Agriculture in Ukraine. Trade Guide for Norwegian Importers.
Transcription
Agriculture in Ukraine. Trade Guide for Norwegian Importers.
TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. UKRAINE: MACROECONOMIC OVERVIEW ....................................................... 3 2. GRAIN MARKET OVERVIEW ............................................................................ 9 3. OILSEED MARKET OVERVIEW ........................................................................ 36 4. MEAT AND MEAT PRODUCTS MARKET OVERVIEW ....................................... 66 5. DRIED MILK MARKET OVERVIEW .................................................................. 79 6. HONEY MARKET OVERVIEW ......................................................................... 85 7. TOMATO PASTE MARKET OVERVIEW............................................................ 89 8. NUT MARKET OVERVIEW .............................................................................. 94 9. MUESLI (FLAKES) MARKET OVERVIEW .......................................................... 97 10. YEAST MARKET OVERVIEW ........................................................................... 98 11. VEGETABLE, FRUITS, BERRIES MARKETS OVERVIEW ................................... 100 12. CONFECTIONERY SUNSEED MARKET OVERVIEW (SEEDS FOR BAKERY)........ 117 13. PELLETS MARKET OVERVIEW ...................................................................... 119 1. UKRAINE: MACROECONOMIC OVERVIEW Ukraine is amongst the countries usually categorized as “developing”, like the majority of post-Soviet Union countries. While Ukrainian economy is diverse and is not as dependent on single sector of economy as some of its neighbors, goods produced and exported from its territory are usually of low added value. Ukraine is the largest exporter of sunflower oil in Europe, amongst world leaders in terms of grain exports. Agricultural commodities also account for 25-30% of total exports. Modernization and economy growth are usually associated with agrarian sector of Ukraine, despite the fact that it accounted only for 9.1% of country’s GDP (2013). Ukrainian economy currently is facing crisis, which started in the beginning of 2014 due to political protests, later turning into armed confrontations between local militia and protestants. Later, political issues escalated with former President Yanokovych leaving the country, annexation of Crimea by Russian Federation and military actions in the East of Ukraine, which are still ongoing. In the beginning of spring, National Bank of Ukraine implanted concept of free-floating exchange rate of Ukrainian national currency – Hryvnya (UAH), which led to its devaluation against USD and EUR by 40-45%. Since Ukraine has negative balance of trade, meaning that imports are higher in monetary terms than exports (by USD 13.7 billion or 21.6%), prices of imported products have increased significantly. Higher prices for imported products are accompanied by deficit of external funding, once again due to high country risks, as currently assessed by international ratings agencies. International government institutions (IMF and others) are almost the only ones that are actively investing in Ukraine. At the same time there is a clear opportunity for local producers, who will be looking at the market with higher demand for locally-produced goods. There is a potential for growth and development of the local scale due to low production and operating costs. These opportunities are represented in the form of interest from EU-country-members in terms of importing goods from Ukraine. Warfare in the East leads to daily losses of lives and further degradation of the Eastern regions. While there is currently no official statistics, majority of the businesses has seized their operations in the region. Infrastructure is getting destroyed, leading to significant worsening of life quality. While there is not enough evidence to report food shortage, judging by 4 cities (Slavyansk, Kramatorsk, Druzhkovka and Konstantinovka) of Donetzk region where Ukrainian Authorities renewed control lately, food and water shortages are one of the biggest problems in the region. It is also clear that unemployment and poor healthcare conditions are the next key issues that will arise in the region as ATO nears its completion. Positive agreements were reached recently as Seize Fire Treaty was signed in Minsk, between Ukraine and pro-separation forces. Newly formed Ukrainian Parliament is formed mainly from pro-Western ideology parties, looking into peaceful resolution of the conflict in the East and further cooperation with the EU. Combined with efforts, taken by the President of Ukraine, Petro Poroshenko, main government bodies are taking immense efforts to implement reforms that would minimize corruption, optimize spending and help development of the country. Investor-friendly climate is amongst the top-priorities of Ukrainian authorities as well. Migration flows from Eastern regions leads to necessity of implementing new social programs for IDP, mainly at the expense of other social programs. In addition, there is a need to increase funding of the standing Ukrainian army, which will further burden Ukrainian budget. At the same time, Prime Minister of Ukraine has set a goal of UAH 40 billion cut of expenses for the country, leading to conclusion that only the most vulnerable strata of Ukrainian population will continue receiving benefits from the government. It is essential to take closer look at the most vital indicators of Ukrainian economy that will define further development of the country in general and its food security in particular. Ukrainian GDP (2013) was estimated at approximately Ukrainian Hryvnya (UAH) 32Th per capita, equivalent to USD 3 979 per capita (3.4% increase compared to 2012). Official data suggests gradual increase of GDP per capita value after its drop in the recession year of 2008. At the same time, projections for growth for 2014 are mainly negative. Development and Reforms Program 2020, presented by Petro Poroshenko, President of Ukraine suggests that decline country is experiencing at the moment is temporary and result of changes, that were necessary for a long time. By the year 2020, main sectors of economy are expected to recover and start stable growth, making them high-risk – high-reward assets at the moment. Table 1.1. Ukraine: GDP, M USD, current prices Name/Year 2005 2006 2007 2008 GDP, M USD 87 418 112 104 147 467 183 185 GDP, % change 28% 32% 24% GDP per capita, 1 852 2 390 3 165 3 948 USD GDP per capita, % 29% 32% 25% change Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine, World Bank Reports 2009 114 880 -37% 2010 137 870 20% 2011 165 092 20% 2012 176 645 7% 2013 184 555 4% 2 492 3 004 3 605 3 874 4 047 -37% 21% 20% 7% 4% As a result of social unrest and political instability in the end of 2013 – early 2014 (Crimea events and warfare in the Eastern part of Ukraine) Ukrainian GDP is expected to decline by 7-9% in 2014 with 6% decline officially reported for January-August 2014. This forecast is constantly being revised on the basis of ongoing military conflict in the Eastern regions. In addition, it is vital to note the significant devaluation of Ukrainian currency by 50% from 8 UAH/USD in the beginning of March to 11.5 UAH/USD in the beginning of April. Drastic devaluation of currency is explained by implementation of free float policy elements by the National Bank of Ukraine in March 2014. Current official rate is estimated at 13 UAH/USD. Net foreign debt of Ukraine is estimated at about USD 142,1 Billion, which is USD 15,6 Billion higher than total GDP of Ukraine for 2013 if considering the current exchange rate. At this point, it is important to note that IMF ratified stand-by program for Ukraine total worth of USD 17 Bl, in addition to USD1.5 Bl, which were guaranteed by the World Bank. First transfer from IMF was conducted on May 7, 2014. European Union provided Ukraine with total of EUR 250 M on June 13, 2014, EUR 100 M were provided in May, and on June 17 European commission provided EUR 500 million. These loans are aimed at support of Ukrainian economic development as well as coverage of external debt. Ukrainian government had already undergone the process of cutting government spending in order to balance the State Budget. Total volume of the Budget spending cuts reached USD 2.2Bl. At the same time budget revenue was also reevaluated and decreased by USD 1.9 Bl, leaving budget for 2014 with USD 5.96 Bl deficit. Diagram 1.1. Exchange Rate of UAH against USD Source: Balance of Payments, UkrAgroConsult calculations Due to Ukrainian currency devaluation, it also became apparent that consumer prices will start catching up to the new currency rates at least as the result of increased fuel prices. We observed steady growth of consumer prices, which could be a positive factor for the producers, which usually welcome inflation. Inflation has been growing at slow 0.2-0.6% on monthly basis in January-February and picked up the pace over the next three months to 2.7-3.3% on the average. Based on data available, we forecast approximate 10-12% inflation rate for the entirety of 2014. At the same time Head of the National bank of Ukraine Valeriya Gontareva stated early in July, 2014 that inflation rate might grow as high as 17-19% due to devaluation of national currency as well as increase in tariffs for population. Table 1.2. Ukraine: consumption price index (inflation index) (% to the previous year) Name/Year 2005 2006 2007 Consumer price index (inflation rate,% 110.3 111.6 116.6 , yoy) Producer price index (%, yoy) 109.5 114.1 123.3 Agricultural production (%, yoy) 108.1 102.4 138 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine, World Bank Reports 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 122.3 112.3 109.1 104.6 99.8 100.5 123 110.3 114.3 106.4 118.7 130 114.2 113.6 100.3 106.8 101.1 107.4 Inflation rate has indicated steady growth since 2005, having deflated only in 2012. The average rate for 2005-2010 is estimated at 13-14% on the average, while it has decreased to 3-4% over the past 3 years. Inflation rate reached 100,5% in 2013, reflective of global price drop of major commodities. Low inflation rate ensures higher purchasing power parity in Ukraine, however, affects cost of production for the exporters in the country. 2014 result is forecasted to reach 110.1% by the end of 2014. Diagram 1.2. Average salary in Ukraine, UAH Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine, UkrAgroConsult calculations While inflation benefits national producers, average consumer salary growth has to outperform inflation growth in healthy economy in general and with the purpose of maintaining food security within the country in this particular case. We have been observing tendency towards faster inflation growth rate compared to income growth rate starting October 2013 when consumer price index grew by 0.4% compared to 0.2% of population income growth for the first time since January of 2011. The tendency remained until November 2013 and reverted in December. However, as country risks grew, tendency repeated itself in February of 2014 and held strongest in April and May. June and July indicated reverse trend as salaries were growing either at the same rate or higher than consumer prices. August started repeating April and May trend. We can see this tendency continue thought the year or at least until situation stabilizes in the most Eastern regions of Ukraine. Such potential exists with signing peace treaties and delegating more authorities to the regions of Ukraine. Diagram 1.3. Change of consumption prices vs. income level change, % Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine, UkrAgroConsult calculations Consumer expenditures/behavior patterns in such economy usually indicate downward trend, and it is clear Ukraine does reflect this tendency, especially given the fact that consumer prices are growing at faster pace, compared to income. We are assuming Ukraine will follow this tendency until the end of 2014, additionally burdened however by higher utility bills and gasoline prices. Expenses are more likely to be targeted at basic products, avoiding additional spending on premium products. Table 1.3. Average household spending, UAH 2010 2011 2012 2013* Total expenses per household, UAH 3 072.7 3 456.0 3 591.8 3 600.0 Total consumption expenses 90.00% 90.2% 90.9% 90.9% Food and non-alcoholic drinks 51.60% 51.3% 50.2% 50.2% Alcohol and tobacco 3.30% 3.4% 3.5% 3.5% Non-food products 35.10% 35.5% 37.2% 37.2% Non-consumption expenses 10.00% 9.8% 9.1% 9.1% Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine, UkrAgroConsult calculations Ukrainian population had been decreasing on the average of 0,43% per annum over the past 9 years with main factors that contribute to the stated tendency being high mortality and migration rates. Another tendency for Ukrainian population is aging: share of older people is increasing while share of younger people is on the decrease. Instability in the Eastern parts of the country in addition to Crimean problem further contributes to the trend. Table 1.4. Ukraine: population, Mln Name/Year 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Total population 47.2 46.9 46.6 46.4 46.1 45.9 45.8 45.6 45.4 -0.6% -0.6% -0.4% -0.6% -0.4% -0.22% -0.44% -0.44% Change, % Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine, UkrAgroConsult calculations While flow from migrant remittances constituted on the average 1% from Ukraine’s GDP, it is important to mention an ongoing trend of declining remittance flow from 2011 with the average 10% per year rate. High skilled specialists mostly migrate to Russia though share of laborers is also sufficient in this direction. Migration to western destination includes usually low skilled unemployed people and/or migrants from rural areas looking for job as even the latter are paid better abroad compared to incomes within Ukraine. Year Total Average change, % Table 1.5. Flow from remittances, Ml USD 2010 2011 1 560 1 890 21.2% Source: Balance of Payments, UkrAgroConsult calculations 2012 1 749 -7.5% 2013 1 531 -12.5% Due to military operation in the East of Ukraine, it is apparent that 2014 will indicate another year of decline for the labor remittances. While there were no actual steps taken towards creation of barriers between countries for its citizens to move across border to work, we highly doubt that this will remain for a long time. As a first step in mounting such barriers we consider Russian Government body statement about admittance to Russian territory of all CIS countries only if they have foreign passports starting from January 1, 2014 while earlier it was possible having national passport. Indeed, reported decline of cash flow from remittances for the first quarter of 2014 only constituted 8.1%, however we anticipate even further drop as armed confrontations in the East of Ukraine expanded only in the second quarter of 2014. Diagram 1.4. Quarterly break-down of cash flows of remittances, Ml USD Source: Balance of Payments, UkrAgroConsult calculations Global rating of international has been reflecting deteriorating state of Ukrainian economy over the past 4 years with constant decline of country’s credit ratings. Currently Ukraine holds Caa3 foreign and local currency rating by Moody’s, which indicates poor country’s standing and very high credit risk. The rating is the lowest that is usually given to countries with near-default state. CCC (negative) by S&P reflects a country which urgently needs to create favorable business, financial and economic conditions to meet its financial obligations. Finally, Fitch suggests substantial credit risk for Ukraine with default being considered as a possibility. Table 1.6. Moody’s Long Term Rating Foreign Currency Date Rating 4-Apr-2014 Caa3 (Negative) 31-Jan-2014 Caa2 (Negative) 20-Sep-2013 Caa1 (Under Review) 5-Dec-2012 B3 15-Dec-2011 (Negative) 11-Oct-2010 (Stable) Source: Moody’s Rating Agency Local currency Date 4-Apr-2014 31-Jan-2014 20-Sep-2013 5-Dec-2012 Rating Caa3 Caa2 Caa1 B3 The ratings of the agencies are key indicators for the decision makers and most likely high country risks will promote change of the investment strategies for major producers, including agrarian sector. Such approach will result in curtailing of private investment programs (both national and foreign) in Ukraine and moreover encourage intensive sales of available assets. These trends may negatively influence employment climate and worsen consumer access to high quality foods. Macroeconomic situation in Ukraine is characterized by declining growth rate of Gross Domestic Product, decline of foreign investment levels, and an increasing external debt of the country. Country’s gold and foreign currency reserves were on decline up to 2014 and national currency had undergone heavy devaluation. Current political and geopolitical risks remain at high levels as seen through ongoing conflicts in various parts of the country, more drastically in the Eastern regions. These factors are additional risks that have to be accounted for by companies willing to operate in Ukraine. At the same time this is the time for opportunities, as majority of Ukrainian population, including business owners and the government are willing to make new changes in order to get closer to international standards of business conduct, ethics and general operating principles. Parliamentary elections, which took place on October 26, 2014 indicated that Ukrainians are determined to commit to the laws and principles, promoted within the EU. Top-3 parties, which constituted roughly 60% of the new Parliament, clearly state their intentions to complete necessary changes and bring confidence in Ukraine to the eyes of global community. Favorable investment climate, reforms of the tax legislation and many other will result in boost to Ukrainian economy within the next 3-5 years. These changes will occur even faster when the conflict in the East of the country is settled completely. Agriculture in Ukraine generates attractive and consistent returns for the following reasons: 1. Scalability. Ukraine has the largest arable land bank in Europe – 32.5 million hectares – but only 10% of this area is being used productively. The country has a well-developed infrastructure – including an intensive rail network, irrigation and plentiful storage – as well as a favorable location close to major export markets in Middle East and North Africa. 2. Low operating costs. Ukraine benefits from low cost land leases, agricultural labor and fuel. 3. Yield improvement potential. Ukraine’s famous black soil is among the most productive on the planet. Agricultural yields could be tripled by using basic modern farming techniques and improving technology. 4. Global trends. The appetite for food worldwide continues to rise. The Black Sea region is the only area that can meet the marginal demand for wheat and corn. Ukraine overtook Argentina for second place in global corn production – behind the United States – and remains the swing producer for key crops. 2. GRAIN MARKET OVERVIEW Sector Key figures (2013 unless noted) Trends Outlook Major risks Market leaders - Attractiveness Grain Area under grain 15-16m ha Total harvest ~55-60MMT Average yields 3,5 MT/ha Fertilizer use 80 kg/ha Major crops - Wheat 6.2m ha/21.5MMT production/9,2MMT exports - Corn 4,8m ha /27MMT production/19,9MMT exports - Barley 3.1m ha /7,8MMT production/3.5MMT exports - Area under grain mostly unchanged since independence in 1991. - Grower preference for higher-margin oilseeds preventing gains in hectares sown and tons of production harvested. - Ukraine’s livestock industry remains biggest domestic grain consumer. - Driven by greater use of inputs, cereal production will increase as a result of higher yields - Flat domestic consumption will lead to higher exports - Weather - Government policy, especially export quotas Top ten exporters hold some 35% of exports - supply of high quality grain for competitive prices owing to low production costs - a potential for boosting high-protein wheat supply due to climate changes - a high potential for production of deep processing products Wheat Ukraine offers high-quality wheat at the most competitive prices in the world. Steadily high production allows planning trade relations on a medium- and long-term basis. Planted acreage is unlikely to expand. In the medium-term outlook, there is a potential for a rise in wheat yields and, correspondingly, total crops if investment is made in inputs (plant protection, fertilizers, seed etc.). Despite increasing production costs, Ukrainian grain remains highly competitive. Wheat from Ukraine enjoys persistently strong demand from the world market. The quality of Ukrainian wheat in many respects depends on weather conditions. The global trend towards a warmer climate leads to a larger portion of high-quality wheat in the crop. Lately, dry years are more and more frequent in Ukraine that will contribute to an expanding crop share of highprotein wheat. Wheat with 14%+ protein currently accounts for less than 0.5% in both production and exports. Possessing a sufficient wheat processing capacity, Ukraine has a high flour export potential. The positive trends of the recent two or three years include an expansion of flour export volumes and destinations. We are confident in the efficiency and potential of deep processing of grains and oilseeds in Ukraine (starch, wheat gluten, glucose and fructose syrups, lysine, lecithin, glycerin). Investment in this area could be highly effective because of persistently strong demand and the absence of domestic production. Corn Ukraine is the world’s second largest corn exporter after the U.S. Ukrainian corn is supplied to roughly 50 countries of the world. Its high competitiveness results from good quality with minimum prices. The deep processing market can be promising because it is underdeveloped and has access to cheap raw materials. Ukrainian corn is exported to nearly 50 countries. Barley and others The main advantage of Ukrainian barley is its low production cost. This is what makes the Ukrainian commodity very competitive and accounts for the country’s fourth position in the global list of top barley exporters. The low cost of barley growing results in more attractive cultivation and sales of this crop in the period of a financial crisis. Barley, millet and buckwheat are so-called emergency spring crops in Ukraine. Their plantings expand in years of heavy winter crop losses. In this case, lost winter crops are reseeded with spring crops, in particular millet and buckwheat. Wheat, barley, corn production (main producing regions, crop structure, general trends) Table 2.1. Ukraine. Total Grains S&D, KMT Opening stocks Acreage seeded Acreage harvested Yield Crop Imports SUPPLY Food Industry Feed Usage Seeds Exports Losses DEMAND Ending stocks Stocks/Use (%) 2009/10 3233 15760 2010/11 3377 15910 2011/12 5147 15720 2012/13 7262 17290 2013/14 3135 16316 2014/15* 3385 15265 15360 14905 15282 14775 15730 14767 2,96 45405 119 48757 8215 11970 2685 20675 1835 45380 3377 14,8 2,62 39042 136 42555 7665 12640 2595 12298 2210 37408 5147 22,5 3,29 50302 199 55648 7550 12570 2875 23131 2260 48386 7262 31,6 2,85 42155 162 49579 7350 13055 2500 21820 1719 46444 3135 13,7 3,66 57625 177 60937 7285 13890 2460 31919 1998 57552 3385 14,3 3,98 58745 212 62342 7070 14275 2435 33230 1848 58858 3484 14,7 *-forecast, Source: UkrAgroConsult estimates Wheat, maize and barley are the main crops in Ukraine with their share in total seeded grain acreage being at 90%. Recently maize production in Ukraine increases by high rates due to high export demand and attractive export prices. Farmers cultivate mainly winter wheat (about 95%), while barley is mostly spring (65%). Diagram 1.1. Cereal cropping pattern, Th ha Source: UkrAgroConsult estimates The impressive growth of grain production during 2009-2012 demonstrated the great potential of farming in Ukraine if modern technology is applied on basis of easier access to financing. Table 2.2. Grain production with breakdown by crop, 2001 – 2014, KMT Crops Wheat Barley Corn Rye Total grains 2001 20 204 8 794 2 500 1380 35 344 2005 17 910 8 824 6 570 1285 36 822 2007 13 700 6 150 6 400 560 28 302 2008 24200 12300 8 400 975 48100 2009 20800 11 600 10 200 915 45 400 2010 16850 8 500 11 950 465 39 270 2011 20600 8300 19000 580 50 302 2012 14180 6520 19000 670 42 155 2013 21000 7350 27000 635 57 625 2014* 22500 8300 25900 460 58 750 Source: UkrAgroConsult’s estimates, *-forecast With relatively stable planted area, grain crop has been growing mainly due to increasing productivity. Diagram 2.2. Grain planting area, yield and production Source: UkrAgroConsult estimates Wheat Wheat is a traditional crop cultivated in Ukraine and its acreage has been relatively stable at 6-6.7 Ml ha in the last 13 years. An exception was a few years, when harvest area shrank below 6 Ml ha due to weather factors (autumn or spring drought, winter-kill etc.). Unlike plantings, wheat yields are extremely unstable, varying from 1.47 MT/ha in the extremely unfortunate 2003/04 season to 3.48 MT/ha in the bumper 2014/15 year. Mostly winter wheat is cultivated in Ukraine. Its key growing areas are concentrated in the south-east of the country. Plantings are stable. The crop substantially depends on the fall weather and wintering conditions. Diagram 2.3. Wheat planting area, yield and production Map 2.1. Wheat main producing regions The crop’s quality also varies from year to year: from 27% of milling wheat (1st, 2nd, 3rd grades) in the 2008/09 crop to 66% in 2010/11: Table 2.3. Milling to feed wheat crop ratio 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 % of milling wheat 69.7% 63.2% 27.2% 42.3% 65.7% 40.0% 82.7% 70.0% 55.0% % of feed wheat 30.3% 36.8% 72.8% 57.7% 34.3% 60.0% 17.3% 30.0% 45.0% The wheat quality depends mostly on weather conditions. In dry years, the share of milling wheat surges up to 83%. In this case, wheat with high protein (13-13.5%) appears in the market. Milling wheat with 11-13% protein is present in the market in normal years like 2014. Wheat with a higher protein content is extremely difficult to find in the market. Barley Mostly spring barley is grown in Ukraine. Due to a rather serious winter-kill threat, winter barley plantings are concentrated mainly in the southernmost parts of the country. Spring barley is cultivated everywhere. Map 2.2. Barley main producing regions Winter Spring Barley plantings have been shrinking in the last three years in favor of corn acreage. Diagram 2.4. Barley acreage, Th ha Diagram 2.5. Barley planting area, yield and production Corn Ukraine’s corn planted area has been expanding in the last 13 years due to steadily high producing margin. The key corn growing regions are Central and North Ukraine. The global climate change trends not only promoted a northward shift in the corn production belt, but also – along with cultivation practices improvement – increased corn yields in Ukraine. Diagram 2.6. Corn planting area, yield and production Map 2.3. Corn main producing regions Rye Winter rye is grown in Ukraine. Thanks to high winter hardiness, rye is cultivated in the north of the country. Rye is a commodity for purely domestic consumption. Its exports are extremely small, mostly to the post-Soviet countries. Having no support from export demand, rye prices are usually low, too. Low profitability caused a downward trend in rye plantings over the previous five seasons. Diagram 2.7. Rye planting area, yield and production Map 2.4. Rye main producing regions Millet & Buckwheat Millet and buckwheat are so-called emergency spring crops in Ukraine. Their plantings expand in years of heavy winter crop losses. In this case, lost winter crops are reseeded with spring crops, in particular millet and buckwheat. Diagram 2.8. Millet planting area, yield and production Diagram 2.9. Buckwheat planting area, yield and production Wheat flour production and exports For the last two decades (1990-2014) share of food grain consumption (mainly of wheat) was comparatively stable. Meanwhile, in weight terms wheat consumption showed a steady downtrend. This is explained by declining Ukrainian population. If in 2010 Ukraine's population totaled 45.8 M, then as early as 2020 it will decrease to 42.9 M, going down to 35 million by 2050 (FAO estimates). Diagram 2.10.Wheat flour production in Ukraine Source : State Statistics Service of Ukraine, UkrAgroConsult estimates Ukrainian flour production dropped in July-September of MY 2014/15 against the same time last season due to plummeted flour milling in the troubled eastern regions of Donetsk and Luhansk. Flour production may close the season down 12% from MY 2013/14. Table 2.4. Top 5 wheat flour producers in MY2013/14 1 2 3 4 5 StateReserve State Food and Grain Corporation of Ukraine, PJSC, Kiev Kyivmlyn Lauffer Group Lihanskmlyn Demand for wheat from Ukrainian milling industry is limited by domestic market. As a rule, Ukraine flour is competitive in the global flour market only in years of wheat crop failures in Kazakhstan and Russia. Wheat flour exports increased over the last three years. Remarkably, the range of export destinations changed considerably. While Ukraine supplied flour to the former Soviet countries before, now, apart from Moldova, its top buyers include China, Israel, and Syria. China received the first trial parcels of Ukrainian flour in the 2012/13 season and has been monthly purchasing on average some 5 KMT of Ukrainian product since then. Among European countries, minor flour purchases were made by the UK and Spain in 2013/14. Table 2.5. Wheat flour exports, KMT 2009/10 117.9 2010/11 86.9 2011/12 114.7 2012/13 198.8 2013/14 229.1 Diagram 2.11. Wheat flour export destinations, MY 2013/14 Table 2.6. TOP-10 wheat flour exporters in MY 2013/14 # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 KMT 45.4 29.9 21.4 21.4 20.6 13.4 10.7 8.8 6.1 5.9 Name KHP Talne, Ltd, Cherkassy reg. Novopokrovsky KHP, Kharkov reg. Vinnytsky KHP #2, Ltd, Vinnitsa State Food and Grain Corporation of Ukraine, PJSC, Kiev Lugansk-Nyva, JSC, Lugansk Ukrhidroproekt, JSC, Kharkov Mega Import Plius, Ltd, Kharkov reg. Mariupol mlynkombinat, CJSC, Donetsk reg. Enlil, Ltd, Kharkov Pivdenmlyn, Ltd, Kherson reg. % 19.8 13.0 9.4 9.3 9.0 5.8 4.7 3.8 2.7 2.6 Trends in Ukrainian grain exports As domestic consumption of grain is quite steady in Ukraine, the volume of export shipments directly depends on harvest. During the last 4 years grain exports exceeded 20 MMT owing to grain production ranged between 42 – 57 MMT. Table 2.7. Grain exports from Ukraine, KMT 2006/7 2007/8 2008/9 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15* Total grain 9879 4112 24688 20675 12298 23131 21820 31920 33230 Wheat 3300 895 12640 9160 4100 5220 6830 9215 11000 Barley 5145 1037 6335 6230 2900 2455 2100 2475 3400 Corn 1100 2080 5500 5000 5000 15140 12500 19900 18500 Rye 3 0 6 5 38 11 17 51 20 * UkrAgroConsult’s estimates, *-forecast Before 2009, wheat was the main export grain crop in Ukraine. A significant increase in maize planted area since 2008 has changed the export structure. Currently maize form the basis of grain exports (about 60% of the total grain exports). Diagram 2.12. Ukrainian grain export structure, KMT Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine, UkrAgroConsult estimates In the long term, the world’s growing population and increasing incomes in developing countries, which are the main consumers of cheap Black Sea grain will promote further increase in exports. Wheat The world wheat markets trends, as well as Ukrainian export potential, promoted taking by Ukraine position of one of the market leaders. Over the last few seasons, Black Sea wheat, in particular Ukrainian one, compete with European, North and South American grain in the main target markets. In the 2013/14 season the share of Ukrainian wheat and corn in the world’s total exports were 5.9% and 16.3%, respectively. Exports of Ukrainian grain, including wheat, are seasonal. From 50% to 85% of the total export capacity of wheat is shipped abroad during the first half of a season (July- December). Diagram 