PERDIDO KEY, FLORIDA Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration
Transcription
PERDIDO KEY, FLORIDA Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration
PERDIDO KEY, FLORIDA Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration Ivan - NOAA 20 December 2005 Submitted to: Neighborhood & Environmental Services Department Escambia County, FL Bureau of Beaches & Coastal Systems Florida Department of Environmental Protection Prepared by: olsen associates, inc. FL COA00003491 May 2006 olsen associates, inc. coastal engineering Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration Prepared for: Escambia County, FL & Florida Department of Environmental Protection Bureau of Beaches and Coastal Systems Prepared By: Olsen Associates, Inc. Jacksonville, FL May 2006 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This report details the findings of a comprehensive study performed to investigate the feasibility of various shore protection alternatives for the western six miles of the Gulf of Mexico shoreline at Perdido Key in Escambia County, FL. Olsen Associates, Inc., of Jacksonville, FL, was contracted by the Neighborhood and Environmental Services Department of Escambia County, FL, to conduct the investigation. Funding for the feasibility study is provided by the Florida Department of Environmental Protection, Bureau of Beaches and Coastal Systems (FDEP BBCS, Grant No. H5ES1), through Escambia County, FL. Alternatives for beach restoration for the study area must address the need to significantly increase the level of storm protection provided by the sandy beaches of the Key to upland infrastructure and environmental habitat, while maintaining and/or increasing the recreational amenity value of the beach. The recent impacts of the 2004 and 2005 tropical storm seasons, most notably Hurricane Ivan in September 2004, destroyed the primary dune system, substantially lowered the elevation of the dry beach berm, and transported a significant quantity of sand offshore of the primary bar. While the study area has not experienced substantial shoreline recession at the Mean High Water Line (MHWL), the recent loss of beach volume and the lowering of the dry beach leave upland infrastructure and habitat vulnerable to storm wave impacts and inundation from events generating storm surges of +7ft MSL or higher (typically, the Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration i olsen associates, inc. “20-yr event” or greater). The post-Katrina FEMA berms constructed along much of the developed area represent protection against storm events with surges lower than approximately six to seven feet. For more severe events, the FEMA berm is expected to be completely eroded, after which time erosion and profile deflation landward of the seaward edge of construction becomes more likely with subsequent events. The series of storm events in 2005 has prevented any meaningful recovery of the beaches following Hurricane Ivan, and in some instances has exacerbated the loss of sand from the system to offshore areas. Even under ideal future weather circumstances, which cannot be relied upon for purposes of storm protection in the near-term, available data suggest that only a portion of the sand transported offshore during Hurricanes Ivan, Dennis, and Katrina would be expected to return to higher elevations along the beach profile. Thus, for purposes of beach restoration along the Perdido Key, FL, study area, it is not recommended that this volume of sand be relied upon to provide any level of meaningful assistance in achieving the required level of storm protection identified herein. The potential recovery of portions of the central and western segments of the study area via natural littoral conditions is completely dependent upon the future storm climate. Recommendations Based upon the analysis of historical shoreline changes, recent storm impacts, and predictions of storm-induced beach profile change, it is recommended that Escambia County, FL, and the Florida Park Service pursue the permitting and construction of a comprehensive beach nourishment project along the westernmost six miles of the Gulf of Mexico shoreline of Perdido Key, FL. ¾ It is recommended that the proposed project include the placement of a minimum of 1.5 to 2.0 million cubic yards of beach compatible sand along this beach segment, weighted toward the eastern end of the area. The minimum-volume project is expected to prevent the loss of the existing FEMA emergency berm during a 25- to 30-yr storm event and minimize the inundation and overwash along the Perdido Key State Park Property (where no dune is to be constructed, per the direction of the Florida Park Service). Additionally, such a project is expected to minimize the deflation/erosion of the existing grade landward of the 1975 Coastal Setback Line (generally -- the seaward edge of construction) during more severe events. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration ii olsen associates, inc. ¾ It is recommended that, as part of the proposed restoration, Escambia County initiate the permitting of the primary nearshore borrow site identified during the Sand Search portion of this study. While it is possible that beach-compatible sand may become available from Pensacola Pass as part of the proposed U.S. Navy dredging of the Federal Navigation Channel, the present uncertainty in the timing of the two projects dictates that the County pursue an independent source of sand. In the event sand from the Pass is utilized for the construction of the recommended alternative, completing the permitting of the nearshore borrow site will provide the County an additional option in the future (for emergency needs or future renourishment, if and when necessary). ¾ It is recommended that the constructed beach restoration project be documented with the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) for purposes of establishing future eligibility for post-disaster financial assistance under Category G guidelines. As demonstrated by the recent FEMA-funded reconstruction of nearby beach restoration projects in Pensacola Beach and Gulf Shores, AL, establishing FEMA eligibility provides significant financial assistance to rebuild the beach in the event of a future declared disaster. For this reason, it is recommended that the entire 6.0-mile length of the Perdido Key study area, including the State Park, be incorporated into the beach restoration plan. ¾ It is recommended that a beach monitoring plan be established to assess the performance of any constructed beach restoration alternative. Such a plan, which will be required by permit, would include annual or more frequent beach profile monitoring surveys, collection of aerial photography, and borrow site surveys at regular intervals. Institution of such a plan would likewise serve to address the maintenance requirements of an “engineered” beach nourishment project under FEMA Category G Public Assistance guidelines. ¾ It is recommended that the County apply to FDEP BBCS for funding assistance for the proposed project through the Bureau’s Beach Erosion Control Program (BECP). Plans for a beach restoration project for Perdido Key were submitted to BBCS as part of the 2006-07 Long Range Budget Plan. The plan should be updated based upon this report and resubmitted for 2007-08. This study, conducted in accordance with the BBCS 2004 Hurricane Recovery Plan for Florida’s Beach and Dune System, is intended for submittal to FDEP to provide the necessary information to support the budget plan and establish the project’s Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration iii olsen associates, inc. eligibility for State cost sharing in the construction process. A portion of that eligibility determination relates to an evaluation of the critically-eroded designation for the entirety of the study area. Data are provided herein to address that determination. ¾ It is recommended that a dedicated source of funding be established for upcoming beach management needs. Creation of such a fund, perhaps through tourist development tax collections, could be used to pay for the costs of annual monitoring of a beach restoration project, the costs of small emergency repairs to the project, subsequent dune enhancements if desired, and the required matching funds to pay for the repair of the beach in the event of a declared disaster. Numerous examples of such dedicated funding sources exist, such as the beach improvement fund established in Gulf Shores, AL. Tasks Required for the Recommended Beach Restoration Alternative It is strongly encouraged that the permitting and associated design tasks required for the construction of the recommended alternative be authorized as rapidly as possible in order to maintain the viability of various options for sand sources, especially any beach quality sand potentially available as part of the proposed dredging of Pensacola. To that end, the following are tasks that will be required regardless of the sand source ultimately used: ¾ Conduct a Mean High Water Line survey and formally establish an Erosion Control Line (ECL) along the full length of the proposed project, ¾ Acquire construction easements along each beach front property where the project is to be constructed. The easement must extend from the established ECL northward to the landward limit of the construction project (generally, the 1975 Setback Line), ¾ Prepare permitting-level design schematics of the plan views and cross-sections for the proposed project. The tasks of setting an ECL and acquiring construction easements are opined to constitute the critical path for construction of any restoration alternative. Easement acquisition should begin as soon as possible. During that process, it may become necessary for the County to acquire some of the easements via condemnation, thus Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration iv olsen associates, inc. adequate time must be allotted for this possibility. On a similar schedule, other tasks will be required to permit the use of the primary nearshore borrow area: ¾ Conduct an environmental assessment of the primary nearshore borrow site, ¾ Conduct a cultural resources review/survey of the site, ¾ Prepare permitting-level design plans of the proposed excavation area. Upon completion of these tasks and the submittal of a Joint Coastal Permit Application to FDEP and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, additional tasks may be required, such as the preparation of a Biological Assessment, design level surveys, etc. Preliminary Opinion of Probable Cost to Construct The cost of construction of such a project is highly dependent on a number of factors, including, but not limited to: ¾ ¾ ¾ ¾ The price of fuel at the time of bidding and construction, The level of competition/availability of dredge plant, The time of year proposed for construction, The nature of the project design and potentially of the borrow site. Assuming the proposed recommended alternative is constructed utilizing a cutterhead/pipeline dredge to excavate sand from the identified primary nearshore borrow site, it is opined that the project could be constructed for unit prices of $4.00 to $6.00 per cubic yard, plus mobilization/demobilization fees. Thus, a first estimate of the probable cost to construct the recommended beach restoration alternative is between $9 million and $13 million. This first opinion of the probable construction cost is provided to facilitate project planning, State cost-sharing, and local financing at this feasibility stage. This cost opinion can then be applied to assess the economic justification of pursuing construction of the recommended alternative utilizing sand excavated from the Federal navigation channel at Pensacola Pass versus the primary nearshore site. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration v olsen associates, inc. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration May 2006 TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................................................................i 1.0 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................1 2.0 STUDY AREA & PHYSICAL SETTING...........................................................4 2.1 2.2 2.3 3.0 SUMMARY OF SHORELINE CHANGES AND STORM IMPACTS .........10 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 4.0 Basic Geologic Setting ................................................................................7 Native Beach Sediment Characteristic ........................................................7 Oceanographic Setting.................................................................................7 Long Term Shoreline & Beach Volume Changes: 1890/1895 to 1984.....10 National Seashore Disposal Activities: 1984 to 1991 ...............................16 Storm-Induced Shoreline & Beach Volume Changes: 1995 to 2005 .......17 3.3.1 Discussion......................................................................................19 3.3.2 July 2005 to Present.......................................................................29 3.3.3 Potential for Natural Recovery ......................................................29 Wave Transformation & Alongshore Transport Modeling .......................31 3.4.1 Estimates of Longshore Transport.................................................32 3.4.2 Generalized Sediment Budget .......................................................32 Observations from Storm Recession Modeling.........................................34 ALTERNATIVES FOR BEACH RESTORATION AT PERDIDO KEY, FL......................................................................................42 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 No Action...................................................................................................46 Shoreline Armoring ...................................................................................47 Dune Construction .....................................................................................48 Comprehensive Beach Nourishment .........................................................49 Structural Stabilization of the Shoreline....................................................50 Continued… Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration vi olsen associates, inc. 5.0 ASSESSMENT OF BEACH NOURISHMENT & DUNE CONSTRUCTION ALTERNATIVES..................................................51 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 6.0 REVIEW OF POTENTIAL SAND SOURCES................................................63 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 7.0 Nearshore Gulf of Mexico Sand Sources ..................................................65 Pensacola Pass Federal Navigation Channel .............................................67 Pensacola Pass Ebb Shoal..........................................................................68 Gulf Intracoastal Waterway Sources .........................................................70 Upland Stockpiles (Admiral’s Island – Ft. Mcree)....................................70 RECOMMENDATIONS ....................................................................................72 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 8.0 Minimum Volume Requirements ..............................................................53 Beachfill Planform Alternatives ................................................................56 Previous Beach Nourishment Projects in the Region ................................57 Beachfill Project Expectations...................................................................60 Recommendations......................................................................................73 7.1.1 Recommended Alternative ............................................................73 7.1.2 Sand Source ...................................................................................73 7.1.3 FEMA Documentation of Engineered Beach ................................73 7.1.4 Establishment of a Beach Monitoring Plan ...................................74 7.1.5 Application to FDEP BBCS Beach Erosion Control Program......74 7.1.6 Creation of a Dedicated Beach Management Fund .......................74 Tasks Required for the Recommended Beach Restoration Alternative ....74 Preliminary Opinion of Probable Cost to Construct..................................75 FDEP Critical Erosion Designation...........................................................76 REFERENCES ....................................................................................................79 Appendix A Historical Beach Profile Plots - 1974-2005 Appendix B Shoreline & Beach Volume Change History Appendix C Wave Transformation & Littoral Processes Modeling Appendix D Storm Induced Shoreline Recession Modeling Appendix E Aerial Photography/Shoreline Conditions September 2005 (Post-Katrina) Appendix F Review of Environmental Resources Appendix G Abbreviated Glossary of Coastal Engineering Terms Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration vii olsen associates, inc. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration Prepared for: Escambia County, FL & Florida Department of Environmental Protection Bureau of Beaches and Coastal Systems Prepared By: Albert E. Browder, Ph.D., P.E. William L. Reilly, E.I. Erik J. Olsen, P.E. Olsen Associates, Inc. 4438 Herschel St. Jacksonville, FL 32210 904-387-6114 May 2006 1.0 INTRODUCTION This report details the findings of a comprehensive study performed to investigate the feasibility of various shore protection alternatives for the western six miles of the Gulf of Mexico shoreline at Perdido Key in Escambia County, FL. Olsen Associates, Inc., of Jacksonville, FL, was contracted by the Neighborhood and Environmental Services Department of Escambia County, FL, to conduct the investigation. Funding for the feasibility study is provided by the Florida Department of Environmental Protection, Bureau of Beaches and Coastal Systems (FDEP BBCS, Grant No. H5ES1), through Escambia County, FL. The Perdido Key shoreline has been significantly impacted by storm damage from no less than six named storms in 2004 and 2005. Most notably, Perdido Key experienced severe storm damage from Hurricane Ivan, which made landfall on 16 September 2004 just west of Gulf Shores, AL, approximately 18 miles west of the Florida/Alabama State Line. Ivan produced sustained winds at landfall of 120 mph and a storm surge in excess of 14 ft above mean sea level along most of the island (FEMA, 2005). The resulting beach erosion destroyed the entire primary dune system and numerous individual and Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration -1- olsen associates, inc. multifamily structures along Perdido Key. The loss of the primary dune system and the accompanying lowering of the beach profile elevation fronting upland development left the shoreline extremely vulnerable to subsequent storm impact. In 2005, the project study area experienced damaging sea/storm conditions from Tropical Storm Arlene, Hurricane Cindy, Hurricane Dennis, Hurricane Katrina, and Hurricane Rita. Hurricane Ivan in 2004 and Hurricanes Dennis and Katrina in 2005 all resulted in Emergency Declarations for Escambia County from the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). The intense frequency of these storms has precluded any meaningful natural recovery and has hampered smaller-scale shore-protection efforts, such as the construction of storm berms, etc. The principal objective of the study is to develop a recommended shore protection/beach restoration alternative for the westernmost 6.0-mile length of shoreline at Perdido Key, FL, including Perdido Key State Park. The recommended plan must address the need to significantly increase the level of storm protection provided by the sandy beaches of the Key to upland infrastructure while maintaining and/or increasing the recreational amenity value of the beach. The recommended alternative must acknowledge what is physically, economically, and socially feasible for Perdido Key, FL. Specific objectives of the study include: ¾ Analysis of historical shoreline position and beach volume changes, both longterm and short-term. Particular attention is focused upon the impacts of Hurricane Ivan to the Perdido Key shoreline, ¾ Description of the physical processes that impact the study shoreline, ¾ Assessment of potential storm damage to upland infrastructure under existing conditions, with emphasis on the damages caused during the recent storm seasons (especially Hurricane Ivan), ¾ Review of potential beach restoration alternatives, with special emphasis on the level of storm protection afforded by each and the improvement to the recreational amenity value of the beaches of Perdido Key, ¾ Comparison of alternatives and the development of recommendations regarding the most physically, socially, and economically feasible alternative for shore protection at Perdido Key, FL. In addition to addressing the objectives of the study, specific tasks associated with the work include the collection of updated beach profile survey data for the area and the Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration -2- olsen associates, inc. acquisition of updated, geo-referenced aerial photography. A project-specific beach profile survey was conducted in July 2005 (FDEP R-monuments R-1 to R-37, Appendix A). That survey was performed in conjunction with a condition survey of the beaches adjacent to Pensacola Pass and as such extended from the FL/AL State Line to the Pass (R-1 to R-67) and onto Santa Rosa Island (R-68 to R-107). These profile data are augmented by recent beach profile data collected by the City of Orange Beach, AL, along the Alabama portion of the Perdido Key shoreline. Regarding aerial photography, the original intent of the acquisition of georeferenced aerials was to post-rectify available photography collected after Hurricane Ivan (September 2004). Following Hurricane Katrina in late August 2005, however, the study shoreline was re-photographed, providing the opportunity to produce a more recent set of aerial photographs for the study (date: 3 September 2005, Appendix E). At the time of this writing, only the developed portion of the Perdido Key, FL, shoreline from FDEP R-monument R-26 to R-32 is formally considered by FDEP to be critically eroded. This designation, which plays a central role in the level of State financial participation in the construction of any beach restoration alternative, will be reviewed in light of the severe impacts of the last two hurricane seasons. The preparation of this feasibility study is consistent with the recommendations of the FDEP BBCS 2004 Hurricane Recovery Plan for Florida’s Beach and Dune System (FDEP/BBCS 2004). In conjunction with the feasibility study, an offshore geotechnical investigation (i.e. sand search) was conducted to identify suitable sources of beach-compatible sand for purposes of cost-effective beach nourishment along the six-mile study area (Olsen Associates, 2006a). That study identified potential sand borrow sites immediately offshore of the study shoreline. Herein, the feasibility of utilizing various sources of sand for purposes of beach nourishment is discussed in conjunction with the recommended alternative (Chapter 6). These sources include the offshore sites identified in the 2005 Sand Search as well as the potential for of obtaining beach-compatible sand from the Federal navigation channel at Pensacola Pass. The report is organized as a brief main text supported by numerous technical appendices detailing various aspects of the study, including historical shoreline analyses, modeling efforts, etc. The main text focuses on those issues immediately relevant to shore protection and beach restoration along the study shoreline. The main text presents the recommended alternative, and outlines steps necessary for the implementation of a beach restoration project at Perdido Key, FL. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration -3- olsen associates, inc. 2.0 STUDY AREA & PHYSICAL SETTING Figure 2.1 depicts a location map for the present study. Perdido Key, located in southwest Escambia County, FL, is the westernmost barrier island in Florida, extending for approximately 15 miles from Pensacola Pass westward to Perdido Pass in Baldwin County, AL. The westernmost 2.2 miles of the island, east of Perdido Pass, lie within the limits of the City of Orange Beach, AL. The study area occupies the adjoining 6.0 miles of Perdido Key, from the FL/AL State Line at FDEP survey monument R-1 eastward to the boundary with the Perdido Key Unit of the Gulf Islands National Seashore at R-32. The GUIS property extends roughly 6.8 miles eastward to Pensacola Pass at R-65. The Gulf shoreline of the Key terminates along the Pensacola Pass channel roughly 2,000 ft north-northeast of R-65 at a small rock structure at R-67. Maps of Perdido Key can be found on National Ocean Service (NOS) Charts 11378 and 11382. The 6.0-mile study area is divided into three shoreline segments. From the FL/AL State Line eastward, the first 2.4 miles of the shoreline are developed with single-familyresidences and condominiums (State Line to R-12.5). Proceeding eastward, Perdido Key State Park occupies the next 1.6 miles of the Gulf of Mexico shoreline (R-12.5 to R21.5), and is developed with two principal parking areas with gazebos, walkovers, and restroom facilities. Eastward thereof, the remaining 2.0 miles of the study area, from R21.5 to R-32, are developed with single-family-residences and condominiums (including rental units). The primary East-West coastal road along Perdido Key is State Route 292 (Perdido Key Drive) from Pensacola, FL. Route 292 runs the length of Perdido Key from approximately R-29.5 to R-1, where it transitions to HW 182 in Orange Beach, AL. East of R-29.5, Johnson Beach Road runs eastward into the National Seashore property. The sandy barrier island of Perdido Key varies in width from as much as 1.2 miles along the center of the island (near R-28) to less than 400 ft in certain locations just west of Pensacola Pass (Figure 2.1). USGS survey quadrangle sheets indicate that ground elevations along the center of the island typically reach only +10ft above Mean Sea Level1, while the crests of the more landward dune ridges just south of the coastal road along the Gulf shoreline reach as high as 15 to 25 ft (see Chapter 3). For reference, the elevation of the coastal road, Route 292, varies non-uniformly along the shoreline from roughly +9 ft to over +15ft along the beach segment from R-1 to R-29. 1 The primary vertical datum used in this report is the North American Vertical Datum of 1988 (NAVD88). For reference, Mean Sea Level (MSL) is approximately 0.3 ft above NAVD88, and Mean High Water (MHW) is approximately 0.9 ft above NAVD88 (see Appendix C for further discussion). Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration -4- olsen associates, inc. 490,000 MS Perdido Key LA Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration 480,000 470,000 -5- Northing (ft, NAD83) Figure 2.1 460,000 * Bear Pt. FL SC 1,030,000 Location map, Perdido Key, FL. Per dy Are a Perdido Key 1,050,000 N lands 1,060,000 Gulf Is 1,070,000 0 2.0 mi (st) 1,080,000 1.0 GRAPHIC SCALE Pensacola Pass Santa Rosa Island Pensacola Bay Pensacola hore l Seas ationa Big Lagoon ESCAMBIA COUNTY, FL Easting (ft, NAD83) 1,040,000 Gulf of Mexico e y St u dido K PKSP Perdido Bay Innerarity Pt. Ono Island 1,020,000 Bayou St John GA 1,010,000 olsen associates, inc. Perdido Pass Terry Cove Orange Beach TX AL ALABAMA FLORIDA 500,000 olsen associates, inc. Development and Public Access The 4.4-mile developed segments of the Perdido Key, FL, Gulf of Mexico shoreline at Gulf Beach are occupied principally by large multifamily, multi-story condominium structures. There are also several single family residences along the Gulf-front, especially along the western developed segment. Presently on Perdido Key, there are 4,100 units that pay ad valorem taxes in Escambia County. Those taxes generate over $16 million dollars annually for the county. Records from Escambia County list 1,433 publicly available rental units within the condominiums. The number of rental units available varies significantly, as buildings damaged by Hurricanes Ivan, Dennis, and Katrina are repaired or demolished and new buildings are constructed. Funds from the tourist development tax for Perdido Key (zip code 32507) generate over $700,000.00 annually. Sales tax income specifically from the Key was unavailable at the time of this writing. The developed portion of the island in Escambia County is presently legally capped at 7,150 units and could reach 9,169 units (based on present zoning conditions), which could increase the ad valorem and tourist development tax income of the Key even further. Escambia County owns two 100-ft wide public parking/beach access parcels at R-22 and R-25. Perdido Key State Park maintains two large Gulf-front parking areas with bathroom facilities and handicapped overwalk accesses to the beach (R-13 and R-18). These facilities, also severely damaged in Hurricane Ivan, have reopened in Spring 2006. The State Park also maintains two roadside dune overwalks near R-15 and R-16 (at the Perdido Key Visitor’s Center). Just east of the developed portions of the Key, the Gulf Islands National Seashore maintains a large public parking, picnic, and beach access area at Rosemond Johnson Beach Park (between R-33 and R-34). Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration -6- olsen associates, inc. 2.1 Basic Geologic Setting The geologic setting of Perdido Key is similar to the coastal areas of neighboring Alabama and Mississippi to the west rather than the majority of the Florida carbonate platform to the east. The island sits on the north flank of the southwestward-dipping Gulf Coast sedimentary basin. Perdido Key lies in the East Gulf Coastal Plain physiographic province, which extends eastward to the Apalachicola River boundary with the Atlantic Coastal Plain (a somewhat arbitrary boundary). The southern Coastal Strip, below 20 to 25 feet above sea level (generally, below the Pamlico Terrace, Healy (1975)), lies in the Southern Pine Hills District of the province and extends eastward to Choctawhatchee Bay in Walton County and includes Perdido Key, Santa Rosa Island, Santa Rosa Sound, and portions of the north shoreline of the Sound (Brooks, 1982). According to the Florida Geological Survey, the surficial sediments of the barrier islands of Escambia County, those of immediate interest to the present study, are recent Holocene sediments composed almost entirely of quartz (FGS, 1993). These modern beach and shoreface sands are likely to have been derived from transgressive reworking of older delta and shallow marine sands deposited in the Late Pleistocene Epoch. 2.2 Native Beach Sediment Characteristics Olsen Associates (2006a) provides a detailed description of the engineering sediment characteristics of the native beach. Surface sand samples were collected in October 2005 along six shore-normal beach profile transects and analyzed for grain size distribution, color, and carbonate (shell) content. Figure 2.2 summarizes the grain size distribution data for the composite distributions generated from all 29 samples collected. The median grain size of the weighted distribution is 0.31mm and the sorting coefficient (standard deviation) is 0.44 φ, indicative of fine to medium grained sands that are very well sorted (all sand grains are fairly similar in size). Fine sediments in the native beach samples averaged less than 1% by weight. The weighted composite distribution is considered to be the “target” for purposes of assessing borrow site sand compatibility with the native beach. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration -7- olsen associates, inc. 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 35 45 60 80 120 3.5 4 4.5 5 170 200 230 0.5 18 14 7 10 5 1/4 1/2 US STANDARD SIEVE 5/16 5/8 -4 -3.5 -3 -2.5 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 25 PHI: 100 0 PERCENT FINER BY WEIGHT 10 Perdido Key, FL Native Beach Sand Grain Size Distribution 80 20 Composite Cumulative Distribution 70 mean: 0.32mm 30 median: 0.31mm Composite Frequency Distribution -8ft Composite 60 40 mean: 0.28mm ; median: 0.28mm 50 50 -4ft Composite mean: 0.30mm ; median: 0.29mm 40 60 Waterline Composite mean: 0.32mm ; median: 0.31mm 30 70 Mid-berm Composite mean: 0.36mm ; median: 0.35mm 20 80 Dune Composite mean: 0.32mm ; median: 0.32mm 10 PERCENT COARSER BY WEIGHT 90 90 0 100 2 C O BB LE 100 98 7 6 5 4 10 3 2 98 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 GRAIN SIZE - MILLIMETERS AV EL 3 PEBBLE G R 98 7 6 5 4 98 7 6 5 4 3 2 0.1 0.01 SAND VERY CRS. CRS. MED. FINE V. FINE SILT Figure 2.2 Native beach composite grain size distributions, Perdido Key, FL, study area (R1 to R-32, sampled October 2005). Both the frequency and cumulative distributions are plotted, along with individual composite samples describing the cross-shore variation of grain size (Olsen Associates, 2006). Native Sand Color and Carbonate Content Carbonate burn tests were performed on 18 of 29 native beach samples and revealed an average carbonate content of 1.4% by weight, with a high measurement of 2.0%. Further inspection of the individual grain size distribution data indicate only a very small percentage of grain sizes greater than 1.0mm in diameter (those sizes and greater are hypothesized to likely be shell fragments) (Olsen Associates, 2006a). Sand color was documented by Olsen Associates, Inc. personnel to be in agreement with the standards set by the Escambia County Sand and Water Protection Ordinance for sediments present or imported to Perdido Key. That Ordinance stipulates that sand color should meet a minimum Value of 9.25 and a Chroma of no more than 0.5 measured on a 10YR or similar Hue scale. Value, Chroma, and Hue refer to the Munsell Color Scale (Munsell, 1998a, b). Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration -8- olsen associates, inc. 2.3 Oceanographic Setting Appendix C describes the littoral climate of Perdido Key in terms of the tides, winds, and waves incident to the shoreline. Tides in the area are quite small, averaging only 1.1 feet in range over the course of the year and only slightly exceeding 2.0 feet during spring tides. The tides are considered to be mixed but predominantly diurnal, with only one high and low tide per day. Pendleton et al. (2004) ascribe a sea level rise rate of 2.14 mm/yr, based upon the long-term water level records at Pensacola, FL. The characteristics of and changes to the beach profile along Perdido Key, from elevations of +20 to -20 ft MSL, are discussed in detail elsewhere in this report. The -20ft contour is typically reached within 1,500 to 2,000 feet of the shoreline, seaward of which the seabed is relatively shallow and mildly sloping at approximately 1:1,000 v:h to the edge of the DeSoto Canyon. The break in the seabed at roughly -120 to -150 ft lies approximately 25 nautical miles offshore. As will be described elsewhere, there are numerous shoal features, both shore-parallel and shore-oblique, that lie within that 25 nautical mile zone. The average annual wave climate in the area is very mild, with average wave heights of two feet or less, typically. The majority of waves incident to the shoreline arrive from the South-Southeast or Southeast direction. A significant fraction of winter waves, however, are directed offshore, when the passage of cold fronts generates north winds. The mild long-term average, however, represents a significant number of calm events averaged together with extremely high wave-height events of short-duration associated with tropical storms and hurricanes. During such events (discussed in detail throughout this report), offshore deepwater wave heights can exceed 50 ft. Wave heights near shore, just seaward of the primary bar, can reach over 20 feet in height before breaking on the bar itself. During these events, wave reformation can result in breaking waves on the beach that reach seven to ten feet in height, depending on the surge level (see Appendix D). NOAA’s Coastal Services Center database lists 52 tropical events (tropical depression or stronger) that have passed within 50 miles of the FL/AL State Line since 1851, an average of one event every three years. The same dataset lists nine events since 1995 that have passed through the same area (one event every 1.2 years). The same database lists 32 events of Category 2 hurricane strength or greater that have passed within 125 nmi of the State line since 1851 (4.8 per year), six of which have occurred within the last 11 years. Three such events have occurred in the last two years (Ivan, Dennis, and Katrina). Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration -9- olsen associates, inc. 3.0 SUMMARY OF SHORELINE CHANGES & STORM IMPACTS This chapter summarizes the findings of numerous analyses designed to describe the behavior of the Perdido Key Gulf of Mexico shoreline. Historical shoreline position and beach profile data from the FDEP BBCS database were compiled and updated with recent beach profile survey data from numerous sources to describe the changes in shoreline location and beach volume. This analysis is supplemented by a review of coastal engineering activities since 1883 that have affected the study area. Further describing the littoral environment are numerical wave refraction-diffraction modeling results and numerical storm recession predictions. These analyses are described in detail in Appendices B, C, and D. 3.1 Long-Term Shoreline & Beach Volume Changes: 1890/1895 to 1984 Figure 3.1 depicts the historical positions of the Perdido Key, FL, shoreline, relative to its 1890/1895 location, the oldest “complete” data set for the island. Mean High Water Line (MHWL, +0.9ft NAVD88) position data were compiled from the FDEP database and updated by the July 2005 beach profile survey conducted for this study. Also noted in Figure 3.1 are the locations and dates of numerous coastal engineering activities at Perdido Key that have influenced the shoreline position since the commencement of dredging activities at Pensacola Pass in 1883. Observations from the long-term MHWL shoreline change data are as follows, details may be found in Appendix B: ¾ Shoreline position changes along the first 6.5 to 7.5 miles west of Pensacola Pass are clearly dominated by the influence of Pensacola Pass and man-induced activities there, including the dredging program at the Pass. In the immediate vicinity of the inlet, to R-63, the shoreline has advanced by over 700 ft since 1890/1895 as the terminus of the island has transformed from a rounded bank2 to a defined and essentially stabilized shoreline along R-65 to R-67. Westward thereof, the shoreline has retreated dramatically. Recession of 350 to 500 ft was measured up through 1984, when beach disposal operations near the eastern end of the island began (see discussion below). Figure 3.1 also indicates the approximate location of several cross-island breaches caused by the 1906 hurricane, one near R-56, another near R35, and another in Alabama, roughly ½-mile west of the FL/AL State Line. 2 References from the 1800’s refer to Perdido Key as Foster’s Island, and the area immediately west of the channel as Foster’s Bank. In various maps of the era, the two features appear as separate islands. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 10 - olsen associates, inc. ALABAMA FLORIDA Old River 64 61 R0 R0 58 R0 55 R0 49 R0 46 R0 43 Escambia County (developed) R0 37 40 R0 R0 34 R0 31 R0 28 R0 22 Perdido Key State Park 25 R0 R0 19 R0 13 10 Escambia County (developed) 16 R0 R0 R0 07 04 R0 R0 01 R0 Jetty Construction 1970 Pensacola Pass 1906 breach Big Lagoon 52 R0 Perdido Pass 1906 breach 67 R0 PERDIDO KEY Gulf Islands National Seashore Perdido Key Unit -800 Survey Date 1920 1934 1965 1974 1984 1996 2005 -600 -400 -200 0 200 400 1989-1990 Nourishment of 5.4 Mcy 600 800 1990-1991 Nearshore Disposal of 3.9 Mcy 2005 Nourishment of 0.7 Mcy (in AL) Shoreline is seaward of 1890/1895 position Shoreline Position Relative to 1890/1895 Location (ft) 1985 Nourishment of 2.3 Mcy Shoreline is landward of 1890/1895 position 1906 breach 1,000 -10,000 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 Alongshore Distance from FL/AL State Line (ft) 50,000 60,000 70,000 Figure 3.1 Historical shoreline position relative to the 1890/1895 location Perdido Key, FL. - 11 - olsen associates, inc. ¾ The data illustrate that the long-term erosional signal west of Pensacola Pass extends through the GUIS and into Gulf Beach and the developed portion of the Key to roughly R-26. Foster et al. (1999) developed a representative description of the longterm background shoreline change rates, focusing principally upon the 1974-1984 pre beach disposal period (Figure 3.2). The writers calculated recession rates of up to 9 ft/yr near the Pass. Westward, near the boundary of the National Seashore with the eastern developed portion of the island, long-term shoreline recession averages 2 ft/yr or less (to R-26). The shoreline behavior immediately west of the Pass is attributed principally to the channel dredging program and the refractive sink effect of the Pensacola Pass ebb shoal. Browder and Dean (1999) developed sediment budgets of the Pass and estimated that the long-term erosional influence of the Pass extends for eight to nine miles west of the channel. ¾ Along the developed portions of Perdido Key at Gulf Beach, from R-26 westward to R-21, long-term MHW changes indicate relative stability or minor shoreline advance. Long-term shoreline change trends through Perdido Key State Park to the FL/AL State Line increase uniformly to reach as high as 4 ft/yr of advance near R-1. Foster et al. (1999) examined the 1974-1984 (pre-nourishment) and 1984-1996 time periods and found variations in shoreline change rates of up to ±8 ft/yr along this segment of the shoreline. Despite the profile-to-profile variation, the typical rate of MHW shoreline change is relatively consistent across the various time periods shown. ¾ West of the study area, the Alabama shoreline of Perdido Key continues the general trend of minor shoreline advance or stability for roughly another ½-mile westward, at which point the historical influence of Perdido Pass significantly affects shoreline change calculations. Prior to the 1890’s, the Perdido River channel followed Old River along the north shoreline of Perdido Key, and Ono Island connected to Alabama Point and the present-day Orange Beach shoreline. Before the early 1890’s local interests cut a channel from the Bayou St. John area across to Perdido Pass near what is now the western tip of Ono Island, more than ¾-mile east of the present location of the Pass. Maps from 1911 show how the 1906 hurricane breached this portion of Perdido Key, roughly ½-mile west of the FL/AL State Line (Mobile COE, 1967). Westerly migration of Perdido Key closed the breach before 1934, and in 1969-1970, the Pass was stabilized in its present location by the construction of two rock jetties with a weir section in the east jetty. Douglass and Pickel (2000) describes recent MHW shoreline changes as highly variable, with position changes of over 150ft since 1970, but exhibiting no major trend of erosion or accretion. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 12 - olsen associates, inc. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 13 0 R037 R034 R031 Pensacola Pass 60,000 2.3 MCy recession 70,000 1985 Beach Disposal (5.4 Mcy onshore, 4.0 Mcy nearshore) 1989-1991 Beach Disposal Project 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 Alongshore Distance from FL/AL State Line (ft) 1996-2005 (smoothed) 1974 to 1984 (Foster et al, 1999) 1950 to pre-Ivan (FSU BSRC) 1900 to pre-Ivan (FSU BSRC) R040 Figure 3.2 MHW shoreline change rates for selected time periods, Perdido Key, FL. Data for the Alabama shoreline were digitized from COE (1967) and recent aerial photography. 15 10 5 0 R001 -5 R004 -10 R007 -15 R010 -20 R022 1865/1867 to pre-Ivan (FSU BSRC) R043 -25 R013 Historical Shoreline Change Rates R061 -30 R016 Gulf Islands National Seashore Perdido Key Unit R055 -35 R019 -40 R025 Escambia County (developed) R028 Perdido Key State Park Big Lagoon R046 Escambia County (developed) PERDIDO KEY R049 -45 1906 breach ALABAMA FLORIDA R052 pre-1890 1970 cut jetty construction Perdido Pass Old River 1906 breach R058 Rate of MHW Shoreline Change (ft/yr) 1906 breach R064 advance R067 olsen associates, inc. ¾ Browder and Dean (1999) estimated the long-term annualized cumulative erosion of sand from the National Seashore area to be approximately 50,000 to 60,000 cy/yr. In comparison, at least 60% or more of that value typically accretes along the remaining eight miles of the Key. The writers estimate the long term net erosion rate along the entire Florida shoreline of Perdido Key to be approximately 20,000 cy/yr, based on the interpretation of volumetric changes from MHW shoreline changes. ¾ The first available set of beach profiles at Perdido Key was surveyed in 1974 for the establishment of the 1975 Coastal Setback Line. Comparison of the 1974 to 1984 beach profile datasets indicates a net loss of almost 500,000 cy (50,000 cy/yr) of sand along the National Seashore, extending westward into Gulf Beach to R-26. West of R-26, volume change calculations suggest that almost the same volume of sand of sand, accumulated along the shoreline to R-1. While not specifically demonstrated by the available data, inspection of Figures 3.1 and 3.2 suggest that over time sand eroded from the eastern end of the island acts to feed and stabilize the central and western portions of the island. This phenomenon is generally supported by wave transformation and longshore transport analyses (Section 3.4), which suggest similar patterns of increasing transport potential along the eastern end of the island, causing erosion, and uniform or decreasing potential along the central and western portions, promoting stability or accretion. Such a conclusion, however, assumes that losses or gains of sand are produced strictly from longshore transport processes. While longshore transport clearly does play a large role, other factors, such as storm-induced overwash or possible onshore-directed contributions of sand (Stone et al, 1992), can affect the sediment balance along the Perdido Key shoreline (discussed in Section 3.4). It must be noted that the changes in shoreline position discussed above consider only the Mean High Water contour3. A phenomenon characteristic of the geographic Panhandle area is the difference in shoreline response between the lower and upper elevations of the beach profile during storm events. During severe storms, the upper portions of the beach profile and the frontal dunes experience substantial erosion. The eroded sand is transported both landward and seaward. A portion of the sand transported seaward, if it is not carried beyond the submerged primary bar in the profile, is readily available to potentially be transported back toward the intertidal zone. Such a phenomenon 3 For some of the older datasets, the Mean High Water Line listed may actually represent a generalized shoreline location, marking the upland limit of wave uprush (the wet/dry line) or a storm induced rack line of debris. This possibility introduces uncertainty into the calculations of shoreline position and change rate. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 14 - olsen associates, inc. frequently leads to minor accretion or reduced recession at the shoreline, as measured by post-storm surveys. This phenomenon, which can mask the degree of shoreline recession measured, can be clearly observed in the post-Frederic beach profile dataset and the postIvan dataset (discussed below). Another factor that influences both the long- and short-term shoreline change data is the occurrence of localized rhythmic variations in the shoreline that can create differences in shoreline position of over one hundred feet along distances of as much as 1,000 ft (Figure 3.3). As indicated in Figure 3.3, the exact alongshore position of these features, some of which tend to migrate alongshore, dramatically affects the storm-induced shoreline response and level of protection to upland structures (see Section 3.5). These mega-cusp features can produce substantial errors in shoreline position predictions based on longterm data. Dean (1999) investigated the variation in long-term shoreline position data of the FDEP database for Escambia County. That research suggests that at Perdido Key a prediction of shoreline location ten years in the future is expected to have as much as 38 feet of variation in the cross-shore direction, due in part to these rhythmic variations. A 30-yr prediction may have as much as 54 feet of variation (average of R-1 to R-32). AL FL 19 December 1998 Figure 3.3 Shoreline conditions at Perdido Key, FL, near the FL/AL State Line. Note the cusp feature just east of the State Line, resulting in a large discrepancy in beach width relative to the line of construction (photo 19 December 1998). Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 15 - olsen associates, inc. Also related to the variability in shoreline position measurements is the influence of nearshore bathymetric features, specifically the impacts of shoreface-attached nearshore ridges. Foster et al. (1999) make mention of numerous “hard features” occurring at various points along the study area that influence the shape (but not necessarily the longterm rate of change) of the shoreline along segments of the beach as long as 2,000 to 3,000 ft. These submerged ridge features trend offshore obliquely from the shoreline toward the southeast into waters depths of 50 ft or more, and occur in numerous locations along the study area shoreline. One such ridge is believed to be responsible for the creation of the large scale cusp feature shown in Figure 3.3 at the State Line. More discussion of these features is found in Section 3.4. 3.2 National Seashore Beach Disposal Activities: 1984 to 1991 Chronic erosion along the National Seashore property resulted in the construction of two major beach disposal projects there along (1985 and 1989-1990), using sediments dredged from the entrance channel. Comparison of the 1984 pre-beach disposal data to the 1996 shoreline illustrates the contribution of sand to the shoreline, totaling approximately 7.7 million cubic yards of sand (both projects). Another 3.9 million cubic yards of sand was placed just offshore of the National Seashore (R-46 to R-60) in a nearshore berm in 1990-1991 (See Chapter 5). As depicted in Figures 3.1 and 3.2, the addition of such large volumes of sand produced dramatic, but artificial, changes in shoreline position and temporarily reversed the shoreline change rates along the National Seashore property. Psuty and Jagger (1990) provide details of the 1985 beach disposal project, which resulted in the placement of 2.3 million cubic yards of sand along the shoreline immediately west of the Pass (R-65 to R-59). Browder and Dean (1999) prepared a detailed sediment budget for Pensacola Pass based on data from 1991 to 1998, describing the performance of the 1989-1991 Perdido Key Beach Disposal Project. The beach disposal project resulted in the placement of approximately 5.4 million cubic yards of sand along the eastern end of Perdido Key. It is hypothesized that the placement of such a large volume of sand served to provide additional sand to the shoreline west of the project area, which would positively bias any recent MHW shoreline change estimates for the study (such as the 1996 and 1998 survey data sets for the area). The influx of sand in such a relative short time frame, however, may not have contributed significantly to the building of dunes alongshore. More information on the performance of the 1989-1991 project can be found in Chapter 5. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 16 - olsen associates, inc. 3.3 Recent Storm-Induced Shoreline & Beach Volume Changes: 1995 to 2005 As depicted in Figures 3.1 and 3.2, MHW shoreline changes at Perdido Key over the last eleven years differ substantially from the long-term trends due to storm impacts. Figure 3.4 plots the tracks of tropical storms and hurricanes that have significantly affected the Perdido Key shoreline since 1995. Hurricane Ivan (2004) represents the single largest impact to the beaches. Also notable are the impacts of Hurricanes Erin and Opal (1995), Hurricane Georges (1998), and the storms of 2005 (Arlene, Cindy, Dennis, Katrina, Rita). Since 1995, there have been least three named storm events formed in or passing through the Gulf of Mexico each year (on average). Hurricane Ivan made landfall on 16 September 2004, just west of Gulf Shores, AL, approximately 18 to 19 miles west of the FL/AL State Line as a strong Category 3 hurricane. Reports from the National Weather Service place the radius of maximum winds at roughly 25 to 30 miles, indicating the highest winds occurred just east of Gulf Beach over the Perdido Key Unit of the National Seashore and the Grand Lagoon neighborhood north of Big Lagoon (Figure 2.1). Sustained winds of almost 130 mph were reported, and the open-coast storm surge is estimated to have been over +14 ft NAVD88. The storm destroyed numerous single family structures and wood-frame multi-family condominiums and completely destroyed the frontal dune along with substantial portions of secondary dunes along the entire Perdido Key shoreline. In numerous areas, wave overtopping and flooding across the entire island resulted in damage to Perdido Key Drive, closing the road for several weeks following the storm. By many statistical indicators, Hurricane Ivan represents a storm with a return period near or exceeding 300 years (e.g. Dean and Chiu, 1986). The surge experienced during Ivan exceeded the mapped FEMA 100-yr Base Flood Elevations for the area by several feet in many areas and prompted a re-mapping of flood elevations. Escambia County likewise adopted a new Ordinance (2006-4) for Coastal High Hazard Areas that now requires that the elevation of the first habitable floor be three feet above the published FEMA Base Flood Elevations, which range from +12ft to +16ft NAVD88 south of Perdido Key Drive. During the 2005 storm season, six named storms impacted the Perdido Key shoreline to at least some degree between June and October 2005: T.S. Arlene (10 June), H. Cindy (5 July), H. Dennis (10 July), H. Katrina (29 August), H. Rita (20 September), and H. Wilma (22 October). The intensity and frequency of these storms have restricted the Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 17 - olsen associates, inc. natural recovery of the beaches and dunes along the study area following Hurricane Ivan. Hurricanes Dennis and Katrina both produced storm surges of eight to nine feet above Mean Sea Level (estimated) at Perdido Key and resulted in Federal Emergency Declarations for Escambia County. While the surge from these events did not result in complete overtopping of the beach and upland flooding, the surge and accompanying waves and runup eroded sand along the upper elevations of the beach, including the postIvan FEMA storm berms that were under construction along the developed portions of the study shoreline. Several datasets exist that document the impacts of the 1995-2005 storms. In addition to the full beach profile surveys performed in 1996 and 2005, pre- and post-Hurricane Ivan LIDAR surveys are available from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers SHOALS program at the Mobile District, COE. These data, high-resolution airborne scanning laser survey data, were flown in May of 2004, then again in November/December 2004. These two datasets generally capture the Ivan storm damages to the subaerial beaches of Perdido Key. The May 2004 dataset was supplemented by a ground survey conducted by FDEP in June 2004 at numerous R-monuments within the study limits. 90 95 100 80 85 NC AL 30 TX 35 LA SC GA 25 Danny FL 30 Atlantic Ocean Gulf of Mexico Katrina 20 Ivan 25 Opal Erin Rita Isidore Cindy olsen associates, inc. 95 90 Dennis Arlene 85 80 Georges 75 Figure 3.4 Tracks of hurricanes and tropical storms of particular significance to the Perdido Key, FL, shoreline, 1995-2005. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 18 - olsen associates, inc. 3.3.1 Discussion -- Observations from the 1996 to 2005 timeframe are as follows (from east to west, generally). Appendix A plots all historical beach profiles described herein. ¾ Along the National Seashore property, measured shoreline changes clearly indicate the severe erosion that has occurred there along in the last ten years. The smoothed shoreline change data shown in Figure 3.2 reveal recession rates exceeding -20 ft/yr from R-55 eastward to R-64, with individual rates up to -50 ft/yr at R-62 and R-63. Inspection of intermediate surveys and aerial photos between 1996 to 2005 indicates that each successive storm from Hurricane Georges to Dennis has contributed significantly to the severe erosion experienced at the eastern end of the GINS. Further exacerbating the erosion is the interaction of this beach segment with the ebb shoal complex at Pensacola Pass. The refractive effect of the ebb shoal creates an area of diverging net sediment transport and a reversal in net sediment transport direction along this segment, which receives no net inputs of sediment from longshore transport due to the sink effect of the channel (see Section 3.4). ¾ During the intersurvey period from 1996 to 2005, the MHWL along the study area between R-32 and R-1 retreated an average of over -1 ft/yr, compared to its long-term trend of stability or minor shoreline advance of up to +4ft/yr (Figure 3.2 – smoothed data). The average value includes significant variations of up to approximately ±21 ft/yr (unsmoothed data) at individual reference monuments during that time period, and certain segments of the study area do indicate minor shoreline advance. This variation is in keeping with the conclusions discussed in Section 3.1. These large variations are at least partially attributed to the presence of mega-cusps alongshore. ¾ Figure 3.5 depicts pre-and post-Ivan contour changes along the study area measured between the May 2004 and December 2004 SHOALS datasets. Consistent with previous discussions, the average recession of the MHWL is only -16 ft, while the recession of the +8ft NAVD88 dune toe contour averaged -91 ft. Figures 3.6 to 3.8 illustrate this phenomenon. At these locations, the post-storm beach is relatively wide, however, the upper elevations of the beach were deflated by as much as four to five feet in elevation. The +5ft contour advanced seaward by an average of 11ft, due to the formation of a steep recovery berm at the post-storm wave uprush limit that developed immediate after the storm, prior to the post-storm survey. Similar results were reported along adjacent monitored beach restoration projects in Pensacola Beach, FL, and Gulf Shores, AL, where surveys revealed the storm had planed the upper beach off to typical slopes of 1:30 to 1:45 (e.g. Browder and Norton, 2005). Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 19 - olsen associates, inc. Perdido Pass R010 R007 R004 R001 R013 10,000 Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 20 - 60,000 Average shoreline change at +8ft NAVD88: -91 ft Average shoreline change at MHW (+0.8 NAVD88): -16 ft 70,000 Pensacola Pass Shoreline Position Changes +8ft NAVD88 +5 ft NAVD88 MHW (+0.8ft NAVD88) 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 Alongshore Distance from FL/AL State Line (ft) R022 olsen associates, inc. (+) Accretion Figure 3.5 Upper beach shoreline changes along western Perdido Key, FL, between May 2004 (pre-Ivan) and December 2004 (post-Ivan). Data provided by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers SHOALS program. 0 R016 -200 R019 -160 R025 -120 R034 -80 R037 Average shoreline change at +5ft NAVD88: +11 ft R040 -40 R031 Post-Storm Sand Stockpile at R-23 R043 0 R028 Gulf Islands National Seashore Perdido Key Unit R046 Escambia County (developed) R049 Perdido Key State Park Big Lagoon R052 Escambia County (developed) PERDIDO KEY R055 40 ALABAMA FLORIDA R058 80 120 Old River R061 Shoreline Position Change (ft) R064 (-) Erosion R067 Figure 3.6 Pre- and post-Ivan shoreline conditions just west of R-007 at Perdido Key, FL. Comparison of the two photos illustrates erosion of the upper beach and the total loss of the vegetated dune field. Note the red house in the inset photo, which was swept off its pilings during Ivan, and the initial formation of the recovery berm (post-Ivan photo – FDEP BBCS). ¾ The profile deflation during Ivan, as demonstrated in Figure 3.8, extended northward well beyond the typical seaward limit of construction. This deflation during the storm allowed the transmission of larger storm waves farther landward across the profile, where they then impacted upland infrastructure. Referring to Figures 3.7 and 3.8, the profile deflation at the seaward limit of construction reduced the grade elevation from +13ft prior to the storm to +7ft during and after the storm. Assuming a +14ft surge, it is entirely possibly that waves as high as 5.5 ft passed the typical line of construction and impacted the structures seen in Figure 3.7, which were substantially damaged during Ivan. Furthermore, following traditional rules of thumb for determining wave crest elevations, it is estimated that storm waves during Ivan may have impacted structures at elevations as high as +18 ft, as suggested by the pattern of damage seen in Figure 3.7 (particularly the central structure). Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 21 - olsen associates, inc. Figure 3.7 Structural damage and shoreline conditions at FDEP monument R-27 along Perdido Key Drive following Hurricane Ivan. The only structure still in place in this photo after 18 months is the blue-roofed home on the north side of the road. The shopping complex on the north side of the road was demolished subsequent to Ivan (photo – FDEP BBCS). R-027 Escambia County, FL Elevation (ft, NAVD88) 20 May 2004 (LIDAR) December 2004 (LIDAR) 15 July 2005 10 Natural Recovery Berm 5 0 -5 Seaward edge of construction (approx.) -10 0 200 400 600 800 1000 Offshore distance from monument (ft) Figure 3.8 Comparison of pre- and post-Ivan beach profiles at Perdido Key R-monument R-027. Storm damage from Hurricane Ivan resulted in the complete loss of the frontal dune (Figure 3.7). Following Hurricane Dennis in July 2005, the primary bar crest was located roughly 200 ft seaward of its May 2004 location. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 22 - olsen associates, inc. ¾ Based upon the May-December 2004 SHOALS data, the beaches from R-32 to R-1 experienced a loss of over 26 cy/ft during this period as the upper beach and primary dunes were planed off. Storm damages from Ivan resulted in the loss of almost 840,000 cy from the upper beach along the study area4. West of the study area, surveys along the Alabama portion of Perdido Key reveal average losses of almost 23 cy/ft above 0.0 NAVD88 (April 2003 to January 2005, Olsen Associates, 2006b). ¾ Volume changes measured between the December 2004 LIDAR survey and the July 2005 profile survey indicate that 355,000 cy of sand accumulated between R-32 and R-1 above 0.0 NAVD88. Almost 140,000 cy of this volume are attributed to the sand recovery operations conducted by Escambia County along the developed beach segments. In some areas, overwash fans extended over 1,000 ft from the shoreline, across the island and into Old River and Big Lagoon. Approximately 110,300 cy were returned from the streets/right-of-ways (ROW), and from private properties where Right-of-Entry (ROE) was granted, (Figure 3.9). Another 29,300 cy were obtained from maintenance dredging of the Gulf Intracoastal Waterway west of the Theo Barrs bridge. ¾ Sand eroded from the upper beach and primary dunes was carried both landward into overwash fans and Gulfward beyond the primary bar, where its return to the beach is expected to be slow (on the order of years, assuming no further severe events). Figure 3.10 depicts the large volume of sand lying beyond the primary bar in each example profile, shown by the July 2005 post-Dennis survey (see Appendix A for all profiles). Comparison of the February 1996 survey to the July 2005 profile survey suggests that as much as 800,000 cy of sand lies in the area seaward of the primary bar. Along the Alabama portion of the shoreline the net volume change Gulfward to survey closure from April 2003 to January 2005, is near zero, although over 260,000 cy of sand were eroded from the upper beach. More discussion of the potential fate of this material can be found at the end of this section. ¾ The City of Orange Beach, AL recently completed a beach nourishment project along the first 1.1 miles of the shoreline immediately west of the FL/AL State Line. This project added over 700,000 cubic yards of sand in February 2005, and was renourished following Hurricanes Dennis and Katrina with an additional 140,000 cy in January/February 2006 (Olsen Associates, 2006b). 4 Water clarity at the time of the December 2004 survey limited consistent data collection to depths above -1.0ft NAVD88 (approx.). Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 23 - olsen associates, inc. Figure 3.9 Pre- and Post-Hurricane Ivan aerial photography, Perdido Key, FL (R-1 to R3). Note the extent of storm overwash from the beaches and the loss of dune vegetation due to the hurricane. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 24 - olsen associates, inc. R-3 Escambia County, FL Elevation (ft, NAVD88) 20 May 2004 (LIDAR) FEMA Emergency Berm 15 December 2004 (LIDAR) July 2005 10 Natural Recovery Berm 5 0 -5 Seaward edge of construction (approx.) -10 200 400 600 800 1000 Offshore distance from monument (ft) R-18 Escambia County, FL 20 Elevation (ft, NAVD88) 1200 May 2004 (LIDAR) December 2004 (LIDAR) 15 July 2005 10 Natural Recovery Berm 5 0 -5 -10 0 200 400 600 800 Offshore distance from monument (ft) R-24 Escambia County, FL 20 Elevation (ft, NAVD88) 1000 May 2004 (LIDAR) FEMA Emergency Berm 15 December 2004 (LIDAR) July 2005 10 Natural Recovery Berm 5 0 -5 Seaward edge of construction (approx) -10 0 200 400 600 800 Offshore distance from monument (ft) 1000 Figure 3.10 Example profiles at Perdido Key, FL. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 25 - olsen associates, inc. ¾ Another major element of damage caused by the 2004/2005 hurricanes is the loss of dune vegetation and environmental habitat. Comparison of aerial photography from April 2004 and September 2005 reveals the loss of over 104 acres of vegetated frontal dune areas. On average, a vegetated zone approximately 125 ft wide from the prestorm seaward edge of vegetation landward was either eroded away or significantly buried by overwash. As depicted by the pre- to post-storm images shown in Figure 3.11 and in previous figures, vegetated zones Gulfward of the developed areas (generally, seaward of the line of construction), were completely stripped of native vegetation. The reader is referred to Appendix E for post-Katrina aerial photography of the study area. Figure 3.11 Pre- and post-Hurricane Ivan shoreline conditions near R-23 (denoted by the arrows), Perdido Key, FL. Note the near-planar condition of the post-storm beach and the lack of any remaining dune vegetation. The inset photo depicts pre-storm conditions. The initial formation of a post-storm recovery berm near the waterline is also evident (post-Ivan photo: FDEP BBCS). Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 26 - olsen associates, inc. ¾ Figure 3.12 depicts an aerial photo history of a portion of Perdido Key State Park, centered near the eastern primary parking area at R-18, from 1984 to 2005 (postKatrina). The 1984 aerial shows the impacts from Hurricane Frederic in 1979. In that storm, it appears the storm surge and waves stripped vegetation back to the landward edge of the existing series of decks and gazebos at the Park. The seaward edge of vegetation that survived Frederic is clearly visible in April 2004, fronted by new growth areas. Following Ivan, Dennis and, Katrina, dune erosion and overwash resulted in the near-complete loss of vegetation landward beyond the Hurricane Frederic limit. ¾ These denuded areas all lie within existing or proposed units of critical habitat for the Perdido Key beach mouse. One of the primary constituent elements identified by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service for the survival of the species is a habitat amongst the primary and secondary dunes that provides food and shelter (Federal Register, 15 December 2005). Along the zone described above, the characteristics of that constituent element have been nearly eliminated by the frequent storm impact. Many portions of the scrub dune constituent element have been destroyed landward of the primary and secondary dunes, as well in areas of localized washovers. Additional discussion of environmental considerations can be found in Appendix F. ¾ Some level of natural recovery of vegetation has occurred along the study area, typically landward of the seaward edge of construction (in the State Park, etc.). Additionally, Escambia County plans to revegetate the constructed FEMA emergency berm along the developed beach segments (see below), and Perdido Key State Park plans to revegetate broad areas of the Park in an attempt to reconstitute beach mice habitat in the primary dune area and to assist in the protection of remaining habitat northward thereof. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 27 - olsen associates, inc. Figure 3.11 Aerial photographs of parking area at R-18, Perdido Key State Park, from 1984, 2004 (pre-Ivan), and 2005 (post-Katrina). The erosional scarp from Hurricane Frederic in 1979 is clearly visible in the upper frame, and can still be identified today. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 28 - olsen associates, inc. 3.3.2 July 2005 to Present -- Following the July 2005 survey, Hurricane Katrina passed offshore of Perdido Key in late August, resulting in large storm waves and an estimated surge of roughly nine feet along the study area. Runup from storm waves impacted the ongoing FEMA berm construction process and resulted in additional erosion of the upper beach. The original post-Ivan FEMA berm was designed at 163,000 cubic yards to be placed along the 4.4-miles of developed beach-front. The impacts of Dennis and Katrina resulted in an authorization to add an additional 100,000 cy of sand to the emergency berms, augmented by a State contribution of another 50,000 cy. Sand for the postDennis/Katrina berm work was obtained from dredge stockpiles from the GIWW. With the combined placement of 139,600 cy after Ivan, the impacts of Dennis and Katrina, and the placement of an additional 116,000 cy after Dennis and Katrina, it is estimated that perhaps as much as 256,600 cy of sand has been returned to or placed along the beaches in the developed areas since Ivan. As of this writing the majority of the sand is believed to still lie within the general template of the FEMA berm, constructed just south of the seaward edge of development. 