Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone

Transcription

Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone
Money & Credit:
Monetary Aggregates
in Eurozone
Yardeni Research, Inc.
February 9, 2015
Dr. Edward Yardeni
516-972-7683
[email protected]
Debbie Johnson
480-664-1333
[email protected]
Mali Quintana
480-664-1333
[email protected]
Please visit our sites at
www.yardeni.com
blog.yardeni.com
thinking outside the box
Table Of Contents
Table Of Contents
Money Aggregates: Eurozone
Money Aggregates: Eurozone Countries
Money Aggregates: Eurozone, France
Money Aggregates: Germany, Greece
Money Aggregates: Ireland, Italy
Money Aggregates: Netherlands, Portugal
Money Aggregates: Spain
February 9, 2015 / Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Yardeni Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
Money Aggregates: Eurozone
Figure 1.
9900
9600
9900
MONETARY AGGREGATES*: EUROZONE
Dec
(billion euros, sa)
9600
9300
9300
9000
9000
8700
8700
8400
8400
8100
8100
M2 (9633.7)
7800
7800
7500
7500
7200
7200
6900
6900
6600
6600
6300
6300
6000
6000
5700
5700
yardeni.com
5400
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
5400
2015
* Includes currency in circulation.
Source: European Central Bank and Haver Analytics.
Figure 2.
20
20
MONETARY AGGREGATES*: EUROZONE
M1 (7.8)
(yearly percent change, sa)
M2 (3.5)
M3 (3.6)
15
15
10
10
Dec
5
5
0
0
yardeni.com
-5
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
-5
2015
* Includes currency in circulation.
Source: European Central Bank and Haver Analytics.
Page 1 / February 9, 2015 / Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone
Yardeni Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
Money Aggregates: Eurozone Countries
Figure 3.
30
25
30
M2 MONETARY AGGREGATES*: EUROZONE
(yearly percent change)
25
France (Dec=3.6)
Greece (Dec=-0.1)
Ireland (Dec=-5.4)
Portugal (Nov=0.7)
20
15
Germany (Dec=4.8)
Italy (Dec=3.6)
Netherlands (Dec=-0.2)
Spain (Dec=2.3)
20
15
10
10
5
5
0
0
-5
-5
-10
-10
-15
-15
yardeni.com
-20
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
-20
2015
* Includes currency in circulation.
Source: Bank of Greece, Duetsche Bundesbank, Banque de France, Banco de Portugal, Banca d’ Italia, Banco de Espana, De Nederlandsche Bank,
Central Statistics Office Ireland, and Haver Analytics.
Figure 4.
45
40
45
M3 MONETARY AGGREGATES*: EUROZONE
(yearly percent change)
40
France (Dec=3.7)
Greece (Dec=-0.3)
Ireland (Dec=20.2)
Portugal (Nov=0.1)
35
30
25
Germany (Dec=4.7)
Italy (Dec=2.4)
Netherlands (Dec=-0.2)
Spain (Dec=2.8)
35
30
25
20
20
15
15
10
10
5
5
0
0
-5
-5
-10
-10
-15
-15
-20
-20
yardeni.com
-25
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
-25
2015
* Includes currency in circulation.
Source: Bank of Greece, Duetsche Bundesbank, Banque de France, Banco de Portugal, Banca d’ Italia, Banco de Espana, and Haver Analytics.
Page 2 / February 9, 2015 / Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone
Yardeni Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
Money Aggregates: Eurozone, France
Figure 5.
20
20
MONETARY AGGREGATES*: EUROZONE
M1 (7.8)
(yearly percent change, sa)
M2 (3.5)
M3 (3.6)
15
15
10
10
Dec
5
5
0
0
yardeni.com
-5
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
-5
2015
* Includes currency in circulation.
Source: European Central Bank and Haver Analytics.
Figure 6.
20
20
MONETARY AGGREGATES*: FRANCE
M1 (7.1)
(yearly percent change)
M2 (3.6)
M3 (3.7)
15
15
10
10
Dec
5
5
0
0
-5
-5
yardeni.com
-10
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
-10
2015
* Includes currency in circulation.
Source: Banque de France and Haver Analytics.
Page 3 / February 9, 2015 / Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone
Yardeni Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
Money Aggregates: Germany, Greece
Figure 7.
30
30
MONETARY AGGREGATES*: GERMANY
M1 (8.1)
(yearly percent change, sa)
M2 (4.8)
25
25
M3 (4.7)
20
20
15
15
10
10
Dec
5
5
0
0
yardeni.com
-5
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
-5
2015
* Includes currency in circulation.
Source: Duetsche Bundesbank and Haver Analytics.
Figure 8.
