Floriade 2022 - WATERgraafsmeer
Transcription
Floriade 2022 - WATERgraafsmeer
Floriade 2022 - Sustainability in Zuidoost Utrecht University Faculty of Geosciences Department of Innovation and Environmental Sciences Master: Sustainable Development Course: Transdiciplinary Case Study GEO4-2302 Report 2 November 2012 Supervisors: Mendel Giezen, Aat Barendregt and Boudewijn Elsinga Client: Waternet, Rob Ververs Stadsdeel Zuidoost, Gerard Lont Corina van der Hulst, 0451525, Energy & Resources Esther van der Lugt, 3840417, Environmental Governance Linette Viertelhauzen, 3223647, Global Change & Ecosystems Loris Manni, 3777111, Environmental Governance Madeleine den Hartog, 3286320, Global Change & Ecosystems Marjolein van Eerd, 3416194, Environmental Governance Panagiotis Moraitis, 3717208, Energy & Resources Contact: [email protected] Summary The Floriade 2022 bidbook contained visionary ideas for making Amsterdam Zuidoost more sustainable, and after the loss of the bid an assessment of the challenges and opportunities by means of a transdisciplinary research became even more relevant. This research aims to answer the question: “What are the opportunities and challenges to make Amsterdam Zuidoost more sustainable based on the concept of the Floriade 2022 Bidbook?” The research entailed extensive interviewing of stakeholders in order to gather information on goals, interests, opportunities and challenges for the development of a more sustainable Zuidoost. Furthermore, an assessment of the technical and economic viability of existing plans is provided. The governance findings illustrate the necessary focus of stakeholders on quick wins and the need for added value of sustainability plans (area development, product or pr advantage, or cost reductions). Nevertheless the majority of stakeholders expressed strong willingness to contribute to the sustainability plans, and the socio-economic, business and environmental potential of the plans. The challenges that need to be overcome concern the lack of leadership, coordinating cooperation and existing legal and market barriers. The energy research shows that quick wins can be established by focusing on energy efficiency (monitoring and smart meters. Carbon emission savings can also be established by developing wind and solar coalitions in which risks are shared, and a heat and cold storage network that can achieve savings up to 10% in buildings. Placing solar panels on the AMC rooftop can also lead to substantial emission savings. The ecohydrological investigation reveals potential of the A9 tunneldeck for maintaining the ecological structure, decreasing air and noise pollution, incorporate community and vegetable gardens and improve the green image and spatial integration of Zuidoost. Furthermore, vegetation can play a-+ key role in diminishing the effects of climate change in the city, such as heat islands. Urban farming can decrease local unemployment and can be used for education about food production. This also provides opportunities for creating a niche market for special crops, although research about commercialization is still required. These insights are translated into three policy scenarios for establishing a more sustainable Zuidoost. The first scenario, “Business as Usual” fits the current approach of actors in Zuidoost concerning sustainability and does not require the establishment of an extensive vision or strategy. Unconnected individual small scale projects are achievable with limited investment (risks) and do not require a lot of cooperation or a large network. A focus on energy efficiency, increasing green roofs on a moderate scale and implementing postzegelparken are examples of approaches within this scenario. Advantages are a high level of freedom and low investment for stakeholders, yet sustainability targets are not met and business opportunities will be missed as innovation and risk sharing is very limited. The second scenario: “Image Improvement with Quick Wins” aims at image improvement of Zuidoost, a key concern for many stakeholders, by means of short term measures and pilot projects. Yet, this requires more involvement of key stakeholders and more investments than scenario one. Examples of quick wins are domestic heat recovery systems and energy monitoring in buildings and pilot projects on indoor farming in empty buildings increase technology knowledge necessary for implementing vertical farming on a large scale and solves vacancy problems. Benefits are the quick return on investment, increase of knowledge and trust between stakeholders. Nevertheless the sustainability targets of Amsterdam are not fully realized. The third and most integrated scenario, “Sustainable Zuidoost”, focuses on a sustainable area within the next decades. This requires large scale projects, cooperation and a more leading role for the government (municipality and district), the development of an environmental organization (environmental fund) for the area in order to expand existing networks, increase the ability to invest and share risks and capacity by all relevant stakeholders. Examples of projects for this scenario are an energy production network, large scale heat and cold networks and storage, urban greenhouses, a multifunctional A8 park, etcetera. There are still legal barriers to overcome and substantial investment and cooperation is required, but sustainability targets are reached and the innovation potential is high. These three scenarios aim at clarifying the impacts of different paths, and where opportunities and challenges lie for each plan, so stakeholders can use them in thinking about their own goals and ambitions concerning Zuidoost and finding the right partners for cooperation. As will be shown, the bidbook plans still have great potential to make Zuidoost more sustainable. Samenvatting Het Floriade 2022 bidbook bevatte visionaire ideeën over hoe Amsterdam Zuidoost duurzamer gemaakt kan worden, en na toekenning van de Floriade aan Almere is een inventarisatie van de kansen en uitdagingen van deze plannen des te relevanter geworden. Dit onderzoek beoogt de volgende vraag te beantwoorden: “Wat zijn de kansen en uitdagingen voor het duurzamer maken van Amsterdam Zuidoost, gebaseerd op de concepten van het Floriade 2022 bidbook?” Het onderzoeken van deze vraag vereiste veelvuldige interviews met stakeholders voor de verheldering van hun belangen, ambities en percepties aangaande kansen en uitdagingen betreffende de ontwikkeling van een duurzamer Zuidoost. Tevens zijn de technische en economische haalbaarheid van de plannen beoordeeld, ook door middel van literatuuronderzoek. De governance bevindingen illustreren de preferentie van stakeholders voor duurzaamheid van toegevoegde waarde (gebiedsontwikkeling, product- of PR voordelen of kostenbesparing) en quick-wins. De meerderheid van de stakeholders is erg enthousiast over deelname aan de duurzaamheidsplannen en ziet het potentieel hiervan om de leefkwaliteit, duurzaamheid en economische mogelijkheden van Zuidoost te verbeteren. Uitdagingen zijn het gebrek aan leiderschap, coördinatie van samenwerking en bestaande juridische en markt barrières. Het energie onderzoek laat zien dat quick-wins liggen in energie efficiëntie (monitoren and slimme energie meters). CO2 emissiereducties kunnen behaald worden door de ontwikkeling van zon- en wind coalities waarbij risico gedeeld kan worden, en een warmte en koude opslag netwerk dat een reductie van 10% in nieuwe en bestaande gebouwen kan realiseren. Het plaatsen van zonnepanelen op het dak van het AMC kan ook leiden tot substantiële emissie reducties. Het ecohydrologisch onderzoek laat het potentieel van het A9 dak zien, voor het handhaven van de ecologische structuur, verminderen van de lucht- en geluidsvervuiling, herbergen van volks- en groentetuintjes, en verbetering van het imago van Zuidoost. Vegetatie kan een cruciale rol spelen in het verminderen van de effecten van klimaatverandering (bijvoorbeeld hitte-eilanden) in de stad. Stadstuinbouw kan de lokale werkgelegenheid een boost geven en bijdragen aan milieueducatie over voedselproductie. Daarnaast liggen hier kansen voor niche markten (bijzondere gewassen) al vereist commercialisatie nog onderzoek. Deze disciplinaire inzichten zijn gecombineerd tot beleidsscenario’s die gebruikt kunnen worden voor de ontwikkeling van een duurzamer Zuidoost. Het eerste scenario, “Business as Usual” is in overeenstemming met de huidige aanpak van actoren in Zuidoost betreffende duurzaamheids-initiatieven en vereist geen verregaande visie of strategie ontwikkeling. Ongekoppelde, individuele, kleinschalige projecten vereisen slechts kleine investeringen met weinig risico, noch uitbreiding van het bestaande netwerk of samenwerking. Een focus op energie efficiëntie, bescheiden toename van groene daken en ontwikkeling van postzegelparken zijn voorbeelden van projecten binnen dit scenario. Voordelen voor stakeholders zijn het behoud van onafhankelijkheid en beperkte investering. Aan de andere kant worden de duurzaamheidsdoelen niet behaald en zakelijke kansen gemist omdat er maar zeer beperkt kennis, innovatie en risico gedeeeld worden. Het tweede scenario “Improve Image with Quick Wins” zet in op imago verbetering, wat een gedeelde zorg is voor veel stakeholders, door middel van korte termijn- en test projecten die meer betrokkenheid en investeringen van belangrijke stakeholders vereisen dan scenario één. Voorbeelden van quick-wins zijn de implementatie van huishoudelijke warmteterugwinningssystemen en energie monitoring in gebouwen. Test projecten van stadstuinbouw in leegstaande panden zullen bijdragen aan technologie en kennis ontwikkeling benodigd voor de implementatie van stadstuinbouw op grote schaal en het tegengaan van leegstand wat het imago verbeterd. Voordelen voor stakeholders zijn de snelle terugverdientijd van investeringen en de ontwikkeling van kennis en vertrouwen tussen stakeholders, al zullen met dit scenario de duurzaamheids-doelstellingen van Amsterdam niet volledig behaald worden. Scenario drie: “Sustainable Zuidoost” is het meest geïntegreerde scenario en beoogt duurzaamheid in het komende decennium te realiseren. Dit vereist samenwerking op grote schaal en een leidende rol van de overheid (Stadsdeel Zuidoost en Gemeente Amsterdam) en de ontwikkeling van een Duurzaamheids Fonds voor Zuidoost om het netwerk en investeringsmogelijkheden uit te breiden en om risico en capaciteit te delen tussen stakeholders. Voorbeelden zijn een energie productie netwerk, grote schaal hitte en koude (opslag) netwerken, stadskassen en een multifunctioneel A9 park. Ook hier zullen er nog juridische barrières te beslechten zijn en substantiële investeringen en samenwerking van stakeholders nodig zijn, de voordelen zijn dat de duurzaamheids-doelen bereikt worden en het innovatie potentieel groot is, en Zuidoost een vernieuwend imago neer kan zetten. Deze drie scenario’s dragen bij aan maken van strategische keuzes door kansen en uitdagingen te verduidelijken, en belanghebbenden te laten reflecteren over eigen ambities aangaande Zuidoost en assisteert bij het vinden van geschikte samenwerkingspartners. Zoals geïllustreerd zal worden hebben de bidbook plannen een groot potentieel om Zuidoost duurzamer te maken. Table of contents I. Introduction and general problem description ...................................................................................1 1. Introduction ...............................................................................................................................1 2. Problem definition .....................................................................................................................1 3. Research question .....................................................................................................................2 II.Stakeholders, Ambitions and Innovation ..........................................................................................3 1. Environmental Governance: The importance of stakeholders and cooperation for making Amsterdam Zuidoost more sustainable ............................................................................................3 1.1 Introduction, specific problem description and research questions ..........................................3 1.2 Methodology .........................................................................................................................4 1.3 Results of analysis .................................................................................................................8 1.4 Conclusion .......................................................................................................................... 40 1.5 Discussion ........................................................................................................................... 40 2. Energy ...................................................................................................................................... 42 2.1 Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 42 2.2 Methodology ....................................................................................................................... 42 2.3 Energy Efficiency ................................................................................................................ 43 2.4 Energy Production ............................................................................................................... 55 2.5 Conclusion .......................................................................................................................... 58 3. Ecohydrology: Green City and Urban Farming .......................................................................... 61 3.1 Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 61 3.2 Current ambitions of relevant stakeholders towards the themes green, water and urban farming in Amsterdam Zuidoost ................................................................................................ 61 3.3 Opportunities to increase the quality of the green space in Zuidoost ..................................... 63 3.4 Urban Farming .................................................................................................................... 67 3.5 Conclusion .......................................................................................................................... 73 III.Integration: Policy Scenarios ........................................................................................................ 75 1. Introduction and justification ................................................................................................. 75 2. Scenarios ............................................................................................................................... 77 2.1 Scenario one: Business as usual ........................................................................................... 77 2.2 Scenario two: Quick wins and image improvement .............................................................. 77 2.3 Scenario three: Sustainable Zuidoost ................................................................................... 78 IV.Conclusion................................................................................................................................... 82 V.References .................................................................................................................................... 83 Annex I............................................................................................................................................. 93 Annex II ........................................................................................................................................... 94 Annex III .......................................................................................................................................... 94 Annex IV .......................................................................................................................................... 95 Annex V ........................................................................................................................................... 99 Annex VI ........................................................................................................................................ 100 I. Introduction and general problem description 1. Introduction The Floriade is a world horticultural exposition that takes place in the Netherlands every ten years. The event aims to inform and show the latest technologies and knowledge concerning the horticultural sector. This Floriade 2022 case study is coordinated by Rob Ververs from Waternet; the water management organization of the city of Amsterdam and was supported by Gerard Lont from Stadsdeel Zuidoost. Plans and ideas for the development of the Zuidoost region of Amsterdam are presented in the Floriade bidbook. Amsterdam Zuidoost consists of four areas: Bijlmermeer, Venserpolder, Gaasperdam and Driemond. Zuidoost houses 82000 inhabitants from 140 different nationalities. Most inhabitants have low to middle incomes and the unemployment rate is relatively high. The Bijlmer area is a very economically active area, especially due to the presence of the Amsterdam ArenA, Heineken Music hall, Pathé, Ikea, housing corporations, a lot of offices and headquarters of many companies from various economic sectors. Therefore 62000 jobs are located in Amsterdam Zuidoost. Other areas, such as Gaasperdam, are dedicated to residential purposes. Zuidoost is claimed to be a green, sustainable and multicultural area (Gemeente Amsterdam, 2012; Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012). Besides this extensive report that provides both arguments and outcomes of the research, two summaries (English and Dutch), a factsheet and a poster have been produced. The factsheet contains a general overview of the research’s results. The poster presents the three visions elaborated in a graphical and schematic manner. The purpose of these two documents is to present in a clear and quick way the baseline and main results of the case-study to the client, stakeholders and other collaborators. 2. Problem definition The first meetings with Waternet and the area inspection made clear that the problem we need to face is highly multidisciplinary and broad. In general terms the main problem is how to develop the area of Zuidoost in a sustainable manner now the Floriade is not coming? How to cope with new techniques and innovations, plans, ideas, changing modes of governance and uncertainty? (Floriade 2022, 2012). New ideas and modes of approaching a problem, in a more open source way, have been recently developed. This is necessary for several reasons, including the lack of financial resources available at central level. For instance, governmental actors need to collaborate with other stakeholders in order to have shared costs and benefits to realize plans. Moreover, although the stakeholders are enthusiastic and willing to continue with the plans, also now the Floriade will not take place in Amsterdam, there is scarce knowledge and experience about what the opportunities and/or threats are for the realization of these sustainable plans. In this research the concept of sustainable development is used as described by the Brundtland commission: “Sustainable development is development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs” (WCED, 1987, p.43). The common underlying idea of sustainable development in Amsterdam Zuidoost, on which all plans were initially based, has been borrowed from the Floriade concept: the (re)connection between humans and food. In metropolis cities, such as Amsterdam, people have lost the relationship and contact with food production and nature. For this reason, the region of Zuidoost 1 needs to work on reconnecting citizens and food by promoting urban horticulture (Gemeente Amsterdam, 2012). Since Floriade is not coming, the focus on urban horticulture may decrease leaving space for other sustainable plans. In order to make Amsterdam Zuidoost more sustainable a series of plans has already been developed and sustained by different actors in an open source manner. However, each of those plans presents a problem. The first and biggest plan is the deck on the A9: The idea is to rebuild a piece of the A9 highway (Gaasperdammerweg) underground. In this way it is possible to reduce air and noise pollution and to reconnect two parts of the city. Moreover, due to the creation of a new space above the A9, a green park will be created. The drawback of this plan is the disturbance caused by the construction work of eight years. In fact citizens are against the process because of the disturbance, noise and loss of real estate value in the short term. Another issue is related to empty buildings: the recent crisis left its scars on the Zuidoost area in the form of big office buildings that lay empty on one of the busiest areas of Amsterdam. In modern cities the lack of space is one of the most important issues and Floriade appeared as a great opportunity for the redevelopment of the former working areas. The challenge of the plan is to assign a new role and new function to buildings in total cohesion with sustainability. An example is local, vertical food production. Waternet recently started looking into the potential of the watercycle from an energy perspective. For example waste heat could be recovered from the sewer by using heat exchangers and cold from drinking water can be used for cooling in datacenters. Amsterdam has great potential for heat and cold storage in underground aquifer systems, this is already installed in some locations, but the potential can be further explored in combination with for example seasonal waste heat. Since the Floriade is not coming to Amsterdam, it will be more difficult to realize these plans. In fact without this event, stakeholders’ interest, investments and a strict deadline are decreased or missing. Since a broad overview of the sustainability plans is required to understand the general situation, the focus of the research it is not limited only to the Floriade bidbook plans but all sustainable initiatives and ideas involved in Zuidoost are considered to enrich the research and thus the possible outcomes. Therefore the outcomes of this research can contribute to a new integrated vision in reaching sustainability in Amsterdam Zuidoost. 3. Research question As described above we are facing a multidisciplinary and broad problem, which calls for a research question with the same characteristics. The main research question that will to be answered in this research is: What are the opportunities and challenges to make Amsterdam Zuidoost more sustainable based on the concept of Floriade 2022 Bidbook and how can those be combined in viable policy scenarios? To answer this main question, section II is divided into three chapters: environmental governance, ecohydrology and energy and resources. Each of these chapters will cover a different part of the multidisciplinary problem. Chapter 1 will present the opportunities and challenges related to the most important stakeholders. Chapter 2 will show an overview of the opportunities for energy efficiency and local energy production in Amsterdam Zuidoost. Chapter 3 will give an overview of the opportunities related to green in the city and urban farming. Finally, in section III, these results will be integrated into recommendations for three scenarios leading to a more sustainable Zuidoost. 