p22_Layout 1 - Kuwait Times
Transcription
p22_Layout 1 - Kuwait Times
MONDAY, FEBRUARY 16, 2015 BUSINESS News Dimah report i n b r i e f US dollar needs to be revalued Dubai’s NPS signs $200m financing By Hayder Tawfik DUBAI: Dubai-based oilfield services firm National Petroleum Services (NPS) has secured a $200 million refinancing deal from a group of banks and financial institutions, Arab Petroleum Investments Corp (APICORP), one of the participants, said yesterday. APICORP said in a statement that HSBC, Emirates NBD and Abu Dhabi’s Al Hilal Bank were also participating in the deal which includes a $150 million fixed rate Islamic facility and $50 million to be used by the company for working capital. The interest rate and lifespan of the facilities were not disclosed in the statement, although NPS CEO Adnan Ghabris was quoted as saying in the statement that the cash would help fuel NPS’ growth over the next five years. The statement added the refinancing “offers the company better terms and will positively impact the company’s bottom line”. APICORP was part of a consortium of Gulf-based investors that also included Fajr Capital which last year agreed to acquire NPS in a deal valued “in excess of $500 million”. T Dollar stable against Kuwaiti dinar at 0.295 KUWAIT: The exchange rate of the US dollar against the Kuwaiti dinar was stable yesterday exchanging at KD 0.295, while the euro went up to reach KD 0.336 compared to Thursday’s exchange rates, said the daily bulletin of the Central Bank of Kuwait (CBK). The sterling pound exchange stabilized at KD 0.450, as well as the Swiss franc at KD 0.318 and the Japanese Yen remained unchanged at KD 0.002. The dollar was affected by the major currencies following the drop in consumers trust in the United states, being the greatest drop since the 11 years. UAE’s CBI names Robinson as CEO DUBAI: Commercial Bank International (CBI), the Abu Dhabi-listed lender, has appointed Mark Robinson as its new chief executive, it said yesterday. Robinson joins from ANZ Banking Group, where he was chief executive for Europe, Middle East and America, CBI said in a statement. He replaces Kris Babicci, who stepped down from the post in October. Qatar National Bank, the largest bank in the Gulf, owns a 40 percent stake in CBI. United Finance agrees to Bank Nizwa merger DUBAI: Oman’s United Finance Co has agreed in principle to merge with Islamic lender Bank Nizwa , the financial firm said yesterday. On Wednesday, United Finance said it would consider Bank Nizwa’s merger proposal when its board next met, which was the following day, according to a statement to Muscat’s bourse. Bank Nizwa, which started operations in 2013 as one of Oman’s two full-fledged Islamic banks, has a market capitalization of about $339 million, according to Thomson Reuters data. United Finance describes itself as Oman’s largest non-bank financial institution, and offers loans and leasing services as well as corporate deposits. Its market capitalization is about $106 million. Emaar Properties lifts quarterly profit by 14$ DUBAI: Dubai’s Emaar Properties , builder of the world’s tallest tower, reported a 14 percent rise in fourth-quarter net profit yesterday. The developer, in which Dubai’s government owns a minority stake, made a net profit of 861 million dirhams ($235 million) in the three months to Dec. 31, it said in a statement. That compares with a profit of 756 million dirhams in the same period a year earlier. Quarterly revenue was 2.85 billion dirhams, up 3 percent year on year, although costs rose 6 percent to 1.32 billion dirhams. The company’s annual profit last year was 3.29 billion dirhams, up from 2.57 billion dirhams in 2013. Full-year revenue was 9.89 billion dirhams. Of this, its shopping malls, retail and hospitality businesses accounted for a little more than half, rising 12 percent year on year. Emaar’s share price jumped 4.6 percent yesterday, outperforming the wider market’s 1.5 percent gain. The results were released after the stock market close. — Reuters Many people in Turkey-which has one of the lowest private savings rates among major economies-keep gold as security for a “rainy day” rather