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Transcription

Pace Pal R
Unknown
1st-time starter
©2004 Pace Pals all rights reserved
1
Morning
Line
+/-
1
--
2
3
4
o
5
6
o
o
7
o
Claiming 12500
3 CACTUS LIGHTING
12 REACH FOR GOLD
4 SUPERSTAR JUSTIN
5/2 PEACE ACCORD
4 SI SE PUEDE
15 SETH THE CANDEYMAN
4
EVOLUTION
Wins for each running style:
Maiden Claiming 25000
or foreign horse
7/2
138
12
7/2
6
135
137
140
Ź
7
30
137
133
Ź
Ź
>
26
43
4
+
30
BEFORESHEWASMAMA
99
2
CALIFORNIA DEMON
2
128
3
o
8
GO ROUND N CIRCLES
20
118
4
o
6
PRECESSION
20
122
5
6
7
8
o
o
o
-
20
9/5
4
30
PROFITBOX
FORGIVEANDFORGET
MAGGIE LANE
MI GOLONDRINA
50
5/2
3
15
123
122
115
113
3
Morning
Line
+/-
100%
Line
Pace Pals
Rating
1
+
6
2
3
4
5
o
o
o
o
3
4
7/2
6/5
+
+
+
7
+
*
146
6
12
10
100%
Line
Ź
16
15
16
Runs out front
(on the pace)
>
Ź
22
Ź
Ź
Ź
Ź
Ź
Ź
>
Ź
11
1
--
6
KING CITY KITTY
7
Pace Pals
Rating
129
2
3
4
o
5
5
5
PURE REFINEMENT
GROOVY LIGHTNING
SAMANTHA'S RULE
9/2
8
12
121
130
132
5
6
o
o
12
15
ALOTTA WILD
MSTY ALY
20
10
121
126
7
o
30
OLE'S PRIDE
50
8
+
3
EXCESSIVE FUN
8
128
9
+
12
DUMAANI'S GOLD
11
125
10
+
4
WARREN'S R READY
9/2
135
100%
Line
9
Ź
11
(Wire to wire)
o BECERRA RAFAE +
BEJARANO R
+ SADLER JOHN W +
DELGADILLO A
o ALCALA JORGE
LINARES M G
o BEAN ROBERT A -
PEDROZA M A
+ SADLER JOHN W +
130
Ź
Ź
>
18
** >
o MEREDITH DEREK
+ MILLER PETER
LINARES M G
o BEAN ROBERT A -
Ź
Ź
MIGLIORE R
o HOFMANS DAVID o
ROSARIO JOEL
o LOBO PAULO H
VERGARA O
-
145
150
..
+
+/- Trainer
+/-
ROSARIO JOEL
o LOBO PAULO H
FLORES D R
+ CANANI JULIO C +
...
115
120
125
130
135
..
+
+ VIENNA DARREL +
>
SOLIS A
+ HENDRICKS DAN o
16
135
+/- Trainer
110
Pace Pals Rating Graph
+/-
BAZE T C
+ MULLINS JEFF
MIGLIORE R
o GALLAGHER PAT o
NAKATANI C S
o FORD JEFF
GARCIA MARTIN
o CERIN VLADIMIR +
...
140
145
150
155
160
165
..
++
o
PEDROZA M A
+ VIENNA DARREL +
FLORES D R
+ CASSIDY JAMES -
VALDIVIA J JR
o PUYPE MIKE
+
135
+/- Trainer
+/-
ROSARIO JOEL
o HESS R B JR
o
FLORES D R
+ LEWIS CRAIG A
o
...
140
145
150
..
