CoUnTEr- inTUiTivE
Transcription
CoUnTEr- inTUiTivE
KATE BUSH And The Power of Being Counterintuitive borkowski.do The WISDOM CROWDS OF Insanity in individuals is something rare – but in groups, parties, nations, and epochs it is the rule. – Freidrich Nietzsche, Beyond Good and Evil, 1886 It shouldn’t take a publicist to tell you of the wisdom and peril of the crowd. Leaders in philosophy, mathematics, and literature have been exploring the idea for centuries. But in the age of Big Data, it is perhaps worth focussing on the numbers to put some of this wisdom into perspective... In 1906, the renowned statistician Francis Galton attended a country fair at which he observed a competition to determine the weight of an ox. Being of an inquisitive nature, and particularly curious about numbers, Galton conducted an investigation to determine how close the crowd could come to guessing the actual weight of the ox. To his surprise, the mean average guess of the eight hundred people present (1,197lbs) was startlingly close to the actual weight of the ox (1,198lbs). In his words, “the middlemost estimate expresses the vox populi, every other estimate being condemned as too low or too high by a majority of the voters”. In other words, the collective knowledge of the crowd was better than that of any individual within it. What does that have to do with publicity, I hear you say? Well, quite a lot actually. In the Now! Economy, being noticed is a constant struggle for survival. Brands and celebrities are going to great lengths to have their voices heard through the white noise as the choices available to consumers expand at an ever-increasing rate. Acts once perceived to be creative or outlandish have been copycatted and marketed to the point of boredom: bullet bras, meat dresses, wrecking balls – we’ve seen it all before – the gimmicks, racy parties, image reinvention: it’s dull. Nowhere does the desperate need for a few column inches crystalize itself better than in Sanrio’s recent stunt claiming that its product Hello Kitty is not in fact a cat, but an English child. Clutching at whiskers, much? Miaow. What really takes the biscuit is the fact that Sanrio are not the only brand to have pulled such a desperate stunt, with McVitie’s claiming that their Chocolate Digestives are intended to be eaten chocolate-side-down earlier in the year. But all is not lost. Being liked is far too easy these days, and brands that want to have an impact must be loved, adored, revered. This is when it pays to dare to be different, and no single individual could have embodied the spirit of this sentiment better this year than Kate Bush. KATE BUSH: How Curiosity Conquered the Concert Hall The first female artist to ever achieve a number one with a song she had written herself, Bush defied all odds and sent the mediaintofrenzy last month after returning from the wilderness to execute her 22-night Before the Dawn tour. What is particular about Bush is not just her talent, but also her all-out refusal to engage with the media for almost four decades. Bush has managed awe-inspiring success despite breaking almost every rule of the fame formula: the 80,000 tickets to Before the Dawn sold out in 15 minutes, and Bush has maintained her place among pages 1-3 in the UK newspapers for days. Why? Well, we would argue it is because she has created a brand that is loved rather than liked, and because she is a woman who has managed to harness the curiosity of the crowd to her advantage. If this were simply a question of phenomenal ticket or album sales, the story would already be over. But Bush has tapped into something deeper: the currency of experience. She has managed to keep the story alive by creating a series of events. Events that will provide several thousand people with experiences to talk and Tweet about with countless others, and which will keep her name in the headlines. Unlike her contemporaries, Bush has refused to pander to the whims of the media. At no point in the genesis of this tour has Bush attempted to reinvent herself or her image: her art remains central to it, and her message to her fans via her website remains humble, friendly and simple. She has circumvented the glamorous, sexed-up shots of yesteryear by returning to the stage as Earth Mother. For good or otherwise, Bush’s silence has made us curious to know more, and has given the crowd ample time to percolate stories of whispered intrigue around her image. The singer’s insistence that the audience does not take pictures at the venue only does more to fuel this. As Ed Power from the Irish Independent put it, “In an age in which it feels we know almost as much about pop stars as about our immediate family, Bush is a rarity: an enigma who fuels our fascination the further she withdraws from the limelight”. After her first month-long tour in 1979, Bush started a slow and complete retreat from public life with the exception of her artistic output. Unlike other artists who have returned to the limelight (often for money: think Monty Python, Led Zeppelin, Leonard Cohen), Bush has not sought after a large venue such as the O2 for her tour, but has returned to the Hammersmith Apollo, an indie haven in its heyday once known as the Hammy-O, or Odeon. She has entrusted theatre legend Adrian Noble to direct the tour, and has placed her son as its creative director. The whole thing, right down to her bare feet, screams of openness and integrity – a rare pearl in a pool of gimmickry. Such integrity is