From Liberal Continentalism to Neoconservatism
Transcription
From Liberal Continentalism to Neoconservatism
From Liberal Continentalism to Neoconservatism: North American Free Trade and the Politics of the C.D. Howe Institute ALAN ERNST A growing body of literature has focused on the "new business agenda"and its rise to preeminence within Canada. This neoconservative economic strategy, it is argued, breaks with the combination of Keynesianism and continentalism which marked Canada's post-war economic strategy, not to mention the more nationalist industrial policies flirted with by Canadian governments during the late 1970s and 1980s. William Carroll, for example, links the rise of business activism and neoconservatism to the recomposition of finance capital in Canada and abroad in the past two decades. The economic and political power of "money capital" - financial and rentier interests with investments in the United States - has grown, while "productive capital" has been internationalized.! David Langille also roots the emergence of the new business agenda in the 1970s. He sees this capitalist offensive crystallized in the Canada-US Free Trade Agreement - as a response to the profits squeeze forced on capital by a Studies in Political Economy 39, Autumn 1992 --~._------_._.--- 109 Studies in Political Economy relatively militant working class and a state which "appeared to be growing beyond its controt.'? Notwithstanding the differences in these analyses of the "new business agenda," neither Carroll nor Langille, nor other observers of Canadian neoconservatism, have systematically traced and examined changes in capitalist strategies in Canada. Many questions need to be more fully addressed. To what extent does neoconservatism and the North American Free Trade Agreement represent a departure from capital's post-war accumulation strategy? Was there a marked shift from "liberal continentalism" to neoconservatism, or was there a gradual drift? And, what precisely composed this transition? It is always difficult to gauge with precision a change in the strategic orientations of the capitalist class. One option is to monitor changes in state policies and then suggest how these reflect the orientation of the dominant capitalist class. Yet another option, one which is relatively neglected in Canada, is to trace the history and policy discourse of "think tanks" closely tied to the leading fractions of capital. The study of a policy think tank is particularly useful in tracing the shifts in capital's strategic thinking in the contemporary period, because, as Patricia Marchak notes, corporate funded think tanks have been important in providing the ideological framework for the restructuring of the global economy,3 In their work on Canadian parties, Brodie and Jenson also note the influence of the Economic Council of Canada, the C.D.Howe Institute, and the Fraser Institute in proclaiming the new "neoliberal" orthodoxy.f Given the number of policy institutes vying for capital's attention with somewhat varying strategies and discourses, the analysis of the C.D.Howe Institute's policy discourse undertaken here cannot exclusively reveal the "business agenda." The C.D;Howe Institute (CDHI), however, has been one of the most influential think tanks in Canada over the past few decades. It has existed in different incarnations since 1958, and therefore offers a longer historical perspective on business thinking than other such institutions. Moreover, unlike its competitors, the CDHI focuses on short-term analyses of federal government economic policy. 110 Ernst/C.D. Howe Institute It publishes an annual Policy Review and Outlook written by Institute staff, which provides a detailed and coherent record of the evolution of its thinking. To help measure changes in business strategy over the past two decades, and to give us some indication of where business may be heading in the 1990s, this paper will focus on the evolution of the CDHI policy discourse in the area of economic policy, particularly macroeconomic and trade policy, as summarized in CDHI annual reviews between 1974 and 1991. It is the contention of this paper that, although some sections of Canadian capital have always been sympathetic to continental free trade and free market policies, the changes in the international and Canadian political economies in the early 1980s gave added support to these views. One register of this shift is the evolution in the CDHI's policy discourse from 'liberal continentalism' to 'neoconservatism'. Liberal continentalism represents the economic strategy underpinning state policy from the 1940s to the early 1970s. David Wolfe best summarizes this strategy, the components of which include: the free flow of resources and capital investment between Canada and the US, tariff protection for branch plant industry, and macroeconomic policies aimed at stabilizing employment and managing total demand. While sceptical about interventionist policies which influence the direction of investment, liberal continentalism evinces a preference for "liberal" social policies based on actuarial principles, private delivery, and means tests.> The new business agenda of neoconservatism is characterized by a more explicit and vocal advocacy of free market policies. According to John Warnock the neoconservative strategy includes: free trade and the removal of non-tariff barriers to trade; a macroeconomic policy which is focused on tackling inflation and managing the money supply; and the removal or reduction of "rigidities" within the market, created by government regulations, state enterprises, and social programs." The changes in CDHI economic policy will be traced below, but first a brief discussion of the role of policy institutes and a profile of the C.D. Howe Institute will be presented. 111 Studies in Political Economy Policy Institutes, Policy Formation & Neoconservatism The role of policy institutes in developing capitalist economic strategies has been most systematically studied in the United States. In his study of neoconservative American policy institutes, Joseph Peschek emphasizes their role in defining problems, shaping public opinion, and helping set the policy agenda. He portrays policy institutes as "active agents linked to power blocs and policy currents, reflecting and in turn, shaping ideological shifts and political regroupings in a time of momentous economic transfermarion."? Peschek suggests they perform four roles for their particular constituency: (1) they help develop a policy consensus within a class or class fraction, by facilitating regular meetings or roundtables between the various business, bureaucratic, and academic leaders comprising the institute's membership, as well as between institute members and state elites; (2) they provide a particular analysis of the problems facing the domestic and international political economy and offer an alternative policy agenda, which is then disseminated through institute publications, articles and editorials submitted to news media, media coverage of institute events, conferences, and so forth; (3) they provide governments and political parties with specific and often detailed policy proposals and advice; (4) they serve as a training ground for prospective political leaders and policy makers.f Peschek details how neoconservative institutes such as the American Enterprise Institute and Heritage Foundation emerged in the early 1970s in the context of the mounting international and domestic crises facing US capital. These think tanks allied with right-wing elements in the Republican Party to articulate and promote neoconservative policies. In the process they managed to put "corporate liberalism," which had dominated the post-war period, on the defensive, and succeeded in pushing its proponents, such as the prestigious Brookings Institution and the Democratic Party, to the right. 112 Ernst/C.D. Howe Institute In one of the few examinations of the impact of policy institutes in Canada, Leslie Pal corroborates Peschek's thesis that the emergence of think tanks is linked to economic crisis and the desire of business to harness the interventionist state to its advantage. Pal concludes that think tanks like the CDHI, Fraser Institute, and Institute for Research on Public Policy "have enlarged the terms of political discourse" and "sensitize and organize the perception of public problems" although he notes that "their influence should not be overestlmated."