Understanding Diversification
Transcription
Understanding Diversification
505 N 210th St. Omaha, NE 68022 Tel. Fax 402.330.1166 800.397.1167 402.333.4297 www.manarin.com Understanding Diversification by Aron Huddleston, CFA Fall 2014 Issue “The only investors who shouldn’t diversify are those who are right 100% of the time.” -Sir John Templeton In This Issue... Diversification is a cornerstone of Manarin’s investment portfolios. We believe it is prudent to diversify among asset categories, industries, and nations. Proper diversification requires an understanding of correlation. Correlation is a statistical measure of how two assets move in relation to each other. The correlation measurement is expressed as a number between -1 and +1. A zero correlation indicates no relationship between two assets. A +1 indicates an absolute positive correlation (they always move together in the same direction). A -1 indicates an absolute negative correlation (they always move together in opposite directions of each other). The goal of a diversified portfolio is to include assets that behave differently (low or negative correlation) from other assets in your portfolio. Understanding Diversification...... pg 1-2 Words to the Wise.......................... pg 2-3 Firm Offers Presentations................ pg 3 Positive Changes Add Value............ pg 4 Welcome Philip Mead....................... pg 4 Charitable Remainder Trusts........... pg 5 Desk Calendar................................... pg 6 Roland’s Birthday Party.................... pg 6 Closely Followed Funds................... pg 7 Manarin Investment Counsel offers free Wealth-Building Classes. For more information or to register, please call us at: 402.330.1166 (Omaha) 800.397.1167 (Toll Free) or register online at www.manarin.com Taxes Defined: A fine is a tax for doing something wrong. A tax is a fine for doing something right. Investment products offered through Manarin Securities Corporation, member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services provided through Manarin Investment Counsel, Ltd, an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. This newsletter is for educational purposes only and should not be used as the basis for any investment decision. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Diversification can enable you to participate in the gains when certain sectors are in favor, and it can lessen portfolio swings, helping to smooth out volatility and returns. This is important when you understand that a 100% gain is needed to offset a 50% loss. This math is central to our motivation for prioritizing riskadjusted, longer-term returns within the portfolios we construct for our clients. The media most often talks about the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) as benchmarks for the stock market. However, they can actually be quite misleading as benchmarks for a truly diversified portfolio. The S&P 500 and the DJIA are comprised of large, U.S.-based companies. Our portfolios go well beyond holding only these types of companies. We diversify into additional areas such as: small and mid-sized companies; international companies, including holdings based in developed countries and emerging market countries; and gold and gold-mining companies. It would not be prudent to hold all of our assets in only one area of the market. Diversification has been and will always be an integral part of our consistent, disciplined approach to managing money. We do not plan to change our approach in order to attempt to outperform any market benchmark in the short-run. We believe we are investors for life and make portfolio decisions based on fundamentals. We allocate capital to areas identified as undervalued with the potential to provide above-average, long-term returns relative to risk. Manarin portfolios are benchmark agnostic in our quest for value. Our No. 1 priority is to continue working hard as stewards of your hard earned savings. CFA® and Chartered Financial Analyst® are trademarks owned by CFA Institute. One of Manarin’s Governing Principles is that we will communicate our beliefs as candidly as possible, because we believe our clients benefit from understanding our investment philosophy and approach. This newsletter intends to offer factual and up-to-date information on the subjects discussed, but should not be regarded as a complete analysis of these subjects. Our views and opinions regarding investment selection, holdings, and the market are forward looking statements which may or may not be accurate over the long term. While we believe we have a reasonable basis for our appraisals and we have confidence in our opinions, actual results may differ materially from those we anticipate. We use forward looking statements like “believe,” “expect,” or “anticipate” or other similar expressions when discussing our opinions however we cannot assure future results and achievements. No party assumes liability for any loss or damage resulting from errors or omissions or reliance on or use of this material. It should not be assumed that any of the securities transactions or holdings discussed were or will prove to be profitable, or that the investment recommendations or decisions we make in the future will be profitable or will equal the investment performance of the securities discussed herein. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Diversification does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. All investments involve risk, including loss of principal. The Standard & Poor’s 500® Index is a capitalizationweighted index of 500 stocks. The index is designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the aggregate market value of 500 stocks representing all major industries. This index is widely used by professional investors as a performance benchmark for large-cap stocks. Visit http://us.spindices. com for more information regarding Standard & Poor’s indices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average™, also referred to as The Dow®, is a price-weighted measure of 30 U.S. bluechip companies. The index is designed to represent large and well-known U.S. companies which covers all industries with the exception of Transportation and Utilities. Visit http://www.djindexes.com/ for more information regarding Dow Jones indices. This newsletter intends to offer factual and up-to-date information on the subjects discussed, but should not be regarded as a complete analysis of these subjects. No party assumes liability for any loss or damage resulting from errors or omissions or reliance on or use of this material. Words to the Wise by Dave Blair I believe the words of successful wealth advisors can be profound, insightful and instructive. So I decided to compile some memorable quotes focused on a few popular topics from successful financial advisors, including Peter Lynch, Warren Buffett, Dave Ramsey and Sir John Templeton. I hope their words are inspiring to you as well, as you continue your journey with us. Investment products offered through Manarin Securities Corporation, member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services provided through Manarin Investment Counsel, Ltd, an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. This newsletter is for educational purposes only and should not be used as the basis for any investment decision. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. 2 FALL 2014 On Market Timing: • “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” — Peter Lynch • “Our stay-put behavior reflects our view that the stock market serves as a relocation center at which money is moved from the active to the patient.” — Warren Buffett • “I can’t recall ever once having seen the name of a market timer on Forbes’ annual list of the richest people in the world. If it were truly possible to predict corrections, you’d think somebody would have made billions by doing it.” — Peter Lynch Simply put, successful market timing requires two perfect decisions and nobody makes two perfect decisions all the time. People who claim to possess the ability to time the market, however, do sell a lot of newsletters. We advise our clients to stay invested in quality ownership positions, cross their arms and wait. On Planning: • “Financial Peace isn’t the acquisition of stuff. It’s learning to live on less than you make, so you can give money back and have money to invest. You can’t win until you do this.” — Dave Ramsey • “I would not pre-pay. I would invest instead and let the investments cover it.” — Dave Ramsey Keep in mind that high-interest-rate credit card debt often becomes a cycle very difficult to escape. We advise our clients to pay off high-interest-rate debt as soon as possible, and keep the low-interest-rate debt. Financial planning is nothing more than identifying who you are, where you are, where you wish to go, and how to best get there. On Emotion: • “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.” — Warren Buffett • “To buy when others are despondently selling and to sell when others are avidly buying requires the greatest fortitude and pays the greatest ultimate rewards” — Sir John Templeton Many people fail because of emotional decisions. Sound counsel helps to work through the emotion. On Education: • “An investment in knowledge pays the best interest.” — Benjamin Franklin • “Invest in yourself. Your career is the engine of your wealth.” — Paul Clitheroe • “The four most dangerous words in investing are: ‘This time it’s different.’” — Sir John Templeton At Manarin Investment Counsel, we believe education is fundamental to your investment process, providing you with the tools to make the best decisions for your financial future. Take advantage of the financial education opportunities we offer. Attend our free Wealth Building Classes. Listen to our radio show. Or check out our commentary on our website and blog at www.manarin.com. And as always, never hesitate to call us at 402.330.1166 or come in to review your situation. Firm Offers Presentations in Denver and Omaha in September Roland will present “The Good, The Bad and The Ugly” again at the next series of Workshops @ Manarin presentations, planned for