in no small part responsible for the tour’s success: she has let her art speak for itself. Having a back catalogue of great songs doesn’t hurt, either. “She is a woman who has managed to harness the curiosity of the crowd” Mysticism and the Art of Influence Whilst every brand may not possess Bush’s gifts, or the wealth of mystique built up over a selfimposed 35-year media hiatus, there are a number of lessons all brands can learn to develop their influence. At Borkowski.do, we have decades of experience helping brands identify the strengths and stories that truly inspire the crowd. Here are some of our top tips: 1. The Age of Reach is Dead Reach as far as you want, it doesn’t matter. This is the Age of Influence. Viewing figures, page views, and sales volumes still seem to be the measure of success. Numbers, we are told, rule. It doesn’t take much, however, to see that this isn’t true. Online, page views mean next to nothing. What counts now is engagement, return, and conversion, in other words: influence. 2. Influence Means Making Things Happen How do we measure influence? Getting someone to look at you is one thing, but in this digitally frenetic world, maintaining someone’s attention is quite another. Our eyes and ears are everywhere now: reading the news, watching the latest show, listening to the latest songs, all at once, on the move, and at increasing speeds. Whilst sales might be one way to measure influence, they are not a measure that can be applied to all brands. A persona, for instance, doesn’t have a price. Numbers can’t quantify real influence – it is quantified by events. Because true influence makes things happen. 3. Gimmicks Never Work* Search Term topics: Interest OVER Time kony 2012 Average 2005 psy robin thicke 2007 2009 2011 2013 *Brands’ ECG Monitor shows they’re dead in the water. T hey can reach billions, but change nothing. Psy’s Gangnam style has now been viewed over 2 billion times on YouTube. Its global success relied on two things: a catchy tune and a repetitive hand gesture. It’s infectious, but transparent. There’s no mystery. All that remains of Psy now is a YouTube record and a dance move. The phenomenon feels like ancient history now. The same goes for Robin Thicke. In May it was announced that his single “Blurred Lines” had sold over 1.5m copies, and was the most-downloaded song of all time. But then, if the song’s misogyny wasn’t bad enough, he was pictured groping a woman. His wife divorced him. The blogosphere scorched him. His latest album – dedicated to his estranged wife Paula – sold only 530 copies in its first week. For all the talk, he’s now just another pop blip, a one-hit wonder. Two years ago, a video called “Kony 2012” went viral. It has been viewed almost 100m times, and was shared across the world. A call for action, it demanded that everyone watching bring Joseph Kony, a child-abducting warlord from Africa, accountable for his crimes. It seemed like it could work. “When you get 100 million Americans looking at something, you will get our attention,” said one US senator “This YouTube sensation is gonna help the Congress be more aggressive and will do more to lead to his demise than all other action combined.” But two weeks later, Jason Russell, the film’s creator, director, narrator and star, had a public meltdown, and was filmed naked in the middle of a busy street, pounding at the floor and shouting at Satan. We saw too much. Scrutiny increased, and cynicism prevailed. No-one turned up for the main event. Social media activism became slacktivism. 100m people watched Kony 2012, and Joseph Kony is still on the loose. 4. Mysticism is the Key to Reverence To wield true influence, you have to have the allure of a Sun god. You have to give people what they need, even though they don’t exactly understand how it works. To be revered is to wield influence. You could call it magic, good PR, or, in Google’s case, an unfathomable algorithm. But seeing isn’t believing. Believing is a leap of faith, and hope and faith have always been the opium of the masses. N owhere is this clearer than in our continued adulation of the Monarchy, or the keenness with which we exchange our private data with companies such as Google, Facebook or Apple. These juggernauts fight every day to snap up the juiciest bits of our data: just think of the speed with which Facebook bought WhatsApp. The perfect example of reach and influence can be found in a young woman called Kate Middleton. You might have heard of her. She had a wedding, and 24.5m of us tuned in to watch. Although we weren’t just watching: we were buying into a fairytale. Since the wedding, Kate has become a cultural phenomenon. Kate has taken the role of the People’s Princess, first forged by Diana, to a whole new level. Unlike Diana, Kate has managed to steer clear of drama (for now) and simultaneously maintain a notion of privacy whilst crafting a wholesome, mystical, and ethereal public image. The clothes she wears sell out. When she wore a Séraphine maternity dress, it sold out in two hours, and created a month-long waiting list. Whilst the privilege and luxury of royalty is decadently illogical, it’s this lack of sense that makes us love the Monarchy. It’s an eccentric quirk of that harks back to the days of Empire, and it is a sentimentality for glory days passed that keeps us hanging on. If our love of the Monarchy is our adulation for the remains of the Old World Order, then our trust in Google and Facebook must mark a love for the benevolent dictators of the Brave New World. ‘Benevolent’ in that they give us what we want. At a price. Google has become one of the most essential tools of our age - the axe of the digital world. We use it to simplify and make sense of the web. Like a librarian, it curates and organises all the information we need. But unlike an axe or a librarian, how it works is mind-boggling and its functions appear almost magical. In its role as the gatekeeper, Google is also able to track our movements online, and collect vast amounts of data on every one of us. And with this information, it has the power to influence. A recent study suggested that it could even help decide the outcome of an election. 