Student Accommodation Report - Stafford County Public Schools

Stafford County
Public Schools
Student
Accommodation Report
2016-17
Facility Planning, Design & Construction
Pat Druash, Demographics Planner
July 25, 2016
Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
Table of Contents
List of Figures and Table ............................................................................................................. 3
Purpose of the Student Accommodation Report ......................................................................... 4
Overview of the School Division................................................................................................. 4
Stafford County Residential Development .................................................................................. 5
Student Membership History and Forecast ..................................................................................10
Forecast Methodology .................................................................................................................10
Capacity .......................................................................................................................................13
School Year 2016-17 ..................................................................................................................15
School Attendance Area Boundaries ......................................................................................16
Feeder Patterns ........................................................................................................................19
Special Education Program Placements..................................................................................22
Recommendations
...................................................................................................................24
2
Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
List of Figures and Tables
Figures
Figure 1. Anticipated Residential Development Map for 2016-2017......................................... 7
Figure 2. Future Growth Area Map ............................................................................................ 9
Figure 3. 2016-17 Elementary School Attendance Area Map ....................................................16
Figure 4. 2016-17 Middle School Attendance Area Map ...........................................................17
Figure 5. 2016-17 High School Attendance Area Map ..............................................................18
Tables
Table 1. 2009-10 to 2015-16 March 31 Average Daily Membership.......................................10
Table 2. 2016-17 to 2023-24 Forecasted Membership .............................................................10
Table 3. 2016-17 to 2025-26 Forecasted Membership by Level ..............................................11
Table 4. 2016-17 Forecasted Membership by School and Grade Level ...................................11
Table 5. 2016-17 School Design Capacity and Utilization.......................................................13
Table 6. 2016-17 Elementary to Middle School Feeder Patterns by Elementary School...........20
Table 7. 2016-17 Elementary to Middle School Feeder Patterns by Middle School .................20
Table 8. 2016-17 Middle to High School Feeder Patterns by Middle School ............................21
Table 9. 2016-17 Middle to High School Feeder Patterns by High School ...............................21
Table 10. Special Education Low Incidence Programs by School .............................................22
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Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
Purpose of the Student Accommodation Report
The purpose of the Student Accommodation Report (SAR) is to provide an annual
comprehensive look at school facility use to include review of building capacity, student
membership, and attendance boundaries. The SAR details both demographic and facility data
used to support decisions related to school facility utilization for the coming school year (20162017). Specific information about each school is provided, as well as an overall description of
membership and capacity throughout the school division.
Information provided includes:
 Capacity analysis
 Historical and forecasted student membership
 Residential developments affecting membership
 School attendance area changes
Overview of the School Division
Stafford County Public Schools is currently comprised of 17 elementary schools, 8 middle
schools, 5 high schools, and the Gary Melchers complex, which includes Head Start and
alternative education programs.
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Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
Stafford County Residential Development
Subdivisions in Stafford County are building housing units, including single-family homes
(SFH); town homes (TH), duplexes (DUP), condos (CD) and apartments (APT), which are
expected to impact the student membership at several schools in the division (Figure 1).
Numbers are based on approved construction starts (CS) and subdivision approvals showing
activity from June 2015 through June 2016. The following areas are expected to have the most
