Energy Sector and Renewable Energy
Transcription
Energy Sector and Renewable Energy
Energy Sector Energy ism Wellness Tour andRenewable eationaland cal, Recr Medi 1 The Hungarian Investment and Trade Agency took part in collecting and editing the projects appearing in the brochure. If You would like to receive more detailed information on the projects, given sectors, or any industry which is not included in this publication, or need assistance in organizing meetings with project owners, please contact HITA on the contact details below. Hungarian Investment and Trade Agency (HITA) Hungary, 1055 Budapest, Honvéd street 20. Phone: +36 1 872 6520 Fax: +36 1 872 6699 [email protected] Editing closed: 24 Jan 2014 www.hita.hu 2 3 Table of Contents 6 SECTORIAL OVERVIEW PROJECTS 12 nes - Waste utilization with thermoselect technology 18 3 bio - Bioethanol, Biogas and Biomass plant 110 m EUR 22 Venterfor Windfarm Project 26 Visonta Eco Fuel - Bioethanol production in Hungary 30 TESLA - UNDERWATER HYDROELECTRIC POWER PLANT 8.5 M Eur 33.6 M EUR 18 12 6.8 M Eur 2M EUR 30 Why invest? Energy Sector and Renewable Energy in Hungary General overview The liberalization of the Hungarian electricity and natural gas market was completed in 2008. Today, the choice of supplier applies for every consumer, although the prices for universal suppliers are still regulated. As far as European Union legislation is concerned, the application of the 3rd Energy Package has been carried out and market competition is constantly growing, mainly with reference to the electricity market. The major part of Hungary’s energy supply is imported, and it will remain so for a long time. Natural gas plays the most important role in Hungary’s energy consumption and accounts for 37.8%. Crude oil and petroleum products come second. The power generation mix is dominated by nuclear energy (42%), gas-fired generation (31%) and solid fuels (16.7%). Renewable energy sources (RES) play an increasingly important role in the consumption mix. The share of RES in energy consumption rose from 5.2% in 2005 to 8.7% in 2010. According to 2010-2020 forecasts, overall energy consumption will increase by around 1.6% / year on average. Electricity consumption, according to the forecasts will increase by 2.2% / year. Crude oil and petroleum produ cts 1,3% Other 0,4% Renewables 7,7% Renewables 8,1% Fully liberalized energy market. Competitive energy prices. Competitive investment environment. Favourable implementation costs. Implementation of single energy market concept in process in the EU. Constant dynamic development of the sector. Government high priority focus sector. Government commitment in the areas of sustainability and energy efficiency. Ambitious renewable target (13% by 2020) – active area, regarding regulation. State support, technological innovations and investment opportunity. • Feed-in-tariff system for renewable energy sources. • Constantly growing energy consumption. Electricity Market Hungary’s gross electricity consumption in 2011 reached 42,626 GWh. Consumption has been showing continuous growth since the 2008 crisis downturn. Within domestic electricity generation, nuclear power and natural gas represent the highest ratio. Biomass Water 4,2% 0,6% Wind 1,7% Waste and other REN 1,4% Coal 8,1% Other 2,1% Liqui d 0,4% Solid fuel s 10,5% Solid fuels 16,7% Natural ga s 37,8% Nuclea r 42,2% Nuclea r 15,7% Natural ga s 31.3% Total TWh: 37.37 Gross electricity generation (as % of TWH ) 2010 6 • • • • • • • • • Crude oil and petroleum produ cts 26,3% Nuclear 15,7% Natural ga s 37,8% Total Mtoe: 25.98 Gross inland consumption (as of total Mtoe) 2010 Ratio of energy sources in electricity production in Hungary 7 Maximum of renewable energy potential The installed total capacity of Hungarian power stations in 2012 was over 10,000 MW. REN source Solar photovoltaic Biomass Solar thermal Geothermal Water Wind TOTAL The HUPX Hungarian Power Exchange Company Ltd started its operation in 2009, and has achieved significant success alongside constantly improving liquidity. HUPX activities include Day-ahead auction (DAM) and Physical Futures (PhF), the aggregated turnover of which in 2012 has exceeded 13 TWh. Natural Gas Market Hungary’s natural gas consumption in 2012 reached 10.44 Billion m3, Gas generation on the other hand was 2.46 Billion m3. Hungarian gas consumption mix in 2011 Yearly gas consumption 10.659 bn m3 Domestic production 2.640 bn m3 Import 8.019 bn m3 East direction (Beregdaróc) 3.606 bn m3 West direction (Mosonmagyaróvár) 4.414 bn m3 In Hungary, the Government supports renewable energy production with a Feedin Tariff Obligation System and guaranteed price. According to this regulation, all electricity produced by renewable energy must be purchased by the Transmission System Operator at a fixed price, which is indexed annually by inflation. Biofuel Bioethanol has long established itself as the world’s No. 1 biofuel and the bioethanol market has continued to grow rapidly in recent years. With the adoption of the Renewable Energies Directive in 2009, which prescribes a mandatory blending rate of 10% in the transport sector by 2020, market researchers predict a dynamic growth of the European bioethanol market, of up to 15 million m³ for 2020. The Hungarian natural gas grid is 5,783 km long. 16000 Renewable Energy Market (RES) 12000 Considering Hungary’s geographical conditions, of the renewable energy sources, energy generation from biogenic sources (forestry and agricultural biomass, biogas and biofuels), water, geothermal energy and, over the long term, solar energy, are the most important. Hungary’s 2020 RES target is 13%. However, in the Renewable Action Plan, the government has set a target of 14.65%. 8 EU biofuel use expectation, based on the Action Plans of the EU Member States CEEGEX Central Eastern European Gas Exchange Company Ltd began operation in January 2013. 14000 In 1000 m 3 The utilization and spreading of renewable energy sources could represent one of the breakthrough points for Hungary’s economy. Hungary has excellent comparative assets in certain areas of green energy resources. Potential (PJ) 1750 300 102.5 63.5 14.4 532.8 2600-2700 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Hungary has significant potential in biofuel production, supported by agricultural products. Based on an expert estimate, more than 10% of the estimated consumption for 2020 can be fulfilled just from first generation biofuels, while at the same time ensuring the fulfilment of food and feed provision objectives. 