2 Appendices - DSpace
Transcription
2 Appendices - DSpace
Despite my long-term interest in the field of crisis communication, I never really had to deal with a real crisis situation myself until 2013. During this calamity, I experienced the impact of Twitter and the media on my organization and the public opinion. I started thinking about which impact the media had on the tweets and the development of the situation. I wondered how an organization could influence or control the public opinion on Twitter as soon as possible in order to prevent the spreading of false information or own assumptions. Furthermore, my internship in a strategic risk and crisis communication agency instigated my interest in the field of crisis communication and management even more. As a result, when I got to choose the subject of my bachelor thesis, I immediately thought of getting a closer look at this aspect of crisis communication. It is an illusion to be able to execute a research project and write the associated thesis without the unconditional support of others. Therefore, I would like to take my time to thank a few people. First of all, I would like to thank my promotor Pieter Soete for his critic remarks and accompaniment during this entire process. I would not have been able to realize the same outcomes as I actually did without the support of my promotor. Furthermore, I could not have done this with my colleagues Hugo Marynissen and Stijn Pieters. They helped me out a lot during my three-month internship by giving feedback on my ideas and keeping my feet on the ground. I would also like to thank Tim Van Achte for his critical thoughts and technical support. Together, they also changed and broadened my view on crisis and risk communication by constantly challenging me and offering me new insights. Thank you for that! Last but not least, I would like to thank my family and my girlfriend for constantly putting up with my – sometimes annoying – trains of thoughts and limited availability during the past few months. I have been partly living in a cave of papers, dictionaries and research results, meaning I could not mentally or physically be there for them as much as I wanted to. 1 Abstracts Dutch & French 1 Dutch Inleiding De niche crisiscommunicatie is tijdens de laatste decennia steeds belangrijker geworden binnen het brede communicatiespectrum. Cases zoals het gigantische lek van BP in de Mexicaanse Golf, Enrons schandaal of Dexia’s ondergang toonden het belang van goede crisiscommunicatie en bewezen dat crisiscommunicatie een strategische en doordachte aanpak vergt. Ondertussen beïnvloedt de groei van sociale media zoals Twitter de manier waarop mensen met elkaar communiceren. Wanneer mensen via Twitter met elkaar communiceren en interageren, worden ze door verschillende elementen beïnvloed (e.g. eigen persoonlijkheid, sociale kring, externe actoren, etc.). Er kan gesteld worden dat de media een belangrijke impact hebben op het tweetgedrag van mensen. Dit is vanzelfsprekend ook zo het geval tijdens noodgevallen, crises of rampen. Terwijl organisaties of overheden via traditionele media min of meer controle hebben over de boodschap, is dat op sociale media niet zo. Toch hebben organisaties of overheden er alle baat bij om de boodschap in de hand te hebben. Tijdens slechte tijden helpt social media monitoring het crisiscommunicatieteam om de omgeving te analyseren. De social media analist helpt zo om voor een betere situational awareness te zorgen om de situatie zo snel mogelijk onder controle te krijgen. De analisten van de Belgische en Nederlandse overheden ontleden de omgeving volgens de IBS-methode (wat staat voor information, behavior en sensemaking). Deze methode laat de analist toe om belangrijke informatie vanop sociale media te distilleren en op basis daarvan een concreet advies te geven aan het crisiscommunicatieteam én het crisismanagementteam. Doel en onderzoeksopzet De primaire doelstelling van deze bachelorproef is het verduidelijken van de manier waarop nieuwswebsites en nieuwsuitzendingen het verspreiden van information, behavior en sensemaking beïnvloeden tijdens en na acute noodsituaties en rampen. Daarnaast wil dit onderzoek inzichten bieden over de manier waarop mensen communiceren op Twitter tijdens dergelijke situaties. Dit onderzoek is gebaseerd op een kwantitatieve analyse en inhoudsanalyse van tweets over een kleinschalige noodsituatie (een brand in een pitazaak) en een grootschalige ramp (een gigantische kettingbotsing op de autosnelweg). 2 Resultaten Het is vanzelfsprekend dat grootschalige rampen meer media-aandacht krijgen dan kleinschalige noodsituaties. De datasets toonden daarnaast aan dat de grootschalige ramp tot meer activiteit op Twitter leidde dan de kleinschalige noodsituatie. Men zou dus kunnen stellen dat een grootschalige ramp meer media-aandacht krijgt, en bijgevolg meer wordt besproken op Twitter. Tot zover erg logisch dus. Een kwantitatieve IBS-analyse op beide datasets wees bovendien uit dat de kettingbotsing voor veel meer sensemaking zorgde op Twitter dan de brand in Torhout. Uit de data blijkt dat vooral nieuwsuitzendingen hierbij een belangrijke rol speelden. Dit uitte zich vooral in meer emotionele uitlatingen over de situatie. Aan de andere kant was er erg weinig sensemaking tijdens de kleinschalige noodsituatie, terwijl de focus van de berichtgeving op Twitter vooral op information en behavior lag. Dit werd hoofdzakelijk gedragen door het verspreiden van nieuwsartikelen. Conclusies Tijdens de bestudeerde cases werd het duidelijk dat het verspreiden van nieuwsartikelen hoofdzakelijk op information en behavior gericht is. Aan de andere kant bewees het onderzoek dat nieuwsuitzendingen een meer emotionele respons losmaakten op Twitter, en dus meer tot sensemaking leidden. Voor crisiscommunicatieteams houdt dit in dat de schaal van de situatie determinerend is voor de conversaties op Twitter over diezelfde situatie. Wanneer het over een kleinschalige noodsituatie gaat volstaat het om kort op de bal te spelen bij media met een lage kanaalrijkdom. Op die manier kunnen crisiscommunicatieteams de conversaties op Twitter sterk beïnvloeden en misschien zelfs onder controle krijgen. Wanneer het echter over een grootschalige ramp gaat ligt de situatie wat moeilijker. Tijdens dergelijke situaties zou er aanzienlijk meer aandacht gespendeerd moeten worden aan media met een hoge kanaalrijkdom, omdat die media mensen aanzetten om een eigen invulling te geven aan de situatie. 3 French Introduction La niche de la communication de crise est devenue de plus en plus importante pendant les années passées. Des cas tels que le déversement de pétrole de BP dans la Golfe du Mexique, le scandale d’Enron ou la disparition de Dexia ont indiqué l’importance de la communication de crise et ils ont démontré que cette communication exige une approche stratégique et réfléchie. Pendant ce temps, la croissance des médias sociaux comme Twitter influence la manière comment on communique avec des autres. Quand des gens communiquent et interagissent sur Twitter, ils sont influencés par de nombreux éléments comme notre personnalité et cercle social, des acteurs externes, etc. On peut dire que les médias ont une influence importante sur le comportement des gens sur Twitter. C’est évident que c’est aussi le cas pendant des urgences, crises ou catastrophes. Pendant que des organisations ou gouvernements peuvent plus ou moins contrôler leurs messages sur les médias traditionnels, ce n’est pas du tout possible sur les médias sociaux. De toute façon, ils bénéficient de contrôler ces messages en tout cas. Pendant des crises, la surveillance des médias sociaux assiste les communicateurs de crise pour analyser l’environnement. Comme ça l’analyste aide d’obtenir une connaissance augmentée de la situation pour gagner le contrôle aussi rapidement que possible. Des analystes des gouvernements Belge et Néerlandais emploient la méthode d’IBS (qui représente les éléments Information, Behavior et Sensemaking). Cette méthode permet de distiller information importante des médias sociaux pour donner des conseils concrets aux teams de crise. But et conception de la recherche Le but principal de cette thèse est de clarifier la façon dont les sites web des médias et des journaux télévisés influencent la diffusion d’information, behavior et sensemaking sur Twitter pendant et après des urgences ou catastrophes aiguës. Cette thèse veut aussi élargir les perspectives en ce qui concerne la manière dont on communique sur Twitter. La recherche est basée sur une analyse quantitative et une analyse du contenu des tweets concernant une urgence au sujet d’une petite échelle (un incendie dans un restaurant) et une catastrophe de grande envergure (un énorme carambolage sur l'autoroute). 4 Résultats C’est évident que les catastrophes concernant une grande envergure obtiennent plus d’attention sur les médias que des urgences au sujet d’une petite échelle. Les données aussi démontrent que les catastrophes mènent à plus d’activité sur Twitter que des urgences. On pourrait dire que les catastrophes de grande envergure reçoivent plus d’attention sur les médias et sont par conséquence plus discutées sur Twitter. Une analyse quantitative d’IBS sur toutes les données a démontré que le carambolage a mené à plus de sensemaking sur Twitter que l’incendie et que c’est attribué aux journaux télévisés qui ont joué un rôle primaire après le carambolage. Cela s’est traduit par des réactions émotionnelles concernant la situation. D’autre côté, il y avait très peu de sensemaking pendant l’incendie à Torhout, tandis que l’accent des informations a été mis sur information et behavior. Cela s’est traduit par la diffusion des nouvelles sur les sites Web des médias. Conclusions Pendant les cas étudiés, c’était clair que la diffusion des nouvelles implique la diffusion d’information et de sensemaking. D’autre côté, l’étude a démontré que l’accent des journaux télévisés ont causés des réactions surtout émotionnelles. Pour les communicateurs de crise, cela signifie que l’échelle d’une situation est déterminante pour les conversations sur Twitter concernant cette situation. Quand c’est une urgence au sujet d’une petite échelle, les communicateurs doivent agir rapidement et focaliser sur les médias avec une richesse de canal bas. Comme ça, ils peuvent influencer les conversations sur Twitter et peut-être les contrôler. C’est plutôt difficile quand il s’agit d’une catastrophe de grande envergure. Pendant telles situations, les communicateurs devraient prêter attention aux médias avec une grande richesse de canal, parce que ces médias incitent des gens à former une propre interprétation. 