ASTR 380 Terraforming Other Planets
Transcription
ASTR 380 Terraforming Other Planets
ASTR 380 Terraforming Other Planets http://mensa-barbie.com/bloggerimages/468-Solarsyst_new_world_gliesesyst Outline Definitions and context Terraforming Mars The far future Habitable Planet “Class M” planets of Star Trek Basically, step on, take a satisfying breath, and start colonizing! Don’t know how common these are Biocompatible Planet Planet with physical parameters to be habitable Doesn’t have to be life on it now Classic example: Mars, which we will now consider in detail Terraforming Mars Shaun Moss Mars Society Australia [email protected] June 2006 Goals of Terraforming A planet that supports life from Earth: Temperatures approx. 0±40°C Abundant liquid water Breathable air Fertile soil that supports plant growth Sunlight Walk on the surface without a spacesuit. Why Mars? Not too far from the Sun Approx. 24 hour diurnal cycle Not excessively cold (-140°C .. 20°C, avg -63°C) Has water, CHNOPS, metals Has seasons like Earth Can hold an atmosphere Because we think we can Usual Approach Warm Mars by several degrees. CO2 and water vapour sublime from polar caps and regolith. Greenhouse effect warms planet further, releasing more CO2 and water vapour, generating more heat and so on: “runaway greenhouse”. Liquid water becomes more prevalent on the surface. Introduce life. Photosynthetic organisms convert CO2 into O2. Eventually atmosphere and temperature suitable for animals, including humans. Flowchart Goal is a self-regulating equilibrium, probably best achieved by a well-designed, stable, global biosphere. Note addition of N2 importation – to be discussed. 3 primary planetary engineering tasks: 1 3 2 Task 1: Increasing Temperature Bulk of T increase comes from greenhouse effect. Some initial warming required to kick-start. Popular ideas: Space-based mirrors Greenhouse gases Albedo reduction The New Phobos: Mars’s 2nd Sun Phobos’s orbit in decay. Move Phobos into a higher, stable orbit. Repositioning minor planets already examined in context of NEOs. Better yet, move Phobos into a stable polar orbit, and cover its near side with array of mirrors. Sunlight reflected down onto both poles ~3 times per day, all year round. Triggers sublimation of CO2 and water vapour. Each mirror on a 2-axis mount, computer-controlled to track the Sun. Solar-powered system. Phobos only 22km diameter, but could extend mirror array wider by building a framework into space. Primary advantage: Phobos provides a source of material for mirror fabrication, e.g. Fe, Al Phobos appears like a second sun with half diameter of Sol, travelling from N to S. Phobos Mirror Greenhouse Gases CFCs excellent GHG, but short-lived in high-UV, also ozone-depleting. PFCs much longer-lived, 6500-9200 times more effective than CO2 and non O3-depleting. Could build PFC factories. O3 good greenhouse gas which increases with O2 levels, and also needed to provide radiation protection. NH3 obtainable from asteroids. Methane: CH4 is 23 times more effective GHG than CO2 Cheap: can be produced industrially from H2 and CO2 (ISPP). Can also be manufactured biologically. Non-toxic and increases ozone production. Introduce Methanogens Extremophilic methanogens could be engineered to live on Mars and produce methane. Stage 1 of biosphere. Subsurface first (chemotrophic), surface later (phototrophic). Might already be there. CH4 in Martian atmosphere is a clue. If so, extant organisms could be made more prolific and/or, might spread as planet warms and more H2O. Methanogens are anaerobic and will die out as O2 levels rise, unless new strains are engineered. Albedo Reduction Prev suggestions: Dark-coloured algae/lichen. Spreading black dust on poles – unfeasible in Martian winds. Longer-term solution: Engineer plants with dark-green leaves. Can offset T drop as CO2 levels decrease. Summary: Warming 1. Phobos mirrors. Triggers global warming. 2. Early biosphere: methanogens. 