Comprehensive analysis of intensive silvopastoral
Transcription
Comprehensive analysis of intensive silvopastoral
Comprehensive analysis of intensive silvopastoral systems (ISPS) in Colombia (case studies) Ernesto Reyes Montoya agri benchmark Pictures from SPS taken by WAP film team Cali, Colombia Ernesto Reyes M. 09.10.2014 Assessment conducted by four institutions agri benchmark Network Thünen Institute of Farm Economics CIPAV Centre for Research on Sustainable Agricultural Production Systems FEDEGAN Colombian Cattle Ranching Farmers Association Economic studies Unit World Animal Protection Page 2 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS Content 1. Developing the assessment 2. Methodological approach 3. Preliminary results 4. Conclusions and next steps Page 3 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS 1. Developing the assessment agri benchmark and FEDEGAN evaluated farms with the ISPS component (2010) • A more complex approach was needed The ISPS project was exploring for a monitoring system for evaluating results (2012-2013) • agri benchmark, CIPAV, FEDEGAN and World Animal Protection explored possibilitites to provide assessment 3 case studies selected, adopting intensive ISPS (2013-14) Page 4 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS • 2 regions • 3 Prod. Systems • Beef finishing • Dual purpose • Tropical dairy 1. Developing the assessment – Describing the regions 550 million hectares in Latin America (2007) 27% of area 38 million hectares in Colombia Page 5 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS 1. Developing the assessment – Describing the regions La Luisa Beef finishing Petequi Dual purpose Hatico Tropical dairy Codazzi, Cesar Jamundí, Valle Cerrito, Valle 960 1.500 1.500 Palm oil - Cotton Sugar cane Sugar cane Cow-calf Beef finishing Dual purpose Tropical dairy Dual purpose Tropical dairy Region Regional annual precipitation (mm) Main regional crops Main regional livestock production Systems Page 6 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS Content 1. Developing the assesment 2. Methodological approach Page 7 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS 2. Methodological approach Gathering information Farm records SPS project Defining baseline scenarios Farm visits Modelling ISPS adoption Historical farm data + expert panel Preliminary results Page 8 09.10.2014 CIPAV Research activities Expert panels Farmers, advisors, researchers External quality check protocol Animal and forage Production Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS Historical farm data on SPS investments FEDEGAN Economic Studies Unit Production systems economics Animal Welfare AW expertise Prof. Broom Cambridge Univ. Environment 2. Methodological approach - Constant beef price and weaners price - Constant milk price 1. We have been modeling ISPS - Constant variable cost/unit 2. Using historical + research data - Cash flow gaps were covered by bank loans 3. Validated by advisors, researchers and farmers 4. Crosschecking with regional and national studies 5. Results are verified by an external protocol of quality data Ten years Page 9 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS Year 9 Year 8 Year 7 Year 6 Current farm situation Year 5 Year 4 Year 2 Year 1 Baseline Baseline Reference situation Year 3 Period of SPS adoption and investments 2. Methodological approach – Challenges a. Conventional grazing vs. SPS grazing b. Overlapping animal production on conventional and SPS c. Balancing: feed requirements and rations, # of animals and forage + grass production d. Agroforestal production (timber) Page 10 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS SPS Timber production Tress Shrubs Grass SPS Tress Shrubs Grass SPS Tress Shrubs Grass SPS Tress Shrubs Grass SPS Tress Shrubs SPS production Grass 2. Methodological approach – Challenges Conventional grazing Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 10 Forage production Animal requirements Stocking rates Page 11 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS Number of animals Feeding rations Improved animal production performance 2. Methodological approach - Challenges 3 Land use - p 2013 2014 2015 Conventional grazing (No. Of 0 Barbecho 0 