in Q1`13 - Proximus.com
Transcription
in Q1`13 - Proximus.com
Belgacom Presentation Q1 2013 results May 2013 Q1 2013 Group Highlights Q1 2013 Results per segment Other topics Guidance – slide 4 Q1 2013 Revenue – slide 5 Cost of Sales – slide 6 Consumer – slide 21 Shareholder structure – slide 38 Enterprise – slide 28 Shareholder remuneration – slide 39 Non-HR expenses - slide 7 SDE&W – slide 34 Network & Spectrum – slide 40 HR expenses – slide 8 S&S – slide 35 Pricing – slide 46 EBITDA – slide 9 Capex – slide 10 FCF – slide 11 P&L – slide 14 Operationals – slide 15 BICS – slide 36 Regulation & Legal – slide 52 Macro –slide 56 1 Cautionary Statement “This communication might include some forward-looking statements, without limitation, regarding Belgacom’s financial or operational results, certain strategic plans or objectives, macro-economic trends, regulation, future market conditions and other risk factors. These forward-looking statements rely on a number of assumptions concerning future events and are subject to uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside Belgacom’s control. Therefore the actual future results may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by the statements. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only of the date of this communication. Belgacom disclaims any intention or obligation to update and revise any forwardlooking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.“ Slide 2 Executive summary on Q1 2013 Financial results Q1 within expectations Competitive dynamics changed Belgacom well placed to face the change - Financials impacted by regulation & Mobile pressure Group revenue fairly stable versus Q1 2012 EBITDA -6.1% YoY Full-year guidance reiterated – New Telecom law accelerated customer rotation as of Q4’12 – All players responded to the new market conditions – Belgacom mobile offer repositioned – – – – Convergence & network quality giving key support Mobile customer trends encouraging Solid growth of Fixed products PACKS increasingly with mobile +26,000 TV + 10,000 BB + 22,000 PACKS 1,412,000 Total 1,647,000 Total 1,259,000 Total + 61,000 cards - 113,000 cards 5,364,000 total Mobile cards Slide 3 FY 2013 guidance reiterated FY 2013 outlook Q1 2013 reported Group revenue Decline between -1% and -2% -0.1% Group EBITDA* Decline between -4% and -6% -6.1% Capex/Revenue Between 13% and 14% 12.2% Metrics * Compared to the restated 2012 EBITDA of € 1,801 m, following the retrospective application of IAS19R Slide 4 Q1 2013 Group revenue fairly stable Revenue evolution – in million € +1.4% -0.1% Ex – Regulation 1,588 -15 Roaming +35 +11 -10 MTR -24 regulatory impact +6 1,586 intra-group elimination Q1 2013 -18 -9 Sale of technical building as part of simplification project Q1 2012 reported Pressure on the Mobile Market capital gain -1 -2 Voice volumes, destination mix, data growth Underlying CBU Underlying EBU Underlying SDE Underlying S&S BICS Slide 5 Q1 Cost of Sales up 3.7%, driven by BICS’ growth Quarterly Cost of Sales ( € million) Q1’13 Cost of Sales at € 637m, +3.7% YoY, driven by the strong growth of BICS partly offset by the strong decline in Consumer CoS, and somewhat lower Enterpise CoS +3.7% 68 0 63 0 58 0 621 633 667 655 680 649 637 614 53 0 48 0 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Consumer CoS 8.2% lower YoY, last quarters’ positive trend continued, enforced by the positive impact regulation (lowered MTRs), an improved sales channel mix (focus on own shops) and partial sale of The Phone House shops Enterprise Business Unit 0.7% lower CoS YoY, positive effect from lower MTRs, more than offsetting the unfavorable evolution of EBU’s overall product mix on the Cost of Sales. BICS Higher CoS (+8.9% YoY) lined to strong Q1 revenue growth Business Unit Q113 Slide 6 Lower non-HR expenses Quarterly Non-HR expenses ( € million) -3.7% 25 0 Q1’13 non-HR expenses of € 218m, explained by cost containment and a favorable year-onyear currency impact 256 24 0 23 0 22 0 21 0 20 0 19 0 18 0 196 232 226 224 Q411 Q112 Q212 218 217 213 17 0 16 0 15 0 Q211 Q311 Q312 Q412 Consumer Non-HR expenses 8.1% down, mainly driven by cost optimization initiatives and partial divesture of The Phone House shops Enterprise Non-HR 4.7% lower YoY with Q1 2012 including a negative currency effect Business Unit Q113 Business Unit SDE & W 4.7% higher Non-HR YoY, due to increased use of external resources to support simplification projects Slide 7 Q1’13 HR expenses impacted by double indexation Quarterly HR-expenses (€ million) Inflation-based salary indexations (March 2012 and January 2013) main driver of higher HR expenses Only partly offset by a year-on-year reduction in headcount by 136 FTEs to 15,790 FTEs +4.3% 29 0 27 0 282 278 283 278 281 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 25 0 290 290 278 23 0 21 0 19 0 17 0 15 0 Q312 Q412 Q113 Belgacom headcount in FTE 25000 Estimated cash-out for termination benefits 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017-2033 EUR million 79 49 21 6 24* Telindus +2,600 FTE PTS -6,300 FTE 20000 Jan ‘12 : The Phone House +518 FTE* BeST -4,160 FTE 15000 2006-2012 Tutorship & FMS -3,900 FTE 10000 15,790 15,790 FTEs end March’13 (-136 FTE YoY) Civil Servants decreased to 33% of total headcount (* Cumulative for full period) 5000 YE96 YE98 YE00 YE02 YE04 YE06 YE08 YE10 *As part of the agreement with the Competition Council, Belgacom sold some of the Phone House shops in Nov’12, which lowered the headcount accordingly. YE12 Slide 8 Q1 2013 Group ebitda pressured by regulation, lower Direct Margin and higher HR-expenses Ebitda evolution – in million € Rev. pressure largely offset by cost containment in Q1 -2.9% EX Regulation 470 -15 Roaming Wholesale rev. slowing & simplification projects requiring resources +11 -1 MTR Solid Direct Margin & somewhat lower operating expenses -2 reported -15 Sale of technical building as part of simplification project Q1 2012 regulatory impact -6.1% capital gain -18 -7 Changing product mix & higher HRexpenses Underlying CBU Underlying EBU Underlying SDE +7 441 BICS Q1 2013 -4 Underlying S&S Slide 9 Invest in high-quality fixed & mobile network to maintain leadership in convergence Accelerated network investments Group Capex in € millio n / % of revenue 13%-14% 12 .1% 11.7% 734 777 753 2010 2011 2012 11.1% Outlook 2013 *This does not include capex for a potential bidding in the 800 Mhz spectrum - maintain network superiority on mobile speed and coverage, substantially increase the bandwidth on fixed network via DLM and vectoring technology make operations leaner through a simplified network 900 800 700600 500 400 300 200 100 0 11.7% 12 .2% 195 19 3 190 auction that might occur before year-end 185 18 6 180 175 170 Q1'12 Q1'13 13. 0% 12. 0% 11. 0% 10. 0% 9.0% 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% -1. 0% -2. 0% 0% -3. -4. 0% 0% -5. -6. 0% -7. -8. 0% 0% -9. 