? Although Peschek and Pal assert the importance of policy institutes, they do not show precisely where policy institutes fit into the policy process; nor do they compare their influence on public discourse and policy with that exercised by political parties or business interest groups. The work of political scientists, such as Paul Pross and Evert Lindquist, is helpful in this respect. Pross, in his work on Canadian interest groups, develops the concept of "policy community" to describe those whose interest in a particular policy field may be translated into influence over policy content. Policy communities consist of a "sub-government" of state officials and interest group representatives regularly involved in the making and implementation of policy, as well as an "attentive public" of external interest groups, policy institutes, and news media. According to Pross, the "attentive public" is not at the centre of decision-making, but it plays a "vital role" in policy development. It puts forth alternative proposals, new policy approaches, and serves as a "perpetual policy review" process.t? Lindquist argues that policy institutes can have a forceful impact on the policy process if they are linked in "advocacy coalitions" to like-minded interest groups and state officials in the "sub-government." Lindquist suggests that these links, particularly to state officials, are stronger during "regime shifts" when "major failures occur during routine decision, when incremental decision-making is deadlocked, or when policy makers re-focus attention to new policy issues."!' He points to the Canadian government's shift to free trade as one such case. 113 Studies in Political Economy Pross and Lindquist suggest, therefore, that the importance of policy institutes must be qualified. Their agenda setting role is shared with, and contingent on, their links with other political actors, and their policy influence may be more episodic than Peschek suggests. As Jane Jenson reminds us, the ability of a policy institute or "policy current" to shape discourse and influence government is not class neutral and is not unbounded. The "universe of political discourse" ultimately reflects the specific nature and history of social relations in a particular social formation.P This confers an advantage on policy institutes linked to the dominant class and accounts for the 'unequal structure of representation' within policy communities. The C.D. Howe Institute: A Brief Profile Studying a policy institute such as the C.O. Howe Institute is helpful, therefore, in tracing the evolution of one strategic orientation of Canadian capital. The com is the oldest and arguably the most prestigious of Canadian economic policy institutes. It was established as the Private Planning Association of Canada (PPAC) in 1958 and then reconstituted in 1973 as the C.O. Howe Institute, named after the Liberal "Minister of Everything" who was the prime mover behind Ottawa's continentalist economic policies between 1945 and 1957. The com sees itself as an "independent" research body specializing in short-term analysis of Canadian macroeconomic and trade policy. However, the Toronto based think tank's membership and philosophy reveal its continentalist pedigree and scepticism about state intervention and economic nationalism. The COHI's membership, both past and present, has included a broad cross-section of Canada's corporate elite. Its membership includes a strong representation from finance and real estate, transportation and utilities, and resources or 'staples' interests - the dominant sections of Canadian capital according to various political economists.P These interests have been viewed as the primary proponents and beneficiaries of Canada's continentalist economic strategy. Manufacturing interests have typically been less prevalent. Canadian membership in the original organization, the PPAC, was dominated by the pulp and paper industry, finance and insurance, and 114 Ernst/C.D. Howe Institute representatives of American branch plants.14 Currently the CDHI has over 300 members, including representatives from 51 of Canada's top 100 firms. Membership on the Board of Directors is heavily skewed toward what Carroll labels "money capital." Of the CDHrs twenty eight current Directors, twenty three are senior corporate executives: four from the banks and insurance companies, nine from resource interests, three from commercial and real estate interests, two manufacturing executives, and two investment dealers. IS The early predisposition of the CDHI toward continentalism, and a "pragmatic" but not laissez faire state, is reflected in its first and only statement of principles, published in its inaugural Policy Review and Outlook in 1974: (a) the national interest should override regional or sectoral interests; (b) Canada's best interests lie in an open and nondiscriminatory international trading environment; (c) market forces should operate as freely as possible, and government intervention should supplement, rather than supplant these forces; (d) distributional issues involve moral judgments beyond the scope of the CDm, but distributional decisions have consequences for incentives, which may distort individual and group behaviour and the working of market forces, and (e) economic planning is essential, but "the consequences of intervention for all sectors of the economy should be recognized,"16 This is a rather eclectic mix of principles. Some are explicitly neoliberal, while the others can apply as easily to liberal continentalism or social democracy. As we shall see, the neoliberal aspects of the CDm became increasingly prevalent in the late 1970s and early 1980s, as it drifted toward neoconservatism. Policy analysis forms the core of the C.D.Howe Institute's work. The Institute has a staff of approximately six economists, who are supplemented by external academic and business economists, and occasionally political scientists, for specific projects. In addition to its annual Policy Review and Outlook, the 115 Studies in Political Economy CDHI publishes about ten to fifteen policy studies and commentaries a year on subjects such as monetary policy, inflation, government spending and foreign economic relations. Although sales of individual publications rarely exceed two thousand, CDHI publications occasionally receive wide coverage in the national media.l? The Institute also maintains three standing committees which draw from the senior ranks of business and the professions: the Howe Institute Policy Analysis Committee, the Canadian-American Committee, and the British-North American Committee. They serve as sounding boards for the Institute's research and views and provide opportunities for CDm members to meet one another as well as colleagues from other nations. To help publicize its views and discuss subjects of interest, the CDHI and its committees organize speaking engagements, and conferences involving business people and academics from Canada and abroad. The PPAC and Liberal Continentalism: 1957-1973 To trace fully the policy thought of the C.D. Howe Institute, it is necessary to examine the history and liberal continentalist discourse of its direct antecedents: the Canadian-American Committee (CAC) and the Private Planning Association of Canada (PPAC). The CAC, a group of business executives and a few labour officials from both sides of the border, was founded in 1957. The CAC's Canadian members, under chair Robert Fowler, a pulp and paper company executive, founded the PPAC in 1958. It was co-sponsored by the National Planning Association, an American policy institute. The Canadian organizations emerged in the midst of the first challenges to the Liberal government's post-war continentalism. The 1957 "Pipeline Debate," the subsequent election of the Diefenbaker Conservatives, and the concerns of the Royal Commission on Canada's Economic Prospects' (led by Walter Gordon) about growing American ownership of Canadian industry and resources, all signalled that the progressive integration of the Canadian economy with that of the US would not go unchallenged. The PPAC, however, quickly became known as the "standard bearer for an open Canadian economy."18 The 116 Ernst/C.D. Howe Institute PPAC and its two internal membership committees (the CAC and the Canadian Trade Committee) sponsored studies through the 1960s on global trade liberalization and Canadian-American economic relations. Although many studies were contracted out to university academics, occasional consensus policy statements by its two internal committees give us some sense of PPAC thinking. They suggest a predisposition toward free trade, scepticism about statist industrial policies, and an acceptance of Keynesian macroeconomic policy. As one business journalist noted, by the late 1960s the PPAC could "take some of the credit for the fact that free trade - or freer trade - is now a topic of responsible debate."19 Suspicion of Canadian economic nationalism was apparent in the CAC's founding document, CanadianAmerican Commercial Relations. Emphasizing the benefits Canada gained from close economic ties with the US, it warned that policies which opposed the integrationist trend would mean "further deterioration" in bilateral relations. The CAC aimed to "seek out and reduce the basic causes of friction in US/Canadian relations. "20 This meant, by and large, measures to reduce trade barriers. By 1960, the PPAC began to sponsor studies to