Just The Facts - Video Advertising Bureau
Transcription
Just The Facts - Video Advertising Bureau
Just The Facts: An Analysis of YouTube’s Top Marketplace Claims November 2015 Why We Did This Analysis Our customers (advertisers, agencies and members) asked us to check the validity of YouTube’s most frequent set of claims promoted in the marketplace. In order to maintain full transparency, we analyzed these claims utilizing “real world” facts & figures from syndicated 3rd party sources. 2 Top Five YouTube Claims In The Marketplace 1. YouTube Is the “New” TV 2. YouTube’s Reach Surpasses TV and Delivers More Eyeballs 3. YouTube Resonates More with Younger Demographics Than TV Brands 4. YouTube’s Content Quality Is On Par With TV 5. Hundreds of Billions of Videos Are Viewed Monthly On YouTube 3 Claim #1: YouTube Is the “New” TV Fact: Television Is The “Only” TV Due To It’s Distinct Content Investment Advantage & Ability To Showcase Engaging, Best-Known Personalities 4 YouTube’s Upcoming Content Outlay Is Just A Small Fraction Of Ad-Supported TV Brands’ Programming Investment Estimated 2015 Content Investment (Original & Acquired) Total AdSupported TV Brands $45 Billion YouTube $200 Million *Total Ad-Supported TV Brands include Cable & Broadcast Sources: TV Brands: SNL Kagan 2015; YouTube: based on YouTube announcements through their corporate blog postings in 2014 5 The $200 Billion Vs. $200 Million Equation: TV’s Programming Advantage Is Much Higher When You Factor In The Continuous Annual Investments Made Considering that creative development is a multiyear process, there’s approximately $200 billion in programming investments actively working in the TV ecosystem (vs. YouTube’s $200 million) Source: 2015 SNL Kagan 6 This Continual Investment Produces A Steady Stream Of Iconic TV Programs That People Love Talking About There are approximately One Billion TV-related tweets annually (and growing)… which is a daily average of almost three million TV-related tweets # of TV-Related Tweets 1Q-3Q 2012 vs. 1Q–3Q 2015 723,056 579,057 1Q - 3Q 2012 Source: VAB analysis of Nielsen Social data, includes sports & specials 1Q - 3Q 2015 7 These Iconic TV Programs Drive Social Conversations, Allowing Them To Quickly Become Part of Pop Culture Top “Buzzed About” Primetime Programs Drama – 65+ Million Tweets Specials – 90+ Million Tweets Sports – 200+ Million Tweets Reality – 80+ Million Tweets Source: VAB Analysis of Nielsen data used under license, Rankings, Program Tab, 4Q 2014- 3Q 2015, Primetime and Live/New tweets, Comedy – 22+ Million Tweets 8 Therefore, TV Creates Popular Stars Who Have A Much Larger Social Media Presence Than Top YouTube Personalities Source: Socialbakers statistics as of 9/16/15 9 TV Is The True Desired Destination For Top YouTubers Several YouTube personalities have recently made the leap to TV because of the medium’s unmatched influence, reach, engagement and production values 10 YouTube Themselves Believe in The Power Of TV, After All They’re Executing Multi-Million Dollar Campaigns On It 11 Claim #2: YouTube’s Reach Surpasses TV & Delivers More Eyeballs Fact: YouTube Is On Par With Reach But Delivers A Fraction of The Impressions Due To TV’s Massive “Time Spent” Advantage Which Is The True Measure Of Audience Engagement 12 YouTube Reach Is On Par With TV Against Major Buying Demos But