3.3.3 Potential for Natural Recovery -- Inspection of the available beach profile data through July 2005 reveals the presence of a substantial volume of sand at the beach toe along the seaward face of the primary bar in the beach profile (Appendix A). This sand was transported offshore to this area principally during Hurricane Ivan and Hurricane Dennis. Comparison of February 1996 and July 2005 beach profile data suggest that along the entire 6-mi study area, the excess volume of sand in this region may be 800,000 to 900,000 cubic yards (over 25 cy/ft on average). The excess accumulation of sand lies in an area seaward of the envelope of prior survey data. Comparison of pre- and postHurricane Katrina beach profile data along the adjacent Perdido Key, AL shoreline indicate that Katrina exacerbated this problem, pushing the bar crest 50 to 100 ft farther offshore and depositing additional sand on the seaward face of the bar (Olsen Associates, 2006b). Of interest is the potential for portions of this material to eventually migrate ashore and contribute to the rebuilding of the upper elevations of the beach via summer wave berm building and aeolian transport into the dunes. It is likely that some fraction of the material would migrate ashore under calmer wave conditions. Accomplishment of this task would require several years of storm-free weather; the likelihood of such a weather window is not easily predicted. Additionally, it is not expected that all the sand deposited seaward of the bar by recent storms would return to the beaches. While storm waves and their associated return flow were clearly able to transport sand offshore and generally Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 29 - olsen associates, inc. down-slope to these depths, summer wave action may not typically reach these depths with sufficient strength to transport sand landward up the seaward slope of the bar. Long-term volumetric and shoreline change data suggest that that the practical average annual depth of sand motion might only reach approximately 13 ft in this area (Browder and Dean, 1999)5. This suggests that some fraction of the sand deposited near the toe of slope would be extremely slow to migrate and may not be moved onshore. Olsen Associates (2001a) describes a similar scenario at Pensacola Beach, FL, following Hurricane Georges in 1998. Pre- and post-Georges survey data indicated that over 1.8 million cubic yards of sand were displaced offshore during the storm (roughly 55 to 60 cy/ft). The primary bar crest migrated over 360 ft seaward during the storm and sand was deposited at depths of 26 ft or deeper. During the subsequent 22-month period, survey data indicated a loss of over one million cubic yards of sand from the submerged portions of the profile, while the upper portions of the beach experienced only 153,000 cy of natural accretion during the same period of time. It is hypothesized that sand in this area can be partially mobilized by wave action in this area, where it is then available for transport out of the surveyed project area by longshore- or offshore-directed currents. Similar results have been documented in Panama City Beach, FL, during Hurricane Ivan (Keehn and Armbruster, 2005). Pre- to post-Ivan surveys of the beaches revealed the average loss of 26 cy/ft of sand in the storm. Surveys indicate significant deposition of sand at depths deeper than the 20-ft design depth of closure for the project. Some profiles indicated deposition from the storm to depths of 40 ft. The writes refer to the volume of sand deposited below 20ft depth as “semi-permanent loss.” In summary, the series of storm events in 2005 has prevented any meaningful recovery of the beaches following Hurricane Ivan, and in some instances has exacerbated the loss of sand from the system to offshore areas. Even under ideal future weather circumstances, which cannot be relied upon for purposes of storm protection in the near-term, only a portion of the sand transported offshore would be expected to return to higher elevations along the beach profile. Thus, for purposes of beach restoration along the Perdido Key, FL, study area, it is not recommended that this volume of sand be relied upon to provide any level of meaningful assistance in achieving the required level of storm protection identified herein. 5 Note that this description differs significantly from other definitions of “depth of closure” or “depth of limiting sediment motion.” The value described herein was derived by comparing measured long-term volumetric changes to measured shoreline changes to estimate a corresponding active height of profile (Browder and Dean, 1999). Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 30 - olsen associates, inc. 3.4 Wave Transformation & Alongshore Transport Modeling Using the STWAVE numerical model (Smith et al., 1999), representative offshore wave conditions were transformed across the nearshore bathymetry off Perdido Key to the point of wave breaking at the shoreline (Appendix C). Using the breaking wave data, estimates of the longshore transport potential were calculated for each representative wave case and an average annual littoral transport curve was generated. Inspection of the computed gradients in alongshore transport reveals areas that are expected to be erosional, stable, or accretional (in the long-term, generally). Results of the wave transformation analysis compare well with the long-term shoreline change data presented previously6. The shallow waters of the ebb shoal at Pensacola Pass tend to refract incident waves eastward, toward and into the Pass. The eastward refractive effect is strong enough that a reversal in the direction of net longshore transport is predicted in the vicinity of R-59 to R-61, east of which sand is directed back toward the navigation channel (in the net). Areas of transport divergence are highly erosional, as sand is transported away in both directions. Not coincidentally, this portion of the shoreline is historically the most eroded segment of Perdido Key. West of the reversal area, the resultant shadow zone north and west of the ebb shoal results in an area of increasing westerly directed transport, as the wave climate returns to its non-shoalaffected condition. Proceeding westward, the increase in westerly net transport continues along the National Seashore property into the eastern developed segment of Gulf Beach. Westward thereof, the average annual net transport indicates uniform or slightly decreasing transport conditions over the remaining five miles of shoreline to the State Line. Such a condition, exclusive of storm impacts, suggests shoreline stability or accretion over the long term. Superimposed on that generally stable to accretional trend, however, are the localized effects of shoreface-attached oblique sand ridges. Similar to the influence of the Pass ebb shoal, these ridges can be shown to affect the local wave climate via wave refraction, pulling wave crests toward the shallower ridge centerlines. This refraction effect results in the creation of paired accretional and erosional zones alongshore. As the waves are pulled toward the ridge, an area of convergent transport is created alongshore, resulting in a stable, depositional zone. Westward thereof, the area of wave divergence left from the 6 For a shoreline with no coastal structures or other substantial cross-shore influences upon littoral processes, this is not an unexpected result. The wave transformation analysis uses “average annual wave conditions” to determine typical wave breaking and littoral transport conditions. Thus, the gradients in alongshore transport should correspond well with the overall, long-term shoreline change trends. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 31 - olsen associates, inc. attractive effect of the ridge produces a condition alongshore of increasing wave breaking energy from east to west, which ultimately produces a positive gradient in alongshore transport. The positive gradient, i.e. an increasing ability to transport sand proceeding westward, results in the erosion of the shoreline to meet the transport demand. This erosional trend persists westward until the localized effect of the ridge is escaped, typically on the order of a thousand to several thousand feet west of the ridge. Such effects can be accentuated during smaller storm events, and as such the exact location of the accretional/erosional area shifts depending on the incident direction of the waves. In general, however, the shoreline from the ridge crest’s point of attachment, moving eastward, exhibits a stronger tendency for stability or accretion, while the western side of the ridge trends more toward recession. Such a feature exists along the western limit of the study area. The ridge near the State Line, which attaches near R-1 or R-2, produces relative stability there along, but produces an erosional area along the Alabama shoreline of Perdido Key that is particularly noticeable roughly 1,000 west of the State Line. A smaller ridge feature affects the shoreline near R-8 to R-11 (Foster et al. (1999) note the feature at R-11 near the Eden Condominium), and several other smaller ridges are found alongshore. It must be stressed, however, that the submerged ridge effect is realized primarily in the accretion or erosion of sand along the lower elevations of the beach profile. During severe storm events with significant surge levels, the refractive effect of the ridge is diminished, and in any event the ridge has little to no influence on the surge level itself. 3.4.1 Estimates of Longshore Transport -- Numerous researchers have published estimates of the annual net longshore transport rate in the Perdido Key/Pensacola Pass area. These estimates range from 65,400 cy/yr to over 300,000 cy/yr, all westerly directed (see Appendix C). Most estimates of transport tend toward smaller values of less than 100,000 cy/yr. Browder and Dean (1999) compiled estimates of the net longshore transport rate and performed a sediment budget analysis of the Pass which suggested net transport rates on the order of 50,000 to 70,000 cy/yr, westerly directed. Douglass (2001) estimated the net transport at Perdido Pass to be approximately 190,000 cy/yr. 3.4.2 Generalized Sediment Budget -- Acknowledging that the largest contributions to shoreline and beach volume changes at Perdido Key are the impacts of major storms, an ambient long-term sediment budget can be developed from the STWAVE/littoral transport analysis to describe the background tendencies of the island’s Gulf of Mexico Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 32 - olsen associates, inc. littoral system. To relate the predicted longshore transport curve to actual volumetric changes alongshore, an assumed “ambient” net rate of 80,000 cy/yr was applied to the predicted longshore transport curve (Appendix C). Further, most studies of Pensacola Pass agree that there is little if any bypassing of sand to or from Santa Rosa Island across the navigation channel. With these assumptions, the “erosional demand” of sand from the beach between the transport reversal area westward along the National Seashore property and into the developed areas of Gulf Beach exceeds 80,000 cy/yr. In comparison, Browder and Dean (1999) estimated the long-term annualized cumulative erosion of sand from the National Seashore area to be between 50,000 and 60,000 cy/yr. Over the long-term, it is hypothesized that less than half of the sand volume eroded from the eastern seven miles of the island is transported westward and ultimately deposited along the remaining eight miles of Perdido Key, as the net longshore transport decreases to roughly 50,000 to 60,000 cy/yr near the State Line. The net transport is hypothesized to increase sharply just east of Perdido Pass to as much as 98,000 cy/yr (Stone et al., 1992). Douglass (2001) estimates the net longshore transport at Perdido Pass to be as high as 190,000 cy/yr. As discussed previously, the presence of shoreface-attached oblique sand ridges generate localized gradients in the longshore transport curve. The predicted effect of these ridges on the local sediment budget can be extreme, indicating losses of tens of thousands of cubic yards per year along relatively short segments of the shoreline. In reality, the effects of the ridges upon the shoreline is offset by the changes in shoreline orientation that they cause. The resultant cuspate formation of the beach is a process in which the shoreline rotates to align itself with the incoming ridge-refracted waves, thus reducing the longshore transport potential until an equilibrium condition is established for a particular wave condition. The equilibrium condition typically includes cuspate horn and embayment features, which can produce substantial variations in local shoreline width (discussed previously). Other processes, such as non-wave induced currents and small storm events, result in the natural diffusion of sand into the eroded areas from adjacent shorelines to reduce points of high curvature of the shoreline. The preceding discussion of the sediment budget is based solely on gradients in the predicted average annual longshore sand transport potential. Again, the larger influence of individual storm impacts is not considered in the discussion of these typical, average annual background conditions. Additionally, previous investigations (e.g. Stone et al., 1992) have suggested the presence of onshore-directed transport across the inner continental shelf that supplies sand to the central, Gulf Beach portion of Perdido Key. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 33 - olsen associates, inc. This mechanism is difficult to directly demonstrate, but is indirectly indicated by the increased presence of carbonate material in beach samples along Perdido Key, which is opined to be provided only from the inner shelf, and the inability to satisfy sediment budget calculations by any other source (Stone et al., 1992). 3.5 Observations from Storm Recession Modeling As discussed in preceding sections, the primary factor influencing shoreline and beach profile change along the six-mile study area of Perdido Key is the impact of recent major storm events. The numerical model EDUNE (Kriebel, 1994) was utilized to prepare predictions of storm-induced beach profile change upon the existing shoreline conditions and a suite of dune restoration and beach nourishment alternatives (Appendix D). A range of storm intensities, with storm surges from +4 to +14 ft above MSL, was applied to each pre-storm beach profile configuration. To verify its performance, the EDUNE model was applied to simulate the impacts of Hurricane Ivan upon the shoreline at Perdido Key State Park. The model was found to reproduce measured dune and upper beach recession to within 15% or less in most cases simulated. Figure 3.12 depicts a prediction of the expected return period interval of various levels of storm surge at Perdido Key, FL (Dean and Chiu, 1986)7. These data, used to establish the surge level in the EDUNE model, are generated from a probabilistic model of storm track, intensity and landfall location, based upon a ranking of storm conditions known to have impacted the area between the late 1800’s and the mid 1980’s. Also plotted in Figure 3.12 are measured and estimated storm surge values from several recent storm events at Perdido Key, and the published 100-yr Stillwater surge elevation from FEMA. Inspection of Figure 3.12 highlights the recent series of “severe” storm events experienced along the Perdido Key shoreline. Beginning with Hurricane Georges in 1998, the Perdido Key area has experienced at least five storm events exceeding the predicted surge level of a “20-yr storm event” in the eight tropical storm seasons of 19982005. Perhaps as many as four storms have exceeded the surge predicted for a 30-yr event since 2002. According to the scale shown in Figure 3.12, Hurricane Ivan may be classified as high as a 300+ yr event for Perdido Key. 7 Consistent with Dean and Chiu (1986), storm surge is defined herein as the maximum “stillwater” surface elevation achieved during a storm event, inclusive of astronomical tides, barometric pressure effects, and wave- and wind-induced setup. The levels reported do not include the effects of the passage of individual waves (referred to in FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Maps (FIRMs) as the Base Flood Elevation). Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 34 - olsen associates, inc. Combined Total Storm Tide Elevation (ft, NAVD88) 16 Perdido Key, FL 14 Hurricane Ivan (2004) Dean & Chiu (1986) 12 FEMA 100-yr Stillwater Flood Elevation 10 Hurricane Katrina (2005) Hurricane Dennis (2005) & T.S. Isidore (2002) Hurricane Georges (1998) 8 6 4 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 200 300 400 500 10 100 Return Period (years) Figure 3.12 Predicted return period intervals for increasing levels of combined total storm surge at Perdido Key, FL (adapted from Dean and Chiu, 1986 – model line 1). The data presented in Figure 3.12 serve, however, to illustrate that the prediction of a “100-yr storm event” or any other condition is simply a statistical indicator, used most often to establish flood and storm insurance rates8. The conditions associated with an Nyr event are based upon the database of storm information available at the time of the prediction. With the recent series of severe storms in this area, the conditions describing a given return period interval may likely require revision to smaller surge levels. Herein, terms such as “30-yr event” and “100-yr event” are used for familiarity, but each refers more correctly to a specific storm surge elevation rather than an expected return period. 8 The term refers to a storm condition that has a 1% chance of occurrence in any given year. In terms of a practical project time scale of ten years, the probability of occurrence of a ten-year event sometime during that 10-yr period is 0.651 (65.1% chance). The probability of occurrence of a 30-yr event in any ten-yr period is 0.287 (28.7% chance), and the probability that a 100-yr event will occur in any ten-yr period is 0.096 (9.6% chance). P{F-yr event in n years} = 1 - (1 - 1/F)n. This discussion does not, however, provide guidance as to what storm condition (surge level, wave height, etc.) constitutes each n-year event. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 35 - olsen associates, inc. Figure 3.13 depicts the predicted changes for a typical beach profile along the study area. The typical profile represents a composite of profiles from R-1 to R-32. A FEMA berm was included in the typical profile to represent the developed areas, where the postKatrina berm has been completed. Simulations of a typical no-FEMA-berm profile were also included to provide information for the Perdido Key State Park segment (Appendix D). Inspection of Figure 3.13 reveals how the model simulates the planing off of the upper beach contours. In the present instance, EDUNE produces post-storm beach profile slopes of roughly 1:30 to 1:35 (v:h) , consistent with the post-storm survey data collected in the Pensacola Beach and Gulf Shores areas after Hurricane Ivan (e.g. Douglass and Browder, 2005). A 30-yr storm event with a +8.2ft storm surge is expected to completely erode the FEMA berm and result in recession of the dune toe by roughly 60 ft (typical). A 100-yr event is predicted to cause further landward retreat and profile deflation, averaging 75 to 80 ft of dune recession. As discussed in preceding sections of this report, the planar configuration of the post-storm beach results in large recession values along the upper elevations of the beach and dunes, but produces little or no recession of the Mean High Water shoreline. As seen in Figure 3.13, in most instances EDUNE will predict that lower, submerged contours will actually advance seaward during the storm, due to the input of sand eroded from higher elevations along the profile. The upper frame of Figure 3.13 illustrates, for existing conditions, that most portions of the study area can survive storm surges of +4 to +6 ft with only minimal reshaping of the beach profile. Simulations indicate that the existing FEMA berm will be eroded completely during a storm event with a surge level approaching +7ft (just under a “20-yr” event per Figure 3.12). Storm waves riding atop the +7ft surge are predicted to impact the berm and eventually remove it, leading to the lowering of the beach profile at the seaward edge of construction9 and northward thereof. At that point in the storm, upland infrastructure becomes increasingly exposed to direct storm wave impacts and critical habitat areas experience added inundation and overwash. Simulations predict that upon the loss of the FEMA berm in the 20-yr event, the beach profile may experience two feet or more of deflation at the seaward edge of construction. The predicted profile deflation may extend for 20 to 30 ft landward, impacting upland infrastructure (pools, parking lots, piping, foundations, etc.). For a 100-yr event, the deflation at the seaward line of construction may exceed three feet, and the erosion may extend over 60 feet from the construction line (Figure 3.14). Landward of the limit of deflation, overwash deposition occurs. This phenomenon is not modeled by EDUNE (discussion – Appendix D). 9 Along the Perdido Key shoreline, the seaward limit of construction is typically the 1975 Coastal Setback Line. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 36 - olsen associates, inc. 20 Elevation (ft, NAVD88) seaward edge of construction (typ.) 15 Typical Profile No Project FEMA Berm 100 10 50 30 20 10 5 MHW 0 pre-storm profile distorted scale: 1V:10H -5 400 500 Elevation (ft, NAVD88) 20 600 700 Offshore Distance, Arbitrary Baseline (ft) seaward edge of construction (typ.) 800 900 Typical Profile 60 cy/ft Project 15 50 100 10 30 20 10 equilibrated beach fill profile 5 MHW 0 pre-storm profile distorted scale: 1V:10H -5 400 500 600 700 Offshore Distance, Arbitrary Baseline (ft) 800 900 Figure 3.13 EDUNE Numerical simulations of predicted beach profile response to various storm levels. The upper frame indicates the prediction of performance under typical existing conditions (July 2005 survey, with FEMA Berm). The lower frame depicts a prediction of the beach profile response to the same series of storms, following the placement and equilibration of a 60 cubic yard per front foot beach fill project. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 37 - olsen associates, inc. Figure 3.14 Destruction of the Flamingo Key Condominium on Perdido Key, AL, from storm surge impacts from Hurricane Ivan. The building stood approximately 1,000ft west of the FL/AL State Line. Note the pools fronting the damaged buildings, collapsed from profile deflation. Figure 3.13 also depicts the predicted beach profile response associated with the placement of a modest beach fill project with a typical fill density of 60 cubic yards per lineal foot of shoreline. The simulations suggest that the modest beach fill can provide significant storm protection benefits. The buffer represented by the additional sand placement is predicted to protect the FEMA berm and upland infrastructure from the impacts of the 20-yr and 30-yr storms. With the 60 cy/ft project in place, the 100-yr storm event is predicted to erode the FEMA berm but not cause any profile deflation landward of the construction line. Additional discussion of the EDUNE modeling results and the selection and design of beach fill alternatives can be found in subsequent Chapters and in Appendix D. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 38 - olsen associates, inc. Alongshore Variation in Shoreline Response to Storms – Consistent with the historical analyses of shoreline position and beach volume, the storm response modeling demonstrates a distinct alongshore trend in the level of storm impact vulnerability (Appendix D). The eastern developed segment of the study area is at a higher level of risk from storm damage than the central (PKSP) and western segments of the study area, for the same storm conditions. Assuming the post-Katrina FEMA berm is uniformly constructed throughout the developed areas, the primary variable affecting the level of vulnerability to upland infrastructure is the total volume of sand between the edge of construction and the pre-storm waterline. Along the length of the study area, this translates most directly to beach width. Appendix E provides controlled aerial photography of the study area, collected on 3 September 2005 after Hurricane Katrina. The aerials depict the condition of the shoreline and the locations of the 1975 Coastal Setback Line and the 1986 Coastal Construction Control Line (CCCL). Based upon the distance from the 1975 Coastal Setback Line to the July 2005 MHWL, the structure fronting beach widths along the eastern segment average approximately 235 ft. Beach widths in this segment range from less than 190 ft to as much as 290 ft. Along Perdido Key State Park (R-13 to R-21), the distance averages 270 ft and ranges from 225 to over 310 ft, due in part to local variations in the location of the Setback line. Across the western segment of the study area10, structure fronting beach widths average 275 ft and range from 230 ft to nearly 320 ft. Along the widest profiles, which occur in all three segments, storm-induced profile deflation can be limited to areas Gulfward of the line of construction. However, in nearly every instance the FEMA berm itself cannot withstand an event with a storm surge higher than approximately six to seven feet. While the beaches along the western portion of the study are wider in comparison to the eastern end, the beach berm along the entire study area is relatively low, with elevations from approximately +8ft at the toe of the dune/FEMA berm to a seaward berm edge elevation of roughly +4ft (Appendix A). Such a condition allows for frequent overtopping of the recreational beach berm. Following the loss of the FEMA berm, if not rebuilt, subsequent storm impacts will result in additional deflation of the beach profile landward of the line of construction, increasing damage to upland infrastructure and additional overwash and inundation of environmental habitat areas. 10 Calculations exclude the westernmost 2,500 ft (R-1, R-2, and R-3). This segment is influenced by sand diffusion from the recently constructed nourishment project along the Alabama portion of Perdido Key. Inclusion of the segment raises the average beach width along the western segment to over 290 ft. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 39 - olsen associates, inc. In general, the east-to-west increase in beach width raises the level of storm protection afforded by the existing beach conditions. However, local variations in the shoreline location caused by beach cusps and other mechanisms can dramatically alter the width of the pre-storm beach, raising or lowering the level of protection available at any given point alongshore. In addition, variations in the cross-shore location of the Setback line and individual structures also affect the level of exposure of any single structure (see Appendix E). Figures 3.15 and 3.16 depict profile and plan views of storm damage near R-31 at the Vista Del Mar Condominium. This structure experienced severe structural damage and failure during Hurricane Ivan as a result of the loss of sand underneath the structure. The southern wing of the condominium extended Gulfward roughly 70 ft beyond the typical limit of construction. The deflation of the profile around this wing of the building, estimated to be at least three feet, and the impacts of storm waves during Ivan resulted in the settlement of the entire wing. The entire condominium building has since been demolished. Figure 3.15 Structural damage to the Vista del Mar Condominium on Perdido Key, FL. The building was damaged during Hurricane Ivan in September 2004 (photo: 19 January 2005). Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 40 - olsen associates, inc. Figure 3.16 April 2004 pre-Ivan and September 2005 post-Katrina condition photos of the eastern boundary of the Gulf Beach study area at the entrance to the Perdido Key Unit of the Gulf Islands National Seashore. The Vista Del Mar condominium, which was located seaward of the typical line of construction, was severely damaged in Hurricane Ivan (Figure 3.15) and was eventually demolished after Hurricane Katrina. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 41 - olsen associates, inc. 4.0 ALTERNATIVES FOR BEACH RESTORATION AT PERDIDO KEY, FL The previous chapter summarizes the historical and present condition of the beaches at Perdido Key and describes the present level of vulnerability of the project area to future storm impacts. This chapter discusses various alternatives proposed to address the need to increase the storm protection function of the beaches and mitigate for the damages cause during the 2004-2005 hurricane seasons, while maintaining or improving the recreational amenity value of the beach. As described in the previous chapter, the recent series of storms, beginning with Hurricane Ivan in 2004, have removed large volumes of sand from the upper elevations of the beach, eroding the natural dunes and substantially lowering the overall elevation of the dry beach. The partial restoration of the dunes via the construction of the FEMA berms has replaced roughly one-third of the volume lost from the upper beaches of the study area. While the study area has not experienced substantial shoreline recession, the recent loss of beach volume and the lowering of the dry beach leave upland infrastructure and habitat vulnerable to storm wave impacts and inundation from events generating storm surges of +7ft or higher (typically the 20-yr event or greater). The post-Katrina FEMA berms constructed along much of the developed area represent protection against storm events with surges lower than approximately six to seven feet. For more severe events, the FEMA berm is expected to be completely eroded, after which time erosion and profile deflation landward of the seaward edge of construction becomes more likely with subsequent events. Given the mild background conditions, the level of vulnerability is then weighed against the likelihood of future storm impacts. As described in the previous chapter, existing published estimates of the frequency of occurrence of storms with a given surge level have underestimated these frequencies in recent years. At Perdido Key, the recreational beach berm has been significantly overtopped at least five times during the last two tropical storm seasons. To overtop the beach berm requires a storm surge of +4 to +5ft, an event that has been previously estimated to have only a 10% chance of occurrence in any given year. Similarly, the “20-yr event,” estimated to have a +7.2ft surge, has been exceeded four times in the last two years, whereas a 20-yr event would have only a 5% probability of occurrence in a given year. As mentioned in the preceding chapter, the scale of return period intervals was developed with the dataset available at that time (the mid-1980’s), which included fewer accurately described severe storm events. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 42 - olsen associates, inc. While it is not possible to precisely predict future storm impacts, various researchers have opined that the present cycle of frequent severe storms may continue for several years into the future. The research group of Dr. William Gray at Colorado State University publishes annual predictions of the severity of the coming tropical storm season (Klotzbach and Gray, 2006). The most recent April 2006 predictions from that group ascribe a 47% chance of the landfall of a Category 3, 4, or 5 hurricane along the Gulf of Mexico shoreline from the Florida Panhandle to Texas. This probability is compared to the 100-yr average of 30% for the same area. Klotzbach and Gray predict the occurrence of 17 named storms in the Atlantic Basin for 2006 (down from 27 in 2005). Of those 17 named storms, nine are expected to reach hurricane status, five of which are predicted to be severe hurricanes (Category 3 or higher). It is important to recognize that the occurrence of a hurricane in most any portion of the Gulf of Mexico is likely to result in some measurable level of storm surge, and hence beach erosion, along the Perdido Key shoreline. This is evidenced by the 2005 tropical storm season, in which relatively distant events such as Hurricanes Rita and Wilma caused storm surges and strong swell wave conditions along the study shoreline. Hurricane Dennis made landfall at Pensacola Beach, approximately 20 miles east of the study area. The storm surge and swell waves leading up to landfall produced a +8ft storm surge and enough damage to trigger an Emergency Declaration from FEMA for the Perdido Key beaches. The offshore pass of Hurricane Katrina in August 2005 resulted in storm surge conditions of roughly nine feet along Perdido Key, and again triggered an Emergency Declaration and the need to rebuild sand berms alongshore. These facts serve to raise the annual probability of occurrence of an event that results in beach/dune erosion sufficient to require corrective action or possibly an Emergency Declaration from FEMA. Some of the less-severe events that have occurred recently result in erosion of the upper beach and dunes, but are insufficiently severe to trigger an Emergency Declaration. This leaves the local governmental entity with the fiscal responsibilities of repairing any damage to the protective beach berms. An example of this problem is the impact from Tropical Storm Arlene in June 2005. Arlene was considered to be a “minor” tropical storm, coming ashore at Perdido Key, FL, with 60-mph winds and generating a storm surge of roughly five feet or more along the open coast, sufficient to overtop the berm in many areas. Along narrower areas of the shoreline, the wave runup above the storm surge level resulted in damage to post-Ivan storm berms that were under construction. Further east, in Pensacola Beach, the post-Ivan storm berms had just been completed, and in some localized areas wave runup from the storm surge overtopped the berms. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 43 - olsen associates, inc. Objectives and Expectations – Given the conditions described herein, the objectives of any proposed beach restoration alternative for Perdido Key, FL, are to increase the stormprotection function of the beach and maintain or improve the tourism amenity value of the beach. More specifically, it is desirable to raise the level of storm protection afforded by the beaches to the upland infrastructure and environmental habitat to a condition that: 1. Attempts to prevent or minimize the deflation/erosion of the existing grade landward of the 1975 Coastal Setback Line (generally -- the seaward edge of construction) during a storm event with a surge level exceeding +11ft NAVD88, the “100-yr event.” Under present conditions, such an event is predicted to completely destroy the existing FEMA berm and result in profile deflation, water inundation and wave impacts landward of the line of construction. 2. Prevents the loss of the existing FEMA emergency berm during a storm event with a surge level exceeding approximately +7.5 to +8.5ft NAVD88 -- the “25to 30-yr events,” and minimizes the inundation and overwash along the Perdido Key State Park Property (where no dune is to be constructed, per the direction of the Florida Park Service). Given the frequency of occurrence of more severe storms in recent years and forecast for future years, this objective serves to minimize the level of project maintenance and expense required to meet Objective #1 at any given time. Recent events of this magnitude have not necessarily resulted in Emergency Declarations, which provide financial assistance from FEMA and the State of Florida to rebuild the berms. Additionally, finding suitable sand sources for such projects has become increasingly more difficult and more expensive as the demand for sand from upland borrow pits has increased dramatically since Hurricane Ivan. Lastly, the FEMA berm, once revegetated, will re-establish an important constituent element in the critical habitat for the Perdido Key beach mouse. It must be stressed that it is not the intent of a beach restoration project to provide complete protection against the impacts of a 100-yr storm event. Rather, it is an objective to provide adequate protection from conditions reaching the 25- to 30-yr storm event level (storm surges of +7.5 to 8.5ft NAVD88) and to attempt to minimize the level of damage caused by the surge and waves associated with lower frequency events. Clearly the beach restoration project will not address the “100-yr” impacts from hurricane force winds upon the upland development, nor is it practical to completely preclude all wave overtopping and storm inundation during such events. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 44 - olsen associates, inc. As an example, during extreme storm events it is desirable to minimize the exposure to the coastal road from flowing water and waves. During Hurricane Ivan, HW 292 was damaged in numerous places due to flowing surge waters scouring the shoulders of the road (Douglass et al., 2004). From the County perspective, another global objective of surviving the event is to minimize the out-of-service downtime of the rental homes and condominiums, both of which serve the tourism industry of the County. The increase in storm protection capability, such as through the addition of sand to the buffering beach, minimizes damage to upland infrastructure, including the road, and habitat by decreasing storm wave heights across the profile and in many instances burying upland structures rather than allowing for their collapse due to profile deflation. Engineering alternatives considered in this study are intended to satisfy the following general constraints in meeting the stated objectives and are discussed in the context of these constraints: ¾ Engineering: The probability that a given alternative can be successfully constructed and perform as intended should be high. In this regard, the selected alternative should not negatively affect regional or local sediment processes. This includes potential downdrift erosive impacts. Additional engineering constraints must consider future maintenance and/or requirements for reconstruction of alternatives, which should be reasonable, or ideally, minimal. ¾ Regulatory: The selected alternative must be in accordance with local, State, and Federal regulatory constraints. ¾ Environmental: No net loss of endangered species habitat or its quality should result from the selected alternative. Proposed alternatives should not significantly impact any threatened or endangered species during construction or thereafter, and where possible should seek to enhance, protect, or re-establish habitat. The relatively natural aesthetic quality of the study region should be preserved. The selected alternative should not result in reduced aesthetic quality, relative to the conditions expected if no actions were taken. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 45 - olsen associates, inc. Where it is desired to increase the storm-protection benefits of a segment of shoreline while maintaining or increasing the recreational carrying capacity and (as opposed to simply protecting a particular upland structure, for example), the engineering/physical goals and constraints combine to eliminate some traditional coastal engineering stabilization options, irrespective of economic feasibility. For purposes of discussion, several typical coastal engineering alternatives are presented herein. An initial assessment of each alternative is provided in order to identify those options that are likely to meet the project objectives and constraints. Those alternatives that meet the constraints are considered further. Where applicable, the alongshore variation in the existing level of storm protection provided by the beaches in the study are considered. 4.1 No Action At present, post-Katrina emergency storm berms have been constructed along the developed segments of the study area and plans are in place to install sand fencing and revegetate the berms with salt-tolerant vegetation (sea oats, panic grass, etc.). Along the State Park shoreline, no berms have been constructed, although some wind-blown dune recovery has occurred and work is underway on a large scale dune vegetation installation. The No-Action alternative would be the continuation of this shoreline condition. No additional measures for shore-protection, such as the placement of additional sand or the construction of hard coastal structures, would be pursued. Such a condition represents only a partial recovery of the upper beach and dunes to the level that existed prior to Hurricane Ivan. Accordingly, the level of protection provided by the buffering beach and dunes from incident storms is substantially reduced, as discussed in Section 3.5. Storm recession modeling predicts that the FEMA berms can be expected to survive storm events approaching a +7ft total storm surge (a “20-yr event”)11. For more severe events, the FEMA berm is predicted to be lost entirely and profile deflation and inundation of the upland will commence. Without reconstruction of the berms, the vulnerability of the upland to subsequent storm impact increases dramatically. In the event of a storm that ultimately destroys the FEMA berm, an Emergency Declaration may or may not be issued for Escambia County. Emergency Declarations are tied to the level of damage sustained County-wide, and if the damage is limited primarily 11 It is noted that a typical FEMA emergency berm is designed to provide immediate protection from a “5yr storm event” through the placement of a six cy/ft berm feature. In this instance, a larger volume of sand was authorized for placement by FEMA after Hurricane Ivan due to the lack of a suitable area of sufficient elevation upon which to construct the emergency berm. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 46 - olsen associates, inc. to the sandy beaches, a Declaration may not be issued. The Declaration is necessary in order to qualify for Federal post-disaster assistance in the repair/reconstruction of the FEMA berms. Failing that, the County would be faced with the financial decision to rebuild the berm (see Section 4.3 below) or accept the degraded level of storm protection from future events. Due to the present level of storm vulnerability along the majority of the study area, the No Action alternative does not meet the stated objectives for beach restoration at Perdido Key in that it does not increase the storm-protection function of the beach to the levels specified. 4.2 Shoreline Armoring This alternative entails the construction of rock revetments or seawalls (sheetpile, rubblemound, etc.) along sections of shorefront where buildings become imminently endangered by erosion. This alternative is presently only permissible under State guidelines on an individual and temporary limited basis. Locally, Escambia County prohibits the installation of such structures seaward of the 1975 Coastal Setback Line and strongly discourages their installation landward thereof (and again, only in a condition of the imminent loss of the building in question). Such an alternative is clearly not warranted in the present situation, where no structures are presently in imminent danger from day-to-day sea conditions, nor is it desirable or practical on a project-wide basis. Properly designed sheetpile walls for open-coast installations can cost over $1,500 per foot of shoreline. Economics aside, this alternative can satisfy the storm-protection aspect of the project objectives for the developed areas. In some instances, however, perhaps along the eastern limit of the study area where the beaches are the narrowest, construction of such armoring may actually degrade the recreational beach via additional narrowing of the local sandy shoreline (assuming the structure is placed on the active beach such that it is frequently in contact with the surf). Shoreline armoring also does not typically satisfy the stated constraints in terms environmental impacts, aesthetics, and potential alterations to sediment transport processes. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 47 - olsen associates, inc. 4.3 Dune Construction Dune restoration is the first of several “soft” engineering alternatives considered herein. By ‘soft’ it is meant that the solution is predominantly non-structural and is typically more in keeping with the existing conditions of the Perdido Key shoreline, which has no coastal structures along the open coast between Pensacola Pass and Perdido Pass. In the present context, dune restoration would entail the construction of a second dune feature seaward of the existing FEMA berm. Such a scenario would seek to maintain the integrity of the FEMA berm over the course of minor storm impacts by adding volume and elevation to the upper beach immediately seaward of the berm, leaving the berm in place in the event of a severe storm. Such a scenario would involve the placement of approximately 10 cubic yards of sand per foot of shoreline along the 4.4-mile developed portion of the study area. This would require approximately 240,000 cubic yards of sand. Such a volume is typically most efficiently delivered to the beach by truck from upland borrow pits, located off-island. Delivering 240,000 cy of sand requires roughly 16,000 individual truck trips over the local roads and bridges. Recent experience with the delivery of sand to the beach in such fashion indicates that the in-place cost of upland truck-haul sand can exceed $20.00/cy. Storm recession modeling of this alternative does indicate an enhanced level of storm protection provided by the additional dune feature. Construction of the dune feature and its expected dune enhancement may reduce the width of the recreational beach by 60 to 70 feet, which may be problematic along the narrower eastern segments of the study area (assuming it is intended to prevent foot traffic and recreational activity on the new dune feature). Dune restoration is permittable by all regulatory agencies, and provides low level enhancement to environmental resources (particularly sea turtles, Appendix F). From an aesthetic and sediment processes standpoint, dune restoration is deemed beneficial. Given the present condition of the shoreline, dune construction alone may only be a viable option for the extreme western end of the study area, within ½- to 1-mile from the State Line. For most of the proposed project length, storm recession modeling suggests that while the dune feature increases the level of storm protection somewhat, it will be damaged by storm events with surges of less than +7ft, indicating that a frequent maintenance interval may be required. Along the eastern portion, dune construction by itself is no longer considered to be a viable shore protection alternative. Along the Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 48 - olsen associates, inc. Perdido Key State Park shoreline segment, Park Service personnel have requested that no dune feature be constructed. The addition of 10 cubic yards of sand per foot of shoreline, placed lower along the sandy beach, is expected to have only a minimal level of improvement in storm protection characteristics over existing conditions. Given the relatively high cost of truck haul sand, such a scenario is deemed infeasible for the Park shoreline. Given these caveats, the construction of a dune restoration or dune enhancement feature, combined with other shore-protection measures only, is considered for additional review. 