2 II. Stakeholders, Ambitions and Innovation 1. Environmental Governance: The importance of stakeholders and cooperation for making Amsterdam Zuidoost more sustainable Marjolein van Eerd, 3416194 Esther van der Lugt, 3840417 Loris Manni, 3777111 1.1 Introduction, specific problem description and research questions In this track specific chapter the main focus will be on the involved stakeholders for making Amsterdam Zuidoost more sustainable via the Floriade plans. As described in the general introduction, there are specific problems and reasons why this area should be developed in a sustainable manner. The Floriade would have been a great medium to realize these aims and bring horticulture to the city. Now the Floriade is not coming to Amsterdam Zuidoost, it is even more significant to study relevant stakeholders, general opinions and opportunities for the redeveloping the area sustainably. From a governance perspective, it is clear that there is an asymmetry between the municipalities’ goals and ambitions and the lack of means and a shrinking civil service. This problem shapes the modus operandi of the municipal government. In the past, the municipality of Amsterdam fulfilled a more centralized and dominant role, especially in the region of Zuidoost. Nowadays, the government is shifting to an “open source” approach, whereby stakeholders can play an increasingly pronounced role in the policy process. Therefore, the municipality of Amsterdam acts more as a facilitator of cooperation and a connector between the various parties (Burck and Ploegmakers, 2012; Lont, 2012; Jaensch, 2012). This issue is also found in scientific literature, where this change from a centralized governance mode to one including more stakeholders, is called the shift from government to governance (Driessen et al, not yet published). Governance is here defined as “the sum of the many ways individuals and institutions, public and private, manage their common affairs. It is a continuing process through which conflicting or diverse interests may be accommodated and cooperative action may be taken” (Kahler & Lake, 2012). Recently, governance is conceptualized as a continuum of governance modes. This means that a less centralized mode of governance can be accompanied by more influence of private parties (public-private governance), equal participation among parties in the policy process (interactive governance) or even self-governance (Driessen et al, not yet published). These modes are comparable to open source governance mentioned by the stakeholders, and this term will be used from now on. With this shift in governance, other issues and aspects should be taken into account. For example, participation of non-governmental groups should be understood and stimulated. The central issue in this research is related to this shift, namely that a successful cooperation between various stakeholder groups and governmental organisations is essential for an open source governance approach in Amsterdam (Driessen et al, not yet published). This is especially important in executing the Floriade concept, since multiple parties are involved in the process. Close cooperation between parties is even more important now that the event of the Floriade is not assigned to Amsterdam Zuidoost. Therefore, the positive opportunities of the event, like resources, a deadline and economic possibilities, are missing. However, there are also problems concerned with an open source approach. For example stakeholders with more resources and capacities might have a 3 disproportionate share of influence compared to underprivileged groups, which could make the policy process less democratic (Swyngedouw, 2005). This might also be the case in Amsterdam Zuidoost, since there are stakeholders involved on multiple levels and scales. There are powerful players, such as big companies and the government. However, the majority of inhabitants have a socio-economic disadvantage compared to average Dutch citizens. Therefore, in this research the concerns of specific stakeholder groups are equally recognized. The main problem from a governance perspective is that knowledge regarding the position of stakeholders concerning the sustainability plans are missing (shared goals and ambitions, perceived opportunities, challenges, and possible contributions). This research can contribute to solve this knowledge gap and by providing useful information for dealing with relevant stakeholders and for exploiting opportunities and dealing with challenges concerning the execution the Floriade plans. To find a solution the following sub-research questions will be answered: Who are the main stakeholders for the concept of the Floriade 2022 plans? What are the goals and ambitions of the various stakeholders? What are the resources and capacities of the various stakeholders for contributing to developing these plans? How should the relation between governmental organizations, businesses and citizens be in order to realize the plans? What are the arguments related to the stakeholders (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) that will permit (or not) to continue with the plans without the Floriade? Which similarities and differences can be distinguished among stakeholders that are useful for further cooperation? Firstly, the applied methodology is explained. Secondly, the results of the analysis are presented, distinguished in a stakeholder and a network analysis, an economic overview and finally a SWOT analysis. Thirdly, conclusions and recommendations are given. Lastly, a short discussion is provided. 1.2 Methodology In this section the applied methodology is described. The research is an intensive case-study of a single unit. The unit-of-analysis is the Floriade plans as a single system and the aim is to generalize the findings to a larger unit: sustainability in Amsterdam Zuidoost (Gerring, 2004). 1.2.1 Selection and justification of research methods Stakeholder analysis To answer the research questions a triangulation of methods is applied. A stakeholder analysis is executed to frame ambitions, goals and issues among stakeholders (Bryson, 2004), which is important for understanding the system and changes within it (Grimble & Wellard, 1997). This understanding can be used to convince stakeholders to continue with the plans of the Floriade. A basic stakeholder analysis is used to provide an overview about eleven stakeholder aspects (figure 1) and to provide information on how to convince stakeholders to participate (Bryson, 2004). A 4 stakeholder is in this research defined as: ‘an actor who has an interest or stake in the Floriade plans’. Via this analysis predictions can be made on future developments (Rowley, 1997). In the stakeholder analysis a comparison of similarities and differences for each aspect is given. Those aspects are related to questions asked during the interviews (figure 1). Figure 1: Analysis of similarities and differences of important aspects, based on the interview questions Processing of interview data A specific methodology is used for dealing with subjectivity of the interview results. Firstly, comprehensive notes are made during the interview by two persons, for reducing personal bias. Second, those notes are elaborated in a transcript. The most important aspects from those transcripts are placed in a scheme (annex II). These schemes limited the difference in working methods of the group members. These qualitative results are translated in quantitative in an excel document (annex III). Labels for each aspect are selected by looking at the answers that were most often given by stakeholders. In case there are various answers, the label ‘others’ is used. Since many of the questions are broad it is possible that interviewees provide more than one answer. Therefore, the total amount of observations presented in the graphs does not correspond and represent a single stakeholder, but the number of times that a label is mentioned1. By using Microsoft excel program, the data is analyzed in graphs and pie charts, which gives a clear overview. First the data has been analyzed for the totality of stakeholders, secondly, it is divided for the three groups: governmental, 1 An example is that for this reason the role graph (figure 4) shows 38 observation while the stakeholder interviewed are only 18. 5 social and businesses. In this way it is possible to compare stakeholders and stakeholder groups. Moreover, specific qualitative outcomes, such as similarities and differences are mentioned in the text. Network analysis A network analysis is executed with the use of the computer program Pajek (Van Laerhoven, 2012b). Social network data are gathered by stakeholder interviews and from internet information. The links between actors are based on the actors contacts in previous collaboration. Analyzing the network is important to understand the relations between stakeholders relevant for the execution of the Floriade plans (Wasserman & Faust, 1994). This analysis provides an overview of the network, its most important stakeholders, relations and challenges and opportunities are distinguished. Due to the low response on specific questions it is not possible to execute network calculations. SWOT, legislation and economic analysis Lastly, a short qualitative economic analysis will be conducted. This analysis provides a general overview of the economic mechanisms and possible multiplier effect of the realization of the Floriade plans. Economic data are essential for convincing stakeholders to cooperate. The analysis will be carried out in two phases. Firstly, a general overview of the economic situation is provided. After, a SWOT analysis (figure 2) is used to identify strengths and weaknesses for the participants in those plans, and opportunities and threats as external influences (Dyson, 2004). The SWOT analysis focuses on a macro perspective of making the area more sustainable. Figure 2: example of SWOT analysis 1.2.2 Selection and justification of data selection methods For answering the research questions in an appropriate and reliable way a triangulation of data collection methods is applied. Firstly, data is collected by interviewing relevant stakeholders (annex IV), which secures the depth of the results (Verschuren & Doorewaard, 2010). Those stakeholders are selected based on the input of the client and the Floriade bidbook. Moreover, the snowballing technique is used to select stakeholders (Rowley, 1997), since interviewees mentioned the most 6 important actors in their networks. During the selection a balance of business, governmental organizations and citizens is taken into account. In the analysis colors are used to distinguish those groups2. Due to time constraints it was not possible to incorporate the citizens of Zuidoost directly. Nevertheless, their interests and visions are incorporated by interviewing organizations that are aware of citizen concerns (AGG and Kansrijk Zuidoost). Secondly, websites, newspapers, CBS, various material provided by the stakeholders and other media sources are used to obtain general knowledge concerning Amsterdam Zuidoost. Moreover, additional scientific literature is derived from a desk research. 2 The business group is colored yellow/orange, citizen groups are colored green and governmental organizations have a blue color 7 1.3 Results of analysis 1.3.1 Stakeholder Analysis Roles of the stakeholders Stakeholders perform distinct roles and it is assumed that these roles contribute to a better output of the process. It is possible to distinguish, from the interview output, different types of roles that stakeholders can perform (figure 3). Figure 3: Method applied for assessing the roles of stakeholders Figure 4 provides an overview of the current roles of stakeholders, whereby stakeholders can perform multiple roles. Therefore the total number of roles is higher than the total number of stakeholders interviewed. This observation is valid for all the data presented later in this chapter. Role 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Figure 4: Current roles of the stakeholders 8 Facilitation: technology, knowledge, vision and financial resources Figure 4 reveals that facilitation in general is executed by many stakeholders (16 times). This role is divided in three groups, the provision of techniques and knowledge, facilitating through financial resources and facilitating a common vision. In general, in the first class of facilitators mainly business are found (figure 5c). An obvious provider of technology and knowledge concerning sustainable energy is Liander. They are eager to put into practice on a larger scale the gathered smart grid and energy transportation knowledge and techniques (de Rijke, 2012). The Amsterdam Innovation Monitor (AIM) can also facilitate knowledge as they have a good overview of market developments and business needs (Hilgersom, 2012). Furthermore MTD combines spatial, financial and technical design knowledge, from the beginning to end of the project (Mulder, 2012). In general stakeholders are willing to share their knowledge and techniques, although businesses might not always be willing to share innovative ideas (Hilgersom, 2012). The facilitating role of providing a vision is mainly executed by governmental organizations (figure 5b), each on their own area of expertise. For instance, Zuidoost Partners is improving the image of Amsterdam Zuidoost (Gorissen, 2012). The aspect of facilitating by means of investments is a crucial aspect for the realization of the plans and few stakeholders stated that investment was an option (mainly private parties). Governmental agencies, only provide financial resources indirectly, e.g. via European subsidies (Mantel, 2012; Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012). Pronam, Ikea and Ymere stated the option of investing directly in the sustainability plans; however a solid business case should be provided (Van der Horst, 2012; Hilgersom, 2012; Dorsman & Gehrels, 2012, Hanssen, 2012). Connecting role Governmental organizations are the main actors in bridging or connecting (7 out of 11, figure 5b). Stadsdeel Zuidoost, Zuidoost Partners and DRO each have their own way of connecting parties in developing and implementing plans (Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; Gorissen, 2012; Hilgersom, 2012; Mantel, 2012). The role of executing plans Another role that was mentioned is related to executing of plans, such as MTD, Liander, Waternet and Stadsdeel Zuidoost, since they already have experience with sustainability projects (Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; Ververs, 2012; Mulder, 2012; de Rijke, 2012). This role is shared by both governmental and private parties. Citizens are largely absent (figure 5b,c), but can work on image improvement by creating flower facades and other small scale activities (Hogenelst, 2012; Wesseling, 2012). Private parties can contribute knowledge and investments to execute the plans and governmental parties have the legal power and are often owner of the land (Dorsman and Gehrels, 2012).The fact that both private and public parties are able to execute plans is a very important outcome, since it can provide a positive impetus for the implementation of the Floriade plans. The role of attention raising and lobbying As can be derived from the figure 4 a minority of parties fulfil attention raising and lobbying roles. Figure 5a and 5b illustrate that especially citizens and governmental organizations are active in this regard. For example, AIM lobbies in politics for the interests of companies and try to make entrepreneurs aware of usable political options (Hilgersom, 2012). Furthermore, AGG has a lot of experience in lobbying for the interests of citizens on various levels (Wesseling, 2012) and Kansrijk Zuidoost has experience in lobbying for the interests of Bijlmer residents at governmental 9 organizations (Hogenelst, 2012). Moreover, Zuidoost Partners can be an important actor concerning lobbying for sustainable initiatives among companies in the area (Gorissen, 2012). Role (Social) 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Facilitating (techniques & knowledge) Facilitating (financial resources) Facilitating (other resources: e.g. vision) Lobbying Attention Project/plans Connecting Raising execution Initiator Role (Government) 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Facilitating Facilitating Facilitating (providing with financial (other techniques resources resources: and e.g. vision) knowledge) Lobbying Attention Raising Project/plans Connecting execution Initiator Project/plans Connecting execution Initiator Role (Businesses) 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Facilitating Facilitating (techniques & (financial knowledge) resources) Facilitating (other resources: e.g. vision) Lobbying Attention Raising Figure 5a,b,c: Role within the three groups (Social, Government and Businesses) 10 Potential roles The last paragraph analyzed the current role division between stakeholders. Additionally, this paragraph focuses on how stakeholders perceive future roles of the government and companies for a successful implementation of the Floriade plans. The vision of most stakeholders is that the government should bring parties together, stimulate and facilitate cooperation possibilities (Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; Hanssen, 2012; Van der Horst, 2012; Kirby-Petruccio, 2012; Maris, 2012; de Rijke, 2012), they should support the plans (Hogenelst, 2012; Van Voorn, 2012), should use and exploit public areas (Jaensch, 2012; Maris, 2012) and they should adjust legislations and taxation systems (Maris, 2012; de Rijke, 2012). Literature states that governments have an important stake in stimulating and supporting innovations for sustainability projects (Ulhoi, 2008). There is a gap between those potential roles and the possible roles of governmental organizations, since the government is shifting to a less central role and has to cut budgets (Buijs, 2012). However, according to Emile Jaensch (2012) the government might fulfil a managing role even if they are executing a less centralized mode of governance (Driessen et al, 2012, not yet published). In conclusion, the government should have an active, supporting and stimulating role to keep stakeholders interested in the sustainability plans. Moreover, there should be a clear division of tasks between governmental organizations on different levels to prevent overlapping actions that might waste money, time and credibility. Each governmental level must act according to the unique strengths that each possesses (Emison, 1996). It is not feasible to draw conclusions on the task division between governmental levels, since this was not researched. However, it seems that there are already several collaborations between governmental organizations, such as Energiek Zuidoost (Energiek Zuidoost, 2012). Although, a good division of tasks between governmental organizations should be taken into account. It is clear that co-creation with the business sector is of significant importance (Landy et al, 1990; Mantel, 2012), since without support and investments of companies the plans will probably fail (Gorissen, 2012; Van Voorn, 2012). Besides, companies can drive innovation (Van Kooy, 2012). Successful inclusion of companies can only be reached if beneficial opportunities are clearly stated (Van der Horst, 2012; de Rijke, 2012; Shrivastava, 1995). Literature review shows that the role of corporations in achieving local sustainability is increasing, since corporations have the knowledge, resources and power to bring about enormous positive changes for the (Shrivastava, 1995). In conclusion, close collaboration between governmental organizations and businesses is necessary for successful sustainable outcomes in Amsterdam Zuidoost (Van Kooy, 2012). Interests The interests that various stakeholders have concerning sustainability3 in Zuidoost are displayed in figure 6. Various similarities can be distinguished. To quote Susanne van Kooy, project leader of the Floriade 2022: “Sustainability is a way to approach existing problems from a different angle, allowing for out of the box solutions” and “sustainability is therefore not the end goal but the means to achieve things”. Many other stakeholders expressed this in a similar vein (Van Kooy, 2012; Jaensch, 2012; Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012). Moreover, this is also an interest of the majority of businesses, explaining that 11 stakeholders mentioned improving the image, exploiting economic opportunities 3 Sustainability is here defined as a balance between people, planet and profit (Elkington, 1994). Most organizations focus on one or two of the SD aspects. 11 and renewal of the area as an important interests (figure 6). For businesses, sustainability should have an added value, such as satisfying consumer needs, cost reduction and PR opportunities (Hanssen, 2012; Dorsman & Gehrels, 2012). Those interests are a similarity of most stakeholders. Therefore, a goal oriented and pragmatic approach should be made. A proportion of stakeholders mentioned specifically the interest in sustainability as a vehicle for innovation: the AMC and Liander are interested in innovations concerning energy issues (Maris, 2012; de Rijke, 2012), Waternet concerning water neutrality (Ververs, 2012), MTD related to the development of visionary concepts (Mulders, 2012) and AIM for stimulating SD-innovation in general (Hilgersom, 2012). Gaining real-world experience is often mentioned and in this respect the strategy to do so involves short and long term aspects. For instance, the AMC wants to start with small projects such as sharing energy and benefit from quick wins on the short term4, allowing for later large scale development (Maris, 2012). Waternet wants to develop small test projects in Zuidoost, that can be implemented large scale on long term (Ververs, 2012). Liander on the other hand, is not looking for pilot projects- they want to start working on large scale implementation (de Rijke, 2012). Therefore, Liander can fulfill a leading role in helping other companies and organizations with pilot projects. Nooteboom et al. (2007) and sustainability frontrunner InterfaceFlor 5 confirm that working with external partners with different cognitive frameworks6 increase the innovativeness of organizations (Gudz & Vernon, 2012). Interests 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Exploit economic opportunities Solve Image Gain experince on problem/renewal of new sustainable the area plans Others Figure 6: Division of interests The specific interests of stakeholders are presented in figure 7.Working together enables cost reduction, as knowledge and resources and risks can be shared, compared to developing sustainability initiatives on one’s own (Van der Horst, 2012). Figure 7 shows that altering the negative image of Zuidoost is key for all stakeholders (Hansen, 2012; Dorsman & Gehrels, 2012, Jaensch, 2012; Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; Wesseling, 2012; Hogenelst, 2012; Gorissen, 2012). 5 InterfaceFlor has more than 30 years of experience in sustainable business and very successful, hence mentioned as example 6 Concering different areas of expertise and organizational cultures. 12 Figure 7: Specific interests of stakeholders Goals and ambitions The stakeholders’ goals and ambitions of participating in sustainability plans of Amsterdam Zuidoost are presented in figure 8. This figure illustrates that most stakeholders have ambitions in one or more pillars of sustainability; namely economic, environmental or social improvements. It is interesting that the stakeholders from government and business equally have goals and ambitions in improving economic conditions and the environment (figure 9b,c). Goals an ambitions 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Improve Image Improve environmental quality Improve economic/specific market situation Improve social conditions Others (e.g. spatial development) 13 Figure 8: Overview of the goals and ambitions of stakeholders Goal and ambitions (Social) 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 Improve Image Improve environmental quality Improve economic/specific market situation Improve social conditions Others (e.g. spatial development) Goals and ambitions (Government) 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Improve Image Improve environmental quality Improve economic/specific market situation Improve social conditions Others (e.g. spatial development) Goals and ambitions (Businesses) 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Improve Image Improve Improve Improve social environmental economic/specific conditions quality market situation Others (e.g. spatial development) Figure 9a,b,c: Goals and ambitions within groups 14 In figure 10 an overview of actors and their specific goals and ambitions is provided. From the interviews it becomes manifest that economic and environmental improvements are main focal points. However, the most concrete goals and ambitions lie in the environmental field. Many organizations already have their own sustainability goals, but would like to learn more, increase their sustainable performance and become exemplary for sustainable business (Dorsman & Gehrels, 2012; Hanssen, 2012). Within the environmental improvement goals, the energy related goals are mentioned most often and are also more specific than those mentioned concerning urban horticulture. A plausible explanation can be that the latter is still quite a novel concept. Moreover, Greenport Aalsmeer was very clear about the ambitions they have with regards to promoting the horticultural sector in Amsterdam and developing sustainable innovations, as these are crucial for strengthening their competitive position and allow cost reductions (Van Voorn, 2012). These cost reductions were connected to energy consumption (Van Voorn, 2012) and this can be relevant for Liander, whose long term goal is to facilitate the energy transition (de Rijke, 2012). Economic and social improvements are especially important for governmental organizations (Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; Jaensch, 2012) (figure 9). Although Kansrijk Zuidoost and Ymere are mainly aimed at social sustainability and not necessarily environmental sustainability, both are interested in food production and consumption, from the perspective of healthy living, and use of educational activities to help their residents (Hogenelst, 2012; Koers, 2012). From this perspective it would be sensible for them to work together to develop food and health related sustainable projects, as these fit their missions. Overall, it can be argued that win-win situations among stakeholders can be created and shaped around the three p’s of sustainability: people, planet and profit. 