a new look at the intergenerational home resale market
Transcription
a new look at the intergenerational home resale market
April 2016 A NEW LOOK AT THE INTERGENERATIONAL HOME RESALE MARKET This analysis of the intergenerational home market is based on transactions concluded in 2015 through the real estate brokers’ Centris® system. It presents sales trends for intergenerational homes in the province’s administrative regions and in the most active regions of Québec. A comparison with conventional single-family homes is also provided in order to highlight the differences between these two distinct markets. The aging population remains an ever-present factor that will undoubtedly influence the evolution of intergenerational cohabitation in the coming years. While the population aged 65 and over accounts for 18% of Québec’s population in 2016, it will reach 26% in 2036 as baby boomers become older. In addition, the number of households headed by a person aged 75 and over will double in the next twenty years1. As a result, many families are turning to intergenerational cohabitation as an alternative to the more traditional housing options, as it allows for mutual assistance and the ability to provide aging parents with better living conditions. Definition and features of an intergenerational home Centris® defines an intergenerational home as a single-family home that includes an additional dwelling that is used for cohabitation between parents and children. Intergenerational units most often consist of an addition to the side of the house, although they can also take the form of an added second storey, a converted basement, or an enlargement of the main floor. Because the difference between a bachelor apartment and an intergenerational home is slim, this study includes listings of single-family homes that have an additional dwelling, as they can also serve as an intergenerational unit.2 It is important to note, however, that unlike a bachelor apartment, an intergenerational home can have a single address for both dwellings. Furthermore, although a single common kitchen for both units may be acceptable under the law, we decided to exclude them from our results to ensure that they reflect two separate dwellings within one single-family home. In addition, the appearance of a conventional single-family home must be maintained so that it does not stand out in residential areas where multi-family buildings are generally not allowed due to zoning laws.3 (See the Annex for more information about the features of an intergenerational property). QFREB, L’impact des tendances démographiques sur le marché de la revente au Québec (in French), February 2016. The criteria used in this study to define an intergenerational home are different than those used in our previous analysis; thus, the results are not directly comparable. QFREB, Are Intergenerational Homes Gaining in Popularity in Québec?, September 2014 3 http://www.apchq.com/lanaudiere/fr/membres-services-techniques-communication-aux-entrepreneurs.html_residence-avec-logement-au-sous-sol-ou-maison-intergenerationnelle.html (in French) 1 2 April 2016 Evolution of the Intergenerational Home Market In 2015, 1,702 intergenerational home sales were concluded through the real estate brokers’ Centris® system, an 8% increase compared to 2014 and a 12% increase compared to 2010. In comparison, the total number of single-family home sales increased by 5% in 2015, with 52,530 transactions. In addition, if we look at the past six years, we see that the intergenerational home market generally performed better than the single-family home market. However, when analyzing intergenerational home sales as a proportion of all singlefamily home sales, we see that the proportion occupied by intergenerational homes in Québec is progressing very slowly, reaching 3.2% of the singlefamily market in 2015 (see table 1). We see that the proportion of intergenerational home sales in Québec is progressing very slowly, reaching 3.2% of the single-family market in 2015. Sales by Administrative Region The administrative region of Montérégie registered the highest number of intergenerational home sales in 2015, with a total of 382 transactions. The administrative regions of Laurentides, Lanaudière and Montréal followed with 369, 268 and 131 sales, respectively. In addition, some of the most active geographic areas for intergenerational home sales included Mirabel (50 