housing growth in 2016 to 2017 based on building that occurred during the past year and the
number of vacant lots still available. Subdivisions listed have 15+ vacant lots left. They are
listed on the Stafford County Active Residential Listing published 3/16/2016. Schools
associated with these areas are listed below:
Abberly at South Campus: Stafford Elementary, Stafford Middle, Brooke Point High (288 APT
CS).
Aquia Overlook: Widewater Elementary, Shirley Heim Middle, Brooke Point High (4 SFH CS;
93 SFH vacant lots)
Bridle Lake Estates: Ferry Farm Elementary, Dixon Smith Middle, Stafford High (2 SFH CS;
55 SFH VL)
Bell’s Valley (Moncure Valley): Anthony Burns Elementary, Stafford Middle, Brooke Point
High (28 SFH CS: 93 SFH VL)
Colonial Forge: Winding Creek Elementary, Rodney Thompson Middle, Colonial Forge High
(73 SFH & TH CS: 244 SFH & TH VL)
Courthouse Manor: Stafford Elementary, Stafford Middle, Brooke Point High (75 SFH – land
is being cleared)
Ellison Estates: Winding Creek, Stafford Middle, Colonial Forge High (2 SFH CS; 19 SFH VL)
Embrey Mill: Winding Creek Elementary, Rodney Thompson Middle, Colonial Forge High
(127 CS for SFH & TH: 1280 SFH, TH & APT VL)
Hartwood Landing: Hartwood Elementary, Gayle Middle School, Mountain View High (9
SFH CS; 18 SFH VL)
Hills of Aquia: Hampton Oaks, Shirley Heim Middle, Brooke Point High (34 SFH CS; 49 SFH
vacant lots).
Leeland Station: Conway Elementary, Drew Middle, Stafford High (42 SFH CS: 195 VL)
Liberty Knolls & Liberty Knolls West: Winding Creek Elementary, Rodney Thompson
Middle, and Colonial Forge High (23 SFH CS; 49 SFH vacant lots & 51 SFH in West)
Oakley Farms: Hartwood Elementary, Gayle Middle, Mountain View High (10 SFH CS; 33
SFH VL)\
Oaks of Highland Homes: Conway Elementary, Drew Middle, Stafford High (7 CS: 21 VL)
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Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
Poplar Estates: Margaret Brent Elementary, Rodney Thompson Middle, Mountain View High
(28 SFH CS; 20 SFH VL)
Poplar Hills: Stafford Elementary, Stafford Middle, Brooke Point High (5 CS: 35 VL)
Rappahannock Landing: Rocky Run Elementary, Drew Middle, Stafford High (64 TH CS; 504
VL)
River Creek: Ferry Farm Elementary, Dixon Smith Middle, Stafford Senior High (6 SFH CS;
34 SFH vacant lots)
Shelton Woods: Garrisonville Elementary, Rodney Thompson Middle, Mountain View High
(20 SFH CS; 77 SFH VL)
Southgate: Falmouth Elementary, Drew Middle, Stafford High (30 SFH CS: 59 SFH VL)
Stafford Estates: Hartwood Elementary, Gayle Middle, Mountain View High (16 SFH CS: 74
SFH VL)
Stafford Landing: Falmouth Elementary, Drew Middle, Stafford Senior High (6 SFH CS; 38
SFH VL)
Summerset Ridge South: Hartwood Elementary, Gayle Middle, Colonial Forge High (3 CS: 27
SFH VL)
The Glens (including Millstone): Margaret Brent Elementary, Rodney Thompson Middle,
Mountain View High (10 SFH CS, 83 SFH VL).
The Town Center at Aquia: Moncure Elementary (Hampton Oaks in 2018-19), Shirley Heim
Middle, Brooke Point High (206 CS: 81 VL)
Wellspring Hills: Falmouth Elementary, Drew Middle, Stafford High. Approved in 2005 for 70 SFHs.
The land has been cleared.
Westgate at Stafford Courthouse: Anthony Burns Elementary, Rodney Thompson Middle,
Colonial Forge High (12 SFH CS: 35 SFH vacant lots)
Woodstream: Park Ridge Elementary, Shirley Heim Middle, North Stafford High (36 CS :19
VL)
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Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
Figure 2: Anticipated Growth Areas Significant Building Activity
June 2015 - June 2016
²
Quantico MCB
Quantico
Woodstream
36 TH CS; 19 VL
Hills of Aquia
34 SFH CS; 49 VL
Poplar Estates
28 SFH CS; 20 VL
The Town Ctr at Aquia
206 CS ; 256 APTS
Shelton Woods
20 SFH CS, 77 VL
Liberty Knolls & West
23 SFH CS; 100 VL
The Glens
10 SFH CS; 83 VL
Embrey Mill
127 SFH Text
& TH CS; 1280 VL
Aquia Overlook
4 SFH CS; 93 VL
Bell's Valley (Moncure Valley)
28 CS, 93 VL
Courthouse Manor: 75 SFH
Oakley Farms
10 SFH CS; 33 VL
Colonial Forge
73 SFH & TH CS; 244 VL
Hartwood Landing
9 SFH CS; 18 VL
Stafford Estates
16 SFH CS; 74 VL
Westgate
12 SFH CS; 35 VL
Ellison Estates
2 SFH: CS 19 VL
Southgate
30 SFH CS; 59 VL
Summerset Ridge South
3 CS; 27 VL
Abberly @ S Campus Apts
288 APT CS
Poplar Hills
5 SFH CS; 35 VL
Oaks of Highland Homes
6 CS: 21 VL
Wellspring Hills 70 SFH
Stafford Landing
6 SFH CS; 38 VL
Leeland Station
42SFH CS; 195 VL
Rappahannock Landing
64 TH CS; 504 VL
Yellow - Active Construction : Vacant Lots (VL),
Construction Starts (CS), Single Family Home (SFH),
Townhomes (TH), & Apartments (APT),
Bridle Lake Estates
2 CS; 55 VL
Blue = Construction Plan Approved: No
Construction Starts, Land is Cleared - SFH Lots
River Creek
6 SFH CS; 34 VL
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Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
The impact has not yet been determined for additional subdivisions proposed for development in
the next several years in Stafford County. Abbreviations used are single family homes (SFHs)
and townhouses (THs). The following larger approved subdivisions with 50+ lots are listed on
Stafford County’s Active Subdivision Listing, however, there has been no activity in these areas.

