naish beach - Leeson House
Transcription
naish beach - Leeson House
NAISH BEACH BARTON ON SEA COAST PROTECTION SCHEME ENGINEERS REPORT CONTENTS 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2 BACKGROUND 2.1 Christchurch Bay 2.2 Naish Cliffs 2.3 Barton on Sea 3 THE PROBLEM 3.1 Factors affecting erosion 3.1.1 Updrift developments within the coastal cell 3.1.2 Stability of the cliffs 3.1.3 Stability of the beaches 3.1.4 Prediction of erosion rates 3.2 Effects of the without project option 3.2.1 Geological sites 3.2.2 Naish holiday village 3.2.3 Cliff top properties 3.2.4 Recreational use of the cliffs and beaches 3.2.5 Roads 3.2.6 Amenity land 4 ALTERNATIVE SCHEMES 4.1 Design criteria 4.1.1 Ground water induced erosion 4.2 Do nothing 4.3 Managed setback 4.4 Do minimum 4.5 Low level of investment – beach recharge by beneficial use of dredged materials 4.6 Beach recharge using commercial sources 4.7 Extension of the Rock Revetment from Chewton Bunny to Barton on Sea 4.8 Rock or wooden groynes 4.9 Offshore breakwaters 4.10 5 Perched beach and Shingle Renourishment COSTS OF ALTERNATIVE SCHEMES 5.1 Price Base 5.2 Research and monitoring 5.2.1 Summary of the research programme 5.2.2 Research costs 5.3 Planning and design 5.3.1 Summary of the planning and Design Programme 5.3.2 Design costs 5.4 Engineering works 5.4.1 Calculating costs 5.4.2 Maintain to a declining standard 5.4.3 Rock revetment 5.4.4 Shingle recharge 5.4.5 Perched beach 5.4.6 Offshore breakwaters 5.5 Summary 5.6 Royalties 5.7 Contributions 6 BENEFITS OF ALTERNATIVE SCHEMES 6.1 Assumptions 6.2 Assessment of economic benefits 6.3 Naish holiday village 6.4 Residential property 6.5 Open space and development land 6.6 Recreation 6.7 Disruption of services 6.8 Geological site 6.8.1 Geological uniqueness of the site 6.8.2 Teaching value 6.8.3 Use of the site by geologists 6.8.4 Nature of research 6.9 Down drift beaches 6.10 Engineering advancement 6.11 With scheme damages 7 CHOICE OF SCHEME – BENEFIT COST EVALUATION 7.1 Costs and benefits 7.2 Benefit cost ratios 7.3 Selection of the preferred scheme 7.4 Sensitivity analysis 7.5 Conclusions 8 PROPOSED SCHEME 8.1 Scheme outline 8.1.1 Shingle renourishment 8.2 Design 8.2.1 Research and monitoring 8.2.2 Design conditions 8.2.3 Hydraulic model studies 8.2.4 Performance of alternative beach recharge designs 8.2.5 Environmental considerations 8.2.6 Materials for renourishment 9 BEACH MANAGEMENT PROGRAMME 9.1 Threshold levels 9.2 Settlement and shingle loss 9.3 Routine maintenance requirements 9.4 Monitoring programme 9.4.1 Onshore surveys 9.4.2 Offshore surveys 9.4.3 Dynamic groynes 9.4.4 Database 10 IMPACTS OF THE PROPOSALS 10.1 Influence of the proposals on coastal processes 10.2 Environmental impact assessment 10.3 Integration with the shoreline management plan 11 CONTRACT DOCUMENTS 11.1 Contractual arrangements 12 REFERENCES FIGURES 1 LOCATION PLAN – CHRISTCHURCH BAY 2 NAISH CLIFFS 3 BARTON ON SEA 4 HISTORICAL RECESSION RATES 5 WITHOUT SCHEME PREDICTED EROSION LINES 6 WITH SCHEME PREDICTED EROSION LINES 7 EXPOSURE OF GEOLOGICAL RESOURCE 8 LAND USE NAISH CLIFFS 9 COMPARATIVE WITH AND WITHOUT SCHEME EROSION 10 SEDIMENT GRADINGS 11 TYPICAL BEACH PROFILES 12 SCHEME OUTLINE APPENDICES APPENDIX I RESEARCH AND MONITORING PROGRAMME APPENDIX II HYDRAULIC MODEL STUDIES APPENDIX III BENEFIT COST EVALUATIONS APPENDIX IV CAPITAL ASSETS AT RISK 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Naish and Barton beaches have historically provided protection against wave erosion to the toe of the soft sand and clay cliffs. They also provide dynamic toe weighting which is crucial to the overall cliff stability. The beach volume has declined in volume over a number of years, due largely to the reduced shingle supply from the west. This is the result of starvation caused by coast protection works west of the administrative boundary, but within the same coastal cell. The declining volume of the beaches has resulted in increased rates of erosion at the toe of the Naish Cliffs, reduced toe weighting to the vulnerable Barton Cliffs and erosion throughout Christchurch Bay as far east as Hurst Spit (Figure 1). The beaches at Milford and Hordle Cliff to the east are becoming smaller and the concrete seawalls are showing considerable signs of distress, due to scour which has resulted from the lack of an appropriate supply of beach material. This trend will continue without appropriate remedial works and will result in extensive damage to property, land and existing coastal defences. The proposals presented in this report will provide a low cost supply of beach material to the starved beaches to the east, will provide dynamic toe weighting to the Barton cliffs and will provide direct protection from wave attack to the toe of the Naish cliffs. The proposals will reduce the rate of erosion at an internationally important geological site, which lies within the study area and which is a rapidly diminishing finite resource. The site is described by English Nature as one of the most important geological sites in Europe. The assets to be protected include residential property, holiday homes, an important recreational area and, most importantly, will extend the life of a site of international conservation value. An innovative short term coast protection scheme, comprising shingle renourishment and dynamic shingle groyne structures has been designed to slow the rate of cliff recession, whilst still allowing the cliffs to erode. A comprehensive monitoring programme is planned to follow the main phase of works. The works will extend from Chewton Bunny to the eastern end of the defended section at Barton on Sea, a distance of approximately 3km (see Figures 2-3), but the scheme will eventually link with a beach management plan for the whole of eastern Christchurch Bay, which is expected to evolve from the in progress shoreline management plan study. The works will essentially be divided into two types of construction: (a) Shingle renourishment (b) Dynamic shingle groynes Beach recharge is the only option that would be considered by English Nature as an acceptable solution at this site. Associated British Ports (ABP) have recently sought approvals to dispose of materials dredged from the approach channel to the port of Southampton. The MEPD have awarded a FEPA licence for the disposal of 6 million of the 7 million cubic metres at the Nab dumping ground but have been instructed to find beneficial use for the remaining 1 million cubic metres of material, of which much is sand and gravel of variable quality. ABP have offered to supply the material for use in beach recharge projects to local authorities at no cost and have agreed that the costs of dredging and transport of the material will be borne by their contract. The project is scheduled to commence in June 1996 and with a contact period of 60 weeks. This scheme will make beneficial use of sands and gravels from the dredging of the approach channel to Southampton Water. This source of supply offers a rare commercial advantage over the supply of materials from other licenced commercial areas. It is anticipated that the single will be brought to the site by sea and will be discharged by pumping onto the beach. It will then be redistributed by mechanical plant on the land. A draft legal agreement has been drawn up between ABP and the NFDC, to enable beneficial use to be made of the dredged sand and gravel, which will become operative only in the event that MAFF approval is given to this scheme. This will form the Contract for the works. Costs will comprise mobilization charges for the temporary works and the time spent in landing and redistributing material. Time related costs of dredging and transport between the dredging site and the beach recharge site will be paid by ABP, as part of the dredging operation. This represents a significant time and plant related cost saving on normal beach recharge schemes. The scheme costs could be significantly higher therefore, if beach recharge materials are provided from other sources. It is proposed however, that this scheme be approved only on the basis of the proposed supply of beach material from Southampton Water and that other commercial supplies should not be considered. The estimated works cost of the preferred option is £786,000. Construction of the scheme by using an alternative supply of equivalent material from commercial licensed dredging areas could cost £4.2 million. The average benefit cost ratio for the preferred option, using the Southampton Water as a source, is 1.63 whilst the average benefit cost ratio for the same scheme but using commercial licensed sources is 0.37. The average net present value for the beneficial use beach recharge from the Southampton Water source is £623,591 and is -£2,708,869 for an equivalent commercial licensed area alternative. 2 BACKGROUND 2.1 Christchurch Bay Christchurch Bay is located on the south coast of England, facing extensive fetches across open sea to the south and south west (Figure 1). The bay is backed by a sequence of soft cliffs which have a simple geological structure, comprising clays, sands and gravels. The geological strata dip gently from west to east. These deposits provide much of the sediment budget for the bay, together with sediments derived from beaches to the west. The shingle beaches are formed largely of material eroded from the plateau gravel cliffs within Christchurch Bay, which consist of sub angular flint pebbles in matrices of coarse sand. They were deposited during the glacial fluctuations of the Pleistocene period and are easily eroded. The predominance of winds from the south west results in a net longshore transport of sediment from west to east. Hurst Spit and the Shingles Banks, which lie at the eastern end of Christchurch Bay, form major sinks for shingle derived from erosion of the plateau gravels of the bay. The development of Hurst Spit is linked to the development of Christchurch Bay where, over the last 300 years, considerable human interference with the natural processes has taken place in the form of mining exploitation and the construction of coast protection works. Between 1848 and 1870 ironstone mining was carried out on Hengistbury Head and the removal of ironstone boulders from the beach resulted in the rapid transport of shingle around the Head, creating Mudeford Spit. Coast protection works began in 1840 with a groyne scheme at Highcliffe. In 1938 the long groyne at Hengistbury Head was built, almost stopping the movement of shingle from Poole Bay into Christchurch Bay and increasing rates of erosion between Hengistbury Head and Barton on Sea. This prompted a series of protection works at Mudeford, Highcliffe, Barton and Milford, beginning in 1944. The most extensive works constructed between 1964 and 1969, at Highcliffe and Barton enormously reduced the eastward movement of shingle past Barton on Sea. Reinforcement of the Becton Bunny sewage outfall in 1970 created another major obstacle to shingle movement. These activities have significantly reduced the volume of sand and gravel now eroding from the soft cliffs to form beaches, and disrupted the natural eastward movement of this material around Christchurch Bay and onto Hurst Spit. It is estimated that the main body of beaches in Christchurch Bay is declining in volume by approximately 10,000 – 20,000 m3 per year. Introduction of material in the starved zone between Hurst Castle and Milford on Sea, by the Hurst Spit stabilization scheme, will provide a local supply of beach material within this area, but the beaches between Naish cliffs and Milford on Sea will continue to have a shortfall of material due to the enhanced rate of erosion and low supply of beach feed from the west. The littoral transport rate has been estimated at 15,000 – 20,000m3 per year. Much of the material is lost from the system at Hurst Point, and is taken offshore in the fast ebb currents and is deposited on the Shingles Banks. The material remaining in the shoreline system is transported around Hurst Castle and is deposited on the active recurve known as North Point. 2.2 Naish Cliffs The cliffs (Figure 2) comprise the Bartonian series of the Eocene clays aged at approximately 54 million years. The clays are capped with Pleistocene gravels. The Barton clays are well researched and the classification of the zones is universally used as a descriptive basis. The apparent dip is from west to east at an angle of about 2 degrees and although the strike is virtually parallel with the coast there is also an apparent dip inland. The zonal stratigraphy has been fixed by academic studies (Barton, 1985, 84, 73). The exposure of the A2 and A3 zones outcrop uniquely at this location and this outcrop is a rapidly diminishing asset. Whilst the geology is relatively simple the failure mechanisms are very complex, comprising a combination of bench sliding and rotational slips which are driven primarily by ground water processes, in combination with local geological variations. These processes are further compounded by the interaction of wave action with the toe of the soft cliffs. This results in rapid erosion of the cliff toe and increased instability in the cliff system due to oversteepening of the lower slopes and reduced toe weighting. The cliff system cannot therefore achieve its natural equilibrium slope, due to the constant removal of the toe material. 2.3 Barton on Sea Barton on Sea (Figure 3) comprises a similar geological sequence to the Naish cliffs, but the dip results if exposure of younger beds at sea level than in the Naish cliffs. The site has a long history of cliff instability and coast protection works. There is at present an extensive drainage system in place together with a rock revetment and groyned beach. The revetment is performing extremely well but the drainage system is becoming old and recent studies have identified additional failure mechanisms to those which the drainage system is designed to deal with. The beach has become very denuded due to the lack of supply of material from the west and the poor hydrodynamic performance of the existing groyne system. 3 THE PROBLEM The problem may be conveniently divided into three discrete elements a) Cliff recession on the unprotected cliffs at Naish beach b) Stability of the protected cliffs at Barton on Sea c) Diminishing beach volume within eastern Christchurch Bay The unprotected section of the cliffs at Naish is retreating at an average rate of approximately 2.4 m per year (Figure 4), and this rate is increasing. This is resulting in rapid destruction of a geological exposure, which is of international environmental importance. The amenity value of the site has fallen already due to the limited access to the foreshore, much of which can only be accessed over low tide periods. Losses of holiday homes are occurring and whilst these have been re – sited previously, the site is now becoming too small to relocate the at risk holiday homes. Residential property is also vulnerable and the loss of high value properties are expected within the next 20 years. The protected cliffs at Barton on Sea are retreating in a less predictable manner, this is due to the marginal factor of safety offered by the current protection works. A number of cliff top properties are vulnerable, if large scale cliff slips, such as those which have occurred during the past few years continue. The beaches of Christchurch Bay are collectively eroding at a rate of 10,000 – 20,000 m3 per year due to the diminished supply of material from the west. This has resulted in undermining of concrete seawalls at Hordle Cliff and failure of sections of seawall due to the lack of protection. Cliff recession rates have also increased due to the low supply of beach material. 3.1 Factors affecting erosion 3.1.1 Updrift developments within the coastal cell Sine the late eighteenth century, human activity, connected with mineral exploitation, and with the protection of the developing settlements from erosion by the sea, has drastically changed the natural coastal processes around Poole and Christchurch Bays. In particular, the construction of coast protection and flood defence structures over the last 70 years has stopped the erosion of sand and gravel from the soft cliffs along much of this stretch of coastline. Consequently, the volume of shingle moving in the littoral drift has declined and, as a result, the beaches have decreased in size; a process which has accelerated markedly since the 1940’s when large scale groyne construction began at Bournemouth and Christchurch. The recent construction of the Highcliffe groynes scheme and Chewton Bunny rock bastion coast protection scheme has slowed the rate of sediment supply onto the Naish beach and Barton on Sea frontage. Coastal monitoring has identified a change in the pattern of erosion on the Naish beach frontage (Figure 11) since the construction of the terminal angled strongpoint. This has resulted in accumulation of material in the lee of the angled strongpoint and focusing of erosion further to the east, at the toe of the Naish cliffs, where beach levels are eroding more rapidly. The strategic coastal monitoring programme, which was set up in 1989 has been unable to identify trends arising from the groyne scheme as these were constructed prior to the commencement of this programme. There is however, no doubt that the rates of erosion of the cliffs have accelerated since the introduction of the coast protection works west of the administrative boundary. Aerial photographs confirm these trends. 