transactions), Blainville (47 transactions), Gatineau (46 transactions) and Terrebonne (46 transactions). Table 2 shows the number of sales of intergenerational homes and conventional single-family homes in 2015. The results differ slightly when we analyze the market share occupied by intergenerational homes in the administrative regions we examined. In terms of market share, the Laurentides region (5.7%) led the way, followed by Lanaudière (4.6%) and Laval (4.2%). More specifically, the municipality of Mirabel (10.9%) once again topped the list by obtaining the highest proportion of intergenerational home sales among all single-family home sales, followed by Terrebonne (8.4%), Mascouche (8.4%) and Blainville (8.2%). Median Prices For the year 2015 in the regions we examined, the average difference between the median price of intergenerational homes and that of conventional single-family homes was $21,412, or 9% higher for intergenerational homes4 (see table 3). The Lanaudière administrative region registered the greatest difference, as the median price of intergenerational homes was $265,000, which is $45,000 more than the median price of conventional single-family homes (20%). Some of the most active geographic areas for intergenerational home sales included Mirabel (50 transactions), Blainville (47 transactions), Gatineau (46 transactions) and Terrebonne (46 transactions). For the year 2015 in the regions we examined, the average difference between the median price of intergenerational homes and that of conventional single-family homes was $21,412, or 9% higher for intergenerational homes. To limit the impact of extreme values and the low number of transactions in certain areas, our median price calculations exclude all conventional single-family homes whose number of rooms differ significantly from the features of the intergenerational homes that we examined. 4 April 2016 The Laurentides and Outaouais regions ranked in second and third place with respective differences of $37,500 (16%) and $27,750 (+13%). Results for the Chaudière-Appalaches administrative region are also worth mentioning, as properties with an intergenerational dwelling sold at a median price that was $21,000 higher (11%) than that of conventional single-family homes in 2015. Longer Selling Times For all of the regions as a whole, intergenerational homes generally remained on the market longer than conventional single-family homes in 2015. It took an average of 17 more days for an intergenerational home to find a buyer compared to a conventional single-family home. The administrative regions of Laval and Montréal registered the shortest average selling time for intergenerational homes at 94 and 97 days, respectively. The municipality of Saint-Eustache also stood out with an average selling time of 98 days for intergenerational homes in 2015. However, on average, intergenerational homes in the administrative regions of Capitale-Nationale and Centre-du-Québec as well as in Blainville and Fabreville sold faster than conventional single-family homes. Average selling times by administrative region and geographic area are presented in table 4. It took an average of 17 more days for an intergenerational home to find a buyer compared to a conventional single-family home. Conclusion Although the intergenerational home market is evolving slowly in Québec, the fact remains that it is progressing and seems to be gaining in popularity among Québec households. In a context where the population is aging, intergenerational homes are without a doubt an interesting option for promoting at-home care for seniors, while reducing their housing costs and improving the living conditions of the elderly. This publication is produced by the Market Analysis Department of the QFREB. Paul Cardinal Manager Camille Laberge Maïka Carrier Roy Economist Analyst Contact us at [email protected] © 2016 Québec Federation of Real Estate Boards. All rights reserved. April 2016 Annex The Québec government defines intergenerational homes as a housing concept that allows a family to cohabitate with its aging parents in a single-family home that consists of two separate dwellings of different sizes. This concept implies mutual support between generations, both socially and financially, in addition to promoting at-home support for seniors.5 It is only since 1998 that the Act Respecting Land Use Planning and Development allows municipalities to issue