2.13. Ukrainian wheat export, KMT Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine, UkrAgroConsult estimates Ukraine is one of the largest suppliers of feed wheat to the world market. The low and medium quality wheat averaged about 50% in the total Ukrainian wheat exports from 1995 to 2013, reaching as high as 75-88% in some years. However, during the 2012/13 and 2013/14 seasons, the share of milling wheat in crop reached 6575% owing to weather conditions. Consequently, the share of milling grain in wheat exports increased. Traditionally, Near East, North African and European Union are among the main importers of Ukrainian wheat. Asian and African countries generate demand for Ukrainian mainly milling wheat, whereas European countries give preference to importing feed wheat from Ukraine. We should note the transformation that has taken place in the geographic component of Ukrainian exports. Ukrainian wheat exports have grown significantly to Asian and African countries over the last ten years. This became especially noticeable in the period of 2008-2012. This was, in the first place, due to increased demand for food wheat of medium quality in these countries. And, in the second place, a considerable reduction in freight costs as a result of the global crisis, giving nice chances for Ukrainian exporters to open up new markets, for instance, those in South-East Asia. This same period saw reduction in exports to the EU-27 countries. This may be due to the export quotas for low and medium quality wheat, which have been in force in the EU-27 since 2002. Exports to the CIS countries have been insignificant. Diagram 2.14. Wheat export destinations 2012/13 2013/14 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine, UkrAgroConsult estimates Table 2.8. Wheat S&D Balance, KMT Wheat 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2013/14 2014/15* Opening stocks 2165 2110 3662 2012/13 5944 2146 2685 Acreage seeded 6715 7065 6900 6950 6886 6230 Acreage harvested 6600 6460 6690 5645 6565 6047 Yield 3.15 2.66 3.08 2.51 Crop 20800 17200 20600 14180 3.72 21000 22500 2 2 Imports 5 2 2 SUPPLY 22970 19312 24264 20126 Food Industry 5700 5400 5300 5100 5000 4900 Feed Usage 3800 4000 5000 3800 4100 4400 Seeds 1300 1250 1500 1400 1300 1300 Exports 9160 4100 5 220 6830 9213 11000 900 900 1300 850 850 850 20860 15650 18320 17980 20463 22450 Ending stocks 2110 3662 5944 2146 2685 2737 Stocks/Use % 19.5 34.4 50.4 20.8 25.8 25.8 Others consumption and Losses DEMAND 2 3.20 23148 25187 Source: UkrAgroConsult estimates Barley Ukraine is among top five exporters of barley in the world. In some years, the share of Ukrainian barley in global exports exceeded 30%. The peak of barley exports was reached in the 2008/09 season (6.3 MMT). In recent years, the production and exports of barley from Ukraine have been declining. In the 2013/14 season barley exports amounted to 2.48 MMT. Ukraine exports (as well as produces) mainly feed barley. The share of malting barley in the crop does not exceed 10%, as a rule, while export of malting barley from Ukraine is very low. Saudi Arabia is the main buyer of Ukrainian feed barley. It is expected that in the near future Saudi demand for feed grains will be relatively stable generating demand for Ukrainian exports. Diagram 2.15. Barley export destinations, 2013/14 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine, UkrAgroConsult estimates Table 2.9. Barley S&D Balance, KMT Barley 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 Opening stocks 577 514 701 935 365 2014/15* 250 Acreage seeded 5050 4670 3840 4185 3300 3110 Acreage harvested 4930 4480 3720 3450 3235 3070 Yield 2,35 1,96 2,23 1,89 2,27 2,70 Crop 11600 8800 8300 6520 7350 8300 Imports 7 7 39 10 10 10 SUPPLY 12184 9321 9040 7465 7725 8560 Food Industry 690 620 600 600 600 550 Feed Usage 3400 3800 3700 3350 3500 3600 Seeds 950 900 950 700 700 670 Exports 6230 2900 2455 2100 2475 3400 Losses DEMAND 400 400 400 350 200 200 11670 8620 8105 7100 7475 8420 Ending stocks 514 701 935 365 250 140 Stocks/Use % 10,2 13,2 17,8 7,8 5,2 2,9 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine, UkrAgroConsult estimates Corn In 2010s corn becomes main agri crop in Ukraine with its share in total seeded acreage being at 2528%. Corn is considered to be a crop with high margins in Ukraine. The planted area of corn has been expanded significantly in recent years. During the last 10 years Ukraine increased corn exports by almost 1670% - from 807 KMT in 2002/03 to 12.6 MMT in 2012/13 season. The largest export was registered in 2011/12 season - 15.14 MMT. Such a significant growth of corn exports allowed Ukraine to rise in the rating of world's biggest exporters from eighth place in 2000 to third in 2013/14. The 2014/15 corn crop drop along with keen global market competition creates makes possible a decrease in corn exports to 18.5 MMT. Diagram 2.16. Ukraine. Corn export dynamics Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine, UkrAgroConsult estimates Ukrainian corn has not only found consumers in the traditional markets, but is also supplied to promising regions such as Southeast Asia. Export of Ukrainian corn to China expected in 2013/14 season at level of 0.701.0 M MT will confirm the trend of growing importance of Asian markets for Ukrainian agriculture. Diagram 2.17. Corn export destinations, 2013/14 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine, UkrAgroConsult estimates Rye In the 2013/14 season, Ukrainian rye exports hit an eight-year high of more than 50 KMT. At the same time, Spain emerged as the key buyer of Ukrainian rye: about 24 KMT of grain was shipped to the country. In the early 2000’s, Ukraine exported up to 300 KMT of rye a year, but these shipments were made against the background of harvests reaching 1.4 MMT compared to 0.63 MMT in 2013). It needs to be noted that an accelerated pace of rye exports is also seen in the first three months of the current season. Over 10 KMT of rye was already exported in July-September, mostly just to Spain. However, rye exports are unlikely to beat the previous record in the new season because export potential is limited due to a 28% crop drop against 2013. Diagram 2.18. Ukraine. Rye export dynamics, KMT Table 2.10. Rye exporters from Ukraine Company Kernel Address Tel. 3 Tarasa Shevchenka lane, Kyiv, Ukraine, 01001 (+38-044) 461-88-01 E-mail [email protected] Web-site http://www.kernel.ua/ [email protected] http://www.agropartner.info/ [email protected] http://www.deltapremium.com.ua/en/ (+38-044) 461-88-04 (+38-044) 461-88-06 Agropartner Delta premium resource 133, Peremogy Avenue, Chernihiv, 14000 st.Zhitnetorzhskaya 8, Kyiv, 04071 +38 0462 65-18-42 +38 (044) 42542-02 Millet & buckwheat In view of small production volumes, Ukrainian buckwheat and millet exports are low. Table 2.11. Millet & buckwheat exports, KMT millet buckwheat 2011/12 39.9 0.9 2012/13 55.7 0.2 2013/14 16.5 1.1 Table 2.12. Millet export destinations, KМТ South Africa 3.2 Israel 1.2 Switzerland 0.9 Egypt 0.9 Spain 0.8 Philippines 0.7 Germany 0.7 Malaysia 0.7 Turkey 0.6 Arab Emirates 0.6 Others 6.3 Diagram 2.19. Buckwheat export destinations Table 2.13. Buckwheat exporters from Ukraine Company Makardi Galex-Agro Agropartner Address 40 Lypovetskaya str, Khmelnyk, Vinnitsa region, 22000 1-a Lesi Ukrainky str., NovohradVolynsky, Zhytomir region, 11707 Tel. +380 (433) 822530 E-mail Web-site +38 041 41 5 33 21 [email protected] http://www.galeks-agro.com/ 133, Peremogy +38 0462 65-18-42 Valeriy.Shnaidman@agropart ner.info http://www.agropartner.info/ Avenue, Chernihiv, 14000 Table 2.14. Millet exporters from Ukraine Company Palmira Plus Address 27 Primorskaya str. of.407, Odesa, 65026 Anko-Agrotrade 92/94 Lustdorfskaya doroga str., Odesa 2-G Bolshaya Arnautskaya str., Odesa 65012 Tekline Agroseedex Agrosindikat 21 Bugaevskaya str, of 813, Odesa 7 Nadezhdy str., Mizukevicha, Odesa region Tel. +3 8 (048) 723-2030 +3 8 (04855) 6-3544 +38 (050) 390 4707 +38 (067) 512 5888 E-mail [email protected] Web-site http://www.palmira.odessa.ua/ [email protected] http://www.ankoagrotrade.com/ (+38048) 709-8318; (8097) 911-8994, (8097) 650-6467. +380482355724 +380503337388 [email protected]; [email protected] et.ua, [email protected] http://www.tekline.com.ua [email protected] [email protected] http://agroseedex.com/ +380 48 7400522 +380(67)4890306 The TOP-10 companies exporting grain from Ukraine include mostly international traders. Table 2.15. TOP-10 exporting trading companies, KMT 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 wheat Nibulon Louis Dreyfus Cargill State Food and Grain Corporation Kernel Toepfer Bunge 858.6 corn Kernel Nibulon State Food and Grain Corporation 771.7 582.0 380.5 266.4 Rise Louis Dreyfus Cargill Toepfer Serna/Glencore Granum Invest Agrotrade Export 265.1 215.6 214.3 Bunge Serna/Glencore Agrotrade Export 1083.9 899.3 1861.0 1860.8 barley Louis Dreyfus Nibulon 465.2 321.4 1633.0 East Grains 268.6 1362.4 940.2 724.0 613.2 Kernel Toepfer Bunge Serna/Glencore State Food and Grain Corporation Cargill Rostok-Holding. 238.1 109.5 108.9 106.8 575.9 450.7 376.5 91.2 85.8 58.1 Table 2.16. MY2013/14 TOP of Ukrainian trading companies # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Name Nibulon, Ltd, Nikolaev Kernel, Ltd, Kiev Rise, CJSC, Kiev/UkrLandFarming Agrotrade Export, Ltd, Kharkov Ramburs, CJSC, Kiev Hermes-Trading, Ltd, Kiev Myronivskiy Hliboproduct, CJSC, Kiev /MHP Tekhnologichna agrarna compania Objednana, JSC, Kiev/TAKO Promin Agro, Ltd, Kiev Rostok-Holding, Ltd, Kiev Latagro, Ltd, Kiev Zolotoy Rassvet, Ltd, Kiev Poligrain Agro, Ltd, Kiev Falkon-Ukraine, Ltd, Kiev KMT 3361.9 2738.9 1517.4 710.5 437.0 389.0 302.2 198.4 166.5 130.3 115.3 93.5 77.7 74.1 Grain supply value chain from field to port The main factor determining the grain export prices is the logistics services costs. During the period of 2009-2014 the cost of grain transportation for export increased more than twice. Also we see the constantly growth of trucks’ transportation as it influence on the EXW prices which are paid to the framers for their grains. The average distance for grain delivery by trucks is up to 50km. Despite the raised cost of grain transportation by rail, this transport mode currently dominates the pattern of export deliveries. Due to a rise in freight rates and toughened control over the transportation process, freight trucking in Ukraine has lost its advantages by now. As a rule, a lot of grain deliveries (up to 60% of the export volume) to Ukraine’s ports in season beginning were made by motor transport. Market players estimate that at most 30% of export grains are delivered to ports by trucks in the beginning of 2014/15. Diagrams 2.20, 2.21 The entire logistic chain will have to adjust itself to the strategic necessity of reducing the costs in the marketing chain to remain competitive in the world market. This process will call for large investments in logistics tools including inland transportation and Ukrainian port facilities. Also amendments in government policy will be also required as it is the government that fixes vast number of costs (certification, for example) directly influencing the price paid to farmers. Table 2.17. Grain value chain from field to port, USD/MT wheat Truck tariff Producer's price 185 2 EXW price FCA price CPT port price CPT port price with margin FOB price Drying, Cleaning 3.5 190.5 Silo's services 1 month Loading to storage rail 2.2 4.5 197.2 Average rail tariff to port, incl all certificates Average trader's margin 15 212.2 5 217.2 Fobbing costs 20 237.2 corn Truck tariff Producer's price 120 EXW price FCA price CPT port price CPT port price with margin FOB price 2 Drying, Cleaning 3.5 125.5 Silo's services 1 month Loading to storage rail 2.2 4.5 132.2 Average rail tariff to port, incl all certificates Average trader's margin 16.5 148.7 5 153.7 Fobbing costs 23 176.7 Export regulations Many years of observations allow pointing out a trend which shows that unfavorable weather conditions in Ukraine occurred every 3-4 years. Adverse weather conditions provoke sharp reduction of grain production, followed by various export restrictions. Bad weather conditions were observed in 2003, 2006, 2007, 2010 and 2011. It should be noted that in 2006-2008 Ukraine introduced quotas for exports of agricultural products, and in 2010-2011 - export duties were imposed. In 2003 wheat production declined significantly due to unfavorable weather, but export restrictions were not introduced. It happened because the shortage of wheat in the market and considerable growth of domestic prices for wheat and flour made the exports impossible, and traders began importing wheat from Russia and Kazakhstan. Table 2.18. Ukraine. Historical retrospective review of weather conditions, production and export restrictions, 2000-2012 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Adverse weather conditions Crop failure/significant reduction of production Export restrictions Source: UkrAgroConsult Despite the decline of wheat production in Ukraine in 2012, no official export restrictions were imposed. For the first time the Government and exporters negotiated the maximum agreed level of wheat exports. At the beginning of the season a memorandum was signed by traders and the government, which set a limit of exports, at which there was no threat to food supply security inside the country. Afterwards the maximum permitted level of exports was reconsidered upwards for several times. This experience may be considered positive, as agreements were implemented by both sides that allowed avoiding the introduction of quotas, or any other unclear restrictive mechanisms. Price behavior, comparison to world grain prices The grain price behavior in Ukraine closely depends on the two key factors: CBOT world price dynamics and export demand. The reason for this dependence is that Ukraine exports over half of its grain production. Diagram 2.22. Correlation between Ukrainian wheat prices and CBOT futures Ukrainian grain is most competitive early in the season (in the harvest period and after its close): JulySeptember for wheat and October-December for corn. As a rule, this is the time of the lowest prices in Ukraine’s market. The next period of a price decline in the Ukrainian domestic market begins in March-April, when new crop prospects are already clear. In addition, farmers need money in spring to conduct planting, therefore they are more willing to sell remaining grain. Diagram 2.23. Comparison of world wheat prices Main conclusions on grain production and export potential In terms of production, the opportunities for further expansion of grain acreage in Ukraine are quite limited due to climatic constraints. The expansion of planted area to the south and east is nearimpossible due to lack of moisture in these regions, and the development of irrigation is unlikely during the next few years. There are opportunities for some expansion of the area in the north and west of the country, but careful selection of seeds is required in these regions due to shorter growth season and smaller sum of effective temperatures. In this regard, we believe that farmers will switch from extensive way of grain cultivation (expansion of area) to intensive (higher productivity per hectare). Actually, this process has already started. Large agricultural holdings deal with grain production increasingly frequently. They can ensure the necessary set of operations to the full extent and are constantly increasing productivity. So, Ukrainian grain production is expected to rise in the long run. Its growth will be achieved by increasing yields, not plantings. However, in the near-term outlook, the grain crop may drop in 2015 due to a lowering level of applied agronomic practices. The use of fertilizers, quality seeds and plant protection products may decrease due to rising fuel, seed, fertilizer prices in view of the national currency’s devaluation and falling fertilizer production due to warfare in the east, where manufacturing plants are concentrated. The ratio of the domestic consumption growth to gross crop will be the main factor determining the volume of grain exports. It is expected that rates of production growth will be higher than rate of domestic consumption increase. In the long-term, the increase of exports will be promoted by the tendency for world population and incomes growth in the developing countries, which are the main consumers of cheap Black Sea grain. The domestic grain demand from flour producers will slacken slowly due to falling population. However, recent upward trends in Southeast Asia’s demand for Ukrainian flour will support flour production in the country. We are confident in the efficiency and potential of deep processing of grains and oilseeds in Ukraine (starch, wheat gluten, glucose and fructose syrups, lysine, lecithin, glycerin). In 2013, the volume of Ukraine’s gluten market approximated 1 KMT in natural terms. Market participants estimate that the Ukrainian market can potentially consume up to 40 KMT of gluten a year. The Ukrainian gluten market still features total dependence on imported products that come mostly from Russia and China. The reason is the absence of own production. The development of the market of deep processing of grains and oilseeds is one of the strategically important priorities of the future agricultural business in Ukraine. Positive results of investing into this sector could be: • rising demand for products that are in great demand by a number of sectors of the food industry in Ukraine (confectionery, bakery, dairy, compound feed, brewing, etc.), as well as a biopolymer, the paper sector; • partial shift from exports of raw materials to export of products with high added value; • the creation of incentives for the development of grain-processing industry, which reached the upper limits of domestic markets of flour and cereals; • an increase in income of farmers in the face of increasing competition for raw materials. Brief description of Grain export terminals 14 out of Ukraine’s 18 commercial seaports are engaged in handling export and transit grain cargoes. They include Illichivsk, Odesa, Mykolaiv, Yuzhny, Kherson, Izmail, Berdyansk, Mariupol, BilhorodDnistrovsky, Reni, Kerch, Ust-Dunaysk, Sevastopol and the port of Ochakiv. Of the 14 grain-handling seaports, 12 ones are located on the Black Sea and 2 ports (Berdyansk and Mariupol) on the Azov Sea. In addition, some grain volumes are exported through the Illichivsk fishing port, the Kerch fishing port, the Mykolaiv river port, the Dnipropetrovsk river port and through a terminal lying on the premises of the Sevastopol ship repair yard. Map 2.5. Map of Ukrainian ports The unique location of the Ukrainian ports (in the way of international transit corridors) and their proximity to a number of key destination markets (the Near East, North Africa, Europe) make these ports much more competitive. Ports through which grain is exported can be conditionally divided into the 3 main groups: 1. Ports having powerful specialized grain terminals. These ports figure on cargo traffics from all over Ukraine and on transit grain from Russia and Kazakhstan. They are the Illichivsk, Odesa, Yuzhny, and Sevastopol ports. This group of ports has the following features: - Possibility of loading PANAMAX-size large-capacity vessels; - Ensured high speed of receiving/loading grain to a vessel. Availability of specialized machinery and mechanization schemes traditional for port elevator facilities (belt conveyors, bucket elevators, shiploaders); - Availability of significant grain storage capacities. The 1st group ports handle the bulk of grain cargoes and their share in the total transshipment volume is estimated at 65-70% depending on the season. 2. Ports having small-capacity elevators, limited depths near berths. Their potential grain handling capacities are lower than in the 1st group ports (under 1.5 MMT a year). The ports of Mykolaiv, Mariupol, and Kherson can be attributed to this group. The maximum size of vessels received by these ports reaches 30-35 KMT. The share of these ports varies from 25% to 30% depending on the season. 3. Ports having no elevators or specialized terminals but located in grain surplus regions. They are able to ensure export of grain from adjacent regions by a temporary or seasonal technology and mechanization scheme allowing to operate by the direct method, especially to carry grain from trucks to vessels. The ports of Bilhorod-Dnistrovsky, Reni, Skadovsk with its port localities Khorly and Genichesk, Berdyansk, Feodosia, and the port locality of Ust-Dunaysk can be included in this group. Private companies actively operate in these ports; they have constructed elevators there. As a rule, these companies lease berths from the port and also handle grains. This operational scheme is applied in the ports of Izmail, Reni. Table 2.19. Ukraine. Estimates of theoretical capacities of grain handling in the sea ports, KMT Порты Illichevsk sea port Illichevsk Fishery port Yuzchny Odessa Sevastopol Nikolayev region Nikolayev Sea port Ochakov Kherson sea port Mariupol Kerch Fishery port Reni Belgorod-Dnestrovsky Izmail Berdyansk Total Терминалы Transbulkterminal/Kernel Illichevsk Grain Terminal/Glencore TIS Bourivauge Brooklyn-Kiev Olimpex-Coupe Avlita South Sevastopol Nibulon Nika-Terra/DF Group port Bunge Smart-Holding Dniepro-Cargo Kherson plant Ukrtransagro port ABC Terminal Rudis 01.07.2014 6500 2000 800 6000 2000 4000 2500 3000 300 3500 400 2000 3000 300 700 1000 800 800 600 700 500 500 1000 43800 UkrAgroConsult estimates theoretical grain-handling capacity of Ukraine’s sea ports at 43.8 MMT as of the beginning of 2014/15 against 40.3 MMT a year ago. However, Ukraine’s actual capacities involved in grain handling have plummeted. So, because of the annexation of Crimea, Ukraine lost 4.8 MMT of grain-handling capacities in the ports of Sevastopol and Kerch in 2013/14. Therefore, actual grain-handling capacities of the Ukrainian ports totaled 36.9 MMT in 2014/15. High-performance grain terminals continue enjoying strong demand. This is reflected in high transshipment volumes and in the concentration of specialized facilities in some ports (Odesa, Yuzhny, Illichivsk, Sevastopol, and Mykolaiv). At the same time, the role of small ports is reducing in grain exports. This suggests that Ukraine is experiencing a process of specialization of some ports in grain cargo handling, and grain-handling transport hubs stand out, aimed at the world market and export demand (so-called “Greater Odesa ports” and Mykolaiv). Daigrams 2.24, 2.25 Source: UkrAgoConsult’s estimates and calculations Assessment of competitive advantages of Ukrainian ports and specialized grain-handling terminals allows us to single out high-tech, modern terminals, most fully meeting overall world trade requirements and grain trading trends. As mentioned above, analysis of grain handling volumes in Ukraine’s ports makes it possible to single out key ports specializing in handling grain cargoes. These include “the Greater Odesa” ports (Odesa, Illichivsk, and Yuzhny), the ports of Mykolaiv region, and the port of Sevastopol (Crimea). Port Table 2.20. Comparative description of Ukraine’s major Black Sea ports Advantages Disadvantages - Availability of three railway entrances into the port - Deep-water berths and the possibility of loading two Panamax-type vessels simultaneously Illichivsk commercial seaport - It is located on the shore of a bay (no need to pay for passage of any canals, ice dues, no need to regularly clean the canal bottom) - High level of the terminal’s management - Laboratory for grain quality control meets the GAFTA standards - The deepest berths (possibility of loading Capesizetype vessels) Yuzhny commercial seaport - Availability of significant capacities for simultaneous storage of grain (380 KMT) and a high loading rate (25 KMT a day) - High possibilities for unloading grain from trucks - A technologically intelligent line for unloading - Depth near the moorage wall is less than in the ports of Yuzhny, Odesa and Sevastopol - Insufficient capacities for receiving grain from motor transport that certainly disadvantages this method of freight reception compared to receiving grain from railcars - Insufficient area of the port (absence of any expansion outlook) - Delivery of grain from Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv regions is ruled out geographically due to high logistics costs compared to the ports of Yuzhny and Sevastopol - Impossibility of loading several large-tonnage vessels simultaneously, unlike in the Illichivsk port railcars, which ensures rapid unloading and has possibilities for the development (possibility of constructing additional installations for unloading more railcars simultaneously) - An own branch railway and high throughput of the Chernomorskaya-Khimicheskaya rail line that allows increasing the total freight traffic by another 1 MMT without the necessity of any significant investments in the railway facilities - It is located on the shore of a bay (no need to pay for passage of any canals, ice dues, no need to regularly clean the canal bottom) - A deep-water port - Possibility of combining various loading methods, high technical and technological capabilities - High quality of services is caused by keen competition between forwarders Odesa commercial seaport - It is located on the shore of a bay (no need to pay for passage of any canals, ice dues, no need to regularly clean the canal bottom) - Reception of railcars is limited by insufficient throughput of the railway (1 railway track). Although the intensity of work of the port and station was somewhat eased through constructing a railway entrance into Khlebnaya harbor from Odesa-Port station park in summer 2003, the construction of the nd 2 entrance into the port remains a topical issue - Impossibility to develop the port’s infrastructure because it is located in the city center - Insufficient length of berths for loading of largetonnage vessels (the depth of moorage walls is sufficient, but vessels are often forced to occupy the space of the next berth and thereby make it unoperational) - Necessity of carrying out regular dredging works Mykolaiv commercial seaport - The port is located near grain growing regions, low logistics costs - Impossibility to receive Panamax-type vessels for loading - The port is located in the Dnieper-Bug estuary, grain can be delivered to it by river barges - Limited throughput of the branch railway from the Mykolaiv – Gruzovoy freight station. Impossibility of receiving a higher number of railcars - An additional fee is charged for passage through the approach canal - A fee is charged for ice pilotage in the cold season - Impossibility to expand the port because of its proximity to the city Kherson commercial seaport - Possibility of receiving grain delivered from water elevators by barges along the Dnieper - Insignificant capacities for simultaneous storage in the port - It is convenient enough for loading vessels with tonnage of up to 10 KMT - Possibility of receiving vessels under 12 KMT due to the approach canal’s limited depth (7.6 m) - Possibility of receiving grain from railcars and trucks simultaneously - A low rate of loading by grab buckets - No impact of storms due to remoteness from the sea - Competition of grain with other cargoes because the port has a limited area In 2013/14 season TIS terminal, Yuzchnyi port, was the leader in cereals’ export. The second was Nibulon Terminal, the third one – Olimpex-Coupe, Odessa. Table 2.21. Top 5 cereals’ handling terminals in Ukraine, 2013/14 MY Nr 1 2 3 4 5 Terminal/port TIS, Yuzchny Nibulon, Nikolaev Olimpex-Coupe, Odessa Illichevsk Grain Terminal, Illichevsk Ukrelevatorprom, Odessa *including grains, oilseeds and by-products Handled volume*, MMT 6.3 4.5 2.6 2.5 2.3 % in the whole transshipment 16.6 12.0 7.0 6.7 6.2 Short description of 5 top terminals - Grain terminal in the Yuzhny port owned by Transinvestservice company. The company is specialized on the handling of mineral fertilizers, ore concentrates and grain. Terminal is able to handle 6 MMT per year. The depth at berth is 14 m, which allows loading Panamax type vessels. The berth length is 282 m. Originally the storage capacity of the flat type warehouses was about 80 KMT. At present, the storage capacity is increased up to 380 KMT of grain at a time. Handling of different cargo types in the one terminal (berth No.16 - grain and berth No.17 - mineral fertilizers) is possible due to application of the unique technology of handling inside the closed conveyor galleries. This method permits reliable division of two cargoes. Transshipment of grain is done on the separate berth No.16. Other cargoes are not processed on this berth. Aside from that all equipment which is used for grain handling starting from the railcars unloading and including all conveyor lines, warehouses etc. are excluded for handling of other cargoes. This complex is characterized with availability of highly mechanized warehouses with a grain transportation system on a covered conveyor gallery with a powerful dust suppression system. - Grain complex “Olimpex-Coupe” was opened in 2010 on the berth number 4. The investors are strewedouring company“Olimpex-Coupe” and trading company CHS Inc. with the total sum of investments of USD30ml. The storage capacity is 130 KMT, the handling capacity is up to 3 MMT. The complex is able to accept grains using both railcars and trucks. - Terminal of Nibulon Company - Nibulon company (registered in Nikolayev), in 2005 has completed the construction of high-tech handling terminal for grain and oil crops based on a berth of a shipyard. Nibulon is owner of a 350m long berth. The grain elevator included in the terminal is of storage capacity of 132 KMT. Annual grain handling capacity is 1.5 MMT per year, nowadays it actually handles much more. The loading rate is 20 KMT/daily as in the big ports. This grain handling terminal offers the following advantages compared to Nikolayev sea and river ports and other terminals: The terminal is able to load Panamax type vessels (depth at the berth of 9.13 m). The practical limit for a vessel draft is the depth of the Dnipro-Bugsky approach channel (10.5 m). Works aimed at deepening it down to 11.5 m requires additional agreements and are still not approved. It is possible to receive grain both from rail and road transport. Cargo receiving rate from road transport is 9-10 KMT per day. Railway cars unloading capacity is 6-8 KMT of grain per day. The port is closely situated to grain produce regions, low expenses for logistics. Among disadvantages of the grain terminal is the motor road to the berth going through the territory of a shipyard situated in the city center. This means necessity of additional co-ordination both with city authorities and the shipyard. - Illichevsk Grain Terminal was created on the territory of Illichevsk shipyard. The owner of the terminal is Glencore Company, in Ukraine it is working as Serna Company. The storage capacity is 130 KMT, the handling capacity is up to 3 MMT. The complex is able to accept grains using both railcars and trucks – at 15 KMT daily. The loading rate is up to 15 KMT per day. The terminal has its own railway station for the grains unloading. The approach channel was dredged from 9.25m to 12.5m which allows accepting and loading Panamax vessels. - UkrElevatorProm - The second big private grain terminal is situated in Odessa port. The current capacity of this complex is 2.5 MMT of grain per year. The owner of the terminal is Alfred C. Toepfer International GmbH, Germany, Hamburg/ADM. The total simultaneous storage capacity is 170 KMT of grain. Besides the new grain complex there is a port elevator situated in the seaport with a storage capacity of 100 KMT, which was built in 1932. Nowadays its storage capacity is limited to 80 KMT. The port elevator is in the ownership of the state owned company State Food and Contract Organization. Main grain exporters. Brief description Nibulon "NIBULON" is one of the largest domestic producers and exporters of agricultural products (wheat, barley, corn, rye, sunflower, etc.). In the process of development, the company gradually