3. Long-term warmth: plants with darkgreen leaves; also aerobic methanogens. Task 2: Atmosphere Engineering Mars’s atmosphere almost wholly CO2, small amounts of N2 and Ar, trace elements of other gases. However, very thin: only ~0.8kPa. Ideally, terraformed atmo will be like Earth’s: 79kPa N2, 21kPa O2. What’s the minimum? Require at least 16kPa O2 = minimum safe breathable partial pressure of oxygen. Equivalent to altitude of about 3km on Earth. (About 20% of newcomers would experience altitude sickness.) O2 manufactured from CO2 by photosynthetic organisms. Nitrogen Mars has only 2.7% atmospheric N2 and unknown quantities of other N compounds. Importance of N2 frequently overlooked by terraformers. Nitrogen fundamental to all DNA-based life, component of amino acids & nucleic acid bases. Probably insufficient nitrogen for planet-wide biosphere. On Earth, N2 also serves as a buffer gas, reducing oxygen toxicity, fires and corrosion. O2 levels higher than 35% cause spontaneous combustion of biosphere. We need more N2 . How Much Nitrogen? Need approx. at least twice as much buffer gas as O2 to prevent fires, i.e. 32kPa. Noble gas (e.g. He, Ne, Ar)? N2 is much easier to source, plus required by biosphere. Total minimum surface pressure for 2:1 N2/O2 atmo is ~48kPa (less than half Earth’s). A 3:1 mix (64kPa) would be better, 4:1 best. (For H&S, keep thickening atmosphere beyond terraforming goals until same as Earth.) Bare minimum atmosphere: O2: 6.85x1017 kg N2: 1.2x1018 kg Where to get all this N2? 3 options: Earth Venus Titan Earth – unlikely, probably cause global climate change. Venus – close, but requires separation of 3.5% N2 from 96.5% CO2. (This option better if simultaneously terraforming Venus.) Titan – atmo 98.4% N2, remainder CH4 (which we like). Far away, but robotic atmosphere-mining tankers would have simple design. Just fly through atmo and fill the tanks. Mining Titan’s Atmosphere Titan’s atmo contains approx. 9x1018 kg N2 and we want 1.2x1018 kg N2, so we are talking about transporting about ~13% of it to Mars. How long will it take? Let’s say, 1st year we build 5 spherical tankers with r=100m. Est. round-trip to Titan = 10y. Tech improves yearly. On average, every year we build 10% more ships than the previous year, with 10% larger radius, & decrease round-trip time by 10%.... Have obtained required N2 in just 4 decades. Even if it takes 2-3 times this long, this is not excessive compared to other tasks. Managing CO2 & O2 Levels Will we have enough CO2? CO2 may not come out of regolith easily. CO2 dissolves in water, the colder the better. As hydrosphere expands, CO2 levels will drop & not replaced by O2. In water, CO2 can react with minerals to form carbonates – hard to return these to atmosphere. (High acidity may inhibit carbonate formation) Will we have too much CO2? Estimated 40kPa CO2 can be sublimated if loosely bound in regolith. But we only need 16 - 21kPa O2. Maximizing phytoplankton mass can offset carbonate production by converting dissolved CO2 to O2. Some bacteria can liberate CO2 from carbonate rock. O2 can be produced by electrolysis or metal refining. Can always get more CO2 from Venus. Get the N2 first Maximum safety: Biological O2 pump hard to stop/control. If O2 levels exceed ~35%, risk of fires & damage to biosphere, machinery, bases. Many colonists by this stage. Must ensure sufficient quantities of buffer gas during warming and biosphere construction. Also: the sooner we can start getting, N compounds into the soil the better. Plan 1: Warming First Pros: Warm & wet early. Cons: High risk of fires leading up to and during Phase 3. Plan 2: Get N2 First Pros: Atmosphere thick early (aids construction, improves safety). Buffer gas in place. Can start getting nitrates into soil sooner. Allows for a long period of Mars research before more serious climate change. Cons: Cold and dry for a bit longer. Plan 3: Concurrent Phases Pros: Faster. Warm & wet early. Atmosphere thick early. Nitrate production. Buffer gas in place; O2 always <35% Cons: Fire risk if N2 importation system breaks. Task 3: Biosphere Construction Start at the bottom of the food chain and work up: Basic chemical nutrients. Microbes Plants Animals Each generation improves environment for next. Aquatic vs. Terrestrial Ecosystems Aquatic ecosystems will develop before terrestrial (land-based). Just like Earth: 1. 2. 3. 