examine Canada's commercial policy options: continued reliance on GATT to liberalize trade, bilateral free trade with the United States, or a broader North Atlantic Free Trade Area encompassing European states and North America.e! The circumstances which prompted the PPAC to reconsider Canada's commercial policy were similar to those which occasioned pressures for free trade in the late 1980s. First, American protectionism became a problem for Canada in the late 1950s and early 1960s, as non-tariff barriers were' imposed on Canadian resources, such as lead, zinc, and wheat. More importantly, there were fears that the emerging common market in Europe would eliminate export markets, particularly if Britain were to join. There was also a concern that GATT would not fully resolve these problems because the Kennedy Round talks on multilateral tariff reductions were bogged down in conflict.22 117 - ------------------------~ Studies in Political Economy In the early 1960s, the Canadian-American Committee sponsored several studies on Canada-US free trade. The first, A Canada-United States Free Trade Area: A Survey of Possible Characteristics, written by American economist Sperry Lea, assessed the possible geographic scope, commodity coverage, and institutional structure of a trade agreement.23 The second, A Possible Plan for a Canada-United States Free Trade Arrangement, published in 1965, outlined a trade plan quite similar to the current Canada-US agreement. It received considerable attention in the Canadian press and was supported by such notables as the President of the Toronto Stock Exchange.24 Despite these ongoing studies and their clear preference for freer trade, PPAC policy statements still maintained a cautious stance toward Canada-US free trade and the elimination of Canadian tariffs. A 1963 PPAC statement emphasized that Canada "may be facing a future in which it would be virtually alone in being denied ...ready access to large markets." The statement supported the GATT process for global tariff reductions, but it argued that Europe and the US should disproportionately reduce their tariffs so that "Canadian industry [could] confidently adjust to new trading opportunities. "25 The PPAC further suggested that governments provide financial assistance to help both firms and workers adjust to increased competition. A later policy statement by CAC members, which came on the heels of the controversial 1965 CAC study, was slightly stronger in its support for trade liberalization. It urged the Canadian government to initiate discussions with Britain and the US to explore a broader North Atlantic Free Trade Area. This statement contended that the Kennedy Round of tariff reductions fell short of what was necessary to secure larger markets for Canadian resources and manufactures. Complete tariff elimination, it argued, was necessary to secure markets large enough to realize scale economies for Canadian industry, and to force inefficient manufacturers to rationalize and specialize their operations and product lines. The CAC argued that only minimal policy harmonization would be necessary in a free trade area, although it suggested that some common rules of competition 118 Ernst/C.D. Howe Institute might have to be established. The Committee concluded that Canada and the US shared an interest in increasing peace and prosperity through freer global trade and, therefore, should jointly approach Britain and other European countries to forge a free trade agreement in industrial products and raw materials.26 However, the Committee was not unanimous. In a dissenting statement, again foreshadowing the 1980s free trade debate, Wallace McCutcheon, a former Conservative cabinet minister, expressed concerns that much of Canadian secondary industry might be adversely affected, some of it quite seriously, by the establishment of a free trade area...unless special arrangements were developed to ensure its position in the face of competition from more powerful trade partners.27 To explore the impact of Canadian tariff eliminations on Canadian industry, the PPAC conducted a twelve volume research program financed by the Ford Foundation.28 This series, published between 1967 and 1971, examined the economic impact of free trade on different industrial sectors and regions. Although these studies claimed to objectively assess the impact of free trade, rather than merely "pass judgment" on it, they generally extolled its benefits for the Canadian economy. Where they differed was on the type of free trade arrangement which would offer the most economic benefit. Some studies recommended a bilateral free trade agreement; others recommended a broader North Atlantic area.29 In any case, the PPAC downplayed its advocacy of free trade in the late 1960s, as the Kennedy Round eventually produced significant reductions in international tariffs, and rising Canadian nationalism made free trade more politically untenable.30 Thus, in the late 1960s and early 1970s, the PPAC directed its attention to other aspects of economic policy, but its liberal continentalist leanings were still apparent. A 1966 PPA study of the Pearson government's proposed Canadian Development Corporation found "no evidence on economic grounds" that a state agency was needed to help nurture Canadian enterprises.31 Paralleling this conclusion, 119 Studies in Political Economy A.E. Safarian published The Performance of Foreign-Owned Firms in Canada, which rejected economic nationalist analyses of the impact of foreign ownership on Canadian industry.32 PPAC studies were consistently critical of policy proposals which challenged the continentalist economic order; they were also critical of measures which even modestly challenged the distribution of power and income within Canada. In 1969-70 the PPAC published several studies on tax policy offering a measured critique of the progressive reforms proposed by the Carter Royal Commission on Taxation, and Liberal Finance Minister Edgar Benson's White Paper on tax reform.33 These studies acknowledged that Carter's proposed reforms were "comprehensive and balanced," but concluded that they were "impractical." Howard Ross, for example, argued that the economy was "too delicate and complicated" for such "radical" change. Since radical moves to promote "equity" could jeopardize economic growth, he suggested that the reforms promoted by the Royal Commission and in the White Paper be studied in more detail and be pursued cautiously and slowly,34 Although the PPAC's predisposition toward free trade foreshadowed the COHI's advocacy of bilateral free trade in the mid-1980s, the PPAC differed from its successor in its assessment of macroeconomic and social policy. The PPAC paid little specific attention to these fields. Yet several of the previously discussed trade policy statements and studies emphasized that freer trade must be accompanied by such adjustment measures as expanded unemployment insurance and training assistance for workers and an expansionary full employment policy.3S "The Disappearance or the Status Quo": The CDRI and The Crisis or Liberal Continentalism 1973·1980 In its early years, PPAC rarely ventured outside Canadian commercial policy research and analysis due to its chronic shortage of funds. With only a small research staff and without the means to conduct an ongoing, extensive research program, it often had to solicit federal government contracts for short term policy analysis to pay its bills. By the 1970s, 120 Ernst/C.D. Howe Institute PPAC President Robert Fowler wanted to widen research and policy advocacy beyond commercial policy and permanently transform the organization into a short-term policy analyst of Canadian economic policy. This, he felt, would fill a gap left by the Economic Council of Canada, which was mandated to provide "independent" long-term policy research.36 The PPAC sought permanent funding from the federal government to perform this role but was turned down. It finally found sponsorship in the C.D. Howe Memorial Foundation, a body established in 1961 to commemorate C.D. Howe.37 The Foundation was seeking alternative uses for its $2 million endowment, which had been used to finance scholarships and a biography of Howe, and in 1973 it formally merged with the PPAC to form the C.D. Howe Institute.38 With this infusion of money, the new CDHI was able to hire permanent research staff and finance ongoing policy research. An MIT trained economist from a New York trust company, Carl Beigie, was hired as Executive Director and a number of young Canadian economists were recruited, including Judith Maxwell, who later became Chair of the Economic Council of Canada. In contrast to the PPAC, which was often content to circulate its often long and technical publications to members and federal MPs, under Beigie's directorship the com became an active and mediaconscious policy advocate.39 In fact, the mid to late 1970s was arguably the COHrs most prolific period