Amber Oaks: Hartwood Elementary, Gayle Middle, Mountain View High. Approved in
2006 for 55 SFHs.

Aquia Hollow THs: Hampton Oaks Elementary, Shirley Heim Middle, Brooke Point HS
Approved in 2015 for 106 THs.

Cavin Property: Widewater Elementary, Shirley Heim Middle, Brooke Point High.
Approved in 2005 for 71 SFHs.

Foxchase THs: Falmouth Elementary, Drew Middle, Stafford High. Approved in 2014
for 99 TH

Granville Estates: Conway Elementary, Drew Middle, Brooke Point High. Approved in
2015 for 65 SFHs)

Hamlets at Widewater: Widewater Elementary, Shirley Heim Middle, Brooke Point
High. Approved in 2015 for 194 SFH.

Peete Property: Winding Creek Elementary, Rodney Thompson Middle, Colonial Forge
High. Approved in 2015 for 1332 SFHs.

Rocky Run Village: Rocky Run Elementary, Gayle Middle, Colonial Forge High.
Approved in 2005 for 107 SFH.

Saratoga Woods: Margaret Brent Elementary, Gayle Middle, Colonial Forge High.
Approved in 2015 for 58 SFHs.

Shelton Knolls: Garrisonville Elementary, A.G. Wright Middle, Mountain View High.
Approved in 2013 for 94 SFHs.

Sherwood Estates: Hartwood Elementary, Gayle Middle, Mountain View High.
Approved in 2001 for 59 SFH

Sherwood Farm: Ferry Farm Elementary, Dixon Smith Middle, Stafford High.
Approved in 2005 for 208 SFHs.

Stafford Town Station: Falmouth Elementary, Drew Middle, Stafford High. Approved
in 2005 for mixed 145 TH/SFHs.

Staffordshire Subdivision: Margaret Brent, Drew Middle, Stafford High. Approved in 2005
for 336 SFDs.

St. Andrews on the Potomac: Widewater Elementary, Shirley Heim Middle, Brooke
Point High. Approved in 2006 for 124 SFH

Westlake: Hartwood Elementary, Gayle Middle, Mountain View High. Approved in
2005 for 701 SFHs.

