A Short Guide to Writing a Practical Business Plan
Transcription
A Short Guide to Writing a Practical Business Plan
A Short Guide to Writing a Practical Business Plan ow can it be that here are thousands of guides (like this one) to help hopeful entrepreneurs write business plans…, and yet there is an overabundance of awful business plans. H The problem is often that the entrepreneur misunderstands the purpose of writing the plan. They seem to believe that they are simply supposed to describe the business and let others judge whether the idea is sound or not…, but a description is usually not enough to get a banker or investor compelled to help you. While describing the business is clearly a part of a business plan…, the actual objective is to justify the business…, to show that there is substantial reason to believe the business can both survive and be profitable. This guide will help you understand what is required to develop a business plan that accomplishes the two critical functions that every good business plan must: justify your business concept – i.e., provide evidence that there is sufficient demand in the market place to allow success develop a set of strategies and tactics that seem capable of propelling you business from where it is now (a concept, hobby or perhaps even part-time business) into a functional, profitable business. Do You Really Need a Business Plan? That’s a reasonable question. You might not need a business plan if most of the following fit your situation: You don’t really care too much for the job you have, and you can readily get another one you think you’ll like better; you can start the business on a part time basis; you aren’t reliant on your current job to provide food, shelter or benefits for your family; the amount of money needed for launch is fairly small and you have what you need, or better yet two times what you think you need; and, you feel the potential pain of losing your job and money is less than the work of writing a business plan…, … then perhaps the best thing to do is just launch your business. But obviously, most people are not in that situation, and a business plan is needed to create the financial support to launch the startup. What’s the Benefit of Writing a Plan A business plan has two key benefits: It helps you get your “ducks in a row” It helps you communicate the alignment of those ducks to other important parties, like bankers, investors, state government, licensors, and sometimes key vendors and employees. Some people are able to create a useful plan in their mind, causing some entrepreneurs to question why they can’t just verbally explain their business plan to a banker or investor. See Your Proposal from the Banker’s Viewpoint Written documents are always preferred and often required because to a banker or investor your business plan is more than just a document. First – it’s a potential time-saver. Sometimes within a couple minutes of reading the business plan a banker realizes there is no scenario in which they are going to provide funding. If the first step is a face-to-face presentation the meeting is probably going to last an hour, costing the banker time they might not have needed to waste. 3. You have enough collateral that lenders don’t need to be too concerned about whether your business succeeds or not. Second – and more importantly, the banker doesn’t know you, your intelligence, or your work ethic. When people apply for jobs they often face a barrage of interviews, and references are sought. A banker doesn’t have the luxury of that kind of interaction. Therefore, it makes sense that a business plan becomes a banker’s best tool to judge the intelligence and aptitude of the entrepreneur, and it’s why a banker is very interested that the entrepreneur is the one who actually wrote the business plan. In general, a banker or investor tends to believe that if you are unable to write a competent business plan which is articulate and concise, you are likely to be unable to manage a business. Writing a traditional business plan for options #2 or #3 is difficult because the business plan comes down to your abilities, personality, and the trust you can conger in the banker. Although #3 may seem like a “no-brainer”, from the banker’s perspective there is still significant pain in dragging a business through foreclosure. For #2, keep in mind that it is really difficult for your banker, after meeting with you for only thirty minutes, to come to the conclusion that you have the right mix of aptitude, skills, intelligence and work ethic. Finally – for you the primary benefit is that if your business plan successfully lowers the banker’s perception of risk, that means that either you will be offered a loan you otherwise might not have been offered, or you will be able to negotiate better equity (down payment) or collateral requirements. When a banker or investor begins looking at your plan they want to understand what’s “clever” about it. Is it an invention that solves a problem; are you the first one to bring a proven concept to your location; do you have superior talent for a skill based business like plumbing or graphic design; are you combining multiple businesses into a single location to create convenience; or are you bringing your industry new concepts for sales or distribution? Funding requests that entrepreneurs make to bankers and investors fall into three categories. 1. You have sound strategies (the clever part) to attract customers and create profits, and evidence exists to support the assumptions you are making about potential customers. 2. Your “plan” basically boils down to making a banker believe that although your business won’t externally look much different than those of your competitors (imagine a car wash or graphic design business), but you will outhustle, outthink and deliver better quality or service than your competition. Therefore, your best odds of success in both creating a successful business as well as getting it financed, is to find an opportunity in the market where customer needs are not being met, and explain how your new business can simultaneously solve that need and operate profitably. These types of formal plans are the focus of this guide. Startup Scenario #1 Startup Scenario #2 You want to start a business You see a gap between customer needs and competitor offerings Business lacks features that would reasonably differentiate it from competitors already in the market place Competitive advantage is logical and validated by feedback from potential customers who confirm that a gap exists in the market Higher risk Lower risk Perceived risk is high, causing bank funding to be limited to “normal” equity and collateral requirements - or not available at all. Investors are not available due to the perception of high risk or low growth. Collateral and equity still create limits on borrowing, but better terms may be available due to lower perceived risk. If business has high growth potential investors are a possibility. 2 A business plan should deliver two key components: A strategy involving a unique combination of benefits(s) which will be the basis for how your business will steal customers from competitors, and, Evidence, or strong enough logic, to convince a reader that the unique combination of elements you will deliver is in demand by enough customers to make the business profitable. Key Elements The viability of your business is primarily based on its ability to attract customers. This doesn’t happen by accident. From time to time customers certainly make logic defying purchases, but for the most part customers choose where to buy based on the combination of benefits which most closely meets their needs. We often call this VALUE. The challenge is that all customers see value in a different way, often driven by income, education, location, etc., and how they see value can vary depending on a particular situation they are in (e.g., normally I like the quality and design services of ACME Printers, but I need business cards and my plane leaves in three hours, so I’m going to use Timely Printers). Those benefits which differentiate your business from competitors are referred to as competitive advantage. For example, a grocery store may not have the most convenient location, but its meat counter may be so good that some customers are willing to suffer the inconvenience of driving out of their way to shop there. competitive advantages are why existing businesses are able to hang on to customers and why startup businesses are able to steal customers from existing business. Competitive advantages can usually be described in very simple terms such as: convenience, faster delivery, better selection, better performance, lower prices, better customer service, quality, status, style, and so on. In the context of a specific product, such as a lawn mower dealer, these can be expressed more specifically, such as, includes free delivery (customer service), or five year unlimited guarantee (quality). Competitive advantages are the magnets that allow you to steal customers from entrenched competitors; but just like magnets, competitive advantages attract some customers and repel others based on the tradeoffs those customers are forced to make. The importance of competitive advantage cannot be overemphasized. A business usually has some competitive advantages that are created by accident if not by purpose. For example, your new gas station will be more convenient for at least some people. But the key question is if that advantage can attract enough customers to make your business successful. The ability to create and deliver competitive advantage ripples throughout the business. For example, providing better customer service requires either hiring smarter employees or hiring more employees. Either way, hiring those employees will lead to higher wages. One way to be profitable in the face of higher wages is to pay lower rent, leading to a loss of convenience. As a result, the choosing of customer service as a competitive advantage could cause a tradeoff in convenience. Every consumer purchase (or choosing not to purchase) involves managing tradeoffs. The mix of benefits, and the tradeoffs involved, results in a particular business occupying a market position in the mind of the customer. These are often expressed verbally as… It’s a great place to take the family for a good meal … which represents a combination of reasonable pricing, casual environment, coloring books, and good kids menu. The tradeoff of such a market position