to read that and much more! - Horseplayers Association of North

Transcription

to read that and much more! - Horseplayers Association of North
In this issue:
Race/Wagering Menu – Page 1
Things I Love about the Breeders’ Cup – Page 4
The Cynical Guide to the Breeders’ Cup – Page 6
Keys to Success in Santa Anita Turf Sprints – Page 8
Post Position Analysis from TimeformUS – Page 12
Tonalist Tries to Duplicate A.P. Indy – Page 13
Handicapping the Classic in Two Minutes – Page 14
Mike Mayo Tribute – Page 19
The Horseplayer Monthly October/Breeders’ Cup Issue
There will be a total of 10 races (four Breeders' Cup races)
on the Championship Friday program and 12 races on
Championship Saturday (9 Breeders' Cup races).
Championship Friday begins at 11:25 a.m. Pacific Time with
five undercard races. Champion Saturday first post is 10:15
a.m. PT and also begins with three undercards races.
The first Championships race on Breeders’ Cup Friday will
be the $1,000,000 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (2:25 p.m.);
followed by the $1 million Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (3:05
p.m.); the $1 million Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (3:50
p.m.); and the $2 million Longines Breeders' Cup Distaff
(4:35 p.m.). There will be an Ultra Pick Six starting with the
Twilight Derby (race 4) and concluding with the Distaff (race
9). The Las Vegas Marathon Stakes follows the Distaff at
5:10 p.m.
On Championship Saturday, first post time is 10:15 a.m.,
starting with the Juvenile Turf Sprint Stakes, the Golden
State Juvenile Stakes and the Ken Maddy Stakes. The order
of the Breeders’ Cup Saturday races is as follows: $2 million
14 Hands Winery Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (12:05 p.m.);
$2 million Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf (12:43 p.m.); $1
million DraftKings Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint (1:21
p.m.); $1 million Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint (2:05 p.m.); $2
million Sentient Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (2:45 p.m.), $3
million Longines Breeders' Cup Turf (3:23 p.m.); $1.5 million
Xpressbet Breeders' Cup Sprint (4:02); $2 million Breeders'
Cup Mile (4:45 p.m.) and the $5 million Breeders' Cup
Classic (5:35 p.m.). There will be an Ultra Pick Six with a
guaranteed gross pool of $2.5 million beginning with the
Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint (race 7) and concluding with the
Breeders’ Cup Classic (race 12).
This year's wagering menu on the 13 Breeders' Cup races
features an abundance of wagering opportunities including
two Ultra Pick Sixes, a low takeout fifty cent Pick 5, 10-cent
Superfectas, 50-cent Trifectas, Pick 3’s , Pick 4’s and Pick
5’s, a Breeders' Cup Distaff/Classic daily double and two
Super High 5 wagers.
"The Breeders’ Cup offers the best betting value of the
year for horseplayers around the globe,” said Ken Kirchner,
President of FalKirk International and the manager of the
Breeders' Cup wagering and simulcasting operations for the
last 19 years. “With outstanding fields of Grade 1
competitors and low priced betting options like fifty cent
trifectas and Pick 3s, Pick 4 and Pick 5s, the Championships
yield some of the highest pari-mutuel payouts of the year.
The outstanding full fields will ensure that this year’s event
will live up to its moniker or ‘the best bet in sports’ ”
Each Breeders' Cup World Championships race will feature
a maximum of 14 horses and wagering interests with the
exception of the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile, which is limited to
12 starters. In addition to the standard Win, Place and Show
betting, there will be Exacta and Trifecta wagering on every
race and rolling Pick 3 wagers beginning with the first race
and continuing through all races on both Championship
Friday and Championship Saturday. Among the featured
wagers this year are:
Breeders’ Cup Pick 5’s with a fifty-cent minimum bet value
and a 14% takeout. The wager will be offered on the first
five races each day and will give players a chance to cash a
large bet for a small investment. The wager may carryover
from Friday to Saturday and also from Saturday to Sunday.
Last year’s Saturday Pick 5 handled $6,438,510 and paid
$23,665 for a fifty cent wager.
Friday's Ultra Pick 6 will have a guaranteed gross pool of
$750,000 and Saturday's Ultra Pick 6 will feature a $2.5
million guaranteed gross pool. If no one hits the Friday Ultra
Pick 6, the pool will carry over into Saturday's Ultra Pick 6.
The wager may also carryover from Saturday’s program into
Sunday. In such case, the Pick 6 would be a mandatory
payout on Santa Anita’s closing day program on Sunday,
November 2nd. Last year, Friday’s Pick 6 paid $106,839 for a
$2 wager. Saturday’s Pick 6 paid $47,516.
Breeders’ Cup race days continues to offer some of
racing’s highest payouts. Trifecta and Sueprfectas continue
to pay huge dividends. Last year saw $1 trifectas pay
$3,710, $2,810 and $2,619. Superfecta payouts were
$27,889, $17,140 and $14,718 for a $1 bet.
A Special Daily Double wager linking the Breeders' Cup
Distaff (race 9) on Friday to the Breeders' Cup Classic (race
12) on Saturday will again be offered.
Other Wagering Highlights this year are: The Pick 4, with a
50-cent minimum, continues to be a fan favorite bet at the
Breeders' Cup. Friday's late Pick 4 (races 6-9) will have a
guaranteed pool of $1,500,000. On Saturday, there will be
two guaranteed Pick 4s. The early all Championships Pick 4
(races 4-7) will have a $1,500,000 guaranteed gross pool
and the late all Championships Pick 4 (races 9-12) will have
a $3,000,000 million gross pool. The Friday Pick 4 last year
paid $29,725 for a fifty cent wager.
Here will again be a Super High Five wager on both the
Breeders' Cup Distaff and the Breeders' Cup Classic. Bettors
are required to select the first five finishing places on one
ticket. If no one hits the Super High Five on Friday the pool
will carry over to Saturday's and if no one hits the Saturday
(continued on next page)
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
High Five, it will carry into Sunday. The bet minimum for
this wager is fifty cents.
7. $1 million Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint (gr. I) 2:05 pm WPS
EX TRI SUPER PICK 3 DD PICK 6
2014 BREEDERS’ CUP WORLD CHAMPIONSHIPS POST TIME
AND WAGERING SCHEDULE
All Times Pacific
8. $2 million Sentient Jet Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (gr. I) 2:44
pm WPS EX TRI SUPER PICK 3 DD
9. $3 million Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf (gr. I) 3:23 pm
WPS EX TRI SUPER PICK 3 DD PICK 4
Friday, October 31
1. Allowance 11:25 am WPS EX TRI SUPER PICK 3 DD Pick 5
10. $1.5 million Xpressbet Breeders’ Cup Sprint (gr. I) 4:02
pm WPS EX TRI SUPER PICK 3 DD
2. Allowance 12:00 pm WPS EX TRI SUPER PICK 3 DD
11. $2 million Breeders’ Cup Mile (gr. I) 4:45 pm WPS EX
TRI SUPER DD
3. GS Juv. Fillies Stakes 12:35 pm WPS EX TRI SUPER PICK 3
DD Pick 4
12. $5 million Breeders’ Cup Classic (gr. I) 5:35 pm WPS EX
TRI SUPER Sup Hi 5
4. Twilight Derby 1:10 pm WPS EX TRI SUPER PICK 3 DD
Pick 6
Friday’s Pick 5, Super Hi 5 and Pick 6 may carryover to
Saturday. Each wager may also carryover to Sunday
November 2nd.
5. Damascus Stakes 1:45 pm WPS EX TRI SUPER PICK 3 DD
6. $1 million Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf (gr. I) 2:25 pm
WPS EX TRI SUPER PICK 3 DD PICK 4
Special Classic Daily Double on Friday race 9 and Saturday
race 12, Distaff and Classic.
7. $1 million Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (gr. I) 3:05 pm WPS EX
TRI SUPER PICK 3 DD Pick 4
BET MINIMUMS
8. $1 million Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (gr. I) 3:50
p.m. WPS EX TRI SUPER PICK 3
$2.00 - WIN, PLACE, SHOW, DAILY DOUBLE, PICK 6,
$1.00 - EXACTA, CLASSIC DAILY DOUBLE,
9. $2 million Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff (gr. I) 4:35 pm
WPS EX TRI SUPER Special DD Sup Hi 5
$.50 - TRIFECTA, PICK 3, PICK 4, PICK 5, SUPER HI 5
10. $200,000 Las Vegas Marathon Stakes (GII) 5:10 pm
WPS EX TRI SUPER
$.10 - SUPERFECTA
Guaranteed Pools
Saturday, November 1
Friday:
1. Juvenile Turf Sprint 10:15 am WPS EX TRI SUPER PICK 3
DD PICK 5
Pick 5: $500,000 (races 1-5)
2. Golden State Juvenile 10:50 am WPS EX TRI SUPER PICK
3 DD
Pick 6: $750,000 (races 4-9)
Pick 4: $1,500,000 (races 6-9)
3. Ken Maddy Stakes 11:25 am WPS EX TRI SUPER PICK 3
DD
Saturday:
Opening Ceremonies
Pick 5: $750,000 (races 1-5)
4. $2 million Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (gr. I) 12:04 pm
WPS EX TRI SUPER PICK 3 DD PICK 4
Pick 4 $1,500,000 (races 4-7)
Pick 6: $2,500,000 (races 7-12)
5. $2 million Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf (gr. I) 12:43
pm WPS EX TRI SUPER PICK 3 DD
Pick 4: $3,000,000 (races 9-12)
(Breeders’ Cup Press Release)
6. $1 million DraftKings Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint
(gr. I) 1:21 pm WPS EX TRI SUPER PICK 3 DD
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THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
Mike Adams (@GateToWire)
1. What horse are you most excited to bet in the Breeders'
Cup & why? Telescope – Turf – His best efforts have come at
a 1 1/2. He has been off since the end of August with this race
as the main goal. He has been just a step behind the best in
Europe this year (Australia, The Grey Gatsby, Taghrooda, etc.)
and having the best jockey in the world, Ryan Moore won’t
hurt either.
2. What horse are you most excited to bet against in the
Breeders' Cup & why? Hootenanny in the Juvenile Turf. I am
not sure Hootenanny will be the favorite at post time but if
he is feel free to bet against him. This will be his first effort
past six furlongs and I have serious questions if he can
compete with these at a mile. His breeding (Quality Road out
of a Hennessy mare) is typically maxed out at a mile. His sister
Love This Kitty (trained by Michael Matz) has one win in
seven starts and has never even raced past six furlongs.
Hootenanny’s dam, More Hennessy only raced once and all of
her siblings (seven of them) were all sprinters with next to
zero success past six furlongs.
3. Are you concerned about track bias again this year or do
you think they learned their lesson from 2013? I am always
concerned about track bias on big days because it keeps
happening at track after track. Hopefully the complaints from
Friday last year will ensure a fair track.
4. My favorite go-to bet for Breeders’ Cup day(s) is: I’m a
grinder so I feel that the BC value is in the Exacta pool. Full
fields will give you value across the board making the exactas
the right mix of value and ease to hit. I will dip into the pick
three and pick four pools on BC day but sometimes stringing
together three-four winners can be difficult.
5. What bet would you advise a newbie to focus on for the
Breeders’ Cup? Win and Exacta. Pick out a horse you like.
Make a nice win bet and then play that same horse first and
second in exacta wheels with four or five other contenders.
Low cost, fun and a chance to win some nice money.
6. The Euros have been dominant this year on North
American grass. Will this continue on the Santa Anita green?
Yes, I think the Euros will take all of the grass races except the
Turf Sprint. The two-year-olds look good and the older horses
should eat up the top US grass horses.
7. Who is your favorite longshot? Cigar Street in the Classic
and Silentio in the Turf Sprint
8. Will big public money on Shared Belief and California
Chrome make them unbettable in the win pools? Yes, I think
both Shared Belief and California Chrome figure to be big
3
underlays. This should make Cigar Street and Tonalist both
nice overlays who have big shots to win.
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
too. With so many championship races it is impossible to
not remember seeing something special each year, at
some point. I’ll remember Arazi’s move, Zenyatta coming
from off it (twice), Sunday Silence bracing for the
“oncoming power of Easy Goer,” and dozens more.
Something always happens at the Breeders’ Cup.
By Dean Towers
It’s that time of the year; the two day affair we all get
ready for. Here are a few things I love about the Breeders’
Cup that I thought I would share.
The Aftermath – I love the after-event chatter at each
Breeders’ Cup. Someone doesn’t like a Broadway act
singing some song, the national anthem, a ride, the TV
coverage, the track bias, the weather, or a half-dozen bad
beats. So much happens during this mega-event that
there’s always something to talk about. It’s like clockwork
and I love it.
The Camaraderie – When I was in university, our abode
was Super Bowl Party Central, and the place was packed.
For my Breeders’ Cup parties the place is never packed –
it’s hard to find like-minded horseplayers in this day and
age - but I have always loved them. Getting together – at
home, at a simo center or the track, or with our friends
online – is a staple of this event. From morning until night
we watch the races, play the races, share tickets, share
hard luck stories or bad beats, and the odd time cash a
nice ticket. This is not the Derby, or the Belmont; it’s a
smorgasbord of betting that lasts all day, seemingly from
dawn til dusk. I love it.