MARTINEZ CAMPOS + VELASQUEZ DAN o
Ź
Ź
Ź
>
+ ORMAN J MICHA -
DELGADILLO A
o FERNANDEZ VIC --
TALAMO JOSEPH
+ DELIMA JOSE E
ARIAS SAUL
-
SOLIS A
+ FANNING JERRY o
o
ANDERSON ERIN --
BAZE T C
+ O'NEILL DOUG
PEDROZA M A
+ GUTIERREZ JOR o
32
11
25
14
** > denotes secondary running style
o
115
120
125
130
135
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155
SOTO ANTONIO -105
BAZE M C
Ź
140
+
+ FRANKEL ROBER++
Ź
...
135
VAN BERG JACK -
BEJARANO R
Ź
..
+ FANNING JERRY o
BAZE M C
Jockey
>
+/-
ALMEIDA G F
16
25
21
denotes secondary running style
Ź
+/- Trainer
o
PEDROZA M A
-
6.5 Fur
COURT J K
Ź
Ź
Ź
Ź
...
-
16
Ź
>
138
Morning
Line
o MARLOW MIKE
SOLIS A
>
+/-
+ CRAIGMYLE KEIT +
ARAMBULA PEDRO -
Ź
9
+/- Trainer
GOMEZ EULICES
Jockey
6.5 Turf
+/-
Ź
Ź
Ź
check numbers with official program
Rabbit
Fox
With early leaders
GARCIA MARTIN
Jockey
144
145
5
*
>
1 mile
11
Ź
Jockey
154
161
141
161
6 BODES GALAXY
9/2 MASTERLY
5 TEN DOWNING STREET
5 BILLY ALLEN
o
-
>
5
7/2
15
4
9/5
7/5
6
1
2
32
1 mile
7/2 MIND THE MINISTER
5/2 KRUGER PARK
8 WORLD ASUNDER
4
4
5
6
Alw Opt Clm 62500 (Turf)
100%
Line
Pace Pals
Rating
148
148
Morning
Line
+/-
3
DIXIE MEISTER
MAGNUM
MAST TRACK
BROTHER DEREK
Ź
148
o
NICE BET
(from behind)
Jockey
6.0 Fur
2
Allowance
Hound
Runs in the pack
Santa Anita - April 20, 2008
Pace Pals
Rating
1
2
(from far behind)
100%
Line
Pace Pals
Rating
109
Morning
Line
+/-
Tur tle
Runs best late
Wins for e
see which
why!!!! at
from far b
who lead f
distance on
actually w
So, on
late) and h
actually ha
dominate o
Pace Pals Rating - the higher the better
140
11
9
Pace Pals
Rating
135
128
VEGAS RUNNER
STARSTRUCK KRISTEN
NO CREAM OR SUGAR
STING'N INTHE RAIN
PRINCESS INTEGRITY
8
12
11
6
15
132
127
127
135
132
Ź
Ź
RONAN'SACT
Ź
6
+/-
Morning
Line
1
2
o
-
12
10
Starter Allowance 40000
(Turf)
RAPID GOOSE
SONG OF ILLINOIS
3
4
5
6
7
+
+
+
+
3
12
12
6
15
100%
Line
Jockey
Ź
>
8
+
12
25
128
9
+
4
CURVEY STAR
9
131
10
+
6
SAM'S QUEEN
8
126
11
+
10
7
131
7
+/-
Morning
Line
KILMARTIN HALL
Md Sp Wt
100%
Line
Pace Pals
Rating
2
3
4
5
6
o
o
o
-
30
7/2
30
20
3
CROSS OF DIAMONDS
SCOUT ABOUT
STORM DE ORO
KAFWAIN'S BELLE
SILK THUNDER
7
8
-
15
10
BEWITCHING GEM
QUEEN MARILES
5
6
9
++
30
MARK OF A STAR
99
10
++
8
UNUSUAL STRIKE
11
11
12
++
++
5/2
20
MODIFICATION
SHE'S CHEEKY
7
30
1
++
15
FORD GALLOP
5
13
++
15
KENYA SKYE
12
-
1a
++
15
PRECIOUS UNION
20
o
+/-
Morning
Line
Claiming 32000 (Turf)
Ź
18
16
HEADLEY BRUCE o
SCOTT J M
o
DE LA TORRE JO o
o
Ź
125
o+
5
11
+
+
20
7/2
THEIR HE GOES
MT. ORIENT
15
9/2
143
144
7
8
+
-
9/2
15
LIKE A TIGER
SUPER HARMONY
7
7
150
142
Ź
9
10
11
-
6
12
10
SEEKING ANSWERS
CELTIC SWORD
SACRED LIGHT
10
20
12
152
148
145
Ź
Ź
Ź
Ź
Ź
Ź
>
Claiming 20000
100%
Line
SWEET ROSEMAN
LUCKY MAMA
ELSIE JO
ALMACITA
7
11
15
7/2
Pace Pals
Rating
133
133
116
134
6
124
12
132
Morning
Line
1
2
3
4
-o
5
8
8
5/2
5
o
2
HAVENS LAKE
6
o
8
GETINTHEREONETIME
7
8
o
o
12
30
WE LOVE L. A.
