ambrym volcanic activity situation
Transcription
ambrym volcanic activity situation
GOVERNMENT OF THE REPUBLIC OF VANUATU GOUVERNEMENT DE LA REPUBLIQUE DE VANUATU MINISTRY OF INTERNAL AFFAIRS MINISTERE DE L’INTERIEUR Private Mail Bag 036 PORT VILA Tel: 22252 Tel/Fax: 27064 Sae Postal Prive 036 PORT VILA Tel: 22252 Tel/Fax: 27064 AMBRYM VOLCANIC ACTIVITY SITUATION AS OF 3RD APRIL 2009 Introduction Ambrym volcano showed signs of a significant activity since December 2008. The activity is observed by the Geohazards team from the department of Geology, Mines and Water Resources in January 2009. The latest site-Observation on the volcano was conducted in the mid of March 2009. This observation confirmed the increase of the activity, the active vents of the craters of Marum and Benbow have multiplied in less than 2 months and the emission of volcanic gases is also increasing. This is the manifestation of the beginning of an new eruptive phase, the impact on the population and the environment of Ambrym and surrounding islands, especially the western part of Ambrym island, is remarkable. It is imperative for the authorities to take initiatives to closely monitor the volcano activity and get the population prepared to face the immediate and long term impacts of such natural Hazard. Background Ambrym volcano is a large volcano formed about 1900 years ago, and closely followed by the formation of the craters of Marum and Benbow. Past eruptions has led to the formation of the main Volcano craters of Marum, the Mbwelesu, Niri Mbwelesu, and Memben Mbwlesu that are also permanently active. Volcano activity has been continuing since then and is still continues today. Major historical eruptions are of different types. There have been explosive eruptions from the central vents (which begun and have been continuous since the formation of the craters, and still ongoing) and lava flows from the volcano fissures on the flanks (1888, 1894-1895,1912-1929, 1950-1953, , 1964-1966, 1981, 1988-1989). The eruptions of Ambrym volcano can lead to extreme degassing (for instance - 20,000 tone of SO2 per day in March 2005).. Many of these historical records of volcanic activities involved evacuation of the population on the island, with one of the most notable events being the eruption of 1894, which resulted in the evacuation of Dip Point. The eruption of 1913 destroyed the lonwolwol hospital at Dip Point along with 21 victims while another eruption in 1929, saw evacuations between Craig Cove and 1 Sessivi. The latest evacuation of the population in Ambrym, due to volcanic eruption, was in 1951 with the evacuation of residents on the southern part of Ambrym to Epi Island and Efate. Vanuatu is sitting on a time-bomb normally and scientists have predict that a serious volcanic eruption can happen every 50-100 years. The last serious eruption on Ambrym occurred in 1951 which is now 58 years, therefore, it is now showing signs of becoming dangerous which now demands the government to constantly monitor and prepare a disaster plan in place. Latest eruption in Tonga submarine volcano has caused the pacific volcanic plate activated, which also trigger our volcanic activities throughout the country. Current Vocanic Activity and Impacts On January 29th 2009, the Geo-Hazards team witnessed the beginning of an important eruption phase of both Ambrym volcanoes (Bembow and Marum). This activity was confirmed by January OMI (Ozone Monitoring Instrument) satellite pictures, with an average of 15000 tons of Sulphur Dioxide (SO2) gas emission on the day of eruption. Marum volcano produced an ash plume rising 2 km in height. The team also witnessed the impact of the ash fall and the emission of volcanic gases on the people and the vegetations of West Ambrym (indicated by blue water inside tank and damaged crops). Photo 1 : Ash fall emissions (over Benbow side) Photo 2: Marum (Mbwelesu crater) eruption on 29 January 2009, 2:58 p.m. This activity was closely monitored with the support of West Ambrym community who have been providing monthly reports to the geo-hazards team. The last report on March 10th 2009) has demonstrated a sudden increase in volcanic activity coupled by constant heavy acid rain. The last and most recent observation made by the Geo-Hazards team verified the increased activity of Marum and Benbow volcanoes. Benbow volcano ejected ash and gas frequently, towards the western direction and Marum maintained a constant gas plume from its principal vents (Memben Mbwlesu, Niri Mbwlesu, Mbwelesu, Old Marum). At the moment volcanic eruption is posing threat to water source for the communities of Ambrym especially the water catchment from SO2 gas contamination in all water tansks and well have turned blue due to acidic rain with the level of ph less than 4. This is not safe for drinking. Under WHO standards for safe