than products offered by banks. Gold’s luster lures Turkish savers CB allows businesses to hold gold reserves ISTANBUL: From the outside, it looks like any other automatic bank machine on the streets of Istanbul. But rather than notes, this one distributes small pieces of gold. Gold is hugely prized in Turkey not just for ornamentation or investment by banks but as a secure way for private individuals to hold their savings. Many people in Turkey-which has one of the lowest private savings rates among major economies-keep gold as security for a “rainy day” rather than products offered by banks. According to estimates, Turks hold some 3,500 tons of gold. Banks have sought to capitalize on the tradition by offering accounts denominated in gold. “We were thinking about putting all that gold back into the financial system somehow, so we decided to create gold accounts for our clients,” said Seda Yilmaz, marketing manager of the Kuveyt Turk Bank, the first to do so, in 2007. “So we bought one kilo of gold, and the demand on the first day was three kilos. It was a very good decision, so we decided to move ahead.” Eight years on, Kuveyt Turk manages 200,000 gold accounts with different products allowing sales by cheque, bank transfer or mobile phone. Now with the introduction of the first ATMs that issue gold as well as the usual banknotes, consumers can withdraw pieces of gold weighing 1.0 or 1.5 grams. The success of the ATMs started a trend, with many other Turkish banks latching on. The volume of gold in their reserves has gone from two tons in 2007 to 250 tons. The government has also tried to join the bandwagon with the central bank allowing commercial businesses to hold some of their reserves in gold and opening this up to private investors. “Thanks to this measure, our sales jumped 85 percent last year,” said Aysen Esen, head of a leading gold refinery in the country. “Over the last two years, banks have taken in some 40 tons of gold that people had stashed under their beds. And it’s just a small proportion of the reserves.” ‘Huge opportunity’ Turkey, where the mythical Phrygian King Midas turned everything to gold and Trojan King Priam was said to amass his gold hoard, has historically been a centre for gold mining. The first gold was mined in Anatolia several millennia before the birth of Christ but until recent years there had been a long break in extraction. This changed in the 1980s with new legislation facilitating foreign investments, resulting in the discovery of new gold deposits at home. The extraction of gold has since risen exponentially, from two tons mined in 2002 to 33.5 tons in 2013. A bright future is assured, with underground reserves estimated at 6,500 tons. “The main reason for this boom is that we still don’t have any tax on gross gold transactions, we only pay VAT (value added tax) on finished products,” said Ali Bulut chief executive of Turkey’s number one gold retailer Altinbas. “I’m very optimistic in the long run about domestic demand, not only for fashion and jewellery but also for savings.” Even if exchange rate variations have an effect on activity and profits, Turks are the number four global consumers of gold and number two exporters. “In 2013, recycling, fabrication and consumption (of gold) boosted the Turkish economy by at least $3.8 billion,” said Alistair Hewitt, author of a recent report published by the World Gold Council. “The opportunity is huge. We are only at the early stages here, there is a huge potential. “It’s looking very, very exciting... all that infrastructure allows Turkey to become a gold trading hub within the region.” Made a little jealous by the successes of banks in a market that they once had to themselves, Turkish gold jewellers staked their interest in joining the gold investment industry. “We are a little bit disappointed. We may need new legislation and have this gold end up with the jewellers instead of the banks,” said Sarp Tarhanci of the Istanbul Chamber of Jewellery. “Jewellers are customer-based, they build trust and good relationships with their clients.” Turkey’s performance in 2014 remained strong, according to the latest figures published by the World Gold Council, even if purchases were down on the extremely strong 2013. 