5 1. Literature review 8 1.1. Importance of crisis communication 9 1.1.1. Why crisis communication? 9 1.1.2. Difference between emergencies, crises and disasters 10 1.1.3. Demand for information 11 1.2. Organization of governmental crisis management and communication 13 1.2.1. Division into disciplines 13 1.2.2. Types of emergency plans 14 1.2.3. Scaling 15 1.2.4. Structures and cells 16 1.2.4.1. Proactive structures 16 1.2.4.2. Reactive structures 16 1.3. Rise of social media 17 1.3.1. Types of social media 17 1.3.2. Why Twitter? 18 1.3.3. Importance of monitoring social media during crises 19 1.3.4. Earlier Twitter research 22 1.3.4.1. Twitter’s influence on news 22 1.3.4.2. Information propagation & information cascades 24 2. Research design 26 2.1. Scope 27 2.2. Methodology 28 2.2.1. General methodology & data collection 28 2.2.2. Lapse of the Twitter activity 29 2.2.3. Information, behavior & sensemaking 31 2.2.4. Influence of news websites and news broadcasts 32 2.3. Cases 32 2.3.1. Car pile-up in Zonnebeke 32 2.3.2. Fire in a fast food restaurant in Torhout 33 6 3. Research findings 35 3.1. Lapse of the Twitter activity 36 3.1.1. Car pile-up in Zonnebeke 36 3.1.2. Fire in a fast food restaurant in Torhout 37 3.1.3. Discussion 38 3.2. Information, behavior & sensemaking (IBS) 38 3.2.1. Car pile-up in Zonnebeke 38 3.2.2. Fire in a fast food restaurant in Torhout 39 3.2.3. Discussion 40 3.3. Influence of news websites & news broadcasts 3.3.1. News websites 41 41 3.3.1.1. Car pile-up in Zonnebeke 41 3.3.1.2. Fire in a fast food restaurant in Torhout 42 3.3.2. News broadcasts 42 3.3.2.1. Car pile-up in Zonnebeke 42 3.3.2.2. Fire in a fast food restaurant in Torhout 43 3.3.3. Discussion 44 4. Conclusions 45 References 47 List of images & figures 52 Appendices 54 7 1 Literature review An exploration of (governmental) crisis communication and the rise of social media 8 The marriage between social media and crisis communication has its pros and cons. While it can be argued that social media have the potential to be very powerful during crises, the past shows that they can have major pitfalls too. For example, after a horrific car pile-up in WestFlanders during rush hour, the Belgian Red Cross asked for blood donors on Twitter in order to be able to help the victims. In reality, this tweet had nothing to do with the accident. However, the tweet got passed on incredibly fast, causing an excess of blood after a short amount of time. As the popularity of social media amongst younger and older publics keeps growing, social media are becoming important tools within the fields of marketing, recruiting and business development (Landau, 2011). Landau argues that crisis communication is an area that should not be overlooked when it comes to social media, as “in today’s communication arena, social media is a venue that cannot be ignored”. In this chapter, I explore (governmental) crisis communication and the rise of social media. Furthermore, I discuss earlier Twitter research that lead to this thesis. 1.1. Importance of crisis communication 1.1.1. Why crisis communication? The craft of crisis communication has been growing enormously during the last decennia. Cases like BP’s massive oil spill, Enron’s scandal or Dexia’s downfall showed the importance of managing crises and proved that crisis communication requires a strategic and elaborate approach. It is safe to say that every company or organization will eventually encounter a crisis situation that can put a big amount of pressure on that company or organization (normal accident theory, Perrow, 1984). No matter how thoughtfully an organization’s risk management processes are, there cannot be a plan for every possible situation (Wilcox & Cameron, 2012). As companies and organizations started to open their eyes to the importance of crisis communication, the number of crises has been growing continuously. This is caused by the growing number and complexity of technologies and increasingly scrutinizing media (Massey & Larsen, 2006; Stephens et al., 2005). 9 Furthermore, we all live in a society that demands transparency and honesty. Today’s public even actively searches for information to satisfy their need for information (De Bas & Monté, 2012) and even spreads – sometimes incorrect – information, which can influence news coverage and the public opinion. As a result, a strategic, transparent, multi-channel approach of crisis communication has never been as important as it is today. 1.1.2. Difference between emergencies, crises and disasters Emergencies, crises and disasters are often terms that are used incorrectly. While all three have a strong negative connotation to them, emergencies, crises and disasters differ from each other in a number of aspects. An emergency can be seen as an unforeseen combination of different circumstances that requires immediate action. A flooded basement, a failed operation or a power outage are considered as emergencies. On the other hand, a disaster brings great damage, loss or destruction. This causes serious misfortune for a lot of people of a company, city, town or region (Jorgustin, 2012). In a way, disasters are often preceded by emergencies. Emergencies and disasters are crisis situations, but a crisis does not necessarily have to become an emergency or a disaster. A crisis can sometimes lead to a disaster or an emergency, but the term crisis is much more difficult to define. It might be argued that perception plays an important role in distinguishing emergencies, crises and disasters. Emergencies or disasters are caused by a triggering event, such as a crash or a fire. From that point of view, there has to be a calamitous situation physically happening in order to be able to speak of an emergency or disaster. On the other hand, crises can occur without something physically happening. When there is a rumor on social media that the CFO has been embezzling money, it is definitely a crisis, but no disaster or emergency. 10 During recent conversations with my former colleague Stijn Pieters, he mentioned another way to distinguish emergencies, crises and disasters from one another. During emergencies, all procedures and guidelines of an organization remain applicable. For example, when an operation fails, there are a number of procedures and guidelines the hospital will follow. During crises, however, only some of the procedures and guidelines will remain in place. When the rumor of the CFO breaks out, procedures and guidelines will determine the crisis communication roles in the organization, but a different, undefined approach will be necessary to address the crisis. Finally, procedures and guidelines are insufficient during disasters. Crisis management and crisis communications will have to reinvent themselves in order to address the disaster. For example, if the coast line of Belgium would be hit by a tsunami, following some procedures and guidelines would not suffice at all. According to Bert Brugghemans & Hugo Marynissen, a distinction between fast-burning and slow-burning situations has to be made within emergencies and disasters. Seymour & Moore (2000) make the same distinction between ‘cobra crises’ and ‘python crises’. A fast-burning (cobra) crisis hits suddenly and takes the organization completely by surprise, while a slowburning (python) crisis is a collection of issues that pile up. Both the aspects of perception and ‘surprise’ play important roles in determining the way of communicating during crises. As a result, this thesis will only focus on fast-burning emergencies and disasters instead of covering fast-burning and slow-burning crises as well. Hereafter, I will use the term ‘crisis’ to refer exclusively to these fast-burning emergencies and disasters, as I will not elaborate on corporate image crises and the likes. 1.1.3. Demand for information The demand for information during and after crises is one of the major difficulties for communication teams. There is a constant unbalance between the need for information, available information and necessary information to take correct operational decisions (see figure 1-1). However, communicators need to find a way to retain the public’s trust, using only that limited information they have at their fingertips during difficult and stressful times. 11 Very little information is available during the first moments of a crisis. Teams are operational in the field, often trying to manage the situation, while communication lines are being set up. Most attention is thus paid to gain control over the situation. Over time, more and more information is being given by the teams in the field. However, the demand for information is incredibly high during the first moments of a crisis, creating an “information vacuum” (Marynissen et al., 2010) between available information and the demand for information. Communication teams can fill this vacuum by giving empathic and transparent messages containing operational information and process information. The demand for information used to be growing slowly and remained high during a relatively long period. New media such as social media led to a much faster and higher demand for information than ever before, but this demand for information ironically lowers quickly. This entails that people are no longer interested in the information when you finally managed to gather and confirm all that information. Figure 1-1: The demand for information during crises (Marynissen et al., 2010). 