The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring
Transcription
The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring
The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Page 1 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) The CASE Journal ~ Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Table of Contents Editorial Policy Letter from the Editor Reviewers for The CASE Journal, 2006-2009 Case Abstracts – Click on the case title to access the full case. Cases “ER Medical Director” Charles M. Carson, Samford University Jennings B. Marshall, Samford University ` “Lessons From Computer Intrusion at TJX” Benjamin Ngugi, Suffolk University Glenn S Dardick, Longwood University Gina Vega, Salem, Salem State College “Ann Taylor: Survival in Specialty Retail” Pauline Assenza, Manhattanville College Alan B. Eisner, Pace University Jerome C. Kuperman, Minnesota State University Moorhead “Kija Kim and Harvard Design & Mapping Co.” Lynda L. Moore & Bonita L. Betters-Reed, Simmons School of Management “Teradyne: On the road to China” Kuo-Ting Hung & Neil Hunt, Suffolk University, Gina Vega, Salem State College, Laurie Levesque, Hasan Arslan & Christian DeLaunay, Suffolk University “A Confrontation of Mindsets: French Retailers Operating in Poland” Stephanie Hurt, Meredith College Marcus Hurt, EDHEC Business School “Financial Reporting for Investments: The Case of National General Insurance Company” Kenton Swift, University of Montana Mel McFetridge, Carroll College “The Prize? The Price? Constellation Brands’ Proposed Merger with the Robert Mondavi Company” Armand Gilinsky, Jr., Sonoma State University Raymond H. Lopez, Pace University Page 2 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) EDITORIAL POLICY The audience for this journal includes both practitioners and academics and thus encourages submissions from a broad range of individuals. The CASE Journal invites submissions of cases designed for classroom use. Cases from all business disciplines will be considered. Cases must be factual, and releases must be available where necessary. All cases must be accompanied by an instructor’s manual which identifies the intended course, relevant theoretical concepts or models that can be applied, and the research methodology for the case. The instructor’s manual should also contain discussion questions and suggested responses, and a teaching plan if not inherent in the Q&A. The CASE Journal also invites submissions of articles relating to case teaching, writing, reviewing, and similar topics. Conceptual papers and papers reporting original research as well as the applied implications of others' research in terms of case teaching, research, and instruction; and creative learning, research and writing methods are encouraged. We request that submitters of empirical research provide appropriate data set analyses to allow for meta-studies (i.e. correlations matrices and chi-alpha’s). Because of the broad appeal of the journal to practitioners and academics, The CASE Journal will not refuse to review a case or an article solely on the basis of format. However, if a case or paper is accepted, the final version for publication will be expected to adhere to the publication and manuscript guidelines. Cases and papers may be returned due to issues relating to writing style and grammar. The CASE Journal encourages authors to submit often to the Journal. However, authors who are published in one publication year cannot be published a second time in that publication year. Rather, additionally accepted papers will appear in subsequent publication years. This policy does not apply to authors who submit papers for review with different second authors from those on the first accepted paper in any given publication year. CASES: Those wishing to submit a case for potential publication should submit the entire case along with the completed teaching notes for review. If accepted for publication, only the case will be published along with a note for interested readers to contact the case author for the teaching notes. All review and publishing rules which apply to scholarly articles also apply for cases. Also, upon acceptance for publication, The CASE Journal requires that the author(s) submit a signed letter of liability release prior to publication. Authors are responsible for distributing the teaching notes as requested by CASE Association members and their e-mail addresses will be provided for such purpose. Page 3 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) INITIAL SUBMISSION: All cases and articles will be subject to a double blind review process. Our process is developmental, and our reviewers will offer suggestions for improvement and revision, where appropriate. All manuscripts submitted are to be original, unpublished and not under consideration by any other publishing source. To ensure the blind review, there should be no author-identifying information in the text or references. An abstract of 150 words or less should accompany any article, and should be included in the instructor’s manual accompanying any case. This journal will only accept on-line submissions to the editor by email in MS-Word. A separate title page must accompany the paper and include the title of the paper and all pertinent author information (i.e. name, affiliation, address, telephone number, FAX number, and E-mail address), 75-100 word abstract, 3-5 keywords, and the following statement: “I have received all relevant releases prior to submission of this case.” If any portion of the manuscript has been presented in other forms (conferences, workshops, speeches, etc.), it should be so noted on the title page. Please see The CASE Journal’s website, www.caseweb.org, for updated information. COPYRIGHT: Authors submitting articles and cases for potential publication in The CASE Journal warrant that the work is not an infringement on any existing copyright and will indemnify the publisher against any breach of such warranty. Upon acceptance for publication, authors must convey copyright ownership to The CASE Journal by signing a publication agreement, signed and dated by all authors, which also certifies that the article/case is original, not published elsewhere, and that they have permission to use all proprietary and/or copyrighted material. Cases published in The CASE Journal and their instructors’ manuals are also distributed through the Primis Online and ecch distribution networks. Circulation Data: Reader: Frequency of Issue: Copies per Issue: Subscription Price: Publishing Fee: Sponsorship: Academic and Practitioner 2 times per year (Fall and Spring, based upon available accepted manuscripts) n/a Internet publication Free with membership in The CASE Association None. However, at least one of the publishing authors must be a member of the CASE Association at the time of publication ($25 membership fee) Professional Association ©2009 The CASE Association. All right reserved. Further reproduction by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying or by any information storage or retrieval system must be arranged with the copyright holder. If you wish to use any of these cases in your classes, you can arrange for their purchase through our distributors: PRIMIS (www.primisonline.com) or ecch (www.ecch.com). Copyright law prohibits you from reproducing any cases without permission EXCEPT cases you have written. Page 4 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) LETTER FROM THE EDITOR The spring issue (Volume 5, number 2) of The CASE Journal offers a wide range of cases. They cover a variety of disciplines, from statistics, information systems, and finance to marketing and management. Topics include diversity, leadership, human resources, entrepreneurship, supply chain management, and retail and financial strategies. Three of the cases have an international focus. This issue has something for (nearly) everyone! This issue is my last as editor. Over the last three years, The CASE Journal has published more than 30 cases and case series and several articles. There are many more cases in the pipeline, some recently submitted for their first review, some under revision (perhaps not the first), and some almost ready for publication. The new editor, Dr. Gina Vega, will continue to oversee a rigorous yet developmental review process. Gina is an extremely experienced case writer and reviewer, and is one of the most developmental people I know. She has written her own manual for student case writers, and co-authored all three of the Professor Moore articles that have appeared in my volumes. Gina will take the Journal to new levels of operating efficiency, but more important will share her vision of what a good case should be. She will also come up with her own ideas for new types of submissions that will enhance case writing, case teaching, and case research. The reviewers are the Journal’s most valuable resource. They have risen to the challenge of being both developmental and rigorous, both considering how to help authors to improve their cases and instructors’ manuals and working toward cases of publishable quality. A complete list of reviewers appears in this issue. It’s only a very small “Thank You” to the dedicated people who find time to read and reread and think about someone else’s work, in addition to their own teaching/ writing/ grading, etc. My special thanks to the individuals who make up the Journal’s Editorial Review Board: Chad Carson, Jim Carroll, Alan Eisner, Tom Leach, Rebecca Morris, Bill Naumes, Ram Subramanian, and Stefanie Tate, who have repeatedly offered their time and their expertise in a wide variety of disciplines. Special thanks also to Alan Eisner who has made sure that the Journal got on the website. Thank you all! If you would like to be part of the review process, working with authors to create truly excellent cases and instructors’ manuals, please get in touch with Gina Vega, the new editor, at [email protected]. Gina will also be looking for manuscripts, both cases (with instructors’ manuals) and articles. If you have ideas for other features for the Journal, I am sure that she would be interested in them, also. Thank you for your support – as authors, reviewers, and case users and readers – over the past three years! Keep writing – there are never enough good cases! Margaret Naumes Page 5 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) The CASE Journal Reviewers, 2006 - 2009 Editorial Review Board James Carroll, Georgian Court University Charles M. Carson, Samford University Alan Eisner, Pace University Tom Leach, University of New England Rebecca Morris, University of Nebraska at Omaha William Naumes, University of New Hampshire Ram Subramanian, Montclair State University Stefanie Tate, University of Massachusetts-Lowell Reviewers Michael Merenda, University of New Hampshire Jim Morgan, Northern Arizona University Janice Nath, University of Houston-Downtown John Ogilvie, University of Hartford Jerry Platt, University of Redlands Anthony Pescosolido, University of New Hampshire Tim Redmer, Regent University Dan Reid, University of New Hampshire Marie Rock, Bentley College Donald Schepers, Baruch College Udo Schlentrich, University of New Hampshire Christine Shea, University of New Hampshire Herb Sherman, Long Island University Diane Shichtman, Empire State College Teresa Stephenson, University of Wyoming Narendar Sumukadas, University of Hartford Marilyn Taylor, University of Missouri – Kansas City Kathleen Terry Gina Vega, Salem State College Jonathan Welch, Northeastern University Michael Welsh, University of South Carolina Susan Williams, Northern Arizona University Philip Wilson, Midwestern State University Joan Winn, University of Denver Craig Wood, University of New Hampshire Margaret Ake, Endicott College Joseph Anderson, Northern Arizona University Jyoti Bachani, St. Mary’s College of California Bruce Bachenheimer, Pace University Rik Berry, University of Arkansas – Fort Smith Bonita Betters-Reed, Simmons College Lou Chin, Bentley College Edward Desmarais, Salem State College David Desplaces, College of Charleston Tim Edlund, Morgan State University Mary Foster, Morgan State University Marcus Hurt, EDHEC Business School Stephanie Hurt, Meredith College Cynthia Ingols, Simmons College Jill Kammermeyer, University of New Hampshire Kristine Kelly, Endicott College Duncan LaBay, Salem State College Kenneth Laird, Southern Connecticut State University Miranda Lam, Salem State College Jackie Landau, Salem State College Laurie Levesque, Suffolk University Daphne Main, Loyola University William Mathews Jack McCarthy, Boston University Page 6 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) CASE AND ARTICLE ABSTRACTS Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Click on the case title to access the full case. ER Medical Director Charles M. Carson Jennings B. Marshall Samford University Dr. Lawrence Frazier was an emergency room physician who was an employee of Honore Staffing Services of Baton Rouge, Louisiana. He worked at Methodist Health System hospital in Grant, Georgia. He had recently added the title of ER Medical Director and served as liaison between Honore staffing and the Methodist hospital. His additional duties included overseeing the other physicians which staff the emergency room. Methodist had a bonus system in place based on obtaining 31 patients’ satisfaction surveys each month. Dr. Frazier believed that the small sample lead to erroneous results and created problems for the physicians under his supervision. He wanted to change the data collection process (e.g. sample size collected, instrument), but encountered obstacles when he broached the subject with his hospital administrators. Key words: Likert scale, sample size, bias, error, performance evaluations, compensation / bonus Lessons From Computer Intrusion at TJX Benjamin Ngugi, Suffolk University Glenn S Dardick, Longwood University Gina Vega, Salem, Salem State College In January, 2007, TJX reported that it had suffered from a computer intrusion. The company was sure neither of the identity of the perpetrators nor of how many customers were affected. A deeper analysis revealed that the intrusion had started earlier and affected more customers than previously thought. Ensuing investigation concluded that TJX was collecting unnecessary information, keeping it for too long and employing obsolete and insufficient safeguards. TJX denied any wrongdoing but implemented most of the recommended remedies to strengthen their security. Keywords: computer intrusion, hacking, data protection, PCI compliance, layered defense, identity theft, network security Page 7 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Ann Taylor: Survival in Specialty Retail Pauline Assenza, Manhattanville College Alan B. Eisner, Pace University Jerome C. Kuperman, Minnesota State University Moorhead Ann Taylor was founded in 1954, and its classic black dress and woman’s power suit were staples for years. In 1995 Ann Taylor LOFT was launched to appeal to a more casual, costconscious consumer. Under Kay Krill’s leadership, the division began to outperform the original flagship. When Krill was promoted to President/CEO of Ann Taylor Stores Corporation in 2005, she was challenged with rebuilding the Ann Taylor brand – (i.e., meeting the “wardrobing needs of the updated classic consumer”) while maintaining the image and market share of LOFT. By mid-2008, an additional problem appeared: the macroeconomic climate was posing considerable uncertainty, especially for retail businesses. Krill was firmly committed to long-term growth. However, given the 2008 situation, what could she do to unleash what she believed was the firm’s “significant untapped potential”? Key Words: strategic management, strategic analysis, strategy formulation, generic strategies, external environmental analysis, corporate strategy, marketing strategy, branding Kija Kim and Harvard Design & Mapping Co. Lynda L. Moore Bonita L. Betters-Reed Simmons School of Management This case is about Kija Kim, a Korean born founder and CEO of Harvard Design and Mapping Inc. (HDM). Founded in 1988, HDM is a cutting-edge GIS firm with $5 million in revenue and 35 employees in their Cambridge, MA and Washington D.C. offices. Through Kija Kim’s leadership, HDM has become a significant niche player in homeland security and disaster relief. The case ends in fall 2005 just after HDM provided Hurricane Katrina mapping support, and Kija is nominated for the SBA Small Business Person of the Year. This case explores the intersection between cultural heritage, leadership effectiveness and organizational behavior. It particularly notes Kija’s ability to turn her immigrant female minority status into a business advantage. This strength coupled with her ethos of care and ability to network in all walks of her life contributes to her distinctive and integrated leadership style. Definitions of leadership success and implications for decision making are also highlighted. Key words: leadership, women's leadership, cultural diversity Page 8 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Teradyne: On the road to China Kuo-Ting Hung, Suffolk University Neil Hunt, Suffolk University Gina Vega, Salem State College Laurie Levesque, Suffolk University Hasan Arslan, Suffolk University Christian DeLaunay, Suffolk University Jeff Hotchkiss, President of the Assembly Test Division of Teradyne, Inc., the largest electronics testing company in the world, returned to the corporation where he had built his career after a three-year hiatus as CEO of a VOIP start-up. Teradyne's operation was struggling through the effects of a bad economy coupled with significant downturns in the electronics industry, and Hotchkiss encountered numerous problems specifically in the China operation, including customer dissatisfaction with service, price, and time required to implement changes. He assembled a strategic team to address these issues and to recommend and implement an accelerated turnaround in China. Students are challenged to design the turnaround plan. Key words: supply chain management, international HRM A Confrontation of Mindsets: French Retailers Operating in Poland Stephanie Hurt, Meredith College Marcus Hurt, EDHEC Business School A Confrontation of Mindsets: French Retailers Operating in Poland traces the history of French retailers setting up operations in Poland in the mid 90s. The case, however, is set in 2006 when a top retailing executive recalls the important watershed period of 1996-97 when the expatriate managers in charge of setting up the first hypermarkets encountered great difficulties with their new Polish recruits. The managers were not succeeding in transferring the practices and routines that were an essential part of their business model on the home market in France: their Polish employees displayed work attitudes that were the contrary of the initiative and responsibility for enlarged jobs that characterized employees back home. This situation called into question the very viability of their business model in Poland. The case poses very clearly the question of what actions the expatriate managers should decide to take to ensure the store launchings in Poland and future growth. The issues raised concern global versus multi-domestic internationalization strategies, business models, paradigms, corporate culture, management of expats, knowledge transfer and the link between strategic implementation and organizational behavior. Key words: internationalization strategy, retailing, business model, subsidiary management, knowledge transfer, strategy implementation, organizational behavior Page 9 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Financial Reporting for Investments: The Case of National General Insurance Company Kenton Swift, University of Montana Mel McFetridge, Carroll College The financial statements of public companies located in the United Arab Emirates provide excellent examples of the impact that reporting investments at fair value can have on net income. This is because of the wide fluctuations in securities prices and real estate prices in recent years. Using an actual company, National General Insurance, which is located in Dubai in the United Arab Emirates, this case provides examples of the impact of fair value accounting for investments under International Financial Reporting standards (IFRS), for both securities and property investments. As US financial reporting moves towards harmonization with IFRS, it is critical to understand how reporting for investments under US Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (US GAAP) compares with international reporting standards. Specific learning objectives include gaining an understanding of the reporting requirements for investments under IFRS, understanding the difference between reporting requirements for investments under US GAAP and IFRS, and understanding both the positive and negative impacts on reported net income from using fair values for reporting investments. Financial Accounting, international financial reporting standards, accounting for investments, fair value accounting The Prize? The Price? Constellation Brands’ Proposed Merger with the Robert Mondavi Company Armand Gilinsky, Jr., Sonoma State University Raymond H. Lopez, Pace University In October 2004, Mr. Richard Sands, CEO of Constellation Brands, evaluated the potential purchase of The Robert Mondavi Corporation. Sands felt that Mondavi’s wine beverage products would fit into the Constellation portfolio of alcohol beverage brands, and the opportunity to purchase Mondavi for a highly favorable price was quite possible due to recent management turmoil at that company. However, should it be purchased, strategic and operational changes would be necessary in order to fully achieve Mondavi’s potential value. In making a decision, students need to consider the attractiveness of the wine industry, its changing structure, its share of the overall market for beverages, and rival firms’ strategies. As rival bidders may emerge for Mondavi’s brands, Constellation must offer a price that demonstrates its serious intent to acquire Mondavi. Key words: strategy implementation, merger and acquisition analysis, financial analysis, financial forecasting, corporate valuation Page 10 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) ER Medical Director 1 Charles M. Carson Samford University Jennings B. Marshall Samford University As an aspiring medical student, Dr. Lawrence Frazier never pictured himself neck deep in the management problems of his own emergency room. Instead of managing patients’ health problems, he now had to manage other physicians along with daily interactions with hospital administrators. As he perused his patient satisfaction scores printout, he realized that he needed to find a strategic foothold between the company he worked for as an independent contractor and the hospital he served as the Medical Director of the emergency room. Specifically, he had to find solutions to a complicated problem involving sample size and data issues with the monthly patient satisfaction scores that were used to calculate physician performance bonuses. Background Dr. Lawrence Frazier graduated from the University of Mississippi School of Medicine in Jackson, Mississippi and knew that he had several options to pursue in terms of his postresidency employment. He considered offers to join an internal medicine clinic, his specialty, as well as several opportunities at family practice in and around his hometown of Campbellsville, KY. After stints at several area hospitals, Frazier settled in as an emergency room physician working at the Methodist Health System hospital in Grant, GA. While Dr. Frazier worked at the Methodist hospital, he was actually an employee of Honore Staffing Services based in Baton Rouge, LA. Honore Staffing Services was a medical personnel provider for over 50 small to medium sized hospitals in the Southeastern United States. Technically, Frazier was an independent contractor servicing the Methodist Hospital in Grant through his contractual relationship with Honore Staffing Services. Frazier enjoyed his work and the camaraderie that he shared with his colleagues in the Emergency Room. After only a few months of hourly shift work in the ER, Frazier was offered an opportunity for an increased role with Honore Staffing. The position of ER Medical Director became available and upper management at Honore had offered the position to Frazier. This decision was based on his strong reputation among his colleagues and excellent referrals from his patients. The primary responsibilities of the ER Medical Director were to oversee the four full time and three part time physicians that worked in ER and to deal with patient-staff quality issues. In essence, Frazier served as a liaison between Honore Staffing and the medical staff at the Methodist Hospital. Frazier’s ER Medical Director duties were compensated on a salary basis. Additionally, he continued to work his regular ER shift duties, which like all of the other ER physicians, were compensated on an hourly basis. 1 Please direct all correspondence to the first author. An earlier version of this case was presented at the 2007 Southwest Case Research Association meeting in San Diego. Page 11 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) The Incentive Compensation System The incentive compensation system was established and implemented by Methodist Health System without any discussion with the ER employees or Honore Staffing. Methodist made incentive payments directly to Honore Staffing who transferred the incentive payments on to the respective doctors. When Dr. Frazier had addressed complaints to Honore about the incentive system, Honore had shrugged those complaints off with little comment. Frazier pressed the issue with Honore and they suggested that Frazier take any complaints that he had with the system directly to the administration of Methodist Health System and in particular, his hospital administrator. Specifics of the System Methodist had established two benchmarking levels for incentive compensation: Target and Challenge. The Target and Challenge goals were established by Methodist corporate offices which used national averages and percentile data provided by the Gallup Institute 2. Target goals were the lower of the two. The benchmarks were established in four categories of performance and were captured using the following questions. Were you very satisfied (4), satisfied (3), somewhat dissatisfied (2), or very dissatisfied (1) with: A. B. C. D. The amount of time the Emergency Department doctor spent with you? The care and compassion shown by the Emergency Department doctor? The Emergency Department doctor's willingness to answer questions thoroughly? The quality of the Emergency Department physicians who treated you? Each question represented a specific incentive compensation category. The following Table shows the average scores required for a physician to meet both Target and Challenge Goals. Table 1 Question Average Score Needed to Meet Target Goal Average Score Needed to Meet Challenge Goal A. B. C. D. 3.17 3.32 3.26 3.32 3.25 3.41 3.37 3.44 If a Target goal was met, each of the doctors would be compensated an additional $1.25 per hour for that particular category. Physicians could earn an additional $5 per hour if all goals were met at the Target level. This was then multiplied by the number of hours worked per month. 2 The Gallup Institute is a part of the Gallup Organization which collects and analyzes data on a wide range of topics for both private and public sector entities. For more information please see their website at http://www.gallup.com/corporate/115/About-Gallup.aspx Page 12 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Challenge goals worked in much the same way except that the compensation level was double the Target level. For each category the physicians could earn an additional $2.50 per hour if they met the Challenge goal level. If all four categories were met at the Challenge level, the physicians could make an additional $10 per hour. Again, this would be multiplied by the total number of hours worked per month. Methodist did allow the doctors to meet multiple goal levels in a given month (i.e. doctors may be compensated at a Target level for “amount of time spent” and at a Challenge level for “care and compassion”). Before any bonuses were added the average ER physician compensation was $105 per hour. In order to determine what level of incentive compensation, if any, the doctors would receive, Methodist took the list of patients² seen during a given month (average of 1,400 patients per month) and got 31 total responses by randomly calling patients and asking them the four questions listed earlier. This calling was conducted by the Gallup Institute, which collected satisfaction data for Methodist. There was no effort made by Gallup to ensure that each of the ER physicians were evenly represented in the sampling, or represented at all for that matter. In fact, all 31 responses for any given month could have been patients of one particular doctor. A Doctor, A Manager, or Both? Dr. Frazier strongly believed that this was not a representative sample from which to judge the quality of contributions made by his Emergency Room physicians. He had suggested to multiple hospital administrators that they should switch to the Press-Ganey company as the source of their patient satisfaction data. Press-Ganey mailed out surveys with much more detail to every patient seen during a given month. The Press-Ganey company had told Dr. Frazier that they believed that they could provide at least 300 respondents each month. The problem with going to PressGaney was that the Grant, GA hospital was a part of the greater Methodist Health System which valued uniformity in all of their survey methodology. Therefore, Frazier would have to personally pursue or find an ally in hospital administration to champion this change to the entire Methodist System. His ability to make such a change was complicated because the other ‘system’ hospitals in his geographic region did not place such a prominent emphasis on satisfaction scores. Additionally, Methodist’s chief rival in the area, Kennedy Medical Center, had recently switched from Gallup to Press-Ganey. Dr. Frazier did not know how this bit of information would be perceived by hospital administrators. On one hand he had hoped to use it as ammunition for his arguments, but he also knew that some in the Methodist system would want to avoid “copying” what Kennedy was doing. A second option would be to get more responses from Gallup. Previous administrators had told Frazier that he could survey up to 60 respondents but that the additional costs would have to come out of his emergency room budget and not from the hospital’s general operating budget. This additional expense would run approximately $1,000 extra per month, an expense that his budget could not bear. ________________________ 2 It is important to note that hospitals are legally bound to treat patients that come to them regardless of their ability to pay or insurance coverage. Page 13 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Dr. Frazier could not decide what to do. In his mind a response rate of 31 out of 1,400 was not a large enough sample of patients to provide any valid inferences about the quality work that he and his staff were doing. Would 60 respondents be any better, especially given the additional costs? Lastly, he considered the more risky option of pursuing the Press-Ganey data collection that would produce at least 300 respondents each month. He needed statistical evidence to help him decide his next step; evidence that he could use when he had his monthly meeting with his hospital administrator. Dr. Frazier also was concerned with the actual questions that were being asked as well as the response scale that was being used. Issues that troubled him deeply dealt with the four option response format, the questions themselves, and the actual respondents that Gallup was getting to answer their questions. He wondered if a “neutral” response would help his satisfaction scores. He also believed that more and better questions would produce better data, but he did not know how to approach this subject with the hospital administrators. Additionally, he was worried that Gallup was only getting responses from generally more dissatisfied patients. In other words, he believed that most of the truly satisfied patients had little to complain about and therefore would not take the time to respond Gallup’s phone questionnaire. Dr. Frazier had also pursued a “rolling 12” system for satisfaction data analysis. This system takes the current month’s data and adds it to the previous 11 months to get a more comprehensive, longitudinal look as satisfaction scores. Other areas of the hospital used a rolling 12 but the hospital administrators had not yet allowed the ER to use such a system and had not provided Dr. Frazier a compelling reason for this decision. Complicating Dr. Frazier’s dilemma was the situation in his Emergency Room. At the Grant Methodist hospital most of the patients were using the emergency room as their primary care clinic, leading to a significant problem of overcrowding. These patients often did not pay the hospital, therefore the hospital ended up writing these accounts off as bad debts. These patients would visit the ER first because other physicians in the area made patients without insurance pay for their services up front while the ER would service them regardless of their ability to make payment. Satisfaction scores were problematic in the ER because of this overcrowding. An additional problem occurred when these non urgent patients were passed over for patients with more pressing medical needs. The ER had a priority patient care system that dictates who got treatment first. These decisions were based on a 1-5 system: 1 critical care situations (near death) 2 heart attacks 3 abdominal pains 4 bone injuries – anything needing x rays 5 regular doctor visit type situations (this is where most visitors to Dr. Frazier’s ER fell). Page 14 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Dr. Frazier was concerned that the patients in his ER did not understand the priority system and certainly were not aware that their average length of stay (1.5 hours) was considerably shorter than the other local hospitals in the Methodist system (4 hours). Dr. Frazier was having a hard time convincing his ER physicians that the hospital was truly committed to quality patient care. What other assumptions could they make given that the administration refused to fund more data collection on satisfaction scores? He saw the fact that satisfaction scores were only collected and reported for the ER doctors as a group and not collected on a doctor by doctor basis as further support for his notion that the hospital was less than truly committed to patient satisfaction and physician improvement and development. This belief had also led to a problem with motivation in the ER. Dr. Frazier had a difficult time inspiring his doctors because, collectively, they did not believe that the satisfaction scores accurately captured their job performance. Adding to this problem was the fact that these satisfaction scores were the only form of performance evaluation conducted with the ER physicians. As Dr. Frazier looked at his year end report of satisfaction scores (Exhibit 1) he doubted whether or not he held in his hands information that could result in a valid statistical assessment of whether his employees were performing in a satisfactory or unsatisfactory manner. The sample also concerned him from a legal compliance / liability standpoint. If he had to make individual hiring / firing / promotion / demotion / salary decisions using a faulty instrument with an inadequate sample size that assessed group rather than individual performance, the hospital as well as he himself would be facing unnecessary legal exposure to potential discrimination claims. A few final issues filled Dr. Frazier’s mind. He knew that the variation in satisfaction scores had resulted in an inability to establish good baseline numbers to work from or good numbers to justify any expenditures to improve satisfaction or educational initiatives. He wrestled with the question of how he could make any changes and know whether or not they were working given his concerns over the sample size. Dr. Frazier’s frustration had reached the boiling point. He had discussed these issues with the four hospital administrators that he had worked for during his tenure at Methodist. He had had no success in convincing them of his problem. At the end of his rope, he was considering taking his problems to a higher level within the hospital’s governance structure with the hopes that his voice would be heard. Page 15 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 1 Year End Satisfaction Scores Report A). Time: Mean Standard deviation B). Care: Mean Standard deviation C). Willingness: Mean Standard deviation D). Quality: Mean Standard deviation n=31 per month 7/1/0x 3.03 1.11 3.23 .96 8/1/0x 3 1.16 3.19 1.18 9/1/0x 2.88 1.18 3.09 1.11 10/1/0x 3.19 1.16 3.32 1.19 11/1/0x 3.16 .97 3.35 .99 12/1/0x 3.28 .98 3.39 1.17 1/1/0y 3.13 1.14 3.29 1.13 2/1/0y 3.13 .99 3.35 .81 3/1/0y 3.16 1.15 3.47 .92 4/1/0y 3.13 1.14 3.29 1.07 5/1/0y 3.13 1.17 3.26 1.15 6/1/0y 3.1 1.08 3.33 1.16 3.26 1.05 3.19 .97 3.1 1.15 3.23 1.18 3.06 1.17 3.06 1.16 3.26 1.06 3.26 1.19 3.3 .97 3.43 .89 3.4 .81 3.37 .95 3.38 .92 3.25 1.11 3.31 .96 3.24 1.07 3.34 .88 3.31 .83 3.23 1.04 3.29 .97 3.4 .93 3.39 .95 3.27 1.04 3.4 .80 Challenge Target 3.25 3.175 3.41 3.32 3.37 3.26 3.44 3.32 A. The amount of time the Emergency Department doctor spent with you? B. The care and compassion shown by the Emergency Department doctor? C. The Emergency Department doctor's willingness to answer questions thoroughly? D. The quality of the Emergency Department physicians who treated you? Page 16 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Lessons from Computer Intrusion at TJX Benjamin Ngugi Suffolk University Glenn S Dardick Longwood University Gina Vega Salem, Salem State College ANNOUNCEMENT OF COMPUTER INTRUSION AT TJX The TJX Companies, Inc. today announced that it has suffered an unauthorized intrusion into its computer systems that process and store information related to customer transactions. While TJX has specifically identified some customer information that has been stolen from its systems, the full extent of the theft and affected customers are not yet known, read Dennis Frank from the TJX press statement [1] dated January 17, 2007. It was almost the end of the fall 2007 semester. Dennis, an assistant professor of Information Technology at a Boston university, was preparing a class presentation from his home office on the importance of customer data protection when his mind immediately focused on the computer intrusion at TJX earlier in the year. No other computer intrusion case could have been more relevant; he knew that several of his students were either directly affected or knew someone who had been affected by the TJX computer intrusion. Further, some of the issues that led to the TJX intrusion were now finding their way to the public via the media and the Internet, so the students would have ready access to research materials. He began analyzing all the TJX press statements about the computer intrusion. Dennis was distracted briefly by his wife who was furiously typing a holiday shopping list on her computer. The holiday season had arrived and they were inundated with special offers from the retail companies. First there was the Thanksgiving series of sales, and now the Christmas series had started. He wondered whether to warn her to use cash when doing her shopping, as credit cards were becoming unsafe despite their many benefits and the purchase protection they afforded. He went back to the article that he was reading. This intrusion involves the portion of TJX’s computer network that handles credit card, debit card, checks, and merchandise return transactions for customers of its T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, HomeGoods and A.J. Wright stores in the U.S. and Puerto Rico, and its Winners and HomeSense stores in Canada, and may involve customers of its T.K. Maxx stores in the U.K. and Ireland. The intrusion could also extend to TJX’s Bob’s Stores in the U.S. Page 17 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) “This has the potential of becoming a real disaster,” thought Dennis. “The stolen cards’ customer information could be used to make counterfeit cards which could lead to an identity theft crisis.” Complicating matters further was the fact that the theft was across the majority of the subsidiary companies, which increased the scale of affected customers. The Company immediately alerted law enforcement authorities of the crime and is working closely with them to help identify those responsible. TJX is also cooperating with credit and debit card issuers and providing them with information on the intrusion, the press release continued. How long had it taken the company to disclose the computer intrusion to the public? Every day wasted could make a difference in a victim’s journey through identity theft. However, the company had to balance the need for disclosure with the conflicting need to keep quiet long enough to give the law enforcement agencies time to catch up with the hackers. With the help of leading computer security experts, TJX has significantly strengthened the security of its computer systems. While no computer security can completely guarantee the safety of data, these experts have confirmed that the containment plan adopted by TJX is appropriate to prevent future intrusions and to protect the safety of credit card, debit card and other customer transactions in its stores. Dennis was happy to see that the company had sought advice from experts on strengthening its defense. The worst thing that could happen would be to have a repeat attack and theft of data. That could take away any remaining investor-confidence in the company. He wondered how the data thieves had penetrated the company’s security network and what layers of defense the company had now erected to deter similar types of attacks in the future. The TJX Companies, Inc The TJX companies, Incorporated was one of the leading retailers of apparel and home fashions in the USA and worldwide with annual sales hitting $17.4 billion in 2006 under the leadership of Bernard Cammarata, Chairman of the Board, and Carrol Meyrowitz, President and Chief Executive Officer [2]. The mission of the company was the delivery of an exciting, fresh and rapidly changing assortment of brand-name merchandise at excellent values to their customers [2]. TJX traced its origin from the first Zayre discount department store [3] opened by cousins Stanley and Sumner Feldberg in 1956 in Hyannis, Massachusetts. Zayre later incorporated in 1962 and went on to acquire several other companies. Zayres, Inc. was later renamed TJX Inc. As of 2008, TJX operated eight businesses, including T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, Home goods, Bob’s Stores and A.J Wright in the USA, Winners and Homesense in Canada, and T.K Maxx in Europe [2]. The group had over 2,400 stores with approximately 125,000 associates and placed 133rd in the Fortune 500 company ranking [2]. Page 18 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Update on the Computer Intrusion at TJX Dennis moved on to the second press release from TJX dated February 21, 2007 [4] giving an update on the computer intrusion. While the company previously believed that the intrusion took place only from May, 2006 to January, 2007, TJX now believes its computing system was also intruded upon in July 2005 and on various subsequent dates in 2005. Dennis could not believe what he was reading. Did this mean that the data thieves hacked into the system and continued stealing customer data from July, 2005 all the way to December, 2006 without being detected? How could such a large company not detect an intrusion for eighteen months? What level of IT security personnel were responsible for IT network security? Did they have a specific group within the IT organization that was responsible for IT network security? Did they have a layered network security plan in place? At a minimum, didn’t they employ intrusion detection systems? Didn’t they examine their logs to check for unauthorized file access? Dennis had worked in the IT security industry and knew that it was now standard policy in most organizations to employ top notch network security personnel. Such people would design the right security policies and then institute several layers of security controls to enforce the policies. Such controls would include segmenting the network into manageable units and putting in firewalls and intrusion detection systems (IDS) to protect the data. The IDS would monitor and detect abnormal/fraudulent user behavior and alert the network security officer. It was also now standard procedure to monitor server log files to see who was accessing sensitive data files. He felt it would not be asking too much to expect such a company to be doing the same. In addition to the customer data the Company previously reported as compromised, the Company now believes that information regarding portions of the credit and debit card transactions at its U.S., Puerto Rican and Canadian stores (excluding debit card transactions with cards issued by Canadian banks) from January, 2003 through June, 2004 was compromised. Dennis could understand why so many people were worried. Customers who had ever bought something at any of the TJX group of companies had reason to fear that they would become victims of identity theft, and things were getting worse. The hackers had accessed credit and debit card information and were in a position to use this information to purchase things which would be billed to the customers’ accounts. TJX has found additional drivers' license numbers together