Winning in Mexico! - The HEINEKEN Company
Transcription
Winning in Mexico! - The HEINEKEN Company
HEINEKEN FINANCIAL MARKETS CONFERENCE 2013 MEXICO CITY Winning in Mexico! MARC BUSAIN Managing Director, Cuauhtémoc Moctezuma Mexico City | December 5-6, 2013 | Heineken NV AGENDA Winning in Mexico! 2 A SUCCESSFUL ACQUISITION OVERVIEW OF MEXICAN BEER MARKET OUR STRATEGY TO WIN CUAUHTÉMOC MOCTEZUMA: A RICH HISTORY IN MEXICO Serving consumer inspired brands for over 120 years SCYF 1918 Foundation of Sociedad Cuauhtémoc y Famosa, the pioneer institution for Mexican Social Security Institution preceded Mexico’s IMSS and INFONAVIT 1890 1910 1920 FOUNDATION 1890 Foundation of Ice Factory and Cerveza Cuauhtémoc Monterrey, N.L.” Introduction of Carta Blanca to the national market 3 1940 EMPAQUE TEC DE MONTERREY 1943 Leading University in Latin America is founded by Don Eugenio Garza Sada 1950 1920 CM creates “Fábricas de Monterrey” to have its own supplier of packaging materials, cans and bottles EXPORTS 1973 Exported to the USA since 1973 1970 TECATE TECATE LIGHT 1954 Cervecería Cuauhtémoc acquires Cervecería Tecate in Baja California 1980 1992 Cuauhtémoc Moctezuma launches Tecate Light, the first light beer in Mexico 1990 2010 MOCTEZUMA 1985 Cervecería Cuauhtémoc acquires Cervecería Moctezuma HEINEKEN 2010 HEINEKEN acquires FEMSA Cerveza Heineken® launch in the Mexican market SUCCESSFUL INTEGRATION PROCESS Seamless integration of FEMSA Cerveza into HEINEKEN in 2010 whilst driving ongoing business growth 4 CULTURAL AWARENESS AS A CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTOR IMPLEMENTED NEW RTM STRUCTURE Heineken® LOCAL PRODUCTION STRONG INVESTMENT BEHIND BRANDS ROLL-OUT OF CM’S ‘SIX’ BEER ORIENTED RETAIL STORES INTEGRATION PROCESS PLAN STRONG DELIVERY OF COST SYNERGIES Expected cumulative cost savings of €320m by end 2016 ~€220M OF COST SYNERGIES TO BE GENERATED BY END 2013 ACHIEVED SAVINGS PRIMARILY FROM SUPPLY CHAIN AND ROUTE TO MARKET RECONFIGURATION CONTRIBUTING ~20% OF HEINEKEN TCM2 GLOBAL SAVINGS IN 1H13 FURTHER OPTIMISING COST BASE: 5 ~€100M ADDITIONAL COST SAVINGS IDENTIFIED EXPECT TO REALISE APPROX. HALF IN 2014 (PART OF PREVIOUSLY ANNOUNCED TCM2 TARGETED SAVINGS) BALANCE OF SAVINGS IN 2015 AND 2016 COST SYNERGY PROGRESSION € MILLION 320 100 220 58 57 72 33 CM DELIVERING IMPRESSIVE TOP-LINE AND PROFIT GROWTH Operating profit (beia) margin expansion of 520 basis points since 2010 REVENUE1 2010-2013F €M CAGR OPERATING PROFIT (BEIA)1 2010-2013F €M CAGR +6% +21% OPERATING PROFIT (BEIA) MARGIN2 2010-2013F €M 18.1% 12.9% 2010 6 1 Includes domestic beer operations only 2 Includes domestic beer and export operations 2013F 2010 2013F 2010 2013F MEXICO IS HEINEKEN’S LARGEST MARKET HEINEKEN GROUP BEER VOLUME1 (2012) Mexico 14% 7 HEINEKEN GROUP REVENUE1 (2012) Mexico 11% 1 Group beer volume and financials based on is consolidated business plus attributable share of joint ventures and associates; 2 Group operating profit (beia) excludes Head Office; Based on 2012FY proforma (including APB from 1 January 2012) Mexico includes both domestic and export operations HEINEKEN GROUP OPERATING PROFIT (BEIA)1,2 (2012) Mexico 11% CUAUHTÉMOC MOCTEZUMA ORGANIZATION Local management team structure 1 MARKETING LEANDRO BERRONE 2 SALES JOSEP FERRER CEO MARC BUSAIN 8 18,000 EMPLOYEES 5 EXPATS 10 NATIONALITIES 30 MEXICANS EXPATRIATED 4 SUPPLY CHAIN JORGE MEILLÓN 7 GLOBAL INFORMATION SERVICES CICERO WILLIS 5 HUMAN RESOURCES JAVIER CASTAÑO 8 FINANCE MARC GOUMANS 3 LOGISTICS AND CUSTOMER SERVICE FRANCISCO GARZA 6 CORPORATE AFFAIRS ARNULFO TREVIÑO AGENDA Winning in Mexico! 