Alberta Grizzly Bear Recovery Plan - Draft - 2016-2021
Transcription
Alberta Grizzly Bear Recovery Plan - Draft - 2016-2021
Alberta Grizzly Bear Recovery Plan Alberta Species at Risk Recovery Plan No. 38 Draft June 1, 2016 Alberta Grizzly Bear Recovery Plan Prepared by: Alberta Environment and Parks i Draft June 1, 2016 ISBN 978-1-4601-2400-0 (PDF) Cover photos: Amy Stenhouse (left); Jay Honeyman (middle); Alberta Environment and Parks (right). For copies of this report visit the Species at Risk Program website at: http://AEP.alberta.ca/fish-wildlife/species-at-risk/ OR contact: Information Centre – Publications Alberta Environment and Parks Main Floor, Great West Life Building 9920 – 108 Street Edmonton, Alberta, Canada T5K 2M4 Telephone: (780) 422-2079 This publication may be cited as: Alberta Environment and Parks. 2016. Alberta Grizzly Bear (Ursus arctos) Recovery Plan,. Alberta Environment and Parks, Alberta Species at Risk Recovery Plan No. 38. Edmonton, AB. 85 pp. ii Draft June 1, 2016 PREFACE Albertans are fortunate to share their province with an impressive variety of wild species. Populations of most species of plants and animals are healthy and secure. However, a small number of species are either naturally rare or are now imperiled because of human activities. Alberta recovery plans establish a basis for cooperation among government, industry, conservation groups, landowners and other stakeholders to ensure these species and populations are restored or maintained for future generations. Alberta’s commitment to the Accord for the Protection of Species at Risk and to the National Framework for the Conservation of Species at Risk, combined with requirements established under Alberta’s Wildlife Act and the federal Species at Risk Act, has resulted in the development of a provincial recovery program. An overall goal of the recovery program is to restore species identified as Threatened or Endangered to viable, naturally self-sustaining populations within Alberta. The policy document: Alberta’s Strategy for the Management of Species at Risk (20092014) provides broader program context for recovery activities. Draft recovery plans undergo review by the Fish and Wildlife Policy Branch before being posted online for public comment for at least 30 days; additional opportunities for review by the public may be provided. Following review by the public, Alberta’s Endangered Species Conservation Committee reviews draft plans and provides recommendations on their acceptance to the Minister. Plans accepted and approved for implementation by the Minister are published as a government recovery plan. Approved plans are a summary of the Ministry’s commitment to work with involved stakeholders to coordinate and implement conservation actions necessary to restore or maintain these species. Recovery plans include two main sections: (1) the situational analysis that highlights the species’ distribution and population trends, threats, and conservation actions to date; and (2) the recovery section that outlines goals, objectives, associated broader strategies, and specific priority actions required to maintain or recover the Threatened or Endangered species. Each approved recovery plan undergoes regular review, and progress of implementation is evaluated. Implementation of each recovery plan is subject to the availability of resources, from within and from outside government. iii Draft June 1, 2016 TABLE OF CONTENTS PREFACE ...................................................................................................................................... iii LIST OF FIGURES ....................................................................................................................... vi LIST OF TABLES ....................................................................................................................... viii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ............................................................................................................ x EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ........................................................................................................... xi 1.0 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................... 1 2.0 PROCESS FOR REVISING THE PLAN................................................................................. 1 3.0 IMPLEMENTATION PROGRESS REVIEW ......................................................................... 2 4.0 REFINING GRIZZLY BEAR MANAGEMENT ZONES ...................................................... 2 4.1 History of the Development of Grizzly Bear Management Zones ............................... 2 4.2 Additional Zones ........................................................................................................... 3 5.0 SITUATION ANALYSIS ........................................................................................................ 6 5.1 Population Status .......................................................................................................... 6 5.2 Overview of Threats ..................................................................................................... 6 5.2.1 Human-Caused Grizzly Bear Mortality ................................................................6 5.2.2 Grizzly Bear Response to Anthropogenic Habitat Alteration...............................8 5.2.3 Loss of Connectivity .............................................................................................9 5.3 The Human Dimension to Grizzly Bear Recovery ..................................................... 17 5.3.1 Albertan’s Attitudes and Concerns .....................................................................17 5.3.2 Alberta BearSmart Program ................................................................................17 5.4 Situation Scan by Bear Management Area ................................................................. 18 5.4.1 Bear Management Area 1 - Chinchaga ...............................................................18 5.4.2 Bear Management Area 2 – Grande Cache.........................................................19 5.4.3 Bear Management Area 3 – Yellowhead ............................................................20 5.4.4 Bear Management Area 4 – Clearwater ..............................................................21 5.4.5 Bear Management Area 5 – Livingstone ............................................................22 5.4.6 Bear Management Area 6 – Castle .....................................................................23 5.4.7 Bear Management Area 7 – Swan Hills ..............................................................24 6.0 RECOVERY GOAL AND OBJECTIVES ............................................................................. 31 6.1 Background ................................................................................................................. 31 6.2 Recovery Goal and Objectives................................................................................ 31 7.0 STRATEGIES FOR THE RECOVERY OF GRIZZLY BEARS .......................................... 36 7.1 Improving Program Effectiveness .............................................................................. 36 7.1.1 Improving Alberta BearSmart.............................................................................36 7.1.2 Enhanced Public Outreach and Education ..........................................................38 7.1.3 Improve Program Coordination ..........................................................................40 7.2 Strategies to Reduce Human-caused Mortality........................................................... 42 7.2.1 Reduce Human-Grizzly Bear Conflict by Managing Attractants .......................42 7.2.2 Mitigate the Effect of Motorized Access ............................................................45 7.2.3 Reduce Accidental Human-caused Mortality .....................................................48 7.2.4 Targeted Use of Aversive Conditioning .............................................................49 7.3 Mitigate the Effect of Human Development on Grizzly Bear Habitat ....................... 50 7.3.1 Improve Understanding and Management of the Effects of Human Use and Resource Extraction on Grizzly Bear Habitat ..............................................................50 7.3.2 Improve the Ability to Disperse Across Major Transportation Corridors ..........52 iv Draft June 1, 2016 7.3.3 Improve the Ability of Bears to Disperse Between BMA 2 and BMA 7 ...........53 7.4 Assess Potential Abundance and Distribution of Grizzly Bears in the Recovery Zone ........................................................................................................................................... 54 8.0 BUDGET AND IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE TABLES ............................................ 56 9.0 SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS .............................................................. 60 10.0 INTERACTION WITH OTHER SPECIES AT RISK RECOVERY PROGRAMS ........... 61 11.0 LITERATURE CITED ......................................................................................................... 62 Appendix A. Changes to the Core and Secondary Zones ................................................. 69 Appendix B. Individual Bear Management Area Maps and Supplemental Information . 71 Appendix C. Status Evaluation for Grizzly Bear in Alberta .......................................... 79 Appendix D. Supplemental Information on Road Density ............................................... 85 v Draft June 1, 2016 LIST OF FIGURES Figure ES. 1 Grizzly Bear Management Areas (BMAs) and management zones. ..................... xiv Figure 4. 1 Grizzly Bear Management Areas (BMA) and management zone boundaries. ........... 5 Figure 5. 1 Annual human-caused mortality from 2000-2013. The legal hunt for grizzly bears was discontinued after 2005.......................................................................................................... 11 Figure 5. 2 Cause of death for grizzly bears known to have died due to human causes in Alberta, 2006-2013 (n=131). ...................................................................................................................... 11 Figure 5. 3 Graphic representation of the 5 habitat states based on adult female habitat (Hf) and human-caused mortality risk (Rf) models. Reprinted with permission from Nielsen et al. (2006). ....................................................................................................................................................... 12 Figure 5. 4 Summary of migrant grizzly bears (GB) as determined by genetic assignment and direct means between adjacent areas in the Canada–United States transborder and Alberta regions. Black arrows indicate male movements and white indicate female movements. Arrows indicate direction and thickness illustrates the rate of movements (i.e., thicker lines indicate more movements, each thin white arrow represents 1 female GB movement). Reprinted with permission from Proctor et al. (2012). .......................................................................................... 13 Figure 5.5 Location of grizzly bear movement corridors across Highway 11 and 16 (G. Stenhouse, Foothills Research Institute, unpublished data) identified using graph theory modeling (Carra 2010). ................................................................................................................. 26 Figure 7. 1 Road densities within Grizzly Bear Watershed Units (GBWU) between BMA 2 and BMA 7 and the GBWU to be added as Secondary Zone habitat to the AEP key wildlife layer (see 4.1). ............................................................................................................................................... 54 Figure A. 1 Changes to the Secondary Zone. For inset 3 the changes are that the core and secondary habitat in the Porcupine Hills are now represented as support habitat. ....................... 70 Figure B. 1 Map of Grizzly Bear Management Area (BMA) 1 - Chinchaga. ............................. 71 Figure B. 2 Map of Grizzly Bear Management Area (BMA) 2 – Grande Cache. ....................... 72 Figure B. 3 Map of Grizzly Bear Management Area (BMA) 3 – Yellowhead ........................... 73 Figure B. 4 Map of Grizzly Bear Management Area (BMA) 4 - Clearwater. ............................. 74 Figure B. 5 Map of Grizzly Bear Management Area (BMA) 5 – Livingstone. ........................... 75 Figure B. 6 Map of Grizzly Bear Management Area (BMA) 6 - Castle. .................................... 76 Figure B. 7 Map of Grizzly Bear Management Area (BMA) 7 – Swan Hills. ............................ 77 Figure B. 8 Map of the the Grizzly Bear Management Zones on the Alberta Natural Regions and Subregions (Natural Regions Committee 2006) ........................................................................... 78 vi Draft June 1, 2016 Figure D. 1 Current road density status in Grizzly Bear Watershed Units in Core and Secondary Zones. ............................................................................................................................................ 85 vii Draft June 1, 2016 LIST OF TABLES Table ES.1. Definition of the management zones to guide the recovery of grizzly bears in Alberta.......................................................................................................................................... xiii Table 5.1. The 6 year (2008-2013) average known human-caused mortality/relocation rate for a Bear Management Area (BMA). BMA 1 - Chinchaga and BMA 7 - Swan Hills were not included because population estimates using this methodology do not exist. For this analysis, a translocation out of the BMA is considered a mortality in the BMA it was taken from; if the translocated bear should later die due to human-caused mortality in its new BMA, its death was not included in that BMA mortalities. .......................................................................................... 14 Table 5.2. Translocation capture locations in Grizzly Bear Management Area (BMA) from 2009-2013. .................................................................................................................................... 14 Table 5.3 Grizzly bear georeferenced occurrences from 2009-2013, excluding sighting, by Bear Management Area (BMA) as recorded in the Government of Alberta, Enforcement Database. The occurrence type categories were assigned by the Provincial Carnivore Specialist. Note that summing Livestock Related, Attractant Related, and Agricultural Attractants is not appropriate as occurrences may appear in multiple categories. ....................................................................... 15 Table 5.4. The number of Grizzly Bear Watershed Units (GBWU) within the Recovery Zone of each Bear Management Area (BMA) that exceed the recommended road density of 0.6 km/km2 and 0.75 km/km2 for Core Zone and Secondary Zones, respectively. National Parks were not included in this analysis. GBWU are based on major watersheds subdivided along heights of land and occasionally along watercourses, to approximate the size of an average adult female grizzly bear home range (~500 km2). The road database used is described by Boulanger and Stenhouse (2014) except in the case of BMA 1 for which the Alberta Road layer was used. A full description of this dataset is available online through GeoDiscover Alberta. All feature types with the exception of ferry routes, winter crossings, and winter roads were included. ................ 16 Table 5.5. The current (based on best available data) amount of the Recovery Zone (includes National Parks) in each Bear Management Area (BMA) that are in each habitat state based on habitat states calculated from Resource Selection Function models and mortality risk (Nielsen et al. 2006). Primary and secondary refers to the probability that an area will be used by grizzly bears. Sink refers to areas with high mortality risk. The best habitat for grizzly bears is primary habitat because it is selected by grizzly bears and had a low risk of human-caused mortality. Habitat states for BMA 1 cannot be reported because the underlying research has yet to be done. The Total area may differ slightly from the true area of the Recovery Zone in the BMA, as the raster boundaries do not align exactly with the BMA boundaries. ............................................... 16 Table 5.6. Natural subregion composition (Natural Regions Committee 2006) of the grizzly bear management areas (BMA). ........................................................................................................... 27 viii Draft June 1, 2016 Table 5.7. Area and % area within the Recovery Zone of each Bear Management Area (BMA) that is subject to an access management plan as part of a protected area designation (PA) or a Public Land Use Zone (PLUZ). .................................................................................................... 28 Table 5.8. Causes of human-caused grizzly bear mortality in each Bear Management Area from 2009-2013 as reported in the compulsory reporting and registration of dead grizzly bear incidents. The mortality cause categories were assigned by the Provincial Carnivore Specialist. ....................................................................................................................................................... 28 Table 5.9. Number of livestock (includes livestock feed) and public safety related grizzly bear occurrences in Alberta during the period 2009-2013 by Bear Management Area (BMA), by grizzly bear zone, and across the province as reported in the ENFOR database. Only those occurrences with a spatial reference for assigning to a zone are included. .................................. 29 Table 6.1. Recovery goal components and associated objectives and indicators of success. ...... 34 Table 7.1. The area of the Recovery and Support zones that has Federal or Provincial designation limiting vehicular access to designated roads or trails. ............................................. 46 Table 8.1. Implementation schedule for recovery actions. .......................................................... 57 Table A.1. Proposed changes to the Core and Secondary Zone Boundaries. These changes correspond to the changes presented in Figure A.1. ..................................................................... 69 ix Draft June 1, 2016 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS We would like to acknowledge all the considered and ardent input that was provided in workshops and meetings with Indigenous communities, stakeholders, and Government of Alberta staff. Their input and review comments made this a much better plan. In particular, we would like to thank the Regional Fish and Wildlife staff (Andrea Morehouse, Greg Hale, Jon Jorgenson, Jay Honeyman, Anne Hubbs, Chiara Feder, Rita Stagman, Dave Hobson, Jeff Kneteman, Sarah Rovang, Mike Russell, Curtis Stambaugh, Jim Castle, Dave Moyles, and Lyle Fullerton) that variously helped organize and deliver workshops and assisted in developing and editing the plan. We hope that the plan assists you in continuing the good work you are doing with grizzly bears. Brenda Eeglon and Nancy Bateman’s support with the organizing and compiling the results from the provincial stakeholder workshop was very helpful. We would like to acknowledge The Foothills Research Institute Grizzly Bear Research Program for providing the 2013 Program Deliverables, which contained much of the spatial data used in the plan as well as the Grizzly Bear Tools which facilitated the use of the grizzly bear habitat and risk models. As well, this plan greatly benefitted from Hannah McKenzie’s help with the analysis and organization of data. We would like to thank Ron Bjorge for his sage advice and corporate memory that was central to reorganizing the access management strategy. Erin Sinclair’s methodical approach and attention to detail in laying out the document were skills that were greatly appreciated and needed. A big thanks to Darice Stefanyshyn for her help developing the BearSmart strategy. We are also grateful for the project guidance and thoughtful review comments provided by project sponsors Jim Allen, Sue Cotterill, and Matt Besko. x Draft June 1, 2016 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Grizzly bears in the province of Alberta were listed as a Threatened species in 2010. Concern about Alberta’s grizzly bear population started much earlier and resulted in a recovery team being formed to develop a Recovery Plan. A draft of the Recovery Plan was completed in 2005, sport hunting of grizzly bears was discontinued in 2006, and the five year recovery plan was accepted by the Alberta Minister of Sustainable Resource Development in 2008. The 2008 Alberta Grizzly Bear Recovery Plan (AGBRP) was revised using input from provincial staff involved with grizzly bear population and habitat management, researchers, and representatives from industry, agricultural producers, Indigenous communities and environmental groups. The AGBRP (2008) described 7 demographically separate grizzly Bear Management Areas (BMAs). During the implementation of the plan important habitat areas (Core and Secondary Zones) were identified for the management of motorized access on publically managed land outside of protected areas. In the time since the AGBRP was adopted, there has been an increase in human-grizzly bear conflict on private land adjacent to the publicly managed eastern slopes of the Rocky Mountains. This conflict highlighted the need to clarify where, and to what end, the Government of Alberta is managing for grizzly bear recovery. To address this need, this plan refines the external boundaries of the BMAs and clarifies the management priorities by subdividing each BMA into 3 zones: Recovery, Support, and Habitat Linkage Zones (Figure ES 1). The Core and Secondary Zones within the Recovery Zone have been maintained for the purpose of identifying priority areas for access management (Table ES 1). Human-bear interactions are an emerging and increasing threat to grizzly bears in some parts of the province. Human-caused mortality, including translocations of conflict bears, remains a threat to the recovery of grizzly bears in Alberta. Over the past five years, the four highest sources of mortality in order of prevalence were: poaching, accidental collisions with highway vehicles or trains, self-defence kills (usually by hunters), and black bear hunters misidentifying and accidently shooting a grizzly bear. Grizzly bears searching for food around human settlements and agricultural areas are at risk of being killed or trapped and relocated if their search results in property damage or a public safety concern. The public motorized access associated with increasing road density is a major contributor to the likelihood of a humangrizzly bear interaction that results in grizzly bear mortality. Major highway corridors through occupied grizzly bear habitat are particularly problematic because they also act as a barrier to dispersal. Grizzly bears were listed as threatened because of relatively small population size and the concern that human-caused mortality and deteriorating habitat conditions had resulted in, or were likely to result in, in a significant population decline. The recovery goal recognizes that grizzly bear recovery in several BMAs is dependent on maintaining support from Albertans, such that, concerns for public safety and the destruction of private property must be addressed in recovery plan implementation. The recovery goal and objectives are designed to address these concerns and are linked to a suite of indicators that, when monitored, will provide an assessment of recovery progress. There is also recognition that individual BMAs have different recovery priorities and the recovery objectives reflect this. For example, the Support Zones of BMA 5 and 6 have had very high rates of human-grizzly bear conflict, primarily associated with livestock xi Draft June 1, 2016 and feed storage; as a consequence, the mortality rate objective has been adjusted to achieve population maintenance instead of population growth. Other differences