Lovejoy ISD - Population and Survey Analysts

Transcription

Executive Summary Three Scenarios of Growth Districtwide Projections Student Enrollment Projections by School New Housing Projections Ratios of Students per Home Unique Characteristics of LISD that Impact Growth Housing and Student Density Considerations Chapter 1: Introductory Materials Discussion Demographic Study Overview ...........................................................................................1 Regional Growth Trends ...................................................................................................2 Private and Charter School Enrollment ............................................................................2 Recent Growth of Students in Early Grades .....................................................................3 Socioeconomic Characteristics of Student Population ....................................................4 Economic and Employment Trends ...................................................................................4 Recent Employment and Unemployment Trends .................................................4 Employment by Sector ...........................................................................................5 Maps and Tables Map: District Area in Square Miles ....................................................................................6 Map: Total Student Enrollment, Sept 2015, Dallas‐Fort Worth area................................7 Map: Numeric Change in Enrollment, 2014‐15 to 2015‐16, Dallas‐Fort Worth area .......8 Map: Percent Change in Enrollment, 2014‐15 to 2015‐16, Dallas‐Fort Worth area ........9 Map: Numeric Change in Enrollment, 2010‐11 to 2015‐16, Dallas‐Fort Worth area .......10 Map: Percent Change in Enrollment, 2010‐11 to 2015‐16, Dallas‐Fort Worth area ........11 Table: Trends in Private Schools. .......................................................................................12 Map: Kindergarten Students as Percent of Total Enrollment 2015‐16, DFW area ...........13 Table: KN as a Proportion of Total Enrollment 2014‐15, Ranking in Texas ......................14 Table: Comparison of 1st and 5th Grade Enrollment, 2014‐15, Ranking in Texas .............15 Table: Historical Enrollment Trends ..................................................................................16 Graph: Kindergarten Enrollment Compared to Births ......................................................17 Map: Economically Disadvantaged Student Population 2014‐15, DFW area. ..................18 Map: Economically Disadvantaged Student Population, Five Year Change, DFW area....19 Table: Economically Disadvantaged Student Population, Ranking in Texas. ....................20 Map: Percent of Students Passing 2015 STAAR, DFW area ……………… .............................21 Table: Percent of Students Passing 2015 STAAR, Ranking in Texas ………… ......................22 Table: Socioeconomic Characteristics of Comparable Districts. ....................................23‐24 Table: Annual Employment Trends. ..................................................................................25 Graph: Employment by Sector. .........................................................................................26 Chapter 2: Housing Projections Discussion Mapping Data Used in Demographic Update ..................................................................27 Methodology for Developing Housing Projections ..........................................................28 Assessment of Current Housing ........................................................................................29 Factors Contributing to New Housing Growth .................................................................30 Improved Roadways and New Arterials .................................................................30 Availability of Water Infrastructure and Utility Districts ........................................31 Floodplains and Other Constraints .........................................................................31 Potential for “In‐Fill” Residential Development ....................................................31 Ownership Changes and Land Currently For Sale ..................................................32 Competitive Advantage of Housing in LISD ............................................................33 Projected Future Housing .................................................................................................33 Maps and Tables Map: Planning Units. .........................................................................................................35 Map: Municipal Jurisdictions .............................................................................................36 Map: Student Density per Municipal Jurisdiction .............................................................37 Map: Development Density ..............................................................................................38 Map: Utility Districts ..........................................................................................................39 Map: Undeveloped Lots >1 Acre ....................................................................................40‐41 Table: Undeveloped Lots >1 Acre ...................................................................................42‐43 Map: Parcel Ownership Changes (2012 to 2015) .............................................................44 Map: Development Overview ........................................................................................45‐47 Map: Projected New Housing Occupancies ...................................................................48‐52 Table: Projected New Housing Detailed Table ...............................................................53‐90 Chapter 3: Ratios of Students per Home Discussion Ratios of Students per Home: Single‐Family Units ..........................................................91 Long‐Term Ratio Trends ...................................................................................................93 Maps and Tables Map: Ratios of Students per Home – by Subdivision ........................................................94 Table: Ratios of Students per Home – by Subdivision ...................................................95‐96 Chapter 4: Resident Students Discussion Resident Students by Attendance Zone ...........................................................................97 Recent Students Trends by Planning Unit ........................................................................97 Recent Student Trends by Development .........................................................................97 Students Living Outside of Platted Subdivisions ....................................................98 Aging Homebuyer ..................................................................................................99 Maps and Tables Map: Current EE‐4th Grade Students by Attendance Zone ..............................................100 Map: Change in EE‐4th Grade Students by Attendance Zone, 2014 to 2015 ...................101 Map: Current EE‐12th Grade Students by Planning Unit ..................................................102 Map: Change in EE‐12th Grade Students by Planning Unit, 2014 to 2015 .......................103 Table: Student Trends by Development .........................................................................104‐105 Chapter 5: Student Projections Discussion Unique Characteristics of L.I.S.D. that Impact Projections ..............................................107 Three Scenarios of Growth ................................................................................................108 Moderate Growth Scenario ...................................................................................108 Low Growth Scenario ..............................................................................................108 High Growth Scenario .............................................................................................109 The Model for Developing Student Projections ................................................................110 Projections at Build‐Out ....................................................................................................111 Projected Resident Students by Planning Unit .................................................................112 Projected Resident Students by School ............................................................................112 Importance of Transfers .........................................................................................113 Projections by School ..............................................................................................113 Maps and Tables Table: Low Growth Scenario, Student Enrollment Projections by Grade .........................114 Table: Moderate Growth Scenario, Student Enrollment Projections by Grade ...............115 Table: High Growth Scenario, Student Enrollment Projections by Grade ........................116 Map: Projected Growth in Elementary Students by Planning Unit ..................................117 Map: Projected Growth in Intermediate School Students by Planning Unit ....................118 Map: Projected Growth in Middle School Students by Planning Unit ..............................119 Map: Projected Growth in High School Students by Planning Unit ..................................120 Table: Projected Resident Students by Planning Unit ....................................................121‐125 Table: Elementary School Transfers .................................................................................126 Map: Projected Elementary Students by Attendance Zone ..............................................127 Table: Projected Elementary Students ..............................................................................128 Table: Projected Secondary Students ...............................................................................129 \
Population and Survey Analysts (PASA) has recently completed a Demographic Update for Lovejoy I.S.D., and the findings are summarized below. The Demographic Update included the study of current student locations, potential growth based on new housing, trends occurring in student relocation patterns throughout the District, and economic factors relevant to both the District and the nation. PASA projects student data for a school district by using forward‐looking techniques, and does not rely on past rates of change. Three Scenarios of Growth Students
PASA takes a “conservative” approach to projecting growth, and develops a Low, Moderate, and High scenario of growth for each of the years in the projection period. These scenarios are shown on a graph below, with supporting data and complete projections found in the attached Chapter 5. 6,000
5,500
5,000
4,500
4,000
3,500
2011
2016
2020
2025
Districtwide Projections After evaluating the current student population, recent trends in geo‐coded students, projected additional housing occupancies and their resulting student yields, and the over‐arching economic and employment concerns, PASA finds the following projected student population in the Moderate Growth Scenario: 2016‐
2017‐
2018‐
2019‐
2020‐
2021‐
2022‐
2023‐
2024‐
2025‐
Build‐
17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 Out EE‐4th 1,296 1,282 1,318 1,333 1,390 1,443 1,489 1,529 1,559 1,623 1,831
5th‐6th 624 652 718 718 728 710 731 748 753 770 856 7th‐8th 723 759 724 766 842 841 841 809 815 835 931 9th‐12th 1,418 1,481 1,556 1,651 1,644 1,741 1,761 1,785 1,812 1,770 1,975
Total 4,060 4,175 4,316 4,468 4,604 4,735 4,822 4,872 4,939 4,999 5,593
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
Projections by School PASA has generated the projections by Planning Unit, to aid in long range planning, and has then aggregated the data from those Planning Units into the current attendance zones. Moderate Growth Scenario projections by school are included in the following charts: Projected Resident Students
Current 2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
BuildOut
Hart Elementary
Capacity
EE-4th Students Projected
Percent Utilization
600
447
75%
600
491
82%
600
491
82%
600
509
85%
600
519
87%
600
546
91%
600
567
95%
600
587
98%
600
600
600
600
601
609
631
718
100% 102% 105% 120%
600
417
70%
600
410
68%
600
402
67%
600
406
68%
600
404
67%
600
416
69%
600
428
71%
600
436
73%
600
447
75%
600
455
76%
600
473
79%
600
529
88%
650
382
59%
650
395
61%
650
389
60%
650
401
62%
650
407
63%
650
429
66%
650
448
69%
650
467
72%
650
483
74%
650
496
76%
650
520
80%
650
584
90%
1,850
1,246
67%
1,850 1,850 1,850 1,850 1,850 1,850 1,850 1,850 1,850 1,850 1,850
1,296 1,282 1,316 1,330 1,391 1,443 1,490 1,531 1,560 1,624 1,831
70% 69% 71% 72% 75% 78% 81% 83% 84% 88% 99%
Lovejoy Elementary
Capacity
Percent Utilization
Puster Elementary
Capacity
Percent Utilization
Total Elementary
Capacity
Percent Utilization
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
BuildOut
850
624
73%
226
850
652
77%
198
850
718
84%
132
850
718
84%
132
850
728
86%
122
850
710
84%
140
850
731
86%
119
850
748
88%
102
850
753
89%
97
850
770
91%
80
850
856
101%
-6
Current 2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
BuildOut
850
723
85%
127
850
759
89%
91
850
724
85%
126
850
766
90%
84
850
842
99%
8
850
841
99%
9
850
841
99%
9
850
809
95%
41
850
815
96%
35
850
835
98%
15
850
931
109%
-81
Current 2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
BuildOut
Current 2016
Sloan Creek Intermediate School
Capacity
5th-6th Students Projected
Percent Utilization
Student Margin
850
664
78%
186
Willow Springs Middle School
Capacity
Percent Utilization
Student Margin
850
707
83%
143
Lovejoy High School
Capacity
Percent Utilization
Student Margin
1,500
1,331
89%
169
1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500
1,418 1,481 1,556 1,651 1,644 1,741 1,761 1,785 1,812 1,770 1,975
95% 99% 104% 110% 110% 116% 117% 119% 121% 118% 132%
82
19
-56
-151 -144 -241 -261 -285 -312 -270 -475
Housing Projections One of the primary steps in developing forward‐looking enrollment projections is to understand the geography and timing of new housing construction. To this end, PASA assimilates primary data from multiple sources, including interviews with many local real estate experts. The specifics of the methods used and the results of these housing projections are detailed in Chapter 2. Largest Single‐Family Developments Projected New Housing Occupancies 2020‐
2015‐
Planning 2015‐
Subdivision or Owner(s) Names: Unit 2020 2025 2025 Brockdale Estates 7B 162 33 195 DNL Family Enterprises parcel 1 1 63 64 Parkside at Fairview 4H 49 11 60 Hoke Parcel 3E 0 32 32 Lewis Park 7A 26 4 30 Harper Landing 4A 26 2 28 Bristol Park 6 27 0 27 Total (Above‐Listed Developments): 291 145 436 Total New Housing Projected in LISD: 678
460
1,138 These developments represent only a small portion of the total new single‐family homes projected to be occupied throughout the District over the next 10 years, with the remaining new homes projected to be built in smaller developments. The long spreadsheet at the end of Chapter 2 details the specific housing projections for every subdivision and undeveloped parcel in the school district. The District can expect approximately 1,138 additional single family homes to be built and occupied within the next ten years, with roughly 678 of them to be constructed within the coming five years. The second five years of this projection period is projected to yield fewer new homes, as the area comes closer and closer to build‐out. Ratios of Students per Home The ratios of students per home range from 0.00 to 1.78 in subdivisions with more than 20 occupied units. The weighted average of students per home throughout the District is 0.98, excluding Heritage Ranch. Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
Unique Characteristics of L.I.S.D. that Impact Growth In addition to new homes under construction, Lovejoy I.S.D. has other characteristics that will also affect the number of students projected to be added in the next ten years:  The District has the 4th lowest percent of free/reduced lunch students, out of 330 districts in the State with at least 2,000 students. It follows Highland Park I.S.D., Carroll I.S.D., and Eanes I.S.D. (based on the most recent PEIMS data available from 2014‐15).  The District has the third highest educational level and median household income of any DFW area district – following Highland Park I.S.D. and Carroll I.S.D. in both cases.  The District has the second highest STAAR passage rate of all Districts with more than 2,000 students (most recent data available from 2014‐15). It is second to only Carroll I.S.D. in that regard.  The District has a high proportion of students relative to total population. About 26% of the entire population is now represented by students attending L.I.S.D. schools. (In 2013, approximately, 13,577 residents lived within in Lovejoy I.S.D.)  The District has one of the lowest proportions of students within private or charter schools – at approximately 1.69%.  Twelve years ago, the ratio of students per home was 0.74 (including the estimated High School students living in Lovejoy I.S.D. who attended Allen I.S.D. prior to the opening of Lovejoy High School.). Last year’s overall ratio was 1.01 students per single‐family home. This year, the ratio of students per home is 0.98, one of the highest in Texas. Housing and Student Density Considerations Even as the Lovejoy I.S.D. area nears build out, it becomes increasingly more difficult to project the ultimate number of students the school district can eventually expect. PASA has a good deal of confidence in the number of homes projected to ultimately exist in Lovejoy I.S.D. (refer to Chapter 2), but the number of students residing in those homes could fluctuate dramatically for a variety of reasons. The desirability of the school district is a very strong “pull” force for families with children looking to purchase a home. This is one of the factors that has contributed to the extremely high ratio of students per home in Lovejoy I.S.D. (at 0.98 students per home, this is one of the highest student densities in the State). However, the high home prices within the school district present a countervailing force against young families that simply can’t afford to live in Lovejoy I.S.D. Over the past decade, Lovejoy I.S.D. has seen a smaller and smaller proportion of its student population in the Elementary grades, and more and more students in the older grades, likely due at least in part to the ability of older families to more readily afford the high home prices. PASA has Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
therefore developed enrollment projections for the next decade under three Scenarios of Growth in order to take into account these and many other factors. Of all the school districts in Texas, Lovejoy I.S.D. is unique in many positive ways. While this singularity makes Lovejoy I.S.D. an extremely desirable place to live, it makes projecting future enrollment population a challenge, since there is very little precedent from which to draw in other areas in Texas. Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
Population and Survey Analysts (PASA) has recently completed a Demographic Update for Lovejoy I.S.D. by studying student residential locations, potential growth, housing trends, and economic factors inherent to the District. PASA studied the expected long‐term trends for the District, and created a dataset to use in planning for the next ten years. The findings of this report are detailed in the following document. Demographic Study Overview PASA projects student data for a school district by using forward‐looking techniques, and does not rely on past rates of change. The resulting data that PASA generates is more rigorous and more usable by school districts than data created by State or Local entities because PASA assesses the actual development occurring. The steps in the gathering of this data are outlined below and organized by chapter. Chapter 1 – Introductory Materials PASA uses this data to understand the competitive advantage the District has over other nearby districts or schools, and also to understand recent enrollment trends by grade and grade group. 1. Introductory materials comparing the District to surrounding districts 2. Economic data 3. Recent enrollment trends by grade 4. Private school data Chapter 2 – Housing Projections PASA employees assess the 10‐year development potential for each major parcel of land in the District. Data is gathered for every subdivision and then aggregated into Planning Units, with the Planning Units being derived from the Census‐defined block groups for the area. Projected housing occupancies are based on interviews with real estate experts, commercial brokers, city and county officials, and others, who are familiar with development expected in the area. 1. Planning Unit maps 2. Maps and spreadsheets of projected housing occupancies for the 10‐year timeframe 3. Maps containing aerial imagery and data on parcels, subdivisions, and other land uses Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
1
Chapter 3 – Ratios of Students per Household PASA must understand how many new students each new house will yield. The common assumption is that each home contains an average of two students, but in reality, the ratios of students enrolled in the District at any given time is much lower than that. 1. Current ratios of students per household 2. Maps and spreadsheets of this ratio data Chapter 4 – Districtwide Student Projections Where the current students live is the basis of all of PASA’s student projections, and maps in this chapter show these “geo‐coded” students and their attendance zones of residence. PASA develops three scenarios of growth, in an attempt to “bracket‐in” all future growth patterns. The Moderate Scenario of Growth is used as the basis of long range planning in this report, but the Low and High Growth Scenarios must also be considered as feasible possibilities when planning for future facility utilization. 1. Maps of the current student population, geo‐coded by their home addresses 2. Three scenarios of Districtwide, grade level growth: Low Growth, Moderate Growth, and High Growth Chapter 5 – Student Projections by Location PASA uses the data prepared in the Demographic Update to assess the long‐term stability of each existing attendance zone, and also projects when and where additional facilities might be warranted. 1. Charts containing projections by Planning Unit, based on the Moderate Scenario of Growth 2. Maps detailing the projections by Attendance Zone 3. Charts of current transfers by attendance zone 4. Maps and charts detailing the projected student population compared to the capacity of each facility Regional Growth Trends Maps showing the unofficial Fall, 2015 enrollment for the D‐FW region’s districts are included in this report. Also mapped are more specific data on socioeconomic and other demographic trends, which are from the official PEIMS data from the Fall, 2014 (released in the Spring, 2015). Lovejoy I.S.D. has continued to see growth in recent years, with a 2.93% growth rate between PEIMS 2014 and pre‐PEIMS 2015. This placed the net gain of students at 112 for the year. This continued growth translated into a 16.56% increase in student population between PEIMS 2010 and pre‐PEIMS 2015 (or 552 new students since 2010). The area surrounding Lovejoy I.S.D. is experiencing substantial growth, and this growth has been occurring for most of the past decade. Private and Charter School Enrollment The next table in this chapter summarizes the survey of area private schools conducted by PASA this year. Schools included in this survey were both those located within L.I.S.D. boundaries, as well as those located near major employment centers that could potentially enroll students living in L.I.S.D. Based on these interviews with headmasters and enrollment coordinators at each Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
2
private school, there are an estimated 68 students in KN‐12th grades who live within L.I.S.D. that attend these private schools. In other words, approximately 1.69% of the population attends private schools. This is a very small percent of the total student‐aged population within the District, implying that the perception of public schools in Lovejoy I.S.D. is very positive. Based on the schools’ plans for expansion of facilities and enrollment goals, the private schools in the area could draw an additional 19 students from the L.I.S.D. public school system over the next five years. The proportion of the student population enrolled in private schools would then increase slightly, to 1.91%. Likewise, if a continued downturn in economic conditions were to occur, then this will discourage families from financing private school educations. Thus, L.I.S.D. could receive some of these projected 87 students into the public school system. Recent Growth of Students in Early Grades PASA must measure and understand the trends occurring in grade levels throughout the District, paying particular attention to any changes in enrollment at the earliest grade levels. Changes in the Kindergarten and 1st grade enrollment counts can mean trends and patterns are developing or changing, and these patterns can have very large, future impacts for the District. The District currently has only 4.8% of its students in Kindergarten. L.I.S.D. had 5.22% of its student population in Kindergarten last Fall compared to 7.43% Statewide. This ranked L.I.S.D. near the bottom for the proportion of students in Kindergarten in those districts in Texas larger than 2,000 students. For Lovejoy I.S.D., this shows the difficulty that young families with young children are having in affording homes in Lovejoy I.S.D. Similar data can be seen when comparing the 1st through 5th grade, where the L.I.S.D. 5th grade outpaced the 1st grade by 28.94%. Statewide, the 1st grade is larger than the 5th grade by 6.03%. This ranked L.I.S.D. last in the State for the size of 1st grade as compared to 5th grade classes. An analysis of the past decade of enrollment trends (refer to Historical Growth Trends chart) shows the early years when L.I.S.D. did not have secondary grades in the District. In 2009, when the District had a 4 grade high school for the first time, 29% of the population was in high school. This has increased to 34% in recent years, while the proportion of elementary students has seen a proportionate decline. The next chart compares the births by zip code of the birth mother to the Kindergarten enrollment in the District (adjusted 5 years). By making this comparison, it is possible to project Kindergarten trends for the next 3 years in very general terms. This chart shows that over the past 11 years, the number of children born to mothers living within L.I.S.D. has increased substantially, but there has been a recent flattening of the number of births, and a corresponding leveling off in the number of Kindergarten students projected over the next several years. Births were low during the economic downturn, and the overall low birth rates in Texas have leveled off. Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
3
Socioeconomic Characteristics of Student Population Many non‐specific quality of life opinions held by the public can be studied empirically using two factors from school district data. First, the percentage of students who qualify for the free/reduced price lunch program is tightly correlated with median household income and median housing value, as well as educational level of those 25 and older. Therefore, analysis of the free/reduced lunch population offers an annually updated assessment of this quality of life indicator. L.I.S.D. had only 3.0% of enrolled students who were eligible for the free/reduced price lunch program in 2014‐15, compared to 59.39% of all students in Texas who participated in this program for economically disadvantaged families last year. This proportion has remained very constant in Lovejoy I.S.D. over the past 10 years, while growing considerably in the State as a whole. Another quality of life indicator commonly being used is performance on the State‐mandated STAAR test. While many Districts focus on small subsets of the population and scores on specific tests, a more global analysis provides a good comparison of overall performance between districts. Therefore, PASA summarizes the percentage of students in all grades who passed the STAAR test, Level II in the Spring, 2015. Statewide, about 71.8% of all students in Texas public schools met the Level II standards (passed the test). Comparatively, Lovejoy I.S.D. has an overall passage rate of 96.7% ‐‐ the second highest in the state of districts larger than 2,000 students. Thus, analysis of the economically disadvantaged population and STAAR performance illustrates empirically the extremely positive perception of Lovejoy I.S.D., and it points to the competitive advantage this district holds over others in attracting new residents. Other socioeconomic characteristics are summarized for the District in the next chart, and the District is evaluated relative to other comparable Districts. The resident population of Lovejoy I.S.D. is just slightly older in age than other similar districts (median age of 45.2 years). It is similar to Highland Park I.S.D. and Carroll I.S.D. in its orientation to families with children (26% of the population is school‐aged). Not surprisingly, the L.I.S.D. population is highly educated (56% has a Bachelor’s degree or higher) and the median household income is $103,341. Prosper I.S.D. and Allen I.S.D. have similar median incomes, with Plano and Richardson substantially lower than the Lovejoy I.S.D. median. Also not surprisingly, the L.I.S.D. population spends a good deal of time commuting to work each day, an average of 32.1 minutes each way. Economic Trends and Employment by Sector Recent Employment and Unemployment Trends The cities of Allen and McKinney, as well as Collin County, are all growing in employment, although the increases are somewhat lower than in recent years. Between November, 2014 and November, 2015 (the most recent month for which data is available) the area gained just over 0.98% in new employees. Over the past 6 months, the area gained 1.01% in employment. Importantly, the unemployment rate has declined by about 4 percentage points in each jurisdiction over the past year (from ~3.6‐3.9 in November, 2014 to ~3.2‐3.5 in November, 2015). Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
4
Employment by Sector Based on estimates from the 2013 American Community Survey, the sectors employing the most residents of Lovejoy I.S.D. are the Professional, Scientific, Management, and Administrative Services Sector (which employs 19% of the workforce), and the Educational Services and Health Care sector (18% of the workforce.) The Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate Sector remains at 15% of the Lovejoy I.S.D. resident workforce. Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
5
District Area in Square Miles
Lovejoy I.S.D.
Anna ISD
61.34
Celina ISD
95.74
Blue Ridge ISD
Melissa ISD
31.3
64.72
Prosper ISD
58.82
McKinney ISD
108.51
Farmersville ISD
85.51
Collin County
Princeton ISD
63.5
Frisco ISD
74.85
Lovejoy ISD
16.96
Allen ISD
29.22
Community ISD
Plano ISD
95.82
72.65
Wylie ISD
40.59
Rockwall ISD
107.52
Richardson ISD
46.04
Garland ISD
92.95
Dallas County
Dallas ISD
381.26
*Source: Texas Education Agency
Rockwall County
Highways
Counties
0
1.5
3
6
Miles
²
Water Bodies
6
7
Northwest
ISD
20,800
Argyle
ISD
2,215
Little
Elm ISD
7,191
Lewisville
ISD
53,170
Lake
Dallas ISD
3,978
Denton
2,302
2,840
Anna ISD
3,085
Melissa ISD
2,333
Wylie ISD
14,621
[
0
2.5
5
10 Miles
Hunt
Terrell
ISD
4,240
Population and Survey Analysts
47,752 - 113,205
113,206 - 256,521
24,636 - 47,751
11,818 - 24,635
3,115 - 11,817
0 - 3,114
Enrollment 2015
Water Bodies
Highways
Counties
Kaufman
Crandall
ISD
3,406
Forney
ISD
9,245
Rockwall
ISD
15,384
Rockwall
Royse
City ISD
5,184
Community
ISD
1,909
Farmersville
ISD
1,510
DALLAS-FORT WORTH
1,376
McKinney
ISD
24,760 Collin
Princeton
Lovejoy
ISD
ISD
3,881
Allen ISD 3,940
20,755
Plano ISD
54,577
Frisco ISD
53,124
Prosper
ISD
8,277
Point ISD
790
1,378
Pilot
Celina ISD
Point ISD
2,342
Aubrey ISD 1,440
Coppell ISD
Richardson
Carroll
Springtown
11,817
ISD
ISD
ISD
Carrollton-Farmers
Garland ISD
38,783
8,031
Keller ISD
3,354
Branch
ISD
57,217
Eagle
34,244
Grapevine-Colleyville 26,521
Mt-Saginaw ISD
ISD
Highland Mesquite
Azle ISD
19,052
ISD
13,443
Park ISD
6,199
Lake
Parker
40,023
Birdville Hurst-Euless-Bedford Irving ISD
Sunnyvale
7,068
Worth ISD
34,821
Weatherford
ISD
ISD
ISD
3,322
ISD
24,127
1,635
22,762
Dallas
Castleberry
White
7,833
Tarrant
ISD
Settlement ISD
Grand Dallas ISD
Arlington
4,092
6,652
Prairie ISD 164,742
ISD
Fort
29,245
63,041
Aledo
Worth ISD
Duncanville
ISD
Everman Kennedale
86,835
ISD
ISD
5,216
ISD
12,737
3,096
5,540
Cedar
DeSoto Lancaster
Crowley ISD
Mansfield
Godley
ISD
Hill ISD
ISD
14,899 Burleson
ISD
Granbury ISD
7,313
8,049
9,624
33,791
ISD 1,173 Joshua ISD
ISD
Ellis
5,139
Hood
6,966
11,260 Johnson
Wise
2,630
(based on pre-PEIMS estimates in September 2015)
To t a l S c h o o l E n r o l l m e n t
Fa l l 2 0 1 5
8
Little Elm
ISD
Lake
241
Dallas ISD
-33
Aubrey
ISD
89
Pilot Point ISD
49
Frisco ISD
3,480
Prosper
ISD
1,201
Celina
ISD
141
[
0
2.5
5
10 Miles
Northwest
ISD
969
Melissa ISD
214
Rockwall
ISD
392
Crandall
ISD
109
Sunnyvale
ISD
Forney
117
ISD
250
Mesquite
ISD
-250
Garland
ISD
-219
Wylie ISD
582
Popluation and Survey Analysts
1,245 - 4,489
605 - 1,244
251 - 604
101 - 250
1 - 100
-10,008 - 0
One Year Numeric Change
0
enr_sept15
Water Bodies
Highways
Counties
Terrell
ISD
19
Community
ISD
79
Royse
City ISD
114
Princeton
ISD
Lovejoy
91
Allen ISD ISD
112
92
Farmersville
ISD
-39
DALLAS-FORT WORTH
Anna ISD
211
McKinney
ISD
-51
Plano ISD
Lewisville
-112
ISD Carrollton-Farmers
Branch
ISD
-186
311
Coppell
Carroll
Richardson
ISD
Springtown
Keller
ISD
ISD
247
ISD
ISD
147
165
-3
Eagle
625
Grapevine-Colleyville
Mt-Saginaw ISD
Azle ISD
Hurst-Euless-Bedford ISD
393
Highland
-305 Irving
43
Birdville ISD
Lake
Park ISD
ISD
346
ISD
Worth ISD
-23
-370
-262
124
Grand
Dallas
Weatherford White Castleberry
Prairie ISD
Fort
ISD
ISD Settlement ISD ISD
905
Worth
ISD
4,489
Arlington
-12
98
16
860
ISD
-841
Duncanville
Aledo
ISD
Kennedale
ISD
-208
ISD
Everman
179
Cedar
DeSoto Lancaster
-33
ISD
Crowley
Hill
ISD
ISD
Mansfield
ISD
-3
Godley
ISD
166
261
ISD
20
Burleson
Granbury ISD Joshua -86
ISD
381
ISD
ISD
-658
114
277
97
Argyle
ISD
152
Numeric Change in School District Enrollment
1-Year Change: 2014-15 to 2015-16
9
Northwest
ISD
4.89%
Carroll
ISD
1.86%
Argyle ISD
7.37%
Frisco ISD
7.01%
Prosper ISD
16.97%
Coppell
ISD
2.13%
1.19%
Melissa ISD
10.1%
Anna ISD
7.34%
Richardson
ISD
0.43%
Wylie ISD
4.15%
Hunt
Royse
City ISD
Rockwall 2.25%
Community
ISD
4.32%
Farmersville
ISD
-2.52%
Princeton
ISD
2.4%
Fannin
DALLAS-FORT WORTH
McKinney
ISD
-0.21%
Collin
Lovejoy
Allen ISD ISD
0.45% 2.93%
Lewisville
Plano ISD
ISD
Carrollton-Farmers -0.2%
-0.35%
Branch ISD
-0.82%
Little
Elm
ISD
Lake
3.47%
Dallas ISD
Aubrey ISD
4.02%
Pilot Point ISD
3.52%
Gunter ISD
1.28%
Celina ISD
6.41%
[
0
2.5
5
10 Miles
Rockwall
Keller ISD
Garland ISD
Eagle
ISD
1.86%
-0.38%
Mesquite
Azle ISD Mt-Saginaw ISD
2.61%
Highland
ISD
ISD
2.11%
0.7%
Park ISD
-2.22%
Lake
Irving
ISD
-0.62%
Birdville
-0.32%
Sunnyvale
Hurst-Euless-Bedford
Worth ISD
-1.05%
Parker
ISD
ISD
ISD
Weatherford
3.88%
Grand
-1.07%
7.71%
1.54%
Dallas
White Castleberry
Terrell
ISD
Prairie ISD
Forney ISD
Fort
ISD Dallas
Settlement
ISD
ISD
1.27%
ISD
3.19%
Arlington
2.78%
Worth ISD
2.8%
-0.18%
0.45%
0.39%
ISD
1%
Tarrant
-1.32%
Highways
Aledo
Duncanville
Kaufman
Everman Kennedale
Counties
ISD
Water Bodies
ISD
ISD
ISD
enr_sept15
3.55%
-1.61%
0
-0.05%
Crandall
-1.05%
One Year Pct Increase
Lancaster
Cedar
DeSoto
ISD
Crowley ISD
Mansfield
-46.90% - -0.50%
Godley ISD
ISD
Hill ISD
-0.49% - -0.75%
ISD
3.31%
-0.57%
Granbury
ISD
-0.74% - 2.50%
-35.94%
3.7%
2.11%
0.21%
Burleson
ISD
2.51% - 3.50%
1.14%
3.51% - 10.00%
Joshua ISD ISD
1.41%
Ellis
10.01% - 50.00%
Johnson
Hood
2.27% 2.52%
Springtown
ISD
-0.09%
Wise
Denton
Percent Change in School District Enrollment
1-Year Change: 2014-15 to 2015-16
10
Pilot
Point ISD
Aubrey -115
ISD
408
Prosper
ISD
3,936
Celina
ISD
389
Melissa ISD
882
Anna ISD
787
DALLAS-FORT WORTH
[
0
2.5
5
10 Miles
Popluation and Survey Analysts
McKinney
ISD
Farmersville
338
ISD
Princeton
Denton
Little
Frisco ISD
Collin
Wise
63
ISD
Lake Elm ISD
Lovejoy
15,845
680
Hunt
Dallas ISD 881
Allen ISD ISD
Argyle
-126
552
1,867
ISD
Community
Lewisville
372
Plano ISD
ISD
ISD
Northwest
Wylie ISD
-991
296
1,686
ISD
2,095
5,430
Royse
City
ISD
Carroll ISD
Carrollton-Farmers Richardson
Springtown
628
Rockwall
ISD
-227
ISD
Branch ISD
ISD
Garland
2,713
Coppell
Eagle
359
Rockwall
362
Keller ISD
-106
ISD
ISD
Mt-Saginaw ISD
ISD
1,498
-616
1,600
2,343
1,312
Azle ISD
Highland
425
Lake Worth
Birdville ISD
Irving
Park ISD
Sunnyvale
1,716
ISD
ISD
ISD
379
ISD
Weatherford
Dallas
144
582
Grand
578
Forney
Terrell
ISD
Mesquite 482
Dallas
White Castleberry
Prairie
ISD
ISD
ISD
165
ISD
ISD
Settlement ISD ISD
2,704
Arlington
1,143
122
2,276
442
7,580
341
Fort
ISD
Tarrant
Parker
Worth ISD
-1,443
Highways
5,184
Aledo
Duncanville
KaufmanCounties
Water Bodies
ISD
ISD
enr_sept15
Kennedale
0
562
-165
Crandall
ISD
Everman
5 Year Numeric Change
Lancaster
Cedar
Abs_1015
Crowley
ISD
DeSoto
-89
ISD
<1
Mansfield
ISD
Hill
ISD
ISD
565
ISD
472
1 - 100
Godley
ISD
1,052
-133
101 - 500
-341
Burleson
440
Granbury
501 - 2,000
ISD
1,540
ISD
Joshua ISD
ISD
2,001 - 4,000
Ellis
-412
Hood
>4,000
1,229 Johnson
280
351
Numeric Change in School District Enrollment
5-Year Change: 2010-11 to 2015-16
11
Lewisville
ISD
3.27%
Little
Elm
ISD
Lake
13.55%
Dallas ISD
-2.95%
Aubrey ISD
20.91%
Pilot Point ISD
-10.55%
Melissa ISD
60.85%
Anna ISD
34.64%
Wylie ISD
16.2%
Lovejoy
Allen ISD ISD
9.88% 16.56%
McKinney ISD
0.87%
Plano ISD
-2.26%
Frisco ISD
42.5%
Prosper ISD
90.67%
Celina ISD
18.89%
[
0
2.5
5
10 Miles
15.01% - 880.62%
3.01% - 7.00%
7.01% - 10.00%
10.01% - 15.00%
-91.47% - 0.00%
0.01% - 3.00%
0
5 Year Pct Change
Pct_1015
enr_sept15
Water Bodies
Highways
Counties
Terrell
ISD
2.96%
Community
ISD
18.35%
Royse
City ISD
13.78%
Rockwall
ISD
9.32%
Farmersville
ISD
4.35%
Princeton
ISD
21.24%
DALLAS-FORT WORTH
Carroll
Carrollton-Farmers Richardson
ISD
Springtown
ISD
Branch ISD
4.68%
ISD
3.01%
1.38%
Keller
-3.06%
Garland ISD
ISD Coppell ISD
Eagle
ISD
-1.07%
-1.66% 15.66%
Mt-Saginaw ISD 4.57%
Mesquite
Azle ISD
Highland
14.02%
ISD
7.36%
Hurst-Euless-Bedford Irving ISD
Lake
Park ISD 6.03%
Sunnyvale
ISD
Worth ISD
1.69%
5.67%
ISD
Birdville 6.38%
4.53%
41.8%
ISD
Castleberry
White
Grand
Forney ISD
Dallas
2.47%
ISD Fort Worth
Settlement ISD
Prairie
ISD
14.11%
ISD
Arlington
12.11% ISD
5.4%
10.19%
4.82%
ISD
4.92%
-2.24%
Duncanville
Everman Kennedale
Aledo ISD
ISD
ISD
ISD
Crandall
12.08%
-1.28%
9.31%
-2.79%
ISD
Cedar
Lancaster
DeSoto
19.89%
Crowley ISD
Hill ISD
ISD
Weatherford
Mansfield
ISD
-2.24%
-1.63%
16.8%
ISD
ISD
Burleson
4.79%
2.15%
4.33%
ISD
Granbury ISD Godley ISD Joshua ISD
12.25%
-25.99%
5.76%
5.31%
Northwest
ISD
35.33%
Argyle ISD
20.18%
Percent Change in School District Enrollment
5-Year Change: 2010-11 to 2015-16
12
Infant - K
340 Country Club Rd McKinney,
TX 75069
3999 W Eldorado Pkwy
McKinney, TX 75070
Lving Ethics School
School of Primrose
0%
0%
0%
5%
10%
15%
10%
88
0
0
0
28
40
15
6
District Enrollment:
1,363
146
55
54
550
396
100
62
Overall percentage of LISD residents in private schools:
Inf-PK, AS
Inf- KN
Projected Enrollment in 5 Years
8%
29%
28%
96%
100%
5%
17%
87
0
0
0
29
50
6
2
Inf-Pre-K and afterschool care
(up to 12yrs) only.
No plans to expand in the future.
Also offers after school care.
No plans for expansion.
Pre-K and afterschool care (up to
12yrs) only.
Plan to build a new building with
capacity of 500. Take students
from Wiley, Murphee, McKinney,
Princeton, Lovejoy, and Allen
ISDs
No KN or older.
Infant through toddler and
afterschool care.
Additional Information
Private Schools listed in italics are located outside LISD boundaries.
1.91%
8%
29%
28%
96%
100%
34%
17%
1.69%
108
0
0
0
30
50
18
10
4,455
1,625
180
60
65
600
500
120
100
3,946
68
0
0
0
26
40
1
1
% of
% of
Estimated
Expected
% of
Estimated
Estimated
Students Current
enrollment Students Enrollment Students enrollment Students
Students
from
Enrollment
that are from LISD in 5 yrs. from LISD that are from LISD
from LISD
LISD
KN-12
in KN-12
in 5 yrs.
KN-12
in KN-12
Schools with blank rows above were unable to provide the data requested or are exclusively pre-school age students.