might be the lack of valet parking, nutrition, food quality, convenience, noise level, service or status. Some businesses work very hard through their marketing efforts to suggest a certain market position to customers…, but too many make the mistake of trying to be in every market position – they try to deliver excellent customer service (higher wages), convenient location (higher rent), broad selection (higher rent from bigger store and higher interest payments due to larger inventory carrying costs), while at the same time trying to be very cost 3 competitive. This isn’t so much a business strategy as a bankruptcy strategy because obviously the cost of delivering the product or service is higher, but combined with the lower prices it squeezes the profit per sale. As a result the business has to achieve tremendous volume in order to make this strategy work…, something that is not in the favor of a startup because your business is beginning with no customers. The cliché that… You can’t be all things to all people… … is rooted in the concept of competitive advantage. A more likely formula for success is to recognize the importance of competitive advantage, tradeoffs and market position and realize that people who are similar in some way will often perceive their needs in similar ways, and therefore be naturally drawn to those suppliers with a market position that matches their expectations (groups of buyers with similar buying preferences are referred to as a market segment). For example, if you perceive that can open a meat counter and compete for meat sales with the local grocery via a competitive advantage of higher quality and better customer service (knowledge and fast service), you will very likely have higher meat costs (quality) and higher wages (knowledgeable and customer service oriented employees). This requires you to make one or more of the following decisions: 1. When a business chooses a market position, it is trying to appeal to a certain set of buying preferences that the entrepreneur believes exists. In your business plan you will need to break the market down into logical customer segments and convince the reader for which segments your business will be the logical choice. For example, for a pavement marking business, a logical way to segment the market would be on parking lot size: small parking lots holding ten cars or less, mediumsized parking lots of eleven to one hundred parking spots, and large lots of greater than one hundred spots. Your business might be the logical choice of the medium sized lots because the small lot owners generally are capable of managing it themselves, and the large lot owners generally want their entire lots painted overnight which is a service that your small business cannot yet provide with only one employee. Summary: The success of your business will be accidental, and failure much more likely, if you don’t understand the flow of concepts from how competitive advantage creates tradeoffs; puts your business into a market position in the customers’ mind; driving the attraction of some customer segments, while repelling others; and resulting in a segmentation of buyers based on their buying preferences…, which are usually aligned with demographic similarities such as age, income, education, children, career, size of parking lot, etc. Sell at similar prices to competitors and make up for the higher cost by lowering expense in some other area, such as having a location where the rent is lower (value strategy for those willing to suffer some inconvenience). Many new entrepreneurs base their opinion of feasibility on market segments which are already quite satisfied with existing choices, or which will be repelled by the new business’s market position. Market Position: It’s a little out of the way but worth the effort. You business plan must show that your competitive advantages serves a unique market position and that therefore your business will become the logical selection of one or more market segments that are large enough to allow your business to be profitable. 2. Have a convenient location and increase the price of items in the meat counter compared to competitors (premium pricing strategy). Market Position: Their prices are a little higher but your guests will really appreciate the difference. 3. Have a convenient location and match the price of competitors (volume strategy). Market Position: Best value in the market. How to Get Started You best chance at business success is not to get started by first sitting down to write your business plan, but rather by getting out into the market and testing your assumptions about the unmet needs of prospective customers and honestly assessing competitor capabilities. This market assessment phase is critical for convincing bankers (and yourself) 4 that latent demand exists for the competitive advantage you plan to bring to the market. Why is Writing a Business Plan so Hard for So Many Entrepreneurs? There are three common reasons. First, most entrepreneurs haven’t done their homework. They have not gotten honest feedback from prospective customers but rather reply on opinions of friends and family who are reluctant to share their true feelings, and instead tend to play the role of cheerleader. Second, many entrepreneurs see a fifty page sample business plan and they think that they need to create something similar. You don’t. Most plans should be less than twenty pages, and the vast majority would be better received if they were less than ten. Finally, many entrepreneurs fear that they do not have the writing skills. It is true that poor grammar, poor spelling, or illogical or incoherent arguments will become surrogates for what a banker or investor thinks about your intelligence, but there are plenty of resources which can help you transform your draft into a more readable and comprehensible document. Too many entrepreneurs follow an outline blindly without thinking about what the reader really needs to know. A business plan in most cases is a sales brochure and needs to be written for the customer – the banker or investor. For example, the point of the management section isn’t to simply plop biographical material for the founder, but rather to convince the reader that the founder(s) have the necessary skills, aptitudes and resourcefulness to operate the new business. In some cases the standard biography may clearly show the entrepreneur is a good fit, but in many cases some clarification may be necessary. For example…, In Fred Smith’s position as manager at XYZ grocery he was trained in both budgeting and accounting functions, and interacted with bankers regarding line of credit planning. Here are some key issues to keep in mind as you are preparing to write your plan. Keep the Big Picture in Mind - Experienced business plan readers quickly categorize a business plan as having one or more critical risks, including: 1) The market isn’t large enough, 2) The market is too competitive, 3) Customer buying habits can’t be switched before cash reserves are exhausted (market inertia), or that the competitive advantage is not sustainable because competitors can easily copy the startup’s clever features. 4) The founders don’t have the necessary aptitudes, skills or experience to make sales, marshal resources or manage employees. 5) Product ideas or prototypes can’t be commercialized within budget, or in a timely fashion, 6) Intellectual property problems (patents) Holding the revelation of competitive advantage until page seven does no good if your banker, after reading two pages, puts your plan in the garbage because they don’t believe you understand the importance of competitive advantage and market segmentation. Some writers want to wait on the explanation because they want to lay out the entire argument before getting to what is clever. This is a mistake. It is rather simple to make the reader know you are aware without interrupting the flow of your business plan. For example, you might write: Many potential customers are currently traveling over sixty miles round trip to purchase soccer equipment because they value the larger selection they can find in (a neighboring city). Our market analysis shows that Pleasantville has a significant population of avid soccer players which are eager to become customers of ABC sports. This brief paragraph provides insight that the entrepreneur has a competitive advantage (convenience and selection), and gives the banker hope that at some point in the business plan the entrepreneur will provide some evidence to refute the banker’s concern that Pleasantville isn’t large enough to support the business. Brevity and Focus - The goal of a good business plan is straightforward writing and brevity. Focus on the reader. The fact that you’ve always wanted to be an entrepreneur is meaningless to them. This kind of irrelevant information hides the important elements of your plan and makes you look naïve, as if your lifelong dream makes the business any more likely to succeed. 