in individual BMA recovery priorities are discussed and will be reflected in the implementation of the recovery plan. Recovery Goal and Objectives The Alberta grizzly bear population in the Recovery Zone is not limited by human-caused mortality, has access to secure habitat, is able to successfully disperse across major road corridors, and that Albertans - in particular those living, working, and recreating in grizzly bear management zones - are supportive of grizzly bear conservation and management activities. Ob 1) The density of grizzly bears within the Recovery Zone of each Bear Management Area is not limited by human-caused mortality and is either stable or increasing over time within a population size range based on habitat potential. Ob 2) In the recovery and support zones, the known human-caused mortality rate is ≤ 4 %, of which the female mortality rate does not exceed 1.2%, except in BMAs 5 and 6 where the mortality rates is less than 6.0%, of which the female mortality rate does not exceed 1.8 %. Ob 3) The ability of grizzly bears to disperse across Habitat Linkage Zones is improved. Ob 4) Habitat security for grizzly bears in the Recovery Zone is maintained or improved. Ob 5) Albertan’s support for grizzly bear conservation and management increases over time. Ob 6) Support for grizzly bear conservation and management is increasing amongst people living, working, and recreating in Bear Management Zones. Significant changes and refinements in the strategies for recovery include: a. Clear threshold recommendation for density of roads open to public motorized access: Core Zone 0.6 km/km2 and Secondary Zone 0.75 km/km2. b. New strategies for restoring habitat connectivity across highway corridors. BMA 7 Swan Hills is a high priority because its natural isolation is exacerbated by a busy highway corridor and increasing road development in the narrow isthmus of habitat that connects it to BMA2 – Grande Cache. c. Continuation and refinement of the strategies to: reduce human-caused grizzly bear mortality, reduce human-grizzly bear conflict by managing food attractants, maintain access to secure habitat, and, Alberta’s BearSmart program. xii Draft June 1, 2016 Table ES.1. Definition of the management zones to guide the recovery of grizzly bears in Alberta. Zone Recovery Core and Secondary Definition/Management Intention The geographic extent in Alberta where it is the intention of the Government of Alberta to recover grizzly bears. Inform the management of access planning and development within the Recovery Zone. It does not include protected areas that exclude industrial development such as National and Provincial Parks. Support Intended to support the population of grizzly bears in the Recovery Zone by creating a priority area for the management of bear attractants and other sources of humanwildlife conflict adjacent to the Recovery Zone thereby improving the survival rate of grizzly bears, in particular females and females with cubs, that are moving between the Recovery Zone and the Support Zone. Habitat Linkage Identifies the highway corridors where there is need to maintain or enhance the ability of grizzly bears to move across the Habitat Linkage Zone between adjacent BMAs. xiii Draft June 1, 2016 Figure ES. 1 Grizzly Bear Management Areas (BMAs) and management zones. xiv Draft June 1, 2016 1.0 INTRODUCTION Grizzly bears were first recommended for listing as Threatened by the Alberta Endangered Species Conservation Committee (ESCC) in 2002. At that time, it was estimated there were approximately 850 bears inhabiting provincial lands plus another 175 to 185 in National Parks (Kansas 2002). The Minister of Alberta Sustainable Resource Development did not accept the threatened recommendation by the ESCC, and instead appointed a Recovery Team to develop a recovery plan. At the same time the Minister commissioned an external review of the hunting management system and initiated a program to provide more reliable population estimates. Based on the hunting management assessment, hunting permits were reduced in 2003 and 2004, and licenced hunting of grizzly bears ceased in 2006 following the completion of the first two BMA population inventories. In 2008 the Recovery Plan was completed, accepted by the Minister, and formal plan implementation began. Implementation of the plan was followed in 2010 by an updated status assessment, leading to the grizzly bear being listed as a Threatened species. This document is the revision of the 2008 Alberta Grizzly Bear Recovery Plan. 2.0 PROCESS FOR REVISING THE PLAN A six member steering committee was formed consisting of Pat Fargey (co-lead), Nate Webb (co-lead and later replaced by Paul Frame), Gord Stenhouse, Courtney Hughes, Carrie San Cartier, and Dave Kay. This group collaborated organizing and delivering recovery planning workshops and compiled all the input received into the draft plan. Regional workshops occurred in Twin Butte October 22 and 23, 2013, Rocky Mountain House November 20-21, 2013 and Whitecourt, January 6 and 7, 2014. Participants were drawn from the broad cross-section of GoA staff that had been involved in implementing aspects of grizzly bear recovery and included participation by Parks Canada Agency biologists. The Twin Butte workshop also had 3 representatives from the Waterton Biosphere Reserve (WBR) and the WBR Carnivore Working Group. These discussions included critical review of recovery plan implementation and provided direction for the revised plan. On March 25 and 26, 2014 a workshop in Edmonton was held with participation from 15 different stakeholder groups. After this workshop the recovery goal, management zones, and selected recovery strategies were revised and provided via email to workshop participants for review and edits. Letters were sent to 22 First Nations and six Métis organizations with three follow up meetings, where interest was expressed, to discuss perspectives on grizzly bear recovery and management and to get feedback on the new plan content. Drafts of the management zones and the recovery goals were presented opportunistically by regional Alberta Environment and Parks (AEP) staff as part of their stakeholder meetings. 1 Draft June 1, 2016 3.0 IMPLEMENTATION PROGRESS REVIEW Annual Grizzly Bear Recovery Plan progress reports have been prepared and posted online each year since plan approval in 2008. These reports, which are available to the public online1, highlight the accomplishments in all aspects of the recovery plan implementation program. Recovery implementation accomplishments, as well as remaining gaps, are discussed in this revised plan in the appropriate sections. 4.0 REFINING GRIZZLY BEAR MANAGEMENT ZONES 4.1 History of the Development of Grizzly Bear Management Zones The former Alberta Grizzly Bear Recovery Plan (AGBRP 2008) identified seven demographically separate grizzly Bear Management Areas (BMAs) and proposed the concept of Grizzly Bear Priority Areas (GPAs). The intention was that GPAs would identify areas in high quality habitat within each BMA that should be managed to maintain habitat quality and ensure low risk of human-caused mortality by limiting access by motorized vehicles. The AGBRP (2008) also introduced the concept of access density thresholds as a habitat performance measure: “. . . at or below 0.6 km/km2 in high quality grizzly bear habitat designated as Grizzly Bear Priority Areas (GPAs; refer to “Strategies” for details), and open route densities at or below 1.2 km/km2 in all remaining grizzly bear range” (p. 21 AGBRP 2008) The delineation of priority areas was done as part of recovery plan implementation. A combination of habitat modelling approaches and expert opinion were used to identify core and secondary conservation areas (Nielsen et al. 2009). The core conservation area represented the highest quality habitat based on low road density and models of habitat use informed by data from grizzly bear telemetry studies and DNA population inventory work. The core conservation areas were analogous to the concept of GPAs as identified in the AGBRP (2008). Secondary conservation areas buffered and helped connect core conservation areas. They also tended to have higher road density (Nielsen et al. 2009). In all cases, core and secondary conservation areas were located on primarily publically managed land within the provincial Green Zone. In 2008, the Alberta Sustainable Resource Development Resource Directors Council replaced the term “Conservation Areas” with “Zones” and officially approved the designation of Grizzly Bear Core and Secondary Zones for the area south of Grande Prairie to the Montana border (Figure 4.1). One of the recognized gaps was the Chinchaga area (BMA 1) in northwestern Alberta. This area was mapped in a separate process using historical observations, telemetry, and mortality 1 http://aep.alberta.ca/fish-wildlife/wildlife-management/grizzly-bears/default.aspx 2 Draft June 1, 2016 locations and the local knowledge of AEP staff familiar with this area to identify the Secondary Zone. To date, no Core Zone habitat has been identified for BMA 1. The Geographic Information System (GIS) data on Core and Secondary Zones has been publically available on the AEP web site as a sensitive species data layer2 since September 2010 and is used to inform the permitting of industrial development and land use planning. 4.2 Additional Zones As part of the development of the revised Alberta Recovery Plan, three additional zones have been added to clarify the spatial context for management actions and priorities. The first new zone classification is Recovery Zone (Figure 4.1), which amalgamates the Core and Secondary Zones with the National Parks. The purpose of the Recovery Zone is to explicitly identify the location in Alberta where it is the intention of the Government of Alberta to manage for the recovery of grizzly bears. National Parks are included - even though the Government of Alberta does not manage grizzly bears within National Park boundaries - because these areas are part of contiguous ecosystems and have important populations that are considered part of the population of grizzly bears in Alberta. The Core and Secondary Zones are largely unchanged (see Appendix A for a discussion of changes) and will continue to inform the management of access planning and development (see 7.2.2 for the explanation). The Recovery Zone is also a priority for attractant management as well as other sources of human-grizzly bear conflict. The second additional zone classification is Support Zone (Figure 4.1), which is intended to help maintain grizzly bears, particularly females and females with cubs that have home ranges only partially in the Recovery Zone. This zone will be a priority area for attractant management and the proactive management of human-bear conflict. Open road density thresholds will not be applied to the Support Zone. Development of boundaries for the Support Zone used the following considerations: history of grizzly bear occurrences over the past 20 years, habitat potential, topographical relief, conflict potential, and proximity to the Recovery Zone. Where meaningful ecological boundaries were in close proximity to roads, barriers such as lakes or rivers, or edges of Wildlife Management Unit boundaries, these features were used to delimit the outer boundaries of the Support Zone. In the north half of the province there has been less research on grizzly bears and the importance of some areas to grizzly bear conservation is uncertain. Consequently, as a precautionary measure, there are several areas such as the Marten Hills (northeast of the Swan Hills) and the Saddle Hills (northwest of Grande Prairie) that have been identified as Support Zone, even though they are somewhat isolated from the Recovery Zone. The third zone is the Habitat Linkage Zone (Figure 4.1). This is the area along major east-west highway corridors that separates the provincial grizzly bear population into demographic units 2 http://aep.alberta.ca/forms-maps-services/maps/wildlife-sensitivity-maps/default.aspx 3 Draft June 1, 2016 that are at risk of becoming more isolated over time if use of the corridor intensifies (Proctor et al. 2012). For the purpose of communicating management intent to stakeholders, these areas are represented as a 5.0 km buffer along major highway corridors through the Recovery Zone. As part of implementation, more detailed mapping of the corridors will be required. Recovery implementation in these areas will involve maintaining and, where necessary, enhancing the ability of grizzly bears to move across the Habitat Linkage Zones into adjacent BMAs. To meet the recovery objectives (Section 6.0) the presence of grizzly bears outside of the Grizzly Bear Recovery and Support Zones is not required. Management tolerance for grizzly bears that come into conflict with humans outside of the Recovery and Support Zones will be lower. The Recovery, Habitat Linkage, and Support Zones are the priority for attractant management but efforts to proactively reduce human-grizzly bear conflict in adjacent areas can occur if appropriate resources, habitat and social acceptance exist. The boundaries of BMAs have been adjusted to incorporate the Recovery and Support Zones (Figure 4.1). As part of the development of the revised Alberta Grizzly Bear Recovery Plan, three small changes were made to the Secondary Zone and one change to the Core Zone that are described in Appendix A. When making the changes in Appendix A, all grizzly bear watershed units (GBWU) should be evaluated to identify those that are oversized and should be adjusted. 4 Draft June 1, 2016 Figure 4. 1 Grizzly Bear Management Areas (BMA) and management zone boundaries. 5 Draft June 1, 2016 5.0 SITUATION ANALYSIS 5.1 Population Status The 2010 status report for grizzly bears combined results from DNA-based mark-recapture population estimates with habitat modelling and expert opinion to arrive at a total provincial population estimate of 691 bears plus the bears in most of Banff and the south half of Jasper National Parks (Festa-Bianchet 2010). There has not been a provincial population estimate completed since the status report (Festa-Bianchet 2010) although population inventory work has recently completed for BMA 3 (see Section 5.4.3) and is underway in BMAs 5 and 6. 5.2 Overview of Threats 5.2.1 Human-Caused Grizzly Bear Mortality Human-caused mortality remains a threat to grizzly bears in the province (AGBRP 2008, FestaBianchet 2010). Since the legal harvest of grizzly bears was discontinued in 2006, there have been 131 detected human-caused mortalities (Figure 5.1). Of the known mortalities where gender identification was possible, 39.7 % were female. The four highest sources of human-caused mortality in order of occurrence are: poaching, accidental collisions with highway vehicles or trains, self-defence kills, usually by hunters, and black bear hunters misidentifying and shooting a grizzly bear (Figure 5.2). This is in contrast to the AGBRP (2008) for which the four highest sources of human-caused mortality outside of legal harvest in order of occurrence, were poaching, self-defence, problem wildlife (i.e. agency control), and vehicle collisions. The AGBRP (2008) used population viability analysis results (McLoughlin 2003) to determine that the grizzly bear population should increase if the number of known human-caused mortalities is ≤4% of the provincial population per year, and within that total, the female mortality rate does not exceed 1.2%. For the purpose of reporting on mortality rates, bears that are captured and removed from of a BMA are considered a mortality for the donor BMA but do not count as a mortality if they should later die due to human-caused mortality in the recipient BMA. The overall provincial mortality rate is approaching the target mortality in the five BMAs where a population estimate exists making it possible to do the calculation, largely due to the large population size and relatively low mortality rate in BMA 2 (Table 5.1). Since mortality rates and translocations are being recorded for the entire BMA, then the rates calculated as a percentage of the superpopulation better reflect the intention of this metric. The rates for BMAs 4, 5, and 6 are higher because of the large number of bears that have been translocated out of these BMAs (Table 5.2). However, these results are potentially misleading and need to be interpreted with caution because the population estimates used to calculate the mortality rate could have changed significantly from when the hair snag DNA samples were collected in 2004 to 20083 and the population trend will usually be unknown. Due to limited resources often only 3 http://AEP.alberta.ca/fish-wildlife/wildlife-management/grizzly-bears/default.aspx 6 Draft June 1, 2016 part of the BMA was surveyed during population inventories even though moralities and translocation are collected for the entire BMA. To date, BMA 3 is the only BMA that has reported results from a resurvey and the sample area was much larger and sampled most of the recovery zone. If the overall moratily rate in Table 5.1 is calculated with the 2014 population numbers (Stenhouse et al. 2015) then the know mortality/translocation rate drops from 3.1 % to 1.2 % which illustrates how important it is to have current estimates for the entire recovery zone. The mortality rate by BMA and related recovery plan priorities are discussed in Section 5.4. Grizzly bears searching for food can be attracted to human settlements and agricultural areas greatly increasing the potential for human-grizzly bear conflict. Bears that come into conflict are at increased risk of being killed or trapped and relocated (Gunter et al. 2004 and Northrup et al. 2012a). Occurrence records of grizzly bear conflict are kept in the Government of Alberta enforcement occurence database (ENFOR). From 2009-2013, approximately 52% (n=1206) of grizzly bear occurrences, excluding sightings, resulted from attractants (Table 5.3). This estimate is conservative, as undoubtedly some events go unreported and many of the occurrences coded in ENFOR as Grizzly Bear Mortality Investigation, Other, Public Safety, and Road/Rail Kill were likely also associated with an attractant (Table 5.3). Of the 550 out of 1206 attractant related occurrences that had location data (georeferenced), 11% occurred in the Recovery Zone, 74% in the Support Zone, and 15% outside of either zone. Removing bears from the area where they get into conflict is a common management response, used as an alternative to the destruction of the bear. From 2009 to 2013, of the 107 bears with known capture locations, 73% came from the Support Zone (Table 5.2). Captured bears were translocated out of the BMA 87 % of the time. In a review of the Alberta Grizzly Bear Translocation Program from 2004-2011 (Hobson and Webb, in prep), of 27 bears collared only 12 bears (6 females and 6 males) could be assessed for survival to 1 year either due to equipment failure (12) or they had not yet been monitored for 1 year at the time the report was written (3). Of the 12 bears with known fates 1 year post-release, 58 % (5 females, 2 males) survived and 42 % died (1 female, 4 males). Human-grizzly bear conflict has increased in the past five years, resulting in a growing challenge for grizzly bear recovery in some BMAs. To be successful, management of conflict incidents requires significant resources from Alberta Justice and Solicitor General Wildlife Officers and AEP wildlife staff. Areas with higher road densities are associated with an increased risk of human-caused grizzly bear mortalities (McLellan and Shackleton 1988, Benn and Herrero 2002, Nielsen et al. 2004a, Schwartz et al. 2010). Recent work has demonstrated that female grizzly bears (Graham et al. 2010 and Stewart et al. 2013), in particular females with cubs (Boulanger and Stenhouse 2014), were at increased human-caused mortality risk because they were more likely to use road edges. Demographic models that included the effect of open road density, predicted that populations would likely increase at open road densities of ≤ 0.6 km/km2 but females with young cubs are particularly vulnerable and would likely decrease at open road densities of greater than 0.75 km/km2 (Boulanger and Stenhouse 2014). The new recommended road density thresholds for Core and Secondary Zones are based on these findings (see Section 4.1). Currently, 26.7% and 32.9 % Core and Secondary Zones respectively, have road density above these thresholds (Table 5.4). Current provincial road databases do not yet distinguish roads that have been closed to 7 Draft June 1, 2016 public motorized access, so some of these areas may contain roads that have been effectively closed and there may be instances where there is a lag in the updating of road databases. However, there is no systematic process to assess whether a road has been effectively closed and the precautionary approach is to assume it is open. Managing motorized access on public lands remains an important grizzly bear recovery implementation challenge. 