3.1.2 Stability of the cliffs The main problems affecting the stability of the cliffs are: (i) (ii) Sediment transport – more shingle is being lost off the beaches than is being supplied from the Christchurch Bay beaches to the west Ground water and geological processes Erosion of the cliffs results from interaction of a complex system comprising three principle components which make up the cliff unit: these are the cliff toe, the cliff slope and the cliff top. The cliff toe is affected primarily by the supply of debris material from the ground water induced cliff processes, the supply of beach material in the longshore transport and the wave attack at the cliff toe. The cliff section exhibits the classic bench sliding failure mechanisms and the active aquifers relating to the A3 and D horizons are clearly visible within the coastal section. Geological and groundwater processes predominate within the cliff slope and cliff top areas. 3.1.3 Stability of the beaches Beaches have been monitored since 1988 and the analysis shows a constant trend of falling beach levels and landwards recession during that period. The beach immediately adjacent to the Chewton Bunny coast protection works actually increased in volume locally, due to the diffraction effects of the rock bastion, but immediately downdrift the beach has eroded more rapidly since the installation of this structure. The beach has reached a situation where scour and erosion are likely to continue unless some artificial introduction of sediment occurs. 3.1.4 Prediction of erosion rates Historical rates of cliff recession have been determined by analysis of aerial photography, Ordnance Survey mapping, large scale mapping based on aerial photography (1982, 1987 and 1994) and beach profile records. Figure 4 shows the historical rates of erosion of the Naish Cliffs. This indicates a recent acceleration in erosion rates. Historical erosion rates of 2.4 m per year occur over much of the section. Analysis of aerial photography and academic research (Barton 1985, 84, 73) indicates that the cliff erosion does not occur at an even rate on a year by year basis, but that periods as long as 2 years can occur without perceivable erosion of the whole of the cliff top, along the length of the vulnerable frontage. Cliff falls of 2-8 metres width generally occur in a single erosion event. Erosion of the cliff top averaged over a period of 5-10 years has resulted in the loss of in excess of 2.4 metres per year. The foot of the cliffs shows a similar rate of erosion and it is this factor which results in maintenance of a continually oversteep and unstable cliff section. The eroding cliff toe provides no benefits to the stability of the cliff section, as any toe weighting released by groundwater induced slippage is rapidly removed by wave action. The rate of cliff toe erosion keeps pace therefore with the cliff top. A sensitivity analysis has been carried out on the rates of erosion. It seems unlikely that the erosion rates will slow during the course of the analysis period and a base erosion rate of 2.4 m per year is a sensible low estimate of rates. Whilst short term erosion rates vary through the frontage, the pattern of change is not predictable and an average erosion figure has been taken for the entire section. The local spatial variations will balance out during the course of time. Despite the gradually changing geology, which results from the very shallow inland dip of the strata, the groundwater geological processes are unlikely to change during the analysis period and erosion rates have been assumed to remain constant in this respect. As the equilibrium slope for the geology cannot be achieved due to the constant pace of wave induced toe erosion with the groundwater induced erosion, the effects of groundwater and geological interaction are assumed to remain constant. Recent studies commissioned by MAFF (Ball et al 1991) to examine the economic effects of sea level rise have suggested that the effects of sea level rise on the rates of erosion of soft cliffs can be very dramatic. The apparent increase in erosion rates seems to reflect these trends at this site. An assumed rate of relative sea level rise of 5mm per year, taking into account the combined effects of sea level rise and isostatic readjustment have been made for this site, based on recent MAFF publications (MAFF 1994) and academic research (Bray 1994). The theoretical methods have been applied to this site to examine the effects of a scenario which combines the effects of sea level rise with longshore transport and cross shore profile adjustment, due to wave induced erosion. The effects of sea level rise will theoretically increase the rate of erosion during a 30 year period. Assuming a relative sea level rise of 5mm per year the rate of erosion will increase from the recent historical rate of 2.4 metres per year to 3m per year during a 20 year scheme life. This analysis is perhaps something of an oversimplification of the processes however and does not address fully the effects of ground water and geologically induced processes. Nevertheless it does seem reasonable to expect accelerated erosion at the cliff toe with erosion rates in excess of the current rates. This increase in the predicted erosion rates is in keeping with recent trends. The effects of beach starvation resulting from coast protection works to the west will not enhance the performance of the beach cliff interaction but this is difficult to predict and no further allowance has been made for the effects of locally falling beach levels on cliff toe erosion. No further factor of safety has been included within the estimates of future erosion trends, although the assumptions for the timing of losses of residential property and holiday homes provide a further safety margin. Erosion rates based on the historical erosion rates (2.4 m per year) and increased to include the effects of relative sea level rise and beach lowering (to 3m per year) have been used as the basis for the assessment of losses. Erosion contours showing the predicted without scheme losses for the next 30 years are shown in Figure 5 at five year intervals. 3.2 Effects of the without project option If the stability problems are ignored, and no further maintenance nor any form of long term stabilization undertaken, (the “do nothing”option) recession will occur at the rates shown in Figure 5. This will have the following effects. 3.2.1 Geological sites The unique exposure of stratotype Bartonian is a vulnerable asset which is declining in size. Whilst it has been impossible to assign a monetary value, its preservation is seen as the most significant factor at this site. The site lies within the Barton on Sea Site of Special Scientific Interest. The international type sequence for the Bartonian Eocene beds are exposed at the western end of the site. The A2 and A3 horizons outcrop uniquely at this site. The geological sequence dips at an angle of 2 degrees from west to east along the coast, and exposures which are seen in the cliffs at Naish disappear underground at Barton. The strike line is not however parallel, but is at a slight angle, to the coast. This results in a dip at a very shallow angle to landwards. The river cut chine of Chewton Glen veers to the north east as it works its way inland, immediately adjacent to these exposures. The A2 zone of the Bartonian series is 9.2 m thick at this location and is visible above the beach only east of Chewton Glen for a distance of about 220 metres. The horizon disappears below the beach at a level of about 2.5m ODN. The elevation of the zone at this location is such that no more than half of the thickness is visible above the beach and the dip of the strata takes this bed below sea level some way to the east of Chewton Glen. A sketch of the resource which is clearly finite is shown in Figure 7. The finite resource was calculated to have a volume of 91,665m3 at the Chewton Bunny outfall public enquiry in 1991 (Tyehurst 1991). The resource has since diminished further and the rates of erosion are apparently increasing. 37% of the resource had been lost between its notification in 1953 and 1991. A summary of the principal statistics describing the size and evolution of the geological reserve is shown below ( after Tyehurst 1991). 1953 Length of A2 zone Max height of Visible exposure Elevation area North/south extent Of A2 Volume of A2 Resource 263m 5.26m 1991 2011 Loss 1953(predicted) 1991 225m 201m 14% 4.5m 4.00m 14% 692m2 506m2 402m2 635m2 543m2 483m2 27% 14% 146,454m3 91665m3 64722m3 37% Predicted loss 1953-2011 24% 24% 42% 24% 56% (based upon a datum level of 2.5m ODN) The exposure will therefore eventually be lost if erosion continues at the present rate. Some erosion is needed to ensure that the exposure continues to be kept clean, but there is a need to reduce the rate of erosion to extend the life of this important finite environmental resource. Without a scheme erosion of the geological resource will continue at rates up to 3m per year. This would result in a 20% reduction of the current area of exposure within a period of just 15 years. 3.2.2 Naish Holiday Village The Naish holiday village lies at the western end of the study area and comprises a variety of types of holiday homes, including permanent brick structures, serviced wooden chalets on concrete bases, mobile caravans, car parks and service roads. The properties are used all year round. An electricity sub station also lies within the site and this is at risk. Losses of the holiday homes and associated services occur on a regular basis and without the project152 serviced buildings, 17 permanent serviced caravan sites and two permanent buildings would be lost to cliff recession if no action is taken, in addition to service roads and tarmac car parking area. Predicted losses without project are identified on Figure 5. 3.2.3 Cliff top properties A number of large residential cliff top properties including large houses and a block of flats, lie within the at risk zone at the eastern end of the study area. If erosion continues at the current rate many of these properties will be lost by year 15 of the analysis. Predicted losses without project are identified on Figure 5. A total of 16 properties are vulnerable within a 30 year period. 3.2.4 Recreational use of the cliffs and beaches The beaches at Naish cliffs are already denuded and most of the indigenous shingle has been lost from the system. The western end of the site is used as an amenity beach but the beach is now to narrow to be used along its full length. Access along the toe of the cliffs between Barton on Sea and Naish beach is restricted to low water periods and safe passage from one end of the beach to the other is restricted to only about 50% of the tidal cycle. As the cliffs and beach continue to erode, the accessible areas will diminish further preventing recreational walking, bathing and access through the site. 3.2.5 Roads Roads providing access to the residential property will be affected by erosion rates and these will be lost if no action is taken, resulting in loss of access to the residential properties. No allowance has been made for the costs of either relocating the road (which is a dead end) serving the properties within the benefit cost analysis as the costs of this are dealt with by other legislation. 3.2.6 Amenity land The cliff top areas are public open space to the east of the site and lie within the development land of the holiday village to the west of the site. The combined los of land will occur at a rate of 1.1 acres per year without project. 4 ALTERNATIVE SCHEMES 4.1 Design Criteria Probabilistic risk assessment procedures have been applied to a range of management scenarios. These have provided the basis of assessment for potential beach and cliff management solutions, together with statistical analysis of joint probabilities of waves and water levels, a wide range of beach geometries, and allowing for a range of levels of investment. The engineering schemes, which provide alternatives to beach management are far easier to assess in terms of stability, and preliminary designs for these have been based upon the extreme conditions derived from the wave climate and water level studies. The alternative management strategies have been assessed with consideration of the following criteria: a) b) c) d) ability to solve the potential problems identified in Section 3.2 acceptable environmental impact technical soundness reasonable cost The purpose of the scheme is perhaps slightly unusual in that the aim is to slow the rate of recession rather than to halt recession completely. It also provides the opportunity for review of an innovative scheme designed to protect an environmentally sensitive site. This strategy will prolong the life of the assets and will maintain the environmental value of the site. Any scheme which sought to halt the rate of erosion, or reduce the extent of geological exposure would be strongly resisted by English Nature. The findings of a public enquiry held to determine the outcome of a scheme on the adjoining section of coast at Chewton Bunny found in favour of English Nature and any similar proposals would be strongly resisted. Cliff regrading or surface drainage systems would not be acceptable. Alternative schemes which could not provide technically sound solutions have not been fully costed and included within cost benefit analyses. Those which are environmentally unacceptable but which might be fully or partially functional have been included in the economic analysis. It is desirable to reduce the rate of erosion along the frontage to less than 0.5m per year, but it is unlikely that any of the proposed schemes would provide that degree of protection, in view of the complex combination of groundwater, geology and wave induced erosion processes. If the erosion rate is reduced to much less than 0.3-0.5m per year there is a risk that the continued erosion of the geological exposure will be insufficient to maintain clean exposure of the type sequence. The scheme has to address two separate processes which must be considered together, but which may be treated by quite separate schemes. a) ground water induced cliff erosion b) wave induced cliff and beach erosion 4.1.1 Ground water induced erosion The effects of ground water induced bench slides within the cliffs has resulted in recession of the cliff top as the cliffs seek to achieve a naturally stable slope. The erosion of the toe of the slopes results in maintenance of the over steep cliff profile and hence the cliffs are unable to reach a stable equilibrium slope angle without an appropriate degree of support at the cliff toe. Treatment of the ground water induced bench sliding of the cliffs to achieve stability could include various combinations of grading, cliff drainage and toe weighting. Grading of the cliffs would provide a totally unacceptable solution, as the important exposures of geological strata would be lost. Such an approach would not be in keeping with the NFDC policies which supports the need to preserve SSSIs. The recent difficulties experienced by Christchurch Borough Council at Chewton Bunny and the results of the public enquiry on the proposed scheme suggest that this is not the best approach to this particular problem. A careful staged approach to the treatment of this site, in close liaison with English Nature, is the best way of ensuring preservation of the geological site in parallel with acceptable erosion rates. The alternative treatments must be dealt with separately, but considered together, for the wave induced and ground water induced processes. The optimum scheme, from a performance point of view, would allow 0.3-0.5m per year of erosion, thus maintaining clean exposure of the geological sequence whilst preserving the cliff top assets for the life of the scheme. It is accepted that a scheme that would eventually halt the erosion would need to include a combination of toe protection, drainage and grading of the cliffs. A scheme which could reduce erosion rates to less than 0.5m per year would need to include a combination of drainage and toe protection, but regrading could be avoided. The aquifer source of the A3 horizon, which accounts for a considerable amount of cliff slip activity is some way inland from the coast and interception of the water further inland will help to reduce the pore water pressure in the most suspect area. There is also a need to intercept A3 and D aquifers well back from the face of the scarps. The technology to provide the drainage element of such a scheme is at present insufficiently developed to allow a large scale scheme, that would be environmentally acceptable, to be constructed with sufficient confidence in the performance of the design to justify its use. Conventional drainage systems, using excavations to install the drainage works would be unacceptable at this site. A public enquiry in connection with works at Chewton Bunny found in favour of the conservation agencies when an