0 Pastoreo 132 122 112 65 65 65 Zonas non-productivas Camino y instalaciones 3 3 3 SSP Graminea (Guinea) 0 10 20 SPS adopted (No. Of has.) SSP (Leucaena) 0 10 20 SSP Arboles ano 1 0 10 10 10 SSP Arboles ano 2 0 SSP Arboles ano 3 0 SSP Arboles ano 4 0 0 SSP Arboles ano 5 SSP Arboles ano 6 0 SSP Arboles ano 7 0 SSP Arboles ano 8 0 has.) 2016 0 92 65 3 40 40 10 10 10 2017 0 72 65 3 60 60 10 10 10 10 Timber planted (No. Of has.) 2018 0 52 65 3 80 80 10 10 10 10 10 2019 0 32 65 3 100 100 10 10 10 10 10 10 2020 0 12 65 3 120 120 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 2021 0 0 57 3 140 140 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 2022 0 0 57 3 140 140 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 2020 0,00 18,89 0,00 0,00 59,50 53,20 2021 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 59,50 53,20 28,30 2022 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 59,50 53,20 4 Crop Yield in Fresh Matter 2013 2014 Conventional (tons/ha) Barbecho Pastoreo Zonas non-productivas Camino y instalaciones SSP Graminea (Guinea) SSP (Leucaena) SSP Arboles ano 1 SSP Arboles ano 2 SSP Arboles ano 3 SSP Arboles ano 4 SSP Arboles ano 5 SSP Arboles ano 6 SSP Arboles ano 7 SSP Arboles ano 8 Page 12 09.10.2014 0,00 18,89 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 2015 0,00 0,00 18,89 18,89 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 59,50 59,50 53,20 53,20 0,00 0,00 ISPS 0,00(tons/ha) 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS 2016 0,00 18,89 0,00 0,00 59,50 53,20 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 2017 0,00 18,89 0,00 0,00 59,50 53,20 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 2018 2019 0,00 0,00 18,89 18,89 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 59,50 59,50 53,20 53,20 0,00 17,70 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 TIMBER (tons/ha) 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 17,70 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 28,30 17,70 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 17,70 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 2. Methodological approach – animal welfare Measured welfare potential (resources) + welfare outcomes • Physical / health and behaviour • Body condition • Tick count • Presence of injury/disease/lameness • Heat stress • Water and feed quality and availability • Natural behaviour (forage, exercise, rest) • Access to shade at hottest part of day Animal welfare field assessment protocol Page 13 09.10.2014 • Fearfulness / ease of approach (relevant to handling) Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS 2. Methodological approach – animal welfare Record if data collected where appropriate for herd. • Mortality rate • Weight change per month per animal • Milk yield per animal per day • Use of painful treatments such as castration, tail-docking, de-horning, disbudding, hot-iron branding • Therapeutic or prophylactic use of antibiotics or other antimicrobials or anti-parasitic drugs • Mastitis and lameness Measures from farm records Page 14 09.10.2014 • Calving interval and fertility, calving rate Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS Content 1. Developing the assesment 2. Methodological approach 3. Preliminary results Page 15 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS 3. Preliminary results – Main changes in farm production La Luisa Beef finishing Petequi Dual purpose Hatico Tropical dairy Number of has. on conventional grazing Year 0 - baseline 132 30 135 Number of has. In SPS year 5 80 14 50 Number of has. In SPS year 10 140 14 94 Number of adult animals/year year 0 - baseline 71* 35 230 Number of adult animals year 10 710* 58 307 Yield/animal baseline from 180 to 450 kg beef in 2,0 years 2.346 kg Milk per cow/year 2.644 kg milk per cow/year Yield/animal year 10 from 180 to 450 kg beef in 1,2 years 3.084 kg milk per cow/year 3.010 kg milk per cow/year * Animals sold/year Page 16 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS 3. Preliminary results – Feed production and land productivity 30 7.000 Feed production (tons dry matter per ha) Land productivity (kg meat or milk per ha) 6.000 5.000 20 4.000 15 3.000 10 2.000 5 1.000 La Luisa - Beef finishing Page 17 