5.2.2 Grizzly Bear Response to Anthropogenic Habitat Alteration Direct long-term loss (greater than 25 years) of habitat to human footprint (e.g. industrial sites, permanent roads, active mines) in the Recovery Zone is small (0.58 %). Much larger areas have altered vegetation due to disturbances such as forestry cut blocks, pipeline right-of-ways, revegetated mines sites, and well pads. However, linear features, which include roads, seismic lines, power lines and pipelines, can cause a wide range of ecological impacts for a variety of species. Habitat fragmentation and barrier effects (Forman and Alexander 1998, Brittingham et al. 2014), population fragmentation (Proctor et al. 2012), edge effects (Bayne et al. 2005, Stewart et al. 2013), changes in forest structure and forest patch size (Linke et al. 2005), increasing human access into remote areas (McLellan 1989), the creation of movement corridors, alteration of predator-prey dynamics, and functional habitat loss (Latham et al. 2011) are among the potential ecological impacts resulting from linear features. Within west-central Alberta, research indicates that grizzly bears select for forestry cutblocks using different aged stands at different times of year (Nielsen et al. 2004c, Stewart et al. 2012, Stewart et al. 2013), well-sites (McKay et al. 2014), and roads (Graham et al. 2010, Roever et al. 2008a) and that the patterns of use vary by gender. Berland et al. (2008) also reported that grizzly bears did not avoid disturbed areas in the foothills of Alberta, including clear-cuts, roads, pipelines, well-sites, power-lines, and railways. In the Kakwa region of Alberta, Labaree et al. (2014) reported that the majority of grizzly bears were closer than expected to roads and pipelines in the spring, and closer than expected to roads in the fall, while the fall response to pipelines was more variable. Female grizzly bears in the Kakwa region also appear to use pipeline-forest edges (McKay et al. in review, Stewart et al. 2013). The use of anthropogenic openings by grizzly bears has been attributed to the presence of important bear foods growing along edges and young or regenerating forests (Munro et al. 2006, Nielsen et al. 2004b, Roever et al. 2008b, Larsen 2012, Stewart et al. 2013). Similar to other disturbances, pipelines provide habitat transitions or edges where the forest and pipeline meet, as well as openings that often support the growth of bear foods (McKay et al. in review). Grizzly bears do appear to avoid roads in some situations. Northrup et al. (2012b) found that grizzly bears avoided areas of high road use (20 – 100 vehicles/day) and strongly avoided roads with greater than 100 vehicles per day in southwest Alberta. Research in other North American jurisdictions suggests that the distance from a road that is avoided by grizzly bears is highly variable ranging from up to 100 m (McLellan and Shackleton 1988) to 500 m (Mace et al.1996). The difference is perhaps explained by the smaller effect occurring in denser forested environments (Wielgus et al. 2002). Grizzly bears also appeared to modify their response to roads, with restricted access industrial roads having less effect than comparable roads that are also open for recreational users (Wielgus et al. 2002). While there is evidence that grizzly bears 8 Draft June 1, 2016 can be locally displaced at fine scales, there is no evidence that disturbance, in the absence of increased human-caused mortality, affects landscape population density (Mowat et al. 2013). Random camping, along streams and rivers in the mountains and foothills, is a popular recreational activity in some parts of the Grizzly Bear Recovery Zone. Not only are these hotspots for outdoor recreational activities, but also staging areas for motorized Off Highway Vehicles (OHV) especially during the summer and fall. In addition these riparian areas are also high use by grizzly bears for both feeding and travel (Graham et al. 2012). Further work is required to better understand the extent that random camping is contributing to human-grizzly bear conflict and affecting grizzly bear behavior and demographic vital rates. The risk of human-caused grizzly bear mortality associated with high road density (see Section 5.2.1) remains the largest habitat alteration challenge affecting grizzly bear recovery. While there are opportunities to optimize amount and location of grizzly bear food in the management of natural resource extraction activities (Nielsen et al. 2004b, Roever et al. 2008a), the primary challenge is to minimize the attractive sinks (areas of increased food that have high humancaused mortality risk) associated with the increased access (Roever et al. 2008b; Stewart et al. 2013). It is possible to model changes in habitat quality and mortality risk related to anthropogenic landscape change and the associated roads (Nielsen et al. 2006). The relative trade-offs between habitat quality and increased mortality risk can be reconciled by integrating the models, classifying the landscape into different habitat states, and mapping it (Figure 5.3; Nielsen et al. 2006). Primary habitat with low mortality risk is the habitat state of particular value to grizzly bears. The Foothills Research Institute, using the best available information on current landscape condition and their Grizzly Bear Tools GIS application, calculated the habitat state for each BMA (Table 5.5) except for BMA 1 where baseline data does not currently exist. The habitat state condition is used to identify BMAs that have relatively large amounts of high value habitat for bears that is compromised by mortality risk in order to identify priorities for remediation (see sections 5.4.2-5.4.8). Grizzly Bear Tools has important application for planning natural resource extraction activities because it can be used to identify road location options that are less harmful to grizzly bears. There also is the potential to use it to monitor habitat states and assess whether the supply of secure habitat is being maintained over time. 5.2.3 Loss of Connectivity Proctor et al. (2012) demonstrated that the Alberta population of grizzly bears is actually part of a much larger, well connected population, shared with Montana and eastern British Columbia (Figure 5.4). However, the glaciated continental divide likely limits movement of bears between Alberta and BC in BMAs 3 and 4 (Figure 5.4). Unlike all of Alberta’s other BMAs, BMA 7 is naturally isolated since it is connected to BMA 2 by only a narrow isthmus of habitat. Since the writing of the AGBRP (2008), there is a greater appreciation for how highways and the development along highway corridors have resulted in the structure of grizzly bear subpopulations in Alberta. Major highway corridors can act as a barrier to dispersal, reduce gene flow, and impair the ability of adjacent BMAs to serve as a source of bears to recolonize a BMA 9 Draft June 1, 2016 should a local extirpation event occur. It has been demonstrated that high levels of vehicle traffic, human development, and grizzly bear mortality along the major transportation routes that separate BMAs, reduce the ability of grizzly bears to successfully disperse across these corridors. As a consequence, there are detectable discontinuities in genetic mixing between Alberta’s BMAs and the degree of genetic separation is larger than the effect of the continental divide between British Columbian and Alberta (Proctor et al. 2012). Grizzly bears are particularly susceptible to this anthropogenic population fragmentation because of relatively low population density, slow reproductive rate, short dispersal, male-biased dispersal, and habitat degradation (Proctor 2012). The fact that connectivity between BMA 3 and 4 and the larger population in British Columbia is naturally limited makes maintaining north-south connectivity across highway corridors a high recovery priority. Alexander et al. (2005) suggested that highway mitigations to improve wildlife permeability should be considered at approximately 5,000 vehicles/day. All the highways within the Habitat Linkage Zones (Figure 4.1) are well above this threshold, except for Hwy 11 and a short section of Highway 3 right at the BC-Alberta border that is slightly below this threshold4. Overpass and underpass development can be very effective for ensuring connectivity across high traffic transportation corridors. Since 1996, Banff National Park has installed 6 overpasses and 38 underpasses as part of highway twinning through the Park (Ford et al. 2010). Sufficient numbers of male and female bears now cross the highway and the local bear population is no longer considered demographically separate (Sawaya et al. 2012) and sufficient gene flow occurs to prevent genetic isolation (Sawaya et al. 2014). Two additional crossing structures have been installed in the Bow Valley east of Banff National Park in order to accommodate cross valley movements of large carnivores and ungulates. 4 http://www.transportation.alberta.ca/Content/docType181/production/Traffic%20Volume%20History%2020042013.pdf 10 Draft June 1, 2016 # of Known Human Caused Mortalities 40 Hunting No Hunting Legal Harvest 35 Other 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Figure 5. 1 Annual human-caused mortality from 2000-2013. The legal hunt for grizzly bears was discontinued after 2005. Research 1% Aboriginal 7% Agency Control 11% Illegal 27% Vehicle Collision 21% Mistaken for Black Bear 13% Self Defence 20% Figure 5. 2 Cause of death for grizzly bears known to have died due to human causes in Alberta, 2006-2013 (n=131). 11 Draft June 1, 2016 Figure 5. 3 Graphic representation of the 5 habitat states based on adult female habitat (Hf) and humancaused mortality risk (Rf) models. Reprinted with permission from Nielsen et al. (2006). 12 Draft June 1, 2016 Figure 5. 4 Summary of migrant grizzly bears (GB) as determined by genetic assignment and direct means between adjacent areas in the Canada–United States transborder and Alberta regions. Black arrows indicate male movements and white indicate female movements. Arrows indicate direction and thickness illustrates the rate of movements (i.e., thicker lines indicate more movements, each thin white arrow represents 1 female GB movement). Reprinted with permission from Proctor et al. (2012). 13 Draft June 1, 2016 Table 5.1. The 6 year (2008-2013) average known human-caused mortality/relocation rate for a Bear Management Area (BMA). BMA 1 - Chinchaga and BMA 7 - Swan Hills were not included because population estimates using this methodology do not exist. For this analysis, a translocation out of the BMA is considered a mortality in the BMA it was taken from; if the translocated bear should later die due to human-caused mortality in its new BMA, its death was not included in that BMA mortalities. BMA Year of Population Survey Population Size * # Mortalities/ Relocations (2008-2013) Female** Rate (%)*** Female Rate (%) 2 2008 353 (388) 32 16 1.5 (1.4) 0.8 (0.7) 3 2004 42 (53) 10 4 4.0 (3.1) 1.6 (1.3) 4 2005 45 (47) 18 4 6.7 (6.4) 1.5 (1.4) 5 2006 90 (133) 42 11 7.8 (1.4) 2.0 (1.4) 6 2007 51**** 32 11 10.5 3.6 581 134 46 3.8 1.3 Total * Population size was estimated once for each BMA during the time from 2004 to 2008 using DNA snared by barbed wire 5 around lure sites . The estimate for the superpopulation is in brackets while the non-bracketed number is the average number of bears estimated to be on the sampling grid at anyone time. ** Total number of females killed or translocated out of the BMA in the 6 year period. *** Average annual mortality rate expressed as a percentage of population size. **** The superpopulation for BMA 6 is not included because the sample grid extended into British Columbia. Table 5.2. Translocation capture locations in Grizzly Bear Management Area (BMA) from 2009-2013. Recovery Zone Support Zone Adjacent to BMA BMA # % # % # % 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Total 1 5 0 3 6 1 0 16 15.0 33.3 29.4 0.0 23.1 19.4 2.4 0.0 2 11 0 8 22 35 0 78 72.9 66.7 64.7 0.0 61.5 71.0 83.3 0.0 0 1 1 2 2 6 0 13 12.1 0 5.9 100.0 15.4 9.7 14.3 0.0 % Grand Total 5 http://AEP.alberta.ca/fish-wildlife/wildlife-management/grizzly-bears/default.aspx 14 Total (#) 3 17 1 13 31 42 0 107 Draft June 1, 2016 Table 5.3 Grizzly bear georeferenced occurrences from 2009-2013, excluding sighting, by Bear Management Area (BMA) as recorded in the Government of Alberta, Enforcement Database. The occurrence type categories were assigned by the Provincial Carnivore Specialist. Note that summing Livestock Related, Attractant Related, and Agricultural Attractants is not appropriate as occurrences may appear in multiple categories. BMA 1 BMA 2 BMA 3 BMA 4 BMA 5 BMA 6 BMA 7 Outside BMA Total Occurrence Type (#) (%) (#) (%) (#) (%) (#) (%) (#) (%) (#) (%) (#) (%) (#) (%) (#) (%) Bee Yard Damage 2 6 4.1 0.0 1 0.9 1 3 7 4.8 20 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7 0.7 Dump 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 7 41.2 1 5.9 15 10.3 85 8.9 5.6 Mortality Investigation 1 5.6 15 10.1 7 29.2 20 17.5 10 5.0 16 5.6 Livestock Carcass 1 5.6 6 4.1 2 8.3 6 5.3 12 6.0 10 3.5 0.0 16 11.0 53 Livestock Feed 3 16.7 6 4.1 0.0 11 9.6 13 6.5 76 26.7 0.0 21 14.5 130 13.7 Livestock Attack 4 22.2 27 18.2 8.3 39 34.2 94 46.8 130 45.6 0.0 44 30.3 340 35.7 Mauling 0.0 4 2.7 0.0 1 0.9 1 0.5 0.0 7 0.7 Other 0.0 15 10.1 2 8.3 5 4.4 12 6.0 5.0 38.9 65 43.9 11 45.8 30 26.3 55 27.4 0.0 4 2.7 0.0 1 0.9 3 1.5 18 100.0 148 100.0 24 100.0 114 100.0 201 100.0 285 100.0 8 44.4 39 26.4 4 16.7 56 49.1 119 59.2 10 55.6 45 30.4 4 16.7 57 50.0 10 55.6 45 30.4 4 16.7 57 50.0 Public Safety 7 Road/Rail Kill Total= All Livestock Related 1 All Attractant Related2 Agricultural Attractant 3 2 1 Includes Livestock Carcass, Feed, and Harassment/Attack occurrences 2 Includes Bee Yard Damage, Dump, and Livestock occurrences Includes Bee Yard Damage and Livestock occurrences 3 15 0.0 1 5.9 10 3.5 3 17.6 1 0.7 48 40 14.0 5 29.4 38 26.2 251 26.4 0.0 3 2.1 11 17 100.0 145 100.0 952 100.0 216 75.8 0 0.0 81 55.9 523 54.9 120 59.7 219 76.8 7 41.2 88 60.7 550 57.8 120 59.7 219 76.8 0 0.0 88 60.7 543 57.0 0.0 1.2 Draft June 1, 2016 Table 5.4. The number of Grizzly Bear Watershed Units (GBWU) within the Recovery Zone of each Bear Management Area (BMA) that exceed the recommended road density of 0.6 km/km2 and 0.75 km/km2 for Core Zone and Secondary Zones, respectively. National Parks were not included in this analysis. GBWU are based on major watersheds subdivided along heights of land and occasionally along watercourses, to approximate the size of an average adult female grizzly bear home range (~500 km2). The road database used is described by Boulanger and Stenhouse (2014) except in the case of BMA 1 for which the Alberta Road layer was used. A full description of this dataset is available online through GeoDiscover Alberta. All feature types with the exception of ferry routes, winter crossings, and winter roads were included. Core Zone ( < 0.6) Secondary Zone (< 0.75) BMA Exceeding # (%) Total # Exceeding # (%) Total # 1 n/a n/a 0 (0) 33 2 3 (15.8) 19 10 (66.7) 15 3 4 (36.4) 11 5 (71.4) 7 4 6 (37.5) 16 4 (66.7) 6 5 0 (0.0) 14 0 (0.0) 1 6 3 (37.5) 8 0 (0.0) 0 7 4 (57.1) 7 4 (44.4) 9 Table 5.5. The current (based on best available data) amount of the Recovery Zone (includes National Parks) in each Bear Management Area (BMA) that are in each habitat state based on habitat states calculated from Resource Selection Function models and mortality risk (Nielsen et al. 2006). Primary and secondary refers to the probability that an area will be used by grizzly bears. Sink refers to areas with high mortality risk. The best habitat for grizzly bears is primary habitat because it is selected by grizzly bears and had a low risk of human-caused mortality. Habitat states for BMA 1 cannot be reported because the underlying research has yet to be done. The Total area may differ slightly from the true area of the Recovery Zone in the BMA, as the raster boundaries do not align exactly with the BMA boundaries. Tl Area Primary sink Secondary sink Infrequently used Secondary habitat Primary habitat 2 (km ) BMA 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 2 Area (km ) % n/a n/a 6,415 21.2 2,178 11.0 1,350 9.1 510 7.1 188 10.5 4,215 35.3 2 Area (km ) % n/a n/a 3,035 10.0 1,172 5.9 781 5.2 339 4.7 144 8.0 2,331 19.5 2 Area (km ) n/a 6,233 7,833 6,815 1,533 467 2,141 16 % n/a 20.6 39.5 45.8 21.2 26.1 17.9 2 Area (km ) n/a 4,773 3,511 3,107 2,547 463 2,055 % n/a 15.7 17.7 20.9 35.3 25.9 17.2 2 Area (km ) n/a 9,853 5,128 2,843 2,293 530 1,206 % n/a 32.5 25.9 19.1 31.8 29.6 10.1 n/a 30,310 19,822 14,896 7,222 1,792 11,948 Draft June 1, 2016 5.3 The Human Dimension to Grizzly Bear Recovery 5.3.1 Albertan’s Attitudes and Concerns Results from interviews with 67 Albertans across BMAs suggest that people who live, work, and recreate in occupied grizzly bear range generally hold positive attitudes towards grizzly bears (C. Hughes, University of Alberta, unpublished data). This is consistent with other studies (Kellert 1994, McFarlane et al. 2007). For the most part, interviewed participants did not express fundamental problems with grizzly bears in forested areas, where there were very few permanent human residents. However, they did describe site-specific concerns which often depended on their personal experiences, such as when grizzly bears caused property loss or damage, threatened human safety, a human fatality occurred, or when conservation concerns for grizzly bears limited resource development. In these instances, positive attitudes were found to exist alongside, or were replaced outright, with negative attitudes. Another important consideration is how human-grizzly bear conflict is managed. Interview participants’ attitudes to grizzly bears were more positive when stakeholders were provided with opportunities to participate in developing local management solutions and when the government’s management was perceived to be effective. Developing and maintaining positive attitudes towards grizzly bears will assist in the adoption of human behaviours that could mitigate or reduce human-grizzly bear conflict. Maintaining positive attitudes might be facilitated by having local stakeholders assist in the development and implementation of management solutions, in addition to ensuring the GoA be responsive to public safety, economic loss, and property security issues. 5.3.2 Alberta BearSmart Program Initiated in 2006, an education and outreach program called Alberta BearSmart was an important early grizzly bear recovery activity (AGBRP 2008). Delivering this program has been the shared responsibility of AEP and the Justice and Solicitor General’s Fish and Wildlife Enforcement Branch. Successful implementation of Alberta BearSmart programming requires development of working relationships with both community and industry partners. The Alberta BearSmart program was initiated with the goals of: empowering Albertans with information to make safe decisions when in bear territory; helping bear populations survive by providing education aimed to prevent bear encounters and appropriate response options in the case of an encounter; and, reducing property damage caused by bears. The Alberta BearSmart Program has developed many outreach and education tools and products6 and has successfully engaged many communities in the BMAs. However, there is still important and ongoing work to be done. 6 http://AEP.alberta.ca/recreation-public-use/alberta-bear-smart/default.aspx 17 Draft June 1, 2016 5.4 Situation Scan by Bear Management Area Grizzly bears in Alberta are wide ranging and the ecological context, population status, threats and recovery priorities vary between BMAs. Section 5.4 provides a scan of the unique issues and factors affecting recovery in each BMA. More detailed maps of the individual BMAs are provided in Appendix B. 5.4.1 Bear Management Area 1 - Chinchaga Description: The vegetation communities here are quite different than other BMAs consisting of primarily Boreal Forest Natural Region (57.2 % Lower Boreal Highlands and 21.2 % of dry mixed wood) whereas other BMAs are mostly made up of vegetation from the Rocky Mountain and Foothills Natural Regions (Table 5.6). Analysis to identify Core Zones for the management of motorized public access has yet to be completed. Recreational activities include OHV use, camping, trapping, angling, and hunting. Economic activity is primarily resource-driven and includes forestry and oil and gas operations with manned facilities and camps, and considerable daily movement of personnel to remote well-sites. Mining operations, including metallic and industrial minerals, also occur in the BMA. There is livestock, honey, and crop production in parts of the Support Zone. Population Status: Ongoing work suggests low densities of grizzly bears in this BMA, but there has yet to be a population inventory completed. There is no reason to suspect that this BMA is not well connected to British Columbia grizzly bear populations, but connectivity has yet to be measured. Threats and Related Recovery Activities: There is very little area (1.5%) within the Recovery Zone that is a protected area or a Public Land Use Zone (PLUZ) that limits road development (Table 5.7). 7.0 % of the GBWU exceed the recommended road density (Table 5.4; see Section 7.2.2 for a discussion of thresholds). Four human-caused mortality events were reported in this BMA from 2009-2013 with poaching accounting for 2 of them (Table 5.8). There were only 18 reported occurrences in total from 2009-2013 with 10 related to agricultural attractants (Table 5.3). AEP staff believe that occurrence reports underrepresent the level of human-bear interactions. Recovery Priorities: Estimate population size. 18 Draft June 1, 2016 Identify the Core Zones in order to identify priorities areas for access management planning. Develop Alberta BearSmart programs in cooperation with local communities. 5.4.2 Bear Management Area 2 – Grande Cache Description: This is the largest BMA with 31.1 % of the BMA being protected areas (Jasper National Park and the Willmore Wilderness Area) although only a small amount of the BMA is classified as a PLUZ (0.2%) (Table 5.7). The Foothills Natural Region (deciduous and coniferous forest) makes up 51.6 % of the BMA, with subalpine and alpine combining for 27.7 % (Table 5.6). Parts of this landscape are highly industrialized with natural resource extraction including oil and gas operations, forestry, coal, aggregate, and other mining. The Support Zone includes both agricultural and forested lands, rural residential, livestock operations, honey producers, and crop/forage production. This BMA is a well-known destination for OHV use, backcountry camping, canoeing, fishing, hunting, trapping, hiking, and wildlife viewing. Population Status: Based on the 2008 inventory results, this BMA has the largest number of grizzly bears of any in Alberta with 353.3 (C.I. 288-516) bears estimated on the sampling grid for a density of 18.1 bears per 1000 km2. At that time, 58% of the population occurred in protected areas (Alberta Grizzly Bear Inventory Team 2009). This BMA is well connected to populations of grizzly bears in British Columbia (Proctor et al.2012). The mortality rate is relatively low as a percentage of the population and is unlikely to be limiting the population (Table 5.1; see section 6.2 for a discussion of mortality rates). Threats and Related Recovery Activities: Over the past five years, poaching has been the leading cause of known mortalities (13 of 36; Table 5.8), yet this rate is within sustainable limits (Table 5.1; see section 6.1 for a discussion of limits). A high number of GBWUs exceed recommended open road thresholds (Core 15.8%; Secondary 66.7%; see Section 7.2.2 for a discussion of thresholds) with the problem primarily concentrated in the SE and NW portions of the Recovery Zone. This has resulted in 21.2 % of the BMA being classified as primary sink habitat (Table 5.5). Open road density will likely increase as a result of the Duvernay shale oil and gas development in the eastern part of the BMA further threatening population connectivity with BMA 7. There are significant human-grizzly bear interactions related to agricultural attractants in the Support Zone of this BMA (Table 5.3Table 5.3: 30.4 % of 148 occurrences). The majority of industrial camps in this BMA are well managed and follow Alberta BearSmart guidelines. 19 Draft June 1, 2016 Recovery Priorities: Reduce and mitigate human-bear conflict in the Support Zone Work with landowners to secure and manage agricultural attractants. Work with stakeholders to reduce road densities in GBWUs that are over threshold. Develop new Alberta BearSmart programs in cooperation with local communities. 5.4.3 Bear Management Area 3 – Yellowhead Description: The landscape changes along a west to east elevation gradient from Alpine and Subalpine natural subregions to Upper and Lower foothill subregion (Table 5.6). This BMA consists of a significant amount of protected area (43.6 %) and PLUZ (13.6 %) (Table 5.7) included the west side of the BMA being Jasper National Park. There are extensive natural resource extraction activities including forestry, open pit mining, and oil and gas activities outside of protected areas with associated highways, roads, and railroad infrastructure in this BMA. The BMA is a well-known destination for OHV use, backcountry camping, canoeing, fishing, hunting, trapping, hiking, and wildlife viewing. Population Status: The 2004 population estimate for this superpopulation around the DNA sample grid was 53 (SE=8.3, CI=44 to 80) for a population density of 4.79 bears per 1000 km2. At that time, most of the bears sampled were on the west side of the BMA with very few bears detected in the southeast part of the sampled area (Boulanger et al. 2005a). That inventory did not include Jasper National Park south of Highway 16. A follow up population inventory for the BMA was undertaken in 2014 which included the area south of Highway 16 in Jasper National Park (Stenhouse et al. 2015). The estimate for the entire area sampled (slightly smaller area than the Recovery Zone) was 138.6 (CI= 114.6 to 167.7). As part of their analysis, Stenhouse et al. 2015 reanalysed the data from 2004 (Boulanger et al. 2005) and compared it to the same area (a subset of the 2014 results) in 2014. They concluded that the population in this area almost doubled in the last 10 years and increased at the rate of approximately 7.0 % per year. This rate of population increase is much higher than is commonly seen for grizzly bear populations in interior North America. BMA 3 has received bears as a result of conflict in other BMAs. Stenhouse et al. (2015) concluded that further analysis is required to better explain how management actions have contributed to this high rate of increase. Threats and Related Recovery Activities: Habitat connectivity is an important issue for this BMA. Movements of bears both north and south are known to occur, but the magnitude and frequency of these movements in terms of demographic connectivity requires further study. The Columbia Icefields along the British Columbia and Alberta border appear to be a natural dispersal barrier to grizzly bears (Proctor et al. 2012; Figure 5.4). Illegal killing is the dominant (8 of 9 mortalities) source of human-caused grizzly bear mortality in this BMA (Table 5.8). 