ALONEWITHTHESTORM
7/2
30
114
101
9
o
20
CATCH CANDY
San Juan Capistrano Grade II
Stk/Hcp (Turf) $250,000
ON THE ACORN
FITZ FLAG
SHAMDINAN
15
116
100%
Line
6
25
4
Pace Pals
Rating
138
143
128
5
9/2
157
152
9
145
30
6
127
157
Ź
Ź
32
126
-
12
BERTRANDO'S LOVE
12
123
-
5
4
LITTLE BRENDA
STORMY TATERS
10
2
125
132
8
++
30
3
ELLKIN'S TIME
QUIET AT THE TOP
30
12
114
125
9
10
11
12
13
++
++
++
++
++
20
20
15
20
20
MY SISTER LAUREEN
WARREN'S KISS
MS. MANHATTAN JACK
EXAGGERATED RUNNER
SAUNDREE
25
20
30
50
15
14
++
5
COLONY TRICK
12
5
6
7
>
Ź
Ź
Ź
43
22
Ź
Ź
>
Ź
Ź
+
EURTON PETER
o
BAZE T C
+
MANDELLA RICH o
BLANC B
o
CANANI NICK
BAZE M C
+
MANDELLA RICH o
120
+/- Trainer
+/-
GARCIA MARTIN
o
MANDELLA GARY o
MIGLIORE R
o
SPAWR WILLIAM +
BAZE T C
+
MANDELLA RICH o
ROSARIO JOEL
o
SADLER JOHN W +
DELGADILLO A
o
CASSIDY JAMES
-
MARTINEZ CAMPOS +
MITCHELL MIKE
++
BEJARANO R
+
HOLLENDORFER ++
BAZE M C
+
GLATT MARK
o
NAKATANI C S
o
CARAVA JACK
o
PEDROZA M A
+
CANANI JULIO C
+
GRYDER A T
o
PERIBAN JORGE +
+/- Trainer
Ź
WEST TED H
+
TALAMO JOSEPH
+
BAFFERT BOB
+
BEJARANO R
+
KNAPP STEVE
Ź
>
Ź
Ź
Ź
Ź
>
>
Ź
>
-
Ź
113
o
+
107
>
129
>
Ź
Ź
++
++
+
MULLINS JEFF
ROSARIO JOEL
o
SISE CLIFFORD J +
FLORES D R
+
TRUMAN EDDIE
POTTS C L
o
CRAIGMYLE KEIT +
PEDROZA M A
+
STUTE GLEN
ROGER STEIN SHOW
Listen to Roger Live on
Saturday & Sunday
8:00 AM Pacific
...
..
125
+/- Jockey
135
140
145
140
145
..
