The New Era Of American Weakness
Transcription
The New Era Of American Weakness
2013_10_14 postal:cover61404-postal.qxd 9/25/2013 11:43 AM Page 1 October 14, 2013 $4.99 OREN CASS: A PRO-WORK, ANTI-POVERTY PROGRAM JAY NORDLINGER: Alcohol on the Reservation EBERSTADT ON NOVAK WILLIAMSON ON D.C. ARCHITECTURE Hey, quit it, Vlad! I told you I’d be flexible. The New Era of American Weakness $4.99 41 THE EDITORS 0 74820 08155 6 www.nationalreview.com base:milliken-mar 22.qxd 8/27/2013 12:03 PM Page 1 “Young America’s Foundation has been a refuge for students seeking an alternative to the ‘politically correct’ environment enforced on many campuses. I know the conference will send you back to your campuses better informed, motivated and trained.” - President Ronald Reagan. Conferences at the Reagan Ranch FOR HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS High School Conference October 17 TO 19, 2013 Limited number of openings for only $100. Apply now! 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Kirby Freedom Center 110 Elden Street Herndon, Virginia 20170 1-800-USA-1776 TOC:QXP-1127940144.qxp 9/25/2013 3:08 PM Page 1 Contents OCTOBER 14, 2013 ON THE COVER | V O L U M E L X V, N O . 1 9 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m BOOKS, ARTS & MANNERS Page 13 Stumbling on Syria 38 Mary Eberstadt reviews Writing from Left to Right: My Journey from Liberal to Conservative, by Michael Novak. A superpower should be trusted by its friends and feared by its enemies, and we are neither. The president cares most about “nationbuilding at home” and is clearly uncomfortable with the assertion of American power. This was unmistakable in his marble-mouthed case for a strike in Syria. The Editors 41 THE ROADMAP Kevin A. Hassett reviews The Growth Experiment Revisited: Why Lower, Simpler Taxes Really Are America’s Best Hope for Recovery, by Lawrence B. Lindsey. 42 ARTICLES 15 A DIALOGUE ON DEFUNDING 44 Should opponents of Obamacare be willing to shut down the government? by Reihan Salam It has a lot of poor people, and the rich liberals like it that way. 46 by Kevin D. Williamson FILM: MODERN LOVE Ross Douthat reviews Drinking Buddies. A vituperation against federal architecture. 20 COMIC-BOOK LIBERALISM STRICTLY IRRATIONAL Theodore Dalrymple reviews American Psychosis: How the Federal Government Destroyed the Mental Illness Treatment System, by E. Fuller Torrey. by Ramesh Ponnuru 17 BILL DE BLASIO’S NEW YORK THE GOP AT WAR Colin Dueck reviews Conservative Internationalism: Armed Diplomacy under Jefferson, Polk, Truman, and Reagan, by Henry R. Nau. COVER: ROMAN GENN 18 OUR HIDEOUS CAPITAL A CATHOLIC FOR ALL SEASONS by Sonny Bunch 47 Movie studios move rightwardly away from their print sources. CITY DESK: THE REST IS SILENCE Richard Brookhiser discusses the wall of sound. FEATURES 23 THE HEIGHT OF THE NET by Oren Cass How can an anti-poverty program encourage people to work? 29 DIVESTMENT DU JOUR SECTIONS by Stanley Kurtz Obama endorses a crusade against fossil fuels. 31 HOW WE USED TO DO IT by Mario Loyola 33 DECISION AT PINE RIDGE by Jay Nordlinger American diplomacy in the Yom Kippur War. The ongoing, awful question of alcohol on the reservation. 2 4 36 37 41 48 Letters to the Editor The Week Athwart . . . . . . . . . . . James Lileks The Long View . . . . . . Rob Long Poetry . . . . . . . Daniel Mark Epstein Happy Warrior . . . . . . Mark Steyn NATIONAl RevIeW (ISSN: 0028-0038) is published bi-weekly, except for the first issue in January, by NATIONAl RevIeW, Inc., at 215 lexington Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10016. Periodicals postage paid at New York, N.Y., and additional mailing offices. © National Review, Inc., 2013. Address all editorial mail, manuscripts, letters to the editor, etc., to editorial Dept., NATIONAl RevIeW, 215 lexington Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10016. Address all subscription mail orders, changes of address, undeliverable copies, etc., to NATIONAl RevIeW, Circulation Dept., P. O. Box 433015, Palm Coast, Fla. 32143-3015; phone, 386-246-0118, Monday–Friday, 8:00 A.M. to 10:30 P.M. eastern time. Adjustment requests should be accompanied by a current mailing label or facsimile. Direct classified advertising inquiries to: Classifieds Dept., NATIONAl RevIeW, 215 lexington Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10016 or call 212-6797330. POSTMASTeR: Send address changes to NATIONAl RevIeW, Circulation Dept., P. O. Box 433015, Palm Coast, Fla. 32143-3015. Printed in the U.S.A. RATeS: $59.00 a year (24 issues). Add $21.50 for Canada and other foreign subscriptions, per year. (All payments in U.S. currency.) The editors cannot be responsible for unsolicited manuscripts or artwork unless return postage or, better, a stamped, self-addressed envelope is enclosed. Opinions expressed in signed articles do not necessarily represent the views of the editors. letters:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/25/2013 3:07 PM Page 2 Letters OCTOBER 14 ISSUE; PRINTED SEPTEMBER 26 EDITOR Richard Lowry Senior Editors Richard Brookhiser / Jay Nordlinger Ramesh Ponnuru / David Pryce-Jones Managing Editor Jason Lee Steorts Literary Editor Michael Potemra Executive Editor Christopher McEvoy Washington Editor Robert Costa Roving Correspondent Kevin D. Williamson National Correspondent John J. Miller Art Director Luba Kolomytseva Deputy Managing Editors Nicholas Frankovich / Fred Schwarz Associate Editors Patrick Brennan / Katherine Connell Production Editor Katie Hosmer Research Associate Scott Reitmeier Assistant to the Editor Madison V. Peace Contributing Editors Shannen Coffin / Ross Douthat / Roman Genn Jim Geraghty / Jonah Goldberg / Florence King Lawrence Kudlow / Mark R. Levin Yuval Levin / Rob Long / Jim Manzi Andrew C. McCarthy / Kate O’Beirne Reihan Salam / Robert VerBruggen N AT I O N A L R E V I E W O N L I N E Editor-at-Large Kathryn Jean Lopez Managing Editor Edward John Craig National-Affairs Columnist John Fund Media Editor Eliana Johnson Political Reporters Andrew Stiles / Jonathan Strong Reporter Katrina Trinko Staff Writer Charles C. W. Cooke Associate Editor Molly Powell Editorial Associates Sterling C. Beard / Andrew Johnson Technical Services Russell Jenkins Web Developer Wendy Weihs E D I T O R S - AT- L A RG E Linda Bridges / John O’Sullivan N AT I O N A L R E V I E W I N S T I T U T E B U C K L E Y F E L L OW S I N P O L I T I C A L J O U R N A L I S M A Period Problem As a faithful reader, I was surprised to see an erroneous reference to “Harry S. Truman” in “Why Like Ike” (Kevin D. Williamson, September 2). The “S” in his name is not an abbreviation, but a tribute to both his grandfathers. His correct name is “Harry S Truman.” I expect such errors from others but not NATIoNAL RevIeW. The bar is very high for you indeed. Timothy C. Siegel Knoxville, Tenn. KevIN D. WILLIAmSoN RepLIeS: president Truman said that there was no need to put a period after the “S,” since it was not an initial and did not denote anything. In the 1960s, he was asked how he preferred it, and he said that it usually was written with a period, and that was fine by him. The Associated press stylebook has called for a period since that time. I myself am a dissenter from Ap style on this issue—Truman’s preferences be damned, the “S” doesn’t stand for anything—but was in this matter overruled by NATIoNAL RevIeW convention. Given that the editors spare me at least three embarrassing errors a fortnight, I am happy to submit to their preferences in this matter, even though my own instincts go in the other direction. You might try launching a petition effort to have the style changed, but I would not invest too much hope in it: Custom and usage are not lightly subordinated to mere democratic preference. THe eDIToRS RepLY: Doesn’t the “S” stand for two names, not none? most initials abbreviate the names of the people whose initials they are, and Truman’s did not, but why should that make any difference for the period? Alec Torres / Betsy Woodruff Contributors Hadley Arkes / Baloo / James Bowman Eliot A. Cohen / Dinesh D’Souza M. Stanton Evans / Chester E. Finn Jr. Neal B. Freeman / James Gardner David Gelernter / George Gilder / Jeffrey Hart Kevin A. Hassett / Charles R. Kesler David Klinghoffer / Anthony Lejeune D. Keith Mano / Michael Novak Alan Reynolds / Tracy Lee Simmons Terry Teachout / Vin Weber Chief Financial Officer James X. Kilbridge Accounting Manager Galina Veygman Accountant Zofia Baraniak Business Services Alex Batey / Alan Chiu / Lucy Zepeda Circulation Manager Jason Ng Assistant to the Publisher Kate Murdock WORLD WIDE WEB www.nationalreview.com MAIN NUMBER 212-679-7330 SUBSCRIPTION INQUIRIES 386-246-0118 WASHINGTON OFFICE 202-543-9226 ADVERTISING SALES 212-679-7330 Executive Publisher Scott F. Budd Advertising Director Jim Fowler Advertising Manager Kevin Longstreet Associate Publisher Paul Olivett Director of Development Heyward Smith Vice President, Communications Amy K. Mitchell PUBLISHER Jack Fowler The Service You Haven’t excellent article from mr. Talent (“The Army You Haven’t,” September 16). His analysis is thorough and illuminates the folly of our defunding defense with minimal fiscal gain and maximal defense degradation. But I have to take issue with his assertion in the first paragraph that there are “three services.” What are these three services? There are three defense departments, but I don’t know which are the three services. The last I counted there are four: (in seniority order) United States Army, United States marine Corps, United States Navy, and United States Air Force (the United States Coast Guard is considered a military service only in times of combat). Ras Smith United States Marine Corps (Retired) Las Cruces, N.M. JIm TALeNT RepLIeS: You are correct. There are three departments, with three service secretaries. But there are four services, and that is how I should have put it. my thanks for correcting the error; it gives me the opportunity to acknowledge it and send my regrets (and thanks) to you and all those who have served their country. CHAIRMAN John Hillen CHAIRMAN EMERITUS Thomas L. Rhodes FOUNDER Letters may be submitted by e-mail to [email protected]. William F. 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NOTE: New York Mint® is a private distributor of worldwide government coin and currency issues and privately issued licensed collectibles and is not affiliated with the United States government. Facts and figures deemed accurate as of August 2013. ©2013 New York Mint, LLC. week:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/25/2013 3:08 PM Page 4 The Week n Ted Cruz read Green Eggs and Ham to the Senate, and for all they know it could have been a chapter of the Affordable Care Act. n Aaron Alexis, who murdered twelve people at the Washington Navy Yard before being killed himself, added one more horror to the list of recent mass shootings—Newtown, Aurora, Tucson, Virginia Tech. Like his fellow killers, Alexis was mentally unbalanced. He had been discharged from the Navy Reserve in 2011 for what was blandly called a “pattern of misbehavior.” In 2010, he was arrested in Fort Worth for discharging a firearm in his apartment because his upstairs neighbor was too noisy; in 2004, he was arrested in Seattle for shooting out the tires of someone else’s car during what detectives called a “blackout.” Notwithstanding these episodes, Alexis, an information technologist who worked for a subcontractor, had a security clearance and was able to slip a shotgun—a weapon that not even ardent gun controllers wish to ban—with him into the Navy Yard. America’s decades-long experiment with deinstitutionalizing mental patients has brought chaos to their lives and death to others when the disturbed are violent. Treatment can be more sophisticated than the warehousing of the old days, but treatment there must be. ROMAN GENN n The president wanted to nominate Lawrence Summers as Fed chairman, but a rebellion in his party forced Summers to withdraw. Obama is weak these days, so an appointment that in previous administrations would have been effectively his alone to bestow is now out of his control. And the Left feels itself resurgent: Bill de Blasio, a sandalista back in the day, is likely to be New York City’s next mayor. A man who in the 1990s supported deregulation in some portions of the financial world, as Summers did, was not going to get a pass from them. And feminists wanted a woman. So now Obama is likely to pick Janet Yellen. Compared with Summers, she has more expertise on monetary policy and works better with others. She does not appear to share his view that the Fed has already done everything it can do to promote economic recovery. So the Fed and the country may come out ahead from this trade, if only by accident. n Markets had expected the Fed to “taper,” or begin slowing down its asset purchases, this fall. That expectation had driven stocks down. The Fed then surprised the world by delaying the taper, and markets rose. These reactions strengthened the common theory that Wall Street is addicted to easy money from the Fed. In the past, though, stocks have not always risen when the Fed has loosened. What the market has been saying in recent years is that tightening when unemployment is high and inflation is low would keep the economy depressed longer. The problem with the Fed’s latest move is that it was a surprise, and a portent of future surprises: Markets are more in the dark than ever about the Fed’s intentions. Time for a predictable rule. 4 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m See page 6. n In the past year, we have learned that the Benghazi installation’s status as a “temporary” facility meant it was exempt from commonsense security requirements. The mission of the personnel out there—perhaps two dozen CIA, if a CNN report is accurate—remains unclear, although some reports suggest it related to reclaiming anti-aircraft missiles smuggled into Libya during the civil war. We still have no explanation as to why a German-based Commander’s In-extremis Force was moved to Italy that night but never deployed to Libya, although last year CBS reported that State Department “concerns about violating Libyan sovereignty made a military rescue mission impractical.” No one on the ground in Benghazi reported a public protest, leaving no clear explanation of how that became the centerpiece of the administration storyline on the attacks. The State Department’s Accountability Review Board fulfilled its task of creating a simulation of accountability without tainting any of the higherlevel officials with blame; four mid-level officials were put on paid leave and then reinstated. No one at the State Department ever missed a paycheck for his decisions about security at the Benghazi facility. One year later, none of the murderers of four Americans has been arrested, jailed, or executed. It is a barbarity blurred by lies, unavenged. n While Republican presidential candidates and individual Republicans in Congress have advanced ambitious plans to introduce free-market principles into health care, congressional OCTOBER 14, 2013 base:milliken-mar 22.qxd 9/23/2013 3:35 PM Page 1 Safe, comfortable bathing from Jacuzzi® Technology Breakthrough Enjoy A Bath Again… Safely and Affordably FREE Exclusiv foot ma e ssage jets! 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Unlike traditional bathtubs, this Walk-In Tub features a leak-proof door that allows you to simply step into the tub rather than stepping precariously over the side. It features a state-of-the-art acrylic surface, a raised seat, and the controls are within easy reach. No other Walk-In Tub features the patented Jacuzzi® PointPro® jet system. These high-volume, low-pressure pumps feature a perfectly balanced water to air ratio to massage thoroughly yet gently. Some swirl, some spiral, some What To Look For in a Walk-In Tub: © 2013 Aging in the Home Remodelers Inc. week:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/25/2013 3:08 PM Page 6 THE WEEK Republicans as a group have not taken them up. So it is good news that the 175 House Republicans in the conservative Republican Study Committee have taken on the issue, and especially that they have tackled the tax code’s treatment of health insurance. The federal government’s encouragement of openended insurance coverage provided by employers is the root of much of what is wrong with health-care markets, and did a lot to make the passage of Obamacare possible. The RSC plan levels the playing field so that people who buy insurance for themselves get the same tax break as people who join their company’s plan, and people who buy cheap policies get the same tax break as people who buy expensive ones. It also allows insurers to sell across state lines, bypassing state regulators. The plan has its flaws. It increases federal power over medical-malpractice laws, for one, and it doesn’t do quite enough to make insurance more affordable—but it makes a good start. It is certainly better than Obamacare, and may hasten the day of its demise. n The Obama administration has been free in handing out waivers from the health-care law, but it finally said no to a key ally. Labor unions wanted the law to be rewritten to protect union-negotiated health-care plans. Obama personally called AFL-CIO president Richard Trumka to make sure the union would not come out against the health-care law at its September convention, then turned down the waiver request once the convention was over. The unions should have known how the law was going to affect them when they were lobbying for it, but we will be happy to welcome them to the repeal coalition once they recognize that they have been played. AP PHOTO/MICHAEL CONROY n Hobby Lobby, an arts-and-crafts chain, is among the more than 200 plaintiffs suing the Obama administration over its mandate that employers provide insurance coverage for sterilization, contraception, and drugs that may induce abortion. It is owned by a Christian family who say that paying for abortion-inducing drugs violates their religious beliefs. The company won a temporary injunction from the Tenth Circuit in June against complying with the mandate. Now the Obama administration has announced it will appeal the ruling to the Supreme Court. At issue is whether the Religious Freedom Restoration Act protects for-profit corporations. Appellate judges have been divided on this question. The Supreme Court has in the past unanimously rebuffed the Obama administration’s efforts to circumscribe religious liberty, and we wish the administration the same success this time. n NATIONAL RevIew sued Newark mayor and aspiring senator Cory Booker and the city of Newark after our eliana Johnson had difficulty obtaining a police report on the murder of wazn Miller, a 19-year-old who was gunned down between two housing projects in 2004. Booker himself has told Miller’s story numerous times on the stump. As he tells it, he heard gunshots, ran toward them, and just happened to arrive on the scene in time for Miller to fall “into my arms.” The mayor held the boy there, tending to his wounds, until paramedics arrived. But it was too late: “He was dead,” Booker has said. The police report flatly contradicts these claims, indicating instead that a woman held Miller until an ambulance arrived and that the victim did not die in Booker’s arms but “expired from his injuries” at the hospital. The New York Post has done more digging, tracking down two witnesses, one of whom called Booker’s self-described heroics a “ploy” and a 6 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m “big act.” Our bet is that, just as Booker dropped the drug dealer T-Bone from his speeches, he will never again tell an audience about catching wazn Miller in his arms. n Remember the good old days when a candidate’s hesitation to release his tax returns was treated as a genuine scandal? That was long ago, in 2012. Rather than release his returns, Mayor Booker allowed nine reporters hand-picked by his campaign to examine them in a hotel ballroom in Newark. They had three hours—no photographs, no copies, no removing the documents from the room—resulting in what one of the reporters present described as a mad scramble to record information as the clock ticked to zero. This, his campaign trumpeted as a “historic gesture of transparency.” Booker is also refusing to release the confidential separation agreement he struck with his old law firm, which netted him nearly $700,000 around the time the firm raked in over $2 million from two city agencies. Booker’s relationship with those agencies is, suffice it to say, cozy. He personally sat on the board of one while his former law partner served as its general counsel. His chief of staff simultaneously serves as chairman of the board of the other. Booker owes the people of New Jersey a full and open accounting of his relationship with the firm. As for that “historic gesture of transparency,” it is a gesture, all right: a not-verypolite one in the faces of New Jersey’s voters. n Republicans under the leadership of eric Cantor have proposed some modest controls on the food-stamp program, which has in recent years seen its client list double and its spending quadruple. Post-recession economic weakness—thank you, Obamanomics—explains only part of this spike. Cantor’s bill would place limitations upon so-called categorical eligibility, the practice of offering food stamps to households that are eligible for some other form of assistance, regardless of their incomes. Some states offer food stamps to households that simply have received a welfarebenefits brochure in the mail. The House bill also would impose modest work requirements on long-term food-stamp recipients who are able-bodied adults without dependent children. while the ledger cost of welfare is enormous, the real cost must account for the economic impacts of long-term separation from the work force, which is devastating for individuals and their families, not to mention a drag on the national economy. earlier welfare-reform programs have seen good results from work requirements—at least when government is willing to enforce them—and applying them to food stamps makes sense. The bill has Democrats telling tales from Dickens, but then they always are. n Pope Francis caused a stir with some recent comments in an interview. He said that the Church did not need to talk about abortion, homosexuality, and contraception all the time, and should present its teaching on these issues as part of its broader OCTOBER 14, 2013 base:milliken-mar 22.qxd 9/23/2013 3:37 PM Page 1 &KLFDJR'RFWRU,QYHQWV Affordable Hearing Aid $PD]LQJQHZGLJLWDOKHDULQJDLGEUHDNVSULFHEDUULHULQDIIRUGDELOLW\ Reported by J. Page &KLFDJR%RDUGFHUWLÀHGSK\VLFLDQ'U6 &KHUXNXULKDVGRQHLWRQFHDJDLQZLWKKLV QHZHVWLQYHQWLRQRIDPHGLFDOJUDGHALL DIGITAL affordable hearing aid. 7KLVQHZGLJLWDOKHDULQJDLGLVSDFNHG ZLWKDOOWKHIHDWXUHVRIFRPSHWLWRUVDW DPHUHIUDFWLRQRIWKHFRVWNow, most people with hearing loss are able to enjoy crystal clear, natural sound—in a crowd, on the phone, in the wind—without suffering through “whistling” and annoying background noise. 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I am a teacher and hearing much better now” —Lillian Barden, California “I have used many expensive hearing aids, some over $5,000. The Airs have greatly improved my enjoyment of life” —Som Y., Michigan “I would definitely recommend them to my patients with hearing loss” —Amy S., Audiologist, Munster, Indiana 100% MONEY BACK GUARANTEE 45 DAY RISK FREE TRIAL Proudly assembled in the USA from Domestic & Imported Components. BBB RATING A ©2013 week:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/25/2013 3:08 PM Page 8 THE WEEK Gospel message. Liberals cheered these words, while conservative Catholics noted that they agreed with them—and were happy to hear the pope restate his strong opposition to abortion a day after the interview was released. One possible implication of the pope’s comment that the Church should not be “obsessed” with these issues, though, is that the Church has been—which would be a calumny. The press may be obsessed with them, but the average Western Catholic can live a long life, attending Mass every Sunday, without ever hearing a homily about contraception. Garnering less attention were more words pleasing to liberals, this time in off-the-cuff remarks in Sardinia the same week. He spoke there of economics, and nothing he said that was intelligible was objectionable. Not everything he said, alas, was. “We want a just system, a system that lets all of us get ahead. We don’t want this globalized economic system that does us so much harm. At its center there should be man and woman, as God wants, and not money.” What is the pope’s alternative to “this globalized economic system”? Is it a reversal of the trade liberalization and expansion of markets that has helped bring an unprecedented number of people around the world out of poverty? And while money should not be the center of anyone’s life, what can it mean to have an economic system that does not have at its center how men and women get and use money? Perhaps Francis is exercising his teaching office Obamacare vs. Work October 1, open enrollment in Obamacare’s health-insurance marketplaces is scheduled to begin. The opening of exchanges, and the beginning of coverage on January 1, will bring many changes to the health-care and insurance markets in the U.S. My American Enterprise Institute colleague Tom Miller recently testified before the House Judiciary Committee about how the law will discourage new start-ups, encourage insurance providers to consolidate, and make insurance more costly, with fewer options for individuals. As important as the law’s effect on health-care markets will be, we should not continue to ignore its effects on the labor market. These are likely to be large. Casey Mulligan, an economist at the University of Chicago, has recently documented an important untold story about the Affordable Care Act: It is a historically large disincentive to work. The nearby chart shows Mulligan’s estimates of the marginal tax rate on labor income by year for the median nonelderly person filing as a head of household or spouse. Mulligan’s calculations are quite thorough and factor in the benefits that a nonworking person loses if he decides to work. For example, if he gets $50 a week in food stamps while unemployed but loses them when employed, then the benefit of working is $50 per week lower than it otherwise would be. Mulligan performs the calculations for a hypothetical person who in 2007 made about $790 per week (the median wage in that year for a non-elderly household head or spouse who was working). As is clear in the chart, the marginal tax rate on labor income increases by about four percentage points in 2014 alone, with an increase of about one percentage point the following year. This jump is due to certain provisions of the ACA that go into effect in 2014 and 2015, such as the employer-mandate penalties, health-care exchanges, and subsidies. Mulligan discusses a number of examples that illustrate the channel through which taxes are increased. If a worker O 8 N | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m is part-time and does not receive insurance from his employer, he is eligible for premium support from the government. If he works harder and becomes a full-time employee, then he can lose this subsidy and his extra labor is therefore implicitly taxed. If he were to work fewer hours per week—say, moving from 35 to 29 hours per week—he might make slightly less money, but he would be eligible for the health-care subsidy if he lost employer insurance, and he would have more leisure time. Mulligan finds that workers may often be able to increase their after-tax income by working less. Labor-force participation is already lower than at any point since 1980, and the number of workers as a proportion of the population has remained persistently low since the start of the Great Recession. The health-care law will make an already grim situation worse. The rewards for work are about to plummet, and one can be sure that the fraction of Americans working will drop as well. —KEVIN A. HASSETT Marginal Labor-Income Tax Rates over Time (Average among Heads of Household and Spouses with Median Earnings Potential) 52% 50% 48% 46% 44% 42% 40% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 SOURCE: MULLIGAN, CASEY B., 2013, “AVERAGE MARGINAL LABOR INCOME TAX RATES UNDER THE AFFORDABLE CARE ACT,” NBER WORKING PAPER NO. 19365 OCTOBER 14, 2013 base:milliken-mar 22.qxd 9/19/2013 2:31 PM Page 1 Wherever life takes you, you will always be my son. COMPASS PENDANT H e’s meant the world to you since the day he was born. As you watch your son’s journey from boyhood to manhood, your heart swells with pride as he meets life’s challenges with quiet grace and generosity of spirit. Now, he can wear a reminder of your love no matter where life takes him. Presenting... Wherever Life Takes You Compass Pendant, exclusively from the Danbury Mint. An endearing sentiment, inscribed in stainless steel. 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State/Zip &ORFASTESTDELIVERYsWWWDANBURYMINTCOM 40960015E015 week:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/25/2013 3:08 PM Page 10 THE WEEK very subtly indeed, reminding Catholics that the Church does not teach that the pope is generally infallible. effects on the planet’s atmosphere. All cost, no benefit: That is the Obama administration’s energy policy. n The Catholic bishops of the U.S. are urging their parishioners to support the Senate immigration bill. We should “welcome the stranger,” they say, and treat newcomers with justice and compassion. That is surely true. The Church also, however, urges policymakers to be mindful of the needs of the poor. A massive increase in immigration seems likely to put pressure on the wages of low-income workers, natives and newcomers alike. It would retard assimilation, which makes it harder to give the stranger a true welcome. And offering legal status to illegal immigrants before making sure that the law can be enforced in the future undermines the government’s ability to secure the borders, a duty the Church acknowledges. On some issues, notably abortion, the policy implications of the moral norms the Catholic Church defends are fairly simple and straightforward: If unborn children are human beings made in the image of God, then it cannot be right to let them be killed with impunity. Illegal immigrants, too, are human beings made in the image of God, but the crucial questions of public policy the U.S. is weighing do not involve any dispute over that truth. Faithful Catholics can certainly reach the conclusions favored by the bishops. Both they and other people of good will can also reject those conclusions, which seems much the wiser course. n The indefensible persecution of former House GOP leader Tom DeLay has come to a close, with an appeals-court panel reaching the obvious conclusion: He committed no crime, did not come close to committing a crime, and was in fact attempting in good faith to comply with the law when a politically ambitious Democratic prosecutor in Austin railroaded him. The prosecutor had to convene three grand juries and keep them in the dark regarding the specifics of the law in order to obtain his indictment and subsequent conviction. DeLay was accused of violating a law that had not been passed at the time he was alleged to have broken it, and when that indictment was thrown out, he was accused of money laundering—even though under the law there can be no money laundering if the money in question is not the result of a violation of the law. For this reason, the appeals court threw out the conviction. Tom DeLay has been vindicated, but the American criminal-justice system has been indicted. 