TOTAL
1001 E Main St Allen, TX 75002
PK - 6th
630 Rivercrest Blvd Allen, TX
75002
Rivercrest Private
School
Twin Oaks Day
School
PK
513 N Central Expy McKinney,
TX 75070
McKinney
Montessori
Academy
PK - 12th
3601 Bois D'Arc Rd McKinney,
TX 75071
McKinney Christian
Academy
Infant - 3 yrs
KN-12th
716 E Main St Allen, TX 75002
415 W Lucas Rd Allen, TX
75002
Lucas Christian
Academy
Infant - PK
Infant - 6yrs
Infant - K
Infant - K
Grades
Maryam Montessori
Academy
885 Hart Rd McKinney, TX
75069
601 S Fountain Gate Dr Allen,
TX 75002
401 S Jupiter Allen, TX
612 Pebblebrook Dr Allen, TX
75002
Address
Fairview Country Day
School
Children's House
Montessori
Brookhaven
Academy
Allen Montessori
Academy
School Name
Current Enrollment
Trends in Private School Enrollment
13
Argyle ISD
6.09%
Lake
Dallas ISD
6.69%
Denton
Little
Elm ISD
8.04%
Aubrey ISD
7.52%
Pilot Point ISD
6.11%
Frisco ISD
7.29%
Prosper
ISD
8.01%
Celina ISD
7.64%
McKinney
ISD
5.71%
Collin
Lovejoy
Allen ISD ISD
6.67% 4.8%
Melissa ISD
7.12%
Anna ISD
9.24%
[
0
2.5
5
10 Miles
Hunt
Terrell
ISD
7.05%
0.00% - 3.50%
3.51% - 5.50%
5.51% - 6.50%
6.51% - 7.50%
7.51% - 8.50%
8.51% +
Water Bodies
Crandallenr_sept15
ISD
0
Pct. 2015
8.31%Kindergarten
Pct_KN_15
Counties
Kaufman
Highways
Forney
ISD
6.7%
Rockwall
ISD Rockwall
5.48%
Royse
City ISD
6.75%
Community
ISD
6.6%
Farmersville
ISD
6.95%
Princeton
ISD
6.42%
Fannin
DALLAS-FORT WORTH
Lewisville
Plano ISD
Northwest
Wylie ISD
ISD Carrollton-Farmers 6.65%
ISD
7.13%
6.27%
Branch ISD
6.82%
7.35%
ISD Coppell
Springtown
Carroll
Richardson
6.52% ISD
ISD
ISD
Keller
ISD
Garland
6.41%
6.2%
ISD 5.89%
8.32%
ISD
Eagle
6.6%
6.35%
Mt-Saginaw ISD
Highland
Azle ISD
6.71%
Park ISD
7.15%
ISD
Lake
Irving ISD
Birdville
6.89%
Sunnyvale
7.63%
Worth ISD
6.84%
Parker
ISD
ISD
8.25%
Weatherford
Grand
6.81%
7.83%
Dallas
Castleberry
White
ISD
Prairie ISD
ISD Dallas
ISD
Settlement ISD
7.56%
6.42%
7.61%
Mesquite
Arlington
7.45%
7.04%
ISD
ISD
Fort
Tarrant
6.23%
Aledo
6.82%
Worth ISD
Duncanville
ISD
7.74%
ISD
Kennedale
6.04%
5.25%
Everman ISD
Cedar
DeSoto Lancaster
ISD 5.81%
Crowley
Hill
ISD
ISD
ISD
Mansfield
6.35%
ISD
Godley
5.59%
5.41% 6.54%
ISD
6.5%
ISD
Burleson
6.26%
Granbury ISD
9.97% Joshua ISD
ISD
Ellis
Johnson
7.24%
7.53%
Hood
7.07%
Wise
Kindergarten Students as Percent of Total Enrollment
Fall 2015
KN as a Proportion of Total Enrollment -- Fall 2014
All Districts with 2,000+ Students
(Excluding Charter Schools)
Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
District Name
FORT STOCKTON ISD
PECOS‐BARSTOW‐TOYAH ISD
LEVELLAND ISD
AUSTIN ISD
PAMPA ISD
RICHARDSON ISD
ROYAL ISD
PORT ARTHUR ISD
LUBBOCK ISD
KILLEEN ISD
LUMBERTON ISD
LAKE WORTH ISD
ECTOR COUNTY ISD
LUBBOCK‐COOPER ISD
SNYDER ISD
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
DESOTO ISD
ALAMO HEIGHTS ISD
EANES ISD
KENNEDALE ISD
CEDAR HILL ISD
SHARYLAND ISD
CARROLL ISD
ARGYLE ISD
328 LOVEJOY ISD
329
330
FRIENDSWOOD ISD
SOUTH TEXAS ISD
Statewide Average
KN 233
213
276
7,353
333
3,318
189
775
2,487
3,623
330
271
2,704
449
244
Total 2,486
2,433
3,156
84,564
3,838
38,618
2,202
9,045
29,265
42,638
3,889
3,198
31,971
5,314
2,889
% KN
9.37%
8.75%
8.75%
8.70%
8.68%
8.59%
8.58%
8.57%
8.50%
8.50%
8.49%
8.47%
8.46%
8.45%
8.45%
590
291
486
187
469
594
439
112
9,604
4,763
7,971
3,129
7,883
10,280
7,884
2,063
6.14%
6.11%
6.10%
5.98%
5.95%
5.78%
5.57%
5.43%
200
3,828
5.22%
318
6,106
3,376
5.21%
0.00%
7.43%
14
1st Grade vs. 5th Grade Enrollment -- Fall, 2014
Rank District Name
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
PECOS‐BARSTOW‐TOYAH ISD
WHARTON ISD
PEARSALL ISD
KINGSVILLE ISD
PORT ARTHUR ISD
NACOGDOCHES ISD
KILLEEN ISD
BAY CITY ISD
MADISONVILLE CISD
LONGVIEW ISD
WYLIE ISD
LAREDO ISD
BRYAN ISD
LIBERTY ISD
QUINLAN ISD
HENDERSON ISD
WACO ISD
ALIEF ISD
AUSTIN ISD
BRIDGE CITY ISD
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
COPPELL ISD
BOERNE ISD
LAKE DALLAS ISD
GATESVILLE ISD
FRIENDSWOOD ISD
LA VERNIA ISD
ROCKWALL ISD
WIMBERLEY ISD
LITTLE CYPRESS‐MAURICEVILLE CISD
1st Grade 5th Grade Total Enrollment Enrollment Enrollment 1st > 5th
2014‐15
2014‐15
2014‐15
242
166
2,433
45.78%
203
144
2,209
40.97%
211
150
2,363
40.67%
315
225
3,436
40.00%
839
606
9,045
38.45%
582
426
6,439
36.62%
3,937
2,943
42,638
33.78%
331
249
3,735
32.93%
192
145
2,332
32.41%
787
598
8,781
31.61%
359
273
3,996
31.50%
2,207
1,724
24,705
28.02%
1,439
1,128
15,984
27.57%
174
137
2,115
27.01%
204
162
2,542
25.93%
297
236
3,467
25.85%
1,296
1,033
14,978
25.46%
4,203
3,382
47,202
24.28%
7,654
6,175
84,564
23.95%
23.27%
249
202
2,818
,,
,,
,,
,,
,,
,,
,
,,,
,,
,,
,,
,,,
,,,
,,
,,,
,,
,,
,,
,
,,
,
,
,,,
,,,
,,
,,
791
930
11,570
‐14.95%
505
594
7,493
‐14.98%
270
321
4,011
‐15.89%
185
221
2,820
‐16.29%
373
458
6,106
‐18.56%
193
238
3,192
‐18.91%
968
1,203
14,992
‐19.53%
139
181
2,120
‐23.20%
217
286
3,342
‐24.13%
329 LOVEJOY ISD
Statewide Average
221
311
295,596
278,783
3,828 ‐28.94%
5,232,065
6.03%
15
16
186
196
180
167
180
196
190
175
161
KG
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
% 7th-8th
% 9th-12th
45%
18%
19%
17%
9%
5%
11%
132%
42%
17%
18%
23%
1,203
476
524
670
6%
3%
10%
58%
38%
17%
16%
29%
1,217
542
521
950
50%
21%
20%
9%
% EE-4th
% 5th-6th
1,136
462
478
425
56%
23%
20%
7th-8th
9th-12th
12%
15%
28%
1,041
442
429
183
EE-5th
926
386
336
15%
5th-6th
2,873
234
254
272
272
249
260
282
269
258
248
210
210
22
2009-10
3,230
2,501
20%
7%
15%
4%
1%
5%
25%
6%
-1%
3%
-2%
-17%
07-08
08-09/
% Chg.
2,095
190
229
251
261
263
245
231
273
257
235
223
200
15
2008-09
1,648
19%
28%
234
191
4%
19%
6%
226
252
242
3%
10%
20%
7%
-3%
15%
0%
06-07
07-08/
% Chg.
Total
27%
35%
21%
20%
220
218
242
238
216
204
18
2007-08
190
183
217
212
228
9%
11%
199
214
20%
24%
14%
-5%
6%
05-06
06-07/
% Chg.
201
223
223
177
18
2006-07
12
11
10
9
17
EE
2005-06
1%
14%
-1%
42%
12%
23%
11%
8%
4%
-5%
6%
22%
-1%
0%
6%
-6%
5%
47%
08-09
09-10/
% Chg.
36%
17%
16%
31%
1,208
575
542
1,063
3,388
233
254
284
292
263
279
298
277
277
262
228
231
189
21
2010-11
-1%
6%
4%
12%
5%
23%
9%
12%
7%
-3%
12%
15%
-2%
3%
2%
-8%
10%
-10%
-5%
09-10
10-11/
% Chg.
34%
17%
18%
31%
1,221
593
622
1,104
3,540
246
287
294
277
297
325
297
296
289
267
242
225
188
10
2011-12
1%
3%
15%
4%
4%
6%
13%
4%
-5%
13%
16%
0%
7%
4%
2%
6%
-3%
-1%
-52%
10-11
11-12/
% Chg.
34%
17%
18%
31%
1,241
611
646
1,147
3,645
278
283
278
308
324
322
300
311
291
266
265
200
205
14
2012-13
2%
3%
4%
4%
3%
13%
-1%
-5%
11%
9%
-1%
1%
5%
1%
0%
10%
-11%
9%
40%
11-12
12-13/
% Chg.
34%
17%
18%
32%
1,256
640
657
1,186
3,739
274
266
312
334
341
316
327
313
293
291
208
234
213
17
2013-14
1%
5%
2%
3%
3%
-1%
-6%
12%
8%
5%
-2%
9%
1%
1%
9%
-22%
17%
4%
21%
12-13
13-14/
% Chg.
33%
17%
18%
33%
1,248
642
679
1,259
3,828
263
305
331
360
328
351
331
311
311
227
269
221
200
20
2014-15
-1%
0%
3%
6%
2%
-4%
15%
6%
8%
-4%
11%
1%
-1%
6%
-22%
29%
-6%
-6%
18%
13-14
14-15/
% Chg.
Historical Growth Trends by Grade and Grade Group in Lovejoy I.S.D.
32%
17%
18%
34%
1,244
664
707
1,331
3,946
300
324
362
345
366
341
343
321
259
297
245
230
191
22
2015-16
0%
3%
4%
6%
3%
14%
6%
9%
-4%
12%
-3%
4%
3%
-17%
31%
-9%
4%
-5%
10%
14-15
15-16/
% Chg.
17
307
292
Births (Adjusted 5 years)
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
327
177
2006-07
371
200
2008-09
386
210
2009-10
397
189
2010-11
KN Enrollment vs Births
328
204
2007-08
390
188
2011-12
388
205
2012-13
376
213
2013-14
Year
2004- 2005- 2006- 2007- 2008- 2009- 2010- 2011- 2012- 2013- 2014- 2015- 2016- 2017- 201805
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
186
149
450
2005-06
2004-05
318
191
2015-16
Births (Adjusted 5 years)
Kindergarten Enrollment
362
200
2014-15
307
173
2016-17
Lovejoy I.S.D. :
Kindergarten Enrollment Compared to Births (Moved Five Years Forward)
Kindergarten Enrollment
Students
318
179
2017-18
307
173
2018-19
18
Decatur
ISD
44.4%
Ponder
ISD
40.2%
Krum ISD
36.1%
Northwest
ISD
19.2%
Slidell
ISD
48.6%
Argyle
ISD
11.5%
Denton
Lewisville
ISD
32.0%
Plano ISD
28.6%
Frisco
ISD
11.2%
Prosper
ISD
8.3%
Pilot
Celina ISD
Point ISD
28.9%
51.2%
Little
Elm ISD
44.6%
Aubrey ISD
28.6%
Lake
Dallas ISD
37.9%
Denton
ISD
42.5%
Sanger ISD
43.2%
[
Hood
Granbury
ISD
48.2%
0
2.25
4.5
Godley
ISD
55.4%
9 Miles
Joshua
ISD
48.2%
Johnson
Burleson
ISD
36.0%
Alvarado
ISD
59.9%
Venus
ISD
71.6%
Midlothian
ISD
22.2%
Palmer ISD
54.3%
Ferris ISD
80.9%
Terrell
ISD
74.1%
Kaufman
ISD
64.4%
Lone
Oak ISD
42.0%
31% - 40%
41% - 55%
Mabank
56% - 65%
ISD
66% - 80%
> 80%
59.9%
Eco_1415
< 30%
36.8%
Water
Bodies
ISD
Districts_1415
Counties
Canton
Eco. Dis. 2014-15
Wills
Point ISD
63.5%
Quinlan
ISD
66.4%
Boles
ISD
40.6%
Greenville
ISD
69.9%
Campbell
ISD
58.1%
Wolfe
City ISD
54.0%
Hunt
Caddo
Mills ISD
35.5%
Kaufman
Scurry-Rosser
ISD
Ennis ISD
41.5%
69.1%
Ellis
Crandall
ISD
42.8%
Forney
ISD
25.3%
Rockwall
ISD
24.8%
Rockwall
Royse
City ISD
36.2%
Community
ISD
42.3%
Farmersville
ISD
52.6%
Bland
ISD
52.9%
Celeste
ISD
49.9%
DALLAS-FORT WORTH
Leonard
Blue
ISD
Ridge ISD 55.5%
55.2%
Source: Texas Education Agency, Public Education Information Management System Division
Red Oak ISD
44.2%
Waxahachie
ISD
48.3%
Mesquite
ISD
73.4%
Sunnyvale
ISD
13.2%
Garland
ISD
60.5%
Wylie ISD
(Collin)
27.2%
Lovejoy
ISD
3.0%
Princeton
ISD
58.7%
Collin
Anna ISD
42.4%
Melissa
ISD
17.3%
McKinney
ISD
30.9%
Allen
ISD
15.1%
Coppell
Carroll
ISD
Springtown
Richardson
ISD
9.9%
ISD
ISD
1.5%
54.2%
Keller ISD
Carrollton-Farmers
57.3%
23.5%
Branch ISD
Eagle
64.6%
Mountain-Saginaw ISD
ISD
Highland Park
Azle ISD
42.9%
22.1%
ISD (Dallas)
47.4%
Irving
Birdville
Tarrant
0.0%
ISD
ISD Hurst-Euless-Bedford
Lake Worth
79.4%
ISD
57.0%
Dallas
Weatherford
ISD
52.1%
Dallas
ISD
77.9%
White
ISD
42.3%
Fort
Grand
Settlement ISD
85.8%
Worth ISD
Prairie ISD
Arlington
53.2%
74.0%
72.4%
ISD
Parker
68.1%
Aledo
Duncanville
ISD
ISD
Kennedale
12.5%
75.1%
Everman ISD
ISD
40.9%
Lancaster
Crowley
Cedar
DeSoto
82.8%
Mansfield
ISD
ISD
Hill ISD
ISD
ISD
86.0%
63.8%
68.1%
72.0%
38.0%
46.4%
Bridgeport
Wise
ISD
56.2%
Paradise
ISD
29.3% Boyd ISD
Alvord
ISD
32.1%
Chico
ISD
57.8%
Fall 2014-15
Economically Disadvantaged Student Population
19
Wise
Decatur ISD
41.3%
44.4%
Denton ISD
39.9%
42.5%
Sanger ISD
40.6%
43.2%
Carroll ISD
1.7%
1.5%
[
0
2.25
4.5
Granbury ISD
44.5% Godley ISD
48.2%
51.9%
Hood
55.4%
Parker
Aledo ISD
11.9%
12.5%
50.4%
53.2%
Tarrant
Arlington ISD
59.7%
68.1%
68.1%
9 Miles
Rockwall
Rockwall ISD
23.4%
24.8%
Boles ISD
50.9%
40.6%
Lone Oak ISD
41.4%
42.0%
> 5% Change
4.5% - 5% Change
ChgEco0914
Mabank
< 0% ChangeISD
0% - 1.5% Change
59.1%
1.5% - 3% Cjamge
3%
- 4.5% Change
59.9%
Districts_1415
Water Bodies
Counties
Eco. Dis. 2014-15 Change
Wills Point ISD
58.5%
63.5%
Quinlan ISD
62.9%
66.4%
Kaufman ISD
60.2%
64.4%
Kaufman
Terrell ISD
72.3%
74.1%
Scurry-Rosser ISD
Ennis ISD
42.3%
59.9%
41.5%
69.1%
Crandall ISD
36.0%
42.8%
Forney ISD
26.5%
25.3%
Sunnyvale ISD
11.4%
13.2%
Ferris ISD
75.5%
80.9%
Duncanville ISD
69.8%
75.1% DeSoto ISD
63.2% Lancaster ISD
Cedar Hill ISD
72.0%
55.9%
79.1%
Dallas ISD
86.6%
85.8%
Dallas
Highland Park ISD (Dallas)
0.0%
0.0%
86.0%
Red Oak ISD
39.2%
Johnson
44.2%
Alvarado ISD
Ellis
Midlothian ISD
Waxahachie
ISD
Joshua ISD Burleson ISD 52.8%
22.7%
Venus ISD
59.9%
34.2%
51.8%
48.8%
22.2%
73.0%
36.0%
48.3%
48.2%
71.6%
Kennedale ISD
Everman ISD 35.6%
40.9%
82.7%
Crowley ISD
Mansfield ISD
82.8%
49.2%
36.2%
63.8%
38.0%
81.2%
Fort Worth ISD
75.2%
74.0%
Irving ISD
78.2%
79.4%
Carrollton-Farmers Branch ISD
59.4%
Coppell ISD
Richardson ISD Garland ISD
64.6%
9.7%
54.9%
57.0%
9.9%
57.3%
60.5%
Royse City ISD
38.9%
36.2%
Hunt
Greenville ISD
66.5%
69.9%
DALLAS-FORT WORTH
Leonard ISD
Wolfe City ISD
Blue Ridge ISD 51.6% Celeste ISD
50.5%
Melissa ISD
55.5%
49.6%
49.5%
54.0%
24.2%
55.2%
49.9%
17.3%
Bland ISD
McKinney ISD
50.3%
26.8%
Collin
Farmersville ISD 52.9%
30.9%
44.7%
Princeton ISD
Frisco ISD
52.6%
56.3%
12.7%
Lovejoy ISD
58.7%
11.2%
Allen ISD 2.7%
3.0%
15.9%
15.1%
Community ISD
Plano ISD
36.4%
23.5%
Wylie ISD (Collin)
42.3%
28.6%
26.6%
27.2%
Pilot Point ISD Celina ISD
49.7%
31.8%
28.9%
Aubrey ISD 51.2%
28.3%
Prosper ISD
28.6%
15.2%
8.3%
Little Elm ISD
44.2%
Lake Dallas ISD 44.6%
Denton
32.3%
Argyle ISD
37.9%
11.2%
11.5%
Lewisville ISD
25.5%
32.0%
Ponder ISD
36.9%
40.2%
Krum ISD
33.2%
36.1%
Northwest ISD
22.8%
19.2%
Slidell ISD
47.3%
48.6%
Keller ISD
18.5%
Eagle Mountain-Saginaw ISD 23.5%
38.3%
Azle ISD
42.9%
45.0%
47.4%
Lake Worth ISD
Hurst-Euless-Bedford ISD
74.4%
Weatherford ISD
49.0%
Birdville ISD
77.9%
41.3%
52.1%
52.1%
42.3%
Castleberry ISD
57.0%
White Settlement ISD 72.3%
Springtown ISD
52.9%
54.2%
Paradise ISD
32.2%
29.3%
Boyd ISD
48.0%
46.4%
Alvord ISD
32.6%
32.1%
Five-Year Change: 2009-10 to 2014-15 (2009-10 and 2014-15 Figures Shown)
Economically Disadvantaged Student Population
Economically Disadvantaged Student Population -Fall 2014
1
2
3
HIGHLAND PARK ISD
CARROLL ISD
EANES ISD
Economically Disadvantaged Students 2014‐15
0
120
213
4
LOVEJOY ISD
115
3,828
3.00%
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
FRIENDSWOOD ISD
PROSPER ISD
COPPELL ISD
FRISCO ISD
ARGYLE ISD
DRIPPING SPRINGS ISD
ALEDO ISD
LAKE TRAVIS ISD
WYLIE ISD
ALLEN ISD
MELISSA ISD
BOERNE ISD
NORTHWEST ISD
BARBERS HILL ISD
LEANDER ISD
ALAMO HEIGHTS ISD
485
588
1,149
5,566
238
676
630
1,150
585
3,117
366
1,373
3,804
951
7,128
979
,,,
,,
,
6,106
7,076
11,570
49,644
2,063
5,421
5,037
8,833
3,996
20,663
2,119
7,493
19,831
4,903
36,211
4,763
,,,,,
,,,
7.94%
8.31%
9.93%
11.21%
11.54%
12.47%
12.51%
13.02%
14.64%
15.08%
17.27%
18.32%
19.18%
19.40%
19.68%
20.55%
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
SAN ANTONIO ISD
LAREDO ISD
VALLEY VIEW ISD
SOUTH SAN ANTONIO ISD
RIO GRANDE CITY CISD
EDGEWOOD ISD
LA JOYA ISD
BROWNSVILLE ISD
SAN ELIZARIO ISD
EDCOUCH‐ELSA ISD
PROGRESO ISD
49,243
22,645
4,126
9,205
10,103
11,047
28,050
45,779
3,905
5,030
2,026
53,750
24,705
4,484
9,960
10,905
11,735
29,667
48,355
4,051
5,049
2,031
91.61%
91.66%
92.02%
92.42%
92.65%
94.14%
94.55%
94.67%
96.40%
99.62%
99.75%
Rank
District Name
Statewide Average
Total % Disadvantaged Enrollment 2014‐15
2014‐15
7,091
0.00%
7,884
1.52%
7,971
2.67%
58.39%
20
21
Prosper
ISD
88.9%
McKinney
ISD
84.4%
BlueRidge
ISD
67.6%
Hunt
DALLAS - FORT WORTH
Water B odies
>85.0%
80.1% - 85.0%
75.1% - 80.0%
70.1% - 75.0%
60.1% - 70.0%
<60%
STA AR 2014-15
Counties
Bland
ISD
Farmersville 77.8%
Princeton
ISD
Collin
Frisco ISD
ISD
83.9%
90.7%
Allen ISD Lovejoy 78.1%
Caddo
90.3%
ISD
Mills ISD
96.7%
Community 88.3%
Plano ISD
ISD
Wylie ISD
87%
77.1%
90.1%
Rockwall Royse
Garland ISD
Carroll
Rockwall
ISD
Coppell Carrollton-Farmers
City ISD
70.9%
Springtown
Branch
ISD
ISD
85.6%
ISD
75.6%
Keller
Garland
ISD
72.6%
98.1%
Richardson
89%
ISD
Eagle
Rockwall
Quinlan
ISD
70%
ISD
81.5% Grapevine-Colleyville
Mountain-Saginaw
ISD
ISD
70.9%
73%
ISD
ISD
85.6%
62.1%
87%
Azle ISD
74.6%
Highland
Birdville Hurst-Euless-Bedford Irving
79.3%
Park ISD
Sunnyvale Forney ISD
Lake Worth
ISD
ISD
ISD
82.4%
94.9%
ISD
ISD
60.1%
84%
75.7%
Terrell
87.6%
Dallas
61.2%
Forney
ISD
White
Tarrant
Dallas
Mesquite
ISD
Parker
Grand Prairie
65.1%
Settlement ISD
ISD
ISD
Fort
82.4%
ISD
72.7%
Arlington
60%
Terrell ISD
70.7%
Worth ISD
66.5%
ISD
Weatherford
65.1%
61.7%
Duncanville
67.4%
ISD
Aledo
ISD
Kennedale
Kaufman
75.1%
Crandall
ISD
Crandall
63.9%
ISD
ISD
ISD
Everman
89.8%
Lancaster
ISD
79%
64.8%
Cedar
Crowley
80.6%
Mansfield
ISD
ISD
80.6%
Hill
ISD DeSoto ISD
ISD
68.5%
ISD
66.1%
62.1%
65%
61.8%
79.7%
Kaufman
Burleson
Ferris ISD
Red Oak
ISD
70.5%
ISD
Godley ISD
Scurry-Rosser
Venus
77.9%
Midlothian
80%
Granbury
73.3%
Ellis
ISD
Joshua ISD
ISD
Alvarado ISD
ISD
Johnson
Waxahachie
77.3%
Palmer ISD
80.6%
86.3%
72.5%
ISD 62.9%
Ennis ISD
ISD
77%
Kemp ISD
62%
Hood
76.6%
73.5%
0
5
10 Miles
63.4%
[
Chico ISD
78.5%
Aubrey ISD
Slidell ISD
Krum ISD Sanger ISD
86.9%
65.8%
78.2%
76.9%
Decatur
Bridgeport
Denton
ISD
ISD
ISD
Little
Decatur
Wise 73.2%
Ponder ISD
66.5%
77.5%
Elm
ISD
ISD
78.9%
Denton
Lake
72.7%
73.2%
Paradise ISD
Dallas ISD
71.9%
Argyle
Paradise
81.2%
ISD
Boyd ISD
ISD
90.3%
Northwest
Lewisville
76.6%
71.9%
ISD
Lewisville
ISD
ISD
Northwest ISD
83.9%
78.3%
78.3%
83.9%
3rd-8th Grade Primary Assessment, All Tests Taken, 2014-15
Percent of Students Passing STAAR (Level II)
2014‐15 STAAR Results ‐ Meeting Level II Standards
3rd‐8th Grade Primary Administration
All Districts with >2,000 Students (Excluding Charter Schools)
Rank District Name
1
CARROLL ISD
2 LOVEJOY ISD
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
EANES ISD
HIGHLAND PARK ISD
LAKE TRAVIS ISD
FRIENDSWOOD ISD
SOUTH TEXAS ISD
FRISCO ISD
ARGYLE ISD
ALLEN ISD
WYLIE ISD
ALEDO ISD
COPPELL ISD
PROSPER ISD
PEARLAND ISD
TOMBALL ISD
PLEASANT GROVE ISD
DRIPPING SPRINGS ISD
WYLIE ISD
CHINA SPRING ISD
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
SAN ANTONIO ISD
DONNA ISD
UVALDE CISD
CARRIZO SPRINGS CISD
MANOR ISD
ECTOR COUNTY ISD
NACOGDOCHES ISD
ROYAL ISD
RAYMONDVILLE ISD
WACO ISD
LA MARQUE ISD
SNYDER ISD
BIG SPRING ISD
CRYSTAL CITY ISD
NAVASOTA ISD
PEARSALL ISD
State of Texas
STAAR Passage Rate
2014-15
Enrollment
2014-15
2013-14
2012-13
2011-12
7,884
98.08%
97.35%
96.31%
96.97%
3,828
7,971
7,091
8,833
6,106
3,376
49,644
2,063
20,663
14,039
5,037
11,570
7,076
20,550
13,238
2,120
5,421
3,996
2,463
,,
,,,
,,
,,
,,
,,
,,
,,
,,
,,
,,,
,,
,,,
53,750
15,351
4,777
2,449
8,852
31,971
6,439
2,202
2,107
14,978
2,306
2,889
4,255
2,069
3,055
2,363
96.67% 96.52% 96.22% 96.09%
95.69%
94.87%
93.47%
92.63%
92.11%
90.69%
90.29%
90.25%
90.13%
89.82%
88.97%
88.94%
88.91%
88.78%
88.72%
88.69%
88.12%
87.83%
65
18%
59
56%
59
51%
59
38%
59
12%
59
08%
58
99%
58
94%
58
87%
58
80%
58
70%
58
62%
58
43%
58
24%
58
17%
58
16%
57
82%
57
53%
57
43%
57
22%
57
04%
57
01%
56
53%
56
41%
55
88%
55
55
66%
55 68%
65%
55
42%
55.18%
54.81%
54.70%
54.02%
53.93%
52.98%
52.25%
52.21%
51.61%
51.09%
49.54%
48.55%
48.42%
48.16%
48.04%
40.53%
94.65%
95.39%
92.92%
90.49%
95.59%
91.90%
90.89%
92.04%
88.26%
90.50%
89.75%
90.13%
85.83%
87.49%
88.91%
88.84%
88.19%
86.05%
67
92%
63
64%
60
67%
65
01%
57
69%
60
40%
51
88%
60
17%
57
33%
56
87%
59
40%
67
09%
57
62%
58
36%
62
30%
58
97%
57
44%
61
30%
58
12%
57
06%
59
80%
59
07%
55
35%
51
80%
54
83%
53
53
41%
58 91%
15%
57
16%
54.41%
52.64%
53.64%
54.15%
55.52%
54.72%
51.22%
52.54%
51.55%
50.57%
47.25%
52.37%
47.05%
40.31%
45.43%
37.74%
93.67%
95.80%
93.20%
88.67%
90.04%
92.37%
90.35%
92.05%
85.09%
88.23%
88.87%
89.50%
85.46%
86.04%
89.89%
89.53%
87.55%
89.18%
69
60%
60
58%
63
80%
65
28%
56
98%
59
52%
49
84%
58
14%
55
93%
61
20%
60
42%
69
76%
54
03%
59
40%
61
10%
59
25%
57
95%
62
39%
60
48%
54
97%
60
54%
60
92%
57
09%
56
35%
53
27%
54
50
17%
56 89%
12%
59
18%
54.11%
52.07%
55.27%
59.52%
58.82%
54.95%
52.87%
53.86%
54.00%
51.89%
46.26%
52.50%
43.53%
43.51%
54.40%
41.55%
94.67%
96.24%
91.73%
88.60%
89.15%
91.92%
86.65%
91.77%
82.67%
87.19%
88.78%
90.08%
84.98%
85.34%
89.07%
89.91%
88.73%
85.81%
71
09%
62
60%
65
57%
58
33%
60
60%
45
96%
55
68%
56
47%
58
23%
58
88%
69
55%
54
26%
58
50%
59
62%
58
38%
59
49%
64
16%
60
99%
60
77%
57
99%
61
73%
60
06%
55
97%
54
05%
55
54
33%
54 39%
56%
62
08%
54.05%
50.90%
57.99%
55.97%
58.67%
58.37%
55.43%
50.06%
49.71%
55.01%
47.56%
56.42%
46.00%
43.64%
53.93%
44.06%
71.83% 71.79% 71.53% 71.52%
22
23
Median Age
85 years and over
75 to 84 years
65 to 74 years
60 to 64 years
55 to 59 years
45 to 54 years
35 to 44 years
25 to 34 years
20 to 24 years
5 to 17 years
15 to 19 years
10 to 14 years
5 to 9 years
Under 5 years
Renter-occupied
4,479
252
79
126
271
416
519
489
765
396
1,166
$103,341
3,988
476
350
16
474
932
1,638
1,162
3,509
337
513
1,644
2,714
817
888
1,576
814
68
45.2
4,550
4,479
71
4,215
264
6%
2%
3%
6%
9%
12%
11%
17%
9%
26%
83%
10%
7%
0%
3%
7%
12%
9%
26%
2%
4%
12%
20%
6%
7%
12%
6%
1%
98%
2%
Percentage
13,577
Number
12,448
913
434
691
858
1,197
2,130
1,090
2,119
951
2,065
$75,023
11,366
1,839
1,189
83
1,362
1,211
2,121
2,370
4,908
1,735
3,054
3,759
4,669
2,180
1,993
2,179
1,446
1,176
42.3
13,988
12,448
1,540
7,653
4,795
Number
7%
3%
6%
7%
10%
17%
9%
17%
8%
17%
79%
13%
8%
1%
5%
4%
7%
8%
17%
6%
10%
13%
16%
7%
7%
7%
5%
4%
89%
11%
Percentage
29,255
Alamo Heights
ISD**
9,355
235
16
217
355
330
738
641
1,658
1,402
3,763
$163,036
10,842
1,413
960
0
1,275
2,523
3,578
2,744
8,370
629
1,414
4,122
6,634
2,316
1,648
1,340
668
249
41.5
9,458
9,355
103
8,686
669
Number
3%
0%
2%
4%
4%
8%
7%
18%
15%
40%
82%
11%
7%
0%
4%
9%
12%
9%
29%
2%
5%
14%
23%
8%
6%
5%
2%
1%
99%
1%
Percentage
29,140
Carroll ISD**
* Data Gathered From the 2013 1-year, **3-year, and ***5-year American Community Survey Estimates
Median household income
$200,000 or more
$150,000 to $199,999
$100,000 to $149,999
$75,000 to $99,999
$50,000 to $74,999
$35,000 to $49,999
$25,000 to $34,999
$15,000 to $24,999
$10,000 to $14,999
less than $10,000
Total households
Income and Benefits
Unpaid family workers
Self-employed
Government
Private wage and salary
Class of Worker
Age
Owner-occupied
Vacant housing units
Occupied housing units
Total housing units
Housing
Total Population
Lovejoy ISD***
13,314
430
238
515
500
1,001
1,515
1,339
1,912
1,415
4,449
$124,583
12,634
2,013
1,897
108
1,599
2,854
3,580
2,377
8,374
961
2,876
5,816
6,340
2,863
2,491
2,178
992
443
41.2
14,341
13,314
1,027
9,802
3,512
Number
3%
2%
4%
4%
8%
11%
10%
14%
11%
33%
76%
12%
11%
1%
5%
8%
10%
7%
24%
3%
8%
16%
18%
8%
7%
6%
3%
1%
93%
7%
Percentage
35,370
Eanes ISD**
9,059
443
146
250
562
626
1,232
1,071
2,010
888
1,831
$102,342
9,592
1,957
588
0
1,007
1,696
2,665
2,219
5,851
1,430
2,193
3,031
5,003
1,763
1,487
2,515
690
508
41.6
9,293
9,059
234
7,777
1,282
Number
5%
2%
3%
6%
7%
14%
12%
22%
10%
20%
79%
16%
5%
0%
4%
6%
10%
8%
22%
5%
8%
12%
19%
7%
6%
10%
3%
2%
97%
3%
Percentage
26,207
Friendswood
ISD**
11,061
300
160
330
349
518
925
621
1,580
1,294
4,984
$179,317
12,114
1,033
1,455
73
1,506
2,766
3,975
4,150
8,707
2,464
1,894
4,433
5,847
2,017
1,866
1,718
984
403
36.2
11,788
11,061
727
8,463
2,598
Number
3%
1%
3%
3%
5%
8%
6%
14%
12%
45%
83%
7%
10%
0%
4%
8%
12%
12%
26%
7%
6%
13%
17%
6%
5%
5%
3%
1%
94%
6%
Percentage
34,023
Highland Park
ISD**
Lovejoy I.S.D.
2013 Selected Socioeconomic Characteristics Compared with Comparable School Districts
15,120
807
330
731
790
1,333
1,896
1,877
2,593
1,960
2,803
$96,235
14,497
2,014
2,675
67
2,771
3,152
2,851
2,597
8,137
1,153
2,889
6,949
7,199
3,453
2,404
3,042
1,317
476
42.3
17,330
15,120
2,210
12,124
2,996
Number
5%
2%
5%
5%
9%
13%
12%
17%
13%
19%
75%
10%
14%
0%
7%
8%
7%
6%
20%
3%
7%
17%
18%
9%
6%
8%
3%
1%
87%
13%
Percentage
40,253
Lake Travis
ISD**
24
4,775
3,643
388
182
5
41
516
32.1
13,523
12,229
1,280
854
426
189
237
14
9,034
32
97
1,299
2,127
456
3,484
1,539
76%
8%
4%
0%
1%
11%
90%
9%
6%
3%
1%
2%
0%
0%
1%
14%
24%
5%
39%
17%
99%
56%
14,394
11,760
1,031
313
155
306
829
18.4
28,924
23,104
5,354
3,266
2,088
1,376
712
466
20,456
577
486
2,367
3,774
1,001
6,507
5,744
82%
7%
2%
1%
2%
6%
80%
19%
11%
7%
5%
2%
2%
3%
2%
12%
18%
5%
32%
28%
95%
60%
Alamo Heights
ISD**
13,090
10,636
708
0
95
282
1,369
27.1
28,997
26,597
2,131
1,330
801
485
316
269
18,391
51
386
1,590
3,054
796
7,983
4,531
81%
5%
0%
1%
2%
10%
92%
7%
5%
3%
2%
1%
1%
0%
2%
9%
17%
4%
43%
25%
98%
68%
Carroll ISD**
* Data Gathered From the 2013 1-year, **3-year, and ***5-year American Community Survey Estimates
Mean travel time to work (mins.)
Worked at home
Other means
Walked
Public transportation (excluding taxis)
Car, truck or van--carpooled
Car, truck or van--drove alone
Workers 16 years & over
Commuting to work
Abroad
Different state
Same state
Different county
Same county
Different house in the U.S.
Same house
Population 1 year & over
Residence 1 year ago
Bachelor's degree or higher
H.S. graduate or higher
Graduate or professional degree
Bachelor's degree
Associate's degree
Some college, no degree
H.S. graduate
9th to 12th grade, no diploma
Less than 9th grade
Population 25 years & over
Educational Attainment
Lovejoy ISD***
16,412
12,744
662
79
226
154
2,547
21.2
35,096
29,315
5,428
3,354
2,074
1,044
1,030
353
23,999
55
111
1,387
2,852
764
9,946
8,884
78%
4%
0%
1%
1%
16%
84%
15%
10%
6%
3%
3%
1%
0%
0%
6%
12%
3%
41%
37%
99%
78%
Eanes ISD**
11,990
9,652
979
259
51
251
798
32.4
25,967
23,076
2,554
1,022
1,532
1,134
398
337
17,190
263
494
2,416
2,930
1,677
6,509
2,901
81%
8%
2%
0%
2%
7%
89%
10%
4%
6%
4%
2%
1%
2%
3%
14%
17%
10%
38%
17%
96%
55%
Friendswood
ISD**
14,324
11,151
677
49
630
149
1,668
16.8
33,842
27,146
6,418
3,424
2,994
1,392
1,602
278
19,162
91
133
623
2,095
382
9,143
6,695
78%
5%
0%
4%
1%
12%
80%
19%
10%
9%
4%
5%
1%
0%
1%
3%
11%
2%
48%
35%
99%
83%
Highland Park
ISD**
Lovejoy I.S.D.