5 Newspaper editors have an old saying, “Don’t bury the lead”, meaning you shouldn’t hide the story that will make a person want to buy a paper on page 6. Societal trends may provide some useful context for your business plan, but they are rarely the lead story. You should understand that most plans are not read thoroughly but rather skimmed in a haphazard manner. You need to put compelling information up front to convince of what is clever about your business and confront what they will logically see as critical risks. What readers want to know is if you have discovered unmet customer needs; have evidence of demand and that the market is large enough to be profitable; and that management has the skills to manage employees, customers and the operation of the business. Also, a good plan needs to avoid redundancy of the all but the most important information, and shouldn’t include the minutia like what color you plan to paint the walls. Storyline - Some business plans are written like a novel… building and building this drama about technology changes and societal trends, and finally on page six the business concept is finally revealed. Writers who rely on this drama style of writing probably believe that it will result in greater appreciation of the cleverness of the idea once it is finally revealed. What they don’t understand is that the vast majority of readers won’t be curious enough to make it to page six. A banker or investor will believe that the communication style of your business plan is an indication of the way you will communicate with customers. While a business plan isn’t literature, it should be a story. Like every good story there are bad guys – the competition that is under serving market – and there are good guys – your new business that will rescue the customers in distress. But business plan readers don’t have the patience for prose. You need to cut to the chase and anticipate the questions as they come into the reader’s mind (the issues described in the Keep the Big Picture in Mind section of the previous page). This requires some skill. You don’t want to get the reader off-tract from your “If this…,then that” string of logic…, but at the same time you need to let them know that you realize competitor strength is a concern, but you have sustainable competitive advantages that will attract customers. Here’s an example of briefly telling the reader you understand their concerns, but have a plan, in a way that isn’t too interruptive to your story line: We will provide the superior customer service demanded by our customers, but yet contain payroll expense by hiring students from [the local university’s] fashion department because of their appearance, enthusiasm, knowledge, need for practical experience, and reasonable payroll expectations. Summarize, Clarify and Connect the Dots – As previously mentioned readers are usually skimming a business plan rather than reading it carefully. You need to make sure your key points of logic stand out. Keep in mind that bankers and investors are very experienced and have read hundreds of business plans. Telling them that customer service is critically important to your high-end clothing store… doesn’t impress the reader of your business savvy but rather is borderline insulting to their intelligence. It is like telling a mechanic a car need good gas to run well. What bankers want to know is how you are going to provide that superior services – by having more employees, or having better quality (higher wage) employees. Your plan will likely include three or four points that, if not understood, will become deal-killers. These are points that should be clear, stand-out and be repeated in both the executive summary and in the body of the business plan. Credibility and Validation – Bankers and investors have seen a cornucopia of sneaky tricks and outright lies told by unethical entrepreneurs. As a result, bankers and investor have become professional skeptics. This makes your perspective and your opinions not very meaningful because you are automatically suspected of being willing to stretch the truth in any way necessary to get the money. Statements such as, “There is a lack of wellness services for corporations located in the Westport area of [city]...“ … will be seen as a likely exaggeration, obfuscation or outright lie unless you include expert perspective or better yet, feedback from prospective customers to validate your opinion. For example, 6 Our ability to shrink waiting times from two weeks to two hours is of significant interest to the twenty-five prospective customers shown in appendix A. Our analysis shows that in roughly 16% of their purchases fast turnaround is a critical need. Process v. Document – Bankers and investors are more interested that you’ve gone through the process of writing a business plan than in the document itself. The process of writing a good business plan requires contact with prospective customers, deep investigation of direct competitors, the development of a marketing plan and budget, the investigation of expenses, and so on. The plan also becomes a tool to see if co-founders can work together and whether they have a shared vision for product attributes and competitive advantages. Without a business plan outsiders will wonder how much homework has really been undertaken and how much the founders are the victim of wishful thinking. Too many business plans make it painfully obvious that the plan was written without the necessary homework being performed: Competitors are often easily dismissed as incompetent even though they have been around for thirty years, the new business assumes it can compete on price because of a competitor’s bloated overhead, even though the competitor in question may have its building paid for while your new business will have an $8,000 per month rent payment, the voice of the customer is missing in validating latent demand expenses are underestimated as if no conversations have occurred with landlords, utility companies, suppliers or insurance agents. Expectations – It is true that there are some entrepreneurs that can get funded from rough scribbling on the back of a napkin. Are you an experienced entrepreneur or is this your first time? Did you invent nuclear fusion or are you selling Tshirts on the beach? Experience, the compelling nature of your business, equity, collateral and the personality of your banker are going to affect the diligence and thoroughness expectations for your plan. Putting you best foot forward is always recommended. Keep in mind that a very good business plan can rarely salvage deals with characteristics that banks want to avoid, such as poor credit histories, or the lack of equity or collateral. However, a quality business plan will reduce the perceived risk of the business and as a result lower these hurdles, from perhaps a 40% equity requirement to a 25% equity requirement. Pro Forma Financials Pro Forma simply means projected. Financial projections are studied carefully for two key issues: how quickly is revenue expected to be created, and are expenses adequately accounted for. There are three key pieces to pro forma financials: One-time start-up costs. These typically include equipment, original inventor, fixtures, equipment, signage, startup legal and accounting expenses, original website design, deposits and so on. Operational expenses projected in a cash flow format on a monthly basis. It is typically that the one-time startup costs show up in operational expenses as a loan payment. Break-even analysis. Here, operational expenses are categorized as: Direct expenses – those expenses that are directly linked to sales, such as inventory replacement, commissions, the use of supplies such as glue for installation, and so on. Indirect or “overhead” expenses, such as management salaries, rent, insurance, advertising, etc. Financial projections are covered in more depth in a document titled Making Financial Projections & Calculating the Break-Even Point. 7 Mistakes to Avoid in Writing your Plan 1. Writing to Impress Rather than Inform: – Clearly there are advantages in making the reader conclude, upon reading the business plan, that you are talented and intelligent. However, using complicated language and jargon to try to make this point can create confusion and cause readers to lose patience. For example, consider what business this entrepreneur plans to go into: ABC, LLC is dedicated to developing cuttingedge software and online application for both public and private use. Leveraging existing Internet applications and technologies, ABC enhances the user experience by satisfying unfulfilled user needs in high-demand products and services. want to believe the market analysis has been performed objectively. Consider: “Owners often have great emotional attachment to their equine friends-something which is priceless.” The use of the world priceless is an obvious exaggeration which allows a reader to question the entrepreneur’s objectivity and credibility. Many business plans suffer Death by a Thousand Cuts, meaning that while there may be no egregious errors, the small losses of credibility add up in the mind of the reader to become a deal-killer. 4. Naïve Statements: In this particular circumstance the reader would be perhaps a little surprised to finally discover on page five of the plan, if they made it that far, that the business is primarily a web-site developer. 2. Confirming Unfamiliarity – Trying to sound impressive can easily backfire when the writing reveals the entrepreneur does not actually have the knowledge they are trying to portray. For example, an entrepreneur wrote: “The [startup’s] proprietary formulation was derived from ABC University’s research program. [Startup] has all patent rights to manufacture and market [the invention] across North America, in perpetuity. This section was fine right up to the words in perpetuity. These words were likely added to sound impressive, but they suggest that the reader may not really understand patents. That’s because in twenty years or less the patent rights will die so no rights can be granted or are needed into perpetuity. More importantly, however, is the omission of describing whether the license is exclusive or non-exclusive – a critical difference. A reader will assume that if the license is exclusive, it would have been mentioned, and if it wasn’t mentioned, the license is either not exclusive, or the entrepreneur is too inexperienced to recognize the value of the difference – both of which can be deal-killers. We have no competition First to market wins Our patent is bulletproof Our projections are conservative Economies of scale will lower our expenses and therefore no additional funding will be required to scale our business to $20 million in revenue. These kinds of statements expose an entrepreneur’s inexperience and create a loss of confidence in their experience and management capability. A business plan outline follows on the next page. This outline is only a suggestion. Determine what is compelling about your story. What is the likely reason your business will survive startup? Those are the items that need to stand out in your business plan. Focus on the critical risks, write a first draft, and get an experienced person to review it. There are at least two, resources that can help you: 1. SBDC – Small Business Development Centers. SBDCs operate nation-wide and provide workshops and one on one counseling. You can find the office nearest you by visiting www.asbdc-us.org/. 