in terms of publications, conferences, and seminar appearances. The Institute was widely regarded within the media and business community as the "highest profile and most productive" of Canada's think tanks.40 The reconstitution and expansion of the com occurred in a context of economic upheaval. The early 1970s was characterized by growing state intervention, labour turmoil, emerging stagflation and the energy crisis. In Canada, this was the heyday of economic nationalism and social democratic thought. Between 1972 and 1974, the Liberal government, spurred on by NDP pressure, established the Foreign Investment Review Agency, the Canada Development Corporation, and Petro-Canada, and expanded the Unemployment 121 Studies in Political Economy Insurance Program. At the same time, growing concerns in some quarters that government "could no longer manage the economy" led to the establishment of neoconservative think tanks like the Fraser Institute and the American Enterprise Institute.f! These concerns were reflected in the com's early policy reviews. The Disappearance of the Status Quo - the highly symbolic title of the com's first policy review - was a theme running through com policy analyses in the early 1970s. The Institute maintained that the Canadian and international economies were "going through a transition from the stable, predictable years of the 1950s to a new status quo which has yet to be defined." Indeed, com vigourously contended that "Canada has been entirely too complacent about its ability to ride out this transition painlessly," and urged that the time had come to "develop a clear view of what must be done and then to make some hard choices."42 A survey of com policy reviews during this period suggests, however, that the Institute itself was unable to provide this clarity of vision. Although Liberal continentalism remained the dominant element in CORI policy discourse, one can trace a growing tendency toward neoconservatism through to the late 1970s. Furthermore, by 1980, one can identify in com policy discourse a mounting uncertainty about whether the contradictory mixture of traditional liberal continentalism and neoconservatism could resolve Canada's economic ills. In its inaugural policy reviews, the com rejected both traditional Keynesian measures and simple monetary constraint as adequate prescriptions for stagflation. It echoed the emerging belief that governments could no longer spend their way out of a recession, yet also asserted that government spending cuts would only create mass unemployment. In the 1974 review, Carl Beigie and Judith Maxwell noted that once the economy departs from its stable growth path, there are many microeconomic problems facing individual sectors of the economy that cannot be solved by traditional techniques of demand management. So economic policy must venture into the unfamiliar realm of specific supply oriented policies.43 122 Ernst/C.D. Howe Institute Notably, this stance meant a rejection of such widely discussed options as wage and price controls (which Canada was actively considering and would soon implement). The Institute, however, was certainly not quick to jump onto the emerging monetarist bandwagon of monetary restraint and fiscal cutbacks: it rejected monetary restrictions and unemployment insurance cuts as unfair, emphasizing that "the country owes them [the unemployed] an adequate income either from UI, manpower allowances or the welfare system."44 The COHrs supply-side recommendations within this view remained consistent, however, with the earlier liberal continentalism of the PPAC. Indeed, the Institute continued to advocate the pursuit of tariff reductions at home and abroad through multilateral trade negotiations. The com argued that this would improve Canada's competitive position by insuring market access for Canadian exports and forcing the rationalization of Canadian industry. In response to the federal government's FIRA initiative, the Institute emphasized the benefits that foreign capital offered in terms of jobs and investment. It did not explicitly oppose FIRA but argued that it should have "clear guidelines" which would encourage investment but still not jeopardize Canadian sovereignty.45 The 1975 review also questioned some of the new monetarist theories of unemployment. In a brief analysis of the 1971 UI reforms, which were assailed by the Right for their generosity, Judith Maxwell challenged Fraser Institute economists who argued that UI contributed to high unemployment. She concluded that UI "reinforced trends in the job market (job dissatisfaction and labour shortages) but it is wrong to blame the Act for basic imbalances which have boosted unemployment to such high levels."46 At the same time, however, new doubts were raised about traditional policy perspectives, and the Institute retreated from its opposition to wage and price controls and fiscal restraint. To attack inflation, the focus of COHI discourse in the late 1970s, it advocated a "cooperative restraint" program of wage and price controls, an end to inflation indexing to encourage savings and investment, and a "neutral" fiscal 123 Studies in Political Economy policy of tax cuts and modest cuts in government spending.47 The following two com policy reviews portray a further erosion of the modest interventionist stance of liberal continentalism. In 1976, Judith Maxwell, citing Arthur Okun, the Brookings Institute economist who formalized the "equality-efficiency trade-off," argued that "rising expectations" were partly behind deteriorating macroeconomic performance: the rise in personal expectations has escalated to a point where many Canadians believe their particular claim against society is not merely a claim but a moral imperative ... The result is that the standards for reasonable wage and price decisions have been abandoned.48 Although she viewed the rise in expectations as a response to the inequities and insecurities caused by inflation, Maxwell concluded that public sector collective bargaining, which removed market discipline from wage determination, and free spending, vote-seeking politicians were further exacerbating the wage inflation spiral. Despite this emerging shift toward neoconservatism, the COHI's economic analysis in the late 1970s still contained a blend of both neoconservative and Keynesian policies. On the one hand, com called for an end to unsuccessful wage and price controls and strongly advocated "monetary gradualism": on the other, it emphasized that full employment was still an important goal of economic policy, and eschewed major cuts in government spending or cuts in the deficit while unemployment climbed. Nonetheless, the COHI was moving toward the policies of fiscal restraint adopted by governments of all political stripes in the 1980s. The com recommended an evaluation of existing government programs which would weed out obsolete programs, rationalize those that were wasteful, and consolidate those with similar purposes or targets. It called for tax cuts, mainly focusing on regressive sales taxes, but it also recommended limits on tax incentives for business, which it viewed as wastefu1.49 124 Ernst/C.D. Howe Institute The COHI's cautious shift to neoconservatism in the late 1970s could also be seen in two other policy areas, both of which became central to Canadian neoconservatism in the 1980s. In its 1976 Policy Review, the Institute responded to the Economic Council of Canada's recommendation of free trade with the United States by suggesting that "greater openness to international market forces" would increase Canadian productivity, bind Canadian wage gains to productivity increases, and offer "the most effective alternative to a growing trend to government intervention."50 However, the COHI, like the PPAC, did not fully embrace the concept of bilateral free trade. It ultimately concluded that such an arrangement was politically unacceptable because it would entail social dislocation and unemployment.U Similarly, Judith Maxwell suggested that selective social programs might be more "efficient" than universal programs.52 But again, this did not become an integral part of com policy discourse until the 1980s. Modest fiscal and monetary restraint were the evident preoccupations of the com's economic policy discourse between 1977 and 1980. In contrast to its openly neoconservative competitors like the Fraser Institute, com defended social programs like unemployment insurance, called for "innovative" government management rather than radical cuts in government spending, did not view government deficits as inherently bad, and was willing to accept public enterprise and state intervention in the area of regional development. S3 Yet, the COHI also had growing doubts about its "gradualist" approach to economic policy in the late 1970s. These quandaries were illustrated vividly in a 1977 article by Carl Beigie, "The Return of Economic Orthodoxy-Will it Work? ," which suggested a