12 1.2. Organization of governmental crisis management and communication The government has several structures and processes in place to manage and communicate about crisis situations. The Royal Decree of 2006 determines these structures and processes. In this chapter, I discuss the outlines of the Decree in order to provide an insight in the government’s approach to crisis management and crisis communication. I start by explaining the division of the aid services into five disciplines. Hereafter, I elaborate on the different types of emergency plans and the scaling of crisis situations. Last, I will discuss the formal governmental structures. 1.2.1. Division into disciplines The aid services are divided into five disciplines. Each discipline has its own tasks and responsibilities. I will now explore the different disciplines without elaborating much on the structures and processes within each discipline. Discipline 1: In contradiction to what many people think, firemen have a lot more Fire department responsibilities during crises situations than just extinguishing fire. The fire department’s task during crises is to manage the situation and eliminate all possible risks that are connected to that situation. They take care of searching and liberating victims, if any. Discipline 2: The medical services take medical and psychosocial care of the Medical services victims once they have been located and evacuated. They also organize the transport of the victims to near hospitals and have to take measures to ensure the public’s health. Discipline 3: The police’s responsibilities mainly consist of maintaining the public Police order and installing and guarding the perimeters. Furthermore, the police take care of evacuating citizens, identifying victims and assisting with the official investigation. 13 Discipline 4: The civil protection sometimes enforces the other disciplines by Logistic support supporting them logistically (e.g. with sand bags, pumps, vehicles, etc.). Operational teams of the civil protection often join discipline 1. Discipline 5: The task of the fifth discipline is to inform the citizens. During crises, Information the communication department of the town in which the crisis takes place forms this discipline. This can cause communication problems, as the local communication functionaries are often not prepared to address large-scale crises. That is why the Belgian government has recently established “Team D5”, a group of communication professionals who can reinforce local communication functionaries when they cannot handle the situation by themselves. The idea behind “Team D5” is that local communication functionaries should be able to ask for reinforcements, just like firemen and policemen can. 1.2.2. Types of emergency plans In order to ensure an effective collaboration, emergency plans are drafted. Generally, there are three types of emergency plans: internal emergency plans, monodisciplinary emergency plans and multidisciplinary emergency plans. Internal Large companies have internal emergency plans ready in case emergency plans something happens. They contain evacuation procedures, contact lists, roles within the crisis teams, and so on. However, not all companies are required to have an internal emergency plan in place. Monodisciplinary Each discipline has its own emergency plans (e.g. medical emergency plans intervention plan). These plans are used when there is no need for a complex interdisciplinary approach. 14 Multidisciplinary Multidisciplinary emergency plans ensure an effective collaboration emergency plans between disciplines. On the one hand, there are general emergency and intervention plans (Dutch: ANIP) that describe general processes and guidelines to manage crises. On the other hand, special emergency and intervention plans (Dutch: BNIP) complement general plans with additional information and guidelines concerning certain risks when necessary (e.g. railway accidents, nuclear accidents, etc.). 1.2.3. Scaling There are three levels of crisis management in Belgium: the municipal, provincial and national level. The level of crisis management is generally being determined by a combination of elements, such as geographic location, number of victims, facts, nature of the crisis, etc. Each level enables a number of corresponding structures. It is necessary to mention that not all crisis situations have to be scaled up to one of the levels. For example, fire departments will take care of a barn fire on their own, without coordination of the mayor or the help of communication functionaries. In that case, the highest ranked fireman at the scene will address the press if necessary. A situation is being scaled up to the municipal level when a municipal approach is necessary, such as floods and gas leaks. The mayor promulgates this level in consultation with the governor and coordinates the crisis. Municipal communication functionaries take care of the communication. Additionally, the municipal coordination committee (Dutch: GCC) is being activated and led by the mayor. The provincial level is being promulgated when the situation includes multiple municipalities or when the governor needs to coordinate the crisis. The governor promulgates this level in consultation with the minister. While the municipal coordination committees remain active, a provincial coordination committee (Dutch: PCC) is being activated and led by the governor. Municipal and provincial communication functionaries take care of the communication. A crisis is being scaled up to national level when one or more provinces are involved, or when the governor does not have adequate resources available to address the situation. The Minister of Internal Affairs promulgates and coordinates the national level. The coordination committees remain active. 15 1.2.4. Structures and cells Hereafter, I explore the formal structures and cells of governmental crisis management. I hereby make the distinction between proactive and reactive structures, as some structures are activated after a triggering event whereas some of them work proactively. 1.2.4.1. Proactive structures On municipal and provincial level, safety cells are coordinated and led by respectively the mayor and the governor. The tasks of these safety cells include (but are not limited to) preparing risk analyses, creating crisis plans, organizing crisis exercises, analyzing previous crises, and so on. Every discipline has a representative in the cell. The functionary for emergency planning also joins the cell. On a federal level, there is a departmental crisis cell for each federal public service. Its tasks are similar to the safety cells’ tasks. In addition, the departmental crisis cells coordinate the contact between the crisis center of the government and the department concerned. 1.2.4.2. Reactive structures The operational coordination in the field is in the hands of the CP-OPS (command post operations). The CP-OPS is led by the fire officer (Dir-CP-Ops) and joined by the directors of each discipline. The municipal and/or provincial coordination committees take care of the strategic coordination of the situation. These committees evaluate the situation continuously, advise the mayor or governor, organize the information and impose measures. The coordination committee is led by the mayor or governor and consists of representatives of each discipline, the functionary for emergency planning and experts, if necessary. On a federal level, there is no coordination committee. When the federal phase is promulgated, three different structures are being activated within the coordination and crisis center of the government: The evaluation cell consists of experts and evaluates the situation continuously. The policy cell consists of involved Ministers and imposes measures. The information cell consists of communication officials and takes care of the situation. 16 1.3. Rise of social media Social media form a group of diverse and fast developing communication media. They enable the production and sharing of information through collaborative means. Social media are everywhere. That is clear. These – relatively new – media can be described as “the collective of online communications channels dedicated to community-based input, interaction, content-sharing and collaboration” (Rouse & Wigmore, 2012). They are immediate, ubiquitous and available (Landau, 2011). Since the year 2000, different social media started to emerge and gain popularity surprisingly fast. The slow shift to these online media had its impact on the way of communicating and interacting with each other (Qualman, 2010). 