The Shot – What other event gives us the chance that
being right can be worth so much money? For the smaller
player they can hit a huge pick 4 or super. For a guy or gal
that splits pick 6 tickets they can like a couple of longshots,
key them, go deep in other legs and have a ticket that can
pay (especially with a Saturday carryover like we see so
often) a million or more dollars. Sure it might not happen,
but it could happen. That’s the sweet sound of the
Breeders’ Cup.
I was a kid when the first Breeders’ Cup took place. I was
far away from a place that took bets, and I wasn’t old
enough to bet in the first place, but I was enthralled the
whole day. Thirty years later I look back at them, think of
the memories they brought me – both the good and the
bad – and I can’t help but smile. I am unabashedly proBreeders’ Cup, and as long as they keep putting on the
races, I will be there. It’s probably my most favorite
sporting event, and I can’t see that changing anytime soon.
Did you know that…
The Work – I work hard at Derby Day; I am up early and
sometimes feel like I am the only person watching the
nondescript opener at Churchill. But for the Breeders’ Cup
getting up early means getting up two weeks before the
event. The works, the pre-entries, the studying, the
replays, the Euros, the chatter, the rumors, the track bias,
the post draw, the ticket construction. It’s so cool.
The Setting – I don’t care if I am watching a bog at
Monmouth, a track I never play like Lone Star, or the idyllic
setting of Santa Anita. The event could be on the moon
and it gives me goose bumps. I guess people speak the
same way of Melbourne Cup week or Royal Ascot, but I
don’t bet either of them, nor have I visited them. I cut my
teeth in the Breeders’ Cup. It’s ours.
-Todd Pletcher is 7 for 103
-Christophe Clement, Ken McPeek, Patrick Biancone and
Mark Casse are a combined 0 for 87
-If John Sadler wins this year, it would be his first win in 31
starts
-Argentina has five winners from 22 tries
-In 2000, the average win mutuel (Churchill Downs) was
$35.30. In 1985, Aqueduct provided only $8.60
-In 1999, 2003 and 2009 there were only 1 pick six winner.
The payoffs were over 7 million dollars.
The Memories – We can remember a Derby, or a
Preakness or a Woodward. But we forget a lot of them,
4
-No Breeders’ Cup winner has won by more than 14
lengths (Inside Information, 1995 Distaff)
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
Mike Dorr (@MikeDorr77/Blog)
1. What horse are you most excited to bet in the Breeders'
Cup & why? Cigar Street in the Classic. While I think Shared
Belief is the most likely winner, Cigar Street has some nice
figures from his three-year-old year, and has been
deliberately pointed to this spot this year. I think the
seasoning of a longer career will help the older horses like
Cigar Street, Zivo, and Prayer for Relief make an impact on
the race and boost exotics.
Jessica Chapel (@Railbird/railbird.org)
1. What horse are you most excited to bet in the
Breeders' Cup & why? I'm keen on Rich Tapestry in the
Sprint, coming off his win in last month's Santa Anita Sprint
Championship. Every time I watch that replay, I'm
impressed by how controlled he was until called to run,
and then how quickly he responded. He adds international
intrigue to a Breeders' Cup race that doesn't have it often,
and every indication is that he's continued to train well.
2. What horse are you most excited to bet against in the
Breeders' Cup & why? Goldencents. As the shortest price
favorite of any BC race in the Dirt Mile, the reward for
beating him will be the highest. I believe a speed-favoring
track aided his run last year, and won stretching out. The
stretch-out angle in the Dirt Mile has historically not been a
great one - usually, the winner is turning back. I'm going to
point to Tapiture in this race, thinking he's ideally suited for
the Mile (and change) distance and has been training well.
2. What horse are you most excited to bet against in the
Breeders' Cup & why? I was crushed when Game on Dude
retired for this very reason -- for three years, he was my
best bet-against. This year, the races are so competitive, I
don't see a contender who's as likely a weak favorite. It'll
really depend on what the pools look like.
3. Are you concerned about track bias again this year or do
you think they learned their lesson from 2013? You could
have asked this question last year and I might have said yes
then too. I think there'll be a lot of attention paid to the track
on Thursday and social media will probably be on top of it.
3. Are you concerned about track bias again this year or
do you think they learned their lesson from 2013? There
was such an outcry about track bias on Breeders' Cup
Friday last year, and there's so much incentive for a fair
track (for safety, as much for handicapping), that I have no
concern about bias this year.
4. My favorite go-to bet for Breeders’ Cup day(s) is: Any
bet that makes the most of my best, strongest opinion.
5. What bet would you advise a newbie to focus on for
the Breeders’ Cup? The win wager, because it's the bet
most likely to reward a newbie with a pretty payout and a
chance to feel smart.
4. My favorite go-to bet for Breeders’ Cup day(s) is: The
Exacta Box - big fields and pools means there's value to be
found in exotics.
6. The Euros have been dominant this year on North
American grass. Will this continue on the Santa Anita
green? There's no reason to think they won't be as
effective on firm turf.
5. What bet would you advise a newbie to focus on for the
Breeders’ Cup? Win/place/show on medium odds horses good takeout and likely to find a good overlay or two.
Favorites and longshots get overplayed on big days, so the
horses in the middle are a sweet spot.
7. Who is your favorite longshot? Toast of New York, that
world traveler. I thought his second to Shared Belief in the
Pacific Classic was a very credible effort, and if he takes to
dirt, I think he's a great exotic play.
6. The Euros have been dominant this year on North
American grass. Will this continue on the Santa Anita green?
Likely so, especially in the older route races. The Juvenile
races will have a different dynamic.
8. Will big public money on Shared Belief and California
Chrome make them unbettable in the win pools? No.
Shared Belief may be as favored at post-time as he is on
the morning line, but the Classic field is strong and I think
the public is going to be astute. If anything, California
Chrome might be a slightly better price than he deserves
to be (if you believe that how he won the Santa Anita
Derby and the first two legs of the Triple Crown is more
indicative of his ability than his Pennsylvania Derby flop).
7. Who is your favorite longshot? Big Macher in the Sprint,
or the aforementioned Cigar Street.
5
8. Will big public money on Shared Belief and California
Chrome make them unbettable in the win pools? Chrome,
yes, but Shared Belief will benefit from the Chrome money. 21 probably fair.
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
The bottom line is that it’s an athletic competition and
these are top athletes – if they’re good enough, they’ll win
regardless. Funny how well Michael Phelps does in the
Olympics despite competing in other countries. Why?
Because a pool is a pool whether it’s in Bhutan or
Baltimore. The warmth of Arcadia is irrelevant; just ask
Outstrip, Chriselliam, Dank, Magician, Flotilla, and George
Vancouver from the last two years.
-Those living in free societies outside of the regulatory
gambling purgatory that is the U.S. have a great value
proposition by having the ability to short Hank Goldberg’s
picks via Betfair.
-I’m sorry that Wise Dan, a true champion will miss the
Mile. From a pure betting standpoint, it makes the P6 and
late P4 a lot more interesting.
-My two favorite sports are Horse Racing and Hockey and
Eddie Olczyk is a good ambassador of both. Let’s be ever so
thankful Mike Millbury isn’t a racing expert.
-The CHRB has announced a special 20% takeout Daily
Double linking the Classic to the third race at Cal Expo.
-Whatever happens, win, lose, or draw, please put a
microphone in Coburn’s face after the race and just step
aside and let the man free verse. Ratings gold.
-As far as Breeders’ Cup Ambassadors are concerned, I like
Elizabeth Banks. A lot.
-Be thankful there are a lot less top 5, 10,12,15,20 lists
associated with the Breeders’ Cup versus the Derby.
Apparently, there is less mass interest in who will finish
seventh in the Classic than the 18th “best” Derby horse.
Look for the first Derby Top “X” list to come out the day
after the Cup.
-Based on Wiseguy steam, Cigar Street might be 8-1 come
post time.
-Doug O’ Neill feels he was erroneously singled out since
technically he was giving his horses Fribbles® rather than
milkshakes.
-If Trevor Denman/Larry Collmus both become ill and
cannot call the Cup, I nominate Richard Grunder. Imagine
this call: “Shared Belief, expertly conditioned by Jerry
Hollendorfer under the capable reinsman Mike Smith skips
along to a three length victory across the beautifully
maintained Santa Anita Dirt Course. Ladies and Gentlemen,
please turn your attention to the Winner’s Circle for the
newly crowned Breeders’ Cup Classic Champion, Shared
Belief…Sunday Forms are now available.” I rest my case.
Rack em’!
-Top level horse racing in HD makes a huge difference to
the viewing audience.
-Michael Chang is having a great year; trains both Rich
Tapestry & Ken Nishikori.
-There is a fine line between preparation and over
preparation. If you normally spend 10 minutes a race and
take 60 minutes a race for the BC, it’s unlikely to lead to
better results. Fundamentals are the exact same whether it
is a $4K claimer or $5MM marquee event. Stick with your
regular routine.
By Jerod Dinkin
Note to reader: Don’t take any of this too seriously.
-Nate Silver ought to commission an algorithm to figure
out BC pre-entry preference list probabilities. With that
said I have a 99.3% chance of not caring about pre-entries
and will wait until the fields are drawn in post position
order.
-Game on Dude was the greatest gift to Classic pari-mutuel
value that ever was. While Bayern will fail to command
favoritism with the presence of Shared Belief, consider him
“Diet Dude.”
-I will endeavor to avoid TVG over the course of the
weekend, and as such, will be spared the constant
referencing of Paul LoDuca as a, “four-time major league
all-star”. Perhaps it’s a stipulation in his contract to
mention this every six seconds or perhaps TVG feels this is
good marketing. In either event, his MLB past is in no way,
shape, or form relevant to his abilities as a handicapper or
on air personality. As such, after careful consideration, I
have asked my co-workers to address me as “three-time
Clark University Intramural Wiffleball champion.”
-Anyone know why the Filly & Mare Sprint is seven
furlongs while the Sprint is run at six furlongs? The
Breeders’ Cup laughs in the face of Title IX.
-Pay close attention to how ridiculous the commentary will
be in reference to the European contenders. I recognize it
isn’t easy to fill the time between races, but carefully note
the overdone dialogue with questions about how the
Euros will acclimate to the warmer weather, time zone
change, travel, etc. Shortly thereafter this conversation,
the gates will open and the Euro JV squad will kick the
living bejesus out of the North Americans on the weeds.
6
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
teach them to look for value without nearly as much risk as
playing purely to win.
6. The Euros have been dominant this year on North American
grass. Will this continue on the Santa Anita green? In the turf
routes, I expect the Euros to figure in strongly. I do think
Stephanie's Kitten is a top contender in the Filly and Mare Turf,
but aside from her, the Americans do seem to be missing a
strong contender in the other turf routes.
Candice Hare (@CHare889/Blog)
1. What horse are you most excited to bet in the
Breeders' Cup & why? I'm most excited to bet Rich
Tapestry. I've seen him run many times overseas and while
I didn't know how he'd run in his prep coming off the
layoff, I was pleasantly surprised with the result. In what
I've seen of his works, he appears to come out of that race
well and I believe he was drawn ideally here. With the
primary speed to his inside, he should be able to slot in
behind them while the speed horses who were drawn
outside press forward. I really see him getting the run of
the race in there.
7. Who is your favorite longshot? I'm most excited to bet Home
Run Kitten because it's clear to me that he has an affinity for the
hill, should get a nice pace setup, and has drawn well. He looks to
be a solid value play to me.
8. Will big public money on Shared Belief and California
Chrome make them unbettable in the win pools? I don't think
so. If you're a fan of either Shared Belief, I'd expect you'll get
around 8/5 and maybe around 6/1-7/1 for California Chrome.
Those are both playable prices, if you really felt strongly that
either of them was going to win.
J.J. Hysell (@Trifectabox)
1. What horse are you most excited to bet in the Breeders' Cup
& why? Although she won't offer much value, I'm looking
forward to playing Untapable, as she has looked phenomenal
leading up to this Distaff. I also like Telescope in the Turf.
Rich Tapestry - photo by Penelope P. Miller, America’s Best
Racing
2. What horse are you most excited to bet against in the
Breeders' Cup & why? I don't see too many standout false
favorites, but Secret Circle could be vulnerable in the Sprint. I like
his stablemate, Indianapolis, and Rich Tapestry has looked
amazing so far.
2. What horse are you most excited to bet against in the
Breeders' Cup & why? I'm most excited to bet against
Hootenanny in the BC Juvenile Turf because I highly doubt
he'll stay the distance on top of being likely facing more
early speed than he's ever encountered with the likes of
Luck of the Kitten, and to a lesser extent Commemorative,
in this field.
3. Are you concerned about track bias again this year or do you
think they learned their lesson from 2013? So far the track has
played fair. No worries.
4. My favorite go-to bet for Breeders’ Cup day(s) is: I always
play the Distaff-Classic Double and superfectas with long shots
underneath in the Classic.
3. Are you concerned about track bias again this year or
do you think they learned their lesson from 2013? I'm
not overly concerned about the track bias. It's Santa Anita,
so I always expect it to favor speed to an extent, but I
doubt it'll be as clearly biased as it was last Friday. That
clearly didn't go over well with the bettors and as we saw
last year, they even fixed it the best they could for
Saturday.
5. What bet would you advise a newbie to focus on for the
Breeders’ Cup? My advice would be to keep bets simple so you
can play more throughout the two-day event.
6. The Euros have been dominant this year on North American
grass. Will this continue on the Santa Anita green? The
European contingent looks strong again this year. Play against
them at your own risk!
