Daily Market Report
Transcription
Daily Market Report
Daily Market Report Saudi Arabia Stock Exchange November 3 2014 ` TASI Index Turnover (SAR mn) 10,099.3 5,789.8 Global commentary TASI Intra Day Movement 15:30 15:15 15:00 14:45 14:30 14:15 14:00 13:45 13:30 13:15 Previous Close 13:00 12:45 12:15 12:00 11:45 11:30 11:15 11:00 12:30 Intraday 10,180 10,160 10,140 10,120 10,100 10,080 10,060 10,040 10,020 10,000 9,980 9,960 Research Department [email protected] Tel:+966 11 211 9332/Fax: +966 11 2119422 0.64% -10% Earnings results of US media and consumer companies are likely to impact the market direction this week. On the economic front, manufacturing PMI index will be released on Monday followed by non-manufacturing PMI index on Wednesday. Data on jobless claims will be released on Thursday. Data pertaining to unemployment rate and nonfarm payrolls will be released on Friday. In Europe, the week will start with the PMI index of the Euro zone by the Markit Economics on Monday. The retail sales data of Euro zone will be released on Wednesday. On Thursday, European Central Bank (ECB) and The Bank of England (BOE) will be announcing their decisions on interest rates. ECB will also release its monetary policy statement the same day. Economic growth forecasts by the European Commission will also be released on Thursday. GCC markets advanced on Sunday on strong global markets. Dubai rose 1.6% led by Real Estate stocks, Emaar Properties and Arabtec which gained 4% and 1% respectively. Abu Dhabi gained 1.4% pulled up by First Gulf Bank which added 3.6%. Qatar added 0.9% led by Barwa Real Estate that surged 3.4%. The indices of Oman and Bahrain added 0.8% and 0.2% respectively while Kuwait was flat. Asian markets are trading mixed this morning as investors focussed on earnings and private manufacturing gauges for China and India. The Nikkei and the Shanghai Composite indices are trading up 4.8% and 0.6% respectively. On the other hand, the KOSPI and Hang Seng indices are trading down 0.7% and 0.1% respectively. TASI – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Thousands Turnover (LHS, SAR bn) TASI Index (RHS) 10 10,400 8 10,200 6 10,000 4 9,800 2 2-Nov 30-Oct 29-Oct 28-Oct 27-Oct 26-Oct 23-Oct 22-Oct 21-Oct 9,600 20-Oct - Regional Indices WTD% 0.6 0.9 0.0 1.4 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.7 YTD% 18.3 31.3 -2.5 14.9 37.0 2.8 15.8 16.9 Major Com m odities / Currencies Close 1D % WTD % Gold Spot $/Oz 1,169 -0.4 -0.4 Silver Spot $/Oz 15.94 -1.4 -1.4 Crude Oil (Brent) 85.64 -0.3 -0.3 OPEC Basket 82.79 -0.5 0.4 Euro 1.25 -0.3 -0.3 USD Index 87.16 0.3 0.3 JPY 112.740 -0.4 -0.4 YTD % -3.1 -18.1 -19.5 -23.3 -9.5 8.9 -6.6 Major Global Indices Close DJ Industrial 17,391 S&P 500 2,018 Nikkei 225 16,414 Hang seng 23,942 FTSE 100 6,546 CAC 40 4,233 MSCI World 1,708 MSCI EM 1,016 YTD % 4.9 9.2 0.8 2.7 -3.0 -1.5 2.8 1.3 KSA (TASI) Qatar (DSM) Kuw ait (KSE) Abu Dhabi (ADSM) Dubai (DFM) Oman (MSM30) Bahrain (BSE) MSCI GCC Close 10,099 13,623 7,360 4,927 4,616 7,028 1,446 651 1D% 0.6 0.9 0.0 1.4 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.7 TASI bounced back TASI gained 0.6% in Sunday, recovering part of last week’s losses, to close at 10,099. 