with a skills shortage. Specifically, • Shortages are not exclusive to Canada or the ICT industry. — Employers having most difficulty finding the right people are located in Mexico (78%), Canada (66%), and Japan (58%). — The top 10 Canadian jobs employers are having difficulty filling include Sales Representatives; Customer Services Representatives/Customer Support; Engineers; Drivers; Mechanics; Laborers; Chefs/Cooks; Electricians; Skilled Trades; and Nurses. 4 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. Introduction The Information and Communications Technology Council – ICTC (www.ictc-ctic.ca) is a not-for-profit sector council whose mandate is to assist in building a highly educated Canadian ICT industry and workforce. As part of this mandate the ICTC focuses on four key areas that ultimately help in developing the quantity and quality of IT labour market workforce professionals needed to maintain and improve Canada’s position as a leader in the global marketplace. These four areas consist of skills definitions, labour market intelligence, career awareness and professional development for the Canadian ICT industry, educators and governments. In building upon its current knowledge base, the purpose of this paper is to help the ICTC to better understand the information that currently exists from publicly available sources that will assist it in further determining and identifying key labour market knowledge needs on supply and demand issues. With a general labour market overview assessment, the ICTC will be better equipped to determine where gaps exist not only in the IT labour market intelligence that is available today, but more importantly, where the resource gaps exist across key segments of the nation and how they can be addressed accordingly. To help it focus its efforts on sourcing and documenting the appropriate market research, the ICTC retained Branham Group to conduct a study, whose findings are summarized in this report. Project Objectives The underlying objective for this project is to provide the ICTC with a current IT and ICT labour market perspective, based on publicly available documented sources of data and information. The information derived over the course of this project will provide further insight as to where gaps exist (research and resources) across key IT sectors (in Canada), while also laying the foundation for a much broader and all encompassing study, The Outlook 2012-2015 report, which will start up in mid-2007. The project scope parameters (i.e. Knowledge Needs) include, but are not limited to, the following: — Demographic characteristics of IT workers — How and where IT workers acquired their current skills (the role of colleges, universities, and private training bodies) — Role of internationally educated professionals in the supply of IT workers — In what regions IT workers are employed — In what industries IT workers are employed — Indicators of under-employment — Evidence of skill shortages that may be constraining hiring and output — Relative importance of full-time, permanent employment in comparison with part-time and contractual employment, and self employment — Displacement of IT work to third party providers of IT services (outsourcers) — Importance of offshore sources of supply for IT services — Importance of export markets for ICT products and services Project Approach & Methodology This project was largely based on secondary research, although some high level primary research was conducted to source some of the required information. Specifically, Branham endeavored to contact key decision makers within third party organizations to solicit their input and source additional reference material. These interviews aided in identifying/sourcing additional information not already identified during the initial stages of the project, while also providing quicker access to them. This information helped supplement Branham’s secondary research. Branham undertook extensive secondary research, reviewing publicly available sources of information including, but not limited to, industry publications, press releases, market reports, internal/third party databases, industry reviews, web-based documentation, etc. The secondary research phase was intended to identify and compile the key data points for analysis. — Types of skills in demand — Overall employment levels by occupation — Functioning of internal labour markets: how duties and skills are configured into occupations, how IT work is organized, how IT workers are recruited, and the careers path of IT workers March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. 5 Branham’s research efforts (primary and secondary) also included, but were not limited to, sourcing data and information from: — ICT Vendors (i.e. large hardware, software and services providers; and those that offer ICT training solutions) — ICT Associations (i.e. CATA, NATI, ITAC, ITANS, ITAP, SATA, BCTIA, etc.) — Research Institutes (i.e. Centers of Excellence, NRC, CRIM, BC Research, ICTC, technology clusters, think tanks, Fraser Institute, etc.) — Academia (i.e. Canadian universities, colleges, and IT training institutions) — Government (i.e. Industry Canada, OEDC, Statistics Canada, Conference Board of Canada, HRDC, Provincial ministries, other international, etc.) — Analysts (i.e. ILO, IDC, Forrester, Gartner, Datamonitor, Frost & Sullivan, etc.) — IT Staffing Agencies (Robert Half, Eagle, excelHR, RIS, etc.) — Other (industry influencers, IT investment firms, and standards/regulatory bodies, amongst many others). Despite Branham’s efforts to source the required data, there were key areas of investigation to which current or detailed information was not available. These areas included, but were not limited to, the following: — 2006 employment information is not yet available. As such 2005 information was used in addition to employment information up to the third quarter of 2006. — Available employment information is typically based on ICT companies’ total employee counts and does not provide a complete and accurate distinction for producer versus user industry IT employment. As such, detailed employment information for IT jobs across all sectors (i.e. ICT and non-ICT companies) was lacking. — Publicly available ICT employment data is not up-to-date for some provinces. — Information on Canadian firms’ experiences with outsourcing engagements is lacking. In this instance, it is difficult to link Canadian IT outsourcing activities with IT skill shortages in the country. 6 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market — While information regarding student and youth employment programs in Canada is plentiful, there is a lack of data that presents the findings on a provincial or national basis. — There is a lack of information on the relocation activities, specific to Canadian ICT firms, as it relates to their hiring practices. Therefore, information was presented from an overall industry perspective. — Although some research has been done with regards to succession planning, there remain several grey areas with regards to exit patterns as well as methods companies use in confronting this challenge. — Information in determining skill requirements for IT jobs in vertical industries, such as banking, insurance, government and health care was lacking. RESEARCH SOURCES: Most of the research for this report came through various government departments (i.e. Industry Canada and Statistics Canada), where private sector research efforts appeared, in most cases, to be ad hoc and inconsistent (excluding those efforts made by ICTC). Further, granular data at the provincial or regional level was lacking across most areas, and 2001Census data was not used based on the significant changes IT employment has experienced since the 2000/2001 timeframe (new Census data set to be released in March 2008). This report describes in detail the information sources that were used, the publicly available information that existed at time of writing, and in many cases describes the key data points for which information was deficient or outdated. Please refer to the information boxes (similar to this one) throughout the report, in addition to Appendix A and B for further detail. Organization of Report This report provides a review of the current ICT industry (supplier-side) while also considering the IT skills requirements of ‘user’ industries (i.e. non-ICT, such as Financial Services, Manufacturing, etc.), to help determine and identify key labour market knowledge needs on supply and demand issues. The report is divided into three core sections, including a current employment profile, recruitment methodologies, and training regimes. The employment profile provides a current view of the Branham Group Inc. IT labour workforce including employment levels, demographics, and occupational types. The recruitment section visits current recruitment activities such as resource availability, sources, and alternative means for dealing with current inefficiencies. The third section, deals with today’s training regimes and their effectiveness for preparing new entrants for the IT labour market (both ICT and non-ICT industries), and their ability, or lack there of, to fulfill the requirements of today’s businesses. Finally, this report concludes with an assessment of potential skill shortages and the availability of existing resources that are potentially being underutilized. About Branham Group Inc. Branham Group provides “Go to Market” direction to global Information Technology products and services companies. Since its inception in 1990, the widespread vision of Branham’s professional team has taken the company to all corners of the globe to assist valued clients. Branham’s clients are based primarily in the United States, with a large percentage in Canada and Europe. Recently the company’s international reach has touched Latin American countries and companies in the Asia Pacific markets. Branham Group acts as an information channel for the future of business in a wired world, helping clients understand and leverage emerging and emergent technologies. As enterprises expand worldwide, in search of new opportunities, the need for global and local business intelligence increases. All of Branham’s analysis, strategies and recommendations are based on its own primary research that covers the global market. Branham uncovers and documents the latest in IT developments, following user trends and next generation IT leaders. Over the last decade, Branham has assisted world leaders in software, hardware and services. Through its vast understanding of the IT Market, Branham has been able to deliver meaningful insight to its clients in the areas of planning, marketing, and partnering. March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. 7 Profile of Employment ICT Occupational Labour Market Overview Employment Levels Canada is internationally recognized for expertise in a number of key technology clusters including, but not limited to, aerospace, photonics, microelectronics, life sciences and medical devices, biotechnology, pharmaceuticals, aquaculture, nanotechnology, fuel cells and hydrogen technologies, information technology, communications, e-business, software, advanced materials, and ocean technologies. Based on Industry Canada guidelines, each of these clusters can fall into one of three ICT sub sectors: Services; Manufacturing; and Wholesaling, Rental and Leasing. Many of these Information and Communication Technology (ICT) focus areas are centered in Canada’s larger cities, which provide the required business climates, infrastructures, and partnerships that allow businesses to thrive. The Canadian ICT sector is comprised of nearly 32,000 companies. Of these 32,000 companies, three quarters of them are attributed to software and computer services (76.2%), followed by ICT wholesaling/rental/leasing (12.0%), and ICT manufacturing (7.6%).1 While Canada does support some prominent larger firms including Nortel, IBM, CGI, Alcatel, ATI (acquired by AMD), OPMCSierra, Cognos, Hummingbird, and Research in Motion, amongst others, ninety-eight percent of these 32,000 firms employ fewer than 100 people. Specifically 80% of these companies employ 1 to 9 personnel, 14.8% employ 10 to 49 personnel, and 2.7% have 50 to 100 employees. The remaining 2.5% employ more than 100 employees. There are approximately 120 large companies to date, with over 500 employees.1 Since 1997 the ICT sector has grown at an annual rate of 8.4 percent, twice as fast as the Canadian economy. About two-thirds of Canada’s manufactured ICT products (telecommunications equipment, electronics, computers, electronic games, and software) are exported. Today, Canada has more than 32,000 Information and Communications Technology (ICT) firms employing over 600,000 workers which contributed over $52.3 billion to the Canadian GDP in 2005.1 In 2005 the ICT sector employed an estimated 589,000 Canadians, up by 3.8% compared to 2004. This increase was the third consecutive annual increase in sector employment, which is now above its previous peak in 2001. In 2005, the ICT sector accounted for an estimated 3.6% of all Canadian employment, a number that has remained relatively stable over recent years.2 8 135 130 Indexed Growth (1997=100) TOTAL IT EMPLOYMENT CALCULATIONS: When it comes to employment data, much of it is centered on total employment figures for the ICT sector. In these calculations one must consider that total ICT employment figures include non-IT roles (i.e. admin, finance, HR, etc.), which is more than a representation of total IT employment in this segment. Further, IT employment is not limited to the ICT sector. In addition to employment within the ICT industry, non-ICT industries also use technology and therefore require IT related skills. This section will describe in detail the data that exists across both of these domains. Figure 1: Indexed Growth in Employment for ICT Sector and Canadian Economy 125 120 115 110 To distinguish between employment in ICT specific industries and IT employment across all industries, the following conventions will be used: ICT employment will refer to employment within ICT specific industries (IT and non-IT roles); and IT employment will include those employed in IT related fields regardless of the sector for which they are employed (i.e. ICT and non-ICT). In most cases ICT employment figures reflect data based on the NAICS system, while IT employment figures (across all industries, including ICT) are based on the NOC system. Source: Industry Canada, ICT Branch, November 2006 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. 105 100 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Year Total ICT Sector Total Canadian Employment 2004 2005 Employment in the ICT manufacturing sub-sector was down by an estimated 2.3% in 2005 as compared to 2004, a continuation of a longer-term trend that has seen ICT manufacturing employment decrease by nearly 24% since 2000. Despite this trend, moderate growth was observed in the instruments industries. An estimated 90,000 people were employed by the ICT manufacturing sub-sector in 2005. ICT wholesaling employment also saw a decrease in 2005 from 2004, of 2.9%, its second consecutive decrease. Figure 2: Indexed Growth in Employment by ICT Segment 170 Indexed Growth (1997=100) 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Year ICT Services ICT Manufacturing Table 1 provides a summary of employment numbers in the ICT industry broken down by individual sub-sectors using NAICS. It should be noted however, that while the NAICS codes help provide some insight into the employment levels of, in this case, ICT organizations, these employment levels also include non-IT related personnel such as administration, human resources, financial, etc. ICT Wholesaling, Rental & Leasing Source: Industry Canada, ICT Branch, November 2006 Employment in the ICT services sub-sector grew by an estimated 6.6% in 2005 over its 2004 level. With the exception of a contraction from 2001 to 2002, related to the economic readjustment, employment in the services sub-sector has grown every year since 1997, being 57% higher in 2005 than in 1997. Nearly 423,000 Canadians worked in the ICT services industry in 2005, accounting for almost 72% of all ICT sector employment. Most of the 2005 growth in the sub-sector was due to an estimated 7.2% increase in computer systems design employment, which accounted for over half of the ICT services employment growth. Similarly, in 2005 over 75,700 Canadians (up 7.2% from 2004 and 48% since 1997) were self-employed in the ICT services industry, predominantly in the area of computer systems design. As a share of total ICT services sub-sector employment, self-employment remains relatively flat, making up between 16% and 20% of the total since 1997.2 9 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. Table 1: ICT Employment categorized by North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)2 NAICS 2002 Industry 2004 Employment1 2005 Employment1 % Change 2004-2005 % Change 1997-2005 CAGR 1997-2005 ICT Manufacturing 33331 33411 33421 33422 33431 33441 33451 33592 Commercial and Service Industry Machinery Manufacturing 10,170 10,400 2.3% 9.9% 1.2% Computer and Peripheral Equipment Manufacturing 9,438 8,100 -14.2% -40.9% -6.4% Telephone Apparatus Manufacturing (Wired Communications Equipment) 7,443 6,500 -12.7% -64.7% -12.2% Radio and Television Broadcasting and Wireless Communications Equipment Manufacturing 9,475 9,900 4.5% 30.1% 3.3% Audio and Video Equipment Manufacturing 1,363 1,400 2.7% 35.3% 3.8% Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing 21,408 20,200 -5.6% 10.9% 1.3% Navigational, Measuring, Medical, and Control Instruments Manufacturing 26,377 26,800 1.6% 5.5% 0.7% 6,325 6,600 4.3% 13.6% 1.6% 91,999 89,900 -2.3% -9.8% -1.3% 36,441 41,300 13.3% 93.7% 8.6% 114,346 117,056 2.4% 17.6% 2.1% 16,580 18,251 10.1% 27.5% 3.1% Communication and Energy Wire and Cable Manufacturing Total ICT Manufacturing ICT Services 511211 Software Publishers 517 Telecommunications Services (excluding Cable and Other Program Distribution) 51751 Cable and Other Program Distribution 518111 Internet Service Providers (ISPs) 6,916 8,900 28.7% 110.7% 9.8% 51821 Data Processing, Hosting, and Related Services 14,579 14,500 -0.5% 79.5% 7.6% Computer Systems Design and Related Services 207,871 222,900 7.2% 81.4% 7.7% 396,733 422,907 6.6% 56.5% 5.8% 54151 Total ICT Services 1 2 10 2 Employment pertains to total employment in the industry, including non-IT employment Including self-employment March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. Table 2: ICT Employment categorized by North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)2 NAICS 2002 2004 Employment1 Industry 2005 Employment1 % Change 2004-2005 % Change 1997-2005 CAGR 1997-2005 ICT: Wholesaling, Rental and Leasing 41791 53242 Computer and Communications Equipment Supplies Wholesaler-Distributors 54,490 52,705 -3.3% 11.7% 1.4% Office and Store Machinery and Equipment Wholesaler-Distributors 22,237 21,560 -3.0% -4.6% -0.6% 2,000 2,200 10.0% -21.4% -3.0% 78,727 76,465 -2.9% 5.4% 0.7% 567,459 589,272 3.8% 33.2% 3.6% 15,947,000 16,169,700 1.4% 18.0% 2.1% 3.6% 3.6% N/A N/A N/A Office Machinery and Equipment Rental and Leasing Total ICT Wholesaling, Rental, and Leasing Total ICT Sector TOTAL EMPLOYMENT in CANADA (including self-employed) ICT EMPLOYMENT as a PERCENTAGE of CANADIAN EMPLOYMENT 2 With an accurate picture of the 2005 calendar year, partial numbers from the 2006 calendar year provide additional insight with respect to continuing activity in the ICT sector.3 For example, in 3Q06, employment growth in the ICT sector (0.14%) and the overall Canadian economy (0.17%) were relatively similar. During the same quarter, the number of employees in the ICT sector surpassed the value reported at the peak of 2001. ICT services employment continues to see an overall upward trend which has been the case since the first quarter of 2002, and is now 7.8% above its first quarter 2002 level. Figure 3: Employment: ICT Sector and Canadian Economy, Indexed Growth 140 135 Indexed Growth (97Q1=100) 4173 130 125 120 115 110 105 100 2006.3 2006.1 2005.3 2005.1 2004.3 2004.1 2003.3 2003.1 2002.3 2002.1 2001.3 2001.1 2000.3 2000.1 1999.3 1999.1 1998.3 1998.1 1997.3 1997.1 Year Quarter ICT Sector Canada Source: Industry Canada, ICT Branch, December 2006 3 Full numbers for the 2006 calendar year were not publicly available at the time of writing March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. 