10 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m n Somali terrorists attacked a shopping mall in Nairobi, Kenya, murdering over 60 victims (the death toll was not clear at press time). The Kenyan army, reportedly helped by the FBI and Israeli special forces, took days to capture or kill the attackers. It was the worst terrorist violence in Kenya since al-Qaeda blew up the American embassy in 1998. The terrorists, called al-Shabab, have been fighting for control of the southern end of the collapsed state of Somalia; Kenya helped drive them from the port of Kismayo last year. AlShabab is allied with al-Qaeda’s Yemeni affiliate; its killers are a crowd of pious malcontents, many drawn from the Muslim diaspora. Kenyan president Uhuru Kenyatta, who lost a nephew in the attack, called al-Shabab “a criminal bunch of cowards” and vowed to “punish the masterminds swiftly and indeed very painfully.” The United States should do all it can to help him, and be on the watch for copycat plots here (one target for al-Shabab recruiters is Somali immigrants in Minnesota). OCTOBER 14, 2013 AP PHOTO/CLIFF OWEN n The Environmental Protection Agency has announced new standards for electricity generators: standards that will in effect forbid the construction of traditional coal-fired plants and could force the closure of existing plants if, as planned, the new standards eventually are applied retroactively to them. The legal basis for this action is questionable, based on a willful misreading of the Clean Air Act, while the economic basis is more questionable still—and the environmental basis is nonexistent. EPA administrator Gina McCarthy says that these new standards can be met through the installation of new carbon-capture equipment—which currently is in use in no commercial facility anywhere in the world—and that they are necessary to combat the menace of global warming. The Clean Air Act requires a cost-benefit analysis of new rules issued under it, and it is impossible that a robust analysis has been conducted, since the costs cannot be known, given that the technologies are not in commercial use, their effectiveness and operating expenses untested in the real world. As for benefits: There are many greenhouse gases, and carbon dioxide, at issue here, is only one. About 85 percent of carbon dioxide emissions globally are from non-U.S. sources, and power generators are responsible for only about a third of U.S. emissions. Given that global warming is, if it is anything, global, even substantial reductions in the emissions of new U.S. power plants will have negligible n Last month, members of the Kenosha Education Association, Wisconsin’s third-largest teachers’ union, voted against recertifying the union as a bargaining entity. According to news sources, only about 37 percent of the district’s teachers voted to remain in a union, a result in line with what Governor Scott Walker predicted when he moved in 2011 to rein in publicsector collective bargaining. According to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, the Wisconsin Education Association Council—the state’s primary teachers’ union—has lost more than 50 percent of its 98,000 dues-paying members since Walker implemented collective-bargaining reform. The powerful Wisconsin State Employees Union is now down from 22,000 members to between 9,000 and 10,000, according to the union’s president. During the high-profile protests that consumed the state for much of 2011, public workers surrounded the Wisconsin State Capitol in Madison and unceasingly chanted, “This is what democracy looks like!” Now that workers are voting themselves out of forced unionization, organized labor is finally getting a taste of the genuine democratic process at work. base:milliken-mar 22.qxd 9/23/2013 3:40 PM Page 1 GOV’T ISSUED GOLD COINS EXCLUSIVE AT-COST OFFER NAT IONWIDE COIN AND BULLION R ESERVE announces IN WKH ¿QDO UHOHDVH RI FRQJUHVVLRQDOO\ DXWKRUL]HG IXOO\ EDFNHG E\ WKH 86 *RYHUQPHQW FRPSOHWHO\ IUHH RI GHDOHU PDUN XS *ROG$PHULFDQ (DJOHV DW WKH LQFUHGLEOH SULFH RI RQO\HDFK GO D W E TR US T I f you had $25,000 in gold in 2001 at $290 per oz you would have over $100,000 at today’s gold prices. Numerous experts are now predicting gold at $5,000 an ounce. Your $25,000 could be worth $125,000 in the near future. 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KEY CODE: NRM-130920 Coins enlarged to show detail. week:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/25/2013 3:08 PM Page 12 THE WEEK n Everything is in place for Hassan Rouhani, president of Iran, to take the U.S. by storm. The mullahs have mastered the arts of diplomacy and publicity. For weeks now, Rouhani has been throwing out hints of the deals he aims to strike with President Obama. No need for details, naturally. The tone, the novelty of friendliness, is quite enough to unite the media in an immense chorus of relief and admiration. “Moderate” is the adjective he attracts for what is described as a “charm offensive.” It is poor taste to point out that the president of Iran does the bidding of the Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Khamenei, and himself has no independent policy. It is in even poorer taste to point out that the previous president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, created nothing but suspicion and hate, so it is time for another tactic, and Rouhani is just the man for it. He’s had a lifetime career in the Iranian defense establishment. We would say that President Obama should have no illusions about him, but why should Rouhani be an exception to his general Mideast policy? AP PHOTO/SETH WENIG n The well-named Court for Urgent Matters in Cairo has banned the Muslim Brotherhood and all organizations associated with it, and has frozen its assets. This exclusion from the political and social life of Egypt is indeed an Urgent Matter, because the Brotherhood’s ideal of an Islamist state is an end whose achievement justifies all available means of violence and terror. In their watchword, they have “the desire for death through self-sacrifice.” Most Egyptians understood quickly and very clearly that it had been a catastrophe to vote in the Muslim Brotherhood rule of former president Mohamed Morsi, which is why they have turned to the army for rescue. The showdown between the Islamists and everyone else could very well develop into civil war. General Abdul Fattah Sisi first ordered the dismantling of Muslim Brotherhood barricades at the cost of about 1,000 dead, and then mass arrests of its leaders. Those who are still at large boast that, in its history, the movement has often been banned but only grown stronger underground. Meanwhile the Brotherhood’s strategy is to go all out, setting improvised explosives, preparing suicide squads, and threatening to burn Christians alive. Their spiritual leader, the elderly Sheikh Yusuf Qaradawi, has a refuge in Qatar and, according to reports, faces certain arrest for inciting armed rebellion if he should return to Egypt. What’s at stake here is the future not just of Egypt but of Islamism. n An impressive number of German voters have just agreed that Mutti knows best, handing Angela Merkel a third term as chancellor and, added a few wags, another stint as empress of a few beggar nations besides. But a shadow was cast over 12 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m Merkel’s triumph by the eclipse of the free-market(ish) FDP, the third leg of the outgoing governing coalition. The FDP’s inability to cross the threshold needed for its return to the Bundestag means that Merkel needs to land another partner if she is to secure a parliamentary majority. At the time of writing, the most likely candidate was the center-left SPD, promising a rerun of the 2005–09 “Grand Coalition.” This is not wunderbar. A feature of the Merkel years has been her failure (no Iron Lady, she) to build on the supply-side reforms introduced at the beginning of the century, a failure that may be beginning to take a toll. The return of the SPD to government will act as an additional brake on reform. And then, of course, there’s Europe: The SPD will push Merkel in the direction of looser budgets and a tighter Europe. The politicians have not solved the continent’s economic crisis, and neither have the voters. n Charles Xue is a Chinese-American entrepreneur, and he has also been one of China’s best-known and most popular bloggers. In late August, Chinese authorities arrested him for soliciting a prostitute. Whether he did or not, no one can say—that’s the way the law works in a police state. Xue was then made to appear on television, wearing handcuffs. He issued a brutal self-criticism, saying he had been “irresponsible” in writing about the government and society online. He said that people like him needed to be cracked down on, for the good of all. Such an episode may shock people in free countries who know little of the coercion—the physical coercion—that the Chinese state can bring to bear. But it surprises no one with experience of police states. The dictatorship in Beijing is doing all it can to make any criticism of it a crime. And it can do a lot. n On British television, Doctor Who has been running for a half-century. Many actors have played the title character: eleven of them. A twelfth was recently hired. And some people aren’t happy about him—because he’s a him, and, worse, a white him. Said Dame Helen Mirren, famed for playing Elizabeth II and other memorable characters, “I do think it’s well over time to have a female Doctor Who. I think a gay, black, female Doctor Who would be the best of all.” The show’s producer said, “I would like to go on record and say that the queen should be played by a man.” Blimey, there’s lead in the British pencil yet. n Discussing Immanuel Kant has always been dangerous in Russia. In the 1790s Ludwig Mehlman introduced the philosopher’s work at Moscow University, and for his troubles he was charged with mental illness, fired, and banished by the czar. Then just recently, in Rostov-on-Don, two men were discussing Kant while waiting in line to buy beer at a municipal festival, and when a disagreement developed, one of them felt a categorical imperative to shoot the other. He used an air gun with rubber bullets (presumably in case he later discovered a flaw in his reasoning), but his fellow debater was hospitalized nonetheless, and the shooter now faces up to ten years in prison—time enough, if he applies himself, to finally finish reading the Critique of Pure Reason. n Since 2004, Constitution Day is celebrated on September 17 every year, and it’s not uncommon for people to pass out OCTOBER 14, 2013 week:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/25/2013 3:08 PM Page 13 n In the spirit of open academic discourse, mobs were convened at the City University of New York to scream obscenities at General David Petraeus, who is teaching a course there. The screams ranged from accusations of war crimes to oldfashioned profanity, and the mobsters promised to show up every time Petraeus showed up to teach his class. On the occasion of the general’s second appearance, police barricades had to be set up, and the students conducted a riot. This is an attempt to bully a visiting professor off of campus for holding views at odds with those of the lightly educated young ladies and gentlemen of CUNY, and no self-respecting university would put up with it. n “America’s imperialism” was the reason that students at Middlebury College gave for pulling up the 2,977 American flags that had been planted in front of the chapel and library to commemorate the Americans who lost their lives in the attacks of September 11, 2001. The protesters objected that what they believe is a sacred Abenaki burial site was being desecrated. College administrators are not known to be unsympathetic to calls for greater sensitivity to the heritage of ethnic minorities. The protesters could have met with them to present their concern instead of acting out their late-adolescent high spirits and dragging the Abenaki people, whom they presumed to represent, into their desecration of the 9/11 memorial on their college campus. n Mariano Rivera is retiring. The Yankees closer and all-time leader in saves is a throwback to an era when class meant something in baseball. Noted for his excellence and composure on the field and for his Christian service off it, he did the pinstripes proud. SYRIA Stumbling on Syria RESIDENT Obama says that his Syria policy is lacking only on “style.” That is one way to put his repeated drawing of red lines over the use of chemical weapons, his crabwalk toward war, his about-face decision to seek congressional authorization for force, his utter inability to make the case for that authorization, and his desperate grasp at a Russian diplomatic initiative that took advantage of a gaffe by his secretary of state. If this had been messy improvisation issuing in a glorious outcome, it would be one thing. But the substance is as dubious as the process. We are currently negotiating with the P Russians on the exact parameters of the deal for the Syrians to give up their chemical weapons. If prior entanglements with rogue states over weapons of mass destruction are any guide, the negotiating will never end. The Syrians will niggle and delay to frustrate inspectors for years. The accomplishment here is that Bashar Assad probably won’t again use his chemical weapons. But the deal puts any larger strategic goals out of reach. Our engagement with the regime to try to get it to carry out its stated obligations will make us its perverse quasi-partner. The more Westernoriented rebels feel betrayed, and there are signs that they are collapsing as extremist elements continue to gain. Meanwhile, Iran is not hesitating to train fighters for the proxy war in Syria that it intends to win. Iran and Hezbollah, along with their fellow traveler Russia, look even likelier to achieve their goal of preserving Assad than they did a month ago. Vladimir Putin took to the pages of the New York Times to rub our noses in it. In an op-ed combining cynicism and sanctimony in a stomach-turning stew, the Russian president invoked the pope and international law to oppose U.S. intervention in Syria, never mind his arming of Assad in a civil war that has killed more than 100,000. He concluded with a jab at American exceptionalism, warning that no country is exceptional. He was too modest—Russia has proved exceptional over the centuries at centralizing unaccountable political authority and trampling individual rights. The Syria episode is not that consequential in itself, but it nonetheless may be an inflection point in our standing in the world. A superpower should be trusted by its friends and feared by its enemies, and we are neither. Our position in the Middle East is collapsing, while the much-touted “pivot to Asia” looks more like a slogan than a strategy. The president cares most about “nation-building at home” and is clearly uncomfortable with the assertion of American power. This was unmistakable in his marble-mouthed case for a strike in Syria. Credibility can seem an elusive commodity, but it is the coin of the realm in international relations. When we eroded our deterrent with ill-advised statements or acts of weakness, we got the Korean War, the Cuban Missile Crisis, and the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait. When our deterrent was at a high point in the immediate aftermath of our toppling 13 AP FILE PHOTOS Constitutions on that day. Yet when Robert van Tuinen of Modesto Junior College in California began handing out copies of the Constitution, a campus police officer informed him that he needed permission to distribute materials on campus. Only after requesting permission a few days in advance would he be able to pass out any materials, and even then he could do so only in a designated “free-speech zone.” Upon being told this, Tuinen asked the officer, “Isn’t that a violation of my First Amendment rights?” The cop responded, “I don’t think so.” Well, officer, perhaps there’s something you should read . . . week:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/25/2013 3:08 PM Page 14 THE WEEK Saddam Hussein, Libya gave up its nuclear program and, evidently, Iran temporarily stopped its uranium enrichment. The price for our weakness will inevitably come. OBAMACARE Replace the Law, Replace the Strategy enaTor Ted Cruz (r., Texas) and his allies are right about obamacare. They’re right that it’s bad for our economic prospects, our health care, and the relationship between our citizens and the federal government. They’re right to make the case against it—as Senator Cruz did for 21 hours standing on the Senate floor, in a magnificent performance that makes us glad to have backed his primary campaign. They’re right, finally, that republicans need a strategy for repealing it. and they’re right that republican leaders have not come up with one. We wish we could say that Cruz and his allies have devised a workable strategy of their own. Instead, they want republicans to refuse to vote for any legislation to fund the government unless it includes language denying funds to obamacare. and if Democrats reject that condition and the government shuts down, republicans should blame them for the shutdown and make the case against obamacare until the Democrats relent. The history of the shutdowns of 1995–96—the real history, that is, not the revisionist version that some advocates of this strategy have persuaded themselves to believe—suggests that this plan is unlikely to work. It could even help President obama, whose numbers have been falling all year, to make a comeback that will give a lift to his entire agenda. Senator Cruz warns that once obamacare’s subsidies start flowing, the program will be impossible to dislodge. This seems to us too pessimistic. The Congressional Budget office suggests that 2 percent of the public will be getting subsidies in 2014. Many of them will still be paying more. and even those who come out ahead won’t see the subsidy themselves, since it goes to their insurer. Meanwhile, we can expect many of the larger number of people who encounter higher premiums, or a reduced choice of doctors, or involuntary movement to part-time work, to blame obamacare. It will certainly be hard to repeal obamacare. Getting it passed took decades for the Democrats, along with control of the White House and both houses of Congress. opponents of the law are going to have to win some elections to undo their work. They also need to have a realistic sense of public opinion. More americans oppose obamacare than support it, and those numbers have been moving in the right direction since the law passed. But the polls on repealing the law in full are less consistent, and often show only minority support for the conservative position. Part of the explanation is surely status quo bias and wishful thinking: People who have not looked into the issue in detail may be under the illusion that the law can be “fixed,” when in fact its flaws are inherent in its basic structure. Too-low support for repeal almost certainly also reflects the public’s concern about the problems that obamacare is supposed to address, and its lack of confidence that opponents of the law S 14 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m have better solutions to them. The defunders make an excellent point when they say that republicans should work to change public opinion and not just accept it, even if a shutdown is not the best context in which to try. The good news is that we are pushing on an open door: People are already predisposed against obamacare. republicans need to make it clear that there are better ideas on how to put health insurance within reach of more people, and how to care for people whose preexisting conditions lock them out of the market. Individual republicans—representative Paul ryan (Wis.), Senator Tom Coburn (okla.), and others—have advocated such solutions, but the congressional party as a whole has ignored them. The good news is that the 175 House conservatives in the republican Study Committee have recently proposed a replacement for obamacare that makes real progress on this front. The members of the rSC—who are, like other conservatives, divided over the shutdown strategy—are showing their fellow republicans some of what they must do once it fails. PUBLIC POLICY Leading on Tax Reform Mike Lee, the Utah conservative, announced an ambitious plan to reform taxes—much the most attractive one we have heard from any republican for a long time. The plan would cut tax rates, simplify the tax code, and rid it of several features that distort our economy and society. The tax increases that have taken place under President obama would be undone. The mortgage-interest deduction would be scaled back. and the deduction for state and local taxes would be eliminated: Low-tax states would no longer subsidize high-tax ones, and the federal government would no longer soften voters’ incentives to elect less-profligate state politicians. Senator Lee takes aim at another form of redistribution as well: the way the federal government transfers resources from larger families to smaller ones. Social Security and Medicare, he argues, reap benefits when adults make the financial sacrifices necessary to raise children, but they tax parents as though that contribution did not exist. expanding the tax credit for children by $2,500 per child would begin to rectify that unfairness. It might also make it possible, he notes, for some parents to scale back their work hours to spend more time with their children. or parents could use the additional money to help their families in other ways, as they see fit. Senator Lee makes a strong case on the merits for his plan, but its political advantages do not escape him. The promise of middle-class tax relief has helped free-market politicians get elected in the past but has not featured much in republican platforms in recent years. In part that is because of our fiscal predicament, of which the senator is certainly mindful: It’s why he has in the past also proposed specific spending cuts, and why his plan ends tax breaks as well as cuts taxes. With this plan, the senator has taken an important step toward limiting government, promoting growth, and creating a conservative electoral majority. S enaTor OCTOBER 14, 2013 Senators Ted Cruz (Texas) and Mike Lee (Utah) A Dialogue on Defunding Should opponents of Obamacare be willing to shut down the government? BY RAMESH PONNURU O why are all the Republicans in Washington, D.C., yelling at each other right now? A bill, called a continuing resolution, has to be enacted for all the operations of government to be funded. Without it, there will be a partial government shutdown. One group of Republicans, led by Senators Ted Cruz (R., Tex.) and Mike Lee (R., Utah) and including a minority of House Republicans, thinks that Republicans should refuse to pass any such bill unless it takes funding away from Obamacare. They argue that if they hold firm long enough, they will win. Most Republicans say that it won’t work: The public will hold a shutdown against Republicans, they won’t be able to sustain their position, and the battle will end with Republicans discredited and Obamacare more entrenched than ever. The defunders call the Republicans who disagree with their strategy the “surrender caucus.” Can a budget bill defund Obamacare like that? Yes. Some opponents of the strategy, early in this debate, argued that Obama care funding keeps going even if there’s no budget bill, because a lot of its fund- S ing does not depend on yearly budget bills. Senator Tom Coburn (R., Okla.) even commissioned a report from the Congressional Research Service to buttress this argument. It’s right but also beside the point. There’s no doubt that Congress has the power to attach an amendment to the budget law that says no funds may be used to implement Obamacare. (For that matter, they could attach an amendment that repeals the law altogether.) The defunders know that Obamacare does not need a budget bill to keep going. They think that voters want the government to stay open and want Obamacare to go away, and that by tying these outcomes together they can force Democrats to accede. Is it true that voters want to get rid of Obamacare? Polls consistently find that more Americans oppose it than support it. More people think it will raise health costs than think it will reduce them. Most polls find, however, that opposition to the law runs ahead of support for repealing it. Some polls find a small majority for repeal; others do not, especially when they add the option of modifying the law. If most Republicans are against the defunding strategy, why did House Republicans vote for a defunding bill? Three groups of Republicans voted for that bill. The first group are the 15 to 20 Republicans who believe in the strategy. The second are the 20 to 25 who are afraid of being called pro-Obamacare if they don’t support the strategy. The third group voted for the bill because they wanted to show that a world without Obamacare is the outcome they would prefer, and also because they realized that the first two groups were not going to vote for a budget bill unless it defunded Obamacare: This third group is a large majority of House Republicans, but it is not large enough to pass a bill through the House. If 7 percent of House Republicans won’t vote for a bill and neither will almost any of the Democrats, nothing can pass. Why couldn’t the majority of Republicans just leave out the defunding language from their bill? Wouldn’t they get enough Democratic support to make up for those lost Republicans? No. The Democrats don’t just want to keep Obamacare going. They want higher spending levels, too. And they want to see Republicans fight one another and to make it as hard as possible for them to pass anything. The Republicans who want to avert a shutdown: What have they been doing about Obamacare instead? The top House Republicans, John Boehner and Eric Cantor, have had Republicans reaffirm their opposition to Obamacare by holding votes on bills to repeal it, bills that have passed the House. They have also held votes on delaying the individual mandate, to show that even Democrats have serious concerns about the law. (Twenty-two of them voted with the Republicans.) And they tried to take other steps to weaken the pro-Obamacare coalition but failed. They have not, however, articulated an overall strategy against the law. One reason the defunders are enjoying some success is that they have something that appears to be one. They say that what the Republicans have done up to this point is just hold “show votes,” which are “meaningless” and “symbolic.” What makes them meaningless and the defunders’ ideas meaningful? The difference the defunders see is that Obama and the Democrats had no reason ever to sign a repeal bill, but will 15 AP PHOTO/J. SCOTT APPLEWHITE 3col:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/25/2013 12:31 AM Page 15 3col:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/25/2013 12:16 AM Page 16 have a reason to go along with defunding—keeping the government open. They say, as well, that anyone who votes to let the government keep spending money on Obamacare doesn’t really oppose it. Aren’t they right? Not according to any principle that can be generalized. Senator Rubio, for example, has said that Republican leaders who let funding bills go forward without the Obamacare-defunding language are complicit in the program. He has not said that any budget bill has to include language getting rid of funds for Planned Parenthood. Is he therefore complicit in subsidies for an abortion provider, and not a real pro-lifer? Is he obligated to start a fight over this issue that might involve shutting down the government, regardless of his judgment about the likely consequences of such a fight? No, he isn’t. What do the Republicans who oppose the defunding strategy suggest as an alternative now? They want to use legislation over the debt ceiling—the federal government is about to hit the limits of its borrowing authority—to delay the implementation of Obamacare. To get Republicans to acquiesce to raising the debt ceiling, they hope, Democrats will agree to this delay. What’s the difference between delaying Obamacare and defunding it? There isn’t much of one. If you defund Obamacare for the duration of a budget, you’re delaying its implementation. In polls, though, the public seems to like “delaying” more than “defunding.” Maybe it sounds more like an acknowledgment of its problems than a partisan attack on it. If the budget bill doesn’t give Republicans the leverage to defund Obamacare, why would the debt-ceiling bill give them the leverage to delay it? Good question. People want the government to stay funded, and don’t like raising the debt ceiling. But the consequences of hitting the debt ceiling are generally considered to be worse than a partial government shutdown. Econo mists think that by raising the risk that the federal government will default on its debts, hitting the debt ceiling will rattle the stock market, credit markets, and consumer confidence. That