2013 Selected Socioeconomic Characteristics Compared with Comparable School Districts
18,958
13,679
1,429
31
166
446
3,207
31.4
39,628
33,816
5,524
3,586
1,938
765
1,173
288
27,729
281
475
4,009
5,546
1,720
10,522
5,176
72%
8%
0%
1%
2%
17%
85%
14%
9%
5%
2%
3%
1%
1%
2%
14%
20%
6%
38%
19%
97%
57%
Lake Travis
ISD**
Annual Employment Trends
Lovejoy I.S.D. Area
Employment Trends
November
2014
May
2015
November
2015
6-Month
Pct. Change
Annual
Pct. Change
49,180
49,139
49,634
1.01%
0.92%
3.6
3.2
3.2
75,874
75,811
76,574
1.01%
0.92%
3.7
3.2
3.4
458,188
457,811
462,416
1.01%
0.92%
3.9
3.4
3.5
City of Allen
Employment
Unemployment Rate
City of McKinney
Employment
Unemployment Rate
Collin County
Employment
Unemployment Rate
25
Lovejoy ISD Employment by Sector
(Out of Civilian Employed Population 16 Years and Over)
Lovejoy ISD Population : 13,577
Civilian Employed Population 16 Years and Over: 4,830
% in Each
Sector
Industry
0.8
4.3
16.1
1.6
6.7
3.6
5.8
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, and mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and warehousing, and utilities
Information
Finance and insurance, and real estate and rental and
leasing
Professional, scientific, and management, and
administrative and waste management services
Educational services, and health care and social
assistance
Arts, entertainment, and recreation, and accomodation, an
food services
14.7
18.7
17.9
6.5
1.6
1.7
Other services, except public administration
Public Administration
LOVEJOY ISD EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR
(Out of Civilian Employed Population 16 Years and Over)
Employed Population: 4,830 (out of 13,577 Total Residents in LISD)
As Reported by 2009-2013 American Community Survey Data
Public Administration
Agriculture, forestry,
Other services, except
2%
fishing and hunting,
public administration
and mining
1%
1%
Arts, entertainment,
and recreation, and
accomodation, and
Construction
food services
4%
6%
Manufacturing
16%
Wholesale Trade
1%
Educational services,
and health care and
social assistance
18%
Professional, scientific,
and management, and
administrative and
waste management
services
19%
Retail Trade
7%
Transportation and
warehousing, and
utilities
4%
Information
6%
Finance and insurance,
and real estate and
rental and leasing
15%
26
A major component of any Demographic Update is the need to understand the future housing stock in the District. The housing projections are developed for each active and planned subdivision. For most of this document, the data is grouped into “Planning Units.” Planning Units are small portions of the District that are based on Census‐defined block groups and are further subdivided when necessary, based on the District attendance zones, subdivision boundaries, roadways, etc. Demographic vendors around the nation use these small geographic areas as well, since they are ideal building blocks for analysis and planning. The first map in the chapter details the Planning Units in Lovejoy I.S.D. Data Used for Map Files in Demographic Update In order to accurately assess platting activity, city ordinances, or development plans, PASA must have a very complete map of the District. Map layers include, but are not limited to, the following:  Planning Units o Provide an organizational structure to the data and are used as building blocks for attendance zone design  Aerial Images o Provides the ability to see clearing of land, construction, and addition of detention ponds and other changes in land use for future development  Municipalities and ETJ Boundaries/Planned Thoroughfares/Planned Water and Sewer Lines o Show the boundaries of these entities so that the impact of various ordinances regarding lot sizes, setbacks, height requirements, and other factors can be assessed o Depict the planned new arterials and/or roadway improvements that will impact the District’s future growth o Delineate the planned water pipelines and sewer lines that will open up undeveloped sectors of the District for potential residential development o Show Utility District boundaries, based on several different sources (as available for the District) Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
27
 Parcel Ownership, typically from the Appraisal District o Allows future development patterns to be pinpointed by parcel and changes in ownership assessed on an annualized basis  Active Oil and Gas Pipelines o Illustrates the portions of parcels that are less likely to develop  Concept Plans and Platting Activity o Shows the short‐term expected development, based on initial concept plans, preliminary and final plats  Existing, Active, and Future Subdivisions o Creates a visual image of which portions of the District are growing rapidly and which are more stable, as well as outlining the specific boundaries of each current and future development  Existing Schools and Future School Sites o Shows which District sites to utilize for viable attendance zone planning Methodology for Developing Housing Projections The next maps show the new homes projected by Planning Unit. These data have been developed through: Interviews  with city and county planners, engineers, commercial realtors and other realtors, builders, developers, landowners, and other experts. These interviews are very extensive, and rely on local knowledge of the real estate market. Information gleaned from these interviews is invaluable, and is the basis of much of the Demographic Update. Historical Data Analysis  analysis of Census data, especially the annualized American Community Survey for Lovejoy I.S.D., and the historical trend analyses (of both the District and of comparable and/or surrounding districts);  evaluation of the manner in which student growth trends are correlated with housing resale trends, such as the regeneration or decline of specific neighborhoods in the District; Overlaying of Zoning, Future Land Use Plans, and Ordinances  incorporation of expected impacts of city (and county) zoning, future land use plans, and ordinances regarding residential development;  accounting for drainage, flood plain, and other topological features that would prevent full development;  inclusion of major thoroughfare plans and/or roadway improvements that will affect housing growth; Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
28
Parcel Assessment  assessment of the potential use of undeveloped parcels as residential land use ultimately;  assessment of sparsely developed parcels for potential replacement with higher density residential uses, or other types of land uses. By utilizing the above‐referenced databases, PASA was able to project new housing units by subdivision, as well as for specific townhome, condo and loft developments. These projections are summed at the Planning Unit level, and are used most often in the remainder of the report by Planning Unit. The last spreadsheet in this chapter, however, shows the data by projected development, in detail. The projections are considered most useful for the next five years, as few developers or land‐
owners have precise long‐term plans that exceed a five‐year timetable. Thus, only the first five years of residential projections are considered reliable and useful for short term planning, and the remaining years are included for completeness, representing useful benchmark data for applications to school facility planning. PASA developed these projections with study of, but without heavy consideration of, past trends. Thus, this assessment is a uniquely independent analysis geared toward future trends rather than a dependency on past trends. Some landowners, builders, or developers will either get ahead or behind their construction schedule. For Lovejoy I.S.D., PASA has attempted to develop a conservative Moderate Growth Scenario for existing subdivisions, and the build‐out potential of as‐yet‐to‐be‐developed subdivisions. Thus, there will be a strong potential for the projected number of new housing units to be slightly low relative to actual homes constructed for each year of the projected time frame. Assessment of Current Housing The second map in the Chapter shows the municipalities in Lovejoy I.S.D., with the third map showing the student density by municipality. The City of Lucas has 151 students per square mile in L.I.S.D., while the City of Fairview has 183 students per square mile. By contrast, the 0.52 (less than one) square mile of the City of Allen that is in L.I.S.D. has over 700 students, or 1,396 students per square mile. A map of the current densities of students based on types of land uses and on projected land uses is shown next in the chapter. Over 12 square miles within L.I.S.D. is built‐out, and another 2 square miles is actively building out, or planned for development. Just under 1 square mile is under park/recreational uses. This sums to ~15 square miles out of ~16.9 square miles within the District that are “developed”. Thus, approximately 2 square miles (about 11% of the Districts) remain undeveloped. Much of this land has challenges due to small size of the parcels, and some have additional flood plain difficulties. Metro Study’s data shows that housing starts per quarter have increased from 33 during the 3rd quarter of 2014 to 41 for the 3rd quarter of 2015 in L.I.S.D. The 2Q15 was also higher than the previous year, with 29 starts for the 2Q15, compared to 12 starts during the 2Q14. Interestingly, Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
29
Lovejoy I.S.D. has 27.2 months of vacant, developed lots in inventory. Within Lovejoy I.S.D., both Belmont Estates and Brockdale Estates had 20 annual starts, with Broadmoor Estates having 16. In Lucas, the average market value of a home is ~$454,000 and in Fairview, it’s $424,000. These prices alone indicated the lack of starter‐home housing in Lovejoy I.S.D. for younger families. The Fairview/Lucas area saw roughly 70 homes sold in 2015. The Fairview area (as of June, 2015) had only 63 preowned homes for sale. The median price of homes sold kept creeping upward – at around 12% ‐‐ with the median value at $420,750, based on Appraisal District data. Home sales in the Dallas–Fort Worth area have defied the oil slump, in that home price gains in D‐FW were the largest in the State, rising 13.3% throughout this larger area through the 2nd quarter of 2015. Biggest New Developments: Parkside at Fairview is the largest new development, with infrastructure going in now for 60 lots on ~111 acres. Harper Landing is also underway, with infrastructure going in. Potential Future Sites for Residential Development: Because the District is only ~17 square miles, and almost built‐out, there are only a few large parcels remaining to develop. Exceptions are the Hendrick parcels in two Planning Units off Blondy Jhune Rd., the Molodow tracts east off Country Club Rd., the Stapleton 28 ac. off Hart Rd., and the Knappitsch‐owned horse farm (which may develop over the long term) north off Stacy Rd. (FM 2786). Factors Contributing to New Housing Growth Improved Roadways and New Arterials Historically, the most critical new infrastructure that spawns single‐family development has been new roadway arterials. NTTA plans improvement to local toll roads over the long‐term, because the population growth in Collin County is higher than NTTA had anticipated. One such tollway is SH 121, in which widening will be completed by 2020 or 2021. Other roadways in and near McKinney I.S.D. that impact Lovejoy I.S.D. include major Interstate75 improvements that are now underway. Extensions include Stacy Rd. east of Country Club Rd. and curving northward up to the current Stacy Rd. Forest Grove Rd. has been extended/rerouted at FM 321. Finally, Estates Parkway (FM 2170) is being extended northeastward as a new Blondy Jhune Rd. to be connected to the current Blondy Jhune Rd. Over the long‐term, from the southern to the northern portion of the District, a widening of Country Club Rd. is essential. Currently, some roadway improvements and a new bridge are underway off FM 323 and into McKinney I.S.D. Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
30
Availability of Water Infrastructure and of Utility Districts The Utility Districts map in this chapter shows that much of L.I.S.D. is provided utilities via one of the municipalities in the District. Water supply companies service other areas in the District, but sizeable parts of the northern half of the District are without readily‐available utilities. This typically causes slower development timing. Although municipal water supplies are virtually guaranteed, water availability has still been a difficult challenge in Lovejoy I.S.D. Three years of drought have impacted watering of individual residences, and also have impacted the water capacity available for municipal needs. However, with recent rains, Lavon Lake is now slightly above its full pool level of 492 feet, as of August, 2015. The Lake is more than 10 feet higher than in August, 2014. The Dallas area appears to be more forward‐planning in regard to reservoirs than is the Houston area and other major Texas metro areas, who lag in planning for reservoirs. In Fannin County, a new reservoir will begin operation by 2020. It will serve, among other cities, Frisco, McKinney, and Plano. This reservoir will be the first in Texas in the last 30 years. The TCEQ permit has been granted, and now the Clean Water Act permit from the Corps of Engineers is still needed, but expected within the year. The cities involved will also have to show stable water conservation efforts. Flood Plains and Other Constraints on Residential Development Housing development in L.I.S.D. also depends on the availability of, and plans for, drainage channels and detention ponds. Both Fairview and Lucas, within Lovejoy I.S.D., have flood plains that limit development and build‐out, such as the parcels along the Sloan Creek in both Fairview and McKinney in the north portion of the District. Interestingly, the sector of the District that could be in the biggest demand for residential development that remains is the land surrounding Lake Lavon, which is either owned by the Corps of Engineers or already has nearby low density ranchette housing on large lots. Ideally, higher density housing, including retirement facilities and apartments, would find sites near the Lake, but cannot be built because of perpetual Corps ownership. Developments adjacent to the Corps‐
owned land, with views of Lake Lavon, would provide good higher density sites, but their biggest long‐term limitation is that there are no wastewater pipelines in the City of Lucas, meaning there is no sewer system. Potential for “In‐fill” Residential Development Potential for Lower‐Valued, Older Homes to Re‐Develop: The table below shows the number of homes that have values under $100,000. Within the entire District, there are 174 such dwellings (see the table below, which is sorted by Planning Unit – and refer to a Development Overview map for the locations of these Planning Units). It is presumed that these homes are on lots with much higher values than the dwellings, and are likely to eventually be torn down and rebuilt, due to the demand for housing within Lovejoy I.S.D. Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
31
Parcels with Improvement Value >$10,000 and <$100,000 PU 1 2A 2B 3A 3B 3D 3E 4A 4B 4C 4D 4E 4F 4G 4J 5 6 7A 7B # Parcels 5 1 6 11 1 1 7 18 11 20 8 11 15 3 6 13 11 14 12 Average Improvement Value $54,782 $41,097 $58,440 $61,622 $50,252 $35,582 $87,996 $53,867 $48,482 $54,901 $49,771 $53,589 $64,345 $67,012 $60,212 $53,463 $67,376 $58,552 $47,826 Total:
174
$56,272
Developed Lots with no Structures (Homes) in Older, Existing Subdivisions: It is also important to know that there are still undeveloped parcels (of one or more GIS acres) which are available in each Planning Unit. They are summarized below by Planning Unit and mapper later in the chapter. (Also available upon request is the list of these 153 undeveloped parcels, their ownership and size, expected land use and Property ID, as well as the Appraisal District’s current market value.) Developed Lots with No Homes PU # Lots PU # Lots 1 2A 2B 3A 3E 4A 4B 4C 4D 9 4 8 5 5 10 5 9 14 4F 4G 4H 4J 4L 5 6 7A 7B 18 2 1 1 3 13 4 10 10 4E 22 Total: 153 Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
32
Ownership Changes and Land Currently For Sale The next maps in the chapter highlight where larger parcels of land have changed ownership in the last few years. Of parcels of 2+ acres, 214 have sold between December, 2012 and August, 2015. Often, the sale of land pre‐dates development in desirable districts, so it is important to understand which parcels are changing ownership. Also shown are those lots that are currently undeveloped. The Competitive Advantage of Housing Available in Lovejoy I.S.D. Based on demographic precepts, people migrate due to fairly predictable patterns and for fairly predictable reasons. There are both “push” and “pull” factors operating. In the past 25 years, the “pull” factors to Lovejoy I.S.D. have revolved around available land. This general area is in the development path of the northern portion of the metro area, with a stream of people rapidly moving outward to the northern portions of the Dallas development corridor ‐‐ an area in a very narrowly prescribed “growth path.” These relocatees have been seeking the ability to be “pioneers” in a new, secure environment, and have been seeking to benefit from new infrastructure, and a newly planned environment that would yield a high quality of life. “Push” factors revolve around immigration which encouraged urban core residents to exit homes inside the loops and move outward to new suburban communities, leaving the older infrastructure for new, perfectly planned environments. This push factor was suppressed from 2007 to roughly 2012, as the area attempted to pull out of a deep recession. There was also a lack of readily available mortgages at this time. Even in 2016, the mortgage rates are creeping upward, and this could either motivate some buyers to enter the Lovejoy housing market, or, conversely, to discourage them from buying. Since 2013, the recent growth in Collin County, and Lovejoy I.S.D. specifically, have both been fueled by pull factors. These have included aesthetically and geographically desirable undeveloped land – within the northward growth path. This has spawned new subdivisions and retail, as well as office development. As noted earlier, the almost 17 square miles in the District are rapidly building out, and housing construction will lessen as the undeveloped parcels disappear. Surrounding this District are other large developments, such as the Huffines’ Inspiration master‐planned community that begins as L.I.S.D. and ends in Wylie I.S.D. It includes 1,400 homes on 600 acres. In sum, Lovejoy I.S.D. and its surrounding parcels will be virtually built‐out within ten years. Projected Future Housing Specific new developments are critical to understanding the configuration of growth and of added students in the District over the next ten years. Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
33
Largest Single‐Family Developments Subdivision or Owner(s) Names: Brockdale Estates DNL Family Enterprises parcel Parkside at Fairview Hoke Parcel Lewis Park Harper Landing Bristol Park Total (Above‐Listed Developments): Planning Unit 7B 1 4H 3E 7A 4A 6 Total New Housing Projected in LISD: Projected New Housing Occupancies 2015‐
2020‐
2015‐
2020 2025 2025 162 33 195 1 63 64 49 11 60 0 32 32 26 4 30 26 2 28 27 0 27 291 145 436 678 460 1,138 These developments represent only a small portion of the total new single‐family homes projected to be occupied throughout the District over the next 10 years, with the remaining new homes projected to be built in smaller developments. The long spreadsheet at the end of this chapter details the specific housing projections for every subdivision and undeveloped parcel in the school district. Housing Projections Summary The District can expect approximately 1,138 additional single family homes to be built and occupied within the next ten years, with roughly 678 of them to be constructed within the coming five years. The second five years of this projection period is projected to yield fewer new homes, as the area comes closer and closer to build‐out. Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
34
P l a n n i n g Un i t s
Lovejoy I.S.D.
Map Layers
District Boundary
1
Planning Units
Streets
un
Stoddard Rd
Co
ry
t
2A
Cl
ub
Rd
Hart Road
Trl
2B
al
r
ad
323
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Par
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ty
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Co
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Dr
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7
31
lv d
Heritag
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Stacy Rd
3A
FM 1378
O ak
wo
CR
4A
Old Stacy Rd
4H
3B
4I
4K
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esc
Pr
Malone Rd
Stacy Road
Stacy Road E - FM 278
6
St
3C
3D
Wolf C reek Dr
4L
Forest Gr
o ve
Es t ates
4B
Rd
on e Hinge D r
CR 321
C
ntry B r ook Ln
ou
Forest Grove Rd
4J
Forest Grove Rd.
M
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4G
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3E
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4D
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t
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b
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Blon dy J
Rd
R
d.
F M 1378
Lynne Ln
Estates Parkway - FM 2170
4E
Winningkoff Rd.
Angel Parkway
4C
Estelle Lane
5
Lucas Road W.
0.25
[
0.5
1
Miles
Stinson Road
0
6
7A
Southview Dr. - FM 13 7 8
Lewis Lane
Lu
ca
d
sR
4F
Lucas Road E. -
FM
8
32
6
Brockdale
7B
35
Municipal Jurisdictions
Lovejoy I.S.D.
Map Layers
District Boundary
McKinney
City Limit
Planning Units
Streets
un
Stoddard Rd
Co
1
Municipalities
t
ry
2A
Cl
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Allen, City Limit
Rd
Hart Road
Red Oak
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Allen, ETJ
Fairview, City Limit
no
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Lucas, City Limit
al
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O ak
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Fairview
City Limit
u stang
4A
Old Stacy Rd
Malone Rd
Stacy Road
3B
McKinney, City Limit
McKinney
ETJ
McKinney, ETJ
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FM 1378
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Lucas, ETJ
r
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Allen
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4K
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Wolf C reek Dr
4L
4B
Forest Grove Rd
4J
Forest Grove Rd.
Allen
ETJ
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4G
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3E
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Lee L n
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4D
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Lucas City
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Angel Parkway
Rd
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Winningkoff Rd.
4C
5
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Lucas Road W.
0.25
[
0.5
1
Miles
Stinson Road
0
6
7A
Lewis Lane
Lu
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FM
8
32
6
7B Brockdale
Lucas
ETJ
36
Student Density by Municipal Jurisdiction
Lovejoy I.S.D.
Map Layers
0.58 Sq. Mi.
84 Students
145.5 Stu/Sq. Mi.
Planning Units
Streets
1
Co
un
Stoddard Rd
District Boundary
Municipalities
t
ry
2A
Cl
ub
Allen, City Limit
Rd
Hart Road
Red Oak
Trl
Allen, ETJ
no
Re
Lucas, City Limit
al
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FM 1378
3A
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Heritag
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Old Stacy Rd
Lucas, ETJ
McKinney, ETJ
0.1 Sq. Mi.
0 Students
0 Stu/Sq. Mi.
u stang
McKinney, ETJ
Stacy Rd
O ak
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5.41 Sq. Mi.
993 Students
183.42 Stu/Sq. Mi.
r
Par
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Ca m
D
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2B
Stacy Road
4H
6
3C
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Allen, City Limit
0.52 Sq. Mi.
733 Students
1396.19 Stu/Sq. Mi.
4L
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4B
Es t ates
Rd
3E
Forest Grove Rd
4J
Forest Grove Rd.
4G
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0.42 Sq. Mi.
45 Students
106.58 Stu/Sq. Mi.
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4D
Co
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Blon dy J
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Lucas, City Limit
9.04 Sq. Mi.
1367 Students
151.2 Stu/Sq. Mi.
4E
F M 1378
Lynne Ln
Angel Parkway
Rd
Winningkoff Rd.
b
Clu
ry
4C
5
Estelle Lane
Lucas Road W.
0.25
[
0.5
1
Miles
Stinson Road
0
6
7A
Lewis Lane
Lu
ca
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sR
4F
Lucas Road E. -
FM
8
32
6
7B Brockdale
Lucas, ETJ
0.96 Sq. Mi.
409 Students
425.9 Stu/Sq. Mi.
37
Development Density
Lovejoy I.S.D.
December 2015:
Total area of Lovejoy I.S.D. is 16.9 square miles.
There are 240 students per square mile of built-out area (existing, actively developing, and parks).
~2.19 square miles of the district are in the flood plain.
~2.06 square miles are undeveloped (planned and unplanned).
Existing
Actively Developing
Planned Development
Undeveloped
Parks
District Land Uses
Square Miles
%
Outside
Total
District
Flood 100 Year 500 Year Floodway
12.16
72%
11.08
0.76
0.07
0.25
1.82
11%
1.70
0.09
0.01
0.02
0.25
2%
0.22
0.03
0.00
0.00
1.80
11%
1.51
0.21
0.02
0.07
0.92
5%
0.27
0.39
0.01
0.25
Map Layers
District Boundary
100, 500 Yr. Flood Plains and Floodways
Generally Built-out/Developed
Actively Developing
Undeveloped, but Planned Dev.
Undeveloped Land
Park Land
[
0
0.25 0.5
1
Miles
38
U t i l i t y D i st r i c t s
P e r P u b l i c U t i l i t y Co m m i s s i o n o f Te x a s
Map Layers
CITY OF
MCKINNEY
District Boundary
Planning Units
1
Streets
Utility Districts
CITY OF ALLEN
CITY OF FAIRVIEW
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CITY OF
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CITY OF
ALLEN
Estelle Lane
5
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Stinson Road
Lewis Lane
6
7A
CITY OF
PARKER
Lu
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Lucas Road E. -
SEIS LAGOS
UTILITY
DISTRICT
FM
86
32
Brockdale
7B
WYLIE
NORTHEAST
SUD
39
Undeveloped Lots > 1 Acre
Lovejoy I.S.D. - North
Map Layers
District Boundary
*Analysis per Collin County Appraisal Data
[
0
Planning Units
Streets
0.125 0.25
0.5
Miles
Undeveloped Parcels
Acreage
DNL ENTERPRISES FAMILY
LIMITED PARTNERSHIP THE
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& RANDOLPH K
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2.08
STAPLETON
ENTERPRISES INC
27.97
Oak
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HARPER LANDING
DEVELOPMENT LLC
KING JOE
3.06
BARTON & KAY D
3.54
HARPER LANDING
KING JOE
DEVELOPMENT LLC
BARTON & KAY D
31.04
5.18
HARPER LANDING
DEVELOPMENT LLC
9.93
WILLIS JERRY
FRANCES &
14.52
4A
CAMPBELL COLLEEN
CRAWFORD & BRAYTON
37.46
WILLIS JERRY
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4.98
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STAPLETON
WILLIAM G
1.35
STAPLETON
WILLIAM G
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IMMANUEL LUTHERAN
CHURCH OF ALLEN
0.83
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CARMICKLE
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PAUL TAYLOR
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HOMES LIMITED
CEMETERY ASSOC
6.76
1.56
5.18
CARMICKLE WILLIAM
4B
FOREST GROVE CHRISTIAN
Forest Grove Rd
F or
T & DONNA
CHURCH OF COLLIN COUNTY
SHARMA
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2.73
2.82
ADITYA &
ve Estates
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2.99
Forest Grove Rd.
TODD & JAN
HOEFER
HOLDINGS LTD
LOUIS T
7.84
MOLINA
8.6
EVELYN L FOWLER LIVING
3E
GERBER MARK
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TRUST
& JENNIFER
3.82
TULLIUS
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CHRISTIAN PAUL &
FOWLER
d
1.03
LIVING TRUST
Rock Ridge R
BENNETT
6.18
PATTERSON JAMES &
MICHAEL
SCALF
MICHELLE MARIE
4C
1
4D
WALLACE JR
1.25
BEVINS
BDM DEVELOPERS BLONDY
10.54
DAVID W &
JHUNE PHASE 1 LLC
19.84
LIDONNA M
SCHWARZENBACH
MCRAE JAMIE LIN
6.6
FAMILY LIVING TR
4
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Ln
40
Undeveloped Lots > 1 Acre
Lovejoy I.S.D. - South
4K
4H
4I
CARMICKLE
BILL
2.38
Map Layers
District Boundary
PAUL TAYLOR
HOMES LIMITED
1.56
4L
Forest Grove Rd.
[
4J
4B
CARMICKLE WILLIAM
T & DONNA
2.73
Forest Grove Rd
HOEFER
LOUIS T
8.6
0
Planning Units
Streets
0.125 0.25
0.5
Miles
Undeveloped Parcels
Acreage
1.0 - 2.0
FOWLER LIVING
TRUST
FOWLER
3.82
LIVING TRUST
6.18
2.1 - 3.0
3.1 - 4.0
M
ar
SCALF
PATTERSON JAMES &
WALLACE JR
MICHELLE MARIE
10.54
1.25
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Ingram Lane
Winningkoff Rd.
Lynne Ln
JHUNE PHASE 1 LLC
7.1 - 14.0
4D
MCRAE
TAYLOR KEITH
19.84
SCHWARZENBACH
JAMIE
LLOYD
FAMILY LIVING TR
LUCAS
LIN
1.11
>14
2.85
CITY OF
4
1.54
HENDRICK H HENDRICK TERRY A
LOVEJOY ISD
& ELIZABETH A WHALEN
WAYNE
TAYLOR
18.49
~1.71
4.78
5.66
DEBORAH G &
TOKALAUN TIMOTHY W
HENDRICK WILSON JANA H 2.48
PARK & ESTUARY 6.38
HENDRICK H WAYNE & RAYMOND P
2.17
15.6
H WAYNE
4.79
BURTON JENNIFER
8.4 HENDRICK H
D & JOSH A KERICO TED
WAYNE &
4C
3.79
& RUTH WENDY
7.1
HENDRICK
2.7 FARMS
LLC
LIVING TRUST
LEACH JOSEPH
1.66
ROGERS SCOTT ALLEN
WENDY 10
& IMA JEAN
& MARIFRANCES KELLY &
FARMS LLC
HENDRICK
4.74
29.93 EDWARDS J
10.18
H WAYNE
RANDAL & LEAH
LEACH JOSEPH
WENDY
34.92
3.04VEITCH
WATSON RYAN
P & IMA JEAN
DANIEL & KERRI
FARMS LLC
& ALICIA
5.09
LARSEN
ALLEN
2.32
8.47
2.01
BRANDON &OSBURN
CITY OF
3.34
3.97
DAVID
COLSTON
4E
LOVEJOY
9
SARAH JEAN
ISD
NELSON
DAHLIA
1.7
KIMBERLIN GARY
3.2
JAMES E
ARR LLC
D & DEBBIE J
BLEVINS FAMILY
LOVEJOY ISD
12
3.93
BOURGEOIS STEVEN
4.42
LIVING
10.04
SANCHEZ
R & DEBBIE G
PAXTON DANIEL USA
LOVEJOY ISD
TRUST
SANTOS
3.44
W & KRISTIN K
4
4.92
2
1.5 LUCAS CITY
2.43
OF
MCDONALD
MARK
MALIK
BLEVINS FAMILY
ALLEN ISD
3
A & JUDY D
JAVED
LIVING TRUST
3.97
PAXTON
2.25
2.54
3.19
DANIEL W &
TUZER
KRISTIN
K
TANJU & PAT
BARRATT
2
3
CHURCHILL
MARK & CAROL
5
MICHAEL W &
1.5
BARTEL TONY
Estelle Lane
5.95
4F
& DENISE
FULLER GEORGIA
MEYEROWITZ
3.96
HEITMANN
GRAY & HAROLD G
ROBERT IAN
PATRICIA A
3.98
J & JOY ANN
MAYFIELD
5
5
JOHN A - LE
8.93
ABERNATHY
JON TODD &
3.22
KAPP
KAPP
PHILLIP M PHILLIP M
7.47
22.81
BEDELL W G
& GIBSON GUS JR
22.66
KOERNER
CHRISTOPHER &
2.14
THOMPSON
WILLIAM BURDESS
S III ESTHER M & ANDERSON
18
JUDITH
0.92
7.86
Lewis Lane
Lucas Road W.
E.
Lucas Road
LAFON
ADAMS
JOANN
THOMAS S
BAILEY &
4.57
1.7
PHARR LIVING
PHARR LIVING
TRUST TRUST
4.89PHARR3.67
LIVING TRUST
2
-F
M
86
32
USA
14.88
ODEN
JOHN P JR
1.25
CHURCHILL MICHAEL
W & CHRISTINE L
4.61
BOATRIGHT
MARILYN
2.21
Brockdale
USA
1.8
~1.89
6
BROOKS
RANDY
HUGH &
15
ZADOROZNY
DANIEL &
4
7B
7A
MATHEW
JOBY &
5.23
D R HORTON
- TEXAS LTD
34.06
D R HORTON
- TEXAS LTD
15.4
BASS
JUDY
5
*Analysis per Collin County Appraisal Data
41
Undeveloped Parcels Larger than One GIS Acre in Lovejoy I.S.D.
*Analysis based on Appriasal District Data PU
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
6
6
6
6
2A
2A
2A
2A
2B
2B
2B
2B
2B
2B
2B
2B
3A
3A
3A
3A
3A
3E
3E
3E
3E
3E
4A
4A
4A
4A
4A
4A
4A
4A
4A
4A
4B
4B
4B
4B
4B
4C
4C
4C
4C
4C
4C
4C
4C
4C
4D
4D
4D
4D
4D
4D
4D
Property ID
Owner Name
Property Address
2677299 84 ACRES RED OAK TRAIL LLC
1381 RED OAK TRL FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
2677300 84 ACRES RED OAK TRAIL LLC
RED OAK TRL FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
1074278 BIRMINGHAM FRANKLIN OVID MEMORIAL LAND TRN COUNTRY CLUB RD FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
2666435 DNL ENTERPRISES FAMILY LIMITED PARTNERSHIP T 801 COUNTRY CLUB RD MCKINNEY, TX 75069
1069685 HERITAGE RANCH HOMEOWNERS ASSOC THE
1069630 KOOP DENNIS J
FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
1069621 OTTO DONNA R & RANDOLPH K
2688239 PARKER KELLY D & TAMI J
FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
1069603 REKIETA FAMILY TRUST
SHARON RD FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
1212823 ALLEN CITY OF
ESTATES PKWY LUCAS, TX 75002
1549943 ALLEN ISD
COUNTY ROAD 262 LUCAS, TX 75002
2150325 BARRATT MARK & CAROL
725 COUNTRY CLUB RD LUCAS, TX 75002
1549970 COLSTON SARAH JEAN
COUNTRY CLUB RD LUCAS, TX 75002
2708900 DAHLIA ARR LLC
2665863 KAPP PHILLIP M
W LUCAS RD LUCAS, TX 75002
2665865 KAPP PHILLIP M
W LUCAS RD/FM 1378 TX
1218024 LOVEJOY ISD
1531 ESTATES PKWY LUCAS, TX 75002
1549916 LOVEJOY ISD
FM 2170 LUCAS, TX 75002
2122015 LOVEJOY ISD
ESTATES PKWY LUCAS, TX 75002
1218097 LUCAS CITY OF
2137971 MALIK JAVED
2150297 SANCHEZ SANTOS
2682337 BROOKS RANDY HUGH &
STINSON RD LUCAS, TX 75002
1213010 D R HORTON ‐ TEXAS LTD
2642208 D R HORTON ‐ TEXAS LTD
2511066 MATHEW JOBY &
LUCAS, TX 75002
2666922 DAHL PARTNERS LTD
FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
2692605 FIELD JOEL M & KIMBERLA
FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
1074330 PEZZULLI MICHAEL &
840 COUNTRY CLUB RD FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
2666162 RITCHIE KEVIN J & CYNTHIA L
COUNTY ROAD 269/HART RD FAIRVIEW, TX 750
2649034 FAIRVIEW TOWN OF
FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
2696011 HICKEY PATRICK
HART RD FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
1074991 KING JOE BARTON & KAY D
FM 1378 FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
2000696 KING JOE BARTON & KAY D
COUNTRY CLB FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
1584360 PBV PROPERTIES LLC
2114086 PBV PROPERTIES LLC
2629595 STAPLETON ENTERPRISES INC
FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
2019367 TARKINGTON WILLIAM ROSS
FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
2684989 BAILEY DOYLE R & BOBBY R
FM 2786 ALLEN, TX 75002
1211478 IMMANUEL LUTHERAN CHURCH OF ALLEN
COUNTRY CLUB RD FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
2516971 WROTEN JOHN W ETUX
FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
1075721 WROTEN JOHN W JR & LEAHRAY
OLD STACEY RD FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
1075712 WROTEN JOHN W JR ETUX
OLD STACEY RD FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
MALONE RD ALLEN, TX
ANGEL PKWY ALLEN, TX 75002
ALLEN, TX 75002
2529844 AUBURN SPRINGS HOA
ALLEN, TX 75002
2557686 J R & R ALLEN PART
LUCAS, TX
1210718 ABDALLA HUSSEIN &
1301 STACY RD FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
1058214 CAMPBELL COLLEEN CRAWFORD & BRAYTON
STACY RD FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
1069738 HARPER LANDING DEVELOPMENT LLC
FM 1378 FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
STACY RD TX
2565696 HERITAGE HOMEOWNERS ASSOCIATION
FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
2510974 STAPLETON WILLIAM G
FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
2518558 STAPLETON WILLIAM G
FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
2572147 WILLIS JERRY F & SHERON E
FITZHUGH MILL RD MCKINNEY, TX 75069
2572148 WILLIS JERRY FRANCES &
2684134 BASS DONALD W & DIANA M
1120 W FOREST GROVE RD LUCAS, TX 75002
1213298 CARMICKLE BILL
1213234 CARMICKLE WILLIAM T & DONNA
1213378 ELKINS ROGER KENT
2815 COUNTY ROAD 321 LUCAS, TX 75002
2719032 PAUL TAYLOR HOMES LIMITED
BAUER CT LUCAS, TX 75002
2564165 BENNETT MICHAEL
LUCAS, TX 75002
1549747 BEVINS DAVID W & LIDONNA M
LUCAS, TX 75002
2712996 BEVINS MIKE
LUCAS, TX 75002
2509992 GARRETT DANIEL RYAN
1211227 GERBER MARK & JENNIFER
34 GRAHAM LN LUCAS, TX 75002
2509991 MOLINA EVELYN L
COUNTRY CLB LUCAS, TX 75002
2703990 ROGERS SCOTT ALLEN & MARIFRANCES KELLY & 1117 KENZIE LN LUCAS, TX 75002
1549612 TULLIUS CHRISTIAN PAUL &
2703989 WATSON RYAN & ALICIA
1109 KENZIE LN LUCAS, TX 75002
2711894 BDM DEVELOPERS BLONDY JHUNE PHASE 1 LLC
2085789 FOWLER LIVING TRUST
2543103 FOWLER LIVING TRUST
LUCAS, TX 75002
1212690 HENDRICK H WAYNE
LUCAS, TX 75002
LUCAS, TX 75002
2678608 HENDRICK TERRY A & ELIZABETH A
W BLONDY JHUNE RD LUCAS, TX 75002
Legal GIS Acres Acres State Code
20.0 18.9 Rural Non‐Ag Land
26.1 26.2 Farm & Ranch Imprvs on Qualified Ag Land
5.0
7.7 HOA/Common Area
15.1 14.4 Qualified Open‐Space Ag Land
9.9
10.6 Rural Non‐Ag Land
4.0
3.2 Govt Owned City
4.0
3.5 Govt Owned ISD
1.5
1.9 Vacant Residential Lots In City Under 5 Acres
1.7
3.9
7.5
4.3 Qualified Open‐Space Ag Land
3.2
2.9 Govt Owned ISD
4.9
5.3 Govt Owned ISD
10.0 10.2 Govt Owned ISD
3.0
2.9 Govt Owned City
2.5
2.4 Farm And Ranch Other Improvements
1.5
1.7 Residential Single Family
5.2
6.0
1.1
2.1
2.1 Govt Owned City
1.5
5.2
3.5
4.0
8.8
1.1
2.4
0.8
1.2 Church
4.0
7.4
8.3
2.1
2.0 Govt Owned City
2.5
2.5 Govt Owned City
8.7
8.7 Govt Owned City
3.8
3.8 HOA/Common Area
3.6
3.3 Vacant Commercial Lots In City Under 5 Acres
5.0
3.1
9.9
11.3 Real Farm & Ranch Single Family
1.7
1.7 HOA/Common Area
2.3
1.4
2.9
2.4
2.7
2.2
1.6
1.5 Residential Manufactured Home (Own Land)
1.0
6.6
7.0 Farm & Ranch Imprvs on Qualified Ag Land
2.0
4.0
1.7
4.0
4.7
1.0
2.0
3.8
6.2
5.7
8.4
4.8
Market Value
$200,000
$640,000
$284,446
$835,508
$1,000
$528,500
$99,250
$239,209
$216,525
$198,500
$158,760
$90,300
$68,000
$236,040
$1,140,600
$373,500
$216,000
$196,800
$677,700
$179,760
$154,947
$98,578
$525,000
$783,403
$354,108
$235,215
$1,081,990
$390,000
$37,423
$1,274,910
$197,450
$50,000
$258,750
$177,250
$257,400
$574,275
$1,681,941
$65,100
$95,084
$58,310
$199,800
$369,650
$414,930
$113,630
$75,960
$261,270
$1,000
$238,092
$500,300
$1,610,780
$22,950
$362,550
$737,850
$1,000
$117,100
$67,500
$519,118
$36,290
$149,494
$108,765
$122,670
$97,280
$0
$70,000
$301,122
$140,000
$209,802
$87,000
$198,700
$213,300
$57,987
$100,600
$595,080
$152,800
$278,100
$254,700
$378,000
$624,040
$191,400
42
Undeveloped Parcels Larger than One GIS Acre in Lovejoy I.S.D.