0% -10.0% -11.0% -12.0% -13.0% -14.0% -15.0% -16.0% -17.0% -18.0% -19.0% -20.0% -21.0% -22.0% -23.0% -24.0% -25.0% -26.0% -27.0% -28.0% -29.0% -30.0% -31.0% -32.0% -33.0% -34.0% -35.0% -36.0% -37.0% -38.0% -39.0% -40.0% -41.0% -42.0% -43.0% -44.0% -45.0% -46.0% -47.0% -48.0% -49.0% -50.0% -51.0% -52.0% -53.0% -54.0% -55.0% -56.0% -57.0% -58.0% -59.0% -60.0% -61.0% -62.0% -63.0% -64.0% -65.0% -66.0% -67.0% -68.0% -69.0% -70.0% -71.0% -72.0% -73.0% -74.0% -75.0% -76.0% -77.0% -78.0% -79.0% -80.0% -81.0% -82.0% -83.0% -84.0% -85.0% -86.0% -87.0% -88.0% -89.0% -90.0% Slide 10 Q1’13 Free Cash Flow of € 89 million Q 1 2 0 12 Re s tate d (in mio € ) Q 1 2 0 13 variance CF from operating activities 386 271 -115 Capex -186 -193 -7 CF from/used in other activities -21 11 32 Fre e Cas h Flo w 179 89 -90 Free Cash Flow (in mio € ) 980 797 788 691 Lower FCF result of: - Higher income tax payments - Lower EBITDA - Higher cash paid for capital expenditures - Higher needs in terms of core working capital 409 179 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Ytd Mar'12 89 Ytd Mar'13 Slide 11 Sound financial position - Net financial debt at € 1,506 m, € 95m lower versus end 2012 - The outstanding long term financial gross debt amounted to € 2.0Bio - Credit ratings: Standard & Poor’s A; Moody’s A1 – both stable outlook ( 1 ,601) 7 89 ( 1 ,506) 1 ( 2) Net debt December 2012 Debt maturing FCF Dividends Net sale of treasury shares Other Net debt March 2013 2013 2015 2016 2018 2026 2028 € 129m € 145m € 950m € 500m € 73m € 150m Slide 12 Belgacom consolidated balance sheet 31-Dec 31-Mar 2012 Restated* 2013 TOTAL ASSETS 8,245 8,505 Non-recurrent assets Goodwill Intangible assets with finite useful life Property, plant and equipment Investments in associates Other participating interests Deferred income tax assets Pension and other non-current assets 6,194 2,339 1,097 2,467 1 7 146 136 6,173 2,339 1,095 2,470 1 7 138 123 Current assets Inventories Trade receivables Current income tax assets & other current assets Investments Cash and cash equivalents 2,051 133 1,341 292 83 202 2,332 147 1,385 348 87 365 LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 8,245 8,505 Equity Shareholders' equity Minority interests 3,093 2,882 211 3,275 3,058 217 Non-current liabilities Interest-bearing liabilities Pensions and other post-employment benefits Provisions Deferred tax liabilities and other amounts payable 2,680 1,761 572 203 144 2,793 1,897 548 203 144 Current liabilities Interest-bearing liabilities Trade payables Income tax payable Other current payables 2,472 215 1,310 236 711 2,437 139 1,293 244 760 (EUR million) • Intangible fixed assets and property, plant and equipment are fairly stable • Shareholders’ equity increased from € 2,882 m end 2012 to € 3,058m in March. Mainly reflecting the net income generated so far in 2013. * The 2012 financial figures have been restated after the adoption of the IAS 19R revision Slide 13 Group – quarterly P&L FY 2012 Q113 VAR Q1/Q1 1,6 44 6 ,46 2 1,5 8 6 -0.1% -1,156 -649 -290 -217 -1,215 -680 -278 -256 -4,661 -2,611 -1,126 -924 -1,144 -637 -290 -218 2.4% 3.7% 4.3% -3.6% 438 46 4 429 1,8 01 441 -6 .1% 29.6% 27.2% 28.6% 26.1% 27.9% 27.8% -1.8 p p 0 -10 -1 -4 -15 0 - -18 1 -18 8 -18 5 -19 4 -748 -19 2 5.6% EBIT (incl. NR) 28 9 240 278 231 1,038 25 0 -13.5 % Financial result Tax expense -22 -6 5 -26 -48 -5 4 -34 -28 -30 -131 -177 -20 -5 3 -7.1% -17.7% 19 9 3 16 1 5 18 4 5 16 8 5 712 19 171 5 -14.0% - 0.6 3 0.63 0.5 1 0.53 0.5 8 0.58 0.5 3 0.54 2.24 2.27 0.5 4 0.54 -14.3% -14.3% in mio € Q112 Q212 Revenues (1) 1,5 8 8 1,6 11 1,6 20 Total OPEX -1,118 -614 -278 -226 -1,172 -667 -281 -224 470 EBITDA margin (1) Non recurring items Costs of goods sold HR-costs Other expenses EBITDA (1) * The 2012 financial figures have been restated after the adoption of the IAS 19R revision Depreciation Net income (Group) Non-controlling interest Earnings/share in € Earnings/share in € (excl. NR) (1) before non-recurring items Q312 Q412 Restated* Slide 14 Solid performance fixed products Fixed Internet market share Broadband customer evolution net adds total 28 23 1,606 1,615 1,626 1,637 1,647 1,700 1,600 18 1,500 13 15 12 9 8 11 1,400 10 1,300 3 -2 1,200 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 1,386 1,412 Note: Status 31 Dec’12 DTV market share TV Lines evolution* net adds 80 1,254 1,600 total 1,301 1,340 40 1% 1,400 60 32% 1,200 43 1,000 48 39 46 800 26 20 0 Belgian Fixed internet market still growing, but at slower pace Internet penetration @ 77% Belgacom market share erosion limited to -0.3% YoY Cable 64% 600 Belgian digital TV penetration @ 77% Stable DTV market share of 32% Total TV market** share of 26% ; +3pp YoY 400 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Fixed Voice customer evolution 70 net adds total 3,500 50 30 3,186 3,149 3,300 3,119 3,085 3,041 3,100 10 2,900 -10 -30 -39 -37 Q1'12 Q2'12 -30 -33 2,700 -44 -50 Stable market, Fixed Voice penetration @ 72% Belgacom stabilized its Fixed Voice line erosion Fixed Voice line “upgraded” via: Flat rate calling “Happy Time XL” and “Happy Time International” Multi-play packaging 2,500 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 *Corresponds to the total settop boxes, including multi-stream ** Total TV market includes analog TV Slide 15 Mobile Postpaid back to growth Mobile customer evolution 2 net adds total 5,543 5,498 100 5,504 5,416 80 5,364 5,600 5,200 39 20 45 5,000 0 Postpaid: + 61,000 Prepaid: -113,000 Mobile Postpaid back to growth backed by successful Dec’12 repricing, retention actions and the rebuilding of our image as best network provider 4,800 -39 -20 -52 -40 4,600 4,400 -60 -88 -80 4,200 -100 4,000 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 5% 5,400 60 40 Mobile market share 1 Q1'13 24% 41% 31% Mobile Postpaid customer base back to growth, market conditions pressuring Postpaid ARPU Mobile Prepaid customer base decline continued, in line with the market evolution. Prepaid ARPU more contained. Split Postpaid - Prepaid Consumer blended ARPU: Split Prepaid - Postpaid Net adds Postpaid Net adds Prepaid & MVNO 0.0 € 169 27.9 € Blended Postpaid ARPU 27.3 € 28.9 € 26.6 € 0.0 € 119 69 89 39 0.0 € 61 41 Blended Prepaid ARPU 0.0 € 19 -31 0 14.0 € 14.2 € 13.6 € 14.4 € 13.3 € Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 0.0 € -44 -80 -16 -72 -113 -81 Q1'12 24.1 € Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 1 Active mobile cards 2 Mobile active customers including mobile customers Luxembourg, and including mobile data cards. 