20 Draft June 1, 2016 Road density continues to be a problem with 36.4 % and 71.4 % of the Core and Secondary Zones, respectively, exceeding the recommended road density thresholds (Table 5.4; see Section 7.2.2 for a discussion of thresholds). Recovery Priorities: Complete the analysis of 2014 population inventory data. Implement strategies to reduce illegal killing. Implement access management priorities. Facilitate improved movement through Habitat Linkage Zones associated with Highways 11 and 16 (Figure 5.5) and improve crossing opportunities on the highway 16 corridor as new highway twinning projects are considered. 5.4.4 Bear Management Area 4 – Clearwater Description: Similar to BMA 3 with west to east gradient from Alpine and Subalpine natural subregions to Upper and Lower Foothill subregions with some Montane (7.6 %) (Table 5.6). A large proportion of the Recovery Zone is managed as protected areas (38.0 %) or PLUZ (29.2 %) (Table 5.7) with Banff National Park on its west side. The Support Zone of this BMA is primarily publically managed land with a rapid transition from wild-lands to privately owned agricultural and rural-residential lands to the east. Forestry, oil and gas, and livestock grazing are important economic activities. This BMA is a well-known destination for OHV use, backcountry camping, canoeing, fishing, hunting, trapping, hiking, and wildlife viewing. Population Status: The 2005 estimated population was 47 (CI=44-60) not including Banff National Park or the Siffleur Wilderness Area (Boulanger et al. 2005b). The density estimate on the sample grid was 5.25 bears per 1000 km2. Threats and Related Recovery Activities: Grizzly bear-livestock and livestock feed interactions led to 63 occurrences (49.1%) from 2009 to 2013. Public safety concerns accounted for 30 reported occurrences (26.3 %; Table 5.3). Open road density in this BMA account for 37.5 % and 66.7 % of GBWUs in the Core and Secondary Zones respectively, exceeding recommendations (Table 5.4; see Section 7.2.2 for a discussion of thresholds). There have been a total of 13 bears translocated in response to conflict (Table 5.2). Like BMA 3, connectivity with British Columbia is naturally low due to terrain and glaciation along the continental divide (Proctor et al. 2012). Connectivity has been improved with BMA 5 in the south as a result of crossing structures across Highway 1 in Banff National Park (Ford et al. 2010). 21 Draft June 1, 2016 Recovery Priorities: Assess current grizzly bear abundance in the BMA. Investigate and minimize causes of livestock related human-grizzly bear conflicts. Implementation of access management priorities. Develop new Alberta BearSmart programs in cooperation with local communities. 5.4.5 Bear Management Area 5 – Livingstone Description: This BMA is primarily Subalpine (42 %) and Montane (34.6%) natural subregions (Table 5.6). This BMA consists of the highest percentage of protected area (57.7 %) with another 23.9% of the BMA managed as a PLUZ (Table 5.7). This BMA is a well-known destination for OHV use, backcountry camping, canoeing, fishing, hunting, trapping, hiking, and wildlife viewing. Forestry and natural gas activity occur with lower frequency in this BMA than those to the north and the south half of BMA 5, where land use activities are similar to BMA 6. The majority of the Support Zone in the east of the BMA is private and/or agricultural land (see Appendix B Figure B.5). Population Status: The population estimate in 2006 was 90 bears (CI=75-116)7 with a density of about 12 bears/1000km2 and included Banff National Park south of Highway 1 (Alberta Grizzly Bear Inventory Team 2007). An analysis of observed mortality rates between 1994 and 2002 indicated this subpopulation was slowly increasing in the northern portion of the BMA (Garshelis et al. 2005). There has been an eastward expansion in the patter of occurrences which may be indicative of a expanding population similar to what has been suggested for BMA 6 (Northrop et al. 2012a, Urmson and Morehouse 2012). Connectivity with both BMA 6 to the south and British Columbia to the west is high in this BMA (Proctor et al.2012) Threats and Related Recovery Activities: The known human caused mortality rate excluding relocations in this BMA is slightly over the 4% threshold estimated to allow for population growth. Likewise, female mortality is over the 1.2% threshold. However, when relocated bears are factored into the mortality estimates for the BMA, the mortality rate is substantially over the thresholds (Table 5.1; see section 6.2 for a discussion of mortality rates). 22 Draft June 1, 2016 Vehicle collisions account for 35% (9 of 26) of human-caused mortality from 2009 to 2013 (Table 5.8). During the period 2009-2013, 36 grizzly bears were moved in response to human – bear interactions (14 females, 19 males, 3 unknown). Sixteen bears were moved in response to predation on livestock. Of livestock related occurrences in this BMA, 68% were in the Support Zone, 21% in the Recovery Zone, and 12% outside of the BMA. In this BMA, 55 occurrences were related to public safety concerns (Table 5.3). Open road density is well managed in this BMA with no GBWU exceeding recommendations (Table 5.4; see Section 7.2.2 for a discussion of thresholds) resulting in only 11.8 % of the area classified as primary or secondary sink habitat states, the lowest of any BMA (Table 5.5). A large portion of human-wildlife conflict is associated with livestock in the Support Zone (Table 5.9) with a large increase in occurrences in 2013. Recovery Priorities: Continue to improve and implement attractant management initiatives with a focus on livestock related conflicts. Analyze pattern of vehicle collisions and develop a strategy to mitigate them. Continue ongoing efforts and expand Alberta BearSmart activities in communities that are experiencing increased levels of grizzly bear activity. Complete population inventory and assess population trend. 5.4.6 Bear Management Area 6 – Castle Description: A high proportion of the BMA is made up of natural subregions that have a significant grassland component (Montane 30.5 %, Foothills Fescue 25.1 %, and Foothills Parkland 6.6 %) (Table 5.6). The landscape transitions rapidly from prairie agricultural lands in the east to forested mountains in the west. Over 40% of this BMA is privately owned land, including almost the entire Support Zone (84.1%) (see Appendix B Figure B.6). This is the smallest BMA (next smallest is almost 3 times larger). The grizzly bears in BMA 6 are the northern extension of the large Northern Continental Divide population that includes southeast British Columbia and part of northern Montana which is estimated at about 1000 bears (Mace et al. 2012, Proctor et al. 2012; Figure 5.4). Oil and gas activities, timber harvest, and recreation occur in the portion of the recovery zone north of Waterton Lakes National Park with widespread cattle grazing in the Recovery Zone outside of the National Park and in the Support Zone. Population Status: The 2007 population estimate in this BMA was 51 bears (CI=34.4 – 86.7)8 for a density of 18.1 bears per 1000 km2 (Alberta Grizzly Bear Inventory Team 2008) 23 Draft June 1, 2016 Follow up population inventory work in this BMA was conducted from 2011 to 2014. The analysis of this work will be completed in 2015. Recent genetic analysis demonstrates that grizzly bears in BMA 6 are part of a larger population of over 1000 individuals (Mace et al. 2012) that extends from northwest Montana and southeast British Columbia (Proctor et al. 2012), and is estimated to be increasing at 3 %/year (Mace et al. 2012). Government of Alberta occurrence data suggests that grizzly bears in BMA 6 are extending eastward out of the Recovery Zone into Support Zone and beyond (Northrop et al. 2012a, Urmson and Morehouse 2012). Threats and Related Recovery Activities: Agriculture related occurrences (Table 5.3) contributed to 42 grizzly bears being moved in response to human – bear conflict A large portion of human-wildlife conflict is associated with livestock and stored livestock feed in the Support Zone with an increasing trend in conflicts occurring outside of the BMA to the east (Table 5.9). This BMA has the highest total and the highest female mortality/translocation rate (Table 5.1). After livestock and attractant related translocations, poaching (4 of 12) is the next greatest source of human-caused mortality this BMA (Table 5.8) Recovery Priorities: Continue to manage and mitigate livestock – grizzly bear incidents in the Support Zone and Continue to implement and improve attractant management in the Support Zone. Continue ongoing Alberta BearSmart activities in communities that experience high levels of grizzly bear activity. Reduce the number of conflict bears that are translocated out of the BMA. 5.4.7 Bear Management Area 7 – Swan Hills Description: This BMA is an eastern outlier of the Foothills Natural Region and is composed primarily of Lower Foothills (47.4 %) and Central Mixed-wood (42.9 %) natural subregions (Table 5.6). This is the only BMA, other than BMA 1, that does not contain any Rocky Mountain Natural Region habitats. A narrow isthmus of habitat separates this BMA from the robust subpopulation of grizzly bears in BMA 2. Oil and gas development and forestry are major economic activities affecting grizzly bears and their habitat in this BMA. Hunting, trapping, and fishing are the major recreational activities in this BMA. Agricultural activities are restricted to the Support Zone of the BMA. 24 Draft June 1, 2016 Population Status: There has not been an empirical estimate of the number of grizzly bears in this BMA. Boulanger et al. (2009) calculated a habitat-based population estimate for BMA 7 of 23.2 (CI: 5.9-70.9). There are records of grizzly bears occurring in the Martin Hills in the Support Zone of the northeast portion of this BMA, yet it is unclear to what degree this habitat contributes to the viability of the subpopulation. Threats and Related Recovery Activities: Poaching is the primary cause (5 of 7) of known human-caused mortality in BMA 7 (Table 5.8). Open road density is highest in this BMA, with 57.1 % and 44.4 % of the Core and Secondary Zones respectively, exceeding recommended thresholds (Table 5.4; see Section 7.2.2 for a discussion of thresholds). Road densities in the BMA contribute to 54.8 % of the Recovery Zone being classified as primary or secondary sink habitat (Table 5.5). There is some evidence of a reduction in the expected level of genetic heterozygosity potentially due to in-breeding depression (Proctor et al. 2012). The bears in this BMA are at risk of becoming further isolated from BMA 2 because of anthropogenic changes. Some indications of this are: o In a radio-telemetry study of six adult grizzly bears from 2005 to 2007, none of the bears left the BMA (Boulanger et al. 2009). o Bears radio collared for other research in BMA 2 (n=37) did not move between BMA 2 and BMA 7. In that study, three bears moved to within 40 km of BMA 7 and two of those were killed by poachers. o The traffic volume on the Highway 43 corridor near the town of Fox Creek has increased by 46 % from 2004 to 20139. o Open road densities in the isthmus of habitat that connects BMA 7 to BMA 2 are over recommended thresholds. o Open road density will likely increase as a result of the Duvernay shale oil and gas development10. The towns of Swan Hills and Fox Creek have made significant improvements in the management of their garbage landfills by setting up transfer stations for transporting domestic food waste out of the BMA. Recovery Priorities: Estimate population size. Implement access management recommendations. Assess the degree of genetic isolation from other BMAs. Develop strategies to support demographic connectivity to BMA 2. 9 http://www.transportation.alberta.ca/Content/docType181/production/Traffic%20Volume%20History%2020042013.pdf 10 http://www.aer.ca/documents/about-us/PBR_Brochure.PDF 25 Draft June 1, 2016 Figure 5.5 Location of grizzly bear movement corridors across Highway 11 and 16 (G. Stenhouse, Foothills Research Institute, unpublished data) identified using graph theory modeling (Carra 2010). 26 Draft June 1, 2016 Table 5.6. Natural subregion composition (Natural Regions Committee 2006) of the grizzly bear management areas (BMA). Location Area (km2) Percent of BMA BMA 1 Lower Boreal Highlands Dry Mixedwood Central Mixedwood Upper Boreal Highlands Total = 23,784.1 8,824.8 4,781.9 4,157.0 41,547.9 57.2% 21.2% 11.5% 10.0% BMA 2 Lower Foothills Upper Foothills Subalpine Central Mixedwood Alpine Dry Mixedwood Montane 14,286.1 9,978.9 9,596.5 5,743.3 3,417.9 2,878.7 1,143.5 30.4% 21.2% 20.4% 12.2% 7.3% 6.1% 2.4% Total = 47,045.0 BMA 3 Lower Foothills Subalpine Alpine Upper Foothills Montane Central Mixedwood Dry Mixedwood Total = 10,385.5 6,265.4 5,469.1 5,261.0 721.2 646.8 9.3 28,758.4 36.1% 21.8% 19.0% 18.3% 2.5% 2.2% 0.0% BMA 4 Alpine Upper Foothills Subalpine Lower Foothills Montane Dry Mixedwood Foothills Parkland Total = 4,425.1 4,139.9 3,982.9 3,085.3 1,344.8 419.5 293.8 17,691.4 25.0% 23.4% 22.5% 17.4% 7.6% 2.4% 1.7% Location Area (km2) Percent of BMA BMA 5 Subalpine Montane Alpine Foothills Parkland Foothills Fescue 4,305.5 3,542.0 1,618.5 675.8 98.5 42.0% 34.6% 15.8% 6.6% 1.0% Total = 10,240.2 BMA 6 Montane Subalpine Foothills Fescue Foothills Parkland Alpine Total = 1,094.8 1,066.7 901.5 370.0 153.7 3,586.7 30.5% 29.7% 25.1% 10.3% 4.3% 11,603.6 10,292.3 2,157.2 411.0 24,464.2 173,333.8 47.4% 42.1% 8.8% 1.7% BMA 7 Lower Foothills Central Mixedwood Upper Foothills Dry Mixedwood Total = Grand Total = 27 Draft June 1, 2016 Table 5.7. Area and % area within the Recovery Zone of each Bear Management Area (BMA) that is subject to an access management plan as part of a protected area designation (PA) or a Public Land Use Zone (PLUZ). BMA 1 BMA 2 BMA 3 BMA 4 BMA 5 BMA 6 2 2 2 2 2 2 Type km % PA 359.2 1.5 PLUZ 0.0 0.0 Total= 359.2 1.5 km % 9,918.1 km % 8,663.3 31.1 56.1 2,706.5 31.2 % km % 5,670.9 38.0 4,190.4 57.7 43.6 4,357.3 0.2 9,974.2 km 29.2 1,737.3 10,028.2 57.2 67.3 5,927.7 Table 5.8. Causes of human-caused grizzly bear mortality in each Bear Management Area from 2009-2013 as reported in the compulsory reporting and registration of dead grizzly bear incidents. The mortality cause categories were assigned by the Provincial Carnivore Specialist. Grizzly Bear Management Area Mortality Cause 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Problem Illegal Aboriginal Harvest Mistaken Identification Accidental Road Kill Train Self Defence Natural Unknown Total Mortality = Total Human-Caused = 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 4 4 2 13 3 2 2 6 0 4 1 2 36 32 0 8 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 12 9 28 0 2 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 5 5 0 6 2 0 0 9 0 4 3 2 26 21 3 4 2 0 2 0 0 1 0 2 14 12 0 5 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 8 7 km % km2 % 504.4 27.8 135.3 1.1 1,001.7 55.2 0.0 0.0 1,506.1 83.0 135.3 1.1 23.9 13.6 11,369.8 BMA 7 81.7 Draft June 1, 2016 Table 5.9. Number of livestock (includes livestock feed) and public safety related grizzly bear occurrences in Alberta during the period 2009-2013 by Bear Management Area (BMA), by grizzly bear zone, and across the province as reported in the ENFOR database. Only those occurrences with a spatial reference for assigning to a zone are included. Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Total Recovery BMA 1 – Chinchaga Livestock Support Outside Total Recovery 3 3 2 1 2 1 4 1 1 2 6 8 2 Public Safety Support Outside Total 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 5 7 BMA 2 – Grande Cache Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Total Recovery Livestock Support Outside 1 7 11 6 7 7 1 38 Total Recovery Public Safety Support Outside Total 6 6 8 12 5 3 6 7 3 9 2 1 1 5 7 11 8 8 12 1 4 2 11 12 16 19 16 7 46 37 28 9 74 BMA 3 – Yellowhead Year Recovery 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1 Total 1 Livestock Support Outside 2 Total 1 2 1 1 3 4 Recovery Public Safety Support Outside 4 1 1 3 8 Total 1 1 2 2 1 1 5 3 2 5 2 3 6 17 BMA 4 – Clearwater Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Total Recovery 3 3 3 2 2 13 Livestock Support Outside 8 5 6 12 12 43 1 1 2 3 7 Total 12 9 11 17 14 63 29 Recovery Public Safety Support Outside 6 11 3 1 1 1 2 22 5 8 1 1 Total 7 12 4 1 7 31 DRAFT June 1, 2016 Table 5.9. Continued. BMA 5 – Livingstone Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Total Recovery Livestock Support Outside Total Recovery Public Safety Support Outside Total 2 3 5 11 7 13 7 14 21 36 1 1 1 1 11 16 11 20 33 54 14 3 9 10 3 1 2 5 3 5 2 5 3 5 15 7 19 16 13 28 91 15 134 39 16 15 70 BMA 6 – Castle Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Total Recovery Livestock Support Outside Total Recovery 1 2 3 7 29 32 39 37 66 8 5 11 12 16 37 38 52 52 89 1 4 13 203 52 268 Public Safety Support Outside Total 2 3 1 3 3 2 14 9 2 2 6 7 2 19 12 9 31 6 46 BMA 7 – Swan Hills Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Recovery Livestock Support Outside Total Recovery Public Safety Support Outside 1 1 1 1 3 Total 30 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 6 1 1 2 Total Draft June 1, 2016 6.0 RECOVERY GOAL AND OBJECTIVES 6.1 Background Grizzly bears in Alberta were listed as Threatened in 2010 primarily because they met two status assessment criteria. First, it was considered that human-caused mortality and declining habitat quality would likely result in the continuation of a perceived population decline which was inferred based on estimated mortality rates and declining habitat conditions but was not directly measured. The second IUCN Threatened criteria for which grizzly bears in Alberta qualified was a population size less than 1000 mature individuals. The population criterion recognizes that small populations are at risk of extirpation because they are vulnerable to random events that could cause population reductions. One of the considerations for the 1000 mature individuals criterion11, is the probability that a population can be “rescued” by movement of individuals into the population from a neighboring population. For Alberta grizzly bears, this would be dispersal of bears from neighboring populations in British Columbia or Montana, which is known to occur (Proctor et al. 2012). However, for the 2010 Threatened listing the possibility of rescue was discounted because: New grizzly bears moving into Alberta will not result in demographic rescue unless there is a suitable supply of quality, secure habitat and effective mortality management in the province. (ESCC Scientific Sub-Committee 2010 Report, see Appendix C) New information demonstrates that grizzly bears in some BMAs in Alberta are well connected to both Montana and British Columbia (Proctor et al. 2012). Consequently, if the issues associated with human-caused mortality and the supply of high quality secure habitat can be successfully addressed, then the status of grizzly bears in Alberta could be down-listed from Threatened with fewer than 1000 mature individuals being estimated in the province. The term “secure habitat” recognises the fact that the quality of bear habitat is driven by food availability and that some habitat has high food availability but is not secure because of the mortality risk associated with high road density. The best habitat for grizzly bears is habitat with high food availability and low mortality risk i.e. high quality secure habitat. 6.2 Recovery Goal and Objectives The recovery goal is a high-level statement that sets the program direction. The objectives indicate what is intended to be accomplished during the life of the plan. The indicators show how progress will be assessed. To assess towards the recovery goal, the indicator performance for all of the objectives should be considered collectively 11 The concept of mature individuals only include sexually mature individuals so the total grizzly bear population size would need to be 1,489 assuming that 52 % of the population were sexually mature (Festa-Bianchet 2010). 31 Draft June 1, 2016 During development of this plan the recovery goal was revised in order to better address the reasons that grizzly bears were listed as Threatened in 2010, as well as the emerging threat that local grizzly bear populations could become demographically isolated by major highway corridors (see Section 5.2.3). The revised recovery goal also recognizes that achieving recovery is highly dependent on achieving and maintaining the support of Albertans, particularly those living, working, and recreating in grizzly bear range that are most affected by grizzly bear recovery. Recovery Goal The Alberta grizzly bear population in the Recovery Zone is not limited by human-caused mortality, has access to secure habitat, is able to successfully disperse across major road corridors, and that Albertans - in particular those living, working, and recreating in grizzly bear management zones - are supportive of grizzly bear conservation and management activities. In the following bullets, the recovery goal is split into 3 components and associated objectives and rationale are discussed. Table 6.1 has a list of objectives and performance measures associated with each component of the goal The Alberta grizzly bear population in the Recovery Zone is not limited by human-caused mortality Objective 1. The density of grizzly bears throughout the Recovery Zone of each Bear Management Area is not limited by human-caused mortality and is either stable or increasing over time within a population size range based on habitat potential. Rationale: Population stability or increasing population is a demonstration that threats to the population have been mitigated. Grizzly bear population density varies greatly in different regions of North America largely due to habitat potential and human-caused mortality (Mowat et al. 2013). Analysis is underway to identify what a reasonable expectation for a population size range for most of the BMAs in Alberta (see section 7.4). The indicators for this objective (see Table 6.1) relate to population size in the Recovery Zone and evidence that the population is expanding outside of the Recovery Zone. The best indicator for recovery is repeated population size estimates based DNA-based markrecapture methodologies. Measures that show that bears are expanding into the Support Zone are indicators of an expanding population and are less expensive to measure although they are a less direct measure of the objective. Objective 1 links to Strategies in 7.1, 7.2 and 7.4. Objective 2. In the recovery and support zones, the known human-caused mortality rate is ≤ 4 %, of which the female mortality rate does not exceed 1.2%, except in BMAs 5 and 6 where the mortality rate is less than 6.0%, of which the female mortality rate does not exceed 1.8 %. Rationale: The AGBRP (2008) adapted population viability analysis results (McLoughlin 2003) to develop known human-caused mortality targets that if achieved 32 Draft June 1, 2016 would result in population growth. These are the same mortality rate targets used in Objective 2 with the exception of BMA 5 and 6. For these BMAs the mortality rate target was adjusted to achieve population maintenance instead of population growth in order to not further exacerbate the very high rates of human-grizzly bear conflict associated with livestock and livestock feed (see Sections 5.4.5 and 5.4.6) currently occurring in the Support Zone. The data on human-caused mortality is collected every year and can inform management annually. The mortality rate will be calculated as a percentage of the most recent GoA accepted population estimate. The risk of misinterpreting the importance of a change in mortality rate increases as the time since the last population estimate increases because the mortality rate is calculated as a percentage of the population estimate. Links to Strategies 7.1 and 7.2. access to secure habitat and the ability to successfully disperse across major road corridors Objective 3. The ability of grizzly bears to disperse across Habitat Linkage Zones is improved. Rationale: Addresses the emerging threat of increasing genetic and demographic isolation between BMAs that is likely to be exacerbated with increasing traffic volumes and expansion of urban and rural development along major highway corridors. Links to Strategy 7.3.2. Objective 4. Habitat security for grizzly bears in the Recovery Zone is maintained or improved. Rationale: Addresses need to manage access in order ensure the ability of grizzly bears to access habitat without being exposed to excessively high human-caused mortality risk (i.e. secure habitat) and recognizes that not all habitat is necessarily equally beneficial to grizzly bears. Links to Strategies 7.2.1, 7.2.2 and 7.3 Albertans - in particular people living, working, and recreating in grizzly bear management zones - are supportive of grizzly bear conservation and management. Objective 5. Albertan’s support for grizzly bear conservation and management increases over time. Objective 6. Support for grizzly bear conservation and management is increasing amongst people living, working, and recreating in Bear Management Zones. Rationale: Addresses the reality that managing human behavior is a large part of grizzly bear recovery and gaining peoples’ support to make the necessary changes in human behavior, is an essential part of successfully managing human-grizzly conflict. Objectives 5 and 6 link to Strategy 7.1 but there are elements in most other strategies as well. 33 Draft June 1, 2016 Table 6.1. Recovery goal components and associated objectives and indicators of success. Goal Component 1. The Alberta grizzly bear population in the Recovery Zone is not limited by human-caused mortality. Objective 1. The density of grizzly bears throughout the Recovery Zone of each Bear Management Area is not limited by human-caused mortality and is either stable or increasing over time within a population size range based on habitat potential. Indicator 1.1: Grizzly bear density throughout the recovery zone. Indicator 1.2: The number of grizzly bears that die or are translocated from outside the BMA. Indicator 1.3: Occupancy of breeding females in grizzly bear watershed units in the Support Zone. Method Notes: The population estimates should be measured in a priority driven adaptable rotating schedule such that each BMA is surveyed ideally every 5 years. Specific sampling design may vary by BMA. An abundance estimate is the best way of assessing population status and is necessary to assess the mortality rate in Objective 2. Method Notes: Data source will be ENFOR occurrence records. It would be beneficial to record gender and age when practical. Method Notes: Occupancy assessment based on sightings of sows with cubs preferably using structured sampling with remote cameras to improve confidence in the data. Objective 2. In the recovery and support zones, the known human-caused mortality rate is ≤ 4%, of which the female mortality rate does not exceed 1.2%, except in BMAs 5 and 6 where the mortality rate is less than 6.0%, of which the female mortality does not exceed 1.8 %. Indicator 2.1: The six year running average rate of known human-caused mortality, including translocations, as reported in the BMA. Method Notes: All mortalities/translocation that occur outside of the BMA, and male mortalities/translocations that occur within the Support Zone, are excluded from the mortality rate calculation. Bears that are translocated from a BMA are considered a mortality for that BMA and, to avoid double counting, if that bear should subsequently die due to a human-caused mortality it is not counted as a mortality in the host BMA. This marking translocated bears would benefit this analysis. It is also assumed that the rate of increase and the unknown rate of mortality in the recovery zone is similar to those used by McLoughlin (2003). Some BMAs (e.g. 1, 2, 5 and 6) are part of populations outside of Alberta which means that there are bears with home range centres outside of Alberta that spend part of their time in Alberta. The population size used in the calculation of mortality needs consider this. It would be also beneficial if a population model was used to predict population size between population survey years. 