excavated drainage system was proposed. A drainage scheme is not proposed at this stage due to the limited confidence in the unproven technology. Recent trials of moled drainage systems at Barton on Sea are demonstrating positive results. Such drainage systems can be installed without the need for excavation into the cliffs. The system has excellent potential when no disturbance on the surface is desirable, as it can be installed without disturbance to the geology and without visible surface effects. Installation costs of such drainage works are relatively cheap, by comparison with alternative drainage installation methods. Such a drainage scheme could reduce the rate of cliff erosion, but validation of the methodology needs to be confirmed. Detailed assessment of the performance of the trial sites prior to a major installation of a previously unproven technique is recommended. This will take at least a further 3 years of monitoring prior to gaining sufficient data to provide statistically valid confidence in the technique. This method is the only drainage method that is likely to be acceptable to the conservation agencies with geological interests. Experimental works at Barton on Sea and Naish cliffs, using moled drainage schemes, will be monitored and analysed during the next few years. A 3 year research scheme has recently been proposed to the EPSRC, to be funded jointly with NFDC, SCOPAC and AE Bartholomew/Civils UK (specialist contractors), to analyse the performance of such drainage systems. The research will be carried out by the University of Southampton, Department of Civil Engineering. This research is supported by English Nature who view this innovative method as a potentially acceptable method of cliff stabilization works at environmentally sensitive sites. If the trial system demonstrates satisfactory performance such a solution could be appropriate on the Naish cliffs frontage, but this could not realistically be a serious option unless the strategic research demonstrates positive performance. A critical review of the research results will be carried out and a longer term stabilization scheme which will include cliff drainage elements will be considered, if appropriate, in about 4-5 years time. It is not proposed at this stage to carry out the drainage element of works, but this will be considered in the future. The proposed scheme will reduce the rate of cliff recession to about 1.2m per year but this rate is till high and in the medium term it may be appropriate to carry out a second phase of works which will reduce the erosion rates further. Ideally erosion rates should be reduced to less than 0.5m per year and this could potentially be achieved using a moled drainage system. The detailed costs of this scheme have not been included within the benefit cost analysis. The preliminary costs of a moled drainage system could be based around the performance of the drainage system to the east. A series of arrays of 5 drainage pipes at intervals of 50m with each pipe having a length of approximately 130 metres would cost approximately £700,000. The costs of this possible second phase have not been included within the benefit cost analysis. 4.2 Do nothing Doing nothing will cause the potential problems identified in section 3.2 and accepts that the cliffs will continue to erode at the projected rate. The damage suffered in monetary terms is used as the baseline in the economic analysis. 4.3 Managed setback This alternative, which accepts that the site is abandoned, cannot satisfy the relevant criteria used by the MAFF in their definitions of an acceptable location for managed setback. Destruction of an internationally important environmental site would result, as opposed to the development of an environmentally beneficial habitat. Managed setback would not increase the intertidal habitat and an important SSSI would be lost. The introduction of managed setback would certainly not create a more stable and sustainable coastal defence, as recently constructed coast protection works to the west have already been outflanked and needed additional works. There is clear indication that the works at Barton on Sea are in danger of being outflanked as well. In summary, none of these effects are of environmental benefit and most are positively harmful. This is an environmentally unacceptable alternative and does not solve any of the potential problems. Managed setback is not therefore a viable option at this site and has not been carried forward to the economic assessment. 4.4 Do minimum The “do minimum” option is based on maintaining the existing beaches without additional capital works, and thus maintaining to a declining standard. Until recently the management policy at Naish Beach has been to allow the cliffs to continue to recede. The loss of volume from the beach is about 4000m3 per year, hence the declining standard of protection offered. The declining standard of protection is also due in part to the reduced supply of sediment transport resulting from high losses from the system due to the coast protection works at Highcliffe. Maintenance to a declining standard is therefore an inefficient method of maintenance and will result in economic, recreational and conservation losses. Maintenance to a declining standard could be achieved by maintaining the current beach levels by annual importation of the net loss of beach materials from the unprotected cliff frontage. This will not offer better protection but should prevent the erosion rates from increasing significantly. This will result in aversion of some of the potential losses, but only on a short term basis. The current recreational value of the site will be retained. Maintenance is an expensive option as the unit cost of beach recharge and spreading will be very high. Materials will have to be delivered to the site by road as the mobilization costs of a dredger are not economic for such small quantities. This scheme does not meet the technical requirements required to protect against the problems discussed in section 3.2. The environmental impact of this option is not satisfactory since the geological succession will continue to erode at the same rate. This option has been carried forward for financial assessment in the benefit cost analysis section. 4.5 Low level of investment – beach recharge by beneficial use of dredged materials Associated British Ports Southampton (ABP) has prepared proposals for a large scale dredging project, to deepen the approach channel to the port. The soils investigations have identified approximately 1 million cubic metres of sands and gravels from the dredging arisings. ABP have been instructed by MAFF to find beneficial use for the sands and gravels and the FEPA licence for disposal of the dredging arisings is conditional upon ABP seeking to find beneficial uses for this material. Examination of the soils investigations has revealed that much of this material is potentially suitable for use in beach recharge operations. ABP have indicated that they would be prepared to bear the costs of dredging this material and transporting the dredged material to the Naish beach, Barton on Sea site, if the costs of landing and spreading the material are borne by NFDC. A medium scale beach recharge scheme has been designed on the basis of the potential grading of materials which might be obtained from Southampton Water, making beneficial use of the dredged sands and gravels. The scheme comprises open beach recharge and the construction of innovative dynamic shingle groynes. This option potentially lengthens the effective life of the scheme over an open beach solution but at virtually no extra cost per unit volume. The open beach recharge is a well proven method of providing limited life dynamic protection to toe erosion and the addition of dynamic shingle groynes is a new experimental concept which has recently been the subject of MAFF funded strategic research (HR 1995a). This option has been tested extensively in 3D wave basin studies, which have indicated a significant improvement in the performance of this scheme over a conventional open beach solution (HR 1995a). The model tests have indicated that the groynes should be able to withstand fairly severe and extreme storm activity without degrading fully. The model tests are the first of their kind on dynamic groynes however, and the results should be viewed with caution. Some questions remain over the life of the shingle groynes, but there is clear evidence that they provide improved hydraulic performance and offer an improved standard of protection, even if their life is shorter than the model tests have indicated. As the groynes are destroyed by storm wave action, they will be integrated into the beach and the worst scenario is that the system will perform with the same effectiveness as an open beach. It seems appropriate therefore that the experimental aspect of the scheme should be considered in the same effective life context as an open beach scheme, although there is some considerable potential for improved performance. Any improvement on performance resulting from the dynamic structures is therefore a bonus which is not reflected in the benefit cost analysis. The low cost scheme life is potentially relatively short, as losses could be expected at a rate of 8000m3 per year in line with the current estimated potential rates of loss from the beach system. The potential source of beach material contains a fairly high proportion of sand and silt size material which might be expected to be lost in suspension during the first 2-3 years. An allowance of 50,000m3 has been made for the initial losses over a 3 year period following construction. This is approximately double the normal beach losses from this system. A scheme comprising 325,000m3 of beach recharge material could therefore be expected to lose approximately 128,000m3 within a scheme life of 20 years, in addition to the initial losses. This will result in approximately 150,000m3 of the beach remaining after 20 years. It will still provide a reasonable level of protection at that time, although the frequency of overtopping will have begun to increase again. No interim recharge or maintenance should be necessary during this period, although careful monitoring of the experimental aspects of the scheme will provide valuable support to the development of dynamic groyne solutions, which may provide effective solutions elsewhere and which may form the basis of longer term solutions at this site. The design concept has met with approval from English Nature, who have provided positive support for this design approach, but have offered suggestions which will further enhance the preservation of the site. In the light of the recent difficulties experienced by the Christchurch Borough Council at the western end of Naish beach, this support is very siginificant at such an environmentally important site. The degree of protection offered by the scheme will decrease, but not stop the present rate of cliff recession. It is expected that the erosion rate will fall from the predicted 3m per year to 1.5m per year , during the course of the scheme life, taking into account the large component of ground water driven erosion which will continue. The main benefit of the scheme is to provide toe protection and support to the cliffs. This will reduce the rate of over steepening and therefore slow the rate of erosion due to the effects of ground water induced slumping in conjunction with the cliff slope. The scheme life is conservatively estimated at 20 years during which no intermediate recharges would be required to maintain the required level of protection. During this period the initial placed volume of 325,000m3 is expected to reduce in quantity due to a combination of longshore transport, storm action and loss of materials during initial adjustment of the scheme (15% in first three years). The following rates of loss are expected: Initial losses Annual losses storm/longshore Material remaining after 20 years 50,000m3 first 3 years 8,000m3 per year (years 4-20) 150,000m3 The life of the scheme could reasonably be expected to extend beyond this period due to the introduction of dynamic groynes, which have the potential to slow longshore transport and to provide increased energy dissipation. The potential problem with these structures is that they have a life limited by the severity and sequence of wave conditions. Although the model studies have indicated that the dynamic groynes provided better performance than an open beach with 30% greater beach volume a more conservative assessment of their performance has been made, in line with the expected performance of an open beach. This option has been carried forward to the economic assessment. 4.6 Beach recharge using commercial sources A similar scheme to the option discussed above in section 4.5 could be achieved using commercial sources of material offering the same performance, but this option would be significantly more expensive to achieve. The costs of this approach are carried forward to the benefit cost analysis for comparative purposes. 4.7 Extension of the Rock Revetment from Chewton Bunny to Barton on Sea The rock revetment at Barton on Sea is very successful in resisting wave attack and extension of this could be a practical and functional solution to the problem on the Naish beach frontage. However, it would: (i) Reduce the sediment supply to the existing shingle beach (ii) Destroy the exposure of an internationally important geological site (iii) And (iv) Be at risk from undermining of the toe of the revetment due to the soft substrate Suffer reduced amenity value due to limited access and poor aesthetics. This type of structure, whilst acceptable at Barton on Sea where much of the geological interest has already been lost, would strongly be resisted by English Nature at Naish beach due to the loss of the exposure of the international stratotype sequence of the Eocene. Although this scheme could provide a functional part solution to the problem at a high level of investment, there are some technical doubts about its performance, and its environmental impact would be unacceptable and its extension would be strongly resisted by the local and national conservation agencies. It has however been carried forward to the economic assessment for further analysis. 4.8 Rock or Wooden Groynes Whilst groynes may reduce the rate of longshore transport along the beach, they have a very high risk of becoming outflanked due to the cliff erosion process. They would therefore be inappropriate and non functional at the western end of the site. This option has been discarded on technical grounds. 4.9 Offshore Breakwaters Offshore breakwaters provide effective protection to beaches at many sites and could be designed to be effective offshore from Naish beach. This solution was originally the most favoured environmental approach to solving the problem along the sensitive beach frontage of the Naish cliffs. Since the costs of detached rock breakwaters are virtually always the most expensive way of treating beach erosion and costs are approximately proportional to the square of the height of the structure, cost aspects of the scheme were considered at an early stage in the design process. Preliminary designs were based upon the minimal empirical design methodology that exists for these structures. These were considered together with the estimated maximum cost which might be allowed within the benefit cost analysis. A series of layouts of comparable cost were tested in 3 dimensional physical model studies, to optimize the scheme effectiveness. None of the schemes tested within the allowable costs could provide a solution (HR 1995). Technically acceptable solutions could be achieved but these would be at considerable expense. This option whilst environmentally attractive, would cost several orders of magnitude more than the alternative schemes. The high cost alternative has been carried forward to the benefit cost analysis. 4.10 Perched beach and Shingle Renourishment A perched beach and beach renourishment could achieve both the environmental aims and the technical aims of the scheme at the Naish beach site. This scheme has the advantage that the energy absorption characteristics of the system will be improved significantly. The beach will continue to dissipate wave energy in an efficient manner. Similarly, the environment will not be changed significantly from the existing conditions and the area will retain most of its present natural and visual characteristics. The offshore toe of the structure presents some potential problems however and there is a risk that scour may result. The efficiency of the system is such that little material is able to escape and consequently there is only a limited benefit to the coast further down drift. There is also a further requirement for additional structures to tie the beach replenishment into the existing system, without adverse affects on the adjoining coastline. This design will involve the high cost of using rock making this option far more expensive than the alternatives available. This option has been carried forward to the economic assessment. 5 COSTS OF ALTERNATIVE SCHEMES 5.1 Price Base The defined price base for costs is May 1996. 