A 3G story that makes sense
Transcription
A 3G story that makes sense
A 3G story that makes sense 22 mln pop / 240k km2 pg1 Terrain Map Economics Outlook GDP (%) Monthly average net income / capita USD 12 300 9 250 6 200 3 150 0 -3 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 100 50 -6 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Inflation Rate (%) 75 Unemployment rate (%) 15 60 10 45 30 5 15 0 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Source: Romanian Yearbook – National Institute of Statistics 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Telecommunications Market % PCs (x1,000) 3500 3000 16% 15% 14% 7,000 12% 5,000 10% 4,000 8% 3,000 12% 2500 9.7% 2000 1500 1000 2.3% 2.9% Internet users (x1,000) 6% 3.5% 4.0%4.7% 4% 500 2% 0 0% 6,000 5,000 4,000 16.2 16.9 17.6 18.3 19.43 19.98 20.24 20.14 3,000 2,000 25 4.4 2,000 0.7 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Fixed lines (x 1000) Penetration Rate (%) % 16,000 10 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 61.87 47.12 32.47 22 2.9 6.1 11.7 70 60 50 40 30 16.5 20 10 0 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Mobile phones (x 1000) Source: MCIT, ANRC, EIU Country indicators *estimates Penetration Rate (%) Mobile phones (x1,000) 10,000 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 5 1.6 0 15 0 10 6.9 2.6 1,000 14,000 12,000 5 15 10.2 20 1,000 20 18.5 Internet users (x 1000) % 25 23 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 PCs (x 1000) Penetration rate (%) Fixed lines (x1,000) % Penetration Rate (%) Zapp Overview & Strategy Zapp Milestones 2007 2006 2005 2004 2004 2001 2000 Launch EVDO Rev A in 450/2100 Licensed to use 2100 spectrum (11x) Launch of fixed WLL services Launch of EV-DO Rev 0 in 450 Achievement of EBITDA breakeven in 2Q 2004 Launch first cdma2000/450 network Licensed to use 450 spectrum to deploy cdma2000 (3x) Success Factors As the 4th entrant into the market (competing with Vodafone, Orange and Cosmote national GSM operators), Zapp managed to succeed thanks to its: Technology choice • cdma2000 to provide support for both high quality voice and high speed data services with intensive traffic profiles • Multi band support and smart interoperability with Bluetooth and Wi-Fi devices to enable innovative mobile applications Spectrum choice • 450 spectrum to achieve a large & cost-effective coverage • 2100 spectrum overlay to enable high capacity plant for 3G services Strategy choice • Convergent positioning at the account level to provide both urban & rural, mobile & fixed, voice & data services (enabling cross-selling) • Divergent positioning at the service instance level to enable specialized terminals to be used independently (unlike typical 3G) • Enabling affordable flat-fee based connectivity to the most valuable content for the end-user (via local peering and content self casting) Onward Strategy After the SME/SOHO initial focus, Zapp targets additional segments and niches enabled by: Corporate • Full nationwide coverage (450) and high capacity urban network (2100) Zapp SME, SOHO • Unlimited voice (on-net) and data services offering (flat-fee based) • Consumers New terminals offering and steadily decreasing handset prices • New mobile data features and applications (Brew, My Casting, VoIP) • Pre-paid services introduction • Services convergence J J aF ea n F eMn -0b - 0 2 M abA-a0r2- 0 2 A Mr p 20 2 M apJra-- 0yr2- 0 2 J uyJ-u00n2--0 2 An u2 0 2 A JuSu lu--00gl2--0 2 S eOge- 0p -20 2 O cNp -c0t2- 0 2 N oDt-o0v2-0 2 D e Jve-0c2- 0 2 J aFc-ea0n2-0 2 F eMn -0b2- 0 3 M abA-a0r3- 0 3 A Mr p 30 M apJra-- 0yr3- 0 33 J uyJ-u00n3--0 3 An u3 0 3 A JuSu lu--0g0l3--0 3 S eOge- 0p 3- 0 3 O cNp -c0t3- 0 3 N Dt-o v30 3 D eoJve-00c3--0 3 J aFc-ea0n3-0 3 F eMn -0b3- 0 4 M abA-a0r4- 0 4 A Mr p 40 4 M apJra-- 0yr4- 0 4 J uyJ-u00n4--0 4 An u4 0 4 A JuSu ul--00gl4--0 4 S eOge- 0p -40 4 O cNp -c0t4- 0 4 N Dt-o v40 4 D eoJve-00c4--0 4 J Fc-a n40 4 F eaMne-00b4--0 5 M abA-a0r5- 0 5 A Mr p 50 5 M apJra-- 0yr5- 0 5 J uyJ-u00n5--0 5 An u5 0 5 A JuSu ul--00gl5--0 5 S eOge- 0p -50 5 O cNp -c0t5- 0 5 N Dt-o v50 5 D eoJve-0c5--0 5 J aFc-ea00n5-0 5 F eMn -0b5- 0 6 M abA-a0r6- 0 6 A Mr p 60 6 M apJra-- 0yr6- 0 6 J uyJ-u00n6--0 6 An u6 0 6 A JuSu lu--00gl6--0 6 S eOge- 0p -60 6 O cNp -c0t6- 0 6 N Dt-o v60 6 D eoJve-00c6--0 6 J Fc-a n60 6 F eaMne-00b6--0 7 M ab -a0r7- 0 7 r- 0 7 0 7 7 Customers Base 600,000 600,000 500,000 500,000 400,000 400,000 300,000 300,000 200,000 200,000 100,000 100,000 0 0 Terminals • Mobile Voice and Data • Fixed Voice and Data • Broadband data Network Mobile Services Coverage Over 1,500 localities covered for the indoor level of service, over 17,000 km of roads covered for the in-car level of service and over 180,000 square km covered for the outdoor level of service by 520 BTS Fixed Services Coverage Over 10,000 localities covered with indoor level of service by the same network Traffic & Performance Usage Profiles -Average Voice usage/sub/month: 450 MOU (25mErl@BH) -Average Data usage/1x Limited sub/month: 300 MOU & 40 MB -Average Data usage/1x Unlimited sub/month: 5600 MOU & 800 MB -Average Data usage/DO Limited sub/month: 1800 MOU & 600 MB -Average Data usage/DO Unlimited sub/month: 4800 MOU & 2000 MB -Average user data speeds: 60-110 kbps (1x) and 500-900 kbps (DO) -Packets speed distribution below (DO Rev0) 450/2100 Rollout Dual-band concept 450 spectrum (2x4.5MHz) can accommodate up to 3 cdma2000 carriers Zapp dedicates 2 carriers for the 1xRTT voice/data services and 1 carrier for the EV-DO broadband services 1 single DO carrier is sufficient for the mobile broadband services offering (using Rev0 & RevA technology) but not enough for the mass-market positioning as portable and fixed broadband connectivity solution (as DSL/Cable alternative) without heavy cell-splitting in the urban environments. 2100 spectrum (2x15MHz) can accommodate up to 12 additional cdma2000 carriers Zapp dedicates 3 carriers for the 1xRTT voice & data services and 9 carriers for the EV-DO broadband services (having the option to deploy 1 UMTS carrier for roaming business opportunity) Dual-band antennas, base stations and terminals available from several vendors 2100 spectrum allows Zapp network to smoothly evolve towards RevB & RevC in order to protect the leadership positioning in terms of data speeds offering while 450 spectrum will continue to provide/enable the largest broadband coverage footprint Same urban & rural, voice & data services (no divide) with large coverage & high capacity offered at the same time, by the same network/technology, through the same terminals Phase 1: 450/Mobile & 2100/Portable – June 2008 272 cities covered by the 450 network layers (1xRTT & DO Rev0 & DO RevA ) 19 cities covered by the 2100 network layers (DO RevA) pg1 Phase 2: 450/Mobile & 2100/Portable – Dec 2009 295 cities covered by the 450 network layers (1xRTT, DO Rev0 & DO RevA) 62 cities covered by the 2100 network layers (DO RevA & 1xRTT) pg1 Phase 3: 450/Mobile & 2100/Portable – Dec 2011 314 cities covered by the 450 network layers (1xRTT, DO Rev0 & DO RevA) 124 cities covered by the 2100 network layer (DO RevA & 1xRTT) pg1 450/2100 Terminals Phase1: DO RevA USB dual-band modem with manual switch between 450/2100 (MSM6800 based) – Q4 2007 Phase2: 1xRTT low-cost dual-band handset with automatic switch/handover between 450/2100 (QSC1100 based) – Q2 2008 DO RevA USB dual-band modem with automatic switch/handover between 450/2100 (MSM6800 based) – Q4 2008 1xRTT & DO RevA dual-band handset/modem with automatic switch/handover between 450/2100 (MSM6800 based) – Q1 2009 Large volume commitments and favorable economies of scale for the DO RevA 450/2100 handsets & modems would be possible based on the high capacity offered by the 2100 spectrum, enabling the mass-market positioning of the DO products. Applications Zapp Brew Apps eMMail eCare €xchange Sync BREW Catalog Download Evolution Applications Download Distribution Carrier Managed 39% True Brew 42% 2006 Zapp 19% 2005 Utils - 8 Comm - 5 Games - 38 2004 Information - 13 Pers. - 7 0 100000 200000 Mobile & Fixed Hotspots Backhauling Personalized Portal Services Completely customizable portal services with user manageable content and optimized interfaces for PC, PPC/PDA and Mobile browsers (www.zappmobile.ro) TV/Video/Music/Photo/Webcam/PVR/Feeds/Files Access Free Media Center solution to access the entire home/office content and files by streaming to any broadband mobile device with an embedded web browser/media player plug-in (www.orb.com)