Invest in Peru
Transcription
Invest in Peru
Invest in Peru The Chinese General Chamber of Commerce 22th October 2008 Ambassador Jaime Pomareda INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN Consul General of Peru in Hong Kong and Macao PERU OFFERS: Basic macroeconomic equilibriums Inflation between 1,5% and 3,8% in the last 7 years. Forecasted Fiscal Surplus 2% GDP Growth of 8% for 2006 and expected to be close to 8% for the next years. Globalized Economy with access to regional commercial blocks. CAN, APEC, Mercosur, EU and USA, (Annual US$ 38 Bil.) Investment climate and policies stable and based on international principles. Legal Stability 32 International Agreements. Important role of investments in Peru´s Economic Growth From 9.1% of GDP in 2004 to 20.1% in 2006 Investment Sustainable economic growth with annual forecasted rate greater than 8% Peru 8 8,03 (Annual variation %) GDP Growth 6,4 6 5,2 5,2 3,9 4 Developed 2 World 0 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 Source: International Monetary Fund and the Central Reserve Bank of Peru. *Forecasted by Central Reserve Bank of Peru (9th February 2007), Ministry of Economy and Finance and the National Institute of Statistic and Information. 98 00 02 04 06 Annual Exports growth greater than 30% Accompanied by private investment growth (average annual % variation) 23 750 22 000 25.0 0,7 0,6 17 336 0,5 17 000 6 955 7 026 7 714 7 000 9 090 41% 20.0 Private Investment 15.0 0,4 12 809 12 000 Private Investment grew 20,1% in 2006* 35% 37% 0,3 10.0 0,2 5.0 18% 0,1 10% 1% 2 000 2000 2001 0 2002 2003 Exports in millons US$" 2004 2005 0.0 2006 % Exports Growth (base 2000)" -5.0 Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru. * Forecasted 06 05 04 03 02 01 -10.0 During the last 5 years (2001-2007) 621 new products were exported 29 new markets 2,093 new enterprises Source: Source: SUNAT Rise in the commercial exchange Increase in the imports of capital Goods (Millions of US$) ( Millions of US$) 40 000 4500 35 000 4000 30 000 3500 3000 25 000 2500 20 000 2000 15 000 Capital goods for the Industry 1500 10 000 1000 5 000 500 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Total Exports (US $ mill.) Total Imports (US $ mill.) Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru. Transport Equipment Others 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Peru is progressively reducing its fiscal deficit By increasing its central government tax revenues (% of GDP) 2,5 2,5 14 000 13 134 12 123 2,0 12 000 0,3 31,1% 1,5 10 247 8 915 8 038 0,5 0.0 8 000 6 968 7 501 7 696 0,15 18,3% 7 821 14,9% 0,1 14,0% 0,0 0,05 6 000 7,7% -0,5 -0,4 -1,0 1,6% 0 4 000 -0,05 -0,1 -1,1 -2,0 -1,7 -2,5 -2,5 -2,3 -13,3% -0,15 0 -0,2 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Central Government Tax Revenues (in US$ MM) % Annual change in the Central Government Tax Revenues -3,0 -3,5 2,6% 2 000 -1,5 -3,3 2000 2001 2002 2003 20042005 2006 2007* Source Central Reserve Bank of Peru. * Forecasted by the Ministry of Economics and Finance 0,25 0,2 10 000 1,0 0,35 Source: SUNAT 2006 17 275 18 000 0,5 0,45 16 000 14 097 0,4 12 681 14 000 0,35 12 000 9 598 10 194 0,3 10 000 8 180 8 613 22,5% 0,25 8 000 0,2 24,4% 11,2% 6 000 0,15 11,4% 6,2% 4 000 0,1 2 000 0,05 5,3% 0 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Net International Reserves (in US$ Millions)" The careful and responsible management of our economic program has allowed us to keep our country risk index among the lowest in the region. 