0.0 € Slide 16 From Mobile retention (Q1) to acquisition (Q2) Q1: Focus on retention and repositioning Supported by network campaign & strong retention actions Q2: Focus on acquisition Supported by new mobile portfolio & campaigns More value including in Belgacom’s new mobile offers Slide 17 Customer acquisition via convergent Packs – Mobile in Pack to become the new standard Packs evolution net adds 80 1,143,000 total 1,177,000 1,214,000 1,237,000 1,259,000 1,300,000 1,200,000 +116k in YoY 60 1,100,000 54 1,000,000 40 34 37 900,000 20 23 22 0 800,000 700,000 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 4-Play +53% YoY 2-Play 1,259,000 +9% YoY PACKS 3-Play +8% YoY Monthly permanent reduction of € 5 or € 10* for ALL Family’s mobile subscriptions in pack *for mobile subscriptions > € 50 Slide 18 All assets in hands to cope with changing telecom market Belgacom has extensive service coverage and state of the art service platforms enabling true service convergence DSL 4G 99.85% DSL (among world leaders) 86% VDSL (2nd in Europe) FTTx homes passed per country 100% VDSL 50% 25% > 92% TV coverage NL FR DE UK BE POR SWI 0% Source: IDATE – June 2011 Largest WiFi network in Belgium 3G 97.3% coverage FTTH/B 75% First to launch in November ‘12 FON 2G 99.98% coverage 650,000 FON spots in Belgium 7 million throughout the world Slide 19 Belgacom Company presentation Investor Relations Q1 2013 results per business unit Consumer Business Unit (CBU) Enterprise Business Unit (EBU) Service Delivery Engine &Wholesale (SDE&W) Staff and Support (S&S) Belgacom International Carries Services (BICS) 20 20 Slide Consumer - P&L Pressure on Direct Margin partially offset by cost containment CBU revenue (EUR mio) 61 0 -4.2% – – 59 0 57 0 579 55 0 571 572 577 575 587 581 553 53 0 – 51 0 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 CBU Cost of Sales (EUR mio) -8.2% 19 0 182 17 0 15 0 149 158 168 162 157 166 Regulation (€-7m or -1.1%); this excluded revenue -3.1% YoY Pressure on Mobile revenue , continued Fixed Voice erosion, part of The Phone House stores sold Partly offset by growth of TV and Fixed Internet Q113 21 0 13 0 Revenue impacted by: Q1’ 13 Cost of Sales 8.2% lower YoY – – – 149 11 0 Positive impact of regulation (lowered MTRs) Improved sales channel mix (focus on own shops) Partial sale of The Phone House stores 90 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 CBU Personnel & Non-HR costs (EUR mio) 20 0 Personnel 18 0 16 0 14 0 12 0 10 0 Lower HR expenses, -1.2% ; driven by lower headcount, partially offset by wage indexation. Non-HR expenses 8.1% down, mainly driven by cost optimization initiatives and partial divesture of The Phone House stores Q1’13 segment result of € 248 m, i.e. - 1.6% YoY. -4.3% Non-HR 74 71 84 74 73 77 86 68 85 86 87 89 87 91 87 88 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 80 60 40 20 0 CBU EBITDA (EUR mio) & margin 46.8% 32 0 30 0 -1.6% 45.0% 26 0 24 0 43.7% 40.8% 28 0 271 257 22 0 233 20 0 252 40.6% 44.7% 41.8% 44.9% 263 234 45 .0% 40 .0% 243 248 18 0 – – 50 .0% 35 .0% Regulation impact of €-2 m or -0.8% Limited decline: sound Fixed revenues & cost control Segment contribution margin up 1.2 p.p. YoY 30 .0% Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 Slide 21 Consumer - Fixed voice Fixed Voice Voice line price increase results in fairlydecline flat ARPU, line erosion largely Fixed erosion stable; revenue continued to persist explaining revenue decline Fixed voice revenue (EUR mio) 14 0 -5.0% 13 0 – – 12 0 11 0 10 0 115 111 110 110 Q311 Q411 Q112 90 Fixed Voice revenue erosion limited to -5% YoY 105 105 105 104 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 YoY line erosion price indexation of Feb’13 giving some relief 80 Q211 Voice line loss & EOP (000) 50 1,870 1,839 1,818 1,780 1,758 1,737 1,718 1,693 Fixed Voice customer base of 1,693,000 end Q1’13 Fairly stable Fixed Voice ARPU, with price indexation giving some support Total traffic flat YoY 2,0 30 30 1,5 30 10 -10 -26 -21 -31 -20 -22 * Q112 -50 Q211 -18 -21 * -30 Q311 Q411 -26 53 0 30 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 Fixed voice ARPU (EUR/month) -0.5% 20.0 19.7 19.8 20.2 19.7 19.7 20.0 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 20.1 Q113 Traffic (mio min) Stable 977 936 Q211 Q311 1,036 1,086 1,027 Q411 Q112 1,0 30 Q212 965 Q312 1,060 1,086 Q412 – Positive trend driven by an uptake in Happy Time XL, allowing free off-peak calls Q113 *Q1 2012 real line loss, differs from QoQ EOP difference due to re-segmentation exercise at start of 2012 Slide 22 Consumer – Mobile Voice Mobile Voice revenue under pressure; Postpaid customer base back to growth with 26,000 net adds Mobile voice revenue (EUR mio) -23.2% 14 0 12 0 147 143 136 10 0 130 123 133 120 80 Q1’13 Mobile Voice revenue -23.2% YoY: – – 16 0 100 Driven by regulatory impacts & especially by lower Prepaid customer base and repricing of mobile Postpaid 60 40 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 Mobile growth & EOP (000) 17 0 12 0 70 20 3,805 3,805 3,811 3,748 3,726 3,774 3 48 32 10 3,9 50 3,643 5 3,561 -62 -13 0 -18 0 Q211 Q311 Q411 * Q112 3,4 50 – 3,3 50 3,0 50 Q212 Q312 Q412 Postpaid +26,000 : revised price plans and marketing efforts turned customer growth back to positive Prepaid -108,000: Prepaid market shrinking with new telco law lowering contract barriers Q113 MoU slightly up YoY to 102.2 minutes/user/month Net Voice ARPU at € 9.5, or -18.6% YoY 103.6 103.8 101.5 104.7 100.5 101.7 102.2 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 Blended net voice ARPU (EUR/month) 13.4 3,6 50 3,1 50 +0.7% Q211 – 3,7 50 3,2 50 -105 MoU (min/month) 106.6 End Q1’13 Mobile customer base of 3,561,000 cards 3,5 50 -82 -30 -80 3,8 50 12.9 12.2 11.6 12.0 11.1 -18.6% 12.0 – 11.1 Impacted by Postpaid repricing of December 2012 ,with more abundant tariff plans 9.5 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 *i.e. Mobile net adds differ from QoQ EOP difference due to re-segmentation exercise at start of 2012 Slide 23 Consumer - Fixed Data Continued Fixed Internet revenue growth driven by price indexation and growing customer base Fixed data revenue (EUR mio) +2.2% 88 – – 86 84 82 83 80 78 82 82 Q311 Q411 85 84 85 Q112 Q212 Q312 85 Q412 Q1’13 revenue up 2.2% YoY 87 Positively impacted by price indexation Feb’13 Continued YoY customer growth 76 74 72 Q211 Q113 Broadband growth & EOP (000) 1,136 1,138 1,156 1,159 1,169 1,181 1,193 1,203 – 1,2 10 18 21 5 * 15 10 * CBU ended Q1’13 with 1,203,000 Fixed Internet customers 1,0 10 13 12 81 0 10 +10,000 net-adds, supported by the “Internet Everywhere” offer, mainly bought in Pack 61 0 41 0 1 21 0 1 10 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 Broadband ARPU (EUR/month) -2.2% ARPU Q1’13 of € 26.3; i.e. -2.2% YoY – 27.0 26.7 26.1 26.9 26.4 26.5 26.1 26.3 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 ARPU slightly down YoY, but somewhat up from the previous quarter *i.e. Fixed Internet net adds differ from QoQ EOP difference due to re-segmentation of customers Slide 24 Consumer - Mobile Data Mobile data revenue growth trend impacted by regulation and more abundant offers age Mobile data revenue (EUR mio) Mobile Data rev stable YoY +0.1% SMS Adv Data 97 97 102 98 100 97 13 12 15 15 13 12 12 0 92 90 93 11 14 80 79 85 85 87 84 87 85 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 – – – 60 30 Revenue growth restrained by regulation SMS revenue was nearly flat (+0,3%) Advanced Mobile Data -1% : more Mobile data included in price plans, and impact from regulated price cap on retail Data roaming. 