2. SCORE – The Service Corp of Retired Executives. SCORE is a program of the SBA which recruits retired business owners to provide mentoring to new business startups. Find the nearest office, or get online assistance, by visiting www.score.org. 3. Projecting Personal Values onto the Market: While readers want to see passion, they also 8 BUSINESS PLAN OUTLINE Executive Summary – The executive summary is the most important part of the plan and in many cases the only part that gets read in a linear fashion. Try to keep the executive summary to one page. Start with a one sentence description of the business. In one or two sentences describe the problem that some customers feel exists in the marketplace. In one or two sentences describe the solution. Make sure that the description of the solution makes clear, in concise terms, the magnitude of the competitive advantage, such as three times faster, or, saves or target customers forty minutes. Consider if you need to solve curiosity about how the competitive advantage is created in very brief terms. Showcase what’s compelling about your market validation. Maybe it’s your background, customer or expert feedback, or the fact that you just landed Microsoft as a customer. Management experience Present information, in brief, that shows that you understand your critical risks and why they shouldn’t be considered deal killers. Describe the market potential, key customer segments, and distribution methods Funds needed to launch the business and summary financial projections. Try to keep the executive summary to one page, and certainly no more than two. The Business Plan – use a page break and a new major heading to indicate that the body of the plan is now beginning. 1. Context – Sometimes it’s necessary to start with some background information to give a reader the appropriate context to appreciate the competitive advantage that the new business has created. Keep this kind of discussion to a half page or less. 2. Management Team — Describe the people involved. Show that they have the necessary expertise or experience to understand the business and its customers, or, if you don’t have those people on board yet, make an argument of when they should be and why they are critical at the current time. If using detailed biographies or resumes put them in an appendix. 3. Description of Business / Product Idea The Problem /Solution and Competitive Advantage Examples of describing a problem and solution follow Example 1- Anywhere, Iowa lacks a provider of laser-engraving services. Our business will be able to provide these services at rates that are comparable to traditional engraving services, but provide improved style, allow additional materials such as wood, glass and plastic to be easily engraved in an infinite variety of both text and graphics. Critical risk: is the market big enough. Example 2 - Over the past six months the backlog for interior painting has not been less than five weeks. This backlog, combined with Sunshine Painting’s ownership of high capacity spray equipment, will provide efficiency to give Sunshine significant price advantage. Critical risk: sustainability of competitive advantage. Example 3 – HPLC instruments require significant labor and have run times that average 1.75 hours per sample. Our [invention] simultaneously processes multiple samples reducing the average sample time to five minutes and eliminates handling of hazardous waste. Critical risks: market inertia, management and intellectual property. 4. Competition — Divide the market into direct and indirect competitors. Indirect competitors can usually be handled in aggregate while direct competitors must be analyzed individually. Explain tradeoffs from the customer perspective. Consider using a matrix (grid table with features that differentiate businesses across the top, such as hours of operation, location, equipment, delivery, expertise, etc., and competitors down the side). 5. What Segments (customer types) will be most attracted to the new choices —Segments can be defined demographically, such as: men, women, older, younger, teenagers, cars owners, horse owners, smokers, chronic pain suffers, household 9 incomes above $60,000, dog owners, exercise freaks, businesses with more than 25 employees, businesses that machine certain grades of steel or aluminum, that print a catalog, those with international customers, etc. Example #1 -- Sometimes segmenting seems difficult. For example, suppose you plan to open the only grocery store in town. It may seem like the entire town is your market. However, at the very least you can segment the market by those who work out of town and therefore are near your competitors on a daily basis. Example #2 -- Suppose your grocery will take orders via the internet and deliver the groceries. Three clear segments of customers who might value delivery services: elderly people who can’t make it to the store, dual income families who are willing and can afford to pay for the convenience, and affluent people who simply want and can afford the service. Census data can be used to determine how many people are in each group. Go to http://ia.profiles.iastate.edu/places/ Example #3 -- In some cases a specific circumstance can make a particular kind of business the logical choice, rather than where a customer typically purchases. For example, suppose your business is differentiated from competitors by printing technology that allows 4-hour turnaround, but costs 25% more. You might find statistics or do some surveying that shows that a fast turnaround is needed for 10% of print jobs, allowing you to credibly project a 10% market share. 6. Market Overview – Include information on: Market Size -- How many dollars are spent on your category annually? Calculate the per capita expenditure – e.g. $5.775 billion in industry wide sales divided by 300 million US residents = $19.25 per capita. 100,000 market population times $19.25 = $1,925,000 market capacity. Also provide information on trends. Market Share -- This is typically based on the strength of your competitive advantage and the size of key buyer segments. For example, statistics might show that for the kind of products you’ll sell that discounters like WalMart and Home Depot typically get 60% of sales, mail order gets 15%, and specialty stores get 25%. 25% of $1,925,000 = $481,250. Distribution Channels – for some the distribution strategy is obvious - direct sales to the consumer via a retail store. In other cases partners will be recruited, such as clothing stores or software implementers, to help sell the product. Other information relevant to your industry. Examples & Sources of market research include: associations for your industry, magazines that serve your market (ask for their media kit), franchisers (request a franchise kit), library databases (ABI Inform, Predicasts, Lexis Nexis, etc.), Internet sites (www.findarticles.com), similar businesses, and your efforts for pre-selling and surveying. Example #1 If your research shows that the average number of lanes of bowling in cities similar to the one in which you want to start a new bowling alley is 50 lanes per 50,000 people, and your city of 50,000 people only has 30 lanes of bowling, your market research suggests that a new alley of twenty lanes is feasible as long as you can show that your market participates in bowling at an average rate. Example #2 For new business that will sell to other businesses, pre-selling is a powerful form of market validation. For your foreign language translation business, you should get appointments to speak with ten or twenty businesses that need translation services. Those that express interest should be asked to sign letters of support. Example #3 If your new business will sell dog training services, simply placing an ad in the paper before you’ve formally formed the business, may be a great way for you to gauge demand. Example #4 Primary market research (surveys and focus groups) may be needed in some situations. Example #5 Articles in magazines, trade journals or general Internet searches can be useful. For example, you believe that your new day care will be successful because its competitive advantage of being located next door to a large employer. If you find an article that reports that the most successful strategy for new daycares to steal market share is by locating next to large employers, you’ve got some good evidence to validate the demand for your competitive advantage. However, it would still be a good idea to request that management let you do a survey of employees to determine their needs. 10 Example #6 Similar businesses in similar sized cities with similar competition can be great sources of information – e.g., “if it works there, why wouldn’t it work here”, as long as you don’t compete with them. Suppliers that will sell you your inventory or equipment can help you find and introduce you to businesses like yours. Example #8 Focus groups - get ten potential customers in a room, buy them lunch, and ask them what they think of your idea. 6. Marketing Plan — Your business needs to create a system that continually reminds customers that your business can solve their needs. What will make people walk in the front door (retail)? What will make the telephone ring (service)? How will leads be generated (industrial)? What allies will be involved? In general you need to help the reader understand how your business will communicate (newspaper, radio, direct mail, referral, distributors, etc.), what it will cost to do so, and what you anticipate the results will be. sales line. See the handout titled “Financial Projections and Break-Even Point Calculation” for more detail. Break-Even point Calculation — See above On the following pages you will find 1. 2. 