150
155
o
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
+/-
ESPINOZA V
o
MITCHELL MIKE
ALMEIDA G F
o
REVIRIEGO JUAN --
COURT J K
o
O'NEILL DOUG
FLORES D R
+
FRANKEL ROBER++
++
o
BEJARANO R
+
MITCHELL MIKE
TALAMO JOSEPH
+
GALLAGHER PAT o
++
QUINONEZ ALONSO o
POLANCO MARC
SMITH M E
SADLER JOHN W +
-
125
+/- Trainer
130
o
100
130
135
140
145
150
155
160
165
+/-
CHEW MATTHEW o
PEDROZA M A
+
COLLINS DON
-
COURT J K
o
HESS R B JR
o
DELGADILLO A
o
PALMA HECTOR
-
GRYDER A T
o
O'NEILL DOUG
o
BEJARANO R
+
O'NEILL DOUG
o
ENRIQUEZ I D
o
WICKER LLOYD
-
BAZE M C
+
POLANCO MARC
-
TALAMO JOSEPH
+
PERIBAN JORGE +
VALDIVIA J JR
o
GUTIERREZ JOR o
MIGLIORE R
o
SPAWR WILLIAM +
SCOTT J M
o
DE LA TORRE JO o
POTTS C L
o
PERIBAN JORGE +
ROSARIO JOEL
o
DOMINGUEZ CAE o
5
11
20
12
140
o
MITCHELL MIKE
BAZE M C
MARTINEZ CAMPOS +
135
+/-
+
+
130
135
BAZE T C
Jockey
>
125
++
0
0
0
1
+
5.5 Fur
TALAMO JOSEPH
Trainer
1 3/4 mile turf
10
6
4
o
MARTINEZ CAMPOS +
Ź
PRIDE AND CLASS
AMERICA'S STARLETT
o
o
Ź
Ź
>
12
5
2
3
26
Ź
Ź
Ź
20
8
o
O'NEILL DOUG
Jockey
6.0 Fur
WHY WHYNOT
o
Ź
Ź
Pace Pals
Rating
122
+/-
>
Ź
Ź
1
ABRAMS BARRY
o
17
17
23
22
+/-
11
Ź
>
Mile Turf
100%
Line
o
NAKATANI C S
12
Ź
9
ROSARIO JOEL
Jockey
20
...
DELEON RAFAEL -
+
5
6
Morning
Line
o
+/-
SADLER JOHN W +
150
*
120
+/- Trainer
+
20
PLUG ME IN
WARNING ZONE
o
+
RUN TO THE BORDER
30
7/2
SCHIEWE PAUL
SMITH M E
10
++
CARAVA JACK
-
PEDROZA M A
+
8
+
ARIAS SAUL
o
o
4
7
PEDROZA M A
+
146
VICTORIAN PRINCE
SADLER JOHN W +
++
6
12
STUTE MELVIN F o
o
HARTY EOIN
SKELLYTOWN
++
o
GARCIA MARTIN
PUYPE MIKE
5
6
ROSARIO JOEL
-
Ź
..
++
+
o
PORFIDO
BIG BOOSTER
MITCHELL MIKE
COLEMAN JEFFE +
BEJARANO R
>
3
4
6
VELASQUEZ DAN o
+
ARIAS SAUL
134
142
++
++
PERIBAN JORGE +
HENDRICKS DAN o
10
4
5
o
MARTINEZ CAMPOS +
MARTINEZ SILVE -
50
3
15
5/2
ENRIQUEZ I D
...
o
+
JUSTINPLACE
+/-
SAAVEDRA ANTH o
--
6
1
2
3
+
RODRIGUEZ N L
20
10
BAZE M C
SOLIS A
o
Morning
Line
21
+
--
25
Ź
Ź
139
2
*
KNAPP STEVE
DELGADILLO A
1
CHARMVICTOR
SADLER JOHN W +
o
Jockey
5.5 Fur
100%
Line
+
COURT J K
PUGLISI I L
>
Pace Pals
Rating
150
8
Ź
+/-
BEJARANO R
BAZE T C
Ź
6.5 Turf
50
12
99
25
9/2
Ź
Ź
Ź
+/- Trainer
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
Suggestions and Betting Strategies for Sunday, April 20, 2008
* please check number with an official program before wagering!