0 SMS (units/month) Stable 254 235 Q211 Q311 273 280 291 Q411 Q112 Q212 262 Q312 294 280 Q412 Q113 Blended net data ARPU (EUR/month) +5.8% 8.2 8.2 8.5 8.5 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 9.0 8.7 9.0 9.0 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 SMS usage stable YoY at 280 SMS/Month Mobile Data ARPU up 5.8% YoY to € 9.0 – More customers having a price plan including Mobile data Slide 25 Belgacom TV Continued TV revenue growth through larger TV customer base and higher ARPU TV revenue (EUR mio) +16.9% 53 51 53 55 57 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 61 62 64 Q312 Q412 Q113 – – TV growth & EOP (000) 10 0 1,340 1,386 1,412 1,211 1,254 1,301 1,087 1,139 80 1,2 00 60 80 0 20 59 52 72 Continued growth of subscribers Price increase of rented settop box Continued customer growth – – 1,4 00 1,0 00 40 TV revenue +16.9% YoY driven by Total customer base of 1,412,000; +16.9% YoY Total includes 242,000 multiple streams 60 0 43 48 39 46 26 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 0 40 0 20 0 0 Q211 Q311 Q411 TV ARPU (EUR/month) +4.5% 19.2 Q211 Q1 TV ARPU of EUR 18.3 , a 4.5% growth YoY – 17.8 17.5 17.6 17.6 18.1 18.2 18.3 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 Supported by the price increase for rented settop boxes Slide 26 Tango Luxembourg Tango revenue (EUR mio) +7.1% 26 28 28 27 28 28 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 28 30 29 Q412 Q113 – Q211 260 Q311 264 Q411 266 Q112 268 Q212 270 Q312 271 Q412 Postpaid customer growth, including ongoing migration of prepaid towards postpaid offers. Tango acquired 3,000 new Mobile customers in the first quarter 2013. End 2012, Tango launched a Quadplay offer and was the first to offer a full 4G coverage in Luxembourg The ARPU increased to EUR 30.1, i.e. 6.1% YoY Tango mobile customers EOP (000) 256 Q1 revenue +7.1% YoY 273 Q113 Blended mobile net ARPU (EUR/month) +6.1% 28.1 29.3 29.1 28.4 29.2 29.5 30.7 30.1 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 – – Positive impact from prepaid to postpaid migration Partly offset by a decline in roaming revenues due to the EU regulation Slide 27 Enterprise – quarterly P&L EBU revenue (EUR mio) 64 0 -4.4% 62 0 60 0 593 58 0 572 56 0 591 579 576 54 0 560 Q1 YoY decline of 4.4% in context of unfavorable economy and stiff competition – – 579 554 52 0 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 EBU Cost of Sales (EUR mio) 20 0 19 0 17 0 16 0 160 15 0 154 14 0 164 149 157 163 150 Q1’13 CoS -0.7% YoY – – -0.7% 18 0 148 13 0 Regulation impact of € -17m (-2.9%) in Q1 Q1 underlying revenue limited to -1.5% YoY : ICT growth partly offsetting increased pressure on mobile positive effect from lower MTRs, more than offsetting the unfavorable evolution of EBU’s overall product mix on the Cost of Sales. 12 0 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 EBU Personnel & Non-HR costs (EUR mio) Personnel +4.1% Non-HR 16 0 14 0 12 0 10 0 80 60 37 34 36 40 39 39 41 38 98 93 96 99 102 102 100 107 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 40 20 Q1’13 Non-HR 4.7% lower YoY with Q1 2012 including a negative currency effect Q1’13 HR cost up 7.6%YoY higher headcount and salary indexation 0 EBU EBITDA (EUR mio) & margin -10.4% 50.3% 50.9% 50.0% 50.2% 48.3% 48.0% 47.6% 39 5 47.0% 55 .0% 34 5 50 .0% 29 5 24 5 19 5 45 .0% 298 291 296 291 14 5 278 268 276 40 .0% 260 – – lower Direct margin (regulation & product mix) higher HR-expenses 35 .0% 30 .0% 95 25 .0% 45 20 .0% -5 Lower Q1’13 segment result due: 15 .0% Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 Slide 28 Enterprise - Fixed Voice Fixed Voice revenue first quarter 2013 impacted by regulation and line erosion Fixed voice revenue (EUR mio) -4.8% 14 0 13 0 12 0 125 11 0 121 122 Q311 Q411 124 120 118 119 118 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 10 0 90 Q211 Q112 Voice line loss & EOP (000) 20 1,412 1,400 1,385 1,394 1,379 1,370 1,356 1,338 1,9 00 1,7 00 1,5 00 Q1 revenue decline of -4.8% YoY Including negative regulation effect from lowered F2M tariffs 1 January 2013 Revenue decline driven by YoY line loss Fixed Line erosion Q1’13 of -18,000 lines, stable vs Q1 2012 Enterprises rationalising on Fixed voice lines Q1’13 ARPU slightly down YoY to € 28.7 1,3 00 1,1 00 -9 0 -13 -13 -14 -15 -18 90 0 -14 70 0 -18 -20 50 0 30 0 10 0 -10 0 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 * Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 Fixed voice ARPU (EUR/month) – – -0.8% 28.9 28.1 28.6 28.9 28.4 27.9 28.6 28.7 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 Traffic (mio min) -7.7% 732 Q211 672 Q311 716 754 Q411 Q112 699 Q212 636 Q312 686 695 Q412 Q113 Negative effect from reduced F2M (Jan’13) Partially offset by positive effect from price indexation (Feb’13)) Q1 Fixed Voice traffic was 7.7% lower YoY driven by: – – fixed line erosion lower usage per line *Fixed line loss differ s from QoQ EOP difference due to re-segmentation exercise at start of 2012 and inclusion of business trunking Slide 29 Enterprise - Mobile Voice Enterprise - on Mobile Voice Continued pressure Mobile Voice revenue; growing Mobile customer Solid basecustomer growth, revenue under pressure due to pricing and regulation Mobile voice revenue (EUR mio) 13 0 -16.7% 12 0 – – 11 0 10 0 115 90 110 108 106 102 100 96 88 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 80 Q1’13 Mobile voice revenue of € 88m, -16.7% YoY regulated MTR and Voice Roaming prices Pricing plans and competitive mobile market. 70 60 50 40 Q211 Mobile growth & EOP (000) 1.449 1.470 1.486 1.516 1.357 1.380 1.408 1.413 1.5 00 – – 1.3 00 30 22 36 29 1.1 00 22 30 21 16 Q312 Q412 90 0 70 0 0 Solid Mobile customer growth in Q1’13 in spite of aggressive competitor moves in the business market 50 0 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 * Q212 Q113 MOU (min/month) -5.3% 328.3 Q211 – Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 -22.1% Q211 Customer churn Q4 2012 triggered by new telco law included high-user profiles, bringing average usage down Q113 Net voice ARPU (EUR/month) 28.7 Q1 5.3% lower usage YoY 327.8 326.6 305.0 322.8 293.3 314.3 310.2 Q311 Retention efforts paying off 30,000 net mobile cards added, with especially Voice cards doing better than previous quarter 26.9 25.9 25.3 23.7 22.9 21.6 19.7 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 Q1’13 Mobile Voice ARPU of €19.7, -22.1% YoY: – – – Regulation impact: MTR cut and lower Voice Roaming rates Mobile re-pricing, with more free voice minutes included in price plans High-usage customers that churned end 2012 *i.e. Mobile net adds differ from QoQ EOP difference due to re-segmentation exercise and cleaning in-active cards at start of 2012 Slide 30 Enterprise - Fixed Data Enterprise - impacted Fixed by Data Fixed Data revenue migrations to Explore platform and Slightly revenue Packs trend