Clark Gilbert, “Dual Transformation” and the Deseret News National
Transcription
Clark Gilbert, “Dual Transformation” and the Deseret News National
Clark Gilbert, “Dual Transformation” and the Deseret News National Edition The Utah Newspaper Project No one has yet tagged Clark Gilbert as “the oracle of Salt Lake,” but to some in local media, the nickname might be coming . Netnewscheck.com Clark Gilbert has become a media superhero of sorts . . . http://blog.adxsearch.com In this case, Deseret News is building on an existing print product. In 2011, it launched a weekly national print edition, and its success — with subscribers in all 50 states — hastened the launch of the standalone national website. Niemanlab.com 2 Introduction: Clark Gilbert, president and CEO of Deseret Digital Media Group, says he never intended to run a newspaper. After all, Gilbert’s background was in academia, not legacy media operations. But he applied his Harvard-brand “innovative disruption” business philosophy to the Salt Lake newspaper owned by the LDS Church, and within months Gilbert began showing startling results. His “dual transformation” strategy led to dramatic circulation gains for the Deseret News’ print product. A chorus of accolades grew along with the News readership. “Clark is a true innovator, and we are lucky to have him in our industry," Steve Hills, president and general manager of The Washington Post, was quoted as saying in the Deseret News. "On the business side of the Post, we watch what he has done with great interest." The occasion for Hills’ praise was last September’s naming of Gilbert as Innovator of the Year by the Local Media Association, a national trade group for community newspapers. At that same time last year, Gilbert was finalizing secret negotiations on amendments to the Joint Operating Agreement with the New York owner of his newspaper competition, The Salt Lake Tribune. In a lawsuit filed in U.S. District Court last June, Utah Newspaper Group argues the new JOA violates antitrust law. That agreement, which cuts Tribune revenue in half and cedes control of the newspapers’ business operation to Gilbert, “fits” the News’ strategy of “dual transformation,” Gilbert has stated. “The 2013 Amendment fits Deseret News Publishing's interest in pursuing a dual transformation strategy that includes migrating to digital media while simultaneously maintaining and expanding its traditional print capabilities, including a national edition of the Deseret News,” Gilbert stated in a sworn declaration filed in the federal court antitrust litigation. “It should not be undone at the instance of outside third parties, regardless of their motive or intention, who do not understand the financial and managerial challenges of print and digital publishing in today's Salt Lake City environment.” With Gilbert’s “dual transformation” strategy thus at issue in the legal challenge, Utah Newspaper Project undertook an analysis of recent 3 developments at the Deseret News. In a December 2012 Harvard Business Review article, Gilbert and his coauthors described how the Deseret News exemplified a successful “dual transformation” under which business leaders adapt the core business to the realities of a disrupted marketplace while simultaneously developing new growth strategies. In the case of the Deseret News — and every other printed newspaper in the country — those new strategies would, of course, include a digital focus. But the challenged JOA nearly exclusively addresses the printed papers’ operations; therefore, this analysis deals only with that half of the “dual transformation” — the adaptation of the Deseret News’ core printed product. At a time when other print newspapers were barely holding their own or seeing stark declines, Gilbert led the Deseret News to growth of 84 percent in its Sunday print circulation from 2010 to 2012, when it hit a high of 127,050 nationwide. (In Utah, however, the Tribune maintained its dominance — both in local news gathering and in "Designated Market Area," the core circulation area. In Salt Lake, Tooele, Wasatch and Summit and southern Davis counties, the Sunday Tribune accounted for 66 percent of the two newspapers' subscribers in 2012. The bad news for Utah’s largest newspaper: Tribune circulation since 1999 has fallen 47 percent to 73,000, while the News circulation fell 26 percent to 37,500 in the local market area.) Gilbert’s astonishing Sunday circulation success warrants indepth study, coming as it does in the midst of such dire times in the newspaper industry. The growth took place in the Deseret News National Edition, which Gilbert launched in August of 2011 as a nondenominational, values-based publication. But a closer look reveals that the Deseret News repurposed its section called the Mormon Times that was sent to subscribers of the [LDS] Church News, and those readers were added to the newspaper’s circulation tally. 