15 Figure 10: Overview of specific goals and ambitions 16 Opportunities Certain similarities are striking concerning the opportunities related to the sustainability plans (figure 11). Common denominators are: cooperation, improving economic and environmental quality as well as the liveliness in/ image of Zuidoost. Opportunities 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Figure 11: Opportunities in participating in sustainable plans Figure 12a represents the perceived opportunities of citizens. For AGG, middle and upper class citizens, environmental quality (air, noise and maintenance of the Gaasper and Bijlmer parcs is a concern and the sustainability plans are an opportunity to solve these nuisances7 (Wesseling, 2012). Residents of the Bijlmer have other priorities: they are more preoccupied with employment, subsistence and cutting costs than with the environment. However, the sustainability plans provide also opportunities for to utilize the cost awareness of lower incomes by educating them how they can reduce costs by reducing energy use. Moreover, opportunities to let people grow their own vegetables can reduce living costs (Van Hogenelst, 2012). Both interest groups expressed the need for improving liveliness8 and image of the area (Van Hogenelst, 2012; Wesseling, 2012). Perceived opportunities by businesses (figure 12c) are related to cooperation, improving image, liveliness and environmental quality, followed by energy related projects. Most businesses stressed the importance of developing cooperation9 and the desire for action (Hanssen, 2012; Ververs,2012; de Rijke, 2012; Dorsman and Gehrels, 2012; Van der Horst, 2012; Van Voorn, 2012). Governmental organization also state that ccooperation provides possibilities for the development of 7 For instance via the A9 tunnel deck, better maintained and more green areas By means of restaurants and bars 9 For instance, Waternet and Liander clearly stressed the need for cooperation, which might increase the success of sustainability projects and might create more sustainable innovation (de Rijke, 2012; Ververs, 2012). 8 17 sustainability plans, next to the primary opportunity of economic development of Zuidoost (figure 12b). An overview of stakeholders specific opportunities is presented in figure 13. For instance, the production of rare species and medicinal herbs may be a way of creating a niche market and making urban farming more profitable (Gorissen, 2012; Hilgersom, 2012). It can be concluded that cooperation is crucial and feasible and the economic mindset of all actors can be used as a strength for developing sustainability plans. So the focus should be on cost reductions and the adding of value to living in Zuidoost. Opportunities (Social) 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 18 Opportunities (Government) 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Opportunities (Businesses) 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Figure 12a,b,c: Opportunities within groups 19 Figure 13: specific opportunities for stakeholders Challenges In general, challenges for executing the Floriade plans are more pressing now the Floriade is not coming to Amsterdam, since specific investments, involvement of the Tuinbouwraad and a strict deadline are missing (Buijs, 2012). In figure 14 an overview of those challenges is given and the specific challenges are summarized in figure 15. Both figures reveal that most stakeholders are concerned about the possible lack of investments, due to missing incomes of the Floriade, economic crisis and governments’ inability to invest on a large scale (Buijs, 2012; Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; Gorissen, 2012; Hilgersom, 2012; Hogenelst, 2012; Van der Horst, 2012; Mantel, 2012; Van Voorn, 2012; Wesseling, 2012). Nevertheless, due to the early process stage and the plans’ uncertainty, it is possible that stakeholders did not yet express their investment possibilities in the interviews (Ververs, 2012). Therefore, it is probable that the challenge of investments is not as high as is initially assumed and can be overcome by the enthusiasm of stakeholders, willingness to take action, developing a good 20 long-term vision and a business plan with spreading investment risks (Dorsman and Gehrels, 2012; Buijs, 2012). The secondly most often mentioned challenge relates to the organization, coordination and execution of plans. Examples are finding common goals, make and start implementing the plans (Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; Maris, 2012; Ververs, 2012; Van Voorn, 2012). This is especially difficult for sustainable development plans, since there are multiple conceptualizations on sustainability (Blewitt, 2008). Moreover, planning of the projects is also seen as relevant challenge (Swanson et al, 2004). Those problems can be solved by leadership. Not only internal coordination is a challenge, but there are also difficulties concerned with external coordination to regional, national and supranational programs (Swanson et al, 2004) Broad participation is a precondition for success (Jansen, 2002), but as becomes clear from the figures, the issue of cooperation, namely keeping parties interested and bringing them together in a structured organizational plan is perceived as a challenge (Dorsman & Gehrels, 2012; Gorissen, 2012; Hogenelst, 2012; Van der Horst, 2012; Maris, 2012; Mulder, 2012; Ververs, 2012). Leadership might be a solution and all parties should be able to recognize the benefits of participating (Jansen, 2002). Challenges 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Figure 14: overview of challenges Another challenge concerns the lack of interest in sustainability. Many residents can barely meet the subsistence level and have more urgent concerns, such as poverty and unemployment (Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; Hogenelst, 2012). Furthermore, sustainability is still a relatively Western concept that requires more education (Hogenelst, 2012). It is a challenge to overcome cultural barriers (Jansen, 2002). Moreover, sustainability is not always high on the political agenda (Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; Jaensch, 2012), so political will can be a challenge. It is interesting that the business sector is more preoccupied with the challenge of political will. A related challenge are legislation barriers experienced by stakeholders, such as taxes for producing sustainable energy with private solar panels or wind turbines (Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; de Rijke, 2012). To accomplish the transition to sustainable energy resources in Amsterdam Zuidoost, laws need to be changed first (de 21 Rijke, 2012). Moreover, regulations are often too complex and it is often not clear who is responsible for which task (Hanssen, 2012). A legal expert could be hired to simplify regulations regarding taxes and clarifying the responsibilities of the involved parties (Hanssen, 2012), for instance via a workshop with all involved stakeholders. In this way stakeholders can make a better risk assessment before investing. Moreover, there are some very specific challenges mentioned by only a few actors. For instance, Liander experiences that the current energy market situation and price level of nonrenewable energy sources is a problem, since both are barriers for the energy transition (de Rijke, 2012). According to literature, a significant challenge for sustainability plans is the need for innovations and knowledge (Jansen, 2002). However, this is not an outcome of the interviews, only the AMC sees sharing of knowledge by other parties as a challenge (Maris, 2012). This can be explained by the presence of many actors with expert knowledge and specific techniques in the network. In conclusion, stakeholders experience challenges that possibly influence the sustainability plans. However, in general the feeling reveals that it is possible to overcome those challenges (Buijs, 2012). 22 Figure 15: overview of specific challenges 23 Contribution In this paragraph the contributions that stakeholders might provide related to the Floriade plans are described and an overview is shown in figure 16 and 17. Since a large part of the stakeholders play a connecting role, it is no surprise that the majority of stakeholders has the ability to support cooperation. This can be done by means of linking actors and making use of their network. Figure 16: Overview of specific contribution Almost all interviewees expressed the eagerness to contribute to the sustainability plans. Cooperation and knowledge provision are the most common means of contribution (figure 16). Willingness to support cooperation is stated equally by all stakeholder groups, while technical knowledge is originated mainly by companies and to a lesser extent by governmental agencies (figure 18a,b,c). For example Liander and Waternet have specific technical knowledge and techniques in water management and sustainable energy, (de Rijke, 2012; Ververs, 2012). Ikea is strong in developing green marketing (Hanssen, 2012). Providing manpower is also mentioned as a contribution, however financial compensation is often needed. For instance, Kansrijk Zuidoost would be willing to contribute to awareness raising campaigns or sustainability initiatives and they could train local people for sustainability projects (Hogenelst, 2012). MTD was very enthusiastic about options to stay active in the development of the Floriade 2022 bidbook plans, especially concerning the A9 deck (Mulder, 2012). Moreover Stadsdeel Zuidoost is active in environmental education of young people of the area both to decrease unemployment and spread awareness to have more people involved in sustainable plans in the region (Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012). 24 Contribution 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Knowledge Cooperation Manpower Money Others Figure 17: Overview of contributions Not many parties are found to be willing and enthusiastic to invest in the sustainability plans on a large scale. The government is able to provide subsidies for specific projects, however only to a limited extent (Jaensch, 2012; Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; Van Kooy, 2012). Businesses (figure 18b) are the main potential investors, although businesses have not expressed immediate willingness to invest, which is related to the stage of the plans’ development. The category “Other” includes sustainable entrepreneurs, creation of employment in the region, increase awareness and attention or specific project such as electric charge points (Jaensch, 2012; Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; Gorissen, 2012; Kirby-Petruccio, 2012; Wesseling, 2012). 25 Contribution (Social) 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Knowledge Cooperation Manpower Money Others Contribution (Businesses) 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Knowledge Cooperation Manpower Money Others Contribution (Government) 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Knowledge Cooperation Manpower Money Others Figure 18a,b,c: Contributions within groups Conflicts Conflict is inherent to policy and decision making; with a rising number of participants in decision making the number of opinions, interests, and values increase, making conflict more likely (Reed, 2008). Thus, to make the development of sustainability plans in Amsterdam Zuidoost a success, this analysis of conflicting interests of stakeholders contributes to preventing and resolving possible conflicts. 26 Although stakeholders mentioned having conflicts, only a few stakeholders were willing to elaborate on this. For instance, AGG had conflicts with environmental organizations and governmental parties about the A9, but nowadays these are mainly resolved (Wesseling, 2012). Similarly, Kansrijk Zuidoost had conflicts with other governmental organizations in defending the rights and needs of their clients, nevertheless have good working relations with those organizations (Hogenelst, 2012). These examples show that conflicts need not be detrimental to project output. Due to a lack of input from the interviews, recommendations on how to deal with possible future conflicts can only be made based on literature research. Conflicts 2 No 16 Yes Figure 19: Conflicts among stakeholders Collective action literature provides examples of successful conflict management. Van Laerhoven & Andersson’s case study (2006) reveals that, contrary to the assumption, conflicts do not prevent the successful production of public goods. Conflicts may even be necessary in decentralized governance to deal with conflicting interests, that are abound in this type of governance. Developing institutional mechanisms for conflict resolving, namely rules and procedures for solving disputes is key, since it makes the consequences of actions clearer (Van Laerhoven & Andersson, 2006). Governance literature suggests as a possible solution for dealing with conflicts: arbitration by independent parties (mediation) or facilitation, where an independent party leads negotiations between multiple stakeholders (Bingham et al, 2005). Leach and Pelkey (2001) investigated 37 studies of watershed partnerships and found that clear membership rules, transparent stakeholder rights and responsibilities in combination with Alternative Dispute Resolution (ADR) are paramount to develop successful partnerships. ADR includes mediation, arbitration, negotiation, negotiated rulemaking, neutral fact-finding, and ombuds. ADR is widely applied by governmental organizations in different countries, and often with success (O’Leary & Raines, 2001). The five elementary steps of ADR are placed in table 1, for a more elaborate description of ADR see the factsheet ADR in annex V. 27 Table 1: Steps of ADR (O’Leary & Raines, 2001) In conclusion, in developing the sustainability plans together with stakeholders it is essential to consider mechanisms for conflict resolution, where clarity in terms of roles, duties and participation rules should be formalized. Leach and Pelkey (2001) also stress the need for a flexible and informal organizational structure, thus rigid institutionalization is not advised. The advised independent mediator ought to be a person with leadership skills (O’Leary & Raines, 2001), who has the willingness to investigate the needs, values and interests of stakeholders in-depth rather than seeking for quick consensus development10 (Gregory et al, 2001). Threats In figure 20, a visual presentation is given of threats for the execution of sustainability plans. In this research a threat is stated by the researchers as a probable reason for the failure of the plans, while a challenge is seen as a barrier that should be taken into account to assure the success of the plans. Stakeholders perceive a lack of funding as the major concern for execution of the Floriade plans, as can be seen figure 20 (Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; Dorsman & Gehrels, 2012; Gorissen, 2012; Hilgersom, 2012; Hogenelst, 2012; Van der Horst, 2012; Mantel, 2012; Mulder, 2012; Ververs, 2012; Wesseling, 2012). This threat might be overestimated since actors might be able to invest more but are not yet willing to make this clear during the interviews. It is clear that the involvement and coordination of parties is often seen as a threat (Buijs, 2012; Dorsman & Gehrels, 2012; Hogenelst, 2012; Van Kooy, 2012; Maris, 2012; Van Voorn, 2012). This threat might be solved by finding a managing person or organization that is responsible for the network and coordination issues. Uncertainty about the plans, regulation barriers, market conditions and the focus on sustainable development are considered less urgent. There are also threats that are only mentioned one time, but who are important for the analysis. For instance Emile Jaensch stated that it is a threat for the area that the perspective for the A9 deck is missing, since the Floriade is not coming to Amsterdam. Therefore, it is important to find as soon as possible a new perspective for this area (Buijs, 2012; Jaensch, 2012). Another example is that MTD and Stadsdeel Zuidoost state that political will is the most important threat for the execution of the plans (Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; Mulder, 2012). 10 Quick consensus development carries the danger of merely addressing superficial problems that are easy to negotiate, rather than tackling more profound and urgent problems (Gregory et al, 2001) 28 Threats Lack of investments 1 2 Insicurity about the plans 3 12 3 Difficulty of coordinating and involving all parties Regulations 6 4 Market conditions Focus on SD Others Figure 20: Overview of threats Cooperation This section focuses on future cooperation possibilities identified by stakeholders and suggestions from literature. Certain stakeholders refer to the strengths of Amsterdam Zuidoost in current collaboration initiatives and how those can be extended for future sustainability plans. Examples of those collaborations are: Energiek Zuidoost, Zuidoost Partners and VAVO (Van Kooy, 2012; Jaensch 2012; Mantel, 2012; Ververs, 2012). Especially, Zuidoost has been successful in getting a wide variety of actors together (Van Kooy, 2012). Furthermore, the biggest cluster of entertainment in the Netherlands is situated in Amsterdam Zuidoost (e.g. Pathé, Heineken Music Hall, Ziggodome and the Arena), which offers a strong cooperation potential (Gorissen, 2012). Figure 21 presents an overview of possible cooperation11 . 11 Possible cooperation is based on the fact that interviewees often expressed eagerness to work with anyone who is willing to work on these plans, or provided some examples. The overview is not complete as some stakeholders remained very general in their answers or elaborated on other aspects of cooperation. 29 Figure 21: Examples of options for future cooperation A difference between level of experience related to cooperation can be distinguished, actors with connecting roles have more extensive experience (Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; Dorsman & Gehrels, 2012; Gorissen, 2012; Hanssen, 2012; Hilgersom, 2012; Van Voorn, 2012). Hence, connecting stakeholders should take a leading role by helping the less experienced stakeholders with cooperation. Khare et al. (2011) argue for a tripartite model (figure 22) to make stakeholder cooperation more successful. Figure 22: Three partite model for sustainability. Source: Khare et al. (2011) 30 All three stakeholder groups should benefit from participating in the plans. To accomplish this, guidelines are presented in table 2. Providing short term support (e.g. funding and accommodating legislation) are necessary in the beginning of the projects (Khare et al, 2011). Table 2: Guidelines for win-win development for all parties. Source: Khare et al, 2011 Overall, willingness to cooperate is apparent in Amsterdam Zuidoost, which is crucial in developing sustainability plans. Cooperation is also seen as an effective way to reduce costs (Ververs, 2012; Van der Voort, 2012). However, to keep people involved, results of projects should be communicated clearly (Gorissen, 2012). 1.2.1 Network Overview In this section the network analysis is presented. Relations between actors are representing specific substantive connections (Wasserman & Faust, 1994), namely they are based on the actors contacts in previous collaborations. Cooperation between various stakeholders is seen as one of the preconditions for successful implementation of sustainability plans (Van Asperen, 2012; Gorissen, 2012; Hogenelst, 2012). Firstly, a network overview and information regarding connections between the interviewed stakeholders are provided. Secondly, from this overview lessons can and will be extrapolated from the current situation to the future, and from literature. One such lesson is that cooperation can increase the level of resources and capacities available and spreading risks, both perceived as significant challenges for the plans’ implementation (Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; Gorissen, 2012; Hilgersom, 2012; Hogenelst, 2012; Mantel, 2012; Mulder, 2012; Ververs, 2012; Wesseling, 2012). Results Figure 23 presents the network overview. Interviewed stakeholders have a coloured dot12 and indirectly incorporated stakeholders are displayed with a black dot. Firstly, this overview shows that all interviewed stakeholders are connected to other actors relevant for the Floriade plans. There are no stakeholders excluded from the network, that are of significant importance. A conclusion from interviews was the shared perception of the key actors for executing the sustainability plans, which is confirmed by the network analysis. Those key actors are the Gemeente 12 blue color are governmental organizations, yellow are the business sector, green are citizen groups and pink is a bridging company 31 Amsterdam, Stadsdeel Zuidoost, big companies, banks, housing cooperation’s and knowledge institutions (Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; Gorissen, 2012; Hilgersom, 2012; Hogenelst, 2012; Koers, 2012; Mantel, 2012; de Rijke, 2012; Ververs, 2012; Wesseling, 2012). The Gemeente Amsterdam, DRO and Stadsdeel Zuidoost are the three actors having most contacts. Therefore, it can be concluded that those are key actors and can secure the involvement of other. Moreover, the role of connecting different stakeholders is also clear in the overview, like AIM and Zuidoost Partners. (Gorissen, 2012; Hilgersom, 2012).The connectors link different coloured dots, representing different types of groups. Furthermore, a few stakeholders have critical connections, that other actors don’t have. For example Greenport Aalsmeer is the only interviewed actor with direct connections to horticultural actors, such as LTO Noord and Flora Holland. Therefore, this actor is the only link with specific horticultural knowledge and techniques (Van Voorn, 2012). Another example is Kansrijk Zuidoost, which has a direct link to the inhabitants of Amsterdam Zuidoost, specifically residents in the Bijlmer (Hogenelst, 2012). It is important to secure that those unique types of actors stay connected in the network, since they have distinct contacts. Another interesting outcome is that some companies are mentioned as relevant stakeholders by other actors, yet those companies currently don’t have a high level of inclusion in the network. Examples are Pronam and Ikea. These findings are in accordance with other interview output, for instance Pronam stated that they would like to gain more experience in developing collaboration with other companies, and Ikea is in the process of developing its network in Zuidoost (Dorsman & Gehrels, 2012; Hanssen, 2012). Moreover, some possibly relevant actors (not involved in the bidbook process) for the execution of the plans can be added to the network. Examples are universities, supermarkets, schools, churches, banks and the media (Hilgersom, 2012; Hogenelst, 2012; Mulder, 2012; Wesseling, 2012). Lessons learned According to this network overview some general lessons can be learned to secure the successful development and implementation of the Floriade plans. To continue with the plans, the network should have the ability to deal with this disturbance and new opportunities. Therefore, the network needs to be adaptive (Bodin et al, 2006; Folke et al, 2005; Sandström & Rova, 2010; Van Laerhoven, 2012a,b). The adaptive capacity of a network can be measured regarding characteristics of the network, roles and flows (Van Laerhoven, 2012a). Firstly, empirical research shows that a network is more adaptive when there are collaborative arrangements between a multitude of actors from various sectors (Sandström & Rova, 2010). Several collaborations between stakeholder groups are visible in the Zuidoost network. For instance via Energiek Zuidoost, whereby businesses and governmental organizations work closely together (Mantel, 2012). A point for improvement is the inclusion of more citizen groups. Networks are formed by actors that are in need of resources, both material and immaterial. Links and interactions are made with other actors that can provide relevant resources (Sandström & Rova, 2010). This is also visible in the network overview, e.g. governmental organizations are working with knowledge institutions to gain very specific information (Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012) and companies are working with governmental organizations (Van der Horst, 2012; Ververs, 2012). These types of interactions are crucial now the Floriade is not coming to Amsterdam. Sharing resources can 32 spread the risk over the network (Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; Gorissen, 2012; Hilgersom, 2012; Hogenelst, 2012; Van der Horst, 2012; Mantel, 2012; Mulder, 2012; Ververs, 2012; Wesseling, 2012). Another lesson is related to the size of the network. The larger the size, the higher the political and societal support for plans (Van Laerhoven, 2012a). Due to the enthusiasm created by the bidbook development, there are already a lot of actors involved in the network and the interviews showed that many stakeholders still support the ideas (Buijs, 2012). The network size is already relatively high. Though, it can be improved by including more actors, such as small sustainability initiatives like the New Motion, Metfarm and Statiq Cooling (Kirby-Petruccio, 2012; Metfarm, 2012; Statiq Cooling, 2012). Furthermore, the number of connections within the network is important for the implementation of the plans. A highly connected network improves flows of communication and therefore information sharing between actors is higher. This will lead to improvements of learning possibilities (Bodin et al, 2006,; Holling, 1978). Learning can be important in this case, since there are a lot of actors with specific knowledge and techniques that can be used by other actors. Examples are Liander and Waternet who can provide techniques and knowledge in the energy and water field to users such as housing corporations, businesses and governmental organizations (de Rijke, 2012; Ververs, 2012). In general the level of communication will be crucial for the plans’ execution, since there are many stakeholders involved. So existing links should be strengthened and more links should be made. This might be done by organizing workshops, brainstorm sessions and pilot projects. Moreover, trust within the network is an important determinant of successful sustainability outcomes, since trust influences strategic interaction between actors whose individual incentives can conflict with one another and the sustainability plans. Cooperation in the form of collective action in large projects, such as the Floriade plans, will always carry the risk that others don’t cooperate. Therefore, actors must assume that the degree of trust within the network towards other actors is high enough to cooperate (Henry & Dietz, 2011). This network analysis is not complete enough to make calculations concerning the level of trust. However, according to Charlotte Buijs (2012), there is still a lot of perspective amongst the stakeholders and there is enough trust for future cooperation. Possibilities to increase the level of trust among actors can be reached through collaboration in successful pilot projects. Another lesson pertains to the fact that one leading person or organization will probably be crucial for the execution of the plans and creation of cooperation networks (Van Asperen, 2012; Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; Mantel, 2012; Ververs, 2012). Key figures, with good communicative and organizing skills should be able to steer towards one common vision to accomplish the plans (Van Asperen, 2012). According to scientific literature sustainability is not often realized spontaneously and should be purposefully managed. Efficient leadership is necessary to suppose that actors in the network internalize sustainability in their daily business (Lay, 2007). Nevertheless, the network overview shows that one leader, frontrunner or umbrella organization is lacking. This may be an important point for improvement to increase the stability of the network. This can be solved by establishing an organization that is involved with connecting actors, organizing meetings and stimulating or executing projects. An example of a partly similar, existing organization is the Green Business Club (Van der Horst, 2012). A person that can be steering in this process is Charlotte Buijs, who already has a lot of experience with the network of the Floriade plans since she was one of the initiators of the bidbook (Buijs, 2012). In addition Suzanne van Kooy could be involved, since she was likewise involved in the bidbook plans and both are involved in two of the key actors of the network (Van Kooy, 2012). 