expands geography and scale of industrial activity. The company has 22 production units located in nine regions of Ukraine. "NIBULON" has its own facilities for storing and bringing agricultural products to merchantable condition, both at the company`s own subdivisions and at the enterprises, where the company is a shareholder. Nibulon has export terminal in Nikolaev port and own shipping company. Within the framework of the investment project “NIBULON” creates its own logistics system in order to reduce dependence on external factors, to decrease level of perils in economic operations. The construction of transshipment terminals which are located along rivers and its own fleet construction is an advantage for company. Kernel The business of the Company is divided into six business units • Sunflower oil in bulk – No. 1 sunflower oil producer and exporter from the Black Sea region. Our sunflower oil business comprises the origination and processing of sunflower seed into crude sunflower oil and protein meal in Ukraine. Both oil and meal are marketed primarily on the international market. • Bottled sunflower oil – No. 1 bottled oil producer and marketer in Ukraine: Operations in our bottled oil segment comprise the processing of crude sunflower oil into refined oil, followed by bottling of the refined oil. Our primary market is Ukraine, where we sell bottled oil mainly under the Company’s own brands either directly to the largest retailers, or through regional distributors. • Grain – Leading grain exporter in Ukraine: Kernel operates as a leading grain supply chain manager linking farmers in Ukraine to international markets. • Export terminals – Leading provider of grain, oil and meal transshipment and export services: Kernel provides grain handling and transshipment services both internally and to third parties through Transbulkterminal, the second largest grain export terminal in Ukraine, owned and operated by Kernel since June 2008. Oil handling and transshipment services are provided through Oiltransterminal in Mykolaiv to Kernel exclusively. • Silo services – Largest privately-owned network of grain silos in Ukraine: Kernel provides 2.8 million tons of grain and oilseed storage capacity to the farming industry in Ukraine. • Farming – Large scale agricultural production: Kernel farms 400,000 hectares of prime farm land, primarily in the central and central-western parts of Ukraine, which provide unique soil quality, short distances to storage and production assets of the Group, and fast export routes through Black Sea export terminals. Rise/UkrLandFarming Rise is Ukrlanfarming division engaged in distribution of products and services. The Ukrlandfarming Group is an agricultural producer that sells its products both domestically and internationally. It is the largest Ukrainian vertically integrated agricultural holding company, managing 654 thousand hectares of black soilck. Ukrlanfarming’s land portfolio covers 22 Ukrainian provinces. The Ukrlandfarming Group ranks among the top-ten cropland operators in the world and holds the largest stock of arable land in Ukraine. The entity responsible for the production of eggs and dry egg products within the Group is Avangardco IPL, an agricultural holding company, which is the largest producer of chicken eggs and dry egg products in Eurasia and in Ukraine, with the second largest stock of laying hens in the world. MHP MHP’s group of companies holds an indisputable leading position in the Ukrainian meat market. Strong growth in all business profiles is a strategic goal of the company. MHP is • One of the leading poultry producers in Europe with one of the strongest food brands in Ukraine • One of the biggest grain producers in Ukraine • The biggest processed meat producer in Ukraine MHP’s land portfolio covers 9 Ukrainian provinces. The Company operates one of the largest land banks in Ukraine - 320,000 hectares - growing corn, sunflowers, wheat and rape. The corn and sunflower seeds are used in our fodder mills; the wheat, rape and soya are sold to third parties. In 2013 MHP acquired its first asset outside Ukraine, in the Voronezh region of Russia. This comprises 40,000 hectares of land, 200,000 m³ of silos for grain storage and assorted machinery. The company employs more than 30,000 people in 30 plants. MHP is a market leader in meat processing in Ukraine with share of about 10%. MHPis a leader in the Ukrainian poultry market, with a market share of around 54% of industrially produced poultry. The also account for 35% of domestic consumption with one of the strongest Ukrainian food brands Nasha Riaba. Agrotrade Agrotrade is vertically integrated holding with a closed agricultural production cycle — production, processing, storage of and trade in agricultural produce. The company`s land bank has reached 61.000 ha in Kharkiv, Sumy,Poltava,Dnipropetrovsk and Chernihiv Oblast. The company includes 16 agribusinesses. The Company grows wheat, corn, sunflowers, barley, rapeseeds and soybeans. Agrotrade Group is among top three leaders in terms of buckwheat processing in Ukraine. The plant that outputs First grade buckwheat is based on Dvorichanskyi Grain Elevator LLC. The facility’s annual production capacity is 30,000 tons of the product. Up to 90 tons of raw material can be processed during 24 hours. Ramburs The main activity of the Ramburs Group is export of grains from Black Sea Ports (feed barley, feed wheat, milling wheat, corn, sunflower seeds, sunflower oil, soya beans, wheat flour and canola). Origination of grains and oilseeds is from Russia, Romania, Bulgaria, Serbia, Moldova as well as from Ukraine. The Ramburs Group also has its own grain elevators in central and southern regions of Ukraine. They buy the exportable grains from farmers truck by truck through the country, bring it to their grain elevators and ship this grain to over 50 countries around the globe loading vessels from 3000 MTs up to 75000 MTs. Since 2006 the Ramburs Group has developed poultry project “Indelika”. Today it is the largest turkey meat producer in Ukraine. This project integrates turkey farming, feed production, meat processing and product distribution within one company located next to Kiev. ТАКО The Company manages 105 Th ha in Kiev, Zhitomyr, Rivne, Khmelnitsk Oblast; head office is located in Kiev. The Company grows corn and soyabeans. In just eight years – from 2006 to 2013 – TAKO increased land bank to 105,000 hectares, and expanded its geography to four oblasts – Zhytomyr, Kyiv, Rivne and Khmelnitsky. Along with the building up the land bank, the company continued experiments with growing different crops in the crop rotation. Given soil and climatic conditions optimal for growing corn and soybean that ensure high productivity and quality of grains, TAKO decided to focus on cultivation of these two crops as the most technologically advanced ones. TAKO controls three elevators and logistics facilities. ROSTOK-HOLDING "ROSTOK-HOLDING" is a vertically integrated agro industrial group specializing in the cultivation and sale of crops, production, processing and sale of dairy products. The group has been developing dairy farming since 1993 and crops farming - since 2003. The group’s land is located in Chernihiv and Sumy regions. The land bank is split into large contiguous clusters. The group grows maize, sunflower, wheat, buckwheat, oat, soybean, rapeseed and potato. The total area of high quality black-earth soil under group’s management amounts to 60 Th hectares. “ROSTOK-HOLDING” group ranks 40th among top 100 landowners of Ukraine. Group’s trade companies are exporting both in-house produce as well as the produce purchased from third parties to customers and partners in MENA region, Asia, Europe and the CIS. Promin-Agro "Promin Agro" is a young and rapidly growing company, a manufacturer of high-quality agricultural products, well-known on the Ukrainian market. Promin Agro grows wheat, buckwheat, corn, rape, barley, flax, lupine, soybeans, sunflower, rye in Kiev, Zhitomyr, Chernigiv, Khmelnitsk regions. "Promin Agro" successfully combines rich agricultural experience and advanced technological systems using a modern fleet of agricultural machines in order to maintain high product quality and ensure maximum efficiency of the company. In addition to growing crops they are also engaged in receiving, cleaning, drying and storage of grains and oilseeds. They create optimal conditions on their elevators as well as guarantee complete safety of products, arranging export shipments. Latagro Latagro is an agricultural producer on using the newest technologies of mini-till cultivation to preserve soil moisture, intensive technologies of crop protection and introducing the elements of precision farming. They also specialize on receiving, cleaning, drying and storing grain and oil-bearing crops at our own grain elevators, and export delivery of agricultural products. The Company grows wheat, corn, sunflowers, barley, rapeseeds, buckwheat, linseeds and soybeans. Table 2.22 Contact details of main grain exporters Company NIBULON Address 63 Velyka Morska St., 54030 Mykolayiv, Ukraine Tel. +38 (0512) 37-23-44, +38 (0512) 58-04-04 Fax. +38 (0512) 50-01-91, +38 (0512) 58-04-05 Kernel 3 Tarasa Shevchenka lane, (+38-044) (+38-044) 461-88-01 461-88-64 (+38-044) (+38-044) 461-88-66 461-88-04 121V Peremohy Av. Kyiv, Ukraine, 03115 MHP Latagro Agrotrade Ramburs TAKO Web-site http://www.nibulon.com/ [email protected] http://www.kernel.ua/ Kyiv, Ukraine, 01001 Rise/UkrLandFarming E-mail [email protected] [email protected] 40 Frunze str., Kyiv, Ukraine, 04080 31/35 Dmitrievskaya St., Kharkiv, Ukraine 20 Peremogy Av., Kyiv, Ukraine 104/24 Zhylyanskaya Str., Kyiv, Ukraine +38 (044) 393 40 93 +38 (044) 393 40 94 [email protected] http://www.rise.ua/ +38 044 207 0000 Head office 38 044 537 66 87 38 044 207 0002 [email protected] [email protected] http://www.mhp.com.ua +38 044 537 66 88 [email protected] http://www.latagro.com.ua +38 057 766-22-22 +38 057 703 2147 [email protected] http://www.agrotrade.ua/ru/ +38 044 458 50 53 +38 044 475 99 05 [email protected] www.ramburs.com +38 044 238 61 05 (+38 044 238 61 06) +38 044 238 61 19 [email protected] http://taco.ua/en/ [email protected] http://www.rostokholding.com/ Rostok-Holding 23B Chervonoarmiis ka Str., Kyiv, 01601, Ukraine +38 (044) 581-51-01 +38 (044) 581-59-89 Promin-Agro 1A Lybidska str., Kyiv, Ukraine +38 (044) 406-92-75 +38 (044) 406-93-59 http://promin-agro.com.ua/ 3. OILSEED MARKET OVERVIEW Sector Oilseeds Key figures (2013) Area under oilseed 8 million hectares Total harvest 16 million tons Average yields 2 tons/ha Major crops - Sunflower 5.2m ha/11.05MMT production - Soy 1.4m ha/2.77MMT production/ 45% exported - Rapeseed 1.1m ha/2.35MMTproduction/ 94% exported Production - Sunflower continues to be the main oilseed but its share of area under seed has fallen from 90% in 2002 to 65-70% today as plantings of rapeseed and, especially, soybean grow. - The key drivers for increased soybean production are high margins to growers, improved soil quality and nutrients (especially critical for farms that have focused on extensive sunflower production) and growing poultry and pork herds, which require significant volumes of vegetable protein in their diets. - Ukraine’s oilseed yields meet global production averages. However Ukraine’s yields for soybeans lag behind the US, for sunflower behind France and for rapeseed behind the UK and Germany. Ukraine can increase output for all three of its main oilseed crops by moving to intensive cultivation from extensive cultivation. Crushing - Ukraine remains world leader in production and export of sunflower oil, accounting for half of global sunflower oil exports. - Strong domestic and global sunflower oil demand and stable abundant sunflower seed crops in Ukraine stimulated a substantial increase of sunflower crushing capacities over the last five years. Total crushing capacity expanded by 275% from 3 MMT 2005/06 to 8.25 MMT by 2009/10. In the current year the estimate is that oilseed processing capacities amounted to 15 MMT. - As a result of increased competition the number of vegetable oil producers fell from 300 in 2007 to 220 by 2013, or a 26% decline. Mostly small mills with low capacity and low oil yield were driven out of the business. This trend will likely continue. Financially robust industrial groups will out compete for raw materials and once the small players are removed the competition will intensify between large industrial groups. - Exports and overall production expected to continue increasing due to improving yields (to 2.2-2.5 tons/ha) and grower preference for highermargin oilseeds over gains. - Weather - Government policy, especially export quotas - For crushers lack of raw material. Kernel is Ukraine’s largest producer and exporter of sunflower oil/meal. Kernel is vertically-integrated and also provides services for handling, storing and exporting grains, vegetable oils and oil meals. Apart from own grain, the company transships that of third companies. - Farmland cultivated 330 000 ha of farm land - Oilseed crushing plants 10 (Ukraine – 7, Russia – 3) - Oilseed crushing capacity 3.0MMT/year (Ukraine – 2.6MMT/year) - Elevator storage capacity 2.7MMT Trends Outlook Major risks Market leader Vioil is Ukraine’s largest producer and exporter of rapeseed oil/meal. - Oilseed crushing plants production plants) - Oilseed crushing capacity - Elevator storage capacity 2 (Vinnitsa and Chernovtsy oil and fat 1MMT/year 360KMT Kahovka Protein-Agro is Ukraine’s largest producer and exporter of soybean oil/meal. - Farmland cultivated 330 000 ha of farm land - Oilseed crushing plants 1 (Nova Kahovka) - Oilseed crushing capacity 220 KMT/year - Elevator storage capacity 40 KMT CROPPING PATTERN OF OILSEEDS, ITS CHANGES Historically, the main oil crop in Ukraine is sunflower. Prior to the 2005/06 season, sunflower accounted for 90% of Ukraine’s area planted to oil crops. Plantings of other oil crops – rape and soy – started to expand in 2006/07. As a result, sunflower’s share has fallen to a stable 65-70% over the recent years. Diagram 3.1 Following a rapeseed growing boom in 2005-2008, its plantings began to gradually decrease in Ukraine. This led to a smaller share of rape in the cropping pattern. This share was just 13-13.5% in 2012/13-2013/14 seasons. An opposite situation is observed in the market of soybeans, whose plantings expand. Their share in the cropping pattern grew from 3-6% in 2001-2006 to 8% in 2008/09 and 17% in 2013/14 season. UkrAgroConsult expects the planted area under soybeans to continue expanding in the coming 2-4 years, as this crop enjoys strong demand. Diagrams 3.2, 3.3, 3.4 PRODUCTION TRENDS (PLANTED AREAS, YIELDS, HARVESTS). KEY GROWING REGIONS Sunseed Ukraine’s unique natural and climatic conditions allow growing sunflower across almost all the country. The main sunflower growing regions of Ukraine are Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Kirovohrad, Mykolaiv, Kharkiv, Kherson, Odessa, Poltava and Luhansk regions. In addition to the Steppe regions – traditional sunflower producers, sunflower also expands into the western, northern and eastern parts of the country because of climate warming. Map 3.1. Most favorable areas for sunseed Diagram 3.5. Sunseed crop, KMT production Sunflower seed production increased substantially in the period of 2001-2013. Sunflower plantings increased to 5.5-5.7 Ml ha in 2012-2013 from 2.5 Ml ha in 2001. The planted area was the main contributor to the production growth. The key stimulus to increase sunflower plantings is high prices/margin. In addition, sunflower seed production has a number of advantages over other crops, with one of them being relative reliability of the crop when exposed to weather adversities, its resistance to drought. Even in a dry agricultural season, its yield may fall by less than one- third, while corn yield may plummet by 60% or more. Owing to constantly increasing plantings and yields, Ukraine’s sunflower seed crop exceeded 7 MMT in 2009-2010. In the 2012/13 season, sunflower production has decreased by 7% to 8.66 MMT due to unfavorable weather conditions. A record 11 MMT of sunflower seed was harvested in 2013. Table 3.1. Ukraine: Sunseed production 2009/10 2010/11 Seeded area, Th ha 4420 4800 Harvested area, Th ha 4400 4775 Yield, MT/ha 1.67 1.63 Crop, KMT 7350 7800 Source: Own calculations of UkrAgroConsult Analytical Center 2011/12 5250 5220 1.78 9292 2012/13 5700 5530 1.56 8658 2013/14 5500 5430 1.97 10810 Soybean Soybean cultivation is possible almost in all Ukrainian regions. But leading positions belong to the regions of so-called “soybean belt”, which includes 17 out of 24 Ukrainian regions. In 2014, 90% of soybean planted areas were located in Ukrainian “soybean belt”. During 2002-2013 soybean acreage in Ukraine increased by 1.3 Mln ha and reached 1.4 Mln ha in 2013. Diagrams 3.7, 3.8 Map 3.2. Ukrainian “soybean belt” in breakdown by the amount of precipitation Diagram 3.6. Soybean plantings, Th ha In Ukraine soy is of interest both for its processors and exporters, food industry’s interest is at least equal. Soybeans are used for manufacturing semi-products and as ingredients in meat and dairy production, confectionary and bakery products. Besides, positive trend in the poultry sector significantly improves demand for high-protein soy products. In the next 3-5 years we expect soybean crop to be at a stable high level. The solution of GM-soy problem will contribute to even further extension of soy acreage. Soybean crop, KMT Diagrams 3.7, 3.8 Soybean production in Ukraine, 2002-2013 The last years feature with upgoing trend in soy yields. Starting from 2008, the average yields grew from 1.5 MT/ha to 2 MT/ha in 2011. In 2012 intense heat combined with lack of precipitation affected soybean development badly. In turn, this caused low yields – 1.7 MT/ha. Soybean yield restored to 1.94 MT/ha in 2013 due to favorable weather. Due to sharply extension of the acreage and increase in yields by 75%, soybean crop in Ukraine reached the record of 2.62 MMT in 2013. Consequently, Ukraine became the European leader in soybean production. Rapeseed The soil and climatic conditions of Ukraine are favorable for normal growth and development of both winter and spring rape. In particular, quite fertile soils, enough precipitation, and good air temperatures allow gathering over 4 MT/ha of rapeseed across all Ukraine, provided recommended agronomic practices are applied. In view of the most favorable soil and climatic growing conditions, it is reasonable to concentrate the cultivation of winter rape largely in the western, central and northern regions and spring rape growing in the South and East. Maps 3.3, 3.4 Most favorable areas for winter rapeseed Volyn n Most favorable areas for spring rapeseed Chernihiv Rivne Sumy Zhytomir Kyiv Lviv Ternopil Kharkiv Poltava Khmelnitskyi Luhansk Cherkasy Ivano-Frankivsk Vinnytsia Zakarpattia Kirovohrad Chernivtsi Dnipropetrovsk Mykolaiv Donetsk Zaporizhzhia Odesa Kherson Crimea Diagrams 3.9, 3.10 In Ukraine, winter rape yields traditionally exceed those of spring rape. Average winter rapeseed yields have been varying from 1.7 MT/ha to 2.3 MT/ha over the recent years, while spring rapeseed yields average 1.2 MT/ha (2001-2010), having reached a peak of 1.5-1.6 MT/ha only in the 200112013 seasons. Therefore winter rapeseed accounts for the bulk of Ukraine’s rapeseed output. Winter rape’s share in the overall rape planted area has stabilized at 92-95% over the last five seasons (2009/10-2013/14). The booming development of Ukraine’s rapeseed market was triggered by the adoption of the European Union’s Directive 2003/30/EU on voluntary-compulsory biodiesel utilization. Under the Directive, the biofuel share in total fuel consumption must reach 5.75% in 2010 and 20% by 2020. This forced European crushers and traders to urgently look for additional sources of biodiesel feedstocks. In turn, this led to increasing rapeseed outputs in Ukraine, which has an advantageous geographical location and suitable soil and climatic conditions. So, Ukraine’s rape planted acreage expanded by 1.5 Ml ha (+645%) for just three years (2006-2008) and reached a historical high of 1.75 Ml ha in 2008. Owing to the increase in planted area and ideal weather conditions, Ukraine’s rapeseed production reached an unprecedented 2.87 MMT in 2008. However, Ukrainian rape plantings shrank by 264 Th ha (15%) in 2009. This trend continued in 2010 and 2011. Rape crops totaled 1.49 Ml ha in 2010 and just 1.05-1.08 Ml ha in 2012-2013. Diagrams 3.11, 3.12 Due to continuously decreasing rape plantings and low yields, the total rapeseed crop gradually declines in Ukraine. In addition, this decline can already be called a trend because it is observed for a fourth consecutive year now. The 2012/13 rapeseed crop amounted to 1.2 MMT, or down 15% on last season. It halved compared to the maximum production of 2.87 MMT achieved in 2007/08. Owing to favorable weather conditions at the time of rape planting, development and ripening, Ukraine’s rapeseed harvest hit a five-year high of 2.35 MMT in 2013/14 season. FOREIGN ECONOMIC ACTIVITY. DYNAMICS OF OILSEEDS EXPORT SHIPMENTS. EXPORT DESTINATION COUNTRIES Exports through sea ports. Sunseed Sunseed exports from Ukraine are not too stable. Record sunseed volumes were shipped abroad in 2003/04 and 2008/09 seasons. In 2003/04, this happened due to a poor grain crop in Ukraine and a grain export ban, therefore exporters switched to the export of sunseed. The reason why exports grew considerably in 2008/09 was a reduction of sunseed export duty. In 2013/14 season exports of sunseed was only 72 KMT. Diagram 3.13 Table 3.2. Ukraine: Sunseed production and export, KMT Production Export Export-tooutput ratio, % 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 9292 282 8658 127 11050 71 3.0 1.5 0.7 The top importers of Ukrainian sunseed are Turkey and the EU. Their share in Ukrainian exports varies from year to year, but the overall picture remains unchanged. In the 2013/14 season, Turkey’s share in Ukrainian sunseed exports has totaled 21%. About 52% of all the sunseed exported for this time was routed to the European Union (France, Germany, Poland and other countries). About 88-90% of sunseed is exported through ports in 2011/12-2012/13 seasons. But in 2013/14 season it shares are only 60%. Table 3.3. Ukraine: Sunseed exports, KMT Total exports Exports through ports Share of exports through ports 2011/12 282 253 89.7% 2012/13 127 112 88% 2013/14 71 43 60.6% In Ukraine sunseed shipments mostly following commercial seaports: Nikolayev, Odessa, Kherson, Mariupol, Illichivs'k. In addition, minor amounts of sunflower have been exported through the Yuzhny port. Diagrams 3.14, 3.15 Soybean Up to 2010/11 season, most of the soy produced in Ukraine was consumed by the domestic market and was used as feed component for livestock. About 35% of the produced soy was shipped abroad. But, year after year, exports’ share in the total soy production in Ukraine increases. In 2010/20112012/2013 seasons almost 60% of the crop were exported. Exports’ prevalence over the domestic consumption may persist in the future, as there is no export duty on soybeans (whereas such duty exists for sunflower). In 2013/14 season we saw decreasing soybean export from Ukraine to 1158 KMT against 1326 KMT in last season. And exports’ share in the total soy production in Ukraine was only 44.2%. Diagram 3.16 Table 3.4. Ukraine: Soybean production and export, KMT Production Export Export-tooutput ratio, % 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2264 1335 2410 1326 2620 1158 59.0 55.0 44.2 Soybean exports’ geography is wide enough and in 2013/14 it consists of 32 countries. Export destinations somewhat changed through the last 5 seasons. In 2008 the main buyers were EU countries (75%), CIS countries (10%) and Turkey (15%). In 2013/14 the supplies were mainly directed to the EU (47%), Russia (11%), Egypt (13%), Turkey (19%), Vietnam and Syria (3%). Lion’s share of soy is exported through ports. Over the last 3 seasons, ports’ share in soybean exports was 80-90%. Diagrams 3.17, 3.18 Table 3.5. Ukraine: Soybean exports, KMT Total exports Exports through ports Share of exports through ports 2011/12 1333.8 1085.2 81.4% 2012/13 1326 1201 90.5% 2013/14 1259 1009 80.1% Rapeseed Ukrainian rapeseed exports rose along with commodity production growth in the country. While 54% of Ukraine’s total rapeseed output was exported in the 2004/05 season, this percentage exceeded 80% in 2007-2008. In 2008/09, when Ukraine harvested a record total rapeseed crop of 2.87 MMT, over 92% of it was shipped abroad. Later, despite a drop in the crop and, consequently, exports, the rapeseed export ratio continued to expand, reaching an absolute record of 96.3% in the 2010/11 season. In 2012/13 season, this situation is explained by high carryover stocks. In 2011/12, because of unfavorable market conditions, Ukrainian traders refused to export rapeseed at loss and kept it in reserves, which were carried over into 2012/13 season. High carryovers are the reason why exports of rapeseed exceeded its production by almost 6% and amounted to 106%. Diagram 3.19 Table 3.6. Ukraine: Rapeseed production and export, KMT Production Export Export-tooutput ratio, % 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 1420 1204 1203 1270 2353 2206 84,8 105,6 94 The key reasons for such high exports include the absence of any export restrictions (duties, export quotas), low domestic crushing, and strong demand from the EU biodiesel industry. To load permanently expanding crushing capacities, the European Union countries boosted rapeseed growing significantly, but this turned out to be insufficient. This forced the Union to import rapeseed. The proximity of the markets, considerable saving on transportation, lower prices made Ukraine the key supplier of rapeseed to the European market. The range of Ukraine’s rapeseed export destination countries has been unchanged for many seasons now. The lion’s share of Ukrainian export rapeseed goes to the EU and a minor portion to Turkey. Diagram 3.20 Table 3.7. EU’s share in Ukrainian rapeseed exports, KMT Exports total Exports to EU MT/% 2011/12 1204 2012/13 1270 2013/14 803/67 1107/87 1687/76 2206 The EU accounted for nearly 40-50% of Ukraine’s rapeseed exports in the period from 2004/05 to 2007/08. The EU share grew to 87% in 2008/09 and to 87,2% in 2012/13. Among the EU countries, Poland, the Netherlands, France, Belgium and Germany should be distinguished as they receive over 72% of all rapeseed exported to the EU. In the coming years the demand for Ukrainian rapeseed will in many respects depend on the EU biodiesel industry development outlook. This season’s problems arisen with rapeseed sales to Europe will most likely cause the export flows to switch to new destinations, in particular to China. This country alone imports over 1 MMT of rapeseed a year. The unique location of Ukraine’s ports and their proximity to the key market of Europe make Ukrainian goods much more competitive. That is why much of the rapeseed is shipped through ports. Table 3.8. Ukraine: Rapeseed exports, KMT Total exports Exports through ports Share of exports through ports 2011/12 1204 708 59% 2012/13 1270 968 76% 2013/14 2225 2090 94% Ukraine’s commercial seaports handling most of rapeseed include Odessa, Ilyichevsk, Nikolayev, Kherson. In addition, minor rapeseed volumes are exported through ports such as Ochakiv, Berdyansk and others. Diagram 3.21 Key oilseeds exporters The main exporters of Ukrainian oilseeds are big Ukrainian and international companies. Usually, they possess with a net of forwarder and representative offices in almost all the regions of the country. This allows handling large oilseeds batches to Black Sea ports. Their positions in the overall rating vary from season to season, but the top five remain actually unchanged. Table 3.9. The main oilseeds exporters in 2013/14 season Sunseed Soybean 1 Nibulon, Ltd, Nikolaev Kernel, Ltd, Kiev 2 Interexport Trade, Ltd, Donetsk Serna, PII, Kiev 3 Avanty, PC, Kherson Cargill, CJSC, Kiev Serna, PII, Kiev Nibulon, Ltd, Nikolaev Cargill, CJSC, Kiev Klov, Ltd, Kiev Bunge, Kiev 4 5 AFH Trade, Ltd, Dnipropetrovsk Rodina, Ltd, Dnepropetrovsk reg. Rapeseed Nibulon, Ltd, Nikolaev A.C. Toepfer Int Ukraine, Ltd, Kiev Linseed Syaivo, Ltd PVKF, Chernigov reg. Lasoshchi, Ltd, IvanoFrankovsk reg. Tid TD, Ltd, Odessa reg. Agrosindikat, Ltd, Odessa reg. Hors Group, Ltd, Odessa 6 Grain-Export, Ltd, Odessa reg. Hors Group, Ltd, Odessa Myronivskiy Hliboproduct, CJSC, Kiev 7 Averazh, PC, Kherson Tep Transco, Ltd, Cherkassy reg. Rise, CJSC, Kiev 8 UPK, Ltd, Kherson Melagrain, Ltd, Kiev Ukrselko, Ltd, Kiev 9 Zernotrade grup, Ltd, Kiev State Food and Grain Corporation of Ukraine, PJSC, Kiev Lutsky feed plant, Ltd, Volyn reg. Delta Wilmar SIC, Ltd, Odessa reg. 10 Spetszovnishkomplect, PC, Kirovograd reg. Kyivkhlib, JSC, Kyiv Promin Agro, Ltd, Kiev Syntez Grup i K, Ltd, Odessa Ramburs, CJSC, Kiev Fruktovyi Svit, Ltd, Khmelnitsk Anna Maria, Ltd, Odessa State regulation of foreign trade operations At present there are no export duties on soybean and rapeseed in Ukraine. As to sunseed and linseed, from January 2010 export duty for these commodities is 10%. FAT-AND-OIL INDUSTRY AND ITS DEVELOPMENT PROSPECTS Development trends in Ukraine’s fat-and-oil industry Strong sunflower oil demand from both domestic and global markets and stable abundant sunflower seed crops in Ukraine have stimulated a substantial boost in crushing capacities over the last years. These capacities expanded by 275% to 8.25 MMT of sunseeds a year by 2009/10 season from a bit more than 3 MMT seen before 2005/06. In the 2013/14 season, UkrAgroConsult estimates, sunseed processing capacities amounted to 13.2 MMT a year. Diagrams 3.22, 3.23 In 2007, Ukraine’s fat-and-oil industry comprised over 300 vegetable oil producers. It increasingly tended to production concentration year by year, which was reflected in a falling number of crushers. Mostly small mills with low capacity and low oil yield were driven out of the business. In the period of 2007-2013 the number of crushing companies decreased 32.5% to 220. Nevertheless, Ukraine has at its disposal significant raw material resources, with sunflower remaining the key oilseed crop for vegetable oil production. Diagram 3.24 Soybean and rapeseed crushing is still at a low level in Ukraine, as export of these crops is more profitable than processing them inside the country. Nevertheless, multiseeds equipment is installed at most of Ukraine’s oil extraction plants that actually allows processing sunflower seed as well as rapeseed and soybeans. The share of soybean processing by Ukraine’s crushers is very small compared to sunflower (about 3%), but soybean crushing expanded from 2006 to 2012 with a corresponding rise in soyoil and soymeal outputs. In Ukraine, rapeseed is processed largely by agricultural enterprises for own needs and fuel purposes. Industrial enterprises (oil-extraction plants) are not ready to compete with exporters for rapeseed purchases. One of the factors explaining the sluggish rape oil demand from Ukraine’s food industry is the only profitable use of rape oil in margarine production as an alternative to sunflower and palm oils. In addition, rape oil demand can be often showed by margarine producers who have invested in own oilextraction facilities in regions with limited rapeseed supply. In addition, industrial demand is not accompanied by the development of consumer demand: Ukrainian consumers have not got accustomed to using rape oil and still prefer sunflower oil. VEGOILS PRODUCTION TRENDS Sunoil Sunoil production in Ukraine following a steady upward trend. Production more than trebled between 2003 and 2012, from 1.2MMT in 2003 to 3.1 MMT in 2012/13. Sunoil output dropped slightly in 2004/05, 2007/08 and 2012/13 seasons, chiefly due to declines in the harvest. In 2013/14 season sunoil production reached a new high of 4.2 MMT (without oil mills) The bullish trend in Ukraine’s sunoil output will continue in the coming years. Diagram 3.25. Sunflower oil production Diagram 3.26. Top sunflower oil producers