13 out of 15 sectors gained led by large and medium sized sectors. Advance to decline ratio was 125/26, while trading turnover was low at SAR5.7bn. Insurance and Media gained the most on Sunday’s trade with Insurance up 1.7% and Media up 1.9%. The other major sectors, Banking and Petrochemicals also gained 0.8%, each. Among other sectors, Retail was up 1.1%, while Real Estate and Building gained marginally. Major News 1D % WTD % 1.1 0.0 1.2 0.0 4.8 0.0 -0.2 -0.2 1.3 0.0 2.2 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.8 0.0 Sipchem announced Methanol maintenance shutdown: Sipchem said that it will stop the IMC plant to carry out periodic maintenance and some reforms in line with the standards required for preventive maintenance and raise the level of reliability. It is expected that the stop lasts about three weeks, starting from 05/11/2014, which will increase the efficiency and quantity of production. (Tadawul) Taiba Holding distributes SAR0.3 per share to shareholders: Board of Directors of Taiba Holding Co. decided in their meeting held on 02/11/2014 to distribute dividends for 2014 with total amount of SAR45mn, SAR0.30 per share. (Tadawul) Interest Rates 1M 3M 12M 3M Chg 1Y LIBOR (USD) 0.16 0.23 0.55 -0.01 SAIBOR 0.63 0.91 1.08 -0.05 EIBOR 0.39 0.69 1.02 -0.13 Source: Bloomberg Updated as of 03/Nov/2014 8:23 AM Disclosures: Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 1 Daily Market Report Saudi Arabia Stock Exchange TASI – Large Cap (>10% Index weight) Sectors’ Performance TASI – Top Gainers / Losers 1D % (LHS) 1.0 MTD % (LHS) YTD % (RHS) 0.8 25.0 20.0 0.6 0.4 15.0 0.2 10.0 0.0 5.0 -0.2 -0.4 0.0 TASI Petrochem Banks Telecom TASI – Mid Cap (5 -10% index weight) Sectors’ Performance 1D % (LHS) 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 -0.2 MTD % (LHS) 42.0 41.0 40.0 39.0 38.0 37.0 Real Estate Agri 36.0 TASI – Small Cap (<5% index weight) Sectors’ Performance 1D % (LHS) 2 MTD % (LHS) YTD % (RHS) 50.0 40.0 2 30.0 1 20.0 1 10.0 Media Hotels Multi invt Transport Energy Retail Building Industries Cement 0 -1 0.0 -10.0 Vol (mn) Value Trd (SAR mn) 4.152 178.09 0.673 17.29 1.176 64.04 0.265 31.57 0.943 35.09 Company Arabia Insurance ME Spec Cables Saudi Fisheries Kingdom Hold Al Babtain Pow er Chg % -7.0 -5.8 -4.5 -2.3 -2.1 Vol (mn) Value Trd (SAR mn) 1.442 32.44 2.430 44.48 2.788 88.96 0.895 19.63 0.873 37.06 Last Price 21.3 17.7 32.0 21.9 42.3 TASI – Top Index Movers / Losers (Heavy weight stocks) % Diff 3.1% 3.4% 3.9% 4.6% 4.8% Company Samba Sabb Takaful Sabic Al Rajhi Bk Jarir Mktg Last Price 46.74 59.02 111.52 65.72 192.10 Chg % 2.1 2.2 0.6 0.5 1.6 Index Imp Value Trd (SAR mn) 6.3 1.21 4.6 0.13 4.4 2.94 4.0 8.56 2.9 0.05 Company STC Kingdom Hold ME Spec Cables Co For Coop Ins Al Babtain Pow er Last Price 74.02 21.87 17.68 74.36 42.25 Chg % -0.4 -2.3 -5.8 -1.2 -2.1 Index Imp Value Trd (SAR mn) -1.2 135.56 -1.0 19.63 -0.7 44.48 -0.5 43.39 -0.4 37.06 Chg % 0.6 -0.1 0.7 0.5 1.1 7.2 0.5 -0.2 0.3 0.7 Vol (mn) Value Trd (SAR mn) 20.548 494.20 17.079 221.68 10.389 103.43 8.555 563.02 5.039 74.11 4.152 178.09 3.439 58.67 3.201 77.79 3.017 226.11 2.940 114.35 TASI – Volume Leaders Company Last Price Alinma Bk 24.00 Dar Al Arkan 12.89 Zain Saudi 9.89 Al Rajhi Bk 65.72 Saudi Kayan 14.65 Basic Chemical Ind 43.61 Saudi Elec 17.04 Solidarity Saudi 23.91 Abd A.M. Al Khodari 73.28 Maaden 38.69 TASI - Stocks Closer to 52 Week Low TASI – Stocks Closer to 52 Week High Company Last Price 52Wk High Al Mouw asat 133.41 137.50 STC 74.02 76.50 United Co-Operat 31.47 32.70 Saudi Arab Coop Ins 55.47 58.00 Almarai 79.92 83.75 Chg % 7.2 6.7 6.5 5.0 4.8 YTD % (RHS) 43.0 Insurance Company Last Price Basic Chemical Ind 43.61 Saudi Printing & Pkg 26.19 Saudi Arab Coop Ins 55.47 Al Alamiya Coope 119.72 Tabuk Agriculture 37.91 Value Trd (SAR mn) 9.182 