33 Figure 23: Network overview of the stakeholders from the plans of the Floriade 2022 35 1.2.2 Economic Context Since its creation in 1960s Amsterdam Zuidoost has always been subjected to renewals. The renewals concern not only the famous high-rise buildings that were blamed to be responsible for the concentration of low incomes and criminality and therefore for the bad image, but also economic, social and environmental aspects of urban planning of this area. The economic situation in Zuidoost is improved, however some problems still persist. In the 90s important private actors placed themselves in Zuidoost and nowadays a strong cluster of economic activity is found (e.g. Bijlmer Boulevard and Amsterdamse Poort) with 4927 companies and 62.573 jobs (Gemeente Amsterdam, 2012; Bureau Onderzoek and Statistiek, 2012). Consequently, the unemployment rate and criminality decreased, and the average income is increased. Nevertheless, these tangible improvements still have not changed the negative image as perceived by many (Gorissen, 2012). While looking at the subjective and objective safety index of Amsterdam Zuidoost an important gap becomes clear. As it is possible to see in figure 24 the objective safety index is one of the lowest, while the subjective safety index is one of the highest. Figure 24: Objective and subjective safety index of Amsterdam. Source: Gemeente Amsterdam O+S 36 Nowadays several problems should be faced in Amsterdam Zuidoost, such as improving the image and decrease early school leaving (Burck & Ploegmakers, 2012; Gorissen, 2012). The past years the interest on sustainability grew in Zuidoost. Sustainability is not only perceived as a way to improve the image of Zuidoost, but also to attract new influential businesses. In fact there is a high demand for sustainable building from leading national and international businesses, such as ING, Adidas and Reebok. Furthermore empty buildings currently are not rented because do not meet the new standard of sustainability (Gorissen, 2012). For dealing with problems, the amount of investments needed in the area is substantial. These extra costs come in a moment of an economic crisis and governments and companies react by adopting restrictive monetary policies. The financial problem is therefore strongly accentuated. Last and more recent problem is the loss of the Floriade bid. This can jeopardize the realization of plans, for instance the budget reserved by the municipality for investment is now annulled (Jaensch, 2012). Furthermore, Zuidoost cannot benefit from direct profits, e.g. for the tourism sector and other businesses. Moreover, the interest and investments of private parties might decrease. The fact that the Floriade will not come to Amsterdam Zuidoost clearly cuts a big slice of the profits and benefits that the area could have gained although it was planned as an open event. Despite this, important economic benefits of the plans can be recognized. Cooperation with the Floriade in Almere creates opportunities in terms of experience and knowledge sharing (Hilgerson, 2012). Moreover, it is an opportunity to advertise Zuidoost as an appropriate region for sustainable companies or initiatives. For example companies participating in the Floriade Almere could decide to be situated in Zuidoost (Hilgersom 2012), because of better infrastructural system and clustered economy compared to Almere (Dorsman and Gehrels, 2012). Moreover, the Floriade in Almere will provide a general boost concerning technical knowledge about similar plans. On the other hand, Emile Jaensch (2012) doubts that there are many companies willing to base themselves in Amsterdam because of Floriade in Almere, however the benefits for the tourism sector are clear. General benefits of the plans can also be distinguished. The effect of an exogenous investment on an economy is described by Keynes as the multiplier effect (Keynes, 1936). A small investment (usually from government) can generate a flow of new income in the entire economy. Take for example the realization of the A9 deck. In this case Rijkswaterstaat invests in the realization of the A9 deck and hires a construction company to realize the plans; the company has a direct economic benefit that is distributed among its employees. Employees partly spend part of this money to purchase products and services. In turn, companies selling these products and services have indirect economic benefit from the initial investment and reinvest the extra money earned. Despite the direct economic effect being small the total effect of new incomes created for the entire economy is much higher and present in different sectors. The same multiplier effect can be found for smaller projects such as urban horticulture in empty buildings. To keep the economic benefits of such plans in the area it is important that companies and employees involved are mainly from the region and that people who will benefit from this initial investment spend their money in Zuidoost. Moreover specifically for urban horticulture, exploiting niche markets can be a good strategy, since it is more profitable to grow rare species or medicinal plants (Gorissen, 2012; Hilgersom, 2012; Van Voorn 2012). To face financial problems, a solution that takes into account the increased openness of the government regarding sustainability plans and the involvement of multiple actors is required. In an 37 open source project ideas, effort and resources are shared and the solution to overcome lack of financial resources is in sharing risks and costs as well. For example through a Public-Private Partnership (PPP) a project can be realized due to the cooperation between public and private actors. As stated by Yescombe (2007. p.17) a PPP programme “…enables the public sector to make (or accelerate) investments in infrastructure which would not otherwise have been possible (or would have been delayed until later)”. Weak points of PPPs should also be considered. For instance, PPPs are an undemocratic way of decision making. In order to enhance the democratic level it is essential to involve a variety of interest groups that is representative for the involved stakeholders. Furthermore, striving for transparency will make the PPP decision-making more open (Stoker, 1998). Moreover, in a PPP there are several actors involved and the life span of the project is very long, which increases the transaction costs (Katz, 2006). Another weak point is that combined financial investments are clearly more expensive (higher interest rate) than public-sector borrowing, because lenders to governments assume minor risks compared to lenders in the private sector (Yescombe 2007). Usually PPPs are seen as a tool to realize long term and big scale projects, such as the deck of the A9. Here we see PPPs as a broader concept that can be used to stimulate stakeholders in realizing short term, small scale and regional plans. If a PPP is used to realize the short term and small scale sustainability plans, the weak points mentioned above can be partially overcome. This short term and small scale projects can be seen in the form of pilot projects and quick wins. In this way less money is required and useful experience is gained. The knowledge accumulated can reduce uncertainty and stimulate new investments on a larger scale. 1.3.4 SWOT Analysis Figure 25 presents the main Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats for a sustainable Zuidoost system. This table is based on interview’s transcripts and impressions, websites, reports and other material provided by stakeholders. The four parameters (SWOT) are divided into internal and external dimensions. In this analysis the group of stakeholders is considered as a single entity. Therefore to measure strengths and weaknesses only the characteristics of the group of stakeholders selected are taken into account, while for threats and opportunities all external actors are taken into account. In the internal squares, possible combinations of internal and external characteristics are presented. For each of these combinations a question is asked: - Upper left corner: How can we use our Strengths to overcome the Threats? - Lower left corner: How can we use our Strengths to exploit the Opportunities? - Lower right corner: How can we overcome our Weaknesses to exploit the Opportunities? - Upper right corner: How can we overcome our Weaknesses to prevent Threats? (Erik Larsen, 2010) The four elements are combined in this way to find solutions and ideas for stimulating the development in Zuidoost. Solutions and ideas presented are stated by stakeholders or are the results of own reflections and experiences. 38 Figure 25:SWOT Analysis of Sustainable Zuidoost System 39 1.4 Conclusion In conclusion, stakeholder, network, economic context, and SWOT analysis provide an overview of challenges and opportunities for the implementation of the Floriade plans. There are several strengths and opportunities that became clear during the analysis, such as the enthusiasm of stakeholders to participate and cooperate in the plans, improving the image and livability of Zuidoost and various economic opportunities. Moreover, there is already a strong network base due to the forming of the bidbook and existing networks. However, potential weaknesses and threats can also be distinguished, for instance the lack of leadership and investments. Both weaknesses and threats mentioned are related to the current shift from government to governance. Therefore, inclusion of multiple stakeholder groups is gaining more importance. On the other hand this evolvement brings difficulties like coordination problems and possible conflicts of interest. During the analysis several solutions were found. An example is a short term focus on quick wins for stakeholders, which will allow learning, sustainable innovation and a shift to more extensive projects.13 Moreover, sustainability plans need to contain clear arguments for participating, since stakeholders should see the advantages of cooperating. In addition a long term steering vision must be developed in collaboration with stakeholders and leadership should be established. Both overcome organizational problems related to the development and implementation of the plans. In those plans attention should be paid also to legal and market barriers. According to the analysis, continuing with the Floriade plans is possible and will be beneficial for all stakeholders, if several aspects mentioned are taken into account. However, to convince stakeholders, the technical and financial feasibility of the plans should also be clear and those will be researched in the next two chapters. 1.5 Discussion Due to constrains in time and resources it is unrealistic to claim that the stakeholder analysis is exhaustive and complete, as other relevant actors might be included. There are stakeholders that were not possible to get in contact or that were not willing to cooperate. This can limit the representativeness of the stakeholder sample, since more social groups might have partially changed the research results. However, due to a careful stakeholder selection, the level of representativeness of the research population is relatively high. A limitation concerning the method of interviewing is that it became clear that the Floriade was not honored to Amsterdam during the research execution. This decision might have influenced the research outcomes, since some interviews were executed before the decision-making and others were held after. Consequently, there might be differences in the stakeholders’ answers. Moreover, it should be stated that most interviews were held in English, which might have been a barrier since all stakeholders were Dutch. Another possible bias is that some questions are hard to answer or that socially desirable answers are given. For example most respondents said that they never had any conflicts with other actors. Besides, interviews were held by different members of the research group, which could have influenced the reactions of respondents and more experience with interviewing was gained during the process. Yet, those influencing factors are reduced by the application of similar basic interview questionnaires. Furthermore, the interpretation of interviews should be considered, which could contain some subjectivity (e.g. translation of qualitative into quantitative data). 13 Since a long term strategy concerning quick wins will not work. 40 Another consideration is that a complete network analysis was not feasible due to the research scope and time given. Therefore, not all possible actors are included. Moreover, many respondents had difficulty answering the network related questions (e.g. frequency of contacts). Consequently, it is not possible to make network calculations, which is an interesting option for further research (Bodin et al, 2006; Sandström & Rova, 2010). Lastly, it should be mentioned that the interpretation of the interview outcomes by the researchers might contain elements of subjectivity. Another difficult aspect of this research is finding the balance between an academic output and a professional output for the client. Overall, the research outcomes form an appropriate basis to answer the research questions. Further research on this topic might contain more interviews, surveys among inhabitants or workshop sessions with a mix of attendees. 41 2. Energy Panagiotis Moraitis, 3717208 Corina van der Hulst, 0451525 2.1 Introduction One of the main themes from the plans for the Floriade is related to energy. In Amsterdam Zuidoost there are many opportunities for the development of initiatives concerning sustainable energy, due to multifunctional role, as it includes for instance working areas, housing, free spaces and sport facilities. Consequently, streams of energy, resources and waste are created. In order to make the area more sustainable and energy neutral, it is important to seek for opportunities to utilize these streams to reduce energy consumption, improve local production of energy and to match supply and demand better (Gemeente Amsterdam, 2012). Therefore, to guide through this study the following research questions were formulated. What are the current initiatives and further options for energy savings and sustainable energy production in Amsterdam Zuidoost? What is the potential of each of those options in terms of energy and emission savings and costs and benefits? What are opportunities and challenges for relevant stakeholders for each plan and how does each plan relate to other plans (either related to energy, ecology or hydrology)? This energy track section of the research focuses on exploring current initiatives and new plans and technologies that could be implemented related to energy production and consumption, and their potential in Amsterdam Zuidoost. The next chapter describes the steps that were followed in this research, and then a detailed description of the initiatives and plans and their potential energy and emission savings, associated cost, strengths and weaknesses for stakeholders and the relationship with other plans is given, followed by a summarizing overview of the opportunities and their potential. 2.2 Methodology In order to answer the research questions and get a clear overview of the opportunities to make Amsterdam Zuidoost more sustainable in terms of energy and emission saving measures and improved local energy production, it is the first step to create an inventory of the local initiatives, relevant stakeholders, and available technologies for the future. Information on the specific plans and collaborations that are in place in Zuidoost was gathered from interviews with the stakeholders and from literature. These plans and initiatives were assessed and described in three main topics: energy efficiency measures, energy production technologies and energy from water, in order to give a clear overview of all the related, existing projects and opportunities in Zuidoost. One of the relevant initiatives that has to be mentioned here because it is not related to a specific project is Energiek Zuidoost, which aims at connecting stakeholders in order to reduce carbon emissions of Amsterdam Zuidoost by means of projects such as solar coalitions, utilizing waste water and energy exchange on a district level (Amsterdam Smart City, 2012). Energiek Zuidoost can act as an important connector and stimulator of the plans that are discussed in this chapter. Together with a description, the potential of each technology or plan will be described in terms of energy and emission savings and associated cost. This will be done at the level of specificity that is achievable for that plan, depending on the specific data available (e.g. for the area of Zuidoost or per building). In case of insufficient data, assumptions and simplifications will be made. 42 The third step is to describe the opportunities and challenges related to each technique or plan for the stakeholders that are involved, and the relationship of this plan to other (energy, ecology or hydrology related) plans. As a conclusion the potential and cost for all suitable technologies for Zuidoost are provided together with an indication of the preferred implementation timeframe, in order to be able to make integrated recommendations for a sustainable vision for Zuidoost in the integration chapter. 2.3 Energy Efficiency 2.3.1 Efficiency in Electricity Introduction According to ‘Trias Energetica14’ the first principle is to reduce the demand for energy by avoiding waste and implementing energy-saving measures. The area of Zuidoost has a large number of inhabitants (37000 houses, which is 9,4% of the total residential stock of Amsterdam)(Gemeente Amsterdam O+S, 2011) and has also a high concentration of companies such as the Amsterdam ArenA, IKEA, Endemol studio’s, Pathé, Amsterdamse Poort, and also a large number of office buildings in the areas Amstel III and Bullewijk. The majority of the stakeholders have also as a primary target to reduce the energy consumption and therefore, it is necessary to examine the potential to apply energy saving techniques in both the residential and the private sector. Energy savings in electrical devices is a direct way to reduce consumption and CO 2 emissions. In addition to saving in thermal energy the solutions are easier and cheaper to apply and they are targeting mainly on the behavioural change of the consumers. The energy waste of electrical devices can be split up in to 2 categories. The first one is the standby power which is defined as a product’s minimum power consumption while it is plugged in (IEC, 2012). Without unplugging the power cord of your equipment, standby power is continuously used for your TV screen, mobile charger, PCs and peripherals. The amount of electricity wasted while the equipment is turned off but still plugged-in accounts for 10% of the total electricity consumption in domestic use (ADEME, 2000). Average Residential Annual Electricity Fraction over Total Standby Power Use Residential Electricity (W) kWh/yr Use Netherlands 37 330 10% Table 3: Standby power consumption in the Netherlands per household (ADEME, 2000) A number of devices that are commonly used both in households and in the office sector are presented on the table 4 below 14 The 3 elements of Trias Energetica are: 1. Reduce the demand for energy by avoiding waste and implementing energy-saving measures; 2. Use sustainable sources of energy like wind, the sun, water and the ground; 3. Use fossil fuel energy as efficiently as possible and only if sustainable sources of energy are unavailable (E.H. Lysen, 1996). 43 Equipment PC without monitor Monitor Copier Laser Printer Inject Printer Active (W) 36 66 0.86 Wh/page 0.88 Wh/page 26 Stand by (W) 27 15 206 64 13 Table 4:Standby power consumption of electronic equipment (ADEME, 2000) On average the average Standby Power use of the office equipment was found to be 32W per device (Roberson, 2004). The second category is the “Wasted of Power in Use” of electrical devices and it represents the amount of energy that is misused by the consumer and therefore wasted. For example, lights, PCs, monitors that are always turned on. Furthermore, office buildings use a considerable amount of energy outside office hours, due to lights that remain on and servers consuming energy throughout a day, but also according to studies a large number of PC’s (58%) and monitors (20%) are not turned off when the service is closed (Roberson, 2004). Electricity monitoring in Buildings The fundamental principle of the energy saving techniques is that “you cannot manage what you cannot measure”. Monitoring systems give control over the energy consumed in a working area or in a house and consequently it could reduce the variations in consumption between similar households to a minimum level. Studies in the Netherlands have shown that variations resulted on micro level activities could be up to 36% (Sonderegger, 1978) and therefore there is much room for improvement on residents behaviour. Applicable techniques are already commercial and very simple. They involve only a number of meters to collect data and suitable software to process them. The frequency at which data is compiled varies according to the desired report but it could be from seconds to hours. The target of those techniques is to create a regular collection of information on energy use, in order to establish a basis for energy management and explain deviations from an established pattern. With the current technology, monitoring systems have become widely available for all the consumption levels, from small houses to a business level and it is easy to use and install by anyone without the need for any specific technical knowledge. A number of companies like Groene Checktap, Plugwise and Switch my Light have already expressed strong interest through Amsterdam Innovation Motor (AIM) to explore the market potential of Amsterdam Zuidoost (Hilgersom, 2012). Their business activities are concentrated in monitoring devices and software, smart switches and efficient lighting. Cost and Benefits of energy monitoring The most important benefit of energy monitoring is the behavioural impact that it might have on daily habits of consumers. Campaigns may have a strong impact as well but their effect is temporary as the results tend to faint quite rapidly (Wilhite, 1995). Nowadays, with the current technology energy savings could be visually presented on a screen and mobile devices resulting to fundamental change in consumption behaviour (Wood, 2002). Studies on consumption behaviour with monitoring systems and PC software have shown a 12,9% reduction in electricity consumption (Wood, 2002). A complete monitoring system with 44 suitable software and smart switches to reduce the stand by loss of power has a market value of 300 euro’s (Plugwise, 2012), the average Dutch house consumes 2,900 kWh of electricity (EEA, 2008) per year, they are responsible for 374 gr CO2/kWh that are emitted during the electricity production (IEA, 2009) and the current price is 0,22 euros/kWh (EL&I, 2011) leading to a payback period of 3.7 years which is considerably low for an average household. The results are summarized on the table 5 below. Annual Domestic Potential Emissions Savings Annual Savings PBP Consumption savings kWh/yr kg CO2 Euro years kWh/yr 2900 377 140 82 3.7 Table 5:Average expected savings per household The technical potential of the residential sector in Zuidoost is on the following table (6). Number of Energy savings Emission Savings houses MWh tones of CO2 37000 13949 5180 Table 6: Average annual savings for residential sector On the business sector is much harder to calculate the potential savings as the activities vary significantly between companies. However, considering the number of the total office square meters (1,710,000 m2, Gemeente Amsterdam O+S, 2011) and the large number of electrical appliances create a large potential. 