4. My favorite go-to bet for Breeders’ Cup day(s) is:
I typically play doubles, so I won't divert from that just
because this is a big day. All that chances for the Breeders'
Cup is I'll play either a Pick 3 or Pick 4 each day depending
on where I can spot a single.
5. What bet would you advise a newbie to focus on for
the Breeders’ Cup? Honestly, I think Show bets are so
often overlooked on big days for bettors of all levels. More
skilled players can pay attention to the pools and see
overlays. For the newer players, however, Show bets can
7. Who is your favorite longshot? One Lucky Dane in the
Juvenile
7
8. Will big public money on Shared Belief and California
Chrome make them unbettable in the win pools? Not if that's
who you like. Profitable opportunities exist in bets such as Pick 3s
if the Classic appears chalky.
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
downhill course but recently has returned as a winning
profile. Through October 26th there have been 22 turf
sprints at Santa Anita and the profile currently favors
speed:
Keys to Success in Santa Anita Turf Sprints
E - 10 wins (45%)
P - 6 wins (27%)
S - 6 wins (27%)
Of note, however is many of those races were maiden
races and several had short fields (six or fewer). In the
Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint with a field of 14 I would lean
towards horses that sit two to five lengths back after the
first quarter because the early pace will surely be fast. In
the supporting turf sprints, if the fields are smaller a
preference to speed should be given unless the course
profile changes. There are four turf sprints scheduled for
the days leading up to Breeders' Cup Saturday so it would
be wise to take note of the winning running styles in those
races.
By Lenny Moon
Most tracks are fairly similar. They have a dirt track with
a turf course (or two) inside and unlike many foreign tracks
are flat. Santa Anita fits the mold pretty well; save for its
one-of-a-kind downhill turf course. Races run at six and a
half furlongs and one and a half miles on the turf begin on
the hill before crossing over the main track and back onto
the turf.
For races at one and a half miles this is mildly significant
because most of the race is run over the main turf course.
For six and a half furlong races it's a whole different story.
The turf sprints at Santa Anita begin at the top of the hill,
take a slight right hand turn, cross over the main track at
the bottom of the hill then move back to the main turf
course for the final quarter mile.
The early pace is almost always extremely fast, although
not as fast as it appears because the horses are running
downhill. The outside posts have the shortest trip because
of the slight right hand turn so speed horses in the lower
post positions are at a slight disadvantage. Position is
critical at the bottom of the hill because the run home is
very short.
All of this leads to a few myths that result in horses being
over bet that are actually at a huge disadvantage when
facing horses with proven form over the downhill course.
The Winning Formula
Myth # 1 - European Horses Have an Advantage
While some European horses win over the downhill
course the first time over it that happens more often in
maiden or allowance races. In the four Breeders' Cup Turf
Sprints run at Santa Anita six European horses have run
and only one hit the board. This year Caspar Netscher is
lone European representative and he will take some
money after winning the G2 Nearctic at Woodbine in his
most recent start but history says he will burn a lot of
money and is more likely to finish in the bottom four than
top four.
Myth # 2 - Speed is King
With a downhill run and a short stretch it's easy to think
that speed is the best asset to have in Santa Anita turf
sprints. That is not always the case. Of the four Breeders'
Cup Turf Sprints at Santa Anita only one was won gate to
wire. Speed was actually terrible for several years on the
8
The winning profile for the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint is
pretty simple: the horse should have proven form over the
course. In all six Breeders' Cup Turf Sprints the winner was
a "horse for the course." In the four BC Turf Sprints at
Santa Anita all four winners had at least one win over the
course and the last three (California Flag and Mizdirection
twice) had multiple stakes wins over the course. The one
with a single win was Desert Code who won the inaugural
turf sprint at odds of 36/1.
Horses shipping in for the race that have no experience
over the course should be eliminated from the win
position and only those with exceptional form and class
should be considered in the second and third positions.
Additionally just as horses with proven form over the
course merit extra consideration so to do jockeys. If a
jockey is not locally based and has not been at any point in
his/her career it's a safe bet to eliminate their horse. At
the current meet the king of the hill has been Joe Talamo
with five wins. He along with Tyler Baze, Rafael Bejarano,
Martin Garcia and Mario Guiterrez account for 15 of the 22
wins (68%).
A recent race over the course is preferred but not
necessary. If the horse has not run down the hill recently
the best angle for winning effort is turning back from a turf
route. Horses that showed speed routing are usually
dangerous in Santa Anita turf sprints and to a lesser extent
so too are horses that closed from off the pace in a route
race.
To summarize the winning formula for Santa Anita turf
sprints is: horse for the course + jockey for the course +
recent race over the course or turn back from a turf route.
Following that formula will lead to more winners than
losers in Santa Anita turf sprints and hopefully will help
you find the winner of the BC Turf Sprint and the under
card stakes run down the hill.
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
not going to make a lot of WIN bets on the weekend on
anything less than 10-1 - so they're both probably going to
be unbettable to me. But, at 9-5 or above, Shared Belief
could be attractive to bettors inclined towards that wager.
And California Chrome mght be interesting at 4-1 on up. So,
if the ML holds up - they're both probably about where
they should be.
Seth Merrow (equidaily.com)
1. What horse are you most excited to bet in the
Breeders' Cup & why? There's no horse I'm really plugged
into this year - but I guess for excitement there's nothing
like a live longshot, however, I'm not sure Puca [Juv Fillies]
lives up to the longshot moniker at the 6-1 ML price and
Flying Tipat [Juv Fillies Turf] is stuck on the AE list. So - I
guess I'll tip towards touting Rich Tapestry in the Sprint, if
that 5-1 ML holds up.
2. What horse are you most excited to bet against in the
Breeders' Cup & why? I don't know if "excited" is the best
word - but the anticipated short price on Shared Belief will
kick up the price on some other logical contenders.
3. Are you concerned about track bias again this year or
do you think they learned their lesson from 2013? I
anticipate that after last year the team at Santa Anita will
be more cognizant of how the track is playing on both days
- and therefore the pronounced bias from Day One in 2013
seems less likely.
Craig Milkowski (@TimeformUSFigs)
1. What horse are you most excited to bet in the
Breeders' Cup & why? Calculator, still a maiden but ran
well against the pace in FrontRunner, plus draws well
4. My favorite go-to bet for Breeders’ Cup day(s) is: My
favorite bet is always the exacta box - but, I hit a very nice
Pick 3 and a very nice Pick 4 at Saratoga this summer. Both
are bets I've been playing more and more over the past
couple of years - so I anticipate playing those more in the
BC this year, particularly the Pick 3.
2. What horse are you most excited to bet against in the
Breeders' Cup & why? All the ML favorites trained by
Wesley Ward. I don't think any of them will win.
5. What bet would you advise a newbie to focus on for
the Breeders’ Cup? I think the 4-horse exacta box is a great
play. At the $1 increment total cost of a 4-horse exacta box
is only $12. With a $1 payoff range in 2013 of $9.70 to
$369.60, 12 of the 14 exactas would have offered a profit
for a four-horse box player. Five paid off at over $50 at the
$1 increment.
3. Are you concerned about track bias again this year or
do you think they learned their lesson from 2013? I
always assume the track will be fair until I see evidence to
the contrary. The new surface has to help.
4. My favorite go-to bet for Breeders’ Cup day(s) is: I'm a
win and exacta bettor mostly, and stick to that on BC day.
6. The Euros have been dominant this year on North
American grass. Will this continue on the Santa Anita
green? Last year the Euros won four of the turf races vs. US
runners taking two. Total exacta (ie top two) finishes also
favored the Euros 7-5. A similar result this year is probably
likely.
5. What bet would you advise a newbie to focus on for
the Breeders’ Cup? Win bets no doubt. These are
extremely tough races.
6. The Euros have been dominant this year on North
American grass. Will this continue on the Santa Anita
green? Absolutely.
7. Who is your favorite longshot? As noted above - Puca
and Flying Tipat were on my radar, but circumstances are
working against them as longshot plays. So, perhaps
Partisan Politics [15-1 Juv Fillies Turf] and Startup Nation
[12-1 Juv Turf] will become interesting.
8. Will big public money on Shared Belief and California
Chrome make them unbettable in the win pools?
"Unbettable" is in the eyes of the beholder. I'm probably
7. Who is your favorite longshot? Ria Antonia
8. Will big public money on Shared Belief and California
Chrome make them unbettable in the win pools?
Probably, but Shared Belief is what I consider a solid
favorite, not anxious to bet against him.
9
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
you can see why prop bets have fueled the Super Bowl
handle explosion.
The Breeders’ Cup has its own version of prop bets called
exotic wagers. From picking the order of the top two
finishers in a race (exacta), to selecting the top four
finishers (superfecta), the Breeders’ Cup offers at least five
of these exotic wagering options within each race. Multirace exotics such as the Daily Double and Pick 3 provide a
simple way for fans to pick the winner of two or three
races in a row, and cash a big ticket.
The table below represents the Breeders’ Cup exotic
wagering handle.
By Dan Zucker
The Seattle Seahawks crushed the Denver Broncos in
Super Bowl 48, but the real highlight came out of Las
Vegas 2,000 miles away. It was the first time in sports
betting history that the overall Super Bowl handle eclipsed
$100,000,000 in the state of Nevada. And while no one
would question the Super Bowl is the biggest game in
sports, it still ranks number two as the best single betting
event each year.
Check out the following chart below, this compares the
legal amount wagered on the Breeders’ Cup as compared
to the Super Bowl over the last five years.
Year
Exotic Wager Handle
% of Total
Handle
2013
$92,599,805
68%
Year
Breeders' Cup
Year
Super Bowl
2012
$84,736,172
66%
2013
$135,958,816
2014
$119,400,822
2011
$93,260,768
67%
2012
$127,676,360
2013
$98,936,798
2010
$102,493,235
67%
2011
$140,070,361
2012
$93,899,840
2010
$152,293,176
2011
$87,491,098
2009
$82,658,986
Source: Equibase
65%
It’s all about location
There are over 200 sports books throughout the state of
Nevada where you can bet on the Super Bowl (or for that
matter most sports, including the Breeders’ Cup).
Wagering on Horse Racing is available in more than 35
states and at last count, approximately 900 “brick and
mortar” locations are available to bet the Breeders’ Cup. In
addition, horse racing is the only legalized sport in the
United States that you can bet online - these online
websites are called “ADW’s,” the acronym for Advanced
Deposit Wagering, and are easy to find via a quick online
search.
Betting on the Super Bowl and the Breeders’ Cup are as
similar as they are different but one theme remains
constant, it’s just as tough to pick a winner…
2009 $127,396,580
2010
$82,726,367
Sources: Equibase and Nevada Gaming Commission
The Breeders’ Cup is horse racing’s Super Bowl, World
Series, Stanley Cup and NBA Championship all rolled up
into two days. There are 13 individual races, segmented by
age, sex, distance and surface (dirt or turf), each with a
championship on the line. Not unlike the Super Bowl and
the pre-event hype, the event is televised on broadcast for
8+ hours, however there is a different championship run
every 45 minutes.
On the Super Bowl, you can bet on either team, called
the side or the over or under of combined points scored,
called the total. These two straight bets would likely
compare to placing a Win, Place and Show wager on a
specific horse in the Breeders’ Cup. However, with 14
races, 10+ horses a race on average and Win, Place or
Show bets on each, straight bet options on the Breeders’
Cup are significant.
Sides and totals were once considered the only options
for betting sports, however the Super Bowl wagering
menu has exploded in the last five years, predominately
due to the increase in popularity of “prop bets”. Click here
to see a sample of prop bets available in Las Vegas for the
Seahawks – Broncos Super Bowl.
It’s widely held that player, team and game props make
up at least fifty percent (if not more) of the overall Super
Bowl handle, and that number is growing yearly. Bettors
want action, multiple ways to win over the course of the
game and prop bets do the trick. Add to that, an
opportunity to make five or more times your money and
About the author - Dan Zucker is a co-founder of
Predicteform.com (formerly Equiform.com) as well
as PredictionMachine.com.
He was part of the original HRTV launch team and runs a
sports media company, Zucker Media Group, Inc. based in
Seattle, Washington.
Zucker is a Thoroughbred owner and partner and has
campaigned such runners as Quiet Meadow and Street
Life as well as his current pride and joy, Pianist, a graded
stakes-winning turf mare (who is headed to the FasigTipton November Sale).
Learn about the Pace Figures and the history of
Predicteform.com here.
10
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
8. Will big public money on Shared Belief and California
Chrome make them unbettable in the win pools? The
Jungle Fans and "Beliefers" will be out in full force - .
Shared Belief will be unbettable. California Chrome will be
bettable, the fans hate the owners.
Craig J. (@Derbyologist/Derbyologist.com)
1. What horse are you most excited to bet in the
Breeders' Cup & why? Zivo - 15/1 on a proven closer who
can get the distance who has not run a bad race this year.
Suburban effort was a legitimate race and people under
appreciate that efforlt. Has faced all kinds of trips this year
and can run inside and outside horses. Few weaknesses..
Expecting a full-scale pace meltdown with Bayern, C
Chrome, Big Cazanova (if he draws in) and Moreno.
Phil (@InsideTheNumbrs)
1. What horse are you most excited to bet in the
Breeders' Cup & why? Twilight Eclipse and Grand Arch.
