MSO SP 17 June 2013 Item 04 Studentification Presentation slides

Transcription

MSO SP 17 June 2013 Item 04 Studentification Presentation slides
Studentification in
Loughborough 2013
Professor Darren Smith
Researchers: Alexis Alamel,
Stacey Balsdon & Dr Chloe Kinton
Loughborough University
Remit: 6 questions to consider
“1. Historical information / patterns - scene setting, possibly back to the 1950s and the
development of the University. Any information that gives perspective for the period 1994 - 98,
and the impact on the community around the Storer Road Area 1999.
2. More recently numbers have fallen in the SARG area, but expanded in other areas - have
you any examples of this happening in other areas of the country?
3. Spatial patterns - evidence of a 'domino' effect. One property becomes student
accommodation and then others around it do too? Or Street by Street?
4. The picture now, where students are located. How you have approached measuring
these figures? Information would be welcome in respect of tool kits used and the results.
5.
Any information re purpose-built accommodation, both on and off campus.
6. Patterns of ownership - landlords, parents for their children and sub-letting other rooms,
groups of students.”
Planning for current
trends of change
•
Increasing demand for on-campus halls of residence from Years 2 and 3 >
good student experiences in halls during Year 1
•
Relatively low demand for off-campus, commercial, Purpose-built Student
Accommodation (PBSA)
•
Off-campus geographies of HMO are changing and are dynamic:
– Destudentification within Storer and outer-areas of the town (and Burleigh to a lesser
extent)
– On-going studentification of Kingfisher and Forest Road areas
– Why?
•
•
•
•
Changing student accommodation preferences and expectations of higher-quality
accommodation and management / proximity to campus
Profitability for landlords and investors – bigger and newer houses?
Changing economic climate: student debt and tuition fees?
More home-based / regional students?
1. Limited historical analysis
HESA data
2001 and 2011 GB census data
Lower layer super output area
2001
2011
Ashby East 007A
689
1093
404 increase
Ashby West 007B
3060
2648
412 decrease 13.46% decrease
Dishley East 001A
32
No data
Gorse Covert 001B
35
97
No data
No data
Garendon East 004A
75
Thorpe Acre West 004B
43
Thorpe Acre East 004C
Garendon West 004D
% change
58.64% increase
62 increase
177.14% increase
103
28 increase
37.33% increase
57
14 increase
32.56% increase
66
95
29 increase
43.94% increase
78
103
25 increase
32.05% increase
116
103
13 decrease
11.21% decrease
Canal South 002B
67
107
40 increase
59.70% increase
Central Station 002C
62
95
33 increase
53.23% increase
No data
No data
56 increase
33.74% increase
Dishley West
Bell Foundry 002A
Tuckers Road
Toothill Road 002D
166
222
Derby Road East 002E
91
266
Midland Station 002F
78
86
8 increase
10.26% increase
Meadow Lane 002G
47
79
32 increase
68.09% increase
No data
No data
5 increase
8.93% increase
Nanpantan East
Nanpantan West 010A
175 increase 192.31% increase
56
61
No data
No data
Outwoods West 010B
63
35
28 decrease
44.44% decrease
Outwoods East 010C
36
55
19 increase
52.78% increase
Outwoods South 010D
41
43
2 increase
4.88% increase
Outwoods North 010E
223
341
118 increase
52.92% increase
Shelthorpe South 009A
36
57
21 increase
58.33% increase
Shelthorpe North 009B
57
80
23 increase
40.35% increase
Shelthorpe West 009C
49
85
36 increase
73.47% increase
Woodthorpe 009D
40
73
33 increase
822.5% increase
Centre South 009E
82
332
250 increase 304.88% increase
Holywell
Southfields South 009F
125
260
135 increase
Centre West 003A
606
1228
662 increase 102.64% increase
Southfields North 003B
521
884
363 increase
69
108
39 increase
56.52% inrease
Rosebery 003D
812
1157
345 increase
42.49% increase
Oxford Street 003E
868
871
3 increase
0.35% increase
Warwick Way 003F
51
87
36 increase
70.59% increase