11 Although overall Canadian manufacturing employment continued to see a decline (by 0.3%), ICT manufacturing employment grew by 1.0% in the third quarter of 2006 (the highest growth rate experienced since the fourth quarter of 2000). Between the first quarter of 2001 to the end of 2004, ICT manufacturing employment declined by 18%, or 1.4% per quarter. However, since the first quarter of 2005, ICT manufacturing employment has remained fairly stable.3 When considering the unemployment rate for IT workers across all industry sectors (ICT and non-ICT), it has been consistently below the national average, although it has also been more volatile. Looking back at the dot-com boom and bust era in the early 2000s shows that the unemployment rate soared from a low of 2 percent in the fall of 2000 to a high of 5.8 percent in the summer of 2002. Since the spring of 2003 however, there has been a trend downwards in the unemployment rate for all IT workers. At the end of 2005, the rate stood at 1.9 percent.4 Indexed Growth (97Q1=100) 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 2006.3 2006.1 2005.3 2005.1 2004.3 2004.1 2003.3 2003.1 2002.3 2002.1 2001.3 2001.1 2000.3 2000.1 1999.3 1999.1 1998.3 1998.1 1997.3 1997.1 Year Quarter CDN Manufacturing CDN Services Source: Industry Canada, ICT Branch, December 2006 All ICT manufacturing industries, except instruments, recorded a growth in employment in the third quarter of 2006. The most significant gains were experienced by the computer and peripheral equipment industry and the electronic components industry, each growing by 2.0%. For electronic components, this was the first increase in employment since the second quarter of 2005. Employment in the communications equipment industry also increased, but at a more moderate rate of 1.0%. On the other hand, employment in the instruments industry fell by 0.7% in this same quarter.3 In addition to high IT employment numbers, increasing job tenure also provides additional indication of increasing stability in the IT labour market. Specifically, the percentage of employees with one to three years of job tenure has fallen from above 50 percent in 2000 to less than 40 percent in 2005. Additionally, the percentage representing those with more than four years of tenure has increased from about 40 percent in 2000 to over 50 percent in 2005. Further, the percentage of employees with three to four years tenure remained at slightly less than 10 percent of the workforce.4 Figure 5: Job Tenure for All IT Occupations 50% 45.8 45% Employed Labour Force (%) Figure 4: Employment: ICT & CDN Manufacturing & Services Industries, Indexed Growth ICT Manufacturing ICT Services consecutive quarters of employment growth (ending 2Q06), the computer systems design industry displayed a drop in employment. Despite the drops, the remaining services industries recorded employment gains during the quarter. In fact, data processing services employment grew by 4.1% and has exhibited a positive trend since the first quarter in 2006. Employment in the software industry grew by 2.6% in 3Q06.3 40% 37.2 35% Mar-00 30% Sep-06 25% 22.1 19.9 20% 16.4 13.1 15% 10% 9.0 5% 12 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market 6.6 6.3 4.5 5.8 0% 1-12 Employment in the telecommunication services (-1.1%) and computer systems design (-0.6%) industries was down in 3Q06, but was somewhat offset by the growth in the remaining service industries. Essentially, after six 13.2 13-24 25-36 37-48 Job Tenure (Months) Source: ICTC, Labour Force Survey, 2006 Branham Group Inc. 49-60 >60 Similarly, in August and November of 2006, Right Management Inc. released the findings of its semi-annual Career Confidence Index, which measures career confidence among full-time workers around the world. While this index is not tailored specifically to the ICT industry (the index does not break out individual industries), the survey’s results showed that roughly 80% of Canadian employees felt secure in their job, and about 34% said it would be easy to find another job at the same salary. Thirteen countries reported higher scores than the previous year, illustrating that increasing confidence is not limited to Canada. The November 2006 Index marked Canada’s highest level in the four years the survey has been conducted. Statistical evidence shows that the ICT and IT labour market landscape is also improving, but it still seems to have a tainted image thanks to its legacy of the disastrous “dot bomb” era, which saw the rapid founding and spectacular crashes of technology companies, particularly those in the Internet sector. Analysts and organizations predict a continued increase in ICT and IT job availability over the next five years. For example, Stephen Ibaraki, Vice President of the Canadian Information Processing Society (CIPS) and Association of IT professionals in Toronto, believes that over the next five years Canadian businesses will have to fill no less than 90,000 new IT positions. Of these vacancies, only 30,000 are estimated to be the result of retirement in the industry. The remaining 60,000 will be newly created positions. Given the current landscape, it is not believed that Canadian colleges and universities will be able to produce the required number of qualified candidates for these positions. RESEARCH SOURCES: At time of writing, 2006 employment information for the full year was not available. As such, full 2005 ICT employment data was used, supplemented with existing 2006 data to provide some insight into the trends for the first three quarters of calendar 2006. Similarly, Census 2006 labour workforce information was not available at the time of writing. While Census 2001 information is available, given the significant economic readjustments that affected those employed in IT related positions and/or the ICT sector over the last few years, Branham decided not to use the Census 2001 for this report. Specifically, while total employment numbers in the ICT industry may be on par with previous 2001 statistics, employment areas are proportionately different. For example, employment based on NAICS for the manufacturing industry was home to almost 114,000 employees in 2001. In 2005, it was home to less than 90,000. Similarly, employment in the ICT Services sub-sector saw an increase of over 43,000 employees over the same time period. March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Supplier and User Industries IT employment is not isolated to the ICT sector (i.e. supplier companies). Non-ICT related sectors (i.e. user companies) also use technology and as such facilitate a requirement for IT personnel and expertise. As previously mentioned, the NAICS codes provide some insight to the number of ICT related employees in the ICT sector, however this data includes both IT and non-IT personnel. The following section will provide some further insight as to IT employment across industry sectors based on the NOC system and other available research sources. Note: The NOC data presented in this report is based on the ICTC Labour Force Survey data, which does not include IT hardware related employment. The ICTC is currently assessing which NOC hardware codes apply to the IT labour market workforce. This analysis is needed to provide a more accurate depiction of total IT employment in Canada. Estimates indicate that IT workers are approximately split 50/50 between the producer and user industries.24 The issue is however, that actual employment numbers differentiating between these distinctions is difficult to ascertain. The reason being is that companies can span the boundaries of producer and user industries. For example, the financial industry is primarily considered a user industry. However, larger financial institutions may develop software for portfolio monitoring, stock trading, and other online banking services, which they in turn may resell as a product to other smaller financial institutions. Overall, five industries account for the bulk of IT employment. These include: Professional, Scientific and Technical Services; Manufacturing; Information and Culture Industries; Public Administration; and Finance and Insurance. Table 3 shows the distribution of the IT labour force amongst these industry sectors. As illustrated, Professional, Scientific and Technical Services is the largest industry sector for all IT occupations. Predictably, engineers have a significant percentage (33%) of the employment in Manufacturing. Technicians are more broadly distributed across the economy, as these five industry sectors account for only 65 percent of their employment.4 Branham Group Inc. 13 Table 3: IT Occupations 2000 – 2005 Profile by Industry Sector4 Group Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services All IT 44% 13% 8% 9% 6% 80% Managers 44% 9% 11% 11% 9% 85% Engineers 36% 33% 3% 10% 2% 85% Analysts 54% 6% 11% 6% 9% 86% Programmers 52% 11% 8% 7% 8% 85% Technicians 28% 10% 11% 10% 7% 65% Other IT 56% 15% 3% 12% 2% 88% Manufacturing Based on all occupations within a given sector (both IT and non-IT), the financial services sector is by far the most IT intensive of the user industries. In some branches of the financial services industry, IT accounts for as much as 10% of total employment.5 Similarly, the financial sector accounts for approximately 18% of total IT spending in Canada, followed by government at 14%.6 Public Administration Information & Culture Finance & Insurance Total RESEARCH SOURCES: Labour Force Survey data, on which these estimates (and others in this report) are based, collects information from a sample of households. This information is meant to be an indicator for employment trends and is not necessarily a national perspective. Type of Occupations Figure 6: Industry Distribution for All IT Occupations September 2006 Finance & Insurance 7.5% Educational Services 3.9% Utilities 1.9% Info. & Cultural 10.4% Others 14.7% Public Administration 7.9% Manufacturing 10.7% Source: ICTC, Labour Force Survey, 2006 14 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Prefessional, Scientific & Tech. Services 43.1% Where the North American International Industry Classification System (NAICS) provides a means for classifying companies for statistical purposes, the National Occupational Classification (NOC) is a systematic taxonomy for all occupations within the Canadian labour market. Similar to the NOC system, when considering IT related employment, the Occupational Skills Profile Model (OSPM) was developed by the Information and Communications Technology Council (ICTC), to focus on the IT sector of the Canadian labour market as opposed to the entire Canadian labour market. The OSPM provides an analysis of 27 Information Technology job streams divided into 7 groupings. The OSPM provides information about each stream including job descriptions, accountabilities, sample job titles and required skill sets as well as dividing each stream into varying levels of seniority. Table 4 provides a comparison of the OSPM and NOC codes that are most closely related. Branham Group Inc. Table 4: OSPM and NOC Code Comparison7 OSPM Classification Group NOC Best Match Stream Code Software Design and Delivery 2173 Software Engineers Analysis Design 2171 Information Systems Analysts and Consultants Analysis Programming 2174 Computer Programmers and Interactive Media Developers Programming 2174 Computer Programmers and Interactive Media Developers Web Design 2175 Web Designers and Developers Web Developer 2174 Computer Programmers and Interactive Media Developers Application Software Implementation 2282 User Support Technicians Business Analysis and Service Level Management 2171 Information Systems Analysts and Consultants Capacity and Performance 2147 Computer Engineers (except Software Engineers) Technical Architecture 2173 Software Engineers Informatics Management 0213 Computer and Information Systems Managers Informatics Consultancy 2171 Information Systems Analysis and Consultants Problem Management 2282 User Support Technicians Project Management 0213 Computer and Information Systems Managers Operations Routine 2281 Computer and Network Operations and Web Technicians Systems Programmers 2174 Computer Programmers and Interactive Media Developers Audit 2171 Information Systems Analysts and Consultants Network Support 2281 Computer and Network Operators and Web Technicians User/Technical Support 2282 User Support Technicians Help Desk 2282 User Support Technicians Security 2171 Information Systems Analysts and Consultants Quality Assurance 2171 Information Systems Analysts and Consultants Testing 2283 System Testing Consultants Informatics Data Data Administration 2172 Database Analysts and Data Administrators Database Administration 2172 Database Analysts and Data Administrators Informatics Education Education/Training Management 4131/ 1121 College and Other Vocational Instructors/Specialists in Human Resources Technical Writing 5121 Authors and Writers Informatics Technical Informatics Evaluation Informatics Business Informatics Operations Informatics Integrity March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Title Branham Group Inc. 15 The Analyst labour force (incorporating NOC codes 21711, 21712, 21713, 21714, 21721, and 21722) exhibited strong employment growth from a low of 85,000 in the fall of 2000, growing to 155,000 workers in mid 2004, becoming the largest IT occupational labour force at the time. Since 2004, there has been a decline making Analysts the third largest, with a labour force of about 120,000 at the end of 2005. The Technical labour force (incorporating NOC codes 22811, 22812, 2282, and 2283) peaked in 2003 at almost 175,000. Since then, this labour force has declined to a low of about 120,000 in mid 2005. By the end of 2005, there was a slight recovery, bringing the technician labour force back up to its highest level, consisting of almost 140,000 people. The Programmer labour force (incorporating NOC codes 21741, 21742, and 2175) peaked in 2001 with 165,000 workers. This work force however, declined to 115,000 at the beginning of 2004, recovering only to 135,000 workers by the end of 2005. The Engineer labour force (incorporating NOC codes 2133, 2147, and 2173) exhibited a clear long-term growth trend over the six year period from the beginning of 2000 to the end of 2005. At the beginning of 2000, there were about 55,000 Engineers; by the end of 2005, there were over 80,000 workers in this labour force category. The Manager labour force (incorporating NOC codes 0112, 0213, and 6115) has been consistently the smallest, typically around 40,000 workers. The labour force for Other IT workers (incorporating NOC codes 1212 and 5241) ranged from a low of 50,000 workers in the fall of 2000 to a high of 90,000 workers in the fall of 2002. At the end of 2005, this labour force stood at almost 80,000 workers, the same size as the Engineer labour force.4 RESEARCH SOURCES: ICT related employment figures based on NAICS codes provide details from the perspective of supplier industries (i.e. ICT sector). While employment numbers based on NOC codes, used as part of this analysis, include IT employment in both supplier and user industries, with the exception of IT hardware related employment. Effectively, an accurate representation of overall employment in the sector, based on supplier and user industries cannot be provided through existing data. 16 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market NOTE: Based on NAICS, the ICT sector employed approximately 589,000 in Canada at the end of 2005. This should not be confused with the IT employment figure of close to 600,000, based on NOC in 2006, as calculated by ICTC (IT hardware employment not included). While the numbers appear similar, they are based on completely different systems of data collection. An accurate representation of Canadian IT employment would be using NOC with the IT hardware component included. Regional Distribution of ICT Labour Industry Canada breaks the ICT sector into clusters (i.e. interconnected companies, educational and research institutes, and associations) based on geographical regions. These geographical regions include British Columbia, the Prairies and Northern Region, Ontario, Quebec, and the Atlantic Region. According to Statistics Canada, the estimated geographical distribution for labourers in all IT occupations is 4.7% in Atlantic Canada, 21.9% in Quebec, 49.1% in Ontario, 12.7% in the Prairies, and 11.6% in British Columbia.8 The following provides further details on each of these regions. British Columbia The British Columbia ICT industries are mainly centered in Vancouver (lower mainland), and include a few large companies and many small service providers. For example, 87% of British Columbia’s technology companies have fewer than 5 employees.9 In 2005, British Columbia was home to a tech workforce of approximately 78,122 (64,600 plus 13,522 self-employed). With its strength in Wireless, New Media, and Photonics technology, and its geographic location, Vancouver has a strategic advantage as an international gateway, and a multimodal transportation hub. In 2002, the British Columbia ICT industry represented 10% of Canada’s total ICT industry employment10 and was responsible for 10% of ICT’s total contribution to Canadian GDP.11 Based on current growth rates it is believed that the province could face a severe shortage of skilled labour in the near future if adequate measurements are not taken. Projections indicate that the demand for skilled employees could grow to over 130,000 by 2010. British Columbia Technology Information Association (BCTIA), the province’s leading IT association, has suggested that the province needs to recruit talent from outside British Columbia as well as develop educational and training initiatives within the province to meet the growing need for skilled employees.12 Branham Group Inc. Prairie and Northern Region The Prairie and Northern Region ICT industry