Wealth Markets in China: Seeking the Opportunity to Lead
Transcription
Wealth Markets in China: Seeking the Opportunity to Lead
CHINA WEALTH 2011 Wealth Markets in China Seeking the Opportunity to Lead About The Boston Consulting Group The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) is a global management consulting firm and the world’s leading advisor on business strategy. We partner with clients from the private, public, and not-for-profit sectors in all regions to identify their highest-value opportunities, address their most critical challenges, and transform their enterprises. Our customized approach combines deep insight into the dynamics of companies and markets with close collaboration at all levels of the client organization. This ensures that our clients achieve sustainable competitive advantage, build more capable organizations, and secure lasting results. Founded in 1963, BCG is a private company with 74 offices in 42 countries. For more information, please visit bcg.com. About China Construction Bank China Construction Bank (CCB) is one of the largest commercial banks in China. Headquartered in Beijing, CCB has 13,442 branches across China in mid-2011, as well as a number of representative offices and subsidiaries around the world. Its staff numbers are approximately 310,000. About CCB Private Bank CCB Private Bank was established on July 18, 2008 and is CCB’s special arm serving clients with investable assets exceeding RMB 6 million. CCB Private Bank aims to provide total solutions for all financial needs of individuals, their families and their enterprises and emphasizes professionalism of services, protection of privacy, financial stability and operational efficiency. CCB Private Bank has set up more than 200 private banking and wealth management centers across China, and promotes its private banking services across its vast retail branch network. It currently operates CCB (Asia) Hong Kong Private Bank, and is also broadening its overseas private banking services. Wealth Markets in China Seeking the Opportunity to Lead CHINA WEALTH 2011 Frankie Leung Chunqi Wei Nan Wang Yufang Mei December 2011 bcg.com ccb.com © The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. and China Construction Bank, 2011. All rights reserved. For information or permission to reprint, please contact: E-mail: [email protected] (BCG)/[email protected] (CCB) Fax: 21 2 (BCG)/ 10 2 00 (CCB) Contents Introduction Global Wealth: An Overview Global Wealth Growth Private Banking Faces Challenges Global Economic Uncertainty Forces Change 10 Private Banking in China 12 The Drivers of Growth and Macro Trends 1 Infrastructure and Legal Limitations 1 Promoting More Comprehensive Trust Products and Plans 1 The Competitive Landscape for Wealth Management 1 China s High-Net-Worth Individuals 20 The Characteristics of HNW Individuals 20 The Key Drivers of Behavior and Preferences 2 Second-Generation Wealth Inheritors 2 Offshore Wealth Management 1 The Global Offshore Wealth Market 1 Offshore Demand in China 2 Hong Kong: An Offshore Market for Private Banks 2 Offshore Private-Banking Business Models WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA Strategic Implications for Private Banking Improve Target Marketing by Refining Customer Segmentation Increase Share of Wallet by Identifying Additional Customer Demands Prepare for Tomorrow by Understanding the Most Sophisticated Clients Today Position the Bank as Primary Manager of Offshore Wealth for Chinese Nationals Build Core Competency Through Integration and Alignment of Business Units The Mission for Chinese Private Banks Be Sustainable and Credible Have Care and Respect and Be Socially Responsible Build a Successful Business to Pay Back the Community Invest, Don t Speculate Note to the Reader 1 • CCB PRIVATE BANK Introduction W hile global markets experienced tremendous volatility and uncertainty in 2011, the Chinese government continued its efforts to tighten its monetary policy and transform the country’s economic structure. In this report, we reassess the present and future of China’s private-banking industry at a time of increasing economic and social complexity and change. The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) and the China Construction Bank (CCB) have worked together to assess China’s wealth market and the key characteristics of the affluent population based on detailed modeling of the present and future of China’s wealth market, through surveys of more than 2,000 high net worth (HNW) individuals, and with interviews with a number of private bank relationship managers. As a result, this report aims to present a clear group profile of private banking clients and many other findings of China’s wealth market. Despite the global macroeconomic uncertainties, China’s private-banking sector continues to be a bright spot. By the end of 2011, the total value of investable assets1 of Chinese individuals is set to reach RMB 62 trillion, which represents a compound annual growth rate of 32 percent over the past three years. Of that RMB 62 trillion, RMB 27 trillion will be held by HNW households, each with at least RMB 6 million in investable assets. At the same time, the total number of Chinese HNW households is set to reach 1.21 million by the end of 2011, having grown at 42 percent over the past three years. China’s major municipalities and provinces along the eastern seaboard, including Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangdong, continue to have and attract an affluent WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA population. However, wealth is spreading across the country. The number of HNW individuals is soaring in places such as Shanxi, with its abundance of natural resources, and Hainan, where local prosperity is largely due to a boom in travel and real estate. The growth rate of HNW households in Central and Western China, including in the provinces of Gansu, Anhui, and Guizhou, is outpacing the growth rates in other areas. Close to 60 percent of China’s HNW individuals are private entrepreneurs who started their own businesses and became wealthy. Our survey reveals that these individuals have divergent views on the financial markets, investments preference, risk appetite, and to a larger extent, the meaning of wealth. Very few of them, however, have a sufficient understanding of private banking and the products and services it offers. Although these HNW individuals appear to be concerned about preserving their wealth and their way of life and educating their children, they increasingly recognize the importance of being socially responsible. Rapid economic growth is the core driver of the wealth accumulation of HNW individuals and the development of private banking industry in China. However, the recent economic slowdown and tightening of credit posed unprecedented challenges to the private entrepreneurs. The Chinese government has started to unveil a series of economic policies to support small and medium-sized businesses, and private entrepreneurs have begun to see positive results. 1. Investable asset refers to the combined market value of household deposits, treasury bonds, mutual funds, stocks, financial planning products and alternative investments. It excludes real estate property that is either self-owned or for investment purposes, collectables, consumer durables, individual business assets or land resources owned by individuals but have yet been explored. In order to build a sustainable business, China’s private banks must spend more time listening to their clients whose needs, as our survey shows, tend to reflect their educational background, their source of wealth and occupation, the value of their assets, and the region in which they live. By advising them on many fronts, private banks can build long-term relationships and customer loyalty. As clients look for more sophisticated products and services, private banks should try to build a competitive advantage based on innovation and better leveraging of their various institutional resources. As Chinese entrepreneurs increasingly look abroad to grow and expand their business, offshore private-banking services are sure to be in greater demand. Chinese commercial banks should start preparing for this by testing the ground in Hong Kong, with its distinguished legal, accounting, and regulatory setup. Commercial banks that are interested in building stronger offshore wealth-management capabilities for the long term must begin today. Chinese private banks—as service provider, wealth manager, and investment advisor to China’s HNW individuals—are in the enviable position of being able to take a leadership role and seize a competitive advantage. A key strategic choice for China’s private banks then is to lead, rather than follow, market developments—to be proactive, innovative, and forward-looking. The investment activities of China’s HNW population tend to have short-term time frames, and many do not regularly communicate with a financial advisor. The door is wide open for financial and wealth management institutions to play greater roles in shaping the financial future of these HNW individuals and assisting them grow their businesses. • CCB PRIVATE BANK Global Wealth: An Overview level. During the past three years, AuM climbed by nearly $20 trillion. (See Exhibit 1.) Global Wealth Growth Global wealth grew in nearly every region of the world in 2010, with assets under management (AuM) showing signs of a sustained recovery in both developed and emerging markets. By the end of the year, AuM had increased by $9 trillion and was at a record-high North America had the largest absolute gain in wealth, at $3.6 trillion, and the second-highest growth rate, at 10.2 percent. Its $38.2 trillion in AuM—nearly one-third of global wealth—made it the world’s rich- Exhibit 1. Global Wealth Continued to Grow in 2010 AuM, 2008–2010 ($trillions) 4.8 4.8 7.0 7.0 11.1 31.2 34.6 33.1 10.2 2009 37.1 2009 2010 1.4 -0.2 16.6 16.8 16.8 38.2 2008 2008 35.4 24.7 Europe 2010 14.9 North America1 8.2 10.3 2.9 3.2 3.5 2008 2009 2010 2008 2009 2010 Asia-Pacific (excluding Japan)2 8.6 13.6 3.6 4.1 4.5 2008 2009 2010 17.1 21.7 18.5 33.9 4.6 Change (%) Households with more than $1 million in AuM Households with less than $1 million in AuM 2009 2008 2010 Japan +19.5 10.3 102.3 Middle East and Africa Latin America3 2008 9.2 112.8 121.8 33.7 6.1 8.2 2009 2010 China 2008 2009 2010 Global Source: BCG Global Wealth Market-Sizing Database, 2011. Note: AuM numbers for all years were converted to U.S. dollars at year-end 2010 exchange rates in order to exclude the effect of currency fluctuations. Percentage changes and global totals of AuM are based on complete (not rounded) numbers. Calculations for 2008 and 2009 are based on the same methodology used for the 2010 calculations. Global wealth is measured by AuM across all households. 1 United States and Canada. 2 Includes Australia and New Zealand. 3 South America, Central America, and Mexico. WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA est region. In Europe, wealth grew at a below-average rate of 4.8 percent, but the region still gained $1.7 trillion in AuM. North America surpassed Europe as the wealthiest region in part because its capital markets had a stronger recovery, but also because the euro lost value relative to the dollar in 2010. Wealth grew fastest in Asia-Pacific (excluding Japan), at a rate of 17.1 percent. As recently as 2008, Japan accounted for more than half of all the wealth in AsiaPacific. In 2010, it accounted for about 44 percent. In the Middle East and Africa, growth was above the global average, at 8.6 percent, but was limited to some extent by volatility in the price of oil as well as by the real estate crisis in Dubai. In Latin America, wealth grew by 8.2 percent. Together, these three emergingmarket regions accounted for $29.7 trillion in AuM, and their share of global wealth continued to rise— from 20.9 percent of global wealth in 2008 and 22.9 percent in 2009 to 24.4 percent in 2010. In general, if adjusted to reflect the fluctuations in exchange rates—in other words, with wealth converted to U.S. dollars using year-end 2010 exchange rates—global wealth grew by 8 percent in 2010. (See Exhibit 2.) The strong performance of the financial markets accounted for 59 percent of the growth in AuM in 2010. The remainder came from savings. During the crisis, cash was king. Since then, HNW individuals have been redirecting their assets back into riskier investments. From year-end 2008 through 2010, the share of wealth held in equities increased from 29 percent to 35 percent, while the share of wealth held in cash and deposits declined from 49 percent to 45 percent. We expect wealth to grow at a compound annual rate of 5.9 percent from year-end 2010 through 2015 and to reach about $162 trillion. Wealth will increase fastest in Asia-Pacific markets (excluding Japan and China), at a compound annual rate of 11.4 percent. As a re- Exhibit 2. Annual Growth of 9.1% from 2008 to 2010, Even Higher Growth Rate Than 2005 to 2007 Change in AuM, excluding currency effects, 2005–2010 ($trillions)1 CAGR2 (%) 2005-2007 2008-2010 2009-2010 Total 95.8 104.9 8.0 100 2.3 3.2 16.7 11.1 50 0 3.6 2.5 17.3 12.8 111.8 102.3 112.8 9.1 2.8 3.9 17.3 15.5 2.9 3.6 4.1 3.2 18.5 33.6 34.8 31.3 35.1 37.5 31.2 34.6 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 31.3 Latin America Middle East and Africa 33.1 Japan Asia-Pacific (excluding Japan) 9.1 8.0 4.5 11.9 9.6 9.2 11.1 8.2 8.6 16.8 2.0 0.6 -0.2 21.7 18.3 20.9 17.1 37.1 5.3 5.9 4.8 38.2 9.5 10.7 10.2 16.8 16.6 14.9 8.0 121.8 3.5 35.4 2010 Europe North America CAGR (%) Source: BCG Global Wealth Market-Sizing Database, 2011. 