1st 3-7-1
Pretty evenly matched field, unless EVOLUTION, who returns off a 4 year layoff – whew he should be fresh, has sipped from the
fountain of youth. Have to think he’s benefitted from the new synthetic track and will show his usual speed. He’s the only true
rabbit in the field and could take these wire-to-wire. Stablemate PEACE ACCORD broke slowly and had the hair ridden off him to
challenge the eventual Bay Meadows Baze guided winner throughout and didn’t crack until inside the final 50 yards….he’ll get
overbet off that effort and with Bejarano riding today…we think he’ll have trouble repeating that kind of effort. SUPERSTAR
JUSTIN broke alertly, drifted back then finished evenly in a fast contest …drops a notch into a restricted claiming event and
should offer good value at the windows. CACTUS LIGHTING lost a heartbreaking photo and is in great form…a must use in all
your exotic & multi-race wagers. Lots of questions marks in this field…if we get 5-1 or better on Superstar Justin we might get
th
involved. We love a horse in the 4 , so lets start a Pick 4: 3-7-1 with 2 with 5 with 1. Then hope for some upsets with 3-7-1 with
2-6-7 with 1-4-5 with 1
2nd 2-6-7-8
The new cushion surface works well with trainer Jerry Fanning’s methods as he is have his best meet in years…add in that
jockey Alex Solis jumps on CALIFORNIA DEMON in his 2008 debut and you’ve got a very live horse that was able to finished
second twice in his final two starts of ’07. FORGIVEANDFORGET is the controlling speed in the race and the one that Solis will
have to catch in the lane. MAGGIE LANE ran evenly in a 7 furlong race that had route type early fractions :48 for the half and
naturally couldn’t close any ground on the leaders, who had just galloped slowly to the stretch…she could improve with hustling
Rosario in the irons. Don’t think you can miss the exacta if you box these three, but you won’t get rich. If we aren’t alive in the
Pick 4…start another Pick 3: 2 with 5 with 1 cold pick 3. Also, play 2-6-7 with 1-4-5 with 1 and hope we beat Brother Derek.
3rd 5
BROTHER DEREK outclasses this field…barn has poor record with horses off long layoffs…no value, big risk…we’ll pass! DIXIE
MEISTER had no chance over in Dubai after a slow break on that speed favoring oval, but horses returning from Dubai usually
take much longer to return to form.. if ever…can’t bet him.. If you can’t pass the race there are two ways to look at it…Derek is
best…single him or take a shot that MAST TRACK, who couldn’t hold off Fly Dorcego after a uncontested lead, or NICE BET, who
ships up from Brazil and has never raced on a fast track, can pull off the upset….with just a 5-horse field we must see the
betting…sometimes the public goes nuts (ie: War Pass at 1/20) and they force you to bet. If we get 10-1 to or better on Nice Bet
or Mast Track…it is worth a shot.
4th #1 MIND THE MINISTER 7/2 - #2 KRUGER PARK 5/2 / # 4 BODES GALAXY 6-1
th
My first impression after watching MIND THE MINISTER go from blocked with no chance in 6 inside the final 1/16 to winning by
almost two lengths and opening that to 5 plus lengths a couple of strides past the wire was that I would bet this horse in any race it
entered…I didn’t care if it was the Breeders’ Cup Turf. The race is super impressive time wise, but ‘The Minister is certainly a
standout in this field off of that win. Also, note he was flattered by the Incredible Lew’s huge late surge for second against our
best bet winner Secret Shuttle on Monday. KRUGER PARK has finished well in both starts down the hill at the meet. BODES
GALAXY was quick in early in England and has trained well for his U.S. debut. Here is a gauge on ‘Bodes’ ability, he was beaten
by a head by Hamoody as a two-year-old- Hamoody ran well and has finished close to but behind Kruger Park in his last two
starts. Wagering: Bet The Minister to win. Exactas 1 with 2-4-6. Trifecta 1 with 2-4 with 2-4-6.