34 Draft June 1, 2016 Table 6.1. Continued Goal Component 2. Access to secure habitat and the ability to successfully disperse across major highway corridors Objective 3. The ability of grizzly bears to disperse across Habitat Linkage Zones is improved. Indicator 3.1: Number of female grizzly bears Method Notes: See Proctor et al. (2012). In addition, collecting DNA in the adjacent BMA that successfully disperse across major highway when a BMA is being sampled for a population inventory should be considered as a costcorridors, inferred from rates of genetic exchange effective option for collecting DNA to evaluate movements and gene flow across highway calculated at regular intervals. corridors. Objective 4. Habitat security for grizzly bears in the Recovery Zone is maintained or improved. Indicator 4.1: The percentage of each BMA that Method Notes: Measured using resource selection function and mortality risk models exists in each habitat state. (Nielsen et al. 2006). Should be calculated at least every three years. (see Section 7.3.1 for additional discussion of this approach). For this metric to be representative, information on the landscape status needs to be updated. Goal Component 3. Albertans - in particular people living, working, and recreating in grizzly bear management zones - are supportive of grizzly bear conservation and management. Objective 5. Albertan’s support for grizzly bear conservation and management increases over time. Indicator 5.1: Percentage of Albertans supportive Method Notes: Trend in knowledge, attitudes and behaviors over time, gathered via a of, and knowledgeable about, grizzly bears, their provincial random, representative public survey conducted every five years after initial management and recovery. baseline is collected. Objective 6. Support for grizzly bear conservation and management is increasing amongst people living, working, and recreating in Bear Management Zones. Indicator 6.1: Percentage of Albertans living, Trend in knowledge, attitudes and behaviors over time of people living, working and/or working and/or recreating in BMAs are supportive recreating in each BMAs. Data is detailed at the BMA level, and acquired via the same of, and knowledgeable about, Grizzly Bears, their provincial level survey conducted every five years. management and recovery. 35 Draft June 1, 2016 7.0 STRATEGIES FOR THE RECOVERY OF GRIZZLY BEARS This section describes the strategies and actions identified to address the issues and threats described in the Situation Analysis (Section 5). Successfully addressing these issues and threats should result in achieving the recovery goal and objectives. The progress measures identified for each strategy serve to report progress on implementation activities associated with that strategy. Progress measures on recovery objectives are assessed elsewhere (Table 6.1). While this section is formatted differently than in the AGBRP (2008), many of the recovery actions are similar but have been updated. 7.1 Improving Program Effectiveness The purpose of this strategy is to use the lessons learned and new knowledge that has been generated over the last five years to identify opportunities for specific program improvements. 7.1.1 Improving Alberta BearSmart Government staff and Alberta BearSmart program delivery partners were invited to provide their feedback on the strengths and weaknesses of the Alberta Bearsmart program. The following recommendations are focused on improving the program as it relates to grizzly bear recovery, though implementation will require integration into the broader Alberta BearSmart program. Firstly, permanent provincial-level capacity is required for coordinating Alberta BearSmart. Currently, the program is spread out amongst various staff members, all of whom reconcile multiple priorities. A full-time staff member serving as the provincial coordinator would enable Alberta BearSmart to elevate its program efficiency, and successfully address long-standing challenges that have prevented the program from further advancement. Secondly, human-wildlife conflict positions need to be staffed for all regions that experience high levels of grizzly bear conflict. Regional human-wildlife conflict specialists would be positioned to bolster existing Alberta BearSmart projects, work closely with stakeholders affected by grizzly bear conflict, and support volunteer groups working within communities. Human-wildlife conflict specialists would support the local public in developing long-term solutions to promote public safety, secure grizzly bear attractants, and take proactive actions to prevent future conflict. Through focused education and outreach specialized staff, devoted to addressing the local citizens’ wildlife conflict concerns, would build program credibility and influence a lasting shift in human behaviour aimed at the adoption of preventative techniques to limit conflict with grizzly bears. Thirdly, a third party agent could be engaged to support community-led BearSmart groups. The purpose of this group could include supporting development of grant applications and receiving, administering, and distributing grant dollars from external funders. This would eliminate competition between community groups for limited financial opportunities and ensure groups are funded more equitably. An independent agent could support community-based groups in projects like the dead-stock composting program or replacement of grain bins by the Drywood Yarrow Conservation Partnership and Waterton Biosphere Reserve Carnivore Working Group. 36 Draft June 1, 2016 The subsequent evaluation of community-based pilot projects and communication of results could also fall under the purview of this agent. Other potential responsibilities of the third-party agency could include: research, develop, and administer an Alberta BearSmart certification program; advocate for the Alberta BearSmart program with non-governement organizations; support administration of community-led BearSmart projects, and; seek and share solutions to common problems, such as issues around volunteer recruitment and retention. Desired Outcome A highly effective, provincially-coordinated, regionally-delivered BearSmart program with sustainable funding where GOA staff and program partners collaborate to deliver: information, training, and public education and outreach related to public safety, grizzly bears, and human grizzly bear conflict; projects that reduce human grizzly bear conflict and assist Albertans in improving public safety and reducing property damage. Recovery Actions In collaboration with relevant staff and partners, 1) Review the BearSmart Program. 2) Write a business case for an expanded BearSmart program that includes: a governance structure for the Alberta BearSmart program, including the development of a third party agent; responsibilities of a third party agent (if this option is pursued), as it relates to coordinating, applying for and disseminating grants/funds to groups and individuals involved in Alberta BearSmart programming; increasing dedicated staff capacity for coordinating and delivering the Alberta BearSmart program; staffing additional Human-Wildlife Conflict Specialist positions; and, the funding requirements for enhanced Alberta BearSmart programming. Progress Measures 1) An Alberta BearSmart program business case is written and accepted. 2) A third party agent is identified and established. 3) Staff capacity is formally identified and increased to support Alberta BearSmart delivery. 4) Additional human wildlife conflict specialist positions are hired and in place. 37 Draft June 1, 2016 7.1.2 Enhanced Public Outreach and Education Eliciting behavioral change through public education and outreach is complex and requires longterm commitment to be successful. The education process does not end once an individual receives a brochure; education is a place-based, experiential, cumulative process that requires that multiple factors working together to help an individual progress through the following environmental literacy steps: 1. Awareness that an issue exists. 2. Deeper understanding of the issue. 3. Attitudes of appreciation and a desire to find solutions to the issue. 4. Using critical thinking skills to create place-based solutions. 5. Taking personal and collective action. Currently, Alberta BearSmart efforts focus largely on providing audience-specific information products consistent with current scientific research. While these products are still widely available and help ensure Alberta BearSmart messaging remains provincially consistent, these materials only address the first two steps to environmental literacy. More educational information does not necessarily translate to behavior change (Jensen 2002). People differ in their knowledge of, experiences with, and attitudes towards grizzly bears (Brymer and Davids 2013; Hughes 2013). To progress along the steps to environmental literacy and achieve desired long-term behavior changes, the Alberta BearSmart program must develop a more tactical, locally customized approach. Considerations to accomplish this, some of which are practiced already, include: engaging local leaders to help shift previously accepted norms and adoption of new behaviors (Wilcox et al. 2012); providing opportunities for new knowledge and skills to be reflected on and practiced (Hughes, 2012); engaging community partners, including industry, non-government organizations, Indigenous communities, industry, and municipalities, in the planning, delivery, and evaluation of education and outreach programming; leveraging Regional staff expertise of their local context, social networks, and BearSmart programming needs to develop and deliver well integrated regional programming (Fien et al. 2001); developing a formal BearSmart Stewardship award program; develop standardized approaches for evaluating program outcomes regionally and provincially (Baruch-Mordo et al. 2011); and, social marketing campaigns, particularly those using social media (McKenzie-Mohr 2000). The degree to which new regions of the province can have increased levels of Alberta BearSmart programming, or whether the new activities in this strategy can be implemented, is in part dependent on new resources being identified (Strategy 7.1.1). 38 Draft June 1, 2016 Desired Outcome: Clear and consistently branded public BearSmart education and outreach programs and products that: are tailored to regional needs, are collaboratively delivered by local AEP staff, and partners, increase awareness and knowledge of grizzly bears, and encourage the adoption of behaviors that mitigate human-caused grizzly bear mortality and improve public safety. Recovery Actions 1) Develop standardized protocols for tracking and reporting on progress measures, and implement these measures. 2) Collaboratively develop and deliver context-specific education and outreach programming that addresses the priority needs of key stakeholder groups. 3) Continue to provide a suite of audience-specific printed and online materials for distribution to the public. 4) Develop and deliver train-the-trainer sessions for partner groups and industry, to increase their capacity for consistent Alberta BearSmart education and outreach projects. 5) Ensure that Government of Alberta staff model exemplary Alberta BearSmart practices while conducting their work. 6) Continue to place print ads in audience-specific publications, and provide social media content in spring and fall periods when increased levels of human-grizzly bear conflict is anticipated. 7) Attend and provide information and training at trade shows, community events and related venues. 8) Work with the Alberta Safety Council to update the Bear Awareness and Avoidance student and trainer courses. 9) Create and carry out a social media strategy that recognizes the benefits of linking social media to on-the-ground bear management and BearSmart activities. 10) Develop and/or enhance curriculum aligned education kits. 11) Develop and implement an Alberta BearSmart community recognition and certification program. 12) Link online education resources, like the Alberta Hunter Education Instructors Association’s online Bear Essential video, to the mandatory bear identification testing being proposed in Strategy 7.2.3. 13) Deliver an annual Alberta BearSmart Conference/Workshop for staff and program delivery partners. Progress measures: 1) Use of Alberta BearSmart materials, indicated through counts of: website visits, document downloads, and resources distributed through outreach events. 39 Draft June 1, 2016 2) Engagement in social media through counts of blog, Twitter, and other related social media hits/usage. 3) Number and type of Alberta BearSmart programs (e.g. attractant management and school education) activity engaged within each BMA. 4) Level of public participation at community Alberta BearSmart events (e.g. number of people engaged at demonstrations, meetings, tradeshows, etc.). 5) Number of communities that have adopted bylaws supporting attractant management. 6) Percentage of people that carry bear spray when working and recreating in a BMA. 7) Percentage of people living in BearSmart communities that use appropriate garbage disposal. 7.1.3 Improve Program Coordination As part of the implementation of the AGBRP (2008), a Science Advisory committee was formed and annual information sharing forums were held. Over the last few years of implementation, this group has met less frequently and is in need of refreshing. Grizzly bear recovery will be better supported with more provincial coordination and improved communication between administrative regions in the BMAs. To this end, it is recommended that a Provincial Coordinating Committee be formed that would be chaired by the provincial lead, and composed of AEP leads from each BMA, and include content specialists as needed. The purpose of this committee would be to standardize methodologies for measuring and reporting of the recovery objective indicators (Table 6.1), prioritizing the distribution of resources, prioritizing population monitoring priorities, reporting on recovery implementation activities, and addressing any emerging issues affecting recovery. As part of the implementation of the new plan, the Provincial Coordinating Committee would organize a forum that would include information sharing, opportunities for collaboration, and discussion of emerging recovery priorities. This forum will replace the standing Science Advisory Committee while broadening the membership to include all the AEP grizzly bear leads from the regions and key academic and industry partners. This forum will be held regularly, depending on the perceived need. Grizzly bears occupy a large area of Alberta that varies in geography, conservation issues, stakeholder issues, and administrative boundaries. Regional AEP staff are responsible for implementing and coordinating many aspects of the provincial recovery plan and have begun to develop/work with various types of recovery/grizzly bear management working groups (e.g. local BearSmart organizations or Waterton Biosphere Reserve) to assist and advise implementation activities. The composition of these teams reflects the issues and stakeholder needs of the BMA. This model has been quite successful in several BMAs. Wildlife managers and biologists in each BMA should reflect on specific regional needs and develop a recovery implementation group(s) reflective of those needs. 40 Draft June 1, 2016 Portions of the Alberta grizzly bear population are part of larger regional populations shared with Montana and British Columbia and AEP staff have participated in the Interagency Grizzly Bear Committee (IGBC) and consult frequently with biologists and managers from neighbouring provinces, states and the National Parks. Research and monitoring data are regularly shared with Parks Canada in order to help facilitate management of bears that use both provincial lands and National Parks. The Department is continuing to collaborate with Parks Canada, and the United States Geological Survey on grizzly bear trend monitoring in BMAs 5 and 6. A needed next step would be to create a British Columbia – Alberta grizzly bear forum where management specialists from Alberta, British Columbia, and Parks Canada could share information on the priority grizzly bear management activities, look for opportunities for collaboration, and invite researchers to share research results. Consideration could be given to expanding membership to Montana, Yukon, and the Northwest Territories. Desired Outcome Grizzly bear recovery implementation and management is well coordinated at the BMA, Provincial, and inter-jurisdictional scales. Recovery Actions 1) Develop a provincial grizzly bear recovery coordinating committee comprised of program leads from the regions/BMA, the provincial lead, and content specialists. This group would be responsible for standardizing methodologies for measuring and reporting on recovery objective indicators (Table 6.1), prioritization of resources, and the reporting of recovery implementation activities. 2) Develop regional implementation working groups to assist and advise on BMA-specific implementation activities. The purpose and constituent representation would be based on local needs and issues. These groups would include, or be well aligned with, regional implementation of BearSmart activities and the groups delivering this program. 3) The provincial grizzly bear coordinating committee holds an annual forum to: 1) report progress on the priority grizzly bear management activities, 2) look for opportunities for collaboration, 3) identify emerging information/research needs, and 4) invite researchers to share research results. 4) Work with British Columbia, and Parks Canada to develop a forum to: 1) share information on grizzly bear management activities, 2) look for opportunities for collaboration, and 3) invite researchers to share research results. Performance Measure 1) Number of meeting/information forums that occur annually at each scale of management. 2) Number of inter-jurisdictional collaborations. 41 Draft June 1, 2016 7.2 Strategies to Reduce Human-caused Mortality Human-caused mortality, from a number of sources, is the main threat (see section 5.2.1) to the recovery of grizzly bears in Alberta and there are four sub-strategies to address this threat. The largest source of human-caused mortality is poaching. There are no new specific strategies for this source of mortality other than to: maintain the high standard of investigation of all suspicious grizzly bear deaths; continue to use media and BearSmart outreach and education message to promote that it is not legal or socially acceptable to kill bears; encourage citizens to report poaching incidents, and increase patrols and/or opportunistically use surrogate operations (i.e. a representation of a grizzly bear) in areas with a persistent poaching problem. Strategies to address other sources of human caused mortality, including relocations outside a bear’s home BMA are discussed below. 7.2.1 Reduce Human-Grizzly Bear Conflict by Managing Attractants Reducing conflict by securing (i.e. making them no longer accessible) attractants has the potential to significantly reduce the number of bears translocated from the Recovery and Support Zones. This would result in higher survival for grizzly bears, reduce human-grizzly bear conflict, and improve public safety. As an example, the Blackfoot Challenge conservation initiative in Ovando, Montana has been effective in reducing carnivore-ranching conflicts using techniques like electric fencing, deadstock removal, and deadstock composting. Between 2003 and 2006, local community groups and livestock producers have reduced human-grizzly bear conflicts by 91% (Wilson, 2007). Similar projects in southern Alberta have been undertaken by the Drywood Yarrow Conservation Partnership, Chief Mountain Landowners Group, and the Waterton Biosphere Reserve Association. These projects serve as a model of how government grants to local groups and municipalities, combined with collaboration with local AEP staff, can significantly decrease the number of unsecured attractants (Loosen et al., 2014). However, the nature of activities on ranches and farms attract grizzly bears so total elimination of attractants is unlikely, yet projects such as those mentioned here can minimize resulting conflict (Loosen et al. 2014). Preventative approaches have the added benefits of helping to maintain public safety, reduce property damage, and decrease grizzly bear depredation costs incurred by agricultural communities and individuals. Agricultural - Agricultural attractants are the source of the majority of grizzly bear occurrences in BMA 1, 4, 5, and 6, as well as lands immediately adjacent and outside of the BMAs, and are the second most common type of occurrence in BMA 2 following Public Safety (Table 5.3). Investments in securing agricultural attractants in these BMAs has the potential to continue reducing human-grizzly bear conflict and the number of grizzly bears relocated, particularly in BMAs 5 and 6 (Table 5.3). Successful implementation of agricultural attractant securement programs, modeled on those mentioned above (Loosen et al. 2014), would be greatly facilitated by improving resources and funding directed towards community-based groups to assist and support agricultural producers to implement preventative measures to reduce conflict and protect their property and improve personal safety(see Strategy 7.1.1). 