4. Life began in oceans: protection from UV, availability of nutrients. Aquatic plants converted CO2 atmo to O2. O3 layer formed, providing UV protection. Life moved onto land. Mars cold & dry: aquatic bio-density will be greater than terrestrial. C.f. Earth: Much more aquatic life at poles than at equator. Why? CO2 dissolves better in cold water, improves conditions for phytoplankton, and hence higher organisms. Much less terrestrial life at poles than at equators. Why? Too cold and dry. Martian Microbes Primary engineers of planet. Role is to prepare environment for plants. Require ecosystem that performs a variety of roles: Nitrogen-fixing Nitrification Methanogenesis Alkalisation Genetic Engineering – combine DNA from: Functional organisms Extremophiles Extant Martian life Functional Microbes Nitrogen-fixing & nitrification: Azotobacter, Rhizobium, Nitrosomonas, Nitrobacter, etc. Chemoautotrophs/lithotrophs: obtain E from inorganic molecules synthesise organic molecules from CO2. Methanogens – anaerobic, suited to low O2, produce CH4. Extremophiles: Categories halophiles (salt) acidophiles (acid) cryophiles (cold) xerophiles (dryness) oligotrophs (lack of nutrients) radioresistant (radiation) Extant Martian Life Will have useful genetic material, adapted for Mars. Probably lives below surface, and therefore chemotrophic. Cryophilic. Could be endolithic (living in rocks) or aquatic (subsurface pools). Possibly methanogenic (low O2 levels, plus would account for CH4 in atmosphere). Combining Martian DNA with Terran species to create new organisms preserves genetic heritage – “managed evolution” may address moral question. Martian Plants Aquatic species Most important – these convert atmo. Hence the need to maximize wet areas by warming. Phytoplankton (diatoms, dinoflagellates, cyanobacteria). Macroscopic algae: kelp. Tundral species (cryophilic) Arctic, Antarctic & Alpine ecosystems. Mainly lichen, mosses, grasses, some flowers and woody plants, close to ground. Lack of pollenating insects has caused evolution of vegetative methods of propagation, e.g. underground runners, bulbils, viviparous flowers. Desert species (xerophilic) Cactii. Fast Biosphere Propagation: Robotic Gardeners Robots very advanced at time of terraforming, esp. on Mars. Can greatly increase biosphere expansion rate. Colonies maintain farms of algae and other Mars-successful species. Satellites in Mars’s orbit detect water, measure heat/O2 output, growth rates. Data used to direct highly mobile robots (e.g. helicopters/balloons) to carry seeds/spores to best areas. Humans do research, but global gardening system can be fully automated. Martian Animals Special purpose: Stingless bees – pollenation Earthworms – soil manufacture Granivorous birds – seed propagation Aquatic: Zooplankton, krill, squid, cold-water fish. Terrestrial: Fish-eating birds, land mammals, etc. from polar environments. First mammals: cats and dogs descended from colonists’ pets. Radiation Protection Increasing O2 levels build ozone layer. A magnetic field can be created by building a planet-circling conductor. Doubles as backbone for Martian power grid. Mars Prospects Terraforming Mars requires a range of solutions. Three basic planetary engineering tasks. Phobos a useful platform for space mirrors. Need to ensure nitrogen levels high enough to dilute O2, reduce fire risk. Use Solar System resources, not just Mars. Robotics and genetic engineering key technologies for biosphere construction. Every task affects the whole planet – all parts of process need to be managed concurrently. Colonies on Venus? Terraforming Venus is much tougher! But at 50 km, temp, pressure is like Earth Normal O2:N2 mixture floats Could have giant floating cities in atmosphere! Methane_Harvester_final_by_gusti_boucher.jpg Future Nanorobots? Far future! Might we make nanorobots that copy themselves and terraform planet? Exponential increase, so this could be fast Send out ahead of colony ships! http://www.acceleratingfuture.c om/michael/blog/images/bionanotechnology.jpg Summary Terraforming Mars, though extended and hugely expensive, is within reach What are benefits and costs? Ethical questions: do we have right to modify planets like this?