9 A SUCCESSFUL ACQUISITION OVERVIEW OF MEXICAN BEER MARKET OUR STRATEGY TO WIN WELCOME TO MÉXICO! Attractive growth prospects for HEINEKEN 10 POPULATION: 115 MILLION POSITIVE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK GROWING MIDDLE CLASS 4TH LARGEST BEER PROFIT POOL +1 MILLION NEW CONSUMERS PER YEAR #1 BEER EXPORTER IN THE WORLD A POSITIVE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK An acceleration in economic growth in Mexico to be underpinned by structural reforms MEXICO GDP GROWTH 4.7% 3.9% 3.9% 4.9% 5.2% 5.3% FORMAL EMPLOYMENT GROWTH ‘000 Number of new employees 868 911 779 699 3.5% 883 639 591 393 0.9% 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F 11 Source: Harbor International 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F DYNAMIC DEMOGRAPHICS By 2017, Mexico will have >7 million new consumers of legal drinking age POPULATION +18 AND BEER CONSUMPTION 65 52 2004 70 67 59 58 2008 2010 56 2006 73 Population +18 (LDA) (Millions) 12 Source: Canadean and CONAPO POPULATION PYRAMID 83 76 60 Millions by age bracket MALE 63 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.8 4.7 6.8 8.2 9.6 11.3 11.4 2012 2017F Per Capita (Liters) Source: CONAPO, 2012 90+ 80-89 70-79 60-69 50-59 40-49 30-39 20-29 10-19 0-9 FEMALE 0.1 0.7 1.7 3.2 5.2 7.5 9.2 10.2 11.0 10.9 RISING URBANIZATION & AN EMERGING MIDDLE CLASS TIJUANA Demographic and Economic changes signal opportunities to develop the premium segment 2m population MONTERREY 4m population Urbanization level 90-100% 80-90% 60-80% 50-60% 30-50% PUEBLA GUADALAJARA 4.5m population MEXICO CITY 20m population 13 Source: INEGI 3m population MEXICO CITY IS THE SECOND LARGEST CITY IN THE WESTERN HEMISPHERE 11 CITIES WITH >1 MILLION PEOPLE 86% URBANIZATION LEVEL EXPECTED BY 2020 (VS. 61% IN 1980) PURCHASING POWER AND CONSUMPTION OF MIDDLE CLASS HAS BEEN INCREASING OVER THE LAST 10 YEARS BEER IS THE ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGE OF CHOICE IN MEXICO Beer represents17% of total beverage consumption and 94% of alcoholic beverage consumption in Mexico TOTAL BEVERAGE CONSUMPTION DISTRIBUTION ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES DISTRIBUTION 2013F 2013F Nonalcoholic 9% Beer Spirits Flavoured alcoholic beverages 3% 2% 1% Alcoholic 18% Carbonates 58% Water 15% 94% 14 Source: Canadean Wines & cider ATTRACTIVE GROWTH PROSPECTS FOR MEXICAN BEER Mexican beer market projected to grow at an annualized rate of 2.6% through to 2020 €7.5BN BEER INDUSTRY VALUE 60K DIRECT EMPLOYMENT 800K INDIRECT EMPLOYMENT 4% OF GOVERNMENT TAX INCOME >20 MHL EXPORTED BEER MARKET PROJECTIONS +2.6% +2.5% 50 52 55 61 64 64 67 71 75 78 82 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012F 2014F 2016F 2018F 2020F 15 Source: Plato AGENDA Winning in Mexico! 