2014 demand for gold jewellery of 68.2 tons in Turkey was down 7 percent, “slightly more resilient” than the overall global trend of minus 10 percent. Meanwhile, investment demand of 54.8 tons was 46 percent below the previous year’s 102.1 tons record. — AFP he US dollar has been appreciating over the past year and the appreciation against the major currency has accelerated this year. It has appreciated over 14 percent against a basket of currencies just over one year. Its strength has been more noticeable against the currency of the developing economies and more so against the currencies of the emerging economies. Some of these currencies have hit record lows against the dollar. Currencies of Russia, India, Turkey, Malaysia, Brazil and so on have been devaluing aggressively nearly on daily basis. No one knows if this is an informal devaluation process against the US dollar or just investors are getting more bullish on the US economy and at the same time panicking about the Federal Reserve raising rates any time soon. I believe the US will have to accept a stronger exchange rate as the Federal Reserve turns toward raising interest rates for the first time since 2006. The Federal Reserve will have to start at some point normalizing interest rates. The problem is that unless the Federal Reserve starts doing it, others aren’t or cannot follow suit. Once the Federal Reserve raise rates, it will have to accept some appreciation of the dollar simply because it’s the first one to do so. I think the Foreign Exchange markets are starting to prepare and position themselves for the rise in US interest rates. I have warned previously against borrowing in the dollar. The easy access to the dollar is not a sound investment decision to take when measured against possible rate rises or crises around the world as we are experiencing now. Business and investors around the world should be ready and resign themselves to a stronger US dollar. Appreciation in the dollar, spurred by the US economy outperforming most of its industrialized counterparts, already has damaged earnings at some of the US multinational. Some US companies have been complaining about the strength of the dollar but the benefits of the strong dollars for US consumers outweigh any noise made by those American multinationals. Policy shift At the end of the day it has never been the policy of the US to interfere in the global currency markets. It lets the dollar finds it own level or price. International developments would contribute to deciding how long to keep the benchmark rate near zero. The US Treasury always refrains from making any public concern at the competitiveness hit from a stronger dollar. There is no doubt that they are happy with a strong dollar and believe like anyone else that a strong dollar is good for America. The Federal Reserve’s trade-weighted broad dollar index climbed 13percent in the six months through January, and ended the month less than 1 percent from its high reached during the global financial crisis back in 2009.The net effect of the stronger dollar, together with lower oil prices, is still likely a very positive one, but I think this should not prevent the Federal Reserve from raising rates later this year. At some point the foreign exchange markets will discount the rate raise on the dollar but I don’t think it has done it yet. This year at least ten central banks have cut interest rates as plunging oil prices lead to slowing inflation. The cuts in interest rates have been one reason why some currencies have depreciated but it is not the only reason. I think more cuts in interest rates are more likely as inflation rates fall further. May be it is a good reason to devalue your currency against the dollar. Some argue that cuts in interest rates and the expansion of the monetary base have not led to increase in domestic economic activity but just weakened the currency further. This is something quite noticeable in the eurozone area. If there is no domestic economic activity but only devaluing the currency then will lead to increase in exports. This