continued; Internet customer base fairly stable uptakepositive of converged with internet Fixed data revenue (EUR mio) 10 2 -3.0% – 10 0 98 96 97 94 97 96 99 Q1’13 Fixed Data revenue €96 m, -3.0% vs 2012 99 96 95 96 Q312 Q412 Q113 Continued migration from older technologies to the Belgacom Explore platform, for which pricing is more favorable for customers 92 90 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Broadband growth & EOP (000) 436 434 434 446 445 444 443 444 43 0 11 38 0 0 0 1 2 33 0 28 0 23 0 18 0 -2 -10 Q211 * Q311 Q411 * Q112 -2 * Q212 -1 -1 Q312 Q412 13 0 SME customers opting more and more for advantageous converged Packs including internet. EBU added 1000 customers, in a saturated and increasingly competitive professional Fixed Internet market 80 30 Q113 Broadband ARPU (EUR/month) -1.2% 39.3 39.1 38.9 39.5 39.0 39.1 38.8 39.0 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 Q1’13 ARPU of €39.0 slightly down YoY, though stable with previous quarters *i.e. Fixed Internet net adds differ from QoQ EOP difference due to re-segmentation of customers Slide 31 Enterprise – Mobile Data Regulated price caps pressuring both SMS and advanced Mobile data revenue Mobile data revenue (EUR mio) 80 SMS € 53m Mobile Data revenue, i.e. -5.9% YoY -5.9% ADV Data – 70 60 56 58 53 56 57 28 32 31 31 32 30 28 28 24 24 26 26 26 25 26 25 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 55 54 53 – 50 40 30 20 Q1’13 non-SMS Data revenue € 28m, -7.2% YoY fully due to negative regulated price effect. Q1’13 SMS revenue -4.2%; including minor regulation impact, and especially effect of price bundles including unlimited SMS 10 0 SMS (units/month) +10.5% 90 87 96 107 112 105 118 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 118 -12.0% 13.8 13.7 13.5 13.5 12.6 – Mobile Data ARPU down 12% YoY to €11.8 – 12.2 11.8 – Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Success of pricing plans, including more and more unlimited SMS volumes. Q113 Net data ARPU (EUR/month) 13.2 Continued uptake in SMS usage, growing 10.5 % YoY to 118 text messages per user per month Growth trend reversed since 1 July 2012 due to regulated price caps for Mobile Data roaming aggressive competitor moves on business market Q113 Slide 32 Enterprise ICT Enterprise –- ICT ICT revenue up by 6.1% on like-for-like basis in challenging Solid ICT revenue, showing 4.2% growth economic context Q1’13 ICT revenue +4.2% YoY to €174m – – Seasonally slower quarter , Growth somewhat contained due to customers delaying IT projects or opting for private Cloudbased solutions, which triggers a shift from oneshot revenue to monthly services fees. ICT revenue (EUR mio) 22 0 +4.2% 21 0 20 0 19 0 18 0 17 0 16 0 163 15 0 186 182 177 167 172 167 Q112 Q212 Q312 174 14 0 13 0 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q412 Q113 Slide 33 Service & Wholesale – P&L livery & Delivery Wholesale - P&L SDE&W revenue (EUR mio) -3.0% 98 88 83 78 73 68 80 77 80 78 76 75 76 75 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 63 Q1 revenue -3% YoY driven by slowing wholesale revenue – – – 93 58 53 SDE&W Cost of Sales (EUR mio) +12.6% 12 Regulatory measures reduced the Q1 revenue by 1.3%. lower traffic volumes , decline in wholesale leased lines the impact from decreasing Roaming prices was more than offset by higher Roaming volumes CoS Q1’13 included higher CPE sales Operating expenses for Q1’13 up 4.7% YoY 10 8 6 4 2 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 11 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 0 SDE&W Personnel & Non-HR costs (EUR mio) Personnel Non-HR – +4.7% 14 0 12 0 10 0 80 60 33 48 42 48 50 41 48 50 50 50 50 43 43 46 43 45 Q211** Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 40 20 0 SDE&W EBITDA (EUR mio) 0 -10 -12 -30 -20 -21 -23 -26 -21 – -25 Q1 Non-HR 4.7% higher YoY, due to increased use of external resources to support simplification projects Q1 HR expenses up 4.6% YoY : inflation-based salary increases of March 2012 and January 2013, while headcount was lower YoY Q1 segment result YoY lower due to lower Direct margin combined with higher expenses -30 -30 -34.4% -40 -50 -60 Q211** Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 ** Q2 2011 and Q4 2011 impacted by one-off reversal of provision due to litigation settlement Slide 34 Staff & support - P&L Staff & Support – P&L S&S Revenue(EUR mio) +109.0% 30 • Q1’13 revenue of € 18m included a capital gain of € 11m realised by Belgacom resulting from the sale of a technical building as part of Belgacom’s ongoing network simplification plan. • HR-expenses were higher YoY driven by inflation-based wage indexations ,partially offset by the benefit from lower headcount compared to end March 2012. • Stable YoY Non-HR expenses for Q1’13 25 25 20 18 15 10 5 7 8 9 7 7 11 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 0 Q211 Q311 Q113 * Internal invoice; neutral on group level S&S Personnel costs (EUR mio) 48 46 +6.7% 44 42 40 38 40 36 40 40 37 34 38 40 38 40 32 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 S&S Non-HR costs (EUR mio) 90 80 -0.8% 70 60 66 50 40 30 20 61 41 67 50 50 49 Q112 Q212 Q312 50 10 0 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q412 Q113 Slide 35 International Carrier Services International Carrier Services – P&L P&L • BICS Revenue (EUR mio) +9.1 44 0 42 0 40 0 38 0 388 36 0 401 401 409 424 430 – 417 382 – – 34 0 32 0 30 0 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 • BICS Gross margin (EUR mio) Non-Voice +9.9% Voice 80 60 20 26 28 27 25 30 31 29 28 29 31 31 31 32 32 34 33 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 Voice revenue +7.7% YoY: strong increase in traffic to African region and a temporary traffic increase to the Asian region. Volume driven growth partly offset by EU-wide MTR reduction. Mobile data revenue +20% with messaging volumes +40% Gross margin Q1’13 up 9.9% YoY – – 10 0 40 Solid revenue growth continued in Q1’13 Gross margin Voice + 7.8% YoY Gross margin non-Voice + 12.4% YoY 0 BICS EBITDA (EUR mio) & margin +23.9% 50 7.5% 8.7% 8.3% 7.3% 8.4% 8.3% 7.3% 7.3% 32 35 • Consequently to solid Direct margin growth and somewhat lower operating expenses (HR +non-HR) BICS’ segment result for the first quarter 2013 was up by € 7m (+24%), and the EBITDA margin ended 1pp higher at 8.3%. • • Voice volumes: Q1 up 5.2% to 7.3 billion minutes Non-Voice volumes Q1 up 40% to 451 million messages 10 .0% 40 5.0 % 35 30 20 29 33 28 34 35 0 -10 .0% Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 BICS Volumes (in mio) SMS/MMS Minutes 253 276 315 323 361 428 6,997 6,853 7,018 6,907 6,984 6,934 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 445 8,2 00 7,7 00 7,2 00 6,7 00 0.0 % -5.0 % 10 6,2 00 7,556 451 7,267 5,7 00 5,2 00 Q412 Q113 Slide 36 Belgacom Company presentation Investor Relations Work In Progress Ytd September 2010 results in detail Other topics Other topics • Consumer Business Unit (CBU) Enterprise Business • Pricing – slide 46 • •Shareholder structure – slide 38Unit (EBU) Serviceremuneration Delivery Engine • Regulation & legal – slide 52 • •Shareholder - slide 39&Wholesale (SDE&W) • Belgian economy – slide 56 Staff and Support (S&S) • •Network & Spectrum – slide 40 • Belgacom International Carries Services (BICS) 37 Slide 37 Shareholder structure Belgian state owns ~ 53.5% 338,025,135 shares, of which 318,560,303 Outstanding • Limited liability company under public law - Belgian state main shareholder: 53.5% - Legal obliged threshold: 50%+1 share Own Shares; 5.8% • Free float 40.7% • Treasury shares 5.8% Belgian State; 53.5% Free Float; 40.7% - Under Belgian law, companies prohibited from owning >20% of outstanding share capital - Part of own shares held for personnel incentives: Options and DSPP Status 31 Mar 2013 Shares % shares % Voting % Dividend Belgian state 180,887,569 53.5% 56.8% 56.0% Free float 137,672,734 40.7% 43.2% 42.6% Own shares 19,464,832 5.8% - 1.4% Slide 38 Belgacom intends to ensure its shareholders an attractive return Shareholder remuneration SBB Dividends Dividend per share & dividend yield % of FCF Mio € 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Interim dividend 150% 120% 6.1% 60% 30% 0% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Seri… Dividend Yield* 5.7% 5.5% 1.93 1.52 90% 1.38 1.52 0.55 2004 Extra dividend 2005 Normal dividend 8.0% 8.2% 11.2% 8.7% 9.0% 6.5% 2.49 2.18 2.18 2.08 2.18 2.18 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 0.29 0.50 0.50 0.40 0.50 0.50 0.31 0.50 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* 1.89 1.60 1.68 *Dividend yield based on annual dividend & share price end of year Slide 39 Global network strategy Value enablers for a convergent interconnected world Belgacom has all assets in hands to cope with a changing telecom ecosystem Mobile network • Mobile network innovation driving leadership superiority Fixed network • Fixed network innovation driving customer value Network simplification • Network simplification driving efficiency 40 3G+ upgrade for superior mobile data experience Fiber speeds on copper with vectoring and dynamic line management Leaner operations through network simplification 4G roll out as important enabler of our convergence strategy Speed acceleration with FTTH in new zonings Combined with strong product & process simplification Slide 40 Mobile network Belgacom is determined to remain the best mobile operator for all type of customers. By mid Q2 the 3G+ upgrade be finalised, bringing 8 Mbps download & up-to-21 Mbps top speeds, 42 Mbps for dual carrier devices Best mobile 3G network 1 Leader in Coverage Best nationwide outdoor coverage: 99.98% 2G; > 97.3% 3G Further boosting the experience with the 3G+ upgrade 1 • 30% average speed increase & top speed increase with HSPA+ • 70% increase of overall network capacity for data 2 Best 3G indoor coverage, significantly better than competitors: 3G indoor coverage > 90%1 2 • Leader in Speed Fastest down- and upload speed available in the market1 1 Source: As measured by independent agency CommSquare during Q1 2013 drive tests Mobile data usage still in early stages with 35% of devices on our network being 3G compatible Important market value with customers having devices not supporting 4G yet, both now and in future Belgacom is determined to maintain its mobile leadership through investment in 4G roll-out First to launch 4G 1• By end Q2’13, another 11 major cities will be covered with 4G, including the main Belgian coastal cities 2• High speed backhauling deployed for fast data transmission Only 4G deployment in Brussels if regulatory framework is changed Further roll-out of 4G • 4G further improves mobile speed experience to average 1 20-30Mbps speed with peak speeds up to 50-60Mbps • 4G is deployed in existing 1800Mhz spectrum 2 New 2600Mhz spectrum will be used for targeted capacity & performance Slide 41 Mobile network Spectrum - Belgian situation - Spectrum: The Belgian situation • 900 & 1800 MHzMHz 900MHz MHz & 1800 • Used for 2G, 3G and 4G • Belgian operators allowed to deploy UMTS in 900 MHz spectrum (more efficient in rural areas) and 4G in 1800 MHz • Tacit extension: BGC has to pay €74m for 2010-2015; via annual payments. BGC filed annulment procedure. 800 MHz Unallocated 2 x 10 900 MHz Proximus 2 x 12 1800 MHz 2100 MHz 2600 MHz 2100 MHz 2600 MHz 800 MHz • 900 MHz & 1800 MHz • Used for 3G • Proximus, Mobistar & Base each have 1 UMTS license since 2001 • BGC paid € 150m • 2 Aug ‘11, BIPT awarded 4th license to Telenet/Voo for an amount of € 71.5m (2X 14.8 MHz) • all licenses expire in 2021 • Will be used for 4G • Out of 5 candidates, 4 have obtained spectrum in 2.6 GHz band • Belgacom acquired 2x20 MHz for an amount of € 20.22 Mio. • License is valid for 15 years as from July 2012 DRAFT conditions: • Auction of 3 lots of 2x10 MHz • Minimum price of € 120m per lot • License for 20 years • Spectrum cap of 2x10 MHz. • No spectrum reserved for new entrants. • Coverage obligations • National roaming may be imposed by BIPT. • Process expected to be completed by end 2013. Unallocated 2 x 10 Unallocated 2 x 10 Mobistar Base 2 x 12 2 x 10.8 Proximus 2 x 20,8 Proximus 2 x 15 Proximus 2 x 20 Mobistar 2 x 20,8 1x 5 Mobistar 2 x 15 Mobistar 2 x 20 Unallocated 2 x 11.4 Base 2 x 22 1x5 Base 2 x 15 Base 2 x 15 1x5 Telenet / Voo 1x5 2 x 14.8 Unallocated 2 x 15 BUCD 1 x 45 Slide 42 Fixed network - Dynamic Line Management & Vectoring Substantially increased bandwidth with Dynamic Line Management (DLM). Vectoring to be deployed Fast-track Dynamic Line Management 1• A speed profile is applied to a VDSL2 line in function of the line distance Powerful vectoring technology 1• Crosstalk is interference between copper pairs in same cable 2• Line characteristics however often allow higher speeds 2• Crosstalk limits the achievable speed on VDSL DLM monitors stability of lines and dynamically applies maximum possible speed when a line is sufficiently stable Vectoring cancels crosstalk in the copper cables resulting in a significant bit rate increase of copper lines DLM is an in-house developed technology and improved the average speed experience with 30% Vectoring brings up-to-70 Mbps speeds and 15 Mbps upstream Belgacom is in better position to increase speed then other EU peers thanks to our access strategy over past years with a strong Fiber-The-The-Curb network topology and a dense 86% VDSL2 coverage How we are ahead of other EU operators How we will further increase speed soon after • Belgacom is the first operator in the world to deploy 1 vectoring on this scale • Only operator with an in-house developed technology to 2 bring speed at maximum line capabilities Strong Regulatory Framework was negotiated, disentangling all blocking points required for full-fledged vectoring DLM will be applied on top of our Vectored lines to further increase speeds up-to-100 Mbps Slide 43 Fixed network - Speed acceleration in coming years Belgacom will start with Fiber-To-The-Home (FTTH) deployment