That’s Not The Compelling Story… TV’s PUT % Vs. YouTube’s Reach % Based on total population TV 96% 96% 70% P2+ YouTube 93% 94% 95% 93% P18-34 P18-49 96% 87% 77% P18+ P25-54 Sources: Nielsen Npower May 2015 (5/1-5/31/15), comScore May 2015 MediaMetrix (multiplatform). PUT = Persons Using Television 13 “Time Spent” Is The Most Important Measure For Advertisers To Determine Real Audience Engagement Time Spent = Commitment, Interest & Loyalty Monthly “Time Spent” Average (Minutes per Viewer) Ad- Supported TV YouTube 5,653 5,262 4,967 4,381 3,678 458 2+ Hrs:Min 87:42 Split: 7:38 92% / 8% 465 18+ 655 563 479 18-34 18-49 25-54 94:13 7:45 61:18 10:55 73:01 9:23 82:47 7:59 92% / 8% 85% / 15% 89% / 11% 91% / 9% Sources: Nielsen Npower Live+7, Total Day 7/1-7/31/15; comScore Media Metrix (multiplatform) July 2015. Ad-supported TV = broadcast + cable TV 14 TV’s “Fine Dining” Vs. YouTube’s “Drive Thru” Experience The Emotional Connection Advantage Average TV program engagement far surpasses YouTube videos Average Minutes Viewed TV Telecast Vs. YouTube Video Ad-Supported TV 22.4 22.0 21.6 3.3 P2+ 3.3 P18+ YouTube 22.2 3.3 P18-34 22.2 3.3 P18-49 Sources: Nielsen Npower July 2015 (7/1-7/31/15), comScore July 2015 VideoMetrix (desktop only; all videos) 3.3 P25-54 15 Ad-Supported TV Delivers Substantially More Video Impressions Than YouTube Total TV Ad Impressions Vs Total YouTube Video Views (in millions) 15,090.6 2% 6,026.3 4% 13,202.5 2% 869,007.1 98% 140,694.0 96% 745,438.0 98% P18+ P2+ P18-49 3,136.4 3% 52,078.0 95% 46,993.7 96% P12-17 311,123.7 97% P18-34 2,889.9 5% 1,840.0 4% *Note: estimated 50% of YouTube video views are on desktop 9,674.5 3% P18-24 88,616.0 97% P25-34 Sources: Nielsen Ad*Views July 2015 (7/1-7/31/15), comScore July 2015 VideoMetrix (desktop only), for P12-17 comScore reflects P13-17. 16 Claim #3: YouTube Resonates More with Younger Demographics Than TV Brands Fact: Millennials Spend Much More Time Engaging With Their Favorite TV Programs Across Screens Than With YouTube 17 More Young People Are Watching TV Now Than Back In 2003 Average Quarterly Cume TV Reach AA Reach Proj (000) 1Q '03 1Q '15 37,539 36,977 27,126 26,332 P18-24 Source: Nielsen Npower; 1Q ‘03 V 1Q ’15 P25-34 18 Younger Adult Viewership “Time Spent” Split TV > 81% / YouTube < 19% Monthly “Time Spent” Average (Minutes per Viewer) Ad- Supported TV 3,292 13-17 54:52 4,139 2,998 724 496 Hrs:Min YouTube 8:16 559 18-24 49:58 12:04 25-34 68:59 Sources: Nielsen Npower Live+7, Total Day 7/1-7/31/15; comScore Media Metrix (multiplatform) July 2015. Ad-supported TV = broadcast + cable TV 9:59 19 Even Online, More Time Is Spent With TV Brands Than YouTube Monthly Time Spent Online (Hrs:Mins) P13-17 P18-24 P25-34 Ad-Supported TV Brands 30:42 11:23 19:19 YouTube 8:16 8:15 0:01 Ad-Supported TV Brands 37:30 15:48 21:42 YouTube 12:04 7:36 4:28 Ad-Supported TV Brands 41:50 23:38 18:12 YouTube 9:59 5:59 4:00 Source: VAB analysis of comScore duplicated July 2015 data (mediametrix, multiplatform). Ad-Supported Television Brands represents all measured Ad-Supported Cable nets, mvpds. And Broadcast Television FOX, CBS, NBC, ABC, iON and CW. 20 TV Brands Dominate YouTube Across Screens Monthly Time Spent (Hrs:Mins) P13-17 P18-24 P25-34 Ad-Supported TV Brands 85:34 YouTube 8:16 Ad-Supported TV Brands 87:28 YouTube 12:04 Ad-Supported TV Brands 