is focused around Edmonton, Calgary, Saskatoon, Regina, and Winnipeg. This region is well represented in each of the major segments, possessing strengths in Wireless Telecommunications, New Media & Software (such as e-learning, e-business, and telehealth applications). This region has a good educational infrastructure in place to help deliver a capable labour force to ICT manufacturers and service providers, which utilize much of the local talent available from its universities. The Prairie and Northern Region has become one of Canada’s fastest growing provincial economies. Specifically, Alberta, with Edmonton and Calgary as the engines of growth for the province and with the lowest overall taxes in Canada, has lead economic growth in the country since the mid-1990s. Calgary’s strengths are in the Wireless and New Media sectors. In Edmonton, strengths include Software (host to a large number of multinational corporations) and New Media. Through initiatives such as the Alberta SuperNet, designed to provide most of Alberta’s residents with high-speed Internet access, the province has become one of the most connected societies in the country. Provincial estimates are that Alberta’s information technology industry (43,590 in 2004) will employ over 140,000 people and generate more than $30 billion in annual revenues by 2010. The recorded unemployment rate for all of Alberta (ICT and non-ICT industries) in 2005 was 3.9%.13 Winnipeg holds a large focus in the New Media industry, likely a result of CanWest Global Communications Corporation, which has become one of the largest media firms in Canada and a major player in the international media world. Winnipeg’s new media industry continues to grow with firms that are renowned worldwide for having made contributions to Hollywood productions. Manitoba’s ICT sector employed more than 15,000 people in 1,549 companies across the province in 2003, exported more than $227 million worth of goods throughout the world, and experienced positive growth in the past five years. Revenues of Manitoba’s software publishing, data processing, hosting, computer systems design and related services industries totaled $645 million in 2003. This increase of 58% from the previous year significantly outstripped the national growth rates of 3.8% for the same sectors. March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market The Northwest Territories’ most notable strengths lie in its telecommunications, satellite, frame relay and networking technologies. In 2002, the Prairies and Northern Region ICT’s industry represented 13% of Canada’s total ICT industry employment.10 Within Saskatchewan, Stats Canada’s Canadian Business Patterns reveals a total of 696 firms in the ten NAICS coded industries comprising this Information and Communications Technology sector. Of these, 599 are found in one NAICS coded industry (NAICS 54151): Computer Systems Design and Related Services. With revenues of more than $805 million annually, Saskatchewan’s ICT sector employs approximately 10,700 people in 250 companies. Ontario Ontario’s ICT industries are concentrated in the urban regions of the province including Ottawa, the Greater Toronto Area (GTA), Waterloo Region (Canada’s Technology Triangle) and Hamilton. The Ottawa area (including both Ottawa and Gatineau) is particularly recognized for its Telecommunications, Photonics, and Software industries, while the GTA is known as a software development powerhouse with additional focus in e-business, new media, communications equipment, and microelectronics. The Waterloo Region has developed a large number of high-technology companies born from the commercialization of research done at local universities, particularly the University of Waterloo. Ottawa is home to 1,841 high tech companies, with high tech employment totaling 78,147 employees, 853 people short of the tech “boom” in 2000/2001.14 Of these companies, approximately 60% are focused on IT Services. Government is a major customer in the region. While Hamilton has historically focused on traditional manufacturing areas, such as agricultural food products and services, steel production and the automotive industry, it has shifted its focus towards advanced manufacturing, biotechnology, information technology, and more. This rapid shift towards ICT industries is in part thanks to its proximity to the Greater Toronto market, the U.S./Canadian border and, high-quality post secondary educational institutions such as McMaster University and Mohawk College, who have spent millions of dollars building and modernizing facilities to accommodate existing and emerging information technology courses. Branham Group Inc. 17 In 2002, Ontario’s ICT industry represented 50% of Canada’s total ICT industry employment10 and was responsible for 49% of ICT’s total contribution to GDP.11 The ICT Industry represents 4.7% of total employment for Ontario, the highest level in Canada15. Ontario’s ICT industry is very involved in R&D – in 2002 it was responsible for 70% of all ICT R&D expenditures in Canada, which represented 64% of total R&D expenditures in the province making ICT industries the most R&D intensive sector in Ontario. Quebec Quebec is home to a number of ICT industries including Telecom, New Media, Photonics, software, and e-business, with some emphasis shifting to emerging markets. The Montreal Metropolitan Community is home to over 2,500 ICT companies with 110,000 employees, including many multinational enterprises and large companies (mainly focused in the services area). In addition to its strong ICT industry, clustered around Montreal and Quebec City, Quebec also represents 52% of Canada’s total venture capital funding, with 61% of the available funds invested in ICT. In 2002, Quebec’s ICT industry was responsible for 23% of ICT’s total contribution to GDP11 with $5.8 billion in exports (2002), 85% of which went to the United States. The ICT sector is an integral part of the Quebec economy. Atlantic Region Representing the smallest percentage of the ICT labour workforce (18,382)17, the Atlantic ICT industries are centered in Halifax, Fredericton, Saint John, Moncton, Sydney, Charlottetown, Newfoundland and Labrador. Halifax, in Nova Scotia, which is a hub for air, sea, rail and telecommunications services with strong connections to eastern North America and Europe, has long been a software and ICT services cluster. Also, e-business, telecommunications services and equipment, and new media are emerging as clusters in Nova Scotia in their own right. 18 Overall, while the Canadian ICT workforce is distributed across the nation, Central Canada (Ontario and Quebec) is home to almost three quarters of the ICT labour force. RESEARCH SOURCES: Provincial IT labour force and ICT employment related information was inconsistent across the provinces and territories. Some provinces provide more up–to-date information than others. Generally, the more recent information is provided from provinces where ICT is more prevalent and as such more important to the provincial economy. This observation is likely due to the fact that these ICT rich employment regions are designated higher budgets to provide prospective organizations with the marketing materials to entice them to setup shop within these provinces. With a few exceptions, most information typically made available through the provinces and the respective IT associations, was sourced through Industry Canada and the Labour Force Survey data, respectively. Only in rare circumstances was information based on proprietary sources. IT Labour Market Demographics While employment numbers continue to change, the demographics within the IT labour market workforce has held respectively constant with respect to characteristics such as gender diversity, educational levels, and job permanency. In general, IT employment across Canada is made up of predominantly permanent, full-time positions, filled by a relatively young, predominately male, highly educated workforce. The province of New Brunswick, bolstered by the National Research Council’s Institute for Information Technology – e-Business (with New Brunswick locations in Fredericton, Saint John, and Moncton and Sydney in Nova Scotia), is a centre for e-business and e-learning. Prince Edward Island has a small but vibrant ICT industry poised for growth around the new Atlantic Technology Centre in Charlottetown. The advanced technology industry in Newfoundland and Labrador consists of approximately 200 specialized small to medium-sized enterprises that export innovative products and services to over 40 countries. Newfoundland and Labrador’s ICT strengths lie in the areas of marine communications, e-business and e-learning. In 2004, a Statistics Canada and ICTC survey found that the average age of IT workers was 36.4 years, which was significantly below the national labour force average. Consequently retirements are not expected to contribute significantly to replacement demand in the very near future. However, comparing September 2006 to March 2000 figures (Table 5), there has been a 2% decrease in the number of youth entering the IT labour workforce (15-24 age range). Similarly, university enrollment for IT related fields has also seen a 1.7% decrease. There has also been a significant decrease (5%) in the 25-34 year age category which is likely attributable to both worker exit from the ICT industry thanks to the previous economic adjustment and graduates from 5-6 years ago maturing. While there was not a significant increase in the 35-44 age category in 2006 compared to the 2000 findings, there is a significant increase in the 45+ demographic which does show an aging workforce. Focusing on the 55+ age category, there was almost a 3% increase in this category as compared to March 2000 showing a higher growth rate than those entering the market, illustrating the potential for a skills shortage if the trend is not reversed. March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. Table 5: Age Distribution for All IT Occupations18 Age Range March 2000 September 2006 15 – 24 9.8% 7.8% 25 – 34 37.6% 32.8% 35 – 44 32.6% 33.1% 45 – 54 16.3% 19.8% 55+ 3.8% 6.5% For all IT occupations, women typically make up only one quarter of the workforce, and this may be decreasing. For example, in June of 2005, 27% of the IT workforce was female, and in September 2006 women accounted for a little over 25%. This decrease is likely related to the categories of IT jobs that women typically dominate including technical writing and graphic design/illustration. As the number of these positions are reduced or remain constant, while the number of other IT positions increase, the female to male ratio decreases.4 Similarly, visible minorities currently occupy a small percentage of IT jobs. As of June 2005, visible minorities held only 10% of IT jobs across the country (according to the 2001 Census, visible minorities made up approximately 13% of Canada’s population at the time). However, the numbers fair better in large populated areas which are typically more culturally diverse. For example, visible minorities occupied 31% of the jobs in Toronto, 25% in Vancouver, and 10-15% of the jobs in each of Calgary, Edmonton, Ottawa, Gatineau, and Halifax (in 2005, Toronto, Vancouver and Montréal were home to 73 percent of the country’s visible minorities19). Though underrepresented in management, members of visible minorities are well represented in technical occupations like programming, hardware and software engineering, and data management. Meanwhile, 1.5% of IT workers were people with disabilities, and 1% were Aboriginals (a high of 2.7% in the Prairies).20 of all ICT workers had a university degree, compared to a national average of 22%. The software and computer services industries appear to have the most educated workforce (52% with university degrees) followed by the communications equipment manufacturing industries (47%). All industries, except communications equipment manufacturing, experienced an increase of educated workers from their 2004 values: the highest increases (6%) were from the computer equipment and the software and computer services industries.1 According to the publication, ‘Canada’s Information Technology Labour Market 2005: Issues and Options’, from the Information and Communications Technology Council, the IT workforce has “an insatiable thirst for continuous learning.” Many IT workers enjoy learning new and upcoming technologies on their own time. The typical motivation is likely more general interest as opposed to specifically for job sustainability or advancement. This can be substantiated by a study of UK workers that shows that IT workers do a lot of learning on their own, reading books and manuals and practicing new skills at work and at home. Indeed, such self-help approaches are by far the most popular. Despite the number of self-employed workers, a significant portion of IT jobs are full time (95%) and permanent (92%) positions. Similarly, a regular work week (excluding paid overtime) is typically 31 to 40 hours.4 This is true for 85 percent of workers, combating a negative connotation that those employed in the ICT field are required to work long and extraneous hours to retain employment. Employees in the ICT sector are also well compensated. These workers earned on average $54,915 in 2005, or 45% more than the economy-wide average of $37,865. Employees in the software and computer services industries are the most highly paid. In fact, average earnings in these industries were $60,643 in 2005. Despite being the lowest paid workers in their sector, employees in the electronic component manufacturing industries still earned 24% above the national average.22 IT Employment is characterized by a high level of education, with 48% of the current IT workforce holding at least a university bachelors degree.21 Another 27% are community college or CEGEP graduates. In 2004, 41% 4 While Branham did not have the actual numbers in this case, it is likely that the actual number of female IT workers has remained relatively level, while the ratio has decreased as more positions opening up are filled by male employees. March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. 19 Figure 7: Weekly Wages for All IT Occupations Employed Labour Force (%) 30% 24.5 25% 21.0 20% 18.2 15% 13.8 15.1 15.0 13.6 15.0 12.2 10.7 10% Mar-00 11.2 8.9 Sep-06 5.8 5% 4.3 3.4 1.6 5.0 0.6 0% 0-200 201-400 401-600 601-800 801-1000 1001-1200 1201-1400 1401-1600 1600+ Weekly Wages ($’s) Source: ICTC, Labour Force Survey, 2006 RESEARCH SOURCES: When examining internal labour market demographics, the majority of available information was related to Labour Force Survey data. Based on the scope of this documented research, it should be noted that the presented data merely provides an indicator of the market and not necessarily a national perspective. Internal Labour Market Dynamics When it comes to occupations, there seems to be a disconnect between employers and employees when describing the job that the employee performs. For example, where employers recorded an occupation as ‘data administrator’, 44% of the employees agreed with this occupational title. However, 14.3% perceive themselves to be data analysts, 14% computer/information system managers, 5.8% computer/network operators, etc. Of 25 positions surveyed, job function agreement between employers and employees exceeded 60% in only nine occupational categories, and 80% in only one.20 Along the same lines, multi-tasking among IT workers is very high. Asked to select their areas of work from a list of nine (multiple answers permitted), 40% or more selected each of the following six: software, web/Internet/intranet, database, network, systems, and hardware. It is thanks to these reasons that occupational definitions and standards are important. 20 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market The National Occupational Classification or NOC codes provide the facilities for grouping individual positions that are sufficiently alike, as to kind or subject matter of work, level of difficulty and responsibility, etc., for the entire Canadian labour market. As previously compared to NOC codes, the Occupational Skills Profile Model (OSPM) provides a more granular analysis of 27 Information Technology occupations, providing information including job descriptions, accountabilities, sample job titles, and required skill sets. While the NOC and OSPM classifications provide the facilities to classify occupations and provide some insight for job futures, employer expectations and skill set requirements can still vary. Specifically, regardless of educational major, in addition to the requisite technical skills, employers expect a broad knowledge of, and experience with, computer systems and technologies, strong problem-solving and analysis skills, and good interpersonal skills. For jobs in a business environment, employers increasingly want a background in business management or a closely related field. Because of this, entry-level employees enhance their employment opportunities by participating in internship or co-op programs offered through their schools. A related background in the industry in which the job is located, such as financial services, banking, or accounting, can give an applicant an edge.23 Branham Group Inc. Employers will continue to seek professionals who can provide the complete “package”, combining strong technical skills with good interpersonal and business subject matter expertise. However, these employees are in short supply and as such enjoy premium compensation. Even with the expected increase of positions over the next three to five years, employers will still be in a position to exercise a preference for previous experience. Initial entry into the IT labour market, therefore, will continue to be a significant challenge for many new graduates and recent internationally educated professionals depending on the occupational targets; operations, developer, or hardware. Operational occupations are not typically tied to specific projects but are instead tied to support for business processes. The overall demand for employment in these occupations can be tied to increases (or decreases) in the installed base of systems and applications. Significant and unanticipated increases in demand and skill shortages in these occupations are uncommon. These occupations serve recent graduates well as employment can start at the entry or intermediate level and advance into positions involving more planning and managerial responsibility. The advent of outsourcing however, has negatively affected the availability of these positions. Developer occupations are typically tied to specific projects and as such can provide considerable volatility with respect to the number of hours (expected long hours are not universally attractive) and levels of employment in these positions. Skill requirements for these positions are typically specific to the project (programming language, hardware, technology, etc.) and employers cannot typically afford time for skills acquisition through experience. There is no precise line separating hardware occupations from software occupations as many, such as firmware developers, straddle the boundary. Hardware