5. Sociality Talks, Reality Walks Whilst you’d have to be stupid to deny that Facebook and Twitter can sometimes change the world, there are very clear disparities between people’s engagement on social media and the lengths they are really prepared to go to for a brand or an idea in reality. W hilst there have been a number of positive trends, such as the adoption of social stunt memes by charities to raise money and awareness (think of the ALS Ice Bucket Challenge), there is still a disconnect between people’s purported commitment and their actual allegiances when it comes down to the crunch. This is particularly apparent in the world of politics. On the face of things, politicians are doing well in the world of social media. MPs have 4m Twitter followers combined: equating to just over 6 per cent of the population. But this isn’t enough. As I’ve pointed out before, the average Twitter account only has one follower. Although my new favourite stat is that almost 50 per cent of Twitter’s 970m accounts have never sent a single tweet. Where the meaninglessness of these figures really hits home is at the polling booth. In the last sixty years, political party membership has flatlined. Since 1951, the Tories have lost millions of members, while Labour’s numbers have fallen from 876,000 to just 190,000. The last three elections have had the lowest participation since the start of universal suffrage. In 1950, 84 per cent of the UK public voted. In 2010, turnout was 65 per cent. The pols just can’t get the proles to vote. Though this may seem like terrible news for Westminster, such apathy may not be entirely bad news. On Facebook, the most ‘liked’ UK political party is Britain First, a farright group that splintered from the BNP. These shiny-headed bigots have 405,000 likes, whereas the Tories have 258,000, and Labour has 185,000. The disconnect between social media and real life, is, in this case, probably a saving grace. If you take just a handful of Britain First’s more popular posts on Facebook, then you already have more likes than people who voted for them in the last European election: just under 20,000 people supported the candidates they fielded earlier this year. It’s all bark and very little bite – and this is the reason I’m so sceptical towards social media. When a lot of people hear the phrase “the reach and influence of online activism” they think “transformative”. All I think is “what a myth”. This is not to say that online activism doesn’t have its place, but merely, that like any craft, it must be mastered. Successful online campaigns – the driving force behind websites such as Avaaz.org – are underpinned by a few select, common factors: they tackle a single issue and have a rolling ‘Use By’ date (i.e. when the issue has been resolved). When the vox populi clamoured together against the Bedroom Tax on Facebook, the campaign successfully wrangled promises out of Labour, the Lib Dems and the SNP in Scotland to repeal the law. LOVE Me Hate Me OR it’s still an obsession T h r o u g h o ut history people have been endowed with the gift of an opinion, but fortunately for us, we haven’t had to hear many of them. Grumblers, moaners, fans and evangelists: the only voice left to posterity was that of the commentator. #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD #myNYPD S ocial media as changed all of that, however, and has made little emperors of all of us, sending brands to stardom or their doom at the punch of a hashtag or the click of a ‘like’ button. The formats that are available to us to express our opinions are defined by their polarity: the like button, the up vote, the like/dislike bar. The crucial effect of this is that it makes Marmite out of every brand. There is no middle ground: everyone’s verdict is red or green, and everyone’s verdict is public. It’s impossible to rely on middle-weight opinion in the Now! Economy: brands must learn how to inspire love, whilst incorporating measures to manage hate when dealing with the general public. When things do go wrong – and they can go badly wrong (NYPD are still licking their wounds following their Twitter gaffe in April) – it is important to move quickly. But also carefully. Dud moves to appease the crowd can cost a brand more than the original blunder. In such situations, a steady and seasoned PR hand can help – if nothing else, to provide safe, reasoned counsel. But don’t throw the baby out with the bathwater, such powerful polarity provides huge opportunities for brands if they can manage it well. Just look at Miley Cyrus. Whatever you think of her twerking, homeless-person-touting stunt tactics, she has managed her crowd with aplomb. Armed with a catalogue of pop hits, in the last year she has entered the top 20 of the Forbes Celebrity 100 index, with