Malaysia
Transcription
Malaysia
Kelvin Tan Assoc. Director Performance Management and Delivery Unit (PEMANDU) Prime Minister’s Department, Malaysia 1 Discussion Outline • Overview of Petroleum in Malaysia • Petroleum and the broad economy • Managing Petroleum from a Policy Perspective • Lessons learned 2 Malaysia’s Oil and Gas Industry Today Central to Malaysian Economy • Oil & Gas contributes approximately 20% of Malaysia’s GDP • A large portion of the 20% are contributed by E&P activity, and a small portion by services or manufacturing • Production has declined and are mostly from matured brown field development • New developments are getting more difficult i.e. deeper water, HPHT, high H2S and CO2, etc. 3 Strategy for Sustainable Development of the Energy Sector – Taking Malaysian Industry to the Next Level DIVERSIFY GROW SUSTAIN EPPs Grow in downstream Continue domestic Oil & Gas production 4. 1. 2. 3. 5. Unlock latent gas demand through LNG import Enhanced oil recovery Develop small fields Increase exploration activities Create a regional oil storage and trading hub 13.Increasing petrochemical output Make Malaysia # 1 Asian hub for oil field services 6. 7. 8. Build alternative energy capabilities 9. Reduce energy bill through energy efficiency 10. Build up solar power capacity 11. Ensure best practice nuclear deployment 12. Drive industrial growth in Sarawak with big hydro Encourage investment in oil and gas industry (DDI + FDI) Local companies successful in going overseas Attract MNCs to bring global operations to Malaysia 4 Petroleum Clusters in Malaysia – Multiple Opportunities for Local Industry ▪ Sarawak Kerteh/Kemaman Lumut ▪ Fabrication of offshore/ onshore structures ▪ Offshore supply base for Peninsular Malaysia Petrochemical hub ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ Fabrication Oilfield services Refinery Petrochemical Tanjung Agas ▪ Marine Services – ship repair, structure repair Gebeng ▪ Petrochemical Sipitang ▪ ▪ Kuala Lumpur ▪ ▪ HQ’s of major OFSE Engineering Companies Pengerang/Pasir Gudang PD and Melaka ▪ ▪ Refineries and Lubricant Blending Regasification (Sg Udang) South West Johor (Tg Bin/ Tg Pelepas) ▪ OFSE manufacturing hub ▪ ▪ ▪ Petrochemical hub Fabrication of offshore/ onshore structures Installation companies Industrial Park SAMUR Labuan ▪ Offshore supply base for East Malaysia 5 Malaysia Benefits from a Long Petroleum History Present Day Post Independence • ~600kb/d liquids production • ~1000kboe/d gas production Early Years (Pre-independence): 1957 – Independence • Mature petroleum province 1910 – 1st Oil - Miri, Sarawak 1974 – Petroleum Development Act (Formation of PETRONAS NOC) • Multiple refinery, petchem plants 1917 – world’s longest underwater pipeline developed (14,500ft) 1917 – 1st Malaysian refinery (Lutong, Sarawak) - Federal government and states relinquish control of upstream petroleum resources to NOC - Production sharing contract environment • Strong push for extracting added value from resources: - Enhanced oil recovery - Marginal fields - Regional oil storage strategy - Oilfield services hub strategy - Expand domestic fabrication - Encourage international JVs - Expand petrochemical ind. 6 Generically: Petroleum Affects the Economy at Multiple Touch-points Petroleum Production Government Take Benefit • Taxes, royalties, dividends and other levies on petroleum production • Taxes on ancillary industries / employees Challenge • Designing an appropriate government take to incentivise industry and ensure a win-win for the host country Local Content • Direct industry jobs / enterprises • Indirect (supporting industry) jobs • Ancillary activity due to rising consumption • Host country citizens may not have the capabilities needed to get the highest value jobs Profits Remaining Incountry • Petroleum company profits reinvested incountry • Local company profits which cascade throughout the economy • Profits remain incountry only on condition that new viable investment opportunities exist Development of downstream industries • Development of downstream industries e.g. petrochemicals, fertiliser, etc. • Rate of development of downstream industry is limited by demand for industry products, resultant economies of scale etc. 7 The Malaysian Approach to the Petroleum Policy Environment • PETRONAS is the asset owner for all upstream petroleum acreage • IOCs operating in Malaysia do so under the framework of production sharing contracts • Local content is driven by the need for vendors to the upstream industry to be licensed by PETRONAS (irrespective of who is the operator of the field) 8 Licensing a Vendor in the Malaysian Petroleum Industry Local Company Local Company Joint Venture 9 Agency vs JV: Pros and Cons Agency Joint Venture Pro Pro • Fast to set up • Local partner ‘added value’ is relationships and local knowledge • Local partner requires limited access to finance etc. • Deeper local capability development • Local partner and foreign principal are more tightly bound together Con Con • Local partner may have limited incentive to move up the value chain • Agencies may shift suddenly on a project-by-project basis • Deeper JV partnerships may also require capital injection from local partner • ‘Matching process’ may take longer 10 Internationally: Petroleum Industry Size Creates Policy Challenges Example from the Literature 11 Source: Exporting the ‘‘Norwegian Model’’: The effect ofadministrative design on oil sector performance Thurber, Hults, Heller Lessons Learned • Choose an industry governance model which suits the institutional capabilities and legal framework of the country. • If capital is a constraint, choose a local content development model which favours the development of capabilities among individuals. • A local content development ‘roadmap’ is a good idea. It should take into account maturity of the industry and individuals to ensure realisation of the benefits. 12 Thank You For more information on Malaysia’s National Transformation Program, please visit our website http://www.pemandu.gov.my Kelvin Tan [email protected] 13