*Analysis based on Appriasal District Data PU
4D
4D
4D
4D
4D
4D
4E
4E
4E
4E
4E
4E
4E
4E
4E
4E
4E
4E
4E
4E
4E
4E
4E
4E
4E
4E
4E
4E
4F
4F
4F
4F
4F
4F
4F
4F
4F
4F
4F
4F
4F
4F
4F
4F
4F
4F
4G
4G
4H
4J
4L
4L
4L
7A
7A
7A
7A
7A
7A
7A
7A
7A
7B
7B
7B
7B
7B
7B
7B
7B
7B
7B
Property ID
Owner Name
Property Address
2143875 MCRAE JAMIE LIN
LUCAS, TX 75002
2635637 PATTERSON JAMES & MICHELLE MARIE
2635636 SCALF WALLACE JR
2002280 SCHWARZENBACH FAMILY LIVING TR
2678539 WILSON JANA H & RAYMOND P
2002277 XU ZAHO
2717395 BURTON JENNIFER D & JOSH A
2706466 EDWARDS J RANDAL & LEAH
17 MANOR LN LUCAS, TX 75002
1213653 HENDRICK H WAYNE &
1213644 HENDRICK LIVING TRUST
815 W BLONDY JHUNE RD LUCAS, TX 75002
1213626 KERICO TED & RUTH
725 W BLONDY JHUNE RD LUCAS, TX 75002
1070968 KIMBERLIN GARY D & DEBBIE J
970 WINNINGKOFF RD LUCAS, TX 75002
2027623 LARSEN BRANDON &
LUCAS, TX 75002
1213984 LEACH JOSEPH & IMA JEAN
2509350 LEACH JOSEPH P & IMA JEAN
LUCAS, TX 75002
2506021 LOVEJOY ISD
MARY LEE LN LUCAS, TX 75002
2055862 LUCAS CITY OF
MARY LEE LN 'ROW'LUCAS, TX 75002
1206705 NELSON JAMES E
2064860 OSBURN DAVID
LUCAS, TX 75002
2059017 TAYLOR KEITH LLOYD
2671555 TAYLOR TIMOTHY W
2556852 TOKALAUN PARK & ESTUARY
BLONDY JHUNE RD LUCAS, TX 75002
1206750 VEITCH DANIEL & KERRI
1583655 WENDY FARMS LLC
N OF WENDY LN LUCAS, TX 75002
WENDY LN LUCAS, TX 75002
2675405 WHALEN DEBORAH G &
LUCAS, TX 75002
2718675 ABERNATHY JON TODD &
220 N LOST VALLEY RD LUCAS, TX 75002
1209757 ADAMS THOMAS S
105 LOST (FM 3286) VLY LUCAS, TX 75002
2556570 BARTEL TONY & DENISE
WINNINGKOFF RD LUCAS, TX 75002
1998024 BLEVINS FAMILY LIVING TRUST
CHRISTIAN LN LUCAS, TX 75002
2074631 BLEVINS FAMILY LIVING TRUST
LUCAS, TX 75002
2120474 BOURGEOIS STEVEN R & DEBBIE G
2014946 CHURCHILL MICHAEL W &
2695363 CLASSIC COUNTRY LAND LLC
E LUCAS RD LUCAS, TX 75002
1976550 FULLER GEORGIA GRAY & HAROLD G
LAKEVIEW DR LUCAS, TX 75002
1217533 HEITMANN PATRICIA A
305 ESTELLE LN LUCAS, TX 75002
1210077 MAYFIELD JOHN A ‐ LE
LAKEVIEW DR LUCAS, TX 75002
1210549 MCDONALD MARK A & JUDY D
1217515 MEYEROWITZ ROBERT IAN J & JOY ANN
COUNTY ROAD 306 LUCAS, TX 75002
1210157 PAXTON DANIEL W & KRISTIN K
1210530 PAXTON DANIEL W & KRISTIN K
955 CHRISTIAN LN LUCAS, TX 75002
1849922 TUZER TANJU & PAT
2046799 TUZER TANJU & PATRICIA
1210497 USA
N OF CHRISTIAN LN LUCAS, TX 75002
2699825 SHARMA ADITYA &
1211272 TODD & JAN HOLDINGS LTD
2658315 TOLL DALLAS TX LLC
FAIRVIEW, TX 75069
2124259 HOEFER LOUIS T
W FOREST GROVE RD LUCAS, TX 75002
2136180 ASHFOUR AMIN
FM 1378 LUCAS, TX 75002
2144012 FITZHUGH CEMETERY ASSOC
LUCAS, TX 75002
2144013 FOREST GROVE CHRISTIAN CHURCH OF COLLIN COUCOUNTRY CLUB RD LUCAS, TX 75002
2054817 ANDERSON JUDITH
425 STINSON RD LUCAS, TX 75002
2602719 BASS JUDY
LUCAS, TX 75002
2665871 BEDELL W G & GIBSON GUS JR
W LUCAS RD LUCAS, TX 75002
1214509 BURDESS ESTHER M &
2704534 CADG LEWIS PARK LLC
SOUTHVIEW DR LUCAS, TX 75002
2644303 KOERNER CHRISTOPHER &
685 W LUCAS RD LUCAS, TX 75002
2704216 LAFON JOANN BAILEY &
55 W LUCAS RD LUCAS, TX 75002
2152483 THOMPSON WILLIAM S III
13168 ZADOROZNY DANIEL &
2519607 BOATRIGHT MARILYN
BROCKDALE PARK RD LUCAS, TX 75002
1210308 CHURCHILL MICHAEL W & CHRISTINE L
BROCKDALE PARK RD LUCAS, TX 75002
2152087 ODEN JOHN P JR
145 BROCKDALE PARK LUCAS, TX 75002
2152086 ODEN RICHARD TODD
155 BROCKDALE PARK LUCAS, TX 75002
1209775 PHARR LIVING TRUST
215 SOUTHVIEW (FM 1378) DR LUCAS, TX 7500
FM 3286 LUCAS, TX 75002
3 CAREY LN LUCAS, TX 75002
FM 1378 /FM 3286 LUCAS, TX 75002
1210433 U S A
LUCAS, TX 75002
1210013 USA
LUCAS, TX 75002
Legal GIS Acres Acres State Code
4.0
1.3
2.9
4.8
2.0
3.8
3.0
34.9 34.9 Real Farm & Ranch Single Family
7.1
1.7
2.7
4.4
5.0 Real Farm & Ranch Single Family
3.3
5.1
18.5 18.2 Govt Owned ISD
1.5
1.5 Govt Owned City
12.0 11.6 Vacant Residential Lots In City Under 5 Acres
9.0
1.1
6.4
2.2
2.2 HOA/Common Area
2.3
10.0 10.2 Farm And Ranch Other Improvements
8.5
2.5
3.2
4.6
4.0
3.2
2.0
3.4
6.0
14.5 14.7 Real Farm & Ranch Single Family
4.0
5.0
8.9
2.3
5.0
2.0
2.4
3.0
5.9
4.0
3.3 Govt Owned Federal
3.0
7.8
8.6
6.8
5.2
5.5 Cemetary
2.8
2.1 Church
7.9
5.0
0.9
2.1
1.7
4.0
2.2
4.6
1.3
1.3 Vacant Commercial Lots In City Under 5 Acres
1.3
1.3 Real Commercial
1.0
4.9
2.0
3.7
14.9 12.3 Govt Owned Federal
1.8
1.9 Govt Owned Federal
Market Value
$160,000
$87,500
$474,255
$114,000
$191,440
$109,582
$151,440
$167,255
$1,403,433
$284,000
$50,671
$80,850
$315,122
$183,645
$897,810
$356,090
$832,086
$61,520
$495,000
$450,000
$55,650
$287,325
$1,000
$127,600
$650,917
$550,615
$661,960
$99,400
$0
$205,592
$158,400
$198,841
$120,000
$172,000
$358,572
$584,573
$278,670
$225,000
$536,726
$157,500
$275,000
$140,000
$170,100
$180,000
$352,296
$8,000
$149,600
$392,000
$3,899,805
$343,840
$368,191
$258,900
$141,100
$441,103
$175,000
$906,440
$43,635
$1,821,800
$81,320
$148,402
$720,000
$240,000
$74,588
$208,830
$62,500
$68,068
$63,103
$171,290
$70,000
$128,450
$44,640
$3,600
43
Owner Changes
Lovejoy I.S.D.
Map Layers
District Boundary
Planning Units
'10 MCC SERENITY LTD
'12 SERENITY-LOVEJOY LTD
~9.78
Streets
'12 LONE STAR COUNCIL OF
'15 SEAL WILLIAM & KATHLEEN SEAL &
6.53
ry
'12 TREECON PROPERTY LLC
Cl
2A
ub
'15 84 ACRES RED OAK TRAIL LLC
Rd
64
'10 REED RICHARD
&
CAROL
REED
Hart Road
'12 PBV PROPERTIES LLC
Red Oak
Trl
8.84
'10 WATKINS BENNY V &
20
'12 M CHRISTOPHER INVESTMENTS LLC 2011
'10 COWAN LYNN M
7.07
1
'12 BENNO MARK S & ELIZABETH K &
2B
27.61
un
Stoddard Rd
Co
Owner Change 12/12 to 8/15
t
al
r
O ak
wo
od
Trl
323
u stang
'12 TAYLOR SLOAN M & AFTON A
'15 HUGHES GREGORY F &
4.93
4A
CR
'12 HOEMKE CARL
'15 LANMAN AARON J & NICOLE L
12.02
7
31
B
Stacy Rd
lv d
FM 1378
3A
3B
Heritag
e
'12 1161 STACY ROAD LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
'12 II-SMOKEY STOVER LAND &
'15 STAPLETON ENTERPRISES INC
'15 TOLL DALLAS TX LLC
111.42
Old Stacy Rd 16.28
'12 HEAD FAMILY LIVING TRUST
Stacy Road
'15 ABDALLA
HUSSEIN &
4H
4.98
6
4I
4K
ott Rd
esc
Pr
Malone Rd
ad
M
D
Par
kd
Re
ro
o
in
Ca m
ty
un
Co
ale
Dr
Owner Change 10/10 to 12/12
'10 SPAULDING BERNARD
St B
on e Hinge D r LP
'12 SCARBOROUGH FOREST RIDGE DEVELOPMENT
18.04
3C
3D
Wolf C reek Dr
try B rook Ln
un
Forest G
ro v
e Es
t ates Rd
'12 KRBE LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
4L
'15 CLARO COMMUNICATIONS LTD
5.72
'12 EVERSOLE JOHN & KATHERINE 4B
Forest Grove Rd
'15 CLAY TIMOTHY &
4J
6.07
Forest Grove Rd.
'10 MCCOLLUM CHARLES R & DEBORAH L
4G
'12 BRYANT JOHN & KRISTY PIKE-BRYANT
7.43
M
kR
i dge Rd
3E
CR 321
Co
y
ar
Lee L n
Roc
4D
Co
t
un
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'12 PEAY MICHAEL D & AIMEE L
'15 VAN HOOSER LANCE B & LISA
2
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Creekwood
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'12 PHILLIPS WILLIAM BLIII
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Estates
ity
2
Lim
MEEHLHAUSE LUKEN
USA
it
MARK G &
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17.5
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2
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Wendy Lane
Estates
LEACH JOSEPH
& IMA JEAN
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SC
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2.84
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2
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Farms"
'12 TENAGRA FARMS LIMITED PARTNERSHIP LEACH JOSEPH
P & IMA JEAN
'15 WENDY FARMS LLC
Tara
5.09
8.47
HAMILTON DR
5
Park
MALA
PECAN GROVE CIR
E
Lucas, City Limit
'12 CANNON DAVID JOHN
'15 WILLIAMS KARL
4.21
'12 BAILEY JEFF M ETUX
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CLARKE
JONI M
1.44
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Estates
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ALLEN
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3.97
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FM 2514
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Willow
1.7
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Creek
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3.29
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OK DR
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Estates
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4.52
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1.5
3
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WATSON RYAN
& ALICIA
2.01
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VENTURES LTD
MUAINA
18.86
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2
LUCASALLEN RD
2170
CITY OF
2.36
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Estates
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LIVING TRUST
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KEITH L
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1.89
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LUCAS
AMBER
JOANNE
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2.58
4.87
NE
1.54
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L
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Likely SF
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Creek
Acres
1.66
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4.74
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DON
LARRY VERNON &
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KARL
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7.1
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A
4C
SADDLEBRO
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- FM
Parkway
Estates
3.77
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SKYVIEW
8
FM 137
Lucas, City Limit
DUSKEY
SHIRLEY A
4
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Robertson
Addition
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DEBORAH ANN
3.99
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Estates
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WAYNE
5.66
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Existing
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Rimrock
Kingswood
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H
Developing
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SN
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Country
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Rock Creek
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FAMILY LIVING TR
2.69
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Creek
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VALLE
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2
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MIKE
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A
1
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21.6
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& CAROL
14.09
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'12 GABBERT ROBERT A
ROBYN OUBRE
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8.76
2.43
USA
4
4F
USA
23.9
USA
16
USA
17
USA
16
46
0
0.125
0.25
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DARTON DR
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'10 LOVEJOY LAND LTD
'12 GARCIA RACHEL N
1
'12 PAUL TAYLOR HOMES LIMITED
'15 WIESE CHRISTOPHER K & BARBARA L
2
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E & GLENDA S
12.39
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3.22
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Creek
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CA
LU
Developing
Existing
Mobile Home Comm.
Planned
Likely SF
USA
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USA
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da
Woodmoor
McCollum
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le Park Rd
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WOO
C
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BRIAN
L ETUX
2
USA
1.8
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~5.59
SCHWAB ROBERT
BECK PATRICIA
& KARIN
HARDIN TRUST
23.64
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26.51
IR
Other Land Use
USA
7B
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BOATRIGHT
MARILYN
NEALE
2
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Park
Landmarks
LISD Facilities
School, Existing
USA
38.3
USA
School, Future
~88.09
USA
6.4
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IS
43.68
S
L
TR
LA
G
Single Family
USA
14.88
USA
18.48
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BROOKHAVEN DR
500 Year
USA
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100 Year
USA
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LA
Stinson Road
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RD
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Country
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JOHNSON JAMES
3.03
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USA
3.72
37.5
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TODD
1.25
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6
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Floodplain
Lucas Road
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1.7
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JOHN A
3.98
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8.93
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'12 STEWART DANIEL M & ALYCE K
6.98
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CROSSWHITE
LAND LLC
CALVIN
CRAIG
14.45
8.21
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86
'15 CLASSIC COUNTRY LAND LLC
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18
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M
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TRUST
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REGINA L
1
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'15 QUALLS RUSSELL W & MARJORIE N
2.66
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TRUST
1.5
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3.67
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PHARR
Cook
Rockland
LIVING TRUST
GIBSON GUS JR
Country
CAREY
LN
2
Farms
22.66
DARLING PAULINE M
'12 ROCKLAND FARMS LTD
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STINSON RD
'12 DEJONG GREGG A & JOHN
'15 OLSEN ARNOLD J & BREE T BLAKELY
2.59
'15
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JUDITH
2
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7.86
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The Estates
1.5
ART
'12 PYEATT DANIEL & AMY
HUCamden
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of
R CT
1.03
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'15 PARENT LARRY W
2.05
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2
'12 HILTON JAMES & CORIENE FAM TRST
'12
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FARMS
LTD
'12
ROCKLAND
FARMS
LTD
~1.89
Lucas, ETJ
'15 SNOWDEN NORMAN &
'15
TORRES
RENATO
'15 EMPEY COLBY & LORI '15 THOMISEE DAMON &
TREJO
1.5
3
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2
2
LUCIO
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3.52
SANTIAGO TRL
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'15 VARGAS ALEX & MIRTA
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DANIEL &
DANIEL &
2
CHARLES C
4
5.95
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8.19
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EKLUND
2
HENDRIX CHRIS
SANTOS
ROBERT H
Estates atBEE CAVES RD
RIVA RIDGE
J & LAURA B
CONNOR LN
'12 RIGGINS JOHN L & GINGER F RIGGINS
BROOKS BROOKS
2.99
8.49
Austin
7.34
'15 KELLEN CHRIS W &
RANDY
RANDY
Trail
PRUETT
JAMES
3.11
HUGH & HUGH &
A ETUX LISA
'12 RUTLEDGE CHARLES R
15
HENDRIX CHRIS
The Commons
2
11.04
'15 CARVER JOHN M & ERICA TATE
J & LAURA B
O of Camden
OD W
3.71
Belmont
1
WILSON SHAWN
AY
Seis
Park
'12 TADDIKEN JOHN P & MARY B
ERIC &
'10 HAHN O G JR
Hill
Lucas,
Lagos
'15 MATHEW JOBY
& City Limit
12.59
'12 STUBING RICHARD S & ALISON N
V IS
Country
5.23
3.5
BROWN
HICKORY HILL ST
Estates
JERRY ANN
'10 HAMILTON JOHN R & NATASHA D
8.5
LUCAS REAL
'12 CARRASCO JESUS
'12 KEN LEWIS 2005 TRUST
ESTATE LLC
3.51
'10 WELLS FARGO BANK NATIONAL ASSOCIATION
'15 CADG LEWIS PARK LLC
~1.99
'12 LOOP STEVEN G & LINDA C
'12 D R HORTON - TEXAS LTD
Bristol
15.06
'15
CROWNOVER
ALICIA
&
ROD
'12 SHINEDLING EDWARD A & LINDA A
34.06
Stinson
Park I
3.52
LUCAS REAL
'15 ATHEY JOE STEVEN &
Lewis
Highlands
ESTATE LLC
11.86
Park
LUCAS REAL
Ph. III
MCCH
~1.76
KENNEDY R EARL
INDUSTRIES LLC ESTATE LLC
LUCAS REAL
BASS
III & VICKY
~2.46
~2.39
ESTATE LLC
JUDY
DAVIS
BROOKSHIRE 2.53
MCCH
~1.57
ELLIS
5
ROGER L
KRISTI & ROY JR Brookhaven
INDUSTRIES LLC
VENITA
1
3.04
~2.62
14
Ranch
LUCAS REAL
LUCAS REAL
Lucas, City Limit
Estates
CADG LEWIS
ESTATE LLC
CADG LEWIS
ESTATE LLC
PARK LLC
~1.73
PARK LLC
MCCH
~2.17
9.37
36.44
INDUSTRIES LLC
ECKEL
~1.44
NATHAN &
2.5
LUCAS RD
CAROL
4
Rollingwood
TINCH FRED E
'10 MANNEWITZ WILLIAM B
ETUX LINDA C'12 SOONER RANCH PROPERTIES LLC
2.01
D
17.2
Lucas
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CAROLAND
BLOOM ST DANNY R &
B ro
SWEELY
ROBERT E
'12 BAILEY-PATTERSON LLC
~1.69
'15 BOUSSEL ENTERPRISES LLC
COUNTRY CLUB RD
LUCAS RD
Road W.
Lucas ~1.62
'12 LUCAS BAPTIST CHURCH
'15 ALLEN FAMILY OF FAITH CHURCH
LUCAS CHRISTIAN
1.84
CHURCH
'12 BURDESS ROBERT EUGENE
6.23
'12 RCW VANHORN LLC '15 KOERNER CHRISTOPHER &
2.14
Willow
'15 BWCW INVESTMENTS LLC
LUCAS CHRISTIAN
2.02
Springs
ACADEMY INC
Middle '12 WHITE NEVA JOY & BOBBY RAY
15.88
'15 ANDERSON RUPERT BRYAN & ANJOHNETTE
2.5
BEDELL W G &
'12 CHECKMATE INTERESTS LLC
'15 SAVINO LEANDRO MARCUS &
23.69
Choice
Acres
ROLLIN
Lucas, ETJ
Lucas, ETJ
KAPP
PHILLIP M
22.81
WALKER LN
Holly
Lane
'10 BLAYLOCK CHARLES C
'12 FRIESLAND T CRAIG & MISTI L
HOLT DAVID &
1.15
KRISTIN FAUTECK
HAYDEN LN
~1.01
'15 JOHNSON DONNA & DONALD
2
CT
MALA
HUNT DR
SPURGIN RD
Country Club Rd
1.12
Edgewood
Estates
'15 HEBERT CORY & KRISTIN
2
Trailside
'10 PAUL TAYLOR HOMES LIMITED
LNSKELTON DALE & TINA
POOL '12
Cimarron
Lucas, City Limit
USA
46.5
it
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LIU
YONGQIAN & ESTATE INC
2
2
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BODLE
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Lovejoy
'12 MENDRYGAL NIKOLAS M & DANA
'15 CHILDERS JOHN REESE
1.03
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5.95
& DENISE
HUGHES
3.96
GREGORY F
& PAULA L
BARTEL TONY
2
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11.38
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Hart
Elementary
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ROBERT IAN
J & JOY ANN KIRGIS CHARLES
W & ESTELLE
5
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CR
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Allen, ETJ
USA
16
as , C
ASBURY LN
& PAT
3
TUZER TANJU
CHURCHILL & PATRICIA
5.87
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Allen, City Limit
L uc
'12 PAUL TAYLOR
Estelle
HOMES LIMITED
Lane
'15 BOARDMAN CRAIG & JULIE
1
HOLLY LN
LISD
Transportation
Municipalities
USA
23.9
Lucas, City Limit
WENDY LN
Wendy Lane
Estates
CHOICE LN
LUCAS
CITY OF
7.21
LONG RD
1.98
USA
49.3
USA
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5
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ROBYN OUBRE
'12 DOWNING RICHARD E
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'15 PAXTON DANIEL W & KRISTIN K
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4.95
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17
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BOURGEOIS STEVEN
BLEVINS '15 PAXTON DANIEL W & KRISTIN K LAURIE
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R & DEBBIE G
2.75
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2
MARK
Pecan LP"
6.73
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Chri stian
2.14
CHRISTIA
TRUST
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1
TUZER TANJU
DANBURY CT
Saddlebrook '12 KRUCHKO MYKOLA & HANNA
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A
1
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4.7
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N
O
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A
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4E
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Hills
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M
Willow
Creek
CREEK VIEW LN
BRIARDALE D
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Planning Units
Creekwood
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2
NELSON
JAMES E
12
GLEASON
'12 MARTINO MONICA
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2.54
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'10 STRONG REVOCABLE LIVING TRUST DANIEL L
'12 DEVINNY TAMMY
2.02
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SANDY L
4
'12 VONFELDT BRYAN L & NANCY
'15 WHITTINGTON MATT K & FRANCES E
2.11
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MA
'12 COATS DARRELL & CATHERINE
NO
~1.99
R
'15 LARSEN BRANDON & CIR
3.34
'15 ELLIOTT JOHN T & SUSAN
OSBURN
2
RAMSAY
DR
DAVID
SHULL MICHAEL
9
TRAVIS
DR
DAHLIA
ARR LLC
3.93
DUVAL
NICOLE A
4.52
'10 MYERS KENNETH JOHN
'12 SANCHEZ SANTOS
1.5
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22.79
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'10 SCHNEIDER BARRY D &
MEEHLHAUSE
'12 PHILLIPS WILLIAM B III &
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2
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LUKEN
WILLIAM ROY PATRICIA DIANE TONY
3
2.16
2
lo
HAMILTON DR
SADDLEBR
Lucas, City Limit
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COLSTON
SARAH JEAN
1.7
OOK DR
LISD
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CITY OF
3.97
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29.93
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nd
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F M 25
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'12 GILBERT TIM PIERCE
'15 VALENZUELA CURTIS A &
2
'12 SALLER DON H
BELDEN
'15 HOLMAN JON L &
STEVEN W &
2.41IDER LN
MICHELE M
SN
USA
2
4.8
McMillen
Estates
'12 TENAGRA FARMS LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
'15 WENDY FARMS LLC
8.47
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Lynne Ln
Glenbrook
Estates
LUCAS
CITY OF
2.36
GLENBROOK CIR
4C
LYNNE LN
WATSON RYAN
& ALICIA
2.01
ESTATES LUCAS
VENTURES LTD
MUAINA
18.86
NATHAN &
2
HENDRICK
H WAYNE
34.92
d.
BEVER L
AFSETH DANIEL LEE
& LANA LOUISE
11.94
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4.78
8
F M 137
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3
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STINSON RD
DUSKEY
SHIRLEY
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Rimrock
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MARIFRANCES KELLY &
4.74
Tokalaun Park
'12 JANECEK JASON LYLE
& Estuary
'15 KERICO TED & RUTH
2.7
'12 BAILEY JEFF M ETUX
'15 WENDY FARMS LLC
10
'12 BRAND PATRICK R &
'15 WILLIAMS KARL
14.56
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HENDRICK TERRY A
4D
Sky View
Estates
Kingswood
Estates
Country Club Dr.
Lemontree
Country
CITRUS WAY
Estates
[
0.5
Miles
Lovejoy I.S.D. - South
47
P r o j e c t e d Ne w H o u s i n g O c c u p a n c i e s
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Planning Units
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Red Oak
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51
Co
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Planning Units
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17
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Cl
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166
Brockdale
7B
49
Map Layers
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77
Co
Stoddard Rd
Planning Units
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21
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11
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17
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Lucas Road W.
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0.5
6
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Co
Stoddard Rd
Planning Units
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38
128
t
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Cl
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Rd
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1
Hart Road
Red Oak
11 - 20
Trl
21 - 35
al
Trl
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77
4A
CR
7
31
26
B
Stacy Rd
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62
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Pr
Malone Rd
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38
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3
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26
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42
Forest Grove Rd
4B
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CR 321
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Estelle Lane
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0.5
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Stinson Road
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70
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214
Brockdale
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Build-out Post 2025
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15
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Stoddard Rd
Planning Units
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10
0-4
1
t
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2A
Cl
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Hart Road
Red Oak
11 - 20
Trl
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31
8
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FM 1378
3A
Old Stacy Rd
21
Stacy Road
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Pr
Malone Rd
4H
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1
4K
4I
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7
St
3C
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11
4L
Forest Gr
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Forest Grove Rd
4B
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Blon dy J
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4C
4
44
4E
Winningkoff Rd.
25
Estelle Lane
5
Lucas Road W.
0
0.25
[
0.5
6
1
Miles
Stinson Road
16
31
7A
Lewis Lane
Lu
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4F
Lucas Road E. -
FM
8
32
6
2Brockdale
7B
52
53
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
11
0
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
(students per home):
0.88
2
0
0
4
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
2015 Ratios
3
0
~5 ac. N. on Country Club Rd. & adj. to Heard Natural Science Museum
11 SF lots total
Nov. 2015: 0 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 2 UC & 8 dev'ed lots LTBO;
builder: Drees Custom Homes
2013: will likely dev. in 10 SF lots now annexed into City of McKinney,
and not likely to try to develop any higher density subdivision
155.7 + 13.8 +9.9+ 9.9 +89.6 ac.
(Jan. 2013: known to be very concerned, &
challenge any dev. of adj. property owners
adj. land uses, so unlikely to sell any of
their parcels or any part of these parcels
for SF development);
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
Single Family
Developing
McKinney
Nature Place
Heard Natural Science Museum
Park
Existing
McKinney
1
1
Single Family
Future
McKinney
1
0.88
64
63
1
20
17
12
9
5
1
0
0
0
0
Nov. 2015: DNL Family Enterprises has
~27 ac., which was owned by Charles
Douglas -- can expect future likely SF &
perhaps townhome development in the City
of McKinney -- no flood plain
(at times, there has been an interest in
senior multi-family housing)
Projected New Housing Occupancies
by Planning Unit and Subdivision
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
1.15
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Serenity=59 + 2 ac. -- was McKinney C.C. & Golf Course
Nov. 2015: built out;
2013: 34 Occ'ed, 11 Avail., 10 UC & 19 dev'ed lots LTBO;
builders: Drees Homes & Huntington Homes
Oct. 2010: 2 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC & 72 dev'ed lots LTBO;
2008: 74 lots w/infrastructure underway
Single Family
Existing
McKinney
Serenity
1
54
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
0.11
1
0
0.95
0
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
2015 Ratios
0
0
Nov. 2015: 2 undev'ed lots remain
older subdivision
Jan. 2013: has 1 lot left
NE of Country Club Rd. on curve;
Jan. 2013: built out
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Woods of Ascot Heath
Ascot Heath
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Nov. 2015: built out
the 1 remaining lot is owned
by adjacent owner;
Jan. 2013: 1 dev'ed lot LTBO;
w/1 lot newly purchased &
and 2 of 6 total lots remaining,
but likely double lots
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Red Oak Ranch
1
0.68
3
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2013: (7 lots remaining)
smaller lots and encompass
the streets of Camino Real,
Alto Vista, Meandro Rd., &
Arroyo Blanco;
Nov. 2015: only 3 dev'ed lots
remain & 1 UC;
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Montecito
1
Single Family
Future
Fairview
1
0.82
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
Donna and Randolph Otto
have 9.93 ac.
totally in flood plain
by Wilson Creek &
N. of Country Club Estates;
potential to build up pads
for 1-2 homes
1
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.82
11
1
10
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
3
1
2013: 1/2 to 2/3 of this parcel might develop at a
later date; now plans for keeping tract native; the
back ~1/9 is in flood plain; this parcel is in City of
McKinney and thus potential for higher density;
Birmingham Franklin Ovid Memorial Land Trust (was Betty Holcomb)
Nov. 2015: is putting in streets & infrastructure for 11 lots on 16.5 ac.;
builder: Tim Jackson Custom Homes
Single Family
Future
McKinney ETJ
Three Oaks
1
55
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
0.76
1
0
0.82
0
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
2015 Ratios
0
0
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
Built-out
Collin CAD suggested 3 lots
remain, but likely double
lots for some subset of the
unused lots;
Kathleen & William Seal (was
Lone Star Council) 6.5 ac.
access via other parcel with
gravel rd, but could dev.
1-3 homes w/approved road
or with undivided "condo" lotshas good views of Wilson Creek
1.25
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Built-out
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Rekietas Hill
Country Club Estates
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
1
1
Single Family
Future
McKinney
1
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
0.88
6
5
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
Rekieta Family Trust=21.78 & 5.1 ac.
could easily dev. this decade, but
limited access off Sharon Rd.
and heavily in flood plain;
2015: likely 2 ac. lots
this parcel is now annexed,
in City of Fairview, but unzoned
[PASA expects up to 6 lots if
zoned over the next five years]
Single Family
Future
Fairview
1
0.88
5
1
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
0
0
Mark Benno 6.5 ac.; Kelly Parker 10 & 11.1 ac.;
Lynn Cowan owned ~27 ac., & then Mark Benno;
access via Meandro Ria, which is in Montecito subd.;
all in flood plain, but portion could be built-up
w/pads for each home & variance allowed through subd.;
Jan. 2013: City suggests only two homes planned;
[Also, Heritage (US home of Texas) was interested
in buying parcel; it is annexed but unzoned &
very low - in flood plain]-PASA suggests 4+ homes
Single Family
Future
Fairview
1
56
0.88
2015-2025
0.59
5
10
0
11
2020-2025
2015 Ratios
0
5
0
11
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
2015-2020
0
0
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
3
5
1
0
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
2
4
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
0
0
2
3
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
6
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
TOTAL:
0
1
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
x
128
77
51
20
17
13
12
15
11
13
12
9
have never been dev'ed
in a subdivision) that
& 9 lots are in PU (and not
& could be re-developed;
in PU were < $100,000
Dennis Koop =15.1 & 6.15 ac.
both just E. off Country
Club & he does not plan for dev.;
2 ac. minimum in the future plan
but could be rezoned
(in City of Fairview)
In 2015, 5 older homesites
1
Nov. 2015: 84 Acres Red Oak Trail has ~84 ac.; Tim Jackson=dev'er;
recently had zoning change from ag. to planned center approved,
impllying mixed use, but will be predominately park land in floodway &
likely later approval of 11 lots w/access off Red Oak & Red Oak Trail;
2013: Paul Tanner lives(d) on site - 84 ac .- majority is in
w/view of Wilson Creek; 2 ac. minimum lot sizes; so later could
have 2-12 new homes if build up pads + FEMA insurance required;
w/access via Country Club Est's;
(was shown as TFF Inc. - Appraisal Dist. maps)
1
Single Family
Future
Fairview
Oak Meadows
1
Single Family
Future
Fairview
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
1.46
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
35 total lots
(S. off Country Club and
N. of Hart)
2008: 34-35 occ'ed
2013: 8 dev'ed lots remain
that may be double lots
and could be split out as
the subdivision ages
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Fairview Meadows
2A
0.8
4
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
kelly owned land for '14 yrs and has
one new home on property;
these four platted lots face Stoddard Rd.
and are about 4 ac. each;
Joel M & Kimberla Field (was Robert Kelly's) 6 ac.
Robert Kelly (16.57 ac.)-zoned into 4 lots;
Single Family
Future
Fairview
2A
57
0
0
1
2
2
2
1
0
1
7
8
0
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
3
6
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
0.87
0
0
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
0.87
0
0
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
2015 Ratios
Dahl Partners has 16.5 ac. zoned for 2 ac. lots
adjacent to Fairview Meadows on E. side &
just N. of Hart; will not likely sell this decade; &
Kevin Ritchie has 16.4 ac. zoned for 1 ac. lots; was
for sale:Ebby Halliday (Wendy Herran-214-263-0005)
(History: Dahl zoned PDD, which could have
townhomes or other medium or high density dev.
but only Dahl was zoned in 2006 as PDD & not others;
Dahl=zoned RE1 in 2007; 2015: City states 2 ac. lots)
Michael & Diane Pezzuli have
6.04 & 6.9 ac. N. off Hart; &
have Fairview Country Day School;
also, adjacent to Hart Elementary;
this parcel might be able to tap into
sewer capacity that is just west
of the elementary school
[PASA expects six 2-ac. lots
or parcels will not dev.]
2A
Single Family
Future
Fairview
2A
0.87
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Brian L Lester (was
Lyle Croft) has
4 ac. with one
homesite
no known plans
zoned as 1-ac. lots
Fairview
2A
2A
0.87
19
10
9
0
0
0
5
5
2
3
4
0
0
B.M. Stoddard owns 30.91 ac.
but 3 ac. lots are allowed via land use;
parcel has been on/off for sale just N.
of Hart and S. of Country Club; rezoning
has been disapproved twice recently;
owner may be in late 60's;
2015: City suggests that there could
perhaps be an approval of 2 ac. lots;
Single Family
Future
Fairview
Single Family
Future
Fairview
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
x
38
21
17
0
1
2
8
10
5
6
5
1
0
TOTAL:
never been developed
not in a subd. That have
there are 4 lots
this PU; and also
redeveloped is in
that could be
under $100,000
Only 1 older homesite
2A
0.73
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Built-out
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Stone Creek Farms
2B
58
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
1.58
0
0
0.42
0
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
2015 Ratios
0
0
24 1-4 ac. lots; 200' lots
just N. off Stone Creek &
entry from Country Club
Rd.; $500,000-$1,100,000
Oct. 2010: built out
150' - 204' lots; also PU 3A
$500-$900 valued homes
and 156 total lots (all sec's)
w/ 9 lots remaining in 2 PU's
some may be double lots
[Reserve at Oakwood
was planned, but now
is Stone Creek Addn.]
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Stone Creek Estates
Oakwood Estates I
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
2B
2B
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
0.87
20
14
6
1
1
4
4
4
3
2
1
0
0
2015: Stapleton Enterprises has 27.97 ac.
between Stone Creek & N. part of Oakwood subd
Land Plan Partners was to dev., and also M. Christopher;
dev. must use the stubbed off streets of one of 2 subd's;
New zoning as of 2007 is RE2; there are 8 other landowners
N. of the Stapleton parcels that are also zoned as 2 ac.
minimum, including Betty Brown w/8 ac.at a much later time &
Pankewicz w/ 5.5 ac. & access to Hart Rd.; these 9 parcels
sum to ~50 ac., so expect ~21 lots, due to fut. street needs
Single Family
Future
Fairview
2B
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Built-out
but homes have been
for sale, so could be
attracting younger
families
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Wynford Chace
2B
0.87
14
13
1
1
3
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
William Tarkington (17.3 ac.)
PBV Properties LLC (8.8 + 4 ac.)
was Richard Reed's acreage;
Osiel & Maria C. Salinas (3.2 ac)
(near sewer)
thesew ill dev. As 2 ac. lots,
but no known plans by City
Single Family
Future
Fairview
2B
59
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
11
1
12
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
0
6
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
1.64
2
2
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
1.44
4
2
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
2015 Ratios
4
1
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Land Plan Property - was Leta Taylor's (69.2 ac.) has 46 large lots
(Tim Jackson - Ventura) (the name represents the previous horse farm)
(sewer is to the northwest)
Nov. 2015: 34 Occ'ed 0 Avail., 4 UC & 8 dev'ed lots LTBO;
builders: Custom Homes of TX, Ron McHam & Jim Jackson Homes
Jan. 2013: 22 Occ'ed 0 Avail., 8 UC & 16 dev'ed lots LTBO;
18 total lots (was Glenn Secondine's 19.95 ac.)
builders: Sam Craft Homes & Cleve Adamson Homes
Jan. 2013: 9 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 2 UC & 6 dev'ed lots LTBO;
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Single Family
Developing
Fairview
Tranquility Farms
Willow Point Estates
Single Family
Developing
Fairview
2B
2B
Single Family
Future
Fairview
2B
0.88
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Michael O'Neill has
6 ac. that might have dev.
w/slight potential for access off
Oakwood Estates subd. lots;
or may access road out of the
School District
As of 2012: Christopher Invest's owns remaining dev'ed lots
2008: clearing now for infrastructure
development; Paul Johnson 214-618-3812
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
1.12
3
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
Nov. 2013: M. Christopher bought ~5 tracts w/
~25 ac. incl. all landowners assembled off FM 1378;
M. Christopher was to dev. 14-15 SF lots
to be 1-2 ac.lots, based on the land use plan;
but, due to flood plain, perhaps just 12 lots
15 total lots
builder: M.Christopher Homes
Single Family
Future
Fairview
Fairview Ranch Estates
2B
60
6
6
5
4
9
8
8
4
2
29
31
60
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
1.12
8
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
2015 Ratios
TOTAL:
0
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
x
have never been developed;
are not in subdivisoins &
and also 8 lots/parcels that
built in the 1950's & 1960's;
and several in this PU were
under $100,000 in this PU
subdivisions are appraised
0.63
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
159 lots; 150-200' lots
2008: 4 lots LTBO
$300-$775 home values
Joe Dean Feagin 2.6 ac (was Jack Lucas')
and Jack Lucas has 8.2 & ac.,and other ac.
& earlier sign had indicated 16 ac. for sale;
Joe King has 1 & 5.2 & 3.5 ac.;
Martha Rasul has 4.39 ac.
the latter in the flood plain;
the tract by Lucas' stable has the City of
Fairview's new water tank; these parcels will be
1-2 ac. lots but flood plain S. of Lucas tract;
6 older homes not in active
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
0.4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5 total lots
on either side of
Old Stacy;
built-out
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Paul's Park
River Oaks
Single Family
Future
Fairview
Name
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
2B
3A
2B
3A
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
38 total lots
170' lots and $455-$1,400
homes; in Fairview
Robert Saco-Vertiz
972-960-0044
214-212-5148 cell
Nov. 2015: Built out
3 unimproved lots (2013)
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Bridlegate
3A
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.93
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
Oct. 2010:built-out; also in
PU 2B; Paul Westbrook
and others still have oversized lots that could
subdivide if double lots;
in both the PU's, there were
9 unimproved lots (2013)
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Oakwood Estates
3A
0.87
10
9
1
3
2
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
John Wroten has 3 parcels
incl. 7.4, 8.3, & 4 ac. that will
not develop this 10 yr. period and that are not now platted;
Wroten=N. off Old Stacy Rd.;
Frank Clark has 2.96 ac.
and Wm. Morgan - 10.21 ac.
that will not be dev'ed in near-term
(City was interested in 3-5 ac. Park)
Single Family
Future
Fairview
3A
61
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
0.22
0
0
1.25
0
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
2015 Ratios
0
0
Basically built-out
with 1 unimproved lot
remaining
210' lots; $500-$700
17 total lots with
Jan. 2013: almost built out,
1 dev'ed lot LTBO;
basically built out
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Wellington Park Estates
The Oaks of Fairview
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
3A
3A
1.10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Three parcels just N. off
Stacy Rd. E. could re-dev.
over time, and are not
part of a platted subd.,
and include: Litchenburg's
2.3 ac.; Frank Clark's 3 ac.;
and one other tract adj. to
Stacy Rd.