with related names and addresses that it believes were compromised. Why was the company keeping driving license numbers? Dennis was even more worried when he remembered that some customers used their social security numbers as their driver’s license numbers, making that group the most vulnerable to identity thieves. Page 19 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) He wanted a lot of answers and decided to look for an investigative report from a law enforcement agency or some other independent institution. He searched the Internet for “investigation on TJX computer intrusion,” and he got several hits. One was an investigation by the Canadian privacy commissioner[5]. He downloaded the full report from the commissioner’s website and sat down to read it. Report of an Investigation into the Security, Collection and Retention of Personal Information at TJX[5] On January 17, 2007, the Office of the Privacy Commissioner of Canada (OPC) and the Office of the Information and Privacy Commissioner of Alberta (AB OIPC) were notified by TJX and by Visa that TJX had suffered a network computer intrusion affecting the personal information of an estimated 45 million payment cards in Canada, the United States, Puerto Rico, the United Kingdom and Ireland. Dennis sighed with consternation. Forty-five million customers were now at risk because of the TJX computer intrusion. This would go down in history as one of the biggest hacks ever. He could not remember any other computer intrusion with such a large number of affected customers. The stakes were high, and the business case for putting safeguards into such an organization was strong, as the damage would be enormous. He wondered if he was jumping to conclusions and should first try to find out how the intruders had hacked into the TJX system. He came to the paragraph describing the penetration: TJX informed the investigators that “the intruder may have gained entry into the system outside of two stores in Miami, Florida.” Dennis almost missed it. From outside a store? Without going inside? Of course! The intruders must have hacked into the wireless system by positioning themselves strategically outside the two stores where they could get the wireless signal without going through the security guard at the door. This was getting interesting. He wondered whether the company had performed a wireless security risk analysis to identify the vulnerabilities of wireless security systems. What kind of security safeguards did the company have in place to prevent this kind of attack? He continued to the next paragraph. At the time of the breach, TJX had in place various technical measures in its North American stores to protect personal information, including the Wired Equivalent Privacy (WEP) encryption protocol. Dennis immediately identified one problem; WEP had been an obsolete encryption technology for several years. Earlier in the year, he had attended a seminar on wireless security and was well versed in the different wireless encryption technologies. The WEP protocol had been known to be unsafe [6] since 2001; in fact, several programs were widely available on the Internet that could be used to crack it in minutes. They could even be executed on an IPAQ PDA (a small personal device) that could be brought into a store undetected. The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) was the original drafter of the WEP standard. They later rejected WEP due to its insecurities and strongly recommended that users should move to the new WPA (WI-FI protected access) encryption system which had a more sophisticated algorithm and was, therefore, harder to Page 20 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) break [7]. Dennis wondered why a company of TJX’s size and available resources in terms of money and manpower would still be using such an outdated system. He read on. The “intruders then used deletion technology to cover their tracks thus making it impossible for TJX to determine the contents of the files created and downloaded by the intruder.” Dennis could tell that these were professional hackers, not the usual high school kids out to impress their peers with their computer hacking prowess. These were experts who deleted the server logs to stymie detection of the intrusion and took pains to cover their tracks so that they would not get caught by the law enforcement agencies. TJX could have avoided compromising important data like credit card data files and the server logs by making regular back-ups and keeping them at a different site. The backed up data could then have been used to track the hackers. He went on to review the objectives and findings of the Canadian probe in the TJX computer intrusion. The goal of the investigation was to “examine the collection, retention and safeguarding practices of the organization, in order to determine whether the breach could have been prevented.” The investigators had set the right objectives. The issues of collection, retention and safeguarding should form the core of a company’s information system security blueprint. “Prevention is better than cure,” went the old adage. Keeping the collected information to an absolute minimum would reduce the extent of the damage that could befall an organization like TJX. Likewise, if only the absolute minimum of the collected information were retained, then the amount of information to be protected was minimized. And finally, if the organization had strong safeguards, then it meant that the information retained would be protected and therefore so costly for hackers to access that it would not be worth the effort. The first issue that the investigators were concerned with was “whether TJX had a reasonable purpose for collecting the personal information affected by the breach.” This was very much in line with the view of many IT security experts: only information that met a certain purpose should be collected. Anything more would represent an unnecessary liability. Dennis could understand why a company would want to collect names and addresses for credit card verification. However, he could not understand why they had to store driver license numbers. If they wanted a photo ID, they could ask for the driver’s license and compare it with the credit card, but they did not need to enter this into the computer system. The second issue that the investigators sought confirmation of was whether TJX’s retention of customer data practice was in compliance with Canadian regulations. The investigators found that the “collection of names and addresses was acceptable but that of driver license ID numbers was excessive and contrary” to Canadian privacy laws. They determined that the TJX practice contravened the privacy laws and regulations. Collecting and retaining unnecessary personal data must have exacerbated the situation. The third issue that the commission investigated was whether TJX had made reasonable security arrangements to protect the personal information in its custody. Dennis knew that the responsibility for protecting customer data lay with the company collecting the information. He personally felt that the company should not have been using the WEP encryption protocol after the IEEE declared it insecure. Page 21 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) At the end of September, 2005, TJX made a decision to improve the protection of its wireless networks by installing the Wi-Fi Protected Access (WPA) encryption protocols in its stores. Dennis sighed; it was good the company had eventually realized the danger of using WEP, but it was too late by then. The press update [4] had stated that the first TJX intrusion was in July, 2005, so by the time they started upgrading to WPA the intruders were already into the system, siphoning customer data out. If they had changed to WPA earlier, they might have prevented the intrusion. Dennis was pleased to see that the “organization undertook forensic and other investigations to audit and analyze the security of the TJX computer system, and to enhance the security of the TJX computer system in a continuing effort by TJX to safeguard against future attempted unauthorized intrusions” and was taking steps to rectify the situation, but he wondered why they had to be hacked to do what they should have done earlier. He was angry that so much had been lost because of something that could have been prevented. The total losses from the intrusion would not be known for some time. By the second quarter earning report [8] in August, 2007, TJX had put aside $196 million before taxes as an estimated provision to cover the liabilities in anticipation of the suits that were bound to follow. This was in addition to the $25 million charge before taxes that they had taken earlier. The quarterly report further suggested that the company might have “to take an extra $35 million in the next financial year.” This totaled about $256 million, and the figure was increasing. In fact, some research firms estimated that “the total loss from the breach could reach $1 billion once settlement and lost sales were tallied.” [3[9] This was a monumental figure by any account. It would be good to compare the total loss with what TJX would have spent to fix the initial WEP problem and safeguard the customer data, thus avoiding the computer intrusion. Dennis could not get any exact figure so he decided to make a rough estimate. He knew that retailers like TJX that processed debit/credit cards from the major four credit card issuers (Visa, MasterCard, American Express and Discover) had to meet certain standards [10] set by the payment card industry (PCI). These consisted of twelve rules which were explicit in the layers of security controls that had to be erected to protect credit card data. The rules called for the proper installation of firewalls, access controls, encryption of data across open networks, regular software updates and monitoring of networks, and maintaining a sound information security policy. This layered defense would provide a formidable obstacle to hacking. (See Appendix A for an illustration of the Defense-in-Depth Strategy). Dennis emailed one of the leading security consultants he knew for an approximate figure on what a company like TJX would have incurred in becoming PCI compliant. “I cannot address TJX in particular but I know of an information-intensive company that has spent more than $20 million in order to be PCI compliant. This was a company that possessed many, many millions of individual personal identifiers, including social security numbers and had to be PCI compliant, level one, because it processes in excess of six million credit card transactions annually. So obviously, it has a significant retail operation,” Page 22 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) replied the security consultant. After chatting a bit longer, Dennis returned to his course preparation and decided to use the given figure as an upper limit. He did further investigation searching for real companies that had gone through PCI compliance. The Wall Street Journal [11] reported that the “musical-instruments retailer Guitar Center Inc, which operates more than 210 stores nationwide and processes several million paymentcard transactions a year, had purchased nearly $500,000 of new technology in the past year in order to comply with the PCI standards.” Dennis could not do a direct comparison as this company had 210 stores while TJX had 2,400 stores, so he computed the cost per store of about $2,380. Multiplying the cost per store by TJX total stores gave a figure of about $5.7 million. The same article stated that “the biggest merchants, those that process six million or more payment-card transactions a year from any single card brand, spent an average of $568,000 on new technologies to comply with the PCI security standards, according to estimates from Gartner, Inc.” In the case of TJX, there were embedded eight such large merchant businesses. T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, Home goods, Bob’s Stores, and A.J Wright in the USA, Winners and Homesense in Canada, and T.K Max in Europe were all subsidiaries of TJX and each processed six million or more payment-card transactions a year from any single card brand. Another way of getting an approximate figure would be to multiply the average cost by eight which gave $4.8 million. Dennis concluded that TJX would have invested about $5-20 million to become PCI compliant, but the final cost of the effects of the intrusion was going to be more than ten times what it would have cost to fix the system in the beginning. “Here’s a lesson,” Dennis thought, “for all companies about the importance of data security.” Dennis wondered whether other retailers had learned the same lesson that TJX had learned. Most of the retailers all over the United States used similar payment systems and were being guided by the same PCI rules; how well were they implementing these rules? How well were they protecting themselves now that they had seen one of their own lose so much and get so much negative publicity? He decided to find out. He remembered reading that AirDefense, one of the leading companies in wireless security, was doing a comprehensive national survey on the wireless security of retail stores. He searched for the survey results from the company’s website to see what they found out. What he was about to discover would shake his faith in the retail industry. On November 15, 2007, AirDefense published a survey [12] of the wireless data security and physical security practices in place at more than 3,000 stores nationwide and also in parts of Europe. Cities monitored were Atlanta, Boston, Chicago, Los Angeles, New York City, San Francisco, London and Paris. Research was conducted in some of the busiest shopping areas in the country, including: Rodeo Drive in Beverly Hills, Madison Avenue and 5th Avenue in New York City, Michigan Avenue in Chicago, and Union Square and Market Street in San Francisco. The company monitored 5,000 access points that connected wireless devices to wired computer networks. The results were shocking. Twenty-five percent of the networks were found to be unencrypted, meaning that anybody could access them. Another 25 percent were using Wired Equivalency Page 23 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Privacy (WEP), the same encryption protocol that had allowed the intrusion at TJX. The rest of the retail stores were using WPA, which was the recommended encryption protocol. Dennis was amazed. He wondered what it would take for the retail stores to take information security seriously. The net determination of the survey was that 50 percent of the retailers’ wireless access points were not safe. This left the shopper at the mercy of hackers. It was as if the retailers had learned nothing from the TJX computer intrusion. He wondered how long it would take before another computer intrusion was perpetrated. For the second time that morning, he wondered whether to advise his wife not to use her credit card at the retail stores. Page 24 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) REFERENCES 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. TJX Incorporation, The TJX Companies Incorporation Victimized by Computer Systems Intrusion: Provides Information to Help Protect Customers in Business Wire. 2007, TJX, Inc.: Framingham, Massachusetts. TJX Incorporation, 2006 Annual Report. 2007: Framingham, Massachusetts. Funding Universe. TJX Incorporation-Company History. 2002 [cited 2008 February]; Available from: http://www.fundinguniverse.com/company-histories/The-TJXCompanies-Inc-Company-History.html. TJX Incorporation, The TJX Companies Incorporation Updates Information on Computer Systems Intrusion in Business Wire. 2007. Privacy Commissioner -Canada and Information & Privacy Commissioner-Alberta, Report of an Investigation into the Security, Collection and Retention of Personal Information at TJX. 2007. Borisov, N., I. Goldberg, and D. Wagner. Intercepting Mobile Communications: The Insecurity of 802.11. in 7th Annual Conference on Mobile Computing and Networking (MOBICOM). 2001. Rome, Italy: ACM Press. IEEE Computer Society, IEEE Standard 802.11i for Information Technology Telecommunications and Information Exchanges between Systems -Local and Metropolitan Area Networks-Specific Requirements. 2004, IEEE: NewYork, USA. TJX Incorporation, The TJX Companies, Inc. Reports Strong Second Quarter FY08 Operating Results; Estimates Liability from Computer Systems Intrusion(s). 2007: Framingham, Massachusetts. Goodin, D., TJX Breach was Twice as Big as Admitted, Bank Says, in Channel Register. 2007. PCI Security Standard Council, Payment Card Industry (PCI) Data Security Standard. 2006: Wakefield, MA USA. Tam, P.-W. and R. Sidel, Business Technology: Security-Software Industry's Miniboom; As Merchants Upgrade Systems to Meet New Rules, Tech Firms Benefit, in Wall Street Journal. 2007: New York, N.Y. AirDefense. AirDefense's Comprehensive Survey of 3,000 Retail Stores Finds Many Wireless Data Security Vulnerabilities as Holiday Shopping Season Nears. 2007 [cited 2008 March, 25th]; Available from: http://www.airdefense.net/newsandpress/11_15_07.php. Whitman, M. and H. Mattord, Principles of Information Security. 2nd ed. 2005, Boston, Massachusetts, USA: Course Technology. Page 25 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Appendix A: Defense-in-depth Strategy Fig 1: Illustration of the Defense-in-Depth Strategy [13] The “defense-in-depth” strategy illustrated in Fig 1 involves setting up of overlapping layers of security controls so that an intruder will have to overcome one level after the other before reaching the protected resource. The weakness of one layer of security control is compensated by the strength of another. The overall goal is to vigorously prevent, detect and mitigate intrusions. Most intruders will give up after facing multiple layers. The type of controls should have a mix of both technology- and people-oriented solutions. Figure 1 shows several examples of technology based solutions that includes a firewall protecting the network and an intrusion detection systems within the network monitoring for unusual behavior. Likewise, the figure includes some people based solutions. Security to a large extent depends on having the right policies and regulations. Equally important is well trained and compensated personnel who will vigorously work to prevent, detect and mitigate security issues. The users should also be well educated and aware of the common threats facing the organization; because they are on the ground, they would be the first to notice unusual behavior or even attacks. Each of these solutions supplements the other in different ways. Page 11 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Ann Taylor: Survival in Specialty Retail Pauline Assenza Manhattanville College Alan B. Eisner Lubin School of Business, Pace University Jerome C. Kuperman Minnesota State University Moorhead In the summer of 2008, headlines announced that the declining economy was generating a “wave of retail closures” among many well-known companies, including Home Depot, Pier 1 Imports, Zales, Gap, Talbots, Lane Bryant, and Ann Taylor. The Chief Executive of J.C. Penney’s called the 2008 situation “the most unpredictable environment in his 39-year retail career”. i One industry group forecasted that nearly 6,000 retail stores would close in 2008, a 25 percent increase from the previous year. A representative from the National Retail Federation (NRF) suggested that these businesses should “look at where they’re underperforming and how can they change their operations so that they have a little bit more power in another area, or a little bit more growth potential.” ii Kay Krill, President and CEO of Ann Taylor Stores Corporation (ANN), was already considering this advice. Krill had been appointed President of ANN in late 2004, and succeeded to President/CEO in late 2005 when J. Patrick Spainhour retired after eight years as CEO. At that time, there had been concern among commentators and customers that the Ann Taylor look was getting “stodgy”, and the question was how to “reestablish Ann Taylor as the preeminent brand for beautiful, elegant, and sophisticated occasion dressing”. iii In order to reestablish the brand, Kay Krill had acknowledged the importance of the consumer, since for Ann Taylor to succeed long term, “enough women still need to dress up for work”. iv Krill’s challenge was based in the ANN legacy as a women’s specialty clothing retailer. Since 1954, Ann Taylor had been the wardrobe source for busy socially upscale women, and the classic basic black dress and woman’s power suit with pearls were Ann Taylor staples. The Ann Taylor client base consisted of fashion conscious women from the ages of 25 to 55. The overall Ann Taylor concept was designed to appeal to professional women who had limited time to shop and who were attracted to Ann Taylor Stores by its total wardrobing strategy, personalized client service, efficient store layouts and continual flow of new merchandise. ANN had two divisions focused on different segments of this customer base: Ann Taylor (AT), the company’s original brand, provided sophisticated, versatile and high quality updated classics. Ann Taylor LOFT (LOFT) was a concept that appealed to women with a more relaxed lifestyle and work environment and who appreciated the more casual LOFT style and Page 12 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) compelling value. Certain clients of Ann Taylor and Ann Taylor LOFT cross-shopped both brands. Ann Taylor Factory was the company’s newest division. The merchandise in these stores was specifically designed to carry the Ann Taylor Factory label. The stores were located in outlet malls where customers expected to find these and other major label bargains. ANN had regularly appeared in the Women’s Wear Daily “Top 10” list of firms selling dresses, suits and eveningwear and the “Top 20” list of publicly traded women’s specialty retailers. The listings recognized the total company, i.e., the result of the impact of all three divisions. Financial data from 2004-2008 shows the performance of LOFT compared to AT (See Exhibit 1: AT vs. LOFT Financial Performance 2004-2008.) In October of 2004, for the first time, the LOFT division outsold the flagship Ann Taylor (AT) division stores. v In the second quarter of 2004 LOFT had opened its 300th store, passing the Ann Taylor division in total square footage. Since its emergence as a distinctly competitive division, LOFT had been such a success for the company that some analysts credited the division for “keeping the entire ANN corporation afloat”. vi In the company’s 2007 Annual Report Krill acknowledged the ongoing challenge: To be successful in meeting the changing needs of our clients, we must continually evolve and elevate our brands to ensure they remain compelling—from our product, to our marketing, to our in-store environment. vii Although Krill believed that the overall Ann Taylor brand still had its historic appeal, the question remained whether that appeal could be sustained indefinitely in such a risky and uncertain specialty retail environment where success was so dependent on the “ability to predict accurately client fashion preferences.” viii Krill was evaluating the company and its growth prospects. Macroeconomic conditions had worsened, and the retailing environment was being threatened by slowing consumer demand. As one analyst put it, More mature female shoppers are probably more likely to be very careful how they spend their money in this economy. They are not your footloose-and-fancy-free teen shoppers. These consumers are far more likely to open their pocketbooks only if the merchandise is right (and now, probably only if the price is right, too). ix Within the company, Krill was contemplating how to revitalize the flagship AT store brand, and what effect that would have on the recent growth of LOFT. In addition, ANN had recently launched a beauty business as a department within the AT and LOFT stores, had expanded the high end fashion offerings in AT as a separate Collections line, announced the opening of LOFT Outlet stores to complement Ann Taylor Factory, and was considering a new concept store specifically targeting the “older” segment of women ages 55-64. Krill was firmly committed to long-term growth, and felt that she could pursue that growth agenda even as the economy had worsened. However, she was confronted with significant questions. For example, was her agenda Page 13 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) too aggressive? Were the actions she had undertaken the kinds of moves needed to unleash what she believed was the firm’s “significant untapped potential”? x ANN TAYLOR BACKGROUND Ann Taylor was founded in 1954 as a wardrobe source for busy socially upscale women. Starting out in New Haven, CT, Ann Taylor founder Robert Liebeskind established a stand-alone clothing store. When Liebeskind’s father, Richard Liebeskind, Sr., a designer himself, as a good luck gesture gave his son exclusive rights to one of his best selling dresses, “Ann Taylor”, the company name was established. Ann Taylor was never a real person, but her persona lived on in the profile of the consumer. Ann Taylor went public on the New York Stock Exchange in 1991 under the symbol ANN. In 1994 the company added a mail catalog business, a fragrance line, and free standing shoe stores positioned to supplement the Ann Taylor (AT) stores. The mail order catalog attempt ended in 1995, and the lower-priced apparel concept, Ann Taylor LOFT, was launched. LOFT was meant to appeal to a younger more casual and cost-conscious but still professional consumer. CEO Sally Kazaks incorporated more casual clothing, petite sizes, and accessories in an attempt to create a one-stop shopping environment, to “widen market appeal and fuel growth”. xi Following losses in fiscal 1996 that could be attributed to a fashion misstep – cropped T-shirts didn’t fit in with the workplace attire - Kasaks left the company. New ANN CEO Patrick Spainhour, who had been Chief Financial Officer at Donna Karan and had also had previous experience at Gap, shelved the fragrance line, and closed the shoe stores in 1997. Originally the LOFT stores were found only in outlet centers, but later expanded to other kinds of locations. In 1998 the LOFT stores in the discount outlet malls were moved to a third division, Ann Taylor Factory (Factory). The Factory carried clothes from the Ann Taylor (AT) line. The concept offered customers direct access to the AT designer items “off the rack” without elaborate promotion, and with prices regularly 25-30 percent less than at the high end Ann Taylor (AT) stores. The LOFT concept was revamped and stores were opened in more prestigious regional malls and shopping centers. By 1999 LOFT clothes were a distinct line of “more casual, yet business tailored, fun, and feminine”, and were about 30 percent less expensive than the merchandise at the flagship Ann Taylor (AT) division’s stores. xii At that time, the LOFT was under the direction of Kay Krill, who had been promoted to the position as Executive Vice President of the LOFT division. Ann Taylor attempted a cosmetic line in 2000, which it discontinued in 2001. In 2000, the Online Store at www.anntaylor.com was launched, only to be cut back in late 2001 when projected cash flow goals were not met. In early 2001 Spainhour restructured management reporting relationships, creating new President positions for both Ann Taylor (AT) and Ann Taylor LOFT divisions. Kay Krill was promoted from executive vice-president to president of LOFT. Spainhour commented that, Kay has been instrumental in developing the strategy for the Ann Taylor Loft concept since its inception. Her in-depth understanding of the Ann Taylor Loft client, and strong grounding in the Ann Taylor brand, combined with her proven ability in driving the development of this division, make her an ideal choice for the new President position. xiii Page 14 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Kay Krill was made president of the entire ANN corporation in 2004, bringing both Ann Taylor and LOFT under her control. In February of 2005 Kay Krill announced that LOFT had reached $1 billion dollars in sales, stating, This is an important milestone for our Company. In an intensely competitive and fragmented apparel market, Ann Taylor LOFT has been one of the industry's most successful and fastest-growing apparel retail concepts since its launch in 1998. … LOFT's success reaffirms the importance of maintaining a strong connection with our client and evolving with her wardrobe needs over time. xiv In June 2005 ANN completed a move to new headquarters in Times Square Tower in New York City. xv In the fall of 2005, Chairman and CEO J. Patrick Spainhour retired and President Kay Krill was elevated to the CEO position. In a conference call following her promotion, Krill stated her goals as “improving profitability while enhancing both brands”, “restoring performance at the Ann Taylor division and restoring the momentum at LOFT”. xvi Krill felt the outlook for fiscal year 2006 was cautiously positive, and announced continued plans for expansion and related capital expenditure. The stock responded with new highs, moving to a peak of over $40 in late 2006. At that time, analysts were mainly supportive citing “confidence in the retailer's strong management team, improving store products, and conservative inventory management”. xvii ANN’s stock price subsequently retreated in 2007, along with the rest of the retailing sector. (See Exhibit 2: ANN Stock Price 1992-2008; Exhibit 3: Stores Operational Data. For full financials and operating statistics for 2004-2008, see Exhibits 4-6.) Challenges in the macroeconomic climate prompted Krill to announce a restructuring plan in 2008. In the 2007 Annual Report letter to shareholders Krill said, We understand that the economy invariably goes through cycles. We firmly believe that the manner in which we approach growth and manage our business through these cycles will differentiate us and determine our success in the market over the long term. In this regard, we have planned fiscal 2008 cautiously and realistically, focusing on three key areas—the evolution of our brands and channels, the reduction of our overall cost structure, and the continued pursuit of growth. xviii THE APPAREL RETAIL INDUSTRY History Prior to the development of a retailing industry, the only option for upper class wealthy women who desired to be fashionable was to hire local dressmakers to create one-of-a-kind personalized garments. Women with more limited resources had few options until the 1800s. Enterprising seamstresses began mass-producing dresses at that time, utilizing the increased availability of textiles and the invention of the sewing machine. The increasing availability of diverse products led to the creation of the variety store, the precursor of the current department store. At the same time, entrepreneurial seamstresses previously working as personalized dressmakers began to open specialty stores for fashionable women’s clothing. Thus came the origins of modern retailing, with both department stores and specialty retailers co-existing in many downtown locations. Page 15 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) The movement of the U.S. population into the suburbs, along with an increasing use of automobiles, led to the development in the 1930s and 1940s of planned shopping centers and highway strips of unified shopping stores. This expansion included the first free-standing stores with on-site parking, as run by Sears Roebuck & Co. The shopping mall concept expanded further in the 1950s. Usually “anchored” by either supermarkets or department stores, these shopping centers also allowed specialty and department retailers to co-exist in the same physical location. By the 1980s, there were 16,000 retail shopping centers in the U.S. xix However, as customers showed their increased interest in more convenient and quicker service, alternatives to traditional ‘brick and mortar’ shopping centers appeared. They included non-store direct mail order, infomercial and shopping channel TV venues, and online options. Many retailers also made a strategic decision to create specialty clothing departments and focus on items such as sports wear, or appeal to specific niches such as either large-sized or petite women. xx In addition, response to the threat of discounter department stores like Target and Wal-Mart prompted some established specialty firms to create separate divisions focused on lower priced fashions. xxi Industry Sectors Practically speaking, industry watchers tended to recognize three separate categories of clothing retailers. Industry publications such as the Daily News Record (DNR – reporting on men’s fashions news and business strategies), Women’s Wear Daily (WWD – reporting on women’s fashions and apparel business), and industry associations such as the National Retail Federation (NRF) reported data within the clothing sector broken out by: • • • Discount mass merchandisers like Target, Wal-Mart, TJX (TJ Maxx, Marshall’s, A.J. Wright, Bob’s Stores), and Costco. Multi-tier department stores (those offering a large variety of goods, including clothing, like Macy’s and J.C. Penney’s, and the more luxury-goods focused stores like Nordstrom’s and Neiman Marcus). Specialty store chains (those catering to a certain type of customer or type of goods, e.g. Abercrombie & Fitch for casual apparel). More specifically in the case of specialty retail, many broadly recognized primary categories existed such as women’s, men’s, and children’s clothing stores (e.g., Victoria’s Secret for women’s undergarments xxii, Men’s Wearhouse for men’s suits, abercrombie Kids for children aged 7-14 xxiii). Women’s specialty stores were “establishments primarily engaged in retailing a specialized line of women’s, juniors’ and misses’ clothing.” xxiv. A unique form of organization that sometimes appeared as competition in the specialty retail category was the clothing designer. Originally an evolution of the custom seamstress, for one-ofa-kind garments, fashion design houses such as Liz Claiborne and Ralph Lauren could also produce their creations in bulk, as ready-to-wear clothing. These firms were generally considered apparel wholesalers, with their items normally for sale to the clothing retailers, such as Macy’s, but well-established designers could also build their own specialty stores to sell directly to the consumer. Page 16 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) SPECIALTY RETAILER GROWTH: BRANDING CHALLENGES Unlike department stores that sold many different types of products for many types of customers, specialty retailers focused on one type of product item, and offered many varieties of that item. However, this single product focus increased risk, as lost sales in one area could not be recouped by a shift of interest to another entirely different product area. Therefore, many specialty retailers constantly sought out new market segments (i.e., niches) that they could serve. However, this strategy created potential problems for branding xxv. A participant at the 2007 NRF convention commented, Brand building, acquisition, and tiering is hotter than ever in retail and consumer products – so much so they may be contributing to shorter life spans for some brands and perhaps diluting the value of all. In any event, the massive proliferation of brands in recent years – some out of thin air, others even reborn from the grave – brings with it a minefield of potential dangers. xxvi Gap, Inc. was an example of a specialty retailer that had added several brand extensions to appeal to different customer segments. In addition to the original Gap line of casual clothing, the company offered the following: Old Navy with casual fashions at low prices, Banana Republic for more high-end casual items, and Piperlime as an online shoe store. However, in 2005 Gap had also spent $40 million to open a chain for upscale women’s clothing called Forth & Towne, which closed after only 18 months. The store was supposed to appeal to upscale women over 35 – the “baby boomer” segment - but, instead, the designers seemed “too focused on reproducing youthful fashions with a more generous cut” instead of finding an “interesting, affordable way” for middle-aged women to “dress like themselves.” xxvii Chico’s FAS, Inc. was another specialty retailer who tried brand expansions. Chico’s focused on private-label, casual-to-dressy clothing to women 35 years old and up, with relaxed, figureflattering styles constructed out of easy-care fabrics. An outgrowth of a Mexican folk art boutique, Chico’s was originally a stand-alone brand. Starting in late 2003, Chico’s FAS decided to promote two new brands: White House/Black Market (WH/BM), and Soma by Chico’s (Soma). Chico’s WH/BM brand was based on the acquisition of an existing store chain, and focused on women 25 years old and up, offering fashion and merchandise in black and white and related shades. Soma was a newly developed brand offering intimate apparel, sleepwear and active wear. Each brand had its own storefront, mainly in shopping malls, and was augmented by both mail order catalog and Internet sales. The idea was that the loyal Chico’s customer would be drawn to shop at these other concept stores, expecting the same level of quality, service, and targeted offerings that had pleased her in the past. Although Chico’s had been a solid performer during the decade, surpassing most other women’s clothing retailers in sales growth, a downturn in 2006 caused Chico’s shares to fall more than 50 percent when the company reported sales and earnings below analysts’ expectations. Chico’s had seen increasing competition for its baby boomer customers, and said it had lost momentum during 2006, partly because of “fashion missteps” and lack of sufficiently new product designs. Page 17 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) The company’s response was to create brand presidents for the three divisions to hopefully create more “excitement and differentiation.” xxviii In an attempt to better manage the proliferation of brands, many firms, similar to Chico’s, created an organizational structure where brands had their own dedicated managers, with titles such as executive vice president (EVP)/general merchandise manager, chief merchandising officer, or outright “brand president.” xxix Since each brand was supposedly unique, companies felt the person responsible for a brand’s creative vision should be unique as well. An alternative to brand extension was the divestiture of brands. In 1988 Limited Brands xxx acquired Abercrombie and Fitch (A&F) and rebuilt A&F to represent the “preppy” lifestyle of teenagers and college students aged 18-22. In 1996 Limited Brands spun A&F off as a separate public company. Limited Brands continued divesting brands: teenage clothing and accessories brand The Limited TOO in 1999, plus-size women’s clothing brand Lane Bryant in 2001, professional women’s clothing brand Lerner New York in 2002, and in 2007 the casual women’s clothing brands Express and The Limited. Paring down in order to focus mostly on key brands Victoria’s Secret and Bath & Body Works, the corporation had made it clear as of 2007 that it was still not done reconfiguring itself xxxi WOMEN’S SPECIALTY RETAIL – COMPETITORS AND THE “OLDER WOMEN” SEGMENT The National Retail Federation, a Washington, D.C.