4.4 Comprehensive Beach Nourishment This alternative entails the engineered placement of a large quantity of beach compatible material along the shoreline for purposes of elevating the dry beach and advancing the shoreline Gulfward (i.e., widening the beach), and replenishing the volume of sand lost over some period of time. Over the project’s effective life, this alternative satisfies the goals of increasing the storm-protection function of the beach as well as significantly improving the recreational carrying capacity of the beach. Beach nourishment is a widely recognized means of beach restoration and is generally acceptable to all regulatory agencies. This alternative meets all of the previously identified constraints. Comprehensive beach nourishment can include a dune restoration/enhancement feature to further improve storm-protection benefits. Accordingly, the beach nourishment alternative, in several forms, is considered feasible and is reviewed further in subsequent sections of this report12. In comparison with the dune construction alternative described in the previous section, comprehensive beach nourishment is typically constructed via dredging with direct beach fill placement. As a result, the minimum economically feasible placement volumes are much greater than those associated with truck haul projects. Beach nourishment projects constructed via small hopper dredges typically require a minimum fill volume density of 30 to 35 cubic yards of sand per foot of shoreline, compared to the 10 cy/ft truck haul presented above. Cutterhead-suction/pipeline dredges operate at much higher production levels and typically require minimum fill densities of 60 cubic yards per foot or more. 12 Mobile District COE (1993) prepared a reconnaissance report for a beach erosion control and storm damage reduction project, and found, prior to Hurricane Opal, that a beach/dune restoration project was feasible and justifiable in the Federal interest. Financial considerations on the part of the County precluded the further development of the project at that time, which would have been the formulation of a formal feasibility study (at that time, the study was estimated cost $1.25M and take 36 months to complete). Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 49 - olsen associates, inc. These constraints play an important role in the selection of any beach restoration alternative that includes the placement of significant volumes of sand. 4.5 Structural Stabilization of the Shoreline This alternative entails the construction of various coastal structures, such as groins or breakwaters. Such structures are intended to modify littoral transport processes to retain sand in their immediate vicinity, either by blocking the alongshore transport of sand (groins) or by reducing the wave energy reaching the shoreline, which typically results in the deposition of sand normally transported by the larger wave climate (breakwaters). Both types of structures can be built in a wide array of configurations, including both submerged and emergent designs. The storm protection benefit created by the structures is principally the result of the accreted sand trapped by the structures, not by the structures themselves. Typically, and ideally, the length of shoreline protected by the accreted sand is much longer than the shoreline directed protected by the structures. Coastal structures that are intended to create and hold additional beach area along the open coast are generally appropriate only in highly erosional areas typified by large gradients in alongshore transport. These conditions frequently occur near the ends of littoral cells (near inlets, rocky headlands, etc.). Such an example would be the eastern end of Perdido Key, adjacent to Pensacola Pass. Along the present study area, however, background shoreline changes are generally mild, thus precluding the need for hard structures. Additionally, any structural field intended to restore, elevate, or increase the area of the recreational beach would require the concurrent placement of a volume of sand equivalent to or exceeding the expected impoundment volume of the structural field. Such a requirement is dictated by prudent design practice and is expected as part of any State permit issued by the FDEP. In effect, the structures would be constructed in conjunction with, and at great additional expense to, the construction of some level of beach nourishment project that would initially fill the field. Along the study area, it is highly unlikely that regulatory agencies would permit the construction of hard, permanent structures in lieu of or as an adjunct to beach nourishment. Accordingly, given the overall coastal processes for the project area, structures as a means of beach stabilization are not considered appropriate at this time. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 50 - olsen associates, inc. 5.0 ASSESSMENT OF BEACH NOURISHMENT & DUNE RESTORATION ALTERNATIVES Review of the available options for beach restoration, the background shoreline change trends, and the predicted levels of storm vulnerability for the study area indicate that the stated objectives for beach restoration can be achieved via some level of beach nourishment and dune reconstruction. Storm-recession modeling indicates that the reconstruction of the upper elevations of the beach through the placement of beach compatible sand can significantly improve the storm protection function of the buffering beach. Sand placement can provide protection for storm events exceeding the 30-yr event and can minimize the level of damage incurred by storms as severe as the 100-yr event – with the appropriate caveats and expectations (see Chapter 4). Structural alternatives, such as seawalls, revetments, groins, breakwaters, or other hard structures, are generally unwarranted, due to the favorable background shoreline change conditions, the relative expense of the structures, and their unwanted presence along this otherwise contiguous sandy coastline. Simulations of various sand placement alternatives were conducted using the EDUNE model for various segments of the study area to determine the volume of sand required to achieve relatively uniform storm protection levels alongshore (Appendix D). The range of alternatives considered consists of: ¾ ¾ ¾ ¾ Dune construction, 10 cy/ft Dune and beach fill construction, 30 cy/ft Dune and beach fill construction, 60 cy/ft Dune and beach fill construction, 100 cy/ft In each case, except the stand-alone dune construction, model simulations were performed on equilibrated beach fill construction templates. Figure 5.1 depicts a typical 60 cy/ft beach fill configuration simulated via EDUNE. The equilibrated profile prediction indicates a relatively minor retreat of the construction template to the equilibrated condition, due principally to the broad shallow submerged terrace feature typical of many profiles along the study area (see Appendix A). Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 51 - olsen associates, inc. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 52 - olsen associates, inc. -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 450 500 100 FEMA Berm +12ft varies 550 600 existing typical profile 30 40 ft seaward edge of construction (typ.) 1 beach fill 800 75 ft +5ft predicted initial equilibrated beach fill profile 40 650 700 750 Offshore Distance (arbitrary baseline, ft) +9ft 160 ft 325 ft (typ.) 15 850 1 900 950 distorted scale: 1V:6H MHW beach fill construction template Typical Construction Template 60 cy/ft Project Figure 5.1 Typical beach fill construction template for Perdido Key, FL. Template assumes the placement of 60 cubic yards of beach fill per foot project shoreline. A prediction of the initial equilibrated beach profile is included. Using the equilibrated profile as pre-storm input to the storm recession model EDUNE, the predicted post-storm configuration for a 30-yr and 100-yr event are plotted. Elevation (ft, NAVD88) The beach fill template is designed to generally replicate or slightly exceed the pre-Ivan beach profile condition by reconstructing a wider dune field, gently sloping the dry recreational beach berm down from the dune toe to a seaward berm elevation of approximately +5ft NAVD88, and further sloping the seaward face of the construction template to its intersection with the existing seabed. The sloping beach berm and seaward face are intended to create a more natural and “turtle-friendly” beach profile from the initial construction template. It is expected that the dune feature constructed as part of the beach restoration project would tie into the FEMA berm at the seaward edge of any vegetation line existing at the time of construction (potentially creating a natural swale between the two features, much like what existed there previously). Further, with the installation of salt-tolerant vegetation over the new dune feature, the recovery of the vegetated areas that existed prior to Hurricane Ivan can be greatly accelerated (see Chapter 3 for photo examples). Adjustments in template beach width and volume are typically instituted in the area between the seaward toe of the dune and the beginning of the seaward slope of the dry beach berm. 5.1 Minimum Volume Requirements The range of dune/beach fill templates simulated in the EDUNE model were assessed to determine the approximate range of beach fill volume densities required to meet the stated project objectives along the length of the study area. This approach generates the “minimum volume project.” Figure 5.2 depicts a plan view of the alongshore distribution of fill volume density associated with the minimum project. The distribution shown in Figure 5.2 has been smoothed somewhat to remove some of the noise associated with profile-to-profile variations in the EDUNE results and the position of the setback line itself13. Based on these assumptions, the minimum fill volume project requires the placement of approximately 1.5 million cubic yards of sand. As demonstrated throughout this report, the volumetric requirements generally decrease in an east-to-west direction across the study area. Correspondingly, the eastern limits of the study area, generally through Gulf Beach, require more than twice the volume of sand necessary along the western segment of the study area. 13 In addition, a 15% tolerance is ascribed to the fill volume densities to attempt to account for profile-toprofile and between-profile variations in shoreline conditions. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 53 - olsen associates, inc. R024 R022 R023 R021 R020 R019 R017 R014 R015 R013 R011 R012 R009 R010 R007 R008 R006 Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration 30,000 R032 R005 R004 R003 R002 R001 - 54 - Beachfill Volume Density (cy/ft) 35,000 GUIS Perdido Key Unit Figure 5.2 Suggested beachfill planform for minimum volume beach nourishment project at Perdido Key, FL. Dashed lines represent a ±15% variation in alongshore placement density to account for profile-to-profile and between profile variations. 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 Alongshore Distance from FL/AL State Line (ft) R016 5,000 R018 0 R026 olsen associates, inc. R025 100 R027 80 R029 60 R031 Beach Fill: 1,500,000 cubic yards (minimum fill volume) R030 40 R028 Escambia County (developed) R033 Perdido Key State Park Big Lagoon R034 Escambia County (developed) PKSP Old River R035 20 0 ALABAMA FLORIDA PERDIDO KEY R036 olsen associates, inc. Near the boundary with the Perdido Key Unit of the GUIS, the placement of a minimum of approximately 70 cy/ft of sand is required to meet the project objectives. Placement of that volume is anticipated to result in a modest 70 to 80 ft seaward advance of the shoreline after equilibration. To provide for the placement of this volume up to the boundary of the developed portion (at the former Vista Del Mar location), it will be necessary to taper the beach fill down to existing conditions along the adjacent National Seashore property. The taper precludes the creation of adverse end effects on Park property and to minimize volumetric end losses of the otherwise blunt terminus of the fill. Preliminary discussions with GUIS personnel indicate that such a taper onto the Park property is acceptable along the first 2,500 ft of the Park shoreline, sufficient to reach the eastern edge of the Johnson Beach Park area (to R-34). Proceeding westward to the public access at R-22 at the intersection of River Road and Perdido Key Dr., minimum volume requirements along Gulf Beach approach 60 cy/ft. Along the Perdido Key State Park segment, volume requirements gradually decrease from 60 cy/ft to approximately 35 cy/ft as the beaches get wider, consistent with the longterm trends discussed in Chapter 3. Along this 1.6-mile segment of the study area, no dune feature shall be constructed. The State Park is presently installing an array of salttolerant native species of plants across broad portions of the beach in the Ivan/Katrina overwash zone and in several cross-shore blowout areas throughout the length of the Park. While the lack of the higher-elevation dune feature raises the vulnerability level of the upland Park areas to storm surge inundation and overwash, it is noted that the objectives of the Park service differ somewhat from the project objectives along the developed portions of the study area. Park personnel seek to balance the directive to maintain and preserve the Park in as natural a state as is presently possible while seeking to protect the upland habitat (and the minimal level of infrastructure in the Park) from future damage. Along the western 2.4 miles of the study area, minimum fill volume requirements necessary to meet the project objectives decrease from approximately 35 cy/ft at the Park boundary to the FL/AL State Line. This fill volume is expected to raise the upper elevations of the dry recreational beach by two to four feet (typical), but will only result in a seaward advance of the shoreline of 40 to 50 feet, at most, upon equilibration. Along the westernmost 2,500ft, recent diffusion of sand from the Orange Beach, AL, beach fill project in 2005 has created a very wide beach fill condition, wherealong minimum fill requirements may only be 10 cy/ft (approx.). Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 55 - olsen associates, inc. 5.2 Beachfill Planform Alternatives The minimum fill volume project described in the previous section addresses the basic requirements to meet the project objectives. Adjustments and increases to the minimum plan should be considered to account for constructability and advance nourishment considerations. These issues are tied principally to the source of sand ultimately selected to construct the project. As of this writing, the County has several options for the sand source (Chapter 6). These options involve the use of different construction techniques, each of which has different minimum fill volume requirements (and unit costs). The planform depicted in Figure 5.2 generally represents the minimum volume project that could be economically constructed via hopper dredge. A fill volume density of approximately 30 cy/ft is considered to be the minimum cost-effective placement volume for a hopper dredge. Below that value, the losses and inefficiencies of the hydraulic placement of the fill begin to exceed a manageable level and the per-unit cost of sand placement rises. Similarly, for a typical ocean-going hydraulic cutterhead/pipeline dredge, minimum cost-effective fill volume densities are approximately 60 cy/ft, due to the higher production levels of the dredges. Increasing the typical project volume fill density to approximately 60 cy/ft along the entire project length raises the total project placement volume from 1.5 to 2.0 million cubic yards of sand. Such an option would significantly raise the level of protection afforded the western four miles of the study area, including Perdido Key State Park. The added sand would act as advance nourishment to this segment, further protecting the newly constructed frontal dune, the FEMA berm, and the recent dune enhancements from higher frequency storm events. Assuming the additional volume is manifest as an increase in beach width following the template of Figure 5.1, an addition of 10 cy/ft results in a seaward advance of approximately 10 ft14. 14 This result is in near-perfect agreement with the traditional rule-of-thumb calculation that one cubic yard of fill results in 1 foot of seaward advance. In the present instance, this agreement results from the choice of the design berm elevation of +9ft and the typical depths of equilibrated fill placement of 16 to 20 ft deep (9ft plus 18ft (average) = 27ft). Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 56 - olsen associates, inc. 5.3 Previous Beach Nourishment Projects in the Region Several full-scale beach nourishment or beach disposal projects have been constructed in the Escambia County, FL / Baldwin County, AL region in the last 15 years. These projects serve as full-scale prototypes to demonstrate the expected behavior of any beach nourishment project along the Perdido Key, FL, study area. These projects have experienced both “typical” weather conditions and the severe impacts of numerous hurricanes during their project lives. 5.3.1 Perdido Key, FL, 1989-1991 Beach Disposal Project -- This project was constructed as part of the deepening of the entrance channel at Pensacola Pass in Escambia County, FL. Over 11 million cubic yards of material were dredged from the channel to deepen it from -38 ft to -48 ft MLLW. Of that volume, 5.4 million cubic yards (Mcy) were directly placed along the eastern 4.5 miles of Perdido Key, immediately west of Pensacola Pass (R-40 to R-64). An additional 3.9 Mcy of sand were placed in a nearshore berm along the center 2.5 miles of the project in roughly 20 ft water depth (Browder and Dean, 2000). The fill volume density of the Perdido Key project, roughly 225 cy/ft, well exceeds that of the proposed project and stands as one of the largest projects constructed in Florida (in terms of section fill density). During its life, the disposal project has been impacted by Hurricanes Opal, Georges, Ivan, Dennis, and Katrina, as well as numerous other tropical events Over the nearly 15-yr monitoring period since construction, approximately 4.4 million cubic yards of sand have eroded from the project limits. As of July 2005, approximately 17% of the volume of sand placed in 1989-1991 remains within the original project limits. As described in Browder and Dean (2000), however, the eastern half of the project has experienced much higher losses compared to the western half, due to the strong transport reversal and sink effect of the channel (Chapter 3.0). As of the July 2005 survey, the eastern half of the project retained none of the sand volume placed in 19891991, and had lost an additional 125,000 cubic yards. Conversely, the western half of the disposal project retained over 42% of the volume placed there along15. While the beaches and the upland area along the eastern 4.5 miles of Perdido Key have sustained substantial damage from the series of severe storms, the beach disposal project has no doubt succeeded in maintaining the basic geomorphic integrity of the island compared to other areas in the region, such as the western end of Santa Rosa Island and the western end of Dauphin Island, AL. 15 The volumetric values discussed herein do not include overwash sand volumes north of the project limits. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 57 - olsen associates, inc. 5.3.2 Gulf Shores, AL, 2001 Beach Restoration Project -- In early 2001, approximately 1.63 million cy of sand were placed along the eastern 3.1-mi commercial segment of the Gulf Shores, AL, Gulf of Mexico shoreline. The $4.3M project, funded entirely by the City of Gulf Shores, utilized a hydraulic cutterhead/pipeline dredge to place the sand at an average volume density of almost 100 cy/ft. The project borrow site was located more than a mile offshore of the eastern project limit in 28 to 30 ft water depths. Project construction resulted in an average advance of the shoreline of over 160 ft. After three years of monitoring (May 2004, pre-Ivan), 70% of the volume of sand placed above MSL was retained above that elevation and 100% of the placed volume remained within the surveyed alongshore limits of the project. Prior to Ivan, the project shoreline was, on average, 105 ft wider than pre-project conditions (Olsen Assoc., 2004). The impact of Hurricane Ivan in September 2004 resulted in the loss of approximately 30 cy/ft of sand from the project limits above -12ft NAVD88. It is estimated that approximately 60% of the lost sand was transported seaward beyond the crest of the primary bar. MHW shoreline recession averaged 53 ft, while upper elevations of the beach receded by as much as 165 ft (Douglass and Browder, 2005). Subsequent recovery efforts included the retrieval of a substantial percentage of the overwash sand from the streets and upland properties and the eventual renourishment of the project as part of a more recent, larger beach restoration project in the area (described below). The renourishment project was funded principally by FEMA Category G public assistance funds, made available due to the locally funded construction of the original 2001 project. 5.3.3 Pensacola Beach, FL, 2003 Beach Restoration Project -- The 8.1-mile Gulf of Mexico shoreline was nourished in 2002-2003 via the placement of 4.25 million cubic yards of sand. The borrow site for the project was located 3.5 to 4.0 miles directly offshore of the site in 65 ft water depths. The $15.3M project, funded by the Santa Rosa Island Authority, Escambia County, FL, and the FDEP BBCS, utilized a hopper dredge to place the sand at an average volume density of almost 100 cy/ft. Project construction resulted in an average advance of the shoreline of 190 ft. Over the first year of the project (May 2004), monitoring surveys describe the equilibration of the project, indicating an average shoreline retreat of 52 ft and the erosion of 21% of the sand volume placed above MSL. However, 100% of the placed sand was found by survey within the full project limits (Browder, 2004). The impact of Hurricane Ivan in September 2004 resulted in the displacement of approximately 70 cy/ft of sand from the project limits above -14ft NAVD88. It is Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 58 - olsen associates, inc. estimated that over 1.5 million cubic yards of sand were transported seaward beyond the crest of the primary bar. MHW shoreline recession averaged 52 ft, while upper elevations of the beach receded by as much as 200 ft (Browder and Norton, 2005). Part of the increased volume change and beach recession is attributed to the lack of complete equilibration of the beach fill project at the time of storm impact. The Santa Rosa Island Authority reported that 440 structures island-wide were destroyed during Ivan. All 440 structures were built prior to the establishment of the Flood Insurance Rate Maps (FIRMs) in 1974. Only five post-FIRM structures were substantially damaged, all of which were constructed prior to the 1987-1996 upgrades of local building codes. Following Ivan, almost one million cubic yards of sand were retrieved from upland areas, sifted to remove debris, and returned to the sandy beaches within the project limits. The remaining losses were replaced via a renourishment of the project in 2005-06. Similar to the Gulf Shores project, the locally-constructed Pensacola Beach project qualified for FEMA post-disaster public assistance under Category G guidelines. The renourishment project was thus funded principally by FEMA public assistance dollars. During the course of construction of that project, additional beach damage was incurred due to Hurricanes Dennis and Katrina. Repair of the losses from those FEMA-declared disasters was likewise principally funded via FEMA under Category G guidelines. 5.3.4 Orange Beach/Gulf State Park/Gulf Shores 2005 Beach Restoration Project -This large scale, three-party regional project was constructed in 2005-06 along 15.3 miles of beaches in Baldwin County, AL. The original beach restoration project, planned before Hurricane Ivan and built with local funds, included only 11 miles of the beach and 4.5 million cubic yards of sand, excavated from three separate borrow areas along the project length. Following Ivan’s landfall, the decision was made to include the FEMAreimbursable beach segment along the 2001 Gulf Shores project and to expand segments in Orange Beach, AL. The original $21.5M project was constructed principally by cutterhead/pipeline dredge and resulted in the placement of over 6.0 million cubic yards of sand in several different segments in each community. The easternmost segment, described in Chapter 3.0, lies along the 1.3-mile segment of Perdido Key immediately west of the FL/AL State Line. During construction, the project was impacted by Tropical Storm Arlene, and Hurricanes Cindy, Dennis, Katrina, Rita, and Wilma. Damage incurred from Hurricanes Dennis and Katrina resulted in the re-pumping of numerous segments of the project, now eligible for FEMA post-disaster assistance under Category G guidelines. Ultimately, the gross volume of sand pumped reached nearly 8.0 million cubic yards of sand. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 59 - olsen associates, inc. 5.4 Beachfill Project Expectations – Perdido Key, FL The coastal engineering analyses provided in this report, particularly those results describing the long-term shoreline changes and the predictions of storm recession, indicate that the construction of a beach nourishment project along the study area can be expected to perform quite well and to provide a significant increase in the level of storm protection afforded to upland infrastructure and environmental habitat. Long-term shoreline changes suggest that the study area experiences very little erosional stress outside of those times when major storm events occur (Chapter 3.0). Therefore, predictions of the performance of any beach fill configuration are principally dependent on the storm climate it experiences over its lifetime. Predictions of the expected storm performance of various configurations of the beach fill are discussed elsewhere in this report. Outside of storm events, other processes affecting beach fill longevity include the longterm background erosion and the alongshore diffusion of sand from the beach fill. Diffusion, or alongshore spreading of sand from the project to the adjacent beaches, begins at the ends of the fill, where the shoreline perturbation of the project must transition back into the adjacent shoreline. The alteration of shoreline orientation caused by the perturbation produces an increase in longshore transport, leading to erosion of the fill at the ends. Figure 5.3 depicts a schematic of the diffusion process, indicating the sand that will accumulate along the beaches to either side of the initially constructed fill. This process can be modeled analytically or numerically to estimate the long-term fate of the beach fill material, in the absence of significant storm events16. Appendix B contains a description of the development of such a model for this project and the assumptions and variables used in the predictions. The primary piece of information sought from this analysis is the overall volumetric percentage of sand remaining within the original construction limits over time. It is not the goal of the model to specifically address the irregular behavior of the fill at every location along the project length, but the prediction does describe the time rate of loss of sand from the project limits to within 10 to 15% using reasonable values for input. 16 In the present discussion, a significant storm event is one that results in the more-or-less permanent removal of a significant quantity of sand from the active beach system. This can be through overwash of sand or the transport of sand into deep water beyond the assumed depth of closure of the model Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 60 - olsen associates, inc. pre-project shoreline cross-shore distance land beach fill initial construction berm beach fill diffusion over time Gulf beach fill diffusion w/ background erosion alongshore distance Figure 5.3 Schematic planview of beach fill diffusion, with and without simple background erosion. Figure 5.4 plots the predicted time history of the percentage of beachfill sand remaining within the hypothetical project limits for varying lengths of fill along the Perdido Key shoreline. For simplicity, a uniform beach fill volume density of 60 cy/ft was used for all predictions. Different beach fill lengths are depicted, up to the full six-mile study area length, to demonstrate the strong influence of project length on fill longevity. It can be shown that the success of a project varies directly with the square of the project length. By increasing the length of the fill, the losses are minimized (as a percentage of the overall fill volume; the absolute losses at the ends changes very little). Such a model can also easily accommodate a background erosion rate (assuming the background erosion rate is attributed to something other than wave-generated alongshore diffusion). As shown in Figure 5.4, two different rates were modeled, a no-background erosion case and a minor -1 cy/ft/yr case. Results of the diffusion modeling suggest that in the absence of storm events that remove substantial quantities of sand from the alongshore littoral system, a 6-mile beach fill project along the Perdido Key shoreline can be expected to retain approximately 80% or more of the originally placed volume after five years. In comparison a shorter 3-mile fill would be expected to retain only 60% of its original volume after five years, while a 1- Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 61 - olsen associates, inc. mile project would only retain 25%. Given that the background rates along the study area suggest stability or minor accretion in some areas, these predictions may be pessimistic for some beach segments. Assuming a full six-mile project is constructed, the modeling suggests that the vast majority of the beach fill will be in place for many years, ready to withstand the first major storm impact to the project during that time. The specific response of the beach then depends on the timing of the impact of a major event (or events) during the life of the project. In the event a major storm impacts the project over the course of its useful life, the post-storm project will continue to provide storm protection without maintenance, albeit in a diminished capacity. For this reason, the future renourishment of a constructed beach restoration project would more likely be triggered by the impact of a specific severe storm event, rather than the year-to-year degradation of the fill. For purposes of funding source planning, a renourishment interval of roughly eight to ten years should be considered. 100 90 Percent of Construction Volume Remaining Within Project Limits (%) L = 6 miles (no bkg 80 L=6 70 L=3 L= 60 d.) miles (-1 cy /ft/yr) miles (no bkgd.) 3m iles (-1 cy/f t/yr) 50 40 L=1m ile (no 30 L= 20 1m ile (1 bkgd.) cy/ft /yr) 10 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Project Life (years) 7 8 9 10 Figure 5.4 Projections of beach fill gross volumetric performance as a function of project segment length, L, and prevailing background erosion rate (in parentheses), assuming the lack of impacts from major storm events. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 62 - olsen associates, inc. 6.0 REVIEW OF POTENTIAL SAND SOURCES The recommended alternative for beach restoration at Perdido Key, FL, calls for the placement of a minimum of 1.5 to 2.0 million cubic yards of beach compatible sand along the 6.0-mile beach segment. This chapter discusses the potential sources of sand to meet this requirement and the delivery systems and construction methods generally associated with each. Figure 6.1 indicates the location of various potential sand sources discussed in this Chapter. The various sources of sand are considered in the context of the immediate volume of sand needed (1.5 to 2.0 million cubic yards), as well as: ¾ ¾ ¾ ¾ ¾ sediment quality of a prospective source, the total volume of sand available from each source, future maintenance requirements for Perdido Key (emergency berms, etc.), proximity of the source to project area, logistics of acquiring and delivering sand to project area. To provide a sense of scale for the placement of 2.0 million cubic yards of sand, a typical dump truck carries 15 cubic yards per load. At that rate, construction of the project via upland truck haul sand sources would require over 133,000 trips by dump truck. Assuming for simplicity a minimum effective sand placement rate of 15,000 cubic yards per day, 1,000 dump truck loads per day would be required over a four to five month period. Such a project, assuming a sufficient upland source were available, is clearly not feasible from a traffic, logistics, and road/bridge-impacts standpoint. Additionally, truck haul sand is estimated to cost four to five times as much as sand delivered from other potential sources, due to the high demand for fill sand in the region after Hurricanes Ivan, Dennis, and Katrina. For these reasons, building even the minimum-volume restoration project via truck-haul from upland sand sources is eliminated from consideration herein. In the future, small maintenance requirements for the project could be constructed via truck-haul, depending on the actual scope of the work (such as for the construction of post-storm berms, etc.). Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 63 - olsen associates, inc. 490,000 Perdido Key MS Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration 480,000 470,000 - 64 - Northing (ft, NAD83) Figure 6.1 460,000 * Bear Pt. FL SC 1,030,000 1,050,000 N lands 1,060,000 Gulf Is 1,070,000 0 1,080,000 1.0 2.0 mi (st) Pensacola Pass GRAPHIC SCALE Pensacola Pass Federal Channel hore l Seas ationa Santa Rosa Island Pensacola Bay Pensacola Big Lagoon Admiral's Island ESCAMBIA COUNTY, FL Easting (ft, NAD83) 1,040,000 Gulf of Mexico Offshore Borrow Site (Olsen Assoc. 2006) a dy Are Perdido Key GIWW Prospective sand sources in the vicinity of Perdido Key, FL. Per e y St u di do K PKSP Perdido Bay Innerarity Pt. Ono Island 1,020,000 Bayou St John GA 1,010,000 olsen associates, inc. Perdido Pass Terry Cove Orange Beach TX LA AL ALABAMA FLORIDA 500,000 olsen associates, inc. 6.1 Nearshore Gulf of Mexico Sand Sources Olsen Associates (2006a) conducted a nearshore sand search in conjunction with this study to assess the availability of beach-quality sand in nearby State Waters. The objective of the search was to identify a sufficient quantity of beach-compatible sand in the vicinity of the project area to cost-effectively construct a large-scale beach nourishment project. In May 2005, 57 20-ft sand Vibracores were collected by Alpine Ocean Seismic Survey (AOSS), Inc., of Norwood, NJ, under the on-board direction of Olsen Associates, Inc. Figure 6.2 plots the locations of each Vibracore. Based upon the native beach sand characteristics, a primary borrow site has been preliminarily identified for potential use in a beach nourishment project to restore the project shoreline. This roughly 300-acre area, located over 1.1 miles offshore between R6 and R-12, is estimated to contain as much as 6.0 million cubic yards of beachcompatible material. A secondary site, which may contain up to 2.0 million cubic yards of sand, has also been identified (Figure 6.2). Vibracore logs, photographs, and grainsize-distribution data are provided for all Vibracores in the companion geotechnical report to this study (Olsen Associates, 2006a). The location of the primary potential borrow site relative to the project area is such that the project could be constructed via hydraulic cutterhead/pipeline dredge. Maximum pipeline lengths would reach approximately 30,000 ft at the extreme eastern limit of the project, potentially requiring a booster pump, but a manageable length nonetheless. This method of construction would provide one of the most efficient, and hence, cost-effective means of placing large volumes of sand on the shoreline. Daily production for these types of dredges can average over 40,000 cy/day, and can reach as high as 70,000 cy/day on short pipeline lengths under ideal conditions. Olsen Associates (2006a) identifies several tasks required to ultimately utilize this site, including cultural and environmental resources investigations, a final borrow site design and wave field/shoreline impact analysis, and the acquisition of a Submerged Lands Easement from the State of Florida. All of the tasks listed are part of the “typical” permitting process for a beach nourishment project in Florida, and no particularly unusual permitting problems are anticipated with the use of the preliminary site identified. Of the potential sources of sand identified in Figure 6.1, the primary nearshore source depicted in Figure 6.2 is opined to be the most cost-effective means of delivering large volumes of sand to the Perdido Key shoreline for purposes of beach restoration. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 65 - olsen associates, inc. 480,000 Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 66 - 470,000 BC-34 BC-35 BC-36 BC-2 BC-1 BC-32 BC-31 BC-33 R-1 BC-3 460,000 olsen associates, inc. Northing (ft, NAD83) PK-18 PK-13 PK-09 PK-15 PK-57 PK-52 SECONDARY SITE PK-12 R-31 PK-54PK-14 PK-17 PK-55 PK-10 PK-08 PK-56 PK-53 PK-16 R-28 1,040,000 0 0.5 PEN-91-1 R-37 1,050,000 1.0 miles (st) R-34 Big Lagoon GRAPHIC SCALE PRELIMINARY OFFSHORE BORROW SITE PK-11 R-22 Easting (ft, NAD83) 1,030,000 R-19 R-25 Gulf of Mexico R-16 Old River Perdido Key Figure 6.2 Location of Vibracores collected off Perdido Key, FL (May 2005). From Olsen Associates (2006) 1,020,000 Other Researchers (dates vary) 2002 Baldwin County, AL (OAI) 2005 Perdido Key, FL (OAI) PK-24 PK-07 PK-30 R-13 PK-28 PK-51 PK-34 PK-35 PK-23 PK-01 PK-05 PK-03 PK-50 PK-32 PK-47 PK-38 PK-33 PK-19 PK-22 PK-48 PK-06 PK-25 PK-36 PK-20 PK-26 PK-39 PK-42 PK-02 PK-04 PK-27PK-21 PK-37 PK-44 PK-41 PK-40 PK-49 PK-43 PK-46 PK-45 PK-29 PK-31 R-7 R-10 Ono Island Vibracore Data Sources PEN-92-7 1,010,000 BC-7 BC-154 BC-154j BC-42 BC-149 BC-4 A90 A93 R-4 Bear Point Bayou St John Caswell ALABAMA FLORIDA 490,000 6.2 Pensacola Pass Federal Navigation Channel Concurrent with this study, the U.S. Navy is developing plans to dredge the Federal navigation channel back to its 1990-1991 configuration, which consists of an ocean channel width of 800-ft and a depth of -48ft MLLW17 (including over-dredge and advance-maintenance dredging volumes). Permit applications submitted to the State of Florida indicate that, as of this writing, as much as 8.0 million cubic yards of sand may be available for placement along the adjacent beaches or in nearshore disposal areas. Figure 6.3 depicts the July 2005 condition of the channel and identifies the location of 84 Vibracores collected by the Mobile District, USACE, as part of the project design. A project of this magnitude mirrors the 1989-1991 Homeporting project at Pensacola Pass, which included the removal of over 11 million cubic yards of material to achieve the Navy’s design width and depth. A brief description of that project and its performance over time can be found in Chapter 5 and in Browder and Dean (2000). As of the time of this writing, a final disposal plan is still under development. Parties involved in the decision-making process including the U.S. Navy, the Mobile and Jacksonville USACE Districts, the National Park Service, the State of Florida, and Escambia County. Once a specific disposal plan is formulated, the bulk of the permitting process at the Federal level can commence. It is opined that sand dredged from Pensacola Pass is potentially a very suitable source of beach nourishment sand for the project area at Perdido Key. Construction of any beach fill project along the Perdido Key study area using this sand source would necessitate the use of a hopper dredge, which is expected to extend the duration of the work and increase the unit cost of sand. Issues regarding the timing of the channel dredging and the costsharing and permitting responsibilities remain to be resolved. A more detailed investigation of the geotechnical data from the Pass Vibracores is underway as part of a companion task to this study. Depending on the final cost-sharing arrangement, the costeffectiveness for the County and State Park to build the recommended alternative using this sand source may prove to be the most feasible option. An additional element of the U.S. Navy proposal consists of the maintenance dredging of the channel every two years (approx.). The maintenance is expected to generate approximately 550,000 cy. Participation by the County in the maintenance program may 17 These dimensions exceed the Federally-authorized channel dimensions of 500-ft width and -38 ft MLW depth. The additional width and depth are maintained at the request of the U.S. Navy. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 67 - olsen associates, inc. provide a suitable source of beach-quality sand for future needs, such as addressing hotspot erosion areas or for the construction of dune restoration projects or post-storm emergency sand berms. While permitting issues associated with the dredging of the Pensacola Pass channel would not be the specific responsibility of Escambia County, the timing associated with the permitting may ultimately effect the County’s decision regarding beach restoration activities. These issues principally relate to the protection of endangered species, specifically sea turtles in the channel and nesting on the beaches in the disposal areas and gulf sturgeon, including their critical habitat in the channel and along the adjacent shorelines. None of these issues are believed to be especially problematic for the completion of dredging, but they may result in constructability issues, such as construction-time windows and increased monitoring requirements. In particular, any use of a hopper dredge in the channel would require the implementation of the standard turtle/sturgeon protection requirements (draghead deflectors, relocation trawling for sea turtles and gulf sturgeon). At this time it is opined that sea turtle nesting densities in the project area are low enough that permission can be obtained to place sand on the beach during turtle nesting season, with the proper monitoring and relocations plans in place. Appendix F contains additional information on the protection of environmental resources. 6.3 Pensacola Pass Ebb Shoal Figure 6.3 also depicts the location of 28 Vibracores collected in 2000 and 2001 as part of the Pensacola Beach, FL, Sand Search. Olsen Associates (2001) describes a potential borrow site occupying a 319-acre area along the eastern boundary of the entrance channel and including a portion of the entrance channel itself. The specific area evaluated is estimated to contain approximately 6.2 million cubic yards of sand. Once properly permitted, this site could provide a very suitable source of sand for large-scale beach nourishment for Perdido Key. As with the channel itself, the distance from the site to the project ranges between 7.8 and 13.6 miles, requiring that a hopper dredge be used for construction. It is expected that permitting and environmental protection issues would be similar for both the channel dredging and the excavation of sand from this site. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 68 - olsen associates, inc. 500,000 490,000 Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration 480,000 - 69 - olsen associates, inc. Northing (ft, NAD83) R-49 R-58 R-61 1990-91 DISPOSAL BERM R-55 1,070,000 Other Researchers (dates vary) 2001 Pensacola Beach, FL (OAI) 2004 Pensacola Pass (COE) PN-53-04 PN-54-04 PN-55A-04 PN-55-04 P-48 PN-1-04 P-46 P-41 P-45 P-42 1,080,000 1,090,000 PN-59-04 0 R-82 0.5 1,100,000 1.0 miles (st) R-85 Pensacola Bay PN-70-04 GRAPHIC SCALE R-79 Santa Rosa Island R-76 P-40 P-44 P-43 P-39 P-50 P-38 P-35 P-34 P-37 PN-3-04PN-2-04 PN-4-04 P-51 P-47 PN-5-04 P-36 P-33 PN-6-04 P-49 PN-7-04 PN-8-04 P-56 R-73 Gulf of Mexico P-52 P-57 PN-9-04 P-53 PN-10-04 P-55 P-54 PN-11-04 PN-12-04 P-58 PN-14-04 PN-13-04 PEN-93-5 P-59 PN-69-04 PN-68-04 PN-62-04 PN-67-04 PN-63-04PN-64-04 PN-66-04 PN-66A-04 PN-65-04 Ft. Pickens R-70 MIDDLE GROUND PN-61-04 PN-37-04 PN-34-04 PN-35-04 PN-32-04 PN-33-04 PN-30-04 PN-31-04 PN-28-04 PN-77-04 PN-29-04 PN-72-04 PN-26-04 PN-27-04 PN-24-04 PN-25-04 PN-78-04 PN-22-04 PN-71-04 PN-23-04 PN-20-04 PN-79-04 PN-21-04 P-62 PN-18-04 PN-19-04 PN-16-04 PN-17-04 P-60 P-61 PN-15-04 PN-40-04 PN-38-04 PN-36-04 PN-80-04 PN-39-04 PN-41-04 PN-42-04 PN-45-04 PN-44A-04 PN-44-04 PN-81-04 PN-43-04 PN-47A-04 PN-47-04 PN-46-04 PN-73-04 PN-82-04 PN-51-04 PN-50-04 PN-84-04 PN-74-04 PN-49-04 PN-48-04 PN-83-04 PN-52-04 CAUCUS SHOAL R-64 R-67 PN-56A-04 PN-56-04 PN-58A-04 PN-57A-04 PN-57-04 PN-58-04 PN-60-04 Pensacola Pass Easting (ft, NAD83) PENSACOLA PASS NAVY CHANNEL R-52 Vibracore Data Sources 1,060,000 R-43 R-46 Big Lagoon Perdido Key NAS Pensacola PN-76-04 PN-75-04 R-88 Figure 6.3 Location of Vibracores collected within the Federal Navigation Channel at Pensacola Pass, FL. Vibracores collected by Mobile District USACE and by Olsen Associates (2002). Channel/ebb shoal survey - July 2005. 470,000 6.4 Gulf Intracoastal Waterway Sources The Gulf Intracoastal Waterway (GIWW) borders Perdido Key to the north, separating the island from the mainland (Figure 6.1). The channel is periodically dredged by the Mobile District of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, and the material produced is typically of beach-compatible quality (although that fact has not been verified and the sediment quality most likely varies). Dredged material is stockpiled alongside the channel in most instances (see Section 6.5). Dredge records obtained from the Mobile District from 1995 to 2005 indicate that the annualized volume of sand dredged from the channel varies dramatically, and is principally a function of storm events that shoal the channel. Records indicate that the segment of the channel from the Theo Barrs Bridge westward to the north shore of Ono Island, AL, has been dredged six times since 1995. This effort has produced over 330,000 cubic yards of material in total. The channel was most recently dredged in 2005, when 153,000 cubic yards of sand was dredged. In contrast, dredging work in 1995 yielded only 8,900 cubic yards and dredging in 1998 and 2002 produced only 23,100 cubic yards (Mobile District, personal communication). While material dredged from the GIWW typically does provide beach-quality sand, the quantities of sand available from this source are far too small to address the immediate full beach restoration needs. However, dredging of the GIWW may continue to meet post-storm sand needs for emergency uses. This source was used in 2004 and 2005 to rebuild berms after Ivan, Dennis, and Katrina. Approximately 145,000 cy of sand was trucked from a disposal area along the GIWW just west of the Theo Barrs bridge (at a cost of $16.05/cy, not including COE dredging costs). 6.5 Upland Stockpiles (Admiral’s Island – Ft. McRee) One such stockpile of sand from the GIWW exists just west of Pensacola Pass at Admiral’s Island, north of the eastern terminus of Perdido Key and immediately south of the Ft. McRee Land Cut of the GIWW from Big Lagoon to Pensacola Pass and Pensacola Bay. This site, created by the GIWW land cut in the 1950’s, has been proposed in the past as a source of beach-compatible sand. Sediment quality testing performed for the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers recently suggests that the majority of material in the island site would meet the Escambia County Sand Protection Ordinance. A Preliminary Restoration Plan for Fort McRee (The “Ft. McRee Disposal Area” and “Admiral’s Island” refer to the same feature) was prepared in 2002 by the Mobile District USACE to investigate the feasibility of excavating up to 1.4 million cubic yards of beach-quality Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 70 - olsen associates, inc. sand, transporting it in dump scows, and placing it in a feeder berm at the east end of Pensacola Beach18. The island occupies an area of approximately 45 acres and stands roughly 25 feet above Mean Sea Level. The total volume of material available is dependent on the desired postconstruction configuration of the disposal area, which typically might include containment berms and a prescribed minimum elevation for constructability. As an extreme example, assuming the entire stockpile island was available for excavation down to ambient lagoon-bed level (assumed to be -2ft Mean Sea Level), the volume of sand available may be almost two million cubic yards (45 acres at 27 feet thick). The sand available in the Admiral’s Island disposal pile represents a significant volume of sand relative to the volume required by the recommended project alternative. The logistics of excavation and transport to the project area, however, present substantial challenges and, hence, increased degree of difficulty and cost. The cost of retrieval may ultimately be competitive with upland truck haul sand sources. While it is not expected that this disposal island sand be used for any initial restoration of the Key, it is proposed that the feasibility of retrieving this sand be investigated further. 