1 AuM numbers for all years were converted from local currencies to U.S. dollars at year-end 2010 exchange rates (that is, at a constant rate of exchange). 2 CAGR is based on year-end numbers; all growth rate calculations are based on exact value. • CCB PRIVATE BANK sult, the region’s share of global wealth is expected to increase from 18 percent in 2010 to 23 percent in 2015. In India and China, global wealth will increase at a compound annual rate of 18 percent and 14 percent, respectively, from year-end 2010 through 2015. China alone will account for 19 percent of the overall increase in AuM, while India will account for about 8 percent. We anticipate growth rates in European and North American markets to be slightly below the global average. (See Exhibit 3.) Private Banking Faces Challenges In 2011, BCG benchmarked the performance of more than 130 financial institutions—either private banks or wealth management units of large universal-banking groups—around the world. We uncovered regional variations in their asset growth, revenues, costs, and profit margins. On the whole, the AuM growth of private banks slowed from 12.8 percent in 2009 to 7.5 percent in 2010. The average return on assets (ROA) declined, and the average cost-to-income ratio dropped slightly. (See Exhibit 4.) Onshore and offshore private banks will likely take different paths to improve performance, but their efforts will revolve around the same set of core imperatives. ◊ Reduce complexity. Private banks can decrease their costs by simplifying their business—for example, by rationalizing client segments, discontinuing unprofitable client relationships, eliminating low-volume products from their portfolio, and slimming the organization through delayering. ◊ Enhance pricing. The one-size-fits-all approach to pricing has become outdated. Wealth managers Exhibit 3. Wealth Will Continue to Grow Faster in Emerging Markets Compound annual growth in AuM, 2010–2015E (%)1 18 16 Emerging markets 14 China 12 10 8 6 4 2 Mature markets 0 10 5 15 25 Compound annual growth in AuM, 2005–2010 (%)1 Asia-Pacific (excl. Japan & China) Latin America Middle East & Africa Eastern Europe North America Western Europe Japan Source: BCG Global Wealth Market-Sizing Database, 2011. Note: Compound annual growth rates are calculated on the basis of year-end values. Not shown in the exhibit: New Zealand, Yemen, and Tunisia. 1 AuM numbers for all years were converted from local currencies to U.S. dollars at year-end 2010 exchange rates (that is, at a constant rate of exchange). WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA Exhibit 4. Industry Trends Are Affecting the Profitability of Private Banks Industry trends Conservative γߵᄉᠪ̖ᦠᎵ asset allocation Low-margin products Demanding clients and regulators New business models ROA levels declining globally ◊ Clients are shiing assets to low-risk products ◊ A significant amount of assets are still “parked” in cash, gold, and government bonds ◊ Clients are questioning the value of active asset management; ETFs have strong growth ◊ Price-sensitive clients expect added value and transparency ◊ The government is increasing regulatory pressure ◊ Online brokers and social media are changing the investment process ◊ Clients expect transparency and lower fees Average ROA (basis points) 100 94 82 Potentially less than 80 2010 2015E 75 50 25 0 2008 Source: BCG Wealth Manager Performance Database, 2011; BCG analysis. need to revise their pricing models to more accurately account for the cost of serving specific client segments. ◊ Focus on “sticky” products. Wealth managers should focus on selling products such as mutual funds and discretionary mandates, which tend to be longer-term investments and therefore help increase net new assets (NNAs) over time. ◊ Improve frontline performance. Sales force effectiveness can be improved at many private banks and wealthmanagement institutions. Relatively straightforward initiatives, such as coaching relationship managers (RMs) and improving the management of prospects and referrals, can have a significant impact on productivity. ◊ Lower costs. Cost-to-income ratios can be improved by streamlining middle- and back-office functions. Many private banks and wealth-management institutions have opportunities to automate processes or adjust capacity, especially in operations and IT, to reflect the current scope of the business. 10 Although global wealth posted another year of growth and was $10 trillion higher than the pre-crisis year-end peak, the pressure on wealth managers—at least in some markets—has yet to subside. The positive signs should not be misread as a return to normal. A set of disruptive forces, including regulatory reforms, changes in client behavior, and the possibility of another economic crisis, are rewriting the rules of the industry. All wealth managers must be aware that a new era is coming. Global Economic Uncertainty Forces Change As we approach the end of 2011, we find that the relatively optimistic predictions made about the economy at the start of the year have not materialized. A series of events, such as Japan’s devastating earthquake and tsunami and the swings in oil prices, have significantly affected the world economy. In the U.S., factors such as stagnant economic growth, high unemployment, a sluggish real-estate market, and reduced government spending have led to an increasingly uncertain economic outlook for growth. • CCB PRIVATE BANK In the euro zone, the financial and sovereign debt crises have not been effectively resolved and, in fact, have intensified. Various governments and the European Central Bank have gone to great lengths to help faltering countries. However, the outlook is likely to remain cloudy in the near term. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded its prediction for 2011 world GDP growth to 4 percent, and it expects economic growth to slow in both the U.S. and Europe.2 The uncertainty of economic forecasts has been reflected in the capital and wealth markets. Investment strategy and principles that have served investors well in the past are coming under scrutiny. For example, traditionally, corporate bonds and European government bonds with high credit ratings have been considered safe assets. But under the current economic circumstances, it’s important to assess the risks of these assets. WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA Our survey indicates that most investors are becoming more risk averse, and they tend to be more cautious and conservative with investments. Though a significant reallocation of wealth has not taken place following the financial crisis, more investors have taken steps to be in better control of their finances and their future and to get a better understanding of the market. As the increasingly complex macroeconomic environment continues to exert pressure on investments and wealth, it will be necessary for investors to enhance their understanding of wealth management. For this reason, many investors are going to rely more on the professional services of financial institutions. 2. World Economic Outlook 2011, IMF. 11 Private Banking in China S ince it first emerged in 2007, China’s privatebanking sector has experienced remarkable growth, driven by the continued expansion of the nation’s economy and the subsequent rise of individual income and wealth. The proprietary market-sizing model built by BCG and the China Construction Bank shows that by the end of 2010, the total value of investable assets held by individuals in China reached RMB 54 trillion, which is 28.6 percent higher than the value of these assets at the end of 2009 (RMB 42 trillion). It is set to reach RMB 62 trillion by the end of 2011. The total value of investable assets held by HNW households (those with more than RMB 6 million of investable assets)3 was RMB 23 trillion at the end of 2010, accounting for more than 40 percent of the total investable assets held by individuals in China and growing at a compound annual growth rate of 44.8 percent, which is higher than that for all individuals, at a rate of 24.0 percent. Our analysis 4 also shows that the number of HNW households in China has also been soaring. It increased from 510,000 in 2008 to 1,030,000 at the end of 2010, at a compound annual growth rate of 42 percent. The number of HNW households is set to reach 1.2 million by the end of 2011. Households with RMB 6 million to RMB 50 million in investable assets continue to account for the majority of all HNW households. The number of ultraHNW households (those with more than RMB 50 million in investable assets) is growing at a faster rate than the number of HNW households with less than RMB 50 million in investable assets. (See Exhibit 5.) A breakdown of investable assets shows that household savings represents the largest portion at 55 percent in 2010, down from 61 percent in 2008. Equity market investment is the fastest growing segment, driven primar- 12 ily by the recovery of China’s stock market since its lows in 2008. Wealth management products offered by commercial banks, the second largest category after savings, kept growing; the higher interest rates of these products have been particularly appealing to investors in recent years. Trust assets have also grown at a compound annual growth rate of 65 percent over the past three years. (See Exhibit 6.) Regionally speaking, the most number of HNW households can be found in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangdong, Shenzhen, and other provinces along the eastern seaboard. A large number of HNW households are also in Sichuan, Shanxi, Liaoning, Henan, Hebei, Shaanxi, Hubei, Hunan, and Fujian. There are 15 provinces in the country that have more than 20,000 HNW households each. Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangdong each have more than 70,000 HNW households, and Zhejiang, Jiangsu, and Shandong each have more than 50,000 HNW households. In Tibet, Qinghai, Gansu, and Ningxia, the total number of HNW households is small. (See Exhibit 7.) The top ten provinces have close to 70 percent of 3. According to Sales and Administrative Measures of Financial Planning Products by Commercial Banks issued by China Banking Regulatory Commission, and effective starting from January 1, 2012, private bank clients refers to those commercial bank clients whose net financial asset exceeds RMB 6 million. 4. In this report, all current and forecast results relating to China wealth market sizing and geographic distribution are generated by BCG’s proprietary model, which relies on data from many sources, including market research data by CCB, BCG’s China individual income database, BCG’s global wealth forecast model, as well as public information from National Statistics Bureau, China Securities Regulatory Commission and China Insurance Regulatory Commission. Our top-down modeling starts from historic data of national wealth accounts and geographic distribution by different regions, and calculates the current and future size of investable assets in line with the actual location of assets, rather than the location of asset owner’s residential registration. The model also uses Lorenz curve methodology to project general wealth distribution across different wealth bands and specific wealth distribution within regions. Results from modeling have been further refined based on cross-referencing multiple other data sources to ensure accuracy and objectivity. • CCB PRIVATE BANK &YIJCJU$IJOB4FFT3BQJE(SPXUIJOUIF7BMVFPG*OWFTUBCMF"TTFUTBOEUIF/VNCFS PG)JHI-/FU-8PSUI)PVTFIPMET 5PUBMOVNCFSPG)/8IPVTFIPMET 5PUBMWBMVFPGJOWFTUBCMFBTTFUT 3.