Whitson Woods: Kate Waller Barrett Elementary, H.H. Poole Middle, and North
Stafford High. Approved in June 2014 for 55 THs

Widewater Hills: Widewater Elementary, Shirley Heim Middle, Brooke Point High.
Approved in 2006 for 68 SFH
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Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
Figure 2: Future Growth
Approved Subdivisions - 50+ Lots
No Building Activity
²
Quantico MCB
Cavin Property 71 SFH
St. Andrews on the Potomac
124 SFH
Aquia Hollow 106 TH
Whitson Woods 55 TH
Shelton Knolls 94 SFH
Reserve at Woodstock
40 SFH
Widewater Hills 68 SFH
Text
Hamlets at Widewater 194 SFH
Saratoga Woods 58 SFH
Sherwood Estates, Sec 3-8
59 SFH
Amber Oaks 55 SFH
Westlake 701 SFH/TH
Staffordshire 336 SFH
Peet Property
132 SFH
Stafford Town Station 145
Rocky Run Village 107 SFH
Granville Estates 65 SFD
Foxchase 99 TH
Aquia Overlook 97 SFH
Subdivision Plans Approved; listed as an Active Subdivision
Projects by Stafford County. As of June 2016, there is no activity. Single
Family Home (SFH) and Townhomes (TH),
Sherwood Farms 208 SFH
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Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
Student Membership History and Forecast
Average daily membership (ADM) is determined by dividing the aggregate number of days of
membership of all students during a school year by the number of days school is in session. The
March 31 ADM is calculated using data from the first day school is in session through the last
school day in March.
Table 1. 2009-10 to 2015-16 March 31 Average Daily Membership
School
Year
ADM
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
26,649
26,746
26,774
26,905
26,901
27,196
27,518
Table 2. 2016-17 to 2024-25 Forecast for Fall Student Membership
The KG - 12th grade forecast was calculated by the Operations Research/Education Laboratory
of North Carolina University (ORED) in December 2015. This forecast does not include the
240+ preschoolers enrolled at the elementary schools. This forecast is updated in
October/November of each year.
School
Year
2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26
Forecast
27,919
28,113
28,370
28,746
29,145
29,427
29,724
30,150
30,414
Forecast Methodology
The forecasting methodology used to predict the number of students who will attend Stafford
County Public Schools is based on the methodology developed by the Operations
Research/Education Laboratory of North Carolina University (ORED) and uses a combination of
the cohort progression, land use studies, historical membership data, student generation ratios,
and construction data. All forecasts are an extrapolation of the past, involve some level of
judgment, and inherently contain a range of error.
The cohort progression method involves applying an average growth rate over time to the current
year’s membership by grade level cohort. The calculation for kindergarten enrollment is based
on birth data. An average ratio of the number of kindergarten students compared to the number
of live births six years earlier for the previous five school years is applied to the number of live
births of Stafford County residents six years prior to the school year being forecasted.
The cohort-progression ratio is the number of students in a particular grade divided by the
number of students in the previous grade in the previous school year. In other words, it is the
rate of students in the cohort being “promoted” to the next grade level. This ratio varies by year
and grade level based on families moving in and out of the county, students transferring to
different schools within the school division, student retention, and other factors. The cohortprogression ratio incorporates all the different factors affecting student enrollment, retention, and