Ukraine’s top sunflower oil producers include a limited number of industrial groups. These major groups account for some 85-87% of all crude sunflower oil produced in Ukraine. Large industrial groups own over half of production capacities in the Ukrainian fat-and-oil sector and their share in total output increases from year to year. Table 3.10. Ukraine: Sunflower seed crushing capacities of major industrial groups, KMT/year Company group Kernel Cargill Creative Privat Myronivsky Hliboproduct Glencore Vioil Bunge Noble Delta Wilmar Total Others Grand total 2002/03 585 350 120 329 230 250 256 2120 480 2600 2007/08 1437 930 160 329 180 230 310 870 4446 1689 6135 2012/13 2575 1033 1050 863 747 518 448 415 7649 3622 11271 2013/14 2575 1033 1050 863 747 518 1050 415 500 400 9151 4017 13168 According to UkrAgroConsult, a leading development trend of Ukraine’s oil-extraction industry in 2001-2013 was expanding capacities of most crushers. Almost 70% of sunflower seed crushing in Ukraine is accounted for by 13 major crushers with a daily capacity of over 1 KMT. About 17.3% of crushing is carried out by companies with a daily capacity of 500 to 1000 MT. The highest level of production capacity utilization at crushers with an over 1000 MT daily capacity also proves advantages of large-scale production in Ukraine’s fat-and-oil industry from the viewpoint of production efficiency. Soybean oil Soy oil production in Ukraine has a sustainable growth trend. From 2009 to 2012 soybean oil production rose by almost 2.3 times. In 2013/14 soybean oil production reached the new record of 140 KMT. So, production expanded by 40% for the last season alone. Notwithstanding that soybean oil is the second vegetable oil in Ukraine after sunflower, its share in the whole production is miserable. In 2012/13 season, share of soybean oil in vegetable oils production accounts to only 3% in Ukraine. In our opinion, this indicator will increase simultaneously with soy processing. Increase in soy oil production is mainly connected to the demand in soymeal. Considering the positive forecast of further soymeal demand development in Ukraine, it is fair to say that soybean oil production will also grow rapidly. In Ukraine, soybeanoil are currently produced at two large specialized oil extractors – ProteinProduction (Kirovohrad region) and Kakhovka Protein Agro (Kherson region) – and ten oil-pressing plants. Among the latter, noteworthy are Tegra Ukraine Ltd., LLC UkrSoya, System Company, private enterprise Zernoprodukt and Kyiv-Atlantic Ukraine. Apart from the specialized plants, it is only one combined facility – Polohy FOP – that processes soybeans. About 67% of soybean oil producing is accounted for by the four companies: Kakhovka Protein Agro (28%), Protein Production (16%), System Company (13%), and Thegra Ukraine (10%). Diagrams 3.27, 3.28 Rapeseed oil production Rapeseed crushing is still at a low level in Ukraine, as export of this crop is more profitable than processing them inside the country. In Ukraine, rapeseed is processed largely by agricultural enterprises for own needs and fuel purposes. Industrial enterprises (oil-extraction plants) are not ready to compete with exporters for rapeseed purchases. Nevertheless, multiseeds equipment is installed at most of Ukraine’s oil extraction plants that actually allows processing sunflower seed as well as rapeseed. Diagram 3.29 One of the factors explaining the sluggish rape oil demand from Ukraine’s food industry is the only profitable use of rape oil in margarine production as an alternative to sunflower and palm oils. In addition, rape oil demand can be often showed by margarine producers who have invested in own oilextraction facilities in regions with limited rapeseed supply. In addition, industrial demand is not accompanied by the development of consumer demand: Ukrainian consumers have not got accustomed to using rape oil and still prefer sunflower oil. The Vinnytsya and Chernivtsi fat-and-oil plants became the top rape producers in 2013/14. Both plants belong to Vioil Group. This company’s share in overall output came to 54%. About 7% of rape oil is accounted for by GradOliya’s new plant and almost 4% by Nizhyn Fat Plant. Meal/cake production trends The main oilseed meals produced and consumed in Ukraine are sunflower meal and soybean meal. The rape meal produced in Ukraine in small amounts is largely in no active demand and mostly exported to the neighboring countries. Overall, the behavior of vegetable meal/cake production reflects a positive trend in the last decade. About 3.2-3.6 MMT of cakes and meals were produced in Ukraine during 2010/11-2012/13 seasons against 1.3 MMT in 2003/04. The key meal in the production pattern is sunflower meal with its share reaching 85-93% in depend of season. Diagram 3.30 Sunflower meal/cake Growth of sunflower meal production in Ukraine is driven by a set of factors, including a substantial sunflower acreage expansion in recent years with a corresponding sunseed crop increase, and a buildup of sunseed crushing capacities. Sunflower meal/cake output reached 2.9MMT in 2012/13, or up 2.3 times from 2003/04 season. In 2013/14 sunmeal/cake production increased3.9 MMT due to hikes in both sunseed crop and sunoil output because of strong demand for the latter. Domestic consumption of sunmeal varies up and down within 1000 KMT. The reason is price and quantitative dependencies of the meal and feed grain markets. Gradual growth of sunmeal production and limited domestic sales of this product causes Ukraine to turn from a consumer into an exporter. The market has gradually become an export-oriented one. Diagram 3.31 Soybean meal/cake The main product of processed soy is meal, ratio of which is almost 80%. Until 2007, soymeal production was mostly performed by oil-making workshops (small plants) or directly by poultry plants having their own capacities. The entrance of big specialized plants to the market forced most of these little uncompetitive enterprises to cease production. Since 2007, soymeal production in Ukraine started growing at a high pace. The main stimulus for active development of soymeal production was growing demand from compound feed producers. In 2013/14 season soybean meal production increase is particularly noticeable. The record soybean crop obtained in 2013 allowed increasing soymeal production to 600 KMT. Diagram 3.32 The absence of soybean export limitations in Ukraine results in outflow of the raw materials for soymeal production (60% of soybean crop is exported). But according to our opinion, the growing trend in soymeal market will persist in the future. Until 2005, consumption pattern was as follows: more than 60% accounted for imported soymeal and 40% - domestic soya meal; in 2012 this balance changed to 3% against 97% respectively. This trend continues in 2013/14 season. Diagrams 3.33, 3.34 Soymeal consumption structure in 2005/06 Soymeal consumption structure in 2013/14 Rape meal/cake Similarly to all the meals, the main use of rape meal is for feed purposes. Although rape meal has a lower nutrient content than soybean meal, the former is used as a feed additive for raising poultry mostly on household farms. Due to a biodiesel boom in Ukraine in 2006-2008, facilities for making biodiesel from rapeseed were installed on some farms. Their capacity is small and the rape cake obtained there is immediately fed to local livestock. Rape meal is actually not used for feeding poultry on a large scale. Diagram 3.35 FOREIGN ECONOMIC ACTIVITY Dynamics of vegoils and meals export shipments. Export destinations Sunoil Ukraine it the world’s top sunflower oil exporter, meeting roughly 58% of global demand for this product. The country is ranked with a wide lead over Russia and Argentina, whose shares equal 20.6 and 9%, respectively. Diagrams 3.36, 3.37 Source: USDA As domestic consumption of sunflower oil in Ukraine has been staying at a stable level of 500 - 550 KMT for many years, the main outlet for selling this product is export. Sunflower oil exports from Ukraine continue to expand at a fast pace. In 2013/14 season Ukraine exported4.2 MMT of sunoil.The primary reason for the boom in Ukrainian sunflower oil export is increasing demand from the world market. The exported share of Ukraine’s total sunflower oil production increases steadily. Over 80% of sunflower oil produced in Ukraine was shipped abroad in 2011-2013 compared to 54% in 2004/05. Diagrams 3.38, 3.39 The range of sunflower oil export destinations is quite wide: this commodity was shipped to 63 countries in 2012/13, including Europe, North Africa and the Near East. The export destinations of Ukrainian sunoil have changed dramatically over the last seasons. Prior to 2007, the top buyers were the EU (with its share reaching 52%), the CIS (17%) and Turkey (10%). In 20013/14, the bulk of export sunflower oil is destined for India (40%), China (13%), Egypt (8%), Iran (5%) and Turkey (3%). These countries purchased insignificant sunflower oil volumes before. The EU share fell to 18%. Table 3.11. Ukraine: Sunoil production and export, KMT Production Export Export-to-output ratio, % 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 3835 3239 84.5 3650 3243 88.8 4650 4163 89.5 The unique location of the Ukrainian ports and their proximity to the key markets of Europe, the Near East and North Africa give Ukrainian vegetable oil a substantial advantage as much of the commodity is shipped by sea. The share of vegetable oil exported through seaports gradually increases compared to other modes of transport. The share of ports in sunflower oil export has sharply increased over the last five seasons. While the Black Sea ports accounted for 59% of total sunflower oil export in 2007/08, in the 2013/14 season their share expanded to 97%. Table 3.12. Sunflower oil exports from Ukraine, Diagram 3.40 KMT Exports total Exports through ports Share of exports through ports 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 3239 3243 4163 3034 3059 4022 93,7 94,3 96,6 Traditionally, about half of export sunflower oil is shipped through the port of Illichivsk. However, its share shrank from 58% in 2009/10 to 35% in the 2013/14 season. The shares of the ports of Mykolaiv, Berdyansk and Kherson fell, too. At the same time, Dnipro-Bugsky port boosted sunflower oil handling with the port’s share reaching 19% in 2013/14 season. This happened owing to an expanded handling capacity of the terminal of UkrPishcheSbytSyryo. The port of Yuzhny also increased its share from 2% in 2009/10 to 17% in 2013/14. Soybean oil Soybean oil exports are negligible in comparison with sunflower oil. But in the recent times the amount of soy oil exports grows well. In 2003/04 MY exports totaled to 3 KMT only, and in 2012/13 Ukraine supplied more than 69 KMT to the foreign markets. So, during 2003-2012 exports increased by more than 23 times.In 2013/14 season the growing trend persists. During 6 months of 2013/14 season Ukrainian companies shipped abroad 45.4 KMT of soya oil. This is 27% more than during the same rime of 2012/13 MY. We project soybean oil exports to come at 90 KMT in 2013/14 season. Diagram 3.41 Table 3.13. Share of exports in soybean oil production, KMT Production Exports Exports share, % 2011/12 54.8 48.4 2012/13 83.1 69.3 2013/14 107 90 88.3 83.4 84.1 In the current season soybean oil exports share in production will total to 84.1%.This means that almost the whole amount of soya oil produced at the crushing plants is being shipped abroad. Relatively high exports ratio is explained by strong export demand, high world prices for this product, and moderate domestic demand, as Ukrainian consumers prefer sunflower oil. The rest of soy oil is used by Ukrainian fat-and-oil enterprises for margarine production, replacing more expensive sunoil. In the recent years the leading positions among the purchasers of Ukrainian soya oil belonged to EU with 70% of amount shipped to this destination. Except EU, among the main consumers of soy oil from Ukraine is Belarus. However, this country’s share has been gradually shrinking in recent years. Diagram 3.42 Table 3.14. Ukraine: Share of exports in soybean oil production, KMT Exports total Exports through ports Share of exports through ports 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 48.4 69.3 90 88.3 83.4 84.1 Rapeseed oil Due to Ukraine’s low production of rapeseed oil, its exports are also low, varying from season to season. The smallest volume (0.25 KMT) was exported in 2010/11 season and the largest (36.4 KMT) in 2008/09. Against the background of high rapeseed exports in 2013/14, rapeseed oil is exported actively, too. Moreover, September’s oil exports hit an all-time high of 20.6 KMT. Ukraine exported 55 KMT of rapeseed oil in the first 8 months of the season (July-February). We forecast Ukrainian rapeseed oil exports to total 60 KMT in 2013/14 against last season’s 4 KMT. This will be a new historical record. As a rule, the key importers of Ukrainian rape oil are European countries such as Portugal, the Netherlands, the Baltic States and Spain. They absorb actually 99% of Ukrainian rape oil exports. An interesting feature of 2013/14 was a new destination market – India – accessed by Ukrainian rape oil. This country accounted for 6.2% in the total export volume of rapeseed oil. As rapeseed crushing expands, Ukrainian rape oil exports will most likely grow as well, because rape oil is not actually consumed inside the country. The export share in its out put equals 98%. Diagram 3.43, 3.44 Key oil and meals/cake exporters The main oil/meals exporters in Ukraine are large Ukrainian and multinational companies. Mostly, they have a network of forwarding agents and representative offices in almost all the regions of the country. This allows delivering big oil parcels to the Black Sea ports. The top ten of exporters remains actually unchanged throughout the last 3-4 seasons. Since 2010, the first-ranked company in exporting sunflower oil through ports is Kernel Trade and Cargill. In 2012/13 season the top five also included Creative, Alfa Trading, Glencore. These five companies are currently responsible for about 60% of vegetable oil exports through ports and the top ten accounts for over 81% of export shipments. Table 3.15. The main oils exporters in 2013/14 season Soyoil Kahovka Protein-Agro, Ltd, Kiev 1 Rapeoil Crude sunoil ViOil, Ltd, Vinnitsa Kernel, Ltd, Kiev Cargill, CJSC, Kiev Kreativ, CJSC, Kirovograd Mayola TD, PC, Lvov Bessarabia-V, PC, Odessa AllianceMarket, Ltd, Kiev Cargill, CJSC, Kiev Myronivskiy Hliboproduct, CJSC, Kiev 2 Kreativ, CJSC, Kirovograd Globynskyi pererobnyi zavod, Ltd, Poltava 3 4 Thegra Ukraine Ltd, Kiev 5 Tep Transco, Ltd, Cherkassyr 6 Antaresagro, Ltd, Zaporozhye 7 Astarta-Kyiv, Ltd, Kiev 8 Agropartner, Ltd, Chernigov UkrOliya, Ltd, Poltava Pologivskiy MEZ, CJSC, Zaporozhye 9 10 VMP, Ltd, Volyn Agrotekhnika, Ltd, Lutsk NizhynskiyZhK, OJSC, Chernigov ViOil, Ltd, Vinnitsa Agrocosm/Optimus, Ltd, Dnepropetrovsk Serna, PII, Kiev Bunge, Kiev Bessarabia-V, PC, Odessa ADM Ukraine, Ltd, Kiev Bottled sunoil Kernel, Ltd, Kiev Kreativ, CJSC, Kirovograd Mayola TD, PC, Lvov Bunge, Kiev Viktor i K, PC, Kirovograd Pologivskiy MEZ, CJSC, Zaporozhyereg. UkrOliya, Ltd, Poltava TepTransco, Ltd, Cherkassy ViOil, Ltd, Vinnitsa FirmaKomplekt, Ltd, Kirovograd Table 3.16. The main oils exporters in 2013/14 season 1 2 3 4 Soymeal Kahovka Protein-Agro, Ltd, Kiev Stela-Kirovogradstroyi, PC, Kirovograd Krymskavodochnakompaniya, Ltd, Crimea Pologivskiy MEZ, CJSC, Zaporozhyereg. 5 6 7 8 9 10 Mayola TD, PC, Lvov Serna, PII, Kiev Persha Logistychna Kompaniya, Zhytomyr TepTransco, Ltd, Cherkassy Kreativ, CJSC, Kirovograd Agrotekhnika, Ltd, Lutsk Rapemeal ViOil, Ltd, Vinnitsa Sunmeal Kernel, Ltd, Kiev Cargill, CJSC, Kiev Cargill, CJSC, Kiev Bessarabia-V, PC, Odessareg. Kreativ, CJSC, Kirovograd Agrocosm/Optimus, Ltd, Dnepropetrovsk AllianceMarket, Ltd, Kiev PershaLogistychnaKompaniya, Zhytomyrreg. Mayola TD, PC, Lvov NizhynskiyZhK, OJSC, Chernigov Agrotekhnika, Ltd, Lutsk ATK-Dnipro, PC, Zaporozhye ViOil, Ltd, Vinnitsa Bunge, Kiev Bessarabia-V, PC, Odessa ADM Ukraine, Ltd, Kiev Pologivskiy MEZ, CJSC, Zaporozhye Dniprooliya, Ltd, Dnepropetrov Table 3.17. The main cakes exporters in 2013/14 season 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Soycake TepTransco, Ltd, Cherkassy Kyiv-Atlantic Ukraine, Kiev Zernoproduct, PC, Donetsk. Serna, PII, Kiev ATK-Dnipro, PC, Zaporozhye UkrOliya, Ltd, Poltava Interzernotorg, Ltd, Kiev Rapecake Agrotekhnika, Ltd, Lutsk Alliance Market, Ltd, Kiev NizhynskiyZhK, OJSC, Chernigov Melagrain, Ltd, Kiev VMP, Ltd, Volyn Ptakhokompleks Gubyn, Ltd, Volyn ATK-Dnipro, PC, Zaporozhye Kompania-Agroinvest, Ltd, Cherkassy 9 10 Suncake Kernel, Ltd, Kiev Dniprooliya, Ltd, Dnepropetrovsk Fozzi-Food, Ltd, Kiev Dnepr-2, Kherson Yugagrotrade, PC, Kherson BioilUniversalUkraina, Ltd, Odessa UPK, Ltd, Kherson GranTerra, Ltd, Kiev Agrosvit, APK Ltd, Kharkiv Zinkivskiy combikormoviy zavod, CJSC, Poltava State regulation of foreign trade operations At present there are no export duties on all vegoils and meals/cakes in Ukraine. Key exporters of sunoil/meal/cake Kernel The business of the Company is divided into six business units • • • • • • Sunflower oil in bulk – No. 1 sunflower oil producer and exporter from the Black Sea region. Sunflower oil business comprises the origination and processing of sunflower seed into crude sunflower oil and protein meal in Ukraine. Both oil and meal are marketed primarily on the international market. Bottled sunflower oil – No. 1 bottled oil producer and marketer in Ukraine: Operations in bottled oil segment comprise the processing of crude sunflower oil into refined oil, followed by bottling of the refined oil. Primary market is Ukraine, where we sell bottled oil mainly under the Company’s own brands either directly to the largest retailers, or through regional distributors. Grain – Leading grain exporter in Ukraine: Kernel operates as a leading grain supply chain manager linking farmers in Ukraine to international markets. Export terminals – Leading provider of grain, oil and meal transshipment and export services: Kernel provides grain handling and transshipment services both internally and to third parties through Transbulkterminal, the second largest grain export terminal in Ukraine, owned and operated by Kernel since June 2008. Oil handling and transshipment services are provided through Oiltransterminal in Mykolaiv to Kernel exclusively. Silo services – Largest privately-owned network of grain silos in Ukraine: Kernel provides 2.8 million tons of grain and oilseed storage capacity to the farming industry in Ukraine. Farming – Large scale agricultural production: Kernel farms 400,000 hectares of prime farm land, primarily in the central and central-western parts of Ukraine, which provide unique soil quality, short distances to storage and production assets of the Group, and fast export routes through Black Sea export terminals. Creative Creative Group is a leading Ukrainian integrated agro-industrial company, one of the largest processors of agricultural products in Ukraine , which is engaged in production of sunflower oil and meal, fats and margarines, soybean oil and meal, biofuel pellets and also agriculture – crop production and livestock farming. Strategy of Creative Group provides dynamic development of key business directions, increasing of production capacity, and also improving of financial results of company and additional capital raising in business of the Group. At the Ukrainian market Group now is one of the leaders in production of fats and margarines (with market share of over 30%) and is among 3 top Ukrainian processors of sunflower seeds, and also is one of the leading companies of soybean processing on installed capacities (with share market about 24%). The Group includes own production facilities, in particular 9 plants located in Kirovograd region: • 3 sunflower seed processing plants with a total capacity of about 1,1 million tons per year; • 4 plants for production of modified fats and margarines with production capacity of over 200 thousand tons of finished products; • plant for soybean processing with capacity of about 270 thousand tons per year; • agricultural enterprises: plant for the production of pellets, crop farms, livestockbreeding complex; • 8 elevator complexes in Kirovograd, Nikolayev, Kiev, Dnipropetrovsk and Sumy regions. Group also operates a land bank of 30 thousand hectares involved under agriculture. total annual Creative Group sells its products both to industrial companies and among end-consumers. Group’s enterprises producing non-brand products and also products under TM "Sonola", TM "Delikon" TM "Divnoe", TM "Mum." Group sells its products in all regions of Ukraine and exported it to more than 25 countries of the world. MHP MHP’s group of companies holds an indisputable leading position in the Ukrainian meat market. Strong growth in all business profiles is a strategic goal of the company. MHP is • • • One of the leading poultry producers in Europe with one of the strongest food brands in Ukraine One of the biggest grain producers in Ukraine The biggest processed meat producer in Ukraine MHP’s land portfolio covers 9 Ukrainian provinces. The Company operates one of the largest land banks in Ukraine - 320,000 hectares - growing corn, sunflowers, wheat and rape. The corn and sunflower seeds are used in our fodder mills; the wheat, rape and soya are sold to third parties. In 2013 MHP acquired its first asset outside Ukraine, in the Voronezh region of Russia. This comprises 40,000 hectares of land, 200,000 m³ of silos for grain storage and assorted machinery. The company employs more than 30,000 people in 30 plants. MHP is a market leader in meat processing in Ukraine with share of about 10%. MHPis a leader in the Ukrainian poultry market, with a market share of around 54% of industrially produced poultry. The also account for 35% of domestic consumption with one of the strongest Ukrainian food brands Nasha Riaba. ViOil Established in early 1992, ViOil Company is now one of leading sunflower oil manufacturer in the Ukraine. Oil and fat business has been restructured and is known as Vioil Company since 2006. The Company needed restructuring to enhance business transactions, expand business relations with major business partners, customers and suppliers. This proved that the company is here today to flexibly and timely respond to all and any requests from our clients. Specialized in production and wholesale of the following: - Vegetable oil (sunflower, rapeseed and soybean oil); Vegetable fats; Meal; Pellets; Oil acids. Sunflower oil is extensively used in food industry of many countries. Company is engaged in activity not only in the territory of the Ukraine but also in the areas in Russia and Europe. Founded to manufacture sunflower oil in various forms, ViOil exports to China, India, Egypt and other countries to meet customers’ requirements. Today Vioil industrial group comprises of two oil-and-fat product manufacturers, namely Vinnitsa and Chernovtsy oil and fat production plants. The total processing capacity of plants is up to 1 000 000 tons of sunflower seeds per year. Apart from manufacturing vegetable oils, we can offer to our clients such services as trading in cereal crops and seeds of oil-plants. Vioil Company owns thirteen elevators with the total storage capacity about 360 000 tons (in wheat equivalent). Agrocosm/Optimus Group of companies operates under the brand name "Optimus" - a leading the Ukrainian agroindustrial company, one of the largest processors of agricultural products in the Ukraine, which is engaged in the production of sunflower oil, meal and husk. The company is in the top 5 Ukrainian sunflower seed processors installed capacity at the Ukrainian market. Finished products are sold to the final consumer not only on the domestic market of Ukraine, but also on foreign markets. Agrocosm company, monthly, sells 30 thousand tons of sunflower oil and 27 thousand tons of sunflower meal and up to 7 thousand tons of granulated sunflower husk on terms: DAF / CPT / FOB / CIF. Optimus brings together under its brand large private network of elevators in the Ukraine, with a total capacity of simultaneous storage of more than 1.2 million tons of grain. Interaction with producers of agricultural products, allowing the company to maintain a leading position on the market of seeds and food processing. Today the company has over 1800 employees. Bessarabia-V The main activity of the company is processing oilseeds, as well as wholesale products of their processing, such as: refined sunflower and rapeseed oil, sunflower meal, as well as pellets from sunflower husks. One of the main advantages of the factory is output to the port on the river. Danube and the Black Sea, as well as the ability to login barges, and ships in port capacity up to 6 tons and 3 tons of loading oil and meal per day. Favorable climatic conditions contribute to high agro-development in the region. The average annual harvest of sunflower is 150 thousand tons., 300 tonnes of rape., 450 thousand tons of wheat, 700 tonnes of barley, 200 tonnes of maize. Currently capacity is 600-800 tons per day. The overall performance of the enterprise for processing raw materials is - 252 000 tonnes of seeds per year. The annual production volume of 108,360 tons of oil, 98,280 tons of meal and 18,150 tons of pellets. For the production of waste there is a line in the granulation sunflower husk pellets - pellets. Performance of this line is 130 tons per day. The quality of raw materials and finished products is certified laboratory control "Bessarabia-V", equipped with all necessary modern equipment. Factory has elevator floor storage capacity of 30 000 tonnes of sunflower, as well as 10,000 tons of meal. Enterprise services are provided free of charge acceptance, undermining and storage of agricultural products, followed by priority right to buy PE "Bessarabia-V". Pology Pology Oil Extraction Plant PJSC ("Pology") is one of the largest vegetable oil and meal producers in Ukraine founded in 1974. The main goal has always been to manufacture high quality products that meet consumer requirements. Today, the plant represents an integrated complex of production and ancillary departments that process, or support processing of, sunflower, soybean, and rape seeds. Pology features full oil-bearing crop processing cycle: from receipt, storage, and preconditioning of seeds to complete oil purification and subsequent packaging. The plant’s organization includes the following main departments: preparatory, oil extraction, oil refining, and oil packaging. Plant has its own storage facilities for raw materials and finished products: 75,000-ton seed elevator, 4500-ton meal elevator, 22,000-ton oil tank yard, and a finished products storage facility. The main production facilities are supported by ancillary departments and services: power supply, rail transport, motor transport, production equipment maintenance, local treatment facilities, controlling and measuring instrumentation and automatic control service. State-of-the-art equipment, advanced technologies, the latest control methods, and management systems are the key factors contributing to the plant’s consistently high-quality product output. The plant’s production processes are fully compliant with ISO 9001:2008 requirements, which allows us to meet the needs of our customers to the fullest extent possible. Pology manufactures and sells the following products: - sunflower, soybean, and rapeseed oils in bulk; - sunflower oil in polyethylene bottles; - sunflower, soybean, and rapeseed meal; - sunflower, soybean, and rapeseed phosphatide concentrate. Pology produces bottled P-grade refined deodorized winterized and high-grade unrefined winterized sunflower oil under own trademarks (Slavia and Smachna Kraplia) and other private labels for the leading retail chains and large distribution companies. Today, Pology is the national leader in terms of quality of sunflower meal. Our company is the only producer of sunflower meal in Ukraine that guarantees protein content in dry matter of at least 42%. Oliyar/Mayola Oliyar was established in 2003. In 2005, renovation of refining and deodorization capacities was performed, new processes of winterization, filtration, and packaging were implemented, and new packaging facility was built. High degree of automation, as well as strict quality controls by Siemens' advanced computerized system and specialized software, guarantees compliance with the European standards of the manufacturing process. Adoption of the state-of-the-art refinement technology ensures production of carcinogen-free sunflower oil. Certified laboratory located on-site has implemented the three-tier system of quality control enabling it to maintain continuous quality supervision beginning with raw material and culminating with the final product. At the first level, analysis of raw material takes place; at the second, every two hours raw material being processed is inspected; finally, at the third level of quality control, each lot of finished product is sampled and tested. Refined sunflower oil by Oliyar is used as raw material by leading Ukrainian companies to produce such products as mayonnaise, sauces, snacks etc. The company operates its own fleet of specialized tankers to deliver refined sunflower oil to its corporate customers. With a production capacity of 300 tons per day, Oliyar positioned itself as one of the three leading producers of refined sunflower oil in Ukraine. Every year the company increases its production capacity, and is currently working on installing new equipment and modernizing several aspects of its production process to reflect the latest technological advancements. Private enterprise "Viktor & K" Private enterprise "Viktor & K" was established in December 1992 as a company engaged in wholesale and retail trade and catering. In 1998, construction began on the plant for processing sunflower seeds capacity of 30 tons for one shift. In 2001, the plant was put into operation by the State Technical Commission. In February 2002, registered trade mark (Royal Taste) under her production company produced "Viktor & K". Since March 2002, put into operation bottling line of sunflower oil in bottles. Sunflower oil begins to be in demand from the population. Center for Independent expert "Test" appreciated the quality of the production: the results of comparative testing of 24 brands of sunflower oil products of TM Royal Taste received the highest rating of "excellent." In 2002, the plant was put into effect for the production of mayonnaise. Starting power was two tons for 1 shift. To date, this figure increased to 30 tons per shift. Produced 11 types of different fat mayonnaise and various convenient packages weighing from 180 to 5000 gramm. Today PE "Viktor & K" - a powerful and responsible manufacturer of such product groups as mayonnaise, sunflower oil, catsup, mustard, butter, spreads, vinegar, tomato sauces, halva, pasta, canned peas, corn and so on. UKROLIYA "UKROLIYA" LLC is the company which produces high-quality, ecologically pure and safety products of the European level. LLC "UKROLIYA" is the modern and high-technology industrial complex which specializes in sunflower seeds processing. Year of its foundation is 2001. Capacities of the factory are located in the environmentally pristine region of Ukraine, Poltava Region, in urban settlement of Dikanka and town of Zenkov. Core business of the company is production and sale of the packed and bulk sunflower oil, sunflower cake, and peeling. Packed sunflower oil produced by the company "UKROLIYA" LLC is sold under the registered trademarks “Dikanka”, “Khutorok”, “Maslinka”, and “GARNA” which have a wide product line. Table 3.18. Contact details of main sunoil/meal exporters Company Kernel Address Tel. Fax. 3 Tarasa Shevchenka lane, Kyiv, 01001 (+38-044) 461-88-01 (+38-044) 461-88-64 E-mail investor_relations @kernel.ua Web-site http://www.kernel. ua/ mail@creativegrou p.ua [email protected] a [email protected] m.ua http://www.creativ egroup.ua/activities http://www.mhp.c om.ua (+38-044) 461-88-04 Creative MHP Kirovograd, Promislovyi