#USJMMJPOT Households (thousands) $"(3 80 1,500 +14% 62 60 +32% 27 42 40 31 +42% 54 23 HNW households 44.8 1,000 17.7 11 20 0 11 18 500 35 31 25 Others 24.0 2009 2010 0 2011E 2008 Source: BCG analysis. AuM (2008- (2010per HH 2010) 2011) 28 >100m 46 50-100m 47.3 45.6 18.0 17.8 559 10-50m 43.1 17.5 578 6-10m 40.8 16.8 476 342 232 10.9 250 2008 24 39 17 28 17 20 CAGR (%) +17% 495 359 2009 2010 2011 E Exhibit 6. The Growth Rate of Asset Categories Varies: Less Savings, More Bank Wealth Management Products Absolute growth in asset categories, 2008–2010 60 50 31 30 20 1 2 2 42 2 1 0 2 2 2 1 0 1 1 54 2 2 0 2 3 3 6 7 5 4 3 0 19 2008 Offshore assets 31 Bond market value 18 100 Currency in circulation 20 Fund net value Commercial pension insurance 18 Trust assets 28 65 Equity market investments 74 Commercial banks’ wealth-management products 46 80 4 4 Offshore assets 0 5 5 4 6 Household savings 23 2009 2010 24 4 4 0 5 5 4 0 4 4 3 5 6 13 10 10 13 55 55 2009 2010 10 60 Bond market value Currency in circulation Fund net value Commercial pension insurance Trust assets Equity market investments Commercial banks’ wealth-management products 40 61 30 10 Percentage CAGR (%) RMB trillions 40 Change of relative weight by asset category, 2008–2010 Household savings 20 0 2008 Source: BCG analysis. Note: Some figures do not add up to their totals due to rounding. WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA 13 Exhibit 7. The Highest Concentration of High-Net-Worth Households Is Along the East Coast Heilongjiang Jilin Liaoning Xinjiang Inner Mongolia Ningxia Qinghai Gansu Tibet High-net-worth households More than 70,000 50,000 to 70,000 30,000 to 50,000 20,000 to 30,000 10,000 to 20,000 Less than 10,000 Beijing Tianjin Hebei Shanxi Shandong Shaanxi Henan Hubei Sichuan Chongqing Guizhou Yunnan Hunan Jiangsu Anhui Shanghai Zhejiang Jiangxi Fujian Guangxi Guangdong Hainan Source: BCG analysis. all HNW households in China; Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangdong account for as much as 35 percent. The highest concentration of HNW households is in Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangdong, with 192, 97, and 45 HNW households, respectively, per 10,000 families. Anhui, Hunan, and Gansu have the lowest concentration with 12, 11, and 8 HNW households, respectively, per 10,000 families. In terms of growth rates, Gansu, Anhui, and Guizhou are seeing the fastest growth in the number of HNW households, while Guangdong, Hunan, and Inner Mongolia are experiencing the slowest. (See Exhibit 8.) In terms of asset value, HNW households in Zhejiang, Fujian, and Beijing are leading the nation, with RMB 29.8 million, RMB 28.9 million, and RMB 27.8 million, respectively. The average investable assets of HNW households in Gansu, Anhui, and Shaanxi have been about RMB 10 million each. 14 We also compared household wealth in China’s provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions. (See Exhibit 8.) This exercise revealed the following insights: ◊ Beijing, Shanxi, and Hainan, in the upper right quadrant, have the highest growth rates. The density of HNW households in Beijing is driven by the city’s special political and economic status, whereas natural resources are the reason for a large number of HNW households in Shanxi and Hainan. These areas are of strategic importance for private banks. ◊ Shanghai, Guangdong, Zhejiang, and Jiangsu provinces, in the lower right quadrant, have relatively high numbers of HNW households but lower growth rates. Despite slower growth than national average, in absolute terms, growth rates of HNW households in these • CCB PRIVATE BANK Exhibit 8. The Growth of High-Net-Worth Households Varies by Region Growth in HNW households (%) 100 90 Nationwide average: 26.6 HNW households per 10,000 households Gansu Anhui 80 Guizhou Yunnan 70 Hubei Shaanxi Hainan Guangxi 60 Ningxia Tibet Henan 50 Qinghai Chongqing Xinjiang Liaoning Jilin Sichuan Shandong Fujian Hebei Heilongjiang Inner Jiangsu Mongolia Shanxi Shanghai Jiangxi 40 30 Hunan Zhejiang Guangdong Beijing National average: 42% Tianjin 20 10 In billion RMB 100 15 2000 20 25 30 Size of bubble represents the overall investable-asset pool of HNW households 35 40 45 180 Number of HNW households per 10,000 households Source: BCG analysis. regions remain in the range of about 30 to 40 percent. Individuals across these regions start to accumulate wealth earlier than elsewhere, and their average wealth per household is higher. Private banks could target these regions for both the size of their wealth and the potential for growth. ◊ Gansu, Anhui, and Guizhou provinces enjoy the fastest growth rate in wealth accumulation; however, they have the lowest number of HNW households per 10,000 families. These regions witnessed a recent surge in wealth and could have vast potential in the long run. ◊ Fujian, Hebei, Shandong, and Inner Mongolia, among others, have lower densities of HNW households and slower growth rates. These provinces are often densely populated but less developed than many coastal regions. However, some of these provinces have sizable wealth and significant potential. Private banks are ad- WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA vised to develop their own strategy to capture specific opportunities in these markets. The Drivers of Growth and Macro Trends The growth of China’s private-banking sector is largely the result of a favorable economic environment, which can be seen in the boom in private enterprise, the growth of key industries, and the improving capital markets. The current drive towards urbanization, economic restructuring, and regulatory readjustment provides unprecedented opportunities for growth. The Drivers of Wealth Creation and Growth. China’s private enterprises currently are responsible for more than 50 percent of China’s GDP. In the first three quarters of 2011, private enterprises, foreign joint ventures, and collectively owned enterprises realized profits of 15 about RMB 1 trillion, RMB 2.1 trillion, and RMB 59.8 billion, respectively. This represents a year-over-year increase of 44.7 percent, 32.4 percent, and 33.6 percent, respectively, exceeding the growth rate of state-owned companies.5 This economic boom has produced an increasing number of wealthy entrepreneurs. Private enterprises are responsible for approximately one-third of China’s import and export volume. In the first three quarters of 2011, the value of their imports and exports reached $739 billion, almost a 40 percent increase year-over-year. Given the global economic uncertainty, private enterprises, which are often smaller in size and therefore more adaptable to changing markets, have seen their 2011 trade volume continue to outpace the volume of other businesses.6 Because most private exporters engage in labor-intensive industries, such as textiles, food, chemicals, construction materials, and machinery, their success in transforming their businesses for sustainable growth should positively impact Chinese entrepreneurs’ wealth accumulation. In recent years, investment gains have become a major source of wealth for HNW individuals—specifically, gains from investments in natural resources and real estate. Despite current efforts to build a low-carbon economy, traditional sources of energy such as oil and coal continue to provide critical support for economic growth. Although the government encourages lower housing prices, real estate will continue to be a key industry supporting economic growth. China’s improving capital markets have helped to diversify investment channels. In 2010, with 531 companies listed on China’s stock exchanges, the total amount of new capital raised through its A-share market exceeded RMB 1 trillion. The 2010 total net profit of 638 listed companies was up 52.9 percent when compared with 2009’s. The combined market capitalization of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges is set to exceed RMB 26 trillion by the end of 2010, ranked second largest in the world.7 The continuous development of China’s stock markets does not only provide an important financing channel for private enterprises, but also drives the wealth creation of Chinese entrepreneurs. Mutual funds and precious metals have also helped to diversify investment channels. By November 2011, the 16 number of mutual fund companies stood at 69, with close to 900 funds having more than RMB 2 trillion in assets.8 The number of privately placed funds has exceeded 2,200, and their assets are approximately RMB 170 billion.9 Precious-metal investments, including gold products, have also become popular. In the first three quarters of 2011, China’s demand for gold investments exceeded 200 tons—more than the amount for all of 2010—as investors’ appetite for gold bars and gold coins continued to surge.10 Macroeconomic Trends. As individual wealth continues to flow to China’s urban centers, the number of cities with affluent and middle-class populations (annual household disposal income above RMB 75,000) of more than 250,000 will reach 279 by 2020. Fifty-three of these cities will have more than 1 million affluent and middleclass citizens, and the wealthiest households in these cities should be targets for private banks. (See Exhibit 9.) China’s economic restructuring efforts will continue to push for the transformation of industries, including private enterprise. In line with its 12th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development, the Chinese government will strive to develop high-value-added industries, increase investments in technology, and encourage innovation. (See Exhibit 10.) Wealth creation will be less dependent on traditional industries, which rely on natural resources and labor, and more focused on information technology, management, and capital. Boosting domestic consumer demand will continue to be a key strategic focus. In the first quarter of 2011, retail sales of consumer goods reached RMB 13.1 trillion, a 17 percent increase when compared with the corresponding period in 2010.11 The consumer sector is one of the many key areas with significant growth prospects. To a large extent, a core competency for future entrepreneurs will be an ability to understand the direction of the Chinese economy, the opportunities provided by its structural transformation, and how to capitalize on these opportunities to grow their business and generate wealth. 5. National Statistics Bureau. 6. China General Administration of Customs. 7. China Securities Regulatory Commission. 8. China Securities Regulatory Commission. 9. Shanghai Suntime Information Technology. 10. The World Gold Council. 11. China Statistics Bureau. • CCB PRIVATE BANK Exhibit 9. Rapid Surge of Affluent and Middle-Class Households in Cities Across China 2010 2020 3M+ 5 3M+ 16 1M-3M 17 1M-3M 500k-1M 15 500k-1M 48 250k-500k 0 27 59 195 250k-500k 50 100 150 200 Urban mass affluent and middle class population Cities 3M+ 0 1M to 3M 50 500k to 1M 100 150 250k to 500k 200 Cities <250k Source: BCG 2011 China Income Forecast Model. Exhibit 10. The Chinese Government Is Shiing Its Investment Focus China allocated RMB 4 trillion to economic stimulus in 2008 Seven major strategic and emerging industries are outlined in China’s 12th Five-Year Plan Construction of railway, highway, and power grid (RMB 1.8 trillion) Renewable energy Post disaster reconstruction (RMB 1 trillion) Energy conservation and environmental protection Rural livelihoods and infrastructure (RMB 370 billion) New material Government-subsidized housing program (RMB 280 billion) Biopharming Ecology and environment (RMB 350 billion) New energy vehicles Economic restructuring (RMB 160 billion) High-end equipment manufacturing Health care, culture, and education (RMB 40 billion) Next-generation information technology Sources: China’s 12th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development; BCG analysis. WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA 17 China’s recent economic policies are also having their affect on private banking. As the People’s Bank of China continues to tighten—including raising reserve ratios for deposit-taking financial institutions and increasing one-year benchmark interest rates—small and medium enterprises are feeling the pinch. Many are finding it increasingly difficult to obtain bank loans and other forms of financing. Because private business owners often have corporate and personal bank accounts at the same institution, many will continue to ask for services (such as corporate financing) or integrated solutions that have not been strictly within the domain of private banking. This is an opportunity for private banks to meet the needs of their clients and grow their wealth management business. Infrastructure and Legal Limitations The improvements in China’s financial markets, which now include equities, bonds, currencies, foreign exchange, commodity futures, insurance, and precious metals, only highlight the country’s rudimentary financial infrastructure. The financial derivatives market, especially financial futures and options, is still developing. In contrast to bank financing, the debt and corporate bond markets are subpar. Transactions in money markets still focus on short-term liquidity management. There is a significant gap between the financial products private banks offer and the demands of sophisticated investors. In addition to infrastructure limitations, there are also legal ones, which are apparent when China’s laws and regulations are compared with those of Western countries, where private banking originated. The restrictions that have the greatest affect on the wealth market are those governing commercial banking, foreign exchange, the inheritance tax, and trusts. According to China’s law on commercial banks, commercial bank shall not undertake the businesses of trust and securities, nor shall they invest in real property (for purposes other than their own use) or nonbank financial institutions and enterprises. The regulations for separate operations prevent commercial banks from undertaking nonbanking-related activities. Private banks of commercial banks should develop themselves as a platform to provide comprehensive services through working with 18 other players like, insurers, securities firms, and trust companies. Chinese private banks must continue to pursue business model innovations for better services and products. Under the currency-control system, outbound RMB investment and inbound foreign-currency investment are subject to government control. However, the Chinese government continues to encourage domestic companies to set up businesses abroad, and since the end of 2010, there have been some signs that laws pertaining to this may be relaxed further (for example, domestic enterprises have been allowed to retain the revenue generated from product exports in offshore accounts). Today, capital account controls remain and Chinese private banks face challenges to provide global investment