3. A first draft of a business plan A review of that first draft A second draft of the business plan 7. Operations Plan — The content of this section will vary dramatically. In computer businesses, this section might be used to show what protocols will be used to providing information security. In some businesses it is necessary to provide detail on insurance because for example, in some situations coverage may not be available or is especially important (e.g., businesses involving kids, horses, weather, etc.) Detail in the section will vary depending on the complexity of operations 8. Financial Projections and Finance Plan — Schedule of Startup Costs — Provide a listing of the one-time startup costs, including equipment, inventory, improvements (paint, carpet), working capital, deposits, etc. Sources of Capital – Identify the source of the required capital which you calculated in the point above. How much with founders contribute, how much will be borrowed from the bank, etc. Revenue and Expense Projections — You need to provide revenue and expenses projections for 3 years on a monthly basis. If your business sells a number of different items, such as shipping services and mailbox rental, you should make projections for each 11 Digital Beans Sample Business Plan (this plan will be critiqued on the pages following it – don’t read this with the belief that it is a quality plan) Executive Summary - Digital Beans will be a café serving the traditional coffee and sophisticated coffee blends accompanied by an array of bakery items, ice cream delights and a small kitchen to serve snacks, cold items and perhaps pizza. Unlike a typical café, the major draw or attraction will be the availability of computers and the Internet. Digital Beans will be the answer to the coffee house for the young generation. Digital Beans will also provide a computer repair service as a commercial business. Digital Beans goal is to provide the community with a social atmosphere for communication and gaming. This business plan is prepared to obtain financing in the amount of $150,000. This financing is required to begin work on site preparation and modifications, equipment purchases, and to cover expenses. Mission: As the popularity of the Internet continues to grow at an exponential rate, easy and affordable access is quickly becoming a necessity of life. Digital Beans provides communities with the ability to access the Internet, enjoy a cup of coffee, and share Internet experiences in a comfortable environment. Digital Beans will provide computers for those who do not have one and will provide a wireless environment for those who seek to play games with other people. Digital beans will also generate exposure through its computer repair services – which will be drop off as well as in home services. The risks involved with starting Digital Beans are: -People may already have a computer and Internet service -Other coffee houses could easily duplicate this offering -Will the various groups of people who will frequent the Internet Café feel socially compatible. Marketing Marketing will be done in many ways. One of these will be in the form of a website which will have the basic details of where, who, why and how. There will also be advertisements in the local college paper, the ISU daily as well as the local town newspaper called the Ames Tribune. We will use radio to reach high schoolers and advertising in the Ames High School newspaper. Adults would be more difficult. You could also expect that other towns such as Huxley, Boone, Slater, Gilbert might also come to the Internet café for gaming nights. 12 Monthly Expenses Communications $10,000 (guess) Management Salary 25,000 Part timers 7.50 per hour 40,000 Computer Technician (PT) 17,000 Utilities 8,000 Insurance 700 Rent 1,500 Legal 500 In store Promotion 500 Advertising Total 5,000 108,200 Services Offered: Digital Beans will provide full access to email, WWW, FTP, Usenet and other Internet applications such as Telnet and Gopher. Printing, scanning, and introductory courses to the Internet will also be available to the customer. Various games such as Warcraft III: Frozen Throne, and WarCraft III: Reign Of Chaos, Digital Beans will also provide customers with a unique and innovative environment for enjoying great coffee, specialty beverages, and bakery items. Digital Beans will also provide its customers with access to introductory Internet and email classes. These classes will be held in the afternoon and late in the evening.. Digital Beans will obtain computer support and Internet access from ISU NET located in Ames. ISU NET will provide the Internet connections, network consulting, and the hardware required to run the Digital Beans. We are still investigating a supplier to provide Digital Beans with coffee equipment, bulk coffee, and paper supplies. Market Segmentation Number of People in Ames by age Under 5 years 4,136 5.2 5 to 9 years 4,089 5.1 10 to 14 years 4,302 5.4 15 to 19 years 9,090 11.4 20 to 24 years 16,288 20.4 25 to 34 years 10,739 13.4 35 to 44 years 9,623 12.0 45 to 54 years 8,743 10.9 55 to 59 years 2,795 3.5 60 to 64 years 2,306 2.9 65 to 74 years 3,766 4.7 13 75 to 84 years 2,845 3.6 85 years and over 1,259 1. Key customers are likely in the 15 to 44 age brackets. Market Trends Due to intense competition, cafe owners must look for ways to differentiate their place of business from others in order to achieve and maintain a competitive advantage. The founder of Digital Beans realizes the need for differentiation and strongly believes that combining a cafe with complete Internet service is the key to success. Competition: The dual product/service nature of Digital Bean's business faces competition on two levels – traditional coffee cafés and internet service providers. The number of online service providers around Ames is approximately eighteen and counting. These small, regional service providers use a number of different pricing strategies. Some charge a monthly fee, while others charge hourly and/or phone fees. Regardless of the pricing method used, obtaining Internet access through one of these firms can be expensive. Larger Internet servers such as America Online (AOL), Prodigy, and CompuServe, are also fighting for market share in this rapidly growing industry. These service providers are waging price wars and are becoming more accessible to the local consumer. It may be the speed for many consumers who do not wish to pay for DSL or a faster internet. Consumers who are not convinced they would frequently and consistently travel the Internet, will not be willing to pay these prices. Digital Beans does not currently face any direct competition from other cyber-cafes in the Ames market. Coffee Cafés o Robert Bros Cafe N Grand Mall, Ames, 50010 - (515) 232-8894 o Cafe Diem - - 323 Main Str, Ames, 50010 - (515) 956-3556 o Taraccino Coffee - - 539 Lincoln Way, Ames, 50010 - (515) 232-7606 o Gregory’s 421 S. Duff Avenue o Burgies – Duff and Airport Road o ISU Memorial Union – ISU Campus o Stomping Grounds - 303 Welch Ave - (515) 292-5258 o HyVee – Starbucks – two different locations. o Sante Fee Expresso – 116 Welch Avenue Product Differentiation Digital Beans will follow a differentiation strategy to achieve a competitive advantage in the cafe market. By providing Internet service along with hardware/software and other services, Digital Beans separates itself from 14 all other cafes in Ames. In addition, Digital Beans provides a comfortable environment with coffee and bakery items, distinguishing itself from other Internet providers in Ames. Promotion Digital Beans will implement a pull strategy in order to build consumer awareness and demand. Initially, Digital Beans has budgeted $5,000 for promotional efforts which will include advertising with coupons for a free hour of Internet time in local publications and in-house promotions such as offering customers free Internet time if they pay for an introduction to the Internet workshop taught by Digital Beans's computer technician. Sales First year sales are estimated at 30,000 per month, creating an annual profit of close to $200,000. 15 Business Plan Review Digital Beans Your business plan is off to a good start, but there are a number of issues that need to be addressed. The following points outline the main issues. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. From place to place the plan uses words like “perhaps”, “hope”, “likely”, “might” and so on. You should do the necessary homework to be able to change those statements to such phrases as, “based on our research”, “according to …”, “statistics show”, “based on [something] we believe [something else]”. These changes will give the plan the necessary tone of experience and expertise. At the end of the mission statement you mention in-home computer repair services. This is the only mention of this service in the plan. In-home repair creates many issues, such as automobiles and automobile insurance, bonding insurance, additional labor and so on. In addition, it takes the business away from its core expertise. I believe you should consider whether this in home repair is important to the business at its inception, or something that should be added at a later time. If your decision is to keep the service in play from the beginning, you will need to provide more details of the logistics (will you hire a second technician to cover the store), or sacrifice in-store customer repair service when the technician is out making a house call. The paragraph that outlines the risks of the business is, in my opinion, a very negative way of commenting on these issues. I believe you could instead deal with the issue more positively. For example, talk about the difficulties other coffee houses will have duplicating your services rather than mention the risk of them duplicating them. In effect you are talking about the same thing, but the positive way makes the point you want while still making the reader understand the risk. The marketing paragraph seems misplaced. I would suggest moving this section to after the services offered section so that the marketing information flows together. That will also give the reader the chance to read about what products and services need to be marketed, before they are reading about how marketing will occur. Website marketing is mentioned. The website can be a tool, but how will potential customers even know that the website exists. You need to provide more detail of how people will become aware. A budget also needs to be created. 6. The marketing budget mentions that “Adults would be more difficult [to market to]. The plan needs to show how these challenges will be overcome. 7. $700 for insurance expense seems low, especially if the in-home repair service is offered. $5,000 in advertising expense seems low. You’ll need to put together a budget that shows how advertising money will be spent. 8. The word “intense” in the Market Trends section seems to set the wrong mindset. I would instead focus on the issues that differentiate your business and shows that your business will be outside of the traditional competitive issues, regardless of whether they are intense or not. 9. The market segmentation section is the right idea but I think it needs some work. The idea of identifying key segments and the number of people in each is a good idea. But the plan doesn’t have the data to then show what percentage of each of those groups will likely become customers. As a result you can’t draw a straight line between the number of people in each segment and the likely hood that they will show up at the door. I think that a better argument to validate that latent demand should exists would be to look at other similar cities that can support a cyber café, and make the argument that if those similar cities (with similar people in each age category) can support a cyber café, then Ames should be able to as well. You might look at Manhattan KS, Corvallis Oregon, and so on. I believe that this issue - the lack of validation of demand - is the most important deficiency in the plan. 10. The competition section includes internet service providers. I don’t believe that these need to be considered as competitors. A matrix should be used to compare the coffee café competitors. 