related employees however, are more likely to have a professional engineering degree or engineering technology training with primary sources being recent graduates and internationally educated professionals. Demand for these positions however is difficult to forecast as they depend on user investment into products.24 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Career paths for the IT labour force also have the potential to be unpredictable. Typically, professionals such as Systems Analysts may be promoted to senior or lead systems analysts with experience. Similarly, those who show leadership ability also can advance to management positions, such as manager of information systems or chief information officer. Computer engineers and scientists employed in industry may eventually advance into managerial or project leadership positions. Those employed in academic institutions can become heads of research departments or published authorities in their field. Computer professionals with several years of experience and considerable expertise in a particular subject area or application may find lucrative opportunities as independent consultants or choose to start their own computer consulting firms. The issue is however, that technological advances come so rapidly in the computer field that continuous study is necessary to keep skills up to date. As technology becomes more sophisticated and complex, a higher level of skill and expertise is demanded by employers in all areas. Employees may need continuing education to polish skills or ascertain technical or professional certification in the hopes of promotion. At the same time however, changes in technology, demand for more popular skill sets, changes in outsourcing policies, or a decrease in the installed base of technologies can stall career paths unless skills are updated to meet the needs of the new demands. RESEARCH REPORTS: The material in this section is based primarily on qualitative analysis as opposed to quantitative. While existing occupations can be classified based on the NOC or OSPM classifications, career advancement is difficult to quantify based on its unpredictability; job promotions can be situational. Branham Group Inc. 21 Recruitment Up until now, although it may seem the labour market has responded well regarding the growing demand for IT employees, current projections and growth indicators point out that Canada is going to experience a significant skilled labour shortage in the near future. An unemployment rate of 1.9% may be good news for Canada’s economy as a whole, but it has also lead those seeking IT resources to scramble in recruiting the remains of a declining number of highly skilled and specialized workers. With increasing concern as more baby boomers of the IT workforce approach the retirement age, a surprising number of workers also need more training in core IT and management skills. workforce, for reasons such as retirement, career changes, or ‘stopping out’ also affect the supply of IT resources for the industry. Supply of IT Labour Market Resources Presently, employers are looking for the complete IT employee who has it all when it comes to computer knowledge and business management skills along with a wealth of experience – sometimes as much as 10 to 15 years.27 At the same time, companies seem to be unwilling to make necessary investments in the workforce to better prepare them for IT jobs, and this is contributing to the problem. Not only do companies then have difficulties finding skilled and experienced workers, but IT workers have difficulties finding jobs in the industry as well, especially recent graduates lacking experience. This has unfortunately built on the misconception about the lack of prospects of an IT career, and hence the declining number of enrolments in IT related programs. ICT industry revenues grew by 3.2% in 2005 from 2004. In terms of dollars, total revenues increased from $97.3 billion in 1997 to $135.6 billion in 2005, an annual growth rate of 4.2%.1 During the same time period, the number of ICT sector jobs in Canada increased from 442,510 to 589,272 between 1997 and 2005, an increase of 33.2% or 146,762 new jobs.1 Employment in the ICT sector has experienced an average annual growth rate of 3.6% (1997 to 2005)25 and the overall IT unemployment in 2005 was at 1.9%, much less than the overall industry unemployment rate of 6.1%. The flip side of the coin is that as unemployment rates decrease it becomes harder to find skilled workers in the IT workforce. Forecasts approximate an increase of 58,000 new IT jobs over the next three to five years, and compounded with the replacement demand for employees who leave IT jobs because of retirement, career reasons, family reasons, etc., the total rises to 89,000 new jobs.24 With a record low unemployment rate, the big question which rises is will the supply of ICT resources be able to respond to the demand? 22 Over the last few years, enrollments in IT related programs such as computer engineering, computer science, and software engineering have declined by 11% (from 2002 to 2005) and remains on a downward trend (Table 6). The main reason behind this decline has been the misconception amongst students, parents, and career counselors about the lack of job and career prospects in the IT field. This misconception actually started in the postdot-com and post-Y2K era and has been building since. Table 6: Actual Enrollment in Computer Engineering, Computer Science and Software Engineering28 Academic Year Total Enrollment Foreign Students Female Students 2002 – 2003 17290 1009 2485 2003 – 2004 16873 1188 2333 2004 – 2005 15427 1179 2622 % Change: -11% 17% 6% In order to answer this question, four key drivers of the supply of IT resources in Canada must be understood and analyzed. Firstly, enrolment and graduation trends in colleges, universities and private training indicate the number of available IT workers both for current and future industry needs. Secondly, internationally educated professionals also play a major role in providing Canada with skilled workers, not just in the ICT industry, but nationwide as well. In 2004, Canada’s immigration levels were twice that of the United States and internationally educated professionals accounted for 70% of Canada’s net labour force growth (across all industries).26 Another important driver for supply is in-career training and upgrading as employers need workers who are up-to-date with technology as well as business developments in the industry to remain competitive. Lastly, employee exits from the IT The government, academia and industry need to work together to make IT “sexy” again, simultaneously eradicating current misconception. The CATA Alliance is an IT association which is presently working to put together resources which assist employers in finding qualified personnel both in Canada and abroad for the enhancement of the Canadian IT Industry. These tools and resources in turn have helped the IT Industry in trying to bridge the gap between supply and demand in the market.29 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. Table 730 Rank Job Searches 1 Information Technology 2 Engineering 3 Computer Software 4 Biotechnology and Pharmaceutical 5 Computer Services 6 Computer Hardware Table 830 Rank Job Searches 1 Information Technology 2 Engineering 3 Computer Software 4 Electronics 5 Energy/Utilities 6 Telecommunications RESEARCH SOURCES: Educational enrollment data for IT programs is reported to Industry Canada by Canadian universities. Enrollment numbers do not include data from college programs for IT related skills training. As such, an accurate picture of enrollment numbers may be somewhat disjointed when considering the differences in programs offered by universities, versus those offered through colleges and/or other IT related training institutions. Specifically, for updating existing programming skill sets, enrollment at the university level may not be required; college level programs (or other IT training facilities) can provide the required training to address and update knowledge in specific areas. Employment Status Statistics Canada defines full-time work as working more than 30 hours per week.4 Figure 8 compares the distribution of full-time and part-time workers in the years 2000 and 2006. Presently, the majority of the IT workforce (based on NOC codes) is comprised of full-time workers (95.5%). Part-time employees make up only 4.5% of the total IT workforce, which is only a marginal increase (0.1%) in six years. Figure 8: Full Time vs. Part Time Employment for All IT Occupations Part Time One initiative that the CATA Alliance has undertaken is the development of the Advanced Technology Index, which it operates in coordination with Monster Canada.30 According to the Advanced Technology Index, the following categories had the most job searches and job postings for Advanced Technology positions during the month of November 2006: 4.4 Mar-00 4.5 Sep-06 95.6 Full Time Similarly, the following provinces are the top six in terms of online job availability during the month of November 2006 according to the Advanced Technology Employment Index (total working populations considered): 95.6 0% Table 930 Rank 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Employed Labour Force (%) Job Searches 1 Alberta 2 Ontario 3 British Columbia 4 Nova 5 Manitoba 6 Quebec March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Source: ICTC, Labour Force Survey, 2006 Branham Group Inc. 23 A study which further details the distribution of full-time and part-time IT employees is ICTC’s “Analysis of Labour Force Survey Data for Information Technology Occupations 2000-2005.” Table 10 displays some of the findings by segmenting the IT workforce into the general occupation categories of Managers, Engineers, Analysts, Programmers, Technicians and Other IT to show a more detailed distribution of full-time and part-time workers. As expected, the majority of Managers are full-time (98%), and only 2% confirmed that they are part-time employees. Engineers have an even higher percentage of full-time workers with 99%. Out of all the occupations listed, the Other IT occupational category has the highest percentage of part-time worker with 13%. This emphasizes the fact how companies need full-time workers over part-time as these jobs need more stability and carry more responsibilities. Table 10: Analysis of the LFS Data for the IT Occupations 2000-200531 Group Full-Time Part-Time All IT 95% 5% Managers 98% 2% Engineers 99% 1% Analysts 95% 5% Programmers 96% 4% Technicians 94% 6% Other IT 87% 13% Figure 9 divides the hours employees worked per week into the three categories of less than 30 hours, 30 to 40 hours and more than 40 hours. Comparing the findings of 2006 and 2000, the 30 to 40 hours worked category has increased slightly while the more than 40 hours category has decreased by nearly the same percentage. This shows how an increasing number of IT workers prefer and are looking for full-time jobs. The Labour Force Survey also asked respondents the following question to distinguish permanent employees from contracted employees: “Is your job permanent, or is there some way that it is not permanent?”31 Statistics Canada defines and provides data for non-permanent job categories including: Seasonal; Temporary, Term or Contract; Casual; Work done through a temporary help agency; and Other. Figure 10 illustrates the results to this question with 92% of IT workers confirming they are permanent employees with their respective organizations. 8% of employees confirmed that they are non-permanent and of those, 7% confirmed they are contractual, temporary or term employees. Figure 10: Permanent vs. Contract Employment Contract 7% Other 1% Permanent 92% More than 40 Figure 9: Hours Worked Per Week for All IT Occupations 9.8 7.8 30-40 Mar-00 84.0 Sep-06 Less than 30 85.7 Source: Analysis of Labour Force Survey Data for the Information Technology Occupations 2000-2005, ICTC, April 2006 6.1 6.4 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Employed Labour Force (%) Source: ICTC, Labour Force Survey, 2006 24 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. Table 11 breaks out employees into the general occupation categories, once again to display the distribution of permanent and contract employees in more detail. Similar to the comparison between full-time and part-time employees, Manager and Engineer jobs have a high percentage of permanent employees with 97% and 96% respectively. Occupation categories with larger portions of contract employees include Programmers, Technicians and Other IT, all with 8%. Again this stresses the importance of having permanent employees in jobs such as managers and engineers as these are hard to replace because of the skill required and they carry more responsibilities as well. On the other hand, jobs such as Programmers, Technicians and other IT jobs do not carry as many responsibilities and are therefore are easier to replace. Table 11: Analysis of the LFS Data for the IT Occupations 2000-200532 Group Permanent Contract Other All IT 92% 7% 1% Managers 97% 3% 0% Engineers 96% 4% 0% Analysts 94% 6% 1% Programmers 91% 8% 1% Technicians 90% 8% 2% Other IT 90% 8% 2% RESEARCH SOURCES: Because 2006 IT employment information is not yet available, 2005 information was used in addition to employment information up to the third quarter of 2006. Furthermore, information on the division of full-time against part-time and permanent against contracted employees by more specific job types is required for in-depth analysis. Information presented is by general job types. Outsourcing Although progress has been slow, Canadian companies have come a long way from 2001 when companies were much more conservative in adopting the outsourcing model than their counterparts and neighbours in the U.S.33 The case was even slower when it came to outsourcing non-IT functions to third party specialists. A study conducted by the Centre of Outsourcing Research & Education (CORE) reports that although their experiences have varied based on the activities outsourced, there has been an increasing number of companies looking to outsource both their information technology and business process functions. Companies outsourcing their IT functions have reported a satisfaction rate from 75% to 80% whereas this rate drops to below 50% when it comes to Business Process Outsourcing (BPO).34 Despite these varying rates of satisfaction, as Canadian companies gain more experience and as outsourcing becomes more sophisticated, employers will indeed look to engage in ITO and BPO practices as a means to improve performance and competitiveness.34 The following are major outsourcing trends amongst Canadian organizations outlined in the study: — Companies are realizing with experience that there are other advantages to outsourcing other than cost reduction, such as access to skilled labour and freeing up internal resources for other core processes and business functions. Other benefits also include improved quality and product or process innovation. All of these benefits allow companies to focus more and better meet their organizations’ goals and objectives. — Value creation is taking priority when Canadian companies look to manage/develop relationships with outsourcing service providers. Unlike before when meeting performance levels took priority, companies are now increasingly engaging with service providers in trying to add value to their products or services for the advancement of their organizations. — Building on the last point, more organizations are looking to assess outsourcing engagements by how effectively they have combined with service providers as partners. By expanding the relationship from just delivering services, companies realize that working as partners and developing a good relationship helps the company achieve long term goals rather than just short term. — More companies are looking to take on outsourcing as a large-scale transformation rather than just a service contract. March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. 25 As mentioned, although cost reduction is still the primary reason why Canadian companies outsource, other major reasons are emerging such as gaining access to skilled labour. Canadian companies are increasingly beginning to look elsewhere, other than Canada perhaps, to help fulfill their IT demands for skilled and talented labour. This could be due to the skills shortage (i.e. low IT unemployment rate) Canada is currently experiencing and which is likely to increase with time unless some pertinent actions are taken. Currently however, there is a lack of information or studies supporting whether there is indeed a connection and/or if any actions need to be taken. RESEARCH SOURCES: Information on Canadian firms’ propensity to outsource and their experiences with outsourcing engagements is lacking (IT and non-IT related). In this instance, it is difficult to link Canadian IT outsourcing activities with IT skill shortages. While access to skilled workers is an increasing motivator for outsourcing, additional investigation is required to determine the impact IT outsourcing is having on the supply as well as demand of IT employment resources in the country. Import/Export of ICT Work Import and export trends of ICT products and services are continuing to have a significant impact on the demand for IT workers in Canada. After declines in the earlier years of the millennium, total ICT exports grew at a rate of 9.6% in 2004 but slowed in 2005 to 6.5%. During this same period, total ICT imports grew at 1.4%.1 Export of ICT goods grew by 8.8% and ICT services remained constant in 2005.35 Figure 11 groups ICT products and services together and divides them according to ICT industry sub sectors. As expected, software and computer services have the largest share with 19.2% followed by wire communication equipment with 15.6% and electronic components with 13.7%. The export market plays a major role in the employment growth in the Canadian ICT hardware and software sectors. In recent years, the manufacturing sector has relied heavily on the export market with as much as 70% of its manufactured ICT products being exported.36 Figure 12 provides the distribution of exported ICT goods (software and hardware) by destination. Figure 12: Exports of ICT Goods by Region, 2005 2005 Share of Total (2000 share in brackets) Figure 11: Total ICT Exports by Product/Service Group, 2005 (Total: $30.6 Billion) Computer Equipment 13.3% Wired Communications Equipment 15.6% Commercial Industry Machinery 7.5% Communications Service 5.6% Asia-Pacific (4.7%) 11.8% Software and Computer Services 19.2% Wireless Communications Equipment 8.6% Electronic Components 13.7% European Union (8.7%) 13.5% Other ICT Goods and Services 4.1% Source: Statistics Canada, Trade Data Online Instruments 12.4% Source: Industry Canada, Canadian ICT Statistical Overview 26 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. Other (2.8%) 6.4% United States (83.9%) 68.3% Approximately 15% of ICT services in Canada were exported, and 10% of ICT services were imported in 2005.37 Canada as a country still incurs a sizeable ICT trade deficit but this has stabilized since