drinking ph level is 7. Photo 3: Bembow gas plume, March 17th 2009 Photo 4: Bembow activity, A: Central crater (3 active events), B: Strombolian activity of central crater, C: North crater activity Photo 5: Marum activity, A: old event active, B: Mbwelesu crater, C: Niri Mbwelesu crater, D: Memben Mbwelesu crater Observed consequences The Geohazards team has to confirm the impact of the important activity of Ambrym volcanoes. The team has decided to follow-up the following issues as consequences of the recent volcanic activity on the Western and Northern part of Ambrym Island: 1) Acidity and quality of rain water inside fiberglass tanks and concrete wells: Acid rain from volcano is one of the most dangerous direct impacts of a significant volcanic eruption. The geohazards team has decided to cover the whole West Ambrym Area. The team has tried to select the most representative water reservoir for each village, although some village has more than 10 different wells or tanks. Moreover, due to the short time to cover the whole West Ambrym area it was the most efficient solution. The Geo-Hazard Team decided to focus on the water thanks or wells that are used for drinking by the communities, avoiding reservoir used for swimming or washing. Most of the time, the team has encountered blue and opaque water inside the rain water wells selected (see photo 6). The team decided to select fiberglass tank and concrete wells both due to their capability to react (or not) with acid rain. Generally, cement from concrete wells temporizes acidity of rain water. Photo 6: Blue and opaque water of concrete well demonstrate existence of sulfur dioxide (pH: 5,22) The acidity of the water is measured by its “pH”. Naturally the rain water has a pH value between 6 and 7 (value of a neutral water has a pH of 7). The rain is acid (Acid rain) when its pH is under 5.6. The result of the quick campaign of the team indicates that most of the samples pH is less than 5.6. The most affected people are the schools, community centers, cooperatives and in general those who own or have access to fiberglass tanks, as this tank material does not alter the acidity of rain water. The map below summarizes these results: Fig.2: West Ambrym water pH measurements map The red spots represent water samples with a very low pH (very acid water, fewer than 5). Unfortunately these water samples are located within important population density area, as in: - Craig Cove community center Baiap community center and dispensary - Port Vato Secondary school - Sessivi Primary school - Bulemap Primary school - Lollibolo Primary school The 4,000 people living in the western part of Ambrym are being affected; however responsible agencies should do further assessment and redefine the total number of population affected. This information is issued from the findings of the Geo-Hazards team. The Ministry of Health with the collaboration of the WHO and UNICEF should continue the assessment in a wider coverage for further findings. Affected gardens: The heavy rains characterizing the current wet season is washing gardens and thus exposing them to acid rain. There have already been evidences of trees half destroyed by acid rain. Important to note also, is the approaching dry season which will most probably increase the acidity in the acid rain and destroy more crops than what is being observed currently. Photo 7: contaminated Banana tree Photo 8: Contaminated papaya tree More investigation need to be realized by the Ministry of Agriculture as fruits, vegetables and root crops are durably affected by acid rain. The photos above show the direct effect of acid rain on trees and leaves, however impact on crops, roots (manioc, taro, yam), and fruits quality need to be quantified. Ambrym Volcanic Risk Map Volcanic risk map of Ambrym is divided into three parts. The red colour is high risk zone, the yellow colour is moderate risk and green colour is low risk. However, the current ash-fall and acid rain is associated with rain and wind, therefore, due to wind direction it can covers whole of Ambrym in a changing wind direction. Ambrym Volcanic Risk Currently, all catchment water source (ie Water tanks Fiberglass and concrete well) in every communities and schools in West and North Ambrym are highly contaminated with Acid Rain. (ref to map photo above). Once water turn crystal blue it means it contains sulphur dioxide. All Acid rain during this season have sunk and now crops are consuming the same into root crops as well as fruits and it is not safe for human consumption especially babies and older similar to 2005 Eruption and Acid Rain but very serious since the level of ph is below 4. There is health risk from acidic rain which will cause acid infection in stomach of children and older which can lead to stomach pain (grastic bleeding) and respiratory