services, which is a key requirement for private banking. Given the increasing uncertainty in the global economy, China might find it difficult to further relax its control over foreign exchange in the near term. Chinese private banks can develop offshore business platform to fulfill clients’ overseas investment needs. There is no inheritance tax in China despite significant discussion on this topic since the 1980s. Thus clients’ demand for inheritance-related services (e.g., offshore accounts, individual trusts) remain limited. If China was to levy an inheritance tax in the future, complications in wealth management for HNW individuals will rise and there will be key roles for private banks to play in this arena. Promoting More Comprehensive Trust Products and Plans China’s trust law, effective since 2001, defines “trust” as “the act by which the trustor entrusts certain property rights to the trustee. And the trustee manages or disposes of the property rights under the trustee’s own name in accordance with the benefit of the beneficiary or for specific purposes. ” The interpretation of the law mostly focuses on the independence of trust property, the separation of ownership with beneficiary rights, the limited nature of liability, and trust continuity. In China, trust companies filled some important gaps in capital markets, offering highly flexible multi asset class investment and financing services. In recent years, trust • CCB PRIVATE BANK companies have started to transform themselves into professional wealth management institutions, and serve as an important supplement to today’s financial system. China’s trust business model is different from those in other countries. In China, trust products are wealth management products. They offer higher yields than savings accounts and mutual funds, and they have little to do with estate planning and wealth protection. Acknowledging the legality of private property is one of the prerequisites for the development of a more comprehensive trust business. Because of a general misunderstanding of the concept of trust and the lack of clarity in laws and regulations, trust plans for individuals or families have not become part of the offerings and services of private banks. China has successfully built the basics of legal protection for trust and property rights over the years, but significant gaps remain in terms of the enforcement of trust plans, including trust registration, taxation, and regulation. China’s private-banking sector thus faces the challenge of leveraging the use of trust for property protection, inheritance, and high-end investment. Private banking in China requires innovation in products, services, and business models; promotion of trust services requires educating the public about such services and building institutional capabilities. HNW individuals are looking for trust plans as possible solutions to the mounting wealth-management issues they are facing, especially child education, wealth transfer, and tax management. Despite the difficulty of designing trust plans constructed around real estate, equity, and debt ownership, the market remains wide open for trust plans constructed around financial instruments. The potential for private banks in these areas could be substantial. The Competitive Landscape for Wealth Management A multipolar wealth-management market is emerging in China. By October 2011, there were ten domestic commercial banks—the Big Five state-owned banks and five major joint-stock banks—all offering private-banking services. The number of foreign banks allowed to offer private-banking services has increased to 16, with many WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA trying to use their global brands to distinguish themselves. Meanwhile, more than 110 medium-sized and small commercial banks have introduced wealth management services that target mid-level clients, many of whom will eventually migrate to private banking’s upper echelon. Nonbank institutions are also joining the competition. Securities firms, life insurance companies, third-party independent wealth managers, trust companies, and mutual fund companies are all playing in the same field, and competition has intensified. Nonbank players, securities firms in particular, are no longer satisfied with the traditional commission-based business model, and actively developing more comprehensive service offerings in wealth management and investment advisory to their clients. To succeed, financial institutions must differentiate themselves by their business model and market position. Brokers, insurers, trust companies, and mutual fund companies are in better positions to create broader categories of products. Many are now offering value-added and tailor-made financial advisory services and are investing more in product development. For commercial banks, building on an existing customer base and emphasizing the role of RMs have become as important as leveraging their cross-functional teams, including investment-banking and corporate-banking departments. Some of the leading third-party financial advisory firms, though mostly niche players because of their small size, are in the process of establishing product expertise in areas such as private equity and trust, hoping to secure future growth opportunities. Despite the increasing number of players in private banking, the industry as a whole is still in the process of learning and development, it is difficult to identify current market leaders. Competition will intensify as wealth management institutions continue to study customer needs, adjust strategic priorities, and build internal capabilities. 19 China’s High-Net-Worth Individuals D espite China’s short history of individual wealth creation, its HNW individuals stand at the very top of a relatively steep wealth pyramid, and they are exerting significant influence over their peers and society as a whole. BCG and the Wealth Management Department of China Construction Bank conducted an in-depth survey of 2,102 HNW individuals. In addition, we interviewed a large number of private-bank executives and Relationship Managers (RMs). Our intent was to obtain a better understanding of this unique group of wealthy individuals. The Characteristics of HNW Individuals To understand the characteristics of HNW individuals, we analyzed their demographics as well as their views of wealth, approaches to wealth management and appetite for risk, institutional selection process, product needs and preferences, and service expectations. Demographics. Our survey shows that close to 60 percent of China’s HNW individuals are private business owners, and about half describe their core competency for creating wealth are management and marketing skills and the ability to leverage natural resources. Our survey also shows that 57 percent of the respondents are “entrepreneurs.” Sixteen percent are “senior executives of state-owned enterprises” and “management professionals,” and 10 percent are “professional investors, doctors, and lawyers.” HNW individuals are on average 45 years old, and those 40 to 49 years old make up the largest age group, accounting for 43 percent. Those with college degrees are the largest group, accounting for 60 percent of HNW individuals. 20 When asked about the source of their wealth, 59 percent claimed to have built their wealth by running their own company, 14 percent said they realized gains from the real estate market, 12 percent cited investments in capital markets, 10 percent noted an accumulation of salary and benefits, and 5 percent pointed to a family inheritance. When asked to identify their core competency for amassing wealth, many cited their ability to leverage natural resources (24 percent), while others thought it was their management and marketing skills (24 percent). Sixteen percent noted their reliance on the use of information, 15 percent credited their access to capital, and 14 percent cited their use of high technology. (See Exhibit 11.) View of Wealth. Chinese culture and social norms have shaped the popular view towards wealth. Some individuals have acquired their wealth through unexpected, nontraditional channels and have flaunted it. Therefore, there has some public skepticism of the legitimacy of individual wealth and the means by which they acquire it. China’s HNW individuals are deeply concerned about preserving their wealth. Of the individuals surveyed, 56 percent believe being wealthy means “leading a free and safe lifestyle,” while 48 percent think it means having a “superior quality of life.” When asked how they plan to use their wealth, 46 percent want to “guarantee immediate family’s security.” (See Exhibit 12.) Although only 8 percent of HNW individuals believe that “giving back to society” is important, those who are better educated or have more assets tend to pay more attention to social responsibilities. 15 to 20 percent of respondents in the higher educated segments and UHNW segments highlighted “giving back to society” as a core means of using their wealth. • CCB PRIVATE BANK Exhibit 11. Most Individuals Have Created Wealth by Operating a Business What is your core competency for creating wealth? What is your source of wealth? Interviewees (%) 100 Interviewees (%) 100 24 75 75 59 24 100 50 50 14 25 0 5 15 25 12 100 16 14 10 Family Salary Investment Investment Profits inheritance and gains from gains from from benefits financial real estate running a markets business Total 0 1 5 Artistic talent Ownership Information Management of high advantage and marketing technology skills Access Access to Ability to Total to cheap capital leverage labor natural resources Source: China Construction Bank and BCG’s 2011 survey of 2,102 high-net-worth individuals from 27 provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions in China. Note: Some figures do not add up to 100% due to rounding. Exhibit 12. Safety and Preserving Assets Are Most Important to High-Net-Worth Individuals What does being wealthy mean to you? Leading a free and safe lifestyle Maintain and increase asset value 56 Having a superior quality of life 48 Helping the next generation How do you plan to use your wealth? 56 Guarantee immediate family’s security 46 26 Help entire family Having a distinguished social status 41 23 Giving back to society Reinvest 15 Exerting influence over public affairs Benefit others and society (including charity) 8 0 31 20 40 60 Interviewees (%) 8 0 20 40 60 Interviewees (%) Source: China Construction Bank and BCG’s 2011 survey of 2,102 high-net-worth individuals from 27 provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions in China. WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA 21 Wealth Management and Risk Appetite. Overall, the rich feel that “planning for their children’s future” is more important than “making further improvements in their careers” and “seeking high-quality lives.” They attach great importance to the education of their children. HNW individuals appear to be aware of the risks associated with investing, and few claim they would like to take high risks. In practice, their investment behavior is moderately risky. Of the individuals surveyed, 61 percent believe that they can tolerate risk to some extent, 30 percent describe themselves as risk averse, and only 9 percent are willing to accept bigger risks for higher returns. (See Exhibit 13.) HNW individuals tend to have only a rudimentary understanding of private-banking services: about half have a conceptual knowledge of private banks or only have heard of private banks. For these individuals, customized and priority banking services are the most important functions a private bank can provide. In fact, these services are more important than investment products and advisory services, and far more important than nonfinancial services. Institutional Selection Process. The most important considerations for HNW individuals when choosing a private bank are the “capabilities and professionalism of the relationship managers,” followed by “privacy and credibility of services.” The “layout and décor of private banks and branches” are the last thing they care about. HNW individuals are looking for RMs who possess “financial expertise and product knowledge,” have the “ability to communicate,” and are considerate. (See Exhibit 14.) On average, private-banking clients tend to have relationships with 2.5 private banks and their level of customer loyalty is relatively low. When asked whether they would transfer their money from their current private accounts to another bank offering products with higher returns but with the same level of risk, 24 percent of those interviewed said yes, while 29 percent were not sure. However, 35 percent stated they would not transfer their money because they had a longer-term association with an RM. Product Needs and Preferences. HNW individuals (53 percent) have demonstrated an increasing interest Exhibit 13. High-Net-Worth Individuals Tend to Tolerate Moderate Risk Levels Risk appetite Average asset composition Interviewees (%) Assets (%) 100 100 30 35 23 75 75 12 High-risk assets 27 Moderate-risk assets 60 Low-risk assets 32 100 50 50 25 61 25 25 0 8 High-risk appetite 40 45 0 Moderaterisk appetite Low-risk appetite Total High-risk appetite Moderaterisk appetite Low-risk appetite Source: China Construction Bank and BCG’s 2011 survey of 2,102 high-net-worth individuals from 27 provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions in China. Note: Some figures do not add up to 100% due to rounding. 