4 Clark Gilbert’s Vision: After he was named president and CEO of the Deseret News in May of 2010, Gilbert quickly embarked on a “radical reinvention” of Utah’s oldest daily newspaper. That August he laid off 43 percent of the staff in a single day. At the same time, he announced he was changing the paper from the general news orientation it had for much of its history to a values orientation that emphasized six categories of news: 1. The Family 2. Financial Responsibility 3. Excellence in Education 4. Care for the Needy 5. Values in the Media 6. Faith in the Community The Newspaper’s mission statement was to become “Trusted Voices of Light and Knowledge reaching hundreds of millions of people worldwide.” One of the ways he hoped to accomplish that ambitious goal was through a National Edition of the Deseret News, which is owned by The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints. 5 A Grand Ambition: Within a year and a half of when he took over the Deseret News it appeared that Gilbert’s leadership was having a marked impact. Its Publisher’s Statement on circulation for the six months ending Sept. 30, 2011, showed a gain of about 14,500 over the previous six months (not counting digital editions). While much newspaper print circulation nationally was stagnant or falling, the Deseret News’ numbers had begun to skyrocket, according to the Alliance for Audited Media. It reported Sunday edition print circulation of 75,851 for the year ending Sept. 30, 2011, and 127,050 for the year ending Sept. 30, 2012, a 67 percent increase. 6 How Did He Do It? All of that growth is tied to the paper’s new Sunday National Edition, which emphasizes the six principal areas of Deseret News coverage but also is meant to appeal to a wider audience than just members of the Mormon Church. A consumer segmentation survey done prior to the launch of the new edition found the target audience consisted of the 56 percent of Americans who are “like-minded believers,” express “high interest in consuming rigorous, relevant news and commentary from ‘trusted’ organizations that share their values,” according to a Pew Center report on Gilbert’s efforts at the News. “We want to own faith and the family the way the Washington Post owns politics,” Gilbert said in the Center report. The journalism “can’t be denominational. But it’s asking questions that people of faith and people who are family oriented would ask.” 7 The first edition launched on Aug. 21, 2011. 8 The editor welcomed readers. 9 Circulation Climbed: The Deseret News reported that print circulation began to increase immediately after Aug. 21, 2011. This chart shows total Sunday Deseret News circulation between the quarter that ended June 30, 2011, right before the launch, and the one that ended Sept. 30, just 39 days after the first National Edition. From 2010 to 2012, Deseret News Sunday Circulation soared. 10 Gilbert Was Hailed: With an average Sunday circulation of 160,617, the Deseret News isn’t among the Top 25 U.S. newspapers. But that circulation represents a 102 percent increase over the previous year, and unlike many newspapers that reported circulation gains last week, the Salt Lake City paper’s numbers aren’t grotesquely juiced by paid digital editions — average Sunday print circ nearly doubled, from 69,059 in March 2011 to 129,314 this year. Average daily circulation was up nearly 15 percent overall, though print declined from 52,814 to 47,615. How the Deseret News nearly doubled its print circulation, Poytner.org Arguing with Success: While the National Edition might appear to be an instant success among like-minded, religiously oriented people, there are two things immediately evident from reading the paper and the numbers: 1. The National Edition is very much a Mormon-oriented newspaper 2. Members of the church comprise its audience almost entirely. That wasn’t how it was supposed to be. “The national edition is deliberately targeting values across all faith practices in the country,” Gilbert told Joseph Lichterman in an article last spring about the launch of the National Edition website. The Deseret News target audience for its national edition was the 56 percent of Americans who are “Like-Minded Believers, who value faith, family, caring for others, and share a concern for the decline in moral values.” “This is a huge audience, but the second you go denominational, they fragment,” Gilbert told Lichterman. “Mormons read Mormon content, Catholics read Catholic content, Baptists read Baptist content.” 11 Some Background: The National Edition is now among a number of publications owned by The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, including, of course, the Deseret News. Another is the Church News, which has been produced and distributed by the Deseret News for decades. In Utah for many years only subscribers to the Deseret News could receive the Church News, which proved a successful strategy for bolstering newspaper subscriptions. But out of state, the Church News was treated as a separate publication with individual subscriptions possible. Shift to 2008. In April, the Deseret News introduced a new section called the Mormon Times. On Jan. 15, 2009, the Mormon Times carried an announcement that out-ofstate subscribers to the Church News would “automatically” receive a weekly edition of the Mormon Times, which up to then had just been a section of the Deseret News that ran on Thursday. No price increase was mentioned for Church News subscribers, though a subscription to the Church News rose from $20 a year in 2008 to $30 in 2009. 