5th 10-2-1-3/8
A bunch of barns dropping trying to win on closing day. WARREN’S R READY finally draws an outside post and with her main
competition drawn inside she get the nod. PURE REFINEMENT has been facing much tougher on the turf and will look much
improved in this easier spot. KING CITY KITTY exits a fast 5 ½ furlong race and will be in contention for as long as she can last
at 6 ½. GROOVY LIGTNING improved in both starts since joining the Velasquez barn, which does a good job developing young
fillies. EXCESSIVE FUN rallied from last to second in her debut…Fanning barn going well. There is really only one horse entered
that would surprise me if it won. Wide, wide open race.
6th 7/3 – 6 – 11/10 – 2/9
You could easily go 10-deep in this race to make sure you have the winner to start the Pick 6. Just a quick glance at the Pace
Pals and you can see there is only 1 rabbit in the field – KILMARTIN HALL – but with 3-for-103 jock Arias in the saddle and fresh
claim by an 0-14 trainer…unless she is 15-1 or higher you bet against her. With a rabbit that we can likely catch and beat
PRINCESS INTEGRITY, who adds blinkers for a stable that is doing well with its claims, is another huge price that could get Iggy
off the snide. We liked My Maloof Rocker against allowance foes on Thursday and she finished mid-pack versus a much tougher
field than this…VEGAS RUNNER beat her at Turf Paradise and although morning line maker Jeff Tuffs laid her 3-1 (we’re mad at
him for hurting our price) we thought she’d be overlooked by the general public…maybe she’ll drift up in odds. Tyler Baze/Mitchell
charge Sting’n In the Rain has been well bet in all six tries and finally won last time out in a decent clocking that puts her right with
everyone else in this field, except we believe she’ll be bet to half her morning line odds of 6-1. Mandatory Payout in the Pick 6:
Lets spread out early because we have some standouts in the last two races….big ticket 2,3,6,7,9,10,11 with 1,6,7,8,10,11
with 6,8 with 4,7 with 3 with 6 = $168 small ticket 3,6,7,10 with 1,6,7,8 with 6,8 with 4,7 with 3 with 6 = $64
7th 1 (Ford Gallop) – 7/8 – 6 – 10/11
Like the fact that a number of trainers ship over from Hollywood on closing day at Santa Anita rather than wait for race in
Inglewood…it’s a good sign that they are very live. Two of those horses are FORD GALLOP & BEWITCHING GEM. Gallop
appeared ready roll after a 1:12 4/5 six furlong drill, followed by bullet :47 1/5 from the gate – barn then backed off with 3 slow
workouts….love it when Mandella has a real slow final workout…he knows he’s ready and doesn’t need to squeeze the lemon dry
in the morning. Bewitching Gem on the other hand just appears to be a very fast filly in the morning. Trainer Bruce Headley is
certainly capable of winning with firsters He’s acclimated to training over cushion and is back to winning over 20% of his races.
SILK THUNDER tired when stuck on the slow inside second-time out at 4/5 odds….she be right there if she repeats her good
debut when second also at 4/5 odds. Probably should move UNUSUAL STRIKE up after her stable/workmate was lightyears best
in her debut on Saturday versus Maiden $50,000 claimers. MODIFICATION has wicked early speed, but O’Neill horses don’t
always improved second-time out…we’ll try to beat her. Wagering: Certainly can bet both # 1 & 7 to win.