22 • CCB PRIVATE BANK Exhibit 14. The Capabilities of the Relationship Managers Are the Top Concern When Choosing Financial Institutions Factors considered when selecting a private bank Capabilities and professionalism of relationship managers Factors considered when selecting relationship managers Financial expertise and product knowledge 57 Privacy and credibility of services 41 39 Product offering Rapport between relationship manager and customer 34 Brand 68 Ability to communicate 41 Trustworthiness 39 30 Other integrated financial services 17 Diversity and usefulness of nonfinancial value-added services 12 Easy-to-access online banking 8 Branch coverage Capability to provide overseas investment products and WM service Layout and décor of private banks and branches 6 32 Warm and considerate services 32 Unbiased product recommendations 4 27 Other business suggestions 2 0 Personal quality and common language 30 60 Interviewees (%) 13 0 40 80 Interviewees (%) Source: China Construction Bank and BCG’s 2011 survey of 2,102 high-net-worth individuals from 27 provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions in China. in trust products; the higher returns of these products make them appealing. The minimum investment threshold of selected trust products made them exclusive to the HNW clients. Despite government efforts to reign in real estate speculation, interest in real estate investment remains high (36 percent). Investments in works of art, antiques, wine, and store-front retail properties are the latest trends, followed by private equity and venture capital. (See Exhibit 15.) HNW individuals are not satisfied with their portfolio returns. In addition, they would like to see their private bank diversify its product offerings and launch products more frequently. With respect to investment terms, products with a term of less than one year are the most popular: 50 percent of HNW individuals prefer these products. Generally, HNW individuals tend to avoid products with a term of more than three years. With regards to minimum investment requirements, HNW individuals tend to be satisfied with existing terms, with 27 percent preferring a higher threshold and 28 percent favoring a lower one. WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA Service Expectations. HNW individuals place high importance on the exclusive access to some designated service areas in branches. Two-thirds believe “private meeting rooms” and “dedicated service counters” are essential. Most care little about a bank’s décor, the availability of expensive tea and drinks, entertainment facilities, access to the Internet, and other perks, despite many Chinese banks having invested substantially in these areas. Regarding financial services, close to half are interested in comprehensive wealth planning, followed by portfolio management and customized products and services. The most popular nonfinancial services are “premium health-care services,” with 71 percent expressing an interest. Many others favor high-end “premium travel advisory services” and “child-education advisory services.” Relatively few people, only 12 percent, seek “high-end entertainment,” such as golf. HNW individuals generally feel that there is little difference in the quality of nonfinancial services offered by 23 Exhibit 15. High Demand for Fixed Income and Trust Products, and also Priority Transactional Services Demand for private-banking products Fixed income Demand for other financial products Priority transactional services Diamond or platinum credit cards and private-banking lending Consumer loans Discounted payment settlement, transfer, and remittance services Deposit 57 Trust 53 Savings and cash management Real estate-related investments 49 36 Stock offering 12 11 17 13 Financial derivatives 9 Overseas investment 2 28 Private-banking insurance products 20 Insurance 30 29 Corporate loans Family and corporate cash management Premium debit cards Precious metal investments E-banking, 400 VIP line, and premium online banking RMB overseas offering 34 Physical asset investment Private equity and venture capital 33 32 25 22 17 17 16 Issuance of asset certificates 6 Investment banking services Trust, legal, and tax advisory services 0 30 60 4 4 0 20 Interviewees (%) 40 Interviewees (%) Source: China Construction Bank and BCG’s 2011 survey of 2,102 high-net-worth individuals from 27 provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions in China. Exhibit 16. Private-Banking Customers Look for Improved Services and Tailor-Made Products Branch look and feel Private conference room 67 Dedicated trading desk 66 Non-financial services Premium health-care services Premium travel advisory services Child education advisory services High-end retirement services Salon event 14 Luxury decoration 9 Internet access Premium beverages and food 8 Entertainment (for example, TV) 4 0 Interviewees (%) 100 42 24 23 Investment information 16 Legal advice 16 Investment immigration advisory services Macroeconomic advice 15 Taxation advice Corporate management advisory services High-end entertainment Artwork collection and investment advice Private aircra, yacht, and luxury property purchase advisory services 40 80 Interviewees (%) 71 44 Non-financial services improvement 38 75 50 34 15 14 25 26 12 12 11 3 0 100 2 0 No improveNeed to Total ment improve existing needed services Need to Too many customize homogeneous 40 80 services offerings; need Interviewees (%) new offerings Source: China Construction Bank and BCG’s 2011 survey of 2,102 high-net-worth individuals from 27 provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions in China. 24 • CCB PRIVATE BANK various financial institutions. Thirty-eight percent of interviewees believe private banks “need new offerings” in nonfinancial services, and 34 percent believe that banks “need to improve the existing services.” (See Exhibit 16.) This indicates that high-end clients are usually not easily swayed by competing but similar offerings from banks, airlines, telecommunication carriers, and others that offer these services. The Key Drivers of Behavior and Preferences To better understand the drivers behind the investment behavior and preferences of HNW individuals, we analyzed their age, education, industry, occupation, source of wealth, core competency, risk appetite, the value of their assets, and the region they live in. The results show that four of these nine factors are key.12 Education Level. Of all the key drivers of behavior and preferences, education level is the most influential. HNW individuals who are better educated tend to rely more on information, technology, and capital to generate wealth and less on natural resources and cheap labor. Typically, the higher the education level, the less likely they are to be entrepreneurs. ◊ View of Wealth. HNW individuals who have pursued a higher education are more inclined to believe that being wealthy means being more socially responsible. For example, 26.7 percent of HNW individuals with doctoral degrees have this belief, compared with 14.7 percent of HNW individuals on average. Similarly, although on average 48.1 percent of HNW individuals think that being wealthy means leading a “superior quality of life,” only 23.3 percent of those with doctoral degrees agree. ◊ Financial Institution Selection. Better educated HNW individuals tend to establish relationships with foreign banks. Of those with doctoral degrees, 16.7 percent are clients of foreign banks, compared with 8.3 percent on average. In addition, the services RMs offer and their ability to establish a rapport with clients are relatively less important to well-educated HNW individuals than RMs’ ability to make unbiased investment-product recommendations. ◊ Risk Appetite. Education levels are proportional to risk appetite: the higher their education level, the more WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA risk HNW individuals are willing to take. (See Exhibit 17.) ◊ Product Needs and Preferences. The higher their education level, the less interest HNW individuals have in cash and fixed-income products and real estate investments, and the more interest they have in complex products such as private-equity investments and derivatives. In addition, the higher the education level, the longer the preferred investment term and lower expected return from investment products. (See Exhibit 17.) ◊ Service Expectations. Well-educated HNW individuals also tend to demonstrate more interest in high-end entertainment as well as in art collections. They usually welcome industry updates and information on macroeconomic policies from wealth management institutions. Moreover, these HNW individuals would prefer to have customized nonfinancial services. Of the HNW individuals with doctoral degrees, 40 percent have such preferences, compared with 25.1 percent on average. ◊ Satisfaction. HNW individuals who are better educated tend to be less satisfied with private-banking services. ◊ Loyalty. Well-educated HNW individuals tend to place greater importance on solving a problem than maintaining a relationship. Generally, they will move their money to another institution if they aren’t satisfied with a product despite their rapport with their bank’s RMs. Occupation and Source of Wealth. The source of wealth—which is often related to an individual’s occupation—refers to the means by which HNW individuals initially acquired their wealth, such as accumulating wages and benefits, receiving an inheritance, benefiting from investments in the financial and real estate markets, and profiting from business operations. A HNW individual’s occupation and source of wealth affects their investment behavior and preferences. (See Exhibit 18.) ◊ Investment professionals look for private banks that offer online banking and nonfinancial services, however, they have little interest in cash and fixed-income prod- 12. “Key factors” mentioned here are relative concepts and they refer to relative, not absolute, characteristics of specific segment of HNW individuals when compared with other segments. 25 Exhibit 17. Risk Appetite and Product Preference Vary by Customers of Different Educational Background Product preference Risk appetite Fixed-income offerings Interviewees (%) 100 26 75 44 17 17 Prefer inflation-proof products 44 Interviewees (%) 100 50 63 63 56 0 Middle school High school/ College/ technical undergraand below secondary school duate 47 33 Graduate PhD 35 33 Graduate PhD 12 13 Graduate PhD PE/VC 54 50 68 Willing to take some risk 52 25 29 0 6 5 8 20 17 13 9 0 Middle school High school/ College/ technical undergraand below secondary school duate 66 51 Interviewees (%) 40 16 Middle High school/ College/ Graduate school technical undergraand secondary duate below school Willing to take higher risk Derivatives Interviewees (%) 20 10 PhD 9 7 6 0 Middle school High school/ College/ technical undergraand below secondary school duate Source: China Construction Bank and BCG’s 2011 survey of 2,102 high-net-worth individuals from 27 provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions in China. Note: Some figures do not add up to 100% due to rounding. ucts. Professional investors also are more interested in cross-border services but show the least interest in customized products or services. ◊ Private entrepreneurs care most about sharing a common language with their RMs when choosing a private bank. Additionally, they tend to have a more conservative risk appetite. ◊ Senior executives of state-owned enterprises are particularly fond of cash products. In general, they care most about a superior quality of life. Like entrepreneurs, they tend to have a conservative risk appetite. ◊ Wage and salary accumulators are inclined to manage their wealth on their own. They attach great importance to freedom and safety when it comes to the management of wealth. 