Single Family
Future
Fairview
3A
1.10
10
3
7
0
1
0
1
1
3
3
1
0
0
Kathleen O'Connor Knappitsch-27.5 ac. (was Pannell Acres)
10 ac. is zoned RE-1 so could expect 1 ac. lots on 1/2
the parcel, because owner wants to dev. just half or less;
and did have one small portion for sale for a short time;
parcel is now a horse farm - built new arena in 2008;
part was also for sale in 2008 too; S. of Old Stacy Rd.
& N. of Stacy Rd. (FM 2786);
Doyle Bailey did have 2.6 ac. S. of Pannell Acres
Single Family
Future
Fairview
3A
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
3A
1.10
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
N. of Old Stacy,
large lots in equestrian
subdivision
basically built out
but 7 unimproved lots
as of 2013 which could
be double lots that could
subdivide over time
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
0.8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Built-out
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Collinwood Acres Sycamore Place
3A
62
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.87
0
0
2015-2025
0.42
0
0
2020-2025
2015 Ratios
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
2015-2020
0
0
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
0
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
0
0
Built-out
2 unimproved
lots remain
in 2013
basically built out
w/2 lots remaining
Foxglen
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Collinwood Acres No.
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
3A
3A
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
x
26
16
10
4
3
2
4
3
4
4
2
0
0
TOTAL:
re-developed
& could be
1932 home
w/oldest as
< $100,000
are appraised
not in a subd.
11 older homes
3A
1.13
3
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
these could be double lots that will subdivide
in the City of Allen S. of Stacy Rd.;
Nov. 2015: almost built out with only 3 homes UC
& no dev'ed lots LTBO;
Grand Homes and Ashton Homes
(per Collin CAD: 11 unimproved lots as of 2013)
Single Family
Existing
Allen
Bellegrove
3B
3B
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
The streets of
Green Meadow
and Heather Glen
are built-out
with SF homes
Single Family
Existing
Allen
Fair Meadow
1.53
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
just E. of Goodman Dr. - price - $320s
R-3 platted April 2007 - block A=16 lots & block B=16 lots
built out
Jan. 2013: 31 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC & 1 dev'ed lot LTBO;
builder: Paul Taylor Homes
Single Family
Existing
Allen
Stacy Estates
3B
63
5
3
1
0
0
0
0
17
1
18
0
1
2
3
3
4
4
1
16
17
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
0.87
5
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
0
3
0
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
2015 Ratios
1
Steeplecourt LLC 5.6 ac was
James Terry=4.19 ac. & F.W. Downing=2.37 ac.;
Nov. 2015: 0 Occ'ed, 0 Avail.,
1 UC & 17 dev'ed lot LTBO;
S. of Stacy = large parcels in City of Allen
with a part having commercial land uses,
Fouad Hameed has 5.7 ac.;
Holt Family=1.3 ac. & Rodriquez Family=1.2 ac.
and Una Carol Krogerus has 5 ac.
& 1 other tract; all parcels have sewer now;
all tracts could have 3+ homes/ac.,
but there will be some commercial as well
0
Single Family
Future
Allen
Steeplechase
3B
Single Family
Future
Allen
3B
x
38
17
21
4
4
3
3
3
4
5
5
3
1.26
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
x
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
TOTAL:
4
3 lots per ac.
have been SF w/
which was to
Countrybrook Ln.
just S. of
owns the 14 ac.
City of Allen now
No homes <$100,000;
3C
District)
109 lots in sec. 1 & 118 lots in sec. 2;
out of the 283 lots, there are ~8 LTBO
as of 2010 & remainder are occupied;
[in the City of Allen]
Jan. 2013:14 lots remaining
as per Collin Co. CAD
but some may be double lots
Single Family
Existing
Allen
Stacy Ridge Estates
3C
TOTAL:
(out of the
Lovejoy ISD
is just S. of
subdivision
Summerfield
<$100,000 in PU;
1 home valued
3B
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Creekwood UM Church has
28.34 ac. just S. of Stacy and W. of
Country Club that will take these
parcels off line for residential
dev. ( all just N. of Lovejoy
Elem & Admin Bldg.), but Church
is not selling the undev'ed parcel;
& City of Fairview may buy ~8 ac.
for park & other acreage
Fairview
Institutional
3D
64
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
x
0
0
1.32
0
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
2015 Ratios
0
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
TOTAL:
0
0.24
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Built-out
and is in the
City of Allen ETJ
<$100,000 in PU;
just S. of Lovejoy Elementary
& has 74 & 65 lots in both sec's
(in the City of Allen)
2013: 7 developed lots remain
but some may be double lots
Forest Grove Estates
3E
Single Family
Existing
Allen
1 home valued
3D
0.87
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Joe Knight has 2.2 ac;
James Nash has 2 ac.;
Jennifer McLean has 2 ac.;
Anthony Fritz has 2 ac.
just E. off Angel;
all with large estate lots,
and 6 other owners with
large lots as well - in Allen, &
City could allow subdividing
Single Family
Future
Allen
3E
0.87
32
32
0
14
11
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Nancy Hoke has 17.3 ac.
near SW part of District in City of Allen (25-28 ac.
in 2 Planning Units)
data below is for this PU
(Hoke's parcel has been on
the market 2 times, based
on PASA's data); could sell this
portion or part in PU 4C to L.I.S.D.
Single Family
Future
Lucas
3E
Single Family
Existing
Allen
Country Brook Estates
3D
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.44
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
Subd=oversized or double lots:
Lawrence Nordgaard - 5 ac.
& Jack Gilstrap=9 ac.;
Boyd Cockrill (7.1 ac.)
and Dale Burger (5.7)
but all in Green Meadows
Nov. 2015: 2 dev'ed lots LTBO;
Single Family
Existing
Allen
Green Meadows Estates
3E
0.87
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
Reining Family has 2.4 ac.;
Bradley Havens newly = 2.6 ac.
Keneth Kiesling = 2.5 ac.;
and Ronald Gentry=3.21 ac.;
all have tracts out of
Green Meadow Estates
and W. off Rock Ridge Rd.
Single Family
Future
Allen
3E
65
valuation
1
0
2
2
7
12
14
3
37
40
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
x
0
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
0.75
2
0
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
2015 Ratios
0
0
TOTAL:
developed
be re-
that could
in this PU
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,144 total lots & built-out
typically lots were 45'-70' lots at $160-$300
mean selling price was ~$220;
aged 55+ gated community
< $100,000
homesites
N. of Green Meadows
w/only large lots &
1 new home occ'edcould perhaps add
Nov. 2015: 2 dev'ed lot LTBO;
1-3 more new homes
w/4 unimproved lots
(as of 2013)
Heritage Ranch
4A
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
4 older
3E
0.87
11
4
7
0
0
0
2
2
2
3
2
0
0
Stapleton now owns ~16 & 5 & 2.7 ac.
(bought from 1161 Stacy Rd Ltd Partnership
zoned for 2 ac. lots (2015: City suggests
no zoning change) adj. to Molodow's 28 ac.
Single Family
Future
Fairview
4A
Single Family
Existing
Allen
Rock Creek Estates
3E
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.91
28
2
26
0
0
0
1
1
6
8
8
4
0
Nov. 2015: Harper Landing Dev. has 31.2 &11.3 ac. w/~28 lots;
Ph. I is now under construction with 13 lots with access off
FM 1378 (Country Club Rd.) via Farmstead St., and
Ph II = rezoned from flood hazard zone to 15 lots of 2 ac. on northern 31 ac.,
so that flood plain S. off Nolan Creek would have much detention;
2013: w/ new (2010) water tower owned by City of Fairview just S.
Double Eagle=WAS investment name-36 lots=concept plan (2007)
Dean Stokes & Kerby Family had these tracts formerly
2013: planned 54" water pipeline; all access is via Country Club Rd.
Single Family
Future
Fairview
Harper Landing
4A
66
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
5
0
13
13
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
0.91
0
0
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
0.91
0
0
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
2015 Ratios
Charles G. Cottingham 2.1 ac, Ruiz Franciso 2,
Laura Ficken 2 all were Roger Harper had 6 ac. &
has been platted for 2 lots, &
both appear under construction;
Hussein Abdalla 4.98 ac was
Head Family Living Trust has 4.99 ac.
both just N. off Stacy Rd. now zoned for 2-3 ac. lots,
so Head tract=2 lots max. (if merge, then 5 lots)
"Molodow Parcel"
Marvin Molodow has 28.06 ac.
has a large estate home on site;
not less than 2 ac. lot minimum
which is the current zoning for tract
Dec. 2015: has not approached City
recently, and no known dev. Interest;
Jan. 2013: the planned 54" water
pipeline may accelerate timeline for dev.
4A
Single Family
Future
Fairview
4A
0.88
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1 out of 9 lots is unimproved
is just N. of
Sloan Creek Intermediate
0.72
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
along N.-S. config.,along
Kentucky St.; almost built out
but, having 4 lots remaining
but 2 in flood plain
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Blue Grass Farms
Countryside Addition
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
4A
4A
Single Family
Future
Fairview
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Built-out
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Ranger Estates
4A
0.87
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2015: Colleen Campbell
has 37.5 ac. &
Brayton & Colleen Campbell
have 4.7 ac. at this time;
the 37.5 ac. is a safe
haven for birds (sanctuary);
in sum, likely no dev.; may
give to City/conservation grp.;
N. off Stacy in this PU
Fairview
4A
67
0
2015-2025
0.83
0
0
0
0
2020-2025
2015 Ratios
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
2015-2020
0
0
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
0
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
0
Built out
Subd. is one street (Summit)
and built-out
0
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Hardin Acres
Quest Addition
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
4A
4A
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
2.86
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
E. of FM 323 & E of CR 317 & N. off Stacy Rd.
Joseph Jenkins 2.8 ac was James Roberts &
Patrick Walsh, who bought pt. of Diep Family's ~10 ac.;
Mordecai bought Hartsell's 5.2 ac.;
Eugene Mussett has 7.9 ac.; Juergen Luebbe has 2 ac ;
Nicholas Mueth bought Kenny Loller's 2.29 ac.;
Robert Blevins has 2.29 ac.;
9 total lots - Nov. 2015: 7 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 1 UC &
1 dev'ed lot LTBO;
Single Family
Future
Fairview
"Roberts Second Addition"
4A
Single Family
Future
Fairview
4A
0.78
5
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0.78
13
12
1
3
3
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
E. of FM 323 & E of CR 317
Jerry Willis parcels of 12 & 14.5 ac. & 1 other sm.
& N. off Stacy Rd.
tract E. & W. of CR 317 & mainly SW from Wilson Creek
Sloan Taylor=10 ac.;
(mill w/historic marker-Willises owned tracts since late 1880's)
Aaron J Lanman 12 or 17 ac.
earlier, a Willis parcel=was for sale (14 ac./$640,000)
(these two tracts are adj. to
(Jerry Willis & wife live on tract & 1 son lives on tract)
the Willis parcels to the W. & Clyde Willis has 10 ac.; most Willis parcels are in flood plain
both are N. on Stacy Rd.)
Stephen Schenck has 26.7 ac. just W. of CR 317
which is also predominantly flood plain;
(all these tracts are off CR 317)
Single Family
Future
Fairview
4A
x
77
37
40
8
9
4
9
7
11
13
11
4
1
TOTAL:
re-developed
and could be
in this PU
valuation
< $100,000
homesites
18 older
4A
68
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
1.80
1
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
1.29
1
0
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
2015 Ratios
0
0
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
17 total lots
7 lots in this PU & 10 in PU 4D
0 UC & 5 dev'ed lots LTBO;
Jan. 2013: 0 Occ'ed, 0 Avail.,
(was FG Creek Properties, &
Mark Sache prior to dev.)
Formerly Shawn Bradley's parcels
27.19 ac. with 20 total lots
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Single Family
Developing
Lucas
Creeks of Forest Grove
The Reserve at Forest Grove
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
4B
4B
1.17
7
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
1
0
Kenneth Cranfill has 6.8 ac & other
small parcels forming a 7-lot dev.
Nov. 2015: not yet named
Single Family
Developing
Lucas
"Cranfill"
4B
0.86
4
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
William Carmickle has 2.73 ac.;
Carmickle 3.6 ac.was Archie Lewis;
HWP (equipment storage) has 5.78 ac.;
(light industrial uses N. on Forest Grove)
Lucas
4B
Jan. 2013: 18 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 1 UC
& 1 dev'ed lot LTBO;
builders: Paul Taylor & Windsor Homes
Oct. 2010: 2 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 5 UC
& 12 dev'ed lots LTBO
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.98
8
0
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
7
platted with 35 lots;
builder: Paul Taylor Homes; 1 ac. & 1.5 ac. lots;
2013: w/applicant as Scarborough Forest Ridge LLC
(Donald Bass had 13 ac.& 6 other sm. parcels;
Bernard Spaulding had 9.9 & 8.1 ac.; Gunter Schnetzinger had 15 ac.;
and there are ~2 other small parcels -- all included in the new subdivision)
Single Family
Developing
Lucas
Broadmoor Estates
4B
69
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
0.98
1
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
1.13
0
0
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
2015 Ratios
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Platted as one lot
built out
Oct. 2010: 1 estate home
on 4.17 ac. owned by
Wise Revocable Trust
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Forest Grove Place
4B
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Built-out
is on 8 ac.
long and narrow
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Rust Addition
4B
0.67
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Built-out
is on 7 ac.;
long & narrow
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Corlin
4B
4B
x
26
7
19
0
1
2
2
2
2
3
4
3
7
TOTAL:
in this PU
re-developed
which could be
valued at <$100,000
Also,11 older homesites
is Out of District;
Fairview Crossing TH's
John Bryant has 7 ac. (was
Charles McCollum's);
Doyle Tucker has 8.33 ac.;
The Vitek & Salsgiver families
both have 2+ ac. tracts
Lucas
4B
0
32 total lots - $425-$560
Jan. 2013: 32 Occ'ed - all built out;
builder: Paul Taylor Homes
Oct. 2010: 23 Occ'ed, 1 Avail.,
2008: 8 occ'ed, 9 UC or avail.
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Amherst Estates
4B
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.38
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
SW off Country Club,
4-6 ac. parcels in a rural
platted subdivision
Built-out
2 lots remain (2013)
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Hidden Meadows
4C
0.5
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
6 unimproved lots remain (2013);
North off of FM 2170
Nov. 2015: older subdivision with
5 unimproved lots, but 3 lots are
owned by the adjacent lot owner;
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Lemontree Country Estates
4C
70
4C
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
2015 Ratios
0.83
0
0
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
0.29
N. off FM 2170
Nov. 2015: 3 unimproved
lots remaining; owned by
adjacent lot owner;
2013: 3 unimproved
lots remaining;
has small parcels of
2 to 2.6 ac. lots
Built-out
14 lots with 1
remaining
unimproved lot
(as of 2013)
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Kinsgwood Estates Glenbrook Estates
4C
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.88
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
(in PU 3E also)
Nov. 2015: 3 out of 61 tot.
lots remaining as
unimproved lots
in this PU
2013: has 3 unimproved lots
remaining;
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
4C
0.46
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Built-out
with 1 unimproved
lot as of 2013;
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Skyview
4C
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Built-out
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Robertson Add'n
4C
0.98
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
David Bevins has 8.8 ac.;
Daniel Esqueda has 7 + 3 = 10 ac.;
Patrick Garrett has 4 ac.;
Evelyn Molina has 3.97 ac.;
and there are 6 other parcels that are
under 3 ac.; all East of FM 1378
& North of Hidden Meadows
& W. on Country Club Rd.; & several
tracts have poential for subdividing
Single Family
Future
Lucas
4C
0.98
10
5
5
0
0
0
2
3
2
2
1
0
0
Tracts between Glenbrook & Lemontree
& N. of Estates Pkwy
Daniel L. Afseth=11.9 ac. (was Wayne Benton's);
Nathan Muaina 2 ac, Ryan Watson 2 ac,
Scott A. Watson 4.7 ac wasDelmer Hayes has 8.83 ac.;
Estates Lucas Ventures LTD 18.9 ac;
these tracts may have been part of an
early unplatted subdivision - or may be platted,
but PASA & Appraisal Dist. indicate no plat;
Single Family
Future
Lucas
4C
71
Shirley Duskey has 4 ac.;
Debrah Wilson has 4 ac.;
all parcels just N. of FM 2170
& E. of the High School
George W Brown Jr 10 ac.,
Platted in Oct. 2015 as 10 new homes
plus one existing home;
Lucas Project LLC = .77 ac.
(was George Rybar's)
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
5
1
6
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
9
1
10
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
0.87
1
2
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
0.98
0
1
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
2015 Ratios
0
0
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Single Family
Future
Lucas
Rimrock
Single Family
Developing
Lucas
4C
Name
4C
0.87
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Richard Hoffman has 4.7 ac.;
Eddie Breashers has 4.24 ac.;
Daniel N Carothers=4.13 ac. (was P. Noguere's);
Jennifer Zimmerman has 4.38 ac.;
Dallas Robertson has 2.94 ac.;
Mark Edward has 2.94 ac.;
Loereta Spencer has 2.94 ac.;
Liza Dupuy has 2.94 ac.
all parcels are N. of FM 2170
Lucas
4C
Lucas
4C
0.98
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Nancy Hoke has
25 ac. tot. (also PU 3E)
parcel could develop, but ~15% is in
flood plain; this part of tract is
adjacent to the High School
& this portion in PU 4C would
be useful to L.I.S.D. & is cut-off
from remainder of parcel
by a creek bed
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
x
33
11
22
0
0
2
3
6
7
7
4
4
0
TOTAL:
to be re-developed over long-term
appraised at <$100,000 w/potential
also, PU has 20 older homes
high school, w/70 ac.;
and is being used for the
serves this PU - N. off Main
District -- sewer line
North Texas Municipal Water
4C
0.93
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Built-out
250 lots;
priced at: $230-$300
2010: no unimproved
lots remaining
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
North Fork Ranch
4D
72
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
0.22
0
0
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
1.14
0
2 unimproved lots remain
out of 60 total lots (2010),
but may be some double lots
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
2015 Ratios
A strip subdivision
off White Rock Trail
built-out
Jan. 2013: only 1 dev'ed lot LTBO;
& theoretically 2 double lots (2013)
Oct. 2010: basically built out
w/2 unimproved lots
33 lots of 270';
Nov. 2015: 2 dev'ed lots LTBO;
older subdivision
Jan. 2013: only 2 dev'ed lot LTBO;
White Rock Creek Estates
Forest Creek Estates
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
4D
4D
1.80
5
1
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
Sept. 2010: 1 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 1 UC & 8 dev'ed lots LTBO
(in 2008 dev'er needed a costly $300K-$500K bridge)
17 total lots - 10 lots in this PU & 7 in PU 4B
Single Family
Developing
Lucas
4D
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.78
8
0
8
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
2
1
0
8 lots now approved
for this new dev. just W. of
North Fork Ranch
which was owned by:
Wallace Scalf w/ 11.2 ac. ;
Fowler Living Tr. w/6 +4 ac.;
Single Family
Developing
Lucas
Barry Ranch
4D
0.90
16
10
6
0
0
0
4
6
5
1
0
0
0
W.D. Hendrick earlier assembled 4 parcels N. of
intersection of Blondy Jhune & Country Club Rd.;
8.4+5.66+15.6+6.89= 36.55 ac.; City states TO
expect 36 fut. homes plus 1 existing in 2 PU's;
since family also has 49.15 adj. ac. in PU 4E;
Jan. 2013: could dev within the 10-yr. proj. period
with 1.8 ac. to 2 ac. lots; 2013: the 7 ac. is now
a part of 3 parcels belonging to 3 children,
w/1 home under construction now (2013)
Single Family
Future
Lucas
4D
73
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0
1
3
3
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
0
0
9
1
10
0
0
1
4
5
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
0.91
0
0
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
0.90
0
2
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
2015 Ratios
2
1
1
2
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
May have been termed
"Rock Creek Acres"
and 10 lots are now to
be within LISD boundaries
(evidently an informal land
fill had held up dev. In the
total acreage, but LISD
portion is dev'ing.
Alfred Davidson has 12.7 ac.
just E. off Country Club;
Jan. 2013: a farm currently
with a home on it;
could develop in the future
as residential with 2+ ac. lots
could develop in the future
Cross Creek Acres
4D
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
4D
Single Family
Future
Lucas
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
0.91
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
Russell Adams has 6.8 ac.;
Misty Thornton has 8.8 ac.;
Robert Boyd has 6.2 ac.
Donald Kanzler has 5.2 ac.;
Schwarzenbach Family=2.69+2.85 ac.;
Note: these tracts could have
a small no. of added lots later
(may subdivide for adult children, etc.)
Lucas
4D
0.91
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Jamie McRae has 4 ac.
Jerry McRae has 2 ac.;
Brian Dunagan has 3 ac.;
Larry Rollins has 2 ac.;
Larry Romano has 2 ac.;
and all but one of these tracts
are as dense with homes
now as will be allowed
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
4D
x
47
17
30
0
0
0
7
10
10
9
6
4
1
TOTAL:
ment
re-develop-
for potential
in this PU
valuation
< $100,000
homesites
8 older
4D
0.9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
283'-304' lots
Oct. 2010: built out, with
1 unimproved lot;
2008: 60 lots with 1 LTBO
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Tara subdivision
4E
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50 lots with no
unimproved lots (2010)
built out
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Huntwick
4E
74
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
2015 Ratios
1.17
0
0
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
1.19
0
1
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
23 total lots; $365 to $500
Jan. 2013: 22 Occ'ed & 1 dev'ed lot LTBO;
Oct. 2010: 21 Occ'ed & 2 dev'ed lots LTBO;
2008: 21 Occ'ed & 2 lots LTBO
& 1/2 of the subdivision (12 lots)
outside the District
276'-290' lots and $250-$500 valued homes
almost built out
builder: M. Christopher Homes
Jan. 2013: 27 Occ'ed & 1 dev'ed lot LTBO;
2008: 23 Occ'ed & 5 dev'ed lots LTBO;
Creekwood Estates
Estates of Huntwick
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
4E
4E
0.91
8
0
8
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
2
1
0
The Lovejoy I.S.D. parcel
of 18.49 & 1/2 of the Trunks parcel
w/ ~ 4.5 ac. out of 9 ac.
is slated now for 8 SF
with 3 lots in Trunks tract
and 5 lots in LISD tract
(has been used for gravel/
excavation)
R-2 zoning
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
"Adamson"
4E
Single Family
Future
Lucas
4E
0.91
17
8
9
0
0
0
4
4
3
3
2
1
0
Nov. 2015: H. Hendrick has
34.92+7.13+7.1= 49.15 ac.
(also has 36.55 ac. in PU 4D)
Blondy Jhune Rd. runs through
the 3 parcels, but one of the 7 ac.
is now split among two children
for homesites;
2015: City of Lucas suggests R-2
w/36 total lots in both PU's
Single Family
Developing
Lucas
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.47
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
[was Chandler Addition]
there are over-sized tracts: 5.8 ac.+10.1 ac.+5.8 ac.
Jan. 2013: large lots, with 2 dev'ed lots LTBO;
Oct. 2010: large estate lots,
with one new home under construction
& 2 more of the 33 lots are unimproved
(also, some of the over-sized lots might
could be re-platted, but unlikely)
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Wendy Lane Estates
4E
75
0
1
3
3
2
0
0
0
4
5
9
0
2
3
4
4
2
0
0
5
10
15
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
2015 Ratios
0.91
0
0
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
0.89
0
0
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Tenagra Farms Limited; and
Ted Kerico (access to Blondy Jhune) has
3.44 & 3.35 ac and 2.7 ac. ( was J. Janecek's);
& 2 undeveloped lots within
Wendy Lane Estates could all be
developed w/2 means of access via Wendy Ln.
also Blondy Jhune Rd.; developer who is
acquiring these tracts: Randy Edwards
Wendy Farms LLC 8.5 & 10 & 10 & 2 ac.
City requires a second means of access
other than Wendy Ln.
which could be Scarlett in Willow Creek subd.
or even a lot to the N. that would allow an
exit out to Blondy Jhune would be best;
4E
Single Family
Future
Lucas
"Wendy Farms"
4E
0.91
15
15
0
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
Karl Williams 14.56 ac was Patrick Brand
Joseph Leach has 29.93+22.8+5.1= 57.83 ac.;
Veitch has 2.32 + 2.37= 4.69 ac.;
Ronald Lovine has 8 ac.;
David Osburn has 10 ac.; Wm George has 5 ac.;
James Nelson=12 ac.; so ~107 ac. in above tracts;
and ~12 other parcels under 5 acres
(the Leach two parcels will have the greatest
impact on adding lots when those tracts dev.)
Lucas
4E
Single Family
Developing
Lucas
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.83
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Several parcels north of Blondy Jhune Rd
and S. of White Rock Creek Estates include:
Joanne Cox has 4.9;
William Roberts has 5 ac.;
and Timothy Taylor has 7.38 ac.;
Karl Williams 15 ac was
Robert Tanella
all have large homes on these parcels
Lucas
4E
0.83
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
just E. of Country Club &
just W. of Tara subd.
Jan. 2013: almost built out,
only 1 dev'ed lot LTBO;
Oct. 2010: basically
built out, but 2 of the 33
lots are still unimproved
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Willow Creek
4E
76
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
3
3
3
2
1
13
14
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
0.42
0
0
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
0.87
0
0
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
2015 Ratios
Built-out
Nov. 2015: since there are
several double lots,
but no or few unimproved
lots that are not double
lots, but 7 are shown
on Collin CAD as undev'ed
No.v 2015: no new plans, but Mark Barratt has 14.1 & 15 ac.
& Jack Sweet sold 13.3 ac. to Richard Rios - for both owners
to have 42.4 ac. for planned dev. - almost all out of flood plain;
Jan. 2013: Sweet sold tract and no activity on Barratt tracts;
Oct. 2010: no activity, but future potential; however,
no infrastructure (water/sewer);
also, Barratt=not allowed to dev. off a private rd.
plus Kimberlin (4.42 ac.) & 3 other
parcels, which also could become part of planned dev.
Tokalaun Park & Estuary
McMillen Estates
1.11
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0 UC & 2 dev'e dlots LTBO;
Jan. 2013: 7 Occ'ed & 4 dev'ed lots LTBO;
2008: 4 left to be occupied,
1 parcel just sold
Single Family
Developing
Lucas
4E
4E
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
4E
Single Family
Future
Lucas
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.75
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
one rd. E. end of Manor Ln.
and N. of Estates of Huntwick;
5 total lots
2013: 1 unimproved lot
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Rolling Hills Estates
4E
x
83
53
30
7
7
8
15
16
13
9
5
2
1
Small part of
USA parcel
in SE corner
of PU; 11 older
homesites
< $100,000
w/potential
for re-dev.
TOTAL:
4E
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Corps of Engineers (USA)
177.7+17+4+16= 214.7 ac. in this PU;
Corps owns a major part of PU 4F &
of PU 7B as well
Lucas
4F
77
Edgewood Estates
Single Family
Developing
Lucas
53 lots on 62.9 ac.on Lovejoy Land LTD
204'-211' wide lots
almost built out
2008: 2 occ'ed & 8 UC
2
Cimarron
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
33 total lots on 42 ac., 170' = width of lots; $500s
Bailey Patterson Development
Nov. 2015: 32 Occ'ed, 1 Avail., 0 UC & 0 dev'ed lot LTBO;
almost built out
builders: Drees & M. Christopher Homes
2008: 2 occ'ed, 7 UC & 24 dev'ed lots LTBO
1
Name
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
1.33
2015-2025
1.7
0
2
0
1
2020-2025
2015 Ratios
0
2
0
1
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
2015-2020
0
0
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
0
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
4F
4F
0.55
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
Nov. 2015: almost built out
but there are 4 unimproved
lots remaining in subd., but
lots are owned by adjacent
owner;
2013: basically built out
but there are 4 unimproved
lots remaining in subd.
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Choice Acres
4F
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.67
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
Edward Phillips - 6 ac.;
Robert Meyerowitz - 5 ac.;
Rowe Living Trust - 5 ac.;
Patricia Heitman - 5 ac.
& Charles Kirgis has 2.55 ac.,
all N. of Holly Lane &
S. of Estelle Lane
Single Family
Future
Lucas
4F
0.46
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Built out
Jan. 2013: almost built out;
Oct. 2010: basically built out,
with 48 lots, some of which are
(double) lots, so could add homes
potentially
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Rollingwood
4F
78
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
3
2
0
1
1
1
6
5
11
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
0.91
0
0
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
0.91
0
0
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
2015 Ratios
Victor Cawoski has 8 ac.;
Adam Sussman has 8.76 ac.;
Steven Bourgeois has 6.73 ac.;
& the Blevins tracts of 6.2 ac.;
and other smaller parcels -all have acreage in N.
part of PU just N. of Christian;
40 ac. is in this sector of PU
Between Rollingwood & Lakeview Country:
Calvin Crosswhite-has 8.2 ac., had 15.2 ac. But sold 7 acres in 2012
to Daniel & Alyce Stewart; Classic Country Land LLC 14.5 & 18 ac. & will dev.
the 18 ac. w/~8-9 lots, but the 14.5 ac. requires a bridge to it, so no near-term dev.
Jay M Carrigan 11 ac was Sashi Kejriwal (6.88+15.66+2.78 ac.);
Danny & Carol Caroland (4 ac.); John Mayfield (8.93 ac.); Georgia & Harold Fuller (4 ac.);
for above tracts, there are over 70 ac. that could have 2+ ac. lots
& several now have horse farms w/large estate homes &
at least 1 additional tract is for sale (2010) W. off Winnnigkoff
4F
Single Family
Future
Lucas
4F
Single Family
Future
Lucas
4F
0.91
17
13
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
Tuzer Tanju 5.87+3=8.57 ac.; Michael Churchill 5.95 ac.;
and David Abernathy has 9.76 ac.;
Tony Bartel has 11.38+3.96= 15.34 ac.; and
Leandro M Savino just bought 23.7 ac. (was Checkmate);
James McDonald has 12.39 ac. - plan is for 5 lots (in 2013);
Adam Thomas=4.57+5.52 = 10.09 ac.;
& 5 other parcels < 5 ac.
Single Family
Future
Lucas
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.91
4
4
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Richard H Thompson 14.9 ac was
Texas Pecan LP has 14.8 ac.;
where one home was
constructed w/pond & an
extravagant car storage
facility (Paul Billingsley
was the builder), but expect
no near-term interest in
subdividing tract, i.e., re-plat
Lucas
4F
79
34 total lots,
Jan. 2013: built out;
Oct. 2010: with one
unimproved lot
still remaining
8 total lots
builder: H. Purdom Homes
2013: William Mannewitz = had sold
17.2 ac. to Sooner Ranch Properties
for this development
2015-2025
0.31
0
0
1
8
2020-2025
0.91
0
0
0
7
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
2015-2020
0
0
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
0
0
0
1
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
0
1
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
0
0
2
2
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
0
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
2
2015 Ratios
4F
0.47
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
built-out,
with 17 total lots
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Lucas Country Holly Lane
4F
Single Family
Developing
Lucas
Winding Creek Reserve
4F
0.54
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
just W. of the Corps
property and the Lake
41 total lots,
Nov. 2015: has 3 unimproved
lots LTBO;
2010: 3 unimproved lots
(that are not double lots)
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Lakeview Country Estates
4F
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
x
50
25
25
5
6
5
3
6
6
5
5
4
5
TOTAL:
long-term
re-development
for potential
valuation
< $100,000
are in this PU
homesites
15 older
4F
0.82
6
4
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
Aditya Sharma 3 ac.
Todd & Jan Holdings has 7.84 ac;
Daniel Leightner has 2.8 ac;
Gary Smith has 3.26 ac.;
Ferrell Living Trust has 5 ac.;
Richard Bolton has 4 ac.;
Harry Villers has 4 ac.;
Maria Corley has 4.8 ac.;
Single Family
Future
Lucas
4G
x
6
4
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
TOTAL:
valued < $100,000
in this PU w/structures
3 older improved lots
& has no subd's;
& E. off Rock Ridge Rd.
N. of White Rock Cr.
Country Club Rd. &
Small PU is W. off
4G
80
2
0
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
0.98
1.46
2
60
2015 Ratios
0
11
2015-2025
0
0
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
2020-2025
0
0
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
2
0
1
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
0
0
10
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
0
0
16
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
49
0
15
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
2015-2020
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
0
5
13
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Nov. 2015: 13 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 2 UC
& 0 dev'ed lots LTBO; 15 lots total;
Jan. 2013: M. Christopher has under contract;
15 lots requested, under P&Z review by Fairview;
was owned by Lucas Partners Ltd; 33.28 ac.
Doyle Bailey - realtor; in 2008, was James Feagin's,
but actually 3 people owned at that time;
was Lynda Garrett's 32.5 ac. (absentee)
Toll Dallas TX=111.4 ac. = Toll Brothers (855-289-8656)
infrastruc. going in for 60 lots on original Stover parcel ;
w/3 ac. for Stover home as separatew from dev.
this parcel could evolve as a MUD, thus
higher density, but City has just zoned for 2 ac. lots;
2008: (had been de-annexed by request)
(was $20-$25,000/ac.-now could be up to $70,000)
Remington Park
Parkside at Fairview
Single Family
Developing
Fairview
4H
4H
1.27
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
106 total lots-both phases, & ~ 20 OOD
1/6 of the lots in Ph I= OOD
& 1/9 of Ph. II = OOD;
(currently approx. 1.5 lots
per acre, i.e., higher density)
2008: 4-5 dev'ed lots LTBO
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Thompson Springs
4H
Single Family
Future
Fairview
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
x
62
11
51
0
0
0
1
10
16
15
13
5
2
TOTAL:
homes in PU;
<$100,000 valued
District); and no
is out of the
into City, but
(now annexed
18.3 ac.
Richard Rowder
4H
0.65
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
Sec's #01, #02, #03, #04 & #05
are all S. of Stacy;
with all sec's = 86 total lots
lots of 210' - 220';
$155-$250 home prices
Jan. 2013: 6 of the 82 total lots
are unimproved
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Fairview Farms
4I
x
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
TOTAL:
4I
81
builder: Cleve Adamson Homes
23 total lots
Shadywood Custom Homes
2008: 16 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 3 UC & 4 dev'ed lots LTBO;
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
0.88
1
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
1.61
1
0
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
2015 Ratios
1
0
Jan. 2013: 10 Occ'ed, 0 Avail.,
Oct. 2010: 5 Occ'ed, 1 Avail.,
1 UC & 12 dev'ed lots LTBO
Single Family
Developing
Lucas
The Ranch at Pecan Grove
The Enclave
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
4J
4J
0.78
27
0
27
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
6
11
8
was called "The Hooper parcel"
48.28 ac. S. of Enclave - 27 total lots
builder: Megatel Homes
Oct. 2013: under contract for
21 or 22 lots-M. Christopher Homes
(based on City of Lucas: 2013)
Single Family
Developing
Lucas
Creekside Estates
4J
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
2.75
6
0
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
(but may also re-plat at a later time with higher density)
Jan. 2013: clearing land and cutting out streets;
adding in infrastructure for 10 future lots;
10 lots - $280+ per lot
Lucas Partnership Ltd sold this 49.58 ac.
to M. Christopher Homes
Single Family
Developing
Lucas
Estates of Forest Grove
4J
0.91
4
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
Louis Hoefer's
8.6 & 1.5 ac., which could
be sold separately or
assembled into one of the
2 adjacent and now-developing
subdivisions, but not likely
Single Family
Future
Lucas
4J
82
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
41
1
42
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
x
9
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
0.91
14
0
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
2015 Ratios
12
0
develop
TOTAL:
and could re-
valued ,$100,000
in this PU are
6 older homes
out of District;
1.19
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
67 lots (via Collin CAD)
185' lots at $220-$500
as home values;
2013: basically built out, but
9 unimproved lots remain-(adjacent to Country Club Rd.)
adjacent, but
Joseph Pettinger=4.53 ac.
in SW corner of PU
S. of CR 321 & Creek
Summer Hill Farms
4K
Single Family
Existing
Fairview
Victoria Parsons
4J
0.84
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
The N.W. of Summer Hill
(as depicted on a Fairview land use map
is Frendship Baptist Church);
also Stacy Rd. will cut through this PU,
just to the North of Summer Hill Farms
Fairview
4K
x
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
TOTAL:
PU
potential in this
so no redevelopment
< $100,000
in this PU is
No older homesites
4K
Single Family
Future
Lucas
4J
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
1.4
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
almost built out
was Sender Ventures with 45.5 + 7 + 3.7 ac. (~56 ac.);
also, Asfour has 6.7 ac. at intersection &
Astor Park LP has 3 ac.=both are reserves;
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
The Springs at Wolf Creek
4L
x
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
TOTAL:
4L
83
Name
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
0.81
0
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
1.31
0
0
2015 Ratios
Lucas
Institutional
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Also, the City of Allen
has 3.97 ac. just S. off
Estates Pkwy
16 lots
Allen ISD has 7.7 ac.
built-out
& 3.97 + 2.1 ac. for an
N. of Lucas and
Ag. center - just E. off
N. of Austin Trail
Ingram
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
67 total lots on 73.3 ac.;
Scorberg=developer; $350-$500;
Sept. 2010: basically built out
except 1 lot LTBO
2008: 3-4 dev'ed lots LTBO
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Trailside
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Saddlebrook Estates
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Single Family
Future
Lucas
5
0.87
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.89
6
3
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
Dan Strong Family has 11 ac.;
Just W. off Country
E. of Ingram Rd. and
Club, there are 16 large
& W. of Saddlebrook Estates;
dev'ed, but unplatted, tracts
7.76 ac. will be subdivided into 4
Mark Barratt = ~3.5 ac.;
site-built homes, but now there are
Dahlia Arr LLC 3.9 ac was Sarah Colston,
4 mobile homes on the property, Sarah Colston = 5.1 ac.; Javed Malik has 2.54 ac.
so no additional dwellings
(was Monica Martino's); Edward Fisher=3 ac.;
to be added
& Nicole Duval has 4.5 ac. &
& 5 others small parcels
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
5
5
5
Planning Unit:
5
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.78
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Subdivision with 18 5+ ac. lots
Jan. 2013: built out
2013: 2 unimproved lots
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Ranch Estates Lovejoy
5
0.84
12
6
6
0
0
1
2
3
3
2
1
0
0
Phillip Kapp (22.8 + 7.4 ac.),
The larger parcel w/no sewer will likely be
sudivided and one land use
plan showed homes
on 1.5 acre lots w/remainder to become
commercial/retail/office;
Nov. 2015: no activity currently, but
could expect 2 ac. lots & perhaps
no commercial
Single Family
Future
Lucas
5
84
x
8
2015-2025
0.84
9
26
0
2020-2025
2015 Ratios
0
17
0
8
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
2015-2020
0
0
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
4
1
0
0
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
5
4
0
0
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
4
1
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
3
3
3
2
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
2
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
2
TOTAL:
re-development
potential for
valuation with
< &100,000
older homes in PU
And, there are 13
1.03
7
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
builders: M. Christopher & Standard Pacific Homes
Oct. 2010: 19 Occ'ed, 0 Avail., 0 UC & 18 dev'ed lots LTBO
2008: 2 occ'ed, 5UC & is 31 dev'ed lots LTBO,
w/Ph. I having 205' wide lots of $340-$480 housing values;
Ph. II = 34 lots with streets to be cut in; as of 2010,
Brought sewer over from from FM 2551
(North Texas Municipal Water District);
4.8 ac.in this PU;
James Terry has 2.7+6+8.7 ac. just E. off Ingram;
builders: Newport & Joseph Paul Homes
2013: possibly will sell or dev., Terry=challenges due to the
shape of the tracts for 1.5 ac. lots, but City states 2 acre lots;
Donald Zriny ("Zir-re-ne")=10 ac. ~6 yrs. old home & 10 ac. just S.
of Terry parcel; not likely to dev.-Councilman
2010: NOT accepted for retirement/asst living by the City;
Rockland Farms
6
Single Family
Developing
Lucas
Lovejoy I.S.D.=10 &
5
Single Family
Developing
Lucas
Konrad Ranch Estates
5
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
1.33
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
(Also Anderton tract) S. off Lucas;
runs length of Taylor tract & is just E.
of Lewis; lst sec. =33.2 ac; enter
from Lewis & Lucas; Weekley Homes
(Windmill-1st street)
190'-220' &w/12 sold per yr.
$370-$515 valued homes
61 total lots; no unimproved lots left
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Estates of Austin Trail(s)
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Lovejoy ISD has
Willow Springs
Middle School
Lucas
Institutional
6
0.86
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
11 underdev'ed parcels, all
E. of Willow Springs M.S.
& all are just S. off Lucas;
these parcels have mainly
estate homes
but could have 1 to 2
added homesites
Single Family
Future
Lucas
6
85
Ph. III of Stinson Highlands-dev'er DR Horton w/34.06 & 15.34 ac. in L.I.S.D.
Nov. 2015: no activity currently, but one plan=for ~12 future lots, as per
Joe Hilbourne (City of Lucas); D.R.Horton's luxury line - Emerald Homes;
(PASA used the 2012 preliminary plat which showed 18 fut. lots)
(was owned by George Gibson) w/34 & 15.4 ac.- not all in the District;
(Bighorn Ventures was the firm owned by George Gibson, which
filed for bankruptcy on 11/2/2009; then, owned by Wells Fargo Bank
who was selling as potential ~24 lots, based on City of Lucas)
platted for 19 lots
M. Christopher Homes now owns 43.7 ac.
6
5
1
0
0
0
0
17
1
18
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
0.98
4
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
0.98
2
2
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
2015 Ratios
0
(was Stinson Crossing - formerly Paul Anderton's)
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Jan. 2013: dev. / housing const.=M. Christopher
Feb. 1, 2013 = will have a walk-through
and then development will commence
Single Family
Planned
Lucas
Stinson Highlands III
Belmont Park
Single Family
Developing
Lucas
6
6
Single Family
Future
Lucas
6
0.85
12
4
8
0
0
0
2
2
2
2
2
2
0
Just S. of Rockland subdivision:
Randy Brooks has 17 ac.;
Shawn Wilson has 12.59 ac.;
Jerry Ann Brown has 8.5 ac.;
Dec. 2015 : currently most lots have
estate homes on these parcels;
also, E. off Lewis Lane:
Joby Mathew 5.23 ac was John Taddiken;
and Chris Hendrix has 7.34 ac.;
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.88
27
0
27
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
11
10
Community Bank had this acreage for sale
both in & outside L.I.S.D.;
-- now sold and will dev. as ~27 lots withinn L.I.S.D. ;
was Lucas Ptnrs & also was Southfork Ptnrs
w/51.6 ac. (i.e., another 27 ac. O.O.D.)
Single Family
Developing
Lucas
Bristol Park I
6
86
Brookhaven Ranch Estates
Single Family
Developing
Lucas
1 UC & 1 dev'ed lot LTBO;
almost built out
2013: 3 remaining lots LTBO;
almost built out
Oct. 2010: basically built out
but, as of 2010, there were 5
remaining lots;
mainly 3-4 ac. tracts
Lewis Park
Single Family
Future
Lucas
2015: 36 total lots w/30 lots within L.I.S.D.; streets are in;
CADG Lewis Park LLC 15.1 ac was Ken Lewis Trust;
was Mortgage Guardian;
W. off Southview & have potential to develop;
(in previous era, this parcel was to dev. with others to the
south of the District boundary and perhaps have
MUDs or other conventional unitilty provision);
Name
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
0
0
5
6
6
7
3
1
0
0
17
17
12
9
7
3
3
0
0
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
2015-2025
0.88
2020-2025
x
4
30
6
68
2015-2020
2015 Ratios
0
26
0
62
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
1.62
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
TOTAL:
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
<$100,000 that could be
re-developed over long-term
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
in this PU are 11 older homes
also S. of L.I.S.D. boundary;
Verde Ranch Estates=
and
is in L.I.S.D.; and
(Stinson Highlands = only Ph. III
7A
6
7A
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.67
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Nov. 2015: built-out
2013: 2 unimproved
lots remaining
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Hill Country Estates
7A
0.87
6
2
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
0
0
Venita (James) Ellis=14 ac.;
N. of Muddy Creek;
Joe S Athey=11.9 ac. ( was E. Shindling's)
E. of Stinson Rd.
Joseph Harker has 2.91 ac.;
Mathew Hyde has 2 ac.;
Judy Bass has 5 ac.;
E. of Stinson Rd. & S. of
Single Family
Future
Lucas
7A
87
0
0
0
1
3
3
4
0
11
11
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
0.87
0
0
0.85
0
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
2015 Ratios
0
0
S. off Lucas & by Lucas Christian Church
W.G. Bedell & Gibson have 22.7 ac.
~one-half in the flood plain;
Average age of home is 1988;
Nov. 2015: 1 large dev'ed lot
remaining to develop;
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
Single Family
Future
Lucas
7A
0.87
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Lucas Christian Church
15.88+6.2= 22.08 ac.
Jan. 2013: has the Academy
associated with the Church now,
and not selling off any smaller
tract(s)
Lucas
Institutional
7A
0.87
7
4
3
0
0
0
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
Wm. Thompson has 20 ac.
(E. of Stinson & S. of Lucas Rd.)
Jan. 2013: will be 2 ac. lots (City stresses)
1 estate home now and has parcel for
sale for high price per ac. (2015); and
Esther Burdess has < 1 ac.;
Christopher Koerner 2.14 ac was
Gene Burdess
Single Family
Future
Lucas
7A
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Prado Verde Estates
7A
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.87
3
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
W. of FM 1378 (Southview):
Patsy Gibson has 8 ac.;
Charles Blaylock has 8.2 ac.;
Craft Family Trust has 3.23 ac.;
Lucio Trejo has 3.52 ac.;
Lyle Somerville ahs 3.03 ac.;
Pauline Darling has 2.59 ac.;
all these parcels have homes but
could be subdivided in three cases
Single Family
Future
Lucas
7A
0.87
10
6
4
0
1
0
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
E. off Stinson:
Judith Anderson 7.9 ac,
Gregg DeJong has 7.86+1.8= 9.66 ac.
Sabrina L Hamilton has 2 ac.
John Ruckel has 8 ac.;
Daniel Zadorozny has 4+6= 10 ac.;
Robert Eklund has 8.5 ac;
James Pruett has 11 ac.;
all above are primarily developed large lots
Single Family
Future
Lucas
7A
88
Nov. 2015: 1 dev'ed lot LTBO;
(Larry Leach initially had
34.2 ac. here)
2013: basically built-out
with 2 unimproved lots,
but are likely double lots
x
1.04
0
70
2015 Ratios
0
30
4
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
2015-2025
0
4
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
2020-2025
0
0
9
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
0
0
9
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
0
0
11
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
4
0
11
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
40
0
9
2015-2020
0
6
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
0
0
3
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
0.58
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
TOTAL:
2013: almost
built out, with 2 dev'ed
lot LTBO, based on
Collin CAD, but could
be double lots
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Cook Country Estates
Estates of Camden
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
7B
7B
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
be potential redeveloped
< $100,000 valuation tht could
and, in PU, are 14 older homes of
incl. H.S. for Wiley I.S.D.;
adj. to L.I.S.D. (was Hunt Prop's)
ac. of new dev. in Wiley I.S.D.
City of Lucas has 200-250
7A
1.24
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2013: there was 1
unimproved lot
100' lots and $198 - $260
valued homes
(higher density lots-1/3 ac.)
with 62 total lots and, as of
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
The Commons of Camden
7B
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Built-out
S. off E. Lucas Rd.
with 6 total lots, and 3
lots are listed as
unimproved by Collin CADbut may be double lots
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Hobb Hill
7B
0.88
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Jan. 2013: built out;
Oct. 2010: almost built out, with 5 dev'ed lots LTBO
remaining within Lovejoy I.S.D.
(will use part of water/sewer capacity for Brockdale)
dev'er/marketer - Tom Grisak - 972-359-1553;
(~35 dev'ed lots remain, but in Wylie I.S.D.);
Brad Bozeman (Spencer) - 2010: 214-549-4511
dev'ed as a MUD; own treatment facility (1/3 ac. lots)
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
Seis Lagos
7B
89
Lucas
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
4
0
11
11
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
2015 Ratios
0.77
0
0
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
0.69
0
0
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Robert Schwab has 23.64 ac.
was Joseph Korkmas tract- N. of Seis Lagos lake
Dec. 2015: only 1 estate home;
2015: no knowledge of whether parcel could be included
in Seis Lagos water/sewer, if City of Lucas
would approve this plan, just as Brockdale subd. did,
although Seis Lagos water/sewer capcity may be reached
(but City would allow two ac. lots at a minimum without
hooking up to sewer infrastructure)
Single Family
Future
Lucas
7B
7B
0.98
195
33
162
0
0
0
6
27
31
35
34
32
30
Hillwood (Perot investment) (65 & 74.5 ac.) - purchased Brockdale in Dec. 2012
Nov. 2015: 11 Occ'ed, 10 Avail., 14 UC & 64 dev'ed lots LTBO; has plans for 107 future lots
on the remaining land; builders: M. Christopher & Standard Pacific Homes - $610s+
2013: plat suggests 206 lots on 136 ac.; City of Lucas expects dev. to begin in April-May;
Brockdale Park Rd. will not be improved; there will be access via Seis Lagos
Oct. 2010: estimating 205 lots, but, still concern over quality of Brockdale Rd.
heavy traffic due to new residents esp. with only 1 means of ingress & egress;
2009-2010: Seis Lagos signed contract for water/sewer capacity;
(2008: alternative plan=336 lots & pot. MUD that is not part of City services)
Single Family
Planned
Lucas
Brockdale Estates
Small landowners N. of
Estates of Camden, incl. Pharr Family w/
3 tracts totalling 10.6 ac. & 4 older homes
(homes aged:1942-1973) S. of FM 3286
Pharr family newly owns two
of these largest tracts
Name
7B
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.78
4
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
Patrcia Beck has 10.15 ac.;
not in flood plain
outside the City of Lucas
Oct. 2010: 1 estate home,
& 1 new geo-thermal home
builtin 2013: Patricia Phillips)=
owner, & Trenton Laird=contractor;
Brian Blythe has 2 ac.;
Single Family
Future
Lucas
7B
90
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Oct. 2018 - Oct. 2019
Oct. 2019 - Oct. 2020
Oct. 2020 - Oct. 2021
Oct. 2021 - Oct. 2022
Oct. 2022 - Oct. 2023
Oct. 2023 - Oct. 2024
Oct. 2024 - Oct. 2025
2015-2020
2020-2025
2015-2025
1.25
0
0
Oct. 2017 - Oct. 2018
0.95
0
0
Oct. 2016 - Oct. 2017
2015 Ratios
0
4 total lots; built-out
just N. off
Brockdale Park Rd.
only 1 dev'ed lot LTBO;
(but, Collin CAD shows 7
unimproved lots in 2013;
however, likely double lots)
0
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
McCollum Estates
Woodmoor
Single Family
Existing
Lucas
7B
0.87
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
Unplatted parcels E. off Brockdale
Billy Harvell has 1.27 ac.;
Evered Terrell has 2.24 ac.;
Lynn Youmans has 3.03 ac.;
James Johnson has 3.72 ac.;
Michael Churchill has 4.61+5.4= 10.01 ac.;
Kevin Brashear has 6.98 ac. which is
just S. off of Lucas Rd.;
all parcels have estate homes on them
Single Family
Future
Lucas
7B
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
U.S.A. has in this PU,
25.5 + 87.2 + 26.8 + 25.5 +
6 + 25.5 + 40.3 + 7.4 +
21.6 + 32.6 +
103 + 12.3 Acres
all adjacent to the Lake;
Blackland Prairie Rapton Center
maintained by the Trinity
Trail Preservation Assn..
Lucas
Park
7B
7B
Oct. 2015 - Oct. 2016
Projected
Housing
Occupancies
Land Use Type
Phase
Municipality
Name
Planning Unit:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
x
214
48
166
4
4
2
10
28
34
35
34
32
31
TOTAL:
are on parcels which could be re-developed in the future;
appraised <$100,000 (12 in this PU alone)-these homes
PU's in Lucas, there is a larger no. of older homes
now in Princeton I.S.D. & on Lake; also, as with other
w/Miami, Trout, Daytona, and East Fork Streets that are
wastewater infrastructure; this PU had very old community
in City or near Lake, partially since City has no water/
Now, City of Lucas allows no MF or other high density
7B
101
119
146
159
153
147
105
64
72
72
678
460
1,138
Total
New Housing
Occupancies
People often assume that every home contains an average of two students, but in reality, this ratio of students per home is actually much lower. The ratio has to account for people whose children are no longer school aged, for students in private school, and for families where the children reside with one parent but the other parent has a separate household. Most suburban Districts average about 0.5 to 0.75 students per home overall, but more importantly, some specific neighborhoods have much higher and much lower ratios. It is important for PASA to understand which neighborhoods are more student‐oriented and which neighborhoods house more empty‐
nest families so that comparable ratios can be applied to the projected new housing. Ratios of Students per Home: Single‐Family Units The first map and chart in this chapter show ratios of students for single‐family units within major subdivisions. These ratios were developed by comparing the number of geocoded students living in each subdivision to the number of homes in each. The ratios of students per home ranged from 0.00 to 1.78 in specific subdivisions, for those subdivisions with more than 20 occupied units. A few developments had higher ratios, but very few homes occupied. Heritage Ranch is the only subdivision with more than 20 occupied homes and with a ratio a 0.00. The weighted average of students per home throughout the District is 0.98 (excluding homes in Heritage Ranch). Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
91
The highest ratios of students per occupied home were found in the following subdivisions: Planning Subdivision Unit 4B 4F 7A 2B 4J 2B 3B Broadmoor Estates Cimarron Brookhaven Ranch Estates Tranquility Farms The Enclave Stone Creek Estates Stacy Estates Ratio 1.78 1.70 1.62 1.62 1.61 1.58 1.53 The lowest ratios were found in the following subdivisions: Planning Unit 4D 3E 4F 4C 2B 4E 3E 4F Subdivision Ratio White Rock Creek Estates
Lucas Country
Hidden Meadows
Oakwood Estates I
McMillen Estates
Rollingwood
0.22
0.24
0.31
0.38
0.42
0.42
0.44
0.46
Such data are helpful in understanding why students are more dense in specific locations and which neighborhoods are empty‐nest areas. They also point to neighborhoods that are disproportionately oriented to older students or to young students. The ratios help to estimate the grade‐groups that will live in these neighborhoods over time, and, most importantly, assist in establishing the potential ratio of students per grade‐group for comparable new subdivisions. Although these ratios are utilized to obtain projections of added students for all new subdivisions and Planning Units, it is necessary to continue evaluating long‐term trends in the ratios, as they will change as a subdivision ages. Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
92
Long‐Term Ratio Trends Past Trends in Student Ratios Students per Occupied Home 2003 2006 2008 2010 2013 2015 0.74 0.77 0.74 0.84 1.01 0.98 As shown above, PASA first began measuring the ratios of students per household in the Spring of 2004, when the average ratio of those subdivisions assessed was 0.74. (This assessment was based on the estimated High School students living in Lovejoy I.S.D. who were attending Allen I.S.D.) At that same time, in 2004, when those High School students were excluded, the ratio of students (PK through 6th grade) per home was 0.39. The average ratio of students per single‐family home has increased steadily over the last 10+ years, with recent ratios measured at near 1 public school child per occupied home in L.I.S.D. (exclusive of homes in Heritage Ranch.) Last year’s overall ratio was 1.01 students per single‐family home, and this year, as noted above, the ratio of students per home is 0.98. This Demographic Update represents a look ten years forward. The ratios will continue to get higher for the next few years only if there is an increase in KN enrollment. Otherwise, the ratio should remain fairly stable over the next few years. Such data are helpful in understanding why students are more dense in specific locations and which neighborhoods are empty‐nest areas. They also point to neighborhoods that are disproportionately oriented to older students or to young students. The ratios help to estimate the grade‐groups that will live in these neighborhoods over time, and, most importantly, assist in establishing the potential ratio of students per grade‐group for comparable new subdivisions. Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
93
Ratios of Students per Occupied Unit
By Subdivision
Serenity
1.15
Woods of
Ascot Heath
0.11
un
2A
y
tr
Cl
ub
Map Layers
Ascot Rekietas
Heath
Hill
0.95
1.25
District Boundary
Rd
Red Oak
Country Club
Ranch
0
Red Estates
Oak Trl
Willow Fairview
0.76
Point
Ranch
1.92 Estates
0.5
Hart Road
Planning Units
1
Wynford
Chace
Stone Creek 1
Par
k
Ca m
in
o
Mu
Trl
Stacy Rd
l vd
4L
4G
Forest Grove
Place
0
Rock
Forest Grove Rd
4J
Rust Corlin
Forest Grove Rd.
Addition 0.67
Creeks
0
of Forest
Grove
1.8
Estates
of
Forest
Grove
5.5
Northfork
Forest Creek
Ranch
Estates
0.93 White Rock
1.14
Creek Estates
0.22
Hidden
Meadows
0.38
4D
Robertson
Addition
0
Rd
n
Blondy Jhu
Willow
Creek
0.83
Ingram Lane
Estates
0.42
e Rd .
Creekwood
Estates
1.17
Glenbrook
Estates
0.83
F M 1378
Lynne Ln
Sky View
Estates
0.46
b
Clu
4C
Tokalaun Park
& Estuary
1.11 McMillen
Co
try
Kingswood
Estates
0.29
un
Lemontree
Country
Estates
0.5
4B
Ranch at
Pecan Grove
0.88
The Enclave
1.61
Lee L n
g e Rd
Wolf C reek Dr
Reserve at
The Springs at
Forest Grove
Wolf Creek
1.29 Amherst
1.4
Estates
1.13
y
ar
M
R id
Broadmoor
Estates
1.78
Green Meadow
Estates
0.44
Angel Parkway
0.65
CR 321
3E
Thompson
Springs
1.27
4I Fairview
Farms
Saddlebrook
Estates
1.31
4E
Tara
0.9
Ranch Estates
Lovejoy
0.78
Trailside
0.81
Huntwick
1
[
0.5
Rockland
Farms
1.31
6
Belmont
Park
1.47
1
Miles
Stinson Road
Lewis Lane
0.25
Lucas
Country
0.31
Prado Verde
Estates
0.85
Estates at
Austin Trail
1.33
Choice
Acres
0.55
4F
Rollingwood
0.46
Edgewood
Cimarron Estates Holly
Lane
1.7
1.33
0.47
Lucas Road W.
0
"Texas
Pecan LP"
0
Estelle Lane
5
Estates of
Huntwick
1.19
Wendy Lane
Estates
0.47
Rolling
Hills Estates
0.75
Winningkoff Rd.
Rd
escott
Pr
Forest
Forest
GrGrove
o ve
Est a
Estates
tes Rd
0.24
Rock Creek
Estates
0.75
1.41 - 5.50
S t one Hin ge Dr
Country
Brook Estates
1.32
ok
untry B ro Ln
Co
1.18 - 1.40
4H
3D
3C
0.89 - 1.17
7A
Southview Dr. - FM 1378
Malone Rd
4K
0.66 - 0.88
Remington
Park
1.46
Stacy Road
Summer
Hill Farms
1.19
Stacy
Estates
Stacy Ridge
1.53 Fair
Estates
Meadow
1.26
0
B
e
Bridlegate
1
Old Stacy Rd
Pauls Wellington
Park Park Estates
0.22
Stacy Road0.4
E - FM 2786
2.86
Herita
g
Collinwood
Acres
1.1
FM 1378
O akw
oo
d
Ranger
Estates
0
4A
7
31
3A
Heritage
Ranch
0
CR
Blue
Grass Farms
0.72
Oaks of
Fairview
1.25
3B
stang
Quest Addition
0.83
Hardin
Acres
"Roberts
0
Second Edition"
3
Foxglen
Collinwood 0.87
Sycamore
Acres
North
Place
0.42
0.8
Countryside
0.88
Bellegrove
1.13
0.41 - 0.65
32
Oakwood
Estates II
0.93
River
Oaks
0.63
0.00 - 0.40
d
oa
Estates
1.58
Subdivisions
Montecito
0.68
al
Re
yr
nt
dale
2B
Streets
u
Co
Dr
Oakwood
Estates I
0.42
r
Tranquility
Farms
1.62
D
Stoddard Rd
Co
Fairview
Meadows
1.46
Lucas Road E. -
d
sR
ca
Lu Hobb
Hill
0.5
Cook Country
Estates
0.58 The Estates
of Camden
1.04
The Commons
of Camden
Hill Country
1.24
Estates
Brookhaven
0.67
Ranch Estates
1.62
Woodmoor
0.95
7B
FM
86
32
Lakeview
Country Estates
0.54
McCollum
Estates
Brockdale
1.25
Brockdale
2.45
Seis
Lagos
0.88
94
Lovejoy I.S.D.
Ratios of Students per Single-Family Home by Subdivision
Planning
Unit
4A
4F
4B
1
3B
6
4A
3A
6
4B
7B
7A
4F
4F
3A
3A
7B
4B
3D
1
4A
4D
4J
4E
4F
6
4J
4E
3B
4I
2A
2B
4D
3E
4B
3A
4C
3E
4A
4A
4A
4C
7A
7B
4F
4E
4C
5
4F
4C
7A
4F
7B
4E
1
1
4D
3A
2B
3A
4H
3A
7A
4A
4J
Name
"Roberts Second Edition"
"Texas Pecan LP"
Amherst Estates
Ascot Heath
Bellegrove
Belmont Park
Blue Grass Farms
Bridlegate
Bristol Park I
Broadmoor Estates
Brockdale
Choice Acres
Cimarron
Collinwood Acres
Collinwood Acres North
Corlin
Countryside
Creekside Estates
Creekwood Estates
Edgewood Estates
Estates at Austin Trail
Estates of Huntwick
Fair Meadow
Fairview Farms
Fairview Meadows
Forest Grove Place
Foxglen
Glenbrook Estates
Hardin Acres
Harper Landing Addition
Heritage Ranch
Hidden Meadows
Hobb Hill
Holly Lane
Huntwick
Kingswood Estates
Konrad Ranch
Lewis Park
Lucas Country
McCollum Estates
McMillen Estates
Montecito
Nature Place
Northfork Ranch
Oaks of Fairview
Oakwood Estates I
Oakwood Estates II
Parkside @ Fairview
Pauls Park
Prado Verde Estates
Quest Addition
Ranch at Pecan Grove
Phase
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Developing
Developing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Developing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Developing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Total
Ratio
# of
Students
# of
Homes
2.86
0.00
1.13
0.95
1.13
1.47
0.72
1.00
20
0
35
18
152
25
18
39
0
48
27
34
12
56
22
8
7
2
183
16
7
9
0
28
68
81
22
32
0
51
51
6
64
8
0
40
45
27
0
0
1
11
8
3
8
50
4
0
20
22
0
10
5
11
53
0
25
20
64
85
3
2
11
10
14
7
1
31
19
134
17
25
39
0
27
11
21
22
33
20
19
12
3
139
21
8
5
0
24
51
61
4
27
12
79
35
12
56
34
1
46
54
61
1
1.78
2.45
1.62
0.55
1.70
1.10
0.42
0.58
0.67
1.32
0.76
0.88
1.80
1.17
1.33
1.33
5.50
1.19
0.00
0.65
1.46
0.50
1.14
0.24
0.00
0.87
0.83
0.44
0.00
0.00
0.38
0.67
0.50
0.47
1.00
0.29
0.54
0.50
0.31
1.25
0.42
0.68
0.93
1.25
0.42
0.93
0.40
0.85
0.83
0.88
1145
29
12
6
17
50
14
0
37
44
EE‐5th
6th‐8th
9th‐12th
Ratio Students Ratio Students Ratio Students
1.29
0.00
0.45
0.53
0.40
0.94
0.36
0.38
1.04
1.36
0.86
0.27
0.97
0.60
0.05
0.33
0.67
0.45
0.33
0.50
0.20
0.33
0.69
0.59
3.25
0.52
0.00
0.13
0.54
0.33
0.30
0.06
0.00
0.28
0.24
0.16
0.00
0.00
0.24
0.08
0.17
0.12
0.14
0.14
0.24
0.14
32
4
26
78
0
27
16
153
91
0.13
0.75
0.27
0.17
5
13
12
16
0.20
0.31
0.33
0.56
0.44
0.38
0.12
0.34
9
0
14
10
54
16
9
15
0
28
15
18
6
32
12
1
4
2
62
7
4
1
0
8
35
36
13
14
0
10
19
4
17
2
0
13
13
10
0
0
0
7
1
1
2
7
2
0
9
6
0
4
3
7
13
0
12
6
19
31
1
1
4
4
9
0.57
0.00
0.32
0.26
0.34
0.29
0.16
0.38
0.37
0.82
0.43
0.09
0.36
0.10
0.11
0.17
0.00
0.38
0.14
0.13
0.60
0.21
0.24
0.43
1.00
0.22
0.00
0.23
0.29
0.17
0.38
0.09
0.00
0.24
0.31
0.15
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.25
0.00
0.29
0.24
0.07
0.08
0.09
0.16
0.00
0.04
0.21
0.19
0.44
0.11
0.27
0.00
0.15
0.33
0.06
4
0
10
5
46
5
4
15
0
10
9
9
2
12
2
2
2
0
53
3
1
3
0
5
12
26
4
6
0
18
10
2
21
3
0
11
17
9
0
0
1
0
3
0
5
12
1
0
3
4
0
5
0
1
16
0
5
7
17
25
1
0
2
4
1
1.00
0.00
0.35
0.16
0.39
0.24
0.20
0.23
7
0
11
3
52
4
5
9
0
10
3
7
4
12
8
5
1
0
68
6
2
5
0
15
21
19
5
12
0
23
22
0
26
3
0
16
15
8
0
0
0
4
4
2
1
31
1
0
8
12
0
1
2
3
24
0
8
7
28
29
1
1
5
2
4
0.37
0.27
0.33
0.18
0.36
0.40
0.26
0.08
0.00
0.49
0.29
0.25
1.00
0.63
0.41
0.31
1.25
0.44
0.00
0.29
0.63
0.00
0.46
0.09
0.00
0.35
0.28
0.13
0.00
0.00
0.14
0.33
0.33
0.06
0.62
0.07
0.22
0.27
0.03
0.50
0.12
0.31
0.30
0.44
0.18
0.32
0.20
0.38
0.17
0.25
95
Lovejoy I.S.D.
Ratios of Students per Single-Family Home by Subdivision
Planning
Unit
5
4A
1
1
4H
4B
3A
4C
3E
6
4E
4F
4B
5
7B
1
4C
3B
3C
3B
2B
4K
3A
4E
7B
4J
7B
4L
4H
4E
5
2B
3A
4E
4D
4E
2B
4F
7B
1
2B
Name
Ranger Estates
Red Oak Ranch
Rekietas Hill
Remington Park
Reserve at Forest Grove
River Oaks
Robertson Addition
Rock Creek Estates
Rockland Farms
Rollingwood
Rust Addition
Saddlebrook Estates
Seis Lagos
Serenity
Sky View Estates
Stacy Estates
Stacy Ridge Estates
Steeplechase
Stone Creek Estates
Summer Hill Farms
Sycamore Place
Tara
The Enclave
The Estates of Camden
Thompson Springs
Trailside
Tranquility Farms
Wendy Lane Estates
Willow Creek
Willow Point
Woodmoor
Wynford Chace
Phase
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Weighted Ratio:
Total
Ratio
# of
Students
# of
Homes
0.78
0.00
0.00
1.25
1.46
1.29
0.63
0.00
0.75
1.31
0.75
0.46
0.00
1.31
0.88
1.15
0.46
1.53
1.26
18
8
5
4
13
21
97
8
16
65
4
46
1
67
213
73
13
32
275
0
24
59
44
61
62
23
26
60
86
9
16
34
18
19
23
36
12
0
44
9
10
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.25
0.85
0.67
0.13
0.00
0.44
0.55
0.25
0.20
0.00
0.40
0.32
0.60
0.31
0.63
0.47
0.95
0.11
1.00
14
0
0
5
19
27
61
0
12
85
3
21
0
88
188
84
6
49
347
0
38
70
35
55
77
37
27
84
109
10
13
55
4
9
5
30
23
0
42
1
10
0.74
3,393
3,392
1.58
1.19
0.80
0.90
1.24
1.61
1.04
1.40
1.27
1.11
0.81
1.62
0.22
0.47
0.22
0.83
1.92
Weighted Ratio (excluding Heritage Ranch): 0.98
Proportion of Total Students by Grade Group:
EE‐5th
6th‐8th
9th‐12th
Ratio Students Ratio Students Ratio Students
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.25
0.54
0.19
0.20
0.00
0.25
0.40
0.25
0.17
0.00
0.34
0.21
0.32
0.00
0.38
0.32
0.36
0.00
0.40
9
0
0
1
11
14
13
0
7
36
1
9
0
27
68
44
4
20
129
0
10
32
15
20
23
12
16
33
42
4
6
26
1
3
1
11
18
0
16
0
4
4,615
0.29
3,470
0.38
0.42
0.54
0.34
0.33
0.37
0.52
0.62
0.55
0.49
0.44
0.38
0.76
0.06
0.16
0.04
0.31
1.50
0.28
0.00
0.00
0.75
0.08
0.43
0.30
0.00
0.06
0.35
0.25
0.09
0.00
0.57
0.35
0.23
0.15
0.53
0.47
0.23
0.11
0.10
0
0
0
1
7
4
19
0
4
26
1
8
0
23
45
23
0
12
88
0
18
18
10
16
31
8
6
22
17
3
4
17
1
3
1
9
2
0
10
1
1
0.36
0.00
0.50
5
0
0
3
1
9
29
0
1
23
1
4
0
38
75
17
2
17
130
0
10
20
10
19
23
17
5
29
50
3
3
12
2
3
3
10
3
0
16
0
5
1,325
0.20
903
0.25
1,165
1,325
0.26
902
0.34
1,165
39%
0.75
0.31
0.23
0.26
0.50
0.35
0.23
0.37
0.20
0.33
0.25
0.50
0.06
0.16
0.04
0.25
0.17
0.42
0.34
0.23
0.31
0.37
0.74
0.19
0.48
0.58
0.33
0.19
0.35
0.11
0.16
0.13
0.28
0.25
27%
34%
96
PASA needs to understand where the current students are residing, and also if those students are slowly redistributing themselves throughout the District. To accomplish this, PASA has “geo‐
coded” each student, placing each students on a GIS map, according to his or her address. The datafile used for this analysis was downloaded from the District’s database on the PEIMS snapshot date in October, 2015 and contained 3,946 EE‐12th grade students. Of that total, 314 students were not codable, due in most part, to their residing outside the district boundaries. A similar file from the PEIMS snapshot date in 2014 was also used to compare and assess trends in the District. Resident Students by Attendance Zone The first maps in the report show the geo‐coded students analyzed at the attendance zone level. During the last 12 months, Puster gained 6 geo‐coded elementary students, while Lovejoy lost 18 and Hart stayed the same, with a 0 net gain. Much of the growth in the District occurred in the upper grades in the last year, and is, therefore, not reflected in these numbers. Recent Student Trends by Planning Unit PASA also needs to understand where areas of growth and decline have recently occurred within the District boundaries. Residency patterns are constantly changing, and it is important to understand what is occurring in built‐out areas of the District. The next map in this chapter shows the number of students currently living in each Planning Unit, while the following map shows the growth and decline in students between October, 2014 and October, 2015. Some Planning Units – in blue and purple – saw declines, or no growth, in students in the last year, while the areas in red showed the greatest increase in students. The Planning Units that showed the largest increases contained Brockdale, Broadmoor Estates, and Steeplechase. Recent Student Trends by Development This year, the most significant net growth of new students added to Lovejoy I.S.D. occurred in actively‐building subdivisions (85 added students over the past year), while built‐out subdivisions gained 2 students net. Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
97
Added Students
Resident
Resident
2014 to 2015
Students in Students in
Actual
Percent
Fall 2015
Fall 2014
Type of development
Change Change
Subdivisions - built-out
2,942
2,944
2
0%
Subdivisions - actively building
422
507
85
20%
87
Percent of Growth
2014 to 2015
2%
Subdivisions - built-out
98%
Subdivisions - actively building
The actively‐growing subdivisions that added the most students this year included Brockdale (23 students added,) Broadmoor Estates (18 added students), and Remington Park and Tranquility Farms that each added 8 students. The older, built‐out subdivisions both added and lost students. More of the subdivisions gained students than lost students this year, and the net was an increase in student population of 2 students. Most interesting, though, was age the distribution of those students: there were 23 lost at the elementary level, with 25 gained at the secondary level. The largest losers were: Country Brook Estates (‐10), Fairview Farms (‐10), River Oaks (‐10), and Lemontree Country Estates (‐8.) The largest increase was Bellegrove, which gained 19 students, followed by Oakewood Estates II, which gained 6 students. Thompson Springs and The Estates of Camden both gained 5 students each. Most importantly, the existing subdivisions appeared to lose net 12 students between 2013 and 2014 (decline of 28 elementary students, and a gain of 40 secondary students. Likewise, between 2014 and 2015, there were a net of two students gained in older, existing subdivisions (decline of 31 elementary students, and gain of 33 secondary students). In further analysis, the entirety of the decline in elementary students was due to the small incoming KN class compared to the large outgoing 4th grade class. When controlling for this aging effect, the older Elementary grades actually realize a slight gain of students in these older subdivisions. Students Living Outside of Platted Subdivisions Much of Lovejoy I.S.D. still maintains some of its rural roots, and a not‐insignificant number of students live in homes that are not part of platted subdivisions. Approximately 162 students are living outside of platted subdivisions. Similarly, another subset of students who do not live in the District’s platted subdivisions are represented by the over 300 students who are transferring into the District. These students are factored into the projections model over the short term as a relatively consistent population. Over the long term, when considering the ultimate build‐out scenario for the District, it has been assumed that some of the larger lots that are currently outside of platted subdivisions will be subdivided or otherwise incorporated into future platted residential developments. Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
98
Aging Homebuyers Chapter Three has a discussion of ratios of students per home for each individual subdivision in L.I.S.D. These ratios help to estimate the numbers of students that will live in these neighborhoods over time, and, most importantly, assist in establishing the potential ratio of students per grade‐group for comparable new subdivisions. As is noted elsewhere, a potentially challenging factor in using current ratios to project students per new home over the next ten years is that aging baby boomers are becoming a bigger proportion of the home buyer market. For example, one non‐local study by MetroStudy indicated that 52% of all new home buyers may be 55 and over within the next five to ten years. To further emphasize this finding, the most recent annual Harvard housing study shows that there will be a 20% increase in homeowners 50 and over in ten years, purely due to the baby boomer “effect.” But, in Lovejoy I.S.D., a suburban location that is part of a large Texas metro area, there is also the countervailing effect of younger homeowners desiring to move into the District, thus obfuscating this “older baby boomer” effect, in that younger persons moving in contribute to a de‐
aging of the homebuying population. Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
99
Love joy I. S. D.
Cu r r e n t G e o - c o d e d E E- 4 t h G r a d e S t u d e n t s , O c t o b e r 2 0 1 5
Wils
on C
reek
Hart Road
oa
Sl
ek
a n C re
S lo
n
C
re
ek
Puster
361
Stacy Road
Stacy Road
Forest Grove Rd.
Blo ndy J
eR
hu n
W
d.
hi
te
R
oc
k
Cr
ee
k
Lucas Road W.
Stinson Road
Lewis Lane
Estelle Lane
Hart
404
Winningkoff Rd.
Ingram Lane
Angel Parkway
Lovejoy
358
328
. - FM
E
d
a
Lu ca s Ro
Brockdale
100
6
Love joy I. S. D.
Ab s o l u t e a n d P e r c e n t Ch a n g e i n G e o - c o d e d E E - 4 t h G r a d e S t u d e n t s
October 2014 to October 2015
Wils
on C
reek
Hart Road
oa
Sl
ek
a n C re
S lo
n
C
re
ek
Puster
6
2%
Stacy Road
Stacy Road
Forest Grove Rd.
Blo ndy J
eR
hu n
W
d.
hi
te
R
oc
k
Cr
ee
k
Lucas Road W.
Stinson Road
Lewis Lane
Estelle Lane
Hart
0
0%
Winningkoff Rd.
Ingram Lane
Angel Parkway
Lovejoy
-18
-5%
328
. - FM
E
d
a
Lu ca s Ro
Brockdale
101
6
Love joy I. S. D.
Wils
nC
Cu r r e n t G e o - coo
dreeed
E E- 1 2 t h G r a d e S t u d e n t s , O c t o b e r 2 0 1 5
k
55
177
Hart Road
204
oa
Sl
ek
a n C re
S lo
n
C
re
ek
67
322
Stacy Road
347
183
51
70
84
2
White R
51
122
ock Cre
73
ek
101
111
Blo ndy J h
un
W
.
e Rd
Lewis Lane
hit
e
R
oc
268
Ingram Lane
Angel Parkway
131
129
Estelle Lane
216
k
Cr
ee
k
205
328
. - FM
E
d
a
Lu ca s Ro
Lucas Road W.
Stinson Road
203
Stacy Road
Winningkoff Rd.
74
385
6
Brockdale
102
Love joy I. S. D.
Ab s o l u t e a n d P e r c e n t Ch a n g e i n G e o - c o d e d E E - 1 2 t h G r a d e S t u d e n t s
October 2014 to October 2015
Wils
on C
2
4%
Hart Road
reek
7
4%
15
8%
oa
Sl
ek
a n C re
S lo
n
C
re
ek
9
16%
2
1%
-4
-1%
-10
-5%
-3
-3%
1
100%
White R
22
22%
ock Cre
4
6%
ek
0
0%
-9
-8%
Blo ndy J
eR
hu n
Lewis Lane
W
d.
hi
te
R
oc
-6
-2%
Ingram Lane
Angel Parkway
-1
-2%
-10
-16%
4
6%
8
7%
Estelle Lane
11
5%
k
Cr
ee
k
-3
-1%
328
. - FM
E
d
a
Lu ca s Ro
Lucas Road W.
