Conflicts can be resolved without confrontations, it`s as true
Transcription
Conflicts can be resolved without confrontations, it`s as true
Conflicts can be resolved without confrontations, it's as true for nations as it is for individuals. Conflict is a good thing. It prevents stagnation both of persons and of societies; it is the medium for airing and solving problem-; it can resolve tensions and help establish identities, both of individuals and of groups; in a flexible society it makes possible necessary changes and thus makes possible the continuance of that society. Conflict is also a dangerous thing. It can fracture families, motivate murder, close down factories and schools, divide cities and countries. It can cause wars. But conflict we have always with us. It is well-nigh universal, Any universal attribute, so rich in opposing possibilities, clearly calls for careful study if man is to understand himself better. The subject is older than history. Hammurabi set up his code to deal with it in Mesopotamia 3,500 years ago; a later teacher advised: "Turn the other cheek." Serious scientific attention has been given it for many years; Margaret Mead published Cooperation and Competition Among Primitive Peoples in 1937. But unsurprisingly, "conflict resolution" as an essential part of the proper study of mankind gained its greatest impetus from mankind's most wide spread and destructive conflict—the or that left many of us saying "'Never again": World War II. "I started my graduate study not lor after Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and n: work in social psychology has been shadowed by the atomic cloud ever since,"' says Morton Deutsch of Teachers College, Columbia University, a Iong time NSF grantee and an acknowledged leader in the field. Interest in the subject mushroomed in the I950's, and continues today, with programs of "peace research" and "'violence prevention" Prrnly established on many campuses, Deutsche major work. The Resolutiion of Conflict: Constructive and Desiructive Processes (Yale University Press, 1973). has not become a best seller. But the work by Deutsch and his colleagues has become an important part of the arsenal tor processionals whose purpose is the ironing out of knots in human interreiationships. As such, its influence is in creasingly pervasive with regard not only to conflicts among individuals but extends inevitably into the reiat ; onships WOSAIC September / October among groups—even among nations. And it is a measure of its relevance that, in a field like labor arbitration, for example, where the constructive approaches to conflict are a major goal, a kind of symbiotic relationship has emerged between the researchers and the practitioners. Deutsch has learned a great deal from those individuals who, instinctively as it appears to him, emerge as effective arbiters of labor conflict; at the same time he has managed to formulate some of the fundamental principles that seem to make the difference between a constructive and a destructive outcome of conflict situations. An area in which the influence of the research appears to defy documentation, despite indications of its presence, is in the field of international relations. There the parties, often in conflict with their own insights, are bound by traditional rules that, according to Deutsch, virtually bind them to escalating conflict: the inevitable presence of weapons or power balances, and the tendencies of nations, saddled with contradictory ideologies and rhetoric, to generalize rather than narrow the areas of disagreement among them. For it is those two elements—the existence (or fear of the existence) of weapons, and the failure to circumscribe the points at issue—that, the researchers have found, almost invariably frustrate efforts at successful, i.e., peaceful and nondestructive, resolution of conflict. So, while research officials within the Government's operating foreign affairs agencies may find few if any ways in which they can apply directly the results of research into conflict and its resolution, they continue to support and stimulate the research in the hope that the real world and the world of reason will somehow find a common footing. Acme vs. Bolt Research into conflict and the elements that tend to dictate its directions proceeds generally on two fronts: observation of the real worlds of familial discord, labor relations, international relations and others which become case studies in conflict, and laboratory experiments into which elements can be intro- 22 MOSAIC September / October 1975 duced on a controlled basis and outcomes interpreted, if not quantified. Both are revealing, but it is out of the latter, the controlled experiments, that the principles seem most clearly to emerge and against which understanding of realworld conflict can be measured. Of these experimental situations, among the most productive and best known is probably the Acme/Bolt Trucking Game devised by Deutsch and his associate, Robert M. Krauss. In the game, players operate trucking firms, called Acme and Bolt. They are paid for moving their trucks from their base to the other's base. They earn