Both with great draws and figs that contend on their best.
And did I mention the odds.
2. What horse are you most excited to bet against in the
Breeders' Cup & why? Close Hatches - last was awful and
perhaps a precursor to even worse, happy to play against
at short price.
2. What horse are you most excited to bet against in the
Breeders' Cup & why? Shared Belief. This horse weighs
800 pounds, has foot problems, was noticeably tired in last
race. Faces a 14 horse field with legit pace pressure, early,
middle and late. This is a tough assignment, normally you
don't "steal" the Classic. It takes a special three-year-old
to win this race with only seven lifetime races.
3. Are you concerned about track bias again this year or
do you think they learned their lesson from 2013? No,
last year Social Media - spoke loud and clear and the track
responded with lots of water on Saturday. The biggest
stage deserves a fair surface, I'm more worried about post
positions being a factor for many of the draws.
4. My favorite go-to bet for Breeders’ Cup day(s) is: Daily
Doubles - small chance at overlays but most of the time
you get fair value. Focus on one each day and you can
track potential will pays. One double each day can make
for a profitable Breeders’ Cup.
3. Are you concerned about track bias again this year or
do you think they learned their lesson from 2013? Will
monitor how it plays those two days and adjust
accordingly.
5. What bet would you advise a newbie to focus on for
the Breeders’ Cup? Daily Double. People can understand
picking the winner of two consecutive races. Focus should
be on identifying horses who can win - random horses can
compose some of the vertical slots. The focus should be
on the winning horses and winning bets that have a higher
chance of cashing. Partial Wheels are cost effective for all
bankroll sizes.
4. My favorite go-to bet for Breeders’ Cup day(s) is:
Sportsbook parlays where you are not forced into parimutuel pick-N's that include races you don't like
5. What bet would you advise a newbie to focus on for
the Breeders’ Cup? Win bets. More than enough value
with the big pools, no need to get fancy.
6. The Euros have been dominant this year on North
American grass. Will this continue on the Santa Anita
green? Yes in the Turf and Filly and mare turf. Think the
US can hold their own in the Juvenile Turf races with Santa
Anita Course and pace of race. The Santa Anita Course and
full field should benefit the Kittens!
6. The Euros have been dominant this year on North
American grass. Will this continue on the Santa Anita
green? Given my answer to #1, I guess I'm in the No camp
on this one.
7. Who is your favorite longshot? Majestic Presence
7. Who is your favorite longshot? Zivo - Can close into a
hot pace. 15/1 on the board. Palace in the Sprint had a
very interesting trip in last race and could be live as well.
8. Will big public money on Shared Belief and California
Chrome make them unbettable in the win pools? Yes.
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THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
Turf, One Mile (Mile, Juvenile Turf, Juvenile Fillies Turf)
The inside six post positions hold a strong edge at this
distance. The rest are poor, though again, little data exists
for the outside two post positions, 13 and 14. It is hard to
imagine they would not follow the trend and be poor.
By Craig Milkowski, TimeformUS
Post position is an important, but often misunderstood,
piece of the handicapping puzzle. The following analysis is
based on the last four years of racing at Santa Anita. Sadly,
there isn’t enough data for races at nine furlongs or
greater to draw any meaningful conclusions, but that still
leaves nine of the 13 races worthy of analysis. The Santa
Anita dirt surface was changed prior to the fall meet, but
since post position trends are impacted much more by
track layout than the surface itself, the older data is
relevant.
The analysis below is based not on win percentage at
“general” distances like sprint or route, but on specific
distances using Impact Values and Return on Investment
(ROI). The former incorporates differing field sizes into the
equation, while the latter adds quality of the horses drawn
in each post. Post position stats should not be final
decision makers, but they should be used as a means of
upgrading and downgrading horses viewed as contenders.
Dirt, Six Furlongs (Sprint)
This distance favors horses drawn in the middle of the
gate. The inside four post positions all perform below
average. Posts five through 10 are well above average as a
group with some minor fluctuations between those posts.
Posts 11 and wider are well below average.
Dirt, Seven Furlongs (Filly and Mare Sprint)
The inside posts (one through five) perform well below
expectations as a group. All others as a group are
excellent draws, the farther out the better.
Dirt, Eight Furlongs (Dirt Mile)
Surprisingly, there are no real trends here. The inside
wins more than expected, but also tends to be bet to do
so, thus ROI statistics even things out. There is very little
data outside of post 10, however. Tread lightly with
horses drawn in posts 11-14.
Dirt, Eight and a Half Furlongs (Juvenile, Juvenile Fillies)
The rail has been a poor draw at this distance, but posts
two through six are strong, seven through nine are
average, and outside of that is poor with light data.
Turf, About Six and a Half Furlongs (Turf Sprint)
Posts one through five all perform below average. Posts
six through 12 are very strong, probably the biggest post
edge at Santa Anita overall. Posts 13 and 14 have not had
enough runners for any real conclusions, but the trend
would indicate those stalls won’t be at a disadvantage, at
the least.
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THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
G2 Molson Million as the 3-5 favorite and the Jockey Gold
Cup as the 5-2 second choice. Tonalist lost the G2 Jim
Dandy as the 4-5 favorite and the G1 Travers as 5-2 second
choice.
Christophe Clement removed the blinkers on Tonalist for
the Jockey Gold Cup and the colt sat farther back than he
had ever been. Despite being hindered when Wicked
Strong lost his rider, he closed very strongly to win with
style. Runner-up Zivo was also hindered by the loose horse
but had a better trip and was in perfect striking position
before being swallowed up by Tonalist. The pace of the
2014 Breeders’ Cup Classic appears to flatter that type of
late running style.
If Tonalist wins the Breeders’ Cup Classic, he wins Horse
of the Year honors….just like A. P. Indy.
By Track Phantom
In 1992, A. P. Indy (Neil Drysdale) capped off a superb
three-year old season by winning the Breeders’ Cup
Classic. He defeated a full field of 13 rivals as the 2-1
favorite and did it from off the pace in a hand ride. The
path that A. P. Indy took during his three-year old season
is very similar to that of Tonalist (Christophe Clement),
one of the main contenders in this year’s Classic.
Equibase Company has announced separate handicapping
tournaments on Friday and Saturday of the Breeders’ Cup
World Championships with $10,000 in total cash prizes.
The tournaments are presented by TrackMaster, a
provider of handicapping products including FlashNet, the
Pocket and Tablet Handicapper, and iPPs, which are
interactive past performances that are iPad specific. The
tournaments are free to enter atequibase.com and open to
anyone 18 and older.
“With so many people playing the Breeders’ Cup, these
tournaments are a wonderful way for them to see how
their picks stack up against others, and potentially go
home with extra cash and bragging rights,” said David
Siegel, president of TrackMaster.
To compete, players select one horse in each race and
receive mythical $2 win and $2 place bets for each horse.
Sign-ups and entries close approximately 15 minutes
before the first race of the tournament each day. There
are eight races Friday starting with the Las Vegas
Marathon Stakes and nine Saturday starting with the
Juvenile Fillies and ending with the Breeders’ Cup Classic.
“We know from past experience that the Breeders’ Cup
World Championships attracts the interest of avid racing
fans as well as newcomers to the sport,” said Bob Elliston,
executive vice president and COO of Breeders’ Cup. “These
contests will encourage all fans to closely follow the horses
as they prepare for and then compete in these outstanding
races.”
For more information and to sign up for the
tournaments, visit equibase.com.
Tonalist - photo by Penelope P. Miller, America’s Best
Racing
Both colts have a royal pedigree. A. P. Indy is out of the
champion broodmare, Weekend Surprise. Weekend
Surprise is also the dam of Derby runner-up and
Preakness winner, Summer Squall. Tonalist is out of the
dam, Settling Mist. Settling Mist’s sibling, Easter
Bunnette, is the dam of 2011 Horse of the Year, Havre De
Grace.
Both A. P. Indy and Tonalist missed first two legs of the
Triple Crown due to health issues. A. P. Indy was the
morning line favorite for the 1992 Kentucky Derby but
was scratched on race day due to a foot bruise. Tonalist
had a lung infection and was sidelined prior to the Wood
Memorial.
A. P. Indy returned from a 50 day layoff to beat six rivals
in the G2 Peter Pan Stakes by five lengths. Tonalist
returned from a 49 day layoff and beat six rivals in the
same Peter Pan Stakes by four lengths.
Ironically, both defeated exactly 10 rivals in the Belmont
and did it in virtually the same manner. Both sat just off
the lead, traveling in the top three or four in the early
going, moved wide on the turn, dug in gamely and won in
tight finishes beating major longshots on the wire.
After the Belmont, A. P. Indy and Tonalist each lost
twice prior to the Classic. A. P. Indy was defeated in the
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THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
5. V.E. Day: 114 from two starts ago, final number 114
6. Shared Belief: 109 two starts ago, subtract five for win,
final number 104
Brought to you by horseplayersbet.com
7. Bayern: 124 last race, subtract five for win, and another
5 because it is horses highest rating on form (another
rule), final number 114
The 2014 Breeders' Cup Classic is unusual in that every
horse entered has not raced within 30 days. Not quite
sure, but this might be a first for a major stake race with 10
plus entries. 31-60 day layoff horses are hard to trust, and
it makes sense to penalize horses off wins or good races
(horse who finished 2nd last race or 3rd beaten 2 or less
lengths), so as to give yourself the best chance to find a
natural overlay.
If you use speed figures, you can comfortably deduct up
to two lengths from these type of horses. As for cycles,
some believe a cycle should be based on 45 days, however,
some use the 30 day cutoff. The system used here has a 30
day first cycle, and a 45 day second cycle, meaning that any
gap in the second cycle of over 45 days from the last race in
the 2nd cycle (there is no first cycle this year for any horse)
is where the cutoff for ratable races occur.
Using TrackMaster's past performances, here are the
numbers for the race. Note: The best number in the first
two cycles is used. Speed deductions are used for beaten
lengths (one point per beaten length is deducted for races
over 1 1/8, for races 1M 70Y-1 1/8 .66 points are deducted
rounded up for each length beaten)
8. Zivo: 111 last race, minus three because it was a good
race, minus two for lengths beaten, final number 106
9. Toast of New York: 105 last race, minus three for good
race, minus three for lengths beaten, final number 99.
10. Footbridge: 102 last race minus two for lengths beaten,
add five because horse appears better on dirt, final
number 105
11. Tonalist: Last race was win and peak number on form,
second last race results in better figure 111 minus 5 for
win last race minus 2 for beaten lengths, final number 104
12. Candy Boy: Last race 115 minus 4 for lengths beaten
minus 5 for peak race on form, final number 106
13. California Chrome: 113 minus 5 for beaten lengths,
final number 108
14. Majestic Harbor: 101 minus three for beaten lengths,
final number 98
15. Big Casanova: 109 from three starts back, final number
109
Of course, results for this system can vary depending on
which set of speed figures one uses, but the idea is the
same no matter what figures you use, it is to find long
term value. Other things to consider is if speed is really
bad on Saturday, that would most likely kill Moreno's
chances, if there is a notable speed bias, co-2nd choice V.E.
Day will be compromised. If the track is fair throw in
Moreno and/or V.E. Day and hope for the best.
1. Prayer For Relief : Best race Aug 2 (113) subtract five for
lengths beaten in 1M 1/8th race, final number 108
2. Cigar Street: 109 last race subtract five points for win 3160 days ago, final number 104
3. Imperative: 102 from second last race minus five for
lengths beaten, final number 97
4. Moreno: 124 earned in the Whitney three starts ago,
final number 124
14
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
Pick 4’s at the Breeders’ Cup, and in only one instance has
the four horse parlay ever paid more than the Pick 4.
Race:
Ladies' Classic '13
Turf Sprint
Classic
Ladies' Classic '12
Turf Sprint
Classic
Ladies' Classic '11
Dirt Mile
Classic
Ladies' Classic '10
Juvenile
Classic
Ladies' Classic '09
Juvenile
Classic
Source: Brisnet.com
By Dan Zucker
I think I first heard the word parlay when I was eight years
old, my grandmother said it to one of her friend’s in her
afternoon at the horsey-zoo with her grandson. Its
definition is so pure, whether referring to sports betting or
horse race wagering, parlay simply means take the
winnings from a bet and put it all on another bet.
In sports, hitting a two team parlay returns about 5:2 and a
three team parlay closer to 6:1. Find me a sports bettor
that has never made a parlay bet and I’ll show you a horse
player that has.
So why don’t a lot of Breeders’ Cup players bet parlays?
For that answer let’s look first look at the total mutuel pool
handle for the multi-race wagers from the Breeders’ Cup
over the last five years.
Pick 4
$1,616
$8,376
$1,526
$3,543
$7,031
$22,590
$23,429
$7,141
$187,256
$68,187
$2,199
$15,592
$4,267
$73,078
$1,504
P4 parlay
$2,017
$2,464
$851
$3,347
$4,510
$15,667
$12,114
$5,773
$131,369
$39,886
$1,740
$10,485
$2,220
$24,866
$773
Even more interesting than the parlay comparison is the
average Pick 4 Breeders’ Cup payoff. Since 2009, the
average Pick 4 return has been $28,490! Take away that
Pick 4 in 2011 ending in the Classic that paid over $187k
and the Pick 4 average is still over $16,000. Even harder to
believe is that in every Pick 4 listed above, there was at
least one favorite winner (with the exception of the $187k
return). And with minimum bet size of .50 cents in the
Pick 4, there is no barrier to entry for any horse player.