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS Petequi - Dual purpose El Hatico - Tropical dairy SPS year 9 SPS year 8 SPS year 7 SPS year 6 SPS year 5 SPS year 4 SPS year 3 SPS year 2 SPS year 1 Baseline SPS year 9 SPS year 8 SPS year 7 SPS year 6 SPS year 5 SPS year 4 SPS year 3 SPS year 2 SPS year 1 Baseline SPS year 9 SPS year 8 SPS year 7 SPS year 6 SPS year 5 SPS year 4 SPS year 3 SPS year 2 SPS year 1 0 Baseline 0 Kg. meat or milk / ha Tons dry matter/ ha 25 3. Preliminary results – Cost and profit 120 700 600 Whole farm costs ('000 US$) Whole farm costs ('000 US$) Whole farm returns ('000 US$) Whole farm returns ('000 US$) Whole farm returns ('000 US$) Whole farm costs ('000 US$) 600 100 500 Profit Profit Profit 500 80 400 400 60 300 300 40 200 200 La Luisa - Beef finishing Dual purpose ElPetequi Hatico -- Tropical dairy Calculations include interest on liabilities and exclude interest on savings Page 18 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS SPS year 9 SPS year 9 SPS year 9 SPS year 8 SPS year 8 SPS year 8 SPS year 7 SPS year 7 SPS year 7 SPS year 6 SPS year 6 SPS year 6 SPS year 5 SPS SPS year year 55 SPS year 4 SPS SPS year year 44 SPS year 3 SPS SPS year year 33 SPS year 2 SPS SPS year year 22 SPS year11 SPS SPS year year 1 000 Baseline Baseline Baseline 20 100 100 3. Preliminary results – Profit – 10 years 300.000 La Luisa - Beef finishing 250.000 Petequi - Dual purpose 200.000 El Hatico - Tropical dairy 150.000 100.000 50.000 0 SPS: Investment and maintenance costs per ha (US $ / ha) -50.000 US $ / year Calculations include interest on liabilities and exclude interest on savings Page 19 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS Water and fences Seeding and planting * Advisory service Maintenance Total Year 9 Year 8 Year 7 Year 6 Year 5 Year 4 Year 3 Year 2 Year 1 Baseline -100.000 La Luisa Beef F. Petequi D.Purpose Hatico T.Dairy 648 1.713 108 224 2.692 648 2.343 108 89 3.187 492 2.385 108 93 3.079 * incl. soil preparation, fertilisation, plant protection, irrigation (Petequi/Hatico) 3. Preliminary results – Profit + timber production La Luisa – Beef finishing + Eucalyptus Profit (US $/year) Profit (excl. timber returns - Us $/year) 350.000 300.000 250.000 Timber 200.000 150.000 100.000 50.000 0 Baseline Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 -50.000 -100.000 Calculations include interest on liabilities and exclude interest on savings Page 20 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Year 15 Year 16 Year 17 Year 18 3. Preliminary results – Animal welfare Farm El Hatico, Cauca valley Feeding Breed Environment Behaviour Health Good quality, green forage eg Leucaena Clean water available ad libitum. Max distance to water: 150m Breed suited to local environment – Lucerna (an indigenous breed) Animals were selected for short hair, good walking ability, compact size and good lifetime yield. Good space in paddocks Trees and shrubs - shade for all animals at all times of the day Dry, comfortable areas for lying Bright, alert and responsive Body condition ranged from 3-4 (average 3.5) Healthy and not lame No signs of heat stress 80% had small population of ticks Petequi, Cauca valley Good quality, green forage eg Leucaena Clean water available ad libitum. Max distance to water: 150m Animals suited to the local environment – dairy cross breed Some Holstein genetics less suited to the high temperature Good space in paddocks Trees and shrubs provided sufficient shade for all animals at all times of the day Dry, comfortable areas for lying La Luisa, Cesar Valley Good quality, green forage eg Leucaena Clean water available ad libitum. Max distance to water: 250m Animals were suited to the local environment – beef cattle cross Good space in paddocks Trees, shrubs provided sufficient shade for all animals at all times of the day. Dry, comfortable areas for lying Control farm, Cesar valley Medium quality forage to meet most but not all nutritional needs Water ad libitum but not clean or fresh Animals suited to local environment Good space in paddock Few trees or other shade provision Dry, comfortable lying areas. Freedom of movement Could exhibit natural behaviour: grazing, walking, lying, ruminating, positively interact with other animals