-based trade group, reported that the retail niches showing the greatest growth in 2006 were department stores, stores catering to the teenage children of baby boomers, and those apparel chains aimed at women over 35. xxxii The four major women’s specialty retailers who were trying to target older upscale shoppers were Ann Taylor, Chicos FAS, Coldwater Creek and Talbots. Ann Taylor was the only one of these with a significant brand extension for the younger professional, but all four were promising a shopping environment and merchandise clearly focused on women over 35. (See Exhibit 7: Selected Retail Performers.) Talbot’s CEO Trudy Sullivan noted, Nobody is clearly winning in the 35+ consumer space right now … we need to absolutely wow her with this irresistible product and none of us have done that. xxxiii This group of women, born between 1946 and 1964, was part of the “baby boomer” demographic, and the purchasing power of these women had not gone unnoticed. xxxiv Accounting for nearly half of the $102.7 billion in women’s clothing purchases in 2007, these women were very diverse, ranging from “traditional types who prefer flat shoes and ankle-length skirts to women who resemble characters from Desperate Housewives.” xxxv To respond to this diversity in the marketplace, woman’s specialty retailer Talbot’s Inc. acquired catalog and mail order company J.Jill Group in 2006. J.Jill was a woman’s clothing specialty retailer offering quality casual fashion through multi-channel mail order, Internet, and in-store venues. J.Jill targeted women ages 35-55, while Talbot’s focused on the 45-65 age group. The Page 18 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) acquisition positioned Talbot’s as “the leading apparel retailer for the highly coveted age 35+ female population,” and allowed the company to “protect the distinct identity of each brand, while maximizing the synergies” in its business model. xxxvi Coldwater Creek, with its large jewelry, accessory, and gift assortment in addition to apparel, targeted women over 35 with incomes in access of $75K by appealing with a Northwest/Southwest lifestyle approach that included a group of Spa locations. Coldwater’s customer was not considered “trendy” by any means: “She’s never going to be a fashion leader … but she wants to look modern.” xxxvii Coldwater Creek created a common brand identity for its three distribution channels: catalog, Internet, and in-store shopping. This distinct brand image yielded the best shareholder return in the group (Coldwater Creek, Chico’s FAS, Ann Taylor, and Talbot’s) since 2002, with a 33.8% revenue growth in fiscal year 2006. xxxviii Chico’s FAS was one of the first to introduce the concept of apparel designed for the lifestyle of dynamic mature women who were at the higher age end of the boomer demographic. xxxix Chico’s, along with Coldwater Creek, was one of the recipients of the 50+Fabulous Company award in 2007, an award that promoted positive images of women who were in their 50’s or older. The founder of 50+Fabulous had established this award to promote “the value of 50+ women in the workplace and beyond”, noting, “companies have been slow to recognize the vast potential” of this demographic. xl In August of 2007 Kay Krill announced ANN would be creating a new chain of stores expected to launch sometime in 2008 or 2009, targeting this “older women” segment, stating, While there are a number of companies that currently play in the broader boomer market, we believe that this particular segment has been the most significantly underserved and a huge opportunity for us. xli Some analysts wondered about this move into an overlooked but risky market that “has tripped up several competitors like Gap.” They pointed out that although ANN’s clothes were expected to be more fashionable, the company still faced stiff competition, made even tougher given the uneven performance of AT and LOFT. xlii In 2008, as a result of the overall economic conditions, Krill announced that this new concept offering would have to be delayed at least until 2009. xliii ANN OPERATIONAL INFORMATION xliv At the end of fiscal year 2007, ANN had 929 stores in 46 states, the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico, with flagship locations in New York, San Francisco, and Chicago. (See Exhibit 3: Stores Operational Data for specifics.) The company had also had an online presence since 2000, and transacted sales at www.anntaylor.com and www.anntaylorLOFT.com. This “very profitable” Internet channel was considered “a meaningful and effective marketing vehicle for both brands”, representing 10 percent of AT sales, less than that for LOFT, and was a way for ANN to reach out to the international market. xlv Substantially all merchandise offered in ANN’s stores was exclusively developed for the company by its in-house product design and development teams. ANN sourced merchandise Page 19 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) from approximately 231 manufacturers and vendors, none of whom accounted for more than 4 percent of the company’s merchandise purchases in Fiscal 2007. Merchandise was manufactured in over 15 countries, including China, the Philippines, Indonesia, Hong Kong and Thailand. ANN’s planning departments analyzed each store’s size, location, demographics, sales, and inventory history to determine the quantity of merchandise to be purchased for and then allocated to the stores. The company used a centralized distribution system with a single warehouse in Louisville, Kentucky. At the store level, merchandise was typically sold at its original marked price for several weeks. After that, markdowns were used if inventory did not sell. Store planners recognized that the lack of inventory turnover could have been because of poor merchandise design, seasonal adaptation or changes in client preference, or that the original price points had been set incorrectly. Recent ANN initiatives had focused on improving supply chain speed, flexibility and efficiency. Reduced floor inventory levels combined with the use of new “quick-sourcing” software were meant to help create quicker inventory turns. Faster turns would lead to continual updating of floor merchandise and a greater emphasis on “full-price selling”. xlvi As a result, ANN was hoping to see fewer markdowns and higher margins. The new “quick-sourcing” software was just one example of continued efforts to improve the company’s information systems. ANN had initiated a real estate reinvestment program focused on enhancing the look and feel of 43 stores in 2005, in a move toward the “store of the future”. xlvii In addition, the firm had begun a real estate expansion program designed to reach new clients either by opening new stores, relocating stores, or expanding the size of existing stores. Store locations were determined on the basis of various factors including • Geographic location • Demographic studies • Anchor tenants in a mall location • Other specialty stores in a mall or specialty center location or in the vicinity of a village location • The proximity to professional offices in a downtown or village location Two potential concerns were emerging for ANN as a result of its recent investments in store expansion and remodeling. First, the increasing sales volume threatened to put stress on the company’s internal distribution system. The distribution center in Louisville had been investing in incremental improvements through automation and software integration. However the distribution center had only sufficient capacity to supply 1,050 stores. After that, ANN’s logistical experts cautioned that the building footprint would have to be expanded. xlviii A second concern was whether projected earnings, given economic weakness, would actually be able to cover the projected long-term lease obligations that were being added. One analyst had warned, Store expansion is a risk for all apparel retailers. Gap Inc., for example, spent massively to add stores in the 1990s and … the stores became a big cost overhead once Gap’s clothes stopped selling well. xlix Page 20 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) ANN TAYLOR’S BRAND IDENTITY When ANN went public in 1991, the Ann Taylor brand, with its historically loyal following, was a candidate for brand extension. At one point in its history, the company had five separate store concepts: Ann Taylor (AT), Ann Taylor’s Studio Shoes, Ann Taylor LOFT, Ann Taylor Petites (clothing for women 5’4” and under), and Ann Taylor Factory. In addition, ANN’s management had experimented with a make-up line and children’s clothes. By 2005, the company had closed the shoe stores, reduced the accessories inventory that stores carried, and eliminated the make-up line. However, ANN was still offering petites, as a separate section in the AT and LOFT stores, and experimenting with children’s clothes and sleepwear through the LOFT division. A separate maternity section in selected LOFT stores was also undergoing a trial period. Since 1999 analysts had warned that ANN needed to be wary of cannibalization within the brands. The analysts speculated that customers might turn away from Ann Taylor (AT) in order to buy at LOFT. ANN had always tried to respond to the customer with “wardrobing”, a philosophy of “outfitting from head to toe”, combining relaxed everyday wear with more dressy pieces. l Since LOFT sold more relaxed but still tailored items at a lower price than AT, it was possible that some of AT’s customers shopped at LOFT for things that they previously would have bought at AT. The industry was used to brand extensions such as Gap’s Old Navy chain. In contrast to Gap, LOFT used “Ann Taylor” in its name, reinforcing the perception of customers that they could get the same brand for less. As one analyst put it, It’s not clear that the Ann Taylor customer will continue paying $88 for a silk cardigan sweater when she knows she can pick up a similar cardigan for $39 … a few blocks away at LOFT. li As new CEO in the fall of 2005, one of Krill’s first actions was to recruit Laura Weil to a new position as Corporate Operations Officer (COO). Weil came from American Eagle Outfitters where she had focused on financial issues involving real estate, pricing, sourcing, and logistics. In addition, Weil handled the divestiture of underperforming assets. In her role as COO at ANN she would be expected to “focus on inventory management and merchandise planning, information systems and supply chain operations”. lii The appointment of Weil and four other staff changes reconfigured ANN’s top management structure. Krill created three positions that reported directly to her - COO, Executive Vice President (EVP) of planning and allocation, and EVP/chief marketing officer. The three additional positions provided specific expertise while still allowing Krill to “lead both divisions [AT & LOFT] in a more hands-on-way”. Krill then focused on merchandising and marketing, especially brand differentiation. liii AT and LOFT continued to have separate EVP’s for merchandising and design, and Senior Vice President’s for divisional marketing, design, sourcing and store direction. Krill had asked her staff to spend time with ANN customers and develop “brand books” or profiles of the typical Ann Taylor (AT) and LOFT clients. liv The “Ann” (AT) marketing profile Page 21 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) was of a married 36 year-old working mother with two children and a household income of $150K. She would lead a busy, sophisticated life. When giving a presentation to a client, she’d wear a formal suit with a blouse, not a camisole, underneath, and her idea of dressing down at work might be a velvet jacket with jeans. In contrast, the typical LOFT client was married, in her 30’s with children, worked in a laid-back less corporate environment, and had a household income between $75K and $100K. She would call her style “casual chic” and might wear pants and a floral top with ruffled sleeves to work, while on the weekend she would wear a printed shoulder-baring halter top with cropped jeans. Krill had always felt that both AT and LOFT were recognizably different from one another. In 2005, Krill stated that there was “a pretty clear differentiation”, with “special occasion and work primarily being the focus” at AT, and “more relaxed, separates and fashion” at LOFT. lv In support of the AT brand, the company also expanded its focus on special events with the introduction of its Celebrations collection. The company introduced Celebrations into the AT stores as a line of classic, elegant dresses and coordinating accessories for special occasion, such as weddings and engagement parties. Of particular interest to long-term ANN customers was the introduction of dye-to-match sashes and accessories for bridesmaids, with fully coordinated jewelry and shoe styles, offered in petites as well as regular sizes (petites being women shorter than 5’4” in height). The expansion of the selection in petite sizes, especially online, was seen as a “great opportunity”, since some department stores had reduced their petite offerings. lvi TOP MANAGEMENT TEAM TURNOVER As Krill was working to resolve branding issues between divisions, improve efficiencies and find ways to grow the company, she also had to deal with a variety of top management team resignations. In the spring of 2006 COO Laura Weil left abruptly after only a few months. Weil’s many responsibilities at ANN included merchandise planning; information systems; all supply chain operations including sourcing, logistics and distribution; real estate; construction and facilities, and purchasing; as well as finance, accounting and investor relations. lvii Krill decided not to replace Weil and eliminated the position on the organizational chart. Krill assumed leadership of LOFT again, playing a dual role while searching for a new divisional president. Krill commented, “I believe that building a winning team is critical to fully realizing our company’s full potential”. lviii However, it appeared that creating that “winning team” was taking longer than anticipated. One source wondered about the pressure on Krill, especially since she didn’t have a “strong operating partner” to help with merchandising and other creative decisions. lix Even though Krill had made differentiation between AT and LOFT a top priority, analysts continued to challenge Krill’s efforts, noting that it had been hard to get both divisions moving forward simultaneously. As one analyst said “it just seems like it’s a struggle to get both of these divisions firing on all cylinders at the same time”. lx Krill responded to the comment that consistency had been a problem: Page 22 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) The notion that Ann Taylor got soft because I was supporting the LOFT team is really a completely inaccurate comment. As CEO of the company I have to spend my time on many things, and if one of our businesses is softening in any way I will focus extra time on it. lxi In August 2007, long-time CFO James Smith and Chief Marketing Officer Elaine Boltz both resigned, and then in July 2008 long-time Chief Supply Chain Officer Anthony Romano also left to “pursue other interests” lxii. Although she had hired a new CFO and Chief Marketing Officer in late 2007, these departures left Krill once again without a lot of depth at the top. lxiii However, Krill had had experience with management turnover as she had had to deal with seven resignations, seven new hires, and two promotions in her upper management team over two years’ time. As of the end of 2008 she had finally filled the AT and LOFT Divisional President positions. (See Exhibit 8: Summary of Personnel Changes at ANN.) FUTURE PLANS AND INITIATIVES As part of a multi-year restructuring program begun in 2008, ANN was focused on reducing excess costs, and planned to do so by closing underperforming stores, downsizing ANN’s corporate and divisional staff by eliminating approximately 260 positions, reducing executive compensation bonus payout as a result of higher performance goals, and consolidating “all purchasing activities under a centralized strategic procurement organization to leverage scale”. lxiv The restructuring program included a suspension of the share repurchase plan and a scale back of capital spending, and was expected to result in ongoing annualized savings of approximately $80 to $90 million. lxv The pre-tax costs of this restructuring were forecasted to be $65 to $70 million over the period from 2008 to 2010, but Krill felt the company was “well positioned to support our brands and focus on strengthening our underlying business” due to the “debt-free balance sheet and approximately $295 million in available liquidity”. lxvi The company planned to open fewer stores in 2008 than in previous years. The shift of emphasis was planned to “aggressively invest in factory channel expansion” for both the existing Ann Taylor Factory Stores and a new Ann Taylor LOFT factory outlet concept. lxvii These stores offered merchandise 25 to 30 percent less than at the AT or LOFT regular stores. The outlet or factory business had delivered “strong gross margin” previously, and was considered “an important growth driver” even though “the general economic softness” was “having some impact on this price sensitive consumer”. lxviii Krill had also announced that the Collections line, an augmentation of the Celebrations bridal and special occasion wear line introduced in late 2006, would have its own department within the Ann Taylor (AT) stores. With offerings 40 percent more expensive than regular AT merchandise, it would be an effort to “grab more affluent working women who weren’t feeling pinched in the pocketbook,” and would be built around the suits and dresses that created Ann Taylor’s reputation. The plan was to introduce this upscale, expensive product in some of the top-selling Ann Taylor locations around the country, where AT was already “sitting next to Neiman’s, Prada, Gucci,” since, “we know there’s a client there who has an appetite for more upscale, expensive product.” lxix Page 23 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Krill also announced that ANN would be developing an exclusive beauty business. The company introduced Ann Taylor label fragrance and bath and body products as a separate department within AT stores for the 2007 holiday season, and scheduled the launch of beauty products in the LOFT division during 2008. Krill believed that specialty stores with only a 10 percent share of the beauty products market were in a position to add to that share. Responding to comments about ANN’s previous foray into the cosmetic business, Krill said, “in the past, we’ve dipped our baby toes in, and have not done it justice. Now we are trying to find meaningful ways to grow the business”. lxx Krill planned to eventually expand the beauty collection into every ANN brand. Analysts predicted this introduction could generate up to $15 million in sales in its first year, since it represented a high-margin category that traditionally drew greater repeat traffic than apparel. It could also be an important gift business, especially around the holidays. First quarter results in 2008 showed that although the fragrance line had done well, the body care component had not. The line of maternity clothes in selected LOFT stores was also still undergoing a test of this product’s viability. lxxi Regarding ANN’s new initiatives, one brand consultant commented, Tweaking a few elements of a product line doesn’t work. Branding is far more than just product. It is about the entire entity and the perception that entity (in all of its components) has created in the consumer’s mind … The most successful brands in any category never fail to cater to and reward their core customers all the time. [And, responding specifically to the announcement of the upscale Collections line,] … trying to be too many things to a diverse audience under one roof is a losing business strategy for an established brand. lxxii Krill responded, The Company remains firmly committed to long-term growth, and we believe we have significant untapped potential ahead of us. … For fiscal 2008, we are relentlessly focused on strengthening our business, improving our gross margins with tight inventory management, executing our restructuring program with excellence, and pursuing growth in a measured and prudent manner. Beyond 2008, we are confident that we have positioned the Company for long-term growth and success. lxxiii Krill appeared to be confident in her strategies for the future. However, the retail environment was increasingly unpredictable. Had Krill’s new strategies been well considered, given the ongoing challenges of AT and LOFT, and the difficult specialty retail environment in 2008? What else could Krill have done to create growth? Should ANN have focused on improving its current businesses, or on developing new initiatives? Page 24 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) EXHIBITS Exhibit 1: AT vs. LOFT Financial Performance 2004-2008 (Net sales in millions) February 2, February 3, January 28, 2008 2007 2006 Total Company $2,396.5 $2,343.0 $2,073.1 Ann Taylor 866.6 912.8 873.9 Ann Taylor LOFT 1,174.4 1,146.5 991.9 Other* 355.6 283.7 207.3 *Includes Ann Taylor Factory stores and Internet business Comparable Store Sales Percentage Increase (decrease) Total Company (3.3)% 2.8% Ann Taylor (3.7%) 3.1% Ann Taylor LOFT (5.4%) 1.9% 0.1% 0.6% (0.3)% January 29, 2005 $1,853.6 854.9 826.6 172.2 January 31, 2004 $1,587.7 867.9 588.8 131.1 3.6% (2.7%) 12.8% 5.3% 3.2% 9.4% The following table provides consolidated income statement data expressed as a percentage of net sales. All fiscal years presented contain 52 weeks, except for the fiscal year ended February 3, 2007, which contains 53 weeks: Net sales Cost of sales Gross margin Selling, general & admin expenses Restructuring & asset impairment Operating income Interest income Interest expense Income before income taxes Income tax provision Net income % Change From Prior Period Net Sales Operating Income Net Income 2/2/08 2.3% (30.6%) (32.0%) February 2, 2008 100% 47.8 52.2 44.4 1.3 6.5 0.3 0.1 6.7 2.6 4.1% 2/3/07 13.0% 70.8% 74.6% Source: Company financials at http://investor.anntaylor.com/ Page 25 February 3, 2007 100% 46.3 53.7 44.1 --9.6 0.7 0.1 10.2 4.1 6.1% 1/28/06 11.8% 24.8% 29.4% January 28, 2006 100% 49.1 50.9 44.6 --6.3 0.4 0.1 6.6 2.7 3.9% 1/29/05 16.7% (38.7%) (37.2%) The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 2: ANN Stock Price 1992-2008 ANN vs. XRT (SPDR S&P Retail ETF) XRT ANN $50 $45 Stock Price $40 $35 $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 8/2008 8/2007 8/2006 8/2005 8/2004 8/2003 8/2002 8/2001 8/2000 8/1999 8/1998 8/1997 8/1996 8/1995 8/1994 8/1993 8/1992 8/1991 $0 For comparison purposes, the adjusted close stock price of the Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) S&P Retail SPDR is included. This fund began trading on 6/22/2006. The top ten holdings (22.48% of total assets as of 8/2008) in this fund (in alphabetical order) consist of Aeropostale Inc., AnnTaylor Stores Corp., Brown Shoe Co., Inc., Charming Shoppes, FootLocker, Inc., Genesco Inc., Limited Brands Inc., Ross Stores Inc., Supervalu Inc., and Tiffany & Co. Derived from: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=ANN&t=my&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= Page 26 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 3: Stores Operational Data Employees, Total FY2007 18,400 FY2006 17,700 FY2005 16,900 FY2004 14,900 FY2003 13,000 Inventory Turns* 4.7 5.0 4.7 4.5 4.1 $474 $461 $471 $456 $130,227 $123,008 $124,743 $122,467 $457 Net Sales/sq ft Net Sales (Revenue)/Employee $130,603 Average sq ft/Store Ann Taylor 5,300 Ann Taylor LOFT 5,700 Ann Taylor Factory 6,700 *Inventory turns can be calculated differently, depending on whether yearly average or year end inventory values are used. These numbers are from ANN’s 10K filing. Specific Store Detail Fiscal Year Total Stores Open at No. Stores Opened During Fiscal Beginning of Year Fiscal Year No. Stores Closed During Fiscal Year No. Stores Expanded During Fiscal Year No. Stores Open at End of Fiscal Year ATS ATL ATF ATS ATL ATF Total 2003 584 8 61 1 6 354 268 26 648 8 2004 648 10 77 8 5 359 343 36 738 6 2005 738 9 73 15 11 357 416 51 824 12 2006 824 11 52 7 25 348 464 57 869 16 2007 869 14 52 11 17 349 512 68 929 14 Source: Company Reports at http://investor.anntaylor.com/ Page 27 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 4: Income Statements AnnTaylor Stores Corp. Annual Income Statement (In Millions of US$) Jan08 Jan07 Sales 2,396.510 2,342.907 Cost of Goods Sold 1,028.442 980.007 Gross Profit 1,368.068 1,362.900 Selling, General, & Administrative Expense 1,063.623 1,033.173 Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization 116.804 105.890 Operating Profit 187.641 223.837 Interest Expense 2.172 2.230 Non-Operating Income/Expense 7.826 17.174 Special Items (32.255) 0.000 Pretax Income 161.040 238.781 Total Income Taxes 63.805 95.799 Net Income 97.235 142.982 Source: Standard & Poor's Page 28 Jan06 Jan05 2,073.146 1,853.583 923.336 827.378 1,149.810 1,026.205 908.966 842.590 93.786 78.657 147.058 104.958 2.083 3.641 9.318 5.037 (16.032) 0.000 138.261 106.354 56.389 43.078 81.872 63.276 Jan04 1,587.708 669.638 918.070 694.590 51.825 171.655 6.665 3.298 0.000 168.288 67.346 100.942 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 5: Balance Sheets ASSETS Cash and Equivalents Short-Term Investments Total Receivables Inventories Current Assets - Other Total Current Assets Gross Plant, Property & Equipment Accumulated Depreciation Net Plant, Property & Equipment Intangibles Deferred Charges Other Assets TOTAL ASSETS AnnTaylor Stores Corp. Annual Balance Sheet (In Millions of US$) Jan08 Jan07 134.025 360.560 9.110 0.000 16.944 16.489 250.697 233.606 97.115 79.950 507.891 690.605 1,148.003 1,105.240 586.733 541.132 561.270 564.108 286.579 286.579 0.288 0.652 37.727 26.559 1,393.755 1,568.503 LIABILITIES Accounts Payable Accrued Expenses Other Current Liabilities Total Current Liabilities Long Term Debt Deferred Taxes Other Liabilities TOTAL LIABILITIES EQUITY Total Preferred Stock Common Stock Capital Surplus Retained Earnings Less: Treasury Stock Common Equity TOTAL EQUITY TOTAL LIAB & COMMON EQUITY Common Shares Outstanding Source: Standard & Poor's Jan06 380.654 0.000 17.091 204.503 73.964 676.212 995.897 483.132 512.765 286.579 1.017 16.333 1,492.906 Jan05 62.412 192.400 12.573 229.218 90.711 587.314 853.770 419.442 434.328 286.579 1.382 17.735 1,327.338 Jan04 337.087 0.000 12.476 172.058 55.747 577.368 542.449 276.880 265.569 286.579 4.886 17.471 1,151.873 125.388 132.924 54.564 312.876 0.000 1.960 239.435 554.271 106.519 139.910 52.989 299.418 0.000 219.174 518.592 97.398 114.272 45.916 257.586 0.000 200.838 458.424 88.340 116.514 38.892 243.746 0.000 156.848 400.594 52.170 77.330 32.120 161.620 125.152 34.465 321.237 0.000 0.560 781.048 762.948 705.072 839.484 839.484 1,393.755 60.880 0.000 0.559 753.030 664.934 368.612 1,049.911 1,049.911 1,568.503 69.373 0.000 0.558 711.224 527.325 204.625 1,034.482 1,034.482 1,492.906 72.491 0.000 0.545 657.382 445.410 176.593 926.744 926.744 1,327.338 70.632 0.000 0.336 510.676 393.926 74.302 830.636 830.636 1,151.873 68.067 Page 29 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 6: Statement of Annual Cash Flows AnnTaylor Stores Corp. Annual Statement of Cash Flows (In Millions of US$) INDIRECT OPERATING ACTIVITIES Jan08 Jan07 Net Income 97.235 142.982 Depreciation and Amortization 116.804 105.890 Deferred Taxes (9.361) (10.809) Funds from Operations - Other 58.850 41.290 Receivables - Decrease (Increase) (0.455) 0.602 Inventory - Decrease (Increase) (17.091) (29.103) Accounts Payable and Accrued Liabilities - Inc (Dec) 0.550 37.580 Other Assets and Liabilities - Net Change 10.665 7.499 Operating Activities - Net Cash Flow 257.197 295.931 Jan06 81.872 93.786 (15.421) 28.022 (5.024) 24.715 28.185 75.188 311.323 Jan05 63.276 78.657 (5.022) 23.163 0.056 (57.159) 62.196 4.092 169.259 Jan04 100.942 51.825 3.771 13.133 (1.909) 10.926 12.725 (1.795) 189.618 INVESTING ACTIVITIES Short-Term Investments - Change Capital Expenditures Investing Activities - Net Cash Flow (16.422) 139.998 (156.420) 0.000 165.926 (165.926) 192.400 187.613 4.787 117.975 152.483 (34.508) 0.000 71.364 (71.364) FINANCING ACTIVITIES Sale of Common and Preferred Stock Purchase of Common and Preferred Stock Excess Tax Benefit from Stock Options Financing Activities - Other Financing Activities - Net Cash Flow 17.935 (347.575) 2.328 0.000 (327.312) 30.038 (185.129) 4.992 0.000 (150.099) 50.285 (48.153) 0.000 0.000 2.132 22.822 (121.698) (0.022) (98.898) 20.329 (12.781) (1.536) 6.012 (226.535) 1.723 77.355 (20.094) 1.769 94.723 318.242 1.293 47.030 35.853 1.770 58.226 124.266 2.202 56.147 Cash and Equivalents - Change Interest Paid - Net Income Taxes Paid Source: Standard & Poor's Page 30 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 7: Selected Retail Performers, end of 2007 Company/ Ticker Symbol 2007 Revenue (millions) Ann Taylor/ ANN $2,396.5 Comparable Stores Sales Increase (Decrease) 2006 2005 (3.3%) 2.8% # of Stores Talbots/ TLB $2,289.3 (5.7%)* 1.3%* 1,421 47 states plus Canada, United Kingdom Specialty – women’s apparel, shoes, accessories via store, catalog, Internet Chico’s FAS/ CHS $1,714.3 (8.1%) 2.1% 1,070 47 states plus U.S. Virgin Islands & Puerto Rico Coldwater Creek, Inc./ CWTR $1,151.5 (7.9%) 8.5% averages 336 Specialty Women’s – Privately branded clothing, intimate garments & gifts for fashion-conscious women with moderate-high income Specialty Women’s apparel, accessories, jewelry, gifts via instore, catalog, Internet, also Spa locations 929 Locations Served Merchandise Market Served Comments 46 states plus Puerto Rico Specialty Women’s – private label “total wardrobing strategy” to achieve the “Ann Taylor look” in suits, separates, footwear & accessories Brands are Ann Taylor for updated professional classics, Ann Taylor LOFT for lower priced more casual wear, Ann Taylor Factory for outlet priced garments developed specifically for this market Brands are Talbots, modern classics for women; J.Jill for casual women. Brands target high income, college educated professionals 35 years old & up. Talbots Kids, Talbots Mens were closed in 2007. Brands are Chico’s for women 35+, White House/Black Market for women 25+, Soma intimates 48 states Offers Coldwater Creek brand of cosmetics, personal care products to women over 35 with incomes in excess of $75K. Socially responsible. * Does not include J.Jill Data Source: 10K filings, plus data from “Top 100 Retailers”, Stores: A magazine of the NFR, July 2008, downloadable by link at http://www.nrf.com/modules.php?name=News&op=viewlive&sp_id=543 Page 31 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 7, Continued: Selected Retail Performers, 2008 Financial Data Company Name Abercrombie & Fitch Co. AnnTaylor Stores Corp. Charming Shoppes, Inc Chico's FAS Inc Coldwater Creek Inc. Limited Brands Inc. Talbots, Inc. The Gap, Inc. Total Revenue* $3,749.8 $2,396.5 $3,010.0 $1,714.3 $1,151.5 $10,134.0 $2,289.3 $15,763.0 Net Income* Inventory Turnover $475.7 $97.3 ($83.4) $88.9 ($2.5) $718.0 ($188.8) $833.0 Company Name 9.89 9.92 7.35 13.48 8.65 6.73 6.73 9.38 Revenue $ per Employee $37,981 $130,603 $99,941 $120,212 $87,665 $57,869 $138,288 $105,375 Selling Gen Gross Operating Net Profit & Admin Margin % Margin % Margin % % Tot Rev Abercrombie & Fitch Co. 47.54 66.97 19.75 12.69 AnnTaylor Stores Corp. 44.38 52.21 6.48 4.06 Charming Shoppes, Inc 25.83 26.95 -2.62 -2.77 Chico's FAS Inc 49.44 56.53 7.08 5.18 Coldwater Creek Inc. 40.02 39.1 -0.93 -0.22 Limited Brands Inc. 26.27 34.95 10.95 7.09 Talbots, Inc. 33.1 32.12 -8.14 -8.25 The Gap, Inc. 36.11 8.34 5.28 N/A Data from Mergent Online, as of 2008, *dollars in millions Page 32 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 8: Summary of Personnel Changes at ANN Mid-2006 to End-2008 Note: These personnel changes represent seven resignations, seven new hires, and two promotions in Kay Krill’s upper management team over two years’ time. 11/3/2008 New hire Gary Muto, President, Ann Taylor LOFT, came from Gap, Inc., most recently as President of Gap Adult/Gap Body, had also been President of Forth & Towne 9/8/08 New hire Paula J. Zusi, EVP, Chief Supply Chain Officer, from Liz Claiborne 8/12/08 New hire Christine M. Beauchamp, President Ann Taylor Stores, came from Limited Brands, most recently was President & CEO of Victoria’s Secret Beauty 8/12/08 Resignation Adrienne Lazarus, President Ann Taylor Stores, after 17 years 7/15/08 Resignation Anthony Romano, Chief Supply Officer, after 11 years at ANN 9/17/07 New hire Michael J. Nicholson, EVP, CFO, additional responsibility for Information Technology and Global Procurement, came from Limited Brands 8/24/07 New hire Robert Luzzi, Chief Marketing Officer, from New York & Company 8/20/07 Resignation Elaine Boltz, Chief Marketing Officer, after three years at ANN 8/13/07 New hire Mark Mendelson, President New “Boomer” Concept, from Jones Apparel, was at ANN in the early 1990s as General Merchandise Manager 8/10/07 Resignation CFO James Smith, after 14 years at ANN 7/10/07 Brian Lynch promoted from EVP to President AT Factory, will lead new LOFT Factory concept as well, with launch planned in summer 2008. Given additional responsibility for ECommerce, and Corporate Real Estate and Construction, as President of Corporate Operations, added on 7/15/2008 6/6/07 New hire Diane Holtz, EVP Merchandising & Design, LOFT, from The Limited, was at ANN in late 1990s as General Merchandise Manager 1/22/07 Resignation Donna Noce, President LOFT, Krill to take over temporarily 6/6/2006 Adrienne Lazarus promoted to President Ann Taylor Stores from EVP Merchandise & Design Ann Taylor Stores 5/4/2006 Resignation Laura Weil, COO, after eight months (hired 9/1/2005) 5/3/2006 Resignation Muriel Gonzalez, Chief Marketing Officer, after a little over a year Page 33 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) i Maestri, N. “Retailers try to thrive in tumultuous climate”, Reuters.com, 6/16/2008, from http://www.reuters.com/article/email/idUKN1332245620080616 ii Adams, T. 2008. “Economy generating ‘wave’ of retail closures”, Columbus Ledger-Enquirer, McClatchy Tribune Business News, 6/14/2008. iii Krill, K. As quoted in “Q3 2005 Ann Taylor Stores Earnings Conference Call – Final”, Fair Disclosure Wire, 12/2/2005. iv Merrick, A. 2005. “Parent Trap: Once a bellwether, Ann Taylor fights its stodgy image”, Wall Street Journal (Eastern Edition), 7/12/2005, p. A.1. v ANN representatives noted that there was no apparent cause and effect relationship between AT sales decline and the growth of LOFT. Personal communication, Beth Warner, Director, Corporate Communications, Ann Taylor Stores Corporation, July 2007. vi Tucker, R. 2004. “LOFT Continues to Pace Ann Taylor”, Women’s Wear Daily, 8/12/2004, Vol. 188, Iss. 21, p. 12. vii Letter to Shareholders, ANN 2007 Annual Report, at http://investor.anntaylor.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=78167&p=irol-reportsAnnual viii Q1 2008 AnnTaylor Stores Earnings Conference Call, 5/22/2008, available at http://seekingalpha.com/article/78473-ann-taylor-stores-corp-q1-2008-earnings-call-transcript ix Lomax, A, “More fickle fashion”, Motley Fool, 5/23/2008, at http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2008/05/23/more-ficklefashion.aspx?terms=ann&vstest=search_042607_linkdefault x Letter to Shareholders, ANN 2007 Annual Report, at http://investor.anntaylor.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=78167&p=irol-reportsAnnual xi Wilson, M. 1995. “Reinventing Ann Taylor”, Chain Store Age Executive with Shopping Center Age, New York, January, 1995, Vol. 71, Iss. 1, p. 26. xii Summers, M. 1999. “New Outfit”, Forbes, 12/27/1999, Vol. 164, Iss. 15, p. 88. xiii “Krill promoted to President of the Ann Taylor Loft Division of Ann Taylor, Inc.”, 5/3/2001, http://investor.anntaylor.com/news/20010503-40453.cfm?t=n xiv “Ann Taylor Announces LOFT Division Reaches $1 Billion in Sales”, 2/12/2005, from http://investor.anntaylor.com/news/20060213-187405.cfm?t=n xv Curan, C. 2001. “Ann Taylor LOFTs expansion plans right into a storm”, Crain’s New York Business, 4/30/2001, Vol. 17, Iss. 18, P. 4. xvi Krill, K. 2005, op. cit. xvii “Ann Taylor Stores Jumps on Strong Earnings”, Associated Press, 3/10/2006, from http://news.moneycentral.msn.com/ticker/article.asp?Feed=AP&Date=20060310&ID=5570346&Symbol=US:ANN xviii Letter to Shareholders, ANN 2007 Annual Report, at http://investor.anntaylor.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=78167&p=irol-reportsAnnual xix 2000. “A brief history of shopping centers”, International Council of Shopping Centers, June 2000, from http://www.icsc.org/srch/about/impactofshoppingcenters/briefhistory.html xx The “large-sized woman” market is best represented nation wide in shopping malls by Lane Bryant stores and catalog sales, Fashion Bug Plus, and Catherine’s stores, all divisions of Charming Shoppes; and by Avenue stores, a division of United Retail Group. Charming Shoppes also targets the petite woman, 5’4” and shorter, with its Petite Sophisticate Outlet. xxi As an example, Gap, Inc. created the Old Navy division in 1994 to offer lower priced casual clothing. An apparel retail industry overview by Encyclopedia of American Industries Online Edition. Thomson Gale, 2006, reported that in 2002 nearly 35 percent of Target’s sales came from the clothing department. xxii Victoria’s Secret is a division of Limited Brands, which also operates Pink (a sub-brand of Victoria’s Secret focused on sleepwear & intimate apparel for high school & college students), Bath & Body Works and C.O. Bigelow (personal beauty, body & hair products), The White Barn Candle Co. (candles & home fragrances), Henri Bendel (high fashion women’s clothing), and La Senza (lingerie sold in Canada & worldwide). xxiii Abercrombie & Fitch, as of 2008, had four brand divisions in addition to the flagship Abercrombie & Fitch stores: abercrombie (the brand name is purposely lowercase) for kids ages 7-14; Hollister Co. for southern California surf lifestyle teens; RUEHL No.925 for ages 22-35; and Gilly Hicks: Sydney, launched in 2008, specializing in women’s intimate apparel. Page 34 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) xxiv http://www.census.gov/svsd/www/artsnaics.html, op cit. According to the American Marketing Association (AMA), a brand is a “name, term, sign, symbol or design, or a combination of them intended to identify the goods and services of one seller or group of sellers and to differentiate them from those of other sellers. ... branding is not about getting your target market to choose you over the competition, but it is about getting your prospects to see you as the only one that provides a solution to their problem.” A good brand will communicate this message clearly and with credibility, motivating the buyer by eliciting some emotion that inspires future loyalty. From http://marketing.about.com/cs/brandmktg/a/whatisbranding.htm xxvi Felgner, B. 2007. “New challenges in branding”, Home Textiles Today, 2/5/2007, Vol. 28, No. 5, p. 1. xxvii Turner, J. 2007. “Go forth and go out of business”, Slate, 2/26/2007, at http://www.slate.com/id/2160668/ xxviii Lee, G. 2007. “Chico’s outlines plan to improve on results”, Women’s Wear Daily, 3/8/2007, Vol. 193, Iss. 50, p. 5. xxix The responsibilities of these positions include “creative vision” for the brand: marketing materials, store design, and overall merchandising (developing product, ensuring production efficiency, monitoring store inventory turnover, and adjusting price points as needed). xxx In 2007, Limited Brands owned the brands Victoria’s Secret (including Pink, a Victoria’s Secret sub-brand), Bath & Body Works (the 2 major brands), and C.O. Bigelow, Henri Bendel, White Barn Candle, and La Senza. xxxi “Limited Brands cutting 530 jobs”, Columbus Business First, 6/22/2007, at http://columbus.bizjournals.com/columbus/stories/2007/06/18/daily26.html xxxii Jones, Sandra M. 2007. “Sweetest Spots in Retail”, Knight Ridder Tribune Business News, 7/31/2007, pg. 1. xxxiii Sarkar, Pia. 2007. “Talbots still can’t find its way”, 10/24/2007, http://www.thestreet.com/newsanalysis/retail/10386340.html xxxiv See, for instance, the website http://www.aginghipsters.com/ , a “source for trends, research, comment and discussion” about this group. xxxv Agins, Teri. 2007. “The Boomer Balancing Act: Retailers say new looks for middle-age women are both youthful and mature”, Wall Street Journal (Eastern Edition), 11/3/2007, pg. W3. xxxvi 2006. “Talbots completes the acquisition of the J.Jill Group; combined company creates leading brand portfolio for the age 35+ female market; key executives promoted to maximize growth”, Business Wire, 5/3/2006, from The Talbot’s Inc. http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=65681&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=851481&highlight= xxxvii Edelson, Sharon. 2007. “Coldwater Creek brings natural vibe to Manhattan”, Women’s Wear Daily, 8/13/2007, Vol. 194, Iss. 32, pg. 4. xxxviii See, for instance, the graph at Coldwater Creek, Inc. 2006 Annual Report, http://www.coldwatercreek.com/InvRel/. Doing a comparative analysis using any stock reporting tool shows both Coldwater Creek and Chico’s beating Ann Taylor during the period from 2004 - mid 2007. Talbots trails them all. xxxix Some marketers believe the boomers are a bifurcated demographic: although the boomer market encompasses those born between 1946-1964, boomers born between 1946-1954 have slightly different life experiences than those born between 1955-1964. xl “50+Fabulous Awards Companies that Promote Positive Images of 50+ Women”, Business Wire, 01/30/2007. xli Kingsbury, Kevin & Moore, Angela. 2007. “Ann Taylor tires for a better fit”, Wall Street Journal (Eastern Edition), 8/25/2007, p. B6. xlii Barbaro, Michael. 2007. “Ann Taylor said to plan boomer unit”, The New York Times, 8/13/2007, p. C3. xliii ANN 2007 Annual Report, at http://investor.anntaylor.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=78167&p=irol-reportsAnnual xliv Information in this section comes from ANN 10K filing as of FY2007. xlv Q1 2008 AnnTaylor Stores Earnings Conference Call, 5/22/2008, available at http://seekingalpha.com/article/78473-ann-taylor-stores-corp-q1-2008-earnings-call-transcript xlvi O’Donnell, J. 2006. “Retailers try to train shoppers to buy now; Limited supplies, fewer sales could get consumers to stop waiting for discounts”, USA TODAY, 9/26/2006, p. B3. xlvii ANN 2005 Annual Report at http://investor.anntaylor.com/downloads/2005AnnualReport.pdf xlviii “Ann Taylor: Upgrade with style”, Modern Material Handling (Warehousing Management Edition), March 2006, Vol. 61, Iss. 3, p. 38. xlix Jones, S.D. 2006. “Moving the Market – Tracking the Numbers/Outside Audit: Ann Taylor’s Data Draw a Big Critic; Research Firm Questions Retailer’s Earnings Quality Amid High Costs of Capital”, Wall Street Journal (Eastern Edition), 7/17/2006, p. C3. l Kennedy, K. 2000. “This is not your momma’s clothing store – not by a longshot”, Apparel Industry Magazine, Altanta, December 2000, Vol. 61, Iss. 12, p. 22-25. xxv Page 35 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) li Curan, C. 1999. “Ann Taylor aims for LOFT-y goal with new stores”, Crain’s New York Business, 3/29/1999, Vol. 15, Iss. 13, p. 1. lii Derby, M. 2005. “Wall Street bullish on Ann Taylor’s Weil”, Women’s Wear Daily, 10/3/2005, Vol. 190, Iss. 71, p. 20. liii Moin, D. 2005. “Ann Taylor stores taps two to fill out executive ranks”, Women’s Wear Daily, 3/3/2005, Vol. 189, Iss. 45, p. liv Merrick, A. 2006. “Boss Talk: Asking ‘What Would Ann Do?’; In Turning Around Ann Taylor, CEO Kay Krill Got to Know Her Customers, ‘Ann’ and ‘Loft’”, Wall Street Journal (Eastern Edition), 9/15/2006, p. B1. lv “Q3 2005 Ann Taylor Stores earnings conference call – final”, Fair Disclosure Wire, 12/2/2005. lvi “Ann Taylor and Ann Taylor Loft – The Specialty Resource for Petites”, 8/23/2006, from http://investor.anntaylor.com/news/20060823-208165.cfm?t=n lvii Moin, D. 2006. “Laura Weil exits Ann Taylor”, Women’s Wear Daily, 5/5/2006, Vol. 191, Iss. 97, p. 2. lviii ANN 2005 Annual Report, at http://investor.anntaylor.com/annual.cfm lix Moin, D. 2006. “Rebound at Ann Taylor: CEO Kay Krill Fashions Retailer’s New Career”, Woman’s Wear Daily, 6/26/2006, Vol. 191, Iss. 134, p. 1. lx Q4 2007 AnnTaylor Stores Earnings Conference Call, 03/14/2008, available at http://seekingalpha.com/article/68606-ann-taylor-stores-corporation-q4-2007-earnings-call-transcript?page=8 lxi Q1 2008 AnnTaylor Stores Earnings Conference Call, 5/22/2008, available at http://seekingalpha.com/article/78473-ann-taylor-stores-corp-q1-2008-earnings-call-transcript lxii “Ann Taylor Announces Executive Management Changes”, 7/15/2008, from http://investor.anntaylor.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=78167&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=1174968&highlight= lxiii Poggi, Jeanine. 2007. “Specialty Retailers see High Exec Turnover”, Women’s Wear Daily, 8/20/2007, Vol. 194, Iss. 37, pg. 2-2. lxiv “Ann Taylor launches strategic restructuring program to enhance profitability; Multi-year program expected to generate $50 million in ongoing annualized pre-tax savings; Company takes a conservative approach to new store growth for fiscal 2008”, PR Newswire, 1/30/2008. lxv “Ann Taylor Expands Strategic Restructuring Program”, 11/6/2008, from http://investor.anntaylor.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=78167&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=1223638&highlight= . lxvi Ibid. lxvii Ann Taylor launches strategic restructuring program. Op cit. lxviii Q1 2008 AnnTaylor Stores Earnings Conference Call, 5/22/2008, available at http://seekingalpha.com/article/78473-ann-taylor-stores-corp-q1-2008-earnings-call-transcript lxix Merrick, Amy. 2007. “Ann Taylor’s Loftier Goal: A more upscale shopper”, Wall Street Journal, 9/14/2007, http://online.wsj.com/public/article/SB118972474680527004.html lxx Moin, David. 2007. “New in beauty: Ann Taylor taps Robin Burns to develop collection”, Women’s Wear Daily, 03/16/2007, Vol. 193, Iss. 57, pg. 1. lxxi Q1 2008 AnnTaylor Stores Earnings Conference Call, 5/22/2008, available at http://seekingalpha.com/article/78473-ann-taylor-stores-corp-q1-2008-earnings-call-transcript lxxii Eli, 2007. “Another mid-priced retail brand, Ann Taylor, trying to go upscale,” 9/14/2007, from http://theportnoygroup.typepad.com/my_weblog/2007/09/another-mid-pri.html lxxiii Letter to Shareholders, ANN 2007 Annual Report, at http://investor.anntaylor.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=78167&p=irol-reportsAnnual Page 36 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Kija Kim and Harvard Design & Mapping Co. Lynda L. Moore Simmons School of Management Bonita L. Betters-Reed Simmons School of Management It was the fall of 2005, and the devastating wake of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita left Kija Kim reflecting on the role her small company had played in these relief efforts in New Orleans and the Gulf Coast of the United States. In fact, the events on 9/11/01 and now this hurricane disaster relief had Kija pondering the role HDM played in the incredible Geographic Information Systems (GIS) industry. Since 1988, when Kija founded Harvard Design and Mapping Co., Inc (HDM), there had been many ups and downs, many challenges to Kija’s identity as a leader and many conflicting answers to her ever present question, “what is success?” A $5 million dollar company with 35 employees, two locations in Cambridge Massachusetts and Arlington Virginia, worked with FEMA staff at the Mapping Analysis Center (MAC), HDM provided Hurricane Katrina mapping support that included vital information on the extent of the damage. Such “Damage Analysis Reports”, designed to help insurers assess property losses following a natural disaster, were a new service to the insurance industry and HDM was able to deliver them at a record turn-around time of only one day. Kija was proud of the fact that HDM made it possible for the first time for insurers to email their potentially affected insurance property addresses directly to HDM. In turn, HDM provided pre- and post-event satellite images overlaid with official damage analysis data (flooding, saturation, wind damage) from remote sensing. This was more than a small win, but was it enough? A niche player in homeland security and disaster relief, a leader in the development of advanced geospatial technology with their internationally recognized multi-hazard portfolio analysis…and yet all of this made Kija wonder, was this where it ended? Could she sustain this distinct niche as supplier of software, systems integration and geospatial data management services to “the big guys” in government and Fortune 1000 companies? She had come a long way and she knew the answer was less about her strategy and more about her sense of self. What would make her feel successful? The Kija Advantage – Her Heritage I’ve gone back and forth on whether being a woman, being a minority person or being an immigrant was the most difficult part of breaking into business. Kija Kim Kija Kim was born and raised in Seoul, Korea during the post WWII era and the difficult days of The Korean War. Kija’s mother was originally from North Korea where her older brother was very active in the Korean independence movement against Japan. Kija’s mother, now in her 90’s and living in New York City, had passed many stories on to her. One story Kija heard many Page 66 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) times while growing up, claimed that her mother’s grandfather was the first person to be converted to Christianity as a result of the American missionary program through the Presbyterian Church. This Christian influence was blended with an already strong and time honored heritage of both Confucianism and Korean Shamanism. Both of Kija’s parents “were very religious” and her mother “gave a lot to the church in donations.” She told Kija not to wait until she was “rich enough to give…you will never be rich enough; you have got to give when you can.” Kija’s father was from South Korea and in Kija’s words, “was always on his own”. Even before Kija was born, he was in the construction business with many “ups and downs” especially during the Japanese occupation of Korea. She fondly recalled: [As a Korean father], my father was a very unusual father in some sense…he really took care of the kids very well and he was very family-oriented. He was very proud of each kid, whether a daughter or son. There was no distinction. Both parents always encouraged Kija and her siblings to do what they wanted to do and as she noted, “they were so proud that we were smart.” Her father continued to support her throughout her education even though he harbored fears that she would “miss marrying…and become too educated.” Following in her father’s footsteps and the path of her mother’s siblings, all of Kija’s five siblings eventually became entrepreneurs. In 1961 Kija started down the cartography career path at Seoul National University as a geography major (See Exhibit I). Much of her four year college experience was spent under the tutelage of Professor Yuk, a well-known economist as well as a professor of Geography. Dr. Yuk was the brother-in-law of the President of Korea, Park Chung Hee. As Kija worked for Professor Yuk, she also witnessed first hand his advisory capacity with President Park and the establishment of a national economic plan. Kija remembered how poor Korea was right after the war and the important role this plan served in reviving the economy. It was an incredible time, especially when the first minister of the economic development department was appointed. He was a gentleman who had his Ph.D. from Clark University in the U.S. She watched in awe as their five-year economic development plan was successfully implemented in only three years. As Dr. Yuk’s disciple, Kija graduated first in her class, no small feat at male dominated Seoul National University, “the equivalent of Harvard in Korea”: So that gave me the confidence that I am better than any man… that really formed my character and confidence level…surviving and working in that environment – a man’s world, because I grew up that way. I competed early on with men. So that’s why in the business world I’m not shy – even when I started here men were more uncomfortable, but I don’t feel uncomfortable at all. On the advice of Professor Yuk, and qualifying for a Fulbright scholarship, Kija started in a Ph.D. program in Geography at Clark University in Worcester, Massachusetts. She arrived in the United States not quite prepared for the challenging transition: The day I arrived in the United States, alone, with a suitcase in my hand, my American family sponsors were not waiting for me at the airport in Philadelphia. I found a public Page 67 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) telephone booth and tried to call them. The operator kept saying, “Please insert a nickel.” I didn’t know what a “nickel” was. I had my first real English lesson right there— a penny meant one cent, a nickel meant five cents, a dime meant 10 cents and quarter meant 25 cents. Who knew? Kija Kim, Multicultural Town Hall Speech, 2005 She had every intention of finishing her Ph.D. and returning to Korea, but it became clear she would not be able to finish the doctoral program in the three years required by the Fulbright. Kija gave up the Fulbright accepting a full scholarship from Clark to continue graduate studies, married a Korean man and circumstances changed again. She explained, Even then, I thought ‘as a woman in Korea, what was the highest career or the (most) prestige you can achieve?’ I couldn’t see anything better than being a professor at Seoul National University. So that was my dream. But along the way, I got married and had two wonderful children, Kevin and Katherine. I had to put my dreams and ambitions on hold. Kija Kim, Multicultural Town Hall Speech, 2005 During this period of “trying to be a good mother”, Kija kept busy by volunteering in the community. She was a Cub Scout den mother, volunteered for the American Cancer Society and in her own words, “was learning the American system and culture the hard way” as she lived in Indiana and New Jersey. Later as a single mom, Kija said she pushed her two children to work hard and excel. She counseled them not to complain about being an ethnic minority and having to work twice as hard. She told them, “don’t take it (being an Asian American) as a negative, because you can always be better than anybody.” Because of her two children, it was important to Kija that she make it in America and it was equally important to her that her children be positive about being different. She said, “I tried to give them confidence, (positive) self-esteem…it is different for Asians growing up here. People coming from other countries are better off in that sense.” For Kija, coming from the top of her class and coming from a different social context, she felt she did not have “a chip on her shoulder”. In fact, Kija knew, “I’m the smartest when I came here and I am better than anyone.” Although Kija faced many hurdles throughout her life and career, she continued to see being female, an ethnic minority, and an immigrant, as an advantage: In the early days, in a lot of meetings, I was the only woman. And people said, ‘how do you feel being the only woman’? I said, it’s great because they will all remember me. I’m very unique. And no one knew better how the Kija Kim advantage played out in the business setting than the co-founder of Harvard Design and Mapping Inc. and Kim’s second husband, Jim Aylward. Jim described Kija in this way: Page 68 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Kija leads by example. She has a very engaging personality. Everybody who has met her likes her. Everyone remembers her. Very often at the beginning, she would be the only woman, the only minority, in a group of contractors and she had the guts to stand up in the middle and ask a question and say, “I’m Kija Kim from Harvard Design and Mapping” . . . And there would be a crowd of 400 white males . . . and they’d look over and say, “Who are you? This new kid on the block? You don’t look like everybody else”. And you know, in a very big way Kija used that to her advantage. . . . She really used what other people claim as impediments to business, as her great advantage in business. HDM Start Up Opportunity comes to the prepared mind. -Kija Kim In 1981, Kija took courses in Basic computer programming and Computer Aided Design (CAD). She then landed a position with Charles Perkins Co., a Clinton, MA surveying firm. Kija started right away with cartography work that she recalled as: An extremely tedious job of manually drawing maps. I thought there was a better way to automate the map-making process, or Automated Mapping, as it would soon be known. She convinced the firm’s partners of the value of automation and persuaded them to purchase computers and Computer Aided Design (CAD) software. Surveyors in the firm collected survey data onto field survey devices and Kija downloaded it onto a CAD system, from which she was able to generate maps. This birth of one of the first automated mapping systems “was so wondrous to them”. It was the early stages of personal computers and soft ware in general in the U.S. As Kija later noted, “Microsoft was about six years old. Bill Gates wasn’t even a millionaire.” As excitement and interest grew about this innovation, Kija recommended to the Charles Perkins owners a new stand-alone business that would offer this service to other companies and leverage the owners’ original investment. She suggested that she run the business and the owners act as investors using their business connections to cultivate business development. The owners said ‘no’ several times. Although Kija recalled that she was …“innovative, patient and persistent”, the discussions halted when the company’s accountant and lawyer advised the owners to not give up equity, but rather hire her to run the company. Kija declined their offer: “I thought I could do this by myself since I had come this far”. Subsequently, Kija founded New England Mapping Company, her first entrepreneurial venture in the automated business, in 1985. Kija’s early consulting clients were real estate firms and engineering and survey firms in the greater Boston area. It wasn’t long before one of these firms, Allen, Demurjian, Major and Nitsch (ADMN) asked her to join them. With this decision, she learned a pivotal lesson that would guide her for years to come: I thought I was asking for a lot of salary at that time, but it wasn’t that much money. The principals and I got together at the University Club in Boston; they asked how much (do) you want? I said, I thought, a lot of money, $40,000. They were surprised and said ‘ok.’ I thought, oh my God, I should have asked for more. That was lesson number one. Page 69 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Kija met her future partner and husband, Jim Aylward, while at ADMN. Jim had a background as a town administrator and came to the firm in 1986 to help them manage their town government and utility relationships as part of the firm’s real estate development business. They became friends during their frequent lunch encounters. As Jim says, “After 200 lunches we were in business.” In 1988, Kija and Jim formed Harvard Design and Mapping Inc. (HDM). Their original focus was on the real estate and government markets, capitalizing on Jim’s experience in that area. “With my government background and her computer systems background, we thought it made sense to target real estate developers and to continue to work with cities, towns, and the state government”, Jim reflected. The early years were tough. Kija and Jim did not pay themselves for eighteen months. While recognizing this as a basic fact of small business start up, Jim acknowledged it was also a sacrifice: “it was a long time when you’ve got mortgages to pay.” They were however resourceful in their approach to financing the business itself. They borrowed $15,000 from relatives, which they invested in a CD (certificate of deposit) and then used it for collateral for a line of credit. Their first contract for tax mapping services with the town of Kingston, MA generated a much welcomed $40,000. Not long after obtaining this first contract, the real estate market went bust, and they focused exclusively on government contracts. Their “big break” came in 1993 with the Massachusetts Water Resources Authority’s (MWRA) need for environmental assessment with the Boston Harbor clean up project, a $500,000 contract. HDM was earning the reputation for cutting edge technology and demand for their services increased. Kija also registered with The Small Business Administration (SBA) and was certified as a woman and minority-owned business. This advantage enabled HDM to compete more effectively with big businesses for state and federal contracts. The MWRA contract coupled with a U.S. Coast Guard contract created a need for increased technical and support staff. Kija quickly realized that a significant increase in salary expenses mandated greater cash reserves. She and Jim prepared extensively for their first major loan application and she was shocked when a large national bank rejected her application. She was even more outraged when the bank officer told Kija that she would never get a loan from any bank, “And I said, you will see. I will get it somewhere, because I was so mad at him. And I said I’m going to get this loan from somebody. Literally, I was just so mad.” Determined, Kija went to another loan officer at a local bank. This conversation was much more productive, especially after the loan officer visited HDM’s facilities. He approved the maximum loan possible without his bosses’ approval. The loan officer told Kija he was sticking his neck out because he trusted her …”I know you won’t default on this loan”. For Kija, this whole experience was an important lesson in business, “This is one of the most important things [in business], the bank relationship…trust and the relationship…especially when we don’t have outside venture capital.” Despite the fact that HDM’s early development was during the recession of the late 80’s and early 90’s, Kija and Jim were able to counter the slow growth that plagued most start-ups. Their combined ability to identify new business opportunities coupled with Kija’s pioneering spirit and Page 70 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Jim’s persistence, kept the business going. “opportunity comes to the prepared mind.” During HDM’s early years, Kija learned that The 90’s I think one of the most important things is the ability to change…fast. Kija Kim HDM got its first multi-million dollar contract in 1992 from the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) by providing mapping software development services and quality control of digital flood insurance rate maps. This new business and subsequent increasing demands on Kija’s technical expertise, prompted her to hire Dr. Wei Du who later became the Chief Technology Officer. In 1993, HDM won a multi-million dollar contract with Boston Edison to help develop their geographic information system (GIS) platform. During this period of rapid growth, HDM focused on delivering products and services at the expense of marketing and new business contracts. When Boston Edison did not renew their contract, HDM was forced to lay off some people and retrench. It was at this point that Kija realized their portfolio was too dependent on government contracts: I learned a lesson that, long before contracts end, you’ve got to renew or replace [them] quickly. I’m much more conscious about that now. We couldn’t replace [the expired contracts] fast enough and it was a very tough year. The 90’s were slow growth for HDM as they built their reputation and explored new markets. Kija and Jim accompanied Massachusetts Governor, Bill Weld, on trade missions to Asia and Mexico and met with prescreened partners looking for U.S.-based Geographic Information Systems (GIS) technology partners. Kija felt that HDM was too small to do a lot of international business, and decided to focus on markets at home. Even though they did not go into international business, they quickly developed a global perspective which they used to their advantage in the U.S. Jim noted: …we learned how people work and met with government officials in most places… [The trade missions] were very important in understanding other cultures, which helps you understand nationally the cultures that you come in contact with in the United States. When the internet dot.com boom hit in the late 90’s Kija remembered thinking “Everybody’s making millions…going dot.com and raising money. I said we’ve got to do something.” Kija and Jim decided that Jim would start a dot.com business while Kija “would keep managing HDM because that’s our bread and butter.” In 1999 Jim created smartcity.com, a real estate location business, helping consumers sell their own houses without a real estate broker. He raised one million dollars, built a management team, and created the software platform for this new enterprise. When in March of 2000 the dot.com bubble burst, Kija remembered thinking about their own dot.com business and said “We’ve got to balance our risk and reward. If Smartcity makes big money, we’re going to be rich and famous. But if it doesn’t we still have something.” Although Jim kept Smartcity going into early 2001, the dot.com bust eventually forced it out of business Page 71 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) along with many others. Kija reflected, “that was one of the good decisions; we didn’t change the whole company to a dot.com; a lot of them failed at that time.” Throughout this period, Kija ramped up her efforts on marketing and developed their business with the federal government. In order to capitalize on successful contracts with over 20 federal agencies, she began to spend most of her time in Washington D.C. They opened an HDM Washington office in 2000 and found that clients responded positively and confidently to this new business site. In retrospect, Kija reflected on HDM’s response to shifting markets: I think one of the most important things is the ability to change, especially nowadays, everything changes so fast. I started with the real estate sector and commercial sector. When that didn’t work out quickly, I was able to get into the government sector The 9-11 Story Right place, right time, right technology. -Kija Kim & Jim Aylward On September 11, 2001, Kija Kim was on her way to the Washington D.C. for a 9:30 a.m. appointment with a client at the U.S. Federal Transit Administration (FTA) headquarters. She recalled that she had just been there a couple weeks previously to discuss a different contact opportunity with the FTA’s Safety and Security division. They mentioned they had a pressing directive from Norm Mineta, Secretary of Transportation, to have a transit security and evacuation plan, in response to a potential terrorist threat. The FTA person asked Kija for “any good ideas…because our deadline is coming soon”. On the subway in transit to her FTA appointment on 9-11, she thought she heard rumblings of terrorism and remembered thinking, “gosh, she’s fast…I can’t believe FTA is already putting this into (action).” When she arrived at the FTA/DOT headquarters, the guard at the building said, “you can’t get in because everyone is evacuating, everybody’s coming out.” The whole street was packed and the burning World Trade Center was playing on the lobby television screens. The guard let her go up because Kija was certain that her client, also a close colleague, would wait for her. Kija rushed up and her friend grabbed her, saying “I knew you were coming so I was waiting for you.” They turned on the TV in the adjacent conference room and “just sat there, numb” as the Pentagon was hit just over a mile from where they were sitting. Cutting through the thick smell of smoke and crowds of people, Kija finally made her way back to her D.C. office, thinking about the whole experience and the pressing need for homeland security support. Right after the terrorist attack on both the Pentagon and World Trade Center on September 11, Jim, Kija and Wei Du, Chief Technology Officer, got together to brainstorm about the implications of this disaster for HDM, Inc. Asking, “What can we do? How can our technologies be used?” Kija said, “we’ve been doing this…emergency management work for over 12 years; there has got to be a way we can help find terrorists and help prevent future attacks?” So they immediately repositioned their technology to meet homeland security requirements. Kija exclaimed: We happened to have the right technology at the right time for the right cause…our focus is in Homeland Security which combines all we have done for the last 15-16 years. Page 72 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Leadership Culture and Values We are a small company, it’s almost like a family atmosphere...I’m very personable. -Kija Kim Kija Kim’s cultural values and leadership style were intertwined and embedded in HDM’S corporate culture. Team work, hard work, a diverse and knowledgeable workforce, and high standards were found in the context of a small family-like setting. For HDM, this strong culture provides an advantage in the information industry, dominated by big players. In fact when IBM became one of HDM’s customers this cultural difference became quite pronounced. When we hired the new people in DC, I found a tabletop barbecue Korean restaurant, and we took them (employees) out regularly. We also had pizza lunches a lot too. And they thought it was the best. Once in a while, at IBM we take our people out and they [IBM employees] are really envious. Group pizza lunches were an established tradition from the early 90’s when the corporate offices were in Cambridge Massachusetts and the staff was much smaller. As HDM grew, Kija made sure to maintain those activities that made a difference for satisfaction and retention. She was also willing to try new things if it helped get and keep the right people. Kija recalled hiring Elena Bleakley for the Marketing Coordinator position. She had never hired a part-timer for an important corporate position, but when she saw Elena in action on temporary assignment, she re-evaluated her own notions about reliability. Due to family commitments, Elena negotiated a part time position with flexible hours. Kija admited later that even though she was initially worried about an employee who had to divide her time, she took the chance anyway due to Elena’s impressive credentials and ability to “jump right in”. Kija took note that “they (women) can be so productive and they manage multiple tasking so well.” Many years later, Kija Kim had not only embraced family friendly organizational policies, but she had become a spokeswoman for working parents. The following excerpt was from a speech Kija delivered for Working Woman Mother’s Media Multicultural Town Hall program: At HDM we have created a family friendly environment providing flexible hours to all employees, and flexible working arrangements for working mothers. Working mothers are much more efficient at multitasking and multidimensional. They also reciprocate by being flexible when the company needs them. Most of them are part time workers, but are as productive as a full time worker can be. Wei Du, Chief Technology Officer, remarked that his children were “growing up with HDM.” Additionally, he felt that HDM’s multicultural team was a unique benefit to the organization. This benefit was also reflected in Kija’s organizational philosophy, “a good organization has a balanced and diverse work force, is a reflection of the community we live in, and must contribute to society.” Page 73 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) The concept of a trusting team permeated the working relationships at HDM. For Kija Kim, trust was gained through both interpersonal and technical competence. She tells the story of finding Wei Du: Dr. Gilbert White is a world-renowned geography professor…He’s in his 90’s now, but he is [known as] the father of our flood plain management in this country. So at FEMA, he is a god. Everybody knows [him]. The story goes, Dr. White went to China, and met Wei at the Chinese Academy of Arts and Sciences and discovered that Wei was a genius and brought him to Clark University for his Ph.D. When I mention Wei at FEMA, and that he is a protégé of Dr. White’s, everyone says, ‘wow…he’s an unbelievable guy’…they are so impressed. When Kija hired Wei Du in 1992, she remembered the advice of her mother about the Chinese people: …it takes a little time to get to know them (the Chinese). But once you get to know them, they give you everything. They are the most trustworthy people you can (know) and it’s very different from any other Asian culture. To Kija, the fact that Wei had the same values as she and Jim was very important. She particularly valued their mutual respect and trust, “The trust we have is unbelievable and I think that is a very important thing. I totally trust him when it comes to technology.” Likewise, Wei Du explained how it is to work with Kija and Jim: “As a team, I think my personality fits. Kija and Jim are my friends. A friend means that your life could depend on each other....we really trust each other.” In the year 2000, Kija and Jim demonstrated their trust in Wei Du by asking him to become a partner in HDM. Wei knew he brought “logic and an engineering point of view” to the HDM strategic team. He said that he “thinks about the company’s future and technological skills needed for future projects.” What was important to Wei was that he enjoyed his work and he did it well. He believed that “when people are satisfied, there are no complaints.” Consistently Kija’s corporate team: Jim, Elena, Wei and John Walsh, the Controller, spoke of Kija’s leadership as one that engendered mutual respect and a strong team. John described Kija as: She's a very outgoing, optimistic, fun-loving person and that to me makes it a lot easier to work with. (She is) very approachable, you know, she'll get you an answer right away. She stresses teamwork and everybody striving for the same goal for the company to be successful. John’s role in the team was self-described as “I'm the bad guy. I play the bad guy part,” that is to say he controlled costs and told everyone they were spending too much on pizza. Even for the tough roles and responsibilities like John’s, there was much support and good humor. There was a strong work ethic that permeated the organization and even though everyone worked long hours, a sense of community and fun dominated. Page 74 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) There was no doubt that Kija Kim impacted HDM’s culture in ways that supported- but also challenged- her team, a ying yang approach to leadership. Elena Bleakley remarked that Kija “is a very charismatic woman” who valued hard work, dedication, commitment, intelligence and education. As a hands-on manager, Kija’s imprint was indelible and impactful. Kija was known for setting high standards, expecting the best not only from herself but also from others around her: I set the bar high so you have to perform, because I just don’t tolerate incompetence, and they all [staff] know that . . . if you’re not competent, you don’t survive if you’re in HDM. It’s kind of interesting. I take it as a compliment, right? Killer Network: Networks, Partners, Community Kija has a social responsibility to groups and brings her networking skills, a killer network. She enjoys it; she does well by doing good. Jim Aylward Though Kija Kim had to put her dreams and ambitions on hold, she acknowledged that “I never gave up. I stayed active in the community, even teaching U.S. history at our local high school.” To her, being an active community volunteer and building her own networks served as a foundation for what was to come later, “preparing her for the career that I would soon regain”. In the early 1980’s, when Kija started her own consulting business she had to do everything herself from marketing to technology and she realized the importance of the networks she did not have: I am a woman. I come from another country. I didn’t have a real network here. I realized that with other companies, their business came through their networks, their friends. I really do need a business network. The lack of networks remained an issue through the startup of HDM. Jim Aylward noted that building a network from the ground up took a tremendous amount of work, Meetings at night, dinners, parties…lots of outside meetings, bringing people in, building up those relationships…[it’s] very, very hard to do and she now has one of the best networks going. Jim proudly recounted Kija’s many network realms noting that she connected with the leaders amidst them all: government, business, technology, minority communities, women advocacy communities and even professional referrals for health care specialists. “She has friends everywhere she goes…not too many companies get to 18 years in business, but the longevity… is part of her network.” Kija’s political network began with her active engagement in the fight to return Asian businesses to the business affirmative action program that identified disadvantaged minority firms with the U.S. Small Business Administration. Kija started getting faxes about a decision to take Asian businesses out of this status and she joined others in an organized “push back” effort. She said, Page 75 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) “that was my first wind of activism, you’ve got to get involved and fight…we started organizing this group at that time and successfully…pushed back…that was very good.” Also during the early ‘90’s, Kija accompanied Governor Bill Weld and his wife Susan, an Asian law scholar, on the trade mission trip to Asia. Subsequently Governor Weld created the Massachusetts Asian American Commission. With Kija’s appointment to the commission she increased her community activism and became intimately familiar with the issues of the many different Asian communities in the state. She commented, “I learned so much…we had town meetings, wrote a lot of reports…and met (frequently) with the Governor...it was a really good time.” As a result of her new notoriety within the Asian community and her up and coming recognition as an enterprising woman business owner, she was invited to speak at the Massachusetts Political Caucus Conference on The Glass Ceiling at the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University in 1992. After the conference, she was approached by a woman who asked her if she knew Reverend Chen Imm Tan. Kija recollected the conversation: I said no. She said, ‘you’ve got to meet her. She [Tan] is organizing an Asian battered women’s shelter project because there are a lot of language problems due to so many ethnicities in Asia. She really needs help, and you two should meet.’ Kija joined forces with Reverend Tan and The Asian Task Force Against Domestic Violence (ATASK) taking on the demanding project of building a physical shelter for Asian women who were in desperate need of protection and support. Finding out that their fund raising attempts to date had only raised a small amount of money, Kija remembered saying, “God, we’ve got to organize a big fundraising event. You’ve got to have some kind of signature event.” She benchmarked similar organizations that were successfully raising $100,000, and further added, “We can do better…let’s organize.” She remembered that everyone started to look at her questioning if they could really do it…and recalled, “again, I didn’t know what it took…so I said sure… we can do it.” So in 1994, Kija Kim started The Silk Road Gala which was to become the major source of revenue for The Asian Task Force Against Domestic Violence. Kija provided the overall leadership and direction for the dinner and silent auction event, including securing sponsors. Ten years later Silk Road and ATASK were recognized by the highest ranking state and local governmental officials and community leaders as a model program for Boston and Massachusetts. For Kija, “that [Silk Road] was my biggest accomplishment.” Kija’s community involvement expanded, invitations to serve on organizational boards were plentiful. She was driven by an unquenchable thirst for learning and a willingness to participate. Jim indicated, “I think at one point she was on 14 boards at the same time, non-profits, and corporate boards, and association boards… And I thought that was too much for her.” At Jim’s recommendation, Kija cut back on these numerous board memberships heavily based in Massachusetts (see Exhibit 2). When HDM expanded their office in Washington D.C. their networks in that region were primarily limited to customers. Jim took the lead in establishing these good contacts, as he said, “building more from a business standpoint, building relationships with customers, doing a lot of Page 76 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) bids, putting together a lot of proposals.” Regardless of where Kija and Jim lived or worked, a lack of networks would never again be a barrier to her success. Strategic Repositioning We stopped doing what we were doing and started doing what we were thinking. Jim Aylward Following September 11, 2001, HDM reaffirmed its government focus and strategically repositioned its technology on homeland security. Jim further explained what this strategic repositioning entailed: “trying to stay ahead of the curve” through a focused commitment to cutting edge technology. As Jim said “we stopped doing what we were doing and started doing what we were thinking.” This shift in strategic action resulted in one of their most successful innovations, the VBIZ tool suite, one of their open GIS tools. It provided the foundation for the Hazards Map project and proved pivotal to future growth for HDM. In 2000 Congress had created the Disaster Mitigation Act, which changed and enforced map mitigation and lead to the Congressional Map modernization plan, known as Map MOD. In addition to mandating a plan for modernizing flood maps nationwide it called for technology sharing among multiple levels of local, state and federal government. In response to this new demand for a new flood map system, FEMA started a new prototype system called Hazardmaps.gov, and HDM was tasked to develop it. Kija saw this as one of HDM’s big opportunities to move most of the staff to DC and focus new federal contracts and technology. This decision paid off in 2004 when HDM was on multiple teams (all three final teams) in a Map MOD competition. FEMA had designated HDM’s technology as a key component of this 5 year, $1B program. Michael Baker Corporation in conjunction with IBM won the contract for which HDM provided the “HazardMaps.gov” based on technology, major software system development and geospatial data management services. Kija realized that Hazard Maps would become the company’s future. This technology allowed them to become well known and respected within FEMA and the Flood Map Modernization program. Post 9/11 Kija and her strategic team analyzed the situation and realized they were uniquely situated to follow the growth of Homeland Security by developing products that could assist with the safety and security of America. Due to their strong relationship with FEMA, they were able to reposition their technology to sell products to the Department of Homeland Security (DHS). Kija noted: “We need to really focus on government and Homeland Security because that’s our bread and butter. That’s what’s growing and there’s a lot of work out there”. Strategic repositioning required that they refocus their sales approach and shift Jim’s role. Jim explained that they “organized their sales approach to be more product-centric,” meaning sales were primarily generated on services gained through product sales. Meanwhile, Jim assumed the role of business and customer development, submitting bids and writing proposals. Additionally he turned his attention to developing existing relationships through a more strategic point of view. For example, Jim’s relationship with the Homeland Infrastructure Foundation Level Database Working Group (HIFLD) became part of an important Page 77 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) growth strategy. Established post 9/11, HIFLD was designed to help intelligence agencies learn about the United States, because prior to 9/11 the Department of Defense (DOD) and intelligence agencies assumed terrorist attacks would not be US based. All involved organizations were scrambling to shift their attention to Homeland Security. HDM was an integral part of this Homeland Security effort. HDM was becoming recognized as a key player in Homeland Security technology, which was their major business focus. HDM had effectively carved out a competitive niche in the highly fragmented GIS industry. For example Indus, a major competitor, only competed with HDM on services within the Federal Government. Another competitor Plangraphics did not offer products, either. Neither firm had the HDM advantage that the web portal security and software provided. As numerous companies approached HDM to partner and to provide technology to Homeland Security, Kija once again realized the need to remain agile. She figured that if the Homeland Security industry declined, HDM’s work could be transferred to the private sector as it related to infrastructure protection and hazard risk management. Kija realized that the singular focus on the government sector had its down side: I keep wondering about the commercial market. We don’t have the resources to concentrate in that area now. We need to be careful about cash flow management and make sure we won’t grow too fast. Yet, I am keeping the commercial market in mind if the opportunity comes along. Kija saw the need to balance their portfolio between government and private sectors. She also saw that the portal technology HDM used for FEMA and IBM held promise for web service and insurance companies in the private sector. Meanwhile, government budgets were tightening to fund the war and the only budget increases were in DOD and DHS. Since the DHS and DOD connection was increasing and they both already used HDM technology, this was a clear opportunity for growth in the public sector. By 2003, HDM posted approximately 1.9 million dollars in revenue and more than doubled this figure in 2004 with approximately 3.2 million dollars. HDM was projected to grow twenty percent in 2005, but Kija speculated that it might be as much as thirty-five percent. HDM’s strategy was steady controlled growth with an emphasis on increased profit margin. Kija knew that controlled growth would result from maximizing their technology and staying ahead of the curve. HDM’s capability was put to the test when Hurricanes Katrina and Rita devastated New Orleans and the Gulf Coast region of the U.S. Rising to this challenge and once again partnering with FEMA, HDM proved to be an invaluable player with disaster analysis and relief. For HDM, this was a watershed moment as the recognized need for their products in the marketplace grew and they received more customers and visibility. HDM reached its projected revenue target of $5 million in 2005 and appointed a new Vice President and Manager of a new Government Solutions Division (GSD), David Chadwick, to increase their organizational capability and better respond to increasing demands. Everything was looking up. There seemed to be little doubt that HDM’s future was bright and Kija was proud of her firm’s progress, their contributions to the GIS industry and more importantly their ability to help rebuild communities impacted by natural and unexpected disasters. Page 78 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) While Kija struggled with conventional definitions of success connected to greater profit and significant size, she commented "But when I think about it, it really is something to stay in business for eighteen years.” She knew that throughout HDM’s evolution, she had struggled with issues of growth and profitability, but she also knew she had earned respect as a technologically savvy, resilient, high quality, small player. Kija argued: But then I realized that if we can still be small and make money, it doesn’t matter how big you are. You can run it the way you want and make a good profit and have steady growth, that’s the bottom line. But as HDM faced the opportunity posed by homeland security and other unique applications of their services and technology for increased profitability, Kija reflected upon her leadership of HDM: I often say if I had to do the business all over again I wouldn’t do it the same. [The bootstrapping] is painful, it’s hard to grow. It was my first business and I didn’t know any better. But if I started all over again I’d go out to venture capitalists, raise some money and grow big, and exit. While Kija Kim was reconsidering her own definitions of success, she received a call from the U.S. Small Business Administration. The Director of Economic Development for the City of Cambridge had nominated Kija Kim for Small Business Person of the Year. This nomination surely recognized her leadership and HDM’s successful innovative culture, cutting edge technology and their growing demand for products and services. Was this it? If this recognition and all it embodied wasn’t success, what would make her feel successful? Page 79 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 1 Kija Kim and HDM Timeline 1965 Graduated top of her class, Seoul National University 1966-67 Attended Clark University, Graduate School of Geography 1983 Joined civil engineering firm (Charles Perkins Company) 1985 Started New England Mapping Company, an automated mapping and facility management business 1986 Joined Allen, Demurjian, Major and Nitsch, a Boston based civil engineering firm; met future partner Jim Aylward 1988 Started HDM with Jim Aylward; won U.S. Coast Guard contract for automated mapping and asset management system 1990-91 HDM moved to larger facility and obtained first line of credit from Shawmut Bank; staff increased to 7 full time employees 1992 Dr. Wei Du joined HDM 1993 Awarded multi-million dollar GIS development contract by Boston Edison Company (now NSTAR); project would go on to win an international Utility GIS award 1994 Married Jim Aylward; started Silk Road Gala, largest fund raising event for Asian Task Force Against Domestic Violence organization 1999 SmartCity.com spun off from HDM, led by Jim Aylward 2000 HDM focused on federal government efforts, expanded DC operation; Dr. Wei Du became partner, moved to Washington D.C. 2001 HDM strategic repositioned on Homeland Security technology 2004 HDM (part of Baker / IBM team) won part of 5 year, $1B DHS/FEMA Flood Map Modernization Program 2005 HDM reaches revenue target of $5million, appoints new VP and Mgr of Government Solutions; Kija nominated for SBA Award Page 80 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 2 Selected Board Memberships Held by Kija Kim Boston Fed Bancorp (now merged with TD Bank North) Clark University Board of Trustees Massachusetts Software Council Mass Health Data Consortium Center for Women & Enterprise, CWE Mass Jobs Council (co-chaired with then Lt. Governor Paul Cellucci) Massachusetts Women’s Commission Massachusetts Commission on Welfare to Work, Co-chair Massachusetts Asian American Commission Massachusetts Ambassadors Council Asian Task Force Against Domestic Violence Page 81 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Teradyne: On the Road To China 1 Kuo-Ting Hung Neil Hunt Suffolk University Gina Vega Salem State College Laurie Levesque Hasan Arslan Christian DeLaunay Suffolk University As Jeff Hotchkiss, President of the Assembly Test Division of Teradyne, Inc., approached Teradyne's Chinese facilities, the downpour was washing away some of the unbearable air pollution in Shanghai. His taxi fought a losing battle with the multitude of cars that were converging on Pudong, the vast industrial park west of this bustling Chinese metropolis where Teradyne facilities were located. Upon his arrival the previous day, Jeff had marveled at the maglev high-speed train that connected Shanghai International Airport with his hotel downtown and wondered why such state-of-the-art transportation was not available in Boston. Shanghai was the place to be for Teradyne because most Chinese electronic manufacturers were located either in this region or further south, in the Shenzhen region where Teradyne also had a sales office. “China is here forever,” Jeff had commented to his executive team. As president of the Assembly Test Division of Teradyne, Inc, Jeff was responsible for overall sales of his division’s complex testing systems and the revenues brought in by service contracts sold to customers after the one-year warranties ran out. His recent return to Teradyne was intended to bring his expertise to bear on one of the corporation’s larger divisions, one that was trying to improve its market share in the emerging Chinese market. Jeff had found evidence that problems existed, and he needed his division’s brightest minds to get to the source. The Chinese market would not wait for them, and neither would their competitors. Teradyne's History i Teradyne, Inc. (Teradyne) was founded in 1960 by two MIT classmates, Alex d'Arbeloff and Nick DeWolf, who reconnected after a decade of separate careers. The business started out small, in a second story office in downtown Boston, convenient to public transportation. The two men had the idea that testing of electronic components was going to be a growth industry, and in 1961 they intended to get in on the ground floor by developing and selling a logiccontrolled go/no-go diode tester. The innovativeness of the product made it a hard sell. However, once manufacturers realized that they could make up the tester's cost within two years 1 We thank the two reviewers and the editor who worked so hard with us to improve this case. We also offer special recognition for the significant contributions to this project made by Shahriar Khaksari (Suffolk University) and Jeffy Hotchkiss (President, Teradyne ATD). Page 37 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) because of increased production throughput, the market exploded. A series of technology "firsts" made Teradyne the industry leader in automatic test equipment, and it maintained this position until 2006 (see Appendix A for a timeline of notable events). Teradyne was structured in four divisions: Broadband Test (test systems for telephone and cable service providers), Assembly Test (electronics testing and inspection of loaded printed circuit boards), Semiconductor Test (test equipment for semiconductor devices), and Vehicle Diagnostic Solutions (test and diagnostic solutions for transportation equipment manufacturers). Though Teradyne’s corporate headquarters was located in Boston, Massachusetts, its divisions were headquartered in Illinois and North Reading, MA in the United States, and Manchester in the United Kingdom. Each division had its own management and internal structure and operated semi-autonomously. Teradyne had a flat organization structure with only two management levels separating engineers from the division president. Groups of managers made their decisions collaboratively. Few, if any, organization charts made their way into this company, and those that did appear arose for a specific purpose and disappeared when no longer needed. This loose structure encouraged lots of supporting relationships, but very few reporting relationships. Teradyne's collaborative culture was perceived by management as one of its significant organizational strengths. Jeff Hotchkiss – President Jeff Hotchkiss was named President of the Assembly Test Division in 2004 after having served as CFO of Teradyne from 1997 to 2000, and as a Vice President in the 1990s. He joined Teradyne after he graduated from the Sloan School (MIT) in 1970. For the three years from 2000 through 2003, Hotchkiss was the Founder, Director, CEO, and President of Empirix Corporation, a venture-backed Teradyne software spinoff that was to handle VOIP testing. In 2004, Hotchkiss returned to Teradyne's Assembly Test Division with an executive team comprising 8-10 direct reports, each of whom operated with broad responsibilities. For example, the General Manager of the Commercial Business Unit made decisions for all of his products internationally, with ongoing input from Jeff and higher-level input coming quarterly from the corporate level CFO and CEO. With fewer than 12 direct reports himself, the GM was free to deploy products anywhere in the world as long as he showed a profit. The Electronics Industry In 2005, the electronics industry represented over $1.2 trillion in sales. Over half of that amount was in Asia, one sixth in Europe and the rest in the Americas. The industry was projected to grow over five percent per/year worldwide, with Asia accounting for three quarters of that growth. Within Asia, not only had China dominated growth in the industry at greater than 20 percent of sales in the 2002-2005 period, it was expected to continue growing at 12 percent per year from 2005-2008. The rest of the industry's expansion in Asia was on a par with that of Europe and the Americas – close to three percent per year. China was producing between 25 and 30 percent of worldwide data processing, communications and consumer electronics, and these three segments represented approximately three quarters of the whole industry. Outstanding growth was also noticeable in the expansion of the top ten Page 38 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) computer focused electronics manufacturing service companies in Asia, all of which doubled in sales from 1998 to 2004 (from $40 billion to $80 billion). A similar pattern appeared in the worldwide demand for “In Circuit Testing” (ICT) and therefore in the market for Teradyne’s and its competitors’ ICT services (see Appendix B for glossary of abbreviations). While the estimated $250 million ICT market was not expected to expand substantially in the years 2006-2008, China’s importance in that market was expected to grow from less than a tenth in 2002 to over a third in 2008. The rest of Asia made up another third of the demand, while demand from Europe and the Americas was expected to shrink from half to less than a third. Worldwide, the