2.3.2 Green walls and roofs Introduction Green walls and roofs are often proposed as a solution to introduce more green in urban areas and decrease urban heat island effects (Wong et al, 2010). These aspects of green roofs are discussed in the eco hydrology chapter. From an energy perspective, covering the building envelope with vegetation has also additional benefits. Jaffal et al. (2011) lists a number of these effects, namely green roofs improve the building’s energy efficiency by enhancing the heat transfer through roofs, the reduction of the summer temperature around green roofs improves the efficiency of air conditioning systems by providing a local free cooling effect to the fluid before it returns to the chiller. This reduced temperature also improves the efficiency of surrounding photovoltaic panels and reduce a city’s carbon footprint by converting carbon dioxide to oxygen through photosynthesis (Jaffal et al, 2011). Therefore, installing green roofs and walls can realize the sustainability goals of stakeholders at different levels such as housing corporations, businesses, the municipality, and the AMC hospital. There are several green roof and wall installers active in Amsterdam, an overview can be found at the website of Amsterdam Green Roof Initiative (AGRI, 2012). To stimulate the installation of green roofs, the municipality of Amsterdam has started a subsidy scheme: residents of Amsterdam can apply for a subsidy of 50 euros per square meter up to a maximum of 50% of the total installation costs. A maximum of 20,000 euros subsidy will be awarded for each individual project (I Amsterdam, 2012). This subsidy is available to house owners, but the majority of the houses in Amsterdam Zuidoost are apartment buildings. This implies that the housing corporations need to install the green roofs, but the insulation benefits are on the side of the 45 residents. Therefore, adapted regulation is needed that allows for sharing the cost and benefits between the housing corporation and tenants. Theoretical savings Benefits of green walls or living walls and green roofs are multiple: the most important being insulation provided by vegetation and substrate by means of absorption of solar radiation by plants, transpiration and shading. Plant surfaces, in contrast to concrete walls and roofs, do not rise more than 4–5 °C above the ambient temperature (Pérez et al, 2011). Amsterdam already has goals on the implementation of green roofs, and they are available on the commercial market, therefore the analysis of the potential and cost and benefits will be on green roofs. Generally, two types of green roofs are generally identified: extensive (with soil thickness less than 10-15 cm) and intensive (with soil thickness more than 15-20 cm) (Jaffal et al, 2011). Because of their low additional loads, extensive green roofs are suitable for building retrofitting, i.e. they do not require any additional strengthening (Jaffal et al, 2011). Energy savings are depending on the level of insulation the building already has. The reduction of the total annual energy savings varies from 2-44% for well insulated to poorly insulated buildings (Castleton et al, 2010). Naturally, the magnitude of temperature decreases because this transformation depends on climatic characteristics, the amount of vegetation and the behaviour of different plant species in local weather conditions (Alexandri & Jones, 2008; Pérez et al, 2011). For temperate climates, the potential of reducing heating energy demand is more important, since that represents a larger share of the energy consumption in buildings. Following the method used by Castleton et al. (2010), a rough estimation can be made of potential energy savings in an area. Potential energy savings of green roofs in Amsterdam Zuidoost Since the building stock in Amsterdam Zuidoost consists largely of existing office buildings and apartment blocks, retrofitting these with extensive green roofs would be a realistic option to consider. According to Castleton, it was estimated that 15% of these buildings would be suitable for implementing a green roof (retrofitting), comparing to similar situations in Australia and Germany (Castleton et al, 2010). Annual energy savings for heating based on improved isolation values (a lower u-value means better insulation capacity) are shown in table 7. Amsterdam Zuidoost was developed in the 1960’s and the business areas Amstel III and Bullewijk in the 1980’s (Stadsdeel Zuidoost, 2005). This means that the apartment building blocks are on average moderately insulated since using cavity walls was already required at that time in the Netherlands, but insulation of floors, roofs and windows, might be outdated (Thijssen, 1990). Therefore, Zuidoost might have a potential to save energy by implementing measures that improve insulation such as green roofs. Table 7: Energy savings for various roof constructions. Source: Nichaou et al, 2001 in Castleton et al, 2010 Roof construction Well insulated Moderately insulated Non insulated U-Value without green roof (W/m2 K) 0.26–0.4 0.74–0.80 U-Value with green roof (W/m2 K) 0.24–0.34 0.55–0.59 Annual energy saving % for heating 8–9% 13% Annual energy saving % for cooling 0 0–4% Total annual energy saving 7.76–18.18 1.73–1.99 45–46% 22–45% 31–44% 2% 3–7% 46 Office buildings Gas consumption for office buildings built in 1980 is 17 m3 per m2 floor space (Van Arkel, 1998). Amsterdam Zuidoost has 1,710,000 m2 offices and business (Gemeente Amsterdam O+S, 2011). Assumed is that 95% of the natural gas consumption is used for heating. This leads to an annual consumption of natural gas for heating of office buildings of 27.6 million m 3 equaling 1.08 PJ per year. When accounted for the savings for moderately insulated buildings (13%) and the percentage that is suitable for retrofitting (15%) the potential savings are 21 TJ per year which is 1.85% of the total natural gas consumption of office buildings. Table 8: overview of residential stock and energy use for Amsterdam Zuidoost (Gemeente Amsterdam O+S, 2011; DRO, 2011) Residential stock Zuidoost Percentage Percentage using district heating Natural gas consumption per household (m3/year) TOTAL annual natural gas consumption (m3/year) Privately owned 9893 27% Social rental sector 23719 64% Private rental 3288 9% 1300 1000 1300 1.29E+07 2.37E+07 4.27E+06 Total 36900 100% 49.9% 2.04E+07 Residential buildings Total annual consumption of natural gas by households in Amsterdam Zuidoost is 20.4 million m 3 DRO, 2011). Assumed is that 75% of the natural gas consumption is used for heating, resulting in an annual consumption of natural gas for heating of 15.3 million m 3. It is also assumed that the share of the households that uses district heating has no primary energy use for heating, since the district heating system utilizes excess heat from energy production plants. Energy content of natural gas is 39 MJ/m3; this means a consumption of 596 TJ per year. When accounted for the savings for moderately insulated buildings (13%) and the percentage that is suitable for retrofitting (15%) the potential savings are 11.6 TJ per year which is 1.46% of the total natural gas consumption of all residential buildings in Zuidoost. Cost and benefits In terms of financial benefits, considering the energy savings of green roofs for Zuidoost, office buildings can save €0.52 on the annual gas expenses of €4.25 per square meter by implementing the savings whereas households are able to save €26.99 on €276.79 annually, assuming a price of €0.25 per m3 natural gas. Another benefit comes from the longer life time of green roofs; the life span of green roofs is claimed to be double compared to the material of normal roofs, this is caused by the effect of protection from UV light and frosts. The costs of installing green roofs are affected by a number of factors: the size (there is an economy of scale: larger roofs become less expensive), the type of roof (e.g. sedum mats are more expensive than hydro seeding), installation and maintenance cost related to the type of roof, and the type of waterproofing and insulation (Livingroofs, 2004). Livingroofs lists very divergent installation costs for green roofs, ranging from 150 €/m2 in the USA to 20-40 €/m2 in Germany depending on the size of the roof. The Dutch market has already matured more than the American market, according to Dutch installers cost will be around 70-90 €/m2. (Groendak, 2011; Enerbouw, 2012). 47 2.3.3 Urban farming Introduction One of the plans for the Floriade: introducing urban farming into Amsterdam Zuidoost is still in place at this moment and will be assessed here from an energy perspective, since it might be a concept that can realize multiple ambitions that various stakeholders have (e.g. making Amsterdam more self-sufficient (Hogenelst, 2012), bridge gap between eating and producing: connect food to the city and educate citizens (Buijs, 2012; Van Voorn, 2012). All the effects of the various forms of urban farming with respect to green, food production, closing water cycles and other ecohydrology related topics are discussed in the ecohydrology chapter. Three types of urban farming can be distinguished: small scale such as rooftop gardens, private and public vegetable gardens or horticulture on balconies; and large scale, that can be divided into utilizing existing buildings and new (horizontal) greenhouses (e.g. on the deck on the Gaasperdammerweg). From an energy perspective the large scale solutions are the most interesting since smaller vegetable gardens are usually not very energy intensive, they use waste streams and they are not intended to operate at a commercial level. Urban greenhouses There are many ambitious plans for vertical greenhouses and skyscrapers in cities all over the world (Despommier, 2009; Jacobs, 2010; Bright Farms, 2012), but none of these plans has been executed in reality. In Rotterdam an initiative of Stichting Innovatie Glastuinbouw (SIGN) will be executed in 2013. It is called the ‘Stadskas’, and is designed to produce food locally and set a positive example to citizens (Van der Veen et al, 2012). Some advantages of urban greenhouses include reduction of fossil fuel emissions and recycling of waste water, high areal productivity since a vertical greenhouse can be up to thirty stories tall, as well as the ability to use hydroponics technology that allows for better control and less waste from cultivation (Despommier, 2011). Further advantages from an energy perspective are related to excess heat that is produced during the day by this kind of vertical greenhouse. To fully utilize this potential, heat can be stored for night times or exchanged with for example residential blocks using an ‘Aquifer Thermal Energy Storage’ (ATES) system. This technology of underground thermal energy storage is explained later in this chapter. Urban farming in existing buildings Currently, Metfarm is already operating pilot vertical farm for in an empty office building in IJburg. There are almost no changes made to the building and plants are grown using LED lights. Normal soil can be used, but hydroponics and aeroponics technology as well. In order to close loops, water from the cultivation of fish, containing nutrients could be used. Growing food in the city can save on transportation and storage and Metfarm claims to use no preservatives and pesticides (Hussain, 2012). In 2011 Zuidoost had the highest number of empty office buildings in the whole of Amsterdam; 23.3% of the available office space (1.71 million square meters) is empty and this 48 Figure 26: Aeroponics system in Metfarm (TEDxAmsterdam, 2012) number has been increasing in the last few years all over Amsterdam (Gemeente Amsterdam O+S, 2011). That problem could mean a great potential for urban horticulture, since this does not require any large construction changes to the buildings. However, the larger share of energy consumption would be from the (LED) lighting. The advantage of using LED lighting is that only the specific wavelengths (usually a combination of blue (450–470 nm) and red (650–665 nm) LED’s is used) that match the absorption peaks for chlorophyll and carotenoids can be used, and thereby a lot of energy is saved (Yeh & Chung, 2009). Besides the energy savings due to the low power consumption of LED lights, photosynthesis does not need to take place in continuous light. Light reactions can be separated from the dark reactions and therefore a pulsating light source at the right frequency does not affect the growth rates and can save energy (Yeh & Chung, 2009). Cost and benefits Since there are no large scale examples available, it is extremely difficult to make a realistic estimation of the energy consumption and savings of indoor urban horticulture. Positive factors on the energy balance include: proximity to consumption, e.g. consumers, a restaurant or a supermarket in the same building; combination with energy storage in ‘Aquifer Thermal Energy Storage’ (ATES) systems, utilizing waste streams, such as nutrient rich waste water and appropriate lighting regime (adjusted wavelength and frequency). On the realization of goals from stakeholders urban farming can contribute significantly. It integrates energy efficient food production and closed production cycles, with ecological benefits as described in the eco hydrology chapter and enables horticultural companies such as farmers or Greenport Aalsmeer provide education on food production and to connect to consumers, potential employees and other businesses (Van Voorn, 2012) 2.3.4 Optimization of water thermal energy use Introduction The water cycle in Amsterdam Zuidoost contains a lot of energy in the form of heat and cold that can be recovered on a district level as well as on the level of individual homes. The two main things to consider are heat from waste water and cold from drinking water or nearby lakes. A related topic is the storage of heat and cold water in aquifer systems. Waste water contains two types of energy; thermal and chemical energy. Thermal energy can be recovered at different levels to increase energy efficiency. This is addressed in the next section. The chemical energy is mainly used to produce biogas by anaerobic digestion at the Amsterdam waste treatment plant. This biogas is used to produce electricity and heat in combined heat and power systems or to produce green gas used by the public transport in Amsterdam (Waste and Energy Company, 2011). Heat recovery About 54% of drinking water used in a household is heated and leaves the house at an average temperature of 27oC (Hofman et al, 2009). The embedded heat depends on the use and it can vary significantly, water from bathing and shower has a temperature of approximately 38oC to 40oC, tap water could leave the house at a temperature of 10oC to 55oC, and water from the dishwasher and a washing machine has a temperature of approximately 40oC (Hofman et al, 2009). In the domestic sector the wastewater contributes up to 40% of the heat loss from a house and it accounts to 8 GJ annually, which equals 450 kg CO2 (Nauffal Monsalve, 2011). 49 The thermal energy in waste water holds a large potential. Temperatures in the sewer system usually vary between 12°C and 20°C during the year and hardly ever drop below 10°C in the winter. Directly after the discharge from households the average temperature is 27°C. According to the Leidraad Energetische Stedenbouw, a research conducted by the spatial planning department of Amsterdam and Delft University, the potential for heat pumps and heat exchangers on a household level (e.g. for the shower or directly after the waste water leaves a house) is maximum 35 GJ per household. The efficiency depends on the application of the heat exchanger and can vary from 60% to 90-95% for air heating and ventilation installations, and from 30% to 50-60% for heat recovery from waste and sewer water (DRO, 2011). Figure 27: Water temperature in the sewage system (Schmid, 2008). From figure 27 displayed above, it is clear that the wastewater temperature is highest in the initial part of the sewer system and therefore heat recovery in a building is higher than other possibilities, because the heat is still not dissipated. In that case wastewater is used for pre-heating domestic water, reducing gas consumption substantially. In this category systems that don’t use heat pump can also be implemented due to the high temperatures, such as shower heat exchangers (Wong et al, 2010). However, extensive work that is needed for this solution makes it only suitable during construction of new houses or renovation. Another feasible solution would be to be applied on the main sewage system on a district level close to housing areas. Figure 28: Domestic Heat Recovery methods (Schmid, 2008) 50 It is a fact that, drinking water has an average temperature of 12.5°C in the tap throughout the year, in winter times this temperature is about 8°C, while in summer it can reach 25°C (Nauffal Monsalve, 2011) and this energy can be used to balance an ‘Aquifer Thermal Energy Storage’ (ATES) system. Also, another important benefit of this approach is that the drinking water is cooled in the summer and can be delivered to the customers at a lower temperature, improving the comfort level and the hygienic quality with lowering the risk of microbiological growth (Kooij et al, 1995). Cost and Benefits The cost of energy production in wastewater heating installations has a range of 0.05-0.17 euros per kWh. In comparison with a condensing gas heater, a wastewater heat pump (with peak load boiler) uses 10% less primary energy, and 23% less compared with an oil-fired heater. From an environmental point of view a bivalent wastewater heat pump that is powered mainly with electricity causes only 22% CO2 emissions compared to an oil-fired heating system. If the power for the drive of the wastewater heat pump is provided by a gas-fuelled combined heat and power unit, emissions are reduced down to 41% (Schmid, 2008). Cooling systems In collaboration with Waternet, Nuon operates a cooling system in Amsterdam Zuidoost that utilizes cold water from the former sand mine Ouderkerkerplas. Eight buildings are currently connected to the cooling network in Zuidoost, namely the offices of ING and Atlas ArenA Amsterdam as well as the new Endemol studios (Nuon, 2010). By using a central cooling machine fed with cold water from the lake, a reduction in greenhouse gas emission is reached of almost 20,000 ton CO2-eq/year as compared with separate cooling machines in every office building. Table 9 shows the energy and emissions that are saved by utilizing cold water from the Ouderkerkerplas (Nauffal Monsalve, 2011). Technique Electricity Consumption (MWh/yr) CO2 emission (ktons/year) Own cooling machines Central cooling machine Central cooling machines with cold water from the Ouderkerkerplas 29.2 12.2 4.9 23.9 10 4 Table 9: Savings of energy and emissions of central cooling with water from the Oudekerkerplas The future potential of central cooling technologies depends on the available cold water from the nearby lakes (Ouderkerkerplas and Gaasperplas) that cannot be overexploited, the cost of installing the pipelines which can increase rapidly with longer or more complicated pipe construction works (Liandon, 2012), and the willingness of the stakeholders that are involved to cooperate. 51 Aquifer Thermal Energy Storage In case of a doublet system as shown in figure 29, in wintertime ground water is extracted from a warm well at a temperature of around 15°C. The heat is transferred via a heat exchanger to a heat Figure 29: Aquifer Thermal Energy Storage, doublet system (Nauffal Monsalve, 2011 pump. The cooled water is put back into the cold well at a temperature of 7°C. The heat pump transfers the low temperature heat to a temperature of 40-55°C, while additional equipment can increase the temperature further for heated tap water purposes. In summertime, the flow of the ground water circuit is the other way around, so water from the cold well can be used for cooling purposes (Nauffal Monsalve, 2011). 52 An ATES system can also be used to store thermal energy from sun collectors, surface water, sewer systems or waste heat from for example data centers. This can be used in wintertime and Figure 30: ATES systems in Amsterdam Area (Van den Hoek, 2011), the area of Zuidoost is highlighted with the square. directly by nearby consumers. With an ATES system, a CO2-reduction up to 50-70% can be obtained in comparison with a traditionally heated and cooled building (Nauffal Monsalve, 2011). In Amsterdam, 80 projects are already installed or under construction, realizing an emission reduction of more than 23,000 ton CO2-eq/year (Nauffal Monsalve, 2011). In the area of Amsterdam Zuidoost already 7 ATES system are operational. As it is shown in the maps below the potential in Amsterdam for ATES systems is quite large, and the cost of installing such a system will pay back in 4-8 years, depending on what type of building is going to use the system. According to a research conducted by the spatial planning department of Amsterdam and Delft University, the potential for the whole of Amsterdam is 3900 GJ per doublet installed (DRO, 2011). The potential of Amsterdam Zuidoost is poor for low depth exploitation as we can see from the map below, but on the other hand the potential in average depth (50-300m) is much higher. 53 Figure 31: Underground thermal potential of Amsterdam, 0-50m (left) 50-300m (right) (DRO, 2011). Zuidoost is highlighted with a square. The national government developed a web tool (wkotool.nl) that helps in assessing the feasibility of such a system on a specific location by combining the potential of that location with the cost for a certain case. The standard case of this tool is 250 houses, 10 apartments and 10000 m2 utilities that are going to use the well. This results are comparable for the whole area of Zuidoost: investment to be made will be approximately 1,140,000 euro, and the annual benefits: 194,000 euro. This will then result in 59% energy and 54% emission savings (WKOtool, 2012). Description Nr of houses/ Investment Annual operation PBP Energy Emission apartments/ cost (€) and maintenance (years) savings savings 2 m of utilities cost (€/year) (%) (%) Base case of 250/10/10000 1.256000 140.000 7-11 50 43 WKOtool Small apartment building (200 0/200/0 377.00 38.000 5-9 47 42 apartements) Large apartment building (1000 0/1000/0 929.000 213.000 2-6 47 42 apartments) Office building (e.g. for urban 0/0/40000 483.000 62.000 6-10 46 40 farming) Table 10: Characteristics, cost and benefits of different ATES systems. Payback period, energy and emission savings are calculated in comparison with a conventional system for heating and cooling. Opportunities for optimization of thermal energy from water utilization Installing Heat and Cooling systems and combining it with ATES is a direct way to lower the consumption of natural gas for heating and therefore achieving the sustainable goals of the various stakeholders. A new market will develop as the large potential of the area makes it appealing for future investments. A large number of various stakholders will be involved on different levels, such as housing corporations and local buisnesses could implement heat recovery systems on a small scale while Nuon or other big companies could create their ATES system and their own network to distribute heat and cold. Moreover, a balanced heat and cold storage system could be ideal for the implementation of urban agriculture activities by lowering the production cost. On the legislative side, ATES system owners are supposed to keep the average underground temperature at 12°C. This 54 sometimes leads to farmers running cooling installations to secure this ‘balance’ and thereby wasting energy. Regulation demanding owners to put as much energy in as what is taken out and allowing them to put in heat from datacentres at higher temperature would make ATES systems more energy efficient (Goudswaard et al, 2010). 