11. For the sales and expense section you need to provide logic for how the monthly sales projection was calculated. Also, in the first months sales will be lower and require extra working capital to cover expenses. You should prepare a 12-month cash flow projection that show how sales grow from month to month, and the related monthly expenses. 16 Digital Beans Internet Café Executive Summary The city of Ames lacks a coffee house or Café where patrons are provided internet access. These kinds of businesses are common at other University towns across the country, including such similar cities as Columbia Missouri, Manhattan Kansas, and Corvallis Oregon, many of which although larger in population, support more than one of these types of “cyber” establishments. Digital Beans will provide patrons a social gathering place where they can drink high quality coffee and other beverages, as well as order bakery and other higher quality snack and light lunch items, while at the same time have access to the internet using either their own wireless equipped computers or rent time on house machines. In addition, Digital Beans will provide computer maintenance and repair services, and sell a narrow range of computer accessories. Depending on the time of day, Digital Beans expects to draw patrons for work, social and entertainment purposes. Many students and younger professionals enjoy group and online “Gaming” and Digital Beans will market its evening culture to this group. This business plan requires $110,500 of financing, which will be used for equipment purchases and working capital. Owners’ investment of $37,500 is available and committed, and the founders are seeking bank financing of 86,450. 17 Business Plan Digital Beans Internet Café Management Team – Digital Beans will be founded by two individuals and operate as a Limited Liability Company. Founders’ resumes are attached in Appendix A. Jim Smith – Bachelors degree in Hotel and Restaurant Management, and four years of management experience with Applebee’s of Ames and Paul’s House of Steaks in Edina, MN. John Doe – Degree in MIS and minor in computer science. Three years of MIS related work experience with Principal Financial Group in Des Moines. Business Description Computers have become an integral part of business activities, and for the younger generation, they are an important component of social interaction. Digital beans will exist to provide a coffee house environment that provides internet access for business and personal use, as well as provide a computer centric environment for socialization. Products Digital Beans will provide full access to email, WWW, FTP, Usenet and other Internet applications such as Telnet and Gopher. Printing, scanning, and introductory courses to the Internet will also be available. Professional software titles such as Microsoft Word, PowerPoint, and Photoshop will be available to patrons at no charge. Various games will also be available that customers will want to play either simply for the experience, or to “test-drive” before they make their own purchase. The following list of items will produce revenue for the store. Percentage of sales and estimated gross margins are based on conversations with proprietors of other internet cafes or suppliers. Coffee – The Roasterie of Kansas City will provide high quality coffee beans for local grinding and retail bulk sale, as well as to make premium coffee drinks such lattes and cappuccinos. Coffee sales are expected to be 20% of overall sales and carry a COGS margin of 10% on served coffee and 40% on retail sales of whole bagged beans. Other Beverages –- Including non-alcoholic bottle fruit drinks such as Nantucket Nectars, soda, premium bottled beer and wine. These beverages are expected to provide 20% of total sales and average a COGS margin of 25%. Food – Snack and light lunch items will be sold in a prepackaged manner when available. Items will include desserts, fruit, salads, soups and bread items. Food sales are expected to account for 15% of total sales and average a COGS margin of 30%. Computer Rental The majority of customers are expected to bring their own wireless equipped computer laptop machines to the store. However, ten computers will be purchased for rental to patrons. Software will allow customers to log in with a credit card and automatically bill the customer for connect time when they log off. Computer rental is expected to account for 20% of total sales. Computer Printing, Accessory and Product Sales – Color laser printing, specialized “gadgets” and software will be offered to patrons. These sales are anticipated to provide 5% of total sales and average a COGS margin of 40%. Computer Maintenance & Repair – On site staff will be able to handle a wide range of computer repair and upgrades for such items as memory. Repair and maintenance is expected to contribute 20% of overall sales and have a 40% COGS margin. 18 Competitive Advantage Digital Beans will be the first internet café in Ames. Being first will allow the store to achieve visibility and loyalty. Although other coffee shops and cafes may offer internet access at some point in the future, Digital Beans will maintain competitive advantage through Location: Digital Beans will be locating on Main Street next door to Olde Main Brewing Company. This location will be convenient to professionals during the day, and also create a stream of traffic between the two businesses as Olde Main customers may desire web access. Management of Olde Main are interested in a discussion of opening up access between the two businesses which would allow a common music venue. Targeting of gaming community for evening entertainment Computer maintenance and repair service, which most cafés lack the expertise to provide. Competition There are several coffee houses in Ames. None provide internet access to patrons1. A summary of each competitor is provided in the table (right). Digital Beans will be the only internet coffee house/ café offering internet access and computer maintenance and repair. In addition, Digital Beans will have a valuable location alongside a popular restaurant that is targeted at the same demographic groups as Digital Beans. Market Analysis Name Robert Bros Café Diem Taraccino Gregory’s Burgies ISU Union Stomping Grounds HyVee StarBucks Sante Fee Digital Beans Location Mall Main 539 Lnclnwy 421 S. Duff S. Duff ISU Campus Campus town Internet No No No No No No No Repair No No No No No No No Food Desserts Lunch Desserts Desserts Soup&Sand Coffee Lunch East and West Lnclnwy Welch Main No No Coffee No Yes No Yes Lunch Light Lunch Digital Beans will target two distinct demographic groups, which will vary depending on the time of day. During business hours Digital Beans will appeal to professionals who need internet access for work or personal issues or, for casual business meetings where internet access is necessary. In the evenings and on weekends, Digital Beans will attract a more social group and be of special appeal to groups that want to partake in online or network gaming in a social environment. General Market Statistics 2 The coffee business has boomed in recent years, especially with regards to specialty coffees. According to a National Coffee Association Annual Drinking Trends Survey, specialty coffee consumption has risen from 9 percent in 2000 to 16 percent in 2004. While fast food chains are growing at a rate of 2 percent each year, coffee chains grow more than 10 percent annually. In addition, 66 percent of Americans buy their coffee outside of their homes. The Specialty Coffee Association of America reported at the end of 2003 that the total number of retail coffee shops in the country had reached 17,400 or 4% more than 2002, with annual sales reaching $ 6.12 billion or $21.10 per capita, giving Ames a market capacity of approximately $1,160,690. Demographics: Seventy-seven percent of U.S. adults drink coffee daily and gourmet coffee consumption has risen 1 www.netcafeguide.com states that there are no Internet Cafes in Ames. Following italicized text and statistics are from Coffee Shop, a research publication by SBDCNet in San Antonio, Texas. 2 19 in the past five years. According to Scarborough Research, a market research firm that studies media, lifestyle, and shopping patterns in the United States, in October 2004, 12 percent of adults have been to a coffee shop in the past month. Although popularity of coffee shops has recently spread across the nation, the West coast has the most coffee shop patrons. The ideal ratio of coffee shops to residents in a particular area is 1:10,000. Although Ames has a ratio with Digital Beans of 1:5,500, the Ames Des Moines Area has a high percentage of coffee drinkers as noted in the following ranking taken from a national survey shown at right. Client Profile: Coffee bar patrons are younger, more affluent, and educated and are 22 percent more likely to be aged 18-24. Coffee shop patrons are 28 percent more likely than the average American adult to be single and 70 percent more likely to have a post graduate degree. These demographic are well aligned with the Ames market. Wireless Technology: Coffee shops have become establishments where people are not only drinking coffee but also surfing the Internet, working from their laptops, or communicating with friends, family, and colleagues. Wireless technology is changing the way people live. Hotspots (Internet access areas that deploy wireless technology) can be found in airports, hotels, and coffee shops. Some offer free access while others require paid subscriptions. Offering free wireless Internet in coffee shops is a sure way to boost success. Break Even Point Calculation: One Time Equipment Purchases Espresso Machine $4,000 Bean Grinder 500 Computer Systems (10) 20,000 Games 500 Printers 500 Furniture & Equipment 11,500 Repair Equip & Software 1,500 Working Capital 55,000 Total $93,500 Direct Expenses Average COGS Supplies Repairs & Maintenance Miscellaneous Contribution Margin 19.5% 2.0% 1.0% 2.0% 75.5% Indirect Expenses - Annually Management Salary 35,000 Part timers (100 hrs/wk)40,000 Computer