early 2000-2001. Figure 13: Exports, Imports and Trade Balance of ICT Goods and Services, 1997-2005 70 60 50 Although there are no studies or statistics indicating these trends and how they might affect the ICT export and import markets of Canada, their role can not be ignored. The Canadian ICT sector comprises of nearly 32,000 companies of which three quarters (76.2%) are attributed to software and computer services (76.2%) and it’s also the category generating the most revenue from exported revenue from ICT good/services (19.2%).1 Furthermore, and as mentioned previously, the Canadian ICT manufacturing sector accounts for 10.7% of all ICT jobs in Canada and relies heavily on the export market (as much as 70%). This in turn illustrates how a negative impact on the export/ import market will also have a significant impact on ICT manufacturing employment in Canada. $ Billions 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Year Imports Exports RESEARCH SOURCES: While Statistics Canada does provide some high level data, primary research is required to determine whether the listed emerging trends are directly or indirectly affecting the Canadian ICT import and export markets. Furthermore, information on the skills involved in the ICT import and export markets is also lacking. Detailed information in this respect will allow Canadian firms to plan more effectively and increase their competitiveness compared to other countries. Trade Balance Recruitment Methods Source: Industry Canada, Canadian ICT Statistical Overview Although the presented figures suggest the market has been relatively stable over recent years, some trends causing concern are emerging which may play a big role in the near future. The following describes these trends38: — From a cost perspective, the appreciation of the Canadian dollar compared to the U.S. dollar, although good for the economy, makes it less attractive for organizations outside to invest or do business within Canada. — The reputation of offshore ICT suppliers of goods has increased significantly, which is indirectly affecting Canada’s exports. These offshore suppliers include India and China, amongst others. — Outsourcing is increasingly being adopted by companies around the world, especially the U.S. As displayed in Figure 5, the U.S. is the primary customer for Canadian exported ICT goods, and there is a possibility that other destinations providing more benefits may lure the U.S. away from Canada. March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market The Internet is the most used source for finding job information for IT workers.20 IT workers rely heavily on websites when searching for employment because it is the method with which they are most familiar. In 2005, 65% of private sector workers relied on the Internet to find job information from employers’ websites and 71% of public sector employees went to government websites to do the same. However, it has emerged that only three to five per cent of job seekers actually find new positions through online sites and other recruitment methods are proving to be far more effective.27 Studies reveal that employers are currently relying on a combination of recruitment methods including employee referrals, word-of-mouth and informal networking.20 IT workers are realizing this trend and current figures indicate 60% are now relying on informal networks as a process which allows both the IT worker and employer to connect directly, which can lead to potential future opportunities. Print media continues to be another major recruitment method used both by IT job seekers (over 50%) and employers.20 However, employers from large firms are pointing out that they are now looking to prioritize online Branham Group Inc. 27 recruitment methods over informal networks, perhaps as means to make the playing field level for all IT job seekers. Figure 14 and Figure 15 support the preceding facts and display the usage of different types of recruitment methods. Figure 15: Percentage of Employers Reporting Which Recruitment Methods They Use (Public Sector) Public sector official staffing procedures Figure 14: Percentage of Employers Reporting Which Recruitment Methods They Use (Private Sector) Employee referrals Unsolicited résumés 64.9 Informal networking 64.2 Methods of Recruitment Your firms’ website 60.2 Help wanted ads (print media) University, college or IT institutes 57.5 55.1 30.8 Informal networking 28.8 Word-of-mouth 27.8 Unsolicited résumés 22.1 All methods 22.0 Government employment centres 19.0 Internet websites 12.2 Job fairs 12.1 Internet recruiting agencies 50.8 Internet websites Internet recruiting agencies Head hunter or personnel agency User groups and professional associations email list Government employment centres 46.9 32.1 Employee referrals University, college or IT institutes Methods of Recruitment 73.1 64.8 Government websites Help wanted ads (print media) 84.5 Word-of-mouth 76.6 7.9 6.8 Not aplicable (don’t recruit) 33.4 Head hunter or personnel agency User groups and professional associations email list Other 33.1 14.2 4.2 4.2 3.2 13.9 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 11.7 Job Fairs Percentage of Employers Other 2.1 Not applicable don’t recruit 1.2 0 20 40 60 80 100 Source: The Information Technology Labour Market in Canada: Results From the National Survey of IT Occupations, ICTC, April 2005 Percentage of Employers Source: The Information Technology Labour Market in Canada: Results From the National Survey of IT Occupations, ICTC, April 2005 Although, these recruitment methods work well for many groups seeking IT jobs, it’s not so advantageous for groups such as aboriginals, visible minorities, people with disabilities, and women as they tend to have less access to word-of mouth and personal networks. Perhaps this explains the lower percentage of workers from these groups in the IT workforce. Women only have 27% of Canadian IT jobs, visible minorities have 10%, people with disabilities have 1.5% and aboriginals have 1%. Some of these groups also have to depend on traditional recruitment techniques such as formal employer recruiting, personal initiative and advertisements both online and off. 28 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market From a hiring and a management perspective, employers are looking for talented individuals with multiple skills sets. They need to possess the ability and willingness to develop a variety of management technical skills. Individuals must also be able to adapt to the changing environment as skills, especially technical ones, need to evolve with the business and technology developments. According to ICTC, employers are looking for the complete employee who “has it all”.27 This might include someone “who can program in C++, understands the theory of long tail and also knows how to rationalize business processes so they meet necessities of Sarbanes-Oxley and the Personal Information Protection and Electronic Documents Act (PIPEDA)”.27 In some cases, the “complete employee” must also possess the ability to resolve business problems with innovative technological ideas, bear a resume with Branham Group Inc. 90 10 to 15 years of experience, and possess communication and leadership skills which will allow him/her to equally deal with IT and business workers.27 It is important to note that proficiency in French, or a second language, becomes a more important factor during recruitment when employees in the private sector want to join the public sector. This is especially true for management level positions in the public sector and this severely limits the sector’s ability to bring in new and talented employees who may have previously worked in the private sector as senior managers.39 RESEARCH SOURCES: While there is an abundance of anecdotal evidence for recruitment methods, there is limited empirical evidence in general, especially where it pertains specifically to the ICT industry. Similarly, while information regarding student and youth employment programs in Canada is plentiful, there is a lack of data that presents these findings on a provincial or national basis. Investigation and analysis is required at the student level so adequate measurements regarding skills shortages can be taken from the ground up. The National Survey of IT Occupations, April 2005, by ICTC provides the most up-to-date, wide-ranging, and detailed information regarding recruitment methods used by those employing IT workers and is used in this section. A key ongoing trend observed from 2003 through 2005 regarding a company’s goals for relocating, is the emphasis on cost and quality of service. Nonetheless, the main and overriding goal of a corporation’s relocation policy is still cost containment, as illustrated in Table 12. Employers also look to relocate IT workers to fulfill specific and varying business needs and these are pointed out in Figure 16. Figure 16: Main Reasons for Relocating Employees Category Percentage Merger/Acquisition 22% Management/ Business Unit Requirements 80% Succession Planning 40% Skills Transfer 60% Business Expansion 29% Business Downsizing 16% Transfer of Organization’s Culture 10% International Business Start Up 20% Other Relocation of New Recruits There is a lack of analytical information in general when investigating Canadian companies’ trends for relocating employees. This is even more so the case when the topic of relocation of IT employees in Canadian firms is brought up. The following information and data presented is from a survey conducted by the Canadian Employee Relocation Council (CERC) entitled, “2005 Employee Relocation Policy Survey” and presents relocation policy information adopted by Canadian firms in general. 7% Source: Canadian Employee Relocation Council, 2005 Employee Relocation Policy Survey The graph reveals the main reason organizations look to relocate employees is because of management or business unit requirements. Other top reasons include skills transfer, succession planning and business expansion. When it comes to the relocation of new recruits, the following are facts and figures of interest from the surveys: — 12% of organizations offer signing bonuses to new recruits, while 59% offer signing bonuses only on occasion. Table 12: How Organizations Rated the Goals of the Policy Most Important Very Important Somewhat Important Cost containment 29% 39% 29% 3% 0% Greater quality of benefits 15% 48% 29% 4% 0% 9% 47% 35% 9% 0% 21% 40% 27% 8% 0% Reduced administration Greater flexibility Least Important Not at all Important Source: Canadian Employee Relocation Council, 2005 Employee Relocation Policy Survey March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market 29 Branham Group Inc. — 43% of organizations choose to offer signing bonuses occasionally instead of assistance with relocation. — 15% of organizations provide assistance for “hard to hire personnel”, and 41% provide assistance on occasion. — 52% of organizations have processes in place to evaluate the performance of relocated employees, while 97% use a similar process to that of regular employees. Figure 17 illustrates that most organizations look to relocate their employees mainly because of a particular management request/requirement. Other reasons include career development, succession planning, employee training/skills development, future global leadership development, management request/requirement and employee request. Figure 17: Main Reason for Relocating a Particular Employee Category Percentage Career Development 62% Employee Training/ Skills Development 40% Figure 18: Reasons cited by Employees for Rejecting Relocation Category Percentage Children 47% Spousal/Partner Career 65% Schooling 20% Aging Parents/Elder Care 21% Safety Issues 4% Weather 3% Cultural Issues 5% Not a Promotion 13% Compensation Concerns 54% Other 21% Source: Canadian Employee Relocation Council, 2005 Employee Relocation Policy Survey Figure 19: Factors Used to Determine Success or Failure of a Relocation Category Percentage Management Request/ Requirement 69% Early Repatriation 38% Succession Planning 41% Missed Objectives 38% Employee Request 19% Cost Overruns 33% Future Global Leadership Development Incomplete Projects 24% 24% Negative impact on relationships and workplace culture 48% Other 19% Other 7% Source: Canadian Employee Relocation Council, 2005 Employee Relocation Policy Survey Source: Canadian Employee Relocation Council, 2005 Employee Relocation Policy Survey The number one reason why employees reject relocation is because of their spousal or partner’s career. Figure 18 cites additional reasons such as compensation concerns and children. Domestically, Western and Central Canada account for the bulk of all relocations. The U.S. and Europe account for the majority of international relocations. The following breaks down relocation facts into the three categories of domestic, cross-border and international relocations. — Domestic: Average cost ranges from $40,000 to $60,000 to relocate a homeowner in Canada. The major obstacles while relocating include family and housing issues. Employees primarily cite family issues as the main reason when rejecting a move. 30 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market — Cross border: Results confirmed that organizations doing business between Canada and the U.S. transfer management and technical staff regularly. Also, average cost ranges from $50,000 to $100,000, with 15% of reported relocations exceeding $100,000. — International Relocation: 52% of Canadian businesses relocate employees internationally and average cost can vary on a country to country basis. Results from the survey also revealed that over 75% of organizations do not have processes in place for assessing how successful their employee relocations have been. In actuality, most organizations have no formal measures in Branham Group Inc. place and purely judge the success of relocation by getting employees’ opinions about the process. Out of all the companies who do have evaluation processes for relocations, 77% experience a success rate ranging from 76% to 100%. Figure 19 displays factors used in reviewing relocation procedures. Employers reported the biggest factor in analyzing a relocation of one or more employees is assessing how they affect relationships and the workplace culture at the new location. RESEARCH SOURCES: Information on Canadian firms’ experiences with relocation activities is lacking in general across all industry segments (ICT and non-ICT). Further investigation and analysis through primary research efforts are required to determine relocation activity patterns and the impact they have on an ICT firms’ hiring practices (as well as on IT job seekers). Role of Internationally Educated Professionals (IEP) Canada receives between 220,000 and 245,000 IEPs every year, who are highly skilled and their role has proved to be important for the Canadian economy.40 In 2004, Canada’s immigration levels were twice that of the United States. Figures reveal IEPs were responsible for 70%41 of net labour force growth from 1991 to 2001, and 80% of all IEPs arriving during this period resided in Canada’s five largest urban centres, comprising Toronto, Montreal, Ottawa, Calgary, and Vancouver. It is predicted that this group of employees will be the single most important source of labour force growth in the country by 2011.42 Figure 20: Managers’ and Labour Leaders’ Views on the Importance of Hiring New Immigrants as a Way of Addressing Labour and Skills Needs 100% When it comes to hiring IEPs, the Canadian IT sector employs the highest percentage of IEPs compared to all other job occupations in Canada.42 IEPs and non-permanent residents made up approximately 10% of the IT workforce in 2004.43 However, it is difficult to directly relate the productivity of IEPs to the views of managers and labour leaders when it comes to the question of hiring new IEPs as a solution to address an organization’s labour and skill requirements. The Workplace Partners Panel has tried to address this issue with their 2005 Viewpoint Leadership Survey and Figure 20 displays some of their findings with regards to how important managers and labour leaders view the role of IEPs in Canada. As the figure shows, there was not a significant portion of managers from either the private or public sectors who found the need or importance of hiring new IEPs as a way of addressing labour and skills requirements. About half the managers surveyed (combining results from both private and public sectors) indicated that they find it “not important” when it came to hiring IEPs. Organizations’ managers from urban centres, who get a disproportionate share of IEPs, also reported that they don’t’ find it important to hire new IEPs in addressing skilled labour shortages. As Figure 21 details, 51% of managers from the private sector and 38% of managers from the public sector, both from urban centres with populations over 500,000, agreed that they didn’t find it important to hire IEPs in their organizations.44 More and more managers agree with this viewpoint when analyzing organizations in communities with smaller populations of 30,000 or less (67% of public sector managers and 70% of private sector managers). Figure 21: Managers’ Views on the Importance of Hiring New Immigrants as a Way of Addressing Labour and Skills Needs, by Size of Population Where Organization is Located. % saying hiring new immigrants is “not important” in addressing the organizations’ human resources and skill requirements. 90% 100% 80% 90% 70% 60% Not Important 56 40% 30% 20% 49 48 50% 48 36 36 16 Very Important 32 29 15 Somewhat Important 20 15 80% 70 70% 60% 50% 67 51 55 45 38 40% 34 100K to 499K 30 to 99K 30% Less than 30K or rural 20% 10% 500,000+ 60 10% 0% Private Sector Managers Private Sector Labour Leaders Public Sector Managers Public Sector Labour Leaders Source: Workplace Partners Panel, Viewpoints 2005 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market 0% Private Sector Managers Public Sector Managers Source: Workplace Partners Panel, Viewpoints 2005 Branham Group Inc. 31 Table 13: Managers’ and Labour Leaders’ Views on Barriers Relating to the Hiring of New Immigrants44 Barriers Private Sector Managers Public Sector Managers Canada’s immigration selection system does not focus enough on the skills/occupations required by my organization. 49% 42% 61% 54% Immigrants often lack the necessary language and communication skills to be hired by my organization. 58% 57% 68% 59% In my organization, immigrants often face barriers to employment because their foreign credentials are not recognized by regulatory bodies. 44% 45% 53% 55% There are not enough resources and services available to my organization to help assess immigrants’ education and credentials. 50% 51% 70% 66% Immigrants’ lack of Canadian work experience is a major problem for my organization when considering new job candidates. 38% 42% 48% 35% In my organization, immigrants are more likely to require additional training than new employees who grew up in Canada. 33% 55% 51% 57% Compared to new employees who grew up in Canada, immigrants have a difficult time adjusting to the workplace culture of my organization. 