promotion in one number. Anticipated transfers for the 2016-17 school year are not
incorporated as they cannot be accurately predicted.
10
30,623
Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
Table 3. 2016-17 to 2025-26 Membership Forecast by Levels
The forecast for 2016-17 through 2025-26 was calculated by the Operations Research/Education
Laboratory of North Carolina University (ORED) in December 2015.
Elementary
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2020-21
2021-22
2022-23
2023-24
2024-25
2025-26
12051
12042
12051
12096
12214
12373
12532
12769
12962
13100
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2020-21
2021-22
2022-23
2023-24
2024-25
2025-26
Total
6604
6672
6781
7037
7090
7050
7015
6987
7025
7101
High
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2020-21
2021-22
2022-23
2023-24
2024-25
2025-26
Total
9263
9398
9538
9613
9842
10004
10177
10394
10427
10422
Total
Middle
Table 4. 2016-17 Forecasted Membership by School and Grade Level
Elementary
Schools
K
Anthony Burns
2016-17 2015-16
Fall
Fall
Forecast Enrollment
1
2
3
4
5
120
117
137
125
148
129
776
770
Conway
131
113
122
146
122
146
780
770
Falmouth
90
95
95
82
113
88
563
533
103
103
114
96
113
100
629
620
Garrisonville
80
98
97
89
102
103
569
579
Grafton Village
83
106
108
91
92
96
576
595
Hampton Oaks
140
136
123
113
143
119
774
739
81
77
89
104
104
96
551
534
KW Barrett
128
114
115
147
123
137
764
756
Margaret Brent
127
129
137
166
160
143
862
856
Moncure
111
130
127
120
107
137
732
727
Park Ridge
91
126
112
131
132
154
746
740
Rockhill
80
80
96
86
97
108
547
554
Rocky Run
139
166
140
148
145
139
877
849
Stafford
106
111
106
134
123
132
712
709
Widewater
131
105
139
130
138
138
781
761
Winding Creek
100
119
123
153
158
159
812
769
1841
1925
1980
2061
2120
2124
12051
11,861
Ferry Farm
Hartwood
Grade Level Total
11
Stafford County Public Schools
Middle
Schools
6
Dixon Smith
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
2016-17
2015-16
Fall
Fall
Forecast Enrollment
7
8
262
293
268
823
777
Drew
179
178
213
570
563
Gayle
282
302
282
866
886
H.H. Poole
224
290
284
798
796
Rodney Thompson
260
300
378
938
953
Shirley Heim
303
286
293
882
841
Stafford
285
269
266
820
780
Wright
281
326
300
907
898
2076
2244
2284
6604
6494
9
10
11
12
Brooke Point
456
457
453
456
1822
1794
Colonial Forge
532
547
519
501
2099
2047
Mountain View
438
373
414
480
1705
1692
North Stafford
420
408
452
407
1687
1699
Stafford
506
501
489
455
1951
1950
2352
2286
2327
2299
9264
9182
Grade Level Total
High
Schools
Grade Level Total
*Note: Totals on all tables may reflect variances due to rounding.
12
2016-17
2015-16
Fall
Fall
Forecast Enrollment
Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
Capacity
Each school building has a design capacity based on architectural and Stafford County Public
School standards. The actual (program) capacity of any school facility will typically deviate in
some degree from this design capacity for any particular school year due to programmatic and
other current or proposed utilization factors.
Program capacities are calculated using the Department of Education’s (DOE) School Capacity
Worksheets which are based on the DOE Standards of Quality for classroom usage and portray
all classrooms being filled at the designated level for each grade/subject.
Table 5. School Design Capacities and Utilization
Elementary Schools
Design
Capacity
Anthony Burn
Conway*
Falmouth
Ferry Farm
Garrisonville*
Grafton Village*
Hampton Oaks
Hartwood
Kate Waller Barrett
950
950
794
732
768
754
950
649
950
2016-17
Forecast w
PKs
774
795
563
636
582
601
774
567
764
Design
Capacity
Usage %
81
84
71
87
76
80
81
87
80
Program Capacity:
School Operations
in 2015-16
777
788
655
656
646
652
809
560
866
Margaret Brent
Moncure*
Park Ridge*
Rockhill*
Rocky Run
Stafford*
950
754
843
843
950
794