Prospect, 19 Tel.: +38 (0522) 3571-71, +38 044 207 0000 Head office 38 044 207 0002 ViOil 26 Nemyrivske shosse Vinnytsia, 21034 HEADQUARTERS tel. /fax: 38 (0432) 509-600, 38 (0432) 509-601 Agrocosm/Optimus 122, Geroyiv Stalingrada St., tel. + 38 056 789 99 80, Bessarabia-V Dnipropetrovsk city, 49033 68600, Izmail, Bolgrad highway, № 8 Pology Oliyar/Mayola Viktor & K" E-mail: [email protected] http://www.vioil.co m/contact-us/ fax. +38 056 789 99 81 [email protected] om.ua , http://www.optimu s.com.ua/ +380675189494 Sales Manager and Purchases +380674882780 Head Manager FAX: +380484125574; http://bessarabiav.com/contacts_en. html Lomonosova Str. 36, Polohy city, Zaporizhia Oblast, 70600 81118, Ukraine, Lviv Region, Pustomytivskyi District, v. Stavchany. +38 0 (6165) 2-30-37 +38 0 (6165) 3-1100 E-Mail: bessarabiyav@mail. ru [email protected] et [email protected] [email protected] u [email protected] .ua +38 032 237 40 61 +38 032 242 17 00 +38 032 242 18 00 [email protected] [email protected] a Visotskogo Vlasivka Phone: +38 (05236) 6-05-02 Export department Department head – Vladimir Saltykov e-mail: [email protected] http://kingsmak.co m.ua/en/history [email protected] http://www.ukroliy a.com.ua/en/conta cts/ Svitlovodsk, Kirovograd 27552 UKROLIYA str. 2, region., Str.Sadovaya, 4, Cernechuy Yar, Dikanka District, Poltava Region, 38521 т./ф.: +38 (05236) 540-13 ReceptionTel./:Fax.: +38 (05351) 9-43-95, 9-79-06 http://mezpology.z p.ua/enter/lang/en / http://www.oliyar.c om.ua/ Table 3.19. Contact details of main rapeseed oil/meal exporters Company Address 26 Nemyrivske shosse Vinnytsia, 21034 Tel. HEADQUARTERS tel. /fax: 38 (0432) 509600, 38 (0432) 509-601 E-mail E-mail: [email protected] Web-site http://www.vioil.com/c ontact-us/ 68600, Izmail, Bolgrad highway, № 8 FAX: +380-4841-25574; +380675189494 - Sales Manager and Purchases +380674882780 - Head Manager http://bessarabiav.com Oliyar/Mayola 81118, Lviv Region, Pustomytivskyi District, v. Stavchany. +38 032 237 40 61 +38 032 242 17 00 +38 032 242 18 00 E-Mail: bessarabiyav@ma il.ru bessarabiav@ukr. net [email protected] [email protected] .ua «Nizhynsky Zhyrcombinat» 2, Prylutska Str, Nizhyn, Chernihiv Region, Ukraine, 16600 Tel.: +380 4631 314 31, +380 4631 310 79 [email protected] http://ngk.net.ua/conta cts.php ViOil Bessarabia-V http://www.oliyar.com. ua/ «Nizhynsky Zhyrcombinat» PSC «Nizhynsky Zhyrcombinat» was founded more than 115 years ago and has a broad experience in production of vegetable oil as well as paint and varnish products. PSC «Nizhynsky Zhyrcombinat» is multicultural Enterprise - it processes Sunflower Seeds, Rape Seeds, Flax Seeds, and Soybeans and exports vegetable oil to EU countries, Africa and Asia. More than 90% of manufactured production is exported abroad. Production capacity is about 100’000 metric tons of Oilseeds per year. The Enterprise is located on the 8 hectares area in Chernihiv region. In 2013 the Enterprise has constructed a new department and increased the capacity of Oilseed processing up to 280 metric tons a day. Now the project documentation for building of extraction department is preparing and coordinating with the public authorities. There is an elevator on the territory of the Enterprise. Its hoisting capacity is about twenty five thousand metric tons. The elevator is equipped with two modern and powerful driers. Currently new elevators with capacity of twenty thousand tons are being built. It will give an opportunity to keep simultaneously forty five thousand metric tons of Oilseeds. Table 3.20. Contact details of main soybean oil/meal exporters Company Kahovka Agro Address Tel. Protein- E-mail [email protected] Web-site http://en.kpagro.com.ua/co ntacts +3805549 71555 Thegra Ukraine 01015, Kiev, Staronavodnytska str., 13, office 126-G +38 044 569 12 22 [email protected]. ua http://www.thegra.com.ua Astarta-Kyiv 04070, Pochayninska 38/44 +380(44) 585 9494 +380(44) 462 5946 +380(50) 444 2511 http://www.astartakiev.com /en/index.htm Creative Kirovograd, Promislovyi Prospect, 19 Str.Sadovaya, 4, Cernechuy Yar, Dikanka District, Poltava Region, 38521 Lomonosova Str. 36, Polohy city, Zaporizhia Oblast, 70600 [email protected] m commerce@astartakie v.com e-mail: [email protected] +38 (05351) 9-4395, +38 (05351) 9-7906 [email protected] http://www.ukroliya.com.ua /en/contacts/ +38 0 (6165) 2-3037 [email protected] http://mezpology.zp.ua/ent er/lang/en/ UKROLIYA Pology Kiev, str., +38 (0522) 35-7171 http://www.creativegroup.u a/activities/ "Kakhovka Protein Agro" LLC Unique enterprise for monoculture processing in Ukraine. The newest equipment of the leading foreign manufactures: CHIEF (USA), CPM (USA), Mathews Company (USA), GSCOR (USA), Europa Crown Limited (GB). Production according to the international requirements. Processing capacity equals to 700 tons. Production of the soymeal equals up to 550 ton per day or up to 150 000 ton per year, production of soy oil – up to 150 ton per day or up to 40 000 ton per year The company owned silos that allow to store up to 40 000 ton of soy beans. Favorable location of the manufacture: a small distance to to transportation hubs (maritime terminal Kherson, Mikolayiv, Odesa, Illichivsk) and corridors (international highway Vienna-Reni-Odesa-Rostov-on-Don, Simferopol-Kyiv' highway) Modern grain and chemical laboratories guarantee permanent monitoring and control of incoming raw materials and quality of processed products. Production of soybean meal complies with the requirements of DSTU (National Standards of Ukraine) 4230:2003 Production of non-refined and degummed soybean oil complies with the requirements of DSTU (National Standards of Ukraine) 4534:2006. Soymeal is necessary component for high quality and high energy nutrient budget of all animal, poultry and fish species. Soymeal is the most energy and protein concentrated component for compound poultry feedstuff. Input of soymeal into compound feedstuff significantly improves the tasting quality of animals’ meat. “Astarta–Kyiv” Founded in 1993, “Astarta–Kyiv” is a vertically integrated agro-industrial holding specializing in sugar and agricultural production. It has proven to be a growing, transparent company, as well as a reliable partner and supplier. Our agricultural business focuses primarily on the cultivation of sugar beet, grains and oilseeds, the production of sugar and related products (molasses and granulated beet pulp), and milk and meat production. ASTARTA put soybean processing plant into operation in December 2013. At the same time ASTARTA actively implements bio projects. Therefore, production of biogas from beet pulp will be started at one of the Group’s sugar plants. Implementing a strategy of vertical integration, ASTARTA created a fully integrated production cycle of sugar from growing the beet to sugar production and sales. Growing sugar beets lowers dependence on the external supply of sugar beets, lowers the cost of produced sugar, and guarantees constant manufacturing and the highest possible yield and quality. ASTARTA implements a scientifically grounded approach to crop rotation. Main crops (outside of sugar beet) are wheat, barley, soybeans and maize. ASTARTA’s agricultural firms are equipped with highly efficient modern machinery with a fleet over 3000 units. Through the use of modern agricultural machinery, the application of progressive agricultural technologies, and optimum crop rotation, soil quality improves constantly and the yields of main crops increase consistently as well. Cattle breeding is a synergetic segment. ASTARTA is one of the biggest industrial milk producers in Ukraine. Over 31 thousand heads of cattle allow the Company to produce over 300 tons of milk per day. Our mission toward partnerships with our suppliers and consumers has enabled us to establish stable long-term business relationships with the leaders of the Ukrainian confectionary industry and with international agricultural traders, rewarding us with an impeccable credit history. The company’s priority is to expand its effective industrial base, promote energy conservation, further optimize logistics, and maximize export opportunities. “Thegra Ukraine LTD” “Thegra Ukraine LTD” Company is a daughter of Closed Joint-Stock Company Theeuwes Holding B.V. (Netherlands), which was founded in 1900. The holding’s main business activities are concentrated in agriculture and include the following directions: - international trade in grains, oilseeds, vegetable oils and compound feed components; - agricultural produce processing; - real estate. “Thegra Ukraine Company LTD” (from 1993 till 1997 worked as a representative office, from 1997 till today – as a daughter company) is engaged in the following economic activities in Ukraine: - purchase of oilseeds (soybeans, rapeseeds, linseeds) and their further processing into cake and oil; - trade in obtained products on domestic and international markets; - oilseeds, grains, sunflower meal and oil export. Key exporters of oilseeds Nibulon "NIBULON" is one of the largest domestic producers and exporters of agricultural products (wheat, barley, corn, rye, sunflower, etc.). In the process of development, the company gradually expands geography and scale of industrial activity. The company has 22 production units located in nine regions of Ukraine. "NIBULON" has its own facilities for storing and bringing agricultural products to merchantable condition, both at the company`s own subdivisions and at the enterprises, where the company is a shareholder. Nibulon has export terminal in Nikolaev port and own shipping company. Within the framework of the investment project “NIBULON” creates its own logistics system in order to reduce dependence on external factors, to decrease level of perils in economic operations. The construction of transshipment terminals which are located along rivers and its own fleet construction is an advantage for company. Rise/UkrLandFarming Rise is Ukrlanfarming division engaged in distribution of products and services. The Ukrlandfarming Group is an agricultural producer that sells its products both domestically and internationally. It is the largest Ukrainian vertically integrated agricultural holding company, managing 654 thousand hectares of black soilck. Ukrlanfarming’s land portfolio covers 22 Ukrainian provinces. The Ukrlandfarming Group ranks among the top-ten cropland operators in the world and holds the largest stock of arable land in Ukraine. The entity responsible for the production of eggs and dry egg products within the Group is Avangardco IPL, an agricultural holding company, which is the largest producer of chicken eggs and dry egg products in Eurasia and in Ukraine, with the second largest stock of laying hens in the world. Ramburs The main activity of the Ramburs Group is export of grains from Black Sea Ports (feed barley, feed wheat, milling wheat, corn, sunflower seeds, sunflower oil, soya beans, wheat flour and canola). Origination of grains and oilseeds is from Russia, Romania, Bulgaria, Serbia, Moldova as well as from Ukraine. The Ramburs Group also has its own grain elevators in central and southern regions of Ukraine. They buy the exportable grains from farmers truck by truck through the country, bring it to their grain elevators and ship this grain to over 50 countries around the globe loading vessels from 3000 MTs up to 75000 MTs. Since 2006 the Ramburs Group has developed poultry project “Indelika”. Today it is the largest turkey meat producer in Ukraine. This project integrates turkey farming, feed production, meat processing and product distribution within one company located next to Kiev. Promin-Agro "Promin Agro" is a young and rapidly growing company, a manufacturer of high-quality agricultural products, well-known on the Ukrainian market. Promin Agro grows wheat, buckwheat, corn, rape, barley, flax, lupine, soybeans, sunflower, rye in Kiev, Zhitomyr, Chernigiv, Khmelnitsk regions. "Promin Agro" successfully combines rich agricultural experience and advanced technological systems using a modern fleet of agricultural machines in order to maintain high product quality and ensure maximum efficiency of the company. In addition to growing crops they are also engaged in receiving, cleaning, drying and storage of grains and oilseeds. They create optimal conditions on their elevators as well as guarantee complete safety of products, arranging export shipments. Table 3.21. Contact details of main oilseed exporters Company NIBULON Address 63 Velyka Morska St., 54030 Mykolayiv, Ukraine Rise/UkrLandFa rming 121V Peremohy Av. Kyiv, Ukraine, 03115 20 Peremogy Av., Kyiv, Ukraine 1A Lybidska str., Kyiv, Ukraine Ramburs Promin-Agro Tel. +38 (0512) 37-2344, +38 (0512) 5804-04 +38 (044) 393 40 93 Fax. +38 (0512) 50-01-91, +38 (0512) 58-04-05 E-mail [email protected] a [email protected] a Web-site http://www.nibulon.com +38 (044) 393 40 94 [email protected] http://www.rise.ua +38 044 458 50 53 +38 (044) 406-92-75 +38 044 475 99 05 [email protected] m www.ramburs.com +38 (044) 406-93-59 http://prominagro.com.ua/ 4. MEAT AND MEAT PRODUCTS MARKET OVERVIEW Table 4.1. Ukraine: Key livestock indicators, September 01* 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Cattle inventory, КРC, Th head 1628.5 1556.7 1557.1 1502.4 1387.8 Hog inventory, Th head 3644.9 3519.7 3556.8 3803.5 3838.4 *here and hereinafter excluding Crimea Cattle inventory According to the State Statistics Service of Ukraine, farms of all types kept 4875.1 Th head of cattle on September 01, 2014. The total cattle population in Ukraine decreased 3.1% against September 01, 2013 (5,031.0 Th head on September 01, 2013). Regionally, as of September 01, 2014, the highest cattle inventories were available in the following regions: Vinnytsya – 333.9 Th head, Lviv – 323.2 Th head, Khmelnytsky – 272.7 Th head, Poltava – 297.9 Th head, Chernihiv – 246.9 Th head. The lowest cattle numbers were in the regions of Zaporizhzhia (138.4 Th head), Chernivtsi (131.6 Th head), and Luhansk (123.8 Th head). Diagram 4.1 Ukraine: Cattle inventory, 2010-2014 (Th head ) 5800 5300 4800 4300 3800 3300 2800 2300 1800 Jan 10 March 10 May 10 July 10 Sept 10 Nov 10 Jan 11 March 11 May 11 July 11 Sept 11 Nov 11 Jan 12 March 12 May 12 July 12 Sept 12 Nov 12 Jan 13 March 13 May 13 July 13 Sept 13 Nov 13 Jan 14 March 14 May 14 July 14 Sept 14 1300 Public sector The private sector Farms of all types *excluding Crimea since April 2014 The problems faced by this livestock sector include a shortage of beef cattle. In view of available favorable growing conditions and land, this is a promising area for investment in Ukraine’s livestock sector. Hog inventory Farms of all types held 8.151 Ml head of hogs on September 1, 2014. In August 2014, the highest numbers of hogs were kept on farms in the regions of Dnipropetrovsk (562.4 Th head), Kyiv (532.4 Th head), and Donetsk (603.9 Th head). The smallest hog population was available in Luhansk region (111.5 Th head). Compared with August 2013 (8.175 Ml head), hog inventories on farms of all types decreased 0.3%. Diagram 4.2 Ukraine: Hog inventory, 2010-2014 (Th head ) 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 Jan 10 March 10 May 10 July 10 Sept 10 Nov 10 Jan 11 March 11 May 11 July 11 Sept 11 Nov 11 Jan 12 March 12 May 12 July 12 Sept 12 Nov 12 Jan 13 March 13 May 13 July 13 Sept 13 Nov 13 Jan 14 March 14 May 14 July 14 Sept 14 3000 Public sector The private sector Farms of all types * excluding Crimea since April 2014 MEAT PRODUCTS PRODUCTION Table 4.2. Ukraine: Production of some meat product groups at meat processing plants, 2013 – 2014, KMT fresh or cooled beef frozen beef frozen pork cooled pork Total 2010 73.9 20.9 7.3 124.0 Total 2011 50.1 15.0 7.4 167.1 Total 2012 53.0 14.3 7.0 169.0 Total 2013 62.8 25.4 10.4 200.5 Total for Jan.-Aug. 2013 41.6 17.2 6.6 128.9 Total for Jan.-Aug. 2014 34.1 10.5 8.3 148.4 In January-August 2014, frozen beef production fell by 27.6% year-on-year to 10.5 KMT (14.5 KMT in January-August 2013). The leading producers of frozen beef in 2014 include AgroProduct, RachynMyasoProm, Ivano-Frankivsk meat-processing plant, Trostyanets meat-processing plant, Drohobych meat-processing plant, and Zevs Ltd. These enterprises account for some 65% of all the frozen beef produced in the first eight months of 2014. Production of fresh or cooled beef in January-August 2014 was down 8.6% year-over-year at 34.1 KMT (37.3 KMT in January-August 2013). The top producers of fresh or cooled beef in 2014 include Kozyatyn meat-processing plant, Zhytomyr meatprocessing plant, Yatran meat-processing plant, KonotopMyaso, TulchynMyaso, Antonivsky meat- processing plant, OkhtyrkaMyasoProduct, and ZagotServis. These enterprises account for some 44% of total output of fresh or cooled beef in the first eight months of 2014. In January-August 2014, pork production amounted to 156.7 KMT, including 8.3 KMT of frozen pork and 148.4 KMT of cooled. Production of cooled pork in January-August 2014 was up 11.7% year-over-year (132.9 KMT in January-August 2013). The top pork producers are APK-Invest and Hlobyne meat-processing plant. In addition, significant volumes of pork (frozen, fresh and cooled) in 2014 are produced by Evro-Komers, Antonivsky meat-processing plant, Yasni-Zori-Poltavshchyna, Yuvileyny meat-processing plant, Horlivka meat-processing plant, Agroindustrial company, MK Rial. These enterprises account for some 54% of total pork production in the first eight months of 2014. MEAT AND BY-PRODUCTS EXPORTS General trends Just a small portion of Ukrainian meat processing facilities comply with the European Union’s veterinary standards, therefore few of them can figure on permits for export to the European market. Table 4.3. Ukraine: Meat products exports, August 2014, MT Product Total 2010 Total 2011 Total 2012 Total 2013 Total for Jan.-Aug. 2013 Total for Jan.-Aug. 2014 0201 - cooled beef 202 4 613.20 8 891.6 12 193.3 6 974.4 3 297.5 0202 - frozen beef 12 804.40 8 380.10 7 534.0 13 124.5 6 308.4 9 692.9 611.3 12 509.40 20 015.0 5 314.2 2 148.1 3 726.2 0203- fresh, cooled or frozen pork Beef exports 3.3 KMT of cooled beef was exported in January-August 2014, or 52.2% less than at the same time in 2013 (6.9 KMT). Frozen beef exports totaled 9.7 KMT in January-August 2014, or 53.9% more than at the same time in 2013 (6.3 KMT). Diagram 4.3 13 companies exported cooled beef to three countries in January-August 2014. The main destination country was Russia (95.9%). Table 4.4. Ukraine: Key exporters of cooled beef Company Address Contacts Svizhenka (Chernivtsi region) 1, Lenina St., Tarasivtsi village, Novoselytsya district Nester (Vinnytsya region) 155, Sverdlova St., Vinnytsya +380(432)536717 SoyuzTorgInvest (Kyiv region) 1, Balukova St., Vyshneve, KyivSvyatoshyn district +38 (044) 501-63-03 +38 (03733) 30137 +38 (044) 286-70-30 [email protected] http://ukrmeatexport.com/#production AgroProduct (Ternopil region) Rosokhach village, Chortkiv district +38 (03552) 56568 +38 (03552) 56572 Fax: Avtek-StroyTech (Kyiv region) 11, Kikvidze St., Kyiv Agroexim (SoyuzTorgInvest) (Sumy region) 150, Generala Tkhora St., Konotop +38 (03552) 56595 +38 (044) 4960053 +38 (044) 501-63-03 +38 (044) 286-70-30 [email protected] http://ukrmeatexport.com/#production Opos-Torg (Volyn region) 42, Bohdana Khmelnytskogo St., Lutsk +380 (332) 72 14 86 +380 (50) 378 45 56 http://www.opostorg.com/eng/contact/ North-Eastern Extracting Company (Kyiv region) 7, Kotsyubynskogo St., office 11, Kyiv Trostyanets meat-processing plant (Vinnytsya region) 16, Lenina St., Trostyanets - +380 (4343) 2-22-52, +380 (4343) 2-26-93, +380 (4343) 2-29-73, +380 (4343) 2-14-60; fax: +380 (4343) 2-26-93, +380 (4343) 2-29-73; ProdExport (Ternopil region) 15a, Zhyvova St., Ternopil (0352) 475002, 475030, 434365, 332917, 433899 Fax: (0352) 475002, 433898 MyasoProduct MPK (Ternopil region) 26, Zaliznychna, Stupky village +38 (099) 637-24-22 http://lemov.etov.com.ua/about Amt Agro (Vinnytsya region) 2, Zvilnennya St., office 204, Vinnytsya Tavr-Plus (Donetsk region) 1, Alebastrova St., Artemivsk +38 (0627) 481509 Ivano-Frankivski Kovbasy (Ivano-Frankivsk region) 10, Petlyury St., IvanoFrankivsk +38 (03422) 23417, - +38 (03422) 97816, +38 (03422) 597220 Fax:+38 (03422) 29013 Alliance Market (Evrotek) (Kyiv region) 5, Sotsialistychna St., building 2, Kyiv +38 044 249 23 50 Fax +38 044 249 23 51 http://www.evrotek.com/ru/evrotek/kontakty/ EtalonMolProduct (Milk Alliance) (Kyiv region) 9, Leskova St., Kyiv +38044 284-58-51 284-58-52 284-58-55 [email protected] In January-August 2014, frozen beef was exported by 32 companies to 11 countries of the world. The main destination countries were Russia (48.2%), Belarus (24.2%), and Azerbaijan (10.4%). Table 4.5. Ukraine: Key exporters of frozen beef Company RachynMyasoProm (Volyn region) Address 3, Shkilna St., Rachyn village, Horohivsky district Contacts +38 (03379) 98093 +38 (067) 3510775 +38 (097) 7627497 Fax: +38 (03379) 98095 Svizhenka (Chernivtsi region) 1, Lenina St., Tarasivtsi village, Novoselytsya district North-Eastern Extracting Company (Kyiv region) 7, Kotsyubynskogo St., Office 11, Kyiv Тавр-Плюс (Донецкая обл.) г. Артемовск, +38 (03733) 30137 - +38 (0627) 481509 ул. Алебастровая, 1 ProdKompaniya (Vinnytsya region) AgroProduct (Ternopil region) 31, Pyrohova St., Vinnytsya +380 (432) 530073, Rosokhach village, Chortkiv district +38 (03552) 56568 +380 (432) 536687 +38 (03552) 56572 Fax: +38 (03552) 56595 Ivano-Frankivski Kovbasy (Ivano-Frankivsk region) 10, Petlyury St., Ivano-Frankivsk +38 (03422) 23417, +38 (03422) 97816, +38 (03422) 597220 Fax:+38 (03422) 29013 Zevs Group (Rivne region) 6, Klim Savoura St., +38(03656) 34112, Dubno +38(097) 2595882; +38 (036) 5634113 [email protected] Trostyanets meat-processing plant (Vinnytsya region) 16, Lenina St., Trostyanets +380 (4343) 2-22-52, +380 (4343) 2-26-93, +380 (4343) 2-29-73, +380 (4343) 2-14-60; fax: +380 (4343) 2-26-93, +380 (4343) 2-29-73; Agroexim (SoyuzTorgInvest) (Sumy region) 150, Generala Tkhora St., Konotop +38 (044) 501-63-03 +38 (044) 286-70-30 [email protected] http://ukrmeatexport.com/#production Meat Alliance (Donetsk region) EtalonMolProduct (Milk Alliance) (Kyiv region) 104, Schorsa St., Donetsk 9, Leskova St., Kyiv +38 (062) 3811421 Fax +38 (062) 3811421 +38044 284-58-51 284-58-52 284-58-55 [email protected] Avtek-StroyTech (Kyiv region) 11, Kikvidze St., Kyiv +38 (044) 4960053 Pork exports Pork exports totaled 3.7 KMT in January-August 2014, or up 76.2% from last year’s 2.1 KMT. Diagram 4.4 Nine companies exported pork to four countries in January-August 2014. The main destination countries were Russia (11.9%) and Moldova (86.1%). Table 4.6. Ukraine: Key exporters of pork Company Address Contacts Myasna Vesna (APK-Invest) (Donetsk region) 51a, Artema St., Donetsk +38 (062) 2066926 Fax: +38 (062) 2065274 http://mvesna.com.ua +38 (062) 3411360 [email protected] Alior-Trans (Lviv region) 19, Lvivska St., Chervonohrad +380(67)3405985 +380(67)3544162 Tavr-Plus (Donetsk region) 1, Alebastrova St., Artemivsk +38 (0627) 481509 ZagotServis (Ternopil region) 15-A, Nezalezhnosti St., Pidvolochysk +38 (03543) 22495 +38 (050) 3777557 Trostyanets meat-processing plant (Vinnytsya region) 16, Lenina St., Trostyanets +380 (4343) 2-22-52, +380 (4343) 2-26-93, +380 (4343) 2-29-73, +380 (4343) 2-14-60; EtalonMolProduct (Milk Alliance) (Kyiv region) 9, Leskova St., Kyiv +380 (4343) 2-29-73 +38044 284-58-51 284-58-52 284-58-55 [email protected] VMP (Pan Kurchak Agro Industrial Group) (Volyn region) 3, Lutska St., Novovolynsk Toris (Volyn region) 152, Kutuzova St., Kovel LubnyMyaso (Poltava region) 26, Industrialna St., Lubny Meat Alliance (Donetsk region) 104, Schorsa St., Donetsk Fenix (Donetsk region) 50, Sknareva St., Makiyivka +38 (03344) 4-68-80 [email protected] +38 (03352) 22350 +38 (03352) 69036 [email protected] +380 (50) 305-41-31 +38 (062) 3811421 +38 (06232) 33767 +38 (06232) 32330 [email protected] Standards of Ukraine Beef and veal: Depending on fatness, beef of adult cattle is divided into categories according to the requirements given in Table 4.7. Table 4.7. Adult cattle beef categories Category Characteristics (lower limit) Carcasses of cows, oxen, heifers (older than three years) First Muscles are developed satisfactorily. The spinal appendixes of breast and loin spines, buttock points and hips (heads of femur) are indistinctly prominent. Subcutaneous fat covers the carcass from the eighth rib to the buttock points with significant gaps. Small areas of fatty deposits are present on the neck, shoulders, fore ribs and hips, pelvic cavity and in the groin area Second Muscles are developed less satisfactorily. Hips have dimples, the spinal appendixes of breast and loin spines, buttock points and hips (heads of femur) are distinctly prominent. Small areas of subcutaneous fat are present in the areas of buttock points, loin and the last ribs Bull carcasses First Second Well-developed muscles, the areas of shoulders, neck, pelvis and hips are filled, the spinal appendixes of breast and loin spines are not prominent Muscles are developed satisfactorily, the areas of shoulders, neck, pelvis and hips are not filled enough, shoulders and hips (heads of femur) are prominent Depending on weight, beef of young cattle is divided into grades according to the requirements set out in Table 4.8. Table 4.8. Young cattle beef grades Grade Carcass weight, kg Top Over 220 First Over 185 to 220 inclusive Second Over 158 to 185 inclusive Third 158 and lower Beef of young cattle of all the grades is divided into categories depending on its fatness according to the requirements set out in Table 4.9. Table 4.9. Young cattle beef categories Category Characteristics (lower limit) Carcasses of young bulls, oxen, heifers First Well-developed muscles, shoulders have no dimples, hips are not fit, the spinal appendixes of breast and loin spines, buttock points and hips (heads of femur) are slightly prominent Second Satisfactorily developed muscles. Hips have dimples, the spinal appendixes of breast and loin spines, buttock points and hips (heads of femur) are distinctly prominent Veal (carcasses of calves aged 3 - 8 months and weighing more than 75 kg) is divided into categories depending on fatness according to the requirements set out in Table 4.10. Table 4.10. Veal categories Category Characteristics (lower limit) First Well-developed muscles. Shoulders have no dimples, hips are not fit, buttock points and hips (heads of femur) are slightly prominent Second Satisfactorily developed muscles. Hips have dimples, buttock points and hips (heads of femur) are distinctly prominent Veal (carcasses of veal calves aged 14 days to 3 months and weighing at least 15 kg) is divided into categories depending on fatness according to the requirements set out in Table 4.11. Table 4.11. Veal categories (veal calves) Category Characteristics (lower limit) First Satisfactorily developed muscles of pink milky color, hips are filled. Fatty deposits are present in the area of kidneys, pelvic cavity, on ribs and occasionally on hips. The spinal appendixes of breast and loin spines are not prominent. Second Muscles are developed less satisfactorily, have pink color. Insignificant fatty deposits are present in the area of kidneys, pelvic cavity and occasionally in the chump area. The spinal appendixes of breast and loin spines are slightly prominent. Beef and veal whose fatness does not comply with the requirements set out in Tables refer to lean. Depending on thermal treatment, beef and veal are divided into: a) fresh – immediately after slaughter and processing of cattle, whose temperature in hip muscle depth is at least 35°C; b) chilled – with temperature in hip muscle depth not exceeding 12°C; c) cooled – with temperature in hip muscle depth from 0°C to 4°C; d) subfrozen – with temperature of -3°C to -5°C in a 1 cm hip muscle depth and from 0°C to 2°C in a 6 cm depth. While in storage, temperature throughout the carcass, half carcass and quarter carcass must stay within 2 - З°C below zero; g) frozen – with temperature in hip muscle depth not exceeding 8°C below zero. In terms of organoleptic indicators, beef and veal must be fresh, with no off-odor. The surface of beef half carcasses or quarter carcasses must be of pink to dark-cherry color; the surface of veal carcasses or half carcasses must be of pink milky to pink color; fat is to be of white, yellowish or yellow color. Carcasses, half carcasses, or quarter carcasses must have no residue of internals, skin, blood clots, muscle and fat tissue fringes, bruises or dirty spots. Note. Bruise trimming, stripped subcutaneous fat and muscle tissue are allowed on at most 10% of the surface of a veal carcass or half carcass and on at most 15% of the surface of a beef half carcass or quarter carcass. No ice and snow are allowed on carcasses, half carcasses or quarter carcasses of frozen and subfrozen beef and veal. In terms of microbiological indicators, beef and veal must comply with the requirements set out in Table 4.12. Table 4.12. Microbiological indicators Indicator Maximum allowable quantity of mesophilic aerobic and facultative anaerobic microorganisms, CFU per 1 g of product, by thermal treatment of meat: — fresh; — cooled and subfrozen; — frozen Coliform group bacteria (coliforms) — per 1.0 g of fresh meat; — per 0.1 g of cooled and subfrozen meat; — per 0.01 g of frozen meat L. monocytogenes per 25 g of product Pathogenic microorganisms, particularly Salmonella genus bacteria, per 25 g Normals 10 3 1*10 4 1*10 Not allowed Not allowed Not allowed Not allowed Not allowed The content of toxic elements, mycotoxins, antibiotics, hormonal preparations in beef and veal must not exceed the allowable levels set by MUK and Sanitary Regulations SN No. 5061-89 and the ‘Mandatory minimum list of raw material tests’ presented in Table 4.13. Table 4.13. Beef and veal safety indicators Indicator Toxic elements, mg/kg: lead cadmium arsenic mercury copper zink Micotoxins, mg/kg: aflatoxin B1 Antibiotics, units/g: tetracycline group grisin zinkbacitracin chloramphenicol, mg/kg Hormonal preparations, mg/kg: diethylstilbestrol estradiol-17β testosteron Maximum allowable levels Test sensitivity 0.5 0.05 0.1 0.03 5.0 70.0 0.005 - Not allowed Not allowed Not allowed Not allowed (< 0,01) (< 0,05) (< 0,02) (< 0.01) Not allowed Not allowed Not allowed (< 0,0005) (< 0,015) The content of radionuclides in beef and veal must not exceed the levels specified in GN 6.6.1.1-130 : 137Cз – 200 Bq/kg, 90Sr – 20 Bq/kg. Pork: Depending on fatness, pork is divided into categories according to the requirements given in Table 4.14. Table 4.14. Pig carcass characteristics by category Category Category characteristics Carcass weight in fresh state, kg First-extra Carcasses of young pigs (sows and boars). Muscular tissue is well developed, especially on the back and hips. Fat is dense, white or with pink shade. Skin without pigmented lesions, tumors, rash, bruises, and damages affecting subcutaneous tissue. To reveal bruises, at most three check skin cuts with a diameter of up to 3.5 cm may be done on the half carcass In skin – from 47 to 68 inclusive Thickness of fat over spinal appendixes between 6 and 7 breast spines, excluding skin thickness, cm from 1.0 to 2.0 inclusive Second Carcasses of young pigs (sows and boars) Gilt carcasses Third Fourth Fifth Sixth Carcasses of young pigs (sows and boars) Carcasses of boars Carcasses of sows Carcasses of milk piglets. White or slightly pink skin, without tumors, rash, bruises wounds, bites. Neither spinal appendixes of back spines nor ribs are prominent Carcasses of boars In skin – from 47 to 102 inclusive Without skin – from 43 to 91 inclusive Without croupon – from 45 to 93 inclusive In skin – from 14 to 47 inclusive Without skin – from 12 to 43 inclusive In skin – to 102 inclusive Without skin – to 91 inclusive In skin – over 102 Without skin – over 91 Without croupon – over 93 Unlimited In skin - from 3 to 6 inclusive from 1.0 to 3.0 inclusive In skin – to 47 inclusive Without skin – to 43 inclusive at least 1.0 at least 1.0 over 3.0 at least 1.0 at least 1.0 unlimited Note 1. Pig carcasses which comply with the requirements of the First extra category but have tumors on the skin, rash, bruises, pigmented lesions, and damages