doesn’t sound like a happier scenario than a shutdown for Republicans. If Republicans 16 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m aren’t willing to provoke a shutdown, they probably won’t be willing to see a default either. It sounds like you’re saying that neither of these bills gives the Republicans much leverage. That’s right. In the aftermath of the government shutdowns of 1995 and 1996, Republicans concluded that they do not help congressional conservatives advance their goals. They started pushing for a law that would automatically continue government funding at a steady level even if Congress did not enact a new funding bill. As memories of those days have faded, the theory that shutdowns can be a useful backdrop to negotiations has made a comeback. The Heritage Foundation, which in the years following the last shutdowns wanted automatic-funding legislation, is now a leading voice for defunding. Earlier this year, most House Republicans voted for legislation to make it less likely that a default would happen. That legislation stipulated that even if the federal government hit the debt limit, it could borrow more to pay interest. The passage of that bill by the House could be said to constitute an acknowledgment that the threat of default does not give them leverage. It gives the president leverage. Didn’t the Republicans force President Obama to cut spending by refusing to raise the debt ceiling in 2011? That’s right: That was the origin of the sequestration that has been starting to take effect this year. That episode, though, illustrates how little leverage this kind of tactic creates. First, Republicans had to give the Democrats more than just a debt-ceiling increase. They also had to agree to defense cuts most Republicans disliked. Second, the cuts were nowhere near as momentous a change as a halt to Obamacare would be. The country is not going to look much different in 2035 because of the sequestration. It would look a lot different if Republicans were able to delay Obamacare indefinitely or repeal it (which would be the point of getting a one-year delay now). Third, that was a few months after Republicans had picked up a lot of seats in the House and the Senate. This time they’re negotiating after an election in which Democrats gained seats in the House and Senate. Republicans didn’t get much last time, and this time they’d be asking for more with less political momentum. So the Republican leaders’ real problem with the defunding strategy is its brinksmanship, not defunding per se. Then aren’t they undermining their own argument by talking up their own brinksmanship, and making a distinction be tween delaying and defunding Obamacare? Yes. Some of the defunders have noticed this. So can Republicans get anything out of the debt-ceiling or budget bills? Maybe. If the Democrats want relief from the sequestration badly enough, maybe some more spending can be traded for a delay in the most unpopular part of the health-care law: the fine for not buying health insurance. Delaying that would make the law much harder to implement, strengthen the impression that the law is not set in stone, create a precedent for future delays, and highlight an unattractive feature of the law. Democrats might go for it anyway, convinced as they are that history is on the side of their healthcare law. Are they right? If defunding is unlikely to work, are we stuck with Obamacare? Democrats seem to think that once people start receiving benefits from the law, it will become unrepealable—and some Republicans agree. That’s the fear behind the defunding strategy: Even if it is unlikely to work, it’s the only way to stop the subsidies from flowing before 2014. Subsidies put in place never expire, goes the theory. Obamacare may be different, though. The polls have consistently found public opposition to it. It may raise premiums for more people than it reduces them. It has the potential to destroy insurance markets as people act on the incentives it creates to go without coverage. The subsidies it provides go to insurers, not their customers, and do not make most medical services free to patients. (The Congressional Budget Office projects that these subsidies will go to only 2 percent of the population in 2014 anyway.) All of these features suggest that the law will continue to be vulnerable for some time. How is it that you have such pat answers for all my questions? Because you’re a journalistic device. You don’t really exist. Sorry about that. OCTOBER 14, 2013 3col:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/25/2013 12:16 AM Page 17 Bill de Blasio’s New York It has a lot of poor people, and the rich liberals like it that way BY REIHAN SALAM are that Bill de Blasio will be the next mayor of New York city. as the Democratic nominee in an overwhelmingly Democratic metropolis that voted for Barack Obama over Mitt Romney by an 81 percent–to–18 percent margin in last year’s presidential election, de Blasio has a built-in advantage. The question that remains is whether his all-but-inevitable victory represents a new phase in the history of american liberalism. some observers, including Peter Beinart (writing in The Daily Beast), have argued that de Blasio is a harbinger of an energized political Left, led by Millennials who, according to data from the Pew Research center, favor bigger government at much higher levels than the rest of the electorate, and at higher levels than younger voters of earlier eras. another, less romantic view is that de Blasio is an amiable charmer who will find it extremely difficult to tame the city’s unruly public finances, and that he and his supporters are in for a rude surprise as his vision of a more equal New York runs into reality. New York city has been electing Republican (or at least non-Democratic) mayors since 1993, when ex-prosecutor Rudolph Giuliani ousted the uninspiring David Dinkins. But in the last three elections, Michael Bloomberg, a lifelong liberal who signed up as a Republican to do an end run around a crowded Democratic field in 2001, and who changed his party affiliation from Republican to “unaffiliated” in 2007, has been the city’s GOP mayoral nominee. Bloomberg has used the bully pulpit to call for new gun regulations, comprehensive immigration reform, and new restrictions on trans fats, tobacco, and super-sized sodas, and he has been second only to al Gore in invoking the threat of climate change. By any reasonable standard, he has been a capable and devoted champion of various liberal pieties. even so, Bloomberg had C HaNces to spend $102 million of his own money to narrowly defeat a little-known Democratic politician, Bill Thompson, in his 2009 bid for a third term. Bloomberg has presided over an almost 50 percent increase in inflation-adjusted city-funded spending since first entering office, an increase driven largely by rising pension and benefit costs that he has done little to address. For all his managerial virtues, Bloomberg is not a fiscal conservative. If anything, his fiscal management has created a time bomb for his successor, who will have to negotiate new contracts for tens of thousands of unionized city employees, who have been waiting for a union-friendly Democrat to take office. The biggest contrast between Bloomberg and de Blasio is that while Bloomberg has celebrated the transformation of much of Manhattan into a Xanadu for the world’s ultra-rich, de Blasio is a selfstyled crusader against inequality. He describes Bloomberg’s New York as “a tale of two cities,” in which a rarefied elite has flourished while the poor have languished. He pledges to reverse the tide, and to use the power of government to give poor New Yorkers a hand up. Interestingly enough, de Blasio’s pitch proved most appealing to relatively affluent Democratic-primary voters, while downscale voters gravitated towards his opponents Thompson and John Liu. This follows a pattern we’ve seen in Democratic presidential primaries, in which upper-middle-income, college-educated liberals embrace the most rhetorically left-wing candidates while voters of modest means gravitate towards centrists. In fairness to Bill de Blasio, there is no question that poverty is pervasive in New York city. The census Bureau estimates that 19.4 percent of New York residents live in poverty. What is frustrating about most of the reporting on poverty in New York is that it rarely goes beneath the surface to ask about who is poor and why they are poor. To some extent, the fact that many New Yorkers live in lowincome households reflects the fact that New York is a magnet for immigrants, many of whom have only modest skills. Immigrants from Mexico have a 50 percent poverty rate. Brooklyn’s burgeoning Bangladeshi community has a 54 percent poverty rate, the highest rate among the city’s eight largest asian immigrant groups. Immigrants are often credited with revitalizing New York’s outer boroughs, 17 3col:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/25/2013 12:16 AM Page 18 and with good reason. As native-born New Yorkers have left the city in search of affordable housing and better schools, immigrants have taken their place. Skilled immigrants often earn high incomes, and some immigrants who arrive in the U.S. as children climb the economic ladder quite quickly as adults. But New York has also attracted large numbers of lessskilled immigrants who work in the low end of the service sector, and who often find it difficult to make their way into the middle class. Indeed, one of the reasons Bloomberg has loudly called for comprehensive immigration reform is that New York City is home to a large number of unauthorized immigrants. Hard numbers are difficult to come by, but a recent article in International Migration Review estimates that there are 750,000 unauthorized immigrants residing in New York State, the vast majority of whom reside in New York City. Jeffrey Passel, of the Pew Research Center’s Hispanic Trends Project and the Urban Institute, estimated that there were 535,000 unauthorized immigrants in the five boroughs in 2007, a number consistent with the city’s own estimates. This number does not include the U.S.-born children of unauthorizedimmigrant parents. The Migration Policy Institute estimates that 32 percent of unauthorized-immigrant adults in the U.S. live in households that earn less than the federal poverty level, while the same is true for 51 percent of unauthorizedimmigrant children. Legalizing this population would likely lead to somewhat higher earnings, but it wouldn’t change the fact that unauthorized immigrants often speak little English and generally have little education. Like Bloomberg, Bill de Blasio celebrates New York’s unauthorized-immigrant population. Among other things, he proposes offering city-backed ID cards to unauthorized immigrants and working with the state government to offer them driver’s licenses as well. De Blasio also pledges to end cooperation with the federal government on a number of immigration-enforcement programs. These measures have the potential to attract low-income unauthorized immigrants from other cities and regions. This may or may not be a good idea, but it will almost certainly increase the poverty rate. In a related vein, the Center for an Urban Future estimates that New York 18 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m City is home to 463,000 immigrant residents over the age of 65. Many of these older immigrants arrived to care for their grandchildren and have spent little if any time working in the formal economy in the U.S. As a result, only 31 percent are eligible for Social Security benefits, and those who are eligible tend to receive less than their native-born counterparts, since they have worked for shorter periods of time or for relatively low wages. New York’s poverty story isn’t entirely about immigration, to be sure. According to the city’s Office of Economic Opportunity, the poverty rate for non-elderly adults who worked full time, year-round was 7.5 percent in 2011. The poverty rate for those who did no work, in contrast, was 38.7 percent. For working-age adults with some work, the poverty rate was 24.4 percent. The city’s worklessness problem is concentrated among nativeborn poor, including large numbers of African Americans and Latinos living in high-poverty neighborhoods in Brooklyn and the Bronx. The central problem facing poor people living in these neighborhoods is that few of them work full time, thanks to a lackluster labor market for less-skilled workers and fragile families that often lack the cultural resources that enrich the lives of even very poor immigrants. There are things New York can and should do to improve life in these communities, from raising school quality to reducing crime, but it’s unlikely that these efforts will pay off in a steep reduction in poverty levels anytime soon. Moreover, the city has already seen a dramatic reduction in crime levels over the past 20 years, and it spends 52.7 percent more on education in inflation-adjusted terms than it did twelve years ago. It is hard to shake the impression that Bill de Blasio is promising much more than a mayor can realistically deliver. Raging against New York’s rich may appeal to middle-income voters dismayed by rising rents, but those rich people employ, directly and indirectly, the Mexicans and Bangladeshis and other immigrants who are transforming the face of the city, and they pay the taxes that keep the streets safe and the housing projects in good working order. New York’s brand of diversityfriendly, big-government liberalism is ideologically hostile to inequality—but it is a social model that is in a very deep sense built on inequality. Our Hideous Capital A vituperation against federal architecture BY KEVIN D. WILLIAMSON greatest building is a church, Notre-Dame de Paris, while India’s greatest building is a royal mausoleum, the Taj Mahal. Our greatest building is a train station, Grand Central Terminal, a monument to a nation in motion, if one built for a future that never quite managed to arrive. It is adjacent to another of the great American monuments, the wildly exuberant Chrysler Building, and only a few blocks from the Empire State Building, the great symbol of American confidence built mostly by European immigrants and Mohawk steelworkers in just 410 days. These are the real monuments to a nation whose business is business, in Calvin Coolidge’s maligned phrase, and they are rather different from the accretion of marbled monstrosities 225 miles to the southwest. Washington is a city full of monuments and monumental architecture. But monuments to what? The capital city’s federal architecture is rooted in classical forms. The Capitol is an aggrandized secondhand Roman design by way of the Paris Panthéon, while we have a Greek temple dedicated to Abraham Lincoln and a tribute to the father of the country that would have been familiar to both Freud and Ramses II. One can understand why the early Americans turned to classical forms for their buildings. They wanted to show that this new country of free men could hold its head high in the world and stand beside the pomp of any empire. They did not wish to be seen the way Napoleon would contemptuously regard the British, as “a nation of shopkeepers”—but we would do well to remember that that phrase did not originate with the little corporal but with Adam Smith in the seminal year 1776. George Washington abjured any title loftier than that of “Mr. President,” and we built him an obelisk four times loftier than those dedicated to Julius Caesar. It may have been that the Washington monument was intended to elevate the standing of General Washington, commander of the armies, but there is a discernible sub- F RANCE’S OCTOBER 14, 2013 3col:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/25/2013 12:16 AM Page 19 text: It is also a symbol of the ascendancy of his namesake city. There is much that is striking, and not a little that is beautiful, in Washington—so long as you do not think about it too much or read the papers. It may be that those Roman columns once called to mind Cincinnatus and the other pillars of republican virtue. In the Age of Obama, they call to mind a different kind of Roman altogether: the one who declares the penitential words, “Memento, homo.” After its early period of Greco-Roman impersonations, Washington went through a flirtation with the Second Empire style, its striving after classical glory becoming outright aesthetic Bonapartism. The exemplar of this is what is now called the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, which Mark Twain described as “the ugliest building in America.” Originally the State, War, and Navy Building, it was renamed the Executive Office Building in 1949, and Eisenhower’s name was added in 1999. Pity President Eisenhower, who seems to be a magnet for federal ugliness—see any Taco Bell–infested crossroads of the Dwight D. Eisenhower National System of Defense and Inter state Highways. Harry Truman bore Ike a grudge after the 1952 election, and he was no doubt smiling in the afterlife at the rechristening of the building he once described as “the greatest monstrosity in America.” While architect Richard von Ezdorf’s interior salutes Napoleon III, Alfred B. Mullet’s exterior, being composed of fireproof cast iron, pays silent tribute to General Robert Ross, the British commander who put Washington to the torch during the War of 1812. Somebody ought to endow an architectural scholarship in General Ross’s memory. Washington’s next great experiment with publicly funded ghastliness coincided with the rise of Fascism, which left its mark on American government, in the overreaching ambitions of Woodrow Wilson and Franklin Roosevelt, and on Washington’s buildings. The great stylist of the era was Paul Philippe Cret, whose famous/infamous tower looms over the University of Texas. Cret’s main contribution to Washington is the Eccles Building, home of the Federal Reserve. It is a masterpiece of what came to be known as “stripped classicism,” Greco-Roman forms debrided of ornamentation and rendered in the hard angles and overblown scale that characterized both the public buildings and the public policies of the 1930s. It is a style designed to dwarf the individual, to literally cast an institutional shadow over the pedestrians who simply get in the way while men of importance are chauffeured around. But the Federal Reserve is not entirely without decoration—it is crowned with a Roman eagle, suggesting that this is what the department of transportation’s headquarters would have looked like in Berlin if Hitler had won the war. Lenin said that the only question in politics is: “Who, whom?” Standing in front of the Eccles Building, there is no doubt about who is who and who is whom. The more recent Dirksen Senate Office Building is a less competently executed example of the same principle. Senator Patrick Leahy observes: “The Dirksen Building looks like it was built by a committee of senators, which it was. I know ugly when I see it.” This building is a crushing, inhospitable presence, entirely inappropriate to its republican functions. There wasn’t much good to come out of the 1930s, but say this for the Fascists and their era: There was a sense of style. When he wasn’t working in Washington, Cret designed some impressive structures. Philadelphia is home to his Benjamin Franklin Bridge and the Barnes Foundation, and there is a world of symbolism in his lovely Detroit Institute of Arts building, the contents of which are likely headed to the auction block as that looted city liquidates its assets. But Washington brought out the worst in him. The white slabs of his Folger Shakespeare Library would make a good backdrop for a particularly bloody production of Titus Andronicus, but not much else. The 1960s and 1970s saw the post-war giganticism not only endure but swell, while the New Deal’s sense of purpose, daft as it was, evaporated. What remained was a practically Soviet Brutalism, best exemplified by the 1975 J. Edgar Hoover Building, a structure so hideous that the FBI has been trying to get out of it for years. Words can hardly do justice to the building, an atrocious jumble of honeycombed beige concrete that hulks over the corner of Pennsylvania Avenue and E Street. Architect Arthur Cotton Moore is a few aghast adjectives shy in his criticism: “It creates a void along Pennsylvania Avenue. Given its elephantine size and harshness, it creates a black hole. Its concrete wall, with no windows or life to it, is an urban sin.” It goes without saying that the cost of the building came in at double the original estimate, and its construction delays exceeded the entire construction period of the Empire State Building. Like the Federal Reserve’s home, the FBI headquarters expresses a clear insider–outsider mentality, as though it were aspiring to embody in concrete George Orwell’s “boot stamping on a human face—forever.” Perhaps not forever: A report from the Government Accountability Office recommended demolishing the building as one of four options for rehousing the FBI in a new, larger, and possibly more terrifying building. Washington’s current architectural controversy concerns plans for a monument to poor President Eisenhower designed by Frank Gehry. I’m something of an Eisenhower-ologist, and as it happens I live in an apartment building designed by Gehry, whose best work is very good, being playful and surprising. “Playful and surprising” are not the words that first come to mind when contemplating the architect of the Normandy invasion and his sober-minded presidency. It would be hard to think of somebody less suited than the high-concept postmodernist Gehry to design a memorial, and an oversized one at that, to Eisenhower, a man who insisted on being buried in an THE STORY OF W WESTERN PHILOSOPHY PHI ILOSOPHY THE T HE R RISE ISE AN AND DF FALL ALL AND AND RETURN R ETURN RN O OF F RE REASON ASON A ne new w history history of philosophy as as not told sinc since ce Be Bertrand rtrand Ru Russell’s ssell’s landmark k History of We Western stern Philosophy in mid-20th mid-20th century. centurry. y IItt is all a matter matter of Reason. Reason. Available e at AM AMAZON.COM AZON.COM 19 3col:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/25/2013 12:16 AM Page 20 20 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m Comic-Book Liberalism Movie studios move rightwardly away from their print sources BY SONNY BUNCH W HEN the writers of the comic book Batwoman announced they were resigning from the series because the publisher, DC Comics, would not allow the titular character, a lesbian, to marry, the outrage against DC in the comic-book community was swift and fierce. Indeed, it was so vigorous that one of the writers, J. H. Williams III, felt compelled to tweet: “I’ve just been told that threats of violence have been issued toward individuals at DC comics. This is unacceptable. It needs to stop now.” The response was overheated and unwarranted (DC, which supported the sexuality of the character, simply has a blanket ban on any of its characters’ getting married), but not necessarily surprising. As the comic-book industry and its fans drift to the left, such outbursts are hardly isolated incidents. For instance, earlier this year there was a flare-up when a (fictional) character held a (fictional) press conference in a comic book to ask the (fictional) media to stop referring to him as a mutant and instead call him by his name, “Alex.” Within the logic of the Marvel Comics universe, this comes across as a relatively reasonable request: For ages, “mutant” and its variant slurs like “mutie” have been synonymous with “monster.” What writer Rick Remender did not realize is that his commonsense notion violated the norms of the real-world Left. “In that little speech [the character Havok] shredded the central thesis of minority identity politics,” wrote An drew Wheeler of the blog Comics Alliance (angry emphasis in the angry original). “He is, definitively and explicitly, selfloathing about his identity. . . . That’s not a message of inclusion. That’s a message of assimilation. That’s a message of erasure.” Some went so far as to suggest that Mr. Bunch is the managing editor of the Washington Free Beacon. fans should call on Marvel to take action against Remender for his heresy because they were “offended” by “Havok’s ignorant stance toward minority status and assimilation.” While Remender was able to survive the attempted purge, others have not been as fortunate. After it was announced that Orson Scott Card, author of the classic young-adult sci-fi novel Ender’s Game, would contribute to a Superman anthology, the activist Left sprang into action. More than 18,000 people signed a petition to get DC Comics to drop him. Comic-book stores refused to stock the book if Card was allowed to work on it. One of the artists contributing to the book quit in protest. Eventually, Card decided it wasn’t worth the hassle and dropped out of the project. His crime? He has vociferously denounced gay marriage and President Barack Obama. It’s worth noting that Card was not going to write a story about Superman stopping a gay marriage or deposing the president in a Kryptonian coup. His heresies took place entirely outside the realm of comic books; his thought crimes came in his personal, not professional, life. Whereas the Left once denounced efforts to strip artists of their livelihood for their political views, it now enforces orthodoxies through blacklists and boycotts all its own. These crusades aren’t terribly surprising, as the industry and its fan base have been tacking leftward for decades. The Uncanny X-Men, which debuted in OCTOBER 14, 2013 DC COMICS/BATWOMAN Army-issue pine coffin even though in life he outranked George Washington. But Washington isn’t building a monument to Eisenhower. It is building another grotesque monument to itself. In the early days of the republic, federal construction meant monuments to the national character and its aspirations, already imperial, while in Paul Cret’s day it meant monuments to the state, the declining character of which may be seen in the Hoover Building. But the planned Eisenhower monument is not even that: It is a monument to Washingtonians, to their newfound sense of sophistication and their taste for the finer things—it is not insignificant that the capital city is the nation’s leading consumer of fine wines. Walking through Washington’s collection of high-imperial cocoons and Albert Speer–worthy ministries of selfservice, it is impossible to forget that whatever these block-filling headquarters, temples, and obelisks once stood for, they stand for something else now. The most appropriate architectural monument to today’s Washington can be found at an office building in the suburb of Herndon, Va., which is now home to the North American headquarters of the Volkswagen division responsible for Bentleys, Bugattis, and Lamborghinis. As the nation’s richest city, Washington has been challenging such has-beens as Beverly Hills when it comes to the acquisition of luxury totems, and the makers want to be close to their customers—and to the officials upon whose favor they now utterly depend. One does not see too many exotic sports cars in Washington, but the streets are clogged with Bentleys and other luxury sedans, along with the ubiquitous Mercedes-Benz G-Class SUV, the $150,000 rolling cube that approximates a Federal Reserve building on wheels. Washingtonians amuse themselves in the city’s increasingly Los Angelic gridlock by trying to guess which princeling’s movements are causing it. It is in the Bentley showrooms and in the multimillion-dollar condos that one finds the real monument to today’s Washington. Standing among them, all one can do is think of architect Christopher Wren, buried in St. Paul’s, his masterpiece, and his clever epitaph: SI MONUMENTUM REqUIRIS, CIRCUMSPICE. That and raise a glass of the Domaine Leroy Musigny Grand Cru to the memory of old General Ross, who might have been doing us a favor. base:milliken-mar 22.qxd 9/24/2013 4:13 PM Page 1 You deserve a factual look at . . . Myths About Israel and the Middle East (1) Do the media feed us fiction instead of fact? We all know that, by dint of constant repetition, white can be made to appear black, good can get transformed into evil, and myth may take the place of reality. Israel, with roughly one-thousandth of the world's population and with a similar fraction of the territory of this planet, seems to engage a totally disproportionate attention of the print and broadcast media of the world. Unfortunately, much of what the media tell us — in reporting, editorializing in columns, and in analysis — are endlessly repeated myths. What are the facts? the entire Gaza Strip to the Palestinians. The final status of the “West Bank” will be decided if and when the Palestinians I Myth: The “Palestinians” are a nation and therefore will finally be able to sit down and seriously talk peace with deserving of a homeland. Israel. Reality: The concept of Palestinian nationhood is a new one I Myth: Jewish settlements in Judea and Samaria (the “West and had not been heard of until after the Six-Day War (1967), Bank”) are the “greatest obstacle to peace.” when Israel, by its victory, came into the administration of Reality: This is simply not the territories of Judea and Samaria (the “West Bank”) and “Peace will only come when the Arabs correct, although it has been repeated so often that many have the Gaza Strip. The so-called “Palestinians” are no more finally accept the reality of Israel. And come to believe it. The greatest different from the Arabs living in that is not a myth — that is a fact!” obstacle to peace is the intransigence and the the neighboring countries of irreconcilable hostility of the Arabs. Not more than 500,000 Lebanon, Syria and Jordan, than Wisconsinites are from Jews are settled in these territories, living among about 1.4 Iowans. million Arabs. How can Jews living there be an obstacle to I Myth: Judea and Samaria (the “West Bank”) and the Gaza peace? Why shouldn't they live there? Over 1 million Arabs live Strip are/were “occupied Arab territory.” in Israel proper. They are not an obstacle to peace. Neither the Reality: All of “Palestine” — east and west of the Jordan Israelis nor they themselves consider them as such. River — was part of the League of Nations mandate. Under I Myth: Israel is unwilling to yield “land for peace.” the Balfour Declaration, all of it was to be the “national home Reality: The concept that to the loser, rather than to the for the Jewish people.” In violation of this mandate, Great victor, belong the spoils is a radically new one. Israel, Britain severed the entire area east of the Jordan River — victorious in the wars imposed on it by the Arabs, has about 75% of Palestine — and gave it to the Arabs, who returned over 90% of the territory occupied by it: the vast created on it the kingdom of Transjordan. When Israel Sinai Peninsula, which contained some of the most advanced declared its independence in 1948, five Arab armies invaded military installations, prosperous cities and oil fields the new country in order to destroy it at its very birth. They developed entirely by Israel that made it independent of were defeated by the Israelis. The Transjordanians, however, petroleum imports. For the return of Gaza Israel was remained in occupation of Judea and Samaria (the “West “rewarded” with constant rocket attacks. In the Camp David Bank”) and East Jerusalem. They proceeded to drive all Jews Accords, Israel agreed to autonomy for Judea and Samaria from those territories and to systematically destroy all Jewish (the “West Bank”) with the permanent status to be houses of worship and other institutions. The determined after three years. But, so far, no responsible Transjordanians (now renamed “Jordanians”) were the Palestinian representation has been available to seriously occupiers for nineteen years. Israel regained these territories negotiate with Israel about this. following its victory in the Six-Day War. Israel has returned All these myths (and others we shall talk about in a future issue) have poisoned the atmosphere for decades. The root cause of the never-ending conflict is the unwillingness of the Arabs (and not just the Palestinians) to accept the reality of Israel. What a pity that those of the Palestinians who are not Israeli citizens have lived and continue to live in poverty, misery and ignorance. They could have chosen to accept the proposed partition of the country in 1947, would now have had their state alongside Israel for over sixty years and could have lived in peace and prosperity. They could have kept hundreds of thousands of refugees in their homes and could have saved tens of thousands of lives. Peace will only come when the Arabs finally accept the reality of Israel. And that is not a myth — that is a fact! This ad has been published and paid for by Facts and Logic About the Middle East P.O. Box 590359 I San Francisco, CA 94159 Gerardo Joffe, President FLAME is a tax-exempt, non-profit educational 501 (c)(3) organization. Its purpose is the research and publication of the facts regarding developments in the Middle East and exposing false propaganda that might harm the interests of the United States and its allies in that area of the world. Your taxdeductible contributions are welcome. They enable us to pursue these goals and to publish these messages in national newspapers and magazines. We have virtually no overhead. Almost all of our revenue pays for our educational work, for these clarifying messages, and for related direct mail. To receive free FLAME updates, visit our website: www.factsandlogic.org 36E 3col:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/25/2013 12:16 AM Page 22 1963, was originally a metaphor for the civil-rights struggle; today it serves as a stand-in for the gay-rights movement. Captain America once proudly went to war against the Nazis, before such unabashed shows of patriotism became gauche: Steve Rogers famously ditched his star-spangled alter ego in the 1970s as Watergate roiled the nation; did so again in the 1980s; and actively fought the government in the 2000s to protest a Patriot Act–style law. DC tackled hot-button social issues like drug abuse throughout dios and independent comic-book houses. Barely a month goes by without one or more comic-book flicks’ hitting the big screen. This summer alone saw the release of Iron Man 3, Man of Steel, The Wolverine, 2 Guns, Red 2, Kick-Ass 2, and R.I.P.D. At least nine more comicbook adaptations already have release dates in 2014. As studios grow more reliant on existing properties (the “preawareness” of which supposedly helps keep advertising costs down) and bigbudget spectacle (which supposedly decision to provide something for everyone, politically speaking: Tony Stark, patriotic billionaire, is arrayed against a band of al-Qaeda-like terrorists and the military-industrial complex. And Captain America is Captain America, hewing to an old-fashioned sense of American values—and the American responsibility to defend the defenseless—in both Captain America and The Avengers. These artistic choices have reaped huge financial dividends. Nolan’s Batman films grossed more than $2.4 billion Recently, the comic-book industry has engaged in what seems like an almost concerted effort to taunt the American Right. the 1970s, and the mid-1980s Watchmen, one of the two most important graphic novels ever written (along with The Dark Knight Returns), treated Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger as bogeymen content to bring about nuclear war. More recently, the comic-book industry has engaged in what seems like an almost concerted effort to taunt the American Right. For instance, there was Superman’s renunciation of his American citizenship in 2011’s Action Comics #900: “Truth, justice and the American way—it’s not enough anymore,” Big Blue complained before announcing he was headed to the United Nations to give up his citizenship. Similarly, in an issue of The Amazing Spider-Man mourning the terrorist attacks of 9/11, writer J. Michael Straczynski explicitly compared American preachers who blamed the attacks on “the pagans and the abortionists and the feminists and the gays and the lesbians and the ACLU” to radical jihadist imams who supported the destruction of the Twin Towers. It often feels as if the comic-book industry has moved to the left of Hollywood, long the nation’s most liberal industry. This is an intriguing turn of events, given that comic books are now little more than a pool of intellectual properties for Hollywood to raid. War ner Brothers owns DC Comics; Disney bought Marvel Comics and holds the film rights to the Avengers-affiliated properties (Iron Man, Thor, etc.); Sony owns the rights to Spider-Man; and Fox owns the rights to the X-Men, the Fantastic Four, and several other properties. This doesn’t even account for independent movie stu22 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m sells better overseas), the studios are likely to lean ever more heavily on the comic-book industry. Which is funny, because the most successful of the comic-book adaptations have been somewhat conservative. Comicbook movies are tacking to the right even as the comic-book industry veers left. This is best seen in Christopher Nolan’s Bat-universe. Batman Begins is about the scion of a family of liberal dogooders whose father and mother die before his eyes after being attacked on the street and who decides that, having been mugged by reality, he will fight evil in the world. Upon its release, I described The Dark Knight as “the first great post-9/11 film” for its willingness to grapple with, and support, issues like warrantless wiretapping, harsh interrogations, and extraordinary rendition. And The Dark Knight Rises could have come with the subtitle “Two Cheers for Capitalism” for its critique of anticapitalist populism and its plea for captains of industry to use their wealth to help better society. This summer’s Man of Steel could have been titled Neocon Jesus of Steel, given its religious imagery and its unequivocal rejection of isolationism and support for unilateral interventions. Director Zack Snyder’s Superman is no citizen of the world, telling a general at the end of the film, “I was raised in Kansas. I’m about as American as it gets.” Marvel’s Avengers properties have shied away from such topics, more content to luxuriate in spectacle than engage with ideas. But Iron Man was notable for its worldwide (The Dark Knight and The Dark Knight Rises grossed a billion each). The three Iron Man films have racked up another $2.4 billion. Avengers grossed more than $1.5 billion worldwide. Man of Steel has grossed a relatively paltry $662 million around the world—a figure that nevertheless was more than three times its production budget. Films that have hewed to the ideological ground from which they sprang have been far less successful. Consider Red and Red 2, based on the comic-book miniseries Red, which take a thoroughly skeptical view of America both at home and abroad. They have combined to gross just over $300 million worldwide, against a combined production budget of more than $140 million. As film budgets grow bigger, studios are forced to cater to wider audiences to recoup their investments. The comicbook industry, by contrast, is a relatively insular community playing with a relatively tiny amount of money. It can afford to appeal to a core group of obsessive, angry enthusiasts who threaten boycotts at the drop of the hat—indeed, it almost can’t afford not to satisfy these hardcore fans who make up its base. According to Comichron.com, over the last five years the comic-book industry has averaged roughly $260 million in sales per year on the 300 best-selling comics each month. To put that in perspective, Avengers alone grossed more than that in less than a week. When billions of dollars are on the line it only makes sense to appeal to as wide an audience as possible. OCTOBER 14, 2013 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 9/24/2013 11:39 PM Page 23 The Height of the Net How can an anti-poverty program encourage people to work? long ago committed to providing for the basic needs of all its citizens, constructing a so-called safety net of government programs to catch those unable to support themselves. But an effective safety net must be positioned at the right height—safely above the rock-hard floor yet still well below the tightrope. The value of the baseline government benefits provided to someone not working must be significantly lower than the income that person could earn in an entry-level job. That “income gap” creates the economic incentive to work in the first place, ensuring that all who are able will strive to climb back up and into the labor force. Unfortunately, a combination of macroeconomic trends and counterproductive policy choices has significantly eroded the incentive to work. Wages for low-skilled and entry-level positions have stagnated, while many of the positions that would have afforded a middle-class lifestyle have vanished entirely. At the same time, the safety net has grown to encompass an ever wider panoply of benefits that have become ever more expensive as health-care and education costs have exploded. This system of benefits, obviously requiring careful design and management, has neither. Countless programs are delivered through an alpha- A MeRICA Mr. Cass was the domestic-policy director of Mitt Romney’s presidential campaign. bet soup of agencies, leaving no holistic anti-poverty approach and no one accountable for measuring or maintaining a meaningful income gap. The results are as predictable as they are depressing. Laborforce participation is at a 35-year low overall, and an all-time low for men. (If participation were as high as it was before the recession, today’s unemployment rate would be above 11 percent.) There are 2 million fewer Americans working than there were before the recession but 2 million more Americans receiving disability payments. The number of food-stamp recipients has climbed by more than 25 percent since the recession ended, and more than 100 million Americans now receive some form of food assistance each year. The War on Poverty is in its 50th year, and yet the poverty rate today is as high as any previously recorded— and 30 percent higher than it was in the 1970s. Conservatives, whether genuinely awakened to the severity of America’s poverty crisis or merely chastened by the disastrous aftermath of Mitt Romney’s “47 percent” remarks, are at least taking notice. Representative Paul Ryan held House Budget Committee hearings on the issue. Proposals to reform existing programs, create new ones, increase spending, or decrease spending are flying from all sides. None of these ideas are likely to succeed unless they are built atop a new framework, one that 23 AP PHOTO/MARCIO JOSE SANCHEZ BY OREN CASS 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 9/24/2013 11:39 PM Page 24 establishes a benefit-delivery system capable of clearly separating those who work from those who do not, and one that maintains a substantial income gap between the two. B y some measures, the War on Poverty has already succeeded. If the goal is simply to guarantee that every American has access to food, providing an average of more than $3,000 of food stamps each year to households in need is a nearly unqualified victory. If the goal is access to medical care, a Medicaid program spending an average of $7,000 each year for a family of three represents extraordinary progress. Indeed, counting the full range of federal benefits as “income” to low-income households leads to a substantial reduction in the poverty rate. But simply transferring enough resources to someone so that he is no longer “poor” treats only the symptom; it does not move him toward self-sufficiency or a foothold at the bottom of an economic ladder that could lead to better opportunities. To the contrary, it hinders that process. Therein lies the paradox at the heart of anti-poverty policy. Every dollar spent to reduce the suffering of an impoverished person reduces the incentive for that person to improve his own condition by earning an income—not only because the need has become less pressing, but also because the system will in fact punish him for any success by taking the dollar away once he earns one of his own. The “handout” is locked in perpetual battle with the “hand up.” One could say, “So what?” Why not just spend the money to ensure everyone’s needs are met, and let work be its own reward? For one, fiscal constraints preclude the possibility of further expanding benefits for the further-expanded pool of beneficiaries that this approach would attract. But even if one were prepared to undertake the taxation and redistribution necessary to implement such a policy, the result would undermine societal values of individual responsibility and self-reliance and impede the upward economic mobility that is possible only for those who enter the work force in the first place. Thus the conservative emphasis on work requirements and other incentives to move people into jobs. And thus the effectiveness of welfare reform in the 1990s, one of the great conservative policy successes of recent decades. But welfare reform was actually quite limited, replacing the traditional Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) with the new, work-focused Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF). TANF is not even among the top five federal anti-poverty programs in either expenditures or enrollees. Medicaid, the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP, commonly referred to as “food stamps”), the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), Supplemental Security Income (SSI, commonly referred to as “disability”), and even Pell Grants for higher education are larger. And when all the spending is added up, the results are stunning. The Cato Institute added up the annual expenditures for all federal, state, and local anti-poverty programs (defined as programs whose eligibility is dependent on income level) and arrived at a total of $1 trillion. (That total excludes Medicare and Social Security, which amount to more than $1 trillion in additional spending each year. It also excludes the onset of the Affordable Care Act, which will expand Medicaid and provide more than $100 billion in annual insurance subsidies.) To under24 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m stand the magnitude of that $1 trillion in spending, consider that it could provide each of the nearly 50 million Americans living in poverty with an annual cash payment of more than $20,000. A single mother with two children could receive more than $60,000. Median household income in this country is only $52,000. Of course, not every dollar of the $1 trillion is spent on Americans living below the poverty line. A significant share of Medicaid spending also goes to support long-term care for the elderly. So Cato went one step further and looked at the full package of benefits a welfare-eligible single mother with two children could receive in each state. In most states the value of a package of welfare benefits exceeded earnings from a minimum-wage job. In half of all states, the benefit package brought the family up to at least 80 percent of the state’s median salary. The issue here is not whether taxpayers are spending “too much” on support for lower-income families. The issue is not even whether welfare benefits are “better” than entry-level jobs. The problem is that with such high baseline benefit levels—benefits that fall away as the recipient begins to earn income—the income gap is too low. The lowest-income households end up facing what in effect are extraordinarily high marginal tax rates, meaning they receive far too little additional take-home income for each dollar they earn and thus face relatively little incentive to earn any income at all. The Congressional Budget Office reviewed the impact of key federal programs and found that a hypothetical single mother with one child would have $20,000 of disposable income if she earned $0 in wages, but less than $30,000 of disposable income if she earned $30,000 in wages. From her perspective, she receives less than $10,000 in reward for her $30,000 of work—the equivalent of a 70 percent tax rate. Gary Alexander, Pennsylvania’s secretary of public welfare, found that taking into account his state’s benefits as well resulted in an even starker picture: There a hypothetical single mother with no earnings might receive $45,000 in benefits, a total amount of take-home income comparable to what she could expect with a $50,000 salary. Recent trends only compound the problem. Society’s definition of a minimum standard of living is expanding to include higher education, health coverage for everything from birth control to the most advanced therapies, and even cell phones and broadband Internet access. Ensuring that every American has access to these things is an admirable goal, but if every American is entitled to them, then those who work hard to earn a middle-class living will find themselves doing little better than those who do not work at all. At the same time as expectations rise, the standard of living offered by low-skilled work continues to decline. In 1970, the average income for a male with a high-school degree amounted to more than double the poverty line for a family of four. In 1990, it exceeded the poverty line by only 60 percent. Today it clears the threshold by only 30 percent. For entry-level positions specifically, those numbers drop even lower. Entry-level jobs are often just steppingstones to better opportunities for workers who develop skills and a track record of performance. But that upward mobility requires that the initial leap into the work force be made. Without a sufficient income gap, it may never be. As the range of potential benefits expands and the attractiveness of entry-level work declines, maintaining an income OCTOBER 14, 2013 base:milliken-mar 22.qxd 9/24/2013 3:32 PM Page 1 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 9/24/2013 11:39 PM Page 26 gap that favors work and encourages labor-force participation becomes more challenging and more important. Unfortunately, the current anti-poverty infrastructure makes it nearly impossible. T HE system through which $1 trillion flows each year from taxpayers to beneficiaries appears designed to stifle reform, increase spending, expand bureaucracy, and avoid accountability. The core assistance programs were created through different pieces of legislation and are administered by different agencies, with different eligibility requirements, incentives, and procedures. Medicaid is an entitlement program within the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS). Disability operates within the Social Security Administration. The Department of Agriculture (USDA) controls food stamps through legislation incorporated into the farm bill; the Department of Housing and Urban Development controls housing assistance; and the Department of Education controls education programs. Unemployment insurance relies on a hybrid state- and federally financed trust fund, administered by the states, with oversight from the Department of Labor, backstopped by additional federal funds. The IRS administers the Earned Income and Child Tax credits through the tax code. And so on and so forth for dozens of smaller programs, from the School Breakfast Program to the Weatherization Assistance Program. Implementation is sometimes but not always assigned to the states, sometimes but not always with matching state funds, sometimes but not always with state-established income thresholds. From the states’ perspective, little can be done but to replicate the structure of an array of federal programs and play by the perverse rules set from above. The tangle of strings attached to each program prevents any harmonization or consolidation among programs. Matching funds reward higher spending in some instances, while block grants attempt to curtail spending in others. State-level programs get layered on top of federal programs rather than integrated with them efficiently. Individuals end up facing wildly different incentives depending on their specific circumstances, sometimes encountering so-called income cliffs where small increases in their earnings will disqualify them from benefits and leave them worse off than before. For policymakers, the system defies analysis, let alone substantive reform. The USDA is an illustrative microcosm: Last year the agency spent $114 billion on 15 different nutritional programs, each with a separate legislative authorization. In June, its inspector general’s office expressed concern that the agency “may be duplicating its efforts by providing total benefits that exceed 100 percent of daily nutritional needs,” explaining that the agency “has not fully assessed its food safety net as a whole to determine the impact of providing potentially overlapping nutritional benefits through multiple programs.” Now multiply the absurdity across more than 100 different programs spanning numerous agencies and objectives. No one even considers how best to allocate funds across types of assistance or types of beneficiaries. Rising health-care costs drive Medicaid spending higher, crowding out funding for other types of programs regardless of whether a marginal dollar is best spent on health care. Thirty-five billion dollars goes annually to 26 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m Pell Grants subsidizing higher education—a worthy and politically unassailable effort, but one that prioritizes those with the brightest futures (and with access to already-subsidized public universities and already-subsidized loans) over those with fewer skills and opportunities. Year after year the entrenched bureaucracies of separate agencies shovel their separate funds down separate chutes, each striving to secure the largest possible shovel for next year by establishing just how acute is the need for its program. None are required to show the reduction in demand for their services that actual success would entail. Here comes another year, there goes another trillion dollars, and the poverty rate is unchanged. A better social safety net is only one piece of the anti-poverty puzzle. Economic policies need to create greater demand for workers. Immigration policies need to control the supply. Better investments in areas from education to infrastructure to policing need to offer greater opportunity for economic mobility. But if labor-force participation is crucial to easing poverty, structuring the $1 trillion of annual spending on the safety net to advance rather than interfere with that goal seems a sensible place to start. A N effective anti-poverty program requires reform in two ways: first, restructuring the funding system to give state-level policymakers the incentives and authorities they will need if substantive reforms are to succeed; second, sharply dividing programs designed to provide a safety net for those not working from programs designed to increase the incomes of those who are working, coupled with reestablishing an income gap by increasing the relative generosity of the latter. The restructuring process should begin with an acknowledgment that the federal government is well situated for only one of its present tasks: collecting and distributing funds. Rather than have numerous federal agencies each administer numerous programs, the federal government would ideally have a single agency apply a formula, establish the year’s lump-sum payment for each state, and transfer the funds. Call it the Flex Fund. States happy with the existing funding allocations and program structures could continue to apply the funding as they do today. But states with better ideas—even radically different ones—would be free to pursue them. The Flex Fund sounds like a block grant, but it is not the type of program-by-program block grant typically proposed as a pretext for capping the growth of costs. To the contrary, the funding formula would be pegged to the size of the population in need and would grow at the same rate as the poverty threshold itself— a figure that already factors in growth in cost of living for the relevant household. But with the dividing lines between programs erased, states would have genuine and complete flexibility over resource allocation as opposed to the faux flexibility of applying for waiver after waiver or delivering the federal Section 8 housing-voucher program “however you want.” Why should the states have control? First, because states are already largely responsible for implementing individual programs and delivering benefits. For all the reasons that, as the federal government realizes, states can best perform those tasks, so too can they best structure the programs and allocate funds across them. States have different populations, different economic circumstances, and different political preferences, makOCTOBER 14, 2013 3 fairy tales books ad:books ad from mrs nicks letter.qxd 9/24/2013 1:28 PM Page 1 WONDERFUL CHRISTMAS GIFTS! 