862
744
783
580
876
736
91
99
93
69
92
93
851
740
826
628
855
790
Widewater*
843
798
95
845
Winding Creek*
925
855
92
14399
12291
85
Elementary Total
* Schools with Pre-K classes - accounted for in Program
Capacity, but are not included in the forecast.
13
814
12758
Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
823
570
866
799
938
882
820
Design
Capacity
Usage %
75
88
79
73
85
80
75
Program Capacity:
School Operations
in 2015-16
856
563
937
1063
996
898
897
920
907
99
839
8170
6604
81
7049
Design
Capacity*
2016-17
Forecast
Brooke Point
Colonial Forge
Mountain View
North Stafford
2125
2175
1930
2050
1822
2099
1705
1687
Design
Capacity
Usage %
86
97
88
82
Program Capacity:
School Operations
in 2015-16
2003
2157
2020
2224
Stafford
2150
1951
91
2075
High Total
10430
9264
89
10479
Design
Capacity
2016-17
Forecast
Dixon-Smith
Drew
Gayle
H.H. Poole
Rodney Thompson
Shirley Heim
Stafford
1100
650
1100
1100
1100
1100
1100
Wright
Middle Total
Middle Schools
High Schools
*High School design capacity calculations were revised in 2015-16 to include the teaching spaces in the
gyms, music and art rooms resulting in a larger design capacity.
Special services programming, such as specific classes for students with disabilities and
classrooms for ESL, physical therapy, reading specialists, math specialist, etc. can lower or
increase the actual program capacity of schools, as these programs often utilize classrooms that
are categorized as general education in design capacity calculations. As the number of school
division special programs vary among schools, their impact on capacity will also vary among
schools and school years with changes to the number and/or locations of these programs.
14
Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
School Year 2016-17 Changes
School Attendance Area Boundaries
1. One attendance boundary was changed for the 2016-17 school year. The Shelton Woods
Subdivision was redistricted from the Colonial Forge High School attendance zone to the
Mountain View High School attendance zone.
2. The Elementary Redistricting Plan, Part 2 approved by the School Board on February 24th,
2015 is scheduled to become effective in the 2018-19 school year. The following areas were
approved for redistricting:
Area – Subdivisions/Roads
Foxwood Village
Area Planning Unit 156
Holly Mead Townhomes
Lakewood Apartments
Courts of Stafford Townhomes
Garrisonville Road (#95 - 99)
Greenspring Drive (#20 - 30)
Salisbury Drive
Wicomico Drive
Villages of Aquia
The Town Center at Aquia
Apartments
Potomac Hills
Area Planning Unit 156
Hampton Oaks Section B
Current School
Hampton Oaks
Elementary
Moncure Elementary
New School
Moncure Elementary
Moncure Elementary
Moncure Elementary
Hampton Oaks Elementary
Hampton Oaks Elementary
Widewater
Elementary
Winding Creek
Elementary
Hampton Oaks Elementary
15
Hampton Oaks Elementary
Hampton Oaks Elementary
Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
Figure 3. 2016-17
Elementary School
Attendance Zones
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Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
²
Figure 4. 2016-17
Middle School
Attendance Zones
Quantico
Quantico
k
HMS
k
WMS
k
TMS
k
PMS
k
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k
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k
DMS
k
DSMS
Middle School Zones
Dixon-Smith
Drew
Gayle
Heim
Poole
Stafford
Thompson
Wright
17
Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
²
Figure 5. 2016-17
High School
Attendance Zones
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Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
Feeder Patterns
The following tables list the elementary/middle/high school feeder pattern combinations for the
2016-17 school year. Each middle and high school receives students from three to five