26 The Value of Assets. We grouped HNW individuals by the amount of investable assets they have: RMB 6 million to RMB 50 million, RMB 50 million to RMB 100 million, RMB 100 million to RMB 300 million, and RMB 300 million and more, or ultra-HNW individuals. We found that the amount of wealth they have accumulated influences their investment behavior and preferences. ◊ View of Wealth. HNW individuals with significant assets generally are not concerned about “leading a free and safe lifestyle” or “leaving their fortunes for the benefit of future generations.” Rather, they place more weight on social status and exerting influence over public affairs. With respect to the purpose of wealth management, these individuals have a sense of social responsibility and would like to improve public welfare; they are less concerned about their own retirement. • CCB PRIVATE BANK &YIJCJU5IF4FMFDUJPO$SJUFSJBGPS1SJWBUF-#BOLJOH4FSWJDFT7BSZ"DSPTT)/8*T CZ0DDVQBUJPOT 1SJWBUF-CBOLJOHTFMFDUJPODSJUFSJB &BTZ-UP-BDDFTTPOMJOFCBOLJOH 0UIFSGJOBODJBMTFSWJDFTPGGFSJOHT %JWFSTJUZBOEQSBDUJDBMJUZPG OPO-GJOBODJBMWBMVF-BEEFETFSWJDFT *OUFSWJFXFFT *OUFSWJFXFFT *OUFSWJFXFFT 25 25 25 20 20 20 15 15 15 21 10 5 7 0 8 10 10 12 12 Private Professional Other entrepremanagers professionals neurs Executives Investment Freelancers of state-owned professionals enterprises 10 14 5 0 10 8 15 13 5 19 16 11 15 10 10 6 Private Professional Other entrepremanagers professionals neurs Executives Investment Freelancers of state-owned professionals enterprises 0 Private Professional Other entrepremanagers professionals neurs Executives Investment Freelancers of state-owned professionals enterprises Source: China Construction Bank and BCG’s 2011 survey of 2,102 high-net-worth individuals from 27 provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions in China. ◊ Risk Appetite. HNW individuals with significant assets tend to be less conservative. Few of the richest individuals, those with more than RMB 300 million in investable assets, are willing take on more risk. ◊ Institutional Selection. Richer HNW individuals are more likely to depend on themselves, rather than private banks, to manage their wealth. They put greater emphasis on the professionalism of RMs, the convenience of online banking, and the capability of private banks to offer a comprehensive financial-products package. Fifty-six percent of HNW individuals manage their wealth on their own or rely on their families; they place much weight on the richness and practicality of nonfinancial services. ◊ Product Needs and Preferences. HNW individuals with significant assets look for product diversity and are willing to lower their expectations for investment returns. In addition, they are interested in enterprise loans, high-end credit cards, and exclusive line of credit extensions. WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA ◊ Services. HNW individuals with significant assets tend to be interested in family wealth trusts. In the category of nonfinancial services, they prefer assistance with high-end travel and their children’s education. Individuals with more than RMB 100 million in assets show less interest in expensive entertainment, while those with more than RMB 300 million in assets have a strong desire to freely customize their nonfinancial services. (See Exhibit 19.) Regions. The HNW individuals surveyed are from 27 Chinese provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions, which we classified into six groups: tier 1 cities (including Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen), the southeast coast (including Shandong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Fujian), the central region (including Shanxi, Shaanxi, and Hubei), the northeast (including Heilongjiang, Jilin, and Liaoning), the southwest (Sichuan, Yunnan, Guizhou, and Guangxi), and the northwest (including Xinjiang, Qinghai, Ningxia, and Gansu). There are significant 27 Exhibit 19. The Services Preferred by High-Net-Worth Individuals Also Depend on the Value of Their Assets Which services do you prefer? Interviewees (%) Are you expecting changes to nonfinancial services? Family trust services Interviewees (%) 100 30 20 40 10 11 0 6 million to 50 million 15 21 18 50 million to 100 million to 100 million 300 million 40 39 Expecting new programs 33 Expecting improvements to existing services 33 Expecting more tailor-made solutions 75 More than 300 million 50 Child education advisory services Interviewees (%) 33 31 33 38 60 25 40 20 0 38 6 million to 50 million 41 48 50 million to 100 million to 100 million 300 million 28 45 More than 300 million 0 25 22 Not looking for changes 2 2 2 1 6 million to 50 million to 100 million to More than 50 million 100 million 300 million 300 million Source: China Construction Bank and BCG’s 2011 survey of 2,102 high-net-worth individuals from 27 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions in China. Note: Some figures do not add up to 100% due to rounding. differences between the HNW individuals in these groups. (See Exhibit 20.)13 ◊ Tier 1 Cities. HNW individuals in tier 1 cities prefer taking higher risks. They have established the closest relationships with private banks, and they like the convenience of online banking and the diversity of products. They are fond of equity-linked, trust, and private equity products. They believe that there are no major differences among nonfinancial services offerings. ◊ Southeast Coast. HNW individuals in this region have much in common with tier 1 cities, but they are more concerned about the professional services and professional skills of RMs and their rapport with them. When asked about product preferences, they placed more emphasis on immigration services and high-end retirement planning and support. 28 ◊ Southwest Region. HNW individuals in this region tend to believe that being wealthy means leading a free, safe, and high-quality life. (See Exhibit 21.) They attach less importance to raising their social status than individuals in other regions, and they pay less attention to influencing the discourse about public affairs. Contrary to the idea of securing worry-free lives for their children for the long term, these individuals tend to spend their wealth on themselves and on their own families now. ◊ Central and Northeast Regions. HNW individuals in these two regions have relatively conservative risk appetites: they prefer inflation-proof products and would allocate the smallest portions of their wealth to me13. Characterstics of HNW individuals from northwestern region are not discussed in this report because of shortage of data. • CCB PRIVATE BANK Exhibit 20. Attitudes Towards Wealth and Risk Tolerance Vary by Region What is your risk appetite? What does being wealthy mean? A safe and free life Interviewees (%) Interviewees (%) 100 80 60 40 20 0 54 55 60 Southeast coast Central Northeast 56 Tier-1 city 71 Southwest Distinguished social status 61 64 80 35 68 Willing to take some risk 56 6 6 8 Willing to take a higher risk 20 20 0 Prefer inflation-proof products 38 59 30 10 24 60 40 Interviewees (%) 29 27 19 Tier-1 city 26 Southeast coast 27 Central 24 Northeast 17 Southwest 0 10 9 Tier-1 city Southeast Central Northeast coast Southwest Source: China Construction Bank and BCG’s 2011 survey of 2,102 high-net-worth individuals from 27 provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions in China. dium- and high-risk products. They also tend to be more loyal, believing that return on investment is the most important issue to consider and long-term relationships of trust with RMs matter. HNW individuals in the central region are fond of cash and fixed-income products, with equity-linked products being their least favorite. Second-Generation Wealth Inheritors One hundred and one of the 2,102 HNW individuals in the survey attributed the source of their current wealth to an inheritance from their families. This special group is generally described as “second-generation wealth” or the “rich second generation” in Chinese. The rich second generation is a very special group in Chinese society. Our survey shows that in this group, less of them continue to be private entrepreneurs, and many have become professional investors. They were raised in well-off surroundings, have a strong sense of financial WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA safety, and prefer to lead a good life. As private-banking clients, these individuals are far more willing to accept the services of private banks, and their views on private banking are often mixed with international perspectives. Specifically, these individuals like to take on bigger risks and prefer more complicated investment products. Usually better educated than their parents, these individuals also expect more from private banks and could potentially be difficult clients to manage and satisfy. (See Exhibit 21.) Our survey reveals that 49.5 percent of HNW individuals are prepared to hand over their wealth to the next generation or have already done so. This indicates that wealth inheritance will become increasingly important in the future. As HNW individuals age, they will face the issue of wealth transfer as well as the continuation of their own businesses. These situations present opportunities for private banks. Some second generations will be happy 29 &YIJCJU8FBMUI*OIFSJUPST)BWF6OJRVF3JTLBOE1SPEVDU1SFGFSFODFT 1SFGFSFODFGPS1SJWBUF-&RVJUZBOE 7FOUVSF-$BQJUBM1SPEVDUT 3JTLBQQFUJUF *OUFSWJFXFFT *OUFSWJFXFFT 100 25 26 30 Prefer inflation-proof products 75 20 15 25 50 53 10 61 25 Willing to take some risk 14 23 17 14 5 22 8 0 HNWIs inherited family wealth Willing to take a higher risk All HNWIs 0 Salary and benefits Family Investment Profit from Investment wealth gains running a gains from financial business from real markets estate Source: China Construction Bank and BCG’s 2011 survey of 2,102 high-net-worth individuals from 27 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions in China. Note: Some figures do not add up to 100% due to rounding. to take on the business responsibilities from their parents, while others will not. The introduction of professional managers at private companies will become common. With the population of “second-generation wealth” on the rise, it will be of strategic importance for 30 private banks to understand their needs and requirements—such as child education, wealth planning, asset preservation, business continuity, estate planning, and retirement—and provide them with appropriate and innovative product and services. • CCB PRIVATE BANK Offshore Wealth Management O ffshore wealth management services are offered to nonresidents of a country and are usually not subject to the resident country regulations. Although these services are often used to hedge risks associated with the host countries, more commonly they are used as a means to improve asset allocation and to gain access to more attractive opportunities, investment returns and liquidity. As the global economy and financial markets become more integrated, offshore wealth management has become an important tool for China’s HNW individuals. For Chinese entrepreneurs whose businesses are increasingly interacting in a global marketplace, offshore wealth management services help them to guard against interest-rate and exchange-rate volatility and to enhance their investment returns. Private banks in China could be more proactive in addressing the offshore needs of HNW individuals and entrepreneurs, helping them to properly allocate their assets and wealth. The Global Offshore Wealth Market Global offshore wealth increased to $7.8 trillion in 2010 (See Exhibit 22.), up from $7.5 trillion in 2009. The increase was driven by a combination of market performance and capital inflows, primarily from emerging markets. At the same time, however, the proportion of wealth held offshore slipped to 6.4 percent, down from 6.6 percent in 2009. The decline was the result of strong asset growth in countries such as China, where offshore wealth only accounts for a small portion; as well as strict- WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA er regulations in the U.S. and Europe, which prompted individuals to move their wealth back onshore, thus lowering the net increase in offshore assets. Generally, offshore private banking faces higher business volatility than onshore private banking. Nevertheless, there are always genuine demands from HNW individuals who want to move money offshore. Tax considerations have certainly influenced the flow of offshore assets, particularly for individuals in the U.S. and Europe. And safety, stability and access to investment products, more than tax considerations, attract individuals in emerging markets. Chinese HNW individuals are increasingly attracted by the onshore market, which has created competitive investment products. Despite banks have developed taxsystem optimization solutions, but unlike their counterparts in US and Europe, most HNW individuals in China are less concerned about taxes and more concerned about safety and stability. Offshore private banking may become more complicated because of two changes on the global horizon. The first involves a rebalancing of offshore demand across regions, since regulatory pressure is expected to reduce the growth of offshore assets from the U.S. and Europe. The second change involves increased competition among offshore centers, which are becoming more specialized. In an effort to maintain or increase their share of global assets—and their associated revenue pools— many centers are focusing on providing services that influence a wealthy individual’s choice of an offshore center. For example, many HNW individuals prefer off- 31 Exhibit 22. Sixty Percent of Global Offshore Assets Booked in Europe, Including Switzerland, Luxembourg and UK Wealth held in offshore centers, 2010 ($trillions) Origin of offshore wealth Destination of offshore wealth Switzerland North America Europe U.K., Channel Islands, and Dublin 0.06 Luxembourg 0.23 0.74 1.04 Asia-Pacific 0.25 Latin America 0.24 CaribbeanIslands and Panama – 0.36 0.54 0.36 0.08 Middle East and Africa 0.49 0.52 Total 2.1 1.9 Hong Kong and Singapore 0.05 0.14 0.15 0.70 0.013 0.18 – 0.6 0.06 0.9 0.03 0.7 0.27 3.0 0.17 0.12 1.8 0.02 0.04 0.7 Regional total 0.12 0.38 0.02 0.9 Other2 0.003 0.09 0.06 0.04 United States1 0.26 0.7 0.9 1.4 7.8 Source: BCG Global Wealth Market-Sizing Database, 2011. Note: Discrepancies in totals reflect rounding. 