Stinson Road
21
12%
12
10%
Stacy Road
Winningkoff Rd.
Stacy Road
-6
-8%
18
5%
6
Brockdale
103
S t u d e n t Tr e n d s b y D e v e l op m e n t
A b s o lu t e a n d P e r c e n t C h a n g e , F a ll 2 0 1 4 to F a ll 2 0 1 5
Woods of
Ascot Heath
1, 100%
2B
Wynford
Chace
0, 0%
r
D
Tr l
oo
d
O akw
FM 1378
d
lv
B
ge
Herita
4L
4B
Creeks of
Forest Grove
0, 0%
Estates of
Forest Creek
Forest Grove
Estates
7, 46.7%
3, 4.9%
White Rock
Creek Estates
Northfork 1, 25%
Ranch
Tokalaun Park McMillen
Co -3, -10.7%
& Estuary
Estates
"Adamson"
-3, -23.1%
1, 10%
0, 0%
Hidden
Meadows
-2, -15.4%
4C
4D
Kingswood
Estates
-2, -33.3%
Sky View
Estates R
1, 20% d
Robertson
Rimrock
Addition Estates Parkway
- FM 2170
0, 0%
0, 0%
Glenbrook
Estates
1, 2.3%
Blondy Jhu
Ingram Lane
Willow
Creek
3, 11.1%
5
0.5
1
Miles
Creekwood
Estates
3, 12%
4E
Tara
-7, -11.3%
Saddlebrook
Estates
2, 2.3%
Lewis Lane
[
.
ne Rd
F M 137 8
Lynne Ln
ub
Cl
Lemontree
Country Estates
-8, -26.7%
Ranch Estates
Lovejoy
4, 40%
Edgewood
Cimarron Estates
0, 0%
-2, -2.9%
Lucas Road W.
Estates at
Austin Trail
4, 5.2%
6
Belmont
Park
5, 25%
Bristol
Park I
5, 100%
7A
"Barrett/Rios"
0, 0%
Rollingwood
1, 5%
Brookhaven
Ranch Estates
3, 9.7%
0, 0%
Winding Creek
Reserve
0, 0% d
sR
ca
Lu
Hobb Hill
-2, -40%
Cook Country
The Estates Estates
of Camden 1, 16.7%
5, 22.7%
Hill Country
Estates
-4, -33.3%
Choice
Acres
3, 33.3%
4F
0, 0%
Lucas Country
1, 11.1%
Prado Verde
Estates
-2, -15.4%
Rolling
Hills Estates
1, 50%
Huntwick
-6, -10.7%
Holly Lane
-2, -20%
Rockland
Farms
-3, -3.4%
Estates of
Huntwick
-1, -3%
Wendy Lane
Estates
0, 0%
Estelle Lane
Trailside
1, 8.3%
0.25
4J
4G
Lee L n
g e Rd
Broadmoor
Estates
Wolf Creek Dr
Reserve at
Ranch at
18, 60%
The Springs at
The Enclave
Forest Grove
Pecan Grove
Wolf Creek
-6, -14%
0, 0%
3, 27.3%
-3, -3.4%
Amherst
Forest Grove Rd
Estates 1, 100%
-2, -5.4%
Forest Grove Rd.
Corlin
1, 100%
y
R id
Thompson
Springs
r
S t one Hin
e D
5,g4.8%
ar
Ro ck
4I
Konrad
Ranch
2, 100%
0
5 - 23
try
un
Green Meadow
Estates
2, 8%
2-4
M
3E
Fairview Farms
-10, -16.4%
Summer
Hill Farms
4, 6.1%
Forest
Forest
G rGrove
o ve
E st a
Estates
tes Rd
0, 0%
Angel Parkway
Malone Rd
4K
Country
Brook Estates
-10, -5.2%
1
Remington
Park
8, 72.7%
4H
Stacy Road
3D
Rock Creek
Estates
-1, -7.7%
Parkside @
Fairview
-1, -25%
CR 321
Bellegrove
19, 14.3%
3C
Stacy Ridge
Estates
-4, -1.1%
ok
untry B ro Ln
o
C
"Roberts Second
Edition"
7, 53.8%
7
31
3B
ott Rd
esc
Pr
Stacy
Estates
2, 4.3%
0
CR
Oaks of
Fairview
0, 0%
Bridlegate
Wellington
Old Stacy Rd
2, 5.4%
Park Estates
Pauls Park
Pannell
0, 0%
1, 100%
Acres
0, 0%
6
4A
3
Blue Grass
Farms
0, 0%
Collinwood
Acres
-1, -4.3%
-2 - -1
32
3A
Countryside
1, 16.7%
Heritage
Ranch
0, 0%
Quest Addition
1, 11.1%
Winningko ff Rd.
ale
P ar
kd
M u stang
d
Foxglen
Sycamore
2, 5.3%
Collinwood
Place
Acres North
2, 6.1%
0, 0%
-10 - -3
oa
o
in
Absolute Change
Montecito
-3, -5.4%
al
Re
yr
Ca m
Subdivisions
t
un
River Oaks
-9, -12.9%
Streets
1
Stone Creek
Estates
1, 2.7%
Oakwood
Estates II
6, 7.6%
Planning Units
Red Oak
Ranch Country Club
0, 0%Red OEstates
ak Trl
Fairview
1, 6.7%
Willow
Point Ranch Estates
1, 20%
5, 27.8%
r
D
R
d
Co
Oakwood
Estates I
0, 0%
Cl
ub
Stinson Road
Tranquility
Farms
8, 17%
y
District Boundary
AscotRekietas
Heath Hill
4, 28.6% 0, 0%
Stacy Rd
Stoddard Rd
Hart Road
r
nt
ou
2A
C
Puster
Elementary
1, 100%
Fairview
"B. M.
Meadows
Stoddard"
1, 2%
0, 0%
Map Layers
Serenity
4, 5%
The Commons
of Camden
-3, -3.8%
Lewis Park
0, 0%
Lucas Road E. -
Woodmoor
3, 7.7%
7B
FM
86
32
Lakeview
Country Estates
0, 0%
McCollum
Estates
Brockdale
-1, -16.7%
Brockdale
23, 575%
Seis Lagos
-6, -3.1%
Student Trends by Development ‐ All Developments, Sorted Alphabetically (2015), Lovejoy I.S.D.
2014 to 2015: Of the gain in students, existing subdivisions gained 2% and active subdivisions gained 98%
Fall 2013
PU
Name
Class
Phase
4A
4B
1
3B
6
4A
3A
6
4B
7B
7A
4F
4F
3A
3A
7B
4B
3D
1
4A
4D
4E
4F
6
4J
4E
4I
2A
2B
4D
3E
3A
4C
3E
4A
4C
7A
7B
4F
4E
4C
5
4F
4C
7A
4F
7B
4E
1
4D
3A
2B
3A
4H
3A
"Roberts Second Edition"
Amherst Estates
Ascot Heath
Bellegrove
Belmont Park
Blue Grass Farms
Bridlegate
Bristol Park I
Broadmoor Estates
Brockdale
Choice Acres
Cimarron
Collinwood Acres
Collinwood Acres North
Corlin
Countryside
Creekwood Estates
Edgewood Estates
Estates at Austin Trail
Estates of Huntwick
Fairview Farms
Fairview Meadows
Foxglen
Glenbrook Estates
Heritage Ranch
Hidden Meadows
Hobb Hill
Holly Lane
Huntwick
Kingswood Estates
Konrad Ranch
Lewis Park
Lucas Country
McCollum Estates
McMillen Estates
Montecito
Northfork Ranch
Oaks of Fairview
Oakwood Estates I
Oakwood Estates II
Parkside @ Fairview
Pauls Park
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Developing
Developing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Developing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Median
Median
Market Value Year Built
$433,912
$669,496
$602,873
$330,945
$864,102
$343,642
$730,000
$146,321
$486,815
$99,000
$495,436
$314,234
$638,638
$210,000
$337,186
$256,031
$441,032
$421,868
$387,457
$392,588
$350,000
$631,920
$696,683
$595,435
$387,967
$673,432
$379,121
$616,512
$469,588
$625,757
$274,351
$378,063
$361,207
$353,235
$314,736
$324,407
$291,832
$297,603
$257,535
$520,320
$371,681
$171,520
$313,399
$260,986
$1,312,412
$291,563
$464,927
$300,051
$325,360
$415,509
$686,701
$784,062
$716,643
$2,168,941
$597,239
2013
2008
1987
2004
2013
1984
2001
2015
2014
2015
1984
1992
2010
1974
1979
1986
1999
2002
1975
1990
2012
2003
2011
2004
2014
2003
1991
2002
2014
2000
1976
1983
1992
1993
2005
1981
1984
1969
1980
1997
1990
1984
1979
1969
1982
1990
1980
1982
1999
2000
1998
1998
2009
1993
Fall 2014
Fall 2013 to Fall 2014
Fall 2015
EE‐12th
EE‐12
EE‐5
6‐12
EE‐12
EE‐5
6‐12
EE‐12
EE‐5
6‐12
10
39
11
113
10
19
41
0
5
0
34
13
52
23
10
10
1
192
14
4
7
27
61
72
14
34
64
50
0
69
10
39
61
30
3
11
12
5
10
62
7
0
20
29
2
11
4
6
59
28
20
71
91
8
1
6
18
6
46
8
11
16
0
3
0
20
6
29
8
2
6
1
73
5
2
2
6
34
34
7
15
15
16
0
29
5
16
25
12
1
6
4
1
3
15
3
0
7
9
0
4
1
1
20
14
9
23
32
2
0
4
21
5
67
2
8
25
0
2
0
14
7
23
15
8
4
0
119
9
2
5
21
27
38
7
19
49
34
0
40
5
23
36
18
2
5
8
4
7
47
4
0
13
20
2
7
3
5
39
14
11
48
59
6
1
13
37
14
133
20
18
37
0
30
4
31
9
56
23
8
6
1
193
15
6
9
25
70
77
15
33
61
50
5
61
8
38
44
25
1
13
12
5
10
56
6
0
20
30
0
9
6
10
56
28
20
64
79
4
1
6
16
6
50
12
12
12
0
17
3
17
4
33
9
1
4
1
74
7
4
2
6
37
33
9
15
14
17
5
21
3
17
17
9
1
6
2
1
1
10
1
0
9
8
0
4
3
5
16
13
8
19
26
0
0
7
21
8
83
8
6
25
0
13
1
14
5
23
14
7
2
0
119
8
2
7
19
33
44
6
18
47
33
0
40
5
21
27
16
0
7
10
4
9
46
5
0
11
22
0
5
3
5
40
15
12
45
53
4
1
20
35
18
152
25
18
39
5
48
27
34
12
56
22
8
7
2
183
16
7
9
28
68
81
22
32
51
51
6
64
8
40
45
27
1
11
8
3
8
50
4
2
20
22
0
10
5
11
53
25
20
64
85
3
2
9
14
10
54
16
9
15
5
28
15
18
6
32
12
1
4
2
62
7
4
1
8
35
36
13
14
10
19
4
17
2
13
13
10
0
7
1
1
2
7
2
2
9
6
0
4
3
7
13
12
6
19
31
1
1
11
21
8
98
9
9
24
0
20
12
16
6
24
10
7
3
0
121
9
3
8
20
33
45
9
18
41
32
2
47
6
27
32
17
1
4
7
2
6
43
2
0
11
16
0
6
2
4
40
13
14
45
54
2
1
EE‐5
6th‐12th
EE‐12th
EE‐5
6th‐12th
Abs. Chg. Pct. Chg. Abs. Chg. Pct. Chg. Abs. Chg. Pct. Chg. Abs. Chg. Pct. Chg. Abs. Chg. Pct. Chg. Abs. Chg. Pct. Chg.
3
‐2
3
20
10
‐1
‐4
0
25
4
‐3
‐4
4
0
‐2
‐4
0
1
1
2
2
‐2
9
5
1
‐1
‐3
0
5
‐8
‐2
‐1
‐17
‐5
‐2
2
0
0
0
‐6
‐1
0
0
1
‐2
‐2
2
4
‐3
0
0
‐7
‐12
‐4
0
30%
‐5%
27%
18%
100%
‐5%
‐10%
0%
500%
100%
‐9%
‐31%
8%
0%
‐20%
‐40%
0%
1%
7%
50%
29%
‐7%
15%
7%
7%
‐3%
‐5%
0%
100%
‐12%
‐20%
‐3%
‐28%
‐17%
‐67%
18%
0%
0%
0%
‐10%
‐14%
0%
0%
3%
‐100%
‐18%
50%
67%
‐5%
0%
0%
‐10%
‐13%
‐50%
0%
0
‐2
0
4
4
1
‐4
0
14
3
‐3
‐2
4
1
‐1
‐2
0
1
2
2
0
0
3
‐1
2
0
‐1
1
5
‐8
‐2
1
‐8
‐3
0
0
‐2
0
‐2
‐5
‐2
0
2
‐1
0
0
2
4
‐4
‐1
‐1
‐4
‐6
‐2
0
0%
‐11%
0%
9%
50%
9%
‐25%
0%
467%
100%
‐15%
‐33%
14%
13%
‐50%
‐33%
0%
1%
40%
100%
0%
0%
9%
‐3%
29%
0%
‐7%
6%
100%
‐28%
‐40%
6%
‐32%
‐25%
0%
0%
‐50%
0%
‐67%
‐33%
‐67%
0%
29%
‐11%
0%
0%
200%
400%
‐20%
‐7%
‐11%
‐17%
‐19%
‐100%
0%
3
0
3
16
6
‐2
0
0
11
1
0
‐2
0
‐1
‐1
‐2
0
0
‐1
0
2
‐2
6
6
‐1
‐1
‐2
‐1
0
0
0
‐2
‐9
‐2
‐2
2
2
0
2
‐1
1
0
‐2
2
‐2
‐2
0
0
1
1
1
‐3
‐6
‐2
0
75%
0%
60%
24%
300%
‐25%
0%
0%
550%
100%
0%
‐29%
0%
‐7%
‐13%
‐50%
0%
0%
‐11%
0%
40%
‐10%
22%
16%
‐14%
‐5%
‐4%
‐3%
0%
0%
0%
‐9%
‐25%
‐11%
‐100%
40%
25%
0%
29%
‐2%
25%
0%
‐15%
10%
‐100%
‐29%
0%
0%
3%
7%
9%
‐6%
‐10%
‐33%
0%
7
‐2
4
19
5
0
2
5
18
23
3
3
0
‐1
0
1
1
‐10
1
1
0
3
‐2
4
7
‐1
‐10
1
1
3
0
2
1
2
0
‐2
‐4
‐2
‐2
‐6
‐2
2
0
‐8
0
1
‐1
1
‐3
‐3
0
0
6
‐1
1
54%
‐5%
29%
14%
25%
0%
5%
100%
60%
575%
10%
33%
0%
‐4%
0%
17%
100%
‐5%
7%
17%
0%
12%
‐3%
5%
47%
‐3%
‐16%
2%
20%
5%
0%
5%
2%
8%
0%
‐15%
‐33%
‐40%
‐20%
‐11%
‐33%
100%
0%
‐27%
0%
11%
‐17%
10%
‐5%
‐11%
0%
0%
8%
‐25%
100%
3
‐2
4
4
4
‐3
3
5
11
12
1
2
‐1
3
0
0
1
‐12
0
0
‐1
2
‐2
3
4
‐1
‐4
2
‐1
‐4
‐1
‐4
‐4
1
‐1
1
‐1
0
1
‐3
1
2
0
‐2
0
0
0
2
‐3
‐1
‐2
0
5
1
1
50%
‐13%
67%
8%
33%
‐25%
25%
100%
65%
400%
6%
50%
‐3%
33%
0%
0%
100%
‐16%
0%
0%
‐50%
33%
‐5%
9%
44%
‐7%
‐29%
12%
‐20%
‐19%
‐33%
‐24%
‐24%
11%
‐100%
17%
‐50%
0%
100%
‐30%
100%
100%
0%
‐25%
0%
0%
0%
40%
‐19%
‐8%
‐25%
0%
19%
100%
100%
4
0
0
15
1
3
‐1
0
7
11
2
1
1
‐4
0
1
0
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
3
0
‐6
‐1
2
7
1
6
5
1
1
‐3
‐3
‐2
‐3
‐3
‐3
0
0
‐6
0
1
‐1
‐1
0
‐2
2
0
1
‐2
0
57%
0%
0%
18%
13%
50%
‐4%
0%
54%
1100%
14%
20%
4%
‐29%
0%
50%
0%
2%
13%
50%
14%
5%
0%
2%
50%
0%
‐13%
‐3%
100%
18%
20%
29%
19%
6%
100%
‐43%
‐30%
‐50%
‐33%
‐7%
‐60%
0%
0%
‐27%
0%
20%
‐33%
‐20%
0%
‐13%
17%
0%
2%
‐50%
0%
104
Student Trends by Development ‐ All Developments, Sorted Alphabetically (2015), Lovejoy I.S.D.
2014 to 2015: Of the gain in students, existing subdivisions gained 2% and active subdivisions gained 98%
Fall 2013
PU
Name
Class
Phase
7A
4A
4J
5
1
1
4H
4B
3A
4C
3E
6
4E
4F
5
7B
1
4C
3B
3C
2B
4K
3A
4E
7B
4J
7B
4L
4H
4E
5
2B
3A
4E
4D
4E
2B
4F
7B
1
2B
Prado Verde Estates
Quest Addition
Ranch at Pecan Grove
Red Oak Ranch
Rekietas Hill
Remington Park
Reserve at Forest Grove
River Oaks
Robertson Addition
Rock Creek Estates
Rockland Farms
Rollingwood
Saddlebrook Estates
Seis Lagos
Serenity
Sky View Estates
Stacy Estates
Stacy Ridge Estates
Stone Creek Estates
Summer Hill Farms
Sycamore Place
Tara
The Enclave
The Estates of Camden
Thompson Springs
Trailside
Tranquility Farms
Wendy Lane Estates
Willow Creek
Willow Point
Woodmoor
Wynford Chace
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Subdivision
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Developing
Developing
Existing
Existing
Existing
Median
Median
Market Value Year Built
Total
$265,733
$519,788
$543,344
$394,157
$525,151
$200,178
$522,270
$608,760
$480,341
$293,224
$238,867
$675,423
$268,000
$305,203
$659,425
$408,855
$786,613
$323,093
$535,996
$433,068
$1,024,432
$473,643
$526,078
$401,141
$316,334
$649,889
$469,087
$663,141
$645,476
$764,521
$388,470
$1,279,289
$420,366
$599,425
$385,621
$268,752
$690,138
$169,600
$252,563
$531,339
$385,427
1975
2000
2011
1973
2008
1985
2014
2011
1985
1984
1973
2012
1976
1983
2004
1997
2012
1986
2009
2003
2005
2001
1993
2003
2001
2006
2002
2010
2005
2005
2000
2011
1994
1995
1992
1979
2012
2001
1982
1992
1992
Fall 2014
Fall 2015
EE‐12th
EE‐5
6th‐12th
EE‐12th
EE‐5
6th‐12th
EE‐12
EE‐5
6‐12
EE‐12
EE‐5
6‐12
EE‐12
EE‐5
6‐12
Abs. Chg. Pct. Chg. Abs. Chg. Pct. Chg. Abs. Chg. Pct. Chg. Abs. Chg. Pct. Chg. Abs. Chg. Pct. Chg. Abs. Chg. Pct. Chg.
18
9
12
9
2
3
0
27
66
1
11
75
2
16
101
195
62
4
46
348
36
69
29
58
80
37
21
85
103
9
13
45
4
9
4
20
21
4
43
0
9
3
5
7
2
0
0
0
9
21
0
8
36
1
7
32
75
37
1
23
139
18
28
16
21
34
14
12
42
33
5
8
25
1
3
0
11
16
2
16
0
4
15
4
5
7
2
3
0
18
45
1
3
39
1
9
69
120
25
3
23
209
18
41
13
37
46
23
9
43
70
4
5
20
3
6
4
9
5
2
27
0
5
13
9
11
10
0
5
11
27
70
0
13
88
2
20
86
194
80
5
47
351
37
66
33
62
80
43
22
87
104
13
12
47
4
9
4
27
18
0
39
0
10
2
4
7
3
0
2
7
12
21
0
8
38
1
8
22
73
44
3
21
134
11
27
17
21
27
20
13
38
35
7
8
29
1
3
0
11
12
0
16
0
4
11
5
4
7
0
3
4
15
49
0
5
50
1
12
64
121
36
2
26
217
26
39
16
41
53
23
9
49
69
6
4
18
3
6
4
16
6
0
23
0
6
11
10
14
14
0
5
19
27
61
0
12
85
3
21
88
188
84
6
49
347
38
70
35
55
77
37
27
84
109
10
13
55
4
9
5
30
23
0
42
1
10
4
4
9
9
0
1
11
14
13
0
7
36
1
9
27
68
44
4
20
129
10
32
15
20
23
12
16
33
42
4
6
26
1
3
1
11
18
0
16
0
4
7
6
5
5
0
4
8
13
48
0
5
49
2
12
61
120
40
2
29
218
28
38
20
35
54
25
11
51
67
6
7
29
3
6
4
19
5
0
26
1
6
‐5
0
‐1
1
‐2
2
11
0
4
‐1
2
13
0
4
‐15
‐1
18
1
1
3
1
‐3
4
4
0
6
1
2
1
4
‐1
2
0
0
0
7
‐3
‐4
‐4
0
1
‐28%
0%
‐8%
11%
‐100%
67%
100%
0%
6%
‐100%
18%
17%
0%
25%
‐15%
‐1%
29%
25%
2%
1%
3%
‐4%
14%
7%
0%
16%
5%
2%
1%
44%
‐8%
4%
0%
0%
0%
35%
‐14%
‐100%
‐9%
0%
11%
‐1
‐1
0
1
0
2
7
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
‐10
‐2
7
2
‐2
‐5
‐7
‐1
1
0
‐7
6
1
‐4
2
2
0
4
0
0
0
0
‐4
‐2
0
0
0
‐33%
‐20%
0%
50%
0%
100%
100%
33%
0%
0%
0%
6%
0%
14%
‐31%
‐3%
19%
200%
‐9%
‐4%
‐39%
‐4%
6%
0%
‐21%
43%
8%
‐10%
6%
40%
0%
16%
0%
0%
0%
0%
‐25%
‐100%
0%
0%
0%
‐4
1
‐1
0
‐2
0
4
‐3
4
‐1
2
11
0
3
‐5
1
11
‐1
3
8
8
‐2
3
4
7
0
0
6
‐1
2
‐1
‐2
0
0
0
7
1
‐2
‐4
0
1
‐27%
25%
‐20%
0%
‐100%
0%
100%
‐17%
9%
‐100%
67%
28%
0%
33%
‐7%
1%
44%
‐33%
13%
4%
44%
‐5%
23%
11%
15%
0%
0%
14%
‐1%
50%
‐20%
‐10%
0%
0%
0%
78%
20%
‐100%
‐15%
0%
20%
‐2
1
3
4
0
0
8
0
‐9
0
‐1
‐3
1
1
2
‐6
4
1
2
‐4
1
4
2
‐7
‐3
‐6
5
‐3
5
‐3
1
8
0
0
1
3
5
0
3
1
0
‐15%
11%
27%
40%
0%
0%
73%
0%
‐13%
0%
‐8%
‐3%
50%
5%
2%
‐3%
5%
20%
4%
‐1%
3%
6%
6%
‐11%
‐4%
‐14%
23%
‐3%
5%
‐23%
8%
17%
0%
0%
25%
11%
28%
0%
8%
100%
0%
2
0
2
6
0
‐1
4
2
‐8
0
‐1
‐2
0
1
5
‐5
0
1
‐1
‐5
‐1
5
‐2
‐1
‐4
‐8
3
‐5
7
‐3
‐2
‐3
0
0
1
0
6
0
0
0
0
100%
0%
29%
200%
0%
‐50%
57%
17%
‐38%
0%
‐13%
‐5%
0%
13%
23%
‐7%
0%
33%
‐5%
‐4%
‐9%
19%
‐12%
‐5%
‐15%
‐40%
23%
‐13%
20%
‐43%
‐25%
‐10%
0%
0%
100%
0%
50%
0%
0%
0%
0%
‐4
1
1
‐2
0
1
4
‐2
‐1
0
0
‐1
1
0
‐3
‐1
4
0
3
1
2
‐1
4
‐6
1
2
2
2
‐2
0
3
11
0
0
0
3
‐1
0
3
1
0
‐36%
20%
25%
‐29%
0%
33%
100%
‐13%
‐2%
0%
0%
‐2%
100%
0%
‐5%
‐1%
11%
0%
12%
0%
8%
‐3%
25%
‐15%
2%
9%
22%
4%
‐3%
0%
75%
61%
0%
0%
0%
19%
‐17%
0%
13%
100%
0%
3,305
1,352
1,953
3,364
1,336
2,028
3,451
1,355
2,096
59
2%
‐16
‐1%
75
4%
87
3%
19
1%
68
3%
105
PASA’s approach to developing student enrollment projections takes into consideration past rates of growth, but relies primarily on forward‐looking analyses, including:  projected new housing trends;  amount of regeneration of older housing with younger families;  economic and employment trends in the local area and nationally;  the continued enrollment growth in private schools;  the changing distribution of students geographically throughout the District; and  the effect of the aging of students, with the grade‐level bulges moving forward annually. Students
PASA has developed three scenarios of growth for Lovejoy I.S.D. These scenarios are termed the “Low Growth,” the “Moderate Growth” and the “High Growth” scenarios, and all three take a “conservative” stance. These scenarios are shown on the graph below, and are discussed at length later in this Chapter. 6,000
5,500
5,000
4,500
4,000
3,500
2011
2016
2020
2025
106
Unique Characteristics of L.I.S.D. that Impact Projections Lovejoy I.S.D. has other characteristics that will also affect the number of students projected to be added in the next ten years: 1. The District has had two years of declines in Kindergarten enrollment. 2. The 5% loss this year and the 6% loss last year negatively affects each grade in the ten‐
year projection series. For example, this reduced KN lowers the elementary grades’ enrollments over the next five years – which, in turn, causes the apparent loss in these grades for the future. However, if the KN enrollment would leap upward to 9% growth (as in 2012), or even a 4% to 5% growth per year, then there would be a sizeable increase in all ensuing grades. 3. The existing subdivisions appear to be losing elementary students for the past two years, declining 31 this year and 28 last year. But, in truth, they are gaining students in the other Elementary grades, once PASA controls for the small KN additions to the student population in these built‐out, older subdivisions. This decline could be reversed rapidly if younger families could afford to live in Lovejoy I.S.D., and could obtain mortgages for homes in the District. 4. With the recent advent of new subdivisions that are now underway (a portion of which are on conventional lots with 2 lots or more per acre), the more affordable of these new homes will attract a greater number of young families into the District, beginning in the Summer of 2016. 5. The District is highly regarded by parents who seek to move into an exceptional school district. This is reflected in the high ratios of students per home (0.98 students per home. excluding Heritage Ranch.) The density of students per home is anticipated to continue to increase, particularly in future new home construction. Ratios of students per home would be higher if KN enrollment were to increase. 6. The overall enrollment projections per year would be higher if, for one to three years, there were increases in KN enrollment. Projections prepared three years ago (with ~5% per year KN growth) estimated ~5,133 students expected by 2020, whereas the current projections suggest 4,600 total students could be enrolled in2020 under the Moderate Growth Scenario. 7. The District has the highest proportion of students per home of any district in the Dallas‐
Fort Worth Consolidated Metro Area (118 districts), and almost certainly in the State of Texas. Importantly, this ratio of students per home needs to be continually monitored, because younger families could increase in new subdivisions. And, as older homes sell, these homes are often purchased by families with more school‐aged children than the previous owners who sold the homes. Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
107
Three Scenarios of Growth Three scenarios of growth have been developed for Lovejoy I.S.D. These scenarios are termed the “Low Growth,” the “Moderate Growth” and the “High Growth” scenarios. The “Moderate Growth” scenario assumes a slight increase in the lower grade growth patterns, due to a small increase per year in the KN enrollment. The bulk of the continued growth in the “Moderate Growth” scenario is based on the new single‐family housing, and also on increasing KN enrollment, the latter of which will occur in both (1) resold, existing homes and (2) new homes. Moderate Growth Scenario – Under the Moderate Growth Scenario, the District could add 658 students in the first five years, and could add 395 students in the last five years of this projection period. Therefore, under the Moderate Growth Scenario, by the Fall, 2020, Lovejoy I.S.D. could have 4,604 students, and by the Fall, 2025, 4,999 students could be enrolled. Annual growth rates could range between around 1.03% and 3.53% over the projection period. The Moderate Growth Scenario assumes the following:  The perception of the District remains extremely positive;  A very small increase in young students move to the District – with KN growth inching upward from zero up to almost 5% – assuming conventional (smaller) lots sizes and some low interest‐rate mortgages;  Unemployment rates stabilize at 3% to 3.5% in the Lovejoy I.S.D. catchment area over the next year, but slowly decline to <3% over the next 4‐5 years;  The continued increase in in‐migrants entering the D‐FW region will remain stable (similar to 2015 rates), encouraging some relocation outward from the urban core to suburban fringe districts;  Interest rates do not increase by more than 1.5% over current levels for the next five years; and  Iranian, Afghan, and other global concerns do not accelerate. Low Growth Scenario – It is critical to consider the lowest projection scenario for the School District to make secure and conservative fiscal planning decisions. Under the Low Growth Scenario, the District could add 442 students in the first five years, and could add 19 students in the last five years of this projection period. Therefore, under the Low Growth Scenario, by the Fall, 2020, Lovejoy I.S.D. could have 4,388 students, and by the Fall, 2025, 4,407 students could be enrolled. Annual growth rates could be at a high of 2.54%, with potential losses at the end of the projection period of ‐0.76%. Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
108
A Low Growth Scenario would assume the following:  Kindergarten enrollment does not increase, and remains fairly stationary, altering the trajectory of the enrollment projections downward for future years. This is based on the last three years of an average of a 2.3% loss per year in KN;  The slower housing starts of new homes due to the high cost of homes on large lots keeps the elementary student population growth low;  The unemployment rate remains at 3.5% in the Lovejoy I.S.D. area, and does not drop below 3% unemployment;  Household relocations do not increase further, with a stationary, stable interest in relocating to L.I.S.D.;  Stock prices start dropping or remain stationery in the next 3‐5 years;  Consumer confidence also remains stationary or again declines, with a possible renewed recession;  Increased terrorist activity within the U.S.; and  Long‐term Iranian, Afghan, or other geo‐political war effort intensifies. High Growth Scenario – Under the High Growth Scenario, the District could gain 855 students in the first five years, and an additional 851 students could be expected in the last five years of the projection period. Thus, under these high growth assumptions, Lovejoy I.S.D. could contain 4,801 students by 2020, and 5,652 students by 2025. The High Growth Scenario assumes the following:  KN increases range from 4% to 5% per year;  Student population continues to increase at a higher rate due to demand for existing, older homes – which has the biggest impact in the last four years of the ten‐year projection period;  Student population continues to accelerate because of the acceleration in plats and building permits for new housing in L.I.S.D.– dependent on slightly improved availability of mortgages, and the statistically higher credit scores among younger homebuyers to meet the new credit demands for a home purchase;  Lovejoy area unemployment rates continue to retreat annually  In‐migration rates will again rise significantly for the Dallas‐Fort Worth metro area, further encouraging further relocation to “fringe” districts like Lovejoy I.S.D.; Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
109

Interest rates decline or do not rise more than 1.5% in the next 5 years; 
The U.S. has short‐term Middle Eastern deployments and no other global wars, as well as no increase in terrorist activity within the country. The Model for Developing Student Projections In order to derive the three scenarios of growth, PASA needed to understand not only when and where new development might occur, but also the factors which are unique to the District, and which might either accelerate or retard the potential development of new housing. These factors must be accounted for in the modeling of projected students, as specific economic, quality of life, and other factors will impact the viability of development and the potential for future changes in student populations. In the case of Lovejoy I.S.D., it is important to note the following:  The District has the 4th lowest percent of free/reduced lunch students, out of 330 districts in the State with at least 2,000 students. It follows Highland Park I.S.D., Carroll I.S.D., and Eanes I.S.D. (based on the most recent PEIMS data available from 2014‐15).  The District has the third highest educational level and median household income of any DFW area district – following Highland Park I.S.D. and Carroll I.S.D. in both cases.  The District has the second highest STAAR passage rate of all Districts with more than 2,000 students (most recent data available from 2014‐15). It is second to only Carroll I.S.D. in that regard.  The District has a high proportion of students relative to total population. About 26% of the entire population is now represented by students attending L.I.S.D. schools. (In 2013, approximately, 13,577 residents lived within in Lovejoy I.S.D.)  The District has one of the lowest proportions of students within private or charter schools – at approximately 1.69%.  Twelve years ago, the ratio of students per home was 0.74 (including the estimated High School students living in Lovejoy I.S.D. who attended Allen I.S.D.). Last year’s overall ratio was 1.01 students per single‐family home. This year, the ratio of students per home is 0.98. This Demographic Update represents a look ten years forward, and the ratios will continue to get higher for the next few years so long as there is an increase in KN enrollment. Otherwise, the ratio of 0.98 per home should remain fairly stable over the next few years. The student projections developed in this study are based on a model that incorporates a number of factors discussed throughout this report, including the following. The aging of the existing student population contributes significantly to the projected population Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
110
changes in specific geographic areas. For each Planning Unit, the students are aged forward such that local anomalies in the population are taken into account in the projections. For example, neighborhoods that are attracting Elementary aged students will see a bulge in local population that will ultimately move into the Intermediate, Middle and High Schools within the ten‐year projection series encompassed by this report. New housing construction is a significant contributor to new student growth in this model, based on data gathered from numerous interviews (see Chapter 2). Short term new housing is projected based on preliminary and final plats, developers’ plans, and other information gathered from numerous sources. Students moving into existing homes represents another source of enrollment growth in this projections model. Recent trends have been analyzed to understand which neighborhoods are aging out (becoming more empty nest‐oriented) and which are regenerating with younger families with school‐aged children. For example, neighborhoods with more traditional sized (smaller) lots are increasing in ratios of students per home. As these homes sell to new owners, on average, more students are moving in than are moving out, likely because these smaller lots are more affordable to younger families with children. Projections at Build‐Out As the District continues to build‐out, there will be a disjuncture between the demand for new homes within L.I.S.D. and the availability of lots. However, young parents often want new infrastructure, including new schools, in a newly planned suburban environment, so that they may begin seeking new housing in nearby, more rural districts. Further, as Lovejoy I.S.D. continues to build‐out, then new homeowners, as well as developers, may become less interested in the ever‐
smaller L.I.S.D. parcels that remain. A density map is included in Chapter 2 of this Report, and it details the types of land uses in L.I.S.D. About 88% of the land mass within L.I.S.D. is built‐out, is park land, or is actively developing. As of October, 2015 there are 240 students per square mile in these “built‐out areas.” Almost 13% of the school district is not developed, although at this time, much of the undeveloped acreage is land planned to some extent. As earlier noted in Chapter 2, the densities of students per square mile continue to increase. There are variations by city in numbers of students per square mile. This factor can be an important consideration in estimating the student enrollment at build‐out. On the other hand, the impact of aging families in older, existing subdivisions is unknown. Typically, this older cohort will gradually sell, partially to avoid costly property taxes. However, this may occur less in the Lovejoy I.S.D. area, due in part to the limited nearby patio homes and other empty‐nest housing environments that the current residents may wish to move to while still remaining in the area. The build‐out formula used for this Demographic Update relied on (1) housing units that are projected to occur on undeveloped parcels, plus (2) the knowledge that 153 parcels of one‐plus acres remain, predominately outside the borders of platted subdivisions, and (3) the availability of unused but available lots in current subdivisions, including only those that are not “double” lots. Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
111
Lovejoy I.S.D. could add, conservatively, ~256 students post‐2025 in future lots that will develop with new homes. Also, another ~188 students could be added in older subdivisions’ still‐vacant lots, as well as in the underutilized non‐platted parcels not included above, and also in the parcels which have current homes valued at under $100,000. (The latter allows new families with higher ratios of children to move into L.I.S.D. over the long‐term.) Finally, another ~150 students are expected to be added between 2025 and build‐out due to increased students per existing home, with slightly greater weights for secondary grades relative to elementary grades. This sums to 594 added students post‐2025. The total projected enrollment at build‐out is 5,593, as of this 2015‐16 Demographic Update. The 2012‐13 demographic study projected 5,956 students at build‐out, but the older study assumed on‐going growth annually of Kindergarten students, which has not occurred. With a very small to negligible increase in KN students, then these smaller cohorts slow the gains in later grades as well. The dearth of KN increases has been due to the lack of availability of mortgages for some young families due to lower credit scores and little ability to pay larger down payments in a post‐
2007 mortgage environment, plus the significant increases in prices of L.I.S.D. homes in the past few years. These Build‐Out projections could vary in the future due to several factors. Should the Heritage Ranch deed restrictions be altered to allow families with children to move into that master‐
planned community in the distant future, then the impact on Lovejoy I.S.D. schools would be considerable. Additionally, the possibility still exists that the ratios of students per occupied home could leap upward from the average of 0.98 today to much higher ratios, such as 1.2 or even, as a remote possibility, to 1.5 students per home. Lovejoy I.S.D. is a highly desirable place to raise children, and there could be an unprecedented number of younger children per home, for example, given looser mortgage restrictions. This would allow younger families to obtain homes in the District more easily. In sum, PASA has a good deal of confidence in the number of homes projected to ultimately exist in Lovejoy I.S.D., but the number of students residing in those homes could fluctuate dramatically. Because Lovejoy I.S.D. is such a unique community, there is very little precedent from which to draw in other areas in Texas. Projected Resident Students by Planning Unit Presented in this chapter are maps and charts showing the number of students projected to live in each Planning Unit each year under the Moderate Growth Scenario. These maps and charts can be utilized by the District to understand the geographical distribution of the projected growth. Projected Resident Students by School Presented in this chapter are charts and maps showing the number of students projected to live in the current attendance zones, for each year under the Moderate Growth Scenario. These charts and maps can be utilized by the District in assessing and making decisions about future utilization of each campus. The Moderate Scenario is most useful for shorter‐term decisions such as staffing, Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
112
placement of special programs, and transfer policies. However, both the Low Growth Scenario and the High Growth Scenario should be considered as plausible possibilities and could be referenced when making decisions about long‐term planning. The Importance of Transfers It is important to remember that these student projections include only the projected resident students, exclusive of intra‐District transfers. All transfers would also need to be analyzed when assessing facility utilization including both voluntary transfers for personal reasons, as well as transfers for special programs. Transfers will change from year to year, and are thus useful for analysis for only a short period. The table in this chapter shows the transfers occurring among the Elementary Schools based on the October, 2015 download of student data. Transfers are defined as any student not attending the school to which he or she is zoned. Projections by School The final map and charts show the projected resident students by school. The map shows the number of EE‐4th grade students projected to live in each of the Elementary attendance zones over the next ten years. This data is shown for the years 2015 (current students), 2016, 2020, and 2015 on the map, and it is shown for each year of the projection period on the chart that follows. Based on the Moderate Growth Scenario, the Elementary student population (EE‐4th grades) is projected to increase by about 379 students (from 1,244 to 1,623 students), or 30% Districtwide by 2022‐23. The District is projected to have approximately 226 fewer students than “seats” available in the existing schools; Hart Elementary is projected to slightly exceed capacity while the other two schools are projected to have some additional capacity available. Once the District has reached “build out” and is no longer adding new residential development, Lovejoy and Puster are projected to be around 90% utilization, while Hart could have about 120 students over capacity. Sloan Creek Intermediate School and Willow Springs Middle School are expected to largely be able to accommodate the projected student population for 5th‐8th grades though the next decade. By 2025‐26, the District is projected to enroll 770 5th‐6th graders and 835 7th‐8th graders, compared to the 850‐student capacities at each school. Both schools are projected to only slightly exceed their capacities at Build‐Out of the District (<100 students total across 4 grades). Several factors have increased the desirability of the District for families with High School students and propelled growth at the High School level. The opening of Lovejoy High School in 2007 had a tremendous impact on attracting families with children to the District. The high (and increasing) cost of housing within Lovejoy I.S.D. also acts to select for older families with older children, who have better resources to afford the homes in the District. Thus, High School enrollment in past years, as well as projections of future enrollment, has continued to climb. PASA projects that the 9th‐12th grades could ultimately reach about 1,975 students (at Build‐Out), due to the unprecedented increase in student density per home, particularly at the High School level. Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - January 2016
113
114
1,277
618
716
1,404
0.027
-0.069
0.012
0.055
1,244
664
707
1,331
3,540
4.49
152
158
Enrollment by Grade Group
1,208 1,221 1,241
1,256
575
593
611
640
542
622
646
657
1,063 1,104 1,147
1,186
Percent Change by Grade Group
-0.007 0.011 0.016
0.012 -0.006 -0.003
0.061 0.031 0.030
0.047
0.003 0.034
0.040 0.148 0.039
0.017
0.033 0.041
0.119 0.039 0.039
0.034
0.062 0.057
ACTUAL INC.