infections such as (ARI/Asthma ) when breathing in the sulphur dioxide gas. Lack of Ambrym Volcano Disaster and Emergency Plan in Place, because Malampa Province has no Provincial Disaster Officer. Lack of permanent Volcanic monitoring equipment on Ambrym and other volcano as well..this is a big risk to the country as a whole, as there are a lot of volcano in Vanuatu. Apart from the above here are the Ambrym Volcanic Risks: o Lava flow o Tephra (explosion within the Grater) o Ash fall o SO2 gases Ambrym Volcano Alert Levels System (AVALS) The Ambrym Volcano Alert Level System (AVALS) is a standard alert systems established to management different levels of volcanic activities as determine by the Scientists during monitoring of Ambrym volcano. The Current level of Volcano is at LEVEL 2. Whilst the activity is at level 2, the impact of Acid Rain is a concern to human lives. AVALS Descriptions Volcano Alert Level (VAL) Group 1 (Yasur, Lopevi, Group 2 (Ambae, Gaua, Ambrym) Vanua Lava) 0 Normal Low-level activity 1 Increased activity, danger near Signs of awakening crater only 2 Moderate eruptions, danger Confirmation of awakening, close to the volcano vent, Minor eruptions and danger within parts of Red Zone near to crater within parts of Red Zone. 3 Large eruption, danger in Moderate to large eruption, specific areas within Red and danger in Red Zone and parts Yellow Zones. of Yellow Zone. 4 Very large eruption, islandwide danger (including areas within Red Yellow and Green Zones) and potential impacts on neighbouring islands. Normal, Quiet Very large eruption, islandwide danger (including areas within Red, Yellow and Green Zones and potential impacts on neighbouring island. Disaster Risk Management Program and Benefit Priority 1. Short term benefit o to reduce health risk and to safe lives o to install volcanic monitoring equipment on site for timely information on the level of activity for the purpose of making right decisions. o Deploy Volcanology to monitor the activity. o Deploy technical assessment and awareness team. o Assess water situation and activate re-supply of fresh water to vulnerable communities for consumption including schools. o Conduct water testing for more results from West/North and South East Ambrym. o Develop Food aid program in place. o Rural Water supply to develop a contingency plan to address the need of installing bore holes water source in all volcanic islands and to discourage use of rain water tanks. o Setup a Provincial Disaster Risk Management Committee at Malampa Province and at West Ambrym to engage the Area Secretaries, Police, Health, Education, chiefs, women leaders, church leaders to be on alerts and to provide community information on impact of volcano back to NDC. o Set up onsite EOC at Crag Cove. o Promote disaster preparedness and Volcano response planning at community and Provincial level. Priority 2 Mid-term benefit o Provide similar monitoring and assessment to other islands such as Gaua, Ambae, Lopevi, and Submarine Volcano in Tongoa and Tanna o Provide similar monitoring and assessment on other islands such as South Malekula, Epi and Paama. o Consider better decision on Water projects in volcanic risk communities and schools. Priority 3 Long term benefit o Use scientific and technical information on Ambrym Volcanic risk in decision making process. o Use scientific and technical information on Ambrym Volcanic risk in development project planning. o Ensure all communities are aware of their volcanic risks as well as to be responsive to different level of volcanic activity and to take precaution as appropriate. Ambrym Volcano DRR & DM Action Plan Upon receipt reports on the Alerts of Ambrym Volcano, the Government has taken a proactive Steps in approving this Action Plan with the budget. However, Evacuation operation has not been included in the budget, noting that this is a slow onset disaster where the government would want to address as it develops. Pending on situation this figures may change. This is current Government commitment. Output Component Costs 1. Deployment of Scientific Monitoring and Technical Assessment and Awareness team 2. Monitoring Equipment hire and aerial survey 3. Volcano program coordinator and 3 x international scientists 4. Emergency Water Re-supply operation 5. Food Aid program for 2 months 6. Ambrym Volcano Preparedness & Evacuation Planning 7. Water bore hole and undercround water projects installation 8. Travelling/susbsistance and freight costs 9.. Logistic Cost/Miscellaneous 2 000 000vt Total 31 000 000vt 2 000 000vt 4 000 000vt 2,000,000 vt 11,000,000 vt 3.500 ,000 vt 5. 