in new residential zonings in 2013. Future evolutions of speed acceleration is currently described by Pair Bonding and G.fast & Fiber evolution. Speed evolution in Mbps 2013 to >2018 FTTH in new zonings G.Fast & Fiber evolution 1 • FTTH will be deployed in new • G.fast technology is currently 1 analysed by standardization bodies • Fiber costs are comparable to copper 2 • Both evolutions aim at bringing fiber 2 distribution close to the customer FTTH offers speeds up-to-200 Mbps Evolution brings speeds up-to-1000 Mbps residential zonings as of S2 2013 for new residential zonings Pair Bonding of VDSL lines 1 • Pair bonding increases bit rate by combining speed of 2 VDSL lines 2 • Both lines will be vectored and controlled by DLM Pair Bonding brings speeds up-to200 Mbps Slide 44 Network simplification Leaner operations through a simplified all-IP-network Program aims at simplifying our network and decreasing operational costs. In its ambition to be an agile company, Belgacom will also focus on substantially simplifying its IT and product portfolios Approach in simplifying our networks Operational benefits from network simplification Transformation – Physical removal of legacy technologies, PSTN switches and technical buildings •1 Lower cost to maintain – Lower maintenance, utility, powering and building cost of building facilities Consolidation – Migration of products & services to the new IP based network Automation – Optimization of network architecture towards fully automated customer activation •2 Higher efficiency to operate – Substantial cost savings in operating the network through efficiency increase of field force •3 Better customer experience with instant servicing – Significant simplification & agility gain with one network for al services Simplification+ goals 1 • Outphasing of legacy equipment 3• Eliminate technical buildings 2 • Full fiber to the street cabinet 4• Fully automated customer activation First wave includes outphasing of 30 buildings and outphasing of our legacy ATM and PSTN switching Combined with product & process simplification Slide 45 Pricing – Fixed products Happy time international Classic Happy Time XL No Limit National Anytime 19.99€ / month 19.99€ / month 29.67€ / month Note: Lower tariffs during peak compared to Happy Time Free to FIX & to MOB during OffPeak & Weekend Free to FIX Anytime Free to FIX ,to MOB & to most European countries during OffPeak & Weekend Peak: 8-19h Peak: 8-17h 24/24 Peak: 8-17h Internet Start Internet Comfort Internet Maxi 24.95€ / month 35.95€ / month 46.20€ / month Volume incl: 150 GB Download speed: 50 Mbps Upload speed: 3 Mbps 3G: 100 MB Volume incl: Unlimited Download speed: 50 Mbps Upload speed: 4 Mbps 3G: 250 MB + 100 MB 3G + hotspot access + 250 MB 3G + unlimited hotspot access Volume incl: 100 GB Download speed: 50 Mbps Upload speed: 2.5 Mbps 3G: 50 MB + 50 MB 3G + hotspot access 20.99€ / month All download speeds increased from 30 Mbps to 50 Mbps since the deployment of the DLM technology in Q1’13 TV 21.5€ / month 70 channels 3 TV Parental control Slide 46 Pricing – Mobile Voice (Postpaid) in Q1’13 For Voice centric customers For Smartphone users For SMS centric customers Easy 10 Easy 15 Easy 25 10€ / month 15€ / month 10€/month PACK 25€ / month 20€/month PACK 50 min ATAN + 50 SMS 100 min ATAN + 100 SMS 100 min ATAN + Unlimited evening & we + 100 SMS € 0.20 / min ATAN € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.85 / MB € 0.20 / min ATAN € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.85 / MB € 0.20 / min ATAN € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.85 / MB Smart 20 Smart 35 Smart 45 Smart 75 20€ / month 15€/month PACK 35€ / month 30€/month PACK 75€ / month 60€/month PACK 120 min ATAN + Unlimited sms ATAN + 1 GB incl 400 min ATAN + + Unlimited SMS ATAN + 2,5 GB incl € 0.20 / min ATAN € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.10 / MB 120 min ATAN + Unlimited Evening and we + Unlimited SMS ATAN + 1,5 GB incl € 0.20 / min ATAN € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.10 / MB 45€ / month 40€/month PACK Unlimited voice ATAN + Unlimited SMS ATAN + 5 GB incl. Unlimited / min ATAN € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.10 / MB included Generation MTV 10 Generation MTV 15 Generation MTV 25 10€ / month 15€ / month 10€/month PACK 15 min ATAN + Unlimited SMS ATAN + 10 MB incl 100 min ATAN + Unlimited SMS ATAN + 500 MB incl 25€ / month 20€/month PACK € 0.25 / min ATAN € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.50 / MB € 0.25 / min ATAN € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.10 / MB € 0.15 / min ATAN € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.10 / MB 150 min ATAN + Unlimited SMS ATAN + 1 GB incl. € 0.25 / min ATAN € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.10 / MB Slide 47 Pricing – Mobile Voice (Postpaid) as from Q2’13 For nonSmartphone users For Smartphone users Easy+ 10 Easy+ 15 Easy+ 25 Easy+ 55 10€ / month 15€ / month 10€/month PACK 20 min ATAN + unlimited SMS 150 min ATAN + unlimited SMS 25€ / month 20€/month PACK 55€ / month 45€/month PACK 240 min ATAN unlimited SMS Unlimited min ATAN unlimited SMS € 0.25 / min ATAN € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.85 / MB € 0.25 / min ATAN € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.85 / MB € 0.25 / min ATAN € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.85 / MB Unlimited min ATAN € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.85 / MB Smart+ 15 Smart + 25 Smart+ 35 Smart+ 65 15€ / month 10€/month PACK 25€ / month 20€/month PACK 65€ / month 55€/month PACK 120 min ATAN + Unlimited sms ATAN +0,5GB incl 180 min ATAN + + Unlimited SMS ATAN + 1 GB incl 35€ / month 30€/month PACK € 0.25 / min ATAN € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.10 / MB € 0.25 / min ATAN € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.10 / MB 300 min ATAN + + Unlimited SMS ATAN + 2 GB incl € 0.25 / min ATAN € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.10 / MB Unlimited voice ATAN + Unlimited SMS ATAN + 5 GB incl. Unlimited / min ATAN € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.10 / MB included Slide 48 Pricing – Mobile Voice (Prepaid) as from Q2’13 Reload bonus For nonSmartphone users For Pay&Go Easy you get : Pay & Go Easy € 0.27/ min ATAN € 0.12 / SMS ATAN € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.5 /MB • Bonus 1 (towards fix and Mobile 10€ reload= 20min, 15€ reload= 40min, 25€ reload= 70min, 50€ reload= 200 min OR Bonus 2 (towards fix): 10€ reload=150 min, 15€ reload=600 min, 25€ reload=unlimited min, 50€ reload=unlimited Reload bonus For Smartphone users Pay & Go Smart € 0.50 / min AN Peak € 0.25 / min OffPeak € 0.12 / SMS Peak € 0.08 / SMS OffPeak € 0.25 / MMS ATAN € 0.5/MB For Pay&Go Smart you get: • Bonus 10€ Reload: unltd. SMS OffPeak + 10 MB • Bonus 15€ Reload: unltd. SMS ATAN + 100 MB • Bonus 25€ Reload: unltd. SMS ATAN + 500 MB Peak: 7 – 16h Slide 49 Pricing – Mobile