16 A SUCCESSFUL ACQUISITION OVERVIEW OF MEXICAN BEER MARKET OUR STRATEGY TO WIN CM STRATEGY TO WIN 1 BUILDING A WINNING NATIONAL PORTFOLIO Capabilities 17 2 CONSOLIDATE OUR SHARE IN STRONGHOLDS WHILST ADVANCING IN SELECTED CHALLENGER MARKETS Cost Leadership Culture 3 LEVERAGE STRATEGIC CHANNELS TO DRIVE VOLUME AND VALUE Sustainability BUILDING A NATIONAL WINNING PORTFOLIO Consolidating our mainstream offering whilst developing premium 18 TECATE A LARGE AND GROWING BRAND WITH CLEAR LEADERSHIP IN LIGHT SEGMENT IGNITING ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF GROWTH THROUGH DOS EQUIS AND INDIO STRENGTHENING REGIONAL MARKET POSITIONS THROUGH INVESTMENTS IN CARTA BLANCA AND SOL LEADING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE PREMIUM SEGMENT WITH Heineken® SUPER PREMIUM PREMIUM ABOVE MAINSTREAM MAINSTREAM BELOW MAINSTREAM ECONOMY EXCITING POTENTIAL FOR PREMIUM SEGMENT IN MEXICO Developing and winning in the premium segment 19 Source: Canadean DOUBLED VOLUME IN SUPER PREMIUM AND DOUBLE DIGIT GROWTH IN ABOVE MAINSTREAM STRONG INVESTMENT BEHIND Heineken® DELIVERING SOLID GROWTH FOR LONG TERM VALUE % SHARE OF UPSCALE BEER 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 France Italy USA PROMISING START TO STRONGBOW GOLD STRONG INNOVATION PIPELINE FROM LOCAL / GLOBAL BRAND INITIATIVES Canada Brazil Mexico India A TARGETED REGIONAL GROWTH STRATEGY Growing our market share in stronghold regions, whilst advancing in key challenger cities MEXICO BEER MARKET SHARE CM MARKET SHARE BY REGION OTHERS 1% >65% 35%-65% <35% 41% 58% 20 Source: Canadean GRUPO MODELO Source: Company Information WINNING IN CHALLENGER MARKETS Sustainable market share gains in challenger markets through a strong brand portfolio, quality penetration and a passionate team CM CHALLENGER MARKETS STRONG OUTPERFORMANCE IN CHALLENGER MARKETS Volume CAGR (2011-2013F) +2.7x 6.2% 2.3% Challenger Markets Total Domestic 21 Challenger Markets A SEGMENTED CHANNEL APPROACH Leveraging capabilities in strategic channels to drive volume and value growth CM CHANNEL SPLIT (2012 VOLUME) Develop quality numerical distribution in the traditional off-trade Win in mixed accounts in the modern and traditional off-trade On Premise: Develop premium and drive growth in profitable sub-segments 22 Deliver growth and value from CM’s SIX beer oriented retail stores Capture market share leveraging OXXO expansion footprint in CM challenger markets STRONG STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIPS Strategic alignment with OXXO enabling brand penetration and growth as retail chain expands nationally OXXO STORES GROWTH (NO. OF OUTLETS) BENEFITTING FROM OXXO EXPANSION IN CHALLENGER MARKETS BUILDING BRANDS DEVELOP PREMIUM SEGMENT INCREASED OUTLET PRODUCTIVITY 10,568 9,543 8,400 7,374 6,374 5,563 2007 23 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 SIX: OUR BEER ORIENTED RETAIL BUSINESS Beer oriented stores differentiated by service and a fun shopping environment 24 SIX 30-50 SQUARE METERS OFF-PREMISE OUTLETS CM DETERMINES LOCATION AND FORMAT BEER IS DESTINATION CATEGORY LAND IS LEASED; ENTREPRENEURS MANAGE THE STORE INCENTIVIZED BY COMMISSIONS FOR BEER AND OTHER KEY CATEGORIES TYPICAL CONSUMER - MALE 35-45 YEARS OLD; MONTHLY INCOME OF US$500 SIX IS A HIGHLY PROFITABLE RETAIL BUSINESS MODEL SIX: NUMBER OF OUTLETS 10,225 25 2011 A UNIQUE PLATFORM