350 JP Morgan Index EMBI+** (Milions of dollars Net International Reserves With increasing Net International Reserves that represent more than 12 months of imports EMBI+ Peru Latinamerica 300 250 200 150 100 Nov- Dic-05 Feb- Mar- May- Jul-06 Ago- Oct-06 Dic-06 Ene- Mar05 06 06 06 06 07 07 Annual Variation Updated 23 March, 2007 Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru. Source: Bloomberg Peru offers a favorable legal framework for foreign investment ... Non discriminatory treatment. Irrestrictive access to most economic sectors. No performance requirements. Free transfer of capital. Free competition. Guarantee for Private Property Freedom to purchase stocks from locals. Freedom to access internal and external credit. Freedom to pay royalties. Network of investments agreements and member of ICSID and MIGA Stable tax regime Reduced tariff structure and low tariff dispersion Legal Framework: Constitutional provisions, “Law for the Promotion of Foreign Investment”, Legislative Decree N° 662, “Framework Law for Private Investment Growth”, Legislative Decree N° 757, “Law for the Promotion of Pr ivate Investment in Infrastructure and Public Service Works”, Approved by Supreme Decree N° 059-96-PCM Free market access to: Andean Community of Nations Chile MERCOSUR Mexico United States European Union Thailand Trade Promotion Agreement with Singapore under negotiations Peru has concluded the negotiations for the Trade Promotion Agreement (TPA) with the United States, and started in 2008 negotiations for a FTA with China Companies from all over the world are already investing in Peru • Telefónica de • • • • • • • • • • • • • España Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Endesa Desarrollo S.A. Repsol – YPF Melia BHP Firth Ind. NZ Dairy Products Mount Isa Mines Newcrest Shougang Corp. Marubeni Matsushita Mitsui • • • • • • • • • • • • Honda Motor Daewoo Corp. Mitsubishi SK Falabella Ripley Mantos Blancos Empresas Pizarreño Empresas IANSA Costa S.A. Noranda Teck Corp. •Cominco •HydroQuebec •Barrick •Newmont •Cyprus Minerals •Nextel •Citibank •Duke Energy •PSEG •Entergy •Aguaytia Energy •Cargill •Kraft Perú •Procter & Gamble •Kimberly Clark •Group Mexico •Group Portales •Group Bimbo •Zeta Gas •Nestle •Asea •Brown Boveri •Aventis •Saint Gobain •Sodexho •Schneider Electric •Pechyney •Degrémont •Holbah II Ltd. •Shell •Stet Mobile •Adrien Including some of the major international firms Advantages of the Agribusiness and Agro exporter sector 84 green zones of the total 104 worldwide. 8 million hectares of fertile lands. Because is located in the southern hemisphere has access off season windows in the most important markets at premium prices (USA, Europe, Asia) Non traditional agribusiness exports with 19% growth rate (2006*). 1st in world’s productivity of mango, asparagus and sugar cane, among the first ten in grape, avocado and coffee 1st world exporter of asparagus and dried paprika. 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1997 1998 Mango Skilled workforce available. 1999 Paprika 2000 2001 Avocado 2002 Grape 2003 2004 Artichoke 2005 2006 Asparagus Advantages of the Fishing & Aquaculture sector 8 million MT per year of exploitable biomass. 1st world producer of fishmeal (2 two million Ton per year since 1993) and fish oil (150,000 Ton per year). FishMeal Exports (in millions of US $) Oil Fish Exports (in millions of US$) One of the richest seas of the world home for more than 2,500 species. 1 400 000 160 000 1 200 000 140 000 120 000 1 000 000 100 000 800 000 Wide variety of microclimates allowing development of many fishing and aquaculture species. 80 000 600 000 60 000 400 000 81% useful species could be processed and traded. Main species: anchovy, sardine, hake, eel, horse mackerel, squid, octopus. king prawn, scallops, trout, great potential of Amazonian species and ornamental fishes. 