new departure for the intellectual leader of the Institute. Beigie attempted to assess the prospects of policies aiming at gradually restoring "monetary and fiscal discipline" to the economy. He contended that "gradualist" programs had failed to overcome structural rigidities posed by non-discretionary government social programs, rising energy prices, environmental regulations, and the costs of providing economic infrastructure. Although he recognized the economic rationale for many of these rigidities, Beigie 125 Studies in Political Economy concluded that economic stability could only be restored by "speeding up" fiscal and monetary restraint. This could be done, of course, by unilateral action. But, Beigie proposed, as an alternative to such a harsh remedy, a selfdescribed "naive" program of "consultation and concertation" which would convince Canadians of the need to reduce inflation and stimulate investment, and do so without redistributing income to the "rich."S4 In its 1980 policy review, the CDHI reiterated this call for "negotiated restraint." The forecast recession, however, meant that some fiscal expansion was needed. It argued that Canadian governments should invest in capital infrastructure - telecommunications networks and public works - and skills development, which would "provide a base for future productivity gains." The mildly stimulative package, however, should be balanced by efforts to contain increases in the government deficit. Notably, the CDHI recommended that universal social programs be pared down to "tax relief and income assistance only to families who need [it]" - a measure which was now possible because computerization "reduced both the stigma and administrative cost" of "selective" programs. 55 Mounting economic turmoil had obviously upset the traditional ground of liberal continentalism. Yet the ambiguities expressed in Beigie's paper and the 1980 policy review reveal that the CDm had some hesitancy about embracing neoconservatism. The redefining of its corporate identity and policy discourse was the task set for the 1980s. Neoconservatism and North American Free Trade: CDRI in the 1980s The tentative transitions of CDm's economic policy discourse ultimately were reflected in organizational and financial turmoil between 1980 and 1982. The CDm had overextended itself with several major research projects in the late 1970s, and it moved from Montreal to Toronto in 1982. Corporate donations also dropped sharply in the early 1980s. This was partly due to the recession and the departure of "star" economists like Judith Maxwell, who left in 1980, and Carl Beigie, who resigned as Director in 1981.56 But more fundamentally, while business dissatisfaction with the CDHI was 126 Ernst/C.D. Howe Institute growing, so too was the influence and popularity of the hard right Fraser Institute, located in Vancouver. Business critics contended that the CDHI valued "keeping channels open to government departments more than telling it like it is" and that it offered politically expedient policy positions.S7 The avowedly free enterprise Fraser Institute, in contrast, attracted increasing levels of corporate funding from central Canada in the early 1980s.S8 The CDHI's dilemmas reflected, to some extent, those which faced the US Brookings Institution in the 1970s. Brookings had been the "moderate liberal voice of neoKeynesian economics" and an advocate of "mild income redistribution," but now was pushed into a world view which affirmed that "markets work, planning can't improve outcomes, full employment breeds unacceptable inflation ...equality hurts efficiency."S9 Overseeing the rightward shift of policy advice at the CDHI was new Executive Director Wendy Dobson, who replaced Beigie in 1981. She was credited with restoring the CDHI's financial footing, although critics also noted that its policy direction "became predictably oriented to the interests of Canada's business elite."60 The direction of CDHI policy discourse in the early 1980s is best represented by its 1983 submission to the Macdonald Royal Commission on the Economic Union and Development Prospects for Canada. Here the CDHI finally buried Keynesianism as a guiding principle in its policy analysis. Pointing to intensified competition and interdependence in the world economy, it argued that fiscal or monetary stimulation could no longer restore economic growth. In fact, an expansionary fiscal policy would only "delay or prevent adjustment in domestic wages and prices, which lowers both the competitiveness and the level of employment and output over the medium and long term." Instead "the central goal of economic policy must be to encourage adjustment.t's! As would become all too frequently heard in the 1980s, the new watchwords guiding economic policy were flexibility, adjustment, and freer markets. Canada, the CDHI asserted, could no longer insulate itself from external 127 Studies in Political Economy economic shocks, as growth depended on the ability of markets and economic institutions to adapt to changing economic conditions. Economic policies had to be reoriented toward the loosely defined notion of "adjustment." To some extent, the advocacy of freer international trade was consistent with the COHI's historic anti-protectionist sentiment, but this discourse was now more clearly neoconservative and dropped completely the support for limited state intervention which had always formed a component of liberal continentalism in Canada. Indeed, bilateral and multi-lateral trade agreements were to be pursued partly because they would "mak[e] it more difficult to shield the domestic economy from the effects of change. "62 Subsidies and assistance to "marginal" industries, supported by the PPAC in the 1960s, were now rejected. While the COHI was always skeptical about state enterprise, it now thoroughly rejected their application in "natural monopolies" and regional development because they were not "flexible enough for this fast-paced world" and were captives of "domestic interest groups. "63 The COHI also expressed new concerns about the impact of the regionally differentiated unemployment insurance system on work incentives and labour mobility and advised further study of VI's role in economic adjustment. Yet, the COHI did not yet endorse the whole package of neoconservative policies. Sweeping cuts in government spending and social programs, free trade, and regressive tax reform, which had become associated with Reagan and Thatcher were not on its agenda. Notably, it opposed the 1983 Social Credit restraint program in British Columbia, preferring the more low profile, gradual fiscal cuts exercised by the Ontario Conservatives. Its recommendations to increase labour market flexibility excluded the Fraser Institute's "wilder" calls for elimination of minimum wages, attacks on unions, and drastic cuts in VI. The COHI, however, was also skeptical of the federal government's "6 and 5" public sector restraint program. It acknowledged that while this program might curb inflation in the short term, it also might jeopardize stable labour relations in the future.64 COHI advocated more business-labour dialogue to contain wage increases and 128 Ernst/C.D. Howe Institute it emphasized the need for governments and business to spend more on training to address skill shortages and long term unemployment. It also argued for sector specific income support and retraining policies for workers in declining industries.65 The election of Brian Mulroney in 1984, however, helped push the COHI toward a harder neoconservative line. Indeed the themes of the Policy Reviews of the 1980s neatly mirrored the "privatization, de-regulation and free trade" agenda the Tories established for themselves. Significantly, the Institute's 1985 Review applauded the Conservatives' initial Economic and Fiscal Statement, which established the new government's agenda, for "taking into account the worldwide evidence that government intervention has failed to solve economic problems."66 And the 1986 Review called on Ottawa to implement an economic strategy to encourage "risk taking ... investment and innovation" and to "facilitate rather than obstruct" market-led adjustments in the economy/" The 1986 Review, moreover, detailed most fully the new neoconservative economic policy discourse of the CORI (and was revealingly titled Reorienting the Economy). Three bold themes stood out: deficit reduction, tax and social program reform, and bilateral free trade with the US. First, deficit reduction now clearly superseded full employment as a goal of macroeconomic policy. As in the past, the COHI promoted cuts in subsidies and tax incentives to business, but it also urged privatization of state enterprises and the "reform" of social programs and transfers to the provinces to cut costs. The most radical departure in CORI policy thought was tax and transfer system reform. COHI tax experts advocated reductions in personal and income tax rates, the