000 000 vt 1, 000 000 vt 500,000 vt Affected Population The total population of Ambrym is over 9,000 people estimated to be directly affected. This population figures were based on over 40 villages on Ambrym. However, the Vanuatu Red Cross Society is task to ensure all are registered. This population figure has not taken into account other people coming from other islands and working on Ambrym as well as schools. Most affected is the western part of Ambrym with the total estimated population of 4,000 people, however, confirm figures will be provided by the Statistic office.. Relocation/Evacuation Centres This information shall be made available at the completion of assessment teams from the island, however, Ambrym Volcanic Eruption has a lot of history. As a result of previous eruptions, people from Ambrym have moved and established villages in Malekula, Epi, Paama and Efate. Responses: Community Responses The following are community responses so far: Community leadership is activated at all level of the island Onsite Monitoring. Initial Community awareness and information dissemination. Encourage the communities of high risks villages to moved voluntary out People are encourage to empty their water tanks and wells and use under ground water source in stead. Voluntarily activating ware-resupply from clean water sources. Malampa Provincial Responses Malampa Disaster Committee activated to assume Coordination role. The following are the response program MDC: Malampa Headquarter is coordinating all activities at Provincial level. Establish Provincial EOC at Lakatoro and plans in place to establish one in Crag Cove and manned by Police officers. Initial deployment of three rapid assessment teams and awareness to North, West and SEA Ambrym commencing 3rd April 2009.. Plan the Coordination of water re-supply operation. Plan the Coordination of local food aid from nearby islands of Malampa Province. Set up food committee, accommodation committee and transport committee to address various concerns on Ambrym. Assess relocation centres. Conduct of daily brief at the Provincial HQ. Formulation of Provincial Reports to NDC.. Support National Teams on Grounds. o Challenges at Provincial Level Initially Malampa Province has limited financial resources to undertake such an operation on its own. Limited capacity to activate and conduct such a volcano disaster operation for the entire island. Coordination between Malampa and NDC needed a lot of improvement. Communication limitations Priority Humanitarian needs Apart from the areas of needs, it is common that these would be an obvious needs to be addressed especially when activating such volcanic response operations; Fresh Water re-supply operations to all main centres within island communities first. Allocation and deployment of Health and medical supplies to Ambrym. Vaccinations/Medical check Local Food aid supplies requirement for two months and coordination Procurement of Extra temporary shelter for stockpiling in case there is evacuation order issue by the Government. Taking care of our special needs. ( disable people of different nature, mentally affected, orderly, etc.). National Government Response Council of Ministers to approve 31,000,000 vt to cover phase 1 of our operation plan. Daily coordination meeting under the National Disaster Committee Chairmanship of the Ministry of Internal Affairs. Scientist s deployed to Ambrym to do some monitoring of the activity. The NDC has activated all technical line ministries to activate their response plans. Ministry of Health is developing a deployment Plan . Standby and mobile health kids are being prepared to be deploy to various care centres on Ambrym. Prepare Rapid Technical Assessment and Awareness teams to whole of Ambrym. Information catering and dissemination National Challenges Lack of logistic stockpiling on Ambrym. Lack of National scientists. Lack of Volcano monitoring equipment. Lack of seismic monitoring equipment. Limited Logistic availability Poor Road condition and infrastructure on Ambrym and is not safe in times of emergency manoeuvre. Therefore, it needs maintenance. Limited National Capacities – technical services. Limited water supply infrastructure development on the island. Potential External Assistance Provision of Technical Assistance in terms of o Volcanic and Seismic monitoring equipment o Volcanic specialist x 3 Logistic support in times of evacuation process. (by Air/Vessel) Underground water Bore hole program/project Desalination plant Possible food /water re-supply support assistance to affected communities for 2 months. Possible medical assistance with equipment/medical supplies/Field Hospital and human resource. Provision of TA to support in developing Ambrym Volcano Evacuation plan.. Water purification tablets. Portable Water testing kids Field Water tanks/Portable water containers. Possibility of Financial assistance should Vanuatu Disaster fund be limited. Prepared by National Disaster Committee - 3rd April 2009. --------------Safe, Secure and Resilience Vanuatu-----------------