9 Wind The climate in Hungary is humid continental, and the ruling winds mainly blow from the rim of the basin towards the central parts. The optimal regions for the exploitation of wind energy can mainly be found in the country’s North, NorthWest, and some South-East areas. The connection of wind energy to the Hungarian electricity system began in 2006, when the Hungarian Energy Office opened a 330 MW capacity quota for wind energy. This amount has not been extended since, which means that today, a wind turbine without a quota is not able to join the feed-in tariff system, but is entitled to sell the produced electricity on the market. Biomass and biogas Hungary possesses excellent agro-ecological conditions for the competitive production of biomass. Hungarian agriculture is capable of sustainably producing biomass in excess of food and feed demands, and at the same time, there is significant biogas production potential. The theoretical potential of energy sources of biological origin (bioenergy) could exceed, by as much as 20%, the energy source demand estimated for 2020, and bioenergy based electricity production, that can be planned well in advance, is also controllable. The limitations of bioenergy production mainly lie in competitiveness. Bioenergy can play a primary role in fulfilling local heating demands in the future, but there is also an intent to place emphasis on the spread of small and medium-capacity combined electricity and heat generating systems, according to Hungary’s Renewable Energy Utilization Action Plan. Solar Even though there is notable solar potential in Hungary, to date only a small amount of solar capacity has been added, which in total doesn’t reach 1 % of the total usage of renewable energy. Additionally, most of this is through solar collectors. Most of the pv-panels and collectors are bought by private individuals, not by public institutions or establishments. EU competition laws, Operative Programmes, tenders and other incentives are trying to change this tendency. State and Union-level support plays a central role in the spread of solar energy systems. 10 The sectorial overview was prepared by: GRID CEE Consulting Ltd. +36 30 870 6414 [email protected] www.grid.co.hu Hungary, 1031 Budapest, Záhony street 7.Graphisoft Park C. building 11 Basic Project Data NES - Waste utilization with thermoselect technology Sector Project owner Location Implementation period Overall budget of the project I. Short description Implementation of a thermic waste recycling plant (100,000 tonnes/year) with the aim to treat local domestic and industrial waste. 110 M Funding requirement EUR Renewable Energy NES Recycling Ltd. Gyöngyös, North Hungary 2014 - 2015 146 Million EUR Project Background Project owner The project company, NES Recycling Ltd, registered in Hungary, was founded exclusively for the implementation of the waste management project in the city of Gyöngyös, (North Hungary). The ownership of the project company is divided among three Hungarian individuals, according to the main project tasks. Next to a lawyer guaranteeing the legal background, and a company and project management expert, the professional knowledge and experience is supplied by the General Manager Mr András Hajdu. The experts of NES Ltd have been working on this project since 2000, with valued partners such as Siemens Hungary, Transelectro (Hungary), Seghers (Belgium), Indaver (Belgium), Thermoselect (Switzerland) and CET Co. (England). II. Project description The purpose of the investment is to install a complex waste converter system that is able to treat and utilize all kind of waste, and to utilize the produced energy and other by-products. The basis of the chosen technology is a modern Swiss gasification method by Thermoselect , an experienced and 12 recognised company with references in Germany, Switzerland, Italy and Japan. By implementing the technology, the organic waste components are transformed into synthesis gas, which can be used for power generation or as a raw material for chemical synthesis; the inorganic waste components are converted into directly usable mineral substances and metals. The process does not produce any ash, slag or filter dust. The key elements of the project can be outlined as follows: • Waste disposal, treatment and utilization • Sale of the produced electric and heat energy • Converting the by-products into saleable products The main revenues of the project are generated from the waste disposal fee and the sale of electricity. The main target groups of the plant include industrial manufacturers and local governments on the waste input side, and electricity companies and the chemical industry regarding electricity and by-product production. An agreement with the local governments of Gyöngyös and nearby Salgótarján has been signed regarding the community waste treatment. The total capital requirement of the project is 146.7 Million EUR. The current business plan calculates with 30% own capital and 70% investment capital. According to the project owners’ plans, the own capital will include a bank loan, regarding which negotiations with several banks are in progress. The Hungarian Investment Bank has already indicated its interest in the project; the supporting documentation has been supplied and is under evaluation. Background info The Local Government of Gyöngyös passed a resolution in 1999, stating that the waste management tasks of the region should be solved by adopting a thermal waste converter technology. NES Ltd has been present from the early stages of the project idea, and has developed the business plan and obtained the necessary permits; it is the sole project owner. The project company is in constant contact with the local government of Gyöngyös and the region. Permits, access to location site, implementation The planned development is situated on the territory of the industrial park of the city of Gyöngyös. The building permit for the plant has been issued with the approval of the local government, for a 5 Ha size location within the industrial park. 13 A feasibility study has been prepared. As far as the permitting process is concerned, the Environmental Permit, Water Rights Permit and Building Permit are available. As soon as the finance is in place, plant construction can start right away and has a 24 month schedule. The plant will be implemented by leading multinationals and local engineering and construction companies with outstanding references. The Thermoselect technology complies with the strictest environmental standards of the EU. The generated electricity will be sold within the framework of the Hungarian Feed-In-Tariff system (“ KÁT”), at a higher price than the prevailing market price. Availability of input material At present more than 250 thousand tons of special industrial waste is generated every year from the local industrial companies in the North-Hungarian statistical region. There is insufficient waste treatment capacity in the region, which guarantees the input material for the plant. At present, the project company has signed agreements with two cities, Gyöngyös and Salgótarján, for the intake of their communal waste. Risk factor Mitigation / Solution Level of Risk Plant constructional risk can be mitigated by choosing experienced contractors with sufficient references, construction supervisor, and adequate contracting terms medium Availability of bank loan on-going arrangements with a number of banks, arrangement of foreign bank loan facility medium Sale of produced electricity Hungarian feed-in-tariff system guarantees the sale of produced electricity low Sale of by-products market monitoring, diversification of buyers Outage of main waste supplier diversification of supply sources, Hungarian market knowledge Public opinion level of acceptance can vary, but can be handled with PR medium plan low III. Financial Indicators Market background Waste management in Hungary is traditionally done by landfilling. At present the fee of landfilling is nearly 10 EUR / tonne, which according to Government indications will increase on a yearly basis until 2016, when it will reach 60 EUR / ton. This is expected to move the focus of industrial players toward alternative waste management solutions. The present market for alternative waste management in Hungary is rather small, with only a few strong international companies, such as AVA and ASA. The National Waste Management Agency (OHÜ) was established in early 2012. This Agency will act as a single national coordinator between the collection companies and the treatment plants. In order to meet the 2016 diversion target of the Landfill Directive, there is a need for additional waste treatment capacity in the country. Currently there is only one municipal waste incinerator with energy recovery. According to the waste act, incineration or waste co-incineration shall be permitted only if the incineration or co-incineration is directed to electrical and thermal energy production or cement, bricks, tiles and construction and ceramic manufacturing. The North-Hungarian statistical region, where the project will be located, used to be the centre of the Hungarian chemical, steel and other heavy industry in recent decades. The companies, operating here, also play a significant role in the current economic life of Hungary. These companies, which are profitable and solvent enterprises also produce a lot of industrial waste.. As a result of the state support for renewable energy, there is an option for the produced electricity to be sold at a higher price (feed-in-tariff, higher than the market price) for a maximum period of 15 years. Risk management The main risk factors of the project have been identified and the methods to prevent and solve them have been outlined by the project developers, as follows: 14 Assumptions and main indicators The Business Plan of the project calculates with reasonable estimations both regarding CAPEX and OPEX costs, and uses realistic macroeconomic expectations; there are also several reserves built into the plan. The Business Plan has been drawn up for a 14-year period. Quantitative and Qualitative Indicators Quantitative Indicators Expected investment return 10 years Average yearly EBIDTA 28 Million EUR Average yearly revenue (100% efficiency) 41 Million EUR Average yearly operational costs 8.1 Million EUR Qualitative Indicators poor adequate Elaboration level Existing client relations high X X Reality of market ratio expectation X Owner’s background (market presence, experience) X Management background (knowledge, experience) X Level of innovation in the Project idea /Added value X Risk management plan X 15 IV. Investment offer Why invest? • Serious shortage of waste management facilities in the country. • Low manufacturing costs, compared to Western Europe. • High pressure on the development of the renewables market in the EU and Hungary resulting from the EU goals for 2020. (3rd Energy Package). • Highly elaborated, detailed project. • EU legislation compatible technology. • Expertise of the project developer team. • Interest of the Hungarian Investment Bank. • With sufficient financial background, the project will be selected among high. priority investments by the Government. Required amount of investment 110 Million EUR Form of investment 50-70% share in the project company (to be negotiated) Investment return 10 years FURTHER INFORMATION For more information, business plans and contacts to the projects owners, please get in touch with our team: [email protected] 16 17 Basic Project Data 3BIO - Bioethanol, Biogas and Biomass plant Sector Project owner Location Implementation period Overall budget of the project I. Short description Bioethanol-biogas-biomass plant project for the production of fuel quality bioethanol and green energy. 33.6 M Funding requirement EUR II. Project description Renewable Energy HBT Helvéciai Bioetanol Termelő és Kereskedő Kft. Helvécia, South-East Hungary 2014 - 2015 112 Million EUR Project Background Project owner The project company Helvéciai Bioüzemanyag Termelő és Kereskedő Kft. (Helvécia Biofuel Manufacturing and Trade company), registered in Hungary, was founded exclusively for the implementation of the bioethanol-biogas-biomass plant in Helvécia (South-East Hungary). The ownership of the project company consists of one Hungarian and two German companies, according to the following: -ÉGT Kft., Hungary, share: 30.1% -METZ GmbH, Germany, share: 35.0% -STULZ-PLANAQUA GmbH, Germany, share: 34.9% Project description The main objective of the bioethanol, biogas and biomass plant project is to produce fuel quality bioethanol and green electric power. The aim of combining the three plants is to utilize synergies. Bioethanol is produced using maize as a raw material. The by-product of ethanol production is the main feedstock of the biogas plant, meanwhile the biogas- and biomass plant provide heat and electric power for the bioethanol production. 18 The Bioethanol will be sold in Western Europe, a contract has already been signed with one of the biggest redistributors: Mitsui GmbH. Electricity can be fed into the national system or later to an open market in Europe. The main input is corn, and during the production phases most of it is used, so there is only a small amount surplus material remaining. With this setup, the Bioethanol Plant is able to produce biofuel with low energy costs and minimal waste. Furthermore, the plants will save more than 100,000 CO2 quotas, which can be sold in the CO2 exchange system. The total capital requirement of the project is 112 Million EUR. The current business plan calculates with 30% own capital (33.6 Million EUR) and 70% bank loan (78.4 Million EUR). Currently, 17.4 Million EUR equity is required to receive a 78.5 Million EUR investment loan from the Hungarian Investment Bank, where the negotiation phase has been closed. A 17.4 Million EUR bank guarantee is required for the beginning of the financing process. Technology and the EPC contractors have been selected and pre-contracted. A professional study carried out by KPMG (www.kpmg.com) to evaluate the project is available. Permits, access to location site, implementation As far as the permitting process is concerned, the legally binding building permit is available (20th June 2013) and IPPC is also available. With the financing in place, plant construction can start immediately with a 22-24 months’ time frame. The 21 ha site in the industrial park of Helvécia is owned by the project company. The area is equipped with all the necessary public utilities (water, gas, electricity, waste water). The bioethanol plant will be implemented by leading multinationals and local engineering and construction companies with outstanding references. The bioethanol technology and know-how will be supplied by Desmet Ballestra Ethanol GmbH. Availability of feedstock The feedstock of the ethanol plant is guaranteed as Hungary being an agricultural country has a permanent oversupply of maize (5-10% surplus supply in each average year) for ethanol production. The bioethanol plant’s required feedstock is available in the neighbourhood and produced within 30 km. Annually 2.2 million tonnes of corn is grown around the plant within 100 km. There are several fields in the nearby district currently not in use and available for growing corn or sorghum. Next to corn, there are other types of raw material available in Hungary. Even though the change of raw material requires modifications to the technology, these can be carried out in a relatively short period of time and with low investment costs. Market background The marketability and commercial viability of the produced bioethanol product is guaranteed by the growing global energy demand, and sustainability oriented European Union regulation. The EU biofuel market is highly regulated, thus relies on significant imports due to demand exceeding supply. As far as market competition is concerned, the quantity of bioethanol produced by the present project is not likely to face serious competition due to over demand in Europe. Moreover, the majority of similar producers use raw material other than corn. In Hungary there are two other operating bioethanol producers, namely Pannónia Ethanol Zrt. plant (opened 2012), and the Hungrana Zrt. plant. Both are operating profitably with their product also exported to the German market. 19 As a result of state support for renewable energy, there is an option for the produced electricity to be sold at a higher price (feed-in-tariff, higher than the market price) for a maximum period of 15 years. Quantitative and Qualitative Indicators Quantitative Indicators Risk management The main risk factors of the project have been identified and the methods to prevent and solve them have been outlined by the project developers, as follows: Risk factor Mitigation / Solution Level of Risk Plant construction risk can be mitigated by choosing experienced contractors with sufficient references, construction supervisor and adequate contracting terms medium Availability of bank loan on-going arrangements with more banks, arrangement of foreign bank loan facility medium Outage of main buyer market monitoring, adequate contracting terms, experience and market knowledge of German owners, hedging the buy side by diversifying the final product contract medium Outage of main corn supplier diversification of supply sources, Hungarian market knowledge, change to other raw material, low Public opinion level of acceptance can vary, but can be handled with PR plan medium Expected investment return 3 years Average yearly EBIDA 28.1 Million EUR Average yearly revenue 90.9 Million EUR Average yearly operational costs 69.4 Million EUR Qualitative Indicators poor adequate Elaboration level high X Existing client relations X Reality of market ratio expectation X Owner’s background (market presence, experience) X Management background (knowledge, experience) X Level of innovation in the Project idea /Added value X Risk management plan X IV. Investment offer Why invest? • High surplus demand for the bioethanol in the EU and the target market. • Low manufacturing costs, compared to Western Europe. • High pressure on the development of renewables market in the EU and Hungary resulting from the EU goals for 2020. (3rd Energy Package). • Highly elaborated, detailed project, with all necessary permissions. • Well-known and widely used technology. • Expertise of the project development team. • Realistic and stable business plan. • Financing resolve from the Hungarian Investment Bank. III. Financial Indicators Financial Indicators Assumptions and main indicators The Business Plan of the project calculates with reasonable estimations both regarding CAPEX and OPEX costs, and uses realistic macroeconomic expectations; there are also several reserves built into the plan. The Business Plan has been calculated for a 15-year period. The calculated NPV is based on the estimates of energy and financial experts. The capital cost estimate takes into consideration the risk factors, such as the official sectorial risk factor, risk free yield, and the total risk premium of the target country. The total capital requirement of the project is 112 Million EUR. Currently, 17.4 Million EUR equity is required to receive a 78.5 Million EUR investment loan from the Hungarian Investment Bank, where the negotiation phase has been closed, and a 17.4 Million EUR bank guarantee is required for the beginning of the financing process. 