elementary or middle schools, respectively (Tables 6 - 9).
19
Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
Table 6. 2016-17 Elementary to Middle
School Feeder Patterns by Elementary School
Table 7. 2016-17 Elementary to Middle
School Feeder Patterns by Middle School
Elementary School
Middle School
Middle School
Elementary School
A Burns ES
Stafford MS
Thompson MS
Dixon-Smith MS
Drew MS
Drew MS
Gayle MS
Dixon-Smith MS
Drew MS
Gayle MS
Thompson MS
Wright MS
Dixon-Smith MS
Heim MS
Poole MS
Gayle MS
Poole MS
Wright MS
Drew MS
Gayle MS
Thompson MS
Wright MS
Heim MS
Poole MS
Poole MS
Thompson MS
Dixon-Smith MS
Conway ES
Grafton Village ES
Ferry Farm ES
Conway ES
Falmouth ES
Conway ES
Falmouth ES
Ferry Farm ES
Garrisonville ES
Grafton Village ES
Hampton Oaks ES
Hartwood ES
KW Barrett ES
M Brent ES
Moncure ES
Park Ridge ES
Rockhill ES
Wright MS
Rocky Run ES
Drew MS
Gayle MS
Stafford ES
Stafford MS
Widewater ES
Heim MS
Winding Creek ES
Poole MS
Stafford MS
Thompson MS
Drew MS
Gayle MS
Heim MS
Poole MS
Thompson MS
Stafford MS
Wright MS
Ferry Farm ES
M Brent ES
Rocky Run ES
Falmouth ES
Ferry Farm ES
Hartwood ES
M Brent ES
Rocky Run ES
Hampton Oaks ES
Moncure ES
Widewater ES
Hampton Oaks ES
KW Barrett ES
Moncure ES
Park Ridge ES
Winding Creek ES
A Burns ES
Garrisonville ES
M Brent ES
Park Ridge ES
Winding Creek ES
A Burns ES
Stafford ES
Winding Creek ES
Garrisonville ES
KW Barrett ES
M Brent ES
Rockhill ES
20
Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
Table 8. 2016-17 Middle to High School
Feeder Patterns by Middle School
Table 9. 2016-17 Middle to High School
Feeder Patterns by High School
Middle School
High School
High School
Middle School
Dixon-Smith MS
Drew MS
Stafford HS
Brooke Point HS
Colonial Forge HS
Stafford HS
Colonial Forge HS
Mountain View HS
Stafford HS
Brooke Point HS
North Stafford HS
Colonial Forge HS
North Stafford HS
Colonial Forge HS
Mountain View HS
North Stafford HS
Brooke Point HS
Drew MS
Heim MS
Stafford MS
Colonial Forge HS
Drew MS
Gayle MS
Poole MS
Thompson MS
Stafford MS
Gayle MS
Thompson MS
Wright MS
Heim MS
Poole MS
Thompson MS
Wright MS
Dixon-Smith MS
Drew MS
Gayle MS
Gayle MS
Heim MS
Poole MS
Thompson MS
Stafford MS
Wright MS
Mountain View HS
North Stafford HS
Brooke Point HS
Colonial Forge HS
Mountain View HS
North Stafford HS
Stafford HS
21
Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
Special Education Low Incidence Program Placements
Each school currently includes one or more special education programs that require dedicated
instructional space. The table located below shows the current programs at each school and the
proposed programs for the 2016-17 school year (Table 10).
Table 10. Special Education Low Incident Programs by School
Elementary
2015-2016 Programs
Anthony Burns
Autism
Emotional Behavioral Support
2
1
Autism
Emotional Behavioral Support
2
2
Conway
Autism
Preschool
2
1
Autism
Preschool
2
1
Falmouth
Hampton Oaks
Learning Support II
Multiple Disabilities
Autiam
Learning Support I
Autism
Preschool
Vision Impaired
Emotional Behavioral Support
Preschool
Preschool (2 yr old)
Emotional Behavioral Support
Preschool
Deaf/HI
Autism
2
1
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Learning Support II
Multiple Disabilities
Autism
Learning Support I
Autism
Preschool
Vision Impaired
Emotional Behavioral Support
Preschool
Preschool (2 yr old)
Emotional Behavioral Support
Preschool
Deaf/HI
Autism
2
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
KW Barrett
Autism
2
Autism
2
Margaret Brent
Learning Support I
Learning Support II
Multiple Disabilities
Emotional Behavioral Support
Learning Support I
Preschool (2 yr old)
Autism
Preschool
Learning Support I
Preschool
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
Learning Support I
Learning Support II
Multiple Disabilities