Technician 17,000 Employee Benefits 4,800 Payroll Taxes 9,200 Utilities 8,000 Insurance 4,500 Rent 18,000 Legal 500 Advertising 18,600 Accounting/Tax 1,200 Supplies 3,969 Repairs & Maintenance 1,985 Miscellaneous 3,969 Outside Services 1,800 Communications 18,000 Loan Payment 16,114 Total $194,114 Break-Even Point Calculation = 202,673 / .755 = $268,393 annually or $22,366 per month, or $745 per day. An average expenditure of $7.50 per person equates to daily patronage of 99 customers. Average patronage of the establishments interviewed in Columbia MO and Corvallis OR are estimated by those owners to be greater than 125 to 200 per day. 20 Similar Market Success The founders of digital beans interviewed cyber café owners in Manhattan Kansas, and Corvallis Oregon. These highly comparable communities to Ames, in both population and demographic makeup, both support two cyber cafés each and suggest significant latent demand in the Ames market. City Ames IA Corvallis OR Manhattan KS Columbia MO Population 53,000 50,100 44,700 88,500 Traditional Coffee 10 17 8 21 Ratio 1:5,300 1:2,950 1:5,588 1:4,200 Cyber Coffee 1 9 2 5 Ratio 1 : 53,000 1 : 5,566 1 : 22,350 1 : 7,700 Market Summary: We believe the similarity of Ames to other markets where internet cafés have been successful, Ames’s above average coffee consumption, the trends in coffee consumption, and Digital Beans unique market position will allow the business to achieve its breakeven point within a reasonable time frame. Marketing Digital Beans will utilize radio, Tribune and ISU Daily advertising, in additional to a “door hanger” campaign. These same strategies will likely be used in the longer term as well, but in a more moderate amount. Month 1 Month 2 Ongoing Radio 2,500 1,500 500 ISU Daily 800 400 150 Ames Tribune 2,800 2,000 800 Area Newspapers 400 100 100 Door Hanger 1,000 0 0 7,500 4,000 1,550 Operational Issues Digital Beans will obtain computer support and Internet access from ISU NET located in Ames. ISU NET will provide the Internet connections, network consulting, and hardware. ISU NET has estimated high speed Internet access costs to be from $15,000 to $20,000 annually. $30,000 has been used in the financial projections. Wireless networking vendors have been identified and equipment costs are included in the equipment purchases below. The business will open at 7 am and close at midnight during the week and stay open until 2 am on the weekends. Computer literacy is a requirement for Digital Beans employees. One-Time Startup Costs: Loan Payment: 21 3 Year Summary of Projected Cashflow and Income 22 Cash Flow Projection – Year 1 23 Cash Flow Projection – Year 2 24 SmartStart Follow-Up Questions for Building a Business Plan Answers to the questions below should be in business plan format, not question and answer format. See Business Plan Outline. 1. What is your new business’s break-even point? To calculate your break-even point you need to separate direct and indirect expenses. Direct expenses are those expenses that are caused by actually making a sale, and typically include: inventory, supplies, fuel, commissions, and credit card processing fees. Calculate these as a per unit cost, add them up, and subtract them from the price customers will pay. This is your per unit gross profit. Indirect expenses are those expenses that you will incur regardless of whether or not you make any sales. These typically include wages, rent, insurance, utilities, telephone, accounting, owner’s “salary”, etc. Calculate these costs on an annual basis. Dividing the total indirect expenses by the gross profit per unit will give you your break-even point in units. 2. How big is your market area? What is the population of the market area? Typically the geography of your market is thought of as a circle around your store, but this is not true in every case. There is an important tradeoff that normally exists. The more specialized your competitive advantage is, the more likely you can pull customers from farther away. However, even though your market area is bigger, because what you do is so specialized, you are likely dealing with smaller groups of customers who value your specialization. Once you have defined the geography of your market area, go to http://www.census.gov/prod/cen2010/briefs/c2010br-01.pdf for Midwest population information, or http://www.icip.iastate.edu/census/cities-2010 for Iowa specific information. Another source is http://www.icip.iastate.edu/about/recap. Example #1 Your barber shop may have some prized customers that drive 90 miles for a haircut, but the vast majority of customers will likely come from the 10 or 15 mile, or 10 or 15 block area surrounding your business. Rather than simply relying on your opinion abou t how big this area should be, call several barbers in other similar communities that you don’t compete with, or, perhaps the National Barber’s Association will have some research on the issue. Example #2 An analysis may show that your lawn mowing business should not travel more than 30 minutes to a customer’s site. Traveling any farther may increase travel costs too much, and decrease work time too much, to make the job profitable. 3. What problem are you trying to solve for the customer? What advantage(s) will your business offer to customers versus the choices they already have? How will their lives be improved because your business is available to them? Your focus should be on the benefit from the customers’ perspective. If customers can get the same or similar products from another business, how will they be better off buying from you? If customers can’t get the same or similar products or services from another business (even via a long drive or mail order), how will their lives be better if they buy your products or services? Example #1 Do customers currently have to drive to Des Moines or use mail order to get the products your new business will sell? If so, your new business is solving the problem of lack of convenience. Example #2 Will your new business provide a product that allows a house to be painted in 20% less time? If so, then your new business s olves the problem of inefficient painting methods. Example #3 Will your new business provide a new ice drink that they can’t get without driving for thirty minutes or three hours? If so, then your new business provides a unique way to cool off with a cold drink experience. Try to keep your answer to one or two sentences. Refer to this concept as Competitive Advantage. 25 4. What prices will your new business sell at compared to the competition? Competitive advantages are created by either offering your customers more features (longer hours, better quality, more convenience, specific brands, delivery, atmosphere, customer service, longer life, free advice, etc.), or a lower price. Both have impact on your break-even point. Offering more features, in almost every case, increases the cost of doing business. Example #1 Creating a competitive advantage of convenience by locating in the mall will increase the cost of doing business because of higher rent. Example #2 Creating a competitive advantage of customer service by hiring bright employees with great personalities will increase the cost of doing business because quality employees will be able to demand higher wages. In these situations the business must use one or more of the following strategies to make up for the higher costs: Plus Pricing Strategy If customers are getting more features, they might be willing to pay a higher price. Volume Strategy Price like the competition and plan that the attractiveness of the extra features will attract a large enough Eliminate Features Any Combination volume of customers to make up for the extra costs of providing those features. Competitors may provide features which you think customers don’t really value. Eliminating the cost of those unnecessary features may be enough to offset the costs created by adding your new features. For example, a daycare may add computers and make up for the extra lease payments on the computers by not having as high of ratio of care providers to students (lower wages). Parents who value their children being exposed to computers may choose the daycare even though the ratio isn’t as good. If the combination of features and price attracts enough revenue to exceed expenses, the business works. The challenge is to convince someone that the combination you plan will attract the revenue. When the competitive advantage is a lower price, the business must employ either a volume strategy, elimination of features strategy, or some combination of the two. 5. What evidence do you have that your new business’s Competitive Advantage is in demand by enough customers to make the business profitable? Market research is needed to show that there is sufficient demand for your new business’s competitive advantage. Example #1 If your research shows that the average number of lanes of bowling in cities similar to the one in which you want to start a new bowling alley is 50 lanes per 50,000 people, and your city of 50,000 people only has 30 lanes of bowling, your market research suggests that a new alley of twenty lanes is feasible. Example #2 If your market research shows that Americans spend $5.2 billion dollars each year on bird watching, then the average per capita expenditure is $19.25 per person per year ($5.2 billion / 270 million Americans). Therefore, in a market of 50,000 average people, we could expect sales of $962,500 (50,000 x $19.25). If your store breaks even at $175,000 in sales, then you’ll need a mark et share of 18% to break even. If according to market research, specialty bird watching stores get a 25% market share (evidence that some customers prefer to buy from specialty stores), the business looks feasible. Example #3 For new business that will sell to other businesses, pre-selling is a powerful form of market research. For your foreign language translation business, you should get appointments to speak with twenty or thirty businesses that need translation services. Those businesses that like your competitive advantages may be willing to sign a letter or interest or letter of intent that you can take to the bank to show market demand. Example #4 In some cases, pre-selling research can be used for the general public. If your new business will sell dog training services, simply placing an ad in the paper before you’ve formally formed the business, may be a great way for you to gauge demand, however, you should be careful not to make any promises