200 000 20 000 0 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 40 000 Advantages of the Mining sector 1st producer of gold, zinc, tin and lead in Latin America, 1st producer of silver, and third in copper in the world. Different projects ready to be transferred to private investors, i.e. state mining project just awarded in concession: Michiquillay (US$ 450 Million) Foreign investors have achieved internationally recognized results (e.g. Alto Chicama prize PDAC – Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada, for the best discovery in the world). Peru has received investments of US$ 1.3 billion (1992-2005), and additional investment commitments for US$ 6.6 billion. High potential in the non-metallic mining industry in: common salt, phosphates, diatomite, pyrites, kaolin, pyrophilite, baritina, dialomite and clays. Peru ranks among the most attractive countries , related to geological potential. Mining Sector Advantages Production Ranking 2006 Latin America Worldwide Copper 2 3 Gold 1 5 Zinc 1 3 Silver 1 1 Lead 1 4 Tin 1 3 Molybdenum 2 4 Bismuth 2 3 Tellurium 1 2 Peru has an outstanding competitive position in worldwide mining, leading this sector in Latin America Mining exports (US$ million) Source: Ministry of Energy and Mining of Peru Molybdenum production has • risen by 28% in 2005, and it became the third export metallic mining product (US$100 million/month) Bismuth production totaled • 1000 MT and Tellurium production 28 MT, in 2005. 14 716 14 000 12 000 9 760 10 000 7 124 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 731 2 747 3 008 3 220 1997 1998 1999 2000 3 205 2001 3 809 4 690 2 000 0 Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Mining Sector Advantages Mineral Cooper Gold Zinc Silver Lead Iron Tin Molybdenum Others Total Exports (In US$ millions) 2005 2006 % 3 360,30 3 165,50 805,1 280,6 491,4 216,1 269,8 1149,4 21,2 9 759,40 79,6 27,9 147,3 70,6 45 18,5 23,1 -27,1 13,6 50,8% 6 034,40 4 048,30 1 991,30 478,6 712,6 256 332,1 838,3 24,1 14 715,70 Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru In 2006, Peruvian mining exports grew more than 50% . Almost US$ 2 billions of Zinc were exported. Ranking of mining exporting companies – 2006 ( over 500 millions exports) Company US$ Millions 1 Southern Peru Copper Corporation 2 837 2 Compañía Minera Antamina S.A 2 805 3 Minera Yanacocha S.R.L. 1 615 4 Doe Run Peru S.R.L. 1 016 5 Minera Barrick Misquichilca SA 990 6 Bhp Billinton Tintaya S.A. 554 7 Sociedad Minera Cerro Verde S.A.A. 534 N° Source: ADEX Datatrade Advantages of the Textile Sector High quality of Peruvian Pima cotton. 1st producer of fine Alpaca and Vicuna fiber. Highly competitive products based on quality. Development of a Peruvian textile chain enabling rapid service to “full package” orders. Opportunity to benefit from the ATPDEA – Andean Trade Promotion and Eradication of Drugs Act / Free Trade Agreement, to enter the USA apparel market. High skilled employees, monthly wages from US $ 130 to US$ 300 Export growth from US$ 400 mil. (1995) to US$ 1.4 Billion in 2006 Peruvian companies are producing for prestigious labels such as… - Abercrombie & Fitch - New Balance - Adolfo Dominguez - Ara Intersales – TNS Mills - Armani Exchange - Calvin Klein - Cole - Donna Karan Inc. - Duck Head Apparel Co. - Eddie Bauer - Guess - Inditex / Zara - Izod - JC Penney - J. Meneses Group Inc - Massimo Dutti - Nautica - Lacoste - Lands End - Levy Strauss and Co. - Oakley - Palacio de Hierro - Paul Davril Inc. / Kenneth - Perry Ellis International - Polo Ralph Lauren - Ragman - Reebok - Russel Corporation - Saks Inc. - The Gymboree Corp. - Tommy Hilfiger - Vanity Fair Advantages of the Forestry sector Forest Reserves of 53.5 million hectares. 