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ADDITIONAL COPIES $25.00 While each book costs Treasury of Classic Bedtime Stories (Volume 1) $29.95 $29.95—and is well worth the Treasury of Classic Bedtime Stories (Volume 2) $29.95 price—we are happy to sell you Treasury of Classic Bedtime Stories (Set of both books) $39.95 the set of both books for the T O TA L PAY M E N T especially low price of $39.95. That’s a big savings, and includes Name PAYMENT METHOD: shipping and handling. o Check enclosed (payable to National Review) Address You can also order these Bill my o MasterCard o Visa City State ZIP books at nationalreview.com. Acct. No. e-mail: Expir. Date phone: (NY State residents must add sales tax. Foreign orders add $7US per book) Signature 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 9/24/2013 11:39 PM Page 28 ing the state a unit better suited to establish these types of policies. State policymakers and administrators are also attuned to the real-life challenges of implementing policy in a way that their Washington counterparts never will be. Second, and relatedly, good policymaking requires a decisionmaker to have control. As a practical matter, substantive reforms cannot occur today because no one has the power to implement them. Combining funding streams creates an initial point of control, while devolving that control to the state level consolidates the full range of spending and implementation authorities. As a matter of institutional design, that consolidation also increases the likelihood of constructive reform by increasing accountability and eliminating unfunded mandates from above or efforts to game the system from below. Third, where the federal government has floundered for decades, state-level experimentation is the more promising path forward. Not every state will pursue innovative reforms— indeed many will not—but innovation will occur. Welfare reform, like it or not, was inspired by state-level innovation enabled by waivers from federal welfare requirements. President Obama’s health-care reform, like it or not, was inspired by statelevel innovation enabled by waivers from federal Medicaid requirements. There will be successes and failures, and policymakers might not always learn the right lessons from them. But over time—decades, even—the testing ground in the states will yield an evolution of approaches far superior to the stagnant federal landscape of today. T Flex Fund itself is an important reform, with the potential to improve the performance of today’s programs and to produce further innovation. But just as important are the subsequent reforms it could launch in the direction of reestablishing an income gap. There are several paths one might take to increase the value of an entry-level job relative to the value of welfare benefits. One could simply refuse to give benefits to those who do not work, but that approach ignores both the political realities of what American society is committed to providing and the everyday realities of millions of Americans who struggle to find or keep a job. Proposals to impose work requirements on food stamps sound like easy fixes but imply that America could or should strip a significant number of people of their access to food. One might also question the wisdom of striving for a system in which people with jobs not only need food stamps but are indeed the program’s only constituency. At the other extreme, one could focus on expanding support for workers, either by allowing them to retain the benefits that they currently lose as their income increases or else by adding new and more generous supplements to their income. The expense of such an approach would be enormous, especially as it would kick the problem farther up the income scale: If welfare benefits alone can provide income approaching the level of today’s median income, then low-skilled workers would have to be supported at or above today’s median income, which would mean that today’s median earners would suddenly need support as well. In the current and foreseeable budget environment, such an approach is as unrealistic as cutting off support to those not working. Striking a feasible balance requires a finely calibrated set of 28 hE | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m benefits that would make some progress on both sides of the ledger. The goal should be to create two separate sets of lowincome programs—a state-administered safety net for those who are not working and a direct federal wage subsidy for those who are. Benefit types and levels should be adjusted between the two in an effort to reestablish an income gap. An adjustment in benefit types offers the best opportunity to incentivize work without slashing benefits or increasing spending. Two families—one whose head of household works, one whose head of household does not—may both need $3,000 worth of nutritional support. But if the non-working household receives the $3,000 in food stamps while the working household receives it as cash via a wage subsidy, the latter might feel substantially better off. While the Affordable Care Act draws an arbitrary line, providing Medicaid to those below 138 percent of the poverty line and a subsidy for private insurance to those above 138 percent of the poverty line, the benefit could instead be provided as Medicaid for those who do not work and, for those who do work, as additional cash provided via wage subsidy. These types of reforms would only produce further complexity given today’s policy structure, but substitute a Flex Fund and they become more straightforward. For example, more than 40 percent of food-stamp recipients live in households with earned income. If $50 billion, equivalent to 40 percent of what is spent today on USDA nutrition programs, were shifted out of the Flex Fund and into a doubling of a still-federal EITC, there would be no change in anti-poverty spending, but for working households a greater share would come in the form of a subsidized wage instead of an in-kind benefit. Taking a similar approach in other benefit categories could continue to expand the EITC dramatically. Reforming the credit itself to make it a direct-to-the-worker wage subsidy would further clarify its incentives and amplify its impact. The infrastructure for such a subsidy already exists, of course—it is called the payroll tax, which reduces the take-home pay of every worker, on every dollar earned in every paycheck, up to a specified income level. The wage subsidy would function as a reverse payroll tax, increasing the effective wage associated with a given job in a predictable and transparent way. The effect in many ways would mirror a substantial increase in the minimum wage. But whereas a price control would tend to decrease the size of the labor force, a subsidy would tend to increase it. And whereas higher wages paid by employers tend to increase prices for consumers—affecting most the lower-income population the policy is intended to help—a subsidy-supported higher wage is funded disproportionately by the higher-income tax base. States, via their federal Flex Fund dollars, their own programs, and their public–private partnerships, would be responsible for crafting a safety net to provide basic support for those outside the labor force. The federal government, via direct wage subsidies held apart from the Flex Fund, would ensure that anyone entering the labor force found significant advantages in doing so. The income gap would be easily quantifiable, and if necessary it could be expanded by shifting additional resources out of the Flex Fund and into the wage subsidy—not a reduction in support for the poor, only a shift in who receives what share. On this foundation, efforts to attack the causes of poverty and to improve the effectiveness of anti-poverty programs might actually succeed. OCTOBER 14, 2013 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 9/24/2013 11:39 PM Page 29 Divestment Du Jour Obama endorses a crusade against fossil fuels BY STANLEY KURTZ President Obama declared war on America’s fossil-fuel industry? The administration has been at pains to deny claims by lawmakers of both parties that it is waging a “war on coal.” But what if the real war is wider? Largely unnoticed by critics, Obama has begun supporting a cause called the “fossil-fuel resistance” by its radical advocates. The movement’s leading edge is a drive to have college endowments, as well as church, municipal, and state pension funds, divest themselves of stock in any large fossilfuel companies. Fossil-fuel divestment is meant to turn America’s conventional energy producers into social pariahs. Its goal is the enactment of a steeply escalating carbon tax that would result in America’s oil companies’ having to leave 80 percent or more of their known reserves forever unused in the earth. A massive national shift to renewable energy sources could then be financed by a slow-motion, government-imposed shutdown of America’s fossil-fuel industry. If only for political reasons, it might seem unlikely that a president could support a program this extreme. After all, Obama may yet approve that ultimate environmental bugaboo, the Keystone XL pipeline project, which is still broadly supported by the public. And for all of his assaults on coal, the president’s June address on climate change at Georgetown University contained an endorsement of job-creating natural-gas production, at least for the medium term. Yet that same speech included a barely noticed expression of support for the extremist fossil-fuel-divestment movement, which swept across America’s college campuses over the past academic year. After telling Georgetown’s students he wanted to enlist their generation’s help in the battle against climate change, Obama said: “Convince those in power to reduce our carbon pollution. Push your own communities to adopt smarter practices. Invest. Divest. Remind folks there’s no contradiction between a sound environment and strong economic growth. And remind everyone who represents you at every level of government that sheltering future generations against the ravages of climate change is a prerequisite for your vote.” That quick call to divest, followed by a plea to make climate change an election issue, was overlooked by the general public, few of whom had even heard of the fossil-fuel-divestment movement. Yet for student activists listening in, Obama’s call hit like a thunderclap. “We all shouted, screamed, and/or fell H AS Mr. Kurtz is a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center. out of our chairs,” wrote University of Michigan divestment campaigner Marissa Solomon, adding, “This was huge. The president of the United States of America knows that we have started a legitimate, world-changing movement, and he likes it.” Barnard-Columbia divestment campaigner Daniela Lapidous was quoted in the Huffington Post as saying, “I was watching the speech with fellow divestment activists and when the president said ‘divest’ our jaws dropped. We just looked at each other in shock and then excitement.” Jamie Henn, communications director for 350.org, the group behind the divestment campaign, quoted in the same Huffington Post piece, called Obama’s statement “a huge endorsement” and added: “My Twitter feed absolutely lit up with students tweeting the news, people are pumped.” A Boston Globe magazine piece recently declared that fossil-fuel divestment “now has the support of the White House,” while the New York Times devoted a July article to Obama’s pro-divestment signal. Given the radicalism of the divestment crusade, it may suit the president that few outside of liberal environmental circles realize he has endorsed it. Responding to Obama’s climatechange address, Chris Hayes, who hosts a show on MSNBC, tweeted, “‘invest, divest’ is the most crypto-radical line the president has ever uttered.” The author of the Huffington Post piece, senior community organizer and 2008 Obama campaign adviser Peter Dreier, said the president was “signaling his support to the current generation of campus radicals,” adding, “The word ‘divest’ was like a dog whistle to campus activists.” Transposing the president’s elusive whistle into an audible register could reshape the politics of energy. To understand why, let’s have a closer look at the fossil-fuel-divestment movement. D IveSTMeNT’S biggest moment to date was a November 2012 referendum in which 72 percent of participating Harvard undergraduates called on their university’s endowment to sell off any stocks in large fossil-fuel companies. Prior to that, fossil-fuel divestment was an outlier idea, confined to radical environmental groups on a few scattered campuses. That changed after America’s most influential environmentalist, Bill McKibben, published a July 2012 article in Rolling Stone titled “Global Warming’s Terrifying New Math.” Already a hero to America’s green-minded Millennial generation for penning the first major account of global warming a quartercentury ago, McKibben caused a sensation with this new article by predicting climate catastrophe should more than about 20 percent of the world’s known fossil-fuel reserves be burned. He followed up by launching a rock-star-style tour of concert venues across the country, calling on students to join the “fossil-fuel resistance” by supporting divestment. On a first hearing, divestment strikes many as a futile gesture. Since most energy companies are moneymakers, any stocks sold off are sure to find buyers. The only financial losers under such circumstances are likely to be the university endowments and public pension funds that divest, not oil companies. McKibben understands this. The real goal of his effort, modeled on the anti-apartheid divestment movement of the 1980s, is to impugn the moral legitimacy of America’s energy producers. The first step toward bankrupting oil companies financially, 29 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 9/24/2013 11:39 PM Page 30 McKibben believes, is bankrupting them politically, by turning them into pariahs. With disarming honesty, McKibben insists that “movements require enemies.” By painting oil companies as planetary enemy No. 1, McKibben hopes to generate a public groundswell for steep carbon taxes and other policies designed to force America’s conventional energy producers out of the fossil-fuel business. That harvard divestment vote, which followed hard on McKibben’s Boston tour stop, made the New York Times’s front page. In the ensuing months, the movement spread to over 300 college campuses, sparking scores of pro-divestment student votes at schools across the land. While McKibben is the leading figure behind fossil-fuel divestment, his key ally is Naomi Klein, long an inspiring presence for the anti-corporate-globalization movement and its successor, Occupy Wall Street. Klein argues that, as a practical matter, hard-Left causes can best be advanced in current political circumstances under the banner of environmentalism. her partnership with McKibben’s divestment movement embodies a long-sought alliance of the environmentalist and anti-capitalist Left. By any reasonable standard, McKibben’s social vision is radical. Breaking with liberals as well as conservatives, he firmly opposes growth as an economic goal. As he explained in his 2007 book Deep Economy, as well as 2010’s Eaarth, McKibben hopes to unwind capitalist modernity, putting something like a postmodern peasantry in its place. From McKibben’s perspective, modern society is not only ecologically disastrous, it’s also far less satisfying than village and small-town life in the days before the Industrial Revolution. That’s why McKibben would like to see a return to farm-based living. Instead of industrial farming, with its products distributed by way of carbon-intensive long-haul transport, McKibben seeks a revival of local, labor-intensive organic farming. In his ideal future, we’d abandon our cars and grow food on our suburban lawns. While this vision is laid out in McKibben’s books, he’s downplayed it since the divestment campaign began. “More farm labor” has limited appeal as a student rallying cry. Yet the goal of shutting down America’s fossil-fuel-based economy dovetails perfectly with McKibben’s agrarian communitarianism. Critics of the climate movement have long maintained that forcibly paring back the carbon economy will do more harm than good—killing economic growth, with devastating human consequences. A post-growth society is McKibben’s goal, and he’s willing to risk some social and economic disruption to get there. Do McKibben’s young followers understand his deep-lying hostility to economic growth, not to mention his odd utopian vision for America? For the most part, they do not. These days, McKibben has plenty to say about all the industry he wants to shut down, but he tells us virtually nothing about the economic and social consequences of that loss. Naomi Klein shares McKibben’s no-growth, communitarian, localist vision, and means to use state power to achieve it. Shifting American society from high-tech capitalism to postmodern peasanthood can be financed, Klein believes, by nationalizing America’s oil companies and making them pay for the transition to a post-fossil-fuel economy. Full-throttle anti-capitalism? Klein happily embraces the charge. Given the 30 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m intellectual underpinnings of the movement President Obama has endorsed, it’s hardly surprising that he chose to quietly “whistle” his support rather than shout his approval from the rooftops. T quality of debate over the divestment issue on college campuses has, in general, been atrocious. At harvard, apocalyptic climate-disaster scenarios drawn from the most questionable studies went all but unchallenged. Divestment critics raised questions about the economic wisdom of the tactic, yet few dared dispute the underlying assumptions of the movement: the fantasy of a cost-free post-carbon economy, or catastrophic climate predictions based on data susceptible to perfectly reasonable alternative interpretations. During harvard’s debate, the wildly controversial economic and social visions of McKibben and Klein never even came up. No doubt any student with the temerity to raise such questions would have been stigmatized as a climate-change “denier” and an abetter of corporate evil. Like many other universities that now house an official “office of sustainability,” harvard, with its many “green” programs, effectively sends a message to its students that climate activism is something close to official university policy. The principle of free debate at the heart of liberal education cannot help but suffer when a disputed policy becomes an officially protected sacred cow. This past March, Vassar College provided an example of what happens to those who dare to cross the line guarding campus climate orthodoxy, when a student group invited Alex epstein, president of the pro-fossil-fuel Center for Industrial Progress, to speak on campus. Posters advertising the talk were ripped down. Students, a number of them wearing Dick Cheney masks, interrupted epstein’s lecture with a hostile statement accusing him of being a pawn of the oil industry, then walked out en masse. Before epstein arrived, a couple of student leaders even tried to persuade his hosts to pay him a fee not to give a talk. The climax of the last school year’s divestment movement came just before graduation at Swarthmore, where activists took over a Board of Managers meeting that had been called to discuss divestment, at the activists’ request. Conservative student opponents of divestment were blocked from speaking by a bizarre, Alinsky-style tactic in which the protesters rhythmically “clapped down” opinions they opposed, rendering them inaudible. Craven administrators present at the meeting did nothing to impose order. Caught on video, the spectacle rightly embarrassed many Swarthmore students, yet served to encourage the radicals. The coming school year is bound to bring more disruptions. A takeover of the president’s office at the Rhode Island School of Design late last year may be repeated elsewhere. Divestment activists have been training and planning all summer. On the plus side, organized opposition to the divestment movement has emerged at Vassar, where many students were outraged by last March’s assault on free speech. They are circulating a statement opposing divestment to students, faculty, and administrators across the country. That statement, developed by the Center for Industrial Progress, calls the divestment movement “an attempt to silence legitimate debate” and condemns its refusal to grapple with the social costs of an industry shutdown. Rather than asking schools to endorse a particular he OCTOBER 14, 2013 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 9/24/2013 11:39 PM Page 31 stance on energy or the environment, the statement calls on them to eschew politics and promote open debate. signed by such luminaries as steven Hayward, alan Charles Kors, Harvey Mansfield, Matt ridley, roger scruton, and Peter Wood, the statement represents the most serious pushback against the divestment movement to date. (a copy of “Don’t Divest, educate—an Open letter to american Universities” can be found at fossilfueldebate.com.) lopsided student support for fossil-fuel divestment depends on the atmosphere of intimidation that has surrounded the movement so far. Many students support divestment for want of having heard counterarguments, or because they live on campuses where just about any policy proposal claiming the mantle of environmentalism is considered right. real opposition could burst this bubble. The president clearly hopes otherwise. as the New York Times suggested in the wake of Obama’s Georgetown nod to the divestment movement, his speech can be taken as a plea for help. Obama knows, said the Times, “that if he is to get serious climate policies on the books before his term ends in 2017, he needs a mass political movement pushing for stronger action.” so Obama’s supportive signal may have been an attempt to kindle divestment activism that will serve to pressure Congress to pass aggressive carbon restrictions, the end that Obama and the fossil-fuel-divestment movement share. Democrats worry that the president’s climate proposals will leave them vulnerable to charges of killing jobs and raising energy prices. Organizing for action, President Obama’s national community-organizing group, will counter such attacks by painting republicans as anti-science climate “deniers.” That’s silly, since it’s perfectly possible to accept the basic physics of carbon dioxide’s effect on temperature without buying into climate catastrophism, but the administration is paying attention to polls that say republicans can be hurt by being portrayed as “deniers.” This is what’s behind Obama’s more open and aggressive stance on the issue. What if, instead of fighting a defensive battle against bogus efforts to paint them as troglodytes, republicans were to highlight President Obama’s endorsement of the fossil-fueldivestment movement? again, the real goal of that movement is to use divestment activism to pressure Congress to pass a draconian carbon tax. Would the public be onboard with a government-imposed shutdown of america’s conventionalenergy industry, leaving 80 percent of america’s fuel reserves in the ground, well before wind or solar becomes an economically viable substitute? What would that do to jobs and energy prices, not to mention our dependence on Middle eastern oil (in the short term)? and what if the public were to get an inkling of the radical social vision of the divestment movement’s leaders? The White House has so far declined to elaborate on what the president meant at Georgetown when he called on students to divest. No wonder. should critics force the issue, the president will find that he has trapped himself. either he will have to justify his support for a radical movement whose outlandish goal the public is sure to reject, or he will have to back off, sorely disappointing his Millennial base. Congressional republicans and potential GOP presidential candidates should help the president choose—by calling on him to clarify his stand on fossilfuel divestment. How We Used to Do It American diplomacy in the Yom Kippur War BY MARIO LOYOLA srael’s dashing victory in the six-Day War of 1967 left it in control of the sinai Peninsula and the Palestinian territories. It also lured the Jewish state into a dangerously self-satisfied complacency. On september 26, 1973, the Jerusalem Post proclaimed in an editorial, “There was never a period in which our security situation seemed as good as now.” Not even a large build-up of egyptian and syrian forces could shake Israel out of its torpor. On October 5, Israeli intelligence rated the possibility of war as “lowest of the low.” The next day, on Yom Kippur, egypt and syria attacked from the west and northeast. Israel was taken totally by surprise. Now well trained and superbly well armed with the latest soviet weapons, the egyptian army executed a brilliant crossing of the suez Canal and quickly threw Israel’s front-line units into disarray, while the syrians were soon mauling Israeli forces with wave after wave of tanks. When the Israeli counterattack in the sinai finally materialized on the third day of the war, it promptly ran into a withering barrage of soviet-supplied anti-tank and anti-aircraft missiles. Israel’s losses of tanks and planes were so severe that the counterattack had to be called off, and the government desperately appealed to the Nixon administration for help. The Yom Kippur War was a major foreign-policy crisis for the United states, carrying with it the potential for armed conflict with the soviet Union. The soviets’ position in the Middle east had been growing steadily stronger for years while america was paralyzed by the war in Vietnam. Meanwhile, americans had spent the summer of 1973 transfixed by the Watergate hearings. The Yom Kippur War broke just as the Nixon administration was starting to fall apart. Onto this dramatic stage stepped secretary of state Henry Kissinger, to deliver the masterpiece of his diplomatic career. Today, on the 40th anniversary of the Yom Kippur War, that performance stands in painful contrast with the appalling incompetence of President Obama’s Middle east policy, through which, one blunder after another, he is unraveling virtually all of what american diplomacy achieved then. egypt’s new leader, anwar sadat, was bent on recovering the sinai Peninsula and eager for america to push Israel to the negotiating table even as he prepared for war. sadat later told Kissinger, “You didn’t pay attention to me, and this was the result.” To gain maximum freedom of maneuver, sadat had expelled soviet advisers from egypt, but he remained depen- I Mr. Loyola is a former counsel for foreign and defense policy to the U.S. Senate Republican Policy Committee. 31 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 9/24/2013 11:39 PM Page 32 dent on the Soviet Union for weapons and was still, to all appearances, a Soviet client. And yet Sadat had already decided to throw his lot in with the Americans, who, he realized, alone could deliver peace between his country and Israel. His motives for attacking Israel were more complex than he let on. Sadat appears to have understood all along that he could not win back the Sinai through force of arms alone. His primary purpose was political, not military. By 1973, he had come to believe that the diplomatic impasse over the return of the Sinai could be broken only by war. Sadat also knew that compromise with Israel would be almost impossible as long as Egypt’s humiliation of 1967 hung in the air. Kissinger understood that as well. He believed that America had to ensure an Israeli victory but that the victory should stop short of humiliating the Arabs to that degree again. Charting a middle course would require deft diplomacy. Once the fighting started, the first order of business for the U.S. was to rearm the Israelis fast, but the airlift took a week to materialize. Though the delay was partly Kissinger’s fault, it proved salutary. Because the Soviets began resupplying their Arab clients almost as soon as the shooting started, while the Americans dithered, the wily Kissinger was able to portray the U.S. airlift, once it began, as a reasonable response to Soviet provocation. D IPlOMACy immediately focused on the terms of a cease-fire, which, given the Israelis’ frightening position after the first few days of war, they were only too happy to agree to. Sadat, however, rejected the proposal, his first major mistake. After blunting Israel’s initial counteroffensive, Egyptian forces went on the attack and fatefully pushed beyond the cover of their anti-aircraft-missile umbrella, his second mistake. As the first week of war drew to a close, Israel’s mobilization was starting to produce large numbers of reinforcements, just as American weapons of every category started to arrive. The Israelis took just days to understand the new tactics of the Arab armies, and their countermeasures began tilting the casualty ratios dramatically in their favor. From this point forward, the Israelis prevailed in every engagement. General Ariel Sharon, commanding a brigade in the center of Israel’s Sinai front, developed a bold plan for slicing through the seam between Egypt’s Second and Third Armies and then crossing to the west bank of the Suez Canal, well to the rear of Egypt’s army in Sinai. His attack was brilliantly successful; several brigades crossed the Suez Canal in short order and wheeled south, on the way to surrounding Egypt’s Third Army. In a matter of days, Egypt was on the precipice of total defeat. By this point, Israeli forces were also smashing the Syrian army to bits hundreds of miles to the northeast. The Soviets now realized that their Arab clients were in serious trouble, and that disaster loomed for themselves as well. After the Israeli breakthrough, Sadat agreed to a cease-fire and asked U.S. and Soviet troops to enforce it. The U.S. had no interest in a joint mission with the Soviets, but Brezhnev warned that he would send Soviet forces to Egypt unilaterally if the Americans didn’t join him. Kissinger was adamant that any such move be met with American force. The Nixon administra32 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m tion quietly put U.S. nuclear forces on worldwide alert. It was a powerful shot across the bow, and it clearly rattled the Soviets, who promptly backed down. Trying one last time to snatch victory from the impending disaster, the Soviets agreed to impose a cease-fire on their clients if Israel agreed to return the land it took in 1967. To Kissinger, this proposal was “preposterous.” If the cease-fire depended on a comprehensive settlement, the war would continue. The momentum was now shifting irrevocably in Israel’s favor, which presented new challenges for U.S. diplomacy. The Israelis seemed determined to complete the encirclement of the Third Army, and could hardly contain the desire to avenge the thousands of young Israelis who had fallen in two weeks of war. Kissinger realized that the Israelis’ determination would ruin the chance for a durable peace, mire post-war diplomacy in a new set of grievances, and likely cost the U.S. support around the world. Kissinger flew to Moscow to negotiate the terms of the ceasefire that the superpowers now expected to impose on the combatants through a U.N. Security Council resolution. By now the Soviet position was eroding fast, along with that of its Arab clients, and Kissinger’s stalling tactics soon led them to abandon their demands for a comprehensive settlement. They agreed to the U.S. proposal for a cease-fire “in place,” with a vague allusion to the land-for-peace formula, and agreement by all parties concerned (chiefly the Arab states) to engage in a post-war conference. America’s preferred text was adopted as U.N. Security Council Resolution 338 on October 22. The Israelis were initially furious, but the government of Golda Meir soon accepted the resolution, though in the Israeli press it was pilloried as a Soviet–American “diktat.” Abba Eban, then Israel’s foreign minister, explained the government’s thinking: “Perhaps the ambivalence of the military result would be more conducive to a negotiated peace than if we were to trample the Egyptians into the dust.” After the cease-fire, Kissinger embarked on his famous tour of “shuttle diplomacy,” to negotiate the details of a significant disengagement of Israeli forces from the front lines. An international conference was convened by the superpowers in Geneva in December, but this was a smokescreen. Kissinger intended to exclude the Soviets from a meaningful role in the post-war diplomacy and set to work negotiating bilateral agreements in which the U.S. would be the sole mediator between Israel and its enemies. The only purpose of the conference was to establish the precedent of Arab governments’ talking directly with Israel, thereby ending the Arab states’ refusal to negotiate after 1967. The conference accomplished nothing else. The foundation was now set for the historic Camp David Accords between Israel and Egypt, and President Jimmy Carter would put the finishing touch on the process that Kissinger had set in motion. E GyPT and Syria had been defeated, but a measure of honor had been restored to Arab arms, and the mood in Israel was anything but jubilant. For the Soviets, on the other hand, the yom Kippur War ended in total humiliation. According to Peter Rodman, the Syrians now held the Soviet Union in the deepest contempt, for enticing them to war and then caving in to the Americans. When Sadat reopened the Suez OCTOBER 14, 2013 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 9/24/2013 11:39 PM Page 33 Canal in 1975, he insisted that an American aircraft carrier lead the first ceremonial convoy through it, rubbing the Soviets’ noses in America’s ascendancy. The Soviets would never again play more than a marginal role in the Middle East. Though it never fired a shot, the real victor of the Yom Kippur War was the United States. The U.S. became entrenched as the dominant stabilizing force in the region. “Paradoxically enough,” Chaim Herzog recalls in The War of Atonement, “the courageous and unequivocal American stand in favour of Israel gave the United States a standing in the Arab world such as it had not known before, and showed the countries of Western Europe in their craven and abject surrender to the Arab sheiks to be the weak, leaderless and divided community that they are.” “Weak, leaderless, and divided” describes America as it is perceived in the Middle East today. Where America won the respect of all sides by firmly supporting its allies, Obama is losing the respect of all sides by wavering in his support for Egypt, Israel, and Iraq. Where America diminished Russia, Obama has gratuitously enhanced its power. Where America assumed a role of paramount influence in the Middle East, Obama is abandoning it. Where the U.S. pursued maximalist goals with determination, and achieved them, Obama fails to deliver even on his own modest goals. Obama’s disastrous Syria policy is a microcosm of these failures. When Bashar Assad’s regime attacked the outskirts of Damascus with sarin gas, killing more than a thousand civilians, Obama proposed military strikes that would be carefully designed not to advance any strategic interest of the United States, not even to push Assad to the negotiating table. Instead the strikes would be designed to “send a message” about the importance of the “international norm” against the use of chemical weapons. When Secretary of State John Kerry later foolishly intoned that Syria could avoid strikes by putting its chemical-weapons arsenal under international control, the Russians pounced, luring the U.S. into a plan that would give the previously marginalized Kremlin a central role in managing Syria’s civil dispute. Obama’s failure to deliver on his clear word to act if a red line was crossed has brought American credibility to its lowest point since before the Yom Kippur War. Syria has now dispersed its chemical weapons to some 50 locations throughout the country, making a mockery of Obama’s tough talk. Assad’s recent disclosure of his chemical-weapons stocks may be in substantial compliance with the U.S.