1 Predominantly Miami and New York. 2 Includes Dubai and Monaco, among others. shore centers that have no cultural or language barriers and that are close to their country of residence. (See Exhibit 23.) Offshore centers are also competing in providing more specialized services in areas like discretionary mandates, hedge funds, trade finance, or philanthropy. Offshore Demand in China In China, the demand for offshore wealth management from private-banking clients is still at its early stage. The demand originates mainly from tier 1 cities and coastal regions, especially from the Guangdong province. Clients in these regions are far more willing to accept offshore wealth management than those in other regions. Our survey also shows that the richer the clients, the more they demand offshore products. Of clients with more than RMB 50 million in assets, 22 percent have already used offshore products and services. In addi- 32 tion, clients who have gains from real estate investments have an interest in overseas investment. On average, of HNW households with offshore products, overseas assets make up 16 percent of their total assets. When we look at households in tier 1 cities and coastal regions, the percentage is much higher. And nearly 60 percent of HNW households in these regions claim that they will increase their overseas assets. (See Exhibit 24.) This indicates that offering offshore wealth management will become more and more important for private banks. In some regions, overseas investment products and wealth management services have become the most important criteria for choosing a private bank. Hong Kong: An Offshore Market for Private Banks In Asia, Hong Kong and Singapore are often regarded as two of the most important offshore centers for private banking. These regions have a number of strengths as • CCB PRIVATE BANK Exhibit 23. Proximity to Offshore Financial Centers Is the Most Important Selection Criterion for Offshore Investors Origins of offshore wealth in select offshore centers (2010, % of total offshore center AuM) Switzerland Luxembourg Germany Italy Saudi Arabia France United Kingdom 0% Germany Belgium France Italy United Kingdom 10% 20% 30% United Kingdom1 United States Saudi Arabia Germany Taiwan 0% 42% 10% 20% 30% United States Brazil Taiwan Venezuela Mexico 20% 30% Dubai Saudi Arabia Turkey Iran Kuwait Russia 36% 0% 67% 10% 20% 30% 45% Caribbean Islands and Panama Taiwan China Indonesia Japan United States 10% 0% 58% Hong Kong and Singapore 0% United Kingdom, Channel Islands, and Dublin 10% 20% 30% 0% 57% 10% 20% 30% 66% Assets of the top five sources of offshore wealth as a proportion of total offshore assets held at a given center Source: BCG Global Wealth Market-Sizing Database, 2011. 1 Assets flowing from the U.K. into the Channel Islands and Dublin. Exhibit 24. Most HNWIs Using Offshore Services Are in the Tier 1 Cities and Coastal RegionsMost Plan to Increase Exposure Regional distribution of HNWIs using offshore services Future expectations for using offshore services HNWIs who have used offshore servies as % of total number of HNWIs who have used offshore services Future needs for offshore services by wealth banks % 21 100 80 7 8 60 9 11 4 4 3 100 Interviewees (%) 100 0 80 47 60 40 20 38 6 16 48 34 35 36 0 67 33 0 8 3 6 0 7 0 0 0 0 50100>300mn 100mn 300mn 20 20 To sharply increase offshore exposure To gradually increase offshore exposure To maintain offshore exposure at current level To gradually decrease offshore exposure 0 Beijing Shanghai Shenzhen Dalian Xiamen Total To sharply decrease offshore exposure Guangzhou Zhejiang Fujian Sichuan Others Offshore investment not relevant in foreseeable future Source: China Construction Bank and BCG’s 2011 survey of 2,102 high-net-worth individuals from 27 provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions in China. Note: Some figures do not add up to 100% due to rounding. 40 13 WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA 9 6 0 6-50mn 33 offshore centers, including deep pools of financial services expertise; well-developed legal, accounting, and regulatory systems; large numbers of multilingual professionals; financial stability; and robust equity and foreign-exchange markets. While Singapore is actively developing itself into a private banking hub, Hong Kong has its unique advantage as an offshore renminbi center. In addition, Hong Kong’s strengths of low taxes, talent pools, and being adjacent to Mainland China provide a solid foundation for its bright prospects. China’s 12th Five-Year Plan supports Hong Kong to become an offshore renminbi center and an international asset-management center. The gradual formation of Hong Kong’s offshore renminbi market has provided a good basis for leading commercial banks in China to extend their reach and conduct offshore businesses. In the first half of 2011, offshore renminbi deposits in Hong Kong totaled RMB 553.6 billion with a net increase of RMB 235 billion; at the end of 2009, offshore renminbi deposits totaled only RMB 63 billion. Offshore renminbi deposits are expected to increase to RMB 1 trillion by the end of 2011. A renminbi-denominated bond market is also starting to take shape in Hong Kong. From January 1, 2007, through March 31, 2011, Hong Kong-based and Mainland Chinabased companies, together with multinational enterprises, jointly launched 40 renminbi-denominated bonds in Hong Kong with a total value of RMB 82.8 billion. By the end of 2011, 14 banks in Mainland China that are listed on the Chinese stock exchanges will have established 19 subsidiaries and branches in Hong Kong. Since 2000, acquisitions totaling HKD 60 billion have been completed by Chinese banks. For example, China Construction Bank has acquired branches of Bank of America in Hong Kong, CITIC Group has acquired CITIC International Financial Holdings, and China Merchants Bank has acquired Wing Lung Bank. So far, these banks have made great strides building an offshore platform for not only commercial banking but also wealth management in Hong Kong—and perhaps even worldwide in the future. Although Hong Kong is an attractive offshore wealthmanagement center, Chinese commercial banks still 34 face many challenges in expanding their businesses in the region. Many large foreign banks have been attracted to Hong Kong’s well-developed private-banking and wealth-management markets and have established a presence. In doing so, they have brought advanced management experience in global private banking and a sound product portfolio to Hong Kong. With their wellknown international brands and established presence in Hong Kong, foreign banks have been the leading players in the Hong Kong offshore private banking market. By contrast, the primary strengths of China’s commercial banks are their huge customer bases and deep understanding of Chinese HNW individuals, some of whom already have part of their assets in Hong Kong. However, their products, services, and brands have yet to be well established internationally, including in Hong Kong. Therefore, in the short run, it will be challenging for Chinese banks to rapidly grow their offshore wealth management clients. Additionally, the required start-up costs, which could be significant, will keep margins low for private-banking operations in Hong Kong. Given these factors, choosing the right strategy to build an offshore platform in Hong Kong is the key to success for the Chinese private banks. Offshore Private-Banking Business Models There are a number of approaches a bank can take to build an offshore private-banking center. (See Exhibit 25.) ◊ Build. A bank can build a wholly owned offshore center with the same brand used in China and staff it with the appropriate teams. Part of the middle- and backoffice operations may be outsourced. ◊ Acquire. A bank can acquire all the assets of a relatively small private bank or wealth management institution, including the brand, RMs, product specialists, and back-office management. ◊ Joint venture. Another approach is to establish a new entity and create a new brand with a foreign partner. Shares should be jointly held by both parties, and both parties will dispatch experienced management and sales teams to run the new organization. The business will rely more on its foreign partner for back-office administration. • CCB PRIVATE BANK Exhibit 25. Several Options for Offshore Market Entry Offshore option Own entry Middle & back office Brand ◊ Client staff (RM and experts) ◊ Wide assortment of products ◊ Proprietary and outsourced IT systems ◊ Client standalone brand ◊ Acquisition of small private bank or asset manager with focus on HNW clients ◊ Acquired RMs and experts Acquire a bank ◊ Use acquisition’s solution ◊ Acquired brand or client captive brand Form a joint venture ◊ New private bank or asset-manager entity (jointly controlled) ◊ Fully staffed (with partner support) ◊ Full staff of joint RMs and experts ◊ Wide assortment of products ◊ Leveraging partner’s ◊ New brand structure for research, back office, and reporting ◊ No new structure ◊ Revenue sharing contract for assets referred to partner ◊ Partner’s RMs and offering ◊ Partner’s solution Set up a center 3 Entry using partners Advisory/offering ◊ Asset manager ◊ Fully staffed (RMs, research and administrative staff) 1 2 Setup 4 Partner with a bank ◊ Partner’s brand Source: BCG analysis. ◊ Referral. Rather than establish a new offshore institution, a bank can refer clients to a foreign partner and get rewarded according to the contract signed. The bank can completely rely on its partner to provide middle- and back-office solutions. Which approach should be chosen depends on the strategic positioning of the bank in the offshore market and the accurate evaluation of the bank and the market environment. Just as selecting the right business model is key, so too is knowing how to win clients, offer products, and obtain middle- and back-office support. How to Win Clients. The most important asset Chinese commercial banks have is their customer base. Therefore, they must determine how to effectively leverage this resource to succeed in private banking. Most RMs, however, know little about the offshore wealth-management needs of clients, and they are not provided with an incentive to generate referrals for offshore services. WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA To win clients, private-banking departments should partner with other departments, such as investment banking and small and medium-sized business departments, and set up an internal referral system to facilitate the promotion of offshore products and services by RMs. RMs should be encouraged to embrace the system, and internal rules on the referral program and incentive structure should be fair and transparent. Most importantly, the referral mechanism has to be fully supported by top management. How to Offer Products. The lack of offshore products is a key obstacle for Chinese commercial banks to expand their offshore business. Since China’s financial market is still in an earlier stage of development than global financial centers’, like Hong Kong’s, many Chinese banks have not yet equipped with capabilities in offering many offshore products. Given that, a common approach is to set up a relatively small client-relationship team in an offshore center that focuses on offering a limited number of the most attractive products. Commercial banks’ private-banking units are therefore encouraged to de- 35 velop only the core products and outsource others from third-parties in order to improve the bank’s performance and overall profitability. Financial institutions in Hong Kong have an abundance of private-banking products. Standard private-banking products, including mutual funds, index funds, structured products, options, hedge funds, and private-equity funds, can be easily offered through third-party partnerships. New wealth-management institutions may need to develop products in areas such as savings, foreign currency, equities, bonds, and credit products, as well as products and services that can be tailored to clients’ needs. The decision to white label, or develop, products depends on how a bank enters the market and how it intends to position its own businesses overall. shore wealth center to manage large assets and a variety of securities trades, and to provide offshore financing, settlement, and fund custody. Depending upon a bank’s commitment or investment, it may choose to set up a platform or share one. For Chinese banks going abroad, taking a solid first step in building these platforms is key to future growth. The platforms can be put into place in Hong Kong and, after a period of time, duplicated on the mainland to strengthen their private-banking businesses at home. Chinese banks have numerous alternatives to expand into offshore wealth management. Therefore, the offshore business should be on its way to becoming a key part of the growth strategy for China’s private-banking industry. How to Obtain Middle-Office and Back-Office Support. An advanced booking center is critical for an off- 36 • CCB PRIVATE BANK Strategic Implications for Private Banking I ncreasing competition and client sophistication are contributing to the on-going evolution of private banking in China. Wealth managers will need to find the proper balance between size and quality in order to sustain the growth of a business that is becoming an increasingly important part of China’s banking industry. survey findings in earlier chapters, we believe that banks must implement the following five recommendations to secure a place in China’s private-banking industry. Large state-owned banks, primarily Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, the Agricultural Bank of China, Bank of China, China Construction Bank, and the Bank of Communications, which are known