Tuesday, Nov. 11 at 2 p.m. and 7 p.m. at the firm’s offices, 505 The firm offered two presentations in September, focused on N. 210th Street. issues that matter to clients and their families. Call the firm at 402.330.1166 to register today. On Sept. 15, the firm offered a series of workshops titled “Openness and Transparency: Understanding the Advantages of Manarin Investment Counsel’s Model Portfolios,” which were designed to answer questions and provide insights to clients who hold these portfolios. During the workshops, which were collectively attended by about 60 clients, Vice President Aron Huddleston, Managing Director Brad Grubb and Operations Manager Dawn Claussen provided an overview of the firm’s investment process; a description of the Investment Committee; and information about online access to TD Ameritrade accounts, among other topics. On Sept. 16, Roland Manarin provided a presentation titled “The Good, The Bad and The Ugly,” for 21 clients and business associates at Panzano in Denver. The presentation focused on issues of concern in today’s political and economic climate, including government spending, debt, foreign policy, and the Federal Reserve, and how these issues can affect the stock market and investments. More than 20 people attended Roland Manarin’s presentation on “The Good, the Bad and the Ugly” in Denver at Panzano. Investment products offered through Manarin Securities Corporation, member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services provided through Manarin Investment Counsel, Ltd, an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. This newsletter is for educational purposes only and should not be used as the basis for any investment decision. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. 3 FALL 2014 Positive Changes Add Value for Clients By Brad Grubb, Managing Director The former CEO of General Electric Jack Welch once famously said: “Change before you have to.” Because change is part of business, it’s part of staying ahead in business and part of being the best for those you serve. We’ve gone through a number of changes at Manarin Investment Counsel over the past few months, nearly all of which are positive movements for our clients and firm. As we move toward the end of the year, I’d like to reflect back on some of our major changes and share with you some of our plans for 2015 and beyond! Major changes during 2014 included: • Our new team focus. Today, everyone at Manarin sings from the same hymn notes when it comes to investing your hard-earned money. Our collective experience directs our Investment Committee to ensure we select the money managers and companies that will benefit you for the long haul. You can rest comfortably knowing we have a team constantly monitoring the markets, economy and world events. • New faces. So far this year, we’ve welcomed three new advisors to the firm. Our latest addition, Phil Mead, CFA, brings more than 25 years of experience in the Omaha financial industry. As a Chartered Financial Analyst charterholder, Phil will add a wealth of professional experience to Manarin’s Investment Committee and to our clients. • New service offerings: Beginning this month, the firm’s offerings expanded to include insurance policy reviews, long-term care and tax savings strategies for you, your families and your friends. We have partnered with a nationally recognized agency that works with over 50 insurance companies. This means you have a variety of choices from which to choose and an added team of experts who can answer your questions. Plans for 2015 will include: • Online access to your accounts. Beginning in the first quarter of next year, you will have expanded opportunities to view your consolidated accounts with Manarin. • Improved communication. We will continue to expand our education offerings, providing even more opportunities for you to hear Roland, Aron and the entire Team Manarin at events and workshops. Additionally, you can now hear our radio show, “It’s Your Money” broadcast every Sunday on 99.1 KMA-FM, in addition to 9 a.m. on 1110 KFAB. Check www.manarin.com for more information and past broadcasts. • Outsourcing brokerage paperwork. In the coming weeks, you’ll learn more about the next evolution of Manarin Securities, designed to improve our backoffice efficiency and increase the amount of time we can spend with clients. Thank you for your continued loyalty and trust as we go through these changes – changes that are necessary for our business and intended to improve your experience as you continue to plan your financial future. If you have any questions, please don’t hesitate to give me a call at 402.330.1166 or email me at brad@ manarin.com Philip Mead, CFA, Joins Manarin Team Manarin Investment Counsel is pleased to welcome Philip Mead, CFA, as the firm’s newest wealth advisor and member of the Investment Committee. Phil comes to Manarin with more than 25 years of experience in the Omaha financial industry. “We are thrilled that Phil has joined our growing team,” said Managing Director Brad Grubb. “His knowledge and experience will add