20 Required amount of investment 33.6 Million EUR (counted with 70% bank loan and 100% share in the project company) Form of investment 70-100% share in the project company (to be negotiated) Investment return 3 years FURTHER INFORMATION For more information, business plans and contacts to the projects owners, please get in touch with our team: [email protected] 21 Basic Project Data Venterfor Windfarm Project Sector Project owner Location Implementation period Overall budget of the project I. As a result, the project owner is planning to sell the electricity produced in the wind farm via the Austrian electricity grid – either by joining the Austrian feed-in-tariff system, or by selling it on the electricity market. Short description Installation of eight wind turbines (total capacity of 16 MW) on an undeveloped area of 51.7 hectares in the administrative district of Fertőd. 8.5 M The technical background of the network connection has been planned and supported by valid offers (Netz Burgenland ). The availability of the Austrian feed-in-tariff is under arrangement process, next to which the project owner has obtained offers for the purchase of the produced electricity from Austrian and German traders. The installation of the wind energy plant is planned with Vestas V90 (2MWe) turbines. Vestas is among the leading wind turbine manufacturers in the world; the only global energy company dedicated exclusively to wind energy. The arrangements have reached the level of an informative offer, preceded by a preliminary feasibility study of Vestas Hungary, focusing on the expected annual production. Funding requirement EUR Renewable Energy VENTERFOR ENERGIE GAG. Fertőd, West Hungary 2014 2Q - 2014 4Q 27.7 Million EUR Project Background Project owner The project owner company, VENTERFOR ENERGIE GAG, registered in Hungary, was founded with the main aim of renewable energy project development and implementation. The one-man company is owned by Mr Csongor Veress, a local individual with special interest in green energy projects, with biomass and windpark related references and project developments in the Central European region, namely Hungary, Romania, Slovakia and Croatia. II. Project description The main objective of the Fertőd Wind Farm project is the installation of eight wind turbines with a total capacity of 16 MW on an undeveloped area of 51.7 hectares in the administrative district of the Hungarian city of Fertőd (county: Győr-Moson-Sopron) near Austria. The project involves the option for an additional eight turbine (16 MW) extension. The total capital requirement of the 16 MW wind farm is 27.7 Million EUR, whereas the extended project (16 turbines) requires 52 Million EUR. The current business plan for eight turbines (16 MW) calculates with 25% own capital (6.9 Million EUR) and 75% bank loan (20.8 Million EUR). The project company is currently in the negotiation process with more, Hungarian based and foreign banks, but no financing partner has been chosen yet. Permits, access to location site, implementation Wind measurements and necessary calculations have been carried out by the Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Vienna. The project area is situated near the Central European Alps with average 7 m/s inflowing north-western air, and the number of windless days in the area is insignificant (approx. 30-40 days/year). As far as the permitting process is concerned, the project, to date, has obtained a valid Building Permit and Small Power Plant Permit for eight wind turbines (16 MW capacity), both necessary for the implementation of the project. The development area is owned by Venterfor company, excluding all and any additional costs related to the project site. With the availability of the financial background, the plant construction can start right away and has a eight month target deadline. Market background Wind is a readily available source of energy, which has a high output even in colder winter times, when hydropower and solar installations are at their lowest. Wind energy barely results in any external costs. By exploiting a regenerative energy source, the reliance on other fuels and the resulting environmental damage are avoided. In 2012, Hungary had a total installed wind capacity of 330 MW. Higher capacity is distributed in the north west of the country, with most of wind farms installed in the Kisalföld region. Austria has a long tradition of wind energy use, it is ranked as the world’s seventeenth largest producer of wind power with its 1400 MW installed capacity (2012). Today there is a target of 34% renewable energy by 2020 and 100% self-sufficiency in energy by 2050. The Austrian wind power supplier industry is globally leading in the fields of control units, wind power generators, design and high tech materials. Moreover, public opinion regarding the use of wind energy in Austria is well above the average, a recent survey found that 77% of Austrians are in favour of wind power. The additional advantage of the project lies in its closeness to Austria, with regard to the fact that in Hungary, at present, a wind turbine without a quota given by the highest energy authority, is not able to join the feed-in tariff system; a new quota tender is not expected in the near future. 