8th 8-3-6-7-4
MT ORIENT has been favored in 5 of his last 6 starts, has run well, but only won once…leading trainer Mike Mitchell tabs bug boy
Campos to ride hoping 5lbs off will make a difference between a good effort and win. With one rabbit and only 2 foxes (pace
pressers) in the lineup the pace should be moderate to slow, which puts the race squarely in the lap of either SUPER HARMONY,
MT ORIENT or even RUN ON THE BORDER. SKELLYTOWN adds blinkers and may show more speed today. LIKE A TIGER,
with Bejarano up, may be the most dangerous closer. Believe JUSTINPLACE & SEEKING ANSWERS won’t get enough pace to
setup their late runs and will only be able to earn minor awards. Bet # 8 to win. Exactas 6,8 with 3,4,6,7,8 Reverse 3,4,6,7,8
with 6,8. Pick 3 & 4 3,4,6,7,8 with 4,7, with 3 with 6
9th # 7 WE LOVE LA 12-1 - # 4 ALMACITA 5/2 - # 5 HAVENS LAKE 2-1 - # 1 SWEET ROSEMAN 5-1
Making a 100% Betting Line and comparing it to the morning line makes our top selection easy! We rate the chances of
impressive last out winner ALMACITA and WE LOVE LA about even…with ‘cita at 5/2 & ‘la 12-1 the choice is obvious…WE
LOVE LA! Speed held up like the old days on Saturday, the rabbits were challenged and just kept on going…We Love LA was a
couple of lengths clear to the stretch, then got tired late at 6 ½ furlongs in a needed outing…the cut back in distance helps her
chances even with 3 other rabbits in the lineup. Lightly raced and freshened HAVENS LAKE, SWEET ROSEMAN and Almacita
are hoping the rabbits knock themselves out on the lead…setting up their late runs. Wagering: Bet # 7 to win & place. Exactas
7 with 1,2,4,5. reverse 1,2,4,5 with 7. 10-superfecta 4,7 with 1,2,4,5,7 with 1,2,4,5,7 with all = $14.40
10th 3-4-5
4-year-old SHAMDINAN finished second in the Breeders’ Cup Turf last year, is the only Grade 1 winner and has twice the earning
of any of his rivals. He flopped in his 2008 comeback in Florida, but has trained willingly for this and should prove to be too much
horse for this field. PORFIDO has 3 starts at the meet and is in his best for in years…he has a ‘fox’ (stalking) running style similar
to Shamdinan…these two may move as a team after the leaders into the final turn. Rabbits VICTORIAN PRINCE & PLUG ME IN
will need to step up their game and it doesn’t appear to setup for an easy lead for either, which means they’ll need a career best to
beat this field. WARNING ZONE returned for form finishing a nose behind Porfido in the San Luis Rey Handicap, while 6 lengths
or more in front of Fitz Flag and ON THE ACORN. ‘Corn’s prior race was much better, but he doesn’t appear to be in sharp
enough form to defend his title. BIG BOOSTER is a stablemate of On The Acorn and he looks like the most dangerous (turtle)
deep closer in the field.
11th # 6 STORMY TATERS 4-1 -# 3 AMERICA’S STARLET 5-1 - # 2 PRIDE AND CLASS 12-1 /# 5 LITTLE BRENDA 5-1
Lets close out the meet with a win. Leading jockey Bejarano has made a great impression as a strong finisher in her first full meet
in So. Cal. and his presence combined with the cut back in distance makes STORMY TATERS a standout in our eyes. Last out
she sprinted clear and held that advantage until inside the final 1/16th at six furlongs….and really didn’t stop that bad. AMERICA’S
STARLETT was battling for the lead crossing the dirt down the hill versus better…her cushion efforts weren’t as good, but the
drop in class will help. PRIDE AND CLASS has fast works for Don Collins, who knows how to win with a first time starter. LITTLE
BRENDA took a two month break after finishing second in her debut…she is a stablemate of one of the favorites Stormy Taters
and it is always a good sign when a top trainer enters against his own favorite. Mandatory payout in the Super High Five: Lets
take a swing 6 with 3 with 2,4,5,8,(13,14) with 2,4,5,8,(13,14) with 1,2,5,6,8,9,10,(13,14) = $60 if the also eligibles 13 & 14
scratch. Big exacta box 6-3 is in order….plus trifecta 6 with 3 with 1,2,5,6,8,9,10
Good luck, we’ll see you at Hollywood Park.