two major players in the ICT market were Teradyne and Agilent Technologies, Inc. Other companies were significant competitors in regional markets, such as SPEA in Europe or TRI in Taiwan. As noted by Tarun Goyal, (Electronic News April 16, 2001), "The electronics industry is characterized by a highly fragmented supply chain. Parts and products change hands constantly from component manufacturers to component distributors, contract manufacturers, system distributors; resellers and finally to the user. This fragmentation leads to the so-called bull-whip effect with too little or too much inventory and poor business performance -- lower sales and poor customer responsiveness”. The cyclical nature of the electronics industry created brutal consequences during the downturns. In the "bubble-building" years of 1997-1999, Teradyne had roughly 38 percent of the ICT market, to 37 percent for Agilent. This followed the profitability of the 1980s, when inventories were built in anticipation of steep demand. However, when the market changed, the result was overcapacity and large amounts of warehoused product. This experience was magnified by the implosion of the 2000-2001 internet bubble which spread through the computing industry, and by extension through the ICT companies whose market shrank by roughly two thirds between 2000 and 2002. Teradyne's market share declined every year from 1997 to 2003 (except for small gains in 2002), then recovered somewhat in 2004 when it regained some ground compared to its major competitor, Agilent. (Appendix C). Agilent had managed to keep its market share during this period and in the post-bubble years of 2002-2004, it averaged 37 percent to Teradyne’s 28 percent. Moreover, despite the vicissitudes of the electronics business cycle, this period saw the growth of yet another competitor, Aeroflex, which went from a negligible market share in 1997 to almost seven percent in 2004. The Business Model Teradyne sold its products primarily through its direct sales channels in North America, Europe, and Asia and had small engineering organizations in China, Japan, and Germany (See Appendix D for information about Teradyne’s global supply chain and related information). In 2005, Teradyne had sales of about $1.08 billion with about 4,000 employees worldwide. ii Its direct competitors within the industry designation of Semiconductor Equipment & Materials were Agilent Technologies Inc., Advantest Corporation, and Credence Systems Corporation. Teradyne’s Assembly Test Division (ATD) in North Reading, MA and Poway, CA provided electronics testing and inspection solutions to original equipment manufacturers (OEM) and electronics manufacturing services suppliers. Their in-circuit test systems were used by Page 39 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) customers to verify electrical assemblies in commercial and military avionics systems where reliability, time-to-market, and in-line process were keys to success. Specific products and services from ATD included In-Circuit Board Test Systems, Functional Test Systems, Automated X-Ray Inspection, Military and Aerospace Test Solutions, and Service Offerings. Although ATD maintained its major engineering and manufacturing facilities in New England, its primary sales and support offices were located throughout the Americas (U.S., Canada, Mexico, and Brazil), Europe, and Asia Pacific (offices in Shanghai and Shenzhen in China, and in Singapore, Taiwan, Korea, and Japan). Overall, there was an ATD presence in nearly 30 countries throughout the world (Appendix E). Teradyne’s daily operations were full of challenges. Its automatic test devices were sold with a one-year warranty that covered all repairs; after that, Teradyne attempted to sell service contracts to customers to cover the downtime and repair of these complex products, which could cost up to $1 million. Demand for the testing devices fluctuated wildly as customers often waited until the last minute to choose a final configuration. Teradyne also relied heavily on outsourced manufacturing. On average, Teradyne’s products required 3,000 to 5,000 components, some of which were very expensive. These components came from suppliers from all over the world. When repairable parts failed, customers returned them to a Teradyne repair depot in the Philippines or Costa Rica for rework at a significant cost to the customer. The variety of suppliers and the need to replace and replenish so many parts led Teradyne to coin the term “glass pipeline,” to emphasize the necessity of visibility in inventory distribution. To Teradyne, a glass pipeline implied the ability to monitor their own and supplier inventories at the level of the individual components to avoid the need to overstock inventories as a buffer. This reduced the amount of funds tied up in expensive inventory components. Visibility of components through the entire supply chain allowed Teradyne to conduct risk assessments continuously on each player in the chain through an array of performance attributes such as availability and cost. Teradyne thus maintained an aggregated view of supply and demand, controlled supplier relationships as manufacturing was outsourced, and cut delivery lead-time for quotes and deliveries by half of what they had been before. By reducing delivery quantity, Teradyne shipped more quickly with an aim to smoothing the production flow in its pipeline and reducing variation in its own operations and that of its customer. Collectively, smaller delivery quantity and lead-time often improved quality as the feedback lead-time from customers regarding product quality was reduced. As of 2006, Teradyne had inbound, outbound, and demand visibility, and also knew what was happening within its core group of suppliers and manufacturers, including Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS) providers who supplied components to Teradyne (see Appendix D for a section of a TestStation supply chain). Teradyne’s supply chain management effort was broadly recognized for its excellence. For 16 years running, VLSI Research named Teradyne as a “10 Best Supplier” in the semiconductor equipment market, based on scoring by users worldwide. Page 40 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Step I: Recognizing the Problem When Jeff returned to Teradyne in late 2003 with the customer focus mindset that drove success at Empirix, he noticed things were not going well. The market was in freefall, the acquisition and merger of General Radio Corporation (GenRad), a manufacturer of electronic test equipment, with ATD had forced a series of tough human resource, economic, and product line decisions, and Teradyne's market share in China was a surprising one third of what it was in Europe and North America. Jeff decided to tour the Chinese operation to see for himself what the problems were. His whirlwind tour of China included visiting 20 customer locations in two weeks and holding multiple meetings with the expatriates leading the Chinese operations. The typical expense to multinational corporations (MNCs) in China for expats averaged between $300,000 and $500,000 per expat per year, and Teradyne's costs were no different as they included a cost of living adjustment, a bonus for expatriation, transportation and a chauffeured car, moving and relocation expenses, school allowance, insurance and extended vacations. Some MNCs even offered spouse salary buyback, family visits and a health club or golf membership (See Appendix F for a full description of the use of expatriates). In return, the expatriates provided technical expertise and a link to Teradyne's management in the U.S. The impact of all these benefits was startling from Jeff’s birds-eye view upon his arrival at the Chinese facility. As he arrived at Pudong Park, Jeff noticed a row of Volkswagen Passats, each driven by a chauffeur. He first thought some official delegation was visiting the plant. Countless bicycles, some powered by tiny engines puffing black smoke, were converging on the company. Many other employees were walking stoically in the unrelenting rain. As Jeff strode toward the main entrance, he realized the passengers of these chauffeured cars were Westerners. As he recognized most of them, it dawned on him they were parent company nationals (PNCs). These expatriates from Teradyne U.S. were software engineers and managers on temporary assignment in China. They greeted their wet Chinese colleagues as they entered the building. Since public displays of emotion were considered improper behavior by the host country nationals (HCNs), it was difficult to determine the feelings of the Chinese engineers and technicians from the greetings, yet Jeff could not help but wonder if the obvious difference in status and pay affected the relationship between the locals and the expatriates. Local expertise was difficult to secure as the annual double-digit growth of China over the previous decade meant a sharp demand for graduates from local technology institutes and universities. As with everything else in this rapidly developing country, the situation was changing quickly. From 2002 to 2005, the number of expatriates legally employed in China doubled, reaching 150,000. iii The U.S. National Academies reported in 2005 that more than 600,000 engineers graduated from institutions of higher education in China, versus 350,000 in India, and about 70,000 in the U.S. iv However, these numbers were somewhat misleading as they included both short cycle formations (three or fewer years of University training) and auto mechanics (who were not considered “engineers” in most other countries). Furthermore, a 2005 McKinsey Global Institute study found that only 10 percent of Chinese engineers and 25 percent of Indian engineers were capable of competing for outsourced work v. Nevertheless, nearly half of all Chinese undergraduate degrees were in scientific fields, compared to five percent in the United States, vi and as local training was catching up with the insatiable demand for talent, the cost of a qualified local engineer, while remaining substantially lower than its western equivalent, Page 41 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) was increasing rapidly. According to Mercer Human Resources Consulting, the base pay for a software development engineer in China in 2005 was $13,400, a fifth of its US counterpart vii. Even Indian outsourcing companies such as Infosys were subcontracting some of the work in China. "We need a deep reservoir of talent as well as an alternative low-cost center like India as we continue to grow," said Nandan Nilekani, chief executive of Infosys, “And only China can match up. China has some 200,000 information technology workers (compared with India's 850,000) in 6,000 local companies, but more than 50,000 Chinese software programmers are being added to this pool annually.” viii Moreover, Infosys was not alone; Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), one of India's four largest exporters of software, had begun to offshore its staff. By 2005, TCS planned to have 3,000 software engineers, or 15 percent of its global work force, in China. ix Considering the expanding available talent pool and the enormous cost of the expatriates, Jeff wondered if the expatriates were having “too good a life” in China; while he understood the rationale for not driving in Shanghai x, he thought this situation was both unfair and untenable in the long run. Up to this point they had not given much attention to human resource issues beyond incentives used to get expats to China to focus on production and sales. After meeting with people at all levels in their customers’ organizations, Jeff had heard a number of complaints. From earlier reports, he had anticipated complaints about sales and product support. What he had not expected was a series of additional complaints about both pricing and performance: • "I remind Teradyne to be aware that there are alternative channels to source new and repair spare parts; current pricing not acceptable and must be reduced by 40-50 percent." • "Teradyne is a good supplier but I'm very concerned about your consistent capability to deliver spare parts on time." • "Teradyne offers good but complex products and therefore we need your support to get the maximum value out of your equipment." At the conclusion, it was clear to Jeff that the situation was critical – immediate action was necessary to stem the further loss of market share. Up to that point, Teradyne's Chinese operation consisted of manufacturing plants that built sub-assemblies for the testing equipment. They got their boards from various Asian sub-contractors who did the initial assembly on site, then shipped the boards back to the United States for final assembly, configuration, and testing. The Chinese operation was overseen by PCNs, English-speaking American expats who had little direct contact with the customers. Sales to Taiwanese firms in mainland China were performed by Taiwanese, who were considered third country nationals (TCNs) hired by Teradyne to work in the host country. Board repair service to all customers (Chinese and Taiwanese) was provided in facilities located in the Philippines and Costa Rica. For some time, Teradyne’s business in China had been run with an eye to maximizing service profitability at the expense of the core business, selling ATD products. Since service of these products was a derivative of the core business of selling them, any loss of core business automatically resulted in future service losses. By diverting sales efforts to the service component, the single-minded focus on service had become a drain on the core. Jeff replaced the existing manager with an interim manager who struggled for several months with little success to Page 42 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) understand the business needs in China. He also failed to make a positive impact, and Jeff decided to wipe the slate clean and start all over again. He pulled together an executive team that was launched in survival mode. Their mission was to stem the financial losses that came from decreased sales and the subsequent loss of service revenue. "China is here forever," commented Jeff Hotchkiss to his executive team, comprising three men: Tony DeMambro, Rod Willis, and Stefan Granitzer. Tony Demambro had joined Teradyne in 2001 after having been associated with GenRad Inc. for over 18 years in a variety of manufacturing related functions (worldwide distribution strategies, operations engineering manager, strategic outsource model development). Tony’s strengths at ATD were operational cost reduction as a percentage of revenue, quality improvements, facility consolidation and warranty conversion strategies. Based at Teradyne’s corporate USA headquarters, Tony had responsibility for worldwide ATD support and operations. His new assignment was to devote fully half his time to the China project, with the remainder allocated to the rest of ATD's support worldwide. An electronics engineer educated in and assigned to the UK location, Rod Willis had a reputation as a skilled executive, sales and operational manager and adroit trouble-shooter over the course of a diverse 20-year career in all aspects of high-tech manufacturing. He worked on the integration of Teradyne's acquisition of GenRad, identifying the size and support structure of the European Technical Operation, and held the title of European Support Manager, responsible for pan-European technical teams based throughout the Continent. During a two-year break from his employment at Teradyne, Rod was Managing Director for MPP (UK) Ltd., where he had major account development responsibilities. It was here that he honed his negotiating skills, acquiring funding to start the UK electronics manufacturing company, ISIS-MPP. Rod's management of Teradyne's European support operations led his group continually to outperform the Teradyne business model, for which he was selected to play a lead role in the ATD China project. His goal was to increase support contract conversion rates of customers' expiring warranty contracts. Stefan Granitzer, an Austrian national educated in Australia, contributed a broad range of service, product, pricing, and team building experience to the ATD China project. With more than 12 years' experience in high tech manufacturing, he had most recently been responsible for defining and implementing Teradyne's Eastern European Service Product Strategy. He led a team that defined and implemented a local service product strategy that resulted in a re-engagement of Teradyne's customer base, improving account relationships and profitability. Stefan was selected for the team to provide insight on numerous facets of customer support services, skill development of the multi-national sales force, and development of the local component repair capabilities. His goal was to transfer the skills and experience evidenced by his success in the Eastern European emerging market to the Chinese emerging market. Tony DeMambro was put in charge of "fixing the problem," along with this team of innovative and knowledgeable Teradyne managers. Rod Willis, Business Development Manager, coordinated the operation from the UK, and Stefan Granitzer, Product Manager Asia Service, who had Chinese contacts, moved from Germany to China to hold the front line. Page 43 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Where Do We Go Now? "Our business plan in China has failed," Jeff admitted to the team. Although Teradyne’s products were getting awards and breaking new ground, it was losing sales and follow-up service contracts in China. "We've been operating as engineers; we need to get back to the customer. My conversations with customers in China have shown that we're in real trouble. You've got to find the source problem, and quickly. Don't spend too much time analyzing, because as a company we've become slow to act." Tony, Rod, and Stefan had a huge challenge. They first needed to decide if a problem actually existed, and if so whether it related to market share, customer retention, supply chain issues, or something else. It would appear that while customers were concerned about the purchase cost of equipment from Teradyne, they were also unhappy about many other issues. Several ideas, such as product quality, service level, and variability in these, surfaced as potential candidates, but the team was not sure. It was unclear where they should start in identifying the problem and designing a strategy to resolve it. The team needed to figure out if they collectively had sufficient knowledge and experience to solve any problems, and what information had to be gathered to determine what was wrong. Jeff clearly had charged them to resolve any issues, and to do so quickly. Rod had the final word, "It is all too easy for Westerners to believe they know what needs to be done in locations such as China without actually performing adequate discovery." Page 44 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Appendix A Key Events in Teradyne's History 1960 1961 1966 1970 1971 1973 1970s 1979 1980s 1987 1990s 1995 1999 2000 2001 2003 2004 Teradyne founded Introduction of the D11 diode tester Introduction of the J259 integrated circuit tester Went public Nick deWolf left Teradyne; Alex d'Arbeloff named President Established sales organization in Tokyo, Japan Introduction of memory devices and test systems for electronic subassemblies First traded on NYSE (TER); First Teradyne test system shipped to China (Guangzhou Eastern Factory) Acquisition of Zehntel (a leading manufacturer of in-circuit board test systems) First analog VLSI test system (interface between analog and digital data systems) Acquisition of Megatest Corporation (semiconductor test company); Introduction of the Tiger and Catalyst test systems (SOC – systems on a chip); Acquisition of multiple ventures for testing software, computerized telephone systems, computer networks, and the Internet. Jeff Hotchkiss was Vice President of Teradyne (1990-1999) and CFO (1997-1999) Passed $1 Billion in sales; George Chamillard succeeded Alex d'Arbeloff as President and COO; d'Arbeloff remained Chairman and CEO Included in S&P 500 Acquisition of Herco Technologies and Synthane-Taylor; Alex d'Arbeloff retired from Teradyne; Chamillard became Chairman, President, and CEO Hotchkiss left to head Teradyne’s spinoff, Empirix Corp Acquisition of GenRad (circuit board test and inspection leader) and merger to ATD (Assembly Test Division) Teradyne tapped Chinese market with Shanghai facility for manufacturing, sales, and marketing products to the Chinese market; Mike Bradley named President of Teradyne Mike Bradley named CEO (Chamillard continued as Chairman) Jeff Hotchkiss returned to Teradyne and named President of the Assembly Test Division Page 45 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Appendix B Commonly Used Acronyms at Teradyne ATD EMS ICT GCS OEM Assembly Test Division Electronics manufacturing services In circuit testing Global customer services Original equipment manufacturers Page 46 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Appendix C In Circuit Testing (ICT) Worldwide Market Source: ATD Marketing Department Market Share in percentage Market Share in Percentage 50% 45% Percentage Market Share 40% 35% 30% 25% Teradyne 20% Agilent Aeroflex (IFR) 15% SPEA TRI 10% 5% 0% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Year Total Market Total ICT WorldwideMarket ($Million) $800 $700 Total Market in $Millions $600 $500 $400 $300 $200 $100 $0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Year Page 47 2002 2003 2004 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Appendix D – Looking at the Global Supply Chain A supply chain is a system of firms that transform or transport raw materials and components into a finished product from suppliers to customers, with the coordination of firm activities, resources and information. Firms in a supply chain are often described with the following categories according to their roles in the supply chain: • Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM): An OEM is a firm that acquires components and incorporates them into a new product with its own brand name. • A Tier One (or first tier) supplier supplies components to an original equipment manufacturer. • A Tier Two (or second tier) supplier supports a Tier One supplier in the delivery of goods and services to an original equipment manufacturer. Part of Assembly Test Division's Global Supply Chain for TestStationTM Source: ATD In the case of the supply chain for TestStationTM, the design was done in the ATD facility in North Reading, USA, while its parts manufacturing and subassembly operations were completely outsourced to Asian electronics manufacturers. These parts and subassemblies were shipped from manufacturers in China to the North Reading facility for final assembly, configuration, and testing. Completed TestStationTM units were shipped to Asian customers and other global destinations. Tier Two Supplier (Custom ASIC from US) Tier Two Supplier (Raw PCB from China) The CM managed over 1000 unique components from Tier 2 suppliers Note: Tier One Supplier (High volume PCBA’s from Computer Manufacturer in China) Tier One Supplier (Power Supplies from the Philippines.) ATD managed @ 300 parts for Conjuration and Test Customer (X in China) Assembly Test Division (Configuration and Test in N. Reading MA) Customer (X in Romania) ASIC: Application Specific Integrated Circuit PCB: Printed Circuit Board PCBA: Printed Circuit Board Assembly An Application Specific Integrated Circuit (ASIC) Printed Circuit Board (PCE) Page 48 Teradyne’s TestStationTM The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) An Abstract Representation of Assembly Testing Division Global Supply Chain, 2006 (Source: ATD) ATD Headquarter ATD Repair & Service Center ATD Suppliers ATD Sales & Support Presence Straight arrows show the partial global supply chain of TestStation Curved Arrows show the partial worldwide distribution of TestStation Page 49 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Appendix E - Map of Assembly Testing Division’s World Wide Presence, 2006 (Source: ATD) ATD Headquarter ATD Repair & Service Center ATD Sales & Support Presence Page 50 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Appendix F CHINA, TAIWAN, AND THE USE OF EXPATRIATES The People's Republic of China was formed in its current state on October 1, 1949. Its population in 2005 was estimated to be 1.2 billion, with a labor force of over 790 million people and a 90 percent literacy rate. The official language of China was Mandarin, and there were many dialects spoken as well. The two major dialects were Cantonese (spoken in Guangdong Province and in Hong Kong) and Hokien (used in Fujian Province and Taiwan). Shanghainese (spoken predominantly in Shanghai) was spoken by relatively few people in China; however, many affluent Chinese were from Shanghai. English, although rarely spoken in mainland China was still considered the language of business. China had numerous natural resources, and the world’s largest hydropower potential. Its industries ranged from mining and ore processing to electronics to automobiles, toys, and satellites. While China was officially atheist, the religions practiced include Taoism, Buddhism, Christianity (3 to 4 percent), and Islam (1 to 2 percent). Chinese society and its citizens were still very influenced by Confucianism in all aspects of their daily life. They took a very longterm view of life and business. Quick decisions and action were considered foolish and ignorant, and excluding Chinese from the decision making process was insulting. The Chinese respected status and rank, and it meant a lot to them to be given the rationale behind decisions, be asked for their feedback, and be allowed to collaborate in decisions, even simple ones. In addition to signaling respect for them, inclusiveness could increase their commitment to decisions. Collectivism in China was rated highest of the Asian countries, and this affected not just how work was accomplished but expectations for socializing. Bosses who organized sporting or social events for employees gained greater loyalty. Politically, China considered Taiwan its 23rd province and did not recognize it as an independent nation, therefore there were many rules for business between the two. Chinese mainlanders were not allowed to work in professional positions in Taiwan. However Taiwanese were often employed as supervisors in mainland China companies due to Taiwan’s more advanced information technology sector. The Chinese respected technological abilities, and many MNCs (multinational corporations) chose expatriates who were technically skilled line managers. MNCs that sent Taiwanese to mainland China as managers often selected them not only for their functional skills, but also for their knowledge of local culture and language, an ability to speak both Mandarin and English and work experience in the US. As it was understood that Americans were likely to make cultural faux pas, they were given more latitude than local or Taiwanese managers. In China, Taiwanese managers had a reputation for arrogance, and hostility often existed between them and local workers. However, there were many things that prevented US expatriate managers from interacting with the local Chinese: expats were segregated in hotels or compounds, had few non-work activities to choose from, were unable to speak the local language and had available to them a community of other expats with whom they could socialize. Most mainland Chinese did not have overseas work experience. This lack of exposure to other cultures and business practices meant they did not ask questions, say no, admit if they did not understand something, or recognize that there could be a positive side to risk taking and mistakes. Page 51 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Peter Morris wrote in Asia Times (March 27, 2004), “It is an open secret that the key to a successful China business strategy lies in finding a good Taiwanese manager. Shanghai's business elite, if they are not local Chinese, are disproportionately comprised of either Taiwanese, American-born Taiwanese or overseas Chinese from other countries who have returned to their ancestral homeland to make a fortune.” He gave the computer industry as an example, stating that many US firms put their Taiwanese engineers or programmers (or American employees of Taiwanese descent) in leadership positions when expanding to China. While Americans tended to rush in with an efficiently organized business, the Chinese sought those that have had input from locals or are supervised by locals who better understood the needs, customs, and way of life in that area. Expats or non-nationals working in China could violate business etiquette in many ways, in how or to whom they spoke, in meeting and greeting business guests and colleagues, at meals, when exchanging business cards, and using gestures or touches considered appropriate in their home country. Expats underestimated the importance placed on trust, personal relationships and mutual obligations, and how such “guanxi” was essential to do business in China. Technically, guanxi stands for any type of relationship. In the Chinese business world, however, it was also understood as the network of relationships among various parties that cooperated and supported one another. The Chinese businessperson’s mentality was very much one of "You scratch my back, I’ll scratch yours.” In essence, this boiled down to exchanging favors, which were expected to be done regularly and voluntarily. There were many nuances when it came to guanxi, understood by locals. There was an enormous hurdle to expats who did not understand the Chinese culture, language, or writing system. This could be seen in all areas of life, including transportation – simply getting to work every day. Many MNCs paid for cabs or local drivers to take these individuals to the office or plant. Expats avoided driving, not just because they were required to get a license from the local vehicle administrative department, but due to the hazards and frequent accidents. The roads were crowded with pedestrians and bicyclists who, from an expat’s perspective, did not follow their conventional driving rules and regulations. Sources: http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geos/ch.html CIA The World Factbook: China http://workabroad.monster.com/articles/chinaetiquitte Negotiation: Go Back with a Deal http://www.cyborlink.com/besite/china.htm Geert Hofstede Analyis China http://taiping.blogspot.com/2005_03_01_taiping_archive.html The Black China Hand http://www.expatfocus.com/ Global Relocation Advice, Services, and Community http://app1.chinadaily.com.cn/star/2001/0405/fo5-1.html Expats on Wheels http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China/FC27Ad02.html (Taiwan may hold key to China hi-tech dilemma, Peter Morris, Asia Times Online Co, Ltd., March 27, 2004.) http://www.amcham.com.tw/publication_topics_view.php?volume=31&vol_num=9&topics_id= 131 Vol. 31 - No. 9, White-Collar Workforce Wars http://www.amcham.com.tw/publication_topics_view.php?volume=31&vol_num=10&topics_id=1 48 Shanghai Surprise http://voc.ed.psu.edu/projects/publications/books/Spring2004/WEF_spring2004.2.html Intercultural Adjustment Issues and Training Implications Page 52 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Endnotes i Some information is drawn from www.teradyne.com/corp/history.html (retrieved March 2006). Teradyne’s corporate profile, Finance Yahoo, http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=TER, (retrieved March 2006). iii China Ministry of Labour and Social Security; http://www.chinacsr.com/2006/04/04/expatriates-continue-to-pour-into-china ii iv Top Advisory Panel Warns of Erosion of U.S. Science, Friday, October 14, 2005. http://scienceandreason.blogspot.com/2005_10_01_scienceandreason_archive.html v McKinsey Quarterly number 4, 2005. http://www.mckinseyquarterly.com/article_page.aspx?ar=1685&L2=18&L3=31 vi Demagoguery Aside, Outsourcing of Jobs Is a Real Threat to U.S. Morton M. Kondracke, Executive Director, AILA Issue Papers, Department of Homeland Security; May 17, 2004. http://www.aila.org/content/default.aspx?docid=10140 vii It is worth noting than according to the same survey, Indian software engineers were even less costly at $10,300. Sumner Lemon, IDG News Services, 11/17/2005. http://www.networkworld.com/news/2005/111705-software-developers-salary.html viii Nov 2, 2004 http://www.sepiamutiny.com/sepia/archives/000629.html ix Will India price itself out of offshore market? , Mike Yamamoto, CNET News.com, March 29, 2004. http://news.com.com/2100-1022-5180589.html x Shanghai authorities did not know the exact number of local inhabitants. Estimates ranged from 9 to 18 million, varying with the inclusion of Shanghai suburbs and the “floating” 2 million people in transit, or migrating from the rural areas, desperately attempting to get day jobs in construction or anywhere else daily laborers were needed. Millions of bicycles were being quickly replaced by millions of cars and most Chinese were new to the “driving” experience. Rules of the road were often ignored, seatbelts were removed from taxis, and the use of lights was not required for night driving. As a result, an estimated 200,000 Chinese died every year on the roads and few Westerners dared to join the fray. Page 53 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) A Confrontation of Mindsets: French Retailers Operating in Poland Stephanie Hurt Meredith College Marcus Hurt EDHEC Business School It is 9:00 a.m. in the office of Gérard Chatillon on the second floor of a major hypermarket on the outskirts of Warsaw, Poland, November 29, 2006. Gérard Chatillon * was reading over an email he had received from Ted Cross. Ted Cross was a writing a series of articles about Western food retailers in Central Europe for one of the leading British business magazines. He had asked Chatillon for an interview and they had spoken a couple of times over the phone. The interview was for 11:00 that morning. Cross wanted to see Chatillon, because he was VP of Operations for Poland of a large French food retailing chain implanted on the Polish market and had been in the country since 1993, the very beginning of that implantation. In the e-mail that Cross had sent, the question that Chatillon found most interesting was: Mr. Chatillon, you have been here for some 13 years, since the very beginning of your company’s move into Poland, yet you mentioned on the phone that 1996 to 1997 was really a ‘watershed period’ for your firm’s internationalization process in this part of the world. Can you tell me why that time was so important? Chatillon was glad that Cross was not due for another two hours. It would give him time to get his thoughts together about that ‘watershed period’ that had caught Cross’s interest. That ‘watershed’ was the period when they had first faced serious problems with their Polish employees; problems that called into question the very survival of their operations in Poland and forced them to make some major decisions about how to run their business in the country. Chatillon got up, took out some records that he had kept over the years, minutes of meetings, personal notes, staff lists and some correspondence, sat down with them and began to put them and his memories together. True, it was 13 years ago when he and his team members all received their internationalization assignment in France before their departure for Poland. At the same time, other retailing firms were giving similar assignments to their internationalization teams. THE INTERNATIONALIZATION OF FRENCH RETAILERS All the French retailing giants, Carrefour, Casino and Auchan, had begun to seriously internationalize in the early 90s. In this, the retailers were acting like firms in many European industries that were gearing up to take advantage of the greater freedom of movement of capital Page 54 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) and business that the establishment of the European Union in 1993 was to bring about. In 1993, many of the controls and restrictions that had previously slowed cross border investment and the strategic positioning of European firms would dissolve. It is true that Carrefour had set up operations on a minor scale in Latin America in the 70s and 80s and Auchan had made investments in Spain and Italy; however, these investments were made in markets felt to be ‘psychologically close’ to the French market. The retailers’ real commitment to internationalization would only come in the 90s which constituted a major watershed for European firms. ‘Globalization’ became a buzzword in a Europe marked by two almost simultaneous events: the creation of the EU and shift of the previously Communist Central European societies towards a market economy. Throughout continental Europe and the UK, food retailers had been consolidating their positions—as they would continue to do throughout the 90s—and were entering a clear maturity phase of the retailing industry. In France, the legislature, feeling the country was saturated with hypermarkets, had severely restricted the number of new superstores that could be opened, and the liberalization of cross border trade brought in new and tough competition from German discounters. These discounters made it very difficult for the French retailers to maintain their low-cost leadership strategies. Also, any meaningful differentiation between the French chains had become impossible; the retailers were practicing a strategy of fast-paced copycatting of each others’ offers and diversifications. They were all moving into financial, insurance and tourism services, expanding their product assortments, and becoming, in essence, the new department stores. The stress was on ‘one-stop shopping’ where consumers could find everything they needed within one mall with the hypermarket as anchor. Market share gains were made through acquisitions and internal development of other retailing formats: supermarkets and convenience stores, and in some cases, diversification into other retailing categories. Growth opportunities on the home market were few; the only real growth possible was in going international! This was the reason why the opening of stores in Poland was a godsend. Central Europe, and particularly Poland, had looked like a market with great potential, Chatillon recalled. As the momentum towards a market economy gathered speed in the region, the retailers perceived many apparent similarities with their home market. First, Poland seemed ‘psychologically close’: it had a long shared history with France, was definitely ‘Western European’, and shared a common religion. Moreover, it was ‘ready’ for mass consumption. For 50 years the Poles had lived in an economy of constant shortages and the population clearly showed its interest in buying every kind of Western good, but especially foods and household staples. The distribution and retailing infrastructure in Poland, a legacy of the Communist period, was chaotic: no clear channels seemed to exist that could get large quantities of food and household goods to the new would-be Polish consumer. The country also had a large population (38 million) and a number of densely populated major cities which could provide customers for shopping centers located on the outskirts of the cities, the model French retailers had developed at home. On the economic side, growth in Poland’s GDP was the highest in Central Europe, and despite the country’s high unemployment rate, it seemed to have brought its initially rampant inflation under control by 1993. There were drawbacks; it is true. First, high unemployment might hold back the development of a consumer society, which was the foundation for the French mass retailing model, particularly in a society where purchasing power was much lower than in France. But the retailers were Page 55 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) confident: over the years their own growth in the Polish economy would create the consumer society they needed, and high unemployment would ensure a ready and willing labor force. Second, the retailers would need to develop a network of suppliers similar to the one they enjoyed in France and Western Europe; no such network existed for the time being. But perhaps the most important reason to move into Poland was that, like most of Central Europe, it was territory that was unoccupied by retailers. With their home market saturated, the retailers needed to set up a beachhead before others did. By the early 90s, they had imitated each other so often in their maturing industry at home, that if one of them went abroad, they would all have to go! And other European retailers were acting fast, namely the Dutch and the Germans. THE INTERNATIONALIZATION ASSIGNMENT THE MANAGERS RECEIVED IN 1993 The future expatriates, including Chatillon, had received their assignment through a series of briefings at the home office in France before they packed up and moved their families to Poland. Chatillon often wished he could have recorded the briefings, but of course that was not allowed; secrecy was an obsession with his firm—as it was in all the retail chains. Chatillon knew that all of them were managed and operated in very much the same way, but during their years of growth, French retailers got in the habit of watching each other’s prices, specials, and new products very carefully and sent out ‘shoppers’ to report back to the home office on what the competition was doing. Secrecy surrounded everything they did. The assignment they were given was very clear—and challenging. The briefings were delivered by top managers of the company; this fact drove home the message of how significant the challenge was and how strongly success or failure could impact their careers. Top management told them they intended to ‘replicate’ their hypermarket business model exactly on international markets; the model had been successful in France, and they would do business and manage just as they had done at home. They called it ‘photocopying’ the model. The model had developed over 40 years on the French market; it was very complex and depended on the interlinking of many components. It was a model that had ‘solidified’ in a mature market, but they were going to export it to a market where retailing, although not really ‘infant’, was going to be ‘transformed’ into something entirely different that the Poles, largely isolated from the West for five decades, had ever known. In their opinion, the fact that no real Western-style retailing infrastructures or channels existed would make it all the easier for them to photocopy their model exactly. Basically, during the briefings, the future expats were told about the different stages they would carry through in transferring the whole retailing business model, first on to one store and then extending it through store after store. With hindsight, Chatillon realized that it would have been better if top management had broken the model down into ‘hard’ and ‘soft’ components. His experience in Poland between 1993 and 1996 had made the difference between those two aspects of the model quite clear. But in 1993, nobody was thinking clearly about the ‘components’ of their business models or how to effectively transfer them internationally. In Chatillon’s view, the ‘hard components’ of the model included the store itself, its layout and merchandising, and its product assortment. Other aspects that were ‘hard’ included the retailers’ Page 56 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) supply chain relations, the training and management of their suppliers, in-house logistics and JIT inventory management. To a large extent, the retailers managed to transfer or reproduce these components between 1993 and 1996. It had not been easy, but they had done it. They worked closely with the Polish government and authorities to secure prime locations for their hypermarkets; they convinced the government to build the necessary transport infrastructure to bring shoppers to their stores. Finding that no real supply chain for food retailing on a massive scale existed in Poland, they contacted potential suppliers and trained them to think in Western terms about quantities, quality, deadlines, prices, contract terms and rebates—so many ideas that were alien to firms that had produced under the Communist economic system. They also brought the suppliers of Western goods into Poland with them and set up logistics and supply arrangements. Then they organized and oversaw the construction of their first hypermarkets. It had not been perfect; it had been arduous—but basically, it had worked. It was in only in 1996, when the managers first started hiring and training masses of Polish recruits, that Chatillon started realizing that the ‘soft components’ had always been far more complex—they were all people related. The most serious problems they were experiencing in the ‘watershed period’ of 1996 and 1997 were people problems Chatillon remembered how clairvoyant one top manager had been about the importance of the ‘soft components’ at a briefing session just before the expats’ departure for Poland. Don’t forget. Our force lies in the way we teach our employees to do things the way we have always done them. It all starts on the store floor! We take the new people and we work side by side with them until they pick it up and are doing it automatically. Then they themselves are ready to train the younger recruits. Then we’re on our way! Easy to say, Chatillon thought. Actually, what had to be learned was quite complex, based on well-tested practices and procedures, and learned mostly by ‘doing’. And in 1996, they were certainly not managing to get these practices across to the Polish employees! THE BEGINNING OF THE ‘WATERSHED”: 1996 By 1996, Chatillon had been put in charge of setting up the first hypermarket his firm had scheduled for opening by the end of 1996, only a few months away at that time. One day of that time stood out in his mind