12 After it started giving the Mormon Times to out-of-state Church News subscribers, the Deseret News did not claim the Mormon Times as additional circulation. Overall, this is what the pre-National Edition circulation looks like while the Mormon Times was circulated with the Church News. 13 On Aug. 13, 2011, the last edition of the Saturday Mormon Times accompanied the Church News to out-of-state subscribers. 14 A week later, on Aug. 21, 2011, the new Sunday National Edition appeared. 15 Circulation’s on the Rise: The News changed the masthead of the Mormon Times, tweaked the design and added values coverage and new voices when it became the Deseret News National Edition. The Mormon Times continued as a section within the traditional Deseret News and also was included as part of the National Edition. This time, unlike the Mormon Times, the Deseret News began to count the National Edition as part of its circulation. Circulation Serendipity: New rules by the Audit Bureau of Circulations on how circulation is to be counted were in place when numbers were released for the six months that ended March 31, 2011. The rules included a category for branded editions, which carried a different name than the main publication and are labeled with the word “edition.” The Deseret News appears able under these rules to count the National Edition (not labeled as such for a long time) as circulation for the main paper, though the label might be a misnomer. 16 Strategic Marketing: While the target audience of the National Edition was conceived of as the 56 percent of Americans who the Deseret News’ survey found aligned with the its news values, Gilbert has been marketing the print edition to members of the Mormon Church, while denying that’s the main audience. Here’s an excerpt from a Gilbert interview with netnewscheck.com: Q : But you do have the instrument of the church, which could be used, for instance, as a marketing instrument. For instance, you may have a point of distribution, viral or otherwise, through the church. A: But there’s no top down channel like that. It’s no different than the Red Sox Nation and the diaspora that is Boston.com. They do 300 million page views a month. And you can’t say that’s not fair because they have the Red Sox. The Washington Post has politics. People who use affinities and interests to help socially market their content are really smart. The Huffington Post does that really effectively where Arianna Huffington engages purpose-driven contributors. I don’t editorially align with them, but their content models are very innovative because they access social and purpose-driven affinities that line up with their brand. Certainly we draw into that, but we don’t want to just reach Mormons. The Mormon church just reaches Mormons. We’re a separate company; we’re not the Mormon church. (The National Edition webpages and its Facebook pages are much less Mormon-oriented than the print edition. The webpage, for example, doesn’t include references to the Church News or a Mormon Times section.) 17 Who Is the Target Market? The News on its website markets the National Edition to LDS members along with the Church News. 18 More Transformation: And now subscribers to Ensign magazine, another LDS publication, can get the same deal. 19 A Younger Audience: And Gilbert has persuaded officials at Brigham Young University, owned by the LDS Church, to provide the National Edition to students free of charge. And he has done the same thing at BYU-Idaho in Rexburg. The National Edition circulates an estimated 5,897 copies (2012) in Zip Code area 83460, which is where BYU-Idaho is located. 20 ] “All Other” Subscribers: The Publisher’s Statement for the Deseret News for the six months ending Sept. 30, 2011, or 39 days after the first issue of the National Edition, says the Deseret News had increased its Sunday print circulation by 14,546 copies over the previous six months. The audited circulation report by the Alliance for Audited Media for the year ending Sept. 30 shows all that growth came in a geographical category called “All Other.” The Alliance for Audited Media, formerly the Audit Bureau of Circulations, divides the Salt Lake City newspaper market into three areas: • The Designated Market Area: Salt Lake, Summit, Wasatch, Tooele and south Davis counties • Retail Trading Zone: Rich, No. Davis, Utah, Duchesne, Uintah, Carbon, Juab, Sanpete, Millard, Sevier, Beaver, Piute, Iron, Daggett and Uinta (Wyo.) counties • All Other: The 10 Utah counties not in the core circulation area and other states where there are subscribers From the Sept. 30, 2009, circulation report to that of Sept. 30, 2012, there was an increase in the All Other category of about 63,000 copies on Sunday or a rise of 1,294 percent. The All Other category includes mostly out-of-state copies. So, do these reports show Gilbert was wildly successful at almost immediately selling subscriptions to the Deseret News National Edition to like-minded, values-oriented and faith-leaning people all over the country? 