Investor Presentation
Transcription
Investor Presentation
Investor Presentation July2014 Investment Summary Canada’s largest pure-play office REIT 24.6 million sf of valuable, hard to replicate central business district and suburban office properties CBD properties generate ~70% of NOI Proven Track record of value creation by senior management Strong tenant roster Significant unrealized value-add/repositioning opportunities Well diversified by geography, asset & tenant mix Strong occupancy with staggered lease maturities and rental rate growth A conservative and flexible balance sheet; 47.6% Debt to GBV Investment grade credit rating In our history, we’ve never had a better quality portfolio or a stronger balance sheet with embedded opportunities for growth and value creation. 2 Our Platform & Expertise Strong Depth & Expertise, with a Proven Track Result of Delivering Results Jane Gavan (1998) Chief Executive Officer Mario Barrafato (2001) SVP & Chief Financial Officer Ana Radic (1997) SVP & Chief Operating Officer Our senior management team has worked together for many years - completing over $17 billion of commercial real estate transactions, and establishing a respected presence in major urban markets across the country. 3 Our Platform & Expertise Strong Operational, Development & Leasing Team Kevin Hardy (2011) SVP, Eastern Canada Years of Experience in Commercial Real Estate: 15+ (Oxford Properties) Paul Skeans (2013) SVP, Western Canada Years of Experience in Commercial Real Estate: 16 (GWL Realty & CBRE) Andrew Reial (2012) SVP, GTA & Western Canada Years of Experience in Commercial Real Estate: 15+ (Bentall) Sharon Mitchell (2013) SVP, Operations Management Years of Experience in Commercial Real Estate: 25 (Oxford & BMO) Victor Settino (2013) VP Commercial Development Years of Experience in Commercial Real Estate: 14 (First Gulf Corporation) Samantha Farrell (2012) VP Leasing, Eastern Canada Years of Experience in Commercial Real Estate: 16 (Oxford Properties, CBRE, V&A Properties) John Shields (2013) VP Leasing, Eastern Canada Years of Experience in Commercial Real Estate: 20+ (CBRE) Irene Au (2006) VP Leasing, Western Canada Years of Experience in Commercial Real Estate: 20 (incl. Colliers & O&Y) 90+ years of combined real estate experience amongst our internally-managed senior operational team. 20 Experienced leasing professionals located in over 20 Markets across Canada 4 Our Platform & Expertise Strong Support from Dream Dream’s platform benefits D.un: Transaction & capital markets expertise Track record of development & value creation Synergies realized across broad platform Asset management & development capabilities Dream has… 20 year history in real estate and renewable power developer, manager and investor Completed ~$20 billion of real estate and alternative investment transactions 178 dedicated professionals in all disciplines Extensive network of global JV partners and financial institution support 5 Proven Track Record of Growth & Performance Results of Our 5 Year Capital Allocation Strategy December 2008 March 2014 $12.60 (as at Dec 31, 2008) $29.59 (as at June 25, 2014) $260 million $3.2 billion 1-Year Fwd Consensus AFFO Estimates $2.22 $2.43 AFFO Payout Ratio (on Consensus Estimates) 99% 92% AFFO Multiple 5.7x 12.2x $2.20 / 17.5% $2.24 / 7.6% Unit Price Market Capitalization Annual Distribution / Implied Yield Consensus NAV Estimate Total Assets $25.90 $1.3 billion NOI by Segment: 90% Office / 10% Industrial CBD / Suburban / Other Exposure as a % of NOI Downtown Toronto / Calgary as a % of NOI Top 5 Assets (and % of NOI) Geographic Distribution of NOI Reported Debt to GBV / Term / Wtd. Average Int. Rate 65% / 23% / 12% 19% 5-yr annual equiv. total return 12% Annual $7.6 billion equiv. total 100% Office return since 70% / 30% / 0% inception $34.32 13% Toronto / 39% Calgary 28% Toronto / 17% Calgary Telus Tower (7%); AIR MILES Tower (7%); McFarlane Tower (6%); 840 7th Avenue (5%); Station Tower (5%) Scotia Plaza (10%); 700 De la Gauchètiere (4%); Adelaide Place (4%); IBM Corp. Park (3%); Telus Tower (2%); Calgary (47%); Toronto (13%); Vancouver (9%); NWT (6%); Regina (4%); Sask (3%); SW Ontario (1%); Industrial/Other (17%) GTA (42%); Calgary (19%); YK/Sask/Regina (8%); Edmonton (8%); BC (5%); Montreal (5%); SW Ont. (4%); Ottawa (4%); QC/Atl. Cda (2%); Other (3%) 66% / 5.5 years / 5.83% 47.6% / 4.6 years / 4.22% We have transformed our asset profile over the last five years, while delivering attractive annual returns of 19% to our unitholders. 