particularly. He was walking down the hall on the second floor and stopped half way down the hall to look over the railing down onto the tremendous space of the hypermarket. It would be the biggest store Poland had ever seen, he thought—over 200,000 square feet of tiled floors soon to be filled with gondolas stocked with food, personal care products, meat, frozen goods, wines and spirits; most of this from Western Europe. It would constitute a consumer revolution for this population that had spent the last 40 years in an economy of shortages under the Communist regime, a population of potential shoppers that had never known a really consumer-oriented economy. Chatillon remembered how excited they all were at the prospect of helping bring so much of Western abundance to an emerging economy. But his firm was not the only French retailing company working on setting up hypermarkets in Poland. Other food retailing firms had made the same decision at the same time and expatriated some of their best store managers to Poland. Page 57 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Chatillon knew that other hypermarkets were being planned for opening around Warsaw at exactly the same time. These stores were to be only the beginning. Once the newly recruited Polish personnel had been adequately trained, French retailing managers from all the chains hoped they would be moving on to setting up other stores and gradually cover Poland with hypermarkets as they had done in France. Of course, the chains were all watching each other’s progress carefully. Chatillon remembered that when he looked down on the store floor below that day, the view was also frightening—the store was so empty! Would they meet the deadline? Would they get all that space stocked, organized and run with the efficiency that they were used to in France? Would their new Polish employees be able to run the 50 or more checkout stands and handle the thousands of shoppers they expected every week? Would some of the recruits develop managerial skills and rise to supervisor positions and even management level, so Chatillon and his team could move on to the next store and leave the first store in Polish management hands? From the beginning the French managers had been nagged by problems with their Polish recruits. The Poles did not act at all like French employees when it came to learning their jobs. They were not acquiring the routines and practices that were essential to efficient store operation. They did not seem ambitious or ready to take responsibility. As time grew shorter, their attitudes and behavior were becoming an ever more urgent matter. Their ability to reproduce the behavior of retail employees back in France was absolutely crucial to the success of doing business as it was done on the home market! Over the next hour, Chatillon had short conversations with a few members of his team. These confirmed his fears. The canned food category manager said he could not seem to get across to the recruits how to set up the gondolas, how to stock them and how to plan for stock-outs. He also couldn’t get half of them to show up to work on time—or show up at all! Although the French were working through translators; this was only partly helping the situation, because the translators themselves admitted they had trouble understanding what the expats meant about merchandising, attractive displays, correct pricing and so on. Thus, it was difficult for them to communicate what they themselves did not understand fully. Very often, the words did not exist in Polish. The meat cutters they had brought in from France were also having a very difficult time training the butcher staff to cut meat like they wanted. The feedback from the soft drinks section was similar. The recruits could not merchandise and they were not taking any initiative. Basically Chatillon’s team said they had to watch over the recruits all the time. They didn’t see any future managers there. After this series of conversations, Chatillon called a meeting of the whole team for 7:00 that evening. Then he walked back to his office to plan what his team was going to discuss that evening at the meeting. He was sure that the managers of the other food retailing chains setting up operations in Poland were experiencing the same problems he was facing. But how could he get a handle on the situation: how could he understand its nature and how could he turn it around? That afternoon, in the hours that preceded the meeting that was to help catalyze so many important decisions of the coming months, Chatillon had decided to try to get down on paper how important people were to the way their business worked. First he wrote at the top of his sheet “employees and our business” and then had scratched it out and wrote s “the soft Page 58 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) components of the business model”. He was aware this was more abstract, but he thought in the end, if he could think through exactly what his firm was trying to reproduce (no, he said to himself, remember: ‘photocopy’) in Poland, he could get by ‘what was not happening’ and see what he could do about ‘what could be made to happen’. CHATILLON’S DESCRIPTION OF THE ‘SOFT’ COMPONENTS OF THE BUSINESS MODEL Although hypermarket retailing was very capital intensive, with expensive fixed assets, it was also a very human-resource intensive business. A large hypermarket in France had a management staff of some 13-14 persons, category managers and department heads of about 20, and a total floor staff of some 400. The store organization was very flat and had a very wide span of control. This meant that personnel had to be very thoroughly trained in the methods and practices that characterized the chain. Processes, systems, organizational structure, knowledge transfer methods, routines and human resource management—all built around people—were the internal managerial practices that were the real foundation of a successful hypermarket operation. Over the years, French retailers had developed a ‘model’ store, with fine-tuned procedures for opening new stores and operating processes for everyday management covering the three months before opening and the three months after. Organization charts, staffing, and all activities had been identified, standardized and codified. For instance, all the activities that had to be accomplished on the way to the final opening were laid out in detail as D-Day minus 120, minus 90, minus 60, and so on. This quasi military rigor depended greatly on the speed with which recruited personnel could assimilate the firm’s methods and learn its routines. As the industry matured, management style had become more top down and decisions were more centralized. With increasing investment and heightened competition between the retailers, figures had become key to measuring performance. General store managers had very little latitude and were responsible, above all, for reaching targets set by the home office. Working methods on the floor were standardized, personnel breaks were timed and merchandizing controlled. Energy was focused on meeting consumers’ needs better than the competition— business could only be gained at the other’s expense. Team work on the floor was encouraged— as was initiative, although strictly within the bounds of time-tested routines. Suggestions for improving results were welcome, but not meant to call into question the ‘way we do things’. Routines were the keystone of the retailers’ knowledge transfer system. In France, new personnel were often trained in methods and procedures in special seminars provided for recruits; however, routines were mostly inculcated through ‘learning by doing’, by learning on the spot while working with experienced personnel. The need to have new employees master the routines had an effect on hiring, training and promotion. In France, the retailers typically hired in young people right after schooling rather than hiring them away from other companies; this ensured that the recruits would learn the right ways of doing things and not bring in outside ideas and work habits. This is also why they rarely hired graduates of business schools. The recruits were hired in at the ground level and required to be trained ‘on the floor’, working their way through all the departments and services of the store. Page 59 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) The expatriate managers intended to apply this same system in Poland, replicating the practices they used in France. Rotating the Polish recruits through all the jobs in the stores would help them learn their new employer’s business model and company culture. It seemed all the more necessary to duplicate both their hiring and training procedures in Poland as there was no retailing sector to hire away from in 1996. As also had been the rule in France, Polish employees selected for promotion would be those who had demonstrated mastery of the routines, fit into the company culture and had shown that they could then train others in the routines. Every employee to be promoted had to leave his successor trained to take over his job. Rotation also ensured that employees understood their role in the whole operation and could be assigned to responsibility. It was very important that the employee could take responsibility not just for a task, but for a result—for instance, a completely customer-ready and well-managed section or department. This job enlargement was what made possible the very flat organizations and wide span of control; little supervision was needed if the routines had become ingrained; employees could be said to be ‘on automatic’. The top echelons of both store and company management had almost always followed this path; they had made their way ‘up from the ranks’, developed their careers with the same firm, been formed by and integrated its culture. Chatillon himself had followed this path. They were managers who—as they rose—had gained a vision of all the components that made up the business model and could ensure its continuance. Customer relations were another of the ‘soft’ components of the modern model in France. In the 90s, as competition grew tougher between the retailers, service and friendliness to shoppers became essential to creating customer loyalty. Check-out and stock personnel were trained in customer contact skills; training programs focused on the ‘customer is king’ approach. Simultaneously, the diversification into appliances and electronics required personnel who not only had good contact skills but could advise shoppers and demonstrate some technical knowledge. Here again initiative was expected of employees who wanted good performance in sales and good career prospects. The Polish retailing recruits had not yet been really tested for their customer contact skills, but when he was out shopping, Chatillon had had ample opportunity to see that generally the Poles were rather sharp with customers, or ignored them. There were no automated checkout stands with scanning technology, bagging and friendly checkout staff. Neither checkout nor stock personnel had been trained in customer contact skills. In summary, the ‘soft’ components of the French hypermarket business model had produced a set of managerial practices that worked well with employees who demonstrated a corresponding set of attitudes: employees that understood the importance of competition and efficiency, were very attentive to costs, showed initiative in improving the functioning of the existing business model, were loyal to the firm and identified with it, saw their future in terms of a company career, and took responsibility for an enlarged range of activities to ensure good performance and profitability. These were the kinds of employees they could find in France. Page 60 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) THE EVENING MEETING OF THE MANAGERS Chatillon recalled the meeting that evening as if he had filmed it: Management meetings were very convivial when the French were among themselves, without Polish staff and translators attending. After all, there were only seven of them and they lived in the same neighborhood, sent their kids to the same schools and saw each other socially very frequently, as ‘expats’ usually do. They kept alive their French life styles as much as possible. Like many expatriate managers on assignment all over the world, they sometimes felt they were living on an island surrounded by the local population. The French management teams of the different chains usually numbered only six to seven persons who would be managing over 400 Polish employees for the first store openings. It had always been intended that the first stores would spawn others very swiftly and be a training ground for the management of the following stores—Polish management. It had never been intended to have a large number of French expatriate managers living in Poland. The stores were to be run with primarily Polish management and staff. As growth in the number of stores was meant to be very rapid, this meant that a very large number of Polish employees, supervisory staff and managers would need to be trained and move on to open other stores; therefore, learning would have to be fast! That’s what this meeting was about. The air was full of electricity. They were getting closer to opening date and they knew the home office was getting worried by the slow progress. Feeling the tension, Chatillon decided to provoke everybody with a question he already knew the answer to: How’s the prep going? Are we on schedule? That opened the floodgates. Look, the first thing is that we work through translators. These people are all young university graduates in Romance languages—that’s why in the Hell they speak French—literary types you know, trying to translate our ways of doing business, which they don’t understand themselves, to a bunch of workers who … Translators or not, the real problem is that these Poles refuse to learn. They just sit on their hands and wait until we spell everything out for them… Hold on. We’ve been through these gripe sessions before, but time is growing short. We need to take a careful inventory of the things that are bothering us and see if we can find a logical way of dealing with them. OK Jean, you kick off. Franck, you step up to the flipchart and take notes, please… The session was rough. They wrote down a lot of things, and then went through them again and again to come up with a list they could get their minds around. Towards the end of the session, the flipcharts basically listed a mixture of things not easy to relate: just simple facts about Polish recruits as well as bothersome behavior or attitudes. They were too exhausted to comment on the Page 61 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) final list and decided to sleep on it. They went home at 11:30. They left the flipcharts up behind locked doors to go over the next day. The flipcharts read as follows: • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Many of our recruits are older and have work experience but it is the wrong kind of experience Some workers are found to be drunk on the job Many workers do not show up for work They take long breaks and whenever they want There is a high rate of tardiness They leave work early in the day Workers pay little attention to deadlines They do not understand why goods should be displayed or organized the way we do it There is a lot of pilfering of equipment and merchandise Employees pay little attention to making the store attractive or laying out goods in an attractive manner They are very passive and wait for us to tell them what to do, they take no initiative They cannot prioritize They only work on their part of the store, if they see debris or dirt somewhere else they walk by it Employees put in supervisor positions do not take responsibility for their subordinates work Supervisors attending management meetings just listen, they do not contribute Most supervisors have been chosen as supervisors because of their decent French Employees do not ask questions After we have told employees in charge of a section what needs to be done, the next day nothing has been done They do not understand that shelves should be kept fully stocked Chatillon too had gone home exhausted. But he got to work early the next morning and found that Franck was already there. They had morning coffee together in the meeting room with the flipcharts from the night before staring at them before the floor crew started to show up. What does it all mean Gérard? I’ve been here two years and I thought we were moving ahead and I don’t know what to do about this. How are we going to open? How can we count on our so-called supervisory staff to take control in this one store? I can’t imagine us moving on to the next store opening unless there are some people here who can get things moving, make the store attractive, get people to buy, run a tight ship, control costs and so on. You know back home we run a store of this size with 400 people. Right now it looks like we’re going to need some 600 to 700 to get done what we do back home with 400! And we still can’t do the same job as well. I don’t really know. I’ve been thinking about what makes this business tick and it’s certainly people on the floor—and managers who come from the floor! Page 62 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Look Gérard, remember that researcher who’s been interviewing all of us retailing managers over here because she writing papers on Poland and businesses operating in an emerging economy. She’s an international business professor or something; she’s Polish in origin and has been studying Polish firms and the changes after the Communist regime. Why don’t you give her a call and let us interview her for a change. Maybe she can throw a little insight on things. Chatillon had his assistant track down the professor. Unfortunately, she was not in Poland at the time. He did something that normally he would not have done, because of the company stress on secrecy; he had the flipcharts typed up and faxed to her with an accompanying letter that laid out his problems and asked for her comments. He knew she understood retailing very well and had had contacts with the home offices of most of the retailing chains. He was pleased that she answered immediately. He had kept the fax all these years. THE FAX FROM THE PROFESSOR Well, Mr. Chatillon, I won’t try to go through your list of problems. Probably the best thing I can do is describe what I have come to understand about the work attitudes you are facing by studying a number of previously state-owned Polish firms that privatized after the end of the Communist regime in 1990. The people who led the privatization of these firms faced serious problems in trying to change their employees’ behavior to succeed in a market economy. In Communist society most workers did not think in terms of having a trade or a profession. A job was not a job; it was a position; everyone had a government assigned and guaranteed position in a firm. Concepts like personal productivity, motivation, and empowerment were completely lacking. All firms were overstaffed and typically the position was for life. Most workers took little interest in their onthe-job activities and dealt uninvolvedly and slowly with their daily tasks; if they were not in production (which was the purpose of the economy), they ‘administered’. Absenteeism was rampant and workers rarely put in a full day of work. Alcoholism was widespread, particularly among the men. Being a “part of the organization”, or “a productive member of the organization”, were not expressions that were used in Poland or, as I understand it, in other Communist countries in Central Europe. Loyalty to the firm did exist in Poland, particularly in the form of pride in production technology and technical skills, but it was very unevenly shared out; there were just as many workers who plodded through their work days and motivation was most often left for off-the-job activities with friends and family. The idea of loyalty could only have been tested in a free labor market where there was bidding for personnel, but under the Communist system there was no competition for good employees. There were constant shortages of all goods. It was not a market economy but a stateplanned economy, where public officials decided what goods in what amounts should be produced. Most often, even basic staples were scarce. Employees would close their shops or information windows in public administrations whenever they wanted and go hunting for supplies. Competition among Poles was not oriented towards winning customers away from other sellers but in personally obtaining goods in Page 63 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) short supply for one’s family. This meant that the very idea of ‘customer’ itself was lacking. Service personnel in stores were used to seeing long lines of people waiting at the counters to buy whatever goods were available that day and were usually very curt with shoppers. The state-guaranteed position would be there the next day whether anything had been sold or not. The very idea of attracting and pleasing customers was inexistent, thus merchandising, advertising and store embellishment were inconceivable. Polish workers learned to conform, to fit in. In a society of routine and monotony, processes were standardized. Creativity was discouraged, since suggestions of any kind might be considered an attack on the foundations of the system. This led employees to unlearn initiative during the Communist period. Above all, they learned not to rock the boat. Employees learned not to think about the quality of their superiors’ decisions. Managers most often were political appointees and were not promoted because of their managerial skills. They could influence the employees’ chances of acquiring a car or being allotted an apartment more quickly, therefore, it was more judicious to be quiet. This completely separated the relation between power and merit. As in other cultures, for other reasons, the boss was there to make the decisions. It would have been out of place to show any initiative. Therefore, Polish employees confined themselves to doing exactly what was assigned; responsibility for enlarged responsibilities was avoided, as it might invite rebuke. The Poles learned not to seek information—or clarity. What was the use of information if it could not be used? The most useful sources of information under the old regime were typically underground and concerned ways of obtaining basic commodities. Moreover, frank curiosity could be interpreted as a kind of insubordination or subversion. I would say, Mr. Chatillon, that the flipchart lists you sent me are the reflection of what I have just described. I hope this is useful to you. ***** It is 11:00 a.m. in Gérard Chatillon’s office November 29, 2006 Ted Cross arrived on the dot and Chatillon went down to meet him at the administration reception to the large hypermarket. It took a good hour for Chatillon to sum up his personal view of the years leading up to 1996. He had just shown Cross the original flipcharts and the fax from the professor. However, he asked Cross not to report the information in detail but only include it in his report in a summary fashion. Then Chatillon continued: After this fax from the professor, I met with my team and over a period of weeks and even months over 1996 and 1997 we took a series of steps to deal with our difficulties. The professor helped us understand our employees better, but she did not tell us how to solve our problems. We realized we were caught in a bind. There were several important issues: Page 64 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) The home office had laid out a clear strategic plan and operating procedures that were the very essence of a tried and true business model. This model was highly codified and was to be photocopied on every international market. The home office was impatient to see us successfully launch our hypermarkets in Poland. Our Polish employees were not responding to our methods and we were facing a real shortage of managerial staff needed to fuel our expansion. We knew that other markets were being studied for entry—Thailand, China, etc. We were a test case and what we did would probably influence our firm’s internationalization process in other markets. Ted Cross leaned forward and sipped his coffee. So, what did you do, Mr. Chatillon? __________________ 1 Although this case is factual, the name of the company and individual names have been disguised. Page 65 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Financial Reporting for Investments: The Case of National General Insurance Company Kenton Swift University of Montana Mel McFetridge Carroll College Overview National General Insurance Company (NGI) was one of the leading insurers in the United Arab Emirates. NGI was headquartered in the Emirate of Dubai and had recently added branches in the Emirates of Abu Dhabi and Sharjah as part of its expansion plans. It offered a wide range of commercial and personal insurance products. The Company was formed in 1980 and was listed on the Dubai securities exchange (Dubai Financial Market) in 2002. Prominent shareholders included Emirates Banks, Commercial Bank of Dubai, Zarouni Group, and Dubai Investments. The Company also partnered with Aviva Ltd, part of the British insurance giant Aviva Plc, to offer a range of life insurance and investment products. NGI was rated BBB by Standard & Poors. The Company’s mission stated: To achieve market supremacy through the provision of Total Insurance Solutions and dedicated premier services which not only meet but also exceed our customers’ expectations. To ensure our commitment to our customers first and foremost in all aspects of our activities thus ensuring the enhancement, expansion and growth of the Company to the long term, sustainable benefit and satisfaction of our stakeholders. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) was a rapidly developing country located at the southwestern end of the Arabian Gulf Peninsula. It was a country where significant oil and gas wealth had been reinvested in economic development. The real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rose 7.4% in 2007. According to the International Monetary Fund, the GDP per capita for 2007 was estimated to be $42,437. This compared favorably with an estimated GDP per capita in the US of $45,725. The UAE’s rapidly expanding economy led to a big demand for housing, and real estate prices increased at a rapid pace beginning in 2005. The Dubai Financial Market (DFM) also had a big increase in 2005 with the general securities index surging to about 8,500. After that time stock prices dropped significantly with the DFM General Index leveling off at about 4,500 by 2007. It is worth noting that the United Arab Emirates was a country that is less than 40 years old, and formal securities markets were only created in the year 2000. Thus, the Dubai Financial Market had not yet developed the same level of regulation and sophistication as more mature markets. Page 82 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Reporting Issues for National General Insurance Company As an intern at a major brokerage firm you have been asked to review the financial statements of National General Insurance Company and report to senior management about any significant findings. NGI’s audited financial statements are provided in Exhibit 1. An initial review of the financial statements indicates the following. Public companies in the United States are required to prepare their financial statements using US financial reporting standards (US GAAP). However, the auditors’ report for NGI stated that the financial statements were prepared in compliance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), not US GAAP. It should also be noted that the financial statements were denominated in UAE dirhams (AED). A quick review of currency exchange rates shows that UAE dirhams were tied to the US dollar at an exchange rate of 3.678 dirhams per 1 US dollar. An examination of the balance sheet shows that most of the Company’s assets were securities investments and real estate investment properties. The total value of all investment securities was AED 173,662,949 at December 31, 2006 when combining the three categories: Investments held to maturity, Investments available for sale, and Investments fair valued through profit and loss. And investment properties totaled AED 66,579,000 at December 31, 2006. NGI appeared to have substantial equity with shareholders’ equity totaling AED 209,629,395 at December 31, 2006 compared to total liabilities of AED 190,374,675. Also, the Company had positive working capital with its current assets of AED 254,239,724 exceeding current liabilities of AED 178,538,084 by AED 75,701,190 at December 31, 2006. The income statement for NGI showed a small net income for 2006 of AED 237,482. The income statements for both 2005 and 2006 also showed substantial gains and losses from fair value fluctuations of investments. In fact, for 2006 the fluctuations in “Unrealized (losses)/gains on investments” and “Fair value changes in investment properties” were sizeable in relation to the underwriting profit of AED 34,261,517. As net income is an important input into a company’s valuation, it is important to investigate these fluctuations. Page 83 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 1 – National General Insurance Financial Statements 1 National General Insurance Co. INCOME STATEMENT For the years ended December 31, 2006 and 2005 2006 (UAE Dirhams) 2005 (UAE Dirhams) Accident and liabilities Marine Fire Group and individual life 27,064,587 1,438,499 1,208,390 4,550,041 12,167,062 908,563 752,263 606,249 Total underwriting profit 34,261,517 14,434,137 4,781,649 1,461,142 (6,905,529) (66,584,581) 6,600,000 26,173,000 1,302,605 764,317 1,782,900 469,017 48,035,148 24,214,958 12,902,837 6,000,000 5,006,304 159,444 1,854,120 113,004,745 (1,616,638) (4,851,945) 237,482 108,152,800 0.002 1.070 Net Underwriting Profit Interest income Dividend income Realized (losses)/gains on sale of investments Unrealized (losses)/gains on investments Profit from the sale of investment properties Fair value changes in investment properties Rental income from investment properties Other income General and administrative expenses Net profit for the year Earnings per share 1 The financial statements for National General Insurance Company were retrieved from the website of the Emirates Securities and Commodities Authority, which is the regulatory body for publicly traded securities in the UAE. Page 84 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 1 (continued) National General Insurance Co. BALANCE SHEET At December 31, 2006 and 2005 2006 (UAE Dirhams) 2005 (UAE Dirhams) 2,135,471 66,579,000 14,821,520 62,228,355 806,775 37,000,000 10,510,250 16,086,469 96,613,074 58,751,705 2,907,394 12,547,260 24,679,251 58,741,040 254,239,724 140,635,395 24,416,471 967,745 9,706,777 10,503,653 70,403,960 256,634,001 85,167,194 227,118 48,508,227 44,635,545 178,538,084 30,872,688 803,398 35,937,358 26,768,418 94,381,862 Net current assets Life assurance fund 75,701,640 (11,836,591) 162,252,139 (6,057,703) Assets employed 209,629,395 220,597,930 101,430,000 18,361,456 17,745,470 72,450,000 18,337,708 17,721,722 (649,372) 72,741,841 3,311,645 108,776,855 209,629,395 220,597,930 Assets Employed: Noncurrent assets Property and equipment Investment properties Investments held to maturity Investments available for sale Current assets Investments fair valued through profit and loss Trade receivables Due from a related party Other receivables Reinsurers' share of outstanding claims Cash in hand and at bank Current liabilities Accounts payable and accruals Bank overdraft Unearned premium reserve Outstanding claims reserve Shareholders' equity Share capital Legal reserve General reserve Fair value reserve for investments available for sale Retained earnings Page 85 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 1 (continued) National General Insurance Co. STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS For the years ended December 31, 2006 and 2005 2006 (UAE Dirhams) Operating activities Net profit for the year Adjustment for: Depreciation Provision for doubtful account Profit on sale of investment properties Profit on sale of investment held to maturity Unrealised losses/(gains) on investments Realised losses/(gains) on sale of investments Gain on fair value adjustment of investment properties Increase in unearned premium reserve and life fund Operating profit before changes in working capital Cash flows from working capital Purchase of investments fair valued through profit and loss Proceeds from sale of investments fair valued through profit and loss Increase in trade and related party receivables Increase in other receivables Increase in accounts payable & accruals Increase in net outstanding claims Net cash flows from operating activities Financing activities Dividend paid Net cash flows from financing activities Investing activities Purchase of property and equipment Purchase of investment properties Purchase of investment held to maturity Purchase of investment available for sale Proceeds from sale of investment properties Proceeds from sale of investment available for sale Maturity of investments held to maturity Net cash flows for investing activities Net (decrease)/increase in cash and cash equivalents Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the year Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year Page 86 2005 (UAE Dirhams) 237,482 108,152,800 781,791 150,000 (6,600,000) 66,584,581 6,905,529 (26,173,000) 18,349,756 419,711 143,651 (12,902,837) (78,198) (24,214,958) (48,035,148) (6,000,000) 16,769,994 60,236,139 34,255,015 (65,153,608) (165,846,187) 35,685,820 (43,541,424) (2,840,483) 40,091,508 3,691,525 28,169,477 132,570,992 (7,464,707) (6,752,776) 6,365,679 5,028,305 (1,843,679) (7,245,000) (7,245,000) (6,300,000) (6,300,000) (2,110,487) (7,086,459) (9,311,270) (50,102,900) 31,600,000 (32,370,969) (2,771,824) 70,003,800 3,751,698 5,000,000 (32,011,116) 38,612,705 (11,086,639) 69,600,561 58,513,922 30,469,026 39,131,535 69,600,561 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 1 (continued) National General Insurance Co. STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY For the years ended December 31, 2006 and 2005 As at January 1, 2006 Share Legal General Fair Value Retained Capital (UAE Dirhams) Reserve (UAE Dirhams) Reserve (UAE Dirhams) Reserve (UAE Dirhams) Earnings (UAE Dirhams) Total (UAE Dirhams) 72,450,000 18,337,708 17,721,722 108,776,855 220,597,930 237,482 237,482 (7,245,000) (7,245,000) (28,980,000) 0 (23,748) 0 (23,748) 0 3,311,645 Net profit for the year Dividends paid Issue of bonus shares 28,980,000 Transfer to legal reserve 23,748 Transfer to general reserve Adjustment to fair value for investments available for sale As at 31 December 2006 As at January 1, 2005 23,748 (3,961,017) 101,430,000 18,361,456 17,745,470 63,000,000 7,522,428 6,906,442 (649,372) Net profit for the year Dividends paid Issue of bonus shares 9,450,000 Transfer to legal reserve 10,815,280 Transfer to general reserve 10,815,280 Directors' remuneration Adjustment to fair value for investments available for sale As at 31 December 2005 (3,961,017) 72,741,841 209,629,395 40,004,615 117,433,485 108,152,800 108,152,800 (6,300,000) (6,300,000) (9,450,000) 0 (10,815,280) 0 (10,815,280) 0 (2,000,000) (2,000,000) 3,311,645 72,450,000 Page 87 18,337,708 17,721,722 3,311,645 3,311,645 108,776,855 220,597,930 Exhibit 1 (continued) Auditors’ Report The Shareholders National General Insurance Co. (P.S.C.) Report of the Auditors We have audited the accompanying financial statements of National General Insurance Co. (P.S.C.) (“the Company”), which comprises the balance sheet as at 31 December 2006 and income statement and cash flows for the year then ended, and a summary of significant accounting policies and other explanatory notes. Management’s responsibility for the financial statements Management is responsible for the preparation and fair presentation of these financial statements in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards. This responsibility includes: designing, implementing and maintaining internal control relevant to the preparation and fair presentation of financial statements that are free from material misstatements, whether due to fraud or error; selecting and applying appropriate accounting policies; and making accounting estimates that are reasonable in the circumstances. Auditors’ responsibility Our responsibility is to express an opinion on these financial statements based on our audit. We conducted our audit in accordance with International Standards on Auditing. Those standards require that we comply with relevant ethical requirements and plan and perform the audit to obtain reasonable assurance whether the financial statements are free of material misstatement. An audit involves performing procedures to obtain audit evidence about the amounts and disclosures in the financial statements. The procedures selected depend on our judgment, including the assessment of risks of material misstatement of the financial statements, whether due to fraud or error. In making those risk assessments, we consider internal control relevant to the entity’s preparation and fair presentation of the financial statements in order to design audit procedures that are appropriate in the circumstances, but not for the purpose of expressing an opinion on the effectiveness of the entity’s internal control. An audit also includes evaluating the appropriateness of accounting principles used and reasonableness of accounting estimates made by management, as well as evaluating the overall presentation of the financial statements. We believe that the audit evidence we have obtained is sufficient and appropriate to provide a basis for our opinion. The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Opinion In our opinion, the financial statements present fairly, in all material respects, the financial position of the Company as at 31 December 2006, and its financial performance and its cash flows for the year then ended in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards and comply with the relevant Articles of the Company and the UAE Federal Law No. 8 of 1984 (as amended). Report on other legal and regulatory requirements As required by the Federal Law No. 8 of 1984 (as amended), we further confirm that we have obtained all information and explanations necessary for our audit, that proper financial records have been kept by the Company and the contents of the Directors’ report which related to these financial statements are in agreement with the Company’s financial records. We are not aware of any violation of the above mentioned Law and the Articles of Association having occurred during the year ended 31 December 2006, which may have had a material adverse effect on the business of the Company or its financial position. KPMG Page 89 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 1 (continued) Selected Footnote Disclosure 2. Significant Accounting Policies g) Financial Instruments Classification Held-to-maturity investments are financial assets with fixed or determinable payments and fixed maturities that the Company has the positive intent and ability to hold to maturity. These include certain debt securities. Available-for-sale assets are financial assets which are not classified as financial assets at fair value through profit or loss, loans or receivables, or held to maturity. Available-for-sale assets include certain debt and equity investments. These assets may be sold in response to needs for liquidity or changes in interest rates, exchange rates, or equity prices. Investments fair valued through profit and loss are financial assets which are acquired principally for the purpose of selling in the short term or if so designated by management. Recognition Financial assets and liabilities are recognized on the balance sheet when the Company becomes a party to contractual provisions of the instruments. From this date any gains or losses arising from changes in fair value of assets or liabilities designated as fair value through profit or loss or available-for-sale assets are recognized. Held-to-maturity investments are recognized on the day they are acquired by the Company. Receivables are recognized on the day they are transferred to or acquired by the Company. Measurement A financial asset or a financial liability is recognized initially at its fair value plus, in the case of a financial asset or a liability not at fair value through profit and loss, transaction costs that are directly attributable to the acquisition or issues of the financial assets or financial liability. Page 90 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Subsequently to initial recognition, all financial assets at fair value through profit and loss and available-for-sale assets are measured at fair value, except that any instrument that does not have a quoted market price in an active market and whose fair value cannot be measured reliably is stated at cost, including transaction costs, less impairment allowances. Derecognition A financial asset is derecognized when the Company loses control over the contractual rights that comprise the asset. This occurs when the rights are realized, expired or are surrendered. A financial liability is derecognized when it is extinguished. Financial assets through profit and loss that are sold are derecognized and corresponding receivables from the buyer for the payment are recognized as of the date the Company commits to sell the assets. The Company uses the weighted average method to determine the gain or loss recognition. Available for sale financial assets that are sold are derecognized and the cumulative gains or losses previously recognized in equity are recognized in profit or loss. h) Investment properties Investment properties are stated at fair value determined annually by an independent registered valuer. Fair value is based on current market prices for similar properties in the same location and condition. Any gain or loss arising in fair value is recognized in the income statement. 4. Investment properties 2006 AED 2005 AED At January 1 Additions – acquisitions Deductions – sales 37,000,000 28,406,000 (25,000,000) 56,000,000 (25,000,000) Total Fair value adjustment 40,406,000 26,173,000 31,000,000 6,000,000 At December 31 66,579,000 37,000,000 Investment properties represent residential villas and land in Dubai and are carried at fair value. The villas are valued by an independent valuer having an Page 91 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) appropriate recognized professional qualification and experience. Additions pertained to the land purchased in Dubai on which a prepayment of AED 7 million in 2005 was transferred from Other receivables and an AED 14 million is still payable to the developer as at 31 December 2006. The land has been valued by the directors based on evidence of trades of land of similar size and location. Such trades were carried out between AED 100—AED 150 and the board of directors accepted the lower value of AED 100. The Company measures the property investments at fair value. For the villas, AED 14 million was recognized as unrealized gain and AED 12 million for the land in Dubai. 5. Investments held to maturity 2006 AED Emirates floating Rate Notes–July 2006 Mashreq Bank Int. Rate Notes–June 2007 Sukuk Bond – February 2008 2005 AED 5,510,250 9,311,270 5,000,000 5,510,250 ____- 14,821,520 10,510,250 6. Investments available for sale 2006 AED Externally managed funds – Unquoted Equity investments – Quoted Equity investments – Unquoted Sukuk Bond – February 2008 2005 AED 45,000,000 10,000,000 2,122,455 6,083,469 3,000 3,000 15,102,900 ____62,228,355 16,086,469 7. Investments fair valued through profit and loss AED Equity investments – Quoted 2006 AED 2005 96,613,074 140,635,395 Page 92 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) The Prize? The Price? Constellation Brands’ Proposed Merger with the Robert Mondavi Company Armand Gilinsky, Jr. Sonoma State University Raymond H. Lopez Pace University In late summer 2004, Richard Sands, CEO of Constellation Brands (Constellation), had just learned of the decision by management of the Robert Mondavi Company (Mondavi) to split that firm into two parts. Mondavi’s luxury wine division was to become a privately held entity, while its popularly priced “lifestyle” wines would continue to be produced and sold by the Mondavi. Sands was convinced that this decision would be a strategic and financial mistake for Mondavi, however, it could create a “once-in-a lifetime” opportunity for his firm to purchase all of the Mondavi brands and integrate them into the Constellation wine portfolio. In Sands’ estimation, this could be the right time for Constellation management to make a bid for Mondavi. If consensus from his management team about a Mondavi acquisition could be reached, the next challenge for Sands would be to determine a takeover price that would not only satisfy Mondavi’s shareholders, but also result in higher future returns for Constellation’s shareholders. Like Mondavi, Constellation was a public company; its shares were traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the stock symbol “STZ.” According to Sands: Our breadth across product lines and geographies affords us growth-generating investment prospects unrivaled in the industry. Furthermore our extensive range diminishes the inherent volatility and potential vulnerability that sometimes accompanies growth. As one of the world’s largest beverage alcohol companies, our scale gives us stronger routes-to-market, thereby leveraging our investments. Together, this unequalled breadth and scale propels our focus beyond short–term gain to investment opportunities based on growth and profitability over the long term. 1 The histories of the Mondavi and Sands families’ businesses shared some similarities. Robert Mondavi (in 1943) and Marvin Sands (in 1945) had respectively founded their family firms. Both had followed a strategy of expansion through acquisitions as well as internal product growth. Both parents turned over management to their sons. However, while the Mondavi family at times disagreed on most aspects of their business, the Sands brothers guided Constellation to become, according to its most recent annual report, “efficient, effective, aggressive, profitable and generating growing shareholder value consistently over decades.” 