Knightthopre Road 003C
108% increase
69.67% increase
2001 to 2011
689 > 1093 students
3060 > 2648 students
2001 to 2011
82 > 332 students
606 > 1238 students
Output areas
Output areas - STORER
2001
2011
E00130505
241
299
E00173304
No data
207
E00130512
69
E00130516
% change
58 increase
24.07% increase
164
95 increase
137.69% increase
218
174
44 decrease
20.18% decrease
E00130517
208
253
45 increase
21.64% increase
E00130504
394
384
10 decrease
2.54% decrease
E00130519
48
60
12 increase
25% increase
2001
2011
E00130488
52
316
E00130493
174
79
E00130487
122
294
E00130503
173
195
E00130489
80
213
Output areas - BURLEIGH
% change
264 increase 507.69% increase
95 decrease
54.60% decrease
172 increase 140.98% increase
22 increase
12.72% increase
133 increase 166.25% increase
2. Falling numbers of
students in some
neighbourhoods:
destudentification
Loughborough – total students by area
Paget Street –
photograph taken October 2011
Landscapes of destudentification
Destudentification
Source: SARG data and
university term-time address data 2011/12
2011-12
4. The picture now
12,457 students with a LE11
address (out of 17,209)
LE11 1 = 368
LE11 2 = 823
LE11 3 = 7,685
LE11 4 = 3,581
Different geographies:
Census wards
Student areas in Loughborough?
General patterns: 2011/12
Micro-geographies (output areas) –
compare with 2011 GB census
Level of study
Male:female ratios
Department of study
Year of study
4. Purpose-built accommodation
-Off-campus
-On-campus
Off-campus PBSA
• “The student blocks in the town are definitely
struggling to fill their accommodation. I know that a
lot of them are worried by the voids that they have”
[Landlord 2].
• “We are half full” [PBSA Provider 4].
• “I think they were popular when they were first
built, but after a year or two they begin to lose their
appeal, because you hear that they are all really
struggling at the moment” [Letting agent 1].
• “All rooms aren’t full and they haven’t been for
several years” [PBSA provider 6].
Off-campus PBSA
Survey of first year students
On Campus
Catered
On Campus
Self-Catered
Off Campus
Self-Catered
Total
Total
% of
Survey
% of
% of Total
Response
Response
Population
Population
Population
Population
Population
Rate
Rate
2354
44%
118
44%
5%
118/347
34.0%
1672
32%
86
32%
5%
86/253
33.9%
1321
24%
65
24%
5%
65/210
30.9%
5347
100%
269
100%
5%
269/810
33.2%
On-campus halls of residence
On-campus, halls of residence
HoR
Bartering
Weekly rent (inclusive) paying next year
Maximum
weekly rent
£0-£69
£70-£79
£80-£89
£90-£99
£100+
£0-£69
5
1
0
0
0
£70-£79
24
19
1
1
0
£80-£89
27
42
7
1
2
£90-£99
12
23
10
3
0
£100+
0
12
9
3
8
Unknown
6
18
8
4
23
• Student preferences and
changing geographies of
studentification: planning
for change?
Where are you living next year?
Storer
Burleigh
Kingfisher
Storer
Burleigh
Kingfisher
Storer
Burleigh
Kingfisher
Studentification & Kingfisher
Non-residence in Loughborough
Student survey 2013
Conclusion
• SCRUTINY PANEL: To what extent is
the Borough Council successful in
achieving its objective of managing
student occupancy in Loughborough?
Conclusion: a more robust evidence-base of
student occupancy / HMO would be beneficial
• House by house, GIS-based system - which
is automatically updated (annually) and
enables comparisons of annual changes
• Maintains anonymity and confidentiality of
people
• In-built flexibility for planning – can be
adapted for different geographies / different
thresholds / different buffer points / circles
• Integrate a variety of datasets: university
term-time addresses, Student Union, council
tax, electoral registers, etc
Why the need?
• Inefficient use of staff / time resources to
update current incomplete datasets
• Accurate data / evidence-bases are needed
to inform policy formulation / strategies
• Expensive surveys only provide brief snapshots in time
• Datasets are quickly out-of-date and noncomparative over time
• Partial understandings of student occupancy
are provided