Emotional Behavioral Support
Learning Support I
Preschool (2 yr old)
Autism
Preschool
Learning Support I
Preschool
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
3
Rocky Run
Autism
1
Autism
2
Stafford
Autism
Preschool Autism
Preschool
2
1
1
Autism
Multiple Disabilities
2
1
Ferry Farm
Garrisonville
Grafton Village
Hartwood
Moncure
Park Ridge
Rockhill
Classrooms 2016-2017 Programs
22
Classrooms
Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
Winding Creek
Autism
Preschool
Preschool Autism
2
2
1
Autism
Preschool
Preschool Autism
2
1
1
Widewater
Preschool
1
Preschool
1
Headstart
Preschool
1
Preschool
2
Middle Schools
2015-2016 Programs
Drew
Learning Support II
Empfield Day School
2
6
Learning Support I
Learning Support II
Empfield Day School
1
1
6
Dixon-Smith
Autism
Emotional Behavioral Support
1
1
1
1
Gayle
Learning Support I
Emotional Behavioral Support
1
1
Autism
Emotional Behavioral
Support
Learning Support I
Emotional Behavioral Support
HH Poole
Autism
Learning Support II
Deaf/HI (self-contained)
Learning Support I
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
Autism
Learning Support II
Deaf/HI (self-contained)
Learning Support I
Learning Support II
Autism
Multiple Disabilities
Autism
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
Emotional Behavioral Support
Learning Support I
1
1
Shirley Heim
Classrooms 2016-2017 Programs
Autism
Multiple Disabilities
Rodney Thompson Autism
Stafford
Classrooms
1
1
A.G. Wright
Emotional Behavioral Support
Learning Support I
High Schools
2015-2016 Programs
Brooke Point
Autism
Learning Support I
2
3
Autism
Learning Support I
2
3
Colonial Forge
Learning Support I
Learning Support II
Deaf/HI
Autism
Emotional Behavioral Support
Learning Support I
Multiple Disabilities
2
2
1
2
1
1
1
Learning Support I
Learning Support II
Deaf/HI
Autism
Emotional Behavioral Support
Learning Support I
Multiple Disabilities
2
2
1
2
1
1
1
Autism
Emotional Behavioral Support
Learning Support I
Learning Support II
Autism
Learning Support I
Learning Support II
Public Day School
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
Autism
Emotional Behavioral Support
Learning Support I
Learning Support II
Autism
Emotional Behavioral Support
Learning Support I
Learning Support II
Public Day School
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
Mountain View
North Stafford
Stafford
Classrooms 2016-2017 Programs
23
Classrooms
Stafford County Public Schools
Student Accommodation Report, July 2016
Recommendations

Continue the annual division wide evaluation of the program capacity for all schools.
Program capacity is currently calculated utilizing the Virginia Department of Education’s
Virginia Elementary School Capacity Worksheet, Virginia Middle School Capacity
Worksheet, and the Virginia High School Capacity Worksheet with input from the school
administrators. Program capacity will account for instructional programs that are
conducted at each school. Recommend a review of the program capacity methodology to
assure the most accurate picture of operations is accomplished using the above form.
Design capacity has been evaluated based on floor plans and the original intent of each
classroom space. Design capacity will remain consistent each year unless construction
activity changes the physical design of a school.

Utilize the new student enrollment forecast to be completed in October 2016, Fall
enrollment numbers, elementary school capacities, and new class size reductions to
assess possible needs for redistricting.

Utilize the new student enrollment forecast to be completed in October 2016, Fall
enrollment numbers, and school capacities to evaluate if a redistricting effort is needed to
address possible overcrowding in Colonial Forge High School.
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