process will not go without notice and the others will devalue their currencies to compete aggressively for market share. This literally means we are seeing a global competitive devaluation. — Dimah Capital EXCHANGE RATES Al-Muzaini Exchange Co. ASIAN COUNTRIES Japanese Yen Indian Rupees Pakistani Rupees Srilankan Rupees Nepali Rupees Singapore Dollar Hongkong Dollar Bangladesh Taka Philippine Peso Thai Baht Irani Riyal transfer Irani Riyal cash 2.527 4.798 2.918 2.217 3.002 219.200 38.133 3.793 6.706 9.101 61.555 121.740 GCC COUNTRIES Saudi Riyal Qatari Riyal Omani Riyal Bahraini Dinar UAE Dirham 78.811 81.270 768.650 785.700 80.561 UAE Exchange Centre WLL COUNTRY Australian Dollar Canadian Dollar Swiss Franc Euro US Dollar Sterling Pound Japanese Yen Bangladesh Taka Indian Rupee Sri Lankan Rupee Nepali Rupee Pakistani Rupee UAE Dirhams Bahraini Dinar Egyptian Pound Jordanian Dinar Omani Riyal Qatari Riyal Saudi Riyal SELL DRAFT SELL CASH 224.24 239.29 324.35 338.45 296.55 454.53 2.52 3.807 4.767 2.223 2.973 2.931 80.58 787.08 38.79 421.36 769.08 81.66 78.99 ARAB COUNTRIES Egyptian Pound - Cash Egyptian Pound - Transfer Yemen Riyal/for 1000 Tunisian Dinar Jordanian Dinar Lebanese Lira/for 1000 Syrian Lira Morocco Dirham 39.065 38.822 1.381 153.610 417.130 1.985 2.108 31.291 EUROPEAN & AMERICAN COUNTRIES US Dollar Transfer 295.700 Euro 336.800 Sterling Pound 445.692 Canadian dollar 234.870 Turkish lira 121.540 Swiss Franc 321.410 Australian Dollar 231.090 US Dollar Buying 294.500 GOLD 20 gram 10 gram 5 gram 238.100 121.740 61.560 Dollarco Exchange Co. Ltd Rate for Transfer US Dollar Canadian Dollar Sterling Pound Euro Swiss Frank Bahrain Dinar UAE Dirhams Qatari Riyals Saudi Riyals Jordanian Dinar Egyptian Pound Sri Lankan Rupees Indian Rupees Pakistani Rupees Bangladesh Taka Philippines Pesso Cyprus pound Japanese Yen Syrian Pound Nepalese Rupees Selling Rate 296.250 240.325 456.890 340.055 276.690 788.025 81.035 82.195 79.190 418.150 38.750 2.222 4.758 2.920 3.806 6.689 727.170 3.490 2.565 3.975 Malaysian Ringgit Chinese Yuan Renminbi Thai Bhat Turkish Lira 83.445 47.870 10.060 120.790 Bahrain Exchange Company COUNTRY Belgian Franc British Pound Czech Korune Danish Krone Euro Norwegian Krone Romanian Leu Slovakia Swedish Krona Swiss Franc Turkish Lira Australian Dollar New Zealand Dollar Canadian Dollar US Dollars US Dollars Mint Bangladesh Taka Chinese Yuan Hong Kong Dollar Indian Rupee Indonesian Rupiah Japanese Yen Kenyan Shilling Korean Won Malaysian Ringgit Nepalese Rupee Pakistan Rupee Philippine Peso Sierra Leone Singapore Dollar SELL CASH Europe 0.007726 0.450567 0.004264 0.041466 0.332804 0.035168 0.085049 0.008733 0.031279 0.313438 0.118730 SELLDRAFT 0.008728 0.459567 0.016264 0.046466 0.340804 0.040368 0.085049 0.018733 0.036279 0.323638 0.125730 Australasia 0.222280 0.215554 0.233780 0.225054 America 0.233203 0.292400 0.292900 0.241703 0.297100 0.297100 Asia 0.003508 0.046133 0.036143 0.004462 0.000019 0.002418 0.003285 0.000260 0.079324 0.003031 0.002698 0.006589 0.000066 0.215690 0.004108 0.049633 0.038893 0.004863 0.000025 0.002598 0.003285 0.000275 0.085324 0.003201 0.002978 0.006869 0.000072 0.221690 South African Rand Sri Lankan Rupee Taiwan Thai Baht 0.019455 0.001885 0.009314 0.008748 0.027955 0.002465 0.009494 0.009298 Bahraini Dinar Egyptian Pound Iranian Riyal Iraqi Dinar Jordanian Dinar Kuwaiti Dinar Lebanese Pound Moroccan Dirhams Nigerian Naira Omani Riyal Qatar Riyal Saudi Riyal Syrian Pound Tunisian Dinar Turkish Lira UAE Dirhams Yemeni Riyal Arab 0.780011 0.035956 0.000082 0.000191 0.414149 1.000000 0.000147 0.022000 0.001210 0.764111 0.080730 0.078430 0.001269 0.150684 0.118730 0.079745 0.001339 0.788011 0.039056 0.000083 0.000251 0.421649 1.000000 0.000247 0.046000 0.001845 0.769791 0.081943 0.079130 0.001389 0.158684 0.125730 0.080894 0.001419 Al Mulla Exchange CurrencyTransfer US Dollar Euro Pound Sterlng Canadian Dollar Indian Rupee Egyptian Pound Sri Lankan Rupee Bangladesh Taka Philippines Peso Pakistan Rupee Bahraini Dinar UAE Dirham Saudi Riyal *Rates are subject to change Rate (Per 1000) 295.600 334.700 450.800 236.700 4.765 38.710 2.219 3.796 6.685 2.925 787.100 80.450 79.000