To determine Pick 4 ticket cost, take the number of
horses in each race you want to play and multiply them.
For example, 3 horses in each race is 3 x 3 x 3 x 3, 81
combinations x .50 cents is a $40.50 bet.
So we know where the value lies, and the way to
calculate ticket cost, now all we need is a location to make
your Breeders’ Cup Pick 4 and of course, the winning
horses. Visit Predicteform for that!
With Eight doubles (two horses in a row), Seven Pick 3’s,
Three Pick 4’s and one Pick 6, there are at least two and as
many as four of these types of wagers in each Breeders’
Cup race. And with pools that range from $300k - $3mm
per wager, the value is in the multi-race wagers and not the
traditional parlay (in horse racing it is defined as bet one
horse to win and if he/she wins “parlay” the winnings on
one horse in the next race).
The graph below shows the multi-race payoffs as
compared to the two dollar parlay over the course of the
same races (Breeders’ Cup Saturday, 2013).
Of the 17 multi-race wagering opportunities available,
there we only two cases (see red) in which the parlay paid
more than the multi-race bet. And, both of those parlay
sets were only 10% higher than the double/pick 3
respectively.
The real betting value comes in the Pick 4 where the
return is significantly greater than the four horse parlay.
Over the last five years (since 2009), there have been 15
15
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
By Art Parker for BetPTC.com
Lenny Moon (@Equinometry/equinometry.com)
This year we begin the fourth decade of the Breeders’
Cup. The 31st Breeders’ Cup, which is the most prestigious
day of the year in Thoroughbred racing, will be held at
Santa Anita this coming weekend. There will be a total of
14 races with purses and awards totaling $27 million.
Many things have changed since the first Breeders’ Cup.
Naturally, the horses have changed and the people have
too. A few of the old guys are sticking around but none of
those still hanging around has impacted the entire
Breeders’ Cup story like trainer D. Wayne Lukas.
The former high school teacher, basketball coach and
quarter horse trainer is the oldest to win a Breeders’ Cup
race. In 2012 when he was 77 the coach won the Juvenile
Sprint with Hightail. Many of us marveled at the
accomplishment. A little more than six months later he won
the Preakness (again) with a tough colt named Oxbow. For
Lukas to relinquish the title of oldest trainer to win a
Breeders’ Cup race, he would need to be shut out this year
at Santa Anita, and California Chrome will need to win the
Classic for trainer Art Sherman.
Lukas, now 79, will not be showing up at the Breeders’
Cup at Santa Anita just to see old friends; he will be there
with several entries. And while he may not have the best
chances in the world, no one will keep the most successful
trainer in the world at home.
His best chance will be with Mr. Z, and even if that one
will leave the gate as a long shot, it should be noted that he
finished second at Keeneland in the Breeders’ Futurity to
the highly impressive Carpe Diem.
Lady Zu and Take Charge Brandi are two juvenile girls that
Lukas has entered but should be long odds before the gates
open at Santa Anita.
But don’t let odds scare you, and don’t forget two of
Lukas’ major scores in the Breeders’ Cup. Remember 1991
when Cat Thief stole the Classic 19-1? Remember 2000
when the filly Spain shocked us in the Distaff at 55-1? Don’t
think that Lukas can’t do it again.
In addition to Hightail, Cat Thief and Spain, here are but a
few of Lukas’ Breeders’ Cup winners over the years. The list
is impressive: Lady's Secret, Steinlen, Gulch , Orientate,
Capote, Timber Country, Open Mind, Flanders.
Lukas has started 161 horses in the Breeders’ Cup. He has
notched 19 winners, and finished in the money (top 3)
another 38 times.
1. What horse are you most excited to bet in the Breeders' Cup
& why? The horse I look forward to betting most is Telescope.
He won't be a huge price but he has been pointed to this race
since August by his trainer, Sir Michael Stoute, who has had
recent success in this race and he doesn't face any world beaters.
About the author - Art Parker regularly blogs for wagering
site BetPTC.com. The ADW is offering up a 20% match on
deposits for new customers this week only, using promo
code HANA.
8. Will big public money on Shared Belief and California
Chrome make them unbettable in the win pools? As I said
above California Chrome is on a downward slope and I don't
think he has very much chance of winning. He will be the worst
underlay on the card. Shared Belief is on the opposite trajectory
and has every chance of winning. If he goes off at 2/1 or higher
he's worth a bet, although I doubt that will happen.
2. What horse are you most excited to bet against in the
Breeders' Cup & why? California Chrome will be an underlay
because of all the uninformed money he takes. I believe he
peaked in the Preakness and will continue on a downward form
cycle.
3. Are you concerned about track bias again this year or do you
think they learned their lesson from 2013? The main track has
been favoring speed so far this meet, which is normal for Santa
Anita, but I don't believe it'll be nearly as speed favoring as last
BC Friday. I expect a track that will allow the best horses to win
and will wager accordingly.
4. My favorite go-to bet for Breeders’ Cup day(s) is: The Pick 4
has been my go-to bet at the Breeders' Cup because it plays to
my strength of picking winners rather than trying to find horses
to run 2-3-4.
5. What bet would you advise a newbie to focus on for the
Breeders’ Cup? For those new to the sport or with a limited
bankroll I strongly suggest focusing on Win/Place, Exacta and
Daily Double bets. Keep it simple and if you hit one or two races
you'll come out ahead.
6. The Euros have been dominant this year on North American
grass. Will this continue on the Santa Anita green? As
mentioned above I love Telescope in the BC Turf. I also think
Euros could take down four of the other five turf races. Outside
the turf sprint a Euro win would not shock me. My over/under is
four Euro wins.
7. Who is your favorite longshot? Remember Cat Thief, the
perennial runner-up? He always ran well but not well enough to
win the big one. Then he shocked the world in the BC Classic. I
think Candy Boy could be this year’s Cat Thief. The pace will be
fast, the distance suits and if he gets a clean trip there's no
reason he can't upset the BC Classic and create chaos in the race
for champion 3 year old and Horse of the Year.
16
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
Brought to you by Meadowlands Racetrack/PlayMeadowlands.com
Wager debuts at The Meadowlands on
November 15 with 8% Takeout
The 2014 Breeders Crown at the Meadowlands will be
raced over two nights in November, with the year-end
championships divided into a four-race block of distaff
races on Friday (Nov. 21) and the remaining eight
championship races held Saturday (Nov. 22).
The $500,000 Breeders Crown Trot and Pace for threeyear-old fillies, and a pair of $250,000 Crowns for mare
pacers and trotters will be raced on Friday night. All four
$500,000 two-year-old events, the $500,000 sophomore
colt pace and trot and the $400,000 Crown Pace and
$500,000 Crown Trot will be raced on Saturday night.
“We are very proud to bring the Breeders Crown back to
the Meadowlands,” said Meadowlands Chairman Jeff
Gural. “Expanding the event to two nights is something I
am very excited about. It creates a weekend of
championship racing and gives us an opportunity to be
very innovative with new kinds of wagers, promotions and
an opportunity to make the Breeders Crown experience
even better for our customers.
“The new facility at Meadowlands Racing &
Entertainment offers excellent dining options including
Pink, featuring the highest quality of food and Trotters, an
owners club, where owners of horses racing in the
Breeders Crown can enjoy elegant dining in a wonderful
atmosphere while watching their horses compete.
“Many will take advantage of our luxurious sky box suites
to watch the races. In addition, fans will be able to enjoy
the Breeders Crown in high-definition at the Meadowlands
and can watch the championship races on massive 12 by
20 foot high-definition screens in Victory Sports Bar. This
will be a Breeders Crown experience unlike any other.”
Tom Charters, president of The Hambletonian Society,
which owns and administrates the Breeders Crown series,
is familiar with the demands of staging the event at
rotating host tracks, as well as the Society’s flexibility in
presenting the event.
“The Breeders Crown has been conducted in just about
every format -- single races, blocks of races, all 12 races on
one night -- and we try always to be sensitive to host track
parameters while still getting the most “bang” out of the
event in regard to publicity, TV and promotions,” said
Charters.
“The Meadowlands Racetrack has been home to many
of harness racing’s most important events over the past 30
years. We look forward to the return of the Breeders
Crown under Jeff Gural's management and especially look
forward to the new facility. The horsemen of New Jersey
and the SBOA of NJ realize the importance of stakes racing
in maintaining the profile of the New Meadowlands and
17
have always been supportive of our efforts.”
The Meadowlands is pleased to announce the addition of
a new wager to its wagering menu. It is a Super High-Five
Jackpot that will be offered with a $.20 cent minimum on
the last race of each racing program. The wager will offer
an industry low takeout rate of eight-percent (8%) and the
pool will be seeded with $10,000 on its first night being
th
offered, Friday November 14 .
“The W.E.G. circuit implemented this wager this past
year and it has had great success,” said Director of Racing
Operations Darin Zoccali. “The jackpot wager has really
caught-on throughout North America and we will take it a
step further by implementing an industry low takeout rate
of just eight percent.”
“We are a supporter of the low takeout movement that
is currently taking place,” Zoccali added. “But it needs
industry-wide support to be successful. We are optimistic
that this wager will prove extremely successful and will
pave the way to lower takeout wagers in the future.”
The Meadowlands will also give back more each night.
“Our carryover will be 25 percent each day as opposed to
the standard 45 to 50 percent this wager typically carries,”
said Zoccali. “We believe that the low takeout combined
with paying out a larger portion of the pool each night will
create more handle and larger payouts on a nightly basis.
Additionally, the pool will be seeded with $10,000 initially
which further reduces actual takeout.”
Meadowlands General Manager and C.E.O. Jason
Settelmoir explains that the 8% takeout figure has
significant meaning. “Having worked at Tioga Downs and
Vernon Downs since 2006, I have become well versed on
the ‘casino’ aspect of gaming. The average takeout rate of
slot machines or V.L.T.’s throughout the country is 8% and
while horse racing is a more intellectual game, the result is
the same, more churn and more money in our customers
pockets.”
Meadowlands Chairman Jeff Gural touched on the
success the wager has had at Woodbine and Mohawk.
“On the two nights they have had mandatory payouts,
there was around $2 Million bet. Given that The
Meadowlands is the highest handling standardbred signal,
tied into an 8% takeout rate, with a mandatory payout on
Hambletonian Day, assuming the bet carries over
throughout the meet, I am certain it will be the biggest
pool in harness racing history.”
The Super High-Five is pending regulatory approval and is
scheduled to begin on Friday November 14, 2014. Details
on the wager are available here.
(Hambletonian Society Release and Meadowlands Release)
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
By Ken Massa
We all recount our bad beats and rotten luck while
betting horses. Mike Mayo, in great health and a nonsmoker, at age 59, was struck with the worst kind of bad
luck any of us will ever experience. A rare and aggressive
form of cancer (balasoid) was growing in his lungs and liver
and could not be treated. He died on Sept. 18, 2014, just
72 days after his diagnosis in July.
Mike Mayo – NTRA photo
Prior to his cancer diagnosis, Mike had planned out his
entire year and it reads like a nirvana for horseplayers.
Beginning in late July he would speak at the annual HTR
Seminar and participate in the Gold Coast tournament. He
would then drive to Del Mar for the major live money
tournament there. He and wife Marsha had rented a timeshare in Carlsbad (20 minutes north of Del Mar) every
August for a month of golf, horses and relaxation. During
that period he would drive back to Vegas for the Wynn
Turf & Surf tourney, which was one of his favorite
contests.
Mike had bought an RV and was making regular trips to
Kentucky and had planned to drive to Lexington for the
Keeneland fall meet. He was so fond of the on-track
experience and had decided that he would no longer bet
online. The Breeders’ Cup at Santa Anita was on his agenda
as was a return trip to Del Mar in November for the newly
created winter meet there. His 60th birthday would have
been on Nov. 4 and a party was planned at the track. In
January, Mike would attend NHC championship at
Treasure Island as the Player's Committee represented of
the NTRA. The Horseplayer World Series would follow in
the spring and he would resume his regular box at Lone
Star Park near his home in Dallas as well.
Unfortunately for Mike, the 2014 summer at Del Mar
would be his last, but he was able to enjoy it one final time
with his family and friends before returning to home and
entering hospice care. We'll remember Mike as a leader
and trusted friend. He loved the Thoroughbred game and
sincerely wanted to help improve the quality of the
experience for horseplayers through tournaments and ontrack customer relations.
Goodbye Mike, we'll miss your passion and energy and
your big heart.
Mike documented his cancer experience. The PDF letters 19
can be read here and here (PDF).
Longtime handicapper and author Barry Meadow has
secured the first-ever Ron Rippey Award for Handicapping
Media for his piece, "Statistics and Garbage," that
appeared in the Horseplayers Association of North
America newsletter.
Brisnet.com will present Meadow with the Rippey Award
and a $1,000 cash prize at the National Turf Writers and
Broadcasters dinner on Wednesday, October 29, at The
Derby in Arcadia, California.
"My goal in the article was to help handicappers think
about the statistics they consider every day and encourage
them to ask the right questions," said Meadow, who is
best known for his Money Secrets at the Racetrack and as
a horseplayer advocate. "I'm delighted that articles aimed
at players now have their own separate category for
recognition. Sure, the game needs owners and breeders
and trainers and all the rest, but it's great that pieces
designed to help handicappers will be honored as well."