affecting subcutaneous tissue refer to the Second category. Note 2. Pig carcasses which do not comply with the requirements set out in Table 14, except the Sixth category’s carcasses (young boars), refer to lean. Note 3. Carcasses of young boars which do not comply with the requirements set out in Table 14, as well as producing boars refer to non-standard category. Pork with РSЕ syndrome (pale-colored, watery meat of soft consistency) and pH1 < 5.8 (in an hour after slaughter) and pork with DFD syndrome (dark, dry, sticky meat) and рН1≥ 6.2 and рН24 ≥ 6.2 (in 24 hours after slaughter), are separated for special processing irrespective of their category. Depending on thermal treatment, pork is divided into: — fresh — immediately after slaughter and processing of the pig, whose temperature in hip muscle depth is at least 35°C; — chilled — cooled to temperature of at most 12°C in hip muscle depth. The carcass surface is not wetted; — cooled — cooled to temperature of 4°C to 0°C in hip muscle depth. The carcass surface is not wetted; — subfrozen — frosted to temperature of -3°C to -5°C in a 1 cm hip muscle depth and from 0°C to 2°C in a 6 cm depth. While in storage, temperature throughout the carcass or half carcass must stay within 2-З°C below zero; — frozen — frozen to temperature not exceeding 8°C below zero in hip muscle depth Meat of pigs in carcasses and half carcasses must be fresh in terms of organoleptic, chemical, microscopic and histological indicators, with no sliming or off-odor. Muscle tissue color in the separation points is light pink to red; fat color is white to pink-pale. Carcasses and half carcasses must have no residue of bristle, internals, blood clots, neither muscle and fat tissue fringes, dirty spots, or bruises. Note. Bruise trimming is allowed on at most 10% of the surface, or stripped subcutaneous fat on at most 16% of the surface of a carcass or half carcass of the Second, Third, and Fourth categories. No ice and snow are allowed on frozen and subfrozen carcasses and half carcasses. The content of toxic elements must not exceed the levels specified by MBV No. 5061 presented in Table 4.15. Table 4.15. Allowable content of toxic elements Indicator Toxic elements, mg/kg, not more than: lead cadmium arsenic mercury copper zinc Allowable levels 0.50 0.05 0.10 0.03 5.0 70.0 The content of radionuclides in beef and veal must not exceed the levels specified in GN 6.6.1.1-130 : 137Cз – 200 Bq/kg, 90Sr – 20 Bq/kg. In terms of microbiological indicators, pork must meet the following requirements: Table 4.16. Microbiological indicators Indicator QMAFAnM, CFU per 1 g, not more than Pathogenic microorganisms, particularly Salmonella genus bacteria, per 25 g CGB (coliforms) per 0.01 g CGB (coliforms) per 0.1 g L. monocytogenes per 25 g of product Pork: chilled 10 Not allowed cooled 3 1*10 subfrozen 3 1*10 Not allowed Not allowed Not allowed Not allowed frozen 4 1*10 Not allowed - 5. DRIED MILK MARKET OVERVIEW In the past, Ukraine was for many years considered a key player of the global dried milk market and listed among the world’s top ten exporters. However, the situation has changed in recent years. For different reasons, both production and export of Ukrainian dried milk decreased by several times. The international markets already began to forget Ukraine as a large supplier of this commodity. But Ukraine actually lost the cheese market because of “milk wars” with Russia. In these circumstances, dairy companies began to increase production of whole milk foods and dry dairy products. To come out of the difficult situation, the Ukrainian dairy industry needs to urgently revive its drying segment after a long stagnant period. In 2014, dairy companies got a good opportunity to increase their profits with dried milk. However, this chance can only be used by strong players capable of rapidly and effectively responding to market changes. RAW MATERIAL BASE The annual milk production in Ukraine averaged some 11 MMT over the last five years, gaining 1-3% yearly. It is concentrated mainly in households (about 77%) and this has a negative impact on the quality of produced milk. Strengthening demand from dairy companies and keen market competition for quality dairy raw material drove the construction and development of large dairy farms. The milk production share of such facilities has expanded by 3% since 2010. Major dairy companies (Milkiland Ukraine, Milk Alliance, Danone-Ukraine etc.) invest a lot in the development of own raw material resources, dairy cooperatives, and modern milk-collecting networks. Table 5.1. Ukraine: Milk production Milk production, MMT Share of large-scale commercial production, % * 2010 11.2 2011 11.1 2012 11.4 2013 11.5 2013 (Jan-Aug) 7.8 2014 (Jan-Aug) 7.8 19.7 20.3 22.3 22.5 22.8 23.5 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine; *excluding Crimea MILK PROCESSING AND DRIED MILK PRODUCTION About 6+6.5 MMT of milk is annually processed in Ukraine. Roughly one-third of dairy raw material was used for cheese production and nearly as much for producing whole milk products. 6-9% of dairy raw material was used to manufacture dry dairy products. Due to a significant loss of cheese markets in 2014 because of a “milk war” waged by Russia, dairy plants have redistributed raw material flows in favor of whole milk products, butter and dry dairy products. The share of milk used for making dry dairy products may amount to nearly 11-14% in 2014. Diagram 5.1. Ukraine: Milk processing pattern Butter 18% Dry dairy products 8% Others 9% Cheese 33% WMP 32% Table 5.2. Ukraine: Dried milk production Commodity Dried milk and cream, including skim milk powder (SMP) whole milk powder (WMP) 2010 68.9 50.3 2011 53.6 39.8 2012 63.1 46.7 2013 53.8 38.2 2013 (Jan-Aug) 38.8 30.1 2014 (Jan-Aug) 51.8 43.0 18.6 13.8 16.4 15.6 8.7 8.8 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine; *excluding Crimea The top five regions of Ukraine in terms of dry dairy production include Vinnytsya, Zhytomyr, Chernihiv, Poltava, and Khmelnytsky. Their share in total output of these products was nearly 59% in 2013 and 56% in the first eight months of 2014. The 2014 leaders include BershadMoloko, Ros – Romny dairy plant (Milkiland-Ukraine), Zolotonosha butter-making plant, Starokostyantyniv milk plant (Ukrproduct Group), Zhytomyr butter-making plant, Ichnya milk powder and butter plant, Kupyansk milk canning plant, Rykhalsky dried milk plant, Loostdorf Firm, and Zhashkiv butter-making plant. These companies accounted for some 57% of total output of dry dairy products in the first eight months of 2014. DRIED MILK EXPORTS Dry dairy products are a major component of Ukraine’s dairy export. The bulk of dried milk exports are represented by dried skim milk. The key export destinations for dried milk include Asia and Africa, particularly Bangladesh, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Syria, Nigeria, and Egypt. Dried milk exports were boosted considerably in 2014 due to growing domestic supply because of the possibility to increase its output in view of falling cheese production. Table 5.3. Ukraine: Dried milk exports, KMT Commodity SMP 2010 13.9 2011 22.2 2012 26.0 2013 11.0 2013 (Jan-Aug) 6.0 2014 (Jan-Aug) 21.5 6.2 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.3 1.4 WMP Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine Diagrams 5.2, 5.3 Ukraine: SMP exports, 2010-2014 7000 Ukraine: WMP exports, 2010-2014 5000 1400 6000 4500 1200 5000 4000 5000 UkrAgroConsult© 1000 3500 4000 UkrAgroConsult© 3000 4000 800 2000 1500 2000 3000 t 3000 US$/т t 2500 600 2000 400 1000 1000 500 0 0 Jan.10 May 10 Sept. 10 Jan.11 May 11 Sept. 11 Jan.12 May 12 Sept. 12 Jan.1 May 13 Oct. 13 Feb. 14 June 14 Export US$/т 6000 1000 200 0 0 Jan.10 May 10 Sept. 10 Jan.11 May 11 Sept. 11 Jan.12 May 12 Sept. 12 Jan.1 May 13 Oct. 13 Feb. 14 June 14 Custom Value Export Custom Value No dried milk is exported to Europe at the moment, neither other dairy products. The main precondition for Ukrainian products’ entry into the EU market was the adoption of the Law “On Amending Some Legislative Acts of Ukraine on Foods” by Ukrainian Parliament. Of the 266 dairy plants operating in Ukraine, about one-third comply with the EU requirements; therefore they may get the right to supply their products to the European market in the future. In September 2014, a mission of food and veterinary experts of the European Commission’s SANCO Directorate-General inspected Ukraine’s dairy factories and approved their production. Then efforts are to be made for adopting the mission’s final report and entering Ukraine into the list of countries allowed to export milk and dairy products to the EU. Dairy exports to the European countries are quite likely to start in the latter half of 2015. Table 5.4. contact details of dried milk exporters Exporter Address Milkiland-Ukraine, subsidiary 9, Boryspilska St., Kyiv 02099 9, Lieskova St., Kyiv 01011 LLC EtalonMolProdukt (Milk Alliance) Ukrproduct Group 47, Budka St., Hadiach, Poltava region 37300 4, Ivana Gonty St., Zhytomyr 10002 47, Ivana Franka St., Starokostyantyniv, Khmelnytsky region 31104 LLC Loostdorf Firm 25, Sapersko-Slobidska St., Kyiv 03039 Ruzhyn-Moloko, subsidiary 3, Promyslova St., Kyiv 03151 PJSC BershadMoloko 147, Komarova St., Floryne village, Bershad district, Vinnytska region 24405 LLC TekhMolProm OJSC Zhytomyr Butter-Making Plant OJSC Ichnya Milk Powder and Butter Plant LLC Haliyivka Butter-Making Plant 164, Bunivka St., Ichnya, Chernihiv region 16700 20, Zavodska, Haliyivka village, Chudniv district, Zhytomyr region 13251 Contacts +38044 369-5200 (01) [email protected] +38044 284-5851 284-5852 284-5855 [email protected] +380532 61-3899 +38099 730-3090 +38099 155-9429 [email protected] [email protected] +380412 42-2902 [email protected] +3803854 4-1442 +3803854 4-3241 [email protected] +38044 569-4908 569-4909 569-4910 [email protected] +38044 285-77-06 +38067575-87-37 [email protected] +3804352 2-18-16 +3804352 2-34-17 +3804352 2-74-00 [email protected] +3804633 2-15-87 +38044 581-51-01 581-59-82 [email protected] [email protected] +380 4139 4-43-38 4-77-24 [email protected] DRIED MILK QUALITY STANDARDS The quality parameters of dried milk produced in Ukraine are governed by DSTU 4273:2003 National Standard “Dried Milk and Cream.” Classification 1. Depending on the raw material used, the following products are produced: - dried skim milk; - dried whole milk with 20% and 25% fat content; - dried cream. 2. Depending on the drying method, dried skim milk and dried whole milk with 25% fat content are divided into; - spray-dried; - roller-dried. 3. Dried whole milk with 20% fat content is only produced at spray driers. 4. Depending on the organoleptic, physical and chemical and microbiological indicators, dried whole milk and dried cream are divided into top and first grades.* 5. It is not allowed to eat dried whole milk and dried cream of 1st grade or to sell them through trade networks. Such milk and cream are to be used for industrial processing. Table 5.5. Organoleptic indicators of products Indicator Characteristics skim milk powder Flavor and odor Consistency whole milk powder dry cream spray-dried roller-dried spray-dried Typical of fresh pasteurized skim milk with no off-flavors or off-odors. Flavor of over-pasteurization is allowed Typical of overpasteurized skim milk with no offflavors or off-odors Typical of fresh pasteurized milk with no offflavors or offodors. Typical of overpasteurized (boiled) milk with no off-flavors or off-odors Typical of fresh pasteurized cream with no off-flavors or off-odors Finely divided dry powder Dry powder of milled films Fine dry powder consisting of agglomerated particles of dried milk. Fine dry powder of milled films, consisting of agglomerated particles of dried milk Fine dry powder. Cream. White with a cream tint An insignificant number of easily crumbling grains are allowed roller-dried Easily crumbling grains are allowed An insignificant number of easily crumbling grains are allowed Color White with a light cream tint From light cream to cream White with a slight cream tint Single scorched particles are allowed st Note. Single scorched particles are allowed in dried skim milk in transport package and in dried whole milk of 1 grade. Table 5.6. Physical and chemical indicators of skim milk powder Normals Indicator in consumer package in transport package - spray-dried milk 4.0 5.0 - roller-dried milk - 5.0 Mass fraction of fat, not more than, % 1.5 1.5 Mass fraction of protein, not less than, % 32.0 - Mass fraction of lactose, not less than, % 50.0 - Mass fraction of moisture, not more than, %: 3 Solubility index of raw sediment, not more than, cm : - spray-dried milk - roller-dried milk 0.2 0.4 - 1.5 20.0 21.0 I II 0 Acidity, not more than, T Purity, not less than, group Table 5.7. Physical and chemical indicators of whole milk powder Normals Indicator Mass fraction of moisture, not more than, % Mass fraction of fat, not less than, % 20% fat content, in transport package 25% fat content in consumer package in transport package in transport package 4.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 20.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 - 0.4 1.5 21.0 17.0 21.0 21.0 II I II II spray-dried roller-dried Solubility index of raw sediment, not 3 more than, cm : - for top grade - for first grade 0 Acidity, not more than, T Purity, not less than, group Table 5.8. Microbiological indicators of products Normal skim milk powder Indicator in consumer package Maximum allowable quantity of mesophilic and facultative anaerobic microorganisms, CFU per 1 g of product whole milk powder dried cream in transport package top grade 4 5.0х10 5 1.0х10 5.0х10 Coliform group bacteria (coliforms) per 0.1 g of product first grade 4 4 7.0х10 top grade 5.0х10 not allowed Pathogenic microorganisms, particularly Salmonella genus bacteria, per 25 g not allowed S. aureus, per 1 g of product not allowed Table 5.9. Content of toxic elements in products Indicator Toxic elements, not more than, mg/kg lead cadmium arsenic mercury copper zinc Mycotoxins, not more than, mg/kg: aflatoxin M1 Antibiotics: tetracycline group, units/g penicillin, units/g streptomycin, units/g Hormonal preparations, mg/kg: diethylstilbestrol, estradiol 17 * Note. In terms of the initial product Normal 0.1 * 0.03 0.05 0.005 1.0 5.0 not allowed < 0.0005 < 0.01 < 0.01 < 0.5 not allowed 0.0002 first grade 4 4 7.0х10 6. HONEY MARKET OVERVIEW Honey production Ukraine is one of the top five honey powers in terms of both production volume and per capita consumption of this product. Ukrainian honey production has been showing a steady trend in recent years. So, 70.3 KMT of honey was produced in 2012 and 73 KMT in 2013. By contrast, honey production approximated 50 KMT in 2000. Ukraine’s 2014 honey output is forecast at some 66-71 KMT. The main preconditions for this year’s drop in honey production include the military and political factors. So, the annexation of Crimea took away some 4% from Ukrainian production. In addition, Donetsk region is the country’s largest honey producer, accounting for 14% of its total output. The share of Luhansk region approximates 4%. Apart from Donetsk region, major honey producers are Mykolaiv and Zhytomyr regions, with each of them contributing some 8-10% to overall production. Honey exports Honey exports from Ukraine show positive trends, too. So, 3.3 KMT of honey was exported in 2008, mostly to Russia. Honey exports almost doubled over the last four years, from some 7 KMT in 2011 to 21 KMT in 2013. Experts forecast them to reach 24-27 KMT in 2014. The primary reason for that rapid rise in exports of Ukrainian honey is that its quality has become fully compliant with international and European standards. The world honey market condition promoted this, too. Against the background of strengthening demand for honey as a healthy natural product, a decline happened in its supply from traditional exporters. In addition, a deficit of own-produced honey is observed in the European Union. Almost half of the bee population has been killed in many European countries due to abundant application of pesticides and herbicides in the fields. 75% of Ukrainian honey exports are aimed at the EU countries, but they are already well-diversified and include the markets of North Africa, the CIS, and the Near East. Among the EU countries, honey was supplied mostly to Germany, Poland, Bulgaria, and Slovakia. The break-through of Ukrainian honey to the world market was also contributed to by its relatively low price, allowing it to successfully compete with products from Asia and South America. An incentive that pushed up exports in 2014 was preferential trading terms introduced by the European Union for Ukraine. Under these terms, Ukrainian producers were granted a 5 KMT duty-free honey export quota. They had fully used it up by August 13, 2014. The hryvnya devaluation is also a factor stimulating export supplies. 22 KMT was exported in January-September 2014. About 78% of export deliveries were absorbed by the four countries: Poland, Germany, Bulgaria, and Canada. Diagram 6.1. Ukraine: Honey exports by country, 2014 Others 22% Poland 42% Bulgaria 5% Canada 5% Germany 26% Honey exporters Ukraine has nearly ten serious export companies that sell honey. All the honey that is to be exported passes mandatory examination in specially certified laboratories under the European standard ISO 17 025. The product cannot be shipped to Europe until the laboratories complete the examination and draw their conclusion. Honey overproduction is observed in Ukraine every year, the surplus reaches tens of thousands tons because shipping honey for export is infeasible for an ordinary bee-keeper. A negative point is that Ukraine has actually no possibility to process honey, therefore almost no honey drinks are produced in the country. Mead-making has no legal framework in Ukraine. To boost export of Ukrainian honey products and promote them in the world market, state support is required, primarily the establishment of an effective certification framework. The leading honey exporter is Bartnik, which accounts for some 20% in the total export volume. Sodruzhestvo Diversified Concern is also on the list of top honey exporters (15%). Table 6.1. Ukraine: Honey exports, January-September 2014 Company Bartnik Sodruzhestvo Agro East Trade Ukrainian honey Med Ok Milamed Alvarium Ukraine Sub-total Others Total amount Quantity, tons 4 235 3 380 3 323 1 933 847 591 398 14 707 7 233 21 940 Table 6.2. Ukraine: main honey exporters and their contacts Company Bartnik Agro East Trade Sodruzhestvo Ukrainian honey Med Ok Milamed Alvarium Ukraine Address Stanislavskogo Str., #4a, Izyaslav, Khmelnytsky region, 30300 Kominternu Street 34, 54000 Mykolaiv Tel. E-mail Web-site +380 3852 41 346 + 380 3852 40 598 Vadim Pankovskiy [email protected] +380 512 58 7073 Elena Shevchak [email protected] [email protected] http://agro-easttrade.eu/contact.html Pavlovskaya, #29, 01135, Kyiv Petrenko Str., #18, Kherson Illicha prospect, #109A, Donetsk, 83059 +380 552 41 7070 + 380 55 424 73 96 Natalia Kostina [email protected] www.sodruzhestvo.ua +380 62 382 96 00 + 380 63 250 75 92 [email protected] [email protected] www.ukrhoney.com.ua Chichibabina str., #7A, 61058, Kharkiv Lenina Str., #1a, Dmitrovka village, Berdyansk district, 71153, Zaporizhzhia region + 38098 008 88 00 Victor Elkin [email protected] Karl Marks Str., #6/1a, Kamyanka village, Apostol district, Dnipropetrovsk region + 380 96 511 18 88 + 380 675 11 18 88 Natalia Partner in Slovakia: Blashchak Pavel +421 90 557 7577 + 380 67 637 63 17 Konstantin [email protected] a www.bartnik.ua/en http://www.megok.com.ua/ http://milamed.info/about. html [email protected] http://alvariumukraine.com/ Honey quality The National Standard DSTU 4497:2005 for natural honey is valid in Ukraine. In terms of organoleptic indicators, natural honey must meet the following requirements. Table 6.3. Organoleptic indicators Indicator Description Color Colorless, white, light-yellow, yellow, dark-yellow, dark with various tints Flavor Sweet, delicate, pleasant, astringent, irritates mucous tunic of mouth, with no off-flavors Aroma Specific, pleasant, faint, strong, delicate, with no off-odors Consistency Liquid, viscous, very viscous, dense Crystallization From fine-grained to coarse-grained Signs of fermentations (souring) Not allowed Mechanical impurity Not allowed In terms of physical and chemical indicators, natural honey must comply with the following normals. Table 6.4. Physical and chemical indicators Top grade honey 1 grade honey Method precision, % Pollen analysis result* Pollen grains present Pollen grains present - Species composition of pollen grains, % not less than* 10.0 10.0 - Honey fraction of water, %, not more than 18.5 21.0 2.0 Weight fraction of reducing sugars (per dry matter), %, not less than 80.0 70.0 10.0 Weight fraction of sucrose (per dry matter), %, not less than 3.5 8.0 10.0 15.0 10.0 10.0 Hydroxymethylfurfural (HMF) content, mg per 1 kg, not more 10.0 than 25.0 15.0 Indicator Diastatic number (per dry matter), Gothe units, not lower than st 3 Acidity, milliequivalents of sodium hydroxide (0.1 mole/dm ) per 1 kg, not more than 40.0 50.0 10.0 Proline content, mg per 1 kg, not less than 300 300 10.0 Electrical conductivity, mS/cm 0.2-1.0 0.2-1.5 4.0 Qualitative reaction for the presence of honeydew Negative or milk- Negative or milkwhite white Note. For honey from bastard acacia, the diastatic number can be at least 5 Gothe units, weight fraction of sucrose at most 10%, and proline content at least 200 mg per 1 kg. In terms of safety indicators, natural honey must meet the requirements given in Table 3. Table 6.5. Safety indicators Indicator Allowable level Toxic elements, mg/kg, not more than: lead 1.0 cadmium 0.05 arsenic 0.5 Pesticides (per dry matter), mg/kg, not more than: DDT (total of isomers) 0.005 Hexachlorane (total of isomers) 0.005 Antibiotics* (per dry matter), not more than: Tetracycline, units/g Not allowed Streptomycin, units/g Not allowed Levomicetin (chloramphenicol), mcg/kg 0.3 Nitrofuran (OAZ), mcg/kg 0.6 Nitrofuran (AMOZ), mcg/kg 0.6 7. TOMATO PASTE MARKET OVERVIEW Ukraine is considered a major producer of tomatoes: about 2 MMT of these vegetables are grown annually. The so-called global “tomato belt” – a climatic zone with enough sunny days, favorable for tomato industry – stretches through the south of the country. Farmers in that area produce tomatoes with high dry-matter content that is of special importance for processing factories. Ukraine has a significant potential to grow tomatoes for industrial processing. Their crop may reach 1.5 MMT in the near term, provided modern agronomic practices are applied. According to the World Processing Tomato Council (WPTC; Avignon, France; an international non-profit organization representing professional tomato growers and/or processors; since 1998), Ukraine is one of the world’s top ten tomato processing countries. RAW MATERIAL BASE Tomato production has been developing quite actively in Ukraine in recent few years. Now tomatoes represent the largest share of the vegetable produce market (24%). In view of current trends in the tomato market, its development and saturation will continue. Ukraine’s tomato production also develops mostly in an intensive way (including a shrinking role of manual labor thanks to mechanical harvesters etc.), because it allows reducing production costs and, consequently, prices for finished products, in particular tomato paste. This will make it more competitive in the foreign export. 1.6-2.0 MMT of tomatoes are annually produced in Ukraine with the share of large-scale commercial production approximating 21%. The output volume and quality of tomatoes grown in the open field are considerably influenced by weather conditions in the area. A peculiarity of the Ukrainian raw material market is that the majority of farms grow small amounts (at most 10 MT) of tomatoes. In addition, many Ukrainian farmers try not to focus on one vegetable crop. By this means they reduce production risks, but cannot make up large commodity parcels because cultivation efforts are dispersed between different vegetables. To solve the raw material problem, some major tomato processing companies either develop a network of supplier farmers, or go the way of vertical integration. In particular, Agrofusion – the largest company in the tomato paste market – grows tomatoes for own needs on 15 Th ha of irrigated land in Kherson and Mykolaiv regions. Table 7.1. Ukraine: Total tomato crop 2010 2011 2012 Total crop, MMT 1.93 2.09 Share of large-scale commercial 21.9 28.3 23.2 production, % 2013 1.81 2014* 1.68 21.1 21.4 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine; *estimate excluding Crimea Tomatoes for industrial processing are grown mainly in the south, particularly in Kherson, Mykolaiv, and Odesa regions. PROCESSING OF TOMATOES AND PRODUCTION OF TOMATO PASTE Market participants estimate that roughly 400 KMT of tomatoes are used for tomato paste production. Depending on the tomato crop, the country annually produces 50-80 KMT of concentrated aseptic tomato paste in recent years. Table 7.2. Ukraine: Tomato paste production, KMT 2011 2012 2013 79.9 71.5 57.3 2010 52.9 2014* 68.0 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine; *estimate excluding Crimea A peculiarity of Ukraine’s domestic market of concentrated tomato paste is that its main buyers – ketchup, tomato sauce and juice manufacturers – also produce paste for own needs. According to market participants, demand for tomato sauces in Ukraine is unstable and dependent on the vegetable crop. Ukrainian tomato paste production is located mostly in Mykolaiv and Kherson regions, which were behind some 84% of total output in 2013. Among other regions, noteworthy are Odesa and Dnipropetrovsk with a combined share of 15%. About 60 enterprises produce tomato paste in Ukraine. Their list is topped by Agrofusion, Chumak, Sandora, Odesa cannery, ASS, Khersonske, PivdenAgroPererobka, Merkuriy, Kherson fruit and vegetable plant, Shevchenko Agrifirm, and Evrika Agrifirm. These entities accounted for some 97% of total production in 2013. TOMATO PASTE EXPORTS The establishment of competitive production allows Ukraine to successfully compete with major manufacturers of this product in the world market. Exports show an upward trend. The main destination market is Russia. In 2013, this country absorbed 88% of Ukraine’s total tomato paste exports, while the EU accounted for 4%. However, Russia’s share plummeted to 57% in 2014, while exports to the EU grew substantially and reached 37%. This was promoted by the abolition of EU customs duty on tomato paste for six months from May 1, along with a 10 KMT quota opened for this period of time. Table 7.3. Ukraine: Tomato paste exports, KMT 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 (Jan.-Aug.) 2014 (Jan.-Aug.) 18.9 11.8 22.0 29.1 21.0 17.4 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine Diagram 7.1. Ukraine: Tomato paste exports, 2012-2014 1400 5000 4500 1200 3500 800 3000 t 2500 600 2000 400 1500 1000 200 500 0 0 Export Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine Custom Value US$/t 4000 1000 Table 7.4. Tomato paste exporters Exporter Agrofusion Address Contacts 34, Myru ave., Mykolaiv 54034 17, Novozavodska St., Mykolaiv 54028 Sandora Chumak 3, Kozatska, Kakhovka, Kherson region 74800 Odesa cannery 22, Vodoprovidna, Odesa 65007 ASS 1a, Molodizhna St., Shyroke village, Kryvorizky district, Dnipropetrovsk region 53070 Lutsk Foods 150, Kovelska St., Lutsk 43001 Nizhyn cannery 1, Butlerova, room 510, Kyiv 02090 Phone: + 38 0512 587901 Fax: +380 (512) 587910 [email protected] Тел: +38 (0512) 58 10 83/86; Fax: +38 (0512) 58 10 85 [email protected] Phone: +38 (0552) 448-500 Fax: +38 (0552) 448-550 [email protected] Phone: +38 (0482) 373884 +38 (0482) 357826 +38 (048) 7223182 Fax: +38 (0482) 379254 [email protected] Phone:+380 56 499 09 09 +380 56 477 26 20/1 +380 50 1725877 Fax:+380 56 477 25 45 [email protected] Phone: +38 (0332) 77 88 00 Fax: +38 (0332) 77 88 06 e-mail: [email protected] Phone /Fax: +380 44 593 03 29 [email protected] TOMATO PASTE QUALITY STANDARDS The quality parameters of tomato paste produced in Ukraine are governed by DSTU 4273:2003 National Standard “Concentrated Tomato Products.” Depending on the quality indicators, concentrated tomato products are divided into grades: — tomato puree, tomato paste, and concentrated tomato juice – top and first grades; — salt tomato paste and concentrated tomato juice with salt and spice – first grade. Requirements for raw materials The following raw materials are used for producing concentrated tomato products: — fresh red ripe tomatoes according to RST URSR 1551 Standard; — minced or coarsely ground or ground tomato pulp, heated and cooled, which is used for producing tomato puree and tomato paste, according to the current regulatory document; — common table salt meeting DSTU 3583 Standard, boiled, packed, with no additives; — dill essential oil according to the current regulatory document; — essential oils (СО2 extracts) of natural spices (celery, dill, hot pepper) according to the current regulatory document; — potable water according to GOST 2874 Standard, which contains no spores of mesophilic obligate anaerobic microorganisms per 100 cm3. Fresh tomatoes with pesticide residues, nitrates, mycotoxin penicidin and toxic elements exceeding the maximum allowable levels set in MUK and SN No.5061 Sanitary Regulations [2], and the radionuclides content exceeding the levels set in GN 6.6.1.1-130 Hygienic Regulations [3], shall not be admitted for processing. Table 7.5. Organoleptic indicators of concentrated tomato products Characteristics of concentrated tomato products, grade top first Indicator Appearance and consistency tomato puree, tomato paste tomato puree, tomato paste Smooth concentrated mass of semifluid Smooth concentrated mass of semifluid to spreadable consistency (depending on to spreadable consistency (depending on the mass fraction of soluble dry matters), the mass fraction of soluble dry matters), with no dark inclusions, skin residue, with no dark inclusions or coarse parts seeds or other coarse parts of fruits of fruits. Single inclusions of seeds and little skin pieces are allowed. Flavor and odor Typical for concentrated tomato paste, Typical for concentrated tomato paste, with no bitterness or burnt flavor. with no bitterness or burnt flavor. Salty No off-favors or off-odors are allowed. favor for tomato paste with added salt. No off-favors or off-odors are allowed. Red, orange-red or dark-red, uniform Red, orange-red or dark-red, uniform throughout the mass throughout the mass. Color Brownish tint is allowed. For salt tomato paste, red or dark-red with yellowish tint Table 7.6. Safety indicators of concentrated tomato products Maximum allowable level in package of all types, except compound metal containers in compound metal containers lead 0.50 1.00 cadmium 0.03 0.05 5.00 5.00 10.00 10.00 arsenic 0.20 0.20 mercury 0.02 0.02 — 200.00 0.05 0.05 120.00 120.00 50.00 50.00 Toxic elements, mg/kg: copper zinc tin Mycotoxin penicidin, mg/kg Radionuclides, Bq/kg: Cesium-137 Strontium-90 Table 7.7. Physical and chemical indicators of concentrated tomato products Indicator and normal for the grade Weight fraction, % Product soluble dry matters (except chlorides) top first titrating acids (per lemon acid, per absolutely dry matter), not more than top first Color iodine color value, mg/cm3, not more than according to Tomacolor instrument, conventional scale marks, not more than chlorides, not more than mineral impurities, not more than top top first 0.009 0.030 0.09 44 0.010 0.040 0.09 42 first iodine color value, mg/cm3, not more than top according to Tomacolor instrument, conventional scale marks, not more than first Tomato puree with weight fraction of soluble dry matters, %: 12 11—13 15 14—17 10 11 0.5 0.015 18—22 20 0.050 0.09 39 Tomato paste with weight fraction of soluble dry matters, %: 0.019 0.060 0.09 36 0.023 0.070 0.09 33 33—37 0.027 0.080 0.09 30 38—42 0.030 0.100 0.09 28 25 23—27 30 28—32 35 40 10 11 1.5 32 37 0.1 7 0.1 7 51 49 46 45 41 0.1 7 39 36 0.1 7 Salt tomato paste with weight fraction of soluble dry matters, %: 27 0.1 7 — — — 25—29 — 30—34 — 35—39 — — 11 — 10 0.080 — — — 0.090 — — — 0.100 — — 0.1 7 0.1 7 0.1 7 0.1 7 0.1 7 44 40 38 8. NUT MARKET OVERVIEW Walnut, hazelnut, and almond are the three main nuts grown in Ukraine, with the lion’s share belonging to walnut. The interest in hazelnut has been increasing in recent years, but its plantations are small yet. Walnut is one of the most promising and remunerative crops for the present-day horticulture in Ukraine. The high customer value of nuts ensures strong demand and trouble-free sale. Ukraine’s total nut crop is up to 22.5% of that harvested in Europe, and the export share has reached 30%. This is promoted by soil and climatic conditions: while only 7% of soils worldwide are suitable for walnut cultivation, 50% of Ukraine’s territory can be used for nut orchards. All the above-mentioned factors create favorable conditions for commercial walnut production in Ukraine. For now, nuts are harvested mainly in households, but this volume is enough for Ukraine to be the world’s third top walnut exporter, trailing only China and the U.S.A. NUT PRODUCTION The largest nut plantations are located in Chernivtsi, Vinnytsya, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, and Lviv regions. In terms of the harvest, the leaders are Cherkasy, Khmelnytsky, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, and Zakarpattya regions. These regions accounted for some 44% of overall nut production in 2013. Almost all Ukrainian walnuts are grown in households. About 75-80% of plantations are on account of walnut. Until recently, nut cultivation was of no interest in Ukraine, because it takes 8-10 years to grow a nut tree. In the period of capital accumulation in the country, this is a “long money” program and bears many risks. At the same time, according to the Law of Ukraine “On Viticulture, Horticulture and HopGrowing Development Duty,” up to 60% of orchard establishment costs are subject to compensation, and the use of row spacing (a tree planting pattern of 10х8 m) brings additional revenue. So, all the costs pay back in 3-4 years. No sooner than 2009 the targeted formation of commercial intensive nut orchards began in Ukraine. Their total acreage exceeds 3,500 ha at the moment. Some nut orchards occupy an area of 5 to 700 ha. For example, Agrolux (Dnipropetrovsk region) established a 600 ha nut orchard in 2011. The nut crop is planned to reach 600 MT in 2020. Four licensed walnut nurseries operate in Ukraine. 