1.3.1. Types of social media On his blog, Tim Grahl comprehensively mentions six types of social media: social networks, bookmarking sites, social news sites, media sharing sites, microblogging sites and blogs. Social networks Social networks enable users to build a profile and connect with other people they might or might not know. The platform facilitates and encourages interaction between users. Facebook and LinkedIn are the most commonly known social networks. Bookmarking sites Bookmarking sites are usually less known than social networks. These sites allow users to save and manage their links. StumbleUpon is one of the major bookmarking sites. Social news sites Social news sites allow users to post links to external news articles. Other users then vote for their favorite articles, creating a virtual stream of articles that consists of the articles that got the most votes. Reddit is an example of a social news site. 17 Media sharing sites Media sharing sites enable users to post and share their own media content. Mostly, people can make profiles, rate each other’s content and interact. YouTube is one of the major media sharing sites. Microblogging sites Microblogging means blogging on a very small scale. Users can create profiles and post short messages. Interaction is an essential aspect of microblogging. Twitter is the major microblogging site. Blogs A blog is a website on which a user posts messages, pictures or video footage. This might be a personal message or a message concerning a certain topic. Users are able to comment on each other’s posts. Wordpress is one of the major blogging platforms. 1.3.2. Why Twitter? This thesis focuses on the microblogging platform Twitter. Twitter enables microbloggers to post tweets, which are short posts of up to 140 characters in length. Twitter goes back to the basics of communication: sending information, receiving information and giving feedback. Despite the fact that Twitter is a relatively small platform in comparison to Facebook, it sure is one of the most influential social media. According to a recent article posted on Digital Marketing Ramblings, there are 1.23 billion Facebook profiles while Twitter only has 243 million monthly active users (Data from March 2014). Although Facebook does not have a growth problem, an article from 2011 in the Guardian (Filloux, 2011) states that “Facebook’s usage is undergoing a split” Whereas intense Facebook users are showing more engagement to the platform, more and more ‘regular’ users are becoming increasingly careful and reluctant. According to the blogger, this is due to a number of factors, such as the advertising-driven business model and the more complicated interface of Facebook. The microblogging platform has a much simpler interface, less direct ads and less ‘noise’, since relations do not have to be reciprocal. Furthermore, people actively follow someone on Twitter because they are actually interested in what that person shares. 18 On the other hand, Facebook users’ news feeds are filled with ‘throw-on-my-Facebook-wall’ content by people they often even do not know. All these elements slowly lead to a change of mindset. Other social media benefit from this changing mindset. Especially Twitter. 1.3.3. Importance of monitoring social media during crises What is monitoring? Literature describes social media monitoring as a specific research approach that covers both the collection of data and data analysis (Ruggiero & Vos, 2014). While Branthwaite & Patterson (2011) stated that monitoring is observational, passive and quantitative, it could be argued that social media monitoring contains an important qualitative aspect (cfr. infra). Bengston et al. (2009) designate Alvan Tenney as the ‘founding father’ of monitoring. He proposed to measure the ‘social weather’ back in 1912, long before social media even existed. Why monitoring? The general goal of social media monitoring is analyzing the environment (Zailskaite-Jakste & Kuvykaite, 2012). Monitoring might in particular be very important during ‘hot times’, such as emergencies, crises or disasters. During calamitous situations that are unpredictable, unknown and fear-inducing, the importance of gaining fast insights into public perceptions and information needs becomes evident (Sheppard, 2011). It could be a manner to detect early signals, receive requests for assistance or establish better situational awareness. During ‘cold times’, social media managers could monitor to identify radical opinions (Yang et al., 2011), profile criticism (Keelan et al., 2010) or negative information (Campbell et al., 2011). In this aspect, social media monitoring definitely has a qualitative part to it. Executing a single quantitative analysis will not suffice during calamitous situations. Some organizations realize the importance of social media monitoring and use it to their advantage as much as possible. For example, Antwerp Fire Officer Bert Brugghemans embraces these ‘small data’ to gain maximum insight in the situation in the field before firemen even reached the scene. 19 A recent post on Bert’s blog showed how he managed to find pictures on Twitter of a bus on fire, enabling him to form a very clear picture and understanding of what was happening on the scene. In this case, social media monitoring does not only help crisis communication teams to measure the ‘social weather’. It also allows crisis management teams to obtain better situational awareness in order to gain control over the situation. Role of monitoring in the crisis communication team The person or team who is monitoring social media is usually a part of the bigger monitoring team. In case of large disasters, other people could assist the monitoring team by monitoring radio, television, news websites and papers. However, usually one person takes on these tasks: the analyst. The risk and crisis communication agency PM established clear roles within the crisis communication team. The analyst gathers, curates and visualizes information, adding his own advice to the analysis as he knows better than anyone what is going on in people’s minds. Everything the crisis communication team does is based on what the analyst said. In that aspect, the analyst is the engine of the crisis communication team, as he lays the foundations for an effective communication strategy. Information, behavior and sensemaking (IBS) The literature concerning monitoring generally makes the distinction between researcherdriven analysis on the one hand and computerized content analysis techniques on the other hand (Ruggiere & Vos, 2014). Obviously, the researcher plays a central role in researcherdriven analysis. In this method, the analyst performs a search on social media and examines the search results based on content or discourse. Next to researcher-driven analysis, computerized content analysis uses software (e.g. WordStat) to detect trends, main topics, personality dimensions, etc. Each monitoring method has its pros and cons. Researcher-driven analysis enables the analyst to examine the qualitative data carefully but requires a lot of time and focus, whereas computerized content analysis often is much faster but less nuanced. It could be argued that the type of crisis determines the most suitable type of analysis. 20 Analysts of the Belgian and Dutch governments distill valuable information using the IBSmethod, which is a researcher-driven analysis on both content level and discursive level. IBS stands for information, behavior and sensemaking. The idea is simple: the analyst compiles everything concerning information (e.g. there has been an explosion), behavior (e.g. people are running down the streets) and sensemaking (e.g. people are comparing the explosion to the events of 9/11). The method enables the analyst to take a closer look at the information and enrich the information in order to give good advice to the operational teams. The IBS-method goes a little further than classic content analysis. The method analyzes general topics and trends as well, but also distinguishes three additional levels: information, behavior and sensemaking. Using the IBS-method, analysts are able to gather all operational information as well as concerns and emotional responses, making sure that all the useful information is being distilled out of the data. Figure 1-2: IBS-analysis executed during a recent bomb threat in Antwerp. It could be argued that there is a thin line between information and behavior. Information generally stands for operational information, whereas behavior implies what people are doing in the field. Behavior could thus be considered operational information too. Following this reasoning, information and behavior are completely objective. On the other hand, sensemaking is obviously subjective, as people add emotional value when trying to make sense of a crisis situation. As a result, this research grouped information and behavior and opposed them to sensemaking. 21 1.3.4. Earlier Twitter research So far, I have already described the importance of crisis communication, the organization of governmental crisis management and communication and the rise of social media. I have elaborated on the difference between emergencies, crises and disaster. I also clarified the goals of social media monitoring and the role of social media monitoring within the crisis communication team. In this section, I provide a deeper insight in the use of Twitter and how people communicate on Twitter, by reviewing past research and literature on the matter. I hereby focus on the influence of Twitter on journalism and news. I also elaborate on basic information cascade and information propagation principles. 1.3.4.1. Twitter’s influence on news Breaking the news As stated earlier, everyone is a journalist these days (Breakenridge, 2012), since anyone can be a publisher now (Shirky, 2008). Everyone is able to communicate with one another, as 91% of all people on earth have a mobile phone. But in today’s society, a regular mobile phone is not sufficient anymore. 