TO DEVELOP THE BEER CATEGORY 25% OF OUTLETS ARE LOCATED IN CENTER AND WEST MEXICO IN 2013, OTHER KEY CATEGORIES ALSO CONTRIBUTED TO INCREASED PROFITABILITY 11,289 9,289 9,270 2010 2012 2013F FEDERAL TRADE COMMISSION AGREEMENTS We are committed to full compliance of the resolution KEY COMMITMENTS 1 Open exclusive on-premise accounts to local microbrewers Written agreements in on- or off-premise clients for exclusive sale of beer 2 Use a new format of exclusivity agreements for traditional channel and restaurants Most of the time through a pre-payment of the expected margin to be earned by the client Not all exclusive arrangements are in writing or imply an exchange of money High transactional costs sometimes create incentives for clients to carry brands from only one beer company without a formal agreement 3 Allow exclusive clients without a written agreement in traditional channel to sell other beer brands 4 Limit exclusivity agreements to 25% of our total client base (with a 1% reduction per year until reaching 20%) 26 HOW CUSTOMER AGREEMENTS WORK BEST IN CLASS SUPPLY CHAIN World Class Brewery Footprint MANUFACTURING FOOTPRINT PRODUCTIVITY IMPROVEMENT OF 42% SINCE 2010 TECATE (hl/fte) 15,000 NAVOJOA MONTERREY +42% 10,545 ORIZABA GUADALAJARA TOLUCA 2010 27 2013F IMPROVEMENT ACROSS KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS Excellence in Supply Chain management delivering value OPI1 PACKAGING (%) 76 1 (Hl of water /hl produced) 3.73 THERMAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION (Mj/ hl produced) 84 +4.3% -4.8% -10.7% 72.9 3.55 75 2010 28 WATER CONSUMPTION OPI = Overall Performance Indicator 2013F 2010 2013F 2010 2013F SUSTAINABILITY AGENDA On our way to becoming Mexico’s most admired company COMMUNITY ENVIRONMENT Educational Programs and partnership for progress (music, schools, gyms) impacting over 1.5 million people Source water Protection CO2 EMISSIONS RESPONSIBLE CONSUMPTION 8% reduction in CO2 emissions through: Green innovation on distribution Designated Driver positively impacting over 90,000 people Responsible Waiter training program for over 7,500 people 29 Local supplier programs benefiting >13,500 suppliers Water stewardship 2020 target to achieve first Water Neutral Brewery Energy savings from fridges across all clients Eco packs Green Production PEOPLE AND CULTURE Winning through people in a high performance organization 30 CULTURE ALIGNING OUR ORGANIZATION TO BUSINESS PRIORITIES MARKET FOCUS HEAD-OFFICE AND SALES PROGRAMS A GREAT PLACE TO WORK TOP TIER CLIMATE SURVEY RESULTS IN ALL OF HEINEKEN GLOBAL TALENT DEVELOPMENT 30 MEXICAN EMPLOYEES WORKING ABROAD REWARD AND RECOGNITION 21% OF OUR MANAGERS HAVE BEEN PROMOTED IN THE LAST 3 YEARS SUMMARY Key Takeaways 31 GROWTH IN MEXICAN ECONOMY AND POSITIVE SOCIODEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS TO UNDERPIN BEER MARKET GROWTH CM IS DRIVING SIGNIFICANT PROFIT AND MARGIN GROWTH WITH FURTHER UPSIDE POTENTIAL A CLEAR BRAND PORTFOLIO STRATEGY FOCUSED ON CONSOLIDATING MAINSTREAM WHILST DEVELOPING PREMIUM FOR THE LONG TERM WINNING SHARE IN CHALLENGER MARKETS THROUGH A TARGETED CHANNEL STRATEGY APPROACH LONG TERM COMMITMENT TOWARDS THE MEXICAN COMMUNITY ATTRACTING AND DEVELOPING A GLOBAL TALENT BASE