22 23 Risk management The main risk factors of the project have been identified and the methods to prevent and solve them have been outlined by the project developers, as follows: IV. Investment offer Why invest? Risk factor Mitigation / Solution Level of Risk Plant constructional risk choice of experienced contractors medium with sufficient reference, construction supervisor, and adequate contracting terms Cable constructional risk good knowledge of Hungarian and Austrian legal background and permitting process medium Availability of bank loan on-going arrangements with more banks, arrangement of foreign bank loan facility medium Sale of produced electricity (if not as part of the Austrian feed-intariff system) special reserves in the business plan, market monitoring, adequate contracting terms, experience and market knowledge medium Obtaining of permits for the 2nd 16 MW phase precisely elaborated documentation, choice of experienced contractors low Public opinion level of acceptance can vary, but can be handled with PR plan medium • Low manufacturing costs, compared to Western Europe. • High pressure on the development of renewables market in the EU and Hungary, resulting from the EU goals for 2020. (3rd Energy Package). • Highly elaborated, detailed project. • Well-known and widely used technology. • Expertise of the project developer team. • Reasonable and stable business plan. Required amount of investment 8.5 Million EUR (6.9 Equity+1.6 project value) (calculating with 75% bank loan) Form of investment up to 100% share in the project company The investment value can be reduced by applying EU grants and achieving lower turbine purchase prices. Assumptions and main indicators The Business Plan of the project calculates with reasonable estimations both regarding CAPEX and OPEX costs, and uses realistic macroeconomic expectations; there are several reserves built into the plan. The Business Plan has been calculated for a 15 years period. III. Financial Indicators Quantitative and Qualitative Indicators Quantitative Indicators Average yearly EBITDA 2.5 Million EUR Average yearly revenue 4.5 Million EUR Average yearly operational costs 810,000 EUR Qualitative Indicators poor adequate Elaboration level 24 high X Existing client relations X Reality of market ratio expectation X FURTHER INFORMATION Owner’s background (market presence, experience) X Management background (knowledge, experience) X Level of innovation in the Project idea /Added value X Risk management plan X For more information, business plans and contacts to the projects owners, please get in touch with our team: [email protected] 25 Basic Project Data Visonta Eco Fuel - Bioethanol production in Hungary Sector Project owner Location Implementation period Overall budget of the project I. Short description Establishment of a bioethanol plant for the production of fuel quality bioethanol. The plant is to be built on the industrial site of Mátrai Power Plant with the aim of utilizing synergies due to the cooperation between the two plants. II. Project description 2014-2015 The main objective of the bioethanol plant project is to produce fuel quality bioethanol from maize. The plant is to be built on the industrial site of Mátrai Power Plant with the aim of utilizing synergies resulting from the cooperation between the two plants. The coal based power plant supplies the steam and electrical energy to the bioethanol plant, and the by-product of the bioethanol plant is utilized by the power plant as feedstock. Thanks to this cooperation, the bioethanol plant receives electricity and steam at a lower price, while the power plant uses a renewable resource, saving CO2 quota by doing so. As a result of this setup, the bioethanol plant is able to produce biofuel at the lowest energy costs and with minimal waste. The pre-agreement regarding the sale of the entire quantity of the produced ethanol has already been made with Mitsui & CO. Deutschland GmbH. According to the signed supplier contract with the Mátrai Erőmű Plant, the by-product of the bioethanol production is regarded as a renewable fuel and is delivered to the plant for burning. The plant in exchange sells the electricity produced from the renewable fuel at a reduced price to the bioethanol plant. The total capital requirement of the project is 34 Million EUR. The current business plan calculates with 20% own capital (6.8 Million EUR) and 80% bank loan (27.2 Million EUR). The project company is currently in the negotiation process with several Hungarian based and foreign banks, although no financing partner has been chosen at this stage. 34 Million EUR Permits, access to location site, implementation 6.8 M Investment need EUR Renewable Energy Visontai Bioetanol Development Co. Ltd Visonta, North Hungary Project Background Project owner The project company, the Visontai Bioetanol Development Ltd, registered in Hungary, was founded exclusively for the implementation of the bioethanol plant in cooperation with the Mátrai Power Plant. The ownership of the project company, with EUR 761,666 equity capital, consists of two Hungarian companies, according to the following: - Duna Development Co. Ltd, share: 67% - F-Estate Ltd, share: 33% The equity capital of the project company includes the technical plans, preparation works and fees of the permitting procedure. Duna Development Co Ltd was originally established as an independent Hungarian-Austrian state owned enterprise with the aim of supporting the Hungarian Government before entering the EU in the fields of environment and energy efficiency. Following Hungary’s admission to the EU, the company has been assigned by the Hungarian Government to find and evaluate the possibilities for domestic bioethanol, biogas and biodiesel projects. In 2008, the Hungarian Government sold its shares to private owners, who have since developed and managed the company successfully. Duna Development Ltd today is an acknowledged project development company with references from various fields of the energy sector, such as heating plants, gas engines and turbines, and biomass projects. 26 Thus the members of the management are all experienced experts, having spent the last two decades in the energy and agriculture sector. F-Estate Ltd is an asset management company with a special focus on renewable energy projects. The company has taken in part in the implementation of biomass and agricultural projects in the past, and is acting as a capital investor in the project company. The bioethanol plant’s project plan is in a highly developed state. The implementation plans and permissions are available. When the financial background is agreed, plant construction can start immediately and requires 12 months for completion. The development area is situated on the site of the Mátra Plant, and a preliminary long term rental agreement has been signed between the parties. The area is equipped with all the necessary public utilities (water, gas, electricity, waste water). The bioethanol technology and know-how will be supplied by Desmet Ballestra Ethanol GmbH. Availability of feedstock The feedstock of the ethanol plant is guaranteed as Hungary is an agricultural country where there is a permanent oversupply of maize (5-10% surplus supply in an average year) for ethanol production. As far as the present project is concerned, corn suppliers are available at any time for production. Next to corn, there are other types of raw material available in Hungary. Even though the change of raw material requires modifications in the technology, these can be carried out in a relatively short period of time and with low investment costs. Market background The marketability and commercial viability of the produced bioethanol product is guaranteed by the growing global energy demand, and sustainability oriented European Union regulation. The EU biofuel market is highly regulated, thus relies on significant imports due to demand exceeding supply. As far as market competition is concerned, the quantity of bioethanol produced by the present project is not likely to face serious competition due to over demand within Europe. Moreover, the majority of similar producers use raw material other than corn. 27 In Hungary there are two other operating bioethanol producers, namely Pannónia Ethanol Zrt. plant (opened 2012), and the Hungrana Zrt. plant. Both are operating profitably with their product also exported to the German market. The main risk factors of the project have been identified and the methods to prevent and solve them have been outlined by the project developers, as follows: Risk factor Mitigation / Solution Level of Risk Plant constructional risk can be mitigated by choosing experienced contractors with sufficient references, construction supervisor, and adequate contracting terms medium on-going arrangements with a number of banks, arrangement of foreign bank loan facility medium Outage of main buyer market monitoring, adequate contracting terms, experience and market knowledge of German owners, hedging the buy side by diversifying the final product contract medium Outage of main corn supplier diversification of supply sources, Hungarian market knowledge change to other raw material, low adequate level of acceptance can vary, but can be handled with PR plan high X Existing client relations X Reality of market ratio expectation X Owner’s background (market presence, experience) X Management background (knowledge, experience) X Level of innovation in the Project idea /Added value X Risk management plan X IV. Investment offer Why invest? Closing of the Matra Power Plant adequate rent terms for the bioethanol plant low site, and change to other technology in order to utilize the by-product as animal forage (business plan ready for the scenario) Public opinion poor Elaboration level Risk management Availability of bank loan Qualitative Indicators medium III. Financial Indicators • High surplus demand for the bioethanol in the EU and the target market. • Low manufacturing costs, compared to Western Europe. • High pressure on the development of renewables market in the EU and Hungary resulting from the EU goals for 2020. (3rd Energy Package). • Win-win setup between the Mátrai Power Plant and the Project. • Highly elaborated, detailed project, with all necessary permissions. • Well-known and widely used technology. • Expertise of the project development team. • Realistic and stable business plan. Required amount of investment 6.8 Million EUR (counting with 80% bank loan) Form of investment 100% share in the project company (5 Million EUR) FURTHER INFORMATION Assumptions and main indicators The Business Plan of the project calculates with reasonable estimations both regarding CAPEX and OPEX costs, and uses realistic macroeconomic expectations; there are also several reserves built into the plan. The Business Plan has been produced for a 15 year period. The calculated NPV is based on the estimates of energy and financial experts. The capital cost estimate takes into consideration the risk factors, such as the official sectorial risk factor, risk free yield, and the total risk premium of the target country. The ethanol sales provide 83 per cent of annual revenue, the average sale price of ethanol is calculated as 573 EUR/m3 in the first year, 2014. For more information, business plans and contacts to the projects owners, please get in touch with our team: [email protected] Quantitative and Qualitative Indicators Quantitative Indicators 28 Expected investment return 3 years Average yearly EBIDA 13.2 Million EUR Average yearly revenue 52.2 Million EUR Average yearly operational costs 38 Million EUR 29 Basic Project Data Tesla - Underwater hydroelectric power plant Sector Project owner Location Implementation period Overall budget of the project Short description Production and testing an innovative renewable energy hydro power plant technology prototype with the aim of additional power plant construction, and the sale of 1000 MW patent right in Hungary. 2M Funding requirement EUR (prototype and production of the first 1MW turbine) Renewable Energy Mr Tomislav Tesla, inventor, Mr Róbert Uracs patent rights holder for Hungary and Slovakia river (under discussion) 18-24 months 1st Phase-Prototype and production of a 1 MW capacity working turbine: 2million EUR Project Background Project owner Mr Tomislav Tesla, as an inventor, gained his experience in architecture and engineering. He began the implementation of his idea eight years ago and finished the development of the technology in 2011. The patent he received is a result of his work and that of other outstanding experts. The head of the Hungarian project team is Mr Róbert Uracs, a designer with significant experience and international connections. As a business partner of Mr Tesla, he is in charge of handling the Hungarian and Slovakian patent rights of the innovation as well as the management of all tasks in connection with the project. II. Project description The first phase of the TESLA Project involves the production and testing of the prototype of an innovative renewable energy hydroelectric power plant technology; the construction of the first 1 MW working turbine, and as a result, the sale of patent rights (1000 MW in Hungary) and construction of new hydro power plants using the technology. 