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th
Percent Added Students by Grade Group
-0.057 0.086 0.190
0.160 -0.090 -0.034
0.209 0.118 0.171
0.309
0.022 0.186
0.133 0.526 0.229
0.117
0.247 0.237
0.715 0.270 0.410
0.415
0.820 0.610
-4
22
28
72
Added Students by Grade Group
-9
13
20
15
-8
33
18
18
29
2
21
80
24
11
22
113
41
43
39
73
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th
118
3.08
3,946
0.315
0.168
0.179
0.337
1,248
642
679
1,259
89
2.38
3,828
Percent Students in each Grade Group
0.357 0.345 0.340
0.336
0.326
0.170 0.168 0.168
0.171
0.168
0.160 0.176 0.177
0.176
0.177
0.314 0.312 0.315
0.317
0.329
94
2.58
3,739
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th
105
2.97
3,645
1.093779
1.129085
1.097718
1.104849
1.046794
1.080201
1.051803
1.040355
1.053774
0.998287
0.978208
0.986164
0.488
-0.673
0.124
1.061
33
-46
9
73
0.318
0.154
0.178
0.350
69
1.74
4,015
21
190
209
260
269
328
271
347
361
355
386
344
354
320
4.89
2016
3,388
22
191
230
245
297
259
321
343
341
366
345
362
324
300
2015
TOTAL
20
200
221
269
227
311
311
331
351
328
360
331
305
263
2014
PCT. INC.
17
213
234
208
291
293
313
327
316
341
334
312
266
274
2013
EE
KN
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
14
205
200
265
266
291
311
300
322
324
308
278
283
278
10
188
225
242
267
289
296
297
325
297
277
294
287
246
2012
2011
21
189
231
228
262
277
277
298
279
263
292
284
254
233
Average Growth,
Retention, and
Attrition: 2013-14 to
2015-16
2010
Historical Enrollment at PEIMS Snapshot
-0.362
0.301
0.386
0.675
-30
25
32
56
0.304
0.157
0.182
0.356
-0.023
0.040
0.045
0.040
1,248
643
747
1,459
83
2.06
4,097
21
189
210
238
288
300
347
296
368
379
378
389
340
353
2017
83
1.93
4,388
23
199
219
246
274
307
322
383
380
437
364
430
416
388
2020
69
1.57
4,457
23
203
221
251
275
308
327
354
410
403
468
369
427
417
2021
20
0.44
4,477
23
207
225
253
278
307
326
357
377
431
429
473
365
426
2022
0.007
-0.012
-0.049
0.009
1,303
675
769
1,708
-23
-0.52
4,454
24
211
227
254
278
308
322
352
376
392
455
429
463
361
2023
-13
21
13
12
-4
6
-25
2
38
70
-5
-5
85
-14
85
11
9
-8
-39
15
0.290
0.289
0.288
0.289
0.293
0.163
0.161
0.153
0.152
0.151
0.174
0.186
0.182
0.180
0.173
0.374
0.364
0.377
0.378
0.383
-0.010 0.017
0.011
0.009
-0.006 0.008
-0.035 0.002
0.053
0.094
-0.006 -0.006
0.056
-0.009 0.053
0.006
1,247
1,268
1,282
1,294
700
706
681
683
748
818
813
808
1,611
1,597
1,682
1,693
107
2.54
4,305
22
195
213
244
272
301
347
353
410
337
421
415
384
391
2019
0.120
-0.119 0.257
0.193
0.612
-0.394
0.605
-0.036 0.067
-0.358 0.076
0.346
-0.373 0.356
0.843
-0.071 -0.237 1.705
0.648
0.800
-0.167 1.236
0.548
-0.657
12
61
-38
66
0.300
0.168
0.169
0.363
0.010
0.095
-0.051
0.045
1,260
704
710
1,525
101
2.48
4,199
21
191
212
243
267
325
321
383
318
392
408
385
389
343
2018
0.101
0.871
1.167
-1.139
-1
-12
-16
16
0.293
0.149
0.170
0.388
-0.001
-0.018
-0.021
0.009
1,302
663
753
1,724
-14
-0.31
4,440
26
216
228
253
275
303
319
344
366
387
409
449
414
451
2024
Projected Enrollment at PEIMS Snapshot Date
Low Growth Scenario
by Grade and Grade Group:
2016‐2025
GRADE:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
-0.748
-0.056
0.211
1.594
25
2
-7
-54
0.301
0.151
0.169
0.379
0.019
0.003
-0.009
-0.031
1,327
665
746
1,670
-34
-0.76
4,407
27
220
237
259
279
306
319
346
363
382
409
410
441
410
2025
442
1
8
-11
1
-23
48
1
40
39
71
19
68
92
88
2015-2020
19
3
21
18
12
5
-1
-3
-38
-17
-55
45
-20
25
23
2020-2025
Added
Students:
Added
Students:
115
1,296
624
723
1,418
0.042
-0.060
0.022
0.065
1,244
664
707
1,331
3,540
4.49
152
158
1,208 1,221 1,241
1,256
575
593
611
640
542
622
646
657
1,063 1,104 1,147
1,186
-0.007 0.011 0.016
0.012 -0.006 -0.003
0.061 0.031 0.030
0.047
0.003 0.034
0.040 0.148 0.039
0.017
0.033 0.041
0.119 0.039 0.039
0.034
0.062 0.057
ACTUAL INC.
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th
-0.057 0.086 0.190
0.160 -0.090 -0.034
0.209 0.118 0.171
0.309
0.022 0.186
0.133 0.526 0.229
0.117
0.247 0.237
0.715 0.270 0.410
0.415
0.820 0.610
-4
22
28
72
-9
13
20
15
-8
33
18
18
29
2
21
80
24
11
22
113
41
43
39
73
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th
118
3.08
3,946
0.315
0.168
0.179
0.337
1,248
642
679
1,259
89
2.38
3,828
0.357 0.345 0.340
0.336
0.326
0.170 0.168 0.168
0.171
0.168
0.160 0.176 0.177
0.176
0.177
0.314 0.312 0.315
0.317
0.329
94
2.58
3,739
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th
105
2.97
3,645
1.093779
1.129085
1.097718
1.104849
1.046794
1.080201
1.051803
1.040355
1.053774
0.998287
0.978208
0.986164
0.453
-0.350
0.137
0.759
52
-40
16
87
0.319
0.154
0.178
0.349
114
2.90
4,060
24
195
211
262
272
331
274
350
364
358
390
348
358
323
4.89
2016
3,388
22
191
230
245
297
259
321
343
341
366
345
362
324
300
2015
TOTAL
20
200
221
269
227
311
311
331
351
328
360
331
305
263
2014
PCT. INC.
17
213
234
208
291
293
313
327
316
341
334
312
266
274
2013
EE
KN
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
14
205
200
265
266
291
311
300
322
324
308
278
283
278
10
188
225
242
267
289
296
297
325
297
277
294
287
246
2012
2011
21
189
231
228
262
277
277
298
279
263
292
284
254
233
Average Growth,
Retention, and
2015-16
2010
-0.117
0.248
0.314
0.556
-13
28
36
64
0.307
0.156
0.182
0.355
-0.010
0.045
0.050
0.045
1,282
652
759
1,481
114
2.82
4,175
25
202
216
242
292
305
352
300
374
385
383
395
345
358
2017
0.254
0.466
-0.247
0.527
36
66
-35
74
0.305
0.166
0.168
0.360
0.028
0.101
-0.046
0.050
1,318
718
724
1,556
141
3.38
4,316
26
210
227
251
273
332
327
391
324
399
416
393
397
350
2018
136
3.04
4,604
29
227
245
273
296
320
333
395
392
450
374
443
428
399
2020
131
2.84
4,735
30
236
254
283
306
334
343
367
424
417
485
382
442
432
2021
88
1.85
4,822
32
245
262
291
316
343
355
376
393
449
446
492
380
443
2022
50
1.03
4,872
33
256
270
298
321
351
362
386
398
411
476
448
484
377
2023
56
53
47
40
10
-18
21
17
76
-1
0
-32
-6
96
20
25
0.100
0.415
0.404
0.531
0.806
-0.003 0.073
-0.134 0.242
0.339
0.279
0.558
-0.007 0.001
-0.638
0.624
-0.046 0.738
0.227
0.494
15
0
42
95
0.298
0.302
0.305
0.309
0.314
0.161
0.158
0.150
0.152
0.154
0.171
0.183
0.178
0.174
0.166
0.369
0.357
0.368
0.365
0.366
0.012
0.042
0.038
0.032
0.027
-0.001 0.014
-0.024 0.030
0.023
0.059
0.099
-0.001 0.000
-0.038
0.061
-0.004 0.059
0.011
0.014
1,333
1,390
1,443
1,489
1,529
718
728
710
731
748
766
842
841
841
809
1,651
1,644
1,741
1,761
1,785
152
3.53
4,468
28
218
235
262
282
309
355
362
421
345
431
426
394
400
2019
0.449
0.078
0.080
0.392
30
5
5
26
0.316
0.153
0.165
0.367
0.020
0.007
0.007
0.015
1,559
753
815
1,812
67
1.37
4,939
34
267
278
303
325
353
365
388
403
411
430
472
435
474
2024
Moderate Growth Scenario
2016‐2025
GRADE:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
1.071
0.284
0.344
-0.698
64
17
21
-42
0.325
0.154
0.167
0.354
0.041
0.023
0.025
-0.023
1,623
770
835
1,770
60
1.22
4,999
36
279
295
316
335
362
372
398
412
423
437
433
466
433
2025
0.350
0.144
0.161
0.345
208
86
95
205
0.327
0.153
0.166
0.353
0.128
0.111
0.114
0.116
1,831
856
931
1,975
594
11.89
5,593
40
312
333
363
379
405
414
442
460
471
499
488
474
514
Build-Out
658
7
36
15
28
-1
61
12
52
51
84
29
81
104
99
2015-2020
395
7
52
49
44
40
42
40
3
20
-27
63
-9
37
34
2020-2025
Added
Students:
Added
Students:
116
1,309
630
730
1,432
0.052
-0.051
0.032
0.076
1,244
664
707
1,331
3,540
4.49
152
158
1,208 1,221 1,241
1,256
575
593
611
640
542
622
646
657
1,063 1,104 1,147
1,186
-0.007 0.011 0.016
0.012 -0.006 -0.003
0.061 0.031 0.030
0.047
0.003 0.034
0.040 0.148 0.039
0.017
0.033 0.041
0.119 0.039 0.039
0.034
0.062 0.057
ACTUAL INC.
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th
-0.057 0.086 0.190
0.160 -0.090 -0.034
0.209 0.118 0.171
0.309
0.022 0.186
0.133 0.526 0.229
0.117
0.247 0.237
0.715 0.270 0.410
0.415
0.820 0.610
-4
22
28
72
-9
13
20
15
-8
33
18
18
29
2
21
80
24
11
22
113
41
43
39
73
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th
118
3.08
3,946
0.315
0.168
0.179
0.337
1,248
642
679
1,259
89
2.38
3,828
0.357 0.345 0.340
0.336
0.326
0.170 0.168 0.168
0.171
0.168
0.160 0.176 0.177
0.176
0.177
0.314 0.312 0.315
0.317
0.329
94
2.58
3,739
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th
105
2.97
3,645
1.093779
1.129085
1.097718
1.104849
1.046794
1.080201
1.051803
1.040355
1.053774
0.998287
0.978208
0.986164
0.421
-0.218
0.147
0.650
65
-34
23
101
0.319
0.154
0.178
0.349
155
3.93
4,101
23
200
213
265
274
335
277
354
368
362
393
351
361
326
4.89
2016
3,388
22
191
230
245
297
259
321
343
341
366
345
362
324
300
2015
TOTAL
20
200
221
269
227
311
311
331
351
328
360
331
305
263
2014
PCT. INC.
17
213
234
208
291
293
313
327
316
341
334
312
266
274
2013
EE
KN
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
14
205
200
265
266
291
311
300
322
324
308
278
283
278
10
188
225
242
267
289
296
297
325
297
277
294
287
246
2012
2011
21
189
231
228
262
277
277
298
279
263
292
284
254
233
Average Growth,
Retention, and
2015-16
2010
0.020
0.218
0.272
0.490
3
35
44
79
0.308
0.156
0.182
0.354
0.002
0.056
0.060
0.055
1,312
665
774
1,511
161
3.93
4,262
24
210
224
247
298
311
359
306
381
392
391
403
352
365
2017
178
3.84
4,801
28
246
264
290
312
336
344
409
405
466
387
458
443
413
2020
192
4.00
4,993
29
260
277
307
328
355
363
382
443
435
506
398
461
450
2021
154
3.08
5,147
30
274
291
321
345
371
380
401
412
472
469
517
399
466
2022
0.049
0.046
-0.017
0.029
1,711
817
869
1,905
154
2.99
5,301
32
289
306
335
360
389
397
420
431
438
508
478
517
402
2023
33
80
80
76
3
13
-7
37
47
82
6
6
106
2
114
35
79
36
-15
54
0.302
0.307
0.312
0.317
0.323
0.160
0.157
0.149
0.152
0.154
0.171
0.181
0.176
0.172
0.164
0.368
0.354
0.364
0.360
0.359
0.024
0.058
0.054
0.049
0.004
0.018
-0.010 0.049
0.064
0.104
0.007
0.007
0.066
0.001
0.067
0.019
1,395
1,476
1,556
1,632
739
752
745
781
789
871
877
883
1,700
1,702
1,816
1,851
189
4.26
4,623
26
233
249
275
295
318
366
373
433
356
444
438
405
412
2019
0.291
0.173
0.453
0.415
0.494
0.515
0.410
0.017
0.074
-0.038 0.237
0.231
-0.186 0.251
0.463
0.030
0.040
-0.095
0.485
0.560
0.010
0.593
0.228
0.350
50
71
-32
84
0.307
0.166
0.167
0.360
0.038
0.106
-0.041
0.055
1,363
736
742
1,594
172
4.04
4,435
25
221
237
261
279
340
336
400
332
409
427
403
406
358
2018
0.373
0.148
0.161
0.318
66
26
28
56
0.324
0.154
0.164
0.358
0.038
0.032
0.033
0.030
1,777
843
897
1,961
177
3.33
5,478
33
305
319
348
371
400
411
433
445
452
465
511
472
514
2024
High Growth Scenario
2016‐2025
GRADE:
Lovejoy I.S.D.
0.581
0.230
0.246
-0.057
101
40
43
-10
0.332
0.156
0.166
0.345
0.057
0.048
0.048
-0.005
1,878
883
940
1,951
174
3.18
5,652
35
322
341
368
392
420
429
454
466
474
488
475
512
476
2025
855
6
55
34
45
15
77
23
66
64
100
42
96
119
113
2015-2020
851
8
76
78
78
80
84
86
45
60
8
100
17
69
63
2020-2025
Added
Students:
Added
Students:
PU: 2B
2015: 71
2020: 77
2025: 92
PU: 1
2015: 69
2020: 78
2025: 104
Mu
s
eal
Camino R
Rd
lub
3
CR
7
31
FM 1378 Cou
ntry
C
32
PU: 3A
2015: 87
2020: 86
2025: 101
PU: 4H
2015: 45
2020: 63
2025: 70
Stacy Rd
PU: 4I
PU: 4K
2015: 8
PU: 3B
2015: 30
2020: 2
2015: 61 PU: 3C PU: 3D 2020: 37
2025: 4
2020: 65 2015: 119 2015: 55 2025: 39
2025: 72 2020: 92 2020: 45
PU: 4L
PU: 4B
2025: 51
2025: 102
2015: 32 2015: 61
2020: 21 2020: 79
2025: 23 2025: 86
PU: 4G
PU: 3E
2015: 1
2015: 19
2020: 1
PU: 4D
2020: 17
2025: 2
2015: 29
2025: 29
2020: 28
2025: 36
PU: 4C
Stacy Road E - FM
2786
Lynne Ln
Blondy Jhune Rd.
Added Students
2015 - 2025
<0
1-9
10 - 14
PU: 4E
2015: 70
2020: 58
2025: 81
Estelle Ln
C lu
d
bR
PU: 5
2015: 42
2020: 60
2025: 66
t ry
un
Co
Ingram Lane
Rock Ridge
Rd
PU: 4J
2015: 31
2020: 50
2025: 53
FM 1378
Angel Parkway
CR 321
Stone Hinge Dr
Ln
Mary Lee
2015: 40
2020: 46
2025: 52
ad
Ro
PU: 4A
2015: 24
2020: 31
2025: 43
tan
gD
r
Projected Resident
EE-4th Grade Students
2015
2020
2025
1
Stinson Road
Lewis Lane
0.5
PU: 7A
2015: 27
2020: 38
2025: 48
0
Ü
20 - 24
25 - 39
> 40
Christian Ln
.
PU: 4F
2015: 86
2020: 105
2025: 118
Lucas Road E. - FM 3286
Lucas Road W.
PU: 6
2015: 91
2020: 123
2025: 131
15 - 19
Winningkoff Rd.
Hart Rd
Winningkoff Rd.
dal
e
Rd
ty
un
Co
Pa
rk
Cl
ub
FM 1378
PU: 2A
2015: 17
2020: 27
2025: 34
Dr
Stoddard Rd
Co
un
t ry
Lovejoy I.S.D.
Long Range Planning
PU: 7B
2015: 131
2020: 162
2025: 187
Brockdale
2
Miles
117
PU: 2B
2015: 45
2020: 38
2025: 42
PU: 1
2015: 30
2020: 45
2025: 54
Mu
s
eal
Camino R
CR
7
31
Rd
lub
Cou
ntry
C
3
Old Stacy Rd
32
PU: 3A
2015: 61
2020: 52
2025: 53
PU: 4H
2015: 23
2020: 34
2025: 35
Stacy Rd
PU: 4K
PU: 4I
2015: 13
2015: 6
PU: 3B
2020: 8
2015: 37 PU: 3C PU: 3D 2020: 8
2025: 8
2020: 41 2015: 57 2015: 31 2025: 7
2020:
28
2025: 40 2020: 63
PU: 4L
PU: 4B
2025: 27
2015: 13
2015: 20
2025: 62
2020: 17
2020: 26
2025: 17
2025: 26
PU: 4G
PU: 3E
2015: 0
2015: 11
PU: 4D
2020: 1
2020: 10
2015: 16
2025: 2
2025: 15
2020: 20
2025: 22
PU: 4C
Stacy Road E - FM
2786
Lynne Ln
Blondy Jhune Rd.
Added Students
2015 - 2025
<0
1-3
4-5
PU: 4E
2015: 43
2020: 49
2025: 55
Estelle Ln
C lu
d
bR
PU: 5
2015: 21
2020: 16
2025: 17
t ry
un
Co
Ingram Lane
Rock Ridge
Rd
PU: 4J
2015: 13
2020: 20
2025: 20
FM 1378
Angel Parkway
CR 321
Stone Hinge Dr
Ln
Mary Lee
2015: 20
2020: 22
2025: 23
ad
Ro
PU: 4A
2015: 19
2020: 24
2025: 28
tan
gD
r
Projected Resident
5th-6th Grade Students
2015
2020
2025
1
Stinson Road
Lewis Lane
0.5
PU: 7A
2015: 13
2020: 21
2025: 25
0
Ü
8 - 11
12 - 14
> 15
Christian Ln
.
PU: 4F
2015: 41
2020: 41
2025: 44
Lucas Road W.
PU: 6
2015: 45
2020: 49
2025: 48
6-7
Winningkoff Rd.
Hart Rd
Winningkoff Rd.
dal
e
Rd
ty
un
Co
Pa
rk
Cl
ub
FM 1378
PU: 2A
2015: 10
2020: 9
2025: 12
Dr
Stoddard Rd
Co
un
t ry
Lovejoy I.S.D.
Long Range Planning
PU: 7B
2015: 78
2020: 88
2025: 93
Brockdale
2
Miles
118
PU: 2B
2015: 40
2020: 57
2025: 57
PU: 1
2015: 37
2020: 41
2025: 49
Mu
s
eal
Camino R
CR
7
31
Rd
lub
Cou
ntry
C
3
Old Stacy Rd
32
PU: 3A
2015: 70
2020: 68
2025: 64
PU: 4H
2015: 17
2020: 33
2025: 32
Stacy Rd
PU: 4K
PU: 4I
PU: 3B
2015:
14
2015: 16
PU: 3D
2015: 44 PU: 3C
2020:
13
2020: 6
2015: 42
2020: 47 2015: 68
2020: 31 2025: 11 2025: 5
2025: 43 2020: 63
PU: 4L
PU: 4B
2025: 28
2015: 16
2015: 20
2025: 55
2020: 13
2020: 25
2025: 11
2025: 24
PU: 3E
PU: 4G
2015: 11
2015: 0
2020: 12
2020: 0
PU: 4D
2025: 16
2025: 1
2015: 22
2020: 23
2025: 24
PU: 4C
Stacy Road E - FM
2786
Lynne Ln
Blondy Jhune Rd.
Added Students
2015 - 2025
<0
1-4
5-9
PU: 4E
2015: 57
2020: 54
2025: 56
Estelle Ln
C lu
d
bR
PU: 5
2015: 22
2020: 24
2025: 23
t ry
un
Co
Ingram Lane
Rock Ridge
Rd
PU: 4J
2015: 9
2020: 22
2025: 21
FM 1378
Angel Parkway
CR 321
Stone Hinge Dr
Ln
Mary Lee
2015: 22
2020: 24
2025: 23
ad
Ro
PU: 4A
2015: 6
2020: 26
2025: 30
tan
gD
r
Projected Resident
2015
2020
2025
1
Stinson Road
Lewis Lane
0.5
PU: 7A
2015: 19
2020: 22
2025: 24
0
Ü
15 - 19
20 - 24
> 25
Christian Ln
.
PU: 4F
2015: 32
2020: 50
2025: 49
Lucas Road W.
PU: 6
2015: 46
2020: 63
2025: 59
10 - 14
Winningkoff Rd.
Hart Rd
Winningkoff Rd.
dal
e
Rd
ty
un
Co
Pa
rk
Cl
ub
FM 1378
PU: 2A
2015: 7
2020: 13
2025: 15
Dr
Stoddard Rd
Co
un
t ry
Lovejoy I.S.D.
Long Range Planning
PU: 7B
2015: 70
2020: 114
2025: 114
Brockdale
2
Miles
119
PU: 2B
2015: 67
2020: 89
2025: 99
PU: 1
2015: 57
2020: 73
2025: 97
Rd
lub
3
CR
7
31
FM 1378 Cou
ntry
C
32
PU: 4A
2015: 23
2020: 40
2025: 51
tan
gD
r
PU: 4H
2015: 55
2020: 77
2025: 81
Stacy Rd
PU: 4K
PU: 4I
2015: 22 2015: 24
PU: 3D 2020: 23
2020: 25
2015: 72 2025: 22
2025: 25
2020: 75
PU: 4L
PU: 4B
2025: 74
2015: 31
2015: 36
2020: 32
2020: 50
2025: 31
2025: 52
PU: 3E
PU: 4G
2015: 16
2015: 1
2020: 17
PU: 4D
2020: 2
2025: 29
2015: 43
2025: 3
2020: 55
2025: 61
PU: 4C
Stacy Road E - FM
2786
CR 321
Lynne Ln
2015: 41
2020: 49
2025: 52
Blondy Jhune Rd.
Added Students
2015 - 2025
<4
5-9
10 - 14
PU: 4E
2015: 120
2020: 135
2025: 151
Estelle Ln
C lu
d
bR
PU: 5
2015: 51
2020: 58
2025: 60
t ry
un
Co
Ingram Lane
PU: 4J
2015: 28
2020: 47
2025: 47
Ln
Mary Lee
Rock Ridge
Rd
Stone Hinge Dr
FM 1378
Angel Parkway
PU: 3B
2015: 75 PU: 3C
2020: 84 2015: 139
2025: 83 2020: 144
2025: 142
ad
Ro
PU: 3A
2015: 126
2020: 132
2025: 136
Mu
s
eal
Camino R
Projected Resident
2015
2020
2025
1
Stinson Road
Lewis Lane
0.5
PU: 7A
2015: 24
2020: 40
2025: 49
0
Ü
20 - 29
30 - 39
> 40
Christian Ln
.
PU: 4F
2015: 64
2020: 80
2025: 87
Lucas Road W.
PU: 6
2015: 52
2020: 82
2025: 83
15 - 19
Winningkoff Rd.
Hart Rd
Winningkoff Rd.
dal
e
Rd
ty
un
Co
Pa
rk
Cl
ub
FM 1378
PU: 2A
2015: 24
2020: 31
2025: 37
Dr
Stoddard Rd
Co
un
t ry
Lovejoy I.S.D.
Long Range Planning
PU: 7B
2015: 139
2020: 205
2025: 219
Brockdale
2
Miles
120
Projected Resident Students
by Planning Unit and by Grade Group
2016-2025
PU
2016-17
2017-18
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th EE-12th
1
2A
2B
3A
3B
3C
3D
3E
4A
4B
4C
4D
4E
4F
4G
4H
4I
4J
4K
4L
5
6
7A
7B
69
21
76
86
68
107
53
17
22
68
38
23
64
102
1
49
4
42
34
27
51
112
25
137
33
8
32
55
34
60
27
10
18
25
23
17
46
32
0
24
7
13
11
14
18
35
19
66
39
8
47
64
49
61
32
11
16
17
20
22
44
42
0
20
8
14
9
19
21
56
15
89
61
25
76
128
79
142
74
17
25
41
41
45
123
70
1
58
24
35
22
32
53
64
27
155
TOTAL
1,296
624
723
1,418
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
202
61
230
332
229
371
187
54
81
151
122
107
276
246
2
151
43
104
76
92
142
266
86
446
71
23
73
85
63
94
47
17
21
77
41
22
52
102
0
50
3
46
37
21
57
116
30
134
40
7
35
50
38
63
27
10
19
24
19
16
44
39
1
27
7
17
7
17
14
44
16
71
36
10
53
65
44
62
31
12
20
23
21
19
49
47
0
25
6
19
13
13
22
58
16
96
63
25
83
128
79
144
75
17
27
45
42
46
125
74
1
61
24
42
23
32
54
73
30
168
209
65
244
328
225
362
179
56
88
168
123
104
271
262
2
164
40
125
80
82
147
291
92
469
4,060
1,283
652
759
1,481
4,175
9th-12th EE-12th
121
2016-2025
PU
2018-19
2019-20
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th EE-12th
1
2A
2B
3A
3B
3C
3D
3E
4A
4B
4C
4D
4E
4F
4G
4H
4I
4J
4K
4L
5
6
7A
7B
73
24
75
85
64
93
46
17
24
78
42
23
53
103
0
54
2
49
37
21
58
119
32
144
43
8
39
54
41
67
29
11
21
26
21
18
48
42
1
30
8
20
8
18
16
48
19
81
35
10
51
60
42
56
28
11
21
22
20
19
45
44
0
25
5
20
11
12
20
56
17
95
67
27
87
131
82
146
76
17
31
48
45
49
129
77
1
67
25
46
23
32
55
78
33
183
TOTAL
1,318
719
724
1,555
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
218
69
252
330
230
362
180
56
98
174
127
110
276
266
3
176
40
134
80
82
150
302
101
503
74
25
75
84
64
90
45
17
28
78
43
25
54
102
0
57
2
49
37
20
58
120
34
151
44
9
38
53
41
64
28
11
23
26
21
19
48
41
1
32
8
20
8
17
16
48
20
84
37
11
53
62
44
58
29
11
24
23
21
20
48
46
0
28
5
21
12
12
21
59
19
103
73
30
91
136
86
150
78
18
37
51
48
54
135
81
1
74
25
48
24
33
58
83
38
199
228
75
258
334
234
362
180
57
111
178
134
118
284
270
3
191
41
137
80
82
153
310
110
537
4,317
1,333
718
767
1,650
4,469
9th-12th EE-12th
122
2016-2025
PU
2020-21
2021-22
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th EE-12th
1
2A
2B
3A
3B
3C
3D
3E
4A
4B
4C
4D
4E
4F
4G
4H
4I
4J
4K
4L
5
6
7A
7B
78
27
77
86
65
92
45
17
31
79
46
28
58
105
1
63
2
50
37
21
60
123
38
162
45
9
38
52
41
63
28
10
24
26
22
20
49
41
1
34
8
20
8
17
16
49
21
88
41
13
57
68
47
63
31
12
26
25
24
23
54
50
0
33
6
22
13
13
24
63
22
114
73
31
89
132
84
144
75
17
40
50
49
55
135
80
2
77
25
47
23
32
58
82
40
205
TOTAL
1,389
728
843
1,644
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
237
79
261
338
237
362
179
57
121
180
140
127
296
275
4
207
41
139
80
82
157
317
120
569
82
30
80
88
66
93
46
18
33
81
48
32
63
107
1
66
3
51
37
21
61
124
40
172
45
10
37
49
39
60
26
10
24
25
22
21
48
40
2
34
7
19
7
16
15
47
21
88
42
14
57
66
46
60
30
12
27
25
24
25
54
49
1
34
6
22
12
13
24
62
22
116
80
35
96
137
87
149
78
19
43
52
52
60
143
84
2
83
26
49
24
33
60
86
44
220
249
88
270
341
237
362
179
58
126
183
146
137
309
280
6
216
41
140
80
82
161
319
128
596
4,604
1,443
711
842
1,741
4,736
9th-12th EE-12th
123
2016-2025
PU
2022-23
2023-24
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th EE-12th
1
2A
2B
3A
3B
3C
3D
3E
4A
4B
4C
4D
4E
4F
4G
4H
4I
4J
4K
4L
5
6
7A
7B
86
32
84
91
68
95
47
18
36
82
49
34
69
109
1
67
3
51
38
21
63
126
43
177
47
11
39
51
39
60
26
10
25
25
22
22
51
41
2
34
7
19
7
16
16
48
23
90
43
15
57
65
45
59
29
12
28
25
24
25
55
49
1
34
6
21
12
12
24
61
23
116
83
37
97
138
86
148
77
19
45
52
53
62
147
85
3
82
26
48
23
33
61
86
46
222
TOTAL
1,489
732
842
1,760
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
260
95
277
345
237
361
179
60
134
184
148
143
322
283
6
217
42
140
80
82
164
322
136
605
91
33
87
94
69
97
48
21
37
83
50
35
73
111
2
68
4
51
38
22
64
128
45
180
49
12
41
52
40
61
27
12
26
26
23
22
53
42
2
35
8
19
7
16
17
48
24
91
43
14
56
62
43
55
27
12
28
24
23
24
54
47
1
32
5
20
11
11
22
59
23
112
88
38
100
139
86
148
77
21
46
54
54
62
150
86
3
83
26
49
23
33
62
87
48
223
271
97
284
346
237
361
179
66
137
187
150
143
329
287
7
217
42
140
80
82
165
322
139
606
4,824
1,529
750
810
1,785
4,874
9th-12th EE-12th
124
2016-2025
PU
2024-25
2025-26
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
9th-12th EE-12th
1
2A
2B
3A
3B
3C
3D
3E
4A
4B
4C
4D
4E
4F
4G
4H
4I
4J
4K
4L
5
6
7A
7B
96
34
89
96
69
98
49
24
40
84
51
35
75
114
2
68
4
52
38
22
64
128
46
182
51
12
41
52
39
61
26
13
27
26
23
22
53
42
2
34
8
19
7
16
16
48
24
91
46
15
56
62
42
54
27
14
29
24
23
24
54
48
1
32
5
20
11
11
22
59
24
112
93
38
102
140
87
149
77
25
49
54
54
63
153
89
3
83
26
49
24
33
62
87
49
225
TOTAL
1,559
755
816
1,812
EE-4th
5th-6th
7th-8th
286
98
288
350
238
362
180
76
145
188
150
144
336
293
7
217
42
140
80
82
165
322
143
610
104
34
92
101
72
102
51
29
43
86
52
36
81
118
2
70
4
53
39
23
66
131
48
187
54
12
42
53
40
62
27
15
28
26
23
22
55
44
2
35
8
20
7
17
17
48
25
93
49
15
57
64
43
55
28
16
30
24
23
24
56
49
1
32
5
21
11
11
23
59
24
114
97
37
99
136
83
142
74
29
51
52
52
61
151
87
3
81
25
47
22
31
60
83
49
219
304
98
289
354
238
362
180
88
152
188
150
144
342
297
7
218
42
140
80
82
165
322
146
613
4,941
1,623
772
837
1,770
5,002
9th-12th EE-12th
125
Lovejoy I.S.D. Elementary School Transfers
Resides In Attends
Resides Transfers Net In
Out
Transfers
102
Hart
101
Lovejoy
104
Puster
384
14
6
404
‐20
Lovejoy
14
341
3
358
‐17
Puster
4
22
335
361
‐26
uncoded
44
59
18
384
62
446
341
95
436
335
27
362
Hart
Resides In & Attends
Transfers In
Attends
‐2
19
‐17
126
Cl
ub
Rd
Hart Rd
Red Oak
Tr
3
Dr
da
le
Pa
rk
wo
od
Trl
32
CR
Oa
k
tan
gD
r
ad
Ro
7
31
Dr
Mu
s
ty
un
Co
Puster
Capacity: 650
2015: 382
2016: 395
2020: 429
2025: 520
Build-Out: 584
Old Stacy Rd
Sycamo
re
Projected Resident
EE-4th Grade Students
l
Stacy Rd
Stacy Road E - FM
2786
ok Ln
Winningkoff Rd.
Hart
Capacity: 600
Estelle Ln
2015: 447
2016: 491
2020: 546
Lucas Road W.
2025: 631
Build-Out: 718
t ry
un
Co
C lu
d
bR
Brockdale
Stinson Road
Lewis Lane
Christian Ln
.
Winningkoff Rd.
Lynne Ln
Blondy Jhune Rd.
Ingram Lane
Rock Ridge
Rd
Lovejoy
Capacity: 600 Forest Grove Rd
2015: 417
2016: 410
2020: 416
2025: 473
Build-Out: 529
Ln
Mary Lee
Angel Parkway
y B ro
Countr
CR 321
Prescott Rd
Stone Hinge Dr
FM 1378
0
Ü
2015-16 Elementary
Attendance Zones
Brockdale Park Rd
Stoddard Rd
Co
un
t ry
Lovejoy I.S.D.
Long Range Planning
0.5
1
2
Miles
127
Lovejoy I.S.D.
Projected Resident EE-4th Grade Students
2015-16 Elementary Attendance Zones
Current 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
BuildOut
Hart Elementary
Capacity
Percent Utilization
Student Margin
600
447
75%
153
600
491
82%
109
600
491
82%
109
600
509
85%
91
600
519
87%
81
600
546
91%
54
600
567
95%
33
600
587
98%
13
600
600
600
601
609
631
100% 102% 105%
-1
-9
-31
600
718
120%
-118
600
417
70%
183
600
410
68%
190
600
402
67%
198
600
406
68%
194
600
404
67%
196
600
416
69%
184
600
428
71%
172
600
436
73%
164
600
447
75%
153
600
455
76%
145
600
473
79%
127
600
529
88%
71
650
382
59%
268
650
395
61%
255
650
389
60%
261
650
401
62%
249
650
407
63%
243
650
429
66%
221
650
448
69%
202
650
467
72%
183
650
483
74%
167
650
496
76%
154
650
520
80%
130
650
584
90%
66
1,850
1,246
604
1,850 1,850 1,850 1,850 1,850 1,850 1,850 1,850 1,850 1,850
1,296 1,282 1,316 1,330 1,391 1,443 1,490 1,531 1,560 1,624
554
568
534
520
459
407
360
319
290
226
1,850
1,831
19
Lovejoy Elementary
Capacity
Percent Utilization
Student Margin
Puster Elementary
Capacity
Percent Utilization
Student Margin
Totals
Capacity
Student Margin
128
Lovejoy I.S.D.
Projected Secondary Resident Students
2025
BuildOut
850
753
89%
97
850
770
91%
80
850
856
101%
-6
Current 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
2025
BuildOut
850
815
96%
35
850
835
98%
15
850
931
109%
-81
Current 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
2025
BuildOut
1,500
1,770
118%
-270
1,500
1,975
132%
-475
Current 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Sloan Creek Intermediate School
850
664
78%
186
Capacity
5th-6th Grade Students Projected
Percent Utilization
Student Margin
850
624
73%
226
850
652
77%
198
850
718
84%
132
850
718
84%
132
850
728
86%
122
850
710
84%
140
850
731
86%
119
850
748
88%
102
Willow Springs Middle School
Capacity
Percent Utilization
Student Margin
850
707
83%
143
850
723
85%
127
850
759
89%
91
850
724
85%
126
850
766
90%
84
850
842
99%
8
850
841
99%
9
850
841
99%
9
850
809
95%
41
Lovejoy High School
Capacity
Percent Utilization
Student Margin
1,500
1,331
89%
169
1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500
1,418 1,481 1,556 1,651 1,644 1,741 1,761 1,785 1,812
95% 99% 104% 110% 110% 116% 117% 119% 121%
82
19
-56
-151 -144 -241 -261 -285 -312
129

Lovejoy ISD - Population and Survey Analysts

Transcription

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