18 The PRP was formulated prior to the 2002-2003 Pensacola Beach, FL, Beach Restoration Project, which placed 4.25 million cubic yards along Pensacola Beach. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 71 - olsen associates, inc. 7.0 RECOMMENDATIONS Alternatives for beach restoration for the westernmost six miles of shoreline at Perdido Key, FL, including Perdido Key State Park, have been evaluated in order to address the need to significantly increase the level of storm protection provided by the sandy beaches to upland infrastructure and environmental habitat while maintaining and/or increasing the recreational amenity value of the beach. The recent impacts of the 2004 and 2005 tropical storm seasons, most notably Hurricane Ivan in September 2004, destroyed the primary dune system, substantially lowered the elevation of the dry beach berm along the entire length of the study area, and transported a significant quantity of sand offshore of the primary bar, where its mechanical recovery is infeasible and natural recovery is deemed unlikely on any useful project time scale. While the study area has not experienced substantial shoreline recession, the recent loss of beach volume and the lowering of the dry beach leave upland infrastructure and habitat vulnerable to storm wave impacts and inundation from events generating storm surges of +7ft MSL or higher (typically, the “20-yr event” or greater). The post-Katrina FEMA berms constructed along much of the developed area represent protection against storm events with surges lower than approximately six to seven feet. For more severe events, the FEMA berm is expected to be completely eroded, after which time erosion and profile deflation landward of the seaward edge of construction becomes more. The series of storm events in 2005 has prevented any meaningful recovery of the beaches following Hurricane Ivan. In some instances it has exacerbated the cumulative loss of sand from the beach/dune system to offshore areas. Even under ideal future weather circumstances, which cannot be relied upon for purposes of storm protection in the nearterm, available data suggest that only a portion of the sand transported offshore during Ivan, Dennis, and Katrina would be expected to return to higher elevations along the beach profile (see section 3.3.3). Thus, for purposes of beach restoration along the Perdido Key, FL, study area, it is not recommended that this volume of sand be relied upon to provide any level of meaningful assistance in achieving the required level of storm protection identified herein. The potential recovery of portions of the central and western segments of the study area via natural littoral conditions is completely dependent upon the future storm climate. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 72 - olsen associates, inc. 7.1 Recommendations 7.1.1 Recommended Alternative -- Based upon the analysis of historical shoreline changes, recent storm impacts, and predictions of storm-induced beach profile change, it is recommended that Escambia County, FL, and the Florida Park Service initiate the permitting and construction of a comprehensive beach nourishment project along the westernmost six miles of the Gulf of Mexico shoreline of Perdido Key, FL. Such a project should include the placement of a minimum of 1.5 to 2.0 million cubic yards of beach compatible sand along this beach segment, weighted toward the eastern end of the area (reference Chapter 5). The minimum-volume project is expected to prevents the loss of the existing FEMA emergency berm during a storm event with a surge level exceeding approximately +7.5 to +8.5ft NAVD88 -- the “25- to 30-yr events,” and minimizes the inundation and overwash along the Perdido Key State Park Property (where no dune is to be constructed, per the direction of the Florida Park Service). Additionally, such a project is expected to minimize the deflation/erosion of the existing grade landward of the 1975 Coastal Setback Line (generally -- the seaward edge of construction) during a storm event with a surge level exceeding +11ft NAVD88, the “100-yr event.” 7.1.2 Sand Source -- It is recommended that Escambia County, FL, initiate the permitting of the primary nearshore borrow site identified during the Sand Search. While it is possible that beach-compatible sand may become available from Pensacola Pass as part of the Navy dredging, the present uncertainty in the timing of the two projects dictates that the County pursue an independent source of sand. In the event sand from the Pass is utilized for the construction of the recommended alternative, completing the permitting of the nearshore borrow site will provide the County an additional option in the future (for emergency needs or future renourishment, if and when necessary). 7.1.3 FEMA Documentation of Engineered Beach -- It is recommended that the constructed beach restoration project be documented with the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) for purposes of establishing future eligibility for postdisaster financial assistance under Category G guidelines. As demonstrated by the recent FEMA-funded reconstruction of nearby beach restoration projects in Pensacola Beach and Gulf Shores, AL, establishing FEMA eligibility provides significant financial assistance to rebuild the beach in the event of a future declared disaster. For this reason, it is again recommended that the entire 6.0-mile length of the Perdido Key study be included in the beach restoration plan. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 73 - olsen associates, inc. 7.1.4 Establishment of a Beach Monitoring Plan -- It is recommended that a beach monitoring plan be established to assess the performance of any constructed beach restoration alternative. Such a plan, which will be required by permit, would include annual or more frequent beach profile monitoring surveys, collection of aerial photography, and borrow site surveys at regular intervals. Institution of such a plan would likewise serve to address the documentation requirements of an engineered beach nourishment project under FEMA Category G Public Assistance guidelines. 7.1.5 Application to FDEP BBCS Beach Erosion Control Program -- It is recommended that the County apply to FDEP BBCS for funding assistance for the proposed project through the Bureau’s Beach Erosion Control Program (BECP). Plans for a beach restoration project for Perdido Key were submitted to BBCS as part of the 2006-07 Long Range Budget Plan. The plan should be updated based upon this report and resubmitted for 2007-08. This study, conducted in accordance with the BBCS 2004 Hurricane Recovery Plan for Florida’s Beach and Dune System, is intended for submittal to FDEP to provide the necessary information to support the budget plan and establish the project’s eligibility for State cost sharing in the construction process. 7.1.6 Creation of a Dedicated Beach Management Fund -- It is recommended that a dedicated source of funding be established for upcoming beach management needs. Creation of such a fund, perhaps through tourist development tax collections, could be used to pay for the costs of annual monitoring of a beach restoration project, the costs of small emergency repairs to the project, subsequent dune enhancements if desired, and the required matching funds to pay for the repair of the beach in the event of a declared disaster. Numerous examples of such dedicated funding sources exist, such as the beach improvement fund established in Gulf Shores, AL. 7.2 Tasks Required for the Recommended Beach Restoration Alternative It is strongly encouraged that the permitting and associated design tasks required for the construction of the recommended alternative be pursued as rapidly as possible in order to maintain the viability of various options for sand sources, especially any beach quality sand made available as part of the proposed dredging of Pensacola Pass (see following section). To that end, the following are tasks that will be required regardless of the sand source ultimately used: Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 74 - olsen associates, inc. ¾ Conduct a Mean High Water Line survey and establish an Erosion Control Line (ECL) along the full length of the proposed project, ¾ Acquire construction easements along each beach front property where the project is to be constructed. The easement must extend from the established ECL northward to the landward limit of the construction project (generally, the 1975 Setback Line, ¾ Prepare second phase engineering/permitting-level design schematics of the plan views and cross-sections for the proposed project. The tasks of setting an ECL and acquiring construction easements are opined to constitute the critical path for construction of any restoration alternative. Easement acquisition should begin as soon as possible. During that process, it may become necessary for the County to acquire some of the easements via condemnation, thus adequate time must be allotted for this possibility. On a similar schedule, other tasks will be required to pursue the use of the primary nearshore borrow area: ¾ Conduct an environmental assessment of the primary nearshore borrow site, ¾ Conduct a cultural resources review/survey of the site, ¾ Prepare permitting-level design plans of the proposed excavation area. Upon completion of these tasks and the submittal of a Joint Coastal Permit Application to FDEP and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, additional tasks may be required, such as the preparation of a Biological Assessment, design level surveys, etc. 7.3 Preliminary Opinion of Probable Cost to Construct An initial opinion of the probable cost to construct the recommended alternative is based upon the construction of the beach nourishment project utilizing a cutterhead/pipeline dredge to excavate sand from the primary nearshore borrow site identified by Olsen Associates (2006a) and described in Chapter 6.0. Basic components of the recommended alternative are: ¾ Project Length: ¾ Recommended volume: Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration 6.0 miles 2.0 million cubic yards (60 cy/ft project) - 75 - olsen associates, inc. ¾ ¾ ¾ ¾ Minimum volume: Berm Elevation: Dune Feature: Borrow Site: 1.5 million cubic yards +9 ft, sloping to +5 ft NAVD88 5 to 7 cy/ft, crest elevation of +12 ft NAVD88* 1.1 miles offshore of R-10, Perdido Key * Dune to be built in developed areas only, assumed to be constructed seaward of FEMA berm. A project of this scope, constructed by cutterhead/pipeline dredge, is expected to require approximately three months to complete, conservatively allowing for weather-related downtime. The cost of construction of such a project is highly dependent on a number of factors, including, but not limited to: ¾ ¾ ¾ ¾ The price of fuel at the time of bidding and construction, The level of competition/availability of dredge plant, The time of year proposed for construction, The nature of the project design and potentially of the borrow site. Based upon recent previous experience with beach nourishment projects of a similar magnitude, the present cost of fuel, analytical predictions, and informal discussions with qualified ocean dredging contractors regarding the proposed project, it is opined that the project could be constructed for unit prices of $4.00 to $6.00 per cubic yard, plus mobilization/demobilization fees. Thus, a first estimate of the probable cost to construct the recommended beach restoration alternative is between $9 million and $13 million. This first opinion of the probable construction cost is provided to facilitate project planning and financing at this feasibility stage. The cost opinion provided above can then be applied to assess the economic justification of pursuing construction of the recommended alternative utilizing sand excavated from the Federal navigation channel at Pensacola Pass versus the primary nearshore site. Present discussions of the Pass project have yet to address the potential cost of delivering sand to the proposed project limits via hopper dredge from the channel, a sail distance of between 6.0 and 13.0 miles. At this time, a dredged material disposal plan is being formulated. Once that task is completed, an initial cost opinion for the channel dredging project can be developed. At that stage, there will, in all probability, be the need to create a cost-sharing plan between the various parties. The choice of sand source to construct the recommended alternative can then be assessed by the County. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 76 - olsen associates, inc. 7.4 FDEP Critical Erosion Designation At the time of this writing, only the developed portion of the Perdido Key, FL, shoreline from FDEP R-monument R-26 to R-32 is considered to be critically eroded (based strictly upon the interpretation of long-term MHWL changes. Pending certain access criteria, critically eroding shorelines are eligible for state cost sharing for beach restoration. The FDEP “Guidelines – Florida Beach Erosion Control Program” provides the following definition for a “Critical Erosion Area”, (FDEP BBCS, 2006): “Critical Erosion Area” is a segment of shoreline where natural processes or human activities have caused or contributed to erosion and recession of the coastal system to such a degree that upland development, recreational interests, wildlife habitat or important cultural resources are threatened or lost. Critical erosion areas may also include peripheral segments and gaps between identified critical erosion areas which, although they may be stable or slightly erosional now, their inclusion is necessary for continuity of management of the coastal system or for the design integrity of adjacent beach management projects.” Based upon the analyses presented herein, it is the opinion of Olsen Associates, Inc. that the western six miles of Perdido Key, FL, from FDEP R-Monuments R-1 to R-32, meet the definition provided above, and thus should be considered fully eligible for State costsharing in the construction of the recommended beach restoration alternative. This opinion is based on the following factors: ¾ The substantial storm-induced erosion of the subaerial beach since the 2004 hurricane season and the present level of exposure of remaining upland infrastructure and habitat to future storm damage (Chapter 3), ¾ The need to maintain and improve the integrity of the evacuation route, S.R. 292, immediately adjacent to the beach strand along this segment for both Perdido Key, FL residents and residents of Orange Beach, AL, the neighboring community to the west, ¾ The need to maintain and enhance the design integrity of the proposed beach restoration project, and to jointly contribute to the regional stability of the Perdido Key littoral cell, which is shared by the States of Florida and Alabama. ¾ The need to restore and protect the upland habitat of the endangered Perdido Key beach mouse and the nesting sea turtle habitat along Perdido Key, and lastly ¾ The need to ensure continuity of management of the Perdido Key coastal system. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 77 - olsen associates, inc. In regard to the extension of the Critical Erosion Designation, it is likewise fiscally important to include the entire beach segment in a comprehensive engineered beach restoration plan in order to be eligible for post-disaster assistance from FEMA in the event of a declared disaster. This assistance will be critical to rebuilding the protective beach at a time when the County and State may likely face significant post-storm expenditures in areas extending well beyond the beaches. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 78 - olsen associates, inc. 8.0 REFERENCES Brooks, H.K. (1982). “Guide to the Physiographic Divisions of Florida,” Florida Cooperative Extension Service, Institute of Food and Agricultural Sciences (IFAS), University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, 14pp/2 maps. Browder, A.E., (2004). “Pensacola Beach, FL, Beach Restoration Project – 1-Year PostConstruction Monitoring Report,” Report submitted to the Santa Rosa Island Authority and the Florida Department of Environmental Protection Office of Beaches and Coastal Systems, Olsen Associates, Inc., Jacksonville, FL. Browder, A.E., and Dean, R.G., (1999), “Pensacola Pass, FL, Inlet Management Study,” Coastal and Oceanographic Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL. UFL/COEL -99/002. Browder, A.E., and Dean, R.G., (2000), “Monitoring and comparison to predictive models of the Perdido Key beach nourishment project, FL, USA” Coastal Engineering, v. 39, Elsevier Science B.V., Amsterdam, The Netherlands, pp 173-191. Browder, A.E., and Norton, D., (2005). “The Impacts of Hurricane Ivan at Pensacola Beach, FL,” Shore & Beach – Journal of the American Shore and Beach Preservation Association, Vol. 73, No. 2-3, pp 61-66, Ft. Myers, FL. Dawkins, M.M. (1998). “Pensacola Hurricanes 1559-1995,” Pensacola Historical Society, Pensacola, FL. Dean, R.G. (1999). “High Frequency Shoreline Changes for the Panhandle Area of Florida,” Coastal and Oceanographic Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL. UFL/COEL -99/025. Dean, R.G., and Chiu, T.Y. (1986). “Combined Total Storm Tide Frequency Analysis for Escambia County, Florida,” Division of Beaches and Shores, Florida Department of Natural Resources (presently Bureau of Beaches and Coastal Systems, Florida Department of Environmental Protection), Tallahassee, FL. Dean, R.G., Cheng, J., and Malakar, S.B., 1998, “Characteristics of the Shoreline Change Along the Sandy Beaches of the State of Florida: An Atlas” Coastal and Oceanographic Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL. UFL/COEL -98/015. Dean, R.G., and Dalrymple, R.A. (2002). “Coastal Processes with Engineering Applications,” Cambridge University Press, New York, NY, 475 pp. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 79 - olsen associates, inc. Dean, R.G., Otay, E.N., and Work, P.A., 1995, “Perdido Key Beach Nourishment Project: A Synthesis of Findings and Recommendations for Future Nourishments,” Coastal and Oceanographic Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida. UFL/COEL -95/011. Douglass, S.L., and Pickel, B.H. (2000). “State of the Beaches of Alabama - 2000” Report prepared for Coastal Programs Office - Alabama Department of Economic and Community, Department of Civil Engineering, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL. Douglass, S.L. 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FDEP BBCS (2004). “2004 Hurricane Recovery Plan for Florida’s Beach and Dune System,” Report prepared by Bureau of Beaches and Coastal Systems, Florida Department of Environmental Protection, Tallahassee, FL, 65p. FDEP BBCS (2006). “Critically Eroded Beaches in Florida,” Report prepared by Bureau of Beaches and Coastal Systems, Florida Department of Environmental Protection, Tallahassee, FL, 76p. FEMA (2005). Hurricane Ivan Surge Inundation Maps, Summary of Methods, Contract No. EMW-2000-CO-0247 Task Order Nos. 351 (FL) & 352 (AL), Federal Emergency Management Agency, Washington, D.C. Available on the web: http://www.fema.gov/ivanmaps/. Florida Geologic Survey (1993) “Geologic Map of Escambia County, FL” Geological Survey, Tallahassee, FL. 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(1975) “Terraces and Shorelines of Florida,” U.S. Geological Survey and Florida Geologic Survey, Tallahassee, FL (map). McBride, R.A., Anderson, L.C., Tudoran, A., and Roberts, H.H., (1999), “Holocene Stratigraphic Architecture of a Sand-Rich Shelf and the Origin of Linear Shoals: Northeastern Gulf of Mexico.” In: Bergman, K.M., and Snedden, J.W., (editors), Isolated Shallow Marine Sandbodies: Sequence Stratigraphic Analysis and Sedimentologic Interpretation, Society of Sedimentary Geology Special Publication #64, Tulsa, OK. PP 95-126 Mobile District, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (1963). “Survey Report on Perdido Pass Channel, AL,” Mobile, AL. Mobile District, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (1967). “General Design Memorandum, Perdido Pass Channel, AL,” Mobile, AL. Mobile District, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (1993). “Reconnaissance Report: Beach Erosion Control and Storm Damage Reduction Project, Perdido Key Beaches, Florida and Alabama,” COESAM/PDFP-93/0004 Mobile, AL. 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(2004). “Gulf Shores, AL Coastal Monitoring Program, 2004 Annual Report,” Report Submitted to the City of Gulf Shores, AL, Olsen Associates, Inc., Jacksonville, FL. Olsen Associates, Inc. (2006a). “Perdido Key, FL, Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration – SAND SEARCH INVESTIGATION,” Report Submitted to the Neighborhood and Environmental Services Department -- Escambia County, FL, and the Florida Department of Environmental Protection -- Bureau of Beaches and Coastal Systems. Olsen Associates, Inc., Jacksonville, FL. Olsen Associates, Inc. (2006b, in prep.). “Orange Beach/Gulf State Beach Restoration Project – Post-Construction Monitoring Submitted to City of Orange Beach, AL, Alabama Department of Natural Resources, and the City of Gulf Shores, AL, Olsen Jacksonville, FL. Park/Gulf Shores Report,” Report Conservation and Associates, Inc., Otay, E.N., and Dean, R.G. (1994). “Perdido Key Beach Nourishment Project: Gulf Islands National Seashore, 1993 Annual Report,” Coastal and Oceanographic Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida. UFL/COEL 94/007. Pendleton, E. A., Hammar-Klose, E.S., Thieler, E.R., and Williams, S.J. (2004). “Coastal Vulnerability Assessment of Gulf Islands National Seashore (GUIS) to Sea Level Rise,” U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA, Open-File Report 03-108, Electronic Book: http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2003/of03-108/index.html Psuty, N.P, and Jagger, K.A., 1990, “Final Report on the Shoreline Changes on Perdido Key, FL, Gulf Island National Seashore,” Center for Coastal and Environmental Studies Report 89-8275 DI-NPS-CRU, Rutgers - The State University of New Jersey. Rakocinski, C.F., Heard, R.W., LeCroy, S.E., McLelland, J.A., and Simons, T., 1996, “Responses by Macrobenthic Assemblages to Extensive Beach Restoration at Perdido Key, FL, USA,” Journal of Coastal Research, V. 12 No. 1, pp 326-353, Ft. Lauderdale, FL. Smith, J.M., Sherlock, A.R., and Resio, D.T. (2001). “STWAVE: Steady-State Spectral Wave Model. User’s Manual for STWAVE Version 3.0.” USACE, Coastal Hydraulics Laboratory Instruction Report ERDC/CHL SR-01-1, February 2001, Vicksburg, MS. Stone, G.W., Stapor, F.W., May, J.P., and Morgan, J.P. (1992). “Multiple sediment sources and a cellular, non-integrated, longshore drift system: Northwest Florida and Southwest Alabama Coast, USA,” Marine Geology, v. 105, Elsevier Science B.V., Amsterdam, The Netherlands, pp 141-154. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 82 - olsen associates, inc. USACE (2003). “Coastal Engineer Manual, Appendix A – Glossary of Coastal Engineering Terms,” EM-1110-2-1100, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Coastal Hydraulics Laboratory, Vicksburg, MS. Perdido Key, FL Feasibility Study for Beach Restoration - 83 - olsen associates, inc.