56% of all people on earth own smartphones. The shift to smartphones now enables the self-declared journalist to spread all kinds of information through a variety of platforms, media and networks. Pictures and videos are available on the internet faster than ever. Furthermore, people are getting more and more attached to their mobile devices, often leading to a so called smartphone addiction (Archer, 2013). Archer argues that our mobile devices have not just become objects, but for many of us a best friend. When it comes to the use of Twitter, the shift to smartphones and online media is almost causing an automatic reflex to tweet when something happened. For instance, when the Asania Airlines flight OZ2014 crashed on the runway in San Francisco, the first tweet (and picture) was posted only 30 seconds after the crash. This tweet broke the news and started a conversation on Twitter that got picked up fast by news media. Another great example is the emergency landing of the US Airways flight 1549, which landed in the Hudson River in New York (January, 2009). Two minutes after the crash, the first tweet was posted. Photos of the watery landing were posted five minutes after the crash. 22 News media recently recognized the value Twitter holds for them. Journalists have been involved in a wide discussion about the meaning of the people formerly known as the audience during the past 10 years (Rosen, 2006). For example, instead of sending an in-house photographer to the scene of an accident, news media could crowdsource footage from the scene. Vehkoo (2013) states that “the web has lowered the barrier for co-operation in tasks that would previously been executed by professionals”. Beckett (2008) further argues that contemporary journalists are facilitators instead of gatekeepers. By embracing crowdsourcing, the process becomes faster and the information sticks around longer (Beckett, 2008). In Belgium, the process of crowdsourcing footage keeps gaining popularity amongst news media. VTM launched the newswire ‘4040’ in 2005, enabling people to send own content immediately to the redaction. In addition, news media regularly ask for footage right away through their social media accounts. News media should keep an eye on the pitfalls that crowdsourcing entails. Self-declared journalists are mostly “web users who are not professional journalists, contributing directly to the production of the daily news” (Ruellan, 2007). Citizen journalists thus lack formal training in journalism, meaning they do not feel obliged to be fair and unbiased in their reporting (Landau, 2011). It could be argued that crowdsourcing implies putting more work into ensuring the quality of journalism. Eventually, every journalist faces an existential crisis: what is it that professional journalists can do that others cannot? (Vehkoo, 2011). It might be argued that place and time are crucial. By using the crowd, Belgian news redactions now have 11 billion journalists available in every part of the country, ready to deliver news stories as they happen. Bringing & spreading the news Most traditional news outlets have a social presence (Stassen, 2010). While these news outlets use social media to bring their information to the public, journalists use social media to gather news (Garrison, 2003, Hermans et al., 2009). Traditional news media use social media as sources and vice versa. Landau (2011) states that the “inter-reliance of social media and traditional media creates a vast and fast information-sharing network and news community. Additionally, many media mention Twitter in their news coverage and a majority of journalists even use it as a source (Cision & GWU, 2009). 23 When it comes to spreading the news, Handy (2012) indicated that people retweet information when they think the tweet is going to resonate with their followers. Handy states that “a retweet is like retelling someone else’s joke.” “Sure, you found the joke funny when you heard it the first time. But you are retelling it to someone new because you think they will find it funny.” Earlier research showed that, of all social media, Twitter has the edge in promoting news content. While Facebook remains a solid referral to news stories, Twitter’s referrals are of a whole different (i.e. more intense) nature. It might be argued that spreading information concerning emergencies, crises and disasters is easier than spreading positive news or maybe even sports news, due to the human nature. Our brains are evolutionary trained to seek out news of dramatic, negative events. Neuroscientists say that “our brains evolved in a huntergatherer environment where anything novel or dramatic had to be attended to immediately for survival” (Williams, 2010). We do not have to defend ourselves against wild animals anymore these days, but our brains have not caught up with our way of life. During crisis situations, people may choose to share information regardless of their geographical location. Generally, people who are close to the crisis event will retweet more specific and locally-relevant information. People who are not close to the event will retweet more broad information (Vieweg et al., 2010). Other factors such as personal characteristics, involvement and the scale of the calamity are determinative for the spread of information too. 1.3.4.2. Information propagation & information cascades Many researchers have focused on quantitative research to take a closer look at the way information flows on Twitter in order to define so called information propagation models or information cascade models. Information propagation is the act of spreading own information or information from someone else through your own network. Information cascades occur when people engage in the same acts as someone else, despite possible contradictions between those acts and private information (Easley, 2010). 24 In the case of Twitter, information cascades happen when people retweet messages of someone else, despite information or possible bias of their own. In this thesis, I will not elaborate on the mathematical models concerning information propagation and information cascades. I will, however, dig a little deeper into Twitter use during crisis situations and the lifespan of URL’s and hashtags. Hui et al. (2012) found that, during emergencies or crisis events, information cascades tend to be wide, reaching a large audience, but not very long. Most retweeted messages only got retweeted once, thus ending the short cascade. They also stated that people mostly tend to retweet messages from reliable sources or people with a high in-degree; i.e. people who can provide valuable information. In their case study, Hui et al. revealed that local media users and certain key players within the community got retweeted the most. Sadikov & Martinez (2010) executed research on the lifespan of URL’s and hashtags in information cascades on Twitter. They proved that external sources have a significant contribution to the propagation of URL’s and hashtags. Furthermore, they stated that hashtags form relatively large cascades, that start merging into one giant cascade over time, while URL’s travel a way shorter distance in smaller cascades. Additionally, Sadikov & Martinez found that “the probability of a tag is directly related to the number of neighbors who already adopted [the tag] and the strengths of ties with them”. This is not the case for URL’s. 25 2 Research design 26 2.1. Scope & research question As aforementioned, communicating during crises is essential for companies as well as governmental bodies. Companies communicate to inform their stakeholders and to prevent or limit image damage. Governmental bodies communicate to inform citizens so they maintain the public’s trust during and after the crisis. To do so, it is essential for them to understand the way people communicate before they start to communicate themselves. This is also the case on social media such as Twitter. As people communicate differently depending on which medium they use, social media in general – and specifically Twitter – entail different communication properties. In addition to countless cases in the past, Schultz, Utz and Goritz (2011) already proved that Twitter pages can be very effective means for crisis communication. When communicating via Twitter, however, people are being influenced by a number of elements, such as their own personality, social circle and external actors. It could be argued that news media have a major influence on the way people communicate. They create news articles, discuss events and distribute images and video footage. As a result, the influence of news media on Twitter during calamitous situations is an interesting research topic. The main goal of this thesis is to clarify the way people spread information, behavior and sensemaking during crises. It tries to measure the influence news websites and news broadcasts have on the use of Twitter during these situations. The underlying purpose is to provide social media analysts information concerning the use of Twitter during crisis situations. The following research question was set: What is the influence of news websites and news broadcasts on the spread of information, behavior and sensemaking on Twitter during and after fast-burning emergencies and disasters? 