–Russian agreement—it will be impossible to know for some time, if ever—but the agreement appears to legitimize his rule generally as long as he appears to try to comply with it. The implication is that force will be off the table in the meantime, something that was not clear before. Obama’s reaction has turned Assad’s use of chemical weapons into a huge success for the regime, and a disaster for the rebels. One is tempted to chalk Obama’s Middle East policy up to incompetence, but there may be a deeper explanation. Virtually every American president from George Washington to George W. Bush has believed that American influence is a force for good in the world. But Barack Obama appears to believe that American influence is intrinsically bad. That may be the real reason Obama is now frittering away the legacy of America’s brilliant diplomacy on the anniversary of the Yom Kippur War. Decision at Pine Ridge The ongoing, awful question of alcohol on the reservation BY JAY NORDLINGER Pine Ridge, S.D. August, a potentially momentous vote took place—not momentous for the nation, but for the nation of the Oglala Sioux, or Oglala Lakota, as they’re also called. Here on the Pine Ridge reservation, tribe members voted to lift the longstanding ban on alcohol: its sale, possession, and consumption. The vote was 1,843 to 1,683, or 52 percent to 48 percent. The issue has stirred passions on the reservation. And it’s not quite over: Repeal is “not a done deal,” as an official tells me. The Tribal Council must approve it. Pine Ridge drifts in and out of the national consciousness, mainly out. In 1973, activists took over the village of Wounded Knee, creating a national drama. Pine Ridge is in the southwestern corner of South Dakota. It’s larger than Delaware and Rhode Island combined—but smaller than Connecticut. Some 17,000 people live here. By contrast, Wyoming, the least populous state, has 576,000. Pine Ridge is a very poor place, the poorest of all the reservations. One could cite many grim statistics, and tug at heartstrings. I will give a few facts, quickly. Infant mortality is sky high. Diabetes is sky high. So are any number of other illnesses, including depression. Suicide is sky high. It is virtually epidemic among teenagers. Life expectancy for men is 48; for women, it’s 52. One hears that this is the worst life expectancy in the Western Hemisphere, except for Haiti. Most people drop out of school, and most people don’t work. Unemployment is over 80 percent. Most of those who do work are women, and they tend to work for one government entity or another. Homes are overcrowded. Often they have no water or electricity, and often they have a dangerous mold. Teen gangs have become a menace. To add insult to injury, the weather here is some of the most challenging in the country—a “weather of extremes,” as they say. It’s punishingly hot in the summer and punishingly cold in the winter. Severe winds blow at many times. The reservation is, as most people know, alcohol-drenched. One reads that eight out of ten families are affected by alcohol. I talk to people who have no idea who the other two families are: They’ve lived here all their lives, and never knew a family unaffected by alcohol, and have barely known an individual unaffected. What are the effects of alcoholism? Robbery, rape, murder, poverty, family breakdown, disease, death—one could go on. Like two-thirds of all Indian reservations in America, Pine Ridge has traditionally banned alcohol. Yet alcohol, of course, is rife. Tribe members can get it over the border, wherever the border is. They might get it in Martin, S.D., in the east. Most no - I n 33 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 9/24/2013 11:39 PM Page 34 toriously, they get it in Whiteclay, Neb., in the south. (Sometimes the name of this place is written “White Clay.” It depends on the sign or map.) Whiteclay is just over the border from Pine Ridge—meaning the village of Pine Ridge, not the reservation at large. People in Whiteclay have been selling booze to the Sioux for over 100 years. There are four liquor stores in Whiteclay and only three times as many residents. Yes, Whiteclay has just a dozen people or so. The liquor stores do a booming business. They sell something like 4.5 million cans of beer a year, which comes out to more than 12,000 a day. Whiteclay has been a focus of tribal anger for a long time. Last year, the tribe filed suit against the liquor stores in federal court. They also sued beer distributors and beer makers, including Anheuser-Busch, Miller, and Pabst. They claimed that alcohol was stocked and sold “far in excess” of what Nebraska law allows. The judge was sympathetic, saying, “There is, in fact, little question that alcohol sold in Whiteclay contributes significantly to tragic conditions on the Reservation.” He also said that the case did not belong in federal court. Less than a year later, the tribe held its referendum. For some, the victory of the repeal side had an air of, “If you can’t beat ’em, join ’em.” If you can’t keep others from selling the stuff, sell it yourself. In all likelihood, the Tribal Council will not nullify the people’s vote. But, again, it has a right to do so and may. Many leaders are against repeal, including the tribal president, Bryan Brewer. (Yes, his name is Brewer.) The police chief, Ron Duke, is on record as opposing repeal as well. By his own testimony, he drank until he was in his early 30s, and he has had two daughters killed in drunk-driving accidents. T ban or not to ban is a very, very touchy issue on the reservation. Many people are reluctant to discuss it, certainly with a white stranger. But some open up. Three boys, hanging out together, are against repeal. They’re also very nervous about it. They seem from 14 to 16 years old. If people have readier access to alcohol, they say, won’t there be more alcoholism? “There’s a lot of pressure on us kids,” one boy says: pressure to drink, to give in to the general malaise. Would the lifting of the ban constitute some sort of abandonment of them? A surrender? 34 O | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m From the boys comes, not just nervousness, but also a sense of fear. Fear of alcohol is apparent in other people too. They talk about alcohol as if talking about a plague. Warnings against alcohol are in the air. Let me give an example. At the Prairie Wind casino—motto: “Feel the win!”—there are signs posted at the doors. They remind people, in strict terms, that alcohol is forbidden. What would Prairie Wind be like if booze were mixed in with the gambling? At the entrance of tribal offices in Pine Ridge—the village of Pine Ridge—a sign promises that anyone intoxicated will be evicted or arrested. Naturally, a person will want to ask this question: How could alcohol be more plentiful, or prevalent, than it is now? Can’t people just waltz over the border to Whiteclay? Those in the village of Pine Ridge can. And Pine Ridge is the largest of the villages, with 3,300 people. But the reservation is a very big place. It is also sparsely populated, and distances between communities are great. Many people live remotely, and relatively few have cars. Public transportation is almost nonexistent. People walk or hitchhike. Only once before have I seen so many people walking along highways: That was in India, where it was explained to me that the Jains, owing to their religious principles, don’t drive. On the reservation, there is the stereotype of the Indian car— the beater that can barely move. This stereotype exists for a reason. There is a bumper sticker that says “Official Indian Car.” Not a few cars are missing half a windshield, and not a few are crunched up in the back. It’s amazing they can stay on the road, or are allowed to do so. On the highways are signs warning against drunk driving. These signs include photos of cute kids, now dead. In the parking lot of Big Bat’s, I see a couple of young men on horseback. Later, down the street, they will playfully lasso each other. Big Bat’s is the main hangout in the village of Pine Ridge—Sioux Central. It’s a combination store, restaurant, and gas station. The manager on duty talks about the impending repeal: He’s against it. On his face are bitterness and disgust. He does not believe that Big Bat’s will sell alcohol, if repeal goes through. Why’s that? He gestures behind him, in the direction of the Nebraska line. “Nobody wants Pine Ridge to look like Whiteclay.” Just before you get to Whiteclay, there’s a mural that says, OCTOBER 14, 2013 AP PHOTO/CARSON WALKER In Whiteclay, Neb. 2col:QXP-1127940309.qxp 9/24/2013 11:39 PM Page 35 “Legalize alcohol on the rez.” Downtown Whiteclay, so to speak, is a forlorn strip. On the other end of it is another mural, which says, “United we stand, divided we fall.” In between is an Indian Bowery or skid row. Men sit or lie on the sidewalk, drunk. They are zombie-like, broken. Along the strip are the liquor stores. They are windowless, stark, brutish. They look closed. But they’re not. The people come to them on foot or by car. In my observation, the cars tend to be driven by women, with male passengers. The women go in to buy the alcohol while the men wait in the cars. Transactions in the stores are mechanical and weary, with maybe a touch of shame about them. There are grocery stores in Whiteclay too—two of them. You cannot get alcohol in them. “No, we wouldn’t sell it,” says a cashier. “Not every place in Whiteclay is for drinking, despite what you hear.” What does she think of the Pine Ridge referendum and its result? (The cashier is white, by the way.) She says, brightly, “I think it’s good. This has been going on for years”— and by “this” she means the drinking and the blaming. “It’s their problem, let them deal with it.” Unless I’m mistaken, her tone says, “Whiteclay has had enough of being the villain.” As I look at the Indians, lying on the sidewalks, I wonder, “What’s the difference between them and the business executives who get sloshed in their offices or at home in their dens? What’s the difference between them and alcohol-fueled writers, some of whom become immortal, such as Faulkner?” The answer, I suppose, is that some can cope and some can’t. T advocates of repeal make many arguments. They say that, with alcohol revenue, you can build detox centers and fund treatment programs. You may also have more money for the schools. Furthermore, repeal will cut down on drunk-driving accidents, as people will be able to go less far for alcohol. Police will not have to use their time investigating possession and smuggling and the like. The casinos will attract more visitors, because they’ll be wet, not dry. And look: Prohibition has failed. It didn’t work in America 80 or 90 years ago, and it’s not working today on Pine Ridge. Time to try something else. There is also, I believe, an element of pride on the repeal side—a sense that repeal will allow the Sioux to be masters of their own destiny, more than they are now. After the vote, a prorepeal council member said, “I’m ecstatic. I’m so happy. Our tribe took the decision to move forward and make history.” A pro-repeal writer described this step as a matter of “fighting back.” Against whom? Against Whiteclay and outsiders in general, presumably. The president, Bryan Brewer, recoils at the idea that alcohol revenue should fund alcohol treatment. “I consider this blood money,” he has said. Many are skeptical that the detox centers and all the rest will appear if alcohol is legalized. Other reservations have promised the same and failed to deliver. In my view, much of this debate turns on a single question: Could things on Pine Ridge be worse? Or not? Has Pine Ridge hit rock bottom? Or could it go down farther still? The antiprohibitionists, by and large, say, “No, things could not be worse.” Prohibitionists say, “Oh, yes, they could.” The abovecited teenagers think so. The manager at Big Bat’s thinks so. The same is true of a lady who describes the toll that alcohol has taken on the reservation. She goes through a whole litany, eloHe quently and emotionally. When she’s through, I say, “Well, life is miserable already. Could it be worse?” Her face freezes for a moment. Then she fixes me with a look and says, “Yes, of course it could.” One big reason, she says, and others say, is that it is moderately difficult to get alcohol now. Not difficult enough, obviously—but moderately so. It takes something of an effort. If people could buy it at any of the general stores that dot the reservation, what then? The cashier at the store in Kyle says she’s against repeal. “It’s better when people sneak it. You don’t have to see it out in the open. I don’t want my daughter to see drunk people.” (The mother herself looks no more than 18.) But doesn’t her daughter see drunk people now? “No. They’re not out in the open. They sneak it in their homes.” A convenience store in Martin, 35 miles to the southeast, sells alcohol. What does the cashier think of a Pine Ridge decision to do the same—to sell alcohol? “Listen,” she says: “They might as well make money off it like everyone else.” O Ne of the classic images in America is that of the wise old Indian—the tribal elder. At Pine Ridge, there aren’t many old Indians. Marty Two Bulls says this wasn’t always so. He is a journalist—a writer and cartoonist—born in 1962. When he was growing up, he knew not only grandparents but also great-uncles and great-aunts. “We used to see old people at weddings or funerals or sun dances. You don’t see that anymore.” Today, you might see an old person off by himself, or, more likely, herself. She has few peers. People used to die of natural causes, says Two Bulls. Now they are dying alcohol-related deaths. There is a connection, he thinks, between an absence of old people and drinking. “When the old people left, it became okay to get drunk, in a way. You didn’t dare drink around my grandfather.” These days, who has a grandfather? Kids, says Two Bulls, grow up in the reservation equivalent of slums. The men around them may be in very bad shape: unable to care for themselves, much less others. Whom do the kids have to look up to? What hope is there for the future? Those who commit suicide have decided there is none. Two Bulls is against the repeal of the alcohol ban. Like everyone else, he is loath to see the American Indian reduced to two vices, two signatures: drinking and gambling. He believes that repeal will exacerbate the former. But he has time and patience for the other side. A fellow journalist, Brandon ecoffey, is a strong advocate of repeal. “Legalizing alcohol is not giving up,” he writes. “It is punting in an attempt to flip the field. Those that drink will continue to drink and those of us who don’t won’t. The only difference now is that those with the desire to seek help will have local treatment facilities to access.” None of this would be an issue, as everyone says, if people simply resisted drink. But that is a lot to ask. The Oglala Sioux and other Indians, like individuals and groups all over the world, have been in the grip of a spiritual crisis, for a very long time. Alcoholism is but a symptom of it (though a terrible one). Would repeal of the ban make Pine Ridge worse? I suspect it would. But I also recognize, as others do, that the tribe can vote again, if repeal turns out to be a disaster—or a worsening of the present disaster. Democracy includes a spirit of pragmatism. 35 lileks--READY:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/24/2013 11:38 PM Page 36 Athwart BY JAMES LILEKS Suffer Little Children He odiferous species of Jerkus internetus lacks the moral compass of the Mafia, and that’s saying something. As I understand Cosa Nostra mythology, you could whack a guy for cause, but you left the family alone. Jerkus internetus has no trouble wishing horrible harm on children, and he imagines he’s a better person for it. They wish to Save Children, as evidenced by their support of the Save Children Act, and anyone who says the act is a bad idea because it requires state and local governments to encase playgrounds in a sheath of Nerf obviously wants children to die and should be excoriated in all possible terms. Preferably sexual. There are few things more characteristic of a progressive with his brainpan fully enveloped by his nether regions than the belief that enlightenment is demonstrated by sexually degrading women who have different opinions on statism and tax rates. And so we have this guy: Allan Brauer, communications “chair” for the Sacramento Democratic party. To Senator Cruz’s speechwriter and senior communications adviser, Amanda Carpenter, he tweeted: “May your children all die from debilitating, painful and incurable diseases.” He also referred to Carpenter as “pubic lice” and wrote some unprintable things. Then he was canned, probably for saying things in public best kept to the break room. Are there jerks on the right? Sure. Probably not stunted wankers who also work as “Communications Committee chair” for the local Republican party. If a GOPer had called a woman what he called Cruz’s aide, MSNBC would feast on the tale for a week—not just because it was a nice chunk of partisan prime rib, but because it revealed an essential truth about people on the Other Side. The horrid old white men who wished Titanic had turned out so the women and children were thrown overboard first and then the ship righted itself and sailed on. But because he’s a progressive, it means nothing, and attempts by the Right to call attention to his invective are simply a distraction from their own institutional misogyny. Got it? Interesting inferences abound in the Brauer tweets. Since Carpenter is opposed to government control of health care, she is opposed to health care. Obamacare, in other words, invents medicine. Without the Affordable Care Act, we’re back to leeches and tincture of newt. Children will be heaped about the outskirts of town and left for the dogs and buzzards; the Republicans will raze every pediatric teaching hospital in the country and make it illegal to treat anyone who is not eligible for military service. (That’s the neocon health-care proposal.) No, you can’t be opposed to the bill itself. It has a nice name. Imagine this scenario: Senator Darth Cruelington takes the podium: “We have a new Healthy People Act that keeps costs low by feeding sick people into slaughterhouse T Mr. Lileks blogs at www.lileks.com. 36 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m machinery previously used to flense bones. Hmm, I see some of you shaking your head. Don’t worry, it’s powered by wind farms, so it’s sustainable. I still see a few scowls. You there: What’s your objection?” His interlocutor might respond: “Aside from the positive impact on Social Security money, which would be freed up for making sure these grinding machines are available to rural areas as well, doesn’t this have the unwanted effect of killing people in a horrible fashion?” To which Senator Cruelington would reply: “You’re saying you want children to get ill because someone with tuberculosis coughed on them in the park. You know what? I hope your children get TB regardless of whether this bill does what it says, and let me just toss in polio on top of that.” That’s the general idea: If the president proposes the Food Safety Act, and there’s a clause that requires any mayonnaise-based side dish to sit in the trunk for six hours on a hot day before being served at a picnic, and someone points out that the law will lead to gut-gripping salmonella, that person is opposed to the fundamental concept embedded in the name, and his kids should drink an E. coli smoothie. Which is why the president started calling it “Obamacare.” Obviously, no one’s opposed to the bill on its merits, which are manifest and great. It’s all about him. Then you have David Guth, a U. of Kansas professor who responded to the Navy Yard shooting with a temperate tweet: “The blood is on the hands of the #NRA. Next time, let it be YOUR sons and daughters. Shame on you. May God damn you.” Of course: The NRA has been fighting for years to deinstitutionalize the mentally ill and loosen background checks for military-base employees. It would never occur to Scholar Guth that a similar fate ought to befall the offspring of Shotgun Joe Biden, who argued for the simple utility of the very firearm used in the Navy Yards massacre. It’s very different because . . . because . . . OH LOOK! BuzzFeed has a new post up: “The 17 Most Inexplicable Comments on Beyoncé’s Instagram of Blue Ivy’s Toe” That actually means something to some people. In case you’re curious, Blue Ivy is Beyoncé’s baby. No one would want harm to come to her, regardless of the condition or shape of her toe, even if he didn’t like Beyoncé. One does not wish misery on the children, unless one has an ashtray for a heart. One of the most wrenching scenes in Downfall, a dramatization of the last days in Hitler’s bunker, is the sight of Mrs. Goebbels poisoning her children. There was no reason they should suffer for the evil of their parents. But perhaps Mrs. Goebbels thought of it as the Affordable Child Care Act. In which case you’re a monster for thinking she was wrong. OCTOBER 14, 2013 longview--READY:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/25/2013 1:36 PM Page 37 The Long View Republican National Convention 2016 TENTATIVE SCHEDULE: NOT FOR RELEASE Opening Ceremony: All delegates will assemble in the Starbucks near the off-ramp to I-40 before processing as a group to the Grand Ballroom in the Holiday Inn Express along the frontage road, where the convention will take place. The Starbucks manager assures us he has ample space for our group of delegates, which currently totals 25 individual persons. Please note that if you have NOT yet sent in your list of guests, they MAY be turned away at the door if the manager is able to book another group at the same time. So please!!! Let your RNC rep know who you’re bringing. If you don’t know who your RNC rep is, that’s because it’s probably you. Please remember the names of your guests and plan accordingly. Another note: The guy at the Starbucks is being really cool about not charging us for the use of the space. On the phone, he seemed pretty jazzed about having the entire membership of the Republican party in his store, and was a little surprised that we currently have only 40 national members. Still, I promised him that we’d do our best to order coffee and snacks to make up for the inconvenience, so, GUYS!!! Don’t let me down!!! Order something! This guy is a businessman. A lot of them used to be Republicans. This is a good chance for us to show everyone in the I-40 interchange area that we can be a national party again!! Opening Address: Senator Ted Cruz will speak to us from the set of his show on Cruz.Net (http://www.cruznet.com) via Skype or some other free service. (Does anyone have any connections to a company that provides this kind of video hookup??? E-mail me at [email protected].) The VIP Area of the ballroom at the Holiday Inn Express is also where the hotel keeps the pool chemical stuff, so please only gather there if totally necessary. As of this morning, we have no registered VIPs coming to the convention, so this area may end up doubling as the Media Hospitality Center. Remembering Reagan: After the Opening Address, the lights will dim (although hotel management tells me that it won’t be completely dark due to the Jacuzzi lights outside and the fact that the Grand Ballroom and the Hotel Lobby are essentially one large room) and a group of youngsters from a non-gay Scout troop in the area will act out great moments of President Reagan’s administration. (We still need some people to hold flashlights on these talented young people, to give their presentation the visual pizzazz so typical of past Republican National Conventions, so see your RNC rep if you’ve got flashlights to lend or good aim.) The True, Real Conservative Photo Montage: Before the Roll Call, we were planning to show a 10 to 20-minute photo montage of real, actual conservatives (NO RINOS!!!!!) on the big screen at the back of the Grand Ballroom. This event is now scrapped due to an inability to agree on who those might be. BY ROB LONG Other Notes: Morning Events will take place in the breakfast area of the lobby. Please try not to disturb the hotel guests as they enjoy their free breakfast. Please note that breakfast items are FOR HOTEL GUESTS ONLY, so if you’re not actually staying there—and the majority of the 30 or so delegates and attendees are not staying at the hotel due to the wedding party that’s taking place the same night—you ARE NOT ALLOWED to consume the breakfast pastry items in the nook. We are currently negotiating with the manager about coffee/tea etc., but so far we’re looking at a pretty sizeable bill for the whole convention shebang, so please plan ahead and bring a Thermos from home. The Roll Call will be conducted via Snapchat, which my teenager tells me is a fun phone thing and something that young people will relate to. We’re trying to come up with a really good “grand gesture” for the moment at the convention—probably about 45 minutes into it. Something that crystallizes the current Republican party. So far, we’ve got some great ideas—setting our hair on fire in frustration, chasing a RINO senator down and drawing on him with a Sharpie, continuously hitting ourselves in the face with some kind of heavy metal object, that sort of thing. If you have any ideas of your own, please e-mail them to me at [email protected]. DEADLINE: TUESDAY AFTERNOON!!!! Final note: We only have the Grand Ballroom until 3 P.M., when the hotel staff informs us that they must begin setting up for the Benson–Abernethy wedding. Please respect that. Again, they’re running a business. There was a time when that meant they were our kind of people. 37 books:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/24/2013 9:02 PM Page 38 Books, Arts & Manners A Catholic For All Seasons M A RY E B E R S TA D T Writing from Left to Right: My Journey from Liberal to Conservative, by Michael Novak (Image, 338 pp., $24) N ovelist, ambassador, vizier, poet: how fitting that some of Michael Novak’s monikers should parallel the rhythms of “tinker, tailor, soldier, spy,” that classic Cold War title by John le Carré. it is fitting, for starters, because a significant chunk of Novak’s daunting body of writing not only coincided with the years of that long war, but also influenced certain of its seminal events. His 1982 masterwork, The Spirit of Democratic Capitalism, to offer the most obvious example, was read and digested on both sides of the iron Curtain—but with extra appetite in an east starved for alternative moral and economic ideas. vaclav Havel, later to become president of the Czech Republic, read the book in (illegal) translation with friends, and others behind the iron Curtain would join Havel in finding in Novak’s writing a unique source of Mary Eberstadt is a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center and the author, most recently, of How the West Really Lost God: A New Theory of Secularization. 38 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m intellectual and spiritual morale. the coincidence of Spirit’s appearance on the eve of the velvet Revolution could not have been more fortunate. Yet the prism of the Cold War alone, helpful though it is in reflecting some of Michael Novak’s life work, remains too small to capture the breadth and depth of this singular thinker. theologian, columnist, journalist, professor; blogger, saloniste, mentor, public intellectual: over six decades, he has worn all of these hats and more. We now have his new memoir as a handy and engaging guide to at least some of the contributions of its author to America and the wider world. Certain accomplishments the memoir touches on lightly or not at all, so a brief mention seems in order. its author is, for example, the recipient of 26 honorary degrees—at last count—and, among other honors, he has been awarded (in 1994) the most prestigious annual recognition of religious thought on the planet, the templeton Prize for Progress in Religion. then there is Novak the institution builder, the inspirational force behind a number of influential organizations: cofounder of the tertio Millennio seminar on the Free society, which has been nourishing future generations of eastern european and other leaders for 20 years now, and co-founder of Crisis magazine. He has been a continuing intellectual presence at First Things; a formative figure behind a number of other bodies, including the institute on Religion and Democracy, the slovak summer institute, and empower America; and a member of more White House and other government commissions and committees than can be counted. there is also Novak as consigliere here and there to some of the great public figures of the day, which makes for absorbing stories chronicled in this new book: beginning on the left with sargent shriver, Gene McCarthy, Robert Kennedy, and Daniel Patrick Moynihan, and continuing on to several presidents, left and right, as well as to that secular trinity of the Cold War, Reagan, thatcher, and John Paul ii. the book also mentions the two-way street of intellectual influences between Novak and his distinguished fellow travelers from left to right: irving Kristol, Norman Podhoretz, Midge Decter, Jeane J. Kirkpatrick, Ben Wattenberg, and others. From start to finish, Writing from Left to Right throws new light onto all that activity, intellectual and otherwise. “My first movement from left to right,” writes the author, “began in religion”—specifically, in the heady experience of vatican ii, which he covered in all its drama in Rome with new bride Karen laub Novak at his side. it would be hard to imagine a better crucible than vatican ii for the themes that would later become the stuff of decades’ work. As many people outside the Catholic world (and in it) do not understand, and as Novak himself has made clear, vatican ii was animated profoundly by an impulse decidedly not new—namely, the desire to effect a recovery for the modern world of Catholic rituals, teachings, and ideas. that is to say, he writes, the Council was “truly, deeply, probingly more traditionalist” than is commonly understood—including by many socalled Church conservatives of the times. And neither was the true spirit of vatican ii grasped by most Catholic progressives, who were too reflexively hostile to the authority of the popes and bishops to understand what was truly radical about the Council. But such was not the case with Michael Novak. Within a few years of vatican ii, the author writes, he was finding himself “reacting more and more negatively to the large faction of the ‘progressives’ who failed to grasp the truly conservative force of vatican ii—its revival of ancient traditions, its sharper disciplines, its challenges to mere worldliness and politics.” it would take years for these earlywarning signs of incipient religious conservatism to point the way to political conservatism. But like two future popes who were also part of the Council, Novak would ultimately take from his experience there a lesson not about radicalism simpliciter, but rather about something more specific: radical orthodoxy. A s for politics, this memoir is equally clear: As with many other contemporary political converts, OCTOBER 14, 2013 books:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/24/2013 9:02 PM Page 39 this one was created in part by the experience of 1960s-style academia. In retrospect, Novak’s stint as a professor at an experimental college—summarized in a short story that is included as part of this memoir—appears to have been decisive. Instead of rebellion there, the young professor found anarchy; instead of skepticism of authority, hatred for it (even as many students simultaneously harbored “a suppressed but ardent search for it,” he notes). Novak’s heart is on the side of the young and radical, but his head cannot help but know just how self-defeating their laziness and disrespect will turn out to be. This pivotal experience “made me face the full implications of the deep leftist principles, and face them in an overruling left-wing context, without any palliative or other form of reason,” he writes. By the end of it, only two things would stand between him and full-blown conservatism: his ties to the Democratic party and—ironically enough, in light of his best-known work—a lingering antipathy to capitalism. How these totems, too, eventually fell makes for fascinating reading. Part of the appeal of Writing from Left to Right is the author’s charming, almost bashful sense of perspective on his former selves. Here, for example, is the student at Harvard, effusively grateful to his mentors (especially theologian Reinhold Niebuhr and French existentialist Gabriel Marcel). Following a “first, shy meeting” with Marcel, Novak learns from this teacher that “human dignity springs from the inexhaustibility of the human person, outrunning scientific descriptions and human verbalization.” Here as elsewhere, one sees the former student taking every influence to heart—and mind. About Niebuhr, the young Novak determines to read “every word,” and indeed to model himself on the theologian “in two chief respects: his realistic re sistance to utopianism, and his habit of unmasking the pretensions of elites—in particular, the so-called political re formers.” These themes, too, become prominent features of Novak’s contributions through the years. Yet as the memoir repeatedly makes clear, the avid student’s relationships with his teachers was not just a matter of arid lessons learned; even 60 years later, the enduring earnestness and affection of these relationships shine through. So, too, does a sly sense of humor about life in the higher circles the author goes on to enjoy. Here, for example, is the Honorable Michael Novak, Reagan’s newly appointed ambassador for human rights in Bern. He is green enough and (once more) bashful enough to worry about his every diplomatic move—but savvy enough at a diplomatic cocktail party to throw his vodka shots into potted plants during a particularly hard round of negotiations with the Eastern bloc, while the opposing team got, well, potted. (Given what other diplomats of the time thought of Ronald Reagan, “they would be relieved that I did not wear cowboy boots or carry pearl-handled pistols,” he observes.) Yet also present in these pages is the son of a Slovak working-class family in Pennsylvania, sincerely and even relentlessly puzzling out over the course of the decades a terribly important question: What really helps the poor? This question, too, drew Novak initially to the left, as it so often does those who know the face of genuine poverty. But in seeking an actual answer to that question, he was pulled over time far away from the precincts of early socialism, and into the mental orbits of thinkers like Hayek, Weber, Adam Smith, and others making a different argument: the moral case for capitalism. Though this is largely a political memoir, it cannot help but be held together by forces quite beyond mere politics—in particular, by the late Karen Laub Novak, the wife and artist who was the touchstone of the author’s life. Her presence as muse is a constant of these pages, whether to the young, ambitious, and relatively unknown novelist and academic in 1962, or to the writer who would later enjoy global scope and recognition. Throughout, theirs is the duet of a marriage in full, including three children, an extraordinary shared social and intellectual life, and twinned ambitions to work long and hard toward discerning artistic and religious truths. O NE other constant of this memoir may be even rarer than such an enviable match, and that is gratitude on a scale seldom seen in the firstperson accounts of important men or women. Anyone impressed with his own stature can report back with excitement about what it is like to be, say, a diplomat in Grindelwald, Switzerland, the sort of thing featured in scores of lesser memoirs by lesser public folk. But only someone who is impressed with matters beyond his own stature will write instead that such an experience makes one “grateful for the majesty and beauty of these Godgiven mountain ranges—whole ranges after whole ranges. Down the centuries, tens of thousands have seen this view; they are gone now and all their immense cares forgotten. Human failures fade; the breathtaking beauty remains.” Gratitude also graces the literary parade of eminent people known to (and sometimes influenced by) the author over the years. Surely no recent political memoir has so successfully communicated the sheer marvelousness of the Michael Novak political whirl to someone on the inside of it—and simultaneously the clear understanding that much is expected from those who are given much. A related theme writ large here is magnanimity, including magnanimity of the mind. To read Michael Novak’s work—any of it, including this book—is to be struck by its intellectual pantheism. It is no wonder that the author began his literary life as a novelist, because his curiosity about everything on earth is practically boundless. Similarly does the novelist’s itinerant touch of color and whim distinguish his thought 39 books:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/24/2013 9:02 PM Page 40 BOOKS, ARTS & MANNERS and his prose from that of other authors, including like-minded ones. Throughout his writing, he embraces lines of argument and alternative ideas, admiringly turning them this way and that, with an intellectual openness rare to see—especially among intellectuals. Reading Novak’s reflections elsewhere on Jacques Maritain, in tandem with reading this memoir, I was struck particularly by his description of that great French Catholic thinker. “The key to Maritain’s intuition of being,” Novak wrote, was a way of seeing in which so many other philosophers simply could not follow For exactly this insight, of course, Novak has been excoriated by critics who spied in this re-humanizing of capitalists something sinister—a “blasphemous” “sacralization” of democratic capitalism, as one particularly emotional dissenter put the charge. But such arrows have always missed the moral mark, as a reading of the memoir also affirms. The failure to understand that arguments on behalf of capitalism might be driven by something other than sinister motives is, in the end, a failure of charity. Moreover, such ad hominem detraction characteristic of many on the left has itself been a force pushing people toward the face of empirical events. As several of his political fellow travelers on that shared journey have ob served over the years, it was not so much that they moved politically as that the ideological ground shifted radically beneath them. In that sense, along with some of his closest friends, Michael Novak is a quintessential neoconservative. In another sense, though, no “ism” quite captures one more trait that unites his work from left to right over six decades, which is his willingness to take intellectual risks all over. How many other theologians could write a book like The Joy of Sports, let Throughout his writing, Novak embraces lines of argument and alternative ideas with an intellectual openness rare to see. him. Maritain approached each day with a certain wonder—at the color of the sky, the scent of the grass, the feel of the breeze. He marveled that such a world could have come to be. . . . He could sense it, his every sensible organ alive to its active solicitations of color, sound, scent, taste, and feel. More than that, his intellect would wonder at it, knowing that it did not have to be as it was on that particular day, or any other day. right side of the political spectrum for some time now—as Novak would be the first to agree, even as his book passes in silence over the role of that kind of enmity in his own political journey. In refusing to use this book to settle old ideological scores, he has once again and magnanimously done his adversaries a favor. Much the same can be said of the supple mien of Maritain’s admirer here, whose work springs so often from not only willingness but also desire to understand what other human beings are actually doing in the world. It is precisely this intellectual magnanimity that lies at the heart of one of Novak’s most piercing insights, which animates, among other works, The Spirit of Democratic Capitalism. That is the idea that “inventors and discoverers in many fields of business” were not the secular demons of all progressive insistence since at least Karl Marx, but rather human beings who were “benefactors of the human race”: “Better eye care, dental services, hygienic products, vaccinations, and ‘miracle cures’ were saving lives in almost every family known to me,” as he puts the point here in plain English. “Older people who a generation earlier would have been dead were still living, and in many ways living better.” HOSE interested in the differences between early and later Novak might find themselves wanting to reach beyond this political memoir for a fuller account. The author has himself repeatedly identified the continuity in his thought, particularly in the essay “Controversial Engagements” (published in 1999 in First Things), which might bear rereading alongside this book. There, he emphasizes half a dozen intellectual preoccupations that remained the same throughout his work: the existentialist challenge of meaninglessness; the importance of caritas; “the eros of inquiry,” or the meaning of our unlimited drive to ask questions; the “incarnational dimension of theology,” meaning the effort to see the workings of divine grace in every act, culture, and moment in history; the importance of the body in Christian thought; and what he calls “intelligent subjectivity,” or the effort to find rational structure beneath the ostensibly nonrational sur- 40 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m T alone make the observation that even God must be a fan? Similarly, he tells Kathryn Jean Lopez during an interview for NATIONAL REvIEw ONLINE that everyone should write poetry: “Poetry sharpens our touches, tastes, the scents we smell. Open a bottle of cologne—is it even close to the one your father sometimes wore? Brings back no memories at all? Poetry grabs onto passing things and fully dwells in them awhile.” Fully dwelling in things is what Michael Novak’s voluminous mind has been doing since he first took up a pen, and American life and letters are all the better for that. Better off, too, is the Church whose truths he has held to throughout this extraordinary career; in this arena as well, continuity rather than change would seem the accurate summary of his work. “Every one of my books had a place in the journey whose route I announced in A New Generation in 1964, and I never deviated from it,” he noted in 1999, in a summary of what was then already almost 40 years of work. That route, he wrote, was to bring to the issues of Americans and Catholics in America “a consistent point of view . . . . empirical, pragmatic, realistic, and Christian.” He concludes: “To this day, I think I have been faithful to that vision.” And so Michael Novak was, and is. That is one point on which his readers from left to right can also agree, profitably as well as happily. OCTOBER 14, 2013 books:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/24/2013 9:02 PM Page 41 The Roadmap KEVIN A. HASSETT The Growth Experiment Revisited: Why Lower, Simpler Taxes Really Are America’s Best Hope for Recovery, by Lawrence B. Lindsey (Basic, 320 pp., $17.99) B ack in the late 1980s, I was working at the National Bureau of Economic Research in cambridge, Mass., while finishing my dissertation. at that time, I attended Harvard’s public-economics seminar, where weighty and technical papers about tax and budget policy were discussed. Early in the semester, I noticed that many of the Harvard professors went out of their way to criticize a junior professor who also attended. If the fellow said the sky was blue, senior faculty would coalesce around the idea that the sky was red, and wonder what genetic defect might afflict anyone who would think otherwise. Puzzled that even Harvard’s lack of collegiality could countenance this level of hostility, I asked a friend why everyone was so rude to this professor. My friend said, “That is Larry Lindsey, the most important conservative thinker on the planet right now. He has Reagan’s ear and Thatcher’s, and most everyone on the Harvard faculty hates it.” Lindsey, who years later became my colleague at the american Enterprise Institute for a short time, spent three years in the early 1980s at the White House. His ascent to the status of international conservative icon began in 1985, when his dissertation investigating how Mr. Hassett is the John G. Searle Senior Fellow and the director of economic-policy studies at the American Enterprise Institute. taxpayers respond to changes in tax rates won a prestigious national academic award. Lindsey’s work was the most rigorous and respectable effort to date to document the beneficial effects of Reagan’s fiscal policies. The academic community was almost universally opposed to Reagan. Following the lead of such luminaries as Paul Samuelson, the academy and the Left pushed the accepted wisdom that Reagan’s deficits would destroy the economy. Witness this 1983 warning from the editors of The New Republic: “The Reagan administration’s economic policies are neither careful nor protective of the nation’s future. . . . They have touched off a national borrowing and buying binge that will have to be paid for in the morning.” Into this debate leaped Larry Lindsey, and his 1990 book The Growth Experiment was a fearless and pointed defense of Reaganomics that was based not on assertion, but rather careful argument, academic citation, and telling charts. It is an unusual choice to reprint a book untouched except for additional chapters, but Basic Books’ new version, The Growth Experiment Revisited, does this for a simple reason. Looking back at what Lindsey wrote in 1990, one can see that he was right about virtually everything, and the american Left was wrong. This is the book that Paul krugman is terrified everyone will read. Lindsey anticipated the boom of the 1990s and documented why it was the logical consequence of Reagan’s policies. He carefully documented the flaws in the reasoning used by the Left. His discussion, for example, of how inaccurate and even intellectually indefensible it is to calculate the budgetary impact of a tax change without dynamic scoring still rings true today. The last chapter of the original volume is a final example of how accurate Lindsey’s analysis turned out to be; believe it or not, it was titled “The Great Surplus of ’99.” In that chapter, Lindsey documented that, given the high revenues that were coming in, a small amount of spending restraint would lead to a massive surplus in 1999, which he estimated would be in the range between $230 billion and $347 billion. at a time when deficits stretched “as far as the eye could see,” he saw growth and surpluses because of deregulation and tax cuts. as with so many other of his observations, he nailed it: The actual surplus reached $236 billion in 2000. The second half of the book is new, and provides Lindsey’s insider history of the 2000s. as he was the center of gravity of the George W. Bush economic team, it is gripping stuff. Even as the economy was booming in the clinton years, Lindsey warned George W. Bush—then the governor of Texas—that the bubble was about to burst; when it happened, the team was ready with a program that had been prepared precisely for that eventuality. The case is clear that the Bush stimulus of 2001 was better than the later Obama stimulus because Bush’s plan cut marginal tax rates in addition to acting on other, more keynesian prescriptions. Lindsey finishes with a detailed analysis of our current predicament, and he still has a master’s ear for catchy economic comparisons. Spending is so high now that increasing the top marginal tax rate to 50 percent would cover just one month of THE PORTRAIT Her face hung white and empty as a spoon. She had resisted every breeze and flutter That shuffled dead air through the shutter, Propped up all morning in a pose. To flush the color from that stilted rose Was more than he could do that afternoon. Perhaps a slip of light would catch her breath; She stared through every shade that touched her skin, Like a breathless doll or manikin. So at noon when a bolt of live light struck Her cheeks, he would rather stand and look; The canvas stretched as blank and taut as death, For one so seldom pictures such a tint, Certainly nothing anyone could paint. —DANIEL MARK EPSTEIN 41 books:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/24/2013 9:02 PM Page 42 BOOKS, ARTS & MANNERS the deficit. The debt is so high that if interest rates went back to normal, then interest costs would go up by $500 billion per year. Just paying that interest bill would require lifting the top rate to 50 percent and eliminating all itemized deductions. And all of the incessant tinkering with the tax code has turned it into a blob of nightmarish proportions. In 2011, we spent $392 billion complying with the U.S. tax code, according to Lindsey. That same year, we spent $337 billion on new homes, $328 billion on cars, and $375 billion on computers, their peripherals, and software. Lindsey waxes poetic at this point in the book. Reagan’s infantrymen won so many battles, and for this! The problem, Lindsey argues, is that conservatives since Reagan have fought the wrong tax battle. By fighting about tax rates that apply to income, they were able to push rates lower. But Lindsey points out that income is an elusive concept. Lawmakers will jigger the definition to favor their friends and contributors, and victories will be frittered away with creeping, even corrupt, complexity. Lindsey’s solution is to switch to a Value Added Tax, but a uniquely designed one that is itself a novel contribution of the book. Lindsey’s VAT would have multiple rates, to address concerns about progressivity, and be paid by firms instead of individuals, so that nobody would have to fill out a tax form to pay his taxes. Such a tax plan would indeed be an astonishing improvement over the current mess, and one can only hope that lawmakers of both parties bury themselves in the last chapters of this book. But for conservatives who have been in the game for many years, the first half of the book is an essential reread. The original Growth Experiment was the first serious academic attempt to defend supply-side economics, and it is a tour de force that is better in the fullness of time. Along with Michael Novak’s The Spirit of Democratic Capitalism, it is one of the few books that should be on every conservative’s shelf. After all, there is no economist on earth who has been more right about more things over the past 30 years than Larry Lindsey. Thank goodness he had the courage to stand up to the intimidation of the academic Left when he was a young junior professor at harvard. 42 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m The GOP At War COLIN DUECK Conservative Internationalism: Armed Diplomacy under Jefferson, Polk, Truman, and Reagan, by Henry R. Nau (Princeton, 344 pp., $35) T testy exchange this summer over U.S. counterterrorism practices—involving two leading potential GOP presidential candidates, Kentucky senator Rand Paul and New Jersey governor Chris Christie—is part of a broad and consequential new debate among Re publicans over foreign policy and national security. In the past, conservatives and Republicans have tended to agree more than they disagree on such issues. The notion of a strong national defense, in particular, has been a bedrock principle for conservatives for decades. But tight fiscal constraints, voter fatigue with foreign wars, the rise of a powerful libertarian strain within the GOP, and the reelection of President Obama (together with his relative domestic political success on foreignpolicy issues) have all raised the question of where Republicans and conserva tives are headed when it comes to America’s role in the world. It is no longer inconceivable that a truly prominent GOP presidential candidate next time around might argue for deep defense cuts, strengthened civil liberties he Mr. Dueck is an associate professor in the Department of Public and International Affairs at George Mason University and the author, most recently, of Hard Line: The Republican Party and U.S. Foreign Policy since World War II. for terror suspects, and reducing U.S. military commitments overseas. Into this debate steps henry Nau, a Reagan-administration official and professor at George Washington University. his project in this book is to delineate and argue for a distinct historical and philosophical tradition in American foreign policy that is both internationalist and conservative. he locates this tradition in the words and actions of several U.S. presidents. For Nau, some of the main principles of conservative internationalism are an emphasis on freedom over stability in foreign countries; the proper coordination of force and diplomacy; a certain skepticism toward multilateral organizations; and a willingness to use force to promote liberty. Nau’s chosen tradition is internationalist in its support for U.S. engagement abroad along with the promotion of democracy as a core foreign-policy principle; and it is conservative in its determination to back diplomacy with force, and in its commitment to democratic accountability in international forums rather than to transnational governance or multilateralism per se. The presidential case studies Nau puts forward are uniformly interesting, even if some are more convincing than others. The selection of Reagan, in a way the central figure of the book, as a conservative internationalist will surprise nobody, and Nau examines Reagan’s specific foreign-policy priorities and successes with a keen understanding based not only on some of the latest primary sources but on his own time in that administration. Truman’s strong foreign policy is a model to which more and more conservatives have become attracted over the years, and rightly so, though of course Truman was far from conservative in his domestic politics. Polk is perhaps the most fascinating case of all, and certainly a neglected one in modern presidential mythology. here we have a man who set out to establish the United States as a truly transcontinental power through massive territorial expansions westward, did so, and then stepped down after only one term in office—a remarkable achievement. Jefferson is more problematic. No doubt he remains the most articulate spokesman for U.S. conservative principles of limited government, and his OCTOBER 14, 2013 books:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/24/2013 9:02 PM Page 43 handling of the Louisiana Purchase as well as the Barbary pirates earns him foreign-policy credit. But it is difficult to see his management of relations with Great Britain, including his handling of the issues of the trade embargo and naval impressment, as anything but an example to be avoided: He drove New England’s economy into the ground and antagonized the British over matters of principle, without maintaining the military power to match either his principles or the British. Nau makes a plausible overarching case for the existence of a distinct conservative-internationalist tradition in motion, while simultaneously rescuing it from Obama’s relative lack of interest. There is indeed a common cause here between Nau and the neoconservatives, in the assumption that America must stand for something in world politics beyond its own narrow interests; but, after all, this is an assumption large numbers of Americans share. Nau is quite critical of Bush’s foreign-policy record in several respects. He suggests that the invasion of Iraq may have been a bridge too far, in attempting to leapfrog democracy promotion into unfavorable territory. He further suggests that Bush ought to American national interests, especially national-security interests, of which democracy promotion is only one aspect. A more tough-minded approach would have handled U.S. relations with Egypt, for example, very differently than Obama has over the past three years. Still, the great strength of Nau’s book is that he is right about most of the big challenges facing U.S. foreign policy right now, including challenges for conservatives. The real question today is not so much whether the U.S. will advance democracy overseas, but whether it will even defend it. A strik- Nau makes a plausible overarching case for the existence of a distinct conservative-internationalist tradition in American diplomacy. American diplomacy, and one deserving of fresh examination in the age of Obama. It is quite clear, for example, that President Obama usually feels no pressing need to support his diplomatic remonstrations with adequate force, or to make his actions conform to his words, in cases such as Syria or Iran. The president says that Iranian nuclear weapons are unacceptable, but very few—least of all in Tehran—believe that he really means it. He declares that “Assad must go,” but does little to make it happen. Whatever one’s policy preferences in such cases, it should be obvious that Obama does not normally coordinate American diplomatic statements with the prospect of meaningful action. Instead, he makes public statements when necessary, and tries to avoid international distractions in order to focus primarily on domestic political objectives. A conservativeinternationalist approach would operate very differently. For Nau, conservative internationalism starts from the premise that the underlying purpose of American foreign policy is to promote freedom overseas. How, one might ask, would this differ from the policies pursued by President George W. Bush, or from those often described as neoconservative? The answer is that Nau looks to bring greater discipline and discrimination to the American tradition of democracy pro- have cashed in on the leverage gained from that invasion to pressure Iran diplomatically in 2003–04. This is not to say that he shares the hostile mentality of Bush’s liberal critics. On the contrary, Nau is deeply sympathetic to many of the assumptions and decisions of the Bush administration, and certainly does not want to see lost whatever geopolitical gains were made during those years. But Nau’s version of conservative internationalism would focus on democracy promotion in materially vital and proximate rather than peripheral regions; cash in diplomatically on superior military strength, as Reagan did in 1987 with the INF Treaty; and resist surpassing what the American public will bear in terms of international cost or expense. I have a lingering sense that Nau’s book overemphasizes democracy promotion as the one central driving purpose behind American foreign policy. The Arab Spring, now turned to winter, has once again revealed what early neoconservatives such as Jeane Kirkpatrick intuited—namely, that pressure for revolutionary change on U.S. allies can easily backfire in ways that are both authoritarian and profoundly antiAmerican. In such cases, the starting point for U.S. foreign policy cannot simply be democracy promotion, however subtly pursued. The starting point must be the clear-eyed pursuit of ing number of Americans seem to have concluded that the mistakes made and costs sustained in Iraq constitute an argument for ignoring current international security challenges altogether. President Obama has played into this conclusion and benefited from it. His incremental dismantling of America’s military power and strategic presence abroad is creating a more dangerous world, as authoritarian powers feel increasingly free to act in the knowledge that the U.S. will do nothing. Most liberal Democrats and academics, together with the mainstream press, cannot fathom this fact and simply will not see it. Conservative Republicans have historically been the last group to give up on effective strategic leadership overseas. But a rising anti-interventionist faction within the GOP argues that U.S. military power is itself the problem—the main source of national debt, and the main source of America’s problems overseas. Neither of these things is true. So in the coming years, whatever else they have in common, conservatives will have to make a choice. Do we seriously believe that America will be safer and stronger, and the world freer and more stable, if we help to accelerate the trend toward strategic weakness and international disengagement begun by Barack Obama? 