2.4 Energy Production 2.4.1 Introduction In Amsterdam is a strong interest on local energy production. Business and consumers work together in finding new solutions for the production of sustainable energy and these initiatives are a good example of what can also be done in the district Zuidoost. The large investment cost and the unwillingness of the individual local stakeholders to undertake large scale projects by themselves creates suitable conditions for the formation of solar coalitions. The potential for solar energy in Zuidoost lays on the large amount of unused space on rooftops where, according to the Leidraad Energetische Stedenbouw an annual production of 126 GJ per square meter could be realized (DRO, 2011). However, one of the largest barriers here is that for public buildings or apartments the rooftop is not the property of single consumers and therefore they cannot be exploited. Furthermore, when the electricity is sold to the grid the individual producer is obliged to taxation as an energy company. 2.4.2 Solar-Wind Coalitions At this moment, multiple solar and one wind coalition exists in the city of Amsterdam and collaborate with the AIM (Hilgersom, 2012). Those existing coalitions can be a great opportunity for attracting these initiatives to the district of Zuidoost and start similar projects. Examples of these projects are: - Energieker, a privately held company that supplies, installs and monitors solar energy systems and solar boilers for consumers, businesses, schools and housing companies. They offer support for collectively purchasing solar panels by for example a building or a street by means of ‘My Sun Plan’ (Energieker, 2012). - Solar Green Point is a national initiative for the cooperative building of a solar park. Single consumers, business, governments and associations of house owners can participate. Currently two solar parks are planned: in The Hague (1000 panels currently being installed, operational in January 2013) and in Rotterdam (500 panels being installed beginning 2013). The initiative is not exclusively operating in Amsterdam, but it does collaborate with AIM (Solar Green Point, 2012). The actual potential for wind energy in Amsterdam is the largest in Amsterdam Noord and in the surroundings of the harbour and only a moderate potential lies along the A2 highway. However, the concept of coalitions with the turbine being places in another area with larger potential and less resistance from inhabitants (as will possibly the case at the A2 location) can offer considerable potential for wind energy in Amsterdam Zuidoost. - The Windvogel is also a national cooperation for sustainable energy with a main focus on wind energy. They have 2500 members, who can use energy from their own six wind turbines with a total capacity of 4.605 MW. The latest initiative is a plan for a thousand turbines (Duizend Palen Plan), 2.4 per municipality that can produce 23% of the Dutch electricity consumption (7000 households per turbine). The project is supposed to cost 800 euro per household every year, and can thereby be financed without subsidies. This will 55 - create a support basis for sustainable energy and an acceleration of sustainable development (De Windvogel, 2012). Onze Energie is a local energy cooperation in Amsterdam Noord with 190 members. People that not live in this area can become a member as well. They are planning to build a number of wind turbines that can supply for 8000 households, 41 million kWh per year. Until that is realized they supply electricity and gas via Green Choice (Onze Energie, 2012). Cost and Benefits of solar power in Zuidoost The average nominal power of solar panels in Dutch market is 140 W p/m2 (Stichting monitoring zonnestroom, 2012) and the associated investment cost is 1.53 €/Wp for average PV systems and 0.25 €/Wp for installation (Stichting monitoring zonnestroom, 2012). The solar irradiation is 850 kWh/m2/year for the area of Zuidoost (IEA, 2009). The consumer’s price is 0.22 €/kWh for electricity bought and sold to the grid but for large producers drops to 0.06 €/kWh.(Stichting monitoring zonnestroom, 2012). The average Dutch house has a floor area of 100m2 (Eurostat, 2012), taking in to account that only half would have the right orientation and the large number of block of flats, then only 20m 2 are available per household. The results are presented on the following table. Rooftop Surface m2 20 Investment cost euro/m2 249 Total Investment 4.985 Total Production MWh/yr 2.38 PBP years 9.51 Table 11: Investments and electricity production for domestic PV The average production of 2,380 MWh per year is close to the average electricity consumption of a household (2,9 MWh). However, the initial cost is relatively high and the stochastic nature of solar power makes it unsuitable for a complete self-sustain household. The stakeholders of Energiek Zuidoost occupy a large number of buildings in the area for commercial and social activities. However, all of them stated that any investment with more than 5 years of PBP is not suitable for them and they highlighted the absence of tariff policies to stimulate the solar electricity production (Maris, 2012). One of the largest stakeholders of the area, the AMC hospital has facilities with a total amount of 15000m2 of rooftops that are willing to lease to investors (Maris, 2012). The high investment costs of solar panels could lead to cooperative initiatives between consumers and companies. The exploitation of only AMC potential will have a huge impact on emission savings, see table 12 below. Surface Total investment Total production Emission Savings 2 m Euros MWh tones of CO2 Hospital AMC 15.000 3.738.000 1.785 714 Table 12: Investment cost and Annual production for AMC case study The environmental benefits and the enthusiasm of the stakeholders dictate the necessity of the project to be realized in the near future. In this way there will be more opportunities as a new sustainable market can be developed in the area of Zuidoost that could be a nationwide example and the idea of solar coalitions will be promoted. However, there must be a cooperative action between companies to put pressure on the government for changes in policies and legislation. 56 2.4.3 Data Centers In a data center energy goes in to the system and data along with heat is going out of the system. For a typical 2.5 MW data center, like the one that exists in CISCO building, 35% of the total energy consumption is for cooling (Darrow & Hedman, 2009). The heat that is produced in those centers could be used to increase the temperature of the water in a heat recovery system. The excess of thermal energy could then be used to cover the heat demand of the building itself. For instance, Intel IT center is already planning to exploit 1.6 MW of data center heat energy that can be recovered and reused by connecting the heat recovery chillers to the low-temperature loop that supplies most of the facility (Intel Information Technologies, 2011). Other applications could involve the distribution of heat towards nearby buildings or even to support urban agriculture sites and vertical farms. Even during the summer when heat demand is low, heat could be stored in a nearby ‘Aquifer Thermal Energy Storage’ (ATES) system. The advantage that makes heat produced form data centers in Amsterdam Zuidoost appealing is the proximity to consumption points. 57 2.5 Conclusion Energiek Zuidoost is the largest energy initiative of the area and it is dedicated to the transition from fossil fuels to local renewable energy production and storage in Amsterdam Zuidoost. The vision of Energiek Zuidoost is to develop a collaboration network among significant stakeholders in order to create and promote innovative ideas, research for opportunities and develop a new sustainable market related to the energy field. The business orientation and activities of the included stakeholders vary significantly but all of them are focused to link energy with the spatial development and transform the opportunities in to concrete plans. Drinkingwater, wastewater cleaning & surface water. Exploring and exploiting potential for recovering thermal and chemical energy from wastewater Promotion of sustainable products Energy efficiency improvements, promote LED lights Closer cooperation with neighboring companies Grid operator Introducing smart grid/smart metering A fully operational ATES system, Solar panels, plans for windmills Promotion of public and electric transport Promotion and Implementation of various sustainable ideas Electricity and heat producer by 2013 Large of rooftop area, willingness to cooperate with investor for solar energy Create close cycles of energy and resources within Zuidoost area Operator of the cooling station Experience with heat and cold systems Exploring the potential to develop a smart grid Exploring the potential to develop cooperation between companies. Seeking for market opportunities . Municipality legislation, subsidies Housing corporations Energy efficiency measures Figure 32: overview of the stakeholders and their activities in Amsterdam Zuidoost related to energy. 58 Undoubtedly Amsterdam Arena, AMC hospital and IKEA are the most recognizable stakeholders of the area. All of them have a different role on the energy map but they all share a common will to develop a more efficient and sustainable network of energy and resources . Of course the rest of the stakeholders may not share the same popularity but they have substantial role in other sectors. From big housing corporations to small urban agricultural companies they all can contribute and promote development through collaboration. The table below summarizes the most important stakeholders and their plans. The number of the available solutions in the energy field is wide and the innovative spirit of the stakeholders can lead to new collaborative measures. On the first level there is a large potential for improvements in the energy efficiency sector. Simple solutions like monitoring and smart meters are easy to implement directly and they are relatively cheap, they have a large impact on the average consumer and the cost savings are immediately visible on the energy bill. Urban agriculture and green roofs can also be beneficial for business such as farmers or restaurants, for private consumers, house owners and residents of the area in general, by improving energy efficiency, biodiversity and quality of life. The investment cost is on reasonable levels and the effects can be direct on the local economy but also indirect on the improvement of social life and collaboration among citizens. Legal barriers may arise as a large number of roofs are common especially on big buildings. Large scale urban farming is also an option to solve the problem of empty buildings. It is a great opportunity for cooperation between stakeholders and citizens in order to create a niche market. Most of the ideas are still on theoretical level but it is an appealing solution that combines energy storage and food production. The cost effectiveness depends on the crop selection and it can be commercial within a few years. On the energy production side, the cooperative initiatives among the stakeholders can lead to wind and solar coalitions in order to share the large investment cost. The technology is already available and it is a direct way to save carbon emissions with a relatively low pay back time period. The need for renewable friendly policies is necessary and there are legislative gaps that need to be filled by the municipality or the district such as solar panels on common rooftops. A promising solution for Waternet to participate in is to create a heat and cold storage network, the large availability of aquifers on the underground and the nearby data centers can create the suitable conditions. Partners can be found on the large scale among the large consumers and producers but the initiative must be from energy companies with the right experience. On a small scale can be applied on housing level both in new but also in old households and achieve savings up to 10%. The table below summarizes all the available energy options and proposes a time framework for each initiative from now till 2020. As not all of the plans are in a commercial stage of development and as there are still legislation barriers there won’t be any quantitative comparison. Instead the rating is with simple or double plus and minus signs that indicate the potential of energy/cost savings or low barriers. 59 Table 13: Summarized Cost-Benefits table +/- indicating the potential of energy/cost savings or low barriers 60 3. Ecohydrology: Green City and Urban Farming Linette Viertelhauzen, 3223647 Madeleine den Hartog, 3286320 3.1 Introduction The plans and ambitions of Amsterdam Zuidoost for the Floriade 2022 are a great basis for creating a sustainable Zuidoost area. In this chapter these plans for increasing the quality of green and water in Zuidoost are used as a starting point to search for opportunities making Zuidoost more sustainable without the Floriade. In the Floriade bidbook the focus was on green in the city and horticulture, based on the ambitions of Zuidoost to become more sustainable. Since the Floriade is not allocated in Amsterdam Zuidoost a new long term strategy should be created. A strategy that improves the image of Zuidoost and highlights the importance and opportunities of increasing the quality of green and watercapacity. The themes ‘Green in the City’ and ‘Urban Farming’ are the underlying thoughts of this strategy. Walking through a new flowerpark in Bijlmer, with social community gardens, small gardens on the many balconies, passing new green avenues with fruit trees. In order to make this strategy become a reality, an overview of all the ambitions of relevant stakeholders towards water and green in Zuidoost is necessary. Furthermore, investigation of the opportunities for Green in the City and Urban Farming is needed. Only then an answer can be given to the central research question concerning this chapter: How can Zuidoost be more sustainable with regards to green, water and urban farming based on the Floriade bidbook? This question will be answered on the basis of the following sub questions which are answered in the separate paragraphs. - 3.2 - Which of the current ambitions of relevant stakeholders towards the themes green, water and urban farming in Amsterdam Zuidoost are represented by the Floriade bidbook? - 3.3 - What are the opportunities to increase the quality of the green space in Zuidoost? - 3.4 - What are the opportunities for urban farming in the city? 3.2 Current ambitions of relevant stakeholders towards the themes green, water and urban farming in Amsterdam Zuidoost Stakeholders are involved when it comes to projects in the area, in the sense that they are responsible for the investment and execution of the plans made. There are two important relationships which can be mentioned when it comes to city development in Amsterdam: investor– investor and investor–government. For instance, different investors can work together on the same project, but in addition they need to work with the government to stay within the boundaries of legislation. A long term vision and integrated cooperation network of stakeholders is crucial for the projects to be successful (Jaensch, 2012). Moreover, flexibility is important, plans change or have to be adapted during the journey. Besides, wishes of citizens change and previous destinations of areas must change with them. In table 14 an overview is shown of the most important and interviewed stakeholders in Zuidoost. Their ambitions and goals are given specific towards green and horticulture in the city. These ambitions are coupled to possible projects and solution to realize those goals and ambitions, by means of stakeholder cooperation. 61 Table 14: Overview of stakeholders and their ambitions related to ecohydrology in Amsterdam Zuidoost. 62 3.3 Opportunities to increase the quality of the green space in Zuidoost The area of Amsterdam Zuidoost contains many green areas in comparison with the rest of Amsterdam. There are three parks in this area, the first one is the recently renovated Bijlmerpark, which is sport oriented. The second park is the Gaasperpark, which focus is on nature. And the last park is the Bijlmerweide, which is also nature oriented and has a children’s farm. Furthermore there are small green areas situated between the many flats with mostly trees and grass spaces. The Stichting Aktie Gezondheid Gaasperdammerweg (AGG) however, mentioned that some green is seriously neglected and there is still room for improvement (Wesseling, 2012). The city of Amsterdam is very sensitive to climate change because the city is situated in a delta and has a high concentration of people and buildings. The city has to change from the old situation of building to a new climate adapted city. With the climate change the average temperature will increase. With all the concrete houses, stones and asphalt the heat of the sun is captured. This will lead to a modified thermal climate which is generally warmer than the non-urbanized areas. This translates on the one hand into higher summer temperatures in the city, but on the other hand to a comfortable thermal winter temperature. This phenomenon is called ‘urban heat island’ (UHI) (Giannaros, 2012; Heijns, 2010). This urban heat island effect involves social, economic and environmental related problems. Half of the world’s population nowadays is affected by urban heat islands, this will only increase by population growth and with fast growing cities. The cooling of urban buildings during heat waves increases the energy demand, simple heat island mitigation strategies could save already money (Giannaros, 2012). Moreover, the effects of UHI worsen the air quality by increasing the formation of secondary pollutant, for instance ozone (Buscail et al, 2012). However, one must keep in mind that the study of Giannaros (2012) is a case study in Thessaloniki, Greece. The results are unique for these Mediterranean cities and cannot be generalized to the Netherlands but similar effects can be a threat to Amsterdam, to a lesser extent. The urban heat island effect can be reduced by imcorporatin of more vegetation in the city. For example trees provide shade on the concrete which lowers the assimilation of sun heat by concrete. Moreover, vegetation transpires water when it is warm, cooling the air immediately, providing comfort against the heat (Heijns, 2010; Nowak, 2006). Another effect of climate change is the more intense rain showers, this can cause more problems with local flooding. The water transport system within the city is not equipped to deal with high amounts of water within a short time being disposed from impervious surfaces (Heijns, 2010). More vegetation could lower the pressure on the water transport system. The roots of plants unfasten the ground so the water will infiltrate faster and plants and trees intercept water from rain showers. In addition trees store rainwater temporarily and avoid that the ground receives the rainwater all at once, allowing a high amount of the intercepted rain to evaporate (Metselaar, 2012). One of the goals of Stadsdeel Zuidoost is the storage of water in Zuidoost (DRO, 2012; Waternet & Stadsdeel Zuidoost, 2012). Investment in green can be an element of the measures to reach this goal. Besides minimizing the effects of climate change, having access to green areas in the city are beneficial for one’s health and wellbeing. It provides to the citizens a nice view, reducing of stress, opportunity to have contact with nature, quicker recovery from illness (Dempsey, 2012). Biodiversity has benefits for human-wellbeing, it is mainly linked to the diversity of habitats and species in and around urban areas (Tzoulas et al, 2007). Management of urban tree canopy cover could also be a viable strategy to improve air quality and help to meet clean air standards. Trees remove gaseous air pollution (NOx) by uptake via 63 leaf stomata and by incepting particulate matter on their leafs (Peeters et al, 2006; Nowak, 2006). Forest canopies can limit the mixing of upper air with ground level air, leading to significant belowcanopy air quality improvements. However, where there are numerous pollutant sources below the canopy (e.g., automobiles), the forest canopy could have the inverse effect by minimizing the dispersion of the pollutants at ground level (Nowak, 2006). The total pollution removed from the air by trees depends on the amount of tree and shrub cover, concentration of pollution, length of in-leaf season, amount of precipitation, and other meteorological variables that affect tree transpiration and deposition. These effects of urban trees are in total significant enough to be able to improve the urban air quality and reduce climate change effects (Peeters et al, 2006). To conclude, the preservation and increase of green infrastructure within the city is important. It decreases the effects of climate change and increases the health and wellbeing of the citizens by improving the air quality. A green infrastructure in itself is not only practical, but contributes to the wellbeing of citizens by simply being and making the city more attractive. Several ambitions of the stakeholders are met when the urban green area will be increased. The ambitions of Stadsdeel Zuidoost, increase air quality and water storage, are partly met with increasing green in the city. Besides AGG and Pronam want to see more green implemented to strengthen Zuidoost’s look and attractiveness (Wesseling, 2012; Dorsman & Gehrels, 2012). It is possible to cooperate, share plans and ideas and possibilities and maybe investments can be made. It is a step towards a climate change adapted city and lowering Amsterdam ecological footprint. 3.3.1 Implementing new green areas in Zuidoost - Tunnel deck A9 The A9 highway from Schiphol via Amsterdam to Almere is situated on the edge of the area Bijlmermeer in Zuidoost. The highway is now a huge barrier between the areas Bijlmermeer and Gaasperdam. Rijkswaterstaat will soon start with broadening of the A9 and the part which goes through Zuidoost will be transformed into a tunnel. The tunnel is supposed to neutralize the barrier between the two areas, although it will still be above the ground to be able to function as a dike (Mulder, 2012). The citizens are pleased with the new tunnel when it is finished, as it lowers the noise and air pollution (Wesseling, 2012). The tunnel is planned to be finished in 2020, this means a lot of inconvenience for the citizens: Eight years with vibrations, dirt, trucks, noise and a worse air quality. It will be a challenge for Stadsdeel Zuidoost to limit or compensate the nuisance for the citizens, for example creating a lookout in the future to overcome this building process (Jaensch, 2012). The Floriade was an ultimate outlook for them. The plan for the deck was a park, containing a big boulevard, urban farming, restaurants and cafes, a vertical greenhouse and a special horizontal greenhouse which also should function as a bridge (Gemeente Amsterdam, 2012). Now, the deck can still be an opportunity to achieve several goals and it can serve as an pilot project in Zuidoost. The park can become a place where education, horticulture and technology come together. This integration can be realized by the plan of the special horizontal greenhouse. In the greenhouse the newest technology can be implemented, employment created and at the same time education about horticulture and energy savings can be shown for children and grownups (Buijs, 2012). The park itself will be the extension of the greenhouse providing some restaurants and cafes and possibly different small vegetable gardens. Zuidoost doesn’t have many of these open residence areas (Jaensch, 2012). With this plan the image of Zuidoost will be improved, a goal of district Zuidoost. They can have a facilitating role in the design of the park and assist MTD with the design of the park with a deeper meaning focused on urban farming. District Zuidoost can also make a connection with AGG and Kansrijk Zuidoost since they have a link to the citizens, so that their 64 wishes can be incorporated. The city district can also make a plan for education about horticulture at this place. Cooperation of Greenport Aalsmeer provides an opportunity to transform this goal into a reality since Greenport Aalsmeer is interested in educating people where their food comes from, and also creating all kind of projects to increase social cohesion, participation and educational curricula (Van Voorn, 2012). With the possible horizontal greenhouse the educated people can work or do research in the greenhouse. In this way the area becomes more lively, pilot projects with farming in the city are starting and it creates more opportunities for comfortable leisure activities as well as modern working space in this area. This tunnel deck park would provide a connection between the Bijlmerpark and the Gaasperpark, in total this will create a big green area and so a more credible environment and consistent spatial organization of the area. Furthermore, when it is finished the noise and air pollution of the road are captured by the tunnel and will increase the wellbeing of the inhabitants of the area residing near the tunnel. The structure vision ‘Amsterdam 2040: economisch sterk en duurzaam’ contains a map of the ecological structure in Amsterdam (DRO, 2012). A more specific explanation of this last structure is called the ‘Ecologische Visie’ and describes Amsterdam’s ecological structure, how nature areas are connected in a network throughout the city. For instance in Zuidoost the Bijlmerweide is an important green connection for the rabbit, fox, weasel, ring-snake and different species of butterflies (Ecologische Visie, 2012). The map (figure 33a) of the ‘Ecologische Visie’ 2012 shows that next to the highway A9 a green structure is proposed, now containing trees, grass and water. When the road is broadened and a tunnel(deck) constructed this could be a threat for this (now dark green) area. The new park should replace these areas to keep the integrity of the ‘Ecologische Visie 2012’. However, it is important to maintain this structure because it explains where the possible green structure is in the city, and to stay in connection with the Ecologische Hoofd Structuur (Ecologische Visie, 2012). In figure 33b the Floriade is situated on the map with the new tunnel deck pointed out by the sign. In figure 33a the Zuidoost area is situated which represents a part of the Ecologische Visie 2012. The map shows that the Gaasperdammerweg is a big barrier in the ecological structure. The numbers, 79, 78, 80, 170 and 81 represent bottlenecks which have to be overcome. For instance if an animal cannot cross a certain waterway or a road, changes has to be made, to overcome these barriers. The A9 barrier will be overcome with the park above, connecting the green areas on both sides of the road. In order to diminish all barriers, the park should have a certain design with several vegetation types to attract animals and the sides should be a slope. Nevertheless, since the tunnel will be above the ground it can be a barrier for animals to overcome, and this has to be kept in mind during the design. Moreover the building period will be a temporary threat to the ecological 65 Figure 33a,b: (a)Ecologischie Visie. (b): Map of Floriade 2022. structure, within this period mowing regime of grass and avoid cutting trees in the breeding season can be taken into account. 