permits to build intergenerational homes or modify an existing property to add an intergenerational dwelling. As a result, they are mainly located in suburban residential areas. Moreover, the municipal requirements generally require that the home retain the appearance of a single-family home so that they can properly integrate into the neighbourhood in which they are located.6 According to the Association provinciale des constructeurs d’habitations du Québec (APCHQ), an intergenerational residence is no different than a single-family home as defined in the Québec Building Code. As such, although recommended, fire separation and sound transmission standards are not required between the two dwellings. Note, however, that laws and regulations vary according to the municipality where the intergenerational property is located.7 http://www.thesaurus.gouv.qc.ca/tag/terme.do?id=7604 (in French) CMHC, Intergenerational Homesharing and Secondary Suites in Québec Suburbs, April 2004. 7 http://www.apchq.com/lanaudiere/fr/membres-services-techniques-communication-aux-entrepreneurs.html_residence-avec-logement-au-sous-sol-ou-maisonintergenerationnelle.html (in French) 5 6 April 2016 Back to text Table 1: Evolution of Sales and Proportion of Intergenerational Homes in the Province of Québec Province of Québec 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Intergenerational homes 1,518 1,563 1,586 1,534 1,581 1,702 10% 3% 1% -3% 3% 8% 55,614 53,314 54,018 50,033 49,819 52,530 0% -4% 1% -7% 0% 5% 2.7% 2.9% 2.9% 3.1% 3.2% 3.2% Variation (%) All single-family homes Variation (%) Proportions Source: QFREB by the Centris® system April 2016 Back to text Intergenerational Conventional single-family Market share (%) Capitale-Nationale 106 4,278 2.4% Centre-du-Québec 28 1,409 1.9% Chaudière-Appalaches 49 2,498 1.9% Estrie 53 2,086 2.5% Lanaudière 235 4,960 4.5% La Plaine 23 277 7.7% Mascouche 39 427 8.4% Repentigny 27 771 3.4% Terrebonne 45 502 8.2% Laurentides 368 6,090 5.7% Blainville 47 526 8.2% Mirabel 50 410 10.9% Saint-Eustache 33 399 7.6% Saint-Jérôme 37 587 5.9% 122 2,833 4.1% 23 460 4.8% Mauricie 34 1,524 2.2% Montérégie 382 12,016 3.1% Le Vieux-Longueuil 30 548 5.2% Saint-Hubert 35 610 5.4% 128 5,332 2.3% 22 528 4.0% 105 3,288 3.1% 46 934 4.7% 38 1,435 2.6% 1,702 50,835 3.2% Administrative Regions Laval Fabreville Montréal Rivière-des-Prairies/Pointe-aux-Trembles Outaouais Gatineau Saguenay/Lac-Saint-Jean Total for the province Source: QFREB by the Centris® system April 2016 Back to text Administrative Regions Capitale-Nationale Centre-du-Québec Chaudière-Appalaches Estrie Lanaudière La Plaine Mascouche Repentigny Terrebonne Laurentides Blainville Mirabel Saint-Eustache Saint-Jérôme Laval Fabreville Mauricie Montérégie Le Vieux-Longueuil Saint-Hubert Montréal Rivière-des-Prairies/Pointe-aux-Trembles Outaouais Gatineau Saguenay/Lac-Saint-Jean Source: QFREB by the Centris® system Intergenerational Conventional single-family $275,000 $170,000 $210,000 $181,750 $265,000 $235,000 $305,000 $308,750 $285,000 $270,000 $287,500 $287,500 $294,450 $205,000 $309,900 $290,000 $140,000 $280,000 $269,000 $276,000 $420,000 $297,900 $242,750 $224,750 $175,000 $272,500 $170,000 $189,000 $185,000 $220,000 $214,000 $235,000 $244,500 $254,250 $232,500 $306,000 $255,000 $235,000 $205,000 $295,000 $267,000 $162,000 $262,000 $288,250 $267,450 $428,000 $290,000 $215,000 $207,000 $177,000 Price difference $2,500 $0 $21,000 -$3,250 $45,000 $21,000 $70,000 $64,250 $30,750 $37,500 -$18,500 $32,500 $59,450 $0 $14,900 $23,000 -$22,000 $18,000 -$19,250 $8,550 -$8,000 $7,900 $27,750 $17,750 -$2,000 1% 0% 11% -2% 20% 10% 30% 26% 12% 16% -6% 13% 25% 0% 5% 9% -14% 7% -7% 3% -2% 3% 13% 9% -1% April 2016 Back to text Administrative Regions Capitale-Nationale Centre-du-Québec Chaudière-Appalaches Estrie Lanaudière La Plaine Mascouche Repentigny Terrebonne Laurentides Blainville Mirabel Saint-Eustache Saint-Jérôme Laval Fabreville Mauricie Montérégie Le Vieux-Longueuil Saint-Hubert Montréal Rivière-des-Prairies/Pointe-aux-Trembles Outaouais Gatineau Saguenay/Lac-Saint-Jean Source: QFREB by the Centris® system Intergenerational 116 139 159 140 139 143 104 148 135 139 112 115 98 133 94 76 167 137 125 103 97 109 104 111 155 Conventional single-family 124 146 131 132 117 97 97 99 96 121 116 86 69 96 89 91 135 109 92 72 86 93 93 76 139 Difference (days) -8 -7 28 8 22 46 7 49 39 18 -4 29 29 37 5 -15 32 28 33 31 11 16 11 35 16