as the Big Five, enjoy a systemic advantage in private banking, with broader geographic coverage and a significant customer base built over many years. Their corporate, retail, and investment banking capabilities can be effectively leveraged to support wealth management initiatives. Many of these top banks are also actively expanding their footprints abroad, starting mostly in Hong Kong. Then they are using the experience they gained overseas to improve their private-banking business back home. The geographic expansion of wealth and the rapid changes in the financial needs of HNW individuals pose challenges to the private-banking business. Chinese commercial banks will need to invest more in customer analysis and segmentation in order to refine their marketing, product development, and service initiatives. Joint stock banks are newer, smaller, and more agile by comparison. They are committed to providing highquality services and products, and are actively pursuing new clients. As a result, they are presenting a formidable challenge to the Big Five. More recently, independent financial advisors have also joined the game. They are positioning themselves as niche players, and often as product aggregators, and are using innovative marketing to attract like-minded clients. Last but not least are foreign banks, which were among the first to target affluent clients in China. They are localizing their global brands and services as the core of their competitive advantage. It is important to recognize that forward-looking strategic and tactical plans will be required to win in China’s privatebanking business. In line with our industry forecast and WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA Improve Target Marketing by Refining Customer Segmentation These initiatives will include tailoring products to clients with varying wealth assets. They also will require localizing products, such as creating more conservative product offerings for mid-western clients and products carrying higher risk profiles for clients in tier 1 and major coastal cities. If possible, the assignment of RMs should also take into account the needs of different customer groups to ensure these managers can provide the types and levels of service required. Although private banking is only now emerging in many heartland provinces, it has great growth potential. Banks will need to study these markets more closely in order to prepare for further expansion, which may come more quickly than predicted. Increase Share of Wallet by Identifying Additional Customer Demands Our survey shows that a single bank’s wallet share of a typical Chinese customer is around 20 percent, and only half of the investable assets of a typical HNW individual are being managed by commercial banks. In other words, a customer’s assets can far exceed the amount on 37 deposit in a bank. A customer with RMB 10 million on deposit may have as much as RMB 50 million in investable assets. Banks should approach these clients—the low-hanging fruit—as the first step to expanding their business. Chinese wealth overseas, starting in Hong Kong. In doing so, they will need to be innovative in their value proposition, product development, target marketing, customer service, and platform buildup, among other things. In order to do this, RMs will need to spend more time with their clients. Although private banking RMs are usually better educated and more informed than other sales people at banks, many are not ready to converse with their clients as peers either because they are not comfortable with corporate and investment banking topics, or because they lack the sales and marketing sophistication needed. This gap can be bridged only with additional investment in training and hiring. Additionally, the number of clients assigned to RMs should be reduced to enable them to build meaningful and trusting personal relationships with their clients. Build Core Competency Through Integration and Alignment of Business Units Prepare for Tomorrow by Understanding the Most Sophisticated Clients Today Our survey indicates that customer preference and behavior are largely shaped by educational background. As Chinese HNW individuals place a lot of focus on the education of their children, in the future, the typical privatebanking customer will not only have a better education but also more sophisticated investment preferences and more demanding needs. Private banks should research this customer segment with higher education and more sophisticated needs to understand what future privatebanking clients in China will be seeking in terms of risk tolerance and products and services. By combining the results of this research with the developed market trendst, banks can prepare their business for the future. Banks across China have very similar business models, and there are no clear winners or losers at this time. Therefore, this is the time for commercial banks to build up their internal capabilities in terms of speed to market, risk management, operational efficiency, resource allocation, talent development, and incentive design, among others. The success of product and service innovation often depends on close interaction among the various business units that relate to private banking. These business units include small and medium-sized business banking, corporate banking, investment banking, cards, and third-party product and service providers. Channels of communication among these individual setups should be open. A commercial bank, despite its diversified businesses offerings, will need to be one single solutions provider for a private-banking customer. Position the Bank as Primary Manager of Offshore Wealth for Chinese Nationals As Chinese businesses engage increasingly with the global marketplace, it will be of strategic importance for Chinese banks to be more proactive in managing offshore wealth for Chinese HNW individuals. Chinese commercial banks will need to take advantage of their capital, infrastructure and platforms to market more aggressively, positioning themselves as the preferred caretakers of 38 • CCB PRIVATE BANK The Mission for Chinese Private Banks C hinese commercial banks remain mostly state-owned and they are often viewed as commercial setups with critical social responsibilities. As private banks grow, they should assume a more prominent social role. They do not only have the important responsibilities in helping Chinese HNW households to manage their wealth, but also shaping their perspectives on how to make an impact on the society, and leading the industry to develop in the right direction. Be Sustainable and Credible A key mission for Chinese private banks is to build a reputation of sustainability and credibility in the market. This is especially critical for this relatively young business. A private bank which takes a long-term perspective in developing its business, rather than a short-term focus on quarterly profit and loss, will help to strengthen customer loyalty, which in turn will help it weather the economic ups and downs. Strategies for private banks in China should not be random choices—there needs to be continuity in both product development, and sales and relationship management. At the same time, private banks should treat compliance together with the protection of customer rights and interests as a serious and top priority responsibility. Have Care and Respect and Be Socially Responsible As many Chinese HNW individuals have only accumulated their wealth in the past one to two decades, many are still forming their perspectives on the meaning of wealth. Private banks are in a better position than oth- WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA ers to help shape the views and behaviors of the wealthy population. There are opportunities for HNW individuals to leverage their wealth and influence to raise public awareness on social responsibilities. If these individuals were given an effective platform by their institutional wealth managers, they could not only give back to the society but also become a showcase to increase public awareness for care and respect at the time when China needs more individuals who can set an example. Build a Successful Business to Pay Back the Community Business owners interact with private banks on both corporate and business affairs, as company and individual bank accounts for many entrepreneurs are often not kept separate. Chinese private bankers, therefore, have the unique opportunity to not only manage personal wealth but also to serve their commercial needs. To fulfill this role, Chinese private bankers will need to understand their clients’ businesses and industries. At the end, a successful business which brings significant economic value to its stakeholders, including employee, shareholders, local economy, and its suppliers and buyers, is an entrepreneur’s ultimate pay back to the community, and private banks can help them succeed. Invest, Don’t Speculate Chinese wealthiest populations have yet to establish a high level of loyalty and trust with private banks. More often than not, many HNW individuals tend to be relatively short-term or opportunistic investors—the opposite of private banks’ traditional mission. Some often look for quick investment returns and have little 39 patience for asset accumulation. Therefore, there is an important role for private bankers to play. Through developing a trusted relationship with clients, wealth managers should encourage diversified portfolio structuring, controlled trading activities, and a global perspective combined with a local understanding, which are all key to sustaining a stronger private-banking business. In conclusion, Chinese private banks need to understand not only their clients, but also the families as well as the businesses of these clients in order to assist with the long term development of their enterprises and personal development prospects. At the same time, these private banks should increase the size of their assets under management and improve the efficiency of their operations in order to contribute to value contribution of private banking in the entire commercial banking business. 40 Private banking business, in playing its multiple roles as not only the wealth manager of their clients, but also protector of customer rights and interests as well as business partner for their clients, will need to leverage systemic, institutional and resource allocation advantages, and play important roles in shaping customer’s view on wealth so that the use of individual wealth, in the end, will benefit social and economic development of our society. This is the most important historic mission of China’s private banking industry, and we expect the industry continue to seek the opportunity to lead, and we look forward to many proud accomplishments in the future. • CCB PRIVATE BANK Note to the Reader About the Authors Frankie Leung is a partner and managing director in the Hong Kong office of The Boston Consulting Group and leads the Financial Institutions practice in Greater China. Nan Wang is a principal in the Beijing office of The Boston Consulting Group. Chunqi Wei is the general manager of Wealth Management and Private Banking at China Construction Bank. Yufang Mei is the deputy general manager of Wealth Management and Private Banking at China Construction Bank. Acknowledgments This report is based on a close collaboration between China Construction Bank (CCB) and The Boston Consulting Group (BCG). Several leaders in CCB and BCG’s Financial Institutions practice made important contributions to this year’s Wealth Markets in China report. We would like to thank Xiaohuang Zhu, vice president of CCB, and Tjun Tang, partner & managing director and the head of BCG’s Financial Institutions practice in Asia Pacific for their support and guidance. Furthermore, we are grateful for the invaluable advice and insights we received from various CCB and BCG leaders: Guiya Wang, investment and finance director of CCB, Jun Liu, president of Shenzhen branch, Yiqiang Wu, assistant president of Shanghai branch, Guo Li, president of Chongqing branch, and Richard Huang and Michael Guo, BCG partners & managing directors. The authors also thank our clients and staff for their help with indepth interviews and questionnaire surveys. We extend further thanks to MillwardBrown ACSR that supported this study. We acknowledge CCB team and BCG consulting team that led the effort to produce this year’s report: Lan Yan, Yi Yang, Linlin Peng, Greg Zhu, Minji Xu, Yijia Li, Jie Zhang, Hong Yu and WEALTH MARKETS IN CHINA Lianyou Cui. We would also like to thank the members of the editorial and production teams, including Yueming Lun, Qiang Wang, Xiaojia Tang, Trudy Neuhaus, Li Gu, Yu Liang, Hui Zhan and Fan Zhou. For Further Contact As always, we welcome your feedback and invite you to discuss the findings with us. The Boston Consulting Group Frankie Leung Partner and Managing Director BCG Hong Kong +852 2506 2111 Nan Wang Principal BCG Beijing +86 10 8527 9000 CCB Private Banking Lan Yan Deputy Senior Manager Wealth Management and Private Banking +86 10 6759 6394 Yufang Mei Deputy General Manager Wealth Management and Private Banking +86 10 6759 6386 41 42 • CCB PRIVATE BANK For a complete list of CCB publications and information about how to obtain copies, please visit our website at www.ccb.com. 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