27 2.2. Methodology 2.2.1. General methodology & data collection The research is based on Twitter data from two cases, leading to a combination of a case study, content analysis and a quantitative approach to the data. In order to optimize the reliability of the research, I chose two totally different situations. However, the chosen events had to meet certain predetermined criteria. First of all, the usage of Twitter is entirely different in various countries. This is due to factors like population, cultural background, availability of technology, geographical location, and so on. The research focused on crises that happened in Flanders, Belgium. Furthermore, I chose crises of a different order of magnitude. In Belgium emergencies and disasters can be scaled up to a municipal, provincial and national phase. Since the national phase is hardly ever promulgated, I chose a provincial disaster and an emergency that was not scaled up at all. The most essential part for the research was getting data sets. Since Twitter’s archive is not available for the public, another way to get the data had to be found. Different ways were used to capture the data, entailing I had to make sure that all the data met the same requirements in order to conduct reliable research. The tweets from the car pile-up in Zonnebeke1 and the fire in Torhout (cfr. infra) were collected using Twitter’s search API (application programming interface). In general, it is possible to retrieve all tweets containing a key word or hashtag up to approximately seven days in the past. However, Twitter is not able to show all tweets with that key word or hashtag that were posted before those seven days. Only a small percentage (about 10 percent) will be available, depending on your own followers list, interactions and profile. When the car accident happened in Zonnebeke, all tweets about the accident with the hashtags #kettingbotsing and #A19 were collected. When the fire in Torhout started, all tweets containing the key words or hashtags “brand torhout”, “brand pitazaak”, “pitazaak torhout”, “brand pitabar”, “pitabar torhout”, “inferno torhout”, “inferno pitabar”, “inferno pitazaak” and “brand #torhout” were retrieved. Since the fire in Torhout had a smaller reach than the car accident in Zonnebeke, I had to base my dataset on more key words and hashtags. 1 Dutch researcher Harro Ranter collected these tweets. Via my internship, I got access to the data. 28 2.2.2. Lapse of the Twitter activity By examining the lapse of the Twitter activity, I tried to gain insight in when and how people tweet the most after crises. I tried to answer the following questions. How long does it take for the Twitter activity to reach is maximum? During which time periods do people tweet the most? What could influence the Twitter activity? How long do people keep tweeting about a crisis? Which types of tweets (cfr. infra) do people post the most, and when do they do it? In order to track down the evolution of the Twitter activity, time periods of half an hour were used to group the data. These time periods made it possible to visualize different data throughout the period after the events. Furthermore, I had to assign certain labels to different types of tweets. I used the following distinction: Original tweets (hereafter A tweet is labelled as an original tweet when the user added referred to as OT’s) own value to the tweet. Both “regular tweets” (e.g. when you take out your smartphone and send a tweet) and replies are considered original tweets, since the user adds own value to the message instead of merely passing on information. Following this reasoning, cited retweets or shares (cfr. infra) are also labelled as original tweets. 29 Retweets (hereafter Tweets are labelled as retweets when a user retweets messages referred to as RT’s) from other users without adding own value. In that case, the user just passes on the message. Shares All news sites have social media functionalities these days. When reading an article online, there is always a sharing menu that enables the user to share the article on social media. When doing this, a standard sentence is automatically added to the tweet. The tweet also links to the article. Only when a user does not add own value to the link, the tweet is considered as a share. Following the past reasoning, a shared article combined with added value by the user is labelled as an original tweet. 30 2.2.3. Information, behavior and sensemaking As aforementioned, there is a thin line between information and behavior, as they are both strictly objective in contradiction to sensemaking, which is strictly subjective. I therefore chose to group information and behavior on the one hand and keep sensemaking on the other hand. By analyzing information, behavior and sensemaking I tried to gain insight in the general tone of the communication after crises, since a predominantly emotional (subjective) tone requires a different approach to crisis communication in comparison to a predominantly objective tone. I hereby tried to answer the following questions. Do people predominantly tweet objective or do they mostly react emotionally? During which time periods do people tweet the most objective or subjective? What influences information and behavior on the one hand, and sensemaking on the other hand? I executed a content analysis on the collected tweets of both crises, labelling every tweet as an IB-tweet (information and behavior) or an S-tweet (sensemaking). I did not label tweets as both IB-tweets and S-tweets, since a tweet is in any case subjective when there is sensemaking, even if it has information and behavior in it. The same time periods of half an hour as mentioned before were used to group the data. Some examples: Information & behavior Sensemaking 31 2.2.4. Influence of news websites and news broadcasts By analyzing the influence of news websites and news broadcasts, I tried to gain insight in the way they could be applied to influence conversations on Twitter. I hereby tried to answer the following questions. How much of the tweets contain links to news articles? Do people merely share articles or do they add own value? Do people tweet differently during news broadcasts? What is the influence of news articles and news broadcasts on information, behavior and sensemaking? To analyze this influence of news websites on Twitter during fast-burning crises situations, I executed a quantitative research on the data by checking how many tweets contained a link to an article on the one hand and how many tweets were sent automatically by sharing a news article on the other hand. Furthermore, I examined possible changes in the lapse of the Twitter activity and information, behavior and sensemaking during news broadcasts. 2.3. Cases 2.3.1. Car pile-up in Zonnebeke (December 3, 2013) At the end of 2013, thick fog caused a gigantic car pile-up on the A19 highway in Zonnebeke (West Flanders, Belgium) around 10 o’clock in the morning. Two people died in the accident, and more than 130 cars were involved in the accident. Furthermore, 68 more commuters got injured, some of them heavily. The emergency services immediately closed the freeway for the entire day. The biggest issue for the emergency services was the fact that a lot of the victims were stuck in their vehicles. Together with the Red Cross, the firemen installed a field hospital to help the victims. The provincial phase was promulgated for a few hours in order to gain control over the situation as soon as possible. The provincial phase got called off around 15 o’clock in the afternoon. Additionally, the newly established “Team D5” (Cfr. supra) reinforced the local communication functionaries. The events of December 3 got widely covered in local, national and even international media, making the hashtag #A19 trending in Belgium. 32 Image 2-1: The car accident resulted in a horrific pile of twisted steel. 2.3.2. Fire in a fast food restaurant in Torhout (April 1, 2014) On April 1, three-year old twins accidentally caused a fire in the fast food restaurant of their parents in Torhout. When the parents noticed the fire and went upstairs to rescue their children, the twins were already unconscious. They were quickly transported to the hospital, where one of them died during the night. His brother sadly died the next day. Other customers were overcome by toxic smoke and had to be treated. A lot of people followed the actions of the emergency services from a distance. One of them was a journalist, who was able to break the news to his redaction. This crisis did not get scaled up to the municipal level. In this case, the highest ranked fire officer at the scene spoke to the press on the scene. At a later stage, the Prosecution Counsel started the official investigation and communicated about the development of the situation and the investigation. 33 Image 2-2: Emergency services blocked the street for a while in order to take care of the victims. 34 3 Research findings 35 3.1. Lapse of the Twitter activity 3.1.1. Car pile-up in Zonnebeke At 9:41 o’clock, the first tweet about the car accident was posted. As this was a big disaster (that got scaled up to a provincial phase at some point), there immediately was a lot of media coverage. 3701 tweets were captured over a time period of 12 hours. 450 400 Tot. 350 RT's Shares OT's 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Figure 3-1: Twitter activity concerning the car pile-up in Zonnebeke. The first peak in the Twitter activity reaches its maximum around 11:30 o’clock in the morning (see figure 3-1). The peak is being caused by people retweeting messages. When the media broke the news, people started sharing news articles too. At that point, a smaller part of the tweets were original tweets. Around 2:00 o’clock, the first peak was over. That moment marked the beginning of a period with relatively low Twitter activity concerning the accident. During that period, there were more retweets than shares and more shares than original tweets. Around 18:30 o’clock, there is a second peak visible. Most tweets were original tweets during that peak. Furthermore, there clearly were more shares than retweets. In that aspect, the second peak is totally different in comparison with the first one. The peak ends around 20:00 o’clock. 36 3.1.2. Fire in a fast food restaurant in Torhout Since the fire in Torhout was a crisis on a relatively small scale, I chose to analyze a longer time period in order to be able to retrieve enough data to conduct reliable research. Furthermore, there still was a child who got fatally wounded during the fire. The child sadly died the next day. Those tweets were also included in the data set. 300 tweets were captured over a time period of approximately 22 hours. 