that you can’t delivery on even if the business doesn’t get started in the man ner you would like (perhaps you start it part-time rather than full-time). Example #5 Primary market research might be needed in some situations. This may mean standing on a busy sidewalk and asking people to f ill out a survey. Be careful though. Asking people if they would like a Japanese restaurant in town will not provide as accurate of answers as listing fifteen different types of restaurants and asking them to pick the top three they think your town needs. Example #6 Articles in magazines, trade journals or general internet searches can be useful. For example, you believe that your new day care will be successful because its competitive advantage of being located next door to a large employer. If you find an article that reports that the most successful strategy for new daycares in stealing market share is by locating next to large employers, you’ve got some good evidence to support the demand for your competitive advantage. However, it would still be a good idea to request that management let you do a survey of employees to determine their needs, and execute the survey via the company’s employee mail system or by stuffing surveys under windshield wipers. Example #7 Similar businesses that don’t compete in your area can be great sources of information. Suppliers that will sell you you r inventory and/or supplies can be useful in helping you identify other businesses like yours in similar cities. You can learn a tremend ous amount about what you are facing by speaking with them. At first, focus on convincing them that you are from a goo d distance away and will not be a competitor. Ask if you can visit them. They will not likely share sales information with you, but you might ask them, “if I’m locating in a town of 12,000 people, with a major highway and one other competitor, is $120,000 in first years sales a reasonable projection?” Phrasing your question in this manner allows them to provide feedback without giving away details about their stores. Other information such as promotions that work well, inventory to stock, and other sales and management information is useful. Great sources of market research include: associations for your industry, magazines that serve your market (ask for 26 6. their media kit), franchisers (request a franchise kit), Internet (www.findarticles.com, etc), library databases (ABI Inform, Predicasts, Lexis Nexis, etc.), similar businesses, and your efforts for pre-selling and surveying. Will any groups be especially attracted to buy from your new business? Businesses often try to be all things to all customers, but no matter how well your new business is run, some of your potential customers will still prefer to buy from competitors or mail order products (convenience or can’t get out to the store). Or they simply don’t need what you’re selling (they can get along without the riding lawn mower or the homemade chocolates). What type of people (or what type of businesses) will be your core customers? Who wants your new business to exist the most? Describe them demographically, such as: men, women, older, younger, teenagers, people with cars, people who ride horses, people who smoke, people with chronic pain, people with household incomes greater than $60,000, people with household incomes less than $20,000, people with dogs, people who like to exercise, people who own trucks, businesses with more than 25 employees, businesses with less than 10 employees, businesses that machine steel or aluminum, businesses that print a catalog, businesse s with international customers. Example #1 Sometimes segmenting a market is difficult to do. For example suppose that you want to open what will be the only auto repair shop in town. Some people will still prefer to drive 25 miles to the dealership. And since you can’t find any demographic that will consistently separate those who want the convenience of shopping with you, trying to segment the market may not have much benefit. Example #2 Suppose that you want to open a grocery business that takes orders via the internet or telephone and delivers the bagged up groceries to peoples houses at whatever time of day they request. Three clear segments of customers exist. Identifying them will help you gauge demand and devise market strategies. The segments are: Elderly people who can’t make it to the store, Dual income families who are willing and can afford to pay for the convenience, Affluent people who simply want and can afford the service. Example #3 Suppose that your new business will paint parking lots for businesses. Your analysis may determine that a business needs to have 25 employees in order for it to be worth your time to take your equipment to their location. Likewise, you may find that businesses with less than 25 employees are the best candidates for your new bookkeeping service because once they grow beyond 25 employees they tend to hire a full time bookkeeper. Information from the local chamber of commerce or yellow pages may be useful for identifying businesses. Refer to this concept as Market Segmentation. 7. How will potential customers come to understand the advantages that your new business offers? How will the marketing and sales process function? Your business needs to create a system that continually reminds customers that that your new business can solve their needs. In many cases it’s helpful to think of the communication and sales process as three steps: lead generation, lead nurturing and harvesting (closing the sale). Example #1 For some businesses, this may be as simple as placing newspaper ads and greeting people as they walk in the door. However, there usually are ways to improve they’re approach. Example #2 Suppose your business will sell payroll services. The marketing strategy may consist of the following: Lead generation: Customer sees an ad in the newspaper or (gets direct mail ad) and responds by calling or visiting the store. A sales rep on average spends thirty minutes with the customer on the phone or in person and gives or sends them a brochure, an d enters the contact into the sales software program. Nurturing: 75% advance to this stage as experience shows that 25% won’t provide personal contact information in the lead stage. A week after initial contact, the sales software program reminds the salesperson to call the lead to answer any questions and try to set an appointment (to close the sale, or get them in the store to further nurture the sale). Process takes approximately thirty minutes to complete including phone tag time. Closing: Experience shows that 20% will reach this stage. Salesperson visits client or calls them again to determine interest. Depending on interest, the salesperson determines whether any follow up is needed. Two hours per lead is budgeted at this stage. From experience and based on the competitive advantage of the new business, it is estimated that the new business will be able to close 10% of all leads. On average it is estimated that each lead will consume roughly two hours of sales person time, resulting in an average sale o f $2,000 per year. Regardless of outcome, lead remains in database to receive future direct mailings. Example #3 In addition to the situation above, suppose that an additional lead generation method is added via a partnership with three l ocal accounting firms, and two local legal firms. These firms are provided with discounted payroll services for their employees, in exchange for providing referrals to the new business when clients inquire payroll issues. An estimation of the time involved and the cost should be included so as to determine the necessary budget and capacity. The answers to the questions above should be put into business plan format. An outline is provided on page 4. 27 You may need to add some sections, or rearrange sections in order to tell your “story.” Keep in mind that in general you want the reader to reach the following conclusions as they read through your plan: That you understand how the industry works and customer motivations (typically proven in your overview). That there are some customers unsatisfied with their current choices in the market place. That the competitive advantages of your business are in demand (identify segments of greatest demand when possible). That the expense of delivering your product or service creates a reasonable break-even point (break-evens at a reasonable market share). That you have a marketing / sales plan that will create adequate customer interest and sales. That you and/or your management team have the skills to pull this thing off. That the financial projections make sense – not too aggressive of sales projection and enough production and sales capacity to meet projections. 8. Sales Projection – Logical projection of sales growth on a month-by-month basis based on market research. How will the marketing and sales process function? Example #1 Sales growth based on the direct sales effort. For example, from experience gained from speaking with other similar business , or from personal experience, you’ve learned that one salesperson can call on 10 customers a day, on average 3 will decided to purchase, resulting in an average sale of $200 each. In month 4 a second sales person will be added. Example #2 Ads placed in the local newspaper will reach 50,000 potential customers. In the first month we expect a response rate of .5% per week resulting in 250 inquiries. Of those inquiries, 10% (25) will buy with sales of $40 on average, or 1,000 per week, $4,0 00 for the first month. Response will grow by .005% per month thereafter, etc. Example #3 Based on the initial year’s sales of ABC, Inc., a similar business is a similar geographic and demographic market, we anticipate the following monthly sales…. SBDCs are a program supported by the U.S. Small Business Administration and extended to the public on a non-discriminatory basis. SBA cannot endorse any products, opinions or services of any external parties or activities. Any opinions, findings, conclusions or recommendations expressed are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the SBA. Iowa State University does not discriminate on the basis of race, color, age, religion, national origin, sexual orientation, gender identity, sex, marital status, disability, or status as a U.S. veteran. Inquiries can be directed to the Director of Equal Opportunity and Diversity, 3680 Beardshear Hall, ( 515) 294-7612. 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