5.2 Research and monitoring 5.2.1 Summary of the Research Programme A strategic regional research programme was set up in 1989. The aim was to collect and record data about the forces and processes acting on the beaches and cliffs. The basis of the monitoring is a beach and nearshore surveying programme undertaken in conjunction with Southampton University and aerial photography taken annually. The surveys are carried out quarterly in order to record seasonal variations in the volume of the beaches. A wind/wave correlation survey was carried out by Hydraulics Research between 1987 and 1989, using a wave rider buoy located off Milford on Sea. This study was carried out in support of the Hurst Spit stabilization scheme but its results are also valid at this site. Sampling of the beach material was undertaken in 1992-1994, and a wave climate study, using software purchased from Hydraulics Research, was carried out in 1994. Investigation of the Southampton Water approach channel was based on ground investigation surveys by Alluvial Mining Limited, provided at no cost by ABP, using side scan sonar, grab sampling and core drilling. 5.2.2 Research Costs The committed costs of the research programme carried out by NFDC are summarized below: Beach surveys Beach sampling New Forest District Council fees Total Cost (£) 14,000 3,000 7,000 £24,000 5.3 Planning and Design 5.3.1 Summary of the Planning and Design Programme Planning and design costs in addition to the New Forest District Council fee costs include: (a) Physical model testing undertaken at Hydraulics Research (b) Hydrographic survey of approaches to site 5.3.2 Design Costs The estimated costs of the planning and design work, including projected costs of contract preparation and tender procedures, are summarized below: Physical model testing Hydrographic survey New Forest District Council fees Total Cost (£) 43,000 5,000 32,000 £80,000 5.4 Engineering works 5.4.1 Calculating Costs Estimated construction costs of the “maintain to a declining standard” shingle recharge scheme have been calculated using inland gravel pits as a potential source. Estimated costs of the alternative shingle recharge schemes have been calculated for two possible sources of shingle, Southampton Water and commercially operated marine dredging areas. Where possible recent tender prices have been used to estimate costs of the works and costs of the rock structures reflect the lowest expected costs. 5.4.2 Maintain to a declining standard This scheme contains the following main elements: (i) Annual maintenance by beach nourishment of 1350 metres of the beach, with 400m3 of suitably graded shingle Costs of shingle are based upon supply from inland gravel pits at a rate of £18/m3 Summary of maintenance costs (i) Shingle maintenance (annual) (ii) Contract design and supervision (annual) 5.4.3 £48,000 £4,800 Rock revetment This scheme contains the following main elements: Construction of a 1300m long rock revetment. Costs are based upon recent (1996) tender price rate for similar works (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) Item Rock revetment General Items Mobilisation Supervision Cost £1,911,500 £175,000 £383,000 £56,600 Totals 5.4.4 £2,526,100 Shingle recharge This scheme contains the following main elements: (i) (ii) Nourishment of the beach between Chewton Bunny and Barton golf course with suitably graded shingle Construction of shingle groynes Cost estimates are based upon two alternative supplies for this scheme design: Southampton Water (beneficial use) and commercial sources. The Southampton Water costs are based upon the tender price of the scheme that ABP will be accepting for their dredging of the approach channel. 5.4.4.1 Southampton Water Costs for the shingle recharge of the beach are based on a dredger operating 24 hours a day, 7 days a week for 3 months and discharging over high water periods to produce 325,000 cubic metres of shingle. Royalty payments to the Crown Estate are shown in the estimate but have not been included in the benefit cost evaluation. Summary costs for Southampton Water Supply (i) Beach recharge shingle (ii) Mobilisation (iii) General items (iv) Contract supervision Total Royalty payments Cost (£) 567,100 167,800 50,960 33,000 £818,860 £188,175 5.4.4.2 Commercially sourced beach recharge Estimated costs for the shingle nourishment are based on purchasing 325,000 cubic metres of shingle of comparable grading to the Southampton Water source and using appropriate recent tender prices for mobilization of plant and general items. The costs of the shingle are based upon the supply from a commercial source at a rate of £11.50 per cubic metre. This reflects an average price based on the volatile range of prices currently being quoted by commercial aggregate suppliers in recent tenders. Prices are subject to considerable sensitivity and may typically vary between £9 and £14.70 per cubic metres according to supply and demand at the time of tender. Prices are likely to be higher than for the recently tendered Hurst Spit scheme, which provided tender rates in the range £6.2 - £9.8 per cubic metre. Higher prices at this site reflect the longer discharge periods needed when pumping material over long distances (800m) and the necessary use of smaller dredgers ( due to shallow water depths). The distance to the commercial dredging areas is further and the steaming time is approximately 50% extra. A unit rate increase of 50% therefore is a reasonable estimate for this site. The significantly higher costs of mobilization for this option reflect the costs of the dredging plant which would be provided from the limited aggregate production fleet of dredgers and is based upon tender prices for a similar source. Summary costs for commercial offshore supply (i) Open beach recharge (ii) Mobilisation (iii) General items (iv) Contract supervision Total 5.4.5 Cost (£) 3,737,500 330,000 50,960 33,000 £4,151,460 Perched beach Costs for the perched beach are based upon commercial supply costs of shingle and rock based upon recent tender prices. Cost (£) 584,000 3,052,000 192,500 608,300 56,000 £4,492,800 (i) Beach recharge (ii) Rock sill (iii) General items (iv) Mobilisation (v) Supervision Total 5.4.6 Offshore breakwaters Offshore breakwaters Offshore breakwater costs are based upon recent tender prices for rock breakwaters, increased to allow for construction from floating plant. (i) Rock breakwaters (ii) General items (iii) Mobilisation (iv) Supervision Total 2,686,000 175,100 383,300 56,000 3,300,400 5.5 Summary The following table shows the estimated cash cost of implementing the various options Declining Standard Invest. 24000 Design 80000 Constr. Rock Beneficial rev use Recharge 24000 24000 80000 80000 2526100 818860 Commercial source recharge 24000 80000 4151460 Perched beach Detached breakwaters 24000 80000 4492800 24000 80000 3300400 Royalty Totals 104000 2630100 1111035 Maintenance 52800 /year 25000 /5 years 188175 4255460 4596800 3404400 25000 /5 years 50000 /5 years The long term monitoring and management costs are identified in cash terms in the economic analysis in Section 7. 5.6 Royalties Royalty payments to the Crown Estate Commissioners (CEC) for shingle obtained from Southampton Water have been calculated at a rate of 57.9p per cubic metre. This rate has been proposed by Crown Estates but has not yet been agreed. There is thought to be some potential for a reduction in this rate due to the expected losses of materials after placement. This will be pursued further and a definitive rate will be agreed prior to commencement of the contract. As advised in PAGN these costs are not economic costs. 5.7 Contributions A contribution towards the cost of the scheme will come from Hampshire County Council in accordance with Section 20 of the Coast Protection Act 1949. 6 BENEFITS OF ALTERNATIVE SCHEMES This section examines the damage which would be caused by adoption of the do nothing option, which is used as the base case for assessing the benefits of the other options. Section 3 details some of the risks and indicates that cliff recession will continue to occur at the predicted rates. Some of the economic losses are assumed to commence therefore in year 1 of the economic analysis (see Appendix iii). 6.1 Assumptions The physical model testing carried out in 1995 indicated that wave attack on the cliffs would occur on a frequent basis with many events per year resulting in wave attack on the cliffs. This proved to be accurate with toe erosion of the cliffs occurring in winter of 1995 at the predicted rate. The erosion scenario described in figure 5 demonstrates the initial losses due to erosion during a 30 year period. The total area of land protected by the cliffs and the distribution of land use within this area is shown in various categories in Figure 8. The categories used are: residential, commercial and recreational. Indicative standards of protection can not be applied to the type of protection works discussed, but the standard for each of the options is the 1:100 year design storm. This is further complicated when assessing the design standard of the beach scheme as these are dynamic schemes which are expected to change with the conditions. The schemes have however been designed to survive a combination of those events which might reasonably be expected during the expected lifetime of the beach recharge, based on statistical analysis of joint probabilities of waves and water levels. 6.2 Assessment of economic benefits The economic benefits of reducing erosion rates at Naish cliffs fall into the following categories as follows: (i) Environmental (ii) Capital stock (iii) Holiday homes (iv) Recreation geology (no monetary value assigned) extended life factor costs calculated for: Residential houses; services open space And development land Sub station Car parking and access Roads (no monetary value assigned) relocation costs calculated no monetary values assigned The financial benefits quoted reflect 1996 price base. The extended life factor formula presented in the PAGN has been applied to assess the value of capital assets resulting from implementation of the scheme. A projected scheme life value (s) of 20 years has been applied for the beach recharge options and 30 years for the rock structure options, in accordance with the instructions given in the PAGN. The benefit cost analysis values are based upon these calculations. If the extended life factor formula is used in strict compliance with the PAGN instructions, it can give misleading results however. A discussion of the applicability of this technique with alternatives is given in section 7.4 where sensitivity of the calculations are discussed. The effects of scheme construction, which will reduce but not halt the rate of erosion, have then been predicted using revised erosion contours (Figure 6). Losses of revenue costs from commercial assets have been reassessed for the with scheme option, with the costs assigned to the expected year of loss with and without scheme. The combined differences of the capital and revenue related with and without scheme benefits have then been established to determine the damage averted and the consequent benefit cost ratios for the alternative schemes. There are some additional very significant unquantified benefits. A major, and in the current state of economic science, unquantifiable without scheme loss would be a negative effect on the geological Site of Special Scientific Interest. The contribution to the total benefit given by the recreational losses has not been assigned any monetary value. 6.3 Naish Holiday Village The value of the holiday homes within the Naish holiday village is based upon the current management strategy for the site and not upon the extended life factors which are applied to capital values. This strategy involves an adaptive response to erosion, the costs of which are included within the benefit cost analysis. The cliff top holiday homes, which are used on a year round basis become vulnerable to erosion on a regular basis. The buildings are of timber construction and can be moved. They are sited on a fully serviced concrete base and these utilities have to be relocated as they become vulnerable. The site managers (Hoburne Ltd) currently move the buildings when they reach approximately 8 metres from the cliff top edge. This is to ensure that failure wedges that are typically 5-8 metres wide are unable to take the buildings with them. This adaptive response is the most economic approach. The costs of removal of a building total £8000 for the chalets and £5000 for the serviced caravans (which do not require crainage or temporary roads for relocation). Additional relocation costs are also required for reconstruction of service roads and surfaced car parking within the holiday village. This includes the cost of reconstruction of a concrete base, disconnection of old and installation of new services, and moving costs of the buildings. The relocation operation involves the construction of a temporary road to enable cranes to access the sites safely across soft ground. The costs shown in the analysis reflect the (1996) costs of removal and do not take into account the land values of losses or the capital value of the buildings. The holiday village managers are however faced with a significant problem within the next five years, as they will run out of space for the relocation of the buildings and the costs of relocation will necessarily involve the purchase of development land or loss of the ground rent paid to the estate by the lessees of the buildings. These losses are considered further in section 6.5. A total of 152 buildings and 17 serviced caravans will have to be moved if the scheme is not implemented. These are identified with the expected year of loss on Figure 5. 6.4 Residential property The value of the vulnerable properties will effectively be lost when the cliff top reaches 8 metres from the furthest side of the road servicing the property, when the services to the property will be lost. As the failure wedges are typically 5-8 metres wide and the timing of failures is unpredictable, this seems a reasonable margin of safety to apply. Erosion free market value house prices have been assessed by the District Valuer with input from local estate agents. The extended life factors discussed in section 6.2 have been applied to the losses of these properties. Six properties are at risk within 15 years without project. Properties which will be vulnerable and their estimated market values are listed in Appendix IV. 6.5 Open space and development land Open space land losses have been included within the extended life factor assessment of capital assets. The erosion free market value of land, provided by the district valuer is £5000 per acre for open space land and £20,000 per acre for development land, in accordance with local market prices. Losses of land to the east of the Naish Estate boundary are all categorized as open space land. Losses within the Naish Estate are considered within the same category for the first five years of the assessment and thereafter are assigned to the development land category. This reflects the space available within the holiday village for relocation of predicted losses for a period of 5 years. Thereafter the Naish Estates will run out of space for relocation of the holiday homes and will need to purchase equivalent development land if they are to continue to relocate the buildings. A total of 19.2 acres of development land and 11.1 acres of open space land will be lost without project. 