21 Who are the subscribers? Because of these approaches, Gilbert said, the Deseret News’ national Sunday edition is found throughout much of the United States, especially in the eastern United States. Gilbert credited the newspaper’s popularity to readers who are mainly part of faith- and family-oriented audiences looking for media that fit their views. Inma.org Out-of-state LDS members, who are heavily concentrated in states surrounding Utah, and who subscribe to the Church News, appear overwhelmingly to be counted as the subscribers to the National Edition. This table contains projections from the 2012 annual audited report showing Deseret News (most likely almost all National Edition) circulation. Arizona California Colorado Florida Georgia Idaho Illinois Kansas Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Mexico North Carolina Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Texas Virginia Washington Wyoming All other non-Utah Total out of state 22 5,886 8,439 1,737 191 105 14,867 128 164 292 357 133 2,022 458 173 115 95 1,913 1,482 295 3,508 985 14,813 58,158 Further, the Deseret News also is bundling its National Edition (and the Church News) with local weekly newspapers in Utah, at no extra cost to subscribers of the weeklies. 23 What About Content? The publication itself is largely Mormon-centric. At the very top above the masthead, it lets readers know the Church News is inside and includes a small Church News photo to emphasize the point. Just below the mast is a plug for the “Mormon Times” section. Articles carry Deseret News reporters’ bylines and frequently are about or quote Utah residents. 24 What’s the Bottom Line? I’m a for-profit company. We had an initial investment from our ownership, but I have quarterly targets. We have growth objectives. We have profitability requirements. If you talked to my sales team or my e-commerce team, they would tell you very much that they have hard financial growth targets that are real and meaningful. Clark Gilbert, Netnewscheck.com The college campuses are believed to pay only a token fee to the Deseret News for the National Edition and student readers pay nothing. In the March 4, 2012, edition, the National Edition was marketed to subscribers to the Idaho Falls Post Register for only $25 additional a year above the Post Register subscription rate. It seemed like a good area to market the new edition. According to the Association of Statisticians of American Religious Bodies, Bonneville County — where Idaho Falls is located — had 59,311 members of the LDS Church in 2010 among its population of 104,234, or 57 percent of the total. Still, the Deseret News had only 1,546 paid circulation in the county in the year ending Sept. 30, 2013, according to the Alliance for Audited Media. That would be only a 3 percent penetration rate among LDS members, whether they subscribed through the Post Register or National Edition/Church News. 25 Here’s the Deal: The $30 a year Church News subscribers pay could help offset some of the costs of producing the National Edition. Before the Mormon Times was added to the Church News a subscription was $20 a year. The Mormon Times was included at no cost but the subscription rate the next year went up to $30 a year, where it remains today. Assuming the Church News is allocated the $20 like it was back in 2008, then the Mormon Times and now National Edition would be left with $10 a year per subscription that was added to the price in 2009. That’s about 19 cents for each of the 52 issues of the National Edition. The Cut From Advertising: Attracting advertisers to the National Edition has been difficult. (Clark Gilbert likely anticipated this, having written in his 2001 Harvard Ph.D. dissertation, “National advertisers historically accounted for less than 7 percent of total revenues for newspapers.”) The National Edition of Aug. 17, 2014, nearly three years to the day from its launch, had only 19 percent advertising lineage compared to total space (not counting a big house ad) -- quite low by current industry standards. Of the total presumably paid ads, 68 percent of the combined lineage was LDS-oriented and 26 percent was Utah-centric. Only two ads, or 6 percent, were for a product or service from other states, and those were located in Idaho and Nevada. There were no national ads. In the Dec. 15, 2013, National Edition, just two weeks before Christmas and prime time for advertising revenues, advertisements took up only 20 percent of total lineage (not counting house ads). Of total ad lineage except house ads, 81 percent was LDS-oriented. There were no ads from outside Utah and no strictly national ads. Financials: The National Edition is expensive to produce. The Aug. 17 issue was 14 pages, all of them with full color, which is much more costly than black and white only, and it was printed on high-grade, more expensive newsprint. Three years after its launch, the National Edition print product may be a financial loser for its owners. It has failed to appeal to many outside the LDS faith. As an advertising vehicle, it is also appears to lag, particularly if it is to be truly a national edition. 