elimination of the Manufacturers' Sales Tax, and the introduction of a comprehensive value added consumption tax. This shift, which would disproportionately affect lower and middle income earners, was ostensibly aimed at rewarding entrepreneurship and making Canadian tax rates more competitive with those in the US.68 The Institute also argued for an overhaul of income security programs, particularly unemployment insurance and social assistance. Its fIrst major study 129 Studies in Political Economy overhaul of income security programs, particularly unemployment insurance and social assistance. Its first major study on social policy, Social Policy in the 19908, by Thomas Courchene, called for the reintegration of social policy into the "economic restructuring and adjustment needs of the economy,"69 Courchene viewed UI as a major obstacle to labour market flexibility, and as a significant contributor to the federal deficit. UI, he argued, was destructive of work incentives and increased the rate and duration of unemployment. Beginning with the 1986 Policy Review, the com has since reiterated these conclusions and recommended that the federal government replace social assistance, UI, and Family Allowance programs with a plan similar to the Macdonald Commission's proposed Universal Income Security Program.70 This proposed income supplement scheme would be targeted to unemployed and low income Canadians, but would mean lower, shorter term benefits for the unemployed. The Institute also argued that deficit reduction and economic adjustment could be achieved through reforms to health care and post-secondary education. It suggested that "competitive forces," like Health Maintenance Organizations, be introduced to encourage consumer choice and efficiency in health care. Similarly, the COHI proposed that grants to the provinces be replaced by direct grant/tax credits to students and that tuition fees be "decontrolled" to encourage competition and "excellence" in post-secondary education.U Free trade was the final and ultimately the most important plank in the COHI's proposed economic strategy. In contrast to earlier PPAC-COHI statements, the Institute was unequivocal in its support for bilateral free trade. Beginning with Richard Lipsey and Murray Smith's influential 1985 study, Taking the Initiative, the CDm declared free trade to be the only realistic economic policy option open to Canada. Lipsey and Smith argued that bilateral free trade was a necessary response to: growing American protectionism, which they saw as unlikely to diminish because of the mounting US trade deficit; the prospective resurgence of the European Community as a trading bloc; and the shortcomings of GATT.72 They also restated other traditional 130 Ernst/C.D. Howe Institute liberal continentalist justifications for free trade, such as the small size of Canada's domestic market and the need to rationalize production by putting pressure on inefficient manufacturers. A free trade driven rationalization of Canadian industry, they argued. was now urgent because of intensified competition from the newly industrializing countries and growing rivalry among OECD nations in the development of new technologies.73 Although the CDHI's support for bilateral free trade was phrased in the traditional liberal continentalist terms, it departed from liberal continentalism in its virtual lack of concern with the impact of lower trade barriers on the national market. Several CDHI studies attempted to justify CanadaUS free trade, arguing that free trade in itself would not threaten Canadian economic or cultural sovereignty.74 The Institute acknowledged. however. that intensified international competition and the increasing mobility of goods. services, and capital across national borders would put pressure on Canadian wages. social programs, and economic policies. The logical conclusion, of course, was that free trade would accelerate these pressures by opening Canada to the "harsh winds of international competition." and would eventually lead toward greater international "harmonization" of wage levels and programs.7S The CDHI's advocacy of bilateral free trade was linked to the entrenchment of a neoconservative agenda. Privatization. deregulation. and social program rationalization. all inextricably linked to free trade. were seen as preconditions for economic growth. To quote the 1985 Policy Review. "Deficit reduction and a more flexible competitive cost structure can create an environment for improved growth, but access to foreign markets is necessary to provide the incentive for private sector investment and job creation."76 It suggested that a free trade agreement would help Canada reach such a "flexible competitive cost structure" once permanent reductions in industrial subsidies, foreign investment restrictions, and other discriminatory economic nationalist policies were negonated.?? This sharply contrasted with earlier PPAC-CDHI policy positions which merely frowned upon "protectionist" industrial policies and 131 Studies in Political Economy even tolerated them in less developed regions of Canada. Even in the case of CDHI's continued emphasis on the need for special adjustment programs, such as retraining and mobility grants .for laid off workers, the faith in market processes was asserted most strongly: these should be strictly limited to industries and communities most vulnerable to job losses.78 The shift in economic policy strategy by the CDm was not insignificant politically, for it was with the issue of free trade that the CDm played its most active political role. As Bruce Doern and Brian Tomlin point out, the Lipsey and Smith study, Taking the Initiative, combined with the lobbying efforts of CDHI Director Wendy Dobson and Senior Policy Analyst Richard Lipsey in early 1985 were influential in dispelling the "myths" senior federal Ministers and bureaucrats maintained about bilateral free trade.79 The CDHI also played an active part in the private sector International Trade Advisory Committee which advised the government during the negotiations, and it became an active and vocal force in the pro-free trade business coalition.80 The CDHI has generally maintained closer ties to the federal government since the election of Brian Mulroney. Several Institute staff have received government appointments. For example, Wendy Dobson was an Assistant Deputy Minister in the Department of Finance between 1987 and 1990, and former CDHI Vice-President Claude Forget was head of a government inquiry into unemployment insurance in 1986-7.81 Conclusion: After Canada-US Free Trade The CDm has more recently argued for an extension of the free market model of state and society entrenched in the Canada-US Free Trade Agreement. Under the leadership of Maureen Farrow, President of the CDHI between 1987 and 1989, and Thomas Kierans, the current President, the CDm has continued to advocate 'marketizing' measures mentioned in previous policy reviews: privatization, increased links between business and universities, cuts in unemployment insurance with some funds diverted to training, and the removal of universality in benefits to families and seniors. 132 Ernst/C.D. Howe Institute The CDHI's agenda for ensuring Canada's status as an "innovative," "high value added" economy, not surprisingly hinges upon "the widest possible access to foreign markets," and constraints on "the use of strategic trade policies or subsidies by the major industrial powers - in particular, the United States."82 The com firmly rejects the "activist industrial policies" proposed by such bodies as the Ontario Premiers Council 'and actively supports a North American Free Trade Agreement involving Mexico. The Institute argues that Canada could make gains from Mexico's "huge potential market," although Canada's present interest is primarily defensive - to counter preferential treatment for Mexico and to avoid a "hub and spoke" model for North American trade, in which the US has preferential access to two nations.83 The com has also intervened in the constitutional debate and called for the application of market principles to federalprovincial relations. Reflecting current economic union proposals, the COHI has argued for the removal of interprovincial barriers to trade and the "disentanglement" of federal-provincial fiscal relations. To introduce "efficiency" into fiscal federalism, the com contends that the level of government responsible for spending decisions should be the one responsible for raising taxes. The com suggests, for example, that tax room for health and welfare be restored to the provinces, and that the federal government deliver transfers for post-secondary education directly to individuals in a "deregulated" system of competing public and private universities and decontrolled tuition fees.84 The evolution of COHI economic policy discourse on macroeconomic, trade, and social policy suggests Canadian neoconservatism represents both the