6 Proven Track Record of Growth & Performance Our AFFO/Unit While De-levering Our Balance Sheet Since the inception of Dream Office REIT in 2003, we generated a total return of 229%. (CAGR of ~12%) Over the past five years, AFFO/unit has grown 17%. While the asset base has grown by $6.3 billion, our reported debt/GBV has declined by almost 20%. Reported AFFO per Unit $2.50 Reported Debt/GBV $2.43 70% $2.40 65% $2.30 60% $2.20 $2.10 66% 55% $2.08 50% $2.00 48% 45% $1.90 40% 2008 2013 Q4/08 Q1/14 7 Proven Track Record of Growth & Performance Value Creation Through Transformational Transactions Scotia Plaza Whiterock Deleveraging Portfolio NCIB Sale of $2.50 Industrial $2.40 Book Value of Total Assets ($millions) $8,000 $7,500 $7,000 $6,500 AFFO Per Unit $5,500 $5,000 $4,000 $3,500 $1,500 $2.10 $2.00 $1.90 Adelaide Place $3,000 $2,000 $2.20 Slate Portfolio Sale of Eastern Portfolio $4,500 $2,500 $2.30 Realex Portfolio $6,000 $1.80 $125M convertible debenture 54 acquisition transactions with Western Canada focus $1.70 $1,000 $1.60 $500 $0 $1.50 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Aug-07 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Book Value We have an exceptional track record of growing our earnings, and the size and quality of our portfolio. We actively manage our portfolio through our pursuit of accretive acquisitions and the sale of non-core assets that no longer fit our strategy. 8 Irreplaceable Portfolio Large Scale & Diversification Q1 2014 - % NOI (excl. Reclassified Properties) CBD 2% Yellowknife 2% TOTAL OWNED SF 24.6 M AVG. TENANT SIZE 11,549 SF CBD 5% CBD 1% 70% AVG. REMAINING LEASE TERM 5 YEARS CBD 1% Saskatoon 3% Calgary 19% 94.2% CBD 3% Edmonton 9% CBD 17% PORTFOLIO OCCUPANCY 57% British Columbia 5% USA 2% % NOI CBD CBD 3% Regina 3% CBD 28% CBD 4% GTA 42% Montreal 5% Quebec City 1% Atlantic Canada 1% CBD 4% 41% SW Ontario 4% CBD 2% Ottawa 4% 84% of our portfolio NOI is derived from “core” markets (GTA, Calgary, Edmonton, Vancouver, Montreal, Ottawa) 9 Irreplaceable Portfolio Institutional Quality Assets Scotia Plaza Toronto (10%) 700 De la Gauchetière Montreal (4%) Adelaide Place Toronto (4%) Barclay Centre I & II Calgary (3%) Enbridge Place Edmonton (2%) HSBC Bank Place Edmonton (1%) 74 Victoria/137 Yonge St Toronto (1%) 11,36 3 IBM Corporate Park Calgary (3%) Telus Tower Calgary (2%) State Street Financial Ctr. Toronto (2%) 5001 Yonge Street Toronto (2%) AIR MILES Tower Toronto (2%) 655 Bay Street Toronto (1%) 840 7th Avenue SW Calgary (1%) Station Tower Surrey (1%) Our top 15 properties produce 40% of NOI (6.0 year weighted average lease term / 98% committed occupancy / 22,000 sf avg. tenant size) 10 Irreplaceable Portfolio Significant Strides to Increase CBD & GTA Exposure NOI Breakdown, Beginning of 2010 NOI Breakdown, Q1/14 Total IFRS Asset Base = $1.4 Billion Total IFRS Asset Base = $7.6 Billion Industrial / Other, 13% Suburban Office, 24% Downtown – 15% GTA West – 5% Retail , 5% Suburban Office, 28% CBD, 63% Ottawa, 4% BC, 7% Ottawa, 4% Montreal, 5% GTA, 20% US, 1% YK, Sask, Regina, 13% Edmonton, 2% QC, Atl. Cda 2% CBD, 67% BC, 5% Calgary, 19% Edmonton, 8% Calgary, 53% GTA, 43% YK, Sask, Regina , 8% Downtown – 28% GTA West – 9% GTA East – 5% SW Ont., 4% US, 2% 11 Irreplaceable Portfolio 5.4 Million Owned SF in Downtown Toronto 7 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. Scotia Plaza Adelaide Place 