or lose money on the basis of how long it takes them to make the trip. Each has a long-way-round, which he can choose to take; it always costs him money. Each also has a short, money-making route, which he must share with the other; part of that route is only one lane wide. Two trucks meeting there are blocked, until one backs up, lets the other go through, and then proceeds in turn. "It's a very simple conflict which you would think could be resolved very eas- With these weapons available, the experimenters found, threats developed, and the players had trouble deciding who would go through first. "One or the other tended to use his gate," Deutsch points out, "and this would lead to the second player using his gate if he had a gate. "Both players would then be forced to take their alternate paths and both players would end up losing money in a situation where they each could obviously make money. "So we found that introducing weapons introduced the possibility of threat; tempting people to use coercive tactics tended to disrupt the cooperative character of the situation and make it more difficult for the people to come to an easy, mutually satisfying agreement." Oddly, if only one player had a weapon, he lost money, too. Although the power balance was strongly tilted in his favor under the conventional wisdom, his threats cut off cooperation from the other; both sides suffered. Toward a Gresham's Law ily," says Deutsch. "They might simply take turns going through first. "Given that kind of simple experimental situation, we were interested in studying what determined the ease of difficulty of coming to a successful sort of negotiation, a resolution of that conflict. "One of the first things we did was introduce weapons into the situation . . . weapons in the form of gates, which the player could use on the main path to prevent the other player from going through to his destination. That would force the other player to take the long alternate route which would cost him a lot of money." While the presence of weapons tends to worsen a conflict, there are many other similarly negative factors. Many of them are pinpointed in the Acme-Bolt struggles; others are revealed in different experiments. Destructive conflict, Deutsch points out, "is characterized by a tendency to expand and escalate." This growth may come along any or all of the conflict's dimensions: the size and number of the issues, the number of participants on each side, the size and number of the principles or precedents that are seen to be at stake, the costs the parties are willing to bear, and the number of moral constraints the parties feel free to abandon while dealing with the other side. "The harmful and dangerous elements drive out those which would keep the conflict within bounds," says J. S. Coleman, an NSF grantee now with the National Opinion Research Center in Chicago, who has formulated that as a kind of "Gresham's Law of Conflict." Typically, says Deutsch, in destructive situations, communication between the parties becomes both impoverished and unreliable. Lies are expected, espionage relied upon, and, in the end, the ability to notice and respond to the other's shifts away from a win-lose position is impaired. Force, deception, and cleverness are seen as the keys to success; the second party responds to the increased force, or to anticipation of it, and the conflict shifts from a relatively simple one to a much more fundamental battle. The longer the conflict continues, and the higher the stakes become, the larger each side's investment and the more difficult any withdrawal or compromise. Destructive conflict, Deutsch points out, "is easier in a sense to describe (than constructive conflict); there seems to be so much more of it." Certainly more resources are given to it. "The research and development expenditures Nobody wins, The computerized Acme/Bolt trucking game tempts each competitor to share a profitable direct access to the respective destinations or to use weapons (gates) to force the other to use the alternate, unprofitable route. Such games, used in the study of conflict, reinforce the conclusion that presence of weapons tends to cause conflicts to escalate. on techniques of conflict waging, as well as the actual expenditures on conflict waging, dwarf the expenditures for peace building. "This is obviously true at the national level, where military expenditures dominate our national budget. I would contend that this is also true at the interpersonal and intergroup level. At the interpersonal level, most of us receive MOSAIC September/October 1975 23 considerable training in waging and suppressing conflict, and we have elaborate institutions for dealing with adversary relationships and for custodial care of the psychological casualties of interpersonal conflict. "In contrast, there is little formal training in the techniques of constructive conflict resolution, and the institutional resources for helping people to resolve conflicts are meager indeed." If the parties, instead of escalating toward destructive conflict, want to cooperate to reach as agreeable a settlement as possible, what should they do? What