30% 33% 48% 39% There should be more community supports to help integrate immigrants into the workforce and the community. 61% 77% 72% 76% All these findings collectively suggest that immigration or hiring new IEPs is not a sought after solution for many employers in Canada. Perceived barriers and challenges related with the recruiting of internationally trained workers may be a major reason behind this generalization. These perceived barriers and challenges include areas of language, work experience and difficulties matching foreign qualifications. The federal government reported that although IEPs may have higher education levels, they more often have a difficult time in the job market and suffer as a result of their education not being recognized. In 2001, Statistics Canada stated that about 70% of newcomers trying to enter the workforce confronted at least one problem regarding either transferability of foreign qualifications, lack of a contact network or language issues.40 32 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Private Sector Labour Leaders Public Sector Labour Leaders Table 13 reveals the views of managers and labour leaders in Canada pointing out barriers when it comes to hiring new IEPs. As expected, more than half the managers and labour leaders from both the public and private sector indicate “immigrants often lack the necessary language and communication skills to be hired by their organization”. A little less than half also pointed out those IEPs applying for a job in their organization often face barriers to employment because their “foreign credentials were not recognized by regulatory bodies”. Other major barriers pointed out by managers include the “lack of resources and services available to help organizations assess immigrants international education and credential levels” and the fact that IEPs lack Canadian work experience. Branham Group Inc. These challenges, confirmed by the managers and labour leaders of Canadian organizations, have also been raised previously in surveys by the Workplace Partners Panel in 2002, as adequate measurements have not been introduced yet to solve this problem.45 The Canadian Career Development Foundation has also investigated the barriers IEPs face in the Canadian IT Industry in its 2005 study, “Researching Careers in Information Technology for Immigrants” and points out the following key points in confronting these barriers:42 — Recognizing foreign credentials has been the major barrier for IEPs looking for employment in the IT industry. Canadians need to have a standard procedure in assessing foreign talent and skills; moreover, Canada should look to assess IEPs before they enter the country to integrate them more effectively and efficiently into the industry. — IEPs often face inequitable recruitment methods and hiring practices which can lead to barriers to career advancement. Canadian companies need to realize that a culture of inclusion in the workplace can motivate highly skilled immigrant employees to contribute for the advancement of the company. — Canada needs to ensure that bridging programs are in place allowing IEPs to take the necessary courses to gain required credentials and upgrade their technical skills. Bridge programs further enable IEPs to improve their language and communications skills, and it also allows them to learn about the typical Canadian work environment. — The Internet needs to be fully utilized by recruiters as it is a valuable tool for IEPs. Other information resources such as fact sheets, workshops and work practice programs also need to be in place for IEPs before and after they enter Canada. The Canadian Career Development Foundation also recommends a systems approach as the key to reducing or removing the barriers IEPs face in Canada. The systems approach should ensure participation of all stakeholders in working together to inform IEPs “what is available, where it is available and who will recognize programs they complete”.42 This approach, however, requires significant leadership and collaboration but will prepare and benefit Canada in the future. March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market RESEARCH SOURCES: It is difficult, in general, to measure the productivity of IEPs when determining their successes and failures upon hiring them and investigation and analysis needs to be conducted to address this area. Furthermore, 2006 IT IEP workforce information is not available yet and as such, information up to 2005 was used. Succession Planning The need for succession planning has emerged over the years with the realization that baby boomers are approaching retirement age. Other major reasons for developing succession plans include employees who choose career changes and those who ‘stop out’.24 Stop outs are temporary withdrawals from job employment for reasons that include furthering education, health problems, legal problems, or other personal problems that need to be dealt with. A survey conducted by Robert Half Technology revealed that a third of the companies who participated did not do much when it came to succession planning.46 At the same time however, another study by ITBusiness.ca reported that two-thirds of IT executives have adopted succession planning so that when they lose a senior IT professional, they have a process in place that makes sure there is a “continuity in leadership”.46 Based on these studies it is clear that in some cases succession planning is being assessed, but to what extent across the ICT sector in Canada, is still unclear. Succession plans being implemented by organizations include Management Training, Mentoring Programs, and Soft Skills. Declining enrollments further signify the need for succession planning as the value of current IT employees increases with the increasing shortage of IT skilled employees. Forward-thinking managers are also now focusing on hiring employees not just for fulfilling short-term needs but for long-term goals as well. However, there is still a lack of available information when it comes to exit patterns and more investigation needs to be done in this area so that IT executives can better understand and plan for the future. RESEARCH SOURCES: Although some research has been done with regards to succession planning, there remain several grey areas with regards to exit patterns, particularly in the ICT industry. Information regarding methods adopted by companies to prevent, as well as confront, these challenges is also lacking and requires further investigation through primary research. Branham Group Inc. 33 Training The training gap between employee upgrade skill goals and the employers’ perceived need or willingness to invest in upgrade training is a cause for serious concern for the future of the industry. Furthermore, as small to medium enterprises (SMEs) become increasingly dependent on technological developments the demand for skilled and specialized talent has intensified excessively. Other significant factors, such as declining enrollments in information technology related programs and existing barriers for IEPs looking to integrate into the workforce, raise the need for the government to combine forces with the industry and academia in laying out a plan for the future while competing in the emerging battleground for global talent. Demand for IT Resources Amongst the G7 countries, Canada had the greatest employment growth for the period 1997 to 2004.47 Today, the IT unemployment rate is estimated as low as 2% compared to a national average of 6.1%. With indications of such a tight labour market, it is difficult to see how the ICT industry will fulfill its IT resource demands. From January 2000 to July 2006, demand for IT employment grew by approximately 2.5% annually, a rate significantly higher than the Canadian economy average of 1.8%. IT employment growth is projected to continue to grow on a 2.3% annual basis until 2010.24 According to population projections from 2006 to 2056 by Statistics Canada, Canada will not have enough workers to run and support continued living standard improvements at the national growth rate of 1.85%. Such shortages can lead the Canadian economy to have stagnant economic growth and slow improvement in living standards. This also projects Canada to have significant shortage of 100,000 workers by 2009 for all industries (ICT and nonICT). Furthermore, at the current rate, Canada is expected to have a shortage of one million workers in general by 2016.48 Specific to the IT workforce, the Canadian ICT industry, educational institutions and the government all need to get involved in planning a more secure future for the ICT industry and Canada’s economy. Universities and ICT industry associations need to target students now, swaying them to enroll in computer science and other IT related programs. Companies like EDS and Nortel are already collaborating with various colleges and universities in taking a proactive approach to dealing with the skills shortage issue on the horizon.49 34 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market The issue however, is that the ICT sector is being hit by a “double whammy.” The Information Technology Association of Canada (ITAC) is one of many groups that believe this. Specifically, aging baby boomers, along with the false perception among students that “there are no jobs in IT” are intensifying the problem of IT skill shortages in Canada. According to Statistics Canada, employees in the 65-plus age group will increase to 30% in 2056 from 15% in 2006 (not exclusive to the ICT labour market). The effect will be felt over the next decade as growth of labour supply decreases while baby boomers reach retirement age. Furthermore, the situation is likely to get worse before getting any better as it typically takes four years of post secondary education to effectively and fully prepare students to compete in such a sophisticated and educated labour force. But predicting demand and specific skill sets that will be required can be difficult. Specifically, unexpected changes in technology such as new introductions and increasing popularity of existing technologies (increasing deployment and installed bases) can alter the demand for skills. Other factors to consider include changes in IT spending by IT user industries, changes in net exports for products and services, and changes in investment for R&D in the IT industry.24 IDC Canada has made some predictions with respect to growth in specific IT areas, including:50 — The IT Security market grew by 16.6% from 2004 to 2005 and spending in this area was estimated to be $949 million in 2005. These figures indicate that IT security is still a top priority among Canadian organizations as the market for IT security hardware, software, and services is predicted to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 14.2% and is expected to reach $1.8 billion by 2010. — The System Infrastructure Software (SIS) market is an integral part for the overall growth of the software market in Canada. Identity and access management along with secure content management will continue to outpace all other software markets and is expected to drive SIS at a 10.5% Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) until 2010. — The Telecommunications Services Sector market grew to revenues of $34.4 billion in 2005 based on a CAGR of 3.6% and it is predicted to continue to grow at a 3.9% CAGR until 2010. This will include spending of $41.7 billion driven both by wireless and non-voice (data) services. Branham Group Inc. — With an increase of $10 million in 2005, the Hosted Application Management market grew up to approximately $101 million at 11.0% CAGR. The forecasted CAGR for this market is 9.0% from 2006 to 2010. Figure 22: Distribution of the IT Workforce Across 25 Occupations (Private and Public Sectors) 18.0 Computer Programmer — The SME market comprises 25% of the total Canadian IT market and significant growth is predicted. Driven by factors such as increased spending on software, hardware and services, the small businesses market is expected to grow to $4.6 billion from 2005 to 2010. Similarly, the medium businesses market is expected to grow beyond $6.5 billion during the same time period. 13.9 12.4 Info Sys BA/Consult 19.2 9.9 Software Engineer 2.5 8.0 User Support Tech 15.9 7.8 Comp/Info Sys Man These predictions and current employment trends can be used to help narrow the scope for potential skills demand in the future. Current IT employment distributions and the associated skills within these occupations can help provide indicators towards the skills that will be in demand in the near future. Specifically, high density, in terms of employment numbers, for IT occupations will typically facilitate a higher demand for resources. Conversely, low density IT occupations will facilitate a lower demand for human resources. 6.5 7.0 8.0 IT Project Manager 4.0 Comp/Network Oper 5.5 3.3 Comp/Tele Hard Eng 1.5 Web Design/Dev 3.2 Net Sys/Data Com eng 3.1 2.6 5.4 2.8 Correlating IT occupation density with the necessary job skills provides an assessment to what skill sets are likely to be in demand for the near future. Figure 22 illustrates the distribution of the IT workforce (as of April 2005) by 25 of the main IT occupation categories. Private and Public sectors are broken out to provide insight into the different skill requirements for these sectors. Table 14 provides the same 25 IT occupation breakout, outlining the specific job title and essential skills typically associated with employers’ expectations for fulfilling these occupations. In other words, these are some of the criteria a good resume has for a specific IT job. 25 Occupations Graphic Design 0.6 2.6 1.7 Info Sys QA Analyst 2.5 Data Analyst 4.2 2.3 E/E Eng Techno/Techni na 2.0 E/E Eng (exc. Comp Eng) 0.9 1.9 2.2 Data Admin IT Trainer 1.4 0.8 Tech Writer 1.4 0.4 1.2 Sys Test Tech na 1.0 1.6 Sys Secure Analyst 0.8 Inter Media Dev 0.2 e-com Manager 0.7 0.5 Illustrator 0.6 0.1 Web Technician 0.4 na Private Sector Public Sector na Not Available 0.3 Systems Auditor na 0 5 10 15 20 Percent of Employees Source: The Information Technology (IT) Labour Market in Canada: Results From the National Survey of IT Occupations, ICTC, April 2005. March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. 35 Table 14: Skill Requirements for IT Occupations51 Title 36 NOC Comp. and Tech. Knowledge Computer Programmer 2174 Flash, Adobe Photoshop, Windows Environment, Unix and Linux. Problem solving, working with others, oral communication and critical thinking. Information Systems Analysts and Consultants 2171 Windows, database software, Word processing software and networking software. Problem solving, working with others, oral communication, critical thinking, job task planning and organizing, decision making, reading and writing skills, continuous learning, finding information, document use and numerics. Software Engineer 2173 Software development, networking software, programming languages such as SQL, C++, C and Java as well as knowledge of MS Windows and Linux operating systems. Problem solving, working with others, oral communication, computer use, critical thinking, job task planning and organizing, reading and writing skills. User Support Technician 2282 Windows, Internet and hardware. Problem solving, working with others, oral communication, reading text, critical thinking, finding information and continuous learning. Comp/Information System Manager 0213 Problem solving, working with others, oral communication, reading text, critical thinking, finding information and continuous learning. Computer use, problem solving, oral communication, working with others, job task planning and organizing, critical thinking, decision making, reading text, writing, finding information, document use, continuous learning, significant use of memory and numerics. IT Project Manager 0213 Problem solving, working with others, oral communication, reading text, critical thinking, finding information and continuous learning. Computer use, problem solving, oral communication, working with others, job task planning and organizing, critical thinking, decision making, reading text, writing, finding information, document use, continuous learning, significant use of memory and numerics. Computer and Network Operators and Web Technicians 2281 Computer and Network Operators and Web Technicians Problem solving, computer use, oral communication, working with others, continuous learning, critical thinking, decision making, reading text and job task planning and organizing. Comp/Tele Hardware Engineer 2147 HTML, C, C++, Java Script, LAN, WAN, TCP/IP, Ethernet, MS Windows 95/98/NT/2000, environment – Client/Server and MS Exchange. Problem solving, oral communication, working with others, critical thinking, reading text and decision making. Web Design/Developer 2175 TML editing software, Internet; PHP, XML, Adobe Photoshop, Flash, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Acrobat Reader, Java Script and ASP. Computer use, problem solving, oral communication, working with others, critical thinking, reading text, job task planning and organizing, writing, finding information and decision making. Network Systems/Data Computer Engineer 2147 HTML, C, C++, Java Script, LAN, WAN, TCP/IP, Ethernet, MS Windows 95/98/NT/2000, environment – Client/Server and MS Exchange. Problem solving, oral communication, working with others, critical thinking, reading text and decision making. Graphic Designers and Illustrators 5241 Photoshop, Illustrator, QuarkXpress and Corel Draw. Computer use, working with others, oral communication, reading text, problem solving, job task planning and organizing, critical thinking, continuous learning, decision making, finding information and writing. March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Essential Skills Branham Group Inc. Table 14: Skill Requirements for IT Occupations51 Title NOC Comp. and Tech. Knowledge Information Systems QA Analyst 2171 Windows, database software, Word processing software and networking software. Problem solving, working with others, oral communication, critical thinking, job task planning and organizing, decision making, reading text, writing, continuous learning, finding information, document use and numerics. Database Analysts and Data Administrators 2172 Software, MS Access, MS SQL Server, Oracle/PL-SQL/CASE/Developer 2000/Ingres and data Warehouse. Computer use, problem solving, working with others, oral communication, critical thinking, job task planning and organizing, reading text, numeracy, finding information, writing, document use and decision making. E/E Engineer Technology/ Technician N/A N/A N/A E/E Engineer (exc. Comp. Eng.) N/A N/A N/A Database Analysts and Data Administrators 2172 Software, MS Access, MS SQL Server, Oracle/PL-SQL/CASE/Developer 2000/Ingres and data Warehouse. Computer use, problem solving, working with others, oral communication, critical thinking, job task planning and organizing, reading text, numerics, finding information, writing, document use and decision making. IT Trainer 4131 N/A Oral communication, working with others, problem solving, reading text, writing, computer use, job task planning and organizing and critical thinking. Technical Writer 5121 N/A N/A Systems Test Technician 2283 N/A N/A Systems Secure Analyst 2171 Windows, database software, Word processing software and networking software. Problem solving, working with others, oral communication, critical thinking, job task planning and organizing, decision making, reading text, writing, continuous learning, finding information, document use and numerics. Interactive Media Developer 2174 Flash, Adobe Photoshop, Windows Environment, Unix and Linux. Problem solving, working with others, oral communication and critical thinking. E-com Manager N/A N/A N/A Illustrator 5142 Photoshop, Illustrator, QuarkXpress and Corel Draw. Computer use, working with others, oral communication, reading text, problem solving, job task planning and organizing, critical thinking, continuous learning, decision making, finding information and writing. Web Technician 2281 Computer and Network Operators and Web Technicians Problem solving, computer use, oral communication, working with others, continuous learning, critical thinking, decision making, reading text and job task planning and organizing. Systems Auditors 2171 Windows, database software, Word processing software and networking software. Problem solving, working with others, oral communication, critical thinking, job task planning and organizing, decision making, reading text, writing, continuous learning, finding information, document use and numerics. March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Essential Skills Branham Group Inc. 37 RESEARCH SOURCES: 2006 IT workforce information is not yet available and the next census will not be released until March 2008. As such, 2005 information was used in addition to IT workforce information up to the third quarter of 2006. Furthermore, although information on skill requirements by job type is readily available, information on skill requirements by industry vertical is lacking. Further investigation through primary research is required to determine the different IT skill requirements amongst jobs from one industry vertical compared to another. The National Survey of IT Occupations, April 2005, by ICTC provides the most up-to-date information regarding the division of IT jobs by public and private sectors and is used in this section. Training and Education Canada spends more on education than any other country in the world (across all industry sectors). This correlates well with the fact that Canada has one of the highest percentages of individuals who have at least a college or university education. A continuously growing and evolving Canadian economy requires a high-caliber and skilled workforce. Canada’s universities have played a major role as it relates to the development of needed IT skill sets for all industries. An estimated 41%52 of those employed in the ICT sector or 48% of those employed in IT related positions across all industry sectors have at least a university degree, more than double the national average of 22%. An additional 27% of IT employees are graduates from a community college or Collège d’enseignement général et professionnel (CEGEP).20 In all, about 40,000 students graduate in Canada every year in IT related programs such as mathematics, engineering, and pure and applied sciences.1 38 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Figure 23: Education Level for All IT Occupations: March 2000 and September 2006 40% Employed Labour Force (%) In general, the skill requirements for these occupations can be categorized into seven broad categories including: leadership and management skills; interpersonal and teamwork skills; communication skills; problem solving skills; computer skills; technical, professional, or job specific skills; and basic skills such as literacy and numeracy. These skill sets are also commonly identified as areas where additional training or skill upgrades are required. 35% 33.6 30.5 30% 27.2 26.2 25% Mar-00 Sep-06 20% 15% 16.2 15.9 10% 13.4 14.5 7.7 5% 5.6 5.1 4.3 0% Secondary Trades Community University Bachelor’s Graduate Education certificate college certificate degree degree or or CEGEP, below (Masters lower diploma etc bachelors or Phd) Level of Education Source: ICTC, Labour Force Survey, 2006 Broken down amongst various IT occupations (illustrated in Figure 24), software and computer services have the highest percentage of employees with university degrees (52%) followed by manufacturing. The percentage of manufacturing employees with university degrees varies depending on the nature of the manufacturing. Specifically, communications equipment manufacturing is the highest with 47%, followed by computer equipment manufacturing (42%), electronic component manufacturing (37%), and finally instruments manufacturing (27%). When compared to 2004, all of these segments, with the exception of the communications equipment manufacturing sector, experienced an increase in the number of workers with degrees; the highest being the computer equipment and software and computer services industries. Branham Group Inc. Figure 24: Percentage of Workers with a University Degree by Major ICT Industry, 2005 Software & Computer Services 52.4 Communication Equipment Mfg 47.4 Computer Equipment Mfg 42.3 Electronic Component Mfg Technology Accreditation Council (ISTAC) is the lead Council at CIPS which formulates and maintains the standards for undergraduate degrees in areas like Computer Information Systems (CIS), Information Management (IM), Information Technology (IT), Information Resource Management (IRM), and Management Information Systems (MIS). Together with CSAC, they are responsible for the review and accreditation of IT related baccalaureate programs in Canadian universities. Their roles are significant as employers are likely to exercise preference for a complete educationally qualified degree. 37.0 Communications Services* RESEARCH SOURCES: 2006 IT workforce data relating to training and education information is not yet available. As such, 2005 information was used in addition to IT workforce information up to the third quarter of 2006. 28.0 Instruments Mfg 27.2 Total ICT Sector 40.6 All Canadaian Industries Need for Additional Training or Upgrading 22.3 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 * Including Cable and Other Program Distribution Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, 2005 In addition to educational institutions continual curriculum updates to meet the changing skill demands of the IT industry, organizations such as the Canadian Information Processing Society (CIPS) are trying to set standards for IT professionals through certification and accreditation. CIPS is a non-profit organization working in conjunction with educational institutions. Specifically, CIPS councils, such as the Computer Science Accreditation Council (SCAC) and the Information Systems and Technology Accreditation Council (ISTAC), are responsible for the review and accreditation of baccalaureate university programs, helping to make sure graduating IT professionals meet the necessary criteria for tomorrow’s job IT requirements. Presently, the Computer Science Accreditation Council (CSAC) is the lead council in CIPS which formulates and maintains high educational standards for Canadian universities offering undergraduate degrees in IT related programs such as Computer Science and Software Engineering. Similarly, the Information Systems and March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market While Canadian education institutions are working to prepare students to meet the technical skill requirements for the ICT industry, there is a serious concern amongst managers and labour leaders in Canada regarding the skills shortage issue the country is going to face in the years to come. Even today, 44% of managers in the Canadian private sector experience an occupational shortage in their firms and 10% are already anticipating a shortage of skilled labour in the next two years at least.53 Complicating the matter further is the fact that employers are also looking beyond just the technical requirements, and consider business skills a key need. Employers have stressed that interpersonal communications, teamwork, project management, and leadership are critical in addition to technical skills; and rightly so. In a study performed by the ICTC, 85% of employees indicated they found personal/interpersonal communication skills very important at their job. 58% indicated that general IT skills are significant and 45% stressed the importance of business skills which includes time management, planning, and project management. Branham Group Inc. 39 In addition to these skills, employers are also looking for experience (illustrated in Figure 25 and Figure 26), something that is difficult to find in recent graduates. In fact, business level experience appears to far outweigh the need for relevant technical and interpersonal skills. Effectively, IT workers who are most likely to be hired and have the greatest career potential have the “total package”. These employees provide a combination of technology skills, business skills, subject matter expertise, strategic thinking, a leadership mentality, interpersonal and communication skills, organizational and project management skills, and personal skills such as entrepreneurialism, creativity, initiative, and flexibility. Predictably, these employees are in short supply but are compensated accordingly.20 4.0 Average of 3.2 3.5 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.0 The ability for graduates to meet these employer expectations may lie in creating and expanding co-op programs and internships. These programs provide students with business experience in parallel with educational curriculum, allowing students to exercise new theories in a practical manner. While these programs do exist, IT companies can afford only a small amount of co-op students every year without the aid of government funding to compensate for potential lost productivity. 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 Provincial and territorial Public Administration 7 NAICS Federal Government Public Administration Computer Systems Design and Related Services Professional, Scientific and Technical Services (excluding 5415) Finance and Insurance Information and Cultural Industries 0.0 Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturers Importance of Experience vs. Education Figure 25: Importance of Experience vs. Education When hiring, by 7 NAICS (Private & Public Sectors) Surprisingly, with employers’ stringent expectations for new recruits, many existing IT employees also need more training when it comes to technical and soft skills. A survey conducted by the Canadian Workplace Partners Panel found that “too many IT workers are lacking in skills such as leadership, interpersonal and/or business management.”53 In all, respondents felt upgrading current skill levels of employees was the most important action that could and would need to be taken in meeting skill requirements for the near future. Source: The Information Technology (IT) Labour Market in Canada: Results From the National Survey of IT Occupations, ICTC, April 2005 Figure 26: Factors Making It Difficult for Employers to Hire Staff, by 11 Regions (Private Sector) 90% 79.4 Percentage of Employers 80% 74.2 70% 60% 73.9 71.2 61.8 64.5 57.5 65.7 62.9 61.2 60.0 56.5 50% 41.2 40% 30% 27.3 24.1 26.0 20% 10% Relevant Experience 33.7 10.4 8.1 22.6 16.6 12.0 13.0 9.1 15.6 22.4 11.8 14.5 12.0 16.217.3 19.5 14.0 9.4 17.119.0 Better Location 0% Vanvouver BC and Territories Calgary and Edmonton Prairies Toronto Ontario OttawaGatineau Montreal Quebec Halifax Atlantic Hiring Factors by 11 Regions Source: The Information Technology (IT) Labour Market in Canada: Results From the National Survey of IT Occupations, ICTC, April 2005 40 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. Relevant Education Average Figure 27: Skill Sets of Current Employees in Need of Improvement (Private Sector Managers’ Response) Communication skills Leadership and management skills 16% 56% 17% Problem Solving skills 57% 21% Interpersonal and teamwork skills Technical, professional, or job specific skills 28% 52% 20% 26% 55% 25% Computer skills 27% 25% 57% 29% 56% Basic skills such as literacy and numeracy 53% 0 10 20 30 No improvement needed 18% 40 50 15% 37% 60 70 Some improvement needed 80 90 10% 100 These views are also substantiated by a study conducted by ICTC, finding that an average of 25% of private sector respondents indicated that they need more training. This is despite the fact that 40% of the surveyed employees had formal job training and 69% have had informal training in the last 12 months. In the survey, thirty-one specific topic areas were investigated ranging from skills like leadership, to computer skills such as systems maintenance. In terms of core IT skills, respondents felt they needed more training with respect to programming skills (41%), design (36%), systems administration (31%) and system operation (30%). In addition to IT skill sets, respondents also felt that they needed additional training for soft skills such as project management (39%), people management (31%), time management (30%), and leadership (29%).31 Thankfully, many IT employees typically have a sustainable desire to continually learn. Much improvement needed RESEARCH SOURCES: Because 2006 IT workforce information relating to additional training requirements is not available yet, 2005 information was used. Source: Workplace Partners Panel, Viewpoints 2005 Figure 28: Skill Sets of Current Employees in Need of Improvement (Private Sector Labour Leaders’ Response) Leadership and management skills 9% Communication skills 9% Problem Solving skills 36% 55% 39% 11% Interpersonal and teamwork skills Technical, professional, or job specific skills 52% 50% 10% 54% 11% Computer skills 39% 37% 60% 20% Basic skills such as literacy and numeracy 60% 33% 0 10 20 30% 30 No improvement needed 20% 51% 40 50 60 Some improvement needed 70 80 17% 90 100 Much improvement needed Source: Workplace Partners Panel, Viewpoints 2005 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. 41 Conclusions Thanks to media coverage of the ICT “dot bomb” period, many negative perceptions have formed about job availability and stability in the ICT sector. And although the ICT industry is thriving, having surpassed the employment and unemployment numbers of the previous boom, these perceptions persist, culminating in a noticeable decline in educational enrollment for IT related fields. Additionally, the labour workforce is aging, potentially adding additional skill shortage issues to the mix. Compared to the national average, the IT labour force is relatively young. As a result, the ICT industry does not expect to experience the retirement crunch until later, as compared to other industries. This retirement crunch is also potentially being delayed by provinces having eliminated or eliminating mandatory retirement. The issue is, however, that because other industries will potentially experience their retirement crunches sooner, it provides them with a luxury of first crack at the youth entering the educational system, potentially increasing the deficit for graduates in IT related fields later on. For example, to attract youth to the healthcare industry, the government of Ontario announced on May 8th 2006, that it will guarantee every nursing graduate in Ontario a full-time job in the province, starting in 2007. While the ICT industry currently has a low unemployment rate which might be expected to attract youth to the IT field, it is not an isolated case. Other industries are also experiencing potential labour shortages. For example, a Manpower survey of 33,000 employers (not exclusive to the ICT industry) across 23 countries and territories in late January 2006 was conducted with respect to talent shortages. The results revealed that 40 percent of employers worldwide are having difficulty filling positions due to lack of suitable talent available in their markets. Employers having the most difficulty finding the right people to fill jobs are those in Mexico (78% reporting shortages), Canada (66%), and Japan (58%). The top 10 jobs that employers are having difficulty filling across the 23 countries and territories surveyed include (ranked in order): Sales Representatives; Engineers; Technicians (primarily production/operations, engineering and maintenance); Production Operators; Skilled Manual Trades (primarily carpenters, welders, and plumbers); IT Staff (primarily programmers/developers); Administrative Assistants/Personal Assistants; Drivers; Accountants; and Management/Executives. Specific to Canada, the top 10 jobs that employers are having difficulty filling, ranked in order, include: Sales Representatives; Customer Services Representatives/Customer Support; Engineers; Drivers; Mechanics; Laborers; Chefs/Cooks; Electricians; Skilled Trades; and Nurses. Of the 1,000 Canadian respondents, 42 March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market 66% indicated difficulty filling positions and 34% indicated no difficulty filling positions. There were no indications of actual shortage numbers. As indicated, difficulties in filling positions are not limited to the ICT industry or IT related employment in non-ICT companies. However, even with 66% of Canadian respondents indicating issues filling positions, employers still hold out when looking for new “total package” employees. The issue is that as employers hold out for the perfect new employee, existing employees may be strained by increased work loads when trying to maintain expected outputs. Specifically, existing employees could potentially see extended hours in efforts to address the additional work loads caused by lack of personnel. This also has the potential to increase burnout rates, increasing turnover and leaves of absence, exacerbating the problem. Admittedly, today’s unfilled IT positions are related more to new technology and skill requirements rather than offsetting retirees or other exits. Technology advancements are reducing demand for some jobs and eliminating routine jobs and once in-demand skills, potentially leaving employees jobless. For some time now, Canadians have been hearing that future generations will have several different jobs, even careers, in the course of their working life. This trend only continues to grow stronger as time passes. Both employees and employers must take steps to ensure they capitalize on all available opportunities for retooling and retraining. Today, hiring managers are looking for the most talented employees that provide an attractive mix of soft skills and knowledge of business fundamentals, familiarity with the latest developments, on-the-job experience, track records of successful projects, etc. Employers want new personnel with the ability to immediately contribute to the bottom line. They are having trouble finding this either through new graduates or in the current pool of available talent, which continues to shrink. At the same time, employers seem unwilling to make the necessary investments in the workforce to develop the skills they are looking for, addressing some of the disparity between the kinds of skills they need and the kinds of workers actually available. While