110:49 YouTube 9:59 54:52 49:58 68:59 11:23 19:19 8:15 0:01 15:48 21:42 7:36 4:28 23:38 18:12 5:59 4:00 Source: Nielsen Npower Live+7 July 2015 (7/1-7/31/15). VAB analysis of comScore duplicated July 2015 data (mediametrix, multiplatform). Ad-Supported Television Brands represents all measured Ad-Supported Cable nets, mvpds. And Broadcast Television FOX, CBS, NBC, ABC, iON and CW. 21 Just A Few Reasons Millennials Are Still Spending So Much Time With Television Popular TV Programs Among Millennial Subsegments P13-17 P18-24 P25-34 Sources: Nielsen Npower & Nielsen Social 22 Claim #4: YouTube’s Content Quality Is On Par With TV Fact: YouTube Aggregates Millions Of Channels That Primarily Feature User-Generated Content As Opposed To TV Which Focuses Exclusively On Professionally Produced Programming 23 TV’s Brand Standard Vs. YouTube’s Hodgepodge Ad-Supported TV Brands YouTube Networks 100% Professionally Produced Content Primarily UGC Sources: comScore Video Metrix July 2015 YouTube Partners Report (desktop only); excluding channels with TV-related content like NBC Entertainment 24 The Brand Illusion: Content Fronted by a YouTube MCN “Brand” is Actually an Aggregation of Thousands of (Mostly UGC) Channels Abbreviated Channel List By Network - Tobuscus (6M) - Bart Baker (4M) - Stampylonghead (4M) - TheDiamondMinecart (4M) - Bad Lip Reading (3M) - Glozell Green (3M) - Kassem G (2M) - ERB (1M) - Westfesttv (1M) - HuskyStarcraft (889k) - Katilette (667k) - Gardea23 (624k) - Polaris (619k) - ItsMyRayeRaye (595k) - EpicLloyd (475k) - HeyKayli (422k) - The Platform (379k) - CarlieStylez (345k) - Kandeeland (325k) - The Mom’s View (316k) - DaveChaos (293k) - Animonster (306k) - MakerMusic (235k) - Mary Doodles (231k) - Bobbylee (145k) - FriendlyPaw (138K) - Caroonium (100k) - Maker Gen (100k) - SanctionedTV (14k) - David Barbara (5k) - The Daily Connoisseur (18k) - Emily Valentine (1K) - Emily Hughes (436) Plus 1,600+ More Channels - TheFineBros (10M) - fouseyTube (4M) - Shane (4M) - megannicolesite (2M) - TiffanyAlvord (2M) - our2ndlife (2M) - Tyler Ward Music (1M) - WHATTHEBUCKSHOW (1M) - DavidSoComedy (947k) - TantrumJas (877k) - Avbyte (752k) - Casey Holmes (747k) - COOP3RDRUMM3R (503k) - Jefferson Bethke (490k) - AverageBroTV (487k) - Chrissy Costanza (395k) - 5secondfilms (385k) - Rachel Ballinger (357k) - RAJIV DHALL (356k) - Matt Stonie (337k) - FrankieJGrande (312k) - Brittani (278k) - Lycia Faith (154k) - Molo Nation (102k) - AndrewQuo (80k) - Siennaspaldingtv (69k) - Digital Tour Bus (33k) - Glitterglam95 (25k) - Erik Shaw (15k) - Soulection (10k) - Collegefession (6k) - Derrion Tolanski (6k) - FullscreenCommunity (1K) Plus 5,000+ More Channels (#) = YouTube channel subscribers - RayWilliamJohnson (10M) - Rooster Teeth (7M) - machinimarespawn(2M) - MachinimaRealm (2M) - Dane Boe (1M) - Happyhour (1M) - Nerdist (1M) - Tiesto (1M) - deadmau5 (807K) - Inside Gaming (630k) - xSGTxSMURFx (590) - PressHeartToContinue (522k) - Machinima ETC (412k) - Samandniko (336k) - Black Nerd Comedy (321k) - ThatGuyWhoCamps (314k) - MachinimaVS (227k) - MachinimaLatino (180k) -ItsJustSomeRandomGuy(176k) - AndrewQuo (80k) - RCSuperPowers (70k) - Team Respawn (66k) - Ken Burton (48k) - xCaliGrrlx (11k) - Danstreet123 (7k) - Ash Sowesby (6k) - LenzyDaGreat (5k) - Radnerdtv (4k) - JustinIsAProdigy (3k) - ApoKHD(798) - ting6345 (733) - Energizer (354) - NothingtodowithCats (111) Plus 27,600+ More Channels - Rooster Teeth (7M) - Simons’s Cat (3M) - Dane Boe (1M) - DotaCinema (1M) - Element Animation (1M) - Improv Everywhere (1M) - VintageBeef (1M) - xRpMx13 (1M) - Na’Vi.Dota 2 (914k) - Jumpinthepack (797k) - PauseUnpause (641k) - GuudeBoulderfist (464k) - TheDevildogGamer (435K) - OK Go (414k) - TGN (395k) - First Person Troller (384k) - Team Epiphany (342k) - TheMinecraftHippie (326k) - OMGitsfirefoxx (294k) - Sparkles – CSGO&more (286k) - AgentXPQ (276k) - BajheeraWoW (235k) - stonewall008 (187k) - NukemDukem (169k) - HaloFollwer(167k) - Golden GS (134k) - TCTNGaming (122k) - The Solar Gamer (86k) - OneCheesyMofo (81k) - Cutewithchris (33k) - EmpowerYourBody (24k) - Blackdogfilms (1k) - The DanseSociety (30) Plus 6,000+ More Channels - RocketJump (7M) - Epic Meal Time (6M) - Annoying Orange (4M) - Cinema Sins (3M) - CorridorDigital (3M) - HouseholdHacker (2M) - Wassabi Productions (2M) - JustKiddingFilms(1M) - Lindsey Hughes (980k) - Node(976k) - HollywireTV (879k) - Rob Dyke (758k) - iSekC (751k) - Alexa Losey (474k) - BaratsAndBereta (417k) - Beatdownboogie (393k) - Pogo (380k) - Goldiestarling (371k) - Andrewmfilms (328k) - Bart Kwan (302k) - Inside the Magic (284k) - Yourharto (283k) - Gina Morano (263k) - BloodBlitz (208k) - The Axis of Awesome (206k) - RUNAGROUND (179k) - Jhaller (153k) - LazyPillow (135k) - Belated Media (118k) - TVNweather (112k) - Lena Danya (101k) - Alligator Tub (94k) - Film4 (70) - UltraMusic (2M) - Colinfurze (709k) - Unicoos (349k) - Musical Freedom (252k) - What’s Trending (151k) - Ashley Mardell (106k) - PM Recordings(40k) - Video Creators (31k) - Justkissmyfrog (20k) - SshakeTV (9k) - Flyotw Film( 8k) - JimbleJam (7k) - Alexxparkour (6k) - Jaguar Skills Videos (6k) - Matthias Mayer (6k) - Nikki Yanofsky (6k) - Funk Stylers TV (5k) - Flair20TV (4k) - Mick Woods (4k) - NextTime onLonny (4k) - N1Project (3k) - ILUVLIVE (2k) - Leoleove (2k) - OfficiallyEricJoel (1k) - Sarah Grimstone (1k) - NFoxMUA (885) - BairesFamilyMedia (880) - Tiny Bag Productions (414) - CHOKOHAYS (397) - FourFourTwoUK (394) - fdsmusiclabel(91) - Empire Divide (77) - Cristian Jermane (66) Plus 690+ More Channels Plus 1,500+ More Channels The True Scope Of YouTube’s Top MCN “Aggregation” The Top 20 YouTube MCNs are Actually 240,000+ Channels, Mostly UGC Top 20 comScore Measured YouTube Networks Unique Visitors (P13+) – July’15 The Top 20 Networks average over 12,200 channels* (4,950+ excl QuizGroup) Sources: comScore Video Metrix July 2015 YouTube Partners Report (desktop only); excluding channels with TV-related content like NBC Entertainment 26 Adding Your Own Channel To An MCN Is Only A Few Clicks Away 27 Lack Of Transparency Can Make It Difficult For An Advertiser To Know Where Their YouTube Ads Are Running The top 100 channels out of the millions and millions of active ones on YouTube deliver 42% of total video views on the platform Furthermore, through the Google Preferred Program advertisers can buy guaranteed placements on only the top 5% of YouTube channels (based on popularity and engagement) in exchange for an upfront spend commitment Google Preferred YouTube Channels As A % of Total Google Preferred Channels All Other Channels 95% 5% Sources: YouTube: the Next Generation of TV, Rider Research