6.6 Recreation Recreational use of the area can be considered under the following headings. a) Walking the cliff top b) Beach access A wide strip of open land lies at the eastern end of the site and this is well used throughout the year, particularly for exercising dogs. The New Forest Tourism Study carried out in 1983 found an average of 80 people on the cliff top at 2-4pm on days surveyed between July 7 and September 10, with a peak of 300. In the event of no scheme the whole of the open space cliff to area will be lost within 25 years. There are no registered footpaths affected within the investigation area. There is no cliff path along the frontage of the Naish Estate although access through the frontage is freely available at present. The undercliff area is not suitable for recreational use. Access to the beach is poor and can only be achieved safely from either Barton on Sea or from Highcliffe (about 1500m apart). Recreational activity is concentrated in the wider sandy section of the beach adjacent to Chewton Bunny. The section of beach to the east is more difficult to access, due to tidal restrictions and is much less popular with visitors. The sandy beach overlies clay at a depth of not more than 1m and continued erosion will result in the loss of the amenity value of the site. Clay is exposed on the beach toe from time to time and if losses of beach material continue at the current rates the beach will lose its amenity value. A survey by Dorset Institute of Higher Education counted an average of 220 people on the beach within 400 metres of Chewton Bunny at 3pm on days between July 7 and September 10. The density of beach users falls significantly to the east in the narrow beach area. The owners of the Naish holiday village consider that the beach area is a significant attraction to its visitors and have indicated that the beach is an economic attraction valued by their staying visitors. The introduction of a larger wider beach would provide a mixture of benefits. The main benefit would be that the beach could be used along its full length throughout all states of the tide, for both interrupted walking and sitting. The nature of the innovative proposed scheme using shingle groynes and open beach recharge is, at least in the short term, likely to provide further recreational interest in the formation of intertidal beach pools, beach spits and barriers during the development of the eventual open beach profile, which will form during the evolution of the dynamic groynes. The present beach system does not provide continuous access along the beach and this can present safety problems. There is currently a danger of being cut off by an incoming tide and there is significant risk of accident if walkers try to escape by clambering onto the low cliff talus slopes, which are generally extremely wet and dangerous. This danger will be averted with a beach recharge. The rock revetment alternative would result in a reduction in the recreational value of the area and a loss of recreational benefit has been assumed if this option is adopted, due to the lower use by visitors. The current users, which include anglers, bathers and walkers, would all have much more limited use of the site. The maintenance to a declining standard option would provide only limited recreational benefits, by maintaining the existing recreational standard of the beach. The offshore breakwaters will provide improved protection and local pockets of improved amenity value where tombolos or salients form in the sheltered lee of the structures. A contingent valuation study does not form part of this application and no monetary estimates have been made to determine the number of visitors to the site or their perceived value of the site as a recreational asset. 6.7 Disruption of services The major distribution network to be affected by the erosion of the scheme is the electricity substation within the Naish Estates. This has been assessed using the extended life formula. The costs of disruption to other services within the holiday village are included within the relocation costs discussed in section 6.3. No costs for relocation of any other distribution networks have been considered within the economic assessment. 6.8 Geological site The site is widely regarded as one of the most important exposure sites in the UK. The geological exposures in the Naish cliffs are unusual in an economic context as they may be viewed as both an exposure site and also an integrity site. The site is an integrity site, as the geological reserve is finite and with continued rapid erosion will disappear completely from view. The site relies however, on continued clean exposure to maintain its importance as an exposure site. If erosion is halted completely then the clean exposure will be lost and the site will also lose much of its geological value. An objective assessment of the value of such a site is extremely difficult and it has not been possible to determine a monetary value for the site. The approach adopted in this case is to draw on the results of studies to assess the use of the site and on the proofs of evidence from the Chewton Bunny public enquiry. Studies in 1986 (Moss et al) were carried out to examine the use of the site in a geological context. Data collected by English Nature in a study of their own also supplements the results. The main questions to be asked of a geological site are: a) b) c) d) Are there other sites providing the same geological information? Is the site more important for teaching or research? What use is made of the site in a geological context? What type of research if carried out at the site and is this work mainly of academic interest or does it have appreciable economic benefits? The following sections examine each of these issues in turn. 6.8.1 Geological uniqueness of the site The Hampshire Basin is the only area in the country where exposure of the Bartonian strata can be viewed. Internationally there are a few sites where parts of the succession can be viewed (Paris Basin, Alps and Pyrenees) but the succession is not complete at any of these sites. Parts of the succession are poorly exposed at Alum Bay on the Isle of Wight and this section is poorly fossiliferous. There is no comparable section elsewhere in Europe. 6.8.2 Teaching value The site is specified as a field site in one of the GCSE syllabus examination boards. The NCC study identified an estimated 300 visits to the site annually involving about 5000 children, on the basis of responses from the Association of Teachers of Geology. This figure appears realistic as it is rarely possible to spend a day on the site without meeting a group of school students. The value of the site as a teaching site for undergraduates is more limited with only 4 university departments using the site for teaching purposes on a regular basis. The sites are certainly well used for school and university project work. Regular requests for information are made to NFDC for information on the site. 6.8.3 Use of the site by geologists The site is primarily of importance for fundamental research purposes. This has been borne out by responses from various universities to a questionnaire (Moss et al). Of 15 universities contacted 7 have used the site for research purposes whilst fewer have used it for teaching. The site is widely used by local geologists outside of the universities and the site is widely acclaimed by local geologists associations. 6.8.4 Nature of research Research interest in the site is increasing. Identification and use of fossils for stratigraphic dating and the environmental conditions under which the organisms lived is of particular interest at this time. The research has also actively been used in the oil industry to improve geological understanding of oil bearing strata and the associated geology. The site is extremely important for provision of fossils and previously undiscovered fossils have been found in the cliffs on a regular basis, including a research project which identified ten new fossil crabs. 6.9 Down drift beaches Beaches down drift of the proposed scheme site will be influenced by the introduction of any of the proposed schemes. The open beach with shingle groynes proposal will provide positive benefits by releasing a supply of sediment into a system which is currently starved of beach materials. The effect of this will be to slow the rate of beach erosion to the west, as the required sediment balance to maintain the beach volume will be provided from an area which currently contributes little to the sediment budget. The effects of release of sediment are difficult to value in monetary terms and the precise timescale for the benefits resulting from additional material are not possible to quantify however. The following effects might reasonably be expected within a period of 10 years. The beaches immediately to the east of the protected Barton on Sea frontage are declining in volume and cliff recession is occurring at a rapid rate. There are currently no plans to carry out works along this frontage as economic benefits are minimal and the cliffs to provide a limited input to the sediment budget. Further east at Hordle cliff where a low concrete seawall fronts the cliffs, the beach has reached the state where scour is likely to persist due to the declining beach volume. Without increased input the seawall will become undermined and fail. This is already the case in several locations where revenue funded maintenance works have been required to protect the wall from scour. Revenue maintenance costs have amounted to in excess of £150,000 at Hordle seawall from 1994-1996. Whilst the increased sediment may not provide vast quantities of material to the Hordle beach system, it will certainly provide some benefit. Further east, the Milford seawalls are also fronted by eroding beaches, due to a declining supply of materials and these are now giving some considerable cause for concern. A feasibility study to examine the performance and the need for a capital scheme within this area will be promoted in the next year. The introduction of fresh material into this part of the system may help to delay the need for such a scheme. Finally, the notorious Hurst Spit area has needed a supply of beach material to maintain its integrity. The arrival of material from the west will improve the performance of the spit and may, during the next 10-15 years, impact upon the quantity of material required for the 50 year beach management plan which will follow the Hurst Spit Stabilisation Scheme. It is impossible to put a time frame or monetary figure to these benefits but there is clear evidence that the introduction of additional material to the sediment budget will provide the potential for significant reductions in costs of coast protection works in the future. 6.10 Engineering advancement The beach recharge with shingle groynes scheme provides the opportunity for development of an engineering solution, which could increase the life of beach recharge schemes without the need for the construction of hard structures. English Nature have been impressed by the concept of dynamic beach control structures and if successful would like to see the introduction of similar schemes at other locations where hard defences are undesirable. The fact that English Nature are prepared to support a scheme at a site which has a notorious record and which they have previously sought to keep unprotected, in the light of its geological importance, suggests that they view the scheme concept very favourably. They would welcome properly documented research on the performance of these structures. Recent MAFF funded strategic research studies have examined the performance of soft groynes and have concluded that such techniques are worthy of futher investigation (HR 1995). The research is based on laboratory studies and a review of earlier research on sand groynes in Denmark. Without a large scale field trial site however some doubts must remain about the validity of the laboratory based research. The MAFF funded research contractor (HR) has submitted proposals to MAFF R&D for monitoring of a suitable full scale site and Naish beach has already been earmarked for this work, if funding is made available, and if the scheme goes ahead. The scheme also has the added advantage of great flexibility. If the scheme does present any unforeseen problems after a monitoring period of 2-3 years it could easily be reverted to an open beach scheme (if the natural processes have not already done this). The likelihood of other sites being considered for such trials seems remote, as the cost of beach recharges are usually extremely expensive and there might reasonably be some concerns for scheme approval of such a high cost experimental scheme. The proposals for this scheme will benefit from the very low unit cost of the beneficial use beach recharge materials. 6.11 With Scheme Damages The schemes discussed in Section 4 provide differing standards of protection and offer different benefits and disadvantages. The losses of the benefits are identified within the appropriate year of the benefit cost analysis tables for each scheme. The maintain to a declining standard alternative has the advantage that recreational benefits will be retained for longer than the do nothing scenario, but all economic losses and much of the conservation value of the site would be lost within the same time frame as the no project option. The low level of investment option has the advantage that most of the recreational benefits would be enhanced as users of the beach would be able to have access for longer periods of time. The rock revetment option has the advantage that the scheme would require less frequent maintenance than other options. This option would however have a significant adverse affect on the conservation value of the site. Recreational benefits would be much reduced due to the nature of the structure which would restrict access to the beach and the value of the site would also fall due to the lower aesthetic value of the site. The geological value of the site as a SSSI would be lost completely. This option would be unacceptable to English Nature. Any of the alternative beach recharge schemes could satisfy all of the sea defence and coast protection requirements, and also retain the conservation and recreational value of the site. The cliffs will still suffer some erosion due to hydrogeological processes and some losses will continue with any of the proposed scheme options. This is invariably the case with cliff stabilization works. It is unlikely that approval for the scheme would be achieved on environmental grounds, if the scheme sought to halt erosion entirely. None of the high value residential properties will be lost with scheme, but some of the open space land and some of the holiday village properties will still be lost. Losses to the area of geological exposure will continue but this is in keeping with the design concept which seeks to maintain the geological significance of the site. Figure 9 puts a clear perspective on the effects of with scheme erosion by showing the with scheme and without scheme predicted erosion lines. These differences are taken into consideration in economic terms within the benefit cost analysis. 7 CHOICE OF SCHEME – BENEFIT COST EVALUATION 7.1 Costs and Benefits A total of 6 alternative scheme options have been costed and evaluated in the economic assessment. Where possible each option has been evaluated using estimates based on costs derived from recent (1996) tender prices, except for the beneficial use option which is based upon actual tender prices. The sensitivity of these schemes to alternative supply costs are identified in Section 7.4. The scheme types are: (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (v) (vi) Maintaining to a declining standard Low level of investment – beneficial use beach recharge Commercial source beach recharge Rock revetment Perched beach Detached rock breakwaters Benefit cost evaluations have been prepared for each of these options which can be found in Appendix III. The estimated costs for all options are based on 1996 prices. Although royalty payments will be made in addition to the tender price, these have not been included in the cost benefit assessment for the Southampton Water source because they are a financial transfer within Government. 7.2 Benefit Cost Ratios A summary table of the discounted costs and benefits together with benefit cost ratios and net present values of each alternative scheme is shown in table 7.1. 7.3 Selection of the preferred scheme Costs and damages for the alternative schemes have been assessed by calculation of the net present values of each option and these have been compared to NPV damages averted (Pvda) for each option (see table 7.1). The decision rule process set out in the PAGN has been followed to optimize the scheme selection. Maintenance to a declining standard is discarded on the basis of functionality and environmental cost, as the assets which the scheme seeks to protect are lost. The net present value for this scheme is also lower than for any other option. The only significant assets which will be preserved will be the amenity value and this has not been considered in the economic assessment. An acceptable scheme must accommodate the requirements of the conservation agencies in as sympathetic a manner as possible, but without compromise to the safety of the design. Although the rock revetment option is functional, it does not meet the environmental criteria and would be objected to by English Nature as well as other conservation agencies. The results of the public enquiry on the Christchurch Borough Council Chewton Glen scheme suggest that such a scheme would not be approved. The benefit cost analysis clearly demonstrates that this option is not financially acceptable either, providing an average benefit cost ratio of 0.68 and this option has therefore been discarded. The perched beach recharge with rock sill option is environmentally acceptable but is the most expensive of the options examined. Whilst it has a longer effective potential life than the open beach recharge options, it still only has a benefit cost ratio of 0.4. This option has therefore been discarded. The offshore breakwaters option is the scheme which would be most favoured on environmental grounds, but is an expensive option which returns a benefit cost ratio of only 0.52. Some question marks also remain over the hydrodynamic performance of this option, particularly in respect of the influence that the breakwaters will have on longshore transport in the medium term. This option has therefore been discarded. The beach recharge options have been designed to withstand a 1:100 year return period storm, but the difference in design for a 1:50 year design or 1:500 year design is negligible due to the very small changes in design conditions over this range of extremes, and would result in the same scheme design. This is typical of most beach recharge schemes. The beach recharge options are acceptable environmentally and are functional. The beach recharge options are identical in design but use alternative sources of material, which have a dramatic effect on the cost of the scheme. Construction using the usual commercial sources would provide a benefit cost ratio of only 0.37, whilst the equivalent scheme constructed from beneficial use materials gives a benefit cost ratio of 1.63. It could be argued that the beneficial use option is a commercial supply, but is material available for a limited period of time at an unusually low opportunity cost, reflecting local market forces. Options have been ranked by maximizing the NPV of programme expenditure. The option with the greatest average benefit cost ratios (calculated according to the PAGN instructions) that is greater than unity, and that meets the indicative performance standard is the beneficial use beach recharge, which has a benefit cost ratio of 1.63. This is the preferred option. None of the other alternative options can return a benefit cost ratio of greater than 1. 