Two entries received honorable mentions from judges
Steve Byk, Jessica Chapel, and Paul Rolfes: Byron King for
"Which Trainers Produce with Horses 4-to-1 or Less" that
appeared in Daily Racing Form, and Nick Tammaro for
"Pace is Key in Jockey Club Gold Cup Showdown" that
appeared on ThoroughbredRacing.com.
"An interesting group of entries with many taking
different approaches but almost all providing valuable
insights to their intended audiences," Rolfes said of the
Rippey Award submissions. "(Meadow's) 'Statistics and
Garbage' gets the top nod for providing some keen insights
into what Mark Twain might call 'lies, damned lies, and
statistics.'"
The inaugural Ron Rippey Award for Handicapping Media
was open to any article, blog post, or video pertaining to
handicapping published -- in print or online -- in the past
year.
"Handicapping horse races is both an art and a science,
and the ability to produce compelling content about the
topic is a specialty that deserves recognition," Brisnet.com
Director of Marketing Ed DeRosa said. "We not only want
to acknowledge the good work done in this regard but also
encourage people to continue to produce this type of
content, and who better to honor than successful
handicapper and newspaper columnist Ron Rippey."
Rippey won the 2006 National Handicapping
Championship, was a 10-time qualifier for the prestigious
annual event, and a beloved regular on the contest circuit.
He also wrote about racing and made picks for theNewark
Star-Ledger and contributed Spotlight Selections to
Brisnet.com for major race days. Rippey died August 26.
For more information on attending the NTWAB dinner,
visit NTWAB.org.
(Brisnet release)
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
Breeders’ Cup Stats
ABOUT THE STATS PRESENTED BELOW
The stats presented below came from a database compiled using data from HDW (Handicappers Data Warehouse.)
The database itself contains the most recent five years of Breeders Cup history and includes both the Friday and
Saturday Breeders Cup cards for calendar years 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, and 2013.
RIDERS WHO KNOW THEIR MOUNTS
Oddly enough, one thing that makes sense about BC Graded Stakes is that riders who are
familiar with their mounts have historically outperformed riders with fewer starts on
their mounts. The following table shows that, over the past 5 years, riders going to
the starting gate in a BC Graded Stakes for the 1st or 2nd time on a horse are up
against it - having won at just a 7 or 8 pct clip.
While at the same time, riders heading to the starting gate for the 7th or 8th time
on a mount have won at a 20+ pct clip (at nice prices too.)
By: Xth Start For Rider
Start #
P/L
Bet
Roi
Wins
Plays
Pct
Impact
----------------------------------------------------------------------1
-122.80
434.00
0.7171
15
217
.0691
0.7667
2
-121.20
318.00
0.6189
13
159
.0818
0.9069
3
11.80
266.00
1.0444
10
133
.0752
0.8340
4
-80.40
176.00
0.5432
2
88
.0227
0.2521
5
-17.80
138.00
0.8710
6
69
.0870
0.9645
6
-15.40
108.00
0.8574
7
54
.1296
1.4379
7
37.20
48.00
1.7750
5
24
.2083
2.3109
8
116.60
62.00
2.8806
7
31
.2258
2.5047
9
155.40
48.00
4.2375
4
24
.1667
1.8487
10
26.20
48.00
1.5458
3
24
.1250
1.3865
11+
-15.00
40.00
0.6250
4
20
.2000
2.2184
****************************************************************************************
BY RIDER sorted by wins
Run Date: 10/25/2014 10:47:47 AM
****************************************************************************************
WIN WIN
WIN
PLACE
PLACE
UDM
PLAYS
WINS
PCT IMPACT
ROI PLACES
PCT
ROI
****************************************************************************************
SMITH MIKE E
41
8
0.1951 2.1641
1.4585
12
0.2927 1.0585
VELAZQUEZ JOHN R
57
6
0.1053 1.168
0.9561
14
0.2456 0.8579
GOMEZ GARRETT K
43
6
0.1395 1.5473
1.0372
12
0.2791 0.9512
MOORE RYAN L
25
5
0.2
2.2184
1.632
7
0.28
1.088
LEPAROUX JULIEN R
48
4
0.0833 0.924
0.8125
7
0.1458 0.7708
MARAGH RAJIV
20
3
0.15
1.6638
0.675
3
0.15
0.355
CASTELLANO JAVIER
44
3
0.0682 0.7565
1.1091
8
0.1818 0.8614
NAKATANI COREY S
19
3
0.1579 1.7514
1.1947
5
0.2632 0.8895
STEVENS GARY L
10
3
0.3
3.3276
1.21
4
0.4
0.96
DOMINGUEZ RAMON A
30
2
0.0667 0.7398
0.88
8
0.2667 0.8633
THERIOT JAMIE
5
2
0.4
4.4368
3.5
2
0.4
1.74
BEJARANO RAFAEL
39
2
0.0513 0.569
0.2487
6
0.1538 0.5205
ESPINOZA VICTOR
17
2
0.1176 1.3044
1.2059
2
0.1176 0.4706
DETTORI LANFRANCO
21
2
0.0952 1.056
0.6143
3
0.1429 0.4667
GARCIA MARTIN
25
2
0.08
0.8874
0.6
3
0.12
0.376
ROSARIO JOEL
47
2
0.0426 0.4725
1.383
10
0.2128 1.2064
ALBARADO ROBBY
20
2
0.1
1.1092
3.7
4
0.2
1.875
PESLIER OLIVIER
7
2
0.2857 3.169
0.6714
2
0.2857 0.5143
SANCHEZ JEFFREY
4
1
0.25
2.773
1.3
1
0.25
0.675
HUGHES RICHARD
8
1
0.125
1.3865
0.9875
1
0.125
0.4875
OBRIEN JOSEPH PATRIC5
1
0.2
2.2184
1.56
1
0.2
0.72
HERNANDEZ JR BRIAN J3
1
0.3333 3.697
3.4667
1
0.3333 1.6333
AJTEBI AHMED
4
1
0.25
2.773
7.9
1
0.25
3.05
MARTINEZ WILLIE
2
1
0.5
5.5461
7.35
1
0.5
3.3
PRADO EDGAR S
8
1
0.125
1.3865
5.875
1
0.125
1.3625
GRYDER AARON T
2
1
0.5
5.5461
9.1
1
0.5
4
LEZCANO JOSE
13
1
0.0769 0.853
0.2462
4
0.3077 1.6154
QUEALLY THOMAS P
5
1
0.2
2.2184
0.66
2
0.4
0.8
COA EIBAR
1
1
1
11.0921
6.2
1
1
3.5
DESORMEAUX KENT J
17
1
0.0588 0.6522
0.5
2
0.1176 0.5471
20
VELASQUEZ CORNELIO H5
1
0.2
2.2184
8.52
1
0.2
3.58
NAPRAVNIK ROSIE
3
1
0.3333 3.697
0.7667
1
0.3333 0.5667
LEMAIRE CHRISTOPHE P6
1
0.1667 1.8491
2.0667
1
0.1667 0.9
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
BARN CHANGE
Oddly enough, BC Stakes horses with just 1 or 2 previous starts for a new barn
have historically outperformed horses with 3 or more starts for their barns.
Also, oddly enough, BC Stakes horses that have been in the same barn forever those with 11 or more starts for the the same barn - have historically outperformed
the competition.
By: Xth Start For Trainer
Start #
P/L
Bet
Roi
Wins
Plays
Pct
Impact
----------------------------------------------------------------------1
85.00
90.00
1.9444
7
45
.1556
1.7254
2
198.80
58.00
4.4276
4
29
.1379
1.5299
3
-100.00
144.00
0.3056
3
72
.0417
0.4622
4
-141.00
154.00
0.0844
2
77
.0260
0.2881
5
-13.60
142.00
0.9042
8
71
.1127
1.2498
6
-39.40
104.00
0.6212
4
52
.0769
0.8532
7
-87.20
92.00
0.0522
1
46
.0217
0.2411
8
-57.60
90.00
0.3600
3
45
.0667
0.7395
9
-53.80
98.00
0.4510
4
49
.0816
0.9055
10
-42.80
114.00
0.6246
5
57
.0877
0.9730
11+
226.20
600.00
1.3770
35
300
.1167
1.2941
****************************************************************************************
BY TRAINER sorted by wins
Run Date: 10/25/2014 10:48:37 AM
****************************************************************************************
WIN WIN
WIN
PLACE
PLACE
UDM
PLAYS
WINS
PCT IMPACT
ROI PLACES
PCT
ROI
****************************************************************************************
PLETCHER TODD A
50
4
0.08
0.8874
0.534
9
0.18
0.674
OBRIEN AIDAN P
35
4
0.1143 1.2678
1.2629
5
0.1429 0.7171
MOTT WILLIAM I
21
4
0.1905 2.113
1.4381
8
0.381
1.5714
ASMUSSEN STEVEN M
17
3
0.1765 1.9578
1.3353
6
0.3529 1.1176
SHIRREFFS JOHN A
11
3
0.2727 3.0248
2
4
0.3636 1.1364
LOPRESTI CHARLES
5
2
0.4
4.4368
0.92
3
0.6
1.58
ROMANS DALE L
15
2
0.1333 1.4786
5.6067
3
0.2
2.24
PUYPE MIKE
4
2
0.5
5.5461
2.9
2
0.5
1.475
HEAD FREDERIC
5
2
0.4
4.4368
0.94
2
0.4
0.72
MAKER MICHAEL J
10
2
0.2
2.2184
3.04
2
0.2
1.25
MANDELLA RICHARD E 10
2
0.2
2.2184
0.87
4
0.4
1.55
STOUTE SIR MICHAEL R5
2
0.4
4.4368
0.88
3
0.6
1.14
CALHOUN W BRET
3
2
0.6667 7.3951
5.8333
2
0.6667 2.9
STALL JR ALBERT M
6
2
0.3333 3.697
1.4333
2
0.3333 0.6167
HOLLENDORFER JERRY 13
2
0.1538 1.706
3.3538
4
0.3077 1.7308
CATALANO WAYNE M
7
2
0.2857 3.169
2.2143
2
0.2857 1.1143
BAFFERT BOB
36
2
0.0556 0.6167
0.4167
6
0.1667 0.5583
REID JR ROBERT E
2
1
0.5
5.5461
21.3
1
0.5
8.95
FAWKES DAVID
4
1
0.25
2.773
1.55
1
0.25
0.875
KENNEALLY EDDIE
3
1
0.3333 3.697
1.7667
1
0.3333 0.8667
HUGHES JO
1
1
1
11.0921
10
1
1
5.1
ALVARADO DIANE
3
1
0.3333 3.697
3.8667
1
0.3333 2
WILKES IAN R
4
1
0.25
2.773
2.6
1
0.25
1.225
GAINES CARLA
5
1
0.2
2.2184
5.26
2
0.4
2.6
ENGLEHART JEREMIAH C2
1
0.5
5.5461
16.65
1
0.5
7.45
ONEILL DOUG F
18
1
0.0556 0.6167
0.2667
2
0.1111 0.4889
ATTFIELD ROGER L
3
1
0.3333 3.697
9.6
1
0.3333 3.1
BRADLEY WILLIAM
1
1
1
11.0921
1.7
1
1
1.3
DOLLASE WALLACE A
1
1
1
11.0921
8.2
1
1
3.6
PARBHOO SHIVANANDA 1
1
1
11.0921
14.7
1
1
6.6
PROCTOR THOMAS F
14
1
0.0714 0.792
0.2357
3
0.2143 1.1857
CASSIDY JAMES M
6
1
0.1667 1.8491
1.9
1
0.1667 0.6833
GOSDEN JOHN H M
10
1
0.1
1.1092
0.34
2
0.2
0.46
DELZANGLES MIKEL
2
1
0.5
5.5461
6.2
1
0.5
2.7
RITVO KATHERINE
2
1
0.5
5.5461
2.5
2
1
2.8
APPLEBY CHARLES
1
1
1
11.0921
7
1
1
3.4
BROWN CHAD C
22
1