42 Draft June 1, 2016 While modifying husbandry practices can help reduce the frequency of grizzly bear depredations on livestock, total elimination of livestock losses to bears is unlikely due to the difficulty of preventing depredations when livestock are grazing in large pastures or during calving. The current approach is to provide compensation through the Alberta Wildlife Predator Compensation Program. There may be an opportunity to improve the tolerance of ranchers if grizzly bear depredation compensation is reviewed and improved (Morrison, 2013). Community and Municipal - To better understand human-grizzly bear conflict, AEP (AESRD 2014) completed a detailed analysis of records from a variety of information sources for the Bow Valley between the years 1986-2011. Over the 25 year time period, 83 % (n=2472) of all humangrizzly bear conflicts were in residential or urban green space areas in the Bow Valley. Over time, attractant management activities there have progressed from securing garbage, to passing bylaws banning bird feeders from April 1 to October 30, to the removal of natural bear forage such as buffaloberry occurring at the edge of communities. These targeted programs have demonstrated a decrease in conflict incidents specific to these attractants (AESRD 2014). As grizzly bears increase in prevalence in other parts of their range, it is anticipated that other communities will experience similar patterns of conflict, and can benefit from the lessons learned in the Bow Valley. In addition to existing community attractant challenges, some BMAs are seeing a growing number of new rural residential inhabitants, particularly in the Support Zone. These areas have specific outreach and education requirements to improve public safety and reduce associated impacts to grizzly bears. Industry and Government Camps- Temporary work camps are common in many parts of the Recovery and Support Zones, potentially increasing the number of unsecured grizzly bear attractants. However, there has been significant progress in incorporating BearSmart principles into permitting requirements for new camps, and there is growing recognition within industry that effectively managing attractants is an important part of a comprehensive occupational health and safety program. Securement of grizzly bear attractants around industrial camps will continue to be important in all BMAs and, in particular, BMAs 1, 2, and 7 given the projected increase in oil and gas activity. It is also important that all Government of Alberta field camps model exemplary BearSmart practices and use standards similar to those required of industry. Recreation - Improvements continue to be made in the management of human garbage and other attractants in designated camping areas in the Recovery Zone. However, significant work is required to manage garbage and other attractants within back-country camps, random road-side camping areas, and privately and/or municipally managed campgrounds in the Recovery and Support Zones. There is still no standard for certification of “bear-proofness” in Canada for garbage and food storage containers although work is being done in the United States by the Inter-agency Grizzly Bear Committee.12 12 http://www.igbconline.org/index.php/safety-in-grizzly-country/bear-resistant-products 43 Draft June 1, 2016 Desired Outcomes 1) There are no grizzly bear conflicts in the Recovery Zone due to unsecured attractants. 2) There are no grizzly bear translocations from the Support Zone due to unsecured attractants. Recovery Actions 1) Continue to work with all levels of government (municipal, provincial, and federal) to develop a standardized provincial database for tracking the location, cause, and management response to human-grizzly bear conflict. 2) Amend the Alberta Wildlife Act to make it illegal to knowingly feed a grizzly bear. 3) Analyze road and rail mortality locations to identify where attractants may be a contributing mortality factor and work with the responsible jurisdiction to eliminate the attractant and to improve the practices that might be generating the attractants. 4) Ensure coordination of education and outreach activities related to attractant management via the provincial Alberta BearSmart Program and its partners. Agricultural Attractants 5) Increase the support and facilitate the development of new cost-shared programs to secure agricultural attractants which result in serious human-grizzly bear conflicts. The priority would be given to resolving issues in the Recovery Zone first and then the Support Zone with direction provided by the regional implementation teams. 6) Continue to work with partners to expand pro-active programs for addressing issues such as livestock carcass removal, outreach-education and voluntary attractant audits. Use the lessons learned from program successes in BMA 6 to develop similar programs in other BMAs where agricultural food attractants are the major source of human-grizzly bear conflict. 7) Work with program delivery partners and affected stakeholders to ensure that the Alberta Predator Compensation Program adequately compensates livestock producers that coexist with grizzly bears. 8) Complete the evaluation of the Spring Intercept Feeding Program in BMA 6 and determine the future direction of this program. 9) When new grazing dispositions are being considered, evaluate the potential for conflicts with grizzly bears before approval. New dispositions in high risk areas or with vulnerable livestock (e.g., sheep) should be avoided. Community and Municipal 10) Through the Alberta BearSmart Program, work with Municipal Districts and Counties to provide education and outreach materials, specifically targeting new rural residents. 11) For Municipal Districts and Counties with significant human-grizzly bear conflict issues associated with attractants, work with local government to develop regulation and compliance programs. 44 Draft June 1, 2016 Recreational Camping and Industrial Camps 12) Through the BearSmart program, work with jurisdictions to deliver education and outreach programs, supported by regulations and compliance assurance for improved food storage, game carcass management and camp maintenance for backcountry camping in the Recovery Zone. 13) Continue to improve recreational camping practices including garbage management, campground/campsite design and food storage, with particular attention paid to random camping next to roadsides and streams. This includes providing resources (bear proof bins, food hang racks) and/or information on why and how to secure food and garbage while camping, and bear spray training sessions. 14) Implement standards for attractant securement for all industrial camps, including Government of Alberta camps, in alignment with the specifications of the Enhanced Approval Process Appendix F – Integrated Standards and Guidelines. Progress Measures 1) Trend in the number and gender of grizzly bears translocated/removed from the Recovery Zone or Support Zone. 2) In the Recovery Zone and Support Zone, the proportion of attractants associated with human-grizzly bear conflicts that have been successfully secured. 3) In the Support Zone, the proportion of attractants associated with grizzly bear translocations that have been successfully secured. 7.2.2 Mitigate the Effect of Motorized Access Minimizing the effects of existing and anticipated motorized access on grizzly bear mortality has been identified as a high priority recovery activity (see 5.2.1). The AGBRP (2008) defined open routes as “roads or trails that receive motorized use (including seismic lines)” and recommended thresholds for open-route density to minimize access-related mortality of grizzly bears. Using these thresholds to inform land-use decisions was constrained by the inability to determine the degree to which vegetation regeneration or terrain is limiting the ability of OHVs to travel on some potential routes. Open roads, which are defined as access that is reasonably drivable with on-highway vehicles (i.e. paved or graveled), are much easier to define and have been clearly associated with increased grizzly bear mortality (Boulanger and Stenhouse 2014). As such, in this recovery plan the density thresholds are for open roads. However, when more areas have designations that restrict OHV use to designated trails, there will be the opportunity to assess the contribution of these trails to grizzly bear mortality and, if necessary, develop OHV trail density thresholds similar to the open road densities recommendation discussed below. There also has been progress made in using remote sensing technology such as Lidar to determine whether linear footprint is receiving regular OHV traffic (G. Stenhouse, personal communication). The Chinchaga Area in BMA 1 is of interest because it is the only BMA made up of habitat classified as Boreal Highland and was not included in the Boulanger and Stenhouse (2014) study area. At this time the extent that OHVs contribute to human-caused grizzly bear mortality is a knowledge gap. Boulanger and Stenhouse (2014) also examined the relative survival rates of different age, sex, and reproductive categories of grizzly bears under different open road densities. They found that 45 Draft June 1, 2016 survival of younger bears and females with cubs was more affected than other bears when road densities exceeded thresholds because females with cubs used road edges more often than other reproductive categories. Demographic models that included the effect of open road density, predicted that populations would likely increase at open road densities of ≤ 0.6 km/km2 but that the population of females with cubs would decrease at open road densities of greater than 0.75 km/km2 (Boulanger and Stenhouse, 2014). Consequently, the recommended open road density threshold in the Core Zone remains at less than 0.6 km/km2 but is reduced to less than 0.75 km/km2 in the Secondary Zone as a precautious measure in order to better manage the extra vulnerability of females with cubs with cubs to human-caused mortality associated with higher open road densities. Where these thresholds have been exceeded, particularly in areas that have the potential to be high quality grizzly bear habitat, it is recommended that remedial management options be applied, such as seasonally closing access to public motorized use or decommissioning roads to restore the areas to below the recommended open road densities. The scale for the actual calculation of open road density will continue to be at the scale of the Grizzly Bear Watershed Unit GBWU. Currently, 35.9% of the Recovery Zone has a Federal or Provincial Protected Area designation that limits motorized vehicle access to designated roads or trails (Table 7.1). One of the challenges to implementation of the AGBRP (2008) was the lack of policy for managing access in grizzly bear range that falls outside these areas. The ongoing/future development of Regional Land Use Plans and access management sub-plans under the Government of Alberta’s Land Use Framework Policy13 will be the primary way access management will be implemented for grizzly bears. It is through these planning processes that balancing of economic, environmental, and social, requirements from the land will take place. The role of this recovery plan and the subsequent implementation activities will be to provide input into these planning processes by providing timely information on the priorities for the management of access for grizzly bear conservation. However, some of the Regional Plans will not be completed for several years and there will also be a lag while the supporting frameworks and any required access management sub-plans are developed. In areas where the rate of development of new roads will likely get ahead of these planning processes, it is strongly recommended that AEP develop a policy Directive or similar tool that would require that grizzly open road density limits be considered in the planning and permitting of new roads in the Core and Secondary Zones. Table 7.1. The area of the Recovery and Support zones that has Federal or Provincial designation limiting vehicular access to designated roads or trails. Recovery Zone Support Zone 13 Type of Designation Area (km2) % Area (km2) % Protected Areas 29441.6 26.5 1014.3 1.6 Public Land Use Zones 9,858.9 9.0 205.8 0.3 Total 39,300.50 35.3 1,220.10 2.0 https://landuse.alberta.ca/PlanforAlberta/LanduseFramework/Pages/default.aspx 46 Draft June 1, 2016 The Public Lands Administration Regulation14 contains provisions that enable the use of locked gates to block public access of resource roads on public land. Although potentially effective in managing access, the practice of gating roads is difficult to enforce and gates have been vandalized or circumvented by the public in some instances. The successful use of this tool will require an associated compliance assurance plan, with heightened education and enforcement efforts. Desired Outcome An approved access management plan or equivalent, AEP Directive (or similar tool), or Protected Area designation that limits open road densities from exceeding thresholds (to less than 0.6 km/km2 in the Core Zone and to less than 0.75 km/km2 in the Secondary Zone) is in place for 100% of the grizzly bear Recovery Zone. Recovery Actions 1) Assess all GBWUs for size to identify any units that are oversized and should be split. 2) Include the recommended grizzly bear road density thresholds in the Regional Plans, Biodiversity Management Frameworks and access management sub-plans. 3) Develop a policy Directive (or equivalent tool), that uses the recommended open-road density thresholds as part of the planning and permitting process for new road developments on public land in the Core and Secondary Zones. 4) Work with industry experts to develop and implement approaches for restricting public access on roads that are needed for resource extraction. Where roads are to be closed, develop comprehensive signage and compliance assurance programs with clear roles and responsibilities for Industry and the Government of Alberta. 5) Improve data management processes so that there is an up to date provincial road database for the Recovery Zone that includes records on roads that have been closed to public motorized access and roads that have been decommissioned. 6) Where recommended open road density limits have been exceeded in a GBWU, work with stakeholders and land managers to develop and implement a plan that identifies where roads will be closed to public motorized use, reclaimed, and develop a reclamation schedule. Use best available information to prioritize areas that have high open road density and high potential for restoration to high quality grizzly bear habitat. 7) Develop and refine methodologies to determine and monitor open route density and use this information to better quantify the magnitude of the effect of off-road OHV use on grizzly bear mortality. 8) Use the following design considerations when planning access management or developing operating procedures and guidelines in the Core and Secondary Zones: 14 http://AEP.alberta.ca/lands-forests/public-lands-administration-regulation/default.aspx 47 Draft June 1, 2016 i. identify relatively high quality habitat that is currently intact and use predictive models to design access in these areas so that the relatively large patches of undisturbed high quality habitat are avoided; ii. revegetate disturbed areas such as road sides with appropriate seed mixes that is similar to adjacent vegetation and avoid species like legumes that are known bear attractants; iii. strategically locate timber retention areas to reduce sight lines from roads into adjacent cutblocks or maintain visual screening using other vegetation; and, iv. new road developments should be temporary and include a schedule of reclamation and/or deactivation. Where appropriate, include road design considerations in the new road policy directive (Action 3). Progress Measures: 1) The percentage of the Recovery Zone in each BMA that is subject to an approved access management plan, Directive, or Protected Area designation is consistent with recommended open road density limits. 2) Change in open road densities by BMA and GBWU relative to the recommended Core and Secondary Zone road densities. Method Note: Standardized methodology needs to be developed so trends can be monitored and reported, ideally every 3 years (see strategy 7.3.1). 7.2.3 Reduce Accidental Human-caused Mortality Fifty – four percent of the 131 human-caused grizzly bear deaths from 2006-2013 were accidental in nature. Specifically, 21 % (27 of 131) were due to collisions with train or motor vehicles, 20% (26 of 131) were self-defence kills, and 13 % (17 of 131) were due to a hunter mistaking a grizzly bear for a black bear (see Section 5.2.1). It will not be possible to eliminate vehicle collision-related mortality for grizzly bears and it is possible that the number of bears killed in this manner will increase as the Alberta grizzly bear population increases in size and distribution and/or the number of vehicles traveling on Alberta highways through the Recovery and Support Zones increases. However, periodic analysis to identify high collision areas and to mitigate the contributing factors such as roadside food attractants (e.g. natural vegetation, grain, garbage, road kills, and highway crossing structures [see section 7.3.2]) would help minimize this source of grizzly bear mortality. In a review of human-grizzly encounters in Alaska, Smith et al. (2008) found that bear spray successfully deterred grizzly bear attacks 92 % of the time and resulted in very few injuries to people and no deaths to the bear. In contrast, incidents with firearms resulted in the bears being killed 61 % of the time, firearm bearers suffered the same injury rates in close encounters with bears whether they used their firearms or not, and firearms were less successful than bear spray at deterring the grizzly bear attack (Smith et al. 2008; Smith et al.2012). Since most defensive 48 Draft June 1, 2016 kills are by hunters, getting hunters to carry and use bear spray is an important strategy for reducing this source of grizzly bear mortality and insuring public safety. First time hunters in Alberta receive bear identification training as part of their hunter education program. Montana Department of Fish, Wildlife and Parks, now requires that hunters pass a test to demonstrate their ability to distinguish a grizzly bear from a black bear in order to purchase a black bear license while the Idaho Department of Fish and Game makes the test available online as a resource but it is not as yet making it a requirement for obtaining a black bear hunting permit. Developing a mandatory grizzly bear identification certification program for Alberta black bear hunters, in combination with the continued practice of restricting black bear baiting to areas that are not occupied grizzly bear habitat, should minimize the number of misidentification kills by black bear hunters. Desired Outcome Avoidable accidental mortality does not occur because people have the knowledge and skills to use the appropriate tools. Recovery Actions 1) Analyze vehicle collisions records for each BMA to identify areas where collisions occur more frequently. Identify the underlying contributing factors and implement mitigations where possible. 2) Promote and encourage use of pepper spray along with other bear safety practices with the hunting community and landowners being priority audiences. 3) Develop a bear identification testing/certification program available for all hunters with the intention of phasing it in as a mandatory requirement to obtain an annual black bear hunting permit. Progress Measures 1) The number of recovery activities targeting the prevention of accidental mortality that have been accomplished. 2) Number of accidental human-caused grizzly bear mortalities that could have been avoided. 7.2.4 Targeted Use of Aversive Conditioning Aversive conditioning techniques, using specially trained dogs or noise and pain stimulus, to move bears out of developed areas has been used in Alberta and other jurisdictions for many years. To be successful, the attractants drawing the bear into the area need to be secured before the bear has become habituated to human-associated foods (Gillin et al. 1994; Leigh and Chamberlain 2008). A consistent approach to delivering aversive conditioning is also important for success. To date, the best examples of the successful use of aversive conditioning is in provincial protected areas with bear proof garbage management systems and management of natural food attractants. When appropriately used, aversive conditioning can contribute to reducing incidents of human-grizzly bear conflict, human caused grizzly bear mortality, long distance relocations, and improved public safety (Honeyman 2008). Aversive condition has been 49 Draft June 1, 2016 used for many years in the Bow Valley – Kananaskis area and should be evaluated for effectiveness. Desired Outcome Aversive conditioning is used successfully to reduce the prevalence of bears in areas where there is a high risk to public safety, increased risk of human-grizzly bear conflicts, and associated human- caused mortality. Recovery Actions 1) Evaluate the effectiveness of the current aversive conditioning program in the Bow Valley - Kananaskis including lessons learned and recommendations for how to apply aversive conditioning in other regions of the province. 2) If shown to be cost effective, use the lessons learned from the Bow Valley – Kananaskis aversive conditioning evaluation to create a formal aversive-conditioning training program within the GOA. Progress Measures 1) The trend in the number of grizzly bear occurrences in the aversive conditioning target area. 2) The trend in the number of translocations and bear mortalities in the aversive condition target area. Method Notes: In order to evaluate effectiveness, it is necessary to have a defined target area for aversive conditioning application and that data be collected on aversive conditioning application and the behavior of the targeted grizzly bears. 7.3 Mitigate the Effect of Human Development on Grizzly Bear Habitat The entire Recovery Zone is subject to different types and intensities of recreational use and about 73.1 % of it is outside of National Parks or protected areas and is subject to varying intensities of natural resource development and extraction (Table 7.1). This strategy identifies where increased knowledge of grizzly bears could better improve the ability to monitor and manage the effects of human use in order to insure the supply of secure high quality grizzly bear habitat. 