7.3 Sensitivity analysis The sensitivity of the benefit cost ratios is examined below for the range of costs and benefits for the preferred option. Sensitivity analysis has not been carried out for the alternative rock structure options as these have been based upon the lowest perceivable rates and any cost changes would only worsen the benefit cost ratios. Significant cost variations may result from the tolerance allowed within the specification, for shingle placement. The specified tolerance limits for placement of shingle could result in 15% extra material being required, as a result of variations in the as built dimensions of the structures or initial variations on site conditions. This would have the effect of increasing the tender prices of the beach recharge by approximately £84,000. This would reduce the benefit cost ratio to 1.50. An overall contingency allowance of 15% has been allowed in addition to the estimate prices, to reflect changes at the site and placement tolerances, but this has not been included within the benefit cost analysis. Estimates for the costs of a commercially sourced beach recharge are based upon the average of expected costs from various licensed dredging areas. The lowest perceivable costs could reduce the costs of this scheme and produce a benefit cost ratio of 0.46. This is still too low for serious consideration. The extended life formula in its basic form given in the PAGN is not applicable to this site, as the introduction of a scheme will not extend the life of the properties by the entire life of the scheme. This is likely to be the case with any cliff stabilization scheme when erosion will almost certainly continue to some extent with the scheme. The formula has been modified to take into account the actual expected benefits of the extended life of the land and property which the scheme will save. This is not the same as the life of the scheme as erosion will continue, but its rate will be slowed by the introduction of the scheme. Whilst the scheme has a finite effective life, which is expected to be 20 years for the low level of investment beneficial recharge option, it will slow but not stop the rate of erosion. The modified extended life factor used within the scheme(s) is 10, allowing for a 50% reduction in the erosion rates during a scheme life of 20 years. Application of the extended life formulae to this site in its basic form would therefore produce artificially high scheme benefits. Spreadsheets demonstrating the sensitivity of these two approaches are presented in the Appendix III and this reduction is also shown for comparative purposes in Table 7.2. Table 7.2 Benefit cost ratios using alternative extended life factors Beneficial use recharge 10 year ELF 1.17 20 year ELF 1.63 The lower bound costs for this option give a benefit cost ratio of 1.17. The benefit cost ratio is still significantly greater than 1 however and there are also a significant number of unmeasured benefits. 7.4 Conclusions The economic analysis suggests that beach recharge, making beneficial use of sediments from the Southampton Water as a source, offers the most cost effective option for stabilizing the beach. This is the only option that is economically viable and is the chosen option by the decision rule process. Whilst the benefit cost ratio is relatively low, there are a number of unmeasured benefits (discussed in detail in section 6), including environmental improvement of an internationally important geological site, recreation benefits, reduced maintenance costs of vulnerable beaches to the east and the opportunity to develop an innovative coast protection technique. A further factor which should also be considered, but which does not easily fit within the PAGN framework, is the alternative use of the dredged materials. If during the course of the dredging programme ABP are unable to find beneficial uses for the materials, they will eventually be permitted to dump the dredged material at an offshore deep water dumping ground. The material which might potentially provide millions of pounds of benefit to beaches would then be lost completely from the coastal system. It is proposed that conditional scheme approval is given for the beach recharge option, on the basis that of the beneficial use of the dredging arisings from Southampton Water, and that the alternative options should not be considered. 8 PROPOSED SCHEME 8.1 Scheme outline The main elements of the proposed scheme are as follows. (i) Recharge of the Naish Beach, Barton on Sea frontage with suitably graded shingle; (ii) Construction of 7 dynamic shingle groynes along the beach frontage The proposed stabilization scheme includes the following main elements. 8.1.1 Shingle Renourishment The beach will be renourished with 325,000 m3 of shingle material. The beach recharge material will lie within the grading envelope given in Figure 10. It will be constructed to a level of 3m ODN and with a constant crest width of 10m. Modifications to the cross section profile have been allowed for at the cliff toe where exposure of the geological succession is required by English Nature. The heavily used amenity area at the western end of the beach will be recharged with sand, recycled from the bed of the beach to be recharged with shingle. This will permit the amenity area of beach to be improved and will improve the hydraulic performance of the beach in the same area. The basis for the design of the shingle recharge is derived from the expected grading of material from the Southampton Water dredging site. 8.2 Design 8.2.1 Research and Monitoring The NFDC set up a research and monitoring programme in 1988 to investigate the causes and extent of beach and cliff erosion, and to identify possible long term solutions for management of the Christchurch Bay frontage. A pilot study was set up to record wave conditions (Hydraulics research 1989a, 1989b) and beach cross sections in 1988. This study has since been expanded to include measurement of tides, off shore surveys, and additional surveys following storm events. Annual aerial photography and photogrammetric mapping has also provided valuable input to the beach and cliff performance. A sophisticated programme of studies was carried out: to evaluate the unusual beach processes; to quantify the design conditions; and to assess the cost effectiveness of any remedial measures. The effectiveness of the alternative schemes could not be evaluated properly without the aid of a combination of field, mathematical and physical hydraulic model studies. These research studies provided design conditions an allowed the response of the existing structure and the proposals for new protection works to be assessed scientifically under the design conditions. A full description of the research and monitoring programme can be found in Appendix I. 8.2.2 Design Conditions The derivation of the design conditions adopted for the scheme is discussed in detail in Appendix 1 and these are summarized below. Various combinations of waves and tides produce alternative design conditions with similar joint probabilities. Combinations which lie between these two extreme combinations must also be considered for the design of an effective beach recharge scheme. The conditions given below have a probability of exceedence of 18% during the 20 year design life of the scheme and represent the 1:100 year joint probability return period events. The offshore bathymetry is very regular and bed contours lie parallel with the coast. Conditions are consistent throughout the length of the site. Table 8.1 Design Conditions Tidal Offshore wave conditions Inshore wave conditions Elevation (mODN) Hs Tm Direction Hs Tm Direction 1.87 4.82 7.3 240 3.0 9.1 205 0.87 6.7 8.3 240 3.2 9.9 198 8.2.3 Hydraulic Model Studies Probability of exceedence during scheme life % 18 18 Following the programme of field work, wave climate studies and a preliminary assessment of alternative schemes, a programme of physical and mathematical modeling was designed to carry out detailed evaluation of the proposals. An extensive series of hydraulic model studies were carried out to test the proposed designs and to fine tune the designs for maximum cost effectiveness. The objectives of the model studies are set out below. (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (v) (vi) (vii) (viii) Identify the various combinations of wave and water level conditions that cause damage to the cliffs Determine the rate of loss of shingle from Naish and Barton beaches, under storm conditions and under “morphological average” conditions Compare the performance of proposed stabilization measures with the existing beach Examine the effects of structures, such as dynamic groynes and breakwaters on shingle transport Identify threshold beach crest levels and widths to provide alarm conditions prior to failure of the beach Evaluate the stability and hydraulic performance of alternative structures (perched beach, detached breakwaters) Identify a planned maintenance programme following beach renourishment ( if appropriate) Identify the most cost effective and environmentally acceptable strategy for the protection of the site Analysis of the beach profile field data indicated that wave induced damage occurs most frequently when storm surges occur. A range of water levels including extreme storm surges were therefore considered. The response of the shingle beach to storms, tidal currents, storm surges and more frequently occurring conditions were also considered. The beach response to these processes, by short term changes to the beach cross section profile and by changes to the plan shape layout due to longshore sediment transport, were investigated in the modeling programme. Since it was necessary to reproduce the response of shingle to wave action, it was necessary to ensure that the model allowed for reproduction of these two variables without any significant scale effects. The beach was modeled in two segments at a scale of 1:80 to accommodate the problems of scaling. These were linked together by mathematical modeling to produce an overall picture of the performance of the beach. The large model scale allowed the sediment response to waves to be reproduced with a high degree of confidence. Similarly the large model waves allowed rock armour movement to be reproduced and monitored accurately. It was also possible to focus in detail on important features along the length of the beach. These included the changes in the plan shape alignment of the beach and the effects of sediment control structures. The test programme was broken down into the following elements: (i) (ii) (iii) Mathematical modeling of the nearshore wave climate Physical modeling of two overlapping segments of beach at a scale of 1:80 Numerical modeling of sediment transport (iv) 8.2.4 Interactive modeling of the results from the physical and mathematical models Performance of alternative beach recharge designs A range of beach recharge options were tested, including open beach recharge and a range of combinations of dynamic groynes with various geometries. The most effective plan layout comprised 100 metre long shingle groynes spaced at centres of 200 metres. Shorter structures were tested but did not perform as efficiently. Whilst the modeling techniques have not previously been calibrated at full scale for dynamic groynes, they have been widely used to test shingle beaches. The 100 metre groynes provide better protection than an equivalent open beach recharge comprising 50,000m3 more material, for the range of test carried out. Whilst the groynes will perform best under moderate wave conditions (Hs less than 1.5m) they deform gradually under the more extreme conditions. The life of the scheme is affected by the slope angle of the beach at the time of construction. If it is close to the dynamic equilibrium slope of the beach for that material the structure will evolve more slowly. Steep side slopes will deform very quickly. The scheme life is however dependent upon the sequence of storm events. The evolution process helps to provide additional protection. As the groyne is attacked by oblique wave action, the roundhead deforms to feed the downdrift beach. Energy dissipation is maximized by diffraction on the round head and consequently waves reaching the upper beach have lower energy. Whilst the groynes reduce the rate of transport form within the groyne bay, slowing sediment transport, the groyne roundhead provides a supply of material preventing downdrift scour. As the groynes evolve, downdrift spits form from the roundheads, again providing increased protection by the formation of low offshore barriers. These trip waves approaching the shoreline and provide further protection until they have eventually rolled back up the beach. Short term tidal lagoons will form in the lee of the spits. Perhaps the most important consideration of the beach performance is the direction of movement and evolution of the beach. The direction of movement is consistently onshore and material will not therefore be lost from the system. At worst the beach system will perform as an open beach and this is the form that the beach will eventually take. Whilst tests were carried out over a range of fixed water levels, the model did not provide full tidal control. The results of the model tests and mathematical models have been compiled into an extensive database. This has been analysed to provide a series of recommendations in conjunction with the geotechnical assessment and the sediment size analysis. The data has been analysed to optimize the programme of works. This data will form the basis of the analytical performance of the dynamic groynes, by comparing the model and field measurements, and will be used to develop the techniques for design of dynamic groyne systems. The natural shingle grading is coarse, D50 = 12mm, but most of the indigenous shingle has been lost in the littoral drift from the site. Only small pockets of shingle remain on the upper beach. The design cross sections and sediments transport calculations, derived from physical model testing, have been carried out on the basis of beach recharge using the natural beach material which would normally be found at this site. Alternative gradings could be used in the replenishment, but these will have significant but undetermined effects on the hydraulic performance of the replenishment. 8.2.5 Environmental considerations The beach recharge design has been developed to allow occasional washing of the cliff toe, to provide the necessary exposure of the geological succession. A number of modifications have been made to the design to provide optimum exposure. The beach crest level is fixed at a lower level at the western end of the site, within the most sensitive part of the site. The main protection will be provided by the diffraction events of the dynamic groyne and the developing barrier and spit at its head, although the crest width and elevation will be increased, by recycling sand from the eastern end of the site. The geometry of the landward trunk of the groynes and the crest of the beach has also been modified to maximize exposure of the geological succession within the western – most 500m of the site. Elsewhere the beach profile can be constructed to the optimum hydraulic profile. Previous proposals to protect the site have been based upon stopping cliff toe erosion and there has been significant resistance to these proposals from the geological community. This scheme has significant benefits in that geologists will be allowed continuous access to the site along the whole of its length. The amenity value of the beach is concentrated at its western end and the design has been modified between Chewton Bunny and the second dynamic groyne to provide a sandy beach, by recycling of the indigenous material from the east of the site. This will later be covered by shingle from the recharge area. This fits together well with the geological requirements. 