22 varieties are listed in the State Plant Varieties Register of Ukraine, including 12 Ukrainian, 6 Moldovan, and 4 French varieties. For now, the total area of commercial intensive hazelnut plantations does not exceed 800 ha. These are mostly 5-20 ha plots. Most often hazelnut trees are planted on household yards and farms. A major problem faced when developing commercial hazelnut production is the absence of any Ukrainian-bred hazelnut variety in the State Plant Varieties Register of Ukraine. This means farmers cannot be refunded for the cost of orchard establishment and additional indispensable irrigation facilities. Any commercial, intensive almond plantations are absent in Ukraine. Almonds are only grown in households. Table 8.1. Ukraine: Total nut crop Planted area, Th ha Total crop, KMT Share of large-scale commercial production, % 2010 16.0 87.5 2011 17.0 112.6 2012 16.9 97.0 2013 17.0 116.0 2014* 17.1 105.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine; *estimate excluding Crimea FOREIGN TRADE The following several segments have developed in Ukraine’s foreign trade in nuts: export of high quality nuts for fresh eating to the EU and northwestern Asia, export of medium quality nuts for domestic use in the CIS and partially Asian markets, export of shelled nuts, export of processed products (oil, meal, BAAs), import of nuts for the domestic market, further commercial treatment and resale to the raw material markets of West and East Europe, Asia, and the CIS Table 8.2. Ukraine: Walnut exports, KMT 2011 Inshell nuts 11.4 Kernels 27.4 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine 2012 2013 17.8 30.5 9.4 22.1 Diagram 8.2. Nut kernel exports 3 000,0 1 800,0 1 600,0 2 500,0 7 000,0 6 000,0 6 000,0 5 000,0 1 400,0 5 000,0 1 200,0 1 500,0 800,0 3 000,0 3 000,0 600,0 1 000,0 1 000,0 Custom Value Sept 14 July 14 Aug 14 June 14 Apr 14 May 14 March 14 Jan 14 Feb 14 Dec 13 Oct 13 Export Nov 13 Sept 13 July 13 Aug 13 June 13 0,0 Apr 13 0,0 May 13 Sept 14 July 14 Aug 14 June 14 Apr 14 May 14 March 14 Jan 14 Feb 14 Dec 13 Oct 13 Export Nov 13 Sept 13 July 13 Aug 13 June 13 Apr 13 May 13 March 13 Jan 13 Feb 13 0,0 March 13 200,0 0,0 2 000,0 2 000,0 Jan 13 400,0 500,0 Feb 13 1 000,0 4 000,0 4 000,0 t 1 000,0 US$/t 2 000,0 t 2014 (Jan-Sept) 1.8 16.3 US$/t Diagram 8.1. Inshell nut exports 2013 (Jan-Sept) 3.2 9.7 Custom Value Table 8.3. Contact details of walnut exporters Exporter LLC UkrNut Company Exim Group Corporation Nutsee Primed Address Office 43, Borey business center, 41, Severnaya St., Burlacha Balka village, Illichivsk, Odesa region 96, Lvivska St., (557A), Horodok, Lviv region #8, Bogomoltsa St., 21, Uzhgorod, 88015 46/2, Moskovska St., Kyiv 01015 UkrDriedFruits Harchenka St., Kamyanets Podilsky, Khmelnytsky region Contacts +38-048-705-4168, +38-066-973-5206 E-mail: [email protected] +38 099 5270784 E-mail: [email protected] +38 (0312) 429 917 E-mail: [email protected] http://www.nutsee.com/english/ Director: Yanchiy Vyacheslav (Mr.) Mobile: +38 (067) 310-0067 +380 44 230 2359 www.primed.com.ua +380 98 599 1881 http://ukrdriedfruits.all.biz E-mail: [email protected] WALNUT QUALITY PARAMETERS Walnut kernels intended for sale are classified by category as follows: • Butterflies (halves). Butterfly walnut is separated into two more or less equal parts – kernel halves. According to the standard, 85%-90% of all the sampled nuts must be intact halves, with the remaining 10% consisting of kernels with a size of at least 2/3 of the half. • Quarters. Quarter walnuts are whole halves of the butterfly, i.e. one fourth part of the kernel. All the kernels are separated into four more or less equal parts, a 10% admixture of large pieces is allowed in a nut sample. According to the standard, quarter walnuts must not pass through a 7 mm mesh. The average diameter of a nut lot usually ranges within 7-20 mm. Quarters are used for both fresh eating and industrial processing. • One-eighth parts. One-eighth walnut is a piece equaling 1/8 of the kernel. Its diameter averages 614 mm, with 10% of at least 3 mm pieces allowed in each nut sample. • Mix. Mix walnuts represent a mixture of one-eighth parts, quarters and butterflies. Mix walnuts are commercially available with a pre-ordered ratio between components of the mix. As a rule, the mix includes 30% of butterfly walnuts with the remaining 70% consisting of one-eighth and quarter walnuts. • Small pieces. The size of small kernel pieces varies from 4 to 6 mm, i.e. the particle does not pass through a 3 mm mesh. • Crumble or flour. Walnut of the crumble category represents kernel fragments with a size of at most 3 mm. The walnut quality parameters comply with the UNECE DDP-02 and GOST 16832-71 Standards. Commodity quality specification: Physical and chemical characteristics: The kernels must be dry, sound, with no damages, rancidity, mould, decay, visible pest-caused damages, live or dead bugs. The general appearance is to be healthy, with no dull, shriveled parts and no foreign smell. The kernels must be from the current marketing year’s crop. Table 8.4 Indicator: % Shell pieces, partitions: % Kernels of amber color in A category: % Humidity: % Allowable size deviation % Foreign matter: Mycotoxins: Aflatoxins (B1+B2+G1+G2): Aflatoxins (Bl): Radionuclides: Cesium 137: Strontium 90: Pesticides: α, β, γ – isomers: DDT and its metabolites: Toxic elements: Lead: Arsenic: Cadmium: Mercury: Allowable levels: max 0.05 max 3.0 max 6.0 max +2.0% not allowed max 0.004 mg/kg max 0,002 mg/kg max 200 Bq/kg max 100 Бк/кг max 0.5 mg/kg max 0.15 mg/kg max 0.5 mg/kg max 0.3 mg/kg max 0.1 mg/kg max 0.05 mg/kg Shelf life: 12 months (if stored in a dry, cool place at temperatures of +10 C to +20 C and relative humidity of 55-60%) 9. MUESLI (FLAKES) MARKET OVERVIEW Dry breakfast market in Ukraine may be considered as favorable. Profitability of dry breakfast production in Ukraine reached 20-25% in 2012. At the same time, government is not interfering in regulation of the market. Total volume of dry breakfast market in Ukraine reached 58 thousand tons in 2013 while 60% of the products in the market were produced in Ukraine. Ukraine produces approximately 35 thousand tons of dry breakfasts, including muesli, crunches and corn flakes. Quality of Ukrainian muesli is very doubtful due to lack of state standards that regulate the quality. There are approximately 10 producers in Ukraine. Muesli production volume in Ukraine is constantly rising. Ukraine imports approximately 2.5 thousand tons of muesli from Poland and Russia and exports approximately 3 thousand tons, mainly to Russia, Kazakhstan and Moldova. Major countries that export dry breakfasts to Ukraine are Germany and Poland. Approximately 56% of the market share in 2013 belonged to products, imported from these countries. Finland holds third place with 14% market share. Largest companies that imported dry breakfasts to Ukraine in 2013 were Ltd. “Nestle Ukraine”, Ltd. “Torgtrade-2005” and Ltd. “Raisio Ukraina”. It is vital to note that share of products that originated in Ukraine is being exported. Companies that purchase Ukrainian dry breakfasts are Russia, Moldavia and Belarus. They account for 60% of total exports of dry breakfasts, produced in Ukraine. In general, main consumers of dry breakfasts, produced in Ukraine are CIS region members. Major producers of muesli in Ukraine are also largest exporters of these products. Table 9.1. Contact details of muesli exporters Company LANTMANNEN AXA Address 08300 Ukraine, Кyivs'kiy region, Boryspil, Pryvokzal'na str, 3 Tel. +(38045) 957 11 34 E-mail Web-site http://www.start-ukraine.com/ Sunny Food 01011, Kyiv Str. Pecherskiy spusk home. 19 and, of. 47a Str.Ostrovsky, 57, Poltava, 36014, Ukraine Ukraine, Kyiv region, Shevchenko village, Shkolna street, 31 27100, Kirovograd region, Novoukrainka, Chaikovskogo 28 street +38(044) 500 55 36 [email protected] [email protected] http://www.sf.km.ua/en/ +380956014214 [email protected] [email protected] http://www.diamantltd.com.ua/ Diamant Ltd Shevchenko plant of consumer goods Novoukrainskiy kombinat khleboproductov +380 5961922 (44) +380(5251) 23044 50310 50311 http://shzpt.prom.ua/g4247070poprobuj [email protected] .ua www.gerkules.com.ua 10. YEAST MARKET OVERVIEW Yeast production in Ukraine has been relatively stable over the past 3-4 years. Production upgrades, the use of state-of-the-art technologies, and product quality improvements in 2006-2010 sharply reduced the share of imports and saturated the market with yeast made in Ukraine. Nevertheless, market players expect the market’s capacity to shrink by 2-5% in the coming 1-2 years due to decreasing production of bread and bakery goods. At the same time, competition between manufacturers will intensify and the quality of Ukrainian product will improve. The yeast market follows seasonal trends. Although bread and bakery goods are bought throughout the year, the yeast demand is stronger in winter than in summer. There are two reasons behind this: firstly, bakery product demand from buyers weakens in summer; secondly, baking bread in winter requires a larger amount of yeast due to low temperature – this is a technological peculiarity. Table 10.1. Yeast production, 2010-2013 2011 2012 2013 89.8 95.3 91.4 2010 81.1 2014* 88.0 *UkrAgroConsult’s estimate Just a few companies produce yeast in Ukraine. In fact, they have monopolized the market. These producers do not confine themselves to domestic sales, but also make export ones and successfully compete with their rivals based in the former USSR. The main competitive advantage of Ukrainian yeast is an optimum ratio between price and quality. The key countries buying Ukrainian yeast include Russia, Poland, the Czech Republic, and Bulgaria. In total, 30 KMT of yeast was exported in 2013 and 20 KMT in January-September 2014. Diagram 10.1. Yeast exports from Ukraine, 2013 Romania Moldova 4% Hungary 5% Others 9% Russia 32% 4% Netherlands 6% Bulgaria 11% Czech Rep. 14% Poland 15% Enzym, a Lviv-based company is the undoubted leader in terms of both production and exports. Its share in overall yeast production varies within 45-50%. About 25% of production annually is exported to the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Poland, Bulgaria, Moldova and Russia. "Enzym Company" is the largest manufacturer of pressed and dried yeast in Ukraine and the industry leader in the former Soviet Union. This company is the only one in Ukraine and one of the fewest in Europe capable of manufacturing dry yeast. The company exported 10.8 KMT of yeast in January-September 2014, i.e. it accounted for 53% of the total export volume. Diagram 10.2 Ukraine: Main yeast exporters, 2014 Others 16% Enzym 53% Nadezhda 4% Odesa Yeast 12% Kharkiv yeast company 15% The next top exporter is the Kharkiv yeast plant. The company exports its products mostly to Poland and Hungary. They are also shipped to Bulgaria, Moldova, and Romania. Yeast exports totaled 3.2 KMT in January-September 2014. The Odeski Drizhdzhi (Odesa Yeast) brand is a yeast market leader in Ukraine and Moldova. 2.4 KMT was exported in January-September 2014. Nadezhda Company was established in 2003 and created on the basis of “Krivoy Rog yeast plant” set up in 1973. Since 2003 JSC “Nadezhda” has been a member of Lesaffre Group, as a result for several years the plant has been going through the process of equipment modernization that helps to improve the quality of products to the European level. The key area of the enterprise’s activity is the production of compressed bread-making and alcohol yeast and yeast milk. Table 10.2. Ukraine: main yeast exporters and their contacts Company Address Tel. E-mail Web-site Enzym Company Lychakivska Str., 232, Lviv, 79014, Ukraine +38 (032) 298-98-01 [email protected] http://www.enzym.lviv.ua/ [email protected] www.yeast.com.ua [email protected] http://www.lesaffre.ua/nadejda +38 (032) 298-98-35 +38 (032) 298-98-25 Kharkiv yeast company Moskovskiy Ave, 135-A, 61001, Kharkiv, Ukraine +38 (057) 732-51-35 Odesa yeast Melnitskaya Str., 31, Odessa, 65033, Ukraine +38 (048) 37-53-90 +38 (0482) 733-58-98 +38 (0482) 35-80-97 Nadezhda, Krivoy Rog yeast company 27 Partsezda, Krivoy Rog, Dnepropetrovsk region, 50025 + 38 (0564) 93-66-30 +38 (057) 732-29-01 11. VEGETABLE, FRUITS, BERRIES MARKETS OVERVIEW Sector Fruits and Vegetables Key figures - Trends Outlook Major risks Vegetables - 9873 KMT produced in 2013 with yield 19,9 T/ha Fruits and Berries 2295 KMT produced in 2013, yield, 10,35 T/ha Available Storage - 60% of vegetables, 20% of fruits and berries Average year 30% of crop is lost to spoilage F&V accounts for 49% of value of all crops produced in Ukraine 30% of produced vegetables are processed, and 20% of fruit and berry Majority of production is from peasant households Shift of production to Agricultural enterprises is fastest with fruits and slowest with vegetables - Investment is focused on irrigation, storage, greenhouses and orchards - Domestic consumption of fresh F&V is below EU levels but is moving on the same trajectory as Poland - Supermarkets are replacing other channels for fruits and vegetables - Processing is highly concentrated with top processors increasing export focus - Fresh fruit and vegetable supply fluctuates strongly from year to year as producers strongly increase or decrease planting to capture market trends often contributing to oversupply or shortages - Price fluctuations are driving smaller producers out of the market and over time production from ag enterprises will overtake household production. We expect this to occur within the next ten years, and it will be first evident in production of apples and other orchard fruit. Change in vegetable production from households to commercial farms will be driven by supermarkets looking for secure reliable and volume supplies. - Greenhouse production will continue increasing as energy inefficient houses are being replaced by more cost efficient encouraging producers to expand. - Processors will continue expanding by developing contract farm raw material supply and by undertaking own farming. Weather risks – late spring frosts Drought Excess heat Market risks – oversupply/shortages Better quality lower cost imports VEGETABLES: ONION, CARROT, BROCCOLI, PEA, MUSHROOMS Average annual production of vegetables in Ukraine fluctuates from 7 to 10 million tons, as cucumbers and tomatoes account for approximately 3-4 million tons. Vegetable production is unstable year-over-year and is heavily dependent on weather factor. Vegetables are produced mainly in open soil. Vegetables are grown in all regions of Ukraine. Cultures that require warmth (tomatoes, onions and cucumbers) are grown mainly in Steppes zone, others that are more susceptible to colder temperatures (cabbage) are grown in Woodland region and root-crops (carrots, beets) are grown in Forest-steppe After collapse of USSR structure of vegetable production in Ukraine has changed significantly with increase of the private sector share. At the moment, major share of vegetable production is carried out by the private sector. Main distribution directions for private households vegetable producers, are wholesale to distributors and farmers markets. In general, large-scale vegetable business in Ukraine is its developing stage. Since demand for largescale shipments of quality vegetable products from wholesale resellers (supermarket chains, exports) is increasing annually in Ukraine, there is high growth potential for the fruits and vegetables sector. At the same time, along with high segment potential, development of supermarket chains under high consumer demand is attracting new large companies to the sector, which are investing significant amounts in its development. However, recent years have shown that fruits and vegetable sector in Ukraine is characterized by significant over-production due to irrational use of farmland, seasonality factor, as well as lack of necessary amount of storage facilities, leading to existence of increase of external risk factors. Although Ukraine is self sufficient in vegetables, it is a net importer of vegetables because on any given year 10% or more of vegetables produced are lost to waste. The majority of losses are postharvest. The reason for large post-harvest losses is lack of adequate storage. Five years ago Ukraine had adequate storage for 10% of harvested vegetables, in 2013 availability of storage increased to about 50% of harvested vegetables. Ukraine’s vegetables overproduction crisis will likely force numerous weaker smaller producers out of business, and lead to greater specialization of agricultural enterprises on crops they are best prepared to produce. Another consequence of the crisis will likely be that investment in equipment and storage, and on high quality inputs and chemicals will likely fall. We expect Ukrainian consumption of vegetables will increase by 10-15% over the next five years. The majority of this increase will be concentrated in urban areas, as rural areas remain mostly self sufficient in supply of own vegetables than urban ones. The bulk of growth will be concentrated in the retail chain/outlet channel. Onion and carrot Kherson and Odessa regions are leaders in onion production. Crop reached 170 thousand tons in Kherson region and 90 thousand tons in Odessa region in 2013. Kharkiv (60 thousand tons), Zaporizhya (54 thousand tons) and Kyiv (52 thousand tons) are holding third, fourth and fifth spots respectively. Volyn (90 thousand tons), Kyiv (88 thousand tons) and Kherson (72 thousand tons), were regions with largest production volume of carrots in terms of geographical break-down. Diagram 11.1 1200 Diagram 11.2 Ukraine: Onion production, KMT 1000 1000 Ukraine: Carrot production, KMT 800 800 600 600 400 400 200 200 0 0 2010 2011 2012 2010 2013 2011 2012 2013 Due to large production volume of both: onions and carrots, exports of these products from Ukraine have been growing since 2011. However, share of exports in total production volume of onions is measured at approximately 7%. Along with the increase of shipments volume, exports geography has widened as well. Even though onions from Ukraine was exported to Moldova and further re-exported to Romania and Bulgaria in 2012, Ukrainian companies managed to secure exports to EU region countries in 2013. Ukraine also managed to set exports records to Georgia, and made it to top-3 companies exporting onions to Russia. Diagram 11.3 Cyprus Romania 3% 2% Iraq Seishellas 3% 4% Moldova 4% USA 4% Ukraine: Onion exports by country, 2013 Others 8% Russia 64% Georgia 8% Approximately 20% of carrots, produced in Ukraine are being exported. 21 thousand tons of carrots were exported in 2013. Main market for Ukrainian carrots is Russian Federation, which imported 17.3 thousand tons of carrots. Ukrainian carrots were also exported to Moldova (3.2 thousand tons). Diagram 11.4 Ukraine: Carrot exports by country, 2013 Moldova 15% Belarus 2% Others 0% Russia 83% Peas. Exports of sweet peas is insignificant: 1.2 thousand tons of green peas were exported in 2013. Main countries that purchased Ukrainian peas were Switzerland, Germany and U.S. Exports of frozen peas in 2013 reached 2.4 thousand tons. Approximately entire volume of frozen peas was exported to Russia. Mushrooms. Main purchaser of fresh champignons, produced in Ukraine is Moldova. 6 thousand tons of mushrooms were exported to Moldova in 2013, which reached 94% of total exports. At the same time, Moldova imported frozen champignons, produced in Ukraine, however total volume reached only 15 tons. Broccoli. Ukraine exports frozen broccoli as the volume of exports is insignificant. 19 out of 26 tons were shipped to Russia in 2013. Frozen products Demand for frozen fruit and vegetable mixes in Ukraine is growing daily. Market of this type of product started forming after active expansion Hortex и Hortino. National producers noted that frozen products are in high demand and decided to bring their own frozen products to the market, which are of the same quality as imported products and are more attractive in terms of pricing. At the moment, market is saturated by approximately 70% or less. Frozen fruits and vegetables market is characterized by wide assortment, represented by both: fruits and vegetables as well as wild berries and mushrooms. Ukrainian market of frozen goods is young, in process of formation and is unsaturated on one hand and quite narrow and specific on the other. Structure of national market of frozen goods is composed of vegetable mixes (53%), and vegetables (30%) Production of packaged frozen vegetables in Ukraine reaches 40-45%, while the rest of the products are sold as unpackaged goods. Share of Ukrainian producers is growing annually and reached 43% on frozen vegetables market in Ukraine. Imported products are represented by popular producers, such as: Bonduelle, Hortex, Globus, Hortino. Over 80% of imported products are supplied from Poland and China. Producers from Hungary, Serbia, Egypt and Belgium hold large shares of the market. In the future market will be developing as the result of diversification of market participants and own distributing networks. Market is vulnerable to seasonality factor. Demand is starting to grow in January-April. At the same time, frozen goods market requires long-term financial investments as raw materials has to be purchased in summer, while the goods are sold towards the New Year. According to evaluation of market participants, demand for frozen fruit and vegetable products will be growing. Raw material base, which is currently in development in Ukraine will be an important factor of future market growth. In general, average annual growth rate of Ukrainian market of fruits and vegetable goods is estimated at 6-8% with simultaneous increase of national production share. Potential demand growth is forecasted not only by tendencies of end consumption, but also by general consumption trends, which indicate increase of vegetable mixes share in total consumption compared to traditional meals. Table 11.1. Contact details of main vegetable producers/exporters Company Frau Marta (frozen vegetables) Frozen Trade Address Smilyanska str. 169, Cherkasy Tel. +380 (0472) 63-4553 E-mail Sovhovnaya Str., # 98, Dnepropetrovsk, 52005 +380 67 568 30 80 + 380 67 568 10 44 Silverstoun Investment Zhurnalistov Str., #18, Dnepropetrovsk + 380 67 560 06 26 Green Team Chaplynske h-w, 7, 74 800, Kakhovka, Kherson region +380 (552) 44 89 84/85/86 [email protected] http://www.greenteam.ua/ en/company/ Uvedi (onion, carrot) Ivana Kudri st. 22, off 30, Kiev, Ukraine +38 (044) 419-6816 +38 (050) 447-2499 [email protected] http://uvedi.com.ua/produ cts/onion.html West Retail 42 Voli Ave., Floor 4, Off. 409, Lutsk 43000 Volyn oblast +38 0332 78 34 94 [email protected] http://zakarpatproduct.co m/en/content/aboutus#main-wrapper [email protected] Web-site http://www.fraumarta.com .ua/en/ http://darus.com.ua/ FRUITS: APPLE, PEACH, APRICOT, PEAR, PLUM The unique soil and climatic conditions of Central Ukraine are ideal for growing fruit trees. The multitude of water reservoirs available in Central Ukraine lead to lower fruit production costs and higher yields. Fruit tree plantations are located mainly in Cherkasy, Vinnytsya, and Poltava regions. Mostly private companies and rural residents are engaged in fruit growing now, but they often lack advanced technology. About 85% of Ukrainian fruit and berries are produced by small private farms. At the same time, the share of large farming enterprises gradually expands, especially in the central regions of the country. The fresh fruit market is at an early stage of development. At the same time, increasingly more companies venture on fruit-growing business every year. A significant role in this process was played by a state program for horticulture development support. Another positive factor was growth of fresh fruit consumption in Ukraine over the last five years. The market of fresh fruit is represented by a narrow range: pomaceous (apples and pears) and stone fruits (plums, apricots, peaches, and cherries). Pomaceous account for some 60% of Ukraine’s fruit and berries production, stone fruits for 28%, while the shares of berries and nuts are 7% and 5%, respectively. Ukrainian horticultural businesses are represented mainly by small farms requiring no serious investment and large-scale growing enterprises having significant investment and using innovative practices. Horticulture is a costly business. Having invested in the establishment of an orchard, one can only expect returns in a few years, because the first harvest will be obtained no sooner than after two or three years. The key constraints for the development of horticulture are the lack of start-up capital or effective state support programs. There is a lack of subsidies, tenders; moreover, credit interest rates are too high. Despite all the difficulties, several thousand hectares of new orchards are annually planted in Ukraine. Ukraine officially exports about 70 KMT of fruits and berries. The main destination markets include Russia, Belarus, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. A number of professional export-oriented players have emerged in the market over the last five years. However, there are problems related to underdeveloped infrastructure and logistics, the absence of large wholesalers, high prices, non-conformity of cultivated varieties with the European standards, and the lack of experience. Ukraine imports about 1 MMT of fruits and berries, mostly from Equator, Egypt, Poland, Turkey, Italy and the Netherlands. These include predominantly bananas, apples, citrus, grapes, and kiwi. We expect that in five years the total size of Ukrainian market of fruits will increase by about 15-20% in terms of volume and by about 5-10% in terms of value. Diagram 11.5 Ukraine: Fruits and berries production, MMT 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Fruits prices Since fruit production is subject to seasonality, fruit prices fluctuate appreciably throughout the year. Low purchase prices are usually observed immediately after harvest. As a rule, fruit price changes rapidly depending on the market situation and product quality. To produce quality fruit and sell it at high prices, the farmer has to thoroughly pick crop varieties and strictly stick to growing practices. Apple. Ukraine is currently a net importer of apples, but production has been growing and it appears that within the next five years it will be a net exporter, displacing Polish imports in Ukraine and competing with them for market share on other markets. Intensive orchards are being planted in Vinnytsya, Khmelnitsky, Chernivtsi and Ternopil regions, which are far enough north to avoid early spring frost damage. Also given the difference in day and night temperatures apples produced in these regions are assured of good apple coloring. Opportunities exist for growing apples with good results in the south of Poltava and Cherkasy regions and in the south of Sumy region, as these regions are very close to large markets of Eastern Ukraine and are also close to Kyiv. Climatic conditions are also rather favorable, especially for red varieties of apples. Fruits Apple Table 11.2. Fruits production, 2013 Acreage, Th ha Yield, T/ha 120.2 11.66 Crop, Th T 1211.44 The Ukrainian apple market develops rapidly. A bumper apple crop was harvested in 2012, making Ukraine the eighth top apple producer in the world. Owing to the use of new productive apple varieties and modern growing practices in intensive orchards, high yields were achieved (average apple yield has increased 50% over the last five years). This allowed growers to meet domestic demand for apples and successfully export their produce. Although apple production sank in 2013, it was still high. Apple consumption rises from year to year because this is the most affordable fruit. The negative factors include demand in 2014 and a low purchasing power of the domestic market. Apple exports Russia continues to be the main market for both |European and Ukrainian apples. In 2012, Ukrainian apple exports to Russia totaled 17.5 KMT, or 92% of the overall export volume. In 2013, this traffic amounted to 10.6 KMT, or 97% of a total 10.9 KMT of apple exports. With regard to 2014 exports, in view of a valid ban on apple supplies to Russia and a bumper harvest in the EU, European farmers may face the problem of apple oversupply. In these circumstances, EU apple growers will look for alternative foreign markets for their apples. The most promising of them could be the Near East. An obstacle for boosting apple exports from Ukraine is competition with Poland, a major apple exporter. A negative influence was also exerted by a recent temporary ban on imports of crop produce, including apples. Due to a good apple harvest, produce of good quality was exported to Russia for higher prices than bid for it in the domestic market. Now these apples will go to the domestic market that may entail a slight price decrease, but precisely for quality apples. No doubt, entering new markets should become a strategic priority for the Ukrainian farmer. The range of promising destinations could embrace Kazakhstan, the Near East, and the Scandinavian markets. Noteworthy competitive advantages of Ukrainian apples include their rather low cost compared to key competitors in the domestic and international markets. This good competitiveness results first of all from a sharp devaluation of the hryvnia in 2014. At the same time, the largest supplier of apples to Ukraine is Poland, though import deliveries have decreased over recent years due to expanding domestic production. Table 11.3. Apple imports to Ukraine, KMT 2010 200 2011 98 2012 93 2013 55 Prices of apples are affected mainly by prices in Poland and prices in Russia. Though fruits market structure in the upcoming five years may change, share of apples will remain stable high. However it is important to note that at least 30% of Ukrainian apples are processed into concentrate and this segment continues to grow. Pears. A good pear harvest – 180 KMT – is expected in 2014. This would hit a decade high. Pear production rose primarily because new intensive orchards came to the fruiting age. Table 11.4 Fruits Pear Acreage, Th ha 14.9 Yield, T/ha 12.74 Crop, Th T 169.40 Ukrainian pear exports are insignificant: 222 MT was exported in 2013, almost all the volume (220 MT) went to Russia. Ukraine imports much more pears than exports. 