30 Adelaide Street East 438 University Ave 655 Bay Street 74 Victoria Street / 137 Yonge Street 720 Bay Street 100 Yonge Street 18 King Street East 36 Toronto Street 330 Bay Street 20 Toronto Street / 33 Victoria Street 8 King Street East Victory Building – 80 Richmond St W 49 Ontario Street 212 King Street West 357 Bay Street 10 Lower Spadina Avenue 360 Bay Street 10 King Street East 350 Bay Street 67 Richmond Street 366 Bay Street 56 Temperance Street 250 Dundas Street West 83 Yonge Street 97% 25 4 14 3 17 23 24 2 6 19 22 10 21 12 26 11 8 9 1 13 16 Our scale & concentration in downtown Toronto affords us great opportunities. We are the largest landlord in the GTA. 15 5 Committed Occupancy 20 Central Business District 18 12 Managing Risk Strong Relationships With Our Tenants Tenant We are the 1st or 2nd Largest Landlord to: 5 properties 17 properties 2 properties Gross Rental Revenue (%) # of Properties Owned Area (%) Wtd. Avg. Remaining Lease Term (Years) Credit Rating 1 Bank of Nova Scotia 7.26 17 4.04 10.3 AA 2 Government of Canada 6.02 30 6.59 2.8 AA+ 3 Government of Ontario 3.10 9 2.73 5.3 AA+ 4 Government of Quebec 1.88 5 2.84 12.4 A+ 5 Bell Canada 1.84 7 1.53 4.1 BBB+ 6 Telus 1.48 2 1.17 2.0 BBB+ 7 Enbridge Pipelines Inc. 1.47 1 1.01 4.9 A- 8 Government of Saskatchewan 1.37 7 1.53 2.7 AA+ 9 State Street Trust Company 1.36 2 1.00 8.0 AA- 10 Government of Alberta 1.18 12 1.27 3.7 AA+ Our top tenants have exceptional credit ratings, and are diversified across many properties, which reduces re-leasing risk. 13 Managing Risk Staggered Lease Maturities Embedded Rental Rate Growth 4,500,000 3.4 million SF uncommitted (15.4%) 4,000,000 3,500,000 3,000,000 1.3 million SF uncommitted (6.0%) GLA 2,500,000 2.2 million SF uncommitted (9.9%) 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 Total - uncommitted 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022+ Total - committed Our rental rates remain below market, which, when coupled with our well-staggered lease maturities positions us to consistently capture gains with new leasing *Market rents are estimate only and are based on current market rents with no allowance for increases in future years. Subject to changes in market conditions. 14 Managing Risk Staggered Lease Expiries & Small Average Tenant Size Downtown Calgary and Downtown Toronto 97 900,000 60 800,000 121 700,000 77 Expiring GLA 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 78 37 31 Average Tenant Size 6,000 SF 45 52 36 4,200 SF 7,400 SF 3,800 SF 13,000 SF 5,800 SF 6,300 SF 9,400 SF 0 2014 2015 2016 Downtown Calgary 2017 8,000 SF 7,200 SF 2018 Downtown Toronto Number of Tenants 15 Managing Risk Tenant Size and MTM on Rents Downtown Calgary and Downtown Toronto Calgary Downtown Calgary Suburban Toronto – Downtown Toronto Suburban Total Total SF (% of Total Portfolio SF) 3,100,000 (12.6%) 800,000 (3.3%) 5,400,000 (22.0%) 4,200,000 (17.1%) 13,500,000 (55%) Occupancy 95.9% 86.1% 96.8% 92.4% 94.8% In Place Rents 21.92 16.32 23.35 14.42 19.75 Estimated Market Rents 25.58 17.98 25.71 14.90 21.71 Market vs. In Place Rents (%) 17% 10% 10% 3% 10% Average Tenant Size 6,000 SF 4,200 SF 7,400 SF 3,800 SF 13,000 SF 5,800 SF 6,300 SF 9,400 SF 8,000 SF 7,200 SF 16 Managing Risk Track Record of Stable and Outperforming Occupancy Our Occupancy vs. National Average 100% 98% 96% 400 bps 94% 700 bps Dream Office REIT 300 bps 500 bps 400 bps 92% National Office Average (CBRE) 90% 88% 86% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Consistently above the national average. 17 High Leasing Volume Downtown Calgary 441 5th Avenue Atrium II McFarlane Tower Life Plaza Northland Building Physical occupancy in our downtown Calgary portfolio increased 60 bps in Q1/14 as a result of 22.4k sf of positive absorption. 