8.2.6 Materials for Renourishment The alternative beach renourishment designs have been based upon the envelope of gradings from the Southampton Water dredging site. 8.2.6.1 Proving the Resource The following information was provided to NFDC by ABP, based on geotechnical investigations carried out by Alluvial Mining (1994): (i) (ii) (iii) The geological setting of the area, to define the underlying geology; The bathymetry and the distribution of surficial sediments over the bed; and The thickness of the superficial sediment cover, based on the analysis of high resolution sub bottom profiling and vibrocoring. Detailed analysis was carried out on this data by NFDC. The results of this study were very encouraging, confirming that Southampton Water has potential for production of coarse grained sediments. The total volume of potentially recoverable sand and shingle within the proposed channel deepening area is in excess of one million cubic metres. The quantity required for replenishing the beach is 325,000 cubic metres. 8.2.6.2 Engineering Options for Extracting and Placing Placement of the material in the required locations along Naish Beach, Barton on Sea could be achieved by: (i) (ii) (iii) Self propelled hopper dredger, pumping ashore Static dredger, discharging into barges for pumping ashore or; Bottom dumping from a hopper and pumping ashore from a static dredger, through a floating pipeline from a large offshore stockpile. The low tidal range of 2.2 metres and shallow foreshore provide severe constraints on discharge location. A 2500m3 sized self propelled hopper dredger could pump material ashore in a two to three month continuous operation at an estimated cost of £2 per cubic metre, excluding royalties to the Crown Estate. Operations would probably have to be restricted to high water periods due to the draft of the dredger and the shallow sloping foreshore. The dredger would have to anchor approximately 700-800 metres offshore on the 5m Chart Datum Contour. At about one quarter the cost of land won or commercial marine supplies this is obviously a very economical means of obtaining beach recharge material of a satisfactory grading. 8.2.6.3 Licensing Requirements The supply of beach recharge from Southampton Water is based upon a different permissions procedure to the Government View Procedure for marine aggregates and this has been controlled by the Department of Transport in parallel with the MEPD. The Crown Estate as owners of the sea bed are still entitled however to a royalty payment. Following the offshore exploration programme, a formal application was made by ABP for a FEPA licence for the disposal of 7 million cubic metres of dredged material. The application has been supported by an Environmental Impact Assessment carried out by Posford Duvivier and supplementary studies by ABP research and consultancy. NFDC and other neighbouring local authorities were approached by ABP in 1995 to consider the potential of the materials for beneficial use. Following some extensive investigation of the soils reports and further discussions with ABP, NFDC approached MAFF to ask for guidance on the potential use of the material. At this stage ABP had advised that none of the other authorities had shown any interest in the material. The MAFF response by the Regional Engineer was to call a meeting of all of the nearby local authorities, to discuss the potential of this material at other sites. The result of this was a potentially more complex arrangement with a number of organizations possibly needing a finite quantity of material. The ABP FEPA licence application was submitted and has been awarded on the basis that the sand and gravel fraction of material (1 million m3) is not dumped offshore and beneficial use must be found for this material. The Naish Beach, Barton on Sea scheme is identified as a possible disposal site in the beneficial use reports (ABP 1995). No adverse comments have been received in respect of the extensive consultations carried out by ABP (in respect of this disposal site). NFDC have subsequently (February 1996) applied for a FEPA licence for the use of this material, but MAFF MEPD had given no indication of their view on this application at the time of preparation of this report. 9 BEACH MANAGEMENT PROGRAMME A beach management programme has been developed for this short term experimental scheme, in order that maintenance of the nourished beach may be carried out cost effectively. This programme has been based upon the results of both the physical and mathematical model studies and also on the results of the field surveys. 9.1 Threshold levels The damage threshold condition, (defined by conditions giving rise to overtopping the crest), is consistent along the length of the beach. The alarm cross section for the renourished beach has been defined in terms of minimum crest elevation and minimum crest width. This alarm value is reached when the design storm, followed in quick succession by a 1:5 year and a 1:1 year storm, would result in failure of the beach to existing levels. The maximum run-up levels have been defined from the extensive series of physical model tests. The maximum run-up levels recorded by measurement of the level of the run-up berm are fairly consistent along the beach length at a level of +3.8m ODN. This is above the design crest height, but this natural run-up level berm will form during storms by natural profile adjustments to wave action. It is preferable to have a lower crest level during the earlier period of renourishment, as the beach width will be too wide to allow frequent washing of the cliff toe and maintain the geological exposure if the crest is very high. As the beach diminishes in size, the level of the run-up berm will increase providing a similar degree of protection. The crest width needs to be maintained at 3m at the design crest level for the beach to maintain an effective performance in reducing toe erosion. 9.2 Settlement and Shingle Loss Initially, the beach will be constructed to a significantly higher profile than required by the design conditions. This is necessary to allow for loss of cross sectional area of the beach by washing out of the fine fractions following placement. It is not possible to quantify the volume of shingle lost during the life of the scheme precisely, but considerable loss of material may occur following renourishment. An estimated loss of 50,000m3 will occur during the first 3 years. Evidence of rates of settlement, by leveling of datum poles, suggests that in excess of 0.5m settlement may be expected during the first year following construction. Careful monitoring of the crest levels following construction should identify those areas that will require maintenance due to settlement. 9.3 Routine Maintenance Requirements Routine maintenance requirements are minimal on this scheme, which is designed to provide only 20 years of life. One of its main roles is to act as a beach management tool, providing a feed to the beaches in the east and lessening the need for the more expensive and complex beach management programmes in place at the eastern end of the bay (Hurst Spit). Reshaping of the beach may be necessary, but the experimental nature of the dynamic groynes is intended to be monitored without interference. No maintenance is envisaged during the first 5 years, to allow the scheme to settle and to allow the new equilibrium rate of transport to be reached. Better estimates of long term maintenance commitments will be made with the aid of the monitoring programme. The scheme has a design life of 20 years, during which there will be no requirements to recycle or top up the renourishment and maintain the dynamic beach structures. Whilst it is difficult to assess the quantities of materials and losses form the system, estimates have been made which suggest losses of approximately 8000m3 per year after the initial settlement period. This programme will be revised in conjunction with the results of the planned monitoring programme. 9.4 Monitoring Programme The design of this scheme is innovative and it is therefore essential that the beach is monitored frequently after construction. The beach will reduce in cross sectional area and crest level during its life and it will eventually reach an alarm condition when it will be necessary to renourish. It is essential to make frequent comparison between the beach profiles, design conditions and the geometric/hydraulic framework of results developed during model testing. A monitoring programme has been planned, to follow completion of the works programme. The programme is outlined in the following sections. Some elements will be implemented prior to the commencement of the works to provide baseline data. This will allow changes resulting from the works to be identified. 9.4.1 Onshore Surveys Land surveys of the site have been established to provide a pre scheme baseline model. Initial surveys were carried out in 1995 and continued in conjunction with the routine coastal monitoring programme. These surveys provide a spot height coverage on a grid of approximately 5m. Data is stored on a PC based database and analysed using DGM3 and FASTCAD software. It is proposed that the whole of the beach be monitored routinely on a quarterly basis for the duration of the monitoring programme. This will be surveyed to the same format as previous surveys in this area. The dynamic groynes present a new challenge for monitoring and it is the evolution of the plan shape of the beach that provides the most useful information. Aerial surveys will be used to supplement this data. Additional post storm surveys will be required to enhance the development of the design methodology, which has been developed from the physical model. These surveys should be carried out in parallel with wave measurement and tidal measurements to provide comparison with the physical model data. Regular sediment sampling and size grading analysis will be carried out in order to identify changes in the grade of material and the rate of loss of the smaller fraction, thereby providing further valuable information for the purposes of maintenance. Results of post nourishment surveys will be compared with the database results for both the physical model and full scale monitoring results. The beach response models may then be calibrated, allowing adjustment of the database predictions to accommodate the effects of different beach grading. 9.4.2 Offshore surveys The offshore bathymetry is subject to frequent change and as a result the design wave conditions may also change from time to time. Frequent monitoring of the offshore bathymetry will be undertaken to identify any significant changes which may affect the incident wave conditions. The annual hydrographic surveys currently carried out by NFDC are appropriate for identification of nearshore changes. A datawell omni-directional waverider buoy has been installed off Milford on Sea, and is used in conjunction with a suitably located wind recorder to monitor wave conditions. A telemetry link to Lymington Town Hall has been established, together with a logging station. Contingency has been made for maintenance of this equipment during the course of the programme. This would normally entail monthly or bi monthly checks of the equipment and inspection of the moorings, together with changes of batteries whenever required. Re-analysis of the wave records will be necessary from time to time to ensure that the design conditions have not altered significantly (due to bathymetric changes). This will provide a much better and more reliable method of establishing the near shore wave climate on a long term basis. The results from wave records will also be used to provide full scale calibration/validation of the model results at the site under real conditions. This will provide validity to the empirical framework developed by model testing and a high degree of confidence in the performance and maintenance requirements. The recent installation of a tide gauge by NFDC in the lee of Hurst Spit will, in the long term, provide valuable data from which more reliable surge predictions can be calculated for the site. The profile response database may also be used in conjunction with results of revised surge level predictions, to give an improved prediction of the required beach cross sections required to withstand the more severe water levels of the scheme. The design water level may change in conjunction with medium term sea level changes. 9.4.3 Dynamic groynes The innovative dynamic groynes may perform in a number of ways, depending on the sequencing and frequency of storm conditions. Their response is of particular interest during the first year and the monitoring programme during this period will be more intensive. Surveys will be carried out following storms with a significant wave height greater than 1.5m. Interim surveys will be carried out on a weekly basis for the first few weeks following construction. HR Wallingford have already carried out some development work on these structures and a more detailed programme of field monitoring is being sought from MAFF Research and development. If the funding is forthcoming the programme will be carried out in connection with this project. NFDC are currently considering alternative funding of such work and will be seeking funding for an EPSRC project to monitor the project and to develop design techniques for dynamic groynes. 9.4.4 Database The model data set has been stored in a series of spreadsheet databases which provide easy access to the data, enabling the beach profile performance to be compared for a wide range of beach geometry and wave and water level conditions. The performance of the beach can therefore be assessed by comparison of any beach profile with a given crest level, and cross section area above any given level, and with a range of wave and water level conditions. This database will enable the performance of the proposed beach renourishment to be assessed throughout its life, by comparison with the design conditions. The wave climate can be assessed by substituting different wave conditions into the database for comparison with given profiles. The wide range of beach profiles in the database allows any combination of beach geometry and wave conditions to be assessed within the range tested. By testing over a wide range of water levels, a water level response function can be established. The effects of changing sea level, or of revisions in the surge water level, can therefore be taken into account by substitution of other water levels into the database. Initially the predicted response of the renourished beach can be established by using the database as a look up table, by reference to the desired wave water level, wave conditions and geometry. This method is however cumbersome to use and requires considerable background knowledge of the database structure. The extensive database will therefore be developed into a more sophisticated and simple to use parametric model of the beach profile response. This will allow the beach geometry to be assessed by substitution of geometric and hydraulic variables into a numeric model of a series of equations. The mathematical model will be developed in conjunction with field monitoring programmes, both pre and post construction. 10 IMPACTS OF THE PROPOSALS 10.1 Influence of the Proposals on Coastal Processes The construction of a large scale stabilization scheme including beach renourishment and shingle groynes will clearly have an impact on the hydrodynamic processes in the area of the works and the adjoining area. The scheme has however been designed to minimize changes to the existing regime and in particular to introduce much needed sediment into the system. The proposed groynes and beach renourishment at Naish Beach will not have a significant effect on longshore transport to the west. The main body of the proposed renourishment will increase the potential rate of sediment transport to the east, as the foreshore equilibrium will be altered significantly. The profile response of the beach will not be altered under most conditions, since the foreshore slope will not be changed. The increased crest level will however reduce the rate of beach recession, as waves will only reach the crest during the most extreme events. Under these conditions sediment transport rates might be expected to increase as there will be an increased supply of sediment to the lower foreshore. The introduction of dynamic groynes into the system provides a solution to down drift scour as a result of starvation. The groynes feed the down drift side of the beach as they develop. 10.2 Environmental Impact Assessment An EA does not form part of this application. It has not been considered necessary at this site although the cliffs form an internationally important geological site. As the scheme has been developed with the support of and in parallel with English Nature these issues have already been considered fully and incorporated into the design. Extensive consultation has taken place in addition to the statutory consultees and no objections to the scheme have been received. Comments were received by the land owners of the holiday village and the necessary modifications to the design have been made to maintain the amenity value of the western end of the site. The proposals have been welcomed at the eastern end of the site where beach access and the amenity aspects of the frontage will be considerably improved. 