3.3.2 Innovative green Innovative green in the city is upcoming. Innovative green means the implementation of green in the city in any creative way, and concerns a combination of green and red (buildings). Green in a city is getting more important these days, since it does not only have a recreational and decor function, it also refreshes the air, increases biodiversity and has a water retention capacity (Peeters et al, 2006). There are many possible ways to implement innovative green in the city. Many small and large green initiatives have been developed and pertain many forms. For instance, the organisation ‘Stichting Postzegelparken’ that can guide citizens who want to make their neighbourhood greener and livelier. They guide citizens in creating a ‘Postzegelpark’: a small public area designed with the participation from the neighbourhood to create a new meeting place. A Postzegelpark could have any design, it is possible to turn the area into a flower park, maybe in combination with a playground for the children, a fountain or even for electricity generation. How much effort the participants want to invest in the area determines the scope and content of the project. Stichting Postzegelparken guides the participants by performing research on the feasibility of the park and helps with the design, planning, financing and managing of the area (Postzegelparken, 2012). This is one of many opportunities. Another effective opportunity to increase green areas is by means of green roofs. This will be discussed in the next paragraph. 3.3.3 Green roofs In the city-district Zuidoost many flat roofs are present. On most of them green roofs can and should be implemented, since they have many advantages compared to normal roofs. Firstly, green roofs are beneficial for indoor thermal conditions because they add an extra isolation layer to the building’s fabric and they can decrease heating and cooling load demands inside the building due to microclimate changes (Alexandri & Jones, 2008). The energy perspective on green roofs is discussed in the Energy and Resource chapter. Secondly, they are a potential solution for cooling outdoor urban areas (Rosenzweig et al, 2009). In different case studies on town scale from Alexandri & Jones (2008) the conclusion was that green roofs would lead to a temperature reduction, by a decreased warming up of the surface and by evapotranspiration. In a hot climate like in Athens the improvements of outdoors thermal comfort are significant. The level ‘very hot’ (above 40 oC) was reached in the afternoon for concrete roofs whereas the roofs covered with vegetation only reached the level of ‘warm’ (between 30-35 oC). Also for the daytime and the inside thermal sensation the temperatures dropped. These dramatic decreases are less for the city of Moscow in the summertime. Here the temperature dropped from ‘slightly warm’ (between 25-30 oC) to ‘comfortable’ (between 20-25 oC). Although not that spectacular, for the population, who are used to a very cool climate, it means more thermal comfort, increasing their wellbeing (Alexandri & Jones, 2008). Thirdly, green roofs will preserve and enhance the biodiversity in a city in terms of habitat and species. Biodiversity is one of the most important indicators of ecosystem health. The ‘Ecologische Visie’ points to the importance of including bee friendly plants by the management of green areas. Bee colonies are decreasing in the Netherlands but are very important to maintain biodiversity. The main management is concerned by choosing the right plants, the ones which attract bees and can feed them properly (Ecologische Visie, 2012). For projects with urban farming bees are 66 also important for the pollination of many food crops such as almonds, apples and blueberries. Lastly, green roofs have water retention capacity and so can play an important role in urban hydrology. The retention capacity is a function of time and of substrate depth. The vegetation and soil on the roofs assimilate the water like a sponge, when the full capacity is reached the water flows out. This assimilation is showed in figure 34a, the retention capacity as a function of time is showed in figure 34b. Here it is made clear that in the summertime the retention capacity is the highest. The substrate thickness, and in addition soil physical properties, is also important for the species which can grow on the roof (Metselaar, 2012). Figure 34a,b: (a): Median fraction rainfall retained (not running off) as a function of the substrate depth. (b) Median fraction rainfall retained as a function of time for two substrates (fine sand – O1, 5 and 80 cm, and peat moss PM, 5 and 100 cm). Source: Metselaar, 2012 There are several opportunities for Amsterdam Zuidoost to increase the quality and amount of green space. The park on the tunnel deck of the A9 could make a great contribution to a more sustainable area when the right design is found. The best integration of this large green area in the existing environment can be reached with an accurate plan, incorporated new ideas and shared investments of stakeholders. In this way it can be part of a long term sustainable Zuidoost strategy. Besides the opportunities for the park, innovative green can be implemented to fill the empty spaces within the city buildings. Providing subsidies for green roofs, as is already the case in Amsterdam, is an option. However, integration of innovative green and several projects on green requires cooperation between stakeholders and specifically cooperation of citizens. For instance, AGG, Kansrijk Zuidoost, Ymere, Pronam, citizens and art students can set up projects that turns buildings into green facades. With the guidance of Stadsdeel Zuidoost for permissions and possibly subsidies, many ideas can be implemented. 3.4 Urban Farming Within the Floriade bidbook, horticulture in the city plays an important role and is presented as an option to combine the several ambitions of the stakeholders in Zuidoost. Horticulture strengthens the relationship between city and country side as it brings the production of food to the city. Food can be produced on a large or a small scale. The largest difference between small and large scale farming concerns the use for the produced crops. Small scale farming typically is for own consumption, while for large scale the produced food will be sold and requires a profitable organization. Examples of urban farming from the Floriade bidbook are vegetable patches and the large vertical greenhouse in the park above the tunneldeck A9. But there are more opportunities for 67 urban farming in Zuidoost, and together they could make Zuidoost more sustainable. In the following paragraphs it will be explained why urban farming is sustainable and in what ways urban farming, on a small and large scale, could be implemented in Amsterdam Zuidoost. In the end this will give an answer to the subquestion: What are the opportunities for urban farming in Amsterdam Zuidoost? 3.4.1 Urban farming – towards a sustainable city There are several arguments why urban farming can make Zuidoost more sustainable. Firstly, urban farming will lead to a more efficient use of space. For the increasing demand of food, more space is required to enlarge the total food production. In the same time, many office buildings are empty. In 2011, 23% of the office buildings in Amsterdam Zuidoost was empty (Dienst Onderzoek en Statistiek, 2011). Other fallow areas have arisen in the city due to a delay in construction of residential buildings. Both empty offices and fallow areas can potentially be used for urban farming. Secondly, education, promotion and providing information about urban farming could increase the connection between citizens and food production (Van Voorn, 2012). Children can learn about food by adding water to a seed and watch the plant grow, while adults could gain knowledge about healthy food and forgotten vegetables, as most citizens see their supermarket as their only food source (Hussain, 2012). Thirdly, by bringing the food production in the city it will create employment in the area. In Zuidoost many inhabitants from several cultures are struggling to get a job and to create a stable living condition. In 2012, 8.6% of the inhabitants in Zuidoost is unemployed (Dienst Onderzoek en Statistiek, 2011). According to Carmen Hogenelst from Kansrijk Zuidoost there is a large language barrier as well (Hogenelst, 2012). Ymere is already providing language courses (Koers, 2012) and an opportunity would be to combine working in the horticulture and learning the Dutch language. These people could be educated as well, showing that they can lower their expenses with producing their own food. Fourthly, urban farming lowers the ecological footprint of Zuidoost by (1) reduce the import of food and therefore lowers the use of energy and CO2 emissions from transport, and (2) decrease synthetic fertilizers in food production, further explained in the following paragraph. In addition, several sustainable technologies can be implemented in vertical farming which involves sustainable water use and uptake of CO2 emissions from power plants by the crops. These technologies will be further discussed in the paragraph ‘Urban farming – large scale’. 3.4.2 Implementing urban farming – small scale There are several possibilities for urban farming on a small scale where citizens could produce food for their own consumption. Vegetable gardens are the most common and already exists in Zuidoost. De Vijf Slagen, located in the south of Zuidoost is a park that contains 154 vegetable patches with an average size of 150 m2. At the moment it is fully occupied and has a waiting list. Inhabitants of Zuidoost have interest in more vegetable gardens in the neighborhood, especially elderly people (Hogenelst 2012; Wesseling 2012). Several areas are suitable for vegetable gardens, for example in the park areas in between high buildings in Zuidoost. Although these park areas have an English design, mostly they are only covered with grass and look Figure 35: Mobile vegetable gardens in Amsterdam West. Source: Stadsboeren, 2012 68 monotonous as stakeholders stated (Wesseling, 2012; Van Kooy, 2012, Mulder, 2012). As space is limited in the city, the fallow areas alongside Bijlmerpark are an opportunity for creating more vegetable gardens. The areas are designated for residential houses, but the construction is postponed (Mulder, 2012; Jaensch, 2012). The area can be filled temporarily with transportable vegetable patches, see figure 35. Stichting Stadsboeren has started a similar project in Amsterdam-West (Stadsboeren, 2012). Developing more community gardens, where residents working together in a large vegetable garden, is another opportunity for urban farming and at the same time connect different residential groups, which is now a challenge for Zuidoost (Koers, 2012; Hogenelst, 2012). In Denver, Colorado, research showed that community gardens can affect the behavior and social involvement of the participants. However, strong neighborhood leadership, outreach and volunteerism determine the success of the community garden and thus the social involvement (Litt et al, 2011). The city district can assign more areas where a community garden could be allocated, but the initiative should come from the citizens. Alone-standing projects or organizations can initiate and guide the citizens in developing a community garden. The project Social Garden 2.0, started in September 2012 in Utrecht, is an example where shared balconies of a flat are turned into small vegetable gardens. The residents of the flat share the responsibility as well as the produced fruits and vegetables (Social Garden 2.0, 2012). Another example is the organisation Stichting Postzegelparken. As mentioned in the paragraph ‘innovative green’, a postzegelpark is a small public area designed with the participation from the neighborhood to create a new meeting place. With the participation of the neighbors, this patch could turn into a community garden (Postzegelparken, 2012). A community garden can also be dedicated to produce biological vegetables for the clients of the food bank. Examples are the foundation Voedseltuin Rotterdam, started in September 2011, and Voedseltuinen in Amsterdam Noord, active since September the 13th in 2012. In Rotterdam the fallow area Keilehaven is used as an effective way to use the space (Voedseltuin, 2012). In Amsterdam Noord the main goal of the project is to meet and connect different groups of local residents, and involve them in the neighborhood, while the second goal is to produce food for the food bank (Voedseltuinen Amsterdam Noord, 2012). A similar project can be started in Zuidoost since it wants to increase involvement of the residents and want to use available space more efficient. 3.4.3 Implementing urban farming – large scale Within the city boundaries food production on a larger scale is limited to indoor farming in existing buildings or vertical greenhouses. In Amsterdam Zuidoost there is an additional option to use the space on top of the tunneldeck A9 for a horizontal greenhouse. Producing food on a larger scale increases the in- and outflows of water, energy and resources. Efficient in- and outflows and low investments or high benefits can make urban farming profitable, which is crucial for implementation on a large scale. The energy perspective on urban farming is discussed in the Energy and Resource chapter. Here the water, resources and finance aspects of urban farming are described. Water Food production requires a high amount of water and should be used as efficient as possible. Growing crops indoor has already the advantage to produce year-round where droughts and floods are avoided while ideal growing and ripening conditions maximize yields. More benefits can be obtained by using an efficient irrigation system. Three kinds of techniques can be used in urban farming: hydroponic, aeroponic and aquaponic systems. Hydroponic systems have plants which are held in place so their roots lie in soilless troughs, and water with dissolved nutrients is circulated over 69 them. As the roots grow in a restricted volume of water, the supply of nutrients should be accurate to avoid an unbalanced nutrient composition in the root environment with harmful effects on yield and quality due to nutrient deficiency, toxicity or salinity. Closed hydroponic systems recycle the fertilization effluents, thereby minimizing the irrigation water needed and using nutrients more efficient (Savvas et al, 2005). This will lower the pressure on the environment but it will also complicate the control of nutrient solution which is applied to the crops. The composition of the drainage solution depends, among others, on the kind of crop and its growth stage, and the climatic conditions (Savvas, 2002). Automatic systems are necessary to measure and control the supplied nutrient solution to stay below a specified threshold. Discharge of the recycled water lowers the efficiency of the closed hydroponic system and further research is necessary to optimize this system (Savvas et al, 2005). While hydroponics increases the productivity in comparison with systems using soils, aeroponics increases the productivity even more but the investment is higher (Retter et al, 2001). With the aeroponic system the growing medium is primarily air. The roots of the plants are hanging in air which is misted with a nutrient solution. Similar to hydroponic systems, research is needed to optimize the concentration of nutrients and the frequency of moisturizing the air (Retter et al, 2001). Hydroponic systems can be combined with aquaculture into aquaponic systems, see figure 36. The wastewater from the fish, in the aquarium underneath the plants, is used for irrigating the crops and the waste from the plants is food for the fish. Nitrifying bacteria are needed to oxidize the fish by-product ammonia into nitrite and finally in nitrate. The nitrate is then taken up by the crops. Since the nitrification activity responses to pH, constant or automatic measuring of pH is necessary (Tyson et al, 2004). According to Tyson et al. (2004) recommended pH values for aquaponics is between 6.5 and 7 to optimize the production of fish and crops. As already mentioned in the chapter Energy and Resources, Metfarm is operating a pilot for vertical farming in an existing building in IJburg. They are experimenting with different technologies. At the moment they are using hydroponics and aquaponics, and combining them with efficient LED lightning and use of compost in order to grow new species and to find the technology with the highest productivity (Hussain, 2012). Figure 36: From left to right a hydroponic [1], aquaponic [2] and aeoroponic [3] system 70 Although the availability of fresh water in the Netherlands is not a large problem compared to other (semi) arid regions in the world, high quality drinking water is getting scarce. An important threat is the salinization of our fresh water resources. A related threat is the seeping of brackish water to the deep-seated polders where the high groundwater levels are a nuisance to the residents of the polder in Zuidoost (Wesseling, 2012; Ververs, 2012). An opportunity for lowering groundwater levels and increasing the drinking water availability is the desalinization of brackish water. PURO is a project from Waternet and other parties which experiment in retrieving drinking water out of brackish water. This brackish water, with high concentrations of chlorine and nutrients, reaches the ditches and cause a flow of chlorine and nutrients towards areas with relatively fresh water. This forms a risk for the water quality and ecology in these areas (Waternet, 2012). Figure 37 shows the abstraction of brackish water and the resulting limited seepage of the brackish groundwater towards the ditches. Figure 37: Reduction of the brackish groundwater seepage (red) due to the extraction for gaining drinking water. Source: Waternet, 2012 With or without efficient irrigation methods, a vertical farm still requires a large amount of drinking water. Waternet, and the other partners involved in the project PURO, can play an important role in making the water use sustainable in large scale urban farming. Municipal waste water can also be used as an additional source of irrigation water for crops. However, there are many risks for contamination of the plants. Studies emphases that there is a potential uptake of active pharmaceutical compounds (PCs) by crops irrigated with reclaimed wastewater and highlights the potential risks (Shenker et al, 2010; Herklotz et al, 2010). Crops grown in organic matter, poor soils and in hydroponic conditions show concentration of pharmaceuticals in leafs and roots. However, the study from Shenker et al. (2010) also reports that introduction of PCs through the food-chain pathway is within the same magnitude or even higher than through drinking water. Therefore the combined effects should be investigated and a human-health-related risk report is necessary. 71 Resources With the recycling of irrigation water and waste water, and the use of an aquaponic system, the need for synthetic fertilizers can be reduced or omitted. Furthermore, the plant waste from indoor farming can be used for compost and organic fertilizer. There are several technologies for creating compost out of dead plant material. Metfarm uses a worminator, where the worms eat dead plant material and the waste of the worms is given to the plants (Hussain, 2012). Since Metfarm use compost and recycled nutrients from the hydroponic and aquaponic system, they do not use synthetic fertilizers (Hussain, 2012). Closed loop systems and recycling the resources can thus make urban farming more sustainable. Finance Vertical farming in existing buildings in the city is expensive due to high rent or purchase value. But an empty office would not bring any profit to the owner. Vertical farms could be a temporarily solution, as reconstruction of the building is not required since the crops can grow in transportable installations (Hussain, 2012). From a large perspective vertical farming could be a possible threat to the image of a business area. It should be avoided that the vertical farm is an outsider in the area and excluded from other buildings. The Blue Lab, could be an opportunity to grow hemp, produce jeans, and set up a research center in an office building. This concept will be attractive to the younger people in Amsterdam and could improve the image to the rest of the business area (Jaensch, 2012). For a new greenhouse making an efficient design is easier but high investments are needed. The horizontal greenhouse, placed on the tunneldeck of A9, is the most attractive plan. As mentioned earlier, it can combine education, horticulture and technology. The park could turn into an attractive meeting place with lunchroom or restaurant, playing yard for children, etcetera. This was perceived as very desirable by the citizen stakeholders for making the area livelier and improving Zuidoost’s image (Wesseling, 2012; Van Hogenelst, 2012). By involving more possible actors, the investment costs can be shared and an multifunctional area can increase in value for businesses, citizens and the government. The higher costs for urban farming can be compensated with higher benefits. Niche markets with rare species or plants can be profitable as many crops are forgotten by consumers because of the limited supply of the supermarkets (Hussain, 2012; Gorissen, 2012; Hilgersom, 2012). Other niche markets could be plants used for medicine. Furthermore the technology can be exported to developing countries where they don’t have the knowledge and a high demand since effective use of space and food production in megacities are becoming big problems (Hussain, 2012). The subquestion of this sub-chapter was: What are the opportunities for urban farming, to get a more sustainable Zuidoost? Looking back at the different ambitions of stakeholders, many opportunities for urban farming are possible. Stadsdeel Zuidoost wants to decrease the unemployment rate and Ymere and Kansrijk Zuidoost want to improve the integration of the residents of Zuidoost (Koers, 2012; Van Hogenelst; Ploeg, 2012; Burck, 2012). By providing language programs in combination with education and working in an urban farm, a win-win situation can be created. Furthermore, a vertical farm or horizontal greenhouse could lower the ecological footprint and decrease the unemployment rate of Zuidoost. Along with more vegetable gardens it can improve the image of Zuidoost, educate children about food production and answer the demand of the inhabitants of more vegetable gardens (Wesseling, 2012). Cooperation between stakeholders is necessary to create win-win situations for both short-term and long-term visions. 72 3.5 Conclusion The main question for this part was: ‘How can Zuidoost be more sustainable with regards to green, water and urban farming based on the Floriade bidbook?’