advantages do they have? They can begin with open and honest communication of relevant information. This may, in certain cases, allow them to get beneath the apparent issues to underlying ones that are really making the trouble. It also enables each to benefit from the other's knowledge, and thus face the problem with greater intellectual resources. Misunderstanding, confusion, and mistrust are lowered. Cooperation also allows each to see that the other may have a valid point, a legitimate interest at stake, and seek a solution that responds to the needs of both sides. Although such openness, lack of defensiveness, and full utilization of resources are immensely helpful, cooperation in itself does not assure constructive resolution. It is important to narrow the scope of the issues. Deutsch would say that narrowing the issues at stake is as important as broadening the range of possible outcomes. Ideology vs. resolution "To take an example from international conflict," he said in an interview, "during the Cuban missile crisis of over ten years ago there was an initial tendency for Khrushchev and Kennedy 24 MOSAIC September / October 1975 to define the conflict as a conflict between the free world and Communism. "I suppose neither [side] could imagine that Khrushchev would bargain away Communism or that Kennedy would bargain away the free world. And so long as the conflict was defined in these large ideological terms there was no resolution. "When the conflict started to be defined in terms of the location of 72 weapons systems, then you had a much more specific, narrow conflict which was easier to resolve." The principle extends all the way down to the nursery. "Similarly, when mother and child have a conflict about, say, a piece of behavior by the child, if the mother talks about the behavior as something the child has done here and now, something specific that's taken place at a given place and time, it is much easier for the child to change that action. But if she talks about the bad child—'you're a bad boy for doing this'—then she's really made the conflict much larger. The conflict now involves the whole esteem of the child and to retreat on that specific instance of behavior is to admit that you are a bad boy or that you were a bad boy rather than you just happened to engage in this specific limited behavior. "So the definition of the issue in conflict so as to keep it narrow, specific, here and now, is very important." If, while the issue is narrowed, the alternatives can be broadened, the resolution will tend, also, to be more constructive. There may be enough pieces in the pie so that both sides can have some. Neither side may be able to see this; a third party may be necessary; hence, the growing profession of labor mediation and its equivalent, in micro, marital counseling. Often the parties may not mean the same thing when they say the same words. Thus, Deutsch: "One of the first things that the third party has to do is translate. Typically in marital therapy you find the therapist has to translate for the husband what the wife means when she says, 'You don't love me.' "The husband feels he has told her he loves her. He told her once and it's good until revoked or denied. While the wife has a different notion of what it means to be told that you are loved. It means that you are told in a continuing way rather than once and for all. . . . "Still another important role is to set fair rules for fighting. Particularly with inexperienced conflict parties, people who really have not developed skills in negotiating. They tend to escalate conflict much too readily. They tend to hit below the belt much too readily and to make it difficult to get back to rational discourse." A question of influence The conflict resolution field, as a scientific discipline, is young. (The first issue of the Journal of Conflict Resolution did not appear until 1957.) It is hard to nail down, say, an important case of international conflict being brought to a successful conclusion by application of principles directly growing out of such work. In fact, policymakers on a national level deny that there are any. The researchers "don't tell you how to manipulate those variables that are under the policymaker's control" in resolving conflict, complains Morton Halperin, former member of the National Security Council and currently with the Center for National Security Studies, a non-governmental organization in Washington. And yet Deutsch, and others, believe the field had at least indirect influence on one of the central changes of world relationships within this generation: the detente between the United States and the Soviet Union. In their study of Deterrence in American Foreign Policy, Alexander L. George and Richard Smoke, both NSF grantees at Stanford University, point out that "following the Cuban missile crisis, Kennedy and Khrushchev moved quickly to a detente. What was significant in this development was that American leaders began to view the Soviet Union as a limited adversary rather than as a total enemy. "Similarly, the nature of the conflict with the Soviet Union was now perceived in non-zero-sum