some employers do provide access to training materials to help maintain existing employee skill sets, many no longer send employees to offsite corporate training centers for several weeks. Instead, training is offered at night, on weekends or over the lunch hour. Unfortunately, employees are ignoring these resources because of the requirement to relinquish their personal time. Too many individuals only choose training if it is during business hours, paid, or tied directly to financial gain. Branham Group Inc. Individuals need to realize that the skills with which they enter the labour force will not necessarily be sufficient to take them through their entire working life. Continuous skills development and training are a requirement. While provision will need to be a joint responsibility of governments and employers, it will be up to individuals to seize every available training and upgrade/retooling opportunity that is offered to them, making themselves suitable candidates in the emerging future world of work. For example, development organizations that may be shifting from C or C++ languages towards the increasingly popular Java language have two choices; retool existing employees or replace them with new employees with Java experience. Based on cost, existing developers are already educated in programming algorithms, development practices, and know the business. It would likely be easier and cheaper to retool these developers with a new programming language than it would be to find and hire Java developers who would need to learn the employer’s specific business. This is supported by the fact that employers rate experience as more important than technical skills. Figure 29: The Talent Supply/Demand Disconnect Finally, there is also a wealth of unemployed or underemployed individuals in other industries who could be retooled for the IT labour force. These include the disaffected jobless youth; single mothers and disabled people; part-time employees who would prefer full-time employment; internationally educated professionals; and early retirement workers needing to subsidize their shrinking pensions. $ per hour Lack of resources creates tension on the high-skills market Oversupply of low-skill resources generates unemployment Men Women Number of people available by skill level Demand for skill Employers should be determining now how to alleviate the problems these shortages may cause and planning to confront the challenges they will face as the trends become more pronounced. Inevitably, there will need to be pain associated with the looming talent shortage before people take the issue seriously and integrate it in their strategic thinking; without pain, it is just too easy to keep putting it off and leaving it for someone else to resolve. Supply of skill Source: “Confronting the Coming Talent Crunch: What’s Next?” – Manpower Similarly, employers need to do all they can to retain potentially useful and adaptable talent, whatever its current role in the organization. With pending skill shortages, employers cannot afford the luxury of eliminating hundreds of employees with obsolete skills one day and taking on hundreds of new employees with the needed skills the next. Instead, employers must give careful and timely thought to retooling and upgrading the skills of soon-to-be redundant or obsolete employees to fill new positions. As previously noted, the IT workforce is highly educated. This labour force has already demonstrated it has the intellectual capacity for retooling. March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market RESEARCH SOURCES: Potential skill shortages are not limited to the ICT industry. While some information is available for existing skill shortages, this information is not ICT specific and is at a high level; granularity into specific numbers of IT skills shortages is not available. Additionally, observations related to the potential for existing skill sets becoming obsolete and as a result the potential for labourers becoming unemployed is anecdotal. Quantitative data is not available, in general or IT specific, to reflect the number of recently or soon to be unemployed due to the obsolescence of skills, down sizing, or otherwise. Even if current data was available, the number of employees expected to become unemployed due to skill obsolescence is difficult to predict based on the ability for personnel to evolve and adapt as technology changes or advances. Similarly, like predicting the potential employment requirements for the demand of new or unexpected technologies, it is difficult to know if current “hot” technologies will quickly fall out of favour for another, thus reducing the need for a defined skill set. Branham Group Inc. 43 Appendix A – Research Sources ICT Vendors Academia Over the course of this assignment, Branham approached several ICT vendors (Software and Professional Services companies) to source additional secondary research not already identified in the public domain. Through these efforts Branham found that most vendors either utilize existing research reports available through public entities, such as Industry Canada, or through paid subscriptions to analysts such as Forrester, IDC, etc. If an organization had completed an internal project (IT skills related), it was not disclosed. Universities and colleges across Canada were contacted to collect information relating to Canadian IT workforce information and trends. Those approached were: IT Associations — University of Winnipeg Leading IT associations from all Canadian provinces were contacted to retrieve IT workforce information for the compilation of this report (with the exception of New Brunswick). These associations included CATA, ITAC Ontario, OCRI, InfoTech Alberta, NATI, ICTAM, ITANS, ITAP, SATA, BCTIA, Technology PEI, RPGTI, Inter LogiQ, and CommuniTech. The following presents the information retrieved from these leading IT organizations: — University of Victoria — University of British Columbia — University of Manitoba — University of New Brunswick — Memorial University of Newfoundland — Acadia University — University of Waterloo — University of Ottawa — University of Carleton — University of Guelph — CATA: In coordination with Monster Canada, the CATA Alliance runs a regularly updated Advanced Technology Index providing information such as top job types searched as well as posted online. — University of PEI — ICTAM: Provided information relating to Manitoba’s ICT sector and workforce needs. — Algonquin College — SATA: Provided information relating to Saskatchewan IT industry current strengths and workforce size. Universities and colleges, in all cases, confirmed they did not have information with regards to IT workforce information and trends, apart from past and current enrollment numbers in IT related programs. In these cases, universities and colleges pointed to annual review reports as well as online institutional analysis links. — BCTIA: Provided information relating to British Columbia’s IT industry strengths, workforce size, projected growth, contribution to Canada’s GDP, and future IT labour market strategies. — OCRI: Provided information relating to Ottawa’s IT industry strengths, workforce size, employee skill sets and education levels. — Technology PEI: Provided information relating to PEI’s small to medium sized IT firms and the province’s current and future labour market strategies. Relevant data from each of the studies provided was used in the compilation of this report. In cases where information was not provided, organizations cited reasons such as they didn’t track such information and/or looked to other organizations, including ICTC, to retrieve related information/data. 44 — Concordia University College of Alberta — University of Alberta March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market — McGill University — University of Regina — CDI Research Institutes Research Institutes across Canada were also contacted to collect information relating to Canadian IT workforce information and trends. Those approached were: — NRC — BC Research — ICTC — NAIT — SAIT — Info-Tech Research Group Branham Group Inc. — CRIM Industry Analysts — CIAR A number of industry analyst sources were investigated for the availability of information pertaining to the Canadian ICT sector and overall employment data. While these organizations do offer reports for purchase, most focused their research exclusively on the US market and did not have data specific to Canada. Those approached included, but were not limited to: — UOIT — RCC Institute of Technology ICTC proved to be a key source of information in the data collection phase of this report. Apart from ICTC, Research Institutes confirmed they did not have information with regards to IT workforce information and trends except for past and current enrollment numbers in IT related programs. — IDC — Forrester — Gartner Government A number of government departments and agencies were investigated for publicly available and relevant information pertaining to IT employment. These included both federal and provincial resources. While several groups were approached and investigated, not all sources provided valuable information. In many cases information was inconsistent, vague, and dated. Additionally, information found in a number of government sources was generally traced back to only a few key groups including Industry Canada (Strategis) and Statistics Canada. Those agencies included, but were not limited to: — Industry Canada including Strategis — Ottawa Economic Development Corporation — Statistics Canada — Services Canada — Human Resources and Social Development Canada — HR for Employers — Job Futures — Job Bank — Invest In Canada — Alberta Advanced Education and Technology — Ministry of Training, Colleges, and Universities — Manitoba Science, Technology, Energy, and Mines March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market — Datamonitor — KnowledgeStorm — Jupiter — Cowles/Simba — Mercer Human Resource Consulting — KPMG IT Staffing Agencies Agencies that focus on staffing IT related skills requirements were investigated for information regarding observed trends or other internal information used in their planning or marketing activities. A few agencies, such as Robert Half Technology and Monster (in conjunction with CATA Alliance) were able to provide information through marketing material and articles. Otherwise, very little formal or structured (non-anecdotal) information was available publicly through these agencies. Media Many articles are available that either focus on, or deal in some manner with, expected skills shortages and current employment trends. Other than those directly related to subscription based analyst reports, many of the articles provided direction to additional sources of information that fell within the other research groups outlined above. Branham Group Inc. 45 Appendix B – References 1 Canadian ICT Sector Profile. (2006, October). Industry Canada, Information Communications Technologies Branch. Retrieved January 2007 from strategis.ic.gc.ca/epic/site/ict-tic.nsf/en/h_it07229e.html. 13 2005 Annual Regional Labour Market Review. (2006, April). Alberta Government. Retrieved January 2007 from www.hre.gov.ab.ca/documents/LMI/LMILFS_2005_aarlmr.pdf. 2 Canadian ICT Sector Profile. (2006, November). Industry Canada, Information Communications Technologies Branch. 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Information and Communications Technology Council. Retrieved January 2007 from www.ictc-ctic.ca/en/ content.aspx?id=426. 19 Carrington, C. (2005, March). Small Business Financing Profiles. Government of Canada. Retrieved January 2007 from dsp-psd.pwgsc.gc.ca/Collection/ Iu188-4-3-2006E.pdf. 20 Ticoll, D. (2005, June). Canada’s Information Technology Labour Market 2005: Issues and Options. Information and Communications and Technology Council. Retrieved January 2007 from www.ictc-ctic.ca/en/content.aspx?id=676 21 ICTC Labour Force Data (2006, September). Information and Communications Technology Council. Retrieved January 2007 from www.ictc-ctic.ca/en/content.aspx?id=426. 4 5 O’Grady, J. (2006). Outlook for Canadian IT Occupational Employment. ICTC & Prism Economics and Analysis, Autumn 2006. 6 O’Grady, J. (2006). Outlook for Canadian IT Occupational Employment. ICTC & Prism Economics and Analysis, Autumn 2006. 7 A Comparison of the SHRC Occupational Skills Profile Model (OSPM) to the HRDC National Occupational Classification (NOC). (2004, March). Information and Communications Technology Council. Retrieved January 2007 from www.ictc-ctic.ca/en/content.aspx?id=676. 8 46 Wolfson, G. W. (2006, April). Analysis of Labour Force Survey Data for the Information Technology Occupations 2000-2005. Information and Communications Technology Council. Retrieved January 2007 from www.ictc-ctic.ca/en/content.aspx?id=676. ICTC Labour Force Data (2006, September). Information and Communications Technology Council. Retrieved January 2007 from www.ictc-ctic.ca/en/content.aspx?id=426. 9 2006 Impact – A Snapshot of British Columbia’s Technology Industry. (2006). BCTIA. Retrieved January 2007 from www.bctia.org/Knowledge/Publications. 10 British Columbia. (2006). Industry Canada. 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(2006, October). Industry Canada, Information Communications Technologies Branch. Retrieved January 2007 from strategis.ic.gc.ca/epic/site/ict-tic.nsf/en/h_it07229e.html. 35 Canadian ICT Sector Profile. (2006, October). Industry Canada, Information Communications Technologies Branch. Retrieved January 2007 from strategis.ic.gc.ca/epic/site/ict-tic.nsf/en/h_it07229e.html. 26 The Right Place to do Business. (2006). Location Canada. Retrieved January 2007 from www.locationcanada.com/art_1.htm. 36 27 Khanna, P. (2006, August 4). Action Needed on Skills Shortage. Business.ca. Retrieved January 2007 from www.itbusiness.ca/it/client/en/ComputerCanada/News. asp?id=40308. Canadian ICT Sector Profile. (2006, October). Industry Canada, Information Communications Technologies Branch. Retrieved January 2007 from strategis.ic.gc.ca/epic/site/ict-tic.nsf/en/h_it07229e.html. 37 A Framework for Developing an Industry Outlook on Human Resources in the IT Labour Market. (2006, December). 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Canada’s Information Technology Labour Market 2005: Issues and Options. Information and Communications Technology Council. Retrieved January 2007 from www.ictc-ctic.ca/en/content.aspx?id=676. 45 Ticoll, D. (2005, June). Canada’s Information Technology Labour Market 2005: Issues and Options. Information and Communications Technology Council. Retrieved January 2007 from www.ictc-ctic.ca/en/content.aspx?id=676. 28 29 30 31 32 University Engineering Enrollment Survey: A Summary of Findings. (2005, April). Information and Communications Technology Council. Retrieved January 2007 from www.ictc-ctic.ca/en/content.aspx?id=676. Sutton, N. (2006, October 17). IT employment index shows growth in consulting. Business.ca. Retrieved January 2007 from www.itbusiness.ca/it/client/en/ ComputerCanada/News.asp?id=40875. Advanced Technology Employment Continues to Soar— Index up 32 percent in Robust Labour Markets. (2006, December 28). CATA Alliance. Retrieved January 2006 from www.cata.ca/pvwc8ae40/print/media_and_events/ press_releases/cata_pr12270601.html. Wolfson, G. W. (2006, April). Analysis of Labour Force Survey Data for the Information Technology Occupations 2000-2005. Information and Communications Technology Council. Retrieved January 2007 from www.ictc-ctic.ca/en/content. aspx?id=676. Wolfson, G. W. (2006, April). Analysis of Labour Force Survey Data for the Information Technology Occupations 2000-2005. Information and Communications Technology Council. Retrieved January 2007 from www.ictc-ctic.ca/en/content. aspx?id=676. 33 Eisner, A. (2001, October 22). EDS VP says Canadian Firms Slower to Adopt Outsourcing. Whir News. Retrieved January 2007 from www.thewhir.com/ features/eds-canada.cfm. 34 Optimizing Value from Outsourcing. (2006, November). CORE. Retrieved January 2007 from www.core-outsourcing.org/index.htm. March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. 47 48 46 Himmelsbach, V. (2006, August 24). IT succession planning: Have you started yet? ITBusiness.ca. Retrieved January 2007 from www.itbusiness.ca/it/client/en/ home/News.asp?id=40428 51 Job and Skill Requirements. (2006). Service Canada. Retrieved January 2007 from www.labourmarketinformation.ca/ standard.asp?ppid=119&lcode=E. 47 The Right Place to do Business. (2006). Location Canada. Retrieved January 2007 from www.locationcanada.com/ art_1.htm. 52 48 Yuen, T. (2006). Shoring up a dwindling workforce. CAmagazine.com. Retrieved January 2007 from www.camagazine.com/3/4/9/9/0/index1.shtml. ICT and Canada: The Future is Here. (2006). Industry Canada, Information Communications Technologies Branch. Retrieved January 2007 from http://www.industrycanada.ca/cmb/welcomeic.nsf/ cea5f9724cd107f485256fc8006a6df9/85256a5d006b 97208525723c0059fdd6!OpenDocument. 53 49 De Guzman, M. (2006, August 18).Teens target for creative recruitment. itWorldCanada. Retrieved January 2007 from www.itworldcanada.com/Pages/ Docbase/ViewArticle.aspx?ID=idgml-c130121e-2597446c-8f2b-1b63e079498a. Skills and Skills Shortages: The Views of Business, Labour, and Public Sector Leaders in Canada. (2006, September). Workplace Partners Panel. Retrieved January 2006 from www.wpp-clbc.ca/files/PDF/ viewpoint2006_clbc_EN_13sept.pdf. 50 Canadian ICT Industry Growth Drives Strategic Business Advantage, According to IDC Canada. (2006, June 5). IDC Canada. Retrieved January 2007 from www.idc.ca/getdoc.jsp?containerId=prCA20199206. March 2007 Current Snapshot of the Canadian ICT Labour Market Branham Group Inc. The Information and Communications Technology Council (ICTC) is a non-profit sectoral council dedicated to creating a strong, prepared and highly educated Canadian ICT industry and workforce. ICTC is a catalyst for change, pushing for innovations that will provide labour market intelligence, life-long professional development and quality education and training for the Canadian ICT industry, educators, governments and the ICT workforce. We forge partnerships that help develop the quantity and quality of ICT professionals needed to improve Canada’s position as a leader in the global marketplace. To achieve its goals, ICTC focuses on four areas that are proven building blocks of a healthy, forward-looking sector: • Skills Definition – defining the skills required to be a professional in the ICT sector. • Labour Market Intelligence – providing up-to-date statistics and analyses of human resource developments in the ICT sector. • Career Awareness – providing programs and tools to explore the career possibilities in Canada’s ICT sector. • Professional Development – dedicated to continuous learning for ICT workers so they can maintain and improve their skills sets and increase their opportunities within the sector. Information and Communications Technology Council (ICTC) 116 Lisgar Street, Suite 300, Ottawa, ON K2P 0C2 Phone: 613-237-8551 Fax: 613-230-3490 Email: [email protected] www.ictc-ctic.ca This project is funded by the Government of Canada’s Sector Council Program.