26 A Different Trajectory: Sunday print circulation in the All Other category where the National Edition circulates was down 18 percent in early 2014 from its 2012 peak, putting Gilbert considerably below his target of 300,000 by 2015. 27 Still Transforming: Gilbert’s not done. In January, the Deseret News announced that Utah residents no longer had to subscribe to the Deseret News to get the Church News. Previous to this, and for decades, this arrangement was a vehicle for boosting Deseret News circulation: If you wanted the Church News, you had to subscribe. 28 A Dramatic Departure: Now Utah residents can subscribe to the Church News and get the National Edition for only $30 a year. It seems a dramatic move, but for what? The lowest priced subscription to the Deseret News is $25.80 for 12 weeks or $103 a year for the Sunday paper. That means that the Deseret News loses at least $73 for every customer who switches from the regular Sunday edition to the Church News/National Edition. Has Gilbert bet it all on the National Edition? "We burned the boats," Gilbert said, adding that there wasn't any way of going back to the old ways of doing business. Newsandtech.com Two Voices Threatened: In its legal challenge, Utah Newspaper Project argues that Gilbert has endangered The Salt Lake Tribune with the new JOA that “fits” with his dual transformation strategy. And that strategy could have a damaging effect on yet another important local enterprise: Newspaper Agency Corp., the two newspapers’ 60-year-old joint business operation. Under the new JOA, Gilbert directs the affairs of NAC (also known as MediaOne of Utah, Utah MediaOne Group and most recently Utah Media Group), and it likely is facing a transformation of its own. “Today the Deseret News is in a stronger position than it was before it was disrupted,” Gilbert and his co-authors wrote in the December 2012 Harvard Business Review. “Instead of remaining a local newspaper, Deseret is turning itself into a national resource for its target audience. That’s its future, and that must be the company’s dominant story.” Back in Salt Lake City, the larger-circulation Tribune struggles to provide a local resource for its “target audience,” despite seeing its revenues cut in half at the stroke of a pen under the new JOA. The Tribune, like virtually every news medium in the world, has been disrupted in the Internet revolution. The Tribune is as well equipped as any other medium to adapt digitally. But the new JOA denies it sufficient revenue to provide current newsgathering to its local audience, as well as capital to finance its transition to the future business model that all media continue to seek. That double threat to the Tribune is a “dual transformation” that Utah residents should disrupt. 29 Timeline 2008 April 24 • Announcement of new Mormon Times weekly section to the Deseret News 2009 Jan. 15 • Mormon Times is repackaged with the Church News for people in U.S. and Canada who receive the Church News by mail Sept. 10 • Deseret Management Corp. CEO Mark Willes announces formation of new company, Deseret Digital Media, to manage the websites of local church-owned media outlets and names Clark Gilbert of BYU-Idaho as president and CEO. Willes also splits KSL TV and Radio off from Bonneville International in a company called KSL Broadcasting. 2010 March 31 • Publisher’s Statement shows the Deseret News for the six months prior to this date had a Sunday circulation 70,574 and daily of 58,582 May 20 • Gilbert named president and CEO of the Deseret News August 31 • Gilbert reduces Deseret News staff by 43 percent and combines KSL and Deseret News into one newsroom. He announces increased coverage of “relevant issues audiences care about.” 2011 March 31 • Publisher’s Statement for previous six months show Deseret News Sunday print circulation of 69,059 and daily of 52,814 Aug. 21 • Deseret News launches National Edition Sept. 30 • Publisher’s Report puts Sunday print circulation at 83,605 2012 Sept. 30 • Deseret News National Edition circulation on Sunday to out of state subscribers hits its peak at 68,808 2013 Sept. 30 • Deseret News National Edition circulation on Sunday to out of state subscribers falls to 59,557. 2014 Jan. 30 • Utah residents can now subscribe to the Church News and get the National Edition without subscribing to the regular Deseret News March 31 • Deseret News National Edition circulation on Sunday to out of state subscribers declines to 56,273 in the previous six months. 30