30 The essence of the investment lies in the opportunity to take part in the implementation of a theoretically proven innovation, which – when constructed – will represent an outstanding business opportunity with special rights given to the investor. Project background 2nd Phase Construction of additional turbines: 1.25 million EUR/MW I. Milestones of the project can be identified as follows: 1. Production of the Prototype Turbine with the aim of proving the effectiveness of the power plant (expert participation of the Physical Sciences Research Institute of Belgrade (Serbia) and Technical University of Novi Sad with other experts and engineers) 2. Construction of the First Full Size Power Plant with a 1MW capacity on a smaller river in Hungary 3. Start of patent right sales – the Hungarian project owner possesses the right for a 1000 MW patent to be sold within Hungary 4. Construction of new hydroelectric power plants using the technology – In Hungary and abroad The basis of the project idea, the “T1 Tesla type underwater hydroelectric power plant” technology is owned by Mr Tomislav Tesla, a relative of the famous inventor, Nikola Tesla. The innovation has a PCT (Patent Cooperation Treaty) certificate. The PCT makes it possible to seek patent protection for an invention in 140 countries. Mr Tomislav Tesla received the patent (an exclusive right granted for an invention) from the World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO ) on September 19, 2013. A 1000 MW from the patent has been given to the Hungarian project owner to be sold within Hungary. The regarding contract between Mr. Tomislav Tesla and Mr. Róbert Uracs was signed and certified on October 03, 2013. Main objectives of the project: • Very favourable electricity production cost: approximately 0.02-0.03 EUR/kWh • Constant electricity supply, no volatility • Quick and low cost repair – operational costs count for less than 10% of the revenues • No fuel needed for operation – low variable costs • 100% environment friendly technology, creates no danger to flora or fauna whatsoever • Does not interfere with the river traffic – the turbines can be automatically moved vertically in the river watercourse • No need for inundation – watercourse rent is required • Only requires a small area of land and river territory The total capital requirement of the first phase, such as the production and testing of the prototype is 2 Million EUR. The project owner guarantees a maximum of 20% share of the project company, and of the sale of the 1000 MW patent right in Hungary. An additional maximum 70% share is optionally offered in the new hydro plants to be built by the project company. Permits, access to location site, implementation The technology has a PCT certificate and the patent rights given by WIPO. The exact location has not yet been chosen for the construction of the actual working hydro power plant using the Tesla technology; this will be decided following financing. The necessary permits will be obtained after the production and testing of the prototype turbine The permitting procedure for renewable energy power plants is strongly supported by the Hungarian Government and the European Union. 31 Market background The energy consumption of the European Union and Hungary is constantly increasing. With current policies, this virtually guarantees the demand for electricity generated from renewable energy sources, using secure technologies with very favourable operational costs, both in Hungary and in the regional power markets. Risk management The main risk factors of the project have been identified and the methods to prevent and solve them have been outlined by the project developers as follows: Risk factor Mitigation / Solution Level of Risk Prototype constructional risk choice of experienced contractors with sufficient reference, construction monitoring and supervision, adequate contracting terms medium Prototype test results highly detailed plans audited by professionals and experts high Delay in schedule due to prototype improvement constant process monitoring high Permitting process for the first turbine detailed preliminary study on the necessary permits and conditions, include adequate reserves in the project timeline, preparation of an environmental feasibility study medium Availability of location detailed preliminary study on the ownership of the planned river section and its surroundings feasibility study of network connection medium level of acceptance can vary, but can be handled with PR plan medium Public opinion when the financing is in place), the main input data of the business plan is based on professional assumptions. The preliminary Business Plan is for a four-year period. Quantitative Indicators Life span of one 1 MW turbine 20-25 years Average yearly energy production of a 1 MW turbine 7,800,000 kWh Expected investment return 4 years Average yearly EBITDA 2.32 Million EUR Average yearly revenue / 1 MW turbine 0.51 Million EUR Average yearly operational costs 100,000 EUR / MW Average yearly revenue – patent rights 1.8 Million EUR Qualitative Indicators poor adequate high Elaboration level X Existing client relations X Reality of market ratio expectation X Owner’s background (market presence, experience) X Management background (knowledge, experience) X Level of innovation in the Project idea /Added value Risk management plan X X IV. Investment offer Why invest? • Being part of the implementation of an outstanding innovation. • Option for a share of the patent rights for the European Union. • High pressure on the development of renewables market in the EU and Hungary resulting from the EU goals for 2020. (3rd Energy Package). • Expertise of the project development team. III. Financial Indicators Assumptions and main indicators As a result of the defined and fix energy prices and the low level of variable costs, the future cash flow of the project is stable. As the innovative turbine is currently in the development phase (the prototype will be constructed 32 Required amount of investment 2 Million EUR Form of investment maximum 20% share in the project company Investment return 4 years FURTHER INFORMATION For more information, business plans and contacts to the projects owners, please get in touch with our team: [email protected] 33 NOTES 34 35