Data Standard Internet on GSM Start Internet on GSM Comfort Internet on GSM Favorite Blackberry service 4.99€ / month 9.99€ / month 19.99€ / month 18.15€ / month 50 MB incl. 500 MB incl. 2 GB incl. 500 MB incl. €0.1 / MB €0.03 / MB €0.03 / MB €0.10 / MB 0.5€ / MB (prepaid ) Or 0.85€/MB (postpaid) Pay & Surf 2.99€ 25 MB 4.99€ 50 MB 9.99€ 250 MB included General Prepaid Only Post-paid Only GSM Only Laptop & Tablet Only iPad Only Laptop Only Prepaid Only Prepaid Only Pay & Surf 10€ 200 MB 15€ 300 MB 25€ 500 MB 50€ 1 GB Daily Comfort Favorite Favorite for iPad Pay & Surf for iPad 4.99€ / month + 1€/day of surf 19.99€ / month 34.99€ / month 24.99€ / month 10€ 2 GB incl. 4 GB incl. 3 GB incl. 500MB incl. 1 GB incl. €0.03 / MB €0.03 / MB €0.03 / MB included Reload 15€> in 30d: +50% data volume included 5€ reduction if you are already a BGC fixed internet customer (if you use more – usage is free but at a lower speed) included Slide 50 Pricing converged PACKS As from 1 Jul’13, the rates of Packs including internet go up: + € 2 for Start + € 3 for Comfort + € 1 for Maxi In exchange, customers get more volume, more speed & more TV TV + Fix TV + Internet 35.75€ / month TV comfort + Classic (or Happy Time XL) 50.95€ / month Fix+ Internet TV comfort + Internet Comfort +Unlimited volume +Unlimited hotspot access +250 MB 3G 50.95€ / month Deezer premium Free with Generation packs. Classic (or Happy Time XL) + Internet Comfort +Unlimited volume +Unlimited hotspot access +250 MB 3G TV + Fix + Internet 59.95€ / month TV + Mobile + Internet TV comfort + Classic (or Happy Time XL) + Internet Comfort +Unlimited volume +Unlimited hotspot access +250 MB 3G 60.95€ / month TV + Fix + Mobile + Internet TV comfort + Smart+/Easy+ 15 + Internet Comfort +Unlimited volume +Unlimited hotspot access +250 MB 3G 69.95€ / month TV comfort + Classic (or Happy Time XL) + Smart+/Easy+ 15 + Internet Comfort +Unlimited volume +Unlimited hotspot access +250 MB 3G Slide 51 Regulation – 1 Overview financial impact Regulation impacts (Decrease in EUR million) Estimated Impact Actuals FY 2013 Q1 2013 ~ €45m €10m ~ €5m €1m MTR & flow-through Fix-to-Mob Revenue Roaming (i.e. Voice, SMS and Data) Revenue ~ €48m €15m EBITDA ~ €48m €15m Revenue EBITDA ~ €93m ~ €53m €24m €15m Total EBITDA • Over the first quarter of 2013, Belgacom’s revenues were negatively impacted for a total amount of EUR 24 million by regulation measures. On the EBITDA level, this came down to an impact of EUR 15 million. • For the full year 2013, the estimated total impact of regulatory measures on revenues is expected to be EUR -93 million. This would result in an EBITDA impact of EUR -53 million. Slide 52 Regulation – 2 Mobile Termination Rates (MTR) MTR-Glidepath in €ct 11.43 9.02 – Glidepath in place since August 2010. Full symmetry effective since 1 January 2013 – – MTR decreases reflected in F2M tariffs of BGC 7.2 4.62 4.62 Before* * 3.94 3.83 01-Aug-10** Proximus 01-Jan-11* Mobistar 2.62 2.62 01-Jan-12* 1.08 1.18 01-Jan-13* Before* 01-Aug-10* 7.2 9.02 11.43 4.62 5.05 5.81 3.94 4.29 4.90 2.62 2.79 3.11 1.18 1.18 1.18 -36% -44% -49% -15% -15% -16% -34% -35% -36% -55% -58% -62% 9% 26% 9% 24% 6% 19% 0% 0% 25% 59% • Suspension procedure: On 15 Feb 2011, Court rejected all the claims • Annulment procedure: On 16 May 2012, Court rejected claims regarding the price setting but asked notification to the Community regulators. In the meantime, rates remain valid. MTR regulation impact 2013 Base • MTR glide path In euro cent (excluding VAT) Proximus Mobistar Base % change Proximus Mobistar Base Asymmetry Mobistar-Prox Base-Prox Mobistar & Base filed separate appeal against decision: 01-Jan-11* 01-Jan-12* 01-Jan-13* 1 Jan 2013 MTR’s final reduction of glide path set in 2010 Actual impact on Q1 2013 financials: − Revenue: € -10m − EBITDA: € -1m MTR regulation impact for 2013 Estimated impact on FY ’13 financials: − Revenue: ~ € -45m − EBITDA: ~ € -5m *excl VAT, including inflation Slide 53 Regulation – 3 Mobile voice and data-roaming: EU Roaming III Regulation regulation • • • Roaming III Regulation entered into force on 1 July 2012. • Roaming III Regulation also foresees structural measures − Wholesale roaming access (1 July 2012) – Actual impact on Q1 2013 financials: − Revenue: ~€ -15m − EBITDA: ~€ -15m – Estimated impact on FY 13 financials: − Revenue: ~€ -48m − EBITDA: ~€ -48m This new regulation covers a ten-year period until 30 June 2022. It imposes a further lowering of the existing regulated price caps, and extended the roaming regulation to retail data as from July 2012. It also continues to impose transparency measure to avoid bill shocks and has extended the measures to roaming outside EU since July 2012. Slide 54 Regulation – 4 Decision to open-up the Belgian Cable Network On 18 July 2011, the Belgian regulators published their final decision on broadband & broadcast regulation: – On the broadcast Market – Each cable operator has ‘Significant Market Power’ in its area a is submitted to the following obligations: – resell analog TV – open up Digital TV platform – resell broadband -> Belgacom can only obtain access to analog TV On the broadband Market Belgacom’s broadband regulation is still based on the finding of sole dominance (i.e. Cable not included in the market) Based on the new decision, Belgacom has to provide: – bitstream access for television (multicast) - Belgacom alternative solution based on shared channels accepted by BIPT on 4 Jan. 2012 – reference offer approved by BIPT on 4 Oct. 2012 – pricing decision still pending – VDSL2 prices based on strict cost orientation The BIPT maintains a strong focus on operational excellence for wholesale services Appeal against regulators’ decisions Belgacom launched an appeal against (pending): • its exclusion from digital TV & broadband access on the cable networks • the non-inclusion of cable in broadband markets • the multicast and Operational Excellence in the broadband markets Cable operators’ request to suspend their regulation was rejected by the Court of Appeal in H2 2012. No timing yet for ruling on annulment. Implementation of cable regulation Belgian regulators have proposed wholesale prices for access to cable networks: retail minus 20 & 35% after deduction of author & content rights (depending on cable operator) Final regulators’ decisions about cable reference offers expected by mid-2013 with implementation by end 2013 Slide 55 Macro economic environment Belgium & Euro area - prospects Unemployment rate forecast (%)2 Belgium Euro area 11.0% 11.8% 10.1% 7.2% 7.5% 2011 2012 8.1% 2013 Belgium: Budget deficit 3.9% end ‘12 2012 Gross public Debt 99.8% of GDP Source: National Bank 1 GDP – percentage change on preceding year 2 Number of unemployed as a percentage of total labour force 3 Index of consumer prices – percentage change on preceding year Slide 56 For further information: Belgacom Investor Relations e-mail: [email protected] Tel: +32 2 202 82 41 http://www.belgacom.com Slide 57