6 million hectares for reforestation. Seventh biggest forestry reserve in the world. High quality woods: mahogany (sweitenia macrophylla), tropical cedar (cedrela odorata), and cumula (virola sp.) Forestry concession process. Forestry potential. Possibility to increase by 17 times the current supply of wood. Forestry exports have increased from US$ 26 MM in 1996 to US$ 168 MM in 2005. This shows a growth rate of 26% per year the last 9 years. Peru has potential to export US$ 3 bn per year in woods and by-products. Investment Opportunities in Infrastructure Chachapoyas Paita Port T. Piura EPS Grau Cajamarca Road infrastructure Airports Salaverry Port T. Pucallpa Chimbote Port T. Ports Telecommunications IIRSA Center Branch Road Network 4 Puerto Maldonado Hydrocarbons Regional Pipelines Supply driking water for Lima Interocean Road Corridor L.T Machupicchu Cotaruse Sanitation Energy Cusco Pisco Port T. Costa - Sierra Nazca Ayacucho Arequipa Juliaca Ilo Port T. Tacna Investment Opportunities in Airports PROJECT Province Airports- Second Group (6 airports Tacna, Juliaca, Arequipa, Puerto Maldonado, Ayacucho and Nazca) Total Estimated Investment (US$ MM) ESTIMATED INVESTMENT (US$ MM) AWARDING TERMS 150 III Q 2007 150 Investment Opportunities in Port Terminals PROJECT Port Terminals (Muelle Minerales en Callao, Paita, Salaverry, Chimbote, Ilo, San Martín Yurimaguas, Iquitos, Pucallpa, etc) Total Estimated Investment (US$ MM) ESTIMATED INVESTMENT (US$ MM) 321,2 AWARDING TERMS I Q 2008, III Q 2007 Iquitos and Pucallpa. Yurimaguas and Minerals Ports to be defined 321,2 Investment Opportunities in Hydrocarbons ESTIMATED INVESTMENT (US$ MM) AWARDING TERMS Gas Pipelines for transport of Natural Gas to Ayacucho, Ica and Junín. 200 III Q 2007 Pipeline to transport GLP and Diesel from Pisco and Lurin 60 III Q 2007 PROJECT Total Estimated Investment(US$ MM) 260 Investment Opportunities in Telecommunications ESTIMATED INVESTMENT (US$ MM) AWARDING TERMS 200 II Q 2007 Mobile Telecommunication Band B 80 II Q 2007 Wide Rural Band (Access to Internet, public telephony and residence telephony in 3 010 cities and 6 Regions (22 Departments). 17 II Q 2007 Rural Telecommunication Rural Internet (access to Internet for 1,050 rural towns) 9 II Q 2007 PROJECT Mobile Telecommunication Band D and E Total Estimated Investment (US$ MM) 306 Investment Opportunities in Sanitation ESTIMATED INVESTMENT (US$ MM) AWARDING TERMS Sanitation services in Piura and Paita provinces (water and sewage services) 290 III Q 2007 Supply for drinking water for Lima (30 year concession) 286 IV Q 2007 PROJECT Total Estimated Investment (US$ MM) 576 Investment Opportunities in Agriculture and Energy PROJECT ESTIMATED INVESTMENT (US$ MM) AWARDING TERMS Majes- Sigüas ProjectSecond Stage (water, water ussage, sale of lands, hydroelectrical development) 260 IV Q 2007 Transmission Line Machu Picchu – Cotaruse (conditioning of national electric grid in South Peru) 42 III Q 2007 Total Estimated Investment(US$ MM) 302 Advantages of Tourism Sector Cultural and historical wealth and great biodiversity, which makes Peru a special place in the world. High potential to generate investment oriented to expand tourism services. Possibility in developing private investment not only in tourism infrastructure, but also in providing traveler services. Peru is promoting the northern tourist circuit which offers new investment opportunities. Important increase of foreign arrivals (1.7 million in 2006, 3.7 projected for 2013) Peruvian gastronomy is one of the most delicious and varied in the world. Investment Opportunities in Tourism ESTIMATED INVESTMENT (US$ MM) AWARDING TERMS Playa Hermosa- Tourist complex (70 Ha. Tumbes) 27 To be defined Civic and Trade Center of Lima (Operation of 120,000 Sq. Mt. FOR 20 YEAR) 20 III Q 2007 Chaco – La Puntilla Tourist Complex (Paracas) 7 II Q 2007 System of Cable Transport Tingo – Kuelap (Cable car) 6,5 IV Q 2007 Quistococha National Tourist Park (trasformation in Amazonian Theme Park) 5 IV Q 2007 PROJECT Total Estimated Investment (US$ MM) 65,5 Invest in Peru The Chinese General Chamber of Commerce 22th October 2008 Ambassador Jaime Pomareda Consul General of Peru in Hong Kong and Macao INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN