From the Desk of Julie Tacker PO Box 6070 Los Osos, CA 93412
Transcription
From the Desk of Julie Tacker PO Box 6070 Los Osos, CA 93412
From the Desk of Julie Tacker PO Box 6070 Los Osos, CA 93412 805-528-3569 October 4, 2013 Los Osos Community Services District 2122 9th St. Los Osos, CA 93402 RE: Los Osos Basin Plan Public Review Draft Comments Dear Los Osos Community Services District Board of Directors, Please consider the following comments with regard to the Los Osos Basin Plan. I object to the process in which the public has had limited opportunity to participate in the ISJ to date. To have its culmination end in $67 million of experimental projects and only 60 days for public comment is disingenuous and nontransparent. To be compelled to comment in this rushed fashion, with no expectations for response or influencing change, is also misleading to the public. Previous iterations of ISJ memoranda and pre-draft plans have been released over time, none of which included cost projections associated with the recommendations. Over the same timeframe, the public has been grappling with the high costs of the wastewater project. Had these costs for basin management been known, there would have been little to no support for water management programs that still may encounter resistance. The long history and protracted controversy surrounding the wastewater project was supposed to address groundwater management as well. A holistic approach to groundwater management was bifurcated intentionally when the County uncoupled water from wastewater in 2007. The Basin Plan has many flaws and in part is built on two plans that are also flawed; the County’s Water Conservation Plan and its Recycled Water Management Plan. Both plans have inherent errors that will plague future plans if relied on as the Basin Plan does. As you know, the County’s Water Conservation Plan falls short in many ways. Nearly a year into its implementation, according to the LOWWP Monthly Updates, it is evident that very few residents have taken advantage of the “incentives” to further save water. Less than 4500,000 have been spent on rebates to date. Additionally and maybe more importantly, the Recycled Water Management Plan as currently proposed contracts executed to date, only provides water to agriculturalists that are not currently using Los Osos Groundwater Basin supplies. The recycled water used will grow crops on land that currently is not irrigated, providing no seawater intrusion mitigation. The Basin Plan contemplates a Facilities District and Water Master to manage the program/s implementation. Another Board, staff, and bureaucracy to do what really only the two major purveyors need to agree to. The County and S&T Mutual are bit players in the overall scheme of basin management. Once the LOWWP is operational, the County’s only role in water management will be its nexus to land use permits. Its role is already in place with the ordinances From the Desk of Julie Tacker PO Box 6070 Los Osos, CA 93412 805-528-3569 for water conservation and new wells needing metering. S&T Mutual’s role/percentage of use continues to be reduced since their installation of individual meters. With regard to the programs as outlined in the Basin Plan, priorities should be set with the least cost and maximum benefit because the lion’s share of the LOWWP has burdened the developed properties to date. Additionally, as far as choices go, while I personally do not like the importation alternatives associated with Nacimiento and State Water, I do believe that the ratepayers should be informed of the choice of spending their funds for sources that have been reliable for other communities. Imported water may be favored over the experiments laid out in the Basin Plan that may fail, and have to import water anyway. In essence, paying twice. Equity issue’s has long been at the center of controversy, years of costs burdened by the Prohibition Zone. But for as these many years’ general property taxes (approximately $180,000 annually) have been subsidizing rates at the LOCSD Water Company. These funds should be looked at as a source to cover costs of basin management rather than continue to subsidize LOCSD ratepayers only. This could eliminate the need to form an assessment district or reduce the assessment overall if these funds could be used to benefit all. Additional equity issues relate to ag land farmers paying only $100 per AF verse the school district (taxpayers) paying upwards of $1,500 per AF. Until these imbalances are recognized, the ‘salt in wounds’ will continue. The highest cost project, centralized Nitrogen Removal at the Rosina Well site has environmental problems that will invoke controversy. The industrial nature of trucks frequently hauling brine from an area so near the Monarch Grove Elementary School will have traffic impacts in a school zone. You are also aware, that I do not support using the upper aquifer as a drinking supply due to the many known contaminants that can/will not be treated as part of its use. I look forward to implementation of projects that will balance the basin and will participate as each one moves forward through the CEQA process. Thank you for the opportunity to comment. Sincerely, Margaret, Here are my comments regarding the Basin Plan: Section 1.3.4 Page 8 bottom paragraph states the County will deliver water to the Purveyors for resale to users. The Plan should define who these users are (the schools). The wastewater contractors are laying reclaimed water lines in the ground en route to the schools. The Plan should state this. The way it is currently written is too vague. The term “users” makes it sound like any homeowner can hook up to the reclaimed water line and use it. Section 5.8 Page 83: The nitrate level illustrations do not indicate what measurement is being indicated indicated. (i.e. mg/L). Although there are numbers listed in the legend, the measurement should also be listed to make the illustrations clearer to interpret. Section 6.1 Page 91 bottom paragraph: Grammar error in the 1st sentence: “This Chapter 6 defines the nitrate…” Should read: “This Chapter defines,” or “Chapter 6 defines.” Section 7.4.5 Page 127 1st paragraph, 6th line: Grammar error: “A well with an historical monitoring……” Should read: “A well with a historical monitoring…..” Section 11.3 Page 244 regarding storm water capture: The idea of connection of a centralized storm water collection system to privately owned septic tanks abandoned after construction of the LOWWP and perforation of septic tank floors should be eliminated from the Basin Plan. Residents are not going to approve of their yards and streets being excavated a second time after connection to the collection system currently being installed. Section 11.5.4 Page 251: Typo: Montana Del Oro is incorrect. Should be Montana De Oro. Lastly, the way the draft is written the County appears to be accepting little or no responsibility for allowing this crisis to climb to this level. This situation should never have been allowed to occur and it started decades ago, long before the formation of the LOCSD. The County issued building permits for nearly every structure in Los Osos and was aware of the looming water crisis. The issuance of these building permits should have stopped long ago, but the County failed to do so and should be held equally responsible for the cost of implementing the Basin Plan. Thank you, Jason Margaret, Can Marie Smith submit the following questions via email for the ISJ? Rob -----Original Message----From: Marie Smith [mailto:[email protected]] Sent: Friday, September 06, 2013 7:25 AM To: Rob Miller Subject: the water basin questions keep coming! Hi Rob, I have a lot going on right now and since I really do not know what "cautions" are in the water plan and haven't had time to read the documents, I would like to leave some more questions with you to ponder/forward or submit them as comments to the plan if appropriate. To my previous question which occurred when the subject was about the placement of the dewatering water that is coming from the sewer installation of pipes/pump stations: what are the consequences on where we put that water if we haven't considered each particular source location, the composition of that dewatering water: i.e. if that water was put at the Broderson leachfields could there be a possible clogging of those lines with salts, oil and grime? I now add: Questions arise when considering drilling and using wells to the East: 1. Will this create a false sense of security since the salt water plume will not then be an immediate threat to the new wells, and will this lead to more water usage by current users and more population buildout/usage than the water basin can handle? 2. Will this affect nearby private well users or lifeforms? 3. Will there be more of a threat to our water from the nitrates and chemicals from the farms and also from the old LO Turri road dump plume? 4. Since this will be taking water from a new location, how will this affect the flow of water to the Bay fringe and other lifeforms? 5. and two general questions: How does the LO earthquake fault line(s) or any underground springs affect all of this? It is "interesting" that we are asking the farmer's to decrease their "straw" usage and yet we will be increasing ours. I do understand that these issues are complex due to the way that water is moving through the different soil/solid compositions, the various formations of the clay lenses, and the different incoming fluid/gas/solid substances. Thank you for your time and have a great day! Marie Ms. Falkner, It took me a few hours, but I did manage to wade through the 300 page draft Basin Plan. An advanced degree in geology would have helped through much of the plan. I accept the need to mitigate the nitrate problem in the Upper Aquifer and salt water intrusion in the Lower Aquifer That said, I do not recall any discussion relating to the cost of such efforts during the debate leading up to the adoption of the LOWWP. Which means another bond issue, this one for about $30 million, will be forced upon us by the various unelected boards and commissions which run our lives. And of course, by the time the program is finally finished, the cost will have risen considerably. My realtor some how never mentioned anything about sewer costs or water problems when we purchased our home here in 1995. Oh well. One question; will the vote to adopt a No Further Development or a Buildout Development plan involve the entire community within the Plan area or only portions thereof? Thanks for your time and efforts. William Farmer 1541 4th Street. November 9, 2013 ISJ Parties, Here are copies of corrected/updated versions of my comments submitted in draft form on October 3. I've included a version with the changes highlighted. Please refer to the three reviews of Basin conditions by Peter Mayer and Eugene Yates attached to the September draft of my comments. Keith Wimer Summary of Problems with the Draft Basin Plan for the Los Osos Groundwater Basin (dated 8/1/13) and Recommended Changes/Actions Prepared by Keith Wimer 10/2013 Overview of problems and recommendations In general, the Draft Basin Plan (Basin Plan) down plays the seriousness of the seawater intrusion problem in the Los Osos Groundwater Basin (the Basin) and overestimates the potential for the Plan's proposals (recommended programs) to stop and reverse it. This is largely because the Plan relies too heavily on a Basin model that projects overly-optimistic Basin yields from the relocation of wells (i.e., Infrastructure Programs A-D). As proposed, Basin Plan solutions will be too little too late to solve the severe seawater intrusion problem-and only "kick the can down the road" for others to fix when it is too late to save the Basin. Because The County, local water purveyors, and key agencies have delayed effective Basin management and real solutions for 40 years, the Basin's freshwater capacity has been seriously reduced and remedial actions now must be bold, decisive, and immediate. (The Basin Plan acknowledges that the Basin has been over drafted since 1979-34 yearsat an average annual rate of 700 to 1100 acre feet per year, 30% to 40%.) Because Los Osos has been forced to put virtually all of its financial eggs in one basket with the Los Osos Wastewater Project, Basin Plan programs must also be the most cost-effective possible. While the basic actions recommended in the Basin Plan (relocation of wells, water-use efficiency, and recycled water use) are likely to be the most cost effective actions, the Plan does not maximize them. The benefits of Basin Plan programs are overstated and the potential for better programs ignored. Further, the Plan does not acknowledge the need for urgent action, nor support it with time-specific objectives and mechanisms to ensure rapid implementation. In fact, the Basin Plan does not guarantee any action will be taken. A Basinwide water management ordinance is needed- and provided for in the ISJ agreement-to ensure quick implementation of the most effective measures. Maximizing cost-effective water-use efficiency, recycling, and infrastructure programs-and implementing the programs with a Basin-wide ordinance that requires all water users in the Basin to participate within the next two years-provides the best chance of reversing seawater intrusion as soon as possible (S-7 years). As a result, it provides the best chance of preserving the basin as a sustainable sole water source for the community. The Los Osos Groundwater Basin must be preserved as the sole sustainable water source for the community because supplemental water is unreliable and/or infeasible eco nomically, socially, and technically. Furthermore, preserving the Basin as the sole source is the only way to begin to justify the tremendous costs and environmental impacts of the LOWWP, which agencies have required and justified as "essential" for the sustainability of the Basin and community. I. The draft Basin Plan does not adequately describe the severity of seawater intrusion in the Basin or the need for urgent action. The Plan provides an overview of seawater intrusion's relentless march through the basin since the 1970's and explains that the Los Osos Groundwater Basin Update (Basin Update) (released by the Parties in May 2010) showed seawater intrusion had accelerated from an 60 feet per year to 700 feet per year Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 1 of 15 (about 12 times) between 2004 and 2009 (Page 85). Also, the Basin Plan states: "Currently, and for the foreseeable future, seawater intrusion is the most serous (sic) challenge facing the Basin," and it includes, as one of three "Immediate Goals," to "Halt or, to the extent possible, reverse water intrusion into the Basin." However, the draft Plan does not state the need for "quick and decisive action" as the Parties stated in the 2010 Basin Update-nor does the Basin Plan state how destructive seawater has been and will continue to be without bold, decisive, immediate action. In a review of the seawater intrusion problem in 2010, Eugene Yates, a foremost authority on the Basin, called the problem "extremely urgent," and recommended an aggressive wateruse efficiency program, agricultural exchange, and low impact development/rechargealong with major shifts in pumping to the Upper Aquifer and inland within two years. He said the actions were needed to raise the water tables in the Lower Aquifer to above sea level as soon as possible to reduce the threat to the water supply. He added that seawater intrusion destroys water for most uses at very low concentrations and is very difficult to reverse once it advances. He also warned that LOWWP impacts on the Upper aquifer, in conjunction with necessary shifts in pumping to the Upper Aquifer, could cause seawater intrusion in the aquifer. (See Yates 8/2010 review, e.g., Page 1 & 6, attached.) In addition to maximizing conservation and other programs, he recommended having contingency measures in place, if seawater intrusion results from the major changes planned for the Basin. The Basin Plan lists one of Mr. Yate's reviews from 2010, but cites neither. The 2010 Basin Update showed seawater intrusion was advancing about 700 feet per year between 2004 and 2009 and had accelerated by 12 times. Instead of explaining the serious implication of this rapid advance, the Basin Plan states "...while accelerated rates of intrusion since 2005 have occurred, they may not be as high as rates calculated in 2010." The Plan then provides a cross-sectional diagram of the Basin showing seawater in Zone D had not reached the Palisades Well as the Basin Update reported (Page 85). However, the Basin Plan does not provide an estimate of how fast seawater intrusion is moving inland. Figure 26 (Page 86), when examined closely, shows that intrusion into Zone D along a broad front at the seawater interface moved about twice as far in four years as it had in the previous 20 years. In other words, seawater intrusion moved 10 times as fast, rather than 12 times as fast (500-600 feet per year). The Basin Plan plays down the severity of the problem by not clearly stating this fact. Seawater intrusion into Zone D along a broad front, rather than along preferred pathways ("fingers" extending into Zone D to the Palisades well) is caused by low water tables in Zone D. The Basin Plan points this out, but then confuses the issue. It states In order to maintain the freshwater-seawater interface at a defined location in the Basin, average static groundwater levels in the freshwater portion of the aquifer must be held higher than sea level. Iffreshwater levels fall below a certain level (defined in more detail below)_ then seawater will progress inland in order to equilibrate the pressures between seawater and freshwater portions of the aquifer. (Page 98) This acknowledges that seawater intrusion will continue until water tables are brought up in all of Zone D, but the Basin Plan then states: In order to control seawater intrusion in the Basin, the Purveyors and other groundwater users need to reduce their production from the Lower Aquifer in the Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 2 of 15 Western Area. That action will allow freshwater levels to rise, thereby preventing further seawater intrusion and pushing the freshwater-seawater interface seaward and away from the Los Osos community. (Emphasis added)" (Page 98) This statement gives the impression that sh ifting pumping in ZoneD from the Western Area to the Central Area will stop seawater intrusion. However, the strategy is designed primarily to stop localized intrusion and to create a freshwater "barrier" to slow intrusion into the aquifer along preferred pathways (e.g., into the large pumping depression under the commercial area). The strategy will not stop the broad front of seawater moving in under the aquifer, which may still be advancing at the 2005-2009 rate of 500 to 600 feet per year. This front can only be stopped by bringing up water levels in Zone D to 8-9 feet above sea level, which requires reducing pumping enough in all Zone D wells to eliminate the large pumping depression, which extends "throughout the Central and Western Areas," according to the Basin Plan (Page 66). The fact that seawater intrusion will co ntinue (and the reasons) are explained on Pages 84 and 85 of the Basin Plan, which, at one point states, "Given that Lower Aquifer groundwater elevations inland of the coast have been below sea level or within a few feet of sea level for many years, seawater intrusion was inevitable" (Page 85). The Basin Plan also fails to mention that seawater intrusion permanently destroys the Basin as it advances. The 2005 Seawater Intrusion Assessment by Cleath and Associates (now Cleath-Harris Geologists, Inc.) indicates that, when chloride levels reach 2500 mgjl, seawater intrusion is not reversible. Figure 9 of the Assessment shows how much of the two Lower Aquifers (Zones D & E) had been destroyed between 1985 and 2005. However, neither the 2010 Basin Update, nor the draft Basin Plan, shows how much permanent destruction of the Basin has occurred since 1985. The Basin Plan also does not clearly describe the state of Lower Aqui fer Zone E (the deep aquifer). Based on responses by Rob Miller of Wallace Group to questions asked at an LOCSD special meeting on the Basin Plan, purveyors are not pumping from Zone E, except from one inland well, due to severe seawater intrusion. The Basin Plan refers to Zones D and E as a single aquifer (calling them the "Lower Aquifer"); however, the Plan reports that Zone E was sealed off at a main community supply well (Palisades Well) due to chloride levels above safe limits, and it refers to Zone E as a source of seawater for desalination. It adds that total dissolved solids (TDS) levels in Zone E exceed the levels of brackish water (1,000 mg/1 to 10,000 mg/1) (Page 24 7). TDS levels are typically roughly double chloride levels. The fact that chlorid e levels are not presented for Zone E suggests the Plan is avoiding the issue. As stated, seawater destroys the Basin when chlorides reach 2500 mg/1, and the Title 22 safe lim it for chlorides in drinking water is 500 mgji. At the LOCSD meeting, Mr. Miller acknowledged that the Parties were "not trying to save Zone E." The deep aquifer once comprised over 1/3rd of the basin's freshwater capacity and contained its purest water, 5,000 to 10,000-year-old "fossil water," unpolluted by nitrates and other contaminants. It showed no signs of seawater intrusion in the 1970's. If Zone E is no longer a viable drinking water source, a major concern is whether the Basin has enough capacity to sustain the curren t population; another concern is the extent to which severe intrusion in Zone E will affect Zone D since the Basin Plan describes the aquitard (clay layer) separating the aquifers as "possibly discontinuous" (Page 64). Further, the Basin Plan does not estimate how long it will take to raise water levels in Zone D enough to reverse seawater intrusion, or how much more of the basin will be destroyed by Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 3 of 15 that time. Currently, three-fourths of the urban water supply is pumped from Zone D, and the Basin Plan acknowledges pumping levels are not sustainable. It estimates 460 AFY of pumping must be shifted from ZoneD in the Western Area to ZoneD in the Central Area, and to the Upper Aquifer to achieve "sustainable" conditions. However, a "sustainable" condition, as defined in the Basin Plan is a condition in which no active well has a chloride level above 250 mg/1. Therefore-as acknowledged in the Plan-"sustainable" defines a condition in which seawater advances much further into the basin. This additional progress is seen when Figure 27 is compared to Figure 38. Although the Basin Plan provides a map showing where seawater would stop under "sustainable" conditions, it does not estimate how long this condition will take to achieve. A 2009 report prepared by Cleath-Harris for the Parties ("Flow Model Conversion and Urban Area Yield Update" by Spencer Harris of Cleath-Harris Geologists, Inc.") predicts "sustainable" conditions based on "SO and 500-year snapshots," but that report assumes much different "sustainable yields" (much lower yields for Zone D and much higher for Zone C, the Upper Aquifer). Thus, Basin Plan "sustainable yields" are questionable to begin with. At best, they would not stop seawater intrusion for several decades. (See 2009 report by Cleath-Harris, Pages 5 & 6, attached and Parts II). The draft Plan estimates that recommended Infrastructure Program AC will take about three years to construct and another five years before the first signs of rising water tables are seen (Pages 106 and 238). It also estimates it will take 15 years for chloride levels to drop, once the aquifer levels are high enough to reverse intrusion (8 feet above msl) (Page 106). Thus, if seawater continues to move inland at the 2005-2009 rate (about 1/2 mile every 4-5 years), it could progress another mile into the Basin even before the first signs of rising water levels (about eight years), and it could travel two miles or more inland before the contamination of freshwater by seawater shows the first signs of reversing-assuming the programs are effective. The Western and Central Areas of the Basin extend only about two miles from where the seawater intrusion front was last measured in Zone D--even with Broderson Avenue (see Figure 26). Therefore, at the 2005-2009 rate of seawater intrusion, Zone D could be destroyed by seawater before the Basin Plan predicts intrusion will show signs of reversal (i.e., in 15 years or so). The Basin Plan recommends adding a 20% margin of safety to "sustainable" yields to account for uncertainties (i.e., reducing production to 20% below these yields), and it states that the margin will push the seawater interface offshore. Undoubtedly the margin increases the likelihood of reversing seawater intrusion, but the Plan does not estimate when seawater will be reversed under any scenario-and the margin of safety is not likely enough to reverse seawater intrusion (see Part II). Two other facts presented in the Basin Plan show how severe the problem is and how difficult it will be to reverse. The Basin Plan estimates total freshwater storage capacity of the Basin at about 205,000 acre feet (AF), 140,000 AF in the Lower Aquifer and 65,000 AF in the Upper. It says only 40,000 AF are above sea above sea level (can be pumped without inducing seawater intrusion) almost all in the Upper. It adds that the storage above sea level provides a sufficient buffer against seawater intrusion during droughts, given annual community water use under 3,000 AF. However, the 2003 Yates and Williams study estimates total Basin storage at about 500,000 AF (452,000 AF in the Lower Aquifers and 37,800 AF to 50,400 AF in the Upper Aquifer). Unless one of the studies is way off in its estimate, the difference could mean that over half of the Basin's freshwater capacity has been rendered unusable by seawater intrusion. Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 4 of 15 Also, the Basin Plan reports that the community reduced water use by almost 40% since about 1988 (Page 140). This is good news because the large reduction has brought production in the Basin down much closer to a true safe yield. (The safe yield of the Basin has been overestimate by 700 to 1000 AFY for at least 15 years (3,200 to 3,500 AFY versus the 2450 AFY per the Basin Plan), and the Basin has been over drafted by over 700 AFY on average for 34 years. It is bad news because seawater in trusion has continued although conservation is widely recognized by experts as the most cost-effective and immediate way to reduce seawater intrusion (since it reduces the pumping causing it and allows water levels to rise). The fact that rapid seawater intrusion continues with almost a 40% water use reduction shows how difficult seawater intrusion will be to reverse, and it means there is much less conservation potential to do it with. Undoubtedly, so much conservation would have had a greater effect on seawater intrusion if, at the same time, more pumping had been shifted away from Western Area in Zone D, but it remains to be seen if enough conservation potential still exists to bring up low water tables in Zone D (the large pumping d epression under much of the community) without over pumping Zone C or other parts of the Basin. One fact is certain-all of these programs must be maximized to optimize flexibility and the potential for success. Recommendations: 1. Accurately describe the threat of seaw ater intrusion to the Basin by explaining the conditions above. 2. Acknowledge the need for urgent, decis ive action so that more of Basin is not destroyed. 3. Present scenarios/programs to bring water tables up in all of Zone D to an average of 8 feet above mean sea level (msl) as soon as possible and project how long each will take to meet th e objective. 4. Stop pumping altogether from Zone E, analyze its potential adverse impacts on Zone D (from very high salt levels and a discontinuous layer separating the aquifers), and devise a plan to save Zone E. Present scenarios/programs to bring water tables up in the aquifer an average of 17 feet above mean sea level (msl) as soon as possible and project how long each will take to meet the objective. 5. Expand water level and chloride metrics to include wells measuring changes in the pumping d epressions of all production zones (Zones C, D, and E) - and change the chloride metric to 60 mg/ 1 (much closer to historic chloride levels than the proposed 100 mgjl, which indicates continued seawater contamination). (The water level metric for Zone E will have to be near 17 feet above mean sea level.) 6. Implement enhanced conservation and reuse progra ms tha t maximize seawater intrusion benefits by maximizing pumping reductions in the Western and Central Areas (see recommendations below)-also include an enhanced infrastructure program (Implement Program D with the recommended Program AC as a first step). 7. Target a reduction in pumping in the Western and Central Areas of the Basin to no more than 1000 AFY within two years. [Target 0 AFY pumped from Zone D in the Western Area, 400 AFY pumped from Zone D in the Central Area, 500-600 AFY pumped from the Upper Aquifer in the Western and Central Areas (with Program AC), and 300-400 AFY pumped from the Eastern Area (via Program D). This would make total production for the urban population about 1400 AFY, near the 1450 AFY recommended in the Basin Plan (Page 6), also maintaining the current production for agriculture at 750 AFY. With this scenario, total production for the Basin would be about 2150 AFY, about 300 AFY (1 2%) under the Basin Plan's "sustainable yield" for current conditions (2450 AFY) a nd Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2 013, Page 5 of 15 190 AFY (10%) over the "sustainable yield" with a 20% margin of safety for current conditions (1960 AFY). This approach applies a 20% margin of safety (as the Basin Plan recommends) but reduces reliance on the Model by assuming shifts in pumping with Infrastructure Programs ACD increase Basin yield by about 10%, rather than 20-40%. The 1000 AFY target within two years for the Western and Central Areas should maximize the potential to bring up water tables in Zone D, while not adversely impacting Zone C-thus, maximizing the chance of reversing seawater intrusion as soon as possible. This scenario does not use all the potential of Program D, leaving 200-300 AFY of estimated yield as a buffer and to adapt to adverse impacts (e.g., LOWWP impacts). (Also, see Part 2 below for why these assumptions and the approach are needed.) II. The Plan relies too heavily on a Model with substantial uncertainty and a questionable finding/assumption that moving production in Lower Aquifer Zone D to the Upper Aquifer and inland will increase basin yield significantly. A main focus of the Plan is to move more pumping inland in ZoneD and to the Upper Aquifer with infrastructure programs. The Plan estimates Infrastructure Program AC will increase the yield of the basin to 3000 AFY from 2450 AFY, and it estimates that adding Infrastructure Programs B and D to Program AC will raise "sustainable yields" to 3500 AFY (Pages 237 & 239). Eugene Yates, however, is clear that shifts in pumping do not increase basin yields long-term. In a January 2010 review of Basin yields (entitled "Review of Cleath-Harris Geologists' July 2009 Memorandum 'Flow Model Conversion and Urban Area Yield Update"'), Mr. Yates states The proposed management actions to address the saltwater intrusion problem do not increase basin yield, but shift the location of groundwater extraction. For example, pairing shallow and deep wells at major pumping locations provides the opportunity to adjust the proportion of water pumped from the upper and lower aquifers but it does not increase yield. Furthermore, there are limits to this strategy because of the uncertainty in the capacity of the upper aquifer to support additional extractions and the possibility of seawater intrusion occurring in the upper aquifer. (See Yates 1/13/ 2010 review, Page 4). In an August 2010 review of the Basin Update (entitled "Review of Los Osos Basin Update and Current Wastewater Project Description-Revised"), Mr. Yates points out that seawater intrusion is mainly a problem of basin imbalance ("more water consumed in the basin than being replenished") and he recommends maximizing indoor-outdoor conservation, storm water recharge, rainwater harvesting and low impact development recharge to tip the balance toward more water entering the basin than leaving it (see Yates 6/10/2010 review, Page 1). Mr. Yates points out (and the Basin Plan agrees) seawater intrusion cannot be stopped and reversed until water levels in the aquifers are above sea level. The infrastructure program recommended in the Basin Plan (Program AC) involves moving most pumping inland to the Central Area, but maintaining most of the pumping from ZoneD (1260 AFY ZoneD vs. 950 Zone C-Page 237). Water levels in Zone D are already low throughout the Western and Central Areas (Page 64). The assumption that shifting more pumping inland in ZoneD will increase yields and bring water levels up in the aquifer is not credible-especially when the recharge regime and structure of the Basin are considered. Virtually all recharge of the Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 6 of15 Lower Aquifer in the Western and Central Areas is from the Upper Aquifer, or Lower Aquifer in the Eastern Area, according to the 2005 Seawater Intrusion Assessment (p. 77). Also, based on cross sectional maps of the Basin (e.g., Figure 27, Page 87) Zone D tapers up as it nears Los Osos Creek, indicating that proposed wells will tap the aquifer at higher elevations. Higher elevations of Zone D undoubtedly supply lower elevations. Whereas additional wells in the Central Area may increase yields incrementally (i.e., allow extraction of some additional water flowing toward the estuary or creek), most of the groundwater in the Central Area apparently flows west to lower parts of the Basin. Therefore, additional inland Zone D wells (e.g., Program C) are not likely to produce a significant net increase in yield or bring up water levels significantly. It is just as likely to lower water levels and pull seawater further into Zone D and/or cause adverse impacts on private wells or sensitive habitat in the area. The prediction in the Basin Plan that moving production inland and to the Upper Aquifer will substantially increased yields is based on the Basin Model, with substantial margins of error. Based on a peer review of the Model, the Basin Plan says the Model has been found to be a good basis for determining yields and the rate of seawater intrusion (Page 77). However, Mr. Peter Pyle, of Stetson Engineers, chooses his words carefully in his review of the Model (which is included in the 2010 Basin Update.) According to the Basin Plan, Mr. Pyle says that the Model is okay to use to "initiate" changes so long as changes are "gradual" and there are monitoring and contingency plans in place. He also states that the "structure" of the Model is "sound and able to simulate hydrologic processes in the Basin, particularly as regards to the ... extent of seawater intrusion in each of the main water bearing units (Zones C, D, and E)," but he recommends refinements in the Model and he does not say the Model is able to accurately predict the extent of seawater intrusion now-and for good reason. The technical memorandum entitled "Flow Model Conversion and Urban Area Yield Update" by Spencer Harris of Cleath-Harris Geologists, Inc. (2009)-which introduced the latest version of the Model and first estimated "sustainable yields" based on the Modelreports that the Model underestimated seawater intrusion progress in Zone E by 1000 to 2000 feet per year (see Cleath-Harris TM "Urban Yield," Page 4, attached). More recent information in the Basin Plan reveals the inaccuracy was even greater because seawater intrusion in Zone E had moved even faster. The Basin Plan states " ... a back calculation of historical water quality data shows that the intrusion front in Zone E had already reached the Palisades Well by 2005," which required changing the " ... historical rate of seawater intrusion in Zone E between 1977 and 2005 " .. .from 54 feet per year to approximately 180 feet per year" (Page 85). The Basin Plan also fails to mention that Mr. Pyle wrote his review without the benefit of the 2010 Basin Update (and the Cleath-Harris technical memorandum contained in the Update), which first revealed that seawater intrusion had accelerated by at least 10 times in Zone D between 2005 and 2009. In other words, in 2009 the Model was at least a 1000% off in its simulation of the rate of seawater intrusion, showing "an average velocity of 60 feet per year" when it was closer to 700 feet per year (Page 4). The Basin Plan acknowledges there is a good deal of uncertainty in the Model and it mentions some of the sources. However, it leaves out some of the sources Mr. Yates lists in his 2010 review of the Cleath-Harris 2009 technical memorandum. Eugene Yates, one of the creators of the Model, cites one source that could result in an error of 40% in yield estimates (see Yate's 1/13/10 review, Page 3). He expresses particular doubts about the Model's ability to predict yields with the combined impacts of the LOWWP and a lot more pumping Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 7 of 15 from the Upper Aquifer (a condition unlike any in the basin's history). He also cites the possible use of potable water for habitat restoration to mitigate LOWWP impacts on wetlands as a source of error, and he points out that Broderson leach fields will not restore groundwater flows to some habitat along Morro Bay Estuary (see Yate's 1/13/10 review, Page 4) . The LOWWP is likely to stop at least 300 AFY of groundwater flows to Morro Bay Estuary and sensitive habitat (the difference between eliminated septic system flows, 780 AFY, and the groundwater Broderson and Bayridge leach fields is supposed to replace, 480 AFY). There is no LOWWP project document that makes it clear how this water will be replaced if necessary to avoid adverse impacts on habitat. To account for uncertainties in the Model, the Basin Plan recommends adding a 20% margin of safety to yields (targeting yields of 80% of "sustainable yields" as determined by the Model), and it states the margin will also result in reversing seawater intrusion. However, the Plan does not say how it arrives at the 20% margin-and 20% is not likely enough to account for uncertainties-let alone reversing seawater intrusion. One fact supporting the need for a larger margin of safety and less reliance on the Model is that Cleath-Harris has had to revise down basin yield estimates for current conditions from about 3,500 AFY in 2000 to 3,200 AFY in 2009, down to 2,450 AFY in 2012 (with the Basin Plan). (Note that 2,450 AFY is a "sustainable yield," which allows seawater intrusion to advance substantially further). With the 20% margin applied, under current conditions a yield of 1960 AFY would be required to reverse seawater intrusion per the Basin Plan. As the Plan points out, the "sustainable yield" has been exceeded since 1979 (34 years) by an average of 700 AFY or 30%, and it has been over drafted by 1100 AFY if the safer yield estimate of 80% of sustainable yield is applied. The total overdraft is 23,800 AF to 37,400 AF or 10 to 15 years of water use in the Basin as "sustainable yield" levels. This longstanding overdraft, which resulted in much of the Basin being destroyed-is due to modeling error. More fundamentally, it is due to an over reliance on the Model and a tendency for decision-makers to support overly-optimistic projections of Basin yield (i.e., to err on the side of maximizing production rather than sustaining the Basin). In 2009, Cleath-Harris drastically changed the yield estimates for the Upper and Lower Aquifers. Estimates for the Lower Aquifer in the Western and Central Areas of the Basin were cut in half to between 600 and 725 AFY from 1300 AFY, and "safe" yield for the Upper Aquifer was increased from 1150 AFY to about 1450 AFY, indicating that the Lower Aquifer yields had been overestimated by 600-700 AFY and Upper Aquifer yields underestimated by 300 AFY for many years. The Cleath-Harris safe yield estimates for the Upper and Lower Aquifers are taken from the 2007 Resource Capacity Study, Page 9. Finally, the "sustainable yields" based on the latest version of the Model, which Cleath-Harris presents in 2009 in the "Flow Model Conversion and Urban Area Yield Update," are different from the yields Cleath-Harris presents in the Basin Plan based on the same version of the Model. The 2009 memo estimates "sustainable yields" for water purveyors from the Lower Aquifer (with the LOWWP) at 725 AFY and Upper Aquifer yields 1325 AFY (see ISJ TM "Urban Yield," p. 8). The Basin Plan estimates "sustainable yields" with the LOWWP at 1160 AFY for the Lower Aquifer and 580 AFY for the Upper Aquifer (Page 226). This is 435 AFY (or 60%) more than the earlier Cleath-Harris estimates for the Lower Aquifer. According to the Basin Plan, all pumping options (i.e., Infrastructure Programs A, B, C, & D) will produce greater "sustainable yields" from the Lower Aquifer than the 2009 CleathWimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 8 of15 Harris technical memorandum estimates-even though the 2009 memorandum also assumes there will be changes in pumping locations (see ISJ Urban Yield, p. 5 and Basin Plan, pp. 226-233). If the Model, including the latest version by Cleath-Harris, cannot consistently and accurately predict the yields of the aquifers, there is no reason to believe it can predict variations in yields (including much higher yields) when pumping is shifted to specific locations within the aquifers. As explained in the 2009 Cleath-Harris technical memorandum, "sustainable yields" are basically theoretical conditions that would develop 50 to 500 years out, assuming the Model is exactly accurate and past conditions match future conditions perfectly (i.e., there are no droughts, no changes in weather patterns, and no LOWWP). The Basin Plan warns of potential harm to the Basin from not monitoring private wells and applying inaccurate water use estimates in the Model, and it points out that the error might not be known for 15 years or more, when it is too late to undo the damage. The same observation applies to modeling errors. Because there is no room for error with the Los Osos Valley Water Basin, sustainable yield estimates and production targets should be substantially lower than the 80% of current "sustainable yields," as proposed in the Basin Plan. Also, Infrastructure Programs ACD should be put in place to buy time, optimize safe production, and allow adaptive management (flexibility in where production occurs) to maximize benefits to the Basin. Recommendations: 1. Add a 30% margin of safety to current "sustainable yields" to arrive at truer sustainable yields (and/or) recalibrate the Model to calculated safe yields, such that no production well has a chloride level exceeding the historical chloride level of 60 mgjl. 2. Apply the revised definition of "sustainable yield" (from #1 above) and "sustainable" Basin conditions" throughout the Basin Plan. Eliminate all references to "sustainable yields" and "a sustainable Basin," which use the "no more than 250 mgjl of chlorides" criterion. 3. Limit yield estimates for the Basin to four: one each for the Upper and Lower Aquifers in the Western and Central Areas of the Basin (west of Los Osos Creek) and one each for Upper and Lower Aquifers in the Eastern Area (east of the Los Osos Creek). 4. Implementation Infrastructure Programs ACD immediately and assume no more than a 10% increase in yield from the Western and Central Areas with the. 5. Rely less on the Model and more on basic principles: 1) that the water levels in Zones D and E must be brought up to above sea level as soon as possible, and 2) this requires tipping the balance towards substantially more recharge than extraction with a large margin of safety. (The larger the margin of safety, the less of the Basin is lost and the more likely it is to be sustainable). 6. Upgrade the Model and continue to refine it based on actual well tests. (See Part I for further sustainable yield recommendations.) III. The Plan does not commit the County and purveyors to take urgent action, or any action, and a Basin-wide ordinance is needed. Although the Basin Plan recommends a set of programs for the Parties to implement, the Basin Plan does not commit the Parties to any specific action, especially urgent action. Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 9 of 15 The Plan is basically a set of goals with recommendations reflecting the same general recommendations presented in every draft management plan and agency review of the Basin for 40 years-i.e., relocating wells and intensive conservation. The Basin Plan states in several places that the Parties are deciding what actions to take and haven't agreed on any. It also recommends that funding for actions comes from a general assessment on the Community of Los Osos, but the community is likely to reject an assessment due to large assessments for the LOWWP, which are causing steep increases in property taxes. The Parties have been very slow to implement well relocations and aggressive conservation in the past, and have taken five years just to negotiate the draft Basin Plan although it was their stated goal the ISJ to have the Basin Plan fully implemented within 12 months of the signing of the agreement in August 2008 (see IS], Page 6). The Parties were also supposed to negotiate and implement an intertie agreement within four months of signing the agreement (see IS], Page 9), but this is still not done. In 2010 the Parties commissioned a study, which showed a community nitrate facility would be cost effective, but it was not implemented. The fact that most of the production in the Basin is still from Zone D wells in the Western Area and the Parties have not completed the above actions is a good indicator of the Parties' level of commitment to stopping seawater intrusion and it bodes poorly for the future. In the 2010 Basin Update, the Parties state the need for "quick and decisive action," but the Basin Plan doesn't restate or convey that need-and the level of action taken so far does not reflect the level of commitment needed to address the severe problem. While the Plan sets an "Immediate Goal" of halting and reversing seawater intrusion, it does not identify specific, aggressive objectives and timeframes. It further does not maximize conservation with a strong outdoor component, nor does it propose an aggressive recycled water use program. The law and the ISJ agreement under which the Parties are developing the Basin Plan, allow the County to implement a basin-wide ordinance to implement the Plan, which could set time-specific objectives for stopping seawater intrusion, but the Basin Plan does not mention the option. Instead, it indicates that a Water Master under the Control of the Parties will be appointed to oversee implementation. The Basin Plan does recommend that the County implements an ordinance requiring private well owners to report well production, but it rejects an ordinance requiring the same property owners to conserve water. What is needed is a County basin-wide water management ordinance, enacted within one year that implements these measures and others within two years, in order to reverse seawater intrusion as soon as possible (S-7 years). Recommendations: 1. Support/require implementation of a County basin-wide water management ordinance to implement maximized Basin Plan measures/programs within one year. 2. Support/require the Basin-wide ordinance to set a time-specific objective to stop seawater intrusion by fully implementing maximized conservation, reuse, and infrastructure programs within two years and raising water tables in Zones D and E to above sea level within 10 years, with targeted benchmarks (e.g., rises in water levels as measured in metric wells). The ordinance would also include adequate incentives/enforcement mechanisms to achieve the objectives. Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 10 of15 3. Apply for funding from the State Water Board and other agencies to implement programs. IV. The Basin Plan ignores established facts regarding the structure of the basin. Since the 1980s, Basin studies have recognized that the Basin east of Los Osos Creek (the Eastern Area) is a separate compartment, historically referred to as the Creek Compartment, which functions semi-independently of the part of the Basin west of Los Osos Creek (the Urban Compartment). As a result, safe yields have traditionally been calculated separately. The Creek Compartment (or the Eastern Area in the Basin Plan) contributes some groundwater flows to the Urban Compartment (Western and Central Areas in the Basin Plan), but a reduction in pumping in the Creek Compartment (Eastern Area) would not be noticed as an increase in water levels in the Urban Compartment (Western and Central Areas) for several decades if at all. This is why the LOWWP EIR estimates that the seawater intrusion mitigation potential of recycled water use in the Creek Compartment is only 1 j5th or 20% of the Urban Compartment's mitigation value (a 0.1 mitigation factor versus a 0.55 factor). Furthermore, the 1f5th or 20% would be a long-delayed benefit with much higher levels of uncertainty than mitigation in Western and Central Areas, where recycled water reduces pumping causing seawater intrusion and immediately mitigates seawater intrusion. The Basin Plan recognizes that pumping from different locations in the Basin has greater or lesser effects on seawater intrusion, but it fails to recognize that conservation and recycled water use in the Eastern Area will have much less benefit on seawater intrusion than the same programs in the Western and Central Areas. The "Solutions" section of the Basin Plan, estimates the degree to which various programs achieve target yields, chloride levels, and water levels as shown by "metrics," but the m etrics and calculations do not factor what parts of the Basin the programs affect. By failing to distinguish the effects of programs on the Eastern Area versus the Western and Central Areas, the Basin Plan exaggerates the benefits of conservation and reuse programs in the Eastern Area on seawater intrusion, and it ignores the potential for stopping seawater intrusion and managing the Basin sustainably by redistributing water from the Eastern to Western and Central Areas of the Basin and viceversa. Recognizing that the Basin has two relatively distinct sub-basins is necessary for maximizing resources and opportunities to achieve a sustainable Basin. Recommendation: 1. Recognize and build into programs and planning the fact that the Basin has two semidiscrete compartments, one of which is severely impacted by seawater intrusion with low water tables and the other of which is apparently healthy with excess capacity that allows additional pumping. 2. Recognize and build into planning the fact that reduced pumping must occur in the Western and Central Areas to mitigate seawater intrusion significantly. V. The Plan overstates the benefits of water recycling programs and ignores the need and potential for a much stronger program. The Plan indicates the Urban Water Reinvestment Program (essentially the LOWWP recycling program) will increase basin yield over current conditions (Pages 279 & 281). The Plan, therefore, assumes that the combination of recycled water discharged in Broderson Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 11 of 15 and Bayridge Estates leach fields (up to 480 AFY), the water recycled in the Western and Central Areas of the Basin (about 100 AFY), and the water recycled in the agricultural area east of Los Osos Creek (about 200 AFY); will provide greater recharge benefits than septic systems (i.e., current conditions). However, this assumption is faulty as shown by a simple calculation of Basin balance, keeping the Basin's structure in mind. The LOWWP removes 780 AFY of groundwater from the Western and Central Areas of the Basin by removing septic systems, and it returns it only about 580 AFY to the areas. The Basin Plan claims the program increases irrigation return flows; however, since it does not increase irrigation, it does not increase return flows (Page 281). The Model may credit Broderson leach fields with more efficient recharge of the aquifer, which could explain the additional mitigation benefit; however, the Model is not time sensitive. Broderson leach fields will take more than 15 years to restore flows and Basin equilibrium-if it works as the EIR predicts, which is frar from certain-so the measure will not effectively offset seawater intrusion for that many years. In fact, the discharging water in the leach fields results in a significant deficit in water balance and mitigation (i.e., adverse potential impact on water levels) in the near term. This adverse impact is compounded by the dewatering program going on now, which removes recharge from Upper Aquifer. The Basin Plan also fails to recognize that water recycled in the agricultural areas (Eastern Area) does not offset pumping significantly in the Western and Central Areas (as described in Part IV above). Pumping must be reduced in the Basin west of Los Osos Creek to stop seawater intrusion. The Basin Plan treats the Basin as a single unconfined aquifer when calculating the benefits of the recycled water program, although the LOWWP EIR and all Basin studies since the 1980's make it clear that a reduction is potable water use in the Eastern Area (e.g., via recycling) will have only minor benefits on seawater intrusion, if any at all. Without clear justification, the Basin Plan considers Infrastructure Program D (additional wells in the Eastern Area) only as a source of water to support further development in the community. It fails to consider the program as a source to help stop seawater intrusion and mitigate the impacts of the LOWWP. Program D can and should be implemented immediately along with Program AC for three reasons: 1) to reduce pumping from the Western and Central Areas to stop seawater intrusion as soon as possible, 2) to offset the removal of recycled water from the Western and Central areas, and 3) to provide a water source for adaptive mitigation measures for seawater intrusion and habitat impacts as needed, e.g., to reduce where and when water is pumped to respond to signs of seawater intrusion or habitat destruction from the LOWWP and Basin Plan programs). An important benefit of program D is that it effectively provides an agricultural exchange program-as recommended by several authorities, including Eugene Yates and the Monterey Bay Watershed Institute. Basically, Program D optimizes Basin management by maximizing sources of water. Finally, the recycled water program can and should be made stronger with the installation of more purple pipe, especially to parts of the community with larger lots now drawing water from the Central and Western Areas of the Basin. These properties use water at rates 3 to 4 times that of water users in other parts of the urban area, with most of it outdoors. Use of recycled water for outdoor irrigation on large lots (about 200 properties now using an average of about 1 AFY per lot) could reduce potable water use by more than liz AFY per lot per year (more than 100 AFY). Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 12 of 15 Recommendations: 1. Implement Program D with Program AC and use the water to offset pumping in seawater-i mpacted areas, to (effectively) implement an agricultural exchange program that offsets recycled water applied in the Eastern Area, and to adapt/respond to potential impacts from major changes in Basin hydrology in the next few years. 2. Install additional purple pipe, especially to parts of the community with large lots drawing water from the Central and Western Areas of the Basin. 3. Do not assume the Urban Water Reinvestment Program increases Basin yield; instead, focus on maximizing the program to ensure the water extracted in the Western and Central Areas and entering the wastewater system is offset either with recycled water or freshwater from the Eastern Area that replaces recycled water delivered to that part of the Basin--i.e., be sure be sure the Recycling Program achieves a 1:1 offset. VI. The Plan overstates the benefits of the current conservation program and ignores the potential and the need for a much stronger program. The Basin Plan stresses the need for a "state-of-the-art" water-use efficiency (conservation) program to stop seawater intrusion, and sets the goal of achieving such a program (Pages 139 & 147). However, the Basin Plan's proposed Urban Water Use Efficiency Program (UWUEP) sets conservation targets too low (sets water use targets too high) and overstates the benefits of the proposed program. It also rejects effective measures, including leak repair, turf replacement, low-water use landscaping, and rainwater harvesting/recharge measures such as rain gardens. In general, it backs away from implementing a state-of-theart program even though the public would most likely support it and such program is vital to stopping seawater intrusion. The Basin Plan proposes to extend the LOWWP conservation program Basin-wide (adding a few outdoor measures) to create the proposed "Urban Water Use Efficiency Program." It also recommends that the County administers the entire indoor-outdoor program until 2018, at which time Purveyors will take it over. The Plan further recommends that LOWWP conservation funding ($5 million) is increased to $5.5 million, and shifted from LOWWP funding to a Basin-wide assessment. The Basin Plan program, like the LOWWP conservation program, does not maximize conservation, in large part because both programs rely on a plan the Parties commissioned by Maddaus Water Management (MWM), which does not maximize conservation. The MWM Plan sets the water use target too high (50 gpcd indoor by 2015), recommends against incorporating many effective measures, and extends over too long a time period (until 2035). The MWM plan also exaggerates potential water use reduction in at least two ways: 1) by overstating baseline water use using out-of-date data provided by the Parties, and 2) by overstating indoor water use versus outdoor use (which results in exaggerated benefits for the LOWWP indoor program). (See "Los Osos water use and potential conservation estimates (2012)-draft" by K. Wimer attached.) Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 13 of 15 The Los Osos Sustainability Group (LOSG) commissioned a review of the MWM plan by Peter Mayer of Aquacraft located in Boulder Colorado. Aquacraft and Mr. Mayer have done several conservation end-use studies for the USEPA, including a comprehensive study of California residential water use. Mr. Mayer concludes that that the MWM plan does not reduce water use as much as possible, and thus does not maximize seawater intrusion mitigation. Based on a California-wide survey of water use by Aquacraft for the US EPA, he states that indoor water use can be reduced to 42 gallons per capita per day (gpcd) with efficient appliances and fixtures on the market, in addition to leak repair. He adds that a 42 gpcd indoor target can be easily achieved using the $5 million the County is required to spend to "initiate" the LOWWP program (i.e., per Coastal Development Permit, Special Condition 5b). The Basin Plan estimates the proposed program will reduce water use about 300 AFY by 2035. However, the program overestimates the benefits of the program by at least 100 AFY; whereas a good comprehensive indoor-outdoor program could reduce water use by about 470 AFY (see "Los Osos water use and potential conservation estimates" attached). Recommendations: 1. Implement a comprehensive indoor-outdoor program with a full range of measures, including leak repair, low-water use landscaping, rainwater harvesting/recharge, turf replacement, and grey water reuse. 2. Set the target for indoor residential use at 42 gpcd, with the indoor-outdoor target at 63 to 69 gpcd. 3. Set the baseline target at 80 gpcd Basin wide (Baseline use is calculated by dividing total use, including residential and CII use, by the total population.) 4. Fund the measures with grants and, if grants are not available, with rate increases so they can be implemented in the near future. (Later, shift costs to a Basin-wide assessment.) 5. Apply tiered rates and be sure rate increases reflect the full avoided costs for supplemental water. 6. Purveyors and the County share in the funding and administration of the program beginning this year, so that rate increases, if necessary, can cover some of the costs early on. 7. Enact conservation targets, measures, and incentives with a Basin-wide management ordinance that has the specific objective of reversing seawater intrusion (per recommendations above). 8. Implement tiered rates based on individual water budgets, as recommended by Peter Mayer, in the near future to avoid undue impacts on larger families. 9. Integrate the septic system decommissioningjrepurposing program with the Basin-wide indoor-outdoor conservation program for efficiency and cost-effectiveness (and consider having SLO Green build extend its current role to help implement all programs). VII. The Plan fails to account for the potential impacts of the LOWWP The Basin Plan fails to acknowledge or account for potential adverse impacts from the LOWWP on the Upper and Lower Aquifers. Eugene Yates points out that project impacts are likely to be greatest on the Upper Aquifer, due the combined impacts of the elimination of septic recharge and increased pumping from the Upper Aquifer. He did not factor the adverse impacts from dewatering or the continuing drought. As mentioned, the main Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 14 of 15 mitigation measure to avoid/minimize groundwater impacts, Broderson leach fields, will not restore water levels for 15 years or more after elimination of septic recharge, according to the Monterey Bay Watershed Institute. Although the Basin Plan acknowledges some "uncertainty" associated with the LOWWP, it does not mention impacts or propose a contingency plan. Further, it does not assume the LOWWP conservation and reuse programs will be needed to offset the impacts of the project as intended, but ins tead it assumes the programs will contribute to stopping seawater intrusion. In fact, the impacts of the LOWWP on the Upper Aquifer may cause seawater intrusion in that aquifer, and preclude shifting more pumping to the Upper Aquifer resulting in further destruction of the Lower Aquifer. The LOWWP is a main reason mitigation programs must be maximized as soon as possible. If the Basin (e.g., Upper Aquifer) does not survive in the short term, the potential long-term benefits of the LOWWP (a reduction in nitrates in the Upper Aquifer) will not be realized. Recommendation: 1. Acknowledge LOWWP impacts and build adaptive measures into the Basin Plan and Basin-wide ordinance that address impacts (also see recommendations in Parts I and II.) 2. Support stronger mitigation programs for the LOWWP as part of the COP, WDR, and other permitting requirements. Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/201 3, Page 15 of 15 Summary of Problems with the Draft Basin Plan for the Los Osos Groundwater Basin (8/1/13) and Recommended Actions Prepared by Keith Wimer 10/2013 (Revisions to 9/2013 draft highlighted) Overview of problems and recommendations In general, the Draft Basin Plan (Basin Plan) down plays the seriousness of the seawater intrusion problem in the Los Osos Groundwater Basin (the Basin) and overestimates the potential for the Plan's proposals (recommended programs) to stop and reverse it. This is largely because the Plan relies too heavily on a Basin model that projects overly-optimistic Basin yields from the relocation of wells (i.e., Infrastructure Programs A-D). As proposed, Basin Plan solutions will be too little too late to solve the severe seawater intrusion problem- and only "kick the can down the road" for others to fix when it is too late to save the Basin. Because The County, local water purveyors, and key agencies have delayed effective Basin management and real solutions for 40 years, the Basin's freshwater capacity has been seriously reduced and remedial actions now must be bold, decisive, and immediate. (The Basin Plan acknowledges that the Basin has been over drafted since 1979-34 yearsat an average annual rate of 700 to 1100 acre feet per year, 30% to 40%.) Because Los Osos has been forced to put virtually all of its financial eggs in one basket with the Los Osos Wastewater Project, Basin Plan programs must also be the most cost-effective possible. While the basic actions recommended in the Basin Plan (relocation of wells, water-use efficiency, and recycled water use) are likely to be the most cost effective actions, the Plan does not maximize them. The benefits of Basin Plan programs are overstated and the potential for better programs ignored. Further, the Plan does not acknowledge the need for urgent action, nor support it with time-specific objectives and mechanisms to ensure rapid implementation. In fact, the Basin Plan does not guarantee any action will be taken. A Basinwide water management ordinance is needed- and provided for in the ISJ agreement-to ensure quick implementation of the most effective measures. Maximizing cost-effective water-use efficiency, recycling, and infrastructure programs-and implementing the programs with a Basin-wide ordinance that requires all water users in the Basin to participate within the next two years-provides the best chance of reversing seawater intrusion as soon as possible (S-7 years). As a result, it provides the best chance of preserving the basin as a sustainable sole water source for the community. The Los Osos Groundwater Basin must be preserved as the sole sustainable water source for the community because supplemental water is unreliable and/or infeasible economically, socially, and technically. Furthermore, preserving the Basin as the sole source is the only way to begin to justify the tremendous costs and environmental impacts of the LOWWP, which agencies have required and justified as "essential" for the sustainability of the Basin and community. Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 1 of 15 I. The draft Basin Plan does not adequately describe the severity of seawater intrusion in the Basin or the need for urgent action. The Plan provides an overview of seawater intrusion's relentless march through the basin since the 1970's and explains that the Los Osos Groundwater Basin Update (Basin Update) (released by the Parties in May 2010) showed seawater intrusion had accelerated from an 60 feet per year to 700 feet per year (about 12 times) between 2004 and 2009 (Page 85). Also, the Basin Plan states: "Currently, and for the foreseeable future, seawater intrusion is the most serous (sic) challenge facing the Basin," and it includes, as one of three "Immediate Goals," to "Halt or, to the extent possible, reverse water intrusion into the Basin." However, the draft Plan does not state the need for "quick and decisive action" as the Parties stated in the 2010 Basin Update-nor does the Basin Plan state how destructive seawater has been and will continue to be without bold, decisive, immediate action. In a review of the seawater intrusion problem in 2010, Eugene Yates, a foremost authority on the Basin, called the problem "extremely urgent," and recommended an aggressive wateruse efficiency program, agricultural exchange, and low impact development/rechargealong with major shifts in pumping to the Upper Aquifer and inland within two years. He said the actions were needed to raise the water tables in the Lower Aquifer to above sea level as soon as possible to reduce the threat to the water supply. He added that seawater intrusion destroys water for most uses at very low concentrations and is very difficult to reverse once it advances. He also warned that LOWWP impacts on the Upper aquifer, in conjunction with necessary shifts in pumping to the Upper Aquifer, could cause seawater intrusion in the aquifer. (See Yates 8/2010 review, e.g., Page 1 & 6, attached.) In addition to maximizing conservation and other programs, he recommended having contingency measures in place, if seawater intrusion results from the major changes planned for the Basin. The Basin Plan lists one of Mr. Yate's reviews from 2010, but cites neither. The 2010 Basin Update showed seawater intrusion was advancing about 700 feet per year between 2004 and 2009 and had accelerated by 12 times. Instead of explaining the serious implication of this rapid advance, the Basin Plan states "... while accelerated rates of intrusion since 2005 have occurred, they may not be as high as rates calculated in 2010." The Plan then provides a cross-sectional diagram of the Basin showing seawater in Zone D had not reached the Palisades Well as the Basin Update reported (Page 85). However, the Basin Plan does not provide an estimate of how fast seawater intrusion is moving inland. Figure 26 (Page 86), when examined closely, shows that intrusion into Zone D along a broad front at the seawater interface moved about twice as far in four years as it had in the previous 20 years. In other words, seawater intrusion moved 10 times as fast, rather than 12 times as fast (500-600 feet per year). The Basin Plan plays down the severity of the problem by not clearly stating this fact. Seawater intrusion into Zone D along a broad front, rather than along preferred pathways ("fingers" extending into Zone D to the Palisades well) is caused by low water tables in Zone D. The Basin Plan points this out, but then confuses the issue. It states In order to maintain the freshwater-seawater interface at a defined location in the Basin average static groundwater levels in the freshwater portion of the aquifer must be held higher than sea level. If freshwater levels fall below a certain level (defined in more detail belowJ then seawater will progress inland in order to equilibrate the pressures between seawater and freshwater portions of the aquifer. (Page 98) Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 2 of 15 This acknowledges that seawater intrusion will continue until water tables are brought up in all of Zone D, but the Basin Plan then states: In order to con trol seawater intrusion in the Basin, the Purveyors and other groundwater users need to reduce their production from the Lower Aquifer in the Western Area. That action will allow freshwater levels to rise, thereby preventing further seawater intrusion and pushing the freshwater-seawater interface seaward and away from the Los Osos community. (Emphasis added)" (Page 98) This statement gives the impression that shifting pumping in ZoneD from the Western Area to the Central Area will stop seawater intrusion. However, the strategy is designed primarily to stop localized intrusion and to create a freshwater "barrier" to slow intrusion into the aquifer along preferred pathways (e.g., into the large pumping depression under the commercial area). The strategy will not stop the broad front of seawater moving in under the aquifer, which may still be advancing at the 2005-2009 rate of 500 to 600 feet per year. This front can only be stopped by bringing up water levels in Zone D to 8-9 feet above sea level, which requires reducing pumping enough in all Zone D wells to eliminate the large pumping depression, which extends "throughout the Central and Western Areas," according to the Basin Plan (Page 66). The fact that seawater intrusion will continue (and the reasons) are explained on Pages 84 and 85 of the Basin Plan, which, at one point states, "Given that Lower Aquifer groundwater elevations inland of the coast have been below sea level or within a few feet of sea level for many years, seawater intrusion was inevitable" (Page 85). The Basin Plan also fails to mention that seawater intrusion permanently destroys the Basin as it advances. The 2005 Seawater Intrusion Assessment by Cleath and Associates (now Cleath-Harris Geologists, Inc.) indicates that, when chloride levels reach 2500 mg/1, seawater intrusion is not reversible. Figure 9 of the Assessment shows how much of the two Lower Aquifers (Zones D & E) had been destroyed between 1985 and 2005. However, neither the 2010 Basin Update, nor the draft Basin Plan, shows how much permanent destruction of the Basin has occurred since 1985. The Basin Plan also does not clearly describe the state of Lower Aquifer Zone E (the deep aquifer). Based on responses by Rob Miller of Wallace Group to questions asked at an LOCSD special meeting on the Basin Plan, purveyors are not pumping from Zone E, except from one inland well, due to severe seawater intrusion. The Basin Plan refers to Zones D and E as a single aquifer (calling them the "Lower Aquifer"); however, the Plan reports that Zone E was sealed off at a main community supply well (Palisades Well) due to chlo ride levels above safe limits, and it refers to Zone E as a source of seawater for desalination. It adds that total dissolved solids (TDS) levels in Zone E exceed the levels of brackish water (1,000 mg/1 to 10,000 mg/1) (Page 24 7). TDS levels are typically roughly double chloride levels. The fact that chloride levels are not presented for Zone E suggests the Plan is avoiding the issue. As stated, seawater destroys the Basin when chlorides reach 2500 mgjl, and the Title 22 safe limit for chlorides in drinking water is 500 mgjl. At the LOCSD meeting, Mr. Miller acknowledged that the Parties were "not trying to save Zone E." The deep aquifer once comprised over 1/3rd of the basin's freshwater capacity and contained its purest water, 5,000 to 10,000-year-old "fossil water," unpolluted by nitrates and other contaminants. It showed no signs of seawater intrusion in the 1970's. If Zone E is no longer a viable drinking water source, a major concern is whether the Basin has enough capacity to sustain the current population; another concern is the extent to Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 3 of 15 which severe intrusion in Zone E will affect Zone D since the Basin Plan describes the aquitard (clay layer) separating the aquifers as "possibly discontinuous" (Page 64). Further, the Basin Plan does not estimate how long it will take to raise water levels in Zone D enough to reverse seawater intrusion, or how much more of the basin will be destroyed by that time. Currently, three-fourths of the urban water supply is pumped from Zone D, and the Basin Plan acknowledges pumping levels are not sustainable. It estimates 460 AFY of pumping must be shifted from ZoneD in the Western Area to ZoneD in the Central Area, and to the Upper Aquifer to achieve "sustainable" conditions. However, a "sustainable" condition, as defined in the Basin Plan is a condition in which no active well has a chloride level above 250 mgjl. Therefore-as acknowledged in the Plan-"sustainable" defines a condition in which seawater advances much further into the basin. This additional progress is seen when Figure 27 is compared to Figure 38. Although the Basin Plan provides a map showing where seawater would stop under "sustainable" conditions, it does not estimate how long this condition will take to achieve. A 2009 report prepared by Cleath-Harris for the Parties ("Flow Model Conversion and Urban Area Yield Update" by Spencer Harris of Cleath-Harris Geologists, Inc.") predicts "sustainable" conditions based on "50 and 500-year snapshots," but that report assumes much different "sustainable yields" (much lower yields for Zone D and much higher for Zone C, the Upper Aquifer). Thus, Basin Plan "sustainable yields" are questionable to begin with. At best, they would not stop seawater intrusion for several decades. (See 2009 report by Cleath-Harris, Pages 5 & 6, attached and Parts II). The draft Pian estimates that recommended Infrastructure Program AC will take about three years to construct and another five years before the first signs of rising water tables are seen (Pages 106 and 238). It also estimates it will take 15 years for chloride levels to drop, once the aquifer levels are high enough to reverse intrusion (8 feet above msl) (Page 106). Thus, if seawater continues to move inland at the 2005-2009 rate (about 1/2 mile every 4-5 years), it could progress another mile into the Basin even before the first signs of rising water levels (about eight years), and it could travel two miles or more inland before the contamination of freshwater by seawater shows the first signs of reversing-assuming the programs are effective. The Western and Central Areas of the Basin extend only about two miles from where the seawater intrusion front was last measured in Zone D--even with Broderson Avenue (see Figure 26). Therefore, at the 2005-2009 rate of seawater intrusion, Zone D could be destroyed by seawater before the Basin Plan predicts intrusion will show signs of reversal (i.e., in 15 years or so). The Basin Plan recommends adding a 20% margin of safety to "sustainable" yields to account for uncertainties (i.e., reducing production to 20% below these yields), and it states that the margin will push the seawater interface offshore. Undoubtedly the margin increases the likelihood of reversing seawater intrusion, but the Plan does not estimate when seawater will be reversed under any scenario-and the margin of safety is not likely enough to reverse seawater intrusion (see Part II). Two other facts presented in the Basin Plan show how severe the problem is and how difficult it will be to reverse. The Basin Plan estimates total freshwater storage capacity of the Basin at about 205,000 acre feet (AF), 140,000 AF in the Lower Aquifer and 65,000 AF in the Upper. It says only 40,000 AF are above sea above sea level (can be pumped without inducing seawater intrusion) almost all in the Upper. It adds that the storage above sea level provides a sufficient buffer against seawater intrusion during droughts, given annual community water use under 3,000 AF. However, the 2003 Yates and Williams study Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 4 of 15 estimates total Basin storage at about 500,000 AF (452,000 AF in the Lower Aquifers and 37,800 AF to 50,400 AF in the Upper Aquifer). Unless one of the studies is way off in its estimate, the difference could mean that over half of the Basin's freshwater capacity has been rendered unusable by seawater intrusion. Also, the Basin Plan reports that the community reduced water use by almost 40% since about 1988 (Page 140). This is good news because the large reduction has brought production in the Basin down much closer to a true safe yield. (The safe yield of the Basin has been overestimate by 700 to 1000 AFY for at least 15 years (3,200 to 3,500 AFY versus the 2450 AFY per the Basin Plan), and the Basin has been over drafted by over 700 AFY on average for 34 years. It is bad news because seawater intrusion has continued although conservation is widely recognized by experts as the most cost-effective and immediate way to reduce seawater intrusion (since it reduces the pumping causing it and allows water levels to rise). The fact that rapid seawater intrusion continues with almost a 40% water use reduction shows how difficult seawater intrusion will be to reverse, and it means there is much less conservation potential to do it with. Undoubtedly, so much co nservation would have had a greater effect on seawater intrusion if, at the same time, more pumping had been shifted away from Western Area in ZoneD, but it remains to be seen if enough conservation potential still exists to bring up low water tables in Zone D (the large pumping depression under much of the community) without over pumping Zone C or other parts of the Basin. One fact is certain- all of these programs must be maximized to optimize flexibility and the potential for success. Recommendations: 1. Accurately describe the threat of seawater intrusion to the Basin by explaining the conditions above. 2. Acknowledge the need for urgent, decisive action so that more of Basin is not destroyed. 3. Present scenarios/programs to bring water tables up in all of Zone D to an average of 8 feet above mean sea level (msl) as soon as possible and project how long each will take to meet the objective. 4. Stop pumping altogether from Zone E, analyze its potential adverse impacts on Zone D (from very high salt levels and a discontinuous layer separating the aquifers), and devise a plan to save Zone E. Present scenarios/programs to bring water tables up in the aquifer an average of 17 feet above mean sea level (msl) as soon as possible and project how long each will take to meet the objective. 5. Expand water level and chloride metrics to include wells measuring changes in the pumping depressions of all production zones (Zones C, D, and E)-and change the chloride metric to 60 mg/1 (much closer to historic chloride levels than the proposed 100 mgjl, which indicates continued seawater contamination). (The water level metric for Zone E will have to be near 17 feet above mean sea level.) 6. Implement enhanced conservation and reuse programs that maximize seawater intrusion benefits by maximizing pumping reductions in the Western and Central Areas (see recommendations below)-also include an enhanced infrastructure program (Implement Program D with the recommended Program AC as a first step). 7. Target a reduction in pumping in the Western and Central Areas of the Basin to no more than 1000 AFY within two years. [Target 0 AFY pumped from Zone D in the Western Area, 400 AFY pumped from Zone D in the Central Area, 500-600 AFY pumped from the Upper Aquifer in the Western and Central Areas (with Program AC), and 300-400 AFY Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/201 3, Page 5 of 15 pumped from the Eastern Area (via Program D). This would make total production for the urban population about 1400 AFY, near the 1450 AFY recommended in the Basin Plan (Page 6), also maintaining the current production for agriculture at 750 AFY. With this scenario, total production for the Basin would be about 2150 AFY, about 300 AFY (12%) under the Basin Plan's "sustainable yield" for current conditions (2450 AFY) and 190 AFY (10%) over the "sustainable yield" with a 20% margin of safety for current conditions (1960 AFY). This approach applies a 20% margin of safety (as the Basin Plan recommends) but reduces reliance on the Model by assuming shifts in pumping with Infrastructure Programs ACD increase Basin yield by about 10%, rather than 20-40%. The 1000 AFY target within two years for the Western and Central Areas should maximize the potential to bring up water tables in Zone D, while not adversely impacting Zone C-thus, maximizing the chance of reversing seawater intrusion as soon as possible. This scenario does not use all the potential of Program D, leaving 200-300 AFY of estimated yield as a buffer and to adapt to adverse impacts (e.g., LOWWP impacts). (Also, see Part 2 below for why these assumptions and the approach are needed.) II. The Plan relies too heavily on a Model with substantial uncertainty and a questionable finding/assumption that moving production in Lower Aquifer Zone D to the Upper Aquifer and inland will increase basin yield significantly. A main focus of the Plan is to move more pumping inland in Zone D and to the Upper Aquifer with infrastructure programs. The Plan estimates Infrastructure Program AC will increase the yield of the basin to 3000 AFY from 2450 AFY, and it estimates that adding Infrastructure Programs B and D to Program AC will raise "sustainable yields" to 3500 AFY (Pages 237 & 239). Eugene Yates, however, is clear that shifts in pumping do not increase basin yields long-term. In a January 2010 review of Basin yields (entitled "Review of Cleath-Harris Geologists' July 2009 Memorandum 'Flow Model Conversion and Urban Area Yield Update'"), Mr. Yates states The proposed management actions to address the saltwater intrusion problem do not increase basin yield, but shift the location of groundwater extraction. For example, pairing shallow and deep wells at major pumping locations provides the opportunity to adjust the proportion of water pumped from the upper and lower aquifers but it does not increase yield. Furthermore, there are limits to this strategy because of the uncertainty in the capacity of the upper aquifer to support additional extractions and the possibility of seawater intrusion occurring in the upper aquifer. (See Yates 1/ 13/ 2010 review, Page 4). In an August 2010 review of the Basin Update (entitled "Review of Los Osos Basin Update and Current Wastewater Project Description-Revised"), Mr. Yates points out that seawater intrusion is mainly a problem of basin imbalance ("more water consumed in the basin than being replenished") and he recommends maximizing indoor-outdoor conservation, storm water recharge, rainwater harvesting and low impact development recharge to tip the balance toward more water entering the basin than leaving it (see Yates 6/10/2010 review, Page 1). Mr. Yates points out (and the Basin Plan agrees) seawater intrusion cannot be stopped and reversed until water levels in the a quifers are above sea level. The infrastructure program recommended in the Basin Pla n (Program AC) involves moving most pumping inland to the Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2 013, Page 6 of15 Central Area, but maintaining most of the pumping from ZoneD (1260 AFY ZoneD vs. 950 Zone C-Page 237). Water levels in Zone D are already low throughout the Western a nd Central Areas (Page 64). The assumption that shifting more pumping inland in ZoneD will increase yields and bring water levels up in the aquifer is not credible-especially when the recharge regime and structure of the Basin are considered. Virtually all recharge of the Lower Aquifer in the Western and Central Areas is from the Upper Aquifer, or Lower Aquifer in the Eastern Area, according to the 2005 Seawater Intrusion Assessment (p. 77). Also, based on cross sectional maps of the Basi n (e.g., Figure 27, Page 87) ZoneD tapers up as it nears Los Osos Creek, indicating that proposed wells will tap the aquifer at higher elevations. Higher elevations of Zone D undoubtedly supply lower elevations. Whereas additional wells in the Central Area may increase yields incrementally (i.e., allow extraction of some additional water flowing toward the estuary or creek), most of the groundwater in the Central Area apparently flows west to lower parts of the Basin. Therefore, additional inland Zone D wells (e.g., Program C) are not likely to produce a significant net increase in yield or bring up water levels significantly. It is just as likely to lower water levels a nd pull seawater furth er into Zone D and/or cause adverse impacts on private wells or sensitive habitat in the area. The prediction in the Basin Plan that moving production inland and to the Upper Aquifer will substantially increased yields is based on the Basin Model, with substantial margins of error. Based on a peer review of the Model, the Basin Plan says the Model has been found to be a good bas is for determining yields and the rate of seawater intrusion (Page 77). However, Mr. Peter Pyle, of Stetson Engineers, chooses his words carefully in his review of the Model (which is included in the 2010 Basin Update.) According to the Basin Plan, Mr. Pyle says that the Model is okay to use to "initiate" changes so long as changes are "gradual" and there are monitoring and contingency plans in place. He also states that the "structure" of the Model is "sound and able to simulate hydrologic processes in the Basin, particularly as regards to the ... extent of seawater intrusion in each of the main water bearing units (Zones C, D, and E)," but he recommend s re finements in the Model and he does not say the Model is able to accurately predict the extent of seawater intrusion now-and for good reason. The technical memorandum entitled "Flow Model Conversion and Urban Area Yield Update" by Spencer Harris of Cleath-Harris Geologists, Inc. (2009)-which introduced the latest version of the Model and first estimated "sustainable yields" based on the Modelreports that the Model underestimated seawater intrusion progress in Zone E by 1000 to 2000 feet per year (see Cleath-Harris TM "Urban Yield," Page 4, attached). More recent information in the Basin Plan reveals the inaccuracy was even greater because seawater intrusion in Zone E had moved even faster. The Basin Plan states "...a back calculation of historical water quality data shows that th e intrusion front in Zone E had a lready reach ed the Palisades Well by 2005," which required changing the " ... historical rate of seawater intrusion in Zone E between 1977 and 2005 ".. .from 54 feet per year to approximately 180 feet per year" (Page 85). The Basin Plan also fails to mention that Mr. Pyle wrote his review without the benefit of the 2010 Basin Update (and the Cleath-Harris technical memorandum contai ned in the Update), which first revealed that seawater intrusion had accelerated by at least 10 times in Zone D between 2005 and 2009. In other words, in 2009 the Model was at least a 1000% off in its simulation of the rate of seawater intrusion, showing "an average velocity of 60 feet per year" when it was closer to 700 feet per year (Page 4). Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 7 of 15 The Basin Plan acknowledges there is a good deal of uncertainty in the Model and it mentions some of the sources. However, it leaves out some of the sources Mr. Yates lists in his 2010 review of the Cleath-Harris 2009 technical memorandum. Eugene Yates, one of the creators of the Model, cites one source that could result in an error of 40% in yield estimates (see Yate's 1/13/10 review, Page 3). He expresses particular doubts about the Model's ability to predict yields with the combined impacts of the LOWWP and a lot more pumping from the Upper Aquifer (a condition unlike any in the basin's history). He also cites the possible use of potable water for habitat restoration to mitigate LOWWP impacts on wetlands as a source of error, and he points out that Broderson leach fields will not restore groundwater flows to some habitat along Morro Bay Estuary (see Yate's 1/13/10 review, Page 4). The LOWWP is likely to stop at least 300 AFY of groundwater flows to Morro Bay Estuary and sensitive habitat (the difference between eliminated septic system flows, 780 AFY, and the groundwater Broderson and Bayridge leach fields is supposed to replace, 480 AFY). There is no LOWWP project document that makes it clear how this water will be replaced if necessary to avoid adverse impacts on habitat. To account for uncertainties in the Model, the Basin Plan recommends adding a 20% margin of safety to yields (targeting yields of 80% of "sustainable yields" as determined by the Model), and it states the margin will also result in reversing seawater intrusion. However, the Plan does not say how it arrives at the 20% margin-and 20% is not likely enough to account for uncertainties-let alone reversing seawater intrusion. One fact supporting the need for a larger margin of safety and less reliance on the Model is that Cleath-Harris has had to revise down basin yield estimates for current conditions from about 3,500 AFY in 2000 to 3,200 AFY in 2009, down to 2,450 AFY in 2012 (with the Basin Plan). (Note that 2,450 AFY is a "sustainable yield," which allows seawater intrusion to advance substantially further). With the 20% margin applied, under current conditions a yield of 1960 AFY would be required to reverse seawater intrusion per the Basin Plan. As the Plan points out, the "sustainable yield" has been exceeded since 1979 (34 years) by an average of 700 AFY or 30%, and it has been over drafted by 1100 AFY if the safer yield estimate of 80% of sustainable yield is applied. The total overdraft is 23,800 AF to 37,400 AF or 10 to 15 years of water use in the Basin as "sustainable yield" levels. This longstanding overdraft, which resulted in much of the Basin being destroyed- is due to modeling error. More fundamentally, it is due to an over reliance on the Model and a tendency for decision-makers to support overly-optimistic projections of Basin yield (i.e., to err on the side of maximizing production rather than sustaining the Basin). In 2009, Cleath-Harris drastically changed the yield estimates for the Upper and Lower Aquifers. Estimates for the Lower Aquifer in the Western and Central Areas of the Basin were cut in half to between 600 and 725 AFY from 1300 AFY, and "safe" yield for the Upper Aquifer was increased from 1150 AFY to about 1450 AFY, indicating that the Lower Aquifer yields had been overestimated by 600-700 AFY and Upper Aquifer yields underest imated by 300 AFY for many years. The Cleath-Harris safe yield estimates for the Upper and Lower Aquifers are taken from the 2007 Resource Capacity Study, Page 9. Finally, the "sustainable yields" based on the latest version of the Model, which Cleath-Harris presents in 2009 in the "Flow Model Conversion and Urban Area Yield Update," are different from the yields Cleath-Harris presents in the Basin Plan based on the same version of the Model. The 2009 memo estimates "sustainable yields" for water purveyors from the Lower Aquifer (with the LOWWP) at 725 AFY and Upper Aquifer yields 1325 AFY (see ISJ TM Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 8 of 15 "Urban Yield," p. 8). The Basin Plan estimates "sustainable yields" with the LOWWP at 1160 AFY for the Lower Aquifer and 580 AFY for the Upper Aquifer (Page 226). Th is is 435 AFY (or 60%) more than the earlier Cleath-Harris estimates for the Lower Aquifer. According to the Basin Plan, all pumping options (i.e., Infrastructure Programs A, B, C, & D) will produce greater "sustainable yields" fro m the Lower Aquifer than the 2009 CleathHarris technical memorandum estimates-even though the 2009 memorandum also assumes there will be changes in pumping locations (see ISJ Urban Yield, p. 5 and Basin Plan, pp. 226-233). If the Model, including the latest version by Cleath-Harris, cannot consistently and accurately predict the yields of the aquifers, there is no reason to believe it can predict variations in yields (including much higher yields) when pumping is shifted to specific locations within the aquifers. As explained in the 2009 Cleath-Harris technical memorandum, "sustainable yield s" are bas ically theoretical conditions that would develop 50 to 500 years out, assuming the Model is exactly accurate and past conditions match future conditions perfectly (i.e., th ere are no droughts, no changes in weather patterns, and no LOWWP). The Basin Plan warns of potential harm to the Basin from not monitoring private wells and applying inaccurate water use estimates in the Model, and it points out that the error might not be known for 15 years or more, when it is too late to undo the damage. The same observation applies to modeling errors. Because there is no room for error with the Los Osos Valley Water Basin, sustainable yield estimates and production targets should be substantially lower than the 80% of current "sustainable yields," as proposed in the Basin Plan. Also, Infrastructure Programs ACD should be put in place to buy time, optimize safe production, and allow adaptive management (flexibility in where production occurs) to maximize benefits to the Basin. Reco mmendations: 1. Add a 30% margin of safety to current "sustainable yields" to arrive at truer sustainable yields (and/or) recalibrate the Model to calculated safe yields, such that no production w ell has a chloride level exceeding the historical chloride level of 60 mg/l. 2. Apply the revised definition of "sustainable yield" (from #1 above) and "sustain able" Basin conditions" throughout the Basin Plan. Eliminate all references to "sustainable yields" and "a sustainable Basin," which use the "no more than 250 mg/1 of chlorides" criterion. 3. Limit yield estimates for the Basin to four: one each for the Upper a nd Lower Aquifers in the Western and Central Areas of the Basin (west of Los Osos Creek) and one each for Upper and Lower Aquifers in the Eastern Area (east of the Los Osos Creek). 4. Implementation Infrastructure Programs ACD immediately and assume no more than a 10% increase in yield from the Western a nd Central Areas with the. 5. Rely less on the Model and more on basic principles: 1) that the water levels in Zones D and E must be brought up to above sea level as soon as possible, and 2) this requires tipping the balance towards substantially more recharge than extraction with a large margin of safety. (The larger the margin of safety, the less of the Basin is lost and the more likely it is to be sustainable) . 6. Upgrade the Model and continue to refine it based on actual well tests. Wimer comments on Draft Basin Pl an, 10/2013, Page 9 of 15 fSee Part I for further sustainable yield recommendations.} III. The Plan does not commit the County and purveyors to take urgent action, or any action, and a Basin-wide ordinance is needed. Although the Basin Plan recommends a set of programs for the Parties to implement, the Basin Plan does not commit the Parties to any specific action, especially urgent action. The Plan is basically a set of goals with recommendations reflecting the same general recommendations presented in every draft management plan and agency review of the Basin for 40 years-i.e., relocating wells and intensive conservation. The Basin Plan states in several places that the Parties are deciding what actions to take and haven't agreed on any. It also recommends that funding for actions comes from a general assessment on the Community of Los Osos, but the community is likely to reject an assessment due to large assessments for the LOWWP, which are causing steep increases in property taxes. The Parties have been very slow to implement well relocations and aggressive conservation in the past, and have taken five years just to negotiate the draft Basin Plan although it was their stated goal in the ISJ to have the Basin Plan fully implemented within 12 months of the signing of the agreement in August 2008 (see IS], Page 6). The Parties were also supposed to negotiate and implement an intertie agreement within four months of signing the agreement (ISL Page 9), but this is still not done. In 2010 the Parties commissioned a study, which showed a community nitrate facility would be cost effective, but it was not implemented. The fact that most of the production in the Basin is still from Zone D wells in the Western Area and the Parties have not completed the above actions is a good indicator of the Parties' level of commitment to stopping seawater intrusion and it bodes poorly for the future. In the 2010 Basin Update, the Parties state the need for "quick and decisive action," but the Basin Plan doesn't restate or convey that need-and the level of action taken so far does not reflect the level of commitment needed to address the severe problem. While the Plan sets an "Immediate Goal" of halting and reversing seawater intrusion, it does not identify specific, aggressive objectives and timeframes. It further does not maximize conservation with a strong outdoor component, nor does it propose an aggressive recycled water use program. The law and the ISJ agreement under which the Parties are developing the Basin Plan, allow the County to implement a basin-wide ordinance to implement the Plan, which could set time-specific objectives for stopping seawater intrusion, but the Basin Plan does not mention the option. Instead, it indicates that a Water Master under the Control of the Parties will be appointed to oversee implementation. The Basin Plan does recommend that the County implements an ordinance requiring private well owners to report well production, but it rejects an ordinance requiring the same property owners to conserve water. What is needed is a County basin-wide water management ordinance, enacted within one year that implements these measures and others within two years, in order to reverse seawater intrusion as soon as possible (5-7 years). Recommendations: 1. Support/require implementation of a County basin-wide water management ordinance to implement maximized Basin Plan measures/programs within one year. Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 10 of 15 2. Support/require the Basin-wide ordinance to set a time-specific objective to stop seawater intrusion by fully implementing maximized conservation, reuse, and infrastructure programs within two years and raising water tables in Zones D and E to above sea level within 10 years, with targeted benchmarks (e.g., rises in water levels as measured in metric wells). The ordinance would also include adequate incentives/enforcement mechanisms to achieve the objectives. 3. Apply for funding from the State Water Board and other agencies to implement programs. IV. The Basin Plan ignores established facts regarding the structure of the basin. Since the 1980s, Basin studies have recognized that the Basin east of Los Osos Creek (the Eastern Area) is a separate compartment, historically referred to as the Creek Compartment, which functions semi-independently of the part of the Basin west of Los Osos Creek (the Urban Compartment). As a result, safe yields have traditionally been calculated separately. The Creek Compartment (or the Eastern Area in the Basin Plan) contributes some groundwater flows to the Urban Compartment (Western and Central Areas in the Basin Plan), but a reduction in pumping in the Creek Compartment (Eastern Area) would not be noticed as an increase in water levels in the Urban Compartment (Western and Central Areas) for several decades if at all. This is why the LOWWP EIR estimates that the seawater intrusion mitigation potential of recycled water use in the Creek Compartment is only 1j5th or 20% of the Urban Compartment's mitigation value (a 0.1 mitigation factor versus a 0.55 factor). Furthermore, the 1j5th or 20% would be a long-delayed benefit with much higher levels of uncertainty than mitigation in Western and Central Areas, where recycled water reduces pumping causing seawater intrusion and immediately mitigates seawater intrusion. The Basin Plan recognizes that pumping from different locations in the Basin has greater or lesser effects on seawater intrusion, but it fails to recognize that conservation and recycled water use in the Eastern Area will have much less benefit on seawater intrusion than the same programs in the Western and Central Areas. The "Solutions" section of the Basin Plan, estimates the degree to which various programs achieve target yields, chloride levels, and water levels as shown by "metrics," but the metrics and calculations do not factor what parts of the Basin the programs affect. By failing to distinguish the effects of programs on the Eastern Area versus the Western and Central Areas, the Basin Plan exaggerates the benefits of conservation and reuse programs in the Eastern Area on seawater intrusion, and it ignores the potential for stopping seawater intrusion and managing the Basin sustainably by redistributing water from the Eastern to Western and Central Areas of the Basin and viceversa. Recognizing that the Basin has two relatively distinct sub-basins is necessary for maximizing resources and opportunities to achieve a sustainable Basin. Recommendation: 1. Recognize and build into programs and planning the fact that the Basin has two semidiscrete compartments, one of which is severely impacted by seawater intrusion with low water tables and the other of which is apparently healthy with excess capacity that allows additional pumping. 2. Recognize and build into planning the fact that reduced pumping must occur in the Western and Central Areas to mitigate seawater intrusion significantly. Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 11 of 15 V. The Plan overstates the benefits of water recycling programs and ignores the need and potential for a much stronger program. The Plan indicates the Urban Water Reinvestment Program (essentially the LOWWP recycling program) will increase basin yield over current conditions (Pages 279 & 281). The Plan, therefore, assumes that the combination of recycled water discharged in Broderson and Bayridge Estates leach fields (up to 480 AFY), the water recycled in the Western and Central Areas of the Basin (about 100 AFY), and the water recycled in the agricultural area east of Los Osos Creek (about 200 AFY); will provide greater recharge benefits than septic systems (i.e., current conditions). However, this assumption is faulty as shown by a simple calculation of Basin balance, keeping the Basin's structure in mind. The LOWWP removes 780 AFY of groundwater from the Western and Central Areas of the Basin by removing septic systems, and it returns it only about 580 AFY to the areas. The Basin Plan claims the program increases irrigation return flows; however, since it does not increase irrigation, it does not increase return flows (Page 281). The Model may credit Broderson leach fields with more efficient recharge of the aquifer, which could explain the additional mitigation benefit; however, the Model is not time sensitive. Broderson leach fields will take more than 15 years to restore flows and Basin equilibrium-if it works as the EIR predicts, which is frar from certain-so the measure will not effectively offset seawater intrusion for that many years. In fact, the discharging water in the leach fields results in a significant deficit in water balance and mitigation (i.e., adverse potential impact on water levels) in the near term. This adverse impact is compounded by the dewatering program going on now, which removes recharge from Upper Aquifer. The Basin Plan also fails to recognize that water recycled in the agricultural areas (Eastern Area) does not offset pumping significantly in the Western and Central Areas (as described in Part IV above). Pumping must be reduced in the Basin west of Los Osos Creek to stop seawater intrusion. The Basin Plan treats the Basin as a single unconfined aquifer when calculating the benefits of the recycled water program, although the LOWWP EIR and all Basin studies since the 1980's make it clear that a reduction is potable water use in the Eastern Area (e.g., via recycling) will have only minor benefits on seawater intrusion, if any at all. Without clear justification, the Basin Plan considers Infrastructure Program D (additional wells in the Eastern Area) only as a source of water to support further development in the community. It fails to consider the program as a source to help stop seawater intrusion and mitigate the impacts of the LOWWP. Program D can and should be implemented immediately along with Program AC for three reasons: 1) to reduce pumping from the Western and Central Areas to stop seawater intrusion as soon as possible, 2) to offset the removal of recycled water from the Western and Central areas, and 3) to provide a water source for adaptive mitigation measures for seawater intrusion and habitat impacts as needed, e.g., to reduce where and when water is pumped to respond to signs of seawater intrusion or habitat destruction from the LOWWP and Basin Plan programs). An important benefit of program D is that it effectively provides an agricultural exchange program-as recommended by several authorities, including Eugene Yates and the Monterey Bay Watershed Institute. Basically, Program D optimizes Basin management by maximizing sources of water. Finally, the recycled water program can and should be made stronger with the installation of more purple pipe, especially to parts of the community with larger lots now drawing water Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 12 of 15 from the Central and Western Areas of the Basin. These properties use water at rates 3 to 4 times that of water users in other parts of the urban area, with most of it outdoors. Use of recycled water for outdoor irrigation on large lots (about 200 properties now using an average of about 1 AFY per lot) could reduce potable water use by more than Yz AFY per lot per year (more than 100 AFY). Recommendations: 1. Implement Program D with Program AC and use the water to offset pumping in seawater-impacted areas, to (effectively) implement an agricultural exchange program that offsets recycled water applied in the Eastern Area, and to adapt/respond to potential impacts from major changes in Basin hydrology in the next few years. 2. Install additional purple pipe, especially to parts of the community with large lots drawing water from the Central and Western Areas of the Basin. 3. Do not assume the Urban Water Reinvestment Program increases Basin yield; instead, focus on maximizing the program to ensure the water extracted in the Western and Central Areas and entering the wastewater system is offset either with recycled water or freshwater from the Eastern Area that replaces recycled water delivered to that part of the Basin--i.e., be sure be sure the Recycling Program achieves a 1:1 offset. VI. The Plan overstates the benefits of the current conservation program and ignores the potential and the need for a much stronger program. The Basin Plan stresses the need for a "state-of-the-art" water-use efficiency (conservation) program to stop seawater intrusion, and sets the goal of achieving such a program (Pages 139 & 147). However, the Basin Plan's proposed Urban Water Use Efficiency Program (UWUEP) sets conservation targets too low (sets water use targets too high) and overstates the benefits of the proposed program. It also rejects effective measures, including leak repair, turf replacement, low-water use la ndscaping, and rainwater harvesting/recharge measures such as rain gardens. In general, it backs away from implementing a state-of-theart program even though the public would most likely support it and such program is vital to stopping seawater intrusion. The Basin Plan proposes to extend the LOWWP conservation program Basin-wide (adding a few outdoor measures) to create the proposed "Urban Water Use Efficiency Program." It also recommends that the County administers the entire indoor-outdoor program until 2018, at which time Purveyors will take it over. The Plan further recommends that LOWWP conservation funding ($5 million) is increased to $5.5 million, and shifted from LOWWP funding to a Basin-wide assessment. The Basin Plan program, like the LOWWP conservation program, does not maximize conservation, in large part because both programs rely on a plan the Parties commissioned by Maddaus Water Management (MWM), which does not maximize conservation. The MWM Plan sets th e water use target too high (SO gpcd indoor by 2015), recommends against incorporating many effective measures, and extends over too long a time period (until Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 13 of 15 2035). The MWM plan also exaggerates potential water use reduction in at least two ways: 1) by overstating baseline water use using out-of-date data provided by the Parties, and 2) by overstating indoor water use versus outdoor use (which results in exaggerated benefits for the LOWWP indoor program). (See "Los Osos water use and potential conservation estimates (2012)-draft" by K. Wimer attached.) The Los Osos Sustainability Group (LOSG) commissioned a review of the MWM plan by Peter Mayer of Aquacraft located in Boulder Colorado. Aquacraft and Mr. Mayer have done several conservation end-use studies for the USEPA, including a comprehensive study of California residential water use. Mr. Mayer concludes that that the MWM plan does not reduce water use as much as possible, and thus does not maximize seawater intrusion mitigation. Based on a California-wide survey of water use by Aquacraft for the USEPA, he states that indoor water use can be reduced to 42 gallons per capita per day (gpcd) with efficient appliances and fixtures on the market, in addition to leak repair. He adds that a 42 gpcd indoor target can be easily achieved using the $5 million the County is required to spend to "initiate" the LOWWP program (i.e., per Coastal Development Permit, Special Condition 5b). The Basin Plan estimates the proposed program will reduce water use about 300 AFY by 2035. However, the program overestimates the benefits of the program by at least 100 AFY; whereas a good comprehensive indoor-outdoor program could reduce water use by about 470 AFY (see "Los Osos water use and potential conservation estimates" attached). Recommendations: 1. Implement a comprehensive indoor-outdoor program with a full range of measures, including leak repair, low-water use landscaping, rainwater harvesting/recharge, turf replacement, and grey water reuse. 2. Set the target for indoor residential use at 42 gpcd, with the indoor-outdoor target at 63 to 69 gpcd. 3. Set the baseline target at 80 gpcd Basin wide (Baseline use is calculated by dividing total use, including residential and CII use, by the total population.) 4. Fund the measures with grants and, if grants are not available, with rate increases so they can be implemented in the near future. (Later, shift costs to a Basin-wide assessment.) 5. Apply tiered rates and be sure rate increases reflect the full avoided costs for supplemental water. 6. Purveyors and the County share in the funding and administration of the program beginning this year, so that rate increases, if necessary, can cover some of the costs early on. 7. Enact conservation targets, measures, and incentives with a Basin-wide management ordinance that has the specific objective of reversing seawater intrusion (per recommendations above). 8. Implement tiered rates based on individual water budgets, as recommended by Peter Mayer, in the near future to avoid undue impacts on larger families. 9. Integrate the septic system decommissioningjrepurposing program with the Basin-wide indoor-outdoor conservation program for efficiency and cost-effectiveness (and consider having SLO Greenbuild extend its current role to help implement all programs). VII. The Plan fails to account for the potential impacts of the LOWWP Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 14 of 15 The Basin Plan fails to acknowledge or account for potential adverse impacts from the LOWWP on the Upper and Lower Aquifers. Eugene Yates points out that project impacts are likely to be greatest on the Upper Aquifer, due the combined impacts of the elimination of septic recharge and increased pumping from the Upper Aquifer. He did not factor the adverse impacts from dewatering or the continuing drought. As mentioned, the main mitigation measure to avoid/minimize groundwater impacts, Broderson leach fields, will not restore water levels for 15 years or more after elimination of septic recharge, according to the Monterey Bay Watershed Institute. Although the Basin Plan acknowledges some "uncertainty" associated with the LOWWP, it does not mention impacts or propose a contingency plan. Further, it does not assume the LOWWP conservation and reuse programs will be needed to offset the impacts of the project as intended, but instead it assumes the programs will contribute to stopping seawater intrusion. In fact, the impacts of the LOWWP on the Upper Aquifer may cause seawater intrusion in that aquifer, and preclude shifting more pumping to the Upper Aquifer resulting in further destruction of the Lower Aquifer. The LOWWP is a main reason mitigation programs must be maximized as soon as possible. If the Basin (e.g., Upper Aquifer) does not survive in the short term, the potential long-term benefits of the LOWWP (a reduction in nitrates in the Upper Aquifer) will not be realized. Recommendation: 1. Acknowledge LOWWP impacts and build adaptive measures into the Basin Plan and Basin-wide ordinance that address impacts (also see recommendations in Parts I and II.) 2. Support stronger mitigation programs for the LOWWP as part of the COP, WDR, and other permitting requirements. Wimer comments on Draft Basin Plan, 10/2013, Page 15 of 15 Los Osos water use and potential conservation estimates (2012) Prepared by Keith Wimer 1012013 Current water use I. Population • "Urban" (total population)- 14,600 (per Basin Plan) • Purveyor/USL (purveyor service area/urban services line)- 14,100 (Assumes 500 residents use private wells based on Basin Plan) • PZ (wastewater service area/prohibition zone)-12, 450 (per a Planning Commission memo, July 23, 2009) 2. Total water production (2012) • U rban- 1720 AFY (total purveyor production of 1520 AFY in 2012, plus 200 AFY per Basin Plan, Page 38) • Purveyor/USL-1520 AFY (total purveyor production 20 12, per Basin Plan--Page 35) • PZ-1329 AFY (87.3% of Purveyor/USL based on the population ratio, i.e., 12,450 / 14, I00 minus 1%) {Note: The 1% is subtracted as a conservative estimate of the lower water use within the PZ than outside, but within the Purveyor/USL area (12% of the properties, and about 1650 people). Properties outside the PZ tend to be larger and more outdoor water use is likely.} 3. Baseline per capita water use (includes Cll, residential, and unaccounted fo r water) • Urba n--105 gpcd (1720 AFY/14,600 population) (Note: The Basin Plan estimates 120 gpcd based on a 5-year water use average ami 135 gpcd for the 2006-2008 average. These estimates overstate current use and the potential benefits of the LOWWP and Basin Plan programs-also see "Variations from Basin Plan data/assumptions" below.) • Purveyor/USL-96 gpcd (1520 AFY/14,100 population) • PZ- 95 gpcd (1329 AFY/12,450 population) (Note: The goal of the Basin Plan is to reduce water use to 94 gpcd, so the goal is very close to being achieved, or has a/really been achieved, within the USL and PZ. Also, see note for PZ in #2.) 4. Current per cap residential use indoor and outdoor by group/area (assumes residential use is 80.8% per MWM Plan, Page 23) • Urban-85 gpcd (1720 AFY x .808 I 14,600 population) • P urveyor/USL-78 gpcd ( 1520 AFY x .808 I 14,100 population) • PZ- 78 gpcd (1342 AFYx .808 I 12,450 population) (see note for PZ in #2.) (Note: The above shows opportunity for reduction among all groups, but significantly greater potential for reduction outside the PZ-see "Discussiou!Conclusions. '') Current per cap residential use indoor vs. outdoor (assumes indoor use is 66% of total use--see note in "Sources of data/assumptions" below) • Urba n-56/29 gpcd • Purveyor/USL-51/27 gpcd • PZ-51/27 gpcd (Note: This indicates tlte LOWWP Plan goal of 50 gpcll indoor use within the PZ was very nearly achieved in 2012 before tlte program went into effect- also see note for PZ in #2) 5. Future water use with conservation--potential reductions 6. Potential reduction per capita from •·esidential indoor retrofits (including washers) and leak repair (sets 42 gpcd as achievable target per Mayer Review, Pages 5 & 6, and assumes outdoor use remains at 27 gpcd on average--no reduction for further outdoor conservation, i.e., more than was occurring in 2012.) (Note: The County Plan for the PZ does not include leak repair and it is not on track to replace enough washers to result in a significant reduction from the measure-i.e., 15 washer replacements since January toward a five-year target of 1665 replacements. ) PER CAPITA USE WITH LEAK REPAIR AND INDOOR RETROFITS (INCLUDING WASHERS) • Total-69 gpcd (indoor and outdoor combined) • lndoor-42 gpcd (based on Mayer Review and end use studies, e.g., Mayer 2003) • Outdoor-27 gpcd Potential Conservation Estimates-K. Wimer 1 of 3 .. ' POTENTIAL REDUCTION Urban 150 AFY [(56 gpcd - 42 gpcd x 500 population) + (5 1 gpcd - 42 gpcd x 14,100 population)] • Purveyor/USL-142AFY (51 gpcd - 42gpcd x 14,100population) • PZ-136 AFY (51 gpcd - 42 gpcd x 13,450 population) {Note: Another approxim(ltely 60 AFY of reduction will occur if C/1 measures achieve a 20% reduction (1520 AFY x .2 x .2/.. "Urban" estimates are not included here because the 200 "dditional properties on private wells, 500 additional people, likely have a very higlt ratio of indoor to outdoor water use relative to other properties/people in the Urban group since all of the properties are over one acre-see Note # 7 and "Discussion/Conclusions."/ 7. Potential additional reduction from outdoor conservation (assumes the indoor reductions shown in #6 and average outdoor use is one-half of 42 gpcd or 33% of total use. ~This assumes for outdoor use is still relatively conservati ve with a good outdoor program that includes grey water use and rainwater harvesting because these two strategies reduce water pumped and delivered to a home without reducing actual water use.] PE R CAPITA USE WITH OUTDOOR MEASURES, INDOOR RETROFITS, AND LEAK REPAIR • Total- 63 gpcd (indoor and outdoor combined- see below) • lndoor-42 gpcd (per Mayer Review--see #6)\ • Outdoor-21 gpcd (one-half of 42 gpcd, or 33% of total use) POTENTIAL REDUCTION • Urban- 220 AFY (Note: This calculation includes a 125 AFY reduction for homes outside the Purveyor/USL, added to the 95 A FY potential reduction within the Purveyor/USL- see "Discussion/Conclusions. '') • Purveyor/USL-95 AFY (69 gpcd- 63 gpcd x 14,100 population) • PZ- 90 AFY (69 gpcd - 63 gpcd x 13,450 population) 8. Total potential future reductions from residential conservation• Urban--407 AFY [(142 AFY + 45 AFY + 125 AFY + 95 AFY- assumes indoor use of 500 people on private wells • • is redueed from 51 gpcd to 42 gpcd for a 45 AFY reduction and outdoor use for this group is reduced 125 AFY. These reductions are added to indoor outdoor reductions for the Purveyor/US L group-see #6 & #7)]. Purveyor/USL-237 AFY (142 AFY + 95 AFY-- See #6 & #7) PZ-202 AFY ( 11 2 AFY + 90 AFY --See #6 & #7) (Note: Another approximately 60 AFY o[ reduction will occur i[ CII measures achieve a 20% reduction (1520 A FY x .2 x .2- see "Discussion/Conclusion" below.) Sources of data and assumptions-The water-use data/assumptions here are taken from the fo llowing documents: the Draft Basin Plan (Basin Plan), the 201 1 Water Demand Analy sis and Water Conservation Evaluation--Administrative Review Draft by Maddaus Water Management (MWM plan), the Water Conservation Implementation Plan for the LOWWP prepared by the SLO County Public Works Department, date stamped 6/30/ 12 (County plan), a review of the MWM plan prepared for the Los Osos Sustainability Group by Peter Mayer of Aquacraft Water Engineering & Management (Mayer Review), and other sources noted. Based on the draft Basin Plan, this considers all water use among residential pri vate well-users (non-farming well use outside the purveyor service area) as "urban" use, and assumes 200 properties with private wells, each using about one acre foot per year (AFY) for a total of 200 AFY. This a lso ass umes the number of residents on these 200 properties is consistent with the area average of2.5 peopl e per residence or 500 people total. Variations from Basin Plan data/assumptions-This uses 20 12 water use figures (the most recent data provided in the Basin Plan) as baseline use, not the average of the most recent 5-years as used in the Basin Plan. The reason for this is that water use in the community has been steadi ly dropping for eight years or more, and the drop is most likely primarily due to tiered rate structures, more efficient fixtures, and/or greater community awareness of seawater intrusion. These influences will not change, so use will not likely increase, especially with the County (LOWWP) plan underway. Based on several sources, including the Mayer Review (which points out that the M WM Plan most likely overstates the percentage of indoor to outdoor residential use)- this assumes outdoor use is one-ha lf indoor use, which is assumed to be 66% of total residential use. Indoor use of 66% is a re lati vely conservative estimate because some sources, e.g., Waste Not Want Not, a landmark study by the Pacific Potential Conservation Estimates-K. Wimer 2 of 3 • Institute, estimates indoor use in coastal areas at about 60%, and the 2000 Maddaus conservation plan for Los Osos estimates indoor use at 54% (see Mayer Review, Page 3). The above estimates further assume--per the Mayer review and a recent Aquacraft end-use study for California- that indoor use can easily be reduced to 42 gpcd with high-efficiency retrofits, including washers and leak repair (Mayer Review, Pages 5 & 6). Method- "B asel ine" per capita use is calculated by dividing the total use of a water user group/area by the total population of the group/area. (Baseline per capita use includes CII water use.) "Residential" per capita use is calculated by multiplying group/area water use by 80.8% (the percentage of residential to total use per the MWM Plan--Page 2 1), then dividing by the estimated population for that group/area. Like the Basin Plan, these estimates include 75 AFY of residential private well use outside of the USL/purveyor area, which the MWM Plan does not include. Because C ll use is not part of that private well use, this overestimates residential use sl ightly by apply ing the 80.8% factor to all urban use to calculate res idential use. (This also assumes the MWM Plan estimates the percentage of Cll use accurately although it overstates baseline water use.) Discussion/Conclusions- These estimates indicate that about 470 AFY (467 AFY) of additional water use reduction is possible (among a ll urban water users, including CII users) with a good indoor-outdoor co nservation program. About 270 AFY is possible within the PZ and about 200 AFY outside the PZ. These estimates add the assumed 60 AFY of reduction for CII to the total indoor-outdoor residential esti mated reductions-see #8 above. The Bas in Plan estimates a reduction of about 300 AFY from the Urban Water Use Efficiency Program (which extends the LOWWP program to urban users outside the PZ). However, this overstates the benefits of the program, especially since the reductions must be with in a few years to address the urgent seawater intrusion problem. As mention, the MWM plan and Bas in Plan overstate baseline use to arrive overstated estimates, and they rely on natural conservation over the next 20 years, until2035 (i.e., normal replacement of fixtures/appliances with more efficient ones as they reach the end of their life spans). The above estimates shows that achieving a 300 AFY reduction within the Purveyor/USL area and a 400 AFY reduction among a ll Urban users req uires a much more aggress ive program that includes leak repair, I 00% washer replacement, and a more comprehensive outdoor program. The Basin Plan recommends adding on ly three outdoor meas ures to the current LOWWP indoor program for Basin-wide expans ion (rain sensor re bates, limited outdoor audits, and education). The LOWWP washer program targets replacing 1665 washers (about one-third of the washers in the PZ) at a rate of 333 washers per year for five years. Since January of 2012 (the beginning of the program) only about 15 people have taken advantage of the $150 rebate and the incentive is clearly ineffecti ve (with washers costing about $700 and washer replacement not required for hook up to the wastewater project). A conservative estimate is that two-thirds of the washers in the community could be upgraded for a much greater use reduction. These estimates indicate that the LOWWP conservation program is likely to produce about a 100 AFY red uction reduction is use (70 AFY residential and 30 AFY CII). To achieve the 136 AFY reduction in indoor use within the PZ, shown above, the Basin Plan would have to target 42 gpcd (not 50 gpcd), replace al l washers, and include leak repair. End use studies show the reduction in indoor water use from leak repair and efficient washers is equi valent to the reduction from toilet, faucet aerator, and showerhead replacement, which effective ly compri se the current LOWWP program. If the three outdoor programs recommended in in the Basin Plan are added to the LOWWP program--and the program per the Basin Plan is extended Basin wide-it may reduce water use another 50 AFY in the next 5-8 years-half of the claimed 300 AFY. On the other hand, a 470 AFY reduction is possible w ith a more aggressive and comprehensive indoor-outdoor program. Again, outdoor reduction estimates above are conservative if a strong o utdoor programs than includes grey water use and rainwater harvesting is impleme nted. Also, stronger recycling program than recommended in the Basin P la n could reduce potable water use in seawater impacted areas future. Potential Conservation Estimates- K. Wimer 3 of 3 Los Osos water use and potential conservation estimates (2012) Prepared by Keith Wimer 1012013 (Changes to 912013 draft highlighted) Current water use I. Population • "Urban" (total population)- 14,600 (per Basin Plan) • Purveyor/USL (purveyor service area/urban services Iine)-14,100 (Assumes 500 residents use private wells based on Basin Plan) • PZ (wastewater service area/prohibition zone)- 12, 450 (per a Planning Commission memo, July 23, 2009) 2. Total water production (2012) Urban- 1720 AFY (total purveyor production of 1520 AFY in 20 12, plus 200 AFY per Basin Plan, Page 38) • Purveyor/USL-1520 AFY (total purveyor production 2012, per Basin Plan--Page 35) • • PZ- 1329 AFY (87.3% ofPurveyoriUSL based on the population ratio, i.e., 12,450 114, I00 minus I%) {Note: The 1% is subtracted as a conservative estimate of the lower water use within the PZ than outside, but within the Purveyor/USL area (12% of the properties, and about 1650 people). Properties outside the PZ tend to be larger and more outdoor water use is likely.) 3. Baseline per capita water use (includes Cit, residential, and unaccounted for water) • Urban--lOS gpcd (1720 AFYI14,600 population) (Note: The Basin Plan estimates I 20 gpcd based on a 5-year water use average and 135 gpcd for the 2006-2008 average. These estimates overstate current use and the potential benefits of the LOWWP and Basin Plan programs-a/so see "Variations from Basin Plan data/assumptions" below.) • PurveyoriUSL-96 gpcd ( 1520 AFYI I4,100 population) • PZ-95 gpcd (1329 AFYI12,450 population) (Note: The goal of the Basin Plan is to reduce water use to 94 gpcd, so the goal is very close to being achieved, or has already been achieved, within the USL and PZ. Also, see note for PZ in #2.) 4. C urrent per cap residential use indoor and outdoor by group/area (assumes res idential use is 80.8% per MWM Plan, Page 23) • Urban-85 gpcd (1720 AFY x .808 I 14,600 population) • Purveyor/USL-78 gpcd ( 1520 AFY x .808 I 14, I 00 population) • PZ-78 gpcd (1 342 AFY x .808 I 12,450 population) (see note for PZ in #2.) (Note: The above shows opportunity for reduction among all groups, but significantly greater potential for reduction outside the PZ-see "Discussion/Conclusions.'? C un·ent per cap residential use indoor vs. outdoor (assumes indoor use is 66% qf total use- see note in "Sources of data/assumptions" below) Urban- 56/29 gpcd • • Purveyor/USL-51127 gpcd • PZ--51/27 gpcd (Note: This indicates the LOWWP Plan goal of 50 gpcd indoor use within the PZ was very nearly achieved in 2012 before the program went into effect- also see note for PZ in #2) 5. Future water use with conservation--potential reductions 6. Potential reduction per capita from residential indoor retrofits (including washers) and leak repair (sets 42 gpcd as achievable target per Mayer Review, Pages 5 & 6, and assumes outdoor use remains at 27 gpcd on average-no reduction for further outdoor conservation, i.e., more than was occurring in 20 12.) (Note: The County Plan for the PZ does not include leak repair and it is not on track to replace enough washers to result in a significant reduction from the measure- i.e., 15 washer replacements since January toward a five-year target of 1665 replacements.) PER CAPITA USE WITH LEAK REPAIR AND INDOOR RETROFITS (INCLUDING WASHERS) • Total- 69 gpcd (indoor and outdoor combined) lndoor-42 gpcd (based on Mayer Review and end use studies, e.g., Mayer 2003) • • Outdoor-27 gpcd Potential Conservation Estimates- K. Wimer 1 of 3 • ~ POTENTIAL REDUCTION • Urban 150 AFY [(56 gpcd- 42 gpcd x 500 population) + (51 gpcd- 42 gpcd x 14, 100 population)] Purveyor/USL-142AFY (51 gpcd - 42gpcdx 14, 100population) • • PZ--136 AFY (51 gpcd- 42 gpcd x 13,450 population) /Note: Another approximately 60 AFY of reduction will occur if CII measures achieve a 20% reduction (1520 AFY x .2 x .2f.. "Urban" estimates are not included here because the 200 additional properties on private wells, 500 additional people, likely have a very high ratio of indoor to outdoor water use relative to other properties/people in the Urban group since all of the properties are over one acre-see Note #7 and "Discussion/Conclusions."/ 7. Potential additional reduction from outdoor conservation (assumes the indoor reductions shown in #6 and average outdoor use is one-half of 42 gpcd or 33% of total use. ~This assumes for outdoor use is still relatively conservative with a good outdoor program that includes grey water use and rainwater harvesting because these two strategies reduc~ water pumped and delivered to a home without reducing actual water use.] PER CAPITA USE WITH OUTDOOR MEASURES, INDOOR RETROFITS, AND LEAK REPAIR • Total-63 gpcd (indoor and outdoor combined-see below) Indoor-42 gpcd (per Mayer Review--see #6)\ • Outdoor-21 gpcd (one-half of 42 gpcd, or 33% of total use) POTENTIAL REDUCTION • Urban-220 AFY (Note: This calculation includes a 125 AFY reduction for homes outside the Purveyor/USL, added to the 95 AFY potential reduction within the Purveyor/USL-see "Discussion/Conclusions.'') • Purveyor/USL-95 AFY (69 gpcd- 63 gpcd x 14, 100 population) PZ--90 AFY (69 gpcd - 63 gpcd x 13,450 population) 8. Total potential future reductions from residential conservation• • Urban--407 AFY [(142 AFY + 45 AFY + 125 AFY + 95 AFY- assumes indoor use of500 people on private wells is redueed from 51 gpcd to 42 gpcd for a 45 AFY reduction and outdoor use for this group is reduced 125 AFY. These reductions are added to indoor outdoor reductions for the Purveyor/USL group-see #6 & #7)] . Purveyor/USL-237 AFY (142 AFY + 95 AFY -- See #6 & #7) PZ--202 AFY (1 12 AFY + 90 AFY--See #6 & #7) (Note: Another approximately 60 AFY of reduction will occur if C/l measures achieve a 20% reduction (1 520 AFY x .2 x .2-see "Discussion/Conclusion" below.) Sources of data and assumptions-The water-use data/assumptions here are taken from the following documents: the Draft Basin Plan (Basin Plan), the 2011 Water Demand Analysis and Water Conservation Evaluation--Administrative Review Draft by Maddaus Water Management (MWM plan), the Water Conservation Implementation Plan for the LOWWP prepared by the SLO County Public Works Department, date stamped 6/30/12 (County plan), a review of the MWM plan prepared for the Los Osos Sustainability Group by Peter Mayer of Aquacraft Water Engineering & Management (Mayer Review), and other sources noted. Based on the draft Basin Plan, this considers all water use among residential private well-users (non-farming well use outside the purveyor service area) as "urban" use, and assumes 200 properties with private wells, each using about one acre foot per year (AFY) for a total of 200 AFY. This also assumes the number of residents on these 200 properties is consistent with the area average of 2.5 people per residence or 500 people total. Variations from Basin Plan data/assumptions-This uses 2012 water use figures (the most recent data provided in the Basin Plan) as baseline use, not the average of the most recent 5-years as used in the Basin Plan. The reason for this is that water use in the community has been steadily dropping for eight years or more, and the drop is most likely primarily due to tiered rate structures, more efficient fixtures, and/or greater community awareness of seawater intrusion. These influences will not change, so use will not likely increase, especially with the County (LOWWP) plan underway. Based on several sources, including the Mayer Review (which points out that the MWM Plan most likely overstates the percentage of indoor to outdoor residential use)-this assumes outdoor use is one-half indoor use, which is assumed to be 66% of total residential use. Indoor use of 66% is a relatively conservative estimate because some sources, e.g., Waste Not Want Not, a landmark study by the Pacific Potential Conservation Estimates- K. Wimer 2 of 3 . 1nst:tute, estimates indoor use in coastal areas at about 60%, and the 2000 Maddaus conservation plan for Los Osos estimates indoor use at 54% (see Mayer Review, Page 3). The above estimates further assume--per the Mayer rev iew and a recent Aquacraft end-use study for California-that indoor use can easily be reduced to 42 gpcd with high-efficiency retrofits, incl uding washers and leak repair (Mayer Review, Pages 5 & 6). Method- "Baseline" per capita use is calculated by dividing the total use of a water user group/area by the total population of the group/area. (Baseline per capita use includes CII water use.) "Residential" per capita use is calculated by multiplying group/area water use by 80.8% (the percentage of residential to total use per the MWM Plan--Page 2 1), then dividing by the estimated population for that group/area. Like the Basin Plan, these estimates incl ude 75 AFY of residential private well use outside of the USL/purveyor area, which the MWM Plan does not include. Because Cll use is not part of that private well use, this overestimates residential use slightly by applying the 80.8% factor to all urban use to calculate residenti al use. (This a lso assumes the MWM Plan estimates the percentage of C U use accurately although it overstates baseline water use.) Discussion/Conclusions- These estimates indicate that about 470 AFY (467 AFY) of additional water use reduction is possible (among all urban water users, including Cll users) w ith a good indoor-outdoor conservation program. About 270 AFY is possible w ithin the PZ and about 200 AFY outside the PZ. These estimates add the assumed 60 AFY of reduction for CU to the total indoor-outdoor residential estimated reductions-see #8 above. The Basin Plan estimates a reduction of about 300 AFY from the Urban Water Use Efficiency Program (which extends the LOWWP program to urban users outside the PZ). However, this overstates the benefits of the program, especially since the reductions must be w ithin a few years to add ress the urgent seawater int rusion problem. As mention, the MWM plan and Basin Plan overstate baseline use to arrive overstated estimates, and they rely on natu ral conservation over the next 20 years, until2035 (i.e., normal replacement of fixtures/appliances with more efficient ones as they reach the end of their life spans). The above estimates shows that achieving a 300 AFY reduction within the Purveyor/USL area and a 400 AFY reduction among all Urban users requires a much more aggressive program that includes leak repair, I 00% washer replacement, and a more comprehensive outdoor program. The Basin Plan recommends adding only three outdoor measures to the current LOWWP indoor program for Basin-wide expansion (rain sensor rebates, lim ited outdoor audits, and education). The LOWWP washer program targets replacing 1665 washers (about one-third ofthe washers in the PZ) at a rate of333 washers per year for five years. Since January of 2012 (the beginning of the program) only about 15 people have taken advantage of the $150 rebate and the incentive is clearly ineffective (with washers costing about $700 and washer replacement not required for hook up to the wastewater project). A conservative estimate is that two-thirds of the washers in the community could be upgraded for a much greater use reduction. These estimates indicate that the LOWWP conservation program is likely to produce about a I 00 AFY reduction reduction is use (70 AFY residential and 30 AFY CII). To achieve the 136 AFY reduction in indoor use within the PZ, shown above, the Basin Plan would have to target 42 gpcd (not 50 gpcd), replace al l washers, and include leak repair. End use studies show the reduction in indoor water use from leak repair and efficient washers is equi valent to the reduction from toilet, faucet aerator, and showerhead replacement, which effectively comprise the current LOWWP program. If the three outdoor programs recommended in in the Basin Plan are added to the LOWWP program--and the program per the Basin Plan is extended Basin wide- it may reduce water use another 50 AFY in the next 5-8 years-half of the claimed 300 AFY. On the other hand, a 470 AFY reduction is possible with a more aggressive and comprehensive indoor-outdoor program. Again, outdoor reduction estimates above are conservative if a strong outdoor programs than includes grey water use and rainwater harvesting is impl emented. Also, stronger recycling program than recommended in the Basin Plan could reduce potable water use in seawater impacted areas future. Potential Conservation Estimates- K. Wimer 3 of 3 October 22, 2013 Mr. Paavo Ogren, Director San Luis Obispo County Public Works County Government Center, Room 207 San Luis Obispo, CA 93408 Email: [email protected] Mr. Ken Peterson Golden State Water Company 1140 Los Olivos Avenue Los Osos, CA 93402 Email: [email protected] Ms. Kathy Kivley, General Manager Los Osos Community Services District 2122 9th Street, Suite 102 Los Osos, CA 93402 Email: [email protected] Mr. Bill Garfinkel, President S&T Mutual Water Company P.O. Box 6391 Los Osos, CA 93412 COMMENTS FOR THE AUGUST 1, 2013 PUBLIC REVIEW DRAFT OF THE BASIN PLAN FOR THE LOS OSOS GROUNDWATER BASIN (LOS OSOS BASIN PLAN), SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY Dear Ms. Kivley, Mr. Ogren, Mr. Peterson, and Mr. Garfinkel: Central Coast Regional Water Quality Control Board (Central Coast Water Board) staff reviewed the Public Review Draft, Basin Plan for the Los Osos Groundwater Basin (Los Osos Basin Plan (LOBP). Thank you for the opportunity to comment on the LOBP. We understand that the primary goal of the LOBP is to establish a long-term, sustainable approach to manage and protect the water resources of the Los Osos Groundwater Basin. The groundwater basin is the only source of residential, commercial, industrial, and agricultural uses in Los Osos and the surrounding areas. We recognize that the groundwater basin is faced with immediate issues: 1) upper aquifer degradation by nitrate from septic systems and 2) lower aquifer degradation due to seawater intrusion as a result of overproduction of the groundwater basin. The LOBP includes immediate and continuing goals to manage the basin; more specifically, to halt seawater intrusion and provide sustainable water supplies for existing and future water demand in the Los Osos community. In addition, the LOBP describes current baseline groundwater conditions (i.e., water quantity and quality); describes the legal and regulatory framework surrounding management of the basin (i.e., Interlocutory Stipulated Judgment); and identifies current challenges facing the Los Osos Basin Plan Review -2- October 22, 2013 purveyors (Los Osos Community Services District, Golden State Water, and S&T Mutual Water Company or Parties) to cooperatively manage the basin. The LOBP further identifies various management programs for implementation, such as the Urban Water Use Efficiency Program, Basin Infrastructure program, the Water Reinvestment Program and Supplemental Water Program, Well Head Protection Program, and a myriad of other programs that are intended to achieve long-term sustainable groundwater basin management. In order to better understand the efficacy of these programs or combinations of these programs, the LOBP identifies basin metrics to assess the status of nitrate concentrations and seawater intrusion in the Basin over time. The LOBP further breaks the basin metrics into four basic categories: 1) nitrate metrics – measure nitrate concentrations in the upper basin over time, 2) water level metrics – measure basin levels to evaluate freshwater pressure gradients, 3) chloride metrics – measure chloride concentrations in the lower basin over time, and 4) basin management metrics – measure the overall basin yield over time. The LOBP also provides discussions of programs recommended for immediate implementation and continued implementation as well as program funding. The Central Coast Water Board recognizes that the Los Osos Basin Plan is not subject to a formal public review process. That being said, we appreciate the opportunity to review and comment on the LOBP. In general, we support this plan as it is an integral part for the management of water quantity and water quality in the Los Osos basin. GENERAL OBSERVATIONS AND COMMENTS Comprehensiveness and Completeness – We recognize that the LOBP is very comprehensive and covers a variety of areas necessary to understand and establish the current status of the basin. In addition, the LOBP includes a comprehensive evaluation of historical studies, groundwater monitoring data, groundwater modeling, census data, and other relevant documents to establish a baseline for the immediate and continued management goals. However, we observe various assumptions that must be made in order to establish the basin’s current production and demand. For example, water use estimates for private water users are based on high, medium, or low water usage depending on square feet of irrigated turf. Even though the LOBP establishes a 20 percent safety factor on such estimates, the LOBP should develop a scheme that can identify methods for obtaining better and more accurate data. Iterative Process – We recognize that the LOBP is a living and dynamic document that will improve over time (i.e., increased data quantity and quality, increased basin information, increased understanding of consumption over time). As such, we believe that if the LOBP is updated on a regular basis, the information contained will improve and thus the basis for which programs are developed will improve. This iterative process will allow each of the purveyors to evaluate and improve their individual and collective activities to benefit the basin. Los Osos Basin Plan Review -3- October 22, 2013 Data Reliability – A key LOBP component is the accuracy of the data used to establish the baseline groundwater conditions and associated programs. We understand that the LOBP is not detailed enough to discuss data reliability as it pertains to existing meters and pumping records. We also believe that the LOBP should be an overarching management plan and should not necessarily dictate the specific daily operations of each water purveyor or user (agricultural and private well owners). However, we encourage water purveyors to establish a quality assurance program that will ensure the quality and accuracy of the data. Frequent quality assurance checks might be administered to create a strong foundation for the implementation of proposed programs. For example, the groundwater monitoring program might incorporate a quality assurance program that will establish trust when evaluating the nitrate and chloride metrics. Implementation Goals and Timelines – The Central Coast Water Board understands that this is a general planning document to provide guidance and analysis for the protection and safe production of the Los Osos Groundwater Basin. That being said, the LOBP does not include any implementation schedules or key milestones that are required for recommended program implementation. We believe that a key component to establishing a strong program is to establish a schedule to implement the recommended “immediate” programs. Do the Parties plan to develop an implementation schedule subsequent to the LOBP? We encourage them to do so and to implement the recommended projects as quickly as possible. SPECIFIC COMMENTS OR QUESTIONS: Stream Seepage – Section 5.5 identifies four elements that allow recharge to the basin. One of the four elements includes recharge as a result of in-stream seepage from Los Osos Creek. In addition, Section 5.4.5. explains that the principal sources of recharge to the Lower Aquifer (Zones D and E) are leakage through the regional aquitard and instream recharge through the Los Osos Creek stream seepage. However, we did not find estimated recharge rates through Los Osos Creek stream seepage. Do the Parties plan to conduct a study to better understand stream seepage recharge? Basin Production Estimates– In order to establish accurate groundwater production values, it is vital that accurate data be used. We recognize that the agricultural water users and private well owners are not metered, and, therefore, precise data may not be available. The LOBP and supplemental studies attempt to establish a process to evaluate production rates generating from agricultural water users and private well users through the use of crop type, land area, estimated irrigation requirements, as well as other factors. In addition, Section 4.6 establishes a safety factor of 20 percent to account for inaccuracies with the water production data. A fundamental aspect of the LOBP will be the annual evaluation of the basin yield metrics. According to Section 6.3.2, the Basin Yield Metrics utilize annual groundwater production to evaluate the annual basin yield. If inaccurate data are used to calculate the annual basin yield (Basin Yield Metrics), then the results of the evaluation may not be representative and therefore may decrease the effectiveness of a specific program’s implementation. Los Osos Basin Plan Review -4- October 22, 2013 Section 7.5.2. of the LOBP discusses two solutions to obtain accurate information from the agricultural water users: 1) voluntary reporting and 2) mandatory reporting. We recommend that the County implement the second option, requiring registration and metering of wells and reporting of groundwater production. Brine Disposal – According to the Basin Infrastructure Program, Section 10.3.4., one of the options to address nitrate in the upper basin is to use a community nitrate removal facility. This section adds that the nitrate removal system will generate brine at approximately 15,000 gallons per day (or three truck loads per day). Further, the LOBP explains that South SLO County Sanitation District wastewater treatment facility is the nearest brine disposal facility. However, this section does not include a discussion regarding establishing an institutional agreement with South SLO County Sanitation District, which would likely need to occur prior to trucking and disposing brine waste. Depending on the current situation with South SLO County Sanitation District, an agreement may take added time and effort on the water purveyors’ part. In addition, hauling and disposing of brine waste at SLO County Sanitation District wastewater plant may generate additional greenhouse gas emissions, which would counter the efforts of Assembly Bill 32. In addition, Section 11.5.1 includes a discussion of desalination for the purpose of creating supplemental water. This section includes a discussion of the generation of brine as a result of the filtration process and the construction of necessary infrastructure options, such as: 1) dispose of brine to Estero Bay, 2) connect with the existing Morro Bay desalinization plant to dispose of brine, or 3) connect with the Morro Bay/Cayucos wastewater treatment facility. All of these options will be very expensive. In addition, disposal of brine may require a waste discharge requirements permit from the Central Coast Water Board. However, Morro Bay/Cayucos wastewater treatment facility is currently going through the process of constructing a new treatment facility. Being that a new wastewater treatment facility will be constructed, the purveyors might coordinate with Morro Bay/Cayucos staff and evaluate the possibility for brine disposal at the new facility. The Central Coast Water Board appreciates the opportunity to comment on the Los Osos Basin Plan. We understand that this document is a living document and that there are many assumptions built into the evaluation of future water demand. We understand that estimated costs, future groundwater conditions, estimated growth rates, and other external factors play a role in the difficult process to best develop a guidance document for the future needs. It is our hope that the LOBP will be updated on a frequent basis to allow the integration of current data and information into the proposed matrices in order to fine-tune the recommended programs. Los Osos Basin Plan Review -5- October 22, 2013 We welcome the opportunity to discuss any of the above comments. If you have questions, please contact David LaCaro at (805) 549-3892 or at [email protected]. Sincerely, Digitally signed by Kenneth A Harris Jr. DN: cn=Kenneth A Harris Jr., o=Central Coast Regional Water Quality Control Board, ou=Executive Officer, [email protected], c=US Date: 2013.10.22 19:25:05 -07'00' Kenneth A. Harris Jr. Executive Officer To the ISJ and LOCSD Water Company, The Los Osos Basin and drinking supply are in severe overdraft after 30 years of not addressing incoming sea water intrusion. The County of San Luis Obispo in 1983 issued 1240 new building permits, increasing the draw by 30% at a time when the data showed a crisis ahead. The current Sewer project was designed and is being built under the County's supervision after 7 years of confused goal efforts. San Luis County Public Works has done a dismal job addressing water Re-use and Conservation. They're currently allowing between 8 and 16 Million gallons per day to be disposed into the Bay during Dewatering operation for Gravity pipe installation in high groundwater areas. Again, the County's concern for the Basin supply and sustainability is questionable. This Draft Plan is difficult to understand and appears to have more than a few flaws in the modeling numbers. These should be reviewed by an outside oversite and corrected accordingly. 1) The Plan also appears to propose that with some $36 million or more NEW GROWTH could be possible. Until less expensive methods such a Plan A and D are implemented the County should place a water moratorium on all new usage. 2) Private and Agriculture Well Monitoring. A funded Program for all private wells must be implemented in order to gauge the success of any future actions to balance the Basin and halt Sea Water Intrusion. This would be a relatively simple and inexpensive way to monitor Basin use. Private wells normally show almost a 20% REDUCTION in pumping once they are INCLUDED in Basin Management. How can we manage a Basin when we can't know private well usage? 3) Re-use Design seriously needs a review. The County's Sewer project does close to nothing to guarantee that treated effluent will get back into any part of the Aquifer. Offsetting Ag use to slow their pumping has been a failure. Purple pipe options have NOT BEEN DESIGNED for best potentials. 4) Conservation Efforts have been under-implemented by the purveyors and the County. Basin usage is almost at the stated goal of 50 gallons per day per resident and purveyors have corrected most Leakage. The $5 Million included in the County's Conservation program as part of the Sewer project have barely been applied. A major education program should be put into action, as most Basin users are still UNAWARE of the severity of the Sea Water Intrusion. 5) Before this Plan is rubber stamped... I would urge an open workshop with an OUTSIDE Oversite guru to look at corrected data modeling and simplify the options based on affordability, a viable schedule for implementation, and long-range solutions to stabilize the Basin. 6) No NEW Growth UNTIL 5 years of solutions have been reviewed and there is verification that some new growth can occur without damaging a sustainable future supply. Please allow more serious work on this long awaited Basin Plan. A second review could address the flaws and give our Basin a chance to survive. Taking the politics out of the decision will go a long ways towards a healthy protected Basin. Thanks, Linde Owen 23 yr resident 1935 10th B, Los Osos 805 528-6403 To Whom It May Concern: I have just a few comments that I would like taken into consideration: -I believe the planning should be at the no further development as Los Osos does not have the water resources to support another 5-14 thousand people. Just look at the mess Paso Robles is in with regards to water. -I realize that the water board may not have a say in the development of the area, however for the water usage alone McDonald's should not be allowed to go in on LOVR as is currently being looked at. -I oppose a supplemental groundwater desalination project - I oppose imported water -I would suggest rebates of some sort for removing lawns and putting in landscape that is drought tolerant, such as natives -I also suggest grey water system rebates, and/or programs for converting old septic sites on the properties of the homes which are going to be hooked up to the sewer -if in the future water usage per household is looked at I hope that it is not on a system that expects each household to decrease usage by X amount and instead takes into account those households who have long ago converted to low-flow appliances, toilets, etc. -the cost of this project appears immense and I question the individual property owner's fees in the future and hope that it will not be so costly as to drive current residents away. As we all are aware the current cost of the sewer is $25, 000 per household and future usage costs for sewer may be as much as $200 a month per property. Add more money for water and it really gets to be less feasible for many current residents. Has anyone looked at combining the 3 water companies? It seems that having overhead costs at each is a waste of money. Thank you for taking the time to read my comments. Amber Wiehl Los Osos resident and proud home owner 1388 13th Street Los Osos, CA 93402 805-550-0186 Dear Margaret, Per your request, I have reviewed the Basin Plan and have a couple of comments/questions for you. I commend LOCSD, GSWC, S&T, and County on the work that went into preparing the Basin Report. However, as a homeowner in the Los Osos area, I am offended by the statement that the residents caused it and therefore must pay for the 'fix'. I did not cause seawater to invade the lower aquifer. Nor did I cause the increase in nitrates in the water in the upper aquifer. I believe that these acts are not assignable to anyone directly but to acts of god along with the lack of sewers, use of septic systems, and use of fertilizers in agricultural areas, just to name a few of the culprits. The lack of rain for twenty years probably caused the level of water in the aquifers to be reduced. I am not amused that the project must be paid for by the residents. Of course, I am a responsible citizen and I agree that I should pay a reasonable amount but it is puzzling that approx. 17,000 residents will pay millions! We are already paying for the sewer system! When will the camel's back break? Missing from the report, I noted no mention of a desalination plant! Is a desalination plant possible? Affordable? Doable? An outreach program to the residents is necessary to provide information on changes to make to preserve our precious resource. Since the septic systems in the area are going to become obsolete, how can the residents use the holding tanks to gather rainwater or gray water to use for irrigation? When residents use permeable surfaces, or remove grass lawns, or exchange water loving plants for drought tolerant plants, how will they be rewarded? You cannot expect everyone to pay and pay and when they do the right thing, no reward is cited. With regards, __________________________________ Charmaine Henderson 925.212.5264 Mobile J. H. EDWARDS COMPANY A REAL PROPERTY CONCERN October4,2013 LosOsosCommunityServicesDistrict 21229thSt. LosOsos,CA93402 RE:LosOsosBasinPlanPublicReviewDraftComments DearGentlemen, ThefundamentalgoaloftheBasinPlanfortheLosOsosGroundwaterBasin (BasinPlan)istobalancefreshwatersupplieswithitsdomestic,agriculturaland environmentalwaterdemands.Givenrapidlyadvancingseawaterintrusionitis imperativethatwhateverstrategyisimplementedisaccomplishedassoonas possible.Seawaterintrusionisnotanotherhigh‐riskPossibleContamination Activities(PCA)threateningfreshwatersuppliesinthelowerconfinesofthe groundwaterbasin,itistheonlyPCA.TheBasinPlaninappropriatelycontinuesto focusconsiderableattentiononNitratesasthe“highestrisk”PCA.Presentlythe communityisspending$173milliontospecificallyaddressNitrates.Thefocusof BasinPlanactionsshouldbeonseawaterintrusionintheloweraquiferwithagoal ofslowingorstabilizingtheincursion. Ithasbeensuggestedthatthecauseoftheseawaterintrusionwedgehas resultedfromindiscriminantgroundwaterextractionsbythewaterpurveyors. Whilethelocationanddepthofgroundwaterextractionsareimportant,anequally importantcomponentrelatestothemanagementofthegroundwaterbasinby virtueofrecharge.ThecommunityofLosOsoshascontemplatedforover25years theneedtocollectthesewagefromhomesandbusinessesforpurposesoftreatment andenhancingwaterquality,butasimportantisthenotionofcollectingthe wastewaterforpurposesofreturnorrechargetothegroundwaterbasin,especially theloweraquifer. Presently,therearefourpartiestotheISJandtheoreticallyparticipantsin theBasinPlanimplementation.Giventheneedforexpediencyandcost effectiveness,IrecommendthatSanLuisObispoCountyandtheS&TMutualWater CompanywithdrawfromtheBasinPlanimplementation.Inthefuture,theCounty ofSanLuisObispoastheoperatorofthewastewatertreatmentfacilitymustbeat “arm’slength”fromtheLosOsosCommunityServicesDistrict(LOCSD)andthe GoldenStateWaterCompany(GSWC).Thisisthecaseprimarilybecausethe purveyorsmaybepurchasingrecycledwaterfromtheCountyforpurposesof groundwaterrechargeorotherbeneficialuses.S&TMutualWaterCompanyhasa completewatersystemincludingnewmetersandstoragefacilities.S&TMutual representsaboutthreepercentofthecurrentdemandsuponthebasin. P.O. Box 6070, Los Osos, CA 93412 (805)235-0873 [email protected] ACQUISITION MARKETING LAND USE REDEVELOPMENT J. H. EDWARDS COMPANY A REAL PROPERTY CONCERN Thekeytosuccessinbalancingthebasinistosimplifythesuiteofprograms andhowtheyarefinanced. ProgramA–IncreaseduseofUpperAquifer Forthemostpart,ProgramAhasbeenimplementedorisintheprocessof implementation.ThisincludestheLOCSDSouthBayexperimentalNitrogen RemovalProjectandtheGSWCBlendingproject.AnintertiebetweenLOCSDand GSWCisalsopartofProgramA.PresentlyincludedinProgramAisablending projectattheLOCSD8thSt.well,whichIbelieveshouldbedeferredoreliminated. The$600,000budgetedforthatprojectcouldbereallocatedfortheinitialstepsof ProgramCtobediscussedbelow. ProgramB‐CommunityNitrogenRemovalFacility. ProgramBincludestheconstructionofacentralizedcommunitynitrogen removalfacilitytotreatupperbasingroundwaterextractions.Irecommendthis programbedeferredintothefutureforconsideration.Theprocessofremoving nitrogenfromthegroundwaterisexpensive.Themaincomponentsofthehigh operatingcostsincludeelectricityandbrinedisposal.Furthermore,nitrogenisonly onecontaminantintheupperaquiferofthegroundwaterbasin.Awaterquality characterizationstudywaspreparedin2006fortheLosOsosCommunityServices DistrictbyCleathandAssociates.Also,theupperaquiferisnotimmunetoseawater intrusionaswasevidencedinthemid‐1980’s.Inconsiderationofacentralized nitrogenremovalfacilityitshouldbedeferreduntilthereisasuccessfuloperating historyattheLOCSDSouthBayNitrateRemovalFacility. ProgramC–WesterntoCentralLowerAquiferWells. ProgramCincludestheinstallationofthreeloweraquiferwellstoshift pumpingfromtheWesternAreatotheCentralArea.Theprogramcontemplates GSWCinstallingtwoofthethreewellsandtheLOCSDinstallingthethird.Ibelieve programCshouldbeoneofthehighestprioritiesforimplementation.Also,itmay beGSWConlyneedstoinstallonewell,insteadoftwo.Asignificantcomponentof ProgramCincludesanupgradeintheLosOsosValleyRoadmaintransmissionline atacostofapproximately1.5million,whichwouldbebornelargelybyGSWC. Consequently,eachpurveyorwouldincurthecostforanewwellsomewhereinthe neighborhoodof$1.6million.Anotherimportantconsiderationinthedevelopment ofCentralArealoweraquiferwellsistoprovideanintertiebetweenthetwo purveyor’ssystems.Theideaofinterconnectingthesystemsatstrategiclocations willallowLOCSDandGSWCtheabilitytooptimizebasinmanagement. Furthermore,theimplementationofnewconventionalgroundwaterextraction wellsshouldberelativelysimpletodesign,permit,construct,maintainandoperate. ProgramCincombinationwithProgramArepresentsanexcellentprimarystepin theefforttostabilizeseawaterintrusionandprovidessomelimitednew development. P.O. Box 6070, Los Osos, CA 93412 (805)235-0873 [email protected] ACQUISITION MARKETING LAND USE REDEVELOPMENT J. H. EDWARDS COMPANY A REAL PROPERTY CONCERN ProgramD‐‐AdditionalEasternAreaLowerAquiferWells ProgramDincludestheinstallationofthreeEasternArealoweraquifer wells.TheEasternareawellswouldbelocatedeastofLosOsosCreekandoverlying theCreekCompartment,alsoknownasAlluvialAquifer.AswithProgramC,I believetwowellsmaybesufficientincontrasttothethreewellsproposed.I supportimplementationofProgramDfollowingProgramsA,CandFasdiscussed below. ProgramE–UrbanWaterUseEfficiencyProgram ProgramEisgenerallyassociatedwiththeLosOsosWastewaterProjectand thecompanionUrbanWaterConservationProgram.Isupportretrofittingtheentire communitywiththehighestefficiencywatersavingdeviceswhichwilloccurover time.Idonotsupportfancybrochures,watereducationorawarenessprogramsin LosOsos.NordoIsupportwaterauditsorotherlaborintensivemake‐work programs. ProgramF–SeasonalSurfaceWaterRelease ProgramFincludestheseasonalreleaseofrecycledwatergeneratedfrom theLosOsosRecycledWaterFacility(LORWF).Forexample,duringthemonthsof June,JulyandAugust,whenLosOsosCreekisdry,anoutfallfacilitycouldrelease approximately300acrefeetoverthethreemonthperiod.Fromahydrogeological standpointtheloweraquiferisknowntosurfaceor“daylight”justsouthofLosOsos ValleyRoadinthecreekbed.Figure20,onpage53,oftheplanreflectsthegeology oftheLosOsosGroundwaterBasin.ThePasoRoblesFormation,knownasQpris showntosurfaceassuggestedinthelocationidentified.AlsopleaseseeFigure24 onpage61oftheplanwhichshowstheWest‐EastCrossSectionoftheBasin.Please seeQa(CreekAlluvium)whichconnectstoZoneDandquitepossiblyZoneEofthe basin.Thisconceptwasanalyzedasfarbackas1987becauseoftheunique relationshipLosOsosCreekhaswiththeloweraquifer.TheideaofusingtheLos OsosCreektoreplenishtheloweraquiferisaconceptthatmimicsMotherNature duringthewetweatherandincludesthenotionofconjunctiveusesand managementoftheseresources.Thereareanumberofsurfacewaterdischarges thatoccurinSanLuisObispoCountyundertheNationalPollutantDischarge EliminationSystem(NPDES)permit.AnNPDESpermitdoeshavea“highbar”in termsofwaterqualityandwaterquantity.Withrespecttowaterquality,the purveyorsGSWCandLOCSDaspermitees,wouldcontractwiththeCountyofSan LuisObispo,asoperatoroftheLORWFforthehighestqualitywater.The potentialityofanymandatoryminimumpenaltieswouldbeaddressedinthe contractforrecycledwaterdelivery.Anotherconcernistheestablishmentof aquatichabitatsasabyproductofthesurfacewaterreleaseandthecontinuing obligationtomaintaintheartificialhabitat.However,iftheseasonalsurfacewater P.O. Box 6070, Los Osos, CA 93412 (805)235-0873 [email protected] ACQUISITION MARKETING LAND USE REDEVELOPMENT J. H. EDWARDS COMPANY A REAL PROPERTY CONCERN dischargerealizesbenefitstotheloweraquiferintermsofrechargeandstabilizing seawaterintrusionthantheseasonaldischargeissomethingwewouldwanttodoin perpetuityanyway. ProgramG–AgriculturalWaterReinvestmentProgram ProgramGincludestheconceptofdeliveringrecycledwatertoirrigated agricultureintheLosOsosValley.Todate,theCountyofSanLuisObispohasbeen unabletosecureparticipationfromanyoftheactiveirrigatedagriculturalists,in spiteofextensiveoutreachfromtheCountyandtheSanLuisCoastalResource ConservationDistrict.Theonlyagriculturalintereststhatareparticipating(65AFY) arethosepropertiesthatpresentlylackadequatewatersupplies.Inotherwords, theonlypropertiesthatwillreceivetherecycledwaterarethosedonothave sufficientsuppliesfortheiroperations.Withouttheirrigatedagriculturalists,itis impossibletorealizeanyseawaterintrusionmitigationbecausethereisno reductioninextractionsfromthegroundwaterbasin.Thisscenarioisinsharp contrasttotheprograminMontereyCountyimplementedbytheMontereyRegional WaterPollutionControlAgency.InMonterey,irrigatedagricultureislocatedvery closetotheocean.Consequently,theseagriculturalinterestsarepumpingwater thathashighchloridecontent.Inthatcase,theirrigatedagriculturalistswere motivatedtoparticipateintherecycledwaterprogrambecauseofpoorwater qualityandquality.IntheLosOsosValley,theirrigatedagriculturalistshave abundantsuppliesofhighqualitywaterandarenotmotivatedatalltoreceive recycledwater.Compoundingtheproblemistheextensionofregulationsbythe CentralCaliforniaRegionalWaterQualityControlBoardwithregardtoAgOrderNo. R3‐2004‐0117.Theorderrequiresagriculturaliststocomplywithstringent monitoringandreporting.Thishasa“chillingeffect”onanyfutureparticipationin anAgriculturalWaterReuseorExchangeProgrambyirrigatedagriculturalistsin LosOsosValley.Consequently,itisunrealistictoconsiderProgramGasaviable optionnow,orinthefuture. ProgramM–GroundwaterMonitoringProgram TheGroundwaterMonitoringprogramshouldbefocusedontracking sweaterintrusionandtheeffectivenessofvariousprogramsonstabilizingthe sweaterwedge.Ibelieveweshouldcommitlimitedresourcestoanymonitoring programthattracksNitrates,theredistributionandconcentrations. ProgramP–WellheadProtectionProgram TheWellheadProtectionProgramreferstotheprocessofmanagingthe activitieswithintheLosOsosGroundwaterBasin.Theprogramaddressessuch issuesassepticsystemmanagement,saltandnutrientmanagementandwell abandonment,asexamples.Isupportthisprogramtotheextentthatitfocuseson realthreatstothequalityandquantityofthegroundwaterbasin.Thefocusshould P.O. Box 6070, Los Osos, CA 93412 (805)235-0873 [email protected] ACQUISITION MARKETING LAND USE REDEVELOPMENT J. H. EDWARDS COMPANY A REAL PROPERTY CONCERN beontrackingsweaterintrusionanditsthreattothebasinbydisplacingstorage capacity. ProgramS‐‐SupplementalWaterProgram TheSupplementalWaterProgramdiscussesenhancingtheavailabilityof freshwatersuppliesincludingrainwaterharvesting,stormwatercaptureand graywaterreuse.Alsoincludedisseawaterdesalination;however,thiswillnotbe discussedbecauseofitsinfeasibilityforLosOsos.Giventhelimitedcontributionof freshwatersuppliesfromtheseactivities,Idonotsuggestanyofthesebefurther consideredinthecontextofthebasinplan.Individualpropertyownersmayon theirownvolitionpursuesomeoftheseactivities. ProgramU–UrbanWaterReinvestmentProgram ProgramUisanUrbanWaterReinvestmentProgramwhichdovetailswith ProgramE.LikeProgramE,ProgramUisgenerallyassociatedwiththeLosOsos WastewaterProjectandtheUrbanWaterConservationProgram.Isupport retrofittingtheentirecommunitywiththehighestefficiencywatersavingdevices whichwilloccurovertime.Idonotsupportfancybrochures,watereducationor awarenessprogramsinLosOsos.NordoIsupportwaterauditsorotherlabor intensiveprograms. Financing Theoriginalconceptforfinancingwaterresourceprojectswastoinclude thatcostinalargerassessmentdistrictformationandbondofferingwhichalso wouldincludehabitatconservationandsanitarysewerservice.Theformationof suchanassessmentdistrictwouldoccurunderProposition218.Idonotsupport theformationofsuchanassessmentdistrictforanumberofreasons.One,the primaryintentoftheassessmentdistrictformationwastoallowforthetaxationof propertiesthatwerewithinthebasinandderivedtheirwatersuppliesfromonsite wells.Thereareapproximately200suchsituatedproperties.Toforcea contributiontothebasinmanagementbyahandfulofpropertyownerswhile incurringsubstantialcostsassociatedwithassessmentdistrictsdoesnotmake financialsense.Thecommunitywouldbespendingadollartocollectfiftycents. Moreover,thepurveyorshavetheabilityto“payasyougo”forcapitalprojects throughincrementalwaterrateincreases.Thisisespeciallytrueifthetotalcostof contemplatedprojectsintheneartermislessthan$10million.Following implementationofprogramsA,CandF,itwouldbeproductivetoreevaluatethe possibilityofanassessmentdistrictformation,ifneeded.Withoutawater componenttoanassessmentdistrictformation,theCountywouldbefreetopursue suchadistrictformationforpurposesforhabitatconservationandsanitarysewer service. P.O. Box 6070, Los Osos, CA 93412 (805)235-0873 [email protected] ACQUISITION MARKETING LAND USE REDEVELOPMENT J. H. EDWARDS COMPANY A REAL PROPERTY CONCERN MiscellaneousIssues: PurveyorCapitalImprovementPrograms WhilethecomponentsofProgramAareincludedintheten‐yearCapital ImprovementProgram(CIP)fortheLOCSDandGSWC,noelementsofProgramC areincludedpresently.Inthecaseofeachpurveyor,theCentralArealoweraquifer wells,twoorthree,shouldbefoldedintotheCIPforeachpurveyorassoonas possible. ComputerModeling Computermodelingofthebasinhasbeenongoingforanumberofyears.For example,onecomputerrunincludedtheuseofsprayfieldsattheToniniRanch. Apparentlythiswascompletedtosimulatetheworstpossiblecasescenario. Atthisjuncture,giventhelimitednumberofdisposaloptionsforrecycledwater,the computermodelshouldberunusingaseasonal(dryweather)dischargeofrecycled wateratanoutfalllocationinLosOsosCreek.Bymodelingthisscenarioitmay provideinformationonhowthebasinandtheseawaterintrusionwedgewillreact. Also,iftheseasonaldischargeappearsfeasibletherecouldbesignificantbenefitsin balancinggroundwaterextractionsintheLosOsosCreekAlluvialAquiferorCreek Compartment. ImportedWater Thebasinplandiscussesanimportedwaterprogram.Therearetwo primarypotentialsourcesforimportedwaterforLosOsos.OneisNacimiento WaterProject(NWP)andtheotheristheStateProjectWater(SPW).Theresidents ofSanLuisObispoCountyhavebeenpayingforSPW,includingresidentsofLos Osos.Presentlythecountyhasapproximately15,000AFYthatisunsubscribed.In theearly1990’sthethen,CSA‐9A(LOCSD)andthen,CalCitiesWaterCompany (GSWC)hadeachrequested300acrefeetofSPW.TheBasinPlanindicatesthatfor 1,000AFYofSPWwouldcost$50millionover30years.Thisincludesanannual costofapproximately$1million,includingdroughtbuffer.Thecapitalcostis approximately$20million.ThisisconsistentwiththeTechnicalMemorandumof July2008forImportedWaterpreparedbyCarolloEngineers.Whileimportedwater maybethelastresort,Iwouldmuchprefer$20millionbespentonSPWthanona centralizedNitrogenRemovalFacilityforapproximatelythesamecost.SPW subscribershavereceivedanaveragedeliveryrateof60percent.Thisreliability canbedoubledwiththepurchaseofdroughtbuffer,makingthissourceofwater highlyreliable.WithregardtotheNacimientoWaterProject,itissubstantially P.O. Box 6070, Los Osos, CA 93412 (805)235-0873 [email protected] ACQUISITION MARKETING LAND USE REDEVELOPMENT J. H. EDWARDS COMPANY A REAL PROPERTY CONCERN moreexpensivethanSPW,especiallyasdepictedintheTechnicalMemorandumand islargelyaNorthCountyprojectandwilllikelybeusedthere,forthebalanceofthe SLOCountyentitlement. RecycledWaterReuseforCemeteryandGolfCourse TheUrbanWaterReinvestmentProgram(ProgramU)includesthe distributionofrecycledwatertotheLosOsosValleyMemorialPark(50AFY)and theSeaPinesGolfResort(45AFY),pleaseseeTable31onpage211.Thisequatesto overtenpercentofthetotalrecycledwaterproduced.However,todate,neither enterprisehasexhibitedinterestandtheabilitytoreceiverecycledwater.For example,inthecaseofSeaPines,theywillnotbeabletoreceiveanyrecycledwater untiltheMonarchGroveSubdivisionisconnectedtotheLORWF.Theearliestthis mayhappenisfollowingthecertificationofanLCPamendmentbytheCalifornia CoastalCommissiontoincludetheMonarchGroveSubdivisionwithintheUrban ServicesLine.Also,iftheMonarchGroveHomeownersAssociationchoosesto retainitscurrentwastewaterfacilitiesthenitmayneverhappen.Withregardtothe cemetery,Ibelievesocialstigmasassociatedwith“sewerwater”willlimitthe cemetery’ssubscriptiontorecycledwater.LikeProgramGforirrigatedagriculture itisunlikelythecemeteryorthegolfcoursewillreceiverecycledwaterinthe foreseeablefuture. BrodersonLeachFields TheBrodersonLeachFields(BLF)arescheduledtoreceive448AFYof recycledwater.TherearesufficientnumbersofuncertaintiesregardingtheBLF thatitwouldbeprudentto“rampup”dischargesovertime.Thiswouldreducethe possibilityofrecycledwater“daylighting”downslopeintheMartinTractand Cuesta‐by‐the‐Searesidentialneighborhoodsandtheresultingliability.Given limitedagriculturalreuseandnogolfcourseorcemeteryinterestinrecycledwater, identifyinganalternativetooverloadingtheBLFiscritical.ProgramF,Seasonal SurfaceWaterRelease,providesa“reliefvalve”for300AFYduringthedryseason. PurveyorJointFacilities/Intertie Whileitwasstatedearlier,IbelieveitisimperativethatLOCSDandGSWC workcloselyandcooperativelyinthesitingofnewloweraquiferwellsinthe CentralandEasternAreasandintertietherespectivedistributionsystemsfor optimalmanagementofthebasin. Cost/BenefitAnalysis Acost/benefitanalysisshouldbeconductedonanyProgrambeing consideredforimplementationbythepurveyors.Inlightoftheextremelyhighcost ofachievingsanitarysewerserviceinthecommunityincludingitstreatmentand P.O. Box 6070, Los Osos, CA 93412 (805)235-0873 [email protected] ACQUISITION MARKETING LAND USE REDEVELOPMENT J. H. EDWARDS COMPANY A REAL PROPERTY CONCERN disposal,costsforgroundwatermanagementmustbeminimized.Inotherwords, withanyProgramwemustgetthemost“bangforthebuck.”Thisalsoincludesthe limitationofbureaucraticprocessessuchasaWaterMaster,formationofaFacilities DistrictandtheCourtscontinuinginvolvementinBasinPlanimplementation. BuildoutDevelopmentScenario GiventheimplementationofProgramsA,CandFincombinationwith conservationshouldresultinademand/yieldrelationshipasfollows.Supplyof 3,000AFYminus20percentreservationequals2,400AFYless2,200AFYwhich representstotalcurrentgroundwaterproductionannuallyincludingconservation equals200AFYforbuildoutdevelopment.PleaseseeFigure60onpage237.The remaining200AFYequatestoapproximately850dwellingunitsat.2to.25AFYper dwellingunit.Presentlythereareabout500vacantlotsinLosOsos.Consequently, theresultingbuildoutscenariowouldincludewaterserviceforallvacantlotsplus about350lotsfromnewsubdivisions.Asapracticalmatter,850dwellingunitsmay representtheultimatebuildoutofthecommunityintheabsenceofsignificant additionalcosttofurtherdevelopwaterresources. Conclusion IsupporttheimplementationofProgramsA,CandFdescribedabove,as soonaspossible,withthecapitalcosttobefinancedthroughrateincreasesbyeach ofthepurveyorsonapayasyougobasis.Idonotsupportimplementationof ProgramsB,GorS,noworlikelyanytimeinthefuture. Sincerely, Jeff Edwards JeffEdwards cc. GSWC‐WesStrickland GSWC‐KenPeterson CCRWQCB‐DavidLaCaro CCRWQCB‐MonicaHunter SWRCB‐DanNewton CCC‐DanielRobinson LOCSDUAC‐RonMunds SLOCo.P&BDept.‐KerryBrown P.O. Box 6070, Los Osos, CA 93412 (805)235-0873 [email protected] ACQUISITION MARKETING LAND USE REDEVELOPMENT Hi Margaret, I seem to recall that our comments on the Draft Basin Plan could be submitted to you! You might be sorry that you volunteered, but here goes! I have put my comments into two groups, Typos/Style and Questions/Comments.I think the powers that be did a great job (finally!). Thanks for reading in advance if that ghastly task falls to you! See you on Thursday night! Lynette Typos/Style Some of the pages with maps and graphs have like headers and footers but some don't, like pages 60-61, 225 (and maybe some others). Mostly the phrase "rates and tariffs" is used, but sometimes we read "rates and charges" (page 197, second paragraph from bottom). If these are the same, pick one terminology or if not, explain the difference. Page 125 "Error! Reference source not found." Needs fixing. Page 236 10.4 has "8-inch piping" and 10.4.2 has "eight-inch piping" and 10.4.4 has "eight-inch" and "12-inch." One or the other would look better than using both the number itself and the spelling out of the number. Questions/Comments Page 1, third paragraph In the sentence that reads, "The most important goals are to halt seawater intrusion…" I think that parks and recreational facilities should be included. I am reminded from my weed pulling at Sweet Springs East, that Audubon's efforts to restore the property are not made easier by their inability to procure a meter. The water tank and the drip line works, but it is an awkward solution in my opinion. As hopefully and eventually the water crisis lessens, it seems odd not to include that use if we are allowing for commercial and institutional uses. Page 18, 2.3.1 The actual ISJ court case refers to Golden State Water "as formerly Cal Cities Water Company," under page 2, point "A," line 5. Since most of us know it that way rather than Southern California Water Company (apparently its last actual name), could that be included for clarification to the average reader? Page 19, 3.2, Immediate Goals, 2 Is the "agricultural development in Los Osos" referring to the basin itself or just ag within the URL? Page 27 California is not mentioned as becoming a state (September 9, 1850) but the area is mentioned as being a county in 1850. Seems odd. Page 29 Sweet Springs East is an additional 8.3 acres added to Sweet Springs Central and although a work in progress, it should get a mention. Page 58-59 The property holding license #12061 has an unknown location for the water it is allowed to draw and this seems odd. How are these licenses monitored? Are they monitored? Page 169, paragraph 3 Is the Los Osos gpcd number listed here (120) for both indoor and outdoor water use? Seems high. And paragraph 4, (8.2.4) the goal is 95 gpcd for both indoor and outdoor use. The LOWWP is indoor and it is 50 gpd. This number appears on other pages too. Maybe we need an explanation where this number is from. If the 218 to do infrastructure improvements for those that have water connections already does not pass, does that mean vacant lot owners may be delayed further from developing? Page 210 The leach fields of Broderson and Bayridge are mentioned. We know from the LOWWP that Broderson has a plan for redoing the leach field there from time to time. What about Bayridge? Is there a plan or is there room for it to be redone? Also, on page 220, Condition 85 is mentioned. The rehab of percolation fields is mentioned. Does this refer to Bayridge? Page 211 The storage area for winter recycled water has been reduced from 50 AF to 37 AF. Broderson is 40 acres? It has aways been listed as 80 acres. Page 211-212 Sea Pines shows potential water demands of 45 AFY on the chart on page 211, but 40 AFY on page 212, paragraph 5, the last sentence says 40 AFY. Page 213 There is a reference to a chart on page 209, Figure 54 regarding the recycled water return piping. This does not match the map shown in the Draft Recycled Water Master Plan on page 27 as to where the pipes are going to the middle school. Which is correct? Page 214, paragraph 1 There is a reference to storage ponds of needing room for 30AF initially (which we will have as the 37AF pond that we are getting with the WWTF will accommodate that). But the report states that we will be needing storage at 150AF at buildout. 1. This seems like a huge amount. 2. What entity - sewer or water - will build this (presumably with a 218 vote)? 3. Where is the discussion of this need? Page 215 The chart shows a midtown restoration cost of $400,000, but although not used yet and we are not done with the project, the budgeted amount was $414, 833. Is this due to rounding? Page 217, paragraph 3 The Crisis Management Plan is to be paid for by the WWTF or the growers? Page 244-246 This is my personal pet peeve, but there seems to be an eco-blindness to the hazards of graywater. Who monitors what products go into the wash - Tide with brighteners or people with hepatitis? Page 270, last paragraph How are abandoned and inactive wells monitored now (not purveyor wells, we know they are OK!)? Are they inspected by DPH or the County? Are the water supplies kept safe now from the possible contaminants? Regulatory processes are mentioned on page 271 but not defined. Los Osos Community Advisory Council October 1, 2013 COUNCIL MEMBERS 2013-2014 District One Debby Grisanti Nathaniel Blair District Two Jan Harper District Three Paul Malykont District Four Tom Cantwell Treasurer Alissa Feldman Appointees Carolyn Atkinson Secretary Alan Fraser Vicki Milledge, Chairperson Leonard A. Moothart, President Los Osos Community Services District 2122 9th Street, Suite 102 Los Osos, CA 93402 Dear President Moothart: On September 9, 2013 the Los Osos Community Advisory Council (LOCAC) met in a Special Meeting to discuss the recently released Basin Plan for the Los Osos Groundwater Basin. Both LOCAC members and members of the public attended this meeting and participated in the discussion. Participants were frustrated by the limited time the public and LOCAC were given to study and comment on this long and complicated document. We regard this as the most important document concerning the Los Osos Basin and its impact on our community’s survival. As such, we, LOCAC, deserve more time to work with this document to understand it and make meaningful recommendations for actions to be included in the plan. We respectfully request an extension to December 15, 2013 to submit further comments and recommendations. A summary of the comments made at this meeting is below. Community/LOCAC Members’ Comments • The information as modeled in the plan report is not reliable and is not provable. • According to California law, all landowners have rights to basin water including undeveloped lots, even if that leads to water rationing. • The Plan goals are not guaranteed and it is a non-binding agreement. • What is meant by “No future development until the Basin is sustainable”? o (Sustainable needs to be defined more clearly.) • Include consideration of injection wells as part of the plan and creek recharge measures in order to recharge the lower aquifer and retard the advancement of seawater intrusion. • Include supplemental water programs as part of the plan. • Importation involves uncertainties of law and negotiation that can be made certain by normal human interaction. [Contracts can be negotiated to remove uncertainties relative to costs and other implementation issues.] LOCAC P.O. Box 7170 Los Osos, CA 93412-7170 E-Mail: [email protected] • Spread the cost of the plan to all users of the basin, including private well users. • Require monitoring of private wells for data collection only. • Make the County responsible for creating ordinances to ensure the basin survives. [County should enact a basin-wide water management ordinance to implement the most effective measures.] • Instead of spending money to create a new assessment district for funding, include the costs in rate increases to ensure timely implementation. • Include drought data in the plan. • Enhance recommended programs: Include Infrastructure Program D initially in addition to Programs A and C and strengthen conservation and reuse programs. LOCAC wishes to thank Rob Miller, Los Osos Community Services District Engineer for attending our Special Meeting and providing detailed answers to our questions regarding the Basin Plan. Sincerely, Vicki Milledge, Chairperson Los Osos Community Advisory Council cc: Carolyn Atkinson, Nathaniel Blair, Tom Cantwell, Alissa Feldman, Alan Fraser, Debby Grisanti, Jan Harper, Paul Malykont LOCAC P.O. Box 7170 Los Osos, CA 93412-7170 E-Mail: [email protected] October 4, 2013 To: ISJ Working Group From: Los Osos Community Services District Regarding: Comments on: The Basin Plan For the Los Osos Groundwater Basin The Los Osos Community Services District thanks all the members of the ISJ working group for your time and effort to produce this comprehensive Basin Management Plan as stipulated. The overall quality of this plan is appreciated. We are eager to have the plan finalize and become a working document for our entire community. Please accept our comments and suggestion below we hope they are helpful in the development of the final draft. Clearly and Definitively Lay Out Timeline and Milestone for Expectations - We believe it is important for the parties to develop a timeline of their expected results and milestones of the program combination(s) of choice. In general the success of The Basin Plan relies heavily on the Los Osos Waste Water Project and therefore the time line of the project appears to dominate the plan. The timeline of the Basin should be independent of the results of the Waste Water Project. Clearly and Definitively Define Watermaster and Committees Authority and Duties - The Watermaster appears to be a vital part of this plan. The final version of this plan should define who will make up the committee, their duties and what authorities they have. The definition should include directives of oversight, annual review and public reporting of the progress of the various programs including Monitoring. High Priority for Establishing Community Finance District (CFD) - The Urban Water Use Efficiency Program as stated is critical component to the plan. It will require a paradigm shift in how many residents think about water. The LOCSD has always been concerned about the cost of this program for the expected result as there is evidence of more efficient use of money for similar programs in the county. The plan acknowledges that the County will administer the Urban Water use Efficiency Program as part of the LOWWP. This of course infers that water customers with property within the prohibition zone would be paying a majority of the bill. This is a bothersome proposition and we support measures that will distribute the cost basin wide including the formation of a Community Finance District (CFD). The ISJ parties should include support for such comprehensive plans in the plan. Metering of All Basin Users for Proper and Correct Water Basin Data - Metering of all basin users is a high priority in order to establish the best data for monitoring the basin. Metering is one the best practices for basin monitoring. It may be useful to consider using both options of volunteer and mandatory metering in a sequential time line. Producers may volunteer with the confidentiality described for a defined amount of time. After that the County ordinance could be enforced. Regardless the county should make adopting an ordinance a priority and it should be made clear that metering is inevitable and goals for metering should be outlined. 1 Agriculture Users Need to be Aware and Need to be Included in Process - It is in the best interest of all involved to make an effort to include Agriculture users in the process as soon as possible. Consider forming of a committee to contact the non-purveyor producers in order to start a dialog. Thank you for the opportunity to make these comments. Sincerely, Leonard Moothart, Los Osos Community Services District President, Board of Directors 2 Please accept and include these comments in your assessment. Thank you, Patrick McGibney 1177 3rd St. Baywood Park, CA Page 135, Section 7.5.2, Groundwater Monitoring Program “While reporting of groundwater production by the Purveyors is necessary, the Watermaster and Parties will face significant challenges to successful management of the Basin without the collection and use of data from nonPurveyors. In particular, with over 40 % of Basin production based on estimates, the Watermaster and Parties may not be able to accurately predict or measure the effect of the actions to stop seawater intrusion. . .” 1. Comment: The above focuses on the crux of all my comments. Managing the Basin is not possible without the cooperation and participation of ALL users. This must be mandatory and not a voluntary goal to accurately access the sustainability of the Basin. Page 1 Section 1.1: “. . . The Basin Plan . . . goals are to . . . provide sustainable water supplies for . . . agriculture . . .” 2. Comment: We, the community, have no obligation or responsibility to the Ag. Industry and I for one do not want to be paying one cent for their water use. With growing populations that need water for their very survival, California’s water basins have become over drafted not by the populace but in most cases, by the Ag industry which is made up in most parts by multi-national corporations. They have no limit to the water they can use and no payment for the use of that water. This is a very contentious issue, but needs to be addressed as we figure out how to save and maintain our own water basin. The word “share” comes to mind and when the Ag industry uses over 70% of all groundwater in California; that is not sharing. Page 3, Section 1.2 Background: 3. Comment: Figure 2 has to be inaccurate? I moved to Baywood Park in 1973 when we had a population of less than 3000. Los Osos Valley was mostly cattle and there was very little production agriculture happening. Your graph shows those to be some of the highest periods of irrigation. It was about the same time the County started indiscriminately issuing building permits that agriculture took off in the valley and has continued ever since. Irrigation has also exponentially increased ever since. Agricultural interests have not been using conservation, other sources, or better watering technology – as can be witnessed by all the overhead spraying being done, yet your graph does not show this. There should also be a very high correlation between the time agriculture was introduced into the valley and nitrate levels starting to rise in our groundwater. Ag and private wells are not monitored, therefore the graph has to be all speculation made with faulty estimates. Please review your graph and update your findings. Page 4, Section 1.2 Background: .” . . build out . . . in the new Los Osos Community Plan (LOCP) to no more than 19,850. . .” 4. Comment: There should be no further build out from present population until we can manage our water resource, and that cannot truly be done until monitoring is done on ALL user wells, which would include agriculture and private wells. Page 6, Section 1.3.2, Groundwater Monitoring Program: “Information regarding other production from the Basin will be gained by estimates, until such time as accurate information can be acquired through voluntary participation by (Ag.) well owners or a potential County groundwater ordinance . . .” 5. Comment: California water laws are obtuse, outdated, and very complicated, but until we can require monitoring on all water users, we cannot guarantee the sustainability of our water resource. ALL users of the Los Osos groundwater basin, need be required to monitor their wells and report that monitoring. Voluntary participation equates to non-participation, as evidenced by the Paso Robles groundwater crisis. Page 31, Section 4.1 Use of groundwater resources. “. . . The largest proportion of groundwater is extracted for residential, commercial and community uses . . .” 6. Comment: How can this be verified or substantiated when Ag wells are not being monitored? In closing: Recharging of our Basin essential. Taken from a quote found on page 208, 9.2.3 ”. . . if wastewater is centrally treated and recharged to the ground-water basin, the entire projected municipal water demand can be met with locally pumped ground water without inducing seawater intrusion, even during droughts lasting 1 to 3 years. If wastewater is exported from the basin, however, large amounts of seawater intrusion are likely to occur even if nearly half of the municipal water demand is met with imported water.” Agriculture has to be a large part of this equation, and I believe they must be required to use recycled water when available. It is now being realized that not only is water the life force of our planet, it is a diminished resource. In 20 years, it is estimated that 2/3 of the world’s population will be without potable water. That could happen very quickly here on our Central Coast without immediate and inclusive water management. Let’s get that in order first before we start increasing further demand. This concludes my comments and the time I have been allotted to make them. This document is an important part of the future of our community; the time allotted for its review is minimal for its scope. I have requested extensions, which have been denied. In the “mission statement” for this document and in section 1.7 (Public Review) it is “recognized . . . the need to achieve public support for the actions recommended in this Basin Plan. . . “ and that public participation in the governmental process is encouraged. For future documents made available for public review, I would suggest that a longer time period be made to allow those of us who do not do this “professionally “, to have adequate time for reviewing and commenting. From: Jodi M. McGraw [mailto:[email protected]] Sent: Thursday, October 03, 2013 8:38 AM To: Margaret Falkner Subject: Basin Management plan activities Dear Margaret~ I hope that this note finds you well. I received the draft Basin Management Plan, and attempted to review it to identify projects that might need take coverage under the LOHCP, but was little confused about what might be slated to occur where. Do you have any idea how I might be better able to identify and outline the projects anticipated to occur to implement the plan? Thank you for any assistance you can provide. ~Jodi Jodi M. McGraw, Ph.D. Ecologist and Principal Jodi McGraw Consulting (JMc) PO Box 221 • Freedom, CA 95019 (831) 768-6988 [email protected] www.jodimcgrawconsulting.com
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