. The ambitions created with the Floriade bidbook come along with several opportunities for a sustainable Zuidoost in the near future. In this chapter the two main themes ‘Green in the city’ and ‘Urban farming’ give a focus and possibilities to start working with the ambitions for Zuidoost. An overview of the plans related to the two themes and the contribution and benefits for the involved stakeholders is given in table 15. This overview represents the possibilities for cooperation between stakeholders. In relation to the first theme, vegetation can play a key role in diminishing the effects of climate change in the city. Trees give shade on warm days, they intercept water at heavy rain showers, increases the infiltration rate in the soil and cools the city through evapotranspiration. A great opportunity for green in the city is the deck of the new tunnel above the A9 which can be of great importance in the ‘Ecologische Visie’. It connects the two areas Bijlmermeer and Gaasperdam and with this tunnel a big bottleneck (the road) is solved for the ecological structure. Moreover, the deck realizes a pleasurable new environment without noise and air pollution of the road anymore. This will be a contribution to the wellbeing of the inhabitants of Zuidoost. The deck is also suited for community and vegetable gardens. It will not only increase the diversity of the park, it can represent the new green image of Zuidoost. Furthermore it lowers the barrier between the districts if there is a community garden where inhabitants from Gaasperpark and Bijlmer are coming together for gardening. While the new park can show the urban farming, the large scale urban farming in empty buildings would decrease unemployment and educate the inhabitants for producing their own food. In- and outflows of water, resources and energy are connected, making the area more selfsustaining. For implementing more green and urban farming in the city, all parties have to invest together for the long term: otherwise projects will not be successful. Stadsdeel Zuidoost and Waternet should bring the other stakeholders together: farms, research institutes, Ymere, but also the inhabitants themselves or represented through AGG and Kansrijk Zuidoost are important stakeholders. Together they can work towards a sustainable Zuidoost. 73 Table 15: Overview of opportunities for Zuidoost and the contribution and benefits of the involved stakeholders . 74 III. Integration: Policy Scenarios 1. Introduction and justification Due to the high level of uncertainty and (political) stakes (Functowitz & Ravetz, 2008) surrounding the issue of sustainability in Zuidoost, the applied transdisciplinary approach was suitable to resolve the research question. This high degree of uncertainty on stakeholder positions required extensive consultation of stakeholders to seek opportunities, challenges and sustainability gains of the bidbook plans, and how these could be transformed into feasible policy options, thereby answering the following research question: What are the opportunities and challenges to make Amsterdam Zuidoost more sustainable based on the concept of Floriade 2022 Bidbook and how can those be combined in viable policy scenarios? Figure 38 illustrates how the disciplinary tracks have been combined to answer the research question. The stakeholder, SWOT and economic context analyses investigated the challenges, opportunities, threats and weaknesses for stakeholders concerning the sustainability plans and form the input for the energy and ecohydrology chapters, which assess technical and innovative opportunities. Furthermore, those tracks assess how the energy and green plans can benefit stakeholders and possibilities for stakeholder contributions. Urban farming is linked to both energy consumption and ecohydrological aspects. Having clarified the opportunities, challenges and interests of stakeholders, advice can be provided how Zuidoost can become more sustainable, by means of three policy scenarios described in this integration chapter. In these scenarios the plans are not explained into detail, as specific information has already been provided in the disciplinary chapters. Policy scenarios according to Schwartz (1991. p19) “form a method for articulating the different pathways that might exist for you tomorrow, and finding your appropriate movements down each of those possible paths.” These policy scenarios have been based on interviews with 26 key stakeholders and vary on the degree of commitment, effort and investment for stakeholders, a common choice for scenario building (Scenarios for Sustainability, 2012). The scenarios were constructed based on five recommended steps by the Schwartz (1991). Table 16: Steps taken in scenarios construction 75 The chosen plans within the scenarios are related to key elements in the research findings, such as emission reduction targets, level of cooperation, degree of leadership, risk sharing etcetera (table 18). The time span for a long term vision is 30 years, and short term 5 years15. Figure 38: Integration of disciplinary topics 15 Examined short term policy scenarios generally concern 5-10 years, and long term scenarios 30-50 years, or even 100 years (Scenarios for Sustainability, 2012) 76 2. Scenarios 2.1 Scenario one: Business as usual This scenario describes the current situation of Zuidoost with minimum improvements, whereby stakeholders are internally focused without the presence of a common vision. The introversion of their actions leads to limited investments and the implementation of individual small scale projects with a minimum risk and payback period. The focus will be on energy efficiency with short term low cost solutions. Examples are improvements of lighting and thermal efficiency, a small number of monitoring devices mainly for big companies and improved insulation in new buildings. Therefore, the emission savings are ranging between 5% and 15%, a percentage that is considerably lower than the official target of Amsterdam. The deck of the A9 will transform into a basic park and the quality of some green areas will improve. There will be no further development of urban green and large scale horticulture through the city. Finally, only a small number of green roofs are implemented due to existing subsidies. In this scenario the government has a basic role, taking only necessary actions. Businesses will only realize internal, profitable projects based on their own interests, while citizens stay isolated on small, individual projects. There is a fragile network, due to a lack of cooperation and role division. Risks are not shared among stakeholders, which leads to missed opportunities. Another challenge is the absence of cooperative effort which results in a lack of pressing power. Furthermore, the unemployment rate will remain high and no common sustainability targets will be reached. Advantages are that only minimal investments are required and that stakeholders have a high level of freedom. 2.2 Scenario two: Quick wins and image improvement Improving the image of Zuidoost is a commonly shared interest among stakeholders. Scenario two provides an approach to improve the image of Zuidoost. To apply scenario two, it is necessary to create a short term vision, whereby quick wins and short term pilot projects with key stakeholders are established to improve the image. For this scenario, the government gives small stimulations to sustainable projects, while businesses should realize individual or small cooperative projects and citizen groups have a limited action capacity. The problem of empty offices could be solved by temporary use of the buildings for vertical farming. Other examples of quick win projects are implementation of solar panels and domestic heat recovery systems on small scale, and the establishment of ATES systems and monitoring systems for the complete area. These projects on large scale energy efficiency and small scale energy production, will reduce CO2 emissions with 20-30%. Moreover, this scenario increases the green image of the area due to the extension of visible green through the city, increasing and upgrading green roofs and the extension of vegetable gardens on the park A9. Citizens can be involved through gardening projects and by providing educational trainings in the form of a language and horticulture program, which will be beneficial for the social image. A disadvantage is that focusing on the short term will not reach the Amsterdam CO2 reduction targets. Furthermore, individual pilot projects will lead to a weak cooperation, because only key actors are incorporated, with a limited sharing of risks and possibly conflicting interests. 77 Those actors will mainly have a facilitating and executing role. Finally, not all aspects of sustainability16 are integrated. Benefits are improving the image of Zuidoost, improving the living quality and increase the employment rate. Moreover, pilot projects will increase the level of trust between stakeholders, increase learning, provide cooperation experience and gaining of knowledge. Those outcomes can be beneficial for the future. Furthermore, only small investments are needed with quite high economical, social and ecological returns. 2.3 Scenario three: Sustainable Zuidoost Creating a sustainable Zuidoost is the common goal of all stakeholders and will generate benefits for everyone. A long term, common vision is necessary to reach a sustainable Zuidoost and therefore, this will be the main aspect of scenario three. Moreover, it includes integration of stakeholders with an external focus and integrated large scale projects with common and individual benefits. For a sustainable Zuidoost it is necessary to combine and expand existing networks into a new organization, with a leader and the ability to invest in integrated large scale projects. In this way, involved stakeholders share investment risks and capacity can be increased by developing an environmental fund. The environmental fund can be sustained by public and private stakeholders and different margins on products can directly go to the fund. The fund will be used to realize projects in the area from whom everybody can benefit (table 17). An example of an existing environmental fund in Switzerland is Fondo Clima Lugano Sud (Climate Fund South Lugano). Other existing organizations in Amsterdam that focus on sustainability are Watergraafsmeer and Energiek Zuidoost. These types of organizations can be seen as an example for a new umbrella organization that cover all sustainable projects in Zuidoost, including more themes and stakeholders. Small scale projects of earlier scenarios are integrated and expanded. A network of energy production can be developed with large scale implementation of solar panels and connecting heat and cold storage in one network where demand meets supply. Urban farms can take up extra CO2 from a power plant to further reduce CO2 emissions. In addition the park A9 will be multifunctional, combining a horizontal greenhouse with energy production, education trails, lunchrooms, etcetera. In the whole area, innovative, high quality green projects will be established, such as living walls and green facades. Sustainable offices decorated with innovative green and implemented energy savings are occupied again with flourishing companies. 16 Sustainability consists of an environmental (energy and ecology), economical and social pillar. 78 Table 17: Examples of objectives, members and benefits of an environmental fund Challenges for this scenario are connecting all stakeholders in a new organization, dividing several roles and establish clear leadership. Furthermore, legal barriers should be lowered to implement large scale projects. Besides, contribution and effort of each stakeholder should be high and will not be totally in balance with the returns, especially on the short term not all benefits are visible. This scenario, with in the end benefits and opportunities for all stakeholders, will be out of reach without strong cooperation and new resources gained from the umbrella organization. An important benefit is the development of a sustainable Zuidoost, which integrates all sustainability aspects1. Moreover, Zuidoost will become more attractive to live in as the area is green, close to businesses and provided with urban farming. With the increase of energy savings and production, targets in reducing CO2 emissions are met. Businesses would get a boost due to the greener image. New niche markets are created in vertical farms, both for new plant species and technologies in research centers. Furthermore, the employment level will increase. All these benefits could be reached if the organization will regulate possible conflicts, shares risks among stakeholders, improves synergies of projects and lowers legal barriers. 79 General Business as usual Quick win image improvement Sustainable Zuidoost No vision Short term vision long term, common vision Internal focus Governance Energy & Resources External focus Individual small scale projects Short term (pilot) projects with the key stakeholders Integrated large scale projects Current situation with minimal improvements Improve image Zuidoost with quick wins Create new leading organisation Government: Basic/necessary actions Businesses: Own interest, internal projects Citizens: small individual projects Government: small stimulation (e.g. subsidies, information providing campaigns) Businesses: realization of individual and regional projects Citizens: Educational programs (Stadsdeel Zuidoost, Kansrijk Zuidoost), limited capacity of action Combine and expand current networks into a new organisation with direct investment and the creation of an environmental found. Weak cooperation Cooperation between governance and big stakeholders Strong cooperation among all stakeholders (different groups and size) Leadership is unnecessary Facilitating role (knowledge, techniques and financial) Leading, connecting and facilitating (vision) role No conflicts Conflicting visions and interests Regulated conflicts No confrontation between government and business to reduce legal barriers - Lower legal barriers -> more stakeholders have the possibility and motivation to cooperate No network structure Weak separate networks Strong network with external partners Minimal investment start the process Small investment, building trust and cooperation experience Synergies among projects, techniques, innovation are shared Employment stays the same Employment increases High increase of the employment level No shared risk Limited shared risk Much shared risk Small scale energy efficiency Large scale energy efficiency, small scale energy production Network of energy production Short term low cost solutions Efficient lighting Improved insulation Efficient heating Monitoring Green roofs Quick win projects Implement solar panels on small scale ATES storage Complete monitoring in residential and commercial buildings Domestic heat recovery systems 20-30% emission reduction Insufficient to reach 40% in 2025 Demand meets supply (through production and storage) Large scale solar production Complete heat and cold storage network Heat recovery from datacenters and urban farms Targets for 2025 and 2040 (75% reduction) will be reached 5-15% emission reduction 80 Ecohydrology Improve quality of existing green (flower parks) Additional visible green through the city Full implementation and improve of green Park A9: basic Park A9 with vegetable gardens Multifunctional park A9 with horizontal greenhouse as a bridge between two residential areas 20% green roofs Increase percentage and upgrade green roofs Innovative green, living walls, green facade Small vegetable gardens Extension vegetable gardens Voedseltuinen Amsterdam Zuidoost Postzegelparken Language & horticulture program Long term vertical farming, include research & create niche market Table 18: Visual overview of the three scenarios in general and for each track Overall, these scenarios provide possible choices for making Amsterdam Zuidoost more sustainable and can be used as a tool in strategic decision making. 81 IV. Conclusion This research provides a clear overview of various track specific opportunities and challenges for the development, implementation and execution of the concept of the Floriade plans. Therefore, this report, the poster and the factsheets largely answer the main research question: What are the opportunities and challenges to make Amsterdam Zuidoost more sustainable based on the concept of Floriade 2022 Bidbook and how can those be combined in viable policy scenarios? Furthermore, the integrated policy scenarios can aid the decision-making process. The overview of challenges and opportunities is not complete, due to time and word constraints and the low availability of local data for ecohydrology and energy specific subjects. Those constraints could be improved by further research including more stakeholder interviews, more empirical data and research on urban farming, water and ecology. In conclusion, there are various opportunities and challenges distinguished in this report. Currently, the sustainability plans of Zuidoost fit mainly in scenario one, with some exceptions in scenario two for e.g. existing cooperation networks such as Energiek Zuidoost. There is still a lot of enthusiasm among stakeholders to participate in sustainability plans. With current low investment capacities, the short term, quick win and pilot projects from scenario two are most suitable for making a start with the execution of sustainability plans. Those projects build trust between stakeholders, show benefits of plans, increase cooperation experiences, increase sustainability knowledge and raise attention among stakeholders. This can contribute to reaching scenario three. It is also possible to reach scenario three without fully following scenario two, for example by utilizing existing networks. This is probably more difficult than starting with scenario two. 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What are the current initiatives and further options for energy savings and sustainable energy production in Amsterdam Zuidoost? What is the potential of each of those options in terms of energy and emission savings and costs and benefits? What are opportunities and challenges for relevant stakeholders for each plan and how does each plan relate to other plans (either related to energy, ecology or hydrology)? Which of the current ambitions of relevant stakeholders towards the themes green, water and urban farming in Amsterdam Zuidoost are represented by the Floriade bidbook? What are the opportunities to increase the quality of the green space in Zuidoost? What are the opportunities for urban farming in the city? Who are the main stakeholders for the concept of the Floriade 2022 plans? What are the goals and ambitions of the various stakeholders? What are the resources and capacities of the various stakeholders for contributing to developing these plans? How should the relation between governmental organizations, businesses and citizens be in order to realize the plans? What are the arguments related to the stakeholders (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) that will permit (or not) to continue with the plans without the Floriade? Which similarities and differences can be distinguished among stakeholders that are useful for further cooperation? Suggestions on State-of-the-Art literature reviews and possible research methods Mapping of the local initiatives Interviews with experts from the various initiatives Calculation of renewable energy, energy production, energy efficency and energy storage potential and the associated costs. Mapping of the ambitions for Zuidoost by interviewing various stakeholders Analysis of the current plans for Floriade 2022 Searching for opportunities for a sustainable Zuidooost without the Floriade Stakeholder analysis Network analysis Economic context SWOT Analysis Annex II Example of scheme used for analyzing the interviews: Stakeholder Role Interests Ambitions and goals Opportunities Contribution Conflicts Challenges Threats Cooperation Role Government and Corporations Key Actors Annex III Example excel used for the translation to quantitative research results: A B C Stakeholder Role 3 1 3 4 2 LEGENDA Role D E 2 3 2 6 1= facilitating (providing techniques and knowledge) 2= Facilitating (other resources: financial, vision) 3= lobbying 4= attention raising 5= Project/executing plans 6= connecting 94 Annex IV Overview of general information of the interviewees. Source: interviews, home websites and other material given by the actors. Interviewees AGG- Stichting Aktie Gezondheid Gaasperdammerweg Contact person Lony Wesseling AIM- Amsterdamse Innovatie Motor Selma Hilgersom AMC- Academisch Medisch Centrum Mattijs Maris DRO- Dienst Ruimtelijke Ordening Bob Mantel & Charlotte Buijs Floriade 2012 Venlo Hein van Asperen Councillor Stadsdeel Zuidoost Emile Jeansch General information Constitution 1977 Umbrella organization for several citizen groups (16) 25.000 citizens Initiative of Kenniskring Amsterdam Started in 2004 as project. Since 2006 as an independent organisation Biggest hospital in Amsterdam Connected with the university of Amsterdam +/-7000 employees Commissioned by the municipality of Amsterdam, city districts and partners within the region Development of visions and strategies Giving advice to the council of the municipality 250 employees Supervisory Board Floriade 2012 Venlo Concerned with the elaboration of the Floriade 2012, since the start of the bidbook writing 789.846 citizens in the city (+/- 1.5 million in the General aim Be a voice for the interests of citizens concerned with the Gaasperdammerweg Strengthen the innovative climate for companies, knowledge institutes and governmental organizations in the region of Amsterdam Combination of health care, scientific research and medical education. Take care of a coherent spatial development of the city and region of Amsterdam Show current developments in the horticultural field Improve image of the region of Venlo Be a dynamic city and inspiring capital city for the Netherlands with a rich 95 Gbc: Green Business Club Melanie van der Horst GAa: Greenport Aalsmeer Sander van Voorn Ikea Amsterdam Jill Hanssen Kz: Kansrijk Zuidoost Carmen Hogenelst Liander Frans de Rijke region of Amsterdam) Divided in 7 city districts Initiative of ABN AMRO, Oram and DMB Amsterdam Impact organization related to projects in Zuidas Amsterdam Projects are related to mobility, housing, people, area development and CSR Biggest world trade and knowledge centre in flowers and plants 50.000 employees Turnover of 3 billion euro’s a year Swedish multinational company Started in 1943 12 branches in the Netherlands One is located in Amsterdam Zuidoost Initiative of stadsdeel Zuidoost, DRO, DWI, Ymere, Agis Rochdale, Tempo Team and UWV House visits, courses, trainings and various projects Since 2008 (first it was called Continuon) Responsible for the management of the electricity historical and cultural aspect and diverse population. A city with good living and working conditions and an openminded characters Initiating, stimulating and realizing sustainable projects in Zuidas, together with members Working at sustainability, innovations, international competitiveness and the improvement of the image of the whole horticulture sector Offer high qualitative products for a low price, with social and environmental requirements for the production Giving advice to citizens of Zuidoost , giving support and guiding to several bodies. Make citizens socially and economically self-reliant. Continuous providing of energy by maintenance, improvement and innovations of the networks Stimulating economic, 96 Metfarm Masud Hussain Minke Mulder MTDlandschapsarchitecten Pronam Marcel Dorsman Stadsdeel Amsterdam Zuidoost The New Motion Gerard Lont, Arjan Ploegmakers, Hans Burck &Suzanne van Kooy Francesca Kirby-Petruccio and gas network in the provinces of Gelderland, Noord-Holland, Flevoland and parts of Friesland and Zuid-Holland 2.9 million (electricity) and 2.1 million (gas) households, business and institutions Start-up company: 9 Month of activity Urban horticulture in empty buildings Both common and rare species are cultivated Constitution 1954 Since 1998 the name MTD Combination of disciplinary employees Designing urban and rural areas in a timeless and sustainable way Section of Vastint Holding BV, which is part of the IKEA-Group Since 20 years active enterprising property investor and developer Since may 1st 1987 Own district council with councillors and a chairman Governing of local affairs, managing public spaces, waste, sport, zoning etcetera Since 2009 Initiative of Tendris, supported by stichting sustainable and social improvement in the region Want to produce good, clean, high quality, fresh food in metropolitan areas Sustainable solution is local food production. Striving for an optimal spatial quality of the environment Creating value by improvement of quality and selective growth Listen to wishes and requirements of clients Making local policy on various items and the set up of plans based on the ambitions of the council Social and economic renewal for the area Providing all the citizens of the Netherlands the opportunity to choose for mobility based on 97 Waternet Rob Ververs, Stefan Mol Ymere Herman Koers Zp: Zuidoost Partners Arno Gorissen DOEN Arranging all aspects of sustainable mobility: which car, charging points, arranging grants etcetera Common organization of municipality of Amsterdam and water board Amstel, Gooi en Vecht Only watercompany in the Netherlands that is concerned with the whole water cycle (e.g. cleaning waste water, providing drinking water, controlling surface water) Workingarea: municipality of Amsterdam and a large part of the province of Utrecht and Noord-Holland 1.2 citizens working and living in this area Housing cooperation in a.o. Amsterdam Zuidoost 85.000 units for rent (76.000 houses) Invest in housing, social projects 1000 employees Initiative of business, Stadsdeel Zuidoost, cooperation’s and governmental organizations. renewable energy sources Several values in managing water issues: sustainability, customizable, safety, innovative and leading Taking care of safe (drinking) water and management of rivers, pools and lakes. Value quality of living: providing a sustainable, safe and clean living environment Improve image of Amsterdam Zuidoost 98 Annex V 99 Annex VI 100 101 102 103 104