0.0455 0.5047
0.4636
4
0.1818 0.7136
MEEHAN BRIAN
6
1
0.1667 1.8491
1.5833
1
0.1667 0.8167
CECIL HENRY
4
1
0.25
2.773
0.825
2
0.5
1
NOSEDA JEREMY
5
1
0.2
2.2184
1.26
1
0.2
0.6
VON HEMEL DONNIE K 1
1
1
11.0921
7.8
1
1
3.5
FRANKEL GUILLERMO
1
1
1
11.0921
18.2
1
1
8
MOTION H GRAHAM
12
1
0.0833 0.924
3.9167
2
0.1667 1.1833
SPAWR WILLIAM
3
1
0.3333 3.697
2.9667
1
0.3333 1.2333
BLOCK CHRIS M
3
1
0.3333 3.697
1.3
1
0.3333 0.6667
GOLD STANLEY I
3
1
0.3333 3.697
1.7333
1
0.3333 0.9
SHEPPARD JONATHAN E 4
1
0.25
2.773
1.1
1
0.25
0.375
KAPLAN WILLIAM A
2
1
0.5
5.5461
10.6
1
0.5
3.9
BRADLEY WILLIAM B
1
1
1
11.0921 21 4
1
1
2.3
BIN SUROOR SAEED
19
1
0.0526 0.5834
1.6632
1
0.0526 0.6421
HILLS CHARLES
1
1
1
11.0921
7.9
1
1
3.9
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
All races, by rider, sorted by wins
****************************************************************************************
BY RIDER sorted by wins
Run Date: 10/25/2014 10:39:39 AM
****************************************************************************************
WIN WIN
WIN
PLACE
PLACE
UDM
PLAYS
WINS
PCT IMPACT
ROI PLACES
PCT
ROI
****************************************************************************************
SMITH MIKE E
48
9
0.1875 1.9776
1.3146
13
0.2708 0.9396
LEPAROUX JULIEN R
67
8
0.1194 1.2593
0.8284
15
0.2239 0.8209
GOMEZ GARRETT K
56
7
0.125
1.3184
0.8518
15
0.2679 0.8768
VELAZQUEZ JOHN R
67
6
0.0896 0.945
0.8134
16
0.2388 0.7866
BEJARANO RAFAEL
61
6
0.0984 1.0378
0.4787
12
0.1967 0.5672
MOORE RYAN L
27
5
0.1852 1.9533
1.5111
7
0.2593 1.0074
MARAGH RAJIV
24
4
0.1667 1.7582
1.2458
4
0.1667 0.4458
ROSARIO JOEL
64
4
0.0625 0.6592
1.2141
14
0.2188 1.1016
ALBARADO ROBBY
26
4
0.1538 1.6222
3.4
6
0.2308 1.6769
TALAMO JOSEPH
32
4
0.125
1.3184
0.5719
6
0.1875 0.9094
DOMINGUEZ RAMON A
36
3
0.0833 0.8786
0.8333
9
0.25
0.7722
NAKATANI COREY S
27
3
0.1111 1.1718
0.8407
5
0.1852 0.6259
CASTELLANO JAVIER
49
3
0.0612 0.6455
0.9959
9
0.1837 0.8429
ESPINOZA VICTOR
24
3
0.125
1.3184
1.1792
3
0.125
0.4708
STEVENS GARY L
11
3
0.2727 2.8762
1.1
5
0.4545 1.1091
PESLIER OLIVIER
7
2
0.2857 3.0133
0.6714
2
0.2857 0.5143
LEZCANO JOSE
14
2
0.1429 1.5072
3
5
0.3571 2.65
THERIOT JAMIE
7
2
0.2857 3.0133
2.5
2
0.2857 1.2429
GARCIA MARTIN
35
2
0.0571 0.6022
0.4286
7
0.2
0.5514
DETTORI LANFRANCO
23
2
0.087
0.9176
0.5609
3
0.1304 0.4261
BOREL CALVIN H
14
1
0.0714 0.7531
0.4714
5
0.3571 1.8
HUGHES RICHARD
8
1
0.125
1.3184
0.9875
1
0.125
0.4875
AJTEBI AHMED
4
1
0.25
2.6368
7.9
1
0.25
3.05
MARTINEZ WILLIE
2
1
0.5
5.2736
7.35
1
0.5
3.3
PRADO EDGAR S
8
1
0.125
1.3184
5.875
1
0.125
1.3625
NAPRAVNIK ROSIE
5
1
0.2
2.1094
0.46
1
0.2
0.34
QUEALLY THOMAS P
5
1
0.2
2.1094
0.66
2
0.4
0.8
PEDROZA MARTIN A
7
1
0.1429 1.5072
6.8571
3
0.4286 3.7429
ROSE JEREMY
6
1
0.1667 1.7582
2.4833
1
0.1667 0.9833
DESORMEAUX KENT J
21
1
0.0476 0.502
0.4048
2
0.0952 0.4429
GUTIERREZ MARIO
17
1
0.0588 0.6202
0.5176
3
0.1765 1.3647
LEYVA JUAN C
2
1
0.5
5.2736
10.6
1
0.5
3.9
GRYDER AARON T
2
1
0.5
5.2736
9.1
1
0.5
4
BRIDGMOHAN SHAUN
7
1
0.1429 1.5072
0.6143
1
0.1429 0.3571
OBRIEN JOSEPH PATRIC5
1
0.2
2.1094
1.56
1
0.2
0.72
HERNANDEZ JR BRIAN J5
1
0.2
2.1094
2.08
2
0.4
1.42
COA EIBAR
1
1
1
10.5472
6.2
1
1
3.5
LANERIE COREY J
4
1
0.25
2.6368
0.875
1
0.25
0.5
VELASQUEZ CORNELIO H6
1
0.1667 1.7582
7.1
1
0.1667 2.9833
MURTAGH JOHN PATRICK11
1
0.0909 0.9587
0.6727
1
0.0909 0.3273
LEMAIRE CHRISTOPHE P6
1
0.1667 1.7582
2.0667
1
0.1667 0.9
BAZE TYLER
11
1
0.0909 0.9587
0.5364
3
0.2727 0.9
SANCHEZ JEFFREY
5
1
0.2
2.1094
1.04
1
0.2
0.54
BUICK WILLIAM T
11
1
0.0909 0.9587
0.5727
2
0.1818 0.4727
22
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
All races, by trainer, sorted by wins
****************************************************************************************
BY TRAINER sorted by wins
Run Date: 10/25/2014 10:50:33 AM
****************************************************************************************
WIN WIN
WIN
PLACE
PLACE
UDM
PLAYS
WINS
PCT IMPACT
ROI PLACES
PCT
ROI
****************************************************************************************
ASMUSSEN STEVEN M
27
5
0.1852 1.9533
1.0926
9
0.3333 0.937
OBRIEN AIDAN P
37
5
0.1351 1.4249
1.3946
6
0.1622 0.7757
PLETCHER TODD A
57
4
0.0702 0.7404
0.4684
12
0.2105 0.7175
MOTT WILLIAM I
21
4
0.1905 2.0092
1.4381
8
0.381
1.5714
HOLLENDORFER JERRY 21
4
0.1905 2.0092
2.7905
6
0.2857 1.3333
WARD WESLEY A
15
3
0.2
2.1094
1.3667
4
0.2667 0.9133
STALL JR ALBERT M
8
3
0.375
3.9552
1.4625
3
0.375
0.6625
ROMANS DALE L
20
3
0.15
1.5821
4.745
5
0.25
2.03
SHIRREFFS JOHN A
11
3
0.2727 2.8762
2
4
0.3636 1.1364
BAFFERT BOB
47
3
0.0638 0.6729
0.3489
12
0.2553 0.717
MAKER MICHAEL J
12
2
0.1667 1.7582
2.5333
2
0.1667 1.0417
STOUTE SIR MICHAEL R5
2
0.4
4.2189
0.88
3
0.6
1.14
KENNEALLY EDDIE
6
2
0.3333 3.5154
1.2167
2
0.3333 0.6333
CALHOUN W BRET
5
2
0.4
4.2189
3.5
2
0.4
1.74
ONEILL DOUG F
29
2
0.069
0.7278
0.469
5
0.1724 0.6483
LOPRESTI CHARLES
5
2
0.4
4.2189
0.92
3
0.6
1.58
GAINES CARLA
6
2
0.3333 3.5154
5.4
3
0.5
2.7167
MOTION H GRAHAM
14
2
0.1429 1.5072
4.4214
3
0.2143 1.4357
MANDELLA RICHARD E 13
2
0.1538 1.6222
0.6692
4
0.3077 1.1923
CATALANO WAYNE M
9
2
0.2222 2.3436
1.7222
2
0.2222 0.8667
GLATT MARK
5
2
0.4
4.2189
1.46
2
0.4
0.9
HEAD FREDERIC
5
2
0.4
4.2189
0.94
2
0.4
0.72
MCPEEK KENNETH G
16
2
0.125
1.3184
0.3938
5
0.3125 0.9125
MITCHELL MIKE R
12
2
0.1667 1.7582
1.05
3
0.25
0.8083
PUYPE MIKE
6
2
0.3333 3.5154
1.9333
2
0.3333 0.9833
FRANKEL GUILLERMO
1
1
1
10.5472
18.2
1
1
8
HARRINGTON MIKE
3
1
0.3333 3.5154
16
1
0.3333 6.2333
DELZANGLES MIKEL
2
1
0.5
5.2736
6.2
1
0.5
2.7
NOSEDA JEREMY
6
1
0.1667 1.7582
1.05
1
0.1667 0.5
ATTFIELD ROGER L
3
1
0.3333 3.5154
9.6
1
0.3333 3.1
MCGEE PAUL J
4
1
0.25
2.6368
0.875
2
0.5
0.925
BRADLEY WILLIAM
1
1
1
10.5472
1.7
1
1
1.3
PARBHOO SHIVANANDA 1
1
1
10.5472
14.7
1
1
6.6
PROCTOR THOMAS F
15
1
0.0667 0.7035
0.22
3
0.2
1.1067
RITVO KATHERINE
2
1
0.5
5.2736
2.5
2
1
2.8
CASSIDY JAMES M
7
1
0.1429 1.5072
1.6286
1
0.1429 0.5857
DOLLASE WALLACE A
1
1
1
10.5472
8.2
1
1
3.6
GOLD STANLEY I
3
1
0.3333 3.5154
1.7333
1
0.3333 0.9
SHEPPARD JONATHAN E 5
1
0.2
2.1094
0.88
2
0.4
1.04
CECIL HENRY
5
1
0.2
2.1094
0.66
2
0.4
0.8
BROWN CHAD C
23
1
0.0435 0.4588
0.4435
4
0.1739 0.6826
BIN SUROOR SAEED
20
1
0.05
0.5274
1.58
1
0.05
0.61
BLOCK CHRIS M
3
1
0.3333 3.5154
1.3
1
0.3333 0.6667
BONDE JEFF
9
1
0.1111 1.1718
0.4
2
0.2222 0.5667
ALVARADO DIANE
4
1
0.25
2.6368
2.9
1
0.25
1.5
FAWKES DAVID
4
1
0.25
2.6368
1.55
1
0.25
0.875
ENGLEHART JEREMIAH C2
1
0.5
5.2736
16.65
1
0.5
7.45
LUKAS D WAYNE
20
1
0.05
0.5274
0.82
3
0.15
0.855
GOSDEN JOHN H M
11
1
0.0909 0.9587
0.3091
2
0.1818 0.4182
MILLER PETER
15
1
0.0667 0.7035
2.5867
2
0.1333 1.1933
SPAWR WILLIAM
5
1
0.2
2.1094
1.78
1
0.2
0.74
KORINER BRIAN J
6
1
0.1667 1.7582
0.7333
1
0.1667 0.4667
REID JR ROBERT E
2
1
0.5
5.2736
21.3
1
0.5
8.95
HUGHES JO
1
1
1
10.5472
10
1
1
5.1
HILLS CHARLES
1
1
1
10.5472
7.9
1
1
3.9
BAKER JAMES E
1
1
1
10.5472
6.6
1
1
3
MULLINS JEFF
8
1
0.125
1.3184
0.7375
3
0.375
0.8875
APPLEBY CHARLES
1
1
1
10.5472
7
1
1
3.4
BRADLEY WILLIAM B
1
1
1
10.5472
4
1
1
2.3
VON HEMEL DONNIE K 1
1
1
10.5472
7.8
1
1
3.5
WILKES IAN R
4
1
0.25
2.6368
2.6
1
0.25
1.225
MEEHAN BRIAN
7
1
0.1429 1.5072
1.3571
2
0.2857 1.2857
KAPLAN WILLIAM A
2
1
0.5
5.2736
10.6
1
0.5
3.9
GOOD JOHN
1
1
1
10.5472
3.6
1
1
1.8
23
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
Turf races, by rider, sorted by wins
****************************************************************************************
BY RIDER sorted by wins
Run Date: 10/25/2014 10:45:44 AM
****************************************************************************************
WIN WIN
WIN
PLACE
PLACE
UDM
PLAYS
WINS
PCT IMPACT
ROI PLACES
PCT
ROI
****************************************************************************************
MOORE RYAN L
19
5
0.2632 3.0707
2.1474
7
0.3684 1.4316
VELAZQUEZ JOHN R
26
4
0.1538 1.7943
1.5577
5
0.1923 0.6769
ESPINOZA VICTOR
14
3
0.2143 2.5002
2.0214
3
0.2143 0.8071
SMITH MIKE E
17
3
0.1765 2.0592
1.0941
4
0.2353 0.6824
TALAMO JOSEPH
18
3
0.1667 1.9448
0.9111
5
0.2778 1.5389
GOMEZ GARRETT K
21
2
0.0952 1.1107
1.0476
6
0.2857 1.1286
DETTORI LANFRANCO
16
2
0.125
1.4583
0.8063
3
0.1875 0.6125
ALBARADO ROBBY
9
2
0.2222 2.5923
8.5111
3
0.3333 3.7222
PESLIER OLIVIER
6
2
0.3333 3.8885
0.7833
2
0.3333 0.6
BEJARANO RAFAEL
25
2
0.08
0.9333
0.412
4
0.16
0.504
NAKATANI COREY S
14
1
0.0714 0.833
0.2357
2
0.1429 0.3714
LEMAIRE CHRISTOPHE P6
1
0.1667 1.9448
2.0667
1
0.1667 0.9
OBRIEN JOSEPH PATRIC4
1
0.25
2.9167
1.95
1
0.25
0.9
HUGHES RICHARD
8
1
0.125
1.4583
0.9875
1
0.125
0.4875
PRADO EDGAR S
5
1
0.2
2.3333
9.4
1
0.2
2.18
BUICK WILLIAM T
10
1
0.1
1.1667
0.63