45 40 Tot. RT's Shares OT's 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Figure 3-2: Twitter activity concerning the fire in Torhout. When the fire started to burst out, the first tweets were sent by people who were near the situation (see figure 3-2). During this phase, retweets caused the peak in the Twitter activity. When the first articles appeared on websites and social media of the local and national news media, sharing those articles exceeded retweeting tweets. From that point on, almost every peak in the Twitter activity was caused by people sharing articles. There are clearly three peaks visible. The first peak is caused by people breaking the news (cfr. supra) by retweeting and sharing articles (20:55-01:00 o’clock). The second one is caused by a press release saying that the fire was not alight intentionally (11:00-13:00 o’clock). The last peak is caused by the news that the second child had died in the hospital (15:00-17:00 o’clock). 37 3.1.3. Discussion The Twitter activity concerning a calamitous situation reaches its maximum quickly after the events. Additionally, the research showed that the first peak is generally caused by people wanting to spread and share information. This is mostly reflected in people retweeting others. People then tend to form less messages of their own, as they prefer spreading and sharing information during that stadium. Furthermore, the research showed that the amount of original tweets, retweets and shares generally converged after the car accident in Zonnebeke, whereas the Twitter activity of the fire in Torhout almost exclusively consisted of shares. Figure 3-3: The first peak in the lapse of the Twitter activity is generally caused by people wanting to spread and share information. 3.2. Information, behavior & sensemaking (IBS) 3.2.1. Car pile-up in Zonnebeke Immediately after the accident, there clearly were more tweets related to information and behavior than tweets related to sensemaking. The amount of sensemaking gradually increased, whereas the amount of information and behavior gradually lowered. Additionally, there are two time periods during which the curve shows a surprising deviation, i.e. between 12:00 and 13:30 o’clock and between 18:00 and 20:30 o’clock. The black lines are trend lines, intersecting each other during between 18:30 and 19:00 o’clock. 38 100,00% I&B S 90,00% 80,00% 70,00% 60,00% 50,00% 40,00% 30,00% 20,00% 10,00% 21u11 - 21u41 20u41 - 21u11 20u11 - 20u41 19u41 - 20u11 19u11 - 19u41 18u41 - 19u11 18u11 - 18u41 17u41 - 18u11 17u11 - 17u41 16u41 - 17u11 16u11 - 16u41 15u41 - 16u11 15u11 - 15u41 14u41 - 15u11 14u11 - 14u41 13u41 - 14u11 13u11 - 13u41 12u41 - 13u11 12u11 - 12u41 11u41 - 12u11 11u11 - 11u41 10u41 - 11u11 10u11 - 10u41 9u41 - 10u11 0,00% Figure 3-4: Visualization of the ratio between the percentage of IB-tweets and S-tweets concerning the car pile-up in Zonnebeke. 3.2.2. Fire in a fast food restaurant in Leuven When labelling the tweets as IB-tweets and S-tweets, it became clear that there hardly was any sensemaking on Twitter during and after the fire. People especially posted messages related to information and behavior. When looking at the curve, there is one peak visible. However, that peak is not representative, since there only was one tweet sent during that time period. That tweet just happened to be an S-tweet. There were no tweets posted during the time periods where the curve is interrupted. The black lines are trend lines. 39 120% 100% 80% 60% %IB %S 40% 20% 0% Figure 3-5: Visualization of the ratio between the percentage of IB-tweets and S-tweets concerning the fire in Torhout. 3.2.3. Discussion The research showed that the scale of the studied situations determined the amount of sensemaking on Twitter. Following this reasoning, it could be argued that major crisis situations will lead to more sensemaking, while minor crisis situations will lead to more messages related information and behavior. Generally, the amount of sensemaking gradually increases over time, while the amount of information and behavior gradually lowers. The amount of information, behavior and sensemaking remains more or less stable over time during minor crisis situations. In contrast, the amount of information, behavior and sensemaking during major crisis situations evolves quickly. In that case, information and behavior are gradually being replaced by sensemaking. This might be explained by the lapse of the Twitter activity (see 3.1.: lapse of the Twitter activity). When disaster strikes, people tend to spread and share information to break the news. As a result, this often is operational information – and thus related to information and behavior. Over time, people will have received all operational information that is available. This could give people the space to interpret all the information and form their own opinions and evaluations. 40 3.3. Influence of news websites & news broadcasts 3.3.1. News websites 3.3.1.1. Car pile-up in Zonnebeke Of all 3701 collected tweets, a total of 1612 tweets (43%) contained a link to a news article. 773 tweets (21%) were directly posted via news website by sharing news articles. The user did not add any value to these tweets. Of all 1991 retweets, 698 tweets (35%) contained links to news articles. While the percentage of retweets that contain links remains more or less stable all the time (around 35%), the curve shows a clear kink in the curve between 18:00 and 20:00 o’clock. It might be argued that this was being caused by the news broadcasts at that time (see 3.3.3.: news broadcasts). 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 21u11 > 21u41 20u41 > 21u11 20u11 > 20u41 19u41 > 20u11 19u11 > 19u41 18u41 > 19u11 18u11 > 18u41 13u41 > 14u11 17u41 > 18u11 13u11 > 13u41 17u11 > 17u41 12u41 > 13u11 16u41 > 17u11 12u11 > 12u41 16u11 > 16u41 11u41 > 12u11 15u41 > 16u11 11u11 > 11u41 15u11 > 15u41 10u41 > 11u11 14u41 > 15u11 10u11 > 10u41 14u11 > 14u41 9u41 > 10u11 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Figure 3-6: The percentage of retweets that contain links to news articles reaches its lowest point between 18:00 and 20:00 o’clock. 41 3.3.1.2. Fire in Torhout Of all 300 collected tweets, a total of 259 tweets (86%) contained a link to a news article. 187 tweets (62%) were directly posted via news website by sharing news articles. The user did not add any value to these tweets. Of all 74 retweets, 59 tweets (80%) contained links to news articles. 3.3.2. News broadcasts 3.3.2.1. Car pile-up in Zonnebeke The car pile-up in Zonnebeke got covered the more by news media than the fire in Torhout. During the studied time period, there were four news broadcasts: at 12:00, 13:00, 18:00 and 19:00 o’clock. The news broadcasts at 12:00 o’clock were extra broadcasts by VTM and Een. Firstly, there is a clear link visible between the peaks in the Twitter activity and the news broadcasts. When there was a news broadcast, there were more tweets concerning the events during that time period. When the broadcast was over, the Twitter activity lowered again. Figure 3-7: The Twitter activity peaks during news broadcasts, indicated by the grey areas. 42 Furthermore, news broadcasts seem to affect the types of tweets sent during the broadcast as well. Especially during these news broadcasts, it is clearly visible that people posted more original tweets instead of sharing and retweeting. It might be argued that the news broadcasts unconsciously incited people to tweet themselves by showing confronting footage of the events. Figure 3-8: During news broadcasts indicated by grey areas, people tend to post more original tweets (OT’s) instead of merely sharing information. 3.3.2.2. Fire in a fast food restaurant in Torhout Although the dramatic events were shortly mentioned during news broadcasts, they did not influence the use of Twitter. This might be due to the fact that the fire just got briefly mentioned, whereas the car pile-up in Zonnebeke occupied almost the entire broadcast and even led to extra broadcasts. Additionally, the fire started after 20h. A lot of people only heard about the fire the next day. When looking at the curve, three peaks are visible. However, these peaks are not caused by news broadcasts (see 3.1.: lapse of Twitter activity). 43 3.3.3. Discussion The research proved that news websites and news broadcasts have a major impact on the spread of information, behavior and sensemaking on Twitter during and after fast-burning emergencies or disasters. When looking at online news articles, the research concluded that they influence a major part of the tweets concerning an emergency or disaster. Especially during small-scale situations, it became clear that the websites of news media have the most influence of the conversations that are being held. During and after the fire in Torhout, more than 80% of the Tweets contained a link to an article. More than half of the tweets consisted of a shared article and the automatic message came with sharing that link. Additionally, 80% of all retweets linked to online news articles. As a result, online news articles determine the conversations being held on Twitter concerning small-scale emergency situations. During the large-scale disaster I analyzed, 43% of the tweets contained a link to news articles. One fifth of all tweets were merely shared articles and automatic messages that came with them. Additionally, 35% of all retweets contained links to news articles. News articles thus control conversations on Twitter concerning a large-scale disaster to a lesser extent. When looking at the news broadcasts, the research showed that they play a bigger role in major crisis situations than in smaller ones. First of all, it seems that news broadcasts cause a peak in the Twitter activity. When there is a news broadcast, there are more tweets concerning the events during that time period. When the news broadcast is over, the Twitter activity gradually lowers again. Furthermore, they incite people to form their own messages instead of sharing or passing on information of others, often leading to more sensemaking than information or behavior. During and after the small-scale situation I analyzed, those trends were not visible at all. News broadcasts thus control conversations on Twitter concerning a small-scale disaster to a lesser extent. 