2 Page 93 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) During the 11 years of leadership by brothers Richard and Robert Sands, Constellation had purchased eleven companies. In the early 1990’s the firm embarked upon a growth strategy of external expansion through acquisitions. These businesses were primarily focused on the same market segments already operated by the firm, but would add scale and scope to company operations. Integration of facilities helped achieve economies in production and distribution while new brands helped expand the firm’s product portfolio. 3 (See case Exhibit 1.) Starting with smaller deals in 1991, the Sands brothers acquired Guild Wineries and Distillers, which produced Cook’s champagne. The brothers moved up the price and acquisition size scale with Blackstone ($140 million) and Ravenswood ($149 million). In 2003, they completed their biggest wine company deal to date, the purchase of Australian wine conglomerate BRL Hardy, for $1.4 billion. Meanwhile, over at Mondavi, the trials and tribulations of the family had been making headlines for more than a year. In the early 2000s, disagreements over strategic direction had arisen between Robert and his two sons, Michael and Tim, which resulted in the hiring of professional management. In 2004, disputes had broken out between the Mondavi brothers and the professional mangers that had been hired to operate the firm in 2002. 4 While Constellation had recently eclipsed E & J Gallo as the world’s largest wine company and as the U.S. market’s second largest wine company, it still had some gaps in its product portfolios. One gap was in the California-produced $6 – $8 price range. The leading player in that sector was Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi. Not yet spun off into a private company, Mondavi’s premium priced (over $9.99 at retail) wine brands from Napa grown grapes would make an excellent addition to Constellation’s fine-wine portfolio. Robert Mondavi Private Selection, at the $10 price point, was a rapidly growing brand in a rapidly growing segment. It would add to strong brand names the firm already owned, such as Blackstone and Ravenswood Vintners’ Blend. With the successful competition of a Mondavi acquisition, Constellation would become the number one retail dollar wine company in the U.S., the number one premium wine company in the U.S. and attain a 4.5 percent global market share in the wine industry. 5 THE U.S. BEVERAGE INDUSTRY Consumption of beverages consumed in the U.S. had grown steadily, yet unspectacularly from 1994-2004 (Exhibit 2). Total annual consumption per capita fluctuated between 164 gallons and 171.5 gallons. Soft drinks retained its title as the largest beverage category. At a level of 52.5 gallons per capita in 2004, soft drinks represented 31.5 percent of total beverage consumption and 27.7 percent of spending at retail. This was one of the few beverage categories that had grown in both absolute and relative terms in the last ten years (Exhibits 3 and 4). Bottled water had emerged as the beverage story of the 1994-2004 decade. Bottled water experienced the largest relative growth rate in both consumption per capita and retail sales. Per capita consumption grew by 51.4 percent, while retail sales had grown 129.7 percent. Beer consumption had grown by 7.8 percent over the eight years, although per capita consumption of beer actually declined by 1.8 percent. Yet retail sales of beer expanded Page 94 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) significantly in this period, by 45.7 percent, primarily due to a shift in consumption to higher priced brands, particularly imports. Beer retail sales level surpassed the soft drink category for the first time in 2004. The beer segment was the largest in terms of consumption per capita, though growth had been quite small over the years. The distilled spirits market was the smallest in terms of consumption per capita and had actually declined slightly over the last decade. However, due to its high price points it generated retail sales that made it the third highest beverage category. U.S. wine consumption During the period from 1981 to 2004, wine consumption per capita declined from the peak years of 1985 to 1986, bottoming out in 1993, but had grown steadily since that year. On the basis of retail spending, wine ranked a bit higher when compared to other beverages, but total spending on wine was still quite moderate compared to soft drinks and beer (Exhibit 4). While growth in U.S. wine consumption slowed considerably in the 1990’s, there has been a pickup in demand and consumption, especially in the domestic table wine segment, in the early 2000s (Exhibit 5). Major segments in the wine industry included the following broad categories; table, fortified, vermouth, sparkling, coolers and ciders. Domestic table wines captured an 88.5 percent market share in 2004, an increase over an 84.5 percent share of the category in 1991 (Exhibits 6 and 7). Within the table wine segment, imported wines increased their share from 13.0 percent in 1991, to 24.6 percent in 2004. Within the table wine segment were a broad variety of products, generally distinguished by their price ranges. While most categories contributed to the industry’s growth in consumption and retail sales values, the higher priced premium categories drove industry dollar sales growth. Consumers typically learned about wine through consumption of lower-priced brands and then moved up the price and quality scale as their incomes and lifestyles developed. Since 2001, some of the lower price premium categories grew significantly, as value-priced quality imports from Chile and Australia became quite successful in the U.S. The growth of one Australian brand, Yellowtail, was exceptional, expanding from 200,000 cases in 1999 to over 7 million cases estimated for 2004. Table wines were defined as those with 7 to 14 percent alcohol content by value, and traditionally consumed with food. In contrast, other wine products such as wine coolers, pop wines, fortified wines and sparkling wines (champagnes) were usually consumed as stand-alone beverages. Table wines that retailed at less than $3.00 per 750 ml. bottle were generally considered to be generic or “jug” wines, with a more recent classification as low end or economy. The sub-premium category had a price range of $3.00 to $6.99 per bottle. 6 Premium wines generally had a vintage date on their labels, which meant that the product was made with at least 95 percent of grapes, harvested, crushed and fermented in the calendar year shown on the label. The grapes were also grown in the appellation of origin (i.e. Napa Valley, Sonoma Valley, Central Coast, etc.). The premium table wine category had two segments, middle and high end (deluxe). In the middle category, premium wines sold for $7.00 to $9.99 per 750 ml. bottle while Super-Premium wines sold for $10.00 to $13.99 per bottle. The high-end Page 95 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) (Deluxe) category also had two components. Ultra-Premium wines sold for $14.00 to $30.00 per bottle while Luxury wines sold for more than $30.00 per bottle. 7 (A few years earlier the luxury category began at the price point of $20.00 per bottle.) Exhibit 8 data show another significant change in the tastes and preferences of the American consumer for wine products by color mix profile. While white wines were consistently the “color of choice” since the 1970’s, red wine represented the greatest increases in terms of consumer demand. In their peak year, 1985, white wines represented 62.3 percent of the market. By 1990, white wines had declined to 50 percent of a market that had also declined in absolute size. Since that time their consumption grew steadily yet had not reached the 1985 level by 2002. By contrast the red wine category grew consistently since 1990. By 2002, red wine represented 41.5 percent of the total wine market. White wine was still number one, at 42.9 percent, but the trends suggested that red wines might soon overtake white wines in terms of popularity. U.S. wine production standards Grape quality used to produce table wines could vary considerably, based on soil conditions and weather in grape growing regions. Varietals were delicate, thin-skinned grapes grown on vines that can take four to five years after planting to bear fruit. The Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms’ truth-in-labeling standards specified that one variety — the name of a single grape — may be used if not less than 75 percent of the wine was derived from grapes of that variety, the entire 75 percent of which was grown in the labeled appellation of origin. Appellation denoted that “…at least 75 percent of a wine’s value was derived from fruit or agricultural products and grown in place or region indicated…” 8 To develop the typical varietal characteristics that resulted in enhanced flavor, taste and finish could take another 2 to 3 years of vine growth. To enhance product quality, wineries had to make increasing investments in vineyard and production facilities. Distribution channels A variety of state laws and regulations were in place to regulate and restrict the sale of alcoholic beverages. For the wine industry, the result had been a requirement to use a “three-tier” distribution system (winery to distributor to retailer to customer). In the 1990’s an increasing number of wine distributors went out of business through either termination or acquisition. Vic Motto of Motto Kryla Fisher, a respected Napa Valley wine consulting and accounting firm, reported that there had been 10,940 wine distributors operating in the U.S. in 1990, but only 5,134 by 2000. By 2003, there were only two or three major distributors in each state. The top ten distributors in 1993 accounted for 33 percent of wine sales while, by 2003 they controlled 60 percent of the business. In California alone, the number of distributors decreased from 28 in 1976 to 15 in 1986 and to five in 1999. 9 One result of this consolidation trend was that marketing and disseminating product information through distributors had become less effective. Wholesalers or distributors that once represented only a few wineries now might represent a hundred or more. More than a few wineries, especially smaller ones, began to take on the burden and cost of developing their own sales and marketing programs. Page 96 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Consolidating distribution channels tended to increase barriers to new market entry for small “boutique” wineries. Low volume production, inadequate product mix across price and varietals segments, and unknown brands posed challenges for smaller wine producers in the U.S. and limited the access of these producers to the second (distribution and wholesale) and third tiers (retailer) of the three-tier system. In 2004, a case still pending at the U.S. Supreme Court could have an unknown impact on the wine industry and change the distribution system significantly. The case, Granholm v. Heald, contended that current state laws discriminated between in-state products and products from outof-state. Small wineries hoped that the Court would rule in favor of increasing liberalization of shipping wine across some state lines. If a decision came down in favor of producers and consumers, one possible result would enable wineries to ship their products directly to retailers, restaurants and consumers, circumventing the wholesalers and distributors who remained quite powerful in many U.S. states. While smaller wineries might benefit under certain circumstances, if this case were to be resolved in favor of the wineries (over the states), larger firms were likely to enhance their market shares even further. Increasing polarization of the wine industry In order to meet the evolving demands of consumers for wines of different varieties at different price points, to cope with consolidation in the distribution chain, and to increase the competitiveness of their operations, the industry structure began changing in the early 1990’s. At the upper end of the size spectrum, i.e. those firms producing in excess of 8 million cases per year, consolidation became the norm, both domestically and globally. Economies of scale and scope could be achieved through business combinations. Redundant administrative and service expenses were likely to be reduced. Larger firms could negotiate better terms with independent grape growers. They could also achieve better terms with equipment and packaging suppliers. Sales forces could be combined and overlaps eliminated, with enhanced efficiencies. Finally, larger firms could leverage their strongest brands with wholesalers and distributors. Larger firms generally had broad product portfolios and wellconceived acquisition strategies could fill gaps in their product lines. At the other end of the size spectrum were the “elite” brands, generally producing no more than 10,000 cases per year, often on allocation to wine club members or selected on-premises accounts such as high end hotels and restaurants. There was a good deal of owner involvement in the production and marketing of these brands, mostly to greatly enhance perceived quality and support high retail prices. A bit further up the size scale, to 50,000 cases per year, were small wine producers that strove to be considered as producers of “boutique” brands. Some might be successful, but the costs of marketing and administration were becoming a major challenge. The mid-sized wineries, producing between 100,000 and one million cases per year were feeling pressure from the “giants” and were most likely to become part of the consolidation trend. Their production volume was, relative to the “giants,” too small to have any effect on negotiations with grape growers, wholesalers, or distributors. Page 97 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Yet despite all the acquisition activity that occurred between 1990 and 2004, the wine industry remained highly fragmented, when compared to other beverage segments. For example, in soft drinks, the top few firms controlled 70 percent of the worldwide market, according to Robert Nicholson, president of International Wine Associates. In distilled spirits the comparable figure was 50 percent, and in the beer segment 26 percent. The top five wine-producing firms supplied just 6 percent of global volume. 10 Competition Inasmuch as the beverage alcohol industry was highly competitive, Constellation and Mondavi competed on the basis of quality, price, brand recognition, and distribution strength. Their beverage alcohol products competed with other alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages for consumer purchases, as well as shelf space in retail stores, restaurant presence and wholesaler attention. 11 For example, according to its 2004 Annual Report, Constellation’s Wines division competed with many equally large producers, including E & J Gallo Winery, The Wine Group, Beringer Blass, Diageo’s Chateau & Estates wine division, Mondavi, and Kendall Jackson in the U.S. In Australia, large producers included Southcorp Wine, Orlando Wyndham and Foster’s-owned Beringer Blass and Southcorp Wines. In the world’s largest export market for wine, the United Kingdom (U.K.), strong competitors included E & J Gallo Winery, Southcorp, Western Wines, Halewood Vintners and Pernod-Ricard. Also, Constellation’s Beers and Spirits division competed with Foster’s Group, Heineken USA, Molson, Labatt USA and Guinness Import Company in the imported beer category. Domestic producers included Anheuser Busch, Coors and SAB-Miller. Major producers of distilled spirits included large, financially strong firms, Diageo, Brown-Forman Beverages, Pernod-Ricard, Jim Beam Brands and Heaven Hill Distilleries. 12 CONSTELLATION BRANDS IN 2004 Since its founding in 1945 under its original name Canandigua Wine Company, the Sands’ company had grown through a combination of internal growth and acquisitions. Internal growth had been driven by leveraging the company’s exiting portfolio of leading brands, developing new products, new packaging and line extensions and focusing on the fastest growing sectors of the beverage alcohol industry. 13 The architect of many of these changes was the eldest son of founder Marvin Sands, Richard, who joined the firm in 1979 after his undergraduate education at the University of California at Berkeley, Washington University in St. Louis, and the University of Vermont. He ended his formal education with a doctorate in social psychology from the University of North Carolina. Richard then worked under his father’s tutelage to learn the family business. 14 Under Richard’s direction the company intended to become a major player in the wine “cooler” and wine- and fruit-juice-cocktail fads of the 1980’s. His introduction of Sun Country, a wine cooler, resulted in a doubling of company revenues within two years. Richard was named President of Canandaigua Page 98 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Wine Company in 1986. He continued to pursue the firm’s growth-by-acquisition strategy using long-term debt to complete most deals, as the firm at that time did not carry an investment grade bond rating, thus increasing its cost of capital. 15 He also stated his operating strategy for the firm: “The presidents of the companies have complete control. We like CEOs who know their companies better than we do.” 16 In 1993, Richard replaced his father as President of the entity that was then renamed Canandaigua Brands. Richard was named chief executive in 1996. Richard’s younger brother, Robert, also became active in the business, serving as chief executive for international operations, vice president and general counsel of Canandaigua Brands (the parent company), as well as chief executive of the Canandaigua Wine Company. 17 Following its purchase of BRL Hardy in 2003, Canandigua Brands was again renamed, as Constellation Brands, in early 2004. At the same time the structure of its internal organization was simplified from five to two business units, Constellation Wines and Constellation Beers and Spirits, each now led by a chief executive who reported directly to Robert Sands, the company’s chief operating officer. Constellation Wines This division produced 90 million cases annually, comfortably exceeding the previous market volume leader E & J Gallo’s reported 70 million cases. Constellation Wines sold a large number of wine brands across all market segments — table wine, dessert wine and sparkling wine — and across all price points, popular, premium, super-premium and ultra (luxury) premium. Its portfolio of super premium and ultra premium wines was supported by vineyard holdings in California, Australia, New Zealand and Chile. According to Euromonitor, in the U.S., Constellation Wines sold 18 of the top selling 100 wine brands and had one of the largest fine wine portfolios. 18 In the U.K., it had 7 of the top selling 20 table wine brands sold to the off-premises market, 3 of the top selling 10 table wine brands in the on-premises market and the best selling brand of fortified British wines. In Australia, it had wine brands across all price points and varieties, including the most comprehensive range of premium wine brands, and was the largest producer of cask (oak) wines. Constellation Wines was also a leading independent beverage wholesaler to the on-premise trade in the U.K. and had more than 16,000 on-premise sales accounts. Its wholesaling business was led by wine products, but also involved the distribution of branded distilled spirits, cider, beer, RTDs (ready-to-drink) and soft drinks. Constellation was the second largest producer and marketer of alcoholic beverage cider in the U.K., with leading brands, Blackthorn and Gaymer’s Olde English. For the U.K. on-premises market, Constellation produced and marketed Strathmore, a leading bottled water brand. Constellation Beers and Spirits This operating division imported and marketed a diversified line of beer and produced, bottled, imported and marketed a diversified line of distilled spirits. It was the largest marketer of imported beer in 25 primarily western U.S. states, where it had exclusive rights to distribute the Mexican brands in its portfolio. For its non-Mexican beer brands the company had exclusive rights to distribute product in all 50 states. Distribution included 6 of the top 22 imported beer brands in the US; Corona Extra, Modelo Especial, Pacifico, Corona Light, St. Pauli Girl and Page 99 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Negra Modelo. Corona Extra was the best selling imported beer in the U.S. and the seventh best selling beer overall in the U.S. Constellation also imported the Tsingtao beer brand from China. Constellation Beer and Spirits was the third largest producer and marketer of distilled spirits in the U.S. and exported its distilled spirits to other major distilled spirits consuming markets. Its principal brands included Black Velvet, Barton, Skol, Fleischmann’s, Canadian LTD, Montezuma, Ten High, Chi-Chi’s prepared cocktails, Mr. Boston, Inver House and Monte Alban. Substantially all of this segment’s distilled spirits unit volume consisted of products marketed in the value and mid-premium priced category. The division also sold bulk distilled spirits and other related products and services. CONSTELLATION’S OPERATIONS Marketing and distribution Constellation employed full time, in-house marketing, sales and customer service organizations within its business segments to focus on each of its product categories. 19 These organizations used a broad range of marketing strategies and tactics to build brand equity and increase sales, including market research, consumer and trade advertising, price promotions, point-of-sale materials, event sponsorship and public relations. Where opportunities existed, particularly with national accounts, the company leveraged its sales and marketing skills across the organization. In North American markets, the firm’s products were distributed primarily through more than 1,000 wholesale distributors as well as state and provincial alcoholic beverage control agencies. Products sold through state or provincial alcoholic beverage control agencies were subject to obtaining and maintaining listings to sell the firm’s products in that agency’s state or province. Governments could affect prices paid by consumers of company products through imposition of taxes or, in states or provinces in which the government acts as a distributor, by directly setting retail prices for company products. In other markets, products were primarily distributed either directly to retailers or through wholesalers and importers. In Australasia, distribution channels were dominated by a small number of industry leaders. The U.K. wholesaling business sold and distributed the firm’s branded products as well as those of the other major drinks companies through a network of depots located throughout the country. Production In the U.S., Constellation operated 17 wineries where wine was produced from a variety of grapes grown principally in the Napa, Sonoma, Monterey and San Joaquin regions of California. In Australia, Constellation operated 11 wineries where wine was produced from many varieties of grapes grown in most of that country’s major viticultural regions. Grapes were crushed at most of these wineries and stored as wine until packaged for sale under the firms’ brand names or sold in bulk. Most of the wine was purchased and sold within 18 months after the grape crush. In the U.S., inventories of wine were usually at their highest levels in November and December, immediately after each year’s harvest and grape crush. Inventories were reduced substantially by the next year’s crush. Similarly, in Australia, inventories were normally at their highest levels in April and May, immediately after that year’s grape crush. Substantial reductions in inventories took place during the year and were lowest before the next harvest and crush. Constellation also operated one winery in Chile and two wineries in New Zealand. Page 100 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) The company marketed bourbon whiskeys and domestic blended whiskeys, each produced and aged at its distillery in Bardstown, Kentucky. The primary distilled spirits bottling facility was located in Owensboro, Kentucky; Canadian whiskeys were produced and aged at distilleries in Lethbridge, Alberta and Valleyfield, Quebec. Sources of Scotch whiskey, tequila, mescal and natural grain spirits used in the production of gin, vodka, and other spirits products were purchased from various suppliers. In the U.K., Constellation operated three facilitates that produced, bottled and packaged wine, cider and water. To produce Stowells, wine was imported in bulk from various countries and packaged at the company’s facility in Bristol. This facility also produced fortified British wine and wine style drinks. All cider production took place at the company’s facility in Skepton Mallet. Its Strathmore brand of bottled water was sourced and bottled in Forfar, Scotland. Sourcing The principal components in the production of branded beverage alcohol products were agricultural products such as grapes and grain, and packaging materials (primarily glass). Most of the firm’s annual grape requirements were purchased from each year’s harvest. In the U.S. grapes were purchased from approximately 800 independent growers. With a majority of these growers the firm had entered into written purchase agreements, with prices varying each year based on market conditions. The company purchased a majority of its Australian grapes under a long-term agreement from a growers’ cooperative comprising some 1,450 growers. Constellation Brands owned or leased approximately 14,500 acres of land and vineyards, either fully bearing or under development, in California, New York, Australia, New Zealand and Chile. Most of this acreage was directed towards production of grapes for the firm’s production of super-premium and ultra-premium brands. The great majority of the firm’s grape requirements come from independent grape growers. Over the years the firm continued to consider the purchase or lease of additional vineyards and additional land for vineyard plantings, as part of its strategic plans to supplement its grape supply. Distilled spirits production required various agricultural products, neutral grain spirits and bulk spirits. These requirements were met through purchases from various sources by contractual agreement as well as purchases in the open market. For example, in the U.K., the company sourced apples for hard cider production primarily through long-term supply contracts with owners of apple orchards. Packaging materials included glass or plastic bottles, caps, corks, capsules, labels, wine bags, and cardboard cartons. In the U.S. and Australia the glass packaging industry in particular was highly concentrated, i.e., there were only a small number of producers. Almost all of Constellation’s glass bottles were supplied by one U.S. producer, and the same was true in Australia. While there had been no supply problems in past years, there was the risk that any problems at these firms could adversely impact Constellation’s cost of goods sold, as packaging costs represented a major portion of this account. Page 101 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Seasonality Due to the agricultural nature of the firm’s products, growing seasons and harvests played a critical role in product supply, especially in the wine segment. By diversifiying into the Australian wine growing business, Constellation had balanced its seasonal cash needs. The growing seasons, harvest times and grape crush periods in these two major supply regions were almost exactly counter seasonal, adding an element of stability to company operations. In the sales category, seasonal patterns of demand created more challenges for management. In response to wholesale and retail demand patterns, which precede consumer purchases, the company’s wine and spirits sales were typically highest during the third quarter of its fiscal year (September through November) primarily due to seasonal holiday buying. Imported beer sales were typically highest during the first and second quarter of the firm’s fiscal year (March through August), spring and summer in the U.S. Seasonal cash flow volatility could be reduced by these diversified beverages business segments. Corporate strategies Constellation’s management team believed that it had been and would continue to remain focused across the beverage alcohol industry by offering a broad range of products in each of the firm’s three major market segments; wine, beer and spirits. They intended to keep their portfolio positioned for superior top-line growth while maximizing the profitability of its brands. The company continuously strived to increase its relative importance to key customers in major markets by increasing its share of their overall purchases. In a consolidating industry this was considered to be a very important aspect of their business model. Their strategy of breadth across categories and geographies, and strengthening scale in core markets, was designed to deliver long-term profitable growth. This strategy allowed the company to take advantage of more investment choices, provided flexibility to address changing market conditions and create stronger routes-to-market. The alcoholic beverage industry was experiencing consolidation at every step in the distribution process. Grocery chains were consolidating and using their buying power to reduce prices from wholesalers. Wholesalers were consolidating and demanding better prices from distributors. As the consolidation trends among distributors continued, mounting pressures to keep prices down were being felt by beverage producers. 20 Constellation’s businesses fell within one of two areas: growth or scale. The growth businesses represented approximately 60 percent of Fiscal 2004 net sales and included approximately half of the firm’s branded wine business (specifically premium wine in the U.S. and wines in the U.K.), imported beer in the U.S., and the U.K. wholesale business. The scale businesses represented approximately 40 percent of Fiscal 2004 net sales and included spirits, the remaining half of the branded wine business, cider and non-branded sales. The scale businesses were operated to maximize profitability and cash flow and to maintain strong routes-to-market. With a solid foundation of growth and scale businesses, management expected to continue to be able to leverage sales growth into even higher growth in earnings and cash flow. Constellation Brands was committed to its long-term financial model of growing sales, both organically and through acquisitions, expanding margins and increasing cash flow to achieve superior earnings per share growth, improve returns on invested capital and maximize shareholder values. Page 102 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Financial performance Since the 1980s, Constellation had financed its aggressive acquisition and expansion programs by utilizing cash from borrowed funds. The result had been that, on a book value basis, debt had consistently reached 50 to 60 percent of total capital. The debt markets reacted by keeping the firm’s ratings below investment grade, with the results being relatively high interest rates having to be paid to investors, along with significant guarantees and the use of the firm’s assets as collateral (Exhibits 9, 10 and 11). Given the speed and size of the firm’s external growth initiatives, even these sources were not always adequate to finance all the deals. In March 2001, the company completed a public offering of 8,740,000 shares of Class A common stock. Net proceeds to the firm after deducting discounts and expenses, were $139.4 million. Funds were used to repay revolving loan borrowings under the senior credit facility and contributed to an increase in the firm’s debt capacity. In October 2001, the company sold 645,000 shares of Class A common stock in a public offering, receiving $12.1 million after deducting all expenses. Constellation was able to repay borrowings under the senior credit facility with these funds. 21 During July 2003 another public offering was completed. The company sold 9,800,000 Class A common shares, collecting net proceeds after underwriting discounts and expenses, of $261.2 million. In addition, 170,500 shares of its 5.75% Series A Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock were sold to the public. Net proceeds (after deducting underwriting discounts and expenses) were $164.9 million. Most of the funds generated by these equity offerings were used to repay bridge loans that were incurred to partially finance the Hardy acquisition. The remaining funds were used to repay term loan borrowings made under the March 2003 credit agreement. 22 ROBERT MONDAVI – 2004 The Robert Mondavi Corporation was incorporated under the laws of California in 1981 as a successor to Robert Mondavi Winery, formed as a California Corporation in 1966. The firm was a leading producer and marketer of premium table wines. Its core brands included Robert Mondavi Winery, Robert Mondavi Private Selection and Woodbridge. Robert Mondavi Winery accounted for 3 percent by volume and 11 percent by net revenues for each of the last three fiscal years’ (2004, 2003 and 2002) sales. Robert Mondavi Private Selection accounted for 16 percent, 15 percent and 14 percent by volume and 20 percent, 19 percent, and 19 percent by net revenues of the company’s fiscal 2004, 2003 and 2002 sales, respectively. Woodbridge accounted for 71 percent, 75 percent and 76 percent by volume and 52 percent, 57 percent, and 57 percent, by net revenue of the company’s fiscal 2004, 2003 and 2002 sales, respectively. 23 Mondavi also produced and marketed five wines under the following labels: La Famiglia, Kirralaa, Byron Vineyards and Winery, Io, Arrowood Vineyards and Winery, and Grand Archer by Arrowood. The company produced Opus One in partnership with Baroness Philippine de Rothschild of Chateau Mouton Rothschild of Bordeaux, France; Luce, Lucente, Danzante and Ornellaia in partnership with Marchesi de Frescobaldi of Tuscany, Italy; and Seña and Arboleda Page 103 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) in partnership with the Eduardo Chadwick family of Viña Errazuriz in Chile. During the third quarter of fiscal 2004, the company dissolved its joint venture with the Robert Oatley family and Southcorp limited which produced the Kirralaa and Talomas brands. The firm continued to produce Talomas wines for Southcorp Limited under a production agreement while Southcorp produced Kirralaa wines for the company under a similar production agreement. Sales volume for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2004, increased by 4 percent to 10.1 million cases. Net revenue in that year increased by 3.4 percent to $468 million. Net revenues per case declined from $46.67 to $46.39 as a result of increased sales incentives, which were recorded as a reduction of revenues. Net income of $25.6 million ($1.55 per diluted share) for fiscal 2004 compared favorably with net income of $16.7 million ($1.02 per diluted) share for fiscal 2003. This performance was primarily due to increased investment in the firm’s core brands, continued development of new products and the positive impact of streamlining company operations and organization structure in the second half of fiscal 2003 (see Exhibits 12, 13 and 14). MONDAVI’S OPERATIONS Marketing and distribution The Mondavi sales force was composed of approximately 190 employees. Its wines were available through all principal retail channels for premium table wine, including fine restaurants, hotels, specialty shops, supermarkets and club stores in all fifty states of the U.S. as well as 90 countries throughout the world. Sales of company products outside the U.S. accounted for approximately 10 percent, 8 percent and 9 percent of net revenues for fiscal years 2004, 2003 and 2002, respectively. Mondavi’s wines were primarily sold to distributors who then sold them to retailers and restaurateurs. Domestic sales were made to more than 100 independent wine and spirits distributors. International sales were made to independent importers and generally were arranged through brokers. Mondavi had distribution agreements in California, Florida, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Hawaii, Kentucky, Illinois and New Mexico with Southern Wine and Spirits, a large national beverage distributor. Nationwide sales to Southern Wine and Spirits represented 28 percent, 32 percent and 29 percent of the company’s gross revenues for fiscal years 2004, 2003, and 2002, respectively. In fiscal 2004, sales to Mondavi’s 15 largest distributors accounted for 64 percent of gross revenues. These distributors also offered premium table wines of other companies that directly competed with Mondavi products. Sales of the company’s wines in California accounted for 17 percent, 17 percent, and 19 percent of gross revenues for fiscal years 2004, 2003, and 2002, respectively. Other major domestic markets included Florida, Texas, New York, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Illinois where annual sales represented collectively 34 percent, 33 percent and 31 percent of gross revenues for fiscal years 2004, 2003 and 2002, respectively. Grape supply Page 104 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Mondavi controlled approximately 8,820 acres of vineyards in the top winegrowing regions of California, including Napa Valley, Lodi, Mendocino County, Monterey County, San Luis Obispo County, Santa Maria Valley, Santa Barbara County and Sonoma County. Approximately 8,430 acres of the company-controlled vineyards were currently planted. In addition, the firm’s joint ventures controlled approximately 570 acres of vineyards in the top wine growing regions of Chile and Italy. In fiscal 2004, approximately 16 percent of the company’s total grape supply came from company-controlled vineyards, including approximately 66 percent of the grape supply for wines produced at the Robert Mondavi Winery in Oakville. The balance of California grape supplies were purchased from approximately 210 independent growers including approximately 40 growers in the Napa Valley. These contracts ranged from one-year spot market purchases to intermediate- and long-term agreements. Winemaking Mondavi’s winemaking philosophy was to make wines in the traditional manner by starting with high quality fruit and handling it as gently and naturally as possible all the way to the bottle. The company emphasized traditional barrel aging as a cornerstone of its winemaking approach. Each of the firm’s wineries was equipped with modern equipment and technology that was appropriate for the style and scale of the wines being produced. Mondavi employed approximately 940 regular, full time employees in all phases of its business. It also employed part-time and seasonal workers for the vineyard, production and hospitality operations. None of these employees were represented by a labor union and the firm believed that it maintained good relationships with its employees. THE PRIZE? The Mondavi family had been making news quite regularly since 2000. In June 2000, an article in The Wall Street Journal described their expansion initiative in France and the reactions of the French: “All hell has broken out in the little French town of Aniane, near Montpellier, where 75 year-old vigneron Airne Guibert has declared war on octogenarian California winemaker Robert Mondavi over his plans to invade France.” 24 Guibert, among other local winemakers, was vehemently opposed to Mondavi’s deal with the Aniane local council to clear 125 acres of virgin forest in the southern coastal plain and plant it with vineyards. By 2003, Robert was publicly and privately criticizing his sons’ management of the firm and the strategies they had been pursuing. The sons had emphasized the inexpensive Mondavi brand, Woodbridge over the firm’s premium wine brands. Woodbridge wines retailed for $5 to $7 per bottle and accounted for 60 percent of the firm’s revenues. In contrast the premium wines in the Mondavi brand portfolio sold for up to $150 per bottle. In 2003, Robert Mondavi told a reporter from The New York Times, “We concentrated too much on Coastal and Woodbridge and now we’re known for wines at $7 and $9 a bottle. We’ve got to get our image back, and that’s going to take time. We made mistakes in our public relations and marketing, but now we know the problem, we understand it and we’re correcting it.” 25 Page 105 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Mondavi also commented that his sons, “were interested in making money, and they forgot to promote Robert Mondavi Napa Valley wines. We have to protect our tradition.” 26 The investment community was not pleased with the firm’s financial performance. Shares sold below book value and hit a seven years low in early 2003 (see Exhibit 15). Having dropped below $20 per share in 2003, Mondavi’s stock price had fallen markedly from its 1997 high of $56.00 per share. Recent annual share price ranges for both Mondavi and Constellation Brands are shown in Exhibit 15. Another conflict erupted in 2003. After a management shuffle, Michael decided to re-brand some of the firm’s lower priced wines as the Robert Mondavi Private Selection to take advantage of the family’s reputation. Tim and his father opposed the move, believing that these moves would adversely affect their other brands. 27 Michael prevailed, but the move proved to be a disaster. The new brand was undercut by rapidly growing bargain wines, such as “Two-Buck Chuck” from the Charles Shaw Winery sold at Trader Joe’s stores, as well as growing imports of competitively priced wines such as Yellowtail from Australia and Concha y Toro from Chile. 28 In the spring of 2003, Tim left the firm for a six month “sabbatical” in Hawaii. He also had financial problems from two divorces. In January 2004, the family and outside directors replaced Michael as Chairman of the company with Ted Hall, a former McKinsey consultant who had been recruited to the board just one month earlier. Robert agreed with the company’s advisors that the business needed to be run by professionals and that his two sons should be given time off. During their times away from the firm both Tim and Michael sold shares in the company. They converted their Class B shares into regular voting Class A shares. In February 2004, Tim sold $2.7 million, while Michael had sold $2 million since his sabbatical. 29 In August 2004, Mondavi’s board of directors proposed a share reorganization plan that would, for the first time in its history, leave the Mondavi family without a controlling interest in the business. It was reported that the family would agree to convert their Class B shares into Class A shares in the ratio of 1 to 1.165. There would also be a buyback of up to $30 million of stock if and when the Class B shares were eliminated. Family ownership would increase from approximately 36 percent to about 39 percent, while voting control would drop from just under 85 percent to just below 40 percent. 30 The company also took the first step in separating its everyday (lifestyle) wines business from its luxury brands. “It has become increasingly clear in the new wine environment that $50 Napa Valley cabernet and $6 premium wines require different business models,” Greg Evans, president and Chief Operating Officer, said in a statement, “Therefore our board has elected to develop separate operating plans for each business, which will provide greater focus and additional opportunities to enhance value.” 31 Page 106 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) In September of 2004 the announcement was made. Mondavi planned to focus on its inexpensive wines like Woodbridge, La Famiglia, Robert Mondavi Private Selection and Kirralaa and sell its namesake winery as well as its high-end brands and ventures. These ventures included the firm’s 50 percent interest in Opus One, the Napa Valley winery joint venture with the owners of Chateau Mouton-Rothschild in Bordeaux, France; the Arrowood and Byron wineries in California; 50 percent interests in high-end Tuscan wineries Ornellaia and Lice del la Vita in Italy; and Viña Seña in Chile. After sale of these operations, the Mondavi family would still share ownership of an entity that, in turn, would own the Robert Mondavi trademark. That new entity would license the Mondavi name back to each of the co-owners for a royalty fee. 32 THE MARKET REACTS These restructuring and repositioning announcements did not sit well with analysts and the investment community. Mondavi’s stock price declined by almost $3 per share the following day, opening at $42.59, and closing at $39.68. Some analysts suggested that investors were reacting to a proposed $200 million pre-tax restructuring charge, to be taken against current quarterly earnings. 