5.1 KMT of pears were imported in 2013. The main suppliers to the Ukrainian market include the Netherlands, Poland, Turkey, Spain, and Italy. Apricots, peaches, plums, cherries. Production of apricots, peaches, and plums is insignificant in Ukraine. Apricot exports totaled 485 MT in 2013. 98% of the total export volume was shipped to Russia. Apricot imports are nearly ten times higher than exports. 3.8 KMT was imported to Ukraine from Armenia, Greece, Spain, Turkey in 2013. Peach exports are insignificant. 44 MT of peaches were exported in 2013, including 32 MT to Russia. Ukraine is a stable peach importer. So, it imported 36.2 KMT of peaches in 2013. The main suppliers were Greece, Spain, and Macedonia. Ukrainian plum exports are insignificant, too. Ukraine shipped just 57 MT of plums for export in 2013 – all this went to Russia. At the same time, Ukraine imported 2 KMT of plums from Spain, Italy, and Greece. Cherry exports from Ukraine totaled 4.1 KMT in 2013. The main destination country was Russia. Cherry imports are insignificant at 412 MT. The main suppliers included Poland and Turkey. Table 11.5. Fruit production in Ukraine, 2013 Fruits Peach Apricot Plum Cherry Acreage, Th ha 7.0 10.3 21.4 22.3 Yield, T/ha 6.39 14.48 9.60 9.88 Crop, Th T 37.40 134.97 183.55 200.77 Table 11.6. Contact details of main fruits market producers/exporters Company Svarog West Group Corporation Address Str. Zarichanska 3/2 (5th Floor), Khmelnitsky, 29015 Tel. +38 (0382) 72 47 81 E-mail Web-site [email protected] Group of companies Melitopol chereshnya Tsentralnaya Str., 12, Sadovoe village, Melitopol region, 72382, Zaporizhzhia region +380 619 440399 +380 67 612 30 58 [email protected] [email protected] http://www.svarogagro.com/en/at-aglance/histiry%20of%20dev elopment http://melcherry.com/inde x.php/our-products/fruitesand-berries West Retail 42 Voli Ave., Floor 4, Off. 409, Lutsk 43000 Volyn oblast Agrana Fruit Luka: Pryvokzalna street 2A, 23234 Vinnitsa region, Luka-Meleshkivska village Agrana Fruit Ukraine: Tarnogrodskogo Street 32, 21022 Vinnitsa +38 0332 78 34 94 [email protected] http://zakarpatproduct.co m/en/content/aboutus#main-wrapper vitaly.yurchenko@ agrana.com http://www.agrana.ua/en/ agrana-in-ukraine/agranafruit-luka/ Agrana Fruit Ukraine Agrana Fruit Luka +380 67 430 77 11 Vitaliy Yurchenko +380 67 432 1324 Eduard Andriyevskyy eduard.andriyevskyy@ agrana.com Lenina Str., 79A, Tyvriv villagem Vinnytsia region +380 4355 2 12 41 + 380 4355 2 11 35 - Farm producer Gadz Gorishnya, #79, Trybuhivtsi village, Buchah rayon, Ternopil region, 48431 [email protected] Farm Konyk Zavodskaya Str., #13, Storozhnytsia village, Uzhgorod, Zakarpatskiy region + 380 3544 2 91 89 +380 67 354 19 48 +380 67 354 61 57 +38 0312 73 23 61 Agro Etalon Company http://agroetalon.com.ua/index.php/n apryamkidiyalbnosti/sadovodstvo http://fggadz.com.ua/index.php BERRIES Ukraine is characterized by favorable soil and climate conditions for growing berries. The main berries grown in Ukraine are strawberry, blackcurrant, raspberry. In recent years there has been growing interest in cultural cultivation of bilberries, blackberries, cranberries and lingonberries, from farmers as well as private households. Absolutely all kinds of berries are profitable: some have a lower price margin, but bigger market share, the others - do not require a large production, and at the same time the price is high. Regionally the highest number of berries is produced in Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Kyiv, Zhytomyr, Cherkasy regions. These regions account for more than half of the total production in Ukraine. In Ukraine, the main production of berries is concentrated in private households, but for the last five years (since 2010) there has been substantial growth in the number of farms growing berries. For now there isn't many big suppliers of berries in the country; the berry business includes 80-100 players of different sizes. The share of large farms (with total area of plantations over 10 ha) is approximately 50-60% of the total strawberry production by agrarian enterprises. The development of the berry business is financed not only by Ukrainian, but also by foreign investors. For example, one of the largest dairy producers in the world, the company Danone launched a strawberry growing cooperative in Western Ukraine. Cooperative is provided with seedlings, equipment for drip irrigation, refrigerators. The area under strawberries is 30 ha. Investments into the project are about €2 mln. In Ukraine, a small volume of berries is grown or gathered by population. Large volumes (from 0.5 to 100 ha) in the open field, film greenhouses and glass greenhouses are provided by farmers. Berries are mainly sold through professional producers. Households sell fruits and berries mainly on pop-up and roadside markets, which leads to the instability of commodity supply, narrowed range and assortment of products, low commodity quality. Farms sell fruits and berries through market, shops, stalls, tents – 32%, through other channels (businesses) – 45%, to processing plants - 15-25% of production. The share of exports in the production of fruits and berries products is only 4-7%. In total, Ukraine had a negative balance of foreign trade of fresh fruits and berries. This is due primarily to the absence of the country's large-scale industrial production of fruits and berries, which would ensure the formation of large quantities of high-quality products from fruits and berries, low information, financial and material support of the farms, passive commodity policy, lack of marketing strategy, inadequate market infrastructure development and so on. Over the past five years, the volume of the Ukrainian berries market has increased by 50 th. tons and is now 200 th. tons. Such dynamic development is due to the fact that the demand for basic kinds of berries in Ukraine still exceeds their actual supply. The market was growing at 7-12% per year in 2013, but this is not the limit. Even with today's possibilities this figure can be increased to 25% per year. According to experts, its volume in 2013 in monetary terms amounted to $300 million. Amid the development of the domestic market occurs a fairly rapid development of domestic production, as well as positive export dynamics. Growing berries in Ukraine will be quite profitable business for a long time still. The average Ukrainian consumes during a year 3-4 times less berries than EU citizens. It is worth noting that almost all of the consumption of berries is limited by season, thus in the near future it is possible to predict a rapid increase in the production of off-season berries. For now Ukraine sees the demand for berries exceeding the supply, and as a result, prices for berries are rising, which will undoubtedly continue in the next 5-6 years. Ukraine is developing production of frozen berries, and the demand for such products is growing during the recent years. Freezing wild berries is not badly developed (Ukraine ranks third in the world in the production of frozen berries), but the processing of cultivated berries (due to problems with raw materials) do not yet has such rates. The main distribution channel of frozen berries - further processing and export. Exported usually are cranberries, blueberries, and other berries of the genus Vaccinium. 75% of the harvested berries goes to France, Germany, Lithuania, Poland, USA. According to experts, the export potential of Ukrainian fruits and berries production remains almost untapped, and that offers tremendous opportunities for investment in improved technology, technical facilities, processing and marketing. Unfortunately, today the vast majority of Ukrainian producers can not yet enter the European market. There are several reasons: the volume and stability of supply, price, quality, certification of production. Today in Ukraine only a few of the manufacturers can create export consignment of products, but given that berries are mostly grown in the open field, the ability to supply depends on weather conditions. To ensure a steady supply of quality products it is necessary to invest in protected soil technology and post harvest handling. Strawberry There is an annual increase in production of strawberries in Ukraine. In 2013, the country has recorded a surplus of strawberries. This occurred amid the increase in imports of berries, which triggered a collapse in prices at the beginning of the season to a record low for the last five years. As a consequence, in 2014, there was a trend toward lower rates of expansion of the areas under the earlier varieties of strawberries in the southern and central regions of the country, and the area under the medium and late varieties of berries remained unchanged. Table 11.7. Strawberry production, KMT 2010 52.3 2011 52.0 2012 56.6 2013 70.7 2014* 74.4 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine; *UkrAgroConsult estimation Major producers of strawberries in Ukraine are the following companies: Agra, Crimean Fruit Company, Danone, Agrifirm "Vesna-2011" Melytopolska chereshnya, Eco-fruit. The main part in the exports of strawberries are fresh berries. The main exports market is Russia. Table 11.8. Strawberry export, MT Fresh 2013 183.0 2014 (Jan-Sep)* 1560.1 Frozen 231.8 651.3 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine; *UkrAgroConsult estimation Table 11.9. Fresh strawberry exporters Exporter Address Contacts Tsentralna Street, Sadove village, Zaporizhia region, 72382 Tel.: +380 619 440399 Melytopolska chereshnia 2A, Pryvokzalna street, LukaMeleshkivska village, Vinnitsia region, Ukraine, 23234 Tel.: +380 432 553568 113, Kirova Street, Bashmachka village, Dnipropetrovsk region, Ukraine, 52462 Tel.: +380-56-3730120 AGRANA Fruit LUKA Soniachne, LLC Brusiliv Agro Impeks, LLC 1-V, Gur'eva Street, Morozivka village, Zhytomyr region, 12634 Email: [email protected] Fax: +380 432 553589 +380-56-3741111 Tel.: +380 63 2452223 Table 11.10. Frozen strawberry exporters Exporter Address Galfrost, LLC AGRANA Fruit LUKA Tecofood SilverStone LLC Investment, Contacts 52, Popudrenka str., Kyiv, Ukraine, 02660 2A, Pryvokzalna street, LukaMeleshkivska village, Vinnitsia region, Ukraine, 23234 21, Natalii Uzhvii Street, VolodymyrVolynskyi, 44700, Ukraine 18, Zhurnalistov Street, Dnepropetrovsk, Dnepropetrovsk region, Ukraine Tbilisskyiy Lane 4/10, Kiev, 03055 Tel.: +38 044 492 92 58 Email: [email protected] Tel.: +380 432 553568 Тel/Fax: +380 (44) 228-22-99 Тel/Fax: +380 (3342) 2-2992 Tel.: +380 67 5600626, +380 67 5603808 Tel.: 380 44 2302368 2302359 Email: [email protected] Prymed, LLC Raspberry The main production of raspberry is concentrated in private households. Industrial production has started to develop only in the last 5-7 years. Ukraine is actively cultivating remontant raspberries, which has higher damage resistance while transported. The increase in production of raspberries is mainly due to the expansion of planting area by farms. Table 11.11. Raspberry production, KMT 2010 25.9 2011 26.8 2012 27.2 2013 29.5 2014* 31.0 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine; *UkrAgroConsult estimation Major producers of raspberries in Ukraine are Agrana, "Gadz", "Malina", BETEC. The major share of raspberry exports are frozen products. Table 11.12. Raspberry exports, KMT Fresh 2013 39.7 2014 (Jan-Sep)* 10.0 Frozen 303.2 635.3 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine; *UkrAgroConsult estimation Table 11.13. Fresh raspberry exporters Exporter Address «Malina» Za Rudkoyu Street, 14a/7, Ternopil, Ternopil region, 46008 Contacts Tel.: (050) 607-78-34, (097) 612-67-70 Email: [email protected] Tel.: +380 44 494 31 91 BETEC, LLC Polevaia Street, 1b, Barvinovka village, Zhytomir region +380 44 494 31 92 +380 4141 6 07 04 Email: [email protected] Table 11.14. Frozen raspberry exporters Exporter Address Contacts Tel.: 380 44 2302368 Tbilisskyiy Lane, 4/10, Kiev, 03055 Prymed, LLC 2302359 Email: [email protected] Tel.: +38 (0352) 430591 9, Promyslova Street, Ostriv village, Ternopil region, 47728 Sim-Sim, LLC +38 (0352) 274905 +38 (0352) 291007 Fax: +38 (0352) 430677 21, Natalii Uzhvii Street, Volodymyr-Volynskyi, 44700, Ukraine Tecofood 1, Fruktova Street, Maiaky village, Volyn region Darlisad, LLC Тel/Fax: +380 (44) 228-22-99 Тel/Fax: +380 (3342) 2-2992 Tel.:+38(0332) 720118 , +38(0332) 292801 52, Popudrenka Street, Tel.: +38 044 492 92 58 Galfrost, LLC Kyiv, Ukraine, 02660 Email: [email protected] Blackcurrant Highly interesting is the production of blackcurrant. After all, unlike other berries, its cultivation does not require buying planting materials abroad. Blackcurrant varieties of domestic breeding are better than foreign. In recent years, the plantations of berries in the Central and Western regions of Ukraine are expanding. Table 11.15. Blackcurrant production, KMT 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* 22.6 24.8 25.1 26.6 29.0 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine; *UkrAgroConsult estimation Among the largest producers of blackcurrant are “FruktEksPol”, which grows it on 245 ha. The planting area under blackcurrant is planned to be increased up to 500 ha (it will be Europe's largest plantation) and also grow raspberries on 50 ha and on 100 ha - strawberries. “FruktEksPol” grows blackcurrants according to modern technologies and own all the necessary equipment, including two custom combines of Polish production. A major producer of blackcurrant is also a company Dary Volyni, which has 80 ha under berry plantations. Currently, Ukraine exports only frozen blackcurrant berries. The products are exported mainly to the CIS countries. Table 11.16. Blackcurrant exports, MT Frozen 2013 43.1 2014 (Jan-Sep)* 91.8 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine; *UkrAgroConsult estimation Table 11.17. Exporters of frozen blackcurrant berries Exporter Address Contacts Tel.: +380 (50) 357-77-54, 1a, Rankova Street, Lutsk, Volyn region, 43000 Dary Volyni, LLC +380 (67) 405-91-96, +380 (67) 334-32-16, Email: [email protected] 2A, Pryvokzalna street, LukaMeleshkivska village, Vinnitsia region, Ukraine, 23234 AGRANA Fruit LUKA Tel.: +380 432 553568 Tel.: +38 (0352) 430591 9, Promyslova Street, Ostriv village, Ternopil region, 47728 Sim-Sim, LLC +38 (0352) 274905 +38 (0352) 291007 98, Sovhoznaya Street, Dnepropetrovsk, Dnepropetrovsk region, 52005 Frozen Trade, LLC Tel.: +380 (67) 5683080 Bilberry/Blueberry Bilberries in Ukraine are gathered from wild plants. Procurement companies buy the berries from population. Gathering of berries begins in July and ends in August. Bilberries are picked by hand into special woven containers (baskets). In the last few years in Ukraine has seen a significant growth of interest in the cultivation of blueberries. Areas under high bush blueberry – have grown for the last 5 years from several small test plots to 280 ha in 2012-2014 in commercial production. Cultivated blueberries provide high margins, although its share of the market is small and significant investments into the production are needed. In Ukraine, blueberries are grown only during the last 6 years. However, the berries are interesting not only for consumers, but also for farmers. Thus, in the last year the areas under its cultivation have tripled. At present, about 10 companies are considering a proposal for investing in the production of blueberries. The interest of the consumer in it shows the fact that the growth in prices on the market of fresh berries continues. Volumes of high bush blueberry production are still small (less than 10 ha), because first harvest is usually gathered 2 years after the planting, and the full fruition of the crop is on 6th-8th year. The largest producer of blueberry in Ukraine is company "Flora", which grows it on an area of 110 ha. It is the largest plantation in Europe. The crop, for now, is harvested from an area of 65 hectares. The rest - are young plantations, which will bear fruit in a few years. "Flora" uses modern technology – the company uses drip irrigation, the plants are protected and additionally fed. Blueberry production in 2014 is estimated to be 4-6 KMT. Ukraine mainly exports frozen bilberries. The main markets are the EU and CIS countries. Table 11.18. Bilberry exports, KMT Fresh 2013 313,9 2014 (Jan-Sep)* 77,4 Frozen 13956,8 10342,7 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine; *UkrAgroConsult estimation Table 11.19. Exporters of fresh bilberry Exporter Address Contacts Tel.: +380 (3344) 44379 Prodholod-M, LLC 3, Ivanichivske shose, Novovolynsk, Volyn region +380 (50) 3783815 Email: [email protected] Tel.: (057) 783-50-91 4, Tbilisskyiy Lane, Kharkiv, 61177 Vesta, LLC (057) 715-45-32 Table 11.20. Exporters of frozen bilberry Exporter Address Contacts Tel.: 380 44 2302368 Prymed, LLC Tbilisskyiy Lane, 4/10, Kiev, 03055 2302359 Email: [email protected] AGRANA Fruit LUKA 2A, Pryvokzalna street, LukaMeleshkivska village, Vinnitsia region, Ukraine, 23234 Meteora-Zakarpattia 39, Slyvova Street, Khust village, Zakarpattia region, 90400 Tecofood 21, Natalii Uzhvii Street, Volodymyr-Volynskyi, 44700, Ukraine Tel.: +380 432 553568 Tel:+380 3142 55062 Тel/Fax: +380 (44) 228-22-99 Тel/Fax: +380 (3342) 2-2992 Tel.: +38 044 492 92 58 52, Popudrenka Street, Galfrost, LLC Kyiv, Ukraine, 02660 Email: [email protected] Bos Berries, Ltd 27, Valentyna Tereshkova Street, Shepetivka, Khmelnytsk region, 30400 HIPP-UZHGOROD, LLC 82a, Kapushanska Street, Uzhgorod, Zakarpattya region, 88018 +38 (03840) 41810 Tel.: (0312) 615345 Email: [email protected] Blackberry Blackberry in Ukraine is mainly wild growing. Blackberry gathering season begins in June-August, depending on the area of cultivation. Cultivated plantations for now occupy small areas from 0.05 to 2 ha, but a growing interest in the cultivation of the berries is noted and the areas under them are constantly expanded. Ukraine exports frozen blackberry. The main market is the EU. Table 11.21. Blackberry exports, MT 2013 851.6 Frozen 2014 (Jan-Sep)* 1400.0 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine; *UkrAgroConsult estimation Table 11.22. Exporters of frozen blackberries Exporter Karpaty-Eko, LLC Address Contacts 2, Shevchenka Street, Duliby village, Lviv region, 82434 Tel.: +380 3245 36789 Email: [email protected] 21, Natalii Uzhvii Street, VolodymyrVolynskyi, 44700, Ukraine Tecofood Biopol, LLC Rivneholod, OJSC Тel/Fax: +380 (44) 228-22-99 Тel/Fax: +380 (3342) 2-2992 127, Borisa Gmyri Street, office 13, Kyiv, 02140 Tel.: +38 (044) 2358378 112, Kn. Volodymyra St., Rivne, 33009, Ukraine Tel.: +38 0362 63 38 18 Tel.: +38 044 492 92 58 52, Popudrenka Street, Galfrost, LLC Fax: +38 044 492 92 57 Kyiv, Ukraine, 02660 Email: [email protected] Cranberry Cranberries in Ukraine are wild growing. Cranberry harvest season begins in August-September. Cultivated plantations are almost non-existent. Experimental areas are planted. Cranberries are mainly exported frozen. The main markets are the EU countries and the CIS, and is also exported to US and Israel. Table 11.23. Cranberry exports, th. tones Fresh Frozen 2013 77.3 1197.1 2014 (Jan-Sep)* 161.6 685.0 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine; *UkrAgroConsult estimation Table 11.24. Fresh cranberry exporters Exporter Address Contacts Emita, LLC 2a, 100-richchia Manevych, Manevychi, Volyn region, 44600 Tel.: +38 (03376) 22592 Biopol, LLC 127, Borisa Gmyri Street, office 13, Kyiv, 02140 Tel.: +38 (044) 2358378 Table 11.25. Exporters of frozen cranberry Exporter Address Contacts 21, Natalii Uzhvii Street, Volodymyr-Volynskyi, 44700, Ukraine Tecofood Тel/Fax: +380 (44) 228-22-99 Тel/Fax: +380 (3342) 2-2992 Tel.: 380 44 2302368 Tbilisskyiy Lane, 4/10, Kiev, 03055 Prymed, LLC 2302359 Email: [email protected] Rivneholod, OJSC Biopol, LLC 112, Kn. Volodymyra St., Rivne, 33009, Ukraine Tel.: +38 0362 63 38 18 127, Borisa Gmyri Street, office 13, Kyiv, 02140 Tel.: +38 (044) 2358378 Tel.: +38 044 492 92 58 52, Popudrenka Street, Galfrost, LLC Fax: +38 044 492 92 57 Kyiv, Ukraine, 02660 Email: [email protected] 18, Zhurnalistov Dnepropetrovsk, Dnepropetrovsk Ukraine Silverstone Investment, LLC Street, Tel.: +380 67 5600626, region, +380 67 5603808 Lingonberry Lingonberry in Ukraine is wild growing. Gathering season for lingonberry is in August-September. Cultivated plantations are almost non-existent. Experimental areas are planted. Lingonberry is exported from Ukraine in frozen form. The main direction of the market is the EU. Table 11.26. Lingonberry export, MT Frozen 2013 808.7 2014 (Jan-Sep)* 493.6 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine; *UkrAgroConsult estimation Table 11.27. Frozen lingonberry exporters Exporter Tecofood Rivneholod, OJSC Karpaty-Eko, LLC Biopol, LLC Bos Berries, Ltd Address 21, Natalii Uzhvii Street, Volodymyr-Volynskyi, 44700, Ukraine 112, Kn. Volodymyra St., Rivne, 33009, Ukraine 2, Shevchenka Street, Duliby village, Lviv region, 82434 127, Borisa Gmyri Street, office 13, Kyiv, 02140 27, Valentyna Tereshkova Street, Shepetivka, Khmelnytsk region, 30400 Contacts Тel/Fax: +380 (44) 228-22-99 Тel/Fax: +380 (3342) 2-2992 Tel.: +38 0362 63 38 18 Tel.: +380 3245 36789 Email: [email protected] Tel.: +38 (044) 2358378 +38 (03840) 41810 Tel.: (0312) 615345 HIPP-UZHGOROD, LLC 82a, Kapushanska Street, Uzhgorod, Zakarpattya region, 88018 Email: [email protected] 12. CONFECTIONERY SUNSEED MARKET OVERVIEW (SEEDS FOR BAKERY) In the world production of sunflower the share of large-seed and confectionery varieties for the past 5 years has been increasing steadily. The share of large-seeded varieties and hybrids in the world production of sunflower accounts for about 5% of sowing areas. The growing demand also caused the CIS to increase the share of varieties with a large weight of 1000 seeds in the overall structure of sunflower crops. In Ukraine, there is no precise information on the sowing areas of large-seeded varieties of sunflower, as the farms do not give a separate data on the share of such varieties in gross revenue of all manufactured products in statistical reports. However, based on the sales of seeds, you can say that the acreage of these varieties is 150-200 Th. ha annually. The average yield is 2.0-2.5 T/ha. This segment is about 3-5% of the total production of sunflower seed. A new trend in the market stimulates the creation and introduction of sunflower hybrids of confectionery type. Confectionery sunflower is mainly cultivated in Zaporizhia, Kherson, Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava, Mykolaiv, Donetsk regions. A number of farms for many years already, specialize in the cultivation of large-seeded and confectionery sunflower, allocating under it 300-1000 ha. These farms already offer calibrated product in large quantities (25 tons) for sales. Special characteristics of confectionery sunflower — seed size, marketable condition, color, dehusking, and the thickness of the shell. Size parameters - the 1000 seed weight. It should be more than 100 g for the confectionery sunflower. For confectionery purposes calibrated sunflower 34+, 36+, 38+, 40+ is sold. 7-8 years ago the most common confectionery sunflower in Ukraine was Donskoy, possibly due to the large mass of seeds and thickness of hull. This variety is in high demand in countries such as Romania, Bulgaria, Poland. However, in recent years Lakomka has become a more popular sort, which which yields to Donskoy in size (140 g, and the Lakomka - 115-120 g), but surpasses it in taste and is quite common in Georgia, Armenia, the Baltic States and in Europe. In addition, the yield of Lakomka is higher than that of Donskoy. Quite popular in Ukraine cultivars Reine-K, Almaz, Zaporizhia confectionary, Ranok, Turkish white. Confectionery sunflower, grown in Ukraine, is consumed in the domestic market as well as exported. However, to accurately estimate the volume of exports is not possible, because the product does not have a separate HS code. According to market operators, about 35-40% of the seeds produced in Ukraine are exported. The main export destinations are the CIS countries, the EU, Canada, USA. Table 12.1. Contact details of producers/exporters of confectionery sunflower Producer/exporter Address Capital Trade, LLC 8, Sedokova Street, Zaporizhzhia, 69001 Agroholding August 40, Frunze Street, Kyiv, 04070 «Agroprime Holding» LLC 154 , Belgorod-Dnistrovska Street, Izmail, Odesa region, Ukraine, 68609 “Enlightening-production and commercial firm “Syaivo” Ltd. 7а, Moskovska Street, Nizhyn, Chernigiv region, 16608 Company «KANI» Agrarian company 50, K. Marx Avenue, P/O box 778, Dnipropetrovsk, 49008 Kherson Contacts Tel. +380672235223 Tel. +380612701163 Email: [email protected] Tel.: +38 044 425 44 09 E-mail: [email protected] Tel/Fax: 38 (04841) 4-88-79 Email: [email protected] Tel/Fax: 38 (04631) 5 34 04, 5 49 90, Email:[email protected] [email protected] +38 066 567 0 444 +38 096 567 0 444 +38 067-364-17-71 "Cambodzha" «Kherson-Export» LLC Email:[email protected] 51, Sovetskaya Street, Kherson region, Ukraine, 75 663 Tel. +380 (93) 434-26-05 CONFECTIONERY GARNISH MARKET The only company in Ukraine, which specializes in the production of decorations for the confectionery industry is "Confectionery decorations factory". Given the European development trends of the area, the Center of sweet decorations "Ukrasa" was created as an innovative company in the development of products that hadn't been manufactured in Ukraine before. After a large amount of developments in this direction, experimental tests, approbation of product samples in the Ukrainian market, the need of mass production of the goods arose. For this purpose, on the basis of the Center of sweet decorations "Ukrasa", the production enterprise "Confectionery decorations factory" was established. This company has a united creative team, which is looking for ideas, develops technologies and organizes the production of a number of products, goods and solutions that enable fast and efficient production and decoration of desserts and confectionery. Consumers of these products are manufacturers as well as trade enterprises. The products are supplied all over the territory of Ukraine, and also to CIS countries, Germany, Canada, USA. Main activities: Production and sales of a wide range of Easter products, which helps maintain the best family and religious tradition of Easter celebration. Production and sales of decorations for confectionery, which includes individual flowers, leaves, and also complete compositions of small and large bouquets of various shapes, forms and colors, as well as full and flat figures of fairy tale characters, interesting story excerpts from nature and life. Production and sales of round and long sugar topping for decorating Easter pastries, confectionery and bakery products, ice cream and desserts. The range includes a wide range of bright colors and blends. Production and sales of packaged and weight food concentrates, raw materials and additives for the production of confectionery. Table 12.2 Contact detail of producers/exporters of confectionery sunflower Producer/exporter Address Contacts Ukrasa 9, Chernyshova Street, Rovno, 33001 Tel. +380 67 363 88 16 Tel. + 38 0362 62 80 10 Email: [email protected] http://www.ukrasa.com.ua 13. PELLETS MARKET OVERVIEW In Ukraine, pellets are used as cattle fodder – fresh, dried, and granulated. Historically, raw wet pellets were commercially available in Ukraine and used by collective farms. Now it is a less liquid product, primarily because cattle inventories have plummeted. Raw pellets (like cake) is taken by farmers for feed immediately at the production time, then stored in silo pits and fed sour to cattle in winter. To obtain dried pellets, raw cake is wringed out to 18-22% and then dried by hot air or furnace gases in special drums to a moisture content of at most 14%. Granulated pellets with a granule diameter of at most 12 mm are used for producing compound feeds. Most sugar refineries in Ukraine have equipment for making dried pellets. However, in view of high energy (gas, black oil) prices, dried and granulated pellets are made in insignificant amounts to order against 100% prepayment. Market participants estimate the share of dried and granulated pellets in total oilcake output at most at 5-7%. As of today, dried granulated pellets are rather an export-oriented commodity. At the same time, sugar holdings optimistically estimate the domestic market, too. They express confidence that this product will enjoy demand in Ukraine as well. For instance, Astarta-Ukraine is upgrading its mills to enable them to dry and granulate all the cake. Cake is a by-product of beet sugar production, therefore the latter directly determines its output. A downward trend persists in Ukrainian sugar beet plantings. Consequently, the number of sugar refining facilities and sugar production are on the decrease. The quantity of sugar companies working on sugar beet will continue falling in the future. Gradually increasing costs of sugar beet cultivation will urge the companies to produce less beet, replacing it with some cheaper-to-grow crops. Almost all the sugar grown in Ukraine is consumed in the domestic market, whose capacity amounts to 1.7-1.8 MMT. This leads to unstable sugar production dynamics due to regular hikes in carryovers. Table 13.1. Ukraine: Beet pellets production, MMT Beet sugar Beet pellets, total including granulated one* 2010 1.8 8.6 0.45 2011 2.3 11.0 0.6 2012 2.1 10.2 0.6 2013 1.3 5.0 0.7 2014* 1.7 8.2 0.4 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine; *estimate of UkrAgroConsult Granulated pellets is produced and supplied mostly in the period of active sugar beet processing, i.e. in September - January. The largest producers of granulated pellets are Astarta, Rise-Maximko (UkrLandFarming Holding), UkrPromInvest, Radekhivsky Tsukor, T-Tsukor (Mriya Holding). Table 13.2. Ukraine: Granulated beet pellets exports Quantity, KMT 2010 31.4 2011 39.5 2012 72.1 2013 89.2 2013 (Jan-Sept) 53.1 2014 (Jan-Sept) 12.9 Value, Ml US$ 4.6 7.8 13.8 17.8 10.7 2.6 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine The key destination markets for granulated pellets exports include Europe (United Kingdom, Poland, Lithuania, Spain, Italy), Asia and Africa (South Korea, Turkey, Morocco). Table 13.3. Ukraine: Exporters of granulated beet pellets Contacts Exporter Address 38/44, Pochainynska St., Kyiv Phone: +380 44 585 9417 Astarta 04070 e-mail: [email protected] Phone: +380 3255 4-11-10 39, Yunosti ave., Pavliv, Radekhiv +380 50 4312791 (Volodymyr) Radekhivsky Tsukor district, Lviv region e-mail: [email protected] Rise-Maximko 121-v, Peremohy ave., Kyiv 03115 UkrPromInvest 29-a, Elektrykiv St., Kyiv T-Tsukor 10, Mazepy St., 3rd floor, Ternopil 46000 Phone: +38 044 393 40 93 Fax: +38 044 393 40 74 e-mail: [email protected] Phone: +38 050 4443855 (Andriy Dmytrovych Zayka) Phone: +38 0352 47 60 85 +38 067 2468881 (Nazar) In October 2014, granulated beet pellets in Ukraine were priced at UAH 2500–3000/MT EXW for this year’s delivery. PELLETS QUALITY STANDARDS Granulated beet pellets should meet the requirements of TU 18-1-11-76. “Technical Specifications. Amido-granulated pellets.” Granulated dried pellets are green grey cylinders with diameters of 8, 10 and 12 mm containing up to 88% of dry matter. It is used for feeding cattle. Beet pellets should be dry and meet the requirements of the GOST 18.1-94 Standard “Technical Specifications. Dried pellets.”