30
MONETARY AGGREGATES*: GREECE
M1 (3.5)
(yearly percent change)
25
M2 (-0.1)
M3 (-0.3)
20
15
10
Dec
5
0
-5
-10
-15
yardeni.com
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
-20
2015
* Includes currency in circulation.
Source: Bank of Greece and Haver Analytics.
Page 4 / February 9, 2015 / Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone
Yardeni Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
Money Aggregates: Ireland, Italy
Figure 9.
45
45
MONETARY AGGREGATES*: IRELAND
M1 (2.2)
(yearly percent change)
M2 (-5.4)
35
35
M3 (20.2)
25
25
15
15
5
5
Dec
-5
-5
-15
-15
yardeni.com
-25
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
-25
2015
* Includes currency in circulation.
Source: Central Statistics Office Ireland and Haver Analytics.
Figure 10.
20
20
MONETARY AGGREGATES*: ITALY
M1 (8.9)
(yearly percent change)
M2 (3.6)
M3 (2.4)
15
15
10
10
Dec
5
5
0
0
-5
-5
yardeni.com
-10
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
-10
2015
* Includes currency in circulation.
Source: Banca d’Italia and Haver Analytics.
Page 5 / February 9, 2015 / Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone
Yardeni Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
Money Aggregates: Netherlands, Portugal
Figure 11.
25
25
MONETARY AGGREGATES*: NETHERLANDS
M1 (1.9)
(yearly percent change)
M2 (-0.2)
20
20
M3 (-0.2)
15
15
10
10
5
5
Dec
0
0
-5
-5
yardeni.com
-10
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
-10
2015
* Includes currency in circulation.
Source: De Nederlandsche Bank and Haver Analytics.
Figure 12.
20
20
MONETARY AGGREGATES*: PORTUGAL
M1 (14.6)
(yearly percent change)
M2 (0.7)
15
Nov
M3 (0.1)
15
10
10
5
5
0
0
-5
-5
-10
-10
yardeni.com
-15
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
-15
2015
* Includes currency in circulation.
Source: Banco de Portugal and Haver Analytics.
Page 6 / February 9, 2015 / Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone
Yardeni Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
Money Aggregates: Spain
Figure 13.
30
30
MONETARY AGGREGATES*: SPAIN
M1 (11.4)
(yearly percent change)
M2 (2.3)
25
25
M3 (2.8)
20
20
15
15
Dec
10
10
5
5
0
0
-5
-5
yardeni.com
-10
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
-10
2015
* Includes currency in circulation.
Source: Banco de Espana and Haver Analytics.
Page 7 / February 9, 2015 / Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone
Yardeni Research, Inc.
www.yardeni.com
Copyright (c) Yardeni Research, Inc. 2015. All rights reserved. The information
contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not
necessarily complete and its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. No representation or
warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness, or
correctness of the information and opinions contained herein. The views and the other
information provided are subject to change without notice. All reports posted on
http://blog.yardeni.com
www.yardeni.com, blog.yardeni.com,
and YRI’s Apps for iPads and iPhones are issued
without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs
of any specific recipient and are not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell
any securities or related financial instruments. Past performance is not necessarily a guide
to future results. Company fundamentals and earnings may be mentioned occasionally, but
should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold the company’s stock.
Predictions, forecasts, and estimates for any and all markets should not be construed as
recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any security--including mutual funds, futures
contracts, and exchange traded funds, or any similar instruments.
The text, images, and other materials contained or displayed on any Yardeni Research, Inc.
product, service, report, email or website are proprietary to Yardeni Research, Inc. and
constitute valuable intellectual property. No material from any part of www.yardeni.com,
http://blog.yardeni.com
blog.yardeni.com,
and YRI’s Apps for iPads and iPhones may be downloaded, transmitted,
broadcast, transferred, assigned, reproduced or in any other way used or otherwise
disseminated in any form to any person or entity, without the explicit written consent of
Yardeni Research, Inc. All unauthorized reproduction or other use of material from Yardeni
Research, Inc. shall be deemed willful infringement(s) of this copyright and other proprietary
and intellectual property rights, including but not limited to, rights of privacy. Yardeni
Research, Inc. expressly reserves all rights in connection with its intellectual property,
including without limitation the right to block the transfer of its products and services and/or
to track usage thereof, through electronic tracking technology, and all other lawful means,
now known or hereafter devised. Yardeni Research, Inc. reserves the right, without further
notice, to pursue to the fullest extent allowed by the law any and all criminal and civil
remedies for the violation of its rights.
The recipient should check any email and any attachments for the presence of viruses.
Yardeni Research, Inc. accepts no liability for any damage caused by any virus transmitted
by this company’s emails, website, blog and Apps. Additional information available on
request.
[email protected]