7.3.1 Improve Understanding and Management of the Effects of Human Use and Resource Extraction on Grizzly Bear Habitat Habitat states were explained in section 5.2.2 and used in section 5.4 to assess the current status of secure habitat in each BMA. It is also possible to integrate habitat quality and mortality risk models in order to show where high quality secure habitat is or could be if the effect of increased mortality risk due to motorized access on open roads is mitigated (Nielsen et al. 2006). The Foothills Research Institute (FRI) Grizzly Bear Program has used this model to develop important planning tools that can be used to demonstrate the trade-off between foraging 50 Draft June 1, 2016 opportunities and mortality risk when assessing options for road placement, road reclamation, and placement of sight lines in forest harvest cut blocks from adjacent roadways as part of Integrated Land Management Projects (see Strategy 7.2.2). It would be beneficial to monitor habitat state to determine whether the supply of secure habitat is being maintained over time. More frequent updates of the spatial layers for landscape condition, improved training, and standardized use across the range of grizzly bears, would greatly facilitate the application of this tool. As new knowledge is generated, these tools should be improved and updated. It is currently possible to calculate habitat states for all the BMAs except for BMA 1. This gap could be addressed by utilizing the grizzly bear food model that currently exists to generate a habitat state map for this BMA. Habitat state models are not directly linked to demographic parameters, so it is not possible to predict changes in population size from changes in habitat state. The next innovation would be to integrate habitat change models with grizzly bear demographic models to better predict the effects of habitat change on grizzly bear vital rates (Nielsen et al. 2010) in order to set thresholds similar to the recent work on road density (Boulanger and Stenhouse 2014). Other areas of research that may be useful for management in the futures are studies that better characterize and monitor the grizzly bear nutrition landscape15 (Nielsen et al. 2013). Further work is underway to understand how nutritional landscapes interact with reproductive status and success. In some areas (e.g. BMA 6), grizzly bears are living in the Support Zone in a primarily agricultural landscape. To date, the contribution of agriculturally related foods to the grizzly bear diet, or its importance to this population has yet to be determined. Desired Outcome The improved ability to measure, monitor, and manage the effects of human use and natural resource extraction on grizzly bear habitat and population demographics. Recovery Actions 1. Adapt the existing food model for BMA 1 and integrate it with the existing mortality risk models in order to be able to report on habitat states for this management unit. 2. Develop and implement a standardized process for updating provincial spatial data layers required by the habitat (Nielsen, 2006) and risk (Nielsen et al 2004a) RSF models, and maintain the ArcGIS Grizzly Bear Tools (or other similar spatial tool) to compute the habitat and risk RSF surfaces needed to update and report on the habitat state for each BMA every 3 years. 3. Utilize the new food and nutritional landscape models for BMA’s 2 and 3 (Nielsen et al. 2015 in review), with incorporation of road density and lambda findings (Boulanger and 15 https://foothillsri.ca/resource/dynamic-regeneration-grizzly-bear-food-model 51 Draft June 1, 2016 Stenhouse 2014), to improve and refine habitat state output to aid in landscape management decisions for habitat supply. 4. Update and implement training program for the use of Grizzly Bear Tools (or equivalent) used to compute the habitat, risk, and habitat state layers for GoA staff involved in land use planning. 5. Integrate habitat change models (food and nutrition) with grizzly bear demographic models to better predict how changing landscape conditions might affect grizzly bear demographic and vital rates. 6. Encourage research on grizzly bear habitat, as it relates to grizzly bear demographics, reproduction, and health, including: the impact of human recreational activity on temporal and spatial displacement of bears from habitat in the Recovery Zone, and the population level effects of such displacement has if/when it occurs; and the effect of agricultural food sources is having on population size, vital rates, habitat use, and denning in some BMAs. Progress Measures 1) Frequency that provincial landscape condition spatial layers are updated. 2) The frequency and extent that Grizzly Bear Tools, or other habitat planning tools, are used in land use planning. 7.3.2 Improve the Ability to Disperse Across Major Transportation Corridors The effect of major road corridors has been demonstrated to be a threat to grizzly bear recovery and effective mitigations have already occurred along the Highway 1 corridor through Banff National Park (see Section 5.2.3) and along portions of Highway 1 outside of the National Park. Maintaining the ability of grizzly bears to safely disperse across major road corridors in the face of increasing human population size and development, combined with increasing highway traffic rates in the Habitat Linkage Zones, is a significant grizzly bear recovery challenge. Resolving it will require working with the responsible provincial and municipal government agencies to ensure that grizzly bear requirements are appropriately considered in development decisions. It would also be important to incorporate grizzly bear requirements into broader wildlife crossing initiatives and other public interests such as reducing loss of human life and property from wildlife-vehicle collisions (Clevenger et al. 2010). There have been assessments and priorities identified for wildlife habitat securement and crossing structures for areas east of Banff National Park to the Highway 40 junction (Lee et al. 2012) and along the Highway 3 corridor through the Crowsnest Pass (Chetkiewicz and Boyce 2009; Clevenger et al. 2010) and preliminary work for Hwy 16 (see 5.4.3). The Swan Hills (BMA 7) has a unique combination of factors affecting habitat connectivity and it has its own strategy (7.3.3). Desired Outcome The mitigations have been put in place to enable grizzly bears to safely disperse across the major transportation corridors in the Recovery Zone. 52 Draft June 1, 2016 Recovery Actions 1) Use existing information to identify the important areas for grizzly bear movement across Habitat Linkage Zones that have yet to be assessed. Where there is insufficient information, gather the necessary genetic, habitat, and animal movement information to inform mitigation actions. 2) Work with government agencies and partners to identify and prioritize the important grizzly bear crossing areas within the Habitat Linkage Zone and to develop and implement a plan to mitigate the barriers to successful crossing of transportation corridors. Progress Measures 1) Proportion of the Habitat Linkage Zones where important grizzly bear movement routes have been identified, mapped, and a plan developed to improve the ability of grizzly bears to cross the transportation corridor. 2) The number of transportation corridor crossing structures completed in Habitat Linkage Zones. 3) The amount of habitat that is important for maintaining connectivity across the Habitat Linkage Zones that has been protected from development. 7.3.3 Improve the Ability of Bears to Disperse Between BMA 2 and BMA 7 The combination of oil and gas development in the isthmus of habitat between BMA 2 and BMA7 with the Highway 43 corridor has likely resulted in a barrier to dispersal that isolates the remaining grizzly bears in BMA 7. The conservation consequences could be particularly acute because the grizzly bear population in BMA 7 likely require immigration from BMA 2 in order to sustain its small population size (Boulanger et al. 2009; Festa-Bianchet, 2010). Road densities in several of the GBWUs in the narrow strip of habitat remaining between BMA 2 and BMA 7 are well above the threshold levels of 0.75 km/km2 (Figure 7.2). This suggests that the grizzly bears living in or moving through this area experience very high mortality risk and that road closures to public motorized access and road reclamation are needed to help ensure the persistence of the BMA 7 grizzly bear population. There is also the need to increase the number of secondary zone GBWUs (Figure 7.2) in order to increase the width of habitat that is managed for road density. If the ability for male and female grizzly bears to disperse between BMA 2 and the BMA 7 is significantly compromised, then the BMA 7 population may need to be reinforced with the translocations of bears from a suitable source population. This would be an interim strategy to ensure that grizzly bears can persist in BMA 7 until such time that the habitat corridor is restored. Further assessment of the current size of the BMA 7 population and the potential benefit of reinforcing this population with translocations is a needed before implementing population reinforcement activities. Desired Outcome Grizzly bears in BMA7 are not demographically or genetically isolated from the population of grizzly bears in BMA 2. 53 Draft June 1, 2016 Recovery Actions 1) Determine current habitat usage and movement by grizzly bears in the isthmus of habitat between BMA 2 and BMA 7. 2) Include new GBWUs as Secondary Zones for access management in order to widen the habitat linkage between BMA 2 and BMA 7. 3) Work with local stakeholders to develop and implement an Integrated Land Management Plan to restore the habitat link between BMA 2 and the BMA 7. 4) Evaluate whether reinforcing the BMA 7 grizzly bear population with periodic translocations is needed to ensure the viability of this population. This will require a current population estimate and a population viability analysis (Proctor et al. 2004). Progress Measures 1) Completion of a population inventory in BMA 7. 2) Trend in open road density in the GBWUs that link BMA 2 to BMA 7. 3) Number of open roads closed to public motorized use or reclaimed. Figure 7. 1 Road densities within Grizzly Bear Watershed Units (GBWU) between BMA 2 and BMA 7 and the GBWU to be added as Secondary Zone habitat to the EAP key wildlife layer (see Section 4.1). 7.4 Assess Potential Abundance and Distribution of Grizzly Bears in the Recovery Zone It is possible to predict the potential grizzly bear population size and distribution in the recovery zone using resource selection functions (Boyce and McDonald, 1999; Boyce and Waller, 2003; Boyce et al. 2015). Separate resource selection functions (RSF) for habitat and risk have been developed for grizzly bears in Alberta (Nielsen, 2007). If we consider the resource selection 54 Draft June 1, 2016 function for habitat only, this provides a tool to estimate potential grizzly bear population size under the assumption that risk due to human-caused mortality is minimized. This would be considered a best case scenario, and is likely only achievable in practice in protected areas. However, this information will still be useful for measuring recovery and guiding recovery plan implementation. The method of Boyce and McDonald (1999) uses a known population in a reference area, where bears are assumed to be at carrying capacity, to calculate bear density in each habitat type according to a resource selection function. This weighting of grizzly bear density by habitat can then be extrapolated to predict bear distribution and abundance in a new area, which in this case is the Recovery Zone. The protected areas on the original DNA grids can be used as the reference area, under the assumption that bear populations in protected areas are least affected by human-caused mortality and most likely to be at carrying capacity. The number of grizzly bears in the reference area can be analysed using spatially explicit capture-recapture (SECR) and density surface methods (Efford 2004, Efford et al. 2004, Efford et al. 2009, Efford 2011), applied to DNA hair snag data for the provincial grizzly bear inventory from 2004 to 2008.This analysis can be used to generate an estimate of the density of grizzly bears, given current habitat conditions, in the hypothetical circumstance that human-caused mortality is managed as well as is being done in protected areas. It would be possible to compare this estimate with the 2004-2008 data16 using spatially explicit capture-recapture and density surface methods, which will allow estimates to be obtained for the Recovery Zone. New data from recent population surveys in BMAs 3, 5, and 6 are currently being analyzed and will further add to this analysis by providing better coverage of the protected areas as well as current population estimates to compare to. Finally, energy budget models provide another approach for estimating the potential grizzly bear population size. Current research into the grizzly bear nutrition landscape will result in a food-based estimate of carrying capacity for BMA 3 (Nielson et al. 2013), which will provide an independent estimate for comparison with the RSF extrapolation approach used here. Knowing what the predicted best case population size scenario for the Recovery Zone and comparing it to the current population size will allow for another assessment of how well Alberta is able to manage human-caused mortality in the Recovery Zone. It will also be used to generate the habitat based potential population range that is needed to complete the population objective (see Section 6.1, objective 1). Desired Outcome: Improved ability to evaluate recovery success. Recovery Actions 1) Update the predicted potential grizzly bear population size for the Recovery Zone once ongoing population estimates for BMA 3, 5, and 6 are available. 2) Analyze the best available inventory data from each BMA using the spatially explicit capture-recapture method in conjunction with density surface models to obtain an 16 http://esrd.alberta.ca/fish-wildlife/wildlife-management/grizzly-bear-recovery-plan/improve-knowledge-ofgrizzly-bears.aspx 55 Draft June 1, 2016 estimate for the current grizzly bear population in the Recovery Zone of each BMA. These estimates would then provide an appropriate comparison with the predicted potential grizzly bear population in the Recovery Zone of each BMA, and could provide a measure of recovery success. 3) Predict the potential grizzly bear population in the Recovery Zone of BMA 1. This would require the development of resource selection functions for habitat and risk for this population unit. 4) Investigate the possibility of a meta-analysis to obtain a grizzly bear population estimate for the entire Recovery Zone using the spatially explicit capture-recapture method in conjunction with a density surface model. The density surface model could then be used to investigate the potential grizzly bear population under various scenarios of lowered risk. These results could be compared with the results obtained from the RSF extrapolation approach. Progress Measures 1) The number of BMAs that have a completed predicted potential grizzly bear population size estimate. 8.0 BUDGET AND IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE TABLES The anticipated costs to achieve individual aspects of the recovery plan such as the population survey work in Table 6.1 and the recovery actions listed in Table 8.1 will be evaluated when the plan is finalized. 56 Draft June 1, 2016 Table 8.1. Implementation schedule for recovery actions. Strategy 7.1.1 Priority * U U Implementation Schedule (fiscal year) 1) Develop standardized protocols for tracking and reporting on progress measures. Recovery Action 1 2 X X X X 3 4 5 I X X 2) Develop and deliver context-specific education and outreach programming for the priority issues. I X X X X X 3) Continue to provide a suite of audience-specific printed and online materials for distribution to the public. I X X X X X 4) Develop and deliver train-the-trainer sessions for partner groups and industry. 5) Ensure that Government of Alberta staff are aware of and practicing BearSmart techniques while working in their communities. I X X I X X X X X 6) Place print ads in audience-specific publications, and provide social media content in spring and fall periods. I X X X X X 7) Attend and provide information and training at tradeshows, community events and related venues. I X X X X X 8) Work with the Alberta Safety Council to update the Bear Awareness and Avoidance courses. U X X 9) Create and carry out a social media strategy that recognizes the need to tie social media to on-the-ground bear management and BearSmart activities. I X X X X X 10) Develop curriculum aligned education kits. I X X X 11) Develop and implement an Alberta BearSmart community recognition and certification program. 12) Link online education resources, like the Alberta Hunter Education Instructors Association’s online Bear Essential video, to the mandatory bear identification testing being proposed in Strategy 7.2.3. I X X X X X X 13) Deliver an annual Alberta BearSmart Conference/Workshop for staff and partners. I X X X X X 1) Develop a provincial grizzly bear recovery coordinating committee. U X 2) Develop regional implementation working groups. 3)Analyze road and rail mortality locations to identify where attractants may be a contributing mortality factor and work with the responsible jurisdiction to eliminate the attractant and to improve the practices that might be generating the attractants. U X X X X X 4) Work with Montana, British Columbia, and Parks Canada to develop an annual forum. I X X X 1) Develop a standardized provincial database. I X X X X 2) Amend the Alberta Wildlife Act to make it illegal to knowingly feed a grizzly bear. 3) Analyze road and rail mortality locations to identify where attractants may be a contributing mortality . . . I X X I X X X X X 4) Ensure coordination of education and outreach activities. I X X X X X 5) Increase the support and facilitate the development of new cost-share programs to secure agricultural attractants. I X X X 1) Review the BearSmart Program. 2) Develop BearSmart Business Case. 7.1.2 7.1.3 7.2.1 57 I I X Draft June 1, 2016 Table 8.1. Cont’d. Strategy 7.2.1 Recovery Action Implementation Schedule (fiscal year) 6) Continue to work with partners to expand pro-active programs for addressing issues such as livestock carcass removal. 7) Work with program delivery partners and affected stakeholders to ensure that the Alberta Predator Compensation Program compensates livestock producers that co-exist with grizzly bears. 8) Complete the evaluation of the Spring Intercept Feeding Program in BMA 6 and determine the future direction of this program. 9) When new grazing dispositions are being considered, evaluate the potential for conflicts with grizzly bears before approval. 10) Through the BearSmart Program, work with Municipal Districts and Counties to provide education and outreach materials, specifically targeting new rural residents. 11) For Municipal Districts and Counties with significant human-grizzly bear conflict issues associated with attractants, work with local government to develop regulation and compliance programs. 12) Through the BearSmart program, work with jurisdictions to deliver education and outreach programs, supported by regulations and compliance assurance for improved food storage, game carcass management and camp maintenance for backcountry camping in the Recovery Zone. 13) Continue to improve recreational camping practices including garbage management, campground/campsite design and food storage, with particular attention paid to random camping next to roadsides and streams. 14) Implement standards for attractant securement for all industrial camps, including Government of Alberta camps, in alignment with the specifications of the Enhanced Approval Process Appendix F – Integrated Standards and Guidelines. 7.2.2 1) Assess all GBWUs for size to identify any units that are oversized and should be split. 2) Include the recommended grizzly bear road density limits in the Regional Plans, Biodiversity Management Frameworks, and access management subplans. 3) Develop a policy Directive that uses the recommended open-road density limits as part of the permitting process for new road developments on public land in the Core and Secondary Zones. 4) Work with industry experts to develop and implement best practices for restricting public access on roads that are needed for resource extraction. Where roads are to be closed, develop comprehensive signage and compliance assurance programs with clear roles and responsibilities for Industry and the Government of Alberta. 5) Improve data management processes so that there is an up to date provincial road database for the Recovery Zone. 58 Priority 1 2 3 4 5 I X X X X X I X X X X X I X I X X X X X I X X I X X X X X U X X X I X X X U X X U X U X X U X X U X X X I X X X X X Draft June 1, 2016 Table 8.1. Cont’d. Strategy 7.2.2 Recovery Action Priority 6) Where recommended open road density limits have been exceeded in a GBWU, work with stakeholders and land managers to develop and implement a road closure to the public, decommissioning, and reclamation plan. 7) Develop and refine methodologies to determine and monitor open route density. Quantify the effect of off-road OHV use on grizzly bear mortality and whether there are contextual nuances in geography or human behavior in specific BMAs that are particularly important and need to be managed. Use these results to refine recommendations for access management. 8) Use the following design considerations when planning access management or developing operating procedures and guidelines in the Core and Secondary Zones . . 7.2.3 7.2.4 7.3.1 1) Analyze vehicle collisions records for each BMA to identify areas where collisions occur more frequently. 2) Promote and encourage use of pepper spray along with other bear safety practices with the hunting community and landowners being priority audiences. 3) Develop a bear identification testing/certification program available for all hunters with the intention of phasing it in as a mandatory requirement to get an annual black bear hunting permit. 1) Evaluate the effectiveness of the current aversive conditioning program in the Bow Valley - Kananaskis including lessons learned and recommendations for how to apply aversive conditioning in other regions of the province. 2) Using the lessons learned from the Bow Valley – Kananaskis aversive condition evaluation to create a formal aversive-conditioning training program within the GoA. 1) Adapt the existing food model for BMA 1 and integrate it with the existing mortality risk models in order to be able to report on habitat states for this management unit. 2) Develop and implement a standardized process for updating provincial spatial data layers required by the habitat (Nielsen, 2006) and risk (Nielsen et al 2004a) RSF models, and maintain the ArcGIS Grizzly Bear Tools (or other similar spatial tool) to compute the habitat and risk RSF surfaces needed to update and report on the habitat state for each BMA every 3 years. 3) Utilize the new food and nutritional landscape models for BMA’s 2 and 3 (Nielsen et al. 2015 in review), with incorporation of road density and lambda findings (Boulanger and Stenhouse 2014), to improve and refine habitat state output to aid in landscape management decisions for habitat supply. 4) Update and implement training program for the use of Grizzly Bear Tools (or equivalent) used to compute the habitat, risk, and habitat state layers for GoA staff involved in land use planning. 5) Integrate habitat change models (food and nutrition) with grizzly bear demographic models to better predict how changing landscape conditions might affect grizzly bear demographic and vital rates. 59 I Implementation Schedule (fiscal year) 1 2 3 4 5 X X X X X X X X I I X X X X X I X X X X X U X X X X X U X X X I X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X I I X I I I I X X Draft June 1, 2016 Table 8.1. Cont’d. Strategy Recovery Action 7.3.2 7.4 Implementation Schedule (fiscal year) 6) Encourage research on grizzly bear habitat, as it relates to grizzly bear demographics, reproduction, and health, including: . 1) Use existing information to identify the important areas for grizzly bear movement across Habitat Linkage Zones that have yet to be assessed. Where there is insufficient information, gather the necessary genetic, habitat, and animal movement information to inform mitigation actions. 2) Work with government agencies and partners to identify and prioritize the important grizzly bear crossing areas within the Habitat Linkage Zones and to develop and implement a plan to mitigate the barriers to successful crossing of transportation corridors. 3) Determine current habitat usage and possible movement by grizzly bears in the isthmus of habitat between BMA 2 and BMA 7. 4) Evaluate whether reinforcing the BMA 7 grizzly bear population with periodic translocations is needed to ensure the viability of this population. This will require a current population estimate and a population viability analysis (Proctor et al. 2004). 