tremendous value to our Investment Committee and our clients.” For the past 14 years, Phil served as the Chief Investment Officer at Feltz WealthPLAN. In this role, Phil was responsible for portfolio development, client communication, strategic investment management and businesses development. Prior to working at Feltz, Phil was a portfolio manager for CLS Investments, LLC. Throughout his career, Phil has been actively involved in the CFA Society of Nebraska, serving as its president from 2008-2009, and on the board of directors for seven years. In addition to an MBA and a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation, Phil holds Series 7, 24, 65 and 66 securities licenses. Phil and his wife live in Blair, Neb. They have a daughter who attends the University of Nebraska-Lincoln and a son who attends high school in Blair. Phil can be reached on the firm’s main line, 402-330-1166, or at phil@ manarin.com. CFA® and Chartered Financial Analyst® are trademarks owned by CFA Institute. Investment products offered through Manarin Securities Corporation, member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services provided through Manarin Investment Counsel, Ltd, an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. This newsletter is for educational purposes only and should not be used as the basis for any investment decision. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. 4 FALL 2014 A Good Time to Consider Charitable Remainder Trusts (Part II) By Dennis Peatrowsky, J.D. In the summer issue of The Quarterly, I wrote a piece on charitable remainder trusts (CRTs), which included a definition of what they are, a review of how they are structured and reasons why a CRT should be considered for estate planning. As you might recall, a CRT is created when a donor transfers securities or other appreciated properties to a trust. With a CRT, the donor retains an income stream for the rest of his life, and the remaining assets and property that were contributed (i.e., the remainder) pass to a charity of the donor’s choice at his death. In this issue, I will offer “Part II” of this discussion, which will include an explanation of the potential benefits of a CRT and some examples of when a CRT should be considered. Potential benefits of a CRT include: 1. An acceptable return on investment. Studies show that the average age of an individual creating a CRT is 68 years old. At this point in life, many investors are experiencing significant capital gains on their property and investments. Since CRTs generally last about 15 years, they often provide acceptable investment returns. 2. Exclusion from taxable income. The money that is given to charity via a CRT doesn’t pass through the donor’s taxable income. Also, the charitable portion of the trust payments may not be subject to any deduction limitations on traditional charitable gifts, apply to recently proposed adjusted gross income limits, maximum limits on tax brackets, or existing Pease reductions. 3. Tax benefits. CRTs offer a way to make testamentary charitable gifts, while providing lifetime tax benefits. CRTs also work with other traditional tax planning measures, such as deductions, tax-free diversification, professional asset management and some asset protection vehicles. While CRTs shouldn’t be considered by everyone, they can be a positive solution for specific situations. A few of these situations include: • A 60-year-old who needs income for a 10-year period before making mandatory withdrawals from a retirement plan. A CRT with a fixed-percentage payout rate for a period of 10 years offers both inflation protection and a natural “stop” if a significant erosion of principal occurs. • A young, disabled individual. A CRT provides an income interest for a younger person with disabilities that prevent him from working for the rest of his life. • An owner of a rental property or an investor in stocks with large capital gains. A CRT can be used to reduce or avoid the surtax and the incremental 5% capital gains tax by smoothing out income and trying to keep income below the threshold amounts. • A farmer with a large crop. Farmers can place their assets into a CRT in exchange for tax deductions, stability of income and legacy gifts to their favorite charitable organization. The availability of fiduciary services to assist trustees and charities with CRTs has continued to increase over the past couple of decades. Individuals and their advisors now have access to more advanced software and automated tax tools to help them through the process. In addition, proponents are hoping that Congress will take action to help donors even more through vehicles such as the Camp Proposal for tax reform. This proposal, which was introduced in February, didn’t include any provisions that would place direct limits on CRTs or other split-interest charitable gifts. Trustees should be aware that CRTs often include trust asset portfolios that are managed by investment advisors. Therefore, trustees should carefully consider their investment and risk parameters when creating their CRT. These parameters must be clearly understood and agreed to by asset managers. Working together, all parties can, in good faith, achieve results that overcome any seemingly conflicting goals. Please feel free to contact me at 402.330.1166 or [email protected] if you have any specific questions about charitable remainder trusts or how they might impact your situation. Investment products offered through Manarin Securities Corporation, member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services provided through Manarin Investment Counsel, Ltd, an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. This newsletter is for educational purposes only and should not be used as the basis for any investment decision. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. 5 FALL 2014 2015 Desk Calendars Available at the Office in December A limited number of 2015 desk calendars will be available to clients at the Manarin Investment Counsel office starting the first week of December. The firm decided to discontinue mailing the desk calendars to all clients around the holiday season this year because several clients have indicated they use online or mobile resources for their calendar needs. Clients who are still interested in receiving a Manarin desk calendar should call the office at 402.330.1166 to reserve their calendar. They may pick it up at the office or request mail delivery to their home. Supplies are limited. Join Roland for his 70th Birthday Celebration! All clients are invited to join Roland Manarin for his 70th birthday celebration, planned for Saturday, Nov. 1 at Il Palazzo, 5110 N. 132nd Street, the new home of the American Italian Heritage Society. The evening will begin at 6:30 p.m. with cocktails, and will be followed by dinner catered by Pasta Amore. The celebration will end with dancing featuring The Rumbles. Please RSVP by calling the Manarin office at 402.330.1166 by Oct. 15. Seating is limited, so clients are encouraged to call early to guarantee their seats. Happy Birthday, Roland! HAPPY BIRTHDAY! Investment products offered through Manarin Securities Corporation, member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services provided through Manarin Investment Counsel, Ltd, an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. This newsletter is for educational purposes only and should not be used as the basis for any investment decision. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. 6 FALL 2014 CLOSELY FOLLOWED FUNDS Information Source: Morningstar Direct Additional performance information can be found at manarin.com Disclosures: Return information through September 30, 2014. Please read prospectus carefully before investing. The performance data quoted represents past performance. Past performance is not an indication of future returns. Investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that investors’ shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. The information provided in this report should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. There is no assurance that any securities discussed herein will remain in an account’s portfolio at the time you receive this report or that securities sold have not been repurchased. The securities discussed do not represent an account’s entire portfolio and in the aggregate may represent only a small percentage of an account’s portfolio holdings. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Investment products offered through Manarin Securities Corporation, member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services provided through Manarin Investment Counsel, Ltd, an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. This newsletter is for educational purposes only and should not be used as the basis for any investment decision. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. 7 FALL 2014 505 N 210th St. Omaha, NE 68022 Wealth-Building Classes It’s Your Money Omaha’s longest-running radio talk show on financial matters, since 1986. You may also listen to the latest four radio shows online anytime on our web site at: www.manarin.com/radio-show or on iTunes by visiting http://podcast.manarin.com Each class is an excellent source for financial planning information and has helped many people plan and provide for their future by learning how to build and maintain wealth. For more information or to register, please call us at: 402.330.1166 (Omaha), 800.397.1167 (Toll Free), or register online at www.manarin.com. Manarin Investment Counsel Where/When Station ID/Dial Nebraska/Iowa Sundays at 9 a.m. KFAB 1110 AM 505 N. 210th St. Omaha, Nebraska 68022 (3 Part Class) Thursdays, October 30th, November 6th & 13th Courtyard Marriot, Aksarben Village The opinions contained herein are those of Manarin Investment Counsel, Ltd., and are subject to change at any time based on market conditions. For additional commentary and to sign up for monthly e-mail updates, visit our blog at: www.manarin.com/our-blog QUARTERLY PRSRT STD U.S. POSTAGE PAID OMAHA, NE PERMIT NO. 1634 1625 S 67th St. Omaha, Nebraska 68106 (1 Part Class) Saturday, October 18th