terms rather than, as in the acute cold war era, in terms of a zero-sum contest." Deutsch might put it that the conflict was changing from a total win-lose situation into one with broadened alternatives in which both could benefit. "This change," George and Smoke continue, "was dramatically signalled in President Kennedy's eloquent American University address of June 10, 1963, when he called on the American people to reexamine their views on the cold war and warned his listeners 'not to see only a distorted and desperate view of the other side, not to see conflicts as inevitable, accommodation as impossible, and communication as nothing more than an exchange of threats. No government or social system is so evil that its people must .be considered lacking in virtue.' " After broadening the range of alternatives, the two nations were able to narrow specific bits of their conflict into issues that were susceptible to resolution. "The two antagonists in effect agreed not to push and thus exacerbate their long-standing disagreements over Central and Eastern Europe, arms control inspection, Cuba, overseas U.S. bases, etc.," say George and Smoke. ". . . Whereas the cold war had been dominated by a belief in the necessary indivisibility of issues, with everything somehow connected with everything else, the limited detente ushered in a willingness to reach agreement on many single issues that could be separated from other, more important matters on which agreement would have been more difficult. "A number of such agreements were quickly made—the partial test ban, the 'hot-line' agreement, cooperation on peaceful uses and exploration of space, etc. Other agreements, such as the nuclear non-proliferation treaty, followed more slowly." A bubbling interest That turning-point speech, Deutsch points out, contains many points that could have been derived from study of current social psychology. What an inquirer would like to find, of course, is an equivalent of the famous letter from Albert Einstein to President Roosevelt, telling him of the fact of nuclear fission and the possibilities of its use as a weapon. But in this, as in other ways, the social sciences do not follow the physical sciences. There was no letter from Deutsch, for example, to Kennedy. There was, however, a bubbling interest within the Administration in the ideas of conflict resolution then coming out of the universities. There were, for example, sessions where Deutsch and other social scientists gathered with groups that included high officials of both the U.S. State Department and the Soviet Embassy in Washington. There was even one such session, in Cacapon Springs, West Virginia, Deutsch recalls, at a meeting called to discuss Deutsch's earlier book, The Prevention of World War III, where the Deputy Soviet Ambassador and the American Undersecretary of State engaged in the technique of role reversal—each took and argued for the other's side in the then-current Berlin crisis. While not contesting Deutsch's account, Pio D. Uliassi, senior program officer for the U.S. State Department's Office of External Research doubts "that work in social psychology had much influence, even indirect, on detente. "Leaving aside the political considerations that may have influenced our own elect," he notes, "the research that influenced them most, I would guess, was work dealing directly with Communist systems, domestic and international, not social psychological work dealing with conflict resolution." He feels, even more strongly than does Halperin, that "most academic research, in whatever substantive areas," falls short of relevance because it doesn't deal with the variables that are under the policymakers' control. But, " O n the other hand," he notes parenthetically, "knowing that some things may not be under your control could be very useful for policy purposes." Whatever the justification, there were many social scientists familiar with the conflict work who had solid contacts with persons highly placed in the Administration of that time. Besides the social psychologists, many political scientists, including George himself, located at universities and think-tanks across the country, performed conflict resolution studies at the time under contracts from such Federal agencies as the Department of State and the Arms Control and Disarmament Agency. There is no proof of their impact, but what resulted was action that followed, by coincidence or not, the patterns the social psychologists and political scientists were discerning. And it worked. It is not surprising that it should. These social sciences may not have reached the predictive capabilities of, say, chemistry. But valid scientific study does produce valid insight. Many years earlier, toward the end of his own conflict-dominated life, Franklin D. Roosevelt had warned: "We are faced with the preeminent fact that, if civilization is to survive, we must cultivate the science of human relationships—the ability of all peoples, of all kinds, to live together and work together in the same world, at peace. . . ." Despite our progress, the need seems just as acute today. ® MOSAIC September /October 1975 25