an estimated worth of $36m. Whatever the public think of her, she has the last laugh. Daring To Be Different How to succeed by being counter-intuitive in the Now! Economy Without promotion, something terrible happens... Nothing! – P.T. Barnum A fter the heart attack and lollipop to the eye that marked the end of David Bowie’s Reality tour in 2003, many fans thought they had heard the last of the Thin White Duke. With the exception of a couple of oneoff performances in 2005 with Arcade Fire, and in 2006 with Alicia Keys, Bowie retreated from public life and instead turned to spend time with his daughter and to focus on his painting. As a result of the silence, a mystique has built up around him in recent years such that allegations of his appearance have become a commonplace Internet meme. However, the joke was on everybody else last year when Bowie decided to release the first single from his new album, entirely unannounced, onto iTunes for his 66th birthday, allowing fans to discover its presence for themselves, generating entirely organic coverage that took the media world by storm. The single topped the UK iTunes chart within hours of its release. There were no big publicity stunts, and no exclusive interviews, just the quiet confidence in an uncontested talent, and the courage to go against the grain of common pop publicity tactics. The buzz about the release has created a will he?-won’t he? excitement around the name of the star, which peaked earlier this month when rumours of his appearance at the Kate Bush Before the Dawn tour spiralled completely out of control. Earlier in the year, Michael Eavis had leveraged the power of such rumours to his advantage by hinting that he might play at Glastonbury this year. However, none of this is to say that a brand needs to go into seclusion in order to make its publicity work: Bowie’s label Columbia didn’t miss a trick with his little shenanigan, and they replicated a similar feat to the Next Day announcement with the release of Beyoncé’s self-titled album when it was released without any prior promotion later that year. Each song on the album was accompanied by a high-quality video track, and the album debuted at number one in the Billboard 200 chart. The content spoke for itself. The fans had conversations, shared, shared, and shared again. It was in this vein that the release of Weird Al Yankovic’s Mandatory Fun followed later in the year. Instead of publishing a pre-release single, Weird Al opted instead to release the eight videos for the album at once: “Well, here’s the thing… there IS no “lead single” for my new album. I’ll be releasing 12 “singles” all at once on July 15 – so you can decide for YOURSELF which songs are the hits!” Though Weird Al had opted for some more traditional modes of promotion, he had tapped in to the most crucial thing, that it was the power of the crowd, their conversations, and sharing that would determine the value of the album, realising Galton’s parable of the ox in real terms. It paid off: the album earned Weird Al his first Billboard number 1 of his entire career. Lessons History IN Controlling the limelight doesn’t mean switching it off Success in counterintuitiveness is not limited to the music industry. Nor is it limited to our day and age. The commercial value of being counterintuitive has been proven in every industry, and throughout the ages. Two particular examples from the turn of the last century come to mind: Harry Gordon Selfridge and Edward Bernays. W hen Selfridges first opened in 1906, the notion of shopping for anything but necessity seemed quite ridiculous, and the idea of making goods readily accessible for shoppers to look at and touch even more so. But Selfridge had the gall to go against the grain and turn shopping into a leisure activity like we had never known before. Tribute to his success lies in much of the framework upon which modern day consumer culture and capitalism has been built. Bernays, though not a household name in the same way as Selfridge, is visible wherever you see a woman in the street with a cigarette in her hand. Bernays knew how to manipulate the zeitgeist of the era, how to leverage third party opinion, and how to create a killer meme. He managed to turn a social taboo – women smoking in public – into a symbol of freedom on the crest of the wave of Women’s Liberation – thus opening up a huge new market for his client and maximizing opportunities for good publicity. What is clear from these case studies is that in every era, being counter-intuitive has amazing commercial value. The way of the media is changing. We must embrace the chaos left in the wake of such change if we are to succeed. Brand narrative has to be about people and must drive conversations if it is to be relevant. Jargon reduces craft into content and people into consumers, forgetting the instincts that drive us as human beings and causing cynicism and disengagement on both sides. Understanding and relationships can only be built by asking the right questions. The muchmaligned crowd knows this, and has reacted with instinctive aversion to the condescension of the media machine. Few people understand these relationships like Borkowski.do, and is this deep understanding that powers our thinking And enables us to support and advise our clients, no matter the weather. Say hello! [email protected] or [email protected] 020 3176 2700 Somerset House New Wing, Strand London WC2R 1LA T: 020 3176 2700 E: [email protected] @borkowski.do