1) Update the predicted potential grizzly bear population size for the Recovery Zone once ongoing population estimates for BMA 3, 5, and 6 are available. 2) Analyze the best available inventory data from each BMA using the spatially explicit capturerecapture method in conjunction with density surface models to obtain an estimate for the current grizzly bear population in the Recovery Zone of each BMA. These estimates would then provide an appropriate comparison with the predicted potential grizzly bear population in the Recovery Zone of each BMA, and could provide a measure of recovery success. 3) Predict the potential grizzly bear population in the Recovery Zone of BMA 1. This would require the development of resource selection functions for habitat and risk for this population unit. 4) Investigate the possibility of a meta-analysis to obtain a grizzly bear population estimate for the entire Recovery Zone using the spatially explicit capture-recapture method in conjunction with a density surface model. The density surface model could then be used to investigate the potential grizzly bear population under various scenarios of lowered risk. These results could be compared with the results obtained from the RSF extrapolation approach. Priority 1 2 3 4 5 I X X X X X U X X U X X X X X X X X I I X X X X *U=Urgent (needs to be implemented as soon as possible); I=Important (will make an important contribution to grizzly bear recovery). 9.0 SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS 60 Draft June 1, 2016 Grizzly bear recovery includes the typical conservation actions to improve population viability through the mitigation of conservation threats. However, less typically, a large part of grizzly bear conservation is the management of human-grizzly bear interactions and the associated public safety and loss of property issues. Human-grizzly bear conflict will likely continue to increase as the grizzly bear population recovers and their management will require a long-term commitment of resources. In this context, the enhancement of Alberta’s BearSmart programing and the hiring of additional human-wildlife conflict management specialists should be viewed as a long-term investment that will continue to contribute to grizzly bear management even when grizzly bears are recovered in Alberta. Grizzly bears are an iconic wilderness species for Alberta that many Albertans want to see maintained on publicly managed land. Continuing oil and gas, forestry, mineral, and agricultural expansion, and increasing motorized recreational activities will present ongoing recovery challenges across the working landscape portion of the Recovery Zone. Of particular importance to grizzly bears will be managing the effects of human-caused grizzly bear mortality by keeping the density of open roads below the thresholds compatible with self-sustaining grizzly bear populations. Alberta’s Land-use Framework mandates the development and implementation of regional plans and sub-plans for the purpose of effectively balancing competing economic, environmental and social demands17 including the habitat needs of Species at Risk like the grizzly bear. 10.0 INTERACTION WITH OTHER SPECIES AT RISK RECOVERY PROGRAMS Occasionally two species at risk have competing conservation requirements that necessitate that the interests of one species be traded in favor of the other. When this happens, priority is given to the species with the greatest risk of extirpation. Increased predation, primarily wolf and/or bear, as a result of habitat alteration have led to local population declines of woodland caribou (Environment Canada 2012). Grizzly bears and woodland caribou co-occur in parts of the grizzly bear recovery zone and of current concern is the Little Smoky local caribou population in BMA 2 – Grande Cache. A 12 year wolf population reduction program appeared to stabilize the Little Smoky caribou population but it did not lead to population increase (Hervieux et al. 2014). Expansion of the predator control program to other predators is not currently being considered and the habitat management actions required for long-term caribou recovery would also benefit grizzly bears (D. Hervieux, pers. comm.). 17 https://landuse.alberta.ca/PlanForAlberta/Pages/default.aspx 61 Draft June 1, 2016 11.0 LITERATURE CITED AESRD. 2014. Bow Valley Bear Hazard Assessment 1992-2011. Unpublished Report. Alberta Grizzly Bear Inventory Team. 2009. Grizzly bear population and density estimates for the 2008 DNA inventory of the Grande Cache Bear Management Area (BMA 2). Report Prepared for Alberta Sustainable Resource Development, Fish and Wildlife Division. 36pp. Alberta Grizzly Bear Inventory Team. 2008. Grizzly bear population and density estimates for Alberta Bear Management Unit 6 and British Columbia Management Units 4-1, 4-2, and 4-23 (2007). Report Prepared for Alberta Sustainable Resource Development, Fish and Wildlife Division and Range, British Columbia Ministry of Environment, and Parks Canada. 46pp, Alberta Grizzly Bear Inventory Team. 2007. Grizzly bear population and density estimates for the 2006 Alberta Unit 5 Management Area inventory. Report Prepared for Alberta Sustainable Resource Development, Fish and Wildlife Division. 37pp. AGBRP. 2008. Alberta Grizzly Bear Recovery Plan 2008-2013. Alberta Sustainable Resource Development, Fish and Wildlife Division, Alberta Species at Risk Recovery Plan No. 15. Edmonton, AB. 68 pp. Alexander, S.M. et al. 2005. Traffic volumes and highway permeability for a mammalian community in the Canadian Rocky Mountains. The Canadian Geographer 4:321–331. Baruch-Mordo, S. et al. 2011. The carrot or the stick? Evaluation of education and enforcement as management tools for human-wildlife conflicts. PLosOne, 6(1): e15681. Bayne, E.M., et al. 2005. Modeling and field testing of ovenbird (Seiurus aurocapillus) responses to boreal forest dissection by energy sector development at multiple spatial scales. Landscape Ecol. 20: 203–216. Benn, B. and S. Herrero. 2002. Grizzly bear mortality and human access in Banff and Yoho National Parks, 1971-98. Ursus 13: 213–21. Berland, A. et al. (2008). The impact of landscape disturbance on grizzly bear habitat use in the Foothills Model Forest, Alberta, Canada. Forest Ecology and Management 226: 1875– 1883. Boulanger, J. 2015. Spatially explicit mark-recapture estimates of grizzly bear population density in DNA grid and protected areas in Alberta. Report to Alberta Environment and Sustainable Resource Development. 45 pp. 62 Draft June 1, 2016 Boulanger, J. et al. 2009. Estimation of grizzly bear population size for the Swan Hills management unit using DNA sampling and habitat-relative occupancy models. Report prepared for Alberta Sustainable Resource Development. 15-16pp. Boulanger J, and G.B. Stenhouse. 2014. The Impact of Roads on the Demography of Grizzly Bears in Alberta. PLoS ONE 9(12): e115535. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0115535. Boulanger, J. et al. 2005a. 2004 population inventory and density estimates for the Alberta 3b and 4B Grizzly Bear Management Area. Report Prepared for Alberta Sustainable Resource Development, Fish and Wildlife Division. 28pp. Boulanger, J et al. 2005b. Grilly bear populaton and density estmates for the 2005 Alberta (proposed ) Unit 4 Managemetn Area inventory. Report Prepared for Alberta Sustainable Resource Development, Fish and Wildlife Division. 31pp. Boyce, M.S. et al. 2015. Can habitat selection predict abundance? Journal of Animal Ecology, DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.12359. Boyce, M.S. and L.L. McDonald. 1999. Relating populations to habitats using resource selection functions. Trend in Ecol. and Evol., 14(7): 268-272. Boyce, M.S. and J.S. Waller. 2003. Grizzly Bears for the Bitterroot: Predicting Potential Abundance and Distribution. Wildlife Society Bulletin, 31(3): 670-683. Brittingham, M.C. et al. 2014. Ecological risks of shale oil and gas development to wildlife, aquatic resources and their habitats. Sci. Technol. 48: 11034–47. Brymer, E. and K. Davids. 2013. Ecological dynamics as a theoretical framework for development of sustainable behaviours towards the environment, Environmental Education Research, 19(1): 45-63. Carra, B.L. 2010. Spatial and spatial-temporal analysis of grizzly bear movement patterns as related to underlying landscapes across multiple scales. Ph.D dissertation, Wilfrid Laurier University. 291 pp. Chetkiewicz, C.B. and M.S. Boyce. 2009. Use of resource selection functions to identify conservation corridors. J. of Appl. Ecol. 46: 1036–1047 Clevenger, A. et al. 2010. Highway 3: transportation mitigation for wildlife and connectivity in the crown of the continent ecosystem Prepared by Miistakis Institute, Western Transportation Institute and Yellowstone to Yukon Conservation Initiative. 124 pp. Efford, M. 2004. Density estimation in live-trapping studies. Oikos 106:598-610. Efford, M. et al. 2004. DENSITY: software for analysing capture-recapture data from passive detector arrays. Animal Biodiversity and Conservation 27:217-228. 63 Draft June 1, 2016 Efford, M. et al. 2009. Density estimation by spatially explicit capture–recapture: likelihoodbased methods. Pages 255-269 in D. L. Thompson, E. G. Cooch, and M. J. Conroy, editors. Modelling demographic processes in marked populations. Springer, New York. Efford, M. G. 2011. Estimation of population density by spatially explicit capture-recapture analysis of data from area searches. Ecology 92:2202-2207. Festa-Bianchet, M. 2010. Status of Grizzly Bear (Ursus arctos) in Alberta: Update 2010. Prepared for Alberta Sustainable Resource and Development and the Alberta Conservation Association, Wildlife Status Report No 37. Fien, J. et al. 2001. Education and conservation: lessons from an evaluation. Environmental Education Research, 7:379-395. Ford, A.T. et al. 2010. Banff Wildlife Crossings, Trans-Canada Highway, Alberta – An international public-private partnership. Pages 157-172 in Safe passages: Highways, wildlife and habitat connectivity. J Beckmann, AP Clevenger, M Huijser, J Hilty (eds.). Island Press, Washington D.C., USA. Forman, R.T.T. and L.E. Alexander. 1998. Roads and their major ecological effects. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Syst. 29: 207–31. Garshelis, D.L. et al. 2005. Grizzly bear demographics in and around Banff National Park and Kananaskis Country, Alberta. Journal of Wildlife Management 69: 277–297. Gillin, C.M. et al. 1994. Evaluation of an aversive conditioning technique used on female grizzly bears in the Yellowstone Ecosystem. Int. Conf. Bear Res. and Manage. 9(1):503-512. Graham, K. J. et al. 2010. Spatial and temporal use of roads by grizzly bears in west-central Alberta. Ursus 21: 43–56. Gunter, K.A. et al. 2004. Grizzly bear-human conflicts in the Greater Yellowstone ecosystem, 1992-2000. Ursus 15(1):10-22. Hobson, D. and N. Webb. In prep. Summary of the Alberta Grizzly Bear Translocation Monitoring Project, 2004 – 2011. Government of Alberta Report. Honeyman, J. 2008. Retrospective evaluation of the effectiveness of aversive conditioning on grizzly bears in Peter Lougheed Provincial Park, Alberta, Canada. Master of Science Thesis, Royal Roads University. 65 pp. Hughes, C. 2012. Environmental Education for Conservation: Considerations to Achieve Success. Natural Areas Journal, 32(2): 218-219. 64 Draft June 1, 2016 Hughes, C. 2013. Is it really about the bears? Exploring Grizzly Bear Recovery in Alberta, Canada. International Bear News, 22(3): 35-37. Jensen, B.B. 2002 Knowledge, Action and Pro-environmental Behaviour, Environmental Education Research, 8(3):325-334. Kansas, J. 2002. Status of the Grizzly Bear (Ursus arctos) in Alberta. Alberta Sustainable Resource Development, Fish & Wildlife Division, and the Alberta Conservation Association, Edmonton, 43pp. Kellert, S.R. 1994. Public attitudes towards bears and their conservation. Int. Conf. Bear Res. and Manage. 9:43-50. Laberee, K. et al. 2014. Oil and gas infrastructure and the spatial pattern of grizzly bear habitat selection in Alberta, Canada. Can. Geogr. 58: 79–94. Larsen, T.A. 2012. The potential influence of mountain pine beetle (Dendroctonus ponderosae) control harvesting on grizzly bear (Ursus arctos) food supply and habitat conditions in Alberta. M.Sc. thesis. University of Alberta, Alberta, Canada. Latham, A.D.M. et al. 2011. Movement responses by wolves to industrial linear features and their effect on woodland caribou in northeastern Alberta. Ecol. Appl. 21: 2854–65. Lee, T. et al. 2012. Highway wildlife mitigation opportunities for the TransCanada Highway in the Bow Valley. Report to Alberta Ecotrust Foundation, Calgary, Alberta. Leigh, J. and M.J. Chamberlain. 2008. Effects of aversive conditioning on behavior of nuisance Louisiana black bears. Human-Wildlife Conflicts 2(2):175-182. Linke, J. et al. 2005. Seismic cutlines, changing landscape metrics and grizzly bear landscape use in Alberta. Landsc. Ecol. 20: 811-826. Loosen, A. et al. 2014. Large Carnivore Attractant Management Projects in Southwestern Alberta 2008- 2012. Waterton Biosphere Reserve, Alberta, Canada. Mace, R.D. et al. 1996. Relationships among grizzly bears, roads and habitat in the Swan Mountains, Montana. J. Appl. Ecol. 33: 1395–1404. Mace, R.D. et al. 2012. Grizzly bear population vital rates and trend in the Northern Continental Divide Ecosystem, Montana. Journal of Wildlife Management 76:119‐128. McFarlane, B.L. et al. 2007. Public perceptions of conservation of grizzly bears in the Foothills Model Forest: a survey of local and Edmonton residents. Nat. Resour. Can., Can. For. Serv., North. For. Cent., Edmonton, Alberta, and Foothills Model Forest, Hinton, Alberta. Inf. Rep. NOR-X-413. 65 Draft June 1, 2016 McKay, T. et al. 2014. Wellsite selection by grizzly bears Ursus arctos in west–central Alberta. Wildlife Biology 20: 310–319. McKenzie-Mohr, D. 2000. Fostering sustainable behavior through community-based social marketing. American Psychologist, 55(5): 531-537. McLellan, B.N. 1989. Dynamics of a grizzly bear population during a period of industrial resource extraction. II. Mortality rates and causes of death. Can. J. Zool. 67: 1861–84. McLellan, B.N. and D.M. Shackleton. 1988. Grizzly bears and resource-extraction industries: effects of roads on behaviour, habitat use and demography. J. of Appl. Ecol. 25: 451460. McLoughlin, P.D. 2003. Managing risks of decline for hunted populations of grizzly bears given uncertainty in population parameters. Report prepared for the B.C. Ministry of Water, Land and Air Protection, Biodiversity Branch. Victoria, BC. 63pp. Morrison, C. 2013. Report 2. Proposed Amendments to Alberta Wildlife Predator Compensation Program. Prepared for: Waterton Biosphere Reserve Association Carnivore Working Group. 43pp. Mowat G. et al. 2013 Predicting grizzly bear density in Western North America. PLoS ONE 8(12): e82757. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0082757 Munro, R.H.M. et al. 2006. Seasonal and diel patterns of grizzly bear diet and activity in westcentral Alberta. J. Mammal. 87: 1112–21. Natural Regions Committee. 2006. Natural Regions and Subregions of Alberta. Government of Alberta. Pub No 1/005. Nielsen, S.E. 2006. Seasonal Grizzly Bear Habitat for Six Population Units of Alberta, Canada. in: Stenhouse, G. and K. Graham (eds). Foothills Model Forest Grizzly Bear Research Program 2006 Annual Report. Hinton, Alberta. 87 pp. Nielsen, S. 2007. Chapter 3. Seasonal Grizzly Bear Habitat for Six Population Units of Alberta, Canada. pp. 27-42 in: Stenhouse, G. and K. Graham (eds). Foothills Model Forest Grizzly Bear Research Program 2006 Annual Report. Hinton, Alberta. 87 pp. Nielsen, S.E. et al. 2006. A habitat-based framework for grizzly bear conservation in Alberta. Biological Conservation 130, 217–229. Nielsen, S.E. et al. 2009. Identification of priority areas for grizzly bear conservation and recovery in Alberta, Canada. Journal of Conservation Planning 5: 38-60. Nielsen, S.E. et al. 2004a. Modelling the spatial distribution of human-caused grizzly bear mortalities in the Central Rockies Ecosystem of Canada. Biol. Cons. 120:101-113. 66 Draft June 1, 2016 Nielsen, S.E. et al. 2004b. Grizzly bears and forestry II: Distribution of grizzly bear foods in clearcuts of west-central Alberta, Canada. Forest Ecology and Management 199(1):67– 82. Nielsen, S.E. et al. 2004c. Grizzly bears and forestry I. Selection of clearcuts by grizzly bears in west-central Alberta, Canada. Forest Ecology and Management. 199(1):51-65. Nielsen, S.E. et al. 2010. Dynamic wildlife habitat models: Seasonal foods and mortality risk predict occupancy-abundance and habitat selection in grizzly bears. Biological Conservation 143 :623–1634. Nielsen, S.E., M. Cattet, J. Boulanger, J. Cranston, G. J. McDermid, A. Shafer, and G.B. Stenhouse. 2013. Environmental, biological and anthropogenic effects on grizzly bear body size: temporal and spatial considerations. BMC Ecology, 13:31. Northrup, J.M. et al. 2012a. Agricultural lands as ecological traps for grizzly bears. Animal Conservation: 15(4): 369-377. Northrup, J.M., J. Pitt, and T.B. Muhly, G.B. Stenhouse, Marco Musiani, and M.S. Boyce. 2012b. Vehicle traffic shapes grizzly bear behaviour on a multiple-use landscape. J. of Appl. Ecol. 49:1159-1167. Proctor, M. F. et al. 2012. Population fragmentation and inter-ecosystem movements of grizzly bears in Western Canada and the Northern United States. Wildlife Monographs 180(1): 1-46. Proctor, M.F. et al. 2004. A comparative analysis of management options for grizzly bear conservation in the U.S.-Canada trans-border area. Ursus 15(2):145-160. Roever, C.L. et al. 2008a. Grizzly bears and forestry I: road vegetation and placement as an attractant to grizzly bears. J. For. Ecol. Manage. 256, 1253–1261. Roever, C.L. et al. 2008b. Grizzly bears and forestry II: grizzly bear habitat selection and conflicts with road development. J. For. Ecol. Manage. 256: 1262-1269. Sawaya, M.A. et al. 2012. Demographic connectivity for ursid population at wildlife crossing structures in Banff National Park. Cons. Biol. 27(4):721-730. Sawaya, M.A. et al. 2014. Genetic connectivity for two bear species at wildlife crossing structures in Banff National Park. Proc. R. Soc. B April 7, 2014 281 1780 20131705; doi:10.1098/rspb.2013.1705 1471-2954. Schwartz, C.C. et al. 2010. Hazards Affecting Grizzly Bear Survival in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem. J. Wild. Manage. 74(4):654-667. 67 Draft June 1, 2016 Smith, T. S. et al. 2008. Efficacy of bear deterrent spray in Alaska. Journal of Wildlife Management 72:640–645. Smith, T. S. et al. 2012. Efficacy of Firearms for Bear Deterrence in Alaska. Journal of Wildlife Management 76(5):1021–1027. Stenhouse, G.B. et al. 2015. Estimates of grizzly bear population size and density for the 2014 Alberta Yellowhead Population Unit (BMA 3) and south Jasper National Park. Report prepared for Weyerhaeuser Ltd., West Fraser Mills Ltd, Alberta Environment and Parks, and Jasper National Park. 73 pp. Stewart, B.P. et al. 2012. Impact of disturbance characteristics and age on grizzly bear habitat selection. Appl. Geogr. 34: 614–25. Stewart, B.P. et al. 2013. Quantifying grizzly bear selection of natural and anthropogenic edges, Journal of Wildlife Management 77(5):957–964. Urmson, M and A. Morehouse. 2012. Carnivore conflicts in Southwestern Alberta – Report. Alberta and Sustainable Resource Development, Pincher Creek, Alberta. Weiglus, R.B. 2002. Grizzly bear use of open, closed, and restricted forestry roads. Can. J. For. Res. 32:159-1606. Wilcox, A. et al. 2012. Predicting Cattle Rancher Wildlife Management Activities: An Application of the Theory of Planned Behavior, Human Dimensions of Wildlife: An International Journal, 17(3): 159-173. Wilson, S. 2007. Community- supported conservation of grizzly bears on private agricultural lands. Final Conservation Innovation Grant Report 65-0325-05-0026, 98pp. 68 Draft June 1, 2016 Appendix A. Changes to the Core and Secondary Zones Table A.1. Proposed changes to the Core and Secondary Zone Boundaries. These changes correspond to the changes presented in Figure A.1. BMA 1 Zone Secondary Current Area (km2) 22,043 New Area (km2) 23,457 % Change 6 2 Secondary 10,575 12,074 14 5 Core 4,727 4,543 -4 Secondary 209 0 -100 5 69 Rationale Refinement of existing boundaries by incorporating ecologically similar habitat using elevation and vegetation Addition of linkage habitat to Swan Hills (see Strategy 7.3.3) The Porcupine Hills are considered Support Habitat (Figure 4.1) which no longer requires management for road density. The Porcupine Hills are considered Support Habitat (Figure 4.1) which no longer requires management for road density. Draft June 1, 2016 Figure A. 1 Changes to the Secondary Zone. For inset 3 the changes are that the core and secondary habitat in the Porcupine Hills are now represented as support habitat. 70 Draft June 1, 2016 Appendix B. Individual Bear Management Area Maps and Supplemental Information Classification of land within BMA 1 Alberta North Type Recovery Area (km2) Aboriginal Federal Municipal Private Provincial Total = 14.8 0.0 0.1 164.4 23,278.3 23,457.6 % 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 99.2 Support Area (km2) 658.1 0.0 9.6 3,534.5 13,888.1 18,090.3 Total BMA Area (km2) % 3.6 0.0 0.1 19.5 76.8 Figure B. 1 Map of Grizzly Bear Management Area (BMA) 1 - Chinchaga. 71 41,547.9 Draft June 1, 2016 Classification of land Recovery Type Aboriginal Federal Municipal Private Provincial Total = Area (km2) 36.5 4,154.7 8.2 74.9 27,667. 6 31,941. 8 Total BMA Area (km2) Support % 0.1 13.0 0.0 0.2 86.6 Area (km2) 16.0 0.7 19.6 2,194.4 % 12,873.2 15,103.9 85.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 14.5 47,045.7 Figure B. 2 Map of Grizzly Bear Management Area (BMA) 2 – Grande Cache. 72 Draft June 1, 2016 Classification of land within BMA 3 YellowHead Type Recovery 2 Area (km ) % Support 2 Area (km ) 2 Total BMA Area (km ) % Aboriginal 49.2 0.2 188.9 2.1 Federal 7,917.6 39.9 0.0 0.0 Municipal 14.9 0.1 2.0 0.0 Private 17.8 0.1 122.1 1.4 Provincial 11,867.6 59.7 8,578.6 96.5 Total = 19,867.1 8,891.6 28,758.4 Figure B. 3 Map of Grizzly Bear Management Area (BMA) 3 – Yellowhead 73 Draft June 1, 2016 Classification of Land within BMA 4 Clearwater Type Aboriginal Federal Municipal Private Provincial Total = Recovery 2 Area (km ) % 24.7 0.2 4,664.0 31.3 6.7 0.0 131.9 0.9 10,081.7 14,909.1 67.6 Support 2 Area (km ) % 371.1 13.3 2.9 0.1 15.2 0.5 1,269.1 45.6 1,126.5 2,784.7 40.5 Figure B. 4 Map of Grizzly Bear Management Area (BMA) 4 - Clearwater. 74 2 Total BMA Area (km ) 17,693.7 Draft June 1, 2016 Classification of land within BMA 5 Livingstone Aboriginal Federal Municipal Private Recovery Area % 2 (km ) 0.0 0.0 1,385.7 19.1 0.0 0.0 13.2 0.2 Support Area % 2 (km ) 146.2 4.9 1.4 0.0 7.4 0.2 1,290.1 43.2 Provincial 5,857.7 1,538.7 Type Total = 80.7 7,256.6 51.6 2,983.9 2 Total BMA Area (km ) 10,240.5 Figure B. 5 Map of Grizzly Bear Management Area (BMA) 5 – Livingstone. 75 Draft June 1, 2016 Classification of Land within BMA 6 Type Aboriginal Federal Municipal Private Provincial Total = Recovery 2 Area (km ) % Support 2 Area (km ) % 19.1 498.6 0.2 35.3 1.1% 27.5% 0.0% 1.9% 0.2 0.1 4.2 1,491.6 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 84.1% 1,260.5 1,813.7 69.5% 277.7 1,773.8 15.7% Figure B. 6 Map of Grizzly Bear Management Area (BMA) 6 - Castle. 76 2 Total BMA Area (km ) 3,587.5 Draft June 1, 2016 Classification of land within BMA 7 Swan Hills Type Aboriginal Federal Municipal Private Provincial Total = Recovery 2 Area (km ) % 2 Support 2 Area (km ) % Total BMA Area (km ) 68.8 0.0 3.1 7.5 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 332.6 0.0 7.4 1,160.1 2.7 0.0 0.1 9.3 11,893.1 11,972.6 99.3 10,991.5 12,491.6 88.0 Figure B. 7 Map of Grizzly Bear Management Area (BMA) 7 – Swan Hills. 77 24,464.2 Draft June 1, 2016 Figure B. 8 Map of the Grizzly Bear Management Zones on the Alberta Natural Regions and Subregions (Natural Regions Committee 2006) 78 Draft June 1, 2016 Appendix C. Status Evaluation for Grizzly Bear in Alberta 79 Draft June 1, 2016 80 Draft June 1, 2016 81 Draft June 1, 2016 82 Draft June 1, 2016 83 Draft June 1, 2016 84 Draft June 1, 2016 Appendix D. Supplemental Information on Road Density Figure D. 1 Current road density status in Grizzly Bear Watershed Units in Core and Secondary Zones. 85