135.563 80.091 64.039 56.235 Company Mobily Weqaya For Takaf Astra Industrial Gp Tabuk Cement Tihama Last Price 52Wk Low 79.95 79.00 19.39 19.15 44.12 43.00 28.32 27.50 95.56 92.50 % Diff 1.2% 1.3% 2.6% 3.0% 3.3% Value Trd (SAR mn) 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 18.394 Source: Al Rajhi Capital, Bloomberg Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 2 Daily Market Report Saudi Arabia Stock Exchange Performance of Regional markets Country Saudi Arabia Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Kuw ait Oman Bahrain Last Close 10,099 13,623 4,616 4,927 7,360 7,028 1,446 Index Change (%) 1D 1M YTD 0.6 0.6 18.3 0.9 0.9 31.3 1.6 1.6 37.0 1.4 1.4 14.9 0.0 0.0 -2.5 0.8 0.8 2.8 0.1 0.1 15.8 MCap US$ bn 547 169 85 122 111 20 22 Volume mn shr 157 10.0 170 60 124 32 0.6 Turnover US$ mn 1,543 118 150 53 52 24 0.3 P/E (x) 2013 16.3 15.7 16.6 13.1 NA 11.5 NA P/E (x) Current 19.1 17.5 17.9 13.6 19.1 9.9 11.1 P/E (x) 2014E 14.3 13.8 13.9 12.2 NA 10.5 NA P/B (x) Current 2.4 2.2 1.7 1.7 1.2 1.6 1.0 Div Yld 12M (%) 2.9 3.4 2.1 3.4 3.7 3.9 4.7 Source: Al Rajhi Capital, Bloomberg 2-Nov Company Mashreq Bk Gulf General Inv ENBD Takaful Emarat Ins Shuaa Capital Last Price Change % 126.05 -3.1 0.93 -1.5 9.60 -1.0 0.78 -1.0 0.98 -0.4 Vol (mn) 0.00 0.15 0.71 0.20 0.42 Company Abu Dhabi Ship RAK Cement Finance House FGB Aldar Prop Last Price Change % 2.44 5.2 1.07 4.9 4.20 3.7 18.75 3.3 3.29 2.8 Vol (mn) 0.037 0.020 0.001 3.089 9.637 Services Transport Investment Insurance Reality Bank Telcom Consumer Insurance -20.0 Company Green Crescent Ins Sharjah Insur Co Natl Corp Tou Ho Arkan Building Mat Rak Properties Last Price Change % 0.87 -9.4 3.90 -9.3 6.50 -7.0 1.47 -3.3 0.82 -1.2 Vol (mn) 0.000 0.003 0.050 0.406 4.046 -30.0 1D % (LHS) MTD % (LHS) Qatar – Top Gainers / Losers YTD % (RHS) 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 80.0 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. Insurance 2-Nov 30-Oct 12,400 29-Oct 12,800 0.0 28-Oct 0.3 27-Oct 13,200 26-Oct 13,600 0.6 23-Oct 0.9 22-Oct 14,000 21-Oct -10.0 -40.0 Real Estate DSM Index (RHS) Vol (mn) 1.47 22.78 14.79 4.17 0.38 0.0 Qatar – Sector Performances 1.2 20-Oct 10.0 Transport Turnover (LHS, QAR bn) 20.0 Consumer Qatar – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) 30.0 Telecom 30-Oct 29-Oct 28-Oct 27-Oct 26-Oct 23-Oct 22-Oct 21-Oct 4,500 20-Oct 0.0 40.0 Services 4,650 Last Price Change % 2.54 10.9 0.53 9.0 10.40 4.0 1.35 2.3 5.50 2.2 Abu Dhabi – Top Gainers / Losers YTD % (RHS) Industrial 4,800 MTD % (LHS) Fin.Services 4,950 1D % (LHS) 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -1.0 -1.5 -2.0 -2.5 Banks 5,100 Abu Dhabi – Sector Performances Telecome ADSMI Index (RHS) -60.0 Energy Turnover (LHS, AED bn) 0.5 Company Ajman Bank Gulf Navigation Emaar Prop Air Arabia Du -30.0 0.0 Real Estate Abu Dhabi – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) 90.0 0.0 Bank 27-Oct 26-Oct 23-Oct 22-Oct 21-Oct 20-Oct 0.0 YTD % (RHS) 30.0 DFM 0.4 MTD % (LHS) Dubai – Top Gainers / Losers 60.0 DSM 0.8 1D % (LHS) 5.0 2-Nov 1.2 30-Oct 1.6 29-Oct DFMGI Index (RHS) 4,800 4,700 4,600 4,500 4,400 4,300 4,200 28-Oct Turnover (LHS, AED bn) Dubai – Sector Performances ADSM Dubai – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Company Barw a Real Est Vodafone Qatar Doha Bank Qatar Electric QNB Last Price Change % 44.40 3.4 21.20 2.4 58.90 1.6 185.00 1.5 217.50 1.5 Vol (mn) 2.229 1.995 0.227 0.101 0.101 Company Ooredoo CBQ United Devt Co NA NA Last Price Change % 123.00 -0.4 73.70 -0.3 26.60 -0.2 NA NA NA NA Vol (mn) 0.075 0.413 0.472 NA NA 3 Daily Market Report Saudi Arabia Stock Exchange 1D % (LHS) Oman – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Turnover (LHS, OMR mn) MSM30 Index (RHS) 7,050 12 7,000 1D % (LHS) MTD % (LHS) Oil&Gas YTD % (RHS) 2-Nov -8.0 -10.0 1D % (LHS) MTD % (LHS) Services Company Last Price Change % Union Real Estate 150 -6.3 Kuw ait Utd Poultry 180 -5.3 Human Soft 385 -4.9 Taiba Kuw aiti Holdg 80 -4.8 Mena Real Estate 42 -4.6 Vol (mn) 0.029 0.010 0.006 0.004 0.517 Company Last Price Change % Oman & Emir (O) 50 0.186 6.3 Gulf Invest Svcs 0.208 6.1 Natl Alum Prod 0.290 4.7 Al Sharqiya Inv 0.191 4.4 Al Anw ar Holding 0.316 4.0 Vol (mn) 6.174 3.066 1.412 1.410 9.850 Company Bank Nizw a Al Maha Petroleum NA NA NA Vol (mn) 0.419 0.075 NA NA NA YTD % (RHS) 20.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 Company NBB Seef Properties BBK NA NA Last Price Change % 0.860 1.2 0.212 1.0 0.462 0.4 NA NA NA NA Vol (mn) 0.002 0.175 0.005 NA NA Company Last Price Change % NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA Vol (mn) NA NA NA NA NA Services -5.0 Industries Last Price Change % 0.088 -1.1 2.445 -0.2 NA NA NA NA NA NA Bahrain – Top Gainers / Losers 15.0 Insurance 1,425 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 Hotel & Tourism - Industry Bahrain – Sector Performances Banks 1,430 Bank 2-Nov 5.0 30-Oct 1,435 29-Oct 10.0 28-Oct 1,440 27-Oct 15.0 23-Oct 1,445 22-Oct 20.0 21-Oct -6.0 MSM 30 BHSEASI Index (RHS) Vol (mn) 0.301 0.053 0.211 0.018 0.021 -4.0 0.4 0.0 1,450 20-Oct -2.0 0.6 0.2 25.0 19-Oct 0.0 0.8 BSE 30-Oct 29-Oct 28-Oct 27-Oct 23-Oct 22-Oct 6,800 21-Oct 0 20-Oct 6,850 19-Oct 4 6.0 2.0 6,950 Bahrain – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) Thousands -15.0 4.0 1.0 6,900 Last Price Change % 116 9.4 97 5.4 425 4.9 97 4.3 49.5 4.2 Oman – Top Gainers / Losers 1.2 Turnover (LHS, BHD mn) -10.0 -20.0 1.4 Company Securities Group Energy House Hol Tamdeen Real Est First Dubai Real Est Real Estate Trad -5.0 Oman – Sector Performances 16 8 Healthcare Insurance Basic material Telecom Parallel Services 0.0 Consumer 2-Nov 30-Oct 29-Oct 28-Oct 27-Oct 26-Oct 23-Oct 22-Oct 21-Oct 20-Oct 0 5.0 Bank 5 0.4 0.2 0.0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 -1.0 -1.2 Industrial 10 0.6 Real estate 15 YTD % (RHS) 10.0 Investment 20 MTD % (LHS) Kuwait – Top Gainers / Losers 0.8 KSE 7,440 7,420 7,400 7,380 7,360 7,340 7,320 7,300 7,280 7,260 Fin. Services Turnover (LHS, KWD mn) KWSEIDX Index (RHS) 25 Kuwait – Sector Performances Technology Thousands Kuwait – Activity Trend (Last 10 Days) NA NA NA NA NA Source: Bloomberg, Al Rajhi Capital Disclosures Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this report. 4 Daily Market Report Saudi Arabia Stock Exchange Disclaimer This research document has been prepared by Al Rajhi Capital Company (“Al Rajhi Capital”) of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. It has been prepared for the general use of Al Rajhi Capital’s clients and may not be redistributed, retransmitted or disclosed, in whole or in part, or in any form or manner, without the express written consent of Al Rajhi Capital. Receipt and review of this research document constitute your agreement not to redistribute, retransmit, or disclose to others the contents, opinions, conclusion, or information contained in this document prior to public disclosure of such information by Al Rajhi Capital. 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