logical progression of Canada's post-war liberal continentalist economic policy, and a marked shift to an explicitly neoliberal, free marketbased policy. While the benefits of free trade, both multilateral and bilateral, appear as a constant theme in PPAC-COHI thinking, it has only been unequivocally supported and linked to a neoconservative vision since 1985. Similarly, the PPAC·COm has been historically opposed to economic and social policies which alter existing patterns 133 Studies in Political Economy of income distribution and investment. The embrace of Keynesianism has never been complete in Canada, as David Wolfe has argued, and neither the PPAC nor the CDHI has been a vigorous advocate of economic 'fine-tuning'. But even though monetary gradualism held sway in the late 1970s, the Institute did not explicitly reject Keynesian economic policy in favour of monetarism and deficit cutting until 1982. Since then a broader set of neoconservative policies have become central to its policy discourse: notably selective, means-tested social policies rather than universal policies, and policies of deregulation and privatization. If shifts in CDHI discourse can serve as a guide, 1981-82 appears to have ushered in a sea-change in the strategic thinking of Canadian business. This period marked the last gasps of economic nationalist and statist industrial policies, and the movement of Canadian economic policy to the Right, following the trend established in Britain and the US under Thatcher and Reagan. This is where it remains today. The CDHI itself has espoused a more "moderate" neoconservatism than its counterparts in the United States and Britain. In this regard, it resembles the Business Council on National Issues (BCNI). The CDHI has never defended inequality and free market individualism on moral or philosophical grounds, preferring the "objective" language of mainstream economics.8S As noted earlier, the CDHI has tended to offer "politically sensitive" policy proposals. This was true even in the 1980s. It has combined, for example, regressive tax policy proposals with recommendations to protect low income earners. The brand of neoconservatism articulated by the CDHI and the BCNI, however, represents only one strategic orientation within the Canadian capitalist class. A plethora of economic policy institutes was established in Canada during the 1960s and 1970s. The CDHI, along with the Canadian Tax Foundation, the government supported Economic Council of Canada and the Institute for Research on Public Policy (IRPP) claim to be "centrist" and are generally perceived as "moderate supporters of the market system, free trade, and limited government."86 The IRPP, however, is often 134 Ernst/C.D. Howe Institute considered to be slightly to the left of the others because of its links to prominent Liberals and the reformist views expressed in some of its publications.I? As William Carroll notes, Canadian capital also has supported more extreme right-wing think tanks like the Fraser Institute. Established in 1974 to "redirect public attention to the role of competitive markets in providing for the well being of Canada," the Fraser Institute articulates an explicitly far right policy perspective which is extremely critical of state regulation, the welfare state and trade unions.88 The now defunct Canadian Institute for Economic Policy posed, in the early 1980s, a Keynesian alternative to neoconservative economic policies in its advocacy of economic nationalist and statist industrial policies.89 Only the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives among economic policy think tanks represents workers and other progressive forces. A full understanding of Canadian business strategies requires a more comparative historical analysis of the policy thought and political influence of these institutes. Such a study would have to carefully delineate their influence on, and linkages to, business associations and individual corporations. Nonetheless, we have traced one strategic orientation of Canadian capital, as articulated by a policy institute generally viewed as one of Canada's most influential. The CDHI serves as an important barometer of Canadian business thinking, both in the past, and in the current free trade era. The recent efforts by CDHI, and the political right in Canada to entrench neoconservative policies in international trade agreements and national constitutional accords bears serious watching by the Left in the 1990s. As the CDHI admitted in its most recent policy review, the challenge for capital is to allay the "danger that public opinion may be organized around the need to reverse previous policy directions, regardless of their rationale. "90 The challenge for the Left, of course, is the construction of an alternative strategy which can confront the economic logic of globalization and the disintegration of national economic policies. The political ground is not infertile as is evident in the election of New Democratic Party governments in three provinces. Yet 135 Studies in Political Economy a great deal of work remains to be done in reconstructing and developing the economics of a social democracy which will give control back to workers and their communities. Notes 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 136 William K. Carroll, "Neoliberalism and the Recomposition of Finance Capital," Capital and Class 38 (1989), pp. 99-101. David Langille, "The Business Council on National Issues and the Canadian State," Studies in Political Economy 24 (1987), pp. 70-71. M. Patricia Marchak, The Integrated Circus: The New Right and the Restructuring of Global Marluts (Montreal: McGill-Queen's. 1991), pp. 93-115. Janine Brodie and Jane Jenson, Crisis, Challenge and Change: Party and Class in Canada Revisited, (Ottawa: Carleton University, 1988), p.312. David Wolfe, "The Canadian State in Comparative Perspective," Canadian Review of Sociology and Anthropology 26 (1989), pp. 101, 112-114. John Warnock, Free Trade and the New Right Agenda (Vancouver: New Star, 1988), pp. 68-70. Joseph Peschek, Policy Planning Organizations (Philadelphia: Temple, 1987), p. 2. Ibid., pp. 1-37. Leslie Pal, Public Policy Analysis: An Introduction (Toronto, Methuen, 1987), pp. 92-4. For another overview of Canadian policy institutes, see G. Bruce Doem and Richard Phidd, Canadian Public Policy: Ideas, Structures, Processes (Toronto: Methuen, 1983). A. Paul Pross, Group Politics and Public Policy (Toronto: Oxford University, 1986), pp, 99, 149-152. Evert A. Lindquist, "The Third Community, Policy Inquiry, and Social Scientists," in Stephen Brooks and Alain Gagnon (eds.), Social Scientists, Policy and the State (New York: Praeger, 1990), pp. 36, 38, 43. Jane Jenson, "Gender and Reproduction: Or, Babies and the State," Studies in Political Economy 20 (1986), pp. 25-26. See, for example, Wallace Clement, Continental Corporate Power (Toronto: Methuen, 1977); Rianne Mahon, The Politics of Industrial Restructuring: Canadian Textiles (Toronto: University of Toronto, 1984); Carroll, ••Neoliberalism ..•••; and Melissa Clark-Jones, A Staple State: Canadian Industrial Resources in Cold War, (Toronto: University of Toronto, 1987). Canadian-American Committee, Canadian-American Commercial Relations (Montreal: CAC, 1958), p. 56. Based on The Globe and Mail Report on Business Magazine, The Top 1000 Companies (July 1991); and C.D.Howe Institute, Annual Report 1991 (Toronto: CDRI, 1991). Carl Beigie and Judith Maxwell (eds). The Disappearance of the Slalus QKO Policy Review and Outlook 1974, (Montreal: CDHI, 1974), pp. vi-vii. Ernst/C.D. Howe Institute 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. See. for example. "Big Debt Leaves Ottawa 'few defences'." Kitchener-Waterloo Record 10 February 1988. p, 3. and a CDm column on free trade in "Why Not Look at the Facts?" Financial Post 20 July 1988. p. 12. "What the Private Planning Association is Today" Monetary Times Vol. 136 (October 1968). p. 43. Ibid .• p, 43. CAC. Canadian-American Commercial Relations ...• pp. 1-3. The PPAC-CAC studies on Canadian trade policy included: L.D. Wilgress. The Impact 0/ European Integration on Canada (Montreal: PPAC. 1962); L.D. Wilgress. Canada's Approach to Trad« Negotiations (Montreal: PPAC. 1963); Sperry Lea. A Canada-US Free Trade Arrangement: An Evaluation (Montreal: CAC, 1963); CanadianAmerican Committee. A Possible Plan/or a Canada-US Free Trade Area (Montreal: CAC. 1965); Canadian-American Committee. A New Trads Strategy/or Canada and the United States (Montreal: PPAC, 1966). CAC. Canadian-American Commercial Relations ...• pp. 5-6; and Sperry Lea. "A Historical Perspective." in Roben Stem. Philip Trezise. and John Whalley (eds.), Perspectives on a United StatesCanada Free Trade Agreement (Washington: Brookings. 1987), pp. 13-14. Lea. A Canada- US Free Trade Arrangement ...• pp. 51-55. On the reaction to this study. see F.H. Soward. "External Affairs and Defence." John Saywell (ed.), Canadian Annual Review 1965 (Toronto: University of Toronto. 