Craig Peterson
Introduction to handicapping with Pace Pals (Deluxe Edition)
by Craig Peterson
5
1
3
7
5
5
4
6
2
8
How to use Pace Pals
1 The Basics, bet the icons
Rabbits — if you like your
horse to be in the lead.
Foxes — if you like your horse
to be close to the leaders,
ready to pounce at any time.
Hounds — run in the pack
and make their run later in the
race
Shopping - getting value for your $$
3 If you know how to bargain shop you can use the 100% Bet Line to find
overlays (horses whose odds are higher than their chance of winning) and
play like a pro. The 100% Bet Line represents how many times out of 100
races each horse would win - the lower the odds the more often the horse
figures to win (ie. A horse with a 33% chance of winning would have odds
of 2-1, a horse with a 10% chance of winning 9-1). Horses whose odds
are twice the 100% Bet Line odds are great bets and should be bet win &
place if over 10-1 odds. Overlays add exceptional value to exactas, trifectas
and superfectas when used with other overlays and the horses with the
lowest odds, horses with the best chances of winning, on the 100% Bet
Line. You don’t have to know anything about horses, if you know a bargain
when you see one… you’ll win!
Handicap with Pace Pals
Turtles — relax early in the
race and make a big late run
Pace Pals takes key elements of the each horse’s past performances and
puts them in a visual format to help you quickly handicap a race.
4 Check the Rating Graph to see who the fastest horse is and how
Dark Horses — are 1st-time
starters or foreign horses that
haven’t shown what running
style they prefer.
Generally Rabbits & Foxes win most of the
sprints (races at less than a mile). As the
races get longer the Hounds & Turtles win
more often and excel on the turf (grass).
Check the Pace Pals running style chart to
see the number of wins for each running style
for each race’s distance and surface
2 Selections & Comments
Read the analysis of each race and bet the
recommended horses.
competitive the race is. If all the horses are about equal, there is a good
chance for an upset.
5 Check the +/- ratings for Post Position, Jockey & Trainer…you want to
see lots of ++ for the horses you like and minus’ for the ones you want to
beat.
6 Check the Running Styles Chart see how many Rabbits, Foxes, Turtles
& Hounds are in each race and the number of wins for each running style at
that distance & surface. If there are lots of horses with the same style then
there is likely to be traffic troubles for those horses and it is unlikely that they
will be comfortable during the running of the race. If there are too many
Rabbits (early speed horses), it may set the race up for a lone Fox, a horse
who can relax just off the lead, or for the Hounds or Turtles, (horses that
come-from-behind). Conversely, if there is only one Rabbit in the race it is
dangerous no matter what the odds or even if the running style history says
it is hard to win on the lead. Anytime the race sets up for one horse’s preferred
running style it will likely run it’s best race.
7 Check the Morning Line odds (the odds the track handicapper predicts
the horses will be at post time) & the 100% Bet Line odds (our handicapper’s
opinion of how many times out of 100 races each horse would win). An
overlay is when in your opinion a horse’s odds are greater than its chances
of winning. The 100% Bet Line lets you see our handicapper’s opinion of
each horses chances.
8 Check the Selections and Analysis to see what factors the handicapper
w
ww
.PacePals.com
Copyright © 2006 Pace Pals, Inc.
all rights reserved
thought were the keys to the race and what intangibles that influenced his
selections. Pace Pals are like Cliff Notes or Spark Notes. They cover key
elements of handicapping, but handicapping a race is an art that involves as
many as 20 horses & jockeys in a race and all the human elements that bring
them together. It is fun to predict what might happen and there is great
satisfaction in seeing a race unfold the way you thought it would and to cheer
your horses to the wire. Have fun and we’ll see you in the winners’ circle.

WWW.PACEPALS.COM .COM

Transcription

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