Includes millions of channels featuring all sorts of personalities, themes and content 28 YouTube Is Fraught With Questionable Content Especially Among Under The Radar, Long-Tail Channels 29 Not To Mention, YouTube Is A Haven For Pirated Content 30 Claim #5: YouTube Has Hundreds of Billions of Videos Viewed Monthly Fact: There’s A Significant Difference Between SelfReported Global Stats & U.S. Syndicated Sources, This Lack of Transparency Makes It Difficult To Ascertain A True Count 31 It’s Important To Understand That YouTube’s Self-Reported Video Figures Are Typically Based On Global Views The Claim: 240 billion videos are viewed monthly on YouTube YouTube Facts: • Approximately 20% of views come from the U.S. (48 Billion) comScore Measured U.S. Video Views 15 Billion Sources: Total video views from YouTube, The Next Generation of TV, Rider Research (Sept 2015); U.S. view figures come from YouTube statistics (2015) (Desktop) 32 According To Current YouTube Stats, Total Video Views Are Rather Evenly Split Between Mobile & Desktop The Claim: 240 billion videos are viewed monthly on YouTube YouTube Facts: • Approximately 20% of views come from the U.S. (48 Billion) • 50% of YouTube video views are on desktop YouTube’s Claimed U.S. Video Views 24 Billion (Desktop) YouTube’s desktop video view estimate is reflected for comparison purposes since syndicated research only measures desktop video (and not mobile) at this point Sources: Total video views from YouTube, The Next Generation of TV, Rider Research (Sept 2015); U.S. view figures come from YouTube statistics (2015); desktop stats from YouTube Statistics (2015) 33 Resizing YouTube’s Video Count Based On Syndicated Research Measurement The Claim: 240 billion videos are viewed monthly on YouTube YouTube Facts: • Approximately 20% of views come from the U.S. (48 Billion) • comScore Video Measurement (U.S. desktop only): • July 2015 Total Video Views: 15 Billion 50% of YouTube video views are on desktop YouTube’s Claimed U.S. Video Views 24 Billion (Desktop) comScore Measured U.S. Video Views 15 Billion (Desktop) Why is there a 60% discrepancy between YouTube’s reported stats and a major third-party digital currency measurement service? Sources: Total video views from YouTube, The Next Generation of TV, Rider Research (Sept 2015); U.S. view figures come from YouTube statistics (2015); desktop stats from YouTube Statistics (2015); comScore July 2015 VideoMetrix (15 billion video view breakout: Content - 12.3 Billion; Ads – 2.7 Billion) 34 “True” Size From An Advertiser Perspective Is Whittled Down Further Based On Several Additional Factors comScore Measured U.S. Video Views 15 Billion (Desktop) Viewability (37% video viewability rate) This doesn’t even include Fraud / Bots Skipped TrueView Ads (12% video ad fraud) (85% are skippable, 94% of which are skipped) Ad-Blocking (16% of U.S. online pop. block ads) ??? Net Total Videos With Ad Visibility Potential Sources: YouTube statistics (% that are skippable TruView ads); MetrixLab research study (% which are skipped), % that are skipped Viewability & ad fraud figures from Q2 2105 Integral Ad Science Media Quality Report; Ad-blocking figure from PageFair & Adobe 2Q 2015 report 35 For More Information Visit Us Online: www.theVAB.com Follow us: @VideoAdBureau Like us: facebook.com/ VideoAdvertisingBureau