22 new leases were completed during the quarter, totaling approximately 169k sf. 18 High Leasing Volume Downtown Toronto Scotia Plaza Adelaide Place 36 Toronto Street 10 King Street E 80 Richmond St W In Q1/14, our leasing team completed over 110k sf of transactions in downtown Toronto which included 39k sf of new leases and 72k sf of renewals. Average renewal rate of $28.29 and new leasing rate of $22.74 have met or exceeded our forecast rates. 19 Capital Structure Composition of Existing Capital Q1/14 Total Assets Equity $ 7,667 $ 4,017 Secured Debt 52.4% $ 3,115 40.6% Convertible Debt $ 52 0.7% Unsecured Debt $ 482 6.3% Debt to GBV 47.6% Undrawn Credit Facility $249.2 Borrowing Capacity on Unencumbered Assets $462.8 Potential Borrowing Capacity $712.0 Average Interest Rate 4.2% Average Term to Maturity 4.6 years BBB (Low) Credit Rating Unencumbered Assets $771 million DBRS Conservative and Flexible Balance Sheet 20 Capital Structure Building Strong and Lasting Relationships with Our Lenders Secured Mortgage Financing 2011 2012 2013 Total Amount $750 $844 $251 $1,915 7.8 7.9 8.8 7.7 4.2% 3.6% 4.1% 3.9% Average Term (Years) Average Rate 21 Capital Structure Active Issuer in the Unsecured Debt Space $4,500 $4,155 $4,000 7% Issuance (C$ millions) $3,500 $3,275 4% $3,000 $2,500 $1,825 $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $1,105 $920 $680 $500 $0 2009 Source: TD Securities 2010 2011 Other REIT 2012 2013 2014YTD Dream Office REIT 22 Capital Structure Well Staggered Debt Maturity Profile 700 Total Debt: $3.7 billion Weighted Average Interest Rate 4.22% 4.6 year average term to maturity Total Debt Maturities ($ millions) 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023+ Amount ($ millions) Well staggered maturity profile with room for interest savings on upcoming mortgage maturities. 23 Comparatives Attractive Valuation Relative to Our Peers Priced as at June 25, 2014 Office Price Mkt Cap Yield 2014 P/AFFO 2015 P/AFFO Allied Properties $35.35 $2,461 4.0% 19.0x 16.9x 14.8x $32.40 9.1% 6.2% 6.0% 35% Brookfield Canada $26.80 $2,500 4.6% 19.7x 19.4x 17.3x $32.17 -16.7% 5.3% 6.1% 42% $15.83 $2,137 6.8% 12.7x 12.1x 13.9x $16.54 -4.3% 6.6% 6.7% 49% Historical Consensus NAV Implied P/AFFO NAV Prem/Disc NAV Cap Cap Debt/ Assets Diversified Artis Cominar $18.92 $2,431 7.6% 12.1x 11.7x 13.9x $20.12 -6.0% 6.8% 7.0% 54% CREIT $46.08 $3,190 3.8% 17.6x 17.0x 15.2x $44.57 3.4% 6.1% 5.9% 39% H&R $22.90 $6,627 5.9% 14.2x 14.0x 13.5x $24.48 -6.5% 6.1% 6.3% 51% $29.59 $3,175 7.6% 12.2x 12.1x 13.8x $34.32 -13.8% 6.5% 7.0% 48% Dream Office Source: SNL Financial (Consensus data used for AFFO, NAV, NAV Cap estimates), BMO Capital Markets Dream Office currently trades at a 12.2x 2014 P/AFFO and 14% discount to NAV. At our current valuation, we compare favourably across many metrics versus our peers 24 The Current Opportunity Dream Office REIT is currently generating a 7.6% cash yield and an 8%+ AFFO yield (on consensus estimates) We are conservatively financed in our view with our current debt to gross book value ratio around 47.6% We own a collection of assets that are hard to replicate, with our portfolio quality at its best in our history We believe that our ability to meet tenants’ needs in our portfolio, our relationships and our contracts with tenants will help us outperform whatever benchmarks may be applicable Furthermore, we believe that with our scale and dedicated management team, we will continue to generate increased and new sources of income At current valuation, with our current portfolio, management team and strategy, we believe we are a very compelling investment. 