33 Ted Hall believed that a high-end, low volume winery that sold hand-crafted wines to an exclusive group of buyers was not the sort of operation that could withstand the demands of publicly held, profit-driven companies. Mondavi’s luxury assets were currently valued at 10 to 15 percent of the value of the firm, or $4 to $6 per share. If they could be sold within management’s estimates they would yield upwards of $20 per share for existing shareholders. Eighty percent of revenues and an even higher percent of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) were coming from the “lifestyles” brands. “We are the leading industry player that is a pure play” said Hall. 34 Greg M. Evans, President and CEO of the Robert Mondavi Corporation, presented management’s strategic plans at the 34th Annual Investment Conference sponsored by Bank of America in San Francisco: Our goal is to enhance our position as a leading premium lifestyle wine company with strong profitability and financial returns, and significant growth opportunities in a very attractive category. Premium wine volumes in the U.S. continue to grow at over 4 percent per year, and the growing population of baby boomers suggests that these trends will continue for the next five years. Our company expects to realize between $400 and $500 million in net after-tax proceeds from the divestitures that significantly exceeded current public market values, and achieving financial flexibility through these cash proceeds to pursue value enhancing strategic and financial opportunities. If we successfully complete the asset divestitures we should have the flexibility to pursue attractive strategic opportunities such as increasing organic growth, developing new products, and expanding international business and to consider other ways to enhance shareholder value. 35 Page 107 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Under the newly proclaimed corporate strategy of focusing the firm on lifestyle wines and divesting the luxury brands and wines to a private buyer, both Michael and Tim Mondavi resigned their managerial positions in the firm, but retained their positions on the board of directors. Their sister, Marcia Mondavi Borger, who was not in company management but also had a seat on the board, voted with her brothers against the divestiture plan. 36 CONSTELLATION ACTS Given all these activities swirling around the Mondavi Corporation, most experts felt that it was not for sale — not on any terms. Richard Sands had other ideas and set them in motion by hiring Merrill Lynch in June 2004 to analyze a potential purchase. 37 Plans laid idle until the Mondavi announcement of a recapitalization project to sell the premium labels and its world-renowned winery in Oakville. Richard Sands quietly convened a meeting with his brother Robert (Constellation’s chief operating officer), Merrill Lynch investment bankers and takeover lawyers from Wachtell, Lipton to put together a financial package and execute a bid. 38 See case Appendix A, Tables 1 – 4 for estimations of Mondavi’ expected performance, as prepared by Constellation’s corporate planning department with guidance from investment banking advisors at Merrill Lynch. Price and form of an offer were the final questions that had to be answered. One option was a share exchange, which would result in a tax free deal for selling shareholders. However, such a deal had uncertain value, since investors’ valuation estimates could affect stock prices on a daily basis. Constellation had utilized cash for most of its acquisitions over the last decade. While not a tax-free exchange, cash did eliminate the uncertainty in the value of a deal. The next question had to do with price. In the press, Mondavi management had estimated the value of their restructuring and refinancing of the firm was worth between $749 million ($45.28/share) and $929 million ($56.17/share). 39 Averaging these numbers came out to approximately $860 million. If this was indeed a fair market value for Mondavi, was there potentially added value that could be extracted from a deal that kept the entire firm intact and enhanced its operations? Such estimates needed to be made before any offer was publicly announced. See case Appendix B for the company valuation estimates prepared by CEO Ted Hall, subsequently made public by Mondavi. Approximately one month after the Mondavi restructuring announcement, Richard Sands made his move. In an October 12, 2004 letter he outlined his firm’s offer for the entire company. Constellation was prepared to offer $53 per share for all Class A shares, $61.75 per share for all Class B shares, for a total fully diluted value of approximately $970 million. The offer represented a 37 percent premium over the prior day’s closing stock price on the NYSE. He also urged Ted Hall, Mondavi board chairman, to “refrain from disposing of any assets or otherwise pursuing a restructuring plan that would adversely affect the premium we can make available to your shareholders.” 40 Page 108 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) WHERE WERE THE “WHITE KNIGHTS”? The next few weeks of October proved to be a period of waiting for Constellation management, hoping for a Mondavi response and waiting to see if any other firms would bid for either the luxury asset package or the whole firm. A number of interested firms were named in various newspaper and magazine articles, but as the days went by there was only one player who put “money on the table.” 41 E & J Gallo was one of the firms whose name came up quickly. However, an industry analyst opined, “an acquisition of this size is probably outside Gallo’s modus operandi, and the familyrun giant may struggle with competition issues, too, especially with their own lifestyle products.” Representatives of Allied Domecq stated that, “Mondavi is not something high on our radar.” 42 Fosters’ Group Chief Executive Trevor O’Hoy said that his company was “at least 12 to 18 months from making acquisitions.” 43 “I’d like to help them if I could, but we don’t have the resources,” said Jess Jackson, the 74 yearold founder and chairman of Kendall-Jackson Wine Estates. 44 A representative of Diageo plc stated publicly that the U.K.-based beverage company probably would pass on the opportunity. 45 Southcorp (an Australian wine conglomerate) also said publicly that it was not considering acquisitions. 46 The only serious contender was French giant Pernod Ricard. Pernod Ricard was in a strong position owing to the weakness of the dollar and the strength of its own stock price. It was keen to expand its North American presence and would be comfortable with the broad range of Mondavi brands. Other industry observers commented that Pernod Ricard would be more interested in the purchase of its British rival, Allied Domecq. SANDS’ EVALUATION OF MONDAVI Significant cost savings could be envisioned by integrating Mondavi’s luxury brands within Franciscan Estates, operating as a separate estate with Franciscan management responsible for sales. Mondavi lifestyle brands would be integrated into the Constellation Wines U.S. units, resulting in added synergies and efficiencies. Sands also expected that a change in marketing strategy could add to the future value of Mondavi operations. Mondavi’s sales force sold both Woodbridge and Private Selection brands, yet the latter brand sales had lagged because such fine wines were not typically pushed by sales personnel to retail chain stores. Sales persons also need to make calls to fine wine shops and sommeliers at white tablecloth restaurants, which were better outlets for fine wines but tended to be lower volume purchasers than retail chains. Constellation had conquered these marketing challenges by establishing multiple sales forces. Franciscan Estates’ fine wine division was a completely separate entity, from the ground to the consumer. The Robert Mondavi winery brands would need to be separated from Private Selection and Woodbridge, in order to provide them the focus and hand-selling to build their reputation and volume. 47 Page 109 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Earnings and cash flow from the Mondavi operations could also be enhanced by bringing grape costs down to market levels. In recent years, the Mondavis had entered into contracts for grapes at high levels and these needed to be renegotiated. Mondavi also had excessive costs growing its own grapes as well as substantial investments in vineyards. These were potential areas for additional cost savings and operating efficiencies. Exports were another market segment that could be exploited through Constellation facilities. Constellation had some of the strongest routes-to-market, with its presence in the U.K. and Mainland Europe. Constellation’s U.S. wines enjoyed a very significant quality-value proposition outside the country. While Mondavi’s brand awareness was strong, the brand itself was underdeveloped. Constellation’s marketing strengths were expected to result in expansion of sales, especially in the Woodbridge brand, in the millions of cases over the next few years. Richard and Robert Sands waited patiently as the days of October 2004 elapsed. The brothers were ready, but would the Mondavi ownership be inclined to go along with the latest offer? Only time would tell, but the Sands brothers retained the courage of their convictions. Page 110 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 1 Constellation Brands Merger & Acquisition History, 1987 – 2004 Year Company acquired 1987 Widener Wine Cellars Manischewitz 1991 1993 Guild Wineries and Distillers Barton International Vintners International Product lines & brands Market segment(s) Price ($millions) Financing $ 125.0 Debt (cash) Table wine 149.0 Debt Table wine Table wine Cribari Dunewood Cook’s Corona Beer Modelo Especial St. Paul Gin Barton Gin Barton Vodka Montezuma Tequila Paul Masson Taylor California Cellars Great Western Table wine Champagne Imported beer Spirits 1994 Heublein Wine brands Inglenook Almaden Table wine 131.0 Debt 1995 Certain assets of United Distillers Glenmore Kentucky Tavern Fleischmann’s Canadian Whiskey Spirits 142.0 Debt 1998 Matthew Clark, plc Producer & distributor of cider, wine, bottled water, house brands Wine Cider Bottled water 475.0 Debt 1999 Franciscan Estates Franciscan 243.0 Debt (cash) Simi Winery Simi 58.0 Debt (cash) Black Velvet (from Diageo) Black Velvet Premium table wine Premium table wine Beer 186.0 Debt Table wine 4.5 Cash Premium 152.0 Debt (cash) 2000 Forth Wines Ltd. 2001 Ravenswood Ravenswood Page 111 The CASE Journal Year 2003 Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Company acquired Winery Corus Brands Product lines & brands Price ($millions) Financing 52.0 Debt (cash) Turner Road Vintners (from Sebastiani Vineyards) Pacific Wine Partners (joint venture with BRL Hardy) Blackstone Winery (by Pacific Wine Partners) Talus Vendange Nathanson Creek Heritage Hardys Leasingham La Baume 295.0 Debt (cash) from senior notes Table wine 33.0 Cash Blackstone Cordera Premium table wine 138.0 $69 million from Constellation, $69 million from BRL Hardy BRL Hardy Yellow Tail Banrock Station Nobilo (New Zealand) Barossa Valley Chateau Reynella Farallon Popular & premium table wine 1,114.0 $660.2 million from 2003 credit agreement; $400 million from Bridge Loan Agreement; and 3,288,913 shares, $77 million value Columbia Covey Run Market segment(s) table wine Popular & premium table wine Sources: Constellation Brands’ Annual Reports and 10-K. Page 112 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 2 U.S. Beverage Consumption by Category, 1997-2004 (in millions of gallons) Category 2004P 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 Soft Drinks 15,413 15,308 15,200 15,023 14,925 14,895 14,820 14,385 Coffee 7,810 7,790 7,770 7,710 7,700 7,750 7,800 7,854 Milk 6,900 7,000 6,950 6,910 6,885 6,918 6,880 6,890 Beer 6,383 6,338 6,356 6,241 6,202 6,136 6,002 5,922 Bottled Water 6,200 5,800 5,250 5,400 4,950 4,570 4,070 3,730 Tea 1,985 1,950 1,940 1,910 1,870 1,850 1,825 1,788 Juices 1,880 1,860 1,830 1,790 1,750 1,720 1,710 1,702 Powdered Drinks 1,300 1,310 1,320 1,340 1,350 1,370 1,360 1,365 Wine 637 614 584 557 552 538 519 512 Distilled Spirits 394 378 365 357 354 343 334 320 Cider (alcohol) 10 11 11 11 10 10 9 7 48,912 48,358 47,576 47,249 46,548 46,101 45,329 44,485 Totals Notes: P = Preliminary Totals may not add up due to rounding Sources: Adams Wine Handbook 2003, 2005. Page 113 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 3 U.S. Beverage Consumption, 1997-2004 (gallons per person) Category 2004P 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 Soft drinks 52.49 52.58 52.63 52.49 52.69 55.41 54.94 53.77 Coffee 26.60 26.76 26.90 26.94 27.18 28.83 28.92 29.36 Milk 23.50 24.04 24.06 24.14 24.31 25.74 25.51 25.75 Beer 21.74 21.77 22.01 21.80 21.90 22.83 22.25 22.14 Bottled water 21.11 19.92 18.18 18.87 17.48 17.00 15.09 13.94 Tea 6.76 6.70 6.72 6.67 6.60 6.88 6.77 6.68 Juices 6.40 6.39 6.34 6.25 6.18 6.40 6.34 6.36 Powdered drinks 4.43 4.50 4.57 4.68 4.77 5.10 5.04 5.10 Wine 2.17 2.11 2.02 1.95 1.95 2.00 1.92 1.91 Distilled spirits 1.34 1.30 1.26 1.25 1.25 1.28 1.24 1.20 Cider (alcohol) 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 166.56 166.10 164.72 165.08 164.34 171.50 168.04 166.28 Totals Notes: P = Preliminary Totals may not add up due to rounding Sources: Adams Wine Handbook 2003, 2005. Page 114 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 4 U.S. Retail Sales and Share of Retail Dollar by Beverage ($ millions) 2004P 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 Beer $82,20 0 $78,100 $74,435 $69,940 $67,400 $63,850 $59,811 $56,398 Soft drinks 81,762 79,612 75,915 74,700 73,100 70,980 68,913 66,171 Distilled spirits 49,443 45,498 42,150 39,502 37,317 35,770 34,014 33,600 Wine 23,100 21,800 20,530 19,020 18,120 16,600 14,535 13,718 Milk 21,440 20,300 18,765 18,400 17,700 17,495 17,153 17,166 Juices 14,890 14,694 14,360 14,000 13,400 13,140 13,066 13,002 Coffee 10,220 10,127 8,150 8,040 8,050 8,165 8,112 8,050 Bottled water 9,350 8,700 7,100 6,210 5,545 5,120 4,480 4,070 Tea 1,390 1,404 1,340 1,300 1,280 1,265 1,252 1,225 Powdered drinks 980 943 860 870 880 888 885 887 Totals $294,7 75 $281,178 $263,605 $251,982 $242,792 $233,273 $222,221 $214,287 Category Notes: P = Preliminary Totals may not add up due to rounding Sources: Adams Wine Handbook 2003, 2005. Page 115 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 5 Wine Consumption in the U.S. Year Total wine (millions of 1 gallons) Total wine per 3 capita (gallons) Total table wine (millions of 2 gallons) Total table wine per capita 3 (gallons) 2004P 668 2.27 591 2.01 2003 643 2.21 574 1.97 2002 612 2.12 546 1.89 2001 572 2.00 512 1.79 2000 570 2.01 510 1.80 1999 543 2.02 475 1.77 1998 526 1.95 466 1.73 1997 519 1.94 461 1.72 1996 500 1.89 439 1.66 1995 464 1.77 404 1.54 1994 458 1.77 394 1.52 1993 449 1.74 381 1.48 1992 476 1.87 405 1.59 1991 466 1.85 394 1.56 1990 509 2.05 423 1.70 1989 524 2.11 432 1.74 1988 551 2.24 457 1.86 1987 581 2.39 481 1.98 1986 587 2.43 487 2.02 1985 580 2.43 378 1.58 1984 555 2.34 401 1.69 1983 528 2.25 402 1.71 1982 514 2.22 397 1.71 1981 506 2.20 387 1.68 Notes Page 116 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) 1 All wine types including sparkling wine, dessert wine, other special natural and table wines. 2 Table wines include all still wines not over 14 percent alcohol content. 3 Per capita consumption based on the resident population of the U.S. Sources: The Wine Institute, www.wineinstitute.org,and Gomberg, Fredrikson & Associates. Page 117 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 6 U.S. Wine Sales: Domestic Shipments and Foreign Products Entering U.S. Distribution Channels, 1991-2004 (millions of gallons) Total retail value ($ billions) Champagne/ sparkling wine Total wine 48 30 667 $23.90 571 41 29 640 22.20 2002 546 38 28 612 21.60 2001 512 35 25 572 20.20 2000 510 33 27 570 19.30 1999 475 31 37 543 18.10 1998 466 31 29 526 17.00 1997 461 29 29 519 16.10 1996 439 31 29 500 14.30 1995 404 30 30 464 12.20 1994 394 33 31 458 11.50 1993 381 35 33 449 11.00 1992 405 37 33 476 11.40 1991 394 39 33 466 10.90 Year Table wine 2004 590 2003 1 Dessert wine 2 3 Notes: 1 Includes all still wines not over 14 percent alcohol; excludes Canadian coolers (made from malt). 2 Includes all still wines over 14 percent alcohol. Source: The Wine Institute, www.wineinstitute.org Page 118 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) EXHIBIT 7 Wine Consumption in the U.S. by Category, 1991-2004 (thousands of 9-liter cases) Table Other Total Table Other Total Total Wine Year Domestic Domestic Domestic Imported Imported Imported Consumption 2004 183,140 19,020 202,160 59,690 6,212 65,902 268,062 2003 177,380 19,150 196,530 55,670 6,032 61,702 258,232 2002 170,583 20,074 190,657 49,695 5,916 55,611 246,268 2001 164,844 21,077 185,921 42,807 5,705 48,512 234,433 2000 164,734 20,747 185,481 39,755 6,035 45,790 231,271 1999 161,179 23,070 184,249 34,117 7,030 41,147 225,396 1998 156,174 22,279 178,453 32,549 5,595 38,144 216,597 1997 151,918 24,862 176,780 31,314 5,588 36,902 213,682 1996 147,163 27,417 174,580 28,831 5,487 34,318 208,898 1995 138,437 27,692 166,129 25,675 5,203 30,878 197,007 1994 132,309 30,530 162,839 24,659 5,547 30,206 193,045 1993 126,611 34,860 161,471 22,017 5,082 27,099 188,570 1992 128,358 42,572 170,930 24,661 5,233 29,894 200,824 1991 119,977 52,400 172,377 20,367 5,426 25,793 198,170 Sources: www.beveragehandbooks.com, Jobson's Wine Handbook, 1992–1996; Adams/Jobson Wine Handbook, 1998; Adams Wine Handbook, 1999 - 2005 Page 119 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) EXHIBIT 8 U.S. Table Wine Market Color Mix Profile(1) (millions of 9-liter case shipments) Notes: (2) Year Red White (2) Rosé/Blush (3) 2002 88 91 33 212 2001 81 84 33 198 2000 79 81 34 194 1999 74 74 38 185 1998 66 74 38 178 1997 61 76 39 176 1996 55 74 38 167 1995 46 71 39 156 1994 41 71 39 150 1993 36 68 38 143 1992 36 69 42 147 1991 26 67 40 133 1990 25 68 44 136 1985 33 99 27 159 1980 41 80 30 151 1975 36 27 21 83 1970 28 14 14 56 (1) Totals (4) Consumption of Domestic and Imported Wine. Includes white wine produced from white grapes only. (3) Includes all wines labeled “rose” or “blush” and all wines labeled “white” produced from red (4) Addition of columns may not agree due to rounding. grapes. Source: “The U.S. Wine Market,” Impact Databank: Review and Forecast, 1998, 2001, 2003. Page 120 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) EXHIBIT 9 Constellation Brands Income Statements Fiscal Year Ending February 2000 – 2004 (in thousands) Sales Less - Excise taxes Net sales Cost Of Production Gross Profit Selling, General & Administrative Expenses Acquisition Related Integration Costs Restructuring & Related Charges Operating Income Income on Derivatives Equity in earnings of equity method invests Net Interest Expenses Income Before Income Taxes Provision for Income Taxes Income Before Extra Ordinary Items Extra Ordinary Items Net Income Dividends on preferred stock Income Available to Shareholders 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 $4,469,270 (916,841) 3,552,429 (2,576,641) 975,788 $3,583,082 (851,470) 2,731,612 (1,970,897) 760,715 $3,633,958 (813,455) 2,820,503 (1,901,462) 919,041 $3,154,294 (757,609) 2,396,685 (1,639,230) 757,455 $3,088,699 (748,230) 2,340,469 (1,618,009) 722,460 (457,277) (350,993) (576,560) (486,587) (481,909) (31,154) 487,357 1,181 (47,640) 404,958 23,129 0 342,481 0 270,868 (5,510) 235,041 542 (144,683) 344,397 (123,983) 12,236 (105,387) 334,936 (131,630) 1,667 (114,189) 229,959 (91,984) (108,631) 162,237 (64,895) (106,082) 128,959 (51,584) 220,414 203,306 220,414 (5,746) 203,306 0 137,975 (1,554) 136,421 0 97,342 97,342 0 77,375 77,375 0 $214,668 $203,306 $136,421 $97,342 $77,375 Source: Company 10K Reports Page 121 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) EXHIBIT 10 Constellation Brands Balance Sheets Fiscal Year Ending February 2000 – 2004 (in thousands) 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 Cash and cash investments $37,136 $13,810 $8,961 $145,672 $34,308 Accounts receivable, net 635,910 399,095 383,922 314,262 291,108 1,261,378 819,912 777,586 670,018 615,700 137,047 97,284 60,779 61,037 54,881 2,071,471 1,330,101 1,231,248 1,190,989 995,997 Property, Plant & Equipment 1,097,362 602,469 578,764 548,614 542,971 Goodwill 1,540,637 722,223 668,083 Intangible Assets 744,978 382,428 425,987 Other Assets 104,225 159,109 165,303 772,566 809,823 $5,558,673 $3,196,330 $3,069,385 $2,512,169 $2,348,791 $1,792 $2,623 $54,775 $4,184 $28,134 Current maturities of long-term debt 267,245 71,264 81,609 54,176 52,653 Accounts payable 270,291 171,073 153,433 114,793 122,213 48,465 36,421 60,238 55,954 30,446 442,009 303,827 245,155 198,053 204,771 1,029,802 585,208 595,210 427,160 438,217 1,778,853 1,191,631 1,293,183 1,307,437 1,237,135 Deferred Income Taxes 187,410 145,239 163,146 131,974 116,447 Other Liabilities 184,989 99,268 62,110 29,330 36,152 Assets Inventories Prepaid expenses and other Total current assets Total Assets Liabilities & Shareholders Equity Notes payable to banks Accrued excise taxes Other accrued expenses and liabilities Total current liabilities Long Term Debt Stockholder's Equity Preferred Stock, $.01 par value- 2 Page 122 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Class A Common Stock, $.01 par value- Outstanding shares of 194.3 Million on February 2004 1,943 814 793 374 364 291 146 146 74 75 Additional paid-in capital 1,022,931 469,724 431,216 267,655 247,730 Retained earnings 1,010,193 795,525 592,219 455,798 358,456 372,302 (59,257) (35,222) 0 0 0 (26,004) (4,149) 2,407,662 1,206,952 989,152 697,897 602,476 (29,993) (31,817) (33,366) (81,478) (81,636) (50) (151) (50) (151) 0 2,377,619 1,174,984 955,736 616,268 520,840 $5,558,673 $3,196,330 $3,069,385 $2,512,169 $2,348,791 Class B Convertible Common Stock, $.01 par value - Outstanding shares of 29.1 Million on February 2004 Accumulated other comprehensive income Cumulative translation adjustment Less-Treasury stock Less-Unearned compensationrestricted stock awards Total Stockholders' Equity Total Liabilities & Stockholder's Equity Source: Company 10K Reports Page 123 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) EXHIBIT 11 Constellation Brands Statements of Cash Flow Fiscal Year Ending February 2000 – 2004 (in thousands) 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 $220,414 $203,306 $136,421 $97,342 $77,375 Depreciation of property, plant and equipment 80,079 54,147 51,873 44,613 40,892 Deferred tax provision 31,398 21,050 3,675 6,677 800 - 21,875 5,942 33,531 25,770 23,831 5,127 7,263 324 2,356 (2,003) 233 100 101 280 856 93 60 516 503 427 (542) (12,236) (1,667) - - (1,181) (23,129) - - Cash flows from operating activities Net income Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities Non-cash portion of loss on extinguishment of debt Amortization of intangible and other assets Loss on disposal of assets and asset impairment charges Stock-based compensation expense Amortization of discount on long-term debt Equity in earnings of equity method investments Gain on change in fair value of derivative instruments Extraordinary item, net of income taxes 1,554 Change in operating assets and liabilities, net of effects from purchases of businesses: Accounts receivable, net (63,036) 6,164 (44,804) (27,375) (10,812) 96,051 (40,676) (19,130) (57,126) 1,926 2,192 (11,612) 566 (6,443) 4,663 (61,647) 10,135 19,069 (11,354) (17,070) 7,658 (25,029) 4,502 26,519 (18,719) 11,417 42,882 30,996 4,333 44,184 Other, net (10,624) (2,314) (4,228) (2,320) 4,005 Total adjustments 119,893 32,747 76,878 6,433 70,680 $340,307 $236,053 $213,299 $103,775 $148,055 (1,069,470) - (472,832) (4,459) (452,910) (105,094) (71,575) (71,148) (68,217) (57,747) Inventories Prepaid expenses and other current assets Accounts payable Accrued excise taxes Other accrued expenses and liabilities Net cash provided by operating activities Cash flows from investing activities Purchases of businesses, net of cash acquired Purchases of property, plant and equipment Page 124 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Investment in equity method investee - - Investment in joint ventures - - 35,815 2,009 14,977 (77,282) Payment of accrued earn-out amount (2,035) (1,674) 849 - 13,449 1,288 - - 3,814 0 0 0 0 (1,158,487) (71,961) (585,447) (70,667) (495,680) 1,600,000 10,000 252,539 319,400 1,486,240 36,017 28,706 45,027 13,806 3,358 3,481 2,885 1,986 1,547 1,428 (1,282,274) (151,134) (260,982) (221,908) (1,059,952) (1,113) (51,921) 51,403 (23,615) (60,629) (33,748) (20) (4,537) (5,794) (14,888) (3,295) - Proceeds from equity offerings, net of fees 426,086 0 151,479 0 0 Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities 745,154 (161,484) 236,915 83,436 355,557 Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash investments 96,352 2,241 (1,478) (5,180) (1,269) Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash investments 23,326 4,849 (136,711) 111,364 6,663 CASH AND CASH INVESTMENTS, beginning of year 13,810 8,961 145,672 34,308 27,645 $37,136 $13,810 $8,961 $145,672 $34,308 Proceeds from sale of marketable equity securities Proceeds from sale of assets Proceeds from sale of equity method investment Proceeds from sale of business Net cash used in investing activities Cash flows from financing activities Proceeds from issuance of long-term debt Exercise of employee stock options Proceeds from employee stock purchases Principal payments of long-term debt Net repayment of notes payable Payment of issuance costs of long-term debt Payment of preferred stock dividends CASH AND CASH INVESTMENTS, end of year Source: Company 10K Reports Page 125 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) EXHIBIT 12 Robert Mondavi Corporation Income Statements Fiscal Year Ending June 30, 2000 – 2004 (in thousands) 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 $491,957 $475,478 $463,587 $529,473 $447,881 23,910 22,805 22,229 23,646 20,158 Net revenues 468,047 452,673 441,358 505,827 427,723 Cost of goods sold 283,849 280,957 249,593 264,739 226,493 Gross profit 184,198 171,716 191,765 241,088 201,230 Selling, general and administrative expenses 132,259 129,993 125,760 157,354 125,072 (1,531) (1,965) -- 0 4,076 12,240 0 0 53,470 39,612 53,765 83,734 76,158 Interest, net 21,382 22,414 23,306 21,411 16,041 Equity income from joint ventures (6,685) (9,423) (8,868) 8,606 5,977 Other (1,580) 89 (255) (537) 1,495 40,353 26,532 39,582 70,392 67,589 Provision for income taxes 14,769 9,817 14,844 27,098 26,004 Net income $25,584 $16,715 $24,738 $43,294 $41,585 Revenues Less excise taxes Gain on sale of assets, net Special charges, net Operating income Other (income) expense: Income before income taxes Source: Company 10K Reports Page 126 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) EXHIBIT 13 Robert Mondavi Corporation Balance Sheets Fiscal Year Ending June 30, 2000 – 2004 (in thousands) (In thousands, except share data) 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 $48,960 $1,339 -- $7,189 $3,002 94,549 96,111 92,555 104,555 77,662 387,940 392,635 388,574 358,756 298,487 7,025 12,545 12,179 10,400 4,331 538,474 502,630 493,308 480,900 383,482 397,699 416,110 323,582 338,935 312,065 29,607 30,763 27,220 31,311 32,720 Restricted cash 6,184 5,143 Other assets 6,206 6,531 11,455 13,212 6,676 $978,170 $961,177 $855,565 $864,358 $734,943 Notes Paybles to Banks -- -- $2,734 $15,800 $19,700 Short-term borrowings -- 5,000 4,400 Accounts payable 26,037 28,727 23,012 29,752 24,540 Employee compensation and related costs 15,905 13,987 11,044 19,835 13,725 6,967 7,115 7,453 Other accrued expenses 14,693 7,317 13,673 12,360 7,343 Current portion of long-term debt 18,910 9,837 12,568 15,823 10,102 82,512 71,983 74,884 93,570 75,410 363,289 397,889 316,169 335,970 280,790 42,773 30,610 24,039 23,454 21,850 Deferred executive compensation 7,484 6,508 5,657 5,128 8,575 Other liabilities 2,312 3,193 3,537 3,767 150 498,370 510,183 424,286 461,889 386,775 ASSETS Current assets: Cash and cash equivalents Accounts receivable, net Inventories Prepaid expenses and other current assets Total current assets Property, plant and equipment, net Investments in joint ventures Total assets LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY Current liabilities: Accrued interest Total current liabilities Long-term debt, less current portion Deferred income taxes Total liabilities Page 127 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Shareholders' equity: Preferred Stock: authorized - 5,000,000 shares; No issued & Outstanding Class A Common Stock, authorized 25,000,000 shares; without par value; outstanding - 10,676,399 & 9,734,645 shares 99,268 95,909 93,827 91,214 83,161 Class B Common Stock, without par value: authorized - 12,000,000 shares; without par value; outstanding - 5,770,718 and 6,621,734 shares 9,256 10,636 10,677 11,059 11,732 13,347 11,579 11,025 10,547 5,780 359,436 333,852 317,915 292,399 249,105 (534) -- (1,011) (1,269) (1,716) (2,750) (1,610) 38 287 (449) 0 0 479,800 450,994 431,279 402,469 348,168 $978,170 $961,177 $855,565 $864,358 $734,943 Paid-in capital Retained earnings Deferred compensation stock plans Cumulative translation adjustment Forward contracts Total shareholders' equity Total liabilities and shareholders' equity Source: Company 10K Reports Page 128 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) EXHIBIT 14 Robert Mondavi Corporation Statements of Cash Flow Fiscal Year Ending June 30, 2000 – 2004 (in thousands) 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 $25,584 $16,715 $24,738 $43,294 $41,585 9,283 10,815 (6,054) (3,482) 873 Depreciation and amortization 25,348 25,239 24,512 21,861 18,901 Equity income from joint ventures (6,685) (9,423) (8,868) (8,606) (5,977) 7,648 9,388 9,132 -- 4,076 10,320 2,451 11,565 3,750 (1,531) (1,965) -- 2,238 1,472 315 307 (2,320) Accounts receivable, net 1,562 (3,556) 12,000 (26,236) 4,375 Inventories 6,173 (16,839) (33,814) (40,926) (37,014) Other assets 5,303 (5,306) 5,531 (99) 1,038 Accounts payable and accrued expenses 4,921 (542) (7,344) 15,634 4,216 189 (544) CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES Net income Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash flows from operating activities: Deferred income taxes Distributions of earnings from joint ventures Special charges, net Inventory and fixed asset write-downs Gain on sale of assets, net Other Change in assets and liabilities, net of acquisitions: Deferred revenue Deferred executive compensation Other liabilities Net cash flows from operating activities 976 851 529 (3,447) 1,150 (332) (344) (230) (383) (85) $82,939 $42,146 $34,517 ($1,894) $26,198 ($16,502) ($36,148) ($137,698) ($50,465) ($78,005) 3,788 24,967 12,553 3,716 -- -- -- 15,657 (14,191) -- (1,750) -- 7,232 5,714 CASH FLOWS FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES Acquisitions of property, plant and equipment Proceeds from sale of assets Distributions from joint ventures Issuance of notes receivable to joint ventures Distributions from joint ventures Page 129 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Contributions of capital to joint ventures Increase in restricted cash Net cash flows from investing activities -- (1,814) (7,287) (628) (12,603) (1,041) (838) (402) ($13,755) ($13,833) ($117,177) ($56,086) ($84,894) -- (2,734) 2,734 (19,000) (22,400) (19,600) (18,828) 17,800 5,102 10,625 105,195 85,000 50,000 (8,797) (13,831) (14,856) (10,115) (11,218) 475 514 571 560 536 1,504 1,527 2,776 6,820 1,063 -- -- (1,116) (847) (675) (233) (1,270) (1,027) ($21,563) ($26,974) $75,471 $62,167 $57,154 47,621 1,339 (7,189) 4,187 (1,542) 1,339 -- 7,189 3,002 4,544 $48,960 $1,339 - $7,189 $3,002 CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES Book overdraft Net repayments under credit lines Proceeds from issuance of long-term debt Principal repayments of long-term debt Proceeds from issuance of Class A Common Stock Exercise of Class A Common Stock options Repurchase of Class A Common Stock Other Net cash flows from financing activities Net change in cash and cash equivalents Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the fiscal year Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the fiscal year Source: Company 10K Reports Page 130 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Exhibit 15 Constellation Brands and Robert Mondavi Corporation Annual Stock Price Ranges, 1994 - 2004 Year Constellation Brands Mondavi Low High Low High 2004 $14.70 $23.90 $31.00 $43.50 2003 $11.00 $17.40 $18.50 $40.60 2002 $10.60 $16.00 $28.10 $39.80 2001 $6.70 $11.50 $27.70 $54.60 2000 $5.00 $7.40 $29.40 $54.70 1999 $5.40 $7.70 $29.00 $41.40 1998 $4.70 $7.50 $20.10 $50.25 1997 $2.00 $6.70 $36.00 $56.75 1996 $2.90 $6.60 $24.75 $38.25 1995 $3.70 $6.00 $10.38 $32.50 1994 $2.50 $4.00 $6.50 $11.88 Notes: Mondavi went public in 1994. Constellation prices have been adjusted for 2 for 1 splits in 2001, 2002 and 2005. Constellation common stock was listed on the NYSE in 1999. Source: Value Line Ratings and Reports for Constellation Brands and Robert Mondavi Corp. Page 131 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) APPENDIX A Report from the Constellation Corporate Planning Department to Mr. Richard Sands Regarding Expected Performance of the Robert Mondavi Company Operations: Under Present Management and Constellation Brands’ Management Our department has completed a study of the brands and operations of the Mondavi company, and it is our opinion that a number of areas can be rationalized and enhanced if they are incorporated into our business model. The firm has struggled with its marketing plans in recent years, resulting in net sales that have not even kept up with the overall wine industry. In fact, production and sales levels were higher a few years ago than they were in fiscal 2004. This has been due primarily to their emphasis on marketing the “lifestyle” products while the premium products have not been managed effectively. Our specialized marketing strategies for life style and premium wines should be able to restore some of the luster that has been lost by their premium products. We expect to be able to grow their entire brand portfolio at an average of 8 percent per year over the next ten years, higher than an estimate of 6.25 percent per year if current management strategies are implemented. (See attached tables for details) On the cost side of the business we envision the following opportunities for enhanced efficiencies and productivity. As their high cost grape contracts wind down, we will substitute our purchasing management and achieve savings spread out over the next decade. Consolidation of bottling and packaging operations will also generate cost savings that current management could not match. SG&A is another area targeted for significant improvement. Integrating the Mondavi product portfolio into our offerings and restructuring marketing and advertising programs should generate results that Mondavi management could not achieve as a standard firm. We have also provided estimates of the asset structure that would be expected under these two scenarios. See Tables 1 and 2. While both alternatives would result in inventories growing more slowly than in the past, Constellation is expected to achieve even greater economies. We also expect to be able to collect accounts receivable a bit more efficiently than current management. Lower asset levels will naturally result in lower financing needs under Constellation. We would expect to be able to achieve more favorable credit terms from one supplier. All of these improvements will contribute to added cash flows for our firm. Financing cost levels at Constellation are also more favorable than those of Mondavi as a stand-alone firm. New long-term debt would probably cost us 7.5 percent, compared with at least 8.25 percent for Mondavi. While our historical price-earnings ratio has been between 10 and 12 Mondavi’s range has been wider, between 10 and 14. Beta (β) for Constellation is currently 0.9 compared with 1.4 for Mondavi, reflecting the overall strengths of our diversified product portfolio. For cost of equity estimates using CAPM, a market (equity) risk premium of 5 percent seems reasonable. Using the bond yield plus risk premium method, a bond risk premium of 4 percent is used. Calculating the WACC at either market or book value for equity, Constellation’s cost structure is lower than Mondavi as a stand-alone entity. Thus, our valuation of Mondavi business is greater than their valuations. In conclusion, the results of these initiatives should make this deal a very successful decision for Constellation Brands. We should be able to out bid rivals for Mondavi, if they surface before we close on a deal. We can structure the deal as tax-free, if necessary, although it seems likely that a cash transaction Page 132 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) is being sought by most of Mondavi’s shareholders, especially family members. It would be prudent to line up financing through our excellent banking relationships, and ultimately restructure our balance sheet after the deal is completed and at the most advantageous time in the capital markets. Table 1 Assumptions Used to Evaluate the Robert Mondavi Corporation, prepared by Constellation Brands’ corporate planning department Items Income Statement Under Current Management Income Statement Under Constellation Management Total Revenues 4.5% per year 10% per year Net Revenues 4.5% per year 10% per year 2005-6 61% of Net Revenues 60% of Net Revenues 2007-8 59% of Net Revenues 58% of Net Revenues 2009-10 56% of Net Revenues 56% of Net Revenues 2011-12 54% of Net Revenues 54% of Net Revenues 2013-14 53% of Net Revenues 52% of Net Revenues 2005-6 28% of Net Revenues 27% of Net Revenues 2007-8 28% of Net Revenues 26% of Net Revenues 2009-10 28% of Net Revenues 25% of Net Revenues 2011-14 28% of Net Revenues 24% of Net Revenues 7% of PP & E 7% of PP & E 37% of Net Income 37% of Net Income Terminal Value (1) 12 x Net Income in 2014 12 x Net Income in 2014 CF (in 2014)/r-g (2) r = WACC r = WACC g = 4% g = 4% Cost of Goods Sold SG&A Depreciation & Amortization Expenses Corporate Income Tax Rate Page 133 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Table 2 Assumptions Used to Evaluate the Robert Mondavi Corporation prepared by Constellation Brands’ corporate planning department Items Balance Sheets Under Current Management Balance Sheets Under Constellation Management Cash 2% of Net Revenues 2% of Net Revenues Accounts Receivable 20% of Net Revenues 18% of Net Revenues 2005-7 74% of Net Revenues 72% of Net Revenues 2008-10 71% of Net Revenues 69% of Net Revenues 2011-14 67% of Net Revenues 65% of Net Revenues Prepaid Expenses 2% of Net Revenues 2% of Net Revenues 2005-7 77% of Net Revenues 77% of Net Revenues 2008-10 73% of Net Revenues 73% of Net Revenues 2011-14 68% of Net Revenues 68% of Net Revenues Invest. in Joint Ventures 6% of Net Revenues 6% of Net Revenues Other Assets 1.5% of Net Revenues 1.5% of Net Revenues Assets Inventories PP & E Page 134 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Table 3 Assumptions Used to Evaluate The Robert Mondavi Corporation, prepared by Constellation Brands’ corporate planning department Items Balance Sheets Under Current Management Balance Sheets Under Short Term Liabilities 20% of Net Revenues 20% of Net Revenues Accounts Payable 5.5% of Net Revenues 6.5% of Net Revenues Employment Compensation 3.25% of Net Revenues 3.25% of Net Revenues 5% of Net Revenues 5% of Net Revenues 5% of Net Revenues 5% of Net Revenues 6.5% of Net Revenues 6.5% of Net Revenues 1.5% of Net Revenues 1.5% of Net Revenues 0.5% of Net Revenues 0.5% of Net Revenues Constant Constant From Income Statement From Income Statement Constellation Management Liabilities & Capital Other Accrual Liabilities Current Portion of Long Term Debt Deferred Income Taxes Deferred Executives’ Compensation Other Liabilities Long Term Debt – PLUG (Total Assets – Liabilities excluding Long Term Debt) Other Items Retained Earnings Page 135 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Table 4 Selected Financial Markets Data -- from Federal Reserve Statistics September October November 2004 2004 2004 90 days 1.68 1.79 2.11 6 Months 1.91 2.05 2.32 1 Year 2.12 2.23 2.5 5 Years 3.36 3.35 3.53 10 Years 4.13 4.1 4.19 20 Years 4.89 4.85 4.89 Aaa 5.46 5.47 5.52 Bbb 6.27 6.21 6.2 4.58 4.75 4.93 Finance 1.81 1.97 2.2 Non - Finance 1.75 1.95 2.18 Treasury Rates Notes and Bonds Bonds Corporate Bonds (Moody's) Floating Rates Prime Rate Commercial Paper (3 Months) Page 136 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Appendix B Ted Hall’s Valuation of Mondavi Luxury Brands’ Vineyards and the Oakville Winery CEO Ted Hall’s estimate of the value of assets to be sold amounted to between $400 and $500 million. In contrast, Vic Motto, head of the Napa-based wine consultancy Motto Kryla Fisher, said this range represented the company’s “dream number” for the sale. Based on operating income of these assets, other analysts pegged the value of the luxury division at not more than $320 million. The $500 million number would equate to 31.25 times operating earnings, more than double the 14 times paid by Constellation Brands for BRL Hardy in 2003.1 Real estate agents in the Napa Valley routinely sold vineyards in the area and felt confident in the following ranges for Mondavi acreage: To-Kalon Vineyard Acreage Price Per Acre Value 550 $150,000 - 250,000 $82.5m - $137.5m 40.0m - 60.0m (in Oakville) Acres Stags Leap 400 100,000 - 150,000 Carneros’ Huichica 450 75,000 - 125,000 160 50,000 - 90,000 33.75m - 56.25m Creek Vineyard near Napa 8.0m - 14.4m $164.25m - $268.15m Page 137 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) Hall noted that a financial analyst at D.A. Davidson had written in a September 2004 newsletter that the Mondavi interests in Opus One, Arrowood, Byron and Omallia operations could sell for between $140 and $210 million. That analyst had also put a value on the Oakville winery at between $100 and $150m. Low High Vineyards $164.25 $268.15 Brands 140.00 210.00 Winery 100.00 150.00 $404.25 $628.15 The Oakville winery had a permit that allowed for wine production of up to 1.6 million gallons per year, along with numerous opportunities for public and private events. No new winery would be able to obtain these retail privileges in today’s environment. The winery’s location was also a key factor in its value to a buyer. It was located further south than many of the other large tourist stops in the valley. Therefore, it was well positioned to draw visitors driving from the Bay Area.2 1 San Francisco Chronicle, September 21, 2004. 2 Friedman, G., “Trying to put a price on key winery assets,” Napanews.com, October 20, 2004. Endnotes 1 Sands, Richard, Chairman of the Board of Directors, Constellation Brands 2004 Annual Report, 4. Annual Report on Form 10K, Constellation Brands 2004, 15. 3 Annual Report, Canandaigua Brands, 1995. 4 Siler, J. F. (2007). The House of Mondavi: The Rise and Fall of An American Wine Dynasty. New York: Penguin. 2 Page 138 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 2 (Spring 2009) 5 Shanken, M. R. (2005, April 30) “How Constellation captured Mondavi’s empire,” Wine Spectator, 82-92. Impact Databank, 2003. 7 Ibid. 8 United States Department of the Treasury, Title 27: Part 4 of the Code of Federal Regulation, Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms, Regulatory Agency. 9 Huneeus, A.F. (2001). In Moulton, K. and J. Lapsley, (eds), Successful Wine Marketing, Gaithersburg, MD: Aspen Publishers. 10 McGinn, D. and Joseph, N. (2006, February 20). “Having great expectations,” Newsweek, E-12. 11 Ibid. 12 Ibid. 13 Annual Report on Form 10K, Constellation Brands, 2004. 14 Prial, op cit. 15 Fitch, S. (2000, March 20). “Up from the gutter,” Forbes, 68-70. 16 Prial op cit. 17 Fisher, op cit. 18 Anon, (2004, July). 2004 State of the industry report. Beverage Industry, 95(7), 12-30. 19 Annual Report on Form 10K, Constellation Brands, 2004, 4-5. 20 Fitch, S., op cit., 70. 21 Annual Report on Form 10 K, Constellation Brands,2004, 27. 22 Ibid. 23 The Robert Mondavi Corporation, Form 10K, June 30, 2004, 1. 24 Levy, Paul, “ Mondavi Moves in, and the French Cry Foul,” The Wall Street Journal, June 14, 2000. 25 Prial, F. J. (2003, July 2) “With head held high, Mondavi, at 90, faces a storm,” The New York Times. 26 Ibid. 27 Flynn, J. (2004, June 3) “Inside a Napa Valley empire, a family struggles with itself,” The Wall Street Journal. 28 Ibid. 29 Ibid. 30 Prial, F. J. (2004, August 25). “Mondavi family to loosen control over winery,” The New York Times. 31 Ibid. 32 Prial, F. J. (2004, September 16) “The grapevine is whispering; the name it says is Mondavi,” The New York Times. 33 Claire, J. (2004, September 16) “Mondavi stock drops, but some say sale is smart move,” napanews.com. 34 Anon., (2004, September 23) napanews.com. 35 Press release, The Robert Mondavi Corporation, September 4, 2004. 36 Claire, J. (2004, Oct. 7) “Michael Mondavi asked to resign for ‘violating confidentiality of board discussions,’” napanews.com; Carson, L. P. (2004, Oct. 7) “Tim Mondavi resigns as shake-up continues,” napanews.com. 37 Goldman, L. (2005, January 10). “Big Gulp,” Forbes, 68-73. 38 Ibid. 39 Current book value on a fully diluted basis was $29/share, while shares were selling at $36/share on the NYSE. 40 Letter to Ted Hall from Richard Sands, October 12, 2004. 41 Just-drinks.com editor’s weekly highlights, Issue 242, October 24, 2004. Just-drinks.com, op cit. 42 Hall, J. (2004, October 19) “Mondavi to get wined and dined by Constellation,” Company News. 43 Ibid. 44 Berman, D. K. & Flynn, J. (2004, October 27) “Bidders develop taste for Mondavi,” The Wall Street Journal. 45 Ibid. 46 Just-drinks.com (2004), op cit. 47 Ibid. 6 Page 139 The CASE Journal Volume 5, Issue 1 (Fall 2008) The CASE Association 2008-2009 Membership Form Please fill in the following information. Mail this form to the VP for Membership whose name and address appear at the bottom of the page. Salutations: □ Dr. □ Mr. □ Mrs. □ Ms. □ Prof. □ Other: ______ Name:__________________________________________________________ School: _______________________________________________________ Address: _____________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________ 5. City & State ___________________________________________________ 6. Telephone #: ___________________________________________________ 7. 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