Cione - HFIP
Transcription
Cione - HFIP
Low altitude UAS observations in Hurricane Edouard: Comparsions with output from operational HWRF Thanks to Ligia Bernardet (ESRL/CIRES/DTC) Evan Kalina (CU), Eric Uhlhorn (HRD) and Jason Dunion for their significant contributions towards today’s talks. Also recognition goes out to NOAA/OAR for the financial support under the Sandy Supplemental Authorization of 2013 that helped make this work possible… Joseph Cione HFIP Annual Review 19 November 2014 First air-deployed UAS mission into a hurricane (a major one at that) When: 1432Z September 16th 2014 Where: Deployed into Major Hurricane Edouard’s eye (then eyewall) Deployment aircraft: NOAA WP-3D Orion (42) UAS flight duration: 28 minutes Minimum Altitude: 896m Maximum Wind Speed: 100kt @971m (in SW eyewall) Platform record! 2 Coyote UAS in Edouard’s eye… and eyewall.. Visible and IR (1445Z Sept 16th) Angle of Satellite image distorts co-location of Coyote in Edouard’s eye…After losing communications via satellite and the P-3, @ ~1454Z the UAS climbs and tries- to get back into eye…Did it ever make it ? 3 Record duration Coyote UAS mission! Thermodynamic and kinematic radial profile within the boundary layer of Hurricane Edouard When: 1507Z September 17th 2014 Where: Deployed along Hurricane Edouard boundary layer inflow channel Deployment aircraft: NOAA WP-3D Orion (42) UAS flight duration: 68 minutes (platform record!) Minimum (controlled) Altitude: 400m Maximum Wind Speed: 53kt @6m 16 NOAA 42 SEPT 17 2014 EDOUARD MODIS 1640Z 1250 nm 1000 nm 1420Z 750 nm 1341Z 1638Z 1617Z 1316Z 500 nm 1259Z 250 nm T/O: 1110Z LAND: 1919Z Coyote Launch/Splash 17 Center Fix Total expendables: 17 sondes (1 bad) and 8 BTs Sonde Sonde + BT Summary: UAS Boundary layer comparisons with HWRF • Eye/Eyewall Coyote UAS mission (9/16/14 14Z) – HWRF Flight level RH looks reasonable but model Ta/Td ~2C higher than observations from UAS – (From past buoy work) Ta/Td near the surface in they eye also looks too high by ~2C warm (28C/27C respectively) – Low level RH seems reasonable in the eye (low 90%) but RH is definitely much too low outside the eye especially within the eyewall (low 80%)… » Should be 95-98%...Ta ~1C too high (26C), Td 1-2C too low (22C) • Inflow Coyote UAS mission (9/17/14 15Z) – Unlike the Coyote eye mission, HWRF Ta and Td at flight level (750m) are -lower- by 1-2C relative to UAS observations – Dynamic fields relative to observations look reasonable (horizontal pressure gradient and flight level winds) – Thermodynamically the comparisons aren’t as favorable. At low levels in the model, Ta is too warm and Td is too dry… » Net result is a much more –unstable- HWRF boundary layer in the inflow transect analyzed. Obs. are about 2x more stable.(~3C/750m vs ~6C/750m) – Similar to eye/eyewall mission results, RH at the surface in HWRF is much too low (80% range). This is a combination of Ta too high (~+1C) and Td too low (~-1C). – 140kt V10 at t=0 ? (V10 at the time of initialilization (18z on the 17th) was ~80kts)