25 Appendix: Value Creation 26 Value Creation Case Studies – Assets Purchased in 2010/2011 Adelaide Place TORONTO Saskatoon Square SASKATOON Enbridge Place EDMONTON HSBC Bank Place EDMONTON Total (owned) GLA: 655,728 sq. ft. Total (owned) GLA: 228,780 sq. ft. Total (owned) GLA: 262,553 sq. ft. Total (owned) GLA: 298,660 sq. ft. Description: 22-storey and 20-storey Class A downtown office towers Description: 17-storey downtown Class A office building Description: 22-storey, Class A downtown office building Description: 19-storey, Class A downtown office building 1982 / 2001 Year built / renovated: 1980 Year built / renovated: 1981 Year built / renovated: Year built / renovated: 1981 Occupancy: 100% Occupancy: 96% Occupancy: 94% Occupancy: 93% 2010 Year purchased: 2010 Year purchased: 2011 Year purchased: Year purchased: 2010 Purchase price: $212 million (7.2% cap rate) Purchase price: $50 million (<7% cap rate) Purchase price: $91 million (7.5% cap rate) Purchase price: $83 million (<7% cap rate) Q1/14 IFRS Value $308 million Q1/14 IFRS Value $75 million Q1/14 IFRS Value $109 million Q1/14 IFRS Value $103 million Value Increase Since Acquisition $96 million (45%) Value Increase Since Acquisition $25 million (50%) Value Increase Since Acquisition $18 million (20%) Value Increase Since Acquisition $20 million (24%) 27 High Leasing Volume Modern, High Quality Improvements 28 Value Creation Retail Successes & Opportunities Our 1 million SF of retail space generates $24.5 million of NOI or 5.5% of our total NOI. As retail tenants seek more urban exposure, this presents an opportunity to: • Grow existing rents • Re-lease existing retail to best uses • Re-purpose office and storage space to retail in CBD • Add retail pads to suburban sites 29 Value Creation Retail Successes 10 year lease transaction with Drake One Fifty at Adelaide Place Net rents achieved are 25% higher than previous in place rents 30 30 Value Creation Retail Successes 10 year lease transactions with SpeakEasy 21 and Starbucks at Scotia Plaza 4,000 sf of vacant space leased at rents in excess of $50.00 psf 1,000 sf leased at 185% higher rents 31 Value Creation CBD Retail Opportunities Opportunities to Re-Purpose CBD office and storage space 8 King East Ground Floor and Lower Level Retail 357 Bay Street Ground & 2nd Floor Retail 700 De la Gauchetière Pursuing new retail in 10,000 sf of lower level storage space with exterior access 32 Value Creation Suburban Retail Opportunities Ability to intensify on suburban sites. • 5,600 sf pad site opportunity in Toronto’s west end • Retail rents generated will exceed office rents by 115% 33 Value Creation Commercial Development Opportunities East Vancouver Site • 1.7 acre site • Potential to develop 200,000 sf, eight storey building • Steps from the Skytrain and bus transit options • New, highly efficient LEED Gold Core and Shell building 34 Value Creation Commercial Development Opportunities Downtown Kitchener Site • Infill development site • Potential to develop 110,000 sf, 6 storey office building • Immediate access to highways, public transit as well as Kitchener’s future iON LRT system • New, highly efficient LEED Gold Core and Shell building 35 Value Creation Urban Intensification Opportunity East Toronto Site • • • • • Located in Toronto, Ontario 15 acres 300,000 sf of existing office space Potential for residential uses Potential for retail uses 36 37 Forward Looking Information This slide presentation contains forward looking information within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. Forward looking information is based on a number of assumptions and is subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond Dream Office REIT's control, that could cause actual results to differ materially from those that are disclosed in or implied by such forward looking information. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, general and local economic and business conditions; the financial condition of tenants; our ability to refinance maturing debt; leasing risks, including those associated with the ability to lease vacant space. All forward looking information in this presentation speaks as of June 26, 2014. Dream Office REIT does not undertake to update any such forward looking information whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Additional information about these assumptions and risks and uncertainties is disclosed in filings with securities regulators filed on SEDAR (www.sedar.com). 38 Thank you 39