10.3 Integration with the Shoreline Management Plan Although the Shoreline Management Plan (SMP) for Poole and Christchurch Bays (cell 5f) has not yet been formally drawn up, this scheme has been designed with due consideration to the expected outcome of the plan. Key issues which might arise from the plan have been clearly addressed with respect to sediment transport, nature conservation and the built environment. The scheme design draws heavily on the results of a long term coastal monitoring programme and a clear understanding of the regional coastal processes. As the scheme is located at the down drift end of a very heavily defended coastline there is clear evidence of sediment starvation at the cell boundary. The scheme provides for a beach management plan which will form part of the SMP for Poole and Christchurch Bays and which will integrate with the SMP for adjoining subcell 5b and 5c (the Western Solent and Southampton Water). 11 CONTRACT DOCUMENTS 11.1 Contractual Arrangements The shingle recharge will form a small element of a large scale dredging project which is being funded by Associated British Ports. Due to the complex nature of the activities involving dredging plant of a very high capital value, two separate contracts linking the dredging and disposal operations would be extremely difficult to manage without the significant potential for claims. Delays at either end of the job due to equipment failure or bad weather could result in expensive counter claims between the two contracts. This would be unacceptable to ABP and would be an unattractive prospect to NFDC. The only acceptable option appeared to be to let a single contract comprising both the dredging and beach recharge elements, but with separate priced bills of quantities for the beach recharge and dredging elements. ABP agreed to this approach but have made it clear that the tender which would provide them with the economically most attractive package would be selected, irrespective of the rating of the bill items for the beach recharge element of the works. This approach was discussed with the NFDC auditors. As no commitment to take the materials has been made to ABP this method was deemed to be acceptable. ABP have agreed that the tender sums for each of the contractors could be viewed following the award of the Contract. The tender that ABP have selected is the second lowest of the tender prices for this element of the works and represents extremely good value, if compared with normal commercial supply costs. The prices have been compared with recent tender prices for a similar beach recharge scheme. Due to the shallow water depths offshore, a longer pipeline is needed and considerably more time is needed to execute the same quantity of works than the recently tendered Hurst Spit scheme. As the additional time needed to carry out the works is considerable, the scheme costs seem reassuringly low. The saving over commercial supply is significant. The costs to be borne by ABP are considerable. They include for mobilization of a smaller less efficient dredger than they would prefer to use ( as water depths are restricted only at the beach recharge site). The dredger will have to make double the number of journeys than would a larger more economic dredger. The Contract will be carried out as part of the Associated British Ports (Southampton) capital dredging contract to deepen the Southampton Water approach channel. The specifications for the works are described within the documents as provisional priced bill items. The specification, drawings and bill of quantities have been drawn up by NFDC, but the Engineer to the Contract will necessarily be Associated British Ports. ABP have agreed that a representative of NFDC should be responsible for supervision of the beach recharge and compliance of the materials with the specification and limited powers under the contract will be vested. The ABP contract documents and drawings form part of this report but for convenience are bound separately. The ICE 6th edition conditions of contract are proposed. The bill of quantities for the beach recharge is a priced provisional bill item. ABP have included a contract clause which limits the validity period for the beach recharge bills of quantities. This period is 16 weeks from commencement of the contract. The contract is expected to commence by 1 June 1996. This means that scheme approval must be awarded prior to 13 September. If no decision is made by this date ABP will order alternative disposal of the materials. A legal agreement has been drawn up defining the responsibilities of the organizations. This agreement will become operable only in the event of MAFF approvals being given to this scheme. Execution of the contract is not practically or contractually feasible in any other way. This will form the Contract for the works between New Forest District Council and ABP. A copy of the draft agreement forms part of this report but is bound separately. 12 REFERENCES 1 Hydraulics Research “Christchurch Bay – Offshore Wave Climate and Extremes” Report EX 1934 June 1989 2 Hydraulics Research “Wind-Wave Data Collection and Analysis for Milford on Sea” Report EX 1979 September 1989 3 Nicholls RJ “The Stability of the Shingle Beaches in the Eastern half of Christchurch Bay” PhD Thesis Dept of Civil Engineering, University of Southampton, 1985 4 Hague RC “UK South Coast Shingle Study, Joint Probability Assessment”, HR Resport SR315, 1992 5 HR Wallingford “Naish Beach Coast Protection Scheme” Report EX3302, 1995 6 Barton ME, 1973, The degradation of the Barton Clay Cliffs of Hampshire Quarterly Journal of Engineering Geology Vol 6 7 Tyehurst MF, 1991 Chewton Bunny Outfall Coast Protection Works Proof of Evidence Section C 8 MAFF 1993, Project Appraisal Guidance Notes 9 Bray MJ, Hooke JM & Carter DJ, 1994, Tidal information; Improving the Undersanding of Relative sea level Rise on the South Coast of England 10 Ball JH, Clark MJ, Collins MB, Gao S, Ingham A, Ulph A, 1991 “The Economic Consequences of Sea Level Rise on the Central South Coast of England” Report to MAFF 11 Penning Rousel EC, Green CH, ThompsonPM, Coker AM, Tunstall SM, Parker DJ, 1992, “The Economics of Coastal Management” 12 Alluvial Mining 1994, Southampton Water Marine Geophysical/Geotechnical Site Invetigation, Coastal Geophysics report no: 1481 13 HR Wallingford “Research into “Soft” Methods of Coast Protection” Report SR 426, 1995 14 Barton ME and Coles BE, 1984, The Characteritics and rates of the various slope degradation processes in the Barton Clay Cliffs of Hampshire 15 Barton ME and Thompson RI, 1985, Seepage Characteristics and Landsliding of the A3 Zone of the Barton Beds FIGURES APPENDICES Appendix 1: Research and Monitoring Programme 1 Beach and Hydrographic Surveys 2 Sediment Analysis 3 Wave Climate Studies 3.1 Offshore Wave Hindcasting 3.2 Wave Refraction Modelling 3.3 Wind and Wave Recording 3.4 Design Water Level Appendix II: Hydraulic Model Studies 1 Assessment of Existing Conditions 1.1 Shingle/Sand beach 1.2 Rock Revetment 1.3 Junction of revetment and shingle beach 1.4 Design of Beach Recharge and New Structures 1.5 Proposed beach profiles Appendix III: Benefit Cost Tables Appendix IV: Capital Assets At Risk APPENDIX 1: RESEARCH AND MONITORING PROGRAMME 1 Beach and Hydrographic Surveys An extensive programme of monitoring was commenced in 1988 when regular topographic and hydrographic surveys of Christchurch Bay began. Routine beach surveys are now carried out quarterly and a hydrographic survey along the same survey lines is carried out annually. A total of 27 profiles are surveyed at approximately 200300m intervals between Milford on Sea and Highcliffe, on each survey. Additional spot height surveys have been carried out at various locations within the study area. The data has been stored and analysed by a PC based spreadsheet package which allows volumetric changes to be calculated and provides a means of comparing several surveys simultaneously. Typical results from the monitoring programme are shown in Figure 11. The beach surveys have built up a clear picture of the response of beaches since 1988 and the predominant processes have been clearly identified by the studies. 2 Sediment Analysis Sediment sampling and size grading analysis of the beach material has been carried out and a comparison of the recent data has been made with earlier academic studies of the beach sediments. The recently sampled grain size distribution on which the design of the physical model and the beach recharge have been based are shown in Figure 10. 3 Wave Climate Studies A wave climate study has been carried out to identify extreme wave conditions within Christchurch Bay. The studies have been broken down into the following elements: 3.1 Offshore Wave Hindcasting Wind records from Portland have been used to calculate extreme offshore wave spectra, for a range of directions and return periods (Hydraulics Research 1989b). 3.2 Wave Refraction Modelling The complex bathymetry of Christchurch Bay results in varied wave conditions at the shoreline. Wave refraction models have been run for a range of locations offshore of Naish and Barton beaches and design wave conditions have been established from these studies (HR, 1995). 3.3 Wind and Wave Recording A wave rider buoy was deployed in Christchurch Bay from 1987-1989 and an anemometer based on the shoreline. An extreme wave analysis and a wind wave correlation have been carried out to supplement the offshore wave hindcasting studies (Hydraulics Research, 1989a). 3.4 Design Water Levels The design water levels used in the assessment of the effectiveness of the proposed renourishment and the existing beach have been derived from the following sources: (i) (ii) (iii) Field measurements during recent storms: Previous academic research on storm surges in the area The MAFF UK South Coast Shingle Study, Joint Probability Assessment. Recent studies by Hague (1992) have tabled joint probabilities of waves and tides for a number of sites along the south coast of the UK. The predictions for Christchurch Bay have been derived from tidal records at Portsmouth. This is clearly not entirely satisfactory with respect to the distance between the sites and the interference of the Isle of Wight, which may well affect south westerly storm surges. The data is also intended to provide conditions at the centre of the bay. At the ends of the bay the exposure will change and hence so may correlations. The simple relationship derived for tidal levels from Christchurch Bay to Portsmouth seems a little tenuous. The report also notes that extreme data prediction is based upon a limited number of extreme positive surges. The storms of 13-17 December 1989 are considered in the report and a surge of 0.72m is suggested for Hurst Spit with a peak water level of 1.6m ODN. This clearly conflicts with other local measured data. The 12 year data set interestingly shows only one event with a static water level higher than 1.4m ODN during the whole of the period. No records show water levels above 1.6m ODN. This compares with the local records by Nichols (1985) and NFDC who have recorded static water levels as high as 2.3m ODN, and water levels above 1.5m ODN on at least three occasions during that same period. Joint probabilities of waves and tides in Christchurch Bay have been calculated by Hague (1992). The deep water wave conditions used by Hague are based upon hindcast data derived from an earlier study (HR 1989a) in conjunction with the Hurst Spit project. Bearing in mind the lack of long term site specific data and the relative location of Naish Beach to the tidal data gathering site, the predictions are clearly open to question. The water level conditions used for the design of the beach replenishment, on the basis of local measurements would therefore appear to represent an over design if Hague’s data is valid. The wave data used for the design of the stabilization scheme corresponds with Hague’s data, but the extreme water levels tested are somewhat more severe. The measured extremes however, perhaps represent more appropriate and more reliable design conditions. It would therefore seem prudent to adopt a design water level of 1.87m ODN together with the 1:1 year storm, or the 1:100 year storm at MHWS, or a combination of waves and water levels lying between these two limits. This range of conditions should satisfy a conservation design, allowing for an appropriate factor of safety within the design. A design scheme life of 20 years, in conjunction with a nominal 5mm/year increase in sea level rise will increase the design water levels by approximately 100mm during the life of the scheme. The conditions tested in the model are therefore close to the design condition plus a factor of safety, by the end of the scheme life. A radio tide gauge and weather station was installed in the lee of Hurst Spit during 1990. This instrumentation transmits data to the Council Offices at Lymington, where on line computer analysis of the data is carried out and data is stored. As the data set increases in size, it will provide much better statistically valid local predictions of extreme water levels. Analysis of this information will be incorporated into the post construction monitoring programme. APPENDIX II: HYDRAULIC MODEL STUDIES 1 Assessment of Existing Conditons A series of preliminary model tests were carried out to provide an assessment of the threshold of damage for the existing beach and structures. The results of these tests are summarized below. 1.1 Shingle/sand beach The existing beach will not provide protection to the cliffs from a storm with a probability of a 1:1 year return period along the whole of its length without extensive erosion. At present the beaches at Highcliffe to provide some sediment feed to Naish and Barton beach, although the rate of transport along the toe of the rock armour is relatively slow. It seems likely that the beach will continue to become more and more depleted, due to the accelerated rate of scour in front of the cliffs if the existing beach and groyne plan shape layout at Highcliffe is maintained. In this instance the supply of beach material to Naish beach will be reduced and the proposed replenishment will not perform optimally. The sea defence at Barton will also become vulnerable to undermining and will become unstable as a result. 1.2 Rock Revetment The existing 1550m length of rock revetment at Barton on Sea is of an appropriate geometry to protect the land on its leeward side from wave attack. The stability performance of the rock armour is adequate under the design conditions. The structure is however at risk from deep seated slip planes within the cliffs and would benefit from the dynamic toe weighting that would be introduced by a shingle beach. 1.3 Junction of Revetment and Shingle Beach The problematic interface between the rock armour and the shingle beach results in a weak junction. The current rates of erosion at this junction are unacceptable. The rate of transport of shingle along the toe of the revetment to the west of the junction at Highcliffe is slower than along the open beach. There will always therefore be a natural shortfall of material at this junction. 2 Design of the Beach Recharge and New Structures A range of possible renourishment options were examined in the model, together with several alternative types of rock structure to link the replenishment with the existing defences (HR, 1995). 2.1Proposed Beach Profiles The wave climate along the length of the beach recharge frontage is very similar. If the renourishment is to stabilize the cliff toe it must prevent green water overtopping of the beach crest, which results in toe erosion. The crest level of the renourished beach must therefore be above the level of maximum run up during the design storm. Alternatively, the crest width must be both sufficiently high and wide to allow wave events which exceed the crest to restrict erosion. The test programme has identified an appropriate crest level along the length of the beach. The design renourishment profiles are shown in the drawings. The hydraulic model tests have identified that a crest level of 3m ODN will be exceeded infrequently by green water under any of the combinations of waves and water levels tested, but will provide sufficient energy to occasionally wash the toe of the cliffs and so maintain clean exposure of the important stratigraphic sequence. The model tests have identified threshold geometry conditions beyond which the shingle beach and cliff toe will be vulnerable under the design storm. The design profiles are based upon beach renourishment with sediment of similar grading to that which can be produced from the Southampton Water capital dredging site. The proposed beach renourishment cross section has a crest level of +3m ODN, with a crest width of 10m. The proposed crest levels for the renourishment are lower than the maximum predicted run up levels for any of the conditions tested and occasional washing of the cliff toe will therefore continue. The longshore transport tests and beach mathematical models have suggested that the longshore transport rates will be essentially the same as those occurring at present. Appendix III: Benefit Cost Tables Appendix IV: Capital Assets At Risk