44 4 Conclusions 45 The research showed that news articles are more suitable to spread information and behavior on Twitter during crisis situation, whereas news broadcasts clearly incite people to react more emotionally, thus leading to more sensemaking. Furthermore, the research proved that people tend to spread more news articles during small-scale situations than during large-scale situations. During those large-scale situations, the conversations are being influenced by news broadcasts to a bigger extent. As a result, there is way more sensemaking during large-scale situations than during small-scale situations, while there is significantly more information and behavior during small-scale situations than during large-scale situations. It could be argued that media with low media richness are more appropriate to communicate information and behavior, whereas media with high media richness are necessary to communicate about sensemaking. Daft & Lengel introduced their Media Richness Theory in 1984. In this theory, they argue that different situations demand for different media to communicate through, since the specifications of each medium determines the quality of the communication of a message. Furthermore, they stated that media with low media richness are more suitable to spread simple, factual messages, whereas media with high media richness are more suitable to spread more complicated and emotionally loaded messages. For crisis communication teams, this implies that the scale of the situation determines the way people communicate on Twitter concerning that situation. When it is a small-scale situation, it suffices to focus on media with low media richness. That way, they can influence and maybe even control the conversations on Twitter. However, when it is a large-scale situation, it is not that simple. During these situations, crisis communication teams will have to spend more time on media with high media richness, since they incite people to make their own interpretation of the situation and form their own messages. 46 3 References 47 Archer, D. (2013). Smartphone addiction. Geraadpleegd op 28 maart 2014 via http://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/reading-between-the-headlines/201307/smartphoneaddiction Beckett, C. (2008). SuperMedia: saving journalism so it can save the world. Hoboken: WileyBlackwell. Bengston, D.N., Fan, D.P., Reed, P. & Goldhor-Wilcock, A. (2009). 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Image 1-2: IBS-analysis executed during a recent bomb threat in Antwerp. Image 2-1: The car accident resulted in a horrific pile of twisted steel. Image 2-2: Emergency services blocked the street for a while in order to take care of the victims. Figure 3-1: Twitter activity concerning the car pile-up in Zonnebeke. Figure 3-2: Twitter activity concerning the fire in Torhout. Figure 3-3: The first peak in the lapse of the Twitter activity is generally caused by people wanting to spread and share information. Figure 3-4: Visualization of the ratio between the percentage of IB-tweets and S-tweets concerning the car pile-up in Zonnebeke. Figure 3-5: Visualization of the ratio between the percentage of IB-tweets and S-tweets concerning the fire in Torhout. Figure 3-6: The percentage of retweets that contain links to news articles reaches its lowest point between 18h and 20h. Figure 3-7: The Twitter activity peaks during news broadcasts, indicated by the grey areas. Figure 3-8: During news broadcasts indicated by grey areas, people tend to post more original tweets (OT’s) instead of merely sharing information. 53 2 Appendices Appendix 1: Processed dataset of the car pile-up (Twitter activity) Appendix 2: Processed dataset of the car pile-up (IBS) Appendix 3: Processed dataset of the fire (Twitter activity) Appendix 4: Processed dataset of the fire (IBS) 54 Appendix 1: Processed dataset of the car pile-up (Twitter activity) Tot. RT's Shares OT's 9u41 - 10u11 67 46 2 19 10u11 - 10u41 127 60 50 17 10u41 - 11u11 277 170 72 35 11u11 - 11u41 424 256 106 69 11u41 - 12u11 401 242 42 117 12u11 - 12u41 380 221 63 96 12u41 - 13u11 305 161 61 83 13u11 - 13u41 294 155 87 52 13u41 - 14u11 145 69 40 36 14u11 - 14u41 155 97 28 30 14u41 - 15u11 123 66 31 26 15u11 - 15u41 85 48 16 21 15u41 - 16u11 94 49 21 24 16u11 - 16u41 70 27 13 30 16u41 - 17u11 75 38 18 19 17u11 - 17u41 62 28 12 22 17u41 - 18u11 92 41 15 36 18u11 - 18u41 58 24 12 22 18u41 - 19u11 107 34 10 63 19u11 - 19u41 143 52 21 70 19u41 - 20u11 57 30 10 17 20u11 - 20u41 58 30 11 17 20u41 - 21u11 61 27 19 15 21u11 - 21u41 41 20 13 8 55 Appendix 2: Processed dataset of the car pile-up (IBS) I&B S 9u41 - 10u11 98,51% 1,49% 10u11 - 10u41 96,06% 3,94% 10u41 - 11u11 86,64% 13,16% 11u11 - 11u41 88,92% 11,08% 11u41 - 12u11 75,56% 24,44% 12u11 - 12u41 78,16% 21,84% 12u41 - 13u11 68,85% 31,15% 13u11 - 13u41 81,97% 18,03% 13u41 - 14u11 82,75% 17,25% 14u11 - 14u41 74,84% 25,16% 14u41 - 15u11 72,36% 27,64% 15u11 - 15u41 76,47% 23,53% 15u41 - 16u11 73,41% 26,59% 16u11 - 16u41 64,29% 35,71% 16u41 - 17u11 66,67% 33,33% 17u11 - 17u41 53,23% 46,77% 17u41 - 18u11 35,87% 64,13% 18u11 - 18u41 39,66% 60,34% 18u41 - 19u11 22,43% 77,57% 19u11 - 19u41 23,08% 76,92% 19u41 - 20u11 33,33% 66,67% 20u11 - 20u41 50% 50% 20u41 - 21u11 55,74% 44,26% 21u11 - 21u41 63,42% 36,58% 56 Appendix 3: Processed dataset of the fire (Twitter activity) 20u55 - 21u30 21u30 - 22u 22u - 22u30 22u30 - 23u 23u - 23u30 23u30 - 00u 00u - 00u30 00u30 - 01u 01u - 01u30 01u30 - 02u 02u - 02u30 02u30 - 03u 03u - 03u30 03u30 - 04u 04u - 04u30 04u30 - 05u 05u - 05u30 05u30 - 06u 06u - 06u30 06u30 - 07u 07u - 07u30 07u30 - 08u 08u - 08u30 08u30 - 09u 09u - 09u30 09u30 - 10u 10u - 10u30 10u30 - 11u 11u - 11u30 11u30 - 12u 12u - 12u30 12u30 - 13u 13u - 13u30 13u30 - 14u 14u - 14u30 14u30 - 15u 15u - 15u30 15u30 - 16u 16u - 16u30 16u30 - 17u 17u - 17u30 17u30 - 18u Tot. RT's Shares OT's 26 34 14 16 39 20 21 5 3 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 3 0 1 3 9 3 3 3 0 1 0 0 5 12 2 4 2 6 3 5 20 8 7 5 11 13 16 5 7 4 3 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 2 4 2 0 3 2 7 12 5 8 34 16 18 3 3 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 3 6 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 5 12 2 0 2 5 1 0 14 5 6 2 5 6 6 4 1 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 3 2 1 1 0 4 57 Appendix 4: Processed dataset of the fire (IBS) %IB 20u55 - 21u30 21u30 - 22u 22u - 22u30 22u30 - 23u 23u - 23u30 23u30 - 00u 00u - 00u30 00u30 - 01u 01u - 01u30 01u30 - 02u 02u - 02u30 02u30 - 03u 03u - 03u30 03u30 - 04u 04u - 04u30 04u30 - 05u 05u - 05u30 05u30 - 06u 06u - 06u30 06u30 - 07u 07u - 07u30 07u30 - 08u 08u - 08u30 08u30 - 09u 09u - 09u30 09u30 - 10u 10u - 10u30 10u30 - 11u 11u - 11u30 11u30 - 12u 12u - 12u30 12u30 - 13u 13u - 13u30 13u30 - 14u 14u - 14u30 14u30 - 15u 15u - 15u30 15u30 - 16u 16u - 16u30 16u30 - 17u 17u - 17u30 17u30 - 18u %S 100% 85,30% 78,60% 100% 94,90% 100% 95,20% 100% 100% 100% 0,00% 14,70% 21,40% 0,00% 5,10% 0,00% 4,80% 0,00% 0,00% 0,00% 100% 100% 0,00% 0,00% 100% 0,00% 100% 100% 100% 33,30% 66,70% 66,70% 0,00% 0,00% 0,00% 66,70% 33,30% 33,30% 0% 100,00% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 66,70% 100% 90% 100% 85,70% 80% 81,80% 0,00% 0,00% 0,00% 0,00% 0,00% 0,00% 33,30% 0,00% 10,00% 0,00% 14,30% 20,00% 18,20% 58 Tot. IB S 26 34 14 16 39 20 21 5 3 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 3 0 1 3 9 3 3 3 0 1 0 0 5 12 2 4 2 6 3 5 20 8 7 5 11 26 29 11 16 37 20 20 5 3 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 3 0 1 3 9 1 2 2 0 0 0 0 5 12 2 4 2 6 2 5 18 8 6 4 9 0 5 3 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 PUBLICATIE VAN DE BACHELORPROEF Ik, ondergetekende Robbert Meulemeester, geef de Hogeschool West-Vlaanderen hierbij de toelating om het eindwerk met als titel: “An analysis of the influence of news websites and news broadcasts on the spread of information, behavior and sensemaking on Twitter during and after fast-burning emergencies and disasters” evenals alle nuttige en praktische informatie omtrent dit eindwerk op te nemen in een daartoe speciaal opgezette databank (http://dspace.howest.be) en deze databank via het internet toegankelijk te maken voor alle mogelijke geïnteresseerden. Ik geef de hogeschool eveneens de toelating het eindwerk of stukken daaruit te gebruiken voor afgeleide producten, zoals daar zijn: abstractenverzamelingen en catalogi. Voor de opname van de samenvatting van mijn eindwerk in de databank en voor het gebruik van de afgeleide producten vraag ik geen vergoeding aan de Hogeschool West-Vlaanderen. Mijn toestemming geldt voor de hele beschermingsduur van mijn eindwerk. Indien ik in de eerste examenkans niet geslaagd ben en het eindwerk moet herschrijven, vervalt deze toelating automatisch. Ik verklaar dat mijn werk onuitgegeven is en garandeer aan de Hogeschool West-Vlaanderen het volle en onbezwaarde genot van de afgestane rechten, tegen welke verstoring, vordering of ontzetting ook, zowel voor de teksten als voor de documenten die ze illustreren. Ik zal de Hogeschool West-Vlaanderen vrijwaren tegen alle aanspraken van derden. Datum: 2 juni 2014 Plaats: Kortrijk Handtekening student: 59