1966). pp. 294-295. Canadian Trade Committee. Statement on Canadian Commercial Policy (Montreal: PPAC. 1963). p. 6. CAC. A New Trade Strategy ...• pp, 12-17. Ibid .• p. viii. This research program. edited by PPAC Research Director H. Edward English. was entitled the Atlantic Economic Studies program. Studies included E.M.Cape et al .• Trade Liberalization and the Canadian Pulp and Paper Industry (Montreal: PPAC. 1968); H.E. English, Transatlantic Economic Community: Canadian Perspectives (Montreal: PPAC. 1968); Harry Johnson et al .• Harmonization 0/ National Economic Policies undsr Free Trade (Montreal: PPAC. 1968); Roy Matthews,lndustrial Viability in a Free Trade Economy: A Program 0/ Adjustment Policies lor Canada (Montreal: PPAC. 1971); and Jacques Singer. Trade Liberalization and the Canadian Still Industry (Montreal: PPAC. 1969). For example, the Cape study on the pulp and paper industry favoured bilateral free trade. while the Singer study on the steel industry advocated a broader free trade agreement. Lea, "A Historical Perspective ...•" pp, 20-21. E.P. Neufeld. The Canadian Development Corporation: An Assessment 0/ the Proposal (Montreal: PPAC. 1966). pp. 18-19. A.E. Safarian, The Performance of Foreign-Owned Firms in Canada (Montreal: CAC, 1969). For a critique of Safarian, see Glen Williams. Not for Export: Toward a Political Economy of Canada's Arrulcd IndlUlrializalioR (Toronto: McClelland and Stewan. 1983). pp. 146-7. 137 Studies in Political Economy 33. 34. 3S. 36. 37. 38. 39. 40. 41. 42. 43. 44. 4S. 46. 47. 48. 49. SO. Sl. 52. 53. 138 See, Canada, Report of the Royal Commission on Taxation (Ottawa, 1966); and, B.J. Benson, Proposals for Tax Reform Prepared by the Minister of Finance, (Ottawa, 1969). On these tax refonn efforts, see Leslie MacDonald, "Taxing Comprehensive Income: Power and Participation in Canadian Politics" (Ph.D, thesis, Carleton University, 1985). Howard ROil, Our Taxes: Lllsons from Carter and Benson (Montreal: PPAC, 1971), pp. 37-41. For example, PPAC, Canadian Trade Committee, Statement pp. 7-9, and Matthews, Industrial ViabUity...• The one PPAC study which did examine macroeconomic policy was L.A. Skeoch and David Smith, Economic Planning: The Relevence of the West European Experience for Canada (Montreal, PPAC, 1963). This analysis of Buropean "indicative planning" concluded that Canada might benefit from a national research body composed of representatives of government, business and labour to help coordinate national economic policy and stabilize national demand, but rejected the activist industrial policies pursued by these countries. Personal Interview, Carl Beigie, Former Executive Director, C.D.Howe Institute, November, 1988. Ibid., Also see "Beigie of Howe Research Institute," Canadian Business (March 1973), p. S8. The biography sponsored by the Foundation was Robert Bothwell and William Kilbourn, CD. Howe: A Biography (Toronto: McClelland and Stewart, 1979). "What the Private Planning Association ...," Monetary Times... p. 4S. Sheldon Gordon,·"Why HRI is as Influential as It Is," Financial Post 21 January 1978, p. 8. Bruce Doem and Richard Phidd, The Politics and Management of Canadian Economic Policy (Toronto: Macmillan. 1978), pp. S6, 191. Judith Maxwell, An Agenda for Change Policy Review and Outlook 1977, (Montreal: CDHI, 1977), p. 6. Beigie and Maxwell (eds.), The Disappearance ..., p. 8. It has been allned that supply side policies have always been prevalent in Canadian macroeconomic policy. See Robert Campbell, Grand Illusions: The Politics of the Keynesian Experience in Canada (peterborough: Broadview, 1987). Ibid., pp. 40-43. Ibid., p. 92. Judith Maxwell (ed.), Restructuring the Incentive System Policy Review and Outlook 1975, (Montreal: CDHI, 1975), pp. 70, lS7. Maxwell (ed.), Restructuring ..., p. 31. Judith Maxwell, Challenges to Complacency Policy Review and Outlook 1976, (Montreal: CDHI, 1976)~p. 70. Maxwell, An Agenda , pp. 117-119. Maxwell, Challenges , pp. 12S·127. The Bconomic Council study is Economic Council of Canada, Looking Outward: A New Trade Strategy for Canada (Ottawa: Information Canada, 1975). Judith Maxwell (ed.), A Time for Realism Policy Review and Outlook 1978. (Montreal: CDHI, 1978), p, S1. Maxwell. Challengu ..•• p. 18. Maxwell. A TilM IQr Rcal;"m ..•, pp. 148·157. Ernst/C.D. Howe Institute . 54. Carl Beigie, "The Return of Economic Orthodoxy-Will it Work'}" Montreal, CDHI, 1977, pp. 40-44. 55. C.D. Howe Institute, Investing in Our Future Policy Review and Outlook 1980, (Montreal: CDHI, 1980), pp. 69-73. 56. Both Beigie and Maxwell left the CDHI to become private consultants. 57. Alan D. Gray, "'The Howe' Starts to Rebuild: Can Beigie Overhaul a 'Wishy-Washy' Image'}" Financial Times 20 October 1980, pp. 22,32. 58. Among the Fraser Institute's more influential studies are: Michael Walker and Sally Pipes, How Much Tax Do You Really Pay? (Vancouver: Fraser Institute, 1976); Fraser Institute, The Illusion of Wage and Price Controls: Essays on Inflation, Its Causes, Its Cure (Vancouver: Fraser Institute, 1976); Herbert Grubel et al., Unemployment Insurance: Global Evidenc« of its Effect on Unemployment (Vancouver: Fraser Institute, 1978); and Fraser Institute, Privatization: Theory and Practice (Vancouver, Fraser Institute, 1976). For a critique of the Fraser Institute, see Ben Swankey, The Fraser Institute: . A Socialist Analysis of the Corporate Drive to the Right 2nd edition (Vancouver: Centre for Socialist Education, 1984). 59. Robert Kuttner, "Revenge of the Democratic Nerds:' New Republic 22 October 1984, pp. 14-16. 60. "Economist Dobson has International Outlook:' Financial Post 9 January 1990, p, 14. 61. Wendy Dobson, Richard Upsey, and Murray Smith, Flexibility as the Best Protection CDHI Commentary No.5, (November, 1983), p. 7. Richard Lipsey was Senior Economic Advisor at the Institute at the time, while Murray Smith was CDHI Senior Policy Analyst. 62. tsu, p. 11 63. Ibid., p. 8. 64. Edward Carmichael and Wendy Dobson, Achieving a Realistic Recovery Policy Review and Outlook 1983, (Toronto: CDHI, 1983), pp.52-3. 65. C.D. Howe Institute, Beyond Recovery: Adjusting to the Future Policy Review and Outlook 1984, (Toronto: CDHI, 1983), pp. 59, 64-72. 66. Edward A. Carmichael, Time for Decisions Policy Review and Outlook 1985, (Toronto: CDHI, 1985), p. 2. 67. Edward A. Carmichael, Reorienting the Canadian Economy Policy Review and Outlook 1986, (Toronto: CDHI, 1986), pp, 13-14. 68. Ibid., pp. 74-84. 69. Thomas Courchene, Social Policy in the 1990s (Toronto: CDHI, 1987), pp. 7-8. 70. tsu; pp. 58-62. 71. Ibid., p. 83. 72. Richard Lipsey and Murray Smith, Taking the Initiative: Canada's Trade Options in a Turbulent World (Toronto: CDHI, 1985), pp. 144-49. 73. Ibld., p. 178. Despite the urgency of their plea for free trade and the earlier advocacy of free trade by the PPAC, the CDHI was relatively late to jump on the Canada-U.S. free trade bandwagon. As David Langille points out, the BCNI was lobbying for bilateral 139 Studies in Political Economy 74. 7S. 76. 77. 78. 79. 80. 81. 82. 83. 84. 85. 86. 87. 88. 89. 90. 140 free trade between 1981 and 1983. It was not until its 1984 Policy Review. published in late 1983. that CDHI revived bilateral free trade as a policy option. and not until the Lipsey and Smith study that free trade was fully embraced by the CDHI. See Langille, "The Busine •• Council on National Issue •..•••• pp. 66-7; CDHI. Beyond Recovery ...• pp. 55-6. CDHI studies promoting Canada-U.S, free trade included: Richard Lipsey and Robert York. Evaluating the Free Trade Deal (Toronto: CDHI. 1988); and Richard Lipsey and Murray Smith (eds.), Policy Harmonization: The Effects of a Canadian-American Free Trade Area (Toronto: CDHI. 1986). Richard Lipsey and Murray Smith. "An Overview of Harmonization Issues." in Lipsey and Smith (ed•.). Policy Harmonization. p. 19. Carmichael. Time for Decisions ••••p. 65. Ibid .• pp, 76-8. Edward Carmichael and Katie Macmillan. Focus on Follow ThrOllgh Policy Review and Outlook 1988. (Toronto: CDHI. 1988). pp. 80-82. G.Bruce Doom and Brian Tomlin. Faith and Fear: The Free Trade Story (Toronto: Stoddart. 1991). pp. 27. Ibid .• pp. 55. See Canada. Commission of Inquiry on Unemployment Insurance, Report (Ottawa. 1986). Bryne B. Purchase. The Innovative Society: Competitiveness in the 1990s Policy Review and Outlook 1991. (Toronto: CDHI. 1991). p.42. ' Ibid .• p. 47. Ibid .• p. 74-85. For a brief survey of American and British neo conservative policy institutes, see Harvey Kaye. "The Use and Abu.e of the Past: The New Right and the Crisis of History," in Ralph Miliband. Leo Panitch, and John Saville (eds.), Socialist Register 1987 (London: Merlin. 1987). pp. 336-45. Doem and Phidd, Canadian Pllblic Policy ...• pp. 538-542. tsu; p. 541. Carroll •••Neoliberalism ...••• pp. 101-102. Doem and Phidd, Canadian Pllblic Policy ...• p. 541-2. Purchase. The Innovative Society ...• p, 5.