Animals could choose their environment Animals were calm,, no fearful response. Flight zone: 0-2 metres Freedom of movement Could exhibit natural behaviour: grazing, walking, lying, ruminating, positively interact with other animals Animals could choose their environment Animals were calm,, no fearful response Flight zone: 0-3 metres Freedom of movement Could exhibit natural behaviour Positive interactions with other animals Opportunity to choose natural environment Calm, no fearful response. Flight zone: 0-2 metres Freedom of movement and could exhibit natural behaviour including grazing, walking, lying, ruminating, positively interact with other animals Limited opportunity to choose natural environment (i.e. shade) Fearful – flight zone 8 metres Page 21 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS Bright, alert and responsive Body condition 3-4 (average 3.5) Healthy and not lame Small no. animals with slight signs of heat stress at hottest time of the day 50% had moderate tick infestation. Bright, alert and responsive Body condition 3-4 (average 3.5) Healthy and not lame No signs of heat stress V low presence of flies, ticks Bright, alert and responsive Body condition 2-2.5 (average 2.5) Very low presence of flies. 3. Preliminary results – Environmental a. b. c. CO2 Emissions are being calculated (Enteric fermentation, manure and feed). Preliminary results under revision (applying regional coeficients). Carbon sequestration not yet reflected on the study. Carbon seq. Scenarios will be applied. Organic Matter in Soil (T C Ha-1) iSPS 127 Bio-diversity Water use (animal requirements) is being Bird richness calculated. Preliminar results under revision d. Soil quality (organic matter) e. Biodiversity Page 22 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS Control 110 Dung Beetle Ant richness iSPS 45 8 123 IP 28 5 55 Content 1. Developing the assesment 2. Methodological approach 3. Preliminary results 4. Conclusions and next steps Page 23 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS 4. Preliminary conclusions 1. Results provide evidence for the ability of SPS to create ‘triple-win’ solutions: (a) Productivity and profitability gains (b) Environmental improvement © Animal welfare benefits 2. The overall uptake of SPS has been limited by the level of investments, access to capital, and investment risk. 3. As intensive SPS are management-intensive, capacity building (advisory services) is a key component of successful delivery. 4. Targeted investment early in establishment of SPS, and an effective capacity building program, can provide increased potential for success. 5. The benefits from such investment are clear and this is an area where international and local policy mechanisms, donors and governments can play a crucial role Page 24 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS 4. Next steps 1. In order to better define critical periods and main cash flow needs, a detailed analysis of level of investment is required, as well as for risk evaluation. 2. At local level, will be necessary to increase coverage of case studies (SPS Colombian project), where regional and production system differences and farmers reactions, can be measured and illustrated when adopting SPS. 3. It will be also essential to analyze the impact of financial and incentive measures, when adopting SPS (e.g. SPS Colombian projects). 4. At regional level (L. America), would also be important to increase coverage of analysis in order to compare other approaches of SPS (e.g. timber + livestock). Page 25 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS Thanks... Ernesto Reyes – agri benchmark Livestock Systems Manager ernesto.reyes@telefónica.net agri benchmark Network Thünen Institute of Farm Economics CIPAV Centre for Research on Sustainable Agricultural Production Systems FEDEGAN Colombian Cattle Ranching Farmers Association Economic studies Unit World Animal Protection Pictures have been taking during the field visits/CIPAV’s file Page 26 09.10.2014 Ernesto Reyes M. Comprehensive analysis of SPS Farm workers Fernando Uribe – CIPAV Luis Solarte – CIPAV Harold Niño – Advisor La Luisa Leonardo Manzano – Advisor La Luisa Molina’s family – El Hatico Lola Izquierdo – agri benchmark