2
0.2
0.52
THERIOT JAMIE
3
1
0.3333 3.8885
2.6333
1
0.3333 1.3667
DOMINGUEZ RAMON A
15
1
0.0667 0.7782
1.22
3
0.2
0.74
STEVENS GARY L
5
1
0.2
2.3333
0.66
1
0.2
0.4
QUEALLY THOMAS P
3
1
0.3333 3.8885
1.1
2
0.6667 1.3333
CASTELLANO JAVIER
21
1
0.0476 0.5553
0.4857
5
0.2381 0.881
Turf races, by trainer, sorted by wins
****************************************************************************************
BY TRAINER sorted by wins
Run Date: 10/25/2014 10:51:49 AM
****************************************************************************************
WIN WIN
WIN
PLACE
PLACE
UDM
PLAYS
WINS
PCT IMPACT
ROI PLACES
PCT
ROI
****************************************************************************************
OBRIEN AIDAN P
24
4
0.1667 1.9448
1.8417
5
0.2083 1.0458
ROMANS DALE L
8
3
0.375
4.375
11.8625
3
0.375
4.3375
HEAD FREDERIC
4
2
0.5
5.8333
1.175
2
0.5
0.9
PUYPE MIKE
2
2
1
11.6667
5.8
2
1
2.95
STOUTE SIR MICHAEL R5
2
0.4
4.6667
0.88
3
0.6
1.14
LOPRESTI CHARLES
3
2
0.6667 7.7782
1.5333
3
1
2.6333
PLETCHER TODD A
19
2
0.1053 1.2285
1.1579
4
0.2105 0.8368
HOLLENDORFER JERRY 7
1
0.1429 1.6672
0.7
1
0.1429 0.4
MULLINS JEFF
8
1
0.125
1.4583
0.7375
3
0.375
0.8875
PROCTOR THOMAS F
12
1
0.0833 0.9718
0.275
3
0.25
1.3833
SHIRREFFS JOHN A
7
1
0.1429 1.6672
1.3
1
0.1429 0.5571
MEEHAN BRIAN
4
1
0.25
2.9167
2.375
1
0.25
1.225
DELZANGLES MIKEL
2
1
0.5
5.8333
6.2
1
0.5
2.7
CASSIDY JAMES M
4
1
0.25
2.9167
2.85
1
0.25
1.025
BROWN CHAD C
20
1
0.05
0.5833
0.51
4
0.2
0.785
APPLEBY CHARLES
1
1
1
11.6667
7
1
1
3.4
CECIL HENRY
3
1
0.3333 3.8885
1.1
2
0.6667 1.3333
HILLS CHARLES
1
1
1
11.6667
7.9
1
1
3.9
GLATT MARK
2
1
0.5
5.8333
2.7
1
0.5
1.55
NOSEDA JEREMY
5
1
0.2
2.3333
1.26
1
0.2
0.6
MOTION H GRAHAM
10
1
0.1
1.1667
4.7
2
0.2
1.42
GOSDEN JOHN H M
9
1
0.1111 1.2962
0.3778
2
0.2222 0.5111
ASMUSSEN STEVEN M
7
1
0.1429 1.6672
0.4714
2
0.2857 0.7429
WARD WESLEY A
7
1
0.1429 1.6672
1.1143
1
0.1429 0.4714
CATALANO WAYNE M
5
1
0.2
2.3333
1.42
1
0.2
0.66
ATTFIELD ROGER L
3
1
0.3333 3.8885
9.6
1
0.3333 3.1
KORINER BRIAN J
5
1
0.2
2.3333
0.88
1
0.2
0.56
CALHOUN W BRET
2
1
0.5
5.8333
3.95
1
0.5
2.05
GAINES CARLA
4
1
0.25
2.9167
1.525
2
0.5
1.675
24
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
Dirt races, by rider, sorted by wins
****************************************************************************************
BY RIDER sorted by wins
Run Date: 10/25/2014 10:46:36 AM
****************************************************************************************
WIN WIN
WIN
PLACE
PLACE
UDM
PLAYS
WINS
PCT IMPACT
ROI PLACES
PCT
ROI
****************************************************************************************
LEPAROUX JULIEN R
41
8
0.1951 1.9306
1.3537
14
0.3415 1.2195
SMITH MIKE E
31
6
0.1935 1.9148
1.4355
9
0.2903 1.0806
GOMEZ GARRETT K
35
5
0.1429 1.4141
0.7343
9
0.2571 0.7257
MARAGH RAJIV
17
4
0.2353 2.3284
1.7588
4
0.2353 0.6294
BEJARANO RAFAEL
36
4
0.1111 1.0994
0.525
8
0.2222 0.6111
ROSARIO JOEL
43
4
0.093
0.9203
1.807
11
0.2558 1.314
GARCIA MARTIN
25
2
0.08
0.7916
0.6
7
0.28
0.772
VELAZQUEZ JOHN R
41
2
0.0488 0.4829
0.3415
11
0.2683 0.8561
STEVENS GARY L
6
2
0.3333 3.2982
1.4667
4
0.6667 1.7
ALBARADO ROBBY
17
2
0.1176 1.1637
0.6941
3
0.1765 0.5941
CASTELLANO JAVIER
28
2
0.0714 0.7065
1.3786
4
0.1429 0.8143
DOMINGUEZ RAMON A
21
2
0.0952 0.9421
0.5571
6
0.2857 0.7952
LEZCANO JOSE
8
2
0.25
2.4739
5.25
2
0.25
2.2625
NAKATANI COREY S
13
2
0.1538 1.5219
1.4923
3
0.2308 0.9
SANCHEZ JEFFREY
3
1
0.3333 3.2982
1.7333
1
0.3333 0.9
MARTINEZ WILLIE
2
1
0.5
4.9478
7.35
1
0.5
3.3
LEYVA JUAN C
2
1
0.5
4.9478
10.6
1
0.5
3.9
GUTIERREZ MARIO
12
1
0.0833 0.8243
0.7333
3
0.25
1.9333
GRYDER AARON T
2
1
0.5
4.9478
9.1
1
0.5
4
HERNANDEZ JR BRIAN J4
1
0.25
2.4739
2.6
2
0.5
1.775
LANERIE COREY J
3
1
0.3333 3.2982
1.1667
1
0.3333 0.6667
BRIDGMOHAN SHAUN
6
1
0.1667 1.6496
0.7167
1
0.1667 0.4167
NAPRAVNIK ROSIE
4
1
0.25
2.4739
0.575
1
0.25
0.425
AJTEBI AHMED
2
1
0.5
4.9478
15.8
1
0.5
6.1
THERIOT JAMIE
4
1
0.25
2.4739
2.4
1
0.25
1.15
BOREL CALVIN H
14
1
0.0714 0.7065
0.4714
5
0.3571 1.8
ROSE JEREMY
5
1
0.2
1.9791
2.98
1
0.2
1.18
DESORMEAUX KENT J
13
1
0.0769 0.761
0.6538
2
0.1538 0.7154
PEDROZA MARTIN A
5
1
0.2
1.9791
9.6
3
0.6
5.24
MURTAGH JOHN PATRICK6
1
0.1667 1.6496
1.2333
1
0.1667 0.6
BAZE TYLER
7
1
0.1429 1.4141
0.8429
1
0.1429 0.5143
VELASQUEZ CORNELIO H4
1
0.25
2.4739
10.65
1
0.25
4.475
TALAMO JOSEPH
14
1
0.0714 0.7065
0.1357
1
0.0714 0.1
COA EIBAR
1
1
1
9.8955
6.2
1
1
3.5
PETRO JR NICK
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
DELGADILLO AGAPITO 1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
BISONO ALEX
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
SUTHERLAND KRUSE CHA3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
DELGADO ALBERTO
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
HUSBANDS PATRICK
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OROZCO IRVING
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
ORTIZ JR IRAD
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
VALDIVIA JR JOSE
2
0
0
0
0
1
0.5
2.1
SANTANA JR RICARDO 1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
SMULLEN PATRICK J
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
ALVARADO JUNIOR
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
SERPA ANGEL
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
SAEZ LUIS
4
0
0
0
0
1
0.25
0.9
RAZO JR EUSEBIO
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
ESPINOZA VICTOR
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
PUGLISI IGNACIO
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
LOPEZ PACO
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
QUINONEZ ALONSO
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
LEBRON VICTOR
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
GUIDRY MARK
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
25
THE HORSEPLAYER M ONTHLY, B ROUGHT TO YOU B Y THE HORSEPLAYERS ASSOCIATION OF NORTH AMERICA
Dirt races, by trainer, sorted by wins
****************************************************************************************
BY TRAINER sorted by wins
Run Date: 10/25/2014 10:53:08 AM
****************************************************************************************
WIN WIN
WIN
PLACE
PLACE
UDM
PLAYS
WINS
PCT IMPACT
ROI PLACES
PCT
ROI
****************************************************************************************
MOTT WILLIAM I
15
4
0.2667 2.6391
2.0133
7
0.4667 1.7733
ASMUSSEN STEVEN M
20
4
0.2
1.9791
1.31
7
0.35
1.005
BAFFERT BOB
44
3
0.0682 0.6749
0.3727
11
0.25
0.7091
HOLLENDORFER JERRY 14
3
0.2143 2.1206
3.8357
5
0.3571 1.8
STALL JR ALBERT M
7
3
0.4286 4.2412
1.6714
3
0.4286 0.7571
WARD WESLEY A
8
2
0.25
2.4739
1.5875
3
0.375
1.3
PLETCHER TODD A
38
2
0.0526 0.5205
0.1237
8
0.2105 0.6579
MCPEEK KENNETH G
11
2
0.1818 1.799
0.5727
4
0.3636 1.0273
SHIRREFFS JOHN A
4
2
0.5
4.9478
3.225
3
0.75
2.15
ONEILL DOUG F
18
2
0.1111 1.0994
0.7556
5
0.2778 1.0444
MANDELLA RICHARD E 5
2
0.4
3.9582
1.74
3
0.6
2.2
KENNEALLY EDDIE
6
2
0.3333 3.2982
1.2167
2
0.3333 0.6333
MAKER MICHAEL J
6
2
0.3333 3.2982
5.0667
2
0.3333 2.0833
MITCHELL MIKE R
6
2
0.3333 3.2982
2.1
3
0.5
1.6167
ALVARADO DIANE
4
1
0.25
2.4739
2.9
1
0.25
1.5
LUKAS D WAYNE
17
1
0.0588 0.5819
0.9647
3
0.1765 1.0059
FAWKES DAVID
4
1
0.25
2.4739
1.55
1
0.25
0.875
BAKER JAMES E
1
1
1
9.8955
6.6
1
1
3
REID JR ROBERT E
2
1
0.5
4.9478
21.3
1
0.5
8.95
CATALANO WAYNE M
4
1
0.25
2.4739
2.1
1
0.25
1.125
GLATT MARK
3
1
0.3333 3.2982
0.6333
1
0.3333 0.4667
MCGEE PAUL J
4
1
0.25
2.4739
0.875
2
0.5
0.925
MOTION H GRAHAM
4
1
0.25
2.4739
3.725
1
0.25
1.475
OBRIEN AIDAN P
13
1
0.0769 0.761
0.5692
1
0.0769 0.2769
GOLD STANLEY I
3
1
0.3333 3.2982
1.7333
1
0.3333 0.9
BIN SUROOR SAEED
15
1
0.0667 0.66
2.1067
1
0.0667 0.8133
SHEPPARD JONATHAN E 3
1
0.3333 3.2982
1.4667
2
0.6667 1.7333
BRADLEY WILLIAM B
1
1
1
9.8955
4
1
1
2.3
BRADLEY WILLIAM
1
1
1
9.8955
1.7
1
1
1.3
PARBHOO SHIVANANDA 1
1
1
9.8955
14.7
1
1
6.6
RITVO KATHERINE
2
1
0.5
4.9478
2.5
2
1
2.8
HUGHES JO
1
1
1
9.8955
10
1
1
5.1
BONDE JEFF
8
1
0.125
1.2369
0.45
2
0.25
0.6375
DOLLASE WALLACE A
1
1
1
9.8955
8.2
1
1
3.6
FRANKEL GUILLERMO
1
1
1
9.8955
18.2
1
1
8
SPAWR WILLIAM
5
1
0.2
1.9791
1.78
1
0.2
0.74
MILLER PETER
5
1
0.2
1.9791
7.76
1
0.2
3.22
CALHOUN W BRET
3
1
0.3333 3.2982
3.2
1
0.3333 1.5333
VON HEMEL DONNIE K 1
1
1
9.8955
7.8
1
1
3.5
ENGLEHART JEREMIAH C2
1
0.5
4.9478
16.65
1
0.5
7.45
HARRINGTON MIKE
2
1
0.5
4.9478
24
1
0.5
9.35
GOOD JOHN
1
1
1
9.8955
3.6
1
1
1.8
KAPLAN WILLIAM A
2
1
0.5
4.9478
10.6
1
0.5
3.9
WILKES IAN R
4
1
0.25
2.4739
2.6
1
0.25
1.225
BLOCK CHRIS M
3
1
0.3333 3.2982
1.3
1
0.3333 0.6667
GAINES CARLA
2
1
0.5
4.9478
13.15
1
0.5
4.8
26