here - Timeform

Transcription

here - Timeform
MONDAY 23RD MARCH
TOWCESTER
SHORTLIST
2.30
“Walking The Courses” Novices’ Hurdle (4)
2m
Top Rated & Flags
Timeform Rating of previous winners: 118 132 134 118 142 (Avg 129)
136 3. LAURIUM
Nicky Henderson
David Bass
129 7. ROMULUS DU DONJON
Oliver Sherwood
Leighton Aspell
123 1. AVIATOR
James Eustace
Jack Quinlan
Betting Forecast: evens Laurium, 4 Romulus du Donjon, 9/2 Aviator, 14 Abijoe,
33 Dreamisi, The Lion Man, 50 bar
3.00
Birthday Girls’ Celebration Mares’ Handicap Hurdle (3)
Top Rated & Flags
136p 3. BLAMEITALONMYROOTS
Oliver Sherwood
135 7. DARDANELLA
Alan King
134 4. ICONIC ROSE
Pam Sly
Leighton Aspell
Wayne Hutchinson
Kielan Woods
Betting Forecast: 3 Blameitalonmyroots, 5 Iconic Rose, 13/2 A Shade of Bay, 15/2 Rosa
Fleet, 8 Tara Tavey, 9 Dardanella, 11 Madam Lilibet, 14 Cannon Fodder
3.30
Ride High Handicap Chase (5)
113§ 7. COOL BOB
Matt Sheppard
112§ 2. LORD LANDEN
Fergal O’Brien
111 1. CABARET GIRL
John O’Neill
Mr Stan Sheppard (7)
Conor Shoemark (3)
Andrew Thornton
Betting Forecast: 13/8 Grand Article, 11/2 Lord Landen, 6 Cabaret Girl, 7 Royalracket,
9 Cool Bob, 14 Wicklewood, 25 Killfinnan Castle, 50 bar
4.00
Play Tipzone On gg.com Handicap Hurdle (5)
Fergal O’Brien
106 9. LOST IN NEWYORK
Nick Kent
105 11. FRANK N FAIR
Zoe Davison
Conor Shoemark (3)
Maurice Linehan (3)
Nico de Boinville
Betting Forecast: 5 Mighty Mambo, 11/2 Dexter Benjamin, 13/2 Reyno, 15/2 Lost In
Newyork, 8 Diamond Gesture, 12 Lyssio, 14 Bulletproof, 16 Crouching Harry, 22 Frank N
Fair, 25 Easydoesit, 33 Gwili Spar, 40 bar
4.30
3m
113? 2. COSWAY SPIRIT
Ben Pauling
107 6. MIDNIGHT DOVE
Andrew Price
Michael Heard (7)
105§ 3. RED ROUBLE
Nigel Twiston-Davies
Jamie Bargary (7)
David Bass
Betting Forecast: 7/2 Midnight Dove, 9/2 Cosway Spirit, 6 Tinelyra, Dougalstar, 8 Jolly
Boys Outing, 17/2 Monty’s Revenge, 10 Red Rouble, 33 Overton Lad
Haygain Hay Steamers Clean Healthy Forage Standard Open National Hunt Flat (6) 2m
Top Rated & Flags
Timeform Rating of previous winners: 119 118 110 109 121 (Avg 115)
109 2. DANVINNIE
Oliver Sherwood
93p 8. VIVA RAFA
Richard Phillips
Leighton Aspell
Daniel Hiskett (7)
Betting Forecast: 11/4 Minstrel Royal, 7/2 Fingerontheswitch, 4 Danvinnie, 10 Secret
Sting, 14 Morthanalegend, 16 Viva Rafa, Bletchley Castle, 22 Mr K, 40 bar
Bet now >>
Analyst’s Verdict: Minstrel Royal makes
plenty of appeal on pedigree, so he gets the
nod to make a winning debut for his leading
yard. Point-winner Fingerontheswitch is a
danger with McCoy booked, with Danvinnie
also entitled to be in the mix.
Bet now >>
Bet now >>
Analyst’s Verdict: Cabaret Girl left her
chase bow well behind when third at
Wetherby last month and can improve again
with this shorter trip likely to suit. Grand
Article was a convincing winner here when
last seen in November and can go well fresh,
while Lord Landen can’t be ruled out now
back down to his last winning mark.
Bet now >>
Analyst’s Verdict: Not a race that will take
much winning and Dexter Benjamin is
chanced to improve and make a winning
start to life in handicaps having shown some
promise in novice hurdles. Diamond Gesture
is interesting returning off a fair mark, while
Mighty Mambo could also figure.
Key
Top Rated: Indicates the highest-rated runners in the race, adjusted for the weight carried. Only the top three in each race are shown (horses
with Rating Symbols are prioritised).
Rating Symbols: p (likely to improve), P (capable of much better), ? (rating can’t be assessed with confidence), + (may be better than rated),
$ (unreliable), x (poor jumper)
Timeform Rating of Previous Winners: These figures, which appear for non-handicap races, are the weight-adjusted Timeform rating the
winner has achieved in the same race in the five previous years, i.e. a guide to the previous standard of the race.
Analyst’s Verdict: Using all the information available to them, a Timeform Analyst assesses the merit of each horse’s form, considers how
likely it is to reproduce or improve upon that rating under the prevailing conditions and then balances those conclusions against the odds
available in the market, thus arriving at a Verdict.
Haygain Hay Steamers Clean Healthy Forage Handicap Chase (5) 3m110y
Top Rated & Flags
5.00
Analyst’s Verdict: Blameitalonmyroots
took another step forward when edging
out A Shade of Bay on her handicap bow at
Ludlow last month and can land the spoils
once more. The main danger is Rosa Fleet,
who lurks on a good mark and can reverse
Market Rasen form with Iconic Rose, while
Dardanella is also worth noting having run
her best race for her current yard last time.
2m
Top Rated & Flags
107 6. DIAMOND GESTURE
Analyst’s Verdict: Laurium wasn’t seen to
best effect in a muddling affair at Fontwell
last time but he remains the type to do
better, so gets the nod to confirm his
previous promise. Romulus du Donjon is in
receipt of plenty of weight from Fakenhamscorer Aviator, and is selected for the
forecast spot.
2m3f110y
Top Rated & Flags
Bet now >>
Bet now >>
Analyst’s Verdict: Midnight Dove came
clear of the rest when a close second at
Leicester earlier this month and is taken to
record his first success off the same mark.
Cosway Spirit would be an obvious threat if
coming back to the sort of form he showed
when winning this last year, while Tinelyra
and Jolly Boys Outing are capable of being
competitive if the mood takes them.
Flags
Horse In Focus: Noted in positive terms on its previous outing by a Timeform race analyst, marking it out as a horse to look
out for.
Warning Horse: Pinpointed as potentially representing poor value, primarily on account of doubts as to the strength or reliability
of its recent form.
Horses For Courses: Determines the suitability of this track for the horse by comparing its lifetime record against the
Timeform digital course data.
Trainer/Jockey Uplift: Highlights a noteworthy stable switch, or a significant change of rider, all based on Timeform’s unique
Trainer/Jockey Rankings.
Trainer Form: An assessment of the trainer’s recent form, based on Timeform ratings related measurement.
You can find out more about Timeform Ratings and Flags at timeform.com