43 books:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/24/2013 9:02 PM Page 44 BOOKS, ARTS & MANNERS Strictly Irrational THEODORE DALRYMPLE American Psychosis: How the Federal Government Destroyed the Mental Illness Treatment System, by E. Fuller Torrey (Oxford, 224 pp., $27.95) R American Psychosis, i should declare an interest: Dr. Torrey was the first author who ever sent me a signed and dedicated copy of a book, and i have remained silently grateful to him ever since. it was his 1980 book Schizophrenia and Civilization, in which he argued that, there having been no convincing descriptions of schizophrenia before the 19th century, something new must have arisen at the time of the industrial Revolution to cause it. (viral theories were popular at the time he wrote, and the urban overcrowding caused by industrialization would have favored a virus’s spread.) in the present book, Torrey describes the causes and consequences of the hasty closure of state mental hospitals. it is part historical and part epidemiological; as always, he writes very clearly and is forthright in his views, which are commonsensical. i do not mean this in any derogatory way: Descartes started his Discourse on Method by saying that good sense was the most evenly shared thing in the world, but in those days he had not the advantage of knowing the American Psychiatric Association or the Medicare system. The book begins with a moving and eviewing Mr. Dalrymple is a contributing editor of City Journal and the author, most recently, of Farewell Fear. 44 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m terrible account of the Kennedy family’s response to Rosemary Kennedy’s mental retardation. As a socially and politically ambitious family, they thought their image would be hurt by having such a relative. They never publicly admitted her existence; instead, they inflicted a disastrous pre-frontal lobotomy on her and hid her away in an institution for decades. From a sense of family guilt, and no doubt a genuine feeling that something ought to be done for the mentally afflicted, President Kennedy fell prey to the schemes of Dr. Robert Felix, the head of the national institute of Mental Health, who was a reforming zealot with great bureaucratic ability. The times were propitious for change. The conditions in state mental hospitals, where hundreds of thousands of people had been parked and were often subject to not-so-benign neglect, had become a matter of public scandal. Anything, it was widely thought—and asserted—would be better than the state hospitals. The irony was that the state hospitals were emptying anyway, in large part because of the use of the first drug that genuinely ameliorated the symptoms of psychosis: chlorpromazine, discovered in France in the early 1950s. The states were beginning to develop constructive ways of rehabilitating patients who had been released from hospitals, often after half a lifetime spent there, but the matter was taken out of their hands by a scheme to introduce federally funded community mental-health centers. Financial responsibility for the care of the mentally ill was transferred to Medicare and Medicaid, to the great satisfaction of the states, which were able to save money simply by emptying the state hospitals and closing them down. Reforming zeal had met budgetary parsimony and bureaucratic indifference to results. Felix and his fellow reformers, incidentally, not only had no evidence that their scheme would work, but had no awareness that such evidence was actually required. everything for them stood to reason. The results of deinstitutionalization were appalling. Many patients were left homeless; many more were placed into private nursing homes that were often more interested in squeezing the last cent of profit than in looking after them. whole areas of cities seemed to be overrun by weird or threatening people; in some of them, people became afraid to use public facilities such as parks and libraries, where former inmates of mental hospitals (or newly psychotic people) gathered. The reformers were often utopians seized by moral grandiosity. Because they thought (again, without any evidence but the schemata in their heads) that mental illness must be brought about by social conditions, they wanted to heal society rather than to help individual patients. They formed a strange alliance with extreme libertarians of both the Right and the Left, whose libertarianism would ultimately lead to the imprisonment of many of the mentally ill. This bore out Dostoevsky’s dictum that perfect liberty would end up in perfect servitude. One of the influential libertarians mentioned by Torrey is Thomas Szasz, a professor of psychiatry who thought that any compulsory treatment was wrong in the absence of demonstrable pathology. in the absence of such pathology, all forcible treatment was but disguised and sinister social control, with the doctor serving as the witting or unwitting agent of the state, imposing its values and enforcing its conventions. For Szasz as a polemicist i had a high regard, and i found him personally charming. i was impressed by the force of his character and convictions; but once, at a dinner party in London at the home of a mutual friend, i had a discussion with him that i thought showed that, like many idealists, he was more interested in the general than in the particular, and preferred to preserve his ideas pristine rather than sully them with the grubby or ambiguous nature of reality. it so happened that i had been on duty the night before the dinner party as the doctor on call for a prison; and i had been called in the early hours of the morning to see a prisoner who had stripped naked, was talking loud gibberish, had smashed the light in his cell, and appeared to be trying to plug himself directly into the electricity. i did not think that this was the moment for a Socratic dialogue about the nature of mental illness. i ordered that he should be held down while i gave him an injection. A few hours later he was as right as rain; he had probably been intoxicated with some drug or other. i asked Szasz OCTOBER 14, 2013 books:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/24/2013 9:10 PM Page 45 what he would have done in the circumstances. He replied that he would never have put himself in those circumstances; in other words, that I should not have made myself available to perform this kind of work. In the absence of demonstrable pathology—how could one have demonstrated it, even if present, in those circumstances?—the man should have been allowed to electrocute himself: no doubt pour encourager les autres, as Voltaire put it. This seemed to me callous in the ex treme, favoring intellectual consistency over the most elementary humanity, as well as being as a complete abrogation of moral responsibility. But Szasz, as Torrey demonstrates, was not alone. The book has many examples of how a concern for civil liberties, taken to its illogical conclusion, impinges on or destroys the civil liberties of others. My favorite example among those Torrey gives, because amusing, is that of a chronically ill man in Maine who dug himself a cave in a slope below a parking lot. He would accept no help or treatment; there was no legal provision by which he could be made to accept treatment; and it was only when the lot began to collapse that he was arrested—to save the lot, not the man. What has happened in America has happened, perhaps to a lesser extent, in countries in Europe. If anyone wants to see care in the community under a regime of exaggerated personal rights, I suggest the Paris Métro station of RéaumurSébastopol, where for years resident schizophrenics have imparted a smell to the passageway between lines that makes the passersby—by now, millions of them—hurry on, trying not to breathe until they reach cleaner air. In other stations, muttering and gesticulating psychotics are avoided by passengers who do not want to run the risk of being pushed in front of oncoming trains. The reduction in hospital places for psychiatric patients has been pursued as an end in itself by a strange alliance of ideologues and penny-pinchers, irrespective of the consequences for patients or society, and as a sign of progress in itself. It is typical of bureaucracies, of course, to pursue procedural rather than real goals; and the consequence of the shortage of places is that such as still exist have come to resemble the Bedlam of the 18th century, as they concentrate only the worst and most refractory cases. In one British city known to me, the closure of the psychiatric hospitals was followed a few years later by the opening of large, semi-prisonlike facilities for what used to be known as criminal lunatics, the number of places for them now outnumbering by a factor of four the number of places for psychiatric patients who have committed no crime. Naturally, the expense has risen astronomically. In a word, this is mad. Dr. Torrey is the first to admit that terrible cruelties have been inflicted on patients in the past, no doubt sometimes from sheer desperation. But while we should learn from history, we should not be paralyzed by it; we have a responsibility always to do our best in the circumstances, which are seldom ideal, just as our knowledge is always imperfect. Torrey’s outrage at what has been done, originally with the best of intentions but no longer so, is evident; his book is a timely warning—because such warnings are always timely—against the dangers of well-meaning zealotry. nationalreview.com/nrdsubscribe 45 books:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/24/2013 9:02 PM Page 46 BOOKS, ARTS & MANNERS Film Modern Love R O S S D O U T H AT MAGNOLIA PICTURES I t’s hard for new parents not to find themselves regarding childless twentysomethings with a mix of envy and contempt. Compared with the unavoidable reality that is parenthood, their freedom seems staggering, impossible, ridiculous. All those late nights, those hangovers and brunches, those endless empty weekends: Did we, did I, really live that way? Why didn’t we appreciate it more? And then, as amazement curdles into resentment: Why don’t those shiftless layabouts get their acts together and have some kids? It’s a testament to the skill behind Drinking Buddies, a portrait of two Chicago couples connected through the microbrewery where one member of each couple works, that its depiction of twentysomething freedom and confusion inspired neither of the emotions I’ve just described. Instead of envy, I felt empathy, and pity instead of contempt. the movie isn’t a tragedy by any stretch: just a richly observed slice of life. But the particular slice that it observes, the lager-lubricated culture of postcollege dating and mating, is one that I was left feeling very glad to have permanently escaped. the most important couple in the story isn’t technically a couple at all. It’s the two co-workers, Kate (Olivia Wilde) and Luke (Jake Johnson), who have a flirtatious office friendship and significant others waiting for them at home. the plot involves the fleeting attempt to bring those significant others into the same orbit. Kate induces her somewhat older lover, Chris (Ron Livingston), to invite Luke and his live-in girlfriend, Jill (Anna Kendrick), to his family’s vacation house for a couples weekend—a weekend that turns out to have complicated, relationship-altering consequences. those consequences, though, are not particularly melodramatic, which is one of the movie’s significant strengths. the director, Joe swanberg, is working the same cultural vein as Lena Dunham’s 46 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m HBO show Girls, and like Dunham he comes out of the world of “mumblecore,” a low-budget, half-improvised demi-genre about Millennials adrift. But in Drinking Buddies, he demonstrates that you don’t need Dunham’s shock-the-bourgeoisie coarseness or flair for the grotesque to capture the rootless, ruleless strangeness of modern courtship and modern sex. the absence of rules feels like the controlling theme of Drinking Buddies. the characters have the same desires as earlier generations—for love, for sex, for stability, for marriage—but no pattern to follow in pursuit of them and no clear sense of what they’re supposed to do and say and feel along the way. Instead, it’s jealous when that other woman finds herself temporarily single and sleeps with someone besides you? this is a world where freedom can feel infinite for men. We can see why Luke, a shambling charmer, would want to postpone marriage as long as possible, and why Jill, weary of his immaturity and losing years to his hesitation, would feel drawn to the older, more groundedseeming Chris. But then again Chris’s actual situation feels like a cautionary tale—unhappily dating younger women, murmuring about wishing he’d met the right girl earlier, unable to figure things out even now that middle age looms. Freedom extends longer for men, but in Ron Livingston, Olivia Wilde, Jake Johnson, and Anna Kendrick in Drinking Buddies all social uncertainty, all questions with no definite answer. For instance: For a couple that’s paired off but unvowed and unwed, what besides sex counts as infidelity? A kiss? An inappropriately intimate friendship? A skinny-dip? A sleepover? Or again: For a young woman who wants her live-in boyfriend to propose—the situation of Kendrick’s Jill, and the source of the movie’s most horrifically plausible awkward moments—what kind of timeline is appropriate? What hints are reasonable to drop? What level of ambiguity should you be willing to put up with? Or once more: For a young man with a girlfriend but a relationship that approximates a courtship with another woman—the situation of Johnson’s Luke with respect to Wilde’s Kate—is it reasonable to be that length lies the temptation to postpone too long, to let the right woman slip away because the wrong ones seem so enticing. Which is what Kate is, probably, allowing for the movie’s low-key ambiguities: Miss Wrong, with enough beauty and charm to always have another man in the on-deck circle and enough talent for self-sabotage to guarantee that she’ll always need to call him up to bat. Olivia Wilde has been a lovely presence in a lot of entirely forgettable movies; her performance as Kate is the first time that she’s done something remarkable on screen. the rest of the cast is less magnetic but just as raw and real. Drinking Buddies is a modest film, rough around the edges, deliberately underwritten. But it’s also memorable, and timely, and true. OCTOBER 14, 2013 books:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/24/2013 9:02 PM Page 47 City Desk The Rest Is Silence RICHARD BROOKHISER I was meeting a colleague for dinner at a restaurant I had never been to. as soon as I walked in, I hit the wall of sound. The street door opened into the bar area. Patrons sat at round tables on high chairs with low sacroiliac-smacking backs. There was music of some sort, cranked up, but I could not distinguish anything because the roar of voices overwhelmed it. I did what I always do in the presence of the wall of sound—my face winced, and the muscles of my neck and shoulders contracted, as if I could thereby shrink the portals of hearing. It actually works to some extent, though not nearly enough to silence the din. I moved quickly to the reservation desk, reckoning that the dining area would be quieter. It was, some—though hazards remained. The first table I was taken to (I was first to arrive) was next to a party of six suits. They were well into their meal, cocktail or wine glasses stood at every place. The business bellow is only slightly less bad than the barroom shout, so I asked for another table. The maîtresse d’, knowing her business, showed me to the back of the room. an old couple, slightly befuddled—tourists who had missed some date with destiny—lay ahead of me. a banquette for three—more suits, but quieter, made shy not boisterous by strangeness—sat to one side. a large ugly pillar spoiled the view, but blocked the wall of sound. when my colleague came we would be able to eat our tiny tarted-up portions and drink our unfamiliar-for-areason wines in something like peace. It was a victory, but a fleeting one, for every day the wall of sound reappears. who built it? Cities, of course—those million-footed centipedes—mass, motion, work and play. They are as restless in their noisemaking as breakers or trade winds. But the wall of sound seems to have gotten louder in my lifetime. why would that be? Is music to blame? Electrification was a big step. with amps three kids in a garage could summon as many decibels as Furtwängler leading the “Ode to Joy.” some of the crazy decadents— Ives, scriabin—dreamed of monster symphonies performed on hilltops. That never happened, but a handful of yobs, and their road crew, can fill an arena. But the leap to electro-din was taken when I was a babe. This too, then, cannot be the reason the racket has gotten worse. The villain must be the earpiece. It looked like a blessing at first, for before the earpiece was the boom box. Even now, every so often, some pimpedup Escalade rolls up the avenue, 13 floors down, with a speaker the size of Mt. Marcy, pumping out its groinal rhythms. Before the earpiece, that seemed to be an hourly occurrence. The youths humping boom boxes on city streets were the auditory equivalent of squeegee men, making the lives of everyone but themselves nasty and brutish. The earpiece turned their noise inward. But consider the damage it did there. Imagine the leperous distilment, pouring into the porches of their ears, and the ears of every kid who joined them in listening to music the newfangled way. The first result was hearing loss. The second result, which followed inevitably, was to turn the volume up. You hear it now, in elevators, subways, and other confined spaces, with people using earpieces: a tinny rustling sound, like scraping fingernails over a hi-hat cymbal. Every time I take the bus be tween the city and the country the driver in his opening announcement reminds wearers of “portable listening devices” to turn them down “so that only you can hear.” Do you realize how loud a portable listening device has to be before anyone besides you can hear? If prisoners were subjected to such a thing, their jailers would be arrested. when the music lover removes his earpiece to communicate with his fellow man, what can he do but shout? If he speaks normally he will not be heard, if his friends speak so to him he will not heed them. Drunks talk loudly because they are disinhibited; earpiece users talk loudly because they are damaged. Next, public places—bars and restaurants most obviously, but also stores with piped-in music and waiting rooms with televisions—turn the volume up, because that is what their patrons expect. My years of compulsive music listening ended just before the earpiece revolution, yet I am a secondary sufferer. There are certain frequencies I have trouble with: If I am near a running faucet, I can hear speech in the next room, but I cannot understand it. I retain my sensitivity to other frequencies, however, and I would like to keep it that way. Most compelling to me are the voices of owls. In the country, with doors and windows closed, I can hear them, faintly, through the walls. I step out onto the deck. I do the opposite of what I do before the wall of sound: relax my jaw, try to open up to everything. Our neighborhood owl is the barred owl, and he has four cries. The first is often a single, descending hoot. Then will come the eightor nine-note call: “who cooks for you? who cooks for you [all]?” sometimes you can distinguish individuals. Two owls were trading calls the other night; one was blunt and emphatic, the other ended with a glissando. The first was a cop, the second a gentleman or an Italian. There are two other calls, less common: a muffled complaint, perhaps a curse: huff-huff-huff-huff-huff-whoahhh; and demented cackles, impossible to reduce to human speech. That they are communicating is obvious: to each other, perhaps also to the scurrying creatures they mean to terrorize, then eat. They stop, then resume, then stop again. In between there are bugs; a car coming up the road; a plane overhead; and nothing. 47 backpage--READY:QXP-1127940387.qxp 9/25/2013 3:13 PM Page 48 Happy Warrior BY MARK STEYN Whose Islam? hE “war” part of the war on terror is pretty much over, and we’re now fighting it culturally, rhetorically. Which is not something we do well. Take the British prime minister and his traditional nothing-to-do-with-Islam statement, issued in the wake of the Kenyan shopping-mall carnage: T These appalling terrorist attacks that take place where the perpetrators claim they do it in the name of a religion: They don’t. They do it in the name of terror, violence and extremism and their warped view of the world. They don’t represent Islam, or Muslims in Britain or anywhere else in the world. Same with the Muslims who beheaded a British soldier, Drummer Rigby, on a London street in broad daylight. On that occasion, David Cameron assured us that the unfortunate incident was “a betrayal of Islam. . . . There is nothing in Islam that justifies this truly dreadful act.” how does he know? Mr. Cameron is not (yet) a practicing Muslim. A self-described “vaguely practicing” Anglican, he becomes rather less vague and unusually forceful and emphatic when the subject turns to Islam. At the Westgate mall in Nairobi, the terrorists separated non-Muslim hostages from Muslims and permitted the latter to leave if they could recite a Muslim prayer—a test I doubt Mr. Cameron could have passed, for all his claims to authority on what is and isn’t Islamic. So the perpetrators seem to think it’s something to do with Islam—and, indeed, something to do with Muslims in the United Kingdom, given that the terrorists included British subjects (as well as U.S. citizens). It was a busy weekend for Nothing to Do with Islam. Among the other events that were nothing to do with Islam were the murder of over 85 Pakistani Christians at All Saints’ Church in Peshawar and the beheading of Ricardo Dionio in the Philippines by BIFF, the aggressively acronymic breakaway faction (the Bangsamoro Islamic Freedom Fighters) from the more amusingly acronymic MILF (the Moro Islamic Liberation Front). Despite a body count higher than Kenya, the Pakistani slaughter received barely a mention in the Western media. You’d be hard put to find an Anglican church in England with a big enough congregation on a Sunday morning to kill 85 worshipers therein, but in Peshawar, a 99 percent Muslim city, the few remaining Christians are not of the “vaguely practicing” Cameron variety. Viewed from London, however, they’ve already lost: One day there will be no Christians in Peshawar and the city will be 100 percent Muslim. It may be “nothing to do with Islam,” but it’s just the way it is: We accept the confessional cleansing of Pakistan, as we do of Egypt, because it’s part of “the Muslim world.” Nairobi, on the other hand, is not, and a Mr. Steyn blogs at SteynOnline (www.steynonline.com). 48 | w w w. n a t i o n a l r e v i e w. c o m murderous assault on an upscale shopping mall patronized by Kenya’s elite and wealthy secular expats gets far closer to the comfort zone wherein David Cameron “vaguely practices”: In a “clash of civilizations” in which one side doesn’t want to play, a shattered church has less symbolic resonance than a shattered frozen-yogurt eatery. On this side of the Atlantic, meanwhile, the Canadian branch of the Islamic Society of North America lost its charitable status after it was revealed to be funding all that jihad stuff that’s nothing to do with Islam. This presented a small problem for Justin Trudeau, leader of the Liberal party, son of Pierre, and on course to be the Queen’s dimmest prime minister of her six-decade reign: Where David Cameron is a silky, slippery deceiver who surely knows better, young Justin seems genuinely to believe the mush he serves up. Asked to explain his recent photo-op at the now-discredited ISNA, he replied: “Part of my job is to speak with as many Canadians as possible and talk to people about the kinds of shared values we have.” I don’t suppose M. Trudeau really means he “shares values” with terrorism supporters, but he does get to the heart of the problem: To put it at its mildest, there seem to be insufficient “shared values” between Western societies and a not-insignificant number of young Muslim men who are nominally and legally citizens thereof. One survivor of the Westgate mall said, “I don’t understand why you would shoot a five-year-old child.” But what’s to understand? The child was shot because he was not Muslim. Fiveyear-olds died at All Saints’ Church for the same reason— because, even in a town that’s 99 percent Muslim, a non-Muslim kindergartner is a provocation. Crazy, huh? Yet it is not inconceivable that the man who executed the five-year-old at the Westgate mall was one of those “British subjects” or “U.S. citizens.” That’s to say, he’s not some primitive from the fringes of the map but someone who has grown up in the same society as Justin Trudeau and decided that Justin’s “shared values” are worthless. To be charitable to Mr. Cameron, he is trying to point out that very few Muslims want to stare a five-year-old in the eye and pull the trigger. But, likewise, very few of them want to do anything serious—in their mosques and madrassahs—about the culture that incubates such men. The prime minister is betting that all the clever chaps like him can keep the lid on and hold things to what, at the height of the Northern Irish “Troubles,” cynical British officials privately called “an acceptable level of violence.” A combined weekend corpse count of 150 is, apparently, “acceptable”—or at any rate not sufficiently unacceptable to prompt any reconsideration of a British, Canadian, and European immigration policy that makes Islam the principal source of Western population growth. But don’t worry: As John McCain says of our Syrian “allies,” “Allahu akbar” simply means “Thank God.” Thank God for that. OCTOBER 14, 2013 base:milliken-mar 22.qxd 9/23/2013 3:32 PM Page 1 IM ED T E OF IT Taught by Adjunct Professor Hannah B. Harvey FE 70% D BE OR off ER R2 5 R LIM The Art of Storytelling: From Parents to Professionals BY N OV E M Master the Timeless Art of Storytelling The gift of storytelling may be one of life’s most powerful—and envied—skills. A story well told can make us laugh or bring us to tears. A story poorly told can be positively painful to experience. Now, in The Art of Storytelling, internationally recognized performer and adjunct professor Hannah B. Harvey of East Tennessee State University teaches you the tried-and-true methods professional storytellers use to capture and hold onto an audience’s attention. Although you may never set foot on a stage, knowing what storytellers do in the process of crafting and delivering memorable tales can help you enhance the stories you tell everyday—to your children at bedtime, in your conversational anecdotes, and in your presentations at work. Offer expires 11/25/13 1-800-832-2412 www.thegreatcourses.com/3natr east tennessee state university lecture titles 1. Telling a Good Story 2. The Storytelling Triangle 3. Connecting with Your Story 4. Connecting with Your Audience 5. Telling Family Stories 6. The Powerful Telling of Fairy Tales 7. Myth and the Hero’s Journey 8. Tensive Conflict and Meaning 9. Giving Yourself Permission to Tell 10. Visualization and Memory 11. Discovering Point of View 12. The Artful Manipulation of Time and Focus 13. Narrator—Bridging Characters and Audience 14. Developing Complex Characters 15. Plot and Story Structures 16. Emotional Arc and Empathy 17. Varying the Narrator’s Perspective 18. Vocal Intonation 19. Preparing to Perform 20. Putting Performance Anxiety to Good Use 21. Adapting to Different Audiences 22. Invitation to the Audience—Mindset 23. Keeping Your Audience’s Attention 24. Remember Your Stories—The Power of Orality The Art of Storytelling: From Parents to Professionals Course no. 9313 | 24 lectures (30 minutes/lecture) SAVE UP TO $185 DVD $254.95NOW $69.95 CD $179.95NOW $49.95 +$10 Shipping, Processing, and Lifetime Satisfaction Guarantee Priority